1991 Superliga Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Brondby

26 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Brondby

5.96 points above expected

26 points · 20.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ikast

5.79 points below expected

10 points · 15.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Brondby	18	10	6	2	26	26	15	+11	20.0	+5.96
2	Lyngby	18	10	4	4	24	35	18	+17	21.0	+2.97
3	Aarhus GF	18	6	8	4	20	29	26	+3	18.7	+1.31
4	Frem	18	6	7	5	19	25	24	+1	18.9	+0.13
5	Odense	18	3	11	4	17	21	20	+1	18.3	-1.30
6	Aalborg	18	6	5	7	17	29	33	-4	16.7	+0.32
7	FC Copenhagen	18	6	4	8	16	19	18	+1	16.1	-0.15
8	Vejle BK	18	5	6	7	16	20	22	-2	17.0	-1.02
9	Silkeborg	18	4	7	7	15	23	33	-10	17.4	-2.43
10	Ikast	18	3	4	11	10	9	27	-18	15.8	-5.79

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Lyngby	1659	24	21.03	+2.97	86.8%	9	16	19	21	23	26	31
Brondby	1654	26	20.04	+5.96	98.3%	7	15	18	20	22	25	31
Aarhus GF	1588	20	18.69	+1.31	71.7%	6	14	17	19	21	24	30
FC Copenhagen	1572	16	16.15	-0.15	54.9%	4	11	14	16	18	21	27
Odense	1571	17	18.30	-1.30	39.7%	8	13	16	18	20	23	29
Frem	1569	19	18.87	+0.13	57.7%	7	14	17	19	21	24	29
Vejle BK	1546	16	17.02	-1.02	44.0%	5	12	15	17	19	22	28
Aalborg	1523	17	16.68	+0.32	60.9%	5	12	15	17	19	22	27
Silkeborg	1515	15	17.43	-2.43	27.3%	4	12	15	17	20	23	30
Ikast	1464	10	15.79	-5.79	4.5%	4	11	14	16	18	21	28

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	AG	BRO	FC	FRE	IKA	LYN	ODE	SIL	VB
Aalborg	—	1-0-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.08	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.44	1-1-0 2.82	0-0-2 2.07	1-1-0 2.17	1-1-0 2.42	0-1-1 2.64
Aarhus GF	1-0-1 2.94	—	0-1-1 2.52	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 2.50	1-1-0 3.00	0-1-1 1.99	1-1-0 2.71	1-1-0 2.90	0-2-0 2.98
Brondby	1-1-0 3.15	1-1-0 2.68	—	2-0-0 3.11	1-1-0 2.80	2-0-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.51	0-2-0 2.77	1-0-1 3.26	2-0-0 3.10
FC Copenhagen	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.21	0-0-2 2.10	—	1-0-1 2.19	0-1-1 2.87	1-0-1 1.85	0-2-0 2.32	1-1-0 2.32	1-0-1 2.21
Frem	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.39	1-0-1 3.00	—	1-0-1 3.20	1-1-0 2.28	1-1-0 2.65	0-2-0 2.82	1-1-0 2.83
Ikast	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.25	0-0-2 2.06	1-1-0 2.32	1-0-1 2.01	—	1-0-1 2.09	0-1-1 2.20	0-0-2 2.26	0-0-2 2.49
Lyngby	2-0-0 3.18	1-1-0 3.24	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-1 3.38	0-1-1 2.91	1-0-1 3.21	—	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.25	2-0-0 3.17
Odense	0-1-1 3.02	0-1-1 2.48	0-2-0 2.43	0-2-0 2.90	0-1-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.99	0-1-1 2.20	—	1-1-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.63
Silkeborg	0-1-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.89	0-2-0 2.37	2-0-0 2.94	1-0-1 1.97	0-1-1 2.53	—	0-1-1 2.79
Vejle BK	1-1-0 2.54	0-2-0 2.24	0-0-2 2.13	1-0-1 3.00	0-1-1 2.38	2-0-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.09	0-1-1 2.56	1-1-0 2.40	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.22%	7.78%	3.33%	3.33%	—	1.11%	27.78%
1	7.78%	16.67%	8.89%	1.67%	2.78%	1.67%	39.44%
2	3.33%	8.89%	4.44%	0.56%	0.56%	0.56%	18.33%
3	3.33%	1.67%	0.56%	1.11%	0.56%	—	7.22%
4	—	2.78%	0.56%	0.56%	—	—	3.89%
5+	1.11%	1.67%	0.56%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	27.78%	39.44%	18.33%	7.22%	3.89%	3.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.097
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	—	16.67%	11.11%	—	5.56%	11.11%	44.44%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	11.11%	44.44%	27.78%	—	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Aalborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.61
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.62
Mean total goals/game	3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.260
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	—	16.67%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	33.33%
2	—	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	44.44%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Aarhus GF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.61
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.111
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	55.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Brondby — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	0.79
Mean total goals/game	2.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.087
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	27.78%	—	—	—	—	44.44%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	44.44%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	100%

FC Copenhagen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.06
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	2.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.076
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	11.11%	27.78%	22.22%	—	5.56%	—	66.67%
2	—	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	44.44%	33.33%	—	5.56%	—	100%

Frem — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	0.61
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.233
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	61.11%
1	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	27.78%	22.22%	16.67%	—	5.56%	100%

Ikast — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.50
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	0.71
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.030
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
1	11.11%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	33.33%	44.44%	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	100%

Lyngby — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.94
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.51
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.038
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	33.33%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	44.44%
1	—	22.22%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	33.33%
2	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	44.44%	27.78%	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	100%

Odense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.11
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.017
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	5.56%	22.22%
1	11.11%	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	44.44%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	22.22%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	27.78%	11.11%	—	11.11%	100%

Silkeborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.62
Mean total goals/game	3.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.265
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	27.78%	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

Vejle BK — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.11
Mean allowed	1.22
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.016
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Brondby	26	20.0	+5.96
2	Lyngby	24	21.0	+2.97
3	Aarhus GF	20	18.7	+1.31
4	Aalborg	17	16.7	+0.32
5	Frem	19	18.9	+0.13

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ikast	10	15.8	-5.79
2	Silkeborg	15	17.4	-2.43
3	Odense	17	18.3	-1.30
4	Vejle BK	16	17.0	-1.02
5	FC Copenhagen	16	16.1	-0.15

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brondby	6	May 23 – Jun 19	1 in 359
2	Lyngby	5	Apr 14 – May 12	1 in 163
3	FC Copenhagen	3	May 16 – May 23	1 in 107
4	Ikast	2	Jun 9 – Jun 19	1 in 14
5	Frem	2	Mar 17 – Mar 24	1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ikast	8	Apr 28 – May 30	1 in 1,983
2	Frem	3	Jun 9 – Jun 23	1 in 51
3	Aalborg	3	Jun 2 – Jun 19	1 in 18
4	Brondby	2	Apr 28 – May 5	1 in 15
5	FC Copenhagen	3	Mar 24 – Apr 7	1 in 15

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brondby	10	May 12 – Jun 23	1 in 18
2	Aalborg	6	Apr 6 – May 12	1 in 17
3	Lyngby	10	Mar 24 – May 20	1 in 12
4	Frem	6	May 16 – Jun 2	1 in 8
5	Aarhus GF	5	May 16 – May 30	1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ikast	14	Mar 24 – Jun 2	1 in 50
2	Odense	8	Apr 14 – May 23	1 in 18
3	FC Copenhagen	9	Mar 17 – May 12	1 in 11
4	Vejle BK	7	Mar 17 – Apr 28	1 in 11
5	Silkeborg	6	Mar 17 – Apr 21	1 in 10

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Brondby	21.68%	19.06%	15.18%	12.05%	9.72%	7.19%	5.73%	4.23%	3.24%	1.92%
Lyngby	34.30%	20.73%	14.00%	9.78%	7.12%	5.30%	3.79%	2.66%	1.50%	0.82%
Aarhus GF	10.31%	12.36%	13.11%	12.55%	11.70%	10.74%	9.41%	8.78%	6.58%	4.46%
Frem	10.79%	12.80%	13.46%	12.58%	12.09%	10.36%	9.66%	7.54%	6.34%	4.38%
Odense	8.08%	10.62%	11.60%	12.07%	12.18%	11.53%	10.38%	9.42%	8.05%	6.07%
Aalborg	3.06%	4.68%	7.25%	8.10%	9.52%	11.20%	12.85%	14.17%	14.78%	14.39%
FC Copenhagen	2.13%	4.46%	5.22%	7.66%	9.18%	11.16%	12.07%	14.88%	16.02%	17.22%
Vejle BK	3.93%	5.95%	7.37%	9.47%	10.49%	12.14%	12.46%	12.64%	12.96%	12.59%
Silkeborg	4.24%	6.55%	8.59%	10.13%	10.66%	11.62%	12.43%	11.92%	12.67%	11.19%
Ikast	1.48%	2.79%	4.22%	5.61%	7.34%	8.76%	11.22%	13.76%	17.86%	26.96%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff
Aalborg	70.8%	29.2%
Aarhus GF	89.0%	11.0%
Brondby	94.8%	5.2%
FC Copenhagen	66.8%	33.2%
Frem	89.3%	10.7%
Ikast	55.2%	44.8%
Lyngby	97.7%	2.3%
Odense	85.9%	14.1%
Silkeborg	76.1%	23.9%
Vejle BK	74.5%	25.6%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1991-03-16	Brondby	L 1-2	1588	1597	39.4%	40.7%	20.0%	-10.2	0
1991-03-16	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1597	1588	20.0%	40.7%	39.4%	+10.2	3
1991-03-17	Vejle BK	D 1-1	1532	1556	37.4%	41.0%	21.6%	-0.8	1
1991-03-17	@ Aalborg	D 1-1	1556	1532	21.6%	41.0%	37.4%	+0.8	1
1991-03-17	Silkeborg	D 1-1	1540	1567	36.9%	41.0%	22.0%	-0.7	1
1991-03-17	@ FC Copenhagen	D 1-1	1567	1540	22.0%	41.0%	36.9%	+0.7	1
1991-03-17	Odense	W 3-0	1560	1574	38.8%	40.8%	20.4%	+19.5	3
1991-03-17	@ Frem	L 0-3	1574	1560	20.4%	40.8%	38.8%	-19.5	0
1991-03-17	Lyngby	W 1-0	1557	1590	36.4%	41.1%	22.5%	+7.6	3
1991-03-17	@ Ikast	L 0-1	1590	1557	22.5%	41.1%	36.4%	-7.6	0
1991-03-24	Ikast	W 2-1	1607	1565	45.6%	38.8%	15.6%	+5.5	6
1991-03-24	@ Brondby	L 1-2	1565	1607	15.6%	38.8%	45.6%	-5.5	3
1991-03-24	FC Copenhagen	W 4-1	1582	1539	45.8%	38.7%	15.5%	+13.4	3
1991-03-24	@ Lyngby	L 1-4	1539	1582	15.5%	38.7%	45.8%	-13.4	1
1991-03-24	Aarhus GF	D 0-0	1554	1578	37.5%	41.0%	21.5%	-0.9	1
1991-03-24	@ Odense	D 0-0	1578	1554	21.5%	41.0%	37.5%	+0.9	1
1991-03-24	Aalborg	D 1-1	1568	1531	45.0%	39.0%	16.0%	-1.5	2
1991-03-24	@ Silkeborg	D 1-1	1531	1568	16.0%	39.0%	45.0%	+1.5	2
1991-03-24	Frem	L 1-2	1557	1580	37.6%	41.0%	21.4%	-9.9	1
1991-03-24	@ Vejle BK	W 2-1	1580	1557	21.4%	41.0%	37.6%	+9.9	6
1991-04-01	Lyngby	L 1-2	1533	1595	32.3%	41.2%	26.4%	-8.9	2
1991-04-01	@ Aalborg	W 2-1	1595	1533	26.4%	41.2%	32.3%	+8.9	6
1991-04-01	Brondby	L 0-1	1526	1612	29.1%	41.0%	29.9%	-8.8	1
1991-04-01	@ FC Copenhagen	W 1-0	1612	1526	29.9%	41.0%	29.1%	+8.8	9
1991-04-01	Silkeborg	D 2-2	1590	1567	43.3%	39.6%	17.1%	-1.0	7
1991-04-01	@ Frem	D 2-2	1567	1590	17.1%	39.6%	43.3%	+1.0	3
1991-04-01	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1560	1579	38.1%	40.9%	21.0%	-0.8	4
1991-04-01	@ Ikast	D 1-1	1579	1560	21.0%	40.9%	38.1%	+0.9	2
1991-04-01	Odense	D 0-0	1547	1553	39.7%	40.6%	19.7%	-1.1	2
1991-04-01	@ Vejle BK	D 0-0	1553	1547	19.7%	40.6%	39.7%	+1.1	2
1991-04-06	Aalborg	D 2-2	1621	1524	52.2%	35.4%	12.4%	-1.6	10
1991-04-06	@ Brondby	D 2-2	1524	1621	12.4%	35.4%	52.2%	+1.6	3
1991-04-07	FC Copenhagen	W 2-1	1579	1517	48.1%	37.6%	14.3%	+5.0	5
1991-04-07	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1517	1579	14.3%	37.6%	48.1%	-5.1	1
1991-04-07	Frem	D 1-1	1604	1589	42.4%	39.9%	17.7%	-1.3	7
1991-04-07	@ Lyngby	D 1-1	1589	1604	17.7%	39.9%	42.4%	+1.3	8
1991-04-07	Ikast	W 3-0	1554	1559	39.9%	40.6%	19.5%	+18.9	5
1991-04-07	@ Odense	L 0-3	1559	1554	19.5%	40.6%	39.9%	-18.9	4
1991-04-07	Vejle BK	D 0-0	1568	1546	43.2%	39.7%	17.2%	-1.5	4
1991-04-07	@ Silkeborg	D 0-0	1546	1568	17.2%	39.7%	43.2%	+1.5	3
1991-04-14	Aarhus GF	W 4-1	1526	1584	32.8%	41.2%	25.9%	+19.1	6
1991-04-14	@ Aalborg	L 1-4	1584	1526	25.9%	41.2%	32.8%	-19.1	5
1991-04-14	Ikast	D 0-0	1512	1540	36.9%	41.0%	22.1%	-0.8	2
1991-04-14	@ FC Copenhagen	D 0-0	1540	1512	22.1%	41.0%	36.9%	+0.8	5
1991-04-14	Brondby	D 1-1	1590	1620	36.7%	41.1%	22.2%	-0.7	9
1991-04-14	@ Frem	D 1-1	1620	1590	22.2%	41.1%	36.7%	+0.7	11
1991-04-14	Odense	D 2-2	1566	1573	39.6%	40.6%	19.8%	-0.7	5
1991-04-14	@ Silkeborg	D 2-2	1573	1566	19.8%	40.6%	39.6%	+0.7	6
1991-04-14	Lyngby	L 0-2	1548	1603	33.3%	41.3%	25.4%	-18.2	3
1991-04-14	@ Vejle BK	W 2-0	1603	1548	25.4%	41.3%	33.3%	+18.2	10
1991-04-20	Vejle BK	W 3-1	1620	1529	51.4%	35.9%	12.7%	+7.8	14
1991-04-20	@ Brondby	L 1-3	1529	1620	12.7%	35.9%	51.4%	-7.8	3
1991-04-21	Frem	W 2-1	1565	1589	37.5%	41.0%	21.6%	+7.0	8
1991-04-21	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1589	1565	21.6%	41.0%	37.5%	-7.0	9
1991-04-21	Aalborg	D 0-0	1541	1545	40.0%	40.5%	19.5%	-1.2	6
1991-04-21	@ Ikast	D 0-0	1545	1541	19.5%	40.5%	40.0%	+1.2	7
1991-04-21	Silkeborg	W 5-2	1621	1565	47.3%	38.0%	14.7%	+11.0	13
1991-04-21	@ Lyngby	L 2-5	1565	1621	14.7%	38.0%	47.3%	-11.0	5
1991-04-21	FC Copenhagen	D 0-0	1574	1511	48.2%	37.6%	14.2%	-2.0	7
1991-04-21	@ Odense	D 0-0	1511	1574	14.2%	37.6%	48.2%	+2.1	3
1991-04-28	FC Copenhagen	W 4-1	1546	1513	44.5%	39.2%	16.3%	+13.9	10
1991-04-28	@ Aalborg	L 1-4	1513	1546	16.3%	39.2%	44.5%	-13.9	3
1991-04-28	Ikast	W 1-0	1582	1539	45.7%	38.7%	15.6%	+5.8	12
1991-04-28	@ Frem	L 0-1	1539	1582	15.6%	38.7%	45.7%	-5.8	6
1991-04-28	Odense	W 1-0	1632	1572	47.8%	37.8%	14.4%	+5.4	16
1991-04-28	@ Lyngby	L 0-1	1572	1632	14.4%	37.8%	47.8%	-5.4	7
1991-04-28	Brondby	W 1-0	1554	1628	30.9%	41.2%	28.0%	+8.6	8
1991-04-28	@ Silkeborg	L 0-1	1628	1554	28.0%	41.2%	30.9%	-8.6	14
1991-04-28	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1522	1572	33.9%	41.2%	24.8%	-0.4	4
1991-04-28	@ Vejle BK	D 1-1	1572	1522	24.8%	41.2%	33.9%	+0.4	9
1991-05-05	Silkeborg	W 2-1	1573	1563	41.7%	40.1%	18.2%	+6.2	12
1991-05-05	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-2	1563	1573	18.2%	40.1%	41.7%	-6.2	8
1991-05-05	Lyngby	L 0-3	1619	1638	38.2%	40.9%	20.9%	-29.0	14
1991-05-05	@ Brondby	W 3-0	1638	1619	20.9%	40.9%	38.2%	+28.9	19
1991-05-05	Frem	L 0-1	1499	1588	28.8%	41.0%	30.3%	-8.8	3
1991-05-05	@ FC Copenhagen	W 1-0	1588	1499	30.3%	41.0%	28.8%	+8.8	15
1991-05-05	Vejle BK	L 0-2	1534	1521	42.0%	40.0%	17.9%	-21.3	6
1991-05-05	@ Ikast	W 2-0	1521	1534	17.9%	40.0%	42.0%	+21.3	7
1991-05-05	Aalborg	D 1-1	1567	1560	41.3%	40.2%	18.4%	-1.2	8
1991-05-05	@ Odense	D 1-1	1560	1567	18.4%	40.2%	41.3%	+1.2	11
1991-05-12	Aalborg	L 1-2	1597	1561	44.9%	39.1%	16.1%	-11.2	15
1991-05-12	@ Frem	W 2-1	1561	1597	16.1%	39.1%	44.9%	+11.2	14
1991-05-12	Aarhus GF	W 2-1	1667	1579	51.0%	36.1%	12.9%	+4.6	22
1991-05-12	@ Lyngby	L 1-2	1579	1667	12.9%	36.1%	51.0%	-4.6	12
1991-05-12	Brondby	D 1-1	1565	1590	37.3%	41.0%	21.7%	-0.8	9
1991-05-12	@ Odense	D 1-1	1590	1565	21.7%	41.0%	37.3%	+0.8	15
1991-05-12	Ikast	W 1-0	1557	1512	46.0%	38.6%	15.4%	+5.8	11
1991-05-12	@ Silkeborg	L 0-1	1512	1557	15.4%	38.6%	46.0%	-5.8	6
1991-05-12	FC Copenhagen	W 1-0	1543	1490	46.9%	38.2%	14.9%	+5.6	10
1991-05-12	@ Vejle BK	L 0-1	1490	1543	14.9%	38.2%	46.9%	-5.6	3
1991-05-16	Frem	L 1-2	1572	1586	38.8%	40.8%	20.4%	-10.1	14
1991-05-16	@ Aalborg	W 2-1	1586	1572	20.4%	40.8%	38.8%	+10.1	18
1991-05-16	Lyngby	D 1-1	1574	1671	27.8%	40.8%	31.4%	+0.2	13
1991-05-16	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	1671	1574	31.4%	40.8%	27.8%	-0.2	23
1991-05-16	Odense	D 0-0	1591	1565	43.8%	39.5%	16.8%	-1.6	16
1991-05-16	@ Brondby	D 0-0	1565	1591	16.8%	39.5%	43.8%	+1.6	10
1991-05-16	Vejle BK	W 3-0	1485	1548	32.2%	41.2%	26.5%	+23.0	6
1991-05-16	@ FC Copenhagen	L 0-3	1548	1485	26.5%	41.2%	32.2%	-23.0	10
1991-05-16	Silkeborg	L 1-2	1507	1563	33.2%	41.3%	25.5%	-9.1	6
1991-05-16	@ Ikast	W 2-1	1563	1507	25.5%	41.3%	33.2%	+9.1	14
1991-05-20	Aarhus GF	D 0-0	1590	1575	42.4%	39.9%	17.7%	-1.4	17
1991-05-20	@ Brondby	D 0-0	1575	1590	17.7%	39.9%	42.4%	+1.4	14
1991-05-20	Ikast	W 5-0	1671	1497	61.1%	29.3%	9.7%	+14.6	26
1991-05-20	@ Lyngby	L 0-5	1497	1671	9.7%	29.3%	61.1%	-14.6	6
1991-05-20	Frem	D 1-1	1566	1596	36.7%	41.1%	22.2%	-0.7	11
1991-05-20	@ Odense	D 1-1	1596	1566	22.2%	41.1%	36.7%	+0.7	19
1991-05-20	FC Copenhagen	L 0-1	1572	1508	48.3%	37.6%	14.2%	-12.5	14
1991-05-20	@ Silkeborg	W 1-0	1508	1572	14.2%	37.6%	48.3%	+12.5	9
1991-05-20	Aalborg	W 5-1	1525	1562	35.8%	41.2%	23.1%	+23.0	13
1991-05-20	@ Vejle BK	L 1-5	1562	1525	23.1%	41.2%	35.8%	-23.0	14
1991-05-23	Silkeborg	W 2-1	1539	1559	37.9%	40.9%	21.2%	+6.9	17
1991-05-23	@ Aalborg	L 1-2	1559	1539	21.2%	40.9%	37.9%	-6.9	14
1991-05-23	Odense	W 3-1	1576	1565	41.8%	40.1%	18.1%	+10.7	17
1991-05-23	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-3	1565	1576	18.1%	40.1%	41.8%	-10.7	11
1991-05-23	Lyngby	W 2-0	1520	1686	20.4%	38.1%	41.4%	+20.7	12
1991-05-23	@ FC Copenhagen	L 0-2	1686	1520	41.4%	38.1%	20.4%	-20.7	26
1991-05-23	Vejle BK	D 1-1	1596	1548	46.4%	38.4%	15.2%	-1.7	20
1991-05-23	@ Frem	D 1-1	1548	1596	15.2%	38.4%	46.4%	+1.7	14
1991-05-23	Brondby	L 0-1	1483	1588	26.7%	40.6%	32.7%	-8.4	6
1991-05-23	@ Ikast	W 1-0	1588	1483	32.7%	40.6%	26.7%	+8.4	20
1991-05-26	Ikast	W 3-2	1587	1475	53.9%	34.3%	11.8%	+3.9	20
1991-05-26	@ Aarhus GF	L 2-3	1475	1587	11.8%	34.3%	53.9%	-3.9	6
1991-05-26	FC Copenhagen	W 1-0	1597	1541	47.3%	38.0%	14.7%	+5.5	23
1991-05-26	@ Brondby	L 0-1	1541	1597	14.7%	38.0%	47.3%	-5.5	12
1991-05-26	Aalborg	W 2-0	1665	1546	54.7%	33.8%	11.5%	+8.0	29
1991-05-26	@ Lyngby	L 0-2	1546	1665	11.5%	33.8%	54.7%	-8.0	17
1991-05-26	Vejle BK	W 4-2	1555	1550	41.1%	40.3%	18.6%	+9.8	14
1991-05-26	@ Odense	L 2-4	1550	1555	18.6%	40.3%	41.1%	-9.8	14
1991-05-26	Frem	D 1-1	1552	1595	35.0%	41.2%	23.8%	-0.5	15
1991-05-26	@ Silkeborg	D 1-1	1595	1552	23.8%	41.2%	35.0%	+0.5	21
1991-05-30	Ikast	W 2-0	1538	1471	48.6%	37.4%	14.0%	+9.9	20
1991-05-30	@ Aalborg	L 0-2	1471	1538	14.0%	37.4%	48.6%	-9.9	6
1991-05-30	Odense	D 0-0	1535	1565	36.8%	41.1%	22.2%	-0.8	13
1991-05-30	@ FC Copenhagen	D 0-0	1565	1535	22.2%	41.1%	36.8%	+0.8	15
1991-05-30	Aarhus GF	D 2-2	1595	1591	41.1%	40.3%	18.6%	-0.8	22
1991-05-30	@ Frem	D 2-2	1591	1595	18.6%	40.3%	41.1%	+0.9	21
1991-05-30	Lyngby	W 4-3	1552	1673	24.8%	40.1%	35.1%	+8.6	18
1991-05-30	@ Silkeborg	L 3-4	1673	1552	35.1%	40.1%	24.8%	-8.6	29
1991-05-30	Brondby	L 1-3	1540	1602	32.4%	41.2%	26.3%	-15.5	14
1991-05-30	@ Vejle BK	W 3-1	1602	1540	26.3%	41.2%	32.4%	+15.5	26
1991-06-02	Brondby	L 0-2	1548	1618	31.4%	41.2%	27.4%	-17.5	20
1991-06-02	@ Aalborg	W 2-0	1618	1548	27.4%	41.2%	31.4%	+17.5	29
1991-06-02	Aarhus GF	W 3-0	1534	1591	33.1%	41.3%	25.6%	+22.5	16
1991-06-02	@ FC Copenhagen	L 0-3	1591	1534	25.6%	41.3%	33.1%	-22.5	21
1991-06-02	Lyngby	W 2-1	1594	1664	31.4%	41.2%	27.4%	+8.1	25
1991-06-02	@ Frem	L 1-2	1664	1594	27.4%	41.2%	31.4%	-8.1	29
1991-06-02	Odense	D 0-0	1461	1565	26.8%	40.6%	32.6%	+0.3	7
1991-06-02	@ Ikast	D 0-0	1565	1461	32.6%	40.6%	26.8%	-0.3	16
1991-06-02	Silkeborg	W 1-0	1525	1560	35.9%	41.1%	22.9%	+7.7	17
1991-06-02	@ Vejle BK	L 0-1	1560	1525	22.9%	41.1%	35.9%	-7.7	18
1991-06-09	Aalborg	W 6-1	1569	1530	45.2%	38.9%	15.9%	+21.5	24
1991-06-09	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-6	1530	1569	15.9%	38.9%	45.2%	-21.5	20
1991-06-09	Frem	W 4-1	1635	1603	44.5%	39.2%	16.3%	+13.9	32
1991-06-09	@ Brondby	L 1-4	1603	1635	16.3%	39.2%	44.5%	-13.9	25
1991-06-09	FC Copenhagen	W 1-0	1461	1557	27.9%	40.8%	31.3%	+9.2	10
1991-06-09	@ Ikast	L 0-1	1557	1461	31.3%	40.8%	27.9%	-9.2	16
1991-06-09	Vejle BK	W 1-0	1656	1532	55.3%	33.4%	11.3%	+4.1	32
1991-06-09	@ Lyngby	L 0-1	1532	1656	11.3%	33.4%	55.3%	-4.1	17
1991-06-09	Silkeborg	W 6-0	1565	1553	42.0%	40.0%	18.0%	+34.1	19
1991-06-09	@ Odense	L 0-6	1553	1565	18.0%	40.0%	42.0%	-34.1	18
1991-06-19	Vejle BK	D 0-0	1590	1528	48.1%	37.7%	14.3%	-2.0	25
1991-06-19	@ Aarhus GF	D 0-0	1528	1590	14.3%	37.7%	48.1%	+2.0	18
1991-06-19	Silkeborg	W 2-1	1649	1519	56.0%	32.9%	11.1%	+3.8	35
1991-06-19	@ Brondby	L 1-2	1519	1649	11.1%	32.9%	56.0%	-3.8	18
1991-06-19	Aalborg	W 4-1	1548	1509	45.3%	38.9%	15.8%	+13.6	19
1991-06-19	@ FC Copenhagen	L 1-4	1509	1548	15.8%	38.9%	45.3%	-13.6	20
1991-06-19	Frem	W 2-1	1470	1589	25.1%	40.2%	34.6%	+9.2	13
1991-06-19	@ Ikast	L 1-2	1589	1470	34.6%	40.2%	25.1%	-9.2	25
1991-06-19	Lyngby	D 1-1	1599	1660	32.5%	41.2%	26.2%	-0.3	20
1991-06-19	@ Odense	D 1-1	1660	1599	26.2%	41.2%	32.5%	+0.3	33
1991-06-23	Odense	W 5-1	1495	1599	26.9%	40.6%	32.5%	+28.1	23
1991-06-23	@ Aalborg	L 1-5	1599	1495	32.5%	40.6%	26.9%	-28.1	20
1991-06-23	FC Copenhagen	L 1-2	1579	1561	42.7%	39.8%	17.5%	-10.8	25
1991-06-23	@ Frem	W 2-1	1561	1579	17.5%	39.8%	42.7%	+10.8	22
1991-06-23	Brondby	D 1-1	1661	1653	41.5%	40.2%	18.4%	-1.2	34
1991-06-23	@ Lyngby	D 1-1	1653	1661	18.4%	40.2%	41.5%	+1.2	36
1991-06-23	Aarhus GF	D 3-3	1515	1588	30.9%	41.2%	28.0%	-0.1	19
1991-06-23	@ Silkeborg	D 3-3	1588	1515	28.0%	41.2%	30.9%	+0.1	26
1991-06-23	Ikast	W 3-0	1530	1480	46.7%	38.3%	15.0%	+15.4	21
1991-06-23	@ Vejle BK	L 0-3	1480	1530	15.0%	38.3%	46.7%	-15.4	13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1991-05-20	14.17%	FC Copenhagen	1508	1	@ Silkeborg	1572	0
2	1991-05-12	16.05%	Aalborg	1561	2	@ Frem	1597	1
3	1991-06-23	17.47%	FC Copenhagen	1561	2	@ Frem	1579	1
4	1991-05-05	17.95%	Vejle BK	1521	2	@ Ikast	1534	0
5	1991-03-16	19.97%	Brondby	1597	2	@ Aarhus GF	1588	1
6	1991-05-23	20.40%	@ FC Copenhagen	1520	2	Lyngby	1686	0
7	1991-05-16	20.45%	Frem	1586	2	@ Aalborg	1572	1
8	1991-05-05	20.95%	Lyngby	1638	3	@ Brondby	1619	0
9	1991-03-24	21.44%	Frem	1580	2	@ Vejle BK	1557	1
10	1991-05-30	24.82%	@ Silkeborg	1552	4	Lyngby	1673	3
11	1991-06-19	25.13%	@ Ikast	1470	2	Frem	1589	1
12	1991-04-14	25.44%	Lyngby	1603	2	@ Vejle BK	1548	0
13	1991-05-16	25.53%	Silkeborg	1563	2	@ Ikast	1507	1
14	1991-05-30	26.33%	Brondby	1602	3	@ Vejle BK	1540	1
15	1991-04-01	26.41%	Lyngby	1595	2	@ Aalborg	1533	1
16	1991-06-23	26.89%	@ Aalborg	1495	5	Odense	1599	1
17	1991-06-02	27.41%	Brondby	1618	2	@ Aalborg	1548	0
18	1991-06-09	27.86%	@ Ikast	1461	1	FC Copenhagen	1557	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1991-06-09	34.08	@ Odense	6	1565	42.02%	Silkeborg	0	1553	17.96%
2	1991-05-05	28.95	Lyngby	3	1638	20.95%	@ Brondby	0	1619	38.17%
3	1991-06-23	28.08	@ Aalborg	5	1495	26.89%	Odense	1	1599	32.46%
4	1991-05-20	23.00	@ Vejle BK	5	1525	35.76%	Aalborg	1	1562	23.08%
5	1991-05-16	22.98	@ FC Copenhagen	3	1485	32.22%	Vejle BK	0	1548	26.54%
6	1991-06-02	22.52	@ FC Copenhagen	3	1534	33.10%	Aarhus GF	0	1591	25.64%
7	1991-06-09	21.54	@ Aarhus GF	6	1569	45.22%	Aalborg	1	1530	15.86%
8	1991-05-05	21.33	Vejle BK	2	1521	17.95%	@ Ikast	0	1534	42.03%
9	1991-05-23	20.68	@ FC Copenhagen	2	1520	20.40%	Lyngby	0	1686	41.45%
10	1991-03-17	19.52	@ Frem	3	1560	38.80%	Odense	0	1574	20.43%
11	1991-04-14	19.10	@ Aalborg	4	1526	32.84%	Aarhus GF	1	1584	25.91%
12	1991-04-07	18.92	@ Odense	3	1554	39.94%	Ikast	0	1559	19.52%
13	1991-04-14	18.17	Lyngby	2	1603	25.44%	@ Vejle BK	0	1548	33.31%
14	1991-06-02	17.48	Brondby	2	1618	27.41%	@ Aalborg	0	1548	31.39%
15	1991-05-30	15.46	Brondby	3	1602	26.33%	@ Vejle BK	1	1540	32.42%
16	1991-06-23	15.40	@ Vejle BK	3	1530	46.68%	Ikast	0	1480	15.01%
17	1991-05-20	14.56	@ Lyngby	5	1671	61.05%	Ikast	0	1497	9.70%
18	1991-06-09	13.94	@ Brondby	4	1635	44.49%	Frem	1	1603	16.30%
19	1991-04-28	13.92	@ Aalborg	4	1546	44.54%	FC Copenhagen	1	1513	16.27%
20	1991-06-19	13.60	@ FC Copenhagen	4	1548	45.27%	Aalborg	1	1509	15.83%
21	1991-03-24	13.39	@ Lyngby	4	1582	45.77%	FC Copenhagen	1	1539	15.53%
22	1991-05-20	12.49	FC Copenhagen	1	1508	14.17%	@ Silkeborg	0	1572	48.27%
23	1991-05-12	11.19	Aalborg	2	1561	16.05%	@ Frem	1	1597	44.90%
24	1991-04-21	11.03	@ Lyngby	5	1621	47.29%	Silkeborg	2	1565	14.68%
25	1991-06-23	10.79	FC Copenhagen	2	1561	17.47%	@ Frem	1	1579	42.71%