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2012 Belarusian Premier League Season

165 games

Final

Champion

BATE Borisov

68 points · 9th Title

Last Title: 2011

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Slavia Mozyr

14.32 points above expected

27 points · 12.68 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino

11.42 points below expected

24 points · 35.42 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 BATE Borisov Champion 30 21 5 4 68 51 16 +35 61.54 +6.46
2 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 30 18 7 5 61 59 24 +35 59.33 +1.67
3 Dinamo Minsk 30 16 8 6 56 37 19 +18 47.63 +8.37
4 Gomel 30 14 8 8 50 39 24 +15 51.20 -1.20
5 Neman Grodno 30 10 11 9 41 43 36 +7 39.06 +1.94
6 Minsk 30 11 6 13 39 36 46 -10 40.12 -1.12
7 Belshina Bobruisk 30 7 9 14 30 26 40 -14 37.74 -7.74
8 Naftan Novopolotsk 30 7 8 15 29 23 40 -17 34.23 -5.23
9 Brest 30 8 5 17 29 27 38 -11 36.57 -7.57
10 Slavia Mozyr 30 7 6 17 27 22 58 -36 12.68 +14.32
11 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 30 5 9 16 24 17 39 -22 35.42 -11.42

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Slavia Mozyr 27 12.68 +14.32
2 Dinamo Minsk 56 47.63 +8.37
3 BATE Borisov 68 61.54 +6.46
4 Neman Grodno 41 39.06 +1.94
5 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 61 59.33 +1.67

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 24 35.42 -11.42
2 Belshina Bobruisk 30 37.74 -7.74
3 Brest 29 36.57 -7.57
4 Naftan Novopolotsk 29 34.23 -5.23
5 Gomel 50 51.20 -1.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 BATE Borisov 11 Mar 31 – Jun 11 1 in 365
2 Slavia Mozyr 2 Aug 11 – Aug 19 1 in 70
3 Naftan Novopolotsk 2 Nov 3 – Nov 10 1 in 40
4 Minsk 3 Aug 26 – Sep 22 1 in 29
5 Brest 2 Apr 21 – Apr 29 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brest 4 May 3 – May 16 1 in 135
2 Gomel 3 Nov 10 – Nov 25 1 in 54
3 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 5 Oct 23 – Nov 25 1 in 40
4 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2 Apr 21 – Apr 28 1 in 18
5 Naftan Novopolotsk 4 Jul 13 – Aug 26 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neman Grodno 5 Jul 8 – Aug 26 1 in 28
2 Slavia Mozyr 3 Aug 11 – Sep 1 1 in 20
3 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 15 May 3 – Sep 15 1 in 19
4 Gomel 8 Mar 25 – May 7 1 in 15
5 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 4 Jun 27 – Jul 13 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Neman Grodno 9 Mar 31 – May 18 1 in 27
2 Minsk 7 Sep 29 – Nov 17 1 in 20
3 Naftan Novopolotsk 9 Jul 13 – Oct 7 1 in 16
4 BATE Borisov 3 Jul 1 – Jul 13 1 in 13
5 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 8 Jul 13 – Sep 30 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
BATE Borisov 1822 68 -1 10 11.1 -1.1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1795 61 +28 10 9.3 +0.7
Dinamo Minsk 1708 56 +41 13 8.4 +4.6
Gomel 1648 50 -24 6 9.1 -3.1
Neman Grodno 1603 41 +6 12 7.7 +4.3
Minsk 1552 39 -8 5 6.2 -1.2
Belshina Bobruisk 1520 30 +24 8 6.1 +1.9
Naftan Novopolotsk 1502 29 +25 9 5.1 +3.9
Brest 1539 29 -21 4 6.4 -2.4
Slavia Mozyr 1299 27 -4 2 2.3 -0.3
Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 1462 24 -49 0 4.8 -4.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BB BB BRE DM GOM MIN NN NG SS SM TZ
BATE Borisov —
3-0-0
6.14
2-0-1
6.50
1-1-1
5.37
2-1-0
5.15
2-0-1
6.31
2-0-1
6.62
3-0-0
6.45
2-1-0
4.48
2-1-0
7.88
2-1-0
6.69
Belshina Bobruisk
0-0-3
2.16
—
1-1-1
4.01
1-0-2
3.38
1-1-1
2.77
1-1-1
3.65
1-1-1
4.72
0-2-1
3.95
0-0-3
2.08
1-1-1
6.74
1-2-0
4.21
Brest
1-0-2
1.86
1-1-1
4.21
—
1-0-2
3.08
1-0-2
2.82
0-1-2
3.63
1-0-2
4.59
0-2-1
3.76
1-0-2
1.80
1-0-2
6.75
1-1-1
4.05
Dinamo Minsk
1-1-1
2.88
2-0-1
4.83
2-0-1
5.16
—
1-1-1
4.16
2-1-0
4.53
2-1-0
5.83
1-2-0
5.26
0-1-2
2.78
3-0-0
7.41
2-1-0
5.52
Gomel
0-1-2
3.08
1-1-1
5.48
2-0-1
5.42
1-1-1
4.05
—
1-2-0
5.06
2-1-0
5.84
1-1-1
5.51
1-1-1
3.16
3-0-0
7.46
2-0-1
5.80
Minsk
1-0-2
2.02
1-1-1
4.57
2-1-0
4.58
0-1-2
3.69
0-2-1
3.18
—
3-0-0
4.16
1-1-1
4.07
1-0-2
2.30
2-0-1
6.92
0-0-3
4.49
Naftan Novopolotsk
1-0-2
1.74
1-1-1
3.50
2-0-1
3.63
0-1-2
2.45
0-1-2
2.44
0-0-3
4.06
—
2-0-1
3.48
0-1-2
2.17
0-2-1
6.47
1-2-0
4.14
Neman Grodno
0-0-3
1.88
1-2-0
4.29
1-2-0
4.46
0-2-1
2.98
1-1-1
2.74
1-1-1
4.16
1-0-2
4.75
—
0-2-1
2.31
3-0-0
6.70
2-1-0
4.83
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
0-1-2
3.74
3-0-0
6.27
2-0-1
6.56
2-1-0
5.48
1-1-1
5.07
2-0-1
6.00
2-1-0
6.14
1-2-0
5.97
—
2-1-0
7.67
3-0-0
6.45
Slavia Mozyr
0-1-2
0.74
1-1-1
1.64
2-0-1
1.63
0-0-3
1.09
0-0-3
1.06
1-0-2
1.48
1-2-0
1.88
0-0-3
1.67
0-1-2
0.90
—
2-1-0
1.76
Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino
0-1-2
1.68
0-2-1
4.01
1-1-1
4.16
0-1-2
2.74
1-0-2
2.47
3-0-0
3.72
0-2-1
4.08
0-1-2
3.41
0-0-3
1.88
0-1-2
6.61
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +10.6
Allowed 0.72 -10.3
Differential 0.92 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.73%11.52%6.67%3.33%1.21%0.91%36.36%
111.52%9.70%7.58%2.73%0.61%0.91%33.03%
26.67%7.58%1.82%1.21%0.91%—18.18%
33.33%2.73%1.21%———7.27%
41.21%0.61%0.91%—0.61%—3.33%
5+0.91%0.91%————1.82%
Total36.36%33.03%18.18%7.27%3.33%1.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.15 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.86
CV 1.09 1.09 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 165

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%————23.33%
113.33%3.33%—3.33%——20.00%
220.00%16.67%————36.67%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+—6.67%————6.67%
Total53.33%43.33%—3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.53 +1.17
SD 1.39 0.68 1.49
CV 0.82 1.28 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%20.00%3.33%6.67%6.67%—53.33%
16.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%——23.33%
2——6.67%———6.67%
36.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%33.33%16.67%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.33 -0.47
SD 1.14 1.24 1.78
CV 1.31 0.93 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%6.67%3.33%——36.67%
110.00%10.00%16.67%6.67%——43.33%
26.67%6.67%——3.33%—16.67%
3———————
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total26.67%36.67%23.33%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.27 -0.37
SD 0.92 1.08 1.50
CV 1.03 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%6.67%———33.33%
116.67%10.00%3.33%———30.00%
220.00%3.33%————23.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4——6.67%———6.67%
5+———————
Total53.33%30.00%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.63 +0.60
SD 1.19 0.76 1.28
CV 0.97 1.21 —
Max 4 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%————23.33%
113.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—40.00%
213.33%6.67%3.33%———23.33%
310.00%—————10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total46.67%36.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.80 +0.50
SD 1.06 1.00 1.55
CV 0.81 1.25 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%—3.33%33.33%
113.33%3.33%13.33%——3.33%33.33%
23.33%6.67%6.67%———16.67%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
4————3.33%—3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%23.33%33.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.53 -0.33
SD 1.16 1.61 2.06
CV 0.96 1.05 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%—40.00%
116.67%10.00%16.67%3.33%——46.67%
2—3.33%—3.33%3.33%—10.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%20.00%23.33%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.33 -0.57
SD 0.77 1.30 1.48
CV 1.01 0.97 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
110.00%23.33%6.67%——3.33%43.33%
2—6.67%————6.67%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
4————3.33%—3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total30.00%46.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.20 +0.23
SD 1.77 1.30 2.31
CV 1.24 1.08 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
16.67%16.67%6.67%———30.00%
210.00%16.67%————26.67%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
46.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total36.67%46.67%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.80 +1.17
SD 1.67 0.71 1.95
CV 0.85 0.89 —
Max 7 2 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%13.33%10.00%—6.67%50.00%
110.00%3.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%—30.00%
2—10.00%—3.33%3.33%—16.67%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%16.67%23.33%20.00%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.93 -1.20
SD 0.87 1.82 2.04
CV 1.18 0.94 —
Max 3 8 +1
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%16.67%20.00%3.33%——60.00%
110.00%6.67%3.33%——3.33%23.33%
2—6.67%3.33%6.67%——16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%30.00%26.67%10.00%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.57 1.30 -0.73
SD 0.77 1.21 1.26
CV 1.37 0.93 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
BATE Borisov 1822 68 61.54 +6.46 82.0% 48 50 56 61 67 73 76
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1795 61 59.33 +1.67 60.0% 40 48 54 60 64 70 76
Dinamo Minsk 1708 56 47.63 +8.37 89.0% 32 38 43 47 52 58 64
Gomel 1648 50 51.20 -1.20 42.0% 39 41 47 51 55 62 66
Neman Grodno 1603 41 39.06 +1.94 64.0% 24 27 35 39 43 49 57
Minsk 1552 39 40.12 -1.12 50.0% 27 30 36 39 43 53 58
Brest 1539 29 36.57 -7.57 13.0% 23 27 32 36 40 49 56
Belshina Bobruisk 1520 30 37.74 -7.74 11.0% 22 27 33 38 42 47 61
Naftan Novopolotsk 1502 29 34.23 -5.23 25.0% 20 24 29 34 38 48 51
Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 1462 24 35.42 -11.42 5.0% 23 24 31 36 39 45 60
Slavia Mozyr 1299 27 12.68 +14.32 99.0% 3 5 9 12 15 21 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9% * Slight Edge: 9% to 11% * Clear Edge: 11% to 15.5% * Strong Edge: 15.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.55%
Clear Edge
44.85%24.85%30.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 50.90 Elo pts.
225 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.32 * Runaway: 0.32 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
54%
BATE Borisov, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.17 * Some Luck: 5.17 to 7.75 * Lucky: 7.75 to 10.33 * Wild Swing: 10.33 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.01 * Close: 1.01 to 1.52 * Off: 1.52 to 2.03 * Way Off: 2.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.39 points
Some Luck
06.4616
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.91
Pinpoint
01.273
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
99.00%
Slavia Mozyr
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
5.00%
Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.2 * Top-Heavy: 0.2 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 74.5% * Clear Edge: 74.5% to 81.5% * Wide Edge: 81.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 57.5% * Some Drama: 57.5% to 61.5% * Frequent: 61.5% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 20.5% * Very Frequent: 20.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Even
00.190.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 151.90
2.12
Strong Separation
11.92.12.352.75
Interquartile Edge
72%
Slight Edge
50%70.5%81.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.36 * Slight Separation: 0.36 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.48 * Lopsided: 0.48 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.53 * Some Carryover: 0.53 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.72 * Near-Lock: 0.72 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 24% * Very Upset-Prone: 24% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Notable Separation
00.360.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.61
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.81
Near-Lock
00.530.721
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Shaky Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.39
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.79
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.124
Well Within Noise
00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
BATE Borisov54.00%29.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%——————
Shakhtyor Soligorsk37.00%40.00%15.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Dinamo Minsk4.00%9.00%22.00%28.00%18.00%12.00%3.00%2.00%—2.00%—
Gomel3.00%16.00%38.00%30.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Neman Grodno——6.00%10.00%17.00%11.00%20.00%16.00%11.00%9.00%—
Minsk1.00%3.00%2.00%10.00%13.00%19.00%16.00%16.00%13.00%7.00%—
Belshina Bobruisk1.00%—4.00%4.00%12.00%21.00%18.00%17.00%12.00%11.00%—
Naftan Novopolotsk——1.00%3.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%17.00%33.00%—
Brest—2.00%1.00%3.00%11.00%12.00%14.00%19.00%22.00%16.00%—
Slavia Mozyr—————————1.00%99.00%
Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino—1.00%1.00%2.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%24.00%21.00%1.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
BATE Borisov 100% —
Belshina Bobruisk 100% —
Brest 100% —
Dinamo Minsk 100% —
Gomel 100% —
Minsk 100% —
Naftan Novopolotsk 100% —
Neman Grodno 100% —
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 100% —
Slavia Mozyr 1.00% 99.00%
Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 99.00% 1.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-03-24 BATE Borisov W 1-064.5 1589 1740 24.29% 25.53% 50.17%-0.44 +13.2 3
2012-03-24 @ Minsk L 0-164.5 1740 1589 50.17% 25.53% 24.29%+0.44 -13.2 0
2012-03-24 Brest W 3-158.1 1620 1589 48.05% 25.79% 26.16%+0.37 +12.9 3
2012-03-24 @ Belshina Bobruisk L 1-358.1 1589 1620 26.16% 25.79% 48.05%-0.37 -12.9 0
2012-03-24 Neman Grodno L 1-339.8 1250 1560 11.93% 21.41% 66.66%-1.15 -6.2 0
2012-03-24 @ Slavia Mozyr W 3-139.8 1560 1250 66.66% 21.41% 11.93%+1.15 +6.2 3
2012-03-25 Dinamo Minsk D 0-065.8 1627 1627 43.87% 26.14% 30.00%+0.22 -0.9 1
2012-03-25 @ Gomel D 0-065.8 1627 1627 30.00% 26.14% 43.87%-0.22 +0.9 1
2012-03-25 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 1-261.9 1562 1703 25.31% 25.68% 49.02%-0.40 -7.3 0
2012-03-25 @ Naftan Novopolotsk W 2-161.9 1703 1562 49.02% 25.68% 25.31%+0.40 +7.2 3
2012-03-31 Belshina Bobruisk W 3-158.0 1727 1633 55.42% 24.67% 19.91%+0.64 +10.2 3
2012-03-31 @ BATE Borisov L 1-358.0 1633 1727 19.91% 24.67% 55.42%-0.64 -10.2 3
2012-03-31 Gomel L 1-271.3 1710 1626 54.37% 24.87% 20.76%+0.60 -13.3 3
2012-03-31 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 2-171.3 1626 1710 20.76% 24.87% 54.37%-0.60 +13.3 4
2012-03-31 Minsk L 0-158.5 1566 1603 38.93% 26.33% 34.74%+0.07 -10.8 3
2012-03-31 @ Neman Grodno W 1-058.5 1603 1566 34.74% 26.33% 38.93%-0.07 +10.8 6
2012-03-31 Naftan Novopolotsk L 0-160.1 1583 1555 47.62% 25.83% 26.55%+0.35 -12.6 0
2012-03-31 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 1-060.1 1555 1583 26.55% 25.83% 47.62%-0.35 +12.6 3
2012-04-01 Slavia Mozyr W 3-137.6 1628 1244 79.42% 15.15% 5.43%+1.94 +2.5 4
2012-04-01 @ Dinamo Minsk L 1-337.6 1244 1628 5.43% 15.15% 79.42%-1.94 -2.5 0
2012-04-06 BATE Borisov L 0-253.2 1576 1737 23.17% 25.35% 51.47%-0.49 -13.5 0
2012-04-06 @ Brest W 2-053.2 1737 1576 51.47% 25.35% 23.17%+0.49 +13.5 6
2012-04-06 Dinamo Minsk D 0-065.6 1613 1631 41.55% 26.26% 32.19%+0.15 -0.6 7
2012-04-06 @ Minsk D 0-065.6 1631 1613 32.19% 26.26% 41.55%-0.15 +0.6 5
2012-04-06 Neman Grodno D 0-064.5 1623 1556 52.41% 25.21% 22.38%+0.53 -1.9 4
2012-04-06 @ Belshina Bobruisk D 0-064.5 1556 1623 22.38% 25.21% 52.41%-0.53 +2.0 4
2012-04-06 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-234.8 1241 1697 6.24% 16.25% 77.51%-1.80 -3.5 0
2012-04-06 @ Slavia Mozyr W 2-034.8 1697 1241 77.51% 16.25% 6.24%+1.80 +3.5 6
2012-04-06 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 2-051.1 1639 1570 52.65% 25.17% 22.18%+0.53 +13.0 7
2012-04-06 @ Gomel L 0-251.1 1570 1639 22.18% 25.17% 52.65%-0.53 -13.0 0
2012-04-10 Belshina Bobruisk W 1-057.1 1631 1621 45.33% 26.04% 28.64%+0.27 +8.5 8
2012-04-10 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-157.1 1621 1631 28.64% 26.04% 45.33%-0.27 -8.5 4
2012-04-10 Brest D 1-167.7 1558 1562 43.31% 26.17% 30.52%+0.21 -0.7 5
2012-04-10 @ Neman Grodno D 1-167.7 1562 1558 30.52% 26.17% 43.31%-0.21 +0.7 1
2012-04-10 Minsk W 7-051.0 1700 1613 54.75% 24.80% 20.45%+0.62 +38.9 9
2012-04-10 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-751.0 1613 1700 20.45% 24.80% 54.75%-0.62 -38.8 7
2012-04-10 Naftan Novopolotsk D 0-065.6 1652 1567 54.48% 24.85% 20.67%+0.60 -2.2 8
2012-04-10 @ Gomel D 0-065.6 1567 1652 20.67% 24.85% 54.48%-0.60 +2.2 4
2012-04-10 Slavia Mozyr D 0-054.5 1557 1238 75.22% 17.49% 7.29%+1.65 -4.7 1
2012-04-10 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino D 0-054.5 1238 1557 7.29% 17.49% 75.22%-1.65 +4.7 1
2012-04-14 Dinamo Minsk L 1-263.3 1563 1640 33.19% 26.29% 40.52%-0.12 -9.0 1
2012-04-14 @ Brest W 2-163.3 1640 1563 40.52% 26.29% 33.19%+0.12 +9.0 11
2012-04-14 Naftan Novopolotsk W 2-159.7 1243 1570 11.08% 20.84% 68.08%-1.23 +16.2 4
2012-04-14 @ Slavia Mozyr L 1-259.7 1570 1243 68.08% 20.84% 11.08%+1.23 -16.1 4
2012-04-14 Neman Grodno W 2-048.9 1750 1557 65.34% 21.90% 12.76%+1.09 +7.7 9
2012-04-14 @ BATE Borisov L 0-248.9 1557 1750 12.76% 21.90% 65.34%-1.09 -7.7 5
2012-04-14 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-452.5 1612 1739 26.91% 25.87% 47.22%-0.34 -29.0 4
2012-04-14 @ Belshina Bobruisk W 4-052.5 1739 1612 47.22% 25.87% 26.91%+0.34 +29.0 12
2012-04-14 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino L 1-265.3 1574 1553 46.76% 25.91% 27.33%+0.32 -11.7 7
2012-04-14 @ Minsk W 2-165.3 1553 1574 27.33% 25.91% 46.76%-0.32 +11.7 4
2012-04-20 Minsk L 1-360.7 1553 1562 42.73% 26.20% 31.07%+0.19 -18.9 4
2012-04-20 @ Naftan Novopolotsk W 3-160.7 1562 1553 31.07% 26.20% 42.73%-0.19 +18.9 10
2012-04-21 BATE Borisov L 0-256.0 1649 1758 29.04% 26.07% 44.90%-0.26 -16.2 11
2012-04-21 @ Dinamo Minsk W 2-056.0 1758 1649 44.90% 26.07% 29.04%+0.26 +16.2 12
2012-04-21 Belshina Bobruisk L 0-158.6 1564 1583 41.31% 26.27% 32.43%+0.14 -11.3 4
2012-04-21 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 1-058.6 1583 1564 32.43% 26.27% 41.31%-0.14 +11.2 7
2012-04-21 Brest L 0-168.2 1768 1554 67.15% 21.21% 11.64%+1.18 -16.9 12
2012-04-21 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 1-068.2 1554 1768 11.64% 21.21% 67.15%-1.18 +16.9 4
2012-04-21 Slavia Mozyr W 3-031.3 1650 1259 79.84% 14.90% 5.26%+1.97 +4.1 11
2012-04-21 @ Gomel L 0-331.3 1259 1650 5.26% 14.90% 79.84%-1.97 -4.1 4
2012-04-28 Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 1-058.8 1774 1751 46.96% 25.90% 27.15%+0.33 +8.1 15
2012-04-28 @ BATE Borisov L 0-158.8 1751 1774 27.15% 25.90% 46.96%-0.33 -8.2 12
2012-04-29 Dinamo Minsk D 0-064.3 1549 1633 32.32% 26.26% 41.42%-0.14 +0.6 6
2012-04-29 @ Neman Grodno D 0-064.3 1633 1549 41.42% 26.26% 32.32%+0.14 -0.6 12
2012-04-29 Gomel L 1-264.1 1581 1654 33.70% 26.31% 39.99%-0.10 -9.1 10
2012-04-29 @ Minsk W 2-164.1 1654 1581 39.99% 26.31% 33.70%+0.10 +9.1 14
2012-04-29 Naftan Novopolotsk D 0-063.2 1595 1535 51.58% 25.34% 23.08%+0.49 -1.8 8
2012-04-29 @ Belshina Bobruisk D 0-063.2 1535 1595 23.08% 25.34% 51.58%-0.49 +1.8 5
2012-04-29 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 1-053.8 1571 1553 46.30% 25.96% 27.74%+0.31 +8.3 7
2012-04-29 @ Brest L 0-153.8 1553 1571 27.74% 25.96% 46.30%-0.31 -8.3 4
2012-05-03 BATE Borisov L 0-250.8 1545 1782 16.49% 23.62% 59.89%-0.83 -9.9 4
2012-05-03 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 2-050.8 1782 1545 59.89% 23.62% 16.49%+0.83 +9.9 18
2012-05-03 Belshina Bobruisk W 1-054.9 1663 1593 52.81% 25.15% 22.05%+0.54 +6.8 17
2012-05-03 @ Gomel L 0-154.9 1593 1663 22.05% 25.15% 52.81%-0.54 -6.8 8
2012-05-03 Brest W 1-056.0 1536 1579 37.98% 26.34% 35.67%+0.04 +10.1 8
2012-05-03 @ Naftan Novopolotsk L 0-156.0 1579 1536 35.67% 26.34% 37.98%-0.04 -10.1 7
2012-05-03 Minsk W 1-054.1 1255 1572 11.56% 21.17% 67.27%-1.19 +17.0 7
2012-05-03 @ Slavia Mozyr L 0-154.1 1572 1255 67.27% 21.17% 11.56%+1.19 -17.0 10
2012-05-03 Neman Grodno D 1-172.7 1743 1550 65.33% 21.90% 12.77%+1.09 -3.2 13
2012-05-03 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 1-172.7 1550 1743 12.77% 21.90% 65.33%-1.09 +3.2 7
2012-05-07 Gomel L 0-157.3 1569 1670 30.02% 26.14% 43.84%-0.22 -8.8 7
2012-05-07 @ Brest W 1-057.3 1670 1569 43.84% 26.14% 30.02%+0.22 +8.8 20
2012-05-07 Naftan Novopolotsk W 3-046.1 1792 1546 69.75% 20.13% 10.12%+1.32 +8.7 21
2012-05-07 @ BATE Borisov L 0-346.1 1546 1792 10.12% 20.13% 69.75%-1.32 -8.7 8
2012-05-07 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 1-264.5 1632 1740 29.20% 26.08% 44.72%-0.25 -8.1 12
2012-05-07 @ Dinamo Minsk W 2-164.5 1740 1632 44.72% 26.08% 29.20%+0.25 +8.2 16
2012-05-07 Slavia Mozyr W 3-031.2 1586 1272 74.88% 17.67% 7.45%+1.63 +6.1 11
2012-05-07 @ Belshina Bobruisk L 0-331.2 1272 1586 7.45% 17.67% 74.88%-1.63 -6.1 7
2012-05-07 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino D 1-166.7 1553 1535 46.35% 25.95% 27.70%+0.31 -1.0 8
2012-05-07 @ Neman Grodno D 1-166.7 1535 1553 27.70% 25.95% 46.35%-0.31 +1.0 5
2012-05-12 BATE Borisov L 0-158.8 1679 1801 27.50% 25.93% 46.57%-0.32 -8.2 20
2012-05-12 @ Gomel W 1-058.8 1801 1679 46.57% 25.93% 27.50%+0.32 +8.2 24
2012-05-12 Belshina Bobruisk W 3-051.9 1555 1592 38.80% 26.33% 34.87%+0.06 +27.1 13
2012-05-12 @ Minsk L 0-351.9 1592 1555 34.87% 26.33% 38.80%-0.06 -27.1 11
2012-05-12 Brest W 2-159.5 1265 1560 12.78% 21.91% 65.32%-1.09 +15.6 10
2012-05-12 @ Slavia Mozyr L 1-259.5 1560 1265 65.32% 21.91% 12.78%+1.09 -15.6 7
2012-05-12 Dinamo Minsk D 0-063.8 1536 1624 31.70% 26.23% 42.07%-0.17 +0.6 6
2012-05-12 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino D 0-063.8 1624 1536 42.07% 26.23% 31.70%+0.17 -0.6 13
2012-05-12 Neman Grodno W 2-159.7 1538 1552 41.99% 26.24% 31.77%+0.16 +8.7 11
2012-05-12 @ Naftan Novopolotsk L 1-259.7 1552 1538 31.77% 26.24% 41.99%-0.16 -8.7 8
2012-05-16 Minsk L 0-157.3 1545 1582 38.74% 26.34% 34.92%+0.06 -10.7 7
2012-05-16 @ Brest W 1-057.3 1582 1545 34.92% 26.34% 38.74%-0.06 +10.7 16
2012-05-16 Naftan Novopolotsk W 4-258.8 1623 1546 53.54% 25.02% 21.44%+0.57 +9.8 16
2012-05-16 @ Dinamo Minsk L 2-458.8 1546 1623 21.44% 25.02% 53.54%-0.57 -9.8 11
2012-05-18 Gomel L 0-351.0 1543 1671 26.83% 25.86% 47.31%-0.34 -22.1 8
2012-05-18 @ Neman Grodno W 3-051.0 1671 1543 47.31% 25.86% 26.83%+0.34 +22.1 23
2012-05-18 Slavia Mozyr W 2-146.3 1809 1281 86.77% 10.48% 2.75%+2.58 +0.7 27
2012-05-18 @ BATE Borisov L 1-246.3 1281 1809 2.75% 10.48% 86.77%-2.58 -0.7 10
2012-05-18 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 1-051.1 1748 1536 66.92% 21.30% 11.77%+1.17 +3.7 19
2012-05-18 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-151.1 1536 1748 11.77% 21.30% 66.92%-1.17 -3.7 6
2012-05-24 Minsk W 2-049.2 1810 1593 67.38% 21.12% 11.49%+1.19 +6.9 30
2012-05-24 @ BATE Borisov L 0-249.2 1593 1810 11.49% 21.12% 67.38%-1.19 -6.9 16
2012-05-24 Naftan Novopolotsk D 0-067.8 1752 1537 67.22% 21.19% 11.59%+1.18 -3.8 20
2012-05-24 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 0-067.8 1537 1752 11.59% 21.19% 67.22%-1.18 +3.8 12
2012-05-24 Slavia Mozyr W 8-032.4 1521 1280 69.36% 20.30% 10.34%+1.30 +22.3 11
2012-05-24 @ Neman Grodno L 0-832.4 1280 1521 10.34% 20.30% 69.36%-1.30 -22.3 10
2012-06-11 BATE Borisov L 0-153.8 1565 1817 15.49% 23.23% 61.28%-0.89 -4.9 11
2012-06-11 @ Belshina Bobruisk W 1-053.8 1817 1565 61.28% 23.23% 15.49%+0.89 +4.9 33
2012-06-11 Dinamo Minsk L 0-234.9 1258 1633 8.95% 19.16% 71.89%-1.44 -5.2 10
2012-06-11 @ Slavia Mozyr W 2-034.9 1633 1258 71.89% 19.16% 8.95%+1.44 +5.2 19
2012-06-11 Neman Grodno D 4-478.4 1586 1544 49.43% 25.63% 24.94%+0.42 -0.8 17
2012-06-11 @ Minsk D 4-478.4 1544 1586 24.94% 25.63% 49.43%-0.42 +0.8 12
2012-06-11 Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 1-172.7 1693 1748 36.25% 26.35% 37.40%-0.02 +0.1 24
2012-06-11 @ Gomel D 1-172.7 1748 1693 37.40% 26.35% 36.25%+0.02 -0.1 21
2012-06-11 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino D 0-061.1 1541 1533 44.97% 26.06% 28.97%+0.26 -1.0 13
2012-06-11 @ Naftan Novopolotsk D 0-061.1 1533 1541 28.97% 26.06% 44.97%-0.26 +1.0 7
2012-06-15 Belshina Bobruisk W 1-054.5 1544 1560 41.78% 26.25% 31.98%+0.16 +9.3 15
2012-06-15 @ Neman Grodno L 0-154.5 1560 1544 31.98% 26.25% 41.78%-0.16 -9.3 11
2012-06-15 Brest L 0-169.5 1822 1534 72.96% 18.64% 8.40%+1.51 -18.1 33
2012-06-15 @ BATE Borisov W 1-069.5 1534 1822 8.40% 18.64% 72.96%-1.51 +18.0 10
2012-06-15 Gomel W 1-063.2 1534 1693 23.36% 25.38% 51.26%-0.48 +13.4 10
2012-06-15 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino L 0-163.2 1693 1534 51.26% 25.38% 23.36%+0.48 -13.4 24
2012-06-15 Minsk W 1-054.9 1638 1585 50.72% 25.46% 23.82%+0.46 +7.3 22
2012-06-15 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-154.9 1585 1638 23.82% 25.46% 50.72%-0.46 -7.3 17
2012-06-16 Slavia Mozyr W 5-032.7 1748 1253 85.30% 11.47% 3.23%+2.43 +3.8 24
2012-06-16 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-532.7 1253 1748 3.23% 11.47% 85.30%-2.43 -3.8 10
2012-06-19 Belshina Bobruisk D 1-167.2 1552 1551 44.09% 26.12% 29.78%+0.23 -0.8 11
2012-06-19 @ Brest D 1-167.2 1551 1552 29.78% 26.12% 44.09%-0.23 +0.8 12
2012-06-19 Gomel L 0-161.4 1646 1680 39.24% 26.33% 34.43%+0.08 -10.8 22
2012-06-19 @ Dinamo Minsk W 1-061.4 1680 1646 34.43% 26.33% 39.24%-0.08 +10.8 27
2012-06-23 Dinamo Minsk W 1-059.6 1552 1635 32.35% 26.26% 41.39%-0.14 +11.3 15
2012-06-23 @ Belshina Bobruisk L 0-159.6 1635 1552 41.39% 26.26% 32.35%+0.14 -11.3 22
2012-06-23 Gomel L 0-155.2 1540 1690 24.24% 25.53% 50.24%-0.44 -7.4 13
2012-06-23 @ Naftan Novopolotsk W 1-055.2 1690 1540 50.24% 25.53% 24.24%+0.44 +7.4 30
2012-06-23 Neman Grodno D 1-167.2 1551 1554 43.62% 26.15% 30.23%+0.22 -0.7 12
2012-06-23 @ Brest D 1-167.2 1554 1551 30.23% 26.15% 43.62%-0.22 +0.7 16
2012-06-23 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-252.9 1578 1752 21.92% 25.12% 52.96%-0.55 -12.9 17
2012-06-23 @ Minsk W 2-052.9 1752 1578 52.96% 25.12% 21.92%+0.55 +12.8 27
2012-06-23 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 1-053.1 1249 1547 12.59% 21.80% 65.60%-1.10 +16.6 13
2012-06-23 @ Slavia Mozyr L 0-153.1 1547 1249 65.60% 21.80% 12.59%+1.10 -16.6 10
2012-06-27 BATE Borisov L 1-259.5 1554 1804 15.65% 23.29% 61.05%-0.88 -4.7 16
2012-06-27 @ Neman Grodno W 2-159.5 1804 1554 61.05% 23.29% 15.65%+0.88 +4.7 36
2012-06-27 Belshina Bobruisk W 2-157.7 1764 1563 66.06% 21.63% 12.31%+1.12 +3.7 30
2012-06-27 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 1-257.7 1563 1764 12.31% 21.63% 66.06%-1.12 -3.7 15
2012-06-27 Brest W 1-053.1 1624 1550 53.10% 25.10% 21.80%+0.55 +6.8 25
2012-06-27 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-153.1 1550 1624 21.80% 25.10% 53.10%-0.55 -6.8 12
2012-06-27 Minsk W 2-160.8 1531 1565 39.16% 26.33% 34.51%+0.07 +9.3 13
2012-06-27 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino L 1-260.8 1565 1531 34.51% 26.33% 39.16%-0.07 -9.3 17
2012-06-27 Slavia Mozyr D 0-054.0 1532 1266 71.37% 19.40% 9.23%+1.41 -4.3 14
2012-06-27 @ Naftan Novopolotsk D 0-054.0 1266 1532 9.23% 19.40% 71.37%-1.41 +4.3 14
2012-07-01 Dinamo Minsk L 1-371.1 1808 1630 63.94% 22.39% 13.67%+1.02 -26.6 36
2012-07-01 @ BATE Borisov W 3-171.1 1630 1808 13.67% 22.39% 63.94%-1.02 +26.6 28
2012-07-01 Naftan Novopolotsk W 1-052.1 1556 1528 47.60% 25.83% 26.56%+0.35 +8.0 20
2012-07-01 @ Minsk L 0-152.1 1528 1556 26.56% 25.83% 47.60%-0.35 -8.0 14
2012-07-01 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 1-259.7 1544 1768 17.49% 23.97% 58.54%-0.77 -5.2 12
2012-07-01 @ Brest W 2-159.7 1768 1544 58.54% 23.97% 17.49%+0.77 +5.2 33
2012-07-01 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino D 0-062.0 1559 1540 46.49% 25.94% 27.57%+0.31 -1.2 16
2012-07-01 @ Belshina Bobruisk D 0-062.0 1540 1559 27.57% 25.94% 46.49%-0.31 +1.2 14
2012-07-07 BATE Borisov D 1-173.2 1773 1782 42.80% 26.20% 31.00%+0.19 -0.6 34
2012-07-07 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 1-173.2 1782 1773 31.00% 26.20% 42.80%-0.19 +0.6 37
2012-07-07 Belshina Bobruisk W 3-049.8 1520 1558 38.64% 26.34% 35.02%+0.06 +27.2 17
2012-07-07 @ Naftan Novopolotsk L 0-349.8 1558 1520 35.02% 26.34% 38.64%-0.06 -27.2 16
2012-07-07 Brest W 1-052.9 1541 1538 44.27% 26.11% 29.62%+0.24 +8.7 17
2012-07-07 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino L 0-152.9 1538 1541 29.62% 26.11% 44.27%-0.24 -8.7 12
2012-07-08 Minsk D 2-277.3 1698 1564 59.71% 23.67% 16.62%+0.82 -1.9 31
2012-07-08 @ Gomel D 2-277.3 1564 1698 16.62% 23.67% 59.71%-0.82 +1.9 21
2012-07-08 Neman Grodno D 1-170.5 1657 1550 56.93% 24.35% 18.72%+0.70 -2.3 29
2012-07-08 @ Dinamo Minsk D 1-170.5 1550 1657 18.72% 24.35% 56.93%-0.70 +2.3 17
2012-07-13 Naftan Novopolotsk W 2-159.4 1530 1547 41.57% 26.26% 32.17%+0.15 +8.8 15
2012-07-13 @ Brest L 1-259.4 1547 1530 32.17% 26.26% 41.57%-0.15 -8.8 17
2012-07-13 Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 1-172.5 1552 1773 17.77% 24.06% 58.17%-0.76 +2.4 18
2012-07-13 @ Neman Grodno D 1-172.5 1773 1552 58.17% 24.06% 17.77%+0.76 -2.4 35
2012-07-13 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino D 0-068.5 1782 1550 68.69% 20.59% 10.72%+1.26 -4.0 38
2012-07-13 @ BATE Borisov D 0-068.5 1550 1782 10.72% 20.59% 68.69%-1.26 +4.0 18
2012-07-14 Slavia Mozyr W 3-246.1 1566 1270 73.55% 18.35% 8.10%+1.54 +2.2 24
2012-07-14 @ Minsk L 2-346.1 1270 1566 8.10% 18.35% 73.55%-1.54 -2.2 14
2012-08-11 Belshina Bobruisk W 1-052.5 1268 1531 14.72% 22.89% 62.38%-0.94 +15.9 17
2012-08-11 @ Slavia Mozyr L 0-152.5 1531 1268 62.38% 22.89% 14.72%+0.94 -15.9 16
2012-08-12 BATE Borisov L 0-448.3 1538 1778 16.31% 23.55% 60.14%-0.84 -18.6 17
2012-08-12 @ Naftan Novopolotsk W 4-048.3 1778 1538 60.14% 23.55% 16.31%+0.84 +18.6 41
2012-08-12 Dinamo Minsk W 1-055.2 1770 1655 57.82% 24.14% 18.04%+0.74 +5.7 38
2012-08-12 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-155.2 1655 1770 18.04% 24.14% 57.82%-0.74 -5.7 29
2012-08-12 Neman Grodno L 1-556.2 1554 1554 43.86% 26.14% 30.00%+0.22 -35.2 18
2012-08-12 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 5-156.2 1554 1554 30.00% 26.14% 43.86%-0.22 +35.2 21
2012-08-17 Gomel D 0-068.4 1797 1696 56.25% 24.50% 19.26%+0.68 -2.5 42
2012-08-17 @ BATE Borisov D 0-068.4 1696 1797 19.26% 24.50% 56.25%-0.68 +2.4 32
2012-08-18 Naftan Novopolotsk W 3-046.6 1589 1520 52.72% 25.16% 22.12%+0.54 +18.8 24
2012-08-18 @ Neman Grodno L 0-346.6 1520 1589 22.12% 25.16% 52.72%-0.54 -18.8 17
2012-08-18 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 2-048.1 1649 1519 59.34% 23.77% 16.90%+0.81 +10.1 32
2012-08-18 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-248.1 1519 1649 16.90% 23.77% 59.34%-0.81 -10.1 18
2012-08-19 Minsk W 3-050.6 1515 1568 36.51% 26.35% 37.14%-0.01 +28.4 19
2012-08-19 @ Belshina Bobruisk L 0-350.6 1568 1515 37.14% 26.35% 36.51%+0.01 -28.4 24
2012-08-19 Slavia Mozyr L 1-260.3 1539 1284 70.47% 19.81% 9.72%+1.36 -16.6 15
2012-08-19 @ Brest W 2-160.3 1284 1539 9.72% 19.81% 70.47%-1.36 +16.6 20
2012-08-26 Brest W 2-157.4 1540 1522 46.26% 25.96% 27.78%+0.30 +7.8 27
2012-08-26 @ Minsk L 1-257.4 1522 1540 27.78% 25.96% 46.26%-0.30 -7.8 15
2012-08-26 Dinamo Minsk L 0-250.4 1501 1659 23.47% 25.40% 51.13%-0.48 -13.6 17
2012-08-26 @ Naftan Novopolotsk W 2-050.4 1659 1501 51.13% 25.40% 23.47%+0.48 +13.6 35
2012-08-26 Neman Grodno D 1-172.1 1698 1608 55.04% 24.74% 20.22%+0.63 -2.0 33
2012-08-26 @ Gomel D 1-172.1 1608 1698 20.22% 24.74% 55.04%-0.63 +2.0 25
2012-08-26 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 2-362.7 1508 1776 14.43% 22.76% 62.81%-0.96 -4.1 18
2012-08-26 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 3-262.7 1776 1508 62.81% 22.76% 14.43%+0.96 +4.1 41
2012-09-01 Belshina Bobruisk D 2-270.8 1504 1543 38.53% 26.34% 35.13%+0.05 -0.1 19
2012-09-01 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino D 2-270.8 1543 1504 35.13% 26.34% 38.53%-0.05 +0.1 20
2012-09-01 Naftan Novopolotsk D 1-157.2 1300 1487 20.67% 24.85% 54.48%-0.61 +2.0 21
2012-09-01 @ Slavia Mozyr D 1-157.2 1487 1300 54.48% 24.85% 20.67%+0.61 -2.0 18
2012-09-02 BATE Borisov L 1-265.5 1696 1794 30.40% 26.16% 43.44%-0.21 -8.4 33
2012-09-02 @ Gomel W 2-165.5 1794 1696 43.44% 26.16% 30.40%+0.21 +8.4 45
2012-09-02 Brest W 4-255.9 1780 1514 71.34% 19.42% 9.25%+1.41 +4.2 44
2012-09-02 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 2-455.9 1514 1780 9.25% 19.42% 71.34%-1.41 -4.2 15
2012-09-02 Neman Grodno W 1-055.6 1673 1610 51.84% 25.30% 22.86%+0.50 +7.1 38
2012-09-02 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-155.6 1610 1673 22.86% 25.30% 51.84%-0.50 -7.1 25
2012-09-08 Gomel L 0-238.2 1302 1688 8.54% 18.78% 72.68%-1.49 -4.9 21
2012-09-08 @ Slavia Mozyr W 2-038.2 1688 1302 72.68% 18.78% 8.54%+1.49 +4.9 36
2012-09-15 Dinamo Minsk L 0-252.7 1543 1680 25.83% 25.74% 48.43%-0.38 -14.8 20
2012-09-15 @ Belshina Bobruisk W 2-052.7 1680 1543 48.43% 25.74% 25.83%+0.38 +14.8 41
2012-09-15 Gomel W 2-169.2 1510 1693 21.04% 24.93% 54.03%-0.59 +13.2 18
2012-09-15 @ Brest L 1-269.2 1693 1510 54.03% 24.93% 21.04%+0.59 -13.2 36
2012-09-15 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 1-257.0 1485 1784 12.54% 21.77% 65.68%-1.10 -3.8 18
2012-09-15 @ Naftan Novopolotsk W 2-157.0 1784 1485 65.68% 21.77% 12.54%+1.10 +3.8 47
2012-09-15 Slavia Mozyr W 3-032.3 1547 1297 70.09% 19.98% 9.92%+1.34 +8.5 30
2012-09-15 @ Minsk L 0-332.3 1297 1547 9.92% 19.98% 70.09%-1.34 -8.5 21
2012-09-15 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 2-046.4 1803 1504 73.76% 18.24% 8.00%+1.55 +4.6 48
2012-09-15 @ BATE Borisov L 0-246.4 1504 1803 8.00% 18.24% 73.76%-1.55 -4.6 19
2012-09-22 Belshina Bobruisk D 0-063.3 1603 1529 53.28% 25.07% 21.66%+0.56 -2.1 26
2012-09-22 @ Neman Grodno D 0-063.3 1529 1603 21.66% 25.07% 53.28%-0.56 +2.1 21
2012-09-22 Brest D 0-059.2 1500 1523 40.70% 26.29% 33.01%+0.12 -0.5 20
2012-09-22 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino D 0-059.2 1523 1500 33.01% 26.29% 40.70%-0.12 +0.5 19
2012-09-22 Minsk L 0-265.7 1788 1556 68.65% 20.60% 10.74%+1.26 -32.5 47
2012-09-22 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 2-065.7 1556 1788 10.74% 20.60% 68.65%-1.26 +32.5 33
2012-09-22 Naftan Novopolotsk W 2-046.0 1680 1481 65.76% 21.75% 12.50%+1.11 +7.5 39
2012-09-22 @ Gomel L 0-246.0 1481 1680 12.50% 21.75% 65.76%-1.11 -7.5 18
2012-09-23 BATE Borisov D 0-068.0 1694 1807 28.56% 26.03% 45.42%-0.28 +1.0 42
2012-09-23 @ Dinamo Minsk D 0-068.0 1807 1694 45.42% 26.03% 28.56%+0.28 -1.1 49
2012-09-28 Neman Grodno W 5-150.6 1806 1601 66.38% 21.51% 12.11%+1.14 +11.5 52
2012-09-28 @ BATE Borisov L 1-550.6 1601 1806 12.11% 21.51% 66.38%-1.14 -11.5 26
2012-09-29 Gomel D 1-171.2 1588 1687 30.33% 26.16% 43.51%-0.21 +0.7 34
2012-09-29 @ Minsk D 1-171.2 1687 1588 43.51% 26.16% 30.33%+0.21 -0.7 40
2012-09-30 Dinamo Minsk W 2-060.5 1524 1696 22.09% 25.15% 52.76%-0.54 +25.9 22
2012-09-30 @ Brest L 0-260.5 1696 1524 52.76% 25.15% 22.09%+0.54 -26.0 42
2012-09-30 Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 0-063.1 1289 1756 5.94% 15.85% 78.22%-1.85 +5.0 22
2012-09-30 @ Slavia Mozyr D 0-063.1 1756 1289 78.22% 15.85% 5.94%+1.85 -5.0 48
2012-09-30 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino D 1-162.4 1474 1499 40.48% 26.29% 33.23%+0.11 -0.4 19
2012-09-30 @ Naftan Novopolotsk D 1-162.4 1499 1474 33.23% 26.29% 40.48%-0.11 +0.4 21
2012-10-07 BATE Borisov L 0-152.6 1531 1818 13.23% 22.16% 64.62%-1.05 -4.2 21
2012-10-07 @ Belshina Bobruisk W 1-052.6 1818 1531 64.62% 22.16% 13.23%+1.05 +4.2 55
2012-10-07 Brest W 3-048.6 1590 1550 49.13% 25.66% 25.20%+0.40 +21.0 29
2012-10-07 @ Neman Grodno L 0-348.6 1550 1590 25.20% 25.66% 49.13%-0.40 -21.0 22
2012-10-07 Minsk W 1-057.1 1500 1589 31.51% 26.22% 42.27%-0.17 +11.5 24
2012-10-07 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino L 0-157.1 1589 1500 42.27% 26.22% 31.51%+0.17 -11.4 34
2012-10-07 Naftan Novopolotsk D 1-169.7 1670 1474 65.57% 21.81% 12.61%+1.10 -3.2 43
2012-10-07 @ Dinamo Minsk D 1-169.7 1474 1670 12.61% 21.81% 65.57%-1.10 +3.2 20
2012-10-07 Slavia Mozyr W 4-138.4 1686 1294 79.90% 14.87% 5.23%+1.97 +3.5 43
2012-10-07 @ Gomel L 1-438.4 1294 1686 5.23% 14.87% 79.90%-1.97 -3.4 22
2012-10-14 Gomel D 1-170.4 1526 1690 22.95% 25.31% 51.74%-0.50 +1.7 22
2012-10-14 @ Belshina Bobruisk D 1-170.4 1690 1526 51.74% 25.31% 22.95%+0.50 -1.7 44
2012-10-18 BATE Borisov L 1-248.4 1290 1822 4.40% 13.58% 82.02%-2.14 -1.1 22
2012-10-18 @ Slavia Mozyr W 2-148.4 1822 1290 82.02% 13.58% 4.40%+2.14 +1.2 58
2012-10-20 Belshina Bobruisk W 4-046.9 1529 1528 43.99% 26.13% 29.89%+0.23 +31.5 25
2012-10-20 @ Brest L 0-446.9 1528 1529 29.89% 26.13% 43.99%-0.23 -31.5 22
2012-10-20 Dinamo Minsk L 0-254.9 1578 1666 31.62% 26.23% 42.14%-0.17 -17.3 34
2012-10-20 @ Minsk W 2-054.9 1666 1578 42.14% 26.23% 31.62%+0.17 +17.3 46
2012-10-20 Gomel W 4-156.9 1751 1688 51.85% 25.30% 22.85%+0.50 +16.3 51
2012-10-20 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 1-456.9 1688 1751 22.85% 25.30% 51.85%-0.50 -16.3 44
2012-10-20 Neman Grodno W 1-058.6 1477 1611 26.10% 25.78% 48.12%-0.37 +12.7 23
2012-10-20 @ Naftan Novopolotsk L 0-158.6 1611 1477 48.12% 25.78% 26.10%+0.37 -12.7 29
2012-10-23 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 3-262.0 1289 1511 17.69% 24.03% 58.27%-0.76 +13.4 25
2012-10-23 @ Slavia Mozyr L 2-362.0 1511 1289 58.27% 24.03% 17.69%+0.76 -13.4 24
2012-10-27 Minsk W 2-159.7 1598 1560 48.83% 25.70% 25.47%+0.39 +7.3 32
2012-10-27 @ Neman Grodno L 1-259.7 1560 1598 25.47% 25.70% 48.83%-0.39 -7.3 34
2012-10-27 Naftan Novopolotsk W 3-259.7 1497 1490 44.88% 26.07% 29.05%+0.26 +7.7 25
2012-10-27 @ Belshina Bobruisk L 2-359.7 1490 1497 29.05% 26.07% 44.88%-0.26 -7.7 23
2012-10-27 Slavia Mozyr W 4-245.0 1684 1303 79.21% 15.27% 5.52%+1.92 +2.3 49
2012-10-27 @ Dinamo Minsk L 2-445.0 1303 1684 5.52% 15.27% 79.21%-1.92 -2.3 25
2012-10-28 Brest W 3-153.5 1823 1560 71.12% 19.52% 9.37%+1.40 +4.8 61
2012-10-28 @ BATE Borisov L 1-353.5 1560 1823 9.37% 19.52% 71.12%-1.40 -4.8 25
2012-10-28 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-249.0 1498 1767 14.31% 22.71% 62.98%-0.97 -8.6 24
2012-10-28 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 2-049.0 1767 1498 62.98% 22.71% 14.31%+0.97 +8.6 54
2012-11-01 Brest W 2-049.9 1672 1555 57.90% 24.12% 17.97%+0.74 +10.7 47
2012-11-01 @ Gomel L 0-249.9 1555 1672 17.97% 24.12% 57.90%-0.74 -10.7 25
2012-11-03 BATE Borisov W 1-068.5 1482 1828 10.18% 20.18% 69.63%-1.31 +17.4 26
2012-11-03 @ Naftan Novopolotsk L 0-168.5 1828 1482 69.63% 20.18% 10.18%+1.31 -17.4 61
2012-11-03 Belshina Bobruisk D 2-271.4 1553 1504 50.19% 25.53% 24.28%+0.44 -1.1 35
2012-11-03 @ Minsk D 2-271.4 1504 1553 24.28% 25.53% 50.19%-0.44 +1.1 26
2012-11-03 Neman Grodno L 0-140.0 1300 1605 12.22% 21.58% 66.20%-1.13 -3.9 25
2012-11-03 @ Slavia Mozyr W 1-040.0 1605 1300 66.20% 21.58% 12.22%+1.13 +3.9 35
2012-11-04 Dinamo Minsk D 1-173.3 1775 1686 54.98% 24.76% 20.27%+0.62 -2.0 55
2012-11-04 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk D 1-173.3 1686 1775 20.27% 24.76% 54.98%-0.62 +2.0 50
2012-11-04 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 3-044.6 1683 1489 65.36% 21.89% 12.75%+1.09 +11.1 50
2012-11-04 @ Gomel L 0-344.6 1489 1683 12.75% 21.89% 65.36%-1.09 -11.1 24
2012-11-10 Gomel W 1-059.3 1688 1694 43.17% 26.18% 30.65%+0.20 +9.0 53
2012-11-10 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-159.3 1694 1688 30.65% 26.18% 43.17%-0.20 -9.0 50
2012-11-10 Naftan Novopolotsk L 0-157.5 1545 1499 49.77% 25.59% 24.64%+0.43 -13.1 25
2012-11-10 @ Brest W 1-057.5 1499 1545 24.64% 25.59% 49.77%-0.43 +13.1 29
2012-11-10 Slavia Mozyr D 0-053.5 1505 1296 66.71% 21.39% 11.90%+1.16 -3.8 27
2012-11-10 @ Belshina Bobruisk D 0-053.5 1296 1505 11.90% 21.39% 66.71%-1.16 +3.8 26
2012-11-11 Minsk W 5-148.9 1810 1552 70.76% 19.68% 9.56%+1.38 +8.9 64
2012-11-11 @ BATE Borisov L 1-548.9 1552 1810 9.56% 19.68% 70.76%-1.38 -8.9 35
2012-11-11 Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 0-451.4 1609 1773 22.85% 25.30% 51.86%-0.50 -25.3 35
2012-11-11 @ Neman Grodno W 4-051.4 1773 1609 51.86% 25.30% 22.85%+0.50 +25.3 58
2012-11-17 BATE Borisov D 0-066.3 1300 1819 4.66% 14.01% 81.33%-2.08 +5.2 27
2012-11-17 @ Slavia Mozyr D 0-066.3 1819 1300 81.33% 14.01% 4.66%+2.08 -5.2 65
2012-11-17 Belshina Bobruisk W 3-151.9 1799 1502 73.64% 18.30% 8.06%+1.55 +4.0 61
2012-11-17 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk L 1-351.9 1502 1799 8.06% 18.30% 73.64%-1.55 -4.0 27
2012-11-17 Brest D 0-061.2 1543 1531 45.47% 26.02% 28.51%+0.28 -1.1 36
2012-11-17 @ Minsk D 0-061.2 1531 1543 28.51% 26.02% 45.47%-0.28 +1.1 26
2012-11-17 Dinamo Minsk L 0-248.7 1478 1697 17.90% 24.10% 58.00%-0.75 -10.7 24
2012-11-17 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 2-048.7 1697 1478 58.00% 24.10% 17.90%+0.75 +10.7 56
2012-11-17 Neman Grodno L 0-165.2 1685 1584 56.22% 24.50% 19.28%+0.67 -14.6 50
2012-11-17 @ Gomel W 1-065.2 1584 1685 19.28% 24.50% 56.22%-0.67 +14.5 38
2012-11-25 Gomel W 3-164.9 1498 1670 22.04% 25.14% 52.81%-0.54 +22.5 30
2012-11-25 @ Belshina Bobruisk L 1-364.9 1670 1498 52.81% 25.14% 22.04%+0.54 -22.5 50
2012-11-25 Minsk L 1-260.9 1512 1542 39.86% 26.31% 33.83%+0.09 -10.3 29
2012-11-25 @ Naftan Novopolotsk W 2-160.9 1542 1512 33.83% 26.31% 39.86%-0.09 +10.3 39
2012-11-25 Shakhtyor Soligorsk W 2-165.2 1814 1803 45.45% 26.03% 28.52%+0.28 +8.0 68
2012-11-25 @ BATE Borisov L 1-265.2 1803 1814 28.52% 26.03% 45.45%-0.28 -8.0 61
2012-11-25 Slavia Mozyr W 2-034.5 1533 1305 68.24% 20.78% 10.99%+1.24 +6.5 29
2012-11-25 @ Brest L 0-234.5 1305 1533 10.99% 20.78% 68.24%-1.24 -6.5 27
2012-11-25 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino W 2-153.6 1598 1467 59.44% 23.74% 16.82%+0.81 +5.0 41
2012-11-25 @ Neman Grodno L 1-253.6 1467 1598 16.82% 23.74% 59.44%-0.81 -5.0 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-06-15 8.40% Brest 1534 1 @ BATE Borisov 1822 0
2 2012-08-19 9.72% Slavia Mozyr 1284 2 @ Brest 1539 1
3 2012-11-03 10.18% @ Naftan Novopolotsk 1482 1 BATE Borisov 1828 0
4 2012-09-22 10.74% Minsk 1556 2 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1788 0
5 2012-04-14 11.08% @ Slavia Mozyr 1243 2 Naftan Novopolotsk 1570 1
6 2012-05-03 11.56% @ Slavia Mozyr 1255 1 Minsk 1572 0
7 2012-04-21 11.64% Brest 1554 1 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1768 0
8 2012-06-23 12.59% @ Slavia Mozyr 1249 1 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 1547 0
9 2012-05-12 12.78% @ Slavia Mozyr 1265 2 Brest 1560 1
10 2012-07-01 13.67% Dinamo Minsk 1630 3 @ BATE Borisov 1808 1
11 2012-08-11 14.72% @ Slavia Mozyr 1268 1 Belshina Bobruisk 1531 0
12 2012-10-23 17.69% @ Slavia Mozyr 1289 3 Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 1511 2
13 2012-11-17 19.28% Neman Grodno 1584 1 @ Gomel 1685 0
14 2012-03-31 20.76% Gomel 1626 2 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1710 1
15 2012-09-15 21.04% @ Brest 1510 2 Gomel 1693 1
16 2012-11-25 22.04% @ Belshina Bobruisk 1498 3 Gomel 1670 1
17 2012-09-30 22.09% @ Brest 1524 2 Dinamo Minsk 1696 0
18 2012-06-15 23.36% @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 1534 1 Gomel 1693 0
19 2012-03-24 24.29% @ Minsk 1589 1 BATE Borisov 1740 0
20 2012-11-10 24.64% Naftan Novopolotsk 1499 1 @ Brest 1545 0
21 2012-10-20 26.10% @ Naftan Novopolotsk 1477 1 Neman Grodno 1611 0
22 2012-03-31 26.55% Naftan Novopolotsk 1555 1 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 1583 0
23 2012-04-14 27.33% Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 1553 2 @ Minsk 1574 1
24 2012-08-12 30.00% Neman Grodno 1554 5 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 1554 1
25 2012-04-20 31.07% Minsk 1562 3 @ Naftan Novopolotsk 1553 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-04-10 38.85 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 7 1700 54.75% Minsk 0 1613 20.45% 24.80%
2 2012-08-12 35.18 Neman Grodno 5 1554 30.00% @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 1 1554 43.86% 26.14%
3 2012-09-22 32.52 Minsk 2 1556 10.74% @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0 1788 68.65% 20.60%
4 2012-10-20 31.49 @ Brest 4 1529 43.99% Belshina Bobruisk 0 1528 29.89% 26.13%
5 2012-04-14 28.96 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4 1739 47.22% @ Belshina Bobruisk 0 1612 26.91% 25.87%
6 2012-08-19 28.42 @ Belshina Bobruisk 3 1515 36.51% Minsk 0 1568 37.14% 26.35%
7 2012-07-07 27.21 @ Naftan Novopolotsk 3 1520 38.64% Belshina Bobruisk 0 1558 35.02% 26.34%
8 2012-05-12 27.12 @ Minsk 3 1555 38.80% Belshina Bobruisk 0 1592 34.87% 26.33%
9 2012-07-01 26.56 Dinamo Minsk 3 1630 13.67% @ BATE Borisov 1 1808 63.94% 22.39%
10 2012-09-30 25.96 @ Brest 2 1524 22.09% Dinamo Minsk 0 1696 52.76% 25.15%
11 2012-11-11 25.27 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 4 1773 51.86% @ Neman Grodno 0 1609 22.85% 25.30%
12 2012-11-25 22.50 @ Belshina Bobruisk 3 1498 22.04% Gomel 1 1670 52.81% 25.14%
13 2012-05-24 22.32 @ Neman Grodno 8 1521 69.36% Slavia Mozyr 0 1280 10.34% 20.30%
14 2012-05-18 22.12 Gomel 3 1671 47.31% @ Neman Grodno 0 1543 26.83% 25.86%
15 2012-10-07 21.01 @ Neman Grodno 3 1590 49.13% Brest 0 1550 25.20% 25.66%
16 2012-04-20 18.87 Minsk 3 1562 31.07% @ Naftan Novopolotsk 1 1553 42.73% 26.20%
17 2012-08-18 18.81 @ Neman Grodno 3 1589 52.72% Naftan Novopolotsk 0 1520 22.12% 25.16%
18 2012-08-12 18.58 BATE Borisov 4 1778 60.14% @ Naftan Novopolotsk 0 1538 16.31% 23.55%
19 2012-06-15 18.06 Brest 1 1534 8.40% @ BATE Borisov 0 1822 72.96% 18.64%
20 2012-11-03 17.44 @ Naftan Novopolotsk 1 1482 10.18% BATE Borisov 0 1828 69.63% 20.18%
21 2012-10-20 17.34 Dinamo Minsk 2 1666 42.14% @ Minsk 0 1578 31.62% 26.23%
22 2012-05-03 16.97 @ Slavia Mozyr 1 1255 11.56% Minsk 0 1572 67.27% 21.17%
23 2012-04-21 16.94 Brest 1 1554 11.64% @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0 1768 67.15% 21.21%
24 2012-06-23 16.62 @ Slavia Mozyr 1 1249 12.59% Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 0 1547 65.60% 21.80%
25 2012-08-19 16.59 Slavia Mozyr 2 1284 9.72% @ Brest 1 1539 70.47% 19.81%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-06-11 78.4 @ Minsk 4 1586 49.43% Neman Grodno 4 1544 24.94% 25.63%
2 2012-07-08 77.3 @ Gomel 2 1698 59.71% Minsk 2 1564 16.62% 23.67%
3 2012-11-04 73.3 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1 1775 54.98% Dinamo Minsk 1 1686 20.27% 24.76%
4 2012-07-07 73.2 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1 1773 42.80% BATE Borisov 1 1782 31.00% 26.20%
5 2012-05-03 72.7 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1 1743 65.33% Neman Grodno 1 1550 12.77% 21.90%
6 2012-06-11 72.7 @ Gomel 1 1693 36.25% Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1 1748 37.40% 26.35%
7 2012-07-13 72.5 @ Neman Grodno 1 1552 17.77% Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1 1773 58.17% 24.06%
8 2012-08-26 72.1 @ Gomel 1 1698 55.04% Neman Grodno 1 1608 20.22% 24.74%
9 2012-11-03 71.4 @ Minsk 2 1553 50.19% Belshina Bobruisk 2 1504 24.28% 25.53%
10 2012-03-31 71.3 Gomel 2 1626 20.76% @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1 1710 54.37% 24.87%
11 2012-09-29 71.2 @ Minsk 1 1588 30.33% Gomel 1 1687 43.51% 26.16%
12 2012-07-01 71.1 Dinamo Minsk 3 1630 13.67% @ BATE Borisov 1 1808 63.94% 22.39%
13 2012-09-01 70.8 @ Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 2 1504 38.53% Belshina Bobruisk 2 1543 35.13% 26.34%
14 2012-07-08 70.5 @ Dinamo Minsk 1 1657 56.93% Neman Grodno 1 1550 18.72% 24.35%
15 2012-10-14 70.4 @ Belshina Bobruisk 1 1526 22.95% Gomel 1 1690 51.74% 25.31%
16 2012-10-07 69.7 @ Dinamo Minsk 1 1670 65.57% Naftan Novopolotsk 1 1474 12.61% 21.81%
17 2012-06-15 69.5 Brest 1 1534 8.40% @ BATE Borisov 0 1822 72.96% 18.64%
18 2012-09-15 69.2 @ Brest 2 1510 21.04% Gomel 1 1693 54.03% 24.93%
19 2012-07-13 68.5 @ BATE Borisov 0 1782 68.69% Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 0 1550 10.72% 20.59%
20 2012-11-03 68.5 @ Naftan Novopolotsk 1 1482 10.18% BATE Borisov 0 1828 69.63% 20.18%
21 2012-08-17 68.4 @ BATE Borisov 0 1797 56.25% Gomel 0 1696 19.26% 24.50%
22 2012-04-21 68.2 Brest 1 1554 11.64% @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0 1768 67.15% 21.21%
23 2012-09-23 68.0 @ Dinamo Minsk 0 1694 28.56% BATE Borisov 0 1807 45.42% 26.03%
24 2012-05-24 67.8 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0 1752 67.22% Naftan Novopolotsk 0 1537 11.59% 21.19%
25 2012-04-10 67.7 @ Neman Grodno 1 1558 43.31% Brest 1 1562 30.52% 26.17%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-07 31.2 @ Belshina Bobruisk 3 1586 74.88% Slavia Mozyr 0 1272 7.45% 17.67%
2 2012-04-21 31.3 @ Gomel 3 1650 79.84% Slavia Mozyr 0 1259 5.26% 14.90%
3 2012-09-15 32.3 @ Minsk 3 1547 70.09% Slavia Mozyr 0 1297 9.92% 19.98%
4 2012-05-24 32.4 @ Neman Grodno 8 1521 69.36% Slavia Mozyr 0 1280 10.34% 20.30%
5 2012-06-16 32.7 @ Shakhtyor Soligorsk 5 1748 85.30% Slavia Mozyr 0 1253 3.23% 11.47%
6 2012-11-25 34.5 @ Brest 2 1533 68.24% Slavia Mozyr 0 1305 10.99% 20.78%
7 2012-04-06 34.8 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2 1697 77.51% @ Slavia Mozyr 0 1241 6.24% 16.25%
8 2012-06-11 34.9 Dinamo Minsk 2 1633 71.89% @ Slavia Mozyr 0 1258 8.95% 19.16%
9 2012-04-01 37.6 @ Dinamo Minsk 3 1628 79.42% Slavia Mozyr 1 1244 5.43% 15.15%
10 2012-09-08 38.2 Gomel 2 1688 72.68% @ Slavia Mozyr 0 1302 8.54% 18.78%
11 2012-10-07 38.4 @ Gomel 4 1686 79.90% Slavia Mozyr 1 1294 5.23% 14.87%
12 2012-03-24 39.8 Neman Grodno 3 1560 66.66% @ Slavia Mozyr 1 1250 11.93% 21.41%
13 2012-11-03 40.0 Neman Grodno 1 1605 66.20% @ Slavia Mozyr 0 1300 12.22% 21.58%
14 2012-11-04 44.6 @ Gomel 3 1683 65.36% Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 0 1489 12.75% 21.89%
15 2012-10-27 45.0 @ Dinamo Minsk 4 1684 79.21% Slavia Mozyr 2 1303 5.52% 15.27%
16 2012-09-22 46.0 @ Gomel 2 1680 65.76% Naftan Novopolotsk 0 1481 12.50% 21.75%
17 2012-05-07 46.1 @ BATE Borisov 3 1792 69.75% Naftan Novopolotsk 0 1546 10.12% 20.13%
18 2012-07-14 46.1 @ Minsk 3 1566 73.55% Slavia Mozyr 2 1270 8.10% 18.35%
19 2012-05-18 46.3 @ BATE Borisov 2 1809 86.77% Slavia Mozyr 1 1281 2.75% 10.48%
20 2012-09-15 46.4 @ BATE Borisov 2 1803 73.76% Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 0 1504 8.00% 18.24%
21 2012-08-18 46.6 @ Neman Grodno 3 1589 52.72% Naftan Novopolotsk 0 1520 22.12% 25.16%
22 2012-10-20 46.9 @ Brest 4 1529 43.99% Belshina Bobruisk 0 1528 29.89% 26.13%
23 2012-08-18 48.1 @ Dinamo Minsk 2 1649 59.34% Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 0 1519 16.90% 23.77%
24 2012-08-12 48.3 BATE Borisov 4 1778 60.14% @ Naftan Novopolotsk 0 1538 16.31% 23.55%
25 2012-10-18 48.4 BATE Borisov 2 1822 82.02% @ Slavia Mozyr 1 1290 4.40% 13.58%