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1998 Meistriliiga Season

56 games

Final

Champion

Flora

35 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1997-98

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sadam Tallinn

5.31 points above expected

34 points · 28.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lelle SK

8.15 points below expected

3 points · 11.15 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Flora Champion 14 11 2 1 35 46 14 +32 35.88 -0.88
2 Sadam Tallinn 14 11 1 2 34 48 10 +38 28.69 +5.31
3 Lantana Tallinn 14 7 4 3 25 27 20 +7 25.89 -0.89
4 Narva Trans 14 6 5 3 23 28 20 +8 22.86 +0.14
5 Tulevik Viljandi 14 5 3 6 18 15 25 -10 14.67 +3.33
6 TVMK 14 3 4 7 13 15 27 -12 12.07 +0.93
7 Polevkivi Johvi 14 2 0 12 6 10 44 -34 7.01 -1.01
8 Lelle SK 14 0 3 11 3 10 39 -29 11.15 -8.15

Going into Phase 2, the championship group halved its Phase 1 points (rounded up). Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sadam Tallinn 34 28.69 +5.31
2 Tulevik Viljandi 18 14.67 +3.33
3 TVMK 13 12.07 +0.93
4 Narva Trans 23 22.86 +0.14
5 Flora 35 35.88 -0.88

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lelle SK 3 11.15 -8.15
2 Polevkivi Johvi 6 7.01 -1.01
3 Lantana Tallinn 25 25.89 -0.89
4 Flora 35 35.88 -0.88
5 Narva Trans 23 22.86 +0.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sadam Tallinn 6 Sep 9 – Oct 16 1 in 47
2 Tulevik Viljandi 2 Aug 30 – Sep 9 1 in 22
3 Lantana Tallinn 4 Jul 18 – Aug 8 1 in 5
4 Flora 7 Jul 17 – Sep 9 1 in 3
5 Polevkivi Johvi 1 Aug 22 – Aug 22 1 in 3

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lelle SK 7 Jul 18 – Aug 29 1 in 59
2 Sadam Tallinn 1 Aug 30 – Aug 30 1 in 14
3 Flora 1 Sep 13 – Sep 13 1 in 10
4 Polevkivi Johvi 6 Aug 29 – Oct 3 1 in 6
5 TVMK 4 Sep 19 – Oct 17 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TVMK 3 Aug 17 – Aug 29 1 in 19
2 Narva Trans 6 Sep 13 – Oct 24 1 in 18
3 Lelle SK 2 Sep 9 – Sep 13 1 in 11
4 Sadam Tallinn 6 Sep 9 – Oct 16 1 in 6
5 Tulevik Viljandi 3 Sep 19 – Oct 3 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lantana Tallinn 4 Aug 17 – Sep 9 1 in 34
2 Lelle SK 14 Jul 18 – Oct 24 1 in 28
3 TVMK 6 Sep 9 – Oct 17 1 in 5
4 Tulevik Viljandi 4 Sep 27 – Oct 24 1 in 3
5 Flora 1 Sep 13 – Sep 13 1 in 3

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Flora 1701 35 +9 11 11.9 -0.9
Sadam Tallinn 1604 34 +28 12 11.0 +1.0
Lantana Tallinn 1379 25 -19 8 8.1 -0.1
Narva Trans 1298 23 +30 9 7.7 +1.3
Tulevik Viljandi 1115 18 +8 5 4.9 +0.1
TVMK 1049 13 -29 3 4.6 -1.6
Polevkivi Johvi 853 6 -5 3 2.4 +0.6
Lelle SK 923 3 -25 1 3.3 -2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FLO LT LS NT PJ ST TVM TV
Flora —
1-1-0
4.79
2-0-0
5.47
1-1-0
5.04
2-0-0
5.54
1-0-1
4.00
2-0-0
5.43
2-0-0
5.32
Lantana Tallinn
0-1-1
0.85
 —
1-1-0
4.82
1-1-0
3.66
2-0-0
5.17
0-0-2
2.03
1-1-0
4.85
2-0-0
4.53
Lelle SK
0-0-2
0.29
0-1-1
0.82
 —
0-0-2
0.82
0-0-2
3.44
0-0-2
0.62
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
1.95
Narva Trans
0-1-1
0.63
0-1-1
1.93
2-0-0
4.81
 —
2-0-0
4.89
0-1-1
1.94
1-1-0
4.41
1-1-0
4.00
Polevkivi Johvi
0-0-2
0.25
0-0-2
0.51
2-0-0
2.14
0-0-2
0.75
 —
0-0-2
0.41
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
1.51
Sadam Tallinn
1-0-1
1.60
2-0-0
3.56
2-0-0
5.05
1-1-0
3.65
2-0-0
5.31
 —
2-0-0
5.02
1-0-1
4.98
TVMK
0-0-2
0.32
0-1-1
0.79
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
1.20
2-0-0
3.78
0-0-2
0.64
 —
0-1-1
2.56
Tulevik Viljandi
0-0-2
0.40
0-0-2
1.08
1-1-0
3.64
0-1-1
1.60
2-0-0
4.09
1-0-1
0.68
1-1-0
3.03
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.90 +7.4
Allowed 0.92 -9.8
Differential 0.96 +4.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%3.57%8.04%1.79%4.46%32.14%
17.14%3.57%4.46%0.89%1.79%3.57%21.43%
23.57%4.46%3.57%0.89%—2.68%15.18%
38.04%0.89%0.89%5.36%0.89%—16.07%
41.79%1.79%—0.89%——4.46%
5+4.46%3.57%2.68%———10.71%
Total32.14%21.43%15.18%16.07%4.46%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.78 +0.00
SD 1.80 1.80 2.84
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 56

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.14%——7.14%
121.43%—————21.43%
27.14%—————7.14%
314.29%——14.29%——28.57%
4———————
5+14.29%7.14%14.29%———35.71%
Total57.14%7.14%14.29%21.43%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.29 1.00 +2.29
SD 2.20 1.30 2.49
CV 0.67 1.30 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%—7.14%——21.43%
1—7.14%———7.14%14.29%
27.14%14.29%————21.43%
314.29%7.14%—14.29%——35.71%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total28.57%42.86%—21.43%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.43 +0.50
SD 1.33 1.50 2.14
CV 0.69 1.05 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%—7.14%42.86%
1—14.29%14.29%——14.29%42.86%
2———7.14%—7.14%14.29%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%28.57%21.43%14.29%—28.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 2.79 -2.07
SD 0.73 2.15 2.09
CV 1.02 0.77 —
Max 2 7 +0
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%———7.14%28.57%
114.29%——7.14%——21.43%
2——7.14%———7.14%
37.14%——14.29%——21.43%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+—14.29%————14.29%
Total35.71%28.57%7.14%21.43%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.43 +0.57
SD 1.84 1.55 2.44
CV 0.92 1.09 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%50.00%
17.14%—7.14%—7.14%7.14%28.57%
2—7.14%———14.29%21.43%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%21.43%21.43%7.14%14.29%28.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 3.14 -2.43
SD 0.83 2.21 2.10
CV 1.16 0.70 —
Max 2 7 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%————14.29%
17.14%—————7.14%
2———————
321.43%—7.14%—7.14%—35.71%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+21.43%7.14%7.14%———35.71%
Total64.29%14.29%14.29%—7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.43 0.71 +2.71
SD 2.10 1.20 2.40
CV 0.61 1.69 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%42.86%
1—7.14%14.29%———21.43%
27.14%7.14%14.29%———28.57%
3———————
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total21.43%14.29%35.71%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.93 -0.86
SD 1.21 1.49 2.41
CV 1.13 0.77 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%—21.43%—7.14%50.00%
17.14%———7.14%—14.29%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
37.14%—————7.14%
4———7.14%——7.14%
5+———————
Total35.71%14.29%7.14%28.57%7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.79 -0.71
SD 1.33 1.72 2.33
CV 1.24 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 14

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Flora 1701 35 35.88 -0.88 46.0% 28 30 34 36 38 42 42
Sadam Tallinn 1604 34 28.69 +5.31 88.0% 20 21 26 29 31 36 37
Lantana Tallinn 1379 25 25.89 -0.89 42.0% 14 20 24 26 29 31 37
Narva Trans 1298 23 22.86 +0.14 51.0% 11 15 20 23 26 30 33
Tulevik Viljandi 1115 18 14.67 +3.33 83.0% 6 8 12 14 17 22 29
TVMK 1049 13 12.07 +0.93 63.0% 3 5 9 12 15 18 19
Lelle SK 923 3 11.15 -8.15 1.0% 3 5 8 11 13 17 20
Polevkivi Johvi 853 6 7.01 -1.01 47.0% 0 2 4 7 9 14 15

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 1% * Slight Edge: 1% to 4.5% * Clear Edge: 4.5% to 7.5% * Strong Edge: 7.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+1.79%
Slight Edge
41.07%19.64%39.29%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 6.20 Elo pts.
196 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.12 goals
Neutral
-2+0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.4
One-Team Race
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
82%
Flora, 1st of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Photo Finish
00.450.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.14 * Some Luck: 3.14 to 4.71 * Lucky: 4.71 to 6.28 * Wild Swing: 6.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.49 * Close: 0.49 to 0.73 * Off: 0.73 to 0.97 * Way Off: 0.97 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.69 points
Some Luck
03.9310
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.25
Pinpoint
00.611.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
88.00%
Sadam Tallinn
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
1.00%
Lelle SK
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.27 * Even: 0.27 to 0.29 * Top-Heavy: 0.29 to 0.31 * Lopsided: 0.31 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.7 * Moderate Separation: 2.7 to 3 * Strong Separation: 3 to 3.3 * Wide Separation: 3.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 87.5% * Slight Edge: 87.5% to 91% * Clear Edge: 91% to 93.5% * Wide Edge: 93.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 98% * Clear Edge: 98% to 99% * Strong Edge: 99% to 99.5% * Dominant: 99.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 43% * Some Drama: 43% to 46% * Frequent: 46% to 50.5% * Very Frequent: 50.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 28.5% * Occasional: 28.5% to 34% * Frequent: 34% to 39.5% * Very Frequent: 39.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.32
Lopsided
00.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 309.51
2.34
Coin-Flip Parity
12.733.33.75
Interquartile Edge
92%
Clear Edge
50%87.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
46%
Frequent
0%39%100%
Blowouts
Expected
45%
Very Frequent
0%39%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.54 * Slight Separation: 0.54 to 0.58 * Notable Separation: 0.58 to 0.63 * Lopsided: 0.63 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.7 * Some Carryover: 0.7 to 0.84 * Strong Carryover: 0.84 to 0.9 * Near-Lock: 0.9 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15% * Upset-Prone: 15% to 19% * Very Upset-Prone: 19% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 9% * As Expected: 9% to 11% * Shaky Favorites: 11% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.42
Highly Predictable
00.442
Matchup Imbalance
0.67
Lopsided
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Strong Carryover
00.70.841
Upset Rate
Expected
9%
Chalky
0%13%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
6%
Solid Favorites
0%11%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.18 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.18 to 0.27 * Above Noise: 0.27 to 0.36 * Well Above Noise: 0.36 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.150
Well Within Noise
00.1790.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Flora82.00%17.00%1.00%—————
Sadam Tallinn13.00%51.00%21.00%14.00%1.00%———
Lantana Tallinn2.00%22.00%47.00%27.00%1.00%1.00%——
Narva Trans2.00%10.00%29.00%49.00%6.00%4.00%——
Tulevik Viljandi1.00%—2.00%5.00%52.00%18.00%19.00%3.00%
TVMK———2.00%27.00%33.00%24.00%14.00%
Polevkivi Johvi————1.00%13.00%21.00%65.00%
Lelle SK———3.00%12.00%31.00%36.00%18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Flora 100% — —
Lantana Tallinn 100% — —
Narva Trans 100% — —
Sadam Tallinn 100% — —
Tulevik Viljandi 78.00% 19.00% 3.00%
TVMK 62.00% 24.00% 14.00%
Lelle SK 46.00% 36.00% 18.00%
Polevkivi Johvi 14.00% 21.00% 65.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1998-07-17 TVMK W 3-027.5 1758 1020 86.93% 12.04% 1.04%+3.80 +1.4 3
1998-07-17 @ Flora L 0-327.5 1020 1758 1.04% 12.04% 86.93%-3.80 -1.4 0
1998-07-18 Sadam Tallinn D 0-052.2 1299 1398 27.34% 20.64% 52.02%-0.47 +2.9 1
1998-07-18 @ Narva Trans D 0-052.2 1398 1299 52.02% 20.64% 27.34%+0.47 -2.9 1
1998-07-18 Lantana Tallinn L 0-231.7 1076 1372 10.79% 19.05% 70.16%-1.48 -11.4 0
1998-07-18 @ Lelle SK W 2-031.7 1372 1076 70.16% 19.05% 10.79%+1.48 +11.4 3
1998-07-18 Polevkivi Johvi W 1-037.3 1069 931 57.83% 20.37% 21.80%+0.73 +11.6 3
1998-07-18 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-137.3 931 1069 21.80% 20.37% 57.83%-0.73 -11.6 0
1998-07-25 Tulevik Viljandi W 3-029.4 1383 1080 71.39% 18.82% 9.80%+1.58 +15.0 6
1998-07-25 @ Lantana Tallinn L 0-329.4 1080 1383 9.80% 18.82% 71.39%-1.58 -15.0 3
1998-07-25 Narva Trans L 0-132.2 920 1302 6.98% 17.94% 75.08%-1.92 -3.9 0
1998-07-25 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 1-032.2 1302 920 75.08% 17.94% 6.98%+1.92 +3.9 4
1998-07-25 Lelle SK W 2-148.4 1019 1064 34.09% 20.80% 45.12%-0.20 +19.9 3
1998-07-25 @ TVMK L 1-248.4 1064 1019 45.12% 20.80% 34.09%+0.20 -19.9 0
1998-08-01 Lantana Tallinn L 1-343.4 1306 1398 28.14% 20.67% 51.20%-0.44 -23.5 4
1998-08-01 @ Narva Trans W 3-143.4 1398 1306 51.20% 20.67% 28.14%+0.44 +23.5 9
1998-08-01 Tulevik Viljandi D 2-258.0 1039 1065 36.71% 20.82% 42.47%-0.10 +0.4 4
1998-08-01 @ TVMK D 2-258.0 1065 1039 42.47% 20.82% 36.71%+0.10 -0.4 4
1998-08-02 Polevkivi Johvi W 6-023.1 1759 916 89.05% 10.36% 0.59%+4.34 +1.5 6
1998-08-02 @ Flora L 0-623.1 916 1759 0.59% 10.36% 89.05%-4.34 -1.5 0
1998-08-02 Sadam Tallinn L 0-726.7 1044 1395 8.20% 18.37% 73.44%-1.76 -27.9 0
1998-08-02 @ Lelle SK W 7-026.7 1395 1044 73.44% 18.37% 8.20%+1.76 +27.9 4
1998-08-07 Sadam Tallinn L 0-526.1 1039 1423 6.93% 17.92% 75.16%-1.93 -17.1 4
1998-08-07 @ TVMK W 5-026.1 1423 1039 75.16% 17.92% 6.93%+1.93 +17.1 7
1998-08-08 Flora L 0-142.5 1282 1761 4.27% 16.50% 79.23%-2.41 -2.4 4
1998-08-08 @ Narva Trans W 1-042.5 1761 1282 79.23% 16.50% 4.27%+2.41 +2.4 9
1998-08-08 Lantana Tallinn L 1-234.7 914 1421 3.68% 16.05% 80.27%-2.56 -1.9 0
1998-08-08 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 2-134.7 1421 914 80.27% 16.05% 3.68%+2.56 +1.9 12
1998-08-11 Lelle SK W 3-036.3 1065 1016 47.13% 20.77% 32.10%+0.28 +44.0 7
1998-08-11 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 0-336.3 1016 1065 32.10% 20.77% 47.13%-0.28 -44.0 0
1998-08-15 Tulevik Viljandi W 4-136.7 1280 1109 61.22% 20.14% 18.64%+0.90 +23.2 7
1998-08-15 @ Narva Trans L 1-436.7 1109 1280 18.64% 20.14% 61.22%-0.90 -23.2 7
1998-08-15 Polevkivi Johvi W 6-231.4 1440 912 81.37% 15.52% 3.11%+2.72 +4.2 10
1998-08-15 @ Sadam Tallinn L 2-631.4 912 1440 3.11% 15.52% 81.37%-2.72 -4.3 0
1998-08-16 Flora L 2-534.3 973 1763 0.84% 11.38% 87.78%-4.00 -0.8 0
1998-08-16 @ Lelle SK W 5-234.3 1763 973 87.78% 11.38% 0.84%+4.00 +0.8 12
1998-08-17 TVMK D 0-051.6 1423 1022 76.57% 17.49% 5.95%+2.08 -9.0 13
1998-08-17 @ Lantana Tallinn D 0-051.6 1022 1423 5.95% 17.49% 76.57%-2.08 +9.1 5
1998-08-21 Sadam Tallinn L 0-146.9 1414 1444 36.23% 20.82% 42.95%-0.12 -17.7 13
1998-08-21 @ Lantana Tallinn W 1-046.9 1444 1414 42.95% 20.82% 36.23%+0.12 +17.7 13
1998-08-22 TVMK D 2-258.6 1303 1031 69.41% 19.18% 11.42%+1.42 -4.9 8
1998-08-22 @ Narva Trans D 2-258.6 1031 1303 11.42% 19.18% 69.41%-1.42 +4.9 6
1998-08-22 Lelle SK W 1-045.1 908 972 31.70% 20.76% 47.54%-0.29 +22.1 3
1998-08-22 @ Polevkivi Johvi L 0-145.1 972 908 47.54% 20.76% 31.70%+0.29 -22.1 0
1998-08-24 Flora L 0-527.6 1085 1764 1.51% 13.22% 85.27%-3.43 -3.4 7
1998-08-24 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 5-027.6 1764 1085 85.27% 13.22% 1.51%+3.43 +3.4 15
1998-08-29 Narva Trans L 1-531.1 950 1298 8.28% 18.39% 73.33%-1.75 -13.9 0
1998-08-29 @ Lelle SK W 5-131.1 1298 950 73.33% 18.39% 8.28%+1.75 +13.8 11
1998-08-29 Polevkivi Johvi W 4-032.7 1036 930 54.30% 20.55% 25.15%+0.57 +46.8 9
1998-08-29 @ TVMK L 0-432.7 930 1036 25.15% 20.55% 54.30%-0.57 -46.8 3
1998-08-30 Sadam Tallinn W 4-364.9 1082 1462 7.06% 17.97% 74.97%-1.91 +29.7 10
1998-08-30 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 3-464.9 1462 1082 74.97% 17.97% 7.06%+1.91 -29.7 13
1998-09-01 Lantana Tallinn W 3-043.4 1767 1397 75.13% 17.92% 6.95%+1.92 +10.7 18
1998-09-01 @ Flora L 0-343.4 1397 1767 6.95% 17.92% 75.13%-1.92 -10.7 13
1998-09-09 Lelle SK D 1-154.9 1386 936 78.61% 16.75% 4.63%+2.33 -8.5 14
1998-09-09 @ Lantana Tallinn D 1-154.9 936 1386 4.63% 16.75% 78.61%-2.33 +8.5 1
1998-09-09 Tulevik Viljandi L 0-232.9 883 1112 15.04% 19.76% 65.20%-1.13 -15.6 3
1998-09-09 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 2-032.9 1112 883 65.20% 19.76% 15.04%+1.13 +15.6 13
1998-09-09 Narva Trans W 5-034.1 1432 1312 55.94% 20.48% 23.58%+0.64 +54.6 16
1998-09-09 @ Sadam Tallinn L 0-534.1 1312 1432 23.58% 20.48% 55.94%-0.64 -54.6 11
1998-09-09 Flora L 0-232.0 1083 1778 1.39% 12.94% 85.68%-3.52 -1.3 9
1998-09-09 @ TVMK W 2-032.0 1778 1083 85.68% 12.94% 1.39%+3.52 +1.3 21
1998-09-13 Sadam Tallinn L 0-365.0 1779 1487 70.75% 18.94% 10.31%+1.52 -88.3 21
1998-09-13 @ Flora W 3-065.0 1487 1779 10.31% 18.94% 70.75%-1.52 +88.3 19
1998-09-13 Polevkivi Johvi W 5-130.3 1257 868 76.03% 17.66% 6.31%+2.02 +10.5 14
1998-09-13 @ Narva Trans L 1-530.3 868 1257 6.31% 17.66% 76.03%-2.02 -10.5 3
1998-09-13 TVMK D 1-153.7 944 1081 23.10% 20.45% 56.45%-0.67 +3.5 2
1998-09-13 @ Lelle SK D 1-153.7 1081 944 56.45% 20.45% 23.10%+0.67 -3.5 10
1998-09-13 Lantana Tallinn L 0-330.8 1127 1377 13.53% 19.54% 66.93%-1.24 -20.5 13
1998-09-13 @ Tulevik Viljandi W 3-030.8 1377 1127 66.93% 19.54% 13.53%+1.24 +20.5 17
1998-09-19 Flora L 2-727.7 857 1691 0.67% 10.70% 88.63%-4.22 -1.0 3
1998-09-19 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 7-227.7 1691 857 88.63% 10.70% 0.67%+4.22 +1.0 24
1998-09-19 Lelle SK W 3-238.3 1575 948 84.28% 13.87% 1.85%+3.23 +0.9 22
1998-09-19 @ Sadam Tallinn L 2-338.3 948 1575 1.85% 13.87% 84.28%-3.23 -0.9 2
1998-09-19 TVMK W 2-145.3 1107 1078 44.54% 20.80% 34.66%+0.18 +16.1 16
1998-09-19 @ Tulevik Viljandi L 1-245.3 1078 1107 34.66% 20.80% 44.54%-0.18 -16.1 10
1998-09-21 Narva Trans D 3-363.6 1398 1268 57.02% 20.42% 22.56%+0.69 -2.3 18
1998-09-21 @ Lantana Tallinn D 3-363.6 1268 1398 22.56% 20.42% 57.02%-0.69 +2.3 15
1998-09-26 Polevkivi Johvi W 4-130.4 1396 856 81.75% 15.33% 2.93%+2.78 +3.6 21
1998-09-26 @ Lantana Tallinn L 1-430.4 856 1396 2.93% 15.33% 81.75%-2.78 -3.6 3
1998-09-27 Narva Trans D 3-371.7 1692 1270 77.46% 17.18% 5.36%+2.18 -5.1 25
1998-09-27 @ Flora D 3-371.7 1270 1692 5.36% 17.18% 77.46%-2.18 +5.1 16
1998-09-27 Tulevik Viljandi D 0-050.5 947 1123 19.32% 20.19% 60.49%-0.87 +5.0 3
1998-09-27 @ Lelle SK D 0-050.5 1123 947 60.49% 20.19% 19.32%+0.87 -5.0 17
1998-09-28 TVMK W 4-026.0 1576 1062 80.93% 15.74% 3.33%+2.65 +6.5 25
1998-09-28 @ Sadam Tallinn L 0-426.0 1062 1576 3.33% 15.74% 80.93%-2.65 -6.5 10
1998-10-02 Lelle SK W 6-126.9 1687 952 86.87% 12.08% 1.05%+3.78 +1.9 28
1998-10-02 @ Flora L 1-626.9 952 1687 1.05% 12.08% 86.87%-3.78 -1.9 3
1998-10-03 Sadam Tallinn L 0-324.8 853 1582 1.16% 12.37% 86.47%-3.69 -1.6 3
1998-10-03 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 3-024.8 1582 853 86.47% 12.37% 1.16%+3.69 +1.6 28
1998-10-03 Narva Trans D 0-050.7 1118 1275 21.05% 20.32% 58.62%-0.77 +4.5 18
1998-10-03 @ Tulevik Viljandi D 0-050.7 1275 1118 58.62% 20.32% 21.05%+0.77 -4.5 17
1998-10-03 Lantana Tallinn L 1-237.0 1055 1399 8.47% 18.45% 73.08%-1.72 -4.5 10
1998-10-03 @ TVMK W 2-137.0 1399 1055 73.08% 18.45% 8.47%+1.72 +4.5 24
1998-10-16 Lantana Tallinn W 5-144.0 1584 1404 62.07% 20.07% 17.86%+0.95 +28.9 31
1998-10-16 @ Sadam Tallinn L 1-544.0 1404 1584 17.86% 20.07% 62.07%-0.95 -28.9 24
1998-10-17 Tulevik Viljandi W 1-033.8 1689 1122 82.58% 14.88% 2.54%+2.92 +1.4 31
1998-10-17 @ Flora L 0-133.8 1122 1689 2.54% 14.88% 82.58%-2.92 -1.4 18
1998-10-17 Polevkivi Johvi L 1-250.8 950 851 53.51% 20.58% 25.91%+0.54 -23.2 3
1998-10-17 @ Lelle SK W 2-150.8 851 950 25.91% 20.58% 53.51%-0.54 +23.2 6
1998-10-17 Narva Trans L 0-331.2 1051 1271 15.65% 19.83% 64.51%-1.09 -23.5 10
1998-10-17 @ TVMK W 3-031.2 1271 1051 64.51% 19.83% 15.65%+1.09 +23.5 20
1998-10-21 Flora L 0-158.0 1613 1690 29.96% 20.72% 49.32%-0.36 -15.2 31
1998-10-21 @ Sadam Tallinn W 1-058.0 1690 1613 49.32% 20.72% 29.96%+0.36 +15.2 34
1998-10-24 Flora D 3-375.6 1375 1705 9.07% 18.63% 72.30%-1.65 +4.5 25
1998-10-24 @ Lantana Tallinn D 3-375.6 1705 1375 72.30% 18.63% 9.07%+1.65 -4.5 35
1998-10-24 Lelle SK W 1-032.2 1294 927 74.97% 17.97% 7.06%+1.91 +3.9 23
1998-10-24 @ Narva Trans L 0-132.2 927 1294 7.06% 17.97% 74.97%-1.91 -4.0 3
1998-10-24 TVMK L 0-235.0 874 1027 21.48% 20.35% 58.16%-0.75 -21.5 6
1998-10-24 @ Polevkivi Johvi W 2-035.0 1027 874 58.16% 20.35% 21.48%+0.75 +21.5 13
1998-10-24 Tulevik Viljandi W 3-028.7 1598 1121 79.62% 16.34% 4.05%+2.46 +6.1 34
1998-10-24 @ Sadam Tallinn L 0-328.7 1121 1598 4.05% 16.34% 79.62%-2.46 -6.1 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1998-08-30 7.06% @ Tulevik Viljandi 1082 4 Sadam Tallinn 1462 3
2 1998-09-13 10.31% Sadam Tallinn 1487 3 @ Flora 1779 0
3 1998-10-17 25.91% Polevkivi Johvi 851 2 @ Lelle SK 950 1
4 1998-08-22 31.70% @ Polevkivi Johvi 908 1 Lelle SK 972 0
5 1998-07-25 34.09% @ TVMK 1019 2 Lelle SK 1064 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-09-13 88.28 Sadam Tallinn 3 1487 10.31% @ Flora 0 1779 70.75% 18.94%
2 1998-09-09 54.60 @ Sadam Tallinn 5 1432 55.94% Narva Trans 0 1312 23.58% 20.48%
3 1998-08-29 46.81 @ TVMK 4 1036 54.30% Polevkivi Johvi 0 930 25.15% 20.55%
4 1998-08-11 43.95 @ Tulevik Viljandi 3 1065 47.13% Lelle SK 0 1016 32.10% 20.77%
5 1998-08-30 29.72 @ Tulevik Viljandi 4 1082 7.06% Sadam Tallinn 3 1462 74.97% 17.97%
6 1998-10-16 28.88 @ Sadam Tallinn 5 1584 62.07% Lantana Tallinn 1 1404 17.86% 20.07%
7 1998-08-02 27.89 Sadam Tallinn 7 1395 73.44% @ Lelle SK 0 1044 8.20% 18.37%
8 1998-10-17 23.51 Narva Trans 3 1271 64.51% @ TVMK 0 1051 15.65% 19.83%
9 1998-08-01 23.49 Lantana Tallinn 3 1398 51.20% @ Narva Trans 1 1306 28.14% 20.67%
10 1998-08-15 23.24 @ Narva Trans 4 1280 61.22% Tulevik Viljandi 1 1109 18.64% 20.14%
11 1998-10-17 23.18 Polevkivi Johvi 2 851 25.91% @ Lelle SK 1 950 53.51% 20.58%
12 1998-08-22 22.12 @ Polevkivi Johvi 1 908 31.70% Lelle SK 0 972 47.54% 20.76%
13 1998-10-24 21.53 TVMK 2 1027 58.16% @ Polevkivi Johvi 0 874 21.48% 20.35%
14 1998-09-13 20.52 Lantana Tallinn 3 1377 66.93% @ Tulevik Viljandi 0 1127 13.53% 19.54%
15 1998-07-25 19.94 @ TVMK 2 1019 34.09% Lelle SK 1 1064 45.12% 20.80%
16 1998-08-21 17.71 Sadam Tallinn 1 1444 42.95% @ Lantana Tallinn 0 1414 36.23% 20.82%
17 1998-08-07 17.12 Sadam Tallinn 5 1423 75.16% @ TVMK 0 1039 6.93% 17.92%
18 1998-09-19 16.11 @ Tulevik Viljandi 2 1107 44.54% TVMK 1 1078 34.66% 20.80%
19 1998-09-09 15.60 Tulevik Viljandi 2 1112 65.20% @ Polevkivi Johvi 0 883 15.04% 19.76%
20 1998-10-21 15.16 Flora 1 1690 49.32% @ Sadam Tallinn 0 1613 29.96% 20.72%
21 1998-07-25 15.04 @ Lantana Tallinn 3 1383 71.39% Tulevik Viljandi 0 1080 9.80% 18.82%
22 1998-08-29 13.86 Narva Trans 5 1298 73.33% @ Lelle SK 1 950 8.28% 18.39%
23 1998-07-18 11.56 @ Tulevik Viljandi 1 1069 57.83% Polevkivi Johvi 0 931 21.80% 20.37%
24 1998-07-18 11.38 Lantana Tallinn 2 1372 70.16% @ Lelle SK 0 1076 10.79% 19.05%
25 1998-09-01 10.67 @ Flora 3 1767 75.13% Lantana Tallinn 0 1397 6.95% 17.92%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-10-24 75.6 @ Lantana Tallinn 3 1375 9.07% Flora 3 1705 72.30% 18.63%
2 1998-09-27 71.7 @ Flora 3 1692 77.46% Narva Trans 3 1270 5.36% 17.18%
3 1998-09-13 65.0 Sadam Tallinn 3 1487 10.31% @ Flora 0 1779 70.75% 18.94%
4 1998-08-30 64.9 @ Tulevik Viljandi 4 1082 7.06% Sadam Tallinn 3 1462 74.97% 17.97%
5 1998-09-21 63.6 @ Lantana Tallinn 3 1398 57.02% Narva Trans 3 1268 22.56% 20.42%
6 1998-08-22 58.6 @ Narva Trans 2 1303 69.41% TVMK 2 1031 11.42% 19.18%
7 1998-08-01 58.0 @ TVMK 2 1039 36.71% Tulevik Viljandi 2 1065 42.47% 20.82%
8 1998-10-21 58.0 Flora 1 1690 49.32% @ Sadam Tallinn 0 1613 29.96% 20.72%
9 1998-09-09 54.9 @ Lantana Tallinn 1 1386 78.61% Lelle SK 1 936 4.63% 16.75%
10 1998-09-13 53.7 @ Lelle SK 1 944 23.10% TVMK 1 1081 56.45% 20.45%
11 1998-07-18 52.2 @ Narva Trans 0 1299 27.34% Sadam Tallinn 0 1398 52.02% 20.64%
12 1998-08-17 51.6 @ Lantana Tallinn 0 1423 76.57% TVMK 0 1022 5.95% 17.49%
13 1998-10-17 50.8 Polevkivi Johvi 2 851 25.91% @ Lelle SK 1 950 53.51% 20.58%
14 1998-10-03 50.7 @ Tulevik Viljandi 0 1118 21.05% Narva Trans 0 1275 58.62% 20.32%
15 1998-09-27 50.5 @ Lelle SK 0 947 19.32% Tulevik Viljandi 0 1123 60.49% 20.19%
16 1998-07-25 48.4 @ TVMK 2 1019 34.09% Lelle SK 1 1064 45.12% 20.80%
17 1998-08-21 46.9 Sadam Tallinn 1 1444 42.95% @ Lantana Tallinn 0 1414 36.23% 20.82%
18 1998-09-19 45.3 @ Tulevik Viljandi 2 1107 44.54% TVMK 1 1078 34.66% 20.80%
19 1998-08-22 45.1 @ Polevkivi Johvi 1 908 31.70% Lelle SK 0 972 47.54% 20.76%
20 1998-10-16 44.0 @ Sadam Tallinn 5 1584 62.07% Lantana Tallinn 1 1404 17.86% 20.07%
21 1998-08-01 43.4 Lantana Tallinn 3 1398 51.20% @ Narva Trans 1 1306 28.14% 20.67%
22 1998-09-01 43.4 @ Flora 3 1767 75.13% Lantana Tallinn 0 1397 6.95% 17.92%
23 1998-08-08 42.5 Flora 1 1761 79.23% @ Narva Trans 0 1282 4.27% 16.50%
24 1998-09-19 38.3 @ Sadam Tallinn 3 1575 84.28% Lelle SK 2 948 1.85% 13.87%
25 1998-07-18 37.3 @ Tulevik Viljandi 1 1069 57.83% Polevkivi Johvi 0 931 21.80% 20.37%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-08-02 23.1 @ Flora 6 1759 89.05% Polevkivi Johvi 0 916 0.59% 10.36%
2 1998-10-03 24.8 Sadam Tallinn 3 1582 86.47% @ Polevkivi Johvi 0 853 1.16% 12.37%
3 1998-09-28 26.0 @ Sadam Tallinn 4 1576 80.93% TVMK 0 1062 3.33% 15.74%
4 1998-08-07 26.1 Sadam Tallinn 5 1423 75.16% @ TVMK 0 1039 6.93% 17.92%
5 1998-08-02 26.7 Sadam Tallinn 7 1395 73.44% @ Lelle SK 0 1044 8.20% 18.37%
6 1998-10-02 26.9 @ Flora 6 1687 86.87% Lelle SK 1 952 1.05% 12.08%
7 1998-07-17 27.5 @ Flora 3 1758 86.93% TVMK 0 1020 1.04% 12.04%
8 1998-08-24 27.6 Flora 5 1764 85.27% @ Tulevik Viljandi 0 1085 1.51% 13.22%
9 1998-09-19 27.7 Flora 7 1691 88.63% @ Polevkivi Johvi 2 857 0.67% 10.70%
10 1998-10-24 28.7 @ Sadam Tallinn 3 1598 79.62% Tulevik Viljandi 0 1121 4.05% 16.34%
11 1998-07-25 29.4 @ Lantana Tallinn 3 1383 71.39% Tulevik Viljandi 0 1080 9.80% 18.82%
12 1998-09-13 30.3 @ Narva Trans 5 1257 76.03% Polevkivi Johvi 1 868 6.31% 17.66%
13 1998-09-26 30.4 @ Lantana Tallinn 4 1396 81.75% Polevkivi Johvi 1 856 2.93% 15.33%
14 1998-09-13 30.8 Lantana Tallinn 3 1377 66.93% @ Tulevik Viljandi 0 1127 13.53% 19.54%
15 1998-08-29 31.1 Narva Trans 5 1298 73.33% @ Lelle SK 1 950 8.28% 18.39%
16 1998-10-17 31.2 Narva Trans 3 1271 64.51% @ TVMK 0 1051 15.65% 19.83%
17 1998-08-15 31.4 @ Sadam Tallinn 6 1440 81.37% Polevkivi Johvi 2 912 3.11% 15.52%
18 1998-07-18 31.7 Lantana Tallinn 2 1372 70.16% @ Lelle SK 0 1076 10.79% 19.05%
19 1998-09-09 32.0 Flora 2 1778 85.68% @ TVMK 0 1083 1.39% 12.94%
20 1998-07-25 32.2 Narva Trans 1 1302 75.08% @ Polevkivi Johvi 0 920 6.98% 17.94%
21 1998-10-24 32.2 @ Narva Trans 1 1294 74.97% Lelle SK 0 927 7.06% 17.97%
22 1998-08-29 32.7 @ TVMK 4 1036 54.30% Polevkivi Johvi 0 930 25.15% 20.55%
23 1998-09-09 32.9 Tulevik Viljandi 2 1112 65.20% @ Polevkivi Johvi 0 883 15.04% 19.76%
24 1998-10-17 33.8 @ Flora 1 1689 82.58% Tulevik Viljandi 0 1122 2.54% 14.88%
25 1998-09-09 34.1 @ Sadam Tallinn 5 1432 55.94% Narva Trans 0 1312 23.58% 20.48%