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1986 1st Division Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Aarhus GF

41 points · 5th Title

Last Title: 1960

Relegated

Randers

11 pts

Esbjerg · 13 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Naestved

6.97 points above expected

35 points · 28.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kastrup

6.93 points below expected

14 points · 20.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Aarhus GF Champion 26 17 7 2 41 49 22 +27 34.96 +6.04
2 Brondby 26 18 1 7 37 52 30 +22 33.06 +3.94
3 Naestved 26 13 9 4 35 43 23 +20 28.03 +6.97
4 Lyngby 26 12 8 6 32 40 29 +11 27.67 +4.33
5 B 1903 26 10 9 7 29 40 33 +7 29.25 -0.25
6 Ikast 26 11 6 9 28 42 36 +6 26.90 +1.10
7 Vejle BK 26 9 9 8 27 37 36 +1 23.65 +3.35
8 Odense 26 10 6 10 26 38 32 +6 28.06 -2.06
9 Bronshoj 26 10 5 11 25 54 42 +12 28.35 -3.35
10 KB Copenhagen 26 9 6 11 24 33 43 -10 24.48 -0.48
11 Herfolge 26 8 6 12 22 30 44 -14 24.64 -2.64
12 Kastrup 26 4 6 16 14 19 39 -20 20.93 -6.93
13 Esbjerg Relegated 26 3 7 16 13 19 50 -31 19.48 -6.48
14 Randers Relegated 26 4 3 19 11 23 60 -37 14.54 -3.54

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Naestved 35 28.03 +6.97
2 Aarhus GF 41 34.96 +6.04
3 Lyngby 32 27.67 +4.33
4 Brondby 37 33.06 +3.94
5 Vejle BK 27 23.65 +3.35

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kastrup 14 20.93 -6.93
2 Esbjerg 13 19.48 -6.48
3 Randers 11 14.54 -3.54
4 Bronshoj 25 28.35 -3.35
5 Herfolge 22 24.64 -2.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarhus GF 9 Aug 30 – Oct 26 1 in 163
2 Brondby 7 Apr 27 – Aug 3 1 in 91
3 Vejle BK 3 Aug 31 – Sep 14 1 in 51
4 Lyngby 3 Nov 2 – Nov 16 1 in 32
5 Herfolge 4 Apr 6 – Apr 27 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Herfolge 6 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 89
2 Brondby 3 Sep 28 – Oct 12 1 in 48
3 Lyngby 3 May 4 – May 14 1 in 38
4 KB Copenhagen 3 Sep 6 – Sep 14 1 in 27
5 Vejle BK 4 Jul 20 – Aug 10 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarhus GF 24 Apr 6 – Nov 2 1 in 344
2 Vejle BK 11 Aug 13 – Oct 19 1 in 311
3 Naestved 14 Jul 20 – Oct 12 1 in 256
4 B 1903 10 Apr 6 – Aug 3 1 in 70
5 Lyngby 7 Aug 24 – Oct 5 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Esbjerg 18 Apr 27 – Oct 11 1 in 150
2 Kastrup 14 May 14 – Oct 5 1 in 96
3 Herfolge 10 Sep 7 – Nov 9 1 in 41
4 Brondby 5 Sep 14 – Oct 12 1 in 32
5 Odense 7 May 11 – Aug 13 1 in 24

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Aarhus GF 1506 41 -38 5 7.5 -2.5
Brondby 1442 37 +82 10 6.0 +4.0
Naestved 1480 35 +71 8 5.7 +2.3
Lyngby 1409 32 +71 8 5.0 +3.0
B 1903 1337 29 +31 6 6.5 -0.5
Ikast 1353 28 -52 5 6.6 -1.6
Vejle BK 1303 27 -46 5 4.6 +0.4
Odense 1331 26 +23 6 5.6 +0.4
Bronshoj 1360 25 -32 3 5.7 -2.7
KB Copenhagen 1203 24 -43 4 4.5 -0.5
Herfolge 1169 22 -12 3 3.1 -0.1
Kastrup 1102 14 -30 2 3.6 -1.6
Esbjerg 1078 13 -34 2 3.3 -1.3
Randers 1064 11 +7 3 2.2 +0.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AG B1 BRO BRO ESB HER IKA KC KAS LYN NAE ODE RAN VB
Aarhus GF —
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
2.71
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
4.31
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.54
0-1-1
3.80
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
3.82
1-1-0
4.73
0-2-0
4.02
B 1903
0-1-1
2.15
—
2-0-0
1.96
0-1-1
3.08
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
2.88
0-2-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
4.29
0-1-1
3.45
Brondby
0-0-2
2.77
0-0-2
3.53
—
2-0-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.89
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.00
Bronshoj
0-1-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
1.87
—
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.01
0-0-2
3.28
0-1-1
3.61
0-1-1
3.20
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.50
2-0-0
4.29
1-0-1
2.97
Esbjerg
0-0-2
1.23
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
1.74
—
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.81
0-1-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
1.81
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
3.40
0-2-0
1.81
Herfolge
0-0-2
1.43
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
2.16
0-0-2
2.27
1-1-0
3.49
—
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
3.54
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
1.88
1-1-0
4.10
1-0-1
2.61
Ikast
0-1-1
1.90
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
3.69
0-1-1
3.11
—
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
2.42
1-0-1
3.03
2-0-0
3.94
0-1-1
3.01
KB Copenhagen
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.61
2-0-0
2.21
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.42
—
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
4.02
0-1-1
2.95
Kastrup
0-0-2
1.98
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
1.69
1-1-0
1.89
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
1.96
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.39
—
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
1.85
1-0-1
3.43
0-0-2
2.38
Lyngby
1-1-0
1.70
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.29
1-1-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.49
—
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.47
2-0-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.28
Naestved
1-0-1
2.13
0-2-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.31
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
3.07
1-1-0
2.83
2-0-0
3.86
1-1-0
2.80
—
0-2-0
2.36
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
3.18
Odense
0-0-2
1.68
1-1-0
2.60
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.58
0-1-1
3.62
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
3.56
2-0-0
3.65
0-0-2
3.02
0-2-0
3.13
—
2-0-0
4.30
1-1-0
3.23
Randers
0-1-1
0.82
1-0-1
1.23
0-1-1
1.19
0-0-2
1.22
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
1.41
0-0-2
1.58
1-0-1
1.48
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
1.18
0-0-2
1.21
—
0-0-2
1.98
Vejle BK
0-2-0
1.49
1-1-0
2.04
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.52
0-2-0
3.69
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.48
1-1-0
2.54
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.26
2-0-0
3.53
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +6.8
Allowed 0.80 -7.7
Differential 0.92 +4.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.49%9.07%6.04%3.02%1.65%1.10%26.37%
19.07%10.99%6.32%4.95%0.55%0.55%32.42%
26.04%6.32%6.59%2.47%1.10%0.55%23.08%
33.02%4.95%2.47%1.10%—0.55%12.09%
41.65%0.55%1.10%———3.30%
5+1.10%0.55%0.55%0.55%——2.75%
Total26.37%32.42%23.08%12.09%3.30%2.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.27 1.86
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 7 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%————11.54%
123.08%7.69%3.85%———34.62%
2—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
37.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total42.31%34.62%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.85 +1.04
SD 1.28 0.88 1.31
CV 0.68 1.04 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%———3.85%—15.38%
111.54%11.54%15.38%———38.46%
27.69%3.85%7.69%—7.69%—26.92%
33.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total38.46%23.08%23.08%3.85%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.27 +0.27
SD 1.07 1.34 1.69
CV 0.69 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
13.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
211.54%19.23%————30.77%
3—15.38%11.54%———26.92%
4———————
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total19.23%50.00%26.92%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.15 +0.85
SD 1.36 0.78 1.62
CV 0.68 0.68 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
13.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
2——11.54%11.54%——23.08%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+7.69%—3.85%3.85%——15.38%
Total26.92%15.38%26.92%30.77%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.62 +0.46
SD 1.79 1.20 2.32
CV 0.86 0.74 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
17.69%15.38%3.85%15.38%—3.85%46.15%
2——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%26.92%26.92%19.23%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.92 -1.19
SD 0.78 1.41 1.44
CV 1.06 0.73 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%7.69%—3.85%3.85%30.77%
111.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
27.69%11.54%19.23%3.85%—3.85%46.15%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%30.77%30.77%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.69 -0.54
SD 0.88 1.41 1.73
CV 0.76 0.83 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
17.69%19.23%7.69%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%42.31%23.08%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.38 +0.23
SD 1.39 1.06 1.99
CV 0.86 0.77 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%23.08%
111.54%15.38%7.69%——3.85%38.46%
27.69%7.69%7.69%—7.69%—30.77%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%38.46%23.08%3.85%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.65 -0.38
SD 1.00 1.47 1.92
CV 0.79 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%23.08%11.54%3.85%3.85%—57.69%
13.85%—7.69%7.69%——19.23%
2—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
3———————
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%34.62%26.92%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.50 -0.77
SD 1.04 1.10 1.42
CV 1.43 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—7.69%3.85%——19.23%
111.54%19.23%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
27.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
4———————
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total34.62%30.77%23.08%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.12 +0.42
SD 1.48 1.03 1.68
CV 0.96 0.93 —
Max 7 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%————11.54%
115.38%19.23%3.85%3.85%——42.31%
211.54%—7.69%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%11.54%————15.38%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total42.31%34.62%15.38%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 0.88 +0.77
SD 1.13 0.95 1.39
CV 0.68 1.08 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%—7.69%——26.92%
1—15.38%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
215.38%7.69%3.85%7.69%——34.62%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total26.92%42.31%11.54%19.23%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.23 +0.23
SD 1.21 1.07 1.77
CV 0.83 0.87 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%42.31%
111.54%3.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%—34.62%
2—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
3—————7.69%7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%26.92%23.08%19.23%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 2.31 -1.42
SD 0.95 1.78 1.63
CV 1.08 0.77 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—11.54%—3.85%3.85%30.77%
13.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
211.54%3.85%————15.38%
3—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total34.62%23.08%23.08%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.38 +0.04
SD 1.39 1.39 2.18
CV 0.98 1.00 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aarhus GF 1506 41 34.96 +6.04 95.0% 26 28 32 35 37 41 43
Naestved 1480 35 28.03 +6.97 99.0% 18 22 25 28 30 34 37
Brondby 1442 37 33.06 +3.94 88.0% 23 26 30 33 36 39 43
Lyngby 1409 32 27.67 +4.33 88.0% 16 22 25 27 30 34 40
Bronshoj 1360 25 28.35 -3.35 19.0% 19 22 26 28 30 35 38
Ikast 1353 28 26.90 +1.10 64.0% 15 19 24 27 30 32 35
B 1903 1337 29 29.25 -0.25 51.0% 17 22 26 29 32 37 40
Odense 1331 26 28.06 -2.06 32.0% 17 20 25 28 31 35 36
Vejle BK 1303 27 23.65 +3.35 82.0% 13 17 21 24 26 30 34
KB Copenhagen 1203 24 24.48 -0.48 55.0% 13 18 22 24 28 32 34
Herfolge 1169 22 24.64 -2.64 33.0% 14 17 22 25 27 33 35
Kastrup 1102 14 20.93 -6.93 4.0% 11 15 19 20 23 27 31
Esbjerg 1078 13 19.48 -6.48 5.0% 11 12 17 20 22 26 27
Randers 1064 11 14.54 -3.54 17.0% 6 8 12 14 17 21 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.09%
Slight Edge
43.96%24.18%31.87%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 42.20 Elo pts.
203 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.26 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
One-Team Race
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
54%
Aarhus GF, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.24 * Some Luck: 3.24 to 4.87 * Lucky: 4.87 to 6.49 * Wild Swing: 6.49 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.68 * Close: 1.68 to 2.52 * Off: 2.52 to 3.36 * Way Off: 3.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.6 * A Surprise: 0.6 to 0.96 * Several Surprises: 0.96 to 1.32 * Many Surprises: 1.32 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.28 points
Some Luck
04.0510
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.71
Close
02.105
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.00%
Naestved
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
4.00%
Kastrup
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 2
As Expected
00.62

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Lopsided
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 148.43
2.01
Wide Separation
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Notable Separation
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.23
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Strong Carryover
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.039
Well Within Noise
00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Aarhus GF54.00%20.00%7.00%9.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%——————
Brondby28.00%30.00%15.00%12.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%———
Naestved—7.00%11.00%17.00%13.00%15.00%8.00%3.00%10.00%13.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—
Lyngby2.00%7.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%18.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—
B 190310.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%18.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Ikast1.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%
Vejle BK—2.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%16.00%13.00%18.00%9.00%9.00%2.00%
Odense1.00%8.00%14.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%—
Bronshoj3.00%6.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%9.00%10.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%——
KB Copenhagen—1.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%16.00%16.00%14.00%7.00%—
Herfolge1.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%
Kastrup——1.00%1.00%—2.00%5.00%3.00%12.00%9.00%15.00%26.00%23.00%3.00%
Esbjerg——————4.00%5.00%3.00%8.00%15.00%18.00%37.00%10.00%
Randers————————1.00%—3.00%3.00%13.00%80.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Aarhus GF 100% —
Brondby 100% —
Bronshoj 100% —
Lyngby 99.00% 1.00%
Naestved 99.00% 1.00%
B 1903 98.00% 2.00%
Ikast 98.00% 2.00%
Odense 98.00% 2.00%
KB Copenhagen 93.00% 7.00%
Herfolge 92.00% 8.00%
Vejle BK 89.00% 11.00%
Kastrup 74.00% 26.00%
Esbjerg 53.00% 47.00%
Randers 7.00% 93.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1986-04-06 Naestved W 3-249.5 1305 1285 48.21% 25.55% 26.24%+0.30 +10.5 2
1986-04-06 @ Esbjerg L 2-349.5 1285 1305 26.24% 25.55% 48.21%-0.30 -10.5 0
1986-04-06 Aarhus GF D 0-049.6 1301 1330 41.98% 25.63% 32.38%+0.07 -0.9 1
1986-04-06 @ B 1903 D 0-049.6 1330 1301 32.38% 25.63% 41.98%-0.07 +0.9 1
1986-04-06 Vejle BK W 2-035.8 1300 1290 47.12% 25.57% 27.31%+0.26 +23.0 2
1986-04-06 @ Herfolge L 0-235.8 1290 1300 27.31% 25.57% 47.12%-0.26 -23.0 0
1986-04-06 Brondby L 1-249.0 1296 1335 40.63% 25.64% 33.74%+0.02 -15.5 0
1986-04-06 @ Ikast W 2-149.0 1335 1296 33.74% 25.64% 40.63%-0.02 +15.5 2
1986-04-06 Kastrup D 2-259.1 1276 1291 43.88% 25.62% 30.50%+0.13 -0.8 1
1986-04-06 @ KB Copenhagen D 2-259.1 1291 1276 30.50% 25.62% 43.88%-0.13 +0.8 1
1986-04-06 Bronshoj W 3-032.7 1311 1277 49.88% 25.51% 24.61%+0.37 +30.7 2
1986-04-06 @ Odense L 0-332.7 1277 1311 24.61% 25.51% 49.88%-0.37 -30.7 0
1986-04-06 Lyngby L 1-342.3 1217 1323 31.24% 25.54% 43.22%-0.32 -22.0 0
1986-04-06 @ Randers W 3-142.3 1323 1217 43.22% 25.54% 31.24%+0.32 +22.0 2
1986-04-12 KB Copenhagen L 0-143.5 1246 1275 42.01% 25.63% 32.36%+0.07 -16.9 0
1986-04-12 @ Bronshoj W 1-043.5 1275 1246 32.36% 25.63% 42.01%-0.07 +16.9 3
1986-04-13 Ikast D 2-259.5 1331 1281 51.81% 25.44% 22.74%+0.46 -1.9 2
1986-04-13 @ Aarhus GF D 2-259.5 1281 1331 22.74% 25.44% 51.81%-0.46 +1.9 1
1986-04-13 Randers W 5-029.1 1351 1195 61.71% 24.75% 13.54%+0.97 +29.9 4
1986-04-13 @ Brondby L 0-529.1 1195 1351 13.54% 24.75% 61.71%-0.97 -29.9 0
1986-04-13 B 1903 D 0-049.3 1292 1300 44.67% 25.61% 29.72%+0.16 -1.4 2
1986-04-13 @ Kastrup D 0-049.3 1300 1292 29.72% 25.61% 44.67%-0.16 +1.4 2
1986-04-13 Esbjerg W 2-035.6 1345 1315 49.48% 25.52% 25.00%+0.35 +21.4 4
1986-04-13 @ Lyngby L 0-235.6 1315 1345 25.00% 25.52% 49.48%-0.35 -21.4 2
1986-04-13 Herfolge L 1-248.4 1275 1323 39.28% 25.64% 35.08%-0.03 -15.1 0
1986-04-13 @ Naestved W 2-148.4 1323 1275 35.08% 25.64% 39.28%+0.03 +15.1 4
1986-04-13 Odense L 0-238.4 1267 1341 35.59% 25.61% 38.80%-0.16 -28.1 0
1986-04-13 @ Vejle BK W 2-038.4 1341 1267 38.80% 25.61% 35.59%+0.16 +28.1 4
1986-04-20 Brondby W 1-043.0 1329 1381 38.89% 25.64% 35.48%-0.04 +14.9 4
1986-04-20 @ Aarhus GF L 0-143.0 1381 1329 35.48% 25.64% 38.89%+0.04 -14.9 4
1986-04-20 Randers W 1-035.1 1294 1165 59.52% 24.97% 15.51%+0.84 +7.7 4
1986-04-20 @ Esbjerg L 0-135.1 1165 1294 15.51% 24.97% 59.52%-0.84 -7.7 0
1986-04-20 Bronshoj D 2-259.1 1302 1230 54.16% 25.34% 20.50%+0.56 -2.2 3
1986-04-20 @ B 1903 D 2-259.1 1230 1302 20.50% 25.34% 54.16%-0.56 +2.2 1
1986-04-20 Lyngby W 2-147.3 1338 1367 42.08% 25.63% 32.29%+0.07 +13.1 6
1986-04-20 @ Herfolge L 1-247.3 1367 1338 32.29% 25.63% 42.08%-0.07 -13.1 4
1986-04-20 Kastrup L 1-443.8 1283 1290 44.81% 25.61% 29.58%+0.17 -41.2 1
1986-04-20 @ Ikast W 4-143.8 1290 1283 29.58% 25.61% 44.81%-0.17 +41.2 4
1986-04-20 Vejle BK D 1-153.4 1292 1239 52.15% 25.43% 22.42%+0.47 -2.6 4
1986-04-20 @ KB Copenhagen D 1-153.4 1239 1292 22.42% 25.43% 52.15%-0.47 +2.6 1
1986-04-20 Naestved D 1-154.1 1369 1260 57.82% 25.11% 17.07%+0.75 -3.7 5
1986-04-20 @ Odense D 1-154.1 1260 1369 17.07% 25.11% 57.82%-0.75 +3.7 1
1986-04-26 Ikast W 3-033.8 1232 1241 44.55% 25.61% 29.83%+0.16 +35.7 3
1986-04-26 @ Bronshoj L 0-333.8 1241 1232 29.83% 25.61% 44.55%-0.16 -35.7 1
1986-04-27 Esbjerg W 2-034.5 1366 1301 53.32% 25.38% 21.30%+0.52 +18.8 6
1986-04-27 @ Brondby L 0-234.5 1301 1366 21.30% 25.38% 53.32%-0.52 -18.8 4
1986-04-27 Aarhus GF L 0-339.3 1331 1344 44.16% 25.62% 30.22%+0.15 -48.3 4
1986-04-27 @ Kastrup W 3-039.3 1344 1331 30.22% 25.62% 44.16%-0.15 +48.3 6
1986-04-27 Odense W 1-041.5 1354 1366 44.22% 25.62% 30.16%+0.15 +13.2 6
1986-04-27 @ Lyngby L 0-141.5 1366 1354 30.16% 25.62% 44.22%-0.15 -13.2 5
1986-04-27 KB Copenhagen D 2-259.1 1263 1290 42.34% 25.63% 32.03%+0.08 -0.6 2
1986-04-27 @ Naestved D 2-259.1 1290 1263 32.03% 25.63% 42.34%-0.08 +0.6 5
1986-04-27 Herfolge L 0-137.0 1157 1351 21.05% 25.11% 53.83%-0.75 -9.8 0
1986-04-27 @ Randers W 1-037.0 1351 1157 53.83% 25.11% 21.05%+0.75 +9.8 8
1986-04-27 B 1903 D 3-363.0 1241 1300 37.90% 25.63% 36.47%-0.08 -0.1 2
1986-04-27 @ Vejle BK D 3-363.0 1300 1241 36.47% 25.63% 37.90%+0.08 +0.1 4
1986-05-04 Bronshoj D 1-154.4 1392 1267 59.16% 25.00% 15.83%+0.82 -3.9 7
1986-05-04 @ Aarhus GF D 1-154.4 1267 1392 15.83% 25.00% 59.16%-0.82 +3.9 4
1986-05-04 Naestved D 1-153.5 1300 1263 50.30% 25.49% 24.21%+0.39 -2.2 5
1986-05-04 @ B 1903 D 1-153.5 1263 1300 24.21% 25.49% 50.30%-0.39 +2.2 3
1986-05-04 Esbjerg D 2-259.8 1361 1283 54.82% 25.30% 19.88%+0.59 -2.3 9
1986-05-04 @ Herfolge D 2-259.8 1283 1361 19.88% 25.30% 54.82%-0.59 +2.3 5
1986-05-04 Vejle BK D 1-153.1 1206 1241 41.08% 25.64% 33.28%+0.03 -0.6 2
1986-05-04 @ Ikast D 1-153.1 1241 1206 33.28% 25.64% 41.08%-0.03 +0.6 3
1986-05-04 Brondby L 2-351.8 1283 1385 31.91% 25.56% 42.53%-0.29 -12.3 4
1986-05-04 @ Kastrup W 3-251.8 1385 1283 42.53% 25.56% 31.91%+0.29 +12.3 8
1986-05-04 Lyngby W 2-039.8 1290 1367 35.31% 25.61% 39.08%-0.17 +30.1 7
1986-05-04 @ KB Copenhagen L 0-239.8 1367 1290 39.08% 25.61% 35.31%+0.17 -30.2 6
1986-05-04 Randers W 2-029.9 1353 1147 65.20% 24.27% 10.53%+1.22 +10.2 7
1986-05-04 @ Odense L 0-229.9 1147 1353 10.53% 24.27% 65.20%-1.22 -10.2 0
1986-05-11 Herfolge W 2-036.7 1397 1359 50.39% 25.49% 24.12%+0.39 +20.8 10
1986-05-11 @ Brondby L 0-236.7 1359 1397 24.12% 25.49% 50.39%-0.39 -20.8 9
1986-05-11 Kastrup L 1-250.0 1271 1271 45.85% 25.60% 28.55%+0.21 -17.2 4
1986-05-11 @ Bronshoj W 2-150.0 1271 1271 28.55% 25.60% 45.85%-0.21 +17.1 6
1986-05-11 Odense D 1-154.1 1285 1363 35.11% 25.61% 39.28%-0.18 +0.3 6
1986-05-11 @ Esbjerg D 1-154.1 1363 1285 39.28% 25.61% 35.11%+0.18 -0.3 8
1986-05-11 B 1903 L 1-252.0 1337 1297 50.54% 25.49% 23.97%+0.40 -18.7 6
1986-05-11 @ Lyngby W 2-152.0 1297 1337 23.97% 25.49% 50.54%-0.40 +18.7 7
1986-05-11 Ikast D 1-153.2 1265 1205 52.84% 25.40% 21.76%+0.50 -2.7 4
1986-05-11 @ Naestved D 1-153.2 1205 1265 21.76% 25.40% 52.84%-0.50 +2.7 3
1986-05-11 KB Copenhagen W 1-046.3 1137 1320 22.18% 25.18% 52.64%-0.69 +20.5 2
1986-05-11 @ Randers L 0-146.3 1320 1137 52.64% 25.18% 22.18%+0.69 -20.5 7
1986-05-11 Aarhus GF D 3-363.7 1242 1388 26.24% 25.39% 48.37%-0.51 +1.2 4
1986-05-11 @ Vejle BK D 3-363.7 1388 1242 48.37% 25.39% 26.24%+0.51 -1.2 8
1986-05-14 Naestved W 1-036.2 1387 1262 59.18% 25.00% 15.82%+0.82 +7.8 10
1986-05-14 @ Aarhus GF L 0-136.2 1262 1387 15.82% 25.00% 59.18%-0.82 -7.8 4
1986-05-14 Brondby L 2-349.5 1254 1418 24.32% 25.30% 50.38%-0.60 -9.9 4
1986-05-14 @ Bronshoj W 3-249.5 1418 1254 50.38% 25.30% 24.32%+0.60 +9.9 12
1986-05-14 Randers W 1-034.4 1316 1157 61.90% 24.73% 13.37%+0.99 +6.7 9
1986-05-14 @ B 1903 L 0-134.4 1157 1316 13.37% 24.73% 61.90%-0.99 -6.7 2
1986-05-14 Lyngby W 3-038.1 1208 1318 30.76% 25.53% 43.71%-0.33 +47.8 5
1986-05-14 @ Ikast L 0-338.1 1318 1208 43.71% 25.53% 30.76%+0.33 -47.8 6
1986-05-14 Vejle BK L 0-242.6 1288 1243 51.21% 25.46% 23.32%+0.43 -37.8 6
1986-05-14 @ Kastrup W 2-042.6 1243 1288 23.32% 25.46% 51.21%-0.43 +37.8 6
1986-05-14 Esbjerg D 1-153.7 1300 1285 47.62% 25.56% 26.81%+0.28 -1.8 8
1986-05-14 @ KB Copenhagen D 1-153.7 1285 1300 26.81% 25.56% 47.62%-0.28 +1.8 7
1986-05-14 Herfolge D 2-260.3 1362 1338 48.80% 25.54% 25.66%+0.33 -1.5 9
1986-05-14 @ Odense D 2-260.3 1338 1362 25.66% 25.54% 48.80%-0.33 +1.5 10
1986-07-20 B 1903 L 1-345.6 1287 1323 41.04% 25.64% 33.32%+0.03 -27.1 7
1986-07-20 @ Esbjerg W 3-145.6 1323 1287 33.32% 25.64% 41.04%-0.03 +27.1 11
1986-07-20 KB Copenhagen W 2-035.0 1340 1298 50.82% 25.48% 23.71%+0.41 +20.5 12
1986-07-20 @ Herfolge L 0-235.0 1298 1340 23.71% 25.48% 50.82%-0.41 -20.5 8
1986-07-20 Kastrup W 3-141.2 1254 1250 46.32% 25.59% 28.09%+0.23 +20.3 6
1986-07-20 @ Naestved L 1-341.2 1250 1254 28.09% 25.59% 46.32%-0.23 -20.3 6
1986-07-20 Ikast L 0-140.0 1151 1256 31.47% 25.55% 42.99%-0.31 -13.6 2
1986-07-20 @ Randers W 1-040.0 1256 1151 42.99% 25.55% 31.47%+0.31 +13.6 7
1986-07-20 Bronshoj L 0-540.3 1281 1244 50.24% 25.50% 24.27%+0.39 -86.9 6
1986-07-20 @ Vejle BK W 5-040.3 1244 1281 24.27% 25.50% 50.24%-0.39 +86.9 6
1986-07-23 Odense W 2-145.3 1428 1361 53.56% 25.37% 21.07%+0.53 +9.3 14
1986-07-23 @ Brondby L 1-245.3 1361 1428 21.07% 25.37% 53.56%-0.53 -9.3 9
1986-07-23 Aarhus GF D 1-154.3 1270 1395 28.86% 25.48% 45.66%-0.41 +1.4 7
1986-07-23 @ Lyngby D 1-154.3 1395 1270 45.66% 25.48% 28.86%+0.41 -1.4 11
1986-07-26 Naestved D 2-259.4 1331 1275 52.48% 25.42% 22.10%+0.49 -2.0 7
1986-07-26 @ Bronshoj D 2-259.4 1275 1331 22.10% 25.42% 52.48%-0.49 +2.0 7
1986-07-27 Randers W 4-026.5 1394 1137 68.22% 23.68% 8.10%+1.47 +15.1 13
1986-07-27 @ Aarhus GF L 0-426.5 1137 1394 8.10% 23.68% 68.22%-1.47 -15.1 2
1986-07-27 Herfolge D 2-260.4 1350 1360 44.48% 25.62% 29.90%+0.16 -0.9 12
1986-07-27 @ B 1903 D 2-260.4 1360 1350 29.90% 25.62% 44.48%-0.16 +0.9 13
1986-07-27 Esbjerg W 5-136.8 1269 1260 46.96% 25.58% 27.46%+0.25 +36.5 9
1986-07-27 @ Ikast L 1-536.8 1260 1269 27.46% 25.58% 46.96%-0.25 -36.5 7
1986-07-27 Lyngby D 0-048.9 1230 1271 40.26% 25.64% 34.10%+0.00 -0.6 7
1986-07-27 @ Kastrup D 0-048.9 1271 1230 34.10% 25.64% 40.26%+0.00 +0.5 8
1986-07-27 Odense W 3-145.1 1278 1352 35.64% 25.62% 38.74%-0.16 +25.9 10
1986-07-27 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-345.1 1352 1278 38.74% 25.62% 35.64%+0.16 -25.9 9
1986-07-27 Brondby L 1-241.6 1194 1437 16.65% 24.73% 58.62%-0.99 -7.6 6
1986-07-27 @ Vejle BK W 2-141.6 1437 1194 58.62% 24.73% 16.65%+0.99 +7.6 16
1986-08-03 KB Copenhagen W 2-142.4 1444 1303 60.51% 24.88% 14.61%+0.90 +6.8 18
1986-08-03 @ Brondby L 1-242.4 1303 1444 14.61% 24.88% 60.51%-0.90 -6.8 10
1986-08-03 Aarhus GF L 1-340.0 1223 1409 21.97% 25.17% 52.86%-0.70 -16.7 7
1986-08-03 @ Esbjerg W 3-140.0 1409 1223 52.86% 25.17% 21.97%+0.70 +16.7 15
1986-08-03 Ikast W 2-143.8 1361 1306 52.37% 25.42% 22.21%+0.48 +9.7 15
1986-08-03 @ Herfolge L 1-243.8 1306 1361 22.21% 25.42% 52.37%-0.48 -9.7 9
1986-08-03 Bronshoj W 3-036.3 1272 1329 38.05% 25.63% 36.31%-0.07 +41.4 10
1986-08-03 @ Lyngby L 0-336.3 1329 1272 36.31% 25.63% 38.05%+0.07 -41.4 7
1986-08-03 Vejle BK W 2-032.6 1277 1186 55.98% 25.24% 18.78%+0.65 +17.0 9
1986-08-03 @ Naestved L 0-232.6 1186 1277 18.78% 25.24% 55.98%-0.65 -17.0 6
1986-08-03 B 1903 D 1-154.4 1326 1349 42.75% 25.63% 31.62%+0.09 -0.9 10
1986-08-03 @ Odense D 1-154.4 1349 1326 31.62% 25.63% 42.75%-0.09 +0.9 13
1986-08-03 Kastrup W 1-043.5 1122 1229 31.14% 25.54% 43.32%-0.32 +17.3 4
1986-08-03 @ Randers L 0-143.5 1229 1122 43.32% 25.54% 31.14%+0.32 -17.3 7
1986-08-09 Randers W 1-034.6 1288 1139 61.10% 24.82% 14.08%+0.94 +7.0 9
1986-08-09 @ Bronshoj L 0-134.6 1139 1288 14.08% 24.82% 61.10%-0.94 -7.0 4
1986-08-10 Herfolge W 3-250.9 1425 1371 52.28% 25.42% 22.30%+0.48 +9.3 17
1986-08-10 @ Aarhus GF L 2-350.9 1371 1425 22.30% 25.42% 52.28%-0.48 -9.3 15
1986-08-10 KB Copenhagen L 1-252.5 1350 1297 52.14% 25.43% 22.43%+0.47 -19.2 13
1986-08-10 @ B 1903 W 2-152.5 1297 1350 22.43% 25.43% 52.14%-0.47 +19.2 12
1986-08-10 Odense W 1-041.1 1296 1325 41.98% 25.63% 32.39%+0.06 +13.9 11
1986-08-10 @ Ikast L 0-141.1 1325 1296 32.39% 25.63% 41.98%-0.06 -13.9 10
1986-08-10 Esbjerg D 0-048.7 1212 1207 46.47% 25.59% 27.95%+0.23 -1.7 8
1986-08-10 @ Kastrup D 0-048.7 1207 1212 27.95% 25.59% 46.47%-0.23 +1.7 8
1986-08-10 Brondby W 1-047.7 1294 1451 24.96% 25.33% 49.71%-0.57 +19.5 11
1986-08-10 @ Naestved L 0-147.7 1451 1294 49.71% 25.33% 24.96%+0.57 -19.5 18
1986-08-10 Lyngby L 1-243.9 1169 1313 26.54% 25.40% 48.06%-0.50 -11.2 6
1986-08-10 @ Vejle BK W 2-143.9 1313 1169 48.06% 25.40% 26.54%+0.50 +11.2 12
1986-08-13 B 1903 L 0-246.6 1432 1331 57.01% 25.17% 17.82%+0.70 -41.8 18
1986-08-13 @ Brondby W 2-046.6 1331 1432 17.82% 25.17% 57.01%-0.70 +41.8 15
1986-08-13 Bronshoj L 0-335.1 1208 1295 33.95% 25.59% 40.46%-0.22 -39.4 8
1986-08-13 @ Esbjerg W 3-035.1 1295 1208 40.46% 25.59% 33.95%+0.22 +39.4 11
1986-08-13 Kastrup D 2-259.4 1362 1210 61.33% 24.79% 13.88%+0.95 -3.3 16
1986-08-13 @ Herfolge D 2-259.4 1210 1362 13.88% 24.79% 61.33%-0.95 +3.2 9
1986-08-13 Naestved D 0-049.7 1325 1313 47.24% 25.57% 27.18%+0.26 -1.9 13
1986-08-13 @ Lyngby D 0-049.7 1313 1325 27.18% 25.57% 47.24%-0.26 +1.9 12
1986-08-13 Aarhus GF L 2-352.0 1311 1435 29.02% 25.49% 45.49%-0.40 -11.4 10
1986-08-13 @ Odense W 3-252.0 1435 1311 45.49% 25.49% 29.02%+0.40 +11.4 19
1986-08-13 Vejle BK L 0-239.5 1132 1158 42.43% 25.63% 31.94%+0.08 -32.2 4
1986-08-13 @ Randers W 2-039.5 1158 1132 31.94% 25.63% 42.43%-0.08 +32.2 8
1986-08-16 Herfolge W 5-036.0 1334 1358 42.64% 25.63% 31.72%+0.09 +60.3 13
1986-08-16 @ Bronshoj L 0-536.0 1358 1334 31.72% 25.63% 42.64%-0.09 -60.3 16
1986-08-17 KB Copenhagen W 5-135.4 1446 1316 59.62% 24.96% 15.42%+0.85 +22.7 21
1986-08-17 @ Aarhus GF L 1-535.4 1316 1446 15.42% 24.96% 59.62%-0.85 -22.7 12
1986-08-17 Lyngby W 3-140.6 1390 1323 53.64% 25.36% 21.00%+0.54 +16.1 20
1986-08-17 @ Brondby L 1-340.6 1323 1390 21.00% 25.36% 53.64%-0.54 -16.1 13
1986-08-17 B 1903 L 0-143.2 1310 1373 37.25% 25.63% 37.12%-0.10 -15.4 11
1986-08-17 @ Ikast W 1-043.2 1373 1310 37.12% 25.63% 37.25%+0.10 +15.4 17
1986-08-17 Odense L 0-434.7 1214 1300 33.99% 25.59% 40.41%-0.22 -51.5 9
1986-08-17 @ Kastrup W 4-034.7 1300 1214 40.41% 25.59% 33.99%+0.22 +51.5 12
1986-08-17 Randers W 3-135.1 1315 1100 65.79% 24.17% 10.04%+1.26 +8.4 14
1986-08-17 @ Naestved L 1-335.1 1100 1315 10.04% 24.17% 65.79%-1.26 -8.5 4
1986-08-17 Esbjerg D 1-153.0 1190 1169 48.43% 25.55% 26.03%+0.31 -1.9 9
1986-08-17 @ Vejle BK D 1-153.0 1169 1190 26.03% 25.55% 48.43%-0.31 +1.9 9
1986-08-24 Vejle BK D 0-050.5 1469 1188 69.47% 23.38% 7.16%+1.59 -6.7 22
1986-08-24 @ Aarhus GF D 0-050.5 1188 1469 7.16% 23.38% 69.47%-1.59 +6.7 10
1986-08-24 Lyngby D 1-154.7 1388 1307 55.09% 25.29% 19.62%+0.61 -3.1 18
1986-08-24 @ B 1903 D 1-154.7 1307 1388 19.62% 25.29% 55.09%-0.61 +3.1 14
1986-08-24 Brondby L 1-343.6 1298 1406 31.02% 25.54% 43.44%-0.32 -21.9 16
1986-08-24 @ Herfolge W 3-143.6 1406 1298 43.44% 25.54% 31.02%+0.32 +21.9 22
1986-08-24 Naestved D 1-153.9 1294 1323 41.96% 25.64% 32.41%+0.06 -0.8 12
1986-08-24 @ Ikast D 1-153.9 1323 1294 32.41% 25.64% 41.96%-0.06 +0.8 15
1986-08-24 Bronshoj D 0-049.4 1162 1394 17.54% 24.82% 57.64%-0.94 +4.0 10
1986-08-24 @ Kastrup D 0-049.4 1394 1162 57.64% 24.82% 17.54%+0.94 -4.0 14
1986-08-24 Randers W 4-132.6 1293 1092 64.93% 24.32% 10.75%+1.20 +12.7 14
1986-08-24 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-432.6 1092 1293 10.75% 24.32% 64.93%-1.20 -12.7 4
1986-08-24 Esbjerg W 2-030.5 1351 1171 63.48% 24.53% 11.99%+1.09 +11.5 14
1986-08-24 @ Odense L 0-230.5 1171 1351 11.99% 24.53% 63.48%-1.09 -11.5 9
1986-08-30 Aarhus GF L 1-348.1 1390 1462 36.00% 25.62% 38.38%-0.14 -24.5 14
1986-08-30 @ Bronshoj W 3-148.1 1462 1390 38.38% 25.62% 36.00%+0.14 +24.5 24
1986-08-31 Kastrup W 2-138.3 1428 1166 68.52% 23.61% 7.87%+1.50 +3.9 24
1986-08-31 @ Brondby L 1-238.3 1166 1428 7.87% 23.61% 68.52%-1.50 -3.9 10
1986-08-31 Herfolge L 0-139.6 1159 1276 29.93% 25.51% 44.56%-0.37 -13.1 9
1986-08-31 @ Esbjerg W 1-039.6 1276 1159 44.56% 25.51% 29.93%+0.37 +13.0 18
1986-08-31 KB Copenhagen D 1-153.9 1310 1306 46.29% 25.59% 28.12%+0.23 -1.5 15
1986-08-31 @ Lyngby D 1-153.9 1306 1310 28.12% 25.59% 46.29%-0.23 +1.5 15
1986-08-31 B 1903 D 0-050.4 1324 1385 37.57% 25.63% 36.80%-0.09 -0.1 16
1986-08-31 @ Naestved D 0-050.4 1385 1324 36.80% 25.63% 37.57%+0.09 +0.1 19
1986-08-31 Odense L 0-230.7 1079 1363 13.63% 24.34% 62.03%-1.19 -12.8 4
1986-08-31 @ Randers W 2-030.7 1363 1079 62.03% 24.34% 13.63%+1.19 +12.8 16
1986-08-31 Ikast W 2-039.7 1195 1294 32.31% 25.57% 42.12%-0.28 +32.0 12
1986-08-31 @ Vejle BK L 0-239.7 1294 1195 42.12% 25.57% 32.31%+0.28 -32.0 12
1986-09-06 Ikast L 2-452.4 1307 1262 51.30% 25.46% 23.24%+0.43 -29.3 15
1986-09-06 @ KB Copenhagen W 4-252.4 1262 1307 23.24% 25.46% 51.30%-0.43 +29.3 14
1986-09-07 Kastrup W 1-032.5 1487 1162 71.53% 22.77% 5.71%+1.80 +3.0 26
1986-09-07 @ Aarhus GF L 0-132.5 1162 1487 5.71% 22.77% 71.53%-1.80 -3.0 10
1986-09-07 Brondby L 2-536.8 1146 1432 13.49% 24.32% 62.19%-1.20 -13.4 9
1986-09-07 @ Esbjerg W 5-236.8 1432 1146 62.19% 24.32% 13.49%+1.20 +13.4 26
1986-09-07 Vejle BK L 1-255.0 1385 1227 61.85% 24.74% 13.42%+0.98 -22.7 19
1986-09-07 @ B 1903 W 2-155.0 1227 1385 13.42% 24.74% 61.85%-0.98 +22.7 14
1986-09-07 Randers D 2-259.0 1289 1066 66.29% 24.08% 9.63%+1.30 -4.0 19
1986-09-07 @ Herfolge D 2-259.0 1066 1289 9.63% 24.08% 66.29%-1.30 +4.0 5
1986-09-07 Bronshoj W 3-145.4 1291 1366 35.52% 25.61% 38.86%-0.16 +26.0 16
1986-09-07 @ Ikast L 1-345.4 1366 1291 38.86% 25.61% 35.52%+0.16 -26.0 14
1986-09-07 Naestved L 2-449.2 1278 1324 39.62% 25.64% 34.74%-0.02 -23.6 15
1986-09-07 @ KB Copenhagen W 4-249.2 1324 1278 34.74% 25.64% 39.62%+0.02 +23.6 18
1986-09-07 Lyngby L 2-358.4 1375 1308 53.61% 25.37% 21.02%+0.54 -18.7 16
1986-09-07 @ Odense W 3-258.4 1308 1375 21.02% 25.37% 53.61%-0.54 +18.7 17
1986-09-13 B 1903 W 4-247.7 1340 1362 42.88% 25.63% 31.49%+0.10 +19.8 16
1986-09-13 @ Bronshoj L 2-447.7 1362 1340 31.49% 25.63% 42.88%-0.10 -19.9 19
1986-09-14 Aarhus GF L 1-255.2 1445 1490 39.88% 25.64% 34.48%-0.01 -15.3 26
1986-09-14 @ Brondby W 2-155.2 1490 1445 34.48% 25.64% 39.88%+0.01 +15.3 28
1986-09-14 Ikast L 1-340.1 1159 1317 24.96% 25.33% 49.70%-0.57 -18.5 10
1986-09-14 @ Kastrup W 3-140.1 1317 1159 49.70% 25.33% 24.96%+0.57 +18.5 18
1986-09-14 Herfolge W 1-038.4 1327 1285 50.85% 25.48% 23.67%+0.41 +10.9 19
1986-09-14 @ Lyngby L 0-138.4 1285 1327 23.67% 25.48% 50.85%-0.41 -10.9 19
1986-09-14 Odense D 1-154.8 1348 1357 44.66% 25.61% 29.73%+0.16 -1.2 19
1986-09-14 @ Naestved D 1-154.8 1357 1348 29.73% 25.61% 44.66%-0.16 +1.2 17
1986-09-14 Esbjerg W 1-041.5 1070 1133 37.27% 25.63% 37.10%-0.10 +15.4 7
1986-09-14 @ Randers L 0-141.5 1133 1070 37.10% 25.63% 37.27%+0.10 -15.4 9
1986-09-14 KB Copenhagen W 5-033.9 1250 1254 45.20% 25.61% 29.20%+0.18 +56.6 16
1986-09-14 @ Vejle BK L 0-533.9 1254 1250 29.20% 25.61% 45.20%-0.18 -56.6 15
1986-09-21 Lyngby D 1-153.3 1118 1338 18.61% 24.92% 56.47%-0.88 +3.4 10
1986-09-21 @ Esbjerg D 1-153.3 1338 1118 56.47% 24.92% 18.61%+0.88 -3.4 20
1986-09-21 Kastrup W 1-033.6 1342 1141 64.96% 24.31% 10.73%+1.20 +5.5 21
1986-09-21 @ B 1903 L 0-133.6 1141 1342 10.73% 24.31% 64.96%-1.20 -5.5 10
1986-09-21 Naestved L 0-142.2 1274 1347 35.91% 25.62% 38.48%-0.15 -15.0 19
1986-09-21 @ Herfolge W 1-042.2 1347 1274 38.48% 25.62% 35.91%+0.15 +15.0 21
1986-09-21 Aarhus GF L 0-141.9 1335 1505 23.65% 25.27% 51.09%-0.63 -10.8 18
1986-09-21 @ Ikast W 1-041.9 1505 1335 51.09% 25.27% 23.65%+0.63 +10.8 30
1986-09-21 Bronshoj W 2-042.4 1198 1360 24.49% 25.31% 50.20%-0.59 +37.1 17
1986-09-21 @ KB Copenhagen L 0-242.4 1360 1198 50.20% 25.31% 24.49%+0.59 -37.1 16
1986-09-21 Vejle BK D 0-050.0 1358 1306 51.93% 25.44% 22.63%+0.46 -2.8 18
1986-09-21 @ Odense D 0-050.0 1306 1358 22.63% 25.44% 51.93%-0.46 +2.8 17
1986-09-21 Brondby D 1-153.9 1086 1430 10.02% 23.64% 66.34%-1.49 +5.3 8
1986-09-21 @ Randers D 1-153.9 1430 1086 66.34% 23.64% 10.02%+1.49 -5.3 27
1986-09-27 Odense W 3-036.0 1323 1355 41.53% 25.64% 32.83%+0.05 +38.4 18
1986-09-27 @ Bronshoj L 0-336.0 1355 1323 32.83% 25.64% 41.53%-0.05 -38.4 18
1986-09-28 B 1903 W 2-144.5 1516 1348 62.60% 24.65% 12.76%+1.03 +6.1 32
1986-09-28 @ Aarhus GF L 1-244.5 1348 1516 12.76% 24.65% 62.60%-1.03 -6.1 21
1986-09-28 Ikast L 1-255.2 1425 1325 56.92% 25.18% 17.90%+0.70 -20.9 27
1986-09-28 @ Brondby W 2-155.2 1325 1425 17.90% 25.18% 56.92%-0.70 +20.9 20
1986-09-28 KB Copenhagen L 0-140.1 1135 1235 32.13% 25.56% 42.30%-0.28 -13.8 10
1986-09-28 @ Kastrup W 1-040.1 1235 1135 42.30% 25.56% 32.13%+0.28 +13.8 19
1986-09-28 Randers W 7-332.9 1334 1091 67.50% 23.84% 8.66%+1.40 +10.4 22
1986-09-28 @ Lyngby L 3-732.9 1091 1334 8.66% 23.84% 67.50%-1.40 -10.4 8
1986-09-28 Esbjerg W 3-134.8 1362 1121 67.33% 23.88% 8.79%+1.39 +7.5 23
1986-09-28 @ Naestved L 1-334.8 1121 1362 8.79% 23.88% 67.33%-1.39 -7.5 10
1986-09-28 Herfolge W 4-031.6 1309 1259 51.76% 25.44% 22.80%+0.45 +37.8 19
1986-09-28 @ Vejle BK L 0-431.6 1259 1309 22.80% 25.44% 51.76%-0.45 -37.8 19
1986-10-05 Vejle BK D 0-049.0 1114 1347 17.46% 24.81% 57.73%-0.94 +4.0 11
1986-10-05 @ Esbjerg D 0-049.0 1347 1114 57.73% 24.81% 17.46%+0.94 -4.0 20
1986-10-05 Ikast L 0-439.4 1342 1345 45.34% 25.60% 29.06%+0.19 -64.5 21
1986-10-05 @ B 1903 W 4-039.4 1345 1342 29.06% 25.60% 45.34%-0.19 +64.5 22
1986-10-05 Bronshoj L 2-541.3 1221 1361 27.07% 25.42% 47.51%-0.48 -24.1 19
1986-10-05 @ Herfolge W 5-241.3 1361 1221 47.51% 25.42% 27.07%+0.48 +24.1 20
1986-10-05 Aarhus GF L 0-137.3 1249 1522 14.35% 24.45% 61.20%-1.14 -7.1 19
1986-10-05 @ KB Copenhagen W 1-037.3 1522 1249 61.20% 24.45% 14.35%+1.14 +7.1 34
1986-10-05 Brondby W 1-043.9 1345 1404 37.81% 25.63% 36.56%-0.08 +15.2 24
1986-10-05 @ Lyngby L 0-143.9 1404 1345 36.56% 25.63% 37.81%+0.08 -15.2 27
1986-10-05 Kastrup W 2-138.9 1317 1121 64.52% 24.38% 11.10%+1.17 +5.4 20
1986-10-05 @ Odense L 1-238.9 1121 1317 11.10% 24.38% 64.52%-1.17 -5.4 10
1986-10-05 Naestved L 0-328.4 1081 1369 13.30% 24.29% 62.42%-1.21 -18.1 8
1986-10-05 @ Randers W 3-028.4 1369 1081 62.42% 24.29% 13.30%+1.21 +18.1 25
1986-10-11 Esbjerg W 3-134.5 1385 1118 68.81% 23.54% 7.64%+1.52 +6.5 22
1986-10-11 @ Bronshoj L 1-334.5 1118 1385 7.64% 23.54% 68.81%-1.52 -6.5 11
1986-10-12 Odense W 3-032.1 1529 1322 65.30% 24.26% 10.44%+1.23 +14.7 36
1986-10-12 @ Aarhus GF L 0-332.1 1322 1529 10.44% 24.26% 65.30%-1.23 -14.7 20
1986-10-12 Brondby W 3-146.9 1277 1389 30.62% 25.53% 43.85%-0.34 +28.6 23
1986-10-12 @ B 1903 L 1-346.9 1389 1277 43.85% 25.53% 30.62%+0.34 -28.6 27
1986-10-12 KB Copenhagen D 1-154.4 1410 1242 62.63% 24.64% 12.73%+1.03 -4.6 23
1986-10-12 @ Ikast D 1-154.4 1242 1410 12.73% 24.64% 62.63%-1.03 +4.6 20
1986-10-12 Herfolge W 1-042.4 1116 1197 34.65% 25.60% 39.75%-0.19 +16.2 12
1986-10-12 @ Kastrup L 0-142.4 1197 1116 39.75% 25.60% 34.65%+0.19 -16.2 19
1986-10-12 Lyngby W 2-036.9 1387 1360 49.13% 25.53% 25.35%+0.34 +21.7 27
1986-10-12 @ Naestved L 0-236.9 1360 1387 25.35% 25.53% 49.13%-0.34 -21.6 24
1986-10-12 Randers W 3-134.0 1343 1062 69.46% 23.38% 7.16%+1.59 +6.1 22
1986-10-12 @ Vejle BK L 1-334.0 1062 1343 7.16% 23.38% 69.46%-1.59 -6.1 8
1986-10-19 Naestved W 3-145.9 1360 1409 39.25% 25.64% 35.11%-0.03 +24.1 29
1986-10-19 @ Brondby L 1-345.9 1409 1360 35.11% 25.64% 39.25%+0.03 -24.1 27
1986-10-19 Kastrup W 1-039.8 1111 1132 43.03% 25.63% 31.34%+0.10 +13.5 13
1986-10-19 @ Esbjerg L 0-139.8 1132 1111 31.34% 25.63% 43.03%-0.10 -13.5 12
1986-10-19 Aarhus GF L 0-134.7 1181 1544 9.14% 23.41% 67.45%-1.57 -4.7 19
1986-10-19 @ Herfolge W 1-034.7 1544 1181 67.45% 23.41% 9.14%+1.57 +4.7 38
1986-10-19 B 1903 L 0-336.5 1246 1306 37.71% 25.63% 36.66%-0.09 -42.6 20
1986-10-19 @ KB Copenhagen W 3-036.5 1306 1246 36.66% 25.63% 37.71%+0.09 +42.6 25
1986-10-19 Vejle BK D 1-154.5 1338 1349 44.43% 25.62% 29.95%+0.16 -1.2 25
1986-10-19 @ Lyngby D 1-154.5 1349 1338 29.95% 25.62% 44.43%-0.16 +1.2 23
1986-10-19 Ikast W 3-147.0 1307 1405 32.36% 25.57% 42.07%-0.27 +27.7 22
1986-10-19 @ Odense L 1-347.0 1405 1307 42.07% 25.57% 32.36%+0.27 -27.7 23
1986-10-19 Bronshoj L 3-636.4 1056 1392 10.49% 23.75% 65.76%-1.44 -9.9 8
1986-10-19 @ Randers W 6-336.4 1392 1056 65.76% 23.75% 10.49%+1.44 +9.9 24
1986-10-25 Lyngby D 2-260.9 1402 1337 53.33% 25.38% 21.29%+0.52 -2.1 25
1986-10-25 @ Bronshoj D 2-260.9 1337 1402 21.29% 25.38% 53.33%-0.52 +2.1 26
1986-10-26 Esbjerg W 2-136.9 1548 1125 75.36% 21.21% 3.43%+2.29 +1.7 40
1986-10-26 @ Aarhus GF L 1-236.9 1125 1548 3.43% 21.21% 75.36%-2.29 -1.7 13
1986-10-26 Odense L 2-452.3 1349 1335 47.51% 25.57% 26.92%+0.27 -27.4 25
1986-10-26 @ B 1903 W 4-252.3 1335 1349 26.92% 25.57% 47.51%-0.27 +27.4 24
1986-10-26 Herfolge D 1-153.9 1378 1176 64.92% 24.32% 10.76%+1.20 -5.1 24
1986-10-26 @ Ikast D 1-153.9 1176 1378 10.76% 24.32% 64.92%-1.20 +5.1 20
1986-10-26 Randers W 2-141.8 1119 1047 54.15% 25.34% 20.51%+0.56 +9.1 14
1986-10-26 @ Kastrup L 1-241.8 1047 1119 20.51% 25.34% 54.15%-0.56 -9.1 8
1986-10-26 Brondby L 0-234.2 1204 1384 22.48% 25.20% 52.31%-0.68 -19.6 20
1986-10-26 @ KB Copenhagen W 2-034.2 1384 1204 52.31% 25.20% 22.48%+0.68 +19.6 31
1986-10-26 Naestved L 0-438.8 1350 1385 41.23% 25.64% 33.13%+0.04 -59.7 23
1986-10-26 @ Vejle BK W 4-038.8 1385 1350 33.13% 25.64% 41.23%-0.04 +59.7 29
1986-11-02 Vejle BK W 3-139.0 1404 1291 58.12% 25.09% 16.79%+0.76 +13.4 33
1986-11-02 @ Brondby L 1-339.0 1291 1404 16.79% 25.09% 58.12%-0.76 -13.4 23
1986-11-02 Ikast L 0-231.7 1123 1373 16.13% 24.67% 59.20%-1.02 -14.8 13
1986-11-02 @ Esbjerg W 2-031.7 1373 1123 59.20% 24.67% 16.13%+1.02 +14.8 26
1986-11-02 B 1903 L 0-235.2 1182 1321 27.08% 25.42% 47.50%-0.48 -22.8 20
1986-11-02 @ Herfolge W 2-035.2 1321 1182 47.50% 25.42% 27.08%+0.48 +22.8 27
1986-11-02 Kastrup W 2-029.7 1339 1128 65.59% 24.21% 10.21%+1.25 +9.9 28
1986-11-02 @ Lyngby L 0-229.7 1128 1339 10.21% 24.21% 65.59%-1.25 -9.9 14
1986-11-02 Bronshoj W 1-042.0 1444 1400 51.18% 25.46% 23.35%+0.43 +10.8 31
1986-11-02 @ Naestved L 0-142.0 1400 1444 23.35% 25.46% 51.18%-0.43 -10.8 25
1986-11-02 KB Copenhagen W 2-139.6 1362 1184 63.35% 24.55% 12.10%+1.08 +5.8 26
1986-11-02 @ Odense L 1-239.6 1184 1362 12.10% 24.55% 63.35%-1.08 -5.8 20
1986-11-02 Aarhus GF D 2-260.6 1037 1550 4.25% 21.14% 74.61%-2.31 +5.1 9
1986-11-02 @ Randers D 2-260.6 1550 1037 74.61% 21.14% 4.25%+2.31 -5.1 41
1986-11-09 Lyngby L 1-260.9 1545 1349 64.55% 24.38% 11.07%+1.17 -23.7 41
1986-11-09 @ Aarhus GF W 2-160.9 1349 1545 11.07% 24.38% 64.55%-1.17 +23.7 30
1986-11-09 Vejle BK L 2-359.5 1389 1277 57.98% 25.10% 16.92%+0.76 -20.2 25
1986-11-09 @ Bronshoj W 3-259.5 1277 1389 16.92% 25.10% 57.98%-0.76 +20.2 25
1986-11-09 Esbjerg W 4-026.6 1344 1108 67.06% 23.93% 9.01%+1.37 +16.7 29
1986-11-09 @ B 1903 L 0-426.6 1108 1344 9.01% 23.93% 67.06%-1.37 -16.7 13
1986-11-09 Randers W 3-241.6 1387 1042 72.39% 22.47% 5.14%+1.90 +2.4 28
1986-11-09 @ Ikast L 2-341.6 1042 1387 5.14% 22.47% 72.39%-1.90 -2.4 9
1986-11-09 Naestved L 0-230.0 1118 1455 10.39% 23.73% 65.88%-1.45 -10.0 14
1986-11-09 @ Kastrup W 2-030.0 1455 1118 65.88% 23.73% 10.39%+1.45 +10.0 33
1986-11-09 Herfolge W 2-143.6 1178 1159 48.22% 25.55% 26.23%+0.30 +11.1 22
1986-11-09 @ KB Copenhagen L 1-243.6 1159 1178 26.23% 25.55% 48.22%-0.30 -11.1 20
1986-11-09 Brondby L 0-145.4 1368 1417 39.21% 25.64% 35.15%-0.03 -16.0 26
1986-11-09 @ Odense W 1-045.4 1417 1368 35.15% 25.64% 39.21%+0.03 +16.0 35
1986-11-16 Bronshoj W 3-250.7 1433 1369 53.34% 25.38% 21.28%+0.52 +8.9 37
1986-11-16 @ Brondby L 2-350.7 1369 1433 21.28% 25.38% 53.34%-0.52 -8.9 25
1986-11-16 KB Copenhagen L 0-140.1 1091 1189 32.37% 25.57% 42.06%-0.27 -13.9 13
1986-11-16 @ Esbjerg W 1-040.1 1189 1091 42.06% 25.57% 32.37%+0.27 +13.9 24
1986-11-16 Odense W 1-047.1 1148 1352 20.08% 25.04% 54.87%-0.80 +21.3 22
1986-11-16 @ Herfolge L 0-147.1 1352 1148 54.87% 25.04% 20.08%+0.80 -21.3 26
1986-11-16 Ikast W 3-036.6 1373 1390 43.61% 25.62% 30.76%+0.12 +36.6 32
1986-11-16 @ Lyngby L 0-336.6 1390 1373 30.76% 25.62% 43.61%-0.12 -36.6 28
1986-11-16 Aarhus GF W 1-050.7 1465 1521 38.21% 25.63% 36.15%-0.07 +15.1 35
1986-11-16 @ Naestved L 0-150.7 1521 1465 36.15% 25.63% 38.21%+0.07 -15.1 41
1986-11-16 B 1903 W 2-154.8 1040 1361 11.31% 23.93% 64.77%-1.37 +23.7 11
1986-11-16 @ Randers L 1-254.8 1361 1040 64.77% 23.93% 11.31%+1.37 -23.7 29
1986-11-16 Kastrup W 1-033.6 1297 1108 64.13% 24.44% 11.43%+1.14 +5.8 27
1986-11-16 @ Vejle BK L 0-133.6 1108 1297 11.43% 24.44% 64.13%-1.14 -5.8 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1986-11-09 11.07% Lyngby 1349 2 @ Aarhus GF 1545 1
2 1986-11-16 11.31% @ Randers 1040 2 B 1903 1361 1
3 1986-09-07 13.42% Vejle BK 1227 2 @ B 1903 1385 1
4 1986-11-09 16.92% Vejle BK 1277 3 @ Bronshoj 1389 2
5 1986-08-13 17.82% B 1903 1331 2 @ Brondby 1432 0
6 1986-09-28 17.90% Ikast 1325 2 @ Brondby 1425 1
7 1986-11-16 20.08% @ Herfolge 1148 1 Odense 1352 0
8 1986-09-07 21.02% Lyngby 1308 3 @ Odense 1375 2
9 1986-05-11 22.18% @ Randers 1137 1 KB Copenhagen 1320 0
10 1986-08-10 22.43% KB Copenhagen 1297 2 @ B 1903 1350 1
11 1986-09-06 23.24% Ikast 1262 4 @ KB Copenhagen 1307 2
12 1986-05-14 23.32% Vejle BK 1243 2 @ Kastrup 1288 0
13 1986-05-11 23.97% B 1903 1297 2 @ Lyngby 1337 1
14 1986-07-20 24.27% Bronshoj 1244 5 @ Vejle BK 1281 0
15 1986-09-21 24.49% @ KB Copenhagen 1198 2 Bronshoj 1360 0
16 1986-08-10 24.96% @ Naestved 1294 1 Brondby 1451 0
17 1986-10-26 26.92% Odense 1335 4 @ B 1903 1349 2
18 1986-05-11 28.55% Kastrup 1271 2 @ Bronshoj 1271 1
19 1986-10-05 29.06% Ikast 1345 4 @ B 1903 1342 0
20 1986-04-20 29.58% Kastrup 1290 4 @ Ikast 1283 1
21 1986-04-27 30.22% Aarhus GF 1344 3 @ Kastrup 1331 0
22 1986-10-12 30.62% @ B 1903 1277 3 Brondby 1389 1
23 1986-05-14 30.76% @ Ikast 1208 3 Lyngby 1318 0
24 1986-08-03 31.14% @ Randers 1122 1 Kastrup 1229 0
25 1986-08-13 31.94% Vejle BK 1158 2 @ Randers 1132 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-07-20 86.91 Bronshoj 5 1244 24.27% @ Vejle BK 0 1281 50.24% 25.50%
2 1986-10-05 64.48 Ikast 4 1345 29.06% @ B 1903 0 1342 45.34% 25.60%
3 1986-08-16 60.28 @ Bronshoj 5 1334 42.64% Herfolge 0 1358 31.72% 25.63%
4 1986-10-26 59.66 Naestved 4 1385 33.13% @ Vejle BK 0 1350 41.23% 25.64%
5 1986-09-14 56.57 @ Vejle BK 5 1250 45.20% KB Copenhagen 0 1254 29.20% 25.61%
6 1986-08-17 51.51 Odense 4 1300 40.41% @ Kastrup 0 1214 33.99% 25.59%
7 1986-04-27 48.28 Aarhus GF 3 1344 30.22% @ Kastrup 0 1331 44.16% 25.62%
8 1986-05-14 47.84 @ Ikast 3 1208 30.76% Lyngby 0 1318 43.71% 25.53%
9 1986-10-19 42.62 B 1903 3 1306 36.66% @ KB Copenhagen 0 1246 37.71% 25.63%
10 1986-08-13 41.84 B 1903 2 1331 17.82% @ Brondby 0 1432 57.01% 25.17%
11 1986-08-03 41.44 @ Lyngby 3 1272 38.05% Bronshoj 0 1329 36.31% 25.63%
12 1986-04-20 41.22 Kastrup 4 1290 29.58% @ Ikast 1 1283 44.81% 25.61%
13 1986-08-13 39.38 Bronshoj 3 1295 40.46% @ Esbjerg 0 1208 33.95% 25.59%
14 1986-09-27 38.43 @ Bronshoj 3 1323 41.53% Odense 0 1355 32.83% 25.64%
15 1986-05-14 37.82 Vejle BK 2 1243 23.32% @ Kastrup 0 1288 51.21% 25.46%
16 1986-09-28 37.76 @ Vejle BK 4 1309 51.76% Herfolge 0 1259 22.80% 25.44%
17 1986-09-21 37.06 @ KB Copenhagen 2 1198 24.49% Bronshoj 0 1360 50.20% 25.31%
18 1986-11-16 36.57 @ Lyngby 3 1373 43.61% Ikast 0 1390 30.76% 25.62%
19 1986-07-27 36.46 @ Ikast 5 1269 46.96% Esbjerg 1 1260 27.46% 25.58%
20 1986-04-26 35.72 @ Bronshoj 3 1232 44.55% Ikast 0 1241 29.83% 25.61%
21 1986-08-13 32.18 Vejle BK 2 1158 31.94% @ Randers 0 1132 42.43% 25.63%
22 1986-08-31 31.97 @ Vejle BK 2 1195 32.31% Ikast 0 1294 42.12% 25.57%
23 1986-04-06 30.73 @ Odense 3 1311 49.88% Bronshoj 0 1277 24.61% 25.51%
24 1986-05-04 30.15 @ KB Copenhagen 2 1290 35.31% Lyngby 0 1367 39.08% 25.61%
25 1986-04-13 29.95 @ Brondby 5 1351 61.71% Randers 0 1195 13.54% 24.75%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-05-11 63.7 @ Vejle BK 3 1242 26.24% Aarhus GF 3 1388 48.37% 25.39%
2 1986-04-27 63.0 @ Vejle BK 3 1241 37.90% B 1903 3 1300 36.47% 25.63%
3 1986-10-25 60.9 @ Bronshoj 2 1402 53.33% Lyngby 2 1337 21.29% 25.38%
4 1986-11-09 60.9 Lyngby 2 1349 11.07% @ Aarhus GF 1 1545 64.55% 24.38%
5 1986-11-02 60.6 @ Randers 2 1037 4.25% Aarhus GF 2 1550 74.61% 21.14%
6 1986-07-27 60.4 @ B 1903 2 1350 44.48% Herfolge 2 1360 29.90% 25.62%
7 1986-05-14 60.3 @ Odense 2 1362 48.80% Herfolge 2 1338 25.66% 25.54%
8 1986-05-04 59.8 @ Herfolge 2 1361 54.82% Esbjerg 2 1283 19.88% 25.30%
9 1986-04-13 59.5 @ Aarhus GF 2 1331 51.81% Ikast 2 1281 22.74% 25.44%
10 1986-11-09 59.5 Vejle BK 3 1277 16.92% @ Bronshoj 2 1389 57.98% 25.10%
11 1986-07-26 59.4 @ Bronshoj 2 1331 52.48% Naestved 2 1275 22.10% 25.42%
12 1986-08-13 59.4 @ Herfolge 2 1362 61.33% Kastrup 2 1210 13.88% 24.79%
13 1986-04-06 59.1 @ KB Copenhagen 2 1276 43.88% Kastrup 2 1291 30.50% 25.62%
14 1986-04-20 59.1 @ B 1903 2 1302 54.16% Bronshoj 2 1230 20.50% 25.34%
15 1986-04-27 59.1 @ Naestved 2 1263 42.34% KB Copenhagen 2 1290 32.03% 25.63%
16 1986-09-07 59.0 @ Herfolge 2 1289 66.29% Randers 2 1066 9.63% 24.08%
17 1986-09-07 58.4 Lyngby 3 1308 21.02% @ Odense 2 1375 53.61% 25.37%
18 1986-09-14 55.2 Aarhus GF 2 1490 34.48% @ Brondby 1 1445 39.88% 25.64%
19 1986-09-28 55.2 Ikast 2 1325 17.90% @ Brondby 1 1425 56.92% 25.18%
20 1986-09-07 55.0 Vejle BK 2 1227 13.42% @ B 1903 1 1385 61.85% 24.74%
21 1986-09-14 54.8 @ Naestved 1 1348 44.66% Odense 1 1357 29.73% 25.61%
22 1986-11-16 54.8 @ Randers 2 1040 11.31% B 1903 1 1361 64.77% 23.93%
23 1986-08-24 54.7 @ B 1903 1 1388 55.09% Lyngby 1 1307 19.62% 25.29%
24 1986-10-19 54.5 @ Lyngby 1 1338 44.43% Vejle BK 1 1349 29.95% 25.62%
25 1986-05-04 54.4 @ Aarhus GF 1 1392 59.16% Bronshoj 1 1267 15.83% 25.00%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-07-27 26.5 @ Aarhus GF 4 1394 68.22% Randers 0 1137 8.10% 23.68%
2 1986-11-09 26.6 @ B 1903 4 1344 67.06% Esbjerg 0 1108 9.01% 23.93%
3 1986-10-05 28.4 Naestved 3 1369 62.42% @ Randers 0 1081 13.30% 24.29%
4 1986-04-13 29.1 @ Brondby 5 1351 61.71% Randers 0 1195 13.54% 24.75%
5 1986-11-02 29.7 @ Lyngby 2 1339 65.59% Kastrup 0 1128 10.21% 24.21%
6 1986-05-04 29.9 @ Odense 2 1353 65.20% Randers 0 1147 10.53% 24.27%
7 1986-11-09 30.0 Naestved 2 1455 65.88% @ Kastrup 0 1118 10.39% 23.73%
8 1986-08-24 30.5 @ Odense 2 1351 63.48% Esbjerg 0 1171 11.99% 24.53%
9 1986-08-31 30.7 Odense 2 1363 62.03% @ Randers 0 1079 13.63% 24.34%
10 1986-09-28 31.6 @ Vejle BK 4 1309 51.76% Herfolge 0 1259 22.80% 25.44%
11 1986-11-02 31.7 Ikast 2 1373 59.20% @ Esbjerg 0 1123 16.13% 24.67%
12 1986-10-12 32.1 @ Aarhus GF 3 1529 65.30% Odense 0 1322 10.44% 24.26%
13 1986-09-07 32.5 @ Aarhus GF 1 1487 71.53% Kastrup 0 1162 5.71% 22.77%
14 1986-08-03 32.6 @ Naestved 2 1277 55.98% Vejle BK 0 1186 18.78% 25.24%
15 1986-08-24 32.6 @ KB Copenhagen 4 1293 64.93% Randers 1 1092 10.75% 24.32%
16 1986-04-06 32.7 @ Odense 3 1311 49.88% Bronshoj 0 1277 24.61% 25.51%
17 1986-09-28 32.9 @ Lyngby 7 1334 67.50% Randers 3 1091 8.66% 23.84%
18 1986-09-21 33.6 @ B 1903 1 1342 64.96% Kastrup 0 1141 10.73% 24.31%
19 1986-11-16 33.6 @ Vejle BK 1 1297 64.13% Kastrup 0 1108 11.43% 24.44%
20 1986-04-26 33.8 @ Bronshoj 3 1232 44.55% Ikast 0 1241 29.83% 25.61%
21 1986-09-14 33.9 @ Vejle BK 5 1250 45.20% KB Copenhagen 0 1254 29.20% 25.61%
22 1986-10-12 34.0 @ Vejle BK 3 1343 69.46% Randers 1 1062 7.16% 23.38%
23 1986-10-26 34.2 Brondby 2 1384 52.31% @ KB Copenhagen 0 1204 22.48% 25.20%
24 1986-05-14 34.4 @ B 1903 1 1316 61.90% Randers 0 1157 13.37% 24.73%
25 1986-04-27 34.5 @ Brondby 2 1366 53.32% Esbjerg 0 1301 21.30% 25.38%