Home / Leagues / England / Football League Championship / 2011-12
‹ ›

2011-12 Football League Championship Season

552 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Reading

89 pts

Southampton · 88 pts

West Ham · via playoff

Relegated

Doncaster Rovers

36 pts

Portsmouth · 40 pts

Coventry City · 40 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Southampton

12.94 points above expected

88 points · 75.06 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Portsmouth

10.42 points below expected

40 points · 50.42 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Reading Promoted 46 27 8 11 89 69 41 +28 77.30 +11.70
2 Southampton Promoted 46 26 10 10 88 85 46 +39 75.06 +12.94
3 West Ham Promoted 46 24 14 8 86 81 48 +33 82.87 +3.13
4 Birmingham City 46 20 16 10 76 78 51 +27 79.21 -3.21
5 Blackpool 46 20 15 11 75 79 59 +20 75.67 -0.67
6 Cardiff City 46 19 18 9 75 66 53 +13 75.07 -0.07
7 Middlesbrough 46 18 16 12 70 52 51 +1 70.18 -0.18
8 Hull City 46 19 11 16 68 47 44 +3 65.93 +2.07
9 Leicester City 46 18 12 16 66 66 55 +11 70.21 -4.21
10 Brighton 46 17 15 14 66 52 52 0 60.19 +5.81
11 Watford 46 16 16 14 64 56 64 -8 58.47 +5.53
12 Derby County 46 18 10 18 64 50 58 -8 55.68 +8.32
13 Burnley 46 17 11 18 62 61 58 +3 65.22 -3.22
14 Leeds United 46 17 10 19 61 65 68 -3 65.88 -4.88
15 Ipswich Town 46 17 10 19 61 69 77 -8 58.68 +2.32
16 Millwall 46 15 12 19 57 55 57 -2 59.23 -2.23
17 Crystal Palace 46 13 17 16 56 46 51 -5 57.44 -1.44
18 Peterborough United 46 13 11 22 50 67 77 -10 54.25 -4.25
19 Nottingham Forest 46 14 8 24 50 48 63 -15 55.73 -5.73
20 Bristol City 46 12 13 21 49 44 68 -24 51.85 -2.85
21 Barnsley 46 13 9 24 48 49 74 -25 52.97 -4.97
22 Portsmouth* Relegated 46 13 11 22 40 50 59 -9 50.42 -10.42
23 Coventry City Relegated 46 9 13 24 40 41 65 -24 49.19 -9.19
24 Doncaster Rovers Relegated 46 8 12 26 36 43 80 -37 42.25 -6.25

* Point deductions: Portsmouth (-10 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Southampton 88 75.06 +12.94
2 Reading 89 77.30 +11.70
3 Derby County 64 55.68 +8.32
4 Brighton 66 60.19 +5.81
5 Watford 64 58.47 +5.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Portsmouth 40 50.42 -10.42
2 Coventry City 40 49.19 -9.19
3 Doncaster Rovers 36 42.25 -6.25
4 Nottingham Forest 50 55.73 -5.73
5 Barnsley 48 52.97 -4.97

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ipswich Town 4 Jan 31 – Feb 18 1 in 224
2 Millwall 5 Apr 7 – Apr 21 1 in 204
3 Reading 8 Jan 28 – Mar 10 1 in 156
4 Derby County 4 Aug 6 – Aug 20 1 in 131
5 Bristol City 3 Nov 5 – Nov 26 1 in 57

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ipswich Town 7 Oct 22 – Dec 3 1 in 1,265
2 Hull City 5 Mar 20 – Apr 7 1 in 251
3 Reading 4 Aug 16 – Sep 10 1 in 250
4 Derby County 5 Nov 2 – Nov 29 1 in 80
5 Burnley 4 Nov 1 – Nov 22 1 in 51

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bristol City 8 Mar 24 – Apr 28 1 in 459
2 Brighton 12 Jan 2 – Mar 10 1 in 279
3 Hull City 11 Jan 14 – Mar 17 1 in 138
4 Coventry City 7 Mar 6 – Apr 7 1 in 131
5 Crystal Palace 10 Jan 31 – Mar 20 1 in 123

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Millwall 10 Aug 17 – Oct 18 1 in 100
2 West Ham 5 Mar 7 – Mar 24 1 in 75
3 Portsmouth 9 Feb 7 – Mar 17 1 in 56
4 Bristol City 10 Aug 20 – Oct 23 1 in 53
5 Crystal Palace 9 Mar 24 – Apr 28 1 in 50

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Reading 1894 89 +5 10 8.8 +1.2
Southampton 1849 88 +8 9 8.9 +0.1
West Ham 1895 86 +28 11 9.3 +1.7
Birmingham City 1878 76 +10 7 8.3 -1.3
Cardiff City 1795 75 +17 11 8.9 +2.1
Blackpool 1854 75 +18 9 9.3 -0.3
Middlesbrough 1735 70 +1 7 6.9 +0.1
Hull City 1747 68 +15 10 7.2 +2.8
Leicester City 1787 66 -1 7 7.1 -0.1
Brighton 1727 66 -26 3 6.1 -3.1
Watford 1727 64 +7 7 6.6 +0.4
Derby County 1693 64 +8 7 6.2 +0.8
Burnley 1747 62 -15 6 7.7 -1.7
Ipswich Town 1712 61 -23 5 6.9 -1.9
Leeds United 1706 61 -14 4 6.4 -2.4
Millwall 1759 57 +45 13 6.3 +6.7
Crystal Palace 1682 56 -20 2 5.3 -3.3
Nottingham Forest 1715 50 +12 7 5.6 +1.4
Portsmouth 1685 50 -17 6 7.6 -1.6
Peterborough United 1649 50 -27 2 5.7 -3.7
Bristol City 1650 49 +28 9 5.0 +4.0
Barnsley 1612 48 -20 2 4.6 -2.6
Coventry City 1630 40 -46 1 6.0 -5.0
Doncaster Rovers 1589 36 +6 4 4.7 -0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAR BC BLA BRI BC BUR CC CC CP DC DR HC IT LU LC MID MIL NF PU POR REA SOU WAT WH
Barnsley —
0-1-1
1.71
0-1-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.52
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.68
2-0-0
2.31
1-1-0
2.23
0-0-2
2.14
0-1-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.53
2-0-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
1.59
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.53
Birmingham City
1-1-0
3.82
 —
1-1-0
2.71
0-2-0
3.76
1-1-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.48
0-1-1
3.05
1-1-0
3.99
1-0-1
3.69
0-1-1
3.86
2-0-0
4.24
0-1-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.72
0-2-0
3.65
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
3.27
1-1-0
3.63
0-2-0
2.52
Blackpool
1-1-0
3.81
0-1-1
2.78
 —
1-1-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
2.77
1-1-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.50
0-0-2
3.70
2-0-0
4.07
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.72
2-0-0
3.21
0-1-1
3.06
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.33
0-1-1
3.51
1-0-1
3.82
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.47
1-1-0
3.50
0-0-2
2.72
Brighton
1-1-0
3.18
0-2-0
1.76
0-1-1
2.22
 —
2-0-0
2.81
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
3.10
0-1-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.27
0-2-0
2.38
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.53
0-2-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.12
2-0-0
2.79
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
1.79
0-1-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.78
Bristol City
2-0-0
2.61
0-1-1
1.49
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
2.67
 —
1-1-0
2.12
0-0-2
1.85
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.39
2-0-0
1.89
0-1-1
1.97
2-0-0
2.32
1-1-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.60
0-2-0
2.32
0-0-2
1.98
2-0-0
1.68
0-1-1
2.45
0-2-0
1.29
Burnley
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
2.03
1-0-1
2.26
2-0-0
2.85
0-1-1
3.39
 —
0-2-0
2.48
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.84
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.76
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.08
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
3.08
1-1-0
1.81
Cardiff City
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.66
0-2-0
3.00
 —
0-2-0
3.83
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.31
1-1-0
3.97
0-0-2
2.99
0-1-1
3.43
0-2-0
3.11
0-1-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.94
0-2-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.69
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
3.20
2-0-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.97
0-2-0
3.43
1-0-1
2.44
Coventry City
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
1.55
0-1-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.23
0-2-0
1.69
 —
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
1.92
0-0-2
2.66
1-1-0
2.01
0-0-2
2.08
1-1-0
1.90
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.11
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.55
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
1.40
Crystal Palace
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.01
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.08
1-1-0
3.14
 —
0-1-1
3.14
0-1-1
3.44
1-1-0
2.36
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.51
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
2.15
1-1-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.73
0-2-0
1.88
0-0-2
1.86
2-0-0
2.69
0-2-0
1.82
Derby County
0-1-1
2.98
1-1-0
1.69
2-0-0
1.81
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
2.96
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
3.09
1-1-0
2.35
 —
2-0-0
3.17
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.22
0-0-2
2.29
0-0-2
2.40
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.56
0-1-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
1.52
Doncaster Rovers
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
1.48
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.69
0-1-1
1.57
1-1-0
2.26
1-1-0
2.08
0-0-2
2.32
 —
0-2-0
1.89
1-0-1
1.97
0-0-2
1.97
1-0-1
1.61
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.06
1-0-1
2.18
1-1-0
2.26
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
1.48
1-0-1
1.29
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
1.64
Hull City
1-0-1
3.40
1-1-0
2.12
0-1-1
2.33
0-2-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.29
0-0-2
2.98
2-0-0
2.50
1-0-1
3.59
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.19
0-2-0
3.63
 —
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.17
0-0-2
2.30
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
1.89
Ipswich Town
2-0-0
2.83
0-1-1
1.72
0-1-1
1.80
1-0-1
2.75
2-0-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.07
2-0-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.54
0-1-1
2.59
 —
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.24
0-2-0
2.34
0-0-2
2.69
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
2.49
0-0-2
1.94
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.75
2-0-0
1.55
Leeds United
0-0-2
3.18
0-0-2
2.09
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
2.73
0-2-0
2.39
0-1-1
3.49
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
3.27
2-0-0
3.55
1-1-0
2.50
1-0-1
3.23
 —
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
2.83
0-0-2
2.12
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
3.14
0-2-0
2.03
Leicester City
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
3.08
0-0-2
3.61
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.43
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.94
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.16
 —
0-2-0
2.67
0-0-2
3.31
0-2-0
3.01
0-1-1
3.54
0-2-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.33
2-0-0
2.53
1-0-1
3.31
0-0-2
2.00
Middlesbrough
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.66
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.55
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
3.62
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.89
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.01
0-2-0
2.83
 —
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
3.51
0-2-0
3.49
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.04
Millwall
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-2
2.14
0-1-1
2.16
0-2-0
2.58
0-0-2
3.18
1-0-1
2.30
0-2-0
2.14
2-0-0
3.27
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.80
0-0-2
2.57
2-0-0
2.19
0-1-1
2.09
 —
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.72
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
2.16
0-0-2
2.79
0-1-1
1.86
Nottingham Forest
0-2-0
2.98
1-0-1
1.84
1-1-0
1.99
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
3.06
0-0-2
2.40
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
2.85
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
2.53
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.35
0-2-0
2.50
1-0-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.68
 —
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
2.28
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
1.97
Peterborough United
0-0-2
2.85
0-2-0
1.87
1-0-1
1.71
0-0-2
2.69
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.25
1-0-1
1.96
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.55
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
3.24
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
1.96
0-2-0
2.01
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.71
 —
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
1.65
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
2.54
0-0-2
1.61
Portsmouth
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
1.71
1-1-0
2.16
0-0-2
2.84
0-2-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
3.39
1-1-0
2.76
0-0-2
2.92
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
3.01
0-1-1
2.66
0-2-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
2.76
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.11
 —
1-0-1
1.97
0-2-0
2.00
1-0-1
3.08
0-0-2
2.00
Reading
1-0-1
3.94
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.11
0-0-2
2.69
1-1-0
3.71
0-2-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.53
1-1-0
4.07
0-0-2
3.32
2-0-0
3.58
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.63
1-0-1
3.88
1-0-1
3.55
 —
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
3.52
2-0-0
2.40
Southampton
2-0-0
3.41
1-1-0
2.23
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.73
0-0-2
3.85
1-1-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
4.31
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.16
2-0-0
3.03
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
3.22
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.88
0-2-0
3.52
0-1-1
2.60
 —
2-0-0
3.42
1-1-0
2.36
Watford
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
1.89
0-1-1
2.01
1-1-0
2.65
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.41
0-2-0
2.07
0-2-0
3.03
0-0-2
2.80
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.39
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.35
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.96
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.98
0-0-2
2.08
 —
0-1-1
1.94
West Ham
2-0-0
4.02
0-2-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.77
2-0-0
3.74
0-2-0
4.29
0-1-1
3.71
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
4.17
0-2-0
3.70
1-0-1
4.04
1-1-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.63
0-0-2
3.99
0-2-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
3.50
0-0-2
3.08
0-1-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.59
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +8.6
Allowed 0.54 -10.1
Differential 0.86 +7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.43%9.51%6.43%3.26%1.18%0.36%28.17%
19.51%13.22%7.16%3.89%0.91%0.36%35.05%
26.43%7.16%5.80%2.54%0.18%0.09%22.19%
33.26%3.89%2.54%0.54%0.36%0.27%10.87%
41.18%0.91%0.18%0.36%——2.63%
5+0.36%0.36%0.09%0.27%——1.09%
Total28.17%35.05%22.19%10.87%2.63%1.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.15 1.15 1.67
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 552

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%13.04%15.22%—4.35%—39.13%
12.17%13.04%4.35%10.87%——30.43%
28.70%10.87%————19.57%
3——2.17%——4.35%6.52%
4—2.17%—2.17%——4.35%
5+———————
Total17.39%39.13%21.74%13.04%4.35%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.61 -0.54
SD 1.12 1.29 1.60
CV 1.05 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%6.52%————13.04%
16.52%17.39%6.52%4.35%4.35%—39.13%
26.52%6.52%8.70%———21.74%
38.70%10.87%—2.17%——21.74%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total30.43%43.48%15.22%6.52%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.11 +0.59
SD 1.23 1.06 1.73
CV 0.72 0.96 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%4.35%2.17%2.17%2.17%—15.22%
18.70%10.87%4.35%6.52%2.17%—32.61%
24.35%8.70%15.22%———28.26%
34.35%10.87%—2.17%——17.39%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+4.35%—————4.35%
Total28.26%34.78%21.74%10.87%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 1.28 +0.43
SD 1.24 1.13 1.92
CV 0.72 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%15.22%2.17%4.35%—2.17%32.61%
110.87%13.04%—6.52%——30.43%
210.87%8.70%8.70%———28.26%
34.35%2.17%—2.17%——8.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.78%39.13%10.87%13.04%—2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.13 +0.00
SD 0.98 1.24 1.69
CV 0.87 1.10 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%10.87%6.52%10.87%—2.17%39.13%
16.52%13.04%8.70%4.35%——32.61%
24.35%8.70%6.52%2.17%——21.74%
3—4.35%2.17%———6.52%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.57%36.96%23.91%17.39%—2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.48 -0.52
SD 0.94 1.13 1.57
CV 0.98 0.76 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%8.70%8.70%—2.17%—26.09%
18.70%13.04%8.70%8.70%——39.13%
26.52%8.70%4.35%2.17%——21.74%
32.17%2.17%2.17%———6.52%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+—4.35%————4.35%
Total26.09%36.96%23.91%10.87%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.26 +0.07
SD 1.25 1.04 1.76
CV 0.94 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%—2.17%4.35%——17.39%
110.87%21.74%4.35%4.35%——41.30%
28.70%8.70%6.52%2.17%——26.09%
32.17%6.52%2.17%—2.17%—13.04%
4———————
5+———2.17%——2.17%
Total32.61%36.96%15.22%13.04%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.15 +0.28
SD 1.07 1.09 1.34
CV 0.74 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%15.22%10.87%4.35%2.17%—36.96%
16.52%17.39%13.04%2.17%——39.13%
28.70%2.17%6.52%2.17%2.17%—21.74%
3—2.17%————2.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.57%36.96%30.43%8.70%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.41 -0.52
SD 0.82 1.05 1.39
CV 0.92 0.74 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%4.35%6.52%4.35%——28.26%
117.39%17.39%13.04%2.17%——50.00%
24.35%2.17%6.52%4.35%——17.39%
3—2.17%————2.17%
42.17%—————2.17%
5+———————
Total36.96%26.09%26.09%10.87%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.11 -0.11
SD 0.87 1.04 1.34
CV 0.87 0.94 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%10.87%10.87%2.17%4.35%—34.78%
113.04%10.87%4.35%2.17%——30.43%
22.17%15.22%4.35%4.35%——26.09%
34.35%2.17%2.17%———8.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.09%39.13%21.74%8.70%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.26 -0.17
SD 0.98 1.08 1.58
CV 0.91 0.86 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%4.35%8.70%8.70%2.17%—32.61%
14.35%17.39%13.04%8.70%2.17%—45.65%
24.35%6.52%—6.52%——17.39%
3——2.17%—2.17%—4.35%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.39%28.26%23.91%23.91%6.52%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.74 -0.80
SD 0.83 1.20 1.41
CV 0.89 0.69 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%10.87%10.87%———34.78%
117.39%8.70%8.70%—2.17%—36.96%
24.35%10.87%2.17%2.17%——19.57%
34.35%2.17%2.17%———8.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.13%32.61%23.91%2.17%2.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.02 0.96 +0.07
SD 0.95 0.97 1.36
CV 0.93 1.01 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%6.52%2.17%4.35%2.17%—19.57%
113.04%10.87%8.70%4.35%2.17%2.17%41.30%
2—2.17%6.52%6.52%—2.17%17.39%
38.70%2.17%6.52%———17.39%
4———————
5+—2.17%—2.17%——4.35%
Total26.09%23.91%23.91%17.39%4.35%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.67 -0.17
SD 1.24 1.52 1.99
CV 0.83 0.91 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%13.04%6.52%——2.17%26.09%
16.52%13.04%10.87%2.17%4.35%—36.96%
24.35%6.52%2.17%———13.04%
34.35%2.17%6.52%2.17%—2.17%17.39%
42.17%4.35%————6.52%
5+———————
Total21.74%39.13%26.09%4.35%4.35%4.35%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.48 -0.07
SD 1.24 1.41 1.88
CV 0.88 0.95 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%6.52%4.35%2.17%——21.74%
16.52%10.87%13.04%2.17%——32.61%
28.70%10.87%4.35%6.52%——30.43%
32.17%4.35%2.17%2.17%——10.87%
44.35%—————4.35%
5+———————
Total30.43%32.61%23.91%13.04%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.20 +0.24
SD 1.09 1.02 1.52
CV 0.76 0.86 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.87%—13.04%6.52%——30.43%
115.22%17.39%4.35%2.17%——39.13%
26.52%4.35%6.52%———17.39%
3—10.87%2.17%———13.04%
4———————
5+———————
Total32.61%32.61%26.09%8.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.11 +0.02
SD 1.00 0.97 1.48
CV 0.89 0.88 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.04%13.04%6.52%4.35%—2.17%39.13%
16.52%4.35%8.70%4.35%——23.91%
24.35%2.17%8.70%2.17%——17.39%
310.87%4.35%2.17%———17.39%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+———————
Total34.78%26.09%26.09%10.87%—2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.24 -0.04
SD 1.20 1.25 1.89
CV 1.01 1.01 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%21.74%4.35%4.35%2.17%—41.30%
18.70%6.52%10.87%2.17%2.17%2.17%32.61%
26.52%4.35%2.17%2.17%——15.22%
32.17%4.35%2.17%———8.70%
4———————
5+———2.17%——2.17%
Total26.09%36.96%19.57%10.87%4.35%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.37 -0.33
SD 1.32 1.24 1.73
CV 1.26 0.90 —
Max 7 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.04%4.35%4.35%——21.74%
16.52%17.39%8.70%4.35%2.17%—39.13%
2—6.52%6.52%8.70%——21.74%
32.17%4.35%4.35%—2.17%—13.04%
4———2.17%——2.17%
5+—2.17%————2.17%
Total8.70%43.48%23.91%19.57%4.35%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.67 -0.22
SD 1.33 1.03 1.62
CV 0.91 0.62 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%21.74%10.87%———41.30%
16.52%10.87%2.17%4.35%—2.17%26.09%
26.52%4.35%4.35%4.35%——19.57%
34.35%2.17%——2.17%—8.70%
4—2.17%—2.17%——4.35%
5+———————
Total26.09%41.30%17.39%10.87%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.28 -0.20
SD 1.17 1.17 1.53
CV 1.08 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.35%10.87%4.35%———19.57%
121.74%6.52%4.35%4.35%——36.96%
210.87%4.35%6.52%———21.74%
34.35%6.52%6.52%———17.39%
42.17%—2.17%———4.35%
5+———————
Total43.48%28.26%23.91%4.35%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.89 +0.61
SD 1.13 0.92 1.42
CV 0.75 1.04 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.17%4.35%4.35%4.35%——15.22%
18.70%15.22%4.35%2.17%——30.43%
213.04%4.35%4.35%2.17%——23.91%
38.70%4.35%4.35%———17.39%
46.52%2.17%2.17%———10.87%
5+——2.17%———2.17%
Total39.13%30.43%21.74%8.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.00 +0.85
SD 1.32 0.99 1.81
CV 0.71 0.99 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.70%6.52%8.70%4.35%6.52%—34.78%
12.17%15.22%2.17%———19.57%
210.87%13.04%10.87%2.17%——36.96%
3——6.52%———6.52%
4—2.17%————2.17%
5+———————
Total21.74%36.96%28.26%6.52%6.52%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.39 -0.17
SD 1.07 1.11 1.66
CV 0.88 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.52%6.52%—2.17%——15.22%
113.04%15.22%4.35%——2.17%34.78%
28.70%10.87%6.52%—2.17%—28.26%
3—2.17%2.17%2.17%——6.52%
46.52%4.35%—2.17%——13.04%
5+2.17%—————2.17%
Total36.96%39.13%13.04%6.52%2.17%2.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.04 +0.72
SD 1.37 1.15 1.80
CV 0.78 1.11 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 46

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
West Ham 1923 86 82.87 +3.13 68.0% 59 68 79 83 88 95 100
Reading 1894 89 77.30 +11.70 94.0% 51 65 71 77 83 90 99
Birmingham City 1871 76 79.21 -3.21 36.0% 61 64 72 79 84 92 98
Blackpool 1855 75 75.67 -0.67 55.0% 58 62 69 75 80 90 96
Southampton 1849 88 75.06 +12.94 94.0% 56 59 69 75 80 89 105
Leicester City 1787 66 70.21 -4.21 36.0% 45 54 63 70 76 88 93
Cardiff City 1773 75 75.07 -0.07 60.0% 56 61 68 73 80 92 96
Millwall 1759 57 59.23 -2.23 44.0% 44 46 54 59 64 71 76
Burnley 1747 62 65.22 -3.22 43.0% 44 50 60 64 71 84 93
Hull City 1747 68 65.93 +2.07 63.0% 47 50 60 65 71 81 89
Middlesbrough 1735 70 70.18 -0.18 52.0% 51 57 64 70 76 85 89
Brighton 1727 66 60.19 +5.81 74.0% 41 46 54 60 67 76 80
Watford 1727 64 58.47 +5.53 78.0% 35 41 53 59 63 75 76
Nottingham Forest 1715 50 55.73 -5.73 22.0% 38 40 51 56 62 68 71
Ipswich Town 1712 61 58.68 +2.32 61.0% 32 44 54 59 66 71 80
Leeds United 1706 61 65.88 -4.88 36.0% 42 54 60 66 72 79 87
Derby County 1693 64 55.68 +8.32 79.0% 33 39 50 55 62 69 76
Portsmouth 1685 40 50.42 -10.42 9.0% 34 39 45 51 55 62 65
Crystal Palace 1682 56 57.44 -1.44 50.0% 39 42 51 56 65 70 82
Bristol City 1650 49 51.85 -2.85 40.0% 36 39 45 52 58 67 73
Peterborough United 1649 50 54.25 -4.25 37.0% 37 40 48 53 60 68 71
Coventry City 1630 40 49.19 -9.19 15.0% 34 37 43 48 55 61 71
Barnsley 1612 48 52.97 -4.97 27.0% 33 37 48 54 58 66 77
Doncaster Rovers 1589 36 42.25 -6.25 23.0% 25 31 37 42 48 54 59

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 21.5% * Slight Edge: 21.5% to 28% * Clear Edge: 28% to 33.5% * Strong Edge: 33.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.50%
No Edge
42.75%26.99%30.25%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 43.66 Elo pts.
227 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.25 goals
Neutral
-2+0.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 4 * Top-Heavy: 4 to 5 * Open: 5 to 7 * Wide Open: 7 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 12th * Longshot: 13th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.07 * Comfortable: 0.07 to 0.16 * Runaway: 0.16 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.2
Open
145710
Champion Preseason Odds
8%
Reading, 6th of 24
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.02/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.83 * Some Luck: 6.83 to 10.24 * Lucky: 10.24 to 13.65 * Wild Swing: 13.65 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.83 * Close: 2.83 to 4.24 * Off: 4.24 to 5.66 * Way Off: 5.66 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 24 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 24 * As Expected: 24 to 38.4 * Several Outliers: 38.4 to 52.8 * Many Outliers: 52.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.48 * A Surprise: 1.48 to 2.37 * Several Surprises: 2.37 to 3.26 * Many Surprises: 3.26 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.91 points
As Expected
08.5321
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Pinpoint
03.548
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.92%
94.00%
Reading
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.08%
9.00%
Portsmouth
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 24
Minimal Outliers
02.412
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.53

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.1 * Even: 0.1 to 0.12 * Top-Heavy: 0.12 to 0.14 * Lopsided: 0.14 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 61% * Slight Edge: 61% to 63% * Clear Edge: 63% to 65.5% * Wide Edge: 65.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 80.5% * Clear Edge: 80.5% to 84.5% * Strong Edge: 84.5% to 87.5% * Dominant: 87.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 63% * Frequent: 63% to 67% * Very Frequent: 67% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13% * Occasional: 13% to 16% * Frequent: 16% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Top-Heavy
00.10.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 87.50
1.67
Strong Separation
11.41.82.5
Interquartile Edge
65%
Clear Edge
50%61%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.29 * Some Carryover: 0.29 to 0.43 * Strong Carryover: 0.43 to 0.55 * Near-Lock: 0.55 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 25.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 25.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Shaky Favorites: 21% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.310.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.50
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Near-Lock
00.290.430.551
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.11 * Above Noise: 0.11 to 0.14 * Well Above Noise: 0.14 and up.
Probability calibration
0.38
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.95
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.030
Well Within Noise
00.0700.2

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

West Ham 5
Cardiff City 0

Leg 1: Cardiff City 0-2 West Ham

Leg 2: West Ham 3-0 Cardiff City

Sim: 273.0%

Blackpool 3
Birmingham City 2

Leg 1: Blackpool 1-0 Birmingham City

Leg 2: Birmingham City 2-2 Blackpool

Sim: 243.0%

Finals

West Ham 2
Blackpool 1

Sim: 186.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718192021222324
Reading8.00%17.00%16.00%9.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%———1.00%————1.00%———
Southampton10.00%8.00%14.00%10.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%—6.00%—————————
West Ham30.00%23.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———1.00%—————————
Birmingham City17.00%13.00%19.00%15.00%6.00%11.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%———————————
Blackpool11.00%9.00%9.00%17.00%9.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%—2.00%—————————
Cardiff City10.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%11.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%————————
Middlesbrough3.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—————
Hull City2.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%
Leicester City4.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%13.00%6.00%10.00%9.00%2.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Brighton———5.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%—1.00%
Watford—1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%13.00%6.00%1.00%9.00%12.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%
Derby County————1.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%
Burnley4.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%—
Leeds United1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%4.00%11.00%5.00%12.00%7.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Ipswich Town————1.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%6.00%5.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%
Millwall————1.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%3.00%13.00%4.00%8.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%—
Crystal Palace———2.00%2.00%2.00%——7.00%8.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%—4.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%10.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%2.00%
Peterborough United————1.00%—1.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%10.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%12.00%2.00%
Nottingham Forest—————1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%3.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%
Bristol City—————1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%
Barnsley———1.00%——1.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%4.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%
Portsmouth—————————1.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%
Coventry City————1.00%—1.00%———3.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%13.00%
Doncaster Rovers——————————————2.00%—1.00%5.00%2.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%15.00%46.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Reading 25.00% 45.00% 30.00% —
Southampton 18.00% 42.00% 40.00% —
Middlesbrough 11.00% 24.00% 65.00% —
Leicester City 9.00% 31.00% 59.00% 1.00%
Burnley 6.00% 16.00% 76.00% 2.00%
Leeds United 3.00% 17.00% 79.00% 1.00%
Hull City 3.00% 21.00% 74.00% 2.00%
Birmingham City — 100% — —
Blackpool — 100% — —
Cardiff City — 100% — —
West Ham — 100% — —
Millwall — 4.00% 91.00% 5.00%
Brighton — 10.00% 83.00% 7.00%
Watford 1.00% 5.00% 83.00% 11.00%
Crystal Palace — 6.00% 83.00% 11.00%
Nottingham Forest — 1.00% 88.00% 11.00%
Ipswich Town — 2.00% 86.00% 12.00%
Derby County — 3.00% 84.00% 13.00%
Peterborough United — 1.00% 78.00% 21.00%
Barnsley — 1.00% 75.00% 24.00%
Bristol City — 1.00% 72.00% 27.00%
Portsmouth — — 64.00% 36.00%
Coventry City — 1.00% 56.00% 43.00%
Doncaster Rovers — — 27.00% 73.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
BarnsleyBirmingham CityBlackpoolBrightonBristol CityBurnleyCardiff CityCoventry CityCrystal PalaceDerby CountyDoncaster RoversHull CityIpswich TownLeeds UnitedLeicester CityMiddlesbroughMillwallNottingham ForestPeterborough UnitedPortsmouthReadingSouthamptonWatfordWest Ham
Barnsley13.0%23.00%40.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%5.00%35.3%17.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%14.3%7.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%4.00%33.3%12.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%19.00%9.5%21.00%0.0%1.00%9.1%11.00%
Birmingham City87.0%23.00%51.4%500.00%74.3%74.00%71.4%7.00%68.6%191.00%64.8%528.00%69.2%13.00%76.1%67.00%72.4%29.00%68.5%254.00%76.6%47.00%76.4%203.00%58.1%322.00%66.8%368.00%69.6%79.00%59.3%59.00%57.1%14.00%50.0%6.00%44.1%508.00%58.5%427.00%71.0%69.00%51.4%358.00%
Blackpool60.0%10.00%48.6%500.00%62.9%62.00%90.9%11.00%69.8%235.00%59.6%594.00%100.0%7.00%74.5%55.00%90.6%32.00%100.0%2.00%68.4%237.00%64.3%56.00%71.8%177.00%62.8%349.00%71.1%402.00%63.2%68.00%62.3%53.00%88.9%18.00%37.5%8.00%43.4%597.00%50.2%594.00%71.2%59.00%45.2%398.00%
Brighton100.0%1.00%25.7%74.00%37.1%62.00%0.0%1.00%43.3%30.00%39.5%81.00%100.0%6.00%0.0%1.00%39.3%28.00%50.0%6.00%75.0%16.00%37.7%53.00%39.5%43.00%25.0%8.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%15.7%89.00%24.7%77.00%50.0%2.00%29.0%69.00%
Bristol City28.6%7.00%9.1%11.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%8.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%28.6%7.00%12.5%8.00%0.0%6.00%
Burnley100.0%5.00%31.4%191.00%30.2%235.00%56.7%30.00%75.0%4.00%36.1%169.00%100.0%4.00%60.0%15.00%85.7%7.00%49.3%75.00%76.9%13.00%68.0%50.00%45.8%120.00%51.0%98.00%60.0%15.00%71.4%14.00%71.4%7.00%50.0%2.00%29.0%217.00%28.6%196.00%52.6%19.00%30.1%183.00%
Cardiff City64.7%17.00%35.2%528.00%40.4%594.00%60.5%81.00%50.0%8.00%63.9%169.00%100.0%4.00%69.0%58.00%81.2%32.00%59.3%177.00%65.9%41.00%67.5%151.00%47.1%325.00%63.4%331.00%54.9%71.00%76.5%34.00%66.7%6.00%50.0%10.00%36.2%552.00%39.4%523.00%55.9%59.00%35.8%425.00%
Coventry City30.8%13.00%0.0%7.00%0.0%4.00%0.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%14.3%7.00%14.3%7.00%
Crystal Palace50.0%2.00%23.9%67.00%25.5%55.00%0.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%40.0%15.00%31.0%58.00%33.3%3.00%47.4%19.00%25.0%8.00%33.3%12.00%33.3%33.00%24.1%29.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%14.8%54.00%24.1%58.00%25.0%4.00%22.4%58.00%
Derby County100.0%2.00%27.6%29.00%9.4%32.00%100.0%1.00%14.3%7.00%18.8%32.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%40.0%10.00%66.7%3.00%60.0%5.00%33.3%12.00%38.5%13.00%28.6%7.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%30.6%36.00%25.0%44.00%50.0%2.00%13.8%29.00%
Doncaster Rovers0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Hull City85.7%7.00%31.5%254.00%31.6%237.00%60.7%28.00%100.0%4.00%50.7%75.00%40.7%177.00%33.3%3.00%52.6%19.00%60.0%10.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%20.00%60.0%60.00%50.0%124.00%51.2%121.00%48.1%27.00%38.5%13.00%57.1%7.00%0.0%1.00%32.0%266.00%29.0%245.00%65.0%20.00%25.7%202.00%
Ipswich Town100.0%1.00%23.4%47.00%35.7%56.00%50.0%6.00%23.1%13.00%34.1%41.00%100.0%1.00%75.0%8.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%20.00%30.0%10.00%39.3%28.00%50.0%28.00%75.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%25.0%44.00%20.8%53.00%66.7%3.00%17.2%58.00%
Leeds United66.7%3.00%23.6%203.00%28.2%177.00%25.0%16.00%0.0%1.00%32.0%50.00%32.5%151.00%100.0%2.00%66.7%12.00%40.0%5.00%40.0%60.00%70.0%10.00%35.5%107.00%50.0%108.00%55.6%18.00%55.6%9.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%3.00%27.1%210.00%29.3%174.00%44.4%9.00%27.4%168.00%
Leicester City50.0%4.00%41.9%322.00%37.2%349.00%62.3%53.00%33.3%3.00%54.2%120.00%52.9%325.00%100.0%2.00%66.7%33.00%66.7%12.00%50.0%124.00%60.7%28.00%64.5%107.00%55.5%209.00%51.2%41.00%45.5%22.00%53.8%13.00%44.4%9.00%29.8%349.00%42.4%330.00%84.4%32.00%29.3%270.00%
Middlesbrough66.7%12.00%33.2%368.00%28.9%402.00%60.5%43.00%50.0%6.00%49.0%98.00%36.6%331.00%60.0%5.00%75.9%29.00%61.5%13.00%48.8%121.00%50.0%28.00%50.0%108.00%44.5%209.00%52.6%38.00%50.0%16.00%75.0%8.00%80.0%5.00%25.9%413.00%30.9%362.00%42.9%28.00%27.3%308.00%
Millwall100.0%2.00%30.4%79.00%36.8%68.00%75.0%8.00%40.0%15.00%45.1%71.00%66.7%3.00%71.4%7.00%51.9%27.00%25.0%4.00%44.4%18.00%48.8%41.00%47.4%38.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%23.9%88.00%34.2%79.00%72.7%11.00%39.4%66.00%
Nottingham Forest0.0%1.00%40.7%59.00%37.7%53.00%60.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%28.6%14.00%23.5%34.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%61.5%13.00%66.7%3.00%44.4%9.00%54.5%22.00%50.0%16.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%31.0%58.00%33.3%36.00%100.0%2.00%22.5%40.00%
Peterborough United42.9%14.00%11.1%18.00%28.6%7.00%33.3%6.00%100.0%1.00%42.9%7.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%46.2%13.00%25.0%8.00%22.2%18.00%16.7%12.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%17.00%
Portsmouth50.0%6.00%62.5%8.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%10.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%55.6%9.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%11.1%9.00%12.5%8.00%0.0%1.00%16.7%6.00%
Reading100.0%19.00%55.9%508.00%56.6%597.00%84.3%89.00%71.4%7.00%71.0%217.00%63.8%552.00%60.0%5.00%85.2%54.00%69.4%36.00%68.0%266.00%75.0%44.00%72.9%210.00%70.2%349.00%74.1%413.00%76.1%88.00%69.0%58.00%77.8%18.00%88.9%9.00%60.0%587.00%72.3%47.00%49.3%432.00%
Southampton90.5%21.00%41.5%427.00%49.8%594.00%75.3%77.00%87.5%8.00%71.4%196.00%60.6%523.00%85.7%7.00%75.9%58.00%75.0%44.00%71.0%245.00%79.2%53.00%70.7%174.00%57.6%330.00%69.1%362.00%65.8%79.00%66.7%36.00%83.3%12.00%87.5%8.00%40.0%587.00%60.6%66.00%42.9%438.00%
Watford100.0%1.00%29.0%69.00%28.8%59.00%50.0%2.00%47.4%19.00%44.1%59.00%75.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%35.0%20.00%33.3%3.00%55.6%9.00%15.6%32.00%57.1%28.00%27.3%11.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%27.7%47.00%39.4%66.00%16.3%43.00%
West Ham90.9%11.00%48.6%358.00%54.8%398.00%71.0%69.00%100.0%6.00%69.9%183.00%64.2%425.00%85.7%7.00%77.6%58.00%86.2%29.00%74.3%202.00%82.8%58.00%72.6%168.00%70.7%270.00%72.7%308.00%60.6%66.00%77.5%40.00%100.0%17.00%83.3%6.00%50.7%432.00%57.1%438.00%83.7%43.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
BarnsleyBirmingham CityBlackpoolBrightonBristol CityBurnleyCardiff CityCoventry CityCrystal PalaceDerby CountyHull CityIpswich TownLeeds UnitedLeicester CityMiddlesbroughMillwallNottingham ForestPeterborough UnitedPortsmouthReadingSouthamptonWatfordWest Ham
Barnsley20.0%5.00%20.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%
Birmingham City80.0%5.00%52.2%433.00%70.6%34.00%62.0%79.00%55.4%269.00%100.0%1.00%58.3%12.00%66.7%3.00%68.2%107.00%71.4%21.00%85.3%68.00%61.7%162.00%68.7%147.00%69.4%36.00%70.0%20.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%6.00%51.8%386.00%54.3%361.00%78.8%33.00%48.7%312.00%
Blackpool80.0%5.00%47.8%433.00%65.5%29.00%75.0%4.00%67.1%82.00%58.8%291.00%100.0%2.00%55.6%18.00%33.3%9.00%62.5%96.00%61.9%21.00%67.2%58.00%61.9%168.00%69.6%135.00%50.0%38.00%57.9%19.00%100.0%3.00%66.7%3.00%41.0%451.00%48.1%385.00%65.2%23.00%42.9%326.00%
Brighton29.4%34.00%34.5%29.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%38.9%18.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%23.1%13.00%44.4%9.00%0.0%1.00%47.2%36.00%20.0%30.00%41.4%29.00%
Bristol City25.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Burnley100.0%1.00%38.0%79.00%32.9%82.00%66.7%6.00%100.0%1.00%42.9%56.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%61.9%21.00%50.0%4.00%47.8%23.00%59.4%32.00%36.7%30.00%55.6%9.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%37.5%104.00%37.6%85.00%16.7%6.00%30.1%83.00%
Cardiff City0.0%1.00%44.6%269.00%41.2%291.00%61.1%18.00%100.0%2.00%57.1%56.00%100.0%1.00%57.1%14.00%71.4%7.00%50.0%64.00%55.6%9.00%63.5%52.00%49.6%133.00%61.0%105.00%63.2%19.00%76.9%13.00%66.7%3.00%66.7%3.00%32.6%356.00%42.6%256.00%73.9%23.00%36.2%235.00%
Coventry City0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Crystal Palace41.7%12.00%44.4%18.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%42.9%14.00%100.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%3.00%30.0%10.00%60.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%35.0%20.00%33.3%21.00%100.0%1.00%16.7%12.00%
Derby County33.3%3.00%66.7%9.00%0.0%1.00%28.6%7.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%15.00%42.9%7.00%15.4%13.00%
Hull City31.8%107.00%37.5%96.00%50.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%38.1%21.00%50.0%64.00%100.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%4.00%47.6%21.00%51.3%39.00%51.6%31.00%28.6%7.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%27.9%129.00%34.5%87.00%100.0%1.00%32.3%93.00%
Ipswich Town100.0%1.00%28.6%21.00%38.1%21.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%44.4%9.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%4.00%42.9%7.00%100.0%6.00%100.0%1.00%29.2%24.00%43.8%16.00%41.2%17.00%
Leeds United14.7%68.00%32.8%58.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%52.2%23.00%36.5%52.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%75.0%4.00%52.4%21.00%50.0%4.00%25.0%24.00%68.8%16.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%28.8%73.00%34.5%58.00%33.3%3.00%23.8%63.00%
Leicester City100.0%2.00%38.3%162.00%38.1%168.00%76.9%13.00%100.0%1.00%40.6%32.00%50.4%133.00%70.0%10.00%100.0%3.00%48.7%39.00%57.1%7.00%75.0%24.00%53.3%60.00%53.8%13.00%50.0%8.00%50.0%2.00%35.4%206.00%45.7%162.00%77.8%9.00%37.2%172.00%
Middlesbrough0.0%1.00%31.3%147.00%30.4%135.00%55.6%9.00%100.0%1.00%63.3%30.00%39.0%105.00%50.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%48.4%31.00%0.0%6.00%31.2%16.00%46.7%60.00%72.7%11.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%27.7%202.00%30.7%137.00%100.0%5.00%39.6%134.00%
Millwall100.0%1.00%30.6%36.00%50.0%38.00%100.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%36.8%19.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%71.4%7.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%46.2%13.00%27.3%11.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%34.7%49.00%44.4%27.00%100.0%2.00%24.0%25.00%
Nottingham Forest0.0%1.00%30.0%20.00%42.1%19.00%33.3%3.00%23.1%13.00%0.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%8.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%40.7%27.00%20.0%15.00%0.0%1.00%27.8%18.00%
Peterborough United50.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%4.00%40.0%5.00%0.0%4.00%28.6%7.00%
Portsmouth0.0%6.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%25.0%4.00%
Reading66.7%3.00%48.2%386.00%59.0%451.00%52.8%36.00%100.0%3.00%62.5%104.00%67.4%356.00%100.0%1.00%65.0%20.00%66.7%15.00%72.1%129.00%70.8%24.00%71.2%73.00%64.6%206.00%72.3%202.00%65.3%49.00%59.3%27.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%55.4%448.00%65.2%23.00%43.1%385.00%
Southampton0.0%4.00%45.7%361.00%51.9%385.00%80.0%30.00%100.0%1.00%62.4%85.00%57.4%256.00%66.7%21.00%57.1%7.00%65.5%87.00%56.2%16.00%65.5%58.00%54.3%162.00%69.3%137.00%55.6%27.00%80.0%15.00%100.0%4.00%60.0%5.00%44.6%448.00%72.7%11.00%45.8%312.00%
Watford21.2%33.00%34.8%23.00%83.3%6.00%26.1%23.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%22.2%9.00%0.0%5.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%34.8%23.00%27.3%11.00%38.1%21.00%
West Ham100.0%1.00%51.3%312.00%57.1%326.00%58.6%29.00%100.0%2.00%69.9%83.00%63.8%235.00%66.7%3.00%83.3%12.00%84.6%13.00%67.7%93.00%58.8%17.00%76.2%63.00%62.8%172.00%60.4%134.00%76.0%25.00%72.2%18.00%71.4%7.00%75.0%4.00%56.9%385.00%54.2%312.00%61.9%21.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
West Ham 65.62% 35.17%
Birmingham City 53.47% 27.84%
Blackpool 46.53% 22.76%
Cardiff City 34.38% 14.23%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Birmingham CityBlackpoolCardiff CityWest Ham
Birmingham City53.5%100.00%
Blackpool46.5%100.00%
Cardiff City34.4%100.00%
West Ham65.6%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Birmingham CityBlackpoolCardiff CityWest Ham
Birmingham City61.3%18.41%47.2%35.06%
Blackpool55.5%15.97%45.5%30.56%
Cardiff City38.7%18.41%44.5%15.97%
West Ham52.8%35.06%54.5%30.56%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-08-05 Blackpool L 0-160.6 1744 1796 36.85% 25.96% 37.20%-0.04 -7.2 0
2011-08-05 @ Hull City W 1-060.6 1796 1744 37.20% 25.96% 36.85%+0.04 +7.2 3
2011-08-06 Barnsley D 0-068.2 1779 1699 54.47% 24.07% 21.46%+0.54 -1.5 1
2011-08-06 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-068.2 1699 1779 21.46% 24.07% 54.47%-0.54 +1.5 1
2011-08-06 Birmingham City W 2-169.0 1694 1810 28.50% 25.48% 46.02%-0.32 +8.1 3
2011-08-06 @ Derby County L 1-269.0 1810 1694 46.02% 25.48% 28.50%+0.32 -8.1 0
2011-08-06 Crystal Palace W 2-163.7 1675 1681 43.47% 25.72% 30.82%+0.17 +5.9 3
2011-08-06 @ Peterborough United L 1-263.7 1681 1675 30.82% 25.72% 43.47%-0.17 -5.9 0
2011-08-06 Doncaster Rovers W 2-163.7 1678 1684 43.46% 25.72% 30.82%+0.17 +5.9 3
2011-08-06 @ Brighton L 1-263.7 1684 1678 30.82% 25.72% 43.46%-0.17 -5.9 0
2011-08-06 Ipswich Town L 0-357.1 1729 1720 45.51% 25.54% 28.96%+0.23 -23.3 0
2011-08-06 @ Bristol City W 3-057.1 1720 1729 28.96% 25.54% 45.51%-0.23 +23.3 3
2011-08-06 Leeds United W 3-161.0 1721 1735 42.35% 25.79% 31.86%+0.13 +10.5 3
2011-08-06 @ Southampton L 1-361.0 1735 1721 31.86% 25.79% 42.35%-0.13 -10.5 0
2011-08-06 Leicester City L 0-160.0 1703 1763 35.86% 25.95% 38.19%-0.07 -7.1 0
2011-08-06 @ Coventry City W 1-060.0 1763 1703 38.19% 25.95% 35.86%+0.07 +7.1 3
2011-08-06 Millwall D 2-279.2 1803 1744 51.96% 24.60% 23.45%+0.45 -0.9 1
2011-08-06 @ Reading D 2-279.2 1744 1803 23.45% 24.60% 51.96%-0.45 +0.9 1
2011-08-06 Portsmouth D 2-278.8 1758 1743 46.32% 25.45% 28.23%+0.26 -0.5 1
2011-08-06 @ Middlesbrough D 2-278.8 1743 1758 28.23% 25.45% 46.32%-0.26 +0.5 1
2011-08-06 Watford D 2-278.7 1743 1737 45.04% 25.58% 29.37%+0.22 -0.5 1
2011-08-06 @ Burnley D 2-278.7 1737 1743 29.37% 25.58% 45.04%-0.22 +0.5 1
2011-08-07 Cardiff City L 0-163.6 1800 1777 47.34% 25.33% 27.33%+0.29 -8.8 0
2011-08-07 @ West Ham W 1-063.6 1777 1800 27.33% 25.33% 47.34%-0.29 +8.8 3
2011-08-13 Brighton L 0-164.3 1744 1684 52.08% 24.57% 23.35%+0.46 -9.5 1
2011-08-13 @ Portsmouth W 1-064.3 1684 1744 23.35% 24.57% 52.08%-0.46 +9.5 6
2011-08-13 Burnley W 2-057.0 1675 1743 34.81% 25.93% 39.26%-0.10 +14.3 3
2011-08-13 @ Crystal Palace L 0-257.0 1743 1675 39.26% 25.93% 34.81%+0.10 -14.3 1
2011-08-13 Coventry City W 1-054.3 1802 1696 57.58% 23.28% 19.14%+0.66 +4.2 3
2011-08-13 @ Birmingham City L 0-154.3 1696 1802 19.14% 23.28% 57.58%-0.66 -4.1 0
2011-08-13 Derby County L 0-163.6 1738 1702 49.02% 25.10% 25.88%+0.35 -9.0 1
2011-08-13 @ Watford W 1-063.6 1702 1738 25.88% 25.10% 49.02%-0.35 +9.0 6
2011-08-13 Hull City L 0-162.8 1743 1736 45.22% 25.57% 29.22%+0.22 -8.5 3
2011-08-13 @ Ipswich Town W 1-062.8 1736 1743 29.22% 25.57% 45.22%-0.22 +8.5 3
2011-08-13 Middlesbrough L 0-161.2 1725 1758 39.71% 25.92% 34.38%+0.05 -7.6 0
2011-08-13 @ Leeds United W 1-061.2 1758 1725 34.38% 25.92% 39.71%-0.05 +7.6 4
2011-08-13 Nottingham Forest W 2-056.0 1745 1777 39.79% 25.91% 34.30%+0.05 +12.9 4
2011-08-13 @ Millwall L 0-256.0 1777 1745 34.30% 25.91% 39.79%-0.05 -12.9 1
2011-08-13 Reading L 0-257.7 1770 1802 39.74% 25.91% 34.34%+0.05 -14.4 3
2011-08-13 @ Leicester City W 2-057.7 1802 1770 34.34% 25.91% 39.74%-0.05 +14.4 4
2011-08-13 Southampton L 0-161.1 1700 1732 39.92% 25.91% 34.17%+0.05 -7.7 1
2011-08-13 @ Barnsley W 1-061.1 1732 1700 34.17% 25.91% 39.92%-0.05 +7.7 6
2011-08-13 West Ham L 0-157.8 1678 1791 28.89% 25.53% 45.58%-0.31 -6.0 0
2011-08-13 @ Doncaster Rovers W 1-057.8 1791 1678 45.58% 25.53% 28.89%+0.31 +6.0 3
2011-08-14 Bristol City W 3-157.5 1785 1706 54.45% 24.07% 21.48%+0.54 +7.6 6
2011-08-14 @ Cardiff City L 1-357.5 1706 1785 21.48% 24.07% 54.45%-0.54 -7.6 0
2011-08-14 Peterborough United W 2-159.7 1804 1681 59.34% 22.76% 17.90%+0.73 +3.7 6
2011-08-14 @ Blackpool L 1-259.7 1681 1804 17.90% 22.76% 59.34%-0.73 -3.7 3
2011-08-16 Coventry City W 2-163.7 1690 1691 44.02% 25.67% 30.31%+0.18 +5.9 6
2011-08-16 @ Crystal Palace L 1-263.7 1691 1690 30.31% 25.67% 44.02%-0.18 -5.9 0
2011-08-16 Hull City W 4-158.9 1717 1745 40.46% 25.89% 33.65%+0.07 +15.6 3
2011-08-16 @ Leeds United L 1-458.9 1745 1717 33.65% 25.89% 40.46%-0.07 -15.6 3
2011-08-16 Middlesbrough L 1-361.7 1693 1765 34.09% 25.91% 40.00%-0.13 -11.1 1
2011-08-16 @ Barnsley W 3-161.7 1765 1693 40.00% 25.91% 34.09%+0.13 +11.1 7
2011-08-16 Nottingham Forest L 0-158.5 1672 1764 31.43% 25.76% 42.80%-0.22 -6.4 0
2011-08-16 @ Doncaster Rovers W 1-058.5 1764 1672 42.80% 25.76% 31.43%+0.22 +6.4 4
2011-08-16 Reading W 1-061.9 1734 1817 32.75% 25.85% 41.40%-0.17 +7.9 4
2011-08-16 @ Portsmouth L 0-161.9 1817 1734 41.40% 25.85% 32.75%+0.17 -7.9 4
2011-08-16 Southampton L 2-564.2 1735 1740 43.64% 25.70% 30.66%+0.17 -16.4 3
2011-08-16 @ Ipswich Town W 5-264.2 1740 1735 30.66% 25.70% 43.64%-0.17 +16.4 9
2011-08-16 West Ham L 0-454.4 1729 1797 34.75% 25.93% 39.33%-0.11 -24.7 1
2011-08-16 @ Watford W 4-054.4 1797 1729 39.33% 25.93% 34.75%+0.11 +24.7 6
2011-08-17 Brighton L 1-367.9 1793 1693 56.81% 23.49% 19.70%+0.63 -16.7 6
2011-08-17 @ Cardiff City W 3-167.9 1693 1793 19.70% 23.49% 56.81%-0.63 +16.7 9
2011-08-17 Bristol City L 1-270.3 1755 1698 51.70% 24.65% 23.65%+0.44 -8.9 3
2011-08-17 @ Leicester City W 2-170.3 1698 1755 23.65% 24.65% 51.70%-0.44 +8.9 3
2011-08-17 Derby County L 0-165.7 1807 1711 56.38% 23.60% 20.02%+0.62 -10.1 6
2011-08-17 @ Blackpool W 1-065.7 1711 1807 20.02% 23.60% 56.38%-0.62 +10.1 9
2011-08-17 Peterborough United D 2-278.9 1758 1677 54.52% 24.06% 21.42%+0.55 -1.0 5
2011-08-17 @ Millwall D 2-278.9 1677 1758 21.42% 24.06% 54.52%-0.55 +1.0 4
2011-08-20 Barnsley L 1-272.3 1809 1682 59.84% 22.61% 17.55%+0.75 -10.1 4
2011-08-20 @ Reading W 2-172.3 1682 1809 17.55% 22.61% 59.84%-0.75 +10.1 4
2011-08-20 Blackpool D 2-278.7 1710 1797 32.10% 25.81% 42.09%-0.19 +0.3 10
2011-08-20 @ Brighton D 2-278.7 1797 1710 42.09% 25.81% 32.10%+0.19 -0.3 7
2011-08-20 Cardiff City D 1-172.6 1728 1776 37.56% 25.95% 36.48%-0.02 -0.0 2
2011-08-20 @ Burnley D 1-172.6 1776 1728 36.48% 25.95% 37.56%+0.02 +0.0 7
2011-08-20 Crystal Palace L 0-163.4 1729 1695 48.77% 25.13% 26.10%+0.34 -9.0 3
2011-08-20 @ Hull City W 1-063.4 1695 1729 26.10% 25.13% 48.77%-0.34 +9.0 9
2011-08-20 Doncaster Rovers W 3-050.0 1721 1665 51.57% 24.67% 23.76%+0.44 +13.9 12
2011-08-20 @ Derby County L 0-350.0 1665 1721 23.76% 24.67% 51.57%-0.44 -13.9 0
2011-08-20 Ipswich Town W 7-157.2 1678 1718 38.72% 25.94% 35.34%+0.02 +30.2 7
2011-08-20 @ Peterborough United L 1-757.2 1718 1678 35.34% 25.94% 38.72%-0.02 -30.2 3
2011-08-20 Leicester City D 2-278.9 1771 1746 47.54% 25.30% 27.15%+0.30 -0.6 5
2011-08-20 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-278.9 1746 1771 27.15% 25.30% 47.54%-0.30 +0.6 4
2011-08-20 Millwall W 1-058.4 1756 1757 44.17% 25.66% 30.17%+0.19 +6.2 12
2011-08-20 @ Southampton L 0-158.4 1757 1756 30.17% 25.66% 44.17%-0.19 -6.2 5
2011-08-20 Portsmouth D 0-067.5 1707 1742 39.42% 25.92% 34.66%+0.04 -0.2 4
2011-08-20 @ Bristol City D 0-067.5 1742 1707 34.66% 25.92% 39.42%-0.04 +0.2 5
2011-08-20 Watford D 0-067.1 1686 1704 41.72% 25.83% 32.45%+0.11 -0.4 1
2011-08-20 @ Coventry City D 0-067.1 1704 1686 32.45% 25.83% 41.72%-0.11 +0.4 2
2011-08-21 Birmingham City W 3-162.1 1776 1806 40.13% 25.90% 33.97%+0.06 +11.1 10
2011-08-21 @ Middlesbrough L 1-362.1 1806 1776 33.97% 25.90% 40.13%-0.06 -11.1 3
2011-08-21 Leeds United D 2-279.4 1821 1733 55.51% 23.82% 20.67%+0.58 -1.1 7
2011-08-21 @ West Ham D 2-279.4 1733 1821 20.67% 23.82% 55.51%-0.58 +1.1 4
2011-08-27 Barnsley D 0-067.8 1751 1692 51.93% 24.60% 23.47%+0.45 -1.3 6
2011-08-27 @ Millwall D 0-067.8 1692 1751 23.47% 24.60% 51.93%-0.45 +1.3 5
2011-08-27 Blackpool D 1-172.7 1704 1797 31.44% 25.77% 42.79%-0.22 +0.4 10
2011-08-27 @ Crystal Palace D 1-172.7 1797 1704 42.79% 25.77% 31.44%+0.22 -0.4 8
2011-08-27 Bristol City D 1-171.8 1651 1707 36.48% 25.95% 37.56%-0.05 +0.0 1
2011-08-27 @ Doncaster Rovers D 1-171.8 1707 1651 37.56% 25.95% 36.48%+0.05 -0.0 5
2011-08-27 Burnley L 1-268.7 1735 1728 45.21% 25.57% 29.22%+0.22 -8.0 12
2011-08-27 @ Derby County W 2-168.7 1728 1735 29.22% 25.57% 45.21%-0.22 +8.0 5
2011-08-27 Cardiff City D 1-172.7 1742 1776 39.54% 25.92% 34.54%+0.04 -0.2 6
2011-08-27 @ Portsmouth D 1-172.7 1776 1742 34.54% 25.92% 39.54%-0.04 +0.2 8
2011-08-27 Coventry City D 1-173.3 1788 1685 57.09% 23.41% 19.50%+0.64 -1.5 11
2011-08-27 @ Middlesbrough D 1-173.3 1685 1788 19.50% 23.41% 57.09%-0.64 +1.5 2
2011-08-27 Leeds United W 2-165.8 1688 1734 37.89% 25.95% 36.16%-0.01 +6.7 6
2011-08-27 @ Ipswich Town L 1-265.8 1734 1688 36.16% 25.95% 37.89%+0.01 -6.7 4
2011-08-27 Peterborough United W 2-054.2 1710 1709 44.46% 25.64% 29.91%+0.20 +11.6 13
2011-08-27 @ Brighton L 0-254.2 1709 1710 29.91% 25.64% 44.46%-0.20 -11.6 7
2011-08-27 Reading W 1-061.7 1720 1799 33.29% 25.87% 40.84%-0.15 +7.8 6
2011-08-27 @ Hull City L 0-161.7 1799 1720 40.84% 25.87% 33.29%+0.15 -7.8 4
2011-08-27 Southampton W 3-270.1 1747 1762 42.19% 25.80% 32.01%+0.13 +5.8 7
2011-08-27 @ Leicester City L 2-370.1 1762 1747 32.01% 25.80% 42.19%-0.13 -5.8 12
2011-08-28 Birmingham City D 2-278.7 1705 1795 31.67% 25.78% 42.54%-0.21 +0.3 3
2011-08-28 @ Watford D 2-278.7 1795 1705 42.54% 25.78% 31.67%+0.21 -0.3 4
2011-08-28 West Ham L 1-460.3 1770 1820 37.23% 25.96% 36.81%-0.03 -16.8 5
2011-08-28 @ Nottingham Forest W 4-160.3 1820 1770 36.81% 25.96% 37.23%+0.03 +16.8 10
2011-09-10 Brighton L 0-161.7 1707 1722 42.25% 25.80% 31.95%+0.13 -8.0 5
2011-09-10 @ Bristol City W 1-061.7 1722 1707 31.95% 25.80% 42.25%-0.13 +8.0 16
2011-09-10 Crystal Palace W 3-268.2 1727 1705 47.26% 25.34% 27.40%+0.29 +5.1 7
2011-09-10 @ Leeds United L 2-368.2 1705 1727 27.40% 25.34% 47.26%-0.29 -5.1 10
2011-09-10 Derby County W 2-055.9 1687 1727 38.63% 25.94% 35.43%+0.01 +13.2 5
2011-09-10 @ Coventry City L 0-255.9 1727 1687 35.43% 25.94% 38.63%-0.01 -13.2 12
2011-09-10 Doncaster Rovers W 2-049.7 1777 1651 59.62% 22.68% 17.70%+0.74 +7.2 11
2011-09-10 @ Cardiff City L 0-249.7 1651 1777 17.70% 22.68% 59.62%-0.74 -7.2 1
2011-09-10 Hull City L 0-161.0 1697 1728 40.00% 25.91% 34.10%+0.06 -7.7 7
2011-09-10 @ Peterborough United W 1-061.0 1728 1697 34.10% 25.91% 40.00%-0.06 +7.7 9
2011-09-10 Ipswich Town W 2-050.7 1796 1695 57.01% 23.44% 19.56%+0.64 +8.0 11
2011-09-10 @ Blackpool L 0-250.7 1695 1796 19.56% 23.44% 57.01%-0.64 -8.0 6
2011-09-10 Leicester City D 1-172.4 1693 1753 35.88% 25.95% 38.17%-0.07 +0.1 6
2011-09-10 @ Barnsley D 1-172.4 1753 1693 38.17% 25.95% 35.88%+0.07 -0.1 8
2011-09-10 Middlesbrough L 0-256.9 1736 1786 37.31% 25.96% 36.74%-0.03 -13.7 5
2011-09-10 @ Burnley W 2-056.9 1786 1736 36.74% 25.96% 37.31%+0.03 +13.7 14
2011-09-10 Nottingham Forest W 3-269.3 1756 1753 44.69% 25.62% 29.69%+0.21 +5.5 15
2011-09-10 @ Southampton L 2-369.3 1753 1756 29.69% 25.62% 44.69%-0.21 -5.5 5
2011-09-10 Portsmouth W 4-368.4 1837 1742 56.26% 23.63% 20.11%+0.61 +3.8 13
2011-09-10 @ West Ham L 3-468.4 1742 1837 20.11% 23.63% 56.26%-0.61 -3.8 6
2011-09-10 Watford L 0-261.6 1791 1705 55.20% 23.90% 20.90%+0.57 -18.8 4
2011-09-10 @ Reading W 2-061.6 1705 1791 20.90% 23.90% 55.20%-0.57 +18.8 6
2011-09-11 Millwall W 3-051.1 1795 1749 50.29% 24.90% 24.82%+0.39 +14.4 7
2011-09-11 @ Birmingham City L 0-351.1 1749 1795 24.82% 24.90% 50.29%-0.39 -14.4 6
2011-09-17 Brighton W 1-057.3 1753 1730 47.36% 25.33% 27.32%+0.29 +5.7 11
2011-09-17 @ Leicester City L 0-157.3 1730 1753 27.32% 25.33% 47.36%-0.29 -5.7 16
2011-09-17 Bristol City W 2-162.6 1732 1699 48.71% 25.14% 26.15%+0.34 +5.2 10
2011-09-17 @ Leeds United L 1-262.6 1699 1732 26.15% 25.14% 48.71%-0.34 -5.2 5
2011-09-17 Burnley W 2-165.2 1689 1723 39.68% 25.92% 34.40%+0.05 +6.5 10
2011-09-17 @ Peterborough United L 1-265.2 1723 1689 34.40% 25.92% 39.68%-0.05 -6.5 5
2011-09-17 Cardiff City D 1-173.0 1804 1784 47.05% 25.36% 27.58%+0.28 -0.8 12
2011-09-17 @ Blackpool D 1-173.0 1784 1804 27.58% 25.36% 47.05%-0.28 +0.8 12
2011-09-17 Derby County L 1-269.6 1748 1714 48.77% 25.13% 26.09%+0.34 -8.5 5
2011-09-17 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-169.6 1714 1748 26.09% 25.13% 48.77%-0.34 +8.5 15
2011-09-17 Doncaster Rovers W 2-049.5 1772 1644 59.93% 22.58% 17.49%+0.75 +7.2 7
2011-09-17 @ Reading L 0-249.5 1644 1772 17.49% 22.58% 59.93%-0.75 -7.2 1
2011-09-17 Middlesbrough L 0-158.5 1700 1800 30.49% 25.69% 43.82%-0.25 -6.2 10
2011-09-17 @ Crystal Palace W 1-058.5 1800 1700 43.82% 25.69% 30.49%+0.25 +6.2 17
2011-09-17 Portsmouth W 1-058.3 1736 1738 43.93% 25.68% 30.39%+0.18 +6.2 12
2011-09-17 @ Hull City L 0-158.3 1738 1736 30.39% 25.68% 43.93%-0.18 -6.2 6
2011-09-17 Watford D 1-172.2 1693 1724 40.03% 25.90% 34.06%+0.06 -0.2 7
2011-09-17 @ Barnsley D 1-172.2 1724 1693 34.06% 25.90% 40.03%-0.06 +0.2 7
2011-09-17 West Ham D 0-068.0 1735 1841 29.74% 25.62% 44.64%-0.27 +0.6 7
2011-09-17 @ Millwall D 0-068.0 1841 1735 44.64% 25.62% 29.74%+0.27 -0.7 14
2011-09-18 Birmingham City W 4-160.1 1762 1809 37.61% 25.95% 36.44%-0.02 +16.5 18
2011-09-18 @ Southampton L 1-460.1 1809 1762 36.44% 25.95% 37.61%+0.02 -16.5 7
2011-09-19 Coventry City W 3-052.7 1687 1700 42.48% 25.79% 31.73%+0.13 +17.7 9
2011-09-19 @ Ipswich Town L 0-352.7 1700 1687 31.73% 25.79% 42.48%-0.13 -17.6 5
2011-09-23 Leeds United D 3-382.3 1724 1737 42.43% 25.79% 31.78%+0.13 -0.3 17
2011-09-23 @ Brighton D 3-382.3 1737 1724 31.78% 25.79% 42.43%-0.13 +0.3 11
2011-09-24 Barnsley D 1-173.3 1793 1693 56.82% 23.48% 19.69%+0.63 -1.5 8
2011-09-24 @ Birmingham City D 1-173.3 1693 1793 19.69% 23.48% 56.82%-0.63 +1.5 8
2011-09-24 Blackpool W 1-061.4 1732 1804 34.22% 25.91% 39.87%-0.12 +7.7 9
2011-09-24 @ Portsmouth L 0-161.4 1804 1732 39.87% 25.91% 34.22%+0.12 -7.7 12
2011-09-24 Crystal Palace W 1-059.6 1637 1693 36.35% 25.95% 37.70%-0.06 +7.4 4
2011-09-24 @ Doncaster Rovers L 0-159.6 1693 1637 37.70% 25.95% 36.35%+0.06 -7.3 10
2011-09-24 Hull City D 1-172.3 1694 1742 37.52% 25.95% 36.53%-0.02 -0.0 6
2011-09-24 @ Bristol City D 1-172.3 1742 1694 36.53% 25.95% 37.52%+0.02 +0.0 13
2011-09-24 Ipswich Town D 0-068.5 1806 1704 56.99% 23.44% 19.57%+0.64 -1.7 18
2011-09-24 @ Middlesbrough D 0-068.5 1704 1806 19.57% 23.44% 56.99%-0.64 +1.7 10
2011-09-24 Millwall W 3-053.1 1722 1736 42.49% 25.79% 31.73%+0.13 +17.6 18
2011-09-24 @ Derby County L 0-353.1 1736 1722 31.73% 25.79% 42.49%-0.13 -17.6 7
2011-09-24 Nottingham Forest L 0-161.9 1724 1739 42.16% 25.81% 32.04%+0.12 -8.0 7
2011-09-24 @ Watford W 1-061.9 1739 1724 32.04% 25.81% 42.16%-0.12 +8.0 8
2011-09-24 Peterborough United W 1-053.2 1840 1696 61.69% 22.00% 16.31%+0.83 +3.5 17
2011-09-24 @ West Ham L 0-153.2 1696 1840 16.31% 22.00% 61.69%-0.83 -3.5 10
2011-09-24 Reading D 1-172.5 1682 1779 30.88% 25.72% 43.40%-0.23 +0.5 6
2011-09-24 @ Coventry City D 1-172.5 1779 1682 43.40% 25.72% 30.88%+0.23 -0.5 8
2011-09-24 Southampton D 1-172.6 1716 1778 35.52% 25.94% 38.54%-0.08 +0.1 6
2011-09-24 @ Burnley D 1-172.6 1778 1716 38.54% 25.94% 35.52%+0.08 -0.1 19
2011-09-25 Leicester City D 0-068.0 1785 1758 47.78% 25.27% 26.95%+0.31 -0.9 13
2011-09-25 @ Cardiff City D 0-068.0 1758 1785 26.95% 25.27% 47.78%-0.31 +0.9 12
2011-09-27 Barnsley D 1-172.6 1740 1694 50.29% 24.90% 24.82%+0.39 -1.0 19
2011-09-27 @ Derby County D 1-172.6 1694 1740 24.82% 24.90% 50.29%-0.39 +1.0 9
2011-09-27 Blackpool D 2-278.7 1683 1796 28.86% 25.53% 45.61%-0.31 +0.5 7
2011-09-27 @ Coventry City D 2-278.7 1796 1683 45.61% 25.53% 28.86%+0.31 -0.5 13
2011-09-27 Crystal Palace L 1-365.8 1724 1686 49.25% 25.06% 25.69%+0.36 -14.8 17
2011-09-27 @ Brighton W 3-165.8 1686 1724 25.69% 25.06% 49.25%-0.36 +14.8 13
2011-09-27 Hull City D 1-172.1 1644 1742 30.80% 25.72% 43.48%-0.24 +0.5 5
2011-09-27 @ Doncaster Rovers D 1-172.1 1742 1644 43.48% 25.72% 30.80%+0.24 -0.5 14
2011-09-27 Ipswich Town L 0-166.7 1844 1706 60.97% 22.24% 16.79%+0.80 -10.8 17
2011-09-27 @ West Ham W 1-066.7 1706 1844 16.79% 22.24% 60.97%-0.80 +10.8 13
2011-09-27 Millwall W 2-164.1 1716 1718 44.01% 25.67% 30.31%+0.18 +5.9 10
2011-09-27 @ Watford L 1-264.1 1718 1716 30.31% 25.67% 44.01%-0.18 -5.9 7
2011-09-27 Nottingham Forest W 5-157.7 1716 1747 39.95% 25.91% 34.14%+0.05 +20.3 9
2011-09-27 @ Burnley L 1-557.7 1747 1716 34.14% 25.91% 39.95%-0.05 -20.3 8
2011-09-27 Peterborough United L 2-375.0 1740 1692 50.48% 24.86% 24.65%+0.40 -8.3 9
2011-09-27 @ Portsmouth W 3-275.0 1692 1740 24.65% 24.86% 50.48%-0.40 +8.3 13
2011-09-27 Reading L 2-370.0 1694 1779 32.40% 25.83% 41.77%-0.18 -5.9 6
2011-09-27 @ Bristol City W 3-270.0 1779 1694 41.77% 25.83% 32.40%+0.18 +5.9 11
2011-09-28 Leicester City D 0-068.2 1804 1759 50.19% 24.91% 24.89%+0.39 -1.1 19
2011-09-28 @ Middlesbrough D 0-068.2 1759 1804 24.89% 24.91% 50.19%-0.39 +1.1 13
2011-09-28 Southampton W 2-164.2 1784 1778 45.01% 25.59% 29.40%+0.22 +5.7 16
2011-09-28 @ Cardiff City L 1-264.2 1778 1784 29.40% 25.59% 45.01%-0.22 -5.7 19
2011-10-01 Brighton W 3-159.9 1717 1709 45.39% 25.55% 29.06%+0.23 +9.8 16
2011-10-01 @ Ipswich Town L 1-359.9 1709 1717 29.06% 25.55% 45.39%-0.23 -9.8 17
2011-10-01 Bristol City W 5-049.6 1796 1688 57.70% 23.24% 19.05%+0.67 +18.2 16
2011-10-01 @ Blackpool L 0-549.6 1688 1796 19.05% 23.24% 57.70%-0.67 -18.2 6
2011-10-01 Burnley L 0-161.4 1712 1737 40.90% 25.87% 33.23%+0.08 -7.8 7
2011-10-01 @ Millwall W 1-061.4 1737 1712 33.23% 25.87% 40.90%-0.08 +7.8 12
2011-10-01 Cardiff City W 2-166.4 1741 1789 37.57% 25.95% 36.47%-0.02 +6.8 17
2011-10-01 @ Hull City L 1-266.4 1789 1741 36.47% 25.95% 37.57%+0.02 -6.8 16
2011-10-01 Coventry City W 2-053.4 1695 1683 45.92% 25.49% 28.59%+0.25 +11.2 12
2011-10-01 @ Barnsley L 0-253.4 1683 1695 28.59% 25.49% 45.92%-0.25 -11.2 7
2011-10-01 Derby County W 4-052.0 1760 1739 47.13% 25.35% 27.51%+0.29 +20.5 16
2011-10-01 @ Leicester City L 0-452.0 1739 1760 27.51% 25.35% 47.13%-0.29 -20.5 19
2011-10-01 Doncaster Rovers L 1-269.5 1701 1645 51.55% 24.67% 23.78%+0.44 -8.9 13
2011-10-01 @ Peterborough United W 2-169.5 1645 1701 23.78% 24.67% 51.55%-0.44 +8.9 8
2011-10-01 Middlesbrough D 0-067.9 1785 1803 41.74% 25.83% 32.43%+0.11 -0.4 12
2011-10-01 @ Reading D 0-067.9 1803 1785 32.43% 25.83% 41.74%-0.11 +0.4 20
2011-10-01 Portsmouth W 1-057.9 1738 1731 45.13% 25.57% 29.30%+0.22 +6.0 14
2011-10-01 @ Leeds United L 0-157.9 1731 1738 29.30% 25.57% 45.13%-0.22 -6.0 9
2011-10-01 Watford W 4-050.8 1772 1722 50.92% 24.79% 24.29%+0.42 +18.5 22
2011-10-01 @ Southampton L 0-450.8 1722 1772 24.29% 24.79% 50.92%-0.42 -18.5 10
2011-10-01 West Ham D 2-279.0 1701 1833 26.67% 25.23% 48.10%-0.39 +0.6 14
2011-10-01 @ Crystal Palace D 2-279.0 1833 1701 48.10% 25.23% 26.67%+0.39 -0.6 18
2011-10-02 Birmingham City L 1-362.3 1727 1791 35.23% 25.94% 38.83%-0.09 -11.4 8
2011-10-02 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-162.3 1791 1727 38.83% 25.94% 35.23%+0.09 +11.4 11
2011-10-14 Leeds United L 0-352.8 1654 1744 31.78% 25.79% 42.43%-0.20 -17.7 8
2011-10-14 @ Doncaster Rovers W 3-052.8 1744 1654 42.43% 25.79% 31.78%+0.20 +17.7 17
2011-10-15 Barnsley W 2-053.5 1725 1707 46.80% 25.39% 27.81%+0.27 +10.9 12
2011-10-15 @ Portsmouth L 0-253.5 1707 1725 27.81% 25.39% 46.80%-0.27 -10.9 12
2011-10-15 Blackpool W 4-052.4 1832 1814 46.78% 25.40% 27.83%+0.27 +20.8 21
2011-10-15 @ West Ham L 0-452.4 1814 1832 27.83% 25.40% 46.78%-0.27 -20.7 16
2011-10-15 Crystal Palace L 0-258.4 1703 1702 44.52% 25.63% 29.85%+0.20 -15.7 10
2011-10-15 @ Watford W 2-058.4 1702 1703 29.85% 25.63% 44.52%-0.20 +15.8 17
2011-10-15 Hull City D 0-067.5 1699 1748 37.39% 25.96% 36.66%-0.02 -0.0 18
2011-10-15 @ Brighton D 0-067.5 1748 1699 36.66% 25.96% 37.39%+0.02 +0.0 18
2011-10-15 Ipswich Town D 2-279.1 1783 1727 51.54% 24.68% 23.78%+0.44 -0.8 17
2011-10-15 @ Cardiff City D 2-279.1 1727 1783 23.78% 24.68% 51.54%-0.44 +0.8 17
2011-10-15 Millwall D 1-173.4 1804 1704 56.74% 23.51% 19.76%+0.63 -1.5 21
2011-10-15 @ Middlesbrough D 1-173.4 1704 1804 19.76% 23.51% 56.74%-0.63 +1.5 8
2011-10-15 Nottingham Forest W 1-059.6 1672 1716 38.19% 25.95% 35.86%+0.00 +7.1 10
2011-10-15 @ Coventry City L 0-159.6 1716 1672 35.86% 25.95% 38.19%+0.00 -7.1 8
2011-10-15 Peterborough United L 1-266.9 1670 1692 41.21% 25.86% 32.94%+0.09 -7.4 6
2011-10-15 @ Bristol City W 2-166.9 1692 1670 32.94% 25.86% 41.21%-0.09 +7.4 16
2011-10-15 Reading L 0-161.1 1744 1784 38.71% 25.94% 35.35%+0.02 -7.5 12
2011-10-15 @ Burnley W 1-061.1 1784 1744 35.35% 25.94% 38.71%-0.02 +7.5 15
2011-10-15 Southampton D 1-172.6 1719 1791 34.11% 25.91% 39.98%-0.13 +0.2 20
2011-10-15 @ Derby County D 1-172.6 1791 1719 39.98% 25.91% 34.11%+0.13 -0.2 23
2011-10-16 Leicester City W 2-053.9 1803 1781 47.20% 25.35% 27.45%+0.29 +10.8 14
2011-10-16 @ Birmingham City L 0-253.9 1781 1803 27.45% 25.35% 47.20%-0.29 -10.8 16
2011-10-18 Brighton D 1-172.3 1706 1699 45.19% 25.57% 29.24%+0.22 -0.6 9
2011-10-18 @ Millwall D 1-172.3 1699 1706 29.24% 25.57% 45.19%-0.22 +0.6 19
2011-10-18 Bristol City W 1-055.5 1717 1662 51.47% 24.69% 23.84%+0.43 +5.1 20
2011-10-18 @ Crystal Palace L 0-155.5 1662 1717 23.84% 24.69% 51.47%-0.43 -5.1 6
2011-10-18 Burnley W 2-056.0 1696 1737 38.53% 25.94% 35.52%+0.01 +13.2 15
2011-10-18 @ Barnsley L 0-256.0 1737 1696 35.52% 25.94% 38.53%-0.01 -13.2 12
2011-10-18 Cardiff City W 4-375.2 1699 1782 32.75% 25.85% 41.40%-0.17 +6.9 19
2011-10-18 @ Peterborough United L 3-475.2 1782 1699 41.40% 25.85% 32.75%+0.17 -6.9 17
2011-10-18 Coventry City D 1-172.9 1761 1679 54.75% 24.00% 21.25%+0.55 -1.4 18
2011-10-18 @ Leeds United D 1-172.9 1679 1761 21.25% 24.00% 54.75%-0.55 +1.4 11
2011-10-18 Derby County D 2-279.2 1792 1719 53.65% 24.25% 22.10%+0.51 -1.0 16
2011-10-18 @ Reading D 2-279.2 1719 1792 22.10% 24.25% 53.65%-0.51 +1.0 21
2011-10-18 Doncaster Rovers W 2-158.4 1793 1636 62.99% 21.54% 15.47%+0.88 +3.2 19
2011-10-18 @ Blackpool L 1-258.4 1636 1793 15.47% 21.54% 62.99%-0.88 -3.2 8
2011-10-18 Middlesbrough W 2-058.5 1709 1802 31.33% 25.76% 42.91%-0.22 +15.3 11
2011-10-18 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-258.5 1802 1709 42.91% 25.76% 31.33%+0.22 -15.3 21
2011-10-18 Portsmouth W 1-058.5 1728 1736 43.11% 25.74% 31.15%+0.15 +6.3 20
2011-10-18 @ Ipswich Town L 0-158.5 1736 1728 31.15% 25.74% 43.11%-0.15 -6.3 12
2011-10-18 West Ham W 1-061.3 1791 1853 35.51% 25.94% 38.55%-0.08 +7.5 26
2011-10-18 @ Southampton L 0-161.3 1853 1791 38.55% 25.94% 35.51%+0.08 -7.5 21
2011-10-19 Watford W 2-051.3 1770 1688 54.79% 23.99% 21.21%+0.56 +8.6 19
2011-10-19 @ Leicester City L 0-251.3 1688 1770 21.21% 23.99% 54.79%-0.56 -8.6 10
2011-10-22 Barnsley W 5-363.1 1775 1709 52.80% 24.43% 22.77%+0.48 +6.7 20
2011-10-22 @ Cardiff City L 3-563.1 1709 1775 22.77% 24.43% 52.80%-0.48 -6.7 15
2011-10-22 Burnley L 1-266.4 1681 1724 38.27% 25.95% 35.79%+0.00 -7.0 11
2011-10-22 @ Coventry City W 2-166.4 1724 1681 35.79% 25.95% 38.27%+0.00 +7.0 15
2011-10-22 Crystal Palace L 0-162.8 1734 1722 45.86% 25.50% 28.64%+0.24 -8.5 20
2011-10-22 @ Ipswich Town W 1-062.8 1722 1734 28.64% 25.50% 45.86%-0.24 +8.6 23
2011-10-22 Derby County W 2-052.0 1787 1720 52.92% 24.41% 22.67%+0.49 +9.2 24
2011-10-22 @ Middlesbrough L 0-252.0 1720 1787 22.67% 24.41% 52.92%-0.49 -9.2 21
2011-10-22 Doncaster Rovers W 3-156.2 1730 1633 56.47% 23.58% 19.95%+0.62 +7.1 15
2011-10-22 @ Portsmouth L 1-356.2 1633 1730 19.95% 23.58% 56.47%-0.62 -7.1 8
2011-10-22 Leeds United L 2-371.3 1706 1760 36.70% 25.96% 37.34%-0.05 -6.4 19
2011-10-22 @ Peterborough United W 3-271.3 1760 1706 37.34% 25.96% 36.70%+0.05 +6.4 21
2011-10-22 Millwall L 0-359.4 1779 1705 53.73% 24.23% 22.04%+0.52 -26.7 19
2011-10-22 @ Leicester City W 3-059.4 1705 1779 22.04% 24.23% 53.73%-0.52 +26.7 12
2011-10-22 Nottingham Forest L 1-271.0 1796 1724 53.57% 24.27% 22.16%+0.51 -9.2 19
2011-10-22 @ Blackpool W 2-171.0 1724 1796 22.16% 24.27% 53.57%-0.51 +9.2 14
2011-10-22 Southampton D 1-172.9 1791 1798 43.26% 25.73% 31.01%+0.16 -0.5 17
2011-10-22 @ Reading D 1-172.9 1798 1791 31.01% 25.73% 43.26%-0.16 +0.5 27
2011-10-22 Watford W 3-266.4 1748 1679 53.21% 24.35% 22.45%+0.50 +4.3 21
2011-10-22 @ Hull City L 2-366.4 1679 1748 22.45% 24.35% 53.21%-0.50 -4.3 10
2011-10-23 Birmingham City L 0-252.4 1657 1814 24.05% 24.74% 51.22%-0.50 -9.7 6
2011-10-23 @ Bristol City W 2-052.4 1814 1657 51.22% 24.74% 24.05%+0.50 +9.7 17
2011-10-24 West Ham L 0-156.8 1700 1846 25.15% 24.96% 49.89%-0.45 -5.3 19
2011-10-24 @ Brighton W 1-056.8 1846 1700 49.89% 24.96% 25.15%+0.45 +5.3 24
2011-10-26 Leeds United W 1-056.3 1823 1766 51.67% 24.65% 23.68%+0.44 +5.0 20
2011-10-26 @ Birmingham City L 0-156.3 1766 1823 23.68% 24.65% 51.67%-0.44 -5.0 21
2011-10-29 Blackpool W 3-163.0 1731 1787 36.34% 25.95% 37.70%-0.06 +12.0 18
2011-10-29 @ Burnley L 1-363.0 1787 1731 37.70% 25.95% 36.34%+0.06 -12.0 19
2011-10-29 Brighton D 0-068.8 1828 1694 60.58% 22.37% 17.05%+0.78 -2.0 21
2011-10-29 @ Birmingham City D 0-068.8 1694 1828 17.05% 22.37% 60.58%-0.78 +2.0 20
2011-10-29 Bristol City L 1-269.5 1702 1647 51.43% 24.70% 23.88%+0.43 -8.9 15
2011-10-29 @ Barnsley W 2-169.5 1647 1702 23.88% 24.70% 51.43%-0.43 +8.9 9
2011-10-29 Coventry City D 1-171.2 1626 1674 37.60% 25.95% 36.44%-0.02 -0.0 9
2011-10-29 @ Doncaster Rovers D 1-171.2 1674 1626 36.44% 25.95% 37.60%+0.02 +0.0 12
2011-10-29 Hull City L 0-161.8 1733 1753 41.59% 25.84% 32.57%+0.11 -7.9 14
2011-10-29 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-061.8 1753 1733 32.57% 25.84% 41.59%-0.11 +7.9 24
2011-10-29 Ipswich Town W 4-157.4 1732 1726 45.14% 25.57% 29.29%+0.22 +14.0 15
2011-10-29 @ Millwall L 1-457.4 1726 1732 29.29% 25.57% 45.14%-0.22 -14.0 20
2011-10-29 Leicester City W 3-265.9 1851 1752 56.70% 23.52% 19.79%+0.63 +3.8 27
2011-10-29 @ West Ham L 2-365.9 1752 1851 19.79% 23.52% 56.70%-0.63 -3.8 19
2011-10-29 Middlesbrough W 3-052.9 1799 1796 44.67% 25.62% 29.71%+0.20 +16.8 30
2011-10-29 @ Southampton L 0-352.9 1796 1799 29.71% 25.62% 44.67%-0.20 -16.8 24
2011-10-29 Peterborough United W 3-269.8 1675 1700 40.82% 25.87% 33.31%+0.08 +6.0 13
2011-10-29 @ Watford L 2-369.8 1700 1675 33.31% 25.87% 40.82%-0.08 -6.0 19
2011-10-29 Portsmouth W 3-161.5 1711 1737 40.62% 25.88% 33.50%+0.08 +11.0 24
2011-10-29 @ Derby County L 1-361.5 1737 1711 33.50% 25.88% 40.62%-0.08 -11.0 15
2011-10-29 Reading D 0-067.7 1731 1790 35.93% 25.95% 38.12%-0.07 +0.1 24
2011-10-29 @ Crystal Palace D 0-067.7 1790 1731 38.12% 25.95% 35.93%+0.07 -0.1 18
2011-10-30 Cardiff City D 1-172.8 1761 1782 41.49% 25.84% 32.67%+0.10 -0.3 22
2011-10-30 @ Leeds United D 1-172.8 1782 1761 32.67% 25.84% 41.49%-0.10 +0.3 21
2011-11-01 Brighton W 1-058.3 1681 1696 42.11% 25.81% 32.08%+0.12 +6.5 16
2011-11-01 @ Watford L 0-158.3 1696 1681 32.08% 25.81% 42.11%-0.12 -6.5 20
2011-11-01 Bristol City D 0-069.5 1855 1656 67.11% 19.92% 12.98%+1.07 -2.6 28
2011-11-01 @ West Ham D 0-069.5 1656 1855 12.98% 19.92% 67.11%-1.07 +2.6 10
2011-11-01 Coventry City W 3-049.6 1746 1674 53.56% 24.27% 22.17%+0.51 +13.0 18
2011-11-01 @ Millwall L 0-349.6 1674 1746 22.17% 24.27% 53.56%-0.51 -13.0 12
2011-11-01 Hull City W 2-166.9 1693 1760 34.84% 25.93% 39.23%-0.10 +7.1 18
2011-11-01 @ Barnsley L 1-266.9 1760 1693 39.23% 25.93% 34.84%+0.10 -7.1 24
2011-11-01 Leicester City L 1-364.6 1743 1748 43.51% 25.71% 30.77%+0.17 -13.4 18
2011-11-01 @ Burnley W 3-164.6 1748 1743 30.77% 25.71% 43.51%-0.17 +13.4 22
2011-11-01 Middlesbrough L 1-358.2 1626 1779 24.38% 24.81% 50.81%-0.48 -8.5 9
2011-11-01 @ Doncaster Rovers W 3-158.2 1779 1626 50.81% 24.81% 24.38%+0.48 +8.5 27
2011-11-01 Peterborough United W 2-159.8 1815 1694 59.26% 22.79% 17.95%+0.73 +3.7 33
2011-11-01 @ Southampton L 1-259.8 1694 1815 17.95% 22.79% 59.26%-0.73 -3.7 19
2011-11-01 Portsmouth D 0-067.6 1731 1726 44.96% 25.59% 29.45%+0.21 -0.7 25
2011-11-01 @ Crystal Palace D 0-067.6 1726 1731 29.45% 25.59% 44.96%-0.21 +0.7 16
2011-11-01 Reading W 1-061.1 1725 1790 35.13% 25.94% 38.94%-0.09 +7.5 17
2011-11-01 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-161.1 1790 1725 38.94% 25.94% 35.13%+0.09 -7.5 18
2011-11-02 Blackpool L 0-557.6 1761 1775 42.36% 25.79% 31.85%+0.13 -35.4 22
2011-11-02 @ Leeds United W 5-057.6 1775 1761 31.85% 25.79% 42.36%-0.13 +35.4 22
2011-11-02 Cardiff City L 0-354.6 1722 1782 35.78% 25.95% 38.27%-0.07 -19.3 24
2011-11-02 @ Derby County W 3-054.6 1782 1722 38.27% 25.95% 35.78%+0.07 +19.3 24
2011-11-05 Burnley W 3-163.0 1659 1729 34.40% 25.92% 39.69%-0.12 +12.5 13
2011-11-05 @ Bristol City L 1-363.0 1729 1659 39.69% 25.92% 34.40%+0.12 -12.5 18
2011-11-05 Crystal Palace W 2-051.9 1801 1730 53.40% 24.30% 22.29%+0.50 +9.0 27
2011-11-05 @ Cardiff City L 0-251.9 1730 1801 22.29% 24.30% 53.40%-0.50 -9.0 25
2011-11-05 Derby County W 3-269.4 1690 1702 42.61% 25.78% 31.62%+0.14 +5.8 22
2011-11-05 @ Peterborough United L 2-369.4 1702 1690 31.62% 25.78% 42.61%-0.14 -5.8 24
2011-11-05 Doncaster Rovers L 2-375.5 1712 1617 56.15% 23.66% 20.19%+0.61 -9.0 20
2011-11-05 @ Ipswich Town W 3-275.5 1617 1712 20.19% 23.66% 56.15%-0.61 +9.1 12
2011-11-05 Millwall W 1-056.5 1810 1759 51.03% 24.77% 24.20%+0.42 +5.2 25
2011-11-05 @ Blackpool L 0-156.5 1759 1810 24.20% 24.77% 51.03%-0.42 -5.1 18
2011-11-05 Nottingham Forest W 3-052.8 1727 1733 43.47% 25.72% 30.81%+0.17 +17.2 19
2011-11-05 @ Portsmouth L 0-352.8 1733 1727 30.81% 25.72% 43.47%-0.17 -17.2 17
2011-11-05 Southampton L 2-462.1 1661 1819 23.84% 24.69% 51.47%-0.51 -7.4 12
2011-11-05 @ Coventry City W 4-262.1 1819 1661 51.47% 24.69% 23.84%+0.51 +7.4 36
2011-11-05 Watford W 1-054.5 1788 1687 56.87% 23.47% 19.65%+0.63 +4.3 30
2011-11-05 @ Middlesbrough L 0-154.5 1687 1788 19.65% 23.47% 56.87%-0.63 -4.3 16
2011-11-05 West Ham L 0-255.0 1753 1852 30.63% 25.70% 43.66%-0.24 -11.8 24
2011-11-05 @ Hull City W 2-055.0 1852 1753 43.66% 25.70% 30.63%+0.24 +11.8 31
2011-11-06 Barnsley W 2-054.5 1690 1700 42.83% 25.76% 31.41%+0.15 +12.1 23
2011-11-06 @ Brighton L 0-254.5 1700 1690 31.41% 25.76% 42.83%-0.15 -12.0 18
2011-11-06 Birmingham City W 1-060.4 1783 1826 38.19% 25.95% 35.86%+0.00 +7.1 21
2011-11-06 @ Reading L 0-160.4 1826 1783 35.86% 25.95% 38.19%+0.00 -7.1 21
2011-11-06 Leeds United L 0-163.8 1762 1726 49.04% 25.09% 25.86%+0.35 -9.0 22
2011-11-06 @ Leicester City W 1-063.8 1726 1762 25.86% 25.09% 49.04%-0.35 +9.0 25
2011-11-19 Blackpool D 2-278.9 1792 1816 41.00% 25.87% 33.14%+0.09 -0.2 31
2011-11-19 @ Middlesbrough D 2-278.9 1816 1792 33.14% 25.87% 41.00%-0.09 +0.2 26
2011-11-19 Brighton W 3-048.2 1827 1702 59.57% 22.69% 17.74%+0.74 +10.5 39
2011-11-19 @ Southampton L 0-348.2 1702 1827 17.74% 22.69% 59.57%-0.74 -10.6 23
2011-11-19 Cardiff City L 1-268.0 1790 1810 41.45% 25.84% 32.71%+0.10 -7.4 21
2011-11-19 @ Reading W 2-168.0 1810 1790 32.71% 25.84% 41.45%-0.10 +7.4 30
2011-11-19 Doncaster Rovers W 2-050.9 1688 1626 52.31% 24.53% 23.16%+0.46 +9.3 21
2011-11-19 @ Barnsley L 0-250.9 1626 1688 23.16% 24.53% 52.31%-0.46 -9.4 12
2011-11-19 Hull City L 0-256.8 1696 1742 37.97% 25.95% 36.08%-0.01 -13.9 24
2011-11-19 @ Derby County W 2-056.8 1742 1696 36.08% 25.95% 37.97%+0.01 +13.9 27
2011-11-19 Ipswich Town W 3-268.5 1715 1702 46.02% 25.48% 28.50%+0.25 +5.3 20
2011-11-19 @ Nottingham Forest L 2-368.5 1702 1715 28.50% 25.48% 46.02%-0.25 -5.3 20
2011-11-19 Leeds United L 1-267.7 1717 1735 41.81% 25.83% 32.37%+0.11 -7.5 18
2011-11-19 @ Burnley W 2-167.7 1735 1717 32.37% 25.83% 41.81%-0.11 +7.5 28
2011-11-19 Peterborough United D 1-173.6 1819 1696 59.44% 22.73% 17.83%+0.74 -1.7 22
2011-11-19 @ Birmingham City D 1-173.6 1696 1819 17.83% 22.73% 59.44%-0.74 +1.7 23
2011-11-19 Portsmouth W 2-056.8 1683 1744 35.68% 25.95% 38.37%-0.08 +14.0 19
2011-11-19 @ Watford L 0-256.8 1744 1683 38.37% 25.95% 35.68%+0.08 -14.0 19
2011-11-19 West Ham L 1-260.3 1653 1864 19.08% 23.25% 57.67%-0.74 -3.9 12
2011-11-19 @ Coventry City W 2-160.3 1864 1653 57.67% 23.25% 19.08%+0.74 +3.9 34
2011-11-20 Bristol City L 1-270.9 1754 1671 54.77% 24.00% 21.23%+0.55 -9.4 18
2011-11-20 @ Millwall W 2-170.9 1671 1754 21.23% 24.00% 54.77%-0.55 +9.3 16
2011-11-20 Crystal Palace W 3-051.4 1753 1721 48.44% 25.18% 26.38%+0.33 +15.2 25
2011-11-20 @ Leicester City L 0-351.4 1721 1753 26.38% 25.18% 48.44%-0.33 -15.2 25
2011-11-22 Burnley W 2-160.3 1817 1709 57.75% 23.23% 19.02%+0.67 +3.9 25
2011-11-22 @ Birmingham City L 1-260.3 1709 1817 19.02% 23.23% 57.75%-0.67 -3.9 18
2011-11-22 Cardiff City D 1-172.9 1649 1818 22.85% 24.45% 52.70%-0.55 +1.2 13
2011-11-22 @ Coventry City D 1-172.9 1818 1649 52.70% 24.45% 22.85%+0.55 -1.2 31
2011-11-26 Barnsley L 1-269.8 1742 1698 50.12% 24.92% 24.95%+0.39 -8.7 28
2011-11-26 @ Leeds United W 2-169.8 1698 1742 24.95% 24.92% 50.12%-0.39 +8.7 24
2011-11-26 Birmingham City D 2-279.0 1816 1821 43.53% 25.71% 30.76%+0.17 -0.4 27
2011-11-26 @ Blackpool D 2-279.0 1821 1816 30.76% 25.71% 43.53%-0.17 +0.4 26
2011-11-26 Burnley L 2-375.2 1755 1705 50.84% 24.80% 24.36%+0.41 -8.3 27
2011-11-26 @ Hull City W 3-275.2 1705 1755 24.36% 24.80% 50.84%-0.41 +8.3 21
2011-11-26 Coventry City W 2-161.7 1691 1650 49.68% 25.00% 25.33%+0.37 +5.1 26
2011-11-26 @ Brighton L 1-261.7 1650 1691 25.33% 25.00% 49.68%-0.37 -5.1 13
2011-11-26 Derby County W 3-154.3 1868 1683 65.84% 20.44% 13.72%+1.01 +4.8 37
2011-11-26 @ West Ham L 1-354.3 1683 1868 13.72% 20.44% 65.84%-1.01 -4.8 24
2011-11-26 Leicester City D 1-172.6 1730 1768 39.00% 25.93% 35.06%+0.03 -0.2 20
2011-11-26 @ Portsmouth D 1-172.6 1768 1730 35.06% 25.93% 39.00%-0.03 +0.2 26
2011-11-26 Middlesbrough D 1-172.6 1697 1792 31.24% 25.75% 43.01%-0.22 +0.5 24
2011-11-26 @ Peterborough United D 1-172.6 1792 1697 43.01% 25.75% 31.24%+0.22 -0.5 32
2011-11-26 Millwall D 0-067.5 1706 1744 38.95% 25.94% 35.11%+0.02 -0.2 26
2011-11-26 @ Crystal Palace D 0-067.5 1744 1706 35.11% 25.94% 38.95%-0.02 +0.2 19
2011-11-26 Nottingham Forest W 1-054.8 1817 1721 56.34% 23.61% 20.05%+0.61 +4.3 34
2011-11-26 @ Cardiff City L 0-154.8 1721 1817 20.05% 23.61% 56.34%-0.61 -4.3 20
2011-11-26 Reading L 2-370.1 1697 1782 32.41% 25.83% 41.76%-0.18 -5.9 20
2011-11-26 @ Ipswich Town W 3-270.1 1782 1697 41.76% 25.83% 32.41%+0.18 +5.9 24
2011-11-26 Southampton W 2-060.7 1681 1837 24.05% 24.74% 51.21%-0.50 +17.7 19
2011-11-26 @ Bristol City L 0-260.7 1837 1681 51.21% 24.74% 24.05%+0.50 -17.6 39
2011-11-26 Watford D 0-066.4 1617 1697 33.12% 25.87% 41.01%-0.16 +0.3 13
2011-11-26 @ Doncaster Rovers D 0-066.4 1697 1617 41.01% 25.87% 33.12%+0.16 -0.3 20
2011-11-29 Blackpool W 2-056.8 1768 1815 37.62% 25.95% 36.42%-0.02 +13.5 29
2011-11-29 @ Leicester City L 0-256.8 1815 1768 36.42% 25.95% 37.62%+0.02 -13.5 27
2011-11-29 Brighton L 0-161.2 1678 1696 41.70% 25.83% 32.46%+0.11 -7.9 24
2011-11-29 @ Derby County W 1-061.2 1696 1678 32.46% 25.83% 41.70%-0.11 +7.9 29
2011-11-29 Bristol City D 2-278.2 1697 1698 44.04% 25.67% 30.29%+0.18 -0.4 21
2011-11-29 @ Watford D 2-278.2 1698 1697 30.29% 25.67% 44.04%-0.18 +0.4 20
2011-11-29 Doncaster Rovers W 3-263.9 1744 1617 59.84% 22.61% 17.55%+0.75 +3.4 22
2011-11-29 @ Millwall L 2-363.9 1617 1744 17.55% 22.61% 59.84%-0.75 -3.4 13
2011-11-29 Hull City W 2-161.7 1819 1747 53.57% 24.27% 22.16%+0.51 +4.5 42
2011-11-29 @ Southampton L 1-261.7 1747 1819 22.16% 24.27% 53.57%-0.51 -4.5 27
2011-11-29 Ipswich Town W 4-051.5 1714 1691 47.27% 25.34% 27.39%+0.29 +20.5 24
2011-11-29 @ Burnley L 0-451.5 1691 1714 27.39% 25.34% 47.27%-0.29 -20.5 20
2011-11-29 Leeds United L 0-456.2 1716 1733 41.92% 25.82% 32.26%+0.12 -28.5 20
2011-11-29 @ Nottingham Forest W 4-056.2 1733 1716 32.26% 25.82% 41.92%-0.12 +28.5 31
2011-11-29 Peterborough United W 3-265.9 1788 1698 55.69% 23.78% 20.53%+0.59 +4.0 27
2011-11-29 @ Reading L 2-365.9 1698 1788 20.53% 23.78% 55.69%-0.59 -4.0 24
2011-11-29 West Ham L 0-255.8 1791 1873 32.88% 25.85% 41.27%-0.17 -12.5 32
2011-11-29 @ Middlesbrough W 2-055.8 1873 1791 41.27% 25.85% 32.88%+0.17 +12.5 40
2011-12-02 Derby County D 1-172.2 1706 1670 49.07% 25.09% 25.84%+0.35 -0.9 27
2011-12-02 @ Crystal Palace D 1-172.2 1670 1706 25.84% 25.09% 49.07%-0.35 +0.9 25
2011-12-03 Barnsley L 3-475.1 1694 1706 42.57% 25.78% 31.65%+0.14 -7.0 24
2011-12-03 @ Peterborough United W 4-375.1 1706 1694 31.65% 25.78% 42.57%-0.14 +7.0 27
2011-12-03 Burnley L 1-273.1 1885 1734 62.39% 21.76% 15.86%+0.86 -10.4 40
2011-12-03 @ West Ham W 2-173.1 1734 1885 15.86% 21.76% 62.39%-0.86 +10.4 27
2011-12-03 Coventry City W 2-160.4 1730 1645 55.01% 23.94% 21.05%+0.56 +4.3 23
2011-12-03 @ Portsmouth L 1-260.4 1645 1730 21.05% 23.94% 55.01%-0.56 -4.3 13
2011-12-03 Leicester City W 2-166.0 1743 1781 38.87% 25.94% 35.19%+0.02 +6.6 30
2011-12-03 @ Hull City L 1-266.0 1781 1743 35.19% 25.94% 38.87%-0.02 -6.6 29
2011-12-03 Middlesbrough L 0-159.2 1699 1779 33.09% 25.86% 41.04%-0.16 -6.7 20
2011-12-03 @ Bristol City W 1-059.2 1779 1699 41.04% 25.86% 33.09%+0.16 +6.7 35
2011-12-03 Millwall W 2-054.0 1762 1748 46.18% 25.47% 28.36%+0.25 +11.1 34
2011-12-03 @ Leeds United L 0-254.0 1748 1762 28.36% 25.47% 46.18%-0.25 -11.1 22
2011-12-03 Nottingham Forest W 1-057.1 1704 1688 46.50% 25.43% 28.07%+0.26 +5.8 32
2011-12-03 @ Brighton L 0-157.1 1688 1704 28.07% 25.43% 46.50%-0.26 -5.8 20
2011-12-03 Reading W 1-058.2 1802 1792 45.61% 25.53% 28.87%+0.24 +6.0 30
2011-12-03 @ Blackpool L 0-158.2 1792 1802 28.87% 25.53% 45.61%-0.24 -6.0 27
2011-12-03 Southampton W 1-065.6 1614 1824 19.16% 23.28% 57.56%-0.73 +10.3 16
2011-12-03 @ Doncaster Rovers L 0-165.6 1824 1614 57.56% 23.28% 19.16%+0.73 -10.3 42
2011-12-03 Watford L 1-266.8 1671 1696 40.79% 25.88% 33.34%+0.08 -7.3 20
2011-12-03 @ Ipswich Town W 2-166.8 1696 1671 33.34% 25.88% 40.79%-0.08 +7.4 24
2011-12-04 Birmingham City W 1-058.7 1821 1822 44.17% 25.66% 30.17%+0.19 +6.2 37
2011-12-04 @ Cardiff City L 0-158.7 1822 1821 30.17% 25.66% 44.17%-0.19 -6.2 26
2011-12-06 Crystal Palace W 2-163.6 1713 1705 45.42% 25.55% 29.03%+0.23 +5.7 30
2011-12-06 @ Barnsley L 1-263.6 1705 1713 29.03% 25.55% 45.42%-0.23 -5.7 27
2011-12-07 Birmingham City W 2-167.2 1749 1815 34.96% 25.93% 39.11%-0.10 +7.1 33
2011-12-07 @ Hull City L 1-267.2 1815 1749 39.11% 25.93% 34.96%+0.10 -7.1 26
2011-12-10 Blackpool D 2-279.0 1814 1808 45.05% 25.58% 29.37%+0.22 -0.4 43
2011-12-10 @ Southampton D 2-279.0 1808 1814 29.37% 25.58% 45.05%-0.22 +0.5 31
2011-12-10 Brighton W 1-055.4 1785 1710 53.91% 24.19% 21.90%+0.52 +4.7 38
2011-12-10 @ Middlesbrough L 0-155.4 1710 1785 21.90% 24.19% 53.91%-0.52 -4.7 32
2011-12-10 Bristol City W 2-164.4 1671 1692 41.34% 25.85% 32.81%+0.10 +6.2 28
2011-12-10 @ Derby County L 1-264.4 1692 1671 32.81% 25.85% 41.34%-0.10 -6.2 20
2011-12-10 Cardiff City D 0-067.9 1737 1827 31.74% 25.79% 42.47%-0.21 +0.5 23
2011-12-10 @ Millwall D 0-067.9 1827 1737 42.47% 25.79% 31.74%+0.21 -0.5 38
2011-12-10 Crystal Palace L 0-161.3 1682 1699 41.89% 25.82% 32.29%+0.12 -8.0 20
2011-12-10 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-061.3 1699 1682 32.29% 25.82% 41.89%-0.12 +8.0 30
2011-12-10 Doncaster Rovers W 2-157.6 1808 1624 65.71% 20.50% 13.80%+1.00 +2.8 29
2011-12-10 @ Birmingham City L 1-257.6 1624 1808 13.80% 20.50% 65.71%-1.00 -2.8 16
2011-12-10 Hull City L 0-157.3 1641 1756 28.63% 25.50% 45.87%-0.31 -5.9 13
2011-12-10 @ Coventry City W 1-057.3 1756 1641 45.87% 25.50% 28.63%+0.31 +5.9 36
2011-12-10 Ipswich Town L 3-571.3 1719 1664 51.52% 24.68% 23.80%+0.44 -13.0 30
2011-12-10 @ Barnsley W 5-371.3 1664 1719 23.80% 24.68% 51.52%-0.44 +13.0 23
2011-12-10 Leeds United D 1-172.5 1703 1773 34.50% 25.92% 39.58%-0.11 +0.2 25
2011-12-10 @ Watford D 1-172.5 1773 1703 39.58% 25.92% 34.50%+0.11 -0.2 35
2011-12-10 Peterborough United D 1-173.1 1775 1687 55.42% 23.84% 20.74%+0.58 -1.4 30
2011-12-10 @ Leicester City D 1-173.1 1687 1775 20.74% 23.84% 55.42%-0.58 +1.4 25
2011-12-10 Portsmouth L 0-162.9 1745 1734 45.70% 25.52% 28.78%+0.24 -8.5 27
2011-12-10 @ Burnley W 1-062.9 1734 1745 28.78% 25.52% 45.70%-0.24 +8.5 26
2011-12-10 West Ham W 3-056.8 1786 1875 31.95% 25.80% 42.25%-0.20 +21.9 30
2011-12-10 @ Reading L 0-356.8 1875 1786 42.25% 25.80% 31.95%+0.20 -21.9 40
2011-12-17 Barnsley W 1-053.2 1853 1706 61.94% 21.92% 16.15%+0.84 +3.5 43
2011-12-17 @ West Ham L 0-153.2 1706 1853 16.15% 21.92% 61.94%-0.84 -3.5 30
2011-12-17 Burnley L 0-161.1 1705 1736 40.04% 25.90% 34.06%+0.06 -7.7 32
2011-12-17 @ Brighton W 1-061.1 1736 1705 34.06% 25.90% 40.04%-0.06 +7.7 30
2011-12-17 Coventry City W 1-055.1 1688 1635 51.22% 24.73% 24.04%+0.43 +5.1 28
2011-12-17 @ Peterborough United L 0-155.1 1635 1688 24.04% 24.73% 51.22%-0.43 -5.1 13
2011-12-17 Derby County W 1-057.5 1676 1677 44.22% 25.66% 30.12%+0.19 +6.2 26
2011-12-17 @ Ipswich Town L 0-157.5 1677 1676 30.12% 25.66% 44.22%-0.19 -6.2 28
2011-12-17 Leicester City W 2-169.7 1622 1773 24.53% 24.84% 50.63%-0.48 +8.7 19
2011-12-17 @ Doncaster Rovers L 1-269.7 1773 1622 50.63% 24.84% 24.53%+0.48 -8.8 30
2011-12-17 Middlesbrough L 2-375.2 1827 1790 49.12% 25.08% 25.80%+0.35 -8.1 38
2011-12-17 @ Cardiff City W 3-275.2 1790 1827 25.80% 25.08% 49.12%-0.35 +8.1 41
2011-12-17 Millwall W 2-053.6 1762 1737 47.62% 25.29% 27.09%+0.30 +10.7 39
2011-12-17 @ Hull City L 0-253.6 1737 1762 27.09% 25.29% 47.62%-0.30 -10.7 23
2011-12-17 Nottingham Forest D 0-067.0 1686 1674 45.86% 25.50% 28.64%+0.24 -0.8 21
2011-12-17 @ Bristol City D 0-067.0 1674 1686 28.64% 25.50% 45.86%-0.24 +0.8 21
2011-12-17 Reading L 0-161.4 1773 1808 39.38% 25.92% 34.70%+0.04 -7.6 35
2011-12-17 @ Leeds United W 1-061.4 1808 1773 34.70% 25.92% 39.38%-0.04 +7.6 33
2011-12-17 Watford D 0-068.5 1808 1704 57.36% 23.34% 19.30%+0.65 -1.8 32
2011-12-17 @ Blackpool D 0-068.5 1704 1808 19.30% 23.34% 57.36%-0.65 +1.8 26
2011-12-18 Southampton D 1-172.8 1743 1813 34.37% 25.92% 39.72%-0.12 +0.2 27
2011-12-18 @ Portsmouth D 1-172.8 1813 1743 39.72% 25.92% 34.37%+0.12 -0.2 44
2011-12-19 Birmingham City W 1-062.7 1707 1811 30.01% 25.65% 44.34%-0.26 +8.3 33
2011-12-19 @ Crystal Palace L 0-162.7 1811 1707 44.34% 25.65% 30.01%+0.26 -8.3 29
2011-12-26 Blackpool L 1-360.6 1703 1807 29.99% 25.64% 44.36%-0.27 -10.1 30
2011-12-26 @ Barnsley W 3-160.6 1807 1703 44.36% 25.64% 29.99%+0.27 +10.1 35
2011-12-26 Brighton W 3-048.4 1816 1698 58.83% 22.92% 18.25%+0.71 +10.9 36
2011-12-26 @ Reading L 0-348.4 1698 1816 18.25% 22.92% 58.83%-0.71 -10.9 32
2011-12-26 Bristol City W 1-059.4 1630 1685 36.55% 25.95% 37.50%-0.05 +7.3 16
2011-12-26 @ Coventry City L 0-159.4 1685 1630 37.50% 25.95% 36.55%+0.05 -7.3 21
2011-12-26 Cardiff City D 1-172.8 1705 1819 28.88% 25.53% 45.59%-0.31 +0.7 27
2011-12-26 @ Watford D 1-172.8 1819 1705 45.59% 25.53% 28.88%+0.31 -0.7 39
2011-12-26 Crystal Palace W 2-051.0 1813 1716 56.51% 23.57% 19.92%+0.62 +8.1 47
2011-12-26 @ Southampton L 0-251.0 1716 1813 19.92% 23.57% 56.51%-0.62 -8.1 33
2011-12-26 Doncaster Rovers W 3-047.8 1744 1630 58.34% 23.06% 18.60%+0.69 +11.1 33
2011-12-26 @ Burnley L 0-347.8 1630 1744 18.60% 23.06% 58.34%-0.69 -11.1 19
2011-12-26 Hull City W 1-057.5 1798 1773 47.64% 25.29% 27.07%+0.30 +5.7 44
2011-12-26 @ Middlesbrough L 0-157.5 1773 1798 27.07% 25.29% 47.64%-0.30 -5.7 39
2011-12-26 Ipswich Town D 1-173.0 1765 1683 54.72% 24.01% 21.27%+0.55 -1.4 31
2011-12-26 @ Leicester City D 1-173.0 1683 1765 21.27% 24.01% 54.72%-0.55 +1.4 27
2011-12-26 Leeds United W 1-062.0 1671 1765 31.18% 25.75% 43.07%-0.22 +8.1 31
2011-12-26 @ Derby County L 0-162.0 1765 1671 43.07% 25.75% 31.18%+0.22 -8.1 35
2011-12-26 Peterborough United L 0-161.1 1675 1693 41.71% 25.83% 32.46%+0.11 -7.9 21
2011-12-26 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-061.1 1693 1675 32.46% 25.83% 41.71%-0.11 +7.9 31
2011-12-26 Portsmouth W 1-058.9 1727 1743 42.06% 25.81% 32.13%+0.12 +6.5 26
2011-12-26 @ Millwall L 0-158.9 1743 1727 32.13% 25.81% 42.06%-0.12 -6.5 27
2011-12-26 West Ham D 1-172.9 1803 1856 36.76% 25.96% 37.29%-0.04 +0.0 30
2011-12-26 @ Birmingham City D 1-172.9 1856 1803 37.29% 25.96% 36.76%+0.04 -0.0 44
2011-12-30 Bristol City L 0-166.7 1821 1678 61.58% 22.04% 16.38%+0.82 -10.9 47
2011-12-30 @ Southampton W 1-066.7 1678 1821 16.38% 22.04% 61.58%-0.82 +10.9 24
2011-12-31 Blackpool W 3-053.6 1803 1817 42.39% 25.79% 31.82%+0.13 +17.7 33
2011-12-31 @ Birmingham City L 0-353.6 1817 1803 31.82% 25.79% 42.39%-0.13 -17.7 35
2011-12-31 Brighton W 2-055.5 1637 1687 37.33% 25.96% 36.72%-0.03 +13.6 19
2011-12-31 @ Coventry City L 0-255.5 1687 1637 36.72% 25.96% 37.33%+0.03 -13.6 32
2011-12-31 Cardiff City L 0-156.4 1667 1818 24.62% 24.86% 50.52%-0.47 -5.2 21
2011-12-31 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-056.4 1818 1667 50.52% 24.86% 24.62%+0.47 +5.2 42
2011-12-31 Crystal Palace L 0-163.2 1733 1708 47.70% 25.28% 27.02%+0.30 -8.8 26
2011-12-31 @ Millwall W 1-063.2 1708 1733 27.02% 25.28% 47.70%-0.30 +8.8 36
2011-12-31 Doncaster Rovers W 4-153.4 1706 1619 55.30% 23.87% 20.83%+0.57 +10.4 30
2011-12-31 @ Watford L 1-453.4 1619 1706 20.83% 23.87% 55.30%-0.57 -10.4 19
2011-12-31 Hull City W 1-058.9 1755 1767 42.57% 25.78% 31.65%+0.14 +6.4 36
2011-12-31 @ Burnley L 0-158.9 1767 1755 31.65% 25.78% 42.57%-0.14 -6.4 39
2011-12-31 Ipswich Town W 1-053.2 1827 1684 61.49% 22.07% 16.44%+0.82 +3.6 39
2011-12-31 @ Reading L 0-153.2 1684 1827 16.44% 22.07% 61.49%-0.82 -3.6 27
2011-12-31 Leeds United W 4-160.4 1693 1757 35.19% 25.94% 38.87%-0.09 +17.4 33
2011-12-31 @ Barnsley L 1-460.4 1757 1693 38.87% 25.94% 35.19%+0.09 -17.4 35
2011-12-31 Peterborough United D 1-173.4 1804 1701 57.09% 23.41% 19.50%+0.64 -1.6 45
2011-12-31 @ Middlesbrough D 1-173.4 1701 1804 19.50% 23.41% 57.09%-0.64 +1.6 32
2011-12-31 Portsmouth D 1-172.8 1763 1736 47.88% 25.26% 26.86%+0.31 -0.8 32
2011-12-31 @ Leicester City D 1-172.8 1736 1763 26.86% 25.26% 47.88%-0.31 +0.8 28
2011-12-31 West Ham W 2-171.1 1679 1856 22.00% 24.22% 53.78%-0.59 +9.2 34
2011-12-31 @ Derby County L 1-271.1 1856 1679 53.78% 24.22% 22.00%+0.59 -9.2 44
2012-01-02 Barnsley W 2-057.5 1609 1710 30.36% 25.68% 43.96%-0.25 +15.6 22
2012-01-02 @ Doncaster Rovers L 0-257.5 1710 1609 43.96% 25.68% 30.36%+0.25 -15.6 33
2012-01-02 Birmingham City D 1-172.8 1703 1821 28.34% 25.46% 46.19%-0.33 +0.7 33
2012-01-02 @ Peterborough United D 1-172.8 1821 1703 46.19% 25.46% 28.34%+0.33 -0.7 34
2012-01-02 Burnley W 2-165.2 1740 1761 41.33% 25.85% 32.82%+0.10 +6.2 38
2012-01-02 @ Leeds United L 1-265.2 1761 1740 32.82% 25.85% 41.33%-0.10 -6.2 36
2012-01-02 Coventry City W 1-051.5 1847 1651 66.88% 20.01% 13.11%+1.06 +2.8 47
2012-01-02 @ West Ham L 0-151.5 1651 1847 13.11% 20.01% 66.88%-1.06 -2.8 19
2012-01-02 Derby County L 0-164.8 1761 1688 53.62% 24.26% 22.12%+0.51 -9.7 39
2012-01-02 @ Hull City W 1-064.8 1688 1761 22.12% 24.26% 53.62%-0.51 +9.7 37
2012-01-02 Leicester City L 1-266.6 1716 1762 37.83% 25.95% 36.22%-0.01 -6.9 36
2012-01-02 @ Crystal Palace W 2-166.6 1762 1716 36.22% 25.95% 37.83%+0.01 +6.9 35
2012-01-02 Middlesbrough W 3-053.1 1799 1802 43.84% 25.69% 30.47%+0.18 +17.1 38
2012-01-02 @ Blackpool L 0-353.1 1802 1799 30.47% 25.69% 43.84%-0.18 -17.1 45
2012-01-02 Nottingham Forest L 1-364.6 1680 1662 46.81% 25.39% 27.80%+0.27 -14.2 27
2012-01-02 @ Ipswich Town W 3-164.6 1662 1680 27.80% 25.39% 46.81%-0.27 +14.2 24
2012-01-02 Reading W 3-161.2 1823 1830 43.32% 25.73% 30.95%+0.16 +10.3 45
2012-01-02 @ Cardiff City L 1-361.2 1830 1823 30.95% 25.73% 43.32%-0.16 -10.3 39
2012-01-02 Southampton W 3-058.1 1673 1810 26.15% 25.14% 48.71%-0.41 +24.6 35
2012-01-02 @ Brighton L 0-358.1 1810 1673 48.71% 25.14% 26.15%+0.41 -24.6 47
2012-01-02 Watford W 2-053.6 1737 1716 47.05% 25.37% 27.59%+0.28 +10.9 31
2012-01-02 @ Portsmouth L 0-253.6 1716 1737 27.59% 25.37% 47.05%-0.28 -10.9 30
2012-01-03 Millwall W 1-059.4 1689 1724 39.33% 25.93% 34.75%+0.04 +6.9 27
2012-01-03 @ Bristol City L 0-159.4 1724 1689 34.75% 25.93% 39.33%-0.04 -6.9 26
2012-01-11 Ipswich Town W 2-158.7 1820 1666 62.64% 21.67% 15.69%+0.87 +3.2 37
2012-01-11 @ Birmingham City L 1-258.7 1666 1820 15.69% 21.67% 62.64%-0.87 -3.2 27
2012-01-14 Barnsley L 1-270.9 1769 1694 53.90% 24.20% 21.90%+0.52 -9.2 35
2012-01-14 @ Leicester City W 2-170.9 1694 1769 21.90% 24.20% 53.90%-0.52 +9.2 36
2012-01-14 Birmingham City L 0-654.7 1717 1823 29.78% 25.62% 44.59%-0.27 -32.1 26
2012-01-14 @ Millwall W 6-054.7 1823 1717 44.59% 25.62% 29.78%+0.27 +32.1 40
2012-01-14 Blackpool D 2-278.9 1663 1816 24.41% 24.81% 50.77%-0.48 +0.8 28
2012-01-14 @ Ipswich Town D 2-278.9 1816 1663 50.77% 24.81% 24.41%+0.48 -0.8 39
2012-01-14 Bristol City W 2-053.9 1698 1696 44.61% 25.62% 29.77%+0.20 +11.5 38
2012-01-14 @ Brighton L 0-253.9 1696 1698 29.77% 25.62% 44.61%-0.20 -11.5 27
2012-01-14 Burnley L 0-260.0 1785 1755 48.29% 25.20% 26.50%+0.32 -16.8 45
2012-01-14 @ Middlesbrough W 2-060.0 1755 1785 26.50% 25.20% 48.29%-0.32 +16.8 39
2012-01-14 Cardiff City D 0-068.3 1624 1833 19.23% 23.31% 57.45%-0.73 +1.8 23
2012-01-14 @ Doncaster Rovers D 0-068.3 1833 1624 57.45% 23.31% 19.23%+0.73 -1.8 46
2012-01-14 Coventry City W 1-055.4 1698 1648 50.79% 24.81% 24.40%+0.41 +5.2 40
2012-01-14 @ Derby County L 0-155.4 1648 1698 24.40% 24.81% 50.79%-0.41 -5.2 19
2012-01-14 Leeds United D 1-172.4 1709 1746 39.18% 25.93% 34.89%+0.03 -0.2 37
2012-01-14 @ Crystal Palace D 1-172.4 1746 1709 34.89% 25.93% 39.18%-0.03 +0.2 39
2012-01-14 Peterborough United W 1-056.3 1751 1704 50.51% 24.86% 24.63%+0.40 +5.2 42
2012-01-14 @ Hull City L 0-156.3 1704 1751 24.63% 24.86% 50.51%-0.40 -5.2 33
2012-01-14 Reading L 1-263.9 1706 1820 28.75% 25.51% 45.74%-0.31 -5.6 30
2012-01-14 @ Watford W 2-163.9 1820 1706 45.74% 25.51% 28.75%+0.31 +5.6 42
2012-01-14 Southampton L 0-352.3 1676 1786 29.29% 25.57% 45.13%-0.29 -16.6 24
2012-01-14 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-052.3 1786 1676 45.13% 25.57% 29.29%+0.29 +16.6 50
2012-01-14 West Ham L 0-158.6 1748 1850 30.24% 25.67% 44.09%-0.26 -6.2 31
2012-01-14 @ Portsmouth W 1-058.6 1850 1748 44.09% 25.67% 30.24%+0.26 +6.2 50
2012-01-21 Brighton L 1-267.7 1698 1710 42.76% 25.77% 31.47%+0.14 -7.6 33
2012-01-21 @ Peterborough United W 2-167.7 1710 1698 31.47% 25.77% 42.76%-0.14 +7.6 41
2012-01-21 Crystal Palace W 2-160.4 1815 1709 57.51% 23.30% 19.20%+0.66 +3.9 42
2012-01-21 @ Blackpool L 1-260.4 1709 1815 19.20% 23.30% 57.51%-0.66 -3.9 37
2012-01-21 Derby County D 0-068.1 1772 1703 53.14% 24.36% 22.50%+0.49 -1.4 40
2012-01-21 @ Burnley D 0-068.1 1703 1772 22.50% 24.36% 53.14%-0.49 +1.4 41
2012-01-21 Doncaster Rovers W 2-160.7 1684 1626 51.80% 24.63% 23.57%+0.45 +4.8 30
2012-01-21 @ Bristol City L 1-260.7 1626 1684 23.57% 24.63% 51.80%-0.45 -4.8 23
2012-01-21 Hull City L 0-165.1 1825 1756 53.18% 24.35% 22.47%+0.50 -9.7 42
2012-01-21 @ Reading W 1-065.1 1756 1825 22.47% 24.35% 53.18%-0.50 +9.7 45
2012-01-21 Ipswich Town W 3-157.0 1746 1664 54.77% 24.00% 21.23%+0.55 +7.5 42
2012-01-21 @ Leeds United L 1-357.0 1664 1746 21.23% 24.00% 54.77%-0.55 -7.5 28
2012-01-21 Middlesbrough W 3-165.2 1643 1768 27.43% 25.34% 47.22%-0.36 +14.3 22
2012-01-21 @ Coventry City L 1-365.2 1768 1643 47.22% 25.34% 27.43%+0.36 -14.3 45
2012-01-21 Millwall L 1-365.0 1704 1685 46.73% 25.40% 27.86%+0.27 -14.2 36
2012-01-21 @ Barnsley W 3-165.0 1685 1704 27.86% 25.40% 46.73%-0.27 +14.2 29
2012-01-21 Nottingham Forest W 2-157.5 1856 1659 66.94% 19.99% 13.07%+1.06 +2.6 53
2012-01-21 @ West Ham L 1-257.5 1659 1856 13.07% 19.99% 66.94%-1.06 -2.6 24
2012-01-21 Portsmouth W 3-266.2 1832 1742 55.65% 23.79% 20.56%+0.59 +4.0 49
2012-01-21 @ Cardiff City L 2-366.2 1742 1832 20.56% 23.79% 55.65%-0.59 -4.0 31
2012-01-21 Watford W 3-047.3 1855 1700 62.81% 21.61% 15.59%+0.87 +9.2 43
2012-01-21 @ Birmingham City L 0-347.3 1700 1855 15.59% 21.61% 62.81%-0.87 -9.2 30
2012-01-23 Leicester City L 0-260.5 1802 1760 49.81% 24.98% 25.22%+0.38 -17.3 50
2012-01-23 @ Southampton W 2-060.5 1760 1802 25.22% 24.98% 49.81%-0.38 +17.3 38
2012-01-28 Bristol City W 1-053.7 1816 1689 59.83% 22.61% 17.56%+0.75 +3.8 45
2012-01-28 @ Reading L 0-153.7 1689 1816 17.56% 22.61% 59.83%-0.75 -3.8 30
2012-01-28 Portsmouth L 0-354.8 1691 1738 37.70% 25.95% 36.34%-0.01 -20.1 33
2012-01-28 @ Peterborough United W 3-054.8 1738 1691 36.34% 25.95% 37.70%+0.01 +20.1 34
2012-01-31 Birmingham City L 1-457.8 1754 1864 29.17% 25.56% 45.27%-0.29 -13.9 42
2012-01-31 @ Leeds United W 4-157.8 1864 1754 45.27% 25.56% 29.17%+0.29 +13.9 46
2012-01-31 Brighton D 1-172.3 1705 1717 42.66% 25.77% 31.56%+0.14 -0.4 38
2012-01-31 @ Crystal Palace D 1-172.3 1717 1705 31.56% 25.77% 42.66%-0.14 +0.4 42
2012-01-31 Burnley L 0-253.8 1657 1770 28.81% 25.52% 45.67%-0.31 -11.2 24
2012-01-31 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-053.8 1770 1657 45.67% 25.52% 28.81%+0.31 +11.2 43
2012-01-31 Cardiff City D 1-172.9 1785 1836 37.16% 25.96% 36.88%-0.03 -0.0 51
2012-01-31 @ Southampton D 1-172.9 1836 1785 36.88% 25.96% 37.16%+0.03 +0.0 50
2012-01-31 Coventry City W 2-158.4 1819 1657 63.51% 21.35% 15.14%+0.90 +3.1 45
2012-01-31 @ Blackpool L 1-258.4 1657 1819 15.14% 21.35% 63.51%-0.90 -3.1 22
2012-01-31 Derby County W 3-269.5 1689 1704 42.21% 25.80% 31.98%+0.13 +5.8 39
2012-01-31 @ Barnsley L 2-369.5 1704 1689 31.98% 25.80% 42.21%-0.13 -5.8 41
2012-01-31 Doncaster Rovers D 0-068.3 1766 1621 61.70% 22.00% 16.30%+0.83 -2.1 46
2012-01-31 @ Hull City D 0-068.3 1621 1766 16.30% 22.00% 61.70%-0.83 +2.1 24
2012-01-31 Watford L 0-258.6 1699 1691 45.46% 25.54% 29.00%+0.23 -16.0 29
2012-01-31 @ Millwall W 2-058.6 1691 1699 29.00% 25.54% 45.46%-0.23 +16.0 33
2012-01-31 West Ham W 5-163.9 1656 1859 19.78% 23.52% 56.70%-0.70 +30.4 31
2012-01-31 @ Ipswich Town L 1-563.9 1859 1656 56.70% 23.52% 19.78%+0.70 -30.4 53
2012-02-01 Middlesbrough D 2-278.9 1777 1754 47.41% 25.32% 27.27%+0.30 -0.6 39
2012-02-01 @ Leicester City D 2-278.9 1754 1777 27.27% 25.32% 47.41%-0.30 +0.6 46
2012-02-04 Barnsley W 2-163.3 1707 1695 45.85% 25.50% 28.65%+0.24 +5.6 36
2012-02-04 @ Watford L 1-263.3 1695 1707 28.65% 25.50% 45.85%-0.24 -5.6 39
2012-02-04 Blackpool L 1-365.7 1836 1822 46.08% 25.48% 28.45%+0.25 -14.0 50
2012-02-04 @ Cardiff City W 3-165.7 1822 1836 28.45% 25.48% 46.08%-0.25 +14.0 48
2012-02-04 Crystal Palace D 0-067.9 1755 1705 50.79% 24.81% 24.40%+0.41 -1.2 47
2012-02-04 @ Middlesbrough D 0-067.9 1705 1755 24.40% 24.81% 50.79%-0.41 +1.2 39
2012-02-04 Ipswich Town L 2-371.4 1654 1687 39.74% 25.91% 34.34%+0.05 -6.8 22
2012-02-04 @ Coventry City W 3-271.4 1687 1654 34.34% 25.91% 39.74%-0.05 +6.8 34
2012-02-04 Leeds United L 0-354.5 1685 1740 36.57% 25.95% 37.47%-0.05 -19.7 30
2012-02-04 @ Bristol City W 3-054.5 1740 1685 37.47% 25.95% 36.57%+0.05 +19.7 45
2012-02-04 Leicester City W 1-060.8 1718 1777 35.94% 25.95% 38.11%-0.07 +7.4 45
2012-02-04 @ Brighton L 0-160.8 1777 1718 38.11% 25.95% 35.94%+0.07 -7.4 39
2012-02-04 Millwall W 2-159.1 1828 1683 61.75% 21.98% 16.27%+0.83 +3.3 56
2012-02-04 @ West Ham L 1-259.1 1683 1828 16.27% 21.98% 61.75%-0.83 -3.3 29
2012-02-04 Peterborough United D 1-173.3 1782 1671 58.06% 23.14% 18.80%+0.68 -1.6 44
2012-02-04 @ Burnley D 1-173.3 1671 1782 18.80% 23.14% 58.06%-0.68 +1.6 34
2012-02-04 Southampton D 0-068.7 1878 1785 56.07% 23.68% 20.25%+0.60 -1.6 47
2012-02-04 @ Birmingham City D 0-068.7 1785 1878 20.25% 23.68% 56.07%-0.60 +1.7 52
2012-02-07 Portsmouth W 1-054.2 1877 1758 58.93% 22.89% 18.18%+0.71 +3.9 50
2012-02-07 @ Birmingham City L 0-154.2 1758 1877 18.18% 22.89% 58.93%-0.71 -4.0 34
2012-02-11 Brighton L 1-269.7 1759 1725 48.85% 25.12% 26.03%+0.34 -8.5 45
2012-02-11 @ Leeds United W 2-169.7 1725 1759 26.03% 25.12% 48.85%-0.34 +8.5 48
2012-02-11 Bristol City W 3-048.7 1764 1665 56.66% 23.53% 19.81%+0.63 +11.8 49
2012-02-11 @ Hull City L 0-348.7 1665 1764 19.81% 23.53% 56.66%-0.63 -11.8 30
2012-02-11 Burnley W 2-054.5 1786 1780 45.16% 25.57% 29.27%+0.22 +11.4 55
2012-02-11 @ Southampton L 0-254.5 1780 1786 29.27% 25.57% 45.16%-0.22 -11.4 44
2012-02-11 Cardiff City W 2-166.7 1769 1822 36.96% 25.96% 37.09%-0.04 +6.8 42
2012-02-11 @ Leicester City L 1-266.7 1822 1769 37.09% 25.96% 36.96%+0.04 -6.8 50
2012-02-11 Coventry City W 2-048.4 1820 1647 64.54% 20.96% 14.50%+0.95 +5.9 48
2012-02-11 @ Reading L 0-248.4 1647 1820 14.50% 20.96% 64.54%-0.95 -5.9 22
2012-02-11 Derby County D 0-067.1 1680 1699 41.73% 25.83% 32.44%+0.11 -0.4 30
2012-02-11 @ Millwall D 0-067.1 1699 1680 32.44% 25.83% 41.73%-0.11 +0.4 42
2012-02-11 Portsmouth D 1-173.4 1836 1754 54.77% 24.00% 21.23%+0.55 -1.4 49
2012-02-11 @ Blackpool D 1-173.4 1754 1836 21.23% 24.00% 54.77%-0.55 +1.4 35
2012-02-11 Watford D 1-171.8 1645 1712 34.87% 25.93% 39.20%-0.10 +0.2 25
2012-02-11 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.8 1712 1645 39.20% 25.93% 34.87%+0.10 -0.2 37
2012-02-14 Barnsley W 2-051.4 1769 1690 54.38% 24.09% 21.53%+0.54 +8.7 47
2012-02-14 @ Burnley L 0-251.4 1690 1769 21.53% 24.09% 54.38%-0.54 -8.8 39
2012-02-14 Blackpool L 1-356.4 1624 1835 19.04% 23.24% 57.72%-0.74 -6.8 24
2012-02-14 @ Doncaster Rovers W 3-156.4 1835 1624 57.72% 23.24% 19.04%+0.74 +6.7 52
2012-02-14 Crystal Palace D 2-277.8 1654 1706 36.90% 25.96% 37.14%-0.04 +0.0 31
2012-02-14 @ Bristol City D 2-277.8 1706 1654 37.14% 25.96% 36.90%+0.04 +0.0 40
2012-02-14 Hull City D 0-068.8 1881 1776 57.39% 23.33% 19.28%+0.65 -1.8 51
2012-02-14 @ Birmingham City D 0-068.8 1776 1881 19.28% 23.33% 57.39%-0.65 +1.8 50
2012-02-14 Ipswich Town L 0-164.4 1755 1694 52.27% 24.54% 23.19%+0.46 -9.5 35
2012-02-14 @ Portsmouth W 1-064.4 1694 1755 23.19% 24.54% 52.27%-0.46 +9.5 37
2012-02-14 Leeds United W 2-168.2 1641 1751 29.31% 25.58% 45.11%-0.29 +7.9 25
2012-02-14 @ Coventry City L 1-268.2 1751 1641 45.11% 25.58% 29.31%+0.29 -8.0 45
2012-02-14 Leicester City W 3-272.1 1712 1776 35.27% 25.94% 38.79%-0.09 +6.7 40
2012-02-14 @ Watford L 2-372.1 1776 1712 38.79% 25.94% 35.27%+0.09 -6.7 42
2012-02-14 Millwall D 2-278.6 1733 1680 51.29% 24.72% 23.98%+0.43 -0.8 49
2012-02-14 @ Brighton D 2-278.6 1680 1733 23.98% 24.72% 51.29%-0.43 +0.8 31
2012-02-14 Nottingham Forest W 2-159.8 1753 1646 57.71% 23.24% 19.05%+0.67 +3.9 50
2012-02-14 @ Middlesbrough L 1-259.8 1646 1753 19.05% 23.24% 57.71%-0.67 -3.9 25
2012-02-14 Peterborough United W 3-155.4 1815 1672 61.48% 22.07% 16.45%+0.82 +5.8 53
2012-02-14 @ Cardiff City L 1-355.4 1672 1815 16.45% 22.07% 61.48%-0.82 -5.8 34
2012-02-14 Reading L 0-157.5 1699 1825 27.31% 25.33% 47.37%-0.36 -5.7 42
2012-02-14 @ Derby County W 1-057.5 1825 1699 47.37% 25.33% 27.31%+0.36 +5.7 51
2012-02-14 Southampton D 1-173.1 1832 1798 48.77% 25.13% 26.10%+0.34 -0.9 57
2012-02-14 @ West Ham D 1-173.1 1798 1832 26.10% 25.13% 48.77%-0.34 +0.9 56
2012-02-17 Burnley W 1-056.5 1831 1777 51.30% 24.72% 23.98%+0.43 +5.1 54
2012-02-17 @ Reading L 0-156.5 1777 1831 23.98% 24.72% 51.30%-0.43 -5.1 47
2012-02-18 Bristol City W 3-051.0 1666 1654 46.03% 25.48% 28.49%+0.25 +16.2 37
2012-02-18 @ Peterborough United L 0-351.0 1654 1666 28.49% 25.48% 46.03%-0.25 -16.2 31
2012-02-18 Cardiff City W 3-057.6 1703 1821 28.37% 25.47% 46.17%-0.32 +23.5 40
2012-02-18 @ Ipswich Town L 0-357.6 1821 1703 46.17% 25.47% 28.37%+0.32 -23.5 53
2012-02-18 Coventry City W 2-053.3 1642 1649 43.23% 25.73% 31.04%+0.16 +11.9 28
2012-02-18 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-253.3 1649 1642 31.04% 25.73% 43.23%-0.16 -11.9 25
2012-02-18 Derby County W 4-048.8 1799 1693 57.44% 23.32% 19.24%+0.66 +14.9 59
2012-02-18 @ Southampton L 0-448.8 1693 1799 19.24% 23.32% 57.44%-0.66 -14.9 42
2012-02-18 Doncaster Rovers W 3-264.0 1743 1617 59.74% 22.64% 17.62%+0.75 +3.4 48
2012-02-18 @ Leeds United L 2-364.0 1617 1743 17.62% 22.64% 59.74%-0.75 -3.4 24
2012-02-18 Portsmouth W 2-057.0 1681 1746 35.14% 25.94% 38.92%-0.09 +14.2 42
2012-02-18 @ Barnsley L 0-257.0 1746 1681 38.92% 25.94% 35.14%+0.09 -14.2 35
2012-02-18 Watford W 4-053.0 1706 1719 42.52% 25.78% 31.70%+0.14 +23.0 43
2012-02-18 @ Crystal Palace L 0-453.0 1719 1706 31.70% 25.78% 42.52%-0.14 -23.0 40
2012-02-21 Birmingham City L 1-357.7 1695 1879 21.41% 24.05% 54.54%-0.62 -7.5 42
2012-02-21 @ Barnsley W 3-157.7 1879 1695 54.54% 24.05% 21.41%+0.62 +7.5 54
2012-02-21 Middlesbrough L 1-361.5 1681 1757 33.52% 25.88% 40.60%-0.15 -11.0 31
2012-02-21 @ Millwall W 3-161.5 1757 1681 40.60% 25.88% 33.52%+0.15 +11.0 53
2012-02-21 West Ham L 1-462.9 1842 1831 45.75% 25.51% 28.74%+0.24 -19.7 52
2012-02-21 @ Blackpool W 4-162.9 1831 1842 28.74% 25.51% 45.75%-0.24 +19.7 60
2012-02-22 Brighton D 0-068.0 1777 1733 50.17% 24.92% 24.92%+0.39 -1.1 51
2012-02-22 @ Hull City D 0-068.0 1733 1777 24.92% 24.92% 50.17%-0.39 +1.1 50
2012-02-23 Leicester City L 0-158.6 1678 1770 31.62% 25.78% 42.61%-0.21 -6.4 42
2012-02-23 @ Derby County W 1-058.6 1770 1678 42.61% 25.78% 31.62%+0.21 +6.4 45
2012-02-25 Barnsley W 1-059.3 1637 1687 37.27% 25.96% 36.78%-0.03 +7.2 28
2012-02-25 @ Coventry City L 0-159.3 1687 1637 36.78% 25.96% 37.27%+0.03 -7.2 42
2012-02-25 Blackpool L 1-357.3 1637 1822 21.34% 24.03% 54.63%-0.62 -7.5 31
2012-02-25 @ Bristol City W 3-157.3 1822 1637 54.63% 24.03% 21.34%+0.62 +7.5 55
2012-02-25 Crystal Palace D 0-068.8 1851 1729 59.22% 22.80% 17.98%+0.73 -1.9 61
2012-02-25 @ West Ham D 0-068.8 1729 1851 17.98% 22.80% 59.22%-0.73 +1.9 44
2012-02-25 Ipswich Town W 3-052.3 1734 1727 45.23% 25.56% 29.20%+0.22 +16.5 53
2012-02-25 @ Brighton L 0-352.3 1727 1734 29.20% 25.56% 45.23%-0.22 -16.5 40
2012-02-25 Leeds United D 0-067.6 1732 1746 42.24% 25.80% 31.96%+0.13 -0.4 36
2012-02-25 @ Portsmouth D 0-067.6 1746 1732 31.96% 25.80% 42.24%-0.13 +0.4 49
2012-02-25 Millwall L 1-367.8 1772 1670 57.13% 23.40% 19.47%+0.64 -16.8 47
2012-02-25 @ Burnley W 3-167.8 1670 1772 19.47% 23.40% 57.13%-0.64 +16.8 34
2012-02-25 Nottingham Forest L 1-274.3 1886 1654 70.25% 18.51% 11.23%+1.22 -11.4 54
2012-02-25 @ Birmingham City W 2-174.3 1654 1886 11.23% 18.51% 70.25%-1.22 +11.4 31
2012-02-25 Peterborough United D 1-171.1 1613 1683 34.55% 25.92% 39.53%-0.11 +0.2 25
2012-02-25 @ Doncaster Rovers D 1-171.1 1683 1613 39.53% 25.92% 34.55%+0.11 -0.2 38
2012-02-25 Reading L 0-256.3 1768 1836 34.72% 25.93% 39.35%-0.11 -13.0 53
2012-02-25 @ Middlesbrough W 2-056.3 1836 1768 39.35% 25.93% 34.72%+0.11 +13.0 57
2012-02-25 Southampton L 0-352.2 1696 1814 28.31% 25.46% 46.22%-0.33 -16.1 40
2012-02-25 @ Watford W 3-052.2 1814 1696 46.22% 25.46% 28.31%+0.33 +16.1 62
2012-03-02 Hull City D 1-173.2 1829 1776 51.23% 24.73% 24.04%+0.43 -1.1 56
2012-03-02 @ Blackpool D 1-173.2 1776 1829 24.04% 24.73% 51.23%-0.43 +1.1 52
2012-03-03 Brighton D 1-172.1 1614 1750 26.16% 25.15% 48.69%-0.41 +0.9 26
2012-03-03 @ Doncaster Rovers D 1-172.1 1750 1614 48.69% 25.15% 26.16%+0.41 -0.9 54
2012-03-03 Bristol City W 3-048.7 1710 1630 54.53% 24.05% 21.41%+0.55 +12.6 43
2012-03-03 @ Ipswich Town L 0-348.7 1630 1710 21.41% 24.05% 54.53%-0.55 -12.6 31
2012-03-03 Burnley W 3-272.3 1680 1755 33.67% 25.89% 40.44%-0.14 +6.9 43
2012-03-03 @ Watford L 2-372.3 1755 1680 40.44% 25.89% 33.67%+0.14 -6.9 47
2012-03-03 Coventry City W 2-049.4 1776 1645 60.30% 22.46% 17.24%+0.77 +7.1 48
2012-03-03 @ Leicester City L 0-249.4 1645 1776 17.24% 22.46% 60.30%-0.77 -7.1 28
2012-03-03 Derby County D 2-280.6 1875 1672 67.53% 19.74% 12.74%+1.09 -1.7 55
2012-03-03 @ Birmingham City D 2-280.6 1672 1875 12.74% 19.74% 67.53%-1.09 +1.7 43
2012-03-03 Middlesbrough L 1-363.9 1731 1755 40.95% 25.87% 33.19%+0.09 -12.8 36
2012-03-03 @ Portsmouth W 3-163.9 1755 1731 33.19% 25.87% 40.95%-0.09 +12.8 56
2012-03-03 Nottingham Forest D 1-171.8 1680 1665 46.32% 25.45% 28.23%+0.26 -0.7 43
2012-03-03 @ Barnsley D 1-171.8 1665 1680 28.23% 25.45% 46.32%-0.26 +0.7 32
2012-03-03 Peterborough United W 1-056.0 1731 1682 50.64% 24.84% 24.52%+0.41 +5.2 47
2012-03-03 @ Crystal Palace L 0-156.0 1682 1731 24.52% 24.84% 50.64%-0.41 -5.2 38
2012-03-03 Reading L 1-262.1 1686 1849 23.40% 24.59% 52.02%-0.53 -4.7 34
2012-03-03 @ Millwall W 2-162.1 1849 1686 52.02% 24.59% 23.40%+0.53 +4.7 60
2012-03-03 Southampton L 0-159.4 1747 1830 32.70% 25.84% 41.46%-0.17 -6.6 49
2012-03-03 @ Leeds United W 1-059.4 1830 1747 41.46% 25.84% 32.70%+0.17 +6.6 65
2012-03-04 West Ham L 0-257.1 1797 1849 37.04% 25.96% 37.00%-0.03 -13.7 53
2012-03-04 @ Cardiff City W 2-057.1 1849 1797 37.00% 25.96% 37.04%+0.03 +13.7 64
2012-03-06 Barnsley W 2-051.0 1768 1680 55.49% 23.83% 20.68%+0.58 +8.4 59
2012-03-06 @ Middlesbrough L 0-251.0 1680 1768 20.68% 23.83% 55.49%-0.58 -8.4 43
2012-03-06 Blackpool W 2-170.3 1674 1828 24.24% 24.78% 50.99%-0.49 +8.8 46
2012-03-06 @ Derby County L 1-270.3 1828 1674 50.99% 24.78% 24.24%+0.49 -8.8 56
2012-03-06 Crystal Palace D 1-172.0 1638 1736 30.66% 25.70% 43.63%-0.24 +0.5 29
2012-03-06 @ Coventry City D 1-172.0 1736 1638 43.63% 25.70% 30.66%+0.24 -0.5 48
2012-03-06 Doncaster Rovers L 1-268.6 1666 1614 50.98% 24.78% 24.24%+0.42 -8.8 32
2012-03-06 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-168.6 1614 1666 24.24% 24.78% 50.98%-0.42 +8.8 29
2012-03-06 Ipswich Town D 1-173.6 1836 1723 58.35% 23.06% 18.59%+0.69 -1.7 66
2012-03-06 @ Southampton D 1-173.6 1723 1836 18.59% 23.06% 58.35%-0.69 +1.7 44
2012-03-06 Leeds United D 0-068.0 1777 1740 49.19% 25.07% 25.74%+0.36 -1.0 53
2012-03-06 @ Hull City D 0-068.0 1740 1777 25.74% 25.07% 49.19%-0.36 +1.0 50
2012-03-06 Leicester City W 3-275.3 1617 1783 23.11% 24.52% 52.37%-0.54 +8.5 34
2012-03-06 @ Bristol City L 2-375.3 1783 1617 52.37% 24.52% 23.11%+0.54 -8.5 48
2012-03-06 Millwall L 0-356.0 1677 1682 43.69% 25.70% 30.61%+0.17 -22.5 38
2012-03-06 @ Peterborough United W 3-056.0 1682 1677 30.61% 25.70% 43.69%-0.17 +22.5 37
2012-03-06 Portsmouth W 1-053.6 1854 1718 60.76% 22.31% 16.93%+0.79 +3.7 63
2012-03-06 @ Reading L 0-153.6 1718 1854 16.93% 22.31% 60.76%-0.79 -3.7 36
2012-03-07 Cardiff City D 2-278.7 1749 1783 39.55% 25.92% 34.53%+0.04 -0.1 55
2012-03-07 @ Brighton D 2-278.7 1783 1749 34.53% 25.92% 39.55%-0.04 +0.1 54
2012-03-07 Watford D 1-174.3 1862 1687 64.87% 20.83% 14.30%+0.96 -2.2 65
2012-03-07 @ West Ham D 1-174.3 1687 1862 14.30% 20.83% 64.87%-0.96 +2.1 44
2012-03-10 Barnsley W 2-048.8 1835 1671 63.68% 21.29% 15.04%+0.91 +6.1 69
2012-03-10 @ Southampton L 0-248.8 1671 1835 15.04% 21.29% 63.68%-0.91 -6.1 43
2012-03-10 Birmingham City D 1-173.7 1638 1873 17.21% 22.45% 60.34%-0.84 +1.8 30
2012-03-10 @ Coventry City D 1-173.7 1873 1638 60.34% 22.45% 17.21%+0.84 -1.8 56
2012-03-10 Blackpool W 3-166.8 1655 1820 23.21% 24.54% 52.24%-0.53 +15.5 41
2012-03-10 @ Peterborough United L 1-366.8 1820 1655 52.24% 24.54% 23.21%+0.53 -15.5 56
2012-03-10 Cardiff City L 1-261.7 1626 1784 23.92% 24.71% 51.37%-0.50 -4.8 34
2012-03-10 @ Bristol City W 2-161.7 1784 1626 51.37% 24.71% 23.92%+0.50 +4.8 57
2012-03-10 Crystal Palace D 1-172.7 1749 1736 46.01% 25.48% 28.50%+0.25 -0.7 48
2012-03-10 @ Burnley D 1-172.7 1736 1749 28.50% 25.48% 46.01%-0.25 +0.7 49
2012-03-10 Doncaster Rovers D 1-174.8 1860 1623 70.62% 18.34% 11.04%+1.23 -2.5 66
2012-03-10 @ West Ham D 1-174.8 1623 1860 11.04% 18.34% 70.62%-1.23 +2.5 30
2012-03-10 Ipswich Town D 2-279.0 1776 1725 51.05% 24.77% 24.18%+0.42 -0.8 54
2012-03-10 @ Hull City D 2-279.0 1725 1776 24.18% 24.77% 51.05%-0.42 +0.8 45
2012-03-10 Leicester City W 3-157.7 1858 1775 54.87% 23.98% 21.16%+0.56 +7.5 66
2012-03-10 @ Reading L 1-357.7 1775 1858 21.16% 23.98% 54.87%-0.56 -7.5 48
2012-03-10 Millwall W 3-161.8 1657 1704 37.68% 25.95% 36.37%-0.02 +11.7 35
2012-03-10 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-361.8 1704 1657 36.37% 25.95% 37.68%+0.02 -11.7 37
2012-03-10 Portsmouth W 2-053.1 1749 1715 48.86% 25.12% 26.02%+0.34 +10.3 58
2012-03-10 @ Brighton L 0-253.1 1715 1749 26.02% 25.12% 48.86%-0.34 -10.3 36
2012-03-10 Watford L 1-267.6 1682 1689 43.41% 25.72% 30.87%+0.16 -7.7 46
2012-03-10 @ Derby County W 2-167.6 1689 1682 30.87% 25.72% 43.41%-0.16 +7.7 47
2012-03-11 Leeds United L 0-260.1 1776 1741 48.94% 25.11% 25.95%+0.35 -17.0 59
2012-03-11 @ Middlesbrough W 2-060.1 1741 1776 25.95% 25.11% 48.94%-0.35 +17.0 53
2012-03-13 Birmingham City W 3-165.2 1767 1871 29.95% 25.64% 44.41%-0.27 +13.6 51
2012-03-13 @ Leicester City L 1-365.2 1871 1767 44.41% 25.64% 29.95%+0.27 -13.6 56
2012-03-13 Hull City L 0-357.6 1788 1776 46.01% 25.48% 28.51%+0.25 -23.5 57
2012-03-13 @ Cardiff City W 3-057.6 1776 1788 28.51% 25.48% 46.01%-0.25 +23.5 57
2012-03-13 Nottingham Forest W 1-057.1 1675 1669 45.11% 25.58% 29.31%+0.22 +6.0 49
2012-03-13 @ Derby County L 0-157.1 1669 1675 29.31% 25.58% 45.11%-0.22 -6.1 35
2012-03-13 Reading D 1-173.7 1626 1865 16.91% 22.30% 60.79%-0.86 +1.8 31
2012-03-13 @ Doncaster Rovers D 1-173.7 1865 1626 60.79% 22.30% 16.91%+0.86 -1.9 67
2012-03-17 Brighton W 3-159.0 1804 1760 50.13% 24.92% 24.95%+0.39 +8.6 59
2012-03-17 @ Blackpool L 1-359.0 1760 1804 24.95% 24.92% 50.13%-0.39 -8.6 58
2012-03-17 Bristol City D 0-067.1 1704 1621 54.90% 23.97% 21.13%+0.56 -1.5 37
2012-03-17 @ Portsmouth D 0-067.1 1621 1704 21.13% 23.97% 54.90%-0.56 +1.5 35
2012-03-17 Coventry City D 0-067.0 1697 1640 51.66% 24.65% 23.69%+0.44 -1.3 48
2012-03-17 @ Watford D 0-067.0 1640 1697 23.69% 24.65% 51.66%-0.44 +1.3 31
2012-03-17 Derby County L 1-265.1 1628 1681 36.82% 25.96% 37.23%-0.04 -6.8 31
2012-03-17 @ Doncaster Rovers W 2-165.1 1681 1628 37.23% 25.96% 36.82%+0.04 +6.8 52
2012-03-17 Hull City D 0-067.8 1736 1799 35.48% 25.94% 38.58%-0.08 +0.1 50
2012-03-17 @ Crystal Palace D 0-067.8 1799 1736 38.58% 25.94% 35.48%+0.08 -0.1 58
2012-03-17 Middlesbrough W 3-049.3 1858 1759 56.63% 23.54% 19.84%+0.62 +11.8 59
2012-03-17 @ Birmingham City L 0-349.3 1759 1858 19.84% 23.54% 56.63%-0.62 -11.8 59
2012-03-17 Peterborough United W 3-266.7 1725 1670 51.45% 24.69% 23.86%+0.43 +4.5 48
2012-03-17 @ Ipswich Town L 2-366.7 1670 1725 23.86% 24.69% 51.45%-0.43 -4.5 41
2012-03-17 Reading L 0-449.3 1665 1863 20.13% 23.64% 56.24%-0.68 -15.6 43
2012-03-17 @ Barnsley W 4-049.3 1863 1665 56.24% 23.64% 20.13%+0.68 +15.6 70
2012-03-17 Southampton L 2-367.7 1692 1841 24.89% 24.91% 50.20%-0.46 -4.7 37
2012-03-17 @ Millwall W 3-267.7 1841 1692 50.20% 24.91% 24.89%+0.46 +4.7 72
2012-03-17 West Ham D 1-172.9 1758 1858 30.59% 25.70% 43.71%-0.24 +0.5 54
2012-03-17 @ Leeds United D 1-172.9 1858 1758 43.71% 25.70% 30.59%+0.24 -0.5 67
2012-03-18 Burnley D 0-067.9 1765 1748 46.56% 25.42% 28.02%+0.27 -0.8 58
2012-03-18 @ Cardiff City D 0-067.9 1748 1765 28.02% 25.42% 46.56%-0.27 +0.8 49
2012-03-20 Barnsley W 1-054.4 1737 1649 55.33% 23.86% 20.80%+0.58 +4.5 53
2012-03-20 @ Crystal Palace L 0-154.4 1649 1737 20.80% 23.86% 55.33%-0.58 -4.5 43
2012-03-20 Birmingham City W 4-164.4 1703 1870 23.03% 24.50% 52.48%-0.54 +22.1 40
2012-03-20 @ Portsmouth L 1-464.4 1870 1703 52.48% 24.50% 23.03%+0.54 -22.1 59
2012-03-20 Derby County W 2-051.9 1751 1688 52.48% 24.50% 23.03%+0.47 +9.3 61
2012-03-20 @ Brighton L 0-251.9 1688 1751 23.03% 24.50% 52.48%-0.47 -9.3 52
2012-03-20 Middlesbrough D 1-173.7 1857 1748 57.88% 23.19% 18.93%+0.67 -1.6 68
2012-03-20 @ West Ham D 1-173.7 1748 1857 18.93% 23.19% 57.88%-0.67 +1.6 60
2012-03-20 Millwall L 0-352.9 1621 1688 34.88% 25.93% 39.19%-0.10 -19.0 31
2012-03-20 @ Doncaster Rovers W 3-052.9 1688 1621 39.19% 25.93% 34.88%+0.10 +19.0 40
2012-03-20 Nottingham Forest L 3-765.3 1759 1663 56.39% 23.60% 20.01%+0.62 -23.4 54
2012-03-20 @ Leeds United W 7-365.3 1663 1759 20.01% 23.60% 56.39%-0.62 +23.5 38
2012-03-20 Reading W 3-168.4 1666 1879 18.90% 23.18% 57.92%-0.75 +17.0 44
2012-03-20 @ Peterborough United L 1-368.4 1879 1666 57.92% 23.18% 18.90%+0.75 -17.0 70
2012-03-20 Southampton L 0-257.3 1799 1846 37.73% 25.95% 36.31%-0.01 -13.8 58
2012-03-20 @ Hull City W 2-057.3 1846 1799 36.31% 25.95% 37.73%+0.01 +13.9 75
2012-03-20 Watford L 0-254.6 1622 1695 34.06% 25.90% 40.03%-0.13 -12.8 35
2012-03-20 @ Bristol City W 2-054.6 1695 1622 40.03% 25.90% 34.06%+0.13 +12.8 51
2012-03-21 Burnley W 1-059.0 1730 1749 41.69% 25.83% 32.48%+0.11 +6.6 51
2012-03-21 @ Ipswich Town L 0-159.0 1749 1730 32.48% 25.83% 41.69%-0.11 -6.6 49
2012-03-21 Coventry City D 2-279.1 1764 1641 59.38% 22.75% 17.87%+0.73 -1.3 59
2012-03-21 @ Cardiff City D 2-279.1 1641 1764 17.87% 22.75% 59.38%-0.73 +1.3 32
2012-03-21 Leicester City D 3-382.8 1813 1781 48.53% 25.17% 26.30%+0.33 -0.5 60
2012-03-21 @ Blackpool D 3-382.8 1781 1813 26.30% 25.17% 48.53%-0.33 +0.5 52
2012-03-24 Blackpool W 3-159.0 1862 1812 50.80% 24.81% 24.39%+0.41 +8.5 73
2012-03-24 @ Reading L 1-359.0 1812 1862 24.39% 24.81% 50.80%-0.41 -8.5 60
2012-03-24 Brighton D 1-172.4 1686 1760 33.87% 25.90% 40.23%-0.13 +0.2 39
2012-03-24 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-172.4 1760 1686 40.23% 25.90% 33.87%+0.13 -0.2 62
2012-03-24 Bristol City D 1-172.9 1749 1610 61.19% 22.17% 16.64%+0.81 -1.9 61
2012-03-24 @ Middlesbrough D 1-172.9 1610 1749 16.64% 22.17% 61.19%-0.81 +1.9 36
2012-03-24 Crystal Palace W 3-271.7 1678 1741 35.46% 25.94% 38.60%-0.08 +6.7 55
2012-03-24 @ Derby County L 2-371.7 1741 1678 38.60% 25.94% 35.46%+0.08 -6.7 53
2012-03-24 Doncaster Rovers W 2-046.0 1859 1602 72.42% 17.47% 10.11%+1.33 +3.9 78
2012-03-24 @ Southampton L 0-246.0 1602 1859 10.11% 17.47% 72.42%-1.33 -4.0 31
2012-03-24 Hull City W 2-164.6 1781 1785 43.76% 25.69% 30.54%+0.18 +5.9 55
2012-03-24 @ Leicester City L 1-264.6 1785 1781 30.54% 25.69% 43.76%-0.18 -5.9 58
2012-03-24 Ipswich Town W 2-165.2 1708 1736 40.36% 25.89% 33.75%+0.07 +6.4 54
2012-03-24 @ Watford L 1-265.2 1736 1708 33.75% 25.89% 40.36%-0.07 -6.4 51
2012-03-24 Leeds United L 0-161.2 1707 1735 40.31% 25.90% 33.80%+0.07 -7.7 40
2012-03-24 @ Millwall W 1-061.2 1735 1707 33.80% 25.90% 40.31%-0.07 +7.7 57
2012-03-24 Peterborough United W 1-058.8 1645 1683 39.01% 25.93% 35.06%+0.03 +6.9 46
2012-03-24 @ Barnsley L 0-158.8 1683 1645 35.06% 25.93% 39.01%-0.03 -7.0 44
2012-03-24 Portsmouth W 2-057.3 1642 1725 32.76% 25.85% 41.39%-0.17 +14.9 35
2012-03-24 @ Coventry City L 0-257.3 1725 1642 41.39% 25.85% 32.76%+0.17 -14.9 40
2012-03-24 West Ham D 2-279.0 1742 1855 28.86% 25.53% 45.62%-0.31 +0.5 50
2012-03-24 @ Burnley D 2-279.0 1855 1742 45.62% 25.53% 28.86%+0.31 -0.5 69
2012-03-25 Cardiff City D 1-173.5 1847 1763 55.05% 23.93% 21.02%+0.56 -1.4 60
2012-03-25 @ Birmingham City D 1-173.5 1763 1847 21.02% 23.93% 55.05%-0.56 +1.4 60
2012-03-27 Doncaster Rovers D 1-172.6 1734 1598 60.84% 22.29% 16.87%+0.79 -1.8 54
2012-03-27 @ Crystal Palace D 1-172.6 1598 1734 16.87% 22.29% 60.84%-0.79 +1.8 32
2012-03-27 Hull City W 2-057.5 1710 1779 34.57% 25.92% 39.50%-0.11 +14.3 43
2012-03-27 @ Portsmouth L 0-257.5 1779 1710 39.50% 25.92% 34.57%+0.11 -14.3 58
2012-03-27 Middlesbrough D 1-172.6 1730 1747 41.89% 25.82% 32.29%+0.12 -0.4 52
2012-03-27 @ Ipswich Town D 1-172.6 1747 1730 32.29% 25.82% 41.89%-0.12 +0.4 62
2012-03-27 Nottingham Forest D 0-068.3 1787 1686 56.91% 23.46% 19.63%+0.64 -1.7 56
2012-03-27 @ Leicester City D 0-068.3 1686 1787 19.63% 23.46% 56.91%-0.64 +1.7 40
2012-03-27 West Ham L 0-251.8 1676 1855 21.84% 24.18% 53.98%-0.60 -8.9 44
2012-03-27 @ Peterborough United W 2-051.8 1855 1676 53.98% 24.18% 21.84%+0.60 +8.9 72
2012-03-30 Birmingham City L 1-355.2 1600 1846 16.42% 22.06% 61.52%-0.89 -5.8 32
2012-03-30 @ Doncaster Rovers W 3-155.2 1846 1600 61.52% 22.06% 16.42%+0.89 +5.8 63
2012-03-31 Barnsley W 1-054.7 1730 1652 54.23% 24.12% 21.65%+0.53 +4.7 55
2012-03-31 @ Ipswich Town L 0-154.7 1652 1730 21.65% 24.12% 54.23%-0.53 -4.7 46
2012-03-31 Burnley L 1-560.0 1724 1743 41.77% 25.83% 32.40%+0.11 -23.7 43
2012-03-31 @ Portsmouth W 5-160.0 1743 1724 32.40% 25.83% 41.77%-0.11 +23.7 53
2012-03-31 Coventry City L 0-261.8 1765 1657 57.66% 23.25% 19.08%+0.66 -19.5 58
2012-03-31 @ Hull City W 2-061.8 1657 1765 19.08% 23.25% 57.66%-0.66 +19.5 38
2012-03-31 Derby County D 1-171.1 1612 1685 33.97% 25.90% 40.13%-0.13 +0.2 37
2012-03-31 @ Bristol City D 1-171.1 1685 1612 40.13% 25.90% 33.97%+0.13 -0.2 56
2012-03-31 Leicester City W 1-062.9 1667 1785 28.24% 25.45% 46.31%-0.33 +8.6 47
2012-03-31 @ Peterborough United L 0-162.9 1785 1667 46.31% 25.45% 28.24%+0.33 -8.6 56
2012-03-31 Middlesbrough D 1-172.8 1760 1748 45.92% 25.49% 28.58%+0.25 -0.7 63
2012-03-31 @ Brighton D 1-172.8 1748 1760 28.58% 25.49% 45.92%-0.25 +0.7 63
2012-03-31 Millwall D 0-068.0 1764 1699 52.70% 24.45% 22.85%+0.48 -1.4 61
2012-03-31 @ Cardiff City D 0-068.0 1699 1764 22.85% 24.45% 52.70%-0.48 +1.4 41
2012-03-31 Nottingham Forest L 0-358.2 1733 1688 50.13% 24.92% 24.95%+0.39 -25.2 54
2012-03-31 @ Crystal Palace W 3-058.2 1688 1733 24.95% 24.92% 50.13%-0.39 +25.2 43
2012-03-31 Reading L 2-468.7 1864 1870 43.38% 25.72% 30.90%+0.16 -12.0 72
2012-03-31 @ West Ham W 4-268.7 1870 1864 30.90% 25.72% 43.38%-0.16 +11.9 76
2012-03-31 Southampton W 3-055.6 1804 1863 35.88% 25.95% 38.18%-0.07 +20.3 63
2012-03-31 @ Blackpool L 0-355.6 1863 1804 38.18% 25.95% 35.88%+0.07 -20.3 78
2012-03-31 Watford L 0-259.7 1743 1714 48.09% 25.23% 26.68%+0.32 -16.8 57
2012-03-31 @ Leeds United W 2-059.7 1714 1743 26.68% 25.23% 48.09%-0.32 +16.8 57
2012-04-03 Birmingham City L 1-361.6 1766 1852 32.35% 25.82% 41.83%-0.18 -10.7 53
2012-04-03 @ Burnley W 3-161.6 1852 1766 41.83% 25.82% 32.35%+0.18 +10.7 66
2012-04-06 Blackpool L 0-255.2 1731 1824 31.42% 25.76% 42.81%-0.22 -12.1 57
2012-04-06 @ Watford W 2-055.2 1824 1731 42.81% 25.76% 31.42%+0.22 +12.1 66
2012-04-06 Brighton W 1-058.5 1756 1759 43.78% 25.69% 30.53%+0.18 +6.2 56
2012-04-06 @ Burnley L 0-158.5 1759 1756 30.53% 25.69% 43.78%-0.18 -6.2 63
2012-04-06 Leeds United W 2-049.2 1882 1726 62.90% 21.58% 15.53%+0.88 +6.4 79
2012-04-06 @ Reading L 0-249.2 1726 1882 15.53% 21.58% 62.90%-0.88 -6.3 57
2012-04-06 West Ham L 0-449.0 1647 1852 19.59% 23.45% 56.96%-0.71 -15.2 46
2012-04-06 @ Barnsley W 4-049.0 1852 1647 56.96% 23.45% 19.59%+0.71 +15.2 75
2012-04-07 Bristol City L 0-164.6 1713 1612 56.99% 23.44% 19.57%+0.64 -10.2 43
2012-04-07 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-064.6 1612 1713 19.57% 23.44% 56.99%-0.64 +10.2 40
2012-04-07 Cardiff City L 0-258.3 1748 1763 42.32% 25.80% 31.89%+0.13 -15.1 63
2012-04-07 @ Middlesbrough W 2-058.3 1763 1748 31.89% 25.80% 42.32%-0.13 +15.1 64
2012-04-07 Crystal Palace W 3-155.2 1863 1707 62.82% 21.60% 15.58%+0.88 +5.5 69
2012-04-07 @ Birmingham City L 1-355.2 1707 1863 15.58% 21.60% 62.82%-0.88 -5.5 54
2012-04-07 Doncaster Rovers W 4-045.7 1777 1594 65.58% 20.55% 13.87%+1.00 +10.7 59
2012-04-07 @ Leicester City L 0-445.7 1594 1777 13.87% 20.55% 65.58%-1.00 -10.7 32
2012-04-07 Hull City W 2-056.2 1700 1745 38.00% 25.95% 36.05%-0.01 +13.4 44
2012-04-07 @ Millwall L 0-256.2 1745 1700 36.05% 25.95% 38.00%+0.01 -13.4 58
2012-04-07 Ipswich Town D 0-067.3 1685 1734 37.33% 25.96% 36.72%-0.03 -0.0 57
2012-04-07 @ Derby County D 0-067.3 1734 1685 36.72% 25.96% 37.33%+0.03 +0.0 56
2012-04-07 Peterborough United D 2-277.9 1677 1676 44.46% 25.64% 29.90%+0.20 -0.4 39
2012-04-07 @ Coventry City D 2-277.9 1676 1677 29.90% 25.64% 44.46%-0.20 +0.4 48
2012-04-07 Portsmouth D 2-279.9 1843 1701 61.48% 22.07% 16.45%+0.82 -1.4 79
2012-04-07 @ Southampton D 2-279.9 1701 1843 16.45% 22.07% 61.48%-0.82 +1.4 44
2012-04-09 Barnsley D 1-174.4 1836 1632 67.62% 19.70% 12.68%+1.09 -2.3 67
2012-04-09 @ Blackpool D 1-174.4 1632 1836 12.68% 19.70% 67.62%-1.09 +2.3 47
2012-04-09 Birmingham City D 3-382.8 1867 1868 44.14% 25.66% 30.20%+0.19 -0.3 76
2012-04-09 @ West Ham D 3-382.8 1868 1867 30.20% 25.66% 44.14%-0.19 +0.3 70
2012-04-09 Burnley L 1-260.5 1583 1762 21.90% 24.20% 53.91%-0.59 -4.4 32
2012-04-09 @ Doncaster Rovers W 2-160.5 1762 1583 53.91% 24.20% 21.90%+0.59 +4.4 59
2012-04-09 Coventry City W 3-161.4 1622 1676 36.63% 25.96% 37.41%-0.05 +11.9 43
2012-04-09 @ Bristol City L 1-361.4 1676 1622 37.41% 25.96% 36.63%+0.05 -11.9 39
2012-04-09 Derby County L 0-259.6 1720 1685 48.95% 25.11% 25.94%+0.35 -17.0 57
2012-04-09 @ Leeds United W 2-059.6 1685 1720 25.94% 25.11% 48.95%-0.35 +17.0 60
2012-04-09 Leicester City L 1-266.5 1734 1787 36.83% 25.96% 37.22%-0.04 -6.8 56
2012-04-09 @ Ipswich Town W 2-166.5 1787 1734 37.22% 25.96% 36.83%+0.04 +6.8 62
2012-04-09 Middlesbrough W 2-164.2 1732 1733 44.08% 25.67% 30.26%+0.19 +5.9 61
2012-04-09 @ Hull City L 1-264.2 1733 1732 30.26% 25.67% 44.08%-0.19 -5.8 63
2012-04-09 Nottingham Forest L 0-160.9 1676 1703 40.54% 25.89% 33.58%+0.07 -7.8 48
2012-04-09 @ Peterborough United W 1-060.9 1703 1676 33.58% 25.89% 40.54%-0.07 +7.8 46
2012-04-09 Southampton L 0-253.3 1702 1842 25.81% 25.08% 49.11%-0.42 -10.3 54
2012-04-09 @ Crystal Palace W 2-053.3 1842 1702 49.11% 25.08% 25.81%+0.42 +10.3 82
2012-04-09 Watford D 1-173.0 1778 1719 51.91% 24.61% 23.48%+0.45 -1.2 65
2012-04-09 @ Cardiff City D 1-173.0 1719 1778 23.48% 24.61% 51.91%-0.45 +1.1 58
2012-04-10 Millwall L 0-161.8 1702 1714 42.69% 25.77% 31.54%+0.14 -8.1 44
2012-04-10 @ Portsmouth W 1-061.8 1714 1702 31.54% 25.77% 42.69%-0.14 +8.1 47
2012-04-10 Reading L 0-157.3 1753 1889 26.28% 25.16% 48.56%-0.40 -5.5 63
2012-04-10 @ Brighton W 1-057.3 1889 1753 48.56% 25.16% 26.28%+0.40 +5.5 82
2012-04-13 Reading L 1-363.6 1852 1894 38.38% 25.95% 35.68%+0.01 -12.2 82
2012-04-13 @ Southampton W 3-163.6 1894 1852 35.68% 25.95% 38.38%-0.01 +12.2 85
2012-04-14 Blackpool D 0-068.0 1711 1834 27.72% 25.38% 46.90%-0.35 +0.8 47
2012-04-14 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-068.0 1834 1711 46.90% 25.38% 27.72%+0.35 -0.9 68
2012-04-14 Brighton W 6-050.5 1867 1748 58.97% 22.88% 18.15%+0.72 +20.6 79
2012-04-14 @ West Ham L 0-650.5 1748 1867 18.15% 22.88% 58.97%-0.72 -20.6 63
2012-04-14 Bristol City D 2-280.9 1868 1634 70.41% 18.44% 11.15%+1.22 -1.9 71
2012-04-14 @ Birmingham City D 2-280.9 1634 1868 11.15% 18.44% 70.41%-1.22 +1.9 44
2012-04-14 Cardiff City L 0-156.4 1634 1777 25.53% 25.03% 49.43%-0.43 -5.4 47
2012-04-14 @ Barnsley W 1-056.4 1777 1634 49.43% 25.03% 25.53%+0.43 +5.4 68
2012-04-14 Coventry City D 1-173.1 1766 1664 57.03% 23.43% 19.54%+0.64 -1.5 60
2012-04-14 @ Burnley D 1-173.1 1664 1766 19.54% 23.43% 57.03%-0.64 +1.5 40
2012-04-14 Hull City D 1-172.5 1720 1738 41.89% 25.82% 32.29%+0.12 -0.4 59
2012-04-14 @ Watford D 1-172.5 1738 1720 32.29% 25.82% 41.89%-0.12 +0.4 62
2012-04-14 Ipswich Town D 1-172.2 1692 1728 39.26% 25.93% 34.81%+0.03 -0.2 55
2012-04-14 @ Crystal Palace D 1-172.2 1728 1692 34.81% 25.93% 39.26%-0.03 +0.2 57
2012-04-14 Leicester City W 2-167.4 1722 1794 34.11% 25.91% 39.98%-0.13 +7.2 50
2012-04-14 @ Millwall L 1-267.4 1794 1722 39.98% 25.91% 34.11%+0.13 -7.2 62
2012-04-14 Middlesbrough L 0-161.3 1702 1728 40.72% 25.88% 33.41%+0.08 -7.8 60
2012-04-14 @ Derby County W 1-061.3 1728 1702 33.41% 25.88% 40.72%-0.08 +7.8 66
2012-04-14 Peterborough United W 4-155.8 1703 1668 48.89% 25.12% 25.99%+0.35 +12.7 60
2012-04-14 @ Leeds United L 1-455.8 1668 1703 25.99% 25.12% 48.89%-0.35 -12.7 48
2012-04-14 Portsmouth L 3-469.5 1579 1694 28.63% 25.50% 45.87%-0.31 -5.2 32
2012-04-14 @ Doncaster Rovers W 4-369.5 1694 1579 45.87% 25.50% 28.63%+0.31 +5.2 47
2012-04-17 Barnsley W 3-155.8 1738 1629 57.85% 23.20% 18.94%+0.67 +6.7 65
2012-04-17 @ Hull City L 1-355.8 1629 1738 18.94% 23.20% 57.85%-0.67 -6.7 47
2012-04-17 Birmingham City D 1-173.1 1728 1867 25.93% 25.11% 48.97%-0.42 +0.9 58
2012-04-17 @ Ipswich Town D 1-173.1 1867 1728 48.97% 25.11% 25.93%+0.42 -0.9 72
2012-04-17 Burnley D 0-068.0 1787 1765 47.26% 25.34% 27.40%+0.29 -0.9 63
2012-04-17 @ Leicester City D 0-068.0 1765 1787 27.40% 25.34% 47.26%-0.29 +0.9 61
2012-04-17 Crystal Palace W 2-163.4 1699 1691 45.34% 25.55% 29.10%+0.23 +5.7 50
2012-04-17 @ Portsmouth L 1-263.4 1691 1699 29.10% 25.55% 45.34%-0.23 -5.7 55
2012-04-17 Derby County W 2-051.1 1782 1694 55.45% 23.84% 20.71%+0.58 +8.4 71
2012-04-17 @ Cardiff City L 0-251.1 1694 1782 20.71% 23.84% 55.45%-0.58 -8.4 60
2012-04-17 Doncaster Rovers D 0-067.7 1735 1574 63.47% 21.37% 15.17%+0.90 -2.3 67
2012-04-17 @ Middlesbrough D 0-067.7 1574 1735 15.17% 21.37% 63.47%-0.90 +2.3 33
2012-04-17 Leeds United W 1-054.1 1833 1716 58.75% 22.94% 18.31%+0.71 +4.0 71
2012-04-17 @ Blackpool L 0-154.1 1716 1833 18.31% 22.94% 58.75%-0.71 -4.0 60
2012-04-17 Millwall L 0-159.5 1666 1729 35.42% 25.94% 38.64%-0.09 -7.0 40
2012-04-17 @ Coventry City W 1-059.5 1729 1666 38.64% 25.94% 35.42%+0.09 +7.0 53
2012-04-17 Nottingham Forest W 1-051.8 1906 1712 66.75% 20.07% 13.18%+1.05 +2.8 88
2012-04-17 @ Reading L 0-151.8 1712 1906 13.18% 20.07% 66.75%-1.05 -2.8 47
2012-04-17 Southampton L 1-357.5 1656 1840 21.37% 24.04% 54.59%-0.62 -7.5 48
2012-04-17 @ Peterborough United W 3-157.5 1840 1656 54.59% 24.04% 21.37%+0.62 +7.5 85
2012-04-17 Watford D 2-278.5 1727 1720 45.22% 25.57% 29.22%+0.22 -0.5 64
2012-04-17 @ Brighton D 2-278.5 1720 1727 29.22% 25.57% 45.22%-0.22 +0.5 60
2012-04-17 West Ham D 1-173.9 1636 1887 16.05% 21.87% 62.08%-0.91 +1.9 45
2012-04-17 @ Bristol City D 1-173.9 1887 1636 62.08% 21.87% 16.05%+0.91 -1.9 80
2012-04-21 Barnsley W 2-051.9 1638 1622 46.37% 25.44% 28.19%+0.26 +11.0 48
2012-04-21 @ Bristol City L 0-251.9 1622 1638 28.19% 25.44% 46.37%-0.26 -11.0 47
2012-04-21 Birmingham City D 1-173.1 1726 1866 25.88% 25.10% 49.02%-0.42 +0.9 65
2012-04-21 @ Brighton D 1-173.1 1866 1726 49.02% 25.10% 25.88%+0.42 -0.9 73
2012-04-21 Burnley W 4-050.3 1837 1766 53.43% 24.30% 22.27%+0.51 +17.1 74
2012-04-21 @ Blackpool L 0-450.3 1766 1837 22.27% 24.30% 53.43%-0.51 -17.1 61
2012-04-21 Crystal Palace D 2-281.0 1909 1686 69.42% 18.90% 11.68%+1.18 -1.8 89
2012-04-21 @ Reading D 2-281.0 1686 1909 11.68% 18.90% 69.42%-1.18 +1.8 56
2012-04-21 Derby County L 1-268.7 1705 1686 46.88% 25.39% 27.74%+0.28 -8.2 50
2012-04-21 @ Portsmouth W 2-168.7 1686 1705 27.74% 25.39% 46.88%-0.28 +8.2 63
2012-04-21 Doncaster Rovers L 0-259.0 1659 1576 54.85% 23.98% 21.17%+0.56 -18.7 40
2012-04-21 @ Coventry City W 2-059.0 1576 1659 21.17% 23.98% 54.85%-0.56 +18.7 36
2012-04-21 Leeds United D 1-173.2 1791 1712 54.36% 24.09% 21.55%+0.54 -1.3 72
2012-04-21 @ Cardiff City D 1-173.2 1712 1791 21.55% 24.09% 54.36%-0.54 +1.3 61
2012-04-21 Millwall L 0-356.6 1729 1736 43.27% 25.73% 31.00%+0.16 -22.4 58
2012-04-21 @ Ipswich Town W 3-056.6 1736 1729 31.00% 25.73% 43.27%-0.16 +22.4 56
2012-04-21 Nottingham Forest W 2-162.7 1745 1709 49.05% 25.09% 25.85%+0.35 +5.1 68
2012-04-21 @ Hull City L 1-262.7 1709 1745 25.85% 25.09% 49.05%-0.35 -5.2 47
2012-04-21 Southampton W 2-169.1 1733 1847 28.73% 25.51% 45.75%-0.31 +8.0 70
2012-04-21 @ Middlesbrough L 1-269.1 1847 1733 45.75% 25.51% 28.73%+0.31 -8.0 85
2012-04-21 Watford D 2-277.9 1648 1720 34.11% 25.91% 39.98%-0.13 +0.2 49
2012-04-21 @ Peterborough United D 2-277.9 1720 1648 39.98% 25.91% 34.11%+0.13 -0.2 61
2012-04-23 West Ham L 1-264.8 1786 1885 30.58% 25.70% 43.72%-0.24 -5.9 63
2012-04-23 @ Leicester City W 2-164.8 1885 1786 43.72% 25.70% 30.58%+0.24 +5.9 83
2012-04-28 Blackpool D 2-279.0 1758 1854 31.06% 25.74% 43.20%-0.23 +0.3 57
2012-04-28 @ Millwall D 2-279.0 1854 1758 43.20% 25.74% 31.06%+0.23 -0.4 75
2012-04-28 Brighton D 0-066.8 1611 1727 28.52% 25.49% 46.00%-0.32 +0.8 48
2012-04-28 @ Barnsley D 0-066.8 1727 1611 46.00% 25.49% 28.52%+0.32 -0.8 66
2012-04-28 Bristol City D 1-172.8 1749 1649 56.79% 23.49% 19.72%+0.63 -1.5 62
2012-04-28 @ Burnley D 1-172.8 1649 1749 19.72% 23.49% 56.79%-0.63 +1.5 49
2012-04-28 Cardiff City L 1-264.3 1688 1789 30.28% 25.67% 44.05%-0.26 -5.8 56
2012-04-28 @ Crystal Palace W 2-164.3 1789 1688 44.05% 25.67% 30.28%+0.26 +5.9 75
2012-04-28 Coventry City W 4-045.9 1839 1640 67.14% 19.90% 12.96%+1.07 +9.9 88
2012-04-28 @ Southampton L 0-445.9 1640 1839 12.96% 19.90% 67.14%-1.07 -9.9 40
2012-04-28 Hull City W 2-159.4 1891 1750 61.37% 22.11% 16.52%+0.81 +3.4 86
2012-04-28 @ West Ham L 1-259.4 1750 1891 16.52% 22.11% 61.37%-0.81 -3.4 68
2012-04-28 Ipswich Town L 2-367.6 1595 1706 29.06% 25.55% 45.39%-0.30 -5.4 36
2012-04-28 @ Doncaster Rovers W 3-267.6 1706 1595 45.39% 25.55% 29.06%+0.30 +5.4 61
2012-04-28 Leicester City L 1-265.8 1713 1780 34.83% 25.93% 39.24%-0.10 -6.5 61
2012-04-28 @ Leeds United W 2-165.8 1780 1713 39.24% 25.93% 34.83%+0.10 +6.5 66
2012-04-28 Middlesbrough W 2-165.0 1720 1741 41.41% 25.85% 32.74%+0.10 +6.2 64
2012-04-28 @ Watford L 1-265.0 1741 1720 32.74% 25.85% 41.41%-0.10 -6.2 70
2012-04-28 Peterborough United D 1-172.0 1694 1648 50.27% 24.90% 24.83%+0.39 -1.0 64
2012-04-28 @ Derby County D 1-172.0 1648 1694 24.83% 24.90% 50.27%-0.39 +1.0 50
2012-04-28 Portsmouth W 2-053.8 1704 1697 45.22% 25.57% 29.22%+0.22 +11.4 50
2012-04-28 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-253.8 1697 1704 29.22% 25.57% 45.22%-0.22 -11.4 50
2012-04-28 Reading W 2-056.8 1865 1907 38.32% 25.95% 35.73%+0.00 +13.3 76
2012-04-28 @ Birmingham City L 0-256.8 1907 1865 35.73% 25.95% 38.32%+0.00 -13.3 89

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2012-05-03 West Ham L 0-255.1 1795 1895 30.54% 25.69% 43.76%-0.25 -11.8 0-1
2012-05-03 @ Cardiff City W 2-055.1 1895 1795 43.76% 25.69% 30.54%+0.25 +11.8 1-0
2012-05-04 Birmingham City W 1-059.7 1854 1878 40.90% 25.87% 33.23%+0.08 +6.7 1-0
2012-05-04 @ Blackpool L 0-159.7 1878 1854 33.23% 25.87% 40.90%-0.08 -6.7 0-1
2012-05-07 Cardiff City W 3-048.6 1906 1783 59.41% 22.74% 17.85%+0.73 +10.6 2-0
2012-05-07 @ West Ham L 0-348.6 1783 1906 17.85% 22.74% 59.41%-0.73 -10.6 0-2
2012-05-09 Blackpool D 2-279.1 1871 1860 45.78% 25.51% 28.71%+0.24 -0.5 0-1-1
2012-05-09 @ Birmingham City D 2-279.1 1860 1871 28.71% 25.51% 45.78%-0.24 +0.5 1-0-1
2012-05-19 West Ham L 1-264.5 1861 1917 29.49% 25.59% 44.91%-0.25 -5.7 1-1-1
2012-05-19 @ Blackpool W 2-164.5 1917 1861 44.91% 25.59% 29.49%+0.25 +5.7 3-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-02-25 11.23% Nottingham Forest 1654 2 @ Birmingham City 1886 1
2 2011-12-03 15.86% Burnley 1734 2 @ West Ham 1885 1
3 2011-12-30 16.38% Bristol City 1678 1 @ Southampton 1821 0
4 2011-09-27 16.79% Ipswich Town 1706 1 @ West Ham 1844 0
5 2011-08-20 17.55% Barnsley 1682 2 @ Reading 1809 1
6 2012-03-20 18.90% @ Peterborough United 1666 3 Reading 1879 1
7 2012-03-31 19.08% Coventry City 1657 2 @ Hull City 1765 0
8 2011-12-03 19.16% @ Doncaster Rovers 1614 1 Southampton 1824 0
9 2012-02-25 19.47% Millwall 1670 3 @ Burnley 1772 1
10 2012-04-07 19.57% Bristol City 1612 1 @ Nottingham Forest 1713 0
11 2011-08-17 19.70% Brighton 1693 3 @ Cardiff City 1793 1
12 2012-01-31 19.78% @ Ipswich Town 1656 5 West Ham 1859 1
13 2012-03-20 20.01% Nottingham Forest 1663 7 @ Leeds United 1759 3
14 2011-08-17 20.02% Derby County 1711 1 @ Blackpool 1807 0
15 2011-11-05 20.19% Doncaster Rovers 1617 3 @ Ipswich Town 1712 2
16 2011-09-10 20.90% Watford 1705 2 @ Reading 1791 0
17 2012-04-21 21.17% Doncaster Rovers 1576 2 @ Coventry City 1659 0
18 2011-11-20 21.23% Bristol City 1671 2 @ Millwall 1754 1
19 2012-01-14 21.90% Barnsley 1694 2 @ Leicester City 1769 1
20 2011-12-31 22.00% @ Derby County 1679 2 West Ham 1856 1
21 2011-10-22 22.04% Millwall 1705 3 @ Leicester City 1779 0
22 2012-01-02 22.12% Derby County 1688 1 @ Hull City 1761 0
23 2011-10-22 22.16% Nottingham Forest 1724 2 @ Blackpool 1796 1
24 2012-01-21 22.47% Hull City 1756 1 @ Reading 1825 0
25 2012-03-20 23.03% @ Portsmouth 1703 4 Birmingham City 1870 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-11-02 35.40 Blackpool 5 1775 31.85% @ Leeds United 0 1761 42.36% 25.79%
2 2012-01-14 32.09 Birmingham City 6 1823 44.59% @ Millwall 0 1717 29.78% 25.62%
3 2012-01-31 30.43 @ Ipswich Town 5 1656 19.78% West Ham 1 1859 56.70% 23.52%
4 2011-08-20 30.23 @ Peterborough United 7 1678 38.72% Ipswich Town 1 1718 35.34% 25.94%
5 2011-11-29 28.49 Leeds United 4 1733 32.26% @ Nottingham Forest 0 1716 41.92% 25.82%
6 2011-10-22 26.70 Millwall 3 1705 22.04% @ Leicester City 0 1779 53.73% 24.23%
7 2012-03-31 25.20 Nottingham Forest 3 1688 24.95% @ Crystal Palace 0 1733 50.13% 24.92%
8 2011-08-16 24.72 West Ham 4 1797 39.33% @ Watford 0 1729 34.75% 25.93%
9 2012-01-02 24.61 @ Brighton 3 1673 26.15% Southampton 0 1810 48.71% 25.14%
10 2012-03-31 23.67 Burnley 5 1743 32.40% @ Portsmouth 1 1724 41.77% 25.83%
11 2012-02-18 23.54 @ Ipswich Town 3 1703 28.37% Cardiff City 0 1821 46.17% 25.47%
12 2012-03-13 23.48 Hull City 3 1776 28.51% @ Cardiff City 0 1788 46.01% 25.48%
13 2012-03-20 23.45 Nottingham Forest 7 1663 20.01% @ Leeds United 3 1759 56.39% 23.60%
14 2011-08-06 23.27 Ipswich Town 3 1720 28.96% @ Bristol City 0 1729 45.51% 25.54%
15 2012-02-18 23.03 @ Crystal Palace 4 1706 42.52% Watford 0 1719 31.70% 25.78%
16 2012-03-06 22.53 Millwall 3 1682 30.61% @ Peterborough United 0 1677 43.69% 25.70%
17 2012-04-21 22.36 Millwall 3 1736 31.00% @ Ipswich Town 0 1729 43.27% 25.73%
18 2012-03-20 22.08 @ Portsmouth 4 1703 23.03% Birmingham City 1 1870 52.48% 24.50%
19 2011-12-10 21.94 @ Reading 3 1786 31.95% West Ham 0 1875 42.25% 25.80%
20 2011-10-15 20.75 @ West Ham 4 1832 46.78% Blackpool 0 1814 27.83% 25.40%
21 2012-04-14 20.65 @ West Ham 6 1867 58.97% Brighton 0 1748 18.15% 22.88%
22 2011-10-01 20.55 @ Leicester City 4 1760 47.13% Derby County 0 1739 27.51% 25.35%
23 2011-11-29 20.48 @ Burnley 4 1714 47.27% Ipswich Town 0 1691 27.39% 25.34%
24 2011-09-27 20.33 @ Burnley 5 1716 39.95% Nottingham Forest 1 1747 34.14% 25.91%
25 2012-03-31 20.30 @ Blackpool 3 1804 35.88% Southampton 0 1863 38.18% 25.95%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-03-21 82.8 @ Blackpool 3 1813 48.53% Leicester City 3 1781 26.30% 25.17%
2 2012-04-09 82.8 @ West Ham 3 1867 44.14% Birmingham City 3 1868 30.20% 25.66%
3 2011-09-23 82.3 @ Brighton 3 1724 42.43% Leeds United 3 1737 31.78% 25.79%
4 2012-04-21 81.0 @ Reading 2 1909 69.42% Crystal Palace 2 1686 11.68% 18.90%
5 2012-04-14 80.9 @ Birmingham City 2 1868 70.41% Bristol City 2 1634 11.15% 18.44%
6 2012-03-03 80.6 @ Birmingham City 2 1875 67.53% Derby County 2 1672 12.74% 19.74%
7 2012-04-07 79.9 @ Southampton 2 1843 61.48% Portsmouth 2 1701 16.45% 22.07%
8 2011-08-21 79.4 @ West Ham 2 1821 55.51% Leeds United 2 1733 20.67% 23.82%
9 2011-08-06 79.2 @ Reading 2 1803 51.96% Millwall 2 1744 23.45% 24.60%
10 2011-10-18 79.2 @ Reading 2 1792 53.65% Derby County 2 1719 22.10% 24.25%
11 2011-10-15 79.1 @ Cardiff City 2 1783 51.54% Ipswich Town 2 1727 23.78% 24.68%
12 2012-03-21 79.1 @ Cardiff City 2 1764 59.38% Coventry City 2 1641 17.87% 22.75%
13 2012-05-09 * 79.1 @ Birmingham City 2 1871 45.78% Blackpool 2 1860 28.71% 25.51%
14 2011-10-01 79.0 @ Crystal Palace 2 1701 26.67% West Ham 2 1833 48.10% 25.23%
15 2011-11-26 79.0 @ Blackpool 2 1816 43.53% Birmingham City 2 1821 30.76% 25.71%
16 2011-12-10 79.0 @ Southampton 2 1814 45.05% Blackpool 2 1808 29.37% 25.58%
17 2012-03-10 79.0 @ Hull City 2 1776 51.05% Ipswich Town 2 1725 24.18% 24.77%
18 2012-03-24 79.0 @ Burnley 2 1742 28.86% West Ham 2 1855 45.62% 25.53%
19 2012-04-28 79.0 @ Millwall 2 1758 31.06% Blackpool 2 1854 43.20% 25.74%
20 2011-08-17 78.9 @ Millwall 2 1758 54.52% Peterborough United 2 1677 21.42% 24.06%
21 2011-08-20 78.9 @ Nottingham Forest 2 1771 47.54% Leicester City 2 1746 27.15% 25.30%
22 2011-11-19 78.9 @ Middlesbrough 2 1792 41.00% Blackpool 2 1816 33.14% 25.87%
23 2012-01-14 78.9 @ Ipswich Town 2 1663 24.41% Blackpool 2 1816 50.77% 24.81%
24 2012-02-01 78.9 @ Leicester City 2 1777 47.41% Middlesbrough 2 1754 27.27% 25.32%
25 2011-08-06 78.8 @ Middlesbrough 2 1758 46.32% Portsmouth 2 1743 28.23% 25.45%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-04-07 45.7 @ Leicester City 4 1777 65.58% Doncaster Rovers 0 1594 13.87% 20.55%
2 2012-04-28 45.9 @ Southampton 4 1839 67.14% Coventry City 0 1640 12.96% 19.90%
3 2012-03-24 46.0 @ Southampton 2 1859 72.42% Doncaster Rovers 0 1602 10.11% 17.47%
4 2012-01-21 47.3 @ Birmingham City 3 1855 62.81% Watford 0 1700 15.59% 21.61%
5 2011-12-26 47.8 @ Burnley 3 1744 58.34% Doncaster Rovers 0 1630 18.60% 23.06%
6 2011-11-19 48.2 @ Southampton 3 1827 59.57% Brighton 0 1702 17.74% 22.69%
7 2011-12-26 48.4 @ Reading 3 1816 58.83% Brighton 0 1698 18.25% 22.92%
8 2012-02-11 48.4 @ Reading 2 1820 64.54% Coventry City 0 1647 14.50% 20.96%
9 2012-05-07 * 48.6 @ West Ham 3 1906 59.41% Cardiff City 0 1783 17.85% 22.74%
10 2012-02-11 48.7 @ Hull City 3 1764 56.66% Bristol City 0 1665 19.81% 23.53%
11 2012-03-03 48.7 @ Ipswich Town 3 1710 54.53% Bristol City 0 1630 21.41% 24.05%
12 2012-02-18 48.8 @ Southampton 4 1799 57.44% Derby County 0 1693 19.24% 23.32%
13 2012-03-10 48.8 @ Southampton 2 1835 63.68% Barnsley 0 1671 15.04% 21.29%
14 2012-04-06 49.0 West Ham 4 1852 56.96% @ Barnsley 0 1647 19.59% 23.45%
15 2012-04-06 49.2 @ Reading 2 1882 62.90% Leeds United 0 1726 15.53% 21.58%
16 2012-03-17 49.3 @ Birmingham City 3 1858 56.63% Middlesbrough 0 1759 19.84% 23.54%
17 2012-03-17 49.3 Reading 4 1863 56.24% @ Barnsley 0 1665 20.13% 23.64%
18 2012-03-03 49.4 @ Leicester City 2 1776 60.30% Coventry City 0 1645 17.24% 22.46%
19 2011-09-17 49.5 @ Reading 2 1772 59.93% Doncaster Rovers 0 1644 17.49% 22.58%
20 2011-10-01 49.6 @ Blackpool 5 1796 57.70% Bristol City 0 1688 19.05% 23.24%
21 2011-11-01 49.6 @ Millwall 3 1746 53.56% Coventry City 0 1674 22.17% 24.27%
22 2011-09-10 49.7 @ Cardiff City 2 1777 59.62% Doncaster Rovers 0 1651 17.70% 22.68%
23 2011-08-20 50.0 @ Derby County 3 1721 51.57% Doncaster Rovers 0 1665 23.76% 24.67%
24 2012-04-21 50.3 @ Blackpool 4 1837 53.43% Burnley 0 1766 22.27% 24.30%
25 2012-04-14 50.5 @ West Ham 6 1867 58.97% Brighton 0 1748 18.15% 22.88%