2015-16 Premier League Season
380 games · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Leicester City
81 points · 1st Title
Relegated
Aston Villa
17 pts
Norwich City · 34 pts
Newcastle United · 37 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Leicester City
24.88 points above expected
81 points · 56.12 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Aston Villa
18.42 points below expected
17 points · 35.42 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leicester City | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 81 | 68 | 36 | +32 | 56.1 | +24.88 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 | 65 | 36 | +29 | 67.4 | +3.56 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 70 | 69 | 35 | +34 | 62.2 | +7.76 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 71 | 41 | +30 | 70.4 | -4.37 |
| 5 | Manchester United | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 66 | 49 | 35 | +14 | 63.5 | +2.53 |
| 6 | Southampton | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 41 | +18 | 55.6 | +7.42 |
| 7 | West Ham | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 62 | 65 | 51 | +14 | 53.6 | +8.35 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 60 | 63 | 50 | +13 | 57.9 | +2.14 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 51 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 49.1 | +1.90 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 50 | 59 | 53 | +6 | 61.6 | -11.58 |
| 11 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 55.7 | -8.72 |
| 12 | Swansea City | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45.9 | +1.10 |
| 13 | Watford | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 44.5 | +0.50 |
| 14 | West Brom | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 43.9 | -0.94 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 46.2 | -4.16 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 42.2 | -0.17 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 39.6 | -0.59 |
| 18 | Newcastle United | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 38.7 | -1.74 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 40.3 | -6.29 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 38 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 17 | 27 | 76 | -49 | 35.4 | -18.42 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2033 | 66 | 70.37 | -4.37 | 29.1% | 42 | 58 | 65 | 70 | 75 | 83 | 96 |
| Arsenal | 2031 | 71 | 67.44 | +3.56 | 68.7% | 44 | 55 | 62 | 67 | 73 | 80 | 91 |
| Tottenham | 2011 | 70 | 62.24 | +7.76 | 86.7% | 40 | 49 | 57 | 62 | 67 | 74 | 84 |
| Leicester City | 2009 | 81 | 56.12 | +24.88 | 100.0% | 34 | 43 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 69 | 79 |
| Manchester United | 1987 | 66 | 63.47 | +2.53 | 64.4% | 38 | 51 | 58 | 63 | 69 | 76 | 89 |
| Chelsea | 1979 | 50 | 61.58 | -11.58 | 7.4% | 36 | 49 | 56 | 61 | 67 | 75 | 95 |
| Southampton | 1979 | 63 | 55.58 | +7.42 | 84.9% | 34 | 42 | 50 | 55 | 61 | 68 | 78 |
| Liverpool | 1978 | 60 | 57.86 | +2.14 | 63.0% | 35 | 45 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 71 | 85 |
| West Ham | 1943 | 62 | 53.65 | +8.35 | 87.5% | 32 | 41 | 48 | 53 | 59 | 66 | 83 |
| Everton | 1907 | 47 | 55.72 | -8.72 | 14.6% | 31 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 61 | 69 | 82 |
| Swansea City | 1874 | 47 | 45.90 | +1.10 | 58.7% | 23 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 58 | 69 |
| Stoke City | 1863 | 51 | 49.10 | +1.90 | 63.1% | 29 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 54 | 61 | 74 |
| Sunderland | 1856 | 39 | 39.59 | -0.59 | 50.9% | 21 | 28 | 35 | 39 | 45 | 52 | 64 |
| Watford | 1841 | 45 | 44.50 | +0.50 | 56.7% | 24 | 32 | 40 | 44 | 49 | 57 | 73 |
| West Brom | 1837 | 43 | 43.94 | -0.94 | 48.9% | 22 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 67 |
| Crystal Palace | 1835 | 42 | 46.16 | -4.16 | 33.8% | 26 | 35 | 41 | 46 | 52 | 58 | 73 |
| Newcastle United | 1831 | 37 | 38.74 | -1.74 | 44.1% | 19 | 27 | 34 | 38 | 44 | 51 | 62 |
| Bournemouth | 1822 | 42 | 42.17 | -0.17 | 50.2% | 19 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 67 |
| Norwich City | 1781 | 34 | 40.29 | -6.29 | 19.8% | 18 | 29 | 36 | 40 | 45 | 51 | 62 |
| Aston Villa | 1722 | 17 | 35.42 | -18.42 | 0.6% | 14 | 24 | 31 | 36 | 40 | 47 | 59 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARS | AV | BOU | CHE | CP | EVE | LC | LIV | MC | MU | NU | NC | SOU | SC | SUN | SC | TOT | WAT | WB | WH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | — |
2-0-0
4.62
|
2-0-0
3.95
|
0-0-2
2.86
|
1-1-0
3.73
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
2-0-0
3.16
|
0-2-0
3.06
|
1-1-0
2.63
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
2-0-0
3.94
|
1-1-0
4.28
|
0-1-1
3.35
|
1-1-0
3.42
|
1-1-0
4.16
|
1-0-1
3.76
|
0-2-0
2.91
|
2-0-0
3.87
|
1-0-1
4.00
|
0-1-1
3.41
|
| Aston Villa |
0-0-2
1.14
|
— |
1-0-1
2.22
|
0-0-2
1.43
|
1-0-1
2.13
|
0-0-2
1.66
|
0-1-1
1.93
|
0-0-2
1.85
|
0-1-1
1.21
|
0-0-2
1.53
|
0-2-0
2.21
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
0-1-1
1.52
|
0-0-2
2.06
|
0-1-1
2.62
|
0-0-2
2.03
|
0-0-2
1.43
|
0-0-2
2.06
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
0-1-1
1.79
|
| Bournemouth |
0-0-2
1.61
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
— |
1-0-1
1.72
|
1-1-0
2.32
|
0-1-1
1.89
|
0-2-0
2.19
|
0-0-2
1.85
|
0-0-2
1.55
|
1-0-1
1.59
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
1-0-1
2.62
|
1-0-1
1.86
|
0-0-2
2.40
|
1-1-0
2.81
|
1-1-0
2.42
|
0-0-2
1.82
|
0-2-0
2.52
|
1-1-0
2.51
|
1-0-1
2.15
|
| Chelsea |
2-0-0
2.49
|
2-0-0
4.22
|
1-0-1
3.80
|
— |
1-0-1
3.35
|
0-1-1
3.03
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
0-1-1
2.82
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
0-2-0
2.56
|
1-1-0
3.94
|
2-0-0
3.89
|
1-0-1
3.01
|
0-1-1
3.38
|
1-0-1
3.79
|
0-1-1
3.65
|
0-2-0
2.39
|
0-2-0
3.35
|
1-1-0
3.62
|
0-1-1
3.08
|
| Crystal Palace |
0-1-1
1.78
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
0-1-1
3.01
|
1-0-1
2.08
|
— |
0-2-0
2.12
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
1-0-1
2.00
|
0-0-2
1.63
|
0-1-1
1.83
|
1-0-1
3.08
|
2-0-0
2.82
|
1-0-1
2.10
|
2-0-0
2.53
|
0-1-1
3.07
|
0-2-0
2.82
|
0-0-2
2.08
|
1-0-1
2.71
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
0-1-1
2.24
|
| Everton |
0-0-2
2.17
|
2-0-0
3.88
|
1-1-0
3.54
|
1-1-0
2.31
|
0-2-0
3.25
|
— |
0-0-2
2.43
|
0-1-1
2.56
|
0-1-1
1.97
|
0-0-2
2.36
|
2-0-0
3.59
|
1-1-0
3.56
|
1-1-0
2.57
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
1-0-1
3.38
|
0-1-1
3.15
|
0-2-0
2.50
|
0-2-0
3.31
|
1-0-1
3.38
|
0-1-1
2.78
|
| Leicester City |
0-0-2
2.19
|
1-1-0
3.49
|
0-2-0
3.21
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
2-0-0
3.23
|
2-0-0
2.96
|
— |
1-0-1
2.79
|
1-1-0
2.04
|
0-2-0
2.39
|
2-0-0
3.68
|
2-0-0
3.39
|
1-1-0
2.63
|
1-1-0
2.80
|
2-0-0
3.44
|
2-0-0
3.38
|
1-1-0
2.37
|
2-0-0
3.22
|
1-1-0
3.22
|
1-1-0
2.82
|
| Liverpool |
0-2-0
2.28
|
2-0-0
3.60
|
2-0-0
3.60
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
1-0-1
3.39
|
1-1-0
2.79
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
— |
2-0-0
2.00
|
0-0-2
2.38
|
0-1-1
4.03
|
1-1-0
3.38
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
2-0-0
3.12
|
1-1-0
3.60
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
0-2-0
2.39
|
1-0-1
3.44
|
0-2-0
3.59
|
0-0-2
3.07
|
| Manchester City |
0-1-1
2.70
|
1-1-0
4.53
|
2-0-0
4.03
|
2-0-0
2.87
|
2-0-0
3.92
|
1-1-0
3.45
|
0-1-1
3.35
|
0-0-2
3.42
|
— |
0-1-1
3.03
|
1-1-0
4.38
|
1-1-0
4.34
|
1-0-1
3.40
|
1-0-1
3.90
|
2-0-0
4.32
|
1-1-0
3.96
|
0-0-2
3.27
|
2-0-0
4.01
|
2-0-0
3.88
|
0-1-1
3.69
|
| Manchester United |
1-0-1
2.52
|
2-0-0
4.08
|
1-0-1
3.98
|
0-2-0
2.77
|
1-1-0
3.65
|
2-0-0
2.99
|
0-2-0
2.94
|
2-0-0
2.96
|
1-1-0
2.31
|
— |
0-2-0
3.84
|
1-0-1
4.10
|
1-0-1
3.05
|
1-0-1
3.31
|
1-0-1
3.97
|
1-0-1
3.41
|
1-0-1
2.75
|
2-0-0
3.65
|
1-0-1
3.69
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
| Newcastle United |
0-0-2
1.62
|
0-2-0
3.13
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
0-1-1
1.62
|
1-0-1
2.28
|
0-0-2
1.86
|
0-0-2
1.83
|
1-1-0
1.56
|
0-1-1
1.31
|
0-2-0
1.68
|
— |
1-0-1
2.48
|
0-1-1
1.90
|
0-1-1
2.12
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
1-0-1
2.16
|
2-0-0
1.46
|
0-0-2
2.44
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
1-0-1
2.00
|
| Norwich City |
0-1-1
1.38
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
1-0-1
2.70
|
0-0-2
1.65
|
0-0-2
2.52
|
0-1-1
1.88
|
0-0-2
2.09
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
0-1-1
1.34
|
1-0-1
1.51
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
— |
1-0-1
2.13
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
1-0-1
2.65
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
0-0-2
1.65
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
0-2-0
1.99
|
| Southampton |
1-1-0
2.03
|
1-1-0
4.07
|
1-0-1
3.58
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
1-0-1
3.33
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
1-0-1
2.01
|
1-0-1
2.29
|
1-1-0
3.59
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
— |
1-0-1
3.07
|
1-1-0
3.66
|
2-0-0
3.11
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
1-1-0
3.10
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
1-0-1
2.85
|
| Stoke City |
0-1-1
1.99
|
2-0-0
3.37
|
2-0-0
2.94
|
1-1-0
2.03
|
0-0-2
2.78
|
1-0-1
2.34
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
0-0-2
2.24
|
1-0-1
1.64
|
1-0-1
2.07
|
1-1-0
3.27
|
1-1-0
3.05
|
1-0-1
2.29
|
— |
0-1-1
3.12
|
1-1-0
2.78
|
0-1-1
2.05
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
0-0-2
3.05
|
1-1-0
2.25
|
| Sunderland |
0-1-1
1.46
|
1-1-0
2.72
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
1-0-1
1.71
|
1-1-0
2.30
|
1-0-1
2.03
|
0-0-2
1.97
|
0-1-1
1.85
|
0-0-2
1.35
|
1-0-1
1.59
|
1-1-0
2.67
|
1-0-1
2.67
|
0-1-1
1.81
|
1-1-0
2.22
|
— |
1-1-0
2.22
|
0-0-2
1.87
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
0-1-1
1.93
|
| Swansea City |
1-0-1
1.74
|
2-0-0
3.39
|
0-1-1
2.95
|
1-1-0
1.81
|
0-2-0
2.53
|
1-1-0
2.23
|
0-0-2
2.07
|
1-0-1
1.87
|
0-1-1
1.60
|
1-0-1
2.02
|
1-0-1
3.20
|
1-0-1
3.11
|
0-0-2
2.23
|
0-1-1
2.56
|
0-1-1
3.12
|
— |
0-1-1
2.01
|
1-0-1
2.83
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
1-1-0
2.10
|
| Tottenham |
0-2-0
2.47
|
2-0-0
4.21
|
2-0-0
3.67
|
0-2-0
2.93
|
2-0-0
3.30
|
0-2-0
2.81
|
0-1-1
2.98
|
0-2-0
2.93
|
2-0-0
2.10
|
1-0-1
2.62
|
0-0-2
4.17
|
2-0-0
3.88
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
1-1-0
3.34
|
2-0-0
3.61
|
1-1-0
3.46
|
— |
2-0-0
3.54
|
0-2-0
3.86
|
1-0-1
3.17
|
| Watford |
0-0-2
1.66
|
2-0-0
3.38
|
0-2-0
2.84
|
0-2-0
2.04
|
1-0-1
2.61
|
0-2-0
2.08
|
0-0-2
2.14
|
1-0-1
1.99
|
0-0-2
1.57
|
0-0-2
1.81
|
2-0-0
2.91
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
0-1-1
2.25
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
1-1-0
2.77
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
0-0-2
1.91
|
— |
1-1-0
2.58
|
1-0-1
2.06
|
| West Brom |
1-0-1
1.57
|
1-1-0
3.04
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
0-1-1
1.83
|
1-0-1
2.61
|
1-0-1
2.04
|
0-1-1
2.20
|
0-2-0
1.86
|
0-0-2
1.66
|
1-0-1
1.79
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
0-1-1
2.20
|
2-0-0
2.29
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
0-1-1
2.64
|
0-2-0
1.69
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
— |
0-1-1
2.10
|
| West Ham |
1-1-0
2.01
|
1-1-0
3.70
|
1-0-1
3.21
|
1-1-0
2.27
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
1-1-0
2.55
|
0-1-1
2.55
|
2-0-0
2.30
|
1-1-0
1.80
|
1-1-0
2.19
|
1-0-1
3.40
|
0-2-0
3.41
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
0-1-1
3.08
|
1-1-0
3.51
|
0-1-1
3.31
|
1-0-1
2.19
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
1-1-0
3.27
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.42% | 9.21% | 4.74% | 4.21% | 1.58% | 0.13% | 28.29% |
| 1 | 9.21% | 10.79% | 6.97% | 3.42% | 1.18% | 0.79% | 32.37% |
| 2 | 4.74% | 6.97% | 7.63% | 2.24% | 0.66% | 0.39% | 22.63% |
| 3 | 4.21% | 3.42% | 2.24% | 1.32% | 0.26% | — | 11.45% |
| 4 | 1.58% | 1.18% | 0.66% | 0.26% | — | 0.13% | 3.82% |
| 5+ | 0.13% | 0.79% | 0.39% | — | 0.13% | — | 1.45% |
| Total | 28.29% | 32.37% | 22.63% | 11.45% | 3.82% | 1.45% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.35 |
| Mean allowed | 1.35 |
| StdDev scored | 1.21 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.21 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.70 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.022 |
| Sample size (games) | 380 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 2 | 15.79% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 5.26% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 47.37% | 23.68% | 18.42% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Arsenal — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.71 |
| Mean allowed | 0.95 |
| StdDev scored | 1.27 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.11 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.66 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.030 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 13.16% | 13.16% | — | 10.53% | 2.63% | 47.37% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.79% | 23.68% | 26.32% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 100% |
Aston Villa — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.71 |
| Mean allowed | 2.00 |
| StdDev scored | 0.77 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.43 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.71 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.074 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 39.47% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 31.58% | 21.05% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 100% |
Bournemouth — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.18 |
| Mean allowed | 1.76 |
| StdDev scored | 1.06 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.38 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.95 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.025 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | 5.26% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 23.68% | 31.58% | 26.32% | 18.42% | — | — | 100% |
Chelsea — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.55 |
| Mean allowed | 1.39 |
| StdDev scored | 1.25 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.05 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.95 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.047 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 18.42% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 21.05% | 44.74% | 18.42% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Crystal Palace — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.03 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 1.08 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.10 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.37 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.015 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 3 | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 26.32% | 31.58% | 18.42% | 18.42% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Everton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.55 |
| Mean allowed | 1.45 |
| StdDev scored | 1.45 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.22 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.00 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.009 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | — | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 39.47% | 34.21% | 23.68% | — | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Leicester City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.79 |
| Mean allowed | 0.95 |
| StdDev scored | 1.04 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.04 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.74 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.239 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 28.95% | 31.58% | 21.05% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Liverpool — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.66 |
| Mean allowed | 1.32 |
| StdDev scored | 1.49 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.14 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.97 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.014 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 5+ | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 42.11% | 28.95% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Manchester City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.87 |
| Mean allowed | 1.08 |
| StdDev scored | 1.56 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.24 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.95 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.218 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 21.05% | 7.89% | 10.53% | — | — | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 47.37% | 23.68% | 18.42% | 10.53% | — | — | 100% |
Manchester United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.29 |
| Mean allowed | 0.92 |
| StdDev scored | 1.09 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.05 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.21 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.068 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 7.89% | 34.21% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| Total | 21.05% | 31.58% | 21.05% | 18.42% | — | 7.89% | 100% |
Newcastle United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.16 |
| Mean allowed | 1.71 |
| StdDev scored | 1.37 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.49 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.87 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.023 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 15.79% | — | — | 42.11% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | 13.16% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 13.16% | 36.84% | 23.68% | 21.05% | — | 5.26% | 100% |
Norwich City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.03 |
| Mean allowed | 1.76 |
| StdDev scored | 1.17 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.32 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.79 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.161 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 36.84% | 23.68% | 7.89% | — | — | 100% |
Southampton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.55 |
| Mean allowed | 1.08 |
| StdDev scored | 1.33 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.94 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.63 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.007 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.32% | 28.95% | 26.32% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Stoke City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.45 |
| StdDev scored | 1.02 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.22 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.53 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.137 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 18.42% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 13.16% | — | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 13.16% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 23.68% |
| 3 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 36.84% | 23.68% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 100% |
Sunderland — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.26 |
| Mean allowed | 1.63 |
| StdDev scored | 1.13 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.36 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.89 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.047 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 13.16% | — | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 13.16% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 28.95% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.68% | 39.47% | 18.42% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Swansea City — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.11 |
| Mean allowed | 1.37 |
| StdDev scored | 0.98 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.15 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.47 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.013 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | 31.58% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 10.53% | — | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 5+ | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 34.21% | 47.37% | 15.79% | — | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Tottenham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.82 |
| Mean allowed | 0.92 |
| StdDev scored | 1.33 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.97 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.74 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.074 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | 5.26% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 26.32% | 34.21% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Watford — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.05 |
| Mean allowed | 1.32 |
| StdDev scored | 0.98 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.12 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.37 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.009 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | — | 5.26% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 31.58% | 23.68% | 15.79% | — | — | 100% |
West Brom — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.89 |
| Mean allowed | 1.26 |
| StdDev scored | 0.83 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.06 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.16 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.217 |
| Games played | 38 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | 5.26% | — | 26.32% |
| 2 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 18.42% | — | — | — | 36.84% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 23.68% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 26.32% | 34.21% | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
West Ham — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.71 |
| Mean allowed | 1.34 |
| StdDev scored | 0.98 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.17 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.05 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.135 |
| Games played | 38 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leicester City | 81 | 56.1 | +24.88 |
| 2 | West Ham | 62 | 53.6 | +8.35 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 70 | 62.2 | +7.76 |
| 4 | Southampton | 63 | 55.6 | +7.42 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 71 | 67.4 | +3.56 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 17 | 35.4 | -18.42 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 50 | 61.6 | -11.58 |
| 3 | Everton | 47 | 55.7 | -8.72 |
| 4 | Norwich City | 34 | 40.3 | -6.29 |
| 5 | Manchester City | 66 | 70.4 | -4.37 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth | 3 | Dec 5 – Dec 19 | 1 in 107 |
| 2 | Watford | 4 | Nov 28 – Dec 20 | 1 in 74 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 6 | Jan 16 – Feb 28 | 1 in 70 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 5 | Sep 26 – Oct 31 | 1 in 58 |
| 5 | West Ham | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 19 | 1 in 52 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 11 | Feb 14 – Apr 30 | 1 in 303 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 5 | Jan 3 – Feb 2 | 1 in 163 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 3 | Dec 12 – Dec 26 | 1 in 104 |
| 4 | Norwich City | 5 | Jan 13 – Feb 6 | 1 in 74 |
| 5 | Manchester City | 3 | Feb 6 – Mar 2 | 1 in 67 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham | 14 | Aug 15 – Dec 5 | 1 in 146 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 15 | Dec 19 – Apr 2 | 1 in 104 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | 6 | Apr 16 – May 15 | 1 in 84 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 6 | Nov 21 – Dec 26 | 1 in 57 |
| 5 | West Ham | 10 | Feb 13 – Apr 30 | 1 in 55 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 19 | Aug 14 – Jan 2 | 1 in 219 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 14 | Dec 26 – Apr 2 | 1 in 189 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 6 | Nov 28 – Dec 28 | 1 in 62 |
| 4 | West Ham | 8 | Oct 31 – Dec 26 | 1 in 37 |
| 5 | West Brom | 9 | Mar 19 – May 15 | 1 in 21 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | 2.30% | 3.50% | 5.20% | 10.10% | 9.30% | 9.40% | 10.90% | 8.90% | 8.70% | 8.90% | 5.90% | 5.10% | 3.90% | 2.40% | 1.80% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 0.30% | 0.40% | — |
| Arsenal | 25.80% | 22.60% | 13.60% | 10.40% | 7.90% | 6.90% | 5.70% | 3.50% | 1.80% | 0.60% | 0.40% | 0.40% | 0.10% | 0.20% | 0.10% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tottenham | 8.20% | 12.30% | 15.30% | 13.00% | 10.40% | 11.10% | 9.30% | 5.20% | 5.00% | 3.20% | 2.70% | 1.30% | 1.50% | 0.50% | 0.60% | 0.30% | — | 0.10% | — | — |
| Manchester City | 38.30% | 23.80% | 14.30% | 8.20% | 5.10% | 4.20% | 2.70% | 0.80% | 1.30% | 0.50% | 0.40% | 0.20% | — | — | 0.20% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manchester United | 11.10% | 13.60% | 14.20% | 13.40% | 10.90% | 7.80% | 9.00% | 6.50% | 3.80% | 4.40% | 2.30% | 1.20% | 0.70% | 0.60% | 0.20% | 0.20% | — | — | 0.10% | — |
| Southampton | 1.10% | 3.00% | 6.40% | 6.80% | 9.50% | 9.50% | 9.20% | 11.00% | 9.10% | 7.80% | 6.80% | 5.50% | 3.60% | 4.00% | 2.30% | 2.10% | 1.30% | 0.60% | 0.20% | 0.20% |
| West Ham | 0.50% | 2.70% | 3.70% | 4.60% | 7.90% | 7.50% | 9.00% | 10.00% | 9.40% | 9.90% | 9.30% | 6.10% | 6.20% | 3.50% | 3.70% | 2.20% | 1.80% | 1.40% | 0.60% | — |
| Liverpool | 2.60% | 4.80% | 8.50% | 10.00% | 11.40% | 10.60% | 9.20% | 10.20% | 7.90% | 7.00% | 4.70% | 3.50% | 3.60% | 1.80% | 1.90% | 1.10% | 0.70% | 0.10% | 0.20% | 0.20% |
| Stoke City | 0.20% | 0.40% | 1.10% | 1.20% | 2.50% | 4.00% | 4.80% | 7.40% | 7.40% | 9.20% | 9.60% | 10.80% | 10.40% | 7.70% | 6.10% | 6.10% | 4.40% | 3.50% | 2.30% | 0.90% |
| Chelsea | 7.70% | 9.70% | 11.90% | 12.30% | 12.20% | 10.00% | 8.90% | 8.00% | 6.70% | 3.90% | 3.30% | 2.20% | 1.10% | 1.00% | 0.30% | 0.60% | 0.20% | — | — | — |
| Everton | 2.10% | 3.00% | 4.40% | 6.20% | 8.70% | 9.40% | 10.00% | 10.90% | 9.10% | 9.50% | 7.30% | 6.60% | 4.40% | 3.70% | 1.40% | 1.60% | 0.50% | 0.80% | 0.30% | 0.10% |
| Swansea City | — | 0.10% | 0.80% | 0.90% | 0.70% | 2.60% | 2.80% | 4.20% | 5.50% | 6.20% | 8.60% | 10.50% | 9.20% | 10.20% | 9.80% | 7.50% | 7.10% | 6.50% | 4.10% | 2.70% |
| Watford | 0.10% | 0.10% | 0.10% | 0.50% | 1.10% | 2.00% | 2.10% | 2.50% | 4.60% | 5.50% | 7.40% | 7.90% | 9.20% | 10.50% | 11.60% | 8.50% | 8.90% | 7.20% | 6.10% | 4.10% |
| West Brom | — | 0.10% | — | 0.60% | 0.40% | 1.10% | 1.20% | 2.30% | 4.90% | 6.60% | 6.60% | 8.20% | 9.20% | 8.80% | 9.60% | 10.70% | 9.70% | 8.50% | 7.10% | 4.40% |
| Crystal Palace | — | 0.30% | 0.30% | 1.00% | 0.90% | 2.50% | 2.80% | 5.00% | 6.70% | 6.50% | 7.20% | 8.00% | 8.90% | 10.10% | 9.30% | 9.60% | 6.90% | 7.00% | 4.50% | 2.50% |
| Bournemouth | — | — | 0.20% | 0.10% | 0.50% | 0.70% | 1.30% | 1.10% | 2.80% | 3.60% | 5.60% | 5.30% | 8.60% | 10.50% | 10.10% | 11.30% | 8.50% | 10.90% | 11.30% | 7.60% |
| Sunderland | — | — | — | 0.40% | 0.30% | 0.20% | 0.40% | 0.50% | 1.40% | 2.80% | 3.50% | 5.00% | 5.60% | 6.60% | 9.40% | 10.10% | 11.80% | 11.70% | 16.40% | 13.90% |
| Newcastle United | — | — | — | 0.10% | 0.20% | 0.20% | 0.20% | 0.60% | 1.10% | 2.00% | 3.50% | 5.40% | 5.50% | 6.20% | 7.00% | 8.20% | 15.10% | 12.50% | 15.80% | 16.40% |
| Norwich City | — | — | — | 0.20% | 0.10% | 0.20% | 0.30% | 0.60% | 2.00% | 1.80% | 4.00% | 4.70% | 6.30% | 7.80% | 9.60% | 11.50% | 12.00% | 14.20% | 12.80% | 11.90% |
| Aston Villa | — | — | — | — | — | 0.10% | 0.20% | 0.80% | 0.80% | 0.10% | 0.90% | 2.10% | 2.00% | 3.90% | 5.00% | 6.40% | 10.10% | 14.70% | 17.80% | 35.10% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 100% | — |
| Chelsea | 100% | — |
| Manchester City | 100% | — |
| Manchester United | 99.9% | 0.1% |
| Tottenham | 99.9% | 0.1% |
| Liverpool | 99.5% | 0.5% |
| Leicester City | 99.3% | 0.7% |
| Southampton | 99.0% | 1.0% |
| Everton | 98.8% | 1.2% |
| West Ham | 98.0% | 2.0% |
| Stoke City | 93.3% | 6.7% |
| Swansea City | 86.7% | 13.3% |
| Crystal Palace | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| Watford | 82.6% | 17.4% |
| West Brom | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Bournemouth | 70.2% | 29.8% |
| Norwich City | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| Sunderland | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Newcastle United | 55.3% | 44.7% |
| Aston Villa | 32.4% | 67.6% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-08-08 | Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1857 | 1845 | 40.1% | 33.2% | 26.6% | -6.2 | 0 |
| 2015-08-08 | @ Bournemouth | W 1-0 | 1845 | 1857 | 26.6% | 33.2% | 40.1% | +6.2 | 3 |
| 2015-08-08 | Swansea City | D 2-2 | 2006 | 1895 | 56.4% | 23.7% | 19.9% | -0.8 | 1 |
| 2015-08-08 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1895 | 2006 | 19.9% | 23.7% | 56.4% | +0.8 | 1 |
| 2015-08-08 | Watford | D 2-2 | 1923 | 1846 | 50.8% | 27.6% | 21.6% | -0.7 | 1 |
| 2015-08-08 | @ Everton | D 2-2 | 1846 | 1923 | 21.6% | 27.6% | 50.8% | +0.7 | 1 |
| 2015-08-08 | Sunderland | W 4-2 | 1877 | 1851 | 42.3% | 32.4% | 25.3% | +6.5 | 3 |
| 2015-08-08 | @ Leicester City | L 2-4 | 1851 | 1877 | 25.3% | 32.4% | 42.3% | -6.5 | 0 |
| 2015-08-08 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1970 | 1923 | 45.7% | 30.7% | 23.6% | +4.1 | 3 |
| 2015-08-08 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1923 | 1970 | 23.6% | 30.7% | 45.7% | -4.1 | 0 |
| 2015-08-08 | Crystal Palace | L 1-3 | 1865 | 1869 | 37.6% | 34.0% | 28.4% | -9.7 | 0 |
| 2015-08-08 | @ Norwich City | W 3-1 | 1869 | 1865 | 28.4% | 34.0% | 37.6% | +9.7 | 3 |
| 2015-08-09 | West Ham | L 0-2 | 1985 | 1882 | 55.0% | 24.7% | 20.3% | -14.1 | 0 |
| 2015-08-09 | @ Arsenal | W 2-0 | 1882 | 1985 | 20.3% | 24.7% | 55.0% | +14.1 | 3 |
| 2015-08-09 | Southampton | D 2-2 | 1853 | 1925 | 28.3% | 34.0% | 37.7% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2015-08-09 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1925 | 1853 | 37.7% | 34.0% | 28.3% | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2015-08-09 | Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1903 | 1953 | 31.0% | 34.6% | 34.4% | -5.2 | 0 |
| 2015-08-09 | @ Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1953 | 1903 | 34.4% | 34.6% | 31.0% | +5.2 | 3 |
| 2015-08-10 | Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1872 | 2018 | 22.0% | 28.3% | 49.8% | -10.3 | 0 |
| 2015-08-10 | @ West Brom | W 3-0 | 2018 | 1872 | 49.8% | 28.3% | 22.0% | +10.3 | 3 |
| 2015-08-14 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1851 | 1974 | 23.5% | 30.6% | 45.9% | -4.1 | 3 |
| 2015-08-14 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1974 | 1851 | 45.9% | 30.6% | 23.5% | +4.1 | 6 |
| 2015-08-15 | Everton | L 0-3 | 1925 | 1923 | 38.6% | 33.7% | 27.7% | -16.5 | 1 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ Southampton | W 3-0 | 1923 | 1925 | 27.7% | 33.7% | 38.6% | +16.5 | 4 |
| 2015-08-15 | Norwich City | L 1-3 | 1844 | 1855 | 36.6% | 34.2% | 29.1% | -9.5 | 0 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ Sunderland | W 3-1 | 1855 | 1844 | 29.1% | 34.2% | 36.6% | +9.5 | 3 |
| 2015-08-15 | Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 1896 | 1854 | 44.9% | 31.1% | 24.0% | +7.9 | 4 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ Swansea City | L 0-2 | 1854 | 1896 | 24.0% | 31.1% | 44.9% | -7.9 | 1 |
| 2015-08-15 | Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1919 | 1898 | 41.6% | 32.6% | 25.7% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1898 | 1919 | 25.7% | 32.6% | 41.6% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2015-08-15 | West Brom | D 0-0 | 1847 | 1861 | 36.0% | 34.4% | 29.6% | -0.2 | 2 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ Watford | D 0-0 | 1861 | 1847 | 29.6% | 34.4% | 36.0% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2015-08-15 | Leicester City | L 1-2 | 1897 | 1883 | 40.4% | 33.1% | 26.5% | -5.8 | 3 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ West Ham | W 2-1 | 1883 | 1897 | 26.5% | 33.1% | 40.4% | +5.8 | 6 |
| 2015-08-16 | Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1879 | 1971 | 26.2% | 32.9% | 40.9% | -4.3 | 3 |
| 2015-08-16 | @ Crystal Palace | W 2-1 | 1971 | 1879 | 40.9% | 32.9% | 26.2% | +4.3 | 3 |
| 2015-08-16 | Chelsea | W 3-0 | 2029 | 2005 | 42.0% | 32.5% | 25.5% | +12.2 | 6 |
| 2015-08-16 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 2005 | 2029 | 25.5% | 32.5% | 42.0% | -12.2 | 1 |
| 2015-08-17 | Bournemouth | W 1-0 | 1958 | 1851 | 55.8% | 24.2% | 20.1% | +3.3 | 6 |
| 2015-08-17 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1851 | 1958 | 20.1% | 24.2% | 55.8% | -3.3 | 0 |
| 2015-08-22 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1875 | 1847 | 42.7% | 32.2% | 25.1% | +4.2 | 6 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Crystal Palace | L 1-2 | 1847 | 1875 | 25.1% | 32.2% | 42.7% | -4.2 | 3 |
| 2015-08-22 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1919 | 33.8% | 34.6% | 31.6% | -0.1 | 7 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1919 | 1889 | 31.6% | 34.6% | 33.8% | +0.1 | 2 |
| 2015-08-22 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1978 | 1846 | 60.0% | 21.1% | 18.9% | -1.4 | 7 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1846 | 1978 | 18.9% | 21.1% | 60.0% | +1.4 | 2 |
| 2015-08-22 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1865 | 1898 | 33.3% | 34.6% | 32.1% | -0.0 | 4 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1898 | 1865 | 32.1% | 34.6% | 33.3% | +0.0 | 2 |
| 2015-08-22 | Swansea City | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1904 | 28.6% | 34.1% | 37.3% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1904 | 1835 | 37.3% | 34.1% | 28.6% | -0.2 | 5 |
| 2015-08-22 | Bournemouth | L 3-4 | 1891 | 1847 | 45.1% | 31.0% | 23.9% | -5.8 | 3 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ West Ham | W 4-3 | 1847 | 1891 | 23.9% | 31.0% | 45.1% | +5.8 | 3 |
| 2015-08-23 | Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1939 | 2041 | 25.3% | 32.3% | 42.4% | -8.3 | 4 |
| 2015-08-23 | @ Everton | W 2-0 | 2041 | 1939 | 42.4% | 32.3% | 25.3% | +8.3 | 9 |
| 2015-08-23 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 1846 | 1908 | 29.4% | 34.3% | 36.3% | +0.2 | 3 |
| 2015-08-23 | @ Watford | D 0-0 | 1908 | 1846 | 36.3% | 34.3% | 29.4% | -0.2 | 2 |
| 2015-08-23 | Chelsea | L 2-3 | 1861 | 1993 | 22.9% | 29.8% | 47.2% | -3.6 | 1 |
| 2015-08-23 | @ West Brom | W 3-2 | 1993 | 1861 | 47.2% | 29.8% | 22.9% | +3.6 | 4 |
| 2015-08-24 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1976 | 1961 | 40.5% | 33.1% | 26.4% | -0.5 | 4 |
| 2015-08-24 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1961 | 1976 | 26.4% | 33.1% | 40.5% | +0.5 | 7 |
| 2015-08-29 | Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1843 | 1835 | 39.5% | 33.5% | 27.1% | -0.3 | 4 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1835 | 1843 | 27.1% | 33.5% | 39.5% | +0.3 | 2 |
| 2015-08-29 | Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1853 | 1889 | 33.0% | 34.7% | 32.4% | -0.0 | 4 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Bournemouth | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1853 | 32.4% | 34.7% | 33.0% | +0.0 | 8 |
| 2015-08-29 | Crystal Palace | L 1-2 | 1996 | 1879 | 57.5% | 23.0% | 19.6% | -7.2 | 4 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1879 | 1996 | 19.6% | 23.0% | 57.5% | +7.2 | 9 |
| 2015-08-29 | West Ham | L 0-3 | 1962 | 1885 | 50.7% | 27.7% | 21.6% | -19.5 | 7 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Liverpool | W 3-0 | 1885 | 1962 | 21.6% | 27.7% | 50.7% | +19.5 | 6 |
| 2015-08-29 | Watford | W 2-0 | 2049 | 1847 | 71.2% | 12.9% | 15.9% | +4.1 | 12 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1847 | 2049 | 15.9% | 12.9% | 71.2% | -4.1 | 3 |
| 2015-08-29 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1847 | 1975 | 23.2% | 30.1% | 46.7% | -4.0 | 2 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1975 | 1847 | 46.7% | 30.1% | 23.2% | +4.0 | 7 |
| 2015-08-29 | West Brom | L 0-1 | 1898 | 1858 | 44.7% | 31.2% | 24.1% | -6.6 | 2 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Stoke City | W 1-0 | 1858 | 1898 | 24.1% | 31.2% | 44.7% | +6.6 | 4 |
| 2015-08-29 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1919 | 1931 | 36.5% | 34.3% | 29.3% | -0.2 | 3 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1931 | 1919 | 29.3% | 34.3% | 36.5% | +0.2 | 5 |
| 2015-08-30 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1908 | 1865 | 45.2% | 31.0% | 23.9% | +11.4 | 5 |
| 2015-08-30 | @ Southampton | L 0-3 | 1865 | 1908 | 23.9% | 31.0% | 45.2% | -11.4 | 4 |
| 2015-08-30 | Manchester United | W 2-1 | 1903 | 1977 | 28.1% | 33.9% | 38.0% | +5.6 | 8 |
| 2015-08-30 | @ Swansea City | L 1-2 | 1977 | 1903 | 38.0% | 33.9% | 28.1% | -5.6 | 7 |
| 2015-09-12 | Stoke City | W 2-0 | 1979 | 1892 | 52.4% | 26.5% | 21.1% | +6.7 | 10 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1892 | 1979 | 21.1% | 26.5% | 52.4% | -6.7 | 2 |
| 2015-09-12 | Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1886 | 2053 | 20.8% | 26.0% | 53.1% | -3.5 | 9 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 2053 | 1886 | 53.1% | 26.0% | 20.8% | +3.5 | 15 |
| 2015-09-12 | Chelsea | W 3-1 | 1931 | 1989 | 29.9% | 34.4% | 35.7% | +9.3 | 8 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Everton | L 1-3 | 1989 | 1931 | 35.7% | 34.4% | 29.9% | -9.3 | 4 |
| 2015-09-12 | Liverpool | W 3-1 | 1971 | 1942 | 42.8% | 32.1% | 25.0% | +7.1 | 10 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1942 | 1971 | 25.0% | 32.1% | 42.8% | -7.2 | 7 |
| 2015-09-12 | Bournemouth | W 3-1 | 1853 | 1853 | 38.3% | 33.8% | 27.9% | +7.9 | 7 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Norwich City | L 1-3 | 1853 | 1853 | 27.9% | 33.8% | 38.3% | -7.9 | 4 |
| 2015-09-12 | Swansea City | W 1-0 | 1842 | 1909 | 28.9% | 34.2% | 36.9% | +5.8 | 6 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Watford | L 0-1 | 1909 | 1842 | 36.9% | 34.2% | 28.9% | -5.9 | 8 |
| 2015-09-12 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 1864 | 1920 | 30.3% | 34.5% | 35.2% | +0.2 | 5 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1920 | 1864 | 35.2% | 34.5% | 30.3% | -0.2 | 6 |
| 2015-09-13 | Aston Villa | W 3-2 | 1889 | 1843 | 45.6% | 30.7% | 23.6% | +3.7 | 11 |
| 2015-09-13 | @ Leicester City | L 2-3 | 1843 | 1889 | 23.6% | 30.7% | 45.6% | -3.7 | 4 |
| 2015-09-13 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1835 | 1919 | 27.0% | 33.4% | 39.6% | -4.7 | 2 |
| 2015-09-13 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1919 | 1835 | 39.6% | 33.4% | 27.0% | +4.7 | 6 |
| 2015-09-14 | Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 1904 | 1843 | 48.1% | 29.3% | 22.6% | +7.4 | 9 |
| 2015-09-14 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1843 | 1904 | 22.6% | 29.3% | 48.1% | -7.4 | 2 |
| 2015-09-19 | West Brom | L 0-1 | 1839 | 1865 | 34.4% | 34.6% | 31.0% | -5.6 | 4 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1865 | 1839 | 31.0% | 34.6% | 34.4% | +5.6 | 8 |
| 2015-09-19 | Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1845 | 1831 | 40.6% | 33.1% | 26.4% | +8.7 | 7 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ Bournemouth | L 0-2 | 1831 | 1845 | 26.4% | 33.1% | 40.6% | -8.7 | 2 |
| 2015-09-19 | Arsenal | W 2-0 | 1980 | 1986 | 37.4% | 34.1% | 28.6% | +9.2 | 7 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1986 | 1980 | 28.6% | 34.1% | 37.4% | -9.3 | 10 |
| 2015-09-19 | West Ham | L 1-2 | 2057 | 1912 | 62.0% | 19.6% | 18.4% | -7.5 | 15 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1912 | 2057 | 18.4% | 19.6% | 62.0% | +7.5 | 12 |
| 2015-09-19 | Watford | L 1-2 | 1836 | 1848 | 36.4% | 34.3% | 29.3% | -5.5 | 2 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1848 | 1836 | 29.3% | 34.3% | 36.4% | +5.5 | 9 |
| 2015-09-19 | Leicester City | D 2-2 | 1885 | 1892 | 37.1% | 34.1% | 28.7% | -0.2 | 3 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1892 | 1885 | 28.7% | 34.1% | 37.1% | +0.2 | 12 |
| 2015-09-19 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1903 | 1940 | 32.7% | 34.7% | 32.6% | +0.0 | 9 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1940 | 1903 | 32.6% | 34.7% | 32.7% | +0.0 | 9 |
| 2015-09-20 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1935 | 1861 | 50.2% | 28.0% | 21.8% | -0.9 | 8 |
| 2015-09-20 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1861 | 1935 | 21.8% | 28.0% | 50.2% | +0.9 | 8 |
| 2015-09-20 | Manchester United | L 2-3 | 1920 | 1979 | 29.8% | 34.4% | 35.8% | -4.5 | 6 |
| 2015-09-20 | @ Southampton | W 3-2 | 1979 | 1920 | 35.8% | 34.4% | 29.8% | +4.5 | 13 |
| 2015-09-20 | Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1924 | 1883 | 44.7% | 31.2% | 24.1% | +4.2 | 9 |
| 2015-09-20 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1883 | 1924 | 24.1% | 31.2% | 44.7% | -4.2 | 9 |
| 2015-09-26 | Arsenal | L 2-5 | 1893 | 1977 | 27.0% | 33.4% | 39.6% | -9.4 | 12 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Leicester City | W 5-2 | 1977 | 1893 | 39.6% | 33.4% | 27.0% | +9.4 | 13 |
| 2015-09-26 | Aston Villa | W 3-2 | 1934 | 1833 | 54.7% | 24.9% | 20.4% | +3.0 | 11 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1833 | 1934 | 20.4% | 24.9% | 54.7% | -3.0 | 4 |
| 2015-09-26 | Sunderland | W 3-0 | 1983 | 1822 | 64.7% | 17.6% | 17.7% | +7.2 | 16 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1822 | 1983 | 17.7% | 17.6% | 64.7% | -7.2 | 2 |
| 2015-09-26 | Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1830 | 1989 | 21.3% | 27.0% | 51.8% | +0.7 | 3 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1989 | 1830 | 51.8% | 27.0% | 21.3% | -0.7 | 8 |
| 2015-09-26 | Swansea City | W 3-1 | 1915 | 1903 | 40.1% | 33.2% | 26.6% | +7.6 | 9 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Southampton | L 1-3 | 1903 | 1915 | 26.6% | 33.2% | 40.1% | -7.6 | 9 |
| 2015-09-26 | Bournemouth | W 2-1 | 1885 | 1854 | 43.1% | 32.0% | 24.9% | +4.1 | 6 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1854 | 1885 | 24.9% | 32.0% | 43.1% | -4.1 | 7 |
| 2015-09-26 | Manchester City | W 4-1 | 1928 | 2049 | 23.7% | 30.7% | 45.6% | +15.4 | 12 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Tottenham | L 1-4 | 2049 | 1928 | 45.6% | 30.7% | 23.7% | -15.4 | 15 |
| 2015-09-26 | Norwich City | D 2-2 | 1919 | 1862 | 47.4% | 29.7% | 22.9% | -0.5 | 13 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 1862 | 1919 | 22.9% | 29.7% | 47.4% | +0.5 | 9 |
| 2015-09-27 | Crystal Palace | L 0-1 | 1854 | 1879 | 34.5% | 34.6% | 30.9% | -5.6 | 9 |
| 2015-09-27 | @ Watford | W 1-0 | 1879 | 1854 | 30.9% | 34.6% | 34.5% | +5.6 | 12 |
| 2015-09-28 | Everton | L 2-3 | 1870 | 1940 | 28.4% | 34.0% | 37.5% | -4.4 | 8 |
| 2015-09-28 | @ West Brom | W 3-2 | 1940 | 1870 | 37.5% | 34.0% | 28.4% | +4.4 | 12 |
| 2015-10-03 | Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1830 | 1889 | 29.8% | 34.4% | 35.8% | -5.1 | 4 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1889 | 1830 | 35.8% | 34.4% | 29.8% | +5.1 | 9 |
| 2015-10-03 | Watford | D 1-1 | 1850 | 1848 | 38.5% | 33.8% | 27.7% | -0.3 | 8 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Bournemouth | D 1-1 | 1848 | 1850 | 27.7% | 33.8% | 38.5% | +0.3 | 10 |
| 2015-10-03 | Southampton | L 1-3 | 1988 | 1923 | 48.8% | 28.8% | 22.3% | -11.4 | 8 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Chelsea | W 3-1 | 1923 | 1988 | 22.3% | 28.8% | 48.8% | +11.4 | 12 |
| 2015-10-03 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 1884 | 1866 | 41.1% | 32.9% | 26.0% | +8.6 | 15 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-2 | 1866 | 1884 | 26.0% | 32.9% | 41.1% | -8.5 | 8 |
| 2015-10-03 | Newcastle United | W 6-1 | 2034 | 1831 | 71.2% | 12.9% | 15.9% | +7.9 | 18 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Manchester City | L 1-6 | 1831 | 2034 | 15.9% | 12.9% | 71.2% | -7.9 | 3 |
| 2015-10-03 | Leicester City | L 1-2 | 1863 | 1883 | 35.1% | 34.5% | 30.4% | -5.3 | 9 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Norwich City | W 2-1 | 1883 | 1863 | 30.4% | 34.5% | 35.1% | +5.3 | 15 |
| 2015-10-03 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 1815 | 1919 | 25.1% | 32.1% | 42.8% | +0.4 | 3 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1919 | 1815 | 42.8% | 32.1% | 25.1% | -0.4 | 14 |
| 2015-10-04 | Manchester United | W 3-0 | 1986 | 1990 | 37.6% | 34.0% | 28.4% | +13.4 | 16 |
| 2015-10-04 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1990 | 1986 | 28.4% | 34.0% | 37.6% | -13.4 | 16 |
| 2015-10-04 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1945 | 1937 | 39.4% | 33.5% | 27.1% | -0.4 | 13 |
| 2015-10-04 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1937 | 1945 | 27.1% | 33.5% | 39.4% | +0.4 | 12 |
| 2015-10-04 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1896 | 1943 | 31.3% | 34.6% | 34.1% | +0.1 | 10 |
| 2015-10-04 | @ Swansea City | D 2-2 | 1943 | 1896 | 34.1% | 34.6% | 31.3% | -0.1 | 13 |
| 2015-10-17 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1977 | 1825 | 63.2% | 18.7% | 18.1% | +5.1 | 11 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1825 | 1977 | 18.1% | 18.7% | 63.2% | -5.1 | 4 |
| 2015-10-17 | West Ham | L 1-3 | 1893 | 1918 | 34.4% | 34.6% | 31.0% | -9.1 | 15 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Crystal Palace | W 3-1 | 1918 | 1893 | 31.0% | 34.6% | 34.4% | +9.1 | 17 |
| 2015-10-17 | Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1945 | 1977 | 33.4% | 34.6% | 31.9% | -15.0 | 13 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Everton | W 3-0 | 1977 | 1945 | 31.9% | 34.6% | 33.4% | +15.0 | 19 |
| 2015-10-17 | Bournemouth | W 5-1 | 2042 | 1849 | 69.6% | 14.0% | 16.4% | +6.8 | 21 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Manchester City | L 1-5 | 1849 | 2042 | 16.4% | 14.0% | 69.6% | -6.8 | 8 |
| 2015-10-17 | Leicester City | D 2-2 | 1934 | 1889 | 45.5% | 30.8% | 23.7% | -0.5 | 13 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1889 | 1934 | 23.7% | 30.8% | 45.5% | +0.5 | 16 |
| 2015-10-17 | Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1943 | 1938 | 39.1% | 33.6% | 27.3% | -0.4 | 14 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1938 | 1943 | 27.3% | 33.6% | 39.1% | +0.4 | 13 |
| 2015-10-17 | Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1848 | 1999 | 21.7% | 27.8% | 50.4% | -10.1 | 10 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Watford | W 3-0 | 1999 | 1848 | 50.4% | 27.8% | 21.7% | +10.1 | 19 |
| 2015-10-17 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1857 | 1815 | 44.9% | 31.1% | 24.0% | +4.2 | 11 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1815 | 1857 | 24.0% | 31.1% | 44.9% | -4.2 | 3 |
| 2015-10-18 | Norwich City | W 6-2 | 1823 | 1857 | 33.2% | 34.6% | 32.2% | +13.5 | 6 |
| 2015-10-18 | @ Newcastle United | L 2-6 | 1857 | 1823 | 32.2% | 34.6% | 33.2% | -13.5 | 9 |
| 2015-10-19 | Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1896 | 1894 | 38.5% | 33.8% | 27.7% | -6.0 | 10 |
| 2015-10-19 | @ Swansea City | W 1-0 | 1894 | 1896 | 27.7% | 33.8% | 38.5% | +6.0 | 12 |
| 2015-10-24 | Everton | W 2-1 | 2009 | 1930 | 51.2% | 27.4% | 21.5% | +3.4 | 22 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1930 | 2009 | 21.5% | 27.4% | 51.2% | -3.4 | 13 |
| 2015-10-24 | Swansea City | L 1-2 | 1820 | 1890 | 28.5% | 34.1% | 37.4% | -4.6 | 4 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1890 | 1820 | 37.4% | 34.1% | 28.5% | +4.6 | 13 |
| 2015-10-24 | Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1889 | 1884 | 39.1% | 33.6% | 27.3% | +4.7 | 19 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1884 | 1889 | 27.3% | 33.6% | 39.1% | -4.7 | 15 |
| 2015-10-24 | West Brom | L 0-1 | 1844 | 1861 | 35.6% | 34.4% | 30.0% | -5.7 | 9 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1861 | 1844 | 30.0% | 34.4% | 35.6% | +5.7 | 14 |
| 2015-10-24 | Watford | L 0-2 | 1900 | 1838 | 48.1% | 29.3% | 22.6% | -13.0 | 12 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Stoke City | W 2-0 | 1838 | 1900 | 22.6% | 29.3% | 48.1% | +13.0 | 13 |
| 2015-10-24 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1927 | 1982 | 30.3% | 34.5% | 35.2% | +5.3 | 20 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1982 | 1927 | 35.2% | 34.5% | 30.3% | -5.4 | 11 |
| 2015-10-25 | Tottenham | L 1-5 | 1843 | 1943 | 25.4% | 32.4% | 42.2% | -13.2 | 8 |
| 2015-10-25 | @ Bournemouth | W 5-1 | 1943 | 1843 | 42.2% | 32.4% | 25.4% | +13.2 | 17 |
| 2015-10-25 | Southampton | D 1-1 | 1938 | 1933 | 39.0% | 33.6% | 27.4% | -0.3 | 14 |
| 2015-10-25 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1933 | 1938 | 27.4% | 33.6% | 39.0% | +0.3 | 14 |
| 2015-10-25 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1992 | 2048 | 30.1% | 34.4% | 35.4% | +0.2 | 20 |
| 2015-10-25 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 2048 | 1992 | 35.4% | 34.4% | 30.1% | -0.2 | 22 |
| 2015-10-25 | Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1811 | 1837 | 34.4% | 34.6% | 31.0% | +14.3 | 6 |
| 2015-10-25 | @ Sunderland | L 0-3 | 1837 | 1811 | 31.0% | 34.6% | 34.4% | -14.3 | 6 |
| 2015-10-31 | Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1977 | 1938 | 44.5% | 31.3% | 24.2% | -10.7 | 11 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ Chelsea | W 3-1 | 1938 | 1977 | 24.2% | 31.3% | 44.5% | +10.7 | 17 |
| 2015-10-31 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1879 | 1992 | 24.3% | 31.4% | 44.3% | +0.7 | 16 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ Crystal Palace | D 0-0 | 1992 | 1879 | 44.3% | 31.4% | 24.3% | -0.7 | 21 |
| 2015-10-31 | Norwich City | W 2-1 | 2048 | 1838 | 72.3% | 12.1% | 15.6% | +2.0 | 25 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1838 | 2048 | 15.6% | 12.1% | 72.3% | -2.0 | 9 |
| 2015-10-31 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1822 | 1887 | 29.1% | 34.2% | 36.7% | +0.2 | 7 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1887 | 1822 | 36.7% | 34.2% | 29.1% | -0.2 | 13 |
| 2015-10-31 | Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1894 | 2013 | 23.9% | 31.0% | 45.1% | -11.4 | 13 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ Swansea City | W 3-0 | 2013 | 1894 | 45.1% | 31.0% | 23.9% | +11.4 | 25 |
| 2015-10-31 | West Ham | W 2-0 | 1851 | 1933 | 27.2% | 33.5% | 39.2% | +11.5 | 16 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ Watford | L 0-2 | 1933 | 1851 | 39.2% | 33.5% | 27.2% | -11.5 | 20 |
| 2015-10-31 | Leicester City | L 2-3 | 1867 | 1894 | 34.3% | 34.6% | 31.1% | -5.0 | 14 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ West Brom | W 3-2 | 1894 | 1867 | 31.1% | 34.6% | 34.3% | +5.0 | 22 |
| 2015-11-01 | Sunderland | W 6-2 | 1926 | 1825 | 54.7% | 25.0% | 20.4% | +8.5 | 16 |
| 2015-11-01 | @ Everton | L 2-6 | 1825 | 1926 | 20.4% | 25.0% | 54.7% | -8.5 | 6 |
| 2015-11-01 | Bournemouth | W 2-0 | 1934 | 1829 | 55.2% | 24.6% | 20.2% | +6.2 | 17 |
| 2015-11-01 | @ Southampton | L 0-2 | 1829 | 1934 | 20.2% | 24.6% | 55.2% | -6.2 | 8 |
| 2015-11-02 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1956 | 1815 | 61.3% | 20.1% | 18.6% | +4.6 | 20 |
| 2015-11-02 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1815 | 1956 | 18.6% | 20.1% | 61.3% | -4.7 | 4 |
| 2015-11-07 | Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1823 | 1823 | 38.4% | 33.8% | 27.8% | -6.0 | 8 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Bournemouth | W 1-0 | 1823 | 1823 | 27.8% | 33.8% | 38.4% | +6.0 | 10 |
| 2015-11-07 | Watford | W 2-1 | 1899 | 1863 | 44.0% | 31.6% | 24.4% | +4.0 | 25 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Leicester City | L 1-2 | 1863 | 1899 | 24.4% | 31.6% | 44.0% | -4.0 | 16 |
| 2015-11-07 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 1991 | 1862 | 59.4% | 21.5% | 19.1% | +5.6 | 24 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1862 | 1991 | 19.1% | 21.5% | 59.4% | -5.6 | 14 |
| 2015-11-07 | Swansea City | W 1-0 | 1836 | 1883 | 31.4% | 34.6% | 34.0% | +5.5 | 12 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Norwich City | L 0-1 | 1883 | 1836 | 34.0% | 34.6% | 31.4% | -5.5 | 13 |
| 2015-11-07 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1887 | 1966 | 27.5% | 33.6% | 38.9% | +6.0 | 16 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1966 | 1887 | 38.9% | 33.6% | 27.5% | -6.0 | 11 |
| 2015-11-07 | Southampton | L 0-1 | 1817 | 1940 | 23.5% | 30.6% | 45.9% | -4.1 | 6 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1940 | 1817 | 45.9% | 30.6% | 23.5% | +4.1 | 20 |
| 2015-11-07 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1921 | 1935 | 36.3% | 34.3% | 29.4% | -0.2 | 21 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1935 | 1921 | 29.4% | 34.3% | 36.3% | +0.2 | 17 |
| 2015-11-08 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 2024 | 1961 | 48.5% | 29.1% | 22.4% | -0.8 | 26 |
| 2015-11-08 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1961 | 2024 | 22.4% | 29.1% | 48.5% | +0.8 | 21 |
| 2015-11-08 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1811 | 2050 | 17.6% | 17.3% | 65.2% | +1.6 | 5 |
| 2015-11-08 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 2050 | 1811 | 65.2% | 17.3% | 17.6% | -1.6 | 26 |
| 2015-11-08 | Crystal Palace | L 1-2 | 1949 | 1879 | 49.4% | 28.5% | 22.1% | -6.6 | 17 |
| 2015-11-08 | @ Liverpool | W 2-1 | 1879 | 1949 | 22.1% | 28.5% | 49.4% | +6.6 | 19 |
| 2015-11-21 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1960 | 1842 | 57.6% | 22.8% | 19.5% | +3.1 | 14 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1842 | 1960 | 19.5% | 22.8% | 57.6% | -3.1 | 12 |
| 2015-11-21 | Aston Villa | W 4-0 | 1935 | 1812 | 58.3% | 22.4% | 19.4% | +11.0 | 20 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Everton | L 0-4 | 1812 | 1935 | 19.4% | 22.4% | 58.3% | -11.0 | 5 |
| 2015-11-21 | Liverpool | L 1-4 | 2049 | 1942 | 55.6% | 24.3% | 20.1% | -17.4 | 26 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Manchester City | W 4-1 | 1942 | 2049 | 20.1% | 24.3% | 55.6% | +17.4 | 20 |
| 2015-11-21 | Leicester City | L 0-3 | 1829 | 1903 | 28.0% | 33.9% | 38.1% | -13.2 | 10 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1903 | 1829 | 38.1% | 33.9% | 28.0% | +13.2 | 28 |
| 2015-11-21 | Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1944 | 1893 | 46.4% | 30.3% | 23.3% | -6.8 | 20 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Southampton | W 1-0 | 1893 | 1944 | 23.3% | 30.3% | 46.4% | +6.8 | 19 |
| 2015-11-21 | Bournemouth | D 2-2 | 1877 | 1817 | 47.9% | 29.4% | 22.7% | -0.6 | 14 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Swansea City | D 2-2 | 1817 | 1877 | 22.7% | 29.4% | 47.9% | +0.6 | 9 |
| 2015-11-21 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1859 | 1997 | 22.5% | 29.1% | 48.4% | -3.7 | 16 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Watford | W 2-1 | 1997 | 1859 | 48.4% | 29.1% | 22.5% | +3.7 | 27 |
| 2015-11-21 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1857 | 2024 | 20.8% | 26.0% | 53.1% | +6.9 | 17 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ West Brom | L 1-2 | 2024 | 1857 | 53.1% | 26.0% | 20.8% | -6.9 | 26 |
| 2015-11-22 | West Ham | W 4-1 | 1961 | 1921 | 44.6% | 31.2% | 24.1% | +9.7 | 24 |
| 2015-11-22 | @ Tottenham | L 1-4 | 1921 | 1961 | 24.1% | 31.2% | 44.6% | -9.7 | 21 |
| 2015-11-23 | Sunderland | L 0-1 | 1886 | 1813 | 50.1% | 28.1% | 21.9% | -7.1 | 19 |
| 2015-11-23 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1813 | 1886 | 21.9% | 28.1% | 50.1% | +7.1 | 9 |
| 2015-11-28 | Watford | L 2-3 | 1801 | 1855 | 30.5% | 34.5% | 35.0% | -4.6 | 5 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-2 | 1855 | 1801 | 35.0% | 34.5% | 30.5% | +4.6 | 19 |
| 2015-11-28 | Everton | D 3-3 | 1818 | 1946 | 23.2% | 30.1% | 46.7% | +0.4 | 10 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Bournemouth | D 3-3 | 1946 | 1818 | 46.7% | 30.1% | 23.2% | -0.4 | 21 |
| 2015-11-28 | Newcastle United | W 5-1 | 1879 | 1815 | 48.5% | 29.1% | 22.4% | +11.5 | 22 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Crystal Palace | L 1-5 | 1815 | 1879 | 22.4% | 29.1% | 48.5% | -11.5 | 10 |
| 2015-11-28 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1916 | 2001 | 26.9% | 33.4% | 39.7% | +0.4 | 29 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Leicester City | D 1-1 | 2001 | 1916 | 39.7% | 33.4% | 26.9% | -0.4 | 28 |
| 2015-11-28 | Southampton | W 3-1 | 2031 | 1937 | 53.5% | 25.8% | 20.7% | +5.6 | 29 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1937 | 2031 | 20.7% | 25.8% | 53.5% | -5.6 | 20 |
| 2015-11-28 | Stoke City | W 2-0 | 1820 | 1900 | 27.4% | 33.6% | 39.0% | +11.4 | 12 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Sunderland | L 0-2 | 1900 | 1820 | 39.0% | 33.6% | 27.4% | -11.4 | 19 |
| 2015-11-29 | Swansea City | W 1-0 | 1959 | 1877 | 51.6% | 27.1% | 21.3% | +3.6 | 23 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1877 | 1959 | 21.3% | 27.1% | 51.6% | -3.6 | 14 |
| 2015-11-29 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1838 | 2017 | 20.3% | 24.7% | 55.0% | +1.1 | 13 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 2017 | 1838 | 55.0% | 24.7% | 20.3% | -1.1 | 27 |
| 2015-11-29 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1971 | 1963 | 39.5% | 33.5% | 27.0% | -0.4 | 25 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1963 | 1971 | 27.0% | 33.5% | 39.5% | +0.4 | 15 |
| 2015-11-29 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1911 | 1863 | 45.9% | 30.6% | 23.5% | -0.7 | 22 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ West Ham | D 1-1 | 1863 | 1911 | 23.5% | 30.6% | 45.9% | +0.7 | 18 |
| 2015-12-05 | Sunderland | W 3-1 | 2016 | 1831 | 68.4% | 14.9% | 16.7% | +3.8 | 30 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1831 | 2016 | 16.7% | 14.9% | 68.4% | -3.9 | 12 |
| 2015-12-05 | Bournemouth | L 0-1 | 1964 | 1818 | 62.1% | 19.5% | 18.4% | -8.0 | 15 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1818 | 1964 | 18.4% | 19.5% | 62.1% | +8.0 | 13 |
| 2015-12-05 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 2000 | 1911 | 52.8% | 26.3% | 20.9% | -1.1 | 29 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1911 | 2000 | 20.9% | 26.3% | 52.8% | +1.1 | 23 |
| 2015-12-05 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1932 | 1797 | 60.4% | 20.8% | 18.8% | -1.3 | 21 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1797 | 1932 | 18.8% | 20.8% | 60.4% | +1.3 | 6 |
| 2015-12-05 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1888 | 2037 | 21.9% | 28.1% | 50.1% | +13.3 | 22 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Stoke City | L 0-2 | 2037 | 1888 | 50.1% | 28.1% | 21.9% | -13.3 | 29 |
| 2015-12-05 | Leicester City | L 0-3 | 1873 | 1916 | 31.9% | 34.6% | 33.5% | -14.5 | 14 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Swansea City | W 3-0 | 1916 | 1873 | 33.5% | 34.6% | 31.9% | +14.5 | 32 |
| 2015-12-05 | Norwich City | W 2-0 | 1860 | 1840 | 41.4% | 32.7% | 25.8% | +8.5 | 22 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Watford | L 0-2 | 1840 | 1860 | 25.8% | 32.7% | 41.4% | -8.5 | 13 |
| 2015-12-05 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1864 | 1971 | 24.8% | 31.9% | 43.2% | +0.5 | 19 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1971 | 1864 | 43.2% | 31.9% | 24.8% | -0.5 | 26 |
| 2015-12-06 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1804 | 1963 | 21.3% | 26.9% | 51.8% | +13.6 | 13 |
| 2015-12-06 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1963 | 1804 | 51.8% | 26.9% | 21.3% | -13.6 | 23 |
| 2015-12-07 | Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 1945 | 1891 | 47.0% | 29.9% | 23.1% | -0.7 | 22 |
| 2015-12-07 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1891 | 1945 | 23.1% | 29.9% | 47.0% | +0.7 | 23 |
| 2015-12-12 | Manchester United | W 2-1 | 1826 | 1999 | 20.5% | 25.3% | 54.1% | +7.0 | 16 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Bournemouth | L 1-2 | 1999 | 1826 | 54.1% | 25.3% | 20.5% | -7.0 | 29 |
| 2015-12-12 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1891 | 1930 | 32.5% | 34.7% | 32.9% | +5.4 | 26 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-1 | 1930 | 1891 | 32.9% | 34.7% | 32.5% | -5.4 | 21 |
| 2015-12-12 | Swansea City | W 2-1 | 2024 | 1859 | 65.3% | 17.2% | 17.5% | +2.4 | 32 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1859 | 2024 | 17.5% | 17.2% | 65.3% | -2.4 | 14 |
| 2015-12-12 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1831 | 1945 | 24.3% | 31.4% | 44.3% | +0.6 | 14 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1945 | 1831 | 44.3% | 31.4% | 24.3% | -0.6 | 23 |
| 2015-12-12 | Watford | L 0-1 | 1827 | 1868 | 32.2% | 34.6% | 33.1% | -5.3 | 12 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1868 | 1827 | 33.1% | 34.6% | 32.2% | +5.3 | 25 |
| 2015-12-12 | Stoke City | D 0-0 | 1912 | 1902 | 39.9% | 33.3% | 26.8% | -0.4 | 24 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ West Ham | D 0-0 | 1902 | 1912 | 26.8% | 33.3% | 39.9% | +0.4 | 23 |
| 2015-12-13 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1798 | 2019 | 18.3% | 19.5% | 62.2% | -5.3 | 6 |
| 2015-12-13 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 2019 | 1798 | 62.2% | 19.5% | 18.3% | +5.2 | 33 |
| 2015-12-13 | West Brom | D 2-2 | 1949 | 1865 | 51.9% | 26.8% | 21.2% | -0.7 | 24 |
| 2015-12-13 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1865 | 1949 | 21.2% | 26.8% | 51.9% | +0.7 | 20 |
| 2015-12-13 | Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1970 | 1817 | 63.3% | 18.6% | 18.1% | -7.6 | 26 |
| 2015-12-13 | @ Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1817 | 1970 | 18.1% | 18.6% | 63.3% | +7.6 | 16 |
| 2015-12-14 | Chelsea | W 2-1 | 1931 | 1956 | 34.6% | 34.6% | 30.9% | +4.9 | 35 |
| 2015-12-14 | @ Leicester City | L 1-2 | 1956 | 1931 | 30.9% | 34.6% | 34.6% | -4.9 | 15 |
| 2015-12-19 | Sunderland | W 3-1 | 1951 | 1822 | 59.3% | 21.6% | 19.1% | +4.9 | 18 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1822 | 1951 | 19.1% | 21.6% | 59.3% | -4.9 | 12 |
| 2015-12-19 | Leicester City | L 2-3 | 1944 | 1936 | 39.5% | 33.4% | 27.0% | -5.5 | 23 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ Everton | W 3-2 | 1936 | 1944 | 27.0% | 33.4% | 39.5% | +5.5 | 38 |
| 2015-12-19 | Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1992 | 1832 | 64.6% | 17.7% | 17.7% | -7.7 | 29 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ Manchester United | W 2-1 | 1832 | 1992 | 17.7% | 17.7% | 64.6% | +7.7 | 17 |
| 2015-12-19 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1825 | 1793 | 43.4% | 31.9% | 24.8% | -0.6 | 17 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1793 | 1825 | 24.8% | 31.9% | 43.4% | +0.6 | 7 |
| 2015-12-19 | Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1925 | 1963 | 32.7% | 34.7% | 32.7% | -10.2 | 21 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ Southampton | W 2-0 | 1963 | 1925 | 32.7% | 34.7% | 32.7% | +10.2 | 29 |
| 2015-12-19 | Crystal Palace | L 1-2 | 1902 | 1897 | 39.1% | 33.6% | 27.3% | -5.7 | 23 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1897 | 1902 | 27.3% | 33.6% | 39.1% | +5.7 | 29 |
| 2015-12-19 | Bournemouth | L 1-2 | 1865 | 1833 | 43.3% | 31.9% | 24.8% | -6.1 | 20 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1833 | 1865 | 24.8% | 31.9% | 43.3% | +6.1 | 19 |
| 2015-12-20 | West Ham | D 0-0 | 1856 | 1911 | 30.3% | 34.5% | 35.3% | +0.2 | 15 |
| 2015-12-20 | @ Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1911 | 1856 | 35.3% | 34.5% | 30.3% | -0.2 | 25 |
| 2015-12-20 | Liverpool | W 3-0 | 1874 | 1949 | 27.9% | 33.8% | 38.2% | +16.4 | 28 |
| 2015-12-20 | @ Watford | L 0-3 | 1949 | 1874 | 38.2% | 33.8% | 27.9% | -16.4 | 24 |
| 2015-12-21 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 2025 | 2026 | 38.1% | 33.9% | 28.0% | +4.6 | 36 |
| 2015-12-21 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 2026 | 2025 | 28.0% | 33.9% | 38.1% | -4.6 | 32 |
| 2015-12-26 | West Ham | D 1-1 | 1793 | 1911 | 23.9% | 31.0% | 45.0% | +0.6 | 8 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1911 | 1793 | 45.0% | 31.0% | 23.9% | -0.6 | 26 |
| 2015-12-26 | Crystal Palace | D 0-0 | 1839 | 1902 | 29.3% | 34.3% | 36.4% | +0.2 | 20 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ Bournemouth | D 0-0 | 1902 | 1839 | 36.4% | 34.3% | 29.3% | -0.2 | 30 |
| 2015-12-26 | Watford | D 2-2 | 1956 | 1890 | 48.8% | 28.9% | 22.3% | -0.6 | 19 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1890 | 1956 | 22.3% | 28.9% | 48.8% | +0.6 | 29 |
| 2015-12-26 | Leicester City | W 1-0 | 1932 | 1941 | 36.9% | 34.2% | 28.9% | +5.0 | 27 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1941 | 1932 | 28.9% | 34.2% | 36.9% | -5.0 | 38 |
| 2015-12-26 | Sunderland | W 4-1 | 2021 | 1817 | 71.4% | 12.7% | 15.8% | +5.0 | 35 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ Manchester City | L 1-4 | 1817 | 2021 | 15.8% | 12.7% | 71.4% | -5.0 | 12 |
| 2015-12-26 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1824 | 1939 | 24.2% | 31.4% | 44.4% | -4.2 | 17 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1939 | 1824 | 44.4% | 31.4% | 24.2% | +4.2 | 26 |
| 2015-12-26 | Arsenal | W 4-0 | 1915 | 2029 | 24.2% | 31.3% | 44.5% | +23.5 | 24 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ Southampton | L 0-4 | 2029 | 1915 | 44.5% | 31.3% | 24.2% | -23.5 | 36 |
| 2015-12-26 | Manchester United | W 2-0 | 1896 | 1985 | 26.5% | 33.2% | 40.3% | +11.7 | 26 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ Stoke City | L 0-2 | 1985 | 1896 | 40.3% | 33.2% | 26.5% | -11.7 | 29 |
| 2015-12-26 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 1856 | 1859 | 37.8% | 34.0% | 28.2% | +4.9 | 18 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ Swansea City | L 0-1 | 1859 | 1856 | 28.2% | 34.0% | 37.8% | -4.9 | 20 |
| 2015-12-26 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1973 | 1839 | 60.1% | 21.0% | 18.9% | +8.0 | 32 |
| 2015-12-26 | @ Tottenham | L 0-3 | 1839 | 1973 | 18.9% | 21.0% | 60.1% | -8.0 | 17 |
| 2015-12-28 | Bournemouth | W 2-0 | 2006 | 1840 | 65.5% | 17.0% | 17.5% | +4.8 | 39 |
| 2015-12-28 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1840 | 2006 | 17.5% | 17.0% | 65.5% | -4.8 | 20 |
| 2015-12-28 | Swansea City | D 0-0 | 1902 | 1861 | 44.8% | 31.2% | 24.1% | -0.7 | 31 |
| 2015-12-28 | @ Crystal Palace | D 0-0 | 1861 | 1902 | 24.1% | 31.2% | 44.8% | +0.7 | 19 |
| 2015-12-28 | Stoke City | L 3-4 | 1943 | 1908 | 43.8% | 31.7% | 24.5% | -5.7 | 26 |
| 2015-12-28 | @ Everton | W 4-3 | 1908 | 1943 | 24.5% | 31.7% | 43.8% | +5.7 | 29 |
| 2015-12-28 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1973 | 1955 | 41.1% | 32.9% | 26.1% | -0.5 | 30 |
| 2015-12-28 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1955 | 1973 | 26.1% | 32.9% | 41.1% | +0.5 | 20 |
| 2015-12-28 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1831 | 1794 | 44.2% | 31.5% | 24.3% | +8.0 | 20 |
| 2015-12-28 | @ Norwich City | L 0-2 | 1794 | 1831 | 24.3% | 31.5% | 44.2% | -8.0 | 8 |
| 2015-12-28 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1891 | 1981 | 26.3% | 33.1% | 40.6% | -4.3 | 29 |
| 2015-12-28 | @ Watford | W 2-1 | 1981 | 1891 | 40.6% | 33.1% | 26.3% | +4.3 | 35 |
| 2015-12-28 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1854 | 1820 | 43.7% | 31.7% | 24.6% | +4.3 | 23 |
| 2015-12-28 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1820 | 1854 | 24.6% | 31.7% | 43.7% | -4.3 | 17 |
| 2015-12-28 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1911 | 1938 | 34.1% | 34.6% | 31.3% | +4.9 | 29 |
| 2015-12-28 | @ West Ham | L 1-2 | 1938 | 1911 | 31.3% | 34.6% | 34.1% | -4.9 | 24 |
| 2015-12-29 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1936 | 2026 | 26.4% | 33.1% | 40.6% | +0.5 | 39 |
| 2015-12-29 | @ Leicester City | D 0-0 | 2026 | 1936 | 40.6% | 33.1% | 26.4% | -0.5 | 36 |
| 2015-12-30 | Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1812 | 1937 | 23.4% | 30.4% | 46.2% | -4.1 | 12 |
| 2015-12-30 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1937 | 1812 | 46.2% | 30.4% | 23.4% | +4.1 | 30 |
| 2016-01-02 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 2010 | 1816 | 70.0% | 13.8% | 16.3% | +2.2 | 42 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1816 | 2010 | 16.3% | 13.8% | 70.0% | -2.2 | 17 |
| 2016-01-02 | Bournemouth | D 0-0 | 1937 | 1835 | 54.9% | 24.8% | 20.3% | -1.2 | 40 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ Leicester City | D 0-0 | 1835 | 1937 | 20.3% | 24.8% | 54.9% | +1.2 | 21 |
| 2016-01-02 | Swansea City | W 2-1 | 1972 | 1862 | 56.3% | 23.8% | 19.9% | +3.1 | 33 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1862 | 1972 | 19.9% | 23.8% | 56.3% | -3.0 | 19 |
| 2016-01-02 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1839 | 1933 | 26.0% | 32.8% | 41.2% | +6.3 | 23 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ Norwich City | L 0-1 | 1933 | 1839 | 41.2% | 32.8% | 26.0% | -6.3 | 24 |
| 2016-01-02 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1808 | 1786 | 41.7% | 32.6% | 25.7% | +7.3 | 15 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ Sunderland | L 1-3 | 1786 | 1808 | 25.7% | 32.6% | 41.7% | -7.3 | 8 |
| 2016-01-02 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1886 | 2026 | 22.4% | 29.0% | 48.6% | -3.6 | 29 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ Watford | W 2-1 | 2026 | 1886 | 48.6% | 29.0% | 22.4% | +3.6 | 39 |
| 2016-01-02 | Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1859 | 1914 | 30.3% | 34.5% | 35.2% | +5.3 | 26 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ West Brom | L 1-2 | 1914 | 1859 | 35.2% | 34.5% | 30.3% | -5.3 | 29 |
| 2016-01-02 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1916 | 1941 | 34.4% | 34.6% | 31.0% | +9.8 | 32 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1941 | 1916 | 31.0% | 34.6% | 34.4% | -9.8 | 30 |
| 2016-01-03 | Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1902 | 1955 | 30.4% | 34.5% | 35.1% | -14.1 | 31 |
| 2016-01-03 | @ Crystal Palace | W 3-0 | 1955 | 1902 | 35.1% | 34.5% | 30.4% | +14.1 | 23 |
| 2016-01-03 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1937 | 1985 | 31.2% | 34.6% | 34.2% | +0.1 | 27 |
| 2016-01-03 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1985 | 1937 | 34.2% | 34.6% | 31.2% | -0.1 | 36 |
| 2016-01-12 | Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1779 | 1887 | 24.7% | 31.8% | 43.5% | +6.5 | 11 |
| 2016-01-12 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1887 | 1779 | 43.5% | 31.8% | 24.7% | -6.5 | 31 |
| 2016-01-12 | West Ham | L 1-3 | 1836 | 1925 | 26.4% | 33.1% | 40.5% | -7.5 | 21 |
| 2016-01-12 | @ Bournemouth | W 3-1 | 1925 | 1836 | 40.5% | 33.1% | 26.4% | +7.5 | 35 |
| 2016-01-12 | Manchester United | D 3-3 | 1814 | 1975 | 21.1% | 26.6% | 52.2% | +0.6 | 18 |
| 2016-01-12 | @ Newcastle United | D 3-3 | 1975 | 1814 | 52.2% | 26.6% | 21.1% | -0.6 | 34 |
| 2016-01-13 | West Brom | D 2-2 | 1970 | 1864 | 55.5% | 24.4% | 20.1% | -0.8 | 24 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1864 | 1970 | 20.1% | 24.4% | 55.5% | +0.8 | 27 |
| 2016-01-13 | Arsenal | D 3-3 | 1931 | 2013 | 27.2% | 33.6% | 39.2% | +0.2 | 31 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ Liverpool | D 3-3 | 2013 | 1931 | 39.2% | 33.6% | 27.2% | -0.2 | 43 |
| 2016-01-13 | Everton | D 0-0 | 2030 | 1937 | 53.2% | 26.0% | 20.8% | -1.1 | 40 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1937 | 2030 | 20.8% | 26.0% | 53.2% | +1.1 | 28 |
| 2016-01-13 | Watford | W 2-0 | 1927 | 1883 | 45.3% | 30.9% | 23.8% | +7.8 | 27 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ Southampton | L 0-2 | 1883 | 1927 | 23.8% | 30.9% | 45.3% | -7.8 | 29 |
| 2016-01-13 | Norwich City | W 3-1 | 1908 | 1846 | 48.3% | 29.2% | 22.5% | +6.3 | 32 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ Stoke City | L 1-3 | 1846 | 1908 | 22.5% | 29.2% | 48.3% | -6.3 | 23 |
| 2016-01-13 | Sunderland | L 2-4 | 1859 | 1815 | 45.2% | 31.0% | 23.9% | -9.7 | 19 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ Swansea City | W 4-2 | 1815 | 1859 | 23.9% | 31.0% | 45.2% | +9.7 | 18 |
| 2016-01-13 | Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1985 | 1936 | 46.1% | 30.4% | 23.4% | -6.7 | 36 |
| 2016-01-13 | @ Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1936 | 1985 | 23.4% | 30.4% | 46.1% | +6.7 | 43 |
| 2016-01-16 | Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1785 | 1942 | 21.4% | 27.1% | 51.5% | +0.9 | 12 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1942 | 1785 | 51.5% | 27.1% | 21.4% | -0.9 | 44 |
| 2016-01-16 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1828 | 1839 | 36.6% | 34.2% | 29.1% | +13.6 | 24 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ Bournemouth | L 0-3 | 1839 | 1828 | 29.1% | 34.2% | 36.6% | -13.7 | 23 |
| 2016-01-16 | Everton | D 3-3 | 1969 | 1938 | 43.1% | 32.0% | 24.9% | -0.3 | 25 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ Chelsea | D 3-3 | 1938 | 1969 | 24.9% | 32.0% | 43.1% | +0.3 | 29 |
| 2016-01-16 | Crystal Palace | W 4-0 | 2028 | 1881 | 62.4% | 19.3% | 18.3% | +9.9 | 43 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ Manchester City | L 0-4 | 1881 | 2028 | 18.3% | 19.3% | 62.4% | -9.9 | 31 |
| 2016-01-16 | West Ham | W 2-1 | 1814 | 1933 | 23.9% | 31.0% | 45.1% | +6.2 | 21 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1933 | 1814 | 45.1% | 31.0% | 23.9% | -6.2 | 35 |
| 2016-01-16 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 1935 | 1865 | 49.5% | 28.4% | 22.1% | +10.3 | 30 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ Southampton | L 0-3 | 1865 | 1935 | 22.1% | 28.4% | 49.5% | -10.3 | 27 |
| 2016-01-16 | Sunderland | W 4-1 | 1978 | 1825 | 63.4% | 18.6% | 18.0% | +6.2 | 39 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ Tottenham | L 1-4 | 1825 | 1978 | 18.0% | 18.6% | 63.4% | -6.2 | 18 |
| 2016-01-17 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1932 | 1975 | 31.9% | 34.6% | 33.5% | -5.3 | 31 |
| 2016-01-17 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1975 | 1932 | 33.5% | 34.6% | 31.9% | +5.3 | 37 |
| 2016-01-17 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1915 | 2012 | 25.6% | 32.6% | 41.8% | +0.5 | 33 |
| 2016-01-17 | @ Stoke City | D 0-0 | 2012 | 1915 | 41.8% | 32.6% | 25.6% | -0.5 | 44 |
| 2016-01-18 | Watford | W 1-0 | 1849 | 1875 | 34.4% | 34.6% | 31.0% | +5.2 | 22 |
| 2016-01-18 | @ Swansea City | L 0-1 | 1875 | 1849 | 31.0% | 34.6% | 34.4% | -5.2 | 29 |
| 2016-01-23 | Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1871 | 1985 | 24.3% | 31.4% | 44.3% | -6.9 | 31 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ Crystal Palace | W 3-1 | 1985 | 1871 | 44.3% | 31.4% | 24.3% | +6.9 | 42 |
| 2016-01-23 | Stoke City | W 3-0 | 1942 | 1915 | 42.4% | 32.3% | 25.3% | +12.1 | 47 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ Leicester City | L 0-3 | 1915 | 1942 | 25.3% | 32.3% | 42.4% | -12.1 | 33 |
| 2016-01-23 | Southampton | L 0-1 | 1980 | 1945 | 43.8% | 31.7% | 24.6% | -6.5 | 37 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1945 | 1980 | 24.6% | 31.7% | 43.8% | +6.5 | 33 |
| 2016-01-23 | Liverpool | L 4-5 | 1826 | 1926 | 25.4% | 32.4% | 42.3% | -3.8 | 23 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ Norwich City | W 5-4 | 1926 | 1826 | 42.3% | 32.4% | 25.4% | +3.8 | 34 |
| 2016-01-23 | Bournemouth | D 1-1 | 1819 | 1842 | 34.8% | 34.5% | 30.7% | -0.1 | 19 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1842 | 1819 | 30.7% | 34.5% | 34.8% | +0.1 | 25 |
| 2016-01-23 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1870 | 1821 | 46.1% | 30.5% | 23.4% | +3.9 | 32 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ Watford | L 1-2 | 1821 | 1870 | 23.4% | 30.5% | 46.1% | -3.8 | 21 |
| 2016-01-23 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1854 | 1786 | 49.2% | 28.6% | 22.1% | -0.9 | 28 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1786 | 1854 | 22.1% | 28.6% | 49.2% | +0.9 | 13 |
| 2016-01-23 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1927 | 2038 | 24.4% | 31.6% | 44.0% | +0.4 | 36 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 2038 | 1927 | 44.0% | 31.6% | 24.4% | -0.4 | 44 |
| 2016-01-24 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 2012 | 1968 | 45.2% | 31.0% | 23.9% | -6.6 | 44 |
| 2016-01-24 | @ Arsenal | W 1-0 | 1968 | 2012 | 23.9% | 31.0% | 45.2% | +6.6 | 28 |
| 2016-01-24 | Swansea City | L 1-2 | 1939 | 1854 | 51.9% | 26.9% | 21.2% | -6.8 | 29 |
| 2016-01-24 | @ Everton | W 2-1 | 1854 | 1939 | 21.2% | 26.9% | 51.9% | +6.8 | 25 |
| 2016-02-02 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 2005 | 1952 | 46.8% | 30.1% | 23.1% | -0.8 | 45 |
| 2016-02-02 | @ Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1952 | 2005 | 23.1% | 30.1% | 46.8% | +0.8 | 34 |
| 2016-02-02 | Bournemouth | L 1-2 | 1864 | 1842 | 41.7% | 32.6% | 25.7% | -6.0 | 31 |
| 2016-02-02 | @ Crystal Palace | W 2-1 | 1842 | 1864 | 25.7% | 32.6% | 41.7% | +6.0 | 28 |
| 2016-02-02 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1954 | 1930 | 42.0% | 32.5% | 25.5% | +8.4 | 50 |
| 2016-02-02 | @ Leicester City | L 0-2 | 1930 | 1954 | 25.5% | 32.5% | 42.0% | -8.4 | 34 |
| 2016-02-02 | Stoke City | W 3-0 | 1974 | 1903 | 49.6% | 28.4% | 22.0% | +10.3 | 40 |
| 2016-02-02 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1903 | 1974 | 22.0% | 28.4% | 49.6% | -10.3 | 33 |
| 2016-02-02 | Tottenham | L 0-3 | 1822 | 1991 | 20.7% | 25.7% | 53.6% | -9.4 | 23 |
| 2016-02-02 | @ Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1991 | 1822 | 53.6% | 25.7% | 20.7% | +9.4 | 45 |
| 2016-02-02 | Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1819 | 2038 | 18.4% | 19.7% | 61.9% | -2.8 | 19 |
| 2016-02-02 | @ Sunderland | W 1-0 | 2038 | 1819 | 61.9% | 19.7% | 18.4% | +2.8 | 47 |
| 2016-02-02 | Swansea City | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1861 | 37.1% | 34.1% | 28.7% | -0.2 | 29 |
| 2016-02-02 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1861 | 1854 | 28.7% | 34.1% | 37.1% | +0.2 | 26 |
| 2016-02-02 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1927 | 1787 | 61.2% | 20.2% | 18.6% | +5.4 | 39 |
| 2016-02-02 | @ West Ham | L 0-2 | 1787 | 1927 | 18.6% | 20.2% | 61.2% | -5.4 | 13 |
| 2016-02-03 | Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1932 | 1817 | 57.0% | 23.2% | 19.7% | +8.7 | 32 |
| 2016-02-03 | @ Everton | L 0-3 | 1817 | 1932 | 19.7% | 23.2% | 57.0% | -8.7 | 21 |
| 2016-02-03 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1873 | 1975 | 25.3% | 32.3% | 42.4% | +0.6 | 33 |
| 2016-02-03 | @ Watford | D 0-0 | 1975 | 1873 | 42.4% | 32.3% | 25.3% | -0.6 | 29 |
| 2016-02-06 | Norwich City | W 2-0 | 1782 | 1812 | 33.7% | 34.6% | 31.7% | +10.0 | 16 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1812 | 1782 | 31.7% | 34.6% | 33.7% | -10.0 | 23 |
| 2016-02-06 | Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1922 | 1816 | 55.5% | 24.4% | 20.1% | -0.8 | 35 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1816 | 1922 | 20.1% | 24.4% | 55.5% | +0.8 | 20 |
| 2016-02-06 | Leicester City | L 1-3 | 2041 | 1962 | 51.0% | 27.5% | 21.6% | -11.7 | 47 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Manchester City | W 3-1 | 1962 | 2041 | 21.6% | 27.5% | 51.0% | +11.7 | 53 |
| 2016-02-06 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 1808 | 1853 | 31.6% | 34.6% | 33.8% | +5.5 | 24 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1853 | 1808 | 33.8% | 34.6% | 31.6% | -5.5 | 29 |
| 2016-02-06 | West Ham | W 1-0 | 1953 | 1932 | 41.4% | 32.7% | 25.8% | +4.5 | 37 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Southampton | L 0-1 | 1932 | 1953 | 25.8% | 32.7% | 41.4% | -4.5 | 39 |
| 2016-02-06 | Everton | L 0-3 | 1893 | 1940 | 31.2% | 34.6% | 34.2% | -14.4 | 33 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Stoke City | W 3-0 | 1940 | 1893 | 34.2% | 34.6% | 31.2% | +14.3 | 35 |
| 2016-02-06 | Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 1861 | 1858 | 38.8% | 33.7% | 27.5% | -0.3 | 27 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Swansea City | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1861 | 27.5% | 33.7% | 38.8% | +0.3 | 32 |
| 2016-02-06 | Watford | W 1-0 | 2001 | 1874 | 59.0% | 21.8% | 19.2% | +3.0 | 48 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1874 | 2001 | 19.2% | 21.8% | 59.0% | -3.0 | 33 |
| 2016-02-07 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1848 | 2005 | 21.4% | 27.2% | 51.4% | -6.8 | 28 |
| 2016-02-07 | @ Bournemouth | W 2-0 | 2005 | 1848 | 51.4% | 27.2% | 21.4% | +6.8 | 48 |
| 2016-02-07 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1974 | 1984 | 36.8% | 34.2% | 29.0% | -0.2 | 30 |
| 2016-02-07 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1984 | 1974 | 29.0% | 34.2% | 36.8% | +0.2 | 41 |
| 2016-02-13 | Stoke City | L 1-3 | 1841 | 1878 | 32.8% | 34.7% | 32.6% | -8.8 | 28 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ Bournemouth | W 3-1 | 1878 | 1841 | 32.6% | 34.7% | 32.8% | +8.8 | 36 |
| 2016-02-13 | Newcastle United | W 5-1 | 1974 | 1814 | 64.6% | 17.7% | 17.7% | +7.8 | 33 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ Chelsea | L 1-5 | 1814 | 1974 | 17.7% | 17.7% | 64.6% | -7.8 | 24 |
| 2016-02-13 | Watford | L 1-2 | 1858 | 1871 | 36.4% | 34.3% | 29.3% | -5.5 | 32 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ Crystal Palace | W 2-1 | 1871 | 1858 | 29.3% | 34.3% | 36.4% | +5.5 | 36 |
| 2016-02-13 | West Brom | L 0-1 | 1955 | 1848 | 55.7% | 24.2% | 20.1% | -7.5 | 35 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1848 | 1955 | 20.1% | 24.2% | 55.7% | +7.5 | 32 |
| 2016-02-13 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 1802 | 1928 | 23.4% | 30.4% | 46.3% | +0.5 | 24 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ Norwich City | D 2-2 | 1928 | 1802 | 46.3% | 30.4% | 23.4% | -0.5 | 40 |
| 2016-02-13 | Manchester United | W 2-1 | 1817 | 1984 | 20.8% | 26.0% | 53.2% | +6.9 | 23 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ Sunderland | L 1-2 | 1984 | 1817 | 53.2% | 26.0% | 20.8% | -6.9 | 41 |
| 2016-02-13 | Southampton | L 0-1 | 1861 | 1957 | 25.8% | 32.7% | 41.5% | -4.5 | 27 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ Swansea City | W 1-0 | 1957 | 1861 | 41.5% | 32.7% | 25.8% | +4.5 | 40 |
| 2016-02-14 | Leicester City | W 2-1 | 2011 | 1974 | 44.2% | 31.4% | 24.3% | +4.0 | 51 |
| 2016-02-14 | @ Arsenal | L 1-2 | 1974 | 2011 | 24.3% | 31.4% | 44.2% | -4.0 | 53 |
| 2016-02-14 | Liverpool | L 0-6 | 1792 | 1921 | 23.1% | 30.0% | 46.9% | -21.0 | 16 |
| 2016-02-14 | @ Aston Villa | W 6-0 | 1921 | 1792 | 46.9% | 30.0% | 23.1% | +21.0 | 38 |
| 2016-02-14 | Tottenham | L 1-2 | 2029 | 2004 | 42.2% | 32.4% | 25.4% | -6.0 | 47 |
| 2016-02-14 | @ Manchester City | W 2-1 | 2004 | 2029 | 25.4% | 32.4% | 42.2% | +6.0 | 51 |
| 2016-02-27 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1970 | 1803 | 65.6% | 17.0% | 17.5% | +2.5 | 56 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1803 | 1970 | 17.5% | 17.0% | 65.6% | -2.5 | 24 |
| 2016-02-27 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1962 | 1982 | 35.2% | 34.5% | 30.3% | -5.3 | 40 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 1982 | 1962 | 30.3% | 34.5% | 35.2% | +5.4 | 36 |
| 2016-02-27 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1887 | 1771 | 57.3% | 23.1% | 19.6% | +3.0 | 39 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1771 | 1887 | 19.6% | 23.1% | 57.3% | -3.0 | 16 |
| 2016-02-27 | Bournemouth | D 0-0 | 1876 | 1832 | 45.2% | 30.9% | 23.8% | -0.7 | 37 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ Watford | D 0-0 | 1832 | 1876 | 23.8% | 30.9% | 45.2% | +0.7 | 29 |
| 2016-02-27 | Crystal Palace | W 3-2 | 1855 | 1853 | 38.6% | 33.7% | 27.6% | +4.3 | 35 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ West Brom | L 2-3 | 1853 | 1855 | 27.6% | 33.7% | 38.6% | -4.3 | 32 |
| 2016-02-27 | Sunderland | W 1-0 | 1927 | 1824 | 55.2% | 24.6% | 20.2% | +3.3 | 43 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ West Ham | L 0-1 | 1824 | 1927 | 20.2% | 24.6% | 55.2% | -3.3 | 23 |
| 2016-02-28 | Arsenal | W 3-2 | 1977 | 2015 | 32.6% | 34.7% | 32.7% | +4.8 | 44 |
| 2016-02-28 | @ Manchester United | L 2-3 | 2015 | 1977 | 32.7% | 34.7% | 32.6% | -4.8 | 51 |
| 2016-02-28 | Swansea City | W 2-1 | 2010 | 1857 | 63.4% | 18.6% | 18.0% | +2.5 | 54 |
| 2016-02-28 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1857 | 2010 | 18.0% | 18.6% | 63.4% | -2.5 | 27 |
| 2016-03-01 | Everton | L 1-3 | 1768 | 1947 | 20.2% | 24.5% | 55.3% | -5.4 | 16 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1947 | 1768 | 55.3% | 24.5% | 20.2% | +5.4 | 38 |
| 2016-03-01 | Southampton | W 2-0 | 1833 | 1956 | 23.5% | 30.6% | 45.9% | +12.6 | 32 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ Bournemouth | L 0-2 | 1956 | 1833 | 45.9% | 30.6% | 23.5% | -12.6 | 40 |
| 2016-03-01 | West Brom | D 2-2 | 1972 | 1860 | 56.6% | 23.5% | 19.8% | -0.8 | 57 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ Leicester City | D 2-2 | 1860 | 1972 | 19.8% | 23.5% | 56.6% | +0.9 | 36 |
| 2016-03-01 | Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1800 | 1987 | 19.9% | 23.6% | 56.5% | -3.0 | 24 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ Norwich City | W 2-1 | 1987 | 1800 | 56.5% | 23.6% | 19.9% | +3.0 | 39 |
| 2016-03-01 | Crystal Palace | D 2-2 | 1820 | 1849 | 34.0% | 34.6% | 31.4% | -0.0 | 24 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1849 | 1820 | 31.4% | 34.6% | 34.0% | +0.0 | 33 |
| 2016-03-02 | Swansea City | L 1-2 | 2011 | 1854 | 63.9% | 18.2% | 17.9% | -7.7 | 51 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1854 | 2011 | 17.9% | 18.2% | 63.9% | +7.7 | 30 |
| 2016-03-02 | Manchester City | W 3-0 | 1942 | 2023 | 27.3% | 33.6% | 39.2% | +16.6 | 41 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 2023 | 1942 | 39.2% | 33.6% | 27.3% | -16.6 | 47 |
| 2016-03-02 | Watford | W 1-0 | 1982 | 1876 | 55.6% | 24.3% | 20.1% | +3.3 | 47 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1876 | 1982 | 20.1% | 24.3% | 55.6% | -3.3 | 37 |
| 2016-03-02 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1890 | 1806 | 51.9% | 26.9% | 21.2% | +3.6 | 42 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Stoke City | L 0-1 | 1806 | 1890 | 21.2% | 26.9% | 51.9% | -3.6 | 24 |
| 2016-03-02 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1931 | 2012 | 27.2% | 33.5% | 39.3% | +6.1 | 46 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ West Ham | L 0-1 | 2012 | 1931 | 39.3% | 33.5% | 27.2% | -6.1 | 54 |
| 2016-03-05 | Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1990 | 1894 | 54.0% | 25.4% | 20.6% | -1.0 | 40 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1894 | 1990 | 20.6% | 25.4% | 54.0% | +1.0 | 43 |
| 2016-03-05 | West Ham | L 2-3 | 1953 | 1937 | 40.8% | 33.0% | 26.2% | -5.6 | 38 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Everton | W 3-2 | 1937 | 1953 | 26.2% | 33.0% | 40.8% | +5.6 | 49 |
| 2016-03-05 | Aston Villa | W 4-0 | 2006 | 1762 | 77.0% | 8.9% | 14.0% | +6.4 | 50 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Manchester City | L 0-4 | 1762 | 2006 | 14.0% | 8.9% | 77.0% | -6.4 | 16 |
| 2016-03-05 | Bournemouth | L 1-3 | 1802 | 1846 | 31.8% | 34.6% | 33.5% | -8.7 | 24 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 1846 | 1802 | 33.5% | 34.6% | 31.8% | +8.7 | 35 |
| 2016-03-05 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1944 | 1820 | 58.4% | 22.2% | 19.3% | -1.2 | 41 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 1820 | 1944 | 19.3% | 22.2% | 58.4% | +1.2 | 25 |
| 2016-03-05 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1797 | 48.6% | 29.0% | 22.4% | +3.9 | 33 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Swansea City | L 0-1 | 1797 | 1862 | 22.4% | 29.0% | 48.6% | -3.9 | 24 |
| 2016-03-05 | Arsenal | D 2-2 | 2006 | 2003 | 38.8% | 33.7% | 27.5% | -0.2 | 55 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Tottenham | D 2-2 | 2003 | 2006 | 27.5% | 33.7% | 38.8% | +0.2 | 52 |
| 2016-03-05 | Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1872 | 1971 | 25.5% | 32.5% | 42.0% | -4.5 | 37 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Watford | W 1-0 | 1971 | 1872 | 42.0% | 32.5% | 25.5% | +4.5 | 60 |
| 2016-03-06 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1849 | 1959 | 24.6% | 31.7% | 43.7% | -4.0 | 33 |
| 2016-03-06 | @ Crystal Palace | W 2-1 | 1959 | 1849 | 43.7% | 31.7% | 24.6% | +4.0 | 44 |
| 2016-03-06 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1860 | 1985 | 23.4% | 30.4% | 46.2% | +6.7 | 39 |
| 2016-03-06 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1985 | 1860 | 46.2% | 30.4% | 23.4% | -6.7 | 47 |
| 2016-03-12 | Swansea City | W 3-2 | 1855 | 1866 | 36.6% | 34.2% | 29.2% | +4.5 | 38 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ Bournemouth | L 2-3 | 1866 | 1855 | 29.2% | 34.2% | 36.6% | -4.5 | 33 |
| 2016-03-12 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1793 | 2013 | 18.4% | 19.7% | 61.9% | +1.5 | 25 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ Norwich City | D 0-0 | 2013 | 1793 | 61.9% | 19.7% | 18.4% | -1.5 | 51 |
| 2016-03-12 | Southampton | L 1-2 | 1895 | 1942 | 31.3% | 34.6% | 34.1% | -5.0 | 43 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1942 | 1895 | 34.1% | 34.6% | 31.3% | +5.0 | 44 |
| 2016-03-13 | Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1756 | 2006 | 17.1% | 16.0% | 66.9% | -4.6 | 16 |
| 2016-03-13 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 2006 | 1756 | 66.9% | 16.0% | 17.1% | +4.6 | 58 |
| 2016-03-14 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1976 | 1794 | 68.1% | 15.1% | 16.8% | +2.4 | 63 |
| 2016-03-14 | @ Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1794 | 1976 | 16.8% | 15.1% | 68.1% | -2.4 | 24 |
| 2016-03-19 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 1989 | 1942 | 45.7% | 30.7% | 23.6% | -0.5 | 41 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1942 | 1989 | 23.6% | 30.7% | 45.7% | +0.5 | 50 |
| 2016-03-19 | Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1845 | 1978 | 22.8% | 29.6% | 47.6% | -3.9 | 33 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1978 | 1845 | 47.6% | 29.6% | 22.8% | +4.0 | 66 |
| 2016-03-19 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1947 | 2003 | 30.2% | 34.5% | 35.4% | -9.7 | 38 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ Everton | W 2-0 | 2003 | 1947 | 35.4% | 34.5% | 30.2% | +9.7 | 55 |
| 2016-03-19 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1861 | 1751 | 56.2% | 23.9% | 19.9% | +3.2 | 36 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ Swansea City | L 0-1 | 1751 | 1861 | 19.9% | 23.9% | 56.2% | -3.2 | 16 |
| 2016-03-19 | Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1868 | 1890 | 35.0% | 34.5% | 30.5% | -5.3 | 37 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ Watford | W 2-1 | 1890 | 1868 | 30.5% | 34.5% | 35.0% | +5.3 | 46 |
| 2016-03-19 | Norwich City | L 0-1 | 1867 | 1795 | 49.9% | 28.2% | 21.9% | -7.0 | 39 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ West Brom | W 1-0 | 1795 | 1867 | 21.9% | 28.2% | 49.9% | +7.0 | 28 |
| 2016-03-20 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 2011 | 1979 | 43.4% | 31.9% | 24.7% | -6.5 | 51 |
| 2016-03-20 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1979 | 2011 | 24.7% | 31.9% | 43.4% | +6.5 | 50 |
| 2016-03-20 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1791 | 1821 | 33.7% | 34.6% | 31.6% | -0.1 | 25 |
| 2016-03-20 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1821 | 1791 | 31.6% | 34.6% | 33.7% | +0.0 | 26 |
| 2016-03-20 | Liverpool | W 3-2 | 1947 | 1963 | 36.0% | 34.4% | 29.7% | +4.5 | 47 |
| 2016-03-20 | @ Southampton | L 2-3 | 1963 | 1947 | 29.7% | 34.4% | 36.0% | -4.5 | 44 |
| 2016-03-20 | Bournemouth | W 3-0 | 2011 | 1859 | 63.1% | 18.8% | 18.1% | +7.4 | 61 |
| 2016-03-20 | @ Tottenham | L 0-3 | 1859 | 2011 | 18.1% | 18.8% | 63.1% | -7.4 | 38 |
| 2016-04-02 | Watford | W 4-0 | 2013 | 1863 | 62.9% | 19.0% | 18.2% | +9.8 | 58 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1863 | 2013 | 18.2% | 19.0% | 62.9% | -9.8 | 37 |
| 2016-04-02 | Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1748 | 1989 | 17.5% | 17.1% | 65.4% | -9.2 | 16 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Aston Villa | W 4-0 | 1989 | 1748 | 65.4% | 17.1% | 17.5% | +9.1 | 44 |
| 2016-04-02 | Manchester City | L 0-4 | 1852 | 2005 | 21.6% | 27.6% | 50.8% | -13.1 | 38 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Bournemouth | W 4-0 | 2005 | 1852 | 50.8% | 27.6% | 21.6% | +13.1 | 54 |
| 2016-04-02 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1958 | 2018 | 29.7% | 34.4% | 36.0% | +0.2 | 45 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 2018 | 1958 | 36.0% | 34.4% | 29.7% | -0.2 | 62 |
| 2016-04-02 | Newcastle United | W 3-2 | 1802 | 1791 | 40.0% | 33.3% | 26.7% | +4.2 | 31 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Norwich City | L 2-3 | 1791 | 1802 | 26.7% | 33.3% | 40.0% | -4.2 | 25 |
| 2016-04-02 | Swansea City | D 2-2 | 1895 | 1864 | 43.1% | 32.0% | 24.9% | -0.4 | 47 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Stoke City | D 2-2 | 1864 | 1895 | 24.9% | 32.0% | 43.1% | +0.4 | 37 |
| 2016-04-02 | West Brom | D 0-0 | 1822 | 1860 | 32.5% | 34.7% | 32.8% | +0.0 | 27 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 1860 | 1822 | 32.8% | 34.7% | 32.5% | -0.0 | 40 |
| 2016-04-02 | Crystal Palace | D 2-2 | 1943 | 1841 | 54.9% | 24.8% | 20.3% | -0.8 | 51 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ West Ham | D 2-2 | 1841 | 1943 | 20.3% | 24.8% | 54.9% | +0.8 | 34 |
| 2016-04-03 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1982 | 1952 | 43.0% | 32.0% | 24.9% | +4.4 | 69 |
| 2016-04-03 | @ Leicester City | L 0-1 | 1952 | 1982 | 24.9% | 32.0% | 43.0% | -4.4 | 47 |
| 2016-04-03 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1985 | 1938 | 45.8% | 30.6% | 23.5% | +4.1 | 53 |
| 2016-04-03 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1938 | 1985 | 23.5% | 30.6% | 45.8% | -4.1 | 38 |
| 2016-04-09 | Bournemouth | L 1-2 | 1739 | 1838 | 25.5% | 32.5% | 42.1% | -4.2 | 16 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1838 | 1739 | 42.1% | 32.5% | 25.5% | +4.2 | 41 |
| 2016-04-09 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1842 | 1806 | 43.9% | 31.6% | 24.5% | +4.3 | 37 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-1 | 1806 | 1842 | 24.5% | 31.6% | 43.9% | -4.3 | 31 |
| 2016-04-09 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 2018 | 1860 | 64.1% | 18.0% | 17.8% | +2.5 | 57 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1860 | 2018 | 17.8% | 18.0% | 64.1% | -2.5 | 40 |
| 2016-04-09 | Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 1948 | 1787 | 64.6% | 17.7% | 17.7% | +4.3 | 50 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ Southampton | L 1-3 | 1787 | 1948 | 17.7% | 17.7% | 64.6% | -4.3 | 25 |
| 2016-04-09 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1865 | 1998 | 22.8% | 29.6% | 47.5% | +6.8 | 40 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ Swansea City | L 0-1 | 1998 | 1865 | 47.5% | 29.6% | 22.8% | -6.8 | 44 |
| 2016-04-09 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1853 | 1933 | 27.3% | 33.6% | 39.1% | +0.3 | 38 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ Watford | D 1-1 | 1933 | 1853 | 39.1% | 33.6% | 27.3% | -0.3 | 39 |
| 2016-04-09 | Arsenal | D 3-3 | 1942 | 2023 | 27.3% | 33.6% | 39.1% | +0.2 | 52 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ West Ham | D 3-3 | 2023 | 1942 | 39.1% | 33.6% | 27.3% | -0.2 | 59 |
| 2016-04-10 | Stoke City | W 4-1 | 1958 | 1895 | 48.4% | 29.1% | 22.5% | +8.9 | 48 |
| 2016-04-10 | @ Liverpool | L 1-4 | 1895 | 1958 | 22.5% | 29.1% | 48.4% | -8.9 | 47 |
| 2016-04-10 | Leicester City | L 0-2 | 1822 | 1987 | 20.9% | 26.3% | 52.8% | -6.6 | 27 |
| 2016-04-10 | @ Sunderland | W 2-0 | 1987 | 1822 | 52.8% | 26.3% | 20.9% | +6.6 | 72 |
| 2016-04-10 | Manchester United | W 3-0 | 2018 | 1989 | 42.8% | 32.1% | 25.1% | +12.0 | 65 |
| 2016-04-10 | @ Tottenham | L 0-3 | 1989 | 2018 | 25.1% | 32.1% | 42.8% | -12.0 | 53 |
| 2016-04-13 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1846 | 1933 | 26.6% | 33.2% | 40.1% | +0.4 | 38 |
| 2016-04-13 | @ Crystal Palace | D 0-0 | 1933 | 1846 | 40.1% | 33.2% | 26.6% | -0.4 | 40 |
| 2016-04-16 | Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1991 | 2020 | 33.9% | 34.6% | 31.5% | -15.2 | 44 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ Chelsea | W 3-0 | 2020 | 1991 | 31.5% | 34.6% | 33.9% | +15.1 | 60 |
| 2016-04-16 | Southampton | D 1-1 | 1933 | 1952 | 35.4% | 34.5% | 30.2% | -0.1 | 41 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1952 | 1933 | 30.2% | 34.5% | 35.4% | +0.2 | 51 |
| 2016-04-16 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 1977 | 1735 | 76.8% | 9.0% | 14.1% | +1.8 | 56 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1735 | 1977 | 14.1% | 9.0% | 76.8% | -1.8 | 16 |
| 2016-04-16 | Swansea City | W 3-0 | 1783 | 1872 | 26.5% | 33.1% | 40.4% | +17.0 | 28 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-3 | 1872 | 1783 | 40.4% | 33.1% | 26.5% | -17.0 | 40 |
| 2016-04-16 | Sunderland | L 0-3 | 1802 | 1815 | 36.3% | 34.3% | 29.4% | -15.8 | 31 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1815 | 1802 | 29.4% | 34.3% | 36.3% | +15.8 | 30 |
| 2016-04-16 | Watford | L 0-1 | 1858 | 1853 | 39.0% | 33.6% | 27.4% | -6.1 | 40 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ West Brom | W 1-0 | 1853 | 1858 | 27.4% | 33.6% | 39.0% | +6.1 | 41 |
| 2016-04-17 | Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 2022 | 1846 | 67.1% | 15.9% | 17.1% | -1.5 | 60 |
| 2016-04-17 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1846 | 2022 | 17.1% | 15.9% | 67.1% | +1.5 | 39 |
| 2016-04-17 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1843 | 1967 | 23.4% | 30.4% | 46.1% | -3.8 | 41 |
| 2016-04-17 | @ Bournemouth | W 2-1 | 1967 | 1843 | 46.1% | 30.4% | 23.4% | +3.8 | 51 |
| 2016-04-17 | West Ham | D 2-2 | 1993 | 1942 | 46.4% | 30.3% | 23.3% | -0.5 | 73 |
| 2016-04-17 | @ Leicester City | D 2-2 | 1942 | 1993 | 23.3% | 30.3% | 46.4% | +0.5 | 53 |
| 2016-04-18 | Tottenham | L 0-4 | 1886 | 2030 | 22.1% | 28.5% | 49.4% | -13.6 | 47 |
| 2016-04-18 | @ Stoke City | W 4-0 | 2030 | 1886 | 49.4% | 28.5% | 22.1% | +13.6 | 68 |
| 2016-04-19 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1800 | 2036 | 17.7% | 17.7% | 64.6% | +1.4 | 29 |
| 2016-04-19 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 2036 | 1800 | 64.6% | 17.7% | 17.7% | -1.4 | 61 |
| 2016-04-20 | Everton | W 4-0 | 1971 | 1932 | 44.4% | 31.4% | 24.2% | +15.2 | 54 |
| 2016-04-20 | @ Liverpool | L 0-4 | 1932 | 1971 | 24.2% | 31.4% | 44.4% | -15.2 | 41 |
| 2016-04-20 | Crystal Palace | W 2-0 | 1979 | 1848 | 59.7% | 21.3% | 19.0% | +5.6 | 59 |
| 2016-04-20 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1848 | 1979 | 19.0% | 21.3% | 59.7% | -5.6 | 39 |
| 2016-04-20 | Watford | W 3-1 | 1943 | 1859 | 51.8% | 27.0% | 21.3% | +5.9 | 56 |
| 2016-04-20 | @ West Ham | L 1-3 | 1859 | 1943 | 21.3% | 27.0% | 51.8% | -5.9 | 41 |
| 2016-04-21 | West Brom | W 2-0 | 2021 | 1852 | 66.0% | 16.7% | 17.3% | +4.8 | 63 |
| 2016-04-21 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1852 | 2021 | 17.3% | 16.7% | 66.0% | -4.8 | 40 |
| 2016-04-23 | Southampton | L 2-4 | 1733 | 1952 | 18.4% | 19.7% | 61.8% | -4.1 | 16 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ Aston Villa | W 4-2 | 1952 | 1733 | 61.8% | 19.7% | 18.4% | +4.1 | 54 |
| 2016-04-23 | Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1839 | 1976 | 22.6% | 29.2% | 48.2% | -9.0 | 41 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ Bournemouth | W 4-1 | 1976 | 1839 | 48.2% | 29.2% | 22.6% | +9.0 | 47 |
| 2016-04-23 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1986 | 1801 | 68.5% | 14.8% | 16.7% | -1.2 | 55 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1801 | 1986 | 16.7% | 14.8% | 68.5% | +1.2 | 30 |
| 2016-04-23 | Stoke City | W 4-0 | 2034 | 1872 | 64.8% | 17.5% | 17.7% | +9.3 | 64 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ Manchester City | L 0-4 | 1872 | 2034 | 17.7% | 17.5% | 64.8% | -9.3 | 47 |
| 2016-04-24 | Swansea City | W 4-0 | 1993 | 1855 | 60.9% | 20.4% | 18.7% | +10.3 | 76 |
| 2016-04-24 | @ Leicester City | L 0-4 | 1855 | 1993 | 18.7% | 20.4% | 60.9% | -10.3 | 40 |
| 2016-04-24 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 1831 | 2026 | 19.5% | 22.7% | 57.8% | +1.3 | 31 |
| 2016-04-24 | @ Sunderland | D 0-0 | 2026 | 1831 | 57.8% | 22.7% | 19.5% | -1.3 | 64 |
| 2016-04-25 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 2044 | 1847 | 70.3% | 13.5% | 16.2% | -1.6 | 69 |
| 2016-04-25 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1847 | 2044 | 16.2% | 13.5% | 70.3% | +1.6 | 41 |
| 2016-04-30 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 2024 | 1786 | 76.3% | 9.4% | 14.3% | +1.8 | 67 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1786 | 2024 | 14.3% | 9.4% | 76.3% | -1.8 | 31 |
| 2016-04-30 | Bournemouth | W 2-1 | 1917 | 1830 | 52.4% | 26.5% | 21.1% | +3.3 | 44 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1830 | 1917 | 21.1% | 26.5% | 52.4% | -3.3 | 41 |
| 2016-04-30 | Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1802 | 1842 | 32.3% | 34.7% | 33.0% | +5.4 | 33 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1842 | 1802 | 33.0% | 34.7% | 32.3% | -5.4 | 39 |
| 2016-04-30 | Sunderland | D 1-1 | 1863 | 1832 | 43.1% | 32.0% | 24.9% | -0.6 | 48 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Stoke City | D 1-1 | 1832 | 1863 | 24.9% | 32.0% | 43.1% | +0.5 | 32 |
| 2016-04-30 | Aston Villa | W 3-2 | 1853 | 1729 | 58.7% | 22.1% | 19.3% | +2.7 | 44 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Watford | L 2-3 | 1729 | 1853 | 19.3% | 22.1% | 58.7% | -2.7 | 16 |
| 2016-04-30 | West Ham | L 0-3 | 1848 | 1949 | 25.4% | 32.4% | 42.2% | -12.2 | 41 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ West Brom | W 3-0 | 1949 | 1848 | 42.2% | 32.4% | 25.4% | +12.2 | 59 |
| 2016-05-01 | Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1985 | 2003 | 35.5% | 34.4% | 30.0% | -0.2 | 60 |
| 2016-05-01 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 2003 | 1985 | 30.0% | 34.4% | 35.5% | +0.1 | 77 |
| 2016-05-01 | Manchester City | W 4-2 | 1956 | 2043 | 26.6% | 33.2% | 40.2% | +9.0 | 57 |
| 2016-05-01 | @ Southampton | L 2-4 | 2043 | 1956 | 40.2% | 33.2% | 26.6% | -9.0 | 64 |
| 2016-05-01 | Liverpool | W 3-1 | 1844 | 1985 | 22.3% | 28.9% | 48.8% | +11.4 | 43 |
| 2016-05-01 | @ Swansea City | L 1-3 | 1985 | 1844 | 48.8% | 28.9% | 22.3% | -11.4 | 55 |
| 2016-05-02 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1985 | 2042 | 30.1% | 34.4% | 35.5% | +0.1 | 48 |
| 2016-05-02 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 2042 | 1985 | 35.5% | 34.4% | 30.1% | -0.1 | 70 |
| 2016-05-07 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1726 | 1808 | 27.2% | 33.5% | 39.3% | +0.4 | 17 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1808 | 1726 | 39.3% | 33.5% | 27.2% | -0.4 | 34 |
| 2016-05-07 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1826 | 1836 | 36.8% | 34.2% | 29.0% | -0.2 | 42 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Bournemouth | D 1-1 | 1836 | 1826 | 29.0% | 34.2% | 36.8% | +0.2 | 42 |
| 2016-05-07 | Stoke City | W 2-1 | 1837 | 1862 | 34.4% | 34.6% | 31.0% | +4.9 | 42 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Crystal Palace | L 1-2 | 1862 | 1837 | 31.0% | 34.6% | 34.4% | -4.9 | 48 |
| 2016-05-07 | Everton | W 3-1 | 2003 | 1921 | 51.6% | 27.1% | 21.3% | +5.9 | 80 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Leicester City | L 1-3 | 1921 | 2003 | 21.3% | 27.1% | 51.6% | -5.9 | 44 |
| 2016-05-07 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1784 | 1984 | 19.2% | 22.0% | 58.7% | -3.0 | 31 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1984 | 1784 | 58.7% | 22.0% | 19.2% | +3.0 | 63 |
| 2016-05-07 | Chelsea | W 3-2 | 1833 | 1985 | 21.6% | 27.7% | 50.7% | +6.4 | 35 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Sunderland | L 2-3 | 1985 | 1833 | 50.7% | 27.7% | 21.6% | -6.4 | 48 |
| 2016-05-07 | Swansea City | L 1-4 | 1961 | 1856 | 55.4% | 24.4% | 20.2% | -17.3 | 59 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ West Ham | W 4-1 | 1856 | 1961 | 20.2% | 24.4% | 55.4% | +17.3 | 46 |
| 2016-05-08 | Watford | W 2-0 | 1974 | 1856 | 57.5% | 23.0% | 19.6% | +5.9 | 58 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1856 | 1974 | 19.6% | 23.0% | 57.5% | -5.9 | 44 |
| 2016-05-08 | Arsenal | D 2-2 | 2034 | 2026 | 39.6% | 33.4% | 27.0% | -0.3 | 65 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ Manchester City | D 2-2 | 2026 | 2034 | 27.0% | 33.4% | 39.6% | +0.3 | 68 |
| 2016-05-08 | Southampton | L 1-2 | 2042 | 1965 | 50.6% | 27.7% | 21.6% | -6.7 | 70 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1965 | 2042 | 21.6% | 27.7% | 50.6% | +6.7 | 60 |
| 2016-05-10 | Manchester United | W 3-2 | 1944 | 1988 | 31.8% | 34.6% | 33.6% | +4.9 | 62 |
| 2016-05-10 | @ West Ham | L 2-3 | 1988 | 1944 | 33.6% | 34.6% | 31.8% | -4.9 | 63 |
| 2016-05-11 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1980 | 1979 | 38.4% | 33.8% | 27.8% | -0.3 | 59 |
| 2016-05-11 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1979 | 1980 | 27.8% | 33.8% | 38.4% | +0.3 | 49 |
| 2016-05-11 | Everton | W 3-0 | 1839 | 1915 | 27.8% | 33.8% | 38.4% | +16.4 | 38 |
| 2016-05-11 | @ Sunderland | L 0-3 | 1915 | 1839 | 38.4% | 33.8% | 27.8% | -16.4 | 44 |
| 2016-05-11 | Watford | W 4-2 | 1781 | 1850 | 28.6% | 34.1% | 37.3% | +8.6 | 34 |
| 2016-05-11 | @ Norwich City | L 2-4 | 1850 | 1781 | 37.3% | 34.1% | 28.6% | -8.6 | 44 |
| 2016-05-15 | Aston Villa | W 4-0 | 2026 | 1726 | 83.6% | 4.9% | 11.5% | +4.9 | 71 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1726 | 2026 | 11.5% | 4.9% | 83.6% | -4.8 | 17 |
| 2016-05-15 | Leicester City | D 1-1 | 1979 | 2009 | 33.8% | 34.6% | 31.6% | -0.1 | 50 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 2009 | 1979 | 31.6% | 34.6% | 33.8% | +0.1 | 81 |
| 2016-05-15 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1898 | 1790 | 56.0% | 24.0% | 20.0% | +8.9 | 47 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Everton | L 0-3 | 1790 | 1898 | 20.0% | 24.0% | 56.0% | -8.9 | 34 |
| 2016-05-15 | Tottenham | W 5-1 | 1807 | 2035 | 18.1% | 18.7% | 63.3% | +24.1 | 37 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-5 | 2035 | 1807 | 63.3% | 18.7% | 18.1% | -24.1 | 70 |
| 2016-05-15 | Crystal Palace | W 4-1 | 1972 | 1842 | 59.6% | 21.4% | 19.0% | +6.9 | 63 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Southampton | L 1-4 | 1842 | 1972 | 19.0% | 21.4% | 59.6% | -6.9 | 42 |
| 2016-05-15 | West Ham | W 2-1 | 1857 | 1948 | 26.2% | 33.0% | 40.7% | +5.9 | 51 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Stoke City | L 1-2 | 1948 | 1857 | 40.7% | 33.0% | 26.2% | -5.9 | 62 |
| 2016-05-15 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1873 | 2034 | 21.1% | 26.7% | 52.2% | +1.0 | 47 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Swansea City | D 1-1 | 2034 | 1873 | 52.2% | 26.7% | 21.1% | -0.9 | 66 |
| 2016-05-15 | Sunderland | D 2-2 | 1842 | 1855 | 36.2% | 34.3% | 29.5% | -0.1 | 45 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Watford | D 2-2 | 1855 | 1842 | 29.5% | 34.3% | 36.2% | +0.1 | 39 |
| 2016-05-15 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1837 | 1979 | 22.2% | 28.7% | 49.1% | +0.8 | 43 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1979 | 1837 | 49.1% | 28.7% | 22.2% | -0.8 | 60 |
| 2016-05-17 | Bournemouth | W 3-1 | 1983 | 1826 | 63.9% | 18.2% | 17.9% | +4.4 | 66 |
| 2016-05-17 | @ Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1826 | 1983 | 17.9% | 18.2% | 63.9% | -4.4 | 42 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2015-12-19 | 17.72% | Norwich City | 1832 | 2 | @ Manchester United | 1992 | 1 |
| 2 | 2016-03-02 | 17.89% | Swansea City | 1854 | 2 | @ Arsenal | 2011 | 1 |
| 3 | 2015-12-13 | 18.05% | Newcastle United | 1817 | 2 | @ Tottenham | 1970 | 1 |
| 4 | 2016-05-15 | 18.06% | @ Newcastle United | 1807 | 5 | Tottenham | 2035 | 1 |
| 5 | 2015-12-05 | 18.37% | Bournemouth | 1818 | 1 | @ Chelsea | 1964 | 0 |
| 6 | 2015-09-19 | 18.38% | West Ham | 1912 | 2 | @ Manchester City | 2057 | 1 |
| 7 | 2015-08-29 | 19.59% | Crystal Palace | 1879 | 2 | @ Chelsea | 1996 | 1 |
| 8 | 2016-02-13 | 20.07% | West Brom | 1848 | 1 | @ Everton | 1955 | 0 |
| 9 | 2015-11-21 | 20.09% | Liverpool | 1942 | 4 | @ Manchester City | 2049 | 1 |
| 10 | 2016-05-07 | 20.16% | Swansea City | 1856 | 4 | @ West Ham | 1961 | 1 |
| 11 | 2015-08-09 | 20.27% | West Ham | 1882 | 2 | @ Arsenal | 1985 | 0 |
| 12 | 2015-12-12 | 20.53% | @ Bournemouth | 1826 | 2 | Manchester United | 1999 | 1 |
| 13 | 2016-02-13 | 20.81% | @ Sunderland | 1817 | 2 | Manchester United | 1984 | 1 |
| 14 | 2015-11-21 | 20.84% | @ West Brom | 1857 | 2 | Arsenal | 2024 | 1 |
| 15 | 2016-01-24 | 21.23% | Swansea City | 1854 | 2 | @ Everton | 1939 | 1 |
| 16 | 2015-12-06 | 21.26% | @ Newcastle United | 1804 | 2 | Liverpool | 1963 | 0 |
| 17 | 2016-02-06 | 21.55% | Leicester City | 1962 | 3 | @ Manchester City | 2041 | 1 |
| 18 | 2016-05-07 | 21.62% | @ Sunderland | 1833 | 3 | Chelsea | 1985 | 2 |
| 19 | 2015-08-29 | 21.64% | West Ham | 1885 | 3 | @ Liverpool | 1962 | 0 |
| 20 | 2016-05-08 | 21.65% | Southampton | 1965 | 2 | @ Tottenham | 2042 | 1 |
| 21 | 2015-11-23 | 21.85% | Sunderland | 1813 | 1 | @ Crystal Palace | 1886 | 0 |
| 22 | 2015-12-05 | 21.85% | @ Stoke City | 1888 | 2 | Manchester City | 2037 | 0 |
| 23 | 2016-03-19 | 21.92% | Norwich City | 1795 | 1 | @ West Brom | 1867 | 0 |
| 24 | 2015-11-08 | 22.12% | Crystal Palace | 1879 | 2 | @ Liverpool | 1949 | 1 |
| 25 | 2015-10-03 | 22.31% | Southampton | 1923 | 3 | @ Chelsea | 1988 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2016-05-15 | 24.13 | @ Newcastle United | 5 | 1807 | 18.06% | Tottenham | 1 | 2035 | 63.28% | |
| 2 | 2015-12-26 | 23.52 | @ Southampton | 4 | 1915 | 24.21% | Arsenal | 0 | 2029 | 44.46% | |
| 3 | 2016-02-14 | 20.99 | Liverpool | 6 | 1921 | 46.88% | @ Aston Villa | 0 | 1792 | 23.10% | |
| 4 | 2015-08-29 | 19.50 | West Ham | 3 | 1885 | 21.64% | @ Liverpool | 0 | 1962 | 50.68% | |
| 5 | 2015-11-21 | 17.37 | Liverpool | 4 | 1942 | 20.09% | @ Manchester City | 1 | 2049 | 55.64% | |
| 6 | 2016-05-07 | 17.33 | Swansea City | 4 | 1856 | 20.16% | @ West Ham | 1 | 1961 | 55.40% | |
| 7 | 2016-04-16 | 16.96 | @ Newcastle United | 3 | 1783 | 26.46% | Swansea City | 0 | 1872 | 40.40% | |
| 8 | 2016-03-02 | 16.64 | @ Liverpool | 3 | 1942 | 27.26% | Manchester City | 0 | 2023 | 39.19% | |
| 9 | 2015-08-15 | 16.48 | Everton | 3 | 1923 | 27.65% | @ Southampton | 0 | 1925 | 38.62% | |
| 10 | 2016-05-11 | 16.41 | @ Sunderland | 3 | 1839 | 27.83% | Everton | 0 | 1915 | 38.36% | |
| 11 | 2015-12-20 | 16.38 | @ Watford | 3 | 1874 | 27.92% | Liverpool | 0 | 1949 | 38.24% | |
| 12 | 2016-04-16 | 15.84 | Sunderland | 3 | 1815 | 29.40% | @ Norwich City | 0 | 1802 | 36.30% | |
| 13 | 2015-09-26 | 15.43 | @ Tottenham | 4 | 1928 | 23.66% | Manchester City | 1 | 2049 | 45.60% | |
| 14 | 2016-04-20 | 15.16 | @ Liverpool | 4 | 1971 | 44.37% | Everton | 0 | 1932 | 24.25% | |
| 15 | 2016-04-16 | 15.15 | Manchester City | 3 | 2020 | 31.49% | @ Chelsea | 0 | 1991 | 33.90% | |
| 16 | 2015-10-17 | 15.02 | Manchester United | 3 | 1977 | 31.92% | @ Everton | 0 | 1945 | 33.43% | |
| 17 | 2015-12-05 | 14.55 | Leicester City | 3 | 1916 | 33.50% | @ Swansea City | 0 | 1873 | 31.86% | |
| 18 | 2016-02-06 | 14.35 | Everton | 3 | 1940 | 34.15% | @ Stoke City | 0 | 1893 | 31.25% | |
| 19 | 2015-10-25 | 14.29 | @ Sunderland | 3 | 1811 | 34.41% | Newcastle United | 0 | 1837 | 31.01% | |
| 20 | 2015-08-09 | 14.10 | West Ham | 2 | 1882 | 20.27% | @ Arsenal | 0 | 1985 | 55.02% | |
| 21 | 2016-01-03 | 14.10 | Chelsea | 3 | 1955 | 35.06% | @ Crystal Palace | 0 | 1902 | 30.44% | |
| 22 | 2016-01-16 | 13.65 | @ Bournemouth | 3 | 1828 | 36.63% | Norwich City | 0 | 1839 | 29.13% | |
| 23 | 2015-12-06 | 13.61 | @ Newcastle United | 2 | 1804 | 21.26% | Liverpool | 0 | 1963 | 51.82% | |
| 24 | 2016-04-18 | 13.57 | Tottenham | 4 | 2030 | 49.35% | @ Stoke City | 0 | 1886 | 22.12% | |
| 25 | 2015-10-18 | 13.53 | @ Newcastle United | 6 | 1823 | 33.18% | Norwich City | 2 | 1857 | 32.17% | |