Home / Leagues / Austria / Bundesliga / 2026-27
‹

2026-27 Bundesliga Season

42 games played · 12 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Salzburg

41.26% chance to win the title

Biggest Overachiever

Rapid Wien

7.25 points above expected

18 points · 10.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

SCR Altach

5.93 points below expected

3 points · 8.93 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rapid Wien 7 6 0 1 18 21 7 +14 10.75 +7.25
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 17 18 4 +14 11.87 +5.13
3 LASK 7 5 1 1 16 19 7 +12 11.71 +4.29
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 11 8 9 -1 10.53 +0.47
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 8 11 12 -1 9.38 -1.38
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 8 10 13 -3 9.13 -1.13
7 WSG Tirol 7 2 2 3 8 9 12 -3 7.84 +0.16
8 Austria Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8 8 11 -3 8.56 -0.56
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 8 6 16 -10 8.42 -0.42
10 Austria Wien 7 2 1 4 7 7 13 -6 9.24 -2.24
11 Wolfsberg 7 1 2 4 5 7 13 -6 10.40 -5.40
12 SCR Altach 7 1 0 6 3 5 12 -7 8.93 -5.93

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded down) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rapid Wien 18 10.75 +7.25
2 Salzburg 17 11.87 +5.13
3 LASK 16 11.71 +4.29
4 Sturm Graz 11 10.53 +0.47
5 WSG Tirol 8 7.84 +0.16

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 SCR Altach 3 8.93 -5.93
2 Wolfsberg 5 10.40 -5.40
3 Austria Wien 7 9.24 -2.24
4 Ried 8 9.38 -1.38
5 Hartberg 8 9.13 -1.13

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 LASK 5 Jul 31 – Sep 1 1 in 30
2 Rapid Wien 4 Aug 2 – Aug 30 1 in 23
3 WSG Tirol 2 Aug 28 – Sep 2 1 in 18
4 Hartberg 2 Aug 22 – Aug 30 1 in 8
5 Salzburg 3 Aug 16 – Sep 2 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SCR Altach 5 Aug 15 – Sep 19 1 in 89
2 Hartberg 3 Aug 1 – Aug 16 1 in 20
3 Wolfsberg 3 Sep 1 – Sep 20 1 in 17
4 Austria Lustenau 2 Aug 28 – Sep 13 1 in 7
5 Ried 2 Aug 9 – Aug 14 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Salzburg 7 Aug 1 – Sep 20 1 in 12
2 Hartberg 4 Aug 22 – Sep 20 1 in 11
3 WSG Tirol 3 Aug 28 – Sep 13 1 in 7
4 Grazer AK 3 Aug 29 – Sep 19 1 in 5
5 Austria Lustenau 2 Aug 15 – Aug 22 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wolfsberg 6 Aug 9 – Sep 20 1 in 23
2 SCR Altach 5 Aug 15 – Sep 19 1 in 10
3 Hartberg 3 Aug 1 – Aug 16 1 in 5
4 Sturm Graz 2 Aug 22 – Aug 30 1 in 4
5 Ried 3 Aug 2 – Aug 14 1 in 3

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Austria Lustenau +0.00 1539
2 Austria Wien +0.00 1613
3 Grazer AK +0.00 1574
4 Hartberg +0.00 1612
5 LASK +0.00 1750

Biggest Elo Losers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Austria Lustenau +0.00 1539
2 Austria Wien +0.00 1613
3 Grazer AK +0.00 1574
4 Hartberg +0.00 1612
5 LASK +0.00 1750

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rapid Wien 1729 18 +77 12 7.8 +4.2
Salzburg 1764 17 +71 13 8.9 +4.1
LASK 1750 16 +29 10 8.4 +1.6
Sturm Graz 1695 11 -20 7 7.8 -0.8
Hartberg 1612 8 -4 8 6.7 +1.3
WSG Tirol 1593 8 +21 7 5.6 +1.4
Austria Lustenau 1539 8 -22 7 6.1 +0.9
Ried 1619 8 +7 7 6.5 +0.5
Grazer AK 1574 8 -36 5 5.7 -0.7
Austria Wien 1613 7 +4 7 6.8 +0.2
Wolfsberg 1597 5 -72 1 6.9 -5.9
SCR Altach 1556 3 -55 0 6.2 -6.2

Upcoming Matches

The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date Favored By Home Win% – Draw% – Win% Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-10-10 1.11 LASK 16 pts·1750 54% – 22% – 24% Rapid Wien 18 pts·1729 77.1
2026-10-10 1.60 Hartberg 8 pts·1612 60% – 21% – 19% Austria Lustenau 8 pts·1539 52.3
2026-10-10 0.11 Austria Wien 7 pts·1613 40% – 23% – 37% Sturm Graz 11 pts·1695 54.6
2026-10-10 Grazer AK 8 pts·1574 26% – 22% – 52% Salzburg 17 pts·1764 0.9350.1
2026-10-10 0.50 SCR Altach 3 pts·1556 46% – 23% – 31% Wolfsberg 5 pts·1597 56.7
2026-10-10 0.65 WSG Tirol 8 pts·1593 48% – 22% – 30% Ried 8 pts·1619 65.0
2026-10-17 2.06 Sturm Graz 11 pts·1695 64% – 20% – 16% Grazer AK 8 pts·1574 44.5
2026-10-17 2.90 Salzburg 17 pts·1764 71% – 18% – 10% SCR Altach 3 pts·1556 43.7
2026-10-17 2.03 Rapid Wien 18 pts·1729 64% – 20% – 16% Hartberg 8 pts·1612 56.2
2026-10-17 0.95 Ried 8 pts·1619 52% – 22% – 26% Austria Wien 7 pts·1613 66.2
2026-10-17 0.94 Wolfsberg 5 pts·1597 52% – 22% – 26% WSG Tirol 8 pts·1593 64.4
2026-10-17 Austria Lustenau 8 pts·1539 24% – 22% – 54% LASK 16 pts·1750 1.1450.4

Recent Matches

The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date Favored By Home Score Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-20 1.24 Salzburg 17 pts·1747·+16.85 3 – 0 Sturm Graz 11 pts·1711·-16.84 51.7
2026-09-20 Hartberg 8 pts·1612·+0.40 3 – 3 LASK 16 pts·1751·-0.40 0.4482.0
2026-09-20 0.78 Ried 8 pts·1602·+16.99 4 – 1 Wolfsberg 5 pts·1614·-16.98 56.5
2026-09-19 0.54 Grazer AK 8 pts·1575·-0.59 2 – 2 Austria Wien 7 pts·1612·+0.58 74.8
2026-09-19 0.43 Austria Lustenau 8 pts·1523·+15.67 2 – 0 SCR Altach 3 pts·1572·-15.68 50.4
2026-09-18 1.97 Rapid Wien 18 pts·1716·+12.31 3 – 0 WSG Tirol 8 pts·1605·-12.31 48.3
2026-09-13 0.36 Sturm Graz 11 pts·1703·+8.01 2 – 1 LASK 16 pts·1759·-8.01 64.5
2026-09-13 1.66 Austria Wien 7 pts·1607·+4.86 2 – 1 Austria Lustenau 8 pts·1528·-4.86 54.9
2026-09-13 0.86 WSG Tirol 8 pts·1606·-0.92 2 – 2 Hartberg 8 pts·1611·+0.92 75.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL AW GA HAR LAS RW RIE SA SAL SG WT WOL
Austria Lustenau —
0-0-1
0.77
0-0-1
0.89
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.55
1-0-0
1.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.61
0-0-1
1.85
1-0-0
1.32
Austria Wien
1-0-0
2.02
 —
0-1-0
1.16
1-0-0
0.99
0-0-1
1.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.85
0-0-1
1.00
Grazer AK
1-0-0
1.89
0-1-0
1.62
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.80
0-0-1
0.88
0-0-1
0.91
1-0-0
0.95
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.37
Hartberg
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.78
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-1-0
1.20
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.75
1-0-0
0.97
0-0-1
0.87
0-0-1
1.53
0-1-0
1.03
0-0-0
0.00
LASK
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.31
1-0-0
1.98
0-1-0
1.58
 —
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.10
1-0-0
2.17
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.23
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.34
Rapid Wien
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
1.09
1-0-0
1.86
0-0-1
0.94
1-0-0
1.68
1-0-0
2.10
1-0-0
1.18
Ried
0-1-0
1.22
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.87
0-0-1
1.03
0-0-1
0.69
0-0-1
1.69
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.17
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.71
SCR Altach
0-0-1
1.20
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.83
0-0-1
1.81
0-0-1
0.63
0-0-1
0.92
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.71
1-0-0
1.82
0-0-0
0.00
Salzburg
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.03
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.91
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.84
0-1-0
1.61
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
1.88
1-0-0
1.50
0-1-0
1.10
Sturm Graz
0-1-0
2.20
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.24
1-0-0
1.55
0-0-1
1.10
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.08
0-0-1
0.90
 —
0-1-0
1.46
0-0-0
0.00
WSG Tirol
1-0-0
0.93
1-0-0
0.93
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.69
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.96
0-0-1
1.27
0-1-0
1.31
 —
0-0-0
0.00
Wolfsberg
0-0-1
1.45
1-0-0
1.78
0-1-0
1.40
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.43
0-0-1
1.60
0-0-1
1.06
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.68
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +8.2
Allowed 0.71 -12.0
Differential 0.88 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%5.95%4.76%8.33%1.19%1.19%23.81%
15.95%11.90%8.33%3.57%3.57%1.19%34.52%
24.76%8.33%4.76%1.19%——19.05%
38.33%3.57%1.19%2.38%——15.48%
41.19%3.57%————4.76%
5+1.19%1.19%————2.38%
Total23.81%34.52%19.05%15.48%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.54 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.41 2.34
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————14.29%—14.29%
1—28.57%28.57%———57.14%
214.29%14.29%————28.57%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%42.86%28.57%—14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.57 -0.43
SD 0.69 1.27 1.90
CV 0.60 0.81 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%14.29%14.29%——42.86%
1————14.29%—14.29%
214.29%14.29%14.29%———42.86%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%28.57%28.57%14.29%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.86 -0.86
SD 1.00 1.35 1.95
CV 1.00 0.72 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%—14.29%—14.29%57.14%
1———————
2—28.57%14.29%———42.86%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%42.86%14.29%14.29%—14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.29 -1.43
SD 1.07 2.69 3.21
CV 1.25 1.18 —
Max 2 8 +1
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%28.57%———42.86%
1———————
2—14.29%14.29%———28.57%
3——14.29%14.29%——28.57%
4———————
5+———————
Total—28.57%57.14%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.86 -0.43
SD 1.40 0.69 1.27
CV 0.98 0.37 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 1 -2

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1——14.29%———14.29%
214.29%—————14.29%
328.57%14.29%—14.29%——57.14%
4—14.29%————14.29%
5+———————
Total42.86%28.57%14.29%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.71 1.00 +1.71
SD 0.95 1.15 1.60
CV 0.35 1.15 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
114.29%————14.29%28.57%
2—14.29%————14.29%
328.57%14.29%————42.86%
4———————
5+14.29%—————14.29%
Total57.14%28.57%———14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 1.00 +2.00
SD 2.38 1.83 3.56
CV 0.79 1.83 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 1 0 -4

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
114.29%28.57%14.29%—14.29%—71.43%
2———14.29%——14.29%
3———————
4—14.29%————14.29%
5+———————
Total14.29%42.86%14.29%14.29%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.71 -0.14
SD 1.13 1.38 1.86
CV 0.72 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—28.57%14.29%14.29%——57.14%
1——28.57%———28.57%
2———————
3—14.29%————14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total—42.86%42.86%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 1.71 -1.00
SD 1.11 0.76 1.53
CV 1.56 0.44 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
114.29%28.57%————42.86%
2———————
328.57%—————28.57%
4—14.29%————14.29%
5+—14.29%————14.29%
Total42.86%57.14%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.57 0.57 +2.00
SD 1.62 0.53 1.63
CV 0.63 0.94 —
Max 5 1 +4
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———14.29%——14.29%
114.29%28.57%—14.29%——57.14%
214.29%14.29%————28.57%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%42.86%—28.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.29 -0.14
SD 0.69 1.25 1.77
CV 0.60 0.97 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———28.57%——28.57%
114.29%14.29%—14.29%——42.86%
2——14.29%———14.29%
3———————
414.29%—————14.29%
5+———————
Total28.57%14.29%14.29%42.86%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.71 -0.43
SD 1.38 1.38 2.51
CV 1.07 0.81 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 7

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%——14.29%——28.57%
1—14.29%14.29%14.29%14.29%—57.14%
2———————
314.29%—————14.29%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%14.29%14.29%28.57%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.86 -0.86
SD 1.00 1.57 2.12
CV 1.00 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 7

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Exp. Pts. Rem. Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Salzburg 1764 17 44.69 27.69 27 37 42 45 48 53 62
LASK 1750 16 43.19 27.19 27 35 40 43 47 51 59
Rapid Wien 1729 18 43.91 25.91 22 36 41 44 47 52 61
Sturm Graz 1695 11 36.02 25.02 18 28 33 36 39 44 54
Ried 1619 8 27.86 19.86 12 20 25 28 31 36 47
Austria Wien 1613 7 26.71 19.71 7 19 23 27 30 35 47
Hartberg 1612 8 27.54 19.54 11 20 24 27 31 36 46
Wolfsberg 1597 5 23.93 18.93 7 16 21 24 27 32 45
WSG Tirol 1593 8 26.87 18.87 12 19 24 27 30 35 45
Grazer AK 1574 8 25.16 17.16 9 17 22 25 28 33 42
SCR Altach 1556 3 19.45 16.45 3 12 16 19 23 27 37
Austria Lustenau 1539 8 22.22 14.22 9 15 19 22 25 30 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Rapid Wien31.40%32.95%25.52%8.31%1.31%0.30%0.10%0.07%0.03%—0.01%—
Salzburg41.26%31.22%20.47%5.99%0.78%0.20%0.06%0.02%————
LASK25.29%28.81%32.97%10.47%1.88%0.39%0.16%0.02%0.01%———
Sturm Graz1.93%6.27%16.42%46.48%15.35%7.02%3.47%1.84%0.69%0.36%0.14%0.03%
Ried0.05%0.25%1.40%7.99%19.03%18.08%15.30%12.41%10.28%7.66%4.91%2.64%
Hartberg0.01%0.16%1.01%5.98%17.05%17.40%15.70%13.78%11.21%8.79%5.96%2.95%
WSG Tirol0.02%0.13%0.70%4.87%14.39%16.10%15.41%15.08%12.36%9.63%7.64%3.67%
Austria Lustenau——0.11%0.67%2.96%5.39%7.73%10.61%14.50%18.10%22.21%17.72%
Grazer AK—0.04%0.41%2.72%7.80%10.15%12.49%13.29%15.02%15.56%13.45%9.07%
Austria Wien0.04%0.14%0.81%4.63%12.24%14.27%14.94%14.86%13.33%11.22%8.54%4.98%
Wolfsberg—0.03%0.18%1.65%5.95%8.78%11.29%12.64%14.77%16.27%16.19%12.25%
SCR Altach———0.24%1.26%1.92%3.35%5.38%7.80%12.41%20.95%46.69%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
LASK 100% —
Rapid Wien 100% —
Salzburg 100% —
Sturm Graz 99.87% 0.13%
Ried 96.11% 3.89%
Hartberg 95.56% 4.44%
Austria Wien 94.37% 5.63%
WSG Tirol 93.82% 6.18%
Wolfsberg 89.58% 10.42%
Grazer AK 88.49% 11.51%
Austria Lustenau 73.94% 26.06%
SCR Altach 68.26% 31.74%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-07-31 Grazer AK W 3-049.4 1688 1619 59.05% 21.27% 19.67%+1.56 +14.8 3
2026-07-31 @ LASK L 0-349.4 1619 1688 19.67% 21.27% 59.05%-1.56 -14.8 0
2026-08-01 Sturm Graz D 1-170.3 1583 1695 36.03% 22.71% 41.26%-0.18 +0.3 1
2026-08-01 @ WSG Tirol D 1-170.3 1695 1583 41.26% 22.71% 36.03%+0.18 -0.3 1
2026-08-01 Hartberg W 1-054.2 1686 1641 56.48% 21.66% 21.86%+1.33 +5.9 3
2026-08-01 @ Salzburg L 0-154.2 1641 1686 21.86% 21.66% 56.48%-1.33 -5.9 0
2026-08-02 Austria Wien W 3-051.5 1652 1647 51.83% 22.18% 25.99%+0.95 +18.9 3
2026-08-02 @ Wolfsberg L 0-351.5 1647 1652 25.99% 22.18% 51.83%-0.95 -18.9 0
2026-08-02 Ried D 1-168.7 1567 1622 44.10% 22.64% 33.26%+0.37 -0.5 1
2026-08-02 @ Austria Lustenau D 1-168.7 1622 1567 33.26% 22.64% 44.10%-0.37 +0.5 1
2026-08-02 SCR Altach W 1-053.5 1635 1607 54.62% 21.89% 23.49%+1.17 +6.3 3
2026-08-02 @ Rapid Wien L 0-153.5 1607 1635 23.49% 21.89% 54.62%-1.17 -6.3 0
2026-08-07 WSG Tirol W 3-156.6 1600 1583 53.29% 22.04% 24.68%+1.06 +10.8 3
2026-08-07 @ SCR Altach L 1-356.6 1583 1600 24.68% 22.04% 53.29%-1.06 -10.8 1
2026-08-08 Austria Lustenau W 2-157.2 1605 1567 55.71% 21.76% 22.53%+1.26 +5.8 3
2026-08-08 @ Grazer AK L 1-257.2 1567 1605 22.53% 21.76% 55.71%-1.26 -5.8 1
2026-08-08 Sturm Graz L 0-258.7 1635 1694 43.45% 22.66% 33.89%+0.33 -19.7 0
2026-08-08 @ Hartberg W 2-058.7 1694 1635 33.89% 22.66% 43.45%-0.33 +19.7 4
2026-08-09 Rapid Wien L 1-267.2 1622 1641 48.83% 22.41% 28.76%+0.72 -10.9 1
2026-08-09 @ Ried W 2-167.2 1641 1622 28.76% 22.41% 48.83%-0.72 +10.9 6
2026-08-09 Salzburg D 1-171.4 1670 1692 48.52% 22.43% 29.05%+0.69 -1.0 4
2026-08-09 @ Wolfsberg D 1-171.4 1692 1670 29.05% 22.43% 48.52%-0.69 +1.0 4
2026-08-09 LASK L 0-258.1 1628 1702 41.25% 22.71% 36.04%+0.18 -18.9 0
2026-08-09 @ Austria Wien W 2-058.1 1702 1628 36.04% 22.71% 41.25%-0.18 +18.9 6
2026-08-14 Ried W 4-154.2 1721 1611 63.22% 20.48% 16.30%+1.96 +10.4 9
2026-08-14 @ LASK L 1-454.2 1611 1721 16.30% 20.48% 63.22%-1.96 -10.4 1
2026-08-15 Wolfsberg W 2-164.3 1561 1669 36.48% 22.72% 40.80%-0.15 +9.4 4
2026-08-15 @ Austria Lustenau L 1-264.3 1669 1561 40.80% 22.72% 36.48%+0.15 -9.4 4
2026-08-15 SCR Altach W 1-052.3 1714 1611 62.57% 20.62% 16.81%+1.89 +4.7 7
2026-08-15 @ Sturm Graz L 0-152.3 1611 1714 16.81% 20.62% 62.57%-1.89 -4.6 3
2026-08-16 Austria Wien L 0-259.6 1616 1609 52.06% 22.16% 25.78%+0.97 -23.0 0
2026-08-16 @ Hartberg W 2-059.6 1609 1616 25.78% 22.16% 52.06%-0.97 +23.0 3
2026-08-16 Salzburg L 0-353.8 1573 1693 34.84% 22.69% 42.47%-0.26 -24.1 1
2026-08-16 @ WSG Tirol W 3-053.8 1693 1573 42.47% 22.69% 34.84%+0.26 +24.1 7
2026-08-16 Grazer AK W 8-050.4 1652 1610 56.16% 21.70% 22.14%+1.30 +41.4 9
2026-08-16 @ Rapid Wien L 0-850.4 1610 1652 22.14% 21.70% 56.16%-1.30 -41.3 3
2026-08-21 Grazer AK W 1-051.8 1601 1569 55.05% 21.84% 23.11%+1.21 +6.2 4
2026-08-21 @ Ried L 0-151.8 1569 1601 23.11% 21.84% 55.05%-1.21 -6.2 3
2026-08-22 Austria Lustenau D 1-171.4 1719 1571 66.69% 19.63% 13.68%+2.33 -3.0 8
2026-08-22 @ Sturm Graz D 1-171.4 1571 1719 13.68% 19.63% 66.69%-2.33 +3.0 5
2026-08-22 Hartberg L 1-267.1 1606 1593 52.91% 22.07% 25.02%+1.03 -11.7 3
2026-08-22 @ SCR Altach W 2-167.1 1593 1606 25.02% 22.07% 52.91%-1.03 +11.7 3
2026-08-28 WSG Tirol L 0-455.6 1573 1548 54.24% 21.93% 23.83%+1.14 -45.3 5
2026-08-28 @ Austria Lustenau W 4-055.6 1548 1573 23.83% 21.93% 54.24%-1.14 +45.3 4
2026-08-29 Wolfsberg D 0-065.1 1563 1660 38.05% 22.73% 39.22%-0.04 +0.1 4
2026-08-29 @ Grazer AK D 0-065.1 1660 1563 39.22% 22.73% 38.05%+0.04 -0.1 5
2026-08-29 SCR Altach W 3-047.7 1732 1595 65.71% 19.89% 14.40%+2.22 +11.0 12
2026-08-29 @ LASK L 0-347.7 1595 1732 14.40% 19.89% 65.71%-2.22 -11.0 3
2026-08-30 Sturm Graz W 3-161.2 1693 1716 48.38% 22.44% 29.18%+0.68 +12.4 12
2026-08-30 @ Rapid Wien L 1-361.2 1716 1693 29.18% 22.44% 48.38%-0.68 -12.4 8
2026-08-30 Ried W 3-265.4 1604 1607 50.84% 22.26% 26.90%+0.87 +6.4 6
2026-08-30 @ Hartberg L 2-365.4 1607 1604 26.90% 22.26% 50.84%-0.87 -6.4 4
2026-08-30 Austria Wien W 4-155.1 1717 1632 60.79% 20.97% 18.24%+1.72 +11.6 10
2026-08-30 @ Salzburg L 1-455.1 1632 1717 18.24% 20.97% 60.79%-1.72 -11.6 3
2026-09-01 LASK L 1-364.5 1660 1743 40.13% 22.73% 37.15%+0.10 -16.0 5
2026-09-01 @ Wolfsberg W 3-164.5 1743 1660 37.15% 22.73% 40.13%-0.10 +16.0 15
2026-09-02 WSG Tirol L 0-162.3 1620 1594 54.40% 21.91% 23.69%+1.15 -12.7 3
2026-09-02 @ Austria Wien W 1-062.3 1594 1620 23.69% 21.91% 54.40%-1.15 +12.7 7
2026-09-02 Rapid Wien W 5-156.0 1728 1706 53.95% 21.97% 24.09%+1.12 +19.3 13
2026-09-02 @ Salzburg L 1-556.0 1706 1728 24.09% 21.97% 53.95%-1.12 -19.3 12
2026-09-11 Salzburg D 1-171.2 1601 1748 31.33% 22.56% 46.11%-0.52 +0.8 5
2026-09-11 @ Ried D 1-171.2 1748 1601 46.11% 22.56% 31.33%+0.52 -0.8 14
2026-09-12 Rapid Wien L 0-357.9 1644 1687 45.70% 22.58% 31.72%+0.49 -29.9 5
2026-09-12 @ Wolfsberg W 3-057.9 1687 1644 31.72% 22.58% 45.70%-0.49 +29.9 15
2026-09-12 Grazer AK L 1-266.0 1584 1563 53.75% 21.99% 24.26%+1.10 -11.8 3
2026-09-12 @ SCR Altach W 2-166.0 1563 1584 24.26% 21.99% 53.75%-1.10 +11.8 7
2026-09-13 LASK W 2-164.5 1703 1759 43.96% 22.65% 33.40%+0.36 +8.0 11
2026-09-13 @ Sturm Graz L 1-264.5 1759 1703 33.40% 22.65% 43.96%-0.36 -8.0 15
2026-09-13 Austria Lustenau W 2-154.9 1607 1528 60.20% 21.08% 18.73%+1.66 +4.9 6
2026-09-13 @ Austria Wien L 1-254.9 1528 1607 18.73% 21.08% 60.20%-1.66 -4.9 5
2026-09-13 Hartberg D 2-275.6 1606 1611 50.69% 22.27% 27.03%+0.86 -0.9 8
2026-09-13 @ WSG Tirol D 2-275.6 1611 1606 27.03% 22.27% 50.69%-0.86 +0.9 7
2026-09-18 WSG Tirol W 3-048.3 1716 1605 63.33% 20.46% 16.22%+1.97 +12.3 18
2026-09-18 @ Rapid Wien L 0-348.3 1605 1716 16.22% 20.46% 63.33%-1.97 -12.3 8
2026-09-19 Austria Wien D 2-274.8 1575 1612 46.37% 22.55% 31.07%+0.54 -0.6 8
2026-09-19 @ Grazer AK D 2-274.8 1612 1575 31.07% 22.55% 46.37%-0.54 +0.6 7
2026-09-19 SCR Altach W 2-050.4 1523 1572 44.89% 22.62% 32.50%+0.43 +15.7 8
2026-09-19 @ Austria Lustenau L 0-250.4 1572 1523 32.50% 22.62% 44.89%-0.43 -15.7 3
2026-09-20 Sturm Graz W 3-051.7 1747 1711 55.46% 21.79% 22.75%+1.24 +16.8 17
2026-09-20 @ Salzburg L 0-351.7 1711 1747 22.75% 21.79% 55.46%-1.24 -16.8 11
2026-09-20 LASK D 3-382.0 1612 1751 32.30% 22.61% 45.09%-0.44 +0.4 8
2026-09-20 @ Hartberg D 3-382.0 1751 1612 45.09% 22.61% 32.30%+0.44 -0.4 16
2026-09-20 Wolfsberg W 4-156.5 1602 1614 49.65% 22.35% 27.99%+0.78 +17.0 8
2026-09-20 @ Ried L 1-456.5 1614 1602 27.99% 22.35% 49.65%-0.78 -17.0 5

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. MarginExcitement
2026-10-10 Rapid Wien 1750 1729 53.83% 21.98% 24.19%+1.1177.1
2026-10-10 @ LASK 1729 1750 24.19% 21.98% 53.83%-1.1177.1
2026-10-10 Austria Lustenau 1612 1539 59.54% 21.19% 19.27%+1.6052.3
2026-10-10 @ Hartberg 1539 1612 19.27% 21.19% 59.54%-1.6052.3
2026-10-10 Sturm Graz 1613 1695 40.28% 22.72% 37.00%+0.1154.6
2026-10-10 @ Austria Wien 1695 1613 37.00% 22.72% 40.28%-0.1154.6
2026-10-10 Salzburg 1574 1764 26.18% 22.20% 51.63%-0.9350.1
2026-10-10 @ Grazer AK 1764 1574 51.63% 22.20% 26.18%+0.9350.1
2026-10-10 Wolfsberg 1556 1597 45.93% 22.57% 31.49%+0.5056.7
2026-10-10 @ SCR Altach 1597 1556 31.49% 22.57% 45.93%-0.5056.7
2026-10-10 Ried 1593 1619 47.97% 22.47% 29.56%+0.6565.0
2026-10-10 @ WSG Tirol 1619 1593 29.56% 22.47% 47.97%-0.6565.0
2026-10-17 Grazer AK 1695 1574 64.21% 20.26% 15.54%+2.0644.5
2026-10-17 @ Sturm Graz 1574 1695 15.54% 20.26% 64.21%-2.0644.5
2026-10-17 SCR Altach 1764 1556 71.43% 18.16% 10.40%+2.9043.7
2026-10-17 @ Salzburg 1556 1764 10.40% 18.16% 71.43%-2.9043.7
2026-10-17 Hartberg 1729 1612 63.88% 20.33% 15.79%+2.0356.2
2026-10-17 @ Rapid Wien 1612 1729 15.79% 20.33% 63.88%-2.0356.2
2026-10-17 Austria Wien 1619 1613 51.93% 22.17% 25.90%+0.9566.2
2026-10-17 @ Ried 1613 1619 25.90% 22.17% 51.93%-0.9566.2
2026-10-17 WSG Tirol 1597 1593 51.71% 22.19% 26.10%+0.9464.4
2026-10-17 @ Wolfsberg 1593 1597 26.10% 22.19% 51.71%-0.9464.4
2026-10-17 LASK 1539 1750 23.83% 21.93% 54.24%-1.1450.4
2026-10-17 @ Austria Lustenau 1750 1539 54.24% 21.93% 23.83%+1.1450.4
2026-10-24 Ried 1695 1619 59.85% 21.14% 19.01%+1.6355.5
2026-10-24 @ Sturm Graz 1619 1695 19.01% 21.14% 59.85%-1.6355.5
2026-10-24 Salzburg 1750 1764 49.53% 22.36% 28.11%+0.7778.3
2026-10-24 @ LASK 1764 1750 28.11% 22.36% 49.53%-0.7778.3
2026-10-24 Austria Lustenau 1729 1539 70.08% 18.62% 11.30%+2.7347.5
2026-10-24 @ Rapid Wien 1539 1729 11.30% 18.62% 70.08%-2.7347.5
2026-10-24 Wolfsberg 1612 1597 53.02% 22.06% 24.91%+1.0463.8
2026-10-24 @ Hartberg 1597 1612 24.91% 22.06% 53.02%-1.0463.8
2026-10-24 Austria Wien 1556 1613 43.79% 22.65% 33.55%+0.3554.6
2026-10-24 @ SCR Altach 1613 1556 33.55% 22.65% 43.79%-0.3554.6
2026-10-24 Grazer AK 1593 1574 53.53% 22.01% 24.46%+1.0861.0
2026-10-24 @ WSG Tirol 1574 1593 24.46% 22.01% 53.53%-1.0861.0
2026-10-31 Austria Lustenau 1764 1539 72.69% 17.71% 9.60%+3.0744.6
2026-10-31 @ Salzburg 1539 1764 9.60% 17.71% 72.69%-3.0744.6
2026-10-31 WSG Tirol 1750 1593 67.45% 19.42% 13.12%+2.4250.2
2026-10-31 @ LASK 1593 1750 13.12% 19.42% 67.45%-2.4250.2
2026-10-31 Sturm Graz 1597 1695 38.03% 22.73% 39.24%-0.0452.0
2026-10-31 @ Wolfsberg 1695 1597 39.24% 22.73% 38.03%+0.0452.0
2026-10-31 Rapid Wien 1613 1729 35.43% 22.70% 41.87%-0.2258.4
2026-10-31 @ Austria Wien 1729 1613 41.87% 22.70% 35.43%+0.2258.4
2026-10-31 Hartberg 1574 1612 46.35% 22.55% 31.10%+0.5360.1
2026-10-31 @ Grazer AK 1612 1574 31.10% 22.55% 46.35%-0.5360.1
2026-10-31 Ried 1556 1619 42.99% 22.68% 34.33%+0.3055.9
2026-10-31 @ SCR Altach 1619 1556 34.33% 22.68% 42.99%-0.3055.9
2026-11-07 Salzburg 1695 1764 42.03% 22.70% 35.27%+0.2364.9
2026-11-07 @ Sturm Graz 1764 1695 35.27% 22.70% 42.03%-0.2364.9
2026-11-07 Wolfsberg 1729 1597 65.23% 20.01% 14.76%+2.1752.6
2026-11-07 @ Rapid Wien 1597 1729 14.76% 20.01% 65.23%-2.1752.6
2026-11-07 SCR Altach 1612 1556 57.70% 21.48% 20.82%+1.4454.3
2026-11-07 @ Hartberg 1556 1612 20.82% 21.48% 57.70%-1.4454.3
2026-11-07 LASK 1619 1750 33.29% 22.64% 44.06%-0.3758.0
2026-11-07 @ Ried 1750 1619 44.06% 22.64% 33.29%+0.3758.0
2026-11-07 Austria Wien 1593 1613 48.72% 22.42% 28.86%+0.7163.1
2026-11-07 @ WSG Tirol 1613 1593 28.86% 22.42% 48.72%-0.7163.1
2026-11-07 Grazer AK 1539 1574 46.70% 22.54% 30.76%+0.5657.4
2026-11-07 @ Austria Lustenau 1574 1539 30.76% 22.54% 46.70%-0.5657.4
2026-11-21 Hartberg 1750 1612 65.84% 19.86% 14.30%+2.2452.7
2026-11-21 @ LASK 1612 1750 14.30% 19.86% 65.84%-2.2452.7
2026-11-21 Ried 1597 1619 48.49% 22.43% 29.08%+0.6964.3
2026-11-21 @ Wolfsberg 1619 1597 29.08% 22.43% 48.49%-0.6964.3
2026-11-21 Salzburg 1613 1764 30.80% 22.54% 46.66%-0.5653.5
2026-11-21 @ Austria Wien 1764 1613 46.66% 22.54% 30.80%+0.5653.5
2026-11-21 Rapid Wien 1574 1729 30.33% 22.51% 47.15%-0.5953.7
2026-11-21 @ Grazer AK 1729 1574 47.15% 22.51% 30.33%+0.5953.7
2026-11-21 Sturm Graz 1556 1695 32.43% 22.61% 44.96%-0.4445.5
2026-11-21 @ SCR Altach 1695 1556 44.96% 22.61% 32.43%+0.4445.5
2026-11-21 Austria Lustenau 1593 1539 57.54% 21.51% 20.96%+1.4254.8
2026-11-21 @ WSG Tirol 1539 1593 20.96% 21.51% 57.54%-1.4254.8
2026-11-28 WSG Tirol 1695 1593 62.41% 20.65% 16.94%+1.8849.3
2026-11-28 @ Sturm Graz 1593 1695 16.94% 20.65% 62.41%-1.8849.3
2026-11-28 LASK 1764 1750 52.86% 22.08% 25.06%+1.0377.8
2026-11-28 @ Salzburg 1750 1764 25.06% 22.08% 52.86%-1.0377.8
2026-11-28 Hartberg 1619 1612 52.05% 22.16% 25.79%+0.9668.1
2026-11-28 @ Ried 1612 1619 25.79% 22.16% 52.05%-0.9668.1
2026-11-28 Wolfsberg 1613 1597 53.14% 22.05% 24.81%+1.0562.0
2026-11-28 @ Austria Wien 1597 1613 24.81% 22.05% 53.14%-1.0562.0
2026-11-28 SCR Altach 1574 1556 53.39% 22.02% 24.58%+1.0758.2
2026-11-28 @ Grazer AK 1556 1574 24.58% 22.02% 53.39%-1.0758.2
2026-11-28 Rapid Wien 1539 1729 26.17% 22.19% 51.64%-0.9352.2
2026-11-28 @ Austria Lustenau 1729 1539 51.64% 22.19% 26.17%+0.9352.2
2026-12-05 Austria Wien 1695 1613 60.45% 21.03% 18.52%+1.6951.8
2026-12-05 @ Sturm Graz 1613 1695 18.52% 21.03% 60.45%-1.6951.8
2026-12-05 LASK 1729 1750 48.48% 22.43% 29.09%+0.6977.9
2026-12-05 @ Rapid Wien 1750 1729 29.09% 22.43% 48.48%-0.6977.9
2026-12-05 Grazer AK 1612 1574 55.71% 21.76% 22.53%+1.2658.7
2026-12-05 @ Hartberg 1574 1612 22.53% 21.76% 55.71%-1.2658.7
2026-12-05 WSG Tirol 1619 1593 54.29% 21.93% 23.78%+1.1464.1
2026-12-05 @ Ried 1593 1619 23.78% 21.93% 54.29%-1.1464.1
2026-12-05 Austria Lustenau 1597 1539 57.97% 21.44% 20.59%+1.4652.9
2026-12-05 @ Wolfsberg 1539 1597 20.59% 21.44% 57.97%-1.4652.9
2026-12-05 Salzburg 1556 1764 24.23% 21.98% 53.79%-1.1048.4
2026-12-05 @ SCR Altach 1764 1556 53.79% 21.98% 24.23%+1.1048.4
2026-12-12 Wolfsberg 1764 1597 68.24% 19.20% 12.56%+2.5147.8
2026-12-12 @ Salzburg 1597 1764 12.56% 19.20% 68.24%-2.5147.8
2026-12-12 Austria Wien 1750 1613 65.75% 19.88% 14.37%+2.2351.1
2026-12-12 @ LASK 1613 1750 14.37% 19.88% 65.75%-2.2351.1
2026-12-12 Ried 1729 1619 63.25% 20.47% 16.28%+1.9657.7
2026-12-12 @ Rapid Wien 1619 1729 16.28% 20.47% 63.25%-1.9657.7
2026-12-12 Sturm Graz 1574 1695 34.81% 22.69% 42.50%-0.2648.2
2026-12-12 @ Grazer AK 1695 1574 42.50% 22.69% 34.81%+0.2648.2
2026-12-12 SCR Altach 1593 1556 55.61% 21.77% 22.62%+1.2656.8
2026-12-12 @ WSG Tirol 1556 1593 22.62% 21.77% 55.61%-1.2656.8
2026-12-12 Hartberg 1539 1612 41.52% 22.71% 35.77%+0.2054.8
2026-12-12 @ Austria Lustenau 1612 1539 35.77% 22.71% 41.52%-0.2054.8
2027-01-23 Wolfsberg 1695 1597 62.02% 20.73% 17.25%+1.8448.8
2027-01-23 @ Sturm Graz 1597 1695 17.25% 20.73% 62.02%-1.8448.8
2027-01-23 Rapid Wien 1612 1729 35.30% 22.70% 42.00%-0.2359.9
2027-01-23 @ Hartberg 1729 1612 42.00% 22.70% 35.30%+0.2359.9
2027-01-23 SCR Altach 1619 1556 58.43% 21.37% 20.20%+1.5053.7
2027-01-23 @ Ried 1556 1619 20.20% 21.37% 58.43%-1.5053.7
2027-01-23 Grazer AK 1613 1574 55.82% 21.74% 22.44%+1.2757.0
2027-01-23 @ Austria Wien 1574 1613 22.44% 21.74% 55.82%-1.2757.0
2027-01-23 LASK 1593 1750 30.01% 22.49% 47.49%-0.6254.5
2027-01-23 @ WSG Tirol 1750 1593 47.49% 22.49% 30.01%+0.6254.5
2027-01-23 Salzburg 1539 1764 22.47% 21.75% 55.79%-1.2749.4
2027-01-23 @ Austria Lustenau 1764 1539 55.79% 21.75% 22.47%+1.2749.4
2027-01-30 Ried 1764 1619 66.42% 19.71% 13.87%+2.3052.2
2027-01-30 @ Salzburg 1619 1764 13.87% 19.71% 66.42%-2.3052.2
2027-01-30 Sturm Graz 1750 1695 57.72% 21.48% 20.80%+1.4465.7
2027-01-30 @ LASK 1695 1750 20.80% 21.48% 57.72%-1.4465.7
2027-01-30 Austria Wien 1729 1613 63.79% 20.35% 15.86%+2.0254.8
2027-01-30 @ Rapid Wien 1613 1729 15.86% 20.35% 63.79%-2.0254.8
2027-01-30 Hartberg 1597 1612 49.35% 22.38% 28.27%+0.7664.4
2027-01-30 @ Wolfsberg 1612 1597 28.27% 22.38% 49.35%-0.7664.4
2027-01-30 WSG Tirol 1574 1593 48.81% 22.41% 28.78%+0.7261.7
2027-01-30 @ Grazer AK 1593 1574 28.78% 22.41% 48.81%-0.7261.7
2027-01-30 Austria Lustenau 1556 1539 53.32% 22.03% 24.65%+1.0758.1
2027-01-30 @ SCR Altach 1539 1556 24.65% 22.03% 53.32%-1.0758.1
2027-02-06 Wolfsberg 1750 1597 67.12% 19.52% 13.37%+2.3849.4
2027-02-06 @ LASK 1597 1750 13.37% 19.52% 67.12%-2.3849.4
2027-02-06 Salzburg 1612 1764 30.68% 22.53% 46.79%-0.5755.2
2027-02-06 @ Hartberg 1764 1612 46.79% 22.53% 30.68%+0.5755.2
2027-02-06 SCR Altach 1613 1556 57.80% 21.47% 20.73%+1.4552.6
2027-02-06 @ Austria Wien 1556 1613 20.73% 21.47% 57.80%-1.4552.6
2027-02-06 Ried 1574 1619 45.44% 22.59% 31.97%+0.4759.9
2027-02-06 @ Grazer AK 1619 1574 31.97% 22.59% 45.44%-0.4759.9
2027-02-06 Rapid Wien 1593 1729 32.78% 22.63% 44.60%-0.4157.2
2027-02-06 @ WSG Tirol 1729 1593 44.60% 22.63% 32.78%+0.4157.2
2027-02-06 Sturm Graz 1539 1695 30.23% 22.51% 47.27%-0.6045.4
2027-02-06 @ Austria Lustenau 1695 1539 47.27% 22.51% 30.23%+0.6045.4
2027-02-13 Rapid Wien 1695 1729 46.82% 22.53% 30.65%+0.5772.1
2027-02-13 @ Sturm Graz 1729 1695 30.65% 22.53% 46.82%-0.5772.1
2027-02-13 WSG Tirol 1764 1593 68.56% 19.10% 12.34%+2.5548.7
2027-02-13 @ Salzburg 1593 1764 12.34% 19.10% 68.56%-2.5548.7
2027-02-13 Austria Lustenau 1619 1539 60.24% 21.07% 18.69%+1.6751.8
2027-02-13 @ Ried 1539 1619 18.69% 21.07% 60.24%-1.6751.8
2027-02-13 Grazer AK 1597 1574 54.00% 21.96% 24.04%+1.1259.4
2027-02-13 @ Wolfsberg 1574 1597 24.04% 21.96% 54.00%-1.1259.4
2027-02-13 Hartberg 1613 1612 51.34% 22.22% 26.44%+0.9166.2
2027-02-13 @ Austria Wien 1612 1613 26.44% 22.22% 51.34%-0.9166.2
2027-02-13 LASK 1556 1750 25.68% 22.15% 52.17%-0.9749.5
2027-02-13 @ SCR Altach 1750 1556 52.17% 22.15% 25.68%+0.9749.5
2027-02-20 Salzburg 1729 1764 46.71% 22.53% 30.75%+0.5675.9
2027-02-20 @ Rapid Wien 1764 1729 30.75% 22.53% 46.71%-0.5675.9
2027-02-20 WSG Tirol 1612 1593 53.50% 22.01% 24.49%+1.0864.4
2027-02-20 @ Hartberg 1593 1612 24.49% 22.01% 53.50%-1.0864.4
2027-02-20 Sturm Graz 1619 1695 41.10% 22.71% 36.18%+0.1758.1
2027-02-20 @ Ried 1695 1619 36.18% 22.71% 41.10%-0.1758.1
2027-02-20 SCR Altach 1597 1556 56.06% 21.71% 22.23%+1.2955.2
2027-02-20 @ Wolfsberg 1556 1597 22.23% 21.71% 56.06%-1.2955.2
2027-02-20 LASK 1574 1750 27.72% 22.33% 49.95%-0.8051.3
2027-02-20 @ Grazer AK 1750 1574 49.95% 22.33% 27.72%+0.8051.3
2027-02-20 Austria Wien 1539 1613 41.39% 22.71% 35.90%+0.1952.9
2027-02-20 @ Austria Lustenau 1613 1539 35.90% 22.71% 41.39%-0.1952.9
2027-02-27 Hartberg 1695 1612 60.54% 21.01% 18.44%+1.7053.5
2027-02-27 @ Sturm Graz 1612 1695 18.44% 21.01% 60.54%-1.7053.5
2027-02-27 Grazer AK 1764 1574 70.08% 18.62% 11.30%+2.7345.4
2027-02-27 @ Salzburg 1574 1764 11.30% 18.62% 70.08%-2.7345.4
2027-02-27 Austria Lustenau 1750 1539 71.72% 18.06% 10.22%+2.9445.6
2027-02-27 @ LASK 1539 1750 10.22% 18.06% 71.72%-2.9445.6
2027-02-27 Ried 1613 1619 50.49% 22.29% 27.21%+0.8466.5
2027-02-27 @ Austria Wien 1619 1613 27.21% 22.29% 50.49%-0.8466.5
2027-02-27 Rapid Wien 1556 1729 28.16% 22.37% 49.47%-0.7751.6
2027-02-27 @ SCR Altach 1729 1556 49.47% 22.37% 28.16%+0.7751.6
2027-02-27 Wolfsberg 1593 1597 50.72% 22.27% 27.00%+0.8664.5
2027-02-27 @ WSG Tirol 1597 1593 27.00% 22.27% 50.72%-0.8664.5

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-09-02 23.69% WSG Tirol 1594 1 @ Austria Wien 1620 0
2 2026-08-28 23.83% WSG Tirol 1548 4 @ Austria Lustenau 1573 0
3 2026-09-12 24.26% Grazer AK 1563 2 @ SCR Altach 1584 1
4 2026-08-22 25.02% Hartberg 1593 2 @ SCR Altach 1606 1
5 2026-08-16 25.78% Austria Wien 1609 2 @ Hartberg 1616 0
6 2026-08-09 28.76% Rapid Wien 1641 2 @ Ried 1622 1
7 2026-09-12 31.72% Rapid Wien 1687 3 @ Wolfsberg 1644 0
8 2026-08-08 33.89% Sturm Graz 1694 2 @ Hartberg 1635 0
9 2026-08-09 36.04% LASK 1702 2 @ Austria Wien 1628 0
10 2026-08-15 36.48% @ Austria Lustenau 1561 2 Wolfsberg 1669 1
11 2026-09-01 37.15% LASK 1743 3 @ Wolfsberg 1660 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-28 45.26 WSG Tirol 4 1548 23.83% @ Austria Lustenau 0 1573 54.24% 21.93%
2 2026-08-16 41.35 @ Rapid Wien 8 1652 56.16% Grazer AK 0 1610 22.14% 21.70%
3 2026-09-12 29.87 Rapid Wien 3 1687 31.72% @ Wolfsberg 0 1644 45.70% 22.58%
4 2026-08-16 24.07 Salzburg 3 1693 42.47% @ WSG Tirol 0 1573 34.84% 22.69%
5 2026-08-16 23.00 Austria Wien 2 1609 25.78% @ Hartberg 0 1616 52.06% 22.16%
6 2026-08-08 19.72 Sturm Graz 2 1694 33.89% @ Hartberg 0 1635 43.45% 22.66%
7 2026-09-02 19.29 @ Salzburg 5 1728 53.95% Rapid Wien 1 1706 24.09% 21.97%
8 2026-08-02 18.91 @ Wolfsberg 3 1652 51.83% Austria Wien 0 1647 25.99% 22.18%
9 2026-08-09 18.91 LASK 2 1702 36.04% @ Austria Wien 0 1628 41.25% 22.71%
10 2026-09-20 16.99 @ Ried 4 1602 49.65% Wolfsberg 1 1614 27.99% 22.35%
11 2026-09-20 16.85 @ Salzburg 3 1747 55.46% Sturm Graz 0 1711 22.75% 21.79%
12 2026-09-01 16.03 LASK 3 1743 37.15% @ Wolfsberg 1 1660 40.13% 22.73%
13 2026-09-19 15.68 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1523 44.89% SCR Altach 0 1572 32.50% 22.62%
14 2026-07-31 14.78 @ LASK 3 1688 59.05% Grazer AK 0 1619 19.67% 21.27%
15 2026-09-02 12.69 WSG Tirol 1 1594 23.69% @ Austria Wien 0 1620 54.40% 21.91%
16 2026-08-30 12.43 @ Rapid Wien 3 1693 48.38% Sturm Graz 1 1716 29.18% 22.44%
17 2026-09-18 12.31 @ Rapid Wien 3 1716 63.33% WSG Tirol 0 1605 16.22% 20.46%
18 2026-09-12 11.84 Grazer AK 2 1563 24.26% @ SCR Altach 1 1584 53.75% 21.99%
19 2026-08-22 11.67 Hartberg 2 1593 25.02% @ SCR Altach 1 1606 52.91% 22.07%
20 2026-08-30 11.61 @ Salzburg 4 1717 60.79% Austria Wien 1 1632 18.24% 20.97%
21 2026-08-29 10.95 @ LASK 3 1732 65.71% SCR Altach 0 1595 14.40% 19.89%
22 2026-08-09 10.88 Rapid Wien 2 1641 28.76% @ Ried 1 1622 48.83% 22.41%
23 2026-08-07 10.79 @ SCR Altach 3 1600 53.29% WSG Tirol 1 1583 24.68% 22.04%
24 2026-08-14 10.44 @ LASK 4 1721 63.22% Ried 1 1611 16.30% 20.48%
25 2026-08-15 9.38 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1561 36.48% Wolfsberg 1 1669 40.80% 22.72%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-20 82.0 @ Hartberg 3 1612 32.30% LASK 3 1751 45.09% 22.61%
2 2026-09-13 75.6 @ WSG Tirol 2 1606 50.69% Hartberg 2 1611 27.03% 22.27%
3 2026-09-19 74.8 @ Grazer AK 2 1575 46.37% Austria Wien 2 1612 31.07% 22.55%
4 2026-08-09 71.4 @ Wolfsberg 1 1670 48.52% Salzburg 1 1692 29.05% 22.43%
5 2026-08-22 71.4 @ Sturm Graz 1 1719 66.69% Austria Lustenau 1 1571 13.68% 19.63%
6 2026-09-11 71.2 @ Ried 1 1601 31.33% Salzburg 1 1748 46.11% 22.56%
7 2026-08-01 70.3 @ WSG Tirol 1 1583 36.03% Sturm Graz 1 1695 41.26% 22.71%
8 2026-08-02 68.7 @ Austria Lustenau 1 1567 44.10% Ried 1 1622 33.26% 22.64%
9 2026-08-09 67.2 Rapid Wien 2 1641 28.76% @ Ried 1 1622 48.83% 22.41%
10 2026-08-22 67.1 Hartberg 2 1593 25.02% @ SCR Altach 1 1606 52.91% 22.07%
11 2026-09-12 66.0 Grazer AK 2 1563 24.26% @ SCR Altach 1 1584 53.75% 21.99%
12 2026-08-30 65.4 @ Hartberg 3 1604 50.84% Ried 2 1607 26.90% 22.26%
13 2026-08-29 65.1 @ Grazer AK 0 1563 38.05% Wolfsberg 0 1660 39.22% 22.73%
14 2026-09-01 64.5 LASK 3 1743 37.15% @ Wolfsberg 1 1660 40.13% 22.73%
15 2026-09-13 64.5 @ Sturm Graz 2 1703 43.96% LASK 1 1759 33.40% 22.65%
16 2026-08-15 64.3 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1561 36.48% Wolfsberg 1 1669 40.80% 22.72%
17 2026-09-02 62.3 WSG Tirol 1 1594 23.69% @ Austria Wien 0 1620 54.40% 21.91%
18 2026-08-30 61.2 @ Rapid Wien 3 1693 48.38% Sturm Graz 1 1716 29.18% 22.44%
19 2026-08-16 59.6 Austria Wien 2 1609 25.78% @ Hartberg 0 1616 52.06% 22.16%
20 2026-08-08 58.7 Sturm Graz 2 1694 33.89% @ Hartberg 0 1635 43.45% 22.66%
21 2026-08-09 58.1 LASK 2 1702 36.04% @ Austria Wien 0 1628 41.25% 22.71%
22 2026-09-12 57.9 Rapid Wien 3 1687 31.72% @ Wolfsberg 0 1644 45.70% 22.58%
23 2026-08-08 57.2 @ Grazer AK 2 1605 55.71% Austria Lustenau 1 1567 22.53% 21.76%
24 2026-08-07 56.6 @ SCR Altach 3 1600 53.29% WSG Tirol 1 1583 24.68% 22.04%
25 2026-09-20 56.5 @ Ried 4 1602 49.65% Wolfsberg 1 1614 27.99% 22.35%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-29 47.7 @ LASK 3 1732 65.71% SCR Altach 0 1595 14.40% 19.89%
2 2026-09-18 48.3 @ Rapid Wien 3 1716 63.33% WSG Tirol 0 1605 16.22% 20.46%
3 2026-07-31 49.4 @ LASK 3 1688 59.05% Grazer AK 0 1619 19.67% 21.27%
4 2026-08-16 50.4 @ Rapid Wien 8 1652 56.16% Grazer AK 0 1610 22.14% 21.70%
5 2026-09-19 50.4 @ Austria Lustenau 2 1523 44.89% SCR Altach 0 1572 32.50% 22.62%
6 2026-08-02 51.5 @ Wolfsberg 3 1652 51.83% Austria Wien 0 1647 25.99% 22.18%
7 2026-09-20 51.7 @ Salzburg 3 1747 55.46% Sturm Graz 0 1711 22.75% 21.79%
8 2026-08-21 51.8 @ Ried 1 1601 55.05% Grazer AK 0 1569 23.11% 21.84%
9 2026-08-15 52.3 @ Sturm Graz 1 1714 62.57% SCR Altach 0 1611 16.81% 20.62%
10 2026-08-02 53.5 @ Rapid Wien 1 1635 54.62% SCR Altach 0 1607 23.49% 21.89%
11 2026-08-16 53.8 Salzburg 3 1693 42.47% @ WSG Tirol 0 1573 34.84% 22.69%
12 2026-08-01 54.2 @ Salzburg 1 1686 56.48% Hartberg 0 1641 21.86% 21.66%
13 2026-08-14 54.2 @ LASK 4 1721 63.22% Ried 1 1611 16.30% 20.48%
14 2026-09-13 54.9 @ Austria Wien 2 1607 60.20% Austria Lustenau 1 1528 18.73% 21.08%
15 2026-08-30 55.1 @ Salzburg 4 1717 60.79% Austria Wien 1 1632 18.24% 20.97%
16 2026-08-28 55.6 WSG Tirol 4 1548 23.83% @ Austria Lustenau 0 1573 54.24% 21.93%
17 2026-09-02 56.0 @ Salzburg 5 1728 53.95% Rapid Wien 1 1706 24.09% 21.97%
18 2026-09-20 56.5 @ Ried 4 1602 49.65% Wolfsberg 1 1614 27.99% 22.35%
19 2026-08-07 56.6 @ SCR Altach 3 1600 53.29% WSG Tirol 1 1583 24.68% 22.04%
20 2026-08-08 57.2 @ Grazer AK 2 1605 55.71% Austria Lustenau 1 1567 22.53% 21.76%
21 2026-09-12 57.9 Rapid Wien 3 1687 31.72% @ Wolfsberg 0 1644 45.70% 22.58%
22 2026-08-09 58.1 LASK 2 1702 36.04% @ Austria Wien 0 1628 41.25% 22.71%
23 2026-08-08 58.7 Sturm Graz 2 1694 33.89% @ Hartberg 0 1635 43.45% 22.66%
24 2026-08-16 59.6 Austria Wien 2 1609 25.78% @ Hartberg 0 1616 52.06% 22.16%
25 2026-08-30 61.2 @ Rapid Wien 3 1693 48.38% Sturm Graz 1 1716 29.18% 22.44%