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1962-63 Cypriot First Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Anorthosis Famagusta

37 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1961-62

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Anorthosis Famagusta

10.80 points above expected

37 points · 26.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

AEL Limassol

11.43 points below expected

13 points · 24.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Anorthosis Famagusta Champion 22 17 3 2 37 64 20 +44 26.20 +10.80
2 APOEL Nicosia 22 13 6 3 32 49 26 +23 31.91 +0.09
3 Omonia Nicosia 22 10 7 5 27 39 24 +15 31.02 -4.02
4 Nea Salamis Famagusta 22 9 8 5 26 56 43 +13 19.80 +6.20
5 Olympiacos Nicosia 22 12 2 8 26 47 40 +7 28.42 -2.42
6 Pezoporikos Larnaca 22 8 6 8 22 46 51 -5 20.80 +1.20
7 EPA Larnaca 22 8 4 10 20 32 47 -15 16.45 +3.55
8 Aris Limassol 22 8 4 10 20 40 59 -19 16.96 +3.04
9 Apollon Limassol 22 5 6 11 16 45 57 -12 18.88 -2.88
10 AEL Limassol 22 4 5 13 13 35 42 -7 24.43 -11.43
11 Orfeas Nicosia* 22 5 3 14 12 26 45 -19 13.21 -1.21
12 Alki Larnaca 22 5 2 15 12 33 58 -25 14.92 -2.92

* Point deductions: Orfeas Nicosia (-1 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Anorthosis Famagusta 37 26.20 +10.80
2 Nea Salamis Famagusta 26 19.80 +6.20
3 EPA Larnaca 20 16.45 +3.55
4 Aris Limassol 20 16.96 +3.04
5 Pezoporikos Larnaca 22 20.80 +1.20

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AEL Limassol 13 24.43 -11.43
2 Omonia Nicosia 27 31.02 -4.02
3 Alki Larnaca 12 14.92 -2.92
4 Apollon Limassol 16 18.88 -2.88
5 Olympiacos Nicosia 26 28.42 -2.42

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Anorthosis Famagusta 1570 37 +128 10 6.4 +3.6
APOEL Nicosia 1476 32 +90 6 5.0 +1.0
Omonia Nicosia 1477 27 -39 4 6.4 -2.4
Olympiacos Nicosia 1340 26 -8 8 7.1 +0.9
Nea Salamis Famagusta 1305 26 +61 7 4.9 +2.1
Pezoporikos Larnaca 1173 22 -124 4 6.4 -2.4
Aris Limassol 1129 20 -28 4 3.7 +0.3
EPA Larnaca 1172 20 -7 4 3.7 +0.3
Apollon Limassol 1150 16 -58 3 4.3 -1.3
AEL Limassol 1194 13 +59 5 4.7 +0.3
Orfeas Nicosia 1059 13 +36 4 2.5 +1.5
Alki Larnaca 1118 12 +73 2 2.5 -0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL AN AL AF AL AL EL NSF ON ON ON PL
AEL Limassol —
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
4.75
0-0-2
3.03
0-2-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
4.24
0-1-1
3.94
1-0-1
1.43
0-1-1
1.02
1-0-1
4.29
0-0-2
2.43
APOEL Nicosia
2-0-0
3.56
—
1-0-1
4.84
0-2-0
4.56
2-0-0
4.30
1-1-0
4.77
0-0-2
4.04
1-1-0
4.09
1-1-0
3.77
1-1-0
2.46
2-0-0
4.82
2-0-0
3.67
Alki Larnaca
1-1-0
0.83
1-0-1
0.75
—
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.08
0-0-2
1.28
0-0-2
1.08
2-0-0
2.73
0-0-2
2.38
Anorthosis Famagusta
2-0-0
2.52
0-2-0
1.02
2-0-0
4.62
—
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.95
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
3.02
2-0-0
2.59
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
4.78
1-1-0
3.30
Apollon Limassol
0-2-0
1.88
0-0-2
1.27
2-0-0
2.96
0-0-2
2.06
—
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.08
0-2-0
2.80
1-0-1
1.30
0-0-2
1.00
0-1-1
3.06
0-1-1
2.89
Aris Limassol
1-0-1
1.95
0-1-1
0.81
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
1.62
1-0-1
2.65
—
1-0-1
2.89
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
1.23
0-1-1
1.24
0-2-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.78
EPA Larnaca
1-0-1
1.32
2-0-0
1.54
1-1-0
3.18
0-0-2
1.21
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.66
—
0-1-1
2.34
0-1-1
1.19
0-0-2
1.46
2-0-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.80
Nea Salamis Famagusta
1-1-0
1.62
0-1-1
1.46
1-0-1
3.48
0-0-2
2.54
0-2-0
2.76
2-0-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.22
—
1-0-1
1.26
0-2-0
1.36
2-0-0
3.47
1-1-0
2.97
Olympiacos Nicosia
1-0-1
4.13
0-1-1
1.79
2-0-0
4.29
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
4.27
1-0-1
4.34
1-1-0
4.37
1-0-1
4.30
—
2-0-0
2.37
1-0-1
4.33
2-0-0
3.36
Omonia Nicosia
1-1-0
4.55
0-1-1
3.10
2-0-0
4.50
0-0-2
2.94
2-0-0
4.58
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.11
0-2-0
4.20
0-0-2
3.18
—
2-0-0
4.40
0-2-0
4.42
Orfeas Nicosia
1-0-1
1.28
0-0-2
0.77
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
0.80
1-1-0
2.50
0-2-0
2.56
0-0-2
2.87
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
1.24
0-0-2
1.17
—
1-0-1
1.85
Pezoporikos Larnaca
2-0-0
3.12
0-0-2
1.90
2-0-0
3.18
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.20
0-2-0
1.16
1-0-1
3.71
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +6.1
Allowed 0.60 -4.7
Differential 0.86 +3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%4.55%1.52%3.41%0.38%0.76%14.39%
14.55%10.61%7.58%5.68%3.41%3.79%35.61%
21.52%7.58%5.30%2.65%2.27%1.89%21.21%
33.41%5.68%2.65%—0.38%1.14%13.26%
40.38%3.41%2.27%0.38%0.76%—7.20%
5+0.76%3.79%1.89%1.14%—0.76%8.33%
Total14.39%35.61%21.21%13.26%7.20%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.94 +0.00
SD 1.60 1.60 2.32
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%————13.64%
1—13.64%18.18%9.09%4.55%—45.45%
2——9.09%4.55%9.09%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%40.91%27.27%13.64%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.91 -0.32
SD 1.26 1.15 1.81
CV 0.79 0.60 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
113.64%9.09%——4.55%—27.27%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
Total31.82%36.36%22.73%—9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.18 +1.05
SD 1.95 1.18 2.21
CV 0.88 1.00 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
1—9.09%13.64%13.64%9.09%—45.45%
2—9.09%——4.55%9.09%22.73%
34.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%31.82%13.64%18.18%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.64 -1.14
SD 1.06 2.17 2.36
CV 0.71 0.82 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
29.09%13.64%————22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+4.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
Total31.82%50.00%13.64%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.91 0.91 +2.00
SD 2.11 0.81 2.00
CV 0.73 0.89 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
1—13.64%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2—4.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
Total—27.27%27.27%27.27%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.59 -0.55
SD 1.81 1.56 2.52
CV 0.89 0.60 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
14.55%4.55%9.09%——18.18%36.36%
2—13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%31.82%27.27%4.55%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.68 -0.86
SD 0.96 2.03 2.34
CV 0.53 0.76 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—18.18%—4.55%27.27%
19.09%18.18%—4.55%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
3———————
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%45.45%4.55%22.73%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.14 -0.68
SD 1.50 1.75 2.64
CV 1.03 0.82 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——9.09%——13.64%
14.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
Total13.64%31.82%22.73%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.95 +0.59
SD 2.36 1.46 2.54
CV 0.93 0.75 —
Max 8 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
34.55%22.73%——4.55%—31.82%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%36.36%22.73%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.82 +0.32
SD 1.36 1.37 1.94
CV 0.63 0.75 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
14.55%18.18%4.55%9.09%——36.36%
29.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
39.09%9.09%————18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%36.36%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.09 +0.68
SD 1.31 1.15 1.91
CV 0.74 1.06 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
19.09%—22.73%9.09%4.55%4.55%50.00%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%40.91%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.05 -0.86
SD 1.01 1.25 1.42
CV 0.85 0.61 —
Max 4 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%————4.55%13.64%
1—13.64%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%9.09%——9.09%22.73%
4—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%18.18%13.64%—22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.32 -0.23
SD 1.34 1.81 2.25
CV 0.64 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Anorthosis Famagusta 1570 37 26.20 +10.80 100.0% 19 21 24 26 28 31 33
Omonia Nicosia 1477 27 31.02 -4.02 13.0% 25 26 29 31 33 36 39
APOEL Nicosia 1476 32 31.91 +0.09 60.0% 23 26 30 32 34 37 41
Olympiacos Nicosia 1340 26 28.42 -2.42 28.0% 19 22 26 29 31 33 36
Nea Salamis Famagusta 1305 26 19.80 +6.20 96.0% 10 13 18 20 23 26 28
AEL Limassol 1194 13 24.43 -11.43 0.0% 16 18 22 24 26 30 36
Pezoporikos Larnaca 1173 22 20.80 +1.20 73.0% 12 16 19 21 23 26 29
EPA Larnaca 1172 20 16.45 +3.55 86.0% 9 11 14 16 18 22 24
Apollon Limassol 1150 16 18.88 -2.88 24.0% 7 11 17 19 22 24 30
Aris Limassol 1129 20 16.96 +3.04 87.0% 8 11 14 16 19 23 29
Alki Larnaca 1118 12 14.92 -2.92 22.0% 9 10 13 15 17 20 21
Orfeas Nicosia 1059 12 13.21 -1.21 40.0% 5 8 11 13 15 19 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+30.30%
Strong Edge
54.55%21.21%24.24%
Elo Value
Home Edge
275 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0108.70800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.74 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.39+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
7%
Anorthosis Famagusta, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.77 * Some Luck: 2.77 to 4.16 * Lucky: 4.16 to 5.54 * Wild Swing: 5.54 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.04 * Close: 1.04 to 1.56 * Off: 1.56 to 2.08 * Way Off: 2.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.40 points
Lucky
03.479
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Off
01.303
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Anorthosis Famagusta
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
AEL Limassol
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.45 * Wide Separation: 2.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70% * Slight Edge: 70% to 75% * Clear Edge: 75% to 80.5% * Wide Edge: 80.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 96.5% * Strong Edge: 96.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.150.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 167.26
1.93
Moderate Separation
11.752.052.453.25
Interquartile Edge
79%
Clear Edge
50%70%75%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Few
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
29%
Very Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.6 * Some Carryover: 0.6 to 0.72 * Strong Carryover: 0.72 to 0.8 * Near-Lock: 0.8 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 17.5% * As Expected: 17.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 22% * Very Upset-Prone: 22% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 16.5% * Shaky Favorites: 16.5% to 19% * Very Shaky: 19% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.59
Lopsided
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.55
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.42
Weak Carryover
00.60.721
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Upset-Prone
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.48
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.51
Overconfident
0.367521.001.63248
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.110
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Anorthosis Famagusta7.00%9.00%20.00%37.00%16.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%————
APOEL Nicosia46.00%30.00%19.00%—4.00%1.00%——————
Omonia Nicosia33.00%29.00%26.00%10.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Nea Salamis Famagusta———6.00%18.00%13.00%19.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%2.00%
Olympiacos Nicosia11.00%25.00%26.00%18.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%—1.00%———
Pezoporikos Larnaca—1.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%25.00%24.00%16.00%12.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%
EPA Larnaca—————10.00%8.00%16.00%13.00%23.00%17.00%13.00%
Aris Limassol—1.00%1.00%—2.00%8.00%6.00%17.00%19.00%19.00%18.00%9.00%
Apollon Limassol———3.00%9.00%15.00%17.00%19.00%15.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%
AEL Limassol3.00%5.00%6.00%21.00%30.00%15.00%12.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%——
Orfeas Nicosia——————3.00%5.00%9.00%15.00%21.00%47.00%
Alki Larnaca—————2.00%2.00%6.00%20.00%20.00%28.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
AEL Limassol 100% —
APOEL Nicosia 100% —
Alki Larnaca 50.00% 50.00%
Anorthosis Famagusta 100% —
Apollon Limassol 88.00% 12.00%
Aris Limassol 73.00% 27.00%
EPA Larnaca 70.00% 30.00%
Nea Salamis Famagusta 89.00% 11.00%
Olympiacos Nicosia 100% —
Omonia Nicosia 100% —
Orfeas Nicosia 32.00% 68.00%
Pezoporikos Larnaca 98.00% 2.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1962-09-17 Alki Larnaca D 1-154.0 1489 1143 76.38% 20.52% 3.09%+1.65 -11.0 1
1962-09-17 @ AEL Limassol D 1-154.0 1143 1489 3.09% 20.52% 76.38%-1.65 +11.0 1
1962-09-17 Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-051.6 1540 1143 77.56% 20.09% 2.35%+1.84 -12.6 1
1962-09-17 @ APOEL Nicosia D 0-051.6 1143 1540 2.35% 20.09% 77.56%-1.84 +12.6 1
1962-09-17 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 3-243.8 1143 1143 58.55% 22.38% 19.07%+0.39 +11.9 2
1962-09-17 @ Aris Limassol L 2-343.8 1143 1143 19.07% 22.38% 58.55%-0.39 -11.9 0
1962-09-17 Olympiacos Nicosia W 5-146.4 1143 1501 16.45% 21.88% 61.67%-0.91 +106.5 2
1962-09-17 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-546.4 1501 1143 61.67% 21.88% 16.45%+0.91 -106.5 0
1962-09-17 Apollon Limassol W 3-025.5 1492 1143 76.46% 20.50% 3.04%+1.66 +6.5 2
1962-09-17 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-325.5 1143 1492 3.04% 20.50% 76.46%-1.66 -6.5 0
1962-09-17 EPA Larnaca L 1-251.2 1143 1143 58.55% 22.38% 19.07%+0.39 -32.1 0
1962-09-17 @ Orfeas Nicosia W 2-151.2 1143 1143 19.07% 22.38% 58.55%-0.39 +32.1 2
1962-09-24 Aris Limassol W 5-128.5 1478 1155 75.79% 20.71% 3.50%+1.57 +8.1 3
1962-09-24 @ AEL Limassol L 1-528.5 1155 1478 3.50% 20.71% 75.79%-1.57 -8.1 2
1962-09-24 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 5-027.5 1155 1131 60.77% 22.32% 16.91%+0.48 +52.9 3
1962-09-24 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-527.5 1131 1155 16.91% 22.32% 60.77%-0.48 -52.9 0
1962-09-24 Alki Larnaca W 3-025.8 1527 1154 77.04% 20.29% 2.67%+1.75 +5.7 3
1962-09-24 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-325.8 1154 1527 2.67% 20.29% 77.04%-1.75 -5.7 1
1962-09-24 Omonia Nicosia L 0-232.4 1136 1498 16.12% 21.86% 62.01%-0.92 -21.5 0
1962-09-24 @ Apollon Limassol W 2-032.4 1498 1136 62.01% 21.86% 16.12%+0.92 +21.5 4
1962-09-24 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-152.5 1175 1249 50.54% 22.49% 26.97%+0.12 -3.0 3
1962-09-24 @ EPA Larnaca D 1-152.5 1249 1175 26.97% 22.49% 50.54%-0.12 +3.1 3
1962-09-24 Olympiacos Nicosia W 2-150.3 1111 1394 23.45% 22.19% 54.36%-0.64 +29.8 2
1962-09-24 @ Orfeas Nicosia L 1-250.3 1394 1111 54.36% 22.19% 23.45%+0.64 -29.8 0
1962-10-01 Aris Limassol L 1-251.2 1148 1147 58.69% 22.38% 18.93%+0.40 -32.2 1
1962-10-01 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-151.2 1147 1148 18.93% 22.38% 58.69%-0.40 +32.2 4
1962-10-01 Omonia Nicosia W 3-148.2 1533 1520 59.75% 22.35% 17.90%+0.44 +20.6 5
1962-10-01 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-348.2 1520 1533 17.90% 22.35% 59.75%-0.44 -20.6 4
1962-10-01 EPA Larnaca W 3-138.5 1115 1172 52.58% 22.47% 24.95%+0.19 +27.2 2
1962-10-01 @ Apollon Limassol L 1-338.5 1172 1115 24.95% 22.47% 52.58%-0.19 -27.2 3
1962-10-01 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 3-028.1 1365 1252 67.19% 22.01% 10.79%+0.80 +22.1 2
1962-10-01 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-328.1 1252 1365 10.79% 22.01% 67.19%-0.80 -22.0 3
1962-10-01 AEL Limassol W 1-048.9 1140 1486 17.49% 21.94% 60.57%-0.86 +35.1 4
1962-10-01 @ Orfeas Nicosia L 0-148.9 1486 1140 60.57% 21.94% 17.49%+0.86 -35.1 3
1962-10-01 Anorthosis Famagusta D 0-049.3 1078 1208 43.34% 22.50% 34.16%-0.08 -1.3 1
1962-10-01 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-049.3 1208 1078 34.16% 22.50% 43.34%+0.08 +1.3 4
1962-10-08 Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-338.7 1116 1387 24.87% 22.24% 52.89%-0.59 -27.0 1
1962-10-08 @ Alki Larnaca W 3-138.7 1387 1116 52.89% 22.24% 24.87%+0.59 +27.0 4
1962-10-08 APOEL Nicosia D 1-155.3 1210 1553 17.63% 21.95% 60.42%-0.85 +5.8 5
1962-10-08 @ Anorthosis Famagusta D 1-155.3 1553 1210 60.42% 21.95% 17.63%+0.85 -5.8 6
1962-10-08 AEL Limassol D 2-257.5 1142 1451 20.85% 22.10% 57.05%-0.73 +3.6 3
1962-10-08 @ Apollon Limassol D 2-257.5 1451 1142 57.05% 22.10% 20.85%+0.73 -3.6 4
1962-10-08 Orfeas Nicosia W 2-140.3 1145 1176 55.45% 22.44% 22.11%+0.28 +14.2 5
1962-10-08 @ EPA Larnaca L 1-240.3 1176 1145 22.11% 22.44% 55.45%-0.28 -14.2 4
1962-10-08 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 6-336.6 1230 1077 69.50% 21.82% 8.69%+0.95 +12.2 5
1962-10-08 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 3-636.6 1077 1230 8.69% 21.82% 69.50%-0.95 -12.2 1
1962-10-08 Aris Limassol D 1-154.4 1499 1179 75.73% 20.73% 3.55%+1.56 -10.8 5
1962-10-08 @ Omonia Nicosia D 1-154.4 1179 1499 3.55% 20.73% 75.73%-1.56 +10.8 5
1962-10-15 AEL Limassol W 1-045.7 1215 1447 29.48% 22.35% 48.17%-0.45 +28.3 7
1962-10-15 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-145.7 1447 1215 48.17% 22.35% 29.48%+0.45 -28.3 4
1962-10-15 Aris Limassol W 4-237.8 1548 1190 76.68% 20.42% 2.90%+1.70 +3.3 8
1962-10-15 @ APOEL Nicosia L 2-437.8 1190 1548 2.90% 20.42% 76.68%-1.70 -3.3 5
1962-10-15 EPA Larnaca W 3-027.8 1242 1159 65.34% 22.13% 12.53%+0.70 +25.2 7
1962-10-15 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-327.8 1159 1242 12.53% 22.13% 65.34%-0.70 -25.2 5
1962-10-15 Alki Larnaca W 1-030.8 1414 1089 75.84% 20.69% 3.47%+1.57 +2.7 6
1962-10-15 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 0-130.8 1089 1414 3.47% 20.69% 75.84%-1.57 -2.7 1
1962-10-15 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 0-050.6 1489 1064 78.12% 19.85% 2.03%+1.94 -12.8 6
1962-10-15 @ Omonia Nicosia D 0-050.6 1064 1489 2.03% 19.85% 78.12%-1.94 +12.8 2
1962-10-15 Apollon Limassol W 2-138.9 1161 1146 60.00% 22.34% 17.66%+0.45 +11.8 6
1962-10-15 @ Orfeas Nicosia L 1-238.9 1146 1161 17.66% 22.34% 60.00%-0.45 -11.8 3
1962-10-22 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-446.2 1086 1077 59.39% 22.36% 18.25%+0.43 -79.7 1
1962-10-22 @ Alki Larnaca W 4-146.2 1077 1086 18.25% 22.36% 59.39%-0.43 +79.7 4
1962-10-22 Aris Limassol W 7-133.2 1134 1186 53.10% 22.47% 24.43%+0.20 +70.8 5
1962-10-22 @ Apollon Limassol L 1-733.2 1186 1134 24.43% 22.47% 53.10%-0.20 -70.8 5
1962-10-22 AEL Limassol L 0-331.5 1134 1419 23.26% 22.19% 54.55%-0.64 -42.9 5
1962-10-22 @ EPA Larnaca W 3-031.5 1419 1134 54.55% 22.19% 23.26%+0.64 +42.9 6
1962-10-22 Olympiacos Nicosia L 2-460.2 1476 1416 63.60% 22.22% 14.19%+0.61 -54.1 6
1962-10-22 @ Omonia Nicosia W 4-260.2 1416 1476 14.19% 22.22% 63.60%-0.61 +54.1 8
1962-10-22 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-144.5 1173 1268 48.05% 22.50% 29.45%+0.05 -28.3 6
1962-10-22 @ Orfeas Nicosia W 1-044.5 1268 1173 29.45% 22.50% 48.05%-0.05 +28.3 9
1962-10-29 APOEL Nicosia L 1-258.7 1462 1551 48.75% 22.50% 28.76%+0.07 -27.0 6
1962-10-29 @ AEL Limassol W 2-158.7 1551 1462 28.76% 22.50% 48.75%-0.07 +27.0 10
1962-10-29 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-152.3 1091 1157 51.51% 22.48% 26.01%+0.15 -3.3 6
1962-10-29 @ EPA Larnaca D 1-152.3 1157 1091 26.01% 22.48% 51.51%-0.15 +3.3 5
1962-10-29 Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-447.9 1296 1244 63.05% 22.24% 14.71%+0.58 -84.8 9
1962-10-29 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 4-147.9 1244 1296 14.71% 22.24% 63.05%-0.58 +84.8 9
1962-10-29 Apollon Limassol W 3-133.5 1470 1205 74.10% 21.13% 4.76%+1.36 +6.0 10
1962-10-29 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-333.5 1205 1470 4.76% 21.13% 74.10%-1.36 -6.0 5
1962-10-29 Alki Larnaca W 3-131.0 1422 1006 77.94% 19.93% 2.13%+1.90 +2.7 8
1962-10-29 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-331.0 1006 1422 2.13% 19.93% 77.94%-1.90 -2.7 1
1962-10-29 Aris Limassol D 2-256.6 1145 1116 61.18% 22.31% 16.51%+0.50 -4.6 7
1962-10-29 @ Orfeas Nicosia D 2-256.6 1116 1145 16.51% 22.31% 61.18%-0.50 +4.6 6
1962-11-05 Olympiacos Nicosia W 3-255.7 1199 1477 24.07% 22.21% 53.72%-0.61 +27.9 7
1962-11-05 @ Apollon Limassol L 2-355.7 1477 1199 53.72% 22.21% 24.07%+0.61 -27.9 10
1962-11-05 Alki Larnaca W 3-133.9 1120 1004 67.43% 21.99% 10.57%+0.82 +12.9 8
1962-11-05 @ Aris Limassol L 1-333.9 1004 1120 10.57% 21.99% 67.43%-0.82 -12.9 1
1962-11-05 AEL Limassol D 2-257.9 1211 1435 30.51% 22.37% 47.12%-0.42 +1.6 10
1962-11-05 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 2-257.9 1435 1211 47.12% 22.37% 30.51%+0.42 -1.6 7
1962-11-05 EPA Larnaca W 3-024.9 1424 1087 76.16% 20.60% 3.25%+1.62 +6.9 10
1962-11-05 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-324.9 1087 1424 3.25% 20.60% 76.16%-1.62 -6.9 6
1962-11-05 APOEL Nicosia L 0-134.9 1140 1578 11.00% 21.44% 67.57%-1.20 -8.1 7
1962-11-05 @ Orfeas Nicosia W 1-034.9 1578 1140 67.57% 21.44% 11.00%+1.20 +8.1 12
1962-11-12 AEL Limassol W 3-151.2 991 1433 10.74% 21.41% 67.86%-1.21 +64.4 3
1962-11-12 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-351.2 1433 991 67.86% 21.41% 10.74%+1.21 -64.4 7
1962-11-12 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 5-565.4 1226 1213 59.82% 22.35% 17.83%+0.44 -2.8 8
1962-11-12 @ Apollon Limassol D 5-565.4 1213 1226 17.83% 22.35% 59.82%-0.44 +2.8 11
1962-11-12 APOEL Nicosia D 2-259.0 1133 1586 10.16% 21.34% 68.50%-1.25 +6.2 9
1962-11-12 @ Aris Limassol D 2-259.0 1586 1133 68.50% 21.34% 10.16%+1.25 -6.2 13
1962-11-12 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-153.0 1080 1449 15.65% 21.83% 62.52%-0.94 +6.5 7
1962-11-12 @ EPA Larnaca D 1-153.0 1449 1080 62.52% 21.83% 15.65%+0.94 -6.5 11
1962-11-12 Orfeas Nicosia W 2-028.0 1431 1132 75.13% 20.89% 3.98%+1.48 +5.8 12
1962-11-12 @ Omonia Nicosia L 0-228.0 1132 1431 3.98% 20.89% 75.13%-1.48 -5.8 7
1962-11-19 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 2-456.6 1369 1216 69.49% 21.82% 8.70%+0.95 -59.5 7
1962-11-19 @ AEL Limassol W 4-256.6 1216 1369 8.70% 21.82% 69.49%-0.95 +59.5 13
1962-11-19 EPA Larnaca D 1-152.3 1055 1087 55.38% 22.44% 22.18%+0.28 -4.4 4
1962-11-19 @ Alki Larnaca D 1-152.3 1087 1055 22.18% 22.44% 55.38%-0.28 +4.4 8
1962-11-19 Olympiacos Nicosia W 2-147.0 1580 1442 68.66% 21.90% 9.45%+0.89 +6.7 15
1962-11-19 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-247.0 1442 1580 9.45% 21.90% 68.66%-0.89 -6.7 11
1962-11-19 Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-152.5 1224 1160 63.90% 22.20% 13.90%+0.63 -7.0 9
1962-11-19 @ Apollon Limassol D 1-152.5 1160 1224 13.90% 22.20% 63.90%-0.63 +7.0 6
1962-11-19 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-146.7 1139 1328 35.08% 22.44% 42.49%-0.29 +24.0 11
1962-11-19 @ Aris Limassol L 1-246.7 1328 1139 42.49% 22.44% 35.08%+0.29 -24.0 9
1962-11-19 Omonia Nicosia L 1-337.7 1126 1437 20.67% 22.09% 57.24%-0.73 -23.1 7
1962-11-19 @ Orfeas Nicosia W 3-137.7 1437 1126 57.24% 22.09% 20.67%+0.73 +23.1 14
1962-11-26 Orfeas Nicosia W 3-031.3 1051 1103 53.12% 22.47% 24.41%+0.21 +44.8 6
1962-11-26 @ Alki Larnaca L 0-331.3 1103 1051 24.41% 22.47% 53.12%-0.21 -44.8 7
1962-11-26 Anorthosis Famagusta L 2-353.2 1217 1305 48.90% 22.50% 28.60%+0.08 -25.7 9
1962-11-26 @ Apollon Limassol W 3-253.2 1305 1217 28.60% 22.50% 48.90%-0.08 +25.7 11
1962-11-26 EPA Larnaca W 1-033.8 1163 1091 64.52% 22.17% 13.31%+0.66 +9.7 13
1962-11-26 @ Aris Limassol L 0-133.8 1091 1163 13.31% 22.17% 64.52%-0.66 -9.7 8
1962-11-26 APOEL Nicosia L 0-335.2 1275 1586 20.61% 22.09% 57.31%-0.74 -38.7 13
1962-11-26 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 3-035.2 1586 1275 57.31% 22.09% 20.61%+0.74 +38.7 17
1962-11-26 AEL Limassol W 3-136.3 1435 1309 68.00% 21.95% 10.05%+0.85 +12.3 13
1962-11-26 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-336.3 1309 1435 10.05% 21.95% 68.00%-0.85 -12.3 7
1962-11-26 Omonia Nicosia D 1-153.5 1167 1460 22.47% 22.16% 55.37%-0.67 +4.4 7
1962-11-26 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 1-153.5 1460 1167 55.37% 22.16% 22.47%+0.67 -4.4 15
1962-12-03 EPA Larnaca L 2-456.7 1297 1082 72.29% 21.47% 6.25%+1.18 -62.1 7
1962-12-03 @ AEL Limassol W 4-256.7 1082 1297 6.25% 21.47% 72.29%-1.18 +62.1 10
1962-12-03 Apollon Limassol W 7-129.5 1625 1191 78.33% 19.75% 1.92%+1.97 +6.4 19
1962-12-03 @ APOEL Nicosia L 1-729.5 1191 1625 1.92% 19.75% 78.33%-1.97 -6.4 9
1962-12-03 Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-249.9 1448 1330 67.51% 21.99% 10.50%+0.82 -74.5 13
1962-12-03 @ Olympiacos Nicosia W 2-049.9 1330 1448 10.50% 21.99% 67.51%-0.82 +74.5 13
1962-12-03 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 0-051.3 1456 1236 72.45% 21.44% 6.11%+1.19 -10.9 16
1962-12-03 @ Omonia Nicosia D 0-051.3 1236 1456 6.11% 21.44% 72.45%-1.19 +10.9 14
1962-12-03 Alki Larnaca L 1-250.0 1058 1096 54.76% 22.45% 22.79%+0.26 -30.0 7
1962-12-03 @ Orfeas Nicosia W 2-150.0 1096 1058 22.79% 22.45% 54.76%-0.26 +30.0 8
1962-12-03 Aris Limassol W 3-243.9 1172 1173 58.42% 22.38% 19.19%+0.39 +12.0 9
1962-12-03 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 2-343.9 1173 1172 19.19% 22.38% 58.42%-0.39 -12.0 13
1962-12-10 Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-246.2 1235 1405 37.82% 22.46% 39.72%-0.22 -21.9 7
1962-12-10 @ AEL Limassol W 2-146.2 1405 1235 39.72% 22.46% 37.82%+0.22 +21.9 15
1962-12-10 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-143.6 1126 1247 44.54% 22.50% 32.96%-0.05 +19.7 10
1962-12-10 @ Alki Larnaca L 1-243.6 1247 1126 32.96% 22.50% 44.54%+0.05 -19.7 14
1962-12-10 EPA Larnaca L 1-454.4 1632 1144 79.32% 19.24% 1.44%+2.17 -106.8 19
1962-12-10 @ APOEL Nicosia W 4-154.4 1144 1632 1.44% 19.24% 79.32%-2.17 +106.8 12
1962-12-10 Orfeas Nicosia D 2-256.8 1185 1028 69.64% 21.80% 8.56%+0.96 -6.6 10
1962-12-10 @ Apollon Limassol D 2-256.8 1028 1185 8.56% 21.80% 69.64%-0.96 +6.6 8
1962-12-10 Omonia Nicosia L 0-137.7 1161 1445 23.42% 22.19% 54.39%-0.64 -15.8 13
1962-12-10 @ Aris Limassol W 1-037.7 1445 1161 54.39% 22.19% 23.42%+0.64 +15.8 18
1962-12-10 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 5-340.5 1373 1184 71.21% 21.62% 7.17%+1.08 +7.6 15
1962-12-10 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 3-540.5 1184 1373 7.17% 21.62% 71.21%-1.08 -7.6 9
1962-12-17 Apollon Limassol L 2-646.3 1145 1178 55.27% 22.44% 22.28%+0.28 -81.4 10
1962-12-17 @ Alki Larnaca W 6-246.3 1178 1145 22.28% 22.44% 55.27%-0.28 +81.4 12
1962-12-17 Aris Limassol W 5-128.4 1427 1145 74.59% 21.02% 4.38%+1.42 +10.2 17
1962-12-17 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-528.4 1145 1427 4.38% 21.02% 74.59%-1.42 -10.2 13
1962-12-17 AEL Limassol W 1-032.9 1525 1213 75.48% 20.80% 3.72%+1.53 +2.9 21
1962-12-17 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-132.9 1213 1525 3.72% 20.80% 75.48%-1.53 -2.9 7
1962-12-17 Orfeas Nicosia W 4-130.3 1228 1035 71.35% 21.60% 7.05%+1.09 +12.5 16
1962-12-17 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-430.3 1035 1228 7.05% 21.60% 71.35%-1.09 -12.5 8
1962-12-17 Omonia Nicosia W 3-143.8 1381 1461 49.89% 22.49% 27.62%+0.10 +29.6 17
1962-12-17 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-343.8 1461 1381 27.62% 22.49% 49.89%-0.10 -29.6 18
1962-12-17 EPA Larnaca W 4-136.8 1176 1251 50.53% 22.49% 26.98%+0.12 +41.0 11
1962-12-17 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-436.8 1251 1176 26.98% 22.49% 50.53%-0.12 -41.0 12
1963-01-14 Olympiacos Nicosia W 4-351.4 1437 1410 60.92% 22.32% 16.76%+0.49 +10.4 19
1963-01-14 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 3-451.4 1410 1437 16.76% 22.32% 60.92%-0.49 -10.4 17
1963-01-14 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 5-235.2 1528 1217 75.45% 20.80% 3.74%+1.52 +5.8 23
1963-01-14 @ APOEL Nicosia L 2-535.2 1217 1528 3.74% 20.80% 75.45%-1.52 -5.8 11
1963-01-14 Nea Salamis Famagusta L 1-247.8 1135 1240 46.71% 22.50% 30.79%+0.01 -26.0 13
1963-01-14 @ Aris Limassol W 2-147.8 1240 1135 30.79% 22.50% 46.71%-0.01 +26.0 18
1963-01-14 Alki Larnaca W 1-032.4 1210 1064 69.07% 21.86% 9.07%+0.92 +6.9 14
1963-01-14 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-132.4 1064 1210 9.07% 21.86% 69.07%-0.92 -6.8 10
1963-01-14 AEL Limassol W 2-136.3 1431 1210 72.50% 21.43% 6.07%+1.20 +4.4 20
1963-01-14 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-236.3 1210 1431 6.07% 21.43% 72.50%-1.20 -4.4 7
1963-01-21 Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-446.0 1206 1211 58.03% 22.39% 19.58%+0.38 -77.9 7
1963-01-21 @ AEL Limassol W 4-146.0 1211 1206 19.58% 22.39% 58.03%-0.38 +77.9 13
1963-01-21 Alki Larnaca W 7-228.6 1447 1057 77.41% 20.15% 2.44%+1.81 +5.8 21
1963-01-21 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 2-728.6 1057 1447 2.44% 20.15% 77.41%-1.81 -5.8 10
1963-01-21 Orfeas Nicosia W 1-029.8 1533 1022 79.72% 19.01% 1.27%+2.25 +1.0 25
1963-01-21 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-129.8 1022 1533 1.27% 19.01% 79.72%-2.25 -1.0 8
1963-01-21 Olympiacos Nicosia W 3-147.8 1109 1400 22.68% 22.17% 55.16%-0.66 +52.3 15
1963-01-21 @ Aris Limassol L 1-347.8 1400 1109 55.16% 22.17% 22.68%+0.66 -52.3 17
1963-01-21 Omonia Nicosia L 0-533.0 1216 1436 31.10% 22.38% 46.53%-0.40 -87.7 14
1963-01-21 @ EPA Larnaca W 5-033.0 1436 1216 46.53% 22.38% 31.10%+0.40 +87.7 22
1963-01-21 Apollon Limassol D 1-152.8 1266 1259 59.18% 22.37% 18.45%+0.42 -5.5 19
1963-01-21 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-152.8 1259 1266 18.45% 22.37% 59.18%-0.42 +5.5 13
1963-01-28 Omonia Nicosia D 1-153.8 1128 1523 13.66% 21.69% 64.66%-1.04 +7.1 8
1963-01-28 @ AEL Limassol D 1-153.8 1523 1128 64.66% 21.69% 13.66%+1.04 -7.1 23
1963-01-28 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 5-130.7 1453 1261 71.32% 21.61% 7.07%+1.09 +16.2 23
1963-01-28 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-530.7 1261 1453 7.07% 21.61% 71.32%-1.09 -16.2 19
1963-01-28 Orfeas Nicosia D 4-463.8 1161 1021 68.78% 21.88% 9.34%+0.90 -4.7 16
1963-01-28 @ Aris Limassol D 4-463.8 1021 1161 9.34% 21.88% 68.78%-0.90 +4.7 9
1963-01-28 Apollon Limassol W 4-139.1 1129 1265 42.54% 22.49% 34.97%-0.10 +50.4 16
1963-01-28 @ EPA Larnaca L 1-439.1 1265 1129 34.97% 22.49% 42.54%+0.10 -50.4 13
1963-01-28 APOEL Nicosia D 0-055.0 1348 1534 35.44% 22.44% 42.12%-0.28 +0.9 18
1963-01-28 @ Olympiacos Nicosia D 0-055.0 1534 1348 42.12% 22.44% 35.44%+0.28 -0.9 26
1963-01-28 Alki Larnaca W 4-236.5 1289 1051 73.13% 21.32% 5.54%+1.26 +6.3 15
1963-01-28 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 2-436.5 1051 1289 5.54% 21.32% 73.13%-1.26 -6.3 10
1963-02-04 APOEL Nicosia W 4-044.1 1045 1534 8.45% 21.10% 70.45%-1.38 +146.8 12
1963-02-04 @ Alki Larnaca L 0-444.1 1534 1045 70.45% 21.10% 8.45%+1.38 -146.8 26
1963-02-04 Apollon Limassol W 3-133.7 1469 1214 73.72% 21.21% 5.06%+1.32 +6.4 25
1963-02-04 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-333.7 1214 1469 5.06% 21.21% 73.72%-1.32 -6.4 13
1963-02-04 Aris Limassol W 5-132.0 1179 1157 60.59% 22.33% 17.08%+0.48 +36.1 18
1963-02-04 @ EPA Larnaca L 1-532.0 1157 1179 17.08% 22.33% 60.59%-0.48 -36.1 16
1963-02-04 Omonia Nicosia D 1-155.1 1244 1516 24.77% 22.23% 53.00%-0.59 +3.7 20
1963-02-04 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-155.1 1516 1244 53.00% 22.23% 24.77%+0.59 -3.7 24
1963-02-04 Orfeas Nicosia W 2-134.3 1349 1026 75.78% 20.71% 3.51%+1.57 +2.6 20
1963-02-04 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-234.3 1026 1349 3.51% 20.71% 75.78%-1.57 -2.6 9
1963-02-04 AEL Limassol W 3-240.6 1295 1135 69.84% 21.78% 8.38%+0.98 +5.7 17
1963-02-04 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 2-340.6 1135 1295 8.38% 21.78% 69.84%-0.98 -5.7 8
1963-02-11 Omonia Nicosia L 1-436.2 1192 1512 19.75% 22.05% 58.20%-0.77 -31.5 12
1963-02-11 @ Alki Larnaca W 4-136.2 1512 1192 58.20% 22.05% 19.75%+0.77 +31.5 26
1963-02-11 Apollon Limassol W 3-246.7 1121 1208 48.94% 22.50% 28.56%+0.08 +16.6 18
1963-02-11 @ Aris Limassol L 2-346.7 1208 1121 28.56% 22.50% 48.94%-0.08 -16.6 13
1963-02-11 EPA Larnaca W 4-238.5 1351 1215 68.56% 21.90% 9.53%+0.89 +10.5 22
1963-02-11 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 2-438.5 1215 1351 9.53% 21.90% 68.56%-0.89 -10.5 18
1963-02-11 Anorthosis Famagusta W 1-050.4 1024 1475 10.22% 21.35% 68.43%-1.25 +39.8 11
1963-02-11 @ Orfeas Nicosia L 0-150.4 1475 1024 68.43% 21.35% 10.22%+1.25 -39.8 25
1963-02-11 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 2-257.2 1301 1248 63.10% 22.24% 14.66%+0.59 -5.0 18
1963-02-11 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca D 2-257.2 1248 1301 14.66% 22.24% 63.10%-0.59 +5.0 21
1963-02-18 Orfeas Nicosia W 5-127.3 1436 1063 77.01% 20.30% 2.68%+1.75 +6.2 27
1963-02-18 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-527.3 1063 1436 2.68% 20.30% 77.01%-1.75 -6.2 11
1963-02-18 Alki Larnaca W 2-138.6 1191 1161 61.32% 22.30% 16.38%+0.51 +11.0 15
1963-02-18 @ Apollon Limassol L 1-238.6 1161 1191 16.38% 22.30% 61.32%-0.51 -11.0 12
1963-02-18 APOEL Nicosia W 1-043.1 1205 1387 36.09% 22.45% 41.46%-0.27 +25.0 20
1963-02-18 @ EPA Larnaca L 0-143.1 1387 1205 41.46% 22.45% 36.09%+0.27 -25.0 26
1963-02-18 Aris Limassol W 7-231.3 1253 1137 67.41% 22.00% 10.59%+0.82 +24.2 23
1963-02-18 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 2-731.3 1137 1253 10.59% 22.00% 67.41%-0.82 -24.2 18
1963-02-18 Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-347.8 1296 1362 51.58% 22.48% 25.94%+0.16 -49.2 18
1963-02-18 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 3-147.8 1362 1296 25.94% 22.48% 51.58%-0.16 +49.2 24
1963-02-25 Apollon Limassol D 1-152.3 1129 1202 50.70% 22.49% 26.82%+0.13 -3.1 9
1963-02-25 @ AEL Limassol D 1-152.3 1202 1129 26.82% 22.49% 50.70%-0.13 +3.1 16
1963-02-25 EPA Larnaca W 7-128.9 1442 1230 72.15% 21.49% 6.36%+1.17 +21.2 29
1963-02-25 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-728.9 1230 1442 6.36% 21.49% 72.15%-1.17 -21.2 20
1963-02-25 Alki Larnaca W 8-332.2 1277 1150 68.11% 21.94% 9.95%+0.86 +20.6 25
1963-02-25 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 3-832.2 1150 1277 9.95% 21.94% 68.11%-0.86 -20.6 12
1963-02-25 Aris Limassol W 2-134.8 1411 1113 75.09% 20.90% 4.01%+1.48 +2.9 26
1963-02-25 @ Olympiacos Nicosia L 1-234.8 1113 1411 4.01% 20.90% 75.09%-1.48 -2.9 18
1963-02-25 APOEL Nicosia D 2-263.4 1544 1362 70.87% 21.66% 7.47%+1.06 -6.9 27
1963-02-25 @ Omonia Nicosia D 2-263.4 1362 1544 7.47% 21.66% 70.87%-1.06 +6.9 27
1963-02-25 Pezoporikos Larnaca W 3-250.9 1057 1247 35.02% 22.43% 42.54%-0.29 +22.8 13
1963-02-25 @ Orfeas Nicosia L 2-350.9 1247 1057 42.54% 22.43% 35.02%+0.29 -22.8 18
1963-03-04 Olympiacos Nicosia W 4-145.4 1126 1414 23.03% 22.18% 54.80%-0.65 +73.5 11
1963-03-04 @ AEL Limassol L 1-445.4 1414 1126 54.80% 22.18% 23.03%+0.65 -73.5 26
1963-03-04 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 1-153.8 1369 1298 64.43% 22.18% 13.39%+0.65 -7.2 28
1963-03-04 @ APOEL Nicosia D 1-153.8 1298 1369 13.39% 22.18% 64.43%-0.65 +7.2 26
1963-03-04 Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-262.9 1537 1463 64.67% 22.17% 13.17%+0.66 -35.6 27
1963-03-04 @ Omonia Nicosia W 2-162.9 1463 1537 13.17% 22.17% 64.67%-0.66 +35.5 31
1963-03-04 Apollon Limassol W 3-136.3 1224 1206 60.24% 22.34% 17.42%+0.46 +20.1 20
1963-03-04 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-336.3 1206 1224 17.42% 22.34% 60.24%-0.46 -20.1 16
1963-03-11 Orfeas Nicosia W 3-133.9 1200 1080 67.64% 21.98% 10.38%+0.83 +12.7 13
1963-03-11 @ AEL Limassol L 1-333.9 1080 1200 10.38% 21.98% 67.64%-0.83 -12.7 13
1963-03-11 Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-239.2 1129 1499 15.53% 21.82% 62.65%-0.95 -10.4 12
1963-03-11 @ Alki Larnaca W 2-139.2 1499 1129 62.65% 21.82% 15.53%+0.95 +10.4 33
1963-03-11 APOEL Nicosia L 1-541.3 1244 1362 45.10% 22.50% 32.40%-0.03 -79.8 20
1963-03-11 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca W 5-141.3 1362 1244 32.40% 22.50% 45.10%+0.03 +79.8 30
1963-03-18 Omonia Nicosia W 2-042.4 1509 1501 59.26% 22.36% 18.38%+0.42 +24.3 35
1963-03-18 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-242.4 1501 1509 18.38% 22.36% 59.26%-0.42 -24.3 27
1963-03-18 APOEL Nicosia L 2-541.1 1185 1441 26.57% 22.28% 51.15%-0.53 -35.0 16
1963-03-18 @ Apollon Limassol W 5-241.1 1441 1185 51.15% 22.28% 26.57%+0.53 +35.0 32
1963-03-18 AEL Limassol W 2-142.8 1110 1212 47.07% 22.50% 30.43%+0.02 +18.5 20
1963-03-18 @ Aris Limassol L 1-242.8 1212 1110 30.43% 22.50% 47.07%-0.02 -18.5 13
1963-03-18 Orfeas Nicosia W 2-137.0 1164 1067 66.24% 22.08% 11.68%+0.75 +8.2 22
1963-03-18 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca L 1-237.0 1067 1164 11.68% 22.08% 66.24%-0.75 -8.2 13
1963-03-25 Anorthosis Famagusta L 0-332.1 1209 1533 19.35% 22.03% 58.62%-0.78 -36.7 20
1963-03-25 @ EPA Larnaca W 3-032.1 1533 1209 58.62% 22.03% 19.35%+0.78 +36.7 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1962-12-10 1.44% EPA Larnaca 1144 4 @ APOEL Nicosia 1632 1
2 1962-12-03 6.25% EPA Larnaca 1082 4 @ AEL Limassol 1297 2
3 1963-02-04 8.45% @ Alki Larnaca 1045 4 APOEL Nicosia 1534 0
4 1962-11-19 8.70% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1216 4 @ AEL Limassol 1369 2
5 1963-02-11 10.22% @ Orfeas Nicosia 1024 1 Anorthosis Famagusta 1475 0
6 1962-12-03 10.50% Anorthosis Famagusta 1330 2 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1448 0
7 1962-11-12 10.74% @ Alki Larnaca 991 3 AEL Limassol 1433 1
8 1963-03-04 13.17% Anorthosis Famagusta 1463 2 @ Omonia Nicosia 1537 1
9 1962-10-22 14.19% Olympiacos Nicosia 1416 4 @ Omonia Nicosia 1476 2
10 1962-10-29 14.71% Anorthosis Famagusta 1244 4 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1296 1
11 1962-09-17 16.45% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1143 5 Olympiacos Nicosia 1501 1
12 1962-10-01 17.49% @ Orfeas Nicosia 1140 1 AEL Limassol 1486 0
13 1962-10-22 18.25% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1077 4 @ Alki Larnaca 1086 1
14 1962-10-01 18.93% Aris Limassol 1147 2 @ Alki Larnaca 1148 1
15 1962-09-17 19.07% EPA Larnaca 1143 2 @ Orfeas Nicosia 1143 1
16 1963-01-21 19.58% Pezoporikos Larnaca 1211 4 @ AEL Limassol 1206 1
17 1962-12-17 22.28% Apollon Limassol 1178 6 @ Alki Larnaca 1145 2
18 1963-01-21 22.68% @ Aris Limassol 1109 3 Olympiacos Nicosia 1400 1
19 1962-12-03 22.79% Alki Larnaca 1096 2 @ Orfeas Nicosia 1058 1
20 1963-03-04 23.03% @ AEL Limassol 1126 4 Olympiacos Nicosia 1414 1
21 1962-09-24 23.45% @ Orfeas Nicosia 1111 2 Olympiacos Nicosia 1394 1
22 1962-11-05 24.07% @ Apollon Limassol 1199 3 Olympiacos Nicosia 1477 2
23 1963-02-18 25.94% Olympiacos Nicosia 1362 3 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1296 1
24 1962-11-26 28.60% Anorthosis Famagusta 1305 3 @ Apollon Limassol 1217 2
25 1962-10-29 28.76% APOEL Nicosia 1551 2 @ AEL Limassol 1462 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1963-02-04 146.79 @ Alki Larnaca 4 1045 8.45% APOEL Nicosia 0 1534 70.45% 21.10%
2 1962-12-10 106.80 EPA Larnaca 4 1144 1.44% @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1632 79.32% 19.24%
3 1962-09-17 106.48 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 5 1143 16.45% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1501 61.67% 21.88%
4 1963-01-21 87.67 Omonia Nicosia 5 1436 46.53% @ EPA Larnaca 0 1216 31.10% 22.38%
5 1962-10-29 84.76 Anorthosis Famagusta 4 1244 14.71% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1296 63.05% 22.24%
6 1962-12-17 81.36 Apollon Limassol 6 1178 22.28% @ Alki Larnaca 2 1145 55.27% 22.44%
7 1963-03-11 79.80 APOEL Nicosia 5 1362 32.40% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1244 45.10% 22.50%
8 1962-10-22 79.71 Pezoporikos Larnaca 4 1077 18.25% @ Alki Larnaca 1 1086 59.39% 22.36%
9 1963-01-21 77.88 Pezoporikos Larnaca 4 1211 19.58% @ AEL Limassol 1 1206 58.03% 22.39%
10 1962-12-03 74.46 Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1330 10.50% @ Olympiacos Nicosia 0 1448 67.51% 21.99%
11 1963-03-04 73.46 @ AEL Limassol 4 1126 23.03% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1414 54.80% 22.18%
12 1962-10-22 70.75 @ Apollon Limassol 7 1134 53.10% Aris Limassol 1 1186 24.43% 22.47%
13 1962-11-12 64.40 @ Alki Larnaca 3 991 10.74% AEL Limassol 1 1433 67.86% 21.41%
14 1962-12-03 62.11 EPA Larnaca 4 1082 6.25% @ AEL Limassol 2 1297 72.29% 21.47%
15 1962-11-19 59.51 Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 1216 8.70% @ AEL Limassol 2 1369 69.49% 21.82%
16 1962-10-22 54.10 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 1416 14.19% @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1476 63.60% 22.22%
17 1962-09-24 52.93 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 5 1155 60.77% Pezoporikos Larnaca 0 1131 16.91% 22.32%
18 1963-01-21 52.27 @ Aris Limassol 3 1109 22.68% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1400 55.16% 22.17%
19 1963-01-28 50.44 @ EPA Larnaca 4 1129 42.54% Apollon Limassol 1 1265 34.97% 22.49%
20 1963-02-18 49.21 Olympiacos Nicosia 3 1362 25.94% @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1296 51.58% 22.48%
21 1962-11-26 44.82 @ Alki Larnaca 3 1051 53.12% Orfeas Nicosia 0 1103 24.41% 22.47%
22 1962-10-22 42.90 AEL Limassol 3 1419 54.55% @ EPA Larnaca 0 1134 23.26% 22.19%
23 1962-12-17 41.03 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 4 1176 50.53% EPA Larnaca 1 1251 26.98% 22.49%
24 1963-02-11 39.79 @ Orfeas Nicosia 1 1024 10.22% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1475 68.43% 21.35%
25 1962-11-26 38.71 APOEL Nicosia 3 1586 57.31% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 1275 20.61% 22.09%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-11-12 65.4 @ Apollon Limassol 5 1226 59.82% Nea Salamis Famagusta 5 1213 17.83% 22.35%
2 1963-01-28 63.8 @ Aris Limassol 4 1161 68.78% Orfeas Nicosia 4 1021 9.34% 21.88%
3 1963-02-25 63.4 @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1544 70.87% APOEL Nicosia 2 1362 7.47% 21.66%
4 1963-03-04 62.9 Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1463 13.17% @ Omonia Nicosia 1 1537 64.67% 22.17%
5 1962-10-22 60.2 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 1416 14.19% @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1476 63.60% 22.22%
6 1962-11-12 59.0 @ Aris Limassol 2 1133 10.16% APOEL Nicosia 2 1586 68.50% 21.34%
7 1962-10-29 58.7 APOEL Nicosia 2 1551 28.76% @ AEL Limassol 1 1462 48.75% 22.50%
8 1962-11-05 57.9 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 1211 30.51% AEL Limassol 2 1435 47.12% 22.37%
9 1962-10-08 57.5 @ Apollon Limassol 2 1142 20.85% AEL Limassol 2 1451 57.05% 22.10%
10 1963-02-11 57.2 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 2 1301 63.10% Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 1248 14.66% 22.24%
11 1962-12-10 56.8 @ Apollon Limassol 2 1185 69.64% Orfeas Nicosia 2 1028 8.56% 21.80%
12 1962-12-03 56.7 EPA Larnaca 4 1082 6.25% @ AEL Limassol 2 1297 72.29% 21.47%
13 1962-10-29 56.6 @ Orfeas Nicosia 2 1145 61.18% Aris Limassol 2 1116 16.51% 22.31%
14 1962-11-19 56.6 Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 1216 8.70% @ AEL Limassol 2 1369 69.49% 21.82%
15 1962-11-05 55.7 @ Apollon Limassol 3 1199 24.07% Olympiacos Nicosia 2 1477 53.72% 22.21%
16 1962-10-08 55.3 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1210 17.63% APOEL Nicosia 1 1553 60.42% 21.95%
17 1963-02-04 55.1 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1244 24.77% Omonia Nicosia 1 1516 53.00% 22.23%
18 1963-01-28 55.0 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 0 1348 35.44% APOEL Nicosia 0 1534 42.12% 22.44%
19 1962-10-08 54.4 @ Omonia Nicosia 1 1499 75.73% Aris Limassol 1 1179 3.55% 20.73%
20 1962-12-10 54.4 EPA Larnaca 4 1144 1.44% @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1632 79.32% 19.24%
21 1962-09-17 54.0 @ AEL Limassol 1 1489 76.38% Alki Larnaca 1 1143 3.09% 20.52%
22 1963-01-28 53.8 @ AEL Limassol 1 1128 13.66% Omonia Nicosia 1 1523 64.66% 21.69%
23 1963-03-04 53.8 @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1369 64.43% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1298 13.39% 22.18%
24 1962-11-26 53.5 @ Pezoporikos Larnaca 1 1167 22.47% Omonia Nicosia 1 1460 55.37% 22.16%
25 1962-11-26 53.2 Anorthosis Famagusta 3 1305 28.60% @ Apollon Limassol 2 1217 48.90% 22.50%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1962-11-05 24.9 @ Omonia Nicosia 3 1424 76.16% EPA Larnaca 0 1087 3.25% 20.60%
2 1962-09-17 25.5 @ Omonia Nicosia 3 1492 76.46% Apollon Limassol 0 1143 3.04% 20.50%
3 1962-09-24 25.8 @ APOEL Nicosia 3 1527 77.04% Alki Larnaca 0 1154 2.67% 20.29%
4 1963-02-18 27.3 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 5 1436 77.01% Orfeas Nicosia 1 1063 2.68% 20.30%
5 1962-09-24 27.5 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 5 1155 60.77% Pezoporikos Larnaca 0 1131 16.91% 22.32%
6 1962-10-15 27.8 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 1242 65.34% EPA Larnaca 0 1159 12.53% 22.13%
7 1962-11-12 28.0 @ Omonia Nicosia 2 1431 75.13% Orfeas Nicosia 0 1132 3.98% 20.89%
8 1962-10-01 28.1 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 3 1365 67.19% Nea Salamis Famagusta 0 1252 10.79% 22.01%
9 1962-12-17 28.4 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 5 1427 74.59% Aris Limassol 1 1145 4.38% 21.02%
10 1962-09-24 28.5 @ AEL Limassol 5 1478 75.79% Aris Limassol 1 1155 3.50% 20.71%
11 1963-01-21 28.6 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 7 1447 77.41% Alki Larnaca 2 1057 2.44% 20.15%
12 1963-02-25 28.9 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 7 1442 72.15% EPA Larnaca 1 1230 6.36% 21.49%
13 1962-12-03 29.5 @ APOEL Nicosia 7 1625 78.33% Apollon Limassol 1 1191 1.92% 19.75%
14 1963-01-21 29.8 @ APOEL Nicosia 1 1533 79.72% Orfeas Nicosia 0 1022 1.27% 19.01%
15 1962-12-17 30.3 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 1228 71.35% Orfeas Nicosia 1 1035 7.05% 21.60%
16 1963-01-28 30.7 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 5 1453 71.32% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1261 7.07% 21.61%
17 1962-10-15 30.8 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1414 75.84% Alki Larnaca 0 1089 3.47% 20.69%
18 1962-10-29 31.0 @ Omonia Nicosia 3 1422 77.94% Alki Larnaca 1 1006 2.13% 19.93%
19 1962-11-26 31.3 @ Alki Larnaca 3 1051 53.12% Orfeas Nicosia 0 1103 24.41% 22.47%
20 1963-02-18 31.3 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 7 1253 67.41% Aris Limassol 2 1137 10.59% 22.00%
21 1962-10-22 31.5 AEL Limassol 3 1419 54.55% @ EPA Larnaca 0 1134 23.26% 22.19%
22 1963-02-04 32.0 @ EPA Larnaca 5 1179 60.59% Aris Limassol 1 1157 17.08% 22.33%
23 1963-03-25 32.1 Anorthosis Famagusta 3 1533 58.62% @ EPA Larnaca 0 1209 19.35% 22.03%
24 1963-02-25 32.2 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 8 1277 68.11% Alki Larnaca 3 1150 9.95% 21.94%
25 1962-09-24 32.4 Omonia Nicosia 2 1498 62.01% @ Apollon Limassol 0 1136 16.12% 21.86%