Home / Leagues / Belgium / Challenger Pro League / 2024-25
‹ ›

2024-25 Challenger Pro League Season

210 games

Final

Promoted

Zulte Waregem

59 pts

La Louviere · 59 pts

Relegated

Deinze

-3 pts

Biggest Overachiever

La Louviere

15.22 points above expected

59 points · 43.78 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Genk II

12.59 points below expected

14 points · 26.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Zulte Waregem Promoted 28 18 5 5 59 55 30 +25 51.51 +7.49
2 La Louviere Promoted 28 17 8 3 59 50 24 +26 43.78 +15.22
3 RWD Molenbeek 28 17 6 5 57 42 21 +21 47.66 +9.34
4 Beveren 28 14 9 5 51 41 27 +14 43.17 +7.83
5 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 28 13 10 5 49 51 28 +23 46.03 +2.97
6 Club NXT 28 14 5 9 47 46 35 +11 39.89 +7.11
7 Lokeren-Temse 28 12 5 11 41 32 35 -3 34.19 +6.81
8 K Lierse SK 28 11 7 10 40 40 35 +5 35.66 +4.34
9 RFC Liege 28 9 7 12 34 38 44 -6 36.74 -2.74
10 Eupen 28 8 6 14 30 38 47 -9 36.57 -6.57
11 Lommel 28 8 5 15 29 32 46 -14 38.13 -9.13
12 Francs Borains 28 8 4 16 28 29 50 -21 30.81 -2.81
13 Anderlecht II 28 5 8 15 23 41 54 -13 33.82 -10.82
14 Seraing 28 3 10 15 19 28 55 -27 27.39 -8.39
15 Genk II 28 3 5 20 14 30 62 -32 26.59 -12.59

Notes

  • Deinze declared bankruptcy and all results were voided.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 La Louviere 59 43.78 +15.22
2 RWD Molenbeek 57 47.66 +9.34
3 Beveren 51 43.17 +7.83
4 Zulte Waregem 59 51.51 +7.49
5 Club NXT 47 39.89 +7.11

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Genk II 14 26.59 -12.59
2 Anderlecht II 23 33.82 -10.82
3 Lommel 29 38.13 -9.13
4 Seraing 19 27.39 -8.39
5 Eupen 30 36.57 -6.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lokeren-Temse 5 Mar 15 – Apr 18 1 in 331
2 Beveren 5 Feb 9 – Mar 9 1 in 149
3 Zulte Waregem 7 Nov 10 – Jan 11 1 in 129
4 Club NXT 4 Jan 19 – Feb 7 1 in 110
5 RWD Molenbeek 6 Feb 8 – Mar 28 1 in 51

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lommel 9 Dec 8 – Feb 22 1 in 15,566
2 Eupen 5 Dec 1 – Jan 25 1 in 143
3 Francs Borains 5 Sep 14 – Oct 18 1 in 82
4 Genk II 7 Feb 21 – Apr 18 1 in 72
5 Beveren 3 Sep 28 – Oct 18 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 RWD Molenbeek 15 Dec 1 – Apr 4 1 in 76
2 Beveren 10 Dec 13 – Mar 9 1 in 35
3 Francs Borains 6 Dec 8 – Jan 29 1 in 34
4 Anderlecht II 6 Oct 20 – Nov 30 1 in 25
5 La Louviere 11 Feb 2 – Sep 22 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lommel 12 Nov 24 – Mar 2 1 in 357
2 Genk II 20 Oct 25 – Apr 18 1 in 140
3 Seraing 14 Jan 19 – Sep 1 1 in 46
4 Anderlecht II 8 Feb 22 – Apr 18 1 in 27
5 Beveren 5 Sep 20 – Oct 26 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
La Louviere 1775 59 +26 15 10.0 +5.0
Zulte Waregem 1777 59 -5 10 9.7 +0.3
RWD Molenbeek 1759 57 +4 7 8.1 -1.1
Beveren 1751 51 +25 10 8.4 +1.6
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1747 49 -8 6 8.7 -2.7
Club NXT 1674 47 +19 10 8.0 +2.0
Lokeren-Temse 1657 41 +73 12 6.4 +5.6
K Lierse SK 1650 40 +9 7 5.7 +1.3
RFC Liege 1617 34 -35 4 7.6 -3.6
Eupen 1596 30 +7 9 6.3 +2.7
Lommel 1591 29 +19 9 6.0 +3.0
Francs Borains 1538 28 -23 3 4.5 -1.5
Anderlecht II 1543 23 -56 1 6.3 -5.3
Seraing 1473 19 -42 1 4.2 -3.2
Genk II 1478 14 -15 3 4.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AI BEV CN EUP FB GI KLS LL LOK LOM PEM RL RM SER ZW
Anderlecht II —
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
2.47
0-2-0
2.64
0-0-2
3.05
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
1.70
0-2-0
3.10
0-0-2
1.68
Beveren
1-1-0
3.56
 —
0-1-1
3.11
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.56
1-1-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.32
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.43
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.08
Club NXT
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
2.30
 —
0-0-2
3.20
2-0-0
3.45
2-0-0
3.56
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
3.50
0-0-2
1.95
Eupen
0-2-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.29
2-0-0
2.21
 —
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
2.77
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.21
2-0-0
3.35
0-0-2
2.06
Francs Borains
2-0-0
2.36
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
1.99
1-0-1
2.17
 —
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.06
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
1.90
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.67
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
1.38
Genk II
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
1.86
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.71
 —
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
1.38
0-0-2
2.08
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
1.57
0-0-2
1.81
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-2
1.31
K Lierse SK
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
2.72
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
3.63
 —
0-0-2
2.34
0-2-0
2.96
1-1-0
2.31
1-1-0
1.88
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.06
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
1.80
La Louviere
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.98
2-0-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.09
 —
2-0-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
3.13
0-2-0
2.37
2-0-0
3.94
0-1-1
2.09
Lokeren-Temse
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
3.37
0-2-0
2.44
0-0-2
1.83
 —
1-1-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.04
2-0-0
2.17
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
1.70
Lommel
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
3.10
0-0-2
2.29
0-1-1
3.05
 —
0-0-2
1.98
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
1.71
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
1-1-0
3.39
0-1-1
2.98
1-1-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
4.13
0-1-1
3.55
1-1-0
2.78
1-1-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.43
 —
1-1-0
3.35
0-2-0
2.52
0-1-1
3.81
0-0-2
2.31
RFC Liege
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
3.90
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
3.24
1-1-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.06
 —
1-0-1
2.06
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
1.77
RWD Molenbeek
1-0-1
3.76
1-0-1
3.00
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.35
0-2-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
3.22
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.36
 —
1-1-0
4.02
1-0-1
2.62
Seraing
0-2-0
2.32
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
2.07
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
1.55
1-0-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
1.67
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
1.49
 —
0-1-1
1.27
Zulte Waregem
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.42
1-1-0
4.12
2-0-0
4.23
0-1-1
3.64
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.74
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
4.26
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.64 +14.1
Allowed 0.95 -11.4
Differential 0.95 +7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.19%9.05%4.52%2.38%2.62%0.48%25.24%
19.05%8.57%8.81%4.76%1.43%0.48%33.10%
24.52%8.81%7.14%3.10%0.24%—23.81%
32.38%4.76%3.10%1.43%0.24%—11.90%
42.62%1.43%0.24%0.24%0.48%—5.00%
5+0.48%0.48%————0.95%
Total25.24%33.10%23.81%11.90%5.00%0.95%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.76
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 210

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.71%3.57%3.57%3.57%—21.43%
13.57%10.71%7.14%10.71%——32.14%
23.57%3.57%14.29%10.71%3.57%—35.71%
3———3.57%——3.57%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total10.71%28.57%25.00%28.57%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.93 -0.46
SD 1.20 1.15 1.79
CV 0.82 0.60 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.86%3.57%10.71%—3.57%—35.71%
110.71%3.57%————14.29%
27.14%10.71%7.14%———25.00%
33.57%3.57%7.14%3.57%——17.86%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total46.43%21.43%25.00%3.57%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.96 +0.50
SD 1.35 1.10 1.75
CV 0.92 1.15 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%—3.57%3.57%—21.43%
1—10.71%7.14%3.57%——21.43%
210.71%14.29%7.14%———32.14%
37.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total21.43%46.43%21.43%7.14%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.25 +0.39
SD 1.16 1.00 1.83
CV 0.71 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%3.57%7.14%3.57%—35.71%
13.57%3.57%3.57%7.14%——17.86%
2—7.14%10.71%7.14%——25.00%
33.57%7.14%3.57%—3.57%—17.86%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total17.86%32.14%21.43%21.43%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.68 -0.32
SD 1.25 1.22 1.81
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%3.57%—7.14%—25.00%
114.29%3.57%17.86%14.29%3.57%—53.57%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.86%21.43%35.71%14.29%10.71%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.79 -0.75
SD 0.84 1.23 1.51
CV 0.81 0.69 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%3.57%7.14%7.14%—32.14%
13.57%—14.29%17.86%3.57%—39.29%
23.57%—10.71%7.14%——21.43%
3———3.57%——3.57%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+———————
Total10.71%14.29%28.57%35.71%10.71%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 2.21 -1.14
SD 1.02 1.17 1.60
CV 0.95 0.53 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%10.71%3.57%3.57%——25.00%
110.71%7.14%10.71%7.14%——35.71%
23.57%3.57%7.14%———14.29%
33.57%10.71%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total28.57%32.14%25.00%14.29%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.25 +0.18
SD 1.20 1.04 1.63
CV 0.84 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%—3.57%———14.29%
110.71%14.29%7.14%———32.14%
210.71%21.43%3.57%———35.71%
3—3.57%————3.57%
4—3.57%—3.57%——7.14%
5+3.57%3.57%————7.14%
Total35.71%46.43%14.29%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 0.86 +0.93
SD 1.37 0.80 1.46
CV 0.77 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%21.43%3.57%—3.57%3.57%35.71%
114.29%7.14%——7.14%—28.57%
27.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
3———————
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total32.14%42.86%10.71%—10.71%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.25 -0.11
SD 1.15 1.40 2.08
CV 1.00 1.12 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.71%10.71%—3.57%3.57%28.57%
17.14%14.29%17.86%——3.57%42.86%
23.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
3—7.14%————7.14%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total14.29%39.29%32.14%3.57%3.57%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.64 -0.50
SD 1.04 1.31 1.95
CV 0.91 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%————14.29%
114.29%14.29%3.57%———32.14%
27.14%—10.71%7.14%——25.00%
3—10.71%—3.57%——14.29%
47.14%7.14%————14.29%
5+———————
Total35.71%39.29%14.29%10.71%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.00 +0.82
SD 1.28 0.98 1.49
CV 0.70 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
13.57%14.29%14.29%10.71%3.57%—46.43%
23.57%14.29%3.57%———21.43%
33.57%3.57%—3.57%——10.71%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+———————
Total14.29%39.29%25.00%17.86%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.57 -0.21
SD 1.03 1.07 1.55
CV 0.76 0.68 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%3.57%———14.29%
125.00%10.71%10.71%———46.43%
27.14%14.29%————21.43%
310.71%—————10.71%
4—3.57%——3.57%—7.14%
5+———————
Total50.00%32.14%14.29%—3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.75 +0.75
SD 1.11 0.97 1.32
CV 0.74 1.29 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%3.57%10.71%7.14%3.57%—35.71%
17.14%10.71%14.29%—3.57%3.57%39.29%
2——10.71%7.14%——17.86%
3——3.57%———3.57%
4————3.57%—3.57%
5+———————
Total17.86%14.29%39.29%14.29%10.71%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.96 -0.96
SD 1.02 1.35 1.43
CV 1.02 0.69 —
Max 4 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%7.14%3.57%———21.43%
17.14%3.57%3.57%———14.29%
2—14.29%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
33.57%17.86%14.29%———35.71%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total25.00%46.43%25.00%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.07 +0.89
SD 1.37 0.81 1.45
CV 0.70 0.76 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Zulte Waregem 1777 59 51.51 +7.49 85.0% 36 40 45 51 56 65 73
La Louviere 1775 59 43.78 +15.22 99.0% 29 32 40 44 49 54 61
RWD Molenbeek 1759 57 47.66 +9.34 93.0% 32 36 43 48 52 58 62
Beveren 1751 51 43.17 +7.83 88.0% 29 32 39 43 47 56 59
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1747 49 46.03 +2.97 66.0% 32 34 41 46 51 57 64
Club NXT 1674 47 39.89 +7.11 88.0% 24 29 36 40 43 49 58
Lokeren-Temse 1657 41 34.19 +6.81 89.0% 22 24 31 34 38 42 53
K Lierse SK 1650 40 35.66 +4.34 75.0% 21 25 30 35 40 46 52
RFC Liege 1617 34 36.74 -2.74 34.0% 24 27 33 38 40 45 51
Eupen 1596 30 36.57 -6.57 21.0% 23 26 32 36 41 47 54
Lommel 1591 29 38.13 -9.13 7.0% 24 28 33 38 41 49 55
Anderlecht II 1543 23 33.82 -10.82 6.0% 20 22 29 34 38 45 52
Francs Borains 1538 28 30.81 -2.81 36.0% 11 20 26 30 35 42 46
Genk II 1478 14 26.59 -12.59 3.0% 7 15 22 26 30 38 40
Seraing 1473 19 27.39 -8.39 10.0% 12 19 23 27 31 37 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.81%
No Edge
40.00%23.81%36.19%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 13.24 Elo pts.
156 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.14 goals
Neutral
-2+0.08+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.1
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Zulte Waregem, 1st of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.22 * Some Luck: 5.22 to 7.83 * Lucky: 7.83 to 10.45 * Wild Swing: 10.45 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.91 * Close: 1.91 to 2.87 * Off: 2.87 to 3.83 * Way Off: 3.83 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.67 * A Surprise: 0.67 to 1.07 * Several Surprises: 1.07 to 1.47 * Many Surprises: 1.47 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.34 points
Lucky
06.5316
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.395
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
99.00%
La Louviere
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
3.00%
Genk II
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
A Surprise
00.71

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 105.30
2.10
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Clear Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.65
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Strong Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.69
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.28
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1140.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415
Zulte Waregem41.00%23.00%12.00%10.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%—————
La Louviere7.00%14.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
RWD Molenbeek20.00%20.00%22.00%13.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Beveren8.00%7.00%12.00%18.00%15.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen16.00%21.00%14.00%12.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%————
Club NXT3.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%16.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%
Lokeren-Temse1.00%—2.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%12.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%
K Lierse SK2.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%9.00%3.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%
RFC Liege—1.00%3.00%2.00%10.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%4.00%—
Eupen—2.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%1.00%
Lommel2.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%—
Francs Borains—1.00%1.00%—4.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%6.00%13.00%12.00%18.00%12.00%17.00%
Anderlecht II—1.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%8.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%18.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%
Seraing—————2.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%10.00%16.00%23.00%28.00%
Genk II—————1.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%15.00%26.00%33.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Qualified for Championship Round Direct relegation
Zulte Waregem 65.00% 28.00% 7.00% —
RWD Molenbeek 43.00% 41.00% 16.00% —
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 37.00% 44.00% 19.00% —
La Louviere 24.00% 51.00% 25.00% —
Beveren 15.00% 53.00% 32.00% —
Lommel 6.00% 24.00% 70.00% —
Eupen 2.00% 25.00% 72.00% 1.00%
RFC Liege 1.00% 26.00% 73.00% —
Club NXT — — 99.00% 1.00%
K Lierse SK 4.00% 18.00% 72.00% 6.00%
Lokeren-Temse 1.00% 14.00% 79.00% 6.00%
Anderlecht II 1.00% 15.00% 76.00% 8.00%
Francs Borains 1.00% 9.00% 73.00% 17.00%
Seraing — 2.00% 70.00% 28.00%
Genk II — — 67.00% 33.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Qualified for Championship Round Direct relegation
La Louviere 100% — — —
Zulte Waregem 100% — — —
Anderlecht II — — 100% —
Beveren — 100% — —
Club NXT — — 100% —
Eupen — — 100% —
Francs Borains — — 100% —
K Lierse SK — — 100% —
Lokeren-Temse — — 100% —
Lommel — — 100% —
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen — 100% — —
RFC Liege — — 100% —
RWD Molenbeek — 100% — —
Seraing — — 100% —
Genk II — — — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2024-08-16 Genk II L 0-255.9 1594 1612 40.37% 30.26% 29.37%-0.04 -18.4 0
2024-08-16 @ Seraing W 2-055.9 1612 1594 29.37% 30.26% 40.37%+0.04 +18.3 3
2024-08-17 Lokeren-Temse W 4-051.5 1621 1637 40.66% 30.23% 29.11%-0.02 +27.5 3
2024-08-17 @ Club NXT L 0-451.5 1637 1621 29.11% 30.23% 40.66%+0.02 -27.5 0
2024-08-17 Lommel W 2-164.4 1681 1698 40.66% 30.23% 29.11%-0.02 +7.2 3
2024-08-17 @ Beveren L 1-264.4 1698 1681 29.11% 30.23% 40.66%+0.02 -7.3 0
2024-08-17 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 1-169.5 1661 1637 46.10% 29.48% 24.42%+0.24 -1.0 1
2024-08-17 @ RWD Molenbeek D 1-169.5 1637 1661 24.42% 29.48% 46.10%-0.24 +1.0 1
2024-08-18 Eupen L 0-356.9 1661 1641 45.59% 29.57% 24.84%+0.21 -29.2 0
2024-08-18 @ RFC Liege W 3-056.9 1641 1661 24.84% 29.57% 45.59%-0.21 +29.2 3
2024-08-18 K Lierse SK L 0-164.6 1700 1610 54.24% 27.35% 18.41%+0.66 -12.2 0
2024-08-18 @ Zulte Waregem W 1-064.6 1610 1700 18.41% 27.35% 54.24%-0.66 +12.3 3
2024-08-18 La Louviere L 0-160.6 1619 1637 40.44% 30.25% 29.31%-0.03 -9.8 0
2024-08-18 @ Francs Borains W 1-060.6 1637 1619 29.31% 30.25% 40.44%+0.03 +9.7 3
2024-08-23 Francs Borains L 0-160.6 1610 1609 42.99% 29.97% 27.04%+0.09 -10.2 0
2024-08-23 @ Lokeren-Temse W 1-060.6 1609 1610 27.04% 29.97% 42.99%-0.09 +10.2 3
2024-08-23 Beveren D 2-276.0 1670 1688 40.44% 30.25% 29.31%-0.03 -0.4 4
2024-08-23 @ Eupen D 2-276.0 1688 1670 29.31% 30.25% 40.44%+0.03 +0.4 4
2024-08-24 Anderlecht II W 3-158.1 1638 1618 45.68% 29.55% 24.77%+0.22 +11.1 4
2024-08-24 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 1-358.1 1618 1638 24.77% 29.55% 45.68%-0.22 -11.1 0
2024-08-24 Club NXT D 1-169.3 1647 1648 42.77% 30.00% 27.23%+0.08 -0.7 4
2024-08-24 @ La Louviere D 1-169.3 1648 1647 27.23% 30.00% 42.77%-0.08 +0.7 4
2024-08-24 Seraing W 3-264.7 1623 1575 49.07% 28.84% 22.09%+0.39 +5.5 6
2024-08-24 @ K Lierse SK L 2-364.7 1575 1623 22.09% 28.84% 49.07%-0.39 -5.5 0
2024-08-25 RWD Molenbeek L 0-259.7 1690 1660 46.94% 29.32% 23.75%+0.28 -20.6 0
2024-08-25 @ Lommel W 2-059.7 1660 1690 23.75% 29.32% 46.94%-0.28 +20.6 4
2024-08-30 Eupen W 2-163.0 1681 1670 44.39% 29.77% 25.84%+0.15 +6.6 7
2024-08-30 @ RWD Molenbeek L 1-263.0 1670 1681 25.84% 29.77% 44.39%-0.15 -6.6 4
2024-08-30 Lokeren-Temse W 1-053.6 1688 1600 54.05% 27.41% 18.54%+0.65 +5.2 3
2024-08-30 @ Zulte Waregem L 0-153.6 1600 1688 18.54% 27.41% 54.05%-0.65 -5.2 0
2024-08-31 Club NXT D 2-275.4 1649 1649 42.97% 29.97% 27.05%+0.09 -0.6 5
2024-08-31 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 2-275.4 1649 1649 27.05% 29.97% 42.97%-0.09 +0.6 5
2024-08-31 La Louviere L 1-265.4 1606 1646 37.40% 30.45% 32.15%-0.17 -8.7 0
2024-08-31 @ Anderlecht II W 2-165.4 1646 1606 32.15% 30.45% 37.40%+0.17 +8.7 7
2024-08-31 Beveren D 0-064.8 1632 1689 34.95% 30.50% 34.55%-0.28 -0.0 1
2024-08-31 @ RFC Liege D 0-064.8 1689 1632 34.55% 30.50% 34.95%+0.28 +0.0 5
2024-09-01 Francs Borains L 1-267.3 1631 1620 44.43% 29.76% 25.80%+0.16 -9.9 3
2024-09-01 @ Genk II W 2-167.3 1620 1631 25.80% 29.76% 44.43%-0.16 +9.9 6
2024-09-13 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 2-274.4 1594 1649 35.33% 30.50% 34.17%-0.26 -0.0 1
2024-09-13 @ Lokeren-Temse D 2-274.4 1649 1594 34.17% 30.50% 35.33%+0.26 +0.0 6
2024-09-13 Seraing D 1-168.7 1650 1570 53.04% 27.74% 19.22%+0.60 -1.7 6
2024-09-13 @ Club NXT D 1-168.7 1570 1650 19.22% 27.74% 53.04%-0.60 +1.7 1
2024-09-14 Anderlecht II D 3-378.6 1632 1598 47.38% 29.22% 23.40%+0.30 -0.7 2
2024-09-14 @ RFC Liege D 3-378.6 1598 1632 23.40% 29.22% 47.38%-0.30 +0.7 1
2024-09-14 K Lierse SK W 3-049.4 1687 1628 50.57% 28.46% 20.97%+0.46 +16.1 10
2024-09-14 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-349.4 1628 1687 20.97% 28.46% 50.57%-0.46 -16.1 6
2024-09-14 Lommel L 1-362.7 1629 1670 37.33% 30.45% 32.22%-0.17 -15.0 6
2024-09-14 @ Francs Borains W 3-162.7 1670 1629 32.22% 30.45% 37.33%+0.17 +15.0 3
2024-09-15 Genk II W 3-265.8 1689 1621 51.62% 28.17% 20.22%+0.52 +5.1 8
2024-09-15 @ Beveren L 2-365.8 1621 1689 20.22% 28.17% 51.62%-0.52 -5.1 3
2024-09-15 Zulte Waregem L 1-363.8 1663 1693 38.80% 30.38% 30.82%-0.11 -15.4 4
2024-09-15 @ Eupen W 3-163.8 1693 1663 30.82% 30.38% 38.80%+0.11 +15.4 6
2024-09-20 Anderlecht II W 2-159.4 1685 1598 53.83% 27.48% 18.68%+0.64 +5.0 6
2024-09-20 @ Lommel L 1-259.4 1598 1685 18.68% 27.48% 53.83%-0.64 -5.0 1
2024-09-20 Seraing D 0-065.5 1694 1572 57.94% 25.97% 16.09%+0.87 -2.4 9
2024-09-20 @ Beveren D 0-065.5 1572 1694 16.09% 25.97% 57.94%-0.87 +2.4 2
2024-09-21 Eupen W 3-052.4 1612 1648 37.98% 30.42% 31.59%-0.14 +22.4 9
2024-09-21 @ K Lierse SK L 0-352.4 1648 1612 31.59% 30.42% 37.98%+0.14 -22.4 4
2024-09-21 Francs Borains W 4-155.0 1649 1614 47.45% 29.21% 23.34%+0.30 +14.9 9
2024-09-21 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 1-455.0 1614 1649 23.34% 29.21% 47.45%-0.30 -14.9 6
2024-09-21 RWD Molenbeek L 0-352.9 1616 1703 30.74% 30.37% 38.89%-0.48 -21.9 3
2024-09-21 @ Genk II W 3-052.9 1703 1616 38.89% 30.37% 30.74%+0.48 +21.9 13
2024-09-22 RFC Liege W 3-157.0 1709 1631 52.80% 27.81% 19.38%+0.58 +9.0 9
2024-09-22 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-357.0 1631 1709 19.38% 27.81% 52.80%-0.58 -8.9 2
2024-09-27 Genk II W 3-157.0 1625 1594 47.07% 29.29% 23.64%+0.29 +10.7 7
2024-09-27 @ Eupen L 1-357.0 1594 1625 23.64% 29.29% 47.07%-0.29 -10.7 3
2024-09-27 RWD Molenbeek L 1-262.8 1600 1725 26.06% 29.81% 44.12%-0.72 -6.7 6
2024-09-27 @ Francs Borains W 2-162.8 1725 1600 44.12% 29.81% 26.06%+0.72 +6.7 16
2024-09-28 K Lierse SK D 1-170.0 1690 1634 50.12% 28.58% 21.30%+0.44 -1.4 7
2024-09-28 @ Lommel D 1-170.0 1634 1690 21.30% 28.58% 50.12%-0.44 +1.4 10
2024-09-28 Beveren W 2-055.7 1648 1691 36.88% 30.47% 32.65%-0.19 +15.8 9
2024-09-28 @ Club NXT L 0-255.7 1691 1648 32.65% 30.47% 36.88%+0.19 -15.8 9
2024-09-29 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-258.1 1655 1664 41.75% 30.12% 28.13%+0.03 -18.8 7
2024-09-29 @ La Louviere W 2-058.1 1664 1655 28.13% 30.12% 41.75%-0.03 +18.8 12
2024-09-29 RFC Liege L 0-352.6 1574 1622 36.26% 30.48% 33.26%-0.22 -24.7 2
2024-09-29 @ Seraing W 3-052.6 1622 1574 33.26% 30.48% 36.26%+0.22 +24.7 5
2024-09-29 Zulte Waregem L 2-368.2 1594 1717 26.28% 29.85% 43.88%-0.71 -6.4 1
2024-09-29 @ Anderlecht II W 3-268.2 1717 1594 43.88% 29.85% 26.28%+0.71 +6.4 12
2024-10-04 Lommel D 1-169.6 1647 1688 37.13% 30.46% 32.42%-0.18 -0.2 6
2024-10-04 @ RFC Liege D 1-169.6 1688 1647 32.42% 30.46% 37.13%+0.18 +0.2 8
2024-10-05 Eupen L 1-262.1 1549 1636 30.86% 30.38% 38.76%-0.47 -7.6 2
2024-10-05 @ Seraing W 2-162.1 1636 1549 38.76% 30.38% 30.86%+0.47 +7.6 10
2024-10-05 Lokeren-Temse L 0-163.9 1676 1594 53.24% 27.68% 19.09%+0.61 -12.1 9
2024-10-05 @ Beveren W 1-063.9 1594 1676 19.09% 27.68% 53.24%-0.61 +12.1 4
2024-10-05 La Louviere D 1-170.9 1732 1636 54.94% 27.11% 17.96%+0.70 -1.9 17
2024-10-05 @ RWD Molenbeek D 1-170.9 1636 1732 17.96% 27.11% 54.94%-0.70 +1.9 8
2024-10-06 Anderlecht II W 1-054.8 1583 1587 42.40% 30.05% 27.55%+0.06 +7.4 6
2024-10-06 @ Genk II L 0-154.8 1587 1583 27.55% 30.05% 42.40%-0.06 -7.4 1
2024-10-06 Club NXT W 2-161.4 1724 1664 50.69% 28.43% 20.88%+0.47 +5.5 15
2024-10-06 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-261.4 1664 1724 20.88% 28.43% 50.69%-0.47 -5.5 9
2024-10-06 Francs Borains W 4-048.7 1636 1593 48.53% 28.97% 22.50%+0.36 +22.4 13
2024-10-06 @ K Lierse SK L 0-448.7 1593 1636 22.50% 28.97% 48.53%-0.36 -22.4 6
2024-10-18 RFC Liege L 1-263.2 1570 1646 32.30% 30.45% 37.25%-0.40 -7.8 6
2024-10-18 @ Francs Borains W 2-163.2 1646 1570 37.25% 30.45% 32.30%+0.40 +7.8 9
2024-10-18 Beveren W 2-054.5 1638 1664 39.43% 30.33% 30.24%-0.08 +14.9 11
2024-10-18 @ La Louviere L 0-254.5 1664 1638 30.24% 30.33% 39.43%+0.08 -14.9 9
2024-10-19 Eupen D 1-170.0 1689 1644 48.81% 28.91% 22.29%+0.37 -1.3 9
2024-10-19 @ Lommel D 1-170.0 1644 1689 22.29% 28.91% 48.81%-0.37 +1.3 11
2024-10-19 K Lierse SK W 3-159.7 1658 1658 42.92% 29.98% 27.10%+0.08 +11.9 12
2024-10-19 @ Club NXT L 1-359.7 1658 1658 27.10% 29.98% 42.92%-0.08 -11.9 13
2024-10-20 RWD Molenbeek W 2-168.9 1580 1730 23.44% 29.23% 47.33%-0.88 +10.4 4
2024-10-20 @ Anderlecht II L 1-268.9 1730 1580 47.33% 29.23% 23.44%+0.88 -10.4 17
2024-10-20 Seraing L 0-160.8 1606 1542 51.23% 28.28% 20.49%+0.50 -11.7 4
2024-10-20 @ Lokeren-Temse W 1-060.8 1542 1606 20.49% 28.28% 51.23%-0.50 +11.7 5
2024-10-20 Zulte Waregem L 0-161.1 1683 1729 36.41% 30.48% 33.11%-0.22 -9.0 12
2024-10-20 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen W 1-061.1 1729 1683 33.11% 30.48% 36.41%+0.22 +9.0 18
2024-10-25 Lommel L 0-452.0 1591 1687 29.56% 30.28% 40.16%-0.53 -27.8 6
2024-10-25 @ Genk II W 4-052.0 1687 1591 40.16% 30.28% 29.56%+0.53 +27.8 12
2024-10-25 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 0-063.6 1553 1673 26.73% 29.92% 43.35%-0.68 +0.9 6
2024-10-25 @ Seraing D 0-063.6 1673 1553 43.35% 29.92% 26.73%+0.68 -0.9 13
2024-10-26 Anderlecht II D 1-168.8 1649 1590 50.48% 28.48% 21.04%+0.46 -1.5 10
2024-10-26 @ Beveren D 1-168.8 1590 1649 21.04% 28.48% 50.48%-0.46 +1.5 5
2024-10-26 Francs Borains D 2-277.4 1738 1563 63.65% 23.39% 12.96%+1.21 -2.0 19
2024-10-26 @ Zulte Waregem D 2-277.4 1563 1738 12.96% 23.39% 63.65%-1.21 +2.0 7
2024-10-27 Club NXT D 1-169.6 1654 1670 40.77% 30.22% 29.00%-0.02 -0.5 10
2024-10-27 @ RFC Liege D 1-169.6 1670 1654 29.00% 30.22% 40.77%+0.02 +0.5 13
2024-10-27 Lokeren-Temse L 0-162.5 1645 1595 49.45% 28.75% 21.80%+0.41 -11.4 11
2024-10-27 @ Eupen W 1-062.5 1595 1645 21.80% 28.75% 49.45%-0.41 +11.4 7
2024-10-27 La Louviere L 1-267.4 1646 1653 42.01% 30.09% 27.90%+0.04 -9.5 13
2024-10-27 @ K Lierse SK W 2-167.4 1653 1646 27.90% 30.09% 42.01%-0.04 +9.5 14
2024-11-01 Lommel L 1-363.4 1671 1715 36.73% 30.47% 32.80%-0.20 -14.8 13
2024-11-01 @ Club NXT W 3-163.4 1715 1671 32.80% 30.47% 36.73%+0.20 +14.8 15
2024-11-01 Zulte Waregem W 2-164.8 1720 1736 40.65% 30.23% 29.12%-0.02 +7.3 20
2024-11-01 @ RWD Molenbeek L 1-264.8 1736 1720 29.12% 30.23% 40.65%+0.02 -7.2 19
2024-11-02 Eupen D 2-274.1 1592 1633 37.12% 30.46% 32.42%-0.18 -0.2 6
2024-11-02 @ Anderlecht II D 2-274.1 1633 1592 32.42% 30.46% 37.12%+0.18 +0.2 12
2024-11-02 RFC Liege W 3-159.4 1662 1654 44.11% 29.81% 26.08%+0.14 +11.5 17
2024-11-02 @ La Louviere L 1-359.4 1654 1662 26.08% 29.81% 44.11%-0.14 -11.6 10
2024-11-03 Seraing L 0-158.3 1565 1554 44.30% 29.78% 25.92%+0.15 -10.4 7
2024-11-03 @ Francs Borains W 1-058.3 1554 1565 25.92% 29.78% 44.30%-0.15 +10.4 9
2024-11-08 Lokeren-Temse D 2-274.8 1637 1606 46.98% 29.31% 23.71%+0.28 -0.8 14
2024-11-08 @ K Lierse SK D 2-274.8 1606 1637 23.71% 29.31% 46.98%-0.28 +0.8 8
2024-11-08 RWD Molenbeek W 2-167.2 1642 1727 31.09% 30.39% 38.52%-0.46 +8.9 13
2024-11-08 @ RFC Liege L 1-267.2 1727 1642 38.52% 30.39% 31.09%+0.46 -8.9 20
2024-11-09 Club NXT L 1-262.5 1563 1656 30.05% 30.32% 39.63%-0.51 -7.4 6
2024-11-09 @ Genk II W 2-162.5 1656 1563 39.63% 30.32% 30.05%+0.51 +7.4 16
2024-11-09 Francs Borains W 4-046.3 1647 1554 54.61% 27.22% 18.17%+0.68 +18.4 13
2024-11-09 @ Beveren L 0-446.3 1554 1647 18.17% 27.22% 54.61%-0.68 -18.4 7
2024-11-10 Anderlecht II D 2-272.5 1565 1591 39.27% 30.34% 30.39%-0.09 -0.3 10
2024-11-10 @ Seraing D 2-272.5 1591 1565 30.39% 30.34% 39.27%+0.09 +0.3 7
2024-11-10 La Louviere W 2-161.7 1729 1674 50.07% 28.59% 21.34%+0.44 +5.6 22
2024-11-10 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-261.7 1674 1729 21.34% 28.59% 50.07%-0.44 -5.6 17
2024-11-10 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-454.8 1634 1673 37.53% 30.44% 32.03%-0.16 -33.0 12
2024-11-10 @ Eupen W 4-054.8 1673 1634 32.03% 30.44% 37.53%+0.16 +33.0 16
2024-11-22 Eupen L 0-457.6 1663 1601 50.97% 28.35% 20.68%+0.49 -41.7 16
2024-11-22 @ Club NXT W 4-057.6 1601 1663 20.68% 28.35% 50.97%-0.49 +41.7 15
2024-11-22 Genk II D 2-274.2 1636 1555 53.15% 27.70% 19.15%+0.60 -1.3 15
2024-11-22 @ K Lierse SK D 2-274.2 1555 1636 19.15% 27.70% 53.15%-0.60 +1.3 7
2024-11-23 Anderlecht II L 0-160.6 1607 1592 44.95% 29.68% 25.37%+0.18 -10.6 8
2024-11-23 @ Lokeren-Temse W 1-060.6 1592 1607 25.37% 29.68% 44.95%-0.18 +10.6 10
2024-11-23 Beveren L 0-260.7 1718 1666 49.74% 28.68% 21.58%+0.42 -21.6 20
2024-11-23 @ RWD Molenbeek W 2-060.7 1666 1718 21.58% 28.68% 49.74%-0.42 +21.6 16
2024-11-24 Lommel W 5-159.1 1668 1730 34.29% 30.50% 35.21%-0.31 +26.3 20
2024-11-24 @ La Louviere L 1-559.1 1730 1668 35.21% 30.50% 34.29%+0.31 -26.3 15
2024-11-24 RFC Liege W 2-051.9 1706 1651 50.01% 28.61% 21.38%+0.43 +11.3 19
2024-11-24 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-251.9 1651 1706 21.38% 28.61% 50.01%-0.43 -11.3 13
2024-11-24 Seraing W 5-149.5 1735 1564 63.09% 23.67% 13.25%+1.18 +11.0 25
2024-11-24 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-549.5 1564 1735 13.25% 23.67% 63.09%-1.18 -11.0 10
2024-11-29 Lokeren-Temse D 1-170.3 1704 1596 56.26% 26.62% 17.11%+0.77 -2.0 16
2024-11-29 @ Lommel D 1-170.3 1596 1704 17.11% 26.62% 56.26%-0.77 +2.0 9
2024-11-29 Zulte Waregem L 2-365.6 1557 1746 19.83% 28.01% 52.16%-1.13 -5.0 7
2024-11-29 @ Genk II W 3-265.6 1746 1557 52.16% 28.01% 19.83%+1.13 +5.0 28
2024-11-30 K Lierse SK W 2-053.8 1602 1635 38.47% 30.40% 31.14%-0.12 +15.2 13
2024-11-30 @ Anderlecht II L 0-253.8 1635 1602 31.14% 30.40% 38.47%+0.12 -15.2 15
2024-11-30 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 0-065.6 1687 1717 38.83% 30.37% 30.79%-0.11 -0.4 17
2024-11-30 @ Beveren D 0-065.6 1717 1687 30.79% 30.37% 38.83%+0.11 +0.4 20
2024-12-01 Club NXT L 1-261.4 1536 1621 30.99% 30.39% 38.62%-0.46 -7.6 7
2024-12-01 @ Francs Borains W 2-161.4 1621 1536 38.62% 30.39% 30.99%+0.46 +7.6 19
2024-12-01 La Louviere L 3-474.1 1642 1695 35.63% 30.49% 33.87%-0.25 -7.8 15
2024-12-01 @ Eupen W 4-374.1 1695 1642 33.87% 30.49% 35.63%+0.25 +7.8 23
2024-12-01 RWD Molenbeek D 4-480.6 1553 1697 24.18% 29.42% 46.39%-0.83 +0.6 11
2024-12-01 @ Seraing D 4-480.6 1697 1553 46.39% 29.42% 24.18%+0.83 -0.6 21
2024-12-06 Anderlecht II W 3-050.2 1629 1618 44.46% 29.76% 25.78%+0.16 +19.2 22
2024-12-06 @ Club NXT L 0-350.2 1618 1629 25.78% 29.76% 44.46%-0.16 -19.2 13
2024-12-06 RFC Liege W 2-163.1 1619 1640 40.15% 30.28% 29.57%-0.04 +7.3 18
2024-12-06 @ K Lierse SK L 1-263.1 1640 1619 29.57% 30.28% 40.15%+0.04 -7.3 13
2024-12-07 Genk II W 2-156.8 1702 1552 61.04% 24.63% 14.33%+1.05 +3.8 26
2024-12-07 @ La Louviere L 1-256.8 1552 1702 14.33% 24.63% 61.04%-1.05 -3.8 7
2024-12-07 Beveren W 4-050.2 1751 1687 51.16% 28.30% 20.54%+0.50 +20.7 31
2024-12-07 @ Zulte Waregem L 0-450.2 1687 1751 20.54% 28.30% 51.16%-0.50 -20.7 17
2024-12-08 Eupen W 3-270.0 1528 1635 28.35% 30.15% 41.51%-0.60 +8.9 10
2024-12-08 @ Francs Borains L 2-370.0 1635 1528 41.51% 30.15% 28.35%+0.60 -8.9 15
2024-12-08 Lommel W 4-051.9 1717 1702 45.01% 29.67% 25.32%+0.19 +24.7 23
2024-12-08 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-451.9 1702 1717 25.32% 29.67% 45.01%-0.19 -24.7 16
2024-12-08 RWD Molenbeek L 1-457.6 1598 1696 29.44% 30.26% 40.29%-0.54 -17.9 9
2024-12-08 @ Lokeren-Temse W 4-157.6 1696 1598 40.29% 30.26% 29.44%+0.54 +17.9 24
2024-12-13 K Lierse SK W 1-055.5 1666 1627 48.08% 29.07% 22.84%+0.34 +6.3 20
2024-12-13 @ Beveren L 0-155.5 1627 1666 22.84% 29.07% 48.08%-0.34 -6.3 18
2024-12-13 La Louviere L 0-155.2 1554 1706 23.25% 29.19% 47.56%-0.89 -6.4 11
2024-12-13 @ Seraing W 1-055.2 1706 1554 47.56% 29.19% 23.25%+0.89 +6.4 29
2024-12-14 Francs Borains L 0-160.4 1598 1537 50.83% 28.39% 20.78%+0.48 -11.6 13
2024-12-14 @ Anderlecht II W 1-060.4 1537 1598 20.78% 28.39% 50.83%-0.48 +11.6 13
2024-12-14 Zulte Waregem L 1-265.0 1677 1771 29.84% 30.30% 39.86%-0.52 -7.4 16
2024-12-14 @ Lommel W 2-165.0 1771 1677 39.86% 30.30% 29.84%+0.52 +7.4 34
2024-12-15 Club NXT W 1-055.3 1714 1648 51.37% 28.24% 20.39%+0.51 +5.7 27
2024-12-15 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-155.3 1648 1714 20.39% 28.24% 51.37%-0.51 -5.7 22
2024-12-15 Lokeren-Temse L 0-162.0 1632 1580 49.66% 28.70% 21.64%+0.42 -11.4 13
2024-12-15 @ RFC Liege W 1-062.0 1580 1632 21.64% 28.70% 49.66%-0.42 +11.4 12
2024-12-15 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 1-356.4 1548 1742 19.41% 27.83% 52.76%-1.16 -9.0 7
2024-12-15 @ Genk II W 3-156.4 1742 1548 52.76% 27.83% 19.41%+1.16 +9.0 26
2024-12-20 Genk II D 2-270.6 1549 1539 44.24% 29.79% 25.97%+0.15 -0.7 14
2024-12-20 @ Francs Borains D 2-270.6 1539 1549 25.97% 29.79% 44.24%-0.15 +0.7 8
2024-12-20 Zulte Waregem L 0-351.8 1642 1779 24.89% 29.58% 45.53%-0.79 -18.7 22
2024-12-20 @ Club NXT W 3-051.8 1779 1642 45.53% 29.58% 24.89%+0.79 +18.6 37
2024-12-21 RFC Liege L 0-161.2 1626 1621 43.57% 29.89% 26.54%+0.12 -10.3 15
2024-12-21 @ Eupen W 1-061.2 1621 1626 26.54% 29.89% 43.57%-0.12 +10.3 16
2024-12-21 RWD Molenbeek D 0-065.9 1713 1720 41.98% 30.10% 27.93%+0.04 -0.7 30
2024-12-21 @ La Louviere D 0-065.9 1720 1713 27.93% 30.10% 41.98%-0.04 +0.7 28
2024-12-22 Lommel W 1-059.1 1620 1670 36.07% 30.49% 33.44%-0.23 +8.5 21
2024-12-22 @ K Lierse SK L 0-159.1 1670 1620 33.44% 30.49% 36.07%+0.23 -8.5 16
2024-12-22 Seraing L 2-377.7 1751 1548 66.42% 21.97% 11.61%+1.39 -12.8 26
2024-12-22 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen W 3-277.7 1548 1751 11.61% 21.97% 66.42%-1.39 +12.8 14
2024-12-22 Beveren L 0-158.1 1592 1672 31.67% 30.42% 37.90%-0.43 -8.2 12
2024-12-22 @ Lokeren-Temse W 1-058.1 1672 1592 37.90% 30.42% 31.67%+0.43 +8.2 23
2025-01-11 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen W 3-267.6 1798 1738 50.58% 28.46% 20.96%+0.46 +5.3 40
2025-01-11 @ Zulte Waregem L 2-367.6 1738 1798 20.96% 28.46% 50.58%-0.46 -5.3 26
2025-01-11 RFC Liege W 2-160.1 1720 1631 54.16% 27.37% 18.46%+0.66 +4.9 31
2025-01-11 @ RWD Molenbeek L 1-260.1 1631 1720 18.46% 27.37% 54.16%-0.66 -4.9 16
2025-01-12 La Louviere D 0-065.5 1681 1712 38.61% 30.39% 31.00%-0.12 -0.4 24
2025-01-12 @ Beveren D 0-065.5 1712 1681 31.00% 30.39% 38.61%+0.12 +0.4 31
2025-01-17 Lokeren-Temse W 4-151.7 1733 1584 60.88% 24.71% 14.41%+1.04 +9.4 29
2025-01-17 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 1-451.7 1584 1733 14.41% 24.71% 60.88%-1.04 -9.4 12
2025-01-18 Anderlecht II D 2-276.7 1712 1587 58.31% 25.82% 15.87%+0.89 -1.6 32
2025-01-18 @ La Louviere D 2-276.7 1587 1712 15.87% 25.82% 58.31%-0.89 +1.6 14
2025-01-18 RWD Molenbeek L 0-157.9 1615 1725 27.92% 30.09% 41.98%-0.62 -7.5 15
2025-01-18 @ Eupen W 1-057.9 1725 1615 41.98% 30.09% 27.92%+0.62 +7.5 34
2025-01-18 Beveren D 0-063.7 1548 1680 25.35% 29.68% 44.97%-0.76 +1.0 15
2025-01-18 @ Francs Borains D 0-063.7 1680 1548 44.97% 29.68% 25.35%+0.76 -1.0 25
2025-01-19 Club NXT L 1-363.8 1629 1624 43.62% 29.88% 26.50%+0.12 -16.9 21
2025-01-19 @ K Lierse SK W 3-163.8 1624 1629 26.50% 29.88% 43.62%-0.12 +16.9 25
2025-01-19 Seraing D 2-270.8 1540 1560 40.07% 30.28% 29.65%-0.05 -0.4 9
2025-01-19 @ Genk II D 2-270.8 1560 1540 29.65% 30.28% 40.07%+0.05 +0.4 15
2025-01-19 Zulte Waregem D 1-170.9 1626 1803 20.94% 28.45% 50.62%-1.05 +1.5 17
2025-01-19 @ RFC Liege D 1-170.9 1803 1626 50.62% 28.45% 20.94%+1.05 -1.5 41
2025-01-24 Genk II W 1-050.0 1733 1539 65.45% 22.47% 12.07%+1.33 +3.3 37
2025-01-24 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-150.0 1539 1733 12.07% 22.47% 65.45%-1.33 -3.3 9
2025-01-24 K Lierse SK D 1-167.1 1574 1612 37.70% 30.43% 31.86%-0.16 -0.3 13
2025-01-24 @ Lokeren-Temse D 1-167.1 1612 1574 31.86% 30.43% 37.70%+0.16 +0.3 22
2025-01-25 Eupen W 3-262.6 1801 1608 65.43% 22.48% 12.08%+1.32 +3.0 44
2025-01-25 @ Zulte Waregem L 2-362.6 1608 1801 12.08% 22.48% 65.43%-1.32 -3.0 15
2025-01-25 Francs Borains D 1-165.2 1561 1549 44.50% 29.75% 25.75%+0.16 -0.9 16
2025-01-25 @ Seraing D 1-165.2 1549 1561 25.75% 29.75% 44.50%-0.16 +0.9 16
2025-01-25 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 1-169.9 1588 1742 23.07% 29.14% 47.79%-0.90 +1.2 15
2025-01-25 @ Anderlecht II D 1-169.9 1742 1588 47.79% 29.14% 23.07%+0.90 -1.2 30
2025-01-26 La Louviere W 2-166.4 1641 1711 33.11% 30.48% 36.41%-0.36 +8.5 28
2025-01-26 @ Club NXT L 1-266.4 1711 1641 36.41% 30.48% 33.11%+0.36 -8.5 32
2025-01-26 RFC Liege L 0-259.1 1661 1628 47.32% 29.24% 23.45%+0.30 -20.7 16
2025-01-26 @ Lommel W 2-059.1 1628 1661 23.45% 29.24% 47.32%-0.30 +20.7 20
2025-01-28 Eupen D 0-062.4 1574 1605 38.67% 30.38% 30.95%-0.11 -0.4 14
2025-01-28 @ Lokeren-Temse D 0-062.4 1605 1574 30.95% 30.38% 38.67%+0.11 +0.4 16
2025-01-28 Genk II W 4-151.1 1590 1536 49.89% 28.64% 21.47%+0.43 +13.9 18
2025-01-28 @ Anderlecht II L 1-451.1 1536 1590 21.47% 28.64% 49.89%-0.43 -13.9 9
2025-01-28 K Lierse SK L 0-253.7 1560 1612 35.61% 30.49% 33.89%-0.25 -16.8 16
2025-01-28 @ Seraing W 2-053.7 1612 1560 33.89% 30.49% 35.61%+0.25 +16.8 25
2025-01-29 Francs Borains L 1-268.3 1640 1550 54.31% 27.32% 18.37%+0.66 -11.6 16
2025-01-29 @ Lommel W 2-168.3 1550 1640 18.37% 27.32% 54.31%-0.66 +11.6 19
2025-01-31 Seraing W 2-157.0 1648 1543 56.04% 26.71% 17.25%+0.76 +4.6 23
2025-01-31 @ RFC Liege L 1-257.0 1543 1648 17.25% 26.71% 56.04%-0.76 -4.6 16
2025-02-01 Club NXT L 2-370.6 1603 1649 36.58% 30.48% 32.95%-0.21 -8.1 18
2025-02-01 @ Anderlecht II W 3-270.6 1649 1603 32.95% 30.48% 36.58%+0.21 +8.1 31
2025-02-01 Lommel W 3-268.2 1605 1629 39.71% 30.31% 29.98%-0.07 +7.0 19
2025-02-01 @ Eupen L 2-368.2 1629 1605 29.98% 30.31% 39.71%+0.07 -7.0 16
2025-02-01 RWD Molenbeek D 0-065.4 1629 1736 28.28% 30.14% 41.58%-0.60 +0.7 26
2025-02-01 @ K Lierse SK D 0-065.4 1736 1629 41.58% 30.14% 28.28%+0.60 -0.7 38
2025-02-02 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 1-357.1 1562 1741 20.66% 28.34% 50.99%-1.07 -9.5 19
2025-02-02 @ Francs Borains W 3-157.1 1741 1562 50.99% 28.34% 20.66%+1.07 +9.5 33
2025-02-02 Beveren D 3-378.1 1522 1679 22.75% 29.04% 48.21%-0.92 +0.8 10
2025-02-02 @ Genk II D 3-378.1 1679 1522 48.21% 29.04% 22.75%+0.92 -0.8 26
2025-02-02 Zulte Waregem D 0-066.2 1702 1804 28.88% 30.21% 40.91%-0.57 +0.6 33
2025-02-02 @ La Louviere D 0-066.2 1804 1702 40.91% 30.21% 28.88%+0.57 -0.6 45
2025-02-07 Club NXT L 0-256.5 1622 1657 38.03% 30.42% 31.55%-0.14 -17.6 16
2025-02-07 @ Lommel W 2-056.5 1657 1622 31.55% 30.42% 38.03%+0.14 +17.6 34
2025-02-08 Anderlecht II W 1-052.4 1735 1595 59.89% 25.15% 14.96%+0.98 +4.2 41
2025-02-08 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-152.4 1595 1735 14.96% 25.15% 59.89%-0.98 -4.2 18
2025-02-08 Francs Borains L 0-163.1 1653 1552 55.55% 26.89% 17.56%+0.73 -12.5 23
2025-02-08 @ RFC Liege W 1-063.1 1552 1653 17.56% 26.89% 55.55%-0.73 +12.5 22
2025-02-08 Genk II W 1-049.0 1751 1523 68.78% 20.68% 10.54%+1.54 +2.8 36
2025-02-08 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-149.0 1523 1751 10.54% 20.68% 68.78%-1.54 -2.8 10
2025-02-09 K Lierse SK L 1-362.8 1612 1630 40.55% 30.24% 29.21%-0.03 -16.0 19
2025-02-09 @ Eupen W 3-162.8 1630 1612 29.21% 30.24% 40.55%+0.03 +16.0 29
2025-02-09 La Louviere L 0-551.6 1574 1703 25.69% 29.74% 44.57%-0.74 -30.8 14
2025-02-09 @ Lokeren-Temse W 5-051.6 1703 1574 44.57% 29.74% 25.69%+0.74 +30.8 36
2025-02-09 Beveren L 0-251.1 1539 1678 24.52% 29.50% 45.98%-0.81 -12.7 16
2025-02-09 @ Seraing W 2-051.1 1678 1539 45.98% 29.50% 24.52%+0.81 +12.7 29
2025-02-14 Zulte Waregem D 0-066.3 1646 1804 22.68% 29.02% 48.30%-0.93 +1.4 30
2025-02-14 @ K Lierse SK D 0-066.3 1804 1646 48.30% 29.02% 22.68%+0.93 -1.4 46
2025-02-15 Lommel W 5-051.1 1591 1604 41.15% 30.18% 28.67%+0.00 +33.5 21
2025-02-15 @ Anderlecht II L 0-551.1 1604 1591 28.67% 30.18% 41.15%+0.00 -33.5 16
2025-02-15 RFC Liege W 3-157.9 1691 1641 49.48% 28.74% 21.78%+0.41 +9.9 32
2025-02-15 @ Beveren L 1-357.9 1641 1691 21.78% 28.74% 49.48%-0.41 -9.9 23
2025-02-15 Seraing W 4-149.1 1734 1526 66.85% 21.74% 11.41%+1.42 +7.2 39
2025-02-15 @ La Louviere L 1-449.1 1526 1734 11.41% 21.74% 66.85%-1.42 -7.2 16
2025-02-16 Eupen D 0-060.6 1520 1596 32.22% 30.45% 37.33%-0.41 +0.3 11
2025-02-16 @ Genk II D 0-060.6 1596 1520 37.33% 30.45% 32.22%+0.41 -0.3 20
2025-02-16 Lokeren-Temse L 1-264.1 1565 1543 45.81% 29.53% 24.66%+0.22 -10.1 22
2025-02-16 @ Francs Borains W 2-164.1 1543 1565 24.66% 29.53% 45.81%-0.22 +10.1 17
2025-02-16 RWD Molenbeek L 0-160.4 1675 1740 33.84% 30.49% 35.66%-0.33 -8.6 34
2025-02-16 @ Club NXT W 1-060.4 1740 1675 35.66% 30.49% 33.84%+0.33 +8.6 44
2025-02-21 Francs Borains W 1-050.4 1748 1554 65.47% 22.46% 12.06%+1.33 +3.3 47
2025-02-21 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-150.4 1554 1748 12.06% 22.46% 65.47%-1.33 -3.3 22
2025-02-21 Genk II W 3-150.6 1802 1520 73.68% 17.83% 8.49%+1.89 +3.5 49
2025-02-21 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-350.6 1520 1802 8.49% 17.83% 73.68%-1.89 -3.5 11
2025-02-22 Anderlecht II D 2-274.0 1596 1625 39.01% 30.36% 30.63%-0.10 -0.3 21
2025-02-22 @ Eupen D 2-274.0 1625 1596 30.63% 30.36% 39.01%+0.10 +0.3 22
2025-02-22 Club NXT W 2-166.2 1553 1666 27.52% 30.04% 42.44%-0.64 +9.5 20
2025-02-22 @ Lokeren-Temse L 1-266.2 1666 1553 42.44% 30.04% 27.52%+0.64 -9.5 34
2025-02-22 Beveren L 1-262.0 1571 1701 25.56% 29.72% 44.72%-0.75 -6.6 16
2025-02-22 @ Lommel W 2-162.0 1701 1571 44.72% 29.72% 25.56%+0.75 +6.6 35
2025-02-23 K Lierse SK W 2-163.3 1631 1647 40.68% 30.23% 29.09%-0.02 +7.2 26
2025-02-23 @ RFC Liege L 1-263.3 1647 1631 29.09% 30.23% 40.68%+0.02 -7.2 30
2025-02-23 La Louviere D 1-170.8 1753 1741 44.62% 29.73% 25.65%+0.17 -0.9 37
2025-02-23 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 1-170.8 1741 1753 25.65% 29.73% 44.62%-0.17 +0.9 40
2025-02-28 Eupen W 2-048.6 1742 1596 60.51% 24.87% 14.62%+1.02 +7.8 43
2025-02-28 @ La Louviere L 0-248.6 1596 1742 14.62% 24.87% 60.51%-1.02 -7.8 21
2025-02-28 Zulte Waregem W 3-273.9 1708 1806 29.37% 30.26% 40.37%-0.54 +8.7 38
2025-02-28 @ Beveren L 2-373.9 1806 1708 40.37% 30.26% 29.37%+0.54 -8.7 49
2025-03-01 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-159.0 1657 1752 29.68% 30.29% 40.04%-0.53 -7.8 34
2025-03-01 @ Club NXT W 1-059.0 1752 1657 40.04% 30.29% 29.68%+0.53 +7.8 40
2025-03-01 RFC Liege L 2-467.4 1625 1638 41.16% 30.18% 28.66%+0.00 -14.4 22
2025-03-01 @ Anderlecht II W 4-267.4 1638 1625 28.66% 30.18% 41.16%+0.00 +14.4 29
2025-03-02 K Lierse SK W 1-058.9 1551 1640 30.58% 30.36% 39.06%-0.48 +9.5 25
2025-03-02 @ Francs Borains L 0-158.9 1640 1551 39.06% 30.36% 30.58%+0.48 -9.5 30
2025-03-02 Lokeren-Temse L 1-260.7 1517 1562 36.56% 30.48% 32.96%-0.21 -8.5 11
2025-03-02 @ Genk II W 2-160.7 1562 1517 32.96% 30.48% 36.56%+0.21 +8.5 23
2025-03-02 Seraing D 2-270.7 1564 1519 48.86% 28.89% 22.25%+0.38 -1.0 17
2025-03-02 @ Lommel D 2-270.7 1519 1564 22.25% 28.89% 48.86%-0.38 +1.0 17
2025-03-07 Club NXT L 2-365.3 1520 1649 25.68% 29.74% 44.58%-0.74 -6.2 17
2025-03-07 @ Seraing W 3-265.3 1649 1520 44.58% 29.74% 25.68%+0.74 +6.2 37
2025-03-08 Anderlecht II W 3-157.8 1630 1611 45.57% 29.57% 24.86%+0.21 +11.1 33
2025-03-08 @ K Lierse SK L 1-357.8 1611 1630 24.86% 29.57% 45.57%-0.21 -11.1 22
2025-03-08 Francs Borains W 3-155.4 1588 1561 46.57% 29.39% 24.05%+0.26 +10.8 24
2025-03-08 @ Eupen L 1-355.4 1561 1588 24.05% 29.39% 46.57%-0.26 -10.8 25
2025-03-08 Lommel L 0-167.6 1797 1563 69.35% 20.36% 10.29%+1.58 -14.7 49
2025-03-08 @ Zulte Waregem W 1-067.6 1563 1797 10.29% 20.36% 69.35%-1.58 +14.7 20
2025-03-09 Lokeren-Temse W 1-051.0 1752 1571 64.13% 23.15% 12.72%+1.24 +3.5 50
2025-03-09 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-151.0 1571 1752 12.72% 23.15% 64.13%-1.24 -3.5 23
2025-03-09 La Louviere D 1-170.2 1652 1749 29.51% 30.27% 40.22%-0.54 +0.5 30
2025-03-09 @ RFC Liege D 1-170.2 1749 1652 40.22% 30.27% 29.51%+0.54 -0.5 44
2025-03-09 Beveren L 1-270.4 1760 1716 48.68% 28.94% 22.39%+0.37 -10.6 40
2025-03-09 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen W 2-170.4 1716 1760 22.39% 28.94% 48.68%-0.37 +10.6 41
2025-03-14 Genk II W 3-043.5 1655 1508 60.64% 24.81% 14.55%+1.03 +11.2 40
2025-03-14 @ Club NXT L 0-343.5 1508 1655 14.55% 24.81% 60.64%-1.03 -11.2 11
2025-03-14 K Lierse SK W 2-159.8 1749 1642 56.27% 26.62% 17.11%+0.77 +4.6 47
2025-03-14 @ La Louviere L 1-259.8 1642 1749 17.11% 26.62% 56.27%-0.77 -4.6 33
2025-03-14 RWD Molenbeek L 0-258.5 1727 1755 39.05% 30.36% 30.59%-0.10 -17.9 41
2025-03-14 @ Beveren W 2-058.5 1755 1727 30.59% 30.36% 39.05%+0.10 +17.9 53
2025-03-15 Seraing D 1-166.0 1599 1513 53.80% 27.49% 18.71%+0.64 -1.8 23
2025-03-15 @ Anderlecht II D 1-166.0 1513 1599 18.71% 27.49% 53.80%-0.64 +1.8 18
2025-03-15 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-155.3 1578 1750 21.36% 28.60% 50.04%-1.02 -6.0 20
2025-03-15 @ Lommel W 1-055.3 1750 1578 50.04% 28.60% 21.36%+1.02 +6.0 43
2025-03-15 RFC Liege W 2-165.2 1567 1653 31.03% 30.39% 38.58%-0.46 +8.9 26
2025-03-15 @ Lokeren-Temse L 1-265.2 1653 1567 38.58% 30.39% 31.03%+0.46 -8.9 30
2025-03-15 Zulte Waregem L 1-355.6 1550 1782 16.53% 26.27% 57.20%-1.40 -7.7 25
2025-03-15 @ Francs Borains W 3-155.6 1782 1550 57.20% 26.27% 16.53%+1.40 +7.7 52
2025-03-28 Seraing W 3-042.7 1773 1515 71.54% 19.10% 9.36%+1.74 +6.7 56
2025-03-28 @ RWD Molenbeek L 0-342.7 1515 1773 9.36% 19.10% 71.54%-1.74 -6.7 18
2025-03-29 Anderlecht II W 3-153.7 1790 1598 65.33% 22.54% 12.13%+1.32 +5.5 55
2025-03-29 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-353.7 1598 1790 12.13% 22.54% 65.33%-1.32 -5.5 23
2025-03-29 La Louviere L 0-151.3 1497 1754 14.98% 25.16% 59.86%-1.56 -4.2 11
2025-03-29 @ Genk II W 1-051.3 1754 1497 59.86% 25.16% 14.98%+1.56 +4.2 50
2025-03-29 Beveren L 0-159.5 1637 1709 32.83% 30.47% 36.70%-0.38 -8.4 33
2025-03-29 @ K Lierse SK W 1-059.5 1709 1637 36.70% 30.47% 32.83%+0.38 +8.4 44
2025-03-30 Club NXT W 1-059.5 1599 1666 33.47% 30.49% 36.04%-0.35 +9.0 27
2025-03-30 @ Eupen L 0-159.5 1666 1599 36.04% 30.49% 33.47%+0.35 -9.0 40
2025-03-30 Lommel W 1-053.9 1576 1572 43.53% 29.90% 26.57%+0.11 +7.2 29
2025-03-30 @ Lokeren-Temse L 0-153.9 1572 1576 26.57% 29.90% 43.53%-0.11 -7.2 20
2025-03-30 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 2-276.4 1644 1756 27.71% 30.07% 42.22%-0.63 +0.5 31
2025-03-30 @ RFC Liege D 2-276.4 1756 1644 42.22% 30.07% 27.71%+0.63 -0.5 44
2025-04-04 Eupen W 3-047.7 1717 1608 56.50% 26.53% 16.96%+0.79 +13.2 47
2025-04-04 @ Beveren L 0-347.7 1608 1717 16.96% 26.53% 56.50%-0.79 -13.2 27
2025-04-04 RWD Molenbeek D 1-170.8 1755 1780 39.57% 30.32% 30.11%-0.07 -0.4 45
2025-04-04 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 1-170.8 1780 1755 30.11% 30.32% 39.57%+0.07 +0.4 57
2025-04-05 Genk II W 2-044.7 1565 1493 52.13% 28.02% 19.85%+0.55 +10.6 23
2025-04-05 @ Lommel L 0-244.7 1493 1565 19.85% 28.02% 52.13%-0.55 -10.6 11
2025-04-05 Lokeren-Temse L 0-256.2 1592 1584 44.09% 29.82% 26.10%+0.14 -19.6 23
2025-04-05 @ Anderlecht II W 2-056.2 1584 1592 26.10% 29.82% 44.09%-0.14 +19.6 32
2025-04-05 RFC Liege W 2-162.4 1657 1644 44.65% 29.73% 25.62%+0.17 +6.6 43
2025-04-05 @ Club NXT L 1-262.4 1644 1657 25.62% 29.73% 44.65%-0.17 -6.6 31
2025-04-06 Francs Borains W 2-155.5 1758 1542 67.61% 21.32% 11.06%+1.47 +2.8 53
2025-04-06 @ La Louviere L 1-255.5 1542 1758 11.06% 21.32% 67.61%-1.47 -2.8 25
2025-04-06 Zulte Waregem D 0-066.7 1508 1795 13.26% 23.68% 63.06%-1.75 +2.9 19
2025-04-06 @ Seraing D 0-066.7 1795 1508 63.06% 23.68% 13.26%+1.75 -2.9 56
2025-04-11 Lommel L 0-167.1 1780 1575 66.56% 21.89% 11.55%+1.40 -14.3 57
2025-04-11 @ RWD Molenbeek W 1-067.1 1575 1780 11.55% 21.89% 66.56%-1.40 +14.3 26
2025-04-11 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen W 1-063.0 1629 1755 26.02% 29.80% 44.17%-0.72 +10.4 36
2025-04-11 @ K Lierse SK L 0-163.0 1755 1629 44.17% 29.80% 26.02%+0.72 -10.4 45
2025-04-12 Seraing W 2-155.4 1595 1511 53.47% 27.60% 18.93%+0.62 +5.0 30
2025-04-12 @ Eupen L 1-255.4 1511 1595 18.93% 27.60% 53.47%-0.62 -5.1 19
2025-04-12 Zulte Waregem W 2-061.3 1603 1793 19.82% 28.00% 52.18%-1.13 +22.4 35
2025-04-12 @ Lokeren-Temse L 0-261.3 1793 1603 52.18% 28.00% 19.82%+1.13 -22.4 56
2025-04-13 Anderlecht II W 3-265.6 1539 1573 38.34% 30.40% 31.26%-0.13 +7.2 28
2025-04-13 @ Francs Borains L 2-365.6 1573 1539 31.26% 30.40% 38.34%+0.13 -7.2 23
2025-04-13 Club NXT D 2-276.9 1731 1664 51.47% 28.21% 20.32%+0.51 -1.2 48
2025-04-13 @ Beveren D 2-276.9 1664 1731 20.32% 28.21% 51.47%-0.51 +1.2 44
2025-04-13 Genk II W 3-150.1 1638 1482 61.58% 24.39% 14.04%+1.08 +6.4 34
2025-04-13 @ RFC Liege L 1-350.1 1482 1638 14.04% 24.39% 61.58%-1.08 -6.4 11
2025-04-18 Francs Borains W 2-047.6 1665 1547 57.53% 26.14% 16.34%+0.84 +8.7 47
2025-04-18 @ Club NXT L 0-247.6 1547 1665 16.34% 26.14% 57.53%-0.84 -8.7 28
2025-04-18 La Louviere L 1-261.3 1590 1761 21.44% 28.63% 49.93%-1.01 -5.7 26
2025-04-18 @ Lommel W 2-161.3 1761 1590 49.93% 28.63% 21.44%+1.01 +5.7 56
2025-04-18 RWD Molenbeek W 2-164.3 1770 1766 43.52% 29.90% 26.58%+0.11 +6.8 59
2025-04-18 @ Zulte Waregem L 1-264.3 1766 1770 26.58% 29.90% 43.52%-0.11 -6.8 57
2025-04-18 Beveren L 0-449.6 1565 1729 22.09% 28.84% 49.07%-0.97 -22.0 23
2025-04-18 @ Anderlecht II W 4-049.6 1729 1565 49.07% 28.84% 22.09%+0.97 +22.0 51
2025-04-18 Eupen W 1-052.4 1744 1600 60.38% 24.93% 14.69%+1.01 +4.2 48
2025-04-18 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen L 0-152.4 1600 1744 14.69% 24.93% 60.38%-1.01 -4.2 30
2025-04-18 K Lierse SK L 1-353.7 1476 1639 22.16% 28.87% 48.97%-0.96 -10.1 11
2025-04-18 @ Genk II W 3-153.7 1639 1476 48.97% 28.87% 22.16%+0.96 +10.1 39
2025-04-18 Lokeren-Temse L 0-447.9 1506 1626 26.82% 29.94% 43.24%-0.68 -25.8 19
2025-04-18 @ Seraing W 4-047.9 1626 1506 43.24% 29.94% 26.82%+0.68 +25.9 38
2025-08-25 RFC Liege W 4-159.4 1466 1644 20.73% 28.37% 50.90%-1.06 +26.9 14
2025-08-25 @ Genk II L 1-459.4 1644 1466 50.90% 28.37% 20.73%+1.06 -26.9 34
2025-09-01 Lommel L 1-257.7 1480 1584 28.71% 30.19% 41.10%-0.58 -7.2 19
2025-09-01 @ Seraing W 2-157.7 1584 1480 41.10% 30.19% 28.71%+0.58 +7.2 29
2025-09-22 Lokeren-Temse W 2-050.2 1766 1651 57.11% 26.30% 16.59%+0.82 +8.9 59
2025-09-22 @ La Louviere L 0-250.2 1651 1766 16.59% 26.30% 57.11%-0.82 -8.9 38
2025-11-03 Genk II W 4-042.6 1643 1492 60.96% 24.67% 14.37%+1.05 +14.5 41
2025-11-03 @ Lokeren-Temse L 0-442.6 1492 1643 14.37% 24.67% 60.96%-1.05 -14.5 14
2025-11-03 K Lierse SK D 3-381.4 1748 1649 55.36% 26.96% 17.69%+0.72 -1.2 49
2025-11-03 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen D 3-381.4 1649 1748 17.69% 26.96% 55.36%-0.72 +1.2 40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-03-08 10.29% Lommel 1563 1 @ Zulte Waregem 1797 0
2 2025-04-11 11.55% Lommel 1575 1 @ RWD Molenbeek 1780 0
3 2024-12-22 11.61% Seraing 1548 3 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1751 2
4 2025-02-08 17.56% Francs Borains 1552 1 @ RFC Liege 1653 0
5 2025-01-29 18.37% Francs Borains 1550 2 @ Lommel 1640 1
6 2024-08-18 18.41% K Lierse SK 1610 1 @ Zulte Waregem 1700 0
7 2024-10-05 19.09% Lokeren-Temse 1594 1 @ Beveren 1676 0
8 2025-04-12 19.82% @ Lokeren-Temse 1603 2 Zulte Waregem 1793 0
9 2024-10-20 20.49% Seraing 1542 1 @ Lokeren-Temse 1606 0
10 2024-11-22 20.68% Eupen 1601 4 @ Club NXT 1663 0
11 2025-08-25 20.73% @ Genk II 1466 4 RFC Liege 1644 1
12 2024-12-14 20.78% Francs Borains 1537 1 @ Anderlecht II 1598 0
13 2024-11-23 21.58% Beveren 1666 2 @ RWD Molenbeek 1718 0
14 2024-12-15 21.64% Lokeren-Temse 1580 1 @ RFC Liege 1632 0
15 2024-10-27 21.80% Lokeren-Temse 1595 1 @ Eupen 1645 0
16 2025-03-09 22.39% Beveren 1716 2 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1760 1
17 2024-10-20 23.44% @ Anderlecht II 1580 2 RWD Molenbeek 1730 1
18 2025-01-26 23.45% RFC Liege 1628 2 @ Lommel 1661 0
19 2024-08-25 23.75% RWD Molenbeek 1660 2 @ Lommel 1690 0
20 2025-02-16 24.66% Lokeren-Temse 1543 2 @ Francs Borains 1565 1
21 2024-08-18 24.84% Eupen 1641 3 @ RFC Liege 1661 0
22 2024-11-23 25.37% Anderlecht II 1592 1 @ Lokeren-Temse 1607 0
23 2024-09-01 25.80% Francs Borains 1620 2 @ Genk II 1631 1
24 2024-11-03 25.92% Seraing 1554 1 @ Francs Borains 1565 0
25 2025-04-11 26.02% @ K Lierse SK 1629 1 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1755 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2024-11-22 41.73 Eupen 4 1601 20.68% @ Club NXT 0 1663 50.97% 28.35%
2 2025-02-15 33.53 @ Anderlecht II 5 1591 41.15% Lommel 0 1604 28.67% 30.18%
3 2024-11-10 33.02 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 4 1673 32.03% @ Eupen 0 1634 37.53% 30.44%
4 2025-02-09 30.80 La Louviere 5 1703 44.57% @ Lokeren-Temse 0 1574 25.69% 29.74%
5 2024-08-18 29.24 Eupen 3 1641 24.84% @ RFC Liege 0 1661 45.59% 29.57%
6 2024-10-25 27.84 Lommel 4 1687 40.16% @ Genk II 0 1591 29.56% 30.28%
7 2024-08-17 27.52 @ Club NXT 4 1621 40.66% Lokeren-Temse 0 1637 29.11% 30.23%
8 2025-08-25 26.91 @ Genk II 4 1466 20.73% RFC Liege 1 1644 50.90% 28.37%
9 2024-11-24 26.29 @ La Louviere 5 1668 34.29% Lommel 1 1730 35.21% 30.50%
10 2025-04-18 25.85 Lokeren-Temse 4 1626 43.24% @ Seraing 0 1506 26.82% 29.94%
11 2024-12-08 24.70 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 4 1717 45.01% Lommel 0 1702 25.32% 29.67%
12 2024-09-29 24.66 RFC Liege 3 1622 33.26% @ Seraing 0 1574 36.26% 30.48%
13 2025-04-12 22.41 @ Lokeren-Temse 2 1603 19.82% Zulte Waregem 0 1793 52.18% 28.00%
14 2024-10-06 22.40 @ K Lierse SK 4 1636 48.53% Francs Borains 0 1593 22.50% 28.97%
15 2024-09-21 22.37 @ K Lierse SK 3 1612 37.98% Eupen 0 1648 31.59% 30.42%
16 2025-04-18 22.05 Beveren 4 1729 49.07% @ Anderlecht II 0 1565 22.09% 28.84%
17 2024-09-21 21.93 RWD Molenbeek 3 1703 38.89% @ Genk II 0 1616 30.74% 30.37%
18 2024-11-23 21.57 Beveren 2 1666 21.58% @ RWD Molenbeek 0 1718 49.74% 28.68%
19 2025-01-26 20.73 RFC Liege 2 1628 23.45% @ Lommel 0 1661 47.32% 29.24%
20 2024-12-07 20.68 @ Zulte Waregem 4 1751 51.16% Beveren 0 1687 20.54% 28.30%
21 2024-08-25 20.60 RWD Molenbeek 2 1660 23.75% @ Lommel 0 1690 46.94% 29.32%
22 2025-04-05 19.63 Lokeren-Temse 2 1584 26.10% @ Anderlecht II 0 1592 44.09% 29.82%
23 2024-12-06 19.18 @ Club NXT 3 1629 44.46% Anderlecht II 0 1618 25.78% 29.76%
24 2024-09-29 18.82 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 2 1664 28.13% @ La Louviere 0 1655 41.75% 30.12%
25 2024-12-20 18.65 Zulte Waregem 3 1779 45.53% @ Club NXT 0 1642 24.89% 29.58%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-11-03 81.4 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 3 1748 55.36% K Lierse SK 3 1649 17.69% 26.96%
2 2024-12-01 80.6 @ Seraing 4 1553 24.18% RWD Molenbeek 4 1697 46.39% 29.42%
3 2024-09-14 78.6 @ RFC Liege 3 1632 47.38% Anderlecht II 3 1598 23.40% 29.22%
4 2025-02-02 78.1 @ Genk II 3 1522 22.75% Beveren 3 1679 48.21% 29.04%
5 2024-12-22 77.7 Seraing 3 1548 11.61% @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 2 1751 66.42% 21.97%
6 2024-10-26 77.4 @ Zulte Waregem 2 1738 63.65% Francs Borains 2 1563 12.96% 23.39%
7 2025-04-13 76.9 @ Beveren 2 1731 51.47% Club NXT 2 1664 20.32% 28.21%
8 2025-01-18 76.7 @ La Louviere 2 1712 58.31% Anderlecht II 2 1587 15.87% 25.82%
9 2025-03-30 76.4 @ RFC Liege 2 1644 27.71% Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 2 1756 42.22% 30.07%
10 2024-08-23 76.0 @ Eupen 2 1670 40.44% Beveren 2 1688 29.31% 30.25%
11 2024-08-31 75.4 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 2 1649 42.97% Club NXT 2 1649 27.05% 29.97%
12 2024-11-08 74.8 @ K Lierse SK 2 1637 46.98% Lokeren-Temse 2 1606 23.71% 29.31%
13 2024-09-13 74.4 @ Lokeren-Temse 2 1594 35.33% Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 2 1649 34.17% 30.50%
14 2024-11-22 74.2 @ K Lierse SK 2 1636 53.15% Genk II 2 1555 19.15% 27.70%
15 2024-11-02 74.1 @ Anderlecht II 2 1592 37.12% Eupen 2 1633 32.42% 30.46%
16 2024-12-01 74.1 La Louviere 4 1695 33.87% @ Eupen 3 1642 35.63% 30.49%
17 2025-02-22 74.0 @ Eupen 2 1596 39.01% Anderlecht II 2 1625 30.63% 30.36%
18 2025-02-28 73.9 @ Beveren 3 1708 29.37% Zulte Waregem 2 1806 40.37% 30.26%
19 2024-11-10 72.5 @ Seraing 2 1565 39.27% Anderlecht II 2 1591 30.39% 30.34%
20 2024-10-05 70.9 @ RWD Molenbeek 1 1732 54.94% La Louviere 1 1636 17.96% 27.11%
21 2025-01-19 70.9 @ RFC Liege 1 1626 20.94% Zulte Waregem 1 1803 50.62% 28.45%
22 2025-01-19 70.8 @ Genk II 2 1540 40.07% Seraing 2 1560 29.65% 30.28%
23 2025-02-23 70.8 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1 1753 44.62% La Louviere 1 1741 25.65% 29.73%
24 2025-04-04 70.8 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1 1755 39.57% RWD Molenbeek 1 1780 30.11% 30.32%
25 2025-03-02 70.7 @ Lommel 2 1564 48.86% Seraing 2 1519 22.25% 28.89%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-11-03 42.6 @ Lokeren-Temse 4 1643 60.96% Genk II 0 1492 14.37% 24.67%
2 2025-03-28 42.7 @ RWD Molenbeek 3 1773 71.54% Seraing 0 1515 9.36% 19.10%
3 2025-03-14 43.5 @ Club NXT 3 1655 60.64% Genk II 0 1508 14.55% 24.81%
4 2025-04-05 44.7 @ Lommel 2 1565 52.13% Genk II 0 1493 19.85% 28.02%
5 2024-11-09 46.3 @ Beveren 4 1647 54.61% Francs Borains 0 1554 18.17% 27.22%
6 2025-04-18 47.6 @ Club NXT 2 1665 57.53% Francs Borains 0 1547 16.34% 26.14%
7 2025-04-04 47.7 @ Beveren 3 1717 56.50% Eupen 0 1608 16.96% 26.53%
8 2025-04-18 47.9 Lokeren-Temse 4 1626 43.24% @ Seraing 0 1506 26.82% 29.94%
9 2025-02-28 48.6 @ La Louviere 2 1742 60.51% Eupen 0 1596 14.62% 24.87%
10 2024-10-06 48.7 @ K Lierse SK 4 1636 48.53% Francs Borains 0 1593 22.50% 28.97%
11 2025-02-08 49.0 @ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1 1751 68.78% Genk II 0 1523 10.54% 20.68%
12 2025-02-15 49.1 @ La Louviere 4 1734 66.85% Seraing 1 1526 11.41% 21.74%
13 2024-09-14 49.4 @ RWD Molenbeek 3 1687 50.57% K Lierse SK 0 1628 20.97% 28.46%
14 2024-11-24 49.5 @ Zulte Waregem 5 1735 63.09% Seraing 1 1564 13.25% 23.67%
15 2025-04-18 49.6 Beveren 4 1729 49.07% @ Anderlecht II 0 1565 22.09% 28.84%
16 2025-01-24 50.0 @ RWD Molenbeek 1 1733 65.45% Genk II 0 1539 12.07% 22.47%
17 2025-04-13 50.1 @ RFC Liege 3 1638 61.58% Genk II 1 1482 14.04% 24.39%
18 2024-12-06 50.2 @ Club NXT 3 1629 44.46% Anderlecht II 0 1618 25.78% 29.76%
19 2024-12-07 50.2 @ Zulte Waregem 4 1751 51.16% Beveren 0 1687 20.54% 28.30%
20 2025-09-22 50.2 @ La Louviere 2 1766 57.11% Lokeren-Temse 0 1651 16.59% 26.30%
21 2025-02-21 50.4 @ RWD Molenbeek 1 1748 65.47% Francs Borains 0 1554 12.06% 22.46%
22 2025-02-21 50.6 @ Zulte Waregem 3 1802 73.68% Genk II 1 1520 8.49% 17.83%
23 2025-03-09 51.0 @ RWD Molenbeek 1 1752 64.13% Lokeren-Temse 0 1571 12.72% 23.15%
24 2025-01-28 51.1 @ Anderlecht II 4 1590 49.89% Genk II 1 1536 21.47% 28.64%
25 2025-02-09 51.1 Beveren 2 1678 45.98% @ Seraing 0 1539 24.52% 29.50%