1946-47 1st Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

AB Gladsaxe

28 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

AB Gladsaxe

9.42 points above expected

28 points · 18.58 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aalborg

7.55 points below expected

9 points · 16.55 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	AB Gladsaxe	18	14	0	4	28	56	36	+20	18.6	+9.42
2	KB Copenhagen	18	11	4	3	26	51	30	+21	18.7	+7.32
3	Fremad Amager	18	10	2	6	22	36	30	+6	17.5	+4.46
4	Osterbros	18	9	3	6	21	47	44	+3	20.4	+0.65
5	Aarhus GF	18	8	4	6	20	48	43	+5	17.3	+2.66
6	B 1903	18	7	2	9	16	36	45	-9	17.6	-1.64
7	Frem	18	6	2	10	14	35	40	-5	18.1	-4.07
8	Koge BK	18	5	3	10	13	47	48	-1	17.5	-4.54
9	B.93	18	4	3	11	11	23	35	-12	17.7	-6.72
10	Aalborg	18	4	1	13	9	24	52	-28	16.6	-7.55

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Osterbros	1601	21	20.35	+0.65	61.5%	7	14	18	20	23	26	32
KB Copenhagen	1583	26	18.68	+7.32	98.2%	6	13	16	19	21	25	33
AB Gladsaxe	1576	28	18.58	+9.42	99.7%	3	12	16	19	21	25	32
Aarhus GF	1551	20	17.34	+2.66	80.1%	2	11	15	17	20	23	31
Fremad Amager	1549	22	17.54	+4.46	90.8%	1	11	15	18	20	24	31
B.93	1548	11	17.72	-6.72	4.6%	5	12	15	18	20	24	32
Frem	1545	14	18.07	-4.07	16.5%	3	12	16	18	21	24	32
Koge BK	1545	13	17.54	-4.54	14.3%	5	11	15	18	20	24	31
B 1903	1544	16	17.64	-1.64	38.0%	2	12	15	18	20	24	34
Aalborg	1517	9	16.55	-7.55	2.8%	4	10	14	17	19	23	30

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AG	AAL	AG	B1	B.9	FRE	FA	KC	KB	OST
AB Gladsaxe	—	3-0-0 4.27	1-0-1 3.01	2-0-0 2.91	2-0-0 2.96	2-0-0 2.89	0-0-2 2.98	1-0-1 2.81	2-0-0 2.95	1-0-0 1.67
Aalborg	0-0-3 4.30	—	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.70	0-0-1 0.93	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.54	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.31
Aarhus GF	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 3.03	—	0-0-2 2.81	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.74	2-0-0 2.79	0-2-0 2.65	1-0-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.40
B 1903	0-0-2 2.81	1-1-0 3.02	2-0-0 2.91	—	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.71	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.45
B.93	0-0-2 2.76	1-0-0 1.93	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.92	—	0-0-2 2.81	0-0-2 2.94	0-0-2 2.76	0-2-0 2.95	2-0-1 3.31
Frem	0-0-2 2.82	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.91	2-0-0 2.91	—	0-1-1 2.96	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.94	0-0-2 2.55
Fremad Amager	2-0-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.99	0-0-2 2.93	1-0-1 2.88	2-0-0 2.78	1-1-0 2.75	—	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.43
KB Copenhagen	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.18	0-2-0 3.07	2-0-0 3.01	2-0-0 2.96	1-1-0 3.00	0-1-1 3.04	—	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 2.64
Koge BK	0-0-2 2.76	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.86	0-2-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.86	0-0-2 2.74	—	0-1-1 2.45
Osterbros	0-0-1 1.19	1-0-1 3.42	1-1-0 3.32	1-1-0 3.27	1-0-2 5.27	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 3.08	1-1-0 3.27	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.44%	3.33%	1.67%	2.78%	2.78%	15.00%
1	4.44%	3.33%	5.56%	5.00%	3.89%	1.11%	23.33%
2	3.33%	5.56%	2.22%	4.44%	2.22%	2.78%	20.56%
3	1.67%	5.00%	4.44%	5.56%	2.22%	0.56%	19.44%
4	2.78%	3.89%	2.22%	2.22%	2.22%	0.56%	13.89%
5+	2.78%	1.11%	2.78%	0.56%	0.56%	—	7.78%
Total	15.00%	23.33%	20.56%	19.44%	13.89%	7.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.24
Mean allowed	2.24
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	4.48
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.163
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
1	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	11.11%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	27.78%
5+	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
Total	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

AB Gladsaxe — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.11
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.91
StdDev allowed	1.57
Mean total goals/game	5.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.236
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	22.22%
1	11.11%	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	—	11.11%	—	33.33%	—	—	44.44%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	11.11%	16.67%	44.44%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Aalborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	2.89
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	2.40
Mean total goals/game	4.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.333
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
1	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	33.33%
4	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	16.67%
5+	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	16.67%	11.11%	33.33%	22.22%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Aarhus GF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.67
Mean allowed	2.39
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.88
Mean total goals/game	5.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.029
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	22.22%
1	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	22.22%
2	11.11%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
3	—	11.11%	—	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	11.11%	16.67%	16.67%	22.22%	11.11%	100%

B 1903 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	1.98
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.159
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
1	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	—	11.11%	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	27.78%	16.67%	27.78%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

B.93 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	1.94
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.216
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	22.22%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
Total	5.56%	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Frem — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.94
Mean allowed	2.22
StdDev scored	2.04
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.307
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	27.78%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	27.78%	22.22%	27.78%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Fremad Amager — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.61
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.048
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	11.11%	5.56%	33.33%
3	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
4	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	44.44%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

KB Copenhagen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.83
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.533
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	11.11%	—	33.33%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
3	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	22.22%	—	33.33%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	22.22%	5.56%	16.67%	38.89%	5.56%	100%

Koge BK — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.61
Mean allowed	2.67
StdDev scored	2.40
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	5.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.218
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
1	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
2	—	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	27.78%
3	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	33.33%
5+	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	5.56%	22.22%	27.78%	16.67%	22.22%	5.56%	100%

Osterbros — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.61
Mean allowed	2.44
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	5.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.167
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	AB Gladsaxe	28	18.6	+9.42
2	KB Copenhagen	26	18.7	+7.32
3	Fremad Amager	22	17.5	+4.46
4	Aarhus GF	20	17.3	+2.66
5	Osterbros	21	20.4	+0.65

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aalborg	9	16.6	-7.55
2	B.93	11	17.7	-6.72
3	Koge BK	13	17.5	-4.54
4	Frem	14	18.1	-4.07
5	B 1903	16	17.6	-1.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AB Gladsaxe	4	Aug 21 – Oct 13	1 in 74
2	Aarhus GF	5	May 11 – Jun 1	1 in 70
3	KB Copenhagen	4	Nov 17 – Apr 25	1 in 31
4	Osterbros	3	Aug 29 – Oct 13	1 in 13
5	Fremad Amager	3	Sep 22 – Oct 27	1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B.93	7	Sep 22 – Apr 26	1 in 815
2	Frem	7	Apr 17 – May 18	1 in 242
3	Aalborg	4	Aug 18 – Oct 6	1 in 29
4	B 1903	4	Aug 19 – Sep 1	1 in 28
5	Koge BK	5	Apr 4 – Apr 27	1 in 26

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KB Copenhagen	13	Oct 13 – Jun 1	1 in 1,497
2	Aarhus GF	8	Apr 20 – Jun 1	1 in 154
3	AB Gladsaxe	4	Aug 21 – Oct 13	1 in 18
4	B.93	4	May 4 – May 23	1 in 14
5	B 1903	4	Sep 15 – Oct 27	1 in 10

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	B.93	10	Aug 22 – Apr 26	1 in 387
2	Frem	9	Apr 17 – May 25	1 in 164
3	Aarhus GF	6	Aug 18 – Oct 27	1 in 27
4	Aalborg	5	Aug 18 – Oct 20	1 in 20
5	Osterbros	5	Apr 23 – May 18	1 in 16

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
AB Gladsaxe	13.48%	13.20%	12.18%	10.77%	10.16%	9.77%	8.41%	8.63%	7.26%	6.14%
KB Copenhagen	14.32%	13.18%	12.01%	10.70%	10.61%	9.76%	9.05%	8.00%	6.73%	5.64%
Fremad Amager	7.74%	9.21%	9.83%	9.76%	10.28%	10.52%	10.84%	10.49%	10.64%	10.69%
Osterbros	23.99%	16.37%	13.63%	10.81%	9.25%	7.42%	6.48%	5.02%	4.10%	2.93%
Aarhus GF	6.71%	8.55%	9.24%	9.65%	10.00%	11.00%	10.96%	11.23%	11.54%	11.12%
B 1903	6.98%	8.30%	8.43%	10.40%	10.21%	10.54%	10.63%	11.21%	11.72%	11.58%
Frem	8.41%	9.70%	10.28%	10.39%	10.86%	10.58%	10.74%	10.21%	9.71%	9.12%
Koge BK	7.49%	7.99%	9.69%	9.64%	10.11%	10.06%	11.16%	10.95%	11.53%	11.38%
B.93	7.01%	8.45%	8.58%	9.58%	10.04%	11.07%	11.12%	11.36%	11.40%	11.39%
Aalborg	3.87%	5.05%	6.13%	8.30%	8.48%	9.28%	10.61%	12.90%	15.37%	20.01%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Osterbros	97.1%	2.9%
KB Copenhagen	94.4%	5.6%
AB Gladsaxe	93.9%	6.1%
Frem	90.9%	9.1%
Fremad Amager	89.3%	10.7%
Aarhus GF	88.9%	11.1%
Koge BK	88.6%	11.4%
B.93	88.6%	11.4%
B 1903	88.4%	11.6%
Aalborg	80.0%	20.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1946-08-17	Fremad Amager	L 2-4	1563	1544	59.4%	14.0%	26.6%	-2.5	0
1946-08-17	@ KB Copenhagen	W 4-2	1544	1563	26.6%	14.0%	59.4%	+2.5	3
1946-08-18	Aalborg	W 3-0	1560	1540	59.6%	14.0%	26.5%	+2.3	3
1946-08-18	@ B.93	L 0-3	1540	1560	26.5%	14.0%	59.6%	-2.3	0
1946-08-18	Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1602	1544	64.0%	13.3%	22.6%	+0.7	3
1946-08-18	@ Osterbros	L 1-2	1544	1602	22.6%	13.3%	64.0%	-0.7	0
1946-08-19	B 1903	W 5-0	1555	1552	57.4%	14.2%	28.4%	+4.0	3
1946-08-19	@ Frem	L 0-5	1552	1555	28.4%	14.2%	57.4%	-4.0	0
1946-08-21	AB Gladsaxe	L 2-4	1560	1553	57.9%	14.2%	27.9%	-2.5	0
1946-08-21	@ KB Copenhagen	W 4-2	1553	1560	27.9%	14.2%	57.9%	+2.5	3
1946-08-22	B.93	W 2-1	1603	1562	62.0%	13.7%	24.4%	+0.7	6
1946-08-22	@ Osterbros	L 1-2	1562	1603	24.4%	13.7%	62.0%	-0.7	3
1946-08-23	Koge BK	W 4-1	1547	1547	56.9%	14.3%	28.8%	+2.1	6
1946-08-23	@ Fremad Amager	L 1-4	1547	1547	28.8%	14.3%	56.9%	-2.1	0
1946-08-25	Frem	L 1-2	1537	1559	54.2%	14.5%	31.3%	-1.5	0
1946-08-25	@ Aalborg	W 2-1	1559	1537	31.3%	14.5%	54.2%	+1.5	6
1946-08-25	B.93	D 3-3	1543	1562	54.6%	14.4%	30.9%	-0.1	1
1946-08-25	@ Aarhus GF	D 3-3	1562	1543	30.9%	14.4%	54.6%	+0.1	4
1946-08-25	Osterbros	W 4-1	1555	1604	50.7%	14.6%	34.7%	+2.5	6
1946-08-25	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-4	1604	1555	34.7%	14.6%	50.7%	-2.5	6
1946-08-25	KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1548	1558	55.8%	14.4%	29.9%	-2.7	0
1946-08-25	@ B 1903	W 3-1	1558	1548	29.9%	14.4%	55.8%	+2.7	3
1946-08-28	Koge BK	D 3-3	1562	1545	59.1%	14.0%	26.9%	-0.1	5
1946-08-28	@ B.93	D 3-3	1545	1562	26.9%	14.0%	59.1%	+0.1	1
1946-08-29	Osterbros	L 1-4	1545	1601	49.6%	14.6%	35.7%	-3.4	0
1946-08-29	@ B 1903	W 4-1	1601	1545	35.7%	14.6%	49.6%	+3.4	9
1946-09-01	B 1903	W 4-2	1545	1542	57.4%	14.2%	28.4%	+1.3	4
1946-09-01	@ Koge BK	L 2-4	1542	1545	28.4%	14.2%	57.4%	-1.3	0
1946-09-15	B 1903	L 0-4	1549	1541	58.0%	14.2%	27.8%	-6.1	6
1946-09-15	@ Fremad Amager	W 4-0	1541	1549	27.8%	14.2%	58.0%	+6.1	3
1946-09-15	Koge BK	W 3-1	1561	1546	58.8%	14.1%	27.2%	+1.4	6
1946-09-15	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1546	1561	27.2%	14.1%	58.8%	-1.4	4
1946-09-22	AB Gladsaxe	L 2-3	1536	1558	54.2%	14.5%	31.4%	-1.4	0
1946-09-22	@ Aalborg	W 3-2	1558	1536	31.4%	14.5%	54.2%	+1.4	9
1946-09-22	Fremad Amager	L 0-1	1562	1543	59.4%	14.0%	26.6%	-1.7	5
1946-09-22	@ B.93	W 1-0	1543	1562	26.6%	14.0%	59.4%	+1.7	9
1946-09-22	Aarhus GF	W 7-3	1560	1543	59.2%	14.0%	26.8%	+2.0	9
1946-09-22	@ Frem	L 3-7	1543	1560	26.8%	14.0%	59.2%	-2.0	1
1946-09-22	KB Copenhagen	W 5-2	1605	1562	62.2%	13.6%	24.2%	+1.5	12
1946-09-22	@ Osterbros	L 2-5	1562	1605	24.2%	13.6%	62.2%	-1.5	6
1946-10-06	Aarhus GF	W 6-2	1547	1541	57.7%	14.2%	28.1%	+2.2	6
1946-10-06	@ B 1903	L 2-6	1541	1547	28.1%	14.2%	57.7%	-2.2	1
1946-10-06	Aalborg	W 3-2	1544	1534	58.2%	14.1%	27.6%	+0.8	12
1946-10-06	@ Fremad Amager	L 2-3	1534	1544	27.6%	14.1%	58.2%	-0.8	0
1946-10-13	KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1560	1560	56.9%	14.3%	28.8%	-2.7	5
1946-10-13	@ B.93	W 3-1	1560	1560	28.8%	14.3%	56.9%	+2.7	9
1946-10-13	Osterbros	L 1-2	1562	1606	51.3%	14.6%	34.1%	-1.4	9
1946-10-13	@ Frem	W 2-1	1606	1562	34.1%	14.6%	51.3%	+1.4	15
1946-10-13	AB Gladsaxe	L 3-4	1545	1559	55.2%	14.4%	30.4%	-1.4	4
1946-10-13	@ Koge BK	W 4-3	1559	1545	30.4%	14.4%	55.2%	+1.4	12
1946-10-20	B 1903	D 3-3	1534	1549	55.0%	14.4%	30.6%	-0.1	1
1946-10-20	@ Aalborg	D 3-3	1549	1534	30.6%	14.4%	55.0%	+0.1	7
1946-10-20	Koge BK	L 1-2	1539	1544	56.4%	14.3%	29.3%	-1.5	1
1946-10-20	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1544	1539	29.3%	14.3%	56.4%	+1.6	7
1946-10-27	Osterbros	W 2-1	1534	1608	47.1%	14.7%	38.2%	+1.1	4
1946-10-27	@ Aalborg	L 1-2	1608	1534	38.2%	14.7%	47.1%	-1.1	15
1946-10-27	KB Copenhagen	D 1-1	1537	1563	53.7%	14.5%	31.8%	-0.2	2
1946-10-27	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1563	1537	31.8%	14.5%	53.7%	+0.1	10
1946-10-27	B.93	W 1-0	1549	1557	56.0%	14.3%	29.7%	+0.9	10
1946-10-27	@ B 1903	L 0-1	1557	1549	29.7%	14.3%	56.0%	-0.9	5
1946-10-27	AB Gladsaxe	W 5-1	1545	1561	55.0%	14.4%	30.6%	+2.9	15
1946-10-27	@ Fremad Amager	L 1-5	1561	1545	30.6%	14.4%	55.0%	-2.9	12
1946-10-27	Frem	W 3-1	1545	1561	55.0%	14.4%	30.6%	+1.6	10
1946-10-27	@ Koge BK	L 1-3	1561	1545	30.6%	14.4%	55.0%	-1.6	9
1946-11-03	Osterbros	D 4-4	1547	1606	49.1%	14.7%	36.2%	-0.0	11
1946-11-03	@ Koge BK	D 4-4	1606	1547	36.2%	14.7%	49.1%	+0.0	16
1946-11-10	Fremad Amager	W 3-0	1537	1548	55.6%	14.4%	30.0%	+2.6	5
1946-11-10	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-3	1548	1537	30.0%	14.4%	55.6%	-2.6	15
1946-11-10	B 1903	W 7-4	1558	1550	58.0%	14.2%	27.9%	+1.6	15
1946-11-10	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 4-7	1550	1558	27.9%	14.2%	58.0%	-1.5	10
1946-11-10	B.93	W 3-1	1559	1556	57.4%	14.2%	28.4%	+1.5	12
1946-11-10	@ Frem	L 1-3	1556	1559	28.4%	14.2%	57.4%	-1.5	5
1946-11-10	Aalborg	W 11-0	1547	1535	58.5%	14.1%	27.4%	+8.1	14
1946-11-10	@ Koge BK	L 0-11	1535	1547	27.4%	14.1%	58.5%	-8.1	4
1946-11-17	Aarhus GF	W 3-2	1559	1540	59.5%	14.0%	26.5%	+0.8	18
1946-11-17	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 2-3	1540	1559	26.5%	14.0%	59.5%	-0.8	5
1946-11-17	Aalborg	W 5-0	1563	1527	61.5%	13.7%	24.8%	+3.5	13
1946-11-17	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-5	1527	1563	24.8%	13.7%	61.5%	-3.5	4
1946-11-24	Aarhus GF	L 2-3	1523	1539	55.0%	14.4%	30.6%	-1.4	4
1946-11-24	@ Aalborg	W 3-2	1539	1523	30.6%	14.4%	55.0%	+1.4	8
1946-11-24	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-2	1555	1560	56.3%	14.3%	29.4%	-3.1	5
1946-11-24	@ B.93	W 2-0	1560	1555	29.4%	14.3%	56.3%	+3.1	21
1946-11-24	Frem	D 1-1	1545	1561	55.0%	14.4%	30.6%	-0.2	16
1946-11-24	@ Fremad Amager	D 1-1	1561	1545	30.6%	14.4%	55.0%	+0.2	13
1947-04-03	B 1903	D 3-3	1607	1548	64.0%	13.3%	22.7%	-0.2	17
1947-04-03	@ Osterbros	D 3-3	1548	1607	22.7%	13.3%	64.0%	+0.2	11
1947-04-04	Fremad Amager	L 0-1	1563	1545	59.3%	14.0%	26.7%	-1.7	21
1947-04-04	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 1-0	1545	1563	26.7%	14.0%	59.3%	+1.7	19
1947-04-04	Koge BK	W 5-2	1561	1555	57.8%	14.2%	28.0%	+1.8	16
1947-04-04	@ Frem	L 2-5	1555	1561	28.0%	14.2%	57.8%	-1.8	14
1947-04-13	Fremad Amager	W 2-1	1522	1547	53.7%	14.5%	31.8%	+0.9	7
1947-04-13	@ Aalborg	L 1-2	1547	1522	31.8%	14.5%	53.7%	-0.9	19
1947-04-13	B 1903	L 0-2	1540	1549	56.0%	14.3%	29.7%	-3.1	8
1947-04-13	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-0	1549	1540	29.7%	14.3%	56.0%	+3.1	14
1947-04-13	Frem	L 1-4	1552	1563	55.6%	14.4%	30.0%	-3.8	5
1947-04-13	@ B.93	W 4-1	1563	1552	30.0%	14.4%	55.6%	+3.8	19
1947-04-13	Koge BK	W 4-3	1606	1553	63.4%	13.4%	23.1%	+0.7	20
1947-04-13	@ Osterbros	L 3-4	1553	1606	23.1%	13.4%	63.4%	-0.6	14
1947-04-15	KB Copenhagen	L 1-3	1562	1567	56.3%	14.3%	29.3%	-2.7	21
1947-04-15	@ AB Gladsaxe	W 3-1	1567	1562	29.3%	14.3%	56.3%	+2.7	16
1947-04-17	Frem	W 4-0	1607	1566	62.0%	13.7%	24.4%	+2.8	23
1947-04-17	@ Osterbros	L 0-4	1566	1607	24.4%	13.7%	62.0%	-2.8	19
1947-04-20	Aarhus GF	L 2-5	1546	1537	58.1%	14.1%	27.8%	-3.4	19
1947-04-20	@ Fremad Amager	W 5-2	1537	1546	27.8%	14.1%	58.1%	+3.4	11
1947-04-20	KB Copenhagen	L 1-4	1552	1569	54.8%	14.4%	30.8%	-3.7	14
1947-04-20	@ Koge BK	W 4-1	1569	1552	30.8%	14.4%	54.8%	+3.7	19
1947-04-20	Aalborg	L 0-1	1564	1523	62.0%	13.7%	24.3%	-1.8	19
1947-04-20	@ Frem	W 1-0	1523	1564	24.3%	13.7%	62.0%	+1.8	10
1947-04-23	Osterbros	W 5-2	1543	1610	48.1%	14.7%	37.2%	+2.3	22
1947-04-23	@ Fremad Amager	L 2-5	1610	1543	37.2%	14.7%	48.1%	-2.3	23
1947-04-24	Koge BK	W 3-1	1552	1549	57.4%	14.2%	28.4%	+1.5	17
1947-04-24	@ B 1903	L 1-3	1549	1552	28.4%	14.2%	57.4%	-1.5	14
1947-04-25	Frem	W 2-1	1573	1562	58.4%	14.1%	27.5%	+0.8	22
1947-04-25	@ KB Copenhagen	L 1-2	1562	1573	27.5%	14.1%	58.4%	-0.8	19
1947-04-26	B.93	W 2-0	1545	1548	56.6%	14.3%	29.1%	+1.7	25
1947-04-26	@ Fremad Amager	L 0-2	1548	1545	29.1%	14.3%	56.6%	-1.7	5
1947-04-27	Osterbros	D 4-4	1541	1607	48.1%	14.7%	37.2%	-0.0	12
1947-04-27	@ Aarhus GF	D 4-4	1607	1541	37.2%	14.7%	48.1%	+0.0	24
1947-04-27	Koge BK	W 4-3	1559	1547	58.5%	14.1%	27.4%	+0.8	24
1947-04-27	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 3-4	1547	1559	27.4%	14.1%	58.5%	-0.8	14
1947-04-27	Aalborg	W 2-0	1553	1524	60.6%	13.9%	25.6%	+1.5	20
1947-04-27	@ B 1903	L 0-2	1524	1553	25.6%	13.9%	60.6%	-1.5	10
1947-05-01	Frem	W 3-1	1560	1561	56.8%	14.3%	28.9%	+1.5	27
1947-05-01	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-3	1561	1560	28.9%	14.3%	56.8%	-1.5	19
1947-05-02	Aarhus GF	D 3-3	1574	1541	61.1%	13.8%	25.1%	-0.2	23
1947-05-02	@ KB Copenhagen	D 3-3	1541	1574	25.1%	13.8%	61.1%	+0.2	13
1947-05-04	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-4	1555	1561	56.2%	14.3%	29.5%	-5.9	20
1947-05-04	@ B 1903	W 4-0	1561	1555	29.5%	14.3%	56.2%	+5.9	30
1947-05-04	Fremad Amager	W 1-0	1546	1547	57.0%	14.3%	28.8%	+0.9	17
1947-05-04	@ Koge BK	L 0-1	1547	1546	28.8%	14.3%	57.0%	-0.9	25
1947-05-04	B.93	L 0-2	1608	1546	64.4%	13.3%	22.4%	-3.5	24
1947-05-04	@ Osterbros	W 2-0	1546	1608	22.4%	13.3%	64.4%	+3.5	8
1947-05-08	Fremad Amager	L 0-1	1560	1546	58.7%	14.1%	27.2%	-1.7	19
1947-05-08	@ Frem	W 1-0	1546	1560	27.2%	14.1%	58.7%	+1.7	28
1947-05-11	KB Copenhagen	L 1-4	1523	1574	50.3%	14.6%	35.1%	-3.4	10
1947-05-11	@ Aalborg	W 4-1	1574	1523	35.1%	14.6%	50.3%	+3.4	26
1947-05-11	Fremad Amager	L 0-2	1549	1547	57.2%	14.2%	28.6%	-3.1	20
1947-05-11	@ B 1903	W 2-0	1547	1549	28.6%	14.2%	57.2%	+3.1	31
1947-05-11	Aarhus GF	L 3-4	1547	1541	57.8%	14.2%	28.0%	-1.5	17
1947-05-11	@ Koge BK	W 4-3	1541	1547	28.0%	14.2%	57.8%	+1.5	16
1947-05-14	B 1903	W 4-0	1577	1546	60.9%	13.8%	25.3%	+2.9	29
1947-05-14	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-4	1546	1577	25.3%	13.8%	60.9%	-2.9	20
1947-05-15	Frem	W 4-1	1542	1558	55.0%	14.4%	30.6%	+2.2	19
1947-05-15	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-4	1558	1542	30.6%	14.4%	55.0%	-2.2	19
1947-05-15	Aalborg	W 2-1	1567	1519	62.8%	13.5%	23.7%	+0.7	33
1947-05-15	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-2	1519	1567	23.7%	13.5%	62.8%	-0.7	10
1947-05-15	Osterbros	W 4-0	1550	1604	49.9%	14.6%	35.5%	+3.9	11
1947-05-15	@ B.93	L 0-4	1604	1550	35.5%	14.6%	49.9%	-3.9	24
1947-05-18	Koge BK	W 1-0	1519	1546	53.5%	14.5%	32.0%	+1.0	13
1947-05-18	@ Aalborg	L 0-1	1546	1519	32.0%	14.5%	53.5%	-1.0	17
1947-05-18	Frem	W 3-1	1543	1556	55.4%	14.4%	30.2%	+1.5	23
1947-05-18	@ B 1903	L 1-3	1556	1543	30.2%	14.4%	55.4%	-1.6	19
1947-05-18	Osterbros	W 3-2	1580	1600	54.4%	14.4%	31.1%	+0.9	32
1947-05-18	@ KB Copenhagen	L 2-3	1600	1580	31.1%	14.4%	54.4%	-0.9	24
1947-05-20	AB Gladsaxe	W 5-0	1544	1568	54.0%	14.5%	31.5%	+4.3	22
1947-05-20	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-5	1568	1544	31.5%	14.5%	54.0%	-4.4	33
1947-05-20	B.93	D 1-1	1545	1554	55.9%	14.3%	29.8%	-0.2	18
1947-05-20	@ Koge BK	D 1-1	1554	1545	29.8%	14.3%	55.9%	+0.2	12
1947-05-21	KB Copenhagen	D 2-2	1554	1581	53.5%	14.5%	32.0%	-0.1	20
1947-05-21	@ Frem	D 2-2	1581	1554	32.0%	14.5%	53.5%	+0.1	33
1947-05-22	AB Gladsaxe	L 2-3	1520	1563	51.3%	14.6%	34.1%	-1.4	13
1947-05-22	@ Aalborg	W 3-2	1563	1520	34.1%	14.6%	51.3%	+1.4	36
1947-05-23	B 1903	W 2-1	1554	1544	58.2%	14.1%	27.7%	+0.8	15
1947-05-23	@ B.93	L 1-2	1544	1554	27.7%	14.1%	58.2%	-0.8	23
1947-05-25	AB Gladsaxe	L 0-6	1554	1565	55.6%	14.4%	30.0%	-8.5	20
1947-05-25	@ Frem	W 6-0	1565	1554	30.0%	14.4%	55.6%	+8.5	39
1947-05-25	Aalborg	W 3-2	1599	1518	66.5%	12.9%	20.6%	+0.6	27
1947-05-25	@ Osterbros	L 2-3	1518	1599	20.6%	12.9%	66.5%	-0.6	13
1947-05-26	Aarhus GF	L 0-1	1555	1549	57.7%	14.2%	28.1%	-1.7	15
1947-05-26	@ B.93	W 1-0	1549	1555	28.1%	14.2%	57.7%	+1.7	25
1947-05-26	KB Copenhagen	D 2-2	1551	1581	53.0%	14.5%	32.4%	-0.1	32
1947-05-26	@ Fremad Amager	D 2-2	1581	1551	32.4%	14.5%	53.0%	+0.1	34
1947-06-01	Aalborg	W 3-2	1551	1518	61.0%	13.8%	25.2%	+0.7	28
1947-06-01	@ Aarhus GF	L 2-3	1518	1551	25.2%	13.8%	61.0%	-0.7	13
1947-06-01	B.93	W 3-0	1581	1553	60.5%	13.9%	25.6%	+2.2	37
1947-06-01	@ KB Copenhagen	L 0-3	1553	1581	25.6%	13.9%	60.5%	-2.2	15
1947-06-17	B.93	W 5-1	1573	1551	59.8%	14.0%	26.2%	+2.5	42
1947-06-17	@ AB Gladsaxe	L 1-5	1551	1573	26.2%	14.0%	59.8%	-2.5	15
1947-06-17	Fremad Amager	W 4-2	1600	1550	63.0%	13.5%	23.5%	+1.1	30
1947-06-17	@ Osterbros	L 2-4	1550	1600	23.5%	13.5%	63.0%	-1.1	32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1947-05-04	22.36%	B.93	1546	2	@ Osterbros	1608	0
2	1947-04-20	24.31%	Aalborg	1523	1	@ Frem	1564	0
3	1946-09-22	26.60%	Fremad Amager	1543	1	@ B.93	1562	0
4	1946-08-17	26.63%	Fremad Amager	1544	4	@ KB Copenhagen	1563	2
5	1947-04-04	26.72%	Fremad Amager	1545	1	@ AB Gladsaxe	1563	0
6	1947-05-08	27.18%	Fremad Amager	1546	1	@ Frem	1560	0
7	1947-04-20	27.75%	Aarhus GF	1537	5	@ Fremad Amager	1546	2
8	1946-09-15	27.83%	B 1903	1541	4	@ Fremad Amager	1549	0
9	1946-08-21	27.89%	AB Gladsaxe	1553	4	@ KB Copenhagen	1560	2
10	1947-05-11	27.99%	Aarhus GF	1541	4	@ Koge BK	1547	3
11	1947-05-26	28.07%	Aarhus GF	1549	1	@ B.93	1555	0
12	1947-05-11	28.58%	Fremad Amager	1547	2	@ B 1903	1549	0
13	1946-10-13	28.79%	KB Copenhagen	1560	3	@ B.93	1560	1
14	1946-10-20	29.30%	Koge BK	1544	2	@ Aarhus GF	1539	1
15	1947-04-15	29.35%	KB Copenhagen	1567	3	@ AB Gladsaxe	1562	1
16	1946-11-24	29.36%	AB Gladsaxe	1560	2	@ B.93	1555	0
17	1947-05-04	29.48%	AB Gladsaxe	1561	4	@ B 1903	1555	0
18	1947-04-13	29.70%	B 1903	1549	2	@ Aarhus GF	1540	0
19	1946-08-25	29.89%	KB Copenhagen	1558	3	@ B 1903	1548	1
20	1947-05-25	29.99%	AB Gladsaxe	1565	6	@ Frem	1554	0
21	1947-04-13	30.02%	Frem	1563	4	@ B.93	1552	1
22	1946-10-13	30.42%	AB Gladsaxe	1559	4	@ Koge BK	1545	3
23	1946-11-24	30.61%	Aarhus GF	1539	3	@ Aalborg	1523	2
24	1947-04-20	30.76%	KB Copenhagen	1569	4	@ Koge BK	1552	1
25	1946-08-25	31.29%	Frem	1559	2	@ Aalborg	1537	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1947-05-25	8.54	AB Gladsaxe	6	1565	29.99%	@ Frem	0	1554	55.64%
2	1946-11-10	8.09	@ Koge BK	11	1547	58.52%	Aalborg	0	1535	27.37%
3	1946-09-15	6.06	B 1903	4	1541	27.83%	@ Fremad Amager	0	1549	58.01%
4	1947-05-04	5.88	AB Gladsaxe	4	1561	29.48%	@ B 1903	0	1555	56.19%
5	1947-05-20	4.35	@ Aarhus GF	5	1544	54.01%	AB Gladsaxe	0	1568	31.51%
6	1946-08-19	3.95	@ Frem	5	1555	57.37%	B 1903	0	1552	28.41%
7	1947-05-15	3.93	@ B.93	4	1550	49.87%	Osterbros	0	1604	35.49%
8	1947-04-13	3.76	Frem	4	1563	30.02%	@ B.93	1	1552	55.61%
9	1947-04-20	3.71	KB Copenhagen	4	1569	30.76%	@ Koge BK	1	1552	54.81%
10	1947-05-04	3.51	B.93	2	1546	22.36%	@ Osterbros	0	1608	64.36%
11	1946-11-17	3.47	@ KB Copenhagen	5	1563	61.52%	Aalborg	0	1527	24.75%
12	1947-05-11	3.43	KB Copenhagen	4	1574	35.06%	@ Aalborg	1	1523	50.30%
13	1946-08-29	3.40	Osterbros	4	1601	35.70%	@ B 1903	1	1545	49.65%
14	1947-04-20	3.39	Aarhus GF	5	1537	27.75%	@ Fremad Amager	2	1546	58.10%
15	1947-05-11	3.15	Fremad Amager	2	1547	28.58%	@ B 1903	0	1549	57.18%
16	1946-11-24	3.11	AB Gladsaxe	2	1560	29.36%	@ B.93	0	1555	56.33%
17	1947-04-13	3.09	B 1903	2	1549	29.70%	@ Aarhus GF	0	1540	55.95%
18	1947-05-14	2.87	@ KB Copenhagen	4	1577	60.90%	B 1903	0	1546	25.28%
19	1946-10-27	2.86	@ Fremad Amager	5	1545	55.00%	AB Gladsaxe	1	1561	30.58%
20	1947-04-17	2.77	@ Osterbros	4	1607	61.96%	Frem	0	1566	24.37%
21	1946-10-13	2.72	KB Copenhagen	3	1560	28.79%	@ B.93	1	1560	56.94%
22	1947-04-15	2.69	KB Copenhagen	3	1567	29.35%	@ AB Gladsaxe	1	1562	56.34%
23	1946-08-25	2.67	KB Copenhagen	3	1558	29.89%	@ B 1903	1	1548	55.75%
24	1946-11-10	2.58	@ Aarhus GF	3	1537	55.62%	Fremad Amager	0	1548	30.01%
25	1946-08-17	2.53	Fremad Amager	4	1544	26.63%	@ KB Copenhagen	2	1563	59.36%