1965 Mestaruussarja Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Haka

31 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1962

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Haka

5.39 points above expected

31 points · 25.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

TaPa

5.77 points below expected

10 points · 15.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Haka Champion	22	14	3	5	31	56	28	+28	25.61	+5.39
2	HJK	22	12	5	5	29	50	30	+20	26.45	+2.55
3	Reipas Lahti	22	9	7	6	25	44	24	+20	23.84	+1.16
4	GBK Kokkola	22	9	7	6	25	32	32	0	19.85	+5.15
5	Helsingfors	22	9	4	9	22	25	27	-2	21.62	+0.38
6	KuPS	22	8	6	8	22	25	28	-3	23.28	-1.28
7	Ilves-Kissat	22	7	8	7	22	25	29	-4	21.52	+0.48
8	KTP	22	8	5	9	21	41	43	-2	24.37	-3.37
9	VPS	22	9	3	10	21	30	48	-18	18.83	+2.17
10	Kuusysi	22	8	4	10	20	35	28	+7	21.84	-1.84
11	Turku	22	5	6	11	16	21	31	-10	21.02	-5.02
12	TaPa	22	2	6	14	10	14	50	-36	15.77	-5.77

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Haka	31	25.61	+5.39
2	GBK Kokkola	25	19.85	+5.15
3	HJK	29	26.45	+2.55
4	VPS	21	18.83	+2.17
5	Reipas Lahti	25	23.84	+1.16

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	TaPa	10	15.77	-5.77
2	Turku	16	21.02	-5.02
3	KTP	21	24.37	-3.37
4	Kuusysi	20	21.84	-1.84
5	KuPS	22	23.28	-1.28

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	VPS	3	Aug 29 – Sep 12	1 in 73
2	Haka	5	Aug 15 – Sep 19	1 in 63
3	GBK Kokkola	3	Apr 25 – May 9	1 in 27
4	Turku	3	May 23 – Jun 4	1 in 13
5	HJK	3	May 23 – Jun 4	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KTP	4	Sep 12 – Oct 10	1 in 166
2	VPS	3	May 23 – Jun 5	1 in 36
3	Reipas Lahti	2	Jul 2 – Jul 18	1 in 21
4	Kuusysi	3	Jun 13 – Jun 27	1 in 17
5	KuPS	3	Aug 15 – Sep 5	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Haka	10	Jul 2 – Sep 19	1 in 64
2	Ilves-Kissat	7	Apr 25 – May 30	1 in 40
3	GBK Kokkola	6	Aug 29 – Oct 10	1 in 19
4	VPS	4	Aug 29 – Sep 19	1 in 19
5	Reipas Lahti	6	Apr 25 – May 23	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ilves-Kissat	10	May 19 – Jul 30	1 in 155
2	KTP	8	Aug 11 – Oct 10	1 in 119
3	GBK Kokkola	7	May 16 – Jun 19	1 in 28
4	TaPa	11	May 30 – Aug 29	1 in 27
5	Turku	6	Aug 29 – Oct 10	1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Haka	1378	31	+18	8	6.3	+1.7
HJK	1360	29	+3	6	6.0	-0.0
GBK Kokkola	1255	25	+26	7	5.1	+1.9
Reipas Lahti	1339	25	+9	6	5.6	+0.4
Helsingfors	1260	22	+7	7	5.1	+1.9
Ilves-Kissat	1249	22	+8	6	4.9	+1.1
KuPS	1293	22	-2	5	4.9	+0.1
VPS	1192	21	+4	6	3.7	+2.3
KTP	1298	21	-36	1	5.4	-4.4
Kuusysi	1283	20	+12	5	4.8	+0.2
Turku	1225	16	-19	1	5.2	-4.2
TaPa	1084	10	-30	2	3.1	-1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	GK	HJK	HAK	HEL	ILV	KTP	KUP	KUU	RL	TAP	TUR	VPS
GBK Kokkola	—	1-0-1 1.97	0-0-2 2.20	2-0-0 2.52	0-2-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.13	1-0-1 2.19	2-0-0 2.48	0-2-0 2.12	1-1-0 3.40	2-0-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.91
HJK	1-0-1 3.54	—	1-0-1 2.76	2-0-0 3.29	1-1-0 3.25	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.28	1-1-0 2.86	2-0-0 3.91	0-2-0 3.35	0-1-1 3.75
Haka	2-0-0 3.32	1-0-1 2.74	—	0-2-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.29	1-1-0 2.77	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.28	2-0-0 2.88	2-0-0 3.97	1-0-1 3.40	1-0-1 3.48
Helsingfors	0-0-2 2.98	0-0-2 2.21	0-2-0 2.34	—	2-0-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.35	0-1-1 2.55	2-0-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.25	2-0-0 3.57	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 3.07
Ilves-Kissat	0-2-0 2.98	0-1-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.21	0-0-2 2.78	—	1-0-1 2.38	1-1-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.42	1-1-0 3.59	1-1-0 2.73	2-0-0 3.07
KTP	1-1-0 3.38	0-0-2 2.59	0-1-1 2.73	1-1-0 3.15	1-0-1 3.12	—	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.77	1-1-0 3.98	0-1-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.48
KuPS	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 2.44	0-0-2 2.56	1-1-0 2.95	0-1-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.63	—	1-1-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.67	1-1-0 3.82	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 3.41
Kuusysi	0-0-2 3.02	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 2.22	0-0-2 2.76	1-1-0 2.71	1-0-1 2.39	0-1-1 2.64	—	1-1-0 2.36	1-1-0 3.50	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 3.04
Reipas Lahti	0-2-0 3.39	0-1-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.63	1-0-1 3.25	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 3.14	—	1-1-0 4.03	2-0-0 3.19	2-0-0 3.50
TaPa	0-1-1 2.10	0-0-2 1.64	0-0-2 1.59	0-0-2 1.95	0-1-1 1.92	0-1-1 1.56	0-1-1 1.72	0-1-1 2.01	0-1-1 1.53	—	1-0-1 2.07	1-0-1 2.34
Turku	0-0-2 2.98	0-2-0 2.16	1-0-1 2.12	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.27	0-1-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.31	1-0-1 3.44	—	0-1-1 3.05
VPS	1-1-0 2.58	1-1-0 1.78	1-0-1 2.03	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 2.44	1-0-1 2.04	1-0-1 2.09	1-0-1 2.47	0-0-2 2.01	1-0-1 3.16	1-1-0 2.45	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.73	+3.8
Allowed	0.33	-3.6
Differential	0.80	+2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.36%	9.09%	5.30%	3.03%	2.65%	1.52%	32.95%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	3.41%	0.76%	0.76%	23.11%
2	5.30%	4.55%	6.82%	2.65%	1.89%	0.76%	21.97%
3	3.03%	3.41%	2.65%	1.52%	0.76%	0.76%	12.12%
4	2.65%	0.76%	1.89%	0.76%	—	—	6.06%
5+	1.52%	0.76%	0.76%	0.76%	—	—	3.79%
Total	32.95%	23.11%	21.97%	12.12%	6.06%	3.79%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.51	1.51	+0.00
SD	1.54	1.54	2.19
CV	1.02	1.02	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	18.18%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	—	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	40.91%	18.18%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.45	+0.00
SD	1.37	1.77	2.05
CV	0.94	1.21	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
Total	31.82%	27.27%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.27	1.36	+0.91
SD	1.98	1.26	2.02
CV	0.87	0.92	—
Max	7	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	36.36%	27.27%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.55	1.27	+1.27
SD	1.82	1.28	2.53
CV	0.71	1.01	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	27.27%	—	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
1	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	40.91%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.23	-0.09
SD	1.04	1.34	1.54
CV	0.91	1.09	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	45.45%
1	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	45.45%	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.32	-0.18
SD	1.36	1.49	1.94
CV	1.19	1.13	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
4	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	9.09%	36.36%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.95	-0.09
SD	1.39	1.43	1.80
CV	0.75	0.73	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	27.27%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.27	-0.14
SD	0.99	1.16	1.46
CV	0.87	0.91	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	27.27%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.27	+0.32
SD	1.62	1.28	2.17
CV	1.02	1.01	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
1	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
2	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	54.55%	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.09	+0.91
SD	2.14	1.41	2.72
CV	1.07	1.29	—
Max	8	4	+8
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	50.00%
1	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.64	2.27	-1.64
SD	0.73	2.23	2.30
CV	1.14	0.98	—
Max	2	8	+1
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	45.45%
1	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	40.91%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.41	-0.45
SD	1.17	1.05	1.44
CV	1.23	0.75	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	9.09%	36.36%
1	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
2	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	13.64%	40.91%	4.55%	—	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	2.18	-0.82
SD	1.33	2.06	2.68
CV	0.97	0.94	—
Max	4	7	+2
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Haka	1378	31	25.61	+5.39	95.0%	16	21	23	25	28	31	33
HJK	1360	29	26.45	+2.55	81.0%	16	19	24	26	29	34	36
Reipas Lahti	1339	25	23.84	+1.16	68.0%	14	18	21	23	26	30	34
KTP	1298	21	24.37	-3.37	22.0%	15	18	22	24	27	31	35
KuPS	1293	22	23.28	-1.28	44.0%	15	17	20	23	26	30	33
Kuusysi	1283	20	21.84	-1.84	37.0%	14	14	19	22	24	28	31
Helsingfors	1260	22	21.62	+0.38	60.0%	11	16	19	21	23	28	30
GBK Kokkola	1255	25	19.85	+5.15	96.0%	11	13	18	19	22	25	29
Ilves-Kissat	1249	22	21.52	+0.48	61.0%	11	16	19	21	24	27	30
Turku	1225	16	21.02	-5.02	11.0%	12	15	18	21	23	28	33
VPS	1192	21	18.83	+2.17	75.0%	9	11	16	19	21	24	29
TaPa	1084	10	15.77	-5.77	3.0%	8	11	13	16	18	21	26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+24.24%

Strong Edge

50.00%24.24%25.76%

Elo Value

Home Edge

112 Elo

0.009 goals per Elo point

085.94300

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.70 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.77+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.

Title-Race Openness

5.2

Wide Open

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

26%

Haka, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Tight Race

00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.4 * Lucky: 4.4 to 5.87 * Wild Swing: 5.87 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.88 * Close: 1.88 to 2.82 * Off: 2.82 to 3.76 * Way Off: 3.76 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.46 points

Some Luck

03.679

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.17

02.355

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

GBK Kokkola

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.00%

TaPa

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.13

Balanced

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 79.42

1.35

Coin-Flip Parity

0.951.41.71.92.5

Interquartile Edge

59%

Even

50%62.5%70%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

84%

Clear Edge

50%83%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Frequent

0%50%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Occasional

0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Lopsided

00.330.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.94

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.61

Near-Lock

00.210.460.591

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Shaky Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.89

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.18

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.043

Well Within Noise

00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Haka	26.00%	17.00%	17.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—
HJK	29.00%	23.00%	12.00%	13.00%	6.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Reipas Lahti	10.00%	12.00%	15.00%	15.00%	12.00%	12.00%	5.00%	12.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
GBK Kokkola	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	18.00%	15.00%	11.00%	11.00%
Helsingfors	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	10.00%	15.00%	8.00%	18.00%	11.00%	11.00%	6.00%	2.00%
KuPS	10.00%	9.00%	14.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	12.00%	11.00%	4.00%	8.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Ilves-Kissat	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	14.00%	6.00%	12.00%	14.00%	12.00%	8.00%	2.00%
KTP	13.00%	8.00%	16.00%	19.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	6.00%	7.00%	1.00%	4.00%	—
VPS	—	1.00%	—	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	11.00%	9.00%	11.00%	16.00%	26.00%	11.00%
Kuusysi	1.00%	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	13.00%	8.00%	16.00%	8.00%	10.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Turku	2.00%	8.00%	1.00%	5.00%	10.00%	12.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	17.00%	9.00%	8.00%
TaPa	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	18.00%	57.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Haka	99.00%	1.00%
HJK	96.00%	4.00%
KTP	95.00%	5.00%
Reipas Lahti	95.00%	5.00%
KuPS	83.00%	17.00%
Kuusysi	82.00%	18.00%
Helsingfors	81.00%	19.00%
Ilves-Kissat	78.00%	22.00%
Turku	66.00%	34.00%
GBK Kokkola	63.00%	37.00%
VPS	47.00%	53.00%
TaPa	15.00%	85.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1965-04-25	KuPS	W 2-1	45.7	1217	1310	42.16%	25.70%	32.14%	-0.06	+4.1	2
1965-04-25	@ GBK Kokkola	L 1-2	45.7	1310	1217	32.14%	25.70%	42.16%	+0.06	-4.1	0
1965-04-25	Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	58.2	1326	1311	55.20%	24.97%	19.83%	+0.90	-0.7	1
1965-04-25	@ HJK	D 2-2	58.2	1311	1326	19.83%	24.97%	55.20%	-0.90	+0.7	1
1965-04-25	Turku	W 1-0	38.1	1255	1261	52.93%	25.24%	21.83%	+0.72	+3.2	2
1965-04-25	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-1	38.1	1261	1255	21.83%	25.24%	52.93%	-0.72	-3.2	0
1965-04-25	Helsingfors	D 0-0	49.6	1319	1262	59.45%	24.25%	16.29%	+1.28	-1.4	1
1965-04-25	@ KTP	D 0-0	49.6	1262	1319	16.29%	24.25%	59.45%	-1.28	+1.4	1
1965-04-25	TaPa	D 0-0	49.4	1257	1152	63.79%	23.19%	13.02%	+1.71	-1.7	1
1965-04-25	@ Kuusysi	D 0-0	49.4	1152	1257	13.02%	23.19%	63.79%	-1.71	+1.7	1
1965-04-25	Haka	W 4-2	47.6	1217	1328	39.77%	25.66%	34.57%	-0.22	+6.8	2
1965-04-25	@ VPS	L 2-4	47.6	1328	1217	34.57%	25.66%	39.77%	+0.22	-6.8	0
1965-05-02	KTP	W 4-1	37.8	1321	1318	53.90%	25.13%	20.97%	+0.80	+7.2	2
1965-05-02	@ Haka	L 1-4	37.8	1318	1321	20.97%	25.13%	53.90%	-0.80	-7.2	1
1965-05-02	Kuusysi	W 1-0	37.6	1263	1255	54.45%	25.07%	20.49%	+0.84	+3.0	3
1965-05-02	@ Helsingfors	L 0-1	37.6	1255	1263	20.49%	25.07%	54.45%	-0.84	-3.0	1
1965-05-02	VPS	W 1-0	35.5	1306	1224	61.78%	23.73%	14.49%	+1.51	+2.2	2
1965-05-02	@ KuPS	L 0-1	35.5	1224	1306	14.49%	23.73%	61.78%	-1.51	-2.2	2
1965-05-02	Ilves-Kissat	D 0-0	49.6	1312	1259	59.06%	24.33%	16.61%	+1.25	-1.4	2
1965-05-02	@ Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	49.6	1259	1312	16.61%	24.33%	59.06%	-1.25	+1.4	3
1965-05-02	HJK	L 1-4	40.1	1153	1325	31.46%	25.17%	43.37%	-0.77	-9.9	1
1965-05-02	@ TaPa	W 4-1	40.1	1325	1153	43.37%	25.17%	31.46%	+0.77	+9.9	3
1965-05-02	GBK Kokkola	L 1-2	52.8	1258	1221	57.42%	24.63%	17.95%	+1.10	-6.6	0
1965-05-02	@ Turku	W 2-1	52.8	1221	1258	17.95%	24.63%	57.42%	-1.10	+6.6	4
1965-05-07	Ilves-Kissat	L 0-3	44.6	1328	1260	60.48%	24.03%	15.48%	+1.38	-20.2	2
1965-05-07	@ Haka	W 3-0	44.6	1260	1328	15.48%	24.03%	60.48%	-1.38	+20.2	5
1965-05-09	Helsingfors	W 1-0	39.1	1228	1267	49.14%	25.54%	25.32%	+0.43	+3.6	6
1965-05-09	@ GBK Kokkola	L 0-1	39.1	1267	1228	25.32%	25.54%	49.14%	-0.43	-3.6	3
1965-05-09	Turku	D 1-1	53.6	1335	1251	61.91%	23.70%	14.39%	+1.52	-1.4	4
1965-05-09	@ HJK	D 1-1	53.6	1251	1335	14.39%	23.70%	61.91%	-1.52	+1.4	1
1965-05-09	KTP	W 2-1	42.8	1310	1311	53.53%	25.17%	21.30%	+0.77	+3.0	4
1965-05-09	@ Reipas Lahti	L 1-2	42.8	1311	1310	21.30%	25.17%	53.53%	-0.77	-3.0	1
1965-05-09	KuPS	D 1-1	52.6	1144	1308	32.34%	25.25%	42.41%	-0.71	+0.3	2
1965-05-09	@ TaPa	D 1-1	52.6	1308	1144	42.41%	25.25%	32.34%	+0.71	-0.3	3
1965-05-09	Kuusysi	W 2-0	36.0	1222	1252	50.04%	25.48%	24.47%	+0.49	+6.7	4
1965-05-09	@ VPS	L 0-2	36.0	1252	1222	24.47%	25.48%	50.04%	-0.49	-6.7	1
1965-05-16	Haka	L 0-1	45.1	1232	1308	44.39%	25.70%	29.91%	+0.09	-5.6	6
1965-05-16	@ GBK Kokkola	W 1-0	45.1	1308	1232	29.91%	25.70%	44.39%	-0.09	+5.6	4
1965-05-16	Helsingfors	W 1-0	36.1	1334	1263	60.73%	23.98%	15.29%	+1.41	+2.3	6
1965-05-16	@ HJK	L 0-1	36.1	1263	1334	15.29%	23.98%	60.73%	-1.41	-2.4	3
1965-05-16	VPS	W 2-0	33.4	1280	1228	58.94%	24.36%	16.71%	+1.23	+4.8	7
1965-05-16	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-2	33.4	1228	1280	16.71%	24.36%	58.94%	-1.23	-4.8	4
1965-05-16	TaPa	W 1-0	33.2	1308	1144	68.46%	21.61%	9.93%	+2.24	+1.5	3
1965-05-16	@ KTP	L 0-1	33.2	1144	1308	9.93%	21.61%	68.46%	-2.24	-1.5	2
1965-05-16	Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	49.6	1308	1313	53.01%	25.23%	21.76%	+0.72	-1.0	4
1965-05-16	@ KuPS	D 0-0	49.6	1313	1308	21.76%	25.23%	53.01%	-0.72	+1.0	5
1965-05-16	Turku	W 1-0	38.0	1246	1253	52.81%	25.25%	21.94%	+0.71	+3.2	3
1965-05-16	@ Kuusysi	L 0-1	38.0	1253	1246	21.94%	25.25%	52.81%	-0.71	-3.2	1
1965-05-18	Haka	D 2-2	57.5	1261	1313	47.35%	25.63%	27.02%	+0.30	-0.4	4
1965-05-18	@ Helsingfors	D 2-2	57.5	1313	1261	27.02%	25.63%	47.35%	-0.30	+0.4	5
1965-05-19	VPS	D 2-2	57.2	1226	1223	53.87%	25.14%	21.00%	+0.79	-0.7	7
1965-05-19	@ GBK Kokkola	D 2-2	57.2	1223	1226	21.00%	25.14%	53.87%	-0.79	+0.7	5
1965-05-19	KuPS	W 4-3	50.0	1309	1307	53.80%	25.14%	21.05%	+0.79	+2.7	5
1965-05-19	@ KTP	L 3-4	50.0	1307	1309	21.05%	25.14%	53.80%	-0.79	-2.7	4
1965-05-19	HJK	W 3-0	36.4	1249	1336	42.95%	25.70%	31.34%	-0.01	+11.8	5
1965-05-19	@ Kuusysi	L 0-3	36.4	1336	1249	31.34%	25.70%	42.95%	+0.01	-11.8	6
1965-05-19	Ilves-Kissat	D 0-0	48.7	1142	1285	35.31%	25.47%	39.22%	-0.51	+0.1	3
1965-05-19	@ TaPa	D 0-0	48.7	1285	1142	39.22%	25.47%	35.31%	+0.51	-0.1	8
1965-05-19	Reipas Lahti	L 2-3	54.3	1249	1314	45.85%	25.67%	28.47%	+0.19	-5.2	1
1965-05-19	@ Turku	W 3-2	54.3	1314	1249	28.47%	25.67%	45.85%	-0.19	+5.2	7
1965-05-23	KuPS	W 3-0	33.1	1314	1305	54.59%	25.05%	20.36%	+0.85	+8.3	7
1965-05-23	@ Haka	L 0-3	33.1	1305	1314	20.36%	25.05%	54.59%	-0.85	-8.3	4
1965-05-23	GBK Kokkola	W 7-3	36.0	1324	1225	63.24%	23.35%	13.42%	+1.66	+4.8	8
1965-05-23	@ HJK	L 3-7	36.0	1225	1324	13.42%	23.35%	63.24%	-1.66	-4.8	7
1965-05-23	Kuusysi	D 0-0	49.3	1285	1261	56.15%	24.84%	19.02%	+0.99	-1.2	9
1965-05-23	@ Ilves-Kissat	D 0-0	49.3	1261	1285	19.02%	24.84%	56.15%	-0.99	+1.2	6
1965-05-23	Helsingfors	W 4-0	30.2	1319	1260	59.65%	24.21%	16.13%	+1.30	+8.8	9
1965-05-23	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	30.2	1260	1319	16.13%	24.21%	59.65%	-1.30	-8.8	4
1965-05-23	KTP	W 2-1	44.8	1244	1312	45.48%	25.68%	28.84%	+0.16	+3.8	3
1965-05-23	@ Turku	L 1-2	44.8	1312	1244	28.84%	25.68%	45.48%	-0.16	-3.8	5
1965-05-23	TaPa	L 1-2	53.6	1224	1142	61.73%	23.74%	14.53%	+1.50	-7.1	5
1965-05-23	@ VPS	W 2-1	53.6	1142	1224	14.53%	23.74%	61.73%	-1.50	+7.1	5
1965-05-30	HJK	L 0-1	48.2	1322	1329	52.80%	25.25%	21.94%	+0.71	-6.5	7
1965-05-30	@ Haka	W 1-0	48.2	1329	1322	21.94%	25.25%	52.80%	-0.71	+6.5	10
1965-05-30	VPS	W 2-0	33.8	1251	1217	57.19%	24.67%	18.14%	+1.08	+5.2	6
1965-05-30	@ Helsingfors	L 0-2	33.8	1217	1251	18.14%	24.67%	57.19%	-1.08	-5.2	5
1965-05-30	GBK Kokkola	W 3-0	30.3	1308	1221	62.25%	23.61%	14.14%	+1.56	+6.0	7
1965-05-30	@ KTP	L 0-3	30.3	1221	1308	14.14%	23.61%	62.25%	-1.56	-6.0	7
1965-05-30	Ilves-Kissat	D 0-0	49.4	1296	1284	54.94%	25.00%	20.06%	+0.88	-1.1	5
1965-05-30	@ KuPS	D 0-0	49.4	1284	1296	20.06%	25.00%	54.94%	-0.88	+1.1	10
1965-05-30	Kuusysi	L 0-2	46.8	1328	1262	60.31%	24.07%	15.61%	+1.36	-13.9	9
1965-05-30	@ Reipas Lahti	W 2-0	46.8	1262	1328	15.61%	24.07%	60.31%	-1.36	+13.9	8
1965-05-30	Turku	L 2-3	52.5	1149	1248	41.40%	25.69%	32.90%	-0.11	-4.7	5
1965-05-30	@ TaPa	W 3-2	52.5	1248	1149	32.90%	25.69%	41.40%	+0.11	+4.7	5
1965-06-04	Ilves-Kissat	W 4-0	30.8	1336	1285	58.84%	24.38%	16.78%	+1.23	+9.1	12
1965-06-04	@ HJK	L 0-4	30.8	1285	1336	16.78%	24.38%	58.84%	-1.23	-9.1	10
1965-06-04	Haka	L 0-2	38.0	1145	1316	31.57%	25.18%	43.25%	-0.76	-8.1	5
1965-06-04	@ TaPa	W 2-0	38.0	1316	1145	43.25%	25.18%	31.57%	+0.76	+8.1	9
1965-06-04	Helsingfors	W 1-0	38.0	1253	1256	53.17%	25.21%	21.62%	+0.74	+3.2	7
1965-06-04	@ Turku	L 0-1	38.0	1256	1253	21.62%	25.21%	53.17%	-0.74	-3.2	6
1965-06-05	Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	49.0	1215	1314	41.26%	25.69%	33.05%	-0.12	-0.2	8
1965-06-05	@ GBK Kokkola	D 0-0	49.0	1314	1215	33.05%	25.69%	41.26%	+0.12	+0.2	10
1965-06-05	KuPS	D 1-1	53.0	1276	1295	51.39%	25.38%	23.23%	+0.60	-0.8	9
1965-06-05	@ Kuusysi	D 1-1	53.0	1295	1276	23.23%	25.38%	51.39%	-0.60	+0.8	6
1965-06-05	KTP	L 0-3	38.9	1212	1314	40.90%	25.69%	33.41%	-0.15	-14.4	5
1965-06-05	@ VPS	W 3-0	38.9	1314	1212	33.41%	25.69%	40.90%	+0.15	+14.4	9
1965-06-13	TaPa	W 1-0	34.2	1253	1137	64.74%	22.91%	12.36%	+1.82	+1.9	8
1965-06-13	@ Helsingfors	L 0-1	34.2	1137	1253	12.36%	22.91%	64.74%	-1.82	-1.9	5
1965-06-13	GBK Kokkola	D 0-0	49.3	1276	1214	59.82%	24.18%	16.00%	+1.32	-1.4	11
1965-06-13	@ Ilves-Kissat	D 0-0	49.3	1214	1276	16.00%	24.18%	59.82%	-1.32	+1.4	9
1965-06-13	Kuusysi	W 3-2	45.4	1329	1275	59.10%	24.33%	16.57%	+1.25	+2.3	11
1965-06-13	@ KTP	L 2-3	45.4	1275	1329	16.57%	24.33%	59.10%	-1.25	-2.3	9
1965-06-13	HJK	W 1-0	40.3	1296	1345	47.86%	25.60%	26.54%	+0.33	+3.8	8
1965-06-13	@ KuPS	L 0-1	40.3	1345	1296	26.54%	25.60%	47.86%	-0.33	-3.8	12
1965-06-13	Turku	W 2-0	36.9	1198	1256	46.66%	25.65%	27.69%	+0.25	+7.4	7
1965-06-13	@ VPS	L 0-2	36.9	1256	1198	27.69%	25.65%	46.66%	-0.25	-7.3	7
1965-06-18	KTP	W 5-3	46.3	1341	1331	54.68%	25.04%	20.28%	+0.86	+4.2	14
1965-06-18	@ HJK	L 3-5	46.3	1331	1341	20.28%	25.04%	54.68%	-0.86	-4.2	11
1965-06-19	TaPa	D 0-0	49.1	1216	1135	61.67%	23.76%	14.58%	+1.50	-1.5	10
1965-06-19	@ GBK Kokkola	D 0-0	49.1	1135	1216	14.58%	23.76%	61.67%	-1.50	+1.5	6
1965-06-19	Kuusysi	W 3-1	38.4	1324	1273	58.85%	24.37%	16.78%	+1.23	+4.2	11
1965-06-19	@ Haka	L 1-3	38.4	1273	1324	16.78%	24.37%	58.85%	-1.23	-4.2	9
1965-06-19	Helsingfors	L 0-2	45.3	1274	1255	55.62%	24.91%	19.47%	+0.94	-12.9	11
1965-06-19	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 2-0	45.3	1255	1274	19.47%	24.91%	55.62%	-0.94	+12.9	10
1965-06-19	Turku	D 1-1	53.2	1300	1249	58.85%	24.37%	16.77%	+1.23	-1.2	9
1965-06-19	@ KuPS	D 1-1	53.2	1249	1300	16.77%	24.37%	58.85%	-1.23	+1.2	8
1965-06-19	VPS	W 6-0	28.8	1315	1205	64.16%	23.08%	12.76%	+1.75	+10.3	12
1965-06-19	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-6	28.8	1205	1315	12.76%	23.08%	64.16%	-1.75	-10.3	7
1965-06-27	KuPS	L 0-1	46.9	1268	1298	50.10%	25.48%	24.42%	+0.50	-6.2	10
1965-06-27	@ Helsingfors	W 1-0	46.9	1298	1268	24.42%	25.48%	50.10%	-0.50	+6.2	11
1965-06-27	Ilves-Kissat	W 4-2	41.7	1327	1261	60.22%	24.09%	15.69%	+1.36	+3.5	13
1965-06-27	@ KTP	L 2-4	41.7	1261	1327	15.69%	24.09%	60.22%	-1.36	-3.5	11
1965-06-27	GBK Kokkola	L 2-3	57.6	1269	1214	59.17%	24.31%	16.52%	+1.26	-6.5	9
1965-06-27	@ Kuusysi	W 3-2	57.6	1214	1269	16.52%	24.31%	59.17%	-1.26	+6.5	12
1965-06-27	Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	49.0	1136	1325	29.37%	24.94%	45.69%	-0.92	+0.5	7
1965-06-27	@ TaPa	D 0-0	49.0	1325	1136	45.69%	24.94%	29.37%	+0.92	-0.5	13
1965-06-27	Haka	W 3-1	42.7	1250	1328	44.14%	25.70%	30.15%	+0.07	+6.8	10
1965-06-27	@ Turku	L 1-3	42.7	1328	1250	30.15%	25.70%	44.14%	-0.07	-6.8	11
1965-06-27	HJK	W 4-2	49.3	1195	1345	34.23%	25.40%	40.37%	-0.58	+7.6	9
1965-06-27	@ VPS	L 2-4	49.3	1345	1195	40.37%	25.40%	34.23%	+0.58	-7.6	14
1965-07-02	Haka	L 0-1	48.5	1324	1321	53.94%	25.13%	20.93%	+0.80	-6.6	13
1965-07-02	@ Reipas Lahti	W 1-0	48.5	1321	1324	20.93%	25.13%	53.94%	-0.80	+6.7	13
1965-07-18	VPS	W 7-0	29.0	1328	1202	65.47%	22.67%	11.85%	+1.90	+11.1	15
1965-07-18	@ Haka	L 0-7	29.0	1202	1328	11.85%	22.67%	65.47%	-1.90	-11.1	9
1965-07-18	KTP	L 1-2	50.0	1262	1330	45.41%	25.68%	28.91%	+0.16	-5.4	10
1965-07-18	@ Helsingfors	W 2-1	50.0	1330	1262	28.91%	25.68%	45.41%	-0.16	+5.4	15
1965-07-18	GBK Kokkola	W 3-1	37.2	1305	1221	61.92%	23.69%	14.39%	+1.52	+3.6	13
1965-07-18	@ KuPS	L 1-3	37.2	1221	1305	14.39%	23.69%	61.92%	-1.52	-3.6	12
1965-07-18	HJK	L 3-4	59.5	1318	1338	51.34%	25.39%	23.27%	+0.59	-5.5	13
1965-07-18	@ Reipas Lahti	W 4-3	59.5	1338	1318	23.27%	25.39%	51.34%	-0.59	+5.6	16
1965-07-18	Kuusysi	L 1-2	47.0	1137	1262	37.71%	25.59%	36.70%	-0.35	-4.6	7
1965-07-18	@ TaPa	W 2-1	47.0	1262	1137	36.70%	25.59%	37.71%	+0.35	+4.6	11
1965-07-18	Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	52.8	1257	1258	53.45%	25.18%	21.37%	+0.76	-0.9	11
1965-07-18	@ Turku	D 1-1	52.8	1258	1257	21.37%	25.18%	53.45%	-0.76	+0.9	12
1965-07-25	Turku	W 3-0	34.0	1217	1256	49.12%	25.54%	25.34%	+0.42	+10.0	14
1965-07-25	@ GBK Kokkola	L 0-3	34.0	1256	1217	25.34%	25.54%	49.12%	-0.42	-10.0	11
1965-07-25	TaPa	W 4-0	26.1	1343	1132	71.83%	20.17%	8.00%	+2.66	+4.3	18
1965-07-25	@ HJK	L 0-4	26.1	1132	1343	8.00%	20.17%	71.83%	-2.66	-4.3	7
1965-07-25	Reipas Lahti	L 0-3	41.0	1259	1312	47.28%	25.63%	27.10%	+0.29	-16.2	12
1965-07-25	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 3-0	41.0	1312	1259	27.10%	25.63%	47.28%	-0.29	+16.2	15
1965-07-25	Haka	D 2-2	58.4	1336	1339	53.21%	25.21%	21.58%	+0.74	-0.6	16
1965-07-25	@ KTP	D 2-2	58.4	1339	1336	21.58%	25.21%	53.21%	-0.74	+0.7	16
1965-07-25	Helsingfors	L 1-2	52.2	1267	1256	54.70%	25.04%	20.27%	+0.86	-6.3	11
1965-07-25	@ Kuusysi	W 2-1	52.2	1256	1267	20.27%	25.04%	54.70%	-0.86	+6.3	12
1965-07-25	KuPS	W 2-1	46.6	1191	1308	38.84%	25.63%	35.52%	-0.28	+4.4	11
1965-07-25	@ VPS	L 1-2	46.6	1308	1191	35.52%	25.63%	38.84%	+0.28	-4.4	13
1965-07-30	Haka	L 2-3	53.2	1242	1340	41.62%	25.70%	32.68%	-0.10	-4.8	12
1965-07-30	@ Ilves-Kissat	W 3-2	53.2	1340	1242	32.68%	25.70%	41.62%	+0.10	+4.8	18
1965-08-01	GBK Kokkola	L 0-1	48.5	1263	1227	57.34%	24.65%	18.02%	+1.09	-7.0	12
1965-08-01	@ Helsingfors	W 1-0	48.5	1227	1263	18.02%	24.65%	57.34%	-1.09	+7.0	16
1965-08-01	Reipas Lahti	W 4-2	44.1	1335	1328	54.28%	25.09%	20.63%	+0.83	+4.5	18
1965-08-01	@ KTP	L 2-4	44.1	1328	1335	20.63%	25.09%	54.28%	-0.83	-4.5	15
1965-08-01	TaPa	W 3-1	34.6	1304	1128	69.36%	21.25%	9.39%	+2.35	+2.3	15
1965-08-01	@ KuPS	L 1-3	34.6	1128	1304	9.39%	21.25%	69.36%	-2.35	-2.3	7
1965-08-01	VPS	W 6-1	32.4	1260	1195	60.18%	24.10%	15.72%	+1.35	+8.8	13
1965-08-01	@ Kuusysi	L 1-6	32.4	1195	1260	15.72%	24.10%	60.18%	-1.35	-8.8	11
1965-08-01	HJK	D 0-0	49.3	1246	1347	40.99%	25.69%	33.32%	-0.14	-0.2	12
1965-08-01	@ Turku	D 0-0	49.3	1347	1246	33.32%	25.69%	40.99%	+0.14	+0.2	19
1965-08-11	Helsingfors	D 3-3	62.0	1344	1256	62.32%	23.59%	14.09%	+1.56	-0.9	19
1965-08-11	@ Haka	D 3-3	62.0	1256	1344	14.09%	23.59%	62.32%	-1.56	+0.9	13
1965-08-11	Kuusysi	W 3-1	37.8	1348	1269	61.43%	23.81%	14.76%	+1.47	+3.7	21
1965-08-11	@ HJK	L 1-3	37.8	1269	1348	14.76%	23.81%	61.43%	-1.47	-3.7	13
1965-08-11	TaPa	W 1-0	34.3	1238	1125	64.37%	23.02%	12.61%	+1.78	+2.0	14
1965-08-11	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-1	34.3	1125	1238	12.61%	23.02%	64.37%	-1.78	-2.0	7
1965-08-11	KTP	W 1-0	39.8	1306	1339	49.77%	25.50%	24.73%	+0.47	+3.6	17
1965-08-11	@ KuPS	L 0-1	39.8	1339	1306	24.73%	25.50%	49.77%	-0.47	-3.6	18
1965-08-11	Turku	W 4-0	29.6	1324	1246	61.42%	23.82%	14.76%	+1.47	+8.1	17
1965-08-11	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-4	29.6	1246	1324	14.76%	23.82%	61.42%	-1.47	-8.1	12
1965-08-11	GBK Kokkola	W 1-0	39.3	1187	1234	48.03%	25.60%	26.37%	+0.34	+3.8	13
1965-08-11	@ VPS	L 0-1	39.3	1234	1187	26.37%	25.60%	48.03%	-0.34	-3.8	16
1965-08-15	GBK Kokkola	W 4-0	28.8	1343	1230	64.43%	23.00%	12.57%	+1.78	+6.9	21
1965-08-15	@ Haka	L 0-4	28.8	1230	1343	12.57%	23.00%	64.43%	-1.78	-6.9	16
1965-08-15	HJK	L 2-5	47.0	1257	1351	41.93%	25.70%	32.37%	-0.08	-10.7	13
1965-08-15	@ Helsingfors	W 5-2	47.0	1351	1257	32.37%	25.70%	41.93%	+0.08	+10.7	23
1965-08-15	KuPS	W 2-0	35.1	1332	1310	55.97%	24.86%	19.17%	+0.97	+5.4	19
1965-08-15	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	35.1	1310	1332	19.17%	24.86%	55.97%	-0.97	-5.4	17
1965-08-15	KTP	D 2-2	57.4	1123	1336	26.62%	24.56%	48.82%	-1.13	+0.4	8
1965-08-15	@ TaPa	D 2-2	57.4	1336	1123	48.82%	24.56%	26.62%	+1.13	-0.4	19
1965-08-15	Kuusysi	W 4-2	44.3	1237	1266	50.38%	25.46%	24.16%	+0.52	+5.1	14
1965-08-15	@ Turku	L 2-4	44.3	1266	1237	24.16%	25.46%	50.38%	-0.52	-5.1	13
1965-08-15	Ilves-Kissat	L 2-5	48.0	1190	1240	47.82%	25.61%	26.58%	+0.33	-12.0	13
1965-08-15	@ VPS	W 5-2	48.0	1240	1190	26.58%	25.61%	47.82%	-0.33	+12.0	16
1965-08-29	HJK	W 1-0	43.5	1223	1362	35.86%	25.50%	38.64%	-0.47	+5.0	18
1965-08-29	@ GBK Kokkola	L 0-1	43.5	1362	1223	38.64%	25.50%	35.86%	+0.47	-5.0	23
1965-08-29	Reipas Lahti	W 3-1	43.3	1246	1338	42.35%	25.70%	31.95%	-0.05	+7.1	15
1965-08-29	@ Helsingfors	L 1-3	43.3	1338	1246	31.95%	25.70%	42.35%	+0.05	-7.1	19
1965-08-29	Turku	D 0-0	49.9	1335	1243	62.70%	23.49%	13.80%	+1.60	-1.6	20
1965-08-29	@ KTP	D 0-0	49.9	1243	1335	13.80%	23.49%	62.70%	-1.60	+1.6	15
1965-08-29	Haka	L 1-3	48.7	1304	1350	48.22%	25.59%	26.20%	+0.36	-9.8	17
1965-08-29	@ KuPS	W 3-1	48.7	1350	1304	26.20%	25.59%	48.22%	-0.36	+9.8	23
1965-08-29	Ilves-Kissat	W 4-0	31.5	1260	1252	54.53%	25.06%	20.41%	+0.85	+10.9	15
1965-08-29	@ Kuusysi	L 0-4	31.5	1252	1260	20.41%	25.06%	54.53%	-0.85	-10.9	16
1965-08-29	VPS	L 1-3	47.1	1124	1178	47.15%	25.63%	27.22%	+0.28	-9.6	8
1965-08-29	@ TaPa	W 3-1	47.1	1178	1124	27.22%	25.63%	47.15%	-0.28	+9.6	15
1965-09-05	KTP	D 3-3	61.2	1228	1334	40.49%	25.68%	33.83%	-0.17	-0.1	19
1965-09-05	@ GBK Kokkola	D 3-3	61.2	1334	1228	33.83%	25.68%	40.49%	+0.17	+0.1	21
1965-09-05	Haka	L 0-2	46.3	1357	1360	53.24%	25.21%	21.56%	+0.74	-12.4	23
1965-09-05	@ HJK	W 2-0	46.3	1360	1357	21.56%	25.21%	53.24%	-0.74	+12.4	25
1965-09-05	KuPS	W 2-0	37.0	1241	1295	47.25%	25.63%	27.12%	+0.29	+7.2	18
1965-09-05	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 0-2	37.0	1295	1241	27.12%	25.63%	47.25%	-0.29	-7.2	17
1965-09-05	Reipas Lahti	D 0-0	49.4	1271	1330	46.58%	25.65%	27.77%	+0.24	-0.5	16
1965-09-05	@ Kuusysi	D 0-0	49.4	1330	1271	27.77%	25.65%	46.58%	-0.24	+0.6	20
1965-09-05	TaPa	L 0-1	50.1	1244	1114	65.82%	22.56%	11.62%	+1.93	-8.0	15
1965-09-05	@ Turku	W 1-0	50.1	1114	1244	11.62%	22.56%	65.82%	-1.93	+8.0	10
1965-09-05	Helsingfors	W 1-0	40.0	1188	1253	45.84%	25.67%	28.48%	+0.19	+4.0	17
1965-09-05	@ VPS	L 0-1	40.0	1253	1188	28.48%	25.67%	45.84%	-0.19	-4.0	15
1965-09-12	TaPa	W 7-1	27.9	1373	1122	74.41%	18.90%	6.69%	+3.01	+4.3	27
1965-09-12	@ Haka	L 1-7	27.9	1122	1373	6.69%	18.90%	74.41%	-3.01	-4.3	10
1965-09-12	Turku	W 1-0	37.4	1249	1236	54.97%	25.00%	20.03%	+0.89	+3.0	17
1965-09-12	@ Helsingfors	L 0-1	37.4	1236	1249	20.03%	25.00%	54.97%	-0.89	-3.0	15
1965-09-12	HJK	D 1-1	53.0	1248	1345	41.66%	25.70%	32.64%	-0.10	-0.2	19
1965-09-12	@ Ilves-Kissat	D 1-1	53.0	1345	1248	32.64%	25.70%	41.66%	+0.10	+0.2	24
1965-09-12	VPS	L 2-3	59.4	1334	1192	66.76%	22.24%	11.00%	+2.04	-7.2	21
1965-09-12	@ KTP	W 3-2	59.4	1192	1334	11.00%	22.24%	66.76%	-2.04	+7.2	19
1965-09-12	Kuusysi	W 2-0	34.7	1287	1271	55.37%	24.95%	19.69%	+0.92	+5.5	19
1965-09-12	@ KuPS	L 0-2	34.7	1271	1287	19.69%	24.95%	55.37%	-0.92	-5.6	16
1965-09-12	GBK Kokkola	D 2-2	58.1	1331	1228	63.55%	23.26%	13.19%	+1.69	-1.1	21
1965-09-12	@ Reipas Lahti	D 2-2	58.1	1228	1331	13.19%	23.26%	63.55%	-1.69	+1.1	20
1965-09-19	Ilves-Kissat	D 2-2	57.2	1229	1248	51.51%	25.37%	23.12%	+0.61	-0.6	21
1965-09-19	@ GBK Kokkola	D 2-2	57.2	1248	1229	23.12%	25.37%	51.51%	-0.61	+0.6	20
1965-09-19	Reipas Lahti	W 3-0	32.9	1377	1330	58.45%	24.45%	17.10%	+1.19	+7.1	29
1965-09-19	@ Haka	L 0-3	32.9	1330	1377	17.10%	24.45%	58.45%	-1.19	-7.1	21
1965-09-19	KuPS	W 2-0	34.1	1345	1293	58.96%	24.35%	16.69%	+1.24	+4.8	26
1965-09-19	@ HJK	L 0-2	34.1	1293	1345	16.69%	24.35%	58.96%	-1.24	-4.8	19
1965-09-19	KTP	W 4-0	34.3	1265	1327	46.27%	25.66%	28.07%	+0.22	+14.1	18
1965-09-19	@ Kuusysi	L 0-4	34.3	1327	1265	28.07%	25.66%	46.27%	-0.22	-14.1	21
1965-09-19	Helsingfors	L 1-2	46.6	1118	1252	36.49%	25.54%	37.97%	-0.43	-4.5	10
1965-09-19	@ TaPa	W 2-1	46.6	1252	1118	37.97%	25.54%	36.49%	+0.43	+4.5	19
1965-09-19	VPS	D 0-0	49.0	1233	1199	57.16%	24.68%	18.16%	+1.07	-1.2	16
1965-09-19	@ Turku	D 0-0	49.0	1199	1233	18.16%	24.68%	57.16%	-1.07	+1.2	20
1965-10-03	Ilves-Kissat	W 1-0	37.6	1257	1248	54.48%	25.06%	20.46%	+0.84	+3.0	21
1965-10-03	@ Helsingfors	L 0-1	37.6	1248	1257	20.46%	25.06%	54.48%	-0.84	-3.0	20
1965-10-03	HJK	L 0-2	44.5	1313	1350	49.29%	25.53%	25.18%	+0.44	-11.6	21
1965-10-03	@ KTP	W 2-0	44.5	1350	1313	25.18%	25.53%	49.29%	-0.44	+11.6	28
1965-10-03	Haka	W 3-1	44.5	1279	1384	40.58%	25.68%	33.74%	-0.17	+7.4	20
1965-10-03	@ Kuusysi	L 1-3	44.5	1384	1279	33.74%	25.68%	40.58%	+0.17	-7.4	29
1965-10-03	GBK Kokkola	L 0-5	36.7	1113	1229	39.10%	25.64%	35.26%	-0.26	-22.3	10
1965-10-03	@ TaPa	W 5-0	36.7	1229	1113	35.26%	25.64%	39.10%	+0.26	+22.3	23
1965-10-03	KuPS	L 1-2	50.1	1232	1288	46.97%	25.64%	27.39%	+0.27	-5.5	16
1965-10-03	@ Turku	W 2-1	50.1	1288	1232	27.39%	25.64%	46.97%	-0.27	+5.5	21
1965-10-03	Reipas Lahti	L 0-2	40.3	1201	1323	38.15%	25.61%	36.24%	-0.33	-9.4	20
1965-10-03	@ VPS	W 2-0	40.3	1323	1201	36.24%	25.61%	38.15%	+0.33	+9.4	23
1965-10-10	Kuusysi	W 1-0	39.2	1251	1287	49.50%	25.52%	24.99%	+0.45	+3.6	25
1965-10-10	@ GBK Kokkola	L 0-1	39.2	1287	1251	24.99%	25.52%	49.50%	-0.45	-3.6	20
1965-10-10	Turku	W 2-1	38.5	1377	1226	67.40%	22.01%	10.59%	+2.11	+1.5	31
1965-10-10	@ Haka	L 1-2	38.5	1226	1377	10.59%	22.01%	67.40%	-2.11	-1.5	16
1965-10-10	VPS	D 2-2	58.7	1361	1191	68.92%	21.43%	9.66%	+2.29	-1.3	29
1965-10-10	@ HJK	D 2-2	58.7	1191	1361	9.66%	21.43%	68.92%	-2.29	+1.3	21
1965-10-10	KTP	W 3-2	48.7	1245	1301	47.00%	25.64%	27.36%	+0.27	+3.5	22
1965-10-10	@ Ilves-Kissat	L 2-3	48.7	1301	1245	27.36%	25.64%	47.00%	-0.27	-3.5	21
1965-10-10	Helsingfors	D 2-2	57.7	1294	1260	57.17%	24.68%	18.16%	+1.07	-0.8	22
1965-10-10	@ KuPS	D 2-2	57.7	1260	1294	18.16%	24.68%	57.17%	-1.07	+0.8	22
1965-10-10	TaPa	W 8-0	26.8	1332	1091	73.82%	19.21%	6.98%	+2.93	+7.1	25
1965-10-10	@ Reipas Lahti	L 0-8	26.8	1091	1332	6.98%	19.21%	73.82%	-2.93	-7.1	10

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1965-09-12	11.00%	VPS	1192	3	@ KTP	1334	2
2	1965-09-05	11.62%	TaPa	1114	1	@ Turku	1244	0
3	1965-05-23	14.53%	TaPa	1142	2	@ VPS	1224	1
4	1965-05-07	15.48%	Ilves-Kissat	1260	3	@ Haka	1328	0
5	1965-05-30	15.61%	Kuusysi	1262	2	@ Reipas Lahti	1328	0
6	1965-06-27	16.52%	GBK Kokkola	1214	3	@ Kuusysi	1269	2
7	1965-05-02	17.95%	GBK Kokkola	1221	2	@ Turku	1258	1
8	1965-08-01	18.02%	GBK Kokkola	1227	1	@ Helsingfors	1263	0
9	1965-06-19	19.47%	Helsingfors	1255	2	@ Ilves-Kissat	1274	0
10	1965-07-25	20.27%	Helsingfors	1256	2	@ Kuusysi	1267	1
11	1965-07-02	20.93%	Haka	1321	1	@ Reipas Lahti	1324	0
12	1965-09-05	21.56%	Haka	1360	2	@ HJK	1357	0
13	1965-05-30	21.94%	HJK	1329	1	@ Haka	1322	0
14	1965-07-18	23.27%	HJK	1338	4	@ Reipas Lahti	1318	3
15	1965-06-27	24.42%	KuPS	1298	1	@ Helsingfors	1268	0
16	1965-10-03	25.18%	HJK	1350	2	@ KTP	1313	0
17	1965-08-29	26.20%	Haka	1350	3	@ KuPS	1304	1
18	1965-08-15	26.58%	Ilves-Kissat	1240	5	@ VPS	1190	2
19	1965-07-25	27.10%	Reipas Lahti	1312	3	@ Ilves-Kissat	1259	0
20	1965-08-29	27.22%	VPS	1178	3	@ TaPa	1124	1
21	1965-10-03	27.39%	KuPS	1288	2	@ Turku	1232	1
22	1965-05-19	28.47%	Reipas Lahti	1314	3	@ Turku	1249	2
23	1965-07-18	28.91%	KTP	1330	2	@ Helsingfors	1262	1
24	1965-05-16	29.91%	Haka	1308	1	@ GBK Kokkola	1232	0
25	1965-08-15	32.37%	HJK	1351	5	@ Helsingfors	1257	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1965-10-03	22.33	GBK Kokkola	5	1229	35.26%	@ TaPa	0	1113	39.10%	25.64%
2	1965-05-07	20.20	Ilves-Kissat	3	1260	15.48%	@ Haka	0	1328	60.48%	24.03%
3	1965-07-25	16.20	Reipas Lahti	3	1312	27.10%	@ Ilves-Kissat	0	1259	47.28%	25.63%
4	1965-06-05	14.37	KTP	3	1314	33.41%	@ VPS	0	1212	40.90%	25.69%
5	1965-09-19	14.10	@ Kuusysi	4	1265	46.27%	KTP	0	1327	28.07%	25.66%
6	1965-05-30	13.88	Kuusysi	2	1262	15.61%	@ Reipas Lahti	0	1328	60.31%	24.07%
7	1965-06-19	12.89	Helsingfors	2	1255	19.47%	@ Ilves-Kissat	0	1274	55.62%	24.91%
8	1965-09-05	12.38	Haka	2	1360	21.56%	@ HJK	0	1357	53.24%	25.21%
9	1965-08-15	11.95	Ilves-Kissat	5	1240	26.58%	@ VPS	2	1190	47.82%	25.61%
10	1965-05-19	11.75	@ Kuusysi	3	1249	42.95%	HJK	0	1336	31.34%	25.70%
11	1965-10-03	11.57	HJK	2	1350	25.18%	@ KTP	0	1313	49.29%	25.53%
12	1965-07-18	11.09	@ Haka	7	1328	65.47%	VPS	0	1202	11.85%	22.67%
13	1965-08-29	10.87	@ Kuusysi	4	1260	54.53%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1252	20.41%	25.06%
14	1965-08-15	10.71	HJK	5	1351	32.37%	@ Helsingfors	2	1257	41.93%	25.70%
15	1965-06-19	10.31	@ Reipas Lahti	6	1315	64.16%	VPS	0	1205	12.76%	23.08%
16	1965-07-25	9.96	@ GBK Kokkola	3	1217	49.12%	Turku	0	1256	25.34%	25.54%
17	1965-05-02	9.88	HJK	4	1325	43.37%	@ TaPa	1	1153	31.46%	25.17%
18	1965-08-29	9.83	Haka	3	1350	26.20%	@ KuPS	1	1304	48.22%	25.59%
19	1965-08-29	9.64	VPS	3	1178	27.22%	@ TaPa	1	1124	47.15%	25.63%
20	1965-10-03	9.37	Reipas Lahti	2	1323	36.24%	@ VPS	0	1201	38.15%	25.61%
21	1965-06-04	9.14	@ HJK	4	1336	58.84%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1285	16.78%	24.38%
22	1965-05-23	8.82	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1319	59.65%	Helsingfors	0	1260	16.13%	24.21%
23	1965-08-01	8.78	@ Kuusysi	6	1260	60.18%	VPS	1	1195	15.72%	24.10%
24	1965-05-23	8.30	@ Haka	3	1314	54.59%	KuPS	0	1305	20.36%	25.05%
25	1965-08-11	8.12	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1324	61.42%	Turku	0	1246	14.76%	23.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1965-08-11	62.0	@ Haka	3	1344	62.32%	Helsingfors	3	1256	14.09%	23.59%
2	1965-09-05	61.2	@ GBK Kokkola	3	1228	40.49%	KTP	3	1334	33.83%	25.68%
3	1965-07-18	59.5	HJK	4	1338	23.27%	@ Reipas Lahti	3	1318	51.34%	25.39%
4	1965-09-12	59.4	VPS	3	1192	11.00%	@ KTP	2	1334	66.76%	22.24%
5	1965-10-10	58.7	@ HJK	2	1361	68.92%	VPS	2	1191	9.66%	21.43%
6	1965-07-25	58.4	@ KTP	2	1336	53.21%	Haka	2	1339	21.58%	25.21%
7	1965-04-25	58.2	@ HJK	2	1326	55.20%	Reipas Lahti	2	1311	19.83%	24.97%
8	1965-09-12	58.1	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1331	63.55%	GBK Kokkola	2	1228	13.19%	23.26%
9	1965-10-10	57.7	@ KuPS	2	1294	57.17%	Helsingfors	2	1260	18.16%	24.68%
10	1965-06-27	57.6	GBK Kokkola	3	1214	16.52%	@ Kuusysi	2	1269	59.17%	24.31%
11	1965-05-18	57.5	@ Helsingfors	2	1261	47.35%	Haka	2	1313	27.02%	25.63%
12	1965-08-15	57.4	@ TaPa	2	1123	26.62%	KTP	2	1336	48.82%	24.56%
13	1965-05-19	57.2	@ GBK Kokkola	2	1226	53.87%	VPS	2	1223	21.00%	25.14%
14	1965-09-19	57.2	@ GBK Kokkola	2	1229	51.51%	Ilves-Kissat	2	1248	23.12%	25.37%
15	1965-05-19	54.3	Reipas Lahti	3	1314	28.47%	@ Turku	2	1249	45.85%	25.67%
16	1965-05-09	53.6	@ HJK	1	1335	61.91%	Turku	1	1251	14.39%	23.70%
17	1965-05-23	53.6	TaPa	2	1142	14.53%	@ VPS	1	1224	61.73%	23.74%
18	1965-06-19	53.2	@ KuPS	1	1300	58.85%	Turku	1	1249	16.77%	24.37%
19	1965-07-30	53.2	Haka	3	1340	32.68%	@ Ilves-Kissat	2	1242	41.62%	25.70%
20	1965-06-05	53.0	@ Kuusysi	1	1276	51.39%	KuPS	1	1295	23.23%	25.38%
21	1965-09-12	53.0	@ Ilves-Kissat	1	1248	41.66%	HJK	1	1345	32.64%	25.70%
22	1965-05-02	52.8	GBK Kokkola	2	1221	17.95%	@ Turku	1	1258	57.42%	24.63%
23	1965-07-18	52.8	@ Turku	1	1257	53.45%	Ilves-Kissat	1	1258	21.37%	25.18%
24	1965-05-09	52.6	@ TaPa	1	1144	32.34%	KuPS	1	1308	42.41%	25.25%
25	1965-05-30	52.5	Turku	3	1248	32.90%	@ TaPa	2	1149	41.40%	25.69%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1965-07-25	26.1	@ HJK	4	1343	71.83%	TaPa	0	1132	8.00%	20.17%
2	1965-10-10	26.8	@ Reipas Lahti	8	1332	73.82%	TaPa	0	1091	6.98%	19.21%
3	1965-09-12	27.9	@ Haka	7	1373	74.41%	TaPa	1	1122	6.69%	18.90%
4	1965-06-19	28.8	@ Reipas Lahti	6	1315	64.16%	VPS	0	1205	12.76%	23.08%
5	1965-08-15	28.8	@ Haka	4	1343	64.43%	GBK Kokkola	0	1230	12.57%	23.00%
6	1965-07-18	29.0	@ Haka	7	1328	65.47%	VPS	0	1202	11.85%	22.67%
7	1965-08-11	29.6	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1324	61.42%	Turku	0	1246	14.76%	23.82%
8	1965-05-23	30.2	@ Reipas Lahti	4	1319	59.65%	Helsingfors	0	1260	16.13%	24.21%
9	1965-05-30	30.3	@ KTP	3	1308	62.25%	GBK Kokkola	0	1221	14.14%	23.61%
10	1965-06-04	30.8	@ HJK	4	1336	58.84%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1285	16.78%	24.38%
11	1965-08-29	31.5	@ Kuusysi	4	1260	54.53%	Ilves-Kissat	0	1252	20.41%	25.06%
12	1965-08-01	32.4	@ Kuusysi	6	1260	60.18%	VPS	1	1195	15.72%	24.10%
13	1965-09-19	32.9	@ Haka	3	1377	58.45%	Reipas Lahti	0	1330	17.10%	24.45%
14	1965-05-23	33.1	@ Haka	3	1314	54.59%	KuPS	0	1305	20.36%	25.05%
15	1965-05-16	33.2	@ KTP	1	1308	68.46%	TaPa	0	1144	9.93%	21.61%
16	1965-05-16	33.4	@ Ilves-Kissat	2	1280	58.94%	VPS	0	1228	16.71%	24.36%
17	1965-05-30	33.8	@ Helsingfors	2	1251	57.19%	VPS	0	1217	18.14%	24.67%
18	1965-07-25	34.0	@ GBK Kokkola	3	1217	49.12%	Turku	0	1256	25.34%	25.54%
19	1965-09-19	34.1	@ HJK	2	1345	58.96%	KuPS	0	1293	16.69%	24.35%
20	1965-06-13	34.2	@ Helsingfors	1	1253	64.74%	TaPa	0	1137	12.36%	22.91%
21	1965-08-11	34.3	@ Ilves-Kissat	1	1238	64.37%	TaPa	0	1125	12.61%	23.02%
22	1965-09-19	34.3	@ Kuusysi	4	1265	46.27%	KTP	0	1327	28.07%	25.66%
23	1965-08-01	34.6	@ KuPS	3	1304	69.36%	TaPa	1	1128	9.39%	21.25%
24	1965-09-12	34.7	@ KuPS	2	1287	55.37%	Kuusysi	0	1271	19.69%	24.95%
25	1965-08-15	35.1	@ Reipas Lahti	2	1332	55.97%	KuPS	0	1310	19.17%	24.86%