1888-89 The Football League Season

132 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Preston North End

40 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Preston North End

16.86 points above expected

40 points · 23.14 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stoke City

9.27 points below expected

12 points · 21.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Preston North End	22	18	4	0	40	74	15	+59	23.1	+16.86
2	Aston Villa	22	12	5	5	29	61	43	+18	21.9	+7.15
3	Wolverhampton	22	12	4	6	28	50	37	+13	22.3	+5.68
4	Blackburn Rovers	22	10	6	6	26	66	45	+21	22.6	+3.37
5	Bolton Wanderers	22	10	2	10	22	63	59	+4	21.7	+0.30
6	West Brom	22	10	2	10	22	40	46	-6	22.3	-0.27
7	Accrington	22	6	8	8	20	48	48	0	22.6	-2.64
8	Everton	22	9	2	11	20	35	46	-11	21.8	-1.75
9	Burnley	22	7	3	12	17	42	62	-20	21.6	-4.56
10	Derby County	22	7	2	13	16	41	61	-20	21.9	-5.89
11	Stoke City	22	4	4	14	12	26	51	-25	21.3	-9.27
12	Notts County	22	5	2	15	12	40	73	-33	21.0	-8.98

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Preston North End	1577	40	23.14	+16.86	100.0%	13	17	20	23	26	29	33
Blackburn Rovers	1525	26	22.63	+3.37	86.0%	13	16	20	22	25	28	30
Wolverhampton	1514	28	22.32	+5.68	96.0%	9	17	20	23	25	28	31
Aston Villa	1512	29	21.85	+7.15	100.0%	14	16	20	21	24	28	29
Bolton Wanderers	1507	22	21.70	+0.30	59.0%	11	16	19	22	24	28	30
Accrington	1495	20	22.64	-2.64	29.0%	10	15	20	22	25	30	31
West Brom	1491	22	22.27	-0.27	47.0%	14	15	19	23	25	28	31
Everton	1487	20	21.75	-1.75	40.0%	15	16	19	22	24	27	30
Derby County	1484	16	21.89	-5.89	7.0%	12	16	20	22	24	28	33
Burnley	1477	17	21.56	-4.56	14.0%	9	15	19	22	24	27	29
Stoke City	1475	12	21.27	-9.27	2.0%	12	14	19	22	24	27	29
Notts County	1457	12	20.98	-8.98	2.0%	10	14	18	21	23	28	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ACC	AV	BR	BW	BUR	DC	EVE	NC	PNE	SC	WB	WOL
Accrington	—	0-1-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.80	0-0-2 2.86	1-1-0 3.00	1-1-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.71	2-0-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.89
Aston Villa	1-1-0 2.91	—	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.96	1-0-1 3.10	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 2.99	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.95	1-1-0 3.00	1-1-0 2.87
Blackburn Rovers	1-1-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.85	—	0-1-1 3.03	2-0-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 3.02	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.88	0-2-0 2.88
Bolton Wanderers	2-0-0 2.85	0-0-2 2.75	1-1-0 2.68	—	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.79	2-0-0 3.04	0-0-2 2.65	1-1-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.80
Burnley	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.70	2-0-0 2.88	—	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.76	0-0-2 2.91
Derby County	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.86	—	0-0-2 2.81	2-0-0 2.95	0-0-2 2.66	1-1-0 2.88	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 2.71
Everton	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 3.01	2-0-0 2.91	—	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.49	1-1-0 2.95	0-0-2 2.86	0-0-2 2.75
Notts County	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.72	0-1-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.68	1-0-1 2.85	0-0-2 2.76	1-0-1 2.83	—	0-0-2 2.54	0-0-2 2.89	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.61
Preston North End	1-1-0 3.01	1-1-0 3.09	1-1-0 3.13	2-0-0 3.06	1-1-0 3.10	2-0-0 3.07	2-0-0 3.23	2-0-0 3.20	—	2-0-0 3.08	2-0-0 3.03	2-0-0 2.92
Stoke City	0-0-2 2.80	0-1-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.87	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.77	2-0-0 2.83	0-0-2 2.63	—	0-0-2 2.82	0-0-2 2.71
West Brom	0-1-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 2.87	2-0-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.98	0-0-2 2.68	2-0-0 2.90	—	0-0-2 2.81
Wolverhampton	1-1-0 2.82	0-1-1 2.84	0-2-0 2.83	1-0-1 2.92	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 3.11	0-0-2 2.80	2-0-0 3.00	2-0-0 2.90	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.52%	2.27%	4.17%	3.41%	2.27%	1.89%	15.53%
1	2.27%	4.55%	7.58%	1.89%	2.65%	3.03%	21.97%
2	4.17%	7.58%	6.06%	3.03%	2.65%	4.17%	27.65%
3	3.41%	1.89%	3.03%	2.27%	1.52%	1.14%	13.26%
4	2.27%	2.65%	2.65%	1.52%	1.52%	—	10.61%
5+	1.89%	3.03%	4.17%	1.14%	—	0.76%	10.98%
Total	15.53%	21.97%	27.65%	13.26%	10.61%	10.98%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.22
Mean allowed	2.22
StdDev scored	1.72
StdDev allowed	1.72
Mean total goals/game	4.44
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.130
Sample size (games)	132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
Total	9.09%	22.73%	36.36%	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	100%

Accrington — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.18
Mean allowed	2.18
StdDev scored	1.76
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	4.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.223
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
1	—	18.18%	—	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	4.55%	40.91%	31.82%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Aston Villa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.77
Mean allowed	1.95
StdDev scored	2.31
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	4.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.206
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
2	9.09%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	—	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
Total	18.18%	13.64%	40.91%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.00
Mean allowed	2.05
StdDev scored	1.88
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	5.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.033
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	9.09%	31.82%
3	—	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	4.55%	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Bolton Wanderers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.86
Mean allowed	2.68
StdDev scored	1.61
StdDev allowed	1.62
Mean total goals/game	5.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.182
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%	27.27%
2	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	40.91%
3	—	—	—	—	9.09%	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	27.27%	18.18%	100%

Burnley — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.91
Mean allowed	2.82
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	2.06
Mean total goals/game	4.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.208
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
Total	9.09%	18.18%	18.18%	22.73%	13.64%	18.18%	100%

Derby County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.86
Mean allowed	2.77
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.77
Mean total goals/game	4.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.042
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	—	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	27.27%	31.82%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Everton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.59
Mean allowed	2.09
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.68
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.139
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
1	—	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
2	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	27.27%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	4.55%	22.73%	9.09%	22.73%	18.18%	22.73%	100%

Notts County — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.82
Mean allowed	3.32
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	2.28
Mean total goals/game	5.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.238
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
2	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	18.18%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	31.82%
Total	59.09%	13.64%	27.27%	—	—	—	100%

Preston North End — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.36
Mean allowed	0.68
StdDev scored	1.87
StdDev allowed	0.89
Mean total goals/game	4.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.044
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	—	9.09%	18.18%	—	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	18.18%	36.36%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Stoke City — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.18
Mean allowed	2.32
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.78
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.124
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
1	4.55%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	—	13.64%	100%

West Brom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.82
Mean allowed	2.09
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.66
Mean total goals/game	3.91
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.293
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Wolverhampton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	1.68
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	3.95
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.425
Games played	22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Preston North End	40	23.1	+16.86
2	Aston Villa	29	21.9	+7.15
3	Wolverhampton	28	22.3	+5.68
4	Blackburn Rovers	26	22.6	+3.37
5	Bolton Wanderers	22	21.7	+0.30

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Stoke City	12	21.3	-9.27
2	Notts County	12	21.0	-8.98
3	Derby County	16	21.9	-5.89
4	Burnley	17	21.6	-4.56
5	Accrington	20	22.6	-2.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Preston North End	6	Sep 8 – Oct 13	1 in 119
2	Blackburn Rovers	5	Oct 27 – Nov 24	1 in 71
3	Bolton Wanderers	4	Jan 26 – Mar 23	1 in 51
4	West Brom	2	Sep 8 – Sep 15	1 in 26
5	Derby County	4	Jan 26 – Mar 16	1 in 17

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Derby County	8	Sep 29 – Dec 8	1 in 731
2	Accrington	3	Jan 19 – Mar 23	1 in 131
3	Notts County	6	Nov 24 – Jan 5	1 in 93
4	Burnley	4	Oct 13 – Nov 3	1 in 57
5	Everton	4	Jan 19 – Feb 23	1 in 38

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Preston North End	22	Sep 8 – Feb 9	1 in 271,205
2	Accrington	6	Sep 15 – Oct 20	1 in 49
3	Wolverhampton	5	Sep 22 – Oct 20	1 in 42
4	Aston Villa	5	Oct 13 – Nov 10	1 in 37
5	Bolton Wanderers	5	Jan 19 – Mar 23	1 in 34

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Derby County	10	Sep 15 – Dec 8	1 in 519
2	Notts County	8	Nov 3 – Jan 5	1 in 118
3	Stoke City	9	Dec 8 – Apr 20	1 in 79
4	Burnley	4	Oct 13 – Nov 3	1 in 13
5	West Brom	4	Jan 5 – Jan 26	1 in 12

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Preston North End	18.00%	14.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Aston Villa	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%	11.00%	6.00%	7.00%	16.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%
Wolverhampton	8.00%	12.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%
Blackburn Rovers	13.00%	9.00%	9.00%	11.00%	14.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Bolton Wanderers	11.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	9.00%	15.00%	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%
West Brom	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%
Accrington	9.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	12.00%	11.00%	7.00%	6.00%	12.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Everton	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	4.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	12.00%	14.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Burnley	5.00%	7.00%	11.00%	4.00%	13.00%	4.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	12.00%	12.00%
Derby County	8.00%	3.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%
Stoke City	2.00%	3.00%	13.00%	8.00%	11.00%	5.00%	7.00%	10.00%	6.00%	4.00%	17.00%	14.00%
Notts County	2.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	10.00%	13.00%	14.00%	16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Blackburn Rovers	78.0%	22.0%
Preston North End	78.0%	22.0%
Accrington	73.0%	27.0%
Wolverhampton	73.0%	27.0%
Aston Villa	70.0%	30.0%
Bolton Wanderers	68.0%	32.0%
West Brom	68.0%	32.0%
Derby County	64.0%	36.0%
Everton	62.0%	38.0%
Burnley	60.0%	40.0%
Stoke City	59.0%	41.0%
Notts County	47.0%	53.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1888-09-08	Derby County	L 3-6	1500	1500	65.9%	14.3%	19.8%	-4.8	0
1888-09-08	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 6-3	1500	1500	19.8%	14.3%	65.9%	+4.8	3
1888-09-08	Accrington	W 2-1	1500	1500	65.9%	14.3%	19.8%	+0.8	3
1888-09-08	@ Everton	L 1-2	1500	1500	19.8%	14.3%	65.9%	-0.8	0
1888-09-08	Burnley	W 5-2	1500	1500	65.9%	14.3%	19.8%	+1.7	3
1888-09-08	@ Preston North End	L 2-5	1500	1500	19.8%	14.3%	65.9%	-1.7	0
1888-09-08	West Brom	L 0-2	1500	1500	65.9%	14.3%	19.8%	-4.8	0
1888-09-08	@ Stoke City	W 2-0	1500	1500	19.8%	14.3%	65.9%	+4.8	3
1888-09-08	Aston Villa	D 1-1	1500	1500	65.9%	14.3%	19.8%	-0.4	1
1888-09-08	@ Wolverhampton	D 1-1	1500	1500	19.8%	14.3%	65.9%	+0.4	1
1888-09-15	Stoke City	W 5-1	1500	1495	66.5%	14.2%	19.3%	+2.5	4
1888-09-15	@ Aston Villa	L 1-5	1495	1500	19.3%	14.2%	66.5%	-2.5	0
1888-09-15	Accrington	D 5-5	1500	1499	66.0%	14.3%	19.7%	-0.2	1
1888-09-15	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 5-5	1499	1500	19.7%	14.3%	66.0%	+0.2	1
1888-09-15	Burnley	L 3-4	1495	1498	65.6%	14.4%	20.0%	-2.2	0
1888-09-15	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 4-3	1498	1495	20.0%	14.4%	65.6%	+2.2	3
1888-09-15	West Brom	L 1-2	1505	1505	65.9%	14.3%	19.8%	-2.4	3
1888-09-15	@ Derby County	W 2-1	1505	1505	19.8%	14.3%	65.9%	+2.4	6
1888-09-15	Notts County	W 2-1	1501	1500	66.0%	14.3%	19.7%	+0.8	6
1888-09-15	@ Everton	L 1-2	1500	1501	19.7%	14.3%	66.0%	-0.8	0
1888-09-15	Preston North End	L 0-4	1500	1502	65.7%	14.4%	19.9%	-9.2	1
1888-09-15	@ Wolverhampton	W 4-0	1502	1500	19.9%	14.4%	65.7%	+9.2	6
1888-09-22	Everton	W 2-1	1503	1502	66.1%	14.3%	19.6%	+0.8	7
1888-09-22	@ Aston Villa	L 1-2	1502	1503	19.6%	14.3%	66.1%	-0.8	6
1888-09-22	West Brom	W 6-2	1500	1507	65.1%	14.4%	20.4%	+2.3	4
1888-09-22	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 2-6	1507	1500	20.4%	14.4%	65.1%	-2.2	6
1888-09-22	Accrington	D 1-1	1502	1499	66.2%	14.3%	19.5%	-0.4	4
1888-09-22	@ Derby County	D 1-1	1499	1502	19.5%	14.3%	66.2%	+0.4	2
1888-09-22	Bolton Wanderers	W 3-1	1511	1493	67.8%	14.0%	18.3%	+1.3	9
1888-09-22	@ Preston North End	L 1-3	1493	1511	18.3%	14.0%	67.8%	-1.3	0
1888-09-22	Notts County	W 3-0	1493	1499	65.2%	14.4%	20.3%	+2.4	3
1888-09-22	@ Stoke City	L 0-3	1499	1493	20.3%	14.4%	65.2%	-2.4	0
1888-09-22	Burnley	W 4-1	1490	1501	64.9%	14.5%	20.6%	+2.1	4
1888-09-22	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-4	1501	1490	20.6%	14.5%	64.9%	-2.1	3
1888-09-29	Notts County	W 9-1	1504	1497	66.6%	14.2%	19.1%	+4.7	10
1888-09-29	@ Aston Villa	L 1-9	1497	1504	19.1%	14.2%	66.6%	-4.7	0
1888-09-29	Everton	W 6-2	1492	1501	65.0%	14.5%	20.5%	+2.3	3
1888-09-29	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 2-6	1501	1492	20.5%	14.5%	65.0%	-2.3	6
1888-09-29	Preston North End	L 2-3	1502	1512	64.8%	14.5%	20.7%	-2.3	4
1888-09-29	@ Derby County	W 3-2	1512	1502	20.7%	14.5%	64.8%	+2.3	12
1888-09-29	Accrington	L 2-4	1495	1500	65.4%	14.4%	20.2%	-3.7	3
1888-09-29	@ Stoke City	W 4-2	1500	1495	20.2%	14.4%	65.4%	+3.7	5
1888-09-29	Burnley	W 4-3	1505	1498	66.6%	14.2%	19.2%	+0.7	9
1888-09-29	@ West Brom	L 3-4	1498	1505	19.2%	14.2%	66.6%	-0.7	3
1888-09-29	Blackburn Rovers	D 2-2	1492	1502	64.9%	14.5%	20.6%	-0.3	5
1888-09-29	@ Wolverhampton	D 2-2	1502	1492	20.6%	14.5%	64.9%	+0.3	5
1888-10-06	Wolverhampton	D 4-4	1504	1492	67.1%	14.1%	18.8%	-0.2	6
1888-10-06	@ Accrington	D 4-4	1492	1504	18.8%	14.1%	67.1%	+0.2	6
1888-10-06	Bolton Wanderers	W 4-1	1498	1494	66.3%	14.2%	19.4%	+2.0	6
1888-10-06	@ Burnley	L 1-4	1494	1498	19.4%	14.2%	66.3%	-2.0	3
1888-10-06	Aston Villa	W 2-0	1499	1508	64.9%	14.5%	20.6%	+1.7	9
1888-10-06	@ Everton	L 0-2	1508	1499	20.6%	14.5%	64.9%	-1.7	10
1888-10-06	Blackburn Rovers	D 3-3	1492	1502	64.8%	14.5%	20.7%	-0.3	1
1888-10-06	@ Notts County	D 3-3	1502	1492	20.7%	14.5%	64.8%	+0.3	6
1888-10-06	Stoke City	W 7-0	1514	1491	68.3%	13.9%	17.8%	+4.7	15
1888-10-06	@ Preston North End	L 0-7	1491	1514	17.8%	13.9%	68.3%	-4.7	3
1888-10-06	Derby County	W 5-0	1506	1500	66.6%	14.2%	19.2%	+3.7	12
1888-10-06	@ West Brom	L 0-5	1500	1506	19.2%	14.2%	66.6%	-3.7	4
1888-10-13	Derby County	W 6-2	1503	1496	66.7%	14.2%	19.1%	+2.1	9
1888-10-13	@ Accrington	L 2-6	1496	1503	19.1%	14.2%	66.7%	-2.1	4
1888-10-13	Blackburn Rovers	W 6-1	1507	1503	66.4%	14.2%	19.4%	+3.1	13
1888-10-13	@ Aston Villa	L 1-6	1503	1507	19.4%	14.2%	66.4%	-3.1	6
1888-10-13	Stoke City	W 2-1	1492	1487	66.5%	14.2%	19.3%	+0.8	6
1888-10-13	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	1487	1492	19.3%	14.2%	66.5%	-0.8	3
1888-10-13	Wolverhampton	L 0-4	1500	1492	66.7%	14.2%	19.1%	-9.3	6
1888-10-13	@ Burnley	W 4-0	1492	1500	19.1%	14.2%	66.7%	+9.3	9
1888-10-13	Everton	W 3-1	1492	1500	65.0%	14.5%	20.5%	+1.5	4
1888-10-13	@ Notts County	L 1-3	1500	1492	20.5%	14.5%	65.0%	-1.5	9
1888-10-13	West Brom	W 3-0	1519	1509	66.9%	14.1%	18.9%	+2.3	18
1888-10-13	@ Preston North End	L 0-3	1509	1519	18.9%	14.1%	66.9%	-2.3	12
1888-10-20	Preston North End	D 0-0	1505	1521	64.2%	14.6%	21.2%	-0.5	10
1888-10-20	@ Accrington	D 0-0	1521	1505	21.2%	14.6%	64.2%	+0.5	19
1888-10-20	Wolverhampton	D 2-2	1500	1502	65.7%	14.4%	19.9%	-0.3	7
1888-10-20	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 2-2	1502	1500	19.9%	14.4%	65.7%	+0.3	10
1888-10-20	Aston Villa	L 2-3	1493	1510	64.1%	14.6%	21.3%	-2.2	6
1888-10-20	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 3-2	1510	1493	21.3%	14.6%	64.1%	+2.2	16
1888-10-20	Everton	L 2-4	1494	1499	65.4%	14.4%	20.2%	-3.7	4
1888-10-20	@ Derby County	W 4-2	1499	1494	20.2%	14.4%	65.4%	+3.7	12
1888-10-20	Burnley	W 4-3	1486	1490	65.5%	14.4%	20.2%	+0.8	6
1888-10-20	@ Stoke City	L 3-4	1490	1486	20.2%	14.4%	65.5%	-0.8	6
1888-10-20	Notts County	W 4-2	1507	1493	67.3%	14.1%	18.6%	+1.2	15
1888-10-20	@ West Brom	L 2-4	1493	1507	18.6%	14.1%	67.3%	-1.2	4
1888-10-27	Accrington	W 4-3	1512	1505	66.7%	14.2%	19.1%	+0.7	19
1888-10-27	@ Aston Villa	L 3-4	1505	1512	19.1%	14.2%	66.7%	-0.7	10
1888-10-27	Stoke City	W 5-2	1499	1487	67.2%	14.1%	18.7%	+1.6	10
1888-10-27	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 2-5	1487	1499	18.7%	14.1%	67.2%	-1.6	6
1888-10-27	Derby County	W 6-2	1503	1490	67.2%	14.1%	18.7%	+2.1	15
1888-10-27	@ Everton	L 2-6	1490	1503	18.7%	14.1%	67.2%	-2.1	4
1888-10-27	Burnley	W 6-1	1492	1490	66.2%	14.3%	19.5%	+3.1	7
1888-10-27	@ Notts County	L 1-6	1490	1492	19.5%	14.3%	66.2%	-3.1	6
1888-10-27	Wolverhampton	W 5-2	1522	1502	68.0%	14.0%	18.1%	+1.6	22
1888-10-27	@ Preston North End	L 2-5	1502	1522	18.1%	14.0%	68.0%	-1.6	10
1888-11-03	Blackburn Rovers	L 1-7	1486	1501	64.4%	14.5%	21.0%	-10.8	6
1888-11-03	@ Burnley	W 7-1	1501	1486	21.0%	14.5%	64.4%	+10.9	13
1888-11-03	Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1505	1491	67.4%	14.1%	18.6%	+0.8	18
1888-11-03	@ Everton	L 1-2	1491	1505	18.6%	14.1%	67.4%	-0.8	6
1888-11-03	Preston North End	L 0-7	1495	1523	62.9%	14.8%	22.3%	-14.9	7
1888-11-03	@ Notts County	W 7-0	1523	1495	22.3%	14.8%	62.9%	+14.9	25
1888-11-03	Aston Villa	D 1-1	1485	1513	62.9%	14.8%	22.3%	-0.4	7
1888-11-03	@ Stoke City	D 1-1	1513	1485	22.3%	14.8%	62.9%	+0.4	20
1888-11-03	Accrington	D 2-2	1508	1504	66.4%	14.2%	19.4%	-0.3	16
1888-11-03	@ West Brom	D 2-2	1504	1508	19.4%	14.2%	66.4%	+0.3	11
1888-11-03	Derby County	W 4-1	1500	1488	67.2%	14.1%	18.7%	+1.9	13
1888-11-03	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-4	1488	1500	18.7%	14.1%	67.2%	-1.9	4
1888-11-05	Bolton Wanderers	L 1-5	1508	1490	67.8%	14.0%	18.2%	-7.8	16
1888-11-05	@ West Brom	W 5-1	1490	1508	18.2%	14.0%	67.8%	+7.9	9
1888-11-10	Everton	W 3-0	1512	1505	66.6%	14.2%	19.2%	+2.3	16
1888-11-10	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-3	1505	1512	19.2%	14.2%	66.6%	-2.3	18
1888-11-10	West Brom	W 2-0	1476	1500	63.3%	14.7%	22.0%	+1.8	9
1888-11-10	@ Burnley	L 0-2	1500	1476	22.0%	14.7%	63.3%	-1.8	16
1888-11-10	Accrington	D 3-3	1480	1505	63.3%	14.7%	21.9%	-0.2	8
1888-11-10	@ Notts County	D 3-3	1505	1480	21.9%	14.7%	63.3%	+0.2	12
1888-11-10	Aston Villa	D 1-1	1538	1513	68.5%	13.9%	17.7%	-0.5	26
1888-11-10	@ Preston North End	D 1-1	1513	1538	17.7%	13.9%	68.5%	+0.5	21
1888-11-10	Bolton Wanderers	W 3-2	1502	1498	66.4%	14.2%	19.4%	+0.8	16
1888-11-10	@ Wolverhampton	L 2-3	1498	1502	19.4%	14.2%	66.4%	-0.8	9
1888-11-12	Preston North End	L 0-3	1485	1538	60.1%	15.1%	24.9%	-6.4	7
1888-11-12	@ Stoke City	W 3-0	1538	1485	24.9%	15.1%	60.1%	+6.4	29
1888-11-17	Aston Villa	W 5-1	1514	1514	66.0%	14.3%	19.7%	+2.6	19
1888-11-17	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 1-5	1514	1514	19.7%	14.3%	66.0%	-2.6	21
1888-11-17	West Brom	L 1-2	1497	1498	65.8%	14.3%	19.9%	-2.4	9
1888-11-17	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 2-1	1498	1497	19.9%	14.3%	65.8%	+2.4	19
1888-11-17	Everton	D 2-2	1477	1503	63.2%	14.7%	22.1%	-0.3	10
1888-11-17	@ Burnley	D 2-2	1503	1477	22.1%	14.7%	63.2%	+0.3	19
1888-11-17	Accrington	W 2-0	1544	1505	69.8%	13.6%	16.6%	+1.4	32
1888-11-17	@ Preston North End	L 0-2	1505	1544	16.6%	13.6%	69.8%	-1.4	12
1888-11-17	Wolverhampton	L 0-1	1478	1503	63.3%	14.7%	22.0%	-2.5	7
1888-11-17	@ Stoke City	W 1-0	1503	1478	22.0%	14.7%	63.3%	+2.5	19
1888-11-24	West Brom	W 2-1	1503	1501	66.2%	14.3%	19.5%	+0.8	15
1888-11-24	@ Accrington	L 1-2	1501	1503	19.5%	14.3%	66.2%	-0.8	19
1888-11-24	Wolverhampton	W 2-1	1511	1506	66.5%	14.2%	19.3%	+0.8	24
1888-11-24	@ Aston Villa	L 1-2	1506	1511	19.3%	14.2%	66.5%	-0.8	19
1888-11-24	Preston North End	L 2-5	1494	1546	60.3%	15.0%	24.6%	-4.7	9
1888-11-24	@ Bolton Wanderers	W 5-2	1546	1494	24.6%	15.0%	60.3%	+4.7	35
1888-11-24	Blackburn Rovers	L 0-2	1486	1517	62.7%	14.8%	22.5%	-4.6	4
1888-11-24	@ Derby County	W 2-0	1517	1486	22.5%	14.8%	62.7%	+4.6	22
1888-11-24	Burnley	W 3-2	1503	1477	68.6%	13.8%	17.6%	+0.7	22
1888-11-24	@ Everton	L 2-3	1477	1503	17.6%	13.8%	68.6%	-0.7	10
1888-11-24	Stoke City	L 0-3	1480	1476	66.4%	14.2%	19.4%	-7.1	8
1888-11-24	@ Notts County	W 3-0	1476	1480	19.4%	14.2%	66.4%	+7.1	10
1888-12-01	Burnley	W 5-1	1504	1476	68.7%	13.8%	17.5%	+2.3	18
1888-12-01	@ Accrington	L 1-5	1476	1504	17.5%	13.8%	68.7%	-2.3	10
1888-12-01	Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1483	1521	61.8%	14.9%	23.3%	+1.0	13
1888-12-01	@ Stoke City	L 1-2	1521	1483	23.3%	14.9%	61.8%	-1.0	22
1888-12-01	West Brom	L 1-4	1504	1500	66.3%	14.2%	19.4%	-6.0	22
1888-12-01	@ Everton	W 4-1	1500	1504	19.4%	14.2%	66.3%	+6.0	22
1888-12-08	Bolton Wanderers	D 4-4	1520	1490	69.0%	13.7%	17.3%	-0.3	23
1888-12-08	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 4-4	1490	1520	17.3%	13.7%	69.0%	+0.3	10
1888-12-08	Stoke City	W 2-1	1474	1484	64.9%	14.5%	20.6%	+0.8	13
1888-12-08	@ Burnley	L 1-2	1484	1474	20.6%	14.5%	64.9%	-0.8	13
1888-12-08	Aston Villa	L 2-4	1473	1512	61.7%	14.9%	23.4%	-3.5	8
1888-12-08	@ Notts County	W 4-2	1512	1473	23.4%	14.9%	61.7%	+3.5	27
1888-12-08	Derby County	W 5-0	1550	1482	72.6%	12.9%	14.5%	+2.8	38
1888-12-08	@ Preston North End	L 0-5	1482	1550	14.5%	12.9%	72.6%	-2.8	4
1888-12-08	Accrington	W 4-0	1505	1507	65.8%	14.3%	19.9%	+3.1	22
1888-12-08	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-4	1507	1505	19.9%	14.3%	65.8%	-3.1	18
1888-12-15	Aston Villa	D 1-1	1503	1515	64.7%	14.5%	20.8%	-0.4	19
1888-12-15	@ Accrington	D 1-1	1515	1503	20.8%	14.5%	64.7%	+0.4	28
1888-12-15	Notts County	W 5-2	1520	1469	70.9%	13.3%	15.8%	+1.4	26
1888-12-15	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 2-5	1469	1520	15.8%	13.3%	70.9%	-1.4	8
1888-12-15	Preston North End	D 2-2	1475	1553	57.1%	15.3%	27.6%	-0.2	14
1888-12-15	@ Burnley	D 2-2	1553	1475	27.6%	15.3%	57.1%	+0.2	39
1888-12-15	Everton	D 0-0	1483	1498	64.3%	14.6%	21.1%	-0.5	14
1888-12-15	@ Stoke City	D 0-0	1498	1483	21.1%	14.6%	64.3%	+0.5	23
1888-12-15	West Brom	W 2-1	1508	1506	66.1%	14.3%	19.6%	+0.8	25
1888-12-15	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1506	1508	19.6%	14.3%	66.1%	-0.8	22
1888-12-22	Burnley	W 4-2	1516	1475	70.0%	13.5%	16.5%	+1.0	31
1888-12-22	@ Aston Villa	L 2-4	1475	1516	16.5%	13.5%	70.0%	-1.0	14
1888-12-22	Accrington	W 4-1	1490	1503	64.6%	14.5%	20.9%	+2.1	13
1888-12-22	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-4	1503	1490	20.9%	14.5%	64.6%	-2.1	19
1888-12-22	Notts County	W 3-2	1479	1468	67.0%	14.1%	18.9%	+0.7	7
1888-12-22	@ Derby County	L 2-3	1468	1479	18.9%	14.1%	67.0%	-0.7	8
1888-12-22	Everton	W 3-0	1553	1499	71.3%	13.2%	15.5%	+1.8	42
1888-12-22	@ Preston North End	L 0-3	1499	1553	15.5%	13.2%	71.3%	-1.8	23
1888-12-22	Blackburn Rovers	W 2-1	1505	1521	64.2%	14.6%	21.2%	+0.9	25
1888-12-22	@ West Brom	L 1-2	1521	1505	21.2%	14.6%	64.2%	-0.9	26
1888-12-22	Stoke City	W 4-1	1509	1482	68.6%	13.8%	17.6%	+1.8	28
1888-12-22	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-4	1482	1509	17.6%	13.8%	68.6%	-1.8	14
1888-12-26	Preston North End	L 0-5	1506	1555	60.6%	15.0%	24.4%	-10.5	25
1888-12-26	@ West Brom	W 5-0	1555	1506	24.4%	15.0%	60.6%	+10.5	45
1888-12-26	Bolton Wanderers	L 2-3	1479	1492	64.6%	14.5%	20.9%	-2.3	7
1888-12-26	@ Derby County	W 3-2	1492	1479	20.9%	14.5%	64.6%	+2.2	16
1888-12-29	Everton	W 3-1	1501	1497	66.4%	14.2%	19.4%	+1.4	22
1888-12-29	@ Accrington	L 1-3	1497	1501	19.4%	14.2%	66.4%	-1.4	23
1888-12-29	Derby County	W 4-2	1517	1477	69.9%	13.6%	16.6%	+1.1	34
1888-12-29	@ Aston Villa	L 2-4	1477	1517	16.6%	13.6%	69.9%	-1.0	7
1888-12-29	Wolverhampton	W 2-1	1494	1510	64.2%	14.6%	21.2%	+0.9	19
1888-12-29	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 1-2	1510	1494	21.2%	14.6%	64.2%	-0.9	28
1888-12-29	Notts County	W 1-0	1474	1467	66.6%	14.2%	19.2%	+0.8	17
1888-12-29	@ Burnley	L 0-1	1467	1474	19.2%	14.2%	66.6%	-0.8	8
1888-12-29	Blackburn Rovers	W 1-0	1566	1520	70.4%	13.4%	16.2%	+0.7	48
1888-12-29	@ Preston North End	L 0-1	1520	1566	16.2%	13.4%	70.4%	-0.7	26
1888-12-29	Stoke City	W 2-0	1496	1481	67.5%	14.1%	18.5%	+1.5	28
1888-12-29	@ West Brom	L 0-2	1481	1496	18.5%	14.1%	67.5%	-1.5	14
1889-01-05	Aston Villa	W 4-0	1475	1518	61.2%	14.9%	23.8%	+3.7	20
1889-01-05	@ Burnley	L 0-4	1518	1475	23.8%	14.9%	61.2%	-3.7	34
1889-01-05	Notts County	W 4-1	1566	1466	75.2%	12.1%	12.7%	+1.3	51
1889-01-05	@ Preston North End	L 1-4	1466	1566	12.7%	12.1%	75.2%	-1.3	8
1889-01-05	Wolverhampton	L 1-3	1497	1510	64.6%	14.5%	20.9%	-4.1	28
1889-01-05	@ West Brom	W 3-1	1510	1497	20.9%	14.5%	64.6%	+4.1	31
1889-01-12	Bolton Wanderers	W 6-2	1514	1495	67.9%	14.0%	18.2%	+2.0	37
1889-01-12	@ Aston Villa	L 2-6	1495	1514	18.2%	14.0%	67.9%	-2.0	19
1889-01-12	Preston North End	D 2-2	1520	1568	60.7%	15.0%	24.3%	-0.2	27
1889-01-12	@ Blackburn Rovers	D 2-2	1568	1520	24.3%	15.0%	60.7%	+0.3	52
1889-01-12	Accrington	D 2-2	1478	1502	63.4%	14.7%	21.9%	-0.3	21
1889-01-12	@ Burnley	D 2-2	1502	1478	21.9%	14.7%	63.4%	+0.3	23
1889-01-12	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	1476	1514	61.9%	14.9%	23.2%	+2.8	10
1889-01-12	@ Derby County	L 0-3	1514	1476	23.2%	14.9%	61.9%	-2.8	31
1889-01-12	Stoke City	W 2-1	1495	1479	67.6%	14.0%	18.4%	+0.8	26
1889-01-12	@ Everton	L 1-2	1479	1495	18.4%	14.0%	67.6%	-0.8	14
1889-01-12	West Brom	W 2-1	1465	1493	63.0%	14.8%	22.3%	+0.9	11
1889-01-12	@ Notts County	L 1-2	1493	1465	22.3%	14.8%	63.0%	-0.9	28
1889-01-19	Blackburn Rovers	L 0-2	1503	1519	64.1%	14.6%	21.3%	-4.7	23
1889-01-19	@ Accrington	W 2-0	1519	1503	21.3%	14.6%	64.1%	+4.7	30
1889-01-19	West Brom	W 2-0	1516	1492	68.4%	13.9%	17.8%	+1.5	40
1889-01-19	@ Aston Villa	L 0-2	1492	1516	17.8%	13.9%	68.4%	-1.5	28
1889-01-19	Derby County	W 1-0	1478	1479	65.8%	14.3%	19.8%	+0.9	24
1889-01-19	@ Burnley	L 0-1	1479	1478	19.8%	14.3%	65.8%	-0.9	10
1889-01-19	Preston North End	L 0-2	1496	1568	57.9%	15.2%	26.9%	-4.3	26
1889-01-19	@ Everton	W 2-0	1568	1496	26.9%	15.2%	57.9%	+4.3	55
1889-01-19	Wolverhampton	W 3-0	1466	1511	61.1%	15.0%	24.0%	+2.9	14
1889-01-19	@ Notts County	L 0-3	1511	1466	24.0%	15.0%	61.1%	-2.8	31
1889-01-19	Bolton Wanderers	D 2-2	1478	1493	64.4%	14.6%	21.1%	-0.3	15
1889-01-19	@ Stoke City	D 2-2	1493	1478	21.1%	14.6%	64.4%	+0.3	20
1889-01-26	Notts County	L 1-2	1498	1469	68.8%	13.8%	17.4%	-2.5	23
1889-01-26	@ Accrington	W 2-1	1469	1498	17.4%	13.8%	68.8%	+2.5	17
1889-01-26	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-2	1494	1524	62.6%	14.8%	22.6%	+0.9	23
1889-01-26	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 2-3	1524	1494	22.6%	14.8%	62.6%	-0.9	30
1889-01-26	Stoke City	W 2-1	1478	1478	65.9%	14.3%	19.8%	+0.8	13
1889-01-26	@ Derby County	L 1-2	1478	1478	19.8%	14.3%	65.9%	-0.8	15
1889-01-26	Aston Villa	D 3-3	1491	1518	63.0%	14.7%	22.2%	-0.2	29
1889-01-26	@ West Brom	D 3-3	1518	1491	22.2%	14.7%	63.0%	+0.2	41
1889-01-26	Everton	W 4-0	1508	1492	67.6%	14.0%	18.4%	+2.9	34
1889-01-26	@ Wolverhampton	L 0-4	1492	1508	18.4%	14.0%	67.6%	-2.9	26
1889-02-04	Burnley	W 4-2	1523	1479	70.3%	13.5%	16.2%	+1.0	33
1889-02-04	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 2-4	1479	1523	16.2%	13.5%	70.3%	-1.0	24
1889-02-09	Preston North End	L 0-2	1518	1572	60.0%	15.1%	24.9%	-4.4	41
1889-02-09	@ Aston Villa	W 2-0	1572	1518	24.9%	15.1%	60.0%	+4.4	58
1889-02-09	Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1489	1511	63.6%	14.7%	21.7%	-2.3	26
1889-02-09	@ Everton	W 2-1	1511	1489	21.7%	14.7%	63.6%	+2.3	37
1889-02-23	Everton	W 1-0	1490	1487	66.3%	14.2%	19.4%	+0.9	32
1889-02-23	@ West Brom	L 0-1	1487	1490	19.4%	14.2%	66.3%	-0.8	26
1889-02-23	Notts County	W 2-1	1513	1471	70.1%	13.5%	16.4%	+0.7	40
1889-02-23	@ Wolverhampton	L 1-2	1471	1513	16.4%	13.5%	70.1%	-0.7	17
1889-03-02	Burnley	W 1-0	1479	1478	66.0%	14.3%	19.7%	+0.9	16
1889-03-02	@ Derby County	L 0-1	1478	1479	19.7%	14.3%	66.0%	-0.8	24
1889-03-05	Bolton Wanderers	L 0-4	1471	1494	63.4%	14.7%	21.9%	-8.9	17
1889-03-05	@ Notts County	W 4-0	1494	1471	21.9%	14.7%	63.4%	+8.9	26
1889-03-09	Notts County	W 7-3	1503	1462	70.0%	13.5%	16.5%	+1.7	29
1889-03-09	@ Bolton Wanderers	L 3-7	1462	1503	16.5%	13.5%	70.0%	-1.7	17
1889-03-09	Aston Villa	W 5-2	1480	1514	62.3%	14.8%	22.9%	+2.0	19
1889-03-09	@ Derby County	L 2-5	1514	1480	22.9%	14.8%	62.3%	-2.0	41
1889-03-16	Derby County	L 3-5	1460	1482	63.7%	14.7%	21.7%	-3.4	17
1889-03-16	@ Notts County	W 5-3	1482	1460	21.7%	14.7%	63.7%	+3.4	22
1889-03-23	Bolton Wanderers	L 2-3	1495	1505	64.9%	14.5%	20.6%	-2.3	23
1889-03-23	@ Accrington	W 3-2	1505	1495	20.6%	14.5%	64.9%	+2.3	32
1889-03-30	Blackburn Rovers	W 3-1	1486	1524	61.8%	14.9%	23.4%	+1.7	29
1889-03-30	@ Everton	L 1-3	1524	1486	23.4%	14.9%	61.8%	-1.6	33
1889-04-06	Derby County	D 1-1	1477	1485	65.1%	14.4%	20.4%	-0.4	16
1889-04-06	@ Stoke City	D 1-1	1485	1477	20.4%	14.4%	65.1%	+0.4	23
1889-04-15	Derby County	W 3-0	1523	1486	69.6%	13.6%	16.8%	+2.0	36
1889-04-15	@ Blackburn Rovers	L 0-3	1486	1523	16.8%	13.6%	69.6%	-2.0	23
1889-04-20	Stoke City	W 2-0	1493	1477	67.6%	14.0%	18.4%	+1.5	26
1889-04-20	@ Accrington	L 0-2	1477	1493	18.4%	14.0%	67.6%	-1.5	16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1889-01-26	17.39%	Notts County	1469	2	@ Accrington	1498	1
2	1888-11-05	18.23%	Bolton Wanderers	1490	5	@ West Brom	1508	1
3	1888-10-13	19.13%	Wolverhampton	1492	4	@ Burnley	1500	0
4	1888-11-24	19.38%	Stoke City	1476	3	@ Notts County	1480	0
5	1888-12-01	19.40%	West Brom	1500	4	@ Everton	1504	1
6	1888-09-08	19.75%	Derby County	1500	6	@ Bolton Wanderers	1500	3
7	1888-09-08	19.75%	West Brom	1500	2	@ Stoke City	1500	0
8	1888-09-15	19.76%	West Brom	1505	2	@ Derby County	1505	1
9	1888-11-17	19.88%	West Brom	1498	2	@ Bolton Wanderers	1497	1
10	1888-09-15	19.94%	Preston North End	1502	4	@ Wolverhampton	1500	0
11	1888-09-15	20.01%	Burnley	1498	4	@ Bolton Wanderers	1495	3
12	1888-09-29	20.17%	Accrington	1500	4	@ Stoke City	1495	2
13	1888-10-20	20.18%	Everton	1499	4	@ Derby County	1494	2
14	1889-03-23	20.60%	Bolton Wanderers	1505	3	@ Accrington	1495	2
15	1888-09-29	20.66%	Preston North End	1512	3	@ Derby County	1502	2
16	1889-01-05	20.86%	Wolverhampton	1510	3	@ West Brom	1497	1
17	1888-12-26	20.87%	Bolton Wanderers	1492	3	@ Derby County	1479	2
18	1888-11-03	21.02%	Blackburn Rovers	1501	7	@ Burnley	1486	1
19	1889-01-19	21.26%	Blackburn Rovers	1519	2	@ Accrington	1503	0
20	1888-10-20	21.28%	Aston Villa	1510	3	@ Bolton Wanderers	1493	2
21	1889-03-16	21.68%	Derby County	1482	5	@ Notts County	1460	3
22	1889-02-09	21.74%	Wolverhampton	1511	2	@ Everton	1489	1
23	1889-03-05	21.89%	Bolton Wanderers	1494	4	@ Notts County	1471	0
24	1888-11-17	22.01%	Wolverhampton	1503	1	@ Stoke City	1478	0
25	1888-11-03	22.34%	Preston North End	1523	7	@ Notts County	1495	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1888-11-03	14.90	Preston North End	7	1523	22.34%	@ Notts County	0	1495	62.91%
2	1888-11-03	10.85	Blackburn Rovers	7	1501	21.02%	@ Burnley	1	1486	64.42%
3	1888-12-26	10.46	Preston North End	5	1555	24.43%	@ West Brom	0	1506	60.55%
4	1888-10-13	9.28	Wolverhampton	4	1492	19.13%	@ Burnley	0	1500	66.67%
5	1888-09-15	9.16	Preston North End	4	1502	19.94%	@ Wolverhampton	0	1500	65.71%
6	1889-03-05	8.86	Bolton Wanderers	4	1494	21.89%	@ Notts County	0	1471	63.42%
7	1888-11-05	7.85	Bolton Wanderers	5	1490	18.23%	@ West Brom	1	1508	67.78%
8	1888-11-24	7.08	Stoke City	3	1476	19.38%	@ Notts County	0	1480	66.38%
9	1888-11-12	6.45	Preston North End	3	1538	24.86%	@ Stoke City	0	1485	60.08%
10	1888-12-01	5.97	West Brom	4	1500	19.40%	@ Everton	1	1504	66.35%
11	1888-09-08	4.84	West Brom	2	1500	19.75%	@ Stoke City	0	1500	65.93%
12	1888-09-08	4.75	Derby County	6	1500	19.75%	@ Bolton Wanderers	3	1500	65.93%
13	1888-09-29	4.73	@ Aston Villa	9	1504	66.65%	Notts County	1	1497	19.15%
14	1888-10-06	4.73	@ Preston North End	7	1514	68.27%	Stoke City	0	1491	17.84%
15	1888-11-24	4.73	Preston North End	5	1546	24.64%	@ Bolton Wanderers	2	1494	60.32%
16	1889-01-19	4.72	Blackburn Rovers	2	1519	21.26%	@ Accrington	0	1503	64.15%
17	1888-11-24	4.62	Blackburn Rovers	2	1517	22.54%	@ Derby County	0	1486	62.67%
18	1889-02-09	4.44	Preston North End	2	1572	24.95%	@ Aston Villa	0	1518	59.98%
19	1889-01-19	4.29	Preston North End	2	1568	26.88%	@ Everton	0	1496	57.89%
20	1889-01-05	4.12	Wolverhampton	3	1510	20.86%	@ West Brom	1	1497	64.62%
21	1888-09-29	3.73	Accrington	4	1500	20.17%	@ Stoke City	2	1495	65.43%
22	1888-10-20	3.73	Everton	4	1499	20.18%	@ Derby County	2	1494	65.41%
23	1888-10-06	3.71	@ West Brom	5	1506	66.56%	Derby County	0	1500	19.23%
24	1889-01-05	3.69	@ Burnley	4	1475	61.22%	Aston Villa	0	1518	23.83%
25	1888-12-08	3.53	Aston Villa	4	1512	23.39%	@ Notts County	2	1473	61.71%