2004-05 Prva HNL Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Hajduk Split

42 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 2003-04

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Slaven Belupo

8.48 points above expected

37 points · 28.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Medimurje

13.19 points below expected

13 points · 26.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Hajduk Split Champion	22	13	3	6	42	39	23	+16	41.15	+0.85
2	Rijeka	22	10	8	4	38	37	23	+14	33.81	+4.19
3	Slaven Belupo	22	11	4	7	37	29	25	+4	28.52	+8.48
4	Inter Zapresic	22	10	5	7	35	25	22	+3	31.04	+3.96
5	Varteks	22	11	1	10	34	39	30	+9	32.05	+1.95
6	NK Zagreb	22	10	3	9	33	27	24	+3	26.25	+6.75
7	Dinamo Zagreb	22	9	6	7	33	38	30	+8	42.07	-9.07
8	Kamen Ingrad	22	10	2	10	32	30	28	+2	31.28	+0.72
9	Osijek	22	7	9	6	30	29	32	-3	27.50	+2.50
10	Pula 1856	22	6	8	8	26	21	23	-2	25.47	+0.53
11	Zadar	22	5	1	16	16	25	55	-30	23.67	-7.67
12	Medimurje	22	3	4	15	13	18	42	-24	26.19	-13.19
13	Cibalia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	+0.00
14	Marsonia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	+0.00

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dinamo Zagreb	10	8	2	0	26	30	9	+21	—	—
2	Hajduk Split	10	7	2	1	23	17	6	+11	60.37	-37.37
3	Kamen Ingrad	10	5	3	2	18	13	9	+4	47.58	-29.58
4	NK Zagreb	10	5	2	3	17	12	9	+3	44.87	-27.87
5	Inter Zapresic	10	5	0	5	15	18	15	+3	47.11	-32.11
6	Slaven Belupo	10	4	2	4	14	15	12	+3	50.41	-36.41
7	Cibalia	10	3	2	5	11	14	18	-4	—	—
8	Rijeka	10	3	2	5	11	10	16	-6	52.95	-41.95
9	Osijek	10	3	1	6	10	14	17	-3	44.49	-34.49
10	Varteks	10	2	3	5	9	12	17	-5	47.00	-38.00
11	Marsonia	10	1	5	4	8	7	16	-9	—	—
12	Zadar	10	0	4	6	4	9	27	-18	25.26	-21.26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Slaven Belupo	37	28.52	+8.48
2	NK Zagreb	33	26.25	+6.75
3	Rijeka	38	33.81	+4.19
4	Inter Zapresic	35	31.04	+3.96
5	Osijek	30	27.50	+2.50

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Medimurje	13	26.19	-13.19
2	Dinamo Zagreb	33	42.07	-9.07
3	Zadar	16	23.67	-7.67
4	Cibalia	0	0.00	+0.00
5	Marsonia	0	0.00	+0.00

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inter Zapresic	6	Jul 24 – Aug 29	1 in 372
2	Varteks	5	Oct 2 – Nov 6	1 in 64
3	NK Zagreb	3	Dec 4 – Mar 5	1 in 31
4	Slaven Belupo	3	Aug 21 – Sep 11	1 in 29
5	Hajduk Split	4	Sep 25 – Oct 23	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Medimurje	7	Nov 6 – Mar 5	1 in 120
2	NK Zagreb	4	Aug 14 – Sep 11	1 in 85
3	Dinamo Zagreb	2	Dec 5 – Feb 26	1 in 22
4	Varteks	3	Dec 4 – Mar 5	1 in 15
5	Osijek	3	Aug 14 – Aug 29	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	NK Zagreb	8	Oct 30 – Mar 5	1 in 224
2	Osijek	9	Sep 11 – Nov 13	1 in 119
3	Rijeka	8	Nov 6 – Mar 12	1 in 35
4	Inter Zapresic	6	Jul 24 – Aug 29	1 in 21
5	Pula 1856	5	Dec 4 – Mar 19	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dinamo Zagreb	5	Jul 31 – Aug 29	1 in 134
2	Medimurje	13	Sep 25 – Mar 12	1 in 63
3	Pula 1856	9	Sep 11 – Nov 13	1 in 34
4	Hajduk Split	2	Jul 23 – Jul 31	1 in 17
5	NK Zagreb	4	Aug 14 – Sep 11	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Hajduk Split	1775	65	-2	10	9.5	+0.5
Dinamo Zagreb	1766	59	-24	6	9.1	-3.1
Slaven Belupo	1636	51	+49	12	6.9	+5.1
NK Zagreb	1595	50	+29	12	6.9	+5.1
Kamen Ingrad	1618	50	-11	6	7.0	-1.0
Inter Zapresic	1602	50	-16	5	7.1	-2.1
Rijeka	1660	49	+23	8	7.6	+0.4
Varteks	1613	43	-45	3	7.0	-4.0
Osijek	1583	40	+4	5	5.9	-0.9
Pula 1856	1558	26	+32	11	6.7	+4.3
Zadar	1411	20	-36	3	4.7	-1.7
Medimurje	1486	13	-3	4	5.2	-1.2
Cibalia	1541	11	-2	7	7.0	-0.0
Marsonia	1467	8	-38	3	6.1	-3.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CIB	DZ	HS	IZ	KI	MAR	MED	NZ	OSI	P1	RIJ	SB	VAR	ZAD
Cibalia	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Dinamo Zagreb	0-0-0 0.00	—	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 3.84	1-1-0 3.83	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 4.48	0-0-2 4.37	0-2-0 4.12	1-1-0 4.40	0-1-1 3.98	0-0-2 3.93	1-1-0 4.01	2-0-0 4.65
Hajduk Split	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.60	—	2-0-0 3.73	1-0-1 3.75	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 4.06	0-0-2 4.33	0-2-0 3.94	1-1-0 4.26	1-0-1 3.67	1-0-1 4.09	2-0-0 3.66	2-0-0 4.57
Inter Zapresic	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 1.76	0-0-2 1.86	—	1-1-0 2.76	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.25	2-0-0 3.13	0-0-2 3.29	0-2-0 3.20	0-1-1 2.75	1-0-1 3.13	2-0-0 2.74	2-0-0 3.74
Kamen Ingrad	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 1.77	1-0-1 1.85	0-1-1 2.81	—	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.31	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 3.35	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.96
Marsonia	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Medimurje	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 1.16	0-0-2 1.57	0-1-1 2.32	0-0-2 2.28	0-0-0 0.00	—	1-0-1 2.58	0-2-0 2.39	0-1-1 2.75	0-0-2 2.54	0-0-2 2.33	1-0-1 2.02	1-0-1 3.09
NK Zagreb	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 1.26	2-0-0 1.30	0-0-2 2.45	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.99	—	1-1-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.27	0-1-1 2.74	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 3.35
Osijek	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 1.50	0-2-0 1.66	2-0-0 2.28	1-0-1 2.45	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 3.21	0-1-1 2.91	—	1-0-1 3.16	0-1-1 2.47	1-1-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.59	2-0-0 3.41
Pula 1856	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 1.23	0-1-1 1.36	0-2-0 2.37	1-0-1 2.22	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.42	—	0-2-0 2.34	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 3.50
Rijeka	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 1.64	1-0-1 1.92	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.70	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.31	1-1-0 3.10	0-2-0 3.25	—	0-2-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 3.70
Slaven Belupo	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 1.69	1-0-1 1.52	1-0-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.52	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.23	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 3.05	0-2-0 2.49	—	0-0-2 2.63	2-0-0 3.69
Varteks	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 1.59	0-0-2 1.94	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 2.62	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.55	2-0-0 3.00	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 2.79	2-0-0 2.94	—	1-0-1 3.74
Zadar	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 1.01	0-0-2 1.08	0-0-2 1.86	1-0-1 1.64	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-2 2.17	1-0-1 2.09	0-1-1 1.89	0-0-2 1.90	1-0-1 1.86	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.84	+9.9
Allowed	0.10	+3.1
Differential	0.30	+5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.29%	7.81%	8.07%	3.12%	1.30%	1.04%	28.65%
1	7.81%	9.38%	7.03%	4.43%	2.60%	0.52%	31.77%
2	8.07%	7.03%	4.17%	1.82%	0.78%	—	21.88%
3	3.12%	4.43%	1.82%	0.52%	0.78%	—	10.68%
4	1.30%	2.60%	0.78%	0.78%	—	—	5.47%
5+	1.04%	0.52%	—	—	—	—	1.56%
Total	28.65%	31.77%	21.88%	10.68%	5.47%	1.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.38	+0.00
SD	1.25	1.25	1.90
CV	0.91	0.91	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
1	—	—	10.00%	20.00%	—	—	30.00%
2	—	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	40.00%
3	—	10.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.00%	30.00%	30.00%	30.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.40	1.80	-0.40
SD	0.97	1.03	1.43
CV	0.69	0.57	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	15.62%
1	3.12%	9.38%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
2	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
3	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
4	—	9.38%	—	6.25%	—	—	15.62%
5+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	28.12%	40.62%	15.62%	12.50%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.12	1.22	+0.91
SD	1.52	1.10	1.80
CV	0.71	0.90	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
1	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
2	21.88%	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	31.25%
3	—	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	15.62%
4	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	46.88%	28.12%	15.62%	6.25%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.75	0.91	+0.84
SD	1.30	1.09	1.82
CV	0.74	1.20	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.25%	15.62%	—	—	—	31.25%
1	15.62%	3.12%	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	34.38%
2	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
3	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
4	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.62%	15.62%	31.25%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.16	+0.19
SD	1.29	1.11	1.71
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
1	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	3.12%	—	34.38%
2	9.38%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
3	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	34.38%	25.00%	6.25%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.16	+0.19
SD	1.21	1.05	1.60
CV	0.90	0.91	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	—	—	30.00%	—	—	60.00%
1	—	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
2	—	—	10.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	—	10.00%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	10.00%	30.00%	30.00%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.70	1.60	-0.90
SD	1.06	1.26	1.52
CV	1.51	0.79	—
Max	3	3	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 10

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	40.91%
1	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	45.45%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	13.64%	31.82%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	1.91	-1.09
SD	0.96	1.44	1.90
CV	1.17	0.76	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	28.12%
1	15.62%	9.38%	9.38%	—	3.12%	—	37.50%
2	6.25%	15.62%	3.12%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
4	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.12%	46.88%	21.88%	—	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.03	+0.19
SD	1.10	0.90	1.45
CV	0.90	0.87	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	9.38%	—	6.25%	—	28.12%
1	—	18.75%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	31.25%
2	6.25%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
3	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.62%	43.75%	21.88%	9.38%	9.38%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.53	-0.19
SD	1.18	1.16	1.84
CV	0.88	0.76	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	45.45%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.05	-0.09
SD	1.00	1.00	1.54
CV	1.05	0.96	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	3.12%	25.00%
1	3.12%	15.62%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	9.38%	12.50%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	34.38%
3	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
4	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	40.62%	28.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.22	+0.25
SD	1.16	1.07	1.74
CV	0.79	0.88	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	9.38%	9.38%	—	—	3.12%	25.00%
1	12.50%	12.50%	9.38%	—	—	—	34.38%
2	15.62%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	28.12%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	—	6.25%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	31.25%	40.62%	21.88%	—	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.16	+0.22
SD	1.21	1.27	1.88
CV	0.88	1.10	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	28.12%
1	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
2	6.25%	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	15.62%
3	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	—	12.50%
4	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	40.62%	15.62%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.47	+0.12
SD	1.58	1.50	2.50
CV	0.99	1.02	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	3.12%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	34.38%
1	—	6.25%	3.12%	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	34.38%
2	—	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	21.88%
3	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	21.88%	21.88%	18.75%	21.88%	9.38%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	2.56	-1.50
SD	0.98	1.46	1.92
CV	0.92	0.57	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dinamo Zagreb	1817	33	42.07	-9.07	5.0%	27	32	38	42	46	50	58
Hajduk Split	1767	42	41.15	+0.85	59.0%	26	30	37	42	45	50	53
Kamen Ingrad	1625	32	31.28	+0.72	56.0%	20	23	27	31	35	39	44
Varteks	1595	34	32.05	+1.95	67.0%	13	21	28	32	35	42	46
Inter Zapresic	1586	35	31.04	+3.96	82.0%	18	22	28	31	34	41	45
Slaven Belupo	1581	37	28.52	+8.48	95.0%	16	19	25	28	32	37	44
Rijeka	1579	38	33.81	+4.19	81.0%	15	25	30	34	37	42	45
Osijek	1574	30	27.50	+2.50	69.0%	11	18	23	28	31	36	40
NK Zagreb	1560	33	26.25	+6.75	89.0%	12	17	22	26	31	35	39
Pula 1856	1558	26	25.47	+0.53	58.0%	9	17	22	26	30	34	39
Cibalia	1541	0	0.00	+0.00	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Medimurje	1486	13	26.19	-13.19	1.0%	13	16	22	26	31	34	38
Zadar	1486	16	23.67	-7.67	13.0%	11	15	20	24	27	32	43
Marsonia	1467	0	0.00	+0.00	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 18.5% * Slight Edge: 18.5% to 25.5% * Clear Edge: 25.5% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+38.02%

Strong Edge

58.33%21.35%20.31%

Elo Value

Home Edge

178 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0139.08500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.83 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.78+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.13 * Tight Race: 0.13 to 0.23 * Comfortable: 0.23 to 0.46 * Runaway: 0.46 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.7

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

44%

Hajduk Split, 1st of 14

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.21/gm

Tight Race

00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.17 * Some Luck: 4.17 to 6.25 * Lucky: 6.25 to 8.33 * Wild Swing: 8.33 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.51 * Close: 1.51 to 2.27 * Off: 2.27 to 3.03 * Way Off: 3.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.84 points

Some Luck

05.2113

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.93

01.894

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

100.00%

Cibalia

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

1.00%

Medimurje

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 14

Minimal Outliers

01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.22 * Lopsided: 0.22 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.85 * Moderate Separation: 1.85 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67% * Clear Edge: 67% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90% * Clear Edge: 90% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95.5% * Dominant: 95.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58% * Some Drama: 58% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 64% * Very Frequent: 64% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 16.5% * Frequent: 16.5% to 19.5% * Very Frequent: 19.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.26

Lopsided

00.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 97.52

2.33

Strong Separation

11.852.353.5

Interquartile Edge

61%

Even

50%65%71%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

Even

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Few

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Frequent

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Lopsided: 0.46 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Strong Carryover: 0.65 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 21.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 21.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 17% * Very Shaky: 17% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.54

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.45

Notable Separation

00.390.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.09

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.57

Some Carryover

00.570.791

Upset Rate

Expected

19%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Shaky Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.

Probability calibration

0.91

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.05

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.063

Well Within Noise

00.1070.25

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Hajduk Split	44.00%	26.00%	13.00%	7.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Rijeka	4.00%	12.00%	20.00%	21.00%	9.00%	13.00%	9.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Slaven Belupo	—	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	19.00%	8.00%	6.00%	18.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	9.00%	—	—
Inter Zapresic	3.00%	4.00%	10.00%	8.00%	17.00%	12.00%	18.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—
Varteks	2.00%	7.00%	13.00%	20.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	16.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—
NK Zagreb	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	13.00%	14.00%	14.00%	16.00%	—	—
Dinamo Zagreb	42.00%	34.00%	13.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Kamen Ingrad	2.00%	7.00%	15.00%	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	9.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Osijek	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	10.00%	11.00%	7.00%	13.00%	15.00%	9.00%	—	—
Pula 1856	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	15.00%	18.00%	13.00%	18.00%	—	—
Zadar	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	11.00%	24.00%	28.00%	—	—
Medimurje	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	5.00%	13.00%	13.00%	6.00%	10.00%	13.00%	19.00%	14.00%	—	—
Cibalia	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	54.00%	46.00%
Marsonia	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	46.00%	54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
Cibalia	100%	—	—
Dinamo Zagreb	100%	—	—
Hajduk Split	100%	—	—
Marsonia	100%	—	—
Rijeka	100%	—	—
Inter Zapresic	95.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Kamen Ingrad	96.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Varteks	94.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Slaven Belupo	90.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Osijek	82.00%	10.00%	8.00%
NK Zagreb	76.00%	15.00%	9.00%
Pula 1856	68.00%	14.00%	18.00%
Medimurje	61.00%	17.00%	22.00%
Zadar	38.00%	26.00%	36.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff final	Lost relegation playoff
Cibalia	100%	—	—
Hajduk Split	100%	—	—
Inter Zapresic	100%	—	—
Kamen Ingrad	100%	—	—
Marsonia	100%	—	—
NK Zagreb	100%	—	—
Osijek	99.82%	0.18%	—
Rijeka	100%	—	—
Slaven Belupo	100%	—	—
Varteks	100%	—	—
Zadar	1.38%	59.01%	39.61%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2004-07-21	Osijek	L 1-2	68.0	1581	1574	57.36%	21.35%	21.29%	+0.82	-11.2	0
2004-07-21	@ Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	68.0	1574	1581	21.29%	21.35%	57.36%	-0.82	+11.2	3
2004-07-23	Pula 1856	D 1-1	74.7	1767	1544	76.03%	15.96%	8.00%	+2.03	-3.4	1
2004-07-23	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	74.7	1544	1767	8.00%	15.96%	76.03%	-2.03	+3.4	1
2004-07-24	Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	60.7	1560	1586	53.50%	21.87%	24.63%	+0.63	-11.2	0
2004-07-24	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	60.7	1586	1560	24.63%	21.87%	53.50%	-0.63	+11.2	3
2004-07-24	Rijeka	L 1-2	68.3	1588	1579	57.50%	21.33%	21.17%	+0.83	-11.2	0
2004-07-24	@ Medimurje	W 2-1	68.3	1579	1588	21.17%	21.33%	57.50%	-0.83	+11.2	3
2004-07-24	Varteks	W 3-2	63.3	1625	1595	59.89%	20.92%	19.19%	+0.95	+4.2	3
2004-07-24	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 2-3	63.3	1595	1625	19.19%	20.92%	59.89%	-0.95	-4.2	0
2004-07-25	Dinamo Zagreb	L 3-4	66.4	1486	1817	17.13%	20.40%	62.47%	-1.08	-3.7	0
2004-07-25	@ Zadar	W 4-3	66.4	1817	1486	62.47%	20.40%	17.13%	+1.08	+3.7	3
2004-07-31	Dinamo Zagreb	D 3-3	83.7	1548	1821	22.21%	21.51%	56.27%	-0.75	+1.0	2
2004-07-31	@ Pula 1856	D 3-3	83.7	1821	1548	56.27%	21.51%	22.21%	+0.75	-1.0	4
2004-07-31	Kamen Ingrad	W 2-1	60.3	1591	1629	51.99%	22.03%	25.97%	+0.56	+5.8	6
2004-07-31	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	60.3	1629	1591	25.97%	22.03%	51.99%	-0.56	-5.8	3
2004-07-31	Medimurje	W 3-0	45.6	1597	1576	58.91%	21.10%	20.00%	+0.90	+13.4	6
2004-07-31	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-3	45.6	1576	1597	20.00%	21.10%	58.91%	-0.90	-13.4	0
2004-07-31	NK Zagreb	L 2-4	75.6	1763	1548	75.54%	16.18%	8.28%	+1.99	-22.0	1
2004-07-31	@ Hajduk Split	W 4-2	75.6	1548	1763	8.28%	16.18%	75.54%	-1.99	+22.0	3
2004-07-31	Zadar	W 3-1	48.3	1586	1482	66.93%	19.27%	13.80%	+1.36	+5.6	6
2004-07-31	@ Osijek	L 1-3	48.3	1482	1586	13.80%	19.27%	66.93%	-1.36	-5.6	0
2004-08-01	Slaven Belupo	W 6-0	46.3	1591	1570	58.87%	21.10%	20.02%	+0.90	+25.6	3
2004-08-01	@ Varteks	L 0-6	46.3	1570	1591	20.02%	21.10%	58.87%	-0.90	-25.6	0
2004-08-07	Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	64.0	1624	1611	58.03%	21.24%	20.72%	+0.85	-12.0	3
2004-08-07	@ Kamen Ingrad	W 1-0	64.0	1611	1624	20.72%	21.24%	58.03%	-0.85	+12.0	9
2004-08-07	Pula 1856	W 2-0	46.2	1570	1549	58.97%	21.09%	19.95%	+0.90	+9.2	6
2004-08-07	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-2	46.2	1549	1570	19.95%	21.09%	58.97%	-0.90	-9.2	2
2004-08-07	Osijek	D 0-0	70.8	1820	1591	76.43%	15.79%	7.78%	+2.06	-3.9	5
2004-08-07	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	70.8	1591	1820	7.78%	15.79%	76.43%	-2.06	+3.9	7
2004-08-07	Rijeka	D 0-0	64.6	1544	1596	50.36%	22.18%	27.46%	+0.49	-1.2	1
2004-08-07	@ Slaven Belupo	D 0-0	64.6	1596	1544	27.46%	22.18%	50.36%	-0.49	+1.2	7
2004-08-07	Varteks	W 3-1	57.7	1477	1616	38.37%	22.65%	38.98%	+0.00	+14.0	3
2004-08-07	@ Zadar	L 1-3	57.7	1616	1477	38.98%	22.65%	38.37%	+0.00	-14.0	3
2004-08-08	Hajduk Split	L 1-3	60.7	1563	1741	33.04%	22.55%	44.41%	-0.22	-12.3	0
2004-08-08	@ Medimurje	W 3-1	60.7	1741	1563	44.41%	22.55%	33.04%	+0.22	+12.3	4
2004-08-14	Kamen Ingrad	W 2-0	47.4	1754	1612	70.16%	18.25%	11.58%	+1.58	+5.4	7
2004-08-14	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	47.4	1612	1754	11.58%	18.25%	70.16%	-1.58	-5.4	3
2004-08-14	Medimurje	L 0-1	61.9	1580	1551	59.76%	20.94%	19.30%	+0.94	-12.3	6
2004-08-14	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	61.9	1551	1580	19.30%	20.94%	59.76%	-0.94	+12.3	3
2004-08-14	Osijek	W 2-0	49.3	1540	1595	49.94%	22.22%	27.84%	+0.47	+12.3	5
2004-08-14	@ Pula 1856	L 0-2	49.3	1595	1540	27.84%	22.22%	49.94%	-0.47	-12.3	7
2004-08-14	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	45.8	1623	1543	64.75%	19.85%	15.39%	+1.23	+7.2	12
2004-08-14	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-2	45.8	1543	1623	15.39%	19.85%	64.75%	-1.23	-7.2	1
2004-08-15	Dinamo Zagreb	D 2-2	79.9	1602	1816	28.66%	22.29%	49.06%	-0.42	+0.7	4
2004-08-15	@ Varteks	D 2-2	79.9	1816	1602	49.06%	22.29%	28.66%	+0.42	-0.7	6
2004-08-16	Zadar	W 2-0	42.7	1598	1491	67.24%	19.18%	13.58%	+1.38	+6.3	10
2004-08-16	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	42.7	1491	1598	13.58%	19.18%	67.24%	-1.38	-6.3	3
2004-08-21	Hajduk Split	W 1-0	62.9	1536	1759	27.52%	22.19%	50.29%	-0.47	+10.6	4
2004-08-21	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	62.9	1759	1536	50.29%	22.19%	27.52%	+0.47	-10.6	7
2004-08-21	Inter Zapresic	L 0-2	51.8	1484	1630	37.54%	22.65%	39.81%	-0.04	-15.7	3
2004-08-21	@ Zadar	W 2-0	51.8	1630	1484	39.81%	22.65%	37.54%	+0.04	+15.7	15
2004-08-21	Pula 1856	D 1-1	68.9	1563	1552	57.81%	21.28%	20.91%	+0.84	-1.8	4
2004-08-21	@ Medimurje	D 1-1	68.9	1552	1563	20.91%	21.28%	57.81%	-0.84	+1.8	6
2004-08-21	NK Zagreb	W 4-1	50.4	1606	1567	60.79%	20.75%	18.46%	+1.00	+10.5	6
2004-08-21	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 1-4	50.4	1567	1606	18.46%	20.75%	60.79%	-1.00	-10.5	6
2004-08-21	Rijeka	D 1-1	75.5	1815	1604	75.27%	16.30%	8.43%	+1.97	-3.4	7
2004-08-21	@ Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	75.5	1604	1815	8.43%	16.30%	75.27%	-1.97	+3.4	11
2004-08-21	Varteks	L 1-3	64.7	1583	1603	54.22%	21.79%	23.99%	+0.67	-18.5	7
2004-08-21	@ Osijek	W 3-1	64.7	1603	1583	23.99%	21.79%	54.22%	-0.67	+18.5	7
2004-08-28	Kamen Ingrad	L 1-4	60.4	1561	1617	49.90%	22.22%	27.88%	+0.47	-24.3	4
2004-08-28	@ Medimurje	W 4-1	60.4	1617	1561	27.88%	22.22%	49.90%	-0.47	+24.3	9
2004-08-28	Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	57.1	1557	1547	57.72%	21.29%	20.98%	+0.84	-22.5	6
2004-08-28	@ NK Zagreb	W 2-0	57.1	1547	1557	20.98%	21.29%	57.72%	-0.84	+22.5	7
2004-08-28	Varteks	W 3-0	48.8	1554	1622	48.33%	22.34%	29.33%	+0.40	+18.7	9
2004-08-28	@ Pula 1856	L 0-3	48.8	1622	1554	29.33%	22.34%	48.33%	-0.40	-18.7	7
2004-08-28	Zadar	W 4-0	40.0	1749	1468	79.62%	14.27%	6.11%	+2.35	+5.0	10
2004-08-28	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-4	40.0	1468	1749	6.11%	14.27%	79.62%	-2.35	-5.0	3
2004-08-29	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	62.1	1646	1812	34.71%	22.60%	42.69%	-0.15	+9.2	18
2004-08-29	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	62.1	1812	1646	42.69%	22.60%	34.71%	+0.15	-9.2	7
2004-08-29	Osijek	W 4-0	44.5	1607	1564	61.22%	20.66%	18.12%	+1.02	+15.9	14
2004-08-29	@ Rijeka	L 0-4	44.5	1564	1607	18.12%	20.66%	61.22%	-1.02	-15.9	7
2004-09-11	Hajduk Split	W 3-0	48.7	1802	1754	61.80%	20.54%	17.66%	+1.05	+11.9	10
2004-09-11	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	48.7	1754	1802	17.66%	20.54%	61.80%	-1.05	-11.9	10
2004-09-11	Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	53.2	1548	1655	43.09%	22.59%	34.32%	+0.18	+14.6	10
2004-09-11	@ Osijek	L 0-2	53.2	1655	1548	34.32%	22.59%	43.09%	-0.18	-14.6	18
2004-09-11	Pula 1856	W 1-0	50.7	1641	1572	63.72%	20.11%	16.17%	+1.17	+4.0	12
2004-09-11	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-1	50.7	1572	1641	16.17%	20.11%	63.72%	-1.17	-4.0	9
2004-09-11	Medimurje	W 2-0	45.4	1569	1537	60.10%	20.88%	19.02%	+0.96	+8.8	10
2004-09-11	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	45.4	1537	1569	19.02%	20.88%	60.10%	-0.96	-8.8	4
2004-09-11	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	54.7	1463	1534	47.92%	22.37%	29.71%	+0.38	+6.5	6
2004-09-11	@ Zadar	L 1-2	54.7	1534	1463	29.71%	22.37%	47.92%	-0.38	-6.5	6
2004-09-11	Rijeka	W 2-0	50.3	1603	1623	54.23%	21.79%	23.99%	+0.67	+10.9	10
2004-09-11	@ Varteks	L 0-2	50.3	1623	1603	23.99%	21.79%	54.23%	-0.67	-10.8	14
2004-09-18	Osijek	D 1-1	74.2	1742	1563	72.98%	17.23%	9.79%	+1.78	-3.2	11
2004-09-18	@ Hajduk Split	D 1-1	74.2	1563	1742	9.79%	17.23%	72.98%	-1.78	+3.2	11
2004-09-18	Rijeka	D 0-0	65.7	1569	1612	51.38%	22.09%	26.53%	+0.53	-1.3	10
2004-09-18	@ Pula 1856	D 0-0	65.7	1612	1569	26.53%	22.09%	51.38%	-0.53	+1.3	15
2004-09-18	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	47.4	1645	1578	63.58%	20.14%	16.28%	+1.16	+7.6	15
2004-09-18	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-2	47.4	1578	1645	16.28%	20.14%	63.58%	-1.16	-7.6	10
2004-09-18	Varteks	W 3-2	64.1	1640	1614	59.49%	20.99%	19.52%	+0.93	+4.3	21
2004-09-18	@ Inter Zapresic	L 2-3	64.1	1614	1640	19.52%	20.99%	59.49%	-0.93	-4.3	10
2004-09-18	Zadar	W 4-0	38.3	1528	1470	62.72%	20.34%	16.94%	+1.11	+14.9	7
2004-09-18	@ Medimurje	L 0-4	38.3	1470	1528	16.94%	20.34%	62.72%	-1.11	-14.9	6
2004-09-19	Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-1	71.4	1528	1814	20.90%	21.28%	57.82%	-0.83	+11.3	9
2004-09-19	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	71.4	1814	1528	57.82%	21.28%	20.90%	+0.83	-11.3	10
2004-09-25	Hajduk Split	L 0-4	54.6	1609	1738	39.91%	22.65%	37.44%	+0.06	-31.3	10
2004-09-25	@ Varteks	W 4-0	54.6	1738	1609	37.44%	22.65%	39.91%	-0.06	+31.3	14
2004-09-25	Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	51.2	1614	1644	52.99%	21.93%	25.08%	+0.61	+11.3	18
2004-09-25	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	51.2	1644	1614	25.08%	21.93%	52.99%	-0.61	-11.3	21
2004-09-25	Pula 1856	W 1-0	50.8	1570	1567	56.95%	21.41%	21.63%	+0.80	+5.2	13
2004-09-25	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	50.8	1567	1570	21.63%	21.41%	56.95%	-0.80	-5.2	10
2004-09-25	Kamen Ingrad	W 2-1	63.8	1455	1653	30.59%	22.42%	46.99%	-0.33	+9.4	9
2004-09-25	@ Zadar	L 1-2	63.8	1653	1455	46.99%	22.42%	30.59%	+0.33	-9.4	15
2004-09-25	Medimurje	W 4-1	48.0	1803	1543	78.43%	14.86%	6.72%	+2.24	+3.6	13
2004-09-25	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-4	48.0	1543	1803	6.72%	14.86%	78.43%	-2.24	-3.6	7
2004-09-25	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	68.7	1566	1539	59.54%	20.98%	19.48%	+0.93	-2.0	12
2004-09-25	@ Osijek	D 1-1	68.7	1539	1566	19.48%	20.98%	59.54%	-0.93	+2.0	10
2004-10-02	Inter Zapresic	D 1-1	70.8	1562	1633	47.88%	22.37%	29.75%	+0.38	-0.8	11
2004-10-02	@ Pula 1856	D 1-1	70.8	1633	1562	29.75%	22.37%	47.88%	-0.38	+0.8	22
2004-10-02	Osijek	D 2-2	74.6	1539	1564	53.71%	21.85%	24.44%	+0.64	-1.0	8
2004-10-02	@ Medimurje	D 2-2	74.6	1564	1539	24.44%	21.85%	53.71%	-0.64	+1.0	13
2004-10-02	Rijeka	W 2-0	47.6	1770	1625	70.38%	18.18%	11.44%	+1.59	+5.3	17
2004-10-02	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	47.6	1625	1770	11.44%	18.18%	70.38%	-1.59	-5.3	18
2004-10-02	Varteks	L 0-1	59.6	1541	1578	52.22%	22.01%	25.77%	+0.57	-10.9	10
2004-10-02	@ NK Zagreb	W 1-0	59.6	1578	1541	25.77%	22.01%	52.22%	-0.57	+10.9	13
2004-10-02	Zadar	W 1-0	44.4	1576	1464	67.60%	19.07%	13.33%	+1.40	+3.3	16
2004-10-02	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	44.4	1464	1576	13.33%	19.07%	67.60%	-1.40	-3.3	9
2004-10-04	Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	69.0	1643	1807	35.06%	22.61%	42.33%	-0.14	+0.4	16
2004-10-04	@ Kamen Ingrad	D 0-0	69.0	1807	1643	42.33%	22.61%	35.06%	+0.14	-0.4	14
2004-10-16	Hajduk Split	L 1-3	63.2	1634	1775	38.20%	22.65%	39.15%	-0.01	-13.8	22
2004-10-16	@ Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	63.2	1775	1634	39.15%	22.65%	38.20%	+0.01	+13.8	20
2004-10-16	Pula 1856	W 3-0	45.2	1461	1561	44.00%	22.56%	33.44%	+0.22	+20.8	12
2004-10-16	@ Zadar	L 0-3	45.2	1561	1461	33.44%	22.56%	44.00%	-0.22	-20.8	11
2004-10-16	Kamen Ingrad	W 2-0	52.1	1565	1644	46.93%	22.43%	30.65%	+0.34	+13.4	16
2004-10-16	@ Osijek	L 0-2	52.1	1644	1565	30.65%	22.43%	46.93%	-0.34	-13.4	16
2004-10-16	Medimurje	W 5-0	43.6	1589	1538	61.98%	20.50%	17.52%	+1.06	+19.0	16
2004-10-16	@ Varteks	L 0-5	43.6	1538	1589	17.52%	20.50%	61.98%	-1.06	-19.0	8
2004-10-16	NK Zagreb	W 2-1	54.5	1620	1530	65.68%	19.61%	14.70%	+1.28	+3.4	21
2004-10-16	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	54.5	1530	1620	14.70%	19.61%	65.68%	-1.28	-3.4	10
2004-10-16	Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	75.7	1806	1579	76.36%	15.82%	7.82%	+2.06	-14.3	14
2004-10-16	@ Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-1	75.7	1579	1806	7.82%	15.82%	76.36%	-2.06	+14.3	19
2004-10-23	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	55.6	1540	1789	24.68%	21.88%	53.45%	-0.61	-5.9	11
2004-10-23	@ Pula 1856	W 1-0	55.6	1789	1540	53.45%	21.88%	24.68%	+0.61	+5.9	23
2004-10-23	Kamen Ingrad	W 3-0	48.5	1608	1630	54.02%	21.81%	24.17%	+0.66	+15.9	19
2004-10-23	@ Varteks	L 0-3	48.5	1630	1608	24.17%	21.81%	54.02%	-0.66	-15.9	16
2004-10-23	Medimurje	W 3-1	50.7	1623	1519	66.95%	19.26%	13.79%	+1.36	+5.6	24
2004-10-23	@ Rijeka	L 1-3	50.7	1519	1623	13.79%	19.26%	66.95%	-1.36	-5.6	8
2004-10-23	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	48.4	1620	1527	66.04%	19.52%	14.44%	+1.31	+3.6	25
2004-10-23	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	48.4	1527	1620	14.44%	19.52%	66.04%	-1.31	-3.6	10
2004-10-23	Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	70.4	1579	1593	54.89%	21.70%	23.41%	+0.70	-1.5	17
2004-10-23	@ Osijek	D 1-1	70.4	1593	1579	23.41%	21.70%	54.89%	-0.70	+1.5	20
2004-10-23	Zadar	W 2-1	52.5	1792	1482	81.30%	13.40%	5.30%	+2.52	+1.1	17
2004-10-23	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	52.5	1482	1792	5.30%	13.40%	81.30%	-2.52	-1.1	12
2004-10-30	Hajduk Split	W 2-0	61.3	1523	1795	22.32%	21.53%	56.15%	-0.74	+22.0	13
2004-10-30	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-2	61.3	1795	1523	56.15%	21.53%	22.32%	+0.74	-22.0	23
2004-10-30	Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	64.4	1514	1624	42.62%	22.60%	34.77%	+0.16	-0.4	9
2004-10-30	@ Medimurje	D 0-0	64.4	1624	1514	34.77%	22.60%	42.62%	-0.16	+0.4	26
2004-10-30	Pula 1856	W 3-0	42.5	1793	1534	78.35%	14.90%	6.76%	+2.23	+4.3	20
2004-10-30	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-3	42.5	1534	1793	6.76%	14.90%	78.35%	-2.23	-4.3	11
2004-10-30	Osijek	L 2-4	62.1	1481	1577	44.52%	22.54%	32.93%	+0.24	-13.9	12
2004-10-30	@ Zadar	W 4-2	62.1	1577	1481	32.93%	22.54%	44.52%	-0.24	+14.0	20
2004-10-30	Rijeka	W 3-2	65.2	1614	1629	54.94%	21.70%	23.36%	+0.70	+5.0	19
2004-10-30	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 2-3	65.2	1629	1614	23.36%	21.70%	54.94%	-0.70	-5.0	24
2004-10-30	Varteks	L 0-1	62.4	1595	1624	53.19%	21.91%	24.91%	+0.62	-11.1	20
2004-10-30	@ Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	62.4	1624	1595	24.91%	21.91%	53.19%	-0.62	+11.1	22
2004-11-06	Kamen Ingrad	D 0-0	67.2	1624	1619	57.13%	21.39%	21.49%	+0.81	-1.9	27
2004-11-06	@ Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	67.2	1619	1624	21.49%	21.39%	57.13%	-0.81	+1.9	20
2004-11-06	Medimurje	W 2-0	44.1	1773	1513	78.38%	14.88%	6.74%	+2.24	+3.0	26
2004-11-06	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	44.1	1513	1773	6.74%	14.88%	78.38%	-2.24	-3.0	9
2004-11-06	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	67.5	1530	1545	54.86%	21.71%	23.43%	+0.70	-1.5	12
2004-11-06	@ Pula 1856	D 1-1	67.5	1545	1530	23.43%	21.71%	54.86%	-0.70	+1.5	14
2004-11-06	Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	71.5	1624	1584	60.89%	20.73%	18.38%	+1.00	-2.1	25
2004-11-06	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	71.5	1584	1624	18.38%	20.73%	60.89%	-1.00	+2.1	21
2004-11-06	Zadar	W 3-0	39.5	1635	1467	72.19%	17.53%	10.28%	+1.72	+6.9	25
2004-11-06	@ Varteks	L 0-3	39.5	1467	1635	10.28%	17.53%	72.19%	-1.72	-6.9	12
2004-11-07	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	73.5	1591	1797	29.49%	22.35%	48.16%	-0.38	+0.9	21
2004-11-07	@ Osijek	D 1-1	73.5	1797	1591	48.16%	22.35%	29.49%	+0.38	-0.9	21
2004-11-13	Hajduk Split	W 2-1	67.3	1621	1776	36.31%	22.64%	41.06%	-0.09	+8.4	23
2004-11-13	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 1-2	67.3	1776	1621	41.06%	22.64%	36.31%	+0.09	-8.4	26
2004-11-13	Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	60.0	1586	1622	52.29%	22.00%	25.71%	+0.58	+5.8	24
2004-11-13	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	60.0	1622	1586	25.71%	22.00%	52.29%	-0.58	-5.8	27
2004-11-13	Pula 1856	W 2-1	54.4	1592	1529	63.21%	20.23%	16.56%	+1.14	+3.8	24
2004-11-13	@ Osijek	L 1-2	54.4	1529	1592	16.56%	20.23%	63.21%	-1.14	-3.8	12
2004-11-13	NK Zagreb	L 0-1	57.6	1510	1547	52.33%	22.00%	25.67%	+0.58	-11.0	9
2004-11-13	@ Medimurje	W 1-0	57.6	1547	1510	25.67%	22.00%	52.33%	-0.58	+11.0	17
2004-11-13	Rijeka	D 2-2	73.6	1460	1622	35.33%	22.62%	42.05%	-0.13	+0.2	13
2004-11-13	@ Zadar	D 2-2	73.6	1622	1460	42.05%	22.62%	35.33%	+0.13	-0.2	26
2004-11-13	Varteks	W 2-1	57.1	1797	1642	71.16%	17.91%	10.93%	+1.65	+2.5	24
2004-11-13	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	57.1	1642	1797	10.93%	17.91%	71.16%	-1.65	-2.5	25
2004-11-20	Dinamo Zagreb	W 4-2	69.0	1621	1799	33.14%	22.55%	44.31%	-0.22	+13.9	29
2004-11-20	@ Rijeka	L 2-4	69.0	1799	1621	44.31%	22.55%	33.14%	+0.22	-13.9	24
2004-11-20	Kamen Ingrad	W 1-0	54.9	1558	1630	47.75%	22.38%	29.87%	+0.38	+6.9	20
2004-11-20	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-1	54.9	1630	1558	29.87%	22.38%	47.75%	-0.38	-6.9	23
2004-11-20	Medimurje	W 2-1	52.2	1525	1500	59.36%	21.02%	19.63%	+0.92	+4.5	15
2004-11-20	@ Pula 1856	L 1-2	52.2	1500	1525	19.63%	21.02%	59.36%	-0.92	-4.5	9
2004-11-20	Osijek	W 4-0	45.9	1639	1596	61.27%	20.65%	18.08%	+1.03	+15.9	28
2004-11-20	@ Varteks	L 0-4	45.9	1596	1639	18.08%	20.65%	61.27%	-1.03	-15.9	24
2004-11-20	Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	56.0	1767	1592	72.76%	17.32%	9.92%	+1.77	+2.3	29
2004-11-20	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-2	56.0	1592	1767	9.92%	17.32%	72.76%	-1.77	-2.3	24
2004-11-20	Zadar	W 4-1	44.3	1616	1460	71.28%	17.87%	10.86%	+1.66	+6.1	30
2004-11-20	@ Inter Zapresic	L 1-4	44.3	1460	1616	10.86%	17.87%	71.28%	-1.66	-6.1	13
2004-11-27	Hajduk Split	L 1-3	54.5	1454	1770	18.38%	20.73%	60.89%	-0.99	-7.4	13
2004-11-27	@ Zadar	W 3-1	54.5	1770	1454	60.89%	20.73%	18.38%	+0.99	+7.4	32
2004-11-27	Pula 1856	W 1-0	48.5	1655	1529	68.85%	18.69%	12.46%	+1.49	+3.1	31
2004-11-27	@ Varteks	L 0-1	48.5	1529	1655	12.46%	18.69%	68.85%	-1.49	-3.1	15
2004-11-27	Medimurje	W 2-0	43.1	1623	1495	69.00%	18.64%	12.36%	+1.50	+5.7	26
2004-11-27	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-2	43.1	1495	1623	12.36%	18.64%	69.00%	-1.50	-5.7	9
2004-11-27	NK Zagreb	D 1-1	70.1	1589	1564	59.30%	21.03%	19.67%	+0.92	-1.9	25
2004-11-27	@ Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	70.1	1564	1589	19.67%	21.03%	59.30%	-0.92	+1.9	21
2004-11-27	Rijeka	D 1-1	71.2	1580	1635	49.92%	22.22%	27.86%	+0.47	-1.0	25
2004-11-27	@ Osijek	D 1-1	71.2	1635	1580	27.86%	22.22%	49.92%	-0.47	+1.0	30
2004-11-28	Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	47.2	1785	1623	71.77%	17.69%	10.54%	+1.69	+4.8	27
2004-11-28	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-2	47.2	1623	1785	10.54%	17.69%	71.77%	-1.69	-4.8	30
2004-12-04	Kamen Ingrad	W 1-0	55.3	1526	1628	43.68%	22.57%	33.74%	+0.21	+7.7	18
2004-12-04	@ Pula 1856	L 0-1	55.3	1628	1526	33.74%	22.57%	43.68%	-0.21	-7.7	26
2004-12-04	Osijek	L 1-3	66.6	1618	1579	60.79%	20.75%	18.46%	+1.00	-20.5	30
2004-12-04	@ Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	66.6	1579	1618	18.46%	20.75%	60.79%	-1.00	+20.5	28
2004-12-04	Slaven Belupo	L 0-1	56.0	1489	1587	44.26%	22.55%	33.19%	+0.23	-9.5	9
2004-12-04	@ Medimurje	W 1-0	56.0	1587	1489	33.19%	22.55%	44.26%	-0.23	+9.5	28
2004-12-04	Varteks	W 3-0	49.4	1636	1658	54.03%	21.81%	24.16%	+0.66	+15.9	33
2004-12-04	@ Rijeka	L 0-3	49.4	1658	1636	24.16%	21.81%	54.03%	-0.66	-15.9	31
2004-12-04	Zadar	W 4-1	42.9	1566	1447	68.32%	18.85%	12.83%	+1.45	+7.3	24
2004-12-04	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-4	42.9	1447	1566	12.83%	18.85%	68.32%	-1.45	-7.3	13
2004-12-05	Dinamo Zagreb	W 1-0	56.4	1777	1790	55.08%	21.68%	23.24%	+0.71	+5.6	35
2004-12-05	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-1	56.4	1790	1777	23.24%	21.68%	55.08%	-0.71	-5.6	27
2005-02-26	Hajduk Split	D 2-2	79.6	1599	1783	32.41%	22.52%	45.07%	-0.25	+0.4	29
2005-02-26	@ Osijek	D 2-2	79.6	1783	1599	45.07%	22.52%	32.41%	+0.25	-0.4	36
2005-02-26	Inter Zapresic	L 0-1	64.9	1642	1597	61.42%	20.62%	17.96%	+1.03	-12.7	31
2005-02-26	@ Varteks	W 1-0	64.9	1597	1642	17.96%	20.62%	61.42%	-1.03	+12.6	33
2005-02-26	Pula 1856	D 1-1	71.6	1652	1534	68.20%	18.89%	12.91%	+1.44	-2.8	34
2005-02-26	@ Rijeka	D 1-1	71.6	1534	1652	12.91%	18.89%	68.20%	-1.44	+2.8	19
2005-02-26	Kamen Ingrad	W 4-1	53.5	1597	1621	53.80%	21.84%	24.36%	+0.65	+13.5	31
2005-02-26	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-4	53.5	1621	1597	24.36%	21.84%	53.80%	-0.65	-13.5	26
2005-02-26	Medimurje	W 2-1	50.7	1439	1480	51.82%	22.05%	26.13%	+0.55	+5.8	16
2005-02-26	@ Zadar	L 1-2	50.7	1480	1439	26.13%	22.05%	51.82%	-0.55	-5.8	9
2005-02-26	NK Zagreb	L 1-2	75.3	1784	1574	75.25%	16.31%	8.45%	+1.96	-14.2	27
2005-02-26	@ Dinamo Zagreb	W 2-1	75.3	1574	1784	8.45%	16.31%	75.25%	-1.96	+14.2	27
2005-03-05	Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	55.5	1474	1770	20.01%	21.10%	58.89%	-0.88	-8.0	9
2005-03-05	@ Medimurje	W 3-1	55.5	1770	1474	58.89%	21.10%	20.01%	+0.88	+8.0	30
2005-03-05	Osijek	W 1-0	52.6	1588	1600	55.24%	21.66%	23.10%	+0.71	+5.6	30
2005-03-05	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-1	52.6	1600	1588	23.10%	21.66%	55.24%	-0.71	-5.6	29
2005-03-05	Rijeka	D 2-2	78.3	1610	1649	51.93%	22.04%	26.03%	+0.56	-0.9	34
2005-03-05	@ Inter Zapresic	D 2-2	78.3	1649	1610	26.03%	22.04%	51.93%	-0.56	+0.9	35
2005-03-05	Slaven Belupo	W 2-0	50.4	1537	1610	47.55%	22.39%	30.06%	+0.37	+13.2	22
2005-03-05	@ Pula 1856	L 0-2	50.4	1610	1537	30.06%	22.39%	47.55%	-0.37	-13.1	31
2005-03-05	Varteks	W 3-1	53.7	1782	1630	70.97%	17.97%	11.05%	+1.64	+4.4	39
2005-03-05	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-3	53.7	1630	1782	11.05%	17.97%	70.97%	-1.64	-4.4	31
2005-03-06	Zadar	W 2-0	40.1	1607	1445	71.73%	17.70%	10.57%	+1.69	+4.9	29
2005-03-06	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-2	40.1	1445	1607	10.57%	17.70%	71.73%	-1.69	-4.9	16
2005-03-12	Hajduk Split	W 2-0	57.3	1650	1787	38.88%	22.65%	38.46%	+0.02	+16.0	38
2005-03-12	@ Rijeka	L 0-2	57.3	1787	1650	38.46%	22.65%	38.88%	-0.02	-16.0	39
2005-03-12	Pula 1856	D 0-0	65.7	1609	1550	62.83%	20.32%	16.86%	+1.11	-2.5	35
2005-03-12	@ Inter Zapresic	D 0-0	65.7	1550	1609	16.86%	20.32%	62.83%	-1.11	+2.5	23
2005-03-12	Kamen Ingrad	W 2-1	56.5	1778	1612	72.03%	17.59%	10.38%	+1.71	+2.4	33
2005-03-12	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-2	56.5	1612	1778	10.38%	17.59%	72.03%	-1.71	-2.4	29
2005-03-12	Medimurje	D 0-0	63.0	1594	1466	69.03%	18.63%	12.34%	+1.50	-3.2	30
2005-03-12	@ Osijek	D 0-0	63.0	1466	1594	12.34%	18.63%	69.03%	-1.50	+3.2	10
2005-03-12	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	51.9	1625	1593	60.06%	20.89%	19.05%	+0.96	+4.7	34
2005-03-12	@ Varteks	L 0-1	51.9	1593	1625	19.05%	20.89%	60.06%	-0.96	-4.7	30
2005-03-12	Slaven Belupo	L 1-5	50.1	1440	1597	36.00%	22.63%	41.37%	-0.10	-24.0	16
2005-03-12	@ Zadar	W 5-1	50.1	1597	1440	41.37%	22.63%	36.00%	+0.10	+24.0	34
2005-03-19	Dinamo Zagreb	W 3-1	64.3	1621	1781	35.62%	22.62%	41.76%	-0.11	+14.8	37
2005-03-19	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-3	64.3	1781	1621	41.76%	22.62%	35.62%	+0.11	-14.8	33
2005-03-19	Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	47.0	1771	1606	71.88%	17.65%	10.48%	+1.70	+4.8	42
2005-03-19	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	47.0	1606	1771	10.48%	17.65%	71.88%	-1.70	-4.8	35
2005-03-19	Osijek	W 3-1	54.6	1610	1591	58.68%	21.14%	20.19%	+0.89	+8.0	32
2005-03-19	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 1-3	54.6	1591	1610	20.19%	21.14%	58.68%	-0.89	-8.0	30
2005-03-19	Rijeka	W 2-1	62.5	1589	1666	47.05%	22.42%	30.53%	+0.35	+6.7	33
2005-03-19	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	62.5	1666	1589	30.53%	22.42%	47.05%	-0.35	-6.7	38
2005-03-19	Varteks	W 2-0	52.6	1469	1630	35.40%	22.62%	41.98%	-0.12	+17.2	13
2005-03-19	@ Medimurje	L 0-2	52.6	1630	1469	41.98%	22.62%	35.40%	+0.12	-17.1	34
2005-03-19	Zadar	W 2-0	37.6	1552	1416	69.66%	18.42%	11.91%	+1.54	+5.5	26
2005-03-19	@ Pula 1856	L 0-2	37.6	1416	1552	11.91%	18.42%	69.66%	-1.54	-5.5	16

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2004-03-27	Cibalia	W 2-0	46.6	1565	1556	57.69%	21.30%	21.01%	+0.84	+9.6	3
2004-03-27	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	46.6	1556	1565	21.01%	21.30%	57.69%	-0.84	-9.6	0
2004-03-27	Marsonia	D 0-0	65.0	1611	1514	66.35%	19.43%	14.22%	+1.32	-2.9	1
2004-03-27	@ Kamen Ingrad	D 0-0	65.0	1514	1611	14.22%	19.43%	66.35%	-1.32	+2.9	1
2004-03-27	NK Zagreb	L 0-1	61.2	1568	1546	59.05%	21.07%	19.88%	+0.91	-12.2	0
2004-03-27	@ Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	61.2	1546	1568	19.88%	21.07%	59.05%	-0.91	+12.2	3
2004-03-27	Osijek	W 2-1	56.7	1597	1568	59.74%	20.95%	19.31%	+0.94	+4.5	3
2004-03-27	@ Rijeka	L 1-2	56.7	1568	1597	19.31%	20.95%	59.74%	-0.94	-4.5	0
2004-03-27	Varteks	W 4-1	50.5	1764	1612	70.91%	18.00%	11.10%	+1.63	+6.3	3
2004-03-27	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-4	50.5	1612	1764	11.10%	18.00%	70.91%	-1.63	-6.3	0
2004-03-27	Zadar	W 5-1	46.8	1732	1546	73.56%	17.01%	9.44%	+1.83	+6.8	3
2004-03-27	@ Hajduk Split	L 1-5	46.8	1546	1732	9.44%	17.01%	73.56%	-1.83	-6.8	0
2004-04-03	Cibalia	W 3-2	60.9	1517	1546	53.22%	21.90%	24.87%	+0.62	+5.3	4
2004-04-03	@ Marsonia	L 2-3	60.9	1546	1517	24.87%	21.90%	53.22%	-0.62	-5.3	0
2004-04-03	Dinamo Zagreb	D 0-0	69.4	1739	1770	52.98%	21.93%	25.09%	+0.61	-1.5	4
2004-04-03	@ Hajduk Split	D 0-0	69.4	1770	1739	25.09%	21.93%	52.98%	-0.61	+1.5	4
2004-04-03	Inter Zapresic	W 1-0	50.0	1608	1556	62.16%	20.46%	17.37%	+1.08	+4.3	4
2004-04-03	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-1	50.0	1556	1608	17.37%	20.46%	62.16%	-1.08	-4.3	0
2004-04-03	Osijek	L 0-3	53.9	1539	1563	53.77%	21.84%	24.39%	+0.64	-30.7	0
2004-04-03	@ Zadar	W 3-0	53.9	1563	1539	24.39%	21.84%	53.77%	-0.64	+30.7	3
2004-04-03	Rijeka	D 1-1	71.3	1606	1601	57.16%	21.38%	21.46%	+0.81	-1.7	1
2004-04-03	@ Varteks	D 1-1	71.3	1601	1606	21.46%	21.38%	57.16%	-0.81	+1.7	4
2004-04-03	Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	57.2	1558	1575	54.60%	21.74%	23.66%	+0.68	-21.4	3
2004-04-03	@ NK Zagreb	W 2-0	57.2	1575	1558	23.66%	21.74%	54.60%	-0.68	+21.4	6
2004-04-10	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	60.2	1603	1738	39.07%	22.65%	38.28%	+0.02	-8.6	4
2004-04-10	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	60.2	1738	1603	38.28%	22.65%	39.07%	-0.02	+8.6	7
2004-04-10	Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	71.3	1597	1613	54.75%	21.72%	23.53%	+0.69	-1.5	7
2004-04-10	@ Slaven Belupo	D 1-1	71.3	1613	1597	23.53%	21.72%	54.75%	-0.69	+1.5	5
2004-04-10	Marsonia	W 3-0	42.3	1552	1522	59.76%	20.94%	19.30%	+0.94	+12.9	3
2004-04-10	@ Inter Zapresic	L 0-3	42.3	1522	1552	19.30%	20.94%	59.76%	-0.94	-12.9	4
2004-04-10	NK Zagreb	D 2-2	73.8	1541	1536	57.07%	21.40%	21.54%	+0.80	-1.3	1
2004-04-10	@ Cibalia	D 2-2	73.8	1536	1541	21.54%	21.40%	57.07%	-0.80	+1.3	4
2004-04-10	Varteks	W 4-1	52.6	1594	1604	55.40%	21.64%	22.97%	+0.72	+12.8	6
2004-04-10	@ Osijek	L 1-4	52.6	1604	1594	22.97%	21.64%	55.40%	-0.72	-12.8	1
2004-04-10	Zadar	W 5-0	42.0	1771	1508	78.63%	14.76%	6.61%	+2.26	+6.8	7
2004-04-10	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-5	42.0	1508	1771	6.61%	14.76%	78.63%	-2.26	-6.8	0
2004-04-17	Cibalia	W 3-1	51.8	1614	1539	64.31%	19.97%	15.73%	+1.20	+6.3	8
2004-04-17	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 1-3	51.8	1539	1614	15.73%	19.97%	64.31%	-1.20	-6.3	1
2004-04-17	NK Zagreb	D 0-0	61.6	1510	1538	53.31%	21.89%	24.80%	+0.62	-1.5	5
2004-04-17	@ Marsonia	D 0-0	61.6	1538	1510	24.80%	21.89%	53.31%	-0.62	+1.5	5
2004-04-17	Osijek	W 2-0	47.3	1746	1607	69.97%	18.32%	11.71%	+1.56	+5.4	10
2004-04-17	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	47.3	1607	1746	11.71%	18.32%	69.97%	-1.56	-5.4	6
2004-04-17	Rijeka	W 5-0	44.6	1778	1594	73.38%	17.08%	9.55%	+1.81	+10.2	10
2004-04-17	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-5	44.6	1594	1778	9.55%	17.08%	73.38%	-1.81	-10.2	4
2004-04-17	Slaven Belupo	W 4-3	66.5	1564	1595	53.00%	21.93%	25.07%	+0.61	+5.2	6
2004-04-17	@ Inter Zapresic	L 3-4	66.5	1595	1564	25.07%	21.93%	53.00%	-0.61	-5.2	7
2004-04-17	Varteks	D 0-0	63.0	1501	1592	45.34%	22.51%	32.15%	+0.27	-0.7	1
2004-04-17	@ Zadar	D 0-0	63.0	1592	1501	32.15%	22.51%	45.34%	-0.27	+0.7	2
2004-04-21	Dinamo Zagreb	L 2-3	69.8	1601	1788	31.91%	22.50%	45.60%	-0.27	-6.5	6
2004-04-21	@ Osijek	W 3-2	69.8	1788	1601	45.60%	22.50%	31.91%	+0.27	+6.5	13
2004-04-21	Hajduk Split	D 0-0	68.2	1592	1752	35.61%	22.62%	41.77%	-0.11	+0.3	3
2004-04-21	@ Varteks	D 0-0	68.2	1752	1592	41.77%	22.62%	35.61%	+0.11	-0.3	11
2004-04-21	Inter Zapresic	W 3-1	53.9	1533	1570	52.27%	22.00%	25.72%	+0.58	+10.0	4
2004-04-21	@ Cibalia	L 1-3	53.9	1570	1533	25.72%	22.00%	52.27%	-0.58	-10.0	6
2004-04-21	Kamen Ingrad	L 1-2	65.2	1539	1620	46.55%	22.45%	31.00%	+0.32	-9.3	5
2004-04-21	@ NK Zagreb	W 2-1	65.2	1620	1539	31.00%	22.45%	46.55%	-0.32	+9.3	11
2004-04-21	Marsonia	W 2-1	53.2	1590	1508	64.98%	19.80%	15.23%	+1.24	+3.6	10
2004-04-21	@ Slaven Belupo	L 1-2	53.2	1508	1590	15.23%	19.80%	64.98%	-1.24	-3.5	5
2004-04-21	Zadar	W 3-1	49.4	1584	1501	65.10%	19.77%	15.13%	+1.25	+6.1	7
2004-04-21	@ Rijeka	L 1-3	49.4	1501	1584	15.13%	19.77%	65.10%	-1.25	-6.1	1
2004-04-24	Dinamo Zagreb	L 3-4	71.7	1593	1795	29.98%	22.39%	47.64%	-0.36	-6.1	3
2004-04-24	@ Varteks	W 4-3	71.7	1795	1593	47.64%	22.39%	29.98%	+0.36	+6.1	16
2004-04-24	Hajduk Split	L 2-3	65.4	1495	1751	23.81%	21.76%	54.43%	-0.66	-5.1	1
2004-04-24	@ Zadar	W 3-2	65.4	1751	1495	54.43%	21.76%	23.81%	+0.66	+5.1	14
2004-04-24	Inter Zapresic	W 2-1	56.4	1530	1560	53.10%	21.92%	24.99%	+0.61	+5.6	8
2004-04-24	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	56.4	1560	1530	24.99%	21.92%	53.10%	-0.61	-5.6	6
2004-04-24	Kamen Ingrad	D 1-1	69.1	1504	1630	40.46%	22.64%	36.89%	+0.08	-0.2	6
2004-04-24	@ Marsonia	D 1-1	69.1	1630	1504	36.89%	22.64%	40.46%	-0.08	+0.2	12
2004-04-24	Rijeka	W 2-1	58.0	1595	1590	57.12%	21.39%	21.49%	+0.81	+4.9	9
2004-04-24	@ Osijek	L 1-2	58.0	1590	1595	21.49%	21.39%	57.12%	-0.81	-4.9	7
2004-04-24	Slaven Belupo	W 2-1	58.7	1543	1593	50.56%	22.17%	27.27%	+0.50	+6.1	7
2004-04-24	@ Cibalia	L 1-2	58.7	1593	1543	27.27%	22.17%	50.56%	-0.50	-6.1	10
2004-05-01	Hajduk Split	W 3-1	57.2	1801	1757	61.36%	20.63%	18.01%	+1.03	+7.2	19
2004-05-01	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-3	57.2	1757	1801	18.01%	20.63%	61.36%	-1.03	-7.2	14
2004-05-01	Kamen Ingrad	W 3-2	66.3	1554	1630	47.26%	22.41%	30.33%	+0.35	+6.3	9
2004-05-01	@ Inter Zapresic	L 2-3	66.3	1630	1554	30.33%	22.41%	47.26%	-0.35	-6.3	12
2004-05-01	Marsonia	D 0-0	62.2	1549	1504	61.38%	20.63%	17.99%	+1.03	-2.4	8
2004-05-01	@ Cibalia	D 0-0	62.2	1504	1549	17.99%	20.63%	61.38%	-1.03	+2.4	7
2004-05-01	NK Zagreb	L 0-1	62.2	1587	1535	62.10%	20.48%	17.42%	+1.07	-12.8	10
2004-05-01	@ Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	62.2	1535	1587	17.42%	20.48%	62.10%	-1.07	+12.8	11
2004-05-01	Varteks	W 1-0	51.9	1585	1586	56.43%	21.49%	22.08%	+0.77	+5.3	10
2004-05-01	@ Rijeka	L 0-1	51.9	1586	1585	22.08%	21.49%	56.43%	-0.77	-5.4	3
2004-05-01	Zadar	D 1-1	68.7	1600	1489	67.51%	19.10%	13.39%	+1.40	-2.7	10
2004-05-01	@ Osijek	D 1-1	68.7	1489	1600	13.39%	19.10%	67.51%	-1.40	+2.7	2
2004-05-08	Cibalia	W 2-1	55.5	1548	1547	56.76%	21.44%	21.80%	+0.79	+5.0	14
2004-05-08	@ NK Zagreb	L 1-2	55.5	1547	1548	21.80%	21.44%	56.76%	-0.79	-5.0	8
2004-05-08	Dinamo Zagreb	D 1-1	73.1	1492	1808	18.33%	20.71%	60.96%	-0.99	+2.1	3
2004-05-08	@ Zadar	D 1-1	73.1	1808	1492	60.96%	20.71%	18.33%	+0.99	-2.1	20
2004-05-08	Inter Zapresic	L 0-3	51.7	1507	1560	50.15%	22.20%	27.65%	+0.48	-28.9	7
2004-05-08	@ Marsonia	W 3-0	51.7	1560	1507	27.65%	22.20%	50.15%	-0.48	+28.9	12
2004-05-08	Osijek	W 2-0	49.1	1581	1597	54.77%	21.72%	23.52%	+0.69	+10.7	6
2004-05-08	@ Varteks	L 0-2	49.1	1597	1581	23.52%	21.72%	54.77%	-0.69	-10.7	10
2004-05-08	Rijeka	W 2-0	46.8	1749	1590	71.48%	17.79%	10.72%	+1.67	+4.9	17
2004-05-08	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	46.8	1590	1749	10.72%	17.79%	71.48%	-1.67	-4.9	10
2004-05-08	Slaven Belupo	W 1-0	50.9	1624	1575	61.81%	20.54%	17.65%	+1.06	+4.3	15
2004-05-08	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-1	50.9	1575	1624	17.65%	20.54%	61.81%	-1.06	-4.3	10
2004-05-12	Dinamo Zagreb	L 0-1	57.1	1585	1806	27.78%	22.21%	50.01%	-0.46	-6.5	10
2004-05-12	@ Rijeka	W 1-0	57.1	1806	1585	50.01%	22.21%	27.78%	+0.46	+6.5	23
2004-05-12	Hajduk Split	L 0-1	58.8	1586	1754	34.45%	22.60%	42.95%	-0.16	-7.8	10
2004-05-12	@ Osijek	W 1-0	58.8	1754	1586	42.95%	22.60%	34.45%	+0.16	+7.8	20
2004-05-12	Inter Zapresic	W 2-0	48.7	1570	1589	54.39%	21.77%	23.84%	+0.67	+10.8	13
2004-05-12	@ Slaven Belupo	L 0-2	48.7	1589	1570	23.84%	21.77%	54.39%	-0.67	-10.8	12
2004-05-12	Kamen Ingrad	W 2-1	61.0	1542	1628	45.88%	22.48%	31.64%	+0.30	+6.9	11
2004-05-12	@ Cibalia	L 1-2	61.0	1628	1542	31.64%	22.48%	45.88%	-0.30	-6.9	15
2004-05-12	Marsonia	W 3-0	39.4	1553	1478	64.38%	19.95%	15.67%	+1.20	+10.6	17
2004-05-12	@ NK Zagreb	L 0-3	39.4	1478	1553	15.67%	19.95%	64.38%	-1.20	-10.6	7
2004-05-12	Zadar	W 4-1	46.1	1592	1494	66.40%	19.42%	14.18%	+1.33	+8.1	9
2004-05-12	@ Varteks	L 1-4	46.1	1494	1592	14.18%	19.42%	66.40%	-1.33	-8.1	3
2004-05-15	Cibalia	W 3-1	52.4	1578	1549	59.84%	20.93%	19.23%	+0.95	+7.7	15
2004-05-15	@ Inter Zapresic	L 1-3	52.4	1549	1578	19.23%	20.93%	59.84%	-0.95	-7.7	11
2004-05-15	NK Zagreb	W 1-0	50.4	1621	1564	62.63%	20.36%	17.01%	+1.10	+4.2	18
2004-05-15	@ Kamen Ingrad	L 0-1	50.4	1564	1621	17.01%	20.36%	62.63%	-1.10	-4.2	17
2004-05-15	Osijek	W 4-1	48.9	1813	1578	76.81%	15.62%	7.57%	+2.10	+4.1	26
2004-05-15	@ Dinamo Zagreb	L 1-4	48.9	1578	1813	7.57%	15.62%	76.81%	-2.10	-4.1	10
2004-05-15	Rijeka	D 2-2	73.1	1486	1579	44.99%	22.52%	32.49%	+0.26	-0.4	4
2004-05-15	@ Zadar	D 2-2	73.1	1579	1486	32.49%	22.52%	44.99%	-0.26	+0.4	11
2004-05-15	Slaven Belupo	D 2-2	72.5	1467	1581	42.08%	22.62%	35.31%	+0.14	-0.2	8
2004-05-15	@ Marsonia	D 2-2	72.5	1581	1467	35.31%	22.62%	42.08%	-0.14	+0.2	14
2004-05-15	Varteks	W 2-0	46.9	1762	1600	71.74%	17.70%	10.56%	+1.69	+4.9	23
2004-05-15	@ Hajduk Split	L 0-2	46.9	1600	1762	10.56%	17.70%	71.74%	-1.69	-4.9	9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2004-10-16	7.82%	Slaven Belupo	1579	2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1806	1
2	2004-07-31	8.28%	NK Zagreb	1548	4	@ Hajduk Split	1763	2
3	2005-02-26	8.45%	NK Zagreb	1574	2	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1784	1
4	2004-05-01	17.42%	NK Zagreb	1535	1	@ Slaven Belupo	1587	0
5	2005-02-26	17.96%	Inter Zapresic	1597	1	@ Varteks	1642	0
6	2004-12-04	18.46%	Osijek	1579	3	@ Inter Zapresic	1618	1
7	2004-08-14	19.30%	Medimurje	1551	1	@ NK Zagreb	1580	0
8	2004-03-27	19.88%	NK Zagreb	1546	1	@ Inter Zapresic	1568	0
9	2004-08-07	20.72%	Inter Zapresic	1611	1	@ Kamen Ingrad	1624	0
10	2004-09-19	20.90%	@ NK Zagreb	1528	2	Dinamo Zagreb	1814	1
11	2004-08-28	20.98%	Slaven Belupo	1547	2	@ NK Zagreb	1557	0
12	2004-07-24	21.17%	Rijeka	1579	2	@ Medimurje	1588	1
13	2004-07-21	21.29%	Osijek	1574	2	@ Slaven Belupo	1581	1
14	2004-10-30	22.32%	@ NK Zagreb	1523	2	Hajduk Split	1795	0
15	2004-04-03	23.66%	Slaven Belupo	1575	2	@ NK Zagreb	1558	0
16	2004-08-21	23.99%	Varteks	1603	3	@ Osijek	1583	1
17	2004-04-03	24.39%	Osijek	1563	3	@ Zadar	1539	0
18	2004-07-24	24.63%	Inter Zapresic	1586	1	@ NK Zagreb	1560	0
19	2004-10-30	24.91%	Varteks	1624	1	@ Slaven Belupo	1595	0
20	2004-11-13	25.67%	NK Zagreb	1547	1	@ Medimurje	1510	0
21	2004-10-02	25.77%	Varteks	1578	1	@ NK Zagreb	1541	0
22	2004-08-21	27.52%	@ Slaven Belupo	1536	1	Hajduk Split	1759	0
23	2004-05-08	27.65%	Inter Zapresic	1560	3	@ Marsonia	1507	0
24	2004-08-28	27.88%	Kamen Ingrad	1617	4	@ Medimurje	1561	1
25	2004-09-25	30.59%	@ Zadar	1455	2	Kamen Ingrad	1653	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-09-25	31.28	Hajduk Split	4	1738	37.44%	@ Varteks	0	1609	39.91%	22.65%
2	2004-04-03	30.73	Osijek	3	1563	24.39%	@ Zadar	0	1539	53.77%	21.84%
3	2004-05-08	28.91	Inter Zapresic	3	1560	27.65%	@ Marsonia	0	1507	50.15%	22.20%
4	2004-08-01	25.60	@ Varteks	6	1591	58.87%	Slaven Belupo	0	1570	20.02%	21.10%
5	2004-08-28	24.28	Kamen Ingrad	4	1617	27.88%	@ Medimurje	1	1561	49.90%	22.22%
6	2005-03-12	24.05	Slaven Belupo	5	1597	41.37%	@ Zadar	1	1440	36.00%	22.63%
7	2004-08-28	22.54	Slaven Belupo	2	1547	20.98%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1557	57.72%	21.29%
8	2004-07-31	22.03	NK Zagreb	4	1548	8.28%	@ Hajduk Split	2	1763	75.54%	16.18%
9	2004-10-30	22.00	@ NK Zagreb	2	1523	22.32%	Hajduk Split	0	1795	56.15%	21.53%
10	2004-04-03	21.45	Slaven Belupo	2	1575	23.66%	@ NK Zagreb	0	1558	54.60%	21.74%
11	2004-10-16	20.84	@ Zadar	3	1461	44.00%	Pula 1856	0	1561	33.44%	22.56%
12	2004-12-04	20.46	Osijek	3	1579	18.46%	@ Inter Zapresic	1	1618	60.79%	20.75%
13	2004-10-16	19.00	@ Varteks	5	1589	61.98%	Medimurje	0	1538	17.52%	20.50%
14	2004-08-28	18.72	@ Pula 1856	3	1554	48.33%	Varteks	0	1622	29.33%	22.34%
15	2004-08-21	18.47	Varteks	3	1603	23.99%	@ Osijek	1	1583	54.22%	21.79%
16	2005-03-19	17.16	@ Medimurje	2	1469	35.40%	Varteks	0	1630	41.98%	22.62%
17	2005-03-12	16.02	@ Rijeka	2	1650	38.88%	Hajduk Split	0	1787	38.46%	22.65%
18	2004-08-29	15.92	@ Rijeka	4	1607	61.22%	Osijek	0	1564	18.12%	20.66%
19	2004-11-20	15.88	@ Varteks	4	1639	61.27%	Osijek	0	1596	18.08%	20.65%
20	2004-10-23	15.86	@ Varteks	3	1608	54.02%	Kamen Ingrad	0	1630	24.17%	21.81%
21	2004-12-04	15.86	@ Rijeka	3	1636	54.03%	Varteks	0	1658	24.16%	21.81%
22	2004-08-21	15.72	Inter Zapresic	2	1630	39.81%	@ Zadar	0	1484	37.54%	22.65%
23	2004-09-18	14.93	@ Medimurje	4	1528	62.72%	Zadar	0	1470	16.94%	20.34%
24	2005-03-19	14.80	@ Slaven Belupo	3	1621	35.62%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1781	41.76%	22.62%
25	2004-09-11	14.65	@ Osijek	2	1548	43.09%	Inter Zapresic	0	1655	34.32%	22.59%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-07-31	83.7	@ Pula 1856	3	1548	22.21%	Dinamo Zagreb	3	1821	56.27%	21.51%
2	2004-08-15	79.9	@ Varteks	2	1602	28.66%	Dinamo Zagreb	2	1816	49.06%	22.29%
3	2005-02-26	79.6	@ Osijek	2	1599	32.41%	Hajduk Split	2	1783	45.07%	22.52%
4	2005-03-05	78.3	@ Inter Zapresic	2	1610	51.93%	Rijeka	2	1649	26.03%	22.04%
5	2004-10-16	75.7	Slaven Belupo	2	1579	7.82%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1806	76.36%	15.82%
6	2004-07-31	75.6	NK Zagreb	4	1548	8.28%	@ Hajduk Split	2	1763	75.54%	16.18%
7	2004-08-21	75.5	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1815	75.27%	Rijeka	1	1604	8.43%	16.30%
8	2005-02-26	75.3	NK Zagreb	2	1574	8.45%	@ Dinamo Zagreb	1	1784	75.25%	16.31%
9	2004-07-23	74.7	@ Hajduk Split	1	1767	76.03%	Pula 1856	1	1544	8.00%	15.96%
10	2004-10-02	74.6	@ Medimurje	2	1539	53.71%	Osijek	2	1564	24.44%	21.85%
11	2004-09-18	74.2	@ Hajduk Split	1	1742	72.98%	Osijek	1	1563	9.79%	17.23%
12	2004-04-10	73.8	@ Cibalia	2	1541	57.07%	NK Zagreb	2	1536	21.54%	21.40%
13	2004-11-13	73.6	@ Zadar	2	1460	35.33%	Rijeka	2	1622	42.05%	22.62%
14	2004-11-07	73.5	@ Osijek	1	1591	29.49%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1797	48.16%	22.35%
15	2004-05-08	73.1	@ Zadar	1	1492	18.33%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1808	60.96%	20.71%
16	2004-05-15	73.1	@ Zadar	2	1486	44.99%	Rijeka	2	1579	32.49%	22.52%
17	2004-05-15	72.5	@ Marsonia	2	1467	42.08%	Slaven Belupo	2	1581	35.31%	22.62%
18	2004-04-24	71.7	Dinamo Zagreb	4	1795	47.64%	@ Varteks	3	1593	29.98%	22.39%
19	2005-02-26	71.6	@ Rijeka	1	1652	68.20%	Pula 1856	1	1534	12.91%	18.89%
20	2004-11-06	71.5	@ Rijeka	1	1624	60.89%	Slaven Belupo	1	1584	18.38%	20.73%
21	2004-09-19	71.4	@ NK Zagreb	2	1528	20.90%	Dinamo Zagreb	1	1814	57.82%	21.28%
22	2004-04-03	71.3	@ Varteks	1	1606	57.16%	Rijeka	1	1601	21.46%	21.38%
23	2004-04-10	71.3	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1597	54.75%	Kamen Ingrad	1	1613	23.53%	21.72%
24	2004-11-27	71.2	@ Osijek	1	1580	49.92%	Rijeka	1	1635	27.86%	22.22%
25	2004-08-07	70.8	@ Dinamo Zagreb	0	1820	76.43%	Osijek	0	1591	7.78%	15.79%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2005-03-19	37.6	@ Pula 1856	2	1552	69.66%	Zadar	0	1416	11.91%	18.42%
2	2004-09-18	38.3	@ Medimurje	4	1528	62.72%	Zadar	0	1470	16.94%	20.34%
3	2004-05-12	39.4	@ NK Zagreb	3	1553	64.38%	Marsonia	0	1478	15.67%	19.95%
4	2004-11-06	39.5	@ Varteks	3	1635	72.19%	Zadar	0	1467	10.28%	17.53%
5	2004-08-28	40.0	@ Hajduk Split	4	1749	79.62%	Zadar	0	1468	6.11%	14.27%
6	2005-03-06	40.1	@ Kamen Ingrad	2	1607	71.73%	Zadar	0	1445	10.57%	17.70%
7	2004-04-10	42.0	@ Dinamo Zagreb	5	1771	78.63%	Zadar	0	1508	6.61%	14.76%
8	2004-04-10	42.3	@ Inter Zapresic	3	1552	59.76%	Marsonia	0	1522	19.30%	20.94%
9	2004-10-30	42.5	@ Dinamo Zagreb	3	1793	78.35%	Pula 1856	0	1534	6.76%	14.90%
10	2004-08-16	42.7	@ Rijeka	2	1598	67.24%	Zadar	0	1491	13.58%	19.18%
11	2004-12-04	42.9	@ NK Zagreb	4	1566	68.32%	Zadar	1	1447	12.83%	18.85%
12	2004-11-27	43.1	@ Kamen Ingrad	2	1623	69.00%	Medimurje	0	1495	12.36%	18.64%
13	2004-10-16	43.6	@ Varteks	5	1589	61.98%	Medimurje	0	1538	17.52%	20.50%
14	2004-11-06	44.1	@ Hajduk Split	2	1773	78.38%	Medimurje	0	1513	6.74%	14.88%
15	2004-11-20	44.3	@ Inter Zapresic	4	1616	71.28%	Zadar	1	1460	10.86%	17.87%
16	2004-10-02	44.4	@ Slaven Belupo	1	1576	67.60%	Zadar	0	1464	13.33%	19.07%
17	2004-08-29	44.5	@ Rijeka	4	1607	61.22%	Osijek	0	1564	18.12%	20.66%
18	2004-04-17	44.6	@ Dinamo Zagreb	5	1778	73.38%	Rijeka	0	1594	9.55%	17.08%
19	2004-10-16	45.2	@ Zadar	3	1461	44.00%	Pula 1856	0	1561	33.44%	22.56%
20	2004-09-11	45.4	@ Slaven Belupo	2	1569	60.10%	Medimurje	0	1537	19.02%	20.88%
21	2004-07-31	45.6	@ Inter Zapresic	3	1597	58.91%	Medimurje	0	1576	20.00%	21.10%
22	2004-08-14	45.8	@ Inter Zapresic	2	1623	64.75%	Slaven Belupo	0	1543	15.39%	19.85%
23	2004-11-20	45.9	@ Varteks	4	1639	61.27%	Osijek	0	1596	18.08%	20.65%
24	2004-05-12	46.1	@ Varteks	4	1592	66.40%	Zadar	1	1494	14.18%	19.42%
25	2004-08-07	46.2	@ NK Zagreb	2	1570	58.97%	Pula 1856	0	1549	19.95%	21.09%