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2026-27 Cypriot First Division Season

28 games played · 14 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Omonia Nicosia

68.67% chance to win the title

Biggest Overachiever

AEL Limassol

4.09 points above expected

9 points · 4.91 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ypsonas

4.08 points below expected

0 points · 4.08 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9 9 4 +5 7.90 +1.10
2 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 9 6 7 -1 4.91 +4.09
3 Omonia Nicosia 4 2 2 0 8 8 2 +6 8.88 -0.88
4 Pafos FC 4 2 1 1 7 4 2 +2 7.75 -0.75
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 6 7 5 +2 5.73 +0.27
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 6 4 3 +1 5.75 +0.25
7 Omonia 29is Maiou 4 1 2 1 5 9 7 +2 4.49 +0.51
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 5 4 6 -2 6.37 -1.37
9 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 0 4 0 4 7 7 0 5.37 -1.37
10 Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 1 1 2 4 8 9 -1 3.45 +0.55
11 APOEL Nicosia 4 1 1 2 4 10 7 +3 5.56 -1.56
12 Karmiotissa FC 4 0 3 1 3 3 6 -3 3.24 -0.24
13 Anorthosis Famagusta 4 1 0 3 3 3 9 -6 4.73 -1.73
14 Ypsonas 4 0 0 4 0 2 10 -8 4.08 -4.08

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AEL Limassol 9 4.91 +4.09
2 AEK Larnaca 9 7.90 +1.10
3 Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 3.45 +0.55
4 Omonia 29is Maiou 5 4.49 +0.51
5 Apollon Limassol 6 5.73 +0.27

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ypsonas 0 4.08 -4.08
2 Anorthosis Famagusta 3 4.73 -1.73
3 APOEL Nicosia 4 5.56 -1.56
4 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 5.37 -1.37
5 Aris Limassol 5 6.37 -1.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AEL Limassol 2 Sep 11 – Sep 18 1 in 22
2 Omonia 29is Maiou 1 Aug 28 – Aug 28 1 in 6
3 Anorthosis Famagusta 1 Sep 12 – Sep 12 1 in 6
4 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 Sep 19 – Sep 19 1 in 4
5 AEK Larnaca 2 Aug 29 – Sep 6 1 in 3

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ypsonas 4 Aug 28 – Sep 20 1 in 23
2 Pafos FC 1 Sep 18 – Sep 18 1 in 11
3 Anorthosis Famagusta 2 Aug 30 – Sep 5 1 in 4
4 AEK Larnaca 1 Sep 13 – Sep 13 1 in 3
5 Nea Salamis Famagusta 2 Sep 6 – Sep 11 1 in 3

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Karmiotissa FC 3 Sep 4 – Sep 20 1 in 14
2 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 Aug 28 – Sep 20 1 in 10
3 Omonia Aradippou 4 Aug 31 – Sep 20 1 in 9
4 Apollon Limassol 4 Aug 29 – Sep 19 1 in 8
5 Omonia 29is Maiou 3 Aug 28 – Sep 13 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 Aug 28 – Sep 20 1 in 8
2 Ypsonas 4 Aug 28 – Sep 20 1 in 4
3 Omonia 29is Maiou 3 Sep 4 – Sep 18 1 in 4
4 Omonia Aradippou 2 Sep 12 – Sep 20 1 in 4
5 APOEL Nicosia 2 Sep 12 – Sep 19 1 in 4

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 AEK Larnaca +0.00 1897
2 AEL Limassol +0.00 1725
3 APOEL Nicosia +0.00 1838
4 Anorthosis Famagusta +0.00 1592
5 Apollon Limassol +0.00 1852

Biggest Elo Losers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 AEK Larnaca +0.00 1897
2 AEL Limassol +0.00 1725
3 APOEL Nicosia +0.00 1838
4 Anorthosis Famagusta +0.00 1592
5 Apollon Limassol +0.00 1852

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
AEK Larnaca 1897 9 +32 9 7.9 +1.1
AEL Limassol 1725 9 +26 9 4.9 +4.1
Omonia Nicosia 2003 8 +29 8 8.9 -0.9
Pafos FC 1822 7 -33 7 7.7 -0.7
Apollon Limassol 1852 6 +32 6 5.7 +0.3
Omonia Aradippou 1701 6 +23 6 5.8 +0.2
Omonia 29is Maiou 1651 5 +102 5 4.5 +0.5
Aris Limassol 1754 5 -34 5 6.4 -1.4
Olympiacos Nicosia 1693 4 +7 4 5.4 -1.4
Nea Salamis Famagusta 1649 4 +63 4 3.4 +0.6
APOEL Nicosia 1838 4 +76 4 5.6 -1.6
Anorthosis Famagusta 1592 3 -143 3 4.7 -1.7
Karmiotissa FC 1589 3 -19 3 3.2 -0.2
Ypsonas 1542 0 -161 0 4.1 -4.1

Upcoming Matches

The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date Favored By Home Win% – Draw% – Win% Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-10-10 1.35 AEK Larnaca 9 pts·1897 66% – 20% – 14% Omonia Aradippou 6 pts·1701 58.0
2026-10-10 0.65 AEL Limassol 9 pts·1725 54% – 21% – 25% Omonia 29is Maiou 5 pts·1651 70.9
2026-10-10 Anorthosis Famagusta 3 pts·1592 17% – 21% – 62% Pafos FC 7 pts·1822 1.1048.7
2026-10-10 1.31 APOEL Nicosia 4 pts·1838 65% – 20% – 14% Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 pts·1649 63.8
2026-10-10 Karmiotissa FC 3 pts·1589 7% – 19% – 74% Omonia Nicosia 8 pts·2003 2.1742.8
2026-10-10 Ypsonas 0 pts·1542 12% – 20% – 68% Apollon Limassol 6 pts·1852 1.5744.6
2026-10-10 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 pts·1693 36% – 21% – 43% Aris Limassol 5 pts·1754 0.1468.1
2026-10-17 1.39 Apollon Limassol 6 pts·1852 66% – 20% – 13% Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 pts·1649 59.7
2026-10-17 Aris Limassol 5 pts·1754 26% – 21% – 53% AEK Larnaca 9 pts·1897 0.6064.8
2026-10-17 Ypsonas 0 pts·1542 38% – 21% – 41% Karmiotissa FC 3 pts·1589 0.0658.0
2026-10-17 0.55 Omonia 29is Maiou 5 pts·1651 52% – 21% – 27% Anorthosis Famagusta 3 pts·1592 66.6
2026-10-17 0.08 Omonia Aradippou 6 pts·1701 41% – 21% – 37% AEL Limassol 9 pts·1725 68.8
2026-10-17 2.00 Omonia Nicosia 8 pts·2003 73% – 19% – 8% Olympiacos Nicosia 4 pts·1693 51.9
2026-10-17 0.12 Pafos FC 7 pts·1822 42% – 21% – 36% APOEL Nicosia 4 pts·1838 75.2

Recent Matches

The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date Favored By Home Score Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-20 1.28 Aris Limassol 5 pts·1764·-9.41 0 – 0 Karmiotissa FC 3 pts·1579·+9.42 67.1
2026-09-20 0.29 Omonia Aradippou 6 pts·1703·-2.12 1 – 1 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 pts·1691·+2.12 71.4
2026-09-20 2.78 Omonia Nicosia 8 pts·1995·+7.75 4 – 1 Ypsonas 0 pts·1549·-7.75 48.6
2026-09-19 0.32 Apollon Limassol 6 pts·1854·-1.74 2 – 2 APOEL Nicosia 4 pts·1837·+1.74 77.7
2026-09-19 Nea Salamis Famagusta 4 pts·1545·+104.13 3 – 0 Anorthosis Famagusta 3 pts·1696·-104.14 0.6557.1
2026-09-18 Omonia 29is Maiou 5 pts·1665·-14.26 1 – 2 AEK Larnaca 9 pts·1883·+14.26 1.0458.2
2026-09-18 1.86 Pafos FC 7 pts·1916·-94.28 0 – 2 AEL Limassol 9 pts·1631·+94.28 66.1
2026-09-14 Ypsonas 0 pts·1567·-17.75 0 – 1 Aris Limassol 5 pts·1746·+17.75 0.8152.9
2026-09-13 0.43 AEK Larnaca 9 pts·1918·-34.98 0 – 1 Pafos FC 7 pts·1881·+34.98 62.9
2026-09-13 0.39 Olympiacos Nicosia 4 pts·1693·-1.77 3 – 3 Omonia 29is Maiou 5 pts·1663·+1.77 80.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AL AL AN AF AL AL KAR NSF ON O2M OA ON PAF YPS
AEK Larnaca —
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.92
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.24
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.04
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.70
0-0-0
0.00
AEL Limassol
0-0-0
0.00
—
0-0-1
1.32
1-0-0
1.40
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.73
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.46
0-0-0
0.00
APOEL Nicosia
0-0-1
0.87
1-0-0
1.47
—
0-0-1
2.05
0-1-0
1.17
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Anorthosis Famagusta
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.39
1-0-0
0.74
—
0-0-1
0.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.84
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Apollon Limassol
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.62
1-0-0
2.03
—
0-1-0
1.37
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Aris Limassol
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.42
—
0-1-0
2.15
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.88
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.93
Karmiotissa FC
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.65
—
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.89
0-1-0
1.02
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.68
0-0-0
0.00
Nea Salamis Famagusta
0-0-1
0.56
0-0-1
1.06
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.95
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
—
0-1-0
0.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Olympiacos Nicosia
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.92
—
0-1-0
1.67
0-1-0
1.19
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.60
0-0-0
0.00
Omonia 29is Maiou
0-0-1
0.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.12
—
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.72
Omonia Aradippou
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.60
0-0-0
0.00
—
0-1-0
0.45
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.94
Omonia Nicosia
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
2.08
1-0-0
1.91
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
2.36
—
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.53
Pafos FC
1-0-0
1.09
0-0-1
2.34
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.11
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
2.20
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
—
0-0-0
0.00
Ypsonas
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
2.07
0-0-1
0.85
0-0-1
0.29
0-0-0
0.00
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.19 +4.2
Allowed 0.50 -7.0
Differential 0.58 +4.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%3.57%3.57%5.36%—1.79%28.57%
13.57%7.14%7.14%3.57%5.36%—26.79%
23.57%7.14%10.71%———21.43%
35.36%3.57%—7.14%——16.07%
4—5.36%————5.36%
5+1.79%—————1.79%
Total28.57%26.79%21.43%16.07%5.36%1.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.36 1.36 2.02
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—25.00%————25.00%
1———————
2—25.00%————25.00%
3—25.00%————25.00%
4—25.00%————25.00%
5+———————
Total—100.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.25 1.00 +1.25
SD 1.71 0.00 1.71
CV 0.76 0.00 —
Max 4 1 +3
Min 0 1 -1

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————25.00%25.00%
1———————
250.00%25.00%————75.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%25.00%———25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.75 -0.25
SD 1.00 2.87 3.86
CV 0.67 1.64 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1——25.00%25.00%——50.00%
2——25.00%———25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+25.00%—————25.00%
Total25.00%—50.00%25.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.75 +0.75
SD 2.38 1.26 3.59
CV 0.95 0.72 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——25.00%25.00%——50.00%
1———25.00%——25.00%
2—25.00%————25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—25.00%25.00%50.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 2.25 -1.50
SD 0.96 0.96 1.73
CV 1.28 0.43 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—————25.00%
1———————
2——50.00%———50.00%
3—25.00%————25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%25.00%50.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.25 +0.50
SD 1.26 0.96 1.00
CV 0.72 0.77 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—————25.00%
125.00%———25.00%—50.00%
2——25.00%———25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%—25.00%—25.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.50 -0.50
SD 0.82 1.91 1.73
CV 0.82 1.28 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%——25.00%——50.00%
1—25.00%————25.00%
2——25.00%———25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%25.00%25.00%25.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.50 -0.75
SD 0.96 1.29 1.50
CV 1.28 0.86 —
Max 2 3 +0
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1——25.00%—25.00%—50.00%
2———————
325.00%——25.00%——50.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%—25.00%25.00%25.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.25 -0.25
SD 1.15 1.71 2.50
CV 0.58 0.76 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—————25.00%
1—25.00%————25.00%
2———————
3———50.00%——50.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%25.00%—50.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.75 +0.00
SD 1.50 1.50 0.00
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 3 3 +0
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1——25.00%———25.00%
2——25.00%———25.00%
325.00%——25.00%——50.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%—50.00%25.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.25 1.75 +0.50
SD 0.96 1.26 1.73
CV 0.43 0.72 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—————25.00%
1—50.00%————50.00%
2—25.00%————25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%75.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.75 +0.25
SD 0.82 0.50 0.50
CV 0.82 0.67 —
Max 2 1 +1
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
050.00%—————50.00%
1———————
2———————
3———————
4—50.00%————50.00%
5+———————
Total50.00%50.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.50 +1.50
SD 2.31 0.58 1.73
CV 1.15 1.15 —
Max 4 1 +3
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—25.00%———50.00%
125.00%—————25.00%
2———————
325.00%—————25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total75.00%—25.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.50 +0.50
SD 1.41 1.00 2.08
CV 1.41 2.00 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—25.00%—25.00%——50.00%
1——25.00%—25.00%—50.00%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—25.00%25.00%25.00%25.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 2.50 -2.00
SD 0.58 1.29 1.15
CV 1.15 0.52 —
Max 1 4 -1
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 4

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Exp. Pts. Rem. Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Omonia Nicosia 2003 8 56.96 48.96 39 48 54 57 61 65 74
AEK Larnaca 1897 9 51.89 42.89 32 42 48 52 56 61 71
Apollon Limassol 1852 6 46.89 40.89 24 37 43 47 51 56 69
APOEL Nicosia 1838 4 43.65 39.65 21 34 40 44 48 53 65
Pafos FC 1822 7 44.44 37.44 23 35 40 45 48 54 65
Aris Limassol 1754 5 37.31 32.31 17 27 33 37 41 47 60
AEL Limassol 1725 9 38.94 29.94 18 29 35 39 43 49 65
Omonia Aradippou 1701 6 33.34 27.34 12 24 29 33 37 43 55
Olympiacos Nicosia 1693 4 31.01 27.01 12 22 27 31 35 41 53
Omonia 29is Maiou 1651 5 28.29 23.29 10 19 24 28 32 38 50
Nea Salamis Famagusta 1649 4 27.98 23.98 10 19 24 28 32 38 49
Anorthosis Famagusta 1592 3 23.36 20.36 6 15 20 23 27 33 44
Karmiotissa FC 1589 3 22.60 19.60 6 14 19 22 26 32 44
Ypsonas 1542 0 16.57 16.57 0 8 13 16 20 25 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
AEK Larnaca20.93%41.16%20.47%9.58%4.80%1.88%0.86%0.28%0.04%—————
AEL Limassol0.51%1.80%5.22%9.84%15.49%21.34%18.31%12.17%7.99%4.32%1.80%0.99%0.20%0.02%
Omonia Nicosia68.67%21.13%6.50%2.61%0.81%0.21%0.06%0.01%——————
Pafos FC2.54%9.58%18.73%22.17%20.20%13.24%7.61%3.30%1.79%0.58%0.15%0.10%0.01%—
Apollon Limassol5.11%17.07%25.99%21.63%15.40%8.61%3.84%1.40%0.61%0.24%0.05%0.04%0.01%—
Omonia Aradippou0.01%0.23%1.01%2.59%5.94%10.69%16.50%19.04%17.02%12.36%8.12%4.49%1.68%0.32%
Omonia 29is Maiou—0.01%0.17%0.56%1.38%3.09%6.79%12.13%15.60%18.60%17.83%13.20%8.20%2.44%
Aris Limassol0.15%1.15%3.60%7.09%11.59%16.93%20.29%15.73%10.59%6.84%3.93%1.58%0.50%0.03%
Olympiacos Nicosia—0.10%0.32%1.27%2.67%6.61%10.33%16.20%19.67%17.14%13.10%7.87%3.76%0.96%
Nea Salamis Famagusta—0.01%0.04%0.36%1.10%2.59%5.31%9.93%14.02%18.88%20.80%14.88%8.99%3.09%
APOEL Nicosia2.08%7.76%17.95%22.23%20.41%14.17%8.28%4.26%1.62%0.90%0.23%0.09%0.01%0.01%
Karmiotissa FC———0.03%0.10%0.29%0.76%2.10%4.71%8.66%14.78%24.75%29.49%14.33%
Anorthosis Famagusta———0.04%0.11%0.31%1.03%3.23%5.76%9.88%15.81%23.53%27.89%12.41%
Ypsonas—————0.04%0.03%0.22%0.58%1.60%3.40%8.48%19.26%66.39%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Relegated
Omonia Nicosia 100% —
AEK Larnaca 99.99% 0.01%
Apollon Limassol 99.97% 0.03%
APOEL Nicosia 99.78% 0.22%
Pafos FC 99.74% 0.26%
Aris Limassol 97.12% 2.88%
AEL Limassol 97.11% 2.89%
Omonia Aradippou 90.53% 9.47%
Olympiacos Nicosia 84.85% 15.15%
Omonia 29is Maiou 72.35% 27.65%
Nea Salamis Famagusta 70.24% 29.76%
Anorthosis Famagusta 40.56% 59.44%
Karmiotissa FC 35.49% 64.51%
Ypsonas 12.27% 87.73%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-08-28 Omonia 29is Maiou L 0-359.6 1702 1548 62.20% 20.64% 17.16%+1.10 -118.9 0
2026-08-28 @ Ypsonas W 3-059.6 1548 1702 17.16% 20.64% 62.20%-1.10 +118.9 3
2026-08-28 Nea Salamis Famagusta D 3-379.7 1686 1586 56.95% 20.91% 22.14%+0.79 -3.5 1
2026-08-28 @ Olympiacos Nicosia D 3-379.7 1586 1686 22.14% 20.91% 56.95%-0.79 +3.5 1
2026-08-29 APOEL Nicosia W 3-157.1 1865 1763 57.14% 20.90% 21.96%+0.81 +29.1 3
2026-08-29 @ AEK Larnaca L 1-357.1 1763 1865 21.96% 20.90% 57.14%-0.81 -29.1 0
2026-08-29 Apollon Limassol D 2-277.6 1788 1820 40.24% 21.21% 38.55%+0.03 -0.2 1
2026-08-29 @ Aris Limassol D 2-277.6 1820 1788 38.55% 21.21% 40.24%-0.03 +0.2 1
2026-08-30 Anorthosis Famagusta W 2-056.4 1699 1735 39.67% 21.21% 39.12%+0.01 +54.2 3
2026-08-30 @ AEL Limassol L 0-256.4 1735 1699 39.12% 21.21% 39.67%-0.01 -54.2 0
2026-08-30 Pafos FC L 0-347.7 1608 1855 15.81% 20.54% 63.65%-1.20 -36.6 0
2026-08-30 @ Karmiotissa FC W 3-047.7 1855 1608 63.65% 20.54% 15.81%+1.20 +36.6 3
2026-08-31 Omonia Aradippou D 0-068.7 1975 1678 72.07% 19.55% 8.38%+1.92 -12.4 1
2026-08-31 @ Omonia Nicosia D 0-068.7 1678 1975 8.38% 19.55% 72.07%-1.92 +12.4 1
2026-09-04 Karmiotissa FC D 2-275.0 1667 1571 56.44% 20.93% 22.63%+0.77 -4.1 4
2026-09-04 @ Omonia 29is Maiou D 2-275.0 1571 1667 22.63% 20.93% 56.44%-0.77 +4.1 1
2026-09-05 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-155.8 1820 1681 60.84% 20.72% 18.44%+1.02 +25.0 4
2026-09-05 @ Apollon Limassol L 1-355.8 1681 1820 18.44% 20.72% 60.84%-1.02 -25.0 0
2026-09-05 Ypsonas W 2-157.3 1690 1584 57.63% 20.88% 21.49%+0.83 +16.5 4
2026-09-05 @ Omonia Aradippou L 1-257.3 1584 1690 21.49% 20.88% 57.63%-0.83 -16.5 0
2026-09-06 AEL Limassol W 6-054.9 1734 1753 41.98% 21.20% 36.81%+0.10 +143.4 3
2026-09-06 @ APOEL Nicosia L 0-654.9 1753 1734 36.81% 21.20% 41.98%-0.10 -143.4 3
2026-09-06 AEK Larnaca L 1-451.5 1589 1894 11.83% 20.13% 68.04%-1.54 -23.6 1
2026-09-06 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta W 4-151.5 1894 1589 68.04% 20.13% 11.83%+1.54 +23.6 6
2026-09-07 Omonia Nicosia L 1-455.3 1788 1962 22.30% 20.92% 56.79%-0.79 -41.8 1
2026-09-07 @ Aris Limassol W 4-155.3 1962 1788 56.79% 20.92% 22.30%+0.79 +41.8 4
2026-09-07 Olympiacos Nicosia D 0-068.3 1891 1683 66.60% 20.28% 13.12%+1.42 -10.2 4
2026-09-07 @ Pafos FC D 0-068.3 1683 1891 13.12% 20.28% 66.60%-1.42 +10.2 2
2026-09-11 Nea Salamis Famagusta W 2-157.4 1610 1566 50.47% 21.10% 28.42%+0.47 +20.9 6
2026-09-11 @ AEL Limassol L 1-257.4 1566 1610 28.42% 21.10% 50.47%-0.47 -20.9 1
2026-09-12 APOEL Nicosia W 2-171.1 1656 1877 17.88% 20.69% 61.43%-1.06 +40.4 3
2026-09-12 @ Anorthosis Famagusta L 1-271.1 1877 1656 61.43% 20.69% 17.88%+1.06 -40.4 3
2026-09-12 Omonia Aradippou D 1-170.3 1576 1707 27.05% 21.07% 51.88%-0.54 +3.9 2
2026-09-12 @ Karmiotissa FC D 1-170.3 1707 1576 51.88% 21.07% 27.05%+0.54 -3.9 5
2026-09-12 Apollon Limassol D 0-068.5 2004 1845 62.61% 20.61% 16.77%+1.13 -8.5 5
2026-09-12 @ Omonia Nicosia D 0-068.5 1845 2004 16.77% 20.61% 62.61%-1.13 +8.5 5
2026-09-13 Pafos FC L 0-162.9 1918 1881 49.51% 21.12% 29.36%+0.43 -35.0 6
2026-09-13 @ AEK Larnaca W 1-062.9 1881 1918 29.36% 21.12% 49.51%-0.43 +35.0 7
2026-09-13 Omonia 29is Maiou D 3-380.6 1693 1663 48.63% 21.14% 30.23%+0.39 -1.8 3
2026-09-13 @ Olympiacos Nicosia D 3-380.6 1663 1693 30.23% 21.14% 48.63%-0.39 +1.8 5
2026-09-14 Aris Limassol L 0-152.9 1567 1746 21.83% 20.90% 57.27%-0.81 -17.8 0
2026-09-14 @ Ypsonas W 1-052.9 1746 1567 57.27% 20.90% 21.83%+0.81 +17.8 4
2026-09-18 AEK Larnaca L 1-258.2 1665 1883 18.17% 20.71% 61.12%-1.04 -14.3 5
2026-09-18 @ Omonia 29is Maiou W 2-158.2 1883 1665 61.12% 20.71% 18.17%+1.04 +14.3 9
2026-09-18 AEL Limassol L 0-266.1 1916 1631 71.46% 19.65% 8.89%+1.86 -94.3 7
2026-09-18 @ Pafos FC W 2-066.1 1631 1916 8.89% 19.65% 71.46%-1.86 +94.3 9
2026-09-19 APOEL Nicosia D 2-277.7 1854 1837 46.98% 21.16% 31.86%+0.32 -1.7 6
2026-09-19 @ Apollon Limassol D 2-277.7 1837 1854 31.86% 21.16% 46.98%-0.32 +1.7 4
2026-09-19 Anorthosis Famagusta W 3-057.1 1545 1696 24.74% 21.01% 54.25%-0.65 +104.1 4
2026-09-19 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta L 0-357.1 1696 1545 54.25% 21.01% 24.74%+0.65 -104.1 3
2026-09-20 Karmiotissa FC D 0-067.1 1764 1579 64.73% 20.45% 14.81%+1.28 -9.4 5
2026-09-20 @ Aris Limassol D 0-067.1 1579 1764 14.81% 20.45% 64.73%-1.28 +9.4 3
2026-09-20 Olympiacos Nicosia D 1-171.4 1703 1691 46.32% 21.17% 32.51%+0.29 -2.1 6
2026-09-20 @ Omonia Aradippou D 1-171.4 1691 1703 32.51% 21.17% 46.32%-0.29 +2.1 4
2026-09-20 Ypsonas W 4-148.6 1995 1549 78.23% 17.92% 3.85%+2.78 +7.8 8
2026-09-20 @ Omonia Nicosia L 1-448.6 1549 1995 3.85% 17.92% 78.23%-2.78 -7.8 0

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. MarginExcitement
2026-10-10 Omonia Aradippou 1897 1701 65.66% 20.37% 13.97%+1.3558.0
2026-10-10 @ AEK Larnaca 1701 1897 13.97% 20.37% 65.66%-1.3558.0
2026-10-10 Omonia 29is Maiou 1725 1651 54.09% 21.01% 24.90%+0.6570.9
2026-10-10 @ AEL Limassol 1651 1725 24.90% 21.01% 54.09%-0.6570.9
2026-10-10 Pafos FC 1592 1822 17.16% 20.64% 62.20%-1.1048.7
2026-10-10 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1822 1592 62.20% 20.64% 17.16%+1.1048.7
2026-10-10 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1838 1649 65.15% 20.42% 14.43%+1.3163.8
2026-10-10 @ APOEL Nicosia 1649 1838 14.43% 20.42% 65.15%-1.3163.8
2026-10-10 Omonia Nicosia 1589 2003 6.75% 19.13% 74.12%-2.1742.8
2026-10-10 @ Karmiotissa FC 2003 1589 74.12% 19.13% 6.75%+2.1742.8
2026-10-10 Apollon Limassol 1542 1852 11.51% 20.09% 68.41%-1.5744.6
2026-10-10 @ Ypsonas 1852 1542 68.41% 20.09% 11.51%+1.5744.6
2026-10-10 Aris Limassol 1693 1754 36.07% 21.20% 42.73%-0.1468.1
2026-10-10 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1754 1693 42.73% 21.20% 36.07%+0.1468.1
2026-10-17 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1852 1649 66.18% 20.32% 13.49%+1.3959.7
2026-10-17 @ Apollon Limassol 1649 1852 13.49% 20.32% 66.18%-1.3959.7
2026-10-17 AEK Larnaca 1754 1897 25.74% 21.04% 53.22%-0.6064.8
2026-10-17 @ Aris Limassol 1897 1754 53.22% 21.04% 25.74%+0.6064.8
2026-10-17 Karmiotissa FC 1542 1589 38.02% 21.21% 40.77%-0.0658.0
2026-10-17 @ Ypsonas 1589 1542 40.77% 21.21% 38.02%+0.0658.0
2026-10-17 Anorthosis Famagusta 1651 1592 52.21% 21.06% 26.72%+0.5566.6
2026-10-17 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1592 1651 26.72% 21.06% 52.21%-0.5566.6
2026-10-17 AEL Limassol 1701 1725 41.34% 21.21% 37.46%+0.0868.8
2026-10-17 @ Omonia Aradippou 1725 1701 37.46% 21.21% 41.34%-0.0868.8
2026-10-17 Olympiacos Nicosia 2003 1693 72.76% 19.42% 7.82%+2.0051.9
2026-10-17 @ Omonia Nicosia 1693 2003 7.82% 19.42% 72.76%-2.0051.9
2026-10-17 APOEL Nicosia 1822 1838 42.41% 21.20% 36.39%+0.1275.2
2026-10-17 @ Pafos FC 1838 1822 36.39% 21.20% 42.41%-0.1275.2
2026-10-24 Omonia Nicosia 1897 2003 30.11% 21.14% 48.76%-0.3972.7
2026-10-24 @ AEK Larnaca 2003 1897 48.76% 21.14% 30.11%+0.3972.7
2026-10-24 Aris Limassol 1725 1754 40.60% 21.21% 38.19%+0.0568.8
2026-10-24 @ AEL Limassol 1754 1725 38.19% 21.21% 40.60%-0.0568.8
2026-10-24 Omonia Aradippou 1592 1701 29.78% 21.13% 49.09%-0.4158.5
2026-10-24 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1701 1592 49.09% 21.13% 29.78%+0.4158.5
2026-10-24 Omonia 29is Maiou 1838 1651 65.01% 20.43% 14.56%+1.3064.6
2026-10-24 @ APOEL Nicosia 1651 1838 14.56% 20.43% 65.01%-1.3064.6
2026-10-24 Apollon Limassol 1589 1852 14.59% 20.43% 64.98%-1.3049.5
2026-10-24 @ Karmiotissa FC 1852 1589 64.98% 20.43% 14.59%+1.3049.5
2026-10-24 Pafos FC 1649 1822 22.44% 20.92% 56.63%-0.7860.2
2026-10-24 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1822 1649 56.63% 20.92% 22.44%+0.7860.2
2026-10-24 Ypsonas 1693 1542 61.96% 20.66% 17.38%+1.0954.1
2026-10-24 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1542 1693 17.38% 20.66% 61.96%-1.0954.1
2026-10-31 Pafos FC 1852 1822 48.69% 21.14% 30.18%+0.3969.9
2026-10-31 @ Apollon Limassol 1822 1852 30.18% 21.14% 48.69%-0.3969.9
2026-10-31 Anorthosis Famagusta 1754 1592 62.91% 20.59% 16.50%+1.1552.6
2026-10-31 @ Aris Limassol 1592 1754 16.50% 20.59% 62.91%-1.1552.6
2026-10-31 Olympiacos Nicosia 1589 1693 30.37% 21.14% 48.49%-0.3862.0
2026-10-31 @ Karmiotissa FC 1693 1589 48.49% 21.14% 30.37%+0.3862.0
2026-10-31 AEK Larnaca 1542 1897 9.14% 19.70% 71.16%-1.8344.9
2026-10-31 @ Ypsonas 1897 1542 71.16% 19.70% 9.14%+1.8344.9
2026-10-31 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1651 1649 44.94% 21.18% 33.88%+0.2377.3
2026-10-31 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1649 1651 33.88% 21.18% 44.94%-0.2377.3
2026-10-31 APOEL Nicosia 1701 1838 26.33% 21.05% 52.62%-0.5766.4
2026-10-31 @ Omonia Aradippou 1838 1701 52.62% 21.05% 26.33%+0.5766.4
2026-10-31 AEL Limassol 2003 1725 71.06% 19.72% 9.22%+1.8252.7
2026-10-31 @ Omonia Nicosia 1725 2003 9.22% 19.72% 71.06%-1.8252.7
2026-11-07 Karmiotissa FC 1897 1589 72.65% 19.44% 7.91%+1.9947.7
2026-11-07 @ AEK Larnaca 1589 1897 7.91% 19.44% 72.65%-1.9947.7
2026-11-07 Ypsonas 1725 1542 64.67% 20.46% 14.87%+1.2750.5
2026-11-07 @ AEL Limassol 1542 1725 14.87% 20.46% 64.67%-1.2750.5
2026-11-07 Omonia Nicosia 1592 2003 6.86% 19.16% 73.98%-2.1543.0
2026-11-07 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 2003 1592 73.98% 19.16% 6.86%+2.1543.0
2026-11-07 Aris Limassol 1838 1754 55.16% 20.98% 23.86%+0.7069.8
2026-11-07 @ APOEL Nicosia 1754 1838 23.86% 20.98% 55.16%-0.7069.8
2026-11-07 Omonia Aradippou 1649 1701 37.36% 21.21% 41.43%-0.0869.4
2026-11-07 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1701 1649 41.43% 21.21% 37.36%+0.0869.4
2026-11-07 Apollon Limassol 1693 1852 23.94% 20.98% 55.08%-0.7064.4
2026-11-07 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1852 1693 55.08% 20.98% 23.94%+0.7064.4
2026-11-07 Omonia 29is Maiou 1822 1651 63.67% 20.54% 15.79%+1.2060.0
2026-11-07 @ Pafos FC 1651 1822 15.79% 20.54% 63.67%-1.2060.0
2026-11-21 Omonia 29is Maiou 1852 1651 66.05% 20.34% 13.61%+1.3861.0
2026-11-21 @ Apollon Limassol 1651 1852 13.61% 20.34% 66.05%-1.3861.0
2026-11-21 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1754 1649 57.50% 20.89% 21.61%+0.8264.4
2026-11-21 @ Aris Limassol 1649 1754 21.61% 20.89% 57.50%-0.8264.4
2026-11-21 AEL Limassol 1589 1725 26.49% 21.06% 52.46%-0.5758.4
2026-11-21 @ Karmiotissa FC 1725 1589 52.46% 21.06% 26.49%+0.5758.4
2026-11-21 Anorthosis Famagusta 1542 1592 37.58% 21.21% 41.21%-0.0757.9
2026-11-21 @ Ypsonas 1592 1542 41.21% 21.21% 37.58%+0.0757.9
2026-11-21 AEK Larnaca 1693 1897 19.43% 20.78% 59.79%-0.9662.7
2026-11-21 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1897 1693 59.79% 20.78% 19.43%+0.9662.7
2026-11-21 Pafos FC 1701 1822 28.29% 21.10% 50.61%-0.4860.0
2026-11-21 @ Omonia Aradippou 1822 1701 50.61% 21.10% 28.29%+0.4860.0
2026-11-21 APOEL Nicosia 2003 1838 63.13% 20.58% 16.30%+1.1766.5
2026-11-21 @ Omonia Nicosia 1838 2003 16.30% 20.58% 63.13%-1.1766.5
2026-11-28 Apollon Limassol 1897 1852 50.57% 21.10% 28.32%+0.4875.4
2026-11-28 @ AEK Larnaca 1852 1897 28.32% 21.10% 50.57%-0.4875.4
2026-11-28 Olympiacos Nicosia 1725 1693 48.92% 21.13% 29.94%+0.4071.9
2026-11-28 @ AEL Limassol 1693 1725 29.94% 21.13% 48.92%-0.4071.9
2026-11-28 Karmiotissa FC 1592 1589 45.12% 21.18% 33.69%+0.2462.2
2026-11-28 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1589 1592 33.69% 21.18% 45.12%-0.2462.2
2026-11-28 Ypsonas 1838 1542 72.08% 19.55% 8.38%+1.9247.8
2026-11-28 @ APOEL Nicosia 1542 1838 8.38% 19.55% 72.08%-1.9247.8
2026-11-28 Omonia Nicosia 1649 2003 9.19% 19.71% 71.10%-1.8252.0
2026-11-28 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 2003 1649 71.10% 19.71% 9.19%+1.8252.0
2026-11-28 Omonia Aradippou 1651 1701 37.61% 21.21% 41.18%-0.0770.9
2026-11-28 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1701 1651 41.18% 21.21% 37.61%+0.0770.9
2026-11-28 Aris Limassol 1822 1754 53.27% 21.04% 25.70%+0.6163.3
2026-11-28 @ Pafos FC 1754 1822 25.70% 21.04% 53.27%-0.6163.3
2026-12-01 AEL Limassol 1897 1725 63.72% 20.53% 15.74%+1.2162.8
2026-12-01 @ AEK Larnaca 1725 1897 15.74% 20.53% 63.72%-1.2162.8
2026-12-01 Omonia Aradippou 1852 1701 61.91% 20.66% 17.43%+1.0959.4
2026-12-01 @ Apollon Limassol 1701 1852 17.43% 20.66% 61.91%-1.0959.4
2026-12-01 Omonia 29is Maiou 1754 1651 57.31% 20.90% 21.79%+0.8166.0
2026-12-01 @ Aris Limassol 1651 1754 21.79% 20.90% 57.31%-0.8166.0
2026-12-01 APOEL Nicosia 1589 1838 15.59% 20.52% 63.88%-1.2254.6
2026-12-01 @ Karmiotissa FC 1838 1589 63.88% 20.52% 15.59%+1.2254.6
2026-12-01 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1542 1649 29.98% 21.13% 48.89%-0.4060.1
2026-12-01 @ Ypsonas 1649 1542 48.89% 21.13% 29.98%+0.4060.1
2026-12-01 Anorthosis Famagusta 1693 1592 57.02% 20.91% 22.07%+0.8060.9
2026-12-01 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1592 1693 22.07% 20.91% 57.02%-0.8060.9
2026-12-01 Pafos FC 2003 1822 64.50% 20.47% 15.03%+1.2658.1
2026-12-01 @ Omonia Nicosia 1822 2003 15.03% 20.47% 64.50%-1.2658.1
2026-12-05 Apollon Limassol 1725 1852 27.58% 21.09% 51.34%-0.5166.1
2026-12-05 @ AEL Limassol 1852 1725 51.34% 21.09% 27.58%+0.5166.1
2026-12-05 AEK Larnaca 1592 1897 11.83% 20.13% 68.05%-1.5449.4
2026-12-05 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1897 1592 68.05% 20.13% 11.83%+1.5449.4
2026-12-05 Olympiacos Nicosia 1838 1693 61.39% 20.69% 17.92%+1.0567.3
2026-12-05 @ APOEL Nicosia 1693 1838 17.92% 20.69% 61.39%-1.0567.3
2026-12-05 Karmiotissa FC 1649 1589 52.38% 21.06% 26.56%+0.5665.0
2026-12-05 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1589 1649 26.56% 21.06% 52.38%-0.5665.0
2026-12-05 Omonia Nicosia 1651 2003 9.27% 19.73% 71.00%-1.8153.0
2026-12-05 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 2003 1651 71.00% 19.73% 9.27%+1.8153.0
2026-12-05 Aris Limassol 1701 1754 37.15% 21.21% 41.64%-0.0964.9
2026-12-05 @ Omonia Aradippou 1754 1701 41.64% 21.21% 37.15%+0.0964.9
2026-12-05 Ypsonas 1822 1542 71.18% 19.70% 9.12%+1.8341.9
2026-12-05 @ Pafos FC 1542 1822 9.12% 19.70% 71.18%-1.8341.9
2026-12-12 AEL Limassol 1592 1725 26.85% 21.07% 52.08%-0.5558.8
2026-12-12 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1725 1592 52.08% 21.07% 26.85%+0.5558.8
2026-12-12 AEK Larnaca 1838 1897 36.44% 21.20% 42.35%-0.1277.7
2026-12-12 @ APOEL Nicosia 1897 1838 42.35% 21.20% 36.44%+0.1277.7
2026-12-12 Aris Limassol 1852 1754 56.64% 20.92% 22.43%+0.7864.5
2026-12-12 @ Apollon Limassol 1754 1852 22.43% 20.92% 56.64%-0.7864.5
2026-12-12 Olympiacos Nicosia 1649 1693 38.46% 21.21% 40.33%-0.0473.7
2026-12-12 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1693 1649 40.33% 21.21% 38.46%+0.0473.7
2026-12-12 Ypsonas 1651 1542 57.85% 20.87% 21.27%+0.8459.8
2026-12-12 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1542 1651 21.27% 20.87% 57.85%-0.8459.8
2026-12-12 Omonia Nicosia 1701 2003 11.98% 20.15% 67.87%-1.5250.0
2026-12-12 @ Omonia Aradippou 2003 1701 67.87% 20.15% 11.98%+1.5250.0
2026-12-12 Karmiotissa FC 1822 1589 68.28% 20.10% 11.62%+1.5646.7
2026-12-12 @ Pafos FC 1589 1822 11.62% 20.10% 68.28%-1.5646.7
2026-12-19 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1897 1649 69.27% 19.98% 10.75%+1.6558.1
2026-12-19 @ AEK Larnaca 1649 1897 10.75% 19.98% 69.27%-1.6558.1
2026-12-19 APOEL Nicosia 1725 1838 29.22% 21.12% 49.66%-0.4370.9
2026-12-19 @ AEL Limassol 1838 1725 49.66% 21.12% 29.22%+0.4370.9
2026-12-19 Apollon Limassol 1592 1852 14.81% 20.45% 64.73%-1.2849.7
2026-12-19 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1852 1592 64.73% 20.45% 14.81%+1.2849.7
2026-12-19 Omonia 29is Maiou 1589 1651 36.02% 21.20% 42.78%-0.1467.3
2026-12-19 @ Karmiotissa FC 1651 1589 42.78% 21.20% 36.02%+0.1467.3
2026-12-19 Omonia Aradippou 1542 1701 23.89% 20.98% 55.13%-0.7052.4
2026-12-19 @ Ypsonas 1701 1542 55.13% 20.98% 23.89%+0.7052.4
2026-12-19 Pafos FC 1693 1822 27.36% 21.08% 51.56%-0.5263.0
2026-12-19 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1822 1693 51.56% 21.08% 27.36%+0.5263.0
2026-12-19 Aris Limassol 2003 1754 69.31% 19.97% 10.71%+1.6552.2
2026-12-19 @ Omonia Nicosia 1754 2003 10.71% 19.97% 69.31%-1.6552.2
2027-01-02 Anorthosis Famagusta 1838 1592 69.16% 19.99% 10.85%+1.6353.1
2027-01-02 @ APOEL Nicosia 1592 1838 10.85% 19.99% 69.16%-1.6353.1
2027-01-02 Omonia Nicosia 1852 2003 24.76% 21.01% 54.23%-0.6566.7
2027-01-02 @ Apollon Limassol 2003 1852 54.23% 21.01% 24.76%+0.6566.7
2027-01-02 Ypsonas 1754 1542 66.90% 20.25% 12.85%+1.4446.5
2027-01-02 @ Aris Limassol 1542 1754 12.85% 20.25% 66.90%-1.4446.5
2027-01-02 AEL Limassol 1649 1725 34.02% 21.19% 44.79%-0.2270.7
2027-01-02 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1725 1649 44.79% 21.19% 34.02%+0.2270.7
2027-01-02 Olympiacos Nicosia 1651 1693 38.72% 21.21% 40.08%-0.0374.9
2027-01-02 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1693 1651 40.08% 21.21% 38.72%+0.0374.9
2027-01-02 Karmiotissa FC 1701 1589 58.15% 20.86% 20.98%+0.8656.7
2027-01-02 @ Omonia Aradippou 1589 1701 20.98% 20.86% 58.15%-0.8656.7
2027-01-02 AEK Larnaca 1822 1897 34.17% 21.19% 44.64%-0.2270.5
2027-01-02 @ Pafos FC 1897 1822 44.64% 21.19% 34.17%+0.2270.5
2027-01-09 Omonia 29is Maiou 1897 1651 69.16% 19.99% 10.85%+1.6459.0
2027-01-09 @ AEK Larnaca 1651 1897 10.85% 19.99% 69.16%-1.6459.0
2027-01-09 Pafos FC 1725 1822 31.32% 21.15% 47.53%-0.3464.5
2027-01-09 @ AEL Limassol 1822 1725 47.53% 21.15% 31.32%+0.3464.5
2027-01-09 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1592 1649 36.70% 21.20% 42.09%-0.1166.2
2027-01-09 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1649 1592 42.09% 21.20% 36.70%+0.1166.2
2027-01-09 Apollon Limassol 1838 1852 42.83% 21.20% 35.97%+0.1478.7
2027-01-09 @ APOEL Nicosia 1852 1838 35.97% 21.20% 42.83%-0.1478.7
2027-01-09 Aris Limassol 1589 1754 23.23% 20.96% 55.82%-0.7354.0
2027-01-09 @ Karmiotissa FC 1754 1589 55.82% 20.96% 23.23%+0.7354.0
2027-01-09 Omonia Nicosia 1542 2003 5.27% 18.62% 76.11%-2.4439.9
2027-01-09 @ Ypsonas 2003 1542 76.11% 18.62% 5.27%+2.4439.9
2027-01-09 Omonia Aradippou 1693 1701 43.63% 21.19% 35.17%+0.1770.6
2027-01-09 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1701 1693 35.17% 21.19% 43.63%-0.1770.6
2027-01-12 Ypsonas 1852 1542 72.77% 19.42% 7.81%+2.0043.1
2027-01-12 @ Apollon Limassol 1542 1852 7.81% 19.42% 72.77%-2.0043.1
2027-01-12 Olympiacos Nicosia 1754 1693 52.55% 21.06% 26.40%+0.5767.1
2027-01-12 @ Aris Limassol 1693 1754 26.40% 21.06% 52.55%-0.5767.1
2027-01-12 APOEL Nicosia 1649 1838 20.78% 20.85% 58.36%-0.8765.5
2027-01-12 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1838 1649 58.36% 20.85% 20.78%+0.8765.5
2027-01-12 AEL Limassol 1651 1725 34.26% 21.19% 44.55%-0.2172.0
2027-01-12 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1725 1651 44.55% 21.19% 34.26%+0.2172.0
2027-01-12 AEK Larnaca 1701 1897 20.16% 20.82% 59.02%-0.9159.8
2027-01-12 @ Omonia Aradippou 1897 1701 59.02% 20.82% 20.16%+0.9159.8
2027-01-12 Karmiotissa FC 2003 1589 77.15% 18.30% 4.55%+2.6041.6
2027-01-12 @ Omonia Nicosia 1589 2003 4.55% 18.30% 77.15%-2.6041.6
2027-01-12 Anorthosis Famagusta 1822 1592 68.07% 20.12% 11.80%+1.5447.0
2027-01-12 @ Pafos FC 1592 1822 11.80% 20.12% 68.07%-1.5447.0
2027-01-16 Aris Limassol 1897 1754 61.14% 20.71% 18.15%+1.0463.1
2027-01-16 @ AEK Larnaca 1754 1897 18.15% 20.71% 61.14%-1.0463.1
2027-01-16 Omonia Aradippou 1725 1701 47.92% 21.15% 30.93%+0.3668.3
2027-01-16 @ AEL Limassol 1701 1725 30.93% 21.15% 47.92%-0.3668.3
2027-01-16 Omonia 29is Maiou 1592 1651 36.46% 21.20% 42.34%-0.1267.5
2027-01-16 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1651 1592 42.34% 21.20% 36.46%+0.1267.5
2027-01-16 Pafos FC 1838 1822 46.92% 21.16% 31.92%+0.3174.9
2027-01-16 @ APOEL Nicosia 1822 1838 31.92% 21.16% 46.92%-0.3174.9
2027-01-16 Ypsonas 1589 1542 50.86% 21.10% 28.04%+0.4957.3
2027-01-16 @ Karmiotissa FC 1542 1589 28.04% 21.10% 50.86%-0.4957.3
2027-01-16 Apollon Limassol 1649 1852 19.50% 20.79% 59.71%-0.9561.5
2027-01-16 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1852 1649 59.71% 20.79% 19.50%+0.9561.5
2027-01-16 Omonia Nicosia 1693 2003 11.52% 20.09% 68.39%-1.5753.4
2027-01-16 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 2003 1693 68.39% 20.09% 11.52%+1.5753.4
2027-01-23 Karmiotissa FC 1852 1589 70.18% 19.85% 9.97%+1.7347.8
2027-01-23 @ Apollon Limassol 1589 1852 9.97% 19.85% 70.18%-1.7347.8
2027-01-23 AEL Limassol 1754 1725 48.59% 21.14% 30.27%+0.3968.3
2027-01-23 @ Aris Limassol 1725 1754 30.27% 21.14% 48.59%-0.3968.3
2027-01-23 Olympiacos Nicosia 1542 1693 24.74% 21.01% 54.26%-0.6555.8
2027-01-23 @ Ypsonas 1693 1542 54.26% 21.01% 24.74%+0.6555.8
2027-01-23 APOEL Nicosia 1651 1838 20.96% 20.86% 58.18%-0.8666.4
2027-01-23 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1838 1651 58.18% 20.86% 20.96%+0.8666.4
2027-01-23 Anorthosis Famagusta 1701 1592 57.83% 20.88% 21.29%+0.8457.0
2027-01-23 @ Omonia Aradippou 1592 1701 21.29% 20.88% 57.83%-0.8457.0
2027-01-23 AEK Larnaca 2003 1897 57.56% 20.89% 21.55%+0.8371.3
2027-01-23 @ Omonia Nicosia 1897 2003 21.55% 20.89% 57.56%-0.8371.3
2027-01-23 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1822 1649 63.81% 20.53% 15.66%+1.2158.4
2027-01-23 @ Pafos FC 1649 1822 15.66% 20.53% 63.81%-1.2158.4
2027-01-30 Ypsonas 1897 1542 74.86% 18.96% 6.18%+2.2643.5
2027-01-30 @ AEK Larnaca 1542 1897 6.18% 18.96% 74.86%-2.2643.5
2027-01-30 Omonia Nicosia 1725 2003 13.53% 20.33% 66.14%-1.3854.4
2027-01-30 @ AEL Limassol 2003 1725 66.14% 20.33% 13.53%+1.3854.4
2027-01-30 Aris Limassol 1592 1754 23.56% 20.97% 55.47%-0.7254.3
2027-01-30 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1754 1592 55.47% 20.97% 23.56%+0.7254.3
2027-01-30 Omonia Aradippou 1838 1701 60.67% 20.73% 18.60%+1.0164.7
2027-01-30 @ APOEL Nicosia 1701 1838 18.60% 20.73% 60.67%-1.0164.7
2027-01-30 Omonia 29is Maiou 1649 1651 44.46% 21.19% 34.35%+0.2177.3
2027-01-30 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1651 1649 34.35% 21.19% 44.46%-0.2177.3
2027-01-30 Karmiotissa FC 1693 1589 57.35% 20.90% 21.76%+0.8260.6
2027-01-30 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1589 1693 21.76% 20.90% 57.35%-0.8260.6
2027-01-30 Apollon Limassol 1822 1852 40.50% 21.21% 38.29%+0.0470.5
2027-01-30 @ Pafos FC 1852 1822 38.29% 21.21% 40.50%-0.0470.5
2027-02-06 Olympiacos Nicosia 1852 1693 62.60% 20.61% 16.78%+1.1362.7
2027-02-06 @ Apollon Limassol 1693 1852 16.78% 20.61% 62.60%-1.1362.7
2027-02-06 APOEL Nicosia 1754 1838 32.99% 21.18% 45.83%-0.2771.0
2027-02-06 @ Aris Limassol 1838 1754 45.83% 21.18% 32.99%+0.2771.0
2027-02-06 AEK Larnaca 1589 1897 11.64% 20.10% 68.26%-1.5549.2
2027-02-06 @ Karmiotissa FC 1897 1589 68.26% 20.10% 11.64%+1.5549.2
2027-02-06 AEL Limassol 1542 1725 21.38% 20.88% 57.74%-0.8452.3
2027-02-06 @ Ypsonas 1725 1542 57.74% 20.88% 21.38%+0.8452.3
2027-02-06 Pafos FC 1651 1822 22.62% 20.93% 56.44%-0.7761.7
2027-02-06 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1822 1651 56.44% 20.93% 22.62%+0.7761.7
2027-02-06 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1701 1649 51.43% 21.08% 27.48%+0.5268.5
2027-02-06 @ Omonia Aradippou 1649 1701 27.48% 21.08% 51.43%-0.5268.5
2027-02-06 Anorthosis Famagusta 2003 1592 77.04% 18.34% 4.62%+2.5841.7
2027-02-06 @ Omonia Nicosia 1592 2003 4.62% 18.34% 77.04%-2.5841.7
2027-02-13 Olympiacos Nicosia 1897 1693 66.24% 20.32% 13.44%+1.3960.9
2027-02-13 @ AEK Larnaca 1693 1897 13.44% 20.32% 66.24%-1.3960.9
2027-02-13 Karmiotissa FC 1725 1589 60.54% 20.74% 18.72%+1.0056.8
2027-02-13 @ AEL Limassol 1589 1725 18.72% 20.74% 60.54%-1.0056.8
2027-02-13 Ypsonas 1592 1542 51.24% 21.09% 27.67%+0.5157.1
2027-02-13 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1542 1592 27.67% 21.09% 51.24%-0.5157.1
2027-02-13 Omonia Nicosia 1838 2003 23.30% 20.96% 55.75%-0.7368.3
2027-02-13 @ APOEL Nicosia 2003 1838 55.75% 20.96% 23.30%+0.7368.3
2027-02-13 Aris Limassol 1649 1754 30.19% 21.14% 48.68%-0.3965.9
2027-02-13 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1754 1649 48.68% 21.14% 30.19%+0.3965.9
2027-02-13 Apollon Limassol 1651 1852 19.66% 20.79% 59.54%-0.9462.7
2027-02-13 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1852 1651 59.54% 20.79% 19.66%+0.9462.7
2027-02-13 Omonia Aradippou 1822 1701 59.06% 20.82% 20.12%+0.9158.5
2027-02-13 @ Pafos FC 1701 1822 20.12% 20.82% 59.06%-0.9158.5
2027-02-20 AEK Larnaca 1852 1897 38.35% 21.21% 40.44%-0.0476.1
2027-02-20 @ Apollon Limassol 1897 1852 40.44% 21.21% 38.35%+0.0476.1
2027-02-20 Pafos FC 1754 1822 35.23% 21.20% 43.58%-0.1764.4
2027-02-20 @ Aris Limassol 1822 1754 43.58% 21.20% 35.23%+0.1764.4
2027-02-20 Anorthosis Famagusta 1589 1592 44.27% 21.19% 34.54%+0.2062.2
2027-02-20 @ Karmiotissa FC 1592 1589 34.54% 21.19% 44.27%-0.2062.2
2027-02-20 APOEL Nicosia 1542 1838 12.32% 20.19% 67.49%-1.4949.4
2027-02-20 @ Ypsonas 1838 1542 67.49% 20.19% 12.32%+1.4949.4
2027-02-20 AEL Limassol 1693 1725 40.23% 21.21% 38.56%+0.0372.4
2027-02-20 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1725 1693 38.56% 21.21% 40.23%-0.0372.4
2027-02-20 Omonia 29is Maiou 1701 1651 51.22% 21.09% 27.69%+0.5170.1
2027-02-20 @ Omonia Aradippou 1651 1701 27.69% 21.09% 51.22%-0.5170.1
2027-02-20 Nea Salamis Famagusta 2003 1649 74.81% 18.97% 6.22%+2.2650.6
2027-02-20 @ Omonia Nicosia 1649 2003 6.22% 18.97% 74.81%-2.2650.6
2027-02-27 AEK Larnaca 1725 1897 22.55% 20.93% 56.52%-0.7764.6
2027-02-27 @ AEL Limassol 1897 1725 56.52% 20.93% 22.55%+0.7764.6
2027-02-27 Olympiacos Nicosia 1592 1693 30.77% 21.15% 48.09%-0.3662.3
2027-02-27 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1693 1592 48.09% 21.15% 30.77%+0.3662.3
2027-02-27 Karmiotissa FC 1838 1589 69.35% 19.97% 10.68%+1.6552.9
2027-02-27 @ APOEL Nicosia 1589 1838 10.68% 19.97% 69.35%-1.6552.9
2027-02-27 Ypsonas 1649 1542 57.67% 20.88% 21.45%+0.8358.6
2027-02-27 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1542 1649 21.45% 20.88% 57.67%-0.8358.6
2027-02-27 Aris Limassol 1651 1754 30.41% 21.14% 48.45%-0.3867.4
2027-02-27 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1754 1651 48.45% 21.14% 30.41%+0.3867.4
2027-02-27 Apollon Limassol 1701 1852 24.79% 21.01% 54.20%-0.6561.1
2027-02-27 @ Omonia Aradippou 1852 1701 54.20% 21.01% 24.79%+0.6561.1
2027-02-27 Omonia Nicosia 1822 2003 21.59% 20.89% 57.52%-0.8359.9
2027-02-27 @ Pafos FC 2003 1822 57.52% 20.89% 21.59%+0.8359.9
2027-03-06 Anorthosis Famagusta 1897 1592 72.50% 19.47% 8.04%+1.9747.9
2027-03-06 @ AEK Larnaca 1592 1897 8.04% 19.47% 72.50%-1.9747.9
2027-03-06 AEL Limassol 1852 1725 59.65% 20.79% 19.56%+0.9564.5
2027-03-06 @ Apollon Limassol 1725 1852 19.56% 20.79% 59.65%-0.9564.5
2027-03-06 Omonia Aradippou 1754 1701 51.61% 21.08% 27.31%+0.5364.1
2027-03-06 @ Aris Limassol 1701 1754 27.31% 21.08% 51.61%-0.5364.1
2027-03-06 Nea Salamis Famagusta 1589 1649 36.27% 21.20% 42.53%-0.1366.0
2027-03-06 @ Karmiotissa FC 1649 1589 42.53% 21.20% 36.27%+0.1366.0
2027-03-06 Pafos FC 1542 1822 13.39% 20.31% 66.30%-1.3943.5
2027-03-06 @ Ypsonas 1822 1542 66.30% 20.31% 13.39%+1.3943.5
2027-03-06 APOEL Nicosia 1693 1838 25.44% 21.03% 53.53%-0.6269.0
2027-03-06 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 1838 1693 53.53% 21.03% 25.44%+0.6269.0
2027-03-06 Omonia 29is Maiou 2003 1651 74.74% 18.99% 6.27%+2.2551.6
2027-03-06 @ Omonia Nicosia 1651 2003 6.27% 18.99% 74.74%-2.2551.6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-09-18 8.89% AEL Limassol 1631 2 @ Pafos FC 1916 0
2 2026-08-28 17.16% Omonia 29is Maiou 1548 3 @ Ypsonas 1702 0
3 2026-09-12 17.88% @ Anorthosis Famagusta 1656 2 APOEL Nicosia 1877 1
4 2026-09-19 24.74% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1545 3 Anorthosis Famagusta 1696 0
5 2026-09-13 29.36% Pafos FC 1881 1 @ AEK Larnaca 1918 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-06 143.40 @ APOEL Nicosia 6 1734 41.98% AEL Limassol 0 1753 36.81% 21.20%
2 2026-08-28 118.89 Omonia 29is Maiou 3 1548 17.16% @ Ypsonas 0 1702 62.20% 20.64%
3 2026-09-19 104.14 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 1545 24.74% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1696 54.25% 21.01%
4 2026-09-18 94.28 AEL Limassol 2 1631 8.89% @ Pafos FC 0 1916 71.46% 19.65%
5 2026-08-30 54.18 @ AEL Limassol 2 1699 39.67% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1735 39.12% 21.21%
6 2026-09-07 41.76 Omonia Nicosia 4 1962 56.79% @ Aris Limassol 1 1788 22.30% 20.92%
7 2026-09-12 40.43 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1656 17.88% APOEL Nicosia 1 1877 61.43% 20.69%
8 2026-08-30 36.57 Pafos FC 3 1855 63.65% @ Karmiotissa FC 0 1608 15.81% 20.54%
9 2026-09-13 34.98 Pafos FC 1 1881 29.36% @ AEK Larnaca 0 1918 49.51% 21.12%
10 2026-08-29 29.14 @ AEK Larnaca 3 1865 57.14% APOEL Nicosia 1 1763 21.96% 20.90%
11 2026-09-05 25.02 @ Apollon Limassol 3 1820 60.84% Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1681 18.44% 20.72%
12 2026-09-06 23.60 AEK Larnaca 4 1894 68.04% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1589 11.83% 20.13%
13 2026-09-11 20.92 @ AEL Limassol 2 1610 50.47% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1566 28.42% 21.10%
14 2026-09-14 17.75 Aris Limassol 1 1746 57.27% @ Ypsonas 0 1567 21.83% 20.90%
15 2026-09-05 16.52 @ Omonia Aradippou 2 1690 57.63% Ypsonas 1 1584 21.49% 20.88%
16 2026-09-18 14.26 AEK Larnaca 2 1883 61.12% @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1 1665 18.17% 20.71%
17 2026-08-31 12.44 @ Omonia Nicosia 0 1975 72.07% Omonia Aradippou 0 1678 8.38% 19.55%
18 2026-09-07 10.18 @ Pafos FC 0 1891 66.60% Olympiacos Nicosia 0 1683 13.12% 20.28%
19 2026-09-20 9.42 Karmiotissa FC 0 1579 14.81% @ Aris Limassol 0 1764 64.73% 20.45%
20 2026-09-12 8.55 @ Omonia Nicosia 0 2004 62.61% Apollon Limassol 0 1845 16.77% 20.61%
21 2026-09-20 7.75 @ Omonia Nicosia 4 1995 78.23% Ypsonas 1 1549 3.85% 17.92%
22 2026-09-04 4.07 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 2 1667 56.44% Karmiotissa FC 2 1571 22.63% 20.93%
23 2026-09-12 3.93 Omonia Aradippou 1 1707 51.88% @ Karmiotissa FC 1 1576 27.05% 21.07%
24 2026-08-28 3.50 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 3 1686 56.95% Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 1586 22.14% 20.91%
25 2026-09-20 2.12 @ Omonia Aradippou 1 1703 46.32% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1691 32.51% 21.17%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-13 80.6 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 3 1693 48.63% Omonia 29is Maiou 3 1663 30.23% 21.14%
2 2026-08-28 79.7 @ Olympiacos Nicosia 3 1686 56.95% Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 1586 22.14% 20.91%
3 2026-09-19 77.7 @ Apollon Limassol 2 1854 46.98% APOEL Nicosia 2 1837 31.86% 21.16%
4 2026-08-29 77.6 @ Aris Limassol 2 1788 40.24% Apollon Limassol 2 1820 38.55% 21.21%
5 2026-09-04 75.0 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 2 1667 56.44% Karmiotissa FC 2 1571 22.63% 20.93%
6 2026-09-20 71.4 @ Omonia Aradippou 1 1703 46.32% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1691 32.51% 21.17%
7 2026-09-12 71.1 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1656 17.88% APOEL Nicosia 1 1877 61.43% 20.69%
8 2026-09-12 70.3 @ Karmiotissa FC 1 1576 27.05% Omonia Aradippou 1 1707 51.88% 21.07%
9 2026-08-31 68.7 @ Omonia Nicosia 0 1975 72.07% Omonia Aradippou 0 1678 8.38% 19.55%
10 2026-09-12 68.5 @ Omonia Nicosia 0 2004 62.61% Apollon Limassol 0 1845 16.77% 20.61%
11 2026-09-07 68.3 @ Pafos FC 0 1891 66.60% Olympiacos Nicosia 0 1683 13.12% 20.28%
12 2026-09-20 67.1 @ Aris Limassol 0 1764 64.73% Karmiotissa FC 0 1579 14.81% 20.45%
13 2026-09-18 66.1 AEL Limassol 2 1631 8.89% @ Pafos FC 0 1916 71.46% 19.65%
14 2026-09-13 62.9 Pafos FC 1 1881 29.36% @ AEK Larnaca 0 1918 49.51% 21.12%
15 2026-08-28 59.6 Omonia 29is Maiou 3 1548 17.16% @ Ypsonas 0 1702 62.20% 20.64%
16 2026-09-18 58.2 AEK Larnaca 2 1883 61.12% @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1 1665 18.17% 20.71%
17 2026-09-11 57.4 @ AEL Limassol 2 1610 50.47% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1566 28.42% 21.10%
18 2026-09-05 57.3 @ Omonia Aradippou 2 1690 57.63% Ypsonas 1 1584 21.49% 20.88%
19 2026-08-29 57.1 @ AEK Larnaca 3 1865 57.14% APOEL Nicosia 1 1763 21.96% 20.90%
20 2026-09-19 57.1 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 1545 24.74% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1696 54.25% 21.01%
21 2026-08-30 56.4 @ AEL Limassol 2 1699 39.67% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1735 39.12% 21.21%
22 2026-09-05 55.8 @ Apollon Limassol 3 1820 60.84% Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1681 18.44% 20.72%
23 2026-09-07 55.3 Omonia Nicosia 4 1962 56.79% @ Aris Limassol 1 1788 22.30% 20.92%
24 2026-09-06 54.9 @ APOEL Nicosia 6 1734 41.98% AEL Limassol 0 1753 36.81% 21.20%
25 2026-09-14 52.9 Aris Limassol 1 1746 57.27% @ Ypsonas 0 1567 21.83% 20.90%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-30 47.7 Pafos FC 3 1855 63.65% @ Karmiotissa FC 0 1608 15.81% 20.54%
2 2026-09-20 48.6 @ Omonia Nicosia 4 1995 78.23% Ypsonas 1 1549 3.85% 17.92%
3 2026-09-06 51.5 AEK Larnaca 4 1894 68.04% @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1589 11.83% 20.13%
4 2026-09-14 52.9 Aris Limassol 1 1746 57.27% @ Ypsonas 0 1567 21.83% 20.90%
5 2026-09-06 54.9 @ APOEL Nicosia 6 1734 41.98% AEL Limassol 0 1753 36.81% 21.20%
6 2026-09-07 55.3 Omonia Nicosia 4 1962 56.79% @ Aris Limassol 1 1788 22.30% 20.92%
7 2026-09-05 55.8 @ Apollon Limassol 3 1820 60.84% Anorthosis Famagusta 1 1681 18.44% 20.72%
8 2026-08-30 56.4 @ AEL Limassol 2 1699 39.67% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1735 39.12% 21.21%
9 2026-08-29 57.1 @ AEK Larnaca 3 1865 57.14% APOEL Nicosia 1 1763 21.96% 20.90%
10 2026-09-19 57.1 @ Nea Salamis Famagusta 3 1545 24.74% Anorthosis Famagusta 0 1696 54.25% 21.01%
11 2026-09-05 57.3 @ Omonia Aradippou 2 1690 57.63% Ypsonas 1 1584 21.49% 20.88%
12 2026-09-11 57.4 @ AEL Limassol 2 1610 50.47% Nea Salamis Famagusta 1 1566 28.42% 21.10%
13 2026-09-18 58.2 AEK Larnaca 2 1883 61.12% @ Omonia 29is Maiou 1 1665 18.17% 20.71%
14 2026-08-28 59.6 Omonia 29is Maiou 3 1548 17.16% @ Ypsonas 0 1702 62.20% 20.64%
15 2026-09-13 62.9 Pafos FC 1 1881 29.36% @ AEK Larnaca 0 1918 49.51% 21.12%
16 2026-09-18 66.1 AEL Limassol 2 1631 8.89% @ Pafos FC 0 1916 71.46% 19.65%
17 2026-09-20 67.1 @ Aris Limassol 0 1764 64.73% Karmiotissa FC 0 1579 14.81% 20.45%
18 2026-09-07 68.3 @ Pafos FC 0 1891 66.60% Olympiacos Nicosia 0 1683 13.12% 20.28%
19 2026-09-12 68.5 @ Omonia Nicosia 0 2004 62.61% Apollon Limassol 0 1845 16.77% 20.61%
20 2026-08-31 68.7 @ Omonia Nicosia 0 1975 72.07% Omonia Aradippou 0 1678 8.38% 19.55%
21 2026-09-12 70.3 @ Karmiotissa FC 1 1576 27.05% Omonia Aradippou 1 1707 51.88% 21.07%
22 2026-09-12 71.1 @ Anorthosis Famagusta 2 1656 17.88% APOEL Nicosia 1 1877 61.43% 20.69%
23 2026-09-20 71.4 @ Omonia Aradippou 1 1703 46.32% Olympiacos Nicosia 1 1691 32.51% 21.17%
24 2026-09-04 75.0 @ Omonia 29is Maiou 2 1667 56.44% Karmiotissa FC 2 1571 22.63% 20.93%
25 2026-08-29 77.6 @ Aris Limassol 2 1788 40.24% Apollon Limassol 2 1820 38.55% 21.21%