2019-20 EFL League One Season

220 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

Wycombe Wanderers

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Coventry City

10.57 points above expected

46 points · 35.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Southend United

10.06 points below expected

19 points · 29.06 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rotherham United	27	16	6	5	54	50	28	+22	48.8	+5.15
2	Peterborough United	27	13	7	7	46	51	31	+20	43.9	+2.09
3	Coventry City	24	12	10	2	46	33	22	+11	35.4	+10.57
4	Oxford United	26	13	6	7	45	50	32	+18	40.3	+4.65
5	Fleetwood Town	24	11	8	5	41	32	24	+8	38.7	+2.30
6	Ipswich Town	28	11	6	11	39	35	33	+2	45.8	-6.83
7	Portsmouth	24	9	9	6	36	36	31	+5	40.8	-4.79
8	Burton Albion	28	9	9	10	36	37	39	-2	44.4	-8.40
9	Blackpool	27	9	8	10	35	38	37	+1	36.7	-1.74
10	Bristol Rovers	24	9	7	8	34	28	31	-3	33.5	+0.47
11	Lincoln City	27	10	3	14	33	32	35	-3	31.2	+1.83
12	Accrington Stanley	26	8	7	11	31	31	40	-9	31.2	-0.17
13	Gillingham	25	6	11	8	29	23	27	-4	31.7	-2.69
14	Tranmere Rovers	24	6	8	10	26	25	38	-13	21.0	+4.97
15	AFC Wimbledon	28	6	7	15	25	30	43	-13	31.6	-6.56
16	Milton Keynes Dons	23	6	5	12	23	25	34	-9	21.9	+1.11
17	Southend United	28	4	7	17	19	29	60	-31	29.1	-10.06

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Wycombe Wanderers 6

Fleetwood Town 3

Leg 1: Fleetwood Town 1-4 Wycombe Wanderers

Leg 2: Wycombe Wanderers 2-2 Fleetwood Town

Oxford United 6

Portsmouth 5

Leg 1: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United

Leg 2: Oxford United 5-4 Portsmouth

Finals

Wycombe Wanderers 2

Oxford United 1

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rotherham United	1711	54	55.60	-1.60	43.0%	38	42	50	56	62	69	73
Sunderland	1695	—	0.00	—	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Peterborough United	1678	46	50.66	-4.66	28.0%	31	37	46	51	56	63	67
Oxford United	1652	45	48.45	-3.45	35.0%	29	35	44	49	54	61	65
Portsmouth	1640	36	51.59	-15.59	1.0%	35	39	48	51	56	61	74
Coventry City	1628	46	46.23	-0.23	52.0%	32	35	42	46	51	56	61
Doncaster Rovers	1620	—	0.00	—	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Fleetwood Town	1619	41	49.50	-8.50	14.0%	31	37	45	50	55	61	67
Ipswich Town	1609	39	51.23	-12.23	5.0%	30	39	47	50	56	62	75
Burton Albion	1601	36	49.80	-13.80	4.0%	32	38	45	50	55	61	68
Bolton Wanderers	1597	—	-12.00	—	100.0%	-12	-12	-12	-12	-12	-12	-12
Shrewsbury Town	1592	—	0.00	—	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Blackpool	1574	35	43.49	-8.49	13.0%	28	31	38	44	49	53	59
Bristol Rovers	1569	34	44.33	-10.33	9.0%	26	33	39	44	50	55	60
Wycombe Wanderers	1566	—	0.00	—	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Gillingham	1560	29	41.14	-12.14	5.0%	26	29	35	41	46	53	59
Rochdale	1539	—	0.00	—	100.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Lincoln City	1533	33	37.92	-4.92	24.0%	20	27	34	38	42	49	53
Accrington Stanley	1533	31	39.27	-8.27	12.0%	27	29	34	39	43	50	57
AFC Wimbledon	1519	25	36.96	-11.96	8.0%	23	25	33	37	41	48	53
Milton Keynes Dons	1516	23	34.04	-11.04	6.0%	21	23	30	34	38	43	53
Tranmere Rovers	1484	26	31.83	-5.83	20.0%	17	22	28	31	36	42	52
Southend United	1466	19	34.46	-15.46	1.0%	14	23	29	35	39	44	53

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AW	AS	BLA	BW	BR	BA	CC	DR	FT	GIL	IT	LC	MKD	OU	PU	POR	ROC	RU	ST	SU	SUN	TR	WW
AFC Wimbledon	—	0-1-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.28	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.21	0-1-1 2.07	0-0-1 0.92	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.11	2-0-0 2.45	0-1-1 2.01	0-1-0 1.62	0-0-1 1.27	0-0-2 1.99	1-0-1 2.00	1-0-1 1.88	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 1.83	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.96	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.33	0-0-0 0.00
Accrington Stanley	1-1-0 2.75	—	1-1-0 2.36	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.00	1-1-0 2.24	0-1-0 0.98	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 0.87	0-0-1 1.54	1-0-1 2.05	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-0 1.66	0-1-1 2.10	0-0-2 2.17	1-0-0 1.06	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 1.72	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.09	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 3.17	0-0-0 0.00
Blackpool	1-1-0 3.18	0-1-1 3.10	—	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-0 0.95	0-0-1 1.19	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.38	0-1-1 3.00	1-1-0 2.33	1-0-1 3.07	0-0-1 1.92	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-0 1.29	0-1-0 1.35	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.20	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.23	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 3.56	0-0-0 0.00
Bolton Wanderers	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Bristol Rovers	1-0-1 3.28	0-1-0 1.74	1-0-1 2.73	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-1 0.99	0-0-2 2.64	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.52	0-1-0 1.66	1-0-0 1.02	1-0-0 1.15	1-0-1 3.50	1-0-0 1.58	0-1-0 1.43	0-1-0 1.36	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.71	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.48	0-0-0 0.00
Burton Albion	1-1-0 3.43	0-1-1 3.23	0-1-0 1.80	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.76	—	0-1-0 1.74	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.79	1-1-0 3.17	0-0-2 2.69	0-0-2 3.46	2-0-0 3.54	1-1-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.44	0-1-0 1.08	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.46	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.88	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.85	0-0-0 0.00
Coventry City	1-0-0 1.83	0-1-0 1.77	1-0-0 1.53	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.80	0-1-0 1.01	—	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.46	1-0-0 1.67	1-1-0 2.50	1-0-0 1.75	0-2-0 3.34	0-1-0 1.25	0-1-0 0.94	1-1-0 2.27	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.26	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.34	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.56	0-0-0 0.00
Doncaster Rovers	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Fleetwood Town	2-0-0 3.37	1-0-0 1.90	0-1-1 3.09	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.99	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-1-0 1.87	1-0-1 2.62	0-0-1 1.41	1-0-0 2.02	1-0-0 1.77	2-0-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.58	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 0.99	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.57	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 2.06	0-0-0 0.00
Gillingham	0-0-2 3.02	1-0-0 1.18	1-1-0 2.45	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.07	0-1-1 2.30	0-0-1 1.07	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 0.89	—	0-1-1 2.11	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-0 1.76	0-1-1 2.21	0-1-1 2.17	0-2-0 2.03	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.18	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.22	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.48	0-0-0 0.00
Ipswich Town	1-1-0 3.49	1-0-1 3.43	0-1-1 3.13	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.72	2-0-0 2.76	0-1-1 2.94	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.81	1-1-0 3.38	—	1-0-1 3.45	1-0-0 1.60	0-1-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.92	0-0-1 1.12	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.57	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.71	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.96	0-0-0 0.00
Lincoln City	0-1-0 1.11	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.39	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.57	2-0-0 2.05	0-0-1 0.99	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.31	0-1-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.04	—	0-1-1 2.97	0-0-2 2.39	1-0-1 2.06	0-0-2 1.96	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 1.75	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.75	0-0-0 0.00
Milton Keynes Dons	1-0-0 1.44	0-0-1 1.07	1-0-0 0.86	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.00	0-0-2 1.96	0-2-0 2.14	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 0.78	0-0-1 0.98	0-0-1 1.13	1-1-0 2.47	—	1-0-0 0.97	0-0-1 1.27	1-0-1 1.70	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 1.49	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.82	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.65	0-0-0 0.00
Oxford United	2-0-0 3.51	1-1-0 3.40	1-0-1 2.87	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 1.15	0-1-1 2.60	0-1-0 1.47	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 0.98	1-1-0 3.25	1-1-0 2.75	2-0-0 3.12	0-0-1 1.77	—	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-0 1.06	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.45	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.98	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.89	0-0-0 0.00
Peterborough United	1-0-1 3.51	2-0-0 3.32	0-0-1 1.42	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.28	1-1-0 3.01	0-1-0 1.82	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.93	1-1-0 3.31	1-1-0 2.52	1-0-1 3.43	1-0-0 1.45	1-0-1 2.81	—	1-1-0 2.73	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.30	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.62	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.75	0-0-0 0.00
Portsmouth	1-0-1 3.64	0-0-1 1.67	0-1-0 1.36	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.35	0-1-0 1.65	0-1-1 3.20	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.86	0-2-0 3.47	1-0-0 1.61	2-0-0 3.56	1-0-1 3.86	0-1-0 1.68	0-1-1 2.73	—	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 1.52	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-0 2.15	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 4.01	0-0-0 0.00
Rochdale	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Rotherham United	1-1-0 3.74	2-0-0 3.83	2-0-0 3.29	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.27	2-0-0 3.03	1-1-0 3.19	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.76	1-0-0 1.54	2-0-0 2.91	1-0-1 3.79	1-1-0 4.13	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.16	0-0-1 1.20	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.93	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 2.12	0-0-0 0.00
Shrewsbury Town	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Southend United	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.40	0-0-2 2.27	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 1.83	0-1-1 1.69	0-0-2 2.12	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 1.15	0-0-2 2.24	0-0-1 1.03	1-0-1 2.44	1-1-0 2.63	0-0-2 1.61	0-0-2 1.94	0-0-1 0.68	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 0.84	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.76	0-0-0 0.00
Sunderland	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Tranmere Rovers	1-0-0 1.39	1-1-0 2.31	1-1-0 1.95	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.01	1-0-1 1.71	1-0-1 1.96	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-1 0.74	0-1-0 1.24	0-0-2 1.62	0-0-1 1.00	1-0-0 1.08	0-0-1 0.88	0-1-0 1.00	0-0-2 1.58	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-0 0.70	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.68	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00
Wycombe Wanderers	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.64%	9.77%	4.77%	1.82%	1.82%	0.45%	27.27%
1	9.77%	10.00%	9.09%	2.95%	2.05%	—	33.86%
2	4.77%	9.09%	7.73%	1.82%	0.68%	—	24.09%
3	1.82%	2.95%	1.82%	1.82%	0.45%	0.23%	9.09%
4	1.82%	2.05%	0.68%	0.45%	—	—	5.00%
5+	0.45%	—	—	0.23%	—	—	0.68%
Total	27.27%	33.86%	24.09%	9.09%	5.00%	0.68%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.66
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.029
Sample size (games)	220

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	3.57%	—	—	3.57%	21.43%
1	10.71%	10.71%	32.14%	3.57%	—	—	57.14%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	3.57%	—	—	17.86%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.57%	—	—	—	—	3.57%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.86%	28.57%	42.86%	7.14%	—	3.57%	100%

AFC Wimbledon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.003
Games played	28

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	34.62%	26.92%	11.54%	7.69%	—	100%

Accrington Stanley — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.020
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	7.41%	—	3.70%	—	—	22.22%
1	—	11.11%	18.52%	—	—	—	29.63%
2	7.41%	14.81%	7.41%	7.41%	—	—	37.04%
3	—	7.41%	—	—	—	—	7.41%
4	—	—	—	3.70%	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.52%	40.74%	25.93%	14.81%	—	—	100%

Blackpool — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.41
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.263
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	12.50%	8.33%	—	—	37.50%
1	12.50%	4.17%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	29.17%
2	4.17%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	8.33%	—	4.17%	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	4.17%	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	20.83%	29.17%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Bristol Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	2.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.091
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.71%	10.71%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
1	10.71%	10.71%	3.57%	—	7.14%	—	32.14%
2	3.57%	3.57%	10.71%	7.14%	—	—	25.00%
3	3.57%	—	3.57%	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.57%	25.00%	32.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Burton Albion — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.32
Mean allowed	1.39
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.247
Games played	28

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	4.17%	—	—	4.17%	—	25.00%
1	20.83%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	12.50%
4	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.83%	33.33%	8.33%	8.33%	4.17%	—	100%

Coventry City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.362
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	29.17%
1	12.50%	4.17%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	25.00%
2	4.17%	20.83%	8.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	4.17%	—	4.17%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Fleetwood Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.330
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	12.00%	—	8.00%	—	—	40.00%
1	12.00%	16.00%	12.00%	—	—	—	40.00%
2	—	—	8.00%	—	—	—	8.00%
3	—	8.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	12.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	32.00%	36.00%	24.00%	8.00%	—	—	100%

Gillingham — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.92
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.226
Games played	25

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.71%	17.86%	7.14%	—	—	—	35.71%
1	17.86%	3.57%	7.14%	—	3.57%	—	32.14%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	3.57%	—	—	—	3.57%	7.14%
4	—	10.71%	—	—	—	—	10.71%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.57%	42.86%	21.43%	—	3.57%	3.57%	100%

Ipswich Town — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.25
Mean allowed	1.18
StdDev scored	1.32
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.230
Games played	28

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	25.93%	7.41%	—	—	3.70%	40.74%
1	7.41%	7.41%	11.11%	—	—	—	25.93%
2	14.81%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	18.52%
3	—	—	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	7.41%
4	3.70%	—	—	—	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	—	—	3.70%	—	—	3.70%
Total	29.63%	37.04%	22.22%	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%	100%

Lincoln City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	2.48
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.031
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.35%	21.74%	—	4.35%	4.35%	—	34.78%
1	4.35%	13.04%	4.35%	13.04%	—	—	34.78%
2	—	8.70%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	17.39%
3	8.70%	4.35%	—	—	—	—	13.04%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.39%	47.83%	8.70%	21.74%	4.35%	—	100%

Milton Keynes Dons — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.09
Mean allowed	1.48
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.224
Games played	23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
2	—	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	38.46%	26.92%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	—	100%

Oxford United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.345
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.41%	7.41%	—	—	3.70%	—	18.52%
1	3.70%	3.70%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	18.52%
2	14.81%	7.41%	14.81%	—	—	—	37.04%
3	—	—	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	7.41%
4	14.81%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	18.52%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.74%	22.22%	25.93%	3.70%	7.41%	—	100%

Peterborough United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.89
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.200
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	—	20.83%
1	8.33%	12.50%	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	29.17%
2	12.50%	4.17%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	4.17%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	12.50%
4	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	37.50%	25.00%	8.33%	4.17%	—	100%

Portsmouth — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.127
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	—	7.41%
1	14.81%	11.11%	7.41%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	3.70%	14.81%	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	33.33%
3	7.41%	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	—	18.52%
4	7.41%	—	—	—	—	—	7.41%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	29.63%	3.70%	—	—	100%

Rotherham United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	0.90
Mean total goals/game	2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.155
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.57%	10.71%	7.14%	—	10.71%	—	32.14%
1	3.57%	10.71%	7.14%	10.71%	7.14%	—	39.29%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	3.57%	3.57%	—	21.43%
3	—	3.57%	—	3.57%	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	32.14%	21.43%	17.86%	21.43%	—	100%

Southend United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	2.14
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	3.18
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.004
Games played	28

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	4.17%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	29.17%
1	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	41.67%
2	—	12.50%	8.33%	—	4.17%	—	25.00%
3	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	37.50%	29.17%	4.17%	12.50%	—	100%

Tranmere Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.059
Games played	24

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Coventry City	46	35.4	+10.57
2	Rotherham United	54	48.8	+5.15
3	Tranmere Rovers	26	21.0	+4.97
4	Oxford United	45	40.3	+4.65
5	Fleetwood Town	41	38.7	+2.30

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Southend United	19	29.1	-10.06
2	Burton Albion	36	44.4	-8.40
3	Ipswich Town	39	45.8	-6.83
4	AFC Wimbledon	25	31.6	-6.56
5	Portsmouth	36	40.8	-4.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Peterborough United	5	Jan 25 – Feb 11	1 in 92
2	Fleetwood Town	4	Feb 8 – Mar 3	1 in 58
3	Accrington Stanley	3	Dec 14 – Dec 29	1 in 46
4	Ipswich Town	5	Aug 20 – Oct 5	1 in 44
5	Lincoln City	3	Aug 3 – Aug 17	1 in 27

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ipswich Town	4	Feb 22 – Mar 7	1 in 103
2	Lincoln City	5	Sep 14 – Oct 22	1 in 68
3	AFC Wimbledon	5	Aug 20 – Sep 28	1 in 40
4	Southend United	6	Feb 8 – Feb 29	1 in 36
5	Milton Keynes Dons	4	Sep 17 – Oct 12	1 in 32

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Coventry City	14	Oct 19 – Mar 7	1 in 466
2	Gillingham	10	Dec 14 – Feb 22	1 in 360
3	Bristol Rovers	10	Sep 7 – Dec 21	1 in 53
4	Southend United	6	Dec 14 – Feb 1	1 in 36
5	Fleetwood Town	8	Jan 25 – Mar 10	1 in 30

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Southend United	13	Sep 28 – Jan 11	1 in 92
2	Bristol Rovers	8	Dec 21 – Feb 11	1 in 54
3	Ipswich Town	6	Nov 23 – Dec 29	1 in 34
4	Fleetwood Town	7	Dec 7 – Jan 28	1 in 32
5	Portsmouth	5	Aug 20 – Oct 19	1 in 28

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17
Rotherham United	40.00%	12.00%	13.00%	7.00%	3.00%	7.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Peterborough United	15.00%	13.00%	11.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	3.00%	5.00%	—	2.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	—
Coventry City	1.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	15.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%
Oxford United	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	12.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Fleetwood Town	4.00%	13.00%	12.00%	16.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%
Ipswich Town	11.00%	13.00%	9.00%	11.00%	12.00%	11.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Portsmouth	13.00%	13.00%	7.00%	12.00%	17.00%	8.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Burton Albion	5.00%	11.00%	14.00%	11.00%	7.00%	12.00%	11.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—
Blackpool	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	13.00%	8.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	12.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Bristol Rovers	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	13.00%	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Lincoln City	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	18.00%	6.00%	12.00%	8.00%	12.00%	8.00%
Accrington Stanley	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	10.00%	15.00%	12.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Gillingham	1.00%	4.00%	—	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	11.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Tranmere Rovers	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	11.00%	16.00%	23.00%	30.00%
AFC Wimbledon	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	10.00%	12.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	16.00%	9.00%	13.00%
Milton Keynes Dons	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	14.00%	13.00%	13.00%	20.00%	17.00%
Southend United	—	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	23.00%	17.00%	15.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Semifinals

Wycombe Wanderers 6

Fleetwood Town 3

Leg 1: Fleetwood Town 1-4 Wycombe Wanderers

Leg 2: Wycombe Wanderers 2-2 Fleetwood Town

Oxford United 6

Portsmouth 5

Leg 1: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United

Leg 2: Oxford United 5-4 Portsmouth

Finals

Wycombe Wanderers 2

Oxford United 1

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Direct promotion	Qualified for promotion playoff	Same level	Direct relegation
Rotherham United	52.0%	30.0%	18.0%	—
Peterborough United	28.0%	34.0%	38.0%	—
Portsmouth	26.0%	44.0%	30.0%	—
Ipswich Town	24.0%	43.0%	33.0%	—
Fleetwood Town	17.0%	44.0%	39.0%	—
Oxford United	17.0%	39.0%	44.0%	—
Burton Albion	16.0%	44.0%	40.0%	—
Coventry City	6.0%	37.0%	57.0%	—
Gillingham	5.0%	13.0%	82.0%	—
Blackpool	4.0%	23.0%	73.0%	—
Bristol Rovers	4.0%	24.0%	72.0%	—
Accrington Stanley	1.0%	9.0%	90.0%	—
AFC Wimbledon	—	4.0%	96.0%	—
Lincoln City	—	7.0%	93.0%	—
Milton Keynes Dons	—	1.0%	99.0%	—
Southend United	—	3.0%	97.0%	—
Tranmere Rovers	—	1.0%	99.0%	—
Rochdale	—	—	62.0%	38.0%
Shrewsbury Town	—	—	61.0%	39.0%
Sunderland	—	—	60.0%	40.0%
Wycombe Wanderers	—	—	59.0%	41.0%
Doncaster Rovers	—	—	58.0%	42.0%
Bolton Wanderers	—	—	—	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2019-08-03	Rotherham United	L 1-2	1551	1638	31.1%	28.0%	40.9%	-4.8	0
2019-08-03	@ AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1638	1551	40.9%	28.0%	31.1%	+4.8	3
2019-08-03	Bristol Rovers	W 2-0	1584	1592	42.1%	27.8%	30.1%	+9.3	3
2019-08-03	@ Blackpool	L 0-2	1592	1584	30.1%	27.8%	42.1%	-9.3	0
2019-08-03	Ipswich Town	L 0-1	1634	1634	43.4%	27.5%	29.1%	-6.5	0
2019-08-03	@ Burton Albion	W 1-0	1634	1634	29.1%	27.5%	43.4%	+6.5	3
2019-08-03	Southend United	W 1-0	1578	1564	45.3%	27.1%	27.6%	+4.6	3
2019-08-03	@ Coventry City	L 0-1	1564	1578	27.6%	27.1%	45.3%	-4.6	0
2019-08-03	Accrington Stanley	W 2-0	1533	1549	40.8%	28.0%	31.1%	+9.5	3
2019-08-03	@ Lincoln City	L 0-2	1549	1533	31.1%	28.0%	40.8%	-9.5	0
2019-08-03	Fleetwood Town	L 1-3	1609	1612	42.9%	27.6%	29.5%	-10.4	0
2019-08-03	@ Peterborough United	W 3-1	1612	1609	29.5%	27.6%	42.9%	+10.5	3
2019-08-10	AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1622	1546	54.2%	23.7%	22.0%	+3.4	6
2019-08-10	@ Fleetwood Town	L 1-2	1546	1622	22.0%	23.7%	54.2%	-3.4	0
2019-08-10	Burton Albion	L 1-2	1574	1628	35.5%	28.4%	36.1%	-5.3	0
2019-08-10	@ Gillingham	W 2-1	1628	1574	36.1%	28.4%	35.5%	+5.3	3
2019-08-10	Peterborough United	W 1-0	1588	1599	41.7%	27.9%	30.4%	+5.0	3
2019-08-10	@ Oxford United	L 0-1	1599	1588	30.4%	27.9%	41.7%	-5.0	0
2019-08-10	Tranmere Rovers	W 2-0	1656	1495	66.1%	17.2%	16.7%	+4.8	3
2019-08-10	@ Portsmouth	L 0-2	1495	1656	16.7%	17.2%	66.1%	-4.8	0
2019-08-10	Lincoln City	L 0-2	1643	1542	57.8%	22.0%	20.3%	-15.0	3
2019-08-10	@ Rotherham United	W 2-0	1542	1643	20.3%	22.0%	57.8%	+15.0	6
2019-08-10	Blackpool	L 1-3	1560	1594	38.4%	28.3%	33.3%	-9.6	0
2019-08-10	@ Southend United	W 3-1	1594	1560	33.3%	28.3%	38.4%	+9.7	6
2019-08-17	Accrington Stanley	D 1-1	1543	1540	43.8%	27.5%	28.8%	-0.5	1
2019-08-17	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 1-1	1540	1543	28.8%	27.5%	43.8%	+0.5	1
2019-08-17	Oxford United	W 2-1	1603	1593	44.8%	27.2%	28.0%	+4.4	9
2019-08-17	@ Blackpool	L 1-2	1593	1603	28.0%	27.2%	44.8%	-4.4	3
2019-08-17	Rotherham United	L 0-1	1633	1628	44.0%	27.4%	28.6%	-6.5	3
2019-08-17	@ Burton Albion	W 1-0	1628	1633	28.6%	27.4%	44.0%	+6.5	6
2019-08-17	Bristol Rovers	W 2-0	1583	1583	43.2%	27.6%	29.2%	+9.0	6
2019-08-17	@ Coventry City	L 0-2	1583	1583	29.2%	27.6%	43.2%	-9.0	0
2019-08-17	Southend United	W 4-0	1557	1550	44.3%	27.3%	28.4%	+16.8	9
2019-08-17	@ Lincoln City	L 0-4	1550	1557	28.4%	27.3%	44.3%	-16.8	0
2019-08-17	Ipswich Town	D 2-2	1594	1640	36.5%	28.4%	35.1%	-0.0	1
2019-08-17	@ Peterborough United	D 2-2	1640	1594	35.1%	28.4%	36.5%	+0.0	4
2019-08-20	Tranmere Rovers	W 2-0	1574	1490	55.4%	23.2%	21.4%	+6.6	3
2019-08-20	@ Bristol Rovers	L 0-2	1490	1574	21.4%	23.2%	55.4%	-6.6	0
2019-08-20	Blackpool	D 2-2	1569	1608	37.7%	28.3%	34.0%	-0.1	1
2019-08-20	@ Gillingham	D 2-2	1608	1569	34.0%	28.3%	37.7%	+0.1	10
2019-08-20	AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1640	1543	57.3%	22.2%	20.5%	+3.2	7
2019-08-20	@ Ipswich Town	L 1-2	1543	1640	20.5%	22.2%	57.3%	-3.2	1
2019-08-20	Lincoln City	W 2-1	1526	1574	36.3%	28.4%	35.3%	+5.2	3
2019-08-20	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-2	1574	1526	35.3%	28.4%	36.3%	-5.2	9
2019-08-20	Burton Albion	L 2-4	1588	1626	37.8%	28.3%	33.9%	-8.5	3
2019-08-20	@ Oxford United	W 4-2	1626	1588	33.9%	28.3%	37.8%	+8.5	6
2019-08-20	Coventry City	D 3-3	1661	1592	53.2%	24.2%	22.6%	-0.6	4
2019-08-20	@ Portsmouth	D 3-3	1592	1661	22.6%	24.2%	53.2%	+0.6	7
2019-08-20	Peterborough United	L 0-2	1533	1594	34.6%	28.3%	37.0%	-10.3	0
2019-08-20	@ Southend United	W 2-0	1594	1533	37.0%	28.3%	34.6%	+10.3	4
2019-08-24	Oxford United	W 3-1	1581	1580	43.4%	27.5%	29.1%	+7.8	6
2019-08-24	@ Bristol Rovers	L 1-3	1580	1581	29.1%	27.5%	43.4%	-7.8	3
2019-08-24	Gillingham	W 1-0	1592	1569	46.7%	26.7%	26.6%	+4.4	10
2019-08-24	@ Coventry City	L 0-1	1569	1592	26.6%	26.7%	46.7%	-4.4	1
2019-08-24	Accrington Stanley	W 2-0	1626	1540	55.6%	23.1%	21.3%	+6.6	9
2019-08-24	@ Fleetwood Town	L 0-2	1540	1626	21.3%	23.1%	55.6%	-6.6	1
2019-08-24	Peterborough United	L 0-4	1531	1604	32.9%	28.2%	38.9%	-18.9	3
2019-08-24	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 4-0	1604	1531	38.9%	28.2%	32.9%	+18.9	7
2019-08-31	Milton Keynes Dons	W 2-1	1534	1512	46.4%	26.8%	26.8%	+4.2	4
2019-08-31	@ Accrington Stanley	L 1-2	1512	1534	26.8%	26.8%	46.4%	-4.2	3
2019-08-31	Portsmouth	D 1-1	1608	1660	35.7%	28.4%	35.9%	+0.0	11
2019-08-31	@ Blackpool	D 1-1	1660	1608	35.9%	28.4%	35.7%	-0.0	5
2019-08-31	Bristol Rovers	W 2-0	1635	1588	50.0%	25.5%	24.4%	+7.7	9
2019-08-31	@ Burton Albion	L 0-2	1588	1635	24.4%	25.5%	50.0%	-7.7	6
2019-08-31	Fleetwood Town	W 2-0	1569	1632	34.1%	28.3%	37.6%	+11.0	12
2019-08-31	@ Lincoln City	L 0-2	1632	1569	37.6%	28.3%	34.1%	-11.0	9
2019-08-31	Coventry City	D 3-3	1572	1597	39.7%	28.1%	32.1%	-0.1	4
2019-08-31	@ Oxford United	D 3-3	1597	1572	32.1%	28.1%	39.7%	+0.1	11
2019-08-31	Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1634	1483	64.8%	18.0%	17.2%	-1.5	7
2019-08-31	@ Rotherham United	D 1-1	1483	1634	17.2%	18.0%	64.8%	+1.5	1
2019-09-07	Accrington Stanley	D 3-3	1581	1538	49.5%	25.7%	24.8%	-0.5	7
2019-09-07	@ Bristol Rovers	D 3-3	1538	1581	24.8%	25.7%	49.5%	+0.5	5
2019-09-07	Blackpool	W 3-2	1597	1608	41.7%	27.9%	30.4%	+4.4	14
2019-09-07	@ Coventry City	L 2-3	1608	1597	30.4%	27.9%	41.7%	-4.4	11
2019-09-07	Oxford United	W 2-1	1621	1572	50.4%	25.4%	24.2%	+3.8	12
2019-09-07	@ Fleetwood Town	L 1-2	1572	1621	24.2%	25.4%	50.4%	-3.8	4
2019-09-07	AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1508	1539	38.7%	28.2%	33.0%	+5.0	6
2019-09-07	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-2	1539	1508	33.0%	28.2%	38.7%	-5.0	1
2019-09-07	Gillingham	D 2-2	1485	1564	32.0%	28.1%	39.9%	+0.2	2
2019-09-07	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 2-2	1564	1485	39.9%	28.1%	32.0%	-0.2	2
2019-09-14	Milton Keynes Dons	L 0-3	1603	1513	56.3%	22.7%	21.0%	-21.3	11
2019-09-14	@ Blackpool	W 3-0	1513	1603	21.0%	22.7%	56.3%	+21.3	9
2019-09-14	Coventry City	D 0-0	1643	1601	49.3%	25.8%	24.9%	-0.8	10
2019-09-14	@ Burton Albion	D 0-0	1601	1643	24.9%	25.8%	49.3%	+0.9	15
2019-09-14	Bristol Rovers	L 0-1	1579	1580	43.2%	27.6%	29.2%	-6.4	12
2019-09-14	@ Lincoln City	W 1-0	1580	1579	29.2%	27.6%	43.2%	+6.4	10
2019-09-14	Tranmere Rovers	W 3-0	1568	1485	55.3%	23.2%	21.5%	+9.7	7
2019-09-14	@ Oxford United	L 0-3	1485	1568	21.5%	23.2%	55.3%	-9.7	2
2019-09-14	Fleetwood Town	D 3-3	1523	1625	29.3%	27.6%	43.1%	+0.3	1
2019-09-14	@ Southend United	D 3-3	1625	1523	43.1%	27.6%	29.3%	-0.3	13
2019-09-17	Gillingham	D 1-1	1587	1564	46.6%	26.7%	26.7%	-0.6	11
2019-09-17	@ Bristol Rovers	D 1-1	1564	1587	26.7%	26.7%	46.6%	+0.6	3
2019-09-17	AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1602	1534	53.1%	24.2%	22.7%	+3.5	18
2019-09-17	@ Coventry City	L 1-2	1534	1602	22.7%	24.2%	53.1%	-3.6	1
2019-09-17	Ipswich Town	L 0-1	1534	1643	28.5%	27.4%	44.1%	-4.7	9
2019-09-17	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1643	1534	44.1%	27.4%	28.5%	+4.7	10
2019-09-17	Burton Albion	D 2-2	1660	1642	46.0%	26.9%	27.2%	-0.4	6
2019-09-17	@ Portsmouth	D 2-2	1642	1660	27.2%	26.9%	46.0%	+0.4	11
2019-09-17	Peterborough United	D 2-2	1475	1623	24.6%	25.6%	49.7%	+0.6	3
2019-09-17	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 2-2	1623	1475	49.7%	25.6%	24.6%	-0.6	8
2019-09-21	Blackpool	D 1-1	1538	1582	37.0%	28.3%	34.7%	-0.1	6
2019-09-21	@ Accrington Stanley	D 1-1	1582	1538	34.7%	28.3%	37.0%	+0.1	12
2019-09-21	Bristol Rovers	L 1-3	1531	1586	35.3%	28.4%	36.3%	-9.1	1
2019-09-21	@ AFC Wimbledon	W 3-1	1586	1531	36.3%	28.4%	35.3%	+9.1	14
2019-09-21	Ipswich Town	L 0-1	1565	1648	31.6%	28.1%	40.4%	-5.1	3
2019-09-21	@ Gillingham	W 1-0	1648	1565	40.4%	28.1%	31.6%	+5.1	13
2019-09-21	Oxford United	L 0-6	1573	1578	42.6%	27.7%	29.7%	-33.3	12
2019-09-21	@ Lincoln City	W 6-0	1578	1573	29.7%	27.7%	42.6%	+33.3	10
2019-09-21	Southend United	L 0-1	1530	1523	44.2%	27.4%	28.5%	-6.5	9
2019-09-21	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1523	1530	28.5%	27.4%	44.2%	+6.5	4
2019-09-21	Burton Albion	W 2-1	1476	1642	23.0%	24.5%	52.4%	+7.0	6
2019-09-21	@ Tranmere Rovers	L 1-2	1642	1476	52.4%	24.5%	23.0%	-7.0	11
2019-09-27	Lincoln City	W 2-1	1582	1540	49.4%	25.8%	24.8%	+3.9	15
2019-09-27	@ Blackpool	L 1-2	1540	1582	24.8%	25.8%	49.4%	-3.9	12
2019-09-28	Rotherham United	W 1-0	1595	1633	37.8%	28.3%	33.9%	+5.4	17
2019-09-28	@ Bristol Rovers	L 0-1	1633	1595	33.9%	28.3%	37.8%	-5.4	7
2019-09-28	Tranmere Rovers	W 4-1	1653	1483	67.3%	16.5%	16.2%	+5.7	16
2019-09-28	@ Ipswich Town	L 1-4	1483	1653	16.2%	16.5%	67.3%	-5.7	6
2019-09-28	Gillingham	W 3-0	1611	1560	50.7%	25.2%	24.0%	+10.9	13
2019-09-28	@ Oxford United	L 0-3	1560	1611	24.0%	25.2%	50.7%	-10.9	3
2019-09-28	AFC Wimbledon	W 3-2	1622	1522	57.7%	22.0%	20.3%	+2.9	11
2019-09-28	@ Peterborough United	L 2-3	1522	1622	20.3%	22.0%	57.7%	-3.0	1
2019-09-28	Accrington Stanley	L 0-1	1530	1538	42.1%	27.8%	30.1%	-6.3	4
2019-09-28	@ Southend United	W 1-0	1538	1530	30.1%	27.8%	42.1%	+6.3	9
2019-10-05	Oxford United	D 2-2	1545	1622	32.3%	28.2%	39.6%	+0.2	10
2019-10-05	@ Accrington Stanley	D 2-2	1622	1545	39.6%	28.2%	32.3%	-0.2	14
2019-10-05	Ipswich Town	L 0-1	1625	1659	38.4%	28.3%	33.3%	-5.9	13
2019-10-05	@ Fleetwood Town	W 1-0	1659	1625	33.3%	28.3%	38.4%	+5.9	19
2019-10-05	Southend United	W 3-1	1549	1524	46.9%	26.6%	26.5%	+7.2	6
2019-10-05	@ Gillingham	L 1-3	1524	1549	26.5%	26.6%	46.9%	-7.2	4
2019-10-05	Burton Albion	L 0-3	1523	1635	28.1%	27.3%	44.6%	-12.7	9
2019-10-05	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 3-0	1635	1523	44.6%	27.3%	28.1%	+12.7	14
2019-10-05	Coventry City	W 4-0	1627	1606	46.4%	26.8%	26.8%	+15.9	10
2019-10-05	@ Rotherham United	L 0-4	1606	1627	26.8%	26.8%	46.4%	-15.9	18
2019-10-12	Rotherham United	L 1-2	1586	1643	35.0%	28.4%	36.6%	-5.2	15
2019-10-12	@ Blackpool	W 2-1	1643	1586	36.6%	28.4%	35.0%	+5.2	13
2019-10-12	Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1601	1510	56.3%	22.7%	21.0%	+3.5	20
2019-10-12	@ Bristol Rovers	L 0-1	1510	1601	21.0%	22.7%	56.3%	-3.4	9
2019-10-12	Lincoln City	W 2-0	1625	1536	56.1%	22.8%	21.1%	+6.5	14
2019-10-12	@ Peterborough United	L 0-2	1536	1625	21.1%	22.8%	56.1%	-6.5	12
2019-10-12	Gillingham	D 0-0	1660	1556	58.2%	21.7%	20.1%	-1.4	7
2019-10-12	@ Portsmouth	D 0-0	1556	1660	20.1%	21.7%	58.2%	+1.4	7
2019-10-12	AFC Wimbledon	L 1-4	1516	1519	43.0%	27.6%	29.4%	-14.8	4
2019-10-12	@ Southend United	W 4-1	1519	1516	29.4%	27.6%	43.0%	+14.8	4
2019-10-13	Tranmere Rovers	L 0-1	1590	1477	59.5%	21.1%	19.5%	-8.1	18
2019-10-13	@ Coventry City	W 1-0	1477	1590	19.5%	21.1%	59.5%	+8.1	9
2019-10-18	Southend United	D 1-1	1485	1502	40.9%	28.0%	31.1%	-0.3	10
2019-10-18	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1502	1485	31.1%	28.0%	40.9%	+0.3	5
2019-10-19	Portsmouth	W 1-0	1534	1658	26.8%	26.8%	46.4%	+6.8	7
2019-10-19	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1658	1534	46.4%	26.8%	26.8%	-6.8	7
2019-10-19	Burton Albion	W 4-1	1619	1648	39.1%	28.2%	32.7%	+12.1	16
2019-10-19	@ Fleetwood Town	L 1-4	1648	1619	32.7%	28.2%	39.1%	-12.1	14
2019-10-19	Peterborough United	L 1-2	1557	1632	32.7%	28.2%	39.1%	-5.0	7
2019-10-19	@ Gillingham	W 2-1	1632	1557	39.1%	28.2%	32.7%	+5.0	17
2019-10-19	Coventry City	D 0-0	1507	1582	32.6%	28.2%	39.2%	+0.2	10
2019-10-19	@ Milton Keynes Dons	D 0-0	1582	1507	39.2%	28.2%	32.6%	-0.2	19
2019-10-19	Oxford United	L 1-2	1648	1622	47.1%	26.5%	26.3%	-6.5	13
2019-10-19	@ Rotherham United	W 2-1	1622	1648	26.3%	26.5%	47.1%	+6.5	17
2019-10-20	Ipswich Town	W 2-0	1545	1665	27.3%	27.0%	45.7%	+12.6	13
2019-10-20	@ Accrington Stanley	L 0-2	1665	1545	45.7%	27.0%	27.3%	-12.6	19
2019-10-22	AFC Wimbledon	W 1-0	1636	1540	57.0%	22.4%	20.6%	+3.4	17
2019-10-22	@ Burton Albion	L 0-1	1540	1636	20.6%	22.4%	57.0%	-3.4	7
2019-10-22	Lincoln City	W 1-0	1651	1529	60.8%	20.3%	18.9%	+3.0	10
2019-10-22	@ Portsmouth	L 0-1	1529	1651	18.9%	20.3%	60.8%	-3.0	12
2019-10-23	Fleetwood Town	W 2-1	1582	1631	36.1%	28.4%	35.5%	+5.3	22
2019-10-23	@ Coventry City	L 1-2	1631	1582	35.5%	28.4%	36.1%	-5.3	16
2019-10-23	Rotherham United	L 0-2	1652	1642	44.7%	27.2%	28.1%	-12.4	19
2019-10-23	@ Ipswich Town	W 2-0	1642	1652	28.1%	27.2%	44.7%	+12.4	16
2019-10-23	Accrington Stanley	W 4-0	1637	1557	54.7%	23.5%	21.8%	+12.9	20
2019-10-23	@ Peterborough United	L 0-4	1557	1637	21.8%	23.5%	54.7%	-12.9	13
2019-10-26	Gillingham	L 0-1	1544	1552	42.2%	27.8%	30.1%	-6.3	13
2019-10-26	@ Accrington Stanley	W 1-0	1552	1544	30.1%	27.8%	42.2%	+6.3	10
2019-10-26	Portsmouth	D 2-2	1604	1654	36.0%	28.4%	35.7%	-0.0	21
2019-10-26	@ Bristol Rovers	D 2-2	1654	1604	35.7%	28.4%	36.0%	+0.0	11
2019-10-26	Blackpool	D 0-0	1639	1581	51.8%	24.8%	23.4%	-1.0	18
2019-10-26	@ Burton Albion	D 0-0	1581	1639	23.4%	24.8%	51.8%	+1.0	16
2019-10-26	Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1626	1507	60.3%	20.6%	19.1%	+3.1	19
2019-10-26	@ Fleetwood Town	L 0-1	1507	1626	19.1%	20.6%	60.3%	-3.1	10
2019-10-26	Coventry City	D 2-2	1649	1587	52.3%	24.6%	23.1%	-0.7	21
2019-10-26	@ Peterborough United	D 2-2	1587	1649	23.1%	24.6%	52.3%	+0.7	23
2019-10-26	Ipswich Town	L 1-3	1502	1639	25.6%	26.2%	48.3%	-7.0	5
2019-10-26	@ Southend United	W 3-1	1639	1502	48.3%	26.2%	25.6%	+7.0	22
2019-11-02	Lincoln City	D 1-1	1537	1526	44.9%	27.2%	28.0%	-0.5	8
2019-11-02	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 1-1	1526	1537	28.0%	27.2%	44.9%	+0.5	13
2019-11-02	Peterborough United	W 4-3	1582	1649	33.7%	28.3%	38.0%	+5.1	19
2019-11-02	@ Blackpool	L 3-4	1649	1582	38.0%	28.3%	33.7%	-5.1	21
2019-11-02	Accrington Stanley	D 0-0	1587	1538	50.4%	25.4%	24.2%	-0.9	24
2019-11-02	@ Coventry City	D 0-0	1538	1587	24.2%	25.4%	50.4%	+0.9	14
2019-11-02	Rotherham United	L 0-3	1559	1654	30.0%	27.8%	42.2%	-13.4	10
2019-11-02	@ Gillingham	W 3-0	1654	1559	42.2%	27.8%	30.0%	+13.4	19
2019-11-02	Tranmere Rovers	L 1-3	1504	1485	46.1%	26.9%	27.1%	-11.0	10
2019-11-02	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 3-1	1485	1504	27.1%	26.9%	46.1%	+11.0	13
2019-11-02	Oxford United	D 1-1	1655	1628	47.1%	26.6%	26.4%	-0.6	12
2019-11-02	@ Portsmouth	D 1-1	1628	1655	26.4%	26.6%	47.1%	+0.6	18
2019-11-05	Southend United	W 4-1	1654	1495	65.8%	17.4%	16.8%	+6.0	15
2019-11-05	@ Portsmouth	L 1-4	1495	1654	16.8%	17.4%	65.8%	-6.0	5
2019-11-16	AFC Wimbledon	W 2-0	1587	1537	50.6%	25.3%	24.1%	+7.6	22
2019-11-16	@ Blackpool	L 0-2	1537	1587	24.1%	25.3%	50.6%	-7.6	8
2019-11-16	Lincoln City	W 1-0	1545	1527	46.0%	26.9%	27.2%	+4.5	13
2019-11-16	@ Gillingham	L 0-1	1527	1545	27.2%	26.9%	46.0%	-4.5	13
2019-11-16	Accrington Stanley	W 1-0	1668	1539	61.7%	19.8%	18.5%	+2.9	22
2019-11-16	@ Rotherham United	L 0-1	1539	1668	18.5%	19.8%	61.7%	-2.9	14
2019-11-23	Gillingham	W 1-0	1529	1550	40.3%	28.1%	31.6%	+5.1	11
2019-11-23	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1550	1529	31.6%	28.1%	40.3%	-5.1	13
2019-11-23	Tranmere Rovers	W 2-1	1629	1496	62.3%	19.5%	18.2%	+2.7	22
2019-11-23	@ Fleetwood Town	L 1-2	1496	1629	18.2%	19.5%	62.3%	-2.7	13
2019-11-23	Blackpool	D 2-2	1646	1594	50.8%	25.2%	24.0%	-0.6	23
2019-11-23	@ Ipswich Town	D 2-2	1594	1646	24.0%	25.2%	50.8%	+0.6	23
2019-11-23	Rotherham United	L 2-3	1493	1671	22.1%	23.8%	54.1%	-3.3	10
2019-11-23	@ Milton Keynes Dons	W 3-2	1671	1493	54.1%	23.8%	22.1%	+3.3	25
2019-11-23	Burton Albion	W 1-0	1644	1638	44.1%	27.4%	28.5%	+4.7	24
2019-11-23	@ Peterborough United	L 0-1	1638	1644	28.5%	27.4%	44.1%	-4.7	18
2019-11-23	Oxford United	L 0-4	1489	1629	25.3%	26.0%	48.6%	-15.1	5
2019-11-23	@ Southend United	W 4-0	1629	1489	48.6%	26.0%	25.3%	+15.1	21
2019-11-26	Rotherham United	W 3-2	1660	1674	41.2%	27.9%	30.8%	+4.5	18
2019-11-26	@ Portsmouth	L 2-3	1674	1660	30.8%	27.9%	41.2%	-4.5	25
2019-12-03	Southend United	D 1-1	1633	1474	65.9%	17.3%	16.8%	-1.6	19
2019-12-03	@ Burton Albion	D 1-1	1474	1633	16.8%	17.3%	65.9%	+1.6	6
2019-12-07	Fleetwood Town	W 3-1	1595	1632	38.0%	28.3%	33.7%	+8.8	26
2019-12-07	@ Blackpool	L 1-3	1632	1595	33.7%	28.3%	38.0%	-8.8	22
2019-12-07	Southend United	W 4-2	1604	1476	61.6%	19.9%	18.5%	+4.3	24
2019-12-07	@ Bristol Rovers	L 2-4	1476	1604	18.5%	19.9%	61.6%	-4.3	6
2019-12-07	Lincoln City	L 0-2	1632	1522	59.0%	21.3%	19.7%	-15.2	19
2019-12-07	@ Burton Albion	W 2-0	1522	1632	19.7%	21.3%	59.0%	+15.2	16
2019-12-07	Ipswich Town	D 1-1	1587	1646	34.7%	28.4%	36.9%	+0.1	25
2019-12-07	@ Coventry City	D 1-1	1646	1587	36.9%	28.4%	34.7%	-0.1	24
2019-12-07	Peterborough United	D 2-2	1664	1648	45.6%	27.0%	27.4%	-0.4	19
2019-12-07	@ Portsmouth	D 2-2	1648	1664	27.4%	27.0%	45.6%	+0.4	25
2019-12-07	Accrington Stanley	D 1-1	1493	1536	37.0%	28.3%	34.6%	-0.1	14
2019-12-07	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1536	1493	34.6%	28.3%	37.0%	+0.1	15
2019-12-14	Portsmouth	W 4-1	1536	1664	26.5%	26.6%	46.9%	+15.8	18
2019-12-14	@ Accrington Stanley	L 1-4	1664	1536	46.9%	26.6%	26.5%	-15.8	19
2019-12-14	Gillingham	D 1-1	1623	1545	54.6%	23.5%	21.9%	-1.0	23
2019-12-14	@ Fleetwood Town	D 1-1	1545	1623	21.9%	23.5%	54.6%	+1.0	14
2019-12-14	Bristol Rovers	L 1-2	1646	1608	48.7%	26.0%	25.3%	-6.6	24
2019-12-14	@ Ipswich Town	W 2-1	1608	1646	25.3%	26.0%	48.7%	+6.6	27
2019-12-14	Tranmere Rovers	W 1-0	1537	1493	49.7%	25.6%	24.6%	+4.1	19
2019-12-14	@ Lincoln City	L 0-1	1493	1537	24.6%	25.6%	49.7%	-4.1	14
2019-12-14	Oxford United	W 1-0	1490	1644	24.0%	25.2%	50.7%	+7.2	13
2019-12-14	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 0-1	1644	1490	50.7%	25.2%	24.0%	-7.2	21
2019-12-14	Rotherham United	D 2-2	1471	1670	20.6%	22.4%	57.0%	+0.9	7
2019-12-14	@ Southend United	D 2-2	1670	1471	57.0%	22.4%	20.6%	-0.9	26
2019-12-21	Peterborough United	D 0-0	1615	1649	38.4%	28.3%	33.4%	-0.2	28
2019-12-21	@ Bristol Rovers	D 0-0	1649	1615	33.4%	28.3%	38.4%	+0.2	26
2019-12-21	Lincoln City	W 1-0	1587	1542	49.8%	25.6%	24.6%	+4.1	28
2019-12-21	@ Coventry City	L 0-1	1542	1587	24.6%	25.6%	49.8%	-4.1	19
2019-12-21	Milton Keynes Dons	W 3-1	1546	1497	50.3%	25.4%	24.3%	+6.6	17
2019-12-21	@ Gillingham	L 1-3	1497	1546	24.3%	25.4%	50.3%	-6.6	13
2019-12-21	Ipswich Town	W 1-0	1648	1639	44.6%	27.3%	28.1%	+4.6	22
2019-12-21	@ Portsmouth	L 0-1	1639	1648	28.1%	27.3%	44.6%	-4.6	24
2019-12-21	Fleetwood Town	D 2-2	1669	1622	50.1%	25.5%	24.4%	-0.6	27
2019-12-21	@ Rotherham United	D 2-2	1622	1669	24.4%	25.5%	50.1%	+0.6	24
2019-12-21	AFC Wimbledon	W 1-0	1489	1534	36.8%	28.4%	34.9%	+5.5	17
2019-12-21	@ Tranmere Rovers	L 0-1	1534	1489	34.9%	28.4%	36.8%	-5.5	11
2019-12-26	Accrington Stanley	L 0-1	1604	1552	50.8%	25.2%	24.0%	-7.2	26
2019-12-26	@ Blackpool	W 1-0	1552	1604	24.0%	25.2%	50.8%	+7.2	21
2019-12-26	AFC Wimbledon	L 1-2	1615	1529	55.7%	23.0%	21.3%	-7.3	28
2019-12-26	@ Bristol Rovers	W 2-1	1529	1615	21.3%	23.0%	55.7%	+7.3	14
2019-12-26	Tranmere Rovers	W 4-2	1617	1494	60.8%	20.3%	18.9%	+4.4	22
2019-12-26	@ Burton Albion	L 2-4	1494	1617	18.9%	20.3%	60.8%	-4.4	17
2019-12-26	Gillingham	D 0-0	1634	1552	55.1%	23.3%	21.6%	-1.2	25
2019-12-26	@ Ipswich Town	D 0-0	1552	1634	21.6%	23.3%	55.1%	+1.2	18
2019-12-26	Lincoln City	W 1-0	1637	1537	57.6%	22.1%	20.3%	+3.3	24
2019-12-26	@ Oxford United	L 0-1	1537	1637	20.3%	22.1%	57.6%	-3.3	19
2019-12-26	Milton Keynes Dons	D 2-2	1472	1490	40.6%	28.0%	31.3%	-0.2	8
2019-12-26	@ Southend United	D 2-2	1490	1472	31.3%	28.0%	40.6%	+0.2	14
2019-12-29	Burton Albion	W 2-0	1559	1621	34.4%	28.3%	37.3%	+10.9	24
2019-12-29	@ Accrington Stanley	L 0-2	1621	1559	37.3%	28.3%	34.4%	-10.9	22
2019-12-29	Oxford United	L 1-2	1536	1640	29.0%	27.5%	43.5%	-4.5	14
2019-12-29	@ AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1640	1536	43.5%	27.5%	29.0%	+4.5	27
2019-12-29	Bristol Rovers	D 0-0	1622	1607	45.5%	27.0%	27.5%	-0.6	25
2019-12-29	@ Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1607	1622	27.5%	27.0%	45.5%	+0.6	29
2019-12-29	Ipswich Town	W 5-3	1534	1633	29.6%	27.7%	42.7%	+8.8	22
2019-12-29	@ Lincoln City	L 3-5	1633	1534	42.7%	27.7%	29.6%	-8.8	25
2019-12-29	Portsmouth	W 3-1	1491	1653	23.4%	24.8%	51.8%	+12.0	17
2019-12-29	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 1-3	1653	1491	51.8%	24.8%	23.4%	-12.0	22
2019-12-29	Peterborough United	W 4-0	1668	1649	46.1%	26.9%	27.1%	+16.0	30
2019-12-29	@ Rotherham United	L 0-4	1649	1668	27.1%	26.9%	46.1%	-16.1	26
2019-12-29	Blackpool	D 1-1	1490	1596	28.8%	27.5%	43.8%	+0.5	18
2019-12-29	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 1-1	1596	1490	43.8%	27.5%	28.8%	-0.5	27
2020-01-01	Southend United	D 1-1	1531	1472	51.9%	24.8%	23.3%	-0.9	15
2020-01-01	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 1-1	1472	1531	23.3%	24.8%	51.9%	+0.9	9
2020-01-01	Portsmouth	D 1-1	1553	1641	31.0%	28.0%	41.0%	+0.3	19
2020-01-01	@ Gillingham	D 1-1	1641	1553	41.0%	28.0%	31.0%	-0.3	23
2020-01-01	Peterborough United	W 2-1	1543	1633	30.7%	27.9%	41.4%	+5.9	25
2020-01-01	@ Lincoln City	L 1-2	1633	1543	41.4%	27.9%	30.7%	-5.9	26
2020-01-01	Bristol Rovers	W 3-0	1503	1608	28.9%	27.5%	43.6%	+17.8	20
2020-01-01	@ Milton Keynes Dons	L 0-3	1608	1503	43.6%	27.5%	28.9%	-17.8	29
2020-01-01	Blackpool	W 2-1	1684	1596	56.0%	22.9%	21.1%	+3.3	33
2020-01-01	@ Rotherham United	L 1-2	1596	1684	21.1%	22.9%	56.0%	-3.3	27
2020-01-01	Coventry City	L 1-4	1491	1591	29.5%	27.6%	42.9%	-11.2	18
2020-01-01	@ Tranmere Rovers	W 4-1	1591	1491	42.9%	27.6%	29.5%	+11.2	31
2020-01-11	Fleetwood Town	W 1-0	1610	1622	41.6%	27.9%	30.5%	+5.0	25
2020-01-11	@ Burton Albion	L 0-1	1622	1610	30.5%	27.9%	41.6%	-5.0	25
2020-01-11	Milton Keynes Dons	D 1-1	1602	1520	55.0%	23.3%	21.6%	-1.1	32
2020-01-11	@ Coventry City	D 1-1	1520	1602	21.6%	23.3%	55.0%	+1.1	21
2020-01-11	Accrington Stanley	W 4-1	1624	1570	51.2%	25.1%	23.8%	+9.1	28
2020-01-11	@ Ipswich Town	L 1-4	1570	1624	23.8%	25.1%	51.2%	-9.1	24
2020-01-11	Rotherham United	L 1-3	1645	1687	37.1%	28.3%	34.6%	-9.4	27
2020-01-11	@ Oxford United	W 3-1	1687	1645	34.6%	28.3%	37.1%	+9.4	36
2020-01-11	Gillingham	D 0-0	1627	1554	53.9%	23.9%	22.2%	-1.1	27
2020-01-11	@ Peterborough United	D 0-0	1554	1627	22.2%	23.9%	53.9%	+1.1	20
2020-01-11	AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1640	1530	59.1%	21.3%	19.7%	+3.0	26
2020-01-11	@ Portsmouth	L 1-2	1530	1640	19.7%	21.3%	59.1%	-3.0	15
2020-01-11	Tranmere Rovers	D 0-0	1473	1479	42.3%	27.8%	29.9%	-0.4	10
2020-01-11	@ Southend United	D 0-0	1479	1473	29.9%	27.8%	42.3%	+0.4	19
2020-01-14	Ipswich Town	D 0-0	1635	1634	43.5%	27.5%	29.0%	-0.5	28
2020-01-14	@ Oxford United	D 0-0	1634	1635	29.0%	27.5%	43.5%	+0.5	29
2020-01-14	Milton Keynes Dons	W 1-0	1615	1521	56.8%	22.5%	20.7%	+3.4	28
2020-01-14	@ Burton Albion	L 0-1	1521	1615	20.7%	22.5%	56.8%	-3.4	21
2020-01-18	Southend United	L 1-2	1561	1472	56.0%	22.9%	21.1%	-7.3	24
2020-01-18	@ Accrington Stanley	W 2-1	1472	1561	21.1%	22.9%	56.0%	+7.3	13
2020-01-18	Peterborough United	W 1-0	1527	1626	29.7%	27.7%	42.6%	+6.4	18
2020-01-18	@ AFC Wimbledon	L 0-1	1626	1527	42.6%	27.7%	29.7%	-6.4	27
2020-01-18	Oxford United	D 1-1	1555	1635	31.9%	28.1%	39.9%	+0.2	21
2020-01-18	@ Gillingham	D 1-1	1635	1555	39.9%	28.1%	31.9%	-0.2	29
2020-01-18	Blackpool	W 1-0	1549	1593	36.9%	28.4%	34.7%	+5.5	28
2020-01-18	@ Lincoln City	L 0-1	1593	1549	34.7%	28.4%	36.9%	-5.5	27
2020-01-18	Bristol Rovers	W 3-0	1697	1590	58.6%	21.5%	19.9%	+8.8	39
2020-01-18	@ Rotherham United	L 0-3	1590	1697	19.9%	21.5%	58.6%	-8.8	29
2020-01-18	Ipswich Town	L 1-2	1480	1634	24.1%	25.3%	50.7%	-3.8	19
2020-01-18	@ Tranmere Rovers	W 2-1	1634	1480	50.7%	25.3%	24.1%	+3.8	32
2020-01-25	Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1581	1617	38.2%	28.3%	33.6%	-0.2	30
2020-01-25	@ Bristol Rovers	D 0-0	1617	1581	33.6%	28.3%	38.2%	+0.2	26
2020-01-25	Accrington Stanley	D 1-1	1619	1554	52.7%	24.4%	22.9%	-0.9	29
2020-01-25	@ Burton Albion	D 1-1	1554	1619	22.9%	24.4%	52.7%	+0.9	25
2020-01-25	Lincoln City	W 1-0	1638	1554	55.3%	23.2%	21.5%	+3.5	35
2020-01-25	@ Ipswich Town	L 0-1	1554	1638	21.5%	23.2%	55.3%	-3.5	28
2020-01-25	Rotherham United	W 2-1	1619	1706	31.2%	28.0%	40.8%	+5.8	30
2020-01-25	@ Peterborough United	L 1-2	1706	1619	40.8%	28.0%	31.2%	-5.8	39
2020-01-28	Peterborough United	L 0-2	1555	1625	33.2%	28.3%	38.6%	-10.0	25
2020-01-28	@ Accrington Stanley	W 2-0	1625	1555	38.6%	28.3%	33.2%	+10.0	33
2020-01-28	Burton Albion	D 2-2	1534	1618	31.5%	28.1%	40.5%	+0.2	19
2020-01-28	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 2-2	1618	1534	40.5%	28.1%	31.5%	-0.2	30
2020-01-28	Coventry City	D 0-0	1617	1601	45.6%	27.0%	27.4%	-0.6	27
2020-01-28	@ Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1601	1617	27.4%	27.0%	45.6%	+0.6	33
2020-01-28	Portsmouth	L 0-2	1551	1643	30.4%	27.9%	41.8%	-9.3	28
2020-01-28	@ Lincoln City	W 2-0	1643	1551	41.8%	27.9%	30.4%	+9.3	29
2020-01-28	Ipswich Town	W 1-0	1700	1641	51.7%	24.8%	23.4%	+3.9	42
2020-01-28	@ Rotherham United	L 0-1	1641	1700	23.4%	24.8%	51.7%	-3.9	35
2020-02-01	AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1545	1534	44.8%	27.2%	28.0%	+4.4	28
2020-02-01	@ Accrington Stanley	L 1-2	1534	1545	28.0%	27.2%	44.8%	-4.4	19
2020-02-01	Coventry City	L 1-2	1581	1601	40.4%	28.1%	31.6%	-5.8	30
2020-02-01	@ Bristol Rovers	W 2-1	1601	1581	31.6%	28.1%	40.4%	+5.8	36
2020-02-01	Peterborough United	L 1-4	1637	1635	43.6%	27.5%	28.9%	-15.0	35
2020-02-01	@ Ipswich Town	W 4-1	1635	1637	28.9%	27.5%	43.6%	+15.0	36
2020-02-01	Blackpool	W 2-1	1635	1587	50.1%	25.5%	24.4%	+3.8	32
2020-02-01	@ Oxford United	L 1-2	1587	1635	24.4%	25.5%	50.1%	-3.8	27
2020-02-01	Burton Albion	W 3-2	1704	1617	55.7%	23.0%	21.3%	+3.1	45
2020-02-01	@ Rotherham United	L 2-3	1617	1704	21.3%	23.0%	55.7%	-3.1	30
2020-02-01	Lincoln City	W 2-1	1480	1541	34.4%	28.3%	37.3%	+5.5	16
2020-02-01	@ Southend United	L 1-2	1541	1480	37.3%	28.3%	34.4%	-5.5	28
2020-02-07	Rotherham United	L 0-1	1536	1707	22.7%	24.2%	53.1%	-3.8	28
2020-02-07	@ Lincoln City	W 1-0	1707	1536	53.1%	24.2%	22.7%	+3.8	48
2020-02-08	Fleetwood Town	L 1-2	1530	1616	31.1%	28.0%	40.9%	-4.8	19
2020-02-08	@ AFC Wimbledon	W 2-1	1616	1530	40.9%	28.0%	31.1%	+4.8	30
2020-02-08	Southend United	W 2-1	1583	1485	57.4%	22.1%	20.4%	+3.1	30
2020-02-08	@ Blackpool	L 1-2	1485	1583	20.4%	22.1%	57.4%	-3.1	16
2020-02-08	Gillingham	D 0-0	1614	1555	51.9%	24.8%	23.4%	-1.0	31
2020-02-08	@ Burton Albion	D 0-0	1555	1614	23.4%	24.8%	51.9%	+1.0	22
2020-02-08	Oxford United	W 4-0	1650	1638	45.0%	27.1%	27.8%	+16.5	39
2020-02-08	@ Peterborough United	L 0-4	1638	1650	27.8%	27.1%	45.0%	-16.5	32
2020-02-08	Portsmouth	L 0-2	1476	1653	22.2%	23.9%	53.9%	-6.9	19
2020-02-08	@ Tranmere Rovers	W 2-0	1653	1476	53.9%	23.9%	22.2%	+6.9	32
2020-02-11	Ipswich Town	D 0-0	1525	1623	29.8%	27.7%	42.5%	+0.4	20
2020-02-11	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 0-0	1623	1525	42.5%	27.7%	29.8%	-0.4	36
2020-02-11	Gillingham	L 2-3	1587	1556	47.7%	26.3%	25.9%	-6.2	30
2020-02-11	@ Blackpool	W 3-2	1556	1587	25.9%	26.3%	47.7%	+6.2	25
2020-02-11	Oxford United	D 2-2	1613	1622	42.0%	27.8%	30.2%	-0.3	32
2020-02-11	@ Burton Albion	D 2-2	1622	1613	30.2%	27.8%	42.0%	+0.3	33
2020-02-11	Portsmouth	W 1-0	1607	1660	35.7%	28.4%	35.9%	+5.6	39
2020-02-11	@ Coventry City	L 0-1	1660	1607	35.9%	28.4%	35.7%	-5.6	32
2020-02-11	Milton Keynes Dons	D 1-1	1532	1518	45.4%	27.1%	27.6%	-0.5	29
2020-02-11	@ Lincoln City	D 1-1	1518	1532	27.6%	27.1%	45.4%	+0.5	22
2020-02-11	Southend United	W 4-0	1667	1482	69.2%	15.3%	15.4%	+8.2	42
2020-02-11	@ Peterborough United	L 0-4	1482	1667	15.4%	15.3%	69.2%	-8.2	16
2020-02-11	Bristol Rovers	D 0-0	1469	1576	28.8%	27.5%	43.8%	+0.5	20
2020-02-11	@ Tranmere Rovers	D 0-0	1576	1469	43.8%	27.5%	28.8%	-0.5	31
2020-02-15	Lincoln City	W 4-3	1549	1532	45.8%	26.9%	27.3%	+3.9	31
2020-02-15	@ Accrington Stanley	L 3-4	1532	1549	27.3%	26.9%	45.8%	-4.0	29
2020-02-15	Blackpool	W 2-1	1575	1580	42.5%	27.7%	29.8%	+4.6	34
2020-02-15	@ Bristol Rovers	L 1-2	1580	1575	29.8%	27.7%	42.5%	-4.6	30
2020-02-15	Peterborough United	W 2-1	1621	1675	35.5%	28.4%	36.1%	+5.3	33
2020-02-15	@ Fleetwood Town	L 1-2	1675	1621	36.1%	28.4%	35.5%	-5.3	42
2020-02-15	Burton Albion	W 4-1	1622	1613	44.6%	27.3%	28.1%	+10.7	39
2020-02-15	@ Ipswich Town	L 1-4	1613	1622	28.1%	27.3%	44.6%	-10.7	32
2020-02-15	AFC Wimbledon	D 2-2	1711	1525	69.3%	15.3%	15.4%	-1.3	49
2020-02-15	@ Rotherham United	D 2-2	1525	1711	15.4%	15.3%	69.3%	+1.3	21
2020-02-15	Coventry City	L 0-2	1474	1613	25.4%	26.1%	48.5%	-8.0	16
2020-02-15	@ Southend United	W 2-0	1613	1474	48.5%	26.1%	25.4%	+8.0	42
2020-02-18	Gillingham	L 0-1	1466	1562	29.9%	27.8%	42.3%	-4.9	16
2020-02-18	@ Southend United	W 1-0	1562	1466	42.3%	27.8%	29.9%	+4.9	28
2020-02-18	AFC Wimbledon	W 5-0	1622	1527	57.0%	22.3%	20.6%	+14.9	36
2020-02-18	@ Oxford United	L 0-5	1527	1622	20.6%	22.3%	57.0%	-14.9	21
2020-02-22	Rotherham United	L 1-2	1553	1709	23.9%	25.1%	51.0%	-3.7	31
2020-02-22	@ Accrington Stanley	W 2-1	1709	1553	51.0%	25.1%	23.9%	+3.7	52
2020-02-22	Blackpool	D 0-0	1512	1576	34.1%	28.3%	37.6%	+0.1	22
2020-02-22	@ AFC Wimbledon	D 0-0	1576	1512	37.6%	28.3%	34.1%	-0.1	31
2020-02-22	Portsmouth	W 1-0	1626	1654	39.3%	28.2%	32.5%	+5.2	36
2020-02-22	@ Fleetwood Town	L 0-1	1654	1626	32.5%	28.2%	39.3%	-5.2	32
2020-02-22	Oxford United	L 0-1	1633	1637	42.7%	27.7%	29.6%	-6.4	39
2020-02-22	@ Ipswich Town	W 1-0	1637	1633	29.6%	27.7%	42.7%	+6.4	39
2020-02-22	Gillingham	D 0-0	1528	1567	37.6%	28.3%	34.1%	-0.1	30
2020-02-22	@ Lincoln City	D 0-0	1567	1528	34.1%	28.3%	37.6%	+0.1	29
2020-02-22	Burton Albion	L 2-3	1461	1602	25.2%	26.0%	48.8%	-3.8	16
2020-02-22	@ Southend United	W 3-2	1602	1461	48.8%	26.0%	25.2%	+3.8	35
2020-02-25	Rotherham United	D 1-1	1621	1713	30.4%	27.9%	41.7%	+0.3	43
2020-02-25	@ Coventry City	D 1-1	1713	1621	41.7%	27.9%	30.4%	-0.3	53
2020-02-25	Accrington Stanley	W 3-0	1643	1549	56.9%	22.4%	20.7%	+9.3	42
2020-02-25	@ Oxford United	L 0-3	1549	1643	20.7%	22.4%	56.9%	-9.3	31
2020-02-25	Milton Keynes Dons	W 3-1	1649	1518	61.9%	19.7%	18.4%	+4.8	35
2020-02-25	@ Portsmouth	L 1-3	1518	1649	18.4%	19.7%	61.9%	-4.8	22
2020-02-29	Ipswich Town	W 2-1	1576	1626	35.9%	28.4%	35.7%	+5.3	34
2020-02-29	@ Blackpool	L 1-2	1626	1576	35.7%	28.4%	35.9%	-5.3	39
2020-02-29	Peterborough United	D 1-1	1606	1670	34.1%	28.3%	37.5%	+0.1	36
2020-02-29	@ Burton Albion	D 1-1	1670	1606	37.5%	28.3%	34.1%	-0.1	43
2020-02-29	AFC Wimbledon	L 1-2	1567	1512	51.3%	25.0%	23.7%	-6.9	29
2020-02-29	@ Gillingham	W 2-1	1512	1567	23.7%	25.0%	51.3%	+6.9	25
2020-02-29	Southend United	W 2-1	1653	1457	70.6%	14.5%	14.9%	+2.1	45
2020-02-29	@ Oxford United	L 1-2	1457	1653	14.9%	14.5%	70.6%	-2.1	16
2020-02-29	Milton Keynes Dons	D 1-1	1713	1514	71.1%	14.2%	14.7%	-1.8	54
2020-02-29	@ Rotherham United	D 1-1	1514	1713	14.7%	14.2%	71.1%	+1.8	23
2020-03-03	Fleetwood Town	L 0-1	1621	1632	41.8%	27.9%	30.4%	-6.3	39
2020-03-03	@ Ipswich Town	W 1-0	1632	1621	30.4%	27.9%	41.8%	+6.3	39
2020-03-07	Tranmere Rovers	L 1-2	1540	1470	53.4%	24.1%	22.5%	-7.1	31
2020-03-07	@ Accrington Stanley	W 2-1	1470	1540	22.5%	24.1%	53.4%	+7.1	23
2020-03-07	Blackpool	D 0-0	1638	1581	51.5%	24.9%	23.5%	-1.0	40
2020-03-07	@ Fleetwood Town	D 0-0	1581	1638	23.5%	24.9%	51.5%	+1.0	35
2020-03-07	Coventry City	L 0-1	1615	1621	42.4%	27.7%	29.9%	-6.4	39
2020-03-07	@ Ipswich Town	W 1-0	1621	1615	29.9%	27.7%	42.4%	+6.3	46
2020-03-07	Burton Albion	W 3-2	1528	1606	32.1%	28.1%	39.7%	+5.4	33
2020-03-07	@ Lincoln City	L 2-3	1606	1528	39.7%	28.1%	32.1%	-5.4	36
2020-03-07	Portsmouth	W 2-0	1670	1654	45.6%	27.0%	27.4%	+8.6	46
2020-03-07	@ Peterborough United	L 0-2	1654	1670	27.4%	27.0%	45.6%	-8.6	35
2020-03-07	Bristol Rovers	W 3-1	1455	1580	26.9%	26.8%	46.4%	+11.1	19
2020-03-07	@ Southend United	L 1-3	1580	1455	46.4%	26.8%	26.9%	-11.1	34
2020-03-10	Fleetwood Town	D 2-2	1645	1637	44.5%	27.3%	28.2%	-0.4	36
2020-03-10	@ Portsmouth	D 2-2	1637	1645	28.2%	27.3%	44.5%	+0.4	41
2020-03-10	Tranmere Rovers	L 1-2	1582	1477	58.4%	21.6%	20.0%	-7.5	35
2020-03-10	@ Blackpool	W 2-1	1477	1582	20.0%	21.6%	58.4%	+7.5	26

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2020-07-03	Wycombe Wanderers	L 1-4	1637	1541	57.1%	22.3%	20.6%	-18.2	0-1
2020-07-03	@ Fleetwood Town	W 4-1	1541	1637	20.6%	22.3%	57.1%	+18.2	1-0
2020-07-03	Oxford United	D 1-1	1645	1655	41.8%	27.8%	30.3%	-0.3	0-0-1
2020-07-03	@ Portsmouth	D 1-1	1655	1645	30.3%	27.8%	41.8%	+0.3	0-0-1
2020-07-06	Portsmouth	W 5-4	1655	1644	44.9%	27.2%	28.0%	+4.0	1-0-1
2020-07-06	@ Oxford United	L 4-5	1644	1655	28.0%	27.2%	44.9%	-4.0	0-1-1
2020-07-06	Fleetwood Town	D 2-2	1560	1619	34.7%	28.3%	37.0%	+0.0	1-0-1
2020-07-06	@ Wycombe Wanderers	D 2-2	1619	1560	37.0%	28.3%	34.7%	-0.0	0-1-1
2020-07-13	Wycombe Wanderers	L 1-2	1659	1560	50.2%	25.4%	24.3%	-6.8	1-1-1
2020-07-13	@ Oxford United	W 2-1	1560	1659	24.3%	25.4%	50.2%	+6.8	2-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2019-10-13	19.48%	Tranmere Rovers	1477	1	@ Coventry City	1590	0
2	2019-12-07	19.68%	Lincoln City	1522	2	@ Burton Albion	1632	0
3	2020-03-10	19.97%	Tranmere Rovers	1477	2	@ Blackpool	1582	1
4	2019-08-10	20.28%	Lincoln City	1542	2	@ Rotherham United	1643	0
5	2020-07-03 *	20.59%	Wycombe Wanderers	1541	4	@ Fleetwood Town	1637	1
6	2019-09-14	20.99%	Milton Keynes Dons	1513	3	@ Blackpool	1603	0
7	2020-01-18	21.11%	Southend United	1472	2	@ Accrington Stanley	1561	1
8	2019-12-26	21.28%	AFC Wimbledon	1529	2	@ Bristol Rovers	1615	1
9	2020-03-07	22.47%	Tranmere Rovers	1470	2	@ Accrington Stanley	1540	1
10	2019-09-21	23.03%	@ Tranmere Rovers	1476	2	Burton Albion	1642	1
11	2019-12-29	23.38%	@ Milton Keynes Dons	1491	3	Portsmouth	1653	1
12	2020-02-29	23.69%	AFC Wimbledon	1512	2	@ Gillingham	1567	1
13	2019-12-26	23.99%	Accrington Stanley	1552	1	@ Blackpool	1604	0
14	2019-12-14	24.04%	@ Milton Keynes Dons	1490	1	Oxford United	1644	0
15	2020-07-13 *	24.33%	Wycombe Wanderers	1560	2	@ Oxford United	1659	1
16	2019-12-14	25.28%	Bristol Rovers	1608	2	@ Ipswich Town	1646	1
17	2020-02-11	25.93%	Gillingham	1556	3	@ Blackpool	1587	2
18	2019-10-19	26.33%	Oxford United	1622	2	@ Rotherham United	1648	1
19	2019-12-14	26.53%	@ Accrington Stanley	1536	4	Portsmouth	1664	1
20	2019-10-19	26.84%	@ AFC Wimbledon	1534	1	Portsmouth	1658	0
21	2020-03-07	26.85%	@ Southend United	1455	3	Bristol Rovers	1580	1
22	2019-11-02	27.08%	Tranmere Rovers	1485	3	@ Milton Keynes Dons	1504	1
23	2019-10-20	27.33%	@ Accrington Stanley	1545	2	Ipswich Town	1665	0
24	2019-10-23	28.05%	Rotherham United	1642	2	@ Ipswich Town	1652	0
25	2019-09-21	28.47%	Southend United	1523	1	@ Milton Keynes Dons	1530	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-09-21	33.35	Oxford United	6	1578	29.71%	@ Lincoln City	0	1573	42.60%
2	2019-09-14	21.34	Milton Keynes Dons	3	1513	20.99%	@ Blackpool	0	1603	56.29%
3	2019-08-24	18.86	Peterborough United	4	1604	38.89%	@ Milton Keynes Dons	0	1531	32.88%
4	2020-07-03 *	18.17	Wycombe Wanderers	4	1541	20.59%	@ Fleetwood Town	1	1637	57.10%
5	2020-01-01	17.75	@ Milton Keynes Dons	3	1503	28.89%	Bristol Rovers	0	1608	43.63%
6	2019-08-17	16.75	@ Lincoln City	4	1557	44.28%	Southend United	0	1550	28.40%
7	2020-02-08	16.47	@ Peterborough United	4	1650	45.01%	Oxford United	0	1638	27.84%
8	2019-12-29	16.05	@ Rotherham United	4	1668	46.09%	Peterborough United	0	1649	27.07%
9	2019-10-05	15.93	@ Rotherham United	4	1627	46.43%	Coventry City	0	1606	26.83%
10	2019-12-14	15.76	@ Accrington Stanley	4	1536	26.53%	Portsmouth	1	1664	46.85%
11	2019-12-07	15.18	Lincoln City	2	1522	19.68%	@ Burton Albion	0	1632	59.02%
12	2019-11-23	15.08	Oxford United	4	1629	48.63%	@ Southend United	0	1489	25.34%
13	2020-02-01	14.96	Peterborough United	4	1635	28.91%	@ Ipswich Town	1	1637	43.61%
14	2019-08-10	14.95	Lincoln City	2	1542	20.28%	@ Rotherham United	0	1643	57.75%
15	2020-02-18	14.86	@ Oxford United	5	1622	57.04%	AFC Wimbledon	0	1527	20.62%
16	2019-10-12	14.79	AFC Wimbledon	4	1519	29.43%	@ Southend United	1	1516	42.95%
17	2019-11-02	13.43	Rotherham United	3	1654	42.23%	@ Gillingham	0	1559	30.00%
18	2019-10-23	12.87	@ Peterborough United	4	1637	54.72%	Accrington Stanley	0	1557	21.79%
19	2019-10-05	12.72	Burton Albion	3	1635	44.61%	@ Milton Keynes Dons	0	1523	28.14%
20	2019-10-20	12.65	@ Accrington Stanley	2	1545	27.33%	Ipswich Town	0	1665	45.72%
21	2019-10-23	12.44	Rotherham United	2	1642	28.05%	@ Ipswich Town	0	1652	44.73%
22	2019-10-19	12.12	@ Fleetwood Town	4	1619	39.09%	Burton Albion	1	1648	32.70%
23	2019-12-29	12.00	@ Milton Keynes Dons	3	1491	23.38%	Portsmouth	1	1653	51.83%
24	2020-01-01	11.17	Coventry City	4	1591	42.86%	@ Tranmere Rovers	1	1491	29.49%
25	2020-03-07	11.07	@ Southend United	3	1455	26.85%	Bristol Rovers	1	1580	46.39%