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1978-79 Football League First Division Season

462 games

Final

Champion

Liverpool

68 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 1976-77

Relegated

Chelsea

20 pts

Birmingham City · 22 pts

Queens Park Rangers · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Ipswich Town

9.77 points above expected

49 points · 39.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Birmingham City

11.67 points below expected

22 points · 33.67 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Liverpool Champion 42 30 8 4 68 85 16 +69 59.41 +8.59
2 Nottingham Forest 42 21 18 3 60 61 26 +35 55.71 +4.29
3 West Brom 42 24 11 7 59 72 35 +37 52.69 +6.31
4 Everton 42 17 17 8 51 52 40 +12 50.86 +0.14
5 Leeds United 42 18 14 10 50 70 52 +18 44.86 +5.14
6 Ipswich Town 42 20 9 13 49 63 49 +14 39.23 +9.77
7 Arsenal 42 17 14 11 48 61 48 +13 52.12 -4.12
8 Aston Villa 42 15 16 11 46 59 49 +10 47.16 -1.16
9 Manchester United 42 15 15 12 45 60 63 -3 42.14 +2.86
10 Coventry City 42 14 16 12 44 58 68 -10 40.82 +3.18
11 Tottenham 42 13 15 14 41 48 61 -13 36.51 +4.49
12 Middlesbrough 42 15 10 17 40 57 50 +7 38.76 +1.24
13 Bristol City 42 15 10 17 40 47 51 -4 40.17 -0.17
14 Southampton 42 12 16 14 40 47 53 -6 38.73 +1.27
15 Manchester City 42 13 13 16 39 58 56 +2 45.81 -6.81
16 Norwich City 42 7 23 12 37 51 57 -6 38.30 -1.30
17 Bolton Wanderers 42 12 11 19 35 54 75 -21 35.35 -0.35
18 Wolverhampton 42 13 8 21 34 44 68 -24 33.60 +0.40
19 Derby County 42 10 11 21 31 44 71 -27 34.74 -3.74
20 Queens Park Rangers Relegated 42 6 13 23 25 45 73 -28 35.01 -10.01
21 Birmingham City Relegated 42 6 10 26 22 37 64 -27 33.67 -11.67
22 Chelsea Relegated 42 5 10 27 20 44 92 -48 28.35 -8.35

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ipswich Town 49 39.23 +9.77
2 Liverpool 68 59.41 +8.59
3 West Brom 59 52.69 +6.31
4 Leeds United 50 44.86 +5.14
5 Tottenham 41 36.51 +4.49

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Birmingham City 22 33.67 -11.67
2 Queens Park Rangers 25 35.01 -10.01
3 Chelsea 20 28.35 -8.35
4 Manchester City 39 45.81 -6.81
5 Arsenal 48 52.12 -4.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Southampton 4 Feb 17 – Mar 3 1 in 99
2 Leeds United 4 Jan 20 – Feb 24 1 in 89
3 Ipswich Town 5 Apr 14 – Apr 28 1 in 77
4 Liverpool 6 Aug 19 – Sep 16 1 in 69
5 Aston Villa 4 Apr 16 – Apr 28 1 in 54

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 5 Nov 11 – Dec 16 1 in 5,642
2 Birmingham City 8 Dec 2 – Feb 13 1 in 159
3 Chelsea 6 Nov 11 – Dec 16 1 in 88
4 Arsenal 2 Feb 24 – Mar 3 1 in 73
5 Norwich City 4 Apr 14 – Apr 25 1 in 66

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Everton 19 Aug 19 – Dec 16 1 in 305
2 Leeds United 16 Nov 18 – Mar 10 1 in 271
3 Coventry City 7 Mar 28 – Apr 21 1 in 98
4 Ipswich Town 11 Mar 31 – May 11 1 in 59
5 West Brom 13 Oct 14 – Jan 13 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 13 Oct 21 – Jan 20 1 in 810
2 West Brom 6 Apr 13 – Apr 28 1 in 87
3 Birmingham City 13 Aug 19 – Nov 4 1 in 57
4 Everton 8 Mar 10 – Apr 14 1 in 50
5 Queens Park Rangers 10 Dec 26 – Mar 6 1 in 32

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Liverpool 2128 68 +52 10 7.2 +2.8
Nottingham Forest 2039 60 +29 9 6.2 +2.8
West Brom 1988 59 -10 6 6.7 -0.7
Everton 1872 51 -21 5 5.9 -0.9
Leeds United 1889 50 -17 5 5.9 -0.9
Ipswich Town 1904 49 +49 9 5.6 +3.4
Arsenal 1861 48 -52 3 6.0 -3.0
Aston Villa 1891 46 -9 4 4.6 -0.6
Manchester United 1830 45 -5 5 5.8 -0.8
Coventry City 1783 44 +29 7 5.2 +1.8
Tottenham 1772 41 +33 6 3.8 +2.2
Bristol City 1791 40 -8 3 3.6 -0.6
Middlesbrough 1853 40 +1 3 4.7 -1.7
Southampton 1801 40 -3 3 3.6 -0.6
Manchester City 1836 39 -8 4 5.4 -1.4
Norwich City 1760 37 -19 2 3.7 -1.7
Bolton Wanderers 1738 35 -46 2 4.1 -2.1
Wolverhampton 1734 34 +17 5 4.3 +0.7
Derby County 1684 31 -30 3 3.5 -0.5
Queens Park Rangers 1654 25 -29 2 4.0 -2.0
Birmingham City 1704 22 +18 4 3.0 +1.0
Chelsea 1595 20 +13 4 2.6 +1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BC BW BC CHE CC DC EVE IT LU LIV MC MU MID NC NF QPR SOU TOT WB WOL
Arsenal —
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
4.31
0-2-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.87
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
1.77
0-2-0
2.88
1-1-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.62
0-2-0
3.57
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
3.93
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.56
0-1-1
2.51
0-0-2
3.86
Aston Villa
1-1-0
2.61
 —
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
4.09
0-2-0
3.35
0-2-0
3.55
0-2-0
2.40
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
2.63
1-0-1
1.35
1-1-0
2.60
0-2-0
3.04
0-0-2
3.41
1-1-0
3.32
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
3.56
0-1-1
3.52
1-0-1
3.26
0-1-1
2.09
2-0-0
3.48
Birmingham City
0-1-1
1.50
0-0-2
1.65
 —
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
1.91
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
1.70
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.11
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
1.22
0-1-1
2.91
Bolton Wanderers
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.61
 —
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
3.23
0-2-0
2.35
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.15
0-1-1
1.87
2-0-0
2.06
0-2-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
1.24
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.20
0-0-2
2.69
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
2.91
Bristol City
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.81
 —
1-1-0
3.73
1-0-1
2.75
2-0-0
2.88
0-1-1
1.97
2-0-0
2.88
0-2-0
2.07
1-0-1
1.22
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.49
0-2-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.78
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
1.57
0-0-2
3.21
Chelsea
0-1-1
1.15
0-0-2
1.35
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
1.66
 —
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
0.80
1-0-1
1.73
0-1-1
1.75
1-0-1
1.41
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
0.82
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
1.46
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
1.53
1-0-1
2.34
Coventry City
0-2-0
2.06
0-2-0
2.02
1-1-0
3.12
0-2-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.59
2-0-0
3.41
 —
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
1.76
0-2-0
2.80
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
1.23
0-0-2
2.48
1-1-0
2.18
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.29
0-0-2
1.81
1-1-0
3.20
Derby County
1-0-1
1.53
0-2-0
1.83
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
3.34
0-0-2
2.28
 —
0-1-1
1.70
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
1.83
0-0-2
1.09
1-1-0
2.06
0-1-1
2.24
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.18
1-1-0
2.77
2-0-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
1.81
1-0-1
2.80
Everton
1-1-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.96
2-0-0
4.01
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.67
0-1-1
3.62
1-1-0
3.67
 —
1-0-1
3.61
0-1-1
2.99
1-1-0
1.84
1-1-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.43
1-1-0
3.68
0-2-0
2.32
1-1-0
3.70
0-1-1
3.80
0-2-0
3.66
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
4.13
Ipswich Town
1-0-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
3.97
0-2-0
2.58
2-0-0
3.13
1-0-1
1.77
 —
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
1.52
2-0-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
1.53
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
1.88
2-0-0
2.90
Leeds United
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.73
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
3.26
0-2-0
3.28
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
3.53
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
3.15
 —
0-1-1
1.50
0-1-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
3.07
0-2-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.03
2-0-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.36
Liverpool
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
4.06
2-0-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.30
1-0-1
4.22
1-1-0
4.73
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.37
0-1-1
3.54
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.91
 —
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
4.13
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
4.04
1-1-0
4.26
1-1-0
4.11
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
4.65
Manchester City
0-2-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.75
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
3.32
0-1-1
2.24
0-0-2
3.17
1-1-0
2.56
0-0-2
2.02
 —
0-0-2
3.18
1-0-1
2.68
0-2-0
3.21
0-1-1
1.83
1-0-1
3.51
0-0-2
3.11
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
3.60
Manchester United
0-1-1
1.79
0-2-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
3.30
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
3.66
0-1-1
3.18
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
2.38
0-0-2
1.34
2-0-0
2.18
 —
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.05
0-2-0
1.80
1-1-0
3.22
0-2-0
2.95
1-1-0
3.04
0-0-2
1.65
2-0-0
3.23
Middlesbrough
0-1-1
1.78
2-0-0
1.96
2-0-0
2.85
0-2-0
2.91
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.98
0-0-2
2.36
2-0-0
3.35
0-0-2
1.94
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.34
 —
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
3.02
0-1-1
1.80
2-0-0
2.91
Norwich City
0-2-0
1.80
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.24
1-0-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
1.69
0-1-1
2.58
0-2-0
2.25
0-0-2
1.31
0-2-0
2.15
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.78
 —
0-1-1
1.33
0-2-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.62
0-2-0
2.66
0-2-0
1.61
0-1-1
3.17
Nottingham Forest
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
4.35
1-1-0
4.20
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
4.72
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
4.26
0-2-0
3.03
1-1-0
3.87
1-1-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.55
0-2-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.83
1-1-0
4.09
 —
0-2-0
3.89
1-1-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.74
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
4.19
Queens Park Rangers
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
1.70
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.36
0-2-0
2.10
0-2-0
1.51
 —
0-1-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
2.95
Southampton
1-0-1
1.84
1-1-0
1.84
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
3.94
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.77
1-1-0
1.59
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
1.19
2-0-0
2.25
0-2-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
1.43
1-1-0
2.96
 —
0-2-0
3.13
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
3.24
Tottenham
0-0-2
1.82
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
2.66
1-1-0
2.35
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.07
1-1-0
2.77
0-2-0
1.73
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.05
0-1-1
1.32
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.33
0-2-0
2.69
0-1-1
1.64
0-2-0
2.89
0-2-0
2.23
 —
2-0-0
1.47
1-0-1
3.18
West Brom
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
4.21
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.81
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.55
1-0-1
3.59
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
1.86
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.58
0-2-0
3.76
0-1-1
2.39
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.79
0-0-2
3.92
 —
1-1-0
4.22
Wolverhampton
2-0-0
1.57
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.43
0-1-1
2.45
2-0-0
2.16
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
1.28
0-0-2
2.47
0-1-1
1.99
0-0-2
0.87
0-1-1
1.77
0-0-2
2.13
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
2.19
1-0-1
1.24
1-1-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
1.22
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +9.4
Allowed 0.80 -6.3
Differential 0.91 +4.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.44%8.98%4.87%3.14%1.19%0.65%27.27%
18.98%15.58%6.06%4.55%1.30%0.76%37.23%
24.87%6.06%6.06%1.95%0.32%0.22%19.48%
33.14%4.55%1.95%1.08%0.32%0.11%11.15%
41.19%1.30%0.32%0.32%——3.14%
5+0.65%0.76%0.22%0.11%——1.73%
Total27.27%37.23%19.48%11.15%3.14%1.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.76
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 462

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%2.38%——23.81%
111.90%21.43%4.76%——2.38%40.48%
27.14%4.76%4.76%—2.38%—19.05%
3—4.76%2.38%———7.14%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+2.38%2.38%2.38%———7.14%
Total28.57%42.86%21.43%2.38%2.38%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.14 +0.31
SD 1.38 1.09 1.77
CV 0.95 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%9.52%7.14%2.38%2.38%—26.19%
19.52%23.81%2.38%———35.71%
24.76%4.76%7.14%2.38%——19.05%
32.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
42.38%2.38%————4.76%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total23.81%47.62%19.05%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.17 +0.24
SD 1.27 0.96 1.66
CV 0.90 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%23.81%2.38%7.14%2.38%—40.48%
14.76%14.29%16.67%9.52%——45.24%
2——4.76%———4.76%
32.38%4.76%————7.14%
4———————
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total11.90%45.24%23.81%16.67%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.52 -0.64
SD 1.06 0.99 1.54
CV 1.21 0.65 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%2.38%11.90%2.38%—35.71%
1—7.14%4.76%2.38%4.76%2.38%21.43%
22.38%9.52%9.52%2.38%——23.81%
32.38%9.52%2.38%—2.38%—16.67%
4——2.38%———2.38%
5+———————
Total14.29%35.71%21.43%16.67%9.52%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.79 -0.50
SD 1.20 1.30 1.84
CV 0.93 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%14.29%2.38%——35.71%
114.29%11.90%2.38%7.14%2.38%—38.10%
22.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
3—9.52%————9.52%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total28.57%38.10%19.05%11.90%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.21 -0.10
SD 1.21 1.07 1.72
CV 1.08 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%11.90%4.76%2.38%—2.38%30.95%
12.38%9.52%11.90%14.29%2.38%2.38%42.86%
2—4.76%2.38%7.14%—4.76%19.05%
3——2.38%2.38%——4.76%
4———2.38%——2.38%
5+———————
Total11.90%26.19%21.43%28.57%2.38%9.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.19 -1.14
SD 0.96 1.60 1.56
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 7 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%2.38%4.76%2.38%2.38%33.33%
12.38%16.67%—4.76%—4.76%28.57%
22.38%7.14%4.76%———14.29%
32.38%2.38%7.14%2.38%——14.29%
42.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%——9.52%
5+———————
Total23.81%35.71%16.67%14.29%2.38%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.62 -0.24
SD 1.34 1.58 2.08
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.52%9.52%4.76%4.76%2.38%38.10%
12.38%11.90%11.90%4.76%——30.95%
22.38%11.90%4.76%—2.38%—21.43%
32.38%—2.38%2.38%——7.14%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total14.29%35.71%28.57%11.90%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.69 -0.64
SD 1.06 1.22 1.74
CV 1.01 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%2.38%2.38%——23.81%
119.05%21.43%—2.38%——42.86%
24.76%7.14%7.14%2.38%——21.43%
32.38%2.38%2.38%2.38%——9.52%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total35.71%42.86%11.90%9.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 0.95 +0.29
SD 1.01 0.94 1.22
CV 0.81 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%11.90%7.14%2.38%——26.19%
17.14%11.90%2.38%2.38%2.38%—26.19%
22.38%16.67%4.76%2.38%——26.19%
37.14%4.76%4.76%———16.67%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total23.81%47.62%19.05%7.14%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.17 +0.33
SD 1.25 0.96 1.71
CV 0.84 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%4.76%—4.76%——16.67%
111.90%14.29%4.76%4.76%2.38%—38.10%
2—7.14%11.90%2.38%——21.43%
37.14%2.38%2.38%———11.90%
44.76%2.38%—2.38%——9.52%
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total30.95%33.33%19.05%14.29%2.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.24 +0.43
SD 1.30 1.12 1.78
CV 0.78 0.91 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%————16.67%
114.29%9.52%—2.38%——26.19%
219.05%4.76%————23.81%
316.67%2.38%————19.05%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total66.67%30.95%—2.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.02 0.38 +1.64
SD 1.63 0.62 1.83
CV 0.81 1.63 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%9.52%2.38%2.38%2.38%—21.43%
12.38%19.05%11.90%2.38%2.38%—38.10%
27.14%4.76%7.14%4.76%——23.81%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4—2.38%————2.38%
5+———————
Total21.43%42.86%21.43%9.52%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.33 +0.05
SD 1.06 1.07 1.68
CV 0.77 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%2.38%4.76%9.52%——21.43%
19.52%23.81%2.38%2.38%—2.38%40.48%
27.14%2.38%7.14%———16.67%
32.38%2.38%7.14%—2.38%2.38%16.67%
4—2.38%2.38%———4.76%
5+———————
Total23.81%33.33%23.81%11.90%2.38%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.50 -0.07
SD 1.15 1.31 1.69
CV 0.81 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%9.52%———26.19%
14.76%9.52%14.29%4.76%——33.33%
214.29%4.76%4.76%4.76%——28.57%
32.38%7.14%————9.52%
4———————
5+——2.38%———2.38%
Total30.95%28.57%30.95%9.52%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.19 +0.17
SD 1.30 0.99 1.62
CV 0.96 0.83 —
Max 7 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%11.90%2.38%——2.38%28.57%
14.76%21.43%4.76%—4.76%—35.71%
22.38%—19.05%2.38%——23.81%
34.76%2.38%—2.38%——9.52%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total26.19%35.71%26.19%4.76%4.76%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.36 -0.14
SD 1.05 1.28 1.63
CV 0.86 0.95 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%2.38%2.38%———26.19%
111.90%19.05%2.38%———33.33%
24.76%11.90%2.38%———19.05%
32.38%14.29%————16.67%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+2.38%—————2.38%
Total45.24%47.62%7.14%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.62 +0.83
SD 1.33 0.62 1.40
CV 0.91 1.01 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%9.52%4.76%—2.38%—26.19%
14.76%14.29%16.67%14.29%2.38%2.38%54.76%
22.38%2.38%4.76%———9.52%
3—2.38%—2.38%2.38%—7.14%
4———————
5+—2.38%————2.38%
Total16.67%30.95%26.19%16.67%7.14%2.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.74 -0.67
SD 1.02 1.27 1.51
CV 0.95 0.73 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.90%7.14%9.52%—4.76%—33.33%
17.14%14.29%7.14%4.76%——33.33%
27.14%7.14%9.52%———23.81%
32.38%—2.38%2.38%——7.14%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total30.95%28.57%28.57%7.14%4.76%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.26 -0.14
SD 1.04 1.13 1.60
CV 0.93 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%7.14%4.76%2.38%—4.76%28.57%
114.29%14.29%7.14%2.38%2.38%—40.48%
24.76%2.38%9.52%2.38%——19.05%
3—7.14%2.38%2.38%——11.90%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%30.95%23.81%9.52%2.38%4.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.45 -0.31
SD 0.98 1.48 1.81
CV 0.85 1.02 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%9.52%————11.90%
121.43%19.05%4.76%———45.24%
24.76%9.52%4.76%2.38%——21.43%
32.38%9.52%————11.90%
44.76%—————4.76%
5+—2.38%—2.38%——4.76%
Total35.71%50.00%9.52%4.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 0.83 +0.88
SD 1.42 0.79 1.50
CV 0.83 0.95 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 42

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.38%9.52%7.14%7.14%2.38%—28.57%
116.67%14.29%—14.29%2.38%—47.62%
24.76%4.76%—4.76%2.38%—16.67%
3——2.38%2.38%——4.76%
42.38%—————2.38%
5+———————
Total26.19%28.57%9.52%28.57%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.62 -0.57
SD 0.94 1.34 1.70
CV 0.89 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 42

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Liverpool 2128 68 59.41 +8.59 99.0% 49 51 57 59 62 67 69
Nottingham Forest 2039 60 55.71 +4.29 81.0% 44 48 52 55 59 63 66
West Brom 1988 59 52.69 +6.31 97.0% 44 46 49 52 56 59 62
Ipswich Town 1904 49 39.23 +9.77 98.0% 28 30 36 39 43 46 56
Aston Villa 1891 46 47.16 -1.16 42.0% 37 38 44 47 50 54 57
Leeds United 1889 50 44.86 +5.14 92.0% 33 38 42 45 48 52 57
Everton 1872 51 50.86 +0.14 63.0% 39 43 47 50 55 59 63
Arsenal 1861 48 52.12 -4.12 20.0% 42 44 49 52 55 60 62
Middlesbrough 1853 40 38.76 +1.24 64.0% 29 30 35 39 42 48 51
Manchester City 1836 39 45.81 -6.81 12.0% 35 37 42 46 49 55 60
Manchester United 1830 45 42.14 +2.86 77.0% 28 34 38 42 45 52 62
Southampton 1801 40 38.73 +1.27 62.0% 25 31 36 39 42 46 50
Bristol City 1791 40 40.17 -0.17 56.0% 28 32 37 40 43 49 56
Coventry City 1783 44 40.82 +3.18 78.0% 28 33 37 41 44 49 52
Tottenham 1772 41 36.51 +4.49 87.0% 24 28 33 36 40 45 49
Norwich City 1760 37 38.30 -1.30 41.0% 26 31 35 38 41 46 50
Bolton Wanderers 1738 35 35.35 -0.35 49.0% 22 27 32 36 38 44 53
Wolverhampton 1734 34 33.60 +0.40 55.0% 23 26 30 34 36 41 46
Birmingham City 1704 22 33.67 -11.67 0.0% 23 27 31 34 36 40 45
Derby County 1684 31 34.74 -3.74 24.0% 24 28 32 35 38 42 48
Queens Park Rangers 1654 25 35.01 -10.01 2.0% 25 28 32 35 38 42 45
Chelsea 1595 20 28.35 -8.35 3.0% 19 21 25 28 31 36 39

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 20.5% * Slight Edge: 20.5% to 26.5% * Clear Edge: 26.5% to 31.5% * Strong Edge: 31.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.65%
Slight Edge
45.24%31.17%23.59%
Elo Value
Home Edge
203 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
076.41600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th * Middle of the Pack: 5th to 11th * Longshot: 12th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.19 * Runaway: 0.19 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
64%
Liverpool, 1st of 22
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Runaway
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.82 * Some Luck: 3.82 to 5.72 * Lucky: 5.72 to 7.63 * Wild Swing: 7.63 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.18 * Close: 2.18 to 3.27 * Off: 3.27 to 4.36 * Way Off: 4.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 22 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 22 * As Expected: 22 to 35.2 * Several Outliers: 35.2 to 48.4 * Many Outliers: 48.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.52 * A Surprise: 1.52 to 2.43 * Several Surprises: 2.43 to 3.34 * Many Surprises: 3.34 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.57 points
Some Luck
04.7712
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.73
Pinpoint
02.726
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.73%
99.00%
Liverpool
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.27%
0.00%
Birmingham City
050
Season Outliers
Expected
6 of 22
Minimal Outliers
02.211
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.53

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.09 * Even: 0.09 to 0.12 * Top-Heavy: 0.12 to 0.15 * Lopsided: 0.15 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.25 * Moderate Separation: 1.25 to 1.55 * Strong Separation: 1.55 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60.5% * Slight Edge: 60.5% to 64.5% * Clear Edge: 64.5% to 68% * Wide Edge: 68% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 87% * Strong Edge: 87% to 91% * Dominant: 91% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 55.5% * Some Drama: 55.5% to 59.5% * Frequent: 59.5% to 64.5% * Very Frequent: 64.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 17.5% * Frequent: 17.5% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Lopsided
00.090.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 124.69
2.22
Wide Separation
0.751.251.551.92.75
Interquartile Edge
69%
Wide Edge
50%60.5%68%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.44 * Notable Separation: 0.44 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.63 * Near-Lock: 0.63 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21% * As Expected: 21% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 24.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 24.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 22.5% * Very Shaky: 22.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.55
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.66
Near-Lock
00.360.531
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.08 to 0.12 * Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.16 * Well Above Noise: 0.16 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.056
Well Within Noise
00.0790.2

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516171819202122
Liverpool64.00%24.00%4.00%5.00%3.00%—————————————————
Nottingham Forest22.00%27.00%17.00%19.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%———————————————
West Brom4.00%21.00%19.00%28.00%9.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—————————————
Everton3.00%9.00%23.00%7.00%16.00%18.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%——————————
Leeds United——2.00%4.00%10.00%9.00%22.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%—1.00%———
Ipswich Town———1.00%—2.00%8.00%11.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%6.00%1.00%
Arsenal4.00%14.00%22.00%18.00%20.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%————————————
Aston Villa1.00%1.00%5.00%11.00%18.00%13.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%—1.00%——————
Manchester United1.00%2.00%2.00%—3.00%4.00%3.00%10.00%8.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%—2.00%2.00%1.00%—
Coventry City———1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%—
Tottenham—————2.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%12.00%3.00%4.00%
Middlesbrough————2.00%3.00%2.00%7.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%
Bristol City—1.00%—1.00%1.00%3.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%—
Southampton————1.00%1.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%8.00%6.00%8.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%
Manchester City1.00%1.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%17.00%9.00%9.00%15.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%————
Norwich City————1.00%1.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%
Bolton Wanderers————1.00%—1.00%1.00%—6.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%9.00%14.00%5.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%
Wolverhampton———————4.00%—2.00%—3.00%2.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%14.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%14.00%
Derby County—————1.00%1.00%—2.00%3.00%5.00%—6.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%
Queens Park Rangers————————3.00%—4.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%7.00%15.00%13.00%3.00%
Birmingham City—————1.00%——1.00%—2.00%2.00%1.00%4.00%6.00%13.00%12.00%14.00%16.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%
Chelsea————————————1.00%—1.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%12.00%22.00%49.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Aston Villa 100% —
Everton 100% —
Leeds United 100% —
Liverpool 100% —
Manchester City 100% —
Nottingham Forest 100% —
West Brom 100% —
Manchester United 97.00% 3.00%
Coventry City 96.00% 4.00%
Bristol City 93.00% 7.00%
Southampton 93.00% 7.00%
Ipswich Town 92.00% 8.00%
Norwich City 90.00% 10.00%
Middlesbrough 88.00% 12.00%
Tottenham 81.00% 19.00%
Bolton Wanderers 75.00% 25.00%
Birmingham City 72.00% 28.00%
Derby County 71.00% 29.00%
Queens Park Rangers 69.00% 31.00%
Wolverhampton 66.00% 34.00%
Chelsea 17.00% 83.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1978-08-19 Leeds United D 2-276.4 1876 1815 54.15% 31.66% 14.19%+0.68 -1.8 1
1978-08-19 @ Arsenal D 2-276.4 1815 1876 14.19% 31.66% 54.15%-0.68 +1.8 1
1978-08-19 Wolverhampton W 1-055.0 1862 1781 55.95% 31.23% 12.81%+0.78 +4.9 2
1978-08-19 @ Aston Villa L 0-155.0 1781 1862 12.81% 31.23% 55.95%-0.78 -4.9 0
1978-08-19 Bristol City L 1-271.5 1783 1788 47.55% 32.66% 19.79%+0.35 -12.5 0
1978-08-19 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-171.5 1788 1783 19.79% 32.66% 47.55%-0.35 +12.5 2
1978-08-19 Everton L 0-161.3 1763 1890 32.11% 32.87% 35.02%-0.25 -9.9 0
1978-08-19 @ Chelsea W 1-061.3 1890 1763 35.02% 32.87% 32.11%+0.25 +9.8 2
1978-08-19 Manchester City D 1-170.1 1800 1877 38.88% 33.05% 28.07%+0.00 -0.6 1
1978-08-19 @ Derby County D 1-170.1 1877 1800 28.07% 33.05% 38.88%+0.00 +0.6 1
1978-08-19 Queens Park Rangers W 2-158.9 1935 1774 62.16% 29.13% 8.71%+1.17 +3.2 2
1978-08-19 @ Liverpool L 1-258.9 1774 1935 8.71% 29.13% 62.16%-1.17 -3.2 0
1978-08-19 Birmingham City W 1-056.7 1834 1813 50.31% 32.34% 17.35%+0.48 +6.3 2
1978-08-19 @ Manchester United L 0-156.7 1813 1834 17.35% 32.34% 50.31%-0.48 -6.3 0
1978-08-19 Coventry City L 1-269.9 1784 1839 41.61% 33.02% 25.37%+0.10 -11.2 0
1978-08-19 @ Middlesbrough W 2-169.9 1839 1784 25.37% 33.02% 41.61%-0.10 +11.2 2
1978-08-19 Southampton W 3-160.6 1761 1785 45.40% 32.84% 21.75%+0.26 +12.3 2
1978-08-19 @ Norwich City L 1-360.6 1785 1761 21.75% 32.84% 45.40%-0.26 -12.3 0
1978-08-19 Tottenham D 1-171.4 1952 1788 62.40% 29.03% 8.57%+1.19 -3.5 1
1978-08-19 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.4 1788 1952 8.57% 29.03% 62.40%-1.19 +3.5 1
1978-08-19 Ipswich Town W 2-160.9 1839 1766 55.28% 31.40% 13.32%+0.74 +4.8 2
1978-08-19 @ West Brom L 1-260.9 1766 1839 13.32% 31.40% 55.28%-0.74 -4.8 0
1978-08-22 Middlesbrough L 1-369.4 1807 1773 51.66% 32.13% 16.21%+0.55 -23.3 0
1978-08-22 @ Birmingham City W 3-169.4 1773 1807 16.21% 32.13% 51.66%-0.55 +23.3 2
1978-08-22 Norwich City D 1-170.2 1801 1773 51.01% 32.23% 16.76%+0.51 -2.1 3
1978-08-22 @ Bristol City D 1-170.2 1773 1801 16.76% 32.23% 51.01%-0.51 +2.0 3
1978-08-22 Nottingham Forest D 0-065.5 1851 1949 36.05% 33.02% 30.93%-0.11 -0.3 3
1978-08-22 @ Coventry City D 0-065.5 1949 1851 30.93% 33.02% 36.05%+0.11 +0.3 2
1978-08-22 Derby County W 2-160.3 1900 1799 57.53% 30.80% 11.67%+0.87 +4.3 4
1978-08-22 @ Everton L 1-260.3 1799 1900 11.67% 30.80% 57.53%-0.87 -4.3 1
1978-08-22 Liverpool L 0-354.2 1761 1938 25.63% 32.32% 42.06%-0.50 -23.0 0
1978-08-22 @ Ipswich Town W 3-054.2 1938 1761 42.06% 32.32% 25.63%+0.50 +23.0 4
1978-08-22 Arsenal D 1-170.3 1877 1874 48.52% 32.56% 18.92%+0.40 -1.7 2
1978-08-22 @ Manchester City D 1-170.3 1874 1877 18.92% 32.56% 48.52%-0.40 +1.7 2
1978-08-22 West Brom L 0-163.5 1771 1844 39.35% 33.05% 27.60%+0.02 -11.4 0
1978-08-22 @ Queens Park Rangers W 1-063.5 1844 1771 27.60% 33.05% 39.35%-0.02 +11.4 4
1978-08-22 Bolton Wanderers D 2-275.9 1773 1771 48.32% 32.58% 19.09%+0.39 -1.3 1
1978-08-22 @ Southampton D 2-275.9 1771 1773 19.09% 32.58% 48.32%-0.39 +1.3 1
1978-08-22 Chelsea L 0-166.4 1776 1754 50.44% 32.32% 17.24%+0.49 -14.0 0
1978-08-22 @ Wolverhampton W 1-066.4 1754 1776 17.24% 32.32% 50.44%-0.49 +14.0 2
1978-08-23 Manchester United L 2-376.0 1816 1841 45.39% 32.84% 21.77%+0.26 -11.4 1
1978-08-23 @ Leeds United W 3-276.0 1841 1816 21.77% 32.84% 45.39%-0.26 +11.4 4
1978-08-23 Aston Villa L 1-463.5 1791 1867 39.06% 33.05% 27.89%+0.00 -26.2 1
1978-08-23 @ Tottenham W 4-163.5 1867 1791 27.89% 33.05% 39.06%+0.00 +26.2 4
1978-08-26 Derby County D 1-170.1 1784 1795 46.86% 32.73% 20.41%+0.32 -1.5 1
1978-08-26 @ Birmingham City D 1-170.1 1795 1784 20.41% 32.73% 46.86%-0.32 +1.5 2
1978-08-26 Aston Villa W 1-060.9 1799 1893 36.55% 33.03% 30.42%-0.09 +9.5 5
1978-08-26 @ Bristol City L 0-160.9 1893 1799 30.42% 33.03% 36.55%+0.09 -9.5 4
1978-08-26 Norwich City W 4-155.2 1850 1775 55.44% 31.36% 13.20%+0.75 +11.7 5
1978-08-26 @ Coventry City L 1-455.2 1775 1850 13.20% 31.36% 55.44%-0.75 -11.7 3
1978-08-26 Arsenal W 1-056.6 1904 1875 51.06% 32.23% 16.71%+0.52 +6.2 6
1978-08-26 @ Everton L 0-156.6 1875 1904 16.71% 32.23% 51.06%-0.52 -6.2 2
1978-08-26 Manchester United W 3-056.6 1738 1852 33.77% 32.95% 33.28%-0.19 +27.7 2
1978-08-26 @ Ipswich Town L 0-356.6 1852 1738 33.28% 32.95% 33.77%+0.19 -27.7 4
1978-08-26 Wolverhampton W 3-050.9 1805 1762 52.51% 31.98% 15.50%+0.59 +15.9 3
1978-08-26 @ Leeds United L 0-350.9 1762 1805 15.50% 31.98% 52.51%-0.59 -15.9 0
1978-08-26 Liverpool L 1-463.2 1876 1961 37.78% 33.05% 29.17%-0.04 -25.5 2
1978-08-26 @ Manchester City W 4-163.2 1961 1876 29.17% 33.05% 37.78%+0.04 +25.5 6
1978-08-26 Nottingham Forest D 0-065.7 1759 1949 24.20% 32.12% 43.68%-0.56 +1.2 1
1978-08-26 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-065.7 1949 1759 43.68% 32.12% 24.20%+0.56 -1.2 3
1978-08-26 Middlesbrough W 2-163.8 1771 1796 45.35% 32.84% 21.81%+0.25 +7.1 3
1978-08-26 @ Southampton L 1-263.8 1796 1771 21.81% 32.84% 45.35%-0.25 -7.1 2
1978-08-26 Chelsea D 2-275.8 1765 1768 47.86% 32.63% 19.51%+0.36 -1.2 2
1978-08-26 @ Tottenham D 2-275.8 1768 1765 19.51% 32.63% 47.86%-0.36 +1.2 3
1978-08-26 Bolton Wanderers W 4-049.8 1855 1772 56.14% 31.18% 12.68%+0.79 +17.5 6
1978-08-26 @ West Brom L 0-449.8 1772 1855 12.68% 31.18% 56.14%-0.79 -17.5 1
1978-09-02 Queens Park Rangers W 5-153.0 1869 1760 58.23% 30.58% 11.19%+0.91 +13.0 4
1978-09-02 @ Arsenal L 1-553.0 1760 1869 11.19% 30.58% 58.23%-0.91 -13.0 1
1978-09-02 Southampton D 1-170.8 1884 1778 57.94% 30.67% 11.39%+0.89 -3.0 5
1978-09-02 @ Aston Villa D 1-170.8 1778 1884 11.39% 30.67% 57.94%-0.89 +2.9 4
1978-09-02 Birmingham City D 2-275.8 1754 1782 44.98% 32.87% 22.15%+0.24 -1.0 2
1978-09-02 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-275.8 1782 1754 22.15% 32.87% 44.98%-0.24 +1.0 2
1978-09-02 Leeds United L 0-359.2 1769 1821 42.05% 33.00% 24.95%+0.12 -32.9 3
1978-09-02 @ Chelsea W 3-059.2 1821 1769 24.95% 33.00% 42.05%-0.12 +32.9 5
1978-09-02 Coventry City L 0-260.6 1797 1862 40.37% 33.04% 26.59%+0.05 -21.9 2
1978-09-02 @ Derby County W 2-060.6 1862 1797 26.59% 33.04% 40.37%-0.05 +21.9 7
1978-09-02 Tottenham W 7-049.0 1986 1764 66.33% 27.13% 6.55%+1.47 +15.3 8
1978-09-02 @ Liverpool L 0-749.0 1764 1986 6.55% 27.13% 66.33%-1.47 -15.3 2
1978-09-02 Everton D 1-170.2 1825 1910 37.74% 33.05% 29.21%-0.04 -0.5 5
1978-09-02 @ Manchester United D 1-170.2 1910 1825 29.21% 33.05% 37.74%+0.04 +0.5 7
1978-09-02 Ipswich Town D 0-065.4 1789 1765 50.56% 32.30% 17.14%+0.49 -2.2 3
1978-09-02 @ Middlesbrough D 0-065.4 1765 1789 17.14% 32.30% 50.56%-0.49 +2.2 3
1978-09-02 Manchester City D 1-170.0 1763 1850 37.55% 33.05% 29.41%-0.05 -0.4 4
1978-09-02 @ Norwich City D 1-170.0 1850 1763 29.41% 33.05% 37.55%+0.05 +0.4 3
1978-09-02 West Brom D 0-066.0 1948 1873 55.40% 31.37% 13.23%+0.75 -2.9 4
1978-09-02 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-066.0 1873 1948 13.23% 31.37% 55.40%-0.75 +2.9 7
1978-09-02 Bristol City W 2-056.2 1746 1808 40.75% 33.04% 26.21%+0.07 +16.2 2
1978-09-02 @ Wolverhampton L 0-256.2 1808 1746 26.21% 33.04% 40.75%-0.07 -16.2 5
1978-09-09 Liverpool L 0-352.7 1783 2002 21.16% 31.60% 47.24%-0.70 -19.8 2
1978-09-09 @ Birmingham City W 3-052.7 2002 1783 47.24% 31.60% 21.16%+0.70 +19.8 10
1978-09-09 Derby County W 2-163.6 1753 1775 45.73% 32.82% 21.45%+0.27 +7.0 4
1978-09-09 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-263.6 1775 1753 21.45% 32.82% 45.73%-0.27 -7.0 2
1978-09-09 Chelsea W 3-264.1 1884 1736 61.24% 29.51% 9.25%+1.11 +3.3 9
1978-09-09 @ Coventry City L 2-364.1 1736 1884 9.25% 29.51% 61.24%-1.11 -3.3 3
1978-09-09 Middlesbrough W 2-050.8 1910 1787 59.41% 30.19% 10.40%+0.99 +7.7 9
1978-09-09 @ Everton L 0-250.8 1787 1910 10.40% 30.19% 59.41%-0.99 -7.7 3
1978-09-09 Aston Villa L 0-258.6 1768 1881 33.98% 32.96% 33.07%-0.18 -19.3 3
1978-09-09 @ Ipswich Town W 2-058.6 1881 1768 33.07% 32.96% 33.98%+0.18 +19.3 7
1978-09-09 Leeds United W 3-052.5 1851 1854 47.77% 32.64% 19.58%+0.36 +19.1 5
1978-09-09 @ Manchester City L 0-352.5 1854 1851 19.58% 32.64% 47.77%-0.36 -19.1 5
1978-09-09 Arsenal W 2-161.3 1945 1882 54.30% 31.63% 14.08%+0.68 +5.0 6
1978-09-09 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-261.3 1882 1945 14.08% 31.63% 54.30%-0.68 -5.0 4
1978-09-09 Manchester United D 1-170.0 1747 1824 38.92% 33.05% 28.03%+0.00 -0.6 2
1978-09-09 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-170.0 1824 1747 28.03% 33.05% 38.92%+0.00 +0.6 6
1978-09-09 Wolverhampton W 3-267.3 1781 1762 50.14% 32.36% 17.50%+0.47 +5.7 6
1978-09-09 @ Southampton L 2-367.3 1762 1781 17.50% 32.36% 50.14%-0.47 -5.7 2
1978-09-09 Bristol City W 1-058.7 1749 1792 43.12% 32.97% 23.92%+0.16 +8.1 4
1978-09-09 @ Tottenham L 0-158.7 1792 1749 23.92% 32.97% 43.12%-0.16 -8.1 5
1978-09-09 Norwich City D 2-276.7 1876 1763 58.56% 30.48% 10.96%+0.93 -2.3 8
1978-09-09 @ West Brom D 2-276.7 1763 1876 10.96% 30.48% 58.56%-0.93 +2.2 5
1978-09-16 Bolton Wanderers W 1-054.2 1877 1760 58.87% 30.38% 10.76%+0.95 +4.2 6
1978-09-16 @ Arsenal L 0-154.2 1760 1877 10.76% 30.38% 58.87%-0.95 -4.2 4
1978-09-16 Everton D 1-170.3 1900 1918 46.09% 32.79% 21.12%+0.29 -1.4 8
1978-09-16 @ Aston Villa D 1-170.3 1918 1900 21.12% 32.79% 46.09%-0.29 +1.4 10
1978-09-16 Southampton W 3-159.9 1784 1787 47.78% 32.64% 19.58%+0.36 +11.4 7
1978-09-16 @ Bristol City L 1-359.9 1787 1784 19.58% 32.64% 47.78%-0.36 -11.4 6
1978-09-16 Manchester City L 1-460.8 1733 1870 30.64% 32.79% 36.57%-0.30 -22.0 3
1978-09-16 @ Chelsea W 4-160.8 1870 1733 36.57% 32.79% 30.64%+0.30 +22.0 7
1978-09-16 West Brom W 3-272.1 1768 1874 34.97% 32.99% 32.04%-0.14 +8.8 4
1978-09-16 @ Derby County L 2-372.1 1874 1768 32.04% 32.99% 34.97%+0.14 -8.8 8
1978-09-16 Tottenham L 1-273.5 1835 1757 55.67% 31.30% 13.03%+0.76 -14.4 5
1978-09-16 @ Leeds United W 2-173.5 1757 1835 13.03% 31.30% 55.67%-0.76 +14.4 6
1978-09-16 Coventry City W 1-053.9 2022 1887 60.22% 29.90% 9.88%+1.04 +3.9 12
1978-09-16 @ Liverpool L 0-153.9 1887 2022 9.88% 29.90% 60.22%-1.04 -3.9 9
1978-09-16 Nottingham Forest D 1-170.2 1825 1950 32.26% 32.88% 34.86%-0.24 +0.1 7
1978-09-16 @ Manchester United D 1-170.2 1950 1825 34.86% 32.88% 32.26%+0.24 -0.1 7
1978-09-16 Queens Park Rangers L 0-263.4 1779 1747 51.43% 32.17% 16.40%+0.53 -26.9 3
1978-09-16 @ Middlesbrough W 2-063.4 1747 1779 16.40% 32.17% 51.43%-0.53 +26.9 4
1978-09-16 Birmingham City W 4-052.0 1765 1763 48.30% 32.59% 19.11%+0.39 +24.5 7
1978-09-16 @ Norwich City L 0-452.0 1763 1765 19.11% 32.59% 48.30%-0.39 -24.4 2
1978-09-16 Ipswich Town L 1-368.5 1756 1748 48.96% 32.51% 18.52%+0.42 -22.3 2
1978-09-16 @ Wolverhampton W 3-168.5 1748 1756 18.52% 32.51% 48.96%-0.42 +22.3 5
1978-09-23 Manchester United D 1-170.5 1881 1825 53.77% 31.74% 14.49%+0.66 -2.4 7
1978-09-23 @ Arsenal D 1-170.5 1825 1881 14.49% 31.74% 53.77%-0.66 +2.4 8
1978-09-23 Chelsea D 1-169.8 1739 1711 51.05% 32.23% 16.72%+0.52 -2.1 3
1978-09-23 @ Birmingham City D 1-169.8 1711 1739 16.72% 32.23% 51.05%-0.52 +2.1 4
1978-09-23 Norwich City W 3-269.1 1756 1790 44.33% 32.91% 22.76%+0.21 +7.0 6
1978-09-23 @ Bolton Wanderers L 2-369.1 1790 1756 22.76% 32.91% 44.33%-0.21 -7.0 7
1978-09-23 Leeds United D 0-065.8 1883 1820 54.35% 31.61% 14.03%+0.69 -2.8 10
1978-09-23 @ Coventry City D 0-065.8 1820 1883 14.03% 31.61% 54.35%-0.69 +2.8 6
1978-09-23 Southampton W 2-162.9 1777 1776 48.20% 32.60% 19.20%+0.38 +6.5 6
1978-09-23 @ Derby County L 1-262.9 1776 1777 19.20% 32.60% 48.20%-0.38 -6.5 6
1978-09-23 Wolverhampton W 2-049.4 1920 1734 63.88% 28.36% 7.76%+1.29 +5.7 12
1978-09-23 @ Everton L 0-249.4 1734 1920 7.76% 28.36% 63.88%-1.29 -5.7 2
1978-09-23 Bristol City L 0-165.2 1771 1795 45.34% 32.85% 21.81%+0.25 -12.8 5
1978-09-23 @ Ipswich Town W 1-065.2 1795 1771 21.81% 32.85% 45.34%-0.25 +12.8 9
1978-09-23 Tottenham W 2-050.8 1892 1771 59.17% 30.27% 10.56%+0.97 +7.8 9
1978-09-23 @ Manchester City L 0-250.8 1771 1892 10.56% 30.27% 59.17%-0.97 -7.8 6
1978-09-23 Middlesbrough D 2-277.5 1950 1752 64.70% 27.97% 7.34%+1.35 -2.8 8
1978-09-23 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-277.5 1752 1950 7.34% 27.97% 64.70%-1.35 +2.8 4
1978-09-23 Aston Villa W 1-062.2 1774 1898 32.31% 32.88% 34.80%-0.24 +10.4 6
1978-09-23 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-162.2 1898 1774 34.80% 32.88% 32.31%+0.24 -10.4 8
1978-09-23 Liverpool D 1-170.4 1865 2026 27.59% 32.54% 39.87%-0.42 +0.7 9
1978-09-23 @ West Brom D 1-170.4 2026 1865 39.87% 32.54% 27.59%+0.42 -0.7 13
1978-09-30 Nottingham Forest L 1-269.9 1888 1947 41.21% 33.03% 25.76%+0.09 -11.1 8
1978-09-30 @ Aston Villa W 2-169.9 1947 1888 25.76% 33.03% 41.21%-0.09 +11.1 10
1978-09-30 Everton D 2-276.0 1808 1925 33.38% 32.93% 33.69%-0.20 +0.0 10
1978-09-30 @ Bristol City D 2-276.0 1925 1808 33.69% 32.93% 33.38%+0.20 -0.0 13
1978-09-30 West Brom L 1-362.6 1713 1865 28.61% 32.63% 38.76%-0.38 -14.8 4
1978-09-30 @ Chelsea W 3-162.6 1865 1713 38.76% 32.63% 28.61%+0.38 +14.8 11
1978-09-30 Birmingham City W 3-049.8 1823 1737 56.37% 31.12% 12.50%+0.80 +13.2 8
1978-09-30 @ Leeds United L 0-349.8 1737 1823 12.50% 31.12% 56.37%-0.80 -13.2 3
1978-09-30 Bolton Wanderers W 3-046.3 2025 1763 68.78% 25.73% 5.49%+1.66 +5.7 15
1978-09-30 @ Liverpool L 0-346.3 1763 2025 5.49% 25.73% 68.78%-1.66 -5.7 6
1978-09-30 Manchester City W 1-060.1 1827 1900 39.47% 33.05% 27.48%+0.02 +8.9 10
1978-09-30 @ Manchester United L 0-160.1 1900 1827 27.48% 33.05% 39.47%-0.02 -8.9 9
1978-09-30 Arsenal L 2-372.1 1755 1879 32.40% 32.89% 34.71%-0.24 -8.9 4
1978-09-30 @ Middlesbrough W 3-272.1 1879 1755 34.71% 32.89% 32.40%+0.24 +8.9 9
1978-09-30 Derby County W 3-052.3 1783 1783 48.07% 32.61% 19.32%+0.37 +18.9 9
1978-09-30 @ Norwich City L 0-352.3 1783 1783 19.32% 32.61% 48.07%-0.37 -18.9 6
1978-09-30 Ipswich Town L 1-271.8 1769 1758 49.32% 32.47% 18.21%+0.43 -12.9 6
1978-09-30 @ Southampton W 2-171.8 1758 1769 18.21% 32.47% 49.32%-0.43 +12.9 7
1978-09-30 Coventry City D 1-170.1 1763 1881 33.36% 32.93% 33.71%-0.20 +0.0 7
1978-09-30 @ Tottenham D 1-170.1 1881 1763 33.71% 32.93% 33.36%+0.20 -0.0 11
1978-09-30 Queens Park Rangers W 1-059.1 1728 1784 41.60% 33.02% 25.39%+0.10 +8.4 4
1978-09-30 @ Wolverhampton L 0-159.1 1784 1728 25.39% 33.02% 41.60%-0.10 -8.4 6
1978-10-07 Aston Villa D 1-170.4 1888 1877 49.28% 32.47% 18.25%+0.43 -1.8 10
1978-10-07 @ Arsenal D 1-170.4 1877 1888 18.25% 32.47% 49.28%-0.43 +1.8 9
1978-10-07 Manchester City L 1-265.3 1724 1891 26.83% 32.46% 40.72%-0.45 -8.2 3
1978-10-07 @ Birmingham City W 2-165.3 1891 1724 40.72% 32.46% 26.83%+0.45 +8.2 11
1978-10-07 Leeds United W 3-162.7 1758 1836 38.63% 33.05% 28.31%-0.01 +14.8 8
1978-10-07 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-362.7 1836 1758 28.31% 33.05% 38.63%+0.01 -14.8 8
1978-10-07 Ipswich Town D 2-276.7 1881 1771 58.31% 30.56% 11.13%+0.92 -2.2 12
1978-10-07 @ Coventry City D 2-276.7 1771 1881 11.13% 30.56% 58.31%-0.92 +2.2 8
1978-10-07 Chelsea W 1-055.0 1764 1698 54.64% 31.55% 13.81%+0.70 +5.3 8
1978-10-07 @ Derby County L 0-155.0 1698 1764 13.81% 31.55% 54.64%-0.70 -5.3 4
1978-10-07 Southampton D 0-066.6 1925 1756 62.74% 28.88% 8.38%+1.21 -4.0 14
1978-10-07 @ Everton D 0-066.6 1756 1925 8.38% 28.88% 62.74%-1.21 +4.0 7
1978-10-07 Middlesbrough W 3-265.4 1836 1746 56.70% 31.03% 12.27%+0.82 +4.2 12
1978-10-07 @ Manchester United L 2-365.4 1746 1836 12.27% 31.03% 56.70%-0.82 -4.2 4
1978-10-07 Liverpool L 1-457.4 1802 2031 20.15% 31.38% 48.46%-0.75 -16.1 9
1978-10-07 @ Norwich City W 4-157.4 2031 1802 48.46% 31.38% 20.15%+0.75 +16.1 17
1978-10-07 Wolverhampton W 3-154.5 1958 1737 66.25% 27.17% 6.58%+1.47 +4.2 12
1978-10-07 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-354.5 1737 1958 6.58% 27.17% 66.25%-1.47 -4.2 4
1978-10-07 Bristol City W 1-058.4 1776 1808 44.44% 32.90% 22.66%+0.22 +7.8 8
1978-10-07 @ Queens Park Rangers L 0-158.4 1808 1776 22.66% 32.90% 44.44%-0.22 -7.8 10
1978-10-07 Tottenham L 0-168.6 1880 1763 58.87% 30.37% 10.75%+0.95 -16.1 11
1978-10-07 @ West Brom W 1-068.6 1763 1880 10.75% 30.37% 58.87%-0.95 +16.1 9
1978-10-14 Manchester United D 2-276.3 1879 1840 52.05% 32.07% 15.89%+0.57 -1.6 10
1978-10-14 @ Aston Villa D 2-276.3 1840 1879 15.89% 32.07% 52.05%-0.57 +1.6 13
1978-10-14 Nottingham Forest L 1-362.5 1800 1962 27.48% 32.52% 40.00%-0.42 -14.4 10
1978-10-14 @ Bristol City W 3-162.5 1962 1800 40.00% 32.52% 27.48%+0.42 +14.4 14
1978-10-14 Bolton Wanderers W 4-373.1 1693 1772 38.50% 33.05% 28.45%-0.02 +7.9 6
1978-10-14 @ Chelsea L 3-473.1 1772 1693 28.45% 33.05% 38.50%+0.02 -7.9 8
1978-10-14 Everton L 0-160.4 1773 1921 29.18% 32.68% 38.14%-0.35 -9.2 8
1978-10-14 @ Ipswich Town W 1-060.4 1921 1773 38.14% 32.68% 29.18%+0.35 +9.2 16
1978-10-14 West Brom L 1-367.3 1821 1864 43.22% 32.96% 23.82%+0.17 -20.0 8
1978-10-14 @ Leeds United W 3-167.3 1864 1821 23.82% 32.96% 43.22%-0.17 +20.0 13
1978-10-14 Derby County W 5-046.6 2047 1769 69.72% 25.16% 5.13%+1.74 +8.4 19
1978-10-14 @ Liverpool L 0-546.6 1769 2047 5.13% 25.16% 69.72%-1.74 -8.4 8
1978-10-14 Coventry City W 2-053.6 1899 1878 50.27% 32.34% 17.39%+0.48 +12.0 13
1978-10-14 @ Manchester City L 0-253.6 1878 1899 17.39% 32.34% 50.27%-0.48 -12.0 12
1978-10-14 Norwich City W 2-055.4 1742 1785 43.09% 32.97% 23.94%+0.16 +15.2 6
1978-10-14 @ Middlesbrough L 0-255.4 1785 1742 23.94% 32.97% 43.09%-0.16 -15.2 9
1978-10-14 Queens Park Rangers D 1-170.0 1760 1783 45.52% 32.83% 21.65%+0.26 -1.4 8
1978-10-14 @ Southampton D 1-170.0 1783 1760 21.65% 32.83% 45.52%-0.26 +1.4 9
1978-10-14 Birmingham City W 1-055.2 1779 1715 54.43% 31.60% 13.97%+0.69 +5.3 11
1978-10-14 @ Tottenham L 0-155.2 1715 1779 13.97% 31.60% 54.43%-0.69 -5.3 3
1978-10-14 Arsenal W 1-063.2 1733 1886 28.51% 32.62% 38.86%-0.38 +11.2 6
1978-10-14 @ Wolverhampton L 0-163.2 1886 1733 38.86% 32.62% 28.51%+0.38 -11.2 10
1978-10-21 Southampton W 1-054.2 1875 1759 58.80% 30.40% 10.80%+0.95 +4.2 12
1978-10-21 @ Arsenal L 0-154.2 1759 1875 10.80% 30.40% 58.80%-0.95 -4.2 8
1978-10-21 Aston Villa L 0-159.5 1710 1877 26.83% 32.46% 40.71%-0.45 -8.7 3
1978-10-21 @ Birmingham City W 1-059.5 1877 1710 40.71% 32.46% 26.83%+0.45 +8.7 12
1978-10-21 Manchester City D 2-276.0 1764 1911 29.41% 32.70% 37.89%-0.34 +0.3 9
1978-10-21 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-276.0 1911 1764 37.89% 32.70% 29.41%+0.34 -0.3 14
1978-10-21 Tottenham D 2-275.8 1761 1785 45.45% 32.84% 21.71%+0.26 -1.0 9
1978-10-21 @ Derby County D 2-275.8 1785 1761 21.71% 32.84% 45.45%-0.26 +1.0 12
1978-10-21 Chelsea W 2-046.4 2055 1701 74.13% 22.23% 3.64%+2.12 +2.4 21
1978-10-21 @ Liverpool L 0-246.4 1701 2055 3.64% 22.23% 74.13%-2.12 -2.4 6
1978-10-21 Bristol City L 1-370.0 1842 1786 53.70% 31.75% 14.55%+0.65 -24.2 13
1978-10-21 @ Manchester United W 3-170.0 1786 1842 14.55% 31.75% 53.70%-0.65 +24.2 12
1978-10-21 Wolverhampton W 2-053.4 1757 1744 49.51% 32.44% 18.05%+0.44 +12.3 8
1978-10-21 @ Middlesbrough L 0-253.4 1744 1757 18.05% 32.44% 49.51%-0.44 -12.3 6
1978-10-21 Leeds United D 2-275.8 1770 1801 44.58% 32.89% 22.52%+0.22 -0.9 10
1978-10-21 @ Norwich City D 2-275.8 1801 1770 22.52% 32.89% 44.58%-0.22 +0.9 9
1978-10-21 Ipswich Town W 1-052.2 1977 1764 65.70% 27.46% 6.84%+1.42 +2.7 16
1978-10-21 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-152.2 1764 1977 6.84% 27.46% 65.70%-1.42 -2.7 8
1978-10-21 Everton D 1-170.3 1785 1931 29.51% 32.70% 37.79%-0.34 +0.4 10
1978-10-21 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-170.3 1931 1785 37.79% 32.70% 29.51%+0.34 -0.5 17
1978-10-21 Coventry City W 7-154.8 1884 1866 49.99% 32.38% 17.63%+0.46 +27.8 15
1978-10-21 @ West Brom L 1-754.8 1866 1884 17.63% 32.38% 49.99%-0.46 -27.8 12
1978-10-27 Middlesbrough L 0-265.3 1886 1769 58.84% 30.38% 10.77%+0.95 -30.3 12
1978-10-27 @ Aston Villa W 2-065.3 1769 1886 10.77% 30.38% 58.84%-0.95 +30.3 10
1978-10-28 Arsenal L 1-366.3 1810 1879 39.92% 33.05% 27.03%+0.04 -18.8 12
1978-10-28 @ Bristol City W 3-166.3 1879 1810 27.03% 33.05% 39.92%-0.04 +18.8 14
1978-10-28 Norwich City D 3-379.3 1698 1769 39.63% 33.05% 27.32%+0.03 -0.4 7
1978-10-28 @ Chelsea D 3-379.3 1769 1698 27.32% 33.05% 39.63%-0.03 +0.4 11
1978-10-28 Birmingham City W 2-159.2 1839 1701 60.43% 29.82% 9.75%+1.05 +3.6 14
1978-10-28 @ Coventry City L 1-259.2 1701 1839 9.75% 29.82% 60.43%-1.05 -3.6 3
1978-10-28 Liverpool W 1-062.4 1930 2057 31.96% 32.87% 35.17%-0.25 +10.5 19
1978-10-28 @ Everton L 0-162.4 2057 1930 35.17% 32.87% 31.96%+0.25 -10.5 21
1978-10-28 Queens Park Rangers W 2-163.7 1761 1785 45.42% 32.84% 21.74%+0.26 +7.1 10
1978-10-28 @ Ipswich Town L 1-263.7 1785 1761 21.74% 32.84% 45.42%-0.26 -7.1 10
1978-10-28 Derby County W 4-050.8 1802 1760 52.43% 32.00% 15.57%+0.59 +20.8 11
1978-10-28 @ Leeds United L 0-450.8 1760 1802 15.57% 32.00% 52.43%-0.59 -20.8 9
1978-10-28 West Brom D 2-276.1 1911 1912 47.96% 32.62% 19.42%+0.37 -1.2 15
1978-10-28 @ Manchester City D 2-276.1 1912 1911 19.42% 32.62% 47.96%-0.37 +1.2 16
1978-10-28 Nottingham Forest D 0-065.9 1755 1979 20.57% 31.48% 47.95%-0.73 +1.8 9
1978-10-28 @ Southampton D 0-065.9 1979 1755 47.95% 31.48% 20.57%+0.73 -1.8 17
1978-10-28 Bolton Wanderers W 2-053.3 1786 1765 50.32% 32.34% 17.34%+0.48 +12.0 14
1978-10-28 @ Tottenham L 0-253.3 1765 1786 17.34% 32.34% 50.32%-0.48 -12.0 9
1978-10-28 Manchester United L 2-469.2 1732 1818 37.63% 33.05% 29.32%-0.05 -16.1 6
1978-10-28 @ Wolverhampton W 4-269.2 1818 1732 29.32% 33.05% 37.63%+0.05 +16.1 15
1978-11-04 Ipswich Town W 4-153.9 1898 1768 59.86% 30.03% 10.11%+1.01 +9.2 16
1978-11-04 @ Arsenal L 1-453.9 1768 1898 10.11% 30.03% 59.86%-1.01 -9.2 10
1978-11-04 Manchester City D 1-170.2 1855 1909 41.84% 33.01% 25.15%+0.11 -0.9 13
1978-11-04 @ Aston Villa D 1-170.2 1909 1855 25.15% 33.01% 41.84%-0.11 +0.9 16
1978-11-04 Coventry City D 0-065.3 1753 1842 37.20% 33.04% 29.75%-0.06 -0.4 10
1978-11-04 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-065.3 1842 1753 29.75% 33.04% 37.20%+0.06 +0.5 15
1978-11-04 Wolverhampton W 4-156.2 1739 1715 50.59% 32.30% 17.11%+0.49 +14.5 11
1978-11-04 @ Derby County L 1-456.2 1715 1739 17.11% 32.30% 50.59%-0.49 -14.5 6
1978-11-04 Leeds United D 1-172.0 2047 1823 66.41% 27.08% 6.51%+1.48 -4.0 22
1978-11-04 @ Liverpool D 1-172.0 1823 2047 6.51% 27.08% 66.41%-1.48 +4.0 12
1978-11-04 Southampton D 1-170.5 1834 1756 55.62% 31.32% 13.06%+0.76 -2.6 16
1978-11-04 @ Manchester United D 1-170.5 1756 1834 13.06% 31.32% 55.62%-0.76 +2.6 10
1978-11-04 Bristol City D 0-065.4 1800 1791 49.00% 32.51% 18.49%+0.42 -2.0 11
1978-11-04 @ Middlesbrough D 0-065.4 1791 1800 18.49% 32.51% 49.00%-0.42 +2.0 13
1978-11-04 Tottenham D 2-275.8 1770 1798 44.96% 32.87% 22.17%+0.24 -1.0 12
1978-11-04 @ Norwich City D 2-275.8 1798 1770 22.17% 32.87% 44.96%-0.24 +1.0 15
1978-11-04 Everton D 0-065.8 1977 1941 51.90% 32.09% 16.01%+0.56 -2.4 18
1978-11-04 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-065.8 1941 1977 16.01% 32.09% 51.90%-0.56 +2.4 20
1978-11-04 Chelsea D 0-065.5 1778 1698 55.88% 31.25% 12.87%+0.77 -3.0 11
1978-11-04 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-065.5 1698 1778 12.87% 31.25% 55.88%-0.77 +3.0 8
1978-11-04 Birmingham City W 1-052.0 1913 1698 65.86% 27.37% 6.76%+1.44 +2.6 18
1978-11-04 @ West Brom L 0-152.0 1698 1913 6.76% 27.37% 65.86%-1.44 -2.6 3
1978-11-11 Manchester United W 5-161.0 1695 1831 30.79% 32.80% 36.42%-0.29 +32.0 5
1978-11-11 @ Birmingham City L 1-561.0 1831 1695 36.42% 32.80% 30.79%+0.29 -32.0 16
1978-11-11 Bolton Wanderers W 4-156.0 1793 1752 52.30% 32.02% 15.68%+0.58 +13.5 15
1978-11-11 @ Bristol City L 1-456.0 1752 1793 15.68% 32.02% 52.30%-0.58 -13.5 10
1978-11-11 Middlesbrough W 2-161.7 1843 1798 52.68% 31.95% 15.37%+0.60 +5.4 17
1978-11-11 @ Coventry City L 1-261.7 1798 1843 15.37% 31.95% 52.68%-0.60 -5.4 11
1978-11-11 Chelsea W 3-262.3 1943 1701 67.58% 26.43% 5.99%+1.57 +2.0 22
1978-11-11 @ Everton L 2-362.3 1701 1943 5.99% 26.43% 67.58%-1.57 -2.0 8
1978-11-11 West Brom L 0-160.1 1759 1916 28.11% 32.58% 39.30%-0.40 -9.0 10
1978-11-11 @ Ipswich Town W 1-060.1 1916 1759 39.30% 32.58% 28.11%+0.40 +9.0 20
1978-11-11 Arsenal L 0-163.4 1827 1907 38.48% 33.05% 28.47%-0.02 -11.2 12
1978-11-11 @ Leeds United W 1-063.4 1907 1827 28.47% 33.05% 38.48%+0.02 +11.2 18
1978-11-11 Derby County L 1-274.9 1910 1754 61.85% 29.26% 8.89%+1.15 -15.8 16
1978-11-11 @ Manchester City W 2-174.9 1754 1910 8.89% 29.26% 61.85%-1.15 +15.8 13
1978-11-11 Liverpool L 1-358.7 1775 2043 16.79% 30.47% 52.74%-0.94 -9.8 11
1978-11-11 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-158.7 2043 1775 52.74% 30.47% 16.79%+0.94 +9.8 24
1978-11-11 Norwich City D 2-275.8 1759 1769 47.05% 32.71% 20.24%+0.33 -1.2 11
1978-11-11 @ Southampton D 2-275.8 1769 1759 20.24% 32.71% 47.05%-0.33 +1.2 13
1978-11-11 Nottingham Forest L 1-361.9 1799 1975 25.72% 32.33% 41.95%-0.49 -13.7 15
1978-11-11 @ Tottenham W 3-161.9 1975 1799 41.95% 32.33% 25.72%+0.49 +13.7 20
1978-11-11 Aston Villa L 0-454.9 1701 1855 28.49% 32.62% 38.89%-0.38 -32.4 6
1978-11-11 @ Wolverhampton W 4-054.9 1855 1701 38.89% 32.62% 28.49%+0.38 +32.4 15
1978-11-18 Everton D 2-276.1 1918 1945 45.10% 32.86% 22.04%+0.24 -1.0 19
1978-11-18 @ Arsenal D 2-276.1 1945 1918 22.04% 32.86% 45.10%-0.24 +1.0 23
1978-11-18 Bristol City W 2-051.8 1887 1807 55.85% 31.26% 12.89%+0.77 +9.3 17
1978-11-18 @ Aston Villa L 0-251.8 1807 1887 12.89% 31.26% 55.85%-0.77 -9.4 15
1978-11-18 West Brom L 0-158.9 1739 1925 24.62% 32.18% 43.20%-0.54 -8.1 10
1978-11-18 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-058.9 1925 1739 43.20% 32.18% 24.62%+0.54 +8.1 22
1978-11-18 Tottenham L 1-365.2 1699 1785 37.63% 33.05% 29.33%-0.05 -18.0 8
1978-11-18 @ Chelsea W 3-165.2 1785 1699 29.33% 33.05% 37.63%+0.05 +18.0 17
1978-11-18 Birmingham City W 2-161.5 1769 1727 52.42% 32.00% 15.58%+0.58 +5.5 15
1978-11-18 @ Derby County L 1-261.5 1727 1769 15.58% 32.00% 52.42%-0.58 -5.5 5
1978-11-18 Manchester City W 1-053.4 2053 1894 61.99% 29.21% 8.81%+1.16 +3.5 26
1978-11-18 @ Liverpool L 0-153.4 1894 2053 8.81% 29.21% 61.99%-1.16 -3.5 16
1978-11-18 Ipswich Town W 2-052.5 1799 1750 53.06% 31.88% 15.06%+0.62 +10.7 18
1978-11-18 @ Manchester United L 0-252.5 1750 1799 15.06% 31.88% 53.06%-0.62 -10.7 10
1978-11-18 Southampton W 2-052.9 1792 1758 51.65% 32.13% 16.22%+0.55 +11.3 13
1978-11-18 @ Middlesbrough L 0-252.9 1758 1792 16.22% 32.13% 51.65%-0.55 -11.3 11
1978-11-18 Coventry City W 1-060.2 1770 1848 38.71% 33.05% 28.24%-0.01 +9.0 15
1978-11-18 @ Norwich City L 0-160.2 1848 1770 28.24% 33.05% 38.71%+0.01 -9.0 17
1978-11-18 Queens Park Rangers D 0-067.2 1989 1765 66.38% 27.09% 6.52%+1.48 -4.4 21
1978-11-18 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-067.2 1765 1989 6.52% 27.09% 66.38%-1.48 +4.4 12
1978-11-18 Leeds United D 1-169.8 1669 1816 29.29% 32.69% 38.03%-0.35 +0.5 7
1978-11-18 @ Wolverhampton D 1-169.8 1816 1669 38.03% 32.69% 29.29%+0.35 -0.5 13
1978-11-21 Bolton Wanderers W 3-052.2 1722 1731 47.13% 32.70% 20.17%+0.33 +19.5 7
1978-11-21 @ Birmingham City L 0-352.2 1731 1722 20.17% 32.70% 47.13%-0.33 -19.5 10
1978-11-21 Wolverhampton L 0-168.4 1798 1669 59.78% 30.06% 10.16%+1.01 -16.3 15
1978-11-21 @ Bristol City W 1-068.4 1669 1798 10.16% 30.06% 59.78%-1.01 +16.3 9
1978-11-21 Derby County W 4-261.8 1839 1775 54.44% 31.59% 13.96%+0.69 +7.8 19
1978-11-21 @ Coventry City L 2-461.8 1775 1839 13.96% 31.59% 54.44%-0.69 -7.8 15
1978-11-21 Manchester United W 3-048.8 1946 1810 60.35% 29.85% 9.79%+1.05 +10.5 25
1978-11-21 @ Everton L 0-348.8 1810 1946 9.79% 29.85% 60.35%-1.05 -10.6 18
1978-11-21 Middlesbrough W 2-165.2 1739 1804 40.54% 33.04% 26.42%+0.06 +8.1 12
1978-11-21 @ Ipswich Town L 1-265.2 1804 1739 26.42% 33.04% 40.54%-0.06 -8.1 13
1978-11-21 Aston Villa W 2-059.9 1747 1896 28.99% 32.66% 38.35%-0.36 +21.0 13
1978-11-21 @ Southampton L 0-259.9 1896 1747 38.35% 32.66% 28.99%+0.36 -21.0 17
1978-11-22 Chelsea W 2-159.1 1815 1681 60.25% 29.89% 9.86%+1.04 +3.6 15
1978-11-22 @ Leeds United L 1-259.1 1681 1815 9.86% 29.89% 60.25%-1.04 -3.7 8
1978-11-22 Liverpool D 0-066.2 1803 2056 17.98% 30.83% 51.19%-0.87 +2.2 18
1978-11-22 @ Tottenham D 0-066.2 2056 1803 51.19% 30.83% 17.98%+0.87 -2.2 27
1978-11-25 Bristol City D 1-169.9 1741 1781 43.54% 32.95% 23.52%+0.18 -1.1 8
1978-11-25 @ Birmingham City D 1-169.9 1781 1741 23.52% 32.95% 43.54%-0.18 +1.1 16
1978-11-25 Nottingham Forest L 0-155.9 1711 1984 16.37% 30.33% 53.30%-0.97 -5.9 10
1978-11-25 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-055.9 1984 1711 53.30% 30.33% 16.37%+0.97 +5.9 23
1978-11-25 Manchester United L 0-161.1 1677 1799 32.65% 32.90% 34.45%-0.23 -10.0 8
1978-11-25 @ Chelsea W 1-061.1 1799 1677 34.45% 32.90% 32.65%+0.23 +10.0 20
1978-11-25 Arsenal D 1-170.2 1847 1917 39.72% 33.05% 27.23%+0.03 -0.7 20
1978-11-25 @ Coventry City D 1-170.2 1917 1847 27.23% 33.05% 39.72%-0.03 +0.7 20
1978-11-25 Queens Park Rangers W 2-163.0 1767 1770 47.83% 32.64% 19.53%+0.36 +6.6 17
1978-11-25 @ Derby County L 1-263.0 1770 1767 19.53% 32.64% 47.83%-0.36 -6.5 12
1978-11-25 Southampton W 4-050.6 1819 1768 53.29% 31.84% 14.87%+0.63 +20.1 17
1978-11-25 @ Leeds United L 0-450.6 1768 1819 14.87% 31.84% 53.29%-0.63 -20.0 13
1978-11-25 Middlesbrough W 2-048.1 2054 1795 68.59% 25.84% 5.57%+1.65 +4.0 29
1978-11-25 @ Liverpool L 0-248.1 1795 2054 5.57% 25.84% 68.59%-1.65 -4.0 13
1978-11-25 Ipswich Town L 1-274.7 1891 1748 60.88% 29.65% 9.47%+1.08 -15.6 16
1978-11-25 @ Manchester City W 2-174.7 1748 1891 9.47% 29.65% 60.88%-1.08 +15.6 14
1978-11-25 Everton L 0-159.3 1779 1957 25.57% 32.31% 42.12%-0.50 -8.4 15
1978-11-25 @ Norwich City W 1-059.3 1957 1779 42.12% 32.31% 25.57%+0.50 +8.4 27
1978-11-25 Wolverhampton W 1-053.8 1805 1685 59.11% 30.30% 10.60%+0.97 +4.2 20
1978-11-25 @ Tottenham L 0-153.8 1685 1805 10.60% 30.30% 59.11%-0.97 -4.2 9
1978-11-25 Aston Villa D 1-170.6 1933 1875 53.85% 31.72% 14.43%+0.66 -2.4 23
1978-11-25 @ West Brom D 1-170.6 1875 1933 14.43% 31.72% 53.85%-0.66 +2.4 18
1978-12-02 Liverpool W 1-062.9 1918 2058 30.25% 32.76% 36.99%-0.31 +10.8 22
1978-12-02 @ Arsenal L 0-162.9 2058 1918 36.99% 32.76% 30.25%+0.31 -10.8 29
1978-12-02 Derby County W 1-057.0 1782 1774 49.03% 32.50% 18.47%+0.42 +6.7 18
1978-12-02 @ Bristol City L 0-157.0 1774 1782 18.47% 32.50% 49.03%-0.42 -6.7 17
1978-12-02 Leeds United L 2-374.1 1763 1839 39.01% 33.05% 27.94%+0.00 -10.1 14
1978-12-02 @ Ipswich Town W 3-274.1 1839 1763 27.94% 33.05% 39.01%+0.00 +10.1 19
1978-12-02 Bolton Wanderers L 1-369.6 1763 1705 53.88% 31.72% 14.40%+0.66 -24.2 12
1978-12-02 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-169.6 1705 1763 14.40% 31.72% 53.88%-0.66 +24.2 12
1978-12-02 Birmingham City W 1-056.8 1748 1740 48.91% 32.52% 18.57%+0.41 +6.7 15
1978-12-02 @ Southampton L 0-156.8 1740 1748 18.57% 32.52% 48.91%-0.41 -6.7 8
1978-12-09 Everton L 1-359.8 1733 1965 19.91% 31.33% 48.76%-0.76 -11.3 8
1978-12-09 @ Birmingham City W 3-159.8 1965 1733 48.76% 31.33% 19.91%+0.76 +11.3 29
1978-12-09 Wolverhampton W 3-157.7 1730 1681 53.00% 31.89% 15.11%+0.61 +9.3 14
1978-12-09 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-357.7 1681 1730 15.11% 31.89% 53.00%-0.61 -9.3 9
1978-12-09 Aston Villa L 0-157.8 1667 1878 21.95% 31.75% 46.29%-0.66 -7.5 8
1978-12-09 @ Chelsea W 1-057.8 1878 1667 46.29% 31.75% 21.95%+0.66 +7.5 20
1978-12-09 Queens Park Rangers W 1-054.3 1846 1739 58.10% 30.62% 11.28%+0.90 +4.4 22
1978-12-09 @ Coventry City L 0-154.3 1739 1846 11.28% 30.62% 58.10%-0.90 -4.4 12
1978-12-09 Manchester United L 1-367.1 1767 1809 43.27% 32.96% 23.77%+0.17 -20.1 17
1978-12-09 @ Derby County W 3-167.1 1809 1767 23.77% 32.96% 43.27%-0.17 +20.0 22
1978-12-09 Bristol City D 1-170.5 1849 1789 54.10% 31.67% 14.23%+0.67 -2.5 20
1978-12-09 @ Leeds United D 1-170.5 1789 1849 14.23% 31.67% 54.10%-0.67 +2.5 19
1978-12-09 Nottingham Forest W 2-052.6 2047 1990 53.79% 31.73% 14.47%+0.66 +10.3 31
1978-12-09 @ Liverpool L 0-252.6 1990 2047 14.47% 31.73% 53.79%-0.66 -10.3 23
1978-12-09 Southampton L 1-274.3 1875 1754 59.20% 30.26% 10.54%+0.97 -15.2 16
1978-12-09 @ Manchester City W 2-174.3 1754 1875 10.54% 30.26% 59.20%-0.97 +15.2 17
1978-12-09 Arsenal D 0-065.6 1771 1929 27.91% 32.57% 39.52%-0.40 +0.7 16
1978-12-09 @ Norwich City D 0-065.6 1929 1771 39.52% 32.57% 27.91%+0.40 -0.7 23
1978-12-09 Ipswich Town W 1-055.6 1809 1753 53.72% 31.75% 14.53%+0.65 +5.5 22
1978-12-09 @ Tottenham L 0-155.6 1753 1809 14.53% 31.75% 53.72%-0.65 -5.5 14
1978-12-09 Middlesbrough W 2-050.5 1930 1791 60.57% 29.77% 9.66%+1.06 +7.2 25
1978-12-09 @ West Brom L 0-250.5 1791 1930 9.66% 29.77% 60.57%-1.06 -7.2 13
1978-12-16 Derby County W 2-049.5 1928 1747 63.57% 28.51% 7.92%+1.27 +5.9 25
1978-12-16 @ Arsenal L 0-249.5 1747 1928 7.92% 28.51% 63.57%-1.27 -5.9 17
1978-12-16 Norwich City D 1-170.9 1885 1771 58.64% 30.45% 10.91%+0.94 -3.0 21
1978-12-16 @ Aston Villa D 1-170.9 1771 1885 10.91% 30.45% 58.64%-0.94 +3.0 17
1978-12-16 Liverpool W 1-066.9 1791 2057 16.93% 30.52% 52.55%-0.93 +14.3 21
1978-12-16 @ Bristol City L 0-166.9 2057 1791 52.55% 30.52% 16.93%+0.93 -14.3 31
1978-12-16 Leeds United D 1-171.1 1976 1847 59.84% 30.04% 10.12%+1.01 -3.2 30
1978-12-16 @ Everton D 1-171.1 1847 1976 10.12% 30.04% 59.84%-1.01 +3.2 21
1978-12-16 Bolton Wanderers W 3-051.7 1748 1739 49.05% 32.50% 18.45%+0.42 +18.2 16
1978-12-16 @ Ipswich Town L 0-351.7 1739 1748 18.45% 32.50% 49.05%-0.42 -18.2 14
1978-12-16 Tottenham W 2-053.7 1829 1815 49.65% 32.43% 17.92%+0.45 +12.3 24
1978-12-16 @ Manchester United L 0-253.7 1815 1829 17.92% 32.43% 49.65%-0.45 -12.3 22
1978-12-16 Chelsea W 7-252.4 1784 1660 59.48% 30.17% 10.35%+0.99 +12.4 15
1978-12-16 @ Middlesbrough L 2-752.4 1660 1784 10.35% 30.17% 59.48%-0.99 -12.4 8
1978-12-16 Birmingham City W 1-051.3 1980 1722 68.54% 25.87% 5.59%+1.65 +2.1 25
1978-12-16 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-151.3 1722 1980 5.59% 25.87% 68.54%-1.65 -2.1 8
1978-12-16 Manchester City W 2-167.8 1735 1860 32.23% 32.88% 34.89%-0.24 +9.8 14
1978-12-16 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-267.8 1860 1735 34.89% 32.88% 32.23%+0.24 -9.8 16
1978-12-16 Coventry City W 4-055.1 1769 1851 38.33% 33.05% 28.62%-0.02 +32.7 19
1978-12-16 @ Southampton L 0-455.1 1851 1769 28.62% 33.05% 38.33%+0.02 -32.7 22
1978-12-16 West Brom L 0-351.0 1672 1938 16.95% 30.52% 52.52%-0.93 -16.5 9
1978-12-16 @ Wolverhampton W 3-051.0 1938 1672 52.52% 30.52% 16.95%+0.93 +16.5 27
1978-12-22 Manchester United W 3-056.8 1721 1842 32.84% 32.91% 34.25%-0.22 +28.2 16
1978-12-22 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-356.8 1842 1721 34.25% 32.91% 32.84%+0.22 -28.2 24
1978-12-23 Bristol City D 0-065.0 1647 1806 27.87% 32.56% 39.56%-0.40 +0.7 9
1978-12-23 @ Chelsea D 0-065.0 1806 1647 39.56% 32.56% 27.87%+0.40 -0.7 22
1978-12-23 Everton W 3-274.2 1818 1973 28.30% 32.60% 39.10%-0.39 +10.1 24
1978-12-23 @ Coventry City L 2-374.2 1973 1818 39.10% 32.60% 28.30%+0.39 -10.1 30
1978-12-23 Aston Villa D 0-065.4 1741 1882 30.13% 32.75% 37.12%-0.32 +0.4 18
1978-12-23 @ Derby County D 0-065.4 1882 1741 37.12% 32.75% 30.13%+0.32 -0.4 22
1978-12-23 Middlesbrough W 3-158.3 1850 1797 53.46% 31.80% 14.74%+0.64 +9.1 23
1978-12-23 @ Leeds United L 1-358.3 1797 1850 14.74% 31.80% 53.46%-0.64 -9.1 15
1978-12-23 Nottingham Forest D 0-065.5 1850 1982 31.35% 32.83% 35.82%-0.27 +0.3 17
1978-12-23 @ Manchester City D 0-065.5 1982 1850 35.82% 32.83% 31.35%+0.27 -0.3 26
1978-12-23 Arsenal L 0-556.7 1803 1934 31.41% 32.83% 35.76%-0.27 -42.8 22
1978-12-23 @ Tottenham W 5-056.7 1934 1803 35.76% 32.83% 31.41%+0.27 +42.8 27
1978-12-26 West Brom L 1-272.5 1977 1954 50.48% 32.31% 17.21%+0.49 -13.2 27
1978-12-26 @ Arsenal W 2-172.5 1954 1977 17.21% 32.31% 50.48%-0.49 +13.2 29
1978-12-26 Leeds United D 2-276.2 1882 1859 50.48% 32.31% 17.21%+0.49 -1.5 23
1978-12-26 @ Aston Villa D 2-276.2 1859 1882 17.21% 32.31% 50.48%-0.49 +1.5 24
1978-12-26 Coventry City W 5-053.7 1805 1828 45.55% 32.83% 21.62%+0.26 +33.0 24
1978-12-26 @ Bristol City L 0-553.7 1828 1805 21.62% 32.83% 45.55%-0.26 -33.0 24
1978-12-26 Manchester City W 1-054.4 1963 1850 58.53% 30.49% 10.98%+0.93 +4.3 32
1978-12-26 @ Everton L 0-154.4 1850 1963 10.98% 30.49% 58.53%-0.93 -4.3 17
1978-12-26 Norwich City D 1-170.0 1766 1774 47.18% 32.70% 20.12%+0.33 -1.6 17
1978-12-26 @ Ipswich Town D 1-170.0 1774 1766 20.12% 32.70% 47.18%-0.33 +1.6 18
1978-12-26 Liverpool L 0-352.4 1813 2043 20.08% 31.37% 48.55%-0.76 -19.0 24
1978-12-26 @ Manchester United W 3-052.4 2043 1813 48.55% 31.37% 20.08%+0.76 +19.0 33
1978-12-26 Bolton Wanderers D 1-170.2 1788 1749 52.08% 32.06% 15.86%+0.57 -2.2 16
1978-12-26 @ Middlesbrough D 1-170.2 1749 1788 15.86% 32.06% 52.08%-0.57 +2.2 17
1978-12-26 Derby County D 1-172.1 1982 1742 67.45% 26.51% 6.05%+1.56 -4.0 27
1978-12-26 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-172.1 1742 1982 6.05% 26.51% 67.45%-1.56 +4.1 19
1978-12-26 Tottenham D 2-275.7 1744 1760 46.42% 32.76% 20.82%+0.30 -1.1 15
1978-12-26 @ Queens Park Rangers D 2-275.7 1760 1744 20.82% 32.76% 46.42%-0.30 +1.1 23
1978-12-26 Chelsea D 0-066.0 1802 1648 61.69% 29.33% 8.98%+1.14 -3.8 20
1978-12-26 @ Southampton D 0-066.0 1648 1802 8.98% 29.33% 61.69%-1.14 +3.8 10
1978-12-26 Birmingham City W 2-164.4 1655 1720 40.47% 33.04% 26.49%+0.06 +8.2 11
1978-12-26 @ Wolverhampton L 1-264.4 1720 1655 26.49% 33.04% 40.47%-0.06 -8.2 8
1978-12-30 Birmingham City W 3-153.9 1964 1712 68.17% 26.09% 5.74%+1.62 +3.6 29
1978-12-30 @ Arsenal L 1-353.9 1712 1964 5.74% 26.09% 68.17%-1.62 -3.6 8
1978-12-30 Manchester City D 1-170.2 1838 1846 47.23% 32.69% 20.08%+0.34 -1.6 25
1978-12-30 @ Bristol City D 1-170.2 1846 1838 20.08% 32.69% 47.23%-0.34 +1.6 18
1978-12-30 Tottenham D 1-171.8 1967 1761 65.28% 27.68% 7.05%+1.39 -3.8 33
1978-12-30 @ Everton D 1-171.8 1761 1967 7.05% 27.68% 65.28%-1.39 +3.8 24
1978-12-30 Chelsea W 5-152.2 1764 1652 58.53% 30.49% 10.98%+0.93 +12.8 19
1978-12-30 @ Ipswich Town L 1-552.2 1652 1764 10.98% 30.49% 58.53%-0.93 -12.8 10
1978-12-30 West Brom L 3-567.3 1794 1967 26.12% 32.38% 41.50%-0.48 -11.7 24
1978-12-30 @ Manchester United W 5-367.3 1967 1794 41.50% 32.38% 26.12%+0.48 +11.7 31
1978-12-30 Leeds United L 1-461.7 1743 1861 33.36% 32.93% 33.71%-0.20 -23.4 15
1978-12-30 @ Queens Park Rangers W 4-161.7 1861 1743 33.71% 32.93% 33.36%+0.20 +23.4 26
1978-12-30 Coventry City D 1-169.7 1664 1795 31.41% 32.83% 35.75%-0.27 +0.2 12
1978-12-30 @ Wolverhampton D 1-169.7 1795 1664 35.75% 32.83% 31.41%+0.27 -0.2 25
1979-01-01 Bristol City W 3-156.2 1979 1836 60.83% 29.67% 9.50%+1.08 +6.1 33
1979-01-01 @ West Brom L 1-356.2 1836 1979 9.50% 29.67% 60.83%-1.08 -6.1 25
1979-01-13 Nottingham Forest W 2-163.6 1967 1978 46.95% 32.72% 20.33%+0.32 +6.8 31
1979-01-13 @ Arsenal L 1-263.6 1978 1967 20.33% 32.72% 46.95%-0.32 -6.8 27
1979-01-13 Tottenham D 0-065.7 1830 1765 54.59% 31.56% 13.85%+0.70 -2.8 26
1979-01-13 @ Bristol City D 0-065.7 1765 1830 13.85% 31.56% 54.59%-0.70 +2.8 25
1979-01-13 Manchester City D 1-170.4 1884 1848 51.83% 32.10% 16.06%+0.55 -2.2 27
1979-01-13 @ Leeds United D 1-170.4 1848 1884 16.06% 32.10% 51.83%-0.55 +2.2 19
1979-01-13 West Brom D 1-170.6 1776 1985 22.10% 31.78% 46.12%-0.65 +1.4 19
1979-01-13 @ Norwich City D 1-170.6 1985 1776 46.12% 31.78% 22.10%+0.65 -1.4 34
1979-01-17 Southampton W 2-058.8 1664 1798 30.98% 32.81% 36.21%-0.29 +20.2 14
1979-01-17 @ Wolverhampton L 0-258.8 1798 1664 36.21% 32.81% 30.98%+0.29 -20.2 20
1979-01-20 Wolverhampton W 3-156.8 1777 1684 56.96% 30.96% 12.08%+0.84 +7.7 21
1979-01-20 @ Ipswich Town L 1-356.8 1684 1777 12.08% 30.96% 56.96%-0.84 -7.7 14
1979-01-20 Chelsea L 2-380.1 1850 1639 65.58% 27.52% 6.90%+1.42 -15.8 19
1979-01-20 @ Manchester City W 3-280.1 1639 1850 6.90% 27.52% 65.58%-1.42 +15.8 12
1979-01-20 Middlesbrough D 1-169.8 1720 1785 40.37% 33.04% 26.59%+0.05 -0.8 16
1979-01-20 @ Queens Park Rangers D 1-169.8 1785 1720 26.59% 33.04% 40.37%-0.05 +0.8 17
1979-01-20 Leeds United L 1-267.5 1767 1882 33.78% 32.95% 33.27%-0.19 -9.6 25
1979-01-20 @ Tottenham W 2-167.5 1882 1767 33.27% 32.95% 33.78%+0.19 +9.6 29
1979-01-31 Queens Park Rangers D 1-170.2 1777 1719 53.90% 31.71% 14.39%+0.66 -2.4 20
1979-01-31 @ Norwich City D 1-170.2 1719 1777 14.39% 31.71% 53.90%-0.66 +2.4 17
1979-01-31 Aston Villa D 1-170.8 1963 1880 56.11% 31.19% 12.70%+0.79 -2.7 34
1979-01-31 @ Everton D 1-170.8 1880 1963 12.70% 31.19% 56.11%-0.79 +2.7 24
1979-02-03 Ipswich Town W 3-158.6 1828 1785 52.47% 31.99% 15.54%+0.59 +9.5 28
1979-02-03 @ Bristol City L 1-358.6 1785 1828 15.54% 31.99% 52.47%-0.59 -9.5 21
1979-02-03 Birmingham City W 2-163.9 1655 1708 41.86% 33.01% 25.13%+0.11 +7.9 14
1979-02-03 @ Chelsea L 1-263.9 1708 1655 25.13% 33.01% 41.86%-0.11 -7.9 8
1979-02-03 Coventry City W 1-054.7 1891 1795 57.26% 30.88% 11.87%+0.85 +4.6 31
1979-02-03 @ Leeds United L 0-154.7 1795 1891 11.87% 30.88% 57.26%-0.85 -4.6 25
1979-02-03 West Brom W 2-160.9 2062 1984 55.70% 31.30% 13.00%+0.76 +4.7 35
1979-02-03 @ Liverpool L 1-260.9 1984 2062 13.00% 31.30% 55.70%-0.76 -4.7 34
1979-02-03 Arsenal L 0-255.5 1783 1974 24.03% 32.10% 43.87%-0.57 -15.1 24
1979-02-03 @ Manchester United W 2-055.5 1974 1783 43.87% 32.10% 24.03%+0.57 +15.1 33
1979-02-03 Nottingham Forest L 1-361.5 1786 1971 24.75% 32.20% 43.05%-0.53 -13.3 17
1979-02-03 @ Middlesbrough W 3-161.5 1971 1786 43.05% 32.20% 24.75%+0.53 +13.3 29
1979-02-03 Bolton Wanderers D 0-065.4 1775 1751 50.60% 32.30% 17.10%+0.49 -2.2 21
1979-02-03 @ Norwich City D 0-065.4 1751 1775 17.10% 32.30% 50.60%-0.49 +2.2 18
1979-02-03 Derby County L 1-272.4 1778 1746 51.47% 32.16% 16.37%+0.54 -13.4 20
1979-02-03 @ Southampton W 2-172.4 1746 1778 16.37% 32.16% 51.47%-0.54 +13.4 21
1979-02-03 Manchester City L 0-358.3 1758 1834 38.96% 33.05% 27.98%+0.00 -31.0 25
1979-02-03 @ Tottenham W 3-058.3 1834 1758 27.98% 33.05% 38.96%+0.00 +31.0 21
1979-02-03 Everton W 1-067.2 1676 1961 15.53% 30.03% 54.44%-1.02 +14.7 16
1979-02-03 @ Wolverhampton L 0-167.2 1961 1676 54.44% 30.03% 15.53%+1.02 -14.7 34
1979-02-10 Middlesbrough D 0-067.2 1989 1773 65.92% 27.34% 6.74%+1.44 -4.4 34
1979-02-10 @ Arsenal D 0-067.2 1773 1989 6.74% 27.34% 65.92%-1.44 +4.4 18
1979-02-10 Leeds United L 0-158.4 1700 1896 23.55% 32.02% 44.43%-0.59 -7.9 8
1979-02-10 @ Birmingham City W 1-058.4 1896 1700 44.43% 32.02% 23.55%+0.59 +7.9 33
1979-02-10 Tottenham L 1-369.9 1790 1727 54.36% 31.61% 14.03%+0.69 -24.4 25
1979-02-10 @ Coventry City W 3-169.9 1727 1790 14.03% 31.61% 54.36%-0.69 +24.4 27
1979-02-10 Norwich City D 1-170.0 1759 1773 46.62% 32.75% 20.63%+0.31 -1.5 22
1979-02-10 @ Derby County D 1-170.0 1773 1759 20.63% 32.75% 46.62%-0.31 +1.5 22
1979-02-10 Bristol City W 4-154.5 1946 1837 58.24% 30.58% 11.18%+0.91 +10.1 36
1979-02-10 @ Everton L 1-454.5 1837 1946 11.18% 30.58% 58.24%-0.91 -10.1 28
1979-02-10 Southampton D 0-065.3 1775 1765 49.23% 32.48% 18.29%+0.43 -2.0 22
1979-02-10 @ Ipswich Town D 0-065.3 1765 1775 18.29% 32.48% 49.23%-0.43 +2.0 21
1979-02-10 Manchester United L 0-363.2 1865 1768 57.32% 30.86% 11.82%+0.86 -43.0 21
1979-02-10 @ Manchester City W 3-063.2 1768 1865 11.82% 30.86% 57.32%-0.86 +43.0 26
1979-02-10 Wolverhampton D 3-379.2 1722 1691 51.28% 32.19% 16.52%+0.53 -1.3 18
1979-02-10 @ Queens Park Rangers D 3-379.2 1691 1722 16.52% 32.19% 51.28%-0.53 +1.3 17
1979-02-13 Arsenal L 1-261.9 1720 1985 17.07% 30.56% 52.36%-0.93 -5.7 18
1979-02-13 @ Queens Park Rangers W 2-161.9 1985 1720 52.36% 30.56% 17.07%+0.93 +5.7 36
1979-02-13 Birmingham City W 1-049.4 2067 1693 75.20% 21.47% 3.34%+2.22 +1.1 37
1979-02-13 @ Liverpool L 0-149.4 1693 2067 3.34% 21.47% 75.20%-2.22 -1.1 8
1979-02-17 Everton W 3-059.6 1767 1956 24.25% 32.13% 43.62%-0.56 +33.6 23
1979-02-17 @ Southampton L 0-359.6 1956 1767 43.62% 32.13% 24.25%+0.56 -33.6 36
1979-02-20 Bristol City W 2-055.0 1800 1827 45.12% 32.86% 22.02%+0.25 +14.3 25
1979-02-20 @ Southampton L 0-255.0 1827 1800 22.02% 32.86% 45.12%-0.25 -14.3 28
1979-02-21 Coventry City L 1-364.3 1663 1766 35.34% 33.00% 31.65%-0.13 -17.2 14
1979-02-21 @ Chelsea W 3-164.3 1766 1663 31.65% 33.00% 35.34%+0.13 +17.2 27
1979-02-21 Norwich City W 6-047.1 2068 1774 70.71% 24.53% 4.76%+1.82 +9.2 39
1979-02-21 @ Liverpool L 0-647.1 1774 2068 4.76% 24.53% 70.71%-1.82 -9.2 22
1979-02-24 Wolverhampton L 0-170.5 1990 1692 70.95% 24.38% 4.67%+1.84 -18.6 36
1979-02-24 @ Arsenal W 1-070.5 1692 1990 4.67% 24.38% 70.95%-1.84 +18.6 19
1979-02-24 Tottenham W 1-059.0 1691 1751 41.07% 33.03% 25.90%+0.08 +8.5 10
1979-02-24 @ Birmingham City L 0-159.0 1751 1691 25.90% 33.03% 41.07%-0.08 -8.5 27
1979-02-24 Chelsea W 2-159.3 1753 1645 58.16% 30.60% 11.23%+0.91 +4.1 20
1979-02-24 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-259.3 1645 1753 11.23% 30.60% 58.16%-0.91 -4.1 14
1979-02-24 Manchester City L 0-359.7 1783 1822 43.62% 32.94% 23.43%+0.18 -33.9 27
1979-02-24 @ Coventry City W 3-059.7 1822 1783 23.43% 32.94% 43.62%-0.18 +33.9 23
1979-02-24 Liverpool L 0-251.3 1758 2077 13.17% 29.01% 57.82%-1.20 -9.1 22
1979-02-24 @ Derby County W 2-051.3 2077 1758 57.82% 29.01% 13.17%+1.20 +9.1 41
1979-02-24 Ipswich Town L 0-169.1 1922 1773 61.32% 29.48% 9.20%+1.11 -16.7 36
1979-02-24 @ Everton W 1-069.1 1773 1922 9.20% 29.48% 61.32%-1.11 +16.7 24
1979-02-24 Aston Villa D 1-170.1 1811 1883 39.47% 33.05% 27.48%+0.02 -0.7 27
1979-02-24 @ Manchester United D 1-170.1 1883 1811 27.48% 33.05% 39.47%-0.02 +0.6 25
1979-02-24 Middlesbrough W 1-057.6 1765 1777 46.76% 32.74% 20.50%+0.32 +7.2 24
1979-02-24 @ Norwich City L 0-157.6 1777 1765 20.50% 32.74% 46.76%-0.32 -7.2 18
1979-02-24 Bristol City W 2-049.8 1984 1813 62.92% 28.80% 8.28%+1.22 +6.1 31
1979-02-24 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-249.8 1813 1984 8.28% 28.80% 62.92%-1.22 -6.1 28
1979-02-24 Southampton L 0-162.2 1715 1815 35.76% 33.01% 31.23%-0.12 -10.6 18
1979-02-24 @ Queens Park Rangers W 1-062.2 1815 1715 31.23% 33.01% 35.76%+0.12 +10.6 27
1979-02-24 Leeds United L 1-273.7 1979 1904 55.43% 31.36% 13.21%+0.75 -14.4 34
1979-02-24 @ West Brom W 2-173.7 1904 1979 13.21% 31.36% 55.43%-0.75 +14.4 35
1979-02-27 Norwich City D 2-276.4 1856 1772 56.17% 31.18% 12.66%+0.79 -2.0 24
1979-02-27 @ Manchester City D 2-276.4 1772 1856 12.66% 31.18% 56.17%-0.79 +2.0 25
1979-02-28 Ipswich Town L 0-164.5 1749 1790 43.37% 32.96% 23.67%+0.17 -12.3 22
1979-02-28 @ Derby County W 1-064.5 1790 1749 23.67% 32.96% 43.37%-0.17 +12.3 26
1979-02-28 Queens Park Rangers W 2-050.9 1810 1704 58.01% 30.65% 11.34%+0.90 +8.3 29
1979-02-28 @ Manchester United L 0-250.9 1704 1810 11.34% 30.65% 58.01%-0.90 -8.3 18
1979-03-03 Birmingham City W 1-052.6 1884 1700 63.76% 28.42% 7.82%+1.28 +3.1 27
1979-03-03 @ Aston Villa L 0-152.6 1700 1884 7.82% 28.42% 63.76%-1.28 -3.1 10
1979-03-03 Manchester United L 1-271.3 1807 1818 46.81% 32.73% 20.45%+0.32 -12.4 28
1979-03-03 @ Bristol City W 2-171.3 1818 1807 20.45% 32.73% 46.81%-0.32 +12.4 31
1979-03-03 Liverpool D 0-067.9 1641 2086 7.47% 24.67% 67.86%-1.82 +4.3 15
1979-03-03 @ Chelsea D 0-067.9 2086 1641 67.86% 24.67% 7.47%+1.82 -4.3 42
1979-03-03 West Brom L 1-360.4 1749 1965 21.44% 31.65% 46.91%-0.69 -11.9 27
1979-03-03 @ Coventry City W 3-160.4 1965 1749 46.91% 31.65% 21.44%+0.69 +12.0 36
1979-03-03 Queens Park Rangers W 2-157.8 1906 1696 65.52% 27.55% 6.93%+1.41 +2.5 38
1979-03-03 @ Everton L 1-257.8 1696 1906 6.93% 27.55% 65.52%-1.41 -2.5 18
1979-03-03 Nottingham Forest D 1-170.5 1802 1990 24.36% 32.15% 43.49%-0.55 +1.1 27
1979-03-03 @ Ipswich Town D 1-170.5 1990 1802 43.49% 32.15% 24.36%+0.55 -1.1 32
1979-03-03 Norwich City D 2-277.0 1918 1774 60.94% 29.63% 9.43%+1.09 -2.5 36
1979-03-03 @ Leeds United D 2-277.0 1774 1918 9.43% 29.63% 60.94%-1.09 +2.5 26
1979-03-03 Bolton Wanderers W 2-160.3 1854 1757 57.23% 30.88% 11.88%+0.85 +4.3 26
1979-03-03 @ Manchester City L 1-260.3 1757 1854 11.88% 30.88% 57.23%-0.85 -4.4 20
1979-03-03 Arsenal W 2-059.8 1825 1972 29.42% 32.70% 37.89%-0.34 +20.8 29
1979-03-03 @ Southampton L 0-259.8 1972 1825 37.89% 32.70% 29.42%+0.34 -20.8 36
1979-03-03 Derby County W 2-053.5 1743 1736 48.82% 32.53% 18.65%+0.41 +12.7 29
1979-03-03 @ Tottenham L 0-253.5 1736 1743 18.65% 32.53% 48.82%-0.41 -12.7 22
1979-03-03 Middlesbrough L 1-366.3 1711 1770 41.17% 33.03% 25.80%+0.09 -19.3 19
1979-03-03 @ Wolverhampton W 3-166.3 1770 1711 25.80% 33.03% 41.17%-0.09 +19.3 20
1979-03-06 Everton L 1-267.4 1789 1908 33.11% 32.92% 33.97%-0.21 -9.5 20
1979-03-06 @ Middlesbrough W 2-167.4 1908 1789 33.97% 32.92% 33.11%+0.21 +9.5 40
1979-03-06 Liverpool D 0-066.9 1737 2082 11.72% 28.21% 60.07%-1.32 +3.4 28
1979-03-06 @ Coventry City D 0-066.9 2082 1737 60.07% 28.21% 11.72%+1.32 -3.4 43
1979-03-06 Queens Park Rangers W 3-158.9 1697 1693 48.52% 32.56% 18.92%+0.39 +11.1 12
1979-03-06 @ Birmingham City L 1-358.9 1693 1697 18.92% 32.56% 48.52%-0.39 -11.1 18
1979-03-07 Bolton Wanderers W 3-048.8 1887 1753 60.17% 29.92% 9.91%+1.03 +10.7 29
1979-03-07 @ Aston Villa L 0-348.8 1753 1887 9.91% 29.92% 60.17%-1.03 -10.7 20
1979-03-07 Wolverhampton D 0-065.5 1777 1692 56.28% 31.15% 12.58%+0.80 -3.1 27
1979-03-07 @ Norwich City D 0-065.5 1692 1777 12.58% 31.15% 56.28%-0.80 +3.1 20
1979-03-10 Bristol City W 2-050.1 1951 1794 61.87% 29.26% 8.88%+1.15 +6.6 38
1979-03-10 @ Arsenal L 0-250.1 1794 1951 8.88% 29.26% 61.87%-1.15 -6.6 28
1979-03-10 Coventry City D 0-064.9 1708 1740 44.44% 32.90% 22.66%+0.22 -1.4 13
1979-03-10 @ Birmingham City D 0-064.9 1740 1708 22.66% 32.90% 44.44%-0.22 +1.4 29
1979-03-10 Leeds United L 0-158.6 1724 1916 23.92% 32.08% 44.00%-0.57 -8.0 22
1979-03-10 @ Derby County W 1-058.6 1916 1724 44.00% 32.08% 23.92%+0.57 +8.0 38
1979-03-10 Aston Villa W 2-058.6 1780 1897 33.31% 32.93% 33.76%-0.20 +19.2 22
1979-03-10 @ Middlesbrough L 0-258.6 1897 1780 33.76% 32.93% 33.31%+0.20 -19.2 29
1979-03-10 Chelsea W 2-050.0 1774 1646 59.74% 30.08% 10.18%+1.01 +7.6 29
1979-03-10 @ Norwich City L 0-250.0 1646 1774 10.18% 30.08% 59.74%-1.01 -7.5 15
1979-03-10 Nottingham Forest D 1-170.2 1918 1989 39.58% 33.05% 27.37%+0.02 -0.7 41
1979-03-10 @ Everton D 1-170.2 1989 1918 27.37% 33.05% 39.58%-0.02 +0.7 33
1979-03-13 Derby County W 3-157.3 1799 1716 56.13% 31.19% 12.68%+0.79 +8.0 24
1979-03-13 @ Middlesbrough L 1-357.3 1716 1799 12.68% 31.19% 56.13%-0.79 -8.0 22
1979-03-13 Coventry City D 1-170.3 1803 1742 54.21% 31.65% 14.15%+0.68 -2.5 28
1979-03-13 @ Ipswich Town D 1-170.3 1742 1803 14.15% 31.65% 54.21%-0.68 +2.5 30
1979-03-13 Everton D 1-171.4 2079 1917 62.20% 29.11% 8.68%+1.17 -3.5 44
1979-03-13 @ Liverpool D 1-171.4 1917 2079 8.68% 29.11% 62.20%-1.17 +3.5 42
1979-03-14 Norwich City W 2-158.0 1990 1781 65.44% 27.59% 6.97%+1.41 +2.6 35
1979-03-14 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-258.0 1781 1990 6.97% 27.59% 65.44%-1.41 -2.6 29
1979-03-14 Chelsea W 1-049.8 1977 1638 73.26% 22.83% 3.91%+2.04 +1.4 38
1979-03-14 @ West Brom L 0-149.8 1638 1977 3.91% 22.83% 73.26%-2.04 -1.4 15
1979-03-17 Middlesbrough D 1-170.1 1788 1807 45.95% 32.80% 21.25%+0.28 -1.4 29
1979-03-17 @ Bristol City D 1-170.1 1807 1788 21.25% 32.80% 45.95%-0.28 +1.4 25
1979-03-17 Queens Park Rangers L 1-365.6 1637 1682 42.88% 32.98% 24.15%+0.15 -19.9 15
1979-03-17 @ Chelsea W 3-165.6 1682 1637 24.15% 32.98% 42.88%-0.15 +19.9 20
1979-03-17 Bolton Wanderers D 2-275.7 1744 1742 48.31% 32.59% 19.10%+0.39 -1.3 31
1979-03-17 @ Coventry City D 2-275.7 1742 1744 19.10% 32.59% 48.31%-0.39 +1.3 21
1979-03-17 Arsenal W 2-060.2 1801 1957 28.11% 32.58% 39.31%-0.40 +21.4 30
1979-03-17 @ Ipswich Town L 0-260.2 1957 1801 39.31% 32.58% 28.11%+0.40 -21.4 38
1979-03-17 Norwich City D 0-065.2 1755 1779 45.53% 32.83% 21.64%+0.26 -1.5 30
1979-03-17 @ Tottenham D 0-065.2 1779 1755 21.64% 32.83% 45.53%-0.26 +1.5 30
1979-03-20 Wolverhampton W 2-046.0 2075 1695 75.52% 21.23% 3.25%+2.25 +2.1 46
1979-03-20 @ Liverpool L 0-246.0 1695 2075 3.25% 21.23% 75.52%-2.25 -2.1 20
1979-03-20 Manchester United W 4-373.7 1743 1831 37.44% 33.04% 29.52%-0.06 +8.1 33
1979-03-20 @ Coventry City L 3-473.7 1831 1743 29.52% 33.04% 37.44%+0.06 -8.1 31
1979-03-20 Queens Park Rangers W 3-155.3 1878 1702 63.24% 28.66% 8.10%+1.24 +5.2 31
1979-03-20 @ Aston Villa L 1-355.3 1702 1878 8.10% 28.66% 63.24%-1.24 -5.2 20
1979-03-21 Bolton Wanderers W 3-053.1 1708 1744 44.01% 32.92% 23.06%+0.20 +21.5 24
1979-03-21 @ Derby County L 0-353.1 1744 1708 23.06% 32.92% 44.01%-0.20 -21.5 21
1979-03-24 Manchester City D 1-170.7 1936 1858 55.66% 31.31% 13.03%+0.76 -2.7 39
1979-03-24 @ Arsenal D 1-170.7 1858 1936 13.03% 31.31% 55.66%-0.76 +2.7 27
1979-03-24 Tottenham L 2-379.5 1883 1754 59.84% 30.04% 10.12%+1.01 -14.6 31
1979-03-24 @ Aston Villa W 3-279.5 1754 1883 10.12% 30.04% 59.84%-1.01 +14.6 32
1979-03-24 Southampton W 2-058.7 1722 1846 32.42% 32.89% 34.69%-0.23 +19.6 23
1979-03-24 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-258.7 1846 1722 34.69% 32.89% 32.42%+0.23 -19.6 29
1979-03-24 Wolverhampton L 1-267.5 1617 1693 39.01% 33.05% 27.94%+0.00 -10.7 15
1979-03-24 @ Chelsea W 2-167.5 1693 1617 27.94% 33.05% 39.01%+0.00 +10.7 22
1979-03-24 Everton D 0-065.7 1729 1921 24.00% 32.09% 43.91%-0.57 +1.2 25
1979-03-24 @ Derby County D 0-065.7 1921 1729 43.91% 32.09% 24.00%+0.57 -1.2 43
1979-03-24 Ipswich Town W 2-048.2 2077 1822 68.37% 25.97% 5.66%+1.63 +4.0 48
1979-03-24 @ Liverpool L 0-248.2 1822 2077 5.66% 25.97% 68.37%-1.63 -4.0 30
1979-03-24 Leeds United W 4-161.3 1823 1924 35.60% 33.01% 31.39%-0.12 +22.4 33
1979-03-24 @ Manchester United L 1-461.3 1924 1823 31.39% 33.01% 35.60%+0.12 -22.4 38
1979-03-24 Birmingham City W 2-160.0 1808 1707 57.67% 30.75% 11.57%+0.88 +4.2 27
1979-03-24 @ Middlesbrough L 1-260.0 1707 1808 11.57% 30.75% 57.67%-0.88 -4.2 13
1979-03-24 Bristol City W 3-052.4 1780 1786 47.45% 32.67% 19.87%+0.35 +19.3 32
1979-03-24 @ Norwich City L 0-352.4 1786 1780 19.87% 32.67% 47.45%-0.35 -19.3 29
1979-03-24 Coventry City W 3-046.6 1993 1751 67.53% 26.46% 6.01%+1.57 +6.3 37
1979-03-24 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-346.6 1751 1993 6.01% 26.46% 67.53%-1.57 -6.3 33
1979-03-24 Queens Park Rangers W 2-156.6 1978 1697 69.96% 25.00% 5.03%+1.76 +1.8 40
1979-03-24 @ West Brom L 1-256.6 1697 1978 5.03% 25.00% 69.96%-1.76 -1.8 20
1979-03-26 Arsenal W 4-271.0 1742 1933 23.97% 32.09% 43.94%-0.57 +18.0 25
1979-03-26 @ Bolton Wanderers L 2-471.0 1933 1742 43.94% 32.09% 23.97%+0.57 -18.0 39
1979-03-26 Derby County W 2-157.2 1980 1730 68.03% 26.17% 5.80%+1.60 +2.1 42
1979-03-26 @ West Brom L 1-257.2 1730 1980 5.80% 26.17% 68.03%-1.60 -2.1 25
1979-03-27 Manchester City D 1-170.1 1703 1861 27.99% 32.57% 39.44%-0.40 +0.6 23
1979-03-27 @ Wolverhampton D 1-170.1 1861 1703 39.44% 32.57% 27.99%+0.40 -0.6 28
1979-03-27 Norwich City W 1-060.7 1702 1799 36.17% 33.02% 30.81%-0.10 +9.6 15
1979-03-27 @ Birmingham City L 0-160.7 1799 1702 30.81% 33.02% 36.17%+0.10 -9.6 32
1979-03-27 Manchester United D 2-276.0 1813 1845 44.45% 32.90% 22.65%+0.22 -0.9 28
1979-03-27 @ Middlesbrough D 2-276.0 1845 1813 22.65% 32.90% 44.45%-0.22 +0.9 34
1979-03-28 Coventry City D 1-170.9 1869 1745 59.42% 30.19% 10.39%+0.99 -3.1 32
1979-03-28 @ Aston Villa D 1-170.9 1745 1869 10.39% 30.19% 59.42%-0.99 +3.1 34
1979-03-28 Chelsea W 6-045.3 1999 1606 76.17% 20.76% 3.07%+2.31 +5.4 39
1979-03-28 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-645.3 1606 1999 3.07% 20.76% 76.17%-2.31 -5.4 15
1979-03-28 Southampton D 0-065.3 1769 1827 41.31% 33.02% 25.66%+0.09 -1.0 33
1979-03-28 @ Tottenham D 0-065.3 1827 1769 25.66% 33.02% 41.31%-0.09 +1.0 30
1979-03-30 Norwich City D 2-276.9 1919 1790 59.86% 30.03% 10.11%+1.01 -2.4 44
1979-03-30 @ Everton D 2-276.9 1790 1919 10.11% 30.03% 59.86%-1.01 +2.4 33
1979-03-31 Tottenham W 1-055.9 1812 1768 52.60% 31.97% 15.44%+0.59 +5.8 30
1979-03-31 @ Middlesbrough L 0-155.9 1768 1812 15.44% 31.97% 52.60%-0.59 -5.8 33
1979-03-31 Birmingham City W 2-161.0 1767 1712 53.61% 31.77% 14.62%+0.65 +5.2 31
1979-03-31 @ Bristol City L 1-261.0 1712 1767 14.62% 31.77% 53.61%-0.65 -5.2 15
1979-03-31 Manchester City W 2-164.6 1818 1860 43.27% 32.96% 23.77%+0.17 +7.6 32
1979-03-31 @ Ipswich Town L 1-264.6 1860 1818 23.77% 32.96% 43.27%-0.17 -7.6 28
1979-03-31 Bolton Wanderers D 1-172.2 2004 1760 67.72% 26.35% 5.93%+1.58 -4.1 40
1979-03-31 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-172.2 1760 2004 5.93% 26.35% 67.72%-1.58 +4.1 26
1979-03-31 Derby County D 2-275.3 1695 1728 44.33% 32.91% 22.76%+0.21 -0.9 21
1979-03-31 @ Queens Park Rangers D 2-275.3 1728 1695 22.76% 32.91% 44.33%-0.21 +0.9 26
1979-03-31 Leeds United D 2-276.0 1828 1901 39.28% 33.05% 27.66%+0.01 -0.5 31
1979-03-31 @ Southampton D 2-276.0 1901 1828 27.66% 33.05% 39.28%-0.01 +0.5 39
1979-04-03 Ipswich Town D 1-169.9 1707 1826 33.12% 32.92% 33.96%-0.21 +0.0 16
1979-04-03 @ Birmingham City D 1-169.9 1826 1707 33.96% 32.92% 33.12%+0.21 -0.0 33
1979-04-03 Everton W 3-165.8 1764 1917 28.55% 32.62% 38.83%-0.38 +18.4 28
1979-04-03 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-365.8 1917 1764 38.83% 32.62% 28.55%+0.38 -18.3 44
1979-04-03 Queens Park Rangers W 2-051.4 1772 1694 55.67% 31.30% 13.03%+0.76 +9.4 33
1979-04-03 @ Bristol City L 0-251.4 1694 1772 13.03% 31.30% 55.67%-0.76 -9.4 21
1979-04-03 Coventry City D 1-171.3 1915 1748 62.63% 28.93% 8.44%+1.20 -3.5 40
1979-04-03 @ Arsenal D 1-171.3 1748 1915 8.44% 28.93% 62.63%-1.20 +3.5 35
1979-04-03 Tottenham W 3-269.7 1704 1762 41.32% 33.02% 25.65%+0.09 +7.6 25
1979-04-03 @ Wolverhampton L 2-369.7 1762 1704 25.65% 33.02% 41.32%-0.09 -7.6 33
1979-04-04 Aston Villa W 4-048.7 2000 1866 60.24% 29.90% 9.87%+1.04 +13.9 42
1979-04-04 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-448.7 1866 2000 9.87% 29.90% 60.24%-1.04 -13.9 32
1979-04-04 Derby County D 1-168.7 1601 1729 31.79% 32.86% 35.35%-0.26 +0.2 16
1979-04-04 @ Chelsea D 1-168.7 1729 1601 35.35% 32.86% 31.79%+0.26 -0.2 27
1979-04-04 Manchester City W 4-048.8 1982 1853 59.83% 30.04% 10.13%+1.01 +14.2 44
1979-04-04 @ West Brom L 0-448.8 1853 1982 10.13% 30.04% 59.83%-1.01 -14.2 28
1979-04-07 Southampton D 2-275.7 1707 1827 32.94% 32.91% 34.15%-0.22 +0.0 17
1979-04-07 @ Birmingham City D 2-275.7 1827 1707 34.15% 32.91% 32.94%+0.22 -0.0 32
1979-04-07 Queens Park Rangers W 2-159.9 1782 1685 57.32% 30.86% 11.82%+0.86 +4.3 30
1979-04-07 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-259.9 1685 1782 11.82% 30.86% 57.32%-0.86 -4.3 21
1979-04-07 Nottingham Forest L 1-354.7 1601 2014 8.61% 25.84% 65.55%-1.66 -5.1 16
1979-04-07 @ Chelsea W 3-154.7 2014 1601 65.55% 25.84% 8.61%+1.66 +5.1 44
1979-04-07 Aston Villa D 1-170.0 1751 1852 35.73% 33.01% 31.25%-0.12 -0.2 36
1979-04-07 @ Coventry City D 1-170.0 1852 1751 31.25% 33.01% 35.73%+0.12 +0.2 33
1979-04-07 Bristol City L 0-164.1 1729 1782 42.01% 33.01% 24.99%+0.12 -12.0 27
1979-04-07 @ Derby County W 1-064.1 1782 1729 24.99% 33.01% 42.01%-0.12 +12.0 35
1979-04-07 Ipswich Town D 1-170.7 1902 1826 55.51% 31.34% 13.15%+0.75 -2.6 40
1979-04-07 @ Leeds United D 1-170.7 1826 1902 13.15% 31.34% 55.51%-0.75 +2.6 34
1979-04-07 Arsenal W 3-048.1 2081 1912 62.76% 28.87% 8.37%+1.21 +9.0 50
1979-04-07 @ Liverpool L 0-348.1 1912 2081 8.37% 28.87% 62.76%-1.21 -9.0 40
1979-04-07 Wolverhampton W 3-156.3 1838 1711 59.66% 30.10% 10.24%+1.00 +6.6 30
1979-04-07 @ Manchester City L 1-356.3 1711 1838 10.24% 30.10% 59.66%-1.00 -6.6 25
1979-04-07 Manchester United D 2-275.9 1792 1846 41.85% 33.01% 25.14%+0.11 -0.7 34
1979-04-07 @ Norwich City D 2-275.9 1846 1792 25.14% 33.01% 41.85%-0.11 +0.7 35
1979-04-07 Middlesbrough L 1-269.5 1754 1818 40.64% 33.04% 26.32%+0.06 -11.0 33
1979-04-07 @ Tottenham W 2-169.5 1818 1754 26.32% 33.04% 40.64%-0.06 +11.0 32
1979-04-07 Everton W 1-054.8 1996 1899 57.32% 30.86% 11.82%+0.86 +4.6 46
1979-04-07 @ West Brom L 0-154.8 1899 1996 11.82% 30.86% 57.32%-0.86 -4.6 44
1979-04-10 Tottenham W 1-053.2 1903 1743 62.08% 29.17% 8.75%+1.16 +3.4 42
1979-04-10 @ Arsenal L 0-153.2 1743 1903 8.75% 29.17% 62.08%-1.16 -3.4 33
1979-04-10 Chelsea W 3-154.1 1794 1596 64.71% 27.96% 7.33%+1.35 +4.7 37
1979-04-10 @ Bristol City L 1-354.1 1596 1794 7.33% 27.96% 64.71%-1.35 -4.7 16
1979-04-10 Coventry City D 3-380.7 1894 1751 60.85% 29.66% 9.49%+1.08 -2.0 45
1979-04-10 @ Everton D 3-380.7 1751 1894 9.49% 29.66% 60.85%-1.08 +2.0 37
1979-04-10 Leeds United W 1-060.0 1829 1899 39.70% 33.05% 27.25%+0.03 +8.8 34
1979-04-10 @ Middlesbrough L 0-160.0 1899 1829 27.25% 33.05% 39.70%-0.03 -8.8 40
1979-04-10 Liverpool L 0-152.9 1705 2090 9.75% 26.84% 63.40%-1.52 -3.6 25
1979-04-10 @ Wolverhampton W 1-052.9 2090 1705 63.40% 26.84% 9.75%+1.52 +3.6 52
1979-04-11 Derby County D 3-380.5 1852 1717 60.26% 29.89% 9.85%+1.04 -2.0 34
1979-04-11 @ Aston Villa D 3-380.5 1717 1852 9.85% 29.89% 60.26%-1.04 +2.0 28
1979-04-11 Bolton Wanderers L 1-273.2 1847 1786 54.08% 31.67% 14.24%+0.67 -14.0 35
1979-04-11 @ Manchester United W 2-173.2 1786 1847 14.24% 31.67% 54.08%-0.67 +14.0 32
1979-04-13 Norwich City D 0-065.0 1680 1791 34.21% 32.97% 32.82%-0.17 -0.1 22
1979-04-13 @ Queens Park Rangers D 0-065.0 1791 1680 32.82% 32.97% 34.21%+0.17 +0.1 35
1979-04-13 West Brom D 1-170.4 1827 2001 26.03% 32.36% 41.61%-0.48 +0.9 33
1979-04-13 @ Southampton D 1-170.4 2001 1827 41.61% 32.36% 26.03%+0.48 -0.9 47
1979-04-14 Wolverhampton D 1-169.5 1707 1701 48.70% 32.54% 18.76%+0.40 -1.8 18
1979-04-14 @ Birmingham City D 1-169.5 1701 1707 18.76% 32.54% 48.70%-0.40 +1.8 26
1979-04-14 Middlesbrough D 0-065.4 1801 1837 43.92% 32.93% 23.15%+0.19 -1.3 33
1979-04-14 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-065.4 1837 1801 23.15% 32.93% 43.92%-0.19 +1.3 35
1979-04-14 Southampton L 1-262.0 1591 1828 19.43% 31.22% 49.36%-0.79 -6.4 16
1979-04-14 @ Chelsea W 2-162.0 1828 1591 49.36% 31.22% 19.43%+0.79 +6.4 35
1979-04-14 Bristol City W 3-269.5 1753 1798 42.94% 32.97% 24.08%+0.16 +7.2 39
1979-04-14 @ Coventry City L 2-369.5 1798 1753 24.08% 32.97% 42.94%-0.16 -7.2 37
1979-04-14 Nottingham Forest L 1-260.8 1719 2019 14.43% 29.59% 55.98%-1.10 -4.9 28
1979-04-14 @ Derby County W 2-160.8 2019 1719 55.98% 29.59% 14.43%+1.10 +4.9 46
1979-04-14 Aston Villa W 1-056.2 1890 1850 52.23% 32.03% 15.73%+0.58 +5.9 42
1979-04-14 @ Leeds United L 0-156.2 1850 1890 15.73% 32.03% 52.23%-0.58 -5.9 34
1979-04-14 Manchester United W 2-048.1 2094 1833 68.75% 25.74% 5.50%+1.66 +3.9 54
1979-04-14 @ Liverpool L 0-248.1 1833 2094 5.50% 25.74% 68.75%-1.66 -3.9 35
1979-04-14 Everton D 0-065.5 1845 1892 42.69% 32.98% 24.33%+0.15 -1.1 31
1979-04-14 @ Manchester City D 0-065.5 1892 1845 24.33% 32.98% 42.69%-0.15 +1.2 46
1979-04-14 Ipswich Town L 0-164.9 1792 1828 43.93% 32.93% 23.14%+0.20 -12.4 35
1979-04-14 @ Norwich City W 1-064.9 1828 1792 23.14% 32.93% 43.93%-0.20 +12.4 36
1979-04-14 Queens Park Rangers D 1-169.8 1740 1680 54.03% 31.68% 14.29%+0.67 -2.5 34
1979-04-14 @ Tottenham D 1-169.8 1680 1740 14.29% 31.68% 54.03%-0.67 +2.5 23
1979-04-14 Arsenal D 1-170.9 2000 1906 56.99% 30.95% 12.06%+0.84 -2.8 48
1979-04-14 @ West Brom D 1-170.9 1906 2000 12.06% 30.95% 56.99%-0.84 +2.8 43
1979-04-16 Chelsea W 5-252.3 1909 1585 72.47% 23.38% 4.16%+1.97 +3.0 45
1979-04-16 @ Arsenal L 2-552.3 1585 1909 4.16% 23.38% 72.47%-1.97 -3.0 16
1979-04-16 Liverpool W 3-169.1 1844 2098 17.95% 30.83% 51.23%-0.87 +22.8 36
1979-04-16 @ Aston Villa L 1-369.1 2098 1844 51.23% 30.83% 17.95%+0.87 -22.8 54
1979-04-16 Bolton Wanderers W 1-054.8 1893 1799 57.02% 30.94% 12.03%+0.84 +4.7 48
1979-04-16 @ Everton L 0-154.8 1799 1893 12.03% 30.94% 57.02%-0.84 -4.7 33
1979-04-16 Derby County W 2-159.5 1841 1714 59.63% 30.12% 10.26%+1.00 +3.8 38
1979-04-16 @ Ipswich Town L 1-259.5 1714 1841 10.26% 30.12% 59.63%-1.00 -3.8 28
1979-04-16 Coventry City D 0-065.7 1829 1761 54.80% 31.51% 13.69%+0.71 -2.8 36
1979-04-16 @ Manchester United D 0-065.7 1761 1829 13.69% 31.51% 54.80%-0.71 +2.8 40
1979-04-16 Leeds United D 0-066.4 2024 1896 59.73% 30.08% 10.19%+1.01 -3.5 47
1979-04-16 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-066.4 1896 2024 10.19% 30.08% 59.73%-1.01 +3.5 43
1979-04-16 Tottenham D 3-380.2 1834 1737 57.27% 30.87% 11.86%+0.85 -1.8 36
1979-04-16 @ Southampton D 3-380.2 1737 1834 11.86% 30.87% 57.27%-0.85 +1.8 35
1979-04-16 Norwich City W 1-059.8 1703 1779 38.99% 33.05% 27.96%+0.00 +9.0 28
1979-04-16 @ Wolverhampton L 0-159.8 1779 1703 27.96% 33.05% 38.99%+0.00 -9.0 35
1979-04-17 Birmingham City W 3-048.5 1845 1705 60.60% 29.76% 9.64%+1.06 +10.4 40
1979-04-17 @ Ipswich Town L 0-348.5 1705 1845 9.64% 29.76% 60.60%-1.06 -10.4 18
1979-04-17 West Brom W 1-065.2 1791 1997 22.43% 31.84% 45.74%-0.64 +12.7 39
1979-04-17 @ Bristol City L 0-165.2 1997 1791 45.74% 31.84% 22.43%+0.64 -12.7 48
1979-04-17 Manchester City W 2-054.3 1839 1844 47.54% 32.66% 19.79%+0.35 +13.2 37
1979-04-17 @ Middlesbrough L 0-254.3 1844 1839 19.79% 32.66% 47.54%-0.35 -13.2 31
1979-04-18 Manchester United D 1-171.7 2021 1826 64.50% 28.06% 7.43%+1.34 -3.7 48
1979-04-18 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-171.7 1826 2021 7.43% 28.06% 64.50%-1.34 +3.7 37
1979-04-21 Nottingham Forest L 0-251.2 1695 2017 13.02% 28.93% 58.04%-1.21 -9.0 18
1979-04-21 @ Birmingham City W 2-051.2 2017 1695 58.04% 28.93% 13.02%+1.21 +9.0 50
1979-04-21 Ipswich Town L 2-374.8 1795 1855 41.02% 33.03% 25.95%+0.08 -10.5 33
1979-04-21 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-274.8 1855 1795 25.95% 33.03% 41.02%-0.08 +10.5 42
1979-04-21 Middlesbrough W 2-171.9 1582 1852 16.60% 30.41% 52.99%-0.95 +13.6 18
1979-04-21 @ Chelsea L 1-271.9 1852 1582 52.99% 30.41% 16.60%+0.95 -13.6 37
1979-04-21 Southampton W 4-054.6 1763 1832 39.90% 33.05% 27.05%+0.04 +31.4 42
1979-04-21 @ Coventry City L 0-454.6 1832 1763 27.05% 33.05% 39.90%-0.04 -31.4 36
1979-04-21 Arsenal W 2-061.7 1710 1912 22.88% 31.92% 45.21%-0.62 +23.8 30
1979-04-21 @ Derby County L 0-261.7 1912 1710 45.21% 31.92% 22.88%+0.62 -23.8 45
1979-04-21 Everton W 1-057.4 1900 1898 48.32% 32.58% 19.10%+0.39 +6.8 45
1979-04-21 @ Leeds United L 0-157.4 1898 1900 19.10% 32.58% 48.32%-0.39 -6.8 48
1979-04-21 Bristol City W 1-051.1 2075 1804 69.36% 25.38% 5.26%+1.71 +2.0 56
1979-04-21 @ Liverpool L 0-151.1 1804 2075 5.26% 25.38% 69.36%-1.71 -2.0 39
1979-04-21 Queens Park Rangers W 3-155.7 1831 1683 61.23% 29.51% 9.25%+1.11 +5.9 33
1979-04-21 @ Manchester City L 1-355.7 1683 1831 9.25% 29.51% 61.23%-1.11 -6.0 23
1979-04-21 Aston Villa L 1-268.3 1770 1867 36.21% 33.02% 30.76%-0.10 -10.1 35
1979-04-21 @ Norwich City W 2-168.3 1867 1770 30.76% 33.02% 36.21%+0.10 +10.1 38
1979-04-21 Manchester United D 1-170.0 1739 1830 37.07% 33.04% 29.89%-0.07 -0.4 36
1979-04-21 @ Tottenham D 1-170.0 1830 1739 29.89% 33.04% 37.07%+0.07 +0.4 38
1979-04-21 Wolverhampton D 1-172.5 1984 1712 69.42% 25.34% 5.24%+1.72 -4.2 49
1979-04-21 @ West Brom D 1-172.5 1712 1984 5.24% 25.34% 69.42%-1.72 +4.2 29
1979-04-24 Liverpool D 1-171.1 1801 2077 16.17% 30.26% 53.57%-0.98 +2.2 37
1979-04-24 @ Southampton D 1-171.1 2077 1801 53.57% 30.26% 16.17%+0.98 -2.3 57
1979-04-24 Middlesbrough W 1-057.5 1837 1838 47.92% 32.63% 19.45%+0.37 +6.9 35
1979-04-24 @ Manchester City L 0-157.5 1838 1837 19.45% 32.63% 47.92%-0.37 -6.9 37
1979-04-24 West Brom D 1-171.1 1686 1980 14.82% 29.75% 55.43%-1.07 +2.5 19
1979-04-24 @ Birmingham City D 1-171.1 1980 1686 55.43% 29.75% 14.82%+1.07 -2.5 50
1979-04-24 Derby County W 4-052.3 1716 1734 46.14% 32.79% 21.07%+0.29 +26.3 31
1979-04-24 @ Wolverhampton L 0-452.3 1734 1716 21.07% 32.79% 46.14%-0.29 -26.3 30
1979-04-25 Norwich City W 1-055.3 1830 1760 54.96% 31.48% 13.56%+0.72 +5.2 40
1979-04-25 @ Manchester United L 0-155.3 1760 1830 13.56% 31.48% 54.96%-0.72 -5.2 35
1979-04-25 Arsenal W 5-156.5 1877 1888 46.86% 32.73% 20.41%+0.32 +21.4 40
1979-04-25 @ Aston Villa L 1-556.5 1888 1877 20.41% 32.73% 46.86%-0.32 -21.4 45
1979-04-25 Bolton Wanderers W 5-152.7 1907 1784 59.32% 30.22% 10.46%+0.98 +12.2 47
1979-04-25 @ Leeds United L 1-552.7 1784 1907 10.46% 30.22% 59.32%-0.98 -12.2 33
1979-04-28 Norwich City D 1-170.8 1867 1755 58.50% 30.50% 11.00%+0.93 -3.0 46
1979-04-28 @ Arsenal D 1-170.8 1755 1867 11.00% 30.50% 58.50%-0.93 +3.0 36
1979-04-28 Chelsea W 2-155.8 1898 1595 71.24% 24.19% 4.57%+1.87 +1.6 42
1979-04-28 @ Aston Villa L 1-255.8 1595 1898 4.57% 24.19% 71.24%-1.87 -1.6 18
1979-04-28 Leeds United D 0-065.5 1802 1919 33.38% 32.93% 33.68%-0.20 +0.0 40
1979-04-28 @ Bristol City D 0-065.5 1919 1802 33.68% 32.93% 33.38%+0.20 -0.0 48
1979-04-28 Birmingham City W 1-052.2 1891 1688 65.04% 27.79% 7.16%+1.38 +2.8 50
1979-04-28 @ Everton L 0-152.2 1688 1891 7.16% 27.79% 65.04%-1.38 -2.8 19
1979-04-28 Tottenham W 2-159.6 1865 1739 59.64% 30.11% 10.25%+1.00 +3.8 44
1979-04-28 @ Ipswich Town L 1-259.6 1739 1865 10.25% 30.11% 59.64%-1.00 -3.8 36
1979-04-28 Derby County D 0-066.1 1835 1708 59.68% 30.10% 10.22%+1.00 -3.5 41
1979-04-28 @ Manchester United D 0-066.1 1708 1835 10.22% 30.10% 59.68%-1.00 +3.5 31
1979-04-28 West Brom D 1-170.3 1831 1978 29.45% 32.70% 37.86%-0.34 +0.5 38
1979-04-28 @ Middlesbrough D 1-170.3 1978 1831 37.86% 32.70% 29.45%+0.34 -0.4 51
1979-04-28 Liverpool D 0-065.5 2026 2075 42.45% 32.99% 24.56%+0.14 -1.1 51
1979-04-28 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-065.5 2075 2026 24.56% 32.99% 42.45%-0.14 +1.1 58
1979-04-28 Coventry City W 5-160.1 1677 1795 33.24% 32.93% 33.83%-0.21 +30.5 25
1979-04-28 @ Queens Park Rangers L 1-560.1 1795 1677 33.83% 32.93% 33.24%+0.21 -30.5 42
1979-04-28 Manchester City W 1-058.8 1803 1844 43.50% 32.95% 23.55%+0.18 +8.0 39
1979-04-28 @ Southampton L 0-158.8 1844 1803 23.55% 32.95% 43.50%-0.18 -8.0 35
1979-04-28 Bolton Wanderers D 1-169.9 1743 1772 44.83% 32.88% 22.30%+0.23 -1.3 32
1979-04-28 @ Wolverhampton D 1-169.9 1772 1743 22.30% 32.88% 44.83%-0.23 +1.3 34
1979-04-30 Nottingham Forest W 1-067.2 1741 2025 15.61% 30.06% 54.32%-1.02 +14.7 34
1979-04-30 @ Wolverhampton L 0-167.2 2025 1741 54.32% 30.06% 15.61%+1.02 -14.7 51
1979-04-30 Manchester United D 1-170.2 1811 1832 45.85% 32.81% 21.34%+0.28 -1.4 40
1979-04-30 @ Southampton D 1-170.2 1832 1811 21.34% 32.81% 45.85%-0.28 +1.4 42
1979-05-01 West Brom L 0-260.0 1894 1977 38.02% 33.05% 28.93%-0.03 -20.9 50
1979-05-01 @ Everton W 2-060.0 1977 1894 28.93% 33.05% 38.02%+0.03 +20.9 53
1979-05-01 Liverpool L 1-455.1 1773 2076 14.26% 29.52% 56.23%-1.11 -11.9 34
1979-05-01 @ Bolton Wanderers W 4-155.1 2076 1773 56.23% 29.52% 14.26%+1.11 +11.9 60
1979-05-01 Birmingham City W 3-155.7 1836 1685 61.39% 29.45% 9.16%+1.12 +5.9 37
1979-05-01 @ Manchester City L 1-355.7 1685 1836 9.16% 29.45% 61.39%-1.12 -5.9 19
1979-05-02 Ipswich Town D 2-276.3 1900 1869 51.30% 32.19% 16.51%+0.53 -1.6 43
1979-05-02 @ Aston Villa D 2-276.3 1869 1900 16.51% 32.19% 51.30%-0.53 +1.6 45
1979-05-02 Southampton W 1-052.5 2010 1810 64.86% 27.88% 7.25%+1.36 +2.8 53
1979-05-02 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-152.5 1810 2010 7.25% 27.88% 64.86%-1.36 -2.8 40
1979-05-04 Queens Park Rangers W 4-365.4 1919 1707 65.62% 27.50% 6.88%+1.42 +2.3 50
1979-05-04 @ Leeds United L 3-465.4 1707 1919 6.88% 27.50% 65.62%-1.42 -2.3 25
1979-05-05 Arsenal D 0-065.4 1679 1864 24.79% 32.21% 43.01%-0.53 +1.1 20
1979-05-05 @ Birmingham City D 0-065.4 1864 1679 43.01% 32.21% 24.79%+0.53 -1.1 47
1979-05-05 Aston Villa D 0-065.5 1761 1898 30.62% 32.78% 36.60%-0.30 +0.4 35
1979-05-05 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-065.5 1898 1761 36.60% 32.78% 30.62%+0.30 -0.4 44
1979-05-05 Ipswich Town L 2-366.0 1594 1871 16.07% 30.23% 53.70%-0.99 -5.2 18
1979-05-05 @ Chelsea W 3-266.0 1871 1594 53.70% 30.23% 16.07%+0.99 +5.2 47
1979-05-05 Wolverhampton W 3-051.9 1764 1756 49.00% 32.51% 18.49%+0.42 +18.3 44
1979-05-05 @ Coventry City L 0-351.9 1756 1764 18.49% 32.51% 49.00%-0.42 -18.3 34
1979-05-05 Middlesbrough L 0-356.4 1711 1832 32.90% 32.91% 34.19%-0.22 -27.4 31
1979-05-05 @ Derby County W 3-056.4 1832 1711 34.19% 32.91% 32.90%+0.22 +27.4 40
1979-05-05 Southampton W 2-047.7 2088 1807 69.92% 25.03% 5.05%+1.76 +3.5 62
1979-05-05 @ Liverpool L 0-247.7 1807 2088 5.05% 25.03% 69.92%-1.76 -3.5 40
1979-05-05 Bristol City W 2-052.9 1841 1802 52.17% 32.04% 15.78%+0.57 +11.1 39
1979-05-05 @ Manchester City L 0-252.9 1802 1841 15.78% 32.04% 52.17%-0.57 -11.1 40
1979-05-05 Nottingham Forest D 1-170.9 1758 2013 17.84% 30.80% 51.36%-0.88 +2.0 37
1979-05-05 @ Norwich City D 1-170.9 2013 1758 51.36% 30.80% 17.84%+0.88 -2.0 54
1979-05-05 Everton D 1-170.1 1735 1873 30.53% 32.78% 36.69%-0.30 +0.3 37
1979-05-05 @ Tottenham D 1-170.1 1873 1735 36.69% 32.78% 30.53%+0.30 -0.3 51
1979-05-05 Manchester United W 1-053.2 1998 1833 62.47% 29.00% 8.53%+1.19 +3.4 55
1979-05-05 @ West Brom L 0-153.2 1833 1998 8.53% 29.00% 62.47%-1.19 -3.4 42
1979-05-07 Birmingham City L 1-368.3 1705 1681 50.64% 32.29% 17.07%+0.50 -22.9 25
1979-05-07 @ Queens Park Rangers W 3-168.3 1681 1705 17.07% 32.29% 50.64%-0.50 +22.9 22
1979-05-07 Wolverhampton W 3-265.4 1830 1738 56.85% 30.99% 12.16%+0.83 +4.2 44
1979-05-07 @ Manchester United L 2-365.4 1738 1830 12.16% 30.99% 56.85%-0.83 -4.2 34
1979-05-08 Southampton W 1-052.5 2001 1803 64.72% 27.95% 7.32%+1.35 +2.9 57
1979-05-08 @ West Brom L 0-152.5 1803 2001 7.32% 27.95% 64.72%-1.35 -2.9 40
1979-05-08 Aston Villa W 3-047.6 2091 1898 64.40% 28.11% 7.49%+1.33 +8.0 64
1979-05-08 @ Liverpool L 0-347.6 1898 2091 7.49% 28.11% 64.40%-1.33 -8.0 44
1979-05-08 Tottenham L 1-369.0 1761 1735 50.85% 32.26% 16.89%+0.51 -23.0 35
1979-05-08 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-169.0 1735 1761 16.89% 32.26% 50.85%-0.51 +23.0 39
1979-05-09 Manchester City W 3-155.9 2011 1853 61.97% 29.21% 8.82%+1.16 +5.7 56
1979-05-09 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-355.9 1853 2011 8.82% 29.21% 61.97%-1.16 -5.7 39
1979-05-11 Ipswich Town L 0-453.3 1682 1876 23.72% 32.05% 44.23%-0.58 -28.3 25
1979-05-11 @ Queens Park Rangers W 4-053.3 1876 1682 44.23% 32.05% 23.72%+0.58 +28.3 49
1979-05-11 West Brom L 0-162.0 1890 2004 33.78% 32.95% 33.27%-0.19 -10.2 44
1979-05-11 @ Aston Villa W 1-062.0 2004 1890 33.27% 32.95% 33.78%+0.19 +10.2 59
1979-05-11 Liverpool L 0-157.1 1859 2099 19.14% 31.15% 49.71%-0.81 -6.7 40
1979-05-11 @ Middlesbrough W 1-057.1 2099 1859 49.71% 31.15% 19.14%+0.81 +6.7 66
1979-05-14 Arsenal D 1-170.4 1589 1863 16.29% 30.30% 53.41%-0.97 +2.2 19
1979-05-14 @ Chelsea D 1-170.4 1863 1589 53.41% 30.30% 16.29%+0.97 -2.2 48
1979-05-14 West Brom W 1-066.6 1758 2015 17.73% 30.76% 51.51%-0.89 +14.0 41
1979-05-14 @ Tottenham L 0-166.6 2015 1758 51.51% 30.76% 17.73%+0.89 -14.0 59
1979-05-15 Nottingham Forest L 1-268.5 1921 2016 36.41% 33.03% 30.57%-0.09 -10.1 50
1979-05-15 @ Leeds United W 2-168.5 2016 1921 30.57% 33.03% 36.41%+0.09 +10.1 58
1979-05-15 Aston Villa L 2-375.8 1847 1880 44.38% 32.90% 22.72%+0.21 -11.2 39
1979-05-15 @ Manchester City W 3-275.8 1880 1847 22.72% 32.90% 44.38%-0.21 +11.2 46
1979-05-16 Chelsea D 1-171.4 1834 1591 67.63% 26.40% 5.97%+1.57 -4.1 45
1979-05-16 @ Manchester United D 1-171.4 1591 1834 5.97% 26.40% 67.63%-1.57 +4.1 20
1979-05-17 Liverpool L 0-353.7 1911 2106 23.62% 32.04% 44.35%-0.58 -21.6 50
1979-05-17 @ Leeds United W 3-053.7 2106 1911 44.35% 32.04% 23.62%+0.58 +21.6 68
1979-05-18 Nottingham Forest L 0-165.4 2000 2027 45.18% 32.86% 21.96%+0.25 -12.7 59
1979-05-18 @ West Brom W 1-065.4 2027 2000 21.96% 32.86% 45.18%-0.25 +12.7 60

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-02-24 4.67% Wolverhampton 1692 1 @ Arsenal 1990 0
2 1979-01-20 6.90% Chelsea 1639 3 @ Manchester City 1850 2
3 1978-11-11 8.89% Derby County 1754 2 @ Manchester City 1910 1
4 1979-02-24 9.20% Ipswich Town 1773 1 @ Everton 1922 0
5 1978-11-25 9.47% Ipswich Town 1748 2 @ Manchester City 1891 1
6 1979-03-24 10.12% Tottenham 1754 3 @ Aston Villa 1883 2
7 1978-11-21 10.16% Wolverhampton 1669 1 @ Bristol City 1798 0
8 1978-12-09 10.54% Southampton 1754 2 @ Manchester City 1875 1
9 1978-10-07 10.75% Tottenham 1763 1 @ West Brom 1880 0
10 1978-10-27 10.77% Middlesbrough 1769 2 @ Aston Villa 1886 0
11 1979-02-10 11.82% Manchester United 1768 3 @ Manchester City 1865 0
12 1978-09-16 13.03% Tottenham 1757 2 @ Leeds United 1835 1
13 1979-02-24 13.21% Leeds United 1904 2 @ West Brom 1979 1
14 1979-02-10 14.03% Tottenham 1727 3 @ Coventry City 1790 1
15 1979-04-11 14.24% Bolton Wanderers 1786 2 @ Manchester United 1847 1
16 1978-12-02 14.40% Bolton Wanderers 1705 3 @ Queens Park Rangers 1763 1
17 1978-10-21 14.55% Bristol City 1786 3 @ Manchester United 1842 1
18 1979-02-03 15.53% @ Wolverhampton 1676 1 Everton 1961 0
19 1979-04-30 15.61% @ Wolverhampton 1741 1 Nottingham Forest 2025 0
20 1978-08-22 16.21% Middlesbrough 1773 3 @ Birmingham City 1807 1
21 1979-02-03 16.37% Derby County 1746 2 @ Southampton 1778 1
22 1978-09-16 16.40% Queens Park Rangers 1747 2 @ Middlesbrough 1779 0
23 1979-04-21 16.60% @ Chelsea 1582 2 Middlesbrough 1852 1
24 1979-05-08 16.89% Tottenham 1735 3 @ Bolton Wanderers 1761 1
25 1978-12-16 16.93% @ Bristol City 1791 1 Liverpool 2057 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-02-10 43.03 Manchester United 3 1768 11.82% @ Manchester City 0 1865 57.32% 30.86%
2 1978-12-23 42.80 Arsenal 5 1934 35.76% @ Tottenham 0 1803 31.41% 32.83%
3 1979-02-24 33.86 Manchester City 3 1822 23.43% @ Coventry City 0 1783 43.62% 32.94%
4 1979-02-17 33.58 @ Southampton 3 1767 24.25% Everton 0 1956 43.62% 32.13%
5 1978-12-26 33.05 @ Bristol City 5 1805 45.55% Coventry City 0 1828 21.62% 32.83%
6 1978-09-02 32.86 Leeds United 3 1821 24.95% @ Chelsea 0 1769 42.05% 33.00%
7 1978-12-16 32.68 @ Southampton 4 1769 38.33% Coventry City 0 1851 28.62% 33.05%
8 1978-11-11 32.41 Aston Villa 4 1855 38.89% @ Wolverhampton 0 1701 28.49% 32.62%
9 1978-11-11 32.01 @ Birmingham City 5 1695 30.79% Manchester United 1 1831 36.42% 32.80%
10 1979-04-21 31.45 @ Coventry City 4 1763 39.90% Southampton 0 1832 27.05% 33.05%
11 1979-02-03 30.98 Manchester City 3 1834 27.98% @ Tottenham 0 1758 38.96% 33.05%
12 1979-04-28 30.46 @ Queens Park Rangers 5 1677 33.24% Coventry City 1 1795 33.83% 32.93%
13 1978-10-27 30.34 Middlesbrough 2 1769 10.77% @ Aston Villa 0 1886 58.84% 30.38%
14 1979-05-11 28.31 Ipswich Town 4 1876 44.23% @ Queens Park Rangers 0 1682 23.72% 32.05%
15 1978-12-22 28.20 @ Bolton Wanderers 3 1721 32.84% Manchester United 0 1842 34.25% 32.91%
16 1978-10-21 27.76 @ West Brom 7 1884 49.99% Coventry City 1 1866 17.63% 32.38%
17 1978-08-26 27.67 @ Ipswich Town 3 1738 33.77% Manchester United 0 1852 33.28% 32.95%
18 1979-05-05 27.44 Middlesbrough 3 1832 34.19% @ Derby County 0 1711 32.90% 32.91%
19 1978-09-16 26.85 Queens Park Rangers 2 1747 16.40% @ Middlesbrough 0 1779 51.43% 32.17%
20 1979-04-24 26.32 @ Wolverhampton 4 1716 46.14% Derby County 0 1734 21.07% 32.79%
21 1978-08-23 26.17 Aston Villa 4 1867 27.89% @ Tottenham 1 1791 39.06% 33.05%
22 1978-08-26 25.53 Liverpool 4 1961 29.17% @ Manchester City 1 1876 37.78% 33.05%
23 1978-09-16 24.46 @ Norwich City 4 1765 48.30% Birmingham City 0 1763 19.11% 32.59%
24 1979-02-10 24.45 Tottenham 3 1727 14.03% @ Coventry City 1 1790 54.36% 31.61%
25 1978-12-02 24.25 Bolton Wanderers 3 1705 14.40% @ Queens Park Rangers 1 1763 53.88% 31.72%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-04-10 80.7 @ Everton 3 1894 60.85% Coventry City 3 1751 9.49% 29.66%
2 1979-04-11 80.5 @ Aston Villa 3 1852 60.26% Derby County 3 1717 9.85% 29.89%
3 1979-04-16 80.2 @ Southampton 3 1834 57.27% Tottenham 3 1737 11.86% 30.87%
4 1979-01-20 80.1 Chelsea 3 1639 6.90% @ Manchester City 2 1850 65.58% 27.52%
5 1979-03-24 79.5 Tottenham 3 1754 10.12% @ Aston Villa 2 1883 59.84% 30.04%
6 1978-10-28 79.3 @ Chelsea 3 1698 39.63% Norwich City 3 1769 27.32% 33.05%
7 1979-02-10 79.2 @ Queens Park Rangers 3 1722 51.28% Wolverhampton 3 1691 16.52% 32.19%
8 1978-09-23 77.5 @ Nottingham Forest 2 1950 64.70% Middlesbrough 2 1752 7.34% 27.97%
9 1979-03-03 77.0 @ Leeds United 2 1918 60.94% Norwich City 2 1774 9.43% 29.63%
10 1979-03-30 76.9 @ Everton 2 1919 59.86% Norwich City 2 1790 10.11% 30.03%
11 1978-09-09 76.7 @ West Brom 2 1876 58.56% Norwich City 2 1763 10.96% 30.48%
12 1978-10-07 76.7 @ Coventry City 2 1881 58.31% Ipswich Town 2 1771 11.13% 30.56%
13 1978-08-19 76.4 @ Arsenal 2 1876 54.15% Leeds United 2 1815 14.19% 31.66%
14 1979-02-27 76.4 @ Manchester City 2 1856 56.17% Norwich City 2 1772 12.66% 31.18%
15 1978-10-14 76.3 @ Aston Villa 2 1879 52.05% Manchester United 2 1840 15.89% 32.07%
16 1979-05-02 76.3 @ Aston Villa 2 1900 51.30% Ipswich Town 2 1869 16.51% 32.19%
17 1978-12-26 76.2 @ Aston Villa 2 1882 50.48% Leeds United 2 1859 17.21% 32.31%
18 1978-10-28 76.1 @ Manchester City 2 1911 47.96% West Brom 2 1912 19.42% 32.62%
19 1978-11-18 76.1 @ Arsenal 2 1918 45.10% Everton 2 1945 22.04% 32.86%
20 1978-08-23 76.0 Manchester United 3 1841 21.77% @ Leeds United 2 1816 45.39% 32.84%
21 1978-09-30 76.0 @ Bristol City 2 1808 33.38% Everton 2 1925 33.69% 32.93%
22 1978-10-21 76.0 @ Bolton Wanderers 2 1764 29.41% Manchester City 2 1911 37.89% 32.70%
23 1979-03-27 76.0 @ Middlesbrough 2 1813 44.45% Manchester United 2 1845 22.65% 32.90%
24 1979-03-31 76.0 @ Southampton 2 1828 39.28% Leeds United 2 1901 27.66% 33.05%
25 1978-08-22 75.9 @ Southampton 2 1773 48.32% Bolton Wanderers 2 1771 19.09% 32.58%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-03-28 45.3 @ Nottingham Forest 6 1999 76.17% Chelsea 0 1606 3.07% 20.76%
2 1979-03-20 46.0 @ Liverpool 2 2075 75.52% Wolverhampton 0 1695 3.25% 21.23%
3 1978-09-30 46.3 @ Liverpool 3 2025 68.78% Bolton Wanderers 0 1763 5.49% 25.73%
4 1978-10-21 46.4 @ Liverpool 2 2055 74.13% Chelsea 0 1701 3.64% 22.23%
5 1978-10-14 46.6 @ Liverpool 5 2047 69.72% Derby County 0 1769 5.13% 25.16%
6 1979-03-24 46.6 @ Nottingham Forest 3 1993 67.53% Coventry City 0 1751 6.01% 26.46%
7 1979-02-21 47.1 @ Liverpool 6 2068 70.71% Norwich City 0 1774 4.76% 24.53%
8 1979-05-08 47.6 @ Liverpool 3 2091 64.40% Aston Villa 0 1898 7.49% 28.11%
9 1979-05-05 47.7 @ Liverpool 2 2088 69.92% Southampton 0 1807 5.05% 25.03%
10 1978-11-25 48.1 @ Liverpool 2 2054 68.59% Middlesbrough 0 1795 5.57% 25.84%
11 1979-04-07 48.1 @ Liverpool 3 2081 62.76% Arsenal 0 1912 8.37% 28.87%
12 1979-04-14 48.1 @ Liverpool 2 2094 68.75% Manchester United 0 1833 5.50% 25.74%
13 1979-03-24 48.2 @ Liverpool 2 2077 68.37% Ipswich Town 0 1822 5.66% 25.97%
14 1979-04-17 48.5 @ Ipswich Town 3 1845 60.60% Birmingham City 0 1705 9.64% 29.76%
15 1979-04-04 48.7 @ Nottingham Forest 4 2000 60.24% Aston Villa 0 1866 9.87% 29.90%
16 1978-11-21 48.8 @ Everton 3 1946 60.35% Manchester United 0 1810 9.79% 29.85%
17 1979-03-07 48.8 @ Aston Villa 3 1887 60.17% Bolton Wanderers 0 1753 9.91% 29.92%
18 1979-04-04 48.8 @ West Brom 4 1982 59.83% Manchester City 0 1853 10.13% 30.04%
19 1978-09-02 49.0 @ Liverpool 7 1986 66.33% Tottenham 0 1764 6.55% 27.13%
20 1978-09-23 49.4 @ Everton 2 1920 63.88% Wolverhampton 0 1734 7.76% 28.36%
21 1979-02-13 49.4 @ Liverpool 1 2067 75.20% Birmingham City 0 1693 3.34% 21.47%
22 1978-12-16 49.5 @ Arsenal 2 1928 63.57% Derby County 0 1747 7.92% 28.51%
23 1978-08-26 49.8 @ West Brom 4 1855 56.14% Bolton Wanderers 0 1772 12.68% 31.18%
24 1978-09-30 49.8 @ Leeds United 3 1823 56.37% Birmingham City 0 1737 12.50% 31.12%
25 1979-02-24 49.8 @ Nottingham Forest 2 1984 62.92% Bristol City 0 1813 8.28% 28.80%