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1947 Kategoria e Parë Season

72 games

Final

Champion

Partizani

29 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Partizani

6.82 points above expected

29 points · 22.18 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bashkimi Elbasanas

6.41 points below expected

8 points · 14.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Partizani Champion 16 14 1 1 29 56 15 +41 22.18 +6.82
2 Vllaznia 16 13 2 1 28 63 9 +54 26.44 +1.56
3 Dinamo Korca 16 9 6 1 24 48 16 +32 17.92 +6.08
4 17 Nentori 16 6 4 6 16 27 50 -23 13.74 +2.26
5 Red Star Durres 16 5 3 8 13 29 26 +3 14.87 -1.87
6 Tomori 16 4 2 10 10 27 48 -21 12.01 -2.01
7 Flamurtari 16 3 3 10 9 20 42 -22 13.40 -4.40
8 Bashkimi Elbasanas 16 2 4 10 8 16 37 -21 14.41 -6.41
9 Shqiponja 16 3 1 12 7 12 55 -43 9.03 -2.03

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Partizani 29 22.18 +6.82
2 Dinamo Korca 24 17.92 +6.08
3 17 Nentori 16 13.74 +2.26
4 Vllaznia 28 26.44 +1.56
5 Red Star Durres 13 14.87 -1.87

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bashkimi Elbasanas 8 14.41 -6.41
2 Flamurtari 9 13.40 -4.40
3 Shqiponja 7 9.03 -2.03
4 Tomori 10 12.01 -2.01
5 Red Star Durres 13 14.87 -1.87

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Partizani 1679 29 +48 10 7.8 +2.2
Vllaznia 1792 28 -16 8 8.3 -0.3
Dinamo Korca 1620 24 +130 9 7.6 +1.4
17 Nentori 1280 16 +14 6 4.2 +1.8
Red Star Durres 1303 13 +92 4 5.3 -1.3
Tomori 1135 10 -100 1 3.3 -2.3
Flamurtari 1133 9 +8 3 2.7 +0.3
Bashkimi Elbasanas 1083 8 -4 4 4.5 -0.5
Shqiponja 1097 7 -65 2 2.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 1N BE DK FLA PAR RSD SHQ TOM VLL
17 Nentori —
1-1-0
3.53
0-1-1
1.58
0-1-1
3.56
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
1.80
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.02
0-0-2
1.33
Bashkimi Elbasanas
0-1-1
2.09
—
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
3.49
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
2.15
0-0-2
4.01
1-1-0
2.15
0-0-2
0.59
Dinamo Korca
1-1-0
4.04
1-1-0
3.29
—
2-0-0
2.52
0-1-1
1.77
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
4.76
2-0-0
4.28
0-2-0
0.98
Flamurtari
1-1-0
2.06
1-1-0
2.13
0-0-2
3.10
—
0-0-2
0.75
0-0-2
3.28
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-2
3.05
0-0-2
0.44
Partizani
2-0-0
4.20
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.85
2-0-0
4.88
—
2-0-0
4.06
2-0-0
4.96
2-0-0
4.91
1-0-1
1.76
Red Star Durres
0-1-1
3.82
1-0-1
3.47
0-1-1
1.94
2-0-0
2.35
0-0-2
1.56
—
1-0-1
4.03
1-1-0
3.23
0-0-2
0.75
Shqiponja
0-0-2
1.63
2-0-0
1.61
0-0-2
0.88
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-2
0.67
1-0-1
1.59
—
0-0-2
2.90
0-0-2
0.42
Tomori
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
3.47
0-0-2
1.34
2-0-0
2.56
0-0-2
0.73
0-1-1
2.38
2-0-0
2.71
—
0-0-2
0.53
Vllaznia
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
5.05
0-2-0
4.65
2-0-0
5.22
1-0-1
3.86
2-0-0
4.88
2-0-0
5.24
2-0-0
5.11
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.95 +4.7
Allowed 0.72 -4.4
Differential 0.89 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%3.47%4.17%4.17%1.39%7.64%26.39%
13.47%5.56%3.47%4.17%1.39%2.78%20.83%
24.17%3.47%5.56%2.78%2.08%3.47%21.53%
34.17%4.17%2.78%1.39%——12.50%
41.39%1.39%2.08%———4.86%
5+7.64%2.78%3.47%———13.89%
Total26.39%20.83%21.53%12.50%4.86%13.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.07 2.07 +0.00
SD 2.08 2.08 3.48
CV 1.01 1.01 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 72

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%————25.00%31.25%
1—————6.25%6.25%
2—12.50%12.50%—6.25%—31.25%
3—12.50%6.25%6.25%——25.00%
4——6.25%———6.25%
5+———————
Total6.25%25.00%25.00%6.25%6.25%31.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 3.12 -1.44
SD 1.35 2.39 3.41
CV 0.80 0.77 —
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%12.50%6.25%—6.25%43.75%
1—6.25%6.25%—6.25%6.25%25.00%
2——12.50%—6.25%—18.75%
36.25%6.25%————12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%25.00%31.25%6.25%12.50%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.31 -1.31
SD 1.10 1.89 2.36
CV 1.10 0.82 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%—————6.25%
1—18.75%—6.25%——25.00%
26.25%—12.50%———18.75%
36.25%6.25%12.50%———25.00%
4———————
5+18.75%6.25%————25.00%
Total37.50%31.25%25.00%6.25%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 1.00 +2.00
SD 2.39 0.97 2.92
CV 0.80 0.97 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%—12.50%6.25%6.25%43.75%
16.25%——6.25%—6.25%18.75%
2———6.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
3——6.25%6.25%——12.50%
4———————
5+—6.25%————6.25%
Total18.75%12.50%6.25%31.25%12.50%18.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 2.62 -1.38
SD 1.48 1.78 2.33
CV 1.19 0.68 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
112.50%6.25%6.25%———25.00%
26.25%6.25%————12.50%
312.50%6.25%————18.75%
4——12.50%———12.50%
5+12.50%—18.75%———31.25%
Total43.75%18.75%37.50%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.50 0.94 +2.56
SD 2.22 0.93 2.25
CV 0.63 0.99 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%12.50%12.50%——43.75%
1—6.25%6.25%———12.50%
2——6.25%——6.25%12.50%
36.25%—————6.25%
412.50%—————12.50%
5+6.25%—6.25%———12.50%
Total31.25%18.75%31.25%12.50%—6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.62 +0.19
SD 2.20 1.78 3.19
CV 1.21 1.10 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%—12.50%—6.25%25.00%50.00%
1———18.75%6.25%—25.00%
212.50%6.25%—6.25%——25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.75%6.25%12.50%25.00%12.50%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 3.44 -2.69
SD 0.86 2.85 3.40
CV 1.14 0.83 —
Max 2 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———6.25%—6.25%12.50%
16.25%6.25%6.25%6.25%—6.25%31.25%
2——6.25%12.50%—18.75%37.50%
36.25%6.25%————12.50%
4—6.25%————6.25%
5+———————
Total12.50%18.75%12.50%25.00%—31.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 3.00 -1.31
SD 1.08 2.37 3.00
CV 0.64 0.79 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%—————6.25%
16.25%6.25%6.25%———18.75%
212.50%6.25%————18.75%
3———————
4—6.25%————6.25%
5+31.25%12.50%6.25%———50.00%
Total56.25%31.25%12.50%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.94 0.56 +3.38
SD 2.79 0.73 3.03
CV 0.71 1.29 —
Max 9 2 +9
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 16

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vllaznia 1792 28 26.44 +1.56 85.0% 21 23 25 26 28 29 31
Partizani 1716 29 22.18 +6.82 100.0% 15 17 20 22 24 27 29
Dinamo Korca 1620 24 17.92 +6.08 100.0% 9 13 16 18 20 23 24
Red Star Durres 1303 13 14.87 -1.87 33.0% 9 10 13 15 17 19 22
17 Nentori 1280 16 13.74 +2.26 85.0% 9 10 12 14 15 19 21
Tomori 1135 10 12.01 -2.01 32.0% 3 6 10 12 14 17 20
Flamurtari 1133 9 13.40 -4.40 12.0% 7 8 12 13 15 18 19
Shqiponja 1097 7 9.03 -2.03 31.0% 4 5 7 9 11 14 16
Bashkimi Elbasanas 1083 8 14.41 -6.41 2.0% 2 9 12 14 17 20 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.83%
No Edge
51.39%18.06%30.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge
128 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
073.46400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.22 goals
Strong Home
-2+0.58+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.3
One-Team Race
12349
Champion Preseason Odds
13%
Partizani, 2nd of 9
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Tight Race
00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.26 * Some Luck: 2.26 to 3.4 * Lucky: 3.4 to 4.53 * Wild Swing: 4.53 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.85 * Close: 0.85 to 1.27 * Off: 1.27 to 1.7 * Way Off: 1.7 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 9 * As Expected: 9 to 14.4 * Several Outliers: 14.4 to 19.8 * Many Outliers: 19.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.26 points
Lucky
02.837
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.11
Close
01.062.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 94.44%
100.00%
Partizani
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
2.00%
Bashkimi Elbasanas
05.56%50
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 9
Minimal Outliers
00.99

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.28
Lopsided
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 282.31
2.42
Wide Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
94%
Wide Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
38%
Few
0%34%100%
Blowouts
Expected
42%
Very Frequent
0%47%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.07
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.28
Weak Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Upset-Prone
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Very Shaky
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.24 * Above Noise: 0.24 to 0.33 * Well Above Noise: 0.33 and up.
Probability calibration
0.60
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.118
Well Within Noise
00.1630.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789
Partizani13.00%69.00%13.00%5.00%—————
Vllaznia86.00%14.00%———————
Dinamo Korca1.00%10.00%50.00%24.00%10.00%2.00%1.00%—2.00%
17 Nentori—2.00%5.00%9.00%17.00%19.00%26.00%17.00%5.00%
Red Star Durres—3.00%12.00%24.00%23.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%—
Tomori——5.00%6.00%11.00%18.00%18.00%25.00%17.00%
Flamurtari——7.00%12.00%21.00%12.00%24.00%19.00%5.00%
Bashkimi Elbasanas—2.00%8.00%19.00%16.00%30.00%10.00%11.00%4.00%
Shqiponja———1.00%2.00%5.00%7.00%18.00%67.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
17 Nentori 100%
Bashkimi Elbasanas 100%
Dinamo Korca 100%
Flamurtari 100%
Partizani 100%
Red Star Durres 100%
Shqiponja 100%
Tomori 100%
Vllaznia 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1947-04-01 17 Nentori L 1-342.6 1269 1510 23.72% 19.03% 57.25%-1.31 -36.5 0
1947-04-01 @ Shqiponja W 3-142.6 1510 1269 57.25% 19.03% 23.72%+1.31 +36.5 2
1947-04-01 Bashkimi Elbasanas W 3-043.0 1325 1453 37.86% 19.14% 43.00%-0.43 +100.6 2
1947-04-01 @ Partizani L 0-343.0 1453 1325 43.00% 19.14% 37.86%+0.43 -100.7 0
1947-04-01 Flamurtari W 3-145.2 1278 1374 42.43% 19.15% 38.42%-0.18 +54.7 2
1947-04-01 @ Dinamo Korca L 1-345.2 1374 1278 38.42% 19.15% 42.43%+0.18 -54.8 0
1947-04-01 Red Star Durres D 1-152.7 1141 1199 47.62% 19.15% 33.23%+0.12 -2.7 1
1947-04-01 @ Tomori D 1-152.7 1199 1141 33.23% 19.15% 47.62%-0.12 +2.7 1
1947-04-01 Dinamo Korca D 0-057.8 1612 1332 75.01% 18.63% 6.36%+2.76 -16.3 1
1947-04-01 @ Vllaznia D 0-057.8 1332 1612 6.36% 18.63% 75.01%-2.76 +16.3 3
1947-04-08 17 Nentori W 5-152.1 1319 1546 25.25% 19.05% 55.70%-1.20 +138.0 2
1947-04-08 @ Flamurtari L 1-552.1 1546 1319 55.70% 19.05% 25.25%+1.20 -138.0 2
1947-04-08 Vllaznia L 0-644.3 1408 1596 29.97% 19.10% 50.93%-0.89 -143.0 2
1947-04-08 @ 17 Nentori W 6-044.3 1596 1408 50.93% 19.10% 29.97%+0.89 +142.9 3
1947-04-08 Tomori L 1-351.7 1232 1138 64.23% 19.03% 16.73%+1.31 -87.2 0
1947-04-08 @ Shqiponja W 3-151.7 1138 1232 16.73% 19.03% 64.23%-1.31 +87.2 3
1947-04-08 Red Star Durres W 7-235.0 1425 1202 72.63% 18.78% 8.59%+2.33 +27.3 4
1947-04-08 @ Partizani L 2-735.0 1202 1425 8.59% 18.78% 72.63%-2.33 -27.3 1
1947-04-15 Red Star Durres L 2-558.5 1457 1175 75.11% 18.62% 6.26%+2.79 -126.5 2
1947-04-15 @ Flamurtari W 5-258.5 1175 1457 6.26% 18.62% 75.11%-2.79 +126.5 3
1947-04-15 Dinamo Korca D 1-154.4 1352 1349 55.31% 19.13% 25.56%+0.60 -5.7 1
1947-04-15 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas D 1-154.4 1349 1352 25.56% 19.13% 55.31%-0.60 +5.7 4
1947-04-15 Partizani L 2-447.6 1265 1453 29.97% 19.10% 50.93%-0.89 -39.9 2
1947-04-15 @ 17 Nentori W 4-247.6 1453 1265 50.93% 19.10% 29.97%+0.89 +39.9 6
1947-04-15 Vllaznia L 0-143.7 1301 1739 8.93% 18.60% 72.47%-2.85 -9.2 3
1947-04-15 @ Red Star Durres W 1-043.7 1739 1301 72.47% 18.60% 8.93%+2.85 +9.2 5
1947-04-22 Dinamo Korca L 2-354.9 1330 1354 52.03% 19.14% 28.83%+0.39 -38.9 2
1947-04-22 @ Flamurtari W 3-254.9 1354 1330 28.83% 19.14% 52.03%-0.39 +38.9 6
1947-04-22 Partizani L 0-145.0 1347 1493 35.42% 19.13% 45.45%-0.57 -31.4 1
1947-04-22 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas W 1-045.0 1493 1347 45.45% 19.13% 35.42%+0.57 +31.4 8
1947-04-22 Shqiponja W 3-137.8 1225 1145 63.08% 19.05% 17.87%+1.21 +28.5 4
1947-04-22 @ 17 Nentori L 1-337.8 1145 1225 17.87% 19.05% 63.08%-1.21 -28.5 0
1947-04-22 Vllaznia D 1-167.5 1393 1748 13.72% 18.82% 67.46%-2.20 +10.9 7
1947-04-22 @ Dinamo Korca D 1-167.5 1748 1393 67.46% 18.82% 13.72%+2.20 -10.9 6
1947-04-22 Tomori W 3-033.2 1292 1225 61.82% 19.07% 19.11%+1.10 +50.8 5
1947-04-22 @ Red Star Durres L 0-333.2 1225 1292 19.11% 19.07% 61.82%-1.10 -50.8 3
1947-04-29 Flamurtari D 3-361.4 1254 1292 50.32% 19.15% 30.54%+0.28 -2.3 5
1947-04-29 @ 17 Nentori D 3-361.4 1292 1254 30.54% 19.15% 50.32%-0.28 +2.3 3
1947-04-29 Partizani L 0-144.3 1343 1524 30.76% 19.10% 50.14%-0.84 -27.9 5
1947-04-29 @ Red Star Durres W 1-044.3 1524 1343 50.14% 19.10% 30.76%+0.84 +27.9 10
1947-04-29 Shqiponja W 4-137.3 1174 1116 61.02% 19.08% 19.90%+1.03 +44.4 5
1947-04-29 @ Tomori L 1-437.3 1116 1174 19.90% 19.08% 61.02%-1.03 -44.4 0
1947-04-29 17 Nentori W 6-035.0 1737 1252 80.06% 17.89% 2.06%+4.37 +11.5 8
1947-04-29 @ Vllaznia L 0-635.0 1252 1737 2.06% 17.89% 80.06%-4.37 -11.5 5
1947-05-06 Bashkimi Elbasanas W 2-045.7 1072 1315 23.48% 19.03% 57.49%-1.33 +90.0 2
1947-05-06 @ Shqiponja L 0-245.7 1315 1072 57.49% 19.03% 23.48%+1.33 -90.0 1
1947-05-06 Flamurtari W 3-033.7 1552 1294 74.16% 18.69% 7.15%+2.59 +20.5 12
1947-05-06 @ Partizani L 0-333.7 1294 1552 7.15% 18.69% 74.16%-2.59 -20.5 3
1947-05-06 Dinamo Korca L 2-347.7 1219 1404 30.25% 19.10% 50.65%-0.87 -24.6 5
1947-05-06 @ Tomori W 3-247.7 1404 1219 50.65% 19.10% 30.25%+0.87 +24.6 9
1947-05-06 Partizani W 2-154.8 1748 1572 70.08% 18.89% 11.03%+1.95 +10.6 10
1947-05-06 @ Vllaznia L 1-254.8 1572 1748 11.03% 18.89% 70.08%-1.95 -10.6 12
1947-05-13 17 Nentori W 8-030.2 1562 1240 76.43% 18.50% 5.06%+3.09 +37.0 14
1947-05-13 @ Partizani L 0-830.2 1240 1562 5.06% 18.50% 76.43%-3.09 -37.0 5
1947-05-13 Bashkimi Elbasanas W 2-032.4 1429 1225 71.61% 18.83% 9.56%+2.17 +18.6 11
1947-05-13 @ Dinamo Korca L 0-232.4 1225 1429 9.56% 18.83% 71.61%-2.17 -18.6 1
1947-05-13 Flamurtari W 4-033.3 1315 1273 59.38% 19.10% 21.53%+0.90 +73.7 7
1947-05-13 @ Red Star Durres L 0-433.3 1273 1315 21.53% 19.10% 59.38%-0.90 -73.6 3
1947-05-13 Red Star Durres W 2-044.2 1759 1388 77.79% 18.34% 3.87%+3.48 +7.8 12
1947-05-13 @ Vllaznia L 0-244.2 1388 1759 3.87% 18.34% 77.79%-3.48 -7.8 7
1947-05-20 Flamurtari D 0-049.9 1207 1200 55.69% 19.12% 25.19%+0.63 -6.6 2
1947-05-20 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas D 0-049.9 1200 1207 25.19% 19.12% 55.69%-0.63 +6.6 4
1947-05-20 Partizani D 1-164.2 1447 1599 34.67% 19.13% 46.20%-0.61 +2.1 12
1947-05-20 @ Dinamo Korca D 1-164.2 1599 1447 46.20% 19.13% 34.67%+0.61 -2.1 15
1947-05-20 Shqiponja W 4-029.1 1381 1162 72.40% 18.79% 8.81%+2.29 +32.7 9
1947-05-20 @ Red Star Durres L 0-429.1 1162 1381 8.81% 18.79% 72.40%-2.29 -32.7 2
1947-05-20 17 Nentori L 1-249.6 1194 1203 53.85% 19.13% 27.02%+0.51 -42.3 5
1947-05-20 @ Tomori W 2-149.6 1203 1194 27.02% 19.13% 53.85%-0.51 +42.3 7
1947-05-20 Bashkimi Elbasanas W 5-138.8 1767 1200 81.18% 17.51% 1.31%+5.01 +4.2 14
1947-05-20 @ Vllaznia L 1-538.8 1200 1767 1.31% 17.51% 81.18%-5.01 -4.2 2
1947-05-27 Tomori L 0-148.1 1206 1152 60.65% 19.08% 20.27%+1.00 -50.3 4
1947-05-27 @ Flamurtari W 1-048.1 1152 1206 20.27% 19.08% 60.65%-1.00 +50.3 7
1947-05-27 Red Star Durres W 3-044.3 1196 1413 26.37% 19.06% 54.56%-1.13 +124.3 4
1947-05-27 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas L 0-344.3 1413 1196 54.56% 19.06% 26.37%+1.13 -124.3 9
1947-05-27 Dinamo Korca D 2-258.4 1245 1449 27.94% 19.08% 52.98%-1.02 +3.5 8
1947-05-27 @ 17 Nentori D 2-258.4 1449 1245 52.98% 19.08% 27.94%+1.02 -3.5 13
1947-05-27 Partizani L 0-232.6 1129 1597 7.62% 18.51% 73.87%-3.08 -15.0 2
1947-05-27 @ Shqiponja W 2-032.6 1597 1129 73.87% 18.51% 7.62%+3.08 +15.0 17
1947-05-27 Vllaznia L 2-545.0 1202 1771 4.41% 18.15% 77.44%-3.88 -9.3 7
1947-05-27 @ Tomori W 5-245.0 1771 1202 77.44% 18.15% 4.41%+3.88 +9.3 16
1947-06-03 Bashkimi Elbasanas W 1-044.5 1156 1320 32.93% 19.12% 47.95%-0.71 +40.3 6
1947-06-03 @ Flamurtari L 0-144.5 1320 1156 47.95% 19.12% 32.93%+0.71 -40.3 4
1947-06-03 Vllaznia L 1-445.2 1280 1780 6.39% 18.40% 75.21%-3.34 -15.5 4
1947-06-03 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas W 4-145.2 1780 1280 75.21% 18.40% 6.39%+3.34 +15.4 18
1947-06-03 Tomori W 3-243.9 1249 1193 60.81% 19.08% 20.11%+1.01 +17.3 10
1947-06-03 @ 17 Nentori L 2-343.9 1193 1249 20.11% 19.08% 60.81%-1.01 -17.3 7
1947-06-03 Red Star Durres W 2-043.3 1114 1289 31.57% 19.11% 49.32%-0.79 +78.0 4
1947-06-03 @ Shqiponja L 0-243.3 1289 1114 49.32% 19.11% 31.57%+0.79 -78.0 9
1947-06-03 Dinamo Korca W 3-147.9 1611 1446 69.45% 18.91% 11.64%+1.87 +19.4 19
1947-06-03 @ Partizani L 1-347.9 1446 1611 11.64% 18.91% 69.45%-1.87 -19.4 13
1947-06-10 Shqiponja W 6-029.8 1631 1192 79.26% 18.08% 2.66%+4.01 +14.9 21
1947-06-10 @ Partizani L 0-629.8 1192 1631 2.66% 18.08% 79.26%-4.01 -14.9 4
1947-06-10 17 Nentori W 6-030.5 1427 1266 69.11% 18.92% 11.97%+1.83 +63.7 15
1947-06-10 @ Dinamo Korca L 0-630.5 1266 1427 11.97% 18.92% 69.11%-1.83 -63.7 10
1947-06-10 Bashkimi Elbasanas W 7-035.3 1211 1265 48.27% 19.15% 32.58%+0.16 +177.5 11
1947-06-10 @ Red Star Durres L 0-735.3 1265 1211 32.58% 19.15% 48.27%-0.16 -177.5 4
1947-06-10 Flamurtari W 3-035.7 1176 1196 52.44% 19.14% 28.42%+0.41 +71.5 9
1947-06-10 @ Tomori L 0-335.7 1196 1176 28.42% 19.14% 52.44%-0.41 -71.5 6
1947-06-10 Tomori W 9-036.9 1796 1247 80.95% 17.60% 1.45%+4.87 +11.9 20
1947-06-10 @ Vllaznia L 0-936.9 1247 1796 1.45% 17.60% 80.95%-4.87 -11.9 9
1947-06-17 Bashkimi Elbasanas W 4-241.0 1203 1087 65.97% 19.00% 15.03%+1.48 +21.9 12
1947-06-17 @ 17 Nentori L 2-441.0 1087 1203 15.03% 19.00% 65.97%-1.48 -21.9 4
1947-06-17 Flamurtari D 0-049.8 1177 1125 60.49% 19.08% 20.43%+0.99 -8.8 5
1947-06-17 @ Shqiponja D 0-049.8 1125 1177 20.43% 19.08% 60.49%-0.99 +8.8 7
1947-06-17 Dinamo Korca D 2-262.3 1389 1490 41.65% 19.15% 39.21%-0.22 -0.3 12
1947-06-17 @ Red Star Durres D 2-262.3 1490 1389 39.21% 19.15% 41.65%+0.22 +0.3 16
1947-06-17 Partizani L 2-543.7 1235 1646 10.30% 18.68% 71.03%-2.64 -21.1 9
1947-06-17 @ Tomori W 5-243.7 1646 1235 71.03% 18.68% 10.30%+2.64 +21.1 23
1947-06-17 Shqiponja W 9-034.1 1808 1169 81.98% 17.15% 0.87%+5.58 +7.1 22
1947-06-17 @ Vllaznia L 0-934.1 1169 1808 0.87% 17.15% 81.98%-5.58 -7.1 5
1947-06-24 Vllaznia L 1-538.5 1134 1815 2.38% 17.67% 79.96%-4.76 -7.5 7
1947-06-24 @ Flamurtari W 5-138.5 1815 1134 79.96% 17.67% 2.38%+4.76 +7.5 24
1947-06-24 Tomori W 3-146.2 1065 1214 34.98% 19.13% 45.89%-0.59 +63.4 6
1947-06-24 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas L 1-346.2 1214 1065 45.89% 19.13% 34.98%+0.59 -63.4 9
1947-06-24 Red Star Durres D 0-050.7 1224 1388 33.01% 19.12% 47.87%-0.71 +3.1 13
1947-06-24 @ 17 Nentori D 0-050.7 1388 1224 47.87% 19.12% 33.01%+0.71 -3.1 13
1947-06-24 Dinamo Korca L 0-631.1 1161 1491 15.59% 18.88% 65.53%-2.00 -80.8 5
1947-06-24 @ Shqiponja W 6-031.1 1491 1161 65.53% 18.88% 15.59%+2.00 +80.8 18
1947-07-01 Shqiponja W 3-243.9 1126 1081 59.78% 19.09% 21.13%+0.93 +18.1 9
1947-07-01 @ Flamurtari L 2-343.9 1081 1126 21.13% 19.09% 59.78%-0.93 -18.1 5
1947-07-01 17 Nentori D 2-256.7 1129 1228 42.03% 19.15% 38.82%-0.20 -0.4 7
1947-07-01 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas D 2-256.7 1228 1129 38.82% 19.15% 42.03%+0.20 +0.4 14
1947-07-01 Vllaznia L 0-234.1 1062 1822 1.54% 17.28% 81.18%-5.37 -3.1 5
1947-07-01 @ Shqiponja W 2-034.1 1822 1062 81.18% 17.28% 1.54%+5.37 +3.1 26
1947-07-01 Tomori W 5-239.1 1667 1151 80.52% 17.75% 1.73%+4.61 +3.7 25
1947-07-01 @ Partizani L 2-539.1 1151 1667 1.73% 17.75% 80.52%-4.61 -3.7 9
1947-07-01 Red Star Durres W 3-038.4 1571 1385 70.68% 18.87% 10.46%+2.03 +29.4 20
1947-07-01 @ Dinamo Korca L 0-338.4 1385 1571 10.46% 18.87% 70.68%-2.03 -29.4 13
1947-07-08 Shqiponja W 9-026.8 1601 1059 80.86% 17.63% 1.50%+4.81 +12.4 22
1947-07-08 @ Dinamo Korca L 0-926.8 1059 1601 1.50% 17.63% 80.86%-4.81 -12.4 5
1947-07-08 17 Nentori L 1-254.1 1356 1228 66.89% 18.98% 14.13%+1.58 -52.5 13
1947-07-08 @ Red Star Durres W 2-154.1 1228 1356 14.13% 18.98% 66.89%-1.58 +52.5 16
1947-07-08 Bashkimi Elbasanas D 2-256.7 1147 1128 57.01% 19.12% 23.87%+0.72 -4.8 10
1947-07-08 @ Tomori D 2-256.7 1128 1147 23.87% 19.12% 57.01%-0.72 +4.8 8
1947-07-08 Flamurtari W 5-033.8 1825 1144 82.38% 16.92% 0.69%+5.91 +3.2 28
1947-07-08 @ Vllaznia L 0-533.8 1144 1825 0.69% 16.92% 82.38%-5.91 -3.2 9
1947-07-15 Partizani L 2-441.8 1141 1671 5.45% 18.30% 76.25%-3.57 -8.4 9
1947-07-15 @ Flamurtari W 4-241.8 1671 1141 76.25% 18.30% 5.45%+3.57 +8.4 27
1947-07-15 Shqiponja L 1-252.3 1133 1047 63.55% 19.04% 17.41%+1.25 -49.8 8
1947-07-15 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas W 2-152.3 1047 1133 17.41% 19.04% 63.55%-1.25 +49.8 7
1947-07-15 Vllaznia W 2-166.6 1679 1828 34.92% 19.13% 45.96%-0.60 +36.6 29
1947-07-15 @ Partizani L 1-266.6 1828 1679 45.96% 19.13% 34.92%+0.60 -36.7 28
1947-07-15 Tomori W 5-133.2 1613 1142 79.83% 17.95% 2.23%+4.26 +7.1 24
1947-07-15 @ Dinamo Korca L 1-533.2 1142 1613 2.23% 17.95% 79.83%-4.26 -7.1 10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1947-04-15 6.26% Red Star Durres 1175 5 @ Flamurtari 1457 2
2 1947-07-08 14.13% 17 Nentori 1228 2 @ Red Star Durres 1356 1
3 1947-04-08 16.73% Tomori 1138 3 @ Shqiponja 1232 1
4 1947-07-15 17.41% Shqiponja 1047 2 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas 1133 1
5 1947-05-27 20.27% Tomori 1152 1 @ Flamurtari 1206 0
6 1947-05-06 23.48% @ Shqiponja 1072 2 Bashkimi Elbasanas 1315 0
7 1947-04-08 25.25% @ Flamurtari 1319 5 17 Nentori 1546 1
8 1947-05-27 26.37% @ Bashkimi Elbasanas 1196 3 Red Star Durres 1413 0
9 1947-05-20 27.02% 17 Nentori 1203 2 @ Tomori 1194 1
10 1947-04-22 28.83% Dinamo Korca 1354 3 @ Flamurtari 1330 2
11 1947-06-03 31.57% @ Shqiponja 1114 2 Red Star Durres 1289 0
12 1947-06-03 32.93% @ Flamurtari 1156 1 Bashkimi Elbasanas 1320 0
13 1947-07-15 34.92% @ Partizani 1679 2 Vllaznia 1828 1
14 1947-06-24 34.98% @ Bashkimi Elbasanas 1065 3 Tomori 1214 1
15 1947-04-01 37.86% @ Partizani 1325 3 Bashkimi Elbasanas 1453 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1947-06-10 177.49 @ Red Star Durres 7 1211 48.27% Bashkimi Elbasanas 0 1265 32.58% 19.15%
2 1947-04-08 142.95 Vllaznia 6 1596 50.93% @ 17 Nentori 0 1408 29.97% 19.10%
3 1947-04-08 137.98 @ Flamurtari 5 1319 25.25% 17 Nentori 1 1546 55.70% 19.05%
4 1947-04-15 126.54 Red Star Durres 5 1175 6.26% @ Flamurtari 2 1457 75.11% 18.62%
5 1947-05-27 124.28 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas 3 1196 26.37% Red Star Durres 0 1413 54.56% 19.06%
6 1947-04-01 100.65 @ Partizani 3 1325 37.86% Bashkimi Elbasanas 0 1453 43.00% 19.14%
7 1947-05-06 89.96 @ Shqiponja 2 1072 23.48% Bashkimi Elbasanas 0 1315 57.49% 19.03%
8 1947-04-08 87.18 Tomori 3 1138 16.73% @ Shqiponja 1 1232 64.23% 19.03%
9 1947-06-24 80.83 Dinamo Korca 6 1491 65.53% @ Shqiponja 0 1161 15.59% 18.88%
10 1947-06-03 78.00 @ Shqiponja 2 1114 31.57% Red Star Durres 0 1289 49.32% 19.11%
11 1947-05-13 73.66 @ Red Star Durres 4 1315 59.38% Flamurtari 0 1273 21.53% 19.10%
12 1947-06-10 71.54 @ Tomori 3 1176 52.44% Flamurtari 0 1196 28.42% 19.14%
13 1947-06-10 63.72 @ Dinamo Korca 6 1427 69.11% 17 Nentori 0 1266 11.97% 18.92%
14 1947-06-24 63.41 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas 3 1065 34.98% Tomori 1 1214 45.89% 19.13%
15 1947-04-01 54.75 @ Dinamo Korca 3 1278 42.43% Flamurtari 1 1374 38.42% 19.15%
16 1947-07-08 52.53 17 Nentori 2 1228 14.13% @ Red Star Durres 1 1356 66.89% 18.98%
17 1947-04-22 50.81 @ Red Star Durres 3 1292 61.82% Tomori 0 1225 19.11% 19.07%
18 1947-05-27 50.34 Tomori 1 1152 20.27% @ Flamurtari 0 1206 60.65% 19.08%
19 1947-07-15 49.78 Shqiponja 2 1047 17.41% @ Bashkimi Elbasanas 1 1133 63.55% 19.04%
20 1947-04-29 44.38 @ Tomori 4 1174 61.02% Shqiponja 1 1116 19.90% 19.08%
21 1947-05-20 42.28 17 Nentori 2 1203 27.02% @ Tomori 1 1194 53.85% 19.13%
22 1947-06-03 40.35 @ Flamurtari 1 1156 32.93% Bashkimi Elbasanas 0 1320 47.95% 19.12%
23 1947-04-15 39.87 Partizani 4 1453 50.93% @ 17 Nentori 2 1265 29.97% 19.10%
24 1947-04-22 38.85 Dinamo Korca 3 1354 28.83% @ Flamurtari 2 1330 52.03% 19.14%
25 1947-05-13 37.00 @ Partizani 8 1562 76.43% 17 Nentori 0 1240 5.06% 18.50%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1947-04-22 67.5 @ Dinamo Korca 1 1393 13.72% Vllaznia 1 1748 67.46% 18.82%
2 1947-07-15 66.6 @ Partizani 2 1679 34.92% Vllaznia 1 1828 45.96% 19.13%
3 1947-05-20 64.2 @ Dinamo Korca 1 1447 34.67% Partizani 1 1599 46.20% 19.13%
4 1947-06-17 62.3 @ Red Star Durres 2 1389 41.65% Dinamo Korca 2 1490 39.21% 19.15%
5 1947-04-29 61.4 @ 17 Nentori 3 1254 50.32% Flamurtari 3 1292 30.54% 19.15%
6 1947-04-15 58.5 Red Star Durres 5 1175 6.26% @ Flamurtari 2 1457 75.11% 18.62%
7 1947-05-27 58.4 @ 17 Nentori 2 1245 27.94% Dinamo Korca 2 1449 52.98% 19.08%
8 1947-04-01 57.8 @ Vllaznia 0 1612 75.01% Dinamo Korca 0 1332 6.36% 18.63%
9 1947-07-01 56.7 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas 2 1129 42.03% 17 Nentori 2 1228 38.82% 19.15%
10 1947-07-08 56.7 @ Tomori 2 1147 57.01% Bashkimi Elbasanas 2 1128 23.87% 19.12%
11 1947-04-22 54.9 Dinamo Korca 3 1354 28.83% @ Flamurtari 2 1330 52.03% 19.14%
12 1947-05-06 54.8 @ Vllaznia 2 1748 70.08% Partizani 1 1572 11.03% 18.89%
13 1947-04-15 54.4 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas 1 1352 55.31% Dinamo Korca 1 1349 25.56% 19.13%
14 1947-07-08 54.1 17 Nentori 2 1228 14.13% @ Red Star Durres 1 1356 66.89% 18.98%
15 1947-04-01 52.7 @ Tomori 1 1141 47.62% Red Star Durres 1 1199 33.23% 19.15%
16 1947-07-15 52.3 Shqiponja 2 1047 17.41% @ Bashkimi Elbasanas 1 1133 63.55% 19.04%
17 1947-04-08 52.1 @ Flamurtari 5 1319 25.25% 17 Nentori 1 1546 55.70% 19.05%
18 1947-04-08 51.7 Tomori 3 1138 16.73% @ Shqiponja 1 1232 64.23% 19.03%
19 1947-06-24 50.7 @ 17 Nentori 0 1224 33.01% Red Star Durres 0 1388 47.87% 19.12%
20 1947-05-20 49.9 @ Bashkimi Elbasanas 0 1207 55.69% Flamurtari 0 1200 25.19% 19.12%
21 1947-06-17 49.8 @ Shqiponja 0 1177 60.49% Flamurtari 0 1125 20.43% 19.08%
22 1947-05-20 49.6 17 Nentori 2 1203 27.02% @ Tomori 1 1194 53.85% 19.13%
23 1947-05-27 48.1 Tomori 1 1152 20.27% @ Flamurtari 0 1206 60.65% 19.08%
24 1947-06-03 47.9 @ Partizani 3 1611 69.45% Dinamo Korca 1 1446 11.64% 18.91%
25 1947-05-06 47.7 Dinamo Korca 3 1404 50.65% @ Tomori 2 1219 30.25% 19.10%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1947-07-08 26.8 @ Dinamo Korca 9 1601 80.86% Shqiponja 0 1059 1.50% 17.63%
2 1947-05-20 29.1 @ Red Star Durres 4 1381 72.40% Shqiponja 0 1162 8.81% 18.79%
3 1947-06-10 29.8 @ Partizani 6 1631 79.26% Shqiponja 0 1192 2.66% 18.08%
4 1947-05-13 30.2 @ Partizani 8 1562 76.43% 17 Nentori 0 1240 5.06% 18.50%
5 1947-06-10 30.5 @ Dinamo Korca 6 1427 69.11% 17 Nentori 0 1266 11.97% 18.92%
6 1947-06-24 31.1 Dinamo Korca 6 1491 65.53% @ Shqiponja 0 1161 15.59% 18.88%
7 1947-05-13 32.4 @ Dinamo Korca 2 1429 71.61% Bashkimi Elbasanas 0 1225 9.56% 18.83%
8 1947-05-27 32.6 Partizani 2 1597 73.87% @ Shqiponja 0 1129 7.62% 18.51%
9 1947-04-22 33.2 @ Red Star Durres 3 1292 61.82% Tomori 0 1225 19.11% 19.07%
10 1947-07-15 33.2 @ Dinamo Korca 5 1613 79.83% Tomori 1 1142 2.23% 17.95%
11 1947-05-13 33.3 @ Red Star Durres 4 1315 59.38% Flamurtari 0 1273 21.53% 19.10%
12 1947-05-06 33.7 @ Partizani 3 1552 74.16% Flamurtari 0 1294 7.15% 18.69%
13 1947-07-08 33.8 @ Vllaznia 5 1825 82.38% Flamurtari 0 1144 0.69% 16.92%
14 1947-06-17 34.1 @ Vllaznia 9 1808 81.98% Shqiponja 0 1169 0.87% 17.15%
15 1947-07-01 34.1 Vllaznia 2 1822 81.18% @ Shqiponja 0 1062 1.54% 17.28%
16 1947-04-08 35.0 @ Partizani 7 1425 72.63% Red Star Durres 2 1202 8.59% 18.78%
17 1947-04-29 35.0 @ Vllaznia 6 1737 80.06% 17 Nentori 0 1252 2.06% 17.89%
18 1947-06-10 35.3 @ Red Star Durres 7 1211 48.27% Bashkimi Elbasanas 0 1265 32.58% 19.15%
19 1947-06-10 35.7 @ Tomori 3 1176 52.44% Flamurtari 0 1196 28.42% 19.14%
20 1947-06-10 36.9 @ Vllaznia 9 1796 80.95% Tomori 0 1247 1.45% 17.60%
21 1947-04-29 37.3 @ Tomori 4 1174 61.02% Shqiponja 1 1116 19.90% 19.08%
22 1947-04-22 37.8 @ 17 Nentori 3 1225 63.08% Shqiponja 1 1145 17.87% 19.05%
23 1947-07-01 38.4 @ Dinamo Korca 3 1571 70.68% Red Star Durres 0 1385 10.46% 18.87%
24 1947-06-24 38.5 Vllaznia 5 1815 79.96% @ Flamurtari 1 1134 2.38% 17.67%
25 1947-05-20 38.8 @ Vllaznia 5 1767 81.18% Bashkimi Elbasanas 1 1200 1.31% 17.51%