2002-03 Prva HNL Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Dinamo Zagreb

57 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 1999-00

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dinamo Zagreb

14.00 points above expected

57 points · 43.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rijeka

9.18 points below expected

18 points · 27.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dinamo Zagreb Champion	22	18	3	1	57	51	17	+34	43.00	+14.00
2	Hajduk Split	22	16	2	4	50	42	14	+28	40.82	+9.18
3	Varteks	22	15	0	7	45	40	21	+19	34.81	+10.19
4	Cibalia	22	9	5	8	32	28	28	0	33.40	-1.40
5	NK Zagreb	22	8	6	8	30	28	30	-2	34.23	-4.23
6	Kamen Ingrad	22	7	9	6	30	23	22	+1	27.47	+2.53
7	Slaven Belupo	22	9	2	11	29	24	26	-2	29.76	-0.76
8	Osijek	22	6	5	11	23	21	39	-18	24.65	-1.65
9	Zadar	22	5	6	11	21	21	40	-19	22.97	-1.97
10	Rijeka	22	5	3	14	18	23	33	-10	27.18	-9.18
11	Sibenik	22	4	5	13	17	23	39	-16	26.09	-9.09
12	Pomorac	22	3	8	11	17	26	41	-15	23.55	-6.55

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dinamo Zagreb	10	7	0	3	21	25	10	+15	—	—
2	Hajduk Split	10	6	2	2	20	14	8	+6	67.81	-47.81
3	Osijek	10	4	4	2	16	11	12	-1	36.58	-20.58
4	Rijeka	10	4	3	3	15	17	8	+9	31.48	-16.48
5	Pomorac	10	4	3	3	15	16	11	+5	30.65	-15.65
6	Sibenik	10	4	2	4	14	14	14	0	30.91	-16.91
7	Kamen Ingrad	10	4	2	4	14	11	12	-1	39.66	-25.66
8	Varteks	10	3	3	4	12	12	17	-5	60.27	-48.27
9	Zadar	10	4	0	6	12	15	31	-16	33.79	-21.79
10	Slaven Belupo	10	3	2	5	11	13	10	+3	45.19	-34.19
11	Cibalia	10	3	2	5	11	11	16	-5	42.02	-31.02
12	NK Zagreb	10	1	3	6	6	12	22	-10	41.08	-35.08

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dinamo Zagreb	57	43.00	+14.00
2	Varteks	45	34.81	+10.19
3	Hajduk Split	50	40.82	+9.18
4	Kamen Ingrad	30	27.47	+2.53
5	Slaven Belupo	29	29.76	-0.76

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rijeka	18	27.18	-9.18
2	Sibenik	17	26.09	-9.09
3	Pomorac	17	23.55	-6.55
4	NK Zagreb	30	34.23	-4.23
5	Zadar	21	22.97	-1.97

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dinamo Zagreb	11	Oct 26 – Mar 22	1 in 146
2	Slaven Belupo	4	Aug 17 – Sep 14	1 in 50
3	Varteks	6	Nov 2 – Feb 22	1 in 49
4	Hajduk Split	7	Sep 22 – Nov 9	1 in 49
5	Cibalia	3	Aug 17 – Aug 31	1 in 46

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rijeka	7	Sep 28 – Nov 16	1 in 255
2	Sibenik	5	Aug 10 – Sep 14	1 in 128
3	Pomorac	4	Sep 14 – Oct 6	1 in 24
4	Osijek	3	Aug 4 – Aug 17	1 in 18
5	Zadar	3	Aug 17 – Aug 31	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kamen Ingrad	9	Sep 14 – Nov 17	1 in 160
2	Cibalia	6	Jul 27 – Aug 31	1 in 35
3	Dinamo Zagreb	16	Sep 14 – Mar 22	1 in 28
4	Zadar	4	Oct 26 – Nov 16	1 in 22
5	Osijek	4	Aug 25 – Sep 21	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sibenik	13	Aug 3 – Nov 9	1 in 194
2	Pomorac	10	Jul 27 – Oct 6	1 in 39
3	Rijeka	9	Sep 28 – Nov 30	1 in 27
4	Osijek	9	Sep 28 – Nov 30	1 in 18
5	Zadar	6	Jul 27 – Aug 31	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dinamo Zagreb	1898	78	-24	9	10.3	-1.3
Hajduk Split	1824	70	-17	7	9.1	-2.1
Varteks	1698	57	-1	6	6.6	-0.6
Kamen Ingrad	1618	44	+45	10	5.6	+4.4
Cibalia	1591	43	-6	6	5.4	+0.6
Slaven Belupo	1542	40	-34	4	7.4	-3.4
Osijek	1516	39	-7	7	6.3	+0.7
NK Zagreb	1598	36	+3	4	4.8	-0.8
Rijeka	1569	33	+71	10	7.9	+2.1
Zadar	1407	33	-56	6	5.0	+1.0
Pomorac	1544	32	+43	8	7.8	+0.2
Sibenik	1500	31	-17	7	7.4	-0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CIB	DZ	HS	KI	NZ	OSI	POM	RIJ	SIB	SB	VAR	ZAD
Cibalia	—	0-1-1 2.07	1-0-1 2.08	0-1-1 3.12	2-0-0 2.58	1-0-1 3.51	0-2-0 3.46	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.62	2-0-0 2.84	0-0-2 2.51	1-1-0 3.33
Dinamo Zagreb	1-1-0 3.51	—	1-0-1 3.08	1-1-0 4.30	1-1-0 3.75	2-0-0 3.72	2-0-0 4.10	2-0-0 4.39	2-0-0 4.47	2-0-0 3.95	2-0-0 3.23	2-0-0 4.51
Hajduk Split	1-0-1 3.51	1-0-1 2.49	—	0-2-0 3.83	1-0-1 3.75	2-0-0 4.03	2-0-0 4.27	2-0-0 3.82	2-0-0 3.75	1-0-1 3.64	2-0-0 3.23	2-0-0 4.23
Kamen Ingrad	1-1-0 2.44	0-1-1 1.30	0-2-0 1.76	—	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 3.22	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 2.81	1-1-0 3.12	2-0-0 2.55	0-0-2 2.09	0-2-0 3.38
NK Zagreb	0-0-2 2.99	0-1-1 1.82	1-0-1 1.82	1-1-0 3.29	—	0-2-0 3.67	2-0-0 3.82	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 3.75	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 3.05	0-1-1 3.85
Osijek	1-0-1 2.07	0-0-2 1.89	0-0-2 1.60	1-0-1 2.34	0-2-0 1.90	—	0-2-0 2.70	1-1-0 2.39	2-0-0 2.60	0-0-2 2.44	0-0-2 1.93	1-0-1 2.93
Pomorac	0-2-0 2.11	0-0-2 1.52	0-0-2 1.33	0-1-1 2.48	0-0-2 1.76	0-2-0 2.87	—	1-1-0 2.43	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 1.42	1-0-1 2.92
Rijeka	1-0-1 2.39	0-0-2 1.21	0-0-2 1.75	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.17	0-1-1 3.19	0-1-1 3.13	—	1-1-0 2.84	0-0-2 2.62	0-0-2 2.19	1-0-1 3.34
Sibenik	1-0-1 1.96	0-0-2 1.17	0-0-2 1.86	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 1.83	0-0-2 2.96	1-1-0 2.82	0-1-1 2.73	—	1-0-1 2.17	0-0-2 2.25	0-2-0 3.05
Slaven Belupo	0-0-2 2.73	0-0-2 1.64	1-0-1 1.95	0-0-2 3.02	0-1-1 2.48	2-0-0 3.14	1-1-0 3.29	2-0-0 2.95	1-0-1 3.41	—	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 3.38
Varteks	2-0-0 3.07	0-0-2 2.35	0-0-2 2.34	2-0-0 3.48	1-0-1 2.54	2-0-0 3.64	1-0-1 4.18	2-0-0 3.38	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.39	—	2-0-0 3.93
Zadar	0-1-1 2.27	0-0-2 1.10	0-0-2 1.39	0-2-0 2.18	1-1-0 1.75	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.23	0-2-0 2.52	1-0-1 2.20	0-0-2 1.68	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.87	+12.8
Allowed	0.81	-12.8
Differential	0.95	+7.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.73%	10.42%	5.47%	2.34%	1.04%	1.30%	26.30%
1	10.42%	11.46%	8.33%	4.95%	1.30%	1.30%	37.76%
2	5.47%	8.33%	2.60%	2.60%	0.26%	—	19.27%
3	2.34%	4.95%	2.60%	1.04%	—	0.26%	11.20%
4	1.04%	1.30%	0.26%	—	—	—	2.60%
5+	1.30%	1.30%	—	0.26%	—	—	2.86%
Total	26.30%	37.76%	19.27%	11.20%	2.60%	2.86%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.36	+0.00
SD	1.25	1.25	1.89
CV	0.92	0.92	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	15.62%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	34.38%
1	6.25%	15.62%	9.38%	—	3.12%	—	34.38%
2	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
3	—	9.38%	9.38%	—	—	—	18.75%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.62%	50.00%	21.88%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.38	-0.16
SD	1.21	1.04	1.67
CV	0.99	0.76	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
1	15.62%	9.38%	—	—	3.12%	—	28.12%
2	6.25%	9.38%	—	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
3	6.25%	21.88%	3.12%	—	—	—	31.25%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	34.38%	56.25%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.38	0.84	+1.53
SD	1.50	0.88	1.81
CV	0.63	1.05	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
1	28.12%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	46.88%
2	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
4	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	56.25%	28.12%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.75	0.69	+1.06
SD	1.27	1.00	1.70
CV	0.73	1.45	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
1	18.75%	28.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	53.12%
2	3.12%	9.38%	—	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
3	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.12%	50.00%	9.38%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	1.06	+0.00
SD	0.91	0.95	1.34
CV	0.86	0.89	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	—	3.12%	28.12%
1	3.12%	12.50%	9.38%	9.38%	—	—	34.38%
2	3.12%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
3	—	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	43.75%	18.75%	21.88%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.62	-0.38
SD	1.08	1.16	1.68
CV	0.86	0.71	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.25%	9.38%	—	3.12%	6.25%	34.38%
1	15.62%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	3.12%	37.50%
2	3.12%	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
3	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	21.88%	28.12%	6.25%	3.12%	9.38%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.59	-0.59
SD	0.92	1.62	2.00
CV	0.92	1.02	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	—	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
1	9.38%	21.88%	21.88%	3.12%	—	3.12%	59.38%
2	—	—	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	12.50%
3	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	18.75%	25.00%	40.62%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.62	-0.31
SD	1.12	1.18	1.65
CV	0.85	0.73	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	18.75%	9.38%	—	—	—	37.50%
1	—	9.38%	15.62%	3.12%	3.12%	—	31.25%
2	9.38%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
3	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	21.88%	40.62%	28.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.28	-0.03
SD	1.57	0.99	1.98
CV	1.25	0.77	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	34.38%
1	3.12%	9.38%	12.50%	12.50%	—	3.12%	40.62%
2	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
3	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
Total	21.88%	28.12%	21.88%	21.88%	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.66	-0.50
SD	1.32	1.31	1.78
CV	1.14	0.79	—
Max	6	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	18.75%	15.62%	—	—	—	40.62%
1	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
2	6.25%	15.62%	—	6.25%	—	—	28.12%
3	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	28.12%	40.62%	21.88%	9.38%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.12	+0.03
SD	1.27	0.94	1.79
CV	1.10	0.84	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.62%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
1	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	—	3.12%	25.00%
2	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
3	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	—	—	15.62%
4	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	28.12%	43.75%	15.62%	9.38%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	1.19	+0.44
SD	1.26	1.15	1.88
CV	0.78	0.97	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	28.12%
1	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	40.62%
2	—	15.62%	—	6.25%	—	—	21.88%
3	—	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	2.22	-1.09
SD	0.94	1.84	2.04
CV	0.84	0.83	—
Max	3	7	+1
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dinamo Zagreb	1898	57	43.00	+14.00	100.0%	33	35	40	42	46	52	55
Hajduk Split	1824	50	40.82	+9.18	98.0%	27	31	38	41	44	49	56
Varteks	1698	45	34.81	+10.19	100.0%	22	26	32	35	38	43	45
Kamen Ingrad	1618	30	27.47	+2.53	67.0%	16	18	24	27	32	36	39
NK Zagreb	1598	30	34.23	-4.23	24.0%	21	26	31	34	37	42	52
Cibalia	1591	32	33.40	-1.40	47.0%	19	24	29	34	37	42	48
Rijeka	1569	18	27.18	-9.18	7.0%	16	18	23	27	31	38	43
Pomorac	1544	17	23.55	-6.55	12.0%	7	14	20	23	27	33	37
Slaven Belupo	1542	29	29.76	-0.76	45.0%	17	22	26	30	33	39	45
Osijek	1516	23	24.65	-1.65	39.0%	7	13	20	26	28	35	37
Sibenik	1500	17	26.09	-9.09	4.0%	10	18	21	26	30	37	39
Zadar	1407	21	22.97	-1.97	41.0%	9	12	19	23	27	33	40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 25.5% * Clear Edge: 25.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+35.42%

Strong Edge

57.29%20.83%21.88%

Elo Value

Home Edge

170 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0128.62500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.77 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.76+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.13 * Tight Race: 0.13 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.46 * Runaway: 0.46 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.6

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

51%

Dinamo Zagreb, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.32/gm

Comfortable

00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.46 * Some Luck: 4.46 to 6.69 * Lucky: 6.69 to 8.93 * Wild Swing: 8.93 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.51 * Close: 1.51 to 2.26 * Off: 2.26 to 3.01 * Way Off: 3.01 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.23 points

Lucky

05.5814

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

Pinpoint

01.884

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Dinamo Zagreb

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.00%

Sibenik

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67% * Clear Edge: 67% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90% * Clear Edge: 90% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58% * Some Drama: 58% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 19.5% * Very Frequent: 19.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Lopsided

00.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 131.32

2.11

Strong Separation

11.852.353.5

Interquartile Edge

70%

Clear Edge

50%65%71%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

91%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

64%

Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

15%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Lopsided: 0.46 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.53

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.44

Notable Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.89

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.46

Weak Carryover

00.570.791

Upset Rate

Expected

17%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Shaky Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.

Probability calibration

0.50

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.14

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.087

Well Within Noise

00.1120.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Dinamo Zagreb	51.00%	28.00%	11.00%	8.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Hajduk Split	34.00%	37.00%	13.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Varteks	4.00%	11.00%	24.00%	20.00%	19.00%	4.00%	9.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Cibalia	4.00%	10.00%	11.00%	20.00%	18.00%	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%
NK Zagreb	5.00%	8.00%	18.00%	17.00%	14.00%	13.00%	12.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	—	—
Kamen Ingrad	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	11.00%	10.00%	14.00%	16.00%	12.00%	12.00%	14.00%	3.00%
Slaven Belupo	2.00%	1.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	23.00%	12.00%	11.00%	14.00%	6.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Osijek	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	19.00%	15.00%	10.00%	10.00%	23.00%
Zadar	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	15.00%	11.00%	19.00%	28.00%
Rijeka	—	4.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	12.00%	9.00%	14.00%	13.00%	16.00%	9.00%	9.00%
Sibenik	—	—	5.00%	3.00%	8.00%	9.00%	13.00%	9.00%	8.00%	15.00%	16.00%	14.00%
Pomorac	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	23.00%	24.00%	20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
Dinamo Zagreb	100%	—	—
Hajduk Split	100%	—	—
NK Zagreb	99.00%	1.00%	—
Varteks	100%	—	—
Slaven Belupo	93.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Cibalia	94.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Kamen Ingrad	85.00%	12.00%	3.00%
Rijeka	81.00%	12.00%	7.00%
Sibenik	70.00%	18.00%	12.00%
Osijek	71.00%	11.00%	18.00%
Pomorac	61.00%	15.00%	24.00%
Zadar	46.00%	23.00%	31.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
Cibalia	100%	—	—
Hajduk Split	100%	—	—
Kamen Ingrad	100%	—	—
NK Zagreb	100%	—	—
Varteks	100%	—	—
Slaven Belupo	99.64%	0.32%	0.04%
Osijek	86.63%	8.99%	4.38%
Zadar	71.72%	16.70%	11.58%
Rijeka	53.22%	23.93%	22.85%
Sibenik	44.33%	25.27%	30.40%
Pomorac	44.46%	24.79%	30.75%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2002-07-24	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	51.8	1556	1589	51.71%	21.76%	26.53%	+0.56	+9.8	3
2002-07-24	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-1	51.8	1589	1556	26.53%	21.76%	51.71%	-0.56	-9.8	0
2002-07-26	Osijek	D 1-1	72.7	1696	1578	66.86%	19.93%	13.21%	+1.45	-4.2	1
2002-07-26	@ NK Zagreb	D 1-1	72.7	1578	1696	13.21%	19.93%	66.86%	-1.45	+4.2	1
2002-07-27	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	71.8	1575	1682	42.09%	22.08%	35.83%	+0.13	-0.4	1
2002-07-27	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	71.8	1682	1575	35.83%	22.08%	42.09%	-0.13	+0.4	1
2002-07-27	Pomorac	W 3-1	53.1	1591	1570	57.97%	21.26%	20.76%	+0.89	+13.0	3
2002-07-27	@ Sibenik	L 1-3	53.1	1570	1591	20.76%	21.26%	57.97%	-0.89	-13.0	0
2002-07-27	Zadar	W 3-1	52.8	1600	1565	59.33%	21.11%	19.56%	+0.96	+12.3	3
2002-07-27	@ Rijeka	L 1-3	52.8	1565	1600	19.56%	21.11%	59.33%	-0.96	-12.3	0
2002-07-28	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	61.3	1616	1686	47.17%	21.97%	30.86%	+0.35	-15.7	0
2002-07-28	@ Varteks	W 1-0	61.3	1686	1616	30.86%	21.97%	47.17%	-0.35	+15.7	3
2002-08-03	Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	68.7	1557	1565	54.63%	21.56%	23.80%	+0.71	-2.3	1
2002-08-03	@ Pomorac	D 1-1	68.7	1565	1557	23.80%	21.56%	54.63%	-0.71	+2.3	4
2002-08-03	Rijeka	W 2-1	57.5	1701	1612	64.44%	20.39%	15.17%	+1.28	+5.6	6
2002-08-03	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-2	57.5	1612	1701	15.17%	20.39%	64.44%	-1.28	-5.6	3
2002-08-03	Sibenik	D 0-0	64.7	1553	1604	49.46%	21.88%	28.66%	+0.45	-1.7	1
2002-08-03	@ Zadar	D 0-0	64.7	1604	1553	28.66%	21.88%	49.46%	-0.45	+1.7	4
2002-08-03	Varteks	W 1-0	51.0	1692	1601	64.62%	20.36%	15.03%	+1.30	+5.9	4
2002-08-03	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-1	51.0	1601	1692	15.03%	20.36%	64.62%	-1.30	-5.9	0
2002-08-04	Cibalia	L 2-3	72.4	1579	1575	56.11%	21.44%	22.45%	+0.78	-16.4	0
2002-08-04	@ Slaven Belupo	W 3-2	72.4	1575	1579	22.45%	21.44%	56.11%	-0.78	+16.4	4
2002-08-04	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-5	57.8	1582	1682	42.98%	22.07%	34.95%	+0.17	-43.3	1
2002-08-04	@ Osijek	W 5-1	57.8	1682	1582	34.95%	22.07%	42.98%	-0.17	+43.3	4
2002-08-10	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	60.1	1606	1707	42.89%	22.07%	35.04%	+0.16	-14.5	4
2002-08-10	@ Sibenik	W 1-0	60.1	1707	1606	35.04%	22.07%	42.89%	-0.16	+14.5	9
2002-08-10	NK Zagreb	W 3-2	68.8	1607	1698	44.23%	22.05%	33.72%	+0.22	+10.7	6
2002-08-10	@ Rijeka	L 2-3	68.8	1698	1607	33.72%	22.05%	44.23%	-0.22	-10.7	4
2002-08-10	Osijek	W 2-0	45.0	1595	1539	61.43%	20.85%	17.72%	+1.09	+13.0	3
2002-08-10	@ Varteks	L 0-2	45.0	1539	1595	17.72%	20.85%	61.43%	-1.09	-13.0	1
2002-08-10	Pomorac	D 1-1	69.6	1591	1554	59.54%	21.09%	19.37%	+0.97	-3.1	5
2002-08-10	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	69.6	1554	1591	19.37%	21.09%	59.54%	-0.97	+3.1	2
2002-08-10	Zadar	D 1-1	68.7	1568	1551	57.43%	21.32%	21.25%	+0.86	-2.7	5
2002-08-10	@ Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	68.7	1551	1568	21.25%	21.32%	57.43%	-0.86	+2.7	2
2002-08-12	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	49.3	1726	1563	70.18%	19.15%	10.66%	+1.72	+4.2	7
2002-08-12	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	49.3	1563	1726	10.66%	19.15%	70.18%	-1.72	-4.2	0
2002-08-17	Cibalia	L 0-2	55.7	1554	1588	51.61%	21.77%	26.62%	+0.56	-32.0	2
2002-08-17	@ Zadar	W 2-0	55.7	1588	1554	26.62%	21.77%	51.61%	-0.56	+32.0	8
2002-08-17	Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-3	68.3	1558	1730	32.91%	22.03%	45.06%	-0.26	-10.5	2
2002-08-17	@ Pomorac	W 3-2	68.3	1730	1558	45.06%	22.03%	32.91%	+0.26	+10.5	10
2002-08-17	Sibenik	W 2-1	56.8	1687	1592	64.98%	20.29%	14.73%	+1.32	+5.5	7
2002-08-17	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	56.8	1592	1687	14.73%	20.29%	64.98%	-1.32	-5.5	4
2002-08-17	Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	63.7	1526	1559	51.78%	21.76%	26.46%	+0.56	-16.1	1
2002-08-17	@ Osijek	W 2-1	63.7	1559	1526	26.46%	21.76%	51.78%	-0.56	+16.1	3
2002-08-18	Kamen Ingrad	D 0-0	68.1	1721	1565	69.73%	19.27%	11.00%	+1.68	-5.2	10
2002-08-18	@ Hajduk Split	D 0-0	68.1	1565	1721	11.00%	19.27%	69.73%	-1.68	+5.2	6
2002-08-18	Rijeka	W 2-1	59.1	1608	1617	54.53%	21.57%	23.90%	+0.70	+8.5	6
2002-08-18	@ Varteks	L 1-2	59.1	1617	1608	23.90%	21.57%	54.53%	-0.70	-8.5	6
2002-08-24	Hajduk Split	W 4-1	57.7	1620	1716	43.56%	22.06%	34.38%	+0.19	+28.1	11
2002-08-24	@ Cibalia	L 1-4	57.7	1716	1620	34.38%	22.06%	43.56%	-0.19	-28.1	10
2002-08-24	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	71.8	1570	1692	39.88%	22.10%	38.02%	+0.04	-0.1	7
2002-08-24	@ Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	71.8	1692	1570	38.02%	22.10%	39.88%	-0.04	+0.1	8
2002-08-24	Pomorac	W 2-1	55.2	1575	1547	58.60%	21.20%	20.20%	+0.92	+7.3	6
2002-08-24	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	55.2	1547	1575	20.20%	21.20%	58.60%	-0.92	-7.3	2
2002-08-24	Varteks	L 1-3	63.7	1586	1616	52.11%	21.74%	26.15%	+0.58	-28.0	4
2002-08-24	@ Sibenik	W 3-1	63.7	1616	1586	26.15%	21.74%	52.11%	-0.58	+28.0	9
2002-08-24	Zadar	W 3-1	50.5	1740	1522	73.78%	18.07%	8.14%	+2.05	+5.2	13
2002-08-24	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	50.5	1522	1740	8.14%	18.07%	73.78%	-2.05	-5.2	2
2002-08-25	Osijek	L 0-1	62.2	1609	1510	65.30%	20.23%	14.46%	+1.34	-21.2	6
2002-08-25	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	62.2	1510	1609	14.46%	20.23%	65.30%	-1.34	+21.2	4
2002-08-31	Cibalia	L 0-1	65.3	1693	1648	60.28%	21.00%	18.72%	+1.02	-19.6	8
2002-08-31	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	65.3	1648	1693	18.72%	21.00%	60.28%	-1.02	+19.6	14
2002-08-31	Pomorac	D 2-2	73.4	1531	1540	54.62%	21.56%	23.82%	+0.71	-1.7	5
2002-08-31	@ Osijek	D 2-2	73.4	1540	1531	23.82%	21.56%	54.62%	-0.71	+1.7	3
2002-08-31	Sibenik	W 5-1	48.1	1588	1558	58.80%	21.17%	20.03%	+0.93	+23.0	9
2002-08-31	@ Rijeka	L 1-5	48.1	1558	1588	20.03%	21.17%	58.80%	-0.93	-23.0	4
2002-08-31	Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	63.0	1517	1582	47.68%	21.95%	30.37%	+0.37	-14.9	2
2002-08-31	@ Zadar	W 2-1	63.0	1582	1517	30.37%	21.95%	47.68%	-0.37	+14.9	9
2002-09-01	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	57.0	1688	1746	48.69%	21.91%	29.40%	+0.42	+10.7	13
2002-09-01	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	57.0	1746	1688	29.40%	21.91%	48.69%	-0.42	-10.7	13
2002-09-01	Kamen Ingrad	W 3-0	44.6	1644	1570	63.11%	20.60%	16.28%	+1.19	+17.5	12
2002-09-01	@ Varteks	L 0-3	44.6	1570	1644	16.28%	20.60%	63.11%	-1.19	-17.5	7
2002-09-14	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	57.6	1597	1699	42.74%	22.07%	35.18%	+0.16	+12.4	12
2002-09-14	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	57.6	1699	1597	35.18%	22.07%	42.74%	-0.16	-12.4	13
2002-09-14	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	73.8	1735	1673	61.99%	20.77%	17.24%	+1.12	-3.5	14
2002-09-14	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	73.8	1673	1735	17.24%	20.77%	61.99%	-1.12	+3.5	9
2002-09-14	Osijek	L 1-2	64.2	1535	1529	56.29%	21.42%	22.29%	+0.79	-17.3	4
2002-09-14	@ Sibenik	W 2-1	64.2	1529	1535	22.29%	21.42%	56.29%	-0.79	+17.3	8
2002-09-14	Rijeka	W 2-1	59.4	1553	1611	48.63%	21.91%	29.46%	+0.42	+10.1	10
2002-09-14	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 1-2	59.4	1611	1553	29.46%	21.91%	48.63%	-0.42	-10.1	9
2002-09-14	Zadar	L 1-2	64.4	1541	1502	59.83%	21.05%	19.11%	+0.99	-18.4	3
2002-09-14	@ Pomorac	W 2-1	64.4	1502	1541	19.11%	21.05%	59.83%	-0.99	+18.4	5
2002-09-15	Varteks	L 0-1	64.2	1668	1662	56.31%	21.42%	22.26%	+0.80	-18.4	14
2002-09-15	@ Cibalia	W 1-0	64.2	1662	1668	22.26%	21.42%	56.31%	-0.80	+18.4	15
2002-09-21	Cibalia	W 2-1	60.9	1601	1650	49.78%	21.86%	28.36%	+0.47	+9.8	12
2002-09-21	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	60.9	1650	1601	28.36%	21.86%	49.78%	-0.47	-9.8	14
2002-09-21	Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	67.3	1518	1563	50.28%	21.84%	27.88%	+0.49	-1.6	5
2002-09-21	@ Sibenik	D 1-1	67.3	1563	1518	27.88%	21.84%	50.28%	-0.49	+1.6	11
2002-09-21	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	47.9	1676	1609	62.47%	20.70%	16.83%	+1.15	+12.4	12
2002-09-21	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-2	47.9	1609	1676	16.83%	20.70%	62.47%	-1.15	-12.4	12
2002-09-21	Zadar	W 3-0	41.8	1547	1520	58.47%	21.21%	20.32%	+0.91	+21.4	11
2002-09-21	@ Osijek	L 0-3	41.8	1520	1547	20.32%	21.21%	58.47%	-0.91	-21.4	5
2002-09-22	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	59.3	1680	1731	49.49%	21.88%	28.64%	+0.46	-30.9	15
2002-09-22	@ Varteks	W 2-0	59.3	1731	1680	28.64%	21.88%	49.49%	-0.46	+30.9	17
2002-09-22	Pomorac	W 5-1	46.2	1686	1523	70.22%	19.14%	10.64%	+1.72	+12.6	16
2002-09-22	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-5	46.2	1523	1686	10.64%	19.14%	70.22%	-1.72	-12.6	3
2002-09-28	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	54.1	1499	1699	29.34%	21.91%	48.76%	-0.42	-10.7	5
2002-09-28	@ Zadar	W 1-0	54.1	1699	1499	48.76%	21.91%	29.34%	+0.42	+10.7	19
2002-09-28	NK Zagreb	L 1-2	61.1	1511	1689	32.12%	22.01%	45.87%	-0.29	-10.9	3
2002-09-28	@ Pomorac	W 2-1	61.1	1689	1511	45.87%	22.01%	32.12%	+0.29	+10.9	15
2002-09-28	Osijek	W 1-0	50.4	1564	1568	55.23%	21.51%	23.25%	+0.74	+8.8	14
2002-09-28	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-1	50.4	1568	1564	23.25%	21.51%	55.23%	-0.74	-8.8	11
2002-09-28	Rijeka	W 2-1	56.6	1762	1610	69.41%	19.35%	11.24%	+1.65	+4.2	20
2002-09-28	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	56.6	1610	1762	11.24%	19.35%	69.41%	-1.65	-4.2	12
2002-09-28	Sibenik	W 3-1	50.2	1640	1516	67.28%	19.84%	12.88%	+1.49	+8.3	17
2002-09-28	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	50.2	1516	1640	12.88%	19.84%	67.28%	-1.49	-8.3	5
2002-09-28	Varteks	W 2-1	61.0	1597	1649	49.36%	21.88%	28.76%	+0.45	+9.9	15
2002-09-28	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	61.0	1649	1597	28.76%	21.88%	49.36%	-0.45	-9.9	15
2002-10-05	Cibalia	W 1-0	55.3	1573	1648	46.43%	21.99%	31.58%	+0.32	+11.4	17
2002-10-05	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-1	55.3	1648	1573	31.58%	21.99%	46.43%	-0.32	-11.4	17
2002-10-05	Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	62.1	1606	1607	55.54%	21.49%	22.97%	+0.75	-18.2	12
2002-10-05	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	62.1	1607	1606	22.97%	21.49%	55.54%	-0.75	+18.2	18
2002-10-05	Zadar	D 0-0	66.6	1700	1488	73.37%	18.21%	8.42%	+2.01	-5.8	16
2002-10-05	@ NK Zagreb	D 0-0	66.6	1488	1700	8.42%	18.21%	73.37%	-2.01	+5.8	6
2002-10-06	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	53.4	1508	1766	22.76%	21.47%	55.77%	-0.77	-8.6	5
2002-10-06	@ Sibenik	W 1-0	53.4	1766	1508	55.77%	21.47%	22.76%	+0.77	+8.6	23
2002-10-06	Hajduk Split	L 0-2	53.8	1559	1710	35.85%	22.08%	42.07%	-0.13	-23.7	11
2002-10-06	@ Osijek	W 2-0	53.8	1710	1559	42.07%	22.08%	35.85%	+0.13	+23.7	22
2002-10-06	Pomorac	W 4-2	53.2	1639	1500	68.52%	19.57%	11.92%	+1.58	+6.9	18
2002-10-06	@ Varteks	L 2-4	53.2	1500	1639	11.92%	19.57%	68.52%	-1.58	-6.9	3
2002-10-19	Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	74.1	1775	1585	72.05%	18.63%	9.33%	+1.88	-5.0	24
2002-10-19	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	74.1	1585	1775	9.33%	18.63%	72.05%	-1.88	+5.0	18
2002-10-19	Osijek	W 3-1	51.1	1637	1535	65.49%	20.20%	14.31%	+1.36	+9.2	20
2002-10-19	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	51.1	1535	1637	14.31%	20.20%	65.49%	-1.36	-9.2	11
2002-10-19	Rijeka	W 1-0	52.2	1493	1588	43.66%	22.06%	34.28%	+0.20	+12.1	6
2002-10-19	@ Pomorac	L 0-1	52.2	1588	1493	34.28%	22.06%	43.66%	-0.20	-12.1	12
2002-10-19	Sibenik	W 2-1	52.6	1625	1499	67.46%	19.80%	12.74%	+1.50	+4.8	21
2002-10-19	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	52.6	1499	1625	12.74%	19.80%	67.46%	-1.50	-4.8	5
2002-10-19	Varteks	L 1-5	52.9	1494	1646	35.60%	22.08%	42.32%	-0.14	-37.3	6
2002-10-19	@ Zadar	W 5-1	52.9	1646	1494	42.32%	22.08%	35.60%	+0.14	+37.3	21
2002-10-20	NK Zagreb	W 3-0	48.2	1733	1694	59.82%	21.06%	19.12%	+0.99	+20.2	25
2002-10-20	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-3	48.2	1694	1733	19.12%	21.06%	59.82%	-0.99	-20.2	16
2002-10-26	Cibalia	W 4-1	51.2	1770	1646	67.33%	19.83%	12.84%	+1.49	+11.7	27
2002-10-26	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-4	51.2	1646	1770	12.84%	19.83%	67.33%	-1.49	-11.7	20
2002-10-26	Kamen Ingrad	L 1-2	69.6	1630	1590	59.88%	21.05%	19.07%	+0.99	-18.4	21
2002-10-26	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	69.6	1590	1630	19.07%	21.05%	59.88%	-0.99	+18.4	21
2002-10-26	Rijeka	W 1-0	51.5	1457	1576	40.28%	22.10%	37.62%	+0.06	+13.1	9
2002-10-26	@ Zadar	L 0-1	51.5	1576	1457	37.62%	22.10%	40.28%	-0.06	-13.1	12
2002-10-26	Sibenik	D 1-1	64.5	1505	1495	56.77%	21.38%	21.85%	+0.82	-2.6	7
2002-10-26	@ Pomorac	D 1-1	64.5	1495	1505	21.85%	21.38%	56.77%	-0.82	+2.6	6
2002-10-27	Varteks	W 3-1	55.6	1754	1684	62.75%	20.66%	16.59%	+1.17	+10.6	28
2002-10-27	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-3	55.6	1684	1754	16.59%	20.66%	62.75%	-1.17	-10.6	21
2002-10-29	NK Zagreb	D 2-2	77.0	1526	1674	36.28%	22.09%	41.63%	-0.11	+0.3	12
2002-10-29	@ Osijek	D 2-2	77.0	1674	1526	41.63%	22.09%	36.28%	+0.11	-0.3	17
2002-11-02	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	56.1	1563	1764	29.19%	21.90%	48.91%	-0.43	-10.7	12
2002-11-02	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	56.1	1764	1563	48.91%	21.90%	29.19%	+0.43	+10.7	31
2002-11-02	NK Zagreb	W 2-0	50.7	1673	1673	55.58%	21.49%	22.94%	+0.76	+16.4	24
2002-11-02	@ Varteks	L 0-2	50.7	1673	1673	22.94%	21.49%	55.58%	-0.76	-16.4	17
2002-11-02	Pomorac	W 2-1	52.7	1608	1502	65.85%	20.13%	14.02%	+1.38	+5.2	24
2002-11-02	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 1-2	52.7	1502	1608	14.02%	20.13%	65.85%	-1.38	-5.2	7
2002-11-02	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	52.2	1634	1611	58.09%	21.25%	20.66%	+0.89	+7.9	23
2002-11-02	@ Cibalia	L 0-1	52.2	1611	1634	20.66%	21.25%	58.09%	-0.89	-7.9	21
2002-11-02	Zadar	D 3-3	73.5	1497	1470	58.59%	21.20%	20.21%	+0.92	-1.8	7
2002-11-02	@ Sibenik	D 3-3	73.5	1470	1497	20.21%	21.20%	58.59%	-0.92	+1.8	10
2002-11-03	Osijek	W 6-0	44.0	1782	1526	75.89%	17.31%	6.80%	+2.26	+13.9	30
2002-11-03	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-6	44.0	1526	1782	6.80%	17.31%	75.89%	-2.26	-13.9	12
2002-11-09	Cibalia	D 0-0	64.2	1497	1642	36.61%	22.09%	41.29%	-0.10	+0.4	8
2002-11-09	@ Pomorac	D 0-0	64.2	1642	1497	41.29%	22.09%	36.61%	+0.10	-0.4	24
2002-11-09	Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	67.4	1471	1613	37.08%	22.10%	40.83%	-0.08	+0.3	11
2002-11-09	@ Zadar	D 1-1	67.4	1613	1471	40.83%	22.10%	37.08%	+0.08	-0.3	25
2002-11-09	Rijeka	W 4-1	49.1	1657	1552	65.78%	20.15%	14.08%	+1.38	+12.8	20
2002-11-09	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-4	49.1	1552	1657	14.08%	20.15%	65.78%	-1.38	-12.8	12
2002-11-09	Sibenik	W 3-1	49.6	1775	1495	77.17%	16.79%	6.04%	+2.41	+3.8	34
2002-11-09	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-3	49.6	1495	1775	6.04%	16.79%	77.17%	-2.41	-3.8	7
2002-11-09	Varteks	L 1-2	61.2	1513	1689	32.32%	22.01%	45.67%	-0.28	-10.9	12
2002-11-09	@ Osijek	W 2-1	61.2	1689	1513	45.67%	22.01%	32.32%	+0.28	+10.9	27
2002-11-10	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	59.8	1604	1796	30.34%	21.95%	47.72%	-0.37	-18.0	21
2002-11-10	@ Slaven Belupo	W 3-1	59.8	1796	1604	47.72%	21.95%	30.34%	+0.37	+18.0	33
2002-11-16	NK Zagreb	W 3-0	52.7	1492	1670	32.12%	22.01%	45.87%	-0.29	+42.0	10
2002-11-16	@ Sibenik	L 0-3	52.7	1670	1492	45.87%	22.01%	32.12%	+0.29	-42.0	20
2002-11-16	Osijek	W 4-0	40.8	1586	1502	63.99%	20.46%	15.54%	+1.25	+21.9	24
2002-11-16	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-4	40.8	1502	1586	15.54%	20.46%	63.99%	-1.25	-21.8	12
2002-11-16	Varteks	L 0-2	52.9	1539	1700	34.43%	22.06%	43.51%	-0.19	-23.0	12
2002-11-16	@ Rijeka	W 2-0	52.9	1700	1539	43.51%	22.06%	34.43%	+0.19	+23.0	30
2002-11-16	Zadar	D 0-0	64.3	1642	1472	70.69%	19.02%	10.30%	+1.76	-5.4	25
2002-11-16	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	64.3	1472	1642	10.30%	19.02%	70.69%	-1.76	+5.4	12
2002-11-17	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	73.3	1613	1779	33.78%	22.05%	44.17%	-0.22	+0.7	26
2002-11-17	@ Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	73.3	1779	1613	44.17%	22.05%	33.78%	+0.22	-0.7	35
2002-11-17	Pomorac	W 2-1	53.1	1814	1497	78.97%	15.98%	5.04%	+2.62	+1.8	36
2002-11-17	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	53.1	1497	1814	5.04%	15.98%	78.97%	-2.62	-1.8	8
2002-11-23	Cibalia	W 4-0	45.4	1778	1636	68.66%	19.53%	11.81%	+1.59	+16.7	38
2002-11-23	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-4	45.4	1636	1778	11.81%	19.53%	68.66%	-1.59	-16.7	25
2002-11-23	Kamen Ingrad	W 3-1	55.1	1628	1614	57.17%	21.34%	21.49%	+0.84	+13.4	23
2002-11-23	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-3	55.1	1614	1628	21.49%	21.34%	57.17%	-0.84	-13.4	26
2002-11-23	Rijeka	D 1-1	64.2	1480	1516	51.33%	21.78%	26.89%	+0.54	-1.8	13
2002-11-23	@ Osijek	D 1-1	64.2	1516	1480	26.89%	21.78%	51.33%	-0.54	+1.8	13
2002-11-23	Sibenik	W 2-1	54.4	1723	1534	72.00%	18.64%	9.36%	+1.88	+3.5	33
2002-11-23	@ Varteks	L 1-2	54.4	1534	1723	9.36%	18.64%	72.00%	-1.88	-3.5	10
2002-11-23	Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	68.0	1496	1607	41.35%	22.09%	36.56%	+0.10	-0.3	9
2002-11-23	@ Pomorac	D 1-1	68.0	1607	1496	36.56%	22.09%	41.35%	-0.10	+0.3	25
2002-11-24	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	54.0	1477	1815	15.75%	20.50%	63.75%	-1.24	-10.1	12
2002-11-24	@ Zadar	W 3-1	54.0	1815	1477	63.75%	20.50%	15.75%	+1.24	+10.1	39
2002-11-30	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	60.1	1620	1641	53.13%	21.67%	25.20%	+0.63	+8.9	28
2002-11-30	@ Cibalia	L 1-2	60.1	1641	1620	25.20%	21.67%	53.13%	-0.63	-8.9	23
2002-11-30	Osijek	D 2-2	69.9	1495	1478	57.51%	21.31%	21.18%	+0.86	-2.0	10
2002-11-30	@ Pomorac	D 2-2	69.9	1478	1495	21.18%	21.31%	57.51%	-0.86	+2.0	14
2002-11-30	Rijeka	D 0-0	61.4	1530	1518	56.93%	21.36%	21.70%	+0.83	-3.0	11
2002-11-30	@ Sibenik	D 0-0	61.4	1518	1530	21.70%	21.36%	56.93%	-0.83	+3.0	14
2002-11-30	Varteks	L 0-1	59.2	1600	1727	39.27%	22.10%	38.63%	+0.01	-13.5	26
2002-11-30	@ Kamen Ingrad	W 1-0	59.2	1727	1600	38.63%	22.10%	39.27%	-0.01	+13.5	36
2002-11-30	Zadar	L 1-2	67.7	1608	1467	68.59%	19.55%	11.86%	+1.59	-20.9	25
2002-11-30	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	67.7	1467	1608	11.86%	19.55%	68.59%	-1.59	+20.9	15
2002-12-01	Hajduk Split	W 2-1	60.7	1826	1795	58.93%	21.16%	19.91%	+0.94	+7.2	42
2002-12-01	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	60.7	1795	1826	19.91%	21.16%	58.93%	-0.94	-7.2	38
2003-02-22	Cibalia	W 3-0	45.8	1740	1628	66.34%	20.03%	13.62%	+1.42	+14.7	39
2003-02-22	@ Varteks	L 0-3	45.8	1628	1740	13.62%	20.03%	66.34%	-1.42	-14.8	28
2003-02-22	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	59.9	1632	1833	29.30%	21.91%	48.79%	-0.42	-17.5	23
2003-02-22	@ NK Zagreb	W 3-1	59.9	1833	1632	48.79%	21.91%	29.30%	+0.42	+17.5	45
2003-02-22	Kamen Ingrad	W 2-1	58.1	1521	1587	47.63%	21.95%	30.42%	+0.37	+10.4	17
2003-02-22	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	58.1	1587	1521	30.42%	21.95%	47.63%	-0.37	-10.4	26
2003-02-22	Pomorac	L 2-3	66.2	1488	1493	55.02%	21.53%	23.45%	+0.73	-16.1	15
2003-02-22	@ Zadar	W 3-2	66.2	1493	1488	23.45%	21.53%	55.02%	-0.73	+16.1	13
2003-02-22	Sibenik	W 1-0	47.6	1480	1527	50.03%	21.85%	28.12%	+0.48	+10.3	17
2003-02-22	@ Osijek	L 0-1	47.6	1527	1480	28.12%	21.85%	50.03%	-0.48	-10.3	11
2003-02-23	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	45.8	1788	1587	72.70%	18.43%	8.88%	+1.94	+6.6	41
2003-02-23	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	45.8	1587	1788	8.88%	18.43%	72.70%	-1.94	-6.6	25
2003-03-01	Hajduk Split	L 0-3	47.5	1509	1794	20.21%	21.20%	58.59%	-0.92	-21.3	13
2003-03-01	@ Pomorac	W 3-0	47.5	1794	1509	58.59%	21.20%	20.21%	+0.92	+21.3	44
2003-03-01	NK Zagreb	D 0-0	65.7	1580	1615	51.56%	21.77%	26.67%	+0.55	-2.0	26
2003-03-01	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	65.7	1615	1580	26.67%	21.77%	51.56%	-0.55	+2.1	24
2003-03-01	Osijek	W 1-0	44.9	1472	1490	53.49%	21.65%	24.87%	+0.65	+9.3	18
2003-03-01	@ Zadar	L 0-1	44.9	1490	1472	24.87%	21.65%	53.49%	-0.65	-9.3	17
2003-03-01	Rijeka	W 3-1	50.9	1614	1531	63.85%	20.49%	15.67%	+1.24	+10.0	31
2003-03-01	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	50.9	1531	1614	15.67%	20.49%	63.85%	-1.24	-10.0	17
2003-03-01	Sibenik	W 4-0	41.7	1576	1517	61.78%	20.80%	17.42%	+1.11	+24.3	29
2003-03-01	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-4	41.7	1517	1576	17.42%	20.80%	61.78%	-1.11	-24.3	11
2003-03-02	Varteks	W 3-1	55.4	1850	1755	64.98%	20.29%	14.73%	+1.32	+9.5	48
2003-03-02	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	55.4	1755	1850	14.73%	20.29%	64.98%	-1.32	-9.5	39
2003-03-08	Cibalia	W 2-1	61.1	1492	1624	38.56%	22.10%	39.34%	-0.02	+12.8	14
2003-03-08	@ Sibenik	L 1-2	61.1	1624	1492	39.34%	22.10%	38.56%	+0.02	-12.8	31
2003-03-08	Kamen Ingrad	W 1-0	53.3	1481	1601	40.24%	22.10%	37.66%	+0.05	+13.1	20
2003-03-08	@ Osijek	L 0-1	53.3	1601	1481	37.66%	22.10%	40.24%	-0.05	-13.1	29
2003-03-08	Pomorac	W 2-1	52.0	1617	1488	67.70%	19.75%	12.55%	+1.52	+4.7	27
2003-03-08	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	52.0	1488	1617	12.55%	19.75%	67.70%	-1.52	-4.7	13
2003-03-08	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	46.0	1745	1578	70.50%	19.07%	10.43%	+1.74	+7.8	42
2003-03-08	@ Varteks	L 0-2	46.0	1578	1745	10.43%	19.07%	70.50%	-1.74	-7.8	26
2003-03-08	Zadar	W 4-0	41.0	1815	1481	79.80%	15.58%	4.61%	+2.73	+6.2	47
2003-03-08	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-4	41.0	1481	1815	4.61%	15.58%	79.80%	-2.73	-6.2	18
2003-03-09	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	52.2	1521	1860	15.76%	20.50%	63.74%	-1.24	-6.2	17
2003-03-09	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	52.2	1860	1521	63.74%	20.50%	15.76%	+1.24	+6.2	51
2003-03-15	Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	70.9	1611	1588	58.16%	21.24%	20.60%	+0.90	-2.9	32
2003-03-15	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	70.9	1588	1611	20.60%	21.24%	58.16%	-0.90	+2.9	30
2003-03-15	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	61.1	1475	1622	36.38%	22.09%	41.53%	-0.11	+13.3	21
2003-03-15	@ Zadar	L 1-2	61.1	1622	1475	41.53%	22.09%	36.38%	+0.11	-13.3	27
2003-03-15	Rijeka	W 2-0	43.5	1570	1515	61.34%	20.86%	17.79%	+1.08	+13.1	29
2003-03-15	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	43.5	1515	1570	17.79%	20.86%	61.34%	-1.08	-13.0	17
2003-03-15	Sibenik	W 3-1	49.7	1866	1505	80.96%	14.99%	4.05%	+2.88	+2.5	54
2003-03-15	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	49.7	1505	1866	4.05%	14.99%	80.96%	-2.88	-2.5	14
2003-03-15	Varteks	W 1-0	63.0	1483	1753	21.63%	21.36%	57.02%	-0.83	+18.6	16
2003-03-15	@ Pomorac	L 0-1	63.0	1753	1483	57.02%	21.36%	21.63%	+0.83	-18.6	42
2003-03-16	Osijek	W 2-0	43.2	1822	1494	79.50%	15.73%	4.77%	+2.69	+3.4	50
2003-03-16	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	43.2	1494	1822	4.77%	15.73%	79.50%	-2.69	-3.4	20
2003-03-22	Cibalia	W 1-0	53.8	1491	1608	40.55%	22.10%	37.36%	+0.07	+13.0	23
2003-03-22	@ Osijek	L 0-1	53.8	1608	1491	37.36%	22.10%	40.55%	-0.07	-13.0	32
2003-03-22	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	54.4	1590	1868	20.85%	21.27%	57.87%	-0.88	-8.0	30
2003-03-22	@ Kamen Ingrad	W 1-0	54.4	1868	1590	57.87%	21.27%	20.85%	+0.88	+8.0	57
2003-03-22	Hajduk Split	W 2-1	69.6	1608	1825	27.34%	21.81%	50.85%	-0.52	+15.8	30
2003-03-22	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	69.6	1825	1608	50.85%	21.81%	27.34%	+0.52	-15.8	50
2003-03-22	Pomorac	D 1-1	64.6	1502	1502	55.65%	21.48%	22.87%	+0.76	-2.5	18
2003-03-22	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	64.6	1502	1502	22.87%	21.48%	55.65%	-0.76	+2.5	17
2003-03-22	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	51.8	1503	1583	45.64%	22.01%	32.35%	+0.28	+11.6	17
2003-03-22	@ Sibenik	L 0-1	51.8	1583	1503	32.35%	22.01%	45.64%	-0.28	-11.6	29
2003-03-22	Zadar	W 3-1	49.3	1735	1488	75.41%	17.49%	7.10%	+2.21	+4.5	45
2003-03-22	@ Varteks	L 1-3	49.3	1488	1735	7.10%	17.49%	75.41%	-2.21	-4.5	21

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2003-04-05	Cibalia	W 1-0	50.2	1739	1595	68.84%	19.49%	11.67%	+1.61	+4.6	3
2003-04-05	@ Varteks	L 0-1	50.2	1595	1739	11.67%	19.49%	68.84%	-1.61	-4.6	0
2003-04-05	Kamen Ingrad	W 2-0	45.5	1809	1582	74.28%	17.90%	7.82%	+2.09	+5.8	3
2003-04-05	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	45.5	1582	1809	7.82%	17.90%	74.28%	-2.09	-5.8	0
2003-04-05	Pomorac	D 0-0	59.9	1504	1504	55.54%	21.49%	22.97%	+0.75	-2.7	1
2003-04-05	@ Osijek	D 0-0	59.9	1504	1504	22.97%	21.49%	55.54%	-0.75	+2.7	1
2003-04-05	Rijeka	W 2-1	51.8	1484	1500	53.78%	21.63%	24.60%	+0.66	+8.7	3
2003-04-05	@ Zadar	L 1-2	51.8	1500	1484	24.60%	21.63%	53.78%	-0.66	-8.7	0
2003-04-05	Sibenik	W 3-0	41.5	1572	1514	61.58%	20.83%	17.59%	+1.10	+18.8	3
2003-04-05	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-3	41.5	1514	1572	17.59%	20.83%	61.58%	-1.10	-18.8	0
2003-04-06	NK Zagreb	W 5-0	44.5	1876	1624	75.73%	17.37%	6.90%	+2.25	+11.9	3
2003-04-06	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-5	44.5	1624	1876	6.90%	17.37%	75.73%	-2.25	-11.9	0
2003-04-12	Cibalia	D 1-1	71.0	1612	1591	57.97%	21.26%	20.77%	+0.89	-2.8	1
2003-04-12	@ NK Zagreb	D 1-1	71.0	1591	1612	20.77%	21.26%	57.97%	-0.89	+2.8	1
2003-04-12	Osijek	D 0-0	63.2	1591	1501	64.49%	20.38%	15.13%	+1.29	-4.3	4
2003-04-12	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	63.2	1501	1591	15.13%	20.38%	64.49%	-1.29	+4.3	2
2003-04-12	Rijeka	D 0-0	59.1	1496	1491	56.12%	21.44%	22.44%	+0.78	-2.8	1
2003-04-12	@ Sibenik	D 0-0	59.1	1491	1496	22.44%	21.44%	56.12%	-0.78	+2.8	1
2003-04-12	Varteks	W 1-0	60.7	1577	1744	33.59%	22.05%	44.37%	-0.23	+14.9	3
2003-04-12	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-1	60.7	1744	1577	44.37%	22.05%	33.59%	+0.23	-14.9	3
2003-04-12	Zadar	W 4-1	45.1	1507	1492	57.25%	21.33%	21.42%	+0.85	+18.9	4
2003-04-12	@ Pomorac	L 1-4	45.1	1492	1507	21.42%	21.33%	57.25%	-0.85	-18.9	3
2003-04-13	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	67.4	1888	1815	63.04%	20.62%	16.35%	+1.19	-20.5	3
2003-04-13	@ Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	67.4	1815	1888	16.35%	20.62%	63.04%	-1.19	+20.5	6
2003-04-19	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	54.5	1729	1868	37.48%	22.10%	40.42%	-0.06	-35.7	3
2003-04-19	@ Varteks	W 3-0	54.5	1868	1729	40.42%	22.10%	37.48%	+0.06	+35.7	6
2003-04-19	Kamen Ingrad	W 3-2	63.2	1593	1592	55.82%	21.47%	22.72%	+0.77	+7.7	4
2003-04-19	@ Cibalia	L 2-3	63.2	1592	1593	22.72%	21.47%	55.82%	-0.77	-7.7	3
2003-04-19	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	49.4	1836	1609	74.24%	17.91%	7.84%	+2.09	+3.1	9
2003-04-19	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	49.4	1609	1836	7.84%	17.91%	74.24%	-2.09	-3.1	1
2003-04-19	Pomorac	W 2-0	44.0	1494	1526	51.86%	21.75%	26.39%	+0.57	+18.5	4
2003-04-19	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	44.0	1526	1494	26.39%	21.75%	51.86%	-0.57	-18.5	4
2003-04-19	Sibenik	W 1-0	45.2	1505	1493	57.01%	21.36%	21.63%	+0.83	+8.2	5
2003-04-19	@ Osijek	L 0-1	45.2	1493	1505	21.63%	21.36%	57.01%	-0.83	-8.2	1
2003-04-19	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	52.2	1473	1586	41.20%	22.09%	36.71%	+0.09	+12.8	6
2003-04-19	@ Zadar	L 0-1	52.2	1586	1473	36.71%	22.09%	41.20%	-0.09	-12.8	4
2003-04-26	Cibalia	W 3-0	43.0	1904	1601	78.31%	16.29%	5.40%	+2.54	+5.7	9
2003-04-26	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	43.0	1601	1904	5.40%	16.29%	78.31%	-2.54	-5.7	4
2003-04-26	Kamen Ingrad	D 3-3	80.8	1606	1584	58.05%	21.25%	20.69%	+0.89	-1.8	2
2003-04-26	@ NK Zagreb	D 3-3	80.8	1584	1606	20.69%	21.25%	58.05%	-0.89	+1.8	4
2003-04-26	Pomorac	W 2-0	42.6	1484	1508	52.95%	21.68%	25.37%	+0.62	+17.9	4
2003-04-26	@ Sibenik	L 0-2	42.6	1508	1484	25.37%	21.68%	52.95%	-0.62	-17.9	4
2003-04-26	Rijeka	W 2-0	43.3	1573	1512	61.92%	20.78%	17.30%	+1.12	+12.7	7
2003-04-26	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	43.3	1512	1573	17.30%	20.78%	61.92%	-1.12	-12.7	4
2003-04-26	Zadar	W 2-1	51.0	1514	1486	58.57%	21.20%	20.24%	+0.92	+7.3	8
2003-04-26	@ Osijek	L 1-2	51.0	1486	1514	20.24%	21.20%	58.57%	-0.92	-7.3	6
2003-04-27	Varteks	W 1-0	51.3	1839	1693	68.94%	19.47%	11.60%	+1.62	+4.6	12
2003-04-27	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	51.3	1693	1839	11.60%	19.47%	68.94%	-1.62	-4.6	3
2003-05-03	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	49.6	1586	1909	16.89%	20.71%	62.40%	-1.15	-12.4	4
2003-05-03	@ Kamen Ingrad	W 2-0	49.6	1909	1586	62.40%	20.71%	16.89%	+1.15	+12.4	12
2003-05-03	Hajduk Split	D 1-1	73.7	1595	1843	23.88%	21.57%	54.55%	-0.70	+2.3	5
2003-05-03	@ Cibalia	D 1-1	73.7	1843	1595	54.55%	21.57%	23.88%	+0.70	-2.3	13
2003-05-03	NK Zagreb	W 3-1	53.9	1689	1604	64.01%	20.46%	15.53%	+1.25	+10.0	6
2003-05-03	@ Varteks	L 1-3	53.9	1604	1689	15.53%	20.46%	64.01%	-1.25	-10.0	2
2003-05-03	Osijek	D 0-0	60.3	1500	1521	53.17%	21.67%	25.16%	+0.63	-2.3	5
2003-05-03	@ Rijeka	D 0-0	60.3	1521	1500	25.16%	21.67%	53.17%	-0.63	+2.3	9
2003-05-03	Sibenik	L 2-3	65.6	1479	1502	52.92%	21.68%	25.40%	+0.62	-15.5	6
2003-05-03	@ Zadar	W 3-2	65.6	1502	1479	25.40%	21.68%	52.92%	-0.62	+15.5	7
2003-05-03	Slaven Belupo	W 3-2	63.6	1490	1586	43.49%	22.06%	34.45%	+0.19	+10.9	7
2003-05-03	@ Pomorac	L 2-3	63.6	1586	1490	34.45%	22.06%	43.49%	-0.19	-10.9	7
2003-05-07	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	55.9	1595	1922	16.61%	20.66%	62.73%	-1.17	-10.6	2
2003-05-07	@ NK Zagreb	W 3-1	55.9	1922	1595	62.73%	20.66%	16.61%	+1.17	+10.6	15
2003-05-07	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	65.0	1573	1841	21.84%	21.38%	56.78%	-0.82	+18.5	7
2003-05-07	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-1	65.0	1841	1573	56.78%	21.38%	21.84%	+0.82	-18.5	13
2003-05-07	Osijek	W 5-0	42.7	1501	1523	53.01%	21.68%	25.31%	+0.63	+41.7	10
2003-05-07	@ Pomorac	L 0-5	42.7	1523	1501	25.31%	21.68%	53.01%	-0.63	-41.7	9
2003-05-07	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	47.5	1518	1575	48.70%	21.91%	29.39%	+0.42	+20.2	10
2003-05-07	@ Sibenik	L 0-2	47.5	1575	1518	29.39%	21.91%	48.70%	-0.42	-20.2	7
2003-05-07	Varteks	L 1-2	66.1	1598	1699	42.87%	22.07%	35.05%	+0.16	-13.7	5
2003-05-07	@ Cibalia	W 2-1	66.1	1699	1598	35.05%	22.07%	42.87%	-0.16	+13.7	9
2003-05-07	Zadar	W 7-0	39.9	1497	1463	59.25%	21.12%	19.63%	+0.96	+45.9	8
2003-05-07	@ Rijeka	L 0-7	39.9	1463	1497	19.63%	21.12%	59.25%	-0.96	-45.9	6
2003-05-10	Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	73.1	1712	1592	67.05%	19.89%	13.06%	+1.47	-4.3	10
2003-05-10	@ Varteks	D 1-1	73.1	1592	1712	13.06%	19.89%	67.05%	-1.47	+4.3	8
2003-05-10	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	57.4	1584	1584	55.63%	21.48%	22.89%	+0.76	+8.2	8
2003-05-10	@ Cibalia	L 1-2	57.4	1584	1584	22.89%	21.48%	55.63%	-0.76	-8.2	2
2003-05-10	Pomorac	W 2-1	55.2	1418	1542	39.50%	22.10%	38.40%	+0.02	+12.5	9
2003-05-10	@ Zadar	L 1-2	55.2	1542	1418	38.40%	22.10%	39.50%	-0.02	-12.5	10
2003-05-10	Sibenik	W 2-0	44.9	1543	1538	56.19%	21.43%	22.38%	+0.79	+16.0	11
2003-05-10	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	44.9	1538	1543	22.38%	21.43%	56.19%	-0.79	-16.0	10
2003-05-10	Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	65.7	1482	1555	46.59%	21.99%	31.42%	+0.32	-1.1	10
2003-05-10	@ Osijek	D 1-1	65.7	1555	1482	31.42%	21.99%	46.59%	-0.32	+1.1	8
2003-05-11	Dinamo Zagreb	W 4-1	59.7	1822	1932	41.62%	22.09%	36.29%	+0.11	+29.4	16
2003-05-11	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-4	59.7	1932	1822	36.29%	22.09%	41.62%	-0.11	-29.3	15
2003-05-17	Cibalia	W 2-0	48.0	1596	1592	56.05%	21.45%	22.51%	+0.78	+16.1	11
2003-05-17	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-2	48.0	1592	1596	22.51%	21.45%	56.05%	-0.78	-16.1	8
2003-05-17	Hajduk Split	W 3-1	68.0	1576	1852	21.04%	21.29%	57.66%	-0.87	+30.7	5
2003-05-17	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-3	68.0	1852	1576	57.66%	21.29%	21.04%	+0.87	-30.7	16
2003-05-17	Osijek	L 0-2	53.2	1522	1480	60.02%	21.03%	18.95%	+1.00	-36.8	10
2003-05-17	@ Sibenik	W 2-0	53.2	1480	1522	18.95%	21.03%	60.02%	-1.00	+36.8	13
2003-05-17	Rijeka	D 1-1	67.6	1530	1559	52.19%	21.73%	26.08%	+0.58	-1.9	11
2003-05-17	@ Pomorac	D 1-1	67.6	1559	1530	26.08%	21.73%	52.19%	-0.58	+1.9	12
2003-05-17	Varteks	W 5-1	48.8	1903	1708	72.33%	18.54%	9.13%	+1.91	+10.8	18
2003-05-17	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-5	48.8	1708	1903	9.13%	18.54%	72.33%	-1.91	-10.8	10
2003-05-17	Zadar	W 5-0	36.9	1556	1430	67.49%	19.80%	12.72%	+1.50	+22.2	11
2003-05-17	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-5	36.9	1430	1556	12.72%	19.80%	67.49%	-1.50	-22.2	9
2003-05-24	Dinamo Zagreb	W 3-2	78.7	1576	1914	15.81%	20.51%	63.68%	-1.23	+18.5	11
2003-05-24	@ Cibalia	L 2-3	78.7	1914	1576	63.68%	20.51%	15.81%	+1.23	-18.5	18
2003-05-24	Hajduk Split	D 2-2	80.2	1697	1821	39.65%	22.10%	38.25%	+0.03	-0.1	11
2003-05-24	@ Varteks	D 2-2	80.2	1821	1697	38.25%	22.10%	39.65%	-0.03	+0.1	17
2003-05-24	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	52.3	1612	1606	56.25%	21.43%	22.32%	+0.79	+8.5	14
2003-05-24	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-1	52.3	1606	1612	22.32%	21.43%	56.25%	-0.79	-8.5	5
2003-05-24	Osijek	W 3-2	58.7	1408	1517	41.68%	22.09%	36.23%	+0.11	+11.3	12
2003-05-24	@ Zadar	L 2-3	58.7	1517	1408	36.23%	22.09%	41.68%	-0.11	-11.3	13
2003-05-24	Sibenik	D 1-1	65.1	1528	1485	60.13%	21.02%	18.85%	+1.01	-3.2	12
2003-05-24	@ Pomorac	D 1-1	65.1	1485	1528	18.85%	21.02%	60.13%	-1.01	+3.2	11
2003-05-24	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	47.5	1561	1578	53.65%	21.63%	24.72%	+0.66	+17.5	15
2003-05-24	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	47.5	1578	1561	24.72%	21.63%	53.65%	-0.66	-17.5	11
2003-05-31	Cibalia	W 1-0	49.3	1821	1595	74.26%	17.91%	7.83%	+2.09	+3.1	20
2003-05-31	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	49.3	1595	1821	7.83%	17.91%	74.26%	-2.09	-3.1	11
2003-05-31	Kamen Ingrad	W 1-0	48.9	1895	1621	76.92%	16.89%	6.19%	+2.38	+2.4	21
2003-05-31	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	48.9	1621	1895	6.19%	16.89%	76.92%	-2.38	-2.4	14
2003-05-31	Pomorac	L 0-1	59.7	1561	1525	59.48%	21.10%	19.42%	+0.97	-19.4	11
2003-05-31	@ Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	59.7	1525	1561	19.42%	21.10%	59.48%	-0.97	+19.4	15
2003-05-31	Rijeka	W 3-2	63.0	1506	1579	46.71%	21.98%	31.31%	+0.33	+10.1	16
2003-05-31	@ Osijek	L 2-3	63.0	1579	1506	31.31%	21.98%	46.71%	-0.33	-10.1	15
2003-05-31	Varteks	D 2-2	78.7	1598	1697	43.11%	22.07%	34.82%	+0.17	-0.4	6
2003-05-31	@ NK Zagreb	D 2-2	78.7	1697	1598	34.82%	22.07%	43.11%	-0.17	+0.4	12
2003-05-31	Zadar	W 6-3	43.3	1488	1419	62.67%	20.67%	16.66%	+1.17	+12.1	14
2003-05-31	@ Sibenik	L 3-6	43.3	1419	1488	16.66%	20.67%	62.67%	-1.17	-12.1	12

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2002-11-30	11.86%	Zadar	1467	2	@ Slaven Belupo	1608	1
2	2002-08-25	14.46%	Osijek	1510	1	@ Rijeka	1609	0
3	2003-05-24	15.81%	@ Cibalia	1576	3	Dinamo Zagreb	1914	2
4	2003-04-13	16.35%	Hajduk Split	1815	1	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1888	0
5	2002-08-31	18.72%	Cibalia	1648	1	@ NK Zagreb	1693	0
6	2003-05-17	18.95%	Osijek	1480	2	@ Sibenik	1522	0
7	2002-10-26	19.07%	Kamen Ingrad	1590	2	@ Slaven Belupo	1630	1
8	2002-09-14	19.11%	Zadar	1502	2	@ Pomorac	1541	1
9	2003-05-31	19.42%	Pomorac	1525	1	@ Slaven Belupo	1561	0
10	2003-05-17	21.04%	@ NK Zagreb	1576	3	Hajduk Split	1852	1
11	2003-03-15	21.63%	@ Pomorac	1483	1	Varteks	1753	0
12	2003-05-07	21.84%	@ Kamen Ingrad	1573	1	Hajduk Split	1841	0
13	2002-09-15	22.26%	Varteks	1662	1	@ Cibalia	1668	0
14	2002-09-14	22.29%	Osijek	1529	2	@ Sibenik	1535	1
15	2002-08-04	22.45%	Cibalia	1575	3	@ Slaven Belupo	1579	2
16	2002-10-05	22.97%	Slaven Belupo	1607	1	@ Rijeka	1606	0
17	2003-02-22	23.45%	Pomorac	1493	3	@ Zadar	1488	2
18	2003-05-03	25.40%	Sibenik	1502	3	@ Zadar	1479	2
19	2002-08-24	26.15%	Varteks	1616	3	@ Sibenik	1586	1
20	2002-08-17	26.46%	Slaven Belupo	1559	2	@ Osijek	1526	1
21	2002-08-17	26.62%	Cibalia	1588	2	@ Zadar	1554	0
22	2003-03-22	27.34%	@ NK Zagreb	1608	2	Hajduk Split	1825	1
23	2002-09-22	28.64%	Dinamo Zagreb	1731	2	@ Varteks	1680	0
24	2002-08-31	30.37%	Slaven Belupo	1582	2	@ Zadar	1517	1
25	2002-07-28	30.86%	Hajduk Split	1686	1	@ Varteks	1616	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-05-07	45.88	@ Rijeka	7	1497	59.25%	Zadar	0	1463	19.63%	21.12%
2	2002-08-04	43.31	Dinamo Zagreb	5	1682	34.95%	@ Osijek	1	1582	42.98%	22.07%
3	2002-11-16	42.00	@ Sibenik	3	1492	32.12%	NK Zagreb	0	1670	45.87%	22.01%
4	2003-05-07	41.69	@ Pomorac	5	1501	53.01%	Osijek	0	1523	25.31%	21.68%
5	2002-10-19	37.31	Varteks	5	1646	42.32%	@ Zadar	1	1494	35.60%	22.08%
6	2003-05-17	36.83	Osijek	2	1480	18.95%	@ Sibenik	0	1522	60.02%	21.03%
7	2003-04-19	35.69	Dinamo Zagreb	3	1868	40.42%	@ Varteks	0	1729	37.48%	22.10%
8	2002-08-17	32.04	Cibalia	2	1588	26.62%	@ Zadar	0	1554	51.61%	21.77%
9	2002-09-22	30.87	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1731	28.64%	@ Varteks	0	1680	49.49%	21.88%
10	2003-05-17	30.71	@ NK Zagreb	3	1576	21.04%	Hajduk Split	1	1852	57.66%	21.29%
11	2003-05-11	29.35	@ Hajduk Split	4	1822	41.62%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1932	36.29%	22.09%
12	2002-08-24	28.10	@ Cibalia	4	1620	43.56%	Hajduk Split	1	1716	34.38%	22.06%
13	2002-08-24	27.99	Varteks	3	1616	26.15%	@ Sibenik	1	1586	52.11%	21.74%
14	2003-03-01	24.29	@ Kamen Ingrad	4	1576	61.78%	Sibenik	0	1517	17.42%	20.80%
15	2002-10-06	23.73	Hajduk Split	2	1710	42.07%	@ Osijek	0	1559	35.85%	22.08%
16	2002-08-31	22.98	@ Rijeka	5	1588	58.80%	Sibenik	1	1558	20.03%	21.17%
17	2002-11-16	22.98	Varteks	2	1700	43.51%	@ Rijeka	0	1539	34.43%	22.06%
18	2003-05-17	22.20	@ Slaven Belupo	5	1556	67.49%	Zadar	0	1430	12.72%	19.80%
19	2002-11-16	21.85	@ Slaven Belupo	4	1586	63.99%	Osijek	0	1502	15.54%	20.46%
20	2002-09-21	21.38	@ Osijek	3	1547	58.47%	Zadar	0	1520	20.32%	21.21%
21	2003-03-01	21.28	Hajduk Split	3	1794	58.59%	@ Pomorac	0	1509	20.21%	21.20%
22	2002-08-25	21.16	Osijek	1	1510	14.46%	@ Rijeka	0	1609	65.30%	20.23%
23	2002-11-30	20.89	Zadar	2	1467	11.86%	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1608	68.59%	19.55%
24	2003-04-13	20.46	Hajduk Split	1	1815	16.35%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	0	1888	63.04%	20.62%
25	2002-10-20	20.25	@ Hajduk Split	3	1733	59.82%	NK Zagreb	0	1694	19.12%	21.06%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-04-26	80.8	@ NK Zagreb	3	1606	58.05%	Kamen Ingrad	3	1584	20.69%	21.25%
2	2003-05-24	80.2	@ Varteks	2	1697	39.65%	Hajduk Split	2	1821	38.25%	22.10%
3	2003-05-24	78.7	@ Cibalia	3	1576	15.81%	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1914	63.68%	20.51%
4	2003-05-31	78.7	@ NK Zagreb	2	1598	43.11%	Varteks	2	1697	34.82%	22.07%
5	2002-10-29	77.0	@ Osijek	2	1526	36.28%	NK Zagreb	2	1674	41.63%	22.09%
6	2002-10-19	74.1	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1775	72.05%	Kamen Ingrad	1	1585	9.33%	18.63%
7	2002-09-14	73.8	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1735	61.99%	NK Zagreb	1	1673	17.24%	20.77%
8	2003-05-03	73.7	@ Cibalia	1	1595	23.88%	Hajduk Split	1	1843	54.55%	21.57%
9	2002-11-02	73.5	@ Sibenik	3	1497	58.59%	Zadar	3	1470	20.21%	21.20%
10	2002-08-31	73.4	@ Osijek	2	1531	54.62%	Pomorac	2	1540	23.82%	21.56%
11	2002-11-17	73.3	@ Kamen Ingrad	1	1613	33.78%	Hajduk Split	1	1779	44.17%	22.05%
12	2003-05-10	73.1	@ Varteks	1	1712	67.05%	Kamen Ingrad	1	1592	13.06%	19.89%
13	2002-07-26	72.7	@ NK Zagreb	1	1696	66.86%	Osijek	1	1578	13.21%	19.93%
14	2002-08-04	72.4	Cibalia	3	1575	22.45%	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1579	56.11%	21.44%
15	2002-07-27	71.8	@ Cibalia	1	1575	42.09%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1682	35.83%	22.08%
16	2002-08-24	71.8	@ Kamen Ingrad	1	1570	39.88%	NK Zagreb	1	1692	38.02%	22.10%
17	2003-04-12	71.0	@ NK Zagreb	1	1612	57.97%	Cibalia	1	1591	20.77%	21.26%
18	2003-03-15	70.9	@ Cibalia	1	1611	58.16%	Kamen Ingrad	1	1588	20.60%	21.24%
19	2002-11-30	69.9	@ Pomorac	2	1495	57.51%	Osijek	2	1478	21.18%	21.31%
20	2002-08-10	69.6	@ Cibalia	1	1591	59.54%	Pomorac	1	1554	19.37%	21.09%
21	2002-10-26	69.6	Kamen Ingrad	2	1590	19.07%	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1630	59.88%	21.05%
22	2003-03-22	69.6	@ NK Zagreb	2	1608	27.34%	Hajduk Split	1	1825	50.85%	21.81%
23	2002-08-10	68.8	@ Rijeka	3	1607	44.23%	NK Zagreb	2	1698	33.72%	22.05%
24	2002-08-03	68.7	@ Pomorac	1	1557	54.63%	Kamen Ingrad	1	1565	23.80%	21.56%
25	2002-08-10	68.7	@ Kamen Ingrad	1	1568	57.43%	Zadar	1	1551	21.25%	21.32%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-05-17	36.9	@ Slaven Belupo	5	1556	67.49%	Zadar	0	1430	12.72%	19.80%
2	2003-05-07	39.9	@ Rijeka	7	1497	59.25%	Zadar	0	1463	19.63%	21.12%
3	2002-11-16	40.8	@ Slaven Belupo	4	1586	63.99%	Osijek	0	1502	15.54%	20.46%
4	2003-03-08	41.0	@ Hajduk Split	4	1815	79.80%	Zadar	0	1481	4.61%	15.58%
5	2003-04-05	41.5	@ Slaven Belupo	3	1572	61.58%	Sibenik	0	1514	17.59%	20.83%
6	2003-03-01	41.7	@ Kamen Ingrad	4	1576	61.78%	Sibenik	0	1517	17.42%	20.80%
7	2002-09-21	41.8	@ Osijek	3	1547	58.47%	Zadar	0	1520	20.32%	21.21%
8	2003-04-26	42.6	@ Sibenik	2	1484	52.95%	Pomorac	0	1508	25.37%	21.68%
9	2003-05-07	42.7	@ Pomorac	5	1501	53.01%	Osijek	0	1523	25.31%	21.68%
10	2003-04-26	43.0	@ Dinamo Zagreb	3	1904	78.31%	Cibalia	0	1601	5.40%	16.29%
11	2003-03-16	43.2	@ Hajduk Split	2	1822	79.50%	Osijek	0	1494	4.77%	15.73%
12	2003-04-26	43.3	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1573	61.92%	Rijeka	0	1512	17.30%	20.78%
13	2003-05-31	43.3	@ Sibenik	6	1488	62.67%	Zadar	3	1419	16.66%	20.67%
14	2003-03-15	43.5	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1570	61.34%	Rijeka	0	1515	17.79%	20.86%
15	2002-11-03	44.0	@ Dinamo Zagreb	6	1782	75.89%	Osijek	0	1526	6.80%	17.31%
16	2003-04-19	44.0	@ Rijeka	2	1494	51.86%	Pomorac	0	1526	26.39%	21.75%
17	2003-04-06	44.5	@ Dinamo Zagreb	5	1876	75.73%	NK Zagreb	0	1624	6.90%	17.37%
18	2002-09-01	44.6	@ Varteks	3	1644	63.11%	Kamen Ingrad	0	1570	16.28%	20.60%
19	2003-03-01	44.9	@ Zadar	1	1472	53.49%	Osijek	0	1490	24.87%	21.65%
20	2003-05-10	44.9	@ Rijeka	2	1543	56.19%	Sibenik	0	1538	22.38%	21.43%
21	2002-08-10	45.0	@ Varteks	2	1595	61.43%	Osijek	0	1539	17.72%	20.85%
22	2003-04-12	45.1	@ Pomorac	4	1507	57.25%	Zadar	1	1492	21.42%	21.33%
23	2003-04-19	45.2	@ Osijek	1	1505	57.01%	Sibenik	0	1493	21.63%	21.36%
24	2002-11-23	45.4	@ Hajduk Split	4	1778	68.66%	Cibalia	0	1636	11.81%	19.53%
25	2003-04-05	45.5	@ Hajduk Split	2	1809	74.28%	Kamen Ingrad	0	1582	7.82%	17.90%