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1986-87 Kategoria e Parë Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Partizani

36 points · 14th Title

Last Title: 1980-81

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Partizani

5.49 points above expected

36 points · 30.51 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Traktori

8.47 points below expected

12 points · 20.47 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Partizani Champion 26 15 6 5 36 43 18 +25 30.51 +5.49
2 Flamurtari* 26 14 8 4 33 40 21 +19 29.12 +3.88
3 Vllaznia 26 12 8 6 32 31 22 +9 29.21 +2.79
4 Dinamo Tirana* 26 13 8 5 31 36 23 +13 29.63 +1.37
5 Luftetari 26 9 8 9 26 26 24 +2 24.68 +1.32
6 17 Nentori* 26 9 10 7 25 43 29 +14 26.90 -1.90
7 Apolonia* 26 7 15 4 23 24 27 -3 18.64 +4.36
8 Labinoti 26 7 9 10 23 24 28 -4 24.17 -1.17
9 Lokomotiva Durres 26 6 10 10 22 22 30 -8 25.96 -3.96
10 Besa 26 4 14 8 22 21 31 -10 22.27 -0.27
11 Tomori 26 6 10 10 22 28 39 -11 22.57 -0.57
12 Skenderbeu 26 6 9 11 21 25 28 -3 21.76 -0.76
13 Naftetari 26 7 7 12 21 17 32 -15 23.11 -2.11
14 Traktori 26 4 4 18 12 13 41 -28 20.47 -8.47

* Point deductions: 17 Nentori (-3 pts), Apolonia (-6 pts), Dinamo Tirana (-3 pts), Flamurtari (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Partizani 36 30.51 +5.49
2 Apolonia 23 18.64 +4.36
3 Flamurtari 33 29.12 +3.88
4 Vllaznia 32 29.21 +2.79
5 Dinamo Tirana 31 29.63 +1.37

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Traktori 12 20.47 -8.47
2 Lokomotiva Durres 22 25.96 -3.96
3 Naftetari 21 23.11 -2.11
4 17 Nentori 25 26.90 -1.90
5 Labinoti 23 24.17 -1.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Luftetari 3 Sep 14 – Sep 28 1 in 123
2 Apolonia 3 Aug 31 – Sep 14 1 in 104
3 Flamurtari 4 Sep 21 – Oct 19 1 in 95
4 Vllaznia 3 Sep 28 – Oct 19 1 in 32
5 Dinamo Tirana 4 Nov 23 – Feb 25 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Traktori 7 Aug 31 – Oct 26 1 in 239
2 Skenderbeu 4 Sep 7 – Sep 28 1 in 38
3 17 Nentori 2 Feb 22 – Feb 25 1 in 33
4 Lokomotiva Durres 2 Sep 7 – Sep 14 1 in 28
5 Besa 2 Oct 19 – Oct 26 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Apolonia 13 Oct 26 – Apr 5 1 in 412
2 Flamurtari 16 Sep 21 – Mar 29 1 in 79
3 Besa 5 Sep 7 – Oct 4 1 in 36
4 Labinoti 4 Dec 7 – Mar 1 1 in 16
5 Vllaznia 8 Aug 31 – Oct 26 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Tirana 7 Sep 7 – Oct 26 1 in 111
2 Labinoti 11 Oct 26 – Mar 15 1 in 54
3 Apolonia 9 Feb 22 – Apr 19 1 in 39
4 17 Nentori 8 Nov 2 – Feb 25 1 in 37
5 Besa 8 Aug 31 – Oct 26 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Partizani 1448 36 -2 6 6.1 -0.1
Flamurtari 1436 36 -9 5 5.7 -0.7
Dinamo Tirana 1437 34 -1 6 5.3 +0.7
Vllaznia 1378 32 +33 8 5.4 +2.6
Apolonia 1250 29 +10 6 4.4 +1.6
17 Nentori 1356 28 +4 5 5.3 -0.3
Luftetari 1274 26 -7 4 4.8 -0.8
Labinoti 1231 23 +14 6 4.6 +1.4
Tomori 1222 22 +21 7 4.9 +2.1
Besa 1200 22 -3 4 4.4 -0.4
Lokomotiva Durres 1237 22 -32 3 5.3 -2.3
Skenderbeu 1215 21 +36 7 5.4 +1.6
Naftetari 1195 21 -10 3 4.4 -1.4
Traktori 1099 12 -55 0 4.1 -4.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 1N APO BES DT FLA LAB LD LUF NAF PAR SKE TOM TRA VLL
17 Nentori —
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.43
0-0-2
2.48
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.98
0-1-1
3.35
1-1-0
3.35
0-2-0
2.50
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.75
1-1-0
2.71
Apolonia
0-1-1
2.03
—
1-1-0
2.81
0-2-0
1.96
0-1-1
1.82
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
2.45
0-2-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.02
1-1-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.26
Besa
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.50
—
0-0-2
1.60
0-2-0
1.52
0-2-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.43
0-2-0
2.30
0-2-0
2.63
1-1-0
1.65
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.68
2-0-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.08
Dinamo Tirana
2-0-0
2.82
0-2-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.78
—
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
3.49
0-2-0
3.43
1-1-0
3.67
0-1-1
3.81
0-0-2
2.73
1-1-0
3.91
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
2.97
Flamurtari
2-0-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.50
0-2-0
3.84
1-0-1
2.69
—
0-1-1
3.41
1-1-0
3.53
1-1-0
3.45
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.76
1-0-1
3.84
2-0-0
3.98
1-1-0
2.96
Labinoti
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.55
0-2-0
2.85
0-0-2
1.86
1-1-0
1.96
—
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
2.91
0-2-0
2.75
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.16
Lokomotiva Durres
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.88
0-2-0
1.90
0-1-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.84
—
0-0-2
2.86
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.42
0-2-0
3.11
0-2-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.21
Luftetari
1-1-0
1.96
0-1-1
2.84
0-2-0
3.00
0-1-1
1.66
0-1-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.47
—
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
1.93
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
2.32
Naftetari
0-1-1
1.98
0-2-0
2.43
0-2-0
2.67
1-1-0
1.56
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.33
—
1-0-1
1.92
0-0-2
2.83
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
1.96
Partizani
0-2-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
3.69
2-0-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.44
—
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.93
1-0-1
2.87
Skenderbeu
0-1-1
1.79
0-1-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
1.48
0-1-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.20
0-1-1
2.13
2-0-0
2.46
0-0-2
1.82
—
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
1.93
Tomori
0-1-1
1.93
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
1.62
1-0-1
1.53
0-2-0
2.55
0-2-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
1.83
0-1-1
2.81
—
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
2.17
Traktori
0-1-1
1.61
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.49
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
1.39
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
1.44
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
2.44
—
0-0-2
1.88
Vllaznia
0-1-1
2.57
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.36
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.47
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +5.5
Allowed 0.81 -8.6
Differential 0.87 +4.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.09%13.74%3.85%1.37%1.10%0.82%32.97%
113.74%17.03%6.87%1.92%1.10%0.82%41.48%
23.85%6.87%5.49%0.55%0.27%—17.03%
31.37%1.92%0.55%—0.27%—4.12%
41.10%1.10%0.27%0.27%——2.75%
5+0.82%0.82%————1.65%
Total32.97%41.48%17.03%4.12%2.75%1.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.08 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.12 1.60
CV 1.03 1.03 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%————19.23%
17.69%19.23%7.69%—3.85%—38.46%
2—11.54%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%———3.85%—7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total34.62%38.46%15.38%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.12 +0.54
SD 1.52 1.18 1.98
CV 0.92 1.06 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.92%——3.85%3.85%—34.62%
111.54%23.08%——3.85%—38.46%
23.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total42.31%34.62%7.69%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.04 -0.12
SD 0.80 1.25 1.34
CV 0.86 1.20 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%11.54%——3.85%—34.62%
17.69%30.77%7.69%3.85%—3.85%53.85%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%50.00%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.19 -0.38
SD 0.75 1.23 1.33
CV 0.93 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%————23.08%
126.92%11.54%—7.69%——46.15%
23.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total46.15%30.77%11.54%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 0.88 +0.50
SD 1.39 1.03 1.53
CV 1.00 1.17 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%————19.23%
115.38%11.54%3.85%———30.77%
23.85%19.23%11.54%———34.62%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total34.62%50.00%15.38%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 0.81 +0.73
SD 1.14 0.69 1.28
CV 0.74 0.86 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%3.85%———26.92%
115.38%26.92%7.69%3.85%——53.85%
27.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%50.00%15.38%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.08 -0.15
SD 0.69 0.98 1.12
CV 0.75 0.91 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%—46.15%
17.69%15.38%11.54%———34.62%
2—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%42.31%23.08%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.15 -0.31
SD 1.05 1.01 1.46
CV 1.24 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%—3.85%——26.92%
119.23%15.38%19.23%———53.85%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
3———————
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total38.46%34.62%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.92 +0.08
SD 0.89 0.89 1.32
CV 0.89 0.97 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%11.54%3.85%—3.85%46.15%
115.38%15.38%7.69%—3.85%—42.31%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%34.62%19.23%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.65 1.23 -0.58
SD 0.69 1.42 1.75
CV 1.05 1.16 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%————23.08%
119.23%15.38%—3.85%——38.46%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total42.31%50.00%3.85%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 0.69 +0.96
SD 1.57 0.74 1.64
CV 0.95 1.06 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%23.08%3.85%3.85%——38.46%
17.69%19.23%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
23.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%46.15%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.08 -0.12
SD 1.04 0.89 1.51
CV 1.08 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%11.54%——3.85%38.46%
111.54%15.38%3.85%—3.85%3.85%38.46%
2—3.85%11.54%———15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total23.08%38.46%26.92%—3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.50 -0.42
SD 1.35 1.50 2.06
CV 1.26 1.00 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%30.77%11.54%—3.85%3.85%57.69%
17.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%—3.85%34.62%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%42.31%23.08%3.85%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 1.58 -1.08
SD 0.65 1.50 1.70
CV 1.30 0.95 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
119.23%11.54%7.69%———38.46%
27.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%38.46%23.08%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.85 +0.35
SD 0.98 0.78 1.09
CV 0.82 0.93 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Partizani 1448 36 30.51 +5.49 96.0% 22 25 28 31 33 36 39
Dinamo Tirana 1437 31 29.63 +1.37 71.0% 21 24 28 30 32 33 35
Flamurtari 1436 33 29.12 +3.88 86.0% 19 23 26 29 32 36 37
Vllaznia 1378 32 29.21 +2.79 83.0% 17 22 26 29 32 35 38
17 Nentori 1356 25 26.90 -1.90 36.0% 16 20 24 27 29 32 35
Luftetari 1274 26 24.68 +1.32 72.0% 16 19 22 24 27 31 34
Apolonia 1250 23 18.64 +4.36 92.0% 10 11 16 19 21 24 25
Lokomotiva Durres 1237 22 25.96 -3.96 16.0% 16 20 24 26 29 31 35
Labinoti 1231 23 24.17 -1.17 46.0% 16 17 22 24 27 30 32
Tomori 1222 22 22.57 -0.57 48.0% 13 17 20 23 25 29 31
Skenderbeu 1215 21 21.76 -0.76 47.0% 14 16 19 22 24 28 31
Besa 1200 22 22.27 -0.27 50.0% 13 17 19 22 25 28 32
Naftetari 1195 21 23.11 -2.11 33.0% 14 17 20 23 26 29 32
Traktori 1099 12 20.47 -8.47 0.0% 13 15 18 20 23 26 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 27% * Slight Edge: 27% to 33% * Clear Edge: 33% to 40% * Strong Edge: 40% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+35.71%
Clear Edge
50.55%34.62%14.84%
Elo Value
Home Edge
209 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0129.80600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.69 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.62+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.6
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
35%
Partizani, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.89 * Some Luck: 2.89 to 4.33 * Lucky: 4.33 to 5.78 * Wild Swing: 5.78 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.88 * Close: 1.88 to 2.82 * Off: 2.82 to 3.76 * Way Off: 3.76 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.52 points
Some Luck
03.619
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.71
Pinpoint
02.355
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.00%
Partizani
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.00%
Traktori
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 77.5% * Wide Edge: 77.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 93% * Strong Edge: 93% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 66.5% * Frequent: 66.5% to 72.5% * Very Frequent: 72.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 10.5% * Occasional: 10.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 17.5% * Very Frequent: 17.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.210.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 107.91
1.51
Moderate Separation
0.91.351.82.153
Interquartile Edge
71%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%72.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Clear Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
77%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.48 * Slight Separation: 0.48 to 0.56 * Notable Separation: 0.56 to 0.62 * Lopsided: 0.62 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.59 * Strong Carryover: 0.59 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14.5% * Upset-Prone: 14.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 10.5% * As Expected: 10.5% to 12.5% * Shaky Favorites: 12.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.58
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.03
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.69
Strong Carryover
00.410.590.731
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
As Expected
0%11%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.24
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.25
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.065
Well Within Noise
00.1060.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Partizani35.00%22.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%—3.00%1.00%————
Flamurtari22.00%11.00%15.00%15.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%—2.00%1.00%—
Vllaznia13.00%22.00%16.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Dinamo Tirana15.00%28.00%15.00%15.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Luftetari4.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%14.00%8.00%9.00%15.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%
17 Nentori7.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%13.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%—
Apolonia——————1.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%19.00%14.00%33.00%
Labinoti—2.00%7.00%5.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%
Lokomotiva Durres3.00%3.00%4.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%18.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Besa—1.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%12.00%7.00%14.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%10.00%
Tomori—1.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%5.00%5.00%14.00%9.00%15.00%16.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%
Skenderbeu—1.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%5.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%8.00%19.00%10.00%
Naftetari1.00%—2.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%16.00%8.00%5.00%
Traktori———2.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%12.00%12.00%23.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Dinamo Tirana 100% —
Partizani 100% —
Flamurtari 99.00% 1.00%
Vllaznia 99.00% 1.00%
Lokomotiva Durres 98.00% 2.00%
17 Nentori 97.00% 3.00%
Luftetari 94.00% 6.00%
Labinoti 88.00% 12.00%
Naftetari 87.00% 13.00%
Tomori 83.00% 17.00%
Besa 79.00% 21.00%
Skenderbeu 71.00% 29.00%
Apolonia 53.00% 47.00%
Traktori 52.00% 48.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1986-08-31 Apolonia L 0-148.6 1226 1234 52.65% 35.35% 12.00%+0.59 -16.8 0
1986-08-31 @ Besa W 1-048.6 1234 1226 12.00% 35.35% 52.65%-0.59 +16.8 2
1986-08-31 Traktori W 6-029.9 1426 1219 67.68% 27.90% 4.42%+1.62 +10.6 2
1986-08-31 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-629.9 1219 1426 4.42% 27.90% 67.68%-1.62 -10.6 0
1986-08-31 Naftetari W 2-033.0 1249 1237 54.30% 34.89% 10.81%+0.68 +9.9 2
1986-08-31 @ Labinoti L 0-233.0 1237 1249 10.81% 34.89% 54.30%-0.68 -9.9 0
1986-08-31 17 Nentori D 1-150.7 1207 1374 35.53% 36.57% 27.90%-0.18 -0.5 1
1986-08-31 @ Luftetari D 1-150.7 1374 1207 27.90% 36.57% 35.53%+0.18 +0.5 1
1986-08-31 Flamurtari D 1-150.8 1184 1389 30.44% 36.18% 33.38%-0.36 +0.2 1
1986-08-31 @ Skenderbeu D 1-150.8 1389 1184 33.38% 36.18% 30.44%+0.36 -0.2 1
1986-08-31 Partizani W 1-037.8 1327 1340 52.15% 35.47% 12.38%+0.56 +5.9 2
1986-08-31 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 0-137.8 1340 1327 12.38% 35.47% 52.15%-0.56 -5.9 0
1986-08-31 Vllaznia D 1-150.6 1231 1335 43.26% 36.64% 20.10%+0.12 -1.5 1
1986-08-31 @ Tomori D 1-150.6 1335 1231 20.10% 36.64% 43.26%-0.12 +1.5 1
1986-09-07 Labinoti W 2-142.8 1251 1259 52.54% 35.38% 12.08%+0.58 +5.4 4
1986-09-07 @ Apolonia L 1-242.8 1259 1251 12.08% 35.38% 52.54%-0.58 -5.4 2
1986-09-07 Besa D 1-153.0 1389 1210 65.92% 29.10% 4.98%+1.48 -4.6 2
1986-09-07 @ Flamurtari D 1-153.0 1210 1389 4.98% 29.10% 65.92%-1.48 +4.6 1
1986-09-07 Lokomotiva Durres W 2-143.1 1375 1333 56.59% 34.10% 9.31%+0.82 +4.3 3
1986-09-07 @ 17 Nentori L 1-243.1 1333 1375 9.31% 34.10% 56.59%-0.82 -4.3 2
1986-09-07 Dinamo Tirana D 0-045.9 1207 1437 27.18% 35.78% 37.03%-0.48 +0.7 2
1986-09-07 @ Luftetari D 0-045.9 1437 1207 37.03% 35.78% 27.18%+0.48 -0.7 3
1986-09-07 Traktori W 1-035.7 1227 1208 54.80% 34.73% 10.47%+0.71 +5.1 2
1986-09-07 @ Naftetari L 0-135.7 1208 1227 10.47% 34.73% 54.80%-0.71 -5.1 0
1986-09-07 Tomori W 6-132.6 1334 1229 61.07% 32.03% 6.90%+1.13 +12.4 2
1986-09-07 @ Partizani L 1-632.6 1229 1334 6.90% 32.03% 61.07%-1.13 -12.4 1
1986-09-07 Skenderbeu W 1-033.2 1336 1184 64.19% 30.22% 5.59%+1.35 +2.7 3
1986-09-07 @ Vllaznia L 0-133.2 1184 1336 5.59% 30.22% 64.19%-1.35 -2.7 1
1986-09-11 Naftetari D 1-154.0 1436 1232 67.47% 28.04% 4.49%+1.60 -4.8 4
1986-09-11 @ Dinamo Tirana D 1-154.0 1232 1436 4.49% 28.04% 67.47%-1.60 +4.8 3
1986-09-11 Flamurtari W 1-041.1 1254 1384 40.20% 36.70% 23.10%+0.00 +9.2 4
1986-09-11 @ Labinoti L 0-141.1 1384 1254 23.10% 36.70% 40.20%+0.00 -9.2 2
1986-09-14 Vllaznia D 1-150.5 1214 1339 40.85% 36.70% 22.45%+0.02 -1.2 2
1986-09-14 @ Besa D 1-150.5 1339 1214 22.45% 36.70% 40.85%-0.02 +1.2 4
1986-09-14 Apolonia L 0-147.6 1203 1256 48.56% 36.16% 15.28%+0.37 -15.6 0
1986-09-14 @ Traktori W 1-047.6 1256 1203 15.28% 36.16% 48.56%-0.37 +15.6 6
1986-09-14 Partizani L 0-144.2 1181 1347 35.78% 36.58% 27.64%-0.17 -12.2 1
1986-09-14 @ Skenderbeu W 1-044.2 1347 1181 27.64% 36.58% 35.78%+0.17 +12.2 4
1986-09-14 Luftetari L 0-446.3 1328 1207 62.16% 31.43% 6.41%+1.20 -69.4 2
1986-09-14 @ Lokomotiva Durres W 4-046.3 1207 1328 6.41% 31.43% 62.16%-1.20 +69.4 4
1986-09-14 17 Nentori D 0-045.3 1217 1379 36.21% 36.60% 27.19%-0.16 -0.6 2
1986-09-14 @ Tomori D 0-045.3 1379 1217 27.19% 36.60% 36.21%+0.16 +0.6 4
1986-09-21 Naftetari D 0-045.5 1272 1237 56.04% 34.30% 9.66%+0.79 -3.8 7
1986-09-21 @ Apolonia D 0-045.5 1237 1272 9.66% 34.30% 56.04%-0.79 +3.8 4
1986-09-21 Traktori W 4-028.4 1375 1187 66.44% 28.75% 4.81%+1.52 +8.0 4
1986-09-21 @ Flamurtari L 0-428.4 1187 1375 4.81% 28.75% 66.44%-1.52 -8.0 0
1986-09-21 Skenderbeu W 3-027.9 1380 1169 67.87% 27.76% 4.37%+1.63 +5.5 6
1986-09-21 @ 17 Nentori L 0-327.9 1169 1380 4.37% 27.76% 67.87%-1.63 -5.5 1
1986-09-21 Tomori W 2-032.0 1277 1216 57.93% 33.55% 8.52%+0.91 +8.0 6
1986-09-21 @ Luftetari L 0-232.0 1216 1277 8.52% 33.55% 57.93%-0.91 -8.0 2
1986-09-21 Besa D 1-152.5 1359 1213 63.79% 30.47% 5.74%+1.32 -4.4 5
1986-09-21 @ Partizani D 1-152.5 1213 1359 5.74% 30.47% 63.79%-1.32 +4.4 3
1986-09-21 Labinoti D 1-151.9 1340 1263 59.13% 33.01% 7.86%+0.99 -3.8 5
1986-09-21 @ Vllaznia D 1-151.9 1263 1340 7.86% 33.01% 59.13%-0.99 +3.8 5
1986-09-23 Dinamo Tirana D 1-151.7 1259 1431 34.86% 36.53% 28.60%-0.20 -0.4 3
1986-09-23 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 1-151.7 1431 1259 28.60% 36.53% 34.86%+0.20 +0.4 5
1986-09-25 17 Nentori D 2-256.7 1217 1385 35.47% 36.57% 27.96%-0.18 -0.3 4
1986-09-25 @ Besa D 2-256.7 1385 1217 27.96% 36.57% 35.47%+0.18 +0.3 7
1986-09-26 Flamurtari L 0-145.6 1241 1383 38.72% 36.69% 24.59%-0.06 -13.0 4
1986-09-26 @ Naftetari W 1-045.6 1383 1241 24.59% 36.69% 38.72%+0.06 +13.0 6
1986-09-26 Lokomotiva Durres D 0-044.9 1208 1259 48.81% 36.12% 15.07%+0.38 -2.6 3
1986-09-26 @ Tomori D 0-044.9 1259 1208 15.07% 36.12% 48.81%-0.38 +2.6 4
1986-09-27 Apolonia D 0-048.3 1432 1268 64.94% 29.74% 5.32%+1.41 -5.0 6
1986-09-27 @ Dinamo Tirana D 0-048.3 1268 1432 5.32% 29.74% 64.94%-1.41 +5.0 8
1986-09-28 Partizani L 0-147.5 1267 1355 45.03% 36.54% 18.44%+0.20 -14.6 5
1986-09-28 @ Labinoti W 1-047.5 1355 1267 18.44% 36.54% 45.03%-0.20 +14.6 7
1986-09-28 Vllaznia L 0-144.5 1179 1336 36.89% 36.63% 26.48%-0.13 -12.5 0
1986-09-28 @ Traktori W 1-044.5 1336 1179 26.48% 36.63% 36.89%+0.13 +12.5 7
1986-09-28 Luftetari L 0-145.6 1164 1285 41.33% 36.69% 21.98%+0.04 -13.6 1
1986-09-28 @ Skenderbeu W 1-045.6 1285 1164 21.98% 36.69% 41.33%-0.04 +13.6 8
1986-10-04 Apolonia W 3-030.4 1396 1273 62.28% 31.36% 6.36%+1.21 +8.5 8
1986-10-04 @ Flamurtari L 0-330.4 1273 1396 6.36% 31.36% 62.28%-1.21 -8.5 8
1986-10-04 Labinoti W 2-140.4 1386 1252 62.95% 30.97% 6.08%+1.26 +2.8 9
1986-10-04 @ 17 Nentori L 1-240.4 1252 1386 6.08% 30.97% 62.95%-1.26 -2.8 5
1986-10-04 Besa D 0-046.0 1298 1217 59.42% 32.87% 7.71%+1.01 -4.3 9
1986-10-04 @ Luftetari D 0-046.0 1217 1298 7.71% 32.87% 59.42%-1.01 +4.3 5
1986-10-04 Traktori W 2-138.5 1369 1167 67.36% 28.12% 4.52%+1.59 +2.0 9
1986-10-04 @ Partizani L 1-238.5 1167 1369 4.52% 28.12% 67.36%-1.59 -2.0 0
1986-10-04 Skenderbeu D 1-151.5 1261 1150 61.48% 31.81% 6.71%+1.15 -4.1 5
1986-10-04 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 1-151.5 1150 1261 6.71% 31.81% 61.48%-1.15 +4.1 2
1986-10-04 Dinamo Tirana D 2-257.1 1206 1427 28.36% 35.94% 35.70%-0.44 +0.3 4
1986-10-04 @ Tomori D 2-257.1 1427 1206 35.70% 35.94% 28.36%+0.44 -0.3 7
1986-10-04 Naftetari W 2-031.1 1349 1228 62.15% 31.44% 6.41%+1.20 +5.9 9
1986-10-04 @ Vllaznia L 0-231.1 1228 1349 6.41% 31.44% 62.15%-1.20 -5.9 4
1986-10-19 Vllaznia L 2-358.2 1264 1355 44.75% 36.56% 18.70%+0.19 -13.0 8
1986-10-19 @ Apolonia W 3-258.2 1355 1264 18.70% 36.56% 44.75%-0.19 +13.0 11
1986-10-19 Lokomotiva Durres L 1-254.3 1221 1257 50.16% 35.89% 13.94%+0.45 -15.2 5
1986-10-19 @ Besa W 2-154.3 1257 1221 13.94% 35.89% 50.16%-0.45 +15.2 7
1986-10-19 Flamurtari L 0-153.2 1426 1405 55.05% 34.65% 10.30%+0.73 -17.5 7
1986-10-19 @ Dinamo Tirana W 1-053.2 1405 1426 10.30% 34.65% 55.05%-0.73 +17.5 10
1986-10-19 Luftetari W 1-037.7 1250 1294 49.37% 36.03% 14.60%+0.41 +6.7 7
1986-10-19 @ Labinoti L 0-137.7 1294 1250 14.60% 36.03% 49.37%-0.41 -6.7 9
1986-10-19 Partizani W 1-041.4 1222 1371 37.83% 36.67% 25.51%-0.09 +9.8 6
1986-10-19 @ Naftetari L 0-141.4 1371 1222 25.51% 36.67% 37.83%+0.09 -9.8 9
1986-10-19 Tomori W 1-037.5 1154 1206 48.65% 36.15% 15.20%+0.37 +6.9 4
1986-10-19 @ Skenderbeu L 0-137.5 1206 1154 15.20% 36.15% 48.65%-0.37 -6.9 4
1986-10-25 Naftetari W 6-030.7 1388 1232 64.48% 30.04% 5.48%+1.37 +13.8 11
1986-10-25 @ 17 Nentori L 0-630.7 1232 1388 5.48% 30.04% 64.48%-1.37 -13.8 6
1986-10-26 Traktori W 1-033.5 1287 1165 62.22% 31.40% 6.38%+1.21 +3.1 11
1986-10-26 @ Luftetari L 0-133.5 1165 1287 6.38% 31.40% 62.22%-1.21 -3.1 0
1986-10-26 Apolonia D 1-152.3 1361 1251 61.41% 31.85% 6.74%+1.15 -4.1 10
1986-10-26 @ Partizani D 1-152.3 1251 1361 6.74% 31.85% 61.41%-1.15 +4.1 9
1986-10-26 Dinamo Tirana D 1-151.0 1161 1409 25.10% 35.44% 39.46%-0.57 +0.9 5
1986-10-26 @ Skenderbeu D 1-151.0 1409 1161 39.46% 35.44% 25.10%+0.57 -0.9 8
1986-10-26 Labinoti W 3-138.9 1272 1256 54.59% 34.80% 10.62%+0.70 +8.4 9
1986-10-26 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 1-338.9 1256 1272 10.62% 34.80% 54.59%-0.70 -8.4 7
1986-10-26 Besa W 5-135.2 1199 1206 52.70% 35.34% 11.96%+0.59 +17.0 6
1986-10-26 @ Tomori L 1-535.2 1206 1199 11.96% 35.34% 52.70%-0.59 -17.0 5
1986-10-26 Flamurtari D 2-259.2 1368 1422 48.43% 36.18% 15.39%+0.36 -1.7 12
1986-10-26 @ Vllaznia D 2-259.2 1422 1368 15.39% 36.18% 48.43%-0.36 +1.7 11
1986-11-02 17 Nentori D 1-151.3 1255 1402 38.19% 36.68% 25.13%-0.08 -0.8 10
1986-11-02 @ Apolonia D 1-151.3 1402 1255 25.13% 36.68% 38.19%+0.08 +0.8 12
1986-11-02 Skenderbeu W 1-035.4 1189 1162 55.45% 34.51% 10.04%+0.75 +4.9 7
1986-11-02 @ Besa L 0-135.4 1162 1189 10.04% 34.51% 55.45%-0.75 -4.9 5
1986-11-02 Vllaznia W 1-038.0 1408 1366 56.58% 34.10% 9.32%+0.82 +4.6 10
1986-11-02 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-138.0 1366 1408 9.32% 34.10% 56.58%-0.82 -4.6 12
1986-11-02 Partizani W 3-140.5 1424 1357 58.37% 33.36% 8.27%+0.94 +6.7 13
1986-11-02 @ Flamurtari L 1-340.5 1357 1424 8.27% 33.36% 58.37%-0.94 -6.7 10
1986-11-02 Tomori D 1-150.9 1248 1216 55.79% 34.39% 9.82%+0.77 -3.3 8
1986-11-02 @ Labinoti D 1-150.9 1216 1248 9.82% 34.39% 55.79%-0.77 +3.3 7
1986-11-02 Lokomotiva Durres W 1-039.7 1162 1281 41.55% 36.69% 21.76%+0.05 +8.8 2
1986-11-02 @ Traktori L 0-139.7 1281 1162 21.76% 36.69% 41.55%-0.05 -8.8 9
1986-11-02 Luftetari W 2-144.6 1218 1290 46.61% 36.40% 16.99%+0.27 +7.0 8
1986-11-02 @ Naftetari L 1-244.6 1290 1218 16.99% 36.40% 46.61%-0.27 -7.0 11
1986-11-09 Dinamo Tirana L 0-142.3 1194 1413 28.66% 35.98% 35.36%-0.43 -10.5 7
1986-11-09 @ Besa W 1-042.3 1413 1194 35.36% 35.98% 28.66%+0.43 +10.5 12
1986-11-09 Flamurtari L 0-152.3 1403 1430 50.91% 35.75% 13.34%+0.49 -16.3 12
1986-11-09 @ 17 Nentori W 1-052.3 1430 1403 13.34% 35.75% 50.91%-0.49 +16.3 15
1986-11-09 Apolonia D 1-151.1 1283 1255 55.57% 34.47% 9.96%+0.76 -3.3 12
1986-11-09 @ Luftetari D 1-151.1 1255 1283 9.96% 34.47% 55.57%-0.76 +3.3 11
1986-11-09 Labinoti W 2-035.6 1157 1244 45.07% 36.53% 18.40%+0.20 +14.9 7
1986-11-09 @ Skenderbeu L 0-235.6 1244 1157 18.40% 36.53% 45.07%-0.20 -14.9 8
1986-11-09 Naftetari W 2-141.4 1272 1225 56.97% 33.95% 9.08%+0.85 +4.2 11
1986-11-09 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 1-241.4 1225 1272 9.08% 33.95% 56.97%-0.85 -4.2 8
1986-11-09 Traktori W 5-133.9 1220 1171 57.10% 33.89% 9.00%+0.86 +13.3 9
1986-11-09 @ Tomori L 1-533.9 1171 1220 9.00% 33.89% 57.10%-0.86 -13.3 2
1986-11-10 Vllaznia W 2-035.3 1351 1362 52.37% 35.42% 12.21%+0.57 +10.9 12
1986-11-10 @ Partizani L 0-235.3 1362 1351 12.21% 35.42% 52.37%-0.57 -10.9 12
1986-11-16 Lokomotiva Durres W 1-037.0 1258 1276 51.74% 35.57% 12.69%+0.54 +6.0 13
1986-11-16 @ Apolonia L 0-137.0 1276 1258 12.69% 35.57% 51.74%-0.54 -6.0 11
1986-11-16 Partizani L 1-355.5 1423 1362 58.03% 33.51% 8.46%+0.92 -30.0 12
1986-11-16 @ Dinamo Tirana W 3-155.5 1362 1423 8.46% 33.51% 58.03%-0.92 +29.9 14
1986-11-16 Luftetari W 2-140.8 1447 1280 65.12% 29.63% 5.25%+1.42 +2.4 17
1986-11-16 @ Flamurtari L 1-240.8 1280 1447 5.25% 29.63% 65.12%-1.42 -2.4 12
1986-11-16 Besa D 1-150.9 1230 1184 56.88% 33.98% 9.13%+0.84 -3.5 9
1986-11-16 @ Labinoti D 1-150.9 1184 1230 9.13% 33.98% 56.88%-0.84 +3.5 8
1986-11-16 Skenderbeu W 1-036.4 1157 1172 52.05% 35.50% 12.45%+0.55 +5.9 4
1986-11-16 @ Traktori L 0-136.4 1172 1157 12.45% 35.50% 52.05%-0.55 -5.9 7
1986-11-16 Tomori W 2-033.6 1221 1233 52.24% 35.45% 12.31%+0.56 +11.0 10
1986-11-16 @ Naftetari L 0-233.6 1233 1221 12.31% 35.45% 52.24%-0.56 -11.0 9
1986-11-16 17 Nentori D 2-258.3 1351 1387 50.14% 35.90% 13.96%+0.45 -1.9 13
1986-11-16 @ Vllaznia D 2-258.3 1387 1351 13.96% 35.90% 50.14%-0.45 +1.9 13
1986-11-23 Traktori W 2-141.7 1187 1163 55.19% 34.60% 10.21%+0.74 +4.7 10
1986-11-23 @ Besa L 1-241.7 1163 1187 10.21% 34.60% 55.19%-0.74 -4.7 4
1986-11-23 Dinamo Tirana L 0-144.6 1226 1393 35.55% 36.57% 27.87%-0.18 -12.2 9
1986-11-23 @ Labinoti W 1-044.6 1393 1226 27.87% 36.57% 35.55%+0.18 +12.2 14
1986-11-23 Partizani D 1-153.5 1388 1392 53.02% 35.25% 11.73%+0.61 -2.9 14
1986-11-23 @ 17 Nentori D 1-153.5 1392 1388 11.73% 35.25% 53.02%-0.61 +2.9 15
1986-11-23 Vllaznia W 1-039.0 1278 1349 46.76% 36.38% 16.86%+0.28 +7.4 14
1986-11-23 @ Luftetari L 0-139.0 1349 1278 16.86% 36.38% 46.76%-0.28 -7.4 13
1986-11-23 Naftetari W 3-033.6 1166 1232 47.32% 36.32% 16.36%+0.31 +19.9 9
1986-11-23 @ Skenderbeu L 0-333.6 1232 1166 16.36% 36.32% 47.32%-0.31 -19.9 10
1986-11-23 Flamurtari D 1-152.1 1270 1449 33.99% 36.48% 29.53%-0.24 -0.3 12
1986-11-23 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 1-152.1 1449 1270 29.53% 36.48% 33.99%+0.24 +0.3 18
1986-11-23 Apolonia D 2-256.3 1222 1264 49.58% 36.00% 14.42%+0.42 -1.8 10
1986-11-23 @ Tomori D 2-256.3 1264 1222 14.42% 36.00% 49.58%-0.42 +1.8 14
1986-12-06 Luftetari W 3-030.8 1394 1285 61.37% 31.87% 6.76%+1.15 +9.1 17
1986-12-06 @ Partizani L 0-330.8 1285 1394 6.76% 31.87% 61.37%-1.15 -9.1 14
1986-12-07 Skenderbeu W 2-140.6 1266 1186 59.33% 32.91% 7.75%+1.00 +3.6 16
1986-12-07 @ Apolonia L 1-240.6 1186 1266 7.75% 32.91% 59.33%-1.00 -3.6 9
1986-12-07 17 Nentori W 3-249.7 1405 1386 54.88% 34.70% 10.42%+0.72 +4.5 16
1986-12-07 @ Dinamo Tirana L 2-349.7 1386 1405 10.42% 34.70% 54.88%-0.72 -4.5 14
1986-12-07 Tomori W 4-133.0 1449 1220 69.02% 26.94% 4.04%+1.72 +4.2 20
1986-12-07 @ Flamurtari L 1-433.0 1220 1449 4.04% 26.94% 69.02%-1.72 -4.2 10
1986-12-07 Labinoti D 1-150.2 1159 1214 48.33% 36.19% 15.48%+0.36 -2.2 5
1986-12-07 @ Traktori D 1-150.2 1214 1159 15.48% 36.19% 48.33%-0.36 +2.2 10
1986-12-07 Besa D 1-150.7 1212 1192 54.89% 34.70% 10.41%+0.72 -3.2 11
1986-12-07 @ Naftetari D 1-150.7 1192 1212 10.41% 34.70% 54.89%-0.72 +3.2 11
1986-12-07 Lokomotiva Durres D 0-046.4 1341 1270 58.74% 33.19% 8.07%+0.96 -4.2 14
1986-12-07 @ Vllaznia D 0-046.4 1270 1341 8.07% 33.19% 58.74%-0.96 +4.2 13
1986-12-10 17 Nentori D 0-045.2 1156 1381 27.90% 35.88% 36.21%-0.45 +0.6 6
1986-12-10 @ Traktori D 0-045.2 1381 1156 36.21% 35.88% 27.90%+0.45 -0.6 15
1987-02-22 Besa D 1-151.3 1269 1195 58.95% 33.09% 7.96%+0.98 -3.8 17
1987-02-22 @ Apolonia D 1-151.3 1195 1269 7.96% 33.09% 58.95%-0.98 +3.8 12
1987-02-22 Skenderbeu W 2-137.9 1453 1182 71.53% 25.07% 3.40%+1.92 +1.4 22
1987-02-22 @ Flamurtari L 1-237.9 1182 1453 3.40% 25.07% 71.53%-1.92 -1.4 9
1987-02-22 Luftetari L 1-257.4 1380 1276 61.04% 32.05% 6.91%+1.12 -18.0 15
1987-02-22 @ 17 Nentori W 2-157.4 1276 1380 6.91% 32.05% 61.04%-1.12 +18.0 16
1987-02-22 Dinamo Tirana L 0-237.6 1157 1410 24.52% 35.33% 40.15%-0.59 -17.7 6
1987-02-22 @ Traktori W 2-037.6 1410 1157 40.15% 35.33% 24.52%+0.59 +17.7 18
1987-02-22 Labinoti D 0-045.0 1209 1216 52.64% 35.35% 12.01%+0.59 -3.2 12
1987-02-22 @ Naftetari D 0-045.0 1216 1209 12.01% 35.35% 52.64%-0.59 +3.2 11
1987-02-22 Lokomotiva Durres W 3-030.4 1404 1274 62.71% 31.11% 6.18%+1.24 +8.3 19
1987-02-22 @ Partizani L 0-330.4 1274 1404 6.18% 31.11% 62.71%-1.24 -8.3 13
1987-02-22 Tomori W 2-140.1 1337 1216 62.16% 31.43% 6.41%+1.20 +3.0 16
1987-02-22 @ Vllaznia L 1-240.1 1216 1337 6.41% 31.43% 62.16%-1.20 -3.0 10
1987-02-25 Flamurtari D 0-046.1 1199 1455 24.16% 35.26% 40.57%-0.61 +1.1 13
1987-02-25 @ Besa D 0-046.1 1455 1199 40.57% 35.26% 24.16%+0.61 -1.1 23
1987-02-25 Luftetari W 1-035.2 1428 1294 62.98% 30.95% 6.06%+1.26 +3.0 20
1987-02-25 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-135.2 1294 1428 6.06% 30.95% 62.98%-1.26 -3.0 16
1987-02-25 Apolonia D 1-150.4 1219 1266 49.19% 36.06% 14.75%+0.40 -2.3 12
1987-02-25 @ Labinoti D 1-150.4 1266 1219 14.75% 36.06% 49.19%-0.40 +2.4 18
1987-02-25 Naftetari W 2-034.9 1139 1205 47.27% 36.33% 16.40%+0.31 +13.7 8
1987-02-25 @ Traktori L 0-234.9 1205 1139 16.40% 36.33% 47.27%-0.31 -13.7 12
1987-02-25 Vllaznia D 0-044.9 1181 1340 36.60% 36.62% 26.78%-0.14 -0.7 10
1987-02-25 @ Skenderbeu D 0-044.9 1340 1181 26.78% 36.62% 36.60%+0.14 +0.7 17
1987-02-25 17 Nentori W 4-140.1 1266 1362 44.07% 36.60% 19.33%+0.16 +18.9 15
1987-02-25 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 1-440.1 1362 1266 19.33% 36.60% 44.07%-0.16 -18.9 15
1987-02-25 Partizani L 0-143.3 1213 1412 31.26% 36.26% 32.48%-0.33 -11.1 10
1987-02-25 @ Tomori W 1-043.3 1412 1213 32.48% 36.26% 31.26%+0.33 +11.1 21
1987-03-01 Traktori D 1-151.6 1268 1153 61.74% 31.67% 6.59%+1.17 -4.1 19
1987-03-01 @ Apolonia D 1-151.6 1153 1268 6.59% 31.67% 61.74%-1.17 +4.1 9
1987-03-01 Labinoti D 2-260.2 1454 1217 69.47% 26.61% 3.92%+1.76 -3.7 24
1987-03-01 @ Flamurtari D 2-260.2 1217 1454 3.92% 26.61% 69.47%-1.76 +3.7 13
1987-03-01 Tomori W 5-029.9 1344 1202 63.51% 30.64% 5.85%+1.30 +12.5 17
1987-03-01 @ 17 Nentori L 0-529.9 1202 1344 5.85% 30.64% 63.51%-1.30 -12.5 10
1987-03-01 Lokomotiva Durres W 2-142.7 1291 1285 53.80% 35.04% 11.17%+0.65 +5.1 18
1987-03-01 @ Luftetari L 1-242.7 1285 1291 11.17% 35.04% 53.80%-0.65 -5.1 15
1987-03-01 Dinamo Tirana W 1-045.2 1192 1431 26.14% 35.62% 38.24%-0.52 +12.7 14
1987-03-01 @ Naftetari L 0-145.2 1431 1192 38.24% 35.62% 26.14%+0.52 -12.7 20
1987-03-01 Skenderbeu W 2-028.9 1423 1180 69.83% 26.35% 3.82%+1.79 +3.2 23
1987-03-01 @ Partizani L 0-228.9 1180 1423 3.82% 26.35% 69.83%-1.79 -3.2 10
1987-03-01 Besa W 3-136.3 1341 1200 63.45% 30.67% 5.88%+1.30 +4.7 19
1987-03-01 @ Vllaznia L 1-336.3 1200 1341 5.88% 30.67% 63.45%-1.30 -4.7 13
1987-03-08 Partizani W 1-044.9 1195 1426 27.11% 35.77% 37.12%-0.48 +12.4 15
1987-03-08 @ Besa L 0-144.9 1426 1195 37.12% 35.77% 27.11%+0.48 -12.4 23
1987-03-08 Lokomotiva Durres D 2-259.3 1418 1280 63.29% 30.77% 5.94%+1.28 -3.2 21
1987-03-08 @ Dinamo Tirana D 2-259.3 1280 1418 5.94% 30.77% 63.29%-1.28 +3.2 16
1987-03-08 Vllaznia L 0-145.9 1221 1345 40.86% 36.70% 22.44%+0.02 -13.5 13
1987-03-08 @ Labinoti W 1-045.9 1345 1221 22.44% 36.70% 40.86%-0.02 +13.5 21
1987-03-08 Flamurtari L 0-139.3 1157 1450 20.36% 34.34% 45.30%-0.78 -8.2 9
1987-03-08 @ Traktori W 1-039.3 1450 1157 45.30% 34.34% 20.36%+0.78 +8.2 26
1987-03-08 Apolonia D 0-044.8 1204 1264 47.92% 36.25% 15.84%+0.34 -2.4 15
1987-03-08 @ Naftetari D 0-044.8 1264 1204 15.84% 36.25% 47.92%-0.34 +2.4 20
1987-03-08 17 Nentori D 1-150.5 1177 1356 33.99% 36.48% 29.53%-0.24 -0.3 11
1987-03-08 @ Skenderbeu D 1-150.5 1356 1177 29.53% 36.48% 33.99%+0.24 +0.3 18
1987-03-08 Luftetari W 1-039.4 1189 1296 42.94% 36.65% 20.41%+0.11 +8.5 12
1987-03-08 @ Tomori L 0-139.4 1296 1189 20.41% 36.65% 42.94%-0.11 -8.5 18
1987-03-15 Dinamo Tirana D 0-046.0 1266 1415 37.96% 36.67% 25.37%-0.09 -0.9 21
1987-03-15 @ Apolonia D 0-046.0 1415 1266 25.37% 36.67% 37.96%+0.09 +0.9 22
1987-03-15 Naftetari W 2-138.3 1458 1202 70.65% 25.74% 3.61%+1.85 +1.5 28
1987-03-15 @ Flamurtari L 1-238.3 1202 1458 3.61% 25.74% 70.65%-1.85 -1.5 15
1987-03-15 Besa W 1-033.4 1356 1208 63.96% 30.36% 5.68%+1.33 +2.7 20
1987-03-15 @ 17 Nentori L 0-133.4 1208 1356 5.68% 30.36% 63.96%-1.33 -2.7 15
1987-03-15 Skenderbeu D 1-151.6 1288 1177 61.46% 31.82% 6.72%+1.15 -4.1 19
1987-03-15 @ Luftetari D 1-151.6 1177 1288 6.72% 31.82% 61.46%-1.15 +4.1 12
1987-03-15 Labinoti W 4-238.7 1414 1207 67.63% 27.93% 4.44%+1.61 +3.0 25
1987-03-15 @ Partizani L 2-438.7 1207 1414 4.44% 27.93% 67.63%-1.61 -3.0 13
1987-03-15 Tomori D 1-151.4 1283 1198 59.70% 32.74% 7.57%+1.03 -3.9 17
1987-03-15 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 1-151.4 1198 1283 7.57% 32.74% 59.70%-1.03 +3.9 13
1987-03-15 Traktori W 2-029.0 1359 1149 67.83% 27.79% 4.38%+1.63 +3.8 23
1987-03-15 @ Vllaznia L 0-229.0 1149 1359 4.38% 27.79% 67.83%-1.63 -3.8 9
1987-03-29 Flamurtari D 0-046.7 1265 1460 31.90% 36.32% 31.79%-0.31 -0.0 22
1987-03-29 @ Apolonia D 0-046.7 1460 1265 31.79% 36.32% 31.90%+0.31 +0.0 29
1987-03-29 Luftetari D 0-044.8 1205 1283 45.99% 36.46% 17.55%+0.25 -2.1 16
1987-03-29 @ Besa D 0-044.8 1283 1205 17.55% 36.46% 45.99%-0.25 +2.1 20
1987-03-29 Tomori W 1-032.5 1416 1202 68.08% 27.62% 4.31%+1.65 +2.0 24
1987-03-29 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-132.5 1202 1416 4.31% 27.62% 68.08%-1.65 -2.0 13
1987-03-29 17 Nentori W 1-041.5 1204 1359 37.14% 36.64% 26.21%-0.12 +10.0 15
1987-03-29 @ Labinoti L 0-141.5 1359 1204 26.21% 36.64% 37.14%+0.12 -10.0 20
1987-03-29 Partizani D 0-045.6 1145 1417 22.50% 34.90% 42.60%-0.68 +1.4 10
1987-03-29 @ Traktori D 0-045.6 1417 1145 42.60% 34.90% 22.50%+0.68 -1.4 26
1987-03-29 Vllaznia W 1-041.8 1200 1363 36.19% 36.60% 27.20%-0.16 +10.2 17
1987-03-29 @ Naftetari L 0-141.8 1363 1200 27.20% 36.60% 36.19%+0.16 -10.2 23
1987-03-29 Lokomotiva Durres D 0-044.7 1181 1279 43.92% 36.61% 19.47%+0.15 -1.8 13
1987-03-29 @ Skenderbeu D 0-044.7 1279 1181 19.47% 36.61% 43.92%-0.15 +1.8 18
1987-04-05 Dinamo Tirana L 0-154.8 1460 1417 56.60% 34.09% 9.31%+0.82 -18.0 29
1987-04-05 @ Flamurtari W 1-054.8 1417 1460 9.31% 34.09% 56.60%-0.82 +17.9 26
1987-04-05 Traktori W 1-032.1 1349 1147 67.37% 28.11% 4.52%+1.59 +2.1 22
1987-04-05 @ 17 Nentori L 0-132.1 1147 1349 4.52% 28.11% 67.37%-1.59 -2.1 10
1987-04-05 Labinoti W 1-034.7 1286 1214 58.74% 33.19% 8.07%+0.96 +4.0 22
1987-04-05 @ Luftetari L 0-134.7 1214 1286 8.07% 33.19% 58.74%-0.96 -4.0 15
1987-04-05 Naftetari W 4-133.0 1415 1211 67.51% 28.02% 4.48%+1.60 +4.7 28
1987-04-05 @ Partizani L 1-433.0 1211 1415 4.48% 28.02% 67.51%-1.60 -4.8 17
1987-04-05 Besa D 0-045.9 1281 1203 59.19% 32.98% 7.83%+1.00 -4.3 19
1987-04-05 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 0-045.9 1203 1281 7.83% 32.98% 59.19%-1.00 +4.3 17
1987-04-05 Skenderbeu D 2-256.4 1200 1179 54.93% 34.69% 10.38%+0.72 -2.4 14
1987-04-05 @ Tomori D 2-256.4 1179 1200 10.38% 34.69% 54.93%-0.72 +2.4 14
1987-04-05 Apolonia D 0-046.6 1352 1265 59.84% 32.67% 7.49%+1.04 -4.4 24
1987-04-05 @ Vllaznia D 0-046.6 1265 1352 7.49% 32.67% 59.84%-1.04 +4.4 23
1987-04-12 Partizani L 1-446.3 1270 1420 37.72% 36.66% 25.61%-0.10 -29.3 23
1987-04-12 @ Apolonia W 4-146.3 1420 1270 25.61% 36.66% 37.72%+0.10 +29.3 30
1987-04-12 Tomori D 0-045.1 1207 1197 54.08% 34.95% 10.97%+0.67 -3.4 18
1987-04-12 @ Besa D 0-045.1 1197 1207 10.97% 34.95% 54.08%-0.67 +3.4 15
1987-04-12 Skenderbeu W 3-134.6 1435 1182 70.50% 25.85% 3.65%+1.84 +2.6 28
1987-04-12 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-334.6 1182 1435 3.65% 25.85% 70.50%-1.84 -2.6 14
1987-04-12 Vllaznia W 2-143.4 1442 1348 60.29% 32.44% 7.27%+1.07 +3.4 31
1987-04-12 @ Flamurtari L 1-243.4 1348 1442 7.27% 32.44% 60.29%-1.07 -3.4 24
1987-04-12 Lokomotiva Durres W 2-144.3 1210 1276 47.25% 36.33% 16.42%+0.30 +6.9 17
1987-04-12 @ Labinoti L 1-244.3 1276 1210 16.42% 36.33% 47.25%-0.30 -6.9 19
1987-04-12 Luftetari W 2-146.9 1145 1290 38.39% 36.68% 24.93%-0.07 +9.1 12
1987-04-12 @ Traktori L 1-246.9 1290 1145 24.93% 36.68% 38.39%+0.07 -9.1 22
1987-04-12 17 Nentori D 1-150.5 1206 1351 38.36% 36.68% 24.96%-0.07 -0.8 18
1987-04-12 @ Naftetari D 1-150.5 1351 1206 24.96% 36.68% 38.36%+0.07 +0.8 23
1987-04-19 Apolonia W 4-030.1 1352 1240 61.51% 31.79% 6.69%+1.16 +11.8 25
1987-04-19 @ 17 Nentori L 0-430.1 1240 1352 6.69% 31.79% 61.51%-1.16 -11.8 23
1987-04-19 Naftetari W 1-034.6 1280 1205 59.02% 33.06% 7.92%+0.98 +3.9 24
1987-04-19 @ Luftetari L 0-134.6 1205 1280 7.92% 33.06% 59.02%-0.98 -3.9 18
1987-04-19 Flamurtari W 1-042.0 1449 1445 53.63% 35.09% 11.29%+0.64 +5.4 32
1987-04-19 @ Partizani L 0-142.0 1445 1449 11.29% 35.09% 53.63%-0.64 -5.4 31
1987-04-19 Besa W 4-032.5 1179 1204 51.17% 35.70% 13.14%+0.50 +22.0 16
1987-04-19 @ Skenderbeu L 0-432.5 1204 1179 13.14% 35.70% 51.17%-0.50 -22.0 18
1987-04-19 Traktori W 1-033.6 1270 1154 61.80% 31.63% 6.56%+1.18 +3.2 21
1987-04-19 @ Lokomotiva Durres L 0-133.6 1154 1270 6.56% 31.63% 61.80%-1.18 -3.2 12
1987-04-19 Labinoti D 1-150.4 1201 1217 51.90% 35.53% 12.57%+0.54 -2.8 16
1987-04-19 @ Tomori D 1-150.4 1217 1201 12.57% 35.53% 51.90%-0.54 +2.8 18
1987-04-19 Dinamo Tirana W 3-144.7 1345 1438 44.43% 36.58% 19.00%+0.17 +13.2 26
1987-04-19 @ Vllaznia L 1-344.7 1438 1345 19.00% 36.58% 44.43%-0.17 -13.2 28
1987-05-03 Luftetari W 2-144.1 1229 1284 48.28% 36.20% 15.52%+0.35 +6.6 25
1987-05-03 @ Apolonia L 1-244.1 1284 1229 15.52% 36.20% 48.28%-0.35 -6.6 24
1987-05-03 Besa W 2-138.1 1425 1182 69.86% 26.32% 3.82%+1.79 +1.6 30
1987-05-03 @ Dinamo Tirana L 1-238.1 1182 1425 3.82% 26.32% 69.86%-1.79 -1.6 18
1987-05-03 17 Nentori W 2-144.1 1440 1364 59.06% 33.04% 7.90%+0.99 +3.7 33
1987-05-03 @ Flamurtari L 1-244.1 1364 1440 7.90% 33.04% 59.06%-0.99 -3.7 25
1987-05-03 Skenderbeu W 1-035.7 1220 1201 54.79% 34.73% 10.48%+0.71 +5.1 20
1987-05-03 @ Labinoti L 0-135.7 1201 1220 10.48% 34.73% 54.79%-0.71 -5.1 16
1987-05-03 Tomori L 0-147.6 1150 1198 49.07% 36.08% 14.85%+0.39 -15.8 12
1987-05-03 @ Traktori W 1-047.6 1198 1150 14.85% 36.08% 49.07%-0.39 +15.8 18
1987-05-03 Lokomotiva Durres W 2-035.3 1201 1273 46.70% 36.39% 16.91%+0.28 +14.0 20
1987-05-03 @ Naftetari L 0-235.3 1273 1201 16.91% 36.39% 46.70%-0.28 -14.0 21
1987-05-03 Partizani W 1-042.6 1358 1455 44.03% 36.60% 19.37%+0.16 +8.2 28
1987-05-03 @ Vllaznia L 0-142.6 1455 1358 19.37% 36.60% 44.03%-0.16 -8.2 32
1987-05-07 Labinoti D 1-150.3 1180 1225 49.33% 36.04% 14.63%+0.41 -2.4 19
1987-05-07 @ Besa D 1-150.3 1225 1180 14.63% 36.04% 49.33%-0.41 +2.4 21
1987-05-07 Vllaznia W 2-144.5 1360 1366 52.78% 35.32% 11.90%+0.59 +5.4 27
1987-05-07 @ 17 Nentori L 1-244.5 1366 1360 11.90% 35.32% 52.78%-0.59 -5.4 28
1987-05-07 Flamurtari D 2-257.9 1278 1443 35.76% 36.58% 27.66%-0.17 -0.4 25
1987-05-07 @ Luftetari D 2-257.9 1443 1278 27.66% 36.58% 35.76%+0.17 +0.4 34
1987-05-07 Dinamo Tirana W 1-041.0 1447 1426 54.91% 34.69% 10.40%+0.72 +5.1 34
1987-05-07 @ Partizani L 0-141.0 1426 1447 10.40% 34.69% 54.91%-0.72 -5.1 30
1987-05-07 Traktori W 2-140.8 1196 1135 58.01% 33.52% 8.47%+0.92 +4.0 18
1987-05-07 @ Skenderbeu L 1-240.8 1135 1196 8.47% 33.52% 58.01%-0.92 -4.0 12
1987-05-07 Apolonia D 0-045.4 1259 1235 55.18% 34.61% 10.22%+0.74 -3.6 22
1987-05-07 @ Lokomotiva Durres D 0-045.4 1235 1259 10.22% 34.61% 55.18%-0.74 +3.6 26
1987-05-07 Naftetari W 1-036.2 1214 1215 53.16% 35.22% 11.62%+0.62 +5.6 20
1987-05-07 @ Tomori L 0-136.2 1215 1214 11.62% 35.22% 53.16%-0.62 -5.6 20
1987-05-10 Tomori W 2-032.8 1239 1219 54.85% 34.71% 10.44%+0.72 +9.6 28
1987-05-10 @ Apolonia L 0-232.8 1219 1239 10.44% 34.71% 54.85%-0.72 -9.6 20
1987-05-10 Labinoti W 1-033.2 1421 1227 66.85% 28.47% 4.68%+1.55 +2.2 32
1987-05-10 @ Dinamo Tirana L 0-133.2 1227 1421 4.68% 28.47% 66.85%-1.55 -2.2 21
1987-05-10 Lokomotiva Durres W 2-030.8 1444 1255 66.50% 28.71% 4.79%+1.53 +4.2 36
1987-05-10 @ Flamurtari L 0-230.8 1255 1444 4.79% 28.71% 66.50%-1.53 -4.2 22
1987-05-10 Besa L 1-350.4 1131 1178 49.12% 36.07% 14.81%+0.40 -25.8 12
1987-05-10 @ Traktori W 3-150.4 1178 1131 14.81% 36.07% 49.12%-0.40 +25.8 21
1987-05-10 Skenderbeu L 0-148.8 1210 1200 54.07% 34.96% 10.97%+0.67 -17.2 20
1987-05-10 @ Naftetari W 1-048.8 1200 1210 10.97% 34.96% 54.07%-0.67 +17.2 20
1987-05-10 17 Nentori D 0-049.6 1452 1365 59.78% 32.70% 7.52%+1.04 -4.4 35
1987-05-10 @ Partizani D 0-049.6 1365 1452 7.52% 32.70% 59.78%-1.04 +4.3 28
1987-05-10 Luftetari W 2-141.5 1361 1277 59.57% 32.80% 7.63%+1.02 +3.6 30
1987-05-10 @ Vllaznia L 1-241.5 1277 1361 7.63% 32.80% 59.57%-1.02 -3.6 25
1987-05-17 Naftetari D 1-150.6 1203 1192 54.18% 34.92% 10.89%+0.68 -3.1 22
1987-05-17 @ Besa D 1-150.6 1192 1203 10.89% 34.92% 54.18%-0.68 +3.1 21
1987-05-17 Traktori W 2-030.4 1225 1105 62.09% 31.47% 6.44%+1.20 +6.0 23
1987-05-17 @ Labinoti L 0-230.4 1105 1225 6.44% 31.47% 62.09%-1.20 -6.0 12
1987-05-17 Dinamo Tirana L 3-463.5 1370 1424 48.48% 36.17% 15.35%+0.36 -13.6 28
1987-05-17 @ 17 Nentori W 4-363.5 1424 1370 15.35% 36.17% 48.48%-0.36 +13.6 34
1987-05-17 Partizani D 1-152.1 1274 1447 34.72% 36.53% 28.75%-0.21 -0.3 26
1987-05-17 @ Luftetari D 1-152.1 1447 1274 28.75% 36.53% 34.72%+0.21 +0.4 36
1987-05-17 Apolonia D 2-256.3 1217 1248 50.57% 35.82% 13.61%+0.47 -1.9 21
1987-05-17 @ Skenderbeu D 2-256.3 1248 1217 13.61% 35.82% 50.57%-0.47 +1.9 29
1987-05-17 Vllaznia L 0-146.6 1251 1364 42.19% 36.68% 21.13%+0.08 -13.9 22
1987-05-17 @ Lokomotiva Durres W 1-046.6 1364 1251 21.13% 36.68% 42.19%-0.08 +13.9 32
1987-05-17 Flamurtari W 2-151.6 1210 1448 26.23% 35.63% 38.14%-0.52 +12.0 22
1987-05-17 @ Tomori L 1-251.6 1448 1210 38.14% 35.63% 26.23%+0.52 -11.9 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1986-09-14 6.41% Luftetari 1207 4 @ Lokomotiva Durres 1328 0
2 1987-02-22 6.91% Luftetari 1276 2 @ 17 Nentori 1380 1
3 1986-11-16 8.46% Partizani 1362 3 @ Dinamo Tirana 1423 1
4 1987-04-05 9.31% Dinamo Tirana 1417 1 @ Flamurtari 1460 0
5 1986-10-19 10.30% Flamurtari 1405 1 @ Dinamo Tirana 1426 0
6 1987-05-10 10.97% Skenderbeu 1200 1 @ Naftetari 1210 0
7 1986-08-31 12.00% Apolonia 1234 1 @ Besa 1226 0
8 1986-11-09 13.34% Flamurtari 1430 1 @ 17 Nentori 1403 0
9 1986-10-19 13.94% Lokomotiva Durres 1257 2 @ Besa 1221 1
10 1987-05-10 14.81% Besa 1178 3 @ Traktori 1131 1
11 1987-05-03 14.85% Tomori 1198 1 @ Traktori 1150 0
12 1986-09-14 15.28% Apolonia 1256 1 @ Traktori 1203 0
13 1987-05-17 15.35% Dinamo Tirana 1424 4 @ 17 Nentori 1370 3
14 1986-09-28 18.44% Partizani 1355 1 @ Labinoti 1267 0
15 1986-10-19 18.70% Vllaznia 1355 3 @ Apolonia 1264 2
16 1987-05-17 21.13% Vllaznia 1364 1 @ Lokomotiva Durres 1251 0
17 1986-09-28 21.98% Luftetari 1285 1 @ Skenderbeu 1164 0
18 1987-03-08 22.44% Vllaznia 1345 1 @ Labinoti 1221 0
19 1986-09-26 24.59% Flamurtari 1383 1 @ Naftetari 1241 0
20 1987-04-12 25.61% Partizani 1420 4 @ Apolonia 1270 1
21 1987-03-01 26.14% @ Naftetari 1192 1 Dinamo Tirana 1431 0
22 1987-05-17 26.23% @ Tomori 1210 2 Flamurtari 1448 1
23 1986-09-28 26.48% Vllaznia 1336 1 @ Traktori 1179 0
24 1987-03-08 27.11% @ Besa 1195 1 Partizani 1426 0
25 1986-09-14 27.64% Partizani 1347 1 @ Skenderbeu 1181 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-09-14 69.37 Luftetari 4 1207 6.41% @ Lokomotiva Durres 0 1328 62.16% 31.43%
2 1986-11-16 29.95 Partizani 3 1362 8.46% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1423 58.03% 33.51%
3 1987-04-12 29.33 Partizani 4 1420 25.61% @ Apolonia 1 1270 37.72% 36.66%
4 1987-05-10 25.78 Besa 3 1178 14.81% @ Traktori 1 1131 49.12% 36.07%
5 1987-04-19 22.02 @ Skenderbeu 4 1179 51.17% Besa 0 1204 13.14% 35.70%
6 1986-11-23 19.89 @ Skenderbeu 3 1166 47.32% Naftetari 0 1232 16.36% 36.32%
7 1987-02-25 18.86 @ Lokomotiva Durres 4 1266 44.07% 17 Nentori 1 1362 19.33% 36.60%
8 1987-02-22 18.03 Luftetari 2 1276 6.91% @ 17 Nentori 1 1380 61.04% 32.05%
9 1987-04-05 17.95 Dinamo Tirana 1 1417 9.31% @ Flamurtari 0 1460 56.60% 34.09%
10 1987-02-22 17.72 Dinamo Tirana 2 1410 40.15% @ Traktori 0 1157 24.52% 35.33%
11 1986-10-19 17.51 Flamurtari 1 1405 10.30% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 1426 55.05% 34.65%
12 1987-05-10 17.23 Skenderbeu 1 1200 10.97% @ Naftetari 0 1210 54.07% 34.96%
13 1986-10-26 17.02 @ Tomori 5 1199 52.70% Besa 1 1206 11.96% 35.34%
14 1986-08-31 16.82 Apolonia 1 1234 12.00% @ Besa 0 1226 52.65% 35.35%
15 1986-11-09 16.31 Flamurtari 1 1430 13.34% @ 17 Nentori 0 1403 50.91% 35.75%
16 1987-05-03 15.78 Tomori 1 1198 14.85% @ Traktori 0 1150 49.07% 36.08%
17 1986-09-14 15.63 Apolonia 1 1256 15.28% @ Traktori 0 1203 48.56% 36.16%
18 1986-10-19 15.17 Lokomotiva Durres 2 1257 13.94% @ Besa 1 1221 50.16% 35.89%
19 1986-11-09 14.89 @ Skenderbeu 2 1157 45.07% Labinoti 0 1244 18.40% 36.53%
20 1986-09-28 14.63 Partizani 1 1355 18.44% @ Labinoti 0 1267 45.03% 36.54%
21 1987-05-03 14.02 @ Naftetari 2 1201 46.70% Lokomotiva Durres 0 1273 16.91% 36.39%
22 1987-05-17 13.86 Vllaznia 1 1364 21.13% @ Lokomotiva Durres 0 1251 42.19% 36.68%
23 1986-10-25 13.79 @ 17 Nentori 6 1388 64.48% Naftetari 0 1232 5.48% 30.04%
24 1987-02-25 13.72 @ Traktori 2 1139 47.27% Naftetari 0 1205 16.40% 36.33%
25 1986-09-28 13.63 Luftetari 1 1285 21.98% @ Skenderbeu 0 1164 41.33% 36.69%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1987-05-17 63.5 Dinamo Tirana 4 1424 15.35% @ 17 Nentori 3 1370 48.48% 36.17%
2 1987-03-01 60.2 @ Flamurtari 2 1454 69.47% Labinoti 2 1217 3.92% 26.61%
3 1987-03-08 59.3 @ Dinamo Tirana 2 1418 63.29% Lokomotiva Durres 2 1280 5.94% 30.77%
4 1986-10-26 59.2 @ Vllaznia 2 1368 48.43% Flamurtari 2 1422 15.39% 36.18%
5 1986-11-16 58.3 @ Vllaznia 2 1351 50.14% 17 Nentori 2 1387 13.96% 35.90%
6 1986-10-19 58.2 Vllaznia 3 1355 18.70% @ Apolonia 2 1264 44.75% 36.56%
7 1987-05-07 57.9 @ Luftetari 2 1278 35.76% Flamurtari 2 1443 27.66% 36.58%
8 1987-02-22 57.4 Luftetari 2 1276 6.91% @ 17 Nentori 1 1380 61.04% 32.05%
9 1986-10-04 57.1 @ Tomori 2 1206 28.36% Dinamo Tirana 2 1427 35.70% 35.94%
10 1986-09-25 56.7 @ Besa 2 1217 35.47% 17 Nentori 2 1385 27.96% 36.57%
11 1987-04-05 56.4 @ Tomori 2 1200 54.93% Skenderbeu 2 1179 10.38% 34.69%
12 1986-11-23 56.3 @ Tomori 2 1222 49.58% Apolonia 2 1264 14.42% 36.00%
13 1987-05-17 56.3 @ Skenderbeu 2 1217 50.57% Apolonia 2 1248 13.61% 35.82%
14 1986-11-16 55.5 Partizani 3 1362 8.46% @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1423 58.03% 33.51%
15 1987-04-05 54.8 Dinamo Tirana 1 1417 9.31% @ Flamurtari 0 1460 56.60% 34.09%
16 1986-10-19 54.3 Lokomotiva Durres 2 1257 13.94% @ Besa 1 1221 50.16% 35.89%
17 1986-09-11 54.0 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1436 67.47% Naftetari 1 1232 4.49% 28.04%
18 1986-11-23 53.5 @ 17 Nentori 1 1388 53.02% Partizani 1 1392 11.73% 35.25%
19 1986-10-19 53.2 Flamurtari 1 1405 10.30% @ Dinamo Tirana 0 1426 55.05% 34.65%
20 1986-09-07 53.0 @ Flamurtari 1 1389 65.92% Besa 1 1210 4.98% 29.10%
21 1986-09-21 52.5 @ Partizani 1 1359 63.79% Besa 1 1213 5.74% 30.47%
22 1986-10-26 52.3 @ Partizani 1 1361 61.41% Apolonia 1 1251 6.74% 31.85%
23 1986-11-09 52.3 Flamurtari 1 1430 13.34% @ 17 Nentori 0 1403 50.91% 35.75%
24 1986-11-23 52.1 @ Lokomotiva Durres 1 1270 33.99% Flamurtari 1 1449 29.53% 36.48%
25 1987-05-17 52.1 @ Luftetari 1 1274 34.72% Partizani 1 1447 28.75% 36.53%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-09-21 27.9 @ 17 Nentori 3 1380 67.87% Skenderbeu 0 1169 4.37% 27.76%
2 1986-09-21 28.4 @ Flamurtari 4 1375 66.44% Traktori 0 1187 4.81% 28.75%
3 1987-03-01 28.9 @ Partizani 2 1423 69.83% Skenderbeu 0 1180 3.82% 26.35%
4 1987-03-15 29.0 @ Vllaznia 2 1359 67.83% Traktori 0 1149 4.38% 27.79%
5 1986-08-31 29.9 @ Dinamo Tirana 6 1426 67.68% Traktori 0 1219 4.42% 27.90%
6 1987-03-01 29.9 @ 17 Nentori 5 1344 63.51% Tomori 0 1202 5.85% 30.64%
7 1987-04-19 30.1 @ 17 Nentori 4 1352 61.51% Apolonia 0 1240 6.69% 31.79%
8 1986-10-04 30.4 @ Flamurtari 3 1396 62.28% Apolonia 0 1273 6.36% 31.36%
9 1987-02-22 30.4 @ Partizani 3 1404 62.71% Lokomotiva Durres 0 1274 6.18% 31.11%
10 1987-05-17 30.4 @ Labinoti 2 1225 62.09% Traktori 0 1105 6.44% 31.47%
11 1986-10-25 30.7 @ 17 Nentori 6 1388 64.48% Naftetari 0 1232 5.48% 30.04%
12 1986-12-06 30.8 @ Partizani 3 1394 61.37% Luftetari 0 1285 6.76% 31.87%
13 1987-05-10 30.8 @ Flamurtari 2 1444 66.50% Lokomotiva Durres 0 1255 4.79% 28.71%
14 1986-10-04 31.1 @ Vllaznia 2 1349 62.15% Naftetari 0 1228 6.41% 31.44%
15 1986-09-21 32.0 @ Luftetari 2 1277 57.93% Tomori 0 1216 8.52% 33.55%
16 1987-04-05 32.1 @ 17 Nentori 1 1349 67.37% Traktori 0 1147 4.52% 28.11%
17 1987-03-29 32.5 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1416 68.08% Tomori 0 1202 4.31% 27.62%
18 1987-04-19 32.5 @ Skenderbeu 4 1179 51.17% Besa 0 1204 13.14% 35.70%
19 1986-09-07 32.6 @ Partizani 6 1334 61.07% Tomori 1 1229 6.90% 32.03%
20 1987-05-10 32.8 @ Apolonia 2 1239 54.85% Tomori 0 1219 10.44% 34.71%
21 1986-08-31 33.0 @ Labinoti 2 1249 54.30% Naftetari 0 1237 10.81% 34.89%
22 1986-12-07 33.0 @ Flamurtari 4 1449 69.02% Tomori 1 1220 4.04% 26.94%
23 1987-04-05 33.0 @ Partizani 4 1415 67.51% Naftetari 1 1211 4.48% 28.02%
24 1986-09-07 33.2 @ Vllaznia 1 1336 64.19% Skenderbeu 0 1184 5.59% 30.22%
25 1987-05-10 33.2 @ Dinamo Tirana 1 1421 66.85% Labinoti 0 1227 4.68% 28.47%