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1970 Meistaradeildin Season

20 games

Final

Champion

KI Klaksvik

12 points · 14th Title

Last Title: 1969.0

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

TB Tvoroyri

1.70 points above expected

9 points · 7.30 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vags Boltfelag

1.79 points below expected

3 points · 4.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KI Klaksvik Champion 8 6 0 2 12 27 6 +21 11.62 +0.38
2 HB Torshavn 8 5 2 1 12 27 14 +13 12.14 -0.14
3 TB Tvoroyri 8 4 1 3 9 16 14 +2 7.30 +1.70
4 B36 Torshavn 8 1 2 5 4 9 17 -8 4.15 -0.15
5 Vags Boltfelag 8 1 1 6 3 7 35 -28 4.79 -1.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 TB Tvoroyri 9 7.30 +1.70
2 KI Klaksvik 12 11.62 +0.38
3 HB Torshavn 12 12.14 -0.14
4 B36 Torshavn 4 4.15 -0.15
5 Vags Boltfelag 3 4.79 -1.79

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vags Boltfelag 3 4.79 -1.79
2 B36 Torshavn 4 4.15 -0.15
3 HB Torshavn 12 12.14 -0.14
4 KI Klaksvik 12 11.62 +0.38
5 TB Tvoroyri 9 7.30 +1.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vags Boltfelag 1 May 31 – May 31 1 in 8
2 TB Tvoroyri 2 May 18 – Jun 28 1 in 3
3 HB Torshavn 4 Jun 28 – Aug 23 1 in 3
4 KI Klaksvik 3 May 3 – May 24 1 in 3
5 B36 Torshavn 1 Aug 16 – Aug 16 63%

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KI Klaksvik 1 May 31 – May 31 1 in 8
2 Vags Boltfelag 4 Jun 28 – Aug 30 1 in 6
3 B36 Torshavn 3 Jun 28 – Aug 9 1 in 3
4 TB Tvoroyri 2 Aug 2 – Aug 16 1 in 2
5 HB Torshavn 1 May 24 – May 24 61%

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 B36 Torshavn 2 May 18 – May 24 1 in 12
2 Vags Boltfelag 2 May 24 – May 31 1 in 4
3 TB Tvoroyri 2 May 18 – Jun 28 50%
4 KI Klaksvik 3 May 3 – May 24 63%
5 HB Torshavn 4 Jun 28 – Aug 23 68%

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Torshavn 2 May 18 – May 24 1 in 5
2 KI Klaksvik 1 May 31 – May 31 1 in 4
3 B36 Torshavn 6 May 3 – Aug 9 1 in 3
4 Vags Boltfelag 4 Jun 28 – Aug 30 1 in 3
5 TB Tvoroyri 2 May 3 – May 10 72%

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HB Torshavn 1768 12 -5 8 7.4 +0.6
KI Klaksvik 1739 12 -5 6 7.0 -1.0
TB Tvoroyri 1460 9 +16 6 4.6 +1.4
B36 Torshavn 1275 4 +3 2 3.1 -1.1
Vags Boltfelag 1258 3 -25 2 2.6 -0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BT HT KK TT VB
B36 Torshavn —
0-1-1
0.62
0-0-2
0.73
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
2.73
HB Torshavn
1-1-0
5.12
—
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
4.57
2-0-0
5.03
KI Klaksvik
2-0-0
5.00
1-0-1
2.65
—
2-0-0
4.39
1-0-1
5.00
TB Tvoroyri
2-0-0
3.79
0-1-1
1.14
0-0-2
1.31
—
2-0-0
3.81
Vags Boltfelag
0-1-1
2.95
0-0-2
0.70
1-0-1
0.73
0-0-2
1.88
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.96 +4.4
Allowed 0.65 -3.2
Differential 0.89 +2.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%5.00%—5.00%5.00%7.50%27.50%
15.00%—5.00%—2.50%2.50%15.00%
2—5.00%10.00%2.50%7.50%—25.00%
35.00%—2.50%———7.50%
45.00%2.50%7.50%———15.00%
5+7.50%2.50%————10.00%
Total27.50%15.00%25.00%7.50%15.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 2.15 +0.00
SD 2.17 2.17 3.69
CV 1.01 1.01 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%—12.50%12.50%—50.00%
1——12.50%——12.50%25.00%
2——12.50%———12.50%
3———————
4———————
5+12.50%—————12.50%
Total25.00%12.50%25.00%12.50%12.50%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.12 -1.00
SD 1.73 1.81 2.93
CV 1.54 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————12.50%—12.50%
1———————
2——25.00%———25.00%
3——12.50%———12.50%
4—12.50%12.50%———25.00%
5+12.50%12.50%————25.00%
Total12.50%25.00%50.00%—12.50%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.38 1.75 +1.62
SD 2.13 1.16 3.25
CV 0.63 0.67 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
112.50%—12.50%———25.00%
2—12.50%—12.50%——25.00%
312.50%—————12.50%
425.00%—————25.00%
5+12.50%—————12.50%
Total62.50%12.50%12.50%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.38 0.75 +2.62
SD 2.92 1.16 3.58
CV 0.87 1.55 —
Max 10 3 +10
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%—12.50%——25.00%
112.50%—————12.50%
2——12.50%—12.50%—25.00%
312.50%—————12.50%
4——25.00%———25.00%
5+———————
Total25.00%12.50%37.50%12.50%12.50%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.75 +0.25
SD 1.60 1.39 2.12
CV 0.80 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 8

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%————37.50%50.00%
1————12.50%—12.50%
2—12.50%——25.00%—37.50%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%12.50%——37.50%37.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 4.38 -3.50
SD 0.99 3.16 3.66
CV 1.13 0.72 —
Max 2 10 +1
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 8

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
HB Torshavn 1768 12 12.14 -0.14 57.0% 8 9 11 12 13 15 16
KI Klaksvik 1739 12 11.62 +0.38 67.0% 6 8 10 12 13 15 16
TB Tvoroyri 1460 9 7.30 +1.70 88.0% 2 4 6 7 9 11 11
B36 Torshavn 1275 4 4.15 -0.15 59.0% 0 1 3 4 5 8 11
Vags Boltfelag 1258 3 4.79 -1.79 27.0% 0 2 3 5 6 8 10

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 22% * Strong Edge: 22% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+35.00%
Strong Edge
60.00%15.00%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
124 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0126.97400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.90 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.02+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd * Longshot: 4th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.11 * Tight Race: 0.11 to 0.22 * Comfortable: 0.22 to 0.38 * Runaway: 0.38 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
12345
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
KI Klaksvik, 2nd of 5
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.270.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 1.63 * Some Luck: 1.63 to 2.45 * Lucky: 2.45 to 3.26 * Wild Swing: 3.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.41 * Close: 0.41 to 0.61 * Off: 0.61 to 0.81 * Way Off: 0.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 5 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 5 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 5 * As Expected: 5 to 8 * Several Outliers: 8 to 11 * Many Outliers: 11 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
1.12 points
As Expected
02.045
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Off
00.511.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected
88.00%
TB Tvoroyri
5090.00%100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
27.00%
Vags Boltfelag
010.00%50
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 5
Minimal Outliers
00.55

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.45 * Moderate Separation: 1.45 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68.5% * Slight Edge: 68.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 88% * Wide Edge: 88% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 93.5% * Strong Edge: 93.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 44.5% * Some Drama: 44.5% to 50.5% * Frequent: 50.5% to 57% * Very Frequent: 57% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 20% * Occasional: 20% to 25% * Frequent: 25% to 33.5% * Very Frequent: 33.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Top-Heavy
00.190.280.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 244.83
1.65
Moderate Separation
0.851.451.82.153.25
Interquartile Edge
94%
Wide Edge
50%68.5%79%88%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
40%
Few
0%30%100%
Blowouts
Expected
45%
Very Frequent
0%52%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.39 * Slight Separation: 0.39 to 0.49 * Notable Separation: 0.49 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.4 * Some Carryover: 0.4 to 0.61 * Strong Carryover: 0.61 to 0.77 * Near-Lock: 0.77 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 21.5% * Upset-Prone: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.38
Highly Predictable
00.432
Matchup Imbalance
0.65
Lopsided
00.390.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.30
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.87
Near-Lock
00.40.610.771
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
6%
Solid Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Probability calibration
0.63
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345
KI Klaksvik46.00%44.00%10.00%——
HB Torshavn54.00%44.00%2.00%——
TB Tvoroyri—8.00%65.00%19.00%8.00%
B36 Torshavn—3.00%8.00%36.00%53.00%
Vags Boltfelag—1.00%15.00%45.00%39.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
B36 Torshavn 100%
HB Torshavn 100%
KI Klaksvik 100%
TB Tvoroyri 100%
Vags Boltfelag 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1970-05-03 KI Klaksvik L 1-245.4 1270 1724 13.68% 14.69% 71.64%-2.63 -2.4 0
1970-05-03 @ B36 Torshavn W 2-145.4 1724 1270 71.64% 14.69% 13.68%+2.63 +2.4 2
1970-05-03 HB Torshavn D 2-273.9 1443 1774 24.22% 15.41% 60.37%-1.64 +1.0 1
1970-05-03 @ TB Tvoroyri D 2-273.9 1774 1443 60.37% 15.41% 24.22%+1.64 -1.0 1
1970-05-10 Vags Boltfelag W 7-036.2 1773 1290 86.32% 12.14% 1.54%+4.91 +1.7 3
1970-05-10 @ HB Torshavn L 0-736.2 1290 1773 1.54% 12.14% 86.32%-4.91 -1.7 0
1970-05-10 TB Tvoroyri W 3-042.5 1726 1444 81.40% 14.05% 4.55%+3.29 +2.4 4
1970-05-10 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-342.5 1444 1726 4.55% 14.05% 81.40%-3.29 -2.4 1
1970-05-18 HB Torshavn D 2-269.1 1267 1775 10.48% 14.28% 75.24%-3.06 +2.0 1
1970-05-18 @ B36 Torshavn D 2-269.1 1775 1267 75.24% 14.28% 10.48%+3.06 -2.0 4
1970-05-18 Vags Boltfelag W 4-240.2 1442 1288 76.09% 14.99% 8.92%+2.26 +2.5 3
1970-05-18 @ TB Tvoroyri L 2-440.2 1288 1442 8.92% 14.99% 76.09%-2.26 -2.5 0
1970-05-24 HB Torshavn W 4-051.8 1728 1773 60.69% 15.82% 23.48%+0.66 +15.2 6
1970-05-24 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-451.8 1773 1728 23.48% 15.82% 60.69%-0.66 -15.2 4
1970-05-24 B36 Torshavn D 0-051.1 1285 1269 66.58% 15.66% 17.76%+1.15 -2.2 1
1970-05-24 @ Vags Boltfelag D 0-051.1 1269 1285 17.76% 15.66% 66.58%-1.15 +2.2 2
1970-05-31 KI Klaksvik W 2-164.2 1283 1744 13.23% 14.64% 72.13%-2.68 +11.0 3
1970-05-31 @ Vags Boltfelag L 1-264.2 1744 1283 72.13% 14.64% 13.23%+2.68 -11.0 6
1970-06-28 TB Tvoroyri L 0-144.0 1272 1444 44.62% 15.88% 39.50%-0.37 -7.4 2
1970-06-28 @ B36 Torshavn W 1-044.0 1444 1272 39.50% 15.88% 44.62%+0.37 +7.4 5
1970-06-28 HB Torshavn L 1-445.8 1294 1758 13.03% 14.61% 72.35%-2.70 -5.6 3
1970-06-28 @ Vags Boltfelag W 4-145.8 1758 1294 72.35% 14.61% 13.03%+2.70 +5.6 6
1970-08-02 TB Tvoroyri W 4-252.7 1763 1451 82.32% 13.79% 3.89%+3.53 +1.1 8
1970-08-02 @ HB Torshavn L 2-452.7 1451 1763 3.89% 13.79% 82.32%-3.53 -1.1 5
1970-08-02 B36 Torshavn W 4-034.5 1733 1264 86.03% 12.29% 1.67%+4.78 +1.1 8
1970-08-02 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-434.5 1264 1733 1.67% 12.29% 86.03%-4.78 -1.1 2
1970-08-09 B36 Torshavn W 5-139.8 1764 1263 86.64% 11.96% 1.40%+5.05 +0.8 10
1970-08-09 @ HB Torshavn L 1-539.8 1263 1764 1.40% 11.96% 86.64%-5.05 -0.8 2
1970-08-09 Vags Boltfelag W 10-035.2 1734 1288 85.57% 12.53% 1.90%+4.60 +3.0 10
1970-08-09 @ KI Klaksvik L 0-1035.2 1288 1734 1.90% 12.53% 85.57%-4.60 -3.0 3
1970-08-16 Vags Boltfelag W 5-031.8 1262 1285 62.90% 15.78% 21.32%+0.83 +17.2 4
1970-08-16 @ B36 Torshavn L 0-531.8 1285 1262 21.32% 15.78% 62.90%-0.83 -17.2 3
1970-08-16 KI Klaksvik L 0-153.3 1450 1737 29.31% 15.60% 55.09%-1.28 -5.2 5
1970-08-16 @ TB Tvoroyri W 1-053.3 1737 1450 55.09% 15.60% 29.31%+1.28 +5.1 12
1970-08-23 KI Klaksvik W 3-261.0 1765 1742 67.22% 15.64% 17.14%+1.21 +2.9 12
1970-08-23 @ HB Torshavn L 2-361.0 1742 1765 17.14% 15.64% 67.22%-1.21 -2.8 12
1970-08-23 B36 Torshavn W 3-030.5 1445 1279 76.70% 14.92% 8.39%+2.35 +4.4 7
1970-08-23 @ TB Tvoroyri L 0-330.5 1279 1445 8.39% 14.92% 76.70%-2.35 -4.4 4
1970-08-30 TB Tvoroyri L 2-450.7 1268 1450 43.37% 15.87% 40.76%-0.44 -10.5 3
1970-08-30 @ Vags Boltfelag W 4-250.7 1450 1268 40.76% 15.87% 43.37%+0.44 +10.6 9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1970-05-31 13.23% @ Vags Boltfelag 1283 2 KI Klaksvik 1744 1
2 1970-06-28 39.50% TB Tvoroyri 1444 1 @ B36 Torshavn 1272 0
3 1970-08-30 40.76% TB Tvoroyri 1450 4 @ Vags Boltfelag 1268 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-08-16 17.16 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1262 62.90% Vags Boltfelag 0 1285 21.32% 15.78%
2 1970-05-24 15.20 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1728 60.69% HB Torshavn 0 1773 23.48% 15.82%
3 1970-05-31 10.96 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1283 13.23% KI Klaksvik 1 1744 72.13% 14.64%
4 1970-08-30 10.56 TB Tvoroyri 4 1450 40.76% @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1268 43.37% 15.87%
5 1970-06-28 7.41 TB Tvoroyri 1 1444 39.50% @ B36 Torshavn 0 1272 44.62% 15.88%
6 1970-06-28 5.60 HB Torshavn 4 1758 72.35% @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1294 13.03% 14.61%
7 1970-08-16 5.15 KI Klaksvik 1 1737 55.09% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1450 29.31% 15.60%
8 1970-08-23 4.40 @ TB Tvoroyri 3 1445 76.70% B36 Torshavn 0 1279 8.39% 14.92%
9 1970-08-09 3.02 @ KI Klaksvik 10 1734 85.57% Vags Boltfelag 0 1288 1.90% 12.53%
10 1970-08-23 2.85 @ HB Torshavn 3 1765 67.22% KI Klaksvik 2 1742 17.14% 15.64%
11 1970-05-18 2.50 @ TB Tvoroyri 4 1442 76.09% Vags Boltfelag 2 1288 8.92% 14.99%
12 1970-05-03 2.40 KI Klaksvik 2 1724 71.64% @ B36 Torshavn 1 1270 13.68% 14.69%
13 1970-05-10 2.38 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1726 81.40% TB Tvoroyri 0 1444 4.55% 14.05%
14 1970-05-24 2.17 B36 Torshavn 0 1269 17.76% @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1285 66.58% 15.66%
15 1970-05-18 1.95 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1267 10.48% HB Torshavn 2 1775 75.24% 14.28%
16 1970-05-10 1.73 @ HB Torshavn 7 1773 86.32% Vags Boltfelag 0 1290 1.54% 12.14%
17 1970-08-02 1.11 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1733 86.03% B36 Torshavn 0 1264 1.67% 12.29%
18 1970-08-02 1.08 @ HB Torshavn 4 1763 82.32% TB Tvoroyri 2 1451 3.89% 13.79%
19 1970-05-03 1.05 HB Torshavn 2 1774 60.37% @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1443 24.22% 15.41%
20 1970-08-09 0.77 @ HB Torshavn 5 1764 86.64% B36 Torshavn 1 1263 1.40% 11.96%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-05-03 73.9 @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1443 24.22% HB Torshavn 2 1774 60.37% 15.41%
2 1970-05-18 69.1 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1267 10.48% HB Torshavn 2 1775 75.24% 14.28%
3 1970-05-31 64.2 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1283 13.23% KI Klaksvik 1 1744 72.13% 14.64%
4 1970-08-23 61.0 @ HB Torshavn 3 1765 67.22% KI Klaksvik 2 1742 17.14% 15.64%
5 1970-08-16 53.3 KI Klaksvik 1 1737 55.09% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1450 29.31% 15.60%
6 1970-08-02 52.7 @ HB Torshavn 4 1763 82.32% TB Tvoroyri 2 1451 3.89% 13.79%
7 1970-05-24 51.8 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1728 60.69% HB Torshavn 0 1773 23.48% 15.82%
8 1970-05-24 51.1 @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1285 66.58% B36 Torshavn 0 1269 17.76% 15.66%
9 1970-08-30 50.7 TB Tvoroyri 4 1450 40.76% @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1268 43.37% 15.87%
10 1970-06-28 45.8 HB Torshavn 4 1758 72.35% @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1294 13.03% 14.61%
11 1970-05-03 45.4 KI Klaksvik 2 1724 71.64% @ B36 Torshavn 1 1270 13.68% 14.69%
12 1970-06-28 44.0 TB Tvoroyri 1 1444 39.50% @ B36 Torshavn 0 1272 44.62% 15.88%
13 1970-05-10 42.5 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1726 81.40% TB Tvoroyri 0 1444 4.55% 14.05%
14 1970-05-18 40.2 @ TB Tvoroyri 4 1442 76.09% Vags Boltfelag 2 1288 8.92% 14.99%
15 1970-08-09 39.8 @ HB Torshavn 5 1764 86.64% B36 Torshavn 1 1263 1.40% 11.96%
16 1970-05-10 36.2 @ HB Torshavn 7 1773 86.32% Vags Boltfelag 0 1290 1.54% 12.14%
17 1970-08-09 35.2 @ KI Klaksvik 10 1734 85.57% Vags Boltfelag 0 1288 1.90% 12.53%
18 1970-08-02 34.5 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1733 86.03% B36 Torshavn 0 1264 1.67% 12.29%
19 1970-08-16 31.8 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1262 62.90% Vags Boltfelag 0 1285 21.32% 15.78%
20 1970-08-23 30.5 @ TB Tvoroyri 3 1445 76.70% B36 Torshavn 0 1279 8.39% 14.92%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-08-23 30.5 @ TB Tvoroyri 3 1445 76.70% B36 Torshavn 0 1279 8.39% 14.92%
2 1970-08-16 31.8 @ B36 Torshavn 5 1262 62.90% Vags Boltfelag 0 1285 21.32% 15.78%
3 1970-08-02 34.5 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1733 86.03% B36 Torshavn 0 1264 1.67% 12.29%
4 1970-08-09 35.2 @ KI Klaksvik 10 1734 85.57% Vags Boltfelag 0 1288 1.90% 12.53%
5 1970-05-10 36.2 @ HB Torshavn 7 1773 86.32% Vags Boltfelag 0 1290 1.54% 12.14%
6 1970-08-09 39.8 @ HB Torshavn 5 1764 86.64% B36 Torshavn 1 1263 1.40% 11.96%
7 1970-05-18 40.2 @ TB Tvoroyri 4 1442 76.09% Vags Boltfelag 2 1288 8.92% 14.99%
8 1970-05-10 42.5 @ KI Klaksvik 3 1726 81.40% TB Tvoroyri 0 1444 4.55% 14.05%
9 1970-06-28 44.0 TB Tvoroyri 1 1444 39.50% @ B36 Torshavn 0 1272 44.62% 15.88%
10 1970-05-03 45.4 KI Klaksvik 2 1724 71.64% @ B36 Torshavn 1 1270 13.68% 14.69%
11 1970-06-28 45.8 HB Torshavn 4 1758 72.35% @ Vags Boltfelag 1 1294 13.03% 14.61%
12 1970-08-30 50.7 TB Tvoroyri 4 1450 40.76% @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1268 43.37% 15.87%
13 1970-05-24 51.1 @ Vags Boltfelag 0 1285 66.58% B36 Torshavn 0 1269 17.76% 15.66%
14 1970-05-24 51.8 @ KI Klaksvik 4 1728 60.69% HB Torshavn 0 1773 23.48% 15.82%
15 1970-08-02 52.7 @ HB Torshavn 4 1763 82.32% TB Tvoroyri 2 1451 3.89% 13.79%
16 1970-08-16 53.3 KI Klaksvik 1 1737 55.09% @ TB Tvoroyri 0 1450 29.31% 15.60%
17 1970-08-23 61.0 @ HB Torshavn 3 1765 67.22% KI Klaksvik 2 1742 17.14% 15.64%
18 1970-05-31 64.2 @ Vags Boltfelag 2 1283 13.23% KI Klaksvik 1 1744 72.13% 14.64%
19 1970-05-18 69.1 @ B36 Torshavn 2 1267 10.48% HB Torshavn 2 1775 75.24% 14.28%
20 1970-05-03 73.9 @ TB Tvoroyri 2 1443 24.22% HB Torshavn 2 1774 60.37% 15.41%