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1961 1st Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Esbjerg

33 points · 1st Title

Relegated

AIA Tranbjerg

10 pts

Skovshoved · 15 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Esbjerg

6.96 points above expected

33 points · 26.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

AIA Tranbjerg

6.33 points below expected

10 points · 16.33 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Esbjerg Champion 22 15 3 4 33 52 18 +34 26.04 +6.96
2 KB Copenhagen 22 15 3 4 33 73 41 +32 26.89 +6.11
3 B 1913 22 14 0 8 28 47 32 +15 25.26 +2.74
4 B 1903 22 10 4 8 24 32 27 +5 21.16 +2.84
5 Aarhus GF 22 11 2 9 24 40 38 +2 24.03 -0.03
6 B 1909 22 10 2 10 22 44 45 -1 21.69 +0.31
7 Vejle BK 22 10 0 12 20 42 51 -9 22.21 -2.21
8 Frederikshavn 22 7 5 10 19 29 49 -20 19.98 -0.98
9 Koge BK 22 8 2 12 18 49 46 +3 20.54 -2.54
10 Odense 22 7 4 11 18 34 38 -4 22.14 -4.14
11 Skovshoved Relegated 22 5 5 12 15 23 43 -20 17.73 -2.73
12 AIA Tranbjerg Relegated 22 4 2 16 10 19 56 -37 16.33 -6.33

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Esbjerg 33 26.04 +6.96
2 KB Copenhagen 33 26.89 +6.11
3 B 1903 24 21.16 +2.84
4 B 1913 28 25.26 +2.74
5 B 1909 22 21.69 +0.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AIA Tranbjerg 10 16.33 -6.33
2 Odense 18 22.14 -4.14
3 Skovshoved 15 17.73 -2.73
4 Koge BK 18 20.54 -2.54
5 Vejle BK 20 22.21 -2.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B 1903 7 May 21 – Sep 24 1 in 231
2 B 1913 7 Apr 23 – Aug 20 1 in 157
3 Vejle BK 5 Oct 8 – Nov 26 1 in 56
4 Koge BK 4 May 14 – Aug 20 1 in 36
5 KB Copenhagen 6 May 31 – Sep 10 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AIA Tranbjerg 5 Mar 19 – Apr 23 1 in 41
2 Vejle BK 4 Apr 3 – Apr 30 1 in 32
3 B 1903 4 Oct 22 – Nov 26 1 in 31
4 B 1909 3 May 7 – May 21 1 in 15
5 Odense 4 Aug 27 – Sep 24 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B 1903 9 May 21 – Oct 8 1 in 158
2 Esbjerg 10 Jun 4 – Oct 29 1 in 35
3 B 1913 7 Apr 23 – Aug 20 1 in 30
4 Skovshoved 4 Sep 10 – Oct 8 1 in 27
5 Koge BK 5 May 14 – Aug 27 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Frederikshavn 11 May 21 – Oct 29 1 in 186
2 Aarhus GF 4 Sep 24 – Oct 22 1 in 25
3 Odense 6 Aug 27 – Oct 8 1 in 18
4 Vejle BK 4 Apr 3 – Apr 30 1 in 11
5 AIA Tranbjerg 8 Sep 10 – Nov 26 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Esbjerg 1706 33 +26 8 6.4 +1.6
KB Copenhagen 1706 33 +36 8 6.4 +1.6
B 1913 1601 28 -46 4 5.3 -1.3
Aarhus GF 1567 24 -13 5 5.3 -0.3
B 1903 1562 24 -20 2 4.9 -2.9
B 1909 1544 22 -16 4 5.6 -1.6
Vejle BK 1560 20 +55 10 5.2 +4.8
Frederikshavn 1483 19 +21 5 3.6 +1.4
Odense 1543 18 +20 7 4.9 +2.1
Koge BK 1562 18 -18 2 4.7 -2.7
Skovshoved 1466 15 -3 3 4.2 -1.2
AIA Tranbjerg 1386 10 -43 2 3.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT AG B1 B1 B1 ESB FRE KC KB ODE SKO VB
AIA Tranbjerg —
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.36
0-0-2
1.82
0-0-2
1.84
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.46
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.25
Aarhus GF
2-0-0
3.90
—
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-2
2.71
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.36
0-1-1
2.31
2-0-0
3.43
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
3.86
1-0-1
3.10
B 1903
1-0-1
3.68
0-0-2
2.70
—
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
3.27
0-2-0
2.12
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.68
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.80
B 1909
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.99
—
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.35
2-0-0
3.03
0-0-2
2.30
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.45
1-0-1
2.63
B 1913
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.23
1-0-1
3.44
—
2-0-0
2.49
0-0-2
3.50
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
4.02
2-0-0
3.32
Esbjerg
2-0-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.40
0-0-2
3.25
—
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
3.39
Frederikshavn
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
2.71
2-0-0
2.25
0-0-2
2.49
—
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.61
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.52
KB Copenhagen
1-0-1
4.29
1-1-0
3.43
0-2-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.84
—
1-0-1
3.88
1-0-1
3.56
2-0-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.68
Koge BK
1-0-1
3.40
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
2.82
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
1.86
—
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.29
2-0-0
2.72
Odense
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.02
0-0-2
2.55
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.84
—
1-1-0
3.25
0-0-2
2.76
Skovshoved
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
2.46
1-1-0
2.30
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-2
1.74
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
1.80
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.49
—
0-0-2
2.40
Vejle BK
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.12
0-0-2
2.43
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
3.22
0-0-2
2.06
0-0-2
3.02
2-0-0
2.98
2-0-0
3.34
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +3.9
Allowed 0.52 -4.7
Differential 0.91 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%5.30%6.82%3.41%1.89%1.89%22.35%
15.30%5.30%7.58%4.17%1.89%1.89%26.14%
26.82%7.58%3.79%2.65%2.27%2.27%25.38%
33.41%4.17%2.65%—0.76%0.38%11.36%
41.89%1.89%2.27%0.76%—0.76%7.58%
5+1.89%1.89%2.27%0.38%0.76%—7.20%
Total22.35%26.14%25.38%11.36%7.58%7.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.83 +0.00
SD 1.64 1.64 2.47
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 8 8 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%45.45%
14.55%—9.09%13.64%—4.55%31.82%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3———————
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%27.27%22.73%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.55 -1.68
SD 1.04 1.68 2.15
CV 1.20 0.66 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
1—4.55%——4.55%4.55%13.64%
29.09%22.73%4.55%—4.55%4.55%45.45%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%50.00%13.64%4.55%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.73 +0.09
SD 1.59 1.52 2.54
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%9.09%———27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
2—22.73%4.55%———27.27%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%31.82%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.23 +0.23
SD 1.26 0.81 1.57
CV 0.87 0.66 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
Total18.18%31.82%18.18%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.05 -0.05
SD 1.85 1.99 2.79
CV 0.93 0.97 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
113.64%—9.09%———22.73%
218.18%———4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
49.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total45.45%9.09%22.73%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.45 +0.68
SD 1.46 1.68 2.32
CV 0.68 1.16 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
113.64%9.09%——4.55%—27.27%
213.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+13.64%4.55%————18.18%
Total50.00%31.82%9.09%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 0.82 +1.55
SD 2.04 1.10 2.50
CV 0.86 1.34 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%——9.09%18.18%
14.55%18.18%—4.55%13.64%—40.91%
24.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%40.91%9.09%9.09%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.23 -0.91
SD 0.89 2.05 2.60
CV 0.68 0.92 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
1———4.55%——4.55%
24.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%13.64%—4.55%—27.27%
Total18.18%22.73%31.82%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.32 1.86 +1.45
SD 2.08 1.39 2.61
CV 0.63 0.75 —
Max 8 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
1—4.55%27.27%4.55%——36.36%
2——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
5+——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
Total9.09%18.18%50.00%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 2.09 +0.14
SD 1.88 1.34 2.23
CV 0.84 0.64 —
Max 7 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—13.64%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
14.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
29.09%—4.55%13.64%——27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total18.18%18.18%40.91%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.73 -0.18
SD 1.47 1.12 1.97
CV 0.95 0.65 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
19.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—9.09%36.36%
24.55%—9.09%———13.64%
34.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%13.64%31.82%9.09%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.95 -0.91
SD 1.05 1.84 2.09
CV 1.00 0.94 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
213.64%4.55%——4.55%9.09%31.82%
34.55%4.55%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total27.27%13.64%18.18%13.64%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 2.32 -0.41
SD 1.31 2.12 2.58
CV 0.68 0.92 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KB Copenhagen 1706 33 26.89 +6.11 94.0% 18 19 24 27 29 34 40
Esbjerg 1706 33 26.04 +6.96 97.0% 18 20 23 26 29 32 38
B 1913 1601 28 25.26 +2.74 80.0% 15 18 22 25 28 33 38
Aarhus GF 1567 24 24.03 -0.03 53.0% 14 17 21 24 26 31 34
B 1903 1562 24 21.16 +2.84 80.0% 7 13 20 21 24 28 30
Koge BK 1562 18 20.54 -2.54 31.0% 11 13 17 21 23 27 30
Vejle BK 1560 20 22.21 -2.21 38.0% 13 15 18 22 26 30 32
B 1909 1544 22 21.69 +0.31 57.0% 12 15 19 22 24 28 30
Odense 1543 18 22.14 -4.14 19.0% 9 14 19 22 26 30 32
Frederikshavn 1483 19 19.98 -0.98 48.0% 11 13 17 20 23 26 28
Skovshoved 1466 15 17.73 -2.73 28.0% 5 10 15 17 21 24 28
AIA Tranbjerg 1386 10 16.33 -6.33 12.0% 5 9 13 16 20 24 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.58%
No Edge
47.73%12.12%40.15%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 26.37 Elo pts.
106 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
0300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.23 goals
Neutral
-2+0.25+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.2
Open
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
Esbjerg, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.47 * Some Luck: 3.47 to 5.21 * Lucky: 5.21 to 6.95 * Wild Swing: 6.95 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.97 * Close: 1.97 to 2.96 * Off: 2.96 to 3.94 * Way Off: 3.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.95 * A Surprise: 0.95 to 1.52 * Several Surprises: 1.52 to 2.09 * Many Surprises: 2.09 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.86 points
Some Luck
04.3411
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.465
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Esbjerg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
12.00%
AIA Tranbjerg
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 90.34
1.57
Moderate Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
57%
Even
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Strong Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Few
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.23
Very Even
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.79
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Some Carryover
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Upset-Prone
0%34%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Shaky Favorites
0%29%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.08
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.052
Well Within Noise
00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Esbjerg22.00%26.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%—1.00%—
KB Copenhagen30.00%24.00%12.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%———
B 191317.00%14.00%20.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%—
B 19033.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%
Aarhus GF13.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%5.00%11.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%
B 19092.00%3.00%9.00%10.00%17.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%
Vejle BK5.00%8.00%7.00%13.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%14.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%
Frederikshavn—5.00%2.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%13.00%16.00%14.00%10.00%
Koge BK2.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%5.00%16.00%10.00%7.00%
Odense6.00%3.00%9.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%5.00%
Skovshoved——3.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%14.00%19.00%24.00%
AIA Tranbjerg——3.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%13.00%22.00%40.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
KB Copenhagen 100% —
Esbjerg 99.00% 1.00%
B 1913 98.00% 2.00%
Aarhus GF 95.00% 5.00%
B 1909 92.00% 8.00%
B 1903 90.00% 10.00%
Vejle BK 87.00% 13.00%
Odense 85.00% 15.00%
Koge BK 83.00% 17.00%
Frederikshavn 76.00% 24.00%
Skovshoved 57.00% 43.00%
AIA Tranbjerg 38.00% 62.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1961-03-19 B 1903 W 2-048.3 1586 1531 56.40% 12.82% 30.78%+0.77 +10.3 2
1961-03-19 @ Aarhus GF L 0-248.3 1531 1586 30.78% 12.82% 56.40%-0.77 -10.3 0
1961-03-19 AIA Tranbjerg W 1-051.7 1542 1533 50.29% 12.85% 36.86%+0.33 +6.4 2
1961-03-19 @ B 1909 L 0-151.7 1533 1542 36.86% 12.85% 50.29%-0.33 -6.4 0
1961-03-19 Koge BK W 2-049.2 1548 1540 50.27% 12.85% 36.88%+0.33 +12.1 2
1961-03-19 @ Esbjerg L 0-249.2 1540 1548 36.88% 12.85% 50.27%-0.33 -12.1 0
1961-03-19 B 1913 W 2-157.3 1555 1556 48.95% 12.85% 38.20%+0.23 +6.2 2
1961-03-19 @ Frederikshavn L 1-257.3 1556 1555 38.20% 12.85% 48.95%-0.23 -6.2 0
1961-03-19 Vejle BK L 0-254.2 1569 1590 46.29% 12.86% 40.85%+0.06 -14.8 0
1961-03-19 @ Odense W 2-054.2 1590 1569 40.85% 12.86% 46.29%-0.06 +14.8 2
1961-03-19 KB Copenhagen L 1-257.6 1523 1613 36.52% 12.83% 50.65%-0.60 -6.0 0
1961-03-19 @ Skovshoved W 2-157.6 1613 1523 50.65% 12.83% 36.52%+0.60 +6.0 2
1961-03-26 Skovshoved L 2-363.3 1527 1517 50.53% 12.85% 36.62%+0.34 -7.6 0
1961-03-26 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 3-263.3 1517 1527 36.62% 12.85% 50.53%-0.34 +7.6 2
1961-03-26 Esbjerg W 2-050.7 1550 1560 47.77% 12.86% 39.37%+0.16 +12.8 2
1961-03-26 @ B 1913 L 0-250.7 1560 1550 39.37% 12.86% 47.77%-0.16 -12.8 2
1961-03-26 Frederikshavn D 1-169.0 1521 1561 43.45% 12.86% 43.69%-0.13 +0.0 1
1961-03-26 @ B 1903 D 1-169.0 1561 1521 43.69% 12.86% 43.45%+0.13 -0.0 3
1961-03-26 Aarhus GF D 2-277.2 1619 1596 52.25% 12.84% 34.91%+0.46 -0.5 3
1961-03-26 @ KB Copenhagen D 2-277.2 1596 1619 34.91% 12.84% 52.25%-0.46 +0.5 3
1961-03-26 Odense W 3-262.0 1528 1555 45.39% 12.86% 41.75%+0.00 +6.4 2
1961-03-26 @ Koge BK L 2-362.0 1555 1528 41.75% 12.86% 45.39%+0.00 -6.4 0
1961-03-26 B 1909 L 0-257.1 1605 1548 56.62% 12.82% 30.56%+0.78 -17.8 2
1961-03-26 @ Vejle BK W 2-057.1 1548 1605 30.56% 12.82% 56.62%-0.78 +17.8 4
1961-03-30 B 1903 D 1-168.5 1547 1521 52.75% 12.84% 34.41%+0.50 -0.7 3
1961-03-30 @ Esbjerg D 1-168.5 1521 1547 34.41% 12.84% 52.75%-0.50 +0.7 2
1961-03-30 KB Copenhagen L 2-461.8 1561 1618 41.04% 12.85% 46.11%-0.29 -10.3 3
1961-03-30 @ Frederikshavn W 4-261.8 1618 1561 46.11% 12.85% 41.04%+0.29 +10.3 5
1961-03-30 Vejle BK L 0-251.0 1525 1587 40.34% 12.85% 46.81%-0.34 -13.1 2
1961-03-30 @ Skovshoved W 2-051.0 1587 1525 46.81% 12.85% 40.34%+0.34 +13.1 4
1961-03-31 Koge BK W 4-044.5 1563 1534 53.05% 12.84% 34.11%+0.52 +21.4 4
1961-03-31 @ B 1913 L 0-444.5 1534 1563 34.11% 12.84% 53.05%-0.52 -21.4 2
1961-04-03 Aarhus GF L 1-263.1 1600 1597 49.61% 12.85% 37.54%+0.28 -7.9 4
1961-04-03 @ Vejle BK W 2-163.1 1597 1600 37.54% 12.85% 49.61%-0.28 +7.9 5
1961-04-09 Odense L 1-557.1 1605 1548 56.60% 12.82% 30.59%+0.78 -28.2 5
1961-04-09 @ Aarhus GF W 5-157.1 1548 1605 30.59% 12.82% 56.60%-0.78 +28.2 2
1961-04-09 KB Copenhagen L 4-571.4 1584 1629 42.89% 12.85% 44.25%-0.17 -6.3 4
1961-04-09 @ B 1913 W 5-471.4 1629 1584 44.25% 12.85% 42.89%+0.17 +6.3 7
1961-04-09 AIA Tranbjerg W 6-043.5 1547 1519 52.83% 12.84% 34.33%+0.51 +31.6 5
1961-04-09 @ Esbjerg L 0-643.5 1519 1547 34.33% 12.84% 52.83%-0.51 -31.6 0
1961-04-09 Koge BK W 2-154.2 1521 1513 50.36% 12.85% 36.79%+0.33 +6.0 4
1961-04-09 @ B 1903 L 1-254.2 1513 1521 36.79% 12.85% 50.36%-0.33 -6.0 2
1961-04-09 Vejle BK W 3-157.5 1551 1592 43.32% 12.86% 43.82%-0.14 +12.2 5
1961-04-09 @ Frederikshavn L 1-357.5 1592 1551 43.82% 12.86% 43.32%+0.14 -12.2 4
1961-04-09 B 1909 D 0-065.6 1512 1566 41.45% 12.85% 45.69%-0.26 +0.2 3
1961-04-09 @ Skovshoved D 0-065.6 1566 1512 45.69% 12.85% 41.45%+0.26 -0.2 5
1961-04-16 Frederikshavn L 0-248.4 1488 1563 38.54% 12.84% 48.62%-0.46 -12.6 0
1961-04-16 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 2-048.4 1563 1488 48.62% 12.84% 38.54%+0.46 +12.6 7
1961-04-16 B 1913 W 2-159.2 1528 1578 41.99% 12.85% 45.16%-0.23 +7.2 6
1961-04-16 @ B 1903 L 1-259.2 1578 1528 45.16% 12.85% 41.99%+0.23 -7.2 4
1961-04-16 B 1909 L 1-256.8 1507 1566 40.80% 12.85% 46.35%-0.31 -6.6 2
1961-04-16 @ Koge BK W 2-156.8 1566 1507 46.35% 12.85% 40.80%+0.31 +6.6 7
1961-04-23 B 1913 L 0-150.4 1475 1571 35.75% 12.83% 51.43%-0.65 -6.2 0
1961-04-23 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 1-050.4 1571 1475 51.43% 12.83% 35.75%+0.65 +6.2 6
1961-04-23 Aarhus GF L 1-359.0 1572 1576 48.59% 12.85% 38.55%+0.21 -13.4 7
1961-04-23 @ B 1909 W 3-159.0 1576 1572 38.55% 12.85% 48.59%-0.21 +13.4 7
1961-04-23 B 1903 D 2-276.1 1635 1535 61.79% 12.76% 25.45%+1.20 -1.1 8
1961-04-23 @ KB Copenhagen D 2-276.1 1535 1635 25.45% 12.76% 61.79%-1.20 +1.1 7
1961-04-23 Skovshoved W 3-044.6 1500 1512 47.54% 12.86% 39.60%+0.14 +18.7 4
1961-04-23 @ Koge BK L 0-344.6 1512 1500 39.60% 12.86% 47.54%-0.14 -18.7 3
1961-04-23 Frederikshavn L 1-261.8 1576 1576 49.26% 12.85% 37.89%+0.26 -7.8 2
1961-04-23 @ Odense W 2-161.8 1576 1576 37.89% 12.85% 49.26%-0.26 +7.8 9
1961-04-23 Esbjerg L 0-255.1 1580 1578 49.40% 12.85% 37.75%+0.27 -15.7 4
1961-04-23 @ Vejle BK W 2-055.1 1578 1580 37.75% 12.85% 49.40%-0.27 +15.7 7
1961-04-30 Skovshoved W 2-045.7 1590 1493 61.41% 12.77% 25.83%+1.16 +8.8 9
1961-04-30 @ Aarhus GF L 0-245.7 1493 1590 25.83% 12.77% 61.41%-1.16 -8.8 3
1961-04-30 Vejle BK W 4-259.3 1577 1564 50.93% 12.85% 36.22%+0.37 +9.2 8
1961-04-30 @ B 1913 L 2-459.3 1564 1577 36.22% 12.85% 50.93%-0.37 -9.2 4
1961-04-30 Odense D 0-068.2 1594 1569 52.59% 12.84% 34.57%+0.49 -0.8 8
1961-04-30 @ Esbjerg D 0-068.2 1569 1594 34.57% 12.84% 52.59%-0.49 +0.8 3
1961-04-30 AIA Tranbjerg L 0-155.5 1536 1469 57.89% 12.80% 29.31%+0.88 -9.6 7
1961-04-30 @ B 1903 W 1-055.5 1469 1536 29.31% 12.80% 57.89%-0.88 +9.7 2
1961-04-30 B 1909 L 1-360.0 1583 1559 52.48% 12.84% 34.68%+0.48 -14.4 9
1961-04-30 @ Frederikshavn W 3-160.0 1559 1583 34.68% 12.84% 52.48%-0.48 +14.4 9
1961-05-03 Koge BK W 3-151.7 1634 1519 63.42% 12.74% 23.84%+1.34 +7.1 10
1961-05-03 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-351.7 1519 1634 23.84% 12.74% 63.42%-1.34 -7.1 4
1961-05-07 KB Copenhagen W 4-265.7 1479 1641 27.39% 12.75% 59.87%-1.28 +14.5 4
1961-05-07 @ AIA Tranbjerg L 2-465.7 1641 1479 59.87% 12.75% 27.39%+1.28 -14.6 10
1961-05-07 Esbjerg L 0-157.4 1573 1593 46.40% 12.86% 40.74%+0.06 -7.9 9
1961-05-07 @ B 1909 W 1-057.4 1593 1573 40.74% 12.86% 46.40%-0.06 +7.9 10
1961-05-07 Aarhus GF L 1-256.9 1512 1599 36.93% 12.83% 50.23%-0.57 -6.1 4
1961-05-07 @ Koge BK W 2-156.9 1599 1512 50.23% 12.83% 36.93%+0.57 +6.1 11
1961-05-07 B 1913 L 2-365.8 1569 1586 46.78% 12.86% 40.37%+0.09 -7.1 3
1961-05-07 @ Odense W 3-265.8 1586 1569 40.37% 12.86% 46.78%-0.09 +7.1 10
1961-05-07 Frederikshavn W 1-054.9 1484 1569 37.20% 12.84% 49.96%-0.55 +8.4 5
1961-05-07 @ Skovshoved L 0-154.9 1569 1484 49.96% 12.84% 37.20%+0.55 -8.4 9
1961-05-07 B 1903 W 1-051.1 1555 1526 53.05% 12.84% 34.11%+0.52 +6.0 6
1961-05-07 @ Vejle BK L 0-151.1 1526 1555 34.11% 12.84% 53.05%-0.52 -6.0 7
1961-05-11 Skovshoved D 2-272.5 1562 1493 58.22% 12.80% 28.97%+0.91 -0.9 4
1961-05-11 @ Odense D 2-272.5 1493 1562 28.97% 12.80% 58.22%-0.91 +0.9 6
1961-05-14 Koge BK L 1-353.6 1493 1506 47.42% 12.86% 39.72%+0.13 -13.1 4
1961-05-14 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 3-153.6 1506 1493 39.72% 12.86% 47.42%-0.13 +13.1 6
1961-05-14 B 1909 W 1-053.5 1593 1565 52.95% 12.84% 34.21%+0.51 +6.0 12
1961-05-14 @ B 1913 L 0-153.5 1565 1593 34.21% 12.84% 52.95%-0.51 -6.0 9
1961-05-14 Skovshoved W 1-048.7 1601 1493 62.59% 12.75% 24.66%+1.26 +4.5 12
1961-05-14 @ Esbjerg L 0-148.7 1493 1601 24.66% 12.75% 62.59%-1.26 -4.5 6
1961-05-14 Odense L 0-250.9 1520 1561 43.34% 12.86% 43.80%-0.14 -14.0 7
1961-05-14 @ B 1903 W 2-050.9 1561 1520 43.80% 12.86% 43.34%+0.14 +14.0 6
1961-05-14 Aarhus GF W 1-056.7 1561 1605 42.93% 12.85% 44.21%-0.17 +7.5 11
1961-05-14 @ Frederikshavn L 0-156.7 1605 1561 44.21% 12.85% 42.93%+0.17 -7.5 11
1961-05-14 Vejle BK W 5-255.3 1626 1561 57.72% 12.81% 29.47%+0.87 +10.5 12
1961-05-14 @ KB Copenhagen L 2-555.3 1561 1626 29.47% 12.81% 57.72%-0.87 -10.5 6
1961-05-17 AIA Tranbjerg W 2-151.8 1597 1480 63.62% 12.73% 23.65%+1.35 +4.0 13
1961-05-17 @ Aarhus GF L 1-251.8 1480 1597 23.65% 12.73% 63.62%-1.35 -4.0 4
1961-05-21 Esbjerg W 4-154.9 1601 1605 48.58% 12.85% 38.57%+0.21 +15.4 15
1961-05-21 @ Aarhus GF L 1-454.9 1605 1601 38.57% 12.85% 48.58%-0.21 -15.4 12
1961-05-21 B 1903 L 1-261.2 1559 1506 56.19% 12.82% 30.99%+0.75 -8.9 9
1961-05-21 @ B 1909 W 2-161.2 1506 1559 30.99% 12.82% 56.19%-0.75 +8.8 9
1961-05-21 Frederikshavn W 4-153.5 1519 1568 42.16% 12.85% 44.99%-0.22 +17.7 8
1961-05-21 @ Koge BK L 1-453.5 1568 1519 44.99% 12.85% 42.16%+0.22 -17.7 11
1961-05-21 KB Copenhagen W 5-261.0 1575 1637 40.42% 12.85% 46.73%-0.33 +15.8 8
1961-05-21 @ Odense L 2-561.0 1637 1575 46.73% 12.85% 40.42%+0.33 -15.8 12
1961-05-21 B 1913 L 1-548.3 1489 1599 33.78% 12.81% 53.40%-0.79 -17.7 6
1961-05-21 @ Skovshoved W 5-148.3 1599 1489 53.40% 12.81% 33.78%+0.79 +17.7 14
1961-05-30 AIA Tranbjerg W 4-040.3 1550 1476 58.80% 12.80% 28.41%+0.95 +18.2 8
1961-05-30 @ Vejle BK L 0-440.3 1476 1550 28.41% 12.80% 58.80%-0.95 -18.2 4
1961-05-31 Odense W 4-048.8 1551 1591 43.43% 12.86% 43.72%-0.13 +26.7 11
1961-05-31 @ B 1909 L 0-448.8 1591 1551 43.72% 12.86% 43.43%+0.13 -26.7 8
1961-05-31 Esbjerg W 3-263.2 1621 1590 53.37% 12.84% 33.79%+0.54 +5.3 14
1961-05-31 @ KB Copenhagen L 2-363.2 1590 1621 33.79% 12.84% 53.37%-0.54 -5.3 12
1961-06-03 Skovshoved W 1-047.1 1515 1471 55.01% 12.83% 32.17%+0.66 +5.7 11
1961-06-03 @ B 1903 L 0-147.1 1471 1515 32.17% 12.83% 55.01%-0.66 -5.7 6
1961-06-04 Odense W 2-158.6 1458 1564 34.30% 12.82% 52.89%-0.76 +8.4 6
1961-06-04 @ AIA Tranbjerg L 1-258.6 1564 1458 52.89% 12.82% 34.30%+0.76 -8.4 8
1961-06-04 Aarhus GF W 3-050.7 1617 1617 49.24% 12.85% 37.91%+0.25 +18.0 16
1961-06-04 @ B 1913 L 0-350.7 1617 1617 37.91% 12.85% 49.24%-0.25 -18.0 15
1961-06-04 Frederikshavn W 2-049.6 1585 1551 53.74% 12.83% 33.42%+0.57 +11.1 14
1961-06-04 @ Esbjerg L 0-249.6 1551 1585 33.42% 12.83% 53.74%-0.57 -11.1 11
1961-06-04 B 1909 W 8-250.7 1626 1577 55.69% 12.82% 31.49%+0.71 +20.0 16
1961-06-04 @ KB Copenhagen L 2-850.7 1577 1626 31.49% 12.82% 55.69%-0.71 -20.0 11
1961-06-04 Vejle BK W 5-256.9 1536 1569 44.63% 12.86% 42.52%-0.06 +14.6 10
1961-06-04 @ Koge BK L 2-556.9 1569 1536 42.52% 12.86% 44.63%+0.06 -14.6 8
1961-08-20 B 1913 L 0-255.2 1599 1635 43.99% 12.86% 43.15%-0.10 -14.1 15
1961-08-20 @ Aarhus GF W 2-055.2 1635 1599 43.15% 12.86% 43.99%+0.10 +14.2 18
1961-08-20 KB Copenhagen L 0-648.2 1557 1646 36.63% 12.83% 50.54%-0.59 -33.4 11
1961-08-20 @ B 1909 W 6-048.2 1646 1557 50.54% 12.83% 36.63%+0.59 +33.4 18
1961-08-20 Esbjerg L 0-748.4 1539 1596 41.18% 12.85% 45.96%-0.28 -42.9 11
1961-08-20 @ Frederikshavn W 7-048.4 1596 1539 45.96% 12.85% 41.18%+0.28 +42.9 16
1961-08-20 AIA Tranbjerg W 2-043.7 1556 1466 60.61% 12.78% 26.61%+1.10 +9.0 10
1961-08-20 @ Odense L 0-243.7 1466 1556 26.61% 12.78% 60.61%-1.10 -9.0 6
1961-08-20 B 1903 L 0-442.7 1466 1521 41.34% 12.85% 45.81%-0.27 -25.4 6
1961-08-20 @ Skovshoved W 4-042.7 1521 1466 45.81% 12.85% 41.34%+0.27 +25.4 13
1961-08-20 Koge BK L 3-757.6 1554 1551 49.58% 12.85% 37.57%+0.28 -19.3 8
1961-08-20 @ Vejle BK W 7-357.6 1551 1554 37.57% 12.85% 49.58%-0.28 +19.3 12
1961-08-27 Vejle BK L 0-343.5 1457 1535 38.20% 12.84% 48.96%-0.48 -18.2 6
1961-08-27 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 3-043.5 1535 1457 48.96% 12.84% 38.20%+0.48 +18.2 10
1961-08-27 Skovshoved L 0-259.7 1649 1440 72.09% 12.53% 15.38%+2.23 -22.7 18
1961-08-27 @ B 1913 W 2-059.7 1440 1649 15.38% 12.53% 72.09%-2.23 +22.6 8
1961-08-27 Aarhus GF W 4-259.7 1639 1584 56.32% 12.82% 30.86%+0.76 +8.0 18
1961-08-27 @ Esbjerg L 2-459.7 1584 1639 30.86% 12.82% 56.32%-0.76 -8.0 15
1961-08-27 B 1909 W 2-155.0 1546 1524 52.19% 12.84% 34.97%+0.46 +5.8 15
1961-08-27 @ B 1903 L 1-255.0 1524 1546 34.97% 12.84% 52.19%-0.46 -5.8 11
1961-08-27 Koge BK D 1-168.5 1496 1570 38.73% 12.84% 48.43%-0.45 +0.4 12
1961-08-27 @ Frederikshavn D 1-168.5 1570 1496 48.43% 12.84% 38.73%+0.45 -0.4 13
1961-08-27 Odense W 2-049.3 1680 1565 63.38% 12.74% 23.89%+1.33 +8.2 20
1961-08-27 @ KB Copenhagen L 0-249.3 1565 1680 23.89% 12.74% 63.38%-1.33 -8.2 10
1961-09-03 Frederikshavn W 7-042.4 1576 1497 59.41% 12.79% 27.80%+1.00 +30.2 17
1961-09-03 @ Aarhus GF L 0-742.4 1497 1576 27.80% 12.79% 59.41%-1.00 -30.2 12
1961-09-03 B 1913 W 4-264.5 1518 1627 34.03% 12.82% 53.16%-0.78 +13.0 13
1961-09-03 @ B 1909 L 2-464.5 1627 1518 53.16% 12.82% 34.03%+0.78 -13.0 18
1961-09-03 AIA Tranbjerg L 1-261.7 1570 1439 65.06% 12.71% 22.23%+1.49 -10.2 13
1961-09-03 @ Koge BK W 2-161.7 1439 1570 22.23% 12.71% 65.06%-1.49 +10.2 8
1961-09-03 B 1903 L 2-365.3 1557 1552 49.84% 12.85% 37.31%+0.30 -7.5 10
1961-09-03 @ Odense W 3-265.3 1552 1557 37.31% 12.85% 49.84%-0.30 +7.5 17
1961-09-03 Esbjerg L 1-253.2 1463 1647 24.98% 12.71% 62.31%-1.49 -4.2 8
1961-09-03 @ Skovshoved W 2-153.2 1647 1463 62.31% 12.71% 24.98%+1.49 +4.3 20
1961-09-03 KB Copenhagen L 3-466.3 1553 1688 30.65% 12.79% 56.56%-1.03 -4.8 10
1961-09-03 @ Vejle BK W 4-366.3 1688 1553 56.56% 12.79% 30.65%+1.03 +4.8 22
1961-09-10 Koge BK W 2-157.0 1607 1560 55.40% 12.82% 31.77%+0.69 +5.3 19
1961-09-10 @ Aarhus GF L 1-257.0 1560 1607 31.77% 12.82% 55.40%-0.69 -5.3 13
1961-09-10 Odense W 2-049.3 1614 1549 57.57% 12.81% 29.62%+0.86 +10.0 20
1961-09-10 @ B 1913 L 0-249.3 1549 1614 29.62% 12.81% 57.57%-0.86 -10.0 10
1961-09-10 B 1909 D 1-172.0 1651 1531 63.92% 12.73% 23.36%+1.38 -1.7 21
1961-09-10 @ Esbjerg D 1-172.0 1531 1651 23.36% 12.73% 63.92%-1.38 +1.7 14
1961-09-10 Vejle BK W 3-047.1 1559 1548 50.70% 12.85% 36.45%+0.36 +17.4 19
1961-09-10 @ B 1903 L 0-347.1 1548 1559 36.45% 12.85% 50.70%-0.36 -17.4 10
1961-09-10 Skovshoved D 1-163.3 1467 1459 50.27% 12.85% 36.88%+0.33 -0.5 13
1961-09-10 @ Frederikshavn D 1-163.3 1459 1467 36.88% 12.85% 50.27%-0.33 +0.5 9
1961-09-10 AIA Tranbjerg W 3-148.0 1693 1449 74.59% 12.43% 12.98%+2.55 +4.0 24
1961-09-10 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-348.0 1449 1693 12.98% 12.43% 74.59%-2.55 -4.0 8
1961-09-24 B 1903 L 1-252.0 1445 1577 31.08% 12.79% 56.13%-0.99 -5.2 8
1961-09-24 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 2-152.0 1577 1445 56.13% 12.79% 31.08%+0.99 +5.2 21
1961-09-24 Frederikshavn W 3-255.2 1533 1466 57.86% 12.80% 29.34%+0.88 +4.7 16
1961-09-24 @ B 1909 L 2-355.2 1466 1533 29.34% 12.80% 57.86%-0.88 -4.7 13
1961-09-24 KB Copenhagen W 3-056.9 1554 1697 29.76% 12.78% 57.47%-1.10 +26.2 15
1961-09-24 @ Koge BK L 0-356.9 1697 1554 57.47% 12.78% 29.76%+1.10 -26.2 24
1961-09-24 Esbjerg L 0-348.6 1539 1649 33.88% 12.81% 53.31%-0.79 -16.3 10
1961-09-24 @ Odense W 3-048.6 1649 1539 53.31% 12.81% 33.88%+0.79 +16.3 23
1961-09-24 Aarhus GF W 1-058.1 1459 1612 28.50% 12.76% 58.74%-1.20 +9.8 11
1961-09-24 @ Skovshoved L 0-158.1 1612 1459 58.74% 12.76% 28.50%+1.20 -9.8 19
1961-09-24 B 1913 L 0-251.0 1531 1624 36.12% 12.83% 51.05%-0.63 -11.9 10
1961-09-24 @ Vejle BK W 2-051.0 1624 1531 51.05% 12.83% 36.12%+0.63 +11.9 22
1961-09-30 KB Copenhagen D 0-070.2 1582 1671 36.72% 12.83% 50.45%-0.59 +0.6 22
1961-09-30 @ B 1903 D 0-070.2 1671 1582 50.45% 12.83% 36.72%+0.59 -0.6 25
1961-10-01 B 1909 L 1-458.9 1602 1537 57.63% 12.81% 29.57%+0.86 -22.2 19
1961-10-01 @ Aarhus GF W 4-158.9 1537 1602 29.57% 12.81% 57.63%-0.86 +22.2 18
1961-10-01 AIA Tranbjerg W 4-038.4 1636 1440 71.00% 12.56% 16.43%+2.10 +10.9 24
1961-10-01 @ B 1913 L 0-438.4 1440 1636 16.43% 12.56% 71.00%-2.10 -10.9 8
1961-10-01 Vejle BK W 6-146.0 1666 1519 66.64% 12.68% 20.68%+1.63 +13.9 25
1961-10-01 @ Esbjerg L 1-646.0 1519 1666 20.68% 12.68% 66.64%-1.63 -13.9 10
1961-10-01 Odense D 1-165.4 1461 1523 40.42% 12.85% 46.74%-0.33 +0.2 14
1961-10-01 @ Frederikshavn D 1-165.4 1523 1461 46.74% 12.85% 40.42%+0.33 -0.2 11
1961-10-01 Koge BK D 2-272.3 1469 1581 33.62% 12.81% 53.57%-0.81 +0.6 12
1961-10-01 @ Skovshoved D 2-272.3 1581 1469 53.57% 12.81% 33.62%+0.81 -0.6 16
1961-10-08 Esbjerg L 0-539.7 1429 1679 18.48% 12.56% 68.96%-2.12 -15.0 8
1961-10-08 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 5-039.7 1679 1429 68.96% 12.56% 18.48%+2.12 +15.0 27
1961-10-08 Skovshoved L 0-351.6 1560 1469 60.65% 12.78% 26.58%+1.10 -27.6 18
1961-10-08 @ B 1909 W 3-051.6 1469 1560 26.58% 12.78% 60.65%-1.10 +27.6 14
1961-10-08 B 1913 W 3-051.0 1670 1647 52.34% 12.84% 34.82%+0.47 +16.7 27
1961-10-08 @ KB Copenhagen L 0-351.0 1647 1670 34.82% 12.84% 52.34%-0.47 -16.7 24
1961-10-08 B 1903 L 2-463.7 1580 1583 48.79% 12.85% 38.35%+0.22 -12.0 16
1961-10-08 @ Koge BK W 4-263.7 1583 1580 38.35% 12.85% 48.79%-0.22 +12.0 24
1961-10-08 Aarhus GF D 1-169.7 1523 1580 41.07% 12.85% 46.07%-0.29 +0.2 12
1961-10-08 @ Odense D 1-169.7 1580 1523 46.07% 12.85% 41.07%+0.29 -0.2 20
1961-10-08 Frederikshavn W 4-145.3 1505 1462 54.94% 12.83% 32.23%+0.66 +13.2 12
1961-10-08 @ Vejle BK L 1-445.3 1462 1505 32.23% 12.83% 54.94%-0.66 -13.2 14
1961-10-22 Vejle BK L 0-255.6 1580 1518 57.24% 12.81% 29.95%+0.83 -18.0 20
1961-10-22 @ Aarhus GF W 2-055.6 1518 1580 29.95% 12.81% 57.24%-0.83 +18.0 14
1961-10-22 Koge BK W 6-464.1 1532 1568 44.07% 12.86% 43.07%-0.09 +9.8 20
1961-10-22 @ B 1909 L 4-664.1 1568 1532 43.07% 12.86% 44.07%+0.09 -9.8 16
1961-10-22 B 1903 W 3-156.3 1630 1595 53.87% 12.83% 33.29%+0.58 +9.6 26
1961-10-22 @ B 1913 L 1-356.3 1595 1630 33.29% 12.83% 53.87%-0.58 -9.6 24
1961-10-22 KB Copenhagen W 3-159.4 1694 1687 50.23% 12.85% 36.92%+0.32 +10.5 29
1961-10-22 @ Esbjerg L 1-359.4 1687 1694 36.92% 12.85% 50.23%-0.32 -10.5 27
1961-10-22 AIA Tranbjerg D 2-265.7 1449 1414 53.79% 12.83% 33.37%+0.57 -0.6 15
1961-10-22 @ Frederikshavn D 2-265.7 1414 1449 33.37% 12.83% 53.79%-0.57 +0.6 9
1961-10-22 Odense L 1-353.8 1497 1523 45.51% 12.86% 41.64%+0.00 -12.6 14
1961-10-22 @ Skovshoved W 3-153.8 1523 1497 41.64% 12.86% 45.51%+0.00 +12.6 14
1961-10-29 Aarhus GF L 1-347.3 1415 1562 29.19% 12.77% 58.04%-1.14 -8.5 9
1961-10-29 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 3-147.3 1562 1415 58.04% 12.77% 29.19%+1.14 +8.5 22
1961-10-29 Esbjerg L 0-155.6 1585 1705 32.58% 12.80% 54.62%-0.88 -5.8 24
1961-10-29 @ B 1903 W 1-055.6 1705 1585 54.62% 12.80% 32.58%+0.88 +5.8 31
1961-10-29 Frederikshavn W 4-145.3 1676 1448 73.52% 12.47% 14.01%+2.41 +6.1 29
1961-10-29 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-445.3 1448 1676 14.01% 12.47% 73.52%-2.41 -6.1 15
1961-10-29 B 1913 W 5-261.5 1558 1639 37.71% 12.84% 49.45%-0.52 +16.6 18
1961-10-29 @ Koge BK L 2-561.5 1639 1558 49.45% 12.84% 37.71%+0.52 -16.6 26
1961-10-29 B 1909 W 3-260.9 1536 1542 48.32% 12.85% 38.82%+0.19 +6.0 16
1961-10-29 @ Odense L 2-360.9 1542 1536 38.82% 12.85% 48.32%-0.19 -6.0 20
1961-10-29 Skovshoved W 4-360.1 1536 1484 56.01% 12.82% 31.17%+0.74 +4.8 16
1961-10-29 @ Vejle BK L 3-460.1 1484 1536 31.17% 12.82% 56.01%-0.74 -4.8 14
1961-11-19 KB Copenhagen L 2-557.8 1570 1682 33.59% 12.81% 53.59%-0.81 -11.8 22
1961-11-19 @ Aarhus GF W 5-257.8 1682 1570 53.59% 12.81% 33.59%+0.81 +11.8 31
1961-11-19 Vejle BK L 1-356.7 1536 1541 48.43% 12.85% 38.71%+0.20 -13.3 20
1961-11-19 @ B 1909 W 3-156.7 1541 1536 38.71% 12.85% 48.43%-0.20 +13.3 18
1961-11-19 B 1913 L 0-164.5 1711 1623 60.40% 12.78% 26.82%+1.08 -10.1 31
1961-11-19 @ Esbjerg W 1-064.5 1623 1711 26.82% 12.78% 60.40%-1.08 +10.0 28
1961-11-19 B 1903 W 2-159.7 1442 1579 30.36% 12.78% 56.86%-1.05 +8.9 17
1961-11-19 @ Frederikshavn L 1-259.7 1579 1442 56.86% 12.78% 30.36%+1.05 -8.9 24
1961-11-19 Koge BK W 1-054.8 1542 1575 44.50% 12.86% 42.65%-0.06 +7.3 18
1961-11-19 @ Odense L 0-154.8 1575 1542 42.65% 12.86% 44.50%+0.06 -7.3 18
1961-11-19 AIA Tranbjerg D 0-058.7 1480 1406 58.68% 12.80% 28.52%+0.94 -1.4 15
1961-11-19 @ Skovshoved D 0-058.7 1406 1480 28.52% 12.80% 58.68%-0.94 +1.3 10
1961-11-26 B 1909 L 1-641.3 1408 1522 33.21% 12.81% 53.98%-0.84 -21.4 10
1961-11-26 @ AIA Tranbjerg W 6-141.3 1522 1408 53.98% 12.81% 33.21%+0.84 +21.4 22
1961-11-26 Frederikshavn L 0-356.2 1633 1451 69.86% 12.60% 17.54%+1.97 -31.8 28
1961-11-26 @ B 1913 W 3-056.2 1451 1633 17.54% 12.60% 69.86%-1.97 +31.9 19
1961-11-26 Aarhus GF L 1-261.6 1570 1558 50.80% 12.85% 36.35%+0.36 -8.0 24
1961-11-26 @ B 1903 W 2-161.6 1558 1570 36.35% 12.85% 50.80%-0.36 +8.0 24
1961-11-26 Skovshoved W 7-143.5 1694 1478 72.60% 12.51% 14.89%+2.29 +12.0 33
1961-11-26 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-743.5 1478 1694 14.89% 12.51% 72.60%-2.29 -12.0 15
1961-11-26 Esbjerg L 1-258.8 1568 1701 30.90% 12.79% 56.31%-1.01 -5.2 18
1961-11-26 @ Koge BK W 2-158.8 1701 1568 56.31% 12.79% 30.90%+1.01 +5.2 33
1961-11-26 Odense W 2-156.8 1554 1549 49.89% 12.85% 37.26%+0.30 +6.1 20
1961-11-26 @ Vejle BK L 1-256.8 1549 1554 37.26% 12.85% 49.89%-0.30 -6.1 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1961-08-27 15.38% Skovshoved 1440 2 @ B 1913 1649 0
2 1961-11-26 17.54% Frederikshavn 1451 3 @ B 1913 1633 0
3 1961-09-03 22.23% AIA Tranbjerg 1439 2 @ Koge BK 1570 1
4 1961-10-08 26.58% Skovshoved 1469 3 @ B 1909 1560 0
5 1961-11-19 26.82% B 1913 1623 1 @ Esbjerg 1711 0
6 1961-05-07 27.39% @ AIA Tranbjerg 1479 4 KB Copenhagen 1641 2
7 1961-09-24 28.50% @ Skovshoved 1459 1 Aarhus GF 1612 0
8 1961-04-30 29.31% AIA Tranbjerg 1469 1 @ B 1903 1536 0
9 1961-10-01 29.57% B 1909 1537 4 @ Aarhus GF 1602 1
10 1961-09-24 29.76% @ Koge BK 1554 3 KB Copenhagen 1697 0
11 1961-10-22 29.95% Vejle BK 1518 2 @ Aarhus GF 1580 0
12 1961-11-19 30.36% @ Frederikshavn 1442 2 B 1903 1579 1
13 1961-03-26 30.56% B 1909 1548 2 @ Vejle BK 1605 0
14 1961-04-09 30.59% Odense 1548 5 @ Aarhus GF 1605 1
15 1961-05-21 30.99% B 1903 1506 2 @ B 1909 1559 1
16 1961-09-03 34.03% @ B 1909 1518 4 B 1913 1627 2
17 1961-06-04 34.30% @ AIA Tranbjerg 1458 2 Odense 1564 1
18 1961-04-30 34.68% B 1909 1559 3 @ Frederikshavn 1583 1
19 1961-11-26 36.35% Aarhus GF 1558 2 @ B 1903 1570 1
20 1961-03-26 36.62% Skovshoved 1517 3 @ AIA Tranbjerg 1527 2
21 1961-05-07 37.20% @ Skovshoved 1484 1 Frederikshavn 1569 0
22 1961-09-03 37.31% B 1903 1552 3 @ Odense 1557 2
23 1961-04-03 37.54% Aarhus GF 1597 2 @ Vejle BK 1600 1
24 1961-08-20 37.57% Koge BK 1551 7 @ Vejle BK 1554 3
25 1961-10-29 37.71% @ Koge BK 1558 5 B 1913 1639 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-08-20 42.94 Esbjerg 7 1596 45.96% @ Frederikshavn 0 1539 41.18% 12.85%
2 1961-08-20 33.45 KB Copenhagen 6 1646 50.54% @ B 1909 0 1557 36.63% 12.83%
3 1961-11-26 31.85 Frederikshavn 3 1451 17.54% @ B 1913 0 1633 69.86% 12.60%
4 1961-04-09 31.58 @ Esbjerg 6 1547 52.83% AIA Tranbjerg 0 1519 34.33% 12.84%
5 1961-09-03 30.22 @ Aarhus GF 7 1576 59.41% Frederikshavn 0 1497 27.80% 12.79%
6 1961-04-09 28.16 Odense 5 1548 30.59% @ Aarhus GF 1 1605 56.60% 12.82%
7 1961-10-08 27.65 Skovshoved 3 1469 26.58% @ B 1909 0 1560 60.65% 12.78%
8 1961-05-31 26.70 @ B 1909 4 1551 43.43% Odense 0 1591 43.72% 12.86%
9 1961-09-24 26.24 @ Koge BK 3 1554 29.76% KB Copenhagen 0 1697 57.47% 12.78%
10 1961-08-20 25.43 B 1903 4 1521 45.81% @ Skovshoved 0 1466 41.34% 12.85%
11 1961-08-27 22.65 Skovshoved 2 1440 15.38% @ B 1913 0 1649 72.09% 12.53%
12 1961-10-01 22.19 B 1909 4 1537 29.57% @ Aarhus GF 1 1602 57.63% 12.81%
13 1961-03-31 21.44 @ B 1913 4 1563 53.05% Koge BK 0 1534 34.11% 12.84%
14 1961-11-26 21.37 B 1909 6 1522 53.98% @ AIA Tranbjerg 1 1408 33.21% 12.81%
15 1961-06-04 19.97 @ KB Copenhagen 8 1626 55.69% B 1909 2 1577 31.49% 12.82%
16 1961-08-20 19.28 Koge BK 7 1551 37.57% @ Vejle BK 3 1554 49.58% 12.85%
17 1961-04-23 18.74 @ Koge BK 3 1500 47.54% Skovshoved 0 1512 39.60% 12.86%
18 1961-05-30 18.19 @ Vejle BK 4 1550 58.80% AIA Tranbjerg 0 1476 28.41% 12.80%
19 1961-08-27 18.16 Vejle BK 3 1535 48.96% @ AIA Tranbjerg 0 1457 38.20% 12.84%
20 1961-06-04 18.04 @ B 1913 3 1617 49.24% Aarhus GF 0 1617 37.91% 12.85%
21 1961-10-22 18.01 Vejle BK 2 1518 29.95% @ Aarhus GF 0 1580 57.24% 12.81%
22 1961-03-26 17.82 B 1909 2 1548 30.56% @ Vejle BK 0 1605 56.62% 12.82%
23 1961-05-21 17.72 B 1913 5 1599 53.40% @ Skovshoved 1 1489 33.78% 12.81%
24 1961-05-21 17.67 @ Koge BK 4 1519 42.16% Frederikshavn 1 1568 44.99% 12.85%
25 1961-09-10 17.42 @ B 1903 3 1559 50.70% Vejle BK 0 1548 36.45% 12.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-03-26 77.2 @ KB Copenhagen 2 1619 52.25% Aarhus GF 2 1596 34.91% 12.84%
2 1961-04-23 76.1 @ KB Copenhagen 2 1635 61.79% B 1903 2 1535 25.45% 12.76%
3 1961-05-11 72.5 @ Odense 2 1562 58.22% Skovshoved 2 1493 28.97% 12.80%
4 1961-10-01 72.3 @ Skovshoved 2 1469 33.62% Koge BK 2 1581 53.57% 12.81%
5 1961-09-10 72.0 @ Esbjerg 1 1651 63.92% B 1909 1 1531 23.36% 12.73%
6 1961-04-09 71.4 KB Copenhagen 5 1629 44.25% @ B 1913 4 1584 42.89% 12.85%
7 1961-09-30 70.2 @ B 1903 0 1582 36.72% KB Copenhagen 0 1671 50.45% 12.83%
8 1961-10-08 69.7 @ Odense 1 1523 41.07% Aarhus GF 1 1580 46.07% 12.85%
9 1961-03-26 69.0 @ B 1903 1 1521 43.45% Frederikshavn 1 1561 43.69% 12.86%
10 1961-03-30 68.5 @ Esbjerg 1 1547 52.75% B 1903 1 1521 34.41% 12.84%
11 1961-08-27 68.5 @ Frederikshavn 1 1496 38.73% Koge BK 1 1570 48.43% 12.84%
12 1961-04-30 68.2 @ Esbjerg 0 1594 52.59% Odense 0 1569 34.57% 12.84%
13 1961-09-03 66.3 KB Copenhagen 4 1688 56.56% @ Vejle BK 3 1553 30.65% 12.79%
14 1961-05-07 65.8 B 1913 3 1586 40.37% @ Odense 2 1569 46.78% 12.86%
15 1961-05-07 65.7 @ AIA Tranbjerg 4 1479 27.39% KB Copenhagen 2 1641 59.87% 12.75%
16 1961-10-22 65.7 @ Frederikshavn 2 1449 53.79% AIA Tranbjerg 2 1414 33.37% 12.83%
17 1961-04-09 65.6 @ Skovshoved 0 1512 41.45% B 1909 0 1566 45.69% 12.85%
18 1961-10-01 65.4 @ Frederikshavn 1 1461 40.42% Odense 1 1523 46.74% 12.85%
19 1961-09-03 65.3 B 1903 3 1552 37.31% @ Odense 2 1557 49.84% 12.85%
20 1961-09-03 64.5 @ B 1909 4 1518 34.03% B 1913 2 1627 53.16% 12.82%
21 1961-11-19 64.5 B 1913 1 1623 26.82% @ Esbjerg 0 1711 60.40% 12.78%
22 1961-10-22 64.1 @ B 1909 6 1532 44.07% Koge BK 4 1568 43.07% 12.86%
23 1961-10-08 63.7 B 1903 4 1583 38.35% @ Koge BK 2 1580 48.79% 12.85%
24 1961-03-26 63.3 Skovshoved 3 1517 36.62% @ AIA Tranbjerg 2 1527 50.53% 12.85%
25 1961-09-10 63.3 @ Frederikshavn 1 1467 50.27% Skovshoved 1 1459 36.88% 12.85%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-10-01 38.4 @ B 1913 4 1636 71.00% AIA Tranbjerg 0 1440 16.43% 12.56%
2 1961-10-08 39.7 Esbjerg 5 1679 68.96% @ AIA Tranbjerg 0 1429 18.48% 12.56%
3 1961-05-30 40.3 @ Vejle BK 4 1550 58.80% AIA Tranbjerg 0 1476 28.41% 12.80%
4 1961-11-26 41.3 B 1909 6 1522 53.98% @ AIA Tranbjerg 1 1408 33.21% 12.81%
5 1961-09-03 42.4 @ Aarhus GF 7 1576 59.41% Frederikshavn 0 1497 27.80% 12.79%
6 1961-08-20 42.7 B 1903 4 1521 45.81% @ Skovshoved 0 1466 41.34% 12.85%
7 1961-04-09 43.5 @ Esbjerg 6 1547 52.83% AIA Tranbjerg 0 1519 34.33% 12.84%
8 1961-08-27 43.5 Vejle BK 3 1535 48.96% @ AIA Tranbjerg 0 1457 38.20% 12.84%
9 1961-11-26 43.5 @ KB Copenhagen 7 1694 72.60% Skovshoved 1 1478 14.89% 12.51%
10 1961-08-20 43.7 @ Odense 2 1556 60.61% AIA Tranbjerg 0 1466 26.61% 12.78%
11 1961-03-31 44.5 @ B 1913 4 1563 53.05% Koge BK 0 1534 34.11% 12.84%
12 1961-04-23 44.6 @ Koge BK 3 1500 47.54% Skovshoved 0 1512 39.60% 12.86%
13 1961-10-08 45.3 @ Vejle BK 4 1505 54.94% Frederikshavn 1 1462 32.23% 12.83%
14 1961-10-29 45.3 @ KB Copenhagen 4 1676 73.52% Frederikshavn 1 1448 14.01% 12.47%
15 1961-04-30 45.7 @ Aarhus GF 2 1590 61.41% Skovshoved 0 1493 25.83% 12.77%
16 1961-10-01 46.0 @ Esbjerg 6 1666 66.64% Vejle BK 1 1519 20.68% 12.68%
17 1961-06-03 47.1 @ B 1903 1 1515 55.01% Skovshoved 0 1471 32.17% 12.83%
18 1961-09-10 47.1 @ B 1903 3 1559 50.70% Vejle BK 0 1548 36.45% 12.85%
19 1961-10-29 47.3 Aarhus GF 3 1562 58.04% @ AIA Tranbjerg 1 1415 29.19% 12.77%
20 1961-09-10 48.0 @ KB Copenhagen 3 1693 74.59% AIA Tranbjerg 1 1449 12.98% 12.43%
21 1961-08-20 48.2 KB Copenhagen 6 1646 50.54% @ B 1909 0 1557 36.63% 12.83%
22 1961-03-19 48.3 @ Aarhus GF 2 1586 56.40% B 1903 0 1531 30.78% 12.82%
23 1961-05-21 48.3 B 1913 5 1599 53.40% @ Skovshoved 1 1489 33.78% 12.81%
24 1961-04-16 48.4 Frederikshavn 2 1563 48.62% @ AIA Tranbjerg 0 1488 38.54% 12.84%
25 1961-08-20 48.4 Esbjerg 7 1596 45.96% @ Frederikshavn 0 1539 41.18% 12.85%