2020-21 Superliga Season

192 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Brondby

11th Title

Last Title: 2004-05

Relegated

Horsens

24 pts

Lyngby · 26 pts

Biggest Overachiever

FC Copenhagen

6.13 points above expected

55 points · 48.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lyngby

5.59 points below expected

26 points · 31.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Brondby	22	14	3	5	45	40	24	+16	37.28	+7.72
2	Midtjylland	22	13	4	5	43	35	20	+15	39.79	+3.21
3	Aarhus GF	22	10	8	4	38	35	22	+13	36.16	+1.84
4	FC Copenhagen	22	10	5	7	35	39	35	+4	36.73	-1.73
5	Randers	22	9	5	8	32	31	21	+10	30.22	+1.78
6	Nordsjaelland	22	7	8	7	29	35	30	+5	32.49	-3.49
7	Sonderjyske	22	8	4	10	28	30	32	-2	25.58	+2.42
8	Odense	22	7	7	8	28	25	28	-3	28.15	-0.15
9	Aalborg	22	7	7	8	28	24	30	-6	30.04	-2.04
10	Vejle BK	22	6	6	10	24	25	37	-12	24.54	-0.54
11	Lyngby	22	5	5	12	20	25	43	-18	20.50	-0.50
12	Horsens	22	2	6	14	12	15	37	-22	22.05	-10.05

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Brondby Champion	32	19	4	9	61	58	38	+20	60.07	+0.93
2	Midtjylland	32	18	6	8	60	57	33	+24	59.18	+0.82
3	FC Copenhagen	32	16	7	9	55	61	53	+8	48.87	+6.13
4	Aarhus GF	32	13	9	10	48	48	42	+6	52.32	-4.32
5	Nordsjaelland	32	11	10	11	43	51	51	0	40.83	+2.17
6	Randers	32	11	7	14	40	43	38	+5	43.21	-3.21

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Aalborg	32	12	10	10	46	44	41	+3	44.30	+1.70
2	Sonderjyske	32	13	5	14	44	45	48	-3	42.28	+1.72
3	Odense	32	11	10	11	43	40	39	+1	43.89	-0.89
4	Vejle BK	32	9	11	12	38	42	50	-8	37.31	+0.69
5	Lyngby Relegated	32	6	8	18	26	36	63	-27	31.59	-5.59
6	Horsens Relegated	32	5	9	18	24	30	59	-29	23.15	+0.85

Going into Phase 2, both groups kept their full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	FC Copenhagen	55	48.87	+6.13
2	Nordsjaelland	43	40.83	+2.17
3	Sonderjyske	44	42.28	+1.72
4	Aalborg	46	44.30	+1.70
5	Brondby	61	60.07	+0.93

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lyngby	26	31.59	-5.59
2	Aarhus GF	48	52.32	-4.32
3	Randers	40	43.21	-3.21
4	Odense	43	43.89	-0.89
5	Vejle BK	38	37.31	+0.69

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Randers	6	Nov 23 – Feb 2	1 in 185
2	Lyngby	3	Mar 1 – Mar 7	1 in 172
3	Nordsjaelland	4	Mar 12 – Apr 11	1 in 34
4	Vejle BK	3	Oct 4 – Oct 26	1 in 30
5	Brondby	4	Sep 13 – Oct 2	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nordsjaelland	5	Dec 6 – Feb 7	1 in 159
2	Lyngby	6	Apr 21 – May 20	1 in 122
3	Sonderjyske	4	Feb 7 – Mar 1	1 in 59
4	Randers	4	Sep 26 – Oct 25	1 in 32
5	Brondby	3	Oct 18 – Nov 1	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Nordsjaelland	10	Feb 14 – Apr 18	1 in 105
2	Sonderjyske	7	Sep 27 – Nov 22	1 in 47
3	Lyngby	4	Feb 22 – Mar 7	1 in 42
4	FC Copenhagen	10	Nov 29 – Mar 3	1 in 20
5	Horsens	4	Feb 21 – Mar 7	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lyngby	13	Sep 13 – Dec 20	1 in 48
2	Nordsjaelland	8	Dec 6 – Feb 28	1 in 45
3	Randers	7	Feb 8 – Mar 15	1 in 26
4	Vejle BK	8	Oct 30 – Feb 2	1 in 19
5	Aalborg	7	Dec 20 – Mar 3	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Brondby	1729	61	+6	9	7.3	+1.7
Midtjylland	1762	60	+3	7	8.6	-1.6
FC Copenhagen	1711	55	+9	10	7.5	+2.5
Aarhus GF	1677	48	-9	6	6.6	-0.6
Aalborg	1638	46	+23	10	8.4	+1.6
Sonderjyske	1565	44	-5	9	7.5	+1.5
Odense	1608	43	+9	10	7.6	+2.4
Nordsjaelland	1638	43	-14	4	5.7	-1.7
Randers	1624	40	+6	7	5.5	+1.5
Vejle BK	1560	38	+2	6	7.2	-1.2
Lyngby	1486	26	-22	1	5.3	-4.3
Horsens	1486	24	-7	5	5.3	-0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	AG	BRO	FC	HOR	LYN	MID	NOR	ODE	RAN	SON	VB
Aalborg	—	0-1-1 2.33	1-1-0 2.25	1-0-1 2.28	1-1-2 7.28	2-2-0 7.29	0-1-1 1.93	0-2-0 2.65	1-0-3 5.97	1-1-0 2.75	3-0-1 6.29	2-1-1 6.38
Aarhus GF	1-1-0 3.17	—	1-2-1 5.16	0-1-3 5.44	2-0-0 3.92	2-0-0 4.15	1-0-3 4.71	1-0-3 6.30	1-1-0 3.40	2-2-0 6.47	1-1-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.73
Brondby	0-1-1 3.25	1-2-1 5.81	—	2-0-2 5.62	2-0-0 3.96	2-0-0 4.19	1-0-3 4.87	4-0-0 6.37	2-0-0 3.45	2-1-1 6.86	1-0-1 3.59	2-0-0 3.69
FC Copenhagen	1-0-1 3.21	3-1-0 5.53	2-0-2 5.35	—	2-0-0 4.01	1-1-0 4.21	1-1-2 4.84	2-2-0 6.23	0-1-1 3.46	1-0-3 6.64	2-0-0 3.43	1-1-0 3.71
Horsens	2-1-1 3.78	0-0-2 1.64	0-0-2 1.60	0-0-2 1.57	—	1-1-2 5.51	0-1-1 1.38	0-2-0 1.90	0-2-2 4.03	0-0-2 2.15	1-0-3 4.47	1-2-1 4.59
Lyngby	0-2-2 3.78	0-0-2 1.45	0-0-2 1.41	0-1-1 1.40	2-1-1 5.46	—	1-0-1 1.28	0-0-2 1.90	1-0-3 4.07	1-0-1 1.84	1-1-2 4.47	0-3-1 4.56
Midtjylland	1-1-0 3.59	3-0-1 6.27	3-0-1 6.10	2-1-1 6.13	1-1-0 4.24	1-0-1 4.35	—	2-0-2 7.07	1-1-0 3.76	2-2-0 7.27	0-0-2 3.94	2-0-0 4.03
Nordsjaelland	0-2-0 2.83	3-0-1 4.69	0-0-4 4.63	0-2-2 4.75	0-2-0 3.63	2-0-0 3.62	2-0-2 3.96	—	0-1-1 3.01	3-1-0 5.70	1-0-1 3.27	0-2-0 3.29
Odense	3-0-1 5.00	0-1-1 2.10	0-0-2 2.06	1-1-0 2.05	2-2-0 7.00	3-0-1 6.96	0-1-1 1.78	1-1-0 2.48	—	1-0-1 2.56	0-3-1 5.91	0-1-3 6.16
Randers	0-1-1 2.72	0-2-2 4.52	1-1-2 4.15	3-0-1 4.36	2-0-0 3.37	1-0-1 3.70	0-2-2 3.80	0-1-3 5.28	1-0-1 2.92	—	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 3.03
Sonderjyske	1-0-3 4.69	0-1-1 1.97	1-0-1 1.93	0-0-2 2.08	3-0-1 6.52	2-1-1 6.55	2-0-0 1.62	1-0-1 2.23	1-3-0 5.05	1-0-1 2.50	—	1-0-3 5.78
Vejle BK	1-1-2 4.61	0-1-1 1.81	0-0-2 1.85	0-1-1 1.83	1-2-1 6.40	1-3-0 6.43	0-0-2 1.55	0-2-0 2.21	3-1-0 4.82	0-0-2 2.47	3-0-1 5.19	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.51%	5.47%	3.39%	1.56%	0.26%	23.44%
1	6.51%	10.94%	9.38%	3.65%	1.82%	—	32.29%
2	5.47%	9.38%	6.77%	3.39%	1.56%	—	26.56%
3	3.39%	3.65%	3.39%	1.04%	0.52%	—	11.98%
4	1.56%	1.82%	1.56%	0.52%	—	—	5.47%
5+	0.26%	—	—	—	—	—	0.26%
Total	23.44%	32.29%	26.56%	11.98%	5.47%	0.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.45	+0.00
SD	1.15	1.15	1.68
CV	0.79	0.79	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
1	6.25%	15.62%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	34.38%
2	3.12%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	9.38%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	34.38%	28.12%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.28	+0.09
SD	1.16	0.99	1.55
CV	0.84	0.77	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
1	9.38%	15.62%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	—	40.62%
2	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
3	6.25%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
4	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.12%	34.38%	21.88%	9.38%	6.25%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.31	+0.19
SD	1.16	1.18	1.65
CV	0.78	0.90	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
1	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	21.88%
2	9.38%	25.00%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	43.75%
3	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	15.62%
4	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	46.88%	15.62%	9.38%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	1.19	+0.62
SD	1.06	1.03	1.62
CV	0.59	0.87	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%	—	6.25%
1	6.25%	3.12%	18.75%	—	3.12%	—	31.25%
2	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	34.38%
3	—	6.25%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
4	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.62%	21.88%	50.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.66	+0.25
SD	1.03	1.04	1.44
CV	0.54	0.63	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	9.38%	9.38%	15.62%	3.12%	—	43.75%
1	3.12%	12.50%	15.62%	3.12%	—	—	34.38%
2	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	9.38%
3	—	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.38%	28.12%	34.38%	25.00%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.84	-0.91
SD	1.11	1.02	1.47
CV	1.18	0.55	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	9.38%	6.25%	—	40.62%
1	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
2	3.12%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	—	31.25%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	—	6.25%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.62%	25.00%	25.00%	15.62%	18.75%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.97	-0.84
SD	1.13	1.36	1.74
CV	1.00	0.69	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
1	15.62%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	31.25%
2	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	21.88%
3	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	43.75%	28.12%	15.62%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.03	+0.75
SD	1.41	1.20	1.95
CV	0.79	1.17	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
1	6.25%	15.62%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
2	3.12%	6.25%	15.62%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
3	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
4	—	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	37.50%	28.12%	21.88%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.59	+0.00
SD	1.19	0.98	1.61
CV	0.75	0.61	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
1	6.25%	21.88%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
2	9.38%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	28.12%
3	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.12%	40.62%	15.62%	12.50%	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.22	+0.03
SD	1.02	1.10	1.58
CV	0.81	0.90	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	3.12%	12.50%	25.00%	—	—	—	40.62%
2	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
3	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
4	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	37.50%	34.38%	—	3.12%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.34	1.19	+0.16
SD	1.15	0.93	1.48
CV	0.86	0.78	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.38%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	15.62%
1	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	—	34.38%
2	15.62%	12.50%	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	—	43.75%
3	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.50	-0.09
SD	0.84	1.34	1.73
CV	0.60	0.90	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	3.12%	9.38%	3.12%	—	3.12%	31.25%
1	9.38%	6.25%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
2	3.12%	—	12.50%	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
3	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	12.50%
4	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.12%	15.62%	37.50%	12.50%	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.56	-0.25
SD	1.23	1.29	1.74
CV	0.94	0.83	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Midtjylland	1762	43	39.79	+3.21	78.0%	26	31	36	39	43	50	56
Brondby	1729	45	37.28	+7.72	93.0%	20	25	33	38	42	46	51
FC Copenhagen	1711	35	36.73	-1.73	46.0%	24	28	33	36	40	47	53
Aarhus GF	1682	38	36.16	+1.84	65.0%	21	24	32	36	40	47	55
Nordsjaelland	1638	29	32.49	-3.49	30.0%	15	23	29	33	37	40	46
Aalborg	1632	28	30.04	-2.04	43.0%	14	21	26	30	33	39	49
Randers	1624	32	30.22	+1.78	66.0%	15	19	27	30	34	39	44
Odense	1608	28	28.15	-0.15	59.0%	15	18	24	28	31	39	45
Sonderjyske	1565	28	25.58	+2.42	67.0%	11	16	22	26	30	34	39
Vejle BK	1560	24	24.54	-0.54	53.0%	10	14	21	24	28	35	41
Lyngby	1486	20	20.50	-0.50	49.0%	11	12	16	21	24	28	40
Horsens	1486	12	22.05	-10.05	6.0%	11	12	18	22	26	31	38

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Aarhus GF 3

Aalborg 1

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Brondby	23.00%	23.00%	20.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Midtjylland	37.00%	24.00%	14.00%	12.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Aarhus GF	13.00%	15.00%	19.00%	15.00%	15.00%	8.00%	3.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
FC Copenhagen	16.00%	20.00%	11.00%	19.00%	15.00%	7.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—
Randers	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	13.00%	16.00%	16.00%	8.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	2.00%
Nordsjaelland	5.00%	3.00%	17.00%	13.00%	16.00%	13.00%	12.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Sonderjyske	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	15.00%	8.00%	10.00%	19.00%	12.00%	16.00%	8.00%
Odense	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	12.00%	25.00%	12.00%	7.00%	11.00%	5.00%
Aalborg	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	21.00%	17.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Vejle BK	—	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	16.00%	20.00%	18.00%	11.00%
Lyngby	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	15.00%	23.00%	39.00%
Horsens	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	13.00%	19.00%	17.00%	31.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Brondby	53.96%	34.79%	9.33%	1.78%	0.13%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Midtjylland	39.88%	44.45%	12.54%	2.79%	0.33%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—
FC Copenhagen	1.08%	5.17%	23.48%	47.84%	17.72%	4.71%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aarhus GF	5.01%	14.90%	48.52%	24.60%	6.07%	0.90%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Nordsjaelland	0.01%	0.17%	1.83%	7.76%	27.67%	62.56%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Randers	0.06%	0.52%	4.30%	15.23%	48.08%	31.81%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Aalborg	—	—	—	—	—	—	36.29%	30.83%	23.09%	8.46%	1.31%	0.02%
Sonderjyske	—	—	—	—	—	—	24.47%	29.00%	29.17%	14.52%	2.79%	0.05%
Odense	—	—	—	—	—	—	35.26%	30.17%	23.80%	9.39%	1.35%	0.03%
Vejle BK	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.70%	8.97%	19.56%	50.74%	16.15%	0.88%
Lyngby	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.28%	1.02%	4.32%	15.98%	69.47%	8.93%
Horsens	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.01%	0.06%	0.91%	8.93%	90.09%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aarhus GF	100%	—
Brondby	100%	—
FC Copenhagen	100%	—
Midtjylland	100%	—
Nordsjaelland	100%	—
Randers	95.00%	5.00%
Aalborg	92.00%	8.00%
Odense	87.00%	13.00%
Sonderjyske	79.00%	21.00%
Vejle BK	72.00%	28.00%
Lyngby	39.00%	61.00%
Horsens	36.00%	64.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Aalborg	98.67%	1.33%
Odense	98.62%	1.38%
Sonderjyske	97.16%	2.84%
Vejle BK	82.97%	17.03%
Lyngby	21.60%	78.40%
Horsens	0.98%	99.02%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2020-09-11	Midtjylland	W 2-0	58.6	1563	1731	23.19%	23.96%	52.84%	-0.74	+11.0	3
2020-09-11	@ Sonderjyske	L 0-2	58.6	1731	1563	52.84%	23.96%	23.19%	+0.74	-11.0	0
2020-09-13	Aalborg	D 0-0	63.5	1526	1638	29.02%	25.71%	45.27%	-0.38	+0.4	1
2020-09-13	@ Lyngby	D 0-0	63.5	1638	1526	45.27%	25.71%	29.02%	+0.38	-0.4	1
2020-09-13	FC Copenhagen	W 3-2	72.0	1602	1697	31.06%	26.04%	42.90%	-0.28	+4.4	3
2020-09-13	@ Odense	L 2-3	72.0	1697	1602	42.90%	26.04%	31.06%	+0.28	-4.4	0
2020-09-13	Nordsjaelland	W 3-2	66.3	1685	1636	51.03%	24.48%	24.49%	+0.63	+2.8	3
2020-09-13	@ Brondby	L 2-3	66.3	1636	1685	24.49%	24.48%	51.03%	-0.63	-2.8	0
2020-09-13	Randers	L 0-3	50.1	1554	1603	37.36%	26.38%	36.26%	+0.01	-12.2	0
2020-09-13	@ Horsens	W 3-0	50.1	1603	1554	36.26%	26.38%	37.36%	-0.01	+12.2	3
2020-09-14	Vejle BK	W 4-2	57.5	1680	1568	59.06%	21.78%	19.16%	+1.03	+3.6	3
2020-09-14	@ Aarhus GF	L 2-4	57.5	1568	1680	19.16%	21.78%	59.06%	-1.03	-3.6	0
2020-09-19	Lyngby	W 1-0	48.3	1720	1527	68.52%	17.45%	14.03%	+1.54	+1.7	3
2020-09-19	@ Midtjylland	L 0-1	48.3	1527	1720	14.03%	17.45%	68.52%	-1.54	-1.7	1
2020-09-20	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	70.8	1615	1684	34.48%	26.33%	39.18%	-0.11	+0.1	4
2020-09-20	@ Randers	D 1-1	70.8	1684	1615	39.18%	26.33%	34.48%	+0.11	-0.1	4
2020-09-20	Brondby	L 1-2	67.8	1693	1688	44.96%	25.76%	29.28%	+0.35	-4.9	0
2020-09-20	@ FC Copenhagen	W 2-1	67.8	1688	1693	29.28%	25.76%	44.96%	-0.35	+4.8	6
2020-09-20	Nordsjaelland	D 1-1	69.9	1606	1633	40.54%	26.25%	33.21%	+0.15	-0.2	4
2020-09-20	@ Odense	D 1-1	69.9	1633	1606	33.21%	26.25%	40.54%	-0.15	+0.2	1
2020-09-20	Sonderjyske	W 4-1	53.1	1565	1574	43.00%	26.03%	30.97%	+0.26	+8.9	3
2020-09-20	@ Vejle BK	L 1-4	53.1	1574	1565	30.97%	26.03%	43.00%	-0.26	-9.0	3
2020-09-21	Horsens	W 1-0	50.3	1638	1542	57.09%	22.54%	20.37%	+0.93	+2.6	4
2020-09-21	@ Aalborg	L 0-1	50.3	1542	1638	20.37%	22.54%	57.09%	-0.93	-2.6	0
2020-09-26	Randers	W 1-0	52.6	1722	1615	58.42%	22.03%	19.55%	+0.99	+2.5	6
2020-09-26	@ Midtjylland	L 0-1	52.6	1615	1722	19.55%	22.03%	58.42%	-0.99	-2.5	4
2020-09-27	Aalborg	W 3-1	60.3	1565	1641	33.62%	26.28%	40.10%	-0.15	+7.7	6
2020-09-27	@ Sonderjyske	L 1-3	60.3	1641	1565	40.10%	26.28%	33.62%	+0.15	-7.7	4
2020-09-27	FC Copenhagen	D 2-2	76.9	1574	1688	28.79%	25.67%	45.54%	-0.40	+0.3	4
2020-09-27	@ Vejle BK	D 2-2	76.9	1688	1574	45.54%	25.67%	28.79%	+0.40	-0.3	1
2020-09-27	Horsens	W 2-1	55.5	1693	1539	64.04%	19.62%	16.34%	+1.29	+2.0	9
2020-09-27	@ Brondby	L 1-2	55.5	1539	1693	16.34%	19.62%	64.04%	-1.29	-1.9	0
2020-09-27	Odense	W 4-2	59.4	1684	1606	54.75%	23.36%	21.89%	+0.81	+4.1	7
2020-09-27	@ Aarhus GF	L 2-4	59.4	1606	1684	21.89%	23.36%	54.75%	-0.81	-4.1	4
2020-09-28	Lyngby	W 4-1	49.0	1633	1525	58.58%	21.97%	19.45%	+1.00	+5.8	4
2020-09-28	@ Nordsjaelland	L 1-4	49.0	1525	1633	19.45%	21.97%	58.58%	-1.00	-5.8	1
2020-10-02	Brondby	L 1-2	63.6	1612	1695	32.73%	26.22%	41.05%	-0.20	-3.8	4
2020-10-02	@ Randers	W 2-1	63.6	1695	1612	41.05%	26.22%	32.73%	+0.20	+3.8	12
2020-10-04	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	71.0	1633	1688	36.43%	26.38%	37.19%	-0.03	+0.0	5
2020-10-04	@ Aalborg	D 1-1	71.0	1688	1633	37.19%	26.38%	36.43%	+0.03	-0.0	8
2020-10-04	Midtjylland	D 2-2	77.6	1537	1724	21.52%	23.17%	55.31%	-0.86	+0.6	1
2020-10-04	@ Horsens	D 2-2	77.6	1724	1537	55.31%	23.17%	21.52%	+0.86	-0.6	7
2020-10-04	Nordsjaelland	W 3-2	66.3	1688	1639	50.94%	24.50%	24.55%	+0.63	+2.8	4
2020-10-04	@ FC Copenhagen	L 2-3	66.3	1639	1688	24.55%	24.50%	50.94%	-0.63	-2.8	4
2020-10-04	Sonderjyske	D 2-2	72.4	1519	1573	36.66%	26.38%	36.96%	-0.02	+0.0	2
2020-10-04	@ Lyngby	D 2-2	72.4	1573	1519	36.96%	26.38%	36.66%	+0.02	+0.0	7
2020-10-04	Vejle BK	L 0-1	59.3	1602	1574	48.16%	25.17%	26.67%	+0.50	-5.4	4
2020-10-04	@ Odense	W 1-0	59.3	1574	1602	26.67%	25.17%	48.16%	-0.50	+5.4	7
2020-10-17	Odense	W 3-1	54.0	1724	1597	60.91%	21.02%	18.08%	+1.12	+3.8	10
2020-10-17	@ Midtjylland	L 1-3	54.0	1597	1724	18.08%	21.02%	60.91%	-1.12	-3.8	4
2020-10-18	Aalborg	L 1-2	69.0	1690	1633	52.11%	24.18%	23.71%	+0.68	-5.5	4
2020-10-18	@ FC Copenhagen	W 2-1	69.0	1633	1690	23.71%	24.18%	52.11%	-0.68	+5.5	8
2020-10-18	Brondby	W 2-0	57.0	1573	1699	27.47%	25.38%	47.15%	-0.47	+10.1	10
2020-10-18	@ Sonderjyske	L 0-2	57.0	1699	1573	47.15%	25.38%	27.47%	+0.47	-10.1	12
2020-10-18	Horsens	W 3-0	43.5	1688	1538	63.65%	19.80%	16.55%	+1.27	+5.8	11
2020-10-18	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-3	43.5	1538	1688	16.55%	19.80%	63.65%	-1.27	-5.7	1
2020-10-18	Lyngby	W 3-2	61.0	1579	1519	52.48%	24.07%	23.45%	+0.70	+2.7	10
2020-10-18	@ Vejle BK	L 2-3	61.0	1519	1579	23.45%	24.07%	52.48%	-0.70	-2.7	2
2020-10-19	Randers	W 1-0	54.4	1636	1609	48.07%	25.19%	26.74%	+0.49	+3.4	7
2020-10-19	@ Nordsjaelland	L 0-1	54.4	1609	1636	26.74%	25.19%	48.07%	-0.49	-3.4	4
2020-10-23	Odense	L 0-3	47.5	1516	1593	33.50%	26.28%	40.23%	-0.16	-11.3	2
2020-10-23	@ Lyngby	W 3-0	47.5	1593	1516	40.23%	26.28%	33.50%	+0.16	+11.3	7
2020-10-24	Midtjylland	L 2-3	71.9	1688	1728	38.74%	26.35%	34.91%	+0.07	-4.1	12
2020-10-24	@ Brondby	W 3-2	71.9	1728	1688	34.91%	26.35%	38.74%	-0.07	+4.1	13
2020-10-25	FC Copenhagen	L 0-1	61.8	1694	1685	45.53%	25.67%	28.80%	+0.38	-5.2	11
2020-10-25	@ Aarhus GF	W 1-0	61.8	1685	1694	28.80%	25.67%	45.53%	-0.38	+5.2	7
2020-10-25	Nordsjaelland	D 1-1	68.5	1532	1639	29.58%	25.81%	44.61%	-0.35	+0.4	2
2020-10-25	@ Horsens	D 1-1	68.5	1639	1532	44.61%	25.81%	29.58%	+0.35	-0.4	8
2020-10-25	Sonderjyske	L 1-2	65.6	1605	1583	47.41%	25.33%	27.27%	+0.46	-5.0	4
2020-10-25	@ Randers	W 2-1	65.6	1583	1605	27.27%	25.33%	47.41%	-0.46	+5.1	13
2020-10-26	Vejle BK	L 1-3	63.6	1638	1582	51.93%	24.23%	23.84%	+0.67	-9.4	8
2020-10-26	@ Aalborg	W 3-1	63.6	1582	1638	23.84%	24.23%	51.93%	-0.67	+9.4	13
2020-10-30	Randers	L 0-3	52.6	1592	1600	43.07%	26.02%	30.91%	+0.27	-13.6	13
2020-10-30	@ Vejle BK	W 3-0	52.6	1600	1592	30.91%	26.02%	43.07%	-0.27	+13.6	7
2020-10-31	Midtjylland	W 4-1	60.7	1639	1732	31.40%	26.08%	42.52%	-0.26	+11.4	11
2020-10-31	@ Nordsjaelland	L 1-4	60.7	1732	1639	42.52%	26.08%	31.40%	+0.26	-11.4	13
2020-11-01	Brondby	W 2-1	65.0	1629	1684	36.40%	26.38%	37.22%	-0.03	+4.2	11
2020-11-01	@ Aalborg	L 1-2	65.0	1684	1629	37.22%	26.38%	36.40%	+0.03	-4.2	12
2020-11-01	Horsens	W 1-0	50.1	1604	1532	53.97%	23.62%	22.42%	+0.77	+2.9	10
2020-11-01	@ Odense	L 0-1	50.1	1532	1604	22.42%	23.62%	53.97%	-0.77	-2.9	2
2020-11-01	Lyngby	W 4-2	53.9	1690	1505	67.59%	17.92%	14.50%	+1.48	+2.6	10
2020-11-01	@ FC Copenhagen	L 2-4	53.9	1505	1690	14.50%	17.92%	67.59%	-1.48	-2.6	2
2020-11-02	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	70.6	1588	1689	30.38%	25.94%	43.68%	-0.31	+0.3	14
2020-11-02	@ Sonderjyske	D 1-1	70.6	1689	1588	43.68%	25.94%	30.38%	+0.31	-0.3	12
2020-11-06	Aalborg	L 1-2	65.3	1614	1633	41.58%	26.17%	32.25%	+0.20	-4.6	7
2020-11-06	@ Randers	W 2-1	65.3	1633	1614	32.25%	26.17%	41.58%	-0.20	+4.6	14
2020-11-08	Aarhus GF	L 1-2	57.3	1502	1688	21.64%	23.24%	55.12%	-0.85	-2.6	2
2020-11-08	@ Lyngby	W 2-1	57.3	1688	1502	55.12%	23.24%	21.64%	+0.85	+2.6	15
2020-11-08	FC Copenhagen	W 4-0	50.8	1720	1693	48.10%	25.18%	26.72%	+0.49	+12.2	16
2020-11-08	@ Midtjylland	L 0-4	50.8	1693	1720	26.72%	25.18%	48.10%	-0.49	-12.2	10
2020-11-08	Odense	W 3-1	55.6	1680	1607	54.15%	23.56%	22.29%	+0.78	+4.7	15
2020-11-08	@ Brondby	L 1-3	55.6	1607	1680	22.29%	23.56%	54.15%	-0.78	-4.7	10
2020-11-08	Sonderjyske	L 0-3	48.6	1529	1588	35.94%	26.38%	37.69%	-0.05	-11.9	2
2020-11-08	@ Horsens	W 3-0	48.6	1588	1529	37.69%	26.38%	35.94%	+0.05	+11.9	17
2020-11-08	Vejle BK	D 1-1	70.5	1650	1578	54.07%	23.58%	22.34%	+0.78	-0.8	12
2020-11-08	@ Nordsjaelland	D 1-1	70.5	1578	1650	22.34%	23.58%	54.07%	-0.78	+0.8	14
2020-11-20	Horsens	D 1-1	63.4	1500	1517	41.80%	26.15%	32.05%	+0.21	-0.2	3
2020-11-20	@ Lyngby	D 1-1	63.4	1517	1500	32.05%	26.15%	41.80%	-0.21	+0.2	3
2020-11-22	Brondby	L 0-2	51.7	1579	1685	29.73%	25.84%	44.43%	-0.35	-7.1	14
2020-11-22	@ Vejle BK	W 2-0	51.7	1685	1579	44.43%	25.84%	29.73%	+0.35	+7.1	18
2020-11-22	Midtjylland	L 1-2	66.3	1691	1733	38.39%	26.36%	35.25%	+0.06	-4.3	15
2020-11-22	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-1	66.3	1733	1691	35.25%	26.36%	38.39%	-0.06	+4.3	19
2020-11-22	Nordsjaelland	D 1-1	70.7	1638	1650	42.60%	26.07%	31.33%	+0.25	-0.3	15
2020-11-22	@ Aalborg	D 1-1	70.7	1650	1638	31.33%	26.07%	42.60%	-0.25	+0.3	13
2020-11-22	Sonderjyske	D 1-1	69.3	1602	1600	44.60%	25.81%	29.58%	+0.33	-0.4	11
2020-11-22	@ Odense	D 1-1	69.3	1600	1602	29.58%	25.81%	44.60%	-0.33	+0.4	18
2020-11-23	Randers	L 1-2	68.9	1681	1609	53.91%	23.64%	22.46%	+0.77	-5.6	10
2020-11-23	@ FC Copenhagen	W 2-1	68.9	1609	1681	22.46%	23.64%	53.91%	-0.77	+5.6	10
2020-11-27	Odense	W 2-1	60.6	1615	1602	46.09%	25.57%	28.33%	+0.40	+3.4	13
2020-11-27	@ Randers	L 1-2	60.6	1602	1615	28.33%	25.57%	46.09%	-0.40	-3.4	11
2020-11-28	Aalborg	D 0-0	67.9	1737	1637	57.49%	22.39%	20.12%	+0.95	-1.1	20
2020-11-28	@ Midtjylland	D 0-0	67.9	1637	1737	20.12%	22.39%	57.49%	-0.95	+1.1	16
2020-11-29	Aarhus GF	W 3-1	60.7	1650	1687	39.09%	26.34%	34.57%	+0.09	+6.9	16
2020-11-29	@ Nordsjaelland	L 1-3	60.7	1687	1650	34.57%	26.34%	39.09%	-0.09	-6.9	15
2020-11-29	FC Copenhagen	L 1-3	59.7	1600	1675	33.75%	26.29%	39.96%	-0.15	-6.8	18
2020-11-29	@ Sonderjyske	W 3-1	59.7	1675	1600	39.96%	26.29%	33.75%	+0.15	+6.8	13
2020-11-29	Vejle BK	W 3-1	56.2	1518	1572	36.62%	26.38%	36.99%	-0.02	+7.2	6
2020-11-29	@ Horsens	L 1-3	56.2	1572	1518	36.99%	26.38%	36.62%	+0.02	-7.2	14
2020-11-30	Lyngby	W 4-1	46.9	1692	1500	68.39%	17.52%	14.10%	+1.53	+4.0	21
2020-11-30	@ Brondby	L 1-4	46.9	1500	1692	14.10%	17.52%	68.39%	-1.53	-4.0	3
2020-12-04	Aalborg	W 2-1	63.2	1598	1638	38.62%	26.35%	35.02%	+0.07	+4.0	14
2020-12-04	@ Odense	L 1-2	63.2	1638	1598	35.02%	26.35%	38.62%	-0.07	-4.0	16
2020-12-05	Midtjylland	L 0-2	49.6	1564	1736	22.91%	23.84%	53.25%	-0.76	-5.6	14
2020-12-05	@ Vejle BK	W 2-0	49.6	1736	1564	53.25%	23.84%	22.91%	+0.76	+5.6	23
2020-12-06	Horsens	W 2-0	44.7	1682	1525	64.38%	19.46%	16.15%	+1.31	+3.8	16
2020-12-06	@ FC Copenhagen	L 0-2	44.7	1525	1682	16.15%	19.46%	64.38%	-1.31	-3.9	6
2020-12-06	Nordsjaelland	W 2-1	64.5	1594	1657	35.30%	26.36%	38.34%	-0.08	+4.3	21
2020-12-06	@ Sonderjyske	L 1-2	64.5	1657	1594	38.34%	26.36%	35.30%	+0.08	-4.3	16
2020-12-06	Randers	L 0-3	45.7	1496	1618	27.82%	25.46%	46.72%	-0.45	-9.7	3
2020-12-06	@ Lyngby	W 3-0	45.7	1618	1496	46.72%	25.46%	27.82%	+0.45	+9.7	16
2020-12-07	Brondby	W 3-1	60.2	1680	1696	42.02%	26.13%	31.85%	+0.22	+6.5	18
2020-12-07	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-3	60.2	1696	1680	31.85%	26.13%	42.02%	-0.22	-6.5	21
2020-12-11	Vejle BK	W 3-1	53.9	1628	1559	53.63%	23.72%	22.64%	+0.76	+4.8	19
2020-12-11	@ Randers	L 1-3	53.9	1559	1628	22.64%	23.72%	53.63%	-0.76	-4.8	14
2020-12-13	Aarhus GF	L 1-2	58.5	1521	1686	23.49%	24.09%	52.42%	-0.72	-2.9	6
2020-12-13	@ Horsens	W 2-1	58.5	1686	1521	52.42%	24.09%	23.49%	+0.72	+2.9	21
2020-12-13	FC Copenhagen	L 0-1	59.9	1653	1686	39.62%	26.31%	34.07%	+0.11	-4.7	16
2020-12-13	@ Nordsjaelland	W 1-0	59.9	1686	1653	34.07%	26.31%	39.62%	-0.11	+4.7	19
2020-12-13	Lyngby	W 3-2	58.4	1634	1486	63.44%	19.90%	16.66%	+1.25	+1.9	19
2020-12-13	@ Aalborg	L 2-3	58.4	1486	1634	16.66%	19.90%	63.44%	-1.25	-1.9	3
2020-12-13	Sonderjyske	W 2-1	58.7	1689	1598	56.50%	22.75%	20.74%	+0.90	+2.5	24
2020-12-13	@ Brondby	L 1-2	58.7	1598	1689	20.74%	22.75%	56.50%	-0.90	-2.5	21
2020-12-14	Midtjylland	D 1-1	71.7	1602	1741	26.07%	25.00%	48.93%	-0.55	+0.6	15
2020-12-14	@ Odense	D 1-1	71.7	1741	1602	48.93%	25.00%	26.07%	+0.55	-0.6	24
2020-12-20	Aalborg	W 3-0	48.7	1689	1636	51.48%	24.36%	24.16%	+0.65	+8.5	24
2020-12-20	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-3	48.7	1636	1689	24.16%	24.36%	51.48%	-0.65	-8.5	19
2020-12-20	Brondby	L 1-2	58.2	1518	1692	22.70%	23.75%	53.55%	-0.77	-2.8	6
2020-12-20	@ Horsens	W 2-1	58.2	1692	1518	53.55%	23.75%	22.70%	+0.77	+2.8	27
2020-12-20	Odense	D 1-1	71.7	1690	1603	55.94%	22.95%	21.11%	+0.87	-0.9	20
2020-12-20	@ FC Copenhagen	D 1-1	71.7	1603	1690	21.11%	22.95%	55.94%	-0.87	+0.9	16
2020-12-20	Randers	L 0-1	58.1	1595	1633	38.99%	26.34%	34.67%	+0.09	-4.6	21
2020-12-20	@ Sonderjyske	W 1-0	58.1	1633	1595	34.67%	26.34%	38.99%	-0.09	+4.6	22
2020-12-20	Vejle BK	D 0-0	59.3	1484	1554	34.36%	26.33%	39.31%	-0.12	+0.1	4
2020-12-20	@ Lyngby	D 0-0	59.3	1554	1484	39.31%	26.33%	34.36%	+0.12	-0.1	15
2020-12-21	Nordsjaelland	W 3-1	55.9	1741	1648	56.68%	22.69%	20.63%	+0.90	+4.4	27
2020-12-21	@ Midtjylland	L 1-3	55.9	1648	1741	20.63%	22.69%	56.68%	-0.90	-4.4	16
2021-02-02	Aarhus GF	D 0-0	65.7	1554	1698	25.57%	24.85%	49.59%	-0.58	+0.7	16
2021-02-02	@ Vejle BK	D 0-0	65.7	1698	1554	49.59%	24.85%	25.57%	+0.58	-0.6	25
2021-02-02	Horsens	W 3-0	42.8	1637	1515	60.25%	21.29%	18.46%	+1.09	+6.5	25
2021-02-02	@ Randers	L 0-3	42.8	1515	1637	18.46%	21.29%	60.25%	-1.09	-6.5	6
2021-02-03	FC Copenhagen	L 2-3	70.1	1628	1689	35.53%	26.37%	38.10%	-0.07	-3.8	19
2021-02-03	@ Aalborg	W 3-2	70.1	1689	1628	38.10%	26.37%	35.53%	+0.07	+3.9	23
2021-02-03	Lyngby	L 0-1	59.2	1604	1484	60.01%	21.39%	18.60%	+1.07	-6.5	16
2021-02-03	@ Odense	W 1-0	59.2	1484	1604	18.60%	21.39%	60.01%	-1.07	+6.5	7
2021-02-04	Brondby	L 0-1	59.1	1643	1695	37.00%	26.38%	36.62%	+0.00	-4.4	16
2021-02-04	@ Nordsjaelland	W 1-0	59.1	1695	1643	36.62%	26.38%	37.00%	+0.00	+4.4	30
2021-02-04	Sonderjyske	L 1-2	71.3	1745	1591	64.12%	19.58%	16.29%	+1.29	-6.4	27
2021-02-04	@ Midtjylland	W 2-1	71.3	1591	1745	16.29%	19.58%	64.12%	-1.29	+6.4	24
2021-02-07	Aalborg	D 1-1	71.9	1699	1624	54.42%	23.47%	22.11%	+0.79	-0.8	31
2021-02-07	@ Brondby	D 1-1	71.9	1624	1699	22.11%	23.47%	54.42%	-0.79	+0.8	20
2021-02-07	FC Copenhagen	L 0-2	47.4	1509	1693	21.79%	23.31%	54.90%	-0.84	-5.3	6
2021-02-07	@ Horsens	W 2-0	47.4	1693	1509	54.90%	23.31%	21.79%	+0.84	+5.3	26
2021-02-07	Lyngby	W 1-0	46.7	1697	1491	69.90%	16.75%	13.35%	+1.62	+1.6	28
2021-02-07	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-1	46.7	1491	1697	13.35%	16.75%	69.90%	-1.62	-1.6	7
2021-02-07	Odense	L 0-2	57.0	1639	1597	49.99%	24.75%	25.26%	+0.58	-10.5	16
2021-02-07	@ Nordsjaelland	W 2-0	57.0	1597	1639	25.26%	24.75%	49.99%	-0.58	+10.5	19
2021-02-07	Vejle BK	L 0-1	59.2	1597	1555	50.13%	24.71%	25.16%	+0.59	-5.6	24
2021-02-07	@ Sonderjyske	W 1-0	59.2	1555	1597	25.16%	24.71%	50.13%	-0.59	+5.6	19
2021-02-08	Midtjylland	L 1-2	63.8	1644	1739	31.11%	26.04%	42.85%	-0.28	-3.7	25
2021-02-08	@ Randers	W 2-1	63.8	1739	1644	42.85%	26.04%	31.11%	+0.28	+3.7	30
2021-02-14	Aarhus GF	D 0-0	66.1	1608	1699	31.66%	26.11%	42.23%	-0.25	+0.3	20
2021-02-14	@ Odense	D 0-0	66.1	1699	1608	42.23%	26.11%	31.66%	+0.25	-0.3	29
2021-02-14	Brondby	L 0-4	44.7	1489	1698	19.75%	22.16%	58.10%	-1.00	-9.1	7
2021-02-14	@ Lyngby	W 4-0	44.7	1698	1489	58.10%	22.16%	19.75%	+1.00	+9.1	34
2021-02-14	Horsens	W 1-0	46.9	1742	1504	73.24%	15.00%	11.77%	+1.82	+1.4	33
2021-02-14	@ Midtjylland	L 0-1	46.9	1504	1742	11.77%	15.00%	73.24%	-1.82	-1.4	6
2021-02-14	Nordsjaelland	D 2-2	75.2	1560	1629	34.59%	26.34%	39.08%	-0.11	+0.1	20
2021-02-14	@ Vejle BK	D 2-2	75.2	1629	1560	39.08%	26.34%	34.59%	+0.11	-0.1	17
2021-02-14	Randers	D 0-0	65.5	1625	1640	42.12%	26.12%	31.76%	+0.22	-0.3	21
2021-02-14	@ Aalborg	D 0-0	65.5	1640	1625	31.76%	26.12%	42.12%	-0.22	+0.3	26
2021-02-15	Sonderjyske	W 3-2	63.6	1698	1592	58.43%	22.03%	19.54%	+0.99	+2.3	29
2021-02-15	@ FC Copenhagen	L 2-3	63.6	1592	1698	19.54%	22.03%	58.43%	-0.99	-2.2	24
2021-02-19	Midtjylland	L 0-2	52.4	1624	1744	28.19%	25.54%	46.26%	-0.43	-6.8	21
2021-02-19	@ Aalborg	W 2-0	52.4	1744	1624	46.26%	25.54%	28.19%	+0.43	+6.8	36
2021-02-21	Nordsjaelland	D 1-1	70.6	1640	1628	45.96%	25.60%	28.44%	+0.40	-0.4	27
2021-02-21	@ Randers	D 1-1	70.6	1628	1640	28.44%	25.60%	45.96%	-0.40	+0.4	18
2021-02-21	Odense	D 0-0	61.9	1502	1608	29.75%	25.84%	44.41%	-0.35	+0.4	7
2021-02-21	@ Horsens	D 0-0	61.9	1608	1502	44.41%	25.84%	29.75%	+0.35	-0.4	21
2021-02-21	Sonderjyske	W 2-0	47.8	1698	1589	58.69%	21.93%	19.39%	+1.01	+4.7	32
2021-02-21	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-2	47.8	1589	1698	19.39%	21.93%	58.69%	-1.01	-4.7	24
2021-02-21	Vejle BK	W 2-1	56.4	1708	1560	63.29%	19.97%	16.74%	+1.25	+2.0	37
2021-02-21	@ Brondby	L 1-2	56.4	1560	1708	16.74%	19.97%	63.29%	-1.25	-2.0	20
2021-02-22	FC Copenhagen	D 2-2	76.4	1480	1701	18.89%	21.60%	59.51%	-1.07	+0.8	8
2021-02-22	@ Lyngby	D 2-2	76.4	1701	1480	59.51%	21.60%	18.89%	+1.07	-0.8	30
2021-02-26	Horsens	D 0-0	60.7	1558	1503	51.85%	24.25%	23.90%	+0.67	-0.8	21
2021-02-26	@ Vejle BK	D 0-0	60.7	1503	1558	23.90%	24.25%	51.85%	-0.67	+0.8	8
2021-02-28	Aalborg	D 2-2	76.6	1629	1618	45.84%	25.62%	28.54%	+0.39	-0.3	19
2021-02-28	@ Nordsjaelland	D 2-2	76.6	1618	1629	28.54%	25.62%	45.84%	-0.39	+0.3	22
2021-02-28	Aarhus GF	D 3-3	82.3	1700	1703	43.87%	25.92%	30.22%	+0.30	-0.2	31
2021-02-28	@ FC Copenhagen	D 3-3	82.3	1703	1700	30.22%	25.92%	43.87%	-0.30	+0.2	33
2021-02-28	Brondby	W 1-0	56.0	1751	1710	49.92%	24.76%	25.31%	+0.58	+3.3	39
2021-02-28	@ Midtjylland	L 0-1	56.0	1710	1751	25.31%	24.76%	49.92%	-0.58	-3.3	37
2021-02-28	Randers	W 2-1	63.1	1608	1640	39.75%	26.30%	33.95%	+0.12	+3.9	24
2021-02-28	@ Odense	L 1-2	63.1	1640	1608	33.95%	26.30%	39.75%	-0.12	-3.9	27
2021-03-01	Lyngby	L 1-4	57.7	1585	1481	58.06%	22.17%	19.77%	+0.97	-14.5	24
2021-03-01	@ Sonderjyske	W 4-1	57.7	1481	1585	19.77%	22.17%	58.06%	-0.97	+14.5	11
2021-03-03	Aalborg	W 2-1	63.3	1503	1618	28.75%	25.66%	45.59%	-0.40	+4.9	11
2021-03-03	@ Horsens	L 1-2	63.3	1618	1503	45.59%	25.66%	28.75%	+0.40	-4.9	22
2021-03-03	Nordsjaelland	L 0-1	63.4	1703	1629	54.35%	23.49%	22.16%	+0.79	-6.0	33
2021-03-03	@ Aarhus GF	W 1-0	63.4	1629	1703	22.16%	23.49%	54.35%	-0.79	+6.0	22
2021-03-03	Vejle BK	W 2-1	56.4	1700	1557	62.71%	20.23%	17.06%	+1.22	+2.0	34
2021-03-03	@ FC Copenhagen	L 1-2	56.4	1557	1700	17.06%	20.23%	62.71%	-1.22	-2.1	21
2021-03-04	Midtjylland	W 2-0	59.9	1495	1754	16.35%	19.63%	64.02%	-1.31	+12.8	14
2021-03-04	@ Lyngby	L 0-2	59.9	1754	1495	64.02%	19.63%	16.35%	+1.31	-12.8	39
2021-03-04	Odense	D 1-1	68.6	1570	1612	38.36%	26.36%	35.28%	+0.06	-0.1	25
2021-03-04	@ Sonderjyske	D 1-1	68.6	1612	1570	35.28%	26.36%	38.36%	-0.06	+0.1	25
2021-03-04	Randers	D 0-0	67.2	1706	1636	53.76%	23.68%	22.56%	+0.76	-0.9	38
2021-03-04	@ Brondby	D 0-0	67.2	1636	1706	22.56%	23.68%	53.76%	-0.76	+0.9	28
2021-03-07	Aarhus GF	L 0-1	63.3	1741	1697	50.29%	24.67%	25.04%	+0.60	-5.6	39
2021-03-07	@ Midtjylland	W 1-0	63.3	1697	1741	25.04%	24.67%	50.29%	-0.60	+5.6	36
2021-03-07	FC Copenhagen	W 2-1	63.4	1705	1702	44.79%	25.79%	29.43%	+0.34	+3.5	41
2021-03-07	@ Brondby	L 1-2	63.4	1702	1705	29.43%	25.79%	44.79%	-0.34	-3.5	34
2021-03-07	Horsens	D 2-2	75.6	1635	1508	60.78%	21.07%	18.15%	+1.11	-0.8	23
2021-03-07	@ Nordsjaelland	D 2-2	75.6	1508	1635	18.15%	21.07%	60.78%	-1.11	+0.8	12
2021-03-07	Lyngby	L 1-2	67.3	1637	1508	61.13%	20.92%	17.95%	+1.13	-6.2	28
2021-03-07	@ Randers	W 2-1	67.3	1508	1637	17.95%	20.92%	61.13%	-1.13	+6.2	17
2021-03-07	Odense	W 2-0	52.2	1555	1612	36.24%	26.38%	37.37%	-0.03	+8.4	24
2021-03-07	@ Vejle BK	L 0-2	52.2	1612	1555	37.37%	26.38%	36.24%	+0.03	-8.4	25
2021-03-08	Sonderjyske	W 1-0	52.5	1613	1570	50.20%	24.69%	25.11%	+0.59	+3.2	25
2021-03-08	@ Aalborg	L 0-1	52.5	1570	1613	25.11%	24.69%	50.20%	-0.59	-3.2	25
2021-03-12	Nordsjaelland	L 0-3	46.9	1514	1634	28.16%	25.54%	46.30%	-0.43	-9.8	17
2021-03-12	@ Lyngby	W 3-0	46.9	1634	1514	46.30%	25.54%	28.16%	+0.43	+9.8	26
2021-03-14	Aalborg	L 0-2	52.4	1564	1616	36.82%	26.39%	36.80%	-0.01	-8.3	24
2021-03-14	@ Vejle BK	W 2-0	52.4	1616	1564	36.80%	26.39%	36.82%	+0.01	+8.3	28
2021-03-14	Brondby	L 0-3	50.7	1603	1709	29.82%	25.85%	44.32%	-0.34	-10.3	25
2021-03-14	@ Odense	W 3-0	50.7	1709	1603	44.32%	25.85%	29.82%	+0.34	+10.3	44
2021-03-14	Horsens	W 2-0	44.6	1567	1509	52.12%	24.18%	23.71%	+0.68	+5.8	28
2021-03-14	@ Sonderjyske	L 0-2	44.6	1509	1567	23.71%	24.18%	52.12%	-0.68	-5.8	12
2021-03-14	Midtjylland	D 0-0	67.1	1698	1735	39.03%	26.34%	34.63%	+0.09	-0.1	35
2021-03-14	@ FC Copenhagen	D 0-0	67.1	1735	1698	34.63%	26.34%	39.03%	-0.09	+0.1	40
2021-03-15	Randers	D 1-1	72.0	1703	1631	54.01%	23.60%	22.39%	+0.77	-0.8	37
2021-03-15	@ Aarhus GF	D 1-1	72.0	1631	1703	22.39%	23.60%	54.01%	-0.77	+0.8	29
2021-03-21	Aarhus GF	D 1-1	72.2	1719	1702	46.66%	25.47%	27.87%	+0.43	-0.5	45
2021-03-21	@ Brondby	D 1-1	72.2	1702	1719	27.87%	25.47%	46.66%	-0.43	+0.5	38
2021-03-21	FC Copenhagen	W 2-1	65.7	1632	1698	34.83%	26.35%	38.83%	-0.10	+4.3	32
2021-03-21	@ Randers	L 1-2	65.7	1698	1632	38.83%	26.35%	34.83%	+0.10	-4.3	35
2021-03-21	Lyngby	L 1-2	59.0	1503	1504	44.17%	25.88%	29.95%	+0.32	-4.8	12
2021-03-21	@ Horsens	W 2-1	59.0	1504	1503	29.95%	25.88%	44.17%	-0.32	+4.8	20
2021-03-21	Odense	L 0-2	56.4	1625	1593	48.63%	25.07%	26.30%	+0.52	-10.3	28
2021-03-21	@ Aalborg	W 2-0	56.4	1593	1625	26.30%	25.07%	48.63%	-0.52	+10.3	28
2021-03-21	Sonderjyske	W 2-1	58.2	1644	1572	53.87%	23.65%	22.48%	+0.77	+2.7	29
2021-03-21	@ Nordsjaelland	L 1-2	58.2	1572	1644	22.48%	23.65%	53.87%	-0.77	-2.7	28
2021-03-21	Vejle BK	W 5-0	45.1	1736	1555	67.04%	18.19%	14.77%	+1.45	+8.1	43
2021-03-21	@ Midtjylland	L 0-5	45.1	1555	1736	14.77%	18.19%	67.04%	-1.45	-8.1	24

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2021-04-04	Aarhus GF	W 2-0	55.3	1646	1703	36.28%	26.38%	37.34%	-0.03	+8.4	3
2021-04-04	@ Nordsjaelland	L 0-2	55.3	1703	1646	37.34%	26.38%	36.28%	+0.03	-8.4	0
2021-04-04	Odense	D 1-1	66.5	1499	1604	29.88%	25.86%	44.25%	-0.34	+0.4	1
2021-04-04	@ Horsens	D 1-1	66.5	1604	1499	44.25%	25.86%	29.88%	+0.34	-0.3	1
2021-04-05	Brondby	W 1-0	56.6	1744	1719	47.74%	25.26%	27.00%	+0.48	+3.4	3
2021-04-05	@ Midtjylland	L 0-1	56.6	1719	1744	27.00%	25.26%	47.74%	-0.48	-3.5	0
2021-04-05	Randers	W 2-1	60.5	1694	1636	52.17%	24.16%	23.67%	+0.68	+2.9	3
2021-04-05	@ FC Copenhagen	L 1-2	60.5	1636	1694	23.67%	24.16%	52.17%	-0.68	-2.9	0
2021-04-05	Sonderjyske	W 3-2	64.1	1614	1570	50.39%	24.65%	24.96%	+0.60	+2.9	3
2021-04-05	@ Aalborg	L 2-3	64.1	1570	1614	24.96%	24.65%	50.39%	-0.60	-2.9	0
2021-04-06	Vejle BK	D 0-0	59.9	1509	1547	38.85%	26.35%	34.80%	+0.08	-0.1	1
2021-04-06	@ Lyngby	D 0-0	59.9	1547	1509	34.80%	26.35%	38.85%	-0.08	+0.1	1
2021-04-09	Vejle BK	L 0-1	59.5	1603	1547	51.87%	24.25%	23.88%	+0.67	-5.8	1
2021-04-09	@ Odense	W 1-0	59.5	1547	1603	23.88%	24.25%	51.87%	-0.67	+5.8	4
2021-04-11	FC Copenhagen	L 1-3	64.7	1715	1697	46.86%	25.43%	27.71%	+0.44	-8.7	0
2021-04-11	@ Brondby	W 3-1	64.7	1697	1715	27.71%	25.43%	46.86%	-0.44	+8.7	6
2021-04-11	Horsens	L 2-3	68.8	1567	1499	53.48%	23.77%	22.75%	+0.75	-5.3	0
2021-04-11	@ Sonderjyske	W 3-2	68.8	1499	1567	22.75%	23.77%	53.48%	-0.75	+5.3	4
2021-04-11	Midtjylland	L 1-4	59.5	1694	1747	36.75%	26.39%	36.87%	-0.01	-10.2	0
2021-04-11	@ Aarhus GF	W 4-1	59.5	1747	1694	36.87%	26.39%	36.75%	+0.01	+10.2	6
2021-04-11	Nordsjaelland	L 3-4	73.9	1633	1655	41.24%	26.20%	32.56%	+0.18	-4.2	0
2021-04-11	@ Randers	W 4-3	73.9	1655	1633	32.56%	26.20%	41.24%	-0.18	+4.2	6
2021-04-12	Aalborg	D 2-2	73.7	1509	1617	29.48%	25.80%	44.73%	-0.36	+0.3	2
2021-04-12	@ Lyngby	D 2-2	73.7	1617	1509	44.73%	25.80%	29.48%	+0.36	-0.3	4
2021-04-16	Aalborg	D 1-1	68.3	1553	1617	35.23%	26.36%	38.41%	-0.08	+0.1	5
2021-04-16	@ Vejle BK	D 1-1	68.3	1617	1553	38.41%	26.36%	35.23%	+0.08	-0.1	5
2021-04-18	Aarhus GF	D 2-2	78.4	1707	1684	47.43%	25.32%	27.25%	+0.46	-0.4	1
2021-04-18	@ Brondby	D 2-2	78.4	1684	1707	27.25%	25.32%	47.43%	-0.46	+0.4	1
2021-04-18	Lyngby	L 1-3	55.3	1504	1509	43.59%	25.95%	30.45%	+0.29	-8.2	4
2021-04-18	@ Horsens	W 3-1	55.3	1509	1504	30.45%	25.95%	43.59%	-0.29	+8.2	5
2021-04-18	Nordsjaelland	D 2-2	78.4	1705	1659	50.66%	24.58%	24.76%	+0.61	-0.5	7
2021-04-18	@ FC Copenhagen	D 2-2	78.4	1659	1705	24.76%	24.58%	50.66%	-0.61	+0.5	7
2021-04-18	Sonderjyske	D 1-1	68.5	1597	1562	49.21%	24.93%	25.85%	+0.55	-0.6	2
2021-04-18	@ Odense	D 1-1	68.5	1562	1597	25.85%	24.93%	49.21%	-0.55	+0.6	1
2021-04-19	Midtjylland	D 0-0	67.1	1629	1757	27.18%	25.31%	47.51%	-0.49	+0.6	1
2021-04-19	@ Randers	D 0-0	67.1	1757	1629	47.51%	25.31%	27.18%	+0.49	-0.5	7
2021-04-21	Brondby	L 0-3	53.7	1659	1706	37.63%	26.38%	35.99%	+0.03	-12.3	7
2021-04-21	@ Nordsjaelland	W 3-0	53.7	1706	1659	35.99%	26.38%	37.63%	-0.03	+12.3	4
2021-04-21	Odense	W 3-2	65.7	1617	1597	47.07%	25.39%	27.54%	+0.45	+3.1	8
2021-04-21	@ Aalborg	L 2-3	65.7	1597	1617	27.54%	25.39%	47.07%	-0.45	-3.1	2
2021-04-21	Sonderjyske	L 0-1	53.7	1517	1562	37.93%	26.37%	35.70%	+0.04	-4.5	5
2021-04-21	@ Lyngby	W 1-0	53.7	1562	1517	35.70%	26.37%	37.93%	-0.04	+4.5	4
2021-04-22	FC Copenhagen	W 4-1	55.2	1757	1705	51.35%	24.39%	24.26%	+0.65	+7.2	10
2021-04-22	@ Midtjylland	L 1-4	55.2	1705	1757	24.26%	24.39%	51.35%	-0.65	-7.2	7
2021-04-22	Horsens	W 3-0	41.9	1553	1496	52.08%	24.19%	23.73%	+0.68	+8.4	8
2021-04-22	@ Vejle BK	L 0-3	41.9	1496	1553	23.73%	24.19%	52.08%	-0.68	-8.4	4
2021-04-22	Randers	W 2-0	50.2	1684	1629	51.76%	24.28%	23.96%	+0.67	+5.8	4
2021-04-22	@ Aarhus GF	L 0-2	50.2	1629	1684	23.96%	24.28%	51.76%	-0.67	-5.8	1
2021-04-25	Aalborg	W 1-0	57.4	1488	1620	26.76%	25.19%	48.05%	-0.51	+5.4	7
2021-04-25	@ Horsens	L 0-1	57.4	1620	1488	48.05%	25.19%	26.76%	+0.51	-5.4	8
2021-04-25	FC Copenhagen	L 1-2	67.4	1690	1698	43.22%	26.00%	30.78%	+0.27	-4.7	4
2021-04-25	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-1	67.4	1698	1690	30.78%	26.00%	43.22%	-0.27	+4.7	10
2021-04-25	Lyngby	W 2-0	44.8	1594	1513	55.14%	23.23%	21.63%	+0.83	+5.3	5
2021-04-25	@ Odense	L 0-2	44.8	1513	1594	21.63%	23.23%	55.14%	-0.83	-5.3	5
2021-04-25	Randers	W 2-0	49.0	1719	1624	56.94%	22.59%	20.47%	+0.92	+5.0	7
2021-04-25	@ Brondby	L 0-2	49.0	1624	1719	20.47%	22.59%	56.94%	-0.92	-5.0	1
2021-04-25	Vejle BK	W 1-0	52.5	1567	1562	44.99%	25.76%	29.26%	+0.35	+3.7	7
2021-04-25	@ Sonderjyske	L 0-1	52.5	1562	1567	29.26%	25.76%	44.99%	-0.35	-3.7	8
2021-04-26	Midtjylland	W 3-2	73.8	1647	1764	28.47%	25.60%	45.93%	-0.41	+4.7	10
2021-04-26	@ Nordsjaelland	L 2-3	73.8	1764	1647	45.93%	25.60%	28.47%	+0.41	-4.7	10
2021-04-30	Lyngby	W 4-0	42.9	1615	1508	58.44%	22.02%	19.54%	+0.99	+9.0	11
2021-04-30	@ Aalborg	L 0-4	42.9	1508	1615	19.54%	22.02%	58.44%	-0.99	-9.0	5
2021-04-30	Vejle BK	D 3-3	75.0	1493	1558	35.06%	26.36%	38.59%	-0.09	+0.1	8
2021-04-30	@ Horsens	D 3-3	75.0	1558	1493	38.59%	26.36%	35.06%	+0.09	-0.0	9
2021-05-02	Brondby	W 4-2	67.5	1619	1724	29.88%	25.86%	44.26%	-0.34	+7.4	4
2021-05-02	@ Randers	L 2-4	67.5	1724	1619	44.26%	25.86%	29.88%	+0.34	-7.4	7
2021-05-02	Nordsjaelland	W 3-0	47.3	1759	1652	58.51%	22.00%	19.50%	+1.00	+6.9	13
2021-05-02	@ Midtjylland	L 0-3	47.3	1652	1759	19.50%	22.00%	58.51%	-1.00	-6.9	10
2021-05-02	Odense	W 2-0	51.0	1570	1599	40.25%	26.27%	33.48%	+0.14	+7.8	10
2021-05-02	@ Sonderjyske	L 0-2	51.0	1599	1570	33.48%	26.27%	40.25%	-0.14	-7.8	5
2021-05-03	Aarhus GF	W 3-2	68.2	1702	1685	46.66%	25.47%	27.87%	+0.43	+3.2	13
2021-05-03	@ FC Copenhagen	L 2-3	68.2	1685	1702	27.87%	25.47%	46.66%	-0.43	-3.2	4
2021-05-07	Aalborg	W 1-0	56.3	1591	1624	39.71%	26.31%	33.99%	+0.12	+4.2	8
2021-05-07	@ Odense	L 0-1	56.3	1624	1591	33.99%	26.31%	39.71%	-0.12	-4.2	11
2021-05-09	Aarhus GF	L 0-1	58.6	1626	1682	36.28%	26.38%	37.34%	-0.03	-4.4	4
2021-05-09	@ Randers	W 1-0	58.6	1682	1626	37.34%	26.38%	36.28%	+0.03	+4.4	7
2021-05-09	Horsens	L 3-4	66.6	1499	1493	45.06%	25.75%	29.20%	+0.36	-4.5	5
2021-05-09	@ Lyngby	W 4-3	66.6	1493	1499	29.20%	25.75%	45.06%	-0.36	+4.5	11
2021-05-09	Midtjylland	W 3-1	62.3	1716	1766	37.17%	26.38%	36.45%	+0.01	+7.2	10
2021-05-09	@ Brondby	L 1-3	62.3	1766	1716	36.45%	26.38%	37.17%	-0.01	-7.2	13
2021-05-09	Sonderjyske	W 4-2	60.2	1558	1578	41.44%	26.18%	32.37%	+0.19	+5.8	12
2021-05-09	@ Vejle BK	L 2-4	60.2	1578	1558	32.37%	26.18%	41.44%	-0.19	-5.9	10
2021-05-10	FC Copenhagen	D 2-2	77.8	1645	1706	35.64%	26.37%	37.98%	-0.06	+0.0	11
2021-05-10	@ Nordsjaelland	D 2-2	77.8	1706	1645	37.98%	26.37%	35.64%	+0.06	-0.0	14
2021-05-14	Odense	D 2-2	74.5	1564	1595	39.82%	26.30%	33.88%	+0.12	-0.1	13
2021-05-14	@ Vejle BK	D 2-2	74.5	1595	1564	33.88%	26.30%	39.82%	-0.12	+0.1	9
2021-05-16	Brondby	W 2-1	64.4	1706	1723	41.80%	26.15%	32.05%	+0.21	+3.8	17
2021-05-16	@ FC Copenhagen	L 1-2	64.4	1723	1706	32.05%	26.15%	41.80%	-0.21	-3.8	10
2021-05-16	Horsens	D 1-1	68.3	1619	1498	60.26%	21.29%	18.45%	+1.09	-1.1	12
2021-05-16	@ Aalborg	D 1-1	68.3	1498	1619	18.45%	21.29%	60.26%	-1.09	+1.1	12
2021-05-16	Nordsjaelland	W 3-1	57.4	1687	1645	50.01%	24.74%	25.25%	+0.58	+5.3	10
2021-05-16	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-3	57.4	1645	1687	25.25%	24.74%	50.01%	-0.58	-5.3	11
2021-05-16	Randers	D 1-1	73.4	1759	1622	62.13%	20.49%	17.39%	+1.18	-1.1	14
2021-05-16	@ Midtjylland	D 1-1	73.4	1622	1759	17.39%	20.49%	62.13%	-1.18	+1.1	5
2021-05-17	Lyngby	W 2-0	43.5	1572	1494	54.81%	23.34%	21.85%	+0.81	+5.3	13
2021-05-17	@ Sonderjyske	L 0-2	43.5	1494	1572	21.85%	23.34%	54.81%	-0.81	-5.3	5
2021-05-19	Midtjylland	W 4-2	66.1	1709	1758	37.39%	26.38%	36.23%	+0.02	+6.4	20
2021-05-19	@ FC Copenhagen	L 2-4	66.1	1758	1709	36.23%	26.38%	37.39%	-0.02	-6.4	14
2021-05-19	Randers	W 2-1	61.3	1640	1623	46.63%	25.48%	27.90%	+0.43	+3.3	14
2021-05-19	@ Nordsjaelland	L 1-2	61.3	1623	1640	27.90%	25.48%	46.63%	-0.43	-3.3	5
2021-05-19	Vejle BK	W 2-1	58.1	1618	1564	51.74%	24.29%	23.98%	+0.66	+2.9	15
2021-05-19	@ Aalborg	L 1-2	58.1	1564	1618	23.98%	24.29%	51.74%	-0.66	-2.9	13
2021-05-20	Brondby	L 1-2	66.8	1692	1720	40.39%	26.27%	33.34%	+0.15	-4.5	10
2021-05-20	@ Aarhus GF	W 2-1	66.8	1720	1692	33.34%	26.27%	40.39%	-0.15	+4.5	13
2021-05-20	Odense	L 1-2	57.4	1489	1595	29.66%	25.83%	44.51%	-0.35	-3.5	5
2021-05-20	@ Lyngby	W 2-1	57.4	1595	1489	44.51%	25.83%	29.66%	+0.35	+3.5	12
2021-05-20	Sonderjyske	L 1-2	58.3	1499	1578	33.16%	26.25%	40.59%	-0.18	-3.8	12
2021-05-20	@ Horsens	W 2-1	58.3	1578	1499	40.59%	26.25%	33.16%	+0.18	+3.9	16
2021-05-24	Aalborg	L 0-4	52.0	1581	1621	38.64%	26.35%	35.00%	+0.07	-16.4	16
2021-05-24	@ Sonderjyske	W 4-0	52.0	1621	1581	35.00%	26.35%	38.64%	-0.07	+16.4	18
2021-05-24	Aarhus GF	W 4-0	49.5	1752	1687	52.97%	23.93%	23.10%	+0.72	+10.7	17
2021-05-24	@ Midtjylland	L 0-4	49.5	1687	1752	23.10%	23.93%	52.97%	-0.72	-10.7	10
2021-05-24	FC Copenhagen	W 2-1	66.9	1619	1716	30.93%	26.02%	43.05%	-0.28	+4.7	8
2021-05-24	@ Randers	L 1-2	66.9	1716	1619	43.05%	26.02%	30.93%	+0.28	-4.7	20
2021-05-24	Horsens	W 4-0	42.1	1599	1495	58.09%	22.16%	19.75%	+0.98	+9.1	15
2021-05-24	@ Odense	L 0-4	42.1	1495	1599	19.75%	22.16%	58.09%	-0.98	-9.1	12
2021-05-24	Lyngby	D 2-2	71.7	1561	1485	54.47%	23.45%	22.08%	+0.80	-0.6	14
2021-05-24	@ Vejle BK	D 2-2	71.7	1485	1561	22.08%	23.45%	54.47%	-0.80	+0.6	6
2021-05-24	Nordsjaelland	W 2-0	49.8	1724	1643	55.17%	23.22%	21.61%	+0.83	+5.3	16
2021-05-24	@ Brondby	L 0-2	49.8	1643	1724	21.61%	23.22%	55.17%	-0.83	-5.3	14

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2021-05-28	Aalborg	W 3-1	57.3	1677	1638	49.65%	24.83%	25.52%	+0.57	+5.3	1-0
2021-05-28	@ Aarhus GF	L 1-3	57.3	1638	1677	25.52%	24.83%	49.65%	-0.57	-5.4	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-02-04	16.29%	Sonderjyske	1591	2	@ Midtjylland	1745	1
2	2021-03-04	16.35%	@ Lyngby	1495	2	Midtjylland	1754	0
3	2021-03-07	17.95%	Lyngby	1508	2	@ Randers	1637	1
4	2021-02-03	18.60%	Lyngby	1484	1	@ Odense	1604	0
5	2021-03-01	19.77%	Lyngby	1481	4	@ Sonderjyske	1585	1
6	2021-03-03	22.16%	Nordsjaelland	1629	1	@ Aarhus GF	1703	0
7	2020-11-23	22.46%	Randers	1609	2	@ FC Copenhagen	1681	1
8	2021-04-11	22.75%	Horsens	1499	3	@ Sonderjyske	1567	2
9	2020-09-11	23.19%	@ Sonderjyske	1563	2	Midtjylland	1731	0
10	2020-10-18	23.71%	Aalborg	1633	2	@ FC Copenhagen	1690	1
11	2020-10-26	23.84%	Vejle BK	1582	3	@ Aalborg	1638	1
12	2021-04-09	23.88%	Vejle BK	1547	1	@ Odense	1603	0
13	2021-03-07	25.04%	Aarhus GF	1697	1	@ Midtjylland	1741	0
14	2021-02-07	25.16%	Vejle BK	1555	1	@ Sonderjyske	1597	0
15	2021-02-07	25.26%	Odense	1597	2	@ Nordsjaelland	1639	0
16	2021-03-21	26.30%	Odense	1593	2	@ Aalborg	1625	0
17	2020-10-04	26.67%	Vejle BK	1574	1	@ Odense	1602	0
18	2021-04-25	26.76%	@ Horsens	1488	1	Aalborg	1620	0
19	2020-10-25	27.27%	Sonderjyske	1583	2	@ Randers	1605	1
20	2020-10-18	27.47%	@ Sonderjyske	1573	2	Brondby	1699	0
21	2021-04-11	27.71%	FC Copenhagen	1697	3	@ Brondby	1715	1
22	2021-04-26	28.47%	@ Nordsjaelland	1647	3	Midtjylland	1764	2
23	2021-03-03	28.75%	@ Horsens	1503	2	Aalborg	1618	1
24	2020-10-25	28.80%	FC Copenhagen	1685	1	@ Aarhus GF	1694	0
25	2021-05-09	29.20%	Horsens	1493	4	@ Lyngby	1499	3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-05-24	16.40	Aalborg	4	1621	35.00%	@ Sonderjyske	0	1581	38.64%	26.35%
2	2021-03-01	14.52	Lyngby	4	1481	19.77%	@ Sonderjyske	1	1585	58.06%	22.17%
3	2020-10-30	13.63	Randers	3	1600	30.91%	@ Vejle BK	0	1592	43.07%	26.02%
4	2021-03-04	12.78	@ Lyngby	2	1495	16.35%	Midtjylland	0	1754	64.02%	19.63%
5	2021-04-21	12.31	Brondby	3	1706	35.99%	@ Nordsjaelland	0	1659	37.63%	26.38%
6	2020-09-13	12.24	Randers	3	1603	36.26%	@ Horsens	0	1554	37.36%	26.38%
7	2020-11-08	12.24	@ Midtjylland	4	1720	48.10%	FC Copenhagen	0	1693	26.72%	25.18%
8	2020-11-08	11.90	Sonderjyske	3	1588	37.69%	@ Horsens	0	1529	35.94%	26.38%
9	2020-10-31	11.38	@ Nordsjaelland	4	1639	31.40%	Midtjylland	1	1732	42.52%	26.08%
10	2020-10-23	11.28	Odense	3	1593	40.23%	@ Lyngby	0	1516	33.50%	26.28%
11	2020-09-11	11.02	@ Sonderjyske	2	1563	23.19%	Midtjylland	0	1731	52.84%	23.96%
12	2021-05-24	10.70	@ Midtjylland	4	1752	52.97%	Aarhus GF	0	1687	23.10%	23.93%
13	2021-02-07	10.54	Odense	2	1597	25.26%	@ Nordsjaelland	0	1639	49.99%	24.75%
14	2021-03-21	10.32	Odense	2	1593	26.30%	@ Aalborg	0	1625	48.63%	25.07%
15	2021-03-14	10.29	Brondby	3	1709	44.32%	@ Odense	0	1603	29.82%	25.85%
16	2021-04-11	10.20	Midtjylland	4	1747	36.87%	@ Aarhus GF	1	1694	36.75%	26.39%
17	2020-10-18	10.07	@ Sonderjyske	2	1573	27.47%	Brondby	0	1699	47.15%	25.38%
18	2021-03-12	9.80	Nordsjaelland	3	1634	46.30%	@ Lyngby	0	1514	28.16%	25.54%
19	2020-12-06	9.70	Randers	3	1618	46.72%	@ Lyngby	0	1496	27.82%	25.46%
20	2020-10-26	9.41	Vejle BK	3	1582	23.84%	@ Aalborg	1	1638	51.93%	24.23%
21	2021-02-14	9.13	Brondby	4	1698	58.10%	@ Lyngby	0	1489	19.75%	22.16%
22	2021-05-24	9.13	@ Odense	4	1599	58.09%	Horsens	0	1495	19.75%	22.16%
23	2021-04-30	9.03	@ Aalborg	4	1615	58.44%	Lyngby	0	1508	19.54%	22.02%
24	2020-09-20	8.95	@ Vejle BK	4	1565	43.00%	Sonderjyske	1	1574	30.97%	26.03%
25	2021-04-11	8.68	FC Copenhagen	3	1697	27.71%	@ Brondby	1	1715	46.86%	25.43%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-02-28	82.3	@ FC Copenhagen	3	1700	43.87%	Aarhus GF	3	1703	30.22%	25.92%
2	2021-04-18	78.4	@ Brondby	2	1707	47.43%	Aarhus GF	2	1684	27.25%	25.32%
3	2021-04-18	78.4	@ FC Copenhagen	2	1705	50.66%	Nordsjaelland	2	1659	24.76%	24.58%
4	2021-05-10	77.8	@ Nordsjaelland	2	1645	35.64%	FC Copenhagen	2	1706	37.98%	26.37%
5	2020-10-04	77.6	@ Horsens	2	1537	21.52%	Midtjylland	2	1724	55.31%	23.17%
6	2020-09-27	76.9	@ Vejle BK	2	1574	28.79%	FC Copenhagen	2	1688	45.54%	25.67%
7	2021-02-28	76.6	@ Nordsjaelland	2	1629	45.84%	Aalborg	2	1618	28.54%	25.62%
8	2021-02-22	76.4	@ Lyngby	2	1480	18.89%	FC Copenhagen	2	1701	59.51%	21.60%
9	2021-03-07	75.6	@ Nordsjaelland	2	1635	60.78%	Horsens	2	1508	18.15%	21.07%
10	2021-02-14	75.2	@ Vejle BK	2	1560	34.59%	Nordsjaelland	2	1629	39.08%	26.34%
11	2021-04-30	75.0	@ Horsens	3	1493	35.06%	Vejle BK	3	1558	38.59%	26.36%
12	2021-05-14	74.5	@ Vejle BK	2	1564	39.82%	Odense	2	1595	33.88%	26.30%
13	2021-04-11	73.9	Nordsjaelland	4	1655	32.56%	@ Randers	3	1633	41.24%	26.20%
14	2021-04-26	73.8	@ Nordsjaelland	3	1647	28.47%	Midtjylland	2	1764	45.93%	25.60%
15	2021-04-12	73.7	@ Lyngby	2	1509	29.48%	Aalborg	2	1617	44.73%	25.80%
16	2021-05-16	73.4	@ Midtjylland	1	1759	62.13%	Randers	1	1622	17.39%	20.49%
17	2020-10-04	72.4	@ Lyngby	2	1519	36.66%	Sonderjyske	2	1573	36.96%	26.38%
18	2021-03-21	72.2	@ Brondby	1	1719	46.66%	Aarhus GF	1	1702	27.87%	25.47%
19	2020-09-13	72.0	@ Odense	3	1602	31.06%	FC Copenhagen	2	1697	42.90%	26.04%
20	2021-03-15	72.0	@ Aarhus GF	1	1703	54.01%	Randers	1	1631	22.39%	23.60%
21	2020-10-24	71.9	Midtjylland	3	1728	34.91%	@ Brondby	2	1688	38.74%	26.35%
22	2021-02-07	71.9	@ Brondby	1	1699	54.42%	Aalborg	1	1624	22.11%	23.47%
23	2020-12-14	71.7	@ Odense	1	1602	26.07%	Midtjylland	1	1741	48.93%	25.00%
24	2020-12-20	71.7	@ FC Copenhagen	1	1690	55.94%	Odense	1	1603	21.11%	22.95%
25	2021-05-24	71.7	@ Vejle BK	2	1561	54.47%	Lyngby	2	1485	22.08%	23.45%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-04-22	41.9	@ Vejle BK	3	1553	52.08%	Horsens	0	1496	23.73%	24.19%
2	2021-05-24	42.1	@ Odense	4	1599	58.09%	Horsens	0	1495	19.75%	22.16%
3	2021-02-02	42.8	@ Randers	3	1637	60.25%	Horsens	0	1515	18.46%	21.29%
4	2021-04-30	42.9	@ Aalborg	4	1615	58.44%	Lyngby	0	1508	19.54%	22.02%
5	2020-10-18	43.5	@ Aarhus GF	3	1688	63.65%	Horsens	0	1538	16.55%	19.80%
6	2021-05-17	43.5	@ Sonderjyske	2	1572	54.81%	Lyngby	0	1494	21.85%	23.34%
7	2021-03-14	44.6	@ Sonderjyske	2	1567	52.12%	Horsens	0	1509	23.71%	24.18%
8	2020-12-06	44.7	@ FC Copenhagen	2	1682	64.38%	Horsens	0	1525	16.15%	19.46%
9	2021-02-14	44.7	Brondby	4	1698	58.10%	@ Lyngby	0	1489	19.75%	22.16%
10	2021-04-25	44.8	@ Odense	2	1594	55.14%	Lyngby	0	1513	21.63%	23.23%
11	2021-03-21	45.1	@ Midtjylland	5	1736	67.04%	Vejle BK	0	1555	14.77%	18.19%
12	2020-12-06	45.7	Randers	3	1618	46.72%	@ Lyngby	0	1496	27.82%	25.46%
13	2021-02-07	46.7	@ Aarhus GF	1	1697	69.90%	Lyngby	0	1491	13.35%	16.75%
14	2020-11-30	46.9	@ Brondby	4	1692	68.39%	Lyngby	1	1500	14.10%	17.52%
15	2021-02-14	46.9	@ Midtjylland	1	1742	73.24%	Horsens	0	1504	11.77%	15.00%
16	2021-03-12	46.9	Nordsjaelland	3	1634	46.30%	@ Lyngby	0	1514	28.16%	25.54%
17	2021-05-02	47.3	@ Midtjylland	3	1759	58.51%	Nordsjaelland	0	1652	19.50%	22.00%
18	2021-02-07	47.4	FC Copenhagen	2	1693	54.90%	@ Horsens	0	1509	21.79%	23.31%
19	2020-10-23	47.5	Odense	3	1593	40.23%	@ Lyngby	0	1516	33.50%	26.28%
20	2021-02-21	47.8	@ Aarhus GF	2	1698	58.69%	Sonderjyske	0	1589	19.39%	21.93%
21	2020-09-19	48.3	@ Midtjylland	1	1720	68.52%	Lyngby	0	1527	14.03%	17.45%
22	2020-11-08	48.6	Sonderjyske	3	1588	37.69%	@ Horsens	0	1529	35.94%	26.38%
23	2020-12-20	48.7	@ Aarhus GF	3	1689	51.48%	Aalborg	0	1636	24.16%	24.36%
24	2020-09-28	49.0	@ Nordsjaelland	4	1633	58.58%	Lyngby	1	1525	19.45%	21.97%
25	2021-04-25	49.0	@ Brondby	2	1719	56.94%	Randers	0	1624	20.47%	22.59%