1963 Mestaruussarja Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Reipas Lahti

32 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Reipas Lahti

8.11 points above expected

32 points · 23.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

VIFK

6.02 points below expected

11 points · 17.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Reipas Lahti Champion	22	13	6	3	32	44	18	+26	23.89	+8.11
2	Haka	22	15	1	6	31	56	20	+36	27.67	+3.33
3	Turku	22	11	3	8	25	44	32	+12	22.16	+2.84
4	Helsingfors	22	9	6	7	24	42	30	+12	23.18	+0.82
5	KTP	22	10	3	9	23	44	42	+2	22.09	+0.91
6	KuPS	22	8	6	8	22	29	31	-2	22.46	-0.46
7	MiPK	22	7	6	9	20	33	37	-4	22.03	-2.03
8	HPS Helsinki	22	8	4	10	20	36	41	-5	20.79	-0.79
9	Kiffen 08	22	8	4	10	20	26	40	-14	22.08	-2.08
10	TPS Turku	22	7	5	10	19	23	35	-12	20.34	-1.34
11	TaPa	22	6	5	11	17	27	43	-16	20.29	-3.29
12	VIFK	22	4	3	15	11	27	62	-35	17.02	-6.02

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Reipas Lahti	32	23.89	+8.11
2	Haka	31	27.67	+3.33
3	Turku	25	22.16	+2.84
4	KTP	23	22.09	+0.91
5	Helsingfors	24	23.18	+0.82

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	VIFK	11	17.02	-6.02
2	TaPa	17	20.29	-3.29
3	Kiffen 08	20	22.08	-2.08
4	MiPK	20	22.03	-2.03
5	TPS Turku	19	20.34	-1.34

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Turku	5	Jun 30 – Aug 20	1 in 192
2	Helsingfors	4	Aug 25 – Sep 21	1 in 68
3	Haka	5	May 12 – Jun 9	1 in 51
4	Kiffen 08	4	Jul 2 – Aug 4	1 in 39
5	HPS Helsinki	3	Sep 22 – Oct 2	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	HPS Helsinki	5	May 30 – Jun 23	1 in 89
2	VIFK	6	Sep 1 – Oct 6	1 in 54
3	Kiffen 08	3	Aug 20 – Aug 30	1 in 47
4	TaPa	4	Jun 16 – Jul 7	1 in 44
5	Helsingfors	3	May 12 – May 26	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Reipas Lahti	10	Aug 4 – Oct 13	1 in 52
2	Helsingfors	7	Aug 7 – Sep 28	1 in 26
3	Turku	5	Jun 30 – Aug 20	1 in 17
4	Haka	8	May 12 – Jun 23	1 in 17
5	MiPK	6	Aug 4 – Sep 8	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Helsingfors	6	Jun 23 – Aug 18	1 in 31
2	HPS Helsinki	6	May 17 – Jun 23	1 in 22
3	KTP	5	Jul 28 – Sep 1	1 in 16
4	VIFK	6	May 12 – Jun 16	1 in 12
5	KuPS	4	May 19 – Jun 9	1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Reipas Lahti	1103	32	+51	8	6.0	+2.0
Haka	1142	31	+93	10	6.5	+3.5
Turku	983	25	-2	4	6.4	-2.4
Helsingfors	994	24	-23	4	6.0	-2.0
KTP	930	23	-15	6	5.5	+0.5
KuPS	948	22	-13	5	5.1	-0.1
HPS Helsinki	941	20	+15	6	4.3	+1.7
MiPK	937	20	-31	4	4.2	-0.2
Kiffen 08	861	20	-75	1	4.3	-3.3
TPS Turku	924	19	+20	6	4.5	+1.5
TaPa	879	17	+5	4	3.6	+0.4
VIFK	803	11	-25	2	3.7	-1.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	HH	HAK	HEL	KTP	K0	KUP	MIP	RL	TT	TAP	TUR	VIF
HPS Helsinki	—	1-0-1 1.64	1-0-1 2.39	0-0-2 2.87	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.52	1-1-0 2.67	0-0-2 2.29	1-1-0 2.64	0-1-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.56	1-0-1 3.46
Haka	1-0-1 3.96	—	1-0-1 3.34	1-0-1 3.24	1-1-0 3.60	2-0-0 3.48	2-0-0 3.57	1-0-1 3.33	2-0-0 3.64	2-0-0 3.99	0-0-2 3.45	2-0-0 3.86
Helsingfors	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 2.25	—	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 3.13	0-2-0 3.03	1-1-0 2.80	0-2-0 2.77	0-0-2 3.53	0-1-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.82	2-0-0 3.40
KTP	2-0-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.34	1-0-1 2.75	—	1-1-0 2.90	0-0-2 2.81	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.62	2-0-0 3.62
Kiffen 08	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 1.98	0-0-2 2.46	0-1-1 2.68	—	2-0-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.69	1-1-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.88	0-0-2 2.95	1-0-1 3.52
KuPS	1-0-1 3.07	0-0-2 2.11	0-2-0 2.55	2-0-0 2.78	0-0-2 2.85	—	2-0-0 2.84	0-2-0 2.75	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 3.13	0-1-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.50
MiPK	0-1-1 2.92	0-0-2 2.02	0-1-1 2.78	1-1-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.89	0-0-2 2.75	—	0-0-2 2.20	1-1-0 3.07	1-1-0 2.79	2-0-0 2.52	1-1-0 3.37
Reipas Lahti	2-0-0 3.29	1-0-1 2.25	0-2-0 2.81	1-1-0 3.25	0-1-1 2.88	0-2-0 2.84	2-0-0 3.39	—	2-0-0 2.98	2-0-0 3.21	2-0-0 2.92	1-0-1 3.44
TPS Turku	0-1-1 2.94	0-0-2 1.95	2-0-0 2.06	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.51	0-0-2 2.60	—	1-1-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.45	1-1-0 3.21
TaPa	1-1-0 2.83	0-0-2 1.60	1-1-0 2.56	1-0-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.38	0-1-1 2.86	—	0-0-2 2.48	2-0-0 3.29
Turku	0-1-1 3.03	2-0-0 2.13	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.96	2-0-0 2.63	1-1-0 2.70	0-0-2 3.06	0-0-2 2.66	1-1-0 3.13	2-0-0 3.10	—	1-0-1 3.74
VIFK	1-0-1 2.12	0-0-2 1.74	0-0-2 2.19	0-0-2 1.97	1-0-1 2.07	0-1-1 2.09	0-1-1 2.22	1-0-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.37	0-0-2 2.29	1-0-1 1.84	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.65	+4.6
Allowed	0.87	-4.7
Differential	0.95	+2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.30%	6.82%	5.30%	4.17%	3.79%	2.65%	28.03%
1	6.82%	10.61%	4.17%	4.17%	2.65%	0.76%	29.17%
2	5.30%	4.17%	3.03%	2.27%	0.76%	1.14%	16.67%
3	4.17%	4.17%	2.27%	0.76%	0.76%	—	12.12%
4	3.79%	2.65%	0.76%	0.76%	—	0.38%	8.33%
5+	2.65%	0.76%	1.14%	—	0.38%	0.76%	5.68%
Total	28.03%	29.17%	16.67%	12.12%	8.33%	5.68%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.63	1.63	+0.00
SD	1.57	1.57	2.42
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.86	-0.23
SD	1.36	1.49	2.05
CV	0.83	0.80	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	18.18%	—	—	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	45.45%	27.27%	22.73%	—	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.55	0.91	+1.64
SD	1.87	1.06	2.59
CV	0.73	1.17	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	27.27%	31.82%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.36	+0.55
SD	2.04	1.14	2.56
CV	1.07	0.83	—
Max	8	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.91	+0.09
SD	2.05	1.63	2.69
CV	1.02	0.85	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
1	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.82	-0.64
SD	1.10	1.82	2.04
CV	0.93	1.00	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	9.09%	18.18%	—	13.64%	—	—	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
3	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	36.36%	13.64%	18.18%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.41	-0.09
SD	1.43	1.33	2.09
CV	1.08	0.95	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	27.27%
1	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	27.27%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.68	-0.18
SD	1.34	1.43	2.17
CV	0.89	0.85	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	22.73%	—	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	54.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	0.82	+1.18
SD	1.45	0.85	1.92
CV	0.72	1.04	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	36.36%
1	13.64%	13.64%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	18.18%	13.64%	13.64%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.59	-0.55
SD	1.13	1.56	2.34
CV	1.08	0.98	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	50.00%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.95	-0.73
SD	1.54	1.56	2.29
CV	1.26	0.80	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	31.82%	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.45	+0.55
SD	1.45	1.44	2.09
CV	0.72	0.99	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	36.36%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
Total	18.18%	18.18%	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	22.73%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	2.82	-1.59
SD	1.38	2.38	2.79
CV	1.12	0.85	—
Max	5	8	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Haka	1142	31	27.67	+3.33	84.0%	19	20	25	27	30	34	37
Reipas Lahti	1103	32	23.89	+8.11	95.0%	13	17	21	24	26	32	37
Helsingfors	994	24	23.18	+0.82	65.0%	11	16	21	23	26	30	33
Turku	983	25	22.16	+2.84	79.0%	14	15	19	22	25	29	32
KuPS	948	22	22.46	-0.46	52.0%	14	16	20	22	25	29	30
HPS Helsinki	941	20	20.79	-0.79	47.0%	10	13	18	21	24	28	28
MiPK	937	20	22.03	-2.03	31.0%	11	15	20	22	24	28	31
KTP	930	23	22.09	+0.91	64.0%	13	16	19	22	25	28	35
TPS Turku	924	19	20.34	-1.34	39.0%	9	14	18	20	22	27	30
TaPa	879	17	20.29	-3.29	24.0%	11	13	18	20	23	27	31
Kiffen 08	861	20	22.08	-2.08	37.0%	11	16	19	22	25	27	34
VIFK	803	11	17.02	-6.02	8.0%	9	10	13	17	20	24	29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.12%

Slight Edge

46.21%19.70%34.09%

Elo Value

Home Edge

110 Elo

0.009 goals per Elo point

042.32300

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.30 goals

Neutral

-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.9

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

11%

Reipas Lahti, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.22 * Some Luck: 3.22 to 4.83 * Lucky: 4.83 to 6.44 * Wild Swing: 6.44 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.24 * Close: 2.24 to 3.36 * Off: 3.36 to 4.48 * Way Off: 4.48 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.47 points

Some Luck

04.0210

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

Pinpoint

02.806

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.00%

Reipas Lahti

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

8.00%

VIFK

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.14

Balanced

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 94.88

1.36

Coin-Flip Parity

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

60%

Even

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Clear Edge

50%87%100%

Close Games

Expected

49%

Few

0%46%100%

Blowouts

Expected

30%

Very Frequent

0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.27

Very Even

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.66

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

-0.04

Weak Carryover

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

29%

Very Upset-Prone

0%29%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Shaky

0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.87

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.90

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.067

Well Within Noise

00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Reipas Lahti	11.00%	15.00%	15.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Haka	47.00%	21.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Turku	7.00%	11.00%	3.00%	17.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	14.00%	5.00%	14.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Helsingfors	10.00%	11.00%	16.00%	4.00%	15.00%	7.00%	12.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%
KTP	7.00%	3.00%	14.00%	8.00%	9.00%	9.00%	14.00%	8.00%	6.00%	7.00%	13.00%	2.00%
KuPS	3.00%	10.00%	9.00%	9.00%	14.00%	14.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%
MiPK	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	12.00%	11.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	8.00%	3.00%
HPS Helsinki	2.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	3.00%	10.00%	9.00%	9.00%	16.00%	5.00%	16.00%	8.00%
Kiffen 08	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	10.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	11.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%
TPS Turku	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	14.00%	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	10.00%	15.00%	11.00%
TaPa	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	16.00%	14.00%	11.00%	15.00%
VIFK	—	4.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%	15.00%	12.00%	46.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Haka	99.00%	1.00%
Reipas Lahti	90.00%	10.00%
Helsingfors	87.00%	13.00%
KuPS	85.00%	15.00%
MiPK	81.00%	19.00%
Kiffen 08	79.00%	21.00%
Turku	79.00%	21.00%
KTP	78.00%	22.00%
HPS Helsinki	71.00%	29.00%
TPS Turku	64.00%	36.00%
TaPa	60.00%	40.00%
VIFK	27.00%	73.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1963-04-28	TaPa	D 3-3	62.7	944	965	46.07%	20.87%	33.06%	+0.19	-0.4	1
1963-04-28	@ HPS Helsinki	D 3-3	62.7	965	944	33.06%	20.87%	46.07%	-0.19	+0.4	1
1963-04-28	TPS Turku	W 4-0	34.6	924	960	44.04%	20.89%	35.07%	+0.06	+27.6	2
1963-04-28	@ KTP	L 0-4	34.6	960	924	35.07%	20.89%	44.04%	-0.06	-27.6	0
1963-04-28	VIFK	W 3-0	33.2	965	933	52.84%	20.75%	26.41%	+0.68	+16.7	2
1963-04-28	@ KuPS	L 0-3	33.2	933	965	26.41%	20.75%	52.84%	-0.68	-16.7	0
1963-04-28	Helsingfors	L 2-3	54.3	963	958	49.55%	20.83%	29.62%	+0.43	-9.2	0
1963-04-28	@ MiPK	W 3-2	54.3	958	963	29.62%	20.83%	49.55%	-0.43	+9.2	2
1963-04-28	Kiffen 08	D 0-0	50.1	959	958	48.92%	20.84%	30.24%	+0.39	-0.9	1
1963-04-28	@ Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	50.1	958	959	30.24%	20.84%	48.92%	-0.39	+1.0	1
1963-04-28	Haka	W 2-0	40.1	916	1000	37.30%	20.85%	41.85%	-0.38	+16.7	2
1963-04-28	@ Turku	L 0-2	40.1	1000	916	41.85%	20.85%	37.30%	+0.38	-16.7	0
1963-05-03	Turku	W 3-2	47.2	967	933	53.08%	20.74%	26.18%	+0.70	+5.4	4
1963-05-03	@ Helsingfors	L 2-3	47.2	933	967	26.18%	20.74%	53.08%	-0.70	-5.4	2
1963-05-05	KTP	L 0-1	46.0	983	951	52.81%	20.75%	26.44%	+0.67	-10.9	0
1963-05-05	@ Haka	W 1-0	46.0	951	983	26.44%	20.75%	52.81%	-0.67	+10.9	4
1963-05-05	KuPS	W 2-0	37.5	959	982	45.86%	20.88%	33.26%	+0.18	+13.9	3
1963-05-05	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-2	37.5	982	959	33.26%	20.88%	45.86%	-0.18	-13.9	2
1963-05-05	MiPK	D 2-2	58.6	966	954	50.32%	20.81%	28.87%	+0.49	-0.7	2
1963-05-05	@ TaPa	D 2-2	58.6	954	966	28.87%	20.81%	50.32%	-0.49	+0.7	1
1963-05-05	HPS Helsinki	D 2-2	58.6	932	944	47.39%	20.86%	31.75%	+0.28	-0.5	1
1963-05-05	@ TPS Turku	D 2-2	58.6	944	932	31.75%	20.86%	47.39%	-0.28	+0.5	2
1963-05-05	Reipas Lahti	W 3-0	36.0	916	958	43.32%	20.89%	35.80%	+0.01	+21.5	2
1963-05-05	@ VIFK	L 0-3	36.0	958	916	35.80%	20.89%	43.32%	-0.01	-21.5	1
1963-05-12	VIFK	W 6-0	31.9	972	938	53.16%	20.74%	26.10%	+0.70	+31.6	2
1963-05-12	@ Haka	L 0-6	31.9	938	972	26.10%	20.74%	53.16%	-0.70	-31.6	2
1963-05-12	MiPK	W 2-1	44.1	944	955	47.48%	20.86%	31.66%	+0.29	+6.7	4
1963-05-12	@ HPS Helsinki	L 1-2	44.1	955	944	31.66%	20.86%	47.48%	-0.29	-6.7	1
1963-05-12	KuPS	L 2-5	47.7	962	968	48.14%	20.85%	31.01%	+0.33	-20.0	4
1963-05-12	@ KTP	W 5-2	47.7	968	962	31.01%	20.85%	48.14%	-0.33	+20.0	4
1963-05-12	TPS Turku	W 2-0	36.4	936	932	49.39%	20.83%	29.77%	+0.42	+12.7	3
1963-05-12	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	36.4	932	936	29.77%	20.83%	49.39%	-0.42	-12.7	1
1963-05-12	Helsingfors	W 2-1	44.0	965	972	47.88%	20.85%	31.26%	+0.32	+6.6	4
1963-05-12	@ TaPa	L 1-2	44.0	972	965	31.26%	20.85%	47.88%	-0.32	-6.6	4
1963-05-12	Kiffen 08	W 2-0	38.4	927	973	42.75%	20.89%	36.37%	-0.03	+15.0	4
1963-05-12	@ Turku	L 0-2	38.4	973	927	36.37%	20.89%	42.75%	+0.03	-15.0	3
1963-05-17	Turku	D 1-1	53.7	951	942	49.95%	20.82%	29.23%	+0.46	-1.0	5
1963-05-17	@ HPS Helsinki	D 1-1	53.7	942	951	29.23%	20.82%	49.95%	-0.46	+0.9	5
1963-05-19	Haka	L 1-4	43.2	966	1004	43.75%	20.89%	35.37%	+0.04	-21.3	4
1963-05-19	@ Helsingfors	W 4-1	43.2	1004	966	35.37%	20.89%	43.75%	-0.04	+21.3	4
1963-05-19	Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	53.8	988	949	53.64%	20.73%	25.63%	+0.74	-1.3	5
1963-05-19	@ KuPS	D 1-1	53.8	949	988	25.63%	20.73%	53.64%	-0.74	+1.3	4
1963-05-19	KTP	W 1-0	39.0	948	942	49.60%	20.83%	29.57%	+0.44	+6.7	3
1963-05-19	@ MiPK	L 0-1	39.0	942	948	29.57%	20.83%	49.60%	-0.44	-6.7	4
1963-05-19	TaPa	W 1-0	41.4	919	972	41.79%	20.89%	37.33%	-0.09	+8.1	3
1963-05-19	@ TPS Turku	L 0-1	41.4	972	919	37.33%	20.89%	41.79%	+0.09	-8.1	4
1963-05-19	Kiffen 08	L 2-3	52.0	906	958	41.84%	20.89%	37.27%	-0.09	-7.9	2
1963-05-19	@ VIFK	W 3-2	52.0	958	906	37.27%	20.89%	41.84%	+0.09	+7.9	5
1963-05-26	TPS Turku	W 4-0	29.8	1025	927	60.00%	20.43%	19.57%	+1.28	+16.8	6
1963-05-26	@ Haka	L 0-4	29.8	927	1025	19.57%	20.43%	60.00%	-1.28	-16.8	3
1963-05-26	KTP	L 1-2	49.6	945	936	49.99%	20.82%	29.19%	+0.47	-9.7	4
1963-05-26	@ Helsingfors	W 2-1	49.6	936	945	29.19%	20.82%	49.99%	-0.47	+9.7	6
1963-05-26	VIFK	D 0-0	50.1	955	898	55.68%	20.65%	23.67%	+0.90	-1.7	4
1963-05-26	@ MiPK	D 0-0	50.1	898	955	23.67%	20.65%	55.68%	-0.90	+1.7	3
1963-05-26	KuPS	W 3-1	42.4	963	987	45.82%	20.88%	33.30%	+0.17	+12.1	6
1963-05-26	@ TaPa	L 1-3	42.4	987	963	33.30%	20.88%	45.82%	-0.17	-12.1	5
1963-05-26	Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	41.9	943	950	47.97%	20.85%	31.18%	+0.32	-18.8	5
1963-05-26	@ Turku	W 2-0	41.9	950	943	31.18%	20.85%	47.97%	-0.32	+18.8	6
1963-05-29	Haka	L 0-3	37.2	974	1042	39.59%	20.88%	39.53%	-0.23	-23.2	5
1963-05-29	@ KuPS	W 3-0	37.2	1042	974	39.53%	20.88%	39.59%	+0.23	+23.2	8
1963-05-30	HPS Helsinki	W 1-0	38.7	966	950	50.86%	20.80%	28.34%	+0.53	+6.5	7
1963-05-30	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-1	38.7	950	966	28.34%	20.80%	50.86%	-0.53	-6.5	5
1963-06-09	TaPa	D 1-1	53.7	972	976	48.45%	20.85%	30.71%	+0.36	-0.8	8
1963-06-09	@ Kiffen 08	D 1-1	53.7	976	972	30.71%	20.85%	48.45%	-0.36	+0.8	7
1963-06-09	HPS Helsinki	W 3-2	48.4	945	944	49.09%	20.84%	30.07%	+0.40	+6.1	8
1963-06-09	@ KTP	L 2-3	48.4	944	945	30.07%	20.84%	49.09%	-0.40	-6.1	5
1963-06-09	Turku	D 0-0	50.1	951	925	52.18%	20.77%	27.05%	+0.63	-1.3	6
1963-06-09	@ KuPS	D 0-0	50.1	925	951	27.05%	20.77%	52.18%	-0.63	+1.3	6
1963-06-09	Haka	L 1-3	43.1	969	1065	35.56%	20.83%	43.61%	-0.49	-12.7	6
1963-06-09	@ Reipas Lahti	W 3-1	43.1	1065	969	43.61%	20.83%	35.56%	+0.49	+12.7	10
1963-06-09	MiPK	D 1-1	53.7	910	953	43.13%	20.89%	35.98%	+0.00	-0.3	4
1963-06-09	@ TPS Turku	D 1-1	53.7	953	910	35.98%	20.89%	43.13%	+0.00	+0.3	5
1963-06-09	Helsingfors	L 0-2	40.8	900	935	44.19%	20.88%	34.93%	+0.07	-17.5	3
1963-06-09	@ VIFK	W 2-0	40.8	935	900	34.93%	20.88%	44.19%	-0.07	+17.5	6
1963-06-12	Helsingfors	L 2-4	50.6	937	952	46.91%	20.87%	32.22%	+0.25	-14.3	5
1963-06-12	@ HPS Helsinki	W 4-2	50.6	952	937	32.22%	20.87%	46.91%	-0.25	+14.3	8
1963-06-12	KuPS	L 0-1	45.0	954	950	49.32%	20.83%	29.85%	+0.42	-10.2	5
1963-06-12	@ MiPK	W 1-0	45.0	950	954	29.85%	20.83%	49.32%	-0.42	+10.2	8
1963-06-12	KTP	W 3-1	41.3	956	951	49.47%	20.83%	29.70%	+0.43	+11.0	8
1963-06-12	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-3	41.3	951	956	29.70%	20.83%	49.47%	-0.43	-11.0	8
1963-06-12	VIFK	W 2-0	33.4	976	882	59.61%	20.45%	19.94%	+1.24	+9.0	9
1963-06-12	@ TaPa	L 0-2	33.4	882	976	19.94%	20.45%	59.61%	-1.24	-9.0	3
1963-06-12	Turku	D 1-1	53.7	910	926	46.81%	20.87%	32.33%	+0.24	-0.7	5
1963-06-12	@ TPS Turku	D 1-1	53.7	926	910	32.33%	20.87%	46.81%	-0.24	+0.6	7
1963-06-13	Haka	D 2-2	58.6	972	1078	34.19%	20.80%	45.01%	-0.58	+0.4	9
1963-06-13	@ Kiffen 08	D 2-2	58.6	1078	972	45.01%	20.80%	34.19%	+0.58	-0.4	11
1963-06-16	MiPK	W 4-0	28.8	1078	943	63.38%	20.17%	16.45%	+1.61	+14.4	13
1963-06-16	@ Haka	L 0-4	28.8	943	1078	16.45%	20.17%	63.38%	-1.61	-14.4	5
1963-06-16	HPS Helsinki	W 3-0	33.0	960	923	53.40%	20.73%	25.86%	+0.72	+16.4	10
1963-06-16	@ KuPS	L 0-3	33.0	923	960	25.86%	20.73%	53.40%	-0.72	-16.4	5
1963-06-16	Reipas Lahti	L 0-1	45.5	985	967	51.14%	20.80%	28.07%	+0.55	-10.6	9
1963-06-16	@ TaPa	W 1-0	45.5	967	985	28.07%	20.80%	51.14%	-0.55	+10.5	10
1963-06-16	KTP	W 2-0	37.1	926	940	47.04%	20.86%	32.10%	+0.26	+13.5	9
1963-06-16	@ Turku	L 0-2	37.1	940	926	32.10%	20.86%	47.04%	-0.26	-13.5	8
1963-06-16	TPS Turku	D 1-1	53.7	873	909	44.03%	20.89%	35.09%	+0.05	-0.4	4
1963-06-16	@ VIFK	D 1-1	53.7	909	873	35.09%	20.89%	44.03%	-0.05	+0.4	6
1963-06-18	Kiffen 08	W 4-1	39.3	967	972	48.17%	20.85%	30.98%	+0.34	+16.1	10
1963-06-18	@ Helsingfors	L 1-4	39.3	972	967	30.98%	20.85%	48.17%	-0.34	-16.1	9
1963-06-23	TaPa	W 2-0	32.7	1092	975	61.84%	20.30%	17.86%	+1.45	+8.2	15
1963-06-23	@ Haka	L 0-2	32.7	975	1092	17.86%	20.30%	61.84%	-1.45	-8.2	9
1963-06-23	VIFK	L 0-1	46.1	907	873	53.05%	20.75%	26.21%	+0.69	-10.9	5
1963-06-23	@ HPS Helsinki	W 1-0	46.1	873	907	26.21%	20.75%	53.05%	-0.69	+10.9	6
1963-06-23	Kiffen 08	W 1-0	40.4	927	956	45.03%	20.88%	34.09%	+0.12	+7.5	10
1963-06-23	@ KTP	L 0-1	40.4	956	927	34.09%	20.88%	45.03%	-0.12	-7.5	9
1963-06-23	Turku	W 3-1	41.9	929	940	47.41%	20.86%	31.73%	+0.28	+11.6	7
1963-06-23	@ MiPK	L 1-3	41.9	940	929	31.73%	20.86%	47.41%	-0.28	-11.6	9
1963-06-23	Helsingfors	D 1-1	53.7	978	983	48.22%	20.85%	30.93%	+0.34	-0.8	11
1963-06-23	@ Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	53.7	983	978	30.93%	20.85%	48.22%	-0.34	+0.8	11
1963-06-23	KuPS	W 1-0	42.0	910	977	39.76%	20.88%	39.36%	-0.22	+8.5	8
1963-06-23	@ TPS Turku	L 0-1	42.0	977	910	39.36%	20.88%	39.76%	+0.22	-8.4	10
1963-06-30	HPS Helsinki	L 1-4	50.3	1100	896	68.81%	19.53%	11.66%	+2.24	-32.4	15
1963-06-30	@ Haka	W 4-1	50.3	896	1100	11.66%	19.53%	68.81%	-2.24	+32.4	7
1963-06-30	KuPS	D 0-0	50.1	983	968	50.80%	20.80%	28.40%	+0.52	-1.1	12
1963-06-30	@ Helsingfors	D 0-0	50.1	968	983	28.40%	20.80%	50.80%	-0.52	+1.2	11
1963-06-30	TaPa	W 5-1	38.6	934	967	44.59%	20.88%	34.53%	+0.09	+22.7	12
1963-06-30	@ KTP	L 1-5	38.6	967	934	34.53%	20.88%	44.59%	-0.09	-22.7	9
1963-06-30	MiPK	W 2-1	42.4	977	940	53.35%	20.74%	25.92%	+0.72	+5.7	13
1963-06-30	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	42.4	940	977	25.92%	20.74%	53.35%	-0.72	-5.7	7
1963-06-30	VIFK	W 3-1	39.8	928	884	54.30%	20.70%	24.99%	+0.79	+9.5	11
1963-06-30	@ Turku	L 1-3	39.8	884	928	24.99%	20.70%	54.30%	-0.79	-9.5	6
1963-07-02	TPS Turku	W 2-0	35.5	948	918	52.57%	20.76%	26.67%	+0.66	+11.6	11
1963-07-02	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-2	35.5	918	948	26.67%	20.76%	52.57%	-0.66	-11.6	8
1963-07-07	Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	47.1	928	983	41.51%	20.89%	37.61%	-0.11	-8.3	7
1963-07-07	@ HPS Helsinki	W 2-1	47.1	983	928	37.61%	20.89%	41.51%	+0.11	+8.3	15
1963-07-07	Kiffen 08	L 1-2	48.3	935	960	45.55%	20.88%	33.57%	+0.16	-9.0	7
1963-07-07	@ MiPK	W 2-1	48.3	960	935	33.57%	20.88%	45.55%	-0.16	+9.0	13
1963-07-07	Turku	L 0-4	39.0	944	938	49.62%	20.83%	29.55%	+0.44	-36.7	9
1963-07-07	@ TaPa	W 4-0	39.0	938	944	29.55%	20.83%	49.62%	-0.44	+36.7	13
1963-07-07	Helsingfors	W 3-0	37.5	907	982	38.48%	20.87%	40.65%	-0.30	+23.7	10
1963-07-07	@ TPS Turku	L 0-3	37.5	982	907	40.65%	20.87%	38.48%	+0.30	-23.7	12
1963-07-07	KTP	L 0-7	35.9	874	957	37.44%	20.86%	41.70%	-0.37	-49.2	6
1963-07-07	@ VIFK	W 7-0	35.9	957	874	41.70%	20.86%	37.44%	+0.37	+49.2	14
1963-07-28	Turku	L 1-2	52.4	1068	975	59.54%	20.46%	20.01%	+1.23	-11.5	15
1963-07-28	@ Haka	W 2-1	52.4	975	1068	20.01%	20.46%	59.54%	-1.23	+11.5	15
1963-07-28	Reipas Lahti	W 1-0	40.1	969	991	45.96%	20.87%	33.17%	+0.18	+7.4	15
1963-07-28	@ Kiffen 08	L 0-1	40.1	991	969	33.17%	20.87%	45.96%	-0.18	-7.4	15
1963-07-28	HPS Helsinki	W 4-3	52.2	907	920	47.20%	20.86%	31.94%	+0.27	+6.2	11
1963-07-28	@ TaPa	L 3-4	52.2	920	907	31.94%	20.86%	47.20%	-0.27	-6.2	7
1963-07-28	KTP	W 4-0	36.3	930	1006	38.44%	20.87%	40.69%	-0.30	+31.0	12
1963-07-28	@ TPS Turku	L 0-4	36.3	1006	930	40.69%	20.87%	38.44%	+0.30	-31.0	14
1963-07-28	KuPS	D 1-1	53.8	825	969	29.35%	20.67%	49.98%	-0.93	+1.0	7
1963-07-28	@ VIFK	D 1-1	53.8	969	825	49.98%	20.67%	29.35%	+0.93	-1.0	12
1963-08-04	TPS Turku	W 1-0	41.2	914	962	42.43%	20.89%	36.68%	-0.05	+8.0	9
1963-08-04	@ HPS Helsinki	L 0-1	41.2	962	914	36.68%	20.89%	42.43%	+0.05	-8.0	12
1963-08-04	Haka	L 2-3	50.7	975	1057	37.68%	20.86%	41.46%	-0.35	-7.3	14
1963-08-04	@ KTP	W 3-2	50.7	1057	975	41.46%	20.86%	37.68%	+0.35	+7.3	17
1963-08-04	Kiffen 08	L 0-1	44.5	968	976	47.82%	20.86%	31.32%	+0.31	-9.9	12
1963-08-04	@ KuPS	W 1-0	44.5	976	968	31.32%	20.86%	47.82%	-0.31	+9.9	17
1963-08-04	TaPa	W 3-0	33.9	926	913	50.42%	20.81%	28.76%	+0.50	+17.9	9
1963-08-04	@ MiPK	L 0-3	33.9	913	926	28.76%	20.81%	50.42%	-0.50	-17.9	11
1963-08-04	VIFK	W 4-0	28.2	984	826	65.31%	19.98%	14.71%	+1.82	+13.0	17
1963-08-04	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	28.2	826	984	14.71%	19.98%	65.31%	-1.82	-13.0	7
1963-08-04	Helsingfors	W 2-1	42.7	986	959	52.28%	20.77%	26.95%	+0.63	+5.9	17
1963-08-04	@ Turku	L 1-2	42.7	959	986	26.95%	20.77%	52.28%	-0.63	-5.9	12
1963-08-07	MiPK	D 1-1	53.7	953	944	49.99%	20.82%	29.19%	+0.47	-1.0	13
1963-08-07	@ Helsingfors	D 1-1	53.7	944	953	29.19%	20.82%	49.99%	-0.47	+1.0	10
1963-08-18	TaPa	D 0-0	50.1	952	896	55.62%	20.65%	23.73%	+0.90	-1.7	14
1963-08-18	@ Helsingfors	D 0-0	50.1	896	952	23.73%	20.65%	55.62%	-0.90	+1.7	12
1963-08-18	KTP	W 1-0	39.6	958	968	47.60%	20.86%	31.54%	+0.30	+7.1	14
1963-08-18	@ KuPS	L 0-1	39.6	968	958	31.54%	20.86%	47.60%	-0.30	-7.1	14
1963-08-18	HPS Helsinki	D 0-0	50.1	945	922	51.74%	20.78%	27.48%	+0.59	-1.3	11
1963-08-18	@ MiPK	D 0-0	50.1	922	945	27.48%	20.78%	51.74%	-0.59	+1.2	10
1963-08-18	Reipas Lahti	L 1-4	43.0	954	997	43.09%	20.89%	36.03%	-0.01	-21.0	12
1963-08-18	@ TPS Turku	W 4-1	43.0	997	954	36.03%	20.89%	43.09%	+0.01	+21.0	19
1963-08-18	Haka	L 1-3	37.6	813	1064	18.21%	19.96%	61.83%	-1.89	-7.2	7
1963-08-18	@ VIFK	W 3-1	37.6	1064	813	61.83%	19.96%	18.21%	+1.89	+7.2	19
1963-08-20	Turku	L 4-5	58.7	986	992	48.11%	20.85%	31.04%	+0.33	-8.6	17
1963-08-20	@ Kiffen 08	W 5-4	58.7	992	986	31.04%	20.85%	48.11%	-0.33	+8.6	19
1963-08-25	Helsingfors	L 0-1	48.7	1071	950	62.16%	20.27%	17.56%	+1.48	-12.7	19
1963-08-25	@ Haka	W 1-0	48.7	950	1071	17.56%	20.27%	62.16%	-1.48	+12.7	16
1963-08-25	VIFK	L 0-4	43.7	978	806	66.43%	19.85%	13.72%	+1.95	-48.5	17
1963-08-25	@ Kiffen 08	W 4-0	43.7	806	978	13.72%	19.85%	66.43%	-1.95	+48.5	9
1963-08-25	MiPK	D 2-2	58.6	961	943	51.05%	20.80%	28.15%	+0.54	-0.8	15
1963-08-25	@ KTP	D 2-2	58.6	943	961	28.15%	20.80%	51.05%	-0.54	+0.8	12
1963-08-25	KuPS	D 1-1	53.8	1018	965	55.15%	20.67%	24.17%	+0.86	-1.5	20
1963-08-25	@ Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	53.8	965	1018	24.17%	20.67%	55.15%	-0.86	+1.5	15
1963-08-25	TPS Turku	D 0-0	50.1	897	933	44.16%	20.88%	34.96%	+0.06	-0.5	13
1963-08-25	@ TaPa	D 0-0	50.1	933	897	34.96%	20.88%	44.16%	-0.06	+0.5	13
1963-08-25	HPS Helsinki	L 0-1	47.5	1001	923	57.92%	20.55%	21.53%	+1.09	-11.8	19
1963-08-25	@ Turku	W 1-0	47.5	923	1001	21.53%	20.55%	57.92%	-1.09	+11.8	12
1963-08-30	Kiffen 08	W 3-1	41.2	935	929	49.59%	20.83%	29.59%	+0.44	+11.0	14
1963-08-30	@ HPS Helsinki	L 1-3	41.2	929	935	29.59%	20.83%	49.59%	-0.44	-11.0	17
1963-09-01	Helsingfors	L 0-4	38.6	960	963	48.52%	20.85%	30.64%	+0.36	-36.0	15
1963-09-01	@ KTP	W 4-0	38.6	963	960	30.64%	20.85%	48.52%	-0.36	+36.0	18
1963-09-01	TaPa	W 2-1	41.2	967	897	57.13%	20.59%	22.28%	+1.02	+5.0	17
1963-09-01	@ KuPS	L 1-2	41.2	897	967	22.28%	20.59%	57.13%	-1.02	-5.0	13
1963-09-01	Turku	W 4-1	38.1	1016	989	52.27%	20.77%	26.96%	+0.63	+14.3	22
1963-09-01	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-4	38.1	989	1016	26.96%	20.77%	52.27%	-0.63	-14.3	19
1963-09-01	Haka	L 1-3	41.9	933	1058	31.73%	20.74%	47.53%	-0.75	-11.6	13
1963-09-01	@ TPS Turku	W 3-1	41.9	1058	933	47.53%	20.74%	31.73%	+0.75	+11.6	21
1963-09-01	MiPK	L 1-2	45.6	854	944	36.46%	20.84%	42.70%	-0.43	-7.5	9
1963-09-01	@ VIFK	W 2-1	45.6	944	854	42.70%	20.84%	36.46%	+0.43	+7.5	14
1963-09-06	KTP	L 0-2	43.0	946	924	51.56%	20.79%	27.65%	+0.58	-20.0	14
1963-09-06	@ HPS Helsinki	W 2-0	43.0	924	946	27.65%	20.79%	51.56%	-0.58	+20.0	17
1963-09-08	Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	43.6	1070	1030	53.70%	20.72%	25.58%	+0.74	-20.8	21
1963-09-08	@ Haka	W 2-0	43.6	1030	1070	25.58%	20.72%	53.70%	-0.74	+20.8	24
1963-09-08	VIFK	W 8-1	30.5	999	847	64.86%	20.03%	15.11%	+1.77	+18.6	20
1963-09-08	@ Helsingfors	L 1-8	30.5	847	999	15.11%	20.03%	64.86%	-1.77	-18.6	9
1963-09-08	TPS Turku	W 3-0	33.3	952	921	52.62%	20.76%	26.62%	+0.66	+16.8	16
1963-09-08	@ MiPK	L 0-3	33.3	921	952	26.62%	20.76%	52.62%	-0.66	-16.8	13
1963-09-08	Kiffen 08	L 0-2	41.1	892	918	45.38%	20.88%	33.74%	+0.14	-17.9	13
1963-09-08	@ TaPa	W 2-0	41.1	918	892	33.74%	20.88%	45.38%	-0.14	+17.9	19
1963-09-08	KuPS	W 3-1	41.4	974	972	49.18%	20.84%	29.99%	+0.41	+11.1	21
1963-09-08	@ Turku	L 1-3	41.4	972	974	29.99%	20.84%	49.18%	-0.41	-11.1	17
1963-09-15	Kiffen 08	W 1-0	35.5	1049	936	61.44%	20.33%	18.23%	+1.41	+4.4	23
1963-09-15	@ Haka	L 0-1	35.5	936	1049	18.23%	20.33%	61.44%	-1.41	-4.4	19
1963-09-15	Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	53.8	944	1051	34.14%	20.80%	45.06%	-0.59	+0.5	18
1963-09-15	@ KTP	D 1-1	53.8	1051	944	45.06%	20.80%	34.14%	+0.59	-0.5	25
1963-09-15	TPS Turku	W 3-0	31.6	985	905	58.26%	20.53%	21.21%	+1.12	+13.8	23
1963-09-15	@ Turku	L 0-3	31.6	905	985	21.21%	20.53%	58.26%	-1.12	-13.8	13
1963-09-15	TaPa	L 2-5	46.1	828	874	42.72%	20.89%	36.39%	-0.03	-18.0	9
1963-09-15	@ VIFK	W 5-2	46.1	874	828	36.39%	20.89%	42.72%	+0.03	+18.0	15
1963-09-21	Helsingfors	L 0-5	34.9	932	1017	37.05%	20.85%	42.10%	-0.39	-35.5	19
1963-09-21	@ Kiffen 08	W 5-0	34.9	1017	932	42.10%	20.85%	37.05%	+0.39	+35.5	22
1963-09-22	KuPS	W 3-1	42.9	926	961	44.20%	20.88%	34.92%	+0.07	+12.5	16
1963-09-22	@ HPS Helsinki	L 1-3	42.9	961	926	34.92%	20.88%	44.20%	-0.07	-12.5	17
1963-09-22	Turku	W 4-3	53.9	945	999	41.47%	20.89%	37.64%	-0.11	+7.1	20
1963-09-22	@ KTP	L 3-4	53.9	999	945	37.64%	20.89%	41.47%	+0.11	-7.1	23
1963-09-22	Haka	L 0-5	35.0	969	1054	37.16%	20.85%	41.99%	-0.39	-35.6	16
1963-09-22	@ MiPK	W 5-0	35.0	1054	969	41.99%	20.85%	37.16%	+0.39	+35.6	25
1963-09-22	TaPa	W 4-0	28.2	1051	892	65.41%	19.97%	14.62%	+1.83	+12.9	27
1963-09-22	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	28.2	892	1051	14.62%	19.97%	65.41%	-1.83	-12.9	15
1963-09-22	VIFK	W 1-0	36.4	891	810	58.24%	20.53%	21.23%	+1.12	+5.1	15
1963-09-22	@ TPS Turku	L 0-1	36.4	810	891	21.23%	20.53%	58.24%	-1.12	-5.1	9
1963-09-25	MiPK	W 3-2	47.9	948	933	50.78%	20.80%	28.42%	+0.52	+5.8	19
1963-09-25	@ KuPS	L 2-3	47.9	933	948	28.42%	20.80%	50.78%	-0.52	-5.8	16
1963-09-28	Reipas Lahti	D 1-1	53.8	1053	1064	47.45%	20.86%	31.69%	+0.29	-0.7	23
1963-09-28	@ Helsingfors	D 1-1	53.8	1064	1053	31.69%	20.86%	47.45%	-0.29	+0.7	28
1963-09-29	KTP	D 1-1	53.7	896	952	41.32%	20.88%	37.80%	-0.12	-0.2	20
1963-09-29	@ Kiffen 08	D 1-1	53.7	952	896	37.80%	20.88%	41.32%	+0.12	+0.2	21
1963-09-29	TPS Turku	W 4-1	37.0	954	896	55.84%	20.65%	23.52%	+0.91	+12.8	21
1963-09-29	@ KuPS	L 1-4	37.0	896	954	23.52%	20.65%	55.84%	-0.91	-12.8	15
1963-09-29	Haka	L 0-1	36.6	879	1089	22.00%	20.28%	57.72%	-1.52	-5.2	15
1963-09-29	@ TaPa	W 1-0	36.6	1089	879	57.72%	20.28%	22.00%	+1.52	+5.2	27
1963-09-29	MiPK	L 1-3	49.3	992	927	56.57%	20.61%	22.81%	+0.97	-18.9	23
1963-09-29	@ Turku	W 3-1	49.3	927	992	22.81%	20.61%	56.57%	-0.97	+18.9	18
1963-09-29	HPS Helsinki	L 2-4	45.7	805	938	30.72%	20.71%	48.56%	-0.83	-10.1	9
1963-09-29	@ VIFK	W 4-2	45.7	938	805	48.56%	20.71%	30.72%	+0.83	+10.1	18
1963-10-02	HPS Helsinki	L 0-3	43.3	1052	948	60.56%	20.39%	19.05%	+1.33	-33.9	23
1963-10-02	@ Helsingfors	W 3-0	43.3	948	1052	19.05%	20.39%	60.56%	-1.33	+33.9	20
1963-10-05	MiPK	L 2-5	45.9	896	946	42.10%	20.89%	37.02%	-0.07	-17.8	20
1963-10-05	@ Kiffen 08	W 5-2	45.9	946	896	37.02%	20.89%	42.10%	+0.07	+17.8	20
1963-10-06	KuPS	W 5-0	28.8	1094	967	62.76%	20.22%	17.02%	+1.54	+18.3	29
1963-10-06	@ Haka	L 0-5	28.8	967	1094	17.02%	20.22%	62.76%	-1.54	-18.3	21
1963-10-06	TPS Turku	L 0-2	46.3	1018	883	63.44%	20.16%	16.39%	+1.61	-24.4	23
1963-10-06	@ Helsingfors	W 2-0	46.3	883	1018	16.39%	20.16%	63.44%	-1.61	+24.4	17
1963-10-06	VIFK	W 6-5	49.1	952	795	65.26%	19.99%	14.75%	+1.81	+3.1	23
1963-10-06	@ KTP	L 5-6	49.1	795	952	14.75%	19.99%	65.26%	-1.81	-3.1	9
1963-10-06	HPS Helsinki	W 4-1	36.3	1064	982	58.40%	20.52%	21.08%	+1.13	+11.6	30
1963-10-06	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-4	36.3	982	1064	21.08%	20.52%	58.40%	-1.13	-11.6	20
1963-10-06	TaPa	W 5-0	29.5	973	874	60.14%	20.42%	19.44%	+1.29	+20.6	25
1963-10-06	@ Turku	L 0-5	29.5	874	973	19.44%	20.42%	60.14%	-1.29	-20.6	15
1963-10-13	Haka	L 0-5	32.7	971	1113	29.62%	20.68%	49.70%	-0.91	-29.5	20
1963-10-13	@ HPS Helsinki	W 5-0	32.7	1113	971	49.70%	20.68%	29.62%	+0.91	+29.5	31
1963-10-13	Helsingfors	D 1-1	53.7	948	994	42.76%	20.89%	36.35%	-0.03	-0.3	22
1963-10-13	@ KuPS	D 1-1	53.7	994	948	36.35%	20.89%	42.76%	+0.03	+0.3	24
1963-10-13	Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	34.1	964	1076	33.47%	20.79%	45.75%	-0.63	-26.5	20
1963-10-13	@ MiPK	W 4-0	34.1	1076	964	45.75%	20.79%	33.47%	+0.63	+26.5	32
1963-10-13	KTP	W 3-0	38.6	853	955	34.82%	20.81%	44.36%	-0.54	+25.5	17
1963-10-13	@ TaPa	L 0-3	38.6	955	853	44.36%	20.81%	34.82%	+0.54	-25.5	23
1963-10-13	Kiffen 08	W 3-0	33.3	907	878	52.50%	20.76%	26.74%	+0.65	+16.9	19
1963-10-13	@ TPS Turku	L 0-3	33.3	878	907	26.74%	20.76%	52.50%	-0.65	-16.9	20
1963-10-13	Turku	W 2-1	51.5	792	994	22.82%	20.34%	56.84%	-1.45	+10.9	11
1963-10-13	@ VIFK	L 1-2	51.5	994	792	56.84%	20.34%	22.82%	+1.45	-10.9	25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1963-06-30	11.66%	HPS Helsinki	896	4	@ Haka	1100	1
2	1963-08-25	13.72%	VIFK	806	4	@ Kiffen 08	978	0
3	1963-10-06	16.39%	TPS Turku	883	2	@ Helsingfors	1018	0
4	1963-08-25	17.56%	Helsingfors	950	1	@ Haka	1071	0
5	1963-10-02	19.05%	HPS Helsinki	948	3	@ Helsingfors	1052	0
6	1963-07-28	20.01%	Turku	975	2	@ Haka	1068	1
7	1963-08-25	21.53%	HPS Helsinki	923	1	@ Turku	1001	0
8	1963-09-29	22.81%	MiPK	927	3	@ Turku	992	1
9	1963-10-13	22.82%	@ VIFK	792	2	Turku	994	1
10	1963-09-08	25.58%	Reipas Lahti	1030	2	@ Haka	1070	0
11	1963-06-23	26.21%	VIFK	873	1	@ HPS Helsinki	907	0
12	1963-05-05	26.44%	KTP	951	1	@ Haka	983	0
13	1963-09-06	27.65%	KTP	924	2	@ HPS Helsinki	946	0
14	1963-06-16	28.07%	Reipas Lahti	967	1	@ TaPa	985	0
15	1963-05-26	29.19%	KTP	936	2	@ Helsingfors	945	1
16	1963-07-07	29.55%	Turku	938	4	@ TaPa	944	0
17	1963-04-28	29.62%	Helsingfors	958	3	@ MiPK	963	2
18	1963-06-12	29.85%	KuPS	950	1	@ MiPK	954	0
19	1963-09-01	30.64%	Helsingfors	963	4	@ KTP	960	0
20	1963-05-12	31.01%	KuPS	968	5	@ KTP	962	2
21	1963-08-20	31.04%	Turku	992	5	@ Kiffen 08	986	4
22	1963-05-26	31.18%	Reipas Lahti	950	2	@ Turku	943	0
23	1963-08-04	31.32%	Kiffen 08	976	1	@ KuPS	968	0
24	1963-06-12	32.22%	Helsingfors	952	4	@ HPS Helsinki	937	2
25	1963-07-07	33.57%	Kiffen 08	960	2	@ MiPK	935	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1963-07-07	49.21	KTP	7	957	41.70%	@ VIFK	0	874	37.44%	20.86%
2	1963-08-25	48.50	VIFK	4	806	13.72%	@ Kiffen 08	0	978	66.43%	19.85%
3	1963-07-07	36.71	Turku	4	938	29.55%	@ TaPa	0	944	49.62%	20.83%
4	1963-09-01	35.99	Helsingfors	4	963	30.64%	@ KTP	0	960	48.52%	20.85%
5	1963-09-22	35.57	Haka	5	1054	41.99%	@ MiPK	0	969	37.16%	20.85%
6	1963-09-21	35.49	Helsingfors	5	1017	42.10%	@ Kiffen 08	0	932	37.05%	20.85%
7	1963-10-02	33.86	HPS Helsinki	3	948	19.05%	@ Helsingfors	0	1052	60.56%	20.39%
8	1963-06-30	32.42	HPS Helsinki	4	896	11.66%	@ Haka	1	1100	68.81%	19.53%
9	1963-05-12	31.64	@ Haka	6	972	53.16%	VIFK	0	938	26.10%	20.74%
10	1963-07-28	31.04	@ TPS Turku	4	930	38.44%	KTP	0	1006	40.69%	20.87%
11	1963-10-13	29.55	Haka	5	1113	49.70%	@ HPS Helsinki	0	971	29.62%	20.68%
12	1963-04-28	27.57	@ KTP	4	924	44.04%	TPS Turku	0	960	35.07%	20.89%
13	1963-10-13	26.52	Reipas Lahti	4	1076	45.75%	@ MiPK	0	964	33.47%	20.79%
14	1963-10-13	25.49	@ TaPa	3	853	34.82%	KTP	0	955	44.36%	20.81%
15	1963-10-06	24.41	TPS Turku	2	883	16.39%	@ Helsingfors	0	1018	63.44%	20.16%
16	1963-07-07	23.74	@ TPS Turku	3	907	38.48%	Helsingfors	0	982	40.65%	20.87%
17	1963-05-29	23.24	Haka	3	1042	39.53%	@ KuPS	0	974	39.59%	20.88%
18	1963-06-30	22.69	@ KTP	5	934	44.59%	TaPa	1	967	34.53%	20.88%
19	1963-05-05	21.46	@ VIFK	3	916	43.32%	Reipas Lahti	0	958	35.80%	20.89%
20	1963-05-19	21.26	Haka	4	1004	35.37%	@ Helsingfors	1	966	43.75%	20.89%
21	1963-08-18	20.99	Reipas Lahti	4	997	36.03%	@ TPS Turku	1	954	43.09%	20.89%
22	1963-09-08	20.79	Reipas Lahti	2	1030	25.58%	@ Haka	0	1070	53.70%	20.72%
23	1963-10-06	20.65	@ Turku	5	973	60.14%	TaPa	0	874	19.44%	20.42%
24	1963-09-06	20.03	KTP	2	924	27.65%	@ HPS Helsinki	0	946	51.56%	20.79%
25	1963-05-12	19.98	KuPS	5	968	31.01%	@ KTP	2	962	48.14%	20.85%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1963-04-28	62.7	@ HPS Helsinki	3	944	46.07%	TaPa	3	965	33.06%	20.87%
2	1963-08-20	58.7	Turku	5	992	31.04%	@ Kiffen 08	4	986	48.11%	20.85%
3	1963-05-05	58.6	@ TaPa	2	966	50.32%	MiPK	2	954	28.87%	20.81%
4	1963-05-05	58.6	@ TPS Turku	2	932	47.39%	HPS Helsinki	2	944	31.75%	20.86%
5	1963-06-13	58.6	@ Kiffen 08	2	972	34.19%	Haka	2	1078	45.01%	20.80%
6	1963-08-25	58.6	@ KTP	2	961	51.05%	MiPK	2	943	28.15%	20.80%
7	1963-04-28	54.3	Helsingfors	3	958	29.62%	@ MiPK	2	963	49.55%	20.83%
8	1963-09-22	53.9	@ KTP	4	945	41.47%	Turku	3	999	37.64%	20.89%
9	1963-05-19	53.8	@ KuPS	1	988	53.64%	Reipas Lahti	1	949	25.63%	20.73%
10	1963-07-28	53.8	@ VIFK	1	825	29.35%	KuPS	1	969	49.98%	20.67%
11	1963-08-25	53.8	@ Reipas Lahti	1	1018	55.15%	KuPS	1	965	24.17%	20.67%
12	1963-09-15	53.8	@ KTP	1	944	34.14%	Reipas Lahti	1	1051	45.06%	20.80%
13	1963-09-28	53.8	@ Helsingfors	1	1053	47.45%	Reipas Lahti	1	1064	31.69%	20.86%
14	1963-05-17	53.7	@ HPS Helsinki	1	951	49.95%	Turku	1	942	29.23%	20.82%
15	1963-06-09	53.7	@ Kiffen 08	1	972	48.45%	TaPa	1	976	30.71%	20.85%
16	1963-06-09	53.7	@ TPS Turku	1	910	43.13%	MiPK	1	953	35.98%	20.89%
17	1963-06-12	53.7	@ TPS Turku	1	910	46.81%	Turku	1	926	32.33%	20.87%
18	1963-06-16	53.7	@ VIFK	1	873	44.03%	TPS Turku	1	909	35.09%	20.89%
19	1963-06-23	53.7	@ Reipas Lahti	1	978	48.22%	Helsingfors	1	983	30.93%	20.85%
20	1963-08-07	53.7	@ Helsingfors	1	953	49.99%	MiPK	1	944	29.19%	20.82%
21	1963-09-29	53.7	@ Kiffen 08	1	896	41.32%	KTP	1	952	37.80%	20.88%
22	1963-10-13	53.7	@ KuPS	1	948	42.76%	Helsingfors	1	994	36.35%	20.89%
23	1963-07-28	52.4	Turku	2	975	20.01%	@ Haka	1	1068	59.54%	20.46%
24	1963-07-28	52.2	@ TaPa	4	907	47.20%	HPS Helsinki	3	920	31.94%	20.86%
25	1963-05-19	52.0	Kiffen 08	3	958	37.27%	@ VIFK	2	906	41.84%	20.89%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1963-08-04	28.2	@ Reipas Lahti	4	984	65.31%	VIFK	0	826	14.71%	19.98%
2	1963-09-22	28.2	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1051	65.41%	TaPa	0	892	14.62%	19.97%
3	1963-06-16	28.8	@ Haka	4	1078	63.38%	MiPK	0	943	16.45%	20.17%
4	1963-10-06	28.8	@ Haka	5	1094	62.76%	KuPS	0	967	17.02%	20.22%
5	1963-10-06	29.5	@ Turku	5	973	60.14%	TaPa	0	874	19.44%	20.42%
6	1963-05-26	29.8	@ Haka	4	1025	60.00%	TPS Turku	0	927	19.57%	20.43%
7	1963-09-08	30.5	@ Helsingfors	8	999	64.86%	VIFK	1	847	15.11%	20.03%
8	1963-09-15	31.6	@ Turku	3	985	58.26%	TPS Turku	0	905	21.21%	20.53%
9	1963-05-12	31.9	@ Haka	6	972	53.16%	VIFK	0	938	26.10%	20.74%
10	1963-06-23	32.7	@ Haka	2	1092	61.84%	TaPa	0	975	17.86%	20.30%
11	1963-10-13	32.7	Haka	5	1113	49.70%	@ HPS Helsinki	0	971	29.62%	20.68%
12	1963-06-16	33.0	@ KuPS	3	960	53.40%	HPS Helsinki	0	923	25.86%	20.73%
13	1963-04-28	33.2	@ KuPS	3	965	52.84%	VIFK	0	933	26.41%	20.75%
14	1963-09-08	33.3	@ MiPK	3	952	52.62%	TPS Turku	0	921	26.62%	20.76%
15	1963-10-13	33.3	@ TPS Turku	3	907	52.50%	Kiffen 08	0	878	26.74%	20.76%
16	1963-06-12	33.4	@ TaPa	2	976	59.61%	VIFK	0	882	19.94%	20.45%
17	1963-08-04	33.9	@ MiPK	3	926	50.42%	TaPa	0	913	28.76%	20.81%
18	1963-10-13	34.1	Reipas Lahti	4	1076	45.75%	@ MiPK	0	964	33.47%	20.79%
19	1963-04-28	34.6	@ KTP	4	924	44.04%	TPS Turku	0	960	35.07%	20.89%
20	1963-09-21	34.9	Helsingfors	5	1017	42.10%	@ Kiffen 08	0	932	37.05%	20.85%
21	1963-09-22	35.0	Haka	5	1054	41.99%	@ MiPK	0	969	37.16%	20.85%
22	1963-07-02	35.5	@ Kiffen 08	2	948	52.57%	TPS Turku	0	918	26.67%	20.76%
23	1963-09-15	35.5	@ Haka	1	1049	61.44%	Kiffen 08	0	936	18.23%	20.33%
24	1963-07-07	35.9	KTP	7	957	41.70%	@ VIFK	0	874	37.44%	20.86%
25	1963-05-05	36.0	@ VIFK	3	916	43.32%	Reipas Lahti	0	958	35.80%	20.89%