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1954 Czechoslovak First League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Sparta Prague

30 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 1953

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Banik Ostrava

6.61 points above expected

28 points · 21.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bohemians Prague 1905

6.76 points below expected

14 points · 20.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sparta Prague Champion 22 13 4 5 30 45 21 +24 24.72 +5.28
2 Banik Ostrava 22 11 6 5 28 45 26 +19 21.39 +6.61
3 Inter Dubravka Bratislava 22 12 3 7 27 34 23 +11 24.06 +2.94
4 Slovan Bratislava 22 10 5 7 25 35 28 +7 23.84 +1.16
5 UDA Praha 22 9 7 6 25 33 26 +7 22.81 +2.19
6 Kladno 22 7 8 7 22 37 32 +5 22.26 -0.26
7 Slavia Prague 22 9 3 10 21 36 57 -21 20.29 +0.71
8 Zilina 22 7 6 9 20 25 36 -11 20.40 -0.40
9 Tatran Presov 22 8 2 12 18 26 43 -17 20.71 -2.71
10 Dukla Pardubice 22 5 7 10 17 32 33 -1 21.35 -4.35
11 Kridla vlasti Olomouc 22 6 5 11 17 23 26 -3 21.41 -4.41
12 Bohemians Prague 1905 22 5 4 13 14 34 54 -20 20.76 -6.76

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Banik Ostrava 28 21.39 +6.61
2 Sparta Prague 30 24.72 +5.28
3 Inter Dubravka Bratislava 27 24.06 +2.94
4 UDA Praha 25 22.81 +2.19
5 Slovan Bratislava 25 23.84 +1.16

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bohemians Prague 1905 14 20.76 -6.76
2 Kridla vlasti Olomouc 17 21.41 -4.41
3 Dukla Pardubice 17 21.35 -4.35
4 Tatran Presov 18 20.71 -2.71
5 Zilina 20 20.40 -0.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sparta Prague 6 May 12 – Sep 3 1 in 85
2 Inter Dubravka Bratislava 5 Aug 26 – Oct 2 1 in 83
3 Banik Ostrava 3 May 12 – Jul 4 1 in 25
4 Slavia Prague 3 Mar 14 – Mar 28 1 in 19
5 UDA Praha 3 Jul 11 – Aug 22 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kridla vlasti Olomouc 5 Mar 21 – Apr 25 1 in 190
2 Bohemians Prague 1905 4 Mar 14 – Apr 3 1 in 88
3 Inter Dubravka Bratislava 2 May 15 – Jul 2 1 in 80
4 Tatran Presov 3 Mar 14 – Mar 27 1 in 15
5 Dukla Pardubice 2 Apr 4 – Apr 11 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Banik Ostrava 7 May 12 – Sep 11 1 in 87
2 Kladno 8 Mar 20 – May 15 1 in 61
3 Inter Dubravka Bratislava 8 Jul 16 – Oct 10 1 in 25
4 Kridla vlasti Olomouc 4 May 16 – Aug 14 1 in 11
5 Zilina 4 Mar 14 – Apr 3 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dukla Pardubice 6 May 9 – Aug 14 1 in 48
2 Bohemians Prague 1905 6 Aug 15 – Sep 26 1 in 41
3 Kridla vlasti Olomouc 8 May 12 – Sep 26 1 in 27
4 Zilina 6 Apr 11 – Jul 7 1 in 18
5 Kladno 6 Aug 29 – Oct 17 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sparta Prague 1621 30 +2 5 4.9 +0.1
Banik Ostrava 1510 28 +21 7 6.0 +1.0
Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1554 27 -16 4 5.1 -1.1
UDA Praha 1554 25 -12 5 5.9 -0.9
Slovan Bratislava 1562 25 +8 4 5.0 -1.0
Kladno 1510 22 -2 4 5.5 -1.5
Slavia Prague 1427 21 +4 5 4.0 +1.0
Zilina 1429 20 -5 4 4.2 -0.2
Tatran Presov 1457 18 +3 5 5.2 -0.2
Dukla Pardubice 1478 17 +7 5 4.6 +0.4
Kridla vlasti Olomouc 1483 17 +7 5 5.1 -0.1
Bohemians Prague 1905 1413 14 -26 5 4.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BO BP1 DP IDB KLA KVO SP SB SP TP UP ZIL
Banik Ostrava —
1-1-0
2.71
2-0-0
2.66
2-0-0
2.39
1-1-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.91
0-2-0
2.34
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.96
Bohemians Prague 1905
0-1-1
2.82
 —
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
1.98
1-0-1
2.79
0-2-0
2.40
0-0-2
2.83
Dukla Pardubice
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
2.97
 —
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.64
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.94
Inter Dubravka Bratislava
0-0-2
3.14
1-0-1
3.27
1-1-0
3.06
 —
1-1-0
2.92
2-0-0
3.00
0-0-2
3.48
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
2.48
2-0-0
3.02
1-1-0
2.64
1-0-1
3.12
Kladno
0-1-1
2.94
2-0-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.62
 —
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
3.11
Kridla vlasti Olomouc
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.80
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
2.68
 —
0-0-2
2.90
1-1-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.89
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.93
Slavia Prague
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.63
 —
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.71
Slovan Bratislava
0-2-0
3.19
2-0-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.12
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.93
0-1-1
3.17
2-0-0
3.12
 —
0-0-2
2.64
2-0-0
3.11
0-1-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.34
Sparta Prague
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.56
1-1-0
2.99
0-0-2
3.05
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
3.25
2-0-0
2.88
 —
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
2.93
1-1-0
3.27
Tatran Presov
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.13
 —
0-1-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.86
UDA Praha
1-0-1
3.01
0-2-0
3.15
1-1-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
3.13
 —
1-1-0
3.10
Zilina
1-0-1
2.56
2-0-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.44
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.49 +5.1
Allowed 0.43 -2.8
Differential 0.71 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%5.68%7.95%4.17%1.89%1.52%27.27%
15.68%10.61%4.92%3.79%1.14%1.89%28.03%
27.95%4.92%6.06%3.79%0.76%0.76%24.24%
34.17%3.79%3.79%—0.38%—12.12%
41.89%1.14%0.76%0.38%——4.17%
5+1.52%1.89%0.76%———4.17%
Total27.27%28.03%24.24%12.12%4.17%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.45 1.45 2.26
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
14.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
213.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
3——13.64%———13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total27.27%36.36%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.18 +0.86
SD 2.17 0.96 2.53
CV 1.06 0.81 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%—9.09%—13.64%
1—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
24.55%13.64%13.64%22.73%4.55%—59.09%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%18.18%31.82%27.27%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.45 -0.91
SD 0.80 1.34 1.77
CV 0.52 0.54 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%————22.73%
1—18.18%13.64%——4.55%36.36%
29.09%—4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
39.09%—————9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%36.36%18.18%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.50 -0.05
SD 1.37 1.60 2.10
CV 0.94 1.06 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
113.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
213.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total45.45%22.73%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.05 +0.50
SD 1.26 1.21 1.87
CV 0.82 1.16 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
24.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total31.82%22.73%22.73%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.45 +0.23
SD 1.43 1.34 2.09
CV 0.85 0.92 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%22.73%———45.45%
19.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%—4.55%———9.09%
3—4.55%————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%36.36%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.18 -0.14
SD 1.40 0.91 1.83
CV 1.34 0.77 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%13.64%—9.09%27.27%
14.55%4.55%——4.55%9.09%22.73%
2—13.64%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%22.73%27.27%13.64%4.55%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.59 -0.95
SD 1.47 1.87 2.82
CV 0.90 0.72 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
14.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
213.64%—4.55%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%——4.55%——9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total40.91%13.64%31.82%9.09%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.27 +0.32
SD 1.53 1.35 2.03
CV 0.96 1.06 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
113.64%18.18%4.55%—4.55%—40.91%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total36.36%40.91%18.18%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 0.95 +1.09
SD 1.73 1.00 2.24
CV 0.85 1.05 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%22.73%4.55%4.55%4.55%40.91%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%——18.18%
213.64%—4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%18.18%31.82%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.95 -0.77
SD 1.18 1.96 2.71
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 3 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%——27.27%
14.55%22.73%—4.55%——31.82%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%45.45%9.09%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.18 +0.32
SD 1.41 1.05 2.12
CV 0.94 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
19.09%13.64%—9.09%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%18.18%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.64 -0.50
SD 1.17 1.50 2.06
CV 1.03 0.92 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sparta Prague 1621 30 24.72 +5.28 93.0% 16 18 22 25 27 31 34
Slovan Bratislava 1562 25 23.84 +1.16 70.0% 16 17 22 24 26 29 31
UDA Praha 1554 25 22.81 +2.19 82.0% 15 17 21 23 25 29 34
Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1554 27 24.06 +2.94 83.0% 16 19 22 24 26 30 32
Kladno 1510 22 22.26 -0.26 57.0% 14 16 20 22 25 28 32
Banik Ostrava 1510 28 21.39 +6.61 95.0% 12 15 18 21 24 28 31
Kridla vlasti Olomouc 1483 17 21.41 -4.41 16.0% 12 15 18 22 24 27 32
Dukla Pardubice 1478 17 21.35 -4.35 16.0% 14 16 19 21 24 26 33
Tatran Presov 1457 18 20.71 -2.71 27.0% 12 15 18 21 23 27 30
Zilina 1429 20 20.40 -0.40 48.0% 13 14 18 21 23 26 30
Slavia Prague 1427 21 20.29 +0.71 58.0% 11 13 18 21 23 26 28
Bohemians Prague 1905 1413 14 20.76 -6.76 4.0% 10 16 18 20 24 27 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 33.5% * Slight Edge: 33.5% to 41% * Clear Edge: 41% to 47.5% * Strong Edge: 47.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+33.33%
No Edge
55.30%22.73%21.97%
Elo Value
Home Edge
162 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0120.41500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.78 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.74+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.04 * Tight Race: 0.04 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.0
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
Sparta Prague, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.41 * Lucky: 4.41 to 5.88 * Wild Swing: 5.88 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.46 * Close: 2.46 to 3.69 * Off: 3.69 to 4.93 * Way Off: 4.93 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.86 points
Some Luck
03.689
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.33
Pinpoint
03.088
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Banik Ostrava
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Bohemians Prague 1905
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.1 * Even: 0.1 to 0.12 * Top-Heavy: 0.12 to 0.15 * Lopsided: 0.15 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.2 * Moderate Separation: 1.2 to 1.35 * Strong Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Wide Separation: 1.6 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60.5% * Slight Edge: 60.5% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 68.5% * Wide Edge: 68.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 84% * Clear Edge: 84% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53.5% * Some Drama: 53.5% to 56% * Frequent: 56% to 59% * Very Frequent: 59% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 19% * Occasional: 19% to 21% * Frequent: 21% to 24.5% * Very Frequent: 24.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Top-Heavy
00.10.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 63.90
1.22
Moderate Separation
0.751.21.62.25
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%60.5%68.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
77%
Even
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Few
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.53 * Slight Separation: 0.53 to 0.61 * Notable Separation: 0.61 to 0.69 * Lopsided: 0.69 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.39 * Some Carryover: 0.39 to 0.55 * Strong Carryover: 0.55 to 0.62 * Near-Lock: 0.62 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14% * As Expected: 14% to 17.5% * Upset-Prone: 17.5% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 16% * Shaky Favorites: 16% to 18.5% * Very Shaky: 18.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.55
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.04
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.22
Weak Carryover
00.390.551
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Upset-Prone
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Very Shaky
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.65
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.1010.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Sparta Prague30.00%15.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%
Banik Ostrava7.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%
Inter Dubravka Bratislava18.00%13.00%15.00%12.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%
Slovan Bratislava13.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%
UDA Praha10.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%7.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%
Kladno9.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%15.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%
Slavia Prague1.00%3.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%22.00%
Zilina2.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%12.00%6.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%14.00%14.00%16.00%
Tatran Presov2.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%10.00%6.00%16.00%12.00%14.00%11.00%
Dukla Pardubice3.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%12.00%15.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%
Kridla vlasti Olomouc4.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%5.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%5.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%
Bohemians Prague 19051.00%8.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%16.00%9.00%20.00%11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Inter Dubravka Bratislava 97.00% 3.00%
UDA Praha 97.00% 3.00%
Sparta Prague 95.00% 5.00%
Slovan Bratislava 93.00% 7.00%
Kladno 90.00% 10.00%
Dukla Pardubice 84.00% 16.00%
Kridla vlasti Olomouc 83.00% 17.00%
Banik Ostrava 79.00% 21.00%
Tatran Presov 75.00% 25.00%
Zilina 70.00% 30.00%
Bohemians Prague 1905 69.00% 31.00%
Slavia Prague 68.00% 32.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1954-03-13 Dukla Pardubice D 1-164.0 1526 1508 61.56% 23.18% 15.26%+0.85 -1.7 1
1954-03-13 @ Sparta Prague D 1-164.0 1508 1526 15.26% 23.18% 61.56%-0.85 +1.7 1
1954-03-14 Bohemians Prague 1905 W 3-253.6 1439 1482 55.81% 23.80% 20.39%+0.48 +3.4 2
1954-03-14 @ Banik Ostrava L 2-353.6 1482 1439 20.39% 23.80% 55.81%-0.48 -3.4 0
1954-03-14 Kridla vlasti Olomouc L 0-158.7 1507 1511 59.67% 23.43% 16.90%+0.72 -9.3 0
1954-03-14 @ Kladno W 1-058.7 1511 1507 16.90% 23.43% 59.67%-0.72 +9.3 2
1954-03-14 UDA Praha W 3-043.2 1490 1540 55.09% 23.85% 21.06%+0.43 +10.7 2
1954-03-14 @ Slavia Prague L 0-343.2 1540 1490 21.06% 23.85% 55.09%-0.43 -10.7 0
1954-03-14 Tatran Presov W 2-042.8 1525 1500 62.28% 23.07% 14.65%+0.90 +5.4 2
1954-03-14 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-242.8 1500 1525 14.65% 23.07% 62.28%-0.90 -5.4 0
1954-03-14 Inter Dubravka Bratislava W 1-045.0 1470 1502 56.94% 23.71% 19.35%+0.54 +3.7 2
1954-03-14 @ Zilina L 0-145.0 1502 1470 19.35% 23.71% 56.94%-0.54 -3.6 0
1954-03-20 Kladno L 1-261.8 1478 1498 58.21% 23.59% 18.20%+0.62 -8.5 0
1954-03-20 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 W 2-161.8 1498 1478 18.20% 23.59% 58.21%-0.62 +8.5 2
1954-03-21 Slavia Prague L 0-159.4 1520 1501 61.78% 23.15% 15.07%+0.87 -9.6 2
1954-03-21 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 1-059.4 1501 1520 15.07% 23.15% 61.78%-0.87 +9.6 4
1954-03-21 Zilina D 0-059.0 1529 1474 64.71% 22.63% 12.66%+1.09 -2.2 1
1954-03-21 @ UDA Praha D 0-059.0 1474 1529 12.66% 22.63% 64.71%-1.09 +2.2 3
1954-03-21 Dukla Pardubice W 1-046.1 1531 1510 61.85% 23.14% 15.01%+0.87 +2.9 4
1954-03-21 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-146.1 1510 1531 15.01% 23.14% 61.85%-0.87 -2.9 1
1954-03-21 Banik Ostrava W 1-041.9 1524 1442 66.67% 22.20% 11.13%+1.25 +2.2 3
1954-03-21 @ Sparta Prague L 0-141.9 1442 1524 11.13% 22.20% 66.67%-1.25 -2.2 2
1954-03-21 Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 1-360.6 1494 1499 59.62% 23.44% 16.94%+0.72 -15.1 0
1954-03-21 @ Tatran Presov W 3-160.6 1499 1494 16.94% 23.44% 59.62%-0.72 +15.1 2
1954-03-27 Tatran Presov W 2-041.3 1507 1479 62.48% 23.04% 14.48%+0.92 +5.3 3
1954-03-27 @ Dukla Pardubice L 0-241.3 1479 1507 14.48% 23.04% 62.48%-0.92 -5.3 0
1954-03-28 Slovan Bratislava D 0-057.5 1440 1534 50.19% 24.06% 25.74%+0.16 -0.9 3
1954-03-28 @ Banik Ostrava D 0-057.5 1534 1440 25.74% 24.06% 50.19%-0.16 +0.9 5
1954-03-28 UDA Praha D 1-164.2 1514 1527 58.78% 23.53% 17.68%+0.66 -1.5 3
1954-03-28 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava D 1-164.2 1527 1514 17.68% 23.53% 58.78%-0.66 +1.5 2
1954-03-28 Sparta Prague D 1-163.8 1506 1526 58.18% 23.59% 18.23%+0.62 -1.4 3
1954-03-28 @ Kladno D 1-163.8 1526 1506 18.23% 23.59% 58.18%-0.62 +1.4 4
1954-03-28 Bohemians Prague 1905 W 2-148.3 1510 1470 63.48% 22.87% 13.65%+0.99 +2.5 6
1954-03-28 @ Slavia Prague L 1-248.3 1470 1510 13.65% 22.87% 63.48%-0.99 -2.5 0
1954-03-28 Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 1-045.6 1476 1511 56.68% 23.73% 19.59%+0.53 +3.7 5
1954-03-28 @ Zilina L 0-145.6 1511 1476 19.59% 23.73% 56.68%-0.53 -3.7 2
1954-04-03 Zilina L 1-358.7 1467 1480 58.91% 23.52% 17.57%+0.67 -15.0 0
1954-04-03 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 W 3-158.7 1480 1467 17.57% 23.52% 58.91%-0.67 +14.9 7
1954-04-03 Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 0-256.1 1507 1512 59.55% 23.45% 17.01%+0.71 -17.4 2
1954-04-03 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 2-056.1 1512 1507 17.01% 23.45% 59.55%-0.71 +17.4 5
1954-04-04 Banik Ostrava L 1-262.8 1513 1439 66.07% 22.34% 11.59%+1.20 -9.6 3
1954-04-04 @ Dukla Pardubice W 2-162.8 1439 1513 11.59% 22.34% 66.07%-1.20 +9.6 5
1954-04-04 Kladno D 0-060.2 1535 1505 62.61% 23.02% 14.37%+0.93 -2.0 6
1954-04-04 @ Slovan Bratislava D 0-060.2 1505 1535 14.37% 23.02% 62.61%-0.93 +2.0 4
1954-04-04 Slavia Prague W 5-145.1 1528 1513 61.36% 23.21% 15.43%+0.84 +8.9 6
1954-04-04 @ Sparta Prague L 1-545.1 1513 1528 15.43% 23.21% 61.36%-0.84 -8.9 6
1954-04-04 UDA Praha D 1-162.6 1474 1529 54.60% 23.88% 21.52%+0.41 -1.2 1
1954-04-04 @ Tatran Presov D 1-162.6 1529 1474 21.52% 23.88% 54.60%-0.41 +1.2 3
1954-04-10 Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 3-147.6 1530 1490 63.48% 22.87% 13.65%+0.99 +4.4 5
1954-04-10 @ UDA Praha L 1-347.6 1490 1530 13.65% 22.87% 63.48%-0.99 -4.4 2
1954-04-11 Tatran Presov W 9-039.3 1448 1473 57.74% 23.64% 18.62%+0.59 +27.2 7
1954-04-11 @ Banik Ostrava L 0-939.3 1473 1448 18.62% 23.64% 57.74%-0.59 -27.2 1
1954-04-11 Bohemians Prague 1905 L 0-256.4 1530 1453 66.32% 22.28% 11.40%+1.22 -19.3 5
1954-04-11 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava W 2-056.4 1453 1530 11.40% 22.28% 66.32%-1.22 +19.3 2
1954-04-11 Dukla Pardubice W 3-255.4 1507 1503 60.40% 23.34% 16.26%+0.77 +2.8 6
1954-04-11 @ Kladno L 2-355.4 1503 1507 16.26% 23.34% 60.40%-0.77 -2.8 3
1954-04-11 Slovan Bratislava L 0-354.2 1504 1533 57.29% 23.68% 19.03%+0.57 -24.4 6
1954-04-11 @ Slavia Prague W 3-054.2 1533 1504 19.03% 23.68% 57.29%-0.57 +24.4 8
1954-04-11 Sparta Prague L 0-353.7 1494 1536 55.95% 23.79% 20.26%+0.48 -23.9 7
1954-04-11 @ Zilina W 3-053.7 1536 1494 20.26% 23.79% 55.95%-0.48 +23.9 8
1954-04-18 Sparta Prague W 2-046.4 1445 1560 47.63% 24.10% 28.27%+0.03 +9.4 3
1954-04-18 @ Tatran Presov L 0-246.4 1560 1445 28.27% 24.10% 47.63%-0.03 -9.4 8
1954-04-22 Sparta Prague L 1-363.6 1534 1551 58.46% 23.57% 17.97%+0.64 -14.8 5
1954-04-22 @ UDA Praha W 3-163.6 1551 1534 17.97% 23.57% 58.46%-0.64 +14.8 10
1954-04-24 Slavia Prague W 3-039.3 1500 1479 61.86% 23.14% 15.00%+0.87 +8.0 5
1954-04-24 @ Dukla Pardubice L 0-339.3 1479 1500 15.00% 23.14% 61.86%-0.87 -8.0 6
1954-04-25 Kladno D 1-162.0 1476 1510 56.75% 23.72% 19.52%+0.53 -1.3 8
1954-04-25 @ Banik Ostrava D 1-162.0 1510 1476 19.52% 23.72% 56.75%-0.53 +1.3 7
1954-04-25 UDA Praha D 2-267.6 1472 1519 55.38% 23.83% 20.80%+0.45 -0.9 3
1954-04-25 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 D 2-267.6 1519 1472 20.80% 23.83% 55.38%-0.45 +0.9 6
1954-04-25 Zilina W 2-041.4 1557 1471 66.98% 22.12% 10.90%+1.28 +4.1 10
1954-04-25 @ Slovan Bratislava L 0-241.4 1471 1557 10.90% 22.12% 66.98%-1.28 -4.1 7
1954-04-25 Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 0-259.5 1566 1510 64.68% 22.64% 12.68%+1.09 -18.9 10
1954-04-25 @ Sparta Prague W 2-059.5 1510 1566 12.68% 22.64% 64.68%-1.09 +18.9 7
1954-04-25 Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 2-041.2 1455 1485 57.13% 23.69% 19.18%+0.56 +6.8 5
1954-04-25 @ Tatran Presov L 0-241.2 1485 1455 19.18% 23.69% 57.13%-0.56 -6.8 2
1954-05-01 Bohemians Prague 1905 L 2-365.5 1462 1471 59.17% 23.49% 17.34%+0.69 -8.2 5
1954-05-01 @ Tatran Presov W 3-265.5 1471 1462 17.34% 23.49% 59.17%-0.69 +8.2 5
1954-05-09 Slovan Bratislava W 2-046.7 1529 1561 57.00% 23.70% 19.30%+0.55 +6.9 9
1954-05-09 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 0-246.7 1561 1529 19.30% 23.70% 57.00%-0.55 -6.8 10
1954-05-09 Tatran Presov W 4-037.0 1511 1453 64.86% 22.60% 12.54%+1.10 +8.8 9
1954-05-09 @ Kladno L 0-437.0 1453 1511 12.54% 22.60% 64.86%-1.10 -8.8 5
1954-05-09 Bohemians Prague 1905 W 4-038.2 1478 1479 59.97% 23.40% 16.64%+0.74 +11.4 4
1954-05-09 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc L 0-438.2 1479 1478 16.64% 23.40% 59.97%-0.74 -11.4 5
1954-05-09 Banik Ostrava W 2-148.2 1471 1474 59.77% 23.42% 16.81%+0.73 +3.0 8
1954-05-09 @ Slavia Prague L 1-248.2 1474 1471 16.81% 23.42% 59.77%-0.73 -3.0 8
1954-05-09 Dukla Pardubice D 1-161.6 1467 1508 56.00% 23.78% 20.21%+0.49 -1.3 8
1954-05-09 @ Zilina D 1-161.6 1508 1467 20.21% 23.78% 56.00%-0.49 +1.3 6
1954-05-12 Zilina W 1-042.6 1471 1465 60.57% 23.32% 16.11%+0.78 +3.1 10
1954-05-12 @ Banik Ostrava L 0-142.6 1465 1471 16.11% 23.32% 60.57%-0.78 -3.1 8
1954-05-12 Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 0-159.2 1509 1536 57.48% 23.66% 18.86%+0.58 -8.9 6
1954-05-12 @ Dukla Pardubice W 1-059.2 1536 1509 18.86% 23.66% 57.48%-0.58 +8.9 11
1954-05-12 Slavia Prague W 5-038.5 1520 1474 63.90% 22.79% 13.31%+1.03 +11.5 11
1954-05-12 @ Kladno L 0-538.5 1474 1520 13.31% 22.79% 63.90%-1.03 -11.5 8
1954-05-12 UDA Praha D 1-165.5 1554 1520 62.97% 22.96% 14.08%+0.95 -1.8 11
1954-05-12 @ Slovan Bratislava D 1-165.5 1520 1554 14.08% 22.96% 62.97%-0.95 +1.8 7
1954-05-12 Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 2-042.4 1547 1490 64.81% 22.61% 12.58%+1.10 +4.7 12
1954-05-12 @ Sparta Prague L 0-242.4 1490 1547 12.58% 22.61% 64.81%-1.10 -4.7 4
1954-05-15 Banik Ostrava L 1-265.3 1545 1474 65.85% 22.39% 11.76%+1.18 -9.6 11
1954-05-15 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava W 2-165.3 1474 1545 11.76% 22.39% 65.85%-1.18 +9.6 12
1954-05-15 Tatran Presov L 0-252.6 1463 1445 61.65% 23.17% 15.18%+0.86 -18.0 8
1954-05-15 @ Slavia Prague W 2-052.6 1445 1463 15.18% 23.17% 61.65%-0.86 +18.0 7
1954-05-15 Kladno D 0-058.2 1462 1531 53.03% 23.96% 23.01%+0.32 -1.2 9
1954-05-15 @ Zilina D 0-058.2 1531 1462 23.01% 23.96% 53.03%-0.32 +1.2 12
1954-05-16 UDA Praha D 1-163.5 1500 1522 57.98% 23.61% 18.40%+0.61 -1.4 7
1954-05-16 @ Dukla Pardubice D 1-163.5 1522 1500 18.40% 23.61% 57.98%-0.61 +1.4 8
1954-05-16 Kridla vlasti Olomouc D 0-060.3 1552 1485 65.58% 22.45% 11.97%+1.16 -2.2 12
1954-05-16 @ Slovan Bratislava D 0-060.3 1485 1552 11.97% 22.45% 65.58%-1.16 +2.2 5
1954-05-16 Bohemians Prague 1905 W 3-253.9 1552 1468 66.80% 22.17% 11.04%+1.26 +1.9 14
1954-05-16 @ Sparta Prague L 2-353.9 1468 1552 11.04% 22.17% 66.80%-1.26 -2.0 5
1954-07-02 Slavia Prague L 2-369.3 1535 1445 67.27% 22.05% 10.68%+1.30 -9.3 11
1954-07-02 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava W 3-269.3 1445 1535 10.68% 22.05% 67.27%-1.30 +9.3 10
1954-07-03 Kridla vlasti Olomouc D 1-162.2 1499 1487 61.06% 23.25% 15.69%+0.82 -1.7 8
1954-07-03 @ Dukla Pardubice D 1-162.2 1487 1499 15.69% 23.25% 61.06%-0.82 +1.7 6
1954-07-03 Bohemians Prague 1905 W 3-253.7 1550 1466 66.83% 22.16% 11.01%+1.27 +2.0 14
1954-07-03 @ Slovan Bratislava L 2-353.7 1466 1550 11.01% 22.16% 66.83%-1.27 -1.9 5
1954-07-04 UDA Praha W 2-043.9 1484 1524 56.20% 23.77% 20.03%+0.50 +7.1 14
1954-07-04 @ Banik Ostrava L 0-243.9 1524 1484 20.03% 23.77% 56.20%-0.50 -7.1 8
1954-07-07 Zilina W 4-249.2 1454 1461 59.41% 23.46% 17.13%+0.70 +4.8 12
1954-07-07 @ Slavia Prague L 2-449.2 1461 1454 17.13% 23.46% 59.41%-0.70 -4.8 9
1954-07-09 Slovan Bratislava W 1-048.8 1554 1552 60.16% 23.37% 16.46%+0.75 +3.2 16
1954-07-09 @ Sparta Prague L 0-148.8 1552 1554 16.46% 23.37% 60.16%-0.75 -3.2 14
1954-07-10 Dukla Pardubice W 2-149.6 1464 1497 56.82% 23.72% 19.46%+0.54 +3.5 7
1954-07-10 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 L 1-249.6 1497 1464 19.46% 23.72% 56.82%-0.54 -3.5 8
1954-07-10 Banik Ostrava D 1-161.9 1489 1491 59.86% 23.41% 16.73%+0.73 -1.6 7
1954-07-10 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc D 1-161.9 1491 1489 16.73% 23.41% 59.86%-0.73 +1.6 15
1954-07-11 Kladno W 3-042.9 1516 1533 58.52% 23.56% 17.92%+0.64 +9.3 10
1954-07-11 @ UDA Praha L 0-342.9 1533 1516 17.92% 23.56% 58.52%-0.64 -9.3 12
1954-07-16 Inter Dubravka Bratislava D 0-060.5 1523 1526 59.76% 23.42% 16.82%+0.73 -1.8 13
1954-07-16 @ Kladno D 0-060.5 1526 1523 16.82% 23.42% 59.76%-0.73 +1.8 12
1954-07-18 Tatran Presov W 2-039.7 1456 1463 59.43% 23.46% 17.11%+0.70 +6.2 11
1954-07-18 @ Zilina L 0-239.7 1463 1456 17.11% 23.46% 59.43%-0.70 -6.2 7
1954-08-13 Slavia Prague W 4-143.4 1526 1459 65.55% 22.46% 11.99%+1.16 +5.5 12
1954-08-13 @ UDA Praha L 1-443.4 1459 1526 11.99% 22.46% 65.55%-1.16 -5.5 12
1954-08-14 Sparta Prague L 1-656.1 1494 1557 53.73% 23.93% 22.34%+0.36 -30.6 8
1954-08-14 @ Dukla Pardubice W 6-156.1 1557 1494 22.34% 23.93% 53.73%-0.36 +30.6 18
1954-08-14 Kladno D 2-268.3 1488 1521 56.78% 23.72% 19.50%+0.53 -1.0 8
1954-08-14 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc D 2-268.3 1521 1488 19.50% 23.72% 56.78%-0.53 +1.0 14
1954-08-15 Banik Ostrava D 2-266.5 1467 1493 57.63% 23.65% 18.72%+0.59 -1.0 8
1954-08-15 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 D 2-266.5 1493 1467 18.72% 23.65% 57.63%-0.59 +1.0 16
1954-08-15 Slovan Bratislava L 0-253.0 1457 1549 50.37% 24.06% 25.57%+0.17 -14.9 7
1954-08-15 @ Tatran Presov W 2-053.0 1549 1457 25.57% 24.06% 50.37%-0.17 +14.9 16
1954-08-21 Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 2-148.8 1454 1487 56.87% 23.71% 19.42%+0.54 +3.5 14
1954-08-21 @ Slavia Prague L 1-248.8 1487 1454 19.42% 23.71% 56.87%-0.54 -3.4 8
1954-08-22 Slovan Bratislava W 3-044.8 1463 1564 49.39% 24.08% 26.53%+0.12 +13.0 10
1954-08-22 @ Dukla Pardubice L 0-344.8 1564 1463 26.53% 24.08% 49.39%-0.12 -13.0 16
1954-08-22 Bohemians Prague 1905 W 2-040.7 1522 1466 64.75% 22.63% 12.63%+1.09 +4.7 16
1954-08-22 @ Kladno L 0-240.7 1466 1522 12.63% 22.63% 64.75%-1.09 -4.7 8
1954-08-22 UDA Praha L 0-550.7 1462 1531 53.07% 23.96% 22.97%+0.32 -36.6 11
1954-08-22 @ Zilina W 5-050.7 1531 1462 22.97% 23.96% 53.07%-0.32 +36.6 14
1954-08-26 Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 0-357.9 1568 1528 63.46% 22.87% 13.67%+0.99 -26.9 14
1954-08-26 @ UDA Praha W 3-057.9 1528 1568 13.67% 22.87% 63.46%-0.99 +26.9 14
1954-08-28 Slavia Prague D 2-265.1 1462 1457 60.44% 23.34% 16.22%+0.77 -1.2 9
1954-08-28 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 D 2-265.1 1457 1462 16.22% 23.34% 60.44%-0.77 +1.2 15
1954-08-29 Kladno W 4-042.3 1587 1527 65.05% 22.56% 12.38%+1.12 +8.7 20
1954-08-29 @ Sparta Prague L 0-442.3 1527 1587 12.38% 22.56% 65.05%-1.12 -8.7 16
1954-08-29 Dukla Pardubice W 1-043.1 1442 1476 56.71% 23.73% 19.56%+0.53 +3.7 9
1954-08-29 @ Tatran Presov L 0-143.1 1476 1442 19.56% 23.73% 56.71%-0.53 -3.7 10
1954-09-02 Dukla Pardubice W 3-253.4 1494 1472 61.90% 23.13% 14.97%+0.87 +2.6 18
1954-09-02 @ Banik Ostrava L 2-353.4 1472 1494 14.97% 23.13% 61.90%-0.87 -2.6 10
1954-09-03 Sparta Prague L 0-550.5 1458 1596 44.70% 24.10% 31.21%-0.11 -31.4 15
1954-09-03 @ Slavia Prague W 5-050.5 1596 1458 31.21% 24.10% 44.70%+0.11 +31.4 22
1954-09-05 Slovan Bratislava L 3-473.0 1518 1551 56.93% 23.71% 19.36%+0.54 -7.7 16
1954-09-05 @ Kladno W 4-373.0 1551 1518 19.36% 23.71% 56.93%-0.54 +7.7 18
1954-09-05 Tatran Presov W 3-145.1 1541 1445 67.62% 21.95% 10.42%+1.33 +3.4 16
1954-09-05 @ UDA Praha L 1-345.1 1445 1541 10.42% 21.95% 67.62%-1.33 -3.4 9
1954-09-05 Bohemians Prague 1905 W 4-249.0 1426 1460 56.71% 23.73% 19.56%+0.53 +5.4 13
1954-09-05 @ Zilina L 2-449.0 1460 1426 19.56% 23.73% 56.71%-0.53 -5.4 9
1954-09-08 Zilina W 4-036.4 1555 1431 69.50% 21.41% 9.09%+1.51 +6.4 16
1954-09-08 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 0-436.4 1431 1555 9.09% 21.41% 69.50%-1.51 -6.4 13
1954-09-11 Banik Ostrava D 2-270.4 1559 1496 65.21% 22.53% 12.26%+1.13 -1.5 19
1954-09-11 @ Slovan Bratislava D 2-270.4 1496 1559 12.26% 22.53% 65.21%-1.13 +1.5 19
1954-09-15 Zilina D 1-165.7 1627 1425 74.13% 19.68% 6.19%+2.00 -2.6 23
1954-09-15 @ Sparta Prague D 1-165.7 1425 1627 6.19% 19.68% 74.13%-2.00 +2.6 14
1954-09-18 Slavia Prague W 5-245.2 1557 1427 69.92% 21.28% 8.80%+1.55 +3.5 21
1954-09-18 @ Slovan Bratislava L 2-545.2 1427 1557 8.80% 21.28% 69.92%-1.55 -3.5 15
1954-09-19 Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 2-365.6 1455 1561 48.69% 24.09% 27.22%+0.09 -6.9 9
1954-09-19 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 W 3-265.6 1561 1455 27.22% 24.09% 48.69%-0.09 +6.9 18
1954-09-19 UDA Praha L 0-254.9 1483 1544 53.92% 23.92% 22.16%+0.37 -15.9 8
1954-09-19 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 2-054.9 1544 1483 22.16% 23.92% 53.92%-0.37 +15.9 18
1954-09-19 Banik Ostrava W 3-147.3 1442 1498 54.50% 23.88% 21.62%+0.40 +6.5 11
1954-09-19 @ Tatran Presov L 1-347.3 1498 1442 21.62% 23.88% 54.50%-0.40 -6.5 19
1954-09-25 Kladno D 2-265.5 1423 1511 50.96% 24.04% 25.00%+0.20 -0.7 16
1954-09-25 @ Slavia Prague D 2-265.5 1511 1423 25.00% 24.04% 50.96%-0.20 +0.7 17
1954-09-26 Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 1-044.1 1568 1467 67.99% 21.86% 10.16%+1.37 +2.0 20
1954-09-26 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 0-144.1 1467 1568 10.16% 21.86% 67.99%-1.37 -2.0 8
1954-09-26 Tatran Presov L 2-364.5 1448 1448 60.00% 23.39% 16.61%+0.74 -8.3 9
1954-09-26 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 W 3-264.5 1448 1448 16.61% 23.39% 60.00%-0.74 +8.3 13
1954-09-26 Slovan Bratislava W 2-046.8 1560 1561 59.99% 23.39% 16.62%+0.74 +6.0 20
1954-09-26 @ UDA Praha L 0-246.8 1561 1560 16.62% 23.39% 59.99%-0.74 -6.0 21
1954-09-26 Banik Ostrava W 3-039.5 1427 1491 53.63% 23.93% 22.44%+0.35 +11.3 16
1954-09-26 @ Zilina L 0-339.5 1491 1427 22.44% 23.93% 53.63%-0.35 -11.3 19
1954-10-02 Tatran Presov W 1-043.5 1570 1457 68.83% 21.62% 9.56%+1.44 +1.9 22
1954-10-02 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 0-143.5 1457 1570 9.56% 21.62% 68.83%-1.44 -1.9 13
1954-10-02 Zilina W 3-143.7 1465 1439 62.36% 23.06% 14.58%+0.91 +4.6 10
1954-10-02 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc L 1-343.7 1439 1465 14.58% 23.06% 62.36%-0.91 -4.6 16
1954-10-02 Kladno D 2-267.3 1470 1511 56.00% 23.78% 20.21%+0.49 -1.0 11
1954-10-02 @ Dukla Pardubice D 2-267.3 1511 1470 20.21% 23.78% 56.00%-0.49 +1.0 18
1954-10-06 Dukla Pardubice D 0-060.7 1572 1469 68.14% 21.81% 10.05%+1.38 -2.5 23
1954-10-06 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava D 0-060.7 1469 1572 10.05% 21.81% 68.14%-1.38 +2.5 12
1954-10-09 Dukla Pardubice W 5-246.4 1423 1471 55.25% 23.84% 20.92%+0.44 +7.8 18
1954-10-09 @ Slavia Prague L 2-546.4 1471 1423 20.92% 23.84% 55.25%-0.44 -7.8 12
1954-10-10 Sparta Prague W 4-153.5 1570 1625 54.56% 23.88% 21.56%+0.40 +9.2 25
1954-10-10 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 1-453.5 1625 1570 21.56% 23.88% 54.56%-0.40 -9.2 23
1954-10-10 Banik Ostrava L 2-368.7 1512 1480 62.85% 22.98% 14.17%+0.94 -8.7 18
1954-10-10 @ Kladno W 3-268.7 1480 1512 14.17% 22.98% 62.85%-0.94 +8.7 21
1954-10-10 Tatran Presov W 2-039.4 1470 1455 61.36% 23.21% 15.43%+0.84 +5.6 12
1954-10-10 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc L 0-239.4 1455 1470 15.43% 23.21% 61.36%-0.84 -5.6 13
1954-10-10 Slovan Bratislava W 2-153.6 1434 1555 46.93% 24.10% 28.97%+0.00 +4.8 18
1954-10-10 @ Zilina L 1-253.6 1555 1434 28.97% 24.10% 46.93%+0.00 -4.8 21
1954-10-16 Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 2-148.1 1440 1476 56.60% 23.74% 19.67%+0.52 +3.5 11
1954-10-16 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 L 1-248.1 1476 1440 19.67% 23.74% 56.60%-0.52 -3.5 12
1954-10-16 Zilina W 2-038.3 1464 1439 62.21% 23.08% 14.71%+0.90 +5.4 14
1954-10-16 @ Dukla Pardubice L 0-238.3 1439 1464 14.71% 23.08% 62.21%-0.90 -5.4 18
1954-10-17 Slavia Prague W 7-138.0 1489 1430 64.90% 22.60% 12.51%+1.10 +10.6 23
1954-10-17 @ Banik Ostrava L 1-738.0 1430 1489 12.51% 22.60% 64.90%-1.10 -10.6 18
1954-10-17 Inter Dubravka Bratislava W 3-153.2 1550 1579 57.26% 23.68% 19.06%+0.56 +5.9 23
1954-10-17 @ Slovan Bratislava L 1-353.2 1579 1550 19.06% 23.68% 57.26%-0.56 -5.9 25
1954-10-17 UDA Praha W 1-049.8 1616 1566 64.22% 22.73% 13.05%+1.05 +2.6 25
1954-10-17 @ Sparta Prague L 0-149.8 1566 1616 13.05% 22.73% 64.22%-1.05 -2.5 20
1954-10-17 Kladno W 3-147.8 1449 1504 54.66% 23.87% 21.47%+0.41 +6.5 15
1954-10-17 @ Tatran Presov L 1-347.8 1504 1449 21.47% 23.87% 54.66%-0.41 -6.5 18
1954-10-27 Sparta Prague W 2-158.5 1443 1618 39.68% 23.99% 36.33%-0.34 +5.7 13
1954-10-27 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 L 1-258.5 1618 1443 36.33% 23.99% 39.68%+0.34 -5.7 25
1954-10-30 Zilina W 3-143.8 1497 1433 65.32% 22.51% 12.18%+1.14 +3.9 20
1954-10-30 @ Kladno L 1-343.8 1433 1497 12.18% 22.51% 65.32%-1.14 -3.9 18
1954-10-30 Dukla Pardubice W 2-149.1 1564 1469 67.55% 21.97% 10.47%+1.33 +2.0 22
1954-10-30 @ UDA Praha L 1-249.1 1469 1564 10.47% 21.97% 67.55%-1.33 -2.0 14
1954-10-30 Slavia Prague W 3-035.3 1456 1420 63.14% 22.93% 13.93%+0.97 +7.4 17
1954-10-30 @ Tatran Presov L 0-335.3 1420 1456 13.93% 22.93% 63.14%-0.97 -7.4 18
1954-10-31 Inter Dubravka Bratislava W 2-047.4 1499 1573 52.52% 23.98% 23.49%+0.29 +8.1 25
1954-10-31 @ Banik Ostrava L 0-247.4 1573 1499 23.49% 23.98% 52.52%-0.29 -8.1 25
1954-11-03 Slovan Bratislava W 5-147.6 1472 1556 51.40% 24.03% 24.58%+0.23 +13.3 14
1954-11-03 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc L 1-547.6 1556 1472 24.58% 24.03% 51.40%-0.23 -13.3 23
1954-11-07 Sparta Prague D 1-166.7 1507 1612 48.83% 24.09% 27.08%+0.09 -0.7 26
1954-11-07 @ Banik Ostrava D 1-166.7 1612 1507 27.08% 24.09% 48.83%-0.09 +0.8 26
1954-11-07 Bohemians Prague 1905 D 1-163.8 1566 1449 69.03% 21.56% 9.41%+1.46 -2.3 23
1954-11-07 @ UDA Praha D 1-163.8 1449 1566 9.41% 21.56% 69.03%-1.46 +2.3 14
1954-11-10 Sparta Prague W 1-052.9 1485 1613 45.98% 24.10% 29.92%-0.05 +5.2 16
1954-11-10 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc L 0-152.9 1613 1485 29.92% 24.10% 45.98%+0.05 -5.2 26
1954-11-13 Banik Ostrava W 1-046.3 1563 1507 64.79% 22.62% 12.60%+1.09 +2.5 25
1954-11-13 @ UDA Praha L 0-146.3 1507 1563 12.60% 22.62% 64.79%-1.09 -2.5 26
1954-11-14 Slovan Bratislava L 0-449.9 1451 1542 50.52% 24.05% 25.43%+0.18 -28.4 14
1954-11-14 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 W 4-049.9 1542 1451 25.43% 24.05% 50.52%-0.18 +28.4 25
1954-11-14 Dukla Pardubice D 0-057.2 1490 1467 62.09% 23.10% 14.81%+0.89 -2.0 17
1954-11-14 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc D 0-057.2 1467 1490 14.81% 23.10% 62.09%-0.89 +2.0 15
1954-11-14 Tatran Presov W 3-040.0 1608 1463 70.82% 20.98% 8.20%+1.64 +4.4 28
1954-11-14 @ Sparta Prague L 0-340.0 1463 1608 8.20% 20.98% 70.82%-1.64 -4.4 17
1954-11-14 Slavia Prague D 1-157.4 1430 1412 61.55% 23.18% 15.26%+0.85 -1.7 19
1954-11-14 @ Zilina D 1-157.4 1412 1430 15.26% 23.18% 61.55%-0.85 +1.7 19
1954-11-18 Kladno W 2-150.9 1565 1501 65.33% 22.50% 12.17%+1.14 +2.3 27
1954-11-18 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava L 1-250.9 1501 1565 12.17% 22.50% 65.33%-1.14 -2.2 20
1954-11-21 Kridla vlasti Olomouc W 2-041.8 1504 1489 61.41% 23.20% 15.39%+0.84 +5.6 28
1954-11-21 @ Banik Ostrava L 0-241.8 1489 1504 15.39% 23.20% 61.41%-0.84 -5.6 17
1954-11-21 Bohemians Prague 1905 W 6-137.9 1469 1423 63.96% 22.78% 13.26%+1.03 +9.5 17
1954-11-21 @ Dukla Pardubice L 1-637.9 1423 1469 13.26% 22.78% 63.96%-1.03 -9.5 14
1954-11-21 UDA Praha W 3-045.0 1499 1566 53.28% 23.95% 22.77%+0.33 +11.5 22
1954-11-21 @ Kladno L 0-345.0 1566 1499 22.77% 23.95% 53.28%-0.33 -11.5 25
1954-11-21 Inter Dubravka Bratislava W 4-150.2 1414 1567 42.68% 24.07% 33.26%-0.20 +13.1 21
1954-11-21 @ Slavia Prague L 1-450.2 1567 1414 33.26% 24.07% 42.68%+0.20 -13.0 27
1954-11-21 Sparta Prague L 1-268.0 1571 1612 55.98% 23.78% 20.24%+0.49 -8.2 25
1954-11-21 @ Slovan Bratislava W 2-168.0 1612 1571 20.24% 23.78% 55.98%-0.49 +8.2 30
1954-11-21 Zilina D 2-264.2 1459 1428 62.73% 23.00% 14.28%+0.94 -1.3 18
1954-11-21 @ Tatran Presov D 2-264.2 1428 1459 14.28% 23.00% 62.73%-0.94 +1.3 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1954-07-02 10.68% Slavia Prague 1445 3 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1535 2
2 1954-04-11 11.40% Bohemians Prague 1905 1453 2 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1530 0
3 1954-04-04 11.59% Banik Ostrava 1439 2 @ Dukla Pardubice 1513 1
4 1954-05-15 11.76% Banik Ostrava 1474 2 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1545 1
5 1954-04-25 12.68% Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1510 2 @ Sparta Prague 1566 0
6 1954-08-26 13.67% Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1528 3 @ UDA Praha 1568 0
7 1954-10-10 14.17% Banik Ostrava 1480 3 @ Kladno 1512 2
8 1954-03-21 15.07% Slavia Prague 1501 1 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc 1520 0
9 1954-05-15 15.18% Tatran Presov 1445 2 @ Slavia Prague 1463 0
10 1954-09-26 16.61% Tatran Presov 1448 3 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 1448 2
11 1954-03-14 16.90% Kridla vlasti Olomouc 1511 1 @ Kladno 1507 0
12 1954-03-21 16.94% Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1499 3 @ Tatran Presov 1494 1
13 1954-04-03 17.01% Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1512 2 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc 1507 0
14 1954-05-01 17.34% Bohemians Prague 1905 1471 3 @ Tatran Presov 1462 2
15 1954-04-03 17.57% Zilina 1480 3 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 1467 1
16 1954-04-22 17.97% Sparta Prague 1551 3 @ UDA Praha 1534 1
17 1954-03-20 18.20% Kladno 1498 2 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 1478 1
18 1954-05-12 18.86% Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1536 1 @ Dukla Pardubice 1509 0
19 1954-04-11 19.03% Slovan Bratislava 1533 3 @ Slavia Prague 1504 0
20 1954-09-05 19.36% Slovan Bratislava 1551 4 @ Kladno 1518 3
21 1954-11-21 20.24% Sparta Prague 1612 2 @ Slovan Bratislava 1571 1
22 1954-04-11 20.26% Sparta Prague 1536 3 @ Zilina 1494 0
23 1954-09-19 22.16% UDA Praha 1544 2 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc 1483 0
24 1954-08-14 22.34% Sparta Prague 1557 6 @ Dukla Pardubice 1494 1
25 1954-08-22 22.97% UDA Praha 1531 5 @ Zilina 1462 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-08-22 36.58 UDA Praha 5 1531 22.97% @ Zilina 0 1462 53.07% 23.96%
2 1954-09-03 31.42 Sparta Prague 5 1596 31.21% @ Slavia Prague 0 1458 44.70% 24.10%
3 1954-08-14 30.63 Sparta Prague 6 1557 22.34% @ Dukla Pardubice 1 1494 53.73% 23.93%
4 1954-11-14 28.37 Slovan Bratislava 4 1542 25.43% @ Bohemians Prague 1905 0 1451 50.52% 24.05%
5 1954-04-11 27.17 @ Banik Ostrava 9 1448 57.74% Tatran Presov 0 1473 18.62% 23.64%
6 1954-08-26 26.93 Inter Dubravka Bratislava 3 1528 13.67% @ UDA Praha 0 1568 63.46% 22.87%
7 1954-04-11 24.41 Slovan Bratislava 3 1533 19.03% @ Slavia Prague 0 1504 57.29% 23.68%
8 1954-04-11 23.86 Sparta Prague 3 1536 20.26% @ Zilina 0 1494 55.95% 23.79%
9 1954-04-11 19.35 Bohemians Prague 1905 2 1453 11.40% @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava 0 1530 66.32% 22.28%
10 1954-04-25 18.89 Inter Dubravka Bratislava 2 1510 12.68% @ Sparta Prague 0 1566 64.68% 22.64%
11 1954-05-15 18.04 Tatran Presov 2 1445 15.18% @ Slavia Prague 0 1463 61.65% 23.17%
12 1954-04-03 17.44 Inter Dubravka Bratislava 2 1512 17.01% @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc 0 1507 59.55% 23.45%
13 1954-09-19 15.87 UDA Praha 2 1544 22.16% @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc 0 1483 53.92% 23.92%
14 1954-03-21 15.12 Inter Dubravka Bratislava 3 1499 16.94% @ Tatran Presov 1 1494 59.62% 23.44%
15 1954-04-03 14.95 Zilina 3 1480 17.57% @ Bohemians Prague 1905 1 1467 58.91% 23.52%
16 1954-08-15 14.92 Slovan Bratislava 2 1549 25.57% @ Tatran Presov 0 1457 50.37% 24.06%
17 1954-04-22 14.84 Sparta Prague 3 1551 17.97% @ UDA Praha 1 1534 58.46% 23.57%
18 1954-11-03 13.27 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc 5 1472 51.40% Slovan Bratislava 1 1556 24.58% 24.03%
19 1954-11-21 13.05 @ Slavia Prague 4 1414 42.68% Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1 1567 33.26% 24.07%
20 1954-08-22 12.97 @ Dukla Pardubice 3 1463 49.39% Slovan Bratislava 0 1564 26.53% 24.08%
21 1954-05-12 11.48 @ Kladno 5 1520 63.90% Slavia Prague 0 1474 13.31% 22.79%
22 1954-11-21 11.45 @ Kladno 3 1499 53.28% UDA Praha 0 1566 22.77% 23.95%
23 1954-05-09 11.43 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc 4 1478 59.97% Bohemians Prague 1905 0 1479 16.64% 23.40%
24 1954-09-26 11.31 @ Zilina 3 1427 53.63% Banik Ostrava 0 1491 22.44% 23.93%
25 1954-03-14 10.72 @ Slavia Prague 3 1490 55.09% UDA Praha 0 1540 21.06% 23.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-09-05 73.0 Slovan Bratislava 4 1551 19.36% @ Kladno 3 1518 56.93% 23.71%
2 1954-09-11 70.4 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1559 65.21% Banik Ostrava 2 1496 12.26% 22.53%
3 1954-07-02 69.3 Slavia Prague 3 1445 10.68% @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava 2 1535 67.27% 22.05%
4 1954-10-10 68.7 Banik Ostrava 3 1480 14.17% @ Kladno 2 1512 62.85% 22.98%
5 1954-08-14 68.3 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc 2 1488 56.78% Kladno 2 1521 19.50% 23.72%
6 1954-11-21 68.0 Sparta Prague 2 1612 20.24% @ Slovan Bratislava 1 1571 55.98% 23.78%
7 1954-04-25 67.6 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 2 1472 55.38% UDA Praha 2 1519 20.80% 23.83%
8 1954-10-02 67.3 @ Dukla Pardubice 2 1470 56.00% Kladno 2 1511 20.21% 23.78%
9 1954-11-07 66.7 @ Banik Ostrava 1 1507 48.83% Sparta Prague 1 1612 27.08% 24.09%
10 1954-08-15 66.5 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 2 1467 57.63% Banik Ostrava 2 1493 18.72% 23.65%
11 1954-09-15 65.7 @ Sparta Prague 1 1627 74.13% Zilina 1 1425 6.19% 19.68%
12 1954-09-19 65.6 Inter Dubravka Bratislava 3 1561 27.22% @ Bohemians Prague 1905 2 1455 48.69% 24.09%
13 1954-05-01 65.5 Bohemians Prague 1905 3 1471 17.34% @ Tatran Presov 2 1462 59.17% 23.49%
14 1954-05-12 65.5 @ Slovan Bratislava 1 1554 62.97% UDA Praha 1 1520 14.08% 22.96%
15 1954-09-25 65.5 @ Slavia Prague 2 1423 50.96% Kladno 2 1511 25.00% 24.04%
16 1954-05-15 65.3 Banik Ostrava 2 1474 11.76% @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1 1545 65.85% 22.39%
17 1954-08-28 65.1 @ Bohemians Prague 1905 2 1462 60.44% Slavia Prague 2 1457 16.22% 23.34%
18 1954-09-26 64.5 Tatran Presov 3 1448 16.61% @ Bohemians Prague 1905 2 1448 60.00% 23.39%
19 1954-03-28 64.2 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava 1 1514 58.78% UDA Praha 1 1527 17.68% 23.53%
20 1954-11-21 64.2 @ Tatran Presov 2 1459 62.73% Zilina 2 1428 14.28% 23.00%
21 1954-03-13 64.0 @ Sparta Prague 1 1526 61.56% Dukla Pardubice 1 1508 15.26% 23.18%
22 1954-03-28 63.8 @ Kladno 1 1506 58.18% Sparta Prague 1 1526 18.23% 23.59%
23 1954-11-07 63.8 @ UDA Praha 1 1566 69.03% Bohemians Prague 1905 1 1449 9.41% 21.56%
24 1954-04-22 63.6 Sparta Prague 3 1551 17.97% @ UDA Praha 1 1534 58.46% 23.57%
25 1954-05-16 63.5 @ Dukla Pardubice 1 1500 57.98% UDA Praha 1 1522 18.40% 23.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1954-10-30 35.3 @ Tatran Presov 3 1456 63.14% Slavia Prague 0 1420 13.93% 22.93%
2 1954-09-08 36.4 @ Inter Dubravka Bratislava 4 1555 69.50% Zilina 0 1431 9.09% 21.41%
3 1954-05-09 37.0 @ Kladno 4 1511 64.86% Tatran Presov 0 1453 12.54% 22.60%
4 1954-11-21 37.9 @ Dukla Pardubice 6 1469 63.96% Bohemians Prague 1905 1 1423 13.26% 22.78%
5 1954-10-17 38.0 @ Banik Ostrava 7 1489 64.90% Slavia Prague 1 1430 12.51% 22.60%
6 1954-05-09 38.2 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc 4 1478 59.97% Bohemians Prague 1905 0 1479 16.64% 23.40%
7 1954-10-16 38.3 @ Dukla Pardubice 2 1464 62.21% Zilina 0 1439 14.71% 23.08%
8 1954-05-12 38.5 @ Kladno 5 1520 63.90% Slavia Prague 0 1474 13.31% 22.79%
9 1954-04-11 39.3 @ Banik Ostrava 9 1448 57.74% Tatran Presov 0 1473 18.62% 23.64%
10 1954-04-24 39.3 @ Dukla Pardubice 3 1500 61.86% Slavia Prague 0 1479 15.00% 23.14%
11 1954-10-10 39.4 @ Kridla vlasti Olomouc 2 1470 61.36% Tatran Presov 0 1455 15.43% 23.21%
12 1954-09-26 39.5 @ Zilina 3 1427 53.63% Banik Ostrava 0 1491 22.44% 23.93%
13 1954-07-18 39.7 @ Zilina 2 1456 59.43% Tatran Presov 0 1463 17.11% 23.46%
14 1954-11-14 40.0 @ Sparta Prague 3 1608 70.82% Tatran Presov 0 1463 8.20% 20.98%
15 1954-08-22 40.7 @ Kladno 2 1522 64.75% Bohemians Prague 1905 0 1466 12.63% 22.63%
16 1954-04-25 41.2 @ Tatran Presov 2 1455 57.13% Kridla vlasti Olomouc 0 1485 19.18% 23.69%
17 1954-03-27 41.3 @ Dukla Pardubice 2 1507 62.48% Tatran Presov 0 1479 14.48% 23.04%
18 1954-04-25 41.4 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1557 66.98% Zilina 0 1471 10.90% 22.12%
19 1954-11-21 41.8 @ Banik Ostrava 2 1504 61.41% Kridla vlasti Olomouc 0 1489 15.39% 23.20%
20 1954-03-21 41.9 @ Sparta Prague 1 1524 66.67% Banik Ostrava 0 1442 11.13% 22.20%
21 1954-08-29 42.3 @ Sparta Prague 4 1587 65.05% Kladno 0 1527 12.38% 22.56%
22 1954-05-12 42.4 @ Sparta Prague 2 1547 64.81% Kridla vlasti Olomouc 0 1490 12.58% 22.61%
23 1954-05-12 42.6 @ Banik Ostrava 1 1471 60.57% Zilina 0 1465 16.11% 23.32%
24 1954-03-14 42.8 @ Slovan Bratislava 2 1525 62.28% Tatran Presov 0 1500 14.65% 23.07%
25 1954-07-11 42.9 @ UDA Praha 3 1516 58.52% Kladno 0 1533 17.92% 23.56%