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1958 1st Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Vejle BK

30 points · 1st Title

Relegated

KFUM

11 pts

AIA Tranbjerg · 14 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Odense

5.76 points above expected

28 points · 22.24 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KFUM

7.97 points below expected

11 points · 18.97 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vejle BK Champion 22 14 2 6 30 66 32 +34 27.09 +2.91
2 Frem 22 13 3 6 29 59 44 +15 24.23 +4.77
3 Odense 22 12 4 6 28 58 42 +16 22.24 +5.76
4 B 1909 22 13 2 7 28 49 38 +11 23.34 +4.66
5 Esbjerg 22 11 4 7 26 54 40 +14 22.46 +3.54
6 Aarhus GF 22 9 7 6 25 36 28 +8 24.75 +0.25
7 KB Copenhagen 22 10 4 8 24 48 48 0 22.74 +1.26
8 AB Gladsaxe 22 6 5 11 17 35 46 -11 20.92 -3.92
9 Koge BK 22 6 5 11 17 34 49 -15 18.19 -1.19
10 Skovshoved 22 6 3 13 15 30 51 -21 21.13 -6.13
11 AIA Tranbjerg Relegated 22 5 4 13 14 36 59 -23 17.94 -3.94
12 KFUM Relegated 22 4 3 15 11 32 60 -28 18.97 -7.97

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Odense 28 22.24 +5.76
2 Frem 29 24.23 +4.77
3 B 1909 28 23.34 +4.66
4 Esbjerg 26 22.46 +3.54
5 Vejle BK 30 27.09 +2.91

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KFUM 11 18.97 -7.97
2 Skovshoved 15 21.13 -6.13
3 AIA Tranbjerg 14 17.94 -3.94
4 AB Gladsaxe 17 20.92 -3.92
5 Koge BK 17 18.19 -1.19

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odense 6 Jun 15 – Sep 21 1 in 74
2 Vejle BK 4 Apr 20 – May 28 1 in 23
3 KB Copenhagen 3 Apr 13 – May 2 1 in 18
4 Esbjerg 3 Apr 13 – Apr 27 1 in 16
5 AB Gladsaxe 3 Sep 21 – Oct 5 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KFUM 6 Mar 29 – Apr 27 1 in 155
2 KB Copenhagen 5 Sep 27 – Nov 16 1 in 137
3 AIA Tranbjerg 6 Apr 13 – May 28 1 in 82
4 Skovshoved 5 Aug 24 – Oct 5 1 in 49
5 Esbjerg 4 Aug 24 – Sep 28 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Odense 8 Jun 5 – Sep 21 1 in 30
2 Esbjerg 7 May 4 – Aug 17 1 in 23
3 B 1909 5 Jun 1 – Aug 24 1 in 18
4 KB Copenhagen 5 Mar 30 – May 2 1 in 16
5 AB Gladsaxe 4 May 22 – Jun 7 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarhus GF 8 May 4 – Aug 24 1 in 148
2 AIA Tranbjerg 12 Apr 7 – Aug 24 1 in 90
3 Esbjerg 6 Aug 10 – Sep 28 1 in 42
4 Koge BK 8 Apr 27 – Aug 17 1 in 32
5 KB Copenhagen 6 Sep 27 – Nov 23 1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vejle BK 1619 30 -28 4 6.8 -2.8
Frem 1582 29 -10 6 5.5 +0.5
B 1909 1530 28 -5 8 5.8 +2.2
Odense 1584 28 +29 7 5.7 +1.3
Esbjerg 1584 26 +113 9 4.9 +4.1
Aarhus GF 1571 25 -4 5 5.7 -0.7
KB Copenhagen 1479 24 -84 1 5.0 -4.0
Koge BK 1420 17 +26 5 3.6 +1.4
AB Gladsaxe 1464 17 +4 3 4.1 -1.1
Skovshoved 1403 15 -12 3 4.3 -1.3
AIA Tranbjerg 1395 14 +21 6 4.1 +1.9
KFUM 1395 11 -48 3 4.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AG AT AG B1 ESB FRE KC KFU KB ODE SKO VB
AB Gladsaxe —
1-1-0
3.24
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.11
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-2
3.17
0-0-2
2.36
2-0-0
2.75
0-0-2
2.34
AIA Tranbjerg
0-1-1
2.39
—
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.11
1-1-0
2.40
2-0-0
2.36
0-0-2
2.98
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
1.34
Aarhus GF
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.36
—
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.06
0-0-2
2.90
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
3.54
0-2-0
3.73
0-0-2
3.23
1-1-0
3.23
0-1-1
2.16
B 1909
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.45
0-1-1
2.78
—
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.55
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-0
2.71
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
2.48
Esbjerg
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.38
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-1
2.54
—
2-0-0
2.15
0-0-2
2.90
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
3.10
2-0-0
2.19
Frem
1-1-0
3.07
2-0-0
3.52
2-0-0
2.74
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-2
3.49
—
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
3.56
1-1-0
3.72
0-1-1
3.07
2-0-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.58
KB Copenhagen
0-1-1
3.52
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.57
—
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
2.51
KFUM
0-1-1
2.63
0-0-2
3.27
0-1-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.93
—
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.11
1-0-1
2.83
0-1-1
1.72
Koge BK
2-0-0
2.46
2-0-0
2.65
0-2-0
1.91
0-0-2
2.29
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
2.86
—
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.02
Odense
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
2.40
0-0-2
2.92
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
3.22
2-0-0
3.52
1-1-0
3.01
—
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.18
Skovshoved
0-0-2
2.88
2-0-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.64
0-2-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.87
—
0-0-2
2.27
Vejle BK
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
4.31
1-1-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
3.45
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.45
2-0-0
3.36
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +4.8
Allowed 0.66 -5.7
Differential 0.94 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%4.55%3.41%3.79%0.38%2.27%15.15%
14.55%9.85%5.68%5.30%3.79%1.89%31.06%
23.41%5.68%3.79%3.79%1.89%2.27%20.83%
33.79%5.30%3.79%1.52%1.14%0.76%16.29%
40.38%3.79%1.89%1.14%1.52%0.38%9.09%
5+2.27%1.89%2.27%0.76%0.38%—7.58%
Total15.15%31.06%20.83%16.29%9.09%7.58%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 2.03 +0.00
SD 1.65 1.65 2.50
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
14.55%18.18%9.09%13.64%——45.45%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%——4.55%—13.64%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.09 -0.50
SD 1.18 1.54 1.97
CV 0.74 0.74 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%13.64%40.91%
24.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%36.36%13.64%13.64%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.68 -1.05
SD 1.40 1.99 2.65
CV 0.85 0.74 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——13.64%——18.18%
14.55%22.73%13.64%———40.91%
2—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%40.91%22.73%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.27 +0.36
SD 1.56 0.98 2.22
CV 0.95 0.77 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
1—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
29.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
5+—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
Total13.64%45.45%18.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.73 +0.50
SD 1.69 1.49 2.52
CV 0.76 0.86 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
14.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
5+9.09%—4.55%———13.64%
Total18.18%27.27%31.82%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.82 +0.64
SD 1.87 1.59 2.87
CV 0.76 0.88 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%4.55%—22.73%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———13.64%——13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
Total18.18%22.73%13.64%36.36%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 2.00 +0.68
SD 1.91 1.41 2.57
CV 0.71 0.71 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———9.09%——9.09%
1—9.09%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
34.55%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%45.45%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%36.36%13.64%27.27%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 2.18 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.76 2.18
CV 0.50 0.81 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%9.09%9.09%—13.64%4.55%40.91%
2———4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%
34.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
44.55%———4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%18.18%18.18%9.09%22.73%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.73 -1.27
SD 1.26 1.91 2.37
CV 0.87 0.70 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
19.09%13.64%—9.09%9.09%—40.91%
2——9.09%4.55%—9.09%22.73%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%36.36%18.18%13.64%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.23 -0.68
SD 1.37 1.72 2.25
CV 0.89 0.77 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
29.09%13.64%9.09%9.09%—4.55%45.45%
39.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
4——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total18.18%22.73%36.36%13.64%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.91 +0.73
SD 1.47 1.66 2.05
CV 0.56 0.87 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%———4.55%18.18%
113.64%9.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%50.00%
2——4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%13.64%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.32 -0.95
SD 1.14 1.94 2.32
CV 0.83 0.84 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
19.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
2—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
Total27.27%27.27%27.27%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 1.45 +1.55
SD 2.54 1.26 2.72
CV 0.85 0.87 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vejle BK 1619 30 27.09 +2.91 77.0% 17 19 24 27 29 34 37
Esbjerg 1584 26 22.46 +3.54 82.0% 12 15 20 22 24 30 37
Odense 1584 28 22.24 +5.76 95.0% 13 17 20 22 25 28 32
Frem 1582 29 24.23 +4.77 95.0% 13 17 22 24 27 29 33
Aarhus GF 1571 25 24.75 +0.25 54.0% 14 18 22 25 27 30 32
B 1909 1530 28 23.34 +4.66 89.0% 11 17 21 23 26 30 34
KB Copenhagen 1479 24 22.74 +1.26 67.0% 14 16 20 23 26 29 34
AB Gladsaxe 1464 17 20.92 -3.92 19.0% 11 14 19 20 23 27 31
Koge BK 1420 17 18.19 -1.19 45.0% 6 11 16 18 21 25 26
Skovshoved 1403 15 21.13 -6.13 8.0% 8 15 18 21 24 27 32
AIA Tranbjerg 1395 14 17.94 -3.94 19.0% 6 10 16 18 21 24 26
KFUM 1395 11 18.97 -7.97 3.0% 6 13 16 19 22 26 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+5.30%
No Edge
43.94%17.42%38.64%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 18.44 Elo pts.
118 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
0300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.39 goals
Neutral
-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.9
Open
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
38%
Vejle BK, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.22 * Some Luck: 3.22 to 4.83 * Lucky: 4.83 to 6.45 * Wild Swing: 6.45 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.05 * Close: 2.05 to 3.07 * Off: 3.07 to 4.1 * Way Off: 4.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.12 * A Surprise: 1.12 to 1.79 * Several Surprises: 1.79 to 2.46 * Many Surprises: 2.46 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.41 points
Some Luck
04.0310
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Pinpoint
02.566
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Frem
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
KFUM
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Top-Heavy
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 85.55
1.58
Moderate Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
72%
Wide Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
78%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Few
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.20
Very Even
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.22
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.07
Weak Carryover
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
33%
Very Upset-Prone
0%33%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Shaky
0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.59
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.94
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.052
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Vejle BK38.00%19.00%13.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—
Frem12.00%21.00%11.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%
Odense6.00%5.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%12.00%3.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%
B 19099.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%18.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%
Esbjerg7.00%11.00%4.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%
Aarhus GF15.00%14.00%15.00%15.00%13.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%
KB Copenhagen6.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%15.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%
AB Gladsaxe2.00%3.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%15.00%17.00%14.00%7.00%6.00%
Koge BK—3.00%3.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%16.00%27.00%
Skovshoved4.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%12.00%17.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%5.00%
AIA Tranbjerg—1.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%17.00%28.00%
KFUM1.00%2.00%1.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%13.00%17.00%20.00%19.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Vejle BK 99.00% 1.00%
Aarhus GF 97.00% 3.00%
Frem 94.00% 6.00%
B 1909 93.00% 7.00%
Esbjerg 93.00% 7.00%
Odense 90.00% 10.00%
KB Copenhagen 89.00% 11.00%
AB Gladsaxe 87.00% 13.00%
Skovshoved 85.00% 15.00%
KFUM 61.00% 39.00%
Koge BK 57.00% 43.00%
AIA Tranbjerg 55.00% 45.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1958-03-29 KFUM W 2-048.1 1526 1519 45.55% 18.47% 35.98%+0.21 +14.1 2
1958-03-29 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-248.1 1519 1526 35.98% 18.47% 45.55%-0.21 -14.1 0
1958-03-30 Koge BK L 0-150.0 1474 1471 45.04% 18.47% 36.49%+0.18 -9.0 0
1958-03-30 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 1-050.0 1471 1474 36.49% 18.47% 45.04%-0.18 +9.0 2
1958-03-30 KB Copenhagen L 2-360.4 1500 1483 47.06% 18.46% 34.48%+0.30 -8.4 0
1958-03-30 @ Esbjerg W 3-260.4 1483 1500 34.48% 18.46% 47.06%-0.30 +8.4 2
1958-03-30 Aarhus GF W 3-047.0 1523 1536 42.79% 18.48% 38.73%+0.04 +21.8 2
1958-03-30 @ Frem L 0-347.0 1536 1523 38.73% 18.48% 42.79%-0.04 -21.8 0
1958-03-30 B 1909 L 4-565.6 1491 1495 44.09% 18.47% 37.44%+0.12 -7.6 0
1958-03-30 @ Odense W 5-465.6 1495 1491 37.44% 18.47% 44.09%-0.12 +7.6 2
1958-03-30 Vejle BK L 1-256.7 1513 1495 47.06% 18.46% 34.48%+0.30 -8.8 0
1958-03-30 @ Skovshoved W 2-156.7 1495 1513 34.48% 18.46% 47.06%-0.30 +8.8 2
1958-04-03 KFUM W 5-147.8 1465 1505 38.92% 18.47% 42.61%-0.19 +25.6 2
1958-04-03 @ AIA Tranbjerg L 1-547.8 1505 1465 42.61% 18.47% 38.92%+0.19 -25.6 0
1958-04-03 Frem D 2-268.3 1480 1545 35.56% 18.44% 45.99%-0.39 +0.3 3
1958-04-03 @ Koge BK D 2-268.3 1545 1480 45.99% 18.44% 35.56%+0.39 -0.3 3
1958-04-06 Odense D 3-372.8 1544 1483 52.75% 18.38% 28.87%+0.68 -0.7 4
1958-04-06 @ Frem D 3-372.8 1483 1544 28.87% 18.38% 52.75%-0.68 +0.7 1
1958-04-07 AB Gladsaxe W 2-156.4 1515 1540 41.14% 18.48% 40.38%-0.06 +7.8 2
1958-04-07 @ Aarhus GF L 1-256.4 1540 1515 40.38% 18.48% 41.14%+0.06 -7.8 2
1958-04-07 Esbjerg W 3-043.6 1503 1492 46.14% 18.46% 35.39%+0.25 +20.2 4
1958-04-07 @ B 1909 L 0-343.6 1492 1503 35.39% 18.46% 46.14%-0.25 -20.2 0
1958-04-07 AIA Tranbjerg D 3-371.0 1491 1490 44.84% 18.47% 36.69%+0.17 -0.2 3
1958-04-07 @ KB Copenhagen D 3-371.0 1490 1491 36.69% 18.47% 44.84%-0.17 +0.2 3
1958-04-07 Skovshoved L 0-150.3 1480 1504 41.22% 18.48% 40.30%-0.05 -8.4 0
1958-04-07 @ KFUM W 1-050.3 1504 1480 40.30% 18.48% 41.22%+0.05 +8.4 2
1958-04-07 Koge BK W 1-048.1 1504 1480 47.95% 18.45% 33.60%+0.36 +7.1 4
1958-04-07 @ Vejle BK L 0-148.1 1480 1504 33.60% 18.45% 47.95%-0.36 -7.1 3
1958-04-13 AIA Tranbjerg W 3-043.4 1522 1490 49.01% 18.44% 32.55%+0.43 +18.8 4
1958-04-13 @ Aarhus GF L 0-343.4 1490 1522 32.55% 18.44% 49.01%-0.43 -18.8 3
1958-04-13 Frem D 1-165.8 1532 1544 43.02% 18.48% 38.50%+0.06 -0.2 3
1958-04-13 @ AB Gladsaxe D 1-165.8 1544 1532 38.50% 18.48% 43.02%-0.06 +0.2 5
1958-04-13 Vejle BK W 2-154.4 1472 1511 39.07% 18.47% 42.46%-0.18 +8.1 2
1958-04-13 @ Esbjerg L 1-254.4 1511 1472 42.46% 18.47% 39.07%+0.18 -8.1 4
1958-04-13 KFUM W 3-255.8 1473 1471 44.97% 18.47% 36.56%+0.17 +6.8 5
1958-04-13 @ Koge BK L 2-355.8 1471 1473 36.56% 18.47% 44.97%-0.17 -6.8 0
1958-04-13 KB Copenhagen L 2-359.0 1484 1491 43.66% 18.48% 37.86%+0.09 -7.9 1
1958-04-13 @ Odense W 3-259.0 1491 1484 37.86% 18.48% 43.66%-0.09 +7.8 5
1958-04-13 B 1909 L 2-361.1 1512 1523 43.21% 18.48% 38.31%+0.07 -7.8 2
1958-04-13 @ Skovshoved W 3-261.1 1523 1512 38.31% 18.48% 43.21%-0.07 +7.8 6
1958-04-19 KB Copenhagen L 1-356.8 1544 1499 50.70% 18.41% 30.89%+0.54 -16.3 5
1958-04-19 @ Frem W 3-156.8 1499 1544 30.89% 18.41% 50.70%-0.54 +16.3 7
1958-04-20 Koge BK L 1-355.9 1532 1480 51.56% 18.40% 30.04%+0.60 -16.6 3
1958-04-20 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-155.9 1480 1532 30.04% 18.40% 51.56%-0.60 +16.6 7
1958-04-20 Esbjerg L 1-351.2 1472 1480 43.51% 18.48% 38.01%+0.09 -14.3 3
1958-04-20 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 3-151.2 1480 1472 38.01% 18.48% 43.51%-0.09 +14.3 4
1958-04-20 Aarhus GF L 1-252.7 1464 1541 33.94% 18.42% 47.63%-0.50 -6.7 0
1958-04-20 @ KFUM W 2-152.7 1541 1464 47.63% 18.42% 33.94%+0.50 +6.7 6
1958-04-20 Skovshoved L 0-150.0 1476 1505 40.63% 18.48% 40.89%-0.09 -8.3 1
1958-04-20 @ Odense W 1-050.0 1505 1476 40.89% 18.48% 40.63%+0.09 +8.3 4
1958-04-20 B 1909 W 3-046.7 1503 1531 40.81% 18.48% 40.72%-0.08 +22.7 6
1958-04-20 @ Vejle BK L 0-346.7 1531 1503 40.72% 18.48% 40.81%+0.08 -22.7 6
1958-04-27 Frem L 3-460.5 1457 1528 34.81% 18.43% 46.75%-0.44 -6.3 3
1958-04-27 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 4-360.5 1528 1457 46.75% 18.43% 34.81%+0.44 +6.4 7
1958-04-27 Aarhus GF D 1-165.1 1508 1548 39.01% 18.47% 42.52%-0.18 +0.1 7
1958-04-27 @ B 1909 D 1-165.1 1548 1508 42.52% 18.47% 39.01%+0.18 -0.2 7
1958-04-27 Esbjerg L 2-454.4 1458 1494 39.49% 18.47% 42.03%-0.15 -11.8 0
1958-04-27 @ KFUM W 4-254.4 1494 1458 42.03% 18.47% 39.49%+0.15 +11.8 6
1958-04-27 Odense D 2-266.0 1497 1468 48.60% 18.44% 32.96%+0.40 -0.5 8
1958-04-27 @ Koge BK D 2-266.0 1468 1497 32.96% 18.44% 48.60%-0.40 +0.5 2
1958-04-30 Aarhus GF L 1-255.9 1506 1548 38.75% 18.47% 42.78%-0.20 -7.5 6
1958-04-30 @ Esbjerg W 2-155.9 1548 1506 42.78% 18.47% 38.75%+0.20 +7.5 9
1958-05-01 Frem L 1-256.2 1508 1534 41.02% 18.48% 40.50%-0.06 -7.8 7
1958-05-01 @ B 1909 W 2-156.2 1534 1508 40.50% 18.48% 41.02%+0.06 +7.8 9
1958-05-02 Vejle BK L 0-646.4 1515 1526 43.16% 18.48% 38.36%+0.06 -45.5 3
1958-05-02 @ AB Gladsaxe W 6-046.4 1526 1515 38.36% 18.48% 43.16%-0.06 +45.5 8
1958-05-02 Koge BK W 3-150.7 1515 1496 47.32% 18.46% 34.23%+0.32 +11.7 9
1958-05-02 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-350.7 1496 1515 34.23% 18.46% 47.32%-0.32 -11.7 8
1958-05-04 Odense L 1-259.9 1555 1468 55.85% 18.30% 25.85%+0.90 -10.3 9
1958-05-04 @ Aarhus GF W 2-159.9 1468 1555 25.85% 18.30% 55.85%-0.90 +10.3 4
1958-05-04 KFUM L 0-346.8 1500 1446 51.90% 18.39% 29.71%+0.62 -28.0 7
1958-05-04 @ B 1909 W 3-046.8 1446 1500 29.71% 18.39% 51.90%-0.62 +27.9 2
1958-05-04 Esbjerg L 0-155.2 1542 1498 50.49% 18.42% 31.09%+0.53 -10.0 9
1958-05-04 @ Frem W 1-055.2 1498 1542 31.09% 18.42% 50.49%-0.53 +10.0 8
1958-05-04 AIA Tranbjerg W 4-145.0 1513 1451 52.84% 18.37% 28.79%+0.68 +14.3 6
1958-05-04 @ Skovshoved L 1-445.0 1451 1513 28.79% 18.37% 52.84%-0.68 -14.3 3
1958-05-11 Skovshoved D 1-165.7 1545 1527 47.12% 18.46% 34.42%+0.31 -0.6 10
1958-05-11 @ Aarhus GF D 1-165.7 1527 1545 34.42% 18.46% 47.12%-0.31 +0.6 7
1958-05-18 B 1909 L 0-244.3 1437 1472 39.62% 18.47% 41.91%-0.15 -15.3 3
1958-05-18 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 2-044.3 1472 1437 41.91% 18.47% 39.62%+0.15 +15.3 9
1958-05-18 Skovshoved D 2-268.7 1508 1528 41.96% 18.48% 39.56%-0.01 -0.1 9
1958-05-18 @ Esbjerg D 2-268.7 1528 1508 39.56% 18.48% 41.96%+0.01 +0.1 8
1958-05-18 Vejle BK L 2-361.9 1527 1571 38.38% 18.47% 43.15%-0.22 -7.1 9
1958-05-18 @ KB Copenhagen W 3-261.9 1571 1527 43.15% 18.47% 38.38%+0.22 +7.0 10
1958-05-18 Frem L 3-558.6 1474 1532 36.49% 18.45% 45.06%-0.34 -10.4 2
1958-05-18 @ KFUM W 5-358.6 1532 1474 45.06% 18.45% 36.49%+0.34 +10.4 11
1958-05-18 Aarhus GF D 1-164.1 1484 1544 36.21% 18.45% 45.34%-0.35 +0.4 9
1958-05-18 @ Koge BK D 1-164.1 1544 1484 45.34% 18.45% 36.21%+0.35 -0.4 11
1958-05-18 AB Gladsaxe W 2-151.1 1479 1470 45.91% 18.47% 35.62%+0.23 +7.0 6
1958-05-18 @ Odense L 1-251.1 1470 1479 35.62% 18.47% 45.91%-0.23 -7.0 3
1958-05-22 B 1909 W 4-254.6 1463 1488 41.16% 18.48% 40.37%-0.06 +12.0 5
1958-05-22 @ AB Gladsaxe L 2-454.6 1488 1463 40.37% 18.48% 41.16%+0.06 -12.0 9
1958-05-28 AIA Tranbjerg W 1-044.1 1578 1421 63.21% 17.99% 18.80%+1.49 +4.3 12
1958-05-28 @ Vejle BK L 0-144.1 1421 1578 18.80% 17.99% 63.21%-1.49 -4.2 3
1958-06-01 KB Copenhagen L 0-349.9 1544 1520 47.96% 18.45% 33.59%+0.36 -26.0 11
1958-06-01 @ Aarhus GF W 3-049.9 1520 1544 33.59% 18.45% 47.96%-0.36 +26.0 11
1958-06-01 AIA Tranbjerg D 1-159.2 1475 1417 52.30% 18.39% 29.32%+0.65 -1.0 6
1958-06-01 @ AB Gladsaxe D 1-159.2 1417 1475 29.32% 18.39% 52.30%-0.65 +1.0 4
1958-06-01 Koge BK W 3-150.0 1476 1485 43.39% 18.48% 38.13%+0.08 +12.8 11
1958-06-01 @ B 1909 L 1-350.0 1485 1476 38.13% 18.48% 43.39%-0.08 -12.8 9
1958-06-01 Odense W 3-256.8 1508 1486 47.79% 18.45% 33.76%+0.35 +6.3 11
1958-06-01 @ Esbjerg L 2-356.8 1486 1508 33.76% 18.45% 47.79%-0.35 -6.3 6
1958-06-01 Skovshoved W 5-254.6 1542 1528 46.67% 18.46% 34.87%+0.28 +14.6 13
1958-06-01 @ Frem L 2-554.6 1528 1542 34.87% 18.46% 46.67%-0.28 -14.6 8
1958-06-01 KFUM D 4-476.5 1583 1463 59.44% 18.18% 22.38%+1.17 -0.9 13
1958-06-01 @ Vejle BK D 4-476.5 1463 1583 22.38% 18.18% 59.44%-1.17 +0.9 3
1958-06-04 AB Gladsaxe D 1-163.8 1546 1474 54.12% 18.35% 27.53%+0.77 -1.2 12
1958-06-04 @ KB Copenhagen D 1-163.8 1474 1546 27.53% 18.35% 54.12%-0.77 +1.2 7
1958-06-05 Vejle BK W 4-261.9 1479 1582 30.61% 18.36% 51.02%-0.72 +14.7 8
1958-06-05 @ Odense L 2-461.9 1582 1479 51.02% 18.36% 30.61%+0.72 -14.7 13
1958-06-07 AB Gladsaxe L 0-153.1 1513 1475 49.85% 18.43% 31.72%+0.48 -9.8 8
1958-06-07 @ Skovshoved W 1-053.1 1475 1513 31.72% 18.43% 49.85%-0.48 +9.8 9
1958-06-08 KFUM W 4-146.1 1545 1464 55.09% 18.32% 26.59%+0.84 +13.4 14
1958-06-08 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-446.1 1464 1545 26.59% 18.32% 55.09%-0.84 -13.4 3
1958-06-08 Esbjerg L 2-650.3 1472 1515 38.61% 18.47% 42.92%-0.21 -20.0 9
1958-06-08 @ Koge BK W 6-250.3 1515 1472 42.92% 18.47% 38.61%+0.21 +20.0 13
1958-06-08 AIA Tranbjerg D 1-159.9 1494 1418 54.52% 18.34% 27.14%+0.80 -1.2 9
1958-06-08 @ Odense D 1-159.9 1418 1494 27.14% 18.34% 54.52%-0.80 +1.2 5
1958-06-08 Frem W 5-046.5 1567 1557 46.10% 18.46% 35.44%+0.24 +32.6 15
1958-06-08 @ Vejle BK L 0-546.5 1557 1567 35.44% 18.46% 46.10%-0.24 -32.6 13
1958-06-11 KB Copenhagen L 1-353.3 1503 1558 36.93% 18.46% 44.61%-0.31 -12.5 8
1958-06-11 @ Skovshoved W 3-153.3 1558 1503 44.61% 18.46% 36.93%+0.31 +12.5 16
1958-06-14 B 1909 D 1-165.2 1571 1488 55.30% 18.32% 26.39%+0.86 -1.3 17
1958-06-14 @ KB Copenhagen D 1-165.2 1488 1571 26.39% 18.32% 55.30%-0.86 +1.3 12
1958-06-14 Koge BK W 1-045.9 1491 1452 49.94% 18.43% 31.64%+0.49 +6.7 10
1958-06-14 @ Skovshoved L 0-145.9 1452 1491 31.64% 18.43% 49.94%-0.49 -6.7 9
1958-06-15 Vejle BK D 0-064.3 1518 1600 33.29% 18.41% 48.29%-0.54 +0.7 12
1958-06-15 @ Aarhus GF D 0-064.3 1600 1518 48.29% 18.41% 33.29%+0.54 -0.7 16
1958-06-15 AB Gladsaxe W 2-045.4 1535 1485 51.36% 18.40% 30.24%+0.58 +12.2 15
1958-06-15 @ Esbjerg L 0-245.4 1485 1535 30.24% 18.40% 51.36%-0.58 -12.2 9
1958-06-15 Odense L 0-342.8 1451 1493 38.76% 18.47% 42.77%-0.20 -21.8 3
1958-06-15 @ KFUM W 3-042.8 1493 1451 42.77% 18.47% 38.76%+0.20 +21.8 11
1958-08-09 AB Gladsaxe W 4-359.5 1524 1472 51.58% 18.40% 30.03%+0.60 +5.6 15
1958-08-09 @ Frem L 3-459.5 1472 1524 30.03% 18.40% 51.58%-0.60 -5.6 9
1958-08-10 Aarhus GF D 2-265.1 1419 1519 31.02% 18.37% 50.60%-0.69 +0.6 6
1958-08-10 @ AIA Tranbjerg D 2-265.1 1519 1419 50.60% 18.37% 31.02%+0.69 -0.7 13
1958-08-10 Koge BK D 1-162.8 1547 1445 57.53% 18.25% 24.22%+1.02 -1.5 16
1958-08-10 @ Esbjerg D 1-162.8 1445 1547 24.22% 18.25% 57.53%-1.02 +1.5 10
1958-08-10 B 1909 L 1-445.7 1429 1490 36.14% 18.45% 45.41%-0.36 -17.3 3
1958-08-10 @ KFUM W 4-145.7 1490 1429 45.41% 18.45% 36.14%+0.36 +17.3 14
1958-08-10 Odense L 2-457.5 1498 1514 42.31% 18.48% 39.21%+0.01 -12.5 10
1958-08-10 @ Skovshoved W 4-257.5 1514 1498 39.21% 18.48% 42.31%-0.01 +12.5 13
1958-08-10 KB Copenhagen W 8-354.0 1599 1569 48.70% 18.44% 32.86%+0.41 +19.1 18
1958-08-10 @ Vejle BK L 3-854.0 1569 1599 32.86% 18.44% 48.70%-0.41 -19.1 17
1958-08-16 Skovshoved L 2-364.1 1550 1485 53.23% 18.37% 28.40%+0.71 -9.3 17
1958-08-16 @ KB Copenhagen W 3-264.1 1485 1550 28.40% 18.37% 53.23%-0.71 +9.3 12
1958-08-17 KFUM D 1-160.5 1518 1412 58.02% 18.23% 23.75%+1.06 -1.6 14
1958-08-17 @ Aarhus GF D 1-160.5 1412 1518 23.75% 18.23% 58.02%-1.06 +1.6 4
1958-08-17 Esbjerg D 4-475.2 1467 1545 33.71% 18.42% 47.86%-0.51 +0.3 10
1958-08-17 @ AB Gladsaxe D 4-475.2 1545 1467 47.86% 18.42% 33.71%+0.51 -0.3 17
1958-08-17 Vejle BK W 2-055.6 1507 1618 29.56% 18.34% 52.10%-0.79 +19.3 16
1958-08-17 @ B 1909 L 0-255.6 1618 1507 52.10% 18.34% 29.56%+0.79 -19.3 18
1958-08-17 AIA Tranbjerg W 7-140.0 1530 1420 58.42% 18.22% 23.36%+1.09 +22.3 17
1958-08-17 @ Frem L 1-740.0 1420 1530 23.36% 18.22% 58.42%-1.09 -22.3 6
1958-08-17 Koge BK W 6-246.2 1527 1447 55.05% 18.32% 26.62%+0.84 +14.6 15
1958-08-17 @ Odense L 2-646.2 1447 1527 26.62% 18.32% 55.05%-0.84 -14.7 10
1958-08-24 Odense L 2-644.6 1398 1542 25.71% 18.23% 56.06%-1.07 -14.2 6
1958-08-24 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 6-244.6 1542 1398 56.06% 18.23% 25.71%+1.07 +14.2 17
1958-08-24 Skovshoved W 4-148.3 1526 1494 49.00% 18.44% 32.57%+0.43 +15.9 18
1958-08-24 @ B 1909 L 1-448.3 1494 1526 32.57% 18.44% 49.00%-0.43 -15.9 12
1958-08-24 Esbjerg W 3-154.3 1541 1545 44.09% 18.47% 37.43%+0.12 +12.6 19
1958-08-24 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-354.3 1545 1541 37.43% 18.47% 44.09%-0.12 -12.6 17
1958-08-24 AB Gladsaxe W 3-148.9 1432 1467 39.69% 18.47% 41.84%-0.14 +13.8 12
1958-08-24 @ Koge BK L 1-348.9 1467 1432 41.84% 18.47% 39.69%+0.14 -13.8 10
1958-08-24 Aarhus GF W 2-154.2 1599 1516 55.30% 18.32% 26.38%+0.86 +5.4 20
1958-08-24 @ Vejle BK L 1-254.2 1516 1599 26.38% 18.32% 55.30%-0.86 -5.4 14
1958-08-28 KFUM L 1-357.0 1552 1413 61.44% 18.09% 20.48%+1.34 -19.6 17
1958-08-28 @ Frem W 3-157.0 1413 1552 20.48% 18.09% 61.44%-1.34 +19.6 6
1958-09-06 Frem L 0-643.5 1479 1533 37.03% 18.46% 44.51%-0.30 -40.1 12
1958-09-06 @ Skovshoved W 6-043.5 1533 1479 44.51% 18.46% 37.03%+0.30 +40.1 19
1958-09-07 B 1909 W 1-052.9 1511 1542 40.26% 18.48% 41.26%-0.11 +8.4 16
1958-09-07 @ Aarhus GF L 0-152.9 1542 1511 41.26% 18.48% 40.26%+0.11 -8.4 18
1958-09-07 Odense L 0-245.2 1453 1556 30.64% 18.37% 50.99%-0.71 -12.3 10
1958-09-07 @ AB Gladsaxe W 2-045.2 1556 1453 50.99% 18.37% 30.64%+0.71 +12.3 19
1958-09-07 AIA Tranbjerg L 1-257.8 1532 1384 62.43% 18.03% 19.53%+1.42 -11.5 17
1958-09-07 @ Esbjerg W 2-157.8 1384 1532 19.53% 18.03% 62.43%-1.42 +11.5 8
1958-09-07 Vejle BK L 2-647.3 1433 1604 22.77% 18.11% 59.12%-1.30 -12.8 6
1958-09-07 @ KFUM W 6-247.3 1604 1433 59.12% 18.11% 22.77%+1.30 +12.8 22
1958-09-07 KB Copenhagen L 0-244.6 1446 1553 29.99% 18.35% 51.66%-0.76 -12.1 12
1958-09-07 @ Koge BK W 2-044.6 1553 1446 51.66% 18.35% 29.99%+0.76 +12.1 21
1958-09-20 KB Copenhagen L 1-249.3 1420 1566 25.54% 18.22% 56.24%-1.08 -5.3 6
1958-09-20 @ KFUM W 2-149.3 1566 1420 56.24% 18.22% 25.54%+1.08 +5.3 23
1958-09-21 AB Gladsaxe L 1-248.2 1395 1441 38.14% 18.47% 43.39%-0.24 -7.4 8
1958-09-21 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 2-148.2 1441 1395 43.39% 18.47% 38.14%+0.24 +7.4 12
1958-09-21 B 1909 W 2-048.9 1573 1534 49.92% 18.43% 31.65%+0.49 +12.7 21
1958-09-21 @ Frem L 0-248.9 1534 1573 31.65% 18.43% 49.92%-0.49 -12.7 18
1958-09-21 Vejle BK L 1-446.0 1434 1617 21.57% 18.05% 60.38%-1.40 -11.1 12
1958-09-21 @ Koge BK W 4-146.0 1617 1434 60.38% 18.05% 21.57%+1.40 +11.1 24
1958-09-21 Esbjerg W 2-154.7 1568 1521 50.98% 18.41% 30.61%+0.56 +6.2 21
1958-09-21 @ Odense L 1-254.7 1521 1568 30.61% 18.41% 50.98%-0.56 -6.2 17
1958-09-21 Aarhus GF L 1-348.4 1438 1519 33.40% 18.42% 48.19%-0.53 -11.5 12
1958-09-21 @ Skovshoved W 3-148.4 1519 1438 48.19% 18.42% 33.40%+0.53 +11.5 18
1958-09-27 Frem L 3-468.7 1571 1585 42.63% 18.48% 38.89%+0.03 -7.5 23
1958-09-27 @ KB Copenhagen W 4-368.7 1585 1571 38.89% 18.48% 42.63%-0.03 +7.5 23
1958-09-28 Esbjerg W 7-044.8 1531 1515 46.89% 18.46% 34.65%+0.29 +43.9 20
1958-09-28 @ Aarhus GF L 0-744.8 1515 1531 34.65% 18.46% 46.89%-0.29 -43.9 17
1958-09-28 Skovshoved W 3-145.8 1448 1427 47.61% 18.45% 33.93%+0.34 +11.6 14
1958-09-28 @ AB Gladsaxe L 1-345.8 1427 1448 33.93% 18.45% 47.61%-0.34 -11.6 12
1958-09-28 AIA Tranbjerg W 5-139.1 1521 1388 60.91% 18.11% 20.97%+1.29 +14.0 20
1958-09-28 @ B 1909 L 1-539.1 1388 1521 20.97% 18.11% 60.91%-1.29 -14.0 8
1958-09-28 Koge BK W 4-037.7 1415 1423 43.60% 18.48% 37.93%+0.09 +27.9 8
1958-09-28 @ KFUM L 0-437.7 1423 1415 37.93% 18.48% 43.60%-0.09 -27.9 12
1958-09-28 Odense W 7-252.8 1628 1574 51.83% 18.39% 29.77%+0.61 +19.5 26
1958-09-28 @ Vejle BK L 2-752.8 1574 1628 29.77% 18.39% 51.83%-0.61 -19.5 21
1958-10-05 KB Copenhagen W 3-049.4 1460 1563 30.53% 18.36% 51.10%-0.72 +27.6 16
1958-10-05 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-349.4 1563 1460 51.10% 18.36% 30.53%+0.72 -27.5 23
1958-10-05 Vejle BK W 2-056.7 1374 1648 14.02% 17.47% 68.52%-2.17 +25.2 10
1958-10-05 @ AIA Tranbjerg L 0-256.7 1648 1374 68.52% 17.47% 14.02%+2.17 -25.1 26
1958-10-05 Frem W 4-156.1 1471 1593 28.23% 18.31% 53.46%-0.88 +24.2 19
1958-10-05 @ Esbjerg L 1-456.1 1593 1471 53.46% 18.31% 28.23%+0.88 -24.2 23
1958-10-05 B 1909 L 1-443.0 1395 1535 26.09% 18.24% 55.66%-1.04 -13.1 12
1958-10-05 @ Koge BK W 4-143.0 1535 1395 55.66% 18.24% 26.09%+1.04 +13.1 22
1958-10-05 Aarhus GF W 3-049.6 1555 1575 41.85% 18.48% 39.68%-0.01 +22.2 23
1958-10-05 @ Odense L 0-349.6 1575 1555 39.68% 18.48% 41.85%+0.01 -22.2 20
1958-10-05 KFUM L 0-146.0 1415 1443 40.78% 18.48% 40.74%-0.08 -8.3 12
1958-10-05 @ Skovshoved W 1-046.0 1443 1415 40.74% 18.48% 40.78%+0.08 +8.3 10
1958-10-18 AB Gladsaxe D 1-160.8 1451 1488 39.50% 18.47% 42.03%-0.15 +0.1 11
1958-10-18 @ KFUM D 1-160.8 1488 1451 42.03% 18.47% 39.50%+0.15 -0.1 17
1958-10-19 Skovshoved L 1-444.6 1399 1407 43.51% 18.48% 38.01%+0.09 -20.2 10
1958-10-19 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 4-144.6 1407 1399 38.01% 18.48% 43.51%-0.09 +20.2 14
1958-10-19 Odense W 2-158.9 1548 1577 40.62% 18.48% 40.90%-0.09 +7.8 24
1958-10-19 @ B 1909 L 1-258.9 1577 1548 40.90% 18.48% 40.62%+0.09 -7.8 23
1958-10-19 Koge BK W 3-249.7 1569 1382 65.89% 17.82% 16.29%+1.75 +3.3 25
1958-10-19 @ Frem L 2-349.7 1382 1569 16.29% 17.82% 65.89%-1.75 -3.3 12
1958-10-19 Aarhus GF L 0-349.1 1536 1553 42.31% 18.48% 39.22%+0.01 -23.4 23
1958-10-19 @ KB Copenhagen W 3-049.1 1553 1536 39.22% 18.48% 42.31%-0.01 +23.4 22
1958-10-19 Esbjerg L 1-362.1 1622 1495 60.27% 18.14% 21.59%+1.24 -19.2 26
1958-10-19 @ Vejle BK W 3-162.1 1495 1622 21.59% 18.14% 60.27%-1.24 +19.2 21
1958-11-02 Koge BK D 1-161.5 1576 1378 66.78% 17.75% 15.47%+1.84 -2.4 23
1958-11-02 @ Aarhus GF D 1-161.5 1378 1576 15.47% 17.75% 66.78%-1.84 +2.4 13
1958-11-02 KB Copenhagen W 3-151.8 1556 1512 50.55% 18.42% 31.04%+0.53 +10.8 26
1958-11-02 @ B 1909 L 1-351.8 1512 1556 31.04% 18.42% 50.55%-0.53 -10.8 23
1958-11-02 AIA Tranbjerg L 1-448.4 1451 1379 54.16% 18.35% 27.49%+0.78 -24.5 11
1958-11-02 @ KFUM W 4-148.4 1379 1451 27.49% 18.35% 54.16%-0.78 +24.5 12
1958-11-02 Frem W 3-262.9 1569 1572 44.27% 18.47% 37.26%+0.13 +6.9 25
1958-11-02 @ Odense L 2-362.9 1572 1569 37.26% 18.47% 44.27%-0.13 -6.9 25
1958-11-02 Esbjerg D 1-160.9 1427 1514 32.60% 18.40% 48.99%-0.58 +0.7 15
1958-11-02 @ Skovshoved D 1-160.9 1514 1427 48.99% 18.40% 32.60%+0.58 -0.7 22
1958-11-02 AB Gladsaxe W 3-150.0 1603 1488 59.05% 18.19% 22.76%+1.14 +8.2 28
1958-11-02 @ Vejle BK L 1-350.0 1488 1603 22.76% 18.19% 59.05%-1.14 -8.2 17
1958-11-16 Aarhus GF L 2-358.3 1479 1574 31.66% 18.39% 49.95%-0.65 -6.0 17
1958-11-16 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-258.3 1574 1479 49.95% 18.39% 31.66%+0.65 +6.0 25
1958-11-16 KB Copenhagen W 4-149.5 1403 1502 31.12% 18.38% 50.50%-0.68 +23.0 14
1958-11-16 @ AIA Tranbjerg L 1-449.5 1502 1403 50.50% 18.38% 31.12%+0.68 -23.0 23
1958-11-16 B 1909 W 6-048.2 1514 1567 37.13% 18.46% 44.41%-0.30 +46.6 24
1958-11-16 @ Esbjerg L 0-648.2 1567 1514 44.41% 18.46% 37.13%+0.30 -46.6 26
1958-11-16 Vejle BK W 1-057.4 1565 1611 38.12% 18.47% 43.42%-0.24 +8.7 27
1958-11-16 @ Frem L 0-157.4 1611 1565 43.42% 18.47% 38.12%+0.24 -8.7 28
1958-11-16 Skovshoved W 1-045.5 1381 1428 37.97% 18.46% 43.56%-0.25 +8.8 15
1958-11-16 @ Koge BK L 0-145.5 1428 1381 43.56% 18.46% 37.97%+0.25 -8.8 15
1958-11-16 KFUM W 2-041.5 1576 1427 62.46% 18.03% 19.51%+1.43 +8.3 27
1958-11-16 @ Odense L 0-241.5 1427 1576 19.51% 18.03% 62.46%-1.43 -8.3 11
1958-11-23 Frem L 1-261.1 1580 1574 45.47% 18.47% 36.06%+0.21 -8.6 25
1958-11-23 @ Aarhus GF W 2-161.1 1574 1580 36.06% 18.47% 45.47%-0.21 +8.6 29
1958-11-23 AB Gladsaxe W 4-253.3 1520 1473 50.97% 18.41% 30.62%+0.56 +9.5 28
1958-11-23 @ B 1909 L 2-453.3 1473 1520 30.62% 18.41% 50.97%-0.56 -9.5 17
1958-11-23 KFUM W 6-037.1 1560 1418 61.72% 18.07% 20.20%+1.36 +23.8 26
1958-11-23 @ Esbjerg L 0-637.1 1418 1560 20.20% 18.07% 61.72%-1.36 -23.8 11
1958-11-23 Odense D 2-269.7 1479 1584 30.23% 18.36% 51.42%-0.74 +0.7 24
1958-11-23 @ KB Copenhagen D 2-269.7 1584 1479 51.42% 18.36% 30.23%+0.74 -0.7 28
1958-11-23 AIA Tranbjerg W 6-141.9 1389 1426 39.49% 18.47% 42.04%-0.15 +31.0 17
1958-11-23 @ Koge BK L 1-641.9 1426 1389 42.04% 18.47% 39.49%+0.15 -31.0 14
1958-11-23 Skovshoved W 7-140.6 1603 1419 65.58% 17.84% 16.58%+1.72 +16.4 30
1958-11-23 @ Vejle BK L 1-740.6 1419 1603 16.58% 17.84% 65.58%-1.72 -16.4 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1958-10-05 14.02% @ AIA Tranbjerg 1374 2 Vejle BK 1648 0
2 1958-09-07 19.53% AIA Tranbjerg 1384 2 @ Esbjerg 1532 1
3 1958-08-28 20.48% KFUM 1413 3 @ Frem 1552 1
4 1958-10-19 21.59% Esbjerg 1495 3 @ Vejle BK 1622 1
5 1958-05-04 25.85% Odense 1468 2 @ Aarhus GF 1555 1
6 1958-11-02 27.49% AIA Tranbjerg 1379 4 @ KFUM 1451 1
7 1958-10-05 28.23% @ Esbjerg 1471 4 Frem 1593 1
8 1958-08-16 28.40% Skovshoved 1485 3 @ KB Copenhagen 1550 2
9 1958-08-17 29.56% @ B 1909 1507 2 Vejle BK 1618 0
10 1958-05-04 29.71% KFUM 1446 3 @ B 1909 1500 0
11 1958-04-20 30.04% Koge BK 1480 3 @ AB Gladsaxe 1532 1
12 1958-10-05 30.53% @ AB Gladsaxe 1460 3 KB Copenhagen 1563 0
13 1958-06-05 30.61% @ Odense 1479 4 Vejle BK 1582 2
14 1958-04-19 30.89% KB Copenhagen 1499 3 @ Frem 1544 1
15 1958-05-04 31.09% Esbjerg 1498 1 @ Frem 1542 0
16 1958-11-16 31.12% @ AIA Tranbjerg 1403 4 KB Copenhagen 1502 1
17 1958-06-07 31.72% AB Gladsaxe 1475 1 @ Skovshoved 1513 0
18 1958-06-01 33.59% KB Copenhagen 1520 3 @ Aarhus GF 1544 0
19 1958-03-30 34.48% KB Copenhagen 1483 3 @ Esbjerg 1500 2
20 1958-03-30 34.48% Vejle BK 1495 2 @ Skovshoved 1513 1
21 1958-11-23 36.06% Frem 1574 2 @ Aarhus GF 1580 1
22 1958-03-30 36.49% Koge BK 1471 1 @ AIA Tranbjerg 1474 0
23 1958-11-16 37.13% @ Esbjerg 1514 6 B 1909 1567 0
24 1958-03-30 37.44% B 1909 1495 5 @ Odense 1491 4
25 1958-04-13 37.86% KB Copenhagen 1491 3 @ Odense 1484 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-11-16 46.60 @ Esbjerg 6 1514 37.13% B 1909 0 1567 44.41% 18.46%
2 1958-05-02 45.50 Vejle BK 6 1526 38.36% @ AB Gladsaxe 0 1515 43.16% 18.48%
3 1958-09-28 43.94 @ Aarhus GF 7 1531 46.89% Esbjerg 0 1515 34.65% 18.46%
4 1958-09-06 40.10 Frem 6 1533 44.51% @ Skovshoved 0 1479 37.03% 18.46%
5 1958-06-08 32.56 @ Vejle BK 5 1567 46.10% Frem 0 1557 35.44% 18.46%
6 1958-11-23 31.03 @ Koge BK 6 1389 39.49% AIA Tranbjerg 1 1426 42.04% 18.47%
7 1958-05-04 27.95 KFUM 3 1446 29.71% @ B 1909 0 1500 51.90% 18.39%
8 1958-09-28 27.94 @ KFUM 4 1415 43.60% Koge BK 0 1423 37.93% 18.48%
9 1958-10-05 27.55 @ AB Gladsaxe 3 1460 30.53% KB Copenhagen 0 1563 51.10% 18.36%
10 1958-06-01 26.04 KB Copenhagen 3 1520 33.59% @ Aarhus GF 0 1544 47.96% 18.45%
11 1958-04-03 25.62 @ AIA Tranbjerg 5 1465 38.92% KFUM 1 1505 42.61% 18.47%
12 1958-10-05 25.15 @ AIA Tranbjerg 2 1374 14.02% Vejle BK 0 1648 68.52% 17.47%
13 1958-11-02 24.52 AIA Tranbjerg 4 1379 27.49% @ KFUM 1 1451 54.16% 18.35%
14 1958-10-05 24.21 @ Esbjerg 4 1471 28.23% Frem 1 1593 53.46% 18.31%
15 1958-11-23 23.78 @ Esbjerg 6 1560 61.72% KFUM 0 1418 20.20% 18.07%
16 1958-10-19 23.40 Aarhus GF 3 1553 39.22% @ KB Copenhagen 0 1536 42.31% 18.48%
17 1958-11-16 22.99 @ AIA Tranbjerg 4 1403 31.12% KB Copenhagen 1 1502 50.50% 18.38%
18 1958-04-20 22.67 @ Vejle BK 3 1503 40.81% B 1909 0 1531 40.72% 18.48%
19 1958-08-17 22.33 @ Frem 7 1530 58.42% AIA Tranbjerg 1 1420 23.36% 18.22%
20 1958-10-05 22.20 @ Odense 3 1555 41.85% Aarhus GF 0 1575 39.68% 18.48%
21 1958-06-15 21.78 Odense 3 1493 42.77% @ KFUM 0 1451 38.76% 18.47%
22 1958-03-30 21.77 @ Frem 3 1523 42.79% Aarhus GF 0 1536 38.73% 18.48%
23 1958-04-07 20.20 @ B 1909 3 1503 46.14% Esbjerg 0 1492 35.39% 18.46%
24 1958-10-19 20.20 Skovshoved 4 1407 38.01% @ AIA Tranbjerg 1 1399 43.51% 18.48%
25 1958-06-08 20.05 Esbjerg 6 1515 42.92% @ Koge BK 2 1472 38.61% 18.47%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-06-01 76.5 @ Vejle BK 4 1583 59.44% KFUM 4 1463 22.38% 18.18%
2 1958-08-17 75.2 @ AB Gladsaxe 4 1467 33.71% Esbjerg 4 1545 47.86% 18.42%
3 1958-04-06 72.8 @ Frem 3 1544 52.75% Odense 3 1483 28.87% 18.38%
4 1958-04-07 71.0 @ KB Copenhagen 3 1491 44.84% AIA Tranbjerg 3 1490 36.69% 18.47%
5 1958-11-23 69.7 @ KB Copenhagen 2 1479 30.23% Odense 2 1584 51.42% 18.36%
6 1958-05-18 68.7 @ Esbjerg 2 1508 41.96% Skovshoved 2 1528 39.56% 18.48%
7 1958-09-27 68.7 Frem 4 1585 38.89% @ KB Copenhagen 3 1571 42.63% 18.48%
8 1958-04-03 68.3 @ Koge BK 2 1480 35.56% Frem 2 1545 45.99% 18.44%
9 1958-04-27 66.0 @ Koge BK 2 1497 48.60% Odense 2 1468 32.96% 18.44%
10 1958-04-13 65.8 @ AB Gladsaxe 1 1532 43.02% Frem 1 1544 38.50% 18.48%
11 1958-05-11 65.7 @ Aarhus GF 1 1545 47.12% Skovshoved 1 1527 34.42% 18.46%
12 1958-03-30 65.6 B 1909 5 1495 37.44% @ Odense 4 1491 44.09% 18.47%
13 1958-06-14 65.2 @ KB Copenhagen 1 1571 55.30% B 1909 1 1488 26.39% 18.32%
14 1958-04-27 65.1 @ B 1909 1 1508 39.01% Aarhus GF 1 1548 42.52% 18.47%
15 1958-08-10 65.1 @ AIA Tranbjerg 2 1419 31.02% Aarhus GF 2 1519 50.60% 18.37%
16 1958-06-15 64.3 @ Aarhus GF 0 1518 33.29% Vejle BK 0 1600 48.29% 18.41%
17 1958-05-18 64.1 @ Koge BK 1 1484 36.21% Aarhus GF 1 1544 45.34% 18.45%
18 1958-08-16 64.1 Skovshoved 3 1485 28.40% @ KB Copenhagen 2 1550 53.23% 18.37%
19 1958-06-04 63.8 @ KB Copenhagen 1 1546 54.12% AB Gladsaxe 1 1474 27.53% 18.35%
20 1958-11-02 62.9 @ Odense 3 1569 44.27% Frem 2 1572 37.26% 18.47%
21 1958-08-10 62.8 @ Esbjerg 1 1547 57.53% Koge BK 1 1445 24.22% 18.25%
22 1958-10-19 62.1 Esbjerg 3 1495 21.59% @ Vejle BK 1 1622 60.27% 18.14%
23 1958-05-18 61.9 Vejle BK 3 1571 43.15% @ KB Copenhagen 2 1527 38.38% 18.47%
24 1958-06-05 61.9 @ Odense 4 1479 30.61% Vejle BK 2 1582 51.02% 18.36%
25 1958-11-02 61.5 @ Aarhus GF 1 1576 66.78% Koge BK 1 1378 15.47% 17.75%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-11-23 37.1 @ Esbjerg 6 1560 61.72% KFUM 0 1418 20.20% 18.07%
2 1958-09-28 37.7 @ KFUM 4 1415 43.60% Koge BK 0 1423 37.93% 18.48%
3 1958-09-28 39.1 @ B 1909 5 1521 60.91% AIA Tranbjerg 1 1388 20.97% 18.11%
4 1958-08-17 40.0 @ Frem 7 1530 58.42% AIA Tranbjerg 1 1420 23.36% 18.22%
5 1958-11-23 40.6 @ Vejle BK 7 1603 65.58% Skovshoved 1 1419 16.58% 17.84%
6 1958-11-16 41.5 @ Odense 2 1576 62.46% KFUM 0 1427 19.51% 18.03%
7 1958-11-23 41.9 @ Koge BK 6 1389 39.49% AIA Tranbjerg 1 1426 42.04% 18.47%
8 1958-06-15 42.8 Odense 3 1493 42.77% @ KFUM 0 1451 38.76% 18.47%
9 1958-10-05 43.0 B 1909 4 1535 55.66% @ Koge BK 1 1395 26.09% 18.24%
10 1958-04-13 43.4 @ Aarhus GF 3 1522 49.01% AIA Tranbjerg 0 1490 32.55% 18.44%
11 1958-09-06 43.5 Frem 6 1533 44.51% @ Skovshoved 0 1479 37.03% 18.46%
12 1958-04-07 43.6 @ B 1909 3 1503 46.14% Esbjerg 0 1492 35.39% 18.46%
13 1958-05-28 44.1 @ Vejle BK 1 1578 63.21% AIA Tranbjerg 0 1421 18.80% 17.99%
14 1958-05-18 44.3 B 1909 2 1472 41.91% @ AIA Tranbjerg 0 1437 39.62% 18.47%
15 1958-08-24 44.6 Odense 6 1542 56.06% @ AIA Tranbjerg 2 1398 25.71% 18.23%
16 1958-09-07 44.6 KB Copenhagen 2 1553 51.66% @ Koge BK 0 1446 29.99% 18.35%
17 1958-10-19 44.6 Skovshoved 4 1407 38.01% @ AIA Tranbjerg 1 1399 43.51% 18.48%
18 1958-09-28 44.8 @ Aarhus GF 7 1531 46.89% Esbjerg 0 1515 34.65% 18.46%
19 1958-05-04 45.0 @ Skovshoved 4 1513 52.84% AIA Tranbjerg 1 1451 28.79% 18.37%
20 1958-09-07 45.2 Odense 2 1556 50.99% @ AB Gladsaxe 0 1453 30.64% 18.37%
21 1958-06-15 45.4 @ Esbjerg 2 1535 51.36% AB Gladsaxe 0 1485 30.24% 18.40%
22 1958-11-16 45.5 @ Koge BK 1 1381 37.97% Skovshoved 0 1428 43.56% 18.46%
23 1958-08-10 45.7 B 1909 4 1490 45.41% @ KFUM 1 1429 36.14% 18.45%
24 1958-09-28 45.8 @ AB Gladsaxe 3 1448 47.61% Skovshoved 1 1427 33.93% 18.45%
25 1958-06-14 45.9 @ Skovshoved 1 1491 49.94% Koge BK 0 1452 31.64% 18.43%