1939 Mestaruussarja Season

49 games

Final

Champion

TPS Turku

20 points · 2nd Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

TPS Turku

4.83 points above expected

20 points · 15.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Reipas Lahti

4.76 points below expected

4 points · 8.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	TPS Turku Champion	12	9	2	1	20	38	17	+21	15.17	+4.83
2	HJK	13	7	4	2	18	40	18	+22	16.77	+1.23
3	Toverit Helsinki	12	6	1	5	13	27	21	+6	12.92	+0.08
4	Helsingfors	13	5	3	5	13	31	32	-1	13.09	-0.09
5	HPS Helsinki	13	5	3	5	13	20	22	-2	11.76	+1.24
6	VPS	12	3	4	5	10	20	21	-1	11.37	-1.37
7	KPT	12	2	3	7	7	17	29	-12	8.16	-1.16
8	Reipas Lahti	11	2	0	9	4	18	51	-33	8.76	-4.76

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	TPS Turku	20	15.17	+4.83
2	HPS Helsinki	13	11.76	+1.24
3	HJK	18	16.77	+1.23
4	Toverit Helsinki	13	12.92	+0.08
5	Helsingfors	13	13.09	-0.09

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Reipas Lahti	4	8.76	-4.76
2	VPS	10	11.37	-1.37
3	KPT	7	8.16	-1.16
4	Helsingfors	13	13.09	-0.09
5	Toverit Helsinki	13	12.92	+0.08

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HPS Helsinki	2	May 19 – May 28	1 in 20
2	Helsingfors	2	Aug 8 – Aug 13	1 in 17
3	HJK	3	May 21 – Jun 27	1 in 14
4	Toverit Helsinki	2	May 7 – May 14	1 in 12
5	TPS Turku	4	Aug 20 – Oct 1	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Reipas Lahti	6	Jul 1 – Sep 10	1 in 42
2	Helsingfors	2	May 23 – May 29	1 in 12
3	VPS	3	May 21 – Jul 2	1 in 8
4	Toverit Helsinki	1	May 19 – May 19	1 in 8
5	HJK	1	May 7 – May 7	1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HJK	9	May 14 – Aug 25	1 in 22
2	Helsingfors	4	Jul 2 – Aug 13	1 in 16
3	TPS Turku	8	Jul 1 – Oct 8	1 in 14
4	KPT	2	Jul 23 – Jul 30	1 in 7
5	HPS Helsinki	3	Jul 23 – Aug 15	1 in 4

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HJK	3	Jul 25 – Aug 15	1 in 17
2	Toverit Helsinki	3	Jun 27 – Aug 8	1 in 14
3	VPS	5	May 7 – Jul 2	1 in 8
4	Reipas Lahti	6	Jul 1 – Sep 10	1 in 5
5	Helsingfors	4	Aug 20 – Oct 7	1 in 5

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
TPS Turku	958	20	+92	9	6.9	+2.1
HJK	972	18	+138	8	6.7	+1.3
HPS Helsinki	753	13	+9	5	4.5	+0.5
Helsingfors	718	13	-57	4	4.5	-0.5
Toverit Helsinki	795	13	-47	4	4.8	-0.8
VPS	733	10	-19	4	4.5	-0.5
KPT	601	7	+5	3	3.8	-0.8
Reipas Lahti	519	4	-185	0	3.5	-3.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	HJK	HH	HEL	KPT	RL	TT	TH	VPS
HJK	—	0-1-1 4.03	1-1-0 3.69	1-1-0 4.13	2-0-0 3.82	0-0-1 2.04	2-0-0 2.65	1-1-0 3.29
HPS Helsinki	1-1-0 1.55	—	0-1-1 2.51	1-1-0 3.60	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 1.93	1-0-1 2.28	0-0-1 1.14
Helsingfors	0-1-1 1.88	1-1-0 3.06	—	0-0-1 1.46	2-0-0 2.99	0-0-2 2.77	1-0-1 2.58	1-1-0 2.91
KPT	0-1-1 1.44	0-1-1 1.97	1-0-0 1.33	—	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 1.42	0-0-1 0.75	0-1-1 2.19
Reipas Lahti	0-0-2 1.75	1-0-1 2.94	0-0-2 2.58	1-0-1 2.99	—	0-0-1 0.96	0-0-1 2.17	0-0-1 0.89
TPS Turku	1-0-0 0.74	1-0-1 3.64	2-0-0 2.80	2-0-0 4.17	1-0-0 1.82	—	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 3.82
Toverit Helsinki	0-0-2 2.92	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-0 2.03	1-0-0 0.62	0-1-1 2.38	—	2-0-0 3.32
VPS	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-0 1.64	0-1-1 2.66	1-1-0 3.38	1-0-0 1.90	0-1-1 1.75	0-0-2 2.25	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.79	+5.2
Allowed	0.63	-3.7
Differential	0.92	+2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.04%	5.10%	3.06%	4.08%	—	4.08%	18.37%
1	5.10%	8.16%	4.08%	2.04%	1.02%	5.10%	25.51%
2	3.06%	4.08%	6.12%	4.08%	2.04%	2.04%	21.43%
3	4.08%	2.04%	4.08%	4.08%	1.02%	2.04%	17.35%
4	—	1.02%	2.04%	1.02%	—	—	4.08%
5+	4.08%	5.10%	2.04%	2.04%	—	—	13.27%
Total	18.37%	25.51%	21.43%	17.35%	4.08%	13.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.15	2.15	+0.00
SD	1.89	1.89	2.90
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 49

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	15.38%	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
2	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	15.38%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
Total	38.46%	23.08%	7.69%	23.08%	7.69%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.08	1.38	+1.69
SD	2.25	1.45	2.66
CV	0.73	1.04	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	1	0	-2

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
1	15.38%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
2	—	—	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	23.08%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.54	1.69	-0.15
SD	1.56	1.32	1.99
CV	1.01	0.78	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%	30.77%
2	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	15.38%
3	7.69%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
Total	23.08%	—	30.77%	23.08%	—	23.08%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.38	2.46	-0.08
SD	2.33	1.81	2.93
CV	0.98	0.73	—
Max	8	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	8.33%	33.33%
1	—	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	25.00%
3	—	—	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	—	41.67%	25.00%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	2.42	-1.00
SD	1.51	2.02	2.80
CV	1.06	0.84	—
Max	5	8	+4
Min	0	1	-8

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	18.18%	18.18%
1	—	—	—	—	—	18.18%	18.18%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	18.18%	—	9.09%	45.45%
3	—	—	—	—	—	18.18%	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	9.09%	—	18.18%	—	63.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	4.64	-3.00
SD	1.03	2.58	2.86
CV	0.63	0.56	—
Max	3	8	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 11

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%	16.67%
2	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	16.67%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
4	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
5+	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	33.33%	25.00%	25.00%	8.33%	—	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.17	1.42	+1.75
SD	1.53	1.51	2.49
CV	0.48	1.06	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	1	0	-4

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	—	—	8.33%	25.00%
1	—	8.33%	—	—	8.33%	—	16.67%
2	8.33%	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
3	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	16.67%	41.67%	16.67%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.25	1.75	+0.50
SD	2.34	1.54	3.26
CV	1.04	0.88	—
Max	8	5	+8
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 12

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
1	—	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	—	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	8.33%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	—	41.67%	41.67%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.75	-0.08
SD	1.56	0.75	1.83
CV	0.93	0.43	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	1	-3

Games Played: 12

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
HJK	972	18	17.77	+0.23	60.0%	12	12	16	18	20	22	23
TPS Turku	958	20	17.17	+2.83	86.0%	11	12	15	17	19	21	23
Toverit Helsinki	795	13	14.92	-1.92	31.0%	8	10	13	15	17	19	23
HPS Helsinki	753	13	12.76	+0.24	58.0%	5	8	11	13	15	17	18
VPS	733	10	13.37	-3.37	18.0%	6	8	11	14	15	19	22
Helsingfors	718	13	14.09	-1.09	42.0%	7	9	12	14	16	19	22
KPT	601	7	10.16	-3.16	21.0%	3	6	8	10	12	15	19
Reipas Lahti	519	4	11.76	-7.76	0.0%	7	8	10	12	14	16	18

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+22.45%

Strong Edge

51.02%20.41%28.57%

Elo Value

Home Edge

132 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

079.35400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.67 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.60+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.3

Top-Heavy

13458

Champion Preseason Odds

32%

TPS Turku, 2nd of 8

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.17/gm

Comfortable

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.22 * Some Luck: 2.22 to 3.32 * Lucky: 3.32 to 4.43 * Wild Swing: 4.43 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.28 * Way Off: 2.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.83 points

Some Luck

02.777

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.75

Pinpoint

01.433

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 93.75%

97.58%

TPS Turku

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected

1.58%

Reipas Lahti

06.25%50

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 8

Minimal Outliers

00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 156.28

1.71

Strong Separation

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

70%

Slight Edge

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 94%

93%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

49%

Few

0%39%100%

Blowouts

Expected

37%

Very Frequent

0%39%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.44

Lopsided

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.20

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

-0.02

Weak Carryover

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.21 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.21 to 0.31 * Above Noise: 0.31 to 0.42 * Well Above Noise: 0.42 and up.

Probability calibration

0.50

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.88

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.083

Well Within Noise

00.2080.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
TPS Turku	32.00%	26.00%	18.00%	10.00%	5.00%	8.00%	1.00%	—
HJK	42.00%	27.00%	13.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Toverit Helsinki	12.00%	17.00%	19.00%	16.00%	15.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Helsingfors	8.00%	8.00%	18.00%	19.00%	19.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%
HPS Helsinki	1.00%	8.00%	12.00%	19.00%	12.00%	20.00%	16.00%	12.00%
VPS	5.00%	8.00%	12.00%	13.00%	21.00%	17.00%	12.00%	12.00%
KPT	—	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	11.00%	12.00%	34.00%	34.00%
Reipas Lahti	—	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	12.00%	20.00%	19.00%	29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
HJK	99.00%	1.00%
TPS Turku	99.00%	1.00%
Toverit Helsinki	89.00%	11.00%
Helsingfors	81.00%	19.00%
VPS	76.00%	24.00%
HPS Helsinki	72.00%	28.00%
Reipas Lahti	52.00%	48.00%
KPT	32.00%	68.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1939-05-04	HPS Helsinki	W 3-0	30.8	777	713	60.91%	21.40%	17.69%	+1.08	+25.3	2
1939-05-04	@ Helsingfors	L 0-3	30.8	713	777	17.69%	21.40%	60.91%	-1.08	-25.3	0
1939-05-07	TPS Turku	L 3-4	59.1	806	742	61.00%	21.40%	17.60%	+1.09	-23.1	0
1939-05-07	@ HJK	W 4-3	59.1	742	806	17.60%	21.40%	61.00%	-1.09	+23.1	2
1939-05-07	VPS	D 1-1	51.6	692	754	47.04%	21.64%	31.32%	+0.13	-1.5	1
1939-05-07	@ KPT	D 1-1	51.6	754	692	31.32%	21.64%	47.04%	-0.13	+1.5	1
1939-05-07	Toverit Helsinki	L 2-3	56.6	839	725	65.10%	21.20%	13.70%	+1.47	-25.3	0
1939-05-07	@ Reipas Lahti	W 3-2	56.6	725	839	13.70%	21.20%	65.10%	-1.47	+25.3	2
1939-05-14	HPS Helsinki	W 2-0	31.3	814	688	65.92%	21.15%	12.93%	+1.55	+13.2	2
1939-05-14	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	31.3	688	814	12.93%	21.15%	65.92%	-1.55	-13.2	0
1939-05-14	KPT	W 8-0	29.7	750	690	60.57%	21.42%	18.01%	+1.05	+64.6	4
1939-05-14	@ Toverit Helsinki	L 0-8	29.7	690	750	18.01%	21.42%	60.57%	-1.05	-64.6	1
1939-05-14	Helsingfors	W 3-0	34.0	765	802	50.16%	21.63%	28.22%	+0.32	+37.5	4
1939-05-14	@ TPS Turku	L 0-3	34.0	802	765	28.22%	21.63%	50.16%	-0.32	-37.5	2
1939-05-14	HJK	D 1-1	51.6	755	783	51.28%	21.61%	27.10%	+0.39	-2.4	2
1939-05-14	@ VPS	D 1-1	51.6	783	755	27.10%	21.61%	51.28%	-0.39	+2.4	1
1939-05-18	Reipas Lahti	W 6-2	40.7	765	827	46.92%	21.64%	31.44%	+0.12	+37.8	4
1939-05-18	@ Helsingfors	L 2-6	40.7	827	765	31.44%	21.64%	46.92%	-0.12	-37.9	2
1939-05-19	HPS Helsinki	L 0-1	49.7	814	675	66.85%	21.08%	12.07%	+1.66	-29.1	4
1939-05-19	@ Toverit Helsinki	W 1-0	49.7	675	814	12.07%	21.08%	66.85%	-1.66	+29.1	2
1939-05-21	KPT	W 1-0	32.9	785	626	68.15%	20.97%	10.88%	+1.81	+6.0	3
1939-05-21	@ HJK	L 0-1	32.9	626	785	10.88%	20.97%	68.15%	-1.81	-6.0	1
1939-05-21	VPS	W 3-2	42.9	802	753	59.62%	21.45%	18.93%	+0.97	+8.8	6
1939-05-21	@ TPS Turku	L 2-3	42.9	753	802	18.93%	21.45%	59.62%	-0.97	-8.8	2
1939-05-23	Toverit Helsinki	L 2-5	50.2	802	785	56.36%	21.54%	22.10%	+0.73	-48.9	4
1939-05-23	@ Helsingfors	W 5-2	50.2	785	802	22.10%	21.54%	56.36%	-0.73	+48.9	6
1939-05-28	TPS Turku	W 5-1	39.4	704	811	40.88%	21.64%	37.48%	-0.21	+51.3	4
1939-05-28	@ HPS Helsinki	L 1-5	39.4	811	704	37.48%	21.64%	40.88%	+0.21	-51.3	6
1939-05-29	Reipas Lahti	W 7-3	40.2	791	790	54.74%	21.57%	23.69%	+0.61	+27.4	5
1939-05-29	@ HJK	L 3-7	40.2	790	791	23.69%	21.57%	54.74%	-0.61	-27.4	2
1939-05-29	Helsingfors	W 2-1	45.5	620	753	37.08%	21.61%	41.31%	-0.41	+17.5	3
1939-05-29	@ KPT	L 1-2	45.5	753	620	41.31%	21.61%	37.08%	+0.41	-17.5	4
1939-05-29	Toverit Helsinki	L 0-2	40.5	744	834	43.21%	21.64%	35.14%	-0.08	-36.4	2
1939-05-29	@ VPS	W 2-0	40.5	834	744	35.14%	21.64%	43.21%	+0.08	+36.3	8
1939-06-04	KPT	W 2-1	36.9	762	637	65.84%	21.15%	13.01%	+1.54	+6.6	4
1939-06-04	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	36.9	637	762	13.01%	21.15%	65.84%	-1.54	-6.6	3
1939-06-27	HJK	L 0-1	47.7	871	819	59.84%	21.44%	18.72%	+0.99	-25.9	8
1939-06-27	@ Toverit Helsinki	W 1-0	47.7	819	871	18.72%	21.44%	59.84%	-0.99	+25.9	7
1939-07-01	Reipas Lahti	W 6-0	30.9	760	769	53.51%	21.59%	24.90%	+0.53	+64.7	8
1939-07-01	@ TPS Turku	L 0-6	30.9	769	760	24.90%	21.59%	53.51%	-0.53	-64.7	4
1939-07-02	VPS	W 1-0	36.1	736	708	57.55%	21.51%	20.95%	+0.81	+10.7	6
1939-07-02	@ Helsingfors	L 0-1	36.1	708	736	20.95%	21.51%	57.55%	-0.81	-10.7	2
1939-07-09	TPS Turku	L 0-3	34.2	630	824	29.13%	21.49%	49.38%	-0.87	-38.4	3
1939-07-09	@ KPT	W 3-0	34.2	824	630	49.38%	21.49%	29.13%	+0.87	+38.4	10
1939-07-09	HPS Helsinki	W 4-2	44.7	697	755	47.51%	21.64%	30.85%	+0.16	+21.5	4
1939-07-09	@ VPS	L 2-4	44.7	755	697	30.85%	21.64%	47.51%	-0.16	-21.5	4
1939-07-23	KPT	D 3-3	59.6	734	592	66.97%	21.07%	11.96%	+1.67	-3.6	5
1939-07-23	@ HPS Helsinki	D 3-3	59.6	592	734	11.96%	21.07%	66.97%	-1.67	+3.6	4
1939-07-23	Reipas Lahti	W 5-1	34.8	718	704	56.09%	21.54%	22.37%	+0.71	+33.7	6
1939-07-23	@ VPS	L 1-5	34.8	704	718	22.37%	21.54%	56.09%	-0.71	-33.7	4
1939-07-25	Helsingfors	D 3-3	59.6	845	747	63.82%	21.27%	14.91%	+1.34	-3.2	8
1939-07-25	@ HJK	D 3-3	59.6	747	845	14.91%	21.27%	63.82%	-1.34	+3.2	7
1939-07-26	TPS Turku	D 1-1	51.6	845	863	52.47%	21.60%	25.93%	+0.46	-2.6	9
1939-07-26	@ Toverit Helsinki	D 1-1	51.6	863	845	25.93%	21.60%	52.47%	-0.46	+2.6	11
1939-07-30	Reipas Lahti	W 3-2	42.6	730	670	60.56%	21.42%	18.03%	+1.05	+8.4	7
1939-07-30	@ HPS Helsinki	L 2-3	42.6	670	730	18.03%	21.42%	60.56%	-1.05	-8.4	4
1939-07-30	HJK	D 2-2	55.5	596	842	23.16%	21.32%	55.52%	-1.26	+2.4	5
1939-07-30	@ KPT	D 2-2	55.5	842	596	55.52%	21.32%	23.16%	+1.26	-2.4	9
1939-08-08	Helsingfors	L 2-3	56.2	842	750	63.36%	21.30%	15.34%	+1.30	-24.6	9
1939-08-08	@ Toverit Helsinki	W 3-2	56.2	750	842	15.34%	21.30%	63.36%	-1.30	+24.6	9
1939-08-13	Helsingfors	L 3-8	42.9	662	774	40.13%	21.63%	38.23%	-0.25	-50.1	4
1939-08-13	@ Reipas Lahti	W 8-3	42.9	774	662	38.23%	21.63%	40.13%	+0.25	+50.1	11
1939-08-13	VPS	W 2-1	38.3	818	752	61.08%	21.40%	17.52%	+1.09	+8.6	11
1939-08-13	@ Toverit Helsinki	L 1-2	38.3	752	818	17.52%	21.40%	61.08%	-1.09	-8.6	6
1939-08-15	HPS Helsinki	D 1-1	51.7	839	738	64.03%	21.26%	14.71%	+1.36	-5.1	10
1939-08-15	@ HJK	D 1-1	51.7	738	839	14.71%	21.26%	64.03%	-1.36	+5.1	8
1939-08-20	TPS Turku	L 1-5	43.1	824	865	49.71%	21.63%	28.66%	+0.29	-64.9	11
1939-08-20	@ Helsingfors	W 5-1	43.1	865	824	28.66%	21.63%	49.71%	-0.29	+64.9	13
1939-08-20	KPT	W 2-1	36.5	743	598	67.22%	21.05%	11.73%	+1.70	+6.0	8
1939-08-20	@ VPS	L 1-2	36.5	598	743	11.73%	21.05%	67.22%	-1.70	-6.0	5
1939-08-22	Toverit Helsinki	W 5-0	30.4	834	826	55.39%	21.56%	23.06%	+0.66	+51.1	12
1939-08-22	@ HJK	L 0-5	30.4	826	834	23.06%	21.56%	55.39%	-0.66	-51.1	11
1939-08-24	HPS Helsinki	W 2-0	30.2	930	744	69.72%	20.82%	9.46%	+2.01	+9.9	15
1939-08-24	@ TPS Turku	L 0-2	30.2	744	930	9.46%	20.82%	69.72%	-2.01	-9.9	8
1939-08-25	HJK	L 0-7	29.8	612	885	20.40%	21.20%	58.40%	-1.47	-63.0	4
1939-08-25	@ Reipas Lahti	W 7-0	29.8	885	612	58.40%	21.20%	20.40%	+1.47	+63.0	14
1939-09-06	Toverit Helsinki	L 1-3	46.3	734	775	49.65%	21.63%	28.72%	+0.29	-35.5	8
1939-09-06	@ HPS Helsinki	W 3-1	46.3	775	734	28.72%	21.63%	49.65%	-0.29	+35.5	13
1939-09-10	HJK	W 3-1	48.1	698	948	22.74%	21.30%	55.96%	-1.29	+39.5	10
1939-09-10	@ HPS Helsinki	L 1-3	48.1	948	698	55.96%	21.30%	22.74%	+1.29	-39.6	14
1939-09-10	Reipas Lahti	W 5-1	34.0	592	549	59.01%	21.47%	19.52%	+0.93	+30.0	7
1939-09-10	@ KPT	L 1-5	34.0	549	592	19.52%	21.47%	59.01%	-0.93	-30.0	4
1939-09-10	Toverit Helsinki	W 4-1	33.3	940	811	66.16%	21.13%	12.71%	+1.58	+15.9	17
1939-09-10	@ TPS Turku	L 1-4	33.3	811	940	12.71%	21.13%	66.16%	-1.58	-15.9	13
1939-09-10	Helsingfors	D 2-2	55.5	749	760	53.38%	21.59%	25.03%	+0.52	-2.1	9
1939-09-10	@ VPS	D 2-2	55.5	760	749	25.03%	21.59%	53.38%	-0.52	+2.1	12
1939-09-30	Helsingfors	D 0-0	48.9	738	762	51.78%	21.61%	26.61%	+0.42	-2.7	11
1939-09-30	@ HPS Helsinki	D 0-0	48.9	762	738	26.61%	21.61%	51.78%	-0.42	+2.8	13
1939-10-01	VPS	W 3-0	28.6	909	747	68.22%	20.97%	10.81%	+1.82	+16.2	16
1939-10-01	@ HJK	L 0-3	28.6	747	909	10.81%	20.97%	68.22%	-1.82	-16.2	9
1939-10-01	KPT	W 4-2	36.2	956	622	75.94%	19.72%	4.34%	+3.12	+3.6	19
1939-10-01	@ TPS Turku	L 2-4	36.2	622	956	4.34%	19.72%	75.94%	-3.12	-3.6	7
1939-10-07	HJK	L 1-5	38.2	764	925	33.46%	21.57%	44.97%	-0.61	-46.8	13
1939-10-07	@ Helsingfors	W 5-1	38.2	925	764	44.97%	21.57%	33.46%	+0.61	+46.8	18
1939-10-08	HPS Helsinki	L 0-1	41.7	618	735	39.54%	21.63%	38.83%	-0.28	-17.9	7
1939-10-08	@ KPT	W 1-0	41.7	735	618	38.83%	21.63%	39.54%	+0.28	+17.9	13
1939-10-08	TPS Turku	D 2-2	55.5	731	960	25.06%	21.38%	53.56%	-1.13	+2.1	10
1939-10-08	@ VPS	D 2-2	55.5	960	731	53.56%	21.38%	25.06%	+1.13	-2.1	20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1939-05-19	12.07%	HPS Helsinki	675	1	@ Toverit Helsinki	814	0
2	1939-05-07	13.70%	Toverit Helsinki	725	3	@ Reipas Lahti	839	2
3	1939-08-08	15.34%	Helsingfors	750	3	@ Toverit Helsinki	842	2
4	1939-05-07	17.60%	TPS Turku	742	4	@ HJK	806	3
5	1939-06-27	18.72%	HJK	819	1	@ Toverit Helsinki	871	0
6	1939-05-23	22.10%	Toverit Helsinki	785	5	@ Helsingfors	802	2
7	1939-09-10	22.74%	@ HPS Helsinki	698	3	HJK	948	1
8	1939-08-20	28.66%	TPS Turku	865	5	@ Helsingfors	824	1
9	1939-09-06	28.72%	Toverit Helsinki	775	3	@ HPS Helsinki	734	1
10	1939-05-29	35.14%	Toverit Helsinki	834	2	@ VPS	744	0
11	1939-05-29	37.08%	@ KPT	620	2	Helsingfors	753	1
12	1939-08-13	38.23%	Helsingfors	774	8	@ Reipas Lahti	662	3
13	1939-10-08	38.83%	HPS Helsinki	735	1	@ KPT	618	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1939-08-20	64.85	TPS Turku	5	865	28.66%	@ Helsingfors	1	824	49.71%	21.63%
2	1939-07-01	64.71	@ TPS Turku	6	760	53.51%	Reipas Lahti	0	769	24.90%	21.59%
3	1939-05-14	64.56	@ Toverit Helsinki	8	750	60.57%	KPT	0	690	18.01%	21.42%
4	1939-08-25	62.98	HJK	7	885	58.40%	@ Reipas Lahti	0	612	20.40%	21.20%
5	1939-05-28	51.30	@ HPS Helsinki	5	704	40.88%	TPS Turku	1	811	37.48%	21.64%
6	1939-08-22	51.08	@ HJK	5	834	55.39%	Toverit Helsinki	0	826	23.06%	21.56%
7	1939-08-13	50.11	Helsingfors	8	774	38.23%	@ Reipas Lahti	3	662	40.13%	21.63%
8	1939-05-23	48.90	Toverit Helsinki	5	785	22.10%	@ Helsingfors	2	802	56.36%	21.54%
9	1939-10-07	46.84	HJK	5	925	44.97%	@ Helsingfors	1	764	33.46%	21.57%
10	1939-09-10	39.55	@ HPS Helsinki	3	698	22.74%	HJK	1	948	55.96%	21.30%
11	1939-07-09	38.43	TPS Turku	3	824	49.38%	@ KPT	0	630	29.13%	21.49%
12	1939-05-18	37.85	@ Helsingfors	6	765	46.92%	Reipas Lahti	2	827	31.44%	21.64%
13	1939-05-14	37.52	@ TPS Turku	3	765	50.16%	Helsingfors	0	802	28.22%	21.63%
14	1939-05-29	36.35	Toverit Helsinki	2	834	35.14%	@ VPS	0	744	43.21%	21.64%
15	1939-09-06	35.49	Toverit Helsinki	3	775	28.72%	@ HPS Helsinki	1	734	49.65%	21.63%
16	1939-07-23	33.67	@ VPS	5	718	56.09%	Reipas Lahti	1	704	22.37%	21.54%
17	1939-09-10	29.98	@ KPT	5	592	59.01%	Reipas Lahti	1	549	19.52%	21.47%
18	1939-05-19	29.08	HPS Helsinki	1	675	12.07%	@ Toverit Helsinki	0	814	66.85%	21.08%
19	1939-05-29	27.37	@ HJK	7	791	54.74%	Reipas Lahti	3	790	23.69%	21.57%
20	1939-06-27	25.93	HJK	1	819	18.72%	@ Toverit Helsinki	0	871	59.84%	21.44%
21	1939-05-07	25.29	Toverit Helsinki	3	725	13.70%	@ Reipas Lahti	2	839	65.10%	21.20%
22	1939-05-04	25.28	@ Helsingfors	3	777	60.91%	HPS Helsinki	0	713	17.69%	21.40%
23	1939-08-08	24.59	Helsingfors	3	750	15.34%	@ Toverit Helsinki	2	842	63.36%	21.30%
24	1939-05-07	23.08	TPS Turku	4	742	17.60%	@ HJK	3	806	61.00%	21.40%
25	1939-07-09	21.52	@ VPS	4	697	47.51%	HPS Helsinki	2	755	30.85%	21.64%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1939-07-23	59.6	@ HPS Helsinki	3	734	66.97%	KPT	3	592	11.96%	21.07%
2	1939-07-25	59.6	@ HJK	3	845	63.82%	Helsingfors	3	747	14.91%	21.27%
3	1939-05-07	59.1	TPS Turku	4	742	17.60%	@ HJK	3	806	61.00%	21.40%
4	1939-05-07	56.6	Toverit Helsinki	3	725	13.70%	@ Reipas Lahti	2	839	65.10%	21.20%
5	1939-08-08	56.2	Helsingfors	3	750	15.34%	@ Toverit Helsinki	2	842	63.36%	21.30%
6	1939-07-30	55.5	@ KPT	2	596	23.16%	HJK	2	842	55.52%	21.32%
7	1939-09-10	55.5	@ VPS	2	749	53.38%	Helsingfors	2	760	25.03%	21.59%
8	1939-10-08	55.5	@ VPS	2	731	25.06%	TPS Turku	2	960	53.56%	21.38%
9	1939-08-15	51.7	@ HJK	1	839	64.03%	HPS Helsinki	1	738	14.71%	21.26%
10	1939-05-07	51.6	@ KPT	1	692	47.04%	VPS	1	754	31.32%	21.64%
11	1939-05-14	51.6	@ VPS	1	755	51.28%	HJK	1	783	27.10%	21.61%
12	1939-07-26	51.6	@ Toverit Helsinki	1	845	52.47%	TPS Turku	1	863	25.93%	21.60%
13	1939-05-23	50.2	Toverit Helsinki	5	785	22.10%	@ Helsingfors	2	802	56.36%	21.54%
14	1939-05-19	49.7	HPS Helsinki	1	675	12.07%	@ Toverit Helsinki	0	814	66.85%	21.08%
15	1939-09-30	48.9	@ HPS Helsinki	0	738	51.78%	Helsingfors	0	762	26.61%	21.61%
16	1939-09-10	48.1	@ HPS Helsinki	3	698	22.74%	HJK	1	948	55.96%	21.30%
17	1939-06-27	47.7	HJK	1	819	18.72%	@ Toverit Helsinki	0	871	59.84%	21.44%
18	1939-09-06	46.3	Toverit Helsinki	3	775	28.72%	@ HPS Helsinki	1	734	49.65%	21.63%
19	1939-05-29	45.5	@ KPT	2	620	37.08%	Helsingfors	1	753	41.31%	21.61%
20	1939-07-09	44.7	@ VPS	4	697	47.51%	HPS Helsinki	2	755	30.85%	21.64%
21	1939-08-20	43.1	TPS Turku	5	865	28.66%	@ Helsingfors	1	824	49.71%	21.63%
22	1939-05-21	42.9	@ TPS Turku	3	802	59.62%	VPS	2	753	18.93%	21.45%
23	1939-08-13	42.9	Helsingfors	8	774	38.23%	@ Reipas Lahti	3	662	40.13%	21.63%
24	1939-07-30	42.6	@ HPS Helsinki	3	730	60.56%	Reipas Lahti	2	670	18.03%	21.42%
25	1939-10-08	41.7	HPS Helsinki	1	735	38.83%	@ KPT	0	618	39.54%	21.63%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1939-10-01	28.6	@ HJK	3	909	68.22%	VPS	0	747	10.81%	20.97%
2	1939-05-14	29.7	@ Toverit Helsinki	8	750	60.57%	KPT	0	690	18.01%	21.42%
3	1939-08-25	29.8	HJK	7	885	58.40%	@ Reipas Lahti	0	612	20.40%	21.20%
4	1939-08-24	30.2	@ TPS Turku	2	930	69.72%	HPS Helsinki	0	744	9.46%	20.82%
5	1939-08-22	30.4	@ HJK	5	834	55.39%	Toverit Helsinki	0	826	23.06%	21.56%
6	1939-05-04	30.8	@ Helsingfors	3	777	60.91%	HPS Helsinki	0	713	17.69%	21.40%
7	1939-07-01	30.9	@ TPS Turku	6	760	53.51%	Reipas Lahti	0	769	24.90%	21.59%
8	1939-05-14	31.3	@ Reipas Lahti	2	814	65.92%	HPS Helsinki	0	688	12.93%	21.15%
9	1939-05-21	32.9	@ HJK	1	785	68.15%	KPT	0	626	10.88%	20.97%
10	1939-09-10	33.3	@ TPS Turku	4	940	66.16%	Toverit Helsinki	1	811	12.71%	21.13%
11	1939-05-14	34.0	@ TPS Turku	3	765	50.16%	Helsingfors	0	802	28.22%	21.63%
12	1939-09-10	34.0	@ KPT	5	592	59.01%	Reipas Lahti	1	549	19.52%	21.47%
13	1939-07-09	34.2	TPS Turku	3	824	49.38%	@ KPT	0	630	29.13%	21.49%
14	1939-07-23	34.8	@ VPS	5	718	56.09%	Reipas Lahti	1	704	22.37%	21.54%
15	1939-07-02	36.1	@ Helsingfors	1	736	57.55%	VPS	0	708	20.95%	21.51%
16	1939-10-01	36.2	@ TPS Turku	4	956	75.94%	KPT	2	622	4.34%	19.72%
17	1939-08-20	36.5	@ VPS	2	743	67.22%	KPT	1	598	11.73%	21.05%
18	1939-06-04	36.9	@ Reipas Lahti	2	762	65.84%	KPT	1	637	13.01%	21.15%
19	1939-10-07	38.2	HJK	5	925	44.97%	@ Helsingfors	1	764	33.46%	21.57%
20	1939-08-13	38.3	@ Toverit Helsinki	2	818	61.08%	VPS	1	752	17.52%	21.40%
21	1939-05-28	39.4	@ HPS Helsinki	5	704	40.88%	TPS Turku	1	811	37.48%	21.64%
22	1939-05-29	40.2	@ HJK	7	791	54.74%	Reipas Lahti	3	790	23.69%	21.57%
23	1939-05-29	40.5	Toverit Helsinki	2	834	35.14%	@ VPS	0	744	43.21%	21.64%
24	1939-05-18	40.7	@ Helsingfors	6	765	46.92%	Reipas Lahti	2	827	31.44%	21.64%
25	1939-10-08	41.7	HPS Helsinki	1	735	38.83%	@ KPT	0	618	39.54%	21.63%