Home / Leagues / Belarus / Belarusian Premier League / 1995
‹ ›

1995 Belarusian Premier League Season

120 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Minsk

38 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 1994-95

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

MPKC Mozyr

8.54 points above expected

36 points · 27.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dvina Vitebsk

9.45 points below expected

20 points · 29.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dinamo Minsk Champion 15 12 2 1 38 42 13 +29 36.95 +1.05
2 MPKC Mozyr 15 11 3 1 36 44 9 +35 27.46 +8.54
3 Dynamo-93 Minsk 15 10 2 3 32 28 15 +13 29.00 +3.00
4 Ataka Minsk 15 8 5 2 29 26 7 +19 25.22 +3.78
5 Molodechno 15 8 1 6 25 33 19 +14 24.36 +0.64
6 Dnepr Mogilev 15 7 1 7 22 26 23 +3 22.90 -0.90
7 Dvina Vitebsk 15 5 5 5 20 12 12 0 29.45 -9.45
8 Neman Grodno 15 6 1 8 19 20 35 -15 15.95 +3.05
9 Torpedo Minsk 15 5 3 7 18 12 27 -15 18.74 -0.74
10 Dynamo Brest 15 5 2 8 17 27 32 -5 18.88 -1.88
11 Torpedo Mogilev 15 4 5 6 17 17 21 -4 17.62 -0.62
12 Obuvshchik Lida 15 4 4 7 16 15 23 -8 18.36 -2.36
13 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 15 4 4 7 16 12 20 -8 10.10 +5.90
14 Vedrich Rechitsa 15 4 3 8 15 22 20 +2 17.96 -2.96
15 Shinnik Bobruisk 15 4 3 8 15 17 29 -12 13.17 +1.83
16 Bobruisk 15 0 2 13 2 6 54 -48 10.78 -8.78

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 MPKC Mozyr 36 27.46 +8.54
2 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 16 10.10 +5.90
3 Ataka Minsk 29 25.22 +3.78
4 Neman Grodno 19 15.95 +3.05
5 Dynamo-93 Minsk 32 29.00 +3.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dvina Vitebsk 20 29.45 -9.45
2 Bobruisk 2 10.78 -8.78
3 Vedrich Rechitsa 15 17.96 -2.96
4 Obuvshchik Lida 16 18.36 -2.36
5 Dynamo Brest 17 18.88 -1.88

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2 Aug 1 – Aug 13 1 in 40
2 Ataka Minsk 5 Jul 20 – Aug 19 1 in 39
3 Dinamo Minsk 10 Jul 10 – Sep 21 1 in 15
4 Neman Grodno 2 Aug 1 – Aug 13 1 in 15
5 Dnepr Mogilev 3 Aug 13 – Aug 23 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dynamo Brest 4 Oct 1 – Nov 6 1 in 60
2 Bobruisk 9 Aug 23 – Nov 6 1 in 41
3 Obuvshchik Lida 5 Sep 27 – Nov 5 1 in 13
4 Torpedo Minsk 2 Aug 2 – Aug 13 1 in 10
5 Dnepr Mogilev 3 Sep 13 – Sep 21 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4 Aug 1 – Aug 26 1 in 57
2 Ataka Minsk 7 Sep 17 – Nov 6 1 in 39
3 MPKC Mozyr 10 Aug 13 – Nov 6 1 in 32
4 Shinnik Bobruisk 3 Sep 17 – Oct 1 1 in 22
5 Dynamo-93 Minsk 8 Aug 15 – Oct 14 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Minsk 2 Oct 1 – Oct 22 1 in 33
2 Torpedo Minsk 6 Jul 25 – Sep 10 1 in 28
3 Dvina Vitebsk 5 Aug 17 – Sep 18 1 in 24
4 Bobruisk 15 Jul 15 – Nov 6 1 in 22
5 Dynamo Brest 4 Oct 1 – Nov 6 1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dinamo Minsk 1738 38 -27 8 12.0 -4.0
MPKC Mozyr 1596 36 +88 13 8.7 +4.3
Dynamo-93 Minsk 1500 32 -34 10 11.6 -1.6
Ataka Minsk 1489 29 +24 9 7.9 +1.1
Molodechno 1473 25 +94 12 9.4 +2.6
Dnepr Mogilev 1371 22 +11 7 7.5 -0.5
Dvina Vitebsk 1477 20 +8 10 10.5 -0.5
Neman Grodno 1214 19 -40 9 5.9 +3.1
Torpedo Minsk 1204 18 -40 6 4.3 +1.7
Torpedo Mogilev 1296 17 -22 7 6.5 +0.5
Dynamo Brest 1264 17 -52 3 7.3 -4.3
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1172 16 +61 8 3.1 +4.9
Obuvshchik Lida 1221 16 -74 0 4.0 -4.0
Vedrich Rechitsa 1337 15 +74 6 6.2 -0.2
Shinnik Bobruisk 1189 15 +16 5 4.9 +0.1
Bobruisk 976 2 -86 0 2.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM BOB DM DM DV DB DM MM MOL NG OL SS SB TM TM VR
Ataka Minsk —
1-0-0
2.65
0-1-0
0.42
0-1-0
1.55
1-0-0
0.65
1-0-0
2.08
0-1-0
0.86
0-1-0
1.38
0-0-1
1.60
1-0-0
1.67
1-0-0
1.92
1-0-0
2.36
1-0-0
2.37
0-0-1
1.41
0-1-0
1.99
1-0-0
2.15
Bobruisk
0-0-1
0.21
 —
0-0-1
0.19
0-0-1
0.37
0-1-0
0.47
0-0-1
1.12
0-0-1
0.23
0-0-1
0.92
0-0-1
0.54
0-0-1
1.12
0-0-1
0.90
0-0-1
1.29
0-0-1
1.04
0-1-0
1.10
0-0-1
0.68
0-0-1
0.54
Dinamo Minsk
0-1-0
2.40
1-0-0
2.68
 —
1-0-0
2.37
1-0-0
2.32
1-0-0
2.62
1-0-0
1.98
0-0-1
1.86
1-0-0
2.53
1-0-0
2.51
1-0-0
2.66
0-1-0
2.75
1-0-0
2.56
1-0-0
2.58
1-0-0
2.43
1-0-0
2.37
Dnepr Mogilev
0-1-0
1.24
1-0-0
2.47
0-0-1
0.46
 —
1-0-0
0.79
1-0-0
1.82
0-0-1
1.47
0-0-1
0.70
0-0-1
0.82
0-0-1
1.83
1-0-0
1.92
0-0-1
2.50
1-0-0
1.97
1-0-0
2.06
0-0-1
1.69
1-0-0
1.45
Dvina Vitebsk
0-0-1
2.16
0-1-0
2.35
0-0-1
0.49
0-0-1
2.01
 —
0-1-0
2.11
0-0-1
1.56
0-1-0
1.64
1-0-0
1.48
1-0-0
2.35
1-0-0
1.93
0-0-1
2.31
0-1-0
2.44
0-1-0
1.93
1-0-0
2.42
1-0-0
2.25
Dynamo Brest
0-0-1
0.72
1-0-0
1.68
0-0-1
0.24
0-0-1
0.98
0-1-0
0.70
 —
0-0-1
0.58
0-0-1
0.84
1-0-0
1.28
1-0-0
1.36
0-1-0
1.74
0-0-1
1.73
1-0-0
2.11
0-0-1
2.07
1-0-0
1.68
0-0-1
1.14
Dynamo-93 Minsk
0-1-0
1.94
1-0-0
2.63
0-0-1
0.82
1-0-0
1.33
1-0-0
1.24
1-0-0
2.24
 —
0-1-0
1.17
1-0-0
2.05
0-0-1
2.32
1-0-0
2.30
1-0-0
2.55
1-0-0
2.29
1-0-0
2.42
1-0-0
1.95
0-0-1
2.12
MPKC Mozyr
0-1-0
1.42
1-0-0
1.88
1-0-0
0.94
1-0-0
2.10
0-1-0
1.16
1-0-0
1.96
0-1-0
1.63
 —
0-0-1
1.55
1-0-0
1.95
1-0-0
1.92
1-0-0
2.36
1-0-0
2.40
1-0-0
2.09
1-0-0
2.28
1-0-0
2.33
Molodechno
1-0-0
1.20
1-0-0
2.28
0-0-1
0.31
1-0-0
1.98
0-0-1
1.32
0-0-1
1.52
0-0-1
0.75
1-0-0
1.25
 —
0-0-1
2.22
0-0-1
1.70
0-1-0
2.00
1-0-0
2.27
1-0-0
1.83
1-0-0
1.97
1-0-0
1.87
Neman Grodno
0-0-1
1.13
1-0-0
1.68
0-0-1
0.33
1-0-0
0.97
0-0-1
0.47
0-0-1
1.43
1-0-0
0.50
0-0-1
0.85
1-0-0
0.59
 —
1-0-0
1.66
1-0-0
2.14
0-0-1
1.68
0-0-1
0.87
0-1-0
1.12
0-0-1
1.18
Obuvshchik Lida
0-0-1
0.88
1-0-0
1.90
0-0-1
0.21
0-0-1
0.88
0-0-1
0.87
0-1-0
1.06
0-0-1
0.52
0-0-1
0.88
1-0-0
1.10
0-0-1
1.14
 —
1-0-0
1.50
0-1-0
2.09
0-1-0
1.54
0-1-0
1.75
1-0-0
1.44
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
0-0-1
0.46
1-0-0
1.51
0-1-0
0.14
1-0-0
0.33
1-0-0
0.50
1-0-0
1.07
0-0-1
0.30
0-0-1
0.46
0-1-0
0.80
0-0-1
0.67
0-0-1
1.30
 —
0-0-1
0.90
0-0-1
1.25
0-1-0
0.69
0-1-0
0.57
Shinnik Bobruisk
0-0-1
0.45
1-0-0
1.76
0-0-1
0.28
0-0-1
0.83
0-1-0
0.39
0-0-1
0.70
0-0-1
0.52
0-0-1
0.42
0-0-1
0.54
1-0-0
1.12
0-1-0
0.71
1-0-0
1.90
 —
1-0-0
0.67
0-0-1
1.51
0-1-0
1.30
Torpedo Minsk
1-0-0
1.39
0-1-0
1.70
0-0-1
0.27
0-0-1
0.75
0-1-0
0.87
1-0-0
0.74
0-0-1
0.41
0-0-1
0.72
0-0-1
0.97
1-0-0
1.93
0-1-0
1.26
1-0-0
1.55
0-0-1
2.13
 —
0-0-1
1.74
1-0-0
1.46
Torpedo Mogilev
0-1-0
0.82
1-0-0
2.13
0-0-1
0.40
1-0-0
1.10
0-0-1
0.41
0-0-1
1.11
0-0-1
0.86
0-0-1
0.53
0-0-1
0.84
0-1-0
1.68
0-1-0
1.05
0-1-0
2.12
1-0-0
1.29
1-0-0
1.06
 —
0-1-0
1.90
Vedrich Rechitsa
0-0-1
0.66
1-0-0
2.27
0-0-1
0.45
0-0-1
1.35
0-0-1
0.56
1-0-0
1.66
1-0-0
0.69
0-0-1
0.49
0-0-1
0.93
1-0-0
1.61
0-0-1
1.36
0-1-0
2.24
0-1-0
1.50
0-0-1
1.34
0-1-0
0.90
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +7.3
Allowed 0.63 -6.3
Differential 0.88 +4.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%4.17%5.00%2.50%2.50%30.83%
18.33%9.17%5.42%5.83%1.25%2.08%32.08%
24.17%5.42%1.67%1.67%0.42%0.83%14.17%
35.00%5.83%1.67%—0.42%—12.92%
42.50%1.25%0.42%0.42%——4.58%
5+2.50%2.08%0.83%———5.42%
Total30.83%32.08%14.17%12.92%4.58%5.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.59 1.59 2.52
CV 1.06 1.06 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 120

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%————26.67%
16.67%13.33%6.67%———26.67%
26.67%—————6.67%
313.33%13.33%————26.67%
413.33%—————13.33%
5+———————
Total60.00%33.33%6.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.47 +1.27
SD 1.49 0.64 1.71
CV 0.86 1.37 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%—6.67%13.33%6.67%20.00%60.00%
1——13.33%—6.67%20.00%40.00%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%—20.00%13.33%13.33%40.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.40 3.60 -3.20
SD 0.51 2.13 2.11
CV 1.27 0.59 —
Max 1 7 +0
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%—————6.67%
16.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
220.00%6.67%————26.67%
36.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
4———————
5+—13.33%13.33%———26.67%
Total40.00%33.33%26.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.80 0.87 +1.93
SD 1.90 0.83 1.67
CV 0.68 0.96 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%————26.67%
1——13.33%6.67%6.67%—26.67%
2—13.33%————13.33%
36.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
4———6.67%——6.67%
5+—6.67%————6.67%
Total13.33%46.67%20.00%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.53 +0.20
SD 1.58 1.13 1.90
CV 0.91 0.73 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%6.67%———33.33%
120.00%20.00%6.67%6.67%——53.33%
213.33%—————13.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%33.33%13.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 0.80 +0.00
SD 0.68 0.94 1.25
CV 0.85 1.18 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%6.67%6.67%——20.00%
1—13.33%6.67%13.33%——33.33%
2—————6.67%6.67%
36.67%—13.33%—6.67%—26.67%
4—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
5+———————
Total6.67%26.67%33.33%20.00%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 2.13 -0.33
SD 1.42 1.30 1.99
CV 0.79 0.61 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.33%6.67%——20.00%
126.67%6.67%————33.33%
2—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
3—20.00%————20.00%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total33.33%40.00%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 1.00 +0.87
SD 1.68 0.93 2.20
CV 0.90 0.93 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
16.67%13.33%6.67%———26.67%
2—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
320.00%13.33%————33.33%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+20.00%—————20.00%
Total53.33%33.33%13.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.93 0.60 +2.33
SD 1.75 0.74 2.26
CV 0.60 1.23 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.33%6.67%———20.00%
16.67%6.67%—6.67%6.67%—26.67%
2—20.00%—6.67%——26.67%
3———————
413.33%—————13.33%
5+6.67%6.67%————13.33%
Total26.67%46.67%6.67%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.20 1.27 +0.93
SD 2.14 1.22 2.89
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%6.67%—6.67%13.33%33.33%
113.33%6.67%—6.67%——26.67%
26.67%——13.33%——20.00%
36.67%6.67%————13.33%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%26.67%6.67%20.00%6.67%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 2.33 -1.00
SD 1.29 2.66 3.48
CV 0.97 1.14 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%6.67%13.33%——40.00%
16.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%——33.33%
26.67%————6.67%13.33%
36.67%6.67%————13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%26.67%13.33%20.00%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.53 -0.53
SD 1.07 1.68 2.03
CV 1.07 1.10 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%20.00%——6.67%—40.00%
113.33%13.33%—20.00%——46.67%
2—6.67%————6.67%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%46.67%—20.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.33 -0.53
SD 0.86 1.29 1.55
CV 1.08 0.97 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%6.67%13.33%6.67%—40.00%
16.67%13.33%6.67%——6.67%33.33%
2————6.67%—6.67%
3—13.33%————13.33%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total20.00%33.33%13.33%13.33%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.93 -0.80
SD 1.30 1.75 2.46
CV 1.15 0.91 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%—6.67%6.67%6.67%40.00%
120.00%6.67%—6.67%—6.67%40.00%
2—13.33%—6.67%——20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%26.67%—20.00%6.67%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 1.80 -1.00
SD 0.77 1.86 2.10
CV 0.97 1.03 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%—46.67%
1—6.67%—13.33%——20.00%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+—6.67%————6.67%
Total33.33%26.67%13.33%20.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.40 -0.27
SD 1.46 1.35 2.19
CV 1.29 0.97 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%—13.33%——40.00%
1—6.67%13.33%6.67%——26.67%
26.67%6.67%6.67%———20.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total26.67%33.33%20.00%20.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.33 +0.13
SD 2.29 1.11 2.95
CV 1.56 0.83 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dinamo Minsk 1738 38 36.95 +1.05 60.0% 25 29 34 37 40 43 45
MPKC Mozyr 1596 36 27.46 +8.54 98.0% 11 17 24 28 31 35 38
Dynamo-93 Minsk 1500 32 29.00 +3.00 74.0% 18 21 25 29 33 37 42
Ataka Minsk 1489 29 25.22 +3.78 83.0% 15 17 22 25 28 33 36
Dvina Vitebsk 1477 20 29.45 -9.45 2.0% 16 22 27 30 32 35 43
Molodechno 1473 25 24.36 +0.64 66.0% 14 16 22 24 27 31 33
Dnepr Mogilev 1371 22 22.90 -0.90 51.0% 13 14 19 22 27 31 34
Vedrich Rechitsa 1337 15 17.96 -2.96 25.0% 5 10 15 18 21 26 29
Torpedo Mogilev 1296 17 17.62 -0.62 53.0% 7 11 14 17 21 26 31
Dynamo Brest 1264 17 18.88 -1.88 37.0% 6 10 16 19 22 26 30
Obuvshchik Lida 1221 16 18.36 -2.36 39.0% 8 10 15 18 22 26 30
Neman Grodno 1214 19 15.95 +3.05 75.0% 3 8 12 16 19 23 27
Torpedo Minsk 1204 18 18.74 -0.74 50.0% 8 11 15 18 22 27 29
Shinnik Bobruisk 1189 15 13.17 +1.83 70.0% 1 5 10 13 17 21 24
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1172 16 10.10 +5.90 96.0% 3 4 7 10 13 15 19
Bobruisk 976 2 10.78 -8.78 1.0% 1 4 8 10 13 18 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9% * Slight Edge: 9% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 15.5% * Strong Edge: 15.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.17%
Strong Edge
50.00%19.17%30.83%
Elo Value
Home Edge
183 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
067.43500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.49 goals
Neutral
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.32 * Runaway: 0.32 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
79%
Dinamo Minsk, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Tight Race
00.340.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.69 * Some Luck: 3.69 to 5.53 * Lucky: 5.53 to 7.38 * Wild Swing: 7.38 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.62 * Close: 1.62 to 2.43 * Off: 2.43 to 3.24 * Way Off: 3.24 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.55 points
Some Luck
04.6112
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.75
Close
02.025
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
98.00%
MPKC Mozyr
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
1.00%
Bobruisk
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.2 * Top-Heavy: 0.2 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 74.5% * Clear Edge: 74.5% to 81.5% * Wide Edge: 81.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 57.5% * Some Drama: 57.5% to 61.5% * Frequent: 61.5% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 20.5% * Very Frequent: 20.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Lopsided
00.190.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 191.36
1.73
Coin-Flip Parity
11.92.12.352.75
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%70.5%81.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Few
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
28%
Very Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.36 * Slight Separation: 0.36 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.48 * Lopsided: 0.48 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.53 * Some Carryover: 0.53 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Lopsided
00.360.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.87
Near-Lock
00.530.721
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.105
Well Within Noise
00.1440.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Dinamo Minsk79.00%13.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——————————
MPKC Mozyr6.00%21.00%19.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%3.00%—1.00%—1.00%—
Dynamo-93 Minsk8.00%25.00%15.00%14.00%18.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%—————
Ataka Minsk1.00%8.00%14.00%14.00%18.00%14.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%———
Molodechno—5.00%8.00%12.00%19.00%23.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%————
Dnepr Mogilev1.00%2.00%7.00%13.00%5.00%14.00%12.00%14.00%11.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%———
Dvina Vitebsk5.00%24.00%29.00%17.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%———1.00%————
Neman Grodno———2.00%——5.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%9.00%13.00%5.00%
Torpedo Minsk——1.00%2.00%7.00%—8.00%15.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%17.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%
Dynamo Brest——1.00%3.00%3.00%9.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%19.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%2.00%
Torpedo Mogilev—2.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%17.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%
Obuvshchik Lida——1.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%16.00%9.00%14.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%
Shakhtyor Soligorsk———————1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%5.00%9.00%27.00%23.00%32.00%
Vedrich Rechitsa——1.00%3.00%1.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%17.00%15.00%13.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%
Shinnik Bobruisk—————1.00%4.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%16.00%23.00%15.00%16.00%
Bobruisk———————1.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%15.00%22.00%36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Ataka Minsk 100% — —
Dinamo Minsk 100% — —
Dnepr Mogilev 100% — —
Dvina Vitebsk 100% — —
Dynamo-93 Minsk 100% — —
MPKC Mozyr 99.00% 1.00% —
Molodechno 100% — —
Dynamo Brest 92.00% 6.00% 2.00%
Obuvshchik Lida 92.00% 6.00% 2.00%
Torpedo Minsk 96.00% 2.00% 2.00%
Torpedo Mogilev 90.00% 8.00% 2.00%
Vedrich Rechitsa 93.00% 4.00% 3.00%
Neman Grodno 82.00% 13.00% 5.00%
Shinnik Bobruisk 69.00% 15.00% 16.00%
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 45.00% 23.00% 32.00%
Bobruisk 42.00% 22.00% 36.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1995-07-10 Torpedo Mogilev D 0-051.5 1364 1277 59.67% 19.69% 20.64%+0.84 -3.7 1
1995-07-10 @ Ataka Minsk D 0-051.5 1277 1364 20.64% 19.69% 59.67%-0.84 +3.7 1
1995-07-10 Torpedo Minsk W 5-138.8 1709 1291 80.83% 15.13% 4.05%+2.65 +5.1 3
1995-07-10 @ Dinamo Minsk L 1-538.8 1291 1709 4.05% 15.13% 80.83%-2.65 -5.1 0
1995-07-10 Obuvshchik Lida L 1-344.2 1137 1231 36.57% 20.32% 43.11%-0.15 -23.0 0
1995-07-10 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 3-144.2 1231 1137 43.11% 20.32% 36.57%+0.15 +23.0 3
1995-07-10 Neman Grodno W 7-032.9 1364 1287 58.53% 19.77% 21.70%+0.79 +54.9 3
1995-07-10 @ MPKC Mozyr L 0-732.9 1287 1364 21.70% 19.77% 58.53%-0.79 -54.9 0
1995-07-11 Vedrich Rechitsa D 1-154.3 1171 1267 36.41% 20.32% 43.27%-0.15 +0.5 1
1995-07-11 @ Shinnik Bobruisk D 1-154.3 1267 1171 43.27% 20.32% 36.41%+0.15 -0.5 1
1995-07-11 Molodechno W 4-144.2 1526 1416 61.93% 19.49% 18.58%+0.97 +18.2 3
1995-07-11 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk L 1-444.2 1416 1526 18.58% 19.49% 61.93%-0.97 -18.2 0
1995-07-15 MPKC Mozyr L 0-533.2 1222 1418 23.90% 19.92% 56.17%-0.71 -43.5 0
1995-07-15 @ Bobruisk W 5-033.2 1418 1222 56.17% 19.92% 23.90%+0.71 +43.5 6
1995-07-15 Dvina Vitebsk D 1-159.4 1291 1564 16.85% 19.29% 63.86%-1.12 +4.1 1
1995-07-15 @ Dynamo Brest D 1-159.4 1564 1291 63.86% 19.29% 16.85%+1.12 -4.1 1
1995-07-15 Ataka Minsk W 2-148.3 1286 1360 39.41% 20.33% 40.26%-0.04 +14.4 3
1995-07-15 @ Torpedo Minsk L 1-248.3 1360 1286 40.26% 20.33% 39.41%+0.04 -14.4 1
1995-07-15 Dinamo Minsk L 0-239.2 1280 1714 7.66% 17.22% 75.12%-2.00 -6.3 1
1995-07-15 @ Torpedo Mogilev W 2-039.2 1714 1280 75.12% 17.22% 7.66%+2.00 +6.3 6
1995-07-16 Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 3-140.1 1172 1113 56.59% 19.90% 23.51%+0.69 +15.9 4
1995-07-16 @ Shinnik Bobruisk L 1-340.1 1113 1172 23.51% 19.90% 56.59%-0.69 -15.9 0
1995-07-16 Molodechno W 1-046.5 1254 1398 29.98% 20.19% 49.83%-0.42 +18.2 6
1995-07-16 @ Obuvshchik Lida L 0-146.5 1398 1254 49.83% 20.19% 29.98%+0.42 -18.2 0
1995-07-16 Dynamo-93 Minsk W 3-049.1 1266 1544 16.43% 19.24% 64.33%-1.15 +63.4 4
1995-07-16 @ Vedrich Rechitsa L 0-349.1 1544 1266 64.33% 19.24% 16.43%+1.15 -63.4 3
1995-07-20 Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 4-027.6 1346 1098 72.62% 17.86% 9.52%+1.72 +14.9 4
1995-07-20 @ Ataka Minsk L 0-427.6 1098 1346 9.52% 17.86% 72.62%-1.72 -14.9 0
1995-07-20 Shinnik Bobruisk W 4-028.2 1462 1188 74.18% 17.48% 8.34%+1.87 +13.0 9
1995-07-20 @ MPKC Mozyr L 0-428.2 1188 1462 8.34% 17.48% 74.18%-1.87 -13.0 4
1995-07-20 Neman Grodno W 1-037.4 1300 1233 57.62% 19.83% 22.54%+0.74 +9.4 6
1995-07-20 @ Torpedo Minsk L 0-137.4 1233 1300 22.54% 19.83% 57.62%-0.74 -9.4 0
1995-07-20 Torpedo Mogilev W 1-036.1 1560 1274 74.83% 17.30% 7.87%+1.93 +3.4 4
1995-07-20 @ Dvina Vitebsk L 0-136.1 1274 1560 7.87% 17.30% 74.83%-1.93 -3.4 1
1995-07-21 Bobruisk W 6-132.6 1720 1178 84.94% 12.92% 2.14%+3.33 +3.1 9
1995-07-21 @ Dinamo Minsk L 1-632.6 1178 1720 2.14% 12.92% 84.94%-3.33 -3.1 0
1995-07-21 Dynamo Brest W 1-036.7 1481 1295 68.35% 18.69% 12.96%+1.38 +5.6 6
1995-07-21 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk L 0-136.7 1295 1481 12.96% 18.69% 68.35%-1.38 -5.6 1
1995-07-21 Vedrich Rechitsa W 2-144.2 1379 1329 55.66% 19.95% 24.39%+0.64 +9.5 3
1995-07-21 @ Molodechno L 1-244.2 1329 1379 24.39% 19.95% 55.66%-0.64 -9.5 4
1995-07-25 Dinamo Minsk L 0-332.4 1175 1723 4.28% 15.32% 80.39%-2.63 -5.0 4
1995-07-25 @ Shinnik Bobruisk W 3-032.4 1723 1175 80.39% 15.32% 4.28%+2.63 +5.0 12
1995-07-25 Torpedo Minsk D 1-154.9 1272 1310 44.54% 20.30% 35.16%+0.16 -0.8 7
1995-07-25 @ Obuvshchik Lida D 1-154.9 1310 1272 35.16% 20.30% 44.54%-0.16 +0.8 7
1995-07-25 Ataka Minsk L 0-435.3 1223 1360 30.84% 20.22% 48.94%-0.38 -43.8 0
1995-07-25 @ Neman Grodno W 4-035.3 1360 1223 48.94% 20.22% 30.84%+0.38 +43.8 7
1995-07-25 MPKC Mozyr L 1-335.9 1083 1475 9.41% 17.83% 72.76%-1.78 -6.7 0
1995-07-25 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 3-135.9 1475 1083 72.76% 17.83% 9.41%+1.78 +6.7 12
1995-07-25 Dynamo-93 Minsk L 1-342.3 1271 1486 21.96% 19.79% 58.25%-0.81 -15.0 1
1995-07-25 @ Torpedo Mogilev W 3-142.3 1486 1271 58.25% 19.79% 21.96%+0.81 +14.9 9
1995-07-26 Dvina Vitebsk D 0-053.3 1175 1563 9.60% 17.89% 72.51%-1.75 +6.3 1
1995-07-26 @ Bobruisk D 0-053.3 1563 1175 72.51% 17.89% 9.60%+1.75 -6.3 5
1995-07-26 Molodechno W 3-254.5 1290 1389 35.87% 20.31% 43.82%-0.17 +14.6 4
1995-07-26 @ Dynamo Brest L 2-354.5 1389 1290 43.82% 20.31% 35.87%+0.17 -14.6 3
1995-07-26 Dnepr Mogilev L 1-346.7 1320 1403 38.13% 20.33% 41.54%-0.09 -23.8 4
1995-07-26 @ Vedrich Rechitsa W 3-146.7 1403 1320 41.54% 20.33% 38.13%+0.09 +23.8 3
1995-08-01 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-152.9 1427 1076 78.05% 16.27% 5.68%+2.29 -27.7 3
1995-08-01 @ Dnepr Mogilev W 1-052.9 1076 1427 5.68% 16.27% 78.05%-2.29 +27.7 3
1995-08-01 Dinamo Minsk L 0-251.1 1501 1728 20.84% 19.70% 59.46%-0.87 -16.5 9
1995-08-01 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk W 2-051.1 1728 1501 59.46% 19.70% 20.84%+0.87 +16.5 15
1995-08-01 Torpedo Mogilev D 0-050.7 1271 1256 51.54% 20.14% 28.33%+0.45 -2.1 8
1995-08-01 @ Obuvshchik Lida D 0-050.7 1256 1271 28.33% 20.14% 51.54%-0.45 +2.1 2
1995-08-01 MPKC Mozyr W 2-153.5 1374 1482 34.76% 20.30% 44.94%-0.22 +15.7 6
1995-08-01 @ Molodechno L 1-253.5 1482 1374 44.94% 20.30% 34.76%+0.22 -15.7 12
1995-08-01 Bobruisk W 3-035.5 1179 1181 49.29% 20.21% 30.50%+0.36 +33.2 3
1995-08-01 @ Neman Grodno L 0-335.5 1181 1179 30.50% 20.21% 49.29%-0.36 -33.2 1
1995-08-01 Dynamo Brest W 2-038.3 1296 1304 48.50% 20.23% 31.27%+0.32 +23.4 7
1995-08-01 @ Vedrich Rechitsa L 0-238.3 1304 1296 31.27% 20.23% 48.50%-0.32 -23.4 4
1995-08-01 Ataka Minsk L 0-255.9 1557 1404 65.79% 19.06% 15.15%+1.20 -44.6 5
1995-08-01 @ Dvina Vitebsk W 2-055.9 1404 1557 15.15% 19.06% 65.79%-1.20 +44.6 10
1995-08-02 Shinnik Bobruisk L 0-149.7 1310 1170 64.75% 19.19% 16.06%+1.14 -23.3 7
1995-08-02 @ Torpedo Minsk W 1-049.7 1170 1310 16.06% 19.19% 64.75%-1.14 +23.3 7
1995-08-13 Torpedo Minsk W 3-246.7 1399 1287 62.14% 19.47% 18.39%+0.98 +7.0 6
1995-08-13 @ Dnepr Mogilev L 2-346.7 1287 1399 18.39% 19.47% 62.14%-0.98 -7.0 7
1995-08-13 Dynamo Brest W 5-244.1 1745 1281 82.49% 14.32% 3.20%+2.90 +2.7 18
1995-08-13 @ Dinamo Minsk L 2-544.1 1281 1745 3.20% 14.32% 82.49%-2.90 -2.7 4
1995-08-13 Neman Grodno L 1-353.9 1390 1213 67.77% 18.78% 13.45%+1.34 -39.8 6
1995-08-13 @ Molodechno W 3-153.9 1213 1390 13.45% 18.78% 67.77%-1.34 +39.8 6
1995-08-13 Bobruisk W 2-145.9 1104 1148 43.61% 20.31% 36.08%+0.13 +13.1 6
1995-08-13 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 1-245.9 1148 1104 36.08% 20.31% 43.61%-0.13 -13.2 1
1995-08-13 Torpedo Mogilev W 3-138.2 1466 1258 70.03% 18.40% 11.57%+1.51 +8.2 15
1995-08-13 @ MPKC Mozyr L 1-338.2 1258 1466 11.57% 18.40% 70.03%-1.51 -8.2 2
1995-08-13 Vedrich Rechitsa W 1-037.8 1512 1320 68.93% 18.60% 12.48%+1.42 +5.4 8
1995-08-13 @ Dvina Vitebsk L 0-137.8 1320 1512 12.48% 18.60% 68.93%-1.42 -5.4 7
1995-08-14 Shinnik Bobruisk W 3-029.5 1449 1193 73.10% 17.75% 9.15%+1.77 +10.9 13
1995-08-14 @ Ataka Minsk L 0-329.5 1193 1449 9.15% 17.75% 73.10%-1.77 -10.9 7
1995-08-15 Obuvshchik Lida W 2-140.4 1485 1269 70.53% 18.31% 11.16%+1.55 +4.6 12
1995-08-15 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk L 1-240.4 1269 1485 11.16% 18.31% 70.53%-1.55 -4.6 8
1995-08-17 Dvina Vitebsk W 3-153.1 1747 1518 71.45% 18.12% 10.43%+1.62 +7.4 21
1995-08-17 @ Dinamo Minsk L 1-353.1 1518 1747 10.43% 18.12% 71.45%-1.62 -7.4 8
1995-08-18 Torpedo Minsk D 0-050.3 1135 1280 29.87% 20.19% 49.94%-0.42 +1.8 2
1995-08-18 @ Bobruisk D 0-050.3 1280 1135 49.94% 20.19% 29.87%+0.42 -1.8 8
1995-08-18 Molodechno D 1-154.6 1117 1350 20.25% 19.65% 60.10%-0.91 +3.4 7
1995-08-18 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 1-154.6 1350 1117 60.10% 19.65% 20.25%+0.91 -3.4 7
1995-08-18 Neman Grodno D 1-154.5 1249 1252 49.20% 20.21% 30.59%+0.35 -1.5 3
1995-08-18 @ Torpedo Mogilev D 1-154.5 1252 1249 30.59% 20.21% 49.20%-0.35 +1.5 7
1995-08-19 Vedrich Rechitsa W 1-037.7 1460 1314 65.18% 19.14% 15.68%+1.17 +6.7 16
1995-08-19 @ Ataka Minsk L 0-137.7 1314 1460 15.68% 19.14% 65.18%-1.17 -6.7 7
1995-08-19 Dnepr Mogilev L 1-242.0 1182 1406 21.14% 19.73% 59.13%-0.86 -8.3 7
1995-08-19 @ Shinnik Bobruisk W 2-142.0 1406 1182 59.13% 19.73% 21.14%+0.86 +8.3 9
1995-08-19 Dynamo-93 Minsk D 2-267.7 1474 1489 47.61% 20.25% 32.14%+0.29 -0.9 16
1995-08-19 @ MPKC Mozyr D 2-267.7 1489 1474 32.14% 20.25% 47.61%-0.29 +0.9 13
1995-08-20 Obuvshchik Lida D 1-154.7 1278 1264 51.34% 20.14% 28.52%+0.44 -1.9 5
1995-08-20 @ Dynamo Brest D 1-154.7 1264 1278 28.52% 20.14% 51.34%-0.44 +1.9 9
1995-08-23 Dynamo Brest L 1-440.4 1137 1276 30.54% 20.21% 49.25%-0.39 -28.1 2
1995-08-23 @ Bobruisk W 4-140.4 1276 1137 49.25% 20.21% 30.54%+0.39 +28.1 8
1995-08-23 Dnepr Mogilev L 1-260.2 1510 1414 60.59% 19.61% 19.80%+0.89 -20.6 8
1995-08-23 @ Dvina Vitebsk W 2-160.2 1414 1510 19.80% 19.61% 60.59%-0.89 +20.6 12
1995-08-26 Shinnik Bobruisk W 4-242.2 1305 1174 63.88% 19.29% 16.83%+1.08 +10.5 11
1995-08-26 @ Dynamo Brest L 2-442.2 1174 1305 16.83% 19.29% 63.88%-1.08 -10.5 7
1995-08-26 MPKC Mozyr L 0-335.4 1266 1473 22.83% 19.85% 57.32%-0.76 -25.9 9
1995-08-26 @ Obuvshchik Lida W 3-035.4 1473 1266 57.32% 19.85% 22.83%+0.76 +25.9 19
1995-08-26 Ataka Minsk W 1-048.1 1347 1466 33.11% 20.27% 46.61%-0.29 +17.2 10
1995-08-26 @ Molodechno L 0-148.1 1466 1347 46.61% 20.27% 33.11%+0.29 -17.2 16
1995-08-26 Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 0-050.8 1307 1120 68.49% 18.67% 12.84%+1.39 -5.5 8
1995-08-26 @ Vedrich Rechitsa D 0-050.8 1120 1307 12.84% 18.67% 68.49%-1.39 +5.5 8
1995-08-26 Dvina Vitebsk D 0-053.2 1278 1490 22.36% 19.82% 57.82%-0.79 +3.3 9
1995-08-26 @ Torpedo Minsk D 0-053.2 1490 1278 57.82% 19.82% 22.36%+0.79 -3.3 9
1995-08-26 Bobruisk W 5-133.8 1248 1109 64.62% 19.21% 16.17%+1.13 +20.7 6
1995-08-26 @ Torpedo Mogilev L 1-533.8 1109 1248 16.17% 19.21% 64.62%-1.13 -20.7 2
1995-08-27 Dinamo Minsk L 2-350.4 1254 1755 5.46% 16.13% 78.41%-2.37 -2.1 7
1995-08-27 @ Neman Grodno W 3-250.4 1755 1254 78.41% 16.13% 5.46%+2.37 +2.1 24
1995-08-28 Dynamo-93 Minsk L 1-353.0 1435 1490 42.09% 20.33% 37.58%+0.07 -25.8 12
1995-08-28 @ Dnepr Mogilev W 3-153.0 1490 1435 37.58% 20.33% 42.09%-0.07 +25.8 16
1995-09-09 Bobruisk W 5-130.5 1409 1088 76.64% 16.75% 6.60%+2.12 +8.5 15
1995-09-09 @ Dnepr Mogilev L 1-530.5 1088 1409 6.60% 16.75% 76.64%-2.12 -8.5 2
1995-09-09 Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 1-031.5 1516 1126 79.74% 15.60% 4.66%+2.50 +2.0 19
1995-09-09 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk L 0-131.5 1126 1516 4.66% 15.60% 79.74%-2.50 -2.0 8
1995-09-09 Vedrich Rechitsa W 3-038.4 1240 1302 41.20% 20.33% 38.47%+0.03 +40.2 12
1995-09-09 @ Obuvshchik Lida L 0-338.4 1302 1240 38.47% 20.33% 41.20%-0.03 -40.2 8
1995-09-09 Shinnik Bobruisk W 6-131.5 1364 1163 69.50% 18.50% 12.00%+1.47 +19.1 13
1995-09-09 @ Molodechno L 1-631.5 1163 1364 12.00% 18.50% 69.50%-1.47 -19.1 7
1995-09-09 Dynamo Brest L 2-352.7 1252 1315 40.94% 20.33% 38.72%+0.02 -13.8 7
1995-09-09 @ Neman Grodno W 3-252.7 1315 1252 38.72% 20.33% 40.94%-0.02 +13.8 14
1995-09-09 MPKC Mozyr D 1-163.5 1486 1499 47.91% 20.24% 31.85%+0.30 -1.3 10
1995-09-09 @ Dvina Vitebsk D 1-163.5 1499 1486 31.85% 20.24% 47.91%-0.30 +1.3 20
1995-09-10 Torpedo Mogilev L 0-342.2 1282 1269 51.21% 20.15% 28.64%+0.44 -51.1 9
1995-09-10 @ Torpedo Minsk W 3-042.2 1269 1282 28.64% 20.15% 51.21%-0.44 +51.1 9
1995-09-13 Dnepr Mogilev W 4-148.6 1238 1418 25.76% 20.02% 54.22%-0.61 +45.4 10
1995-09-13 @ Neman Grodno L 1-448.6 1418 1238 54.22% 20.02% 25.76%+0.61 -45.4 15
1995-09-17 Dynamo Brest W 3-141.3 1449 1329 62.94% 19.39% 17.67%+1.03 +12.3 19
1995-09-17 @ Ataka Minsk L 1-341.3 1329 1449 17.67% 19.39% 62.94%-1.03 -12.3 14
1995-09-17 Neman Grodno W 3-148.1 1144 1283 30.58% 20.21% 49.20%-0.39 +29.4 10
1995-09-17 @ Shinnik Bobruisk L 1-348.1 1283 1144 49.20% 20.21% 30.58%+0.39 -29.4 10
1995-09-17 Molodechno W 2-043.0 1757 1383 79.06% 15.88% 5.06%+2.41 +4.1 27
1995-09-17 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-243.0 1383 1757 5.06% 15.88% 79.06%-2.41 -4.1 13
1995-09-17 Torpedo Minsk L 0-140.8 1124 1230 34.86% 20.30% 44.84%-0.21 -13.6 8
1995-09-17 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 1-040.8 1230 1124 44.84% 20.30% 34.86%+0.21 +13.5 12
1995-09-17 Dnepr Mogilev W 1-040.6 1501 1372 63.65% 19.32% 17.03%+1.07 +7.3 23
1995-09-17 @ MPKC Mozyr L 0-140.6 1372 1501 17.03% 19.32% 63.65%-1.07 -7.3 15
1995-09-17 Vedrich Rechitsa D 2-260.0 1320 1262 56.57% 19.90% 23.53%+0.69 -2.1 10
1995-09-17 @ Torpedo Mogilev D 2-260.0 1262 1320 23.53% 19.90% 56.57%-0.69 +2.1 9
1995-09-18 Obuvshchik Lida L 0-235.1 1080 1281 23.46% 19.89% 56.65%-0.73 -18.3 2
1995-09-18 @ Bobruisk W 2-035.1 1281 1080 56.65% 19.89% 23.46%+0.73 +18.3 15
1995-09-18 Dynamo-93 Minsk L 0-153.9 1485 1518 45.23% 20.29% 34.48%+0.19 -16.8 10
1995-09-18 @ Dvina Vitebsk W 1-053.9 1518 1485 34.48% 20.29% 45.23%-0.19 +16.8 22
1995-09-21 Dinamo Minsk L 0-146.6 1365 1761 9.24% 17.78% 72.98%-1.80 -4.0 15
1995-09-21 @ Dnepr Mogilev W 1-046.6 1761 1365 72.98% 17.78% 9.24%+1.80 +4.0 30
1995-09-22 Torpedo Mogilev W 3-036.5 1317 1318 49.42% 20.20% 30.37%+0.36 +33.1 17
1995-09-22 @ Dynamo Brest L 0-336.5 1318 1317 30.37% 20.20% 49.42%-0.36 -33.1 10
1995-09-22 Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 1-034.8 1254 1110 65.01% 19.16% 15.83%+1.15 +6.8 13
1995-09-22 @ Neman Grodno L 0-134.8 1110 1254 15.83% 19.16% 65.01%-1.15 -6.8 8
1995-09-22 MPKC Mozyr L 0-532.5 1244 1508 17.57% 19.38% 63.05%-1.07 -33.0 12
1995-09-22 @ Torpedo Minsk W 5-032.5 1508 1244 63.05% 19.38% 17.57%+1.07 +33.0 26
1995-09-23 Ataka Minsk D 1-164.0 1535 1462 58.20% 19.79% 22.01%+0.77 -3.1 23
1995-09-23 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk D 1-164.0 1462 1535 22.01% 19.79% 58.20%-0.77 +3.1 20
1995-09-23 Shinnik Bobruisk D 0-050.7 1299 1174 63.38% 19.35% 17.28%+1.05 -4.5 16
1995-09-23 @ Obuvshchik Lida D 0-050.7 1174 1299 17.28% 19.35% 63.38%-1.05 +4.5 11
1995-09-23 Dvina Vitebsk L 0-146.2 1379 1468 37.23% 20.32% 42.45%-0.12 -14.3 13
1995-09-23 @ Molodechno W 1-046.2 1468 1379 42.45% 20.32% 37.23%+0.12 +14.3 13
1995-09-23 Bobruisk W 2-138.1 1264 1061 69.61% 18.48% 11.91%+1.48 +4.9 12
1995-09-23 @ Vedrich Rechitsa L 1-238.1 1061 1264 11.91% 18.48% 69.61%-1.48 -4.9 2
1995-09-27 Obuvshchik Lida W 3-034.3 1361 1294 57.50% 19.84% 22.66%+0.73 +25.8 18
1995-09-27 @ Dnepr Mogilev L 0-334.3 1294 1361 22.66% 19.84% 57.50%-0.73 -25.8 16
1995-09-30 MPKC Mozyr D 1-164.2 1465 1541 39.10% 20.33% 40.56%-0.05 +0.1 21
1995-09-30 @ Ataka Minsk D 1-164.2 1541 1465 40.56% 20.33% 39.10%+0.05 -0.1 27
1995-10-01 Dynamo Brest W 4-352.8 1387 1350 54.14% 20.03% 25.83%+0.57 +9.2 21
1995-10-01 @ Dnepr Mogilev L 3-452.8 1350 1387 25.83% 20.03% 54.14%-0.57 -9.2 17
1995-10-01 Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 1-162.3 1765 1104 88.02% 10.84% 1.14%+3.98 -7.6 31
1995-10-01 @ Dinamo Minsk D 1-162.3 1104 1765 1.14% 10.84% 88.02%-3.98 +7.6 9
1995-10-01 Torpedo Mogilev W 4-032.8 1365 1285 58.96% 19.74% 21.30%+0.81 +31.9 16
1995-10-01 @ Molodechno L 0-432.8 1285 1365 21.30% 19.74% 58.96%-0.81 -31.9 10
1995-10-01 Obuvshchik Lida W 1-040.1 1261 1269 48.55% 20.23% 31.22%+0.33 +12.4 16
1995-10-01 @ Neman Grodno L 0-140.1 1269 1261 31.22% 20.23% 48.55%-0.33 -12.4 16
1995-10-01 Shinnik Bobruisk D 1-156.5 1483 1178 75.82% 17.01% 7.17%+2.03 -6.2 14
1995-10-01 @ Dvina Vitebsk D 1-156.5 1178 1483 7.17% 17.01% 75.82%-2.03 +6.2 12
1995-10-02 Bobruisk W 6-024.9 1532 1056 82.87% 14.11% 3.01%+2.97 +6.5 26
1995-10-02 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk L 0-624.9 1056 1532 3.01% 14.11% 82.87%-2.97 -6.5 2
1995-10-02 Vedrich Rechitsa W 1-042.0 1211 1269 41.75% 20.33% 37.92%+0.05 +14.5 15
1995-10-02 @ Torpedo Minsk L 0-142.0 1269 1211 37.92% 20.33% 41.75%-0.05 -14.5 12
1995-10-14 Dynamo-93 Minsk L 0-135.2 1184 1538 11.37% 18.36% 70.27%-1.57 -5.0 12
1995-10-14 @ Shinnik Bobruisk W 1-035.2 1538 1184 70.27% 18.36% 11.37%+1.57 +5.0 29
1995-10-14 Torpedo Minsk L 1-254.2 1340 1225 62.43% 19.44% 18.13%+1.00 -21.2 17
1995-10-14 @ Dynamo Brest W 2-154.2 1225 1340 18.13% 19.44% 62.43%-1.00 +21.2 18
1995-10-14 Ataka Minsk L 1-341.9 1256 1465 22.67% 19.84% 57.49%-0.77 -15.4 16
1995-10-14 @ Obuvshchik Lida W 3-141.9 1465 1256 57.49% 19.84% 22.67%+0.77 +15.4 24
1995-10-14 Dvina Vitebsk W 1-051.8 1111 1477 10.74% 18.20% 71.06%-1.63 +25.5 12
1995-10-14 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-151.8 1477 1111 71.06% 18.20% 10.74%+1.63 -25.5 14
1995-10-14 Neman Grodno W 9-036.0 1254 1273 47.07% 20.26% 32.67%+0.26 +99.1 15
1995-10-14 @ Vedrich Rechitsa L 0-936.0 1273 1254 32.67% 20.26% 47.07%-0.26 -99.1 16
1995-10-14 Dnepr Mogilev W 2-151.2 1253 1396 30.09% 20.20% 49.72%-0.41 +17.1 13
1995-10-14 @ Torpedo Mogilev L 1-251.2 1396 1253 49.72% 20.20% 30.09%+0.41 -17.2 21
1995-10-15 Molodechno L 0-728.5 1050 1397 11.78% 18.45% 69.77%-1.53 -31.1 2
1995-10-15 @ Bobruisk W 7-028.5 1397 1050 69.77% 18.45% 11.78%+1.53 +31.1 19
1995-10-22 Ataka Minsk D 0-068.0 1757 1480 74.34% 17.43% 8.22%+1.88 -6.6 32
1995-10-22 @ Dinamo Minsk D 0-068.0 1480 1757 8.22% 17.43% 74.34%-1.88 +6.6 25
1995-10-26 Dinamo Minsk L 1-250.6 1353 1751 9.16% 17.75% 73.08%-1.80 -3.8 15
1995-10-26 @ Vedrich Rechitsa W 2-150.6 1751 1353 73.08% 17.75% 9.16%+1.80 +3.8 35
1995-10-27 Shinnik Bobruisk L 0-433.6 1019 1179 27.99% 20.12% 51.89%-0.51 -40.4 2
1995-10-27 @ Bobruisk W 4-033.6 1179 1019 51.89% 20.12% 27.99%+0.51 +40.4 15
1995-10-27 Ataka Minsk D 0-055.4 1379 1487 34.66% 20.30% 45.04%-0.22 +0.9 22
1995-10-27 @ Dnepr Mogilev D 0-055.4 1487 1379 45.04% 20.30% 34.66%+0.22 -0.9 26
1995-10-27 MPKC Mozyr L 0-337.7 1319 1541 21.39% 19.75% 58.87%-0.84 -24.5 17
1995-10-27 @ Dynamo Brest W 3-037.7 1541 1319 58.87% 19.75% 21.39%+0.84 +24.5 30
1995-10-27 Dvina Vitebsk L 0-236.4 1241 1451 22.50% 19.83% 57.67%-0.78 -17.6 16
1995-10-27 @ Obuvshchik Lida W 2-036.4 1451 1241 57.67% 19.83% 22.50%+0.78 +17.6 17
1995-10-27 Dynamo-93 Minsk W 2-050.9 1174 1543 10.56% 18.15% 71.29%-1.65 +48.2 19
1995-10-27 @ Neman Grodno L 0-250.9 1543 1174 71.29% 18.15% 10.56%+1.65 -48.2 29
1995-10-27 Molodechno L 0-434.4 1247 1428 25.61% 20.02% 54.37%-0.62 -37.5 18
1995-10-27 @ Torpedo Minsk W 4-034.4 1428 1247 54.37% 20.02% 25.61%+0.62 +37.5 22
1995-10-27 Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 0-050.6 1270 1137 64.10% 19.27% 16.63%+1.10 -4.6 14
1995-10-27 @ Torpedo Mogilev D 0-050.6 1137 1270 16.63% 19.27% 64.10%-1.10 +4.6 13
1995-11-03 Dinamo Minsk W 2-169.8 1565 1754 24.70% 19.97% 55.33%-0.67 +18.9 33
1995-11-03 @ MPKC Mozyr L 1-269.8 1754 1565 55.33% 19.97% 24.70%+0.67 -18.9 35
1995-11-05 Obuvshchik Lida W 6-238.4 1736 1223 84.07% 13.45% 2.49%+3.17 +2.6 38
1995-11-05 @ Dinamo Minsk L 2-638.4 1223 1736 2.49% 13.45% 84.07%-3.17 -2.6 16
1995-11-05 Torpedo Minsk W 3-136.5 1495 1209 74.81% 17.31% 7.89%+1.93 +5.6 32
1995-11-05 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk L 1-336.5 1209 1495 7.89% 17.31% 74.81%-1.93 -5.6 18
1995-11-06 Bobruisk W 3-025.3 1486 978 83.91% 13.53% 2.55%+3.14 +2.9 29
1995-11-06 @ Ataka Minsk L 0-325.3 978 1486 2.55% 13.53% 83.91%-3.14 -2.9 2
1995-11-06 Torpedo Mogilev L 0-241.5 1220 1265 43.45% 20.32% 36.24%+0.12 -30.5 15
1995-11-06 @ Shinnik Bobruisk W 2-041.5 1265 1220 36.24% 20.32% 43.45%-0.12 +30.5 17
1995-11-06 Dnepr Mogilev W 2-145.8 1465 1380 59.51% 19.70% 20.79%+0.84 +8.2 25
1995-11-06 @ Molodechno L 1-245.8 1380 1465 20.79% 19.70% 59.51%-0.84 -8.2 22
1995-11-06 Dynamo Brest W 3-148.6 1141 1295 28.81% 20.15% 51.04%-0.47 +30.4 16
1995-11-06 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 1-348.6 1295 1141 51.04% 20.15% 28.81%+0.47 -30.4 17
1995-11-06 Vedrich Rechitsa W 3-036.2 1584 1349 71.79% 18.05% 10.16%+1.65 +12.1 36
1995-11-06 @ MPKC Mozyr L 0-336.2 1349 1584 10.16% 18.05% 71.79%-1.65 -12.1 15
1995-11-06 Neman Grodno W 2-032.0 1469 1222 72.53% 17.89% 9.59%+1.72 +7.9 20
1995-11-06 @ Dvina Vitebsk L 0-232.0 1222 1469 9.59% 17.89% 72.53%-1.72 -7.9 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1995-08-01 5.68% Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1076 1 @ Dnepr Mogilev 1427 0
2 1995-10-27 10.56% @ Neman Grodno 1174 2 Dynamo-93 Minsk 1543 0
3 1995-10-14 10.74% @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1111 1 Dvina Vitebsk 1477 0
4 1995-08-13 13.45% Neman Grodno 1213 3 @ Molodechno 1390 1
5 1995-08-01 15.15% Ataka Minsk 1404 2 @ Dvina Vitebsk 1557 0
6 1995-08-02 16.06% Shinnik Bobruisk 1170 1 @ Torpedo Minsk 1310 0
7 1995-07-16 16.43% @ Vedrich Rechitsa 1266 3 Dynamo-93 Minsk 1544 0
8 1995-10-14 18.13% Torpedo Minsk 1225 2 @ Dynamo Brest 1340 1
9 1995-08-23 19.80% Dnepr Mogilev 1414 2 @ Dvina Vitebsk 1510 1
10 1995-11-03 24.70% @ MPKC Mozyr 1565 2 Dinamo Minsk 1754 1
11 1995-09-13 25.76% @ Neman Grodno 1238 4 Dnepr Mogilev 1418 1
12 1995-09-10 28.64% Torpedo Mogilev 1269 3 @ Torpedo Minsk 1282 0
13 1995-11-06 28.81% @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1141 3 Dynamo Brest 1295 1
14 1995-07-16 29.98% @ Obuvshchik Lida 1254 1 Molodechno 1398 0
15 1995-10-14 30.09% @ Torpedo Mogilev 1253 2 Dnepr Mogilev 1396 1
16 1995-09-17 30.58% @ Shinnik Bobruisk 1144 3 Neman Grodno 1283 1
17 1995-08-26 33.11% @ Molodechno 1347 1 Ataka Minsk 1466 0
18 1995-09-18 34.48% Dynamo-93 Minsk 1518 1 @ Dvina Vitebsk 1485 0
19 1995-08-01 34.76% @ Molodechno 1374 2 MPKC Mozyr 1482 1
20 1995-07-26 35.87% @ Dynamo Brest 1290 3 Molodechno 1389 2
21 1995-11-06 36.24% Torpedo Mogilev 1265 2 @ Shinnik Bobruisk 1220 0
22 1995-08-28 37.58% Dynamo-93 Minsk 1490 3 @ Dnepr Mogilev 1435 1
23 1995-09-09 38.72% Dynamo Brest 1315 3 @ Neman Grodno 1252 2
24 1995-07-15 39.41% @ Torpedo Minsk 1286 2 Ataka Minsk 1360 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-10-14 99.06 @ Vedrich Rechitsa 9 1254 47.07% Neman Grodno 0 1273 32.67% 20.26%
2 1995-07-16 63.41 @ Vedrich Rechitsa 3 1266 16.43% Dynamo-93 Minsk 0 1544 64.33% 19.24%
3 1995-07-10 54.90 @ MPKC Mozyr 7 1364 58.53% Neman Grodno 0 1287 21.70% 19.77%
4 1995-09-10 51.14 Torpedo Mogilev 3 1269 28.64% @ Torpedo Minsk 0 1282 51.21% 20.15%
5 1995-10-27 48.25 @ Neman Grodno 2 1174 10.56% Dynamo-93 Minsk 0 1543 71.29% 18.15%
6 1995-09-13 45.43 @ Neman Grodno 4 1238 25.76% Dnepr Mogilev 1 1418 54.22% 20.02%
7 1995-08-01 44.63 Ataka Minsk 2 1404 15.15% @ Dvina Vitebsk 0 1557 65.79% 19.06%
8 1995-07-25 43.84 Ataka Minsk 4 1360 48.94% @ Neman Grodno 0 1223 30.84% 20.22%
9 1995-07-15 43.49 MPKC Mozyr 5 1418 56.17% @ Bobruisk 0 1222 23.90% 19.92%
10 1995-10-27 40.41 Shinnik Bobruisk 4 1179 51.89% @ Bobruisk 0 1019 27.99% 20.12%
11 1995-09-09 40.20 @ Obuvshchik Lida 3 1240 41.20% Vedrich Rechitsa 0 1302 38.47% 20.33%
12 1995-08-13 39.78 Neman Grodno 3 1213 13.45% @ Molodechno 1 1390 67.77% 18.78%
13 1995-10-27 37.46 Molodechno 4 1428 54.37% @ Torpedo Minsk 0 1247 25.61% 20.02%
14 1995-08-01 33.25 @ Neman Grodno 3 1179 49.29% Bobruisk 0 1181 30.50% 20.21%
15 1995-09-22 33.14 @ Dynamo Brest 3 1317 49.42% Torpedo Mogilev 0 1318 30.37% 20.20%
16 1995-09-22 33.00 MPKC Mozyr 5 1508 63.05% @ Torpedo Minsk 0 1244 17.57% 19.38%
17 1995-10-01 31.88 @ Molodechno 4 1365 58.96% Torpedo Mogilev 0 1285 21.30% 19.74%
18 1995-10-15 31.08 Molodechno 7 1397 69.77% @ Bobruisk 0 1050 11.78% 18.45%
19 1995-11-06 30.55 Torpedo Mogilev 2 1265 36.24% @ Shinnik Bobruisk 0 1220 43.45% 20.32%
20 1995-11-06 30.40 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 3 1141 28.81% Dynamo Brest 1 1295 51.04% 20.15%
21 1995-09-17 29.43 @ Shinnik Bobruisk 3 1144 30.58% Neman Grodno 1 1283 49.20% 20.21%
22 1995-08-23 28.07 Dynamo Brest 4 1276 49.25% @ Bobruisk 1 1137 30.54% 20.21%
23 1995-08-01 27.74 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1 1076 5.68% @ Dnepr Mogilev 0 1427 78.05% 16.27%
24 1995-08-26 25.94 MPKC Mozyr 3 1473 57.32% @ Obuvshchik Lida 0 1266 22.83% 19.85%
25 1995-08-28 25.77 Dynamo-93 Minsk 3 1490 37.58% @ Dnepr Mogilev 1 1435 42.09% 20.33%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-11-03 69.8 @ MPKC Mozyr 2 1565 24.70% Dinamo Minsk 1 1754 55.33% 19.97%
2 1995-10-22 68.0 @ Dinamo Minsk 0 1757 74.34% Ataka Minsk 0 1480 8.22% 17.43%
3 1995-08-19 67.7 @ MPKC Mozyr 2 1474 47.61% Dynamo-93 Minsk 2 1489 32.14% 20.25%
4 1995-09-30 64.2 @ Ataka Minsk 1 1465 39.10% MPKC Mozyr 1 1541 40.56% 20.33%
5 1995-09-23 64.0 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk 1 1535 58.20% Ataka Minsk 1 1462 22.01% 19.79%
6 1995-09-09 63.5 @ Dvina Vitebsk 1 1486 47.91% MPKC Mozyr 1 1499 31.85% 20.24%
7 1995-10-01 62.3 @ Dinamo Minsk 1 1765 88.02% Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1 1104 1.14% 10.84%
8 1995-08-23 60.2 Dnepr Mogilev 2 1414 19.80% @ Dvina Vitebsk 1 1510 60.59% 19.61%
9 1995-09-17 60.0 @ Torpedo Mogilev 2 1320 56.57% Vedrich Rechitsa 2 1262 23.53% 19.90%
10 1995-07-15 59.4 @ Dynamo Brest 1 1291 16.85% Dvina Vitebsk 1 1564 63.86% 19.29%
11 1995-10-01 56.5 @ Dvina Vitebsk 1 1483 75.82% Shinnik Bobruisk 1 1178 7.17% 17.01%
12 1995-08-01 55.9 Ataka Minsk 2 1404 15.15% @ Dvina Vitebsk 0 1557 65.79% 19.06%
13 1995-10-27 55.4 @ Dnepr Mogilev 0 1379 34.66% Ataka Minsk 0 1487 45.04% 20.30%
14 1995-07-25 54.9 @ Obuvshchik Lida 1 1272 44.54% Torpedo Minsk 1 1310 35.16% 20.30%
15 1995-08-20 54.7 @ Dynamo Brest 1 1278 51.34% Obuvshchik Lida 1 1264 28.52% 20.14%
16 1995-08-18 54.6 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1 1117 20.25% Molodechno 1 1350 60.10% 19.65%
17 1995-07-26 54.5 @ Dynamo Brest 3 1290 35.87% Molodechno 2 1389 43.82% 20.31%
18 1995-08-18 54.5 @ Torpedo Mogilev 1 1249 49.20% Neman Grodno 1 1252 30.59% 20.21%
19 1995-07-11 54.3 @ Shinnik Bobruisk 1 1171 36.41% Vedrich Rechitsa 1 1267 43.27% 20.32%
20 1995-10-14 54.2 Torpedo Minsk 2 1225 18.13% @ Dynamo Brest 1 1340 62.43% 19.44%
21 1995-08-13 53.9 Neman Grodno 3 1213 13.45% @ Molodechno 1 1390 67.77% 18.78%
22 1995-09-18 53.9 Dynamo-93 Minsk 1 1518 34.48% @ Dvina Vitebsk 0 1485 45.23% 20.29%
23 1995-08-01 53.5 @ Molodechno 2 1374 34.76% MPKC Mozyr 1 1482 44.94% 20.30%
24 1995-07-26 53.3 @ Bobruisk 0 1175 9.60% Dvina Vitebsk 0 1563 72.51% 17.89%
25 1995-08-26 53.2 @ Torpedo Minsk 0 1278 22.36% Dvina Vitebsk 0 1490 57.82% 19.82%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-10-02 24.9 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk 6 1532 82.87% Bobruisk 0 1056 3.01% 14.11%
2 1995-11-06 25.3 @ Ataka Minsk 3 1486 83.91% Bobruisk 0 978 2.55% 13.53%
3 1995-07-20 27.6 @ Ataka Minsk 4 1346 72.62% Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0 1098 9.52% 17.86%
4 1995-07-20 28.2 @ MPKC Mozyr 4 1462 74.18% Shinnik Bobruisk 0 1188 8.34% 17.48%
5 1995-10-15 28.5 Molodechno 7 1397 69.77% @ Bobruisk 0 1050 11.78% 18.45%
6 1995-08-14 29.5 @ Ataka Minsk 3 1449 73.10% Shinnik Bobruisk 0 1193 9.15% 17.75%
7 1995-09-09 30.5 @ Dnepr Mogilev 5 1409 76.64% Bobruisk 1 1088 6.60% 16.75%
8 1995-09-09 31.5 @ Dynamo-93 Minsk 1 1516 79.74% Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0 1126 4.66% 15.60%
9 1995-09-09 31.5 @ Molodechno 6 1364 69.50% Shinnik Bobruisk 1 1163 12.00% 18.50%
10 1995-11-06 32.0 @ Dvina Vitebsk 2 1469 72.53% Neman Grodno 0 1222 9.59% 17.89%
11 1995-07-25 32.4 Dinamo Minsk 3 1723 80.39% @ Shinnik Bobruisk 0 1175 4.28% 15.32%
12 1995-09-22 32.5 MPKC Mozyr 5 1508 63.05% @ Torpedo Minsk 0 1244 17.57% 19.38%
13 1995-07-21 32.6 @ Dinamo Minsk 6 1720 84.94% Bobruisk 1 1178 2.14% 12.92%
14 1995-10-01 32.8 @ Molodechno 4 1365 58.96% Torpedo Mogilev 0 1285 21.30% 19.74%
15 1995-07-10 32.9 @ MPKC Mozyr 7 1364 58.53% Neman Grodno 0 1287 21.70% 19.77%
16 1995-07-15 33.2 MPKC Mozyr 5 1418 56.17% @ Bobruisk 0 1222 23.90% 19.92%
17 1995-10-27 33.6 Shinnik Bobruisk 4 1179 51.89% @ Bobruisk 0 1019 27.99% 20.12%
18 1995-08-26 33.8 @ Torpedo Mogilev 5 1248 64.62% Bobruisk 1 1109 16.17% 19.21%
19 1995-09-27 34.3 @ Dnepr Mogilev 3 1361 57.50% Obuvshchik Lida 0 1294 22.66% 19.84%
20 1995-10-27 34.4 Molodechno 4 1428 54.37% @ Torpedo Minsk 0 1247 25.61% 20.02%
21 1995-09-22 34.8 @ Neman Grodno 1 1254 65.01% Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0 1110 15.83% 19.16%
22 1995-09-18 35.1 Obuvshchik Lida 2 1281 56.65% @ Bobruisk 0 1080 23.46% 19.89%
23 1995-10-14 35.2 Dynamo-93 Minsk 1 1538 70.27% @ Shinnik Bobruisk 0 1184 11.37% 18.36%
24 1995-07-25 35.3 Ataka Minsk 4 1360 48.94% @ Neman Grodno 0 1223 30.84% 20.22%
25 1995-08-26 35.4 MPKC Mozyr 3 1473 57.32% @ Obuvshchik Lida 0 1266 22.83% 19.85%