Home / Leagues / Armenia / Armenian Premier League / 2018-19
‹ ›

2018-19 Armenian Premier League Season

144 games

Final

Champion

Ararat-Armenia

61 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lori

10.75 points above expected

44 points · 33.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Alashkert

8.48 points below expected

51 points · 59.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ararat-Armenia Champion 32 18 7 7 61 53 28 +25 52.98 +8.02
2 Pyunik 32 18 6 8 60 46 32 +14 50.40 +9.60
3 Banants 32 14 10 8 52 43 35 +8 48.12 +3.88
4 Alashkert 32 15 6 11 51 37 27 +10 59.48 -8.48
5 Lori 32 11 11 10 44 42 40 +2 33.25 +10.75
6 Gandzasar Kapan 32 10 8 14 38 38 33 +5 44.89 -6.89
7 Shirak 32 7 15 10 36 26 30 -4 44.08 -8.08
8 Artsakh 32 6 10 16 28 25 49 -24 33.48 -5.48
9 Ararat 32 5 7 20 22 24 60 -36 24.68 -2.68

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lori 44 33.25 +10.75
2 Pyunik 60 50.40 +9.60
3 Ararat-Armenia 61 52.98 +8.02
4 Banants 52 48.12 +3.88
5 Ararat 22 24.68 -2.68

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Alashkert 51 59.48 -8.48
2 Shirak 36 44.08 -8.08
3 Gandzasar Kapan 38 44.89 -6.89
4 Artsakh 28 33.48 -5.48
5 Ararat 22 24.68 -2.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lori 5 Aug 18 – Sep 15 1 in 7,333
2 Banants 5 Aug 25 – Sep 23 1 in 431
3 Ararat-Armenia 7 Nov 24 – Mar 17 1 in 340
4 Pyunik 6 Apr 11 – May 10 1 in 267
5 Gandzasar Kapan 4 Nov 11 – Dec 2 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ararat 7 Aug 25 – Oct 20 1 in 169
2 Banants 4 Nov 4 – Nov 28 1 in 81
3 Lori 3 May 1 – May 14 1 in 37
4 Pyunik 2 Aug 29 – Sep 1 1 in 29
5 Alashkert 2 Sep 16 – Sep 19 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Banants 13 Dec 1 – May 15 1 in 94
2 Lori 7 Mar 3 – Apr 14 1 in 39
3 Shirak 7 Mar 15 – May 2 1 in 35
4 Ararat-Armenia 12 Nov 24 – Apr 26 1 in 22
5 Pyunik 9 Apr 11 – May 26 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Artsakh 11 Aug 18 – Oct 31 1 in 87
2 Shirak 7 Aug 4 – Sep 1 1 in 43
3 Gandzasar Kapan 6 Aug 19 – Sep 15 1 in 26
4 Ararat 12 Aug 19 – Nov 4 1 in 22
5 Banants 5 May 10 – May 30 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Ararat-Armenia 1382 61 +19 12 9.3 +2.7
Pyunik 1354 60 +34 11 9.7 +1.3
Banants 1242 52 -94 3 7.5 -4.5
Alashkert 1293 51 -22 5 8.5 -3.5
Lori 1171 44 -11 5 5.2 -0.2
Gandzasar Kapan 1292 38 +89 8 7.8 +0.2
Shirak 1184 36 -50 1 5.9 -4.9
Artsakh 1121 28 +10 7 3.9 +3.1
Ararat 1014 22 +10 7 3.4 +3.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALA ARA ARA ART BAN GK LOR PYU SHI
Alashkert —
3-0-1
8.76
1-0-3
6.23
2-2-0
7.97
1-1-2
6.92
4-0-0
6.58
1-1-2
7.77
1-0-3
6.85
2-2-0
6.97
Ararat
1-0-3
2.30
 —
1-0-3
2.70
1-3-0
4.06
0-1-3
2.96
0-0-4
3.07
1-2-1
4.16
1-0-3
2.82
0-1-3
3.21
Ararat-Armenia
3-0-1
4.62
3-0-1
8.29
 —
3-1-0
7.64
2-1-1
6.23
1-2-1
6.09
3-1-0
7.50
1-1-2
6.07
2-1-1
6.46
Artsakh
0-2-2
2.98
0-3-1
6.79
0-1-3
3.28
 —
1-1-2
3.91
3-1-0
3.87
1-0-3
5.56
0-1-3
3.57
1-1-2
4.02
Banants
2-1-1
3.94
3-1-0
8.03
1-1-2
4.61
2-1-1
6.97
 —
2-0-2
6.33
2-1-1
7.24
1-2-1
5.29
1-3-0
5.46
Gandzasar Kapan
0-0-4
4.27
4-0-0
7.86
1-2-1
4.77
0-1-3
6.99
2-0-2
4.52
 —
1-2-1
6.61
2-0-2
5.12
0-3-1
5.67
Lori
2-1-1
3.15
1-2-1
6.71
0-1-3
3.40
3-0-1
5.31
1-1-2
3.64
1-2-1
4.25
 —
2-1-1
3.48
1-3-0
3.98
Pyunik
3-0-1
4.01
3-0-1
8.17
2-1-1
4.77
3-1-0
7.33
1-2-1
5.54
2-0-2
5.70
1-1-2
7.42
 —
3-1-0
5.73
Shirak
0-2-2
3.89
3-1-0
7.71
1-1-2
4.41
2-1-1
6.83
0-3-1
5.38
1-3-0
5.16
0-3-1
6.92
0-1-3
5.11
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +12.3
Allowed 0.61 -9.8
Differential 0.89 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.19%11.46%5.90%3.47%0.69%0.69%35.42%
111.46%10.42%5.56%4.51%0.69%0.35%32.99%
25.90%5.56%4.17%1.39%1.04%0.35%18.40%
33.47%4.51%1.39%———9.38%
40.69%0.69%1.04%———2.43%
5+0.69%0.35%0.35%———1.39%
Total35.42%32.99%18.40%9.38%2.43%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.16 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.75
CV 1.04 1.04 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 144

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%15.62%3.12%———25.00%
128.12%12.50%9.38%3.12%——53.12%
26.25%6.25%—3.12%——15.62%
3———————
4——3.12%———3.12%
5+3.12%—————3.12%
Total43.75%34.38%15.62%6.25%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 0.84 +0.31
SD 1.22 0.92 1.53
CV 1.06 1.09 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%18.75%9.38%3.12%3.12%—43.75%
19.38%6.25%9.38%6.25%3.12%3.12%37.50%
2—6.25%6.25%—3.12%3.12%18.75%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.75%31.25%25.00%9.38%9.38%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.88 -1.12
SD 0.76 1.70 1.64
CV 1.02 0.91 —
Max 2 7 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%————18.75%
115.62%6.25%6.25%6.25%3.12%—37.50%
29.38%3.12%3.12%———15.62%
39.38%12.50%————21.88%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+——3.12%———3.12%
Total46.88%31.25%12.50%6.25%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 0.88 +0.78
SD 1.38 1.07 1.68
CV 0.83 1.22 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.62%9.38%9.38%9.38%—3.12%46.88%
16.25%12.50%6.25%6.25%——31.25%
26.25%3.12%3.12%6.25%——18.75%
3——3.12%———3.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.12%25.00%21.88%21.88%—3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.53 -0.75
SD 0.87 1.39 1.65
CV 1.11 0.91 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%9.38%3.12%6.25%—3.12%34.38%
19.38%18.75%—3.12%——31.25%
23.12%6.25%————9.38%
33.12%12.50%————15.62%
43.12%—6.25%———9.38%
5+———————
Total31.25%46.88%9.38%9.38%—3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.09 +0.25
SD 1.36 1.15 1.88
CV 1.01 1.05 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.62%15.62%15.62%3.12%——50.00%
16.25%6.25%6.25%———18.75%
26.25%3.12%3.12%—3.12%—15.62%
33.12%3.12%————6.25%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+3.12%3.12%————6.25%
Total37.50%31.25%25.00%3.12%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.03 +0.16
SD 1.69 1.03 2.13
CV 1.43 1.00 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%9.38%6.25%3.12%——31.25%
16.25%9.38%6.25%6.25%——28.12%
23.12%3.12%12.50%———18.75%
36.25%6.25%9.38%———21.88%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.12%28.12%34.38%9.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.25 +0.06
SD 1.15 0.98 1.46
CV 0.87 0.79 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%9.38%—6.25%——21.88%
112.50%9.38%3.12%3.12%——28.12%
212.50%18.75%3.12%—3.12%—37.50%
33.12%6.25%————9.38%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+———————
Total34.38%46.88%6.25%9.38%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.00 +0.44
SD 1.05 1.05 1.56
CV 0.73 1.05 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
028.12%9.38%6.25%—3.12%—46.88%
19.38%12.50%3.12%6.25%——31.25%
26.25%—6.25%3.12%——15.62%
36.25%—————6.25%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%21.88%15.62%9.38%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 0.94 -0.12
SD 0.93 1.16 1.45
CV 1.15 1.24 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ararat-Armenia 1382 61 52.98 +8.02 91.0% 26 41 49 54 58 62 65
Pyunik 1354 60 50.40 +9.60 91.0% 36 38 45 51 56 62 65
Alashkert 1293 51 59.48 -8.48 10.0% 43 47 55 60 64 69 75
Gandzasar Kapan 1292 38 44.89 -6.89 16.0% 30 35 40 44 50 55 60
Banants 1242 52 48.12 +3.88 76.0% 27 36 44 48 52 58 72
Shirak 1184 36 44.08 -8.08 13.0% 26 31 39 43 49 56 62
Lori 1171 44 33.25 +10.75 94.0% 18 20 28 33 37 45 49
Artsakh 1121 28 33.48 -5.48 25.0% 19 22 28 33 39 44 50
Ararat 1014 22 24.68 -2.68 38.0% 11 16 20 25 28 34 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 10% * Clear Edge: 10% to 14% * Strong Edge: 14% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.17%
No Edge
38.19%27.78%34.03%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 14.48 Elo pts.
305 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.08 goals
Neutral
-2+0.05+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
12349
Champion Preseason Odds
20%
Ararat-Armenia, 2nd of 9
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.44 * Some Luck: 5.44 to 8.16 * Lucky: 8.16 to 10.88 * Wild Swing: 10.88 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.85 * Close: 0.85 to 1.28 * Off: 1.28 to 1.71 * Way Off: 1.71 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 9 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 9 * As Expected: 9 to 14.4 * Several Outliers: 14.4 to 19.8 * Many Outliers: 19.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.52 points
Some Luck
06.8017
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Off
01.072.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 94.44%
94.00%
Lori
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
10.00%
Alashkert
05.56%50
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 9
Minimal Outliers
00.99

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.55 * Strong Separation: 2.55 to 2.8 * Wide Separation: 2.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 89% * Wide Edge: 89% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93.5% * Clear Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Strong Edge: 97.5% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 47% * Some Drama: 47% to 56% * Frequent: 56% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 32% * Very Frequent: 32% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Balanced
00.20.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 117.43
1.87
Coin-Flip Parity
12.252.553.5
Interquartile Edge
67%
Even
50%72.5%85%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Even
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.45 * Slight Separation: 0.45 to 0.51 * Notable Separation: 0.51 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.18
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.13
Weak Carryover
00.370.630.771
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.05
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.55
Overconfident
0.4114321.001.58857
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.152
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1470.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789
Ararat-Armenia20.00%33.00%19.00%14.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Pyunik11.00%18.00%29.00%17.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%——
Banants5.00%13.00%14.00%29.00%26.00%6.00%6.00%—1.00%
Alashkert61.00%21.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%———
Lori——1.00%3.00%9.00%13.00%24.00%35.00%15.00%
Gandzasar Kapan2.00%6.00%14.00%22.00%24.00%21.00%11.00%——
Shirak1.00%9.00%13.00%7.00%17.00%27.00%19.00%6.00%1.00%
Artsakh———4.00%5.00%15.00%21.00%44.00%11.00%
Ararat————1.00%2.00%12.00%14.00%71.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Alashkert 100% —
Gandzasar Kapan 100% —
Pyunik 100% —
Ararat-Armenia 99.00% 1.00%
Banants 99.00% 1.00%
Shirak 99.00% 1.00%
Artsakh 89.00% 11.00%
Lori 85.00% 15.00%
Ararat 29.00% 71.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-08-04 Ararat-Armenia L 0-231.5 1020 1246 13.79% 25.66% 60.56%-0.69 -11.2 0
2018-08-04 @ Lori W 2-031.5 1246 1020 60.56% 25.66% 13.79%+0.69 +11.2 3
2018-08-04 Shirak D 0-048.1 1242 1272 33.09% 29.44% 37.47%-0.05 +0.3 1
2018-08-04 @ Banants D 0-048.1 1272 1242 37.47% 29.44% 33.09%+0.05 -0.3 1
2018-08-05 Alashkert L 0-136.0 1138 1336 15.67% 26.55% 57.78%-0.60 -6.7 0
2018-08-05 @ Ararat W 1-036.0 1336 1138 57.78% 26.55% 15.67%+0.60 +6.7 3
2018-08-11 Ararat L 1-253.3 1258 1132 53.30% 27.70% 19.00%+0.46 -17.0 3
2018-08-11 @ Ararat-Armenia W 2-153.3 1132 1258 19.00% 27.70% 53.30%-0.46 +17.0 3
2018-08-11 Banants W 1-042.1 1246 1243 37.87% 29.43% 32.70%+0.06 +12.4 3
2018-08-11 @ Artsakh L 0-142.1 1243 1246 32.70% 29.43% 37.87%-0.06 -12.4 1
2018-08-12 Lori D 1-154.5 1272 1009 66.36% 23.32% 10.32%+0.91 -4.5 2
2018-08-12 @ Shirak D 1-154.5 1009 1272 10.32% 23.32% 66.36%-0.91 +4.5 1
2018-08-18 Artsakh W 3-259.7 1014 1259 12.66% 25.01% 62.33%-0.76 +18.4 4
2018-08-18 @ Lori L 2-359.7 1259 1014 62.33% 25.01% 12.66%+0.76 -18.5 3
2018-08-19 Alashkert L 0-142.4 1299 1343 31.16% 29.38% 39.46%-0.10 -11.9 0
2018-08-19 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 1-042.4 1343 1299 39.46% 29.38% 31.16%+0.10 +11.9 6
2018-08-19 Ararat-Armenia W 3-144.0 1252 1241 38.93% 29.40% 31.67%+0.08 +19.7 3
2018-08-19 @ Pyunik L 1-344.0 1241 1252 31.67% 29.40% 38.93%-0.08 -19.7 3
2018-08-19 Shirak D 0-048.1 1149 1267 22.39% 28.47% 49.13%-0.34 +2.2 4
2018-08-19 @ Ararat D 0-048.1 1267 1149 49.13% 28.47% 22.39%+0.34 -2.2 3
2018-08-22 Ararat D 1-153.1 1240 1151 49.09% 28.48% 22.43%+0.34 -2.0 4
2018-08-22 @ Artsakh D 1-153.1 1151 1240 22.43% 28.48% 49.09%-0.34 +2.0 5
2018-08-22 Gandzasar Kapan D 0-048.1 1221 1287 28.38% 29.22% 42.40%-0.17 +1.1 4
2018-08-22 @ Ararat-Armenia D 0-048.1 1287 1221 42.40% 29.22% 28.38%+0.17 -1.1 1
2018-08-22 Lori L 1-351.2 1230 1032 60.67% 25.62% 13.72%+0.70 -32.9 1
2018-08-22 @ Banants W 3-151.2 1032 1230 13.72% 25.62% 60.67%-0.70 +32.9 7
2018-08-22 Pyunik L 1-249.1 1265 1272 36.42% 29.46% 34.12%+0.03 -12.6 3
2018-08-22 @ Shirak W 2-149.1 1272 1265 34.12% 29.46% 36.42%-0.03 +12.6 6
2018-08-25 Shirak D 1-153.3 1286 1253 41.88% 29.26% 28.87%+0.16 -0.9 2
2018-08-25 @ Gandzasar Kapan D 1-153.3 1253 1286 28.87% 29.26% 41.88%-0.16 +0.9 4
2018-08-25 Banants L 2-446.9 1153 1197 31.09% 29.38% 39.53%-0.10 -17.4 5
2018-08-25 @ Ararat W 4-246.9 1197 1153 39.53% 29.38% 31.09%+0.10 +17.4 4
2018-08-26 Ararat-Armenia L 1-350.5 1355 1222 54.02% 27.54% 18.45%+0.48 -29.8 6
2018-08-26 @ Alashkert W 3-150.5 1222 1355 18.45% 27.54% 54.02%-0.48 +29.8 7
2018-08-26 Artsakh W 2-037.1 1284 1238 43.61% 29.13% 27.27%+0.20 +20.4 9
2018-08-26 @ Pyunik L 0-237.1 1238 1284 27.27% 29.13% 43.61%-0.20 -20.4 4
2018-08-29 Alashkert D 0-048.4 1254 1325 27.70% 29.17% 43.13%-0.19 +1.2 5
2018-08-29 @ Shirak D 0-048.4 1325 1254 43.13% 29.17% 27.70%+0.19 -1.2 7
2018-08-29 Ararat W 1-044.7 1065 1135 27.80% 29.17% 43.02%-0.18 +15.1 10
2018-08-29 @ Lori L 0-144.7 1135 1065 43.02% 29.17% 27.80%+0.18 -15.1 5
2018-08-29 Gandzasar Kapan D 2-258.7 1218 1285 28.27% 29.21% 42.52%-0.17 +0.8 5
2018-08-29 @ Artsakh D 2-258.7 1285 1218 42.52% 29.21% 28.27%+0.17 -0.8 3
2018-08-29 Pyunik W 4-251.5 1215 1305 25.51% 28.94% 45.55%-0.25 +23.1 7
2018-08-29 @ Banants L 2-451.5 1305 1215 45.55% 28.94% 25.51%+0.25 -23.1 9
2018-09-01 Artsakh W 6-033.9 1324 1219 50.90% 28.18% 20.93%+0.39 +45.7 10
2018-09-01 @ Alashkert L 0-633.9 1219 1324 20.93% 28.18% 50.90%-0.39 -45.7 5
2018-09-01 Gandzasar Kapan W 1-044.3 1238 1284 30.91% 29.37% 39.71%-0.10 +14.2 10
2018-09-01 @ Banants L 0-144.3 1284 1238 39.71% 29.37% 30.91%+0.10 -14.2 3
2018-09-01 Lori L 0-343.8 1282 1080 60.96% 25.51% 13.52%+0.71 -55.5 9
2018-09-01 @ Pyunik W 3-043.8 1080 1282 13.52% 25.51% 60.96%-0.71 +55.4 13
2018-09-01 Shirak W 3-144.6 1252 1255 36.92% 29.45% 33.63%+0.04 +20.6 10
2018-09-01 @ Ararat-Armenia L 1-344.6 1255 1252 33.63% 29.45% 36.92%-0.04 -20.6 5
2018-09-15 Ararat-Armenia D 1-153.1 1173 1272 24.44% 28.80% 46.75%-0.28 +1.6 6
2018-09-15 @ Artsakh D 1-153.1 1272 1173 46.75% 28.80% 24.44%+0.28 -1.6 11
2018-09-15 Gandzasar Kapan W 3-041.7 1136 1270 20.89% 28.17% 50.94%-0.39 +47.6 16
2018-09-15 @ Lori L 0-341.7 1270 1136 50.94% 28.17% 20.89%+0.39 -47.6 3
2018-09-16 Alashkert W 1-047.3 1252 1369 22.56% 28.50% 48.94%-0.34 +16.8 13
2018-09-16 @ Banants L 0-147.3 1369 1252 48.94% 28.50% 22.56%+0.34 -16.8 10
2018-09-16 Pyunik L 1-341.1 1120 1226 23.75% 28.70% 47.55%-0.30 -15.8 5
2018-09-16 @ Ararat W 3-141.1 1226 1120 47.55% 28.70% 23.75%+0.30 +15.8 12
2018-09-19 Pyunik L 1-253.6 1353 1242 51.57% 28.05% 20.38%+0.41 -16.5 10
2018-09-19 @ Alashkert W 2-153.6 1242 1353 20.38% 28.05% 51.57%-0.41 +16.5 15
2018-09-22 Ararat W 4-031.8 1222 1104 52.37% 27.90% 19.74%+0.43 +29.7 6
2018-09-22 @ Gandzasar Kapan L 0-431.8 1104 1222 19.74% 27.90% 52.37%-0.43 -29.7 5
2018-09-22 Lori W 2-142.4 1336 1183 56.18% 27.00% 16.82%+0.55 +6.8 13
2018-09-22 @ Alashkert L 1-242.4 1183 1336 16.82% 27.00% 56.18%-0.55 -6.8 16
2018-09-23 Artsakh W 3-034.3 1234 1175 45.38% 28.96% 25.66%+0.24 +28.2 8
2018-09-23 @ Shirak L 0-334.3 1175 1234 25.66% 28.96% 45.38%-0.24 -28.2 6
2018-09-23 Banants L 1-345.9 1271 1269 37.60% 29.44% 32.96%+0.05 -22.3 11
2018-09-23 @ Ararat-Armenia W 3-145.9 1269 1271 32.96% 29.44% 37.60%-0.05 +22.3 16
2018-09-29 Lori D 0-048.0 1249 1176 46.98% 28.77% 24.25%+0.28 -1.8 12
2018-09-29 @ Ararat-Armenia D 0-048.0 1176 1249 24.25% 28.77% 46.98%-0.28 +1.8 17
2018-09-29 Banants D 0-048.2 1262 1291 33.24% 29.44% 37.31%-0.05 +0.3 9
2018-09-29 @ Shirak D 0-048.2 1291 1262 37.31% 29.44% 33.24%+0.05 -0.3 17
2018-09-30 Ararat W 2-139.0 1343 1075 66.80% 23.12% 10.08%+0.93 +4.0 16
2018-09-30 @ Alashkert L 1-239.0 1075 1343 10.08% 23.12% 66.80%-0.93 -4.0 5
2018-09-30 Pyunik L 1-249.0 1252 1258 36.39% 29.46% 34.15%+0.03 -12.6 6
2018-09-30 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 2-149.0 1258 1252 34.15% 29.46% 36.39%-0.03 +12.6 18
2018-10-03 Gandzasar Kapan L 0-144.8 1271 1239 41.73% 29.27% 29.01%+0.15 -14.8 18
2018-10-03 @ Pyunik W 1-044.8 1239 1271 29.01% 29.27% 41.73%-0.15 +14.8 9
2018-10-06 Alashkert L 0-140.3 1256 1347 25.43% 28.93% 45.64%-0.25 -10.2 18
2018-10-06 @ Pyunik W 1-040.3 1347 1256 45.64% 28.93% 25.43%+0.25 +10.2 19
2018-10-07 Ararat-Armenia L 0-136.4 1071 1247 17.27% 27.16% 55.57%-0.53 -7.4 5
2018-10-07 @ Ararat W 1-036.4 1247 1071 55.57% 27.16% 17.27%+0.53 +7.4 15
2018-10-07 Artsakh W 2-142.5 1291 1146 55.29% 27.23% 17.48%+0.52 +7.0 20
2018-10-07 @ Banants L 1-242.5 1146 1291 17.48% 27.23% 55.29%-0.52 -7.0 6
2018-10-07 Shirak W 3-147.7 1178 1263 26.11% 29.01% 44.88%-0.23 +25.5 20
2018-10-07 @ Lori L 1-347.7 1263 1178 44.88% 29.01% 26.11%+0.23 -25.5 9
2018-10-20 Ararat W 1-035.6 1237 1063 58.31% 26.39% 15.30%+0.62 +6.6 12
2018-10-20 @ Shirak L 0-135.6 1063 1237 15.30% 26.39% 58.31%-0.62 -6.6 5
2018-10-20 Lori L 2-350.9 1139 1204 28.56% 29.23% 42.20%-0.16 -10.0 6
2018-10-20 @ Artsakh W 3-250.9 1204 1139 42.20% 29.23% 28.56%+0.16 +10.0 23
2018-10-21 Gandzasar Kapan W 1-038.8 1357 1254 50.69% 28.21% 21.10%+0.39 +8.8 22
2018-10-21 @ Alashkert L 0-138.8 1254 1357 21.10% 28.21% 50.69%-0.39 -8.8 9
2018-10-21 Pyunik D 0-048.0 1254 1246 38.47% 29.42% 32.12%+0.07 -0.5 16
2018-10-21 @ Ararat-Armenia D 0-048.0 1246 1254 32.12% 29.42% 38.47%-0.07 +0.5 19
2018-10-27 Ararat-Armenia D 0-048.0 1245 1254 36.15% 29.46% 34.39%+0.02 -0.1 10
2018-10-27 @ Gandzasar Kapan D 0-048.0 1254 1245 34.39% 29.46% 36.15%-0.02 +0.1 17
2018-10-27 Artsakh D 0-047.7 1057 1129 27.52% 29.15% 43.33%-0.19 +1.2 6
2018-10-27 @ Ararat D 0-047.7 1129 1057 43.33% 29.15% 27.52%+0.19 -1.2 7
2018-10-28 Shirak D 1-153.0 1247 1244 37.72% 29.44% 32.84%+0.06 -0.3 20
2018-10-28 @ Pyunik D 1-153.0 1244 1247 32.84% 29.44% 37.72%-0.06 +0.3 13
2018-10-28 Banants L 1-342.3 1214 1298 26.15% 29.01% 44.83%-0.23 -17.1 23
2018-10-28 @ Lori W 3-142.3 1298 1214 44.83% 29.01% 26.15%+0.23 +17.1 23
2018-10-31 Alashkert L 0-139.6 1254 1366 23.08% 28.59% 48.33%-0.32 -9.5 17
2018-10-31 @ Ararat-Armenia W 1-039.6 1366 1254 48.33% 28.59% 23.08%+0.32 +9.5 25
2018-10-31 Gandzasar Kapan W 2-038.9 1244 1245 37.20% 29.45% 33.36%+0.04 +23.6 16
2018-10-31 @ Shirak L 0-238.9 1245 1244 33.36% 29.45% 37.20%-0.04 -23.6 10
2018-10-31 Pyunik D 0-048.0 1128 1246 22.47% 28.49% 49.04%-0.34 +2.2 8
2018-10-31 @ Artsakh D 0-048.0 1246 1128 49.04% 28.49% 22.47%+0.34 -2.2 21
2018-10-31 Banants L 0-134.2 1058 1315 12.01% 24.60% 63.39%-0.80 -5.2 6
2018-10-31 @ Ararat W 1-034.2 1315 1058 63.39% 24.60% 12.01%+0.80 +5.2 26
2018-11-03 Artsakh L 0-243.1 1221 1130 49.29% 28.45% 22.27%+0.35 -31.9 10
2018-11-03 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 2-043.1 1130 1221 22.27% 28.45% 49.29%-0.35 +31.9 11
2018-11-03 Shirak W 1-038.9 1375 1268 51.21% 28.12% 20.67%+0.40 +8.7 28
2018-11-03 @ Alashkert L 0-138.9 1268 1375 20.67% 28.12% 51.21%-0.40 -8.6 16
2018-11-04 Lori D 2-258.7 1053 1197 19.99% 27.96% 52.05%-0.42 +1.8 7
2018-11-04 @ Ararat D 2-258.7 1197 1053 52.05% 27.96% 19.99%+0.42 -1.8 24
2018-11-04 Banants W 2-042.2 1244 1320 27.10% 29.11% 43.78%-0.20 +28.9 24
2018-11-04 @ Pyunik L 0-242.2 1320 1244 43.78% 29.11% 27.10%+0.20 -28.9 26
2018-11-11 Alashkert D 0-049.3 1162 1384 14.05% 25.80% 60.15%-0.68 +4.0 12
2018-11-11 @ Artsakh D 0-049.3 1384 1162 60.15% 25.80% 14.05%+0.68 -4.0 29
2018-11-11 Ararat-Armenia W 1-041.6 1259 1244 39.42% 29.38% 31.20%+0.10 +11.9 19
2018-11-11 @ Shirak L 0-141.6 1244 1259 31.20% 29.38% 39.42%-0.10 -11.9 17
2018-11-11 Pyunik L 0-140.2 1195 1273 26.88% 29.09% 44.03%-0.21 -10.7 24
2018-11-11 @ Lori W 1-040.2 1273 1195 44.03% 29.09% 26.88%+0.21 +10.7 27
2018-11-11 Banants W 3-040.8 1190 1291 24.19% 28.77% 47.04%-0.29 +44.5 13
2018-11-11 @ Gandzasar Kapan L 0-340.8 1291 1190 47.04% 28.77% 24.19%+0.29 -44.5 26
2018-11-24 Artsakh W 3-141.6 1232 1166 46.21% 28.87% 24.92%+0.26 +16.5 20
2018-11-24 @ Ararat-Armenia L 1-341.6 1166 1232 24.92% 28.87% 46.21%-0.26 -16.5 12
2018-11-24 Banants W 1-037.9 1380 1247 54.08% 27.52% 18.40%+0.48 +7.8 32
2018-11-24 @ Alashkert L 0-137.9 1247 1380 18.40% 27.52% 54.08%-0.48 -7.8 26
2018-11-25 Ararat L 0-149.5 1284 1055 63.47% 24.56% 11.96%+0.80 -20.9 27
2018-11-25 @ Pyunik W 1-049.5 1055 1284 11.96% 24.56% 63.47%-0.80 +20.9 10
2018-11-25 Lori W 2-036.6 1234 1184 44.14% 29.08% 26.78%+0.21 +20.1 16
2018-11-25 @ Gandzasar Kapan L 0-236.6 1184 1234 26.78% 29.08% 44.14%-0.21 -20.1 24
2018-11-28 Alashkert D 1-154.4 1164 1388 13.94% 25.74% 60.33%-0.69 +3.6 25
2018-11-28 @ Lori D 1-154.4 1388 1164 60.33% 25.74% 13.94%+0.69 -3.6 33
2018-11-28 Ararat-Armenia L 0-337.7 1239 1249 35.94% 29.46% 34.59%+0.02 -36.2 26
2018-11-28 @ Banants W 3-037.7 1249 1239 34.59% 29.46% 35.94%-0.02 +36.2 23
2018-11-28 Gandzasar Kapan L 0-233.0 1075 1254 17.06% 27.09% 55.85%-0.54 -13.8 10
2018-11-28 @ Ararat W 2-033.0 1254 1075 55.85% 27.09% 17.06%+0.54 +13.8 19
2018-11-28 Shirak L 0-138.4 1150 1271 22.14% 28.43% 49.43%-0.35 -9.2 12
2018-11-28 @ Artsakh W 1-038.4 1271 1150 49.43% 28.43% 22.14%+0.35 +9.2 22
2018-12-01 Ararat-Armenia L 0-138.6 1168 1285 22.55% 28.50% 48.95%-0.34 -9.3 25
2018-12-01 @ Lori W 1-038.6 1285 1168 48.95% 28.50% 22.55%+0.34 +9.3 26
2018-12-01 Shirak W 4-039.7 1203 1280 26.95% 29.10% 43.95%-0.21 +55.0 29
2018-12-01 @ Banants L 0-439.7 1280 1203 43.95% 29.10% 26.95%+0.21 -55.0 22
2018-12-02 Alashkert W 1-050.6 1062 1384 9.03% 22.14% 68.84%-1.01 +22.3 13
2018-12-02 @ Ararat L 0-150.6 1384 1062 68.84% 22.14% 9.03%+1.01 -22.3 33
2018-12-02 Gandzasar Kapan L 1-345.6 1263 1268 36.58% 29.46% 33.96%+0.03 -21.9 27
2018-12-02 @ Pyunik W 3-145.6 1268 1263 33.96% 29.46% 36.58%-0.03 +21.9 22
2019-03-02 Ararat W 4-134.0 1294 1084 61.77% 25.22% 13.01%+0.74 +13.0 29
2019-03-02 @ Ararat-Armenia L 1-434.0 1084 1294 13.01% 25.22% 61.77%-0.74 -13.0 13
2019-03-02 Pyunik L 1-253.9 1362 1241 52.74% 27.82% 19.44%+0.44 -16.9 33
2019-03-02 @ Alashkert W 2-153.9 1241 1362 19.44% 27.82% 52.74%-0.44 +16.9 30
2019-03-03 Lori D 0-047.9 1225 1158 46.30% 28.86% 24.84%+0.27 -1.7 23
2019-03-03 @ Shirak D 0-047.9 1158 1225 24.84% 28.86% 46.30%-0.27 +1.7 26
2019-03-03 Banants D 1-153.1 1141 1258 22.56% 28.50% 48.94%-0.34 +1.9 13
2019-03-03 @ Artsakh D 1-153.1 1258 1141 48.94% 28.50% 22.56%+0.34 -1.9 30
2019-03-06 Alashkert L 2-447.5 1290 1345 29.72% 29.31% 40.97%-0.13 -16.8 22
2019-03-06 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 4-247.5 1345 1290 40.97% 29.31% 29.72%+0.13 +16.8 36
2019-03-06 Ararat-Armenia L 0-336.4 1258 1307 30.45% 29.35% 40.21%-0.12 -32.1 30
2019-03-06 @ Pyunik W 3-036.4 1307 1258 40.21% 29.35% 30.45%+0.12 +32.1 32
2019-03-06 Artsakh W 2-037.8 1160 1143 39.79% 29.37% 30.84%+0.11 +22.3 29
2019-03-06 @ Lori L 0-237.8 1143 1160 30.84% 29.37% 39.79%-0.11 -22.3 13
2019-03-06 Shirak L 0-233.8 1071 1223 19.23% 27.76% 53.01%-0.45 -15.3 13
2019-03-06 @ Ararat W 2-033.8 1223 1071 53.01% 27.76% 19.23%+0.45 +15.3 26
2019-03-09 Gandzasar Kapan W 2-036.8 1339 1273 46.24% 28.86% 24.90%+0.27 +19.0 35
2019-03-09 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-236.8 1273 1339 24.90% 28.86% 46.24%-0.27 -19.0 22
2019-03-10 Ararat D 0-047.8 1120 1056 46.00% 28.89% 25.11%+0.26 -1.7 14
2019-03-10 @ Artsakh D 0-047.8 1056 1120 25.11% 28.89% 46.00%-0.26 +1.7 14
2019-03-10 Pyunik L 0-240.5 1239 1226 39.19% 29.39% 31.42%+0.09 -26.6 26
2019-03-10 @ Shirak W 2-040.5 1226 1239 31.42% 29.39% 39.19%-0.09 +26.5 33
2019-03-11 Lori D 0-048.0 1256 1182 47.13% 28.76% 24.12%+0.29 -1.9 31
2019-03-11 @ Banants D 0-048.0 1182 1256 24.12% 28.76% 47.13%-0.29 +1.9 30
2019-03-15 Shirak D 0-048.0 1254 1212 43.07% 29.17% 27.76%+0.18 -1.2 23
2019-03-15 @ Gandzasar Kapan D 0-048.0 1212 1254 27.76% 29.17% 43.07%-0.18 +1.2 27
2019-03-16 Artsakh W 1-036.9 1252 1119 54.12% 27.51% 18.36%+0.49 +7.8 36
2019-03-16 @ Pyunik L 0-136.9 1119 1252 18.36% 27.51% 54.12%-0.49 -7.8 14
2019-03-17 Ararat W 3-137.2 1254 1057 60.50% 25.68% 13.82%+0.69 +9.8 34
2019-03-17 @ Banants L 1-337.2 1057 1254 13.82% 25.68% 60.50%-0.69 -9.7 14
2019-03-17 Ararat-Armenia L 0-145.4 1362 1358 37.83% 29.43% 32.74%+0.06 -13.7 36
2019-03-17 @ Alashkert W 1-045.4 1358 1362 32.74% 29.43% 37.83%-0.06 +13.7 38
2019-03-30 Alashkert D 1-153.7 1213 1348 20.84% 28.16% 51.00%-0.39 +2.2 28
2019-03-30 @ Shirak D 1-153.7 1348 1213 51.00% 28.16% 20.84%+0.39 -2.2 37
2019-03-31 Ararat D 2-258.8 1184 1048 54.46% 27.44% 18.11%+0.50 -2.0 31
2019-03-31 @ Lori D 2-258.8 1048 1184 18.11% 27.44% 54.46%-0.50 +2.0 15
2019-03-31 Pyunik D 1-153.1 1264 1260 37.88% 29.43% 32.69%+0.06 -0.3 35
2019-03-31 @ Banants D 1-153.1 1260 1264 32.69% 29.43% 37.88%-0.06 +0.3 37
2019-04-01 Gandzasar Kapan W 2-043.7 1111 1253 20.15% 28.00% 51.85%-0.42 +33.2 17
2019-04-01 @ Artsakh L 0-243.7 1253 1111 51.85% 28.00% 20.15%+0.42 -33.2 23
2019-04-06 Banants L 1-247.3 1220 1263 31.20% 29.38% 39.42%-0.10 -11.3 23
2019-04-06 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 2-147.3 1263 1220 39.42% 29.38% 31.20%+0.10 +11.3 38
2019-04-07 Artsakh W 1-035.1 1346 1144 61.00% 25.50% 13.50%+0.71 +5.8 40
2019-04-07 @ Alashkert L 0-135.1 1144 1346 13.50% 25.50% 61.00%-0.71 -5.8 17
2019-04-07 Lori L 1-252.0 1260 1182 47.69% 28.68% 23.63%+0.30 -15.5 37
2019-04-07 @ Pyunik W 2-152.0 1182 1260 23.63% 28.68% 47.69%-0.30 +15.5 34
2019-04-08 Shirak D 2-259.8 1372 1216 56.53% 26.90% 16.56%+0.56 -2.3 39
2019-04-08 @ Ararat-Armenia D 2-259.8 1216 1372 16.56% 26.90% 56.53%-0.56 +2.3 29
2019-04-10 Alashkert W 2-042.7 1275 1352 27.01% 29.10% 43.89%-0.21 +29.0 41
2019-04-10 @ Banants L 0-242.7 1352 1275 43.89% 29.10% 27.01%+0.21 -29.0 40
2019-04-10 Gandzasar Kapan D 0-047.8 1198 1208 35.83% 29.46% 34.71%+0.01 -0.1 35
2019-04-10 @ Lori D 0-047.8 1208 1198 34.71% 29.46% 35.83%-0.01 +0.1 24
2019-04-11 Ararat-Armenia L 1-337.4 1138 1370 13.45% 25.47% 61.07%-0.71 -9.5 17
2019-04-11 @ Artsakh W 3-137.4 1370 1138 61.07% 25.47% 13.45%+0.71 +9.5 42
2019-04-11 Pyunik L 1-241.6 1050 1245 15.85% 26.62% 57.52%-0.59 -6.4 15
2019-04-11 @ Ararat W 2-141.6 1245 1050 57.52% 26.62% 15.85%+0.59 +6.4 40
2019-04-14 Ararat W 1-035.8 1208 1043 57.43% 26.65% 15.92%+0.59 +6.8 27
2019-04-14 @ Gandzasar Kapan L 0-135.8 1043 1208 15.92% 26.65% 57.43%-0.59 -6.8 15
2019-04-14 Lori L 0-147.8 1323 1198 53.19% 27.72% 19.09%+0.46 -18.0 40
2019-04-14 @ Alashkert W 1-047.8 1198 1323 19.09% 27.72% 53.19%-0.46 +18.0 38
2019-04-15 Artsakh D 0-048.0 1218 1129 49.07% 28.48% 22.45%+0.34 -2.2 30
2019-04-15 @ Shirak D 0-048.0 1129 1218 22.45% 28.48% 49.07%-0.34 +2.2 18
2019-04-15 Banants D 1-154.5 1379 1304 47.40% 28.72% 23.88%+0.30 -1.7 43
2019-04-15 @ Ararat-Armenia D 1-154.5 1304 1379 23.88% 28.72% 47.40%-0.30 +1.7 42
2019-04-19 Ararat W 2-029.7 1305 1036 66.81% 23.12% 10.08%+0.93 +8.1 43
2019-04-19 @ Alashkert L 0-229.7 1036 1305 10.08% 23.12% 66.81%-0.93 -8.1 15
2019-04-19 Lori W 3-031.5 1378 1216 57.10% 26.75% 16.16%+0.58 +19.0 46
2019-04-19 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-331.5 1216 1378 16.16% 26.75% 57.10%-0.58 -19.0 38
2019-04-19 Banants D 0-048.2 1216 1305 25.54% 28.94% 45.51%-0.25 +1.6 31
2019-04-19 @ Shirak D 0-048.2 1305 1216 45.51% 28.94% 25.54%+0.25 -1.6 43
2019-04-20 Pyunik L 0-141.9 1215 1251 32.26% 29.42% 38.32%-0.07 -12.2 27
2019-04-20 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 1-041.9 1251 1215 38.32% 29.42% 32.26%+0.07 +12.2 43
2019-04-26 Ararat-Armenia L 2-630.7 1028 1397 7.40% 20.31% 72.29%-1.16 -7.6 15
2019-04-26 @ Ararat W 6-230.7 1397 1028 72.29% 20.31% 7.40%+1.16 +7.6 49
2019-04-27 Alashkert W 1-044.7 1263 1313 30.47% 29.35% 40.18%-0.11 +14.3 46
2019-04-27 @ Pyunik L 0-144.7 1313 1263 40.18% 29.35% 30.47%+0.11 -14.3 43
2019-04-27 Artsakh W 3-030.5 1304 1131 58.21% 26.42% 15.37%+0.62 +18.1 46
2019-04-27 @ Banants L 0-330.5 1131 1304 15.37% 26.42% 58.21%-0.62 -18.1 18
2019-04-28 Shirak D 2-258.4 1197 1217 34.38% 29.46% 36.16%-0.02 +0.1 39
2019-04-28 @ Lori D 2-258.4 1217 1197 36.16% 29.46% 34.38%+0.02 -0.1 32
2019-05-01 Gandzasar Kapan W 2-035.1 1298 1203 49.79% 28.37% 21.84%+0.36 +17.1 46
2019-05-01 @ Alashkert L 0-235.1 1203 1298 21.84% 28.37% 49.79%-0.36 -17.1 27
2019-05-01 Lori W 2-151.0 1113 1197 26.18% 29.02% 44.81%-0.23 +14.7 21
2019-05-01 @ Artsakh L 1-251.0 1197 1113 44.81% 29.02% 26.18%+0.23 -14.7 39
2019-05-01 Pyunik L 1-448.3 1404 1278 53.34% 27.69% 18.97%+0.46 -41.7 49
2019-05-01 @ Ararat-Armenia W 4-148.3 1278 1404 18.97% 27.69% 53.34%-0.46 +41.7 49
2019-05-02 Ararat W 3-029.6 1217 1021 60.50% 25.68% 13.82%+0.69 +16.4 35
2019-05-02 @ Shirak L 0-329.6 1021 1217 13.82% 25.68% 60.50%-0.69 -16.4 15
2019-05-04 Ararat-Armenia W 2-154.2 1186 1362 17.23% 27.15% 55.62%-0.53 +17.6 30
2019-05-04 @ Gandzasar Kapan L 1-254.2 1362 1186 55.62% 27.15% 17.23%+0.53 -17.7 49
2019-05-04 Banants L 1-340.2 1182 1322 20.36% 28.05% 51.59%-0.41 -13.9 39
2019-05-04 @ Lori W 3-140.2 1322 1182 51.59% 28.05% 20.36%+0.41 +13.9 49
2019-05-05 Shirak W 2-035.7 1319 1234 48.65% 28.55% 22.81%+0.33 +17.7 52
2019-05-05 @ Pyunik L 0-235.7 1234 1319 22.81% 28.55% 48.65%-0.33 -17.7 35
2019-05-06 Artsakh W 2-152.2 1004 1127 21.97% 28.39% 49.63%-0.36 +16.0 18
2019-05-06 @ Ararat L 1-252.2 1127 1004 49.63% 28.39% 21.97%+0.36 -16.0 21
2019-05-10 Ararat D 1-155.2 1336 1020 70.52% 21.27% 8.21%+1.08 -5.0 50
2019-05-10 @ Banants D 1-155.2 1020 1336 8.21% 21.27% 70.52%-1.08 +5.0 19
2019-05-10 Pyunik L 0-329.9 1111 1337 13.81% 25.67% 60.52%-0.69 -16.3 21
2019-05-10 @ Artsakh W 3-029.9 1337 1111 60.52% 25.67% 13.81%+0.69 +16.3 55
2019-05-11 Gandzasar Kapan D 0-047.8 1216 1204 39.07% 29.40% 31.53%+0.09 -0.6 36
2019-05-11 @ Shirak D 0-047.8 1204 1216 31.53% 29.40% 39.07%-0.09 +0.6 31
2019-05-12 Alashkert W 2-147.8 1345 1315 41.40% 29.29% 29.32%+0.14 +10.8 52
2019-05-12 @ Ararat-Armenia L 1-247.8 1315 1345 29.32% 29.29% 41.40%-0.14 -10.8 46
2019-05-14 Artsakh L 0-146.9 1204 1095 51.39% 28.09% 20.53%+0.41 -17.5 31
2019-05-14 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 1-046.9 1095 1204 20.53% 28.09% 51.39%-0.41 +17.5 24
2019-05-14 Lori W 1-047.0 1025 1168 20.10% 27.98% 51.92%-0.42 +17.6 22
2019-05-14 @ Ararat L 0-147.0 1168 1025 51.92% 27.98% 20.10%+0.42 -17.6 39
2019-05-15 Shirak W 1-038.8 1305 1215 49.07% 28.48% 22.45%+0.34 +9.2 49
2019-05-15 @ Alashkert L 0-138.8 1215 1305 22.45% 28.48% 49.07%-0.34 -9.2 36
2019-05-15 Banants D 1-154.3 1353 1331 40.49% 29.34% 30.17%+0.12 -0.7 56
2019-05-15 @ Pyunik D 1-154.3 1331 1353 30.17% 29.34% 40.49%-0.12 +0.7 51
2019-05-18 Gandzasar Kapan L 0-543.2 1332 1187 55.33% 27.22% 17.45%+0.52 -82.2 51
2019-05-18 @ Banants W 5-043.2 1187 1332 17.45% 27.22% 55.33%-0.52 +82.2 34
2019-05-19 Alashkert D 1-153.8 1113 1314 15.40% 26.44% 58.16%-0.61 +3.3 25
2019-05-19 @ Artsakh D 1-153.8 1314 1113 58.16% 26.44% 15.40%+0.61 -3.3 50
2019-05-19 Ararat-Armenia L 0-137.9 1206 1356 19.49% 27.83% 52.68%-0.44 -8.2 36
2019-05-19 @ Shirak W 1-037.9 1356 1206 52.68% 27.83% 19.49%+0.44 +8.2 55
2019-05-20 Pyunik D 2-259.6 1150 1353 15.34% 26.41% 58.25%-0.62 +2.5 40
2019-05-20 @ Lori D 2-259.6 1353 1150 58.25% 26.41% 15.34%+0.62 -2.5 57
2019-05-24 Artsakh W 2-030.5 1364 1116 65.11% 23.88% 11.01%+0.86 +8.9 58
2019-05-24 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-230.5 1116 1364 11.01% 23.88% 65.11%-0.86 -8.9 25
2019-05-24 Banants D 1-153.5 1311 1249 45.60% 28.94% 25.46%+0.25 -1.4 51
2019-05-24 @ Alashkert D 1-153.5 1249 1311 25.46% 28.94% 45.60%-0.25 +1.4 52
2019-05-25 Lori D 1-153.3 1269 1153 52.17% 27.94% 19.90%+0.43 -2.4 35
2019-05-25 @ Gandzasar Kapan D 1-153.3 1153 1269 19.90% 27.94% 52.17%-0.43 +2.4 41
2019-05-26 Ararat W 2-138.0 1350 1043 69.91% 21.59% 8.50%+1.06 +3.3 60
2019-05-26 @ Pyunik L 1-238.0 1043 1350 8.50% 21.59% 69.91%-1.06 -3.3 22
2019-05-30 Alashkert W 3-258.0 1155 1309 19.10% 27.73% 53.17%-0.46 +16.1 44
2019-05-30 @ Lori L 2-358.0 1309 1155 53.17% 27.73% 19.10%+0.46 -16.1 51
2019-05-30 Ararat-Armenia L 0-139.3 1251 1373 22.09% 28.42% 49.50%-0.35 -9.1 52
2019-05-30 @ Banants W 1-039.3 1373 1251 49.50% 28.42% 22.09%+0.35 +9.1 61
2019-05-30 Gandzasar Kapan L 1-731.8 1040 1266 13.75% 25.64% 60.62%-0.70 -25.6 22
2019-05-30 @ Ararat W 7-131.8 1266 1040 60.62% 25.64% 13.75%+0.70 +25.7 38
2019-05-30 Shirak W 3-255.9 1107 1198 25.39% 28.93% 45.68%-0.25 +14.2 28
2019-05-30 @ Artsakh L 2-355.9 1198 1107 45.68% 28.93% 25.39%+0.25 -14.2 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-12-02 9.03% @ Ararat 1062 1 Alashkert 1384 0
2 2018-11-25 11.96% Ararat 1055 1 @ Pyunik 1284 0
3 2018-08-18 12.66% @ Lori 1014 3 Artsakh 1259 2
4 2018-09-01 13.52% Lori 1080 3 @ Pyunik 1282 0
5 2018-08-22 13.72% Lori 1032 3 @ Banants 1230 1
6 2019-05-04 17.23% @ Gandzasar Kapan 1186 2 Ararat-Armenia 1362 1
7 2019-05-18 17.45% Gandzasar Kapan 1187 5 @ Banants 1332 0
8 2018-08-26 18.45% Ararat-Armenia 1222 3 @ Alashkert 1355 1
9 2019-05-01 18.97% Pyunik 1278 4 @ Ararat-Armenia 1404 1
10 2018-08-11 19.00% Ararat 1132 2 @ Ararat-Armenia 1258 1
11 2019-04-14 19.09% Lori 1198 1 @ Alashkert 1323 0
12 2019-05-30 19.10% @ Lori 1155 3 Alashkert 1309 2
13 2019-03-02 19.44% Pyunik 1241 2 @ Alashkert 1362 1
14 2019-05-14 20.10% @ Ararat 1025 1 Lori 1168 0
15 2019-04-01 20.15% @ Artsakh 1111 2 Gandzasar Kapan 1253 0
16 2018-09-19 20.38% Pyunik 1242 2 @ Alashkert 1353 1
17 2019-05-14 20.53% Artsakh 1095 1 @ Gandzasar Kapan 1204 0
18 2018-09-15 20.89% @ Lori 1136 3 Gandzasar Kapan 1270 0
19 2019-05-06 21.97% @ Ararat 1004 2 Artsakh 1127 1
20 2018-11-03 22.27% Artsakh 1130 2 @ Gandzasar Kapan 1221 0
21 2018-09-16 22.56% @ Banants 1252 1 Alashkert 1369 0
22 2019-04-07 23.63% Lori 1182 2 @ Pyunik 1260 1
23 2018-11-11 24.19% @ Gandzasar Kapan 1190 3 Banants 1291 0
24 2019-05-30 25.39% @ Artsakh 1107 3 Shirak 1198 2
25 2018-08-29 25.51% @ Banants 1215 4 Pyunik 1305 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-05-18 82.19 Gandzasar Kapan 5 1187 17.45% @ Banants 0 1332 55.33% 27.22%
2 2018-09-01 55.45 Lori 3 1080 13.52% @ Pyunik 0 1282 60.96% 25.51%
3 2018-12-01 55.04 @ Banants 4 1203 26.95% Shirak 0 1280 43.95% 29.10%
4 2018-09-15 47.56 @ Lori 3 1136 20.89% Gandzasar Kapan 0 1270 50.94% 28.17%
5 2018-09-01 45.74 @ Alashkert 6 1324 50.90% Artsakh 0 1219 20.93% 28.18%
6 2018-11-11 44.51 @ Gandzasar Kapan 3 1190 24.19% Banants 0 1291 47.04% 28.77%
7 2019-05-01 41.71 Pyunik 4 1278 18.97% @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1404 53.34% 27.69%
8 2018-11-28 36.21 Ararat-Armenia 3 1249 34.59% @ Banants 0 1239 35.94% 29.46%
9 2019-04-01 33.24 @ Artsakh 2 1111 20.15% Gandzasar Kapan 0 1253 51.85% 28.00%
10 2018-08-22 32.93 Lori 3 1032 13.72% @ Banants 1 1230 60.67% 25.62%
11 2019-03-06 32.13 Ararat-Armenia 3 1307 40.21% @ Pyunik 0 1258 30.45% 29.35%
12 2018-11-03 31.85 Artsakh 2 1130 22.27% @ Gandzasar Kapan 0 1221 49.29% 28.45%
13 2018-08-26 29.82 Ararat-Armenia 3 1222 18.45% @ Alashkert 1 1355 54.02% 27.54%
14 2018-09-22 29.73 @ Gandzasar Kapan 4 1222 52.37% Ararat 0 1104 19.74% 27.90%
15 2019-04-10 28.98 @ Banants 2 1275 27.01% Alashkert 0 1352 43.89% 29.10%
16 2018-11-04 28.92 @ Pyunik 2 1244 27.10% Banants 0 1320 43.78% 29.11%
17 2018-09-23 28.23 @ Shirak 3 1234 45.38% Artsakh 0 1175 25.66% 28.96%
18 2019-03-10 26.56 Pyunik 2 1226 31.42% @ Shirak 0 1239 39.19% 29.39%
19 2019-05-30 25.66 Gandzasar Kapan 7 1266 60.62% @ Ararat 1 1040 13.75% 25.64%
20 2018-10-07 25.55 @ Lori 3 1178 26.11% Shirak 1 1263 44.88% 29.01%
21 2018-10-31 23.64 @ Shirak 2 1244 37.20% Gandzasar Kapan 0 1245 33.36% 29.45%
22 2018-08-29 23.12 @ Banants 4 1215 25.51% Pyunik 2 1305 45.55% 28.94%
23 2019-03-06 22.33 @ Lori 2 1160 39.79% Artsakh 0 1143 30.84% 29.37%
24 2018-09-23 22.30 Banants 3 1269 32.96% @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1271 37.60% 29.44%
25 2018-12-02 22.29 @ Ararat 1 1062 9.03% Alashkert 0 1384 68.84% 22.14%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-04-08 59.8 @ Ararat-Armenia 2 1372 56.53% Shirak 2 1216 16.56% 26.90%
2 2018-08-18 59.7 @ Lori 3 1014 12.66% Artsakh 2 1259 62.33% 25.01%
3 2019-05-20 59.6 @ Lori 2 1150 15.34% Pyunik 2 1353 58.25% 26.41%
4 2019-03-31 58.8 @ Lori 2 1184 54.46% Ararat 2 1048 18.11% 27.44%
5 2018-08-29 58.7 @ Artsakh 2 1218 28.27% Gandzasar Kapan 2 1285 42.52% 29.21%
6 2018-11-04 58.7 @ Ararat 2 1053 19.99% Lori 2 1197 52.05% 27.96%
7 2019-04-28 58.4 @ Lori 2 1197 34.38% Shirak 2 1217 36.16% 29.46%
8 2019-05-30 58.0 @ Lori 3 1155 19.10% Alashkert 2 1309 53.17% 27.73%
9 2019-05-30 55.9 @ Artsakh 3 1107 25.39% Shirak 2 1198 45.68% 28.93%
10 2019-05-10 55.2 @ Banants 1 1336 70.52% Ararat 1 1020 8.21% 21.27%
11 2018-08-12 54.5 @ Shirak 1 1272 66.36% Lori 1 1009 10.32% 23.32%
12 2019-04-15 54.5 @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1379 47.40% Banants 1 1304 23.88% 28.72%
13 2018-11-28 54.4 @ Lori 1 1164 13.94% Alashkert 1 1388 60.33% 25.74%
14 2019-05-15 54.3 @ Pyunik 1 1353 40.49% Banants 1 1331 30.17% 29.34%
15 2019-05-04 54.2 @ Gandzasar Kapan 2 1186 17.23% Ararat-Armenia 1 1362 55.62% 27.15%
16 2019-03-02 53.9 Pyunik 2 1241 19.44% @ Alashkert 1 1362 52.74% 27.82%
17 2019-05-19 53.8 @ Artsakh 1 1113 15.40% Alashkert 1 1314 58.16% 26.44%
18 2019-03-30 53.7 @ Shirak 1 1213 20.84% Alashkert 1 1348 51.00% 28.16%
19 2018-09-19 53.6 Pyunik 2 1242 20.38% @ Alashkert 1 1353 51.57% 28.05%
20 2019-05-24 53.5 @ Alashkert 1 1311 45.60% Banants 1 1249 25.46% 28.94%
21 2018-08-11 53.3 Ararat 2 1132 19.00% @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1258 53.30% 27.70%
22 2018-08-25 53.3 @ Gandzasar Kapan 1 1286 41.88% Shirak 1 1253 28.87% 29.26%
23 2019-05-25 53.3 @ Gandzasar Kapan 1 1269 52.17% Lori 1 1153 19.90% 27.94%
24 2018-08-22 53.1 @ Artsakh 1 1240 49.09% Ararat 1 1151 22.43% 28.48%
25 2018-09-15 53.1 @ Artsakh 1 1173 24.44% Ararat-Armenia 1 1272 46.75% 28.80%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-05-02 29.6 @ Shirak 3 1217 60.50% Ararat 0 1021 13.82% 25.68%
2 2019-04-19 29.7 @ Alashkert 2 1305 66.81% Ararat 0 1036 10.08% 23.12%
3 2019-05-10 29.9 Pyunik 3 1337 60.52% @ Artsakh 0 1111 13.81% 25.67%
4 2019-04-27 30.5 @ Banants 3 1304 58.21% Artsakh 0 1131 15.37% 26.42%
5 2019-05-24 30.5 @ Ararat-Armenia 2 1364 65.11% Artsakh 0 1116 11.01% 23.88%
6 2019-04-26 30.7 Ararat-Armenia 6 1397 72.29% @ Ararat 2 1028 7.40% 20.31%
7 2018-08-04 31.5 Ararat-Armenia 2 1246 60.56% @ Lori 0 1020 13.79% 25.66%
8 2019-04-19 31.5 @ Ararat-Armenia 3 1378 57.10% Lori 0 1216 16.16% 26.75%
9 2018-09-22 31.8 @ Gandzasar Kapan 4 1222 52.37% Ararat 0 1104 19.74% 27.90%
10 2019-05-30 31.8 Gandzasar Kapan 7 1266 60.62% @ Ararat 1 1040 13.75% 25.64%
11 2018-11-28 33.0 Gandzasar Kapan 2 1254 55.85% @ Ararat 0 1075 17.06% 27.09%
12 2019-03-06 33.8 Shirak 2 1223 53.01% @ Ararat 0 1071 19.23% 27.76%
13 2018-09-01 33.9 @ Alashkert 6 1324 50.90% Artsakh 0 1219 20.93% 28.18%
14 2019-03-02 34.0 @ Ararat-Armenia 4 1294 61.77% Ararat 1 1084 13.01% 25.22%
15 2018-10-31 34.2 Banants 1 1315 63.39% @ Ararat 0 1058 12.01% 24.60%
16 2018-09-23 34.3 @ Shirak 3 1234 45.38% Artsakh 0 1175 25.66% 28.96%
17 2019-04-07 35.1 @ Alashkert 1 1346 61.00% Artsakh 0 1144 13.50% 25.50%
18 2019-05-01 35.1 @ Alashkert 2 1298 49.79% Gandzasar Kapan 0 1203 21.84% 28.37%
19 2018-10-20 35.6 @ Shirak 1 1237 58.31% Ararat 0 1063 15.30% 26.39%
20 2019-05-05 35.7 @ Pyunik 2 1319 48.65% Shirak 0 1234 22.81% 28.55%
21 2019-04-14 35.8 @ Gandzasar Kapan 1 1208 57.43% Ararat 0 1043 15.92% 26.65%
22 2018-08-05 36.0 Alashkert 1 1336 57.78% @ Ararat 0 1138 15.67% 26.55%
23 2018-10-07 36.4 Ararat-Armenia 1 1247 55.57% @ Ararat 0 1071 17.27% 27.16%
24 2019-03-06 36.4 Ararat-Armenia 3 1307 40.21% @ Pyunik 0 1258 30.45% 29.35%
25 2018-11-25 36.6 @ Gandzasar Kapan 2 1234 44.14% Lori 0 1184 26.78% 29.08%