1998-99 Premier League Season
380 games · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Manchester United
79 points · 12th Title
Last Title: 1996-97
Relegated
Nottingham Forest
30 pts
Blackburn Rovers · 35 pts
Charlton Athletic · 36 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Chelsea
11.97 points above expected
75 points · 63.03 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Blackburn Rovers
14.38 points below expected
35 points · 49.38 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United | 38 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 79 | 80 | 37 | +43 | 69.6 | +9.41 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 59 | 17 | +42 | 68.7 | +9.33 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 75 | 57 | 30 | +27 | 63.0 | +11.97 |
| 4 | Leeds United | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 67 | 62 | 34 | +28 | 56.9 | +10.14 |
| 5 | West Ham | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 49.9 | +7.11 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 51 | 46 | +5 | 56.6 | -1.62 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 68 | 49 | +19 | 61.4 | -7.44 |
| 8 | Derby County | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 51.2 | +0.81 |
| 9 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 51 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45.5 | +5.49 |
| 10 | Leicester City | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 49 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 51.4 | -2.36 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 46.2 | +0.83 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 46 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 49.3 | -3.28 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 46 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52.5 | -6.47 |
| 14 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 45.9 | -2.94 |
| 15 | Coventry City | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 47.6 | -5.63 |
| 16 | Wimbledon FC | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 49.3 | -7.26 |
| 17 | Southampton | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 41 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 41.2 | -0.25 |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 42.7 | -6.69 |
| 19 | Blackburn Rovers | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 35 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 49.4 | -14.38 |
| 20 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 35 | 69 | -34 | 38.0 | -8.04 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 1992 | 79 | 69.59 | +9.41 | 91.0% | 43 | 58 | 64 | 70 | 75 | 83 | 89 |
| Arsenal | 1985 | 78 | 68.67 | +9.33 | 85.0% | 48 | 55 | 62 | 69 | 75 | 81 | 84 |
| Chelsea | 1931 | 75 | 63.03 | +11.97 | 96.0% | 44 | 49 | 59 | 63 | 68 | 75 | 80 |
| Leeds United | 1911 | 67 | 56.86 | +10.14 | 94.0% | 38 | 44 | 51 | 57 | 62 | 68 | 74 |
| Liverpool | 1898 | 54 | 61.44 | -7.44 | 19.0% | 39 | 47 | 56 | 61 | 67 | 74 | 88 |
| Aston Villa | 1834 | 55 | 56.62 | -1.62 | 43.0% | 43 | 43 | 52 | 56 | 62 | 69 | 75 |
| Leicester City | 1817 | 49 | 51.36 | -2.36 | 36.0% | 30 | 38 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 62 | 67 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 1813 | 46 | 49.28 | -3.28 | 30.0% | 34 | 37 | 45 | 49 | 54 | 61 | 66 |
| Newcastle United | 1806 | 46 | 52.47 | -6.47 | 20.0% | 33 | 40 | 48 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 69 |
| Tottenham | 1805 | 47 | 46.17 | +0.83 | 58.0% | 28 | 35 | 41 | 47 | 51 | 57 | 61 |
| West Ham | 1803 | 57 | 49.89 | +7.11 | 81.0% | 32 | 38 | 45 | 49 | 55 | 64 | 68 |
| Everton | 1802 | 43 | 45.94 | -2.94 | 39.0% | 22 | 35 | 40 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 68 |
| Derby County | 1801 | 52 | 51.19 | +0.81 | 56.0% | 35 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 63 | 76 |
| Coventry City | 1795 | 42 | 47.63 | -5.63 | 24.0% | 26 | 37 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 58 | 61 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1781 | 35 | 49.38 | -14.38 | 3.0% | 32 | 39 | 45 | 49 | 53 | 60 | 67 |
| Middlesbrough | 1775 | 51 | 45.51 | +5.49 | 79.0% | 28 | 33 | 41 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 61 |
| Southampton | 1767 | 41 | 41.25 | -0.25 | 48.0% | 23 | 29 | 37 | 42 | 45 | 50 | 61 |
| Wimbledon FC | 1752 | 42 | 49.26 | -7.26 | 19.0% | 35 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 65 | 72 |
| Charlton Athletic | 1735 | 36 | 42.69 | -6.69 | 21.0% | 27 | 31 | 38 | 42 | 48 | 56 | 64 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1719 | 30 | 38.04 | -8.04 | 9.0% | 22 | 28 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 47 | 49 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARS | AV | BR | CA | CHE | CC | DC | EVE | LU | LC | LIV | MU | MID | NU | NF | SW | SOU | TOT | WH | WIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | — |
1-0-1
3.45
|
2-0-0
3.73
|
1-1-0
3.93
|
1-1-0
2.90
|
2-0-0
3.80
|
1-1-0
3.80
|
2-0-0
3.88
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
1-1-0
3.47
|
0-2-0
2.78
|
1-1-0
2.44
|
1-1-0
3.84
|
1-1-0
3.41
|
2-0-0
3.96
|
1-0-1
3.52
|
0-2-0
4.16
|
1-1-0
3.88
|
2-0-0
3.52
|
1-0-1
3.90
|
| Aston Villa |
1-0-1
2.09
|
— |
0-0-2
3.30
|
1-0-1
3.61
|
0-0-2
2.36
|
1-0-1
3.24
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
1-1-0
3.22
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
0-2-0
2.89
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
0-1-1
1.97
|
1-1-0
3.28
|
1-0-1
3.04
|
1-1-0
3.73
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
2-0-0
3.43
|
1-0-1
3.08
|
0-2-0
2.94
|
1-1-0
3.07
|
| Blackburn Rovers |
0-0-2
1.83
|
2-0-0
2.14
|
— |
1-1-0
3.02
|
0-1-1
2.22
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
0-0-2
2.02
|
0-1-1
1.53
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
0-2-0
2.48
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
0-0-2
2.69
|
0-1-1
3.09
|
0-1-1
2.77
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
1-1-0
2.72
|
| Charlton Athletic |
0-1-1
1.66
|
1-0-1
1.89
|
0-1-1
2.38
|
— |
0-0-2
1.76
|
0-1-1
2.41
|
1-0-1
2.27
|
0-0-2
2.47
|
0-1-1
1.86
|
0-2-0
2.26
|
1-1-0
1.63
|
0-0-2
1.46
|
0-1-1
2.50
|
0-2-0
2.11
|
1-1-0
2.87
|
0-0-2
2.24
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
0-1-1
2.36
|
2-0-0
2.29
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
| Chelsea |
0-1-1
2.48
|
2-0-0
3.02
|
1-1-0
3.25
|
2-0-0
3.78
|
— |
1-0-1
3.29
|
1-1-0
3.49
|
1-1-0
3.59
|
1-1-0
2.86
|
1-1-0
3.31
|
1-1-0
2.62
|
0-2-0
2.35
|
1-1-0
3.56
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
2-0-0
3.81
|
0-2-0
3.46
|
2-0-0
3.81
|
1-1-0
3.53
|
0-1-1
3.32
|
2-0-0
3.53
|
| Coventry City |
0-0-2
1.76
|
1-0-1
2.21
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
1-1-0
3.01
|
1-0-1
2.21
|
— |
0-2-0
2.57
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
0-1-1
1.99
|
0-1-1
2.50
|
1-0-1
1.95
|
0-0-2
1.68
|
0-0-2
2.75
|
0-0-2
2.53
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
2-0-0
2.59
|
1-0-1
3.05
|
0-2-0
2.61
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
| Derby County |
0-1-1
1.78
|
1-0-1
2.44
|
1-1-0
2.67
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
0-2-0
2.81
|
— |
1-1-0
2.98
|
0-1-1
2.36
|
2-0-0
2.58
|
2-0-0
2.08
|
0-1-1
1.77
|
1-1-0
2.92
|
0-0-2
2.58
|
1-1-0
3.34
|
2-0-0
2.67
|
1-1-0
3.09
|
0-1-1
2.84
|
0-0-2
2.66
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
| Everton |
0-0-2
1.69
|
0-1-1
2.25
|
1-1-0
2.59
|
2-0-0
2.96
|
0-1-1
1.93
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
0-1-1
2.45
|
— |
0-1-1
2.21
|
0-1-1
2.37
|
0-1-1
1.94
|
0-0-2
1.58
|
1-1-0
2.64
|
2-0-0
2.37
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
0-1-1
2.53
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
0-0-2
2.64
|
1-0-1
2.51
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
| Leeds United |
1-0-1
2.25
|
1-1-0
2.66
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
1-1-0
3.63
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
1-1-0
3.47
|
1-1-0
3.09
|
1-1-0
3.24
|
— |
1-0-1
3.06
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
0-1-1
2.08
|
1-1-0
3.30
|
1-0-1
3.06
|
1-1-0
3.72
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
1-0-1
3.48
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
0-2-0
3.12
|
| Leicester City |
0-1-1
2.04
|
0-2-0
2.54
|
0-1-1
2.89
|
0-2-0
3.15
|
0-1-1
2.18
|
1-1-0
2.90
|
0-0-2
2.83
|
1-1-0
3.03
|
1-0-1
2.33
|
— |
2-0-0
2.15
|
0-1-1
1.95
|
0-1-1
3.10
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
1-0-1
3.47
|
1-0-1
2.79
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
2-0-0
2.80
|
0-1-1
2.76
|
1-1-0
2.71
|
| Liverpool |
0-2-0
2.62
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
2-0-0
3.46
|
0-1-1
3.96
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
1-0-1
3.52
|
0-0-2
3.39
|
1-1-0
3.57
|
0-1-1
2.89
|
0-0-2
3.30
|
— |
0-1-1
2.25
|
2-0-0
3.47
|
2-0-0
3.24
|
1-1-0
4.00
|
1-0-1
3.35
|
2-0-0
3.59
|
1-0-1
3.40
|
0-1-1
3.49
|
1-0-1
3.58
|
| Manchester United |
0-1-1
2.96
|
1-1-0
3.56
|
1-1-0
4.11
|
2-0-0
4.21
|
0-2-0
3.07
|
2-0-0
3.89
|
1-1-0
3.78
|
2-0-0
4.04
|
1-1-0
3.38
|
1-1-0
3.54
|
1-1-0
3.13
|
— |
1-0-1
4.05
|
1-1-0
3.80
|
2-0-0
4.39
|
1-0-1
3.96
|
2-0-0
4.17
|
1-1-0
3.97
|
1-1-0
3.55
|
1-1-0
4.01
|
| Middlesbrough |
0-1-1
1.72
|
0-1-1
2.16
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
1-1-0
2.91
|
0-1-1
1.92
|
2-0-0
2.64
|
0-1-1
2.45
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
0-1-1
2.15
|
1-1-0
2.35
|
0-0-2
2.03
|
1-0-1
1.57
|
— |
0-2-0
2.51
|
1-1-0
3.09
|
1-0-1
2.32
|
1-1-0
2.86
|
1-1-0
2.44
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
1-1-0
2.66
|
| Newcastle United |
0-1-1
2.03
|
1-0-1
2.34
|
0-2-0
2.92
|
0-2-0
3.36
|
0-1-1
2.26
|
2-0-0
2.87
|
2-0-0
2.84
|
0-0-2
3.04
|
1-0-1
2.37
|
1-0-1
2.66
|
0-0-2
2.21
|
0-1-1
1.75
|
0-2-0
2.89
|
— |
2-0-0
3.46
|
0-2-0
2.82
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
0-1-1
2.99
|
0-0-2
2.89
|
1-1-0
2.92
|
| Nottingham Forest |
0-0-2
1.63
|
0-1-1
1.81
|
1-1-0
2.24
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
0-0-2
1.74
|
1-0-1
2.34
|
0-1-1
2.13
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
0-1-1
1.85
|
1-0-1
2.00
|
0-1-1
1.60
|
0-0-2
1.33
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
0-0-2
2.00
|
— |
1-0-1
2.05
|
1-1-0
2.60
|
0-0-2
2.15
|
0-1-1
2.25
|
1-0-1
2.23
|
| Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0-1
1.98
|
0-0-2
2.38
|
2-0-0
2.68
|
2-0-0
3.17
|
0-2-0
2.00
|
0-0-2
2.81
|
0-0-2
2.73
|
1-1-0
2.84
|
0-0-2
2.35
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
1-0-1
2.10
|
1-0-1
1.64
|
1-0-1
3.11
|
0-2-0
2.60
|
1-0-1
3.39
|
— |
0-1-1
3.14
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
0-0-2
2.89
|
| Southampton |
0-2-0
1.49
|
0-0-2
2.03
|
1-1-0
2.33
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
0-0-2
1.75
|
1-0-1
2.37
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
1-0-1
2.37
|
1-0-1
1.97
|
1-0-1
2.16
|
0-0-2
1.94
|
0-0-2
1.49
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
1-0-1
2.26
|
0-1-1
2.79
|
1-1-0
2.26
|
— |
0-1-1
2.47
|
1-0-1
2.32
|
2-0-0
2.39
|
| Tottenham |
0-1-1
1.69
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
1-1-0
2.60
|
1-1-0
3.03
|
0-1-1
1.95
|
0-2-0
2.78
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
2-0-0
2.75
|
0-1-1
2.26
|
0-0-2
2.63
|
1-0-1
2.05
|
0-1-1
1.63
|
0-1-1
2.97
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
2-0-0
3.26
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
1-1-0
2.95
|
— |
0-0-2
2.59
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
| West Ham |
0-0-2
1.95
|
0-2-0
2.44
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
0-0-2
3.14
|
1-1-0
2.17
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
2-0-0
2.72
|
1-0-1
2.89
|
0-0-2
2.32
|
1-1-0
2.63
|
1-1-0
2.00
|
0-1-1
1.95
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
2-0-0
2.52
|
1-1-0
3.20
|
1-0-1
2.83
|
1-0-1
3.11
|
2-0-0
2.84
|
— |
0-1-1
2.73
|
| Wimbledon FC |
1-0-1
1.69
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
0-1-1
2.66
|
1-0-1
3.22
|
0-0-2
1.94
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
1-1-0
2.66
|
0-1-1
2.84
|
0-2-0
2.34
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
1.94
|
0-1-1
1.60
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
0-1-1
2.46
|
1-0-1
3.24
|
2-0-0
2.54
|
0-0-2
2.99
|
1-1-0
2.66
|
1-1-0
2.67
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.89% | 8.95% | 5.13% | 3.03% | 0.92% | 0.53% | 31.45% |
| 1 | 8.95% | 11.05% | 7.89% | 3.03% | 1.71% | 1.18% | 33.82% |
| 2 | 5.13% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 1.32% | 0.53% | 0.13% | 20.26% |
| 3 | 3.03% | 3.03% | 1.32% | 1.05% | 0.53% | — | 8.95% |
| 4 | 0.92% | 1.71% | 0.53% | 0.53% | — | — | 3.68% |
| 5+ | 0.53% | 1.18% | 0.13% | — | — | — | 1.84% |
| Total | 31.45% | 33.82% | 20.26% | 8.95% | 3.68% | 1.84% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.26 |
| Mean allowed | 1.26 |
| StdDev scored | 1.24 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.24 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.52 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | 0.020 |
| Sample size (games) | 380 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.42% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 23.68% | 13.16% | — | — | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| Total | 60.53% | 36.84% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 100% |
Arsenal — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.55 |
| Mean allowed | 0.45 |
| StdDev scored | 1.55 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.65 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.00 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.151 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 5.26% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 39.47% | 21.05% | 26.32% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Aston Villa — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.34 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 1.10 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.26 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.55 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.201 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 44.74% |
| 2 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.32% | 31.58% | 26.32% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Blackburn Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.00 |
| Mean allowed | 1.37 |
| StdDev scored | 0.99 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.15 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.37 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.286 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | 44.74% |
| 2 | 5.26% | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 28.95% | 26.32% | 23.68% | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | 100% |
Charlton Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.47 |
| StdDev scored | 1.22 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.31 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.55 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.162 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 18.42% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 39.47% | 44.74% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | 100% |
Chelsea — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.50 |
| Mean allowed | 0.79 |
| StdDev scored | 1.11 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.78 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.29 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.471 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 18.42% | — | — | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 13.16% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 2 | — | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 42.11% | 34.21% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Coventry City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.03 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 1.08 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.05 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.37 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.200 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 36.84% | 23.68% | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | 100% |
Derby County — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.05 |
| Mean allowed | 1.18 |
| StdDev scored | 0.90 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.20 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.24 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.340 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.05% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 44.74% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 36.84% | 26.32% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Everton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 1.24 |
| StdDev scored | 1.45 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.24 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.34 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.120 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 39.47% | 42.11% | 7.89% | 10.53% | — | — | 100% |
Leeds United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.63 |
| Mean allowed | 0.89 |
| StdDev scored | 1.36 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.95 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.53 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.073 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 1 | 15.79% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 36.84% | 31.58% | 21.05% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 100% |
Leicester City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.05 |
| Mean allowed | 1.21 |
| StdDev scored | 0.84 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.42 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.26 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.150 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | — | 2.63% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 21.05% | 36.84% | 34.21% | 7.89% | — | — | 100% |
Liverpool — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.79 |
| Mean allowed | 1.29 |
| StdDev scored | 1.66 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.90 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.08 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.151 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 15.79% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | — | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| Total | 34.21% | 42.11% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | — | 100% |
Manchester United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.11 |
| Mean allowed | 0.97 |
| StdDev scored | 1.72 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.91 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.08 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.156 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | 34.21% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 34.21% | 26.32% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 100% |
Middlesbrough — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.26 |
| Mean allowed | 1.42 |
| StdDev scored | 1.11 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.50 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.68 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.117 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 21.05% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 18.42% | 44.74% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Newcastle United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.26 |
| Mean allowed | 1.42 |
| StdDev scored | 1.31 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.11 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.68 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.060 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 13.16% | 7.89% | — | 5.26% | 42.11% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.79% | 28.95% | 34.21% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 100% |
Nottingham Forest — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.92 |
| Mean allowed | 1.82 |
| StdDev scored | 0.82 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.54 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.74 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.010 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 18.42% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 44.74% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 36.84% | 23.68% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Sheffield Wednesday — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.11 |
| StdDev scored | 1.28 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.01 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.18 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.300 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 44.74% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 26.32% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 5.26% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.68% | 34.21% | 13.16% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 100% |
Southampton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.97 |
| Mean allowed | 1.68 |
| StdDev scored | 1.08 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.60 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.66 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.194 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | — | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 23.68% | 26.32% | 18.42% | — | — | 100% |
Tottenham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.24 |
| Mean allowed | 1.32 |
| StdDev scored | 1.08 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.12 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.55 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.048 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.42% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 42.11% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 15.79% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 42.11% | 28.95% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 100% |
West Ham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.21 |
| Mean allowed | 1.39 |
| StdDev scored | 1.30 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.73 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.61 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.110 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 13.16% | — | 5.26% | 50.00% |
| 2 | — | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 34.21% | 21.05% | 21.05% | — | 5.26% | 100% |
Wimbledon FC — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.05 |
| Mean allowed | 1.66 |
| StdDev scored | 0.90 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.30 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.71 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.085 |
| Games played | 38 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 75 | 63.0 | +11.97 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 67 | 56.9 | +10.14 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 79 | 69.6 | +9.41 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 78 | 68.7 | +9.33 |
| 5 | West Ham | 57 | 49.9 | +7.11 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blackburn Rovers | 35 | 49.4 | -14.38 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest | 30 | 38.0 | -8.04 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 54 | 61.4 | -7.44 |
| 4 | Wimbledon FC | 42 | 49.3 | -7.26 |
| 5 | Charlton Athletic | 36 | 42.7 | -6.69 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 7 | Feb 17 – Apr 3 | 1 in 296 |
| 2 | Charlton Athletic | 3 | Feb 8 – Feb 20 | 1 in 64 |
| 3 | Nottingham Forest | 3 | May 1 – May 16 | 1 in 60 |
| 4 | Southampton | 3 | May 1 – May 16 | 1 in 36 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday | 3 | Feb 6 – Feb 27 | 1 in 27 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlton Athletic | 8 | Nov 21 – Jan 9 | 1 in 461 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 5 | Mar 3 – Apr 3 | 1 in 294 |
| 3 | Southampton | 5 | Aug 16 – Sep 12 | 1 in 119 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 4 | Feb 27 – Mar 21 | 1 in 96 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 3 | Oct 31 – Nov 14 | 1 in 67 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 21 | Aug 22 – Jan 16 | 1 in 1,904 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 11 | Oct 3 – Dec 19 | 1 in 297 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 19 | Dec 20 – May 5 | 1 in 157 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 20 | Dec 26 – May 16 | 1 in 142 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 12 | Aug 15 – Nov 14 | 1 in 69 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nottingham Forest | 19 | Sep 8 – Jan 16 | 1 in 647 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 10 | Jan 30 – Apr 6 | 1 in 158 |
| 3 | Wimbledon FC | 11 | Mar 6 – May 16 | 1 in 80 |
| 4 | Charlton Athletic | 13 | Nov 2 – Jan 31 | 1 in 66 |
| 5 | Newcastle United | 7 | Apr 5 – May 16 | 1 in 37 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 39.00% | 24.00% | 18.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | — | — |
| Arsenal | 33.00% | 29.00% | 17.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chelsea | 10.00% | 24.00% | 12.00% | 18.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | — | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leeds United | 5.00% | 3.00% | 9.00% | 12.00% | 20.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 10.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | — | — |
| West Ham | — | — | 3.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 1.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% |
| Aston Villa | 2.00% | 4.00% | 13.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% | 10.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | — | — | — | — |
| Liverpool | 8.00% | 12.00% | 15.00% | 17.00% | 14.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 3.00% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | — | 2.00% | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | — |
| Derby County | 1.00% | — | 3.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% | — |
| Middlesbrough | — | — | — | — | 2.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 9.00% |
| Leicester City | — | — | 2.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 11.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 8.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% |
| Tottenham | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 8.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 10.00% | 12.00% | 6.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% |
| Sheffield Wednesday | — | — | 2.00% | 2.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 2.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% |
| Newcastle United | 1.00% | 2.00% | 3.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 11.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 9.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% |
| Everton | — | — | — | 2.00% | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 10.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 14.00% | 8.00% | 3.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 8.00% |
| Coventry City | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 8.00% | 4.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 11.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% |
| Wimbledon FC | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 1.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 12.00% | 11.00% | 8.00% | 9.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% |
| Southampton | — | — | — | 1.00% | — | 1.00% | — | — | — | 2.00% | 3.00% | 4.00% | 7.00% | 5.00% | 14.00% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 13.00% | 14.00% | 17.00% |
| Charlton Athletic | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 3.00% | — | 4.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 3.00% | 7.00% | 7.00% | 11.00% | 14.00% | 16.00% | 12.00% |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1.00% | — | — | 3.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | 3.00% | 10.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 11.00% | 12.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 8.00% | 5.00% | 4.00% | 4.00% | 5.00% | 2.00% |
| Nottingham Forest | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 3.00% | 5.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 13.00% | 12.00% | 23.00% | 31.00% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 100% | — |
| Aston Villa | 100% | — |
| Chelsea | 100% | — |
| Manchester United | 100% | — |
| Leeds United | 99.0% | 1.0% |
| Liverpool | 99.0% | 1.0% |
| Derby County | 97.0% | 3.0% |
| Newcastle United | 96.0% | 4.0% |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 94.0% | 6.0% |
| Leicester City | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Blackburn Rovers | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Wimbledon FC | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| West Ham | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| Coventry City | 84.0% | 16.0% |
| Tottenham | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Middlesbrough | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Everton | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| Charlton Athletic | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Southampton | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Nottingham Forest | 34.0% | 66.0% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-08-15 | Derby County | D 0-0 | 1828 | 1808 | 47.3% | 28.6% | 24.1% | -0.6 | 1 |
| 1998-08-15 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1808 | 1828 | 24.1% | 28.6% | 47.3% | +0.6 | 1 |
| 1998-08-15 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1822 | 1863 | 37.3% | 33.0% | 29.7% | +3.7 | 3 |
| 1998-08-15 | @ Coventry City | L 1-2 | 1863 | 1822 | 29.7% | 33.0% | 37.3% | -3.7 | 0 |
| 1998-08-15 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1796 | 1841 | 36.8% | 33.1% | 30.1% | -0.2 | 1 |
| 1998-08-15 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1841 | 1796 | 30.1% | 33.1% | 36.8% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 1998-08-15 | Leicester City | D 2-2 | 1927 | 1830 | 60.5% | 19.4% | 20.1% | -0.7 | 1 |
| 1998-08-15 | @ Manchester United | D 2-2 | 1830 | 1927 | 20.1% | 19.4% | 60.5% | +0.7 | 1 |
| 1998-08-15 | Leeds United | D 0-0 | 1763 | 1839 | 32.2% | 33.4% | 34.3% | +0.0 | 1 |
| 1998-08-15 | @ Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1839 | 1763 | 34.3% | 33.4% | 32.2% | -0.1 | 1 |
| 1998-08-15 | Tottenham | W 3-1 | 1806 | 1814 | 42.6% | 31.1% | 26.3% | +5.8 | 3 |
| 1998-08-15 | @ Wimbledon FC | L 1-3 | 1814 | 1806 | 26.3% | 31.1% | 42.6% | -5.8 | 0 |
| 1998-08-15 | Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1838 | 1748 | 59.5% | 20.2% | 20.4% | -1.1 | 1 |
| 1998-08-15 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1748 | 1838 | 20.4% | 20.2% | 59.5% | +1.1 | 1 |
| 1998-08-15 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1805 | 1817 | 42.0% | 31.4% | 26.6% | -5.0 | 0 |
| 1998-08-15 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | W 1-0 | 1817 | 1805 | 26.6% | 31.4% | 42.0% | +5.0 | 3 |
| 1998-08-16 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1811 | 1892 | 31.6% | 33.4% | 35.0% | -3.9 | 0 |
| 1998-08-16 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 1892 | 1811 | 35.0% | 33.4% | 31.6% | +3.9 | 3 |
| 1998-08-17 | Nottingham Forest | W 2-1 | 1898 | 1777 | 64.8% | 16.3% | 19.0% | +2.0 | 3 |
| 1998-08-17 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1777 | 1898 | 19.0% | 16.3% | 64.8% | -2.0 | 0 |
| 1998-08-22 | Southampton | W 5-0 | 1749 | 1808 | 34.7% | 33.4% | 31.9% | +18.5 | 4 |
| 1998-08-22 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-5 | 1808 | 1749 | 31.9% | 33.4% | 34.7% | -18.5 | 0 |
| 1998-08-22 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1860 | 1837 | 47.8% | 28.3% | 23.9% | -0.6 | 1 |
| 1998-08-22 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1837 | 1860 | 23.9% | 28.3% | 47.8% | +0.6 | 2 |
| 1998-08-22 | Wimbledon FC | D 0-0 | 1809 | 1812 | 43.4% | 30.7% | 25.9% | -0.5 | 2 |
| 1998-08-22 | @ Derby County | D 0-0 | 1812 | 1809 | 25.9% | 30.7% | 43.4% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 1998-08-22 | Everton | W 2-0 | 1831 | 1796 | 50.0% | 26.9% | 23.1% | +5.8 | 4 |
| 1998-08-22 | @ Leicester City | L 0-2 | 1796 | 1831 | 23.1% | 26.9% | 50.0% | -5.8 | 1 |
| 1998-08-22 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1896 | 1900 | 43.3% | 30.8% | 25.9% | -0.5 | 4 |
| 1998-08-22 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1900 | 1896 | 25.9% | 30.8% | 43.3% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 1998-08-22 | Coventry City | W 1-0 | 1775 | 1826 | 35.9% | 33.3% | 30.9% | +4.1 | 3 |
| 1998-08-22 | @ Nottingham Forest | L 0-1 | 1826 | 1775 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -4.1 | 3 |
| 1998-08-22 | Sheffield Wednesday | L 0-3 | 1809 | 1800 | 45.3% | 29.7% | 24.9% | -14.4 | 0 |
| 1998-08-22 | @ Tottenham | W 3-0 | 1800 | 1809 | 24.9% | 29.7% | 45.3% | +14.4 | 3 |
| 1998-08-22 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1822 | 1926 | 28.8% | 32.6% | 38.5% | +0.3 | 4 |
| 1998-08-22 | @ West Ham | D 0-0 | 1926 | 1822 | 38.5% | 32.6% | 28.8% | -0.3 | 2 |
| 1998-08-23 | Middlesbrough | W 3-1 | 1841 | 1763 | 57.3% | 21.8% | 20.9% | +4.2 | 4 |
| 1998-08-23 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-3 | 1763 | 1841 | 20.9% | 21.8% | 57.3% | -4.2 | 1 |
| 1998-08-24 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1839 | 1828 | 45.8% | 29.5% | 24.7% | +3.3 | 4 |
| 1998-08-24 | @ Leeds United | L 0-1 | 1828 | 1839 | 24.7% | 29.5% | 45.8% | -3.3 | 1 |
| 1998-08-29 | Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1900 | 1767 | 66.8% | 14.8% | 18.4% | -1.3 | 5 |
| 1998-08-29 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1767 | 1900 | 18.4% | 14.8% | 66.8% | +1.3 | 5 |
| 1998-08-29 | Leicester City | W 1-0 | 1824 | 1837 | 41.9% | 31.4% | 26.7% | +3.6 | 4 |
| 1998-08-29 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1837 | 1824 | 26.7% | 31.4% | 41.9% | -3.6 | 4 |
| 1998-08-29 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1822 | 1822 | 43.8% | 30.5% | 25.7% | -0.5 | 4 |
| 1998-08-29 | @ Coventry City | D 0-0 | 1822 | 1822 | 25.7% | 30.5% | 43.8% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 1998-08-29 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1790 | 1794 | 43.2% | 30.8% | 25.9% | -5.1 | 1 |
| 1998-08-29 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1794 | 1790 | 25.9% | 30.8% | 43.2% | +5.1 | 3 |
| 1998-08-29 | Derby County | D 1-1 | 1759 | 1808 | 36.1% | 33.2% | 30.7% | -0.1 | 2 |
| 1998-08-29 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1808 | 1759 | 30.7% | 33.2% | 36.1% | +0.1 | 3 |
| 1998-08-29 | Leeds United | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1842 | 39.2% | 32.5% | 28.3% | -0.2 | 5 |
| 1998-08-29 | @ Wimbledon FC | D 1-1 | 1842 | 1813 | 28.3% | 32.5% | 39.2% | +0.2 | 5 |
| 1998-08-29 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1815 | 1845 | 39.1% | 32.5% | 28.4% | -4.8 | 3 |
| 1998-08-29 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | W 1-0 | 1845 | 1815 | 28.4% | 32.5% | 39.1% | +4.8 | 7 |
| 1998-08-29 | Nottingham Forest | L 1-2 | 1789 | 1779 | 45.7% | 29.5% | 24.8% | -5.0 | 0 |
| 1998-08-29 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 1779 | 1789 | 24.8% | 29.5% | 45.7% | +5.0 | 6 |
| 1998-08-30 | Liverpool | L 1-4 | 1837 | 1896 | 34.8% | 33.4% | 31.8% | -10.2 | 2 |
| 1998-08-30 | @ Newcastle United | W 4-1 | 1896 | 1837 | 31.8% | 33.4% | 34.8% | +10.2 | 7 |
| 1998-09-08 | Southampton | W 3-0 | 1842 | 1784 | 53.9% | 24.2% | 21.9% | +7.7 | 8 |
| 1998-09-08 | @ Leeds United | L 0-3 | 1784 | 1842 | 21.9% | 24.2% | 53.9% | -7.7 | 0 |
| 1998-09-08 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-1 | 1926 | 1768 | 70.6% | 12.0% | 17.3% | +4.3 | 5 |
| 1998-09-08 | @ Manchester United | L 1-4 | 1768 | 1926 | 17.3% | 12.0% | 70.6% | -4.3 | 5 |
| 1998-09-08 | Everton | L 0-2 | 1784 | 1785 | 43.8% | 30.5% | 25.7% | -9.7 | 6 |
| 1998-09-08 | @ Nottingham Forest | W 2-0 | 1785 | 1784 | 25.7% | 30.5% | 43.8% | +9.7 | 4 |
| 1998-09-09 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1850 | 1827 | 47.8% | 28.3% | 23.9% | +3.2 | 10 |
| 1998-09-09 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1827 | 1850 | 23.9% | 28.3% | 47.8% | -3.2 | 2 |
| 1998-09-09 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1859 | 1899 | 37.5% | 32.9% | 29.5% | -0.2 | 2 |
| 1998-09-09 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1899 | 1859 | 29.5% | 32.9% | 37.5% | +0.2 | 6 |
| 1998-09-09 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 1-0 | 1808 | 1810 | 43.7% | 30.6% | 25.7% | +3.5 | 6 |
| 1998-09-09 | @ Derby County | L 0-1 | 1810 | 1808 | 25.7% | 30.6% | 43.7% | -3.5 | 3 |
| 1998-09-09 | Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1833 | 1758 | 56.8% | 22.1% | 21.1% | -6.0 | 4 |
| 1998-09-09 | @ Leicester City | W 1-0 | 1758 | 1833 | 21.1% | 22.1% | 56.8% | +6.0 | 5 |
| 1998-09-09 | Coventry City | W 2-0 | 1906 | 1821 | 58.5% | 20.9% | 20.6% | +4.8 | 10 |
| 1998-09-09 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1821 | 1906 | 20.6% | 20.9% | 58.5% | -4.8 | 4 |
| 1998-09-09 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1799 | 1828 | 39.3% | 32.4% | 28.3% | +3.6 | 6 |
| 1998-09-09 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1828 | 1799 | 28.3% | 32.4% | 39.3% | -3.6 | 4 |
| 1998-09-09 | Wimbledon FC | L 3-4 | 1823 | 1812 | 45.7% | 29.5% | 24.8% | -4.6 | 5 |
| 1998-09-09 | @ West Ham | W 4-3 | 1812 | 1823 | 24.8% | 29.5% | 45.7% | +4.6 | 8 |
| 1998-09-12 | Wimbledon FC | W 2-0 | 1853 | 1817 | 50.0% | 26.9% | 23.1% | +5.7 | 13 |
| 1998-09-12 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1817 | 1853 | 23.1% | 26.9% | 50.0% | -5.8 | 8 |
| 1998-09-12 | Derby County | L 1-2 | 1764 | 1812 | 36.4% | 33.2% | 30.5% | -4.3 | 5 |
| 1998-09-12 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1812 | 1764 | 30.5% | 33.2% | 36.4% | +4.3 | 9 |
| 1998-09-12 | Nottingham Forest | W 2-1 | 1859 | 1774 | 58.5% | 20.9% | 20.6% | +2.4 | 5 |
| 1998-09-12 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1774 | 1859 | 20.6% | 20.9% | 58.5% | -2.4 | 6 |
| 1998-09-12 | Leeds United | D 0-0 | 1795 | 1850 | 35.2% | 33.4% | 31.4% | -0.1 | 5 |
| 1998-09-12 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1850 | 1795 | 31.4% | 33.4% | 35.2% | +0.1 | 9 |
| 1998-09-12 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1827 | 1899 | 32.8% | 33.5% | 33.7% | +0.0 | 5 |
| 1998-09-12 | @ Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1899 | 1827 | 33.7% | 33.5% | 32.8% | -0.0 | 7 |
| 1998-09-12 | Coventry City | W 2-0 | 1930 | 1816 | 63.5% | 17.2% | 19.3% | +4.2 | 8 |
| 1998-09-12 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1816 | 1930 | 19.3% | 17.2% | 63.5% | -4.2 | 4 |
| 1998-09-12 | Southampton | W 4-0 | 1824 | 1776 | 52.0% | 25.6% | 22.4% | +10.4 | 5 |
| 1998-09-12 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-4 | 1776 | 1824 | 22.4% | 25.6% | 52.0% | -10.4 | 0 |
| 1998-09-12 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 1806 | 1824 | 41.0% | 31.8% | 27.2% | +10.1 | 6 |
| 1998-09-12 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | L 0-3 | 1824 | 1806 | 27.2% | 31.8% | 41.0% | -10.1 | 4 |
| 1998-09-12 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1818 | 1911 | 30.1% | 33.1% | 36.8% | +4.3 | 8 |
| 1998-09-12 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1911 | 1818 | 36.8% | 33.1% | 30.1% | -4.3 | 10 |
| 1998-09-13 | Middlesbrough | L 0-3 | 1803 | 1764 | 50.5% | 26.6% | 22.9% | -15.3 | 6 |
| 1998-09-13 | @ Tottenham | W 3-0 | 1764 | 1803 | 22.9% | 26.6% | 50.5% | +15.3 | 8 |
| 1998-09-19 | Newcastle United | L 1-5 | 1812 | 1834 | 40.4% | 32.0% | 27.6% | -14.5 | 4 |
| 1998-09-19 | @ Coventry City | W 5-1 | 1834 | 1812 | 27.6% | 32.0% | 40.4% | +14.5 | 8 |
| 1998-09-19 | Leicester City | W 2-0 | 1816 | 1827 | 42.1% | 31.3% | 26.6% | +6.8 | 12 |
| 1998-09-19 | @ Derby County | L 0-2 | 1827 | 1816 | 26.6% | 31.3% | 42.1% | -6.8 | 5 |
| 1998-09-19 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1850 | 1859 | 42.5% | 31.1% | 26.3% | -0.4 | 10 |
| 1998-09-19 | @ Leeds United | D 0-0 | 1859 | 1850 | 26.3% | 31.1% | 42.5% | +0.4 | 14 |
| 1998-09-19 | Charlton Athletic | D 3-3 | 1906 | 1760 | 68.9% | 13.2% | 17.8% | -0.8 | 11 |
| 1998-09-19 | @ Liverpool | D 3-3 | 1760 | 1906 | 17.8% | 13.2% | 68.9% | +0.8 | 6 |
| 1998-09-19 | Everton | D 2-2 | 1780 | 1794 | 41.5% | 31.6% | 26.9% | -0.2 | 9 |
| 1998-09-19 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1794 | 1780 | 26.9% | 31.6% | 41.5% | +0.3 | 6 |
| 1998-09-19 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 2-1 | 1811 | 1816 | 43.1% | 30.9% | 26.0% | +3.3 | 11 |
| 1998-09-19 | @ Wimbledon FC | L 1-2 | 1816 | 1811 | 26.0% | 30.9% | 43.1% | -3.3 | 6 |
| 1998-09-19 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1772 | 1823 | 35.9% | 33.3% | 30.9% | -0.1 | 7 |
| 1998-09-19 | @ Nottingham Forest | D 0-0 | 1823 | 1772 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 35.9% | +0.1 | 9 |
| 1998-09-19 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1766 | 1788 | 40.4% | 32.0% | 27.6% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 1998-09-19 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1788 | 1766 | 27.6% | 32.0% | 40.4% | +0.3 | 7 |
| 1998-09-20 | Manchester United | W 3-0 | 1899 | 1934 | 38.3% | 32.7% | 28.9% | +10.6 | 10 |
| 1998-09-20 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1934 | 1899 | 28.9% | 32.7% | 38.3% | -10.7 | 8 |
| 1998-09-21 | Chelsea | L 3-4 | 1814 | 1861 | 36.5% | 33.1% | 30.3% | -4.0 | 4 |
| 1998-09-21 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 4-3 | 1861 | 1814 | 30.3% | 33.1% | 36.5% | +4.0 | 8 |
| 1998-09-24 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1924 | 1905 | 47.0% | 28.8% | 24.2% | +6.1 | 11 |
| 1998-09-24 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1905 | 1924 | 24.2% | 28.8% | 47.0% | -6.1 | 11 |
| 1998-09-26 | Derby County | W 1-0 | 1859 | 1823 | 50.1% | 26.9% | 23.1% | +3.0 | 17 |
| 1998-09-26 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1823 | 1859 | 23.1% | 26.9% | 50.1% | -3.0 | 12 |
| 1998-09-26 | Coventry City | D 1-1 | 1761 | 1798 | 38.0% | 32.8% | 29.2% | -0.2 | 7 |
| 1998-09-26 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1798 | 1761 | 29.2% | 32.8% | 38.0% | +0.2 | 5 |
| 1998-09-26 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1865 | 1779 | 58.7% | 20.8% | 20.6% | +4.7 | 11 |
| 1998-09-26 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1779 | 1865 | 20.6% | 20.8% | 58.7% | -4.7 | 9 |
| 1998-09-26 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1795 | 1810 | 41.4% | 31.6% | 27.0% | -0.4 | 7 |
| 1998-09-26 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1810 | 1795 | 27.0% | 31.6% | 41.4% | +0.4 | 5 |
| 1998-09-26 | Nottingham Forest | W 2-0 | 1849 | 1772 | 57.2% | 21.9% | 20.9% | +4.9 | 11 |
| 1998-09-26 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1772 | 1849 | 20.9% | 21.9% | 57.2% | -4.9 | 7 |
| 1998-09-26 | Arsenal | W 1-0 | 1813 | 1910 | 29.6% | 33.0% | 37.4% | +4.6 | 9 |
| 1998-09-26 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | L 0-1 | 1910 | 1813 | 37.4% | 33.0% | 29.6% | -4.7 | 10 |
| 1998-09-26 | Leeds United | D 3-3 | 1788 | 1850 | 34.3% | 33.4% | 32.3% | -0.0 | 8 |
| 1998-09-26 | @ Tottenham | D 3-3 | 1850 | 1788 | 32.3% | 33.4% | 34.3% | +0.0 | 11 |
| 1998-09-27 | Wimbledon FC | D 1-1 | 1821 | 1815 | 44.9% | 29.9% | 25.1% | -0.5 | 6 |
| 1998-09-27 | @ Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1815 | 1821 | 25.1% | 29.9% | 44.9% | +0.5 | 12 |
| 1998-09-28 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1823 | 1766 | 53.7% | 24.4% | 21.9% | +2.8 | 12 |
| 1998-09-28 | @ West Ham | L 0-1 | 1766 | 1823 | 21.9% | 24.4% | 53.7% | -2.8 | 1 |
| 1998-10-03 | West Ham | W 3-0 | 1811 | 1826 | 41.5% | 31.6% | 26.9% | +10.0 | 8 |
| 1998-10-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-3 | 1826 | 1811 | 26.9% | 31.6% | 41.5% | -10.0 | 12 |
| 1998-10-03 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1798 | 1862 | 33.9% | 33.5% | 32.7% | -4.1 | 5 |
| 1998-10-03 | @ Coventry City | W 2-1 | 1862 | 1798 | 32.7% | 33.5% | 33.9% | +4.1 | 20 |
| 1998-10-03 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1820 | 1788 | 49.4% | 27.3% | 23.3% | -5.5 | 12 |
| 1998-10-03 | @ Derby County | W 1-0 | 1788 | 1820 | 23.3% | 27.3% | 49.4% | +5.5 | 11 |
| 1998-10-03 | Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1850 | 1820 | 48.9% | 27.6% | 23.5% | -5.5 | 11 |
| 1998-10-03 | @ Leeds United | W 1-0 | 1820 | 1850 | 23.5% | 27.6% | 48.9% | +5.5 | 9 |
| 1998-10-03 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 4-0 | 1775 | 1818 | 37.1% | 33.0% | 29.9% | +14.3 | 12 |
| 1998-10-03 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-4 | 1818 | 1775 | 29.9% | 33.0% | 37.1% | -14.3 | 9 |
| 1998-10-03 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1815 | 1794 | 47.4% | 28.5% | 24.1% | -5.1 | 12 |
| 1998-10-03 | @ Wimbledon FC | W 2-1 | 1794 | 1815 | 24.1% | 28.5% | 47.4% | +5.1 | 10 |
| 1998-10-03 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1767 | 1760 | 45.0% | 29.9% | 25.1% | -5.2 | 7 |
| 1998-10-03 | @ Nottingham Forest | W 1-0 | 1760 | 1767 | 25.1% | 29.9% | 45.0% | +5.2 | 10 |
| 1998-10-03 | Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1763 | 1930 | 23.5% | 27.6% | 48.9% | -8.6 | 1 |
| 1998-10-03 | @ Southampton | W 3-0 | 1930 | 1763 | 48.9% | 27.6% | 23.5% | +8.5 | 14 |
| 1998-10-04 | Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1905 | 1854 | 52.8% | 25.0% | 22.2% | +7.9 | 13 |
| 1998-10-04 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1854 | 1905 | 22.2% | 25.0% | 52.8% | -7.9 | 11 |
| 1998-10-04 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1899 | 1870 | 48.9% | 27.6% | 23.5% | -0.6 | 12 |
| 1998-10-04 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1870 | 1899 | 23.5% | 27.6% | 48.9% | +0.6 | 12 |
| 1998-10-17 | Southampton | D 1-1 | 1913 | 1754 | 70.8% | 11.9% | 17.3% | -1.3 | 14 |
| 1998-10-17 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1754 | 1913 | 17.3% | 11.9% | 70.8% | +1.3 | 2 |
| 1998-10-17 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1870 | 1766 | 62.0% | 18.3% | 19.7% | +2.2 | 15 |
| 1998-10-17 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1766 | 1870 | 19.7% | 18.3% | 62.0% | -2.2 | 10 |
| 1998-10-17 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1799 | 1899 | 29.3% | 32.9% | 37.8% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 1998-10-17 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1899 | 1799 | 37.8% | 32.9% | 29.3% | -0.2 | 13 |
| 1998-10-17 | Wimbledon FC | W 5-1 | 1938 | 1810 | 65.9% | 15.4% | 18.7% | +6.2 | 17 |
| 1998-10-17 | @ Manchester United | L 1-5 | 1810 | 1938 | 18.7% | 15.4% | 65.9% | -6.2 | 12 |
| 1998-10-17 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1789 | 1821 | 38.9% | 32.6% | 28.6% | +3.6 | 15 |
| 1998-10-17 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1821 | 1789 | 28.6% | 32.6% | 38.9% | -3.6 | 8 |
| 1998-10-17 | Derby County | W 2-1 | 1846 | 1814 | 49.3% | 27.4% | 23.4% | +2.9 | 14 |
| 1998-10-17 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1814 | 1846 | 23.4% | 27.4% | 49.3% | -2.9 | 12 |
| 1998-10-17 | Leeds United | D 1-1 | 1761 | 1844 | 31.3% | 33.3% | 35.3% | +0.1 | 8 |
| 1998-10-17 | @ Nottingham Forest | D 1-1 | 1844 | 1761 | 35.3% | 33.3% | 31.3% | -0.1 | 12 |
| 1998-10-17 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1816 | 1866 | 35.9% | 33.2% | 30.8% | -0.1 | 13 |
| 1998-10-17 | @ West Ham | D 0-0 | 1866 | 1816 | 30.8% | 33.2% | 35.9% | +0.1 | 21 |
| 1998-10-18 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 1-0 | 1794 | 1804 | 42.3% | 31.2% | 26.4% | +3.6 | 8 |
| 1998-10-18 | @ Coventry City | L 0-1 | 1804 | 1794 | 26.4% | 31.2% | 42.3% | -3.6 | 9 |
| 1998-10-19 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1826 | 1793 | 49.4% | 27.3% | 23.3% | +2.9 | 12 |
| 1998-10-19 | @ Leicester City | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1826 | 23.3% | 27.3% | 49.4% | -2.9 | 11 |
| 1998-10-24 | Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1866 | 1829 | 50.4% | 26.7% | 23.0% | -0.7 | 22 |
| 1998-10-24 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1829 | 1866 | 23.0% | 26.7% | 50.4% | +0.7 | 13 |
| 1998-10-24 | West Ham | W 4-2 | 1763 | 1815 | 35.7% | 33.3% | 31.0% | +6.0 | 13 |
| 1998-10-24 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 2-4 | 1815 | 1763 | 31.0% | 33.3% | 35.7% | -6.0 | 13 |
| 1998-10-24 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1811 | 1944 | 26.0% | 30.8% | 43.2% | +0.4 | 13 |
| 1998-10-24 | @ Derby County | D 1-1 | 1944 | 1811 | 43.2% | 30.8% | 26.0% | -0.4 | 18 |
| 1998-10-24 | Nottingham Forest | W 5-1 | 1898 | 1762 | 67.4% | 14.3% | 18.3% | +6.0 | 16 |
| 1998-10-24 | @ Liverpool | L 1-5 | 1762 | 1898 | 18.3% | 14.3% | 67.4% | -6.0 | 8 |
| 1998-10-24 | Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1804 | 1793 | 45.8% | 29.5% | 24.7% | -0.4 | 13 |
| 1998-10-24 | @ Wimbledon FC | D 2-2 | 1793 | 1804 | 24.7% | 29.5% | 45.8% | +0.4 | 16 |
| 1998-10-24 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1800 | 1800 | 44.0% | 30.4% | 25.6% | -0.5 | 10 |
| 1998-10-24 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | D 0-0 | 1800 | 1800 | 25.6% | 30.4% | 44.0% | +0.5 | 12 |
| 1998-10-24 | Coventry City | W 2-1 | 1756 | 1797 | 37.3% | 33.0% | 29.7% | +3.7 | 5 |
| 1998-10-24 | @ Southampton | L 1-2 | 1797 | 1756 | 29.7% | 33.0% | 37.3% | -3.8 | 8 |
| 1998-10-24 | Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 1791 | 1849 | 34.8% | 33.4% | 31.8% | +7.9 | 14 |
| 1998-10-24 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1849 | 1791 | 31.8% | 33.4% | 34.8% | -7.9 | 14 |
| 1998-10-25 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1817 | 1912 | 29.8% | 33.0% | 37.1% | -3.8 | 8 |
| 1998-10-25 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1912 | 1817 | 37.1% | 33.0% | 29.8% | +3.8 | 17 |
| 1998-10-25 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1844 | 1873 | 39.4% | 32.4% | 28.2% | -0.3 | 13 |
| 1998-10-25 | @ Leeds United | D 0-0 | 1873 | 1844 | 28.2% | 32.4% | 39.4% | +0.3 | 16 |
| 1998-10-31 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1793 | 1916 | 26.9% | 31.6% | 41.4% | -3.7 | 8 |
| 1998-10-31 | @ Coventry City | W 1-0 | 1916 | 1793 | 41.4% | 31.6% | 26.9% | +3.7 | 20 |
| 1998-10-31 | Leeds United | D 2-2 | 1812 | 1844 | 38.8% | 32.6% | 28.6% | -0.2 | 14 |
| 1998-10-31 | @ Derby County | D 2-2 | 1844 | 1812 | 28.6% | 32.6% | 38.8% | +0.2 | 14 |
| 1998-10-31 | Manchester United | L 1-4 | 1800 | 1944 | 25.1% | 29.9% | 45.0% | -7.8 | 12 |
| 1998-10-31 | @ Everton | W 4-1 | 1944 | 1800 | 45.0% | 29.9% | 25.1% | +7.8 | 21 |
| 1998-10-31 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1829 | 1905 | 32.3% | 33.4% | 34.2% | +4.4 | 16 |
| 1998-10-31 | @ Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1905 | 1829 | 34.2% | 33.4% | 32.3% | -4.4 | 16 |
| 1998-10-31 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1803 | 1813 | 42.3% | 31.2% | 26.4% | -0.4 | 14 |
| 1998-10-31 | @ Wimbledon FC | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1803 | 26.4% | 31.2% | 42.3% | +0.4 | 9 |
| 1998-10-31 | West Ham | L 0-3 | 1841 | 1809 | 49.2% | 27.4% | 23.4% | -15.1 | 14 |
| 1998-10-31 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1809 | 1841 | 23.4% | 27.4% | 49.2% | +15.1 | 16 |
| 1998-10-31 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 1799 | 1759 | 50.7% | 26.4% | 22.8% | -0.8 | 11 |
| 1998-10-31 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | D 0-0 | 1759 | 1799 | 22.8% | 26.4% | 50.7% | +0.8 | 6 |
| 1998-11-01 | Nottingham Forest | D 1-1 | 1793 | 1756 | 50.3% | 26.7% | 23.0% | -0.7 | 17 |
| 1998-11-01 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1756 | 1793 | 23.0% | 26.7% | 50.3% | +0.7 | 9 |
| 1998-11-02 | Charlton Athletic | D 2-2 | 1798 | 1769 | 48.9% | 27.6% | 23.5% | -0.5 | 15 |
| 1998-11-02 | @ Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1769 | 1798 | 23.5% | 27.6% | 48.9% | +0.5 | 14 |
| 1998-11-07 | Tottenham | W 3-2 | 1866 | 1798 | 55.6% | 23.0% | 21.4% | +2.4 | 25 |
| 1998-11-07 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-3 | 1798 | 1866 | 21.4% | 23.0% | 55.6% | -2.4 | 15 |
| 1998-11-07 | Coventry City | L 1-2 | 1814 | 1790 | 48.0% | 28.2% | 23.8% | -5.1 | 9 |
| 1998-11-07 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1790 | 1814 | 23.8% | 28.2% | 48.0% | +5.1 | 11 |
| 1998-11-07 | Leicester City | D 0-0 | 1770 | 1834 | 34.0% | 33.5% | 32.6% | -0.0 | 15 |
| 1998-11-07 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1834 | 1770 | 32.6% | 33.5% | 34.0% | +0.0 | 17 |
| 1998-11-07 | Derby County | L 1-2 | 1900 | 1812 | 59.2% | 20.4% | 20.4% | -5.8 | 16 |
| 1998-11-07 | @ Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1812 | 1900 | 20.4% | 20.4% | 59.2% | +5.8 | 17 |
| 1998-11-07 | Wimbledon FC | L 0-1 | 1756 | 1803 | 36.5% | 33.1% | 30.3% | -4.6 | 9 |
| 1998-11-07 | @ Nottingham Forest | W 1-0 | 1803 | 1756 | 30.3% | 33.1% | 36.5% | +4.6 | 17 |
| 1998-11-07 | Middlesbrough | D 3-3 | 1760 | 1792 | 38.8% | 32.6% | 28.6% | -0.2 | 7 |
| 1998-11-07 | @ Southampton | D 3-3 | 1792 | 1760 | 28.6% | 32.6% | 38.8% | +0.1 | 18 |
| 1998-11-08 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1919 | 1792 | 65.7% | 15.6% | 18.7% | +2.1 | 23 |
| 1998-11-08 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1792 | 1919 | 18.7% | 15.6% | 65.7% | -2.1 | 12 |
| 1998-11-08 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 2-1 | 1844 | 1799 | 51.6% | 25.8% | 22.6% | +2.8 | 17 |
| 1998-11-08 | @ Leeds United | L 1-2 | 1799 | 1844 | 22.6% | 25.8% | 51.6% | -2.8 | 11 |
| 1998-11-08 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1952 | 1826 | 65.6% | 15.7% | 18.8% | -1.3 | 22 |
| 1998-11-08 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1826 | 1952 | 18.8% | 15.7% | 65.6% | +1.3 | 15 |
| 1998-11-08 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1825 | 1873 | 36.3% | 33.2% | 30.5% | -0.1 | 17 |
| 1998-11-08 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1873 | 1825 | 30.5% | 33.2% | 36.3% | +0.1 | 17 |
| 1998-11-14 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1921 | 1796 | 65.5% | 15.7% | 18.8% | -1.3 | 24 |
| 1998-11-14 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1796 | 1921 | 18.8% | 15.7% | 65.5% | +1.3 | 16 |
| 1998-11-14 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1770 | 1792 | 40.3% | 32.1% | 27.7% | -0.3 | 16 |
| 1998-11-14 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1792 | 1770 | 27.7% | 32.1% | 40.3% | +0.3 | 19 |
| 1998-11-14 | Wimbledon FC | W 3-0 | 1873 | 1808 | 55.1% | 23.3% | 21.5% | +7.5 | 20 |
| 1998-11-14 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1808 | 1873 | 21.5% | 23.3% | 55.1% | -7.4 | 17 |
| 1998-11-14 | Leeds United | L 1-3 | 1894 | 1847 | 52.0% | 25.5% | 22.4% | -9.3 | 16 |
| 1998-11-14 | @ Liverpool | W 3-1 | 1847 | 1894 | 22.4% | 25.5% | 52.0% | +9.3 | 20 |
| 1998-11-14 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-2 | 1951 | 1809 | 68.2% | 13.8% | 18.1% | +1.8 | 25 |
| 1998-11-14 | @ Manchester United | L 2-3 | 1809 | 1951 | 18.1% | 13.8% | 68.2% | -1.8 | 9 |
| 1998-11-14 | Sheffield Wednesday | D 1-1 | 1827 | 1796 | 49.2% | 27.4% | 23.4% | -0.6 | 16 |
| 1998-11-14 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1796 | 1827 | 23.4% | 27.4% | 49.2% | +0.6 | 12 |
| 1998-11-14 | Aston Villa | L 1-4 | 1760 | 1868 | 28.3% | 32.4% | 39.2% | -8.8 | 7 |
| 1998-11-14 | @ Southampton | W 4-1 | 1868 | 1760 | 39.2% | 32.4% | 28.3% | +8.8 | 28 |
| 1998-11-14 | Leicester City | W 3-2 | 1824 | 1834 | 42.4% | 31.2% | 26.4% | +3.2 | 20 |
| 1998-11-14 | @ West Ham | L 2-3 | 1834 | 1824 | 26.4% | 31.2% | 42.4% | -3.2 | 17 |
| 1998-11-15 | Everton | W 3-0 | 1795 | 1790 | 44.8% | 30.0% | 25.2% | +9.3 | 14 |
| 1998-11-15 | @ Coventry City | L 0-3 | 1790 | 1795 | 25.2% | 30.0% | 44.8% | -9.3 | 12 |
| 1998-11-16 | Derby County | D 2-2 | 1752 | 1817 | 33.7% | 33.5% | 32.9% | -0.0 | 10 |
| 1998-11-16 | @ Nottingham Forest | D 2-2 | 1817 | 1752 | 32.9% | 33.5% | 33.7% | +0.0 | 18 |
| 1998-11-21 | Liverpool | L 2-4 | 1877 | 1885 | 42.6% | 31.1% | 26.3% | -7.4 | 28 |
| 1998-11-21 | @ Aston Villa | W 4-2 | 1885 | 1877 | 26.3% | 31.1% | 42.6% | +7.4 | 19 |
| 1998-11-21 | Southampton | L 0-2 | 1807 | 1751 | 53.4% | 24.6% | 22.0% | -10.9 | 9 |
| 1998-11-21 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 1751 | 1807 | 22.0% | 24.6% | 53.4% | +10.9 | 10 |
| 1998-11-21 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-1 | 1856 | 1769 | 58.8% | 20.6% | 20.5% | +5.8 | 23 |
| 1998-11-21 | @ Leeds United | L 1-4 | 1769 | 1856 | 20.5% | 20.6% | 58.8% | -5.8 | 16 |
| 1998-11-21 | Chelsea | L 2-4 | 1830 | 1881 | 36.0% | 33.2% | 30.8% | -6.6 | 17 |
| 1998-11-21 | @ Leicester City | W 4-2 | 1881 | 1830 | 30.8% | 33.2% | 36.0% | +6.6 | 23 |
| 1998-11-21 | Coventry City | W 2-0 | 1793 | 1804 | 42.1% | 31.3% | 26.6% | +6.8 | 22 |
| 1998-11-21 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1804 | 1793 | 26.6% | 31.3% | 42.1% | -6.8 | 14 |
| 1998-11-21 | Arsenal | W 1-0 | 1800 | 1920 | 27.2% | 31.8% | 41.1% | +4.9 | 20 |
| 1998-11-21 | @ Wimbledon FC | L 0-1 | 1920 | 1800 | 41.1% | 31.8% | 27.2% | -4.9 | 24 |
| 1998-11-21 | Manchester United | W 3-1 | 1797 | 1952 | 24.2% | 28.7% | 47.0% | +8.8 | 15 |
| 1998-11-21 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | L 1-3 | 1952 | 1797 | 47.0% | 28.7% | 24.2% | -8.8 | 25 |
| 1998-11-21 | Nottingham Forest | W 2-0 | 1797 | 1752 | 51.6% | 25.8% | 22.6% | +5.5 | 19 |
| 1998-11-21 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1752 | 1797 | 22.6% | 25.8% | 51.6% | -5.5 | 10 |
| 1998-11-22 | West Ham | L 0-2 | 1817 | 1828 | 42.3% | 31.2% | 26.5% | -9.5 | 18 |
| 1998-11-22 | @ Derby County | W 2-0 | 1828 | 1817 | 26.5% | 31.2% | 42.3% | +9.5 | 23 |
| 1998-11-23 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1781 | 1826 | 36.7% | 33.1% | 30.2% | +4.0 | 15 |
| 1998-11-23 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1826 | 1781 | 30.2% | 33.1% | 36.7% | -4.0 | 16 |
| 1998-11-28 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1764 | 1785 | 40.5% | 32.0% | 27.5% | -4.6 | 16 |
| 1998-11-28 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1785 | 1764 | 27.5% | 32.0% | 40.5% | +4.6 | 18 |
| 1998-11-28 | Sheffield Wednesday | D 1-1 | 1887 | 1805 | 58.0% | 21.3% | 20.7% | -0.9 | 24 |
| 1998-11-28 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1805 | 1887 | 20.7% | 21.3% | 58.0% | +0.9 | 16 |
| 1998-11-28 | Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1797 | 1824 | 39.7% | 32.3% | 28.0% | -0.3 | 15 |
| 1998-11-28 | @ Coventry City | D 1-1 | 1824 | 1797 | 28.0% | 32.3% | 39.7% | +0.3 | 18 |
| 1998-11-28 | Wimbledon FC | W 3-1 | 1822 | 1805 | 46.9% | 28.9% | 24.3% | +5.3 | 19 |
| 1998-11-28 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1805 | 1822 | 24.3% | 28.9% | 46.9% | -5.3 | 20 |
| 1998-11-28 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1746 | 1870 | 26.8% | 31.5% | 41.7% | +0.3 | 11 |
| 1998-11-28 | @ Nottingham Forest | D 2-2 | 1870 | 1746 | 41.7% | 31.5% | 26.8% | -0.3 | 29 |
| 1998-11-28 | Derby County | L 0-1 | 1762 | 1808 | 36.6% | 33.1% | 30.2% | -4.6 | 10 |
| 1998-11-28 | @ Southampton | W 1-0 | 1808 | 1762 | 30.2% | 33.1% | 36.6% | +4.6 | 21 |
| 1998-11-28 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1837 | 1802 | 49.8% | 27.0% | 23.2% | +2.9 | 26 |
| 1998-11-28 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1802 | 1837 | 23.2% | 27.0% | 49.8% | -2.9 | 19 |
| 1998-11-29 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1915 | 1800 | 63.8% | 17.0% | 19.2% | -1.1 | 25 |
| 1998-11-29 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1800 | 1915 | 19.2% | 17.0% | 63.8% | +1.1 | 23 |
| 1998-11-29 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 1892 | 1796 | 60.6% | 19.4% | 20.1% | +4.5 | 22 |
| 1998-11-29 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1796 | 1892 | 20.1% | 19.4% | 60.6% | -4.5 | 9 |
| 1998-11-29 | Leeds United | W 3-2 | 1944 | 1862 | 58.0% | 21.3% | 20.7% | +2.3 | 28 |
| 1998-11-29 | @ Manchester United | L 2-3 | 1862 | 1944 | 20.7% | 21.3% | 58.0% | -2.3 | 23 |
| 1998-12-05 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1869 | 1946 | 32.2% | 33.4% | 34.4% | +0.1 | 30 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1946 | 1869 | 34.4% | 33.4% | 32.2% | -0.1 | 29 |
| 1998-12-05 | Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1791 | 1759 | 49.4% | 27.3% | 23.3% | +3.1 | 12 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1759 | 1791 | 23.3% | 27.3% | 49.4% | -3.1 | 16 |
| 1998-12-05 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1813 | 1914 | 29.1% | 32.8% | 38.2% | +0.2 | 22 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ Derby County | D 0-0 | 1914 | 1813 | 38.2% | 32.8% | 29.1% | -0.2 | 26 |
| 1998-12-05 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1789 | 1886 | 29.6% | 33.0% | 37.5% | +0.2 | 19 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1886 | 1789 | 37.5% | 33.0% | 29.6% | -0.2 | 25 |
| 1998-12-05 | West Ham | W 4-0 | 1860 | 1840 | 47.2% | 28.6% | 24.1% | +11.6 | 26 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ Leeds United | L 0-4 | 1840 | 1860 | 24.1% | 28.6% | 47.2% | -11.6 | 26 |
| 1998-12-05 | Southampton | W 2-0 | 1824 | 1757 | 55.3% | 23.2% | 21.4% | +5.1 | 21 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ Leicester City | L 0-2 | 1757 | 1824 | 21.4% | 23.2% | 55.3% | -5.1 | 10 |
| 1998-12-05 | Coventry City | W 2-1 | 1800 | 1797 | 44.4% | 30.2% | 25.4% | +3.2 | 23 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ Wimbledon FC | L 1-2 | 1797 | 1800 | 25.4% | 30.2% | 44.4% | -3.2 | 15 |
| 1998-12-05 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1799 | 1897 | 29.5% | 32.9% | 37.6% | +4.4 | 22 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1897 | 1799 | 37.6% | 32.9% | 29.5% | -4.4 | 22 |
| 1998-12-06 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1801 | 1828 | 39.6% | 32.3% | 28.1% | -0.2 | 24 |
| 1998-12-06 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1828 | 1801 | 28.1% | 32.3% | 39.6% | +0.2 | 20 |
| 1998-12-07 | Nottingham Forest | W 3-2 | 1806 | 1746 | 54.2% | 24.0% | 21.8% | +2.5 | 19 |
| 1998-12-07 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | L 2-3 | 1746 | 1806 | 21.8% | 24.0% | 54.2% | -2.5 | 11 |
| 1998-12-09 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1886 | 1869 | 46.7% | 28.9% | 24.3% | +3.1 | 28 |
| 1998-12-09 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1869 | 1886 | 24.3% | 28.9% | 46.7% | -3.1 | 30 |
| 1998-12-12 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1794 | 1828 | 38.6% | 32.6% | 28.8% | -0.2 | 13 |
| 1998-12-12 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1828 | 1794 | 28.8% | 32.6% | 38.6% | +0.2 | 21 |
| 1998-12-12 | Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1813 | 1889 | 32.2% | 33.4% | 34.4% | +0.0 | 23 |
| 1998-12-12 | @ Derby County | D 2-2 | 1889 | 1813 | 34.4% | 33.4% | 32.2% | -0.0 | 29 |
| 1998-12-12 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1790 | 1752 | 50.3% | 26.7% | 23.0% | +3.0 | 22 |
| 1998-12-12 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1752 | 1790 | 23.0% | 26.7% | 50.3% | -3.0 | 10 |
| 1998-12-12 | Nottingham Forest | W 3-1 | 1829 | 1744 | 58.6% | 20.8% | 20.6% | +4.1 | 24 |
| 1998-12-12 | @ Leicester City | L 1-3 | 1744 | 1829 | 20.6% | 20.8% | 58.6% | -4.1 | 11 |
| 1998-12-12 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1800 | 1828 | 39.4% | 32.4% | 28.2% | +3.8 | 27 |
| 1998-12-12 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1828 | 1800 | 28.2% | 32.4% | 39.4% | -3.8 | 26 |
| 1998-12-12 | Charlton Athletic | W 3-0 | 1809 | 1756 | 52.9% | 24.9% | 22.1% | +7.8 | 22 |
| 1998-12-12 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | L 0-3 | 1756 | 1809 | 22.1% | 24.9% | 52.9% | -7.8 | 16 |
| 1998-12-12 | Manchester United | D 2-2 | 1804 | 1946 | 25.2% | 30.0% | 44.7% | +0.3 | 23 |
| 1998-12-12 | @ Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1946 | 1804 | 44.7% | 30.0% | 25.2% | -0.3 | 30 |
| 1998-12-13 | Arsenal | W 3-2 | 1866 | 1914 | 36.4% | 33.2% | 30.4% | +3.6 | 33 |
| 1998-12-13 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-3 | 1914 | 1866 | 30.4% | 33.2% | 36.4% | -3.6 | 26 |
| 1998-12-13 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1803 | 1893 | 30.5% | 33.2% | 36.3% | +4.6 | 26 |
| 1998-12-13 | @ Wimbledon FC | L 0-1 | 1893 | 1803 | 36.3% | 33.2% | 30.5% | -4.6 | 22 |
| 1998-12-14 | Coventry City | W 2-0 | 1871 | 1794 | 57.2% | 21.9% | 20.9% | +4.9 | 29 |
| 1998-12-14 | @ Leeds United | L 0-2 | 1794 | 1871 | 20.9% | 21.9% | 57.2% | -4.9 | 15 |
| 1998-12-16 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1946 | 1889 | 53.6% | 24.5% | 22.0% | -0.8 | 31 |
| 1998-12-16 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1946 | 22.0% | 24.5% | 53.6% | +0.8 | 30 |
| 1998-12-19 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1890 | 1804 | 58.7% | 20.8% | 20.6% | +4.7 | 33 |
| 1998-12-19 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1804 | 1890 | 20.6% | 20.8% | 58.7% | -4.7 | 23 |
| 1998-12-19 | Derby County | D 1-1 | 1789 | 1813 | 40.1% | 32.1% | 27.8% | -0.3 | 16 |
| 1998-12-19 | @ Coventry City | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1789 | 27.8% | 32.1% | 40.1% | +0.3 | 24 |
| 1998-12-19 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 2-0 | 1888 | 1817 | 56.2% | 22.6% | 21.2% | +5.0 | 25 |
| 1998-12-19 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1817 | 1888 | 21.2% | 22.6% | 56.2% | -5.0 | 22 |
| 1998-12-19 | Middlesbrough | L 2-3 | 1945 | 1804 | 67.9% | 13.9% | 18.1% | -5.9 | 31 |
| 1998-12-19 | @ Manchester United | W 3-2 | 1804 | 1945 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 67.9% | +5.9 | 30 |
| 1998-12-19 | Leicester City | W 1-0 | 1828 | 1833 | 43.1% | 30.9% | 26.0% | +3.5 | 24 |
| 1998-12-19 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1833 | 1828 | 26.0% | 30.9% | 43.1% | -3.5 | 24 |
| 1998-12-19 | Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1740 | 1794 | 35.4% | 33.3% | 31.3% | -0.1 | 12 |
| 1998-12-19 | @ Nottingham Forest | D 2-2 | 1794 | 1740 | 31.3% | 33.3% | 35.4% | +0.1 | 14 |
| 1998-12-19 | Wimbledon FC | W 3-1 | 1749 | 1808 | 34.8% | 33.4% | 31.8% | +6.8 | 13 |
| 1998-12-19 | @ Southampton | L 1-3 | 1808 | 1749 | 31.8% | 33.4% | 34.8% | -6.8 | 26 |
| 1998-12-19 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1825 | 1793 | 49.4% | 27.3% | 23.3% | +2.9 | 29 |
| 1998-12-19 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1825 | 23.3% | 27.3% | 49.4% | -2.9 | 22 |
| 1998-12-20 | Leeds United | W 3-1 | 1910 | 1876 | 49.7% | 27.1% | 23.2% | +5.0 | 29 |
| 1998-12-20 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1876 | 1910 | 23.2% | 27.1% | 49.7% | -5.0 | 29 |
| 1998-12-21 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1748 | 1870 | 27.0% | 31.6% | 41.4% | -3.7 | 16 |
| 1998-12-21 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1870 | 1748 | 41.4% | 31.6% | 27.0% | +3.6 | 36 |
| 1998-12-26 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1915 | 1828 | 59.0% | 20.5% | 20.5% | +2.5 | 32 |
| 1998-12-26 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1828 | 1915 | 20.5% | 20.5% | 59.0% | -2.5 | 29 |
| 1998-12-26 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1794 | 1874 | 31.8% | 33.4% | 34.8% | +4.2 | 17 |
| 1998-12-26 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-2 | 1874 | 1794 | 34.8% | 33.4% | 31.8% | -4.2 | 36 |
| 1998-12-26 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1789 | 1799 | 42.2% | 31.3% | 26.5% | -0.4 | 17 |
| 1998-12-26 | @ Coventry City | D 1-1 | 1799 | 1789 | 26.5% | 31.3% | 42.2% | +0.4 | 24 |
| 1998-12-26 | Derby County | D 0-0 | 1790 | 1813 | 40.2% | 32.1% | 27.7% | -0.3 | 23 |
| 1998-12-26 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1813 | 1790 | 27.7% | 32.1% | 40.2% | +0.3 | 25 |
| 1998-12-26 | Nottingham Forest | W 3-0 | 1939 | 1740 | 76.7% | 8.0% | 15.3% | +4.2 | 34 |
| 1998-12-26 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1740 | 1939 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 76.7% | -4.1 | 12 |
| 1998-12-26 | Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1810 | 1893 | 31.3% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -6.7 | 30 |
| 1998-12-26 | @ Middlesbrough | W 3-1 | 1893 | 1810 | 35.3% | 33.3% | 31.3% | +6.7 | 28 |
| 1998-12-26 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1801 | 1745 | 53.5% | 24.5% | 22.0% | +2.7 | 29 |
| 1998-12-26 | @ Wimbledon FC | L 1-2 | 1745 | 1801 | 22.0% | 24.5% | 53.5% | -2.7 | 16 |
| 1998-12-26 | Leeds United | L 0-3 | 1832 | 1871 | 37.6% | 32.9% | 29.5% | -12.8 | 24 |
| 1998-12-26 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1871 | 1832 | 29.5% | 32.9% | 37.6% | +12.8 | 32 |
| 1998-12-26 | Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1812 | 1830 | 41.0% | 31.8% | 27.2% | -4.9 | 22 |
| 1998-12-26 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | W 1-0 | 1830 | 1812 | 27.2% | 31.8% | 41.0% | +4.9 | 27 |
| 1998-12-26 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1756 | 1895 | 25.5% | 30.4% | 44.1% | -6.5 | 13 |
| 1998-12-26 | @ Southampton | W 2-0 | 1895 | 1756 | 44.1% | 30.4% | 25.5% | +6.5 | 36 |
| 1998-12-28 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 2-1 | 1869 | 1807 | 54.7% | 23.7% | 21.6% | +2.6 | 39 |
| 1998-12-28 | @ Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1807 | 1869 | 21.6% | 23.7% | 54.7% | -2.6 | 22 |
| 1998-12-28 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1742 | 1918 | 22.9% | 26.6% | 50.5% | -3.0 | 16 |
| 1998-12-28 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1918 | 1742 | 50.5% | 26.6% | 22.9% | +3.0 | 35 |
| 1998-12-28 | Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 1813 | 1803 | 45.6% | 29.6% | 24.8% | +3.2 | 28 |
| 1998-12-28 | @ Derby County | L 1-2 | 1803 | 1813 | 24.8% | 29.6% | 45.6% | -3.2 | 30 |
| 1998-12-28 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1798 | 50.1% | 26.8% | 23.1% | -0.7 | 28 |
| 1998-12-28 | @ Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1798 | 1835 | 23.1% | 26.8% | 50.1% | +0.6 | 18 |
| 1998-12-28 | Newcastle United | W 4-2 | 1900 | 1819 | 57.8% | 21.4% | 20.8% | +3.7 | 31 |
| 1998-12-28 | @ Liverpool | L 2-4 | 1819 | 1900 | 20.8% | 21.4% | 57.8% | -3.7 | 24 |
| 1998-12-28 | Southampton | D 1-1 | 1735 | 1750 | 41.6% | 31.5% | 26.8% | -0.4 | 13 |
| 1998-12-28 | @ Nottingham Forest | D 1-1 | 1750 | 1735 | 26.8% | 31.5% | 41.6% | +0.3 | 14 |
| 1998-12-28 | Everton | W 4-1 | 1800 | 1789 | 45.7% | 29.5% | 24.8% | +7.7 | 27 |
| 1998-12-28 | @ Tottenham | L 1-4 | 1789 | 1800 | 24.8% | 29.5% | 45.7% | -7.7 | 23 |
| 1998-12-28 | Coventry City | W 2-0 | 1825 | 1788 | 50.1% | 26.8% | 23.1% | +5.7 | 32 |
| 1998-12-28 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1788 | 1825 | 23.1% | 26.8% | 50.1% | -5.7 | 17 |
| 1998-12-29 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1901 | 1943 | 37.3% | 33.0% | 29.8% | -0.2 | 37 |
| 1998-12-29 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1943 | 1901 | 29.8% | 33.0% | 37.3% | +0.2 | 35 |
| 1998-12-29 | Wimbledon FC | D 2-2 | 1884 | 1803 | 57.8% | 21.4% | 20.8% | -0.7 | 33 |
| 1998-12-29 | @ Leeds United | D 2-2 | 1803 | 1884 | 20.8% | 21.4% | 57.8% | +0.7 | 30 |
| 1999-01-09 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1921 | 1903 | 46.9% | 28.9% | 24.3% | -0.6 | 36 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1903 | 1921 | 24.3% | 28.9% | 46.9% | +0.6 | 32 |
| 1999-01-09 | Leeds United | W 1-0 | 1799 | 1883 | 31.2% | 33.3% | 35.5% | +4.5 | 21 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1883 | 1799 | 35.5% | 33.3% | 31.2% | -4.5 | 33 |
| 1999-01-09 | Nottingham Forest | W 4-0 | 1783 | 1735 | 52.0% | 25.5% | 22.4% | +10.4 | 20 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ Coventry City | L 0-4 | 1735 | 1783 | 22.4% | 25.5% | 52.0% | -10.4 | 13 |
| 1999-01-09 | Leicester City | D 0-0 | 1782 | 1834 | 35.7% | 33.3% | 31.0% | -0.1 | 24 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ Everton | D 0-0 | 1834 | 1782 | 31.0% | 33.3% | 35.7% | +0.1 | 29 |
| 1999-01-09 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1800 | 1872 | 32.8% | 33.5% | 33.7% | +0.0 | 31 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1872 | 1800 | 33.7% | 33.5% | 32.8% | -0.0 | 40 |
| 1999-01-09 | Derby County | W 2-1 | 1804 | 1817 | 41.9% | 31.4% | 26.7% | +3.4 | 33 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ Wimbledon FC | L 1-2 | 1817 | 1804 | 26.7% | 31.4% | 41.9% | -3.4 | 28 |
| 1999-01-09 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1815 | 1901 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 35.8% | -4.1 | 24 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1901 | 1815 | 35.8% | 33.3% | 30.9% | +4.1 | 40 |
| 1999-01-09 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1804 | 1808 | 43.4% | 30.7% | 25.9% | -0.5 | 23 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | D 0-0 | 1808 | 1804 | 25.9% | 30.7% | 43.4% | +0.5 | 28 |
| 1999-01-09 | Charlton Athletic | W 3-1 | 1750 | 1739 | 45.8% | 29.5% | 24.7% | +5.5 | 17 |
| 1999-01-09 | @ Southampton | L 1-3 | 1739 | 1750 | 24.7% | 29.5% | 45.8% | -5.4 | 16 |
| 1999-01-10 | West Ham | W 4-1 | 1943 | 1831 | 63.3% | 17.3% | 19.4% | +5.2 | 38 |
| 1999-01-10 | @ Manchester United | L 1-4 | 1831 | 1943 | 19.4% | 17.3% | 63.3% | -5.2 | 32 |
| 1999-01-16 | Coventry City | W 2-1 | 1905 | 1793 | 63.2% | 17.4% | 19.4% | +2.1 | 43 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1905 | 19.4% | 17.4% | 63.2% | -2.1 | 20 |
| 1999-01-16 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1813 | 1804 | 45.6% | 29.6% | 24.8% | +3.3 | 31 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ Derby County | L 0-1 | 1804 | 1813 | 24.8% | 29.6% | 45.6% | -3.4 | 21 |
| 1999-01-16 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1879 | 1800 | 57.4% | 21.7% | 20.9% | +4.9 | 36 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ Leeds United | L 0-2 | 1800 | 1879 | 20.9% | 21.7% | 57.4% | -4.9 | 31 |
| 1999-01-16 | Manchester United | L 2-6 | 1834 | 1948 | 27.7% | 32.1% | 40.2% | -9.5 | 29 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ Leicester City | W 6-2 | 1948 | 1834 | 40.2% | 32.1% | 27.7% | +9.5 | 41 |
| 1999-01-16 | Southampton | W 7-1 | 1904 | 1755 | 69.2% | 13.0% | 17.8% | +8.3 | 35 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ Liverpool | L 1-7 | 1755 | 1904 | 17.8% | 13.0% | 69.2% | -8.3 | 17 |
| 1999-01-16 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1725 | 1920 | 21.9% | 24.3% | 53.9% | -2.8 | 13 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ Nottingham Forest | W 1-0 | 1920 | 1725 | 53.9% | 24.3% | 21.9% | +2.8 | 39 |
| 1999-01-16 | Wimbledon FC | D 0-0 | 1808 | 1808 | 44.0% | 30.4% | 25.6% | -0.5 | 29 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1808 | 1808 | 25.6% | 30.4% | 44.0% | +0.5 | 34 |
| 1999-01-16 | Sheffield Wednesday | L 0-4 | 1826 | 1804 | 47.6% | 28.4% | 24.0% | -19.3 | 32 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ West Ham | W 4-0 | 1804 | 1826 | 24.0% | 28.4% | 47.6% | +19.3 | 26 |
| 1999-01-17 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1733 | 1811 | 32.0% | 33.4% | 34.6% | +0.0 | 17 |
| 1999-01-17 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 2-2 | 1811 | 1733 | 34.6% | 33.4% | 32.0% | -0.0 | 25 |
| 1999-01-18 | Everton | W 3-0 | 1872 | 1782 | 59.5% | 20.2% | 20.3% | +6.7 | 43 |
| 1999-01-18 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1782 | 1872 | 20.3% | 20.2% | 59.5% | -6.7 | 24 |
| 1999-01-30 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1800 | 1808 | 42.8% | 31.0% | 26.2% | -0.4 | 22 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1808 | 1800 | 26.2% | 31.0% | 42.8% | +0.4 | 30 |
| 1999-01-30 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1791 | 1912 | 27.0% | 31.7% | 41.3% | +4.7 | 23 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ Coventry City | L 1-2 | 1912 | 1791 | 41.3% | 31.7% | 27.0% | -4.7 | 35 |
| 1999-01-30 | Nottingham Forest | L 0-1 | 1775 | 1722 | 53.0% | 24.9% | 22.1% | -5.8 | 24 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1722 | 1775 | 22.1% | 24.9% | 53.0% | +5.8 | 16 |
| 1999-01-30 | Leicester City | D 0-0 | 1795 | 1825 | 39.2% | 32.4% | 28.3% | -0.3 | 32 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1825 | 1795 | 28.3% | 32.4% | 39.2% | +0.3 | 30 |
| 1999-01-30 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1808 | 1806 | 44.2% | 30.3% | 25.4% | -0.5 | 35 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ Wimbledon FC | D 0-0 | 1806 | 1808 | 25.4% | 30.3% | 44.2% | +0.5 | 33 |
| 1999-01-30 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1811 | 1879 | 33.4% | 33.5% | 33.1% | +4.0 | 28 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1879 | 1811 | 33.1% | 33.5% | 33.4% | -4.0 | 43 |
| 1999-01-30 | Derby County | L 0-1 | 1823 | 1817 | 45.0% | 29.9% | 25.1% | -5.2 | 26 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | W 1-0 | 1817 | 1823 | 25.1% | 29.9% | 45.0% | +5.2 | 34 |
| 1999-01-30 | Leeds United | W 3-0 | 1747 | 1884 | 25.7% | 30.5% | 43.8% | +14.1 | 20 |
| 1999-01-30 | @ Southampton | L 0-3 | 1884 | 1747 | 43.8% | 30.5% | 25.7% | -14.0 | 36 |
| 1999-01-31 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1923 | 1907 | 46.6% | 29.0% | 24.4% | +3.3 | 42 |
| 1999-01-31 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1907 | 1923 | 24.4% | 29.0% | 46.6% | -3.3 | 43 |
| 1999-01-31 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1733 | 1958 | 20.5% | 20.6% | 58.9% | -2.5 | 17 |
| 1999-01-31 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1958 | 1733 | 58.9% | 20.6% | 20.5% | +2.5 | 44 |
| 1999-02-03 | Derby County | W 1-0 | 1960 | 1822 | 67.6% | 14.2% | 18.2% | +2.0 | 47 |
| 1999-02-03 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1822 | 1960 | 18.2% | 14.2% | 67.6% | -2.0 | 34 |
| 1999-02-06 | Blackburn Rovers | L 1-3 | 1875 | 1800 | 56.8% | 22.1% | 21.1% | -9.8 | 43 |
| 1999-02-06 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1800 | 1875 | 21.1% | 22.1% | 56.8% | +9.8 | 25 |
| 1999-02-06 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1904 | 1761 | 68.3% | 13.7% | 18.0% | +2.0 | 46 |
| 1999-02-06 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1761 | 1904 | 18.0% | 13.7% | 68.3% | -2.0 | 20 |
| 1999-02-06 | Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1869 | 1815 | 53.2% | 24.7% | 22.1% | -5.8 | 36 |
| 1999-02-06 | @ Leeds United | W 1-0 | 1815 | 1869 | 22.1% | 24.7% | 53.2% | +5.8 | 31 |
| 1999-02-06 | Sheffield Wednesday | L 0-2 | 1825 | 1818 | 45.2% | 29.8% | 25.0% | -9.9 | 30 |
| 1999-02-06 | @ Leicester City | W 2-0 | 1818 | 1825 | 25.0% | 29.8% | 45.2% | +9.9 | 29 |
| 1999-02-06 | Middlesbrough | W 3-1 | 1908 | 1795 | 63.3% | 17.3% | 19.4% | +3.7 | 38 |
| 1999-02-06 | @ Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1795 | 1908 | 19.4% | 17.3% | 63.3% | -3.7 | 32 |
| 1999-02-06 | Manchester United | L 1-8 | 1728 | 1962 | 20.0% | 19.3% | 60.7% | -11.9 | 16 |
| 1999-02-06 | @ Nottingham Forest | W 8-1 | 1962 | 1728 | 60.7% | 19.3% | 20.0% | +11.9 | 50 |
| 1999-02-06 | Coventry City | D 0-0 | 1808 | 1796 | 46.0% | 29.3% | 24.6% | -0.6 | 31 |
| 1999-02-06 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1796 | 1808 | 24.6% | 29.3% | 46.0% | +0.6 | 24 |
| 1999-02-06 | Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1807 | 1926 | 27.2% | 31.8% | 41.0% | -13.2 | 33 |
| 1999-02-06 | @ West Ham | W 4-0 | 1926 | 1807 | 41.0% | 31.8% | 27.2% | +13.2 | 45 |
| 1999-02-07 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1820 | 1769 | 52.6% | 25.2% | 22.3% | +2.7 | 37 |
| 1999-02-07 | @ Derby County | L 1-2 | 1769 | 1820 | 22.3% | 25.2% | 52.6% | -2.7 | 24 |
| 1999-02-08 | Wimbledon FC | W 2-0 | 1731 | 1807 | 32.2% | 33.4% | 34.4% | +8.3 | 20 |
| 1999-02-08 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-2 | 1807 | 1731 | 34.4% | 33.4% | 32.2% | -8.3 | 35 |
| 1999-02-13 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1739 | 1911 | 23.2% | 27.0% | 49.8% | +5.5 | 23 |
| 1999-02-13 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1911 | 1739 | 49.8% | 27.0% | 23.2% | -5.5 | 38 |
| 1999-02-13 | Nottingham Forest | W 2-1 | 1794 | 1716 | 57.3% | 21.8% | 20.9% | +2.4 | 36 |
| 1999-02-13 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1716 | 1794 | 20.9% | 21.8% | 57.3% | -2.4 | 16 |
| 1999-02-17 | Leeds United | L 1-2 | 1865 | 1864 | 44.1% | 30.3% | 25.5% | -4.9 | 43 |
| 1999-02-17 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1864 | 1865 | 25.5% | 30.3% | 44.1% | +4.9 | 39 |
| 1999-02-17 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1906 | 1810 | 60.5% | 19.4% | 20.1% | -1.0 | 47 |
| 1999-02-17 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1810 | 1906 | 20.1% | 19.4% | 60.5% | +1.0 | 26 |
| 1999-02-17 | Middlesbrough | W 5-0 | 1766 | 1792 | 39.9% | 32.2% | 27.9% | +16.6 | 27 |
| 1999-02-17 | @ Everton | L 0-5 | 1792 | 1766 | 27.9% | 32.2% | 39.9% | -16.6 | 32 |
| 1999-02-17 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1974 | 1939 | 49.9% | 27.0% | 23.2% | -0.7 | 51 |
| 1999-02-17 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1939 | 1974 | 23.2% | 27.0% | 49.9% | +0.6 | 46 |
| 1999-02-17 | Coventry City | W 4-1 | 1821 | 1796 | 48.1% | 28.1% | 23.8% | +7.3 | 34 |
| 1999-02-17 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-4 | 1796 | 1821 | 23.8% | 28.1% | 48.1% | -7.3 | 24 |
| 1999-02-20 | Leicester City | W 5-0 | 1940 | 1815 | 65.4% | 15.8% | 18.8% | +9.4 | 49 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ Arsenal | L 0-5 | 1815 | 1940 | 18.8% | 15.8% | 65.4% | -9.4 | 30 |
| 1999-02-20 | Sheffield Wednesday | L 1-4 | 1811 | 1828 | 41.2% | 31.7% | 27.1% | -11.4 | 26 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 4-1 | 1828 | 1811 | 27.1% | 31.7% | 41.2% | +11.4 | 32 |
| 1999-02-20 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1789 | 1974 | 22.4% | 25.6% | 52.0% | -2.9 | 24 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ Coventry City | W 1-0 | 1974 | 1789 | 52.0% | 25.6% | 22.4% | +2.9 | 54 |
| 1999-02-20 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-2 | 1822 | 1745 | 57.3% | 21.8% | 20.9% | -11.3 | 37 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ Derby County | W 2-0 | 1745 | 1822 | 20.9% | 21.8% | 57.3% | +11.4 | 26 |
| 1999-02-20 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1869 | 1783 | 58.7% | 20.8% | 20.6% | +2.5 | 42 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ Leeds United | L 0-1 | 1783 | 1869 | 20.6% | 20.8% | 58.7% | -2.5 | 27 |
| 1999-02-20 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 1906 | 1796 | 62.8% | 17.7% | 19.5% | -0.8 | 39 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1796 | 1906 | 19.5% | 17.7% | 62.8% | +0.8 | 37 |
| 1999-02-20 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1775 | 1807 | 38.7% | 32.6% | 28.7% | -0.3 | 33 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1807 | 1775 | 28.7% | 32.6% | 38.7% | +0.3 | 32 |
| 1999-02-20 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1713 | 1905 | 22.1% | 24.7% | 53.2% | -4.6 | 16 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ Nottingham Forest | W 3-1 | 1905 | 1713 | 53.2% | 24.7% | 22.1% | +4.6 | 50 |
| 1999-02-20 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1759 | 1828 | 33.2% | 33.5% | 33.3% | +4.1 | 23 |
| 1999-02-20 | @ Southampton | L 1-2 | 1828 | 1759 | 33.3% | 33.5% | 33.2% | -4.1 | 34 |
| 1999-02-21 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1799 | 1860 | 34.4% | 33.4% | 32.2% | -0.1 | 36 |
| 1999-02-21 | @ Wimbledon FC | D 0-0 | 1860 | 1799 | 32.2% | 33.4% | 34.4% | +0.0 | 44 |
| 1999-02-27 | Coventry City | L 1-4 | 1860 | 1786 | 56.7% | 22.2% | 21.1% | -13.8 | 44 |
| 1999-02-27 | @ Aston Villa | W 4-1 | 1786 | 1860 | 21.1% | 22.2% | 56.7% | +13.8 | 27 |
| 1999-02-27 | Nottingham Forest | D 0-0 | 1756 | 1709 | 52.0% | 25.5% | 22.4% | -0.8 | 27 |
| 1999-02-27 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1709 | 1756 | 22.4% | 25.5% | 52.0% | +0.8 | 17 |
| 1999-02-27 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1909 | 1905 | 44.7% | 30.1% | 25.2% | +3.2 | 53 |
| 1999-02-27 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1905 | 1909 | 25.2% | 30.1% | 44.7% | -3.2 | 39 |
| 1999-02-27 | Wimbledon FC | D 1-1 | 1781 | 1799 | 40.9% | 31.8% | 27.3% | -0.3 | 28 |
| 1999-02-27 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1799 | 1781 | 27.3% | 31.8% | 40.9% | +0.3 | 37 |
| 1999-02-27 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1977 | 1763 | 78.6% | 6.8% | 14.6% | +1.3 | 57 |
| 1999-02-27 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1763 | 1977 | 14.6% | 6.8% | 78.6% | -1.3 | 23 |
| 1999-02-27 | Middlesbrough | W 3-1 | 1839 | 1775 | 55.0% | 23.5% | 21.6% | +4.5 | 35 |
| 1999-02-27 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | L 1-3 | 1775 | 1839 | 21.6% | 23.5% | 55.0% | -4.5 | 33 |
| 1999-02-27 | Derby County | D 1-1 | 1808 | 1811 | 43.4% | 30.7% | 25.9% | -0.4 | 33 |
| 1999-02-27 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1811 | 1808 | 25.9% | 30.7% | 43.4% | +0.4 | 38 |
| 1999-02-27 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-0 | 1797 | 1799 | 43.6% | 30.6% | 25.8% | +6.6 | 40 |
| 1999-02-27 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1799 | 1797 | 25.8% | 30.6% | 43.6% | -6.6 | 26 |
| 1999-02-28 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1824 | 1949 | 26.6% | 31.4% | 42.0% | +0.4 | 35 |
| 1999-02-28 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1949 | 1824 | 42.0% | 31.4% | 26.6% | -0.4 | 50 |
| 1999-03-01 | Leeds United | L 1-2 | 1806 | 1871 | 33.8% | 33.5% | 32.8% | -4.1 | 30 |
| 1999-03-01 | @ Leicester City | W 2-1 | 1871 | 1806 | 32.8% | 33.5% | 33.8% | +4.1 | 45 |
| 1999-03-02 | Southampton | W 3-0 | 1807 | 1762 | 51.6% | 25.8% | 22.6% | +8.1 | 36 |
| 1999-03-02 | @ Tottenham | L 0-3 | 1762 | 1807 | 22.6% | 25.8% | 51.6% | -8.1 | 23 |
| 1999-03-03 | Wimbledon FC | L 1-2 | 1843 | 1799 | 51.4% | 25.9% | 22.6% | -5.3 | 35 |
| 1999-03-03 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | W 2-1 | 1799 | 1843 | 22.6% | 25.9% | 51.4% | +5.3 | 40 |
| 1999-03-06 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1800 | 1755 | 51.5% | 25.9% | 22.6% | +2.8 | 30 |
| 1999-03-06 | @ Coventry City | L 1-2 | 1755 | 1800 | 22.6% | 25.9% | 51.5% | -2.8 | 27 |
| 1999-03-06 | Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1805 | 1802 | 44.5% | 30.2% | 25.3% | -5.2 | 40 |
| 1999-03-06 | @ Wimbledon FC | W 1-0 | 1802 | 1805 | 25.3% | 30.2% | 44.5% | +5.2 | 33 |
| 1999-03-06 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1754 | 1803 | 36.1% | 33.2% | 30.7% | +4.1 | 26 |
| 1999-03-06 | @ Southampton | L 0-1 | 1803 | 1754 | 30.7% | 33.2% | 36.1% | -4.1 | 40 |
| 1999-03-09 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 3-0 | 1949 | 1838 | 63.0% | 17.5% | 19.4% | +6.2 | 53 |
| 1999-03-09 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1838 | 1949 | 19.4% | 17.5% | 63.0% | -6.2 | 35 |
| 1999-03-10 | Everton | L 1-2 | 1793 | 1780 | 46.0% | 29.3% | 24.6% | -5.0 | 26 |
| 1999-03-10 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1780 | 1793 | 24.6% | 29.3% | 46.0% | +5.0 | 31 |
| 1999-03-10 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1812 | 1846 | 38.4% | 32.7% | 28.9% | +3.7 | 41 |
| 1999-03-10 | @ Derby County | L 1-2 | 1846 | 1812 | 28.9% | 32.7% | 38.4% | -3.7 | 44 |
| 1999-03-10 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1875 | 1815 | 54.2% | 24.0% | 21.8% | +5.2 | 48 |
| 1999-03-10 | @ Leeds United | L 0-2 | 1815 | 1875 | 21.8% | 24.0% | 54.2% | -5.2 | 36 |
| 1999-03-10 | Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1709 | 1824 | 27.6% | 32.1% | 40.3% | -3.5 | 17 |
| 1999-03-10 | @ Nottingham Forest | W 2-1 | 1824 | 1709 | 40.3% | 32.1% | 27.6% | +3.5 | 38 |
| 1999-03-13 | West Ham | L 0-1 | 1913 | 1799 | 63.4% | 17.2% | 19.3% | -6.4 | 53 |
| 1999-03-13 | @ Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1799 | 1913 | 19.3% | 17.2% | 63.4% | +6.4 | 43 |
| 1999-03-13 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1803 | 1788 | 46.5% | 29.1% | 24.4% | -0.5 | 31 |
| 1999-03-13 | @ Coventry City | D 1-1 | 1788 | 1803 | 24.4% | 29.1% | 46.5% | +0.5 | 27 |
| 1999-03-13 | Liverpool | W 3-2 | 1815 | 1902 | 30.9% | 33.2% | 35.9% | +4.0 | 44 |
| 1999-03-13 | @ Derby County | L 2-3 | 1902 | 1815 | 35.9% | 33.2% | 30.9% | -4.0 | 39 |
| 1999-03-13 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1785 | 1955 | 23.3% | 27.3% | 49.5% | -5.8 | 31 |
| 1999-03-13 | @ Everton | W 2-0 | 1955 | 1785 | 49.5% | 27.3% | 23.3% | +5.8 | 56 |
| 1999-03-13 | Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1807 | 1753 | 53.2% | 24.7% | 22.1% | -0.8 | 34 |
| 1999-03-13 | @ Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1753 | 1807 | 22.1% | 24.7% | 53.2% | +0.8 | 28 |
| 1999-03-13 | Nottingham Forest | L 1-3 | 1800 | 1706 | 60.1% | 19.7% | 20.2% | -10.1 | 40 |
| 1999-03-13 | @ Wimbledon FC | W 3-1 | 1706 | 1800 | 20.2% | 19.7% | 60.1% | +10.1 | 20 |
| 1999-03-13 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1828 | 1978 | 24.6% | 29.3% | 46.0% | -3.1 | 38 |
| 1999-03-13 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1978 | 1828 | 46.0% | 29.3% | 24.6% | +3.1 | 60 |
| 1999-03-13 | Leeds United | L 0-2 | 1832 | 1880 | 36.2% | 33.2% | 30.6% | -8.6 | 35 |
| 1999-03-13 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | W 2-0 | 1880 | 1832 | 30.6% | 33.2% | 36.2% | +8.6 | 51 |
| 1999-03-13 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1810 | 1843 | 38.7% | 32.6% | 28.7% | +3.9 | 39 |
| 1999-03-13 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1843 | 1810 | 28.7% | 32.6% | 38.7% | -3.9 | 44 |
| 1999-03-14 | Southampton | W 3-0 | 1770 | 1758 | 46.0% | 29.4% | 24.6% | +9.1 | 36 |
| 1999-03-14 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-3 | 1758 | 1770 | 24.6% | 29.4% | 46.0% | -9.1 | 26 |
| 1999-03-20 | Coventry City | W 2-0 | 1961 | 1802 | 70.9% | 11.8% | 17.3% | +3.4 | 59 |
| 1999-03-20 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1802 | 1961 | 17.3% | 11.8% | 70.9% | -3.5 | 31 |
| 1999-03-20 | Wimbledon FC | W 3-1 | 1788 | 1790 | 43.7% | 30.6% | 25.7% | +5.7 | 30 |
| 1999-03-20 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 1-3 | 1790 | 1788 | 25.7% | 30.6% | 43.7% | -5.7 | 40 |
| 1999-03-20 | Derby County | W 4-1 | 1889 | 1819 | 55.9% | 22.8% | 21.3% | +6.2 | 54 |
| 1999-03-20 | @ Leeds United | L 1-4 | 1819 | 1889 | 21.3% | 22.8% | 55.9% | -6.2 | 44 |
| 1999-03-20 | Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1716 | 1779 | 34.1% | 33.5% | 32.5% | -4.1 | 20 |
| 1999-03-20 | @ Nottingham Forest | W 2-1 | 1779 | 1716 | 32.5% | 33.5% | 34.1% | +4.1 | 39 |
| 1999-03-20 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 1-0 | 1749 | 1823 | 32.5% | 33.5% | 34.1% | +4.4 | 29 |
| 1999-03-20 | @ Southampton | L 0-1 | 1823 | 1749 | 34.1% | 33.5% | 32.5% | -4.4 | 35 |
| 1999-03-20 | Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 1806 | 1825 | 40.8% | 31.9% | 27.3% | +7.0 | 46 |
| 1999-03-20 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1825 | 1806 | 27.3% | 31.9% | 40.8% | -7.0 | 38 |
| 1999-03-21 | Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1839 | 1906 | 33.4% | 33.5% | 33.1% | -11.8 | 44 |
| 1999-03-21 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 1906 | 1839 | 33.1% | 33.5% | 33.4% | +11.8 | 56 |
| 1999-03-21 | Everton | W 3-1 | 1981 | 1779 | 77.1% | 7.8% | 15.2% | +2.5 | 63 |
| 1999-03-21 | @ Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1779 | 1981 | 15.2% | 7.8% | 77.1% | -2.4 | 31 |
| 1999-04-02 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1827 | 1813 | 46.3% | 29.2% | 24.5% | -0.6 | 45 |
| 1999-04-02 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1813 | 1827 | 24.5% | 29.2% | 46.3% | +0.6 | 47 |
| 1999-04-03 | Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1794 | 1783 | 45.7% | 29.5% | 24.8% | -0.6 | 31 |
| 1999-04-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1783 | 1794 | 24.8% | 29.5% | 45.7% | +0.6 | 40 |
| 1999-04-03 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1753 | 1918 | 23.6% | 27.8% | 48.6% | -3.1 | 28 |
| 1999-04-03 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1918 | 1753 | 48.6% | 27.8% | 23.6% | +3.2 | 59 |
| 1999-04-03 | Newcastle United | L 3-4 | 1813 | 1818 | 43.2% | 30.8% | 26.0% | -4.4 | 44 |
| 1999-04-03 | @ Derby County | W 4-3 | 1818 | 1813 | 26.0% | 30.8% | 43.2% | +4.4 | 41 |
| 1999-04-03 | Nottingham Forest | W 3-1 | 1895 | 1712 | 74.5% | 9.4% | 16.1% | +2.7 | 57 |
| 1999-04-03 | @ Leeds United | L 1-3 | 1712 | 1895 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 74.5% | -2.7 | 20 |
| 1999-04-03 | Everton | W 3-2 | 1898 | 1777 | 64.7% | 16.3% | 19.0% | +1.9 | 42 |
| 1999-04-03 | @ Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1777 | 1898 | 19.0% | 16.3% | 64.7% | -1.9 | 31 |
| 1999-04-03 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1784 | 1983 | 21.7% | 23.8% | 54.6% | +0.8 | 41 |
| 1999-04-03 | @ Wimbledon FC | D 1-1 | 1983 | 1784 | 54.6% | 23.8% | 21.7% | -0.8 | 64 |
| 1999-04-03 | Coventry City | L 1-2 | 1819 | 1799 | 47.4% | 28.5% | 24.1% | -5.1 | 35 |
| 1999-04-03 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | W 2-1 | 1799 | 1819 | 24.1% | 28.5% | 47.4% | +5.1 | 34 |
| 1999-04-03 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1753 | 1964 | 21.1% | 22.3% | 56.6% | +1.0 | 30 |
| 1999-04-03 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1964 | 1753 | 56.6% | 22.3% | 21.1% | -1.0 | 60 |
| 1999-04-03 | Leicester City | L 0-2 | 1814 | 1806 | 45.3% | 29.8% | 25.0% | -9.9 | 39 |
| 1999-04-03 | @ Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1806 | 1814 | 25.0% | 29.8% | 45.3% | +9.9 | 37 |
| 1999-04-05 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1804 | 1754 | 52.4% | 25.3% | 22.3% | +2.9 | 37 |
| 1999-04-05 | @ Coventry City | L 0-1 | 1754 | 1804 | 22.3% | 25.3% | 52.4% | -2.9 | 30 |
| 1999-04-05 | Sheffield Wednesday | L 1-2 | 1775 | 1814 | 37.7% | 32.9% | 29.4% | -4.4 | 31 |
| 1999-04-05 | @ Everton | W 2-1 | 1814 | 1775 | 29.4% | 32.9% | 37.7% | +4.4 | 38 |
| 1999-04-05 | Wimbledon FC | W 3-1 | 1784 | 1785 | 43.9% | 30.5% | 25.7% | +5.7 | 43 |
| 1999-04-05 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-3 | 1785 | 1784 | 25.7% | 30.5% | 43.9% | -5.7 | 41 |
| 1999-04-05 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1822 | 1804 | 47.0% | 28.7% | 24.2% | -0.5 | 42 |
| 1999-04-05 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1804 | 1822 | 24.2% | 28.7% | 47.0% | +0.5 | 40 |
| 1999-04-05 | Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1709 | 1900 | 22.1% | 24.9% | 53.0% | +0.6 | 21 |
| 1999-04-05 | @ Nottingham Forest | D 2-2 | 1900 | 1709 | 53.0% | 24.9% | 22.1% | -0.6 | 43 |
| 1999-04-05 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1813 | 1750 | 54.7% | 23.6% | 21.6% | -5.9 | 47 |
| 1999-04-05 | @ West Ham | W 1-0 | 1750 | 1813 | 21.6% | 23.6% | 54.7% | +5.9 | 31 |
| 1999-04-06 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1964 | 1793 | 72.6% | 10.7% | 16.7% | +1.7 | 63 |
| 1999-04-06 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1793 | 1964 | 16.7% | 10.7% | 72.6% | -1.7 | 31 |
| 1999-04-06 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1816 | 1826 | 42.2% | 31.3% | 26.5% | -0.3 | 38 |
| 1999-04-06 | @ Leicester City | D 2-2 | 1826 | 1816 | 26.5% | 31.3% | 42.2% | +0.3 | 46 |
| 1999-04-10 | Southampton | W 3-0 | 1827 | 1751 | 56.9% | 22.1% | 21.0% | +7.2 | 49 |
| 1999-04-10 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1751 | 1827 | 21.0% | 22.1% | 56.9% | -7.2 | 30 |
| 1999-04-10 | Nottingham Forest | W 1-0 | 1809 | 1710 | 61.0% | 19.1% | 20.0% | +2.4 | 47 |
| 1999-04-10 | @ Derby County | L 0-1 | 1710 | 1809 | 20.0% | 19.1% | 61.0% | -2.4 | 21 |
| 1999-04-10 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1816 | 1807 | 45.3% | 29.7% | 24.9% | -0.5 | 39 |
| 1999-04-10 | @ Leicester City | D 0-0 | 1807 | 1816 | 24.9% | 29.7% | 45.3% | +0.5 | 48 |
| 1999-04-10 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-0 | 1790 | 1756 | 49.6% | 27.1% | 23.2% | +5.8 | 46 |
| 1999-04-10 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1756 | 1790 | 23.2% | 27.1% | 49.6% | -5.8 | 31 |
| 1999-04-11 | Coventry City | W 2-0 | 1771 | 1807 | 38.2% | 32.8% | 29.1% | +7.4 | 34 |
| 1999-04-11 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1807 | 1771 | 29.1% | 32.8% | 38.2% | -7.3 | 37 |
| 1999-04-11 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1779 | 1921 | 25.2% | 30.0% | 44.8% | -3.2 | 41 |
| 1999-04-11 | @ Wimbledon FC | W 2-1 | 1921 | 1779 | 44.8% | 30.0% | 25.2% | +3.2 | 62 |
| 1999-04-12 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1898 | 1899 | 43.8% | 30.6% | 25.7% | -0.5 | 58 |
| 1999-04-12 | @ Leeds United | D 0-0 | 1899 | 1898 | 25.7% | 30.6% | 43.8% | +0.5 | 44 |
| 1999-04-14 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1795 | 1924 | 26.3% | 31.1% | 42.6% | +0.4 | 47 |
| 1999-04-14 | @ Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1924 | 1795 | 42.6% | 31.1% | 26.3% | -0.4 | 63 |
| 1999-04-17 | Leeds United | D 1-1 | 1750 | 1897 | 24.8% | 29.6% | 45.6% | +0.5 | 32 |
| 1999-04-17 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1897 | 1750 | 45.6% | 29.6% | 24.8% | -0.5 | 59 |
| 1999-04-17 | Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1799 | 1796 | 44.5% | 30.2% | 25.3% | -4.9 | 37 |
| 1999-04-17 | @ Coventry City | W 2-1 | 1796 | 1799 | 25.3% | 30.2% | 44.5% | +4.9 | 50 |
| 1999-04-17 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1900 | 1834 | 55.2% | 23.3% | 21.5% | -5.9 | 44 |
| 1999-04-17 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1834 | 1900 | 21.5% | 23.3% | 55.2% | +5.9 | 52 |
| 1999-04-17 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 3-0 | 1983 | 1818 | 71.7% | 11.3% | 17.0% | +4.9 | 67 |
| 1999-04-17 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1818 | 1983 | 17.0% | 11.3% | 71.7% | -4.9 | 38 |
| 1999-04-17 | Everton | L 1-3 | 1822 | 1778 | 51.4% | 26.0% | 22.6% | -9.2 | 42 |
| 1999-04-17 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 1778 | 1822 | 22.6% | 26.0% | 51.4% | +9.2 | 37 |
| 1999-04-17 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1707 | 1805 | 29.6% | 32.9% | 37.5% | -4.0 | 21 |
| 1999-04-17 | @ Nottingham Forest | W 1-0 | 1805 | 1707 | 37.5% | 32.9% | 29.6% | +4.0 | 43 |
| 1999-04-17 | Blackburn Rovers | D 3-3 | 1744 | 1792 | 36.4% | 33.2% | 30.4% | -0.1 | 31 |
| 1999-04-17 | @ Southampton | D 3-3 | 1792 | 1744 | 30.4% | 33.2% | 36.4% | +0.1 | 32 |
| 1999-04-17 | Derby County | W 5-1 | 1808 | 1811 | 43.5% | 30.7% | 25.9% | +10.4 | 51 |
| 1999-04-17 | @ West Ham | L 1-5 | 1811 | 1808 | 25.9% | 30.7% | 43.5% | -10.4 | 47 |
| 1999-04-18 | Leicester City | D 2-2 | 1924 | 1815 | 62.7% | 17.8% | 19.5% | -0.8 | 64 |
| 1999-04-18 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1815 | 1924 | 19.5% | 17.8% | 62.7% | +0.8 | 40 |
| 1999-04-19 | Wimbledon FC | W 5-1 | 1965 | 1776 | 75.4% | 8.8% | 15.8% | +4.7 | 66 |
| 1999-04-19 | @ Arsenal | L 1-5 | 1776 | 1965 | 15.8% | 8.8% | 75.4% | -4.7 | 41 |
| 1999-04-20 | Tottenham | L 1-4 | 1751 | 1808 | 34.9% | 33.4% | 31.7% | -10.3 | 32 |
| 1999-04-20 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 4-1 | 1808 | 1751 | 31.7% | 33.4% | 34.9% | +10.3 | 46 |
| 1999-04-21 | Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1894 | 1816 | 57.3% | 21.8% | 20.9% | -6.0 | 44 |
| 1999-04-21 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1816 | 1894 | 20.9% | 21.8% | 57.3% | +6.0 | 43 |
| 1999-04-21 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1813 | 44.1% | 30.4% | 25.5% | -0.4 | 39 |
| 1999-04-21 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1813 | 25.5% | 30.4% | 44.1% | +0.4 | 43 |
| 1999-04-24 | Nottingham Forest | W 2-0 | 1840 | 1703 | 67.2% | 14.4% | 18.3% | +3.8 | 55 |
| 1999-04-24 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1703 | 1840 | 18.3% | 14.4% | 67.2% | -3.8 | 21 |
| 1999-04-24 | Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1792 | 1888 | 29.7% | 33.0% | 37.3% | -6.5 | 32 |
| 1999-04-24 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 1888 | 1792 | 37.3% | 33.0% | 29.7% | +6.5 | 47 |
| 1999-04-24 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 1801 | 1744 | 53.6% | 24.4% | 22.0% | -0.9 | 48 |
| 1999-04-24 | @ Derby County | D 0-0 | 1744 | 1801 | 22.0% | 24.4% | 53.6% | +0.9 | 32 |
| 1999-04-24 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-1 | 1787 | 1740 | 51.9% | 25.6% | 22.5% | +6.8 | 40 |
| 1999-04-24 | @ Everton | L 1-4 | 1740 | 1787 | 22.5% | 25.6% | 51.9% | -6.8 | 32 |
| 1999-04-24 | Coventry City | W 1-0 | 1822 | 1794 | 48.6% | 27.8% | 23.6% | +3.1 | 46 |
| 1999-04-24 | @ Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1794 | 1822 | 23.6% | 27.8% | 48.6% | -3.1 | 37 |
| 1999-04-24 | Arsenal | L 1-6 | 1801 | 1970 | 23.3% | 27.3% | 49.3% | -11.3 | 50 |
| 1999-04-24 | @ Middlesbrough | W 6-1 | 1970 | 1801 | 49.3% | 27.3% | 23.3% | +11.3 | 69 |
| 1999-04-24 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1771 | 1813 | 37.2% | 33.0% | 29.8% | -0.2 | 42 |
| 1999-04-24 | @ Wimbledon FC | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1771 | 29.8% | 33.0% | 37.2% | +0.2 | 44 |
| 1999-04-24 | West Ham | L 1-2 | 1819 | 1818 | 44.0% | 30.4% | 25.6% | -4.9 | 46 |
| 1999-04-24 | @ Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1818 | 1819 | 25.6% | 30.4% | 44.0% | +4.8 | 54 |
| 1999-04-25 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1897 | 1988 | 30.3% | 33.1% | 36.5% | +0.1 | 60 |
| 1999-04-25 | @ Leeds United | D 1-1 | 1988 | 1897 | 36.5% | 33.1% | 30.3% | -0.1 | 68 |
| 1999-04-25 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1813 | 1923 | 28.1% | 32.3% | 39.6% | +0.3 | 40 |
| 1999-04-25 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | D 0-0 | 1923 | 1813 | 39.6% | 32.3% | 28.1% | -0.3 | 65 |
| 1999-05-01 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1734 | 1785 | 35.8% | 33.3% | 30.9% | -0.1 | 33 |
| 1999-05-01 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1785 | 1734 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 35.8% | +0.1 | 33 |
| 1999-05-01 | Everton | W 3-1 | 1923 | 1794 | 66.1% | 15.3% | 18.6% | +3.4 | 68 |
| 1999-05-01 | @ Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1794 | 1923 | 18.6% | 15.3% | 66.1% | -3.4 | 40 |
| 1999-05-01 | Wimbledon FC | W 2-1 | 1791 | 1771 | 47.4% | 28.5% | 24.1% | +3.0 | 40 |
| 1999-05-01 | @ Coventry City | L 1-2 | 1771 | 1791 | 24.1% | 28.5% | 47.4% | -3.0 | 42 |
| 1999-05-01 | Tottenham | W 3-2 | 1894 | 1814 | 57.7% | 21.5% | 20.8% | +2.3 | 50 |
| 1999-05-01 | @ Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1814 | 1894 | 20.8% | 21.5% | 57.7% | -2.3 | 46 |
| 1999-05-01 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1987 | 1843 | 68.5% | 13.5% | 18.0% | +1.8 | 71 |
| 1999-05-01 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1843 | 1987 | 18.0% | 13.5% | 68.5% | -1.8 | 55 |
| 1999-05-01 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1789 | 47.9% | 28.2% | 23.8% | -0.6 | 45 |
| 1999-05-01 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1789 | 1813 | 23.8% | 28.2% | 47.9% | +0.6 | 51 |
| 1999-05-01 | Sheffield Wednesday | W 2-0 | 1700 | 1813 | 27.8% | 32.1% | 40.1% | +9.2 | 24 |
| 1999-05-01 | @ Nottingham Forest | L 0-2 | 1813 | 1700 | 40.1% | 32.1% | 27.8% | -9.2 | 40 |
| 1999-05-01 | Leicester City | W 2-1 | 1745 | 1825 | 31.7% | 33.4% | 34.9% | +4.2 | 35 |
| 1999-05-01 | @ Southampton | L 1-2 | 1825 | 1745 | 34.9% | 33.4% | 31.7% | -4.2 | 46 |
| 1999-05-01 | Leeds United | L 1-5 | 1823 | 1897 | 32.6% | 33.5% | 34.0% | -12.7 | 54 |
| 1999-05-01 | @ West Ham | W 5-1 | 1897 | 1823 | 34.0% | 33.5% | 32.6% | +12.7 | 63 |
| 1999-05-02 | Derby County | W 1-0 | 1981 | 1800 | 74.3% | 9.6% | 16.2% | +1.7 | 72 |
| 1999-05-02 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1800 | 1981 | 16.2% | 9.6% | 74.3% | -1.7 | 48 |
| 1999-05-05 | Derby County | L 1-2 | 1821 | 1798 | 47.8% | 28.3% | 23.9% | -5.1 | 46 |
| 1999-05-05 | @ Leicester City | W 2-1 | 1798 | 1821 | 23.9% | 28.3% | 47.8% | +5.1 | 51 |
| 1999-05-05 | Manchester United | D 2-2 | 1896 | 1989 | 30.1% | 33.1% | 36.8% | +0.1 | 51 |
| 1999-05-05 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1989 | 1896 | 36.8% | 33.1% | 30.1% | -0.1 | 72 |
| 1999-05-05 | Leeds United | W 1-0 | 1926 | 1910 | 46.8% | 28.9% | 24.3% | +3.3 | 71 |
| 1999-05-05 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1910 | 1926 | 24.3% | 28.9% | 46.8% | -3.3 | 63 |
| 1999-05-05 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1812 | 1983 | 23.2% | 27.1% | 49.7% | -5.0 | 46 |
| 1999-05-05 | @ Tottenham | W 3-1 | 1983 | 1812 | 49.7% | 27.1% | 23.2% | +5.0 | 75 |
| 1999-05-08 | Charlton Athletic | L 3-4 | 1842 | 1734 | 62.5% | 17.9% | 19.6% | -5.5 | 55 |
| 1999-05-08 | @ Aston Villa | W 4-3 | 1734 | 1842 | 19.6% | 17.9% | 62.5% | +5.5 | 36 |
| 1999-05-08 | Nottingham Forest | L 1-2 | 1785 | 1709 | 57.1% | 21.9% | 21.0% | -5.7 | 33 |
| 1999-05-08 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1709 | 1785 | 21.0% | 21.9% | 57.1% | +5.7 | 27 |
| 1999-05-08 | Coventry City | D 0-0 | 1803 | 1794 | 45.5% | 29.7% | 24.9% | -0.5 | 52 |
| 1999-05-08 | @ Derby County | D 0-0 | 1794 | 1803 | 24.9% | 29.7% | 45.5% | +0.5 | 41 |
| 1999-05-08 | West Ham | W 6-0 | 1791 | 1811 | 40.7% | 31.9% | 27.4% | +19.4 | 43 |
| 1999-05-08 | @ Everton | L 0-6 | 1811 | 1791 | 27.4% | 31.9% | 40.7% | -19.4 | 54 |
| 1999-05-08 | Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 1816 | 1813 | 44.5% | 30.2% | 25.3% | +6.5 | 49 |
| 1999-05-08 | @ Leicester City | L 0-2 | 1813 | 1816 | 25.3% | 30.2% | 44.5% | -6.5 | 45 |
| 1999-05-08 | Southampton | L 0-2 | 1768 | 1749 | 47.1% | 28.7% | 24.2% | -10.1 | 42 |
| 1999-05-08 | @ Wimbledon FC | W 2-0 | 1749 | 1768 | 24.2% | 28.7% | 47.1% | +10.1 | 38 |
| 1999-05-08 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1804 | 1897 | 30.1% | 33.1% | 36.8% | +4.6 | 43 |
| 1999-05-08 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | L 0-1 | 1897 | 1804 | 36.8% | 33.1% | 30.1% | -4.6 | 51 |
| 1999-05-09 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1790 | 1989 | 21.7% | 23.8% | 54.5% | -2.8 | 51 |
| 1999-05-09 | @ Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1989 | 1790 | 54.5% | 23.8% | 21.7% | +2.8 | 75 |
| 1999-05-10 | Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1807 | 1930 | 26.9% | 31.6% | 41.6% | +0.2 | 47 |
| 1999-05-10 | @ Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1930 | 1807 | 41.6% | 31.6% | 26.9% | -0.2 | 72 |
| 1999-05-11 | Arsenal | W 1-0 | 1906 | 1988 | 31.5% | 33.4% | 35.1% | +4.5 | 66 |
| 1999-05-11 | @ Leeds United | L 0-1 | 1988 | 1906 | 35.1% | 33.4% | 31.5% | -4.5 | 75 |
| 1999-05-12 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1780 | 1992 | 21.1% | 22.1% | 56.8% | +1.0 | 34 |
| 1999-05-12 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1992 | 1780 | 56.8% | 22.1% | 21.1% | -1.0 | 76 |
| 1999-05-16 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1983 | 1836 | 69.0% | 13.1% | 17.8% | +1.9 | 78 |
| 1999-05-16 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1836 | 1983 | 17.8% | 13.1% | 69.0% | -1.9 | 55 |
| 1999-05-16 | Sheffield Wednesday | L 0-1 | 1739 | 1809 | 33.1% | 33.5% | 33.4% | -4.3 | 36 |
| 1999-05-16 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1809 | 1739 | 33.4% | 33.5% | 33.1% | +4.3 | 46 |
| 1999-05-16 | Derby County | W 2-1 | 1929 | 1803 | 65.7% | 15.6% | 18.7% | +2.0 | 75 |
| 1999-05-16 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1803 | 1929 | 18.7% | 15.6% | 65.7% | -2.0 | 52 |
| 1999-05-16 | Leeds United | D 2-2 | 1795 | 1911 | 27.5% | 32.0% | 40.5% | +0.2 | 42 |
| 1999-05-16 | @ Coventry City | D 2-2 | 1911 | 1795 | 40.5% | 32.0% | 27.5% | -0.2 | 67 |
| 1999-05-16 | Wimbledon FC | W 3-0 | 1892 | 1758 | 66.9% | 14.7% | 18.4% | +5.6 | 54 |
| 1999-05-16 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1758 | 1892 | 18.4% | 14.7% | 66.9% | -5.6 | 42 |
| 1999-05-16 | Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1991 | 1807 | 74.6% | 9.3% | 16.1% | +1.5 | 79 |
| 1999-05-16 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1807 | 1991 | 16.1% | 9.3% | 74.6% | -1.5 | 47 |
| 1999-05-16 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1806 | 1781 | 48.2% | 28.0% | 23.7% | -0.6 | 46 |
| 1999-05-16 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1781 | 1806 | 23.7% | 28.0% | 48.2% | +0.6 | 35 |
| 1999-05-16 | Leicester City | W 1-0 | 1714 | 1822 | 28.4% | 32.5% | 39.2% | +4.8 | 30 |
| 1999-05-16 | @ Nottingham Forest | L 0-1 | 1822 | 1714 | 39.2% | 32.5% | 28.4% | -4.8 | 49 |
| 1999-05-16 | Everton | W 2-0 | 1759 | 1810 | 35.9% | 33.2% | 30.8% | +7.7 | 41 |
| 1999-05-16 | @ Southampton | L 0-2 | 1810 | 1759 | 30.8% | 33.2% | 35.9% | -7.7 | 43 |
| 1999-05-16 | Middlesbrough | W 4-0 | 1791 | 1787 | 44.6% | 30.1% | 25.3% | +12.2 | 57 |
| 1999-05-16 | @ West Ham | L 0-4 | 1787 | 1791 | 25.3% | 30.1% | 44.6% | -12.2 | 51 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 1998-12-19 | 18.13% | Middlesbrough | 1804 | 3 | @ Manchester United | 1945 | 2 |
| 2 | 1999-03-13 | 19.34% | West Ham | 1799 | 1 | @ Chelsea | 1913 | 0 |
| 3 | 1999-05-08 | 19.57% | Charlton Athletic | 1734 | 4 | @ Aston Villa | 1842 | 3 |
| 4 | 1999-03-13 | 20.20% | Nottingham Forest | 1706 | 3 | @ Wimbledon FC | 1800 | 1 |
| 5 | 1998-11-07 | 20.44% | Derby County | 1812 | 2 | @ Liverpool | 1900 | 1 |
| 6 | 1999-04-21 | 20.92% | Leicester City | 1816 | 1 | @ Liverpool | 1894 | 0 |
| 7 | 1999-02-20 | 20.93% | Charlton Athletic | 1745 | 2 | @ Derby County | 1822 | 0 |
| 8 | 1999-05-08 | 20.98% | Nottingham Forest | 1709 | 2 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1785 | 1 |
| 9 | 1998-09-09 | 21.06% | Middlesbrough | 1758 | 1 | @ Leicester City | 1833 | 0 |
| 10 | 1999-02-06 | 21.06% | Blackburn Rovers | 1800 | 3 | @ Aston Villa | 1875 | 1 |
| 11 | 1999-02-27 | 21.09% | Coventry City | 1786 | 4 | @ Aston Villa | 1860 | 1 |
| 12 | 1999-04-17 | 21.49% | Aston Villa | 1834 | 1 | @ Liverpool | 1900 | 0 |
| 13 | 1999-04-05 | 21.63% | Charlton Athletic | 1750 | 1 | @ West Ham | 1813 | 0 |
| 14 | 1998-11-21 | 22.00% | Southampton | 1751 | 2 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1807 | 0 |
| 15 | 1999-02-06 | 22.06% | Newcastle United | 1815 | 1 | @ Leeds United | 1869 | 0 |
| 16 | 1999-01-30 | 22.14% | Nottingham Forest | 1722 | 1 | @ Everton | 1775 | 0 |
| 17 | 1998-11-14 | 22.43% | Leeds United | 1847 | 3 | @ Liverpool | 1894 | 1 |
| 18 | 1999-03-03 | 22.63% | Wimbledon FC | 1799 | 2 | @ Sheffield Wednesday | 1843 | 1 |
| 19 | 1999-04-17 | 22.63% | Everton | 1778 | 3 | @ Newcastle United | 1822 | 1 |
| 20 | 1998-09-13 | 22.94% | Middlesbrough | 1764 | 3 | @ Tottenham | 1803 | 0 |
| 21 | 1999-02-13 | 23.17% | @ Charlton Athletic | 1739 | 1 | Liverpool | 1911 | 0 |
| 22 | 1998-10-03 | 23.33% | Tottenham | 1788 | 1 | @ Derby County | 1820 | 0 |
| 23 | 1998-10-31 | 23.37% | West Ham | 1809 | 3 | @ Newcastle United | 1841 | 0 |
| 24 | 1998-10-03 | 23.47% | Leicester City | 1820 | 1 | @ Leeds United | 1850 | 0 |
| 25 | 1998-11-07 | 23.85% | Coventry City | 1790 | 2 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1814 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 1999-05-08 | 19.41 | @ Everton | 6 | 1791 | 40.69% | West Ham | 0 | 1811 | 27.39% | |
| 2 | 1999-01-16 | 19.34 | Sheffield Wednesday | 4 | 1804 | 23.96% | @ West Ham | 0 | 1826 | 47.65% | |
| 3 | 1998-08-22 | 18.45 | @ Charlton Athletic | 5 | 1749 | 34.69% | Southampton | 0 | 1808 | 31.91% | |
| 4 | 1999-02-17 | 16.61 | @ Everton | 5 | 1766 | 39.89% | Middlesbrough | 0 | 1792 | 27.90% | |
| 5 | 1998-09-13 | 15.32 | Middlesbrough | 3 | 1764 | 22.94% | @ Tottenham | 0 | 1803 | 50.48% | |
| 6 | 1998-10-31 | 15.10 | West Ham | 3 | 1809 | 23.37% | @ Newcastle United | 0 | 1841 | 49.25% | |
| 7 | 1998-09-19 | 14.55 | Newcastle United | 5 | 1834 | 27.60% | @ Coventry City | 1 | 1812 | 40.36% | |
| 8 | 1998-08-22 | 14.37 | Sheffield Wednesday | 3 | 1800 | 24.94% | @ Tottenham | 0 | 1809 | 45.34% | |
| 9 | 1998-10-03 | 14.27 | @ Middlesbrough | 4 | 1775 | 37.08% | Sheffield Wednesday | 0 | 1818 | 29.89% | |
| 10 | 1999-01-30 | 14.06 | @ Southampton | 3 | 1747 | 25.68% | Leeds United | 0 | 1884 | 43.78% | |
| 11 | 1999-02-27 | 13.81 | Coventry City | 4 | 1786 | 21.09% | @ Aston Villa | 1 | 1860 | 56.66% | |
| 12 | 1999-02-06 | 13.17 | Arsenal | 4 | 1926 | 41.02% | @ West Ham | 0 | 1807 | 27.19% | |
| 13 | 1998-12-26 | 12.79 | Leeds United | 3 | 1871 | 29.46% | @ Newcastle United | 0 | 1832 | 37.65% | |
| 14 | 1999-05-01 | 12.65 | Leeds United | 5 | 1897 | 34.00% | @ West Ham | 1 | 1823 | 32.55% | |
| 15 | 1999-05-16 | 12.23 | @ West Ham | 4 | 1791 | 44.61% | Middlesbrough | 0 | 1787 | 25.28% | |
| 16 | 1999-02-06 | 11.94 | Manchester United | 8 | 1962 | 60.67% | @ Nottingham Forest | 1 | 1728 | 20.04% | |
| 17 | 1999-03-21 | 11.83 | Chelsea | 3 | 1906 | 33.10% | @ Aston Villa | 0 | 1839 | 33.43% | |
| 18 | 1998-12-05 | 11.57 | @ Leeds United | 4 | 1860 | 47.24% | West Ham | 0 | 1840 | 24.13% | |
| 19 | 1999-02-20 | 11.41 | Sheffield Wednesday | 4 | 1828 | 27.09% | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 1811 | 41.19% | |
| 20 | 1999-02-20 | 11.35 | Charlton Athletic | 2 | 1745 | 20.93% | @ Derby County | 0 | 1822 | 57.28% | |
| 21 | 1999-04-24 | 11.29 | Arsenal | 6 | 1970 | 49.33% | @ Middlesbrough | 1 | 1801 | 23.34% | |
| 22 | 1998-11-21 | 10.91 | Southampton | 2 | 1751 | 22.00% | @ Blackburn Rovers | 0 | 1807 | 53.44% | |
| 23 | 1998-09-20 | 10.65 | @ Arsenal | 3 | 1899 | 38.34% | Manchester United | 0 | 1934 | 28.95% | |
| 24 | 1998-09-12 | 10.44 | @ Newcastle United | 4 | 1824 | 52.00% | Southampton | 0 | 1776 | 22.44% | |
| 25 | 1999-04-17 | 10.44 | @ West Ham | 5 | 1808 | 43.45% | Derby County | 1 | 1811 | 25.85% | |