‹ ›

2024-25 Armenian Premier League Season

165 games

Final

Champion

Noah

75 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Noah

9.13 points above expected

75 points · 65.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gandzasar Kapan

12.01 points below expected

10 points · 22.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Noah Champion 30 24 3 3 75 92 20 +72 65.87 +9.13
2 Ararat-Armenia 30 21 3 6 66 75 28 +47 61.26 +4.74
3 Urartu 30 19 5 6 62 64 31 +33 56.73 +5.27
4 Pyunik 30 17 2 11 53 59 37 +22 59.36 -6.36
5 Van 30 15 7 8 52 56 36 +20 47.84 +4.16
6 BKMA Yerevan 30 10 6 14 36 44 54 -10 32.34 +3.66
7 Shirak 30 10 5 15 35 30 50 -20 32.72 +2.28
8 Ararat 30 9 5 16 32 36 59 -23 34.98 -2.98
9 Alashkert 30 6 8 16 26 24 52 -28 30.80 -4.80
10 West Armenia 30 7 2 21 23 22 78 -56 25.70 -2.70
11 Gandzasar Kapan 30 2 4 24 10 16 73 -57 22.01 -12.01

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Noah 75 65.87 +9.13
2 Urartu 62 56.73 +5.27
3 Ararat-Armenia 66 61.26 +4.74
4 Van 52 47.84 +4.16
5 BKMA Yerevan 36 32.34 +3.66

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gandzasar Kapan 10 22.01 -12.01
2 Pyunik 53 59.36 -6.36
3 Alashkert 26 30.80 -4.80
4 Ararat 32 34.98 -2.98
5 West Armenia 23 25.70 -2.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Noah 19 Oct 16 – Apr 26 1 in 481
2 Pyunik 8 Sep 28 – Nov 21 1 in 41
3 Ararat-Armenia 8 Mar 15 – May 18 1 in 32
4 Gandzasar Kapan 2 May 17 – May 22 1 in 23
5 Urartu 5 Aug 19 – Sep 18 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ararat 7 Sep 23 – Nov 5 1 in 35
2 West Armenia 6 Aug 9 – Sep 24 1 in 26
3 Urartu 2 Nov 11 – Nov 20 1 in 21
4 Pyunik 2 Nov 24 – Nov 28 1 in 18
5 Alashkert 3 Sep 28 – Oct 16 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alashkert 3 Mar 29 – Apr 11 1 in 63
2 Shirak 5 Oct 31 – Nov 28 1 in 43
3 Noah 23 Oct 16 – May 24 1 in 34
4 Gandzasar Kapan 3 May 17 – May 26 1 in 22
5 Ararat-Armenia 10 Mar 1 – May 18 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gandzasar Kapan 27 Aug 10 – May 12 1 in 308
2 Ararat 11 Sep 23 – Dec 3 1 in 25
3 Alashkert 13 Oct 31 – Apr 18 1 in 18
4 Ararat-Armenia 3 Nov 27 – Feb 25 1 in 11
5 Pyunik 2 Aug 5 – Aug 18 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Noah 1741 75 -11 8 11.2 -3.2
Ararat-Armenia 1657 66 +28 12 10.9 +1.1
Urartu 1553 62 +1 10 9.8 +0.2
Pyunik 1466 53 -18 6 8.3 -2.3
Van 1518 52 +41 10 7.5 +2.5
BKMA Yerevan 1335 36 +16 7 6.0 +1.0
Shirak 1288 35 +38 7 7.0 +0.0
Ararat 1267 32 +2 6 4.6 +1.4
Alashkert 1208 26 +21 9 5.6 +3.4
West Armenia 1056 23 -156 0 4.7 -4.7
Gandzasar Kapan 1117 10 +74 7 3.5 +3.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALA ARA ARA BY GK NOA PYU SHI URA VAN WA
Alashkert —
0-0-3
3.80
0-1-2
1.61
1-0-2
3.35
2-1-0
5.53
1-0-2
1.09
1-1-1
1.38
0-1-2
4.24
0-1-2
2.19
0-3-0
2.68
1-0-2
4.81
Ararat
3-0-0
4.71
—
0-1-2
1.62
0-3-0
4.58
2-1-0
5.63
1-0-2
1.55
0-0-3
2.19
1-0-2
4.41
0-0-3
2.06
1-0-2
3.16
1-0-2
5.05
Ararat-Armenia
2-1-0
6.93
2-1-0
6.93
—
3-0-0
6.93
3-0-0
7.42
0-0-3
3.11
2-0-1
4.21
3-0-0
7.03
1-0-2
4.83
2-1-0
5.75
3-0-0
7.29
BKMA Yerevan
2-0-1
5.17
0-3-0
3.94
0-0-3
1.62
—
2-1-0
6.08
0-0-3
1.28
1-0-2
1.89
1-1-1
4.19
1-0-2
1.82
1-1-1
2.42
2-0-1
4.45
Gandzasar Kapan
0-1-2
3.00
0-1-2
2.90
0-0-3
1.16
0-1-2
2.45
—
0-0-3
0.53
0-0-3
0.85
1-1-1
2.89
0-0-3
1.30
0-0-3
2.21
1-0-2
3.43
Noah
2-0-1
7.49
2-0-1
7.01
3-0-0
5.41
3-0-0
7.28
3-0-0
8.12
—
3-0-0
5.18
3-0-0
6.97
1-1-1
5.40
1-2-0
5.86
3-0-0
7.78
Pyunik
1-1-1
7.17
3-0-0
6.34
1-0-2
4.31
2-0-1
6.65
3-0-0
7.74
0-0-3
3.35
—
2-0-1
6.73
0-1-2
5.21
2-0-1
5.26
3-0-0
7.08
Shirak
2-1-0
4.28
2-0-1
4.11
0-0-3
1.52
1-1-1
4.33
1-1-1
5.63
0-0-3
1.59
1-0-2
1.81
—
1-1-1
1.84
0-0-3
2.93
2-1-0
5.08
Urartu
2-1-0
6.35
3-0-0
6.48
2-0-1
3.69
2-0-1
6.72
3-0-0
7.27
1-1-1
3.12
2-1-0
3.31
1-1-1
6.70
—
1-0-2
5.41
2-1-0
7.19
Van
0-3-0
5.85
2-0-1
5.36
0-1-2
2.78
1-1-1
6.10
3-0-0
6.34
0-2-1
2.67
1-0-2
3.26
3-0-0
5.59
2-0-1
3.11
—
3-0-0
6.20
West Armenia
2-0-1
3.71
2-0-1
3.47
0-0-3
1.27
1-0-2
4.07
2-0-1
5.09
0-0-3
0.82
0-0-3
1.47
0-1-2
3.44
0-1-2
1.37
0-0-3
2.33
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.96 +8.2
Allowed 0.91 -10.4
Differential 0.97 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.64%6.36%7.27%6.36%3.03%2.42%29.09%
16.36%6.67%6.97%3.33%0.61%2.12%26.06%
27.27%6.97%4.24%2.42%0.91%0.61%22.42%
36.36%3.33%2.42%0.61%——12.73%
43.03%0.61%0.91%———4.55%
5+2.42%2.12%0.61%———5.15%
Total29.09%26.06%22.42%12.73%4.55%5.15%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.57 +0.00
SD 1.52 1.52 2.52
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 165

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%16.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%46.67%
110.00%13.33%—6.67%——30.00%
26.67%—10.00%3.33%——20.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%23.33%26.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.73 -0.93
SD 0.89 1.46 1.96
CV 1.11 0.84 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%33.33%
13.33%10.00%10.00%———23.33%
26.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%33.33%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%30.00%20.00%16.67%10.00%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.97 -0.77
SD 1.03 1.56 2.10
CV 0.86 0.80 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
1—3.33%6.67%6.67%——16.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
323.33%3.33%10.00%———36.67%
410.00%—3.33%———13.33%
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total46.67%20.00%26.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.93 +1.57
SD 1.46 1.01 2.08
CV 0.58 1.09 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
13.33%10.00%6.67%—3.33%3.33%26.67%
23.33%10.00%6.67%—6.67%—26.67%
33.33%—6.67%———10.00%
4———————
5+—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
Total13.33%33.33%33.33%3.33%13.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.80 -0.33
SD 1.48 1.32 2.07
CV 1.01 0.74 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%16.67%13.33%13.33%6.67%6.67%60.00%
13.33%3.33%13.33%3.33%—6.67%30.00%
2——6.67%———6.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%20.00%33.33%16.67%6.67%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 2.43 -1.90
SD 0.78 1.77 2.06
CV 1.46 0.73 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%————3.33%
16.67%3.33%6.67%———16.67%
26.67%16.67%3.33%———26.67%
310.00%3.33%—3.33%——16.67%
413.33%—————13.33%
5+13.33%10.00%————23.33%
Total50.00%36.67%10.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.07 0.67 +2.40
SD 1.84 0.80 2.22
CV 0.60 1.20 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%——16.67%
110.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
210.00%3.33%—6.67%——20.00%
36.67%13.33%————20.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
Total33.33%30.00%20.00%13.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.23 +0.73
SD 1.59 1.17 2.18
CV 0.81 0.94 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%46.67%
13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—6.67%20.00%
26.67%13.33%—3.33%——23.33%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%30.00%13.33%10.00%6.67%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.67 -0.67
SD 1.14 1.73 2.32
CV 1.14 1.04 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%—3.33%3.33%——10.00%
113.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%——33.33%
26.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
310.00%6.67%—3.33%——20.00%
43.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total40.00%26.67%23.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.13 1.03 +1.10
SD 1.66 1.03 2.12
CV 0.78 1.00 —
Max 8 3 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%3.33%——3.33%10.00%
110.00%16.67%3.33%6.67%——36.67%
216.67%3.33%6.67%6.67%——33.33%
33.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total36.67%30.00%16.67%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 1.20 +0.67
SD 1.46 1.27 2.22
CV 0.78 1.06 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%10.00%26.67%3.33%6.67%53.33%
16.67%—6.67%3.33%—6.67%23.33%
210.00%3.33%3.33%——3.33%20.00%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%6.67%23.33%30.00%3.33%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 2.60 -1.87
SD 0.91 2.06 2.49
CV 1.24 0.79 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Noah 1741 75 65.87 +9.13 96.0% 48 54 62 66 71 75 80
Ararat-Armenia 1657 66 61.26 +4.74 76.0% 46 52 56 61 66 73 76
Urartu 1553 62 56.73 +5.27 83.0% 39 46 53 56 61 68 74
Van 1518 52 47.84 +4.16 74.0% 31 36 42 47 53 60 68
Pyunik 1466 53 59.36 -6.36 14.0% 44 48 55 58 64 69 78
BKMA Yerevan 1335 36 32.34 +3.66 80.0% 19 24 28 33 36 41 46
Shirak 1288 35 32.72 +2.28 70.0% 17 22 28 33 37 44 49
Ararat 1267 32 34.98 -2.98 34.0% 21 23 30 34 39 48 53
Alashkert 1208 26 30.80 -4.80 24.0% 8 21 27 31 35 41 50
Gandzasar Kapan 1117 10 22.01 -12.01 3.0% 8 12 18 22 26 31 34
West Armenia 1056 23 25.70 -2.70 40.0% 13 16 21 25 30 36 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 10% * Clear Edge: 10% to 14% * Strong Edge: 14% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.85%
No Edge
44.85%15.15%40.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 16.86 Elo pts.
163 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.07 * Tight Race: 0.07 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
61%
Noah, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.30/gm
Runaway
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.19 * Some Luck: 5.19 to 7.78 * Lucky: 7.78 to 10.38 * Wild Swing: 10.38 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.84 * Close: 0.84 to 1.26 * Off: 1.26 to 1.68 * Way Off: 1.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.98 points
Some Luck
06.4816
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.55
Pinpoint
01.052.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
96.00%
Noah
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
3.00%
Gandzasar Kapan
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.25 * Top-Heavy: 0.25 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.25 * Moderate Separation: 2.25 to 2.55 * Strong Separation: 2.55 to 2.8 * Wide Separation: 2.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 89% * Wide Edge: 89% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93.5% * Clear Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Strong Edge: 97.5% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 47% * Some Drama: 47% to 56% * Frequent: 56% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 32% * Very Frequent: 32% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Top-Heavy
00.20.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 221.32
2.66
Strong Separation
12.252.553.5
Interquartile Edge
85%
Slight Edge
50%72.5%85%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
98%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
47%
Few
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.45 * Slight Separation: 0.45 to 0.51 * Notable Separation: 0.51 to 0.57 * Lopsided: 0.57 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.37 * Some Carryover: 0.37 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 15% * Shaky Favorites: 15% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.370.630.771
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.91
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.050
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Noah61.00%20.00%9.00%8.00%2.00%——————
Ararat-Armenia22.00%34.00%18.00%22.00%4.00%——————
Urartu5.00%15.00%37.00%28.00%15.00%——————
Pyunik10.00%28.00%27.00%30.00%5.00%——————
Van2.00%3.00%9.00%12.00%56.00%14.00%3.00%1.00%———
BKMA Yerevan————1.00%22.00%27.00%19.00%21.00%5.00%5.00%
Shirak————4.00%25.00%21.00%18.00%14.00%14.00%4.00%
Ararat————11.00%27.00%20.00%16.00%15.00%9.00%2.00%
Alashkert————2.00%8.00%21.00%25.00%21.00%14.00%9.00%
West Armenia—————4.00%7.00%15.00%14.00%30.00%30.00%
Gandzasar Kapan——————1.00%6.00%15.00%28.00%50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Ararat-Armenia 100% —
Noah 100% —
Pyunik 100% —
Urartu 100% —
Van 100% —
Ararat 98.00% 2.00%
Shirak 96.00% 4.00%
BKMA Yerevan 95.00% 5.00%
Alashkert 91.00% 9.00%
West Armenia 70.00% 30.00%
Gandzasar Kapan 50.00% 50.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-08-02 Shirak L 0-239.0 1273 1309 39.23% 16.07% 44.70%-0.12 -29.1 0
2024-08-02 @ BKMA Yerevan W 2-039.0 1309 1273 44.70% 16.07% 39.23%+0.12 +29.1 3
2024-08-03 Alashkert W 2-040.6 1345 1354 43.07% 16.07% 40.85%+0.05 +30.1 3
2024-08-03 @ Ararat L 0-240.6 1354 1345 40.85% 16.07% 43.07%-0.05 -30.1 0
2024-08-04 Ararat-Armenia L 0-235.9 1301 1502 19.73% 15.67% 64.60%-1.13 -15.8 0
2024-08-04 @ Van W 2-035.9 1502 1301 64.60% 15.67% 19.73%+1.13 +15.8 3
2024-08-05 Pyunik D 0-059.7 1395 1561 23.18% 15.81% 61.01%-0.91 +3.8 1
2024-08-05 @ Urartu D 0-059.7 1561 1395 61.01% 15.81% 23.18%+0.91 -3.8 1
2024-08-09 BKMA Yerevan L 2-550.2 1320 1244 54.55% 15.97% 29.48%+0.57 -41.2 0
2024-08-09 @ West Armenia W 5-250.2 1244 1320 29.48% 15.97% 54.55%-0.57 +41.2 3
2024-08-09 Van D 1-156.3 1324 1285 49.80% 16.04% 34.17%+0.35 -1.4 1
2024-08-09 @ Alashkert D 1-156.3 1285 1324 34.17% 16.04% 49.80%-0.35 +1.4 1
2024-08-10 Ararat L 0-241.7 1363 1375 42.63% 16.07% 41.30%+0.03 -31.2 0
2024-08-10 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 2-041.7 1375 1363 41.30% 16.07% 42.63%-0.03 +31.2 6
2024-08-11 Noah L 0-535.3 1338 1483 25.37% 15.88% 58.75%-0.79 -46.5 3
2024-08-11 @ Shirak W 5-035.3 1483 1338 58.75% 15.88% 25.37%+0.79 +46.5 3
2024-08-16 Gandzasar Kapan W 6-141.6 1286 1332 37.89% 16.06% 46.05%-0.18 +64.5 4
2024-08-16 @ Van L 1-641.6 1332 1286 46.05% 16.06% 37.89%+0.18 -64.5 0
2024-08-17 Shirak L 1-253.4 1406 1292 59.13% 15.87% 25.01%+0.81 -21.0 6
2024-08-17 @ Ararat W 2-153.4 1292 1406 25.01% 15.87% 59.13%-0.81 +21.0 6
2024-08-18 Alashkert L 0-253.1 1557 1323 70.34% 15.33% 14.32%+1.54 -49.8 1
2024-08-18 @ Pyunik W 2-053.1 1323 1557 14.32% 15.33% 70.34%-1.54 +49.8 4
2024-08-19 Ararat-Armenia W 3-155.7 1399 1518 28.45% 15.95% 55.60%-0.62 +34.2 4
2024-08-19 @ Urartu L 1-355.7 1518 1399 55.60% 15.95% 28.45%+0.62 -34.2 3
2024-08-24 Ararat L 1-244.3 1279 1385 29.89% 15.98% 54.14%-0.55 -11.5 0
2024-08-24 @ West Armenia W 2-144.3 1385 1279 54.14% 15.98% 29.89%+0.55 +11.5 9
2024-08-24 Urartu L 0-339.2 1373 1433 35.83% 16.05% 48.12%-0.27 -39.1 4
2024-08-24 @ Alashkert W 3-039.2 1433 1373 48.12% 16.05% 35.83%+0.27 +39.1 7
2024-08-25 Noah L 1-242.5 1285 1530 16.04% 15.46% 68.50%-1.40 -6.5 3
2024-08-25 @ BKMA Yerevan W 2-142.5 1530 1285 68.50% 15.46% 16.04%+1.40 +6.5 6
2024-08-26 Van L 0-239.6 1312 1351 38.93% 16.07% 45.00%-0.13 -28.9 6
2024-08-26 @ Shirak W 2-039.6 1351 1312 45.00% 16.07% 38.93%+0.13 +28.9 7
2024-08-30 Alashkert W 3-142.5 1483 1334 62.86% 15.74% 21.39%+1.02 +14.8 6
2024-08-30 @ Ararat-Armenia L 1-342.5 1334 1483 21.39% 15.74% 62.86%-1.02 -14.8 4
2024-08-30 BKMA Yerevan D 2-262.6 1397 1279 59.52% 15.85% 24.62%+0.83 -2.3 10
2024-08-30 @ Ararat D 2-262.6 1279 1397 24.62% 15.85% 59.52%-0.83 +2.3 4
2024-08-31 Gandzasar Kapan W 2-033.7 1472 1267 68.00% 15.49% 16.51%+1.36 +13.4 10
2024-08-31 @ Urartu L 0-233.7 1267 1472 16.51% 15.49% 68.00%-1.36 -13.4 0
2024-08-31 West Armenia W 6-032.6 1380 1267 58.83% 15.87% 25.30%+0.79 +55.1 10
2024-08-31 @ Van L 0-632.6 1267 1380 25.30% 15.87% 58.83%-0.79 -55.1 0
2024-09-01 Shirak W 2-034.2 1507 1284 69.52% 15.39% 15.09%+1.48 +12.3 4
2024-09-01 @ Pyunik L 0-234.2 1284 1507 15.09% 15.39% 69.52%-1.48 -12.3 6
2024-09-13 Pyunik L 1-337.7 1212 1520 11.79% 15.09% 73.12%-1.78 -8.4 0
2024-09-13 @ West Armenia W 3-137.7 1520 1212 73.12% 15.09% 11.79%+1.78 +8.4 7
2024-09-13 Van L 0-138.1 1281 1435 24.44% 15.85% 59.71%-0.84 -10.2 4
2024-09-13 @ BKMA Yerevan W 1-038.1 1435 1281 59.71% 15.85% 24.44%+0.84 +10.2 13
2024-09-14 Ararat-Armenia L 0-332.0 1254 1498 16.09% 15.46% 68.45%-1.40 -19.0 0
2024-09-14 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 3-032.0 1498 1254 68.45% 15.46% 16.09%+1.40 +19.0 9
2024-09-14 Urartu L 0-234.6 1271 1486 18.53% 15.61% 65.86%-1.21 -14.9 6
2024-09-14 @ Shirak W 2-034.6 1486 1271 65.86% 15.61% 18.53%+1.21 +15.0 13
2024-09-15 Noah W 2-158.8 1395 1536 25.76% 15.89% 58.35%-0.77 +20.7 13
2024-09-15 @ Ararat L 1-258.8 1536 1395 58.35% 15.89% 25.76%+0.77 -20.7 6
2024-09-18 Gandzasar Kapan D 2-261.7 1319 1235 55.50% 15.95% 28.55%+0.62 -1.8 5
2024-09-18 @ Alashkert D 2-261.7 1235 1319 28.55% 15.95% 55.50%-0.62 +1.8 1
2024-09-18 West Armenia W 3-029.4 1501 1204 74.57% 14.94% 10.49%+1.93 +12.6 16
2024-09-18 @ Urartu L 0-329.4 1204 1501 10.49% 14.94% 74.57%-1.93 -12.6 0
2024-09-19 Noah D 1-163.8 1445 1516 34.47% 16.04% 49.49%-0.33 +1.3 14
2024-09-19 @ Van D 1-163.8 1516 1445 49.49% 16.04% 34.47%+0.33 -1.3 7
2024-09-19 Shirak W 4-030.3 1517 1256 72.25% 15.18% 12.58%+1.70 +19.7 12
2024-09-19 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-430.3 1256 1517 12.58% 15.18% 72.25%-1.70 -19.7 6
2024-09-20 BKMA Yerevan W 4-137.2 1528 1271 72.02% 15.20% 12.78%+1.68 +12.9 10
2024-09-20 @ Pyunik L 1-437.2 1271 1528 12.78% 15.20% 72.02%-1.68 -12.9 4
2024-09-23 Alashkert D 0-052.0 1237 1317 33.22% 16.02% 50.76%-0.39 +1.7 7
2024-09-23 @ Shirak D 0-052.0 1317 1237 50.76% 16.02% 33.22%+0.39 -1.7 6
2024-09-23 Van L 0-341.9 1415 1446 39.96% 16.07% 43.97%-0.09 -42.9 13
2024-09-23 @ Ararat W 3-041.9 1446 1415 43.97% 16.07% 39.96%+0.09 +42.9 17
2024-09-24 Ararat-Armenia L 1-238.7 1191 1537 9.72% 14.84% 75.44%-2.02 -4.0 0
2024-09-24 @ West Armenia W 2-138.7 1537 1191 75.44% 14.84% 9.72%+2.02 +4.0 15
2024-09-24 Pyunik W 2-051.5 1514 1541 40.57% 16.07% 43.36%-0.06 +31.6 10
2024-09-24 @ Noah L 0-251.5 1541 1514 43.36% 16.07% 40.57%+0.06 -31.6 10
2024-09-25 Urartu W 2-157.5 1258 1513 15.23% 15.40% 69.37%-1.47 +24.6 7
2024-09-25 @ BKMA Yerevan L 1-257.5 1513 1258 69.37% 15.40% 15.23%+1.47 -24.6 16
2024-09-27 Shirak L 1-247.5 1237 1238 44.12% 16.07% 39.81%+0.09 -16.1 1
2024-09-27 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 2-147.5 1238 1237 39.81% 16.07% 44.12%-0.09 +16.1 10
2024-09-28 Ararat W 3-037.2 1509 1372 61.53% 15.79% 22.68%+0.94 +26.1 13
2024-09-28 @ Pyunik L 0-337.2 1372 1509 22.68% 15.79% 61.53%-0.94 -26.1 13
2024-09-28 West Armenia L 0-245.0 1315 1187 60.59% 15.82% 23.59%+0.89 -42.9 6
2024-09-28 @ Alashkert W 2-045.0 1187 1315 23.59% 15.82% 60.59%-0.89 +42.9 3
2024-09-29 BKMA Yerevan W 2-034.2 1541 1282 72.09% 15.19% 12.72%+1.69 +10.5 18
2024-09-29 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-234.2 1282 1541 12.72% 15.19% 72.09%-1.69 -10.5 7
2024-09-29 Noah W 2-159.5 1489 1546 36.30% 16.05% 47.65%-0.25 +17.2 19
2024-09-29 @ Urartu L 1-259.5 1546 1489 47.65% 16.05% 36.30%+0.25 -17.2 10
2024-10-03 Pyunik L 1-359.2 1551 1535 46.58% 16.06% 37.35%+0.20 -29.2 18
2024-10-03 @ Ararat-Armenia W 3-159.2 1535 1551 37.35% 16.06% 46.58%-0.20 +29.2 16
2024-10-06 Pyunik L 1-354.2 1489 1565 33.85% 16.03% 50.12%-0.36 -22.2 17
2024-10-06 @ Van W 3-154.2 1565 1489 50.12% 16.03% 33.85%+0.36 +22.2 19
2024-10-06 Urartu L 0-140.8 1346 1506 23.82% 15.83% 60.36%-0.88 -10.0 13
2024-10-06 @ Ararat W 1-040.8 1506 1346 60.36% 15.83% 23.82%+0.88 +10.0 22
2024-10-07 Alashkert W 1-041.3 1272 1272 44.30% 16.07% 39.63%+0.10 +15.6 10
2024-10-07 @ BKMA Yerevan L 0-141.3 1272 1272 39.63% 16.07% 44.30%-0.10 -15.5 6
2024-10-07 Gandzasar Kapan W 2-038.2 1230 1221 45.71% 16.06% 38.22%+0.16 +28.5 6
2024-10-07 @ West Armenia L 0-238.2 1221 1230 38.22% 16.06% 45.71%-0.16 -28.5 1
2024-10-16 Noah L 0-631.1 1257 1529 14.05% 15.31% 70.64%-1.57 -32.0 6
2024-10-16 @ Alashkert W 6-031.1 1529 1257 70.64% 15.31% 14.05%+1.57 +32.0 13
2024-10-16 Van W 3-151.3 1516 1467 51.08% 16.02% 32.90%+0.40 +21.7 25
2024-10-16 @ Urartu L 1-351.3 1467 1516 32.90% 16.02% 51.08%-0.40 -21.7 17
2024-10-17 West Armenia W 2-039.0 1254 1259 43.79% 16.07% 40.14%+0.08 +29.6 13
2024-10-17 @ Shirak L 0-239.0 1259 1254 40.14% 16.07% 43.79%-0.08 -29.6 6
2024-10-18 Ararat W 3-249.7 1522 1336 66.31% 15.59% 18.10%+1.24 +6.9 21
2024-10-18 @ Ararat-Armenia L 2-349.7 1336 1522 18.10% 15.59% 66.31%-1.24 -6.9 13
2024-10-19 BKMA Yerevan L 1-636.5 1192 1287 31.29% 16.00% 52.71%-0.48 -46.4 1
2024-10-19 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 6-136.5 1287 1192 52.71% 16.00% 31.29%+0.48 +46.4 13
2024-10-20 Van W 5-041.2 1561 1445 59.21% 15.86% 24.93%+0.81 +45.8 16
2024-10-20 @ Noah L 0-541.2 1445 1561 24.93% 15.86% 59.21%-0.81 -45.8 17
2024-10-21 Urartu D 2-264.2 1229 1538 11.71% 15.09% 73.20%-1.79 +4.3 7
2024-10-21 @ West Armenia D 2-264.2 1538 1229 73.20% 15.09% 11.71%+1.79 -4.3 26
2024-10-22 Ararat-Armenia L 0-333.2 1284 1529 16.03% 15.46% 68.51%-1.40 -19.0 13
2024-10-22 @ Shirak W 3-033.2 1529 1284 68.51% 15.46% 16.03%+1.40 +19.0 24
2024-10-23 Alashkert L 0-138.9 1146 1225 33.38% 16.03% 50.59%-0.38 -13.4 1
2024-10-23 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 1-038.9 1225 1146 50.59% 16.03% 33.38%+0.38 +13.4 9
2024-10-23 Pyunik L 1-245.4 1334 1587 15.42% 15.42% 69.16%-1.45 -6.3 13
2024-10-23 @ BKMA Yerevan W 2-145.4 1587 1334 69.16% 15.42% 15.42%+1.45 +6.3 22
2024-10-26 Ararat W 1-038.8 1533 1329 67.89% 15.50% 16.61%+1.36 +7.2 29
2024-10-26 @ Urartu L 0-138.8 1329 1533 16.61% 15.50% 67.89%-1.36 -7.2 13
2024-10-27 BKMA Yerevan W 2-042.7 1238 1327 32.06% 16.01% 51.93%-0.44 +37.1 12
2024-10-27 @ Alashkert L 0-242.7 1327 1238 51.93% 16.01% 32.06%+0.44 -37.1 13
2024-10-27 West Armenia L 0-138.1 1132 1233 30.59% 15.99% 53.42%-0.52 -12.5 1
2024-10-27 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 1-038.1 1233 1132 53.42% 15.99% 30.59%+0.52 +12.5 10
2024-10-28 Noah L 0-154.8 1548 1607 36.10% 16.05% 47.85%-0.26 -14.4 24
2024-10-28 @ Ararat-Armenia W 1-054.8 1607 1548 47.85% 16.05% 36.10%+0.26 +14.4 19
2024-10-28 Van W 1-043.5 1593 1399 67.01% 15.55% 17.44%+1.29 +7.5 25
2024-10-28 @ Pyunik L 0-143.5 1399 1593 17.44% 15.55% 67.01%-1.29 -7.5 17
2024-10-31 Alashkert W 2-040.1 1246 1275 40.13% 16.07% 43.80%-0.08 +31.9 13
2024-10-31 @ West Armenia L 0-240.1 1275 1246 43.80% 16.07% 40.13%+0.08 -31.9 12
2024-10-31 Gandzasar Kapan D 0-051.5 1265 1120 62.40% 15.76% 21.84%+1.00 -4.1 14
2024-10-31 @ Shirak D 0-051.5 1120 1265 21.84% 15.76% 62.40%-1.00 +4.1 2
2024-11-01 Urartu W 2-157.9 1621 1540 55.09% 15.96% 28.95%+0.60 +11.2 22
2024-11-01 @ Noah L 1-257.9 1540 1621 28.95% 15.96% 55.09%-0.60 -11.2 29
2024-11-02 Ararat-Armenia L 2-445.4 1290 1534 16.17% 15.47% 68.36%-1.39 -10.2 13
2024-11-02 @ BKMA Yerevan W 4-245.4 1534 1290 68.36% 15.47% 16.17%+1.39 +10.2 27
2024-11-02 Pyunik L 0-237.5 1322 1601 13.62% 15.27% 71.10%-1.61 -11.2 13
2024-11-02 @ Ararat W 2-037.5 1601 1322 71.10% 15.27% 13.62%+1.61 +11.2 28
2024-11-04 Shirak L 1-345.1 1243 1261 41.85% 16.07% 42.07%+0.00 -26.6 12
2024-11-04 @ Alashkert W 3-145.1 1261 1243 42.07% 16.07% 41.85%+0.00 +26.6 17
2024-11-05 Ararat W 4-034.3 1392 1311 55.13% 15.96% 28.91%+0.60 +42.4 20
2024-11-05 @ Van L 0-434.3 1311 1392 28.91% 15.96% 55.13%-0.60 -42.4 13
2024-11-06 BKMA Yerevan W 4-244.1 1529 1280 71.42% 15.25% 13.33%+1.63 +8.5 32
2024-11-06 @ Urartu L 2-444.1 1280 1529 13.33% 15.25% 71.42%-1.63 -8.5 13
2024-11-06 West Armenia W 3-032.2 1544 1278 72.62% 15.14% 12.24%+1.74 +14.7 30
2024-11-06 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-332.2 1278 1544 12.24% 15.14% 72.62%-1.74 -14.6 13
2024-11-07 Pyunik L 0-526.7 1124 1612 4.63% 13.67% 81.70%-2.89 -9.0 2
2024-11-07 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 5-026.7 1612 1124 81.70% 13.67% 4.63%+2.89 +9.0 31
2024-11-09 Shirak D 0-051.9 1263 1288 40.84% 16.07% 43.09%-0.05 +0.2 14
2024-11-09 @ West Armenia D 0-051.9 1288 1263 43.09% 16.07% 40.84%+0.05 -0.2 18
2024-11-10 Alashkert W 4-029.7 1632 1217 80.30% 14.01% 5.68%+2.65 +9.0 25
2024-11-10 @ Noah L 0-429.7 1217 1632 5.68% 14.01% 80.30%-2.65 -9.0 12
2024-11-10 Ararat-Armenia D 0-055.8 1269 1558 12.87% 15.21% 71.92%-1.68 +6.2 14
2024-11-10 @ Ararat D 0-055.8 1558 1269 71.92% 15.21% 12.87%+1.68 -6.2 31
2024-11-11 Urartu W 3-157.2 1434 1538 30.28% 15.98% 53.74%-0.53 +33.2 23
2024-11-11 @ Van L 1-357.2 1538 1434 53.74% 15.98% 30.28%+0.53 -33.2 32
2024-11-20 Ararat W 4-032.4 1641 1275 78.23% 14.42% 7.34%+2.35 +11.6 28
2024-11-20 @ Noah L 0-432.4 1275 1641 7.34% 14.42% 78.23%-2.35 -11.6 14
2024-11-20 Shirak L 1-257.9 1505 1287 68.99% 15.43% 15.58%+1.44 -24.4 32
2024-11-20 @ Urartu W 2-157.9 1287 1505 15.58% 15.43% 68.99%-1.44 +24.4 21
2024-11-21 Gandzasar Kapan W 3-027.0 1552 1115 81.12% 13.82% 5.06%+2.79 +6.1 34
2024-11-21 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-327.0 1115 1552 5.06% 13.82% 81.12%-2.79 -6.1 2
2024-11-21 West Armenia W 3-032.4 1621 1263 77.83% 14.49% 7.68%+2.30 +9.3 34
2024-11-21 @ Pyunik L 0-332.4 1263 1621 7.68% 14.49% 77.83%-2.30 -9.3 14
2024-11-22 BKMA Yerevan L 2-361.7 1468 1272 67.20% 15.54% 17.26%+1.31 -22.6 23
2024-11-22 @ Van W 3-261.7 1272 1468 17.26% 15.54% 67.20%-1.31 +22.6 16
2024-11-24 Noah L 1-362.3 1630 1653 41.12% 16.07% 42.80%-0.04 -26.2 34
2024-11-24 @ Pyunik W 3-162.3 1653 1630 42.80% 16.07% 41.12%+0.04 +26.2 31
2024-11-26 Van L 0-234.4 1254 1445 20.67% 15.71% 63.62%-1.07 -16.5 14
2024-11-26 @ West Armenia W 2-034.4 1445 1254 63.62% 15.71% 20.67%+1.07 +16.5 26
2024-11-27 Ararat D 1-156.0 1294 1263 48.68% 16.05% 35.28%+0.29 -1.2 17
2024-11-27 @ BKMA Yerevan D 1-156.0 1263 1294 35.28% 16.05% 48.68%-0.29 +1.2 15
2024-11-27 Ararat-Armenia D 2-264.3 1208 1558 9.48% 14.80% 75.72%-2.05 +4.7 13
2024-11-27 @ Alashkert D 2-264.3 1558 1208 75.72% 14.80% 9.48%+2.05 -4.7 35
2024-11-28 Pyunik W 1-057.0 1312 1604 12.73% 15.19% 72.07%-1.69 +27.1 24
2024-11-28 @ Shirak L 0-157.0 1604 1312 72.07% 15.19% 12.73%+1.69 -27.1 34
2024-11-28 Urartu L 0-426.7 1109 1480 8.52% 14.65% 76.83%-2.18 -13.4 2
2024-11-28 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 4-026.7 1480 1109 76.83% 14.65% 8.52%+2.18 +13.4 35
2024-12-02 Gandzasar Kapan W 1-030.7 1577 1095 82.58% 13.41% 4.01%+3.06 +1.8 37
2024-12-02 @ Pyunik L 0-130.7 1095 1577 4.01% 13.41% 82.58%-3.06 -1.8 2
2024-12-02 Shirak W 1-039.6 1461 1339 59.98% 15.84% 24.18%+0.86 +10.1 29
2024-12-02 @ Van L 0-139.6 1339 1461 24.18% 15.84% 59.98%-0.86 -10.1 24
2024-12-03 Alashkert W 1-033.8 1494 1213 73.59% 15.05% 11.36%+1.83 +5.0 38
2024-12-03 @ Urartu L 0-133.8 1213 1494 11.36% 15.05% 73.59%-1.83 -5.0 13
2024-12-03 West Armenia L 2-354.1 1264 1237 48.14% 16.05% 35.81%+0.27 -16.4 15
2024-12-03 @ Ararat W 3-254.1 1237 1264 35.81% 16.05% 48.14%-0.27 +16.4 17
2024-12-04 Ararat-Armenia W 2-158.0 1679 1554 60.28% 15.83% 23.89%+0.87 +9.4 34
2024-12-04 @ Noah L 1-258.0 1554 1679 23.89% 15.83% 60.28%-0.87 -9.4 35
2024-12-05 Gandzasar Kapan W 2-139.0 1293 1094 67.51% 15.52% 16.96%+1.33 +6.9 20
2024-12-05 @ BKMA Yerevan L 1-239.0 1094 1293 16.96% 15.52% 67.51%-1.33 -6.9 2
2024-12-08 Gandzasar Kapan W 7-026.7 1688 1087 85.68% 12.21% 2.11%+3.80 +5.5 37
2024-12-08 @ Noah L 0-726.7 1087 1688 2.11% 12.21% 85.68%-3.80 -5.5 2
2024-12-15 West Armenia W 7-134.7 1694 1254 81.22% 13.79% 4.99%+2.81 +9.5 40
2024-12-15 @ Noah L 1-734.7 1254 1694 4.99% 13.79% 81.22%-2.81 -9.5 17
2025-02-24 Noah L 0-432.8 1244 1703 5.39% 13.92% 80.68%-2.72 -8.5 17
2025-02-24 @ West Armenia W 4-032.8 1703 1244 80.68% 13.92% 5.39%+2.72 +8.5 43
2025-02-25 Pyunik L 0-231.9 1208 1578 8.54% 14.65% 76.81%-2.17 -7.1 13
2025-02-25 @ Alashkert W 2-031.9 1578 1208 76.81% 14.65% 8.54%+2.17 +7.1 40
2025-02-25 Urartu L 1-260.6 1544 1499 50.64% 16.03% 33.33%+0.38 -18.1 35
2025-02-25 @ Ararat-Armenia W 2-160.6 1499 1544 33.33% 16.03% 50.64%-0.38 +18.1 41
2025-03-01 Alashkert D 1-157.2 1472 1200 72.95% 15.11% 11.94%+1.77 -5.7 30
2025-03-01 @ Van D 1-157.2 1200 1472 11.94% 15.11% 72.95%-1.77 +5.7 14
2025-03-01 Ararat-Armenia L 1-263.5 1586 1526 52.43% 16.00% 31.56%+0.47 -18.7 40
2025-03-01 @ Pyunik W 2-163.5 1526 1586 31.56% 16.00% 52.43%-0.47 +18.7 38
2025-03-02 Shirak W 4-036.7 1712 1329 78.98% 14.29% 6.73%+2.46 +10.6 46
2025-03-02 @ Noah L 0-436.7 1329 1712 6.73% 14.29% 78.98%-2.46 -10.6 24
2025-03-02 West Armenia L 0-145.2 1300 1236 53.04% 15.99% 30.96%+0.50 -20.1 20
2025-03-02 @ BKMA Yerevan W 1-045.2 1236 1300 30.96% 15.99% 53.04%-0.50 +20.1 20
2025-03-08 Ararat L 0-140.6 1206 1248 38.43% 16.07% 45.51%-0.15 -15.2 14
2025-03-08 @ Alashkert W 1-040.6 1248 1206 45.51% 16.07% 38.43%+0.15 +15.1 18
2025-03-08 BKMA Yerevan D 0-052.2 1318 1280 49.65% 16.04% 34.31%+0.34 -1.5 25
2025-03-08 @ Shirak D 0-052.2 1280 1318 34.31% 16.04% 49.65%-0.34 +1.5 21
2025-03-09 Urartu L 0-353.0 1567 1517 51.23% 16.02% 32.75%+0.41 -53.2 40
2025-03-09 @ Pyunik W 3-053.0 1517 1567 32.75% 16.02% 51.23%-0.41 +53.2 44
2025-03-10 Noah L 0-327.8 1081 1722 2.04% 12.15% 85.81%-3.83 -2.4 2
2025-03-10 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 3-027.8 1722 1081 85.81% 12.15% 2.04%+3.83 +2.4 49
2025-03-10 Van D 1-165.7 1545 1466 54.90% 15.96% 29.14%+0.59 -2.3 39
2025-03-10 @ Ararat-Armenia D 1-165.7 1466 1545 29.14% 15.96% 54.90%-0.59 +2.3 31
2025-03-13 BKMA Yerevan D 1-155.9 1263 1281 41.76% 16.07% 42.17%-0.01 +0.0 19
2025-03-13 @ Ararat D 1-155.9 1281 1263 42.17% 16.07% 41.76%+0.01 -0.0 22
2025-03-14 Shirak W 6-136.1 1514 1317 67.29% 15.53% 17.17%+1.31 +26.9 43
2025-03-14 @ Pyunik L 1-636.1 1317 1514 17.17% 15.53% 67.29%-1.31 -27.0 25
2025-03-15 Alashkert W 3-029.0 1543 1191 77.53% 14.54% 7.93%+2.26 +9.6 42
2025-03-15 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-329.0 1191 1543 7.93% 14.54% 77.53%-2.26 -9.6 14
2025-03-15 Gandzasar Kapan W 2-135.5 1570 1079 82.87% 13.32% 3.81%+3.12 +1.6 47
2025-03-15 @ Urartu L 1-235.5 1079 1570 3.81% 13.32% 82.87%-3.12 -1.6 2
2025-03-16 West Armenia W 2-033.3 1468 1256 68.59% 15.46% 15.95%+1.41 +13.0 34
2025-03-16 @ Van L 0-233.3 1256 1468 15.95% 15.46% 68.59%-1.41 -13.0 20
2025-03-27 Gandzasar Kapan D 1-155.6 1263 1077 66.31% 15.59% 18.10%+1.24 -4.4 20
2025-03-27 @ Ararat D 1-155.6 1077 1263 18.10% 15.59% 66.31%-1.24 +4.4 3
2025-03-27 West Armenia W 3-035.5 1281 1243 49.69% 16.04% 34.28%+0.34 +37.6 25
2025-03-27 @ BKMA Yerevan L 0-335.5 1243 1281 34.28% 16.04% 49.69%-0.34 -37.6 20
2025-03-28 Pyunik W 3-263.9 1552 1541 46.00% 16.06% 37.94%+0.17 +13.4 45
2025-03-28 @ Ararat-Armenia L 2-363.9 1541 1552 37.94% 16.06% 46.00%-0.17 -13.4 43
2025-03-29 Noah L 1-245.7 1290 1725 6.12% 14.13% 79.75%-2.57 -2.5 25
2025-03-29 @ Shirak W 2-145.7 1725 1290 79.75% 14.13% 6.12%+2.57 +2.5 52
2025-03-29 Van D 2-262.7 1181 1481 12.26% 15.14% 72.60%-1.74 +4.2 15
2025-03-29 @ Alashkert D 2-262.7 1481 1181 72.60% 15.14% 12.26%+1.74 -4.2 35
2025-04-04 Shirak L 1-246.6 1259 1287 40.30% 16.07% 43.63%-0.07 -14.9 20
2025-04-04 @ Ararat W 2-146.6 1287 1259 43.63% 16.07% 40.30%+0.07 +14.9 28
2025-04-05 Alashkert D 1-157.8 1527 1186 77.03% 14.62% 8.35%+2.20 -6.5 44
2025-04-05 @ Pyunik D 1-157.8 1186 1527 8.35% 14.62% 77.03%-2.20 +6.5 16
2025-04-05 Ararat-Armenia L 0-352.9 1572 1566 45.21% 16.07% 38.73%+0.14 -47.6 47
2025-04-05 @ Urartu W 3-052.9 1566 1572 38.73% 16.07% 45.21%-0.14 +47.6 48
2025-04-06 Gandzasar Kapan W 2-028.5 1477 1082 79.49% 14.19% 6.32%+2.53 +5.2 38
2025-04-06 @ Van L 0-228.5 1082 1477 6.32% 14.19% 79.49%-2.53 -5.2 3
2025-04-06 West Armenia W 5-135.7 1727 1205 83.76% 13.02% 3.23%+3.31 +4.2 55
2025-04-06 @ Noah L 1-535.7 1205 1727 3.23% 13.02% 83.76%-3.31 -4.2 20
2025-04-08 Ararat L 1-348.4 1302 1244 52.28% 16.01% 31.72%+0.46 -32.3 28
2025-04-08 @ Shirak W 3-148.4 1244 1302 31.72% 16.01% 52.28%-0.46 +32.3 23
2025-04-09 BKMA Yerevan W 3-037.6 1732 1319 80.19% 14.04% 5.77%+2.64 +7.0 58
2025-04-09 @ Noah L 0-337.6 1319 1732 5.77% 14.04% 80.19%-2.64 -7.0 25
2025-04-11 Urartu D 1-157.8 1192 1524 10.43% 14.93% 74.63%-1.93 +6.1 17
2025-04-11 @ Alashkert D 1-157.8 1524 1192 74.63% 14.93% 10.43%+1.93 -6.1 48
2025-04-12 Pyunik L 1-334.2 1077 1521 5.83% 14.05% 80.11%-2.62 -4.2 3
2025-04-12 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 3-134.2 1521 1077 80.11% 14.05% 5.83%+2.62 +4.2 47
2025-04-12 Van L 0-136.9 1270 1482 18.72% 15.62% 65.66%-1.20 -8.0 28
2025-04-12 @ Shirak W 1-036.9 1482 1270 65.66% 15.62% 18.72%+1.20 +8.0 41
2025-04-13 Noah L 1-541.3 1312 1739 6.40% 14.21% 79.39%-2.52 -8.4 25
2025-04-13 @ BKMA Yerevan W 5-141.3 1739 1312 79.39% 14.21% 6.40%+2.52 +8.4 61
2025-04-14 Ararat W 2-149.3 1201 1276 33.89% 16.03% 50.07%-0.36 +18.0 23
2025-04-14 @ West Armenia L 1-249.3 1276 1201 50.07% 16.03% 33.89%+0.36 -18.0 23
2025-04-18 Alashkert W 3-249.0 1258 1198 52.50% 16.00% 31.50%+0.47 +11.4 26
2025-04-18 @ Ararat L 2-349.0 1198 1258 31.50% 16.00% 52.50%-0.47 -11.4 17
2025-04-18 Shirak W 3-250.1 1304 1262 50.13% 16.03% 33.83%+0.36 +12.2 28
2025-04-18 @ BKMA Yerevan L 2-350.1 1262 1304 33.83% 16.03% 50.13%-0.36 -12.2 28
2025-04-19 Urartu L 1-455.2 1525 1518 45.36% 16.07% 38.57%+0.15 -40.3 47
2025-04-19 @ Pyunik W 4-155.2 1518 1525 38.57% 16.07% 45.36%-0.15 +40.3 51
2025-04-20 Ararat-Armenia L 2-361.2 1490 1613 27.90% 15.94% 56.16%-0.65 -10.3 41
2025-04-20 @ Van W 3-261.2 1613 1490 56.16% 15.94% 27.90%+0.65 +10.3 51
2025-04-20 Gandzasar Kapan W 1-031.9 1747 1072 87.14% 11.44% 1.42%+4.25 +0.6 64
2025-04-20 @ Noah L 0-131.9 1072 1747 1.42% 11.44% 87.14%-4.25 -0.6 3
2025-04-23 Pyunik L 0-134.8 1219 1485 14.51% 15.35% 70.15%-1.53 -6.3 23
2025-04-23 @ West Armenia W 1-034.8 1485 1219 70.15% 15.35% 14.51%+1.53 +6.3 50
2025-04-25 Ararat-Armenia L 0-425.7 1072 1623 3.30% 13.06% 83.64%-3.28 -5.1 3
2025-04-25 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 4-025.7 1623 1072 83.64% 13.06% 3.30%+3.28 +5.1 54
2025-04-26 Ararat W 3-035.7 1748 1270 82.47% 13.44% 4.09%+3.04 +4.9 67
2025-04-26 @ Noah L 0-335.7 1270 1748 4.09% 13.44% 82.47%-3.04 -4.9 26
2025-04-26 Van D 1-158.9 1316 1480 23.36% 15.81% 60.83%-0.90 +3.4 29
2025-04-26 @ BKMA Yerevan D 1-158.9 1480 1316 60.83% 15.81% 23.36%+0.90 -3.4 42
2025-04-27 Urartu D 1-159.4 1250 1558 11.73% 15.09% 73.18%-1.79 +5.8 29
2025-04-27 @ Shirak D 1-159.4 1558 1250 73.18% 15.09% 11.73%+1.79 -5.8 52
2025-04-28 Ararat L 0-330.7 1067 1265 20.00% 15.68% 64.32%-1.11 -23.3 3
2025-04-28 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 3-030.7 1265 1067 64.32% 15.68% 20.00%+1.11 +23.3 29
2025-05-02 Gandzasar Kapan W 1-035.3 1187 1043 62.22% 15.77% 22.01%+0.98 +9.3 20
2025-05-02 @ Alashkert L 0-135.3 1043 1187 22.01% 15.77% 62.22%-0.98 -9.3 3
2025-05-03 Shirak W 5-135.6 1629 1255 78.55% 14.37% 7.09%+2.40 +9.3 57
2025-05-03 @ Ararat-Armenia L 1-535.6 1255 1629 7.09% 14.37% 78.55%-2.40 -9.3 29
2025-05-03 West Armenia W 8-029.4 1552 1213 76.94% 14.63% 8.43%+2.19 +25.6 55
2025-05-03 @ Urartu L 0-829.4 1213 1552 8.43% 14.63% 76.94%-2.19 -25.6 23
2025-05-04 BKMA Yerevan L 1-257.1 1491 1319 65.01% 15.65% 19.34%+1.16 -23.0 50
2025-05-04 @ Pyunik W 2-157.1 1319 1491 19.34% 15.65% 65.01%-1.16 +23.0 32
2025-05-04 Noah D 2-278.1 1476 1752 13.78% 15.29% 70.93%-1.59 +4.0 43
2025-05-04 @ Van D 2-278.1 1752 1476 70.93% 15.29% 13.78%+1.59 -4.0 68
2025-05-08 Van W 2-155.9 1288 1480 20.54% 15.71% 63.75%-1.08 +22.6 32
2025-05-08 @ Ararat L 1-255.9 1480 1288 63.75% 15.71% 20.54%+1.08 -22.6 43
2025-05-09 Ararat-Armenia L 0-330.0 1187 1638 5.63% 14.00% 80.37%-2.66 -6.8 23
2025-05-09 @ West Armenia W 3-030.0 1638 1187 80.37% 14.00% 5.63%+2.66 +6.8 60
2025-05-09 Pyunik W 2-153.7 1748 1468 73.56% 15.05% 11.39%+1.83 +4.7 71
2025-05-09 @ Noah L 1-253.7 1468 1748 11.39% 15.05% 73.56%-1.83 -4.7 50
2025-05-10 Alashkert W 4-033.8 1246 1196 51.20% 16.02% 32.78%+0.41 +47.3 32
2025-05-10 @ Shirak L 0-433.8 1196 1246 32.78% 16.02% 51.20%-0.41 -47.3 20
2025-05-11 Urartu L 0-140.7 1342 1578 16.76% 15.51% 67.73%-1.34 -7.2 32
2025-05-11 @ BKMA Yerevan W 1-040.7 1578 1342 67.73% 15.51% 16.76%+1.34 +7.2 58
2025-05-12 Van L 1-235.7 1034 1458 6.49% 14.23% 79.29%-2.50 -2.7 3
2025-05-12 @ Gandzasar Kapan W 2-135.7 1458 1034 79.29% 14.23% 6.49%+2.50 +2.7 46
2025-05-16 West Armenia W 3-038.0 1149 1180 39.87% 16.07% 44.05%-0.09 +46.6 23
2025-05-16 @ Alashkert L 0-338.0 1180 1149 44.05% 16.07% 39.87%+0.09 -46.6 23
2025-05-17 Ararat W 5-242.5 1463 1311 63.14% 15.73% 21.13%+1.04 +17.9 53
2025-05-17 @ Pyunik L 2-542.5 1311 1463 21.13% 15.73% 63.14%-1.04 -17.9 32
2025-05-17 Shirak W 1-049.6 1031 1293 14.76% 15.37% 69.88%-1.51 +26.2 6
2025-05-17 @ Gandzasar Kapan L 0-149.6 1293 1031 69.88% 15.37% 14.76%+1.51 -26.2 32
2025-05-18 BKMA Yerevan W 4-035.5 1645 1335 75.32% 14.85% 9.83%+2.01 +15.5 63
2025-05-18 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-435.5 1335 1645 9.83% 14.85% 75.32%-2.01 -15.5 32
2025-05-18 Noah D 3-383.9 1585 1753 22.94% 15.80% 61.26%-0.93 +2.2 59
2025-05-18 @ Urartu D 3-383.9 1753 1585 61.26% 15.80% 22.94%+0.93 -2.1 72
2025-05-22 Alashkert W 2-034.1 1320 1195 60.15% 15.84% 24.01%+0.87 +18.9 35
2025-05-22 @ BKMA Yerevan L 0-234.1 1195 1320 24.01% 15.84% 60.15%-0.87 -18.9 23
2025-05-22 Gandzasar Kapan L 0-341.0 1134 1058 54.54% 15.97% 29.49%+0.57 -56.4 23
2025-05-22 @ West Armenia W 3-041.0 1058 1134 29.49% 15.97% 54.54%-0.57 +56.4 9
2025-05-23 Pyunik W 3-259.8 1461 1481 41.45% 16.07% 42.48%-0.02 +14.8 49
2025-05-23 @ Van L 2-359.8 1481 1461 42.48% 16.07% 41.45%+0.02 -14.8 53
2025-05-24 Ararat-Armenia W 2-053.8 1751 1660 56.34% 15.93% 27.73%+0.66 +21.5 75
2025-05-24 @ Noah L 0-253.8 1660 1751 27.73% 15.93% 56.34%-0.66 -21.5 63
2025-05-24 Urartu L 2-445.8 1293 1587 12.57% 15.18% 72.25%-1.70 -8.0 32
2025-05-24 @ Ararat W 4-245.8 1587 1293 72.25% 15.18% 12.57%+1.70 +8.0 62
2025-05-26 BKMA Yerevan D 2-261.4 1114 1338 17.68% 15.56% 66.75%-1.27 +3.4 10
2025-05-26 @ Gandzasar Kapan D 2-261.4 1338 1114 66.75% 15.56% 17.68%+1.27 -3.4 36
2025-05-27 Noah W 1-061.3 1176 1773 2.60% 12.61% 84.78%-3.56 +31.5 26
2025-05-27 @ Alashkert L 0-161.3 1773 1176 84.78% 12.61% 2.60%+3.56 -31.5 75
2025-05-27 West Armenia W 3-030.0 1267 1077 66.67% 15.57% 17.76%+1.27 +20.9 35
2025-05-27 @ Shirak L 0-330.0 1077 1267 17.76% 15.57% 66.67%-1.27 -20.9 23
2025-05-28 Ararat W 6-032.9 1639 1285 77.65% 14.52% 7.83%+2.28 +18.1 66
2025-05-28 @ Ararat-Armenia L 0-632.9 1285 1639 7.83% 14.52% 77.65%-2.28 -18.1 32
2025-05-28 Van L 0-256.9 1595 1475 59.69% 15.85% 24.46%+0.84 -42.3 62
2025-05-28 @ Urartu W 2-056.9 1475 1595 24.46% 15.85% 59.69%-0.84 +42.3 52

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-05-27 2.60% @ Alashkert 1176 1 Noah 1773 0
2 2024-11-28 12.73% @ Shirak 1312 1 Pyunik 1604 0
3 2024-08-18 14.32% Alashkert 1323 2 @ Pyunik 1557 0
4 2025-05-17 14.76% @ Gandzasar Kapan 1031 1 Shirak 1293 0
5 2024-09-25 15.23% @ BKMA Yerevan 1258 2 Urartu 1513 1
6 2024-11-20 15.58% Shirak 1287 2 @ Urartu 1505 1
7 2024-11-22 17.26% BKMA Yerevan 1272 3 @ Van 1468 2
8 2025-05-04 19.34% BKMA Yerevan 1319 2 @ Pyunik 1491 1
9 2025-05-08 20.54% @ Ararat 1288 2 Van 1480 1
10 2024-09-28 23.59% West Armenia 1187 2 @ Alashkert 1315 0
11 2025-05-28 24.46% Van 1475 2 @ Urartu 1595 0
12 2024-08-17 25.01% Shirak 1292 2 @ Ararat 1406 1
13 2024-09-15 25.76% @ Ararat 1395 2 Noah 1536 1
14 2024-08-19 28.45% @ Urartu 1399 3 Ararat-Armenia 1518 1
15 2024-08-09 29.48% BKMA Yerevan 1244 5 @ West Armenia 1320 2
16 2025-05-22 29.49% Gandzasar Kapan 1058 3 @ West Armenia 1134 0
17 2024-11-11 30.28% @ Van 1434 3 Urartu 1538 1
18 2025-03-02 30.96% West Armenia 1236 1 @ BKMA Yerevan 1300 0
19 2025-03-01 31.56% Ararat-Armenia 1526 2 @ Pyunik 1586 1
20 2025-04-08 31.72% Ararat 1244 3 @ Shirak 1302 1
21 2024-10-27 32.06% @ Alashkert 1238 2 BKMA Yerevan 1327 0
22 2025-03-09 32.75% Urartu 1517 3 @ Pyunik 1567 0
23 2025-02-25 33.33% Urartu 1499 2 @ Ararat-Armenia 1544 1
24 2025-04-14 33.89% @ West Armenia 1201 2 Ararat 1276 1
25 2024-12-03 35.81% West Armenia 1237 3 @ Ararat 1264 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-08-16 64.55 @ Van 6 1286 37.89% Gandzasar Kapan 1 1332 46.05% 16.06%
2 2025-05-22 56.40 Gandzasar Kapan 3 1058 29.49% @ West Armenia 0 1134 54.54% 15.97%
3 2024-08-31 55.12 @ Van 6 1380 58.83% West Armenia 0 1267 25.30% 15.87%
4 2025-03-09 53.23 Urartu 3 1517 32.75% @ Pyunik 0 1567 51.23% 16.02%
5 2024-08-18 49.84 Alashkert 2 1323 14.32% @ Pyunik 0 1557 70.34% 15.33%
6 2025-04-05 47.64 Ararat-Armenia 3 1566 38.73% @ Urartu 0 1572 45.21% 16.07%
7 2025-05-10 47.31 @ Shirak 4 1246 51.20% Alashkert 0 1196 32.78% 16.02%
8 2025-05-16 46.59 @ Alashkert 3 1149 39.87% West Armenia 0 1180 44.05% 16.07%
9 2024-08-11 46.53 Noah 5 1483 58.75% @ Shirak 0 1338 25.37% 15.88%
10 2024-10-19 46.38 BKMA Yerevan 6 1287 52.71% @ Gandzasar Kapan 1 1192 31.29% 16.00%
11 2024-10-20 45.80 @ Noah 5 1561 59.21% Van 0 1445 24.93% 15.86%
12 2024-09-28 42.94 West Armenia 2 1187 23.59% @ Alashkert 0 1315 60.59% 15.82%
13 2024-09-23 42.91 Van 3 1446 43.97% @ Ararat 0 1415 39.96% 16.07%
14 2024-11-05 42.39 @ Van 4 1392 55.13% Ararat 0 1311 28.91% 15.96%
15 2025-05-28 42.32 Van 2 1475 24.46% @ Urartu 0 1595 59.69% 15.85%
16 2024-08-09 41.20 BKMA Yerevan 5 1244 29.48% @ West Armenia 2 1320 54.55% 15.97%
17 2025-04-19 40.29 Urartu 4 1518 38.57% @ Pyunik 1 1525 45.36% 16.07%
18 2024-08-24 39.10 Urartu 3 1433 48.12% @ Alashkert 0 1373 35.83% 16.05%
19 2025-03-27 37.65 @ BKMA Yerevan 3 1281 49.69% West Armenia 0 1243 34.28% 16.04%
20 2024-10-27 37.11 @ Alashkert 2 1238 32.06% BKMA Yerevan 0 1327 51.93% 16.01%
21 2024-08-19 34.25 @ Urartu 3 1399 28.45% Ararat-Armenia 1 1518 55.60% 15.95%
22 2024-11-11 33.17 @ Van 3 1434 30.28% Urartu 1 1538 53.74% 15.98%
23 2025-04-08 32.33 Ararat 3 1244 31.72% @ Shirak 1 1302 52.28% 16.01%
24 2024-10-16 31.99 Noah 6 1529 70.64% @ Alashkert 0 1257 14.05% 15.31%
25 2024-10-31 31.92 @ West Armenia 2 1246 40.13% Alashkert 0 1275 43.80% 16.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-05-18 83.9 @ Urartu 3 1585 22.94% Noah 3 1753 61.26% 15.80%
2 2025-05-04 78.1 @ Van 2 1476 13.78% Noah 2 1752 70.93% 15.29%
3 2025-03-10 65.7 @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1545 54.90% Van 1 1466 29.14% 15.96%
4 2024-11-27 64.3 @ Alashkert 2 1208 9.48% Ararat-Armenia 2 1558 75.72% 14.80%
5 2024-10-21 64.2 @ West Armenia 2 1229 11.71% Urartu 2 1538 73.20% 15.09%
6 2025-03-28 63.9 @ Ararat-Armenia 3 1552 46.00% Pyunik 2 1541 37.94% 16.06%
7 2024-09-19 63.8 @ Van 1 1445 34.47% Noah 1 1516 49.49% 16.04%
8 2025-03-01 63.5 Ararat-Armenia 2 1526 31.56% @ Pyunik 1 1586 52.43% 16.00%
9 2025-03-29 62.7 @ Alashkert 2 1181 12.26% Van 2 1481 72.60% 15.14%
10 2024-08-30 62.6 @ Ararat 2 1397 59.52% BKMA Yerevan 2 1279 24.62% 15.85%
11 2024-11-24 62.3 Noah 3 1653 42.80% @ Pyunik 1 1630 41.12% 16.07%
12 2024-09-18 61.7 @ Alashkert 2 1319 55.50% Gandzasar Kapan 2 1235 28.55% 15.95%
13 2024-11-22 61.7 BKMA Yerevan 3 1272 17.26% @ Van 2 1468 67.20% 15.54%
14 2025-05-26 61.4 @ Gandzasar Kapan 2 1114 17.68% BKMA Yerevan 2 1338 66.75% 15.56%
15 2025-05-27 61.3 @ Alashkert 1 1176 2.60% Noah 0 1773 84.78% 12.61%
16 2025-04-20 61.2 Ararat-Armenia 3 1613 56.16% @ Van 2 1490 27.90% 15.94%
17 2025-02-25 60.6 Urartu 2 1499 33.33% @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1544 50.64% 16.03%
18 2025-05-23 59.8 @ Van 3 1461 41.45% Pyunik 2 1481 42.48% 16.07%
19 2024-08-05 59.7 @ Urartu 0 1395 23.18% Pyunik 0 1561 61.01% 15.81%
20 2024-09-29 59.5 @ Urartu 2 1489 36.30% Noah 1 1546 47.65% 16.05%
21 2025-04-27 59.4 @ Shirak 1 1250 11.73% Urartu 1 1558 73.18% 15.09%
22 2024-10-03 59.2 Pyunik 3 1535 37.35% @ Ararat-Armenia 1 1551 46.58% 16.06%
23 2025-04-26 58.9 @ BKMA Yerevan 1 1316 23.36% Van 1 1480 60.83% 15.81%
24 2024-09-15 58.8 @ Ararat 2 1395 25.76% Noah 1 1536 58.35% 15.89%
25 2024-12-04 58.0 @ Noah 2 1679 60.28% Ararat-Armenia 1 1554 23.89% 15.83%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-04-25 25.7 Ararat-Armenia 4 1623 83.64% @ Gandzasar Kapan 0 1072 3.30% 13.06%
2 2024-11-07 26.7 Pyunik 5 1612 81.70% @ Gandzasar Kapan 0 1124 4.63% 13.67%
3 2024-11-28 26.7 Urartu 4 1480 76.83% @ Gandzasar Kapan 0 1109 8.52% 14.65%
4 2024-12-08 26.7 @ Noah 7 1688 85.68% Gandzasar Kapan 0 1087 2.11% 12.21%
5 2024-11-21 27.0 @ Ararat-Armenia 3 1552 81.12% Gandzasar Kapan 0 1115 5.06% 13.82%
6 2025-03-10 27.8 Noah 3 1722 85.81% @ Gandzasar Kapan 0 1081 2.04% 12.15%
7 2025-04-06 28.5 @ Van 2 1477 79.49% Gandzasar Kapan 0 1082 6.32% 14.19%
8 2025-03-15 29.0 @ Ararat-Armenia 3 1543 77.53% Alashkert 0 1191 7.93% 14.54%
9 2024-09-18 29.4 @ Urartu 3 1501 74.57% West Armenia 0 1204 10.49% 14.94%
10 2025-05-03 29.4 @ Urartu 8 1552 76.94% West Armenia 0 1213 8.43% 14.63%
11 2024-11-10 29.7 @ Noah 4 1632 80.30% Alashkert 0 1217 5.68% 14.01%
12 2025-05-09 30.0 Ararat-Armenia 3 1638 80.37% @ West Armenia 0 1187 5.63% 14.00%
13 2025-05-27 30.0 @ Shirak 3 1267 66.67% West Armenia 0 1077 17.76% 15.57%
14 2024-09-19 30.3 @ Ararat-Armenia 4 1517 72.25% Shirak 0 1256 12.58% 15.18%
15 2024-12-02 30.7 @ Pyunik 1 1577 82.58% Gandzasar Kapan 0 1095 4.01% 13.41%
16 2025-04-28 30.7 Ararat 3 1265 64.32% @ Gandzasar Kapan 0 1067 20.00% 15.68%
17 2024-10-16 31.1 Noah 6 1529 70.64% @ Alashkert 0 1257 14.05% 15.31%
18 2025-02-25 31.9 Pyunik 2 1578 76.81% @ Alashkert 0 1208 8.54% 14.65%
19 2025-04-20 31.9 @ Noah 1 1747 87.14% Gandzasar Kapan 0 1072 1.42% 11.44%
20 2024-09-14 32.0 Ararat-Armenia 3 1498 68.45% @ Gandzasar Kapan 0 1254 16.09% 15.46%
21 2024-11-06 32.2 @ Ararat-Armenia 3 1544 72.62% West Armenia 0 1278 12.24% 15.14%
22 2024-11-20 32.4 @ Noah 4 1641 78.23% Ararat 0 1275 7.34% 14.42%
23 2024-11-21 32.4 @ Pyunik 3 1621 77.83% West Armenia 0 1263 7.68% 14.49%
24 2024-08-31 32.6 @ Van 6 1380 58.83% West Armenia 0 1267 25.30% 15.87%
25 2025-02-24 32.8 Noah 4 1703 80.68% @ West Armenia 0 1244 5.39% 13.92%