1958 Kategoria e Parë Season

56 games

Final

Champion

Partizani

19 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1957

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Besa

4.78 points above expected

18 points · 13.22 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vllaznia

2.30 points below expected

11 points · 13.30 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Partizani Champion	14	7	5	2	19	27	12	+15	17.37	+1.63
2	Besa	14	7	4	3	18	17	14	+3	13.22	+4.78
3	17 Nentori	14	4	9	1	17	15	9	+6	14.90	+2.10
4	Dinamo Tirana	14	5	5	4	15	27	18	+9	16.55	-1.55
5	Skenderbeu	14	3	7	4	13	9	15	-6	13.64	-0.64
6	Vllaznia	14	3	5	6	11	14	22	-8	13.30	-2.30
7	Flamurtari	14	3	4	7	10	11	21	-10	11.93	-1.93
8	Lokomotiva Durres	14	3	3	8	9	11	20	-9	11.09	-2.09

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Besa	18	13.22	+4.78
2	17 Nentori	17	14.90	+2.10
3	Partizani	19	17.37	+1.63
4	Skenderbeu	13	13.64	-0.64
5	Dinamo Tirana	15	16.55	-1.55

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vllaznia	11	13.30	-2.30
2	Lokomotiva Durres	9	11.09	-2.09
3	Flamurtari	10	11.93	-1.93
4	Dinamo Tirana	15	16.55	-1.55
5	Skenderbeu	13	13.64	-0.64

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Partizani	1480	19	-24	6	5.9	+0.1
Besa	1362	18	+32	6	5.0	+1.0
17 Nentori	1464	17	+54	6	5.0	+1.0
Dinamo Tirana	1256	15	-68	5	6.8	-1.8
Skenderbeu	1214	13	-119	3	5.1	-2.1
Vllaznia	1236	11	+30	4	3.4	+0.6
Flamurtari	1153	10	+51	5	4.1	+0.9
Lokomotiva Durres	1172	9	+62	5	3.7	+1.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	1N	BES	DT	FLA	LD	PAR	SKE	VLL
17 Nentori	—	0-2-0 2.84	2-0-0 2.45	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.26	0-1-1 2.30	0-2-0 2.90	0-2-0 2.97
Besa	0-2-0 2.38	—	1-1-0 1.82	2-0-0 2.79	2-0-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.96
Dinamo Tirana	0-0-2 2.76	0-1-1 3.40	—	2-0-0 3.44	1-1-0 3.98	0-2-0 2.61	1-1-0 3.14	1-0-1 3.08
Flamurtari	0-1-1 2.31	0-0-2 2.43	0-0-2 1.79	—	1-0-1 2.67	0-1-1 1.79	1-1-0 2.02	1-1-0 2.23
Lokomotiva Durres	0-1-1 1.97	0-0-2 2.61	0-1-1 1.27	1-0-1 2.55	—	0-0-2 1.41	1-1-0 1.86	1-0-1 2.12
Partizani	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.23	0-2-0 2.62	1-1-0 3.45	2-0-0 3.88	—	1-0-1 3.21	1-1-0 3.74
Skenderbeu	0-2-0 2.31	1-1-0 2.55	0-1-1 2.10	0-1-1 3.23	0-1-1 3.36	1-0-1 2.02	—	1-1-0 2.78
Vllaznia	0-2-0 2.28	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.16	0-1-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.11	0-1-1 1.52	0-1-1 2.43	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.44	+3.6
Allowed	0.71	-6.9
Differential	0.81	+3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	17.86%	5.36%	7.14%	1.79%	2.68%	0.89%	35.71%
1	5.36%	16.07%	8.04%	1.79%	0.89%	0.89%	33.04%
2	7.14%	8.04%	3.57%	—	0.89%	—	19.64%
3	1.79%	1.79%	—	—	0.89%	—	4.46%
4	2.68%	0.89%	0.89%	0.89%	—	—	5.36%
5+	0.89%	0.89%	—	—	—	—	1.79%
Total	35.71%	33.04%	19.64%	4.46%	5.36%	1.79%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.17	+0.00
SD	1.25	1.25	1.83
CV	1.07	1.07	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	35.71%	—	—	—	—	—	35.71%
1	14.29%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	35.71%
2	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	64.29%	21.43%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.07	0.64	+0.43
SD	1.14	1.15	1.34
CV	1.07	1.79	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
1	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
2	21.43%	21.43%	—	—	—	—	42.86%
3	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.71%	42.86%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.00	+0.21
SD	1.05	1.11	1.81
CV	0.87	1.11	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
1	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	28.57%	42.86%	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.93	1.29	+0.64
SD	2.02	1.33	2.59
CV	1.05	1.03	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	35.71%
1	7.14%	21.43%	21.43%	—	—	—	50.00%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	28.57%	35.71%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.79	1.50	-0.71
SD	0.70	1.16	1.64
CV	0.89	0.77	—
Max	2	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	42.86%
1	—	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
2	—	21.43%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	42.86%	28.57%	14.29%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.79	1.43	-0.64
SD	0.80	0.94	1.22
CV	1.02	0.66	—
Max	2	3	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
1	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
2	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.86%	28.57%	28.57%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.93	0.86	+1.07
SD	1.44	0.86	1.64
CV	0.75	1.01	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	35.71%	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	50.00%
1	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
2	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	57.14%	14.29%	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.64	1.07	-0.43
SD	0.74	1.64	1.87
CV	1.16	1.53	—
Max	2	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
1	—	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	42.86%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	42.86%	14.29%	14.29%	—	7.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.57	-0.57
SD	1.11	1.60	1.70
CV	1.11	1.02	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Partizani	1486	19	17.37	+1.63	84.0%	12	12	16	18	19	21	23
17 Nentori	1464	17	14.90	+2.10	84.0%	9	10	13	15	17	19	21
Besa	1362	18	13.22	+4.78	100.0%	8	9	11	14	15	16	18
Dinamo Tirana	1256	15	16.55	-1.55	33.0%	9	13	15	16	18	20	22
Vllaznia	1236	11	13.30	-2.30	17.0%	7	9	12	13	15	16	21
Skenderbeu	1214	13	13.64	-0.64	39.0%	7	9	12	14	15	18	19
Lokomotiva Durres	1172	9	11.09	-2.09	26.0%	6	8	9	11	13	15	16
Flamurtari	1153	10	11.93	-1.93	30.0%	6	8	10	12	14	16	17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+44.64%

Strong Edge

53.57%37.50%8.93%

Elo Value

Home Edge

192 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0166.85500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.05 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.87+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.6

Top-Heavy

12348

Champion Preseason Odds

53%

Partizani, 1st of 8

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.07/gm

Tight Race

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 1.94 * Some Luck: 1.94 to 2.91 * Lucky: 2.91 to 3.88 * Wild Swing: 3.88 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.17 * Close: 1.17 to 1.75 * Off: 1.75 to 2.34 * Way Off: 2.34 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.40 points

Some Luck

02.426

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

01.463

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 93.75%

100.00%

Besa

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected

17.00%

Vllaznia

06.25%50

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 8

Minimal Outliers

00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Even

00.120.210.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 128.98

1.29

Coin-Flip Parity

0.91.351.82.153

Interquartile Edge

74%

Clear Edge

50%63.5%72.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Clear Edge

50%91%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Some Drama

0%58%100%

Blowouts

Expected

14%

Frequent

0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.65

Lopsided

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.04

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.29

Weak Carryover

00.410.590.731

Upset Rate

Expected

Chalky

0%11%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

Solid Favorites

0%9%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.18 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.18 to 0.27 * Above Noise: 0.27 to 0.36 * Well Above Noise: 0.36 and up.

Probability calibration

0.63

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.84

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.084

Well Within Noise

00.1800.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Partizani	53.00%	25.00%	10.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Besa	3.00%	7.00%	15.00%	20.00%	16.00%	14.00%	13.00%	12.00%
17 Nentori	9.00%	26.00%	17.00%	16.00%	10.00%	14.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Dinamo Tirana	30.00%	25.00%	22.00%	9.00%	8.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Skenderbeu	2.00%	7.00%	14.00%	21.00%	19.00%	15.00%	13.00%	9.00%
Vllaznia	1.00%	5.00%	12.00%	17.00%	21.00%	16.00%	17.00%	11.00%
Flamurtari	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	19.00%	24.00%	26.00%
Lokomotiva Durres	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	12.00%	15.00%	27.00%	35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Partizani	99.00%	1.00%
Dinamo Tirana	98.00%	2.00%
17 Nentori	96.00%	4.00%
Skenderbeu	91.00%	9.00%
Vllaznia	89.00%	11.00%
Besa	88.00%	12.00%
Flamurtari	74.00%	26.00%
Lokomotiva Durres	65.00%	35.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1958-04-01	Flamurtari	W 3-0	31.3	1417	1238	61.00%	36.46%	2.54%	+1.81	+19.3	2
1958-04-01	@ Partizani	L 0-3	31.3	1238	1417	2.54%	36.46%	61.00%	-1.81	-19.3	0
1958-04-01	Dinamo Tirana	D 1-1	50.5	1275	1430	42.13%	39.77%	18.10%	+0.06	-6.3	1
1958-04-01	@ Skenderbeu	D 1-1	50.5	1430	1275	18.10%	39.77%	42.13%	-0.06	+6.3	1
1958-04-01	Besa	L 1-2	57.2	1239	1144	58.13%	37.84%	4.03%	+1.37	-75.5	0
1958-04-01	@ Lokomotiva Durres	W 2-1	57.2	1144	1239	4.03%	37.84%	58.13%	-1.37	+75.5	2
1958-04-01	Lokomotiva Durres	W 2-1	40.7	1305	1164	59.76%	37.13%	3.11%	+1.61	+8.2	2
1958-04-01	@ Vllaznia	L 1-2	40.7	1164	1305	3.11%	37.13%	59.76%	-1.61	-8.1	0
1958-04-08	Flamurtari	W 2-0	33.9	1220	1218	54.03%	38.96%	7.01%	+0.88	+32.6	4
1958-04-08	@ Besa	L 0-2	33.9	1218	1220	7.01%	38.96%	54.03%	-0.88	-32.6	0
1958-04-08	Vllaznia	W 1-0	39.6	1186	1313	44.80%	39.73%	15.47%	+0.20	+30.1	2
1958-04-08	@ Flamurtari	L 0-1	39.6	1313	1186	15.47%	39.73%	44.80%	-0.20	-30.1	2
1958-04-08	Lokomotiva Durres	W 1-0	35.0	1293	1155	59.62%	37.20%	3.19%	+1.59	+8.8	2
1958-04-08	@ 17 Nentori	L 0-1	35.0	1155	1293	3.19%	37.20%	59.62%	-1.59	-8.8	0
1958-04-08	Skenderbeu	W 4-1	36.6	1437	1269	60.62%	36.68%	2.70%	+1.75	+17.4	4
1958-04-08	@ Partizani	L 1-4	36.6	1269	1437	2.70%	36.68%	60.62%	-1.75	-17.4	1
1958-04-15	Lokomotiva Durres	W 2-0	32.5	1252	1147	58.53%	37.68%	3.79%	+1.42	+19.6	6
1958-04-15	@ Besa	L 0-2	32.5	1147	1252	3.79%	37.68%	58.53%	-1.42	-19.6	0
1958-04-15	Skenderbeu	W 5-0	31.6	1436	1252	61.14%	36.38%	2.48%	+1.83	+30.4	3
1958-04-15	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 0-5	31.6	1252	1436	2.48%	36.38%	61.14%	-1.83	-30.4	1
1958-04-15	Partizani	D 1-1	50.1	1216	1454	31.85%	39.63%	28.52%	-0.37	-0.8	3
1958-04-15	@ Flamurtari	D 1-1	50.1	1454	1216	28.52%	39.63%	31.85%	+0.37	+0.8	5
1958-04-15	Vllaznia	W 2-1	45.9	1127	1283	41.96%	39.77%	18.27%	+0.06	+31.6	2
1958-04-15	@ Lokomotiva Durres	L 1-2	45.9	1283	1127	18.27%	39.77%	41.96%	-0.06	-31.6	2
1958-04-22	Skenderbeu	D 0-0	44.4	1272	1221	56.37%	38.42%	5.21%	+1.14	-18.4	7
1958-04-22	@ Besa	D 0-0	44.4	1221	1272	5.21%	38.42%	56.37%	-1.14	+18.4	2
1958-04-22	Partizani	D 0-0	51.0	1467	1455	54.54%	38.86%	6.60%	+0.93	-16.8	4
1958-04-22	@ Dinamo Tirana	D 0-0	51.0	1455	1467	6.60%	38.86%	54.54%	-0.93	+16.8	6
1958-04-22	17 Nentori	D 0-0	44.1	1215	1302	48.34%	39.59%	12.07%	+0.42	-11.5	4
1958-04-22	@ Flamurtari	D 0-0	44.1	1302	1215	12.07%	39.59%	48.34%	-0.42	+11.5	3
1958-04-22	Vllaznia	W 2-0	34.3	1240	1252	53.30%	39.08%	7.61%	+0.81	+34.8	4
1958-04-22	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-2	34.3	1252	1240	7.61%	39.08%	53.30%	-0.81	-34.8	2
1958-04-29	Dinamo Tirana	L 1-2	50.7	1203	1450	30.75%	39.59%	29.65%	-0.42	-43.4	4
1958-04-29	@ Flamurtari	W 2-1	50.7	1450	1203	29.65%	39.59%	30.75%	+0.42	+43.4	6
1958-04-29	Besa	D 1-1	49.7	1313	1254	56.73%	38.32%	4.95%	+1.18	-16.8	4
1958-04-29	@ 17 Nentori	D 1-1	49.7	1254	1313	4.95%	38.32%	56.73%	-1.18	+16.8	8
1958-04-29	Partizani	L 0-1	42.1	1159	1472	22.10%	39.16%	38.75%	-0.76	-37.4	2
1958-04-29	@ Lokomotiva Durres	W 1-0	42.1	1472	1159	38.75%	39.16%	22.10%	+0.76	+37.4	8
1958-04-29	17 Nentori	D 1-1	49.1	1217	1296	48.89%	39.55%	11.56%	+0.46	-10.7	3
1958-04-29	@ Vllaznia	D 1-1	49.1	1296	1217	11.56%	39.55%	48.89%	-0.46	+10.7	5
1958-05-06	Flamurtari	W 2-0	32.2	1307	1160	59.95%	37.03%	3.02%	+1.64	+15.8	7
1958-05-06	@ 17 Nentori	L 0-2	32.2	1160	1307	3.02%	37.03%	59.95%	-1.64	-15.8	4
1958-05-06	Dinamo Tirana	D 2-2	64.4	1509	1493	54.76%	38.82%	6.42%	+0.95	-11.3	9
1958-05-06	@ Partizani	D 2-2	64.4	1493	1509	6.42%	38.82%	54.76%	-0.95	+11.3	7
1958-05-06	Besa	W 2-0	34.2	1274	1270	54.16%	38.94%	6.91%	+0.89	+32.3	6
1958-05-06	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-2	34.2	1270	1274	6.91%	38.94%	54.16%	-0.89	-32.3	8
1958-05-06	Skenderbeu	D 0-0	44.1	1206	1307	47.21%	39.65%	13.14%	+0.35	-10.7	4
1958-05-06	@ Vllaznia	D 0-0	44.1	1307	1206	13.14%	39.65%	47.21%	-0.35	+10.7	7
1958-05-13	Besa	L 1-2	54.6	1144	1238	47.75%	39.62%	12.63%	+0.38	-61.1	4
1958-05-13	@ Flamurtari	W 2-1	54.6	1238	1144	12.63%	39.62%	47.75%	-0.38	+61.1	10
1958-05-13	Partizani	W 1-0	44.8	1317	1498	39.24%	39.77%	20.99%	-0.07	+36.5	9
1958-05-13	@ Skenderbeu	L 0-1	44.8	1498	1317	20.99%	39.77%	39.24%	+0.07	-36.5	9
1958-05-13	17 Nentori	D 0-0	43.9	1121	1323	36.70%	39.74%	23.56%	-0.18	-3.7	3
1958-05-13	@ Lokomotiva Durres	D 0-0	43.9	1323	1121	23.56%	39.74%	36.70%	+0.18	+3.7	8
1958-05-13	Flamurtari	D 1-1	49.3	1195	1083	58.76%	37.59%	3.65%	+1.46	-18.3	5
1958-05-13	@ Vllaznia	D 1-1	49.3	1083	1195	3.65%	37.59%	58.76%	-1.46	+18.3	5
1958-05-20	17 Nentori	W 4-2	44.2	1461	1326	59.54%	37.23%	3.23%	+1.57	+13.1	11
1958-05-20	@ Partizani	L 2-4	44.2	1326	1461	3.23%	37.23%	59.54%	-1.57	-13.1	8
1958-05-20	Flamurtari	D 1-1	50.3	1354	1101	63.18%	35.06%	1.76%	+2.19	-21.0	10
1958-05-20	@ Skenderbeu	D 1-1	50.3	1101	1354	1.76%	35.06%	63.18%	-2.19	+21.1	6
1958-05-20	Dinamo Tirana	D 1-1	50.1	1118	1504	14.78%	38.40%	46.83%	-1.15	+8.8	4
1958-05-20	@ Lokomotiva Durres	D 1-1	50.1	1504	1118	46.83%	38.40%	14.78%	+1.15	-8.8	8
1958-05-20	Besa	W 2-0	36.6	1177	1299	45.32%	39.72%	14.97%	+0.23	+55.6	7
1958-05-20	@ Vllaznia	L 0-2	36.6	1299	1177	14.97%	39.72%	45.32%	-0.23	-55.6	10
1958-05-27	Dinamo Tirana	W 2-0	43.3	1244	1496	29.96%	39.56%	30.48%	-0.44	+86.4	12
1958-05-27	@ Besa	L 0-2	43.3	1496	1244	30.48%	39.56%	29.96%	+0.44	-86.4	8
1958-05-27	Vllaznia	W 6-1	33.5	1409	1233	60.90%	36.52%	2.58%	+1.79	+26.2	10
1958-05-27	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 1-6	33.5	1233	1409	2.58%	36.52%	60.90%	-1.79	-26.2	7
1958-05-27	Lokomotiva Durres	W 2-1	42.2	1122	1126	53.74%	39.01%	7.25%	+0.85	+16.8	8
1958-05-27	@ Flamurtari	L 1-2	42.2	1126	1122	7.25%	39.01%	53.74%	-0.85	-16.8	4
1958-05-27	Skenderbeu	D 0-0	45.1	1313	1333	52.88%	39.15%	7.97%	+0.77	-15.3	9
1958-05-27	@ 17 Nentori	D 0-0	45.1	1333	1313	7.97%	39.15%	52.88%	-0.77	+15.3	11
1958-06-03	Dinamo Tirana	W 4-0	37.1	1298	1436	43.86%	39.75%	16.39%	+0.15	+111.8	11
1958-06-03	@ 17 Nentori	L 0-4	37.1	1436	1298	16.39%	39.75%	43.86%	-0.15	-111.8	10
1958-06-03	Besa	W 4-0	33.7	1474	1330	59.86%	37.08%	3.06%	+1.62	+30.5	13
1958-06-03	@ Partizani	L 0-4	33.7	1330	1474	3.06%	37.08%	59.86%	-1.62	-30.5	12
1958-06-03	Skenderbeu	W 2-1	49.0	1110	1348	31.86%	39.63%	28.52%	-0.37	+41.5	6
1958-06-03	@ Lokomotiva Durres	L 1-2	49.0	1348	1110	28.52%	39.63%	31.86%	+0.37	-41.5	11
1958-06-03	Partizani	D 1-1	50.7	1206	1505	23.84%	39.27%	36.88%	-0.69	+3.2	8
1958-06-03	@ Vllaznia	D 1-1	50.7	1505	1206	36.88%	39.27%	23.84%	+0.69	-3.2	14
1958-06-10	Vllaznia	W 3-1	38.4	1299	1210	57.94%	37.91%	4.15%	+1.34	+18.4	14
1958-06-10	@ Besa	L 1-3	38.4	1210	1299	4.15%	37.91%	57.94%	-1.34	-18.4	8
1958-06-10	Lokomotiva Durres	W 3-1	37.5	1324	1151	60.77%	36.59%	2.64%	+1.77	+12.0	12
1958-06-10	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 1-3	37.5	1151	1324	2.64%	36.59%	60.77%	-1.77	-12.0	6
1958-06-10	Skenderbeu	W 2-0	37.9	1139	1307	40.72%	39.77%	19.50%	+0.00	+65.8	10
1958-06-10	@ Flamurtari	L 0-2	37.9	1307	1139	19.50%	39.77%	40.72%	+0.00	-65.8	11
1958-06-10	Partizani	D 2-2	60.9	1410	1502	47.94%	39.61%	12.45%	+0.39	-7.5	12
1958-06-10	@ 17 Nentori	D 2-2	60.9	1502	1410	12.45%	39.61%	47.94%	-0.39	+7.5	15
1958-06-17	17 Nentori	D 1-1	50.8	1318	1402	48.50%	39.58%	11.92%	+0.43	-10.4	15
1958-06-17	@ Besa	D 1-1	50.8	1402	1318	11.92%	39.58%	48.50%	-0.43	+10.4	13
1958-06-17	Flamurtari	W 4-0	30.7	1336	1205	59.40%	37.30%	3.30%	+1.55	+32.7	14
1958-06-17	@ Dinamo Tirana	L 0-4	30.7	1205	1336	3.30%	37.30%	59.40%	-1.55	-32.7	10
1958-06-17	Vllaznia	D 0-0	45.8	1413	1191	62.27%	35.68%	2.05%	+2.03	-23.0	14
1958-06-17	@ 17 Nentori	D 0-0	45.8	1191	1413	2.05%	35.68%	62.27%	-2.03	+23.0	9
1958-06-17	Lokomotiva Durres	W 3-0	29.6	1509	1139	66.56%	32.43%	1.01%	+2.80	+6.8	17
1958-06-17	@ Partizani	L 0-3	29.6	1139	1509	1.01%	32.43%	66.56%	-2.80	-6.8	6
1958-06-24	Besa	D 0-0	45.6	1368	1307	56.80%	38.30%	4.91%	+1.19	-18.8	15
1958-06-24	@ Dinamo Tirana	D 0-0	45.6	1307	1368	4.91%	38.30%	56.80%	-1.19	+18.8	16
1958-06-24	17 Nentori	D 0-0	44.8	1241	1390	42.69%	39.77%	17.55%	+0.09	-7.5	12
1958-06-24	@ Skenderbeu	D 0-0	44.8	1390	1241	17.55%	39.77%	42.69%	-0.09	+7.5	15
1958-06-24	Flamurtari	W 2-1	42.8	1132	1172	51.64%	39.31%	9.05%	+0.66	+19.7	8
1958-06-24	@ Lokomotiva Durres	L 1-2	42.8	1172	1132	9.05%	39.31%	51.64%	-0.66	-19.7	10
1958-06-24	Dinamo Tirana	W 4-3	52.6	1214	1350	44.06%	39.75%	16.19%	+0.16	+27.1	11
1958-06-24	@ Vllaznia	L 3-4	52.6	1350	1214	16.19%	39.75%	44.06%	-0.16	-27.1	15
1958-07-01	Partizani	W 2-1	51.5	1326	1516	38.16%	39.76%	22.08%	-0.12	+35.5	18
1958-07-01	@ Besa	L 1-2	51.5	1516	1326	22.08%	39.76%	38.16%	+0.12	-35.5	17
1958-07-01	17 Nentori	L 0-1	51.4	1323	1397	49.25%	39.53%	11.22%	+0.48	-66.8	15
1958-07-01	@ Dinamo Tirana	W 1-0	51.4	1397	1323	11.22%	39.53%	49.25%	-0.48	+66.8	17
1958-07-01	Vllaznia	W 1-0	35.9	1480	1241	62.79%	35.33%	1.88%	+2.12	+5.1	19
1958-07-01	@ Partizani	L 0-1	35.9	1241	1480	1.88%	35.33%	62.79%	-2.12	-5.1	11
1958-07-01	Lokomotiva Durres	D 0-0	44.3	1233	1152	57.61%	38.03%	4.36%	+1.30	-19.5	13
1958-07-01	@ Skenderbeu	D 0-0	44.3	1152	1233	4.36%	38.03%	57.61%	-1.30	+19.5	9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1958-04-01	4.03%	Besa	1144	2	@ Lokomotiva Durres	1239	1
2	1958-07-01	11.22%	17 Nentori	1397	1	@ Dinamo Tirana	1323	0
3	1958-05-13	12.63%	Besa	1238	2	@ Flamurtari	1144	1
4	1958-04-29	29.65%	Dinamo Tirana	1450	2	@ Flamurtari	1203	1
5	1958-05-27	29.96%	@ Besa	1244	2	Dinamo Tirana	1496	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1958-06-03	111.83	@ 17 Nentori	4	1298	43.86%	Dinamo Tirana	0	1436	16.39%	39.75%
2	1958-05-27	86.35	@ Besa	2	1244	29.96%	Dinamo Tirana	0	1496	30.48%	39.56%
3	1958-04-01	75.54	Besa	2	1144	4.03%	@ Lokomotiva Durres	1	1239	58.13%	37.84%
4	1958-07-01	66.79	17 Nentori	1	1397	11.22%	@ Dinamo Tirana	0	1323	49.25%	39.53%
5	1958-06-10	65.80	@ Flamurtari	2	1139	40.72%	Skenderbeu	0	1307	19.50%	39.77%
6	1958-05-13	61.06	Besa	2	1238	12.63%	@ Flamurtari	1	1144	47.75%	39.62%
7	1958-05-20	55.58	@ Vllaznia	2	1177	45.32%	Besa	0	1299	14.97%	39.72%
8	1958-04-29	43.43	Dinamo Tirana	2	1450	29.65%	@ Flamurtari	1	1203	30.75%	39.59%
9	1958-06-03	41.50	@ Lokomotiva Durres	2	1110	31.86%	Skenderbeu	1	1348	28.52%	39.63%
10	1958-04-29	37.40	Partizani	1	1472	38.75%	@ Lokomotiva Durres	0	1159	22.10%	39.16%
11	1958-05-13	36.53	@ Skenderbeu	1	1317	39.24%	Partizani	0	1498	20.99%	39.77%
12	1958-07-01	35.53	@ Besa	2	1326	38.16%	Partizani	1	1516	22.08%	39.76%
13	1958-04-22	34.75	@ Skenderbeu	2	1240	53.30%	Vllaznia	0	1252	7.61%	39.08%
14	1958-06-17	32.70	@ Dinamo Tirana	4	1336	59.40%	Flamurtari	0	1205	3.30%	37.30%
15	1958-04-08	32.64	@ Besa	2	1220	54.03%	Flamurtari	0	1218	7.01%	38.96%
16	1958-05-06	32.28	@ Skenderbeu	2	1274	54.16%	Besa	0	1270	6.91%	38.94%
17	1958-04-15	31.58	@ Lokomotiva Durres	2	1127	41.96%	Vllaznia	1	1283	18.27%	39.77%
18	1958-06-03	30.46	@ Partizani	4	1474	59.86%	Besa	0	1330	3.06%	37.08%
19	1958-04-15	30.40	@ Dinamo Tirana	5	1436	61.14%	Skenderbeu	0	1252	2.48%	36.38%
20	1958-04-08	30.11	@ Flamurtari	1	1186	44.80%	Vllaznia	0	1313	15.47%	39.73%
21	1958-06-24	27.08	@ Vllaznia	4	1214	44.06%	Dinamo Tirana	3	1350	16.19%	39.75%
22	1958-05-27	26.24	@ Dinamo Tirana	6	1409	60.90%	Vllaznia	1	1233	2.58%	36.52%
23	1958-06-17	23.04	@ 17 Nentori	0	1413	62.27%	Vllaznia	0	1191	2.05%	35.68%
24	1958-05-20	21.05	Flamurtari	1	1101	1.76%	@ Skenderbeu	1	1354	63.18%	35.06%
25	1958-06-24	19.72	@ Lokomotiva Durres	2	1132	51.64%	Flamurtari	1	1172	9.05%	39.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1958-05-06	64.4	@ Partizani	2	1509	54.76%	Dinamo Tirana	2	1493	6.42%	38.82%
2	1958-06-10	60.9	@ 17 Nentori	2	1410	47.94%	Partizani	2	1502	12.45%	39.61%
3	1958-04-01	57.2	Besa	2	1144	4.03%	@ Lokomotiva Durres	1	1239	58.13%	37.84%
4	1958-05-13	54.6	Besa	2	1238	12.63%	@ Flamurtari	1	1144	47.75%	39.62%
5	1958-06-24	52.6	@ Vllaznia	4	1214	44.06%	Dinamo Tirana	3	1350	16.19%	39.75%
6	1958-07-01	51.5	@ Besa	2	1326	38.16%	Partizani	1	1516	22.08%	39.76%
7	1958-07-01	51.4	17 Nentori	1	1397	11.22%	@ Dinamo Tirana	0	1323	49.25%	39.53%
8	1958-04-22	51.0	@ Dinamo Tirana	0	1467	54.54%	Partizani	0	1455	6.60%	38.86%
9	1958-06-17	50.8	@ Besa	1	1318	48.50%	17 Nentori	1	1402	11.92%	39.58%
10	1958-04-29	50.7	Dinamo Tirana	2	1450	29.65%	@ Flamurtari	1	1203	30.75%	39.59%
11	1958-06-03	50.7	@ Vllaznia	1	1206	23.84%	Partizani	1	1505	36.88%	39.27%
12	1958-04-01	50.5	@ Skenderbeu	1	1275	42.13%	Dinamo Tirana	1	1430	18.10%	39.77%
13	1958-05-20	50.3	@ Skenderbeu	1	1354	63.18%	Flamurtari	1	1101	1.76%	35.06%
14	1958-04-15	50.1	@ Flamurtari	1	1216	31.85%	Partizani	1	1454	28.52%	39.63%
15	1958-05-20	50.1	@ Lokomotiva Durres	1	1118	14.78%	Dinamo Tirana	1	1504	46.83%	38.40%
16	1958-04-29	49.7	@ 17 Nentori	1	1313	56.73%	Besa	1	1254	4.95%	38.32%
17	1958-05-13	49.3	@ Vllaznia	1	1195	58.76%	Flamurtari	1	1083	3.65%	37.59%
18	1958-04-29	49.1	@ Vllaznia	1	1217	48.89%	17 Nentori	1	1296	11.56%	39.55%
19	1958-06-03	49.0	@ Lokomotiva Durres	2	1110	31.86%	Skenderbeu	1	1348	28.52%	39.63%
20	1958-04-15	45.9	@ Lokomotiva Durres	2	1127	41.96%	Vllaznia	1	1283	18.27%	39.77%
21	1958-06-17	45.8	@ 17 Nentori	0	1413	62.27%	Vllaznia	0	1191	2.05%	35.68%
22	1958-06-24	45.6	@ Dinamo Tirana	0	1368	56.80%	Besa	0	1307	4.91%	38.30%
23	1958-05-27	45.1	@ 17 Nentori	0	1313	52.88%	Skenderbeu	0	1333	7.97%	39.15%
24	1958-05-13	44.8	@ Skenderbeu	1	1317	39.24%	Partizani	0	1498	20.99%	39.77%
25	1958-06-24	44.8	@ Skenderbeu	0	1241	42.69%	17 Nentori	0	1390	17.55%	39.77%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1958-06-17	29.6	@ Partizani	3	1509	66.56%	Lokomotiva Durres	0	1139	1.01%	32.43%
2	1958-06-17	30.7	@ Dinamo Tirana	4	1336	59.40%	Flamurtari	0	1205	3.30%	37.30%
3	1958-04-01	31.3	@ Partizani	3	1417	61.00%	Flamurtari	0	1238	2.54%	36.46%
4	1958-04-15	31.6	@ Dinamo Tirana	5	1436	61.14%	Skenderbeu	0	1252	2.48%	36.38%
5	1958-05-06	32.2	@ 17 Nentori	2	1307	59.95%	Flamurtari	0	1160	3.02%	37.03%
6	1958-04-15	32.5	@ Besa	2	1252	58.53%	Lokomotiva Durres	0	1147	3.79%	37.68%
7	1958-05-27	33.5	@ Dinamo Tirana	6	1409	60.90%	Vllaznia	1	1233	2.58%	36.52%
8	1958-06-03	33.7	@ Partizani	4	1474	59.86%	Besa	0	1330	3.06%	37.08%
9	1958-04-08	33.9	@ Besa	2	1220	54.03%	Flamurtari	0	1218	7.01%	38.96%
10	1958-05-06	34.2	@ Skenderbeu	2	1274	54.16%	Besa	0	1270	6.91%	38.94%
11	1958-04-22	34.3	@ Skenderbeu	2	1240	53.30%	Vllaznia	0	1252	7.61%	39.08%
12	1958-04-08	35.0	@ 17 Nentori	1	1293	59.62%	Lokomotiva Durres	0	1155	3.19%	37.20%
13	1958-07-01	35.9	@ Partizani	1	1480	62.79%	Vllaznia	0	1241	1.88%	35.33%
14	1958-04-08	36.6	@ Partizani	4	1437	60.62%	Skenderbeu	1	1269	2.70%	36.68%
15	1958-05-20	36.6	@ Vllaznia	2	1177	45.32%	Besa	0	1299	14.97%	39.72%
16	1958-06-03	37.1	@ 17 Nentori	4	1298	43.86%	Dinamo Tirana	0	1436	16.39%	39.75%
17	1958-06-10	37.5	@ Dinamo Tirana	3	1324	60.77%	Lokomotiva Durres	1	1151	2.64%	36.59%
18	1958-06-10	37.9	@ Flamurtari	2	1139	40.72%	Skenderbeu	0	1307	19.50%	39.77%
19	1958-06-10	38.4	@ Besa	3	1299	57.94%	Vllaznia	1	1210	4.15%	37.91%
20	1958-04-08	39.6	@ Flamurtari	1	1186	44.80%	Vllaznia	0	1313	15.47%	39.73%
21	1958-04-01	40.7	@ Vllaznia	2	1305	59.76%	Lokomotiva Durres	1	1164	3.11%	37.13%
22	1958-04-29	42.1	Partizani	1	1472	38.75%	@ Lokomotiva Durres	0	1159	22.10%	39.16%
23	1958-05-27	42.2	@ Flamurtari	2	1122	53.74%	Lokomotiva Durres	1	1126	7.25%	39.01%
24	1958-06-24	42.8	@ Lokomotiva Durres	2	1132	51.64%	Flamurtari	1	1172	9.05%	39.31%
25	1958-05-27	43.3	@ Besa	2	1244	29.96%	Dinamo Tirana	0	1496	30.48%	39.56%