1961 Mestaruussarja Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Helsingfors

31 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1959

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Reipas Lahti

7.12 points above expected

22 points · 14.88 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

TuTo

4.41 points below expected

13 points · 17.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Helsingfors Champion	22	14	3	5	31	57	26	+31	26.72	+4.28
2	Kiffen 08	22	14	2	6	30	45	29	+16	25.42	+4.58
3	Haka	22	12	5	5	29	51	32	+19	30.77	-1.77
4	TPS Turku	22	11	2	9	24	48	49	-1	24.96	-0.96
5	Reipas Lahti	22	9	4	9	22	37	37	0	14.88	+7.12
6	HJK	22	7	7	8	21	42	41	+1	21.30	-0.30
7	HPS Helsinki	22	9	2	11	20	49	56	-7	21.73	-1.73
8	TaPa	22	7	6	9	20	38	48	-10	18.27	+1.73
9	KuPS	22	8	3	11	19	40	45	-5	21.75	-2.75
10	VIFK	22	7	4	11	18	42	53	-11	19.41	-1.41
11	PPJ	22	7	3	12	17	30	41	-11	21.38	-4.38
12	TuTo	22	5	3	14	13	36	58	-22	17.41	-4.41

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Reipas Lahti	22	14.88	+7.12
2	Kiffen 08	30	25.42	+4.58
3	Helsingfors	31	26.72	+4.28
4	TaPa	20	18.27	+1.73
5	HJK	21	21.30	-0.30

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	TuTo	13	17.41	-4.41
2	PPJ	17	21.38	-4.38
3	KuPS	19	21.75	-2.75
4	Haka	29	30.77	-1.77
5	HPS Helsinki	20	21.73	-1.73

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	VIFK	4	Jun 11 – Jul 2	1 in 77
2	Reipas Lahti	3	Aug 6 – Aug 20	1 in 65
3	Kiffen 08	4	May 28 – Jun 18	1 in 26
4	Helsingfors	4	Apr 30 – May 15	1 in 25
5	Haka	6	May 22 – Jun 21	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HPS Helsinki	5	May 29 – Jun 22	1 in 63
2	VIFK	5	May 7 – May 28	1 in 60
3	PPJ	4	Jul 12 – Aug 11	1 in 31
4	KuPS	4	Jun 22 – Aug 6	1 in 24
5	Helsingfors	2	Oct 1 – Oct 8	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Reipas Lahti	10	Jun 22 – Sep 17	1 in 2,628
2	TuTo	3	Sep 10 – Sep 20	1 in 39
3	VIFK	5	Jun 4 – Jul 2	1 in 29
4	Kiffen 08	6	May 14 – Jun 18	1 in 19
5	TaPa	3	Aug 20 – Sep 3	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	TaPa	8	Jun 11 – Aug 20	1 in 62
2	Haka	4	Apr 30 – May 14	1 in 43
3	TPS Turku	4	May 22 – Jun 11	1 in 30
4	VIFK	7	Apr 30 – Jun 4	1 in 22
5	HPS Helsinki	5	May 29 – Jun 22	1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Helsingfors	1192	31	-4	5	6.4	-1.4
Kiffen 08	1162	30	+5	7	5.8	+1.2
Haka	1251	29	-13	5	7.3	-2.3
TPS Turku	1116	24	-7	8	6.2	+1.8
Reipas Lahti	990	22	+1	4	3.4	+0.6
HJK	1046	21	-13	3	4.9	-1.9
HPS Helsinki	1058	20	+7	5	4.0	+1.0
TaPa	1006	20	-11	4	4.5	-0.5
KuPS	1079	19	+23	5	5.2	-0.2
VIFK	1024	18	-2	4	4.2	-0.2
PPJ	1041	17	-17	5	5.3	-0.3
TuTo	988	13	+29	5	2.8	+2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	HJK	HH	HAK	HEL	K0	KUP	PPJ	RL	TT	TAP	TUT	VIF
HJK	—	2-0-0 2.56	0-1-1 1.52	0-1-1 2.02	0-1-1 2.22	0-2-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.72	1-1-0 3.58	0-0-2 2.31	0-1-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.20
HPS Helsinki	0-0-2 3.09	—	1-0-1 1.55	0-0-2 2.14	0-1-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.89	0-0-2 3.24	1-1-0 3.78	1-0-1 2.28	2-0-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.23
Haka	1-1-0 4.14	1-0-1 4.11	—	1-0-1 3.41	2-0-0 3.49	2-0-0 4.13	1-1-0 4.11	1-0-1 4.63	0-0-2 3.71	1-1-0 4.19	1-1-0 4.45	1-1-0 4.20
Helsingfors	1-1-0 3.63	2-0-0 3.51	1-0-1 2.24	—	2-0-0 2.91	2-0-0 3.21	2-0-0 3.60	1-0-1 4.33	1-1-0 2.92	1-0-1 3.88	1-1-0 4.21	0-0-2 3.92
Kiffen 08	1-1-0 3.43	1-1-0 3.34	0-0-2 2.16	0-0-2 2.74	—	2-0-0 3.33	2-0-0 3.46	1-0-1 4.14	2-0-0 2.74	1-0-1 3.56	2-0-0 3.95	2-0-0 3.49
KuPS	0-2-0 2.84	1-0-1 2.75	0-0-2 1.53	0-0-2 2.44	0-0-2 2.32	—	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 3.71	1-0-1 2.22	0-1-1 3.14	2-0-0 3.29	2-0-0 2.91
PPJ	1-0-1 2.93	2-0-0 2.41	0-1-1 1.55	0-0-2 2.05	0-0-2 2.19	1-0-1 2.82	—	1-1-0 3.66	0-0-2 2.28	1-1-0 3.11	0-0-2 3.25	1-0-1 3.11
Reipas Lahti	0-1-1 2.07	0-1-1 1.88	1-0-1 1.06	1-0-1 1.33	1-0-1 1.52	1-0-1 1.94	0-1-1 1.99	—	1-0-1 1.40	1-1-0 2.34	1-0-1 2.39	2-0-0 2.05
TPS Turku	2-0-0 3.34	1-0-1 3.36	2-0-0 1.94	0-1-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.91	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 3.37	1-0-1 4.27	—	1-0-1 3.62	0-0-2 4.01	1-1-0 3.81
TaPa	1-1-0 2.60	0-0-2 2.35	0-1-1 1.48	1-0-1 1.78	1-0-1 2.09	1-1-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 3.32	1-0-1 2.03	—	2-0-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.88
TuTo	0-0-2 2.62	0-0-2 2.29	0-1-1 1.22	0-1-1 1.45	0-0-2 1.71	0-0-2 2.36	2-0-0 2.40	1-0-1 3.26	2-0-0 1.65	0-0-2 2.68	—	0-1-1 2.59
VIFK	1-0-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.42	0-1-1 1.47	2-0-0 1.74	0-0-2 2.16	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 2.54	0-0-2 3.60	0-1-1 1.85	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 3.06	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.58	+5.7
Allowed	0.70	-4.4
Differential	0.93	+3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.27%	3.03%	5.68%	3.79%	1.89%	1.89%	18.56%
1	3.03%	6.82%	5.68%	5.68%	1.52%	3.03%	25.76%
2	5.68%	5.68%	6.06%	3.79%	3.03%	0.76%	25.00%
3	3.79%	5.68%	3.79%	0.76%	0.38%	0.38%	14.77%
4	1.89%	1.52%	3.03%	0.38%	0.76%	1.14%	8.71%
5+	1.89%	3.03%	0.76%	0.38%	1.14%	—	7.20%
Total	18.56%	25.76%	25.00%	14.77%	8.71%	7.20%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.95	+0.00
SD	1.57	1.57	2.41
CV	0.80	0.80	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	31.82%	27.27%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.86	+0.05
SD	1.38	1.42	1.94
CV	0.72	0.76	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	13.64%	—	9.09%	9.09%	31.82%
1	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
Total	9.09%	4.55%	50.00%	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.23	2.55	-0.32
SD	2.11	1.44	2.87
CV	0.95	0.57	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	31.82%
3	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	31.82%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	1.45	+0.86
SD	1.62	1.60	2.25
CV	0.70	1.10	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	31.82%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	31.82%	36.36%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.59	1.18	+1.41
SD	1.62	1.14	2.06
CV	0.63	0.96	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	27.27%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	1.32	+0.73
SD	1.50	1.21	2.29
CV	0.73	0.92	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	18.18%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	2.05	-0.23
SD	1.56	1.94	2.84
CV	0.86	0.95	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	4.55%	9.09%	22.73%	13.64%	—	4.55%	54.55%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	22.73%	27.27%	18.18%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.86	-0.50
SD	1.00	1.70	2.24
CV	0.73	0.91	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
1	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	40.91%	27.27%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.68	+0.00
SD	1.64	1.04	2.29
CV	0.98	0.62	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
2	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	13.64%	18.18%	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	2.23	-0.05
SD	1.62	1.74	2.46
CV	0.74	0.78	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	—	13.64%	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
Total	4.55%	22.73%	45.45%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	2.18	-0.45
SD	1.64	1.30	2.11
CV	0.95	0.59	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	27.27%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	4.55%	31.82%	9.09%	22.73%	18.18%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	2.64	-1.00
SD	1.59	1.65	2.49
CV	0.97	0.63	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	27.27%	13.64%	18.18%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	2.41	-0.50
SD	1.23	1.87	2.35
CV	0.64	0.78	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Haka	1251	29	30.77	-1.77	36.0%	20	25	29	31	33	36	38
Helsingfors	1192	31	26.72	+4.28	94.0%	16	20	25	27	29	32	34
Kiffen 08	1162	30	25.42	+4.58	87.0%	12	18	23	25	28	32	33
TPS Turku	1116	24	24.96	-0.96	44.0%	12	18	22	25	28	31	34
KuPS	1079	19	21.75	-2.75	25.0%	12	14	19	22	25	28	31
HPS Helsinki	1058	20	21.73	-1.73	40.0%	11	15	19	22	24	28	33
HJK	1046	21	21.30	-0.30	51.0%	10	14	19	21	24	28	30
PPJ	1041	17	21.38	-4.38	18.0%	12	14	19	21	24	28	33
VIFK	1024	18	19.41	-1.41	45.0%	8	12	17	19	22	26	29
TaPa	1006	20	18.27	+1.73	71.0%	7	10	15	18	21	26	29
Reipas Lahti	990	22	14.88	+7.12	100.0%	5	9	13	14	17	21	22
TuTo	988	13	17.41	-4.41	20.0%	5	10	14	18	20	25	26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+16.67%

Clear Edge

50.00%16.67%33.33%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 58.45 Elo pts.

219 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.51 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.3

One-Team Race

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

12%

Helsingfors, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.25 * Some Luck: 3.25 to 4.88 * Lucky: 4.88 to 6.51 * Wild Swing: 6.51 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 * Close: 1.6 to 2.39 * Off: 2.39 to 3.19 * Way Off: 3.19 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.52 points

Some Luck

04.0710

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.17

02.004

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

100.00%

Reipas Lahti

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

18.00%

PPJ

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Balanced

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 84.30

1.29

Coin-Flip Parity

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

65%

Slight Edge

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

82%

Even

50%84%100%

Close Games

Expected

44%

Few

0%47%100%

Blowouts

Expected

27%

Very Frequent

0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Slight Separation

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.83

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.47

Strong Carryover

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

32%

Very Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Shaky

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.92

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.63

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.088

Well Within Noise

00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Helsingfors	12.00%	35.00%	17.00%	12.00%	11.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Kiffen 08	8.00%	19.00%	19.00%	15.00%	15.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Haka	63.00%	20.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
TPS Turku	11.00%	12.00%	15.00%	18.00%	7.00%	12.00%	13.00%	2.00%	6.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%
Reipas Lahti	—	—	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	15.00%	29.00%	33.00%
HJK	—	4.00%	8.00%	7.00%	16.00%	13.00%	12.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	3.00%
HPS Helsinki	1.00%	4.00%	12.00%	10.00%	10.00%	9.00%	15.00%	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%	4.00%	4.00%
TaPa	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	16.00%	8.00%	15.00%	22.00%	12.00%
KuPS	3.00%	1.00%	10.00%	12.00%	14.00%	12.00%	12.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%
VIFK	—	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	16.00%	18.00%	14.00%	10.00%	9.00%
PPJ	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	10.00%	5.00%	17.00%	13.00%	12.00%	11.00%	12.00%	4.00%	6.00%
TuTo	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	14.00%	10.00%	12.00%	18.00%	27.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Haka	100%	—
Helsingfors	99.00%	1.00%
Kiffen 08	97.00%	3.00%
TPS Turku	96.00%	4.00%
KuPS	83.00%	17.00%
HPS Helsinki	82.00%	18.00%
HJK	81.00%	19.00%
PPJ	78.00%	22.00%
VIFK	67.00%	33.00%
TaPa	51.00%	49.00%
TuTo	43.00%	57.00%
Reipas Lahti	23.00%	77.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1961-04-30	Helsingfors	L 1-5	41.3	1087	1102	51.11%	17.64%	31.25%	+0.20	-19.7	0
1961-04-30	@ KuPS	W 5-1	41.3	1102	1087	31.25%	17.64%	51.11%	-0.20	+19.7	2
1961-04-30	TPS Turku	L 2-3	49.6	1067	1160	40.35%	17.65%	42.00%	-0.16	-4.8	0
1961-04-30	@ PPJ	W 3-2	49.6	1160	1067	42.00%	17.65%	40.35%	+0.16	+4.8	2
1961-04-30	HJK	L 1-3	41.3	919	1034	37.39%	17.61%	45.00%	-0.26	-8.2	0
1961-04-30	@ Reipas Lahti	W 3-1	41.3	1034	919	45.00%	17.61%	37.39%	+0.26	+8.2	2
1961-04-30	Kiffen 08	W 3-2	50.4	1029	1129	39.30%	17.64%	43.06%	-0.19	+5.1	2
1961-04-30	@ TaPa	L 2-3	50.4	1129	1029	43.06%	17.64%	39.30%	+0.19	-5.1	0
1961-04-30	HPS Helsinki	L 2-3	50.7	1041	1108	44.09%	17.67%	38.24%	-0.04	-5.2	0
1961-04-30	@ TuTo	W 3-2	50.7	1108	1041	38.24%	17.67%	44.09%	+0.04	+5.2	2
1961-04-30	Haka	D 1-1	54.0	1041	1237	26.98%	17.28%	55.74%	-0.63	+0.9	1
1961-04-30	@ VIFK	D 1-1	54.0	1237	1041	55.74%	17.28%	26.98%	+0.63	-0.9	1
1961-05-03	Reipas Lahti	W 3-1	32.9	1122	911	72.77%	16.22%	11.02%	+1.23	+2.7	4
1961-05-03	@ Helsingfors	L 1-3	32.9	911	1122	11.02%	16.22%	72.77%	-1.23	-2.7	0
1961-05-04	TuTo	W 4-0	29.9	1042	1036	53.83%	17.59%	28.58%	+0.30	+14.4	4
1961-05-04	@ HJK	L 0-4	29.9	1036	1042	28.58%	17.59%	53.83%	-0.30	-14.4	0
1961-05-06	KuPS	W 3-0	29.6	1124	1068	59.60%	17.40%	23.00%	+0.53	+9.1	2
1961-05-06	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-3	29.6	1068	1124	23.00%	17.40%	59.60%	-0.53	-9.1	0
1961-05-07	PPJ	D 0-0	51.2	1237	1062	70.26%	16.57%	13.17%	+1.07	-2.0	2
1961-05-07	@ Haka	D 0-0	51.2	1062	1237	13.17%	16.57%	70.26%	-1.07	+2.0	1
1961-05-07	VIFK	W 5-4	49.7	1113	1042	61.16%	17.32%	21.52%	+0.59	+2.7	4
1961-05-07	@ HPS Helsinki	L 4-5	49.7	1042	1113	21.52%	17.32%	61.16%	-0.59	-2.7	1
1961-05-07	TaPa	L 2-4	54.5	1165	1034	66.80%	16.93%	16.27%	+0.87	-12.5	2
1961-05-07	@ TPS Turku	W 4-2	54.5	1034	1165	16.27%	16.93%	66.80%	-0.87	+12.5	4
1961-05-11	Haka	D 2-2	58.7	1057	1235	29.16%	17.37%	53.46%	-0.55	+0.5	5
1961-05-11	@ HJK	D 2-2	58.7	1235	1057	53.46%	17.37%	29.16%	+0.55	-0.5	3
1961-05-11	TPS Turku	L 0-2	31.8	908	1152	21.95%	16.96%	61.09%	-0.85	-6.0	0
1961-05-11	@ Reipas Lahti	W 2-0	31.8	1152	908	61.09%	16.96%	21.95%	+0.85	+6.0	4
1961-05-11	HPS Helsinki	L 0-2	38.5	1046	1116	43.73%	17.67%	38.60%	-0.05	-10.9	4
1961-05-11	@ TaPa	W 2-0	38.5	1116	1046	38.60%	17.67%	43.73%	+0.05	+10.8	6
1961-05-11	PPJ	W 2-1	43.0	1021	1064	47.47%	17.67%	34.86%	+0.07	+4.5	2
1961-05-11	@ TuTo	L 1-2	43.0	1064	1021	34.86%	17.67%	47.47%	-0.07	-4.5	1
1961-05-11	KuPS	L 0-1	43.7	1039	1059	50.52%	17.64%	31.83%	+0.18	-6.5	1
1961-05-11	@ VIFK	W 1-0	43.7	1059	1039	31.83%	17.64%	50.52%	-0.18	+6.5	2
1961-05-12	Helsingfors	L 0-2	41.6	1133	1125	54.07%	17.58%	28.35%	+0.31	-13.1	2
1961-05-12	@ Kiffen 08	W 2-0	41.6	1125	1133	28.35%	17.58%	54.07%	-0.31	+13.1	6
1961-05-14	TPS Turku	L 0-1	47.1	1234	1158	61.61%	17.30%	21.09%	+0.61	-7.9	3
1961-05-14	@ Haka	W 1-0	47.1	1158	1234	21.09%	17.30%	61.61%	-0.61	+7.9	6
1961-05-14	TaPa	L 1-2	49.5	1065	1035	56.62%	17.51%	25.87%	+0.40	-6.8	2
1961-05-14	@ KuPS	W 2-1	49.5	1035	1065	25.87%	17.51%	56.62%	-0.40	+6.8	6
1961-05-14	Reipas Lahti	W 3-0	27.6	1026	902	66.11%	16.99%	16.90%	+0.83	+6.9	4
1961-05-14	@ TuTo	L 0-3	27.6	902	1026	16.90%	16.99%	66.11%	-0.83	-6.9	0
1961-05-14	Kiffen 08	L 2-4	47.0	1032	1120	41.16%	17.66%	41.18%	-0.13	-8.0	1
1961-05-14	@ VIFK	W 4-2	47.0	1120	1032	41.18%	17.66%	41.16%	+0.13	+8.0	4
1961-05-15	HJK	W 3-1	36.2	1138	1057	62.13%	17.27%	20.60%	+0.64	+4.9	8
1961-05-15	@ Helsingfors	L 1-3	36.2	1057	1138	20.60%	17.27%	62.13%	-0.64	-4.9	5
1961-05-17	HPS Helsinki	W 3-1	41.6	1059	1127	44.06%	17.67%	38.27%	-0.04	+8.4	3
1961-05-17	@ PPJ	L 1-3	41.6	1127	1059	38.27%	17.67%	44.06%	+0.04	-8.4	6
1961-05-21	VIFK	W 3-2	44.7	1068	1024	58.13%	17.46%	24.41%	+0.47	+3.1	5
1961-05-21	@ PPJ	L 2-3	44.7	1024	1068	24.41%	17.46%	58.13%	-0.47	-3.1	1
1961-05-22	KuPS	W 6-2	32.7	1226	1058	69.74%	16.63%	13.63%	+1.04	+5.2	5
1961-05-22	@ Haka	L 2-6	32.7	1058	1226	13.63%	16.63%	69.74%	-1.04	-5.2	2
1961-05-22	Reipas Lahti	W 4-2	37.3	1118	896	73.51%	16.09%	10.40%	+1.29	+2.3	8
1961-05-22	@ HPS Helsinki	L 2-4	37.3	896	1118	10.40%	16.09%	73.51%	-1.29	-2.3	0
1961-05-22	TuTo	W 5-1	34.4	1042	1033	54.19%	17.58%	28.23%	+0.31	+11.9	8
1961-05-22	@ TaPa	L 1-5	34.4	1033	1042	28.23%	17.58%	54.19%	-0.31	-11.9	4
1961-05-22	Helsingfors	D 0-0	50.9	1166	1143	55.85%	17.53%	26.62%	+0.37	-1.0	7
1961-05-22	@ TPS Turku	D 0-0	50.9	1143	1166	26.62%	17.53%	55.85%	-0.37	+1.0	9
1961-05-25	Kiffen 08	D 1-1	53.9	1052	1128	42.83%	17.67%	39.51%	-0.08	-0.1	6
1961-05-25	@ HJK	D 1-1	53.9	1128	1052	39.51%	17.67%	42.83%	+0.08	+0.1	5
1961-05-26	PPJ	W 3-1	36.4	1144	1071	61.33%	17.31%	21.35%	+0.60	+5.1	11
1961-05-26	@ Helsingfors	L 1-3	36.4	1071	1144	21.35%	17.31%	61.33%	-0.60	-5.1	5
1961-05-28	TuTo	W 4-0	29.0	1053	1021	56.91%	17.50%	25.59%	+0.42	+13.1	4
1961-05-28	@ KuPS	L 0-4	29.0	1021	1053	25.59%	17.50%	56.91%	-0.42	-13.1	4
1961-05-28	VIFK	W 7-1	38.8	893	1021	35.54%	17.57%	46.88%	-0.32	+26.4	2
1961-05-28	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-7	38.8	1021	893	46.88%	17.57%	35.54%	+0.32	-26.4	1
1961-05-28	Haka	L 0-2	34.1	1054	1231	29.24%	17.38%	53.38%	-0.54	-7.7	8
1961-05-28	@ TaPa	W 2-0	34.1	1231	1054	53.38%	17.38%	29.24%	+0.54	+7.7	7
1961-05-28	Kiffen 08	L 2-3	54.7	1165	1128	57.42%	17.48%	25.10%	+0.44	-6.6	7
1961-05-28	@ TPS Turku	W 3-2	54.7	1128	1165	25.10%	17.48%	57.42%	-0.44	+6.6	7
1961-05-29	HJK	L 1-2	50.8	1120	1052	60.85%	17.34%	21.81%	+0.58	-7.3	8
1961-05-29	@ HPS Helsinki	W 2-1	50.8	1052	1120	21.81%	17.34%	60.85%	-0.58	+7.3	8
1961-06-04	TaPa	L 2-3	56.6	1149	1046	64.25%	17.13%	18.62%	+0.74	-7.3	11
1961-06-04	@ Helsingfors	W 3-2	56.6	1046	1149	18.62%	17.13%	64.25%	-0.74	+7.3	10
1961-06-04	HJK	D 0-0	50.8	1066	1059	53.85%	17.59%	28.56%	+0.30	-0.8	5
1961-06-04	@ KuPS	D 0-0	50.8	1059	1066	28.56%	17.59%	53.85%	-0.30	+0.8	9
1961-06-04	PPJ	L 0-2	35.3	920	1066	33.16%	17.51%	49.32%	-0.40	-8.6	2
1961-06-04	@ Reipas Lahti	W 2-0	35.3	1066	920	49.32%	17.51%	33.16%	+0.40	+8.6	7
1961-06-04	Haka	L 0-3	29.6	1008	1239	23.20%	17.05%	59.75%	-0.79	-9.1	4
1961-06-04	@ TuTo	W 3-0	29.6	1239	1008	59.75%	17.05%	23.20%	+0.79	+9.1	9
1961-06-04	TPS Turku	D 3-3	63.2	995	1159	30.92%	17.44%	51.64%	-0.48	+0.4	2
1961-06-04	@ VIFK	D 3-3	63.2	1159	995	51.64%	17.44%	30.92%	+0.48	-0.4	8
1961-06-06	HPS Helsinki	W 5-0	29.3	1135	1113	55.67%	17.54%	26.80%	+0.37	+16.8	9
1961-06-06	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-5	29.3	1113	1135	26.80%	17.54%	55.67%	-0.37	-16.8	8
1961-06-09	TuTo	W 3-0	27.1	1142	998	67.80%	16.84%	15.37%	+0.92	+6.3	13
1961-06-09	@ Helsingfors	L 0-3	27.1	998	1142	15.37%	16.84%	67.80%	-0.92	-6.3	4
1961-06-11	HPS Helsinki	W 2-1	36.9	1248	1096	68.50%	16.77%	14.74%	+0.96	+2.1	11
1961-06-11	@ Haka	L 1-2	36.9	1096	1248	14.74%	16.77%	68.50%	-0.96	-2.1	8
1961-06-11	VIFK	L 0-3	40.8	1060	995	60.49%	17.36%	22.15%	+0.56	-21.2	9
1961-06-11	@ HJK	W 3-0	40.8	995	1060	22.15%	17.36%	60.49%	-0.56	+21.2	4
1961-06-11	Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	50.1	1054	911	67.74%	16.84%	15.41%	+0.92	-14.1	10
1961-06-11	@ TaPa	W 3-1	50.1	911	1054	15.41%	16.84%	67.74%	-0.92	+14.1	4
1961-06-11	KuPS	L 1-2	51.5	1158	1065	63.32%	17.20%	19.49%	+0.69	-7.6	8
1961-06-11	@ TPS Turku	W 2-1	51.5	1065	1158	19.49%	17.20%	63.32%	-0.69	+7.6	7
1961-06-13	Kiffen 08	L 1-2	45.4	1074	1152	42.64%	17.67%	39.69%	-0.09	-5.3	7
1961-06-13	@ PPJ	W 2-1	45.4	1152	1074	39.69%	17.67%	42.64%	+0.09	+5.3	11
1961-06-18	Reipas Lahti	W 2-0	26.4	1250	925	78.93%	14.88%	6.19%	+1.75	+1.8	13
1961-06-18	@ Haka	L 0-2	26.4	925	1250	6.19%	14.88%	78.93%	-1.75	-1.8	4
1961-06-18	TuTo	W 1-0	32.4	1157	992	69.51%	16.66%	13.83%	+1.02	+2.1	13
1961-06-18	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-1	32.4	992	1157	13.83%	16.66%	69.51%	-1.02	-2.1	4
1961-06-18	HPS Helsinki	W 4-0	31.0	1073	1094	50.30%	17.65%	32.05%	+0.17	+15.9	9
1961-06-18	@ KuPS	L 0-4	31.0	1094	1073	32.05%	17.65%	50.30%	-0.17	-15.9	8
1961-06-18	PPJ	D 1-1	53.9	1039	1069	49.21%	17.66%	33.13%	+0.13	-0.5	11
1961-06-18	@ TaPa	D 1-1	53.9	1069	1039	33.13%	17.66%	49.21%	-0.13	+0.5	8
1961-06-18	HJK	W 4-1	32.8	1151	1039	65.07%	17.07%	17.86%	+0.78	+6.1	10
1961-06-18	@ TPS Turku	L 1-4	32.8	1039	1151	17.86%	17.07%	65.07%	-0.78	-6.1	9
1961-06-18	Helsingfors	W 1-0	42.8	1017	1148	35.11%	17.56%	47.33%	-0.33	+6.2	6
1961-06-18	@ VIFK	L 0-1	42.8	1148	1017	47.33%	17.56%	35.11%	+0.33	-6.2	13
1961-06-21	Haka	L 0-3	35.1	1159	1252	40.43%	17.65%	41.92%	-0.16	-14.8	13
1961-06-21	@ Kiffen 08	W 3-0	35.1	1252	1159	41.92%	17.65%	40.43%	+0.16	+14.8	15
1961-06-21	TPS Turku	W 4-1	43.2	990	1157	30.55%	17.43%	52.02%	-0.49	+15.5	6
1961-06-21	@ TuTo	L 1-4	43.2	1157	990	52.02%	17.43%	30.55%	+0.49	-15.5	10
1961-06-21	TaPa	W 4-1	37.0	1023	1039	50.95%	17.64%	31.41%	+0.19	+10.1	8
1961-06-21	@ VIFK	L 1-4	37.0	1039	1023	31.41%	17.64%	50.95%	-0.19	-10.1	11
1961-06-22	Helsingfors	L 0-5	34.7	1078	1142	44.62%	17.68%	37.70%	-0.02	-25.8	8
1961-06-22	@ HPS Helsinki	W 5-0	34.7	1142	1078	37.70%	17.68%	44.62%	+0.02	+25.8	15
1961-06-22	KuPS	W 2-0	40.9	923	1089	30.70%	17.43%	51.86%	-0.49	+12.6	6
1961-06-22	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	40.9	1089	923	51.86%	17.43%	30.70%	+0.49	-12.6	9
1961-07-01	TPS Turku	W 5-0	33.7	1053	1141	41.03%	17.66%	41.32%	-0.14	+24.2	10
1961-07-01	@ HPS Helsinki	L 0-5	33.7	1141	1053	41.32%	17.66%	41.03%	+0.14	-24.2	10
1961-07-02	KuPS	W 2-1	41.6	1069	1076	52.17%	17.62%	30.22%	+0.24	+4.0	10
1961-07-02	@ PPJ	L 1-2	41.6	1076	1069	30.22%	17.62%	52.17%	-0.24	-4.0	9
1961-07-02	Kiffen 08	W 2-0	42.4	936	1144	25.66%	17.21%	57.13%	-0.69	+13.8	8
1961-07-02	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	42.4	1144	936	57.13%	17.21%	25.66%	+0.69	-13.8	13
1961-07-02	VIFK	L 2-4	49.5	1006	1033	49.53%	17.65%	32.82%	+0.14	-9.4	6
1961-07-02	@ TuTo	W 4-2	49.5	1033	1006	32.82%	17.65%	49.53%	-0.14	+9.4	10
1961-07-03	Haka	W 4-2	47.7	1168	1267	39.53%	17.64%	42.83%	-0.19	+8.3	17
1961-07-03	@ Helsingfors	L 2-4	47.7	1267	1168	42.83%	17.64%	39.53%	+0.19	-8.3	15
1961-07-07	TaPa	D 2-2	58.5	1033	1029	53.53%	17.59%	28.88%	+0.29	-0.5	10
1961-07-07	@ HJK	D 2-2	58.5	1029	1033	28.88%	17.59%	53.53%	-0.29	+0.5	12
1961-07-12	PPJ	W 2-1	43.0	1032	1073	47.68%	17.67%	34.65%	+0.08	+4.5	12
1961-07-12	@ HJK	L 1-2	43.0	1073	1032	34.65%	17.67%	47.68%	-0.08	-4.5	10
1961-07-28	TaPa	W 2-0	30.9	1131	1029	64.10%	17.14%	18.75%	+0.73	+5.2	15
1961-07-28	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-2	30.9	1029	1131	18.75%	17.14%	64.10%	-0.73	-5.2	12
1961-07-30	VIFK	W 3-1	32.9	1258	1042	73.11%	16.16%	10.73%	+1.26	+2.6	17
1961-07-30	@ Haka	L 1-3	32.9	1042	1258	10.73%	16.16%	73.11%	-1.26	-2.7	10
1961-07-30	KuPS	W 6-0	27.3	1176	1072	64.32%	17.13%	18.55%	+0.74	+14.3	19
1961-07-30	@ Helsingfors	L 0-6	27.3	1072	1176	18.55%	17.13%	64.32%	-0.74	-14.3	9
1961-07-30	PPJ	W 1-0	35.7	1117	1069	58.67%	17.44%	23.89%	+0.49	+3.4	12
1961-07-30	@ TPS Turku	L 0-1	35.7	1069	1117	23.89%	17.44%	58.67%	-0.49	-3.4	10
1961-08-01	TuTo	W 6-3	39.6	1077	996	62.10%	17.27%	20.63%	+0.64	+5.6	12
1961-08-01	@ HPS Helsinki	L 3-6	39.6	996	1077	20.63%	17.27%	62.10%	-0.64	-5.6	6
1961-08-03	Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	58.6	1037	950	62.75%	17.23%	20.02%	+0.67	-1.0	13
1961-08-03	@ HJK	D 2-2	58.6	950	1037	20.02%	17.23%	62.75%	-0.67	+1.0	9
1961-08-06	Kiffen 08	L 0-1	41.4	1058	1136	42.58%	17.67%	39.75%	-0.09	-5.6	9
1961-08-06	@ KuPS	W 1-0	41.4	1136	1058	39.75%	17.67%	42.58%	+0.09	+5.6	17
1961-08-06	Haka	L 1-6	33.2	1066	1261	27.10%	17.28%	55.62%	-0.63	-14.0	10
1961-08-06	@ PPJ	W 6-1	33.2	1261	1066	55.62%	17.28%	27.10%	+0.63	+14.0	19
1961-08-06	Helsingfors	W 2-1	50.6	951	1190	22.40%	17.00%	60.60%	-0.83	+7.3	11
1961-08-06	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	50.6	1190	951	60.60%	17.00%	22.40%	+0.83	-7.3	19
1961-08-06	TPS Turku	L 1-3	42.1	1024	1120	39.95%	17.65%	42.41%	-0.17	-8.7	12
1961-08-06	@ TaPa	W 3-1	42.1	1120	1024	42.41%	17.65%	39.95%	+0.17	+8.7	14
1961-08-06	HJK	L 1-5	40.0	991	1036	47.10%	17.67%	35.23%	+0.06	-18.3	6
1961-08-06	@ TuTo	W 5-1	40.0	1036	991	35.23%	17.67%	47.10%	-0.06	+18.3	15
1961-08-06	HPS Helsinki	W 2-0	35.9	1039	1082	47.43%	17.67%	34.90%	+0.07	+9.0	12
1961-08-06	@ VIFK	L 0-2	35.9	1082	1039	34.90%	17.67%	47.43%	-0.07	-9.0	12
1961-08-11	TuTo	L 1-2	51.0	1052	972	61.97%	17.28%	20.75%	+0.63	-7.5	10
1961-08-11	@ PPJ	W 2-1	51.0	972	1052	20.75%	17.28%	61.97%	-0.63	+7.5	8
1961-08-13	HJK	W 3-2	40.3	1275	1054	73.40%	16.11%	10.49%	+1.28	+1.4	21
1961-08-13	@ Haka	L 2-3	40.3	1054	1275	10.49%	16.11%	73.40%	-1.28	-1.4	15
1961-08-13	TaPa	W 6-1	31.8	1073	1015	59.74%	17.39%	22.87%	+0.53	+12.1	14
1961-08-13	@ HPS Helsinki	L 1-6	31.8	1015	1073	22.87%	17.39%	59.74%	-0.53	-12.1	12
1961-08-13	VIFK	W 2-1	41.2	1052	1048	53.49%	17.59%	28.91%	+0.29	+3.8	11
1961-08-13	@ KuPS	L 1-2	41.2	1048	1052	28.91%	17.59%	53.49%	-0.29	-3.8	12
1961-08-13	Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	53.3	1129	958	69.99%	16.60%	13.41%	+1.05	-8.4	14
1961-08-13	@ TPS Turku	W 2-1	53.3	958	1129	13.41%	16.60%	69.99%	-1.05	+8.4	13
1961-08-18	PPJ	L 0-4	38.7	1085	1044	57.92%	17.47%	24.61%	+0.46	-26.6	14
1961-08-18	@ HPS Helsinki	W 4-0	38.7	1044	1085	24.61%	17.47%	57.92%	-0.46	+26.5	12
1961-08-20	VIFK	W 5-1	31.5	1141	1045	63.68%	17.17%	19.14%	+0.71	+8.4	19
1961-08-20	@ Kiffen 08	L 1-5	31.5	1045	1141	19.14%	17.17%	63.68%	-0.71	-8.4	12
1961-08-20	TuTo	W 2-1	41.9	966	980	51.34%	17.63%	31.03%	+0.21	+4.1	15
1961-08-20	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	41.9	980	966	31.03%	17.63%	51.34%	-0.21	-4.1	8
1961-08-20	KuPS	D 2-2	58.5	1003	1056	46.08%	17.68%	36.24%	+0.03	-0.2	13
1961-08-20	@ TaPa	D 2-2	58.5	1056	1003	36.24%	17.68%	46.08%	-0.03	+0.2	12
1961-08-20	Haka	W 6-2	44.1	1121	1276	31.92%	17.48%	50.61%	-0.45	+16.5	16
1961-08-20	@ TPS Turku	L 2-6	44.1	1276	1121	50.61%	17.48%	31.92%	+0.45	-16.5	21
1961-08-22	Helsingfors	D 2-2	58.6	1053	1183	35.28%	17.57%	47.15%	-0.33	+0.3	16
1961-08-22	@ HJK	D 2-2	58.6	1183	1053	47.15%	17.57%	35.28%	+0.33	-0.2	20
1961-08-24	Kiffen 08	W 3-1	37.8	1183	1150	56.95%	17.50%	25.55%	+0.42	+6.0	22
1961-08-24	@ Helsingfors	L 1-3	37.8	1150	1183	25.55%	17.50%	56.95%	-0.42	-6.0	19
1961-08-27	TPS Turku	W 3-2	44.6	1188	1137	59.02%	17.42%	23.56%	+0.50	+3.0	24
1961-08-27	@ Helsingfors	L 2-3	44.6	1137	1188	23.56%	17.42%	59.02%	-0.50	-3.0	16
1961-08-27	Haka	L 2-4	42.5	1056	1260	26.18%	17.23%	56.58%	-0.66	-5.4	12
1961-08-27	@ KuPS	W 4-2	42.5	1260	1056	56.58%	17.23%	26.18%	+0.66	+5.4	23
1961-08-27	HPS Helsinki	D 2-2	58.5	971	1059	41.08%	17.66%	41.26%	-0.14	+0.0	16
1961-08-27	@ Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	58.5	1059	971	41.26%	17.66%	41.08%	+0.14	+0.0	15
1961-08-27	TaPa	L 0-2	40.2	976	1003	49.49%	17.66%	32.86%	+0.14	-12.1	8
1961-08-27	@ TuTo	W 2-0	40.2	1003	976	32.86%	17.66%	49.49%	-0.14	+12.1	15
1961-08-27	PPJ	W 3-1	40.2	1036	1071	48.57%	17.66%	33.76%	+0.11	+7.6	14
1961-08-27	@ VIFK	L 1-3	40.2	1071	1036	33.76%	17.66%	48.57%	-0.11	-7.6	12
1961-08-29	HJK	W 2-1	38.4	1144	1053	63.11%	17.21%	19.68%	+0.68	+2.7	21
1961-08-29	@ Kiffen 08	L 1-2	38.4	1053	1144	19.68%	17.21%	63.11%	-0.68	-2.7	16
1961-09-01	Helsingfors	L 1-2	43.2	1063	1192	35.49%	17.57%	46.94%	-0.32	-4.5	12
1961-09-01	@ PPJ	W 2-1	43.2	1192	1063	46.94%	17.57%	35.49%	+0.32	+4.6	26
1961-09-03	TaPa	D 1-1	54.5	1265	1015	75.15%	15.79%	9.06%	+1.41	-2.1	24
1961-09-03	@ Haka	D 1-1	54.5	1015	1265	9.06%	15.79%	75.15%	-1.41	+2.1	16
1961-09-03	TPS Turku	W 3-0	31.1	1147	1134	54.53%	17.57%	27.90%	+0.32	+10.8	23
1961-09-03	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-3	31.1	1134	1147	27.90%	17.57%	54.53%	-0.32	-10.8	16
1961-09-03	KuPS	L 2-3	49.8	964	1051	41.22%	17.66%	41.12%	-0.13	-4.9	8
1961-09-03	@ TuTo	W 3-2	49.8	1051	964	41.12%	17.66%	41.22%	+0.13	+4.9	14
1961-09-03	Reipas Lahti	L 1-4	45.9	1044	971	61.36%	17.31%	21.33%	+0.60	-18.1	14
1961-09-03	@ VIFK	W 4-1	45.9	971	1044	21.33%	17.31%	61.36%	-0.60	+18.1	18
1961-09-05	HPS Helsinki	W 2-0	34.5	1050	1059	51.94%	17.62%	30.43%	+0.23	+8.0	18
1961-09-05	@ HJK	L 0-2	34.5	1059	1050	30.43%	17.62%	51.94%	-0.23	-8.0	15
1961-09-08	Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	54.0	1059	989	61.00%	17.33%	21.67%	+0.59	-1.2	13
1961-09-08	@ PPJ	D 1-1	54.0	989	1059	21.67%	17.33%	61.00%	-0.59	+1.2	19
1961-09-10	TuTo	D 1-1	54.6	1263	959	77.99%	15.14%	6.87%	+1.66	-2.3	25
1961-09-10	@ Haka	D 1-1	54.6	959	1263	6.87%	15.14%	77.99%	-1.66	+2.3	9
1961-09-10	KuPS	D 1-1	53.9	1058	1056	53.33%	17.60%	29.08%	+0.28	-0.7	19
1961-09-10	@ HJK	D 1-1	53.9	1056	1058	29.08%	17.60%	53.33%	-0.28	+0.7	15
1961-09-10	Helsingfors	L 0-3	31.4	1017	1196	29.08%	17.37%	53.55%	-0.55	-11.1	16
1961-09-10	@ TaPa	W 3-0	31.4	1196	1017	53.55%	17.37%	29.08%	+0.55	+11.2	28
1961-09-10	VIFK	W 3-0	28.3	1123	1026	63.78%	17.17%	19.06%	+0.71	+7.7	18
1961-09-10	@ TPS Turku	L 0-3	28.3	1026	1123	19.06%	17.17%	63.78%	-0.71	-7.7	14
1961-09-12	Kiffen 08	D 2-2	58.6	1051	1157	38.51%	17.63%	43.86%	-0.22	+0.1	16
1961-09-12	@ HPS Helsinki	D 2-2	58.6	1157	1051	43.86%	17.63%	38.51%	+0.22	-0.1	24
1961-09-15	PPJ	W 3-1	35.6	1157	1057	63.99%	17.15%	18.86%	+0.72	+4.5	26
1961-09-15	@ Kiffen 08	L 1-3	35.6	1057	1157	18.86%	17.15%	63.99%	-0.72	-4.5	13
1961-09-17	Haka	W 4-2	51.8	1051	1261	25.47%	17.20%	57.33%	-0.69	+10.7	18
1961-09-17	@ HPS Helsinki	L 2-4	51.8	1261	1051	57.33%	17.20%	25.47%	+0.69	-10.7	25
1961-09-17	TPS Turku	L 3-4	54.2	1057	1131	43.04%	17.67%	39.29%	-0.07	-5.0	15
1961-09-17	@ KuPS	W 4-3	54.2	1131	1057	39.29%	17.67%	43.04%	+0.07	+4.9	20
1961-09-17	TaPa	D 1-1	53.9	990	1006	50.94%	17.64%	31.42%	+0.19	-0.6	20
1961-09-17	@ Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	53.9	1006	990	31.42%	17.64%	50.94%	-0.19	+0.6	17
1961-09-17	Helsingfors	D 4-4	66.2	961	1207	21.71%	16.95%	61.34%	-0.86	+0.6	10
1961-09-17	@ TuTo	D 4-4	66.2	1207	961	61.34%	16.95%	21.71%	+0.86	-0.7	29
1961-09-17	HJK	L 2-4	49.0	1018	1058	47.88%	17.67%	34.45%	+0.09	-9.1	14
1961-09-17	@ VIFK	W 4-2	49.0	1058	1018	34.45%	17.67%	47.88%	-0.09	+9.1	21
1961-09-20	HJK	W 1-0	37.9	1053	1067	51.25%	17.63%	31.12%	+0.20	+4.3	15
1961-09-20	@ PPJ	L 0-1	37.9	1067	1053	31.12%	17.63%	51.25%	-0.20	-4.3	21
1961-09-20	TuTo	L 1-6	45.8	1136	962	70.23%	16.57%	13.20%	+1.07	-32.7	20
1961-09-20	@ TPS Turku	W 6-1	45.8	962	1136	13.20%	16.57%	70.23%	-1.07	+32.7	12
1961-09-23	HPS Helsinki	W 2-0	29.8	1207	1062	67.94%	16.82%	15.23%	+0.93	+4.3	31
1961-09-23	@ Helsingfors	L 0-2	29.8	1062	1207	15.23%	16.82%	67.94%	-0.93	-4.3	18
1961-09-24	Kiffen 08	W 4-0	27.4	1250	1162	62.89%	17.22%	19.88%	+0.67	+10.4	27
1961-09-24	@ Haka	L 0-4	27.4	1162	1250	19.88%	17.22%	62.89%	-0.67	-10.4	26
1961-09-24	TPS Turku	L 1-3	44.4	1062	1103	47.69%	17.67%	34.64%	+0.08	-10.1	21
1961-09-24	@ HJK	W 3-1	44.4	1103	1062	34.64%	17.67%	47.69%	-0.08	+10.1	22
1961-09-24	Reipas Lahti	W 3-0	29.4	1052	989	60.21%	17.37%	22.42%	+0.55	+8.9	17
1961-09-24	@ KuPS	L 0-3	29.4	989	1052	22.42%	17.37%	60.21%	-0.55	-8.9	20
1961-09-24	VIFK	D 2-2	58.5	1007	1009	52.75%	17.61%	29.64%	+0.26	-0.5	18
1961-09-24	@ TaPa	D 2-2	58.5	1009	1007	29.64%	17.61%	52.75%	-0.26	+0.5	15
1961-09-27	TaPa	W 2-0	32.4	1057	1006	58.97%	17.42%	23.60%	+0.50	+6.4	17
1961-09-27	@ PPJ	L 0-2	32.4	1006	1057	23.60%	17.42%	58.97%	-0.50	-6.4	18
1961-09-30	KuPS	W 3-2	46.4	1057	1060	52.63%	17.61%	29.76%	+0.25	+3.7	20
1961-09-30	@ HPS Helsinki	L 2-3	46.4	1060	1057	29.76%	17.61%	52.63%	-0.25	-3.7	17
1961-10-01	VIFK	L 1-3	51.3	1211	1009	72.13%	16.31%	11.55%	+1.19	-15.0	31
1961-10-01	@ Helsingfors	W 3-1	51.3	1009	1211	11.55%	16.31%	72.13%	-1.19	+15.0	17
1961-10-01	Haka	W 3-1	49.2	980	1261	18.59%	16.67%	64.74%	-1.02	+13.4	22
1961-10-01	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	49.2	1261	980	64.74%	16.67%	18.59%	+1.02	-13.5	27
1961-10-01	Kiffen 08	L 1-3	39.5	994	1151	31.77%	17.47%	50.76%	-0.45	-7.2	12
1961-10-01	@ TuTo	W 3-1	39.5	1151	994	50.76%	17.47%	31.77%	+0.45	+7.2	28
1961-10-08	Helsingfors	W 1-0	35.9	1247	1196	59.04%	17.42%	23.54%	+0.50	+3.4	29
1961-10-08	@ Haka	L 0-1	35.9	1196	1247	23.54%	17.42%	59.04%	-0.50	-3.4	31
1961-10-08	Reipas Lahti	W 2-0	29.3	1158	994	69.50%	16.66%	13.84%	+1.02	+3.9	30
1961-10-08	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-2	29.3	994	1158	13.84%	16.66%	69.50%	-1.02	-3.9	22
1961-10-08	PPJ	W 6-0	30.9	1057	1064	52.17%	17.62%	30.21%	+0.24	+22.1	19
1961-10-08	@ KuPS	L 0-6	30.9	1064	1057	30.21%	17.62%	52.17%	-0.24	-22.1	17
1961-10-08	HJK	W 6-4	49.8	1000	1052	46.14%	17.67%	36.19%	+0.03	+6.6	20
1961-10-08	@ TaPa	L 4-6	49.8	1052	1000	36.19%	17.67%	46.14%	-0.03	-6.6	21
1961-10-08	HPS Helsinki	W 5-4	50.3	1113	1061	59.15%	17.42%	23.44%	+0.51	+2.9	24
1961-10-08	@ TPS Turku	L 4-5	50.3	1061	1113	23.44%	17.42%	59.15%	-0.51	-2.9	20
1961-10-08	TuTo	D 1-1	53.9	1024	987	57.47%	17.48%	25.05%	+0.44	-1.0	18
1961-10-08	@ VIFK	D 1-1	53.9	987	1024	25.05%	17.48%	57.47%	-0.44	+1.0	13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1961-10-01	11.55%	VIFK	1009	3	@ Helsingfors	1211	1
2	1961-09-20	13.20%	TuTo	962	6	@ TPS Turku	1136	1
3	1961-08-13	13.41%	Reipas Lahti	958	2	@ TPS Turku	1129	1
4	1961-06-11	15.41%	Reipas Lahti	911	3	@ TaPa	1054	1
5	1961-05-07	16.27%	TaPa	1034	4	@ TPS Turku	1165	2
6	1961-10-01	18.59%	@ Reipas Lahti	980	3	Haka	1261	1
7	1961-06-04	18.62%	TaPa	1046	3	@ Helsingfors	1149	2
8	1961-06-11	19.49%	KuPS	1065	2	@ TPS Turku	1158	1
9	1961-08-11	20.75%	TuTo	972	2	@ PPJ	1052	1
10	1961-05-14	21.09%	TPS Turku	1158	1	@ Haka	1234	0
11	1961-09-03	21.33%	Reipas Lahti	971	4	@ VIFK	1044	1
12	1961-05-29	21.81%	HJK	1052	2	@ HPS Helsinki	1120	1
13	1961-06-11	22.15%	VIFK	995	3	@ HJK	1060	0
14	1961-08-06	22.40%	@ Reipas Lahti	951	2	Helsingfors	1190	1
15	1961-08-18	24.61%	PPJ	1044	4	@ HPS Helsinki	1085	0
16	1961-05-28	25.10%	Kiffen 08	1128	3	@ TPS Turku	1165	2
17	1961-09-17	25.47%	@ HPS Helsinki	1051	4	Haka	1261	2
18	1961-07-02	25.66%	@ Reipas Lahti	936	2	Kiffen 08	1144	0
19	1961-05-14	25.87%	TaPa	1035	2	@ KuPS	1065	1
20	1961-05-12	28.35%	Helsingfors	1125	2	@ Kiffen 08	1133	0
21	1961-06-21	30.55%	@ TuTo	990	4	TPS Turku	1157	1
22	1961-06-22	30.70%	@ Reipas Lahti	923	2	KuPS	1089	0
23	1961-04-30	31.25%	Helsingfors	1102	5	@ KuPS	1087	1
24	1961-05-11	31.83%	KuPS	1059	1	@ VIFK	1039	0
25	1961-08-20	31.92%	@ TPS Turku	1121	6	Haka	1276	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1961-09-20	32.74	TuTo	6	962	13.20%	@ TPS Turku	1	1136	70.23%	16.57%
2	1961-08-18	26.55	PPJ	4	1044	24.61%	@ HPS Helsinki	0	1085	57.92%	17.47%
3	1961-05-28	26.39	@ Reipas Lahti	7	893	35.54%	VIFK	1	1021	46.88%	17.57%
4	1961-06-22	25.83	Helsingfors	5	1142	37.70%	@ HPS Helsinki	0	1078	44.62%	17.68%
5	1961-07-01	24.21	@ HPS Helsinki	5	1053	41.03%	TPS Turku	0	1141	41.32%	17.66%
6	1961-10-08	22.11	@ KuPS	6	1057	52.17%	PPJ	0	1064	30.21%	17.62%
7	1961-06-11	21.19	VIFK	3	995	22.15%	@ HJK	0	1060	60.49%	17.36%
8	1961-04-30	19.69	Helsingfors	5	1102	31.25%	@ KuPS	1	1087	51.11%	17.64%
9	1961-08-06	18.30	HJK	5	1036	35.23%	@ TuTo	1	991	47.10%	17.67%
10	1961-09-03	18.12	Reipas Lahti	4	971	21.33%	@ VIFK	1	1044	61.36%	17.31%
11	1961-06-06	16.78	@ Kiffen 08	5	1135	55.67%	HPS Helsinki	0	1113	26.80%	17.54%
12	1961-08-20	16.53	@ TPS Turku	6	1121	31.92%	Haka	2	1276	50.61%	17.48%
13	1961-06-18	15.89	@ KuPS	4	1073	50.30%	HPS Helsinki	0	1094	32.05%	17.65%
14	1961-06-21	15.47	@ TuTo	4	990	30.55%	TPS Turku	1	1157	52.02%	17.43%
15	1961-10-01	15.04	VIFK	3	1009	11.55%	@ Helsingfors	1	1211	72.13%	16.31%
16	1961-06-21	14.77	Haka	3	1252	41.92%	@ Kiffen 08	0	1159	40.43%	17.65%
17	1961-05-04	14.40	@ HJK	4	1042	53.83%	TuTo	0	1036	28.58%	17.59%
18	1961-07-30	14.32	@ Helsingfors	6	1176	64.32%	KuPS	0	1072	18.55%	17.13%
19	1961-06-11	14.12	Reipas Lahti	3	911	15.41%	@ TaPa	1	1054	67.74%	16.84%
20	1961-08-06	13.97	Haka	6	1261	55.62%	@ PPJ	1	1066	27.10%	17.28%
21	1961-07-02	13.77	@ Reipas Lahti	2	936	25.66%	Kiffen 08	0	1144	57.13%	17.21%
22	1961-10-01	13.45	@ Reipas Lahti	3	980	18.59%	Haka	1	1261	64.74%	16.67%
23	1961-05-12	13.11	Helsingfors	2	1125	28.35%	@ Kiffen 08	0	1133	54.07%	17.58%
24	1961-05-28	13.07	@ KuPS	4	1053	56.91%	TuTo	0	1021	25.59%	17.50%
25	1961-06-22	12.59	@ Reipas Lahti	2	923	30.70%	KuPS	0	1089	51.86%	17.43%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1961-09-17	66.2	@ TuTo	4	961	21.71%	Helsingfors	4	1207	61.34%	16.95%
2	1961-06-04	63.2	@ VIFK	3	995	30.92%	TPS Turku	3	1159	51.64%	17.44%
3	1961-05-11	58.7	@ HJK	2	1057	29.16%	Haka	2	1235	53.46%	17.37%
4	1961-08-03	58.6	@ HJK	2	1037	62.75%	Reipas Lahti	2	950	20.02%	17.23%
5	1961-08-22	58.6	@ HJK	2	1053	35.28%	Helsingfors	2	1183	47.15%	17.57%
6	1961-09-12	58.6	@ HPS Helsinki	2	1051	38.51%	Kiffen 08	2	1157	43.86%	17.63%
7	1961-07-07	58.5	@ HJK	2	1033	53.53%	TaPa	2	1029	28.88%	17.59%
8	1961-08-20	58.5	@ TaPa	2	1003	46.08%	KuPS	2	1056	36.24%	17.68%
9	1961-08-27	58.5	@ Reipas Lahti	2	971	41.08%	HPS Helsinki	2	1059	41.26%	17.66%
10	1961-09-24	58.5	@ TaPa	2	1007	52.75%	VIFK	2	1009	29.64%	17.61%
11	1961-06-04	56.6	TaPa	3	1046	18.62%	@ Helsingfors	2	1149	64.25%	17.13%
12	1961-05-28	54.7	Kiffen 08	3	1128	25.10%	@ TPS Turku	2	1165	57.42%	17.48%
13	1961-09-10	54.6	@ Haka	1	1263	77.99%	TuTo	1	959	6.87%	15.14%
14	1961-05-07	54.5	TaPa	4	1034	16.27%	@ TPS Turku	2	1165	66.80%	16.93%
15	1961-09-03	54.5	@ Haka	1	1265	75.15%	TaPa	1	1015	9.06%	15.79%
16	1961-09-17	54.2	TPS Turku	4	1131	39.29%	@ KuPS	3	1057	43.04%	17.67%
17	1961-04-30	54.0	@ VIFK	1	1041	26.98%	Haka	1	1237	55.74%	17.28%
18	1961-09-08	54.0	@ PPJ	1	1059	61.00%	Reipas Lahti	1	989	21.67%	17.33%
19	1961-05-25	53.9	@ HJK	1	1052	42.83%	Kiffen 08	1	1128	39.51%	17.67%
20	1961-06-18	53.9	@ TaPa	1	1039	49.21%	PPJ	1	1069	33.13%	17.66%
21	1961-09-10	53.9	@ HJK	1	1058	53.33%	KuPS	1	1056	29.08%	17.60%
22	1961-09-17	53.9	@ Reipas Lahti	1	990	50.94%	TaPa	1	1006	31.42%	17.64%
23	1961-10-08	53.9	@ VIFK	1	1024	57.47%	TuTo	1	987	25.05%	17.48%
24	1961-08-13	53.3	Reipas Lahti	2	958	13.41%	@ TPS Turku	1	1129	69.99%	16.60%
25	1961-09-17	51.8	@ HPS Helsinki	4	1051	25.47%	Haka	2	1261	57.33%	17.20%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1961-06-18	26.4	@ Haka	2	1250	78.93%	Reipas Lahti	0	925	6.19%	14.88%
2	1961-06-09	27.1	@ Helsingfors	3	1142	67.80%	TuTo	0	998	15.37%	16.84%
3	1961-07-30	27.3	@ Helsingfors	6	1176	64.32%	KuPS	0	1072	18.55%	17.13%
4	1961-09-24	27.4	@ Haka	4	1250	62.89%	Kiffen 08	0	1162	19.88%	17.22%
5	1961-05-14	27.6	@ TuTo	3	1026	66.11%	Reipas Lahti	0	902	16.90%	16.99%
6	1961-09-10	28.3	@ TPS Turku	3	1123	63.78%	VIFK	0	1026	19.06%	17.17%
7	1961-05-28	29.0	@ KuPS	4	1053	56.91%	TuTo	0	1021	25.59%	17.50%
8	1961-06-06	29.3	@ Kiffen 08	5	1135	55.67%	HPS Helsinki	0	1113	26.80%	17.54%
9	1961-10-08	29.3	@ Kiffen 08	2	1158	69.50%	Reipas Lahti	0	994	13.84%	16.66%
10	1961-09-24	29.4	@ KuPS	3	1052	60.21%	Reipas Lahti	0	989	22.42%	17.37%
11	1961-05-06	29.6	@ Kiffen 08	3	1124	59.60%	KuPS	0	1068	23.00%	17.40%
12	1961-06-04	29.6	Haka	3	1239	59.75%	@ TuTo	0	1008	23.20%	17.05%
13	1961-09-23	29.8	@ Helsingfors	2	1207	67.94%	HPS Helsinki	0	1062	15.23%	16.82%
14	1961-05-04	29.9	@ HJK	4	1042	53.83%	TuTo	0	1036	28.58%	17.59%
15	1961-07-28	30.9	@ Kiffen 08	2	1131	64.10%	TaPa	0	1029	18.75%	17.14%
16	1961-10-08	30.9	@ KuPS	6	1057	52.17%	PPJ	0	1064	30.21%	17.62%
17	1961-06-18	31.0	@ KuPS	4	1073	50.30%	HPS Helsinki	0	1094	32.05%	17.65%
18	1961-09-03	31.1	@ Kiffen 08	3	1147	54.53%	TPS Turku	0	1134	27.90%	17.57%
19	1961-09-10	31.4	Helsingfors	3	1196	53.55%	@ TaPa	0	1017	29.08%	17.37%
20	1961-08-20	31.5	@ Kiffen 08	5	1141	63.68%	VIFK	1	1045	19.14%	17.17%
21	1961-05-11	31.8	TPS Turku	2	1152	61.09%	@ Reipas Lahti	0	908	21.95%	16.96%
22	1961-08-13	31.8	@ HPS Helsinki	6	1073	59.74%	TaPa	1	1015	22.87%	17.39%
23	1961-06-18	32.4	@ Kiffen 08	1	1157	69.51%	TuTo	0	992	13.83%	16.66%
24	1961-09-27	32.4	@ PPJ	2	1057	58.97%	TaPa	0	1006	23.60%	17.42%
25	1961-05-22	32.7	@ Haka	6	1226	69.74%	KuPS	2	1058	13.63%	16.63%