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2002-03 Superliga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

FC Copenhagen

61 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 2000-01

Relegated

Koge BK

27 pts

Silkeborg · 36 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Nordsjaelland

12.97 points above expected

51 points · 38.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Brondby

10.48 points below expected

56 points · 66.48 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FC Copenhagen Champion 33 17 10 6 61 51 32 +19 63.92 -2.92
2 Brondby 33 15 11 7 56 61 35 +26 66.48 -10.48
3 Nordsjaelland 33 16 3 14 51 49 58 -9 38.03 +12.97
4 Odense 33 12 12 9 48 55 50 +5 46.71 +1.29
5 Esbjerg 33 12 11 10 47 65 57 +8 39.52 +7.48
6 Aalborg 33 14 4 15 46 42 45 -3 44.11 +1.89
7 Midtjylland 33 11 11 11 44 49 45 +4 53.81 -9.81
8 Viborg 33 11 10 12 43 58 55 +3 41.05 +1.95
9 AB Copenhagen 33 10 12 11 42 44 48 -4 47.53 -5.53
10 Aarhus GF 33 10 10 13 40 49 59 -10 38.01 +1.99
11 Silkeborg Relegated 33 9 9 15 36 52 54 -2 39.62 -3.62
12 Koge BK Relegated 33 8 3 22 27 45 82 -37 26.65 +0.35

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up); the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Nordsjaelland 51 38.03 +12.97
2 Esbjerg 47 39.52 +7.48
3 Aarhus GF 40 38.01 +1.99
4 Viborg 43 41.05 +1.95
5 Aalborg 46 44.11 +1.89

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Brondby 56 66.48 -10.48
2 Midtjylland 44 53.81 -9.81
3 AB Copenhagen 42 47.53 -5.53
4 Silkeborg 36 39.62 -3.62
5 FC Copenhagen 61 63.92 -2.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nordsjaelland 4 Dec 1 – Apr 13 1 in 137
2 Koge BK 2 Oct 6 – Oct 20 1 in 66
3 Viborg 3 May 4 – May 18 1 in 62
4 Aalborg 4 Jun 1 – Jun 22 1 in 56
5 Silkeborg 3 Apr 17 – Apr 27 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Koge BK 6 May 18 – Jun 22 1 in 36
2 Viborg 4 Dec 1 – Apr 6 1 in 36
3 Aalborg 4 Apr 27 – May 18 1 in 32
4 Brondby 2 Aug 3 – Aug 10 1 in 28
5 AB Copenhagen 3 Mar 16 – Apr 6 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aarhus GF 8 Apr 27 – Jun 18 1 in 144
2 Nordsjaelland 7 Dec 1 – Apr 24 1 in 62
3 Viborg 7 Apr 13 – May 18 1 in 49
4 Brondby 17 Nov 10 – Jun 15 1 in 35
5 AB Copenhagen 7 Oct 20 – Dec 1 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aalborg 7 Nov 17 – Apr 13 1 in 32
2 Midtjylland 5 May 24 – Jun 22 1 in 24
3 Odense 6 Apr 6 – May 4 1 in 21
4 Silkeborg 7 Aug 25 – Oct 6 1 in 14
5 Koge BK 12 Apr 13 – Jun 22 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FC Copenhagen 1750 61 +11 11 8.3 +2.7
Brondby 1774 56 -6 5 9.9 -4.9
Nordsjaelland 1552 51 -2 7 6.5 +0.5
Odense 1624 48 +4 10 6.8 +3.2
Esbjerg 1585 47 +11 8 6.3 +1.7
Aalborg 1594 46 +19 13 6.8 +6.2
Midtjylland 1663 44 -21 2 8.3 -6.3
Viborg 1594 43 +2 7 6.5 +0.5
AB Copenhagen 1594 42 +5 8 6.7 +1.3
Aarhus GF 1548 40 +6 6 5.9 +0.1
Silkeborg 1573 36 -8 4 6.0 -2.0
Koge BK 1419 27 -22 0 4.4 -4.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AC AAL AG BRO ESB FC KB MID NOR ODE SIL VIB
AB Copenhagen —
2-0-1
3.82
2-1-0
5.00
1-2-0
2.23
0-1-2
4.88
0-2-1
2.40
2-1-0
6.00
0-2-1
3.18
1-0-2
5.03
0-2-1
4.25
2-0-1
4.93
0-1-2
4.19
Aalborg
1-0-2
4.35
—
1-0-2
4.95
1-0-2
2.48
2-0-1
4.16
2-1-0
2.62
2-1-0
5.45
1-0-2
2.95
1-0-2
4.87
1-0-2
3.68
1-1-1
4.77
1-1-1
4.18
Aarhus GF
0-1-2
3.21
2-0-1
3.25
—
1-2-0
2.14
0-2-1
4.19
0-1-2
2.01
1-0-2
5.11
2-1-0
2.50
1-1-1
4.35
2-1-0
3.43
1-0-2
3.69
0-1-2
4.05
Brondby
0-2-1
6.12
2-0-1
5.81
0-2-1
6.22
—
1-2-0
6.44
0-1-2
4.05
2-0-1
7.24
2-1-0
5.34
2-1-0
6.22
2-1-0
5.87
2-0-1
6.16
2-1-0
6.30
Esbjerg
2-1-0
3.31
1-0-2
4.01
1-2-0
3.98
0-2-1
1.96
—
1-1-1
2.45
2-0-1
5.46
2-0-1
3.04
2-0-1
4.10
1-2-0
3.64
0-3-0
3.89
0-0-3
3.90
FC Copenhagen
1-2-0
5.90
0-1-2
5.65
2-1-0
6.38
2-1-0
4.14
1-1-1
5.84
—
3-0-0
6.84
1-2-0
4.71
3-0-0
6.45
1-1-1
5.40
2-0-1
6.44
1-1-1
6.14
Koge BK
0-1-2
2.32
0-1-2
2.79
2-0-1
3.10
1-0-2
1.34
1-0-2
2.80
0-0-3
1.64
—
0-1-2
2.11
1-0-2
2.86
0-0-3
2.10
1-0-2
3.20
2-0-1
2.49
Midtjylland
1-2-0
5.03
2-0-1
5.28
0-1-2
5.79
0-1-2
2.90
1-0-2
5.17
0-2-1
3.48
2-1-0
6.25
—
2-0-1
5.70
0-1-2
4.59
2-1-0
5.53
1-2-0
5.07
Nordsjaelland
2-0-1
3.18
2-0-1
3.34
1-1-1
3.84
0-1-2
2.14
1-0-2
4.08
0-0-3
1.96
2-0-1
5.38
1-0-2
2.58
—
2-1-0
3.37
2-0-1
3.58
3-0-0
3.77
Odense
1-2-0
3.93
2-0-1
4.50
0-1-2
4.75
0-1-2
2.43
0-2-1
4.54
1-1-1
2.83
3-0-0
6.26
2-1-0
3.59
0-1-2
4.81
—
1-2-0
5.05
2-1-0
4.66
Silkeborg
1-0-2
3.26
1-1-1
3.44
2-0-1
4.47
1-0-2
2.19
0-3-0
4.29
1-0-2
1.96
2-0-1
5.00
0-1-2
2.73
1-0-2
4.60
0-2-1
3.16
—
0-2-1
4.20
Viborg
2-1-0
3.98
1-1-1
3.98
2-1-0
4.13
0-1-2
2.07
3-0-0
4.29
1-1-1
2.21
1-0-2
5.82
0-2-1
3.13
0-0-3
4.40
0-1-2
3.51
1-2-0
3.97
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.13 +4.6
Allowed 0.70 -5.8
Differential 0.71 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%5.81%4.80%2.78%1.77%1.01%20.71%
15.81%14.14%7.32%4.80%2.27%1.26%35.61%
24.80%7.32%7.07%2.78%0.51%—22.47%
32.78%4.80%2.78%0.51%1.52%—12.37%
41.77%2.27%0.51%1.52%0.51%—6.57%
5+1.01%1.26%————2.27%
Total20.71%35.61%22.47%12.37%6.57%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.57 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.95
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%3.03%9.09%3.03%—30.30%
13.03%18.18%9.09%—3.03%—33.33%
23.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
3—15.15%3.03%3.03%——21.21%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total18.18%42.42%21.21%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.45 -0.12
SD 1.22 1.12 1.80
CV 0.91 0.77 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%—21.21%
118.18%6.06%12.12%9.09%——45.45%
26.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
33.03%9.09%——3.03%—15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%30.30%18.18%15.15%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.36 -0.09
SD 0.98 1.25 1.65
CV 0.77 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%12.12%———18.18%
13.03%9.09%6.06%9.09%6.06%—33.33%
23.03%12.12%18.18%—3.03%—36.36%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+———————
Total9.09%30.30%42.42%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.79 -0.30
SD 1.06 1.05 1.57
CV 0.72 0.59 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%————6.06%
13.03%27.27%9.09%6.06%——45.45%
29.09%15.15%3.03%———27.27%
33.03%3.03%——3.03%—9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total27.27%51.52%12.12%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.06 +0.79
SD 1.39 0.97 1.83
CV 0.75 0.91 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%——3.03%18.18%
13.03%21.21%6.06%—3.03%3.03%36.36%
2—3.03%6.06%———9.09%
33.03%—6.06%—3.03%—12.12%
4—12.12%—3.03%3.03%—18.18%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total12.12%45.45%24.24%3.03%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.73 +0.24
SD 1.67 1.44 2.32
CV 0.85 0.83 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%3.03%9.09%——21.21%
118.18%15.15%————33.33%
23.03%12.12%9.09%3.03%——27.27%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total39.39%36.36%12.12%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.97 +0.58
SD 1.28 1.02 1.84
CV 0.83 1.05 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%6.06%—3.03%6.06%24.24%
1—6.06%12.12%12.12%6.06%6.06%42.42%
26.06%3.03%3.03%6.06%——18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4—3.03%3.03%6.06%——12.12%
5+———————
Total6.06%24.24%24.24%24.24%9.09%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.48 -1.12
SD 1.25 1.56 2.19
CV 0.91 0.63 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—18.18%
13.03%21.21%6.06%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
212.12%6.06%6.06%6.06%——30.30%
33.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%39.39%18.18%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.36 +0.12
SD 1.12 1.17 1.75
CV 0.76 0.86 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%9.09%—3.03%—18.18%
112.12%3.03%6.06%3.03%—6.06%30.30%
29.09%15.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
3—6.06%6.06%—3.03%—15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%30.30%27.27%6.06%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.76 -0.27
SD 0.97 1.62 1.96
CV 0.65 0.92 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%3.03%—3.03%3.03%18.18%
13.03%15.15%9.09%—3.03%—30.30%
26.06%6.06%12.12%3.03%——27.27%
36.06%9.09%————15.15%
43.03%——3.03%3.03%—9.09%
5+———————
Total24.24%33.33%24.24%6.06%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.52 +0.15
SD 1.22 1.35 1.91
CV 0.73 0.89 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%6.06%——27.27%
13.03%15.15%9.09%3.03%——30.30%
2—3.03%6.06%6.06%——15.15%
36.06%3.03%——6.06%—15.15%
43.03%——6.06%——9.09%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total18.18%33.33%21.21%21.21%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.64 -0.06
SD 1.44 1.19 1.75
CV 0.91 0.73 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%—27.27%
1—12.12%3.03%12.12%3.03%—30.30%
2—3.03%6.06%3.03%——12.12%
33.03%3.03%9.09%———15.15%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+3.03%6.06%————9.09%
Total18.18%30.30%24.24%21.21%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.67 +0.09
SD 1.75 1.19 2.32
CV 1.00 0.71 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Brondby 1774 56 66.48 -10.48 8.0% 50 54 62 67 71 78 80
FC Copenhagen 1750 61 63.92 -2.92 37.0% 47 49 60 65 69 76 84
Midtjylland 1663 44 53.81 -9.81 7.0% 35 43 50 53 58 66 72
Odense 1624 48 46.71 +1.29 58.0% 31 33 41 46 52 58 71
Aalborg 1594 46 44.11 +1.89 63.0% 22 33 39 44 49 54 60
Viborg 1594 43 41.05 +1.95 64.0% 25 32 36 41 45 52 58
AB Copenhagen 1594 42 47.53 -5.53 25.0% 29 37 42 46 53 59 68
Esbjerg 1585 47 39.52 +7.48 94.0% 24 28 36 41 43 48 57
Silkeborg 1573 36 39.62 -3.62 32.0% 25 28 35 39 44 52 58
Nordsjaelland 1552 51 38.03 +12.97 96.0% 23 28 33 37 43 50 59
Aarhus GF 1548 40 38.01 +1.99 64.0% 21 27 33 38 43 49 55
Koge BK 1419 27 26.65 +0.35 54.0% 11 15 21 27 31 39 50

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 17.5% * Strong Edge: 17.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.68%
Strong Edge
45.45%26.77%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
233 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
062.07600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.15 * Comfortable: 0.15 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
One-Team Race
134610
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
FC Copenhagen, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.55 * Some Luck: 5.55 to 8.33 * Lucky: 8.33 to 11.1 * Wild Swing: 11.1 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.28 * Close: 1.28 to 1.92 * Off: 1.92 to 2.56 * Way Off: 2.56 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.82 * A Surprise: 0.82 to 1.31 * Several Surprises: 1.31 to 1.8 * Many Surprises: 1.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.42 points
Some Luck
06.9417
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.33
Off
01.604
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Nordsjaelland
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Midtjylland
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.82

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.15 * Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.35 * Moderate Separation: 1.35 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 59% * Slight Edge: 59% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 69% * Wide Edge: 69% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 85% * Strong Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Dominant: 88.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 61.5% * Very Frequent: 61.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.120.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 93.34
1.19
Coin-Flip Parity
0.651.351.61.92.5
Interquartile Edge
59%
Slight Edge
50%59%69%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Dominant
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.28 * Slight Separation: 0.28 to 0.32 * Notable Separation: 0.32 to 0.37 * Lopsided: 0.37 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.5 * Strong Carryover: 0.5 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 24% * As Expected: 24% to 26.5% * Upset-Prone: 26.5% to 30.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 30.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23.5% * Shaky Favorites: 23.5% to 27% * Very Shaky: 27% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Notable Separation
00.280.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.90
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.50
Strong Carryover
00.30.50.631
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.25
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.57
Overconfident
0.4368561.001.56314
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.102
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
FC Copenhagen29.00%52.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Brondby63.00%23.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%———————
Nordsjaelland—1.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%22.00%24.00%6.00%
Odense1.00%3.00%14.00%15.00%20.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%2.00%4.00%—
Esbjerg——2.00%3.00%9.00%8.00%18.00%22.00%11.00%14.00%7.00%6.00%
Aalborg—2.00%6.00%17.00%9.00%17.00%15.00%12.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%
Midtjylland5.00%11.00%39.00%20.00%14.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Viborg—3.00%—8.00%8.00%18.00%9.00%11.00%15.00%18.00%9.00%1.00%
AB Copenhagen2.00%5.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%17.00%10.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%—1.00%
Aarhus GF——1.00%3.00%13.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%16.00%16.00%23.00%4.00%
Silkeborg——1.00%8.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%15.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%
Koge BK————1.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%15.00%73.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Brondby 100% —
FC Copenhagen 100% —
Midtjylland 100% —
AB Copenhagen 99.00% 1.00%
Odense 96.00% 4.00%
Aalborg 93.00% 7.00%
Viborg 90.00% 10.00%
Esbjerg 87.00% 13.00%
Silkeborg 80.00% 20.00%
Aarhus GF 73.00% 27.00%
Nordsjaelland 70.00% 30.00%
Koge BK 12.00% 88.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-07-27 Brondby L 0-348.0 1554 1769 19.35% 24.05% 56.60%-0.66 -6.8 0
2002-07-27 @ Silkeborg W 3-048.0 1769 1554 56.60% 24.05% 19.35%+0.66 +6.8 3
2002-07-28 Aalborg L 1-261.7 1548 1601 37.11% 28.38% 34.51%+0.04 -4.1 0
2002-07-28 @ Esbjerg W 2-161.7 1601 1548 34.51% 28.38% 37.11%-0.04 +4.1 3
2002-07-28 Koge BK D 2-271.6 1621 1451 65.99% 19.63% 14.37%+0.99 -1.0 1
2002-07-28 @ AB Copenhagen D 2-271.6 1451 1621 14.37% 19.63% 65.99%-0.99 +0.9 1
2002-07-28 Midtjylland W 2-056.4 1606 1683 33.72% 28.35% 37.93%-0.06 +8.3 3
2002-07-28 @ Odense L 0-256.4 1683 1606 37.93% 28.35% 33.72%+0.06 -8.3 0
2002-07-28 Nordsjaelland W 2-047.3 1560 1530 48.63% 26.72% 24.64%+0.39 +5.9 3
2002-07-28 @ Aarhus GF L 0-247.3 1530 1560 24.64% 26.72% 48.63%-0.39 -5.9 0
2002-07-28 Viborg D 2-277.8 1765 1583 67.37% 18.91% 13.73%+1.05 -1.0 1
2002-07-28 @ FC Copenhagen D 2-277.8 1583 1765 13.73% 18.91% 67.37%-1.05 +1.0 1
2002-08-03 AB Copenhagen L 1-368.8 1776 1620 64.47% 20.42% 15.11%+0.94 -10.7 3
2002-08-03 @ Brondby W 3-168.8 1620 1776 15.11% 20.42% 64.47%-0.94 +10.7 4
2002-08-04 Aalborg W 2-050.2 1674 1605 53.93% 25.08% 21.00%+0.57 +5.1 3
2002-08-04 @ Midtjylland L 0-250.2 1605 1674 21.00% 25.08% 53.93%-0.57 -5.1 3
2002-08-04 Esbjerg D 2-270.6 1566 1544 47.62% 26.98% 25.40%+0.36 -0.4 4
2002-08-04 @ Aarhus GF D 2-270.6 1544 1566 25.40% 26.98% 47.62%-0.36 +0.4 1
2002-08-04 FC Copenhagen L 1-350.6 1452 1764 13.45% 18.59% 67.97%-1.07 -2.6 1
2002-08-04 @ Koge BK W 3-150.6 1764 1452 67.97% 18.59% 13.45%+1.07 +2.6 4
2002-08-04 Silkeborg D 2-272.7 1614 1548 53.49% 25.23% 21.28%+0.55 -0.6 4
2002-08-04 @ Odense D 2-272.7 1548 1614 21.28% 25.23% 53.49%-0.55 +0.6 1
2002-08-04 Viborg W 3-265.3 1524 1584 36.18% 28.39% 35.42%+0.01 +3.7 3
2002-08-04 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-365.3 1584 1524 35.42% 28.39% 36.18%-0.01 -3.7 1
2002-08-10 Brondby W 3-166.0 1600 1765 23.46% 26.27% 50.27%-0.45 +8.9 6
2002-08-10 @ Aalborg L 1-366.0 1765 1600 50.27% 26.27% 23.46%+0.45 -8.9 3
2002-08-11 Aarhus GF W 1-053.2 1548 1565 42.25% 27.98% 29.78%+0.19 +3.7 4
2002-08-11 @ Silkeborg L 0-153.2 1565 1548 29.78% 27.98% 42.25%-0.19 -3.7 4
2002-08-11 Koge BK L 3-469.5 1544 1449 57.06% 23.86% 19.08%+0.67 -5.2 1
2002-08-11 @ Esbjerg W 4-369.5 1449 1544 19.08% 23.86% 57.06%-0.67 +5.2 4
2002-08-11 Midtjylland D 1-168.2 1580 1679 30.74% 28.11% 41.15%-0.16 +0.2 2
2002-08-11 @ Viborg D 1-168.2 1679 1580 41.15% 28.11% 30.74%+0.16 -0.2 4
2002-08-11 Nordsjaelland W 2-153.0 1766 1528 73.30% 15.63% 11.07%+1.29 +1.2 7
2002-08-11 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-253.0 1528 1766 11.07% 15.63% 73.30%-1.29 -1.2 3
2002-08-11 Odense L 0-455.7 1631 1613 46.95% 27.13% 25.91%+0.34 -18.4 4
2002-08-11 @ AB Copenhagen W 4-055.7 1613 1631 25.91% 27.13% 46.95%-0.34 +18.5 7
2002-08-17 Esbjerg L 3-469.1 1527 1539 42.94% 27.88% 29.18%+0.22 -4.2 3
2002-08-17 @ Nordsjaelland W 4-369.1 1539 1527 29.18% 27.88% 42.94%-0.22 +4.2 4
2002-08-18 AB Copenhagen W 1-055.4 1608 1612 44.09% 27.70% 28.21%+0.25 +3.5 9
2002-08-18 @ Aalborg L 0-155.4 1612 1608 28.21% 27.70% 44.09%-0.25 -3.5 4
2002-08-18 FC Copenhagen D 2-275.7 1679 1767 32.19% 28.25% 39.56%-0.11 +0.1 5
2002-08-18 @ Midtjylland D 2-275.7 1767 1679 39.56% 28.25% 32.19%+0.11 -0.1 8
2002-08-18 Odense W 3-268.2 1561 1632 34.61% 28.38% 37.01%-0.04 +3.9 7
2002-08-18 @ Aarhus GF L 2-368.2 1632 1561 37.01% 28.38% 34.61%+0.04 -3.9 7
2002-08-18 Silkeborg L 0-444.2 1455 1552 31.03% 28.14% 40.83%-0.15 -13.5 4
2002-08-18 @ Koge BK W 4-044.2 1552 1455 40.83% 28.14% 31.03%+0.15 +13.5 7
2002-08-18 Viborg W 4-044.7 1757 1580 66.75% 19.23% 14.01%+1.02 +6.1 6
2002-08-18 @ Brondby L 0-444.7 1580 1757 14.01% 19.23% 66.75%-1.02 -6.1 2
2002-08-24 Brondby W 2-163.1 1767 1763 45.25% 27.49% 27.26%+0.29 +3.2 11
2002-08-24 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-263.1 1763 1767 27.26% 27.49% 45.25%-0.29 -3.2 6
2002-08-25 Aalborg D 2-272.4 1574 1612 39.27% 28.27% 32.46%+0.10 -0.1 3
2002-08-25 @ Viborg D 2-272.4 1612 1574 32.46% 28.27% 39.27%-0.10 +0.1 10
2002-08-25 Aarhus GF D 2-272.7 1609 1565 50.47% 26.21% 23.32%+0.45 -0.5 5
2002-08-25 @ AB Copenhagen D 2-272.7 1565 1609 23.32% 26.21% 50.47%-0.45 +0.5 8
2002-08-25 Koge BK W 2-149.2 1628 1441 67.92% 18.61% 13.47%+1.07 +1.5 10
2002-08-25 @ Odense L 1-249.2 1441 1628 13.47% 18.61% 67.92%-1.07 -1.5 4
2002-08-25 Midtjylland W 3-271.2 1543 1679 26.43% 27.28% 46.30%-0.32 +4.6 7
2002-08-25 @ Esbjerg L 2-371.2 1679 1543 46.30% 27.28% 26.43%+0.32 -4.6 5
2002-08-25 Nordsjaelland L 0-158.0 1566 1523 50.42% 26.23% 23.35%+0.45 -5.5 7
2002-08-25 @ Silkeborg W 1-058.0 1523 1566 23.35% 26.23% 50.42%-0.45 +5.5 6
2002-08-31 Aarhus GF W 2-050.5 1440 1566 27.55% 27.56% 44.89%-0.27 +9.4 7
2002-08-31 @ Koge BK L 0-250.5 1566 1440 44.89% 27.56% 27.55%+0.27 -9.4 8
2002-09-01 AB Copenhagen W 2-161.0 1574 1608 39.80% 28.23% 31.97%+0.12 +3.7 6
2002-09-01 @ Viborg L 1-261.0 1608 1574 31.97% 28.23% 39.80%-0.12 -3.7 5
2002-09-01 Esbjerg D 1-172.2 1759 1547 70.61% 17.14% 12.25%+1.18 -1.4 7
2002-09-01 @ Brondby D 1-172.2 1547 1759 12.25% 17.14% 70.61%-1.18 +1.4 8
2002-09-01 FC Copenhagen W 3-058.3 1612 1771 24.17% 26.55% 49.28%-0.41 +14.7 13
2002-09-01 @ Aalborg L 0-358.3 1771 1612 49.28% 26.55% 24.17%+0.41 -14.7 11
2002-09-01 Odense W 2-163.2 1528 1630 30.48% 28.07% 41.44%-0.17 +4.4 9
2002-09-01 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-263.2 1630 1528 41.44% 28.07% 30.48%+0.17 -4.4 10
2002-09-01 Silkeborg W 2-047.8 1675 1560 59.55% 22.78% 17.66%+0.76 +4.2 8
2002-09-01 @ Midtjylland L 0-247.8 1560 1675 17.66% 22.78% 59.55%-0.76 -4.2 7
2002-09-08 Aalborg W 3-050.7 1625 1627 44.39% 27.65% 27.96%+0.26 +9.5 13
2002-09-08 @ Odense L 0-350.7 1627 1625 27.96% 27.65% 44.39%-0.26 -9.5 13
2002-09-08 Brondby D 2-275.7 1556 1758 20.38% 24.71% 54.91%-0.60 +0.6 9
2002-09-08 @ Aarhus GF D 2-275.7 1758 1556 54.91% 24.71% 20.38%+0.60 -0.6 8
2002-09-08 FC Copenhagen W 3-058.8 1549 1756 19.95% 24.45% 55.60%-0.62 +16.1 11
2002-09-08 @ Esbjerg L 0-358.8 1756 1549 55.60% 24.45% 19.95%+0.62 -16.1 11
2002-09-08 Midtjylland L 2-359.3 1449 1679 18.27% 23.27% 58.47%-0.72 -2.1 7
2002-09-08 @ Koge BK W 3-259.3 1679 1449 58.47% 23.27% 18.27%+0.72 +2.1 11
2002-09-08 Nordsjaelland W 2-047.1 1604 1532 54.22% 24.97% 20.81%+0.57 +5.0 8
2002-09-08 @ AB Copenhagen L 0-247.1 1532 1604 20.81% 24.97% 54.22%-0.57 -5.0 9
2002-09-08 Viborg D 1-165.4 1556 1578 41.55% 28.06% 30.38%+0.17 -0.3 8
2002-09-08 @ Silkeborg D 1-165.4 1578 1556 30.38% 28.06% 41.55%-0.17 +0.2 7
2002-09-14 Koge BK W 1-044.3 1527 1447 55.30% 24.56% 20.14%+0.61 +2.6 12
2002-09-14 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-144.3 1447 1527 20.14% 24.56% 55.30%-0.61 -2.6 7
2002-09-15 Aarhus GF L 1-269.0 1681 1557 60.68% 22.27% 17.05%+0.80 -5.9 11
2002-09-15 @ Midtjylland W 2-169.0 1557 1681 17.05% 22.27% 60.68%-0.80 +5.9 12
2002-09-15 AB Copenhagen W 1-052.1 1740 1610 61.43% 21.92% 16.65%+0.82 +2.1 14
2002-09-15 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-152.1 1610 1740 16.65% 21.92% 61.43%-0.82 -2.1 8
2002-09-15 Esbjerg W 6-048.8 1578 1565 46.38% 27.26% 26.36%+0.32 +17.4 10
2002-09-15 @ Viborg L 0-648.8 1565 1578 26.36% 27.26% 46.38%-0.32 -17.4 11
2002-09-15 Odense W 2-049.4 1757 1635 60.52% 22.35% 17.14%+0.79 +4.1 11
2002-09-15 @ Brondby L 0-249.4 1635 1757 17.14% 22.35% 60.52%-0.79 -4.1 13
2002-09-15 Silkeborg W 1-051.7 1617 1556 52.88% 25.44% 21.68%+0.53 +2.8 16
2002-09-15 @ Aalborg L 0-151.7 1556 1617 21.68% 25.44% 52.88%-0.53 -2.8 8
2002-09-21 Nordsjaelland L 1-363.6 1620 1530 56.49% 24.09% 19.41%+0.65 -9.7 16
2002-09-21 @ Aalborg W 3-163.6 1530 1620 19.41% 24.09% 56.49%-0.65 +9.7 15
2002-09-22 Aarhus GF W 2-046.6 1742 1563 67.04% 19.08% 13.88%+1.03 +3.2 17
2002-09-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-246.6 1563 1742 13.88% 19.08% 67.04%-1.03 -3.2 12
2002-09-22 Koge BK L 1-458.8 1595 1444 63.85% 20.73% 15.42%+0.91 -15.0 10
2002-09-22 @ Viborg W 4-158.8 1444 1595 15.42% 20.73% 63.85%-0.91 +15.0 10
2002-09-22 Midtjylland W 4-048.7 1761 1675 56.04% 24.28% 19.69%+0.64 +9.0 14
2002-09-22 @ Brondby L 0-448.7 1675 1761 19.69% 24.28% 56.04%-0.64 -9.0 11
2002-09-22 Odense W 5-052.8 1548 1631 32.88% 28.30% 38.81%-0.09 +19.7 14
2002-09-22 @ Esbjerg L 0-552.8 1631 1548 38.81% 28.30% 32.88%+0.09 -19.7 13
2002-09-22 Silkeborg W 1-051.6 1607 1553 51.96% 25.75% 22.29%+0.50 +2.8 11
2002-09-22 @ AB Copenhagen L 0-151.6 1553 1607 22.29% 25.75% 51.96%-0.50 -2.8 8
2002-09-28 Viborg L 1-360.0 1560 1580 41.75% 28.04% 30.21%+0.18 -7.7 12
2002-09-28 @ Aarhus GF W 3-160.0 1580 1560 30.21% 28.04% 41.75%-0.18 +7.7 13
2002-09-29 Aalborg L 0-246.7 1459 1610 24.92% 26.82% 48.25%-0.38 -6.0 10
2002-09-29 @ Koge BK W 2-046.7 1610 1459 48.25% 26.82% 24.92%+0.38 +6.0 19
2002-09-29 AB Copenhagen D 1-169.2 1666 1610 52.13% 25.69% 22.18%+0.51 -0.7 12
2002-09-29 @ Midtjylland D 1-169.2 1610 1666 22.18% 25.69% 52.13%-0.51 +0.7 12
2002-09-29 Brondby L 1-257.6 1540 1770 18.21% 23.22% 58.56%-0.72 -2.2 15
2002-09-29 @ Nordsjaelland W 2-157.6 1770 1540 58.56% 23.22% 18.21%+0.72 +2.2 17
2002-09-29 Esbjerg D 1-164.9 1550 1567 42.18% 27.98% 29.84%+0.19 -0.3 9
2002-09-29 @ Silkeborg D 1-164.9 1567 1550 29.84% 27.98% 42.18%-0.19 +0.3 15
2002-09-29 FC Copenhagen L 0-156.8 1611 1745 26.68% 27.34% 45.98%-0.31 -3.4 13
2002-09-29 @ Odense W 1-056.8 1745 1611 45.98% 27.34% 26.68%+0.31 +3.4 20
2002-10-04 Aarhus GF L 1-266.1 1616 1552 53.20% 25.33% 21.47%+0.54 -5.4 19
2002-10-04 @ Aalborg W 2-166.1 1552 1616 21.47% 25.33% 53.20%-0.54 +5.4 15
2002-10-06 Esbjerg L 1-265.9 1611 1568 50.49% 26.21% 23.30%+0.45 -5.1 12
2002-10-06 @ AB Copenhagen W 2-165.9 1568 1611 23.30% 26.21% 50.49%-0.45 +5.1 18
2002-10-06 Koge BK L 1-271.5 1773 1453 80.65% 11.38% 7.97%+1.63 -7.2 17
2002-10-06 @ Brondby W 2-171.5 1453 1773 7.97% 11.38% 80.65%-1.63 +7.1 13
2002-10-06 Nordsjaelland W 1-049.9 1665 1538 61.14% 22.05% 16.80%+0.81 +2.1 15
2002-10-06 @ Midtjylland L 0-149.9 1538 1665 16.80% 22.05% 61.14%-0.81 -2.1 15
2002-10-06 Silkeborg W 2-154.3 1748 1550 69.20% 17.92% 12.88%+1.12 +1.5 23
2002-10-06 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-254.3 1550 1748 12.88% 17.92% 69.20%-1.12 -1.4 9
2002-10-06 Viborg W 3-048.7 1608 1588 47.31% 27.05% 25.64%+0.35 +8.9 16
2002-10-06 @ Odense L 0-348.7 1588 1608 25.64% 27.05% 47.31%-0.35 -8.9 13
2002-10-19 Midtjylland D 1-171.0 1750 1668 55.53% 24.47% 19.99%+0.62 -0.9 24
2002-10-19 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-171.0 1668 1750 19.99% 24.47% 55.53%-0.62 +0.9 16
2002-10-20 Brondby D 1-170.1 1606 1766 24.05% 26.51% 49.44%-0.42 +0.6 13
2002-10-20 @ AB Copenhagen D 1-170.1 1766 1606 49.44% 26.51% 24.05%+0.42 -0.6 18
2002-10-20 Koge BK L 1-359.3 1557 1461 57.35% 23.74% 18.91%+0.68 -9.8 15
2002-10-20 @ Aarhus GF W 3-159.3 1461 1557 18.91% 23.74% 57.35%-0.68 +9.8 16
2002-10-20 Nordsjaelland L 0-255.3 1573 1535 49.68% 26.44% 23.88%+0.43 -10.2 18
2002-10-20 @ Esbjerg W 2-055.3 1535 1573 23.88% 26.44% 49.68%-0.43 +10.2 18
2002-10-20 Odense D 0-062.9 1579 1616 39.33% 28.27% 32.40%+0.11 -0.2 14
2002-10-20 @ Viborg D 0-062.9 1616 1579 32.40% 28.27% 39.33%-0.11 +0.2 17
2002-10-20 Silkeborg L 3-474.4 1611 1548 53.01% 25.40% 21.59%+0.53 -4.9 19
2002-10-20 @ Aalborg W 4-374.4 1548 1611 21.59% 25.40% 53.01%-0.53 +4.9 12
2002-10-26 FC Copenhagen L 0-349.8 1579 1749 23.06% 26.10% 50.84%-0.46 -8.1 14
2002-10-26 @ Viborg W 3-049.8 1749 1579 50.84% 26.10% 23.06%+0.46 +8.1 27
2002-10-27 Aalborg W 1-051.2 1765 1606 64.79% 20.26% 14.95%+0.95 +1.8 21
2002-10-27 @ Brondby L 0-151.2 1606 1765 14.95% 20.26% 64.79%-0.95 -1.8 19
2002-10-27 Aarhus GF W 2-157.0 1553 1548 45.37% 27.47% 27.16%+0.29 +3.2 15
2002-10-27 @ Silkeborg L 1-257.0 1548 1553 27.16% 27.47% 45.37%-0.29 -3.2 15
2002-10-27 AB Copenhagen D 0-063.8 1617 1606 46.01% 27.34% 26.65%+0.31 -0.5 18
2002-10-27 @ Odense D 0-063.8 1606 1617 26.65% 27.34% 46.01%-0.31 +0.5 14
2002-10-27 Esbjerg L 1-451.2 1470 1563 31.68% 28.21% 40.11%-0.13 -8.9 16
2002-10-27 @ Koge BK W 4-151.2 1563 1470 40.11% 28.21% 31.68%+0.13 +8.9 21
2002-10-27 Midtjylland W 1-060.1 1546 1668 27.94% 27.64% 44.42%-0.26 +4.9 21
2002-10-27 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-160.1 1668 1546 44.42% 27.64% 27.94%+0.26 -5.0 16
2002-11-02 Brondby W 2-169.6 1544 1767 18.81% 23.67% 57.52%-0.69 +5.7 18
2002-11-02 @ Aarhus GF L 1-269.6 1767 1544 57.52% 23.67% 18.81%+0.69 -5.7 21
2002-11-03 Koge BK W 5-040.4 1663 1462 69.54% 17.73% 12.73%+1.13 +6.7 19
2002-11-03 @ Midtjylland L 0-540.4 1462 1663 12.73% 17.73% 69.54%-1.13 -6.7 16
2002-11-03 Nordsjaelland W 4-043.4 1757 1551 70.04% 17.46% 12.51%+1.15 +5.3 30
2002-11-03 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-443.4 1551 1757 12.51% 17.46% 70.04%-1.15 -5.3 21
2002-11-03 Odense W 2-160.9 1604 1616 42.92% 27.88% 29.20%+0.21 +3.4 22
2002-11-03 @ Aalborg L 1-260.9 1616 1604 29.20% 27.88% 42.92%-0.21 -3.4 18
2002-11-03 Silkeborg D 1-165.5 1571 1556 46.68% 27.20% 26.13%+0.33 -0.5 22
2002-11-03 @ Esbjerg D 1-165.5 1556 1571 26.13% 27.20% 46.68%-0.33 +0.5 16
2002-11-03 Viborg D 1-167.1 1607 1571 49.52% 26.48% 23.99%+0.42 -0.6 15
2002-11-03 @ AB Copenhagen D 1-167.1 1571 1607 23.99% 26.48% 49.52%-0.42 +0.6 15
2002-11-09 Aalborg L 1-360.5 1571 1607 39.53% 28.25% 32.22%+0.11 -7.4 15
2002-11-09 @ Viborg W 3-160.5 1607 1571 32.22% 28.25% 39.53%-0.11 +7.4 25
2002-11-10 Aarhus GF D 2-272.7 1613 1550 53.01% 25.40% 21.59%+0.53 -0.6 19
2002-11-10 @ Odense D 2-272.7 1550 1613 21.59% 25.40% 53.01%-0.53 +0.6 19
2002-11-10 Esbjerg D 1-172.1 1761 1571 68.26% 18.43% 13.31%+1.08 -1.3 22
2002-11-10 @ Brondby D 1-172.1 1571 1761 13.31% 18.43% 68.26%-1.08 +1.3 23
2002-11-10 FC Copenhagen D 0-066.0 1606 1762 24.40% 26.64% 48.96%-0.40 +0.6 16
2002-11-10 @ AB Copenhagen D 0-066.0 1762 1606 48.96% 26.64% 24.40%+0.40 -0.6 31
2002-11-10 Midtjylland D 1-167.7 1557 1670 29.05% 27.86% 43.09%-0.22 +0.3 17
2002-11-10 @ Silkeborg D 1-167.7 1670 1557 43.09% 27.86% 29.05%+0.22 -0.3 20
2002-11-10 Nordsjaelland W 4-259.1 1455 1545 31.92% 28.23% 39.85%-0.12 +6.7 19
2002-11-10 @ Koge BK L 2-459.1 1545 1455 39.85% 28.23% 31.92%+0.12 -6.7 21
2002-11-16 Odense D 4-478.8 1572 1612 38.99% 28.29% 32.72%+0.10 -0.1 24
2002-11-16 @ Esbjerg D 4-478.8 1612 1572 32.72% 28.29% 38.99%-0.10 +0.1 20
2002-11-17 AB Copenhagen L 0-455.0 1615 1607 45.69% 27.40% 26.91%+0.30 -18.1 25
2002-11-17 @ Aalborg W 4-055.0 1607 1615 26.91% 27.40% 45.69%-0.30 +18.1 19
2002-11-17 Brondby D 1-169.9 1670 1760 31.97% 28.23% 39.79%-0.12 +0.2 21
2002-11-17 @ Midtjylland D 1-169.9 1760 1670 39.79% 28.23% 31.97%+0.12 -0.2 23
2002-11-17 Koge BK W 1-045.0 1762 1462 79.06% 12.31% 8.63%+1.55 +0.9 34
2002-11-17 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-145.0 1462 1762 8.63% 12.31% 79.06%-1.55 -0.9 19
2002-11-17 Silkeborg W 3-263.2 1539 1557 42.00% 28.01% 29.99%+0.19 +3.3 24
2002-11-17 @ Nordsjaelland L 2-363.2 1557 1539 29.99% 28.01% 42.00%-0.19 -3.3 17
2002-11-17 Viborg L 2-463.9 1551 1564 42.74% 27.91% 29.35%+0.21 -7.0 19
2002-11-17 @ Aarhus GF W 4-263.9 1564 1551 29.35% 27.91% 42.74%-0.21 +7.0 18
2002-11-23 Nordsjaelland W 7-146.6 1760 1542 71.20% 16.81% 11.99%+1.20 +6.1 26
2002-11-23 @ Brondby L 1-746.6 1542 1760 11.99% 16.81% 71.20%-1.20 -6.1 24
2002-11-24 Aarhus GF W 3-153.3 1625 1544 55.41% 24.52% 20.07%+0.62 +4.2 22
2002-11-24 @ AB Copenhagen L 1-353.3 1544 1625 20.07% 24.52% 55.41%-0.62 -4.2 19
2002-11-24 Esbjerg W 4-153.6 1571 1572 44.43% 27.64% 27.93%+0.26 +8.0 21
2002-11-24 @ Viborg L 1-453.6 1572 1571 27.93% 27.64% 44.43%-0.26 -8.0 24
2002-11-24 FC Copenhagen D 1-170.0 1597 1763 23.46% 26.27% 50.27%-0.45 +0.6 26
2002-11-24 @ Aalborg D 1-170.0 1763 1597 50.27% 26.27% 23.46%+0.45 -0.6 35
2002-11-24 Koge BK L 3-470.3 1554 1461 56.91% 23.92% 19.17%+0.67 -5.2 17
2002-11-24 @ Silkeborg W 4-370.3 1461 1554 19.17% 23.92% 56.91%-0.67 +5.2 22
2002-11-24 Midtjylland W 1-058.8 1612 1670 36.43% 28.39% 35.18%+0.02 +4.2 23
2002-11-24 @ Odense L 0-158.8 1670 1612 35.18% 28.39% 36.43%-0.02 -4.2 21
2002-11-30 Brondby L 0-245.6 1466 1766 14.05% 19.28% 66.67%-1.02 -3.2 22
2002-11-30 @ Koge BK W 2-045.6 1766 1466 66.67% 19.28% 14.05%+1.02 +3.2 29
2002-12-01 Aalborg W 1-055.7 1539 1597 36.39% 28.39% 35.22%+0.02 +4.2 22
2002-12-01 @ Aarhus GF L 0-155.7 1597 1539 35.22% 28.39% 36.39%-0.02 -4.2 26
2002-12-01 AB Copenhagen D 1-166.9 1564 1629 35.38% 28.39% 36.23%-0.01 +0.0 25
2002-12-01 @ Esbjerg D 1-166.9 1629 1564 36.23% 28.39% 35.38%+0.01 -0.0 23
2002-12-01 Odense W 2-162.2 1536 1616 33.21% 28.32% 38.46%-0.08 +4.2 27
2002-12-01 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-262.2 1616 1536 38.46% 28.32% 33.21%+0.08 -4.2 23
2002-12-01 Silkeborg W 3-043.6 1762 1549 70.76% 17.06% 12.19%+1.18 +3.9 38
2002-12-01 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-343.6 1549 1762 12.19% 17.06% 70.76%-1.18 -3.9 17
2002-12-01 Viborg W 3-154.7 1666 1579 56.09% 24.25% 19.65%+0.64 +4.1 24
2002-12-01 @ Midtjylland L 1-354.7 1579 1666 19.65% 24.25% 56.09%-0.64 -4.1 21
2003-03-15 Viborg W 2-155.0 1769 1575 68.68% 18.20% 13.12%+1.10 +1.5 32
2003-03-15 @ Brondby L 1-255.0 1575 1769 13.12% 18.20% 68.68%-1.10 -1.5 21
2003-03-16 Aalborg D 1-163.0 1463 1593 27.05% 27.44% 45.51%-0.29 +0.4 23
2003-03-16 @ Koge BK D 1-163.0 1593 1463 45.51% 27.44% 27.05%+0.29 -0.4 27
2003-03-16 AB Copenhagen W 3-052.6 1545 1629 32.69% 28.29% 39.02%-0.10 +12.3 20
2003-03-16 @ Silkeborg L 0-352.6 1629 1545 39.02% 28.29% 32.69%+0.10 -12.3 23
2003-03-16 Esbjerg W 2-048.1 1670 1564 58.45% 23.27% 18.28%+0.72 +4.4 27
2003-03-16 @ Midtjylland L 0-248.1 1564 1670 18.28% 23.27% 58.45%-0.72 -4.4 25
2003-03-16 FC Copenhagen W 2-060.1 1612 1766 24.64% 26.72% 48.64%-0.39 +10.0 26
2003-03-16 @ Odense L 0-260.1 1766 1612 48.64% 26.72% 24.64%+0.39 -10.0 38
2003-03-22 Silkeborg W 2-045.8 1770 1557 70.75% 17.06% 12.19%+1.18 +2.7 35
2003-03-22 @ Brondby L 0-245.8 1557 1770 12.19% 17.06% 70.75%-1.18 -2.7 20
2003-03-23 Esbjerg L 0-159.7 1593 1560 49.10% 26.60% 24.30%+0.41 -5.3 27
2003-03-23 @ Aalborg W 1-059.7 1560 1593 24.30% 26.60% 49.10%-0.41 +5.3 28
2003-03-23 FC Copenhagen D 2-275.7 1544 1756 19.54% 24.18% 56.28%-0.64 +0.7 23
2003-03-23 @ Aarhus GF D 2-275.7 1756 1544 56.28% 24.18% 19.54%+0.64 -0.7 39
2003-03-23 Koge BK W 3-147.9 1622 1463 64.81% 20.25% 14.94%+0.95 +3.0 29
2003-03-23 @ Odense L 1-347.9 1463 1622 14.94% 20.25% 64.81%-0.95 -3.0 23
2003-03-23 Midtjylland L 0-354.1 1617 1674 36.48% 28.39% 35.13%+0.02 -11.7 23
2003-03-23 @ AB Copenhagen W 3-054.1 1674 1617 35.13% 28.39% 36.48%-0.02 +11.7 30
2003-03-24 Nordsjaelland L 1-361.0 1573 1540 49.17% 26.58% 24.25%+0.41 -8.7 21
2003-03-24 @ Viborg W 3-161.0 1540 1573 24.25% 26.58% 49.17%-0.41 +8.7 30
2003-04-05 Aalborg W 2-157.4 1686 1588 57.56% 23.65% 18.79%+0.69 +2.3 33
2003-04-05 @ Midtjylland L 1-257.4 1588 1686 18.79% 23.65% 57.56%-0.69 -2.3 27
2003-04-06 Aarhus GF W 4-151.6 1565 1544 47.47% 27.01% 25.52%+0.36 +7.5 31
2003-04-06 @ Esbjerg L 1-451.6 1544 1565 25.52% 27.01% 47.47%-0.36 -7.5 23
2003-04-06 AB Copenhagen W 2-052.8 1549 1605 36.60% 28.39% 35.01%+0.02 +7.8 33
2003-04-06 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-252.8 1605 1549 35.01% 28.39% 36.60%-0.02 -7.8 23
2003-04-06 Brondby D 1-170.4 1755 1773 42.13% 27.99% 29.88%+0.19 -0.3 40
2003-04-06 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-170.4 1773 1755 29.88% 27.99% 42.13%-0.19 +0.3 36
2003-04-06 Odense D 1-166.5 1554 1625 34.55% 28.38% 37.08%-0.04 +0.0 21
2003-04-06 @ Silkeborg D 1-166.5 1625 1554 37.08% 28.38% 34.55%+0.04 -0.0 30
2003-04-06 Viborg W 2-050.5 1460 1565 30.09% 28.02% 41.89%-0.18 +8.9 26
2003-04-06 @ Koge BK L 0-250.5 1565 1460 41.89% 28.02% 30.09%+0.18 -8.9 21
2003-04-12 Brondby D 1-170.1 1625 1773 25.20% 26.91% 47.89%-0.37 +0.5 31
2003-04-12 @ Odense D 1-170.1 1773 1625 47.89% 26.91% 25.20%+0.37 -0.5 37
2003-04-13 Esbjerg W 1-050.0 1755 1573 67.42% 18.88% 13.70%+1.05 +1.7 43
2003-04-13 @ FC Copenhagen L 0-150.0 1573 1755 13.70% 18.88% 67.42%-1.05 -1.7 31
2003-04-13 Koge BK W 3-148.3 1597 1469 61.22% 22.02% 16.77%+0.82 +3.4 26
2003-04-13 @ AB Copenhagen L 1-348.3 1469 1597 16.77% 22.02% 61.22%-0.82 -3.4 26
2003-04-13 Midtjylland W 3-271.8 1537 1688 24.86% 26.80% 48.33%-0.38 +4.7 26
2003-04-13 @ Aarhus GF L 2-371.8 1688 1537 48.33% 26.80% 24.86%+0.38 -4.7 33
2003-04-13 Nordsjaelland L 1-264.4 1585 1557 48.53% 26.75% 24.72%+0.39 -5.0 27
2003-04-13 @ Aalborg W 2-164.4 1557 1585 24.72% 26.75% 48.53%-0.39 +5.0 36
2003-04-13 Silkeborg D 0-060.8 1556 1554 44.81% 27.57% 27.62%+0.27 -0.4 22
2003-04-13 @ Viborg D 0-060.8 1554 1556 27.62% 27.57% 44.81%-0.27 +0.4 22
2003-04-16 Aarhus GF W 2-047.9 1580 1542 49.87% 26.39% 23.75%+0.43 +5.7 30
2003-04-16 @ Aalborg L 0-247.9 1542 1580 23.75% 26.39% 49.87%-0.43 -5.7 26
2003-04-17 Esbjerg L 1-460.3 1601 1571 48.68% 26.71% 24.61%+0.39 -12.2 26
2003-04-17 @ AB Copenhagen W 4-160.3 1571 1601 24.61% 26.71% 48.68%-0.39 +12.2 34
2003-04-17 FC Copenhagen W 3-058.8 1555 1757 20.35% 24.70% 54.95%-0.60 +16.0 25
2003-04-17 @ Silkeborg L 0-358.8 1757 1555 54.95% 24.70% 20.35%+0.60 -16.0 43
2003-04-17 Koge BK W 2-150.2 1773 1465 79.66% 11.96% 8.38%+1.58 +0.8 40
2003-04-17 @ Brondby L 1-250.2 1465 1773 8.38% 11.96% 79.66%-1.58 -0.8 26
2003-04-17 Midtjylland D 0-064.0 1555 1684 27.34% 27.51% 45.16%-0.28 +0.4 23
2003-04-17 @ Viborg D 0-064.0 1684 1555 45.16% 27.51% 27.34%+0.28 -0.5 34
2003-04-17 Nordsjaelland D 2-273.3 1626 1562 53.21% 25.33% 21.46%+0.54 -0.6 32
2003-04-17 @ Odense D 2-273.3 1562 1626 21.46% 25.33% 53.21%-0.54 +0.6 37
2003-04-20 Brondby D 1-170.4 1562 1774 19.61% 24.22% 56.17%-0.64 +0.9 38
2003-04-20 @ Nordsjaelland D 1-170.4 1774 1562 56.17% 24.22% 19.61%+0.64 -0.9 41
2003-04-21 Aalborg L 0-165.7 1741 1586 64.30% 20.51% 15.19%+0.93 -6.5 43
2003-04-21 @ FC Copenhagen W 1-065.7 1586 1741 15.19% 20.51% 64.30%-0.93 +6.5 33
2003-04-21 AB Copenhagen L 1-261.0 1536 1589 37.14% 28.38% 34.48%+0.04 -4.1 26
2003-04-21 @ Aarhus GF W 2-161.0 1589 1536 34.48% 28.38% 37.14%-0.04 +4.1 29
2003-04-21 Odense D 2-275.4 1683 1625 52.40% 25.61% 22.00%+0.51 -0.5 35
2003-04-21 @ Midtjylland D 2-275.4 1625 1683 22.00% 25.61% 52.40%-0.51 +0.5 33
2003-04-21 Silkeborg L 1-353.0 1465 1571 29.92% 28.00% 42.09%-0.19 -6.0 26
2003-04-21 @ Koge BK W 3-153.0 1571 1465 42.09% 28.00% 29.92%+0.19 +6.0 28
2003-04-21 Viborg L 1-557.9 1583 1556 48.35% 26.80% 24.86%+0.38 -15.7 34
2003-04-21 @ Esbjerg W 5-157.9 1556 1583 24.86% 26.80% 48.35%-0.38 +15.7 26
2003-04-24 Aarhus GF W 2-047.4 1563 1532 48.86% 26.66% 24.47%+0.40 +5.9 41
2003-04-24 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-247.4 1532 1563 24.47% 26.66% 48.86%-0.40 -5.9 26
2003-04-26 FC Copenhagen L 0-543.9 1459 1734 15.38% 20.70% 63.92%-0.92 -8.4 26
2003-04-26 @ Koge BK W 5-043.9 1734 1459 63.92% 20.70% 15.38%+0.92 +8.4 46
2003-04-27 Aalborg W 3-156.9 1593 1593 44.63% 27.61% 27.77%+0.27 +5.7 32
2003-04-27 @ AB Copenhagen L 1-356.9 1593 1593 27.77% 27.61% 44.63%-0.27 -5.7 33
2003-04-27 Aarhus GF D 0-060.8 1572 1526 50.79% 26.12% 23.09%+0.46 -0.7 27
2003-04-27 @ Viborg D 0-060.8 1526 1572 23.09% 26.12% 50.79%-0.46 +0.7 27
2003-04-27 Esbjerg D 1-167.7 1626 1568 52.43% 25.59% 21.97%+0.52 -0.7 34
2003-04-27 @ Odense D 1-167.7 1568 1626 21.97% 25.59% 52.43%-0.52 +0.7 35
2003-04-27 Midtjylland W 3-156.7 1773 1683 56.52% 24.08% 19.40%+0.65 +4.0 44
2003-04-27 @ Brondby L 1-356.7 1683 1773 19.40% 24.08% 56.52%-0.65 -4.0 35
2003-04-27 Nordsjaelland W 5-151.9 1577 1569 45.70% 27.40% 26.90%+0.30 +10.1 31
2003-04-27 @ Silkeborg L 1-551.9 1569 1577 26.90% 27.40% 45.70%-0.30 -10.1 41
2003-05-03 Brondby L 1-258.9 1568 1777 19.83% 24.37% 55.80%-0.63 -2.4 35
2003-05-03 @ Esbjerg W 2-158.9 1777 1568 55.80% 24.37% 19.83%+0.63 +2.4 47
2003-05-04 AB Copenhagen D 1-171.4 1743 1598 63.08% 21.12% 15.80%+0.88 -1.2 47
2003-05-04 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-171.4 1598 1743 15.80% 21.12% 63.08%-0.88 +1.2 33
2003-05-04 Koge BK W 2-149.7 1559 1450 58.80% 23.12% 18.08%+0.73 +2.2 44
2003-05-04 @ Nordsjaelland L 1-249.7 1450 1559 18.08% 23.12% 58.80%-0.73 -2.2 26
2003-05-04 Odense W 4-157.9 1527 1625 30.89% 28.12% 40.99%-0.16 +10.7 30
2003-05-04 @ Aarhus GF L 1-457.9 1625 1527 40.99% 28.12% 30.89%+0.16 -10.8 34
2003-05-04 Silkeborg W 2-157.6 1678 1587 56.71% 24.01% 19.29%+0.66 +2.3 38
2003-05-04 @ Midtjylland L 1-257.6 1587 1678 19.29% 24.01% 56.71%-0.66 -2.3 31
2003-05-04 Viborg L 2-369.9 1587 1571 46.80% 27.17% 26.03%+0.33 -4.6 33
2003-05-04 @ Aalborg W 3-269.9 1571 1587 26.03% 27.17% 46.80%-0.33 +4.6 30
2003-05-10 FC Copenhagen L 0-154.3 1561 1741 22.13% 25.67% 52.20%-0.51 -2.8 44
2003-05-10 @ Nordsjaelland W 1-054.3 1741 1561 52.20% 25.67% 22.13%+0.51 +2.8 50
2003-05-11 Aalborg W 3-155.9 1614 1582 48.97% 26.64% 24.40%+0.40 +5.1 37
2003-05-11 @ Odense L 1-355.9 1582 1614 24.40% 26.64% 48.97%-0.40 -5.1 33
2003-05-11 Aarhus GF D 1-172.8 1779 1537 73.65% 15.43% 10.92%+1.30 -1.5 48
2003-05-11 @ Brondby D 1-172.8 1537 1779 10.92% 15.43% 73.65%-1.30 +1.5 31
2003-05-11 AB Copenhagen W 3-050.0 1575 1600 41.23% 28.10% 30.67%+0.16 +10.3 33
2003-05-11 @ Viborg L 0-350.0 1600 1575 30.67% 28.10% 41.23%-0.16 -10.3 33
2003-05-11 Esbjerg D 2-271.8 1585 1566 47.17% 27.08% 25.75%+0.35 -0.4 32
2003-05-11 @ Silkeborg D 2-271.8 1566 1585 25.75% 27.08% 47.17%-0.35 +0.4 36
2003-05-11 Midtjylland D 1-166.7 1448 1681 18.07% 23.11% 58.81%-0.73 +1.0 27
2003-05-11 @ Koge BK D 1-166.7 1681 1448 58.81% 23.11% 18.07%+0.73 -1.0 39
2003-05-17 Odense D 1-167.3 1589 1619 40.39% 28.18% 31.43%+0.14 -0.2 34
2003-05-17 @ AB Copenhagen D 1-167.3 1619 1589 31.43% 28.18% 40.39%-0.14 +0.2 38
2003-05-18 Brondby L 1-259.3 1577 1778 20.47% 24.77% 54.77%-0.59 -2.5 33
2003-05-18 @ Aalborg W 2-159.3 1778 1577 54.77% 24.77% 20.47%+0.59 +2.5 51
2003-05-18 Koge BK W 6-142.6 1566 1449 59.85% 22.65% 17.50%+0.77 +8.1 39
2003-05-18 @ Esbjerg L 1-642.6 1449 1566 17.50% 22.65% 59.85%-0.77 -8.1 27
2003-05-18 Nordsjaelland W 2-047.6 1680 1558 60.40% 22.40% 17.20%+0.79 +4.1 42
2003-05-18 @ Midtjylland L 0-247.6 1558 1680 17.20% 22.40% 60.40%-0.79 -4.1 44
2003-05-18 Silkeborg W 2-159.8 1539 1584 38.22% 28.34% 33.44%+0.07 +3.8 34
2003-05-18 @ Aarhus GF L 1-259.8 1584 1539 33.44% 28.34% 38.22%-0.07 -3.8 32
2003-05-18 Viborg L 2-376.3 1744 1586 64.73% 20.29% 14.98%+0.95 -5.9 50
2003-05-18 @ FC Copenhagen W 3-276.3 1586 1744 14.98% 20.29% 64.73%-0.95 +5.9 36
2003-05-24 FC Copenhagen L 1-265.8 1684 1738 36.90% 28.38% 34.72%+0.03 -4.1 42
2003-05-24 @ Midtjylland W 2-165.8 1738 1684 34.72% 28.38% 36.90%-0.03 +4.1 53
2003-05-25 Aalborg D 0-062.1 1580 1575 45.38% 27.46% 27.15%+0.29 -0.5 33
2003-05-25 @ Silkeborg D 0-062.1 1575 1580 27.15% 27.46% 45.38%-0.29 +0.5 34
2003-05-25 Aarhus GF L 1-448.9 1441 1543 30.46% 28.07% 41.47%-0.17 -8.6 27
2003-05-25 @ Koge BK W 4-148.9 1543 1441 41.47% 28.07% 30.46%+0.17 +8.6 37
2003-05-25 AB Copenhagen D 0-068.4 1780 1589 68.37% 18.37% 13.26%+1.09 -1.5 52
2003-05-25 @ Brondby D 0-068.4 1589 1780 13.26% 18.37% 68.37%-1.09 +1.5 35
2003-05-25 Esbjerg L 2-367.8 1554 1574 41.77% 28.04% 30.20%+0.18 -4.2 44
2003-05-25 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-267.8 1574 1554 30.20% 28.04% 41.77%-0.18 +4.2 42
2003-05-25 Viborg W 3-156.3 1619 1592 48.41% 26.78% 24.81%+0.39 +5.1 41
2003-05-25 @ Odense L 1-356.3 1592 1619 24.81% 26.78% 48.41%-0.39 -5.1 36
2003-05-31 Nordsjaelland D 2-270.2 1551 1550 44.81% 27.57% 27.62%+0.27 -0.3 38
2003-05-31 @ Aarhus GF D 2-270.2 1550 1551 27.62% 27.57% 44.81%-0.27 +0.3 45
2003-06-01 Brondby D 1-170.4 1586 1779 21.14% 25.16% 53.70%-0.56 +0.8 37
2003-06-01 @ Viborg D 1-170.4 1779 1586 53.70% 25.16% 21.14%+0.56 -0.8 53
2003-06-01 Koge BK W 1-043.3 1575 1432 62.91% 21.20% 15.89%+0.88 +2.0 37
2003-06-01 @ Aalborg L 0-143.3 1432 1575 15.89% 21.20% 62.91%-0.88 -2.0 27
2003-06-01 Midtjylland W 4-160.3 1579 1680 30.51% 28.08% 41.41%-0.17 +10.8 45
2003-06-01 @ Esbjerg L 1-460.3 1680 1579 41.41% 28.08% 30.51%+0.17 -10.8 42
2003-06-01 Odense D 1-171.2 1742 1625 59.93% 22.61% 17.45%+0.77 -1.0 54
2003-06-01 @ FC Copenhagen D 1-171.2 1625 1742 17.45% 22.61% 59.93%-0.77 +1.0 42
2003-06-01 Silkeborg W 3-156.1 1591 1580 46.07% 27.33% 26.60%+0.31 +5.5 38
2003-06-01 @ AB Copenhagen L 1-356.1 1580 1591 26.60% 27.33% 46.07%-0.31 -5.5 33
2003-06-14 FC Copenhagen D 0-065.5 1589 1741 24.80% 26.78% 48.42%-0.39 +0.6 46
2003-06-14 @ Esbjerg D 0-065.5 1741 1589 48.42% 26.78% 24.80%+0.39 -0.6 55
2003-06-15 Aalborg L 1-359.4 1550 1577 40.81% 28.14% 31.05%+0.15 -7.6 45
2003-06-15 @ Nordsjaelland W 3-159.4 1577 1550 31.05% 28.14% 40.81%-0.15 +7.6 40
2003-06-15 Aarhus GF D 1-169.2 1669 1551 59.95% 22.60% 17.44%+0.77 -1.0 43
2003-06-15 @ Midtjylland D 1-169.2 1551 1669 17.44% 22.60% 59.95%-0.77 +1.0 39
2003-06-15 AB Copenhagen L 2-358.3 1430 1596 23.48% 26.28% 50.24%-0.44 -2.7 27
2003-06-15 @ Koge BK W 3-258.3 1596 1430 50.24% 26.28% 23.48%+0.44 +2.7 41
2003-06-15 Odense W 4-046.1 1778 1626 64.00% 20.66% 15.34%+0.92 +6.8 56
2003-06-15 @ Brondby L 0-446.1 1626 1778 15.34% 20.66% 64.00%-0.92 -6.8 42
2003-06-15 Viborg L 2-369.0 1574 1587 42.82% 27.90% 29.29%+0.21 -4.3 33
2003-06-15 @ Silkeborg W 3-269.0 1587 1574 29.29% 27.90% 42.82%-0.21 +4.3 40
2003-06-18 Esbjerg D 1-165.6 1552 1590 39.27% 28.27% 32.46%+0.10 -0.1 40
2003-06-18 @ Aarhus GF D 1-165.6 1590 1552 32.46% 28.27% 39.27%-0.10 +0.1 47
2003-06-18 FC Copenhagen L 0-164.5 1785 1741 50.54% 26.19% 23.27%+0.45 -5.5 56
2003-06-18 @ Brondby W 1-064.5 1741 1785 23.27% 26.19% 50.54%-0.45 +5.5 58
2003-06-18 Koge BK W 6-141.1 1592 1428 65.34% 19.97% 14.68%+0.97 +6.6 43
2003-06-18 @ Viborg L 1-641.1 1428 1592 14.68% 19.97% 65.34%-0.97 -6.6 27
2003-06-18 Midtjylland W 1-059.4 1585 1668 32.85% 28.30% 38.84%-0.09 +4.5 43
2003-06-18 @ Aalborg L 0-159.4 1668 1585 38.84% 28.30% 32.85%+0.09 -4.5 43
2003-06-18 Nordsjaelland L 1-265.2 1599 1543 52.17% 25.68% 22.15%+0.51 -5.3 41
2003-06-18 @ AB Copenhagen W 2-165.2 1543 1599 22.15% 25.68% 52.17%-0.51 +5.3 48
2003-06-18 Silkeborg W 4-366.2 1619 1570 51.19% 25.99% 22.82%+0.48 +2.5 45
2003-06-18 @ Odense L 3-466.2 1570 1619 22.82% 25.99% 51.19%-0.48 -2.6 33
2003-06-22 Aalborg L 0-159.4 1590 1589 44.73% 27.59% 27.69%+0.27 -5.0 47
2003-06-22 @ Esbjerg W 1-059.4 1589 1590 27.69% 27.59% 44.73%-0.27 +5.0 46
2003-06-22 Aarhus GF W 4-149.4 1746 1552 68.73% 18.17% 13.10%+1.10 +3.6 61
2003-06-22 @ FC Copenhagen L 1-449.4 1552 1746 13.10% 18.17% 68.73%-1.10 -3.6 40
2003-06-22 AB Copenhagen D 3-379.1 1664 1593 53.98% 25.06% 20.97%+0.57 -0.5 44
2003-06-22 @ Midtjylland D 3-379.1 1593 1664 20.97% 25.06% 53.98%-0.57 +0.5 42
2003-06-22 Brondby W 4-378.2 1568 1779 19.60% 24.22% 56.18%-0.64 +5.2 36
2003-06-22 @ Silkeborg L 3-478.2 1779 1568 56.18% 24.22% 19.60%+0.64 -5.2 56
2003-06-22 Odense L 1-252.1 1421 1621 20.48% 24.77% 54.75%-0.59 -2.5 27
2003-06-22 @ Koge BK W 2-152.1 1621 1421 54.75% 24.77% 20.48%+0.59 +2.5 48
2003-06-22 Viborg W 1-055.6 1548 1598 37.49% 28.37% 34.15%+0.05 +4.1 51
2003-06-22 @ Nordsjaelland L 0-155.6 1598 1548 34.15% 28.37% 37.49%-0.05 -4.1 43

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-10-06 7.97% Koge BK 1453 2 @ Brondby 1773 1
2 2003-05-18 14.98% Viborg 1586 3 @ FC Copenhagen 1744 2
3 2002-08-03 15.11% AB Copenhagen 1620 3 @ Brondby 1776 1
4 2003-04-21 15.19% Aalborg 1586 1 @ FC Copenhagen 1741 0
5 2002-09-22 15.42% Koge BK 1444 4 @ Viborg 1595 1
6 2002-09-15 17.05% Aarhus GF 1557 2 @ Midtjylland 1681 1
7 2002-11-02 18.81% @ Aarhus GF 1544 2 Brondby 1767 1
8 2002-10-20 18.91% Koge BK 1461 3 @ Aarhus GF 1557 1
9 2002-08-11 19.08% Koge BK 1449 4 @ Esbjerg 1544 3
10 2002-11-24 19.17% Koge BK 1461 4 @ Silkeborg 1554 3
11 2002-09-21 19.41% Nordsjaelland 1530 3 @ Aalborg 1620 1
12 2003-06-22 19.60% @ Silkeborg 1568 4 Brondby 1779 3
13 2002-09-08 19.95% @ Esbjerg 1549 3 FC Copenhagen 1756 0
14 2003-04-17 20.35% @ Silkeborg 1555 3 FC Copenhagen 1757 0
15 2002-10-04 21.47% Aarhus GF 1552 2 @ Aalborg 1616 1
16 2002-10-20 21.59% Silkeborg 1548 4 @ Aalborg 1611 3
17 2003-06-18 22.15% Nordsjaelland 1543 2 @ AB Copenhagen 1599 1
18 2003-06-18 23.27% FC Copenhagen 1741 1 @ Brondby 1785 0
19 2002-10-06 23.30% Esbjerg 1568 2 @ AB Copenhagen 1611 1
20 2002-08-25 23.35% Nordsjaelland 1523 1 @ Silkeborg 1566 0
21 2002-08-10 23.46% @ Aalborg 1600 3 Brondby 1765 1
22 2002-10-20 23.88% Nordsjaelland 1535 2 @ Esbjerg 1573 0
23 2002-09-01 24.17% @ Aalborg 1612 3 FC Copenhagen 1771 0
24 2003-03-24 24.25% Nordsjaelland 1540 3 @ Viborg 1573 1
25 2003-03-23 24.30% Esbjerg 1560 1 @ Aalborg 1593 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-09-22 19.70 @ Esbjerg 5 1548 32.88% Odense 0 1631 38.81% 28.30%
2 2002-08-11 18.45 Odense 4 1613 25.91% @ AB Copenhagen 0 1631 46.95% 27.13%
3 2002-11-17 18.07 AB Copenhagen 4 1607 26.91% @ Aalborg 0 1615 45.69% 27.40%
4 2002-09-15 17.38 @ Viborg 6 1578 46.38% Esbjerg 0 1565 26.36% 27.26%
5 2002-09-08 16.10 @ Esbjerg 3 1549 19.95% FC Copenhagen 0 1756 55.60% 24.45%
6 2003-04-17 15.95 @ Silkeborg 3 1555 20.35% FC Copenhagen 0 1757 54.95% 24.70%
7 2003-04-21 15.73 Viborg 5 1556 24.86% @ Esbjerg 1 1583 48.35% 26.80%
8 2002-09-22 15.05 Koge BK 4 1444 15.42% @ Viborg 1 1595 63.85% 20.73%
9 2002-09-01 14.67 @ Aalborg 3 1612 24.17% FC Copenhagen 0 1771 49.28% 26.55%
10 2002-08-18 13.55 Silkeborg 4 1552 40.83% @ Koge BK 0 1455 31.03% 28.14%
11 2003-03-16 12.28 @ Silkeborg 3 1545 32.69% AB Copenhagen 0 1629 39.02% 28.29%
12 2003-04-17 12.25 Esbjerg 4 1571 24.61% @ AB Copenhagen 1 1601 48.68% 26.71%
13 2003-03-23 11.70 Midtjylland 3 1674 35.13% @ AB Copenhagen 0 1617 36.48% 28.39%
14 2003-06-01 10.83 @ Esbjerg 4 1579 30.51% Midtjylland 1 1680 41.41% 28.08%
15 2003-05-04 10.75 @ Aarhus GF 4 1527 30.89% Odense 1 1625 40.99% 28.12%
16 2002-08-03 10.72 AB Copenhagen 3 1620 15.11% @ Brondby 1 1776 64.47% 20.42%
17 2003-05-11 10.28 @ Viborg 3 1575 41.23% AB Copenhagen 0 1600 30.67% 28.10%
18 2002-10-20 10.16 Nordsjaelland 2 1535 23.88% @ Esbjerg 0 1573 49.68% 26.44%
19 2003-04-27 10.06 @ Silkeborg 5 1577 45.70% Nordsjaelland 1 1569 26.90% 27.40%
20 2003-03-16 9.99 @ Odense 2 1612 24.64% FC Copenhagen 0 1766 48.64% 26.72%
21 2002-10-20 9.83 Koge BK 3 1461 18.91% @ Aarhus GF 1 1557 57.35% 23.74%
22 2002-09-21 9.71 Nordsjaelland 3 1530 19.41% @ Aalborg 1 1620 56.49% 24.09%
23 2002-09-08 9.55 @ Odense 3 1625 44.39% Aalborg 0 1627 27.96% 27.65%
24 2002-08-31 9.40 @ Koge BK 2 1440 27.55% Aarhus GF 0 1566 44.89% 27.56%
25 2002-09-22 9.00 @ Brondby 4 1761 56.04% Midtjylland 0 1675 19.69% 24.28%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-06-22 79.1 @ Midtjylland 3 1664 53.98% AB Copenhagen 3 1593 20.97% 25.06%
2 2002-11-16 78.8 @ Esbjerg 4 1572 38.99% Odense 4 1612 32.72% 28.29%
3 2003-06-22 78.2 @ Silkeborg 4 1568 19.60% Brondby 3 1779 56.18% 24.22%
4 2002-07-28 77.8 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1765 67.37% Viborg 2 1583 13.73% 18.91%
5 2003-05-18 76.3 Viborg 3 1586 14.98% @ FC Copenhagen 2 1744 64.73% 20.29%
6 2002-08-18 75.7 @ Midtjylland 2 1679 32.19% FC Copenhagen 2 1767 39.56% 28.25%
7 2002-09-08 75.7 @ Aarhus GF 2 1556 20.38% Brondby 2 1758 54.91% 24.71%
8 2003-03-23 75.7 @ Aarhus GF 2 1544 19.54% FC Copenhagen 2 1756 56.28% 24.18%
9 2003-04-21 75.4 @ Midtjylland 2 1683 52.40% Odense 2 1625 22.00% 25.61%
10 2002-10-20 74.4 Silkeborg 4 1548 21.59% @ Aalborg 3 1611 53.01% 25.40%
11 2003-04-17 73.3 @ Odense 2 1626 53.21% Nordsjaelland 2 1562 21.46% 25.33%
12 2003-05-11 72.8 @ Brondby 1 1779 73.65% Aarhus GF 1 1537 10.92% 15.43%
13 2002-08-04 72.7 @ Odense 2 1614 53.49% Silkeborg 2 1548 21.28% 25.23%
14 2002-08-25 72.7 @ AB Copenhagen 2 1609 50.47% Aarhus GF 2 1565 23.32% 26.21%
15 2002-11-10 72.7 @ Odense 2 1613 53.01% Aarhus GF 2 1550 21.59% 25.40%
16 2002-08-25 72.4 @ Viborg 2 1574 39.27% Aalborg 2 1612 32.46% 28.27%
17 2002-09-01 72.2 @ Brondby 1 1759 70.61% Esbjerg 1 1547 12.25% 17.14%
18 2002-11-10 72.1 @ Brondby 1 1761 68.26% Esbjerg 1 1571 13.31% 18.43%
19 2003-04-13 71.8 @ Aarhus GF 3 1537 24.86% Midtjylland 2 1688 48.33% 26.80%
20 2003-05-11 71.8 @ Silkeborg 2 1585 47.17% Esbjerg 2 1566 25.75% 27.08%
21 2002-07-28 71.6 @ AB Copenhagen 2 1621 65.99% Koge BK 2 1451 14.37% 19.63%
22 2002-10-06 71.5 Koge BK 2 1453 7.97% @ Brondby 1 1773 80.65% 11.38%
23 2003-05-04 71.4 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1743 63.08% AB Copenhagen 1 1598 15.80% 21.12%
24 2002-08-25 71.2 @ Esbjerg 3 1543 26.43% Midtjylland 2 1679 46.30% 27.28%
25 2003-06-01 71.2 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1742 59.93% Odense 1 1625 17.45% 22.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-11-03 40.4 @ Midtjylland 5 1663 69.54% Koge BK 0 1462 12.73% 17.73%
2 2003-06-18 41.1 @ Viborg 6 1592 65.34% Koge BK 1 1428 14.68% 19.97%
3 2003-05-18 42.6 @ Esbjerg 6 1566 59.85% Koge BK 1 1449 17.50% 22.65%
4 2003-06-01 43.3 @ Aalborg 1 1575 62.91% Koge BK 0 1432 15.89% 21.20%
5 2002-11-03 43.4 @ FC Copenhagen 4 1757 70.04% Nordsjaelland 0 1551 12.51% 17.46%
6 2002-12-01 43.6 @ FC Copenhagen 3 1762 70.76% Silkeborg 0 1549 12.19% 17.06%
7 2003-04-26 43.9 FC Copenhagen 5 1734 63.92% @ Koge BK 0 1459 15.38% 20.70%
8 2002-08-18 44.2 Silkeborg 4 1552 40.83% @ Koge BK 0 1455 31.03% 28.14%
9 2002-09-14 44.3 @ Nordsjaelland 1 1527 55.30% Koge BK 0 1447 20.14% 24.56%
10 2002-08-18 44.7 @ Brondby 4 1757 66.75% Viborg 0 1580 14.01% 19.23%
11 2002-11-17 45.0 @ FC Copenhagen 1 1762 79.06% Koge BK 0 1462 8.63% 12.31%
12 2002-11-30 45.6 Brondby 2 1766 66.67% @ Koge BK 0 1466 14.05% 19.28%
13 2003-03-22 45.8 @ Brondby 2 1770 70.75% Silkeborg 0 1557 12.19% 17.06%
14 2003-06-15 46.1 @ Brondby 4 1778 64.00% Odense 0 1626 15.34% 20.66%
15 2002-09-22 46.6 @ FC Copenhagen 2 1742 67.04% Aarhus GF 0 1563 13.88% 19.08%
16 2002-11-23 46.6 @ Brondby 7 1760 71.20% Nordsjaelland 1 1542 11.99% 16.81%
17 2002-09-29 46.7 Aalborg 2 1610 48.25% @ Koge BK 0 1459 24.92% 26.82%
18 2002-09-08 47.1 @ AB Copenhagen 2 1604 54.22% Nordsjaelland 0 1532 20.81% 24.97%
19 2002-07-28 47.3 @ Aarhus GF 2 1560 48.63% Nordsjaelland 0 1530 24.64% 26.72%
20 2003-04-24 47.4 @ Nordsjaelland 2 1563 48.86% Aarhus GF 0 1532 24.47% 26.66%
21 2003-05-18 47.6 @ Midtjylland 2 1680 60.40% Nordsjaelland 0 1558 17.20% 22.40%
22 2002-09-01 47.8 @ Midtjylland 2 1675 59.55% Silkeborg 0 1560 17.66% 22.78%
23 2003-03-23 47.9 @ Odense 3 1622 64.81% Koge BK 1 1463 14.94% 20.25%
24 2003-04-16 47.9 @ Aalborg 2 1580 49.87% Aarhus GF 0 1542 23.75% 26.39%
25 2002-07-27 48.0 Brondby 3 1769 56.60% @ Silkeborg 0 1554 19.35% 24.05%