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1981 Mestaruussarja Season

160 games

Final

Champion

HJK

25 points · 13th Title

Last Title: 1978

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sepsi-78

9.26 points below expected

10 points · 19.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

KPT

16.61 points below expected

23 points · 39.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KPT 22 11 9 2 31 45 22 +23 23.79 +7.21
2 HJK 22 12 4 6 28 40 24 +16 24.57 +3.43
3 TPS Turku 22 11 6 5 28 36 22 +14 25.55 +2.45
4 Haka 22 11 5 6 27 42 24 +18 25.18 +1.82
5 KTP 22 11 4 7 26 33 26 +7 23.78 +2.22
6 OPS Oulu 22 9 7 6 25 43 34 +9 26.47 -1.47
7 Ilves 22 9 6 7 24 44 28 +16 24.48 -0.48
8 KuPS 22 10 3 9 23 34 37 -3 22.10 +0.90
9 Sepsi-78 22 8 4 10 20 21 30 -9 19.26 +0.74
10 RoPS 22 5 3 14 13 27 44 -17 17.70 -4.70
11 MP Mikkeli 22 4 3 15 11 17 50 -33 15.81 -4.81
12 MiPK 22 2 4 16 8 22 63 -41 15.31 -7.31
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK Champion 29 17 5 7 25 57 32 +25 35.81 -10.81
2 KPT 29 13 12 4 23 56 28 +28 39.61 -16.61
3 Haka 29 15 6 8 23 54 34 +20 35.47 -12.47
4 TPS Turku 29 13 10 6 22 46 27 +19 35.10 -13.10
5 Ilves 29 12 7 10 19 59 46 +13 31.11 -12.11
6 KTP 29 12 7 10 18 38 36 +2 32.23 -14.23
7 KuPS 29 11 7 11 18 46 50 -4 27.67 -9.67
8 OPS Oulu 29 10 8 11 16 55 58 -3 31.01 -15.01

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2 before the second-stage round-robin was played.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sepsi-78 10 19.26 -9.26
2 KuPS 18 27.67 -9.67
3 MP Mikkeli 6 15.81 -9.81
4 RoPS 7 17.70 -10.70
5 HJK 25 35.81 -10.81

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KPT 23 39.61 -16.61
2 OPS Oulu 16 31.01 -15.01
3 KTP 18 32.23 -14.23
4 TPS Turku 22 35.10 -13.10
5 Haka 23 35.47 -12.47

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sepsi-78 2 Jun 14 – Jun 21 1 in 47
2 HJK 5 Aug 30 – Sep 27 1 in 36
3 KuPS 3 Apr 26 – May 3 1 in 23
4 TPS Turku 3 May 10 – May 28 1 in 22
5 KPT 3 Jun 21 – Jul 5 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MiPK 6 Jun 21 – Jul 19 1 in 106
2 RoPS 5 Apr 26 – May 17 1 in 86
3 TPS Turku 2 Jun 7 – Jun 14 1 in 32
4 HJK 2 May 17 – May 28 1 in 18
5 OPS Oulu 4 Aug 23 – Sep 13 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KPT 16 Jun 3 – Aug 30 1 in 306
2 Sepsi-78 6 Jun 14 – Jul 12 1 in 115
3 HJK 10 Aug 6 – Oct 4 1 in 28
4 TPS Turku 8 Apr 26 – Jun 4 1 in 24
5 KuPS 4 Aug 16 – Sep 6 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MiPK 16 May 31 – Aug 23 1 in 79
2 Ilves 6 May 27 – Jun 21 1 in 44
3 TPS Turku 3 Jun 28 – Jul 8 1 in 12
4 OPS Oulu 5 Aug 16 – Sep 13 1 in 11
5 KTP 4 Aug 16 – Sep 6 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HJK 1141 39 +6 7 6.3 +0.7
KPT 1168 38 +32 6 6.3 -0.3
TPS Turku 1134 36 +74 7 5.6 +1.4
Haka 1137 36 -12 6 5.9 +0.1
Ilves 1026 31 -54 4 4.4 -0.4
KTP 999 31 -27 3 4.1 -1.1
KuPS 1013 29 +72 4 3.3 +0.7
OPS Oulu 897 28 -91 3 4.0 -1.0
Sepsi-78 929 20 -41 3 4.9 -1.9
RoPS 904 13 -10 3 3.9 -0.9
MP Mikkeli 802 11 -17 3 3.3 -0.3
MiPK 754 8 -25 0 2.1 -2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HAK ILV KPT KTP KUP MM MIP OO ROP SEP TT
HJK —
2-0-1
4.44
2-1-0
4.78
2-0-1
4.46
2-0-1
4.24
1-1-1
5.41
1-0-1
4.05
2-0-0
4.22
2-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.58
0-2-1
3.55
Haka
1-0-2
3.81
—
1-1-1
5.04
0-2-1
4.61
1-2-0
5.20
2-1-0
5.84
2-0-0
4.34
2-0-0
3.51
2-0-1
4.05
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.88
1-0-2
3.85
Ilves
0-1-2
3.48
1-1-1
3.21
—
0-3-0
3.53
2-0-1
5.00
2-0-1
4.46
2-0-0
3.55
2-0-0
3.54
2-0-1
4.70
0-1-1
3.98
1-0-1
3.42
0-1-2
4.38
KPT
1-0-2
3.80
1-2-0
3.64
0-3-0
4.73
—
2-0-1
4.89
1-2-0
4.45
2-0-0
3.80
1-1-0
3.81
1-2-0
4.47
2-0-0
3.72
1-0-1
3.35
1-2-0
4.45
KTP
1-0-2
4.01
0-2-1
3.06
1-0-2
3.25
1-0-2
3.37
—
2-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.45
0-2-1
4.27
1-0-1
3.68
0-1-1
3.37
2-1-0
3.89
KuPS
1-1-1
2.87
0-1-2
2.44
1-0-2
3.79
0-2-1
3.80
0-1-2
4.33
—
2-0-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.39
2-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.09
1-1-1
2.52
MP Mikkeli
1-0-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.73
0-0-2
2.63
—
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
1.32
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
1.79
MiPK
0-0-2
1.30
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
1.74
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
2.83
—
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
2.47
1-1-0
2.02
0-1-1
1.51
OPS Oulu
0-1-2
4.74
1-0-2
4.20
1-0-2
3.55
0-2-1
3.80
1-2-0
3.98
1-0-2
5.46
1-1-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.25
—
2-0-0
3.88
1-1-0
3.72
0-1-2
3.78
RoPS
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
1.54
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
1.83
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
1.63
—
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-2
2.06
Sepsi-78
1-0-1
1.92
1-0-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.16
1-1-0
2.13
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
3.22
0-1-1
3.48
0-1-1
1.80
0-1-1
2.80
—
1-0-1
1.83
TPS Turku
1-2-0
4.71
2-0-1
4.40
2-1-0
3.87
0-2-1
3.80
0-1-2
4.37
1-1-1
5.76
1-1-0
3.71
1-1-0
4.02
2-1-0
4.47
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.69
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +4.1
Allowed 0.37 -3.7
Differential 0.93 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.88%4.38%9.38%2.81%0.94%4.06%28.44%
14.38%11.88%5.31%2.81%2.50%1.56%28.44%
29.38%5.31%5.00%1.88%1.56%0.31%23.44%
32.81%2.81%1.88%—0.31%—7.81%
40.94%2.50%1.56%0.31%—0.31%5.62%
5+4.06%1.56%0.31%—0.31%—6.25%
Total28.44%28.44%23.44%7.81%5.62%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.56 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.53 2.43
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 160

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%—10.34%———17.24%
110.34%6.90%6.90%6.90%——31.03%
210.34%3.45%3.45%———17.24%
33.45%10.34%3.45%———17.24%
4—3.45%3.45%3.45%——10.34%
5+6.90%—————6.90%
Total37.93%24.14%27.59%10.34%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.10 +0.86
SD 1.59 1.05 2.01
CV 0.81 0.95 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.45%—6.90%———10.34%
13.45%10.34%6.90%6.90%3.45%—31.03%
217.24%3.45%6.90%——3.45%31.03%
313.79%3.45%3.45%———20.69%
43.45%—————3.45%
5+3.45%—————3.45%
Total44.83%17.24%24.14%6.90%3.45%3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.17 +0.69
SD 1.19 1.36 2.12
CV 0.64 1.16 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%3.45%6.90%—3.45%3.45%24.14%
13.45%17.24%6.90%—6.90%—34.48%
23.45%3.45%————6.90%
33.45%———3.45%—6.90%
43.45%3.45%3.45%———10.34%
5+6.90%3.45%3.45%—3.45%—17.24%
Total27.59%31.03%20.69%—17.24%3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 1.59 +0.45
SD 2.01 1.52 2.73
CV 0.99 0.96 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.34%6.90%————17.24%
1—20.69%6.90%———27.59%
210.34%6.90%10.34%———27.59%
3—6.90%3.45%———10.34%
4—6.90%3.45%———10.34%
5+6.90%—————6.90%
Total27.59%48.28%24.14%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 0.97 +0.97
SD 1.56 0.73 1.72
CV 0.81 0.76 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%10.34%6.90%3.45%—3.45%31.03%
16.90%13.79%3.45%—3.45%—27.59%
213.79%6.90%3.45%—3.45%—27.59%
33.45%3.45%————6.90%
43.45%3.45%————6.90%
5+———————
Total34.48%37.93%13.79%3.45%6.90%3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.24 +0.07
SD 1.20 1.46 2.14
CV 0.91 1.17 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.45%6.90%3.45%6.90%—6.90%27.59%
13.45%10.34%3.45%—6.90%3.45%27.59%
210.34%10.34%10.34%———31.03%
33.45%—————3.45%
4———————
5+6.90%3.45%————10.34%
Total27.59%31.03%17.24%6.90%6.90%10.34%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.72 -0.14
SD 1.66 1.79 2.95
CV 1.05 1.04 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%27.27%13.64%—9.09%59.09%
14.55%—4.55%———9.09%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%9.09%45.45%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.27 -1.50
SD 1.02 1.61 2.06
CV 1.32 0.71 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——13.64%9.09%—9.09%31.82%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%—9.09%36.36%
29.09%—4.55%9.09%9.09%—31.82%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%13.64%22.73%27.27%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.86 -1.86
SD 0.82 1.88 2.23
CV 0.82 0.66 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%—6.90%—3.45%10.34%27.59%
1—13.79%—6.90%—3.45%24.14%
210.34%—6.90%3.45%——20.69%
3——3.45%———3.45%
4—6.90%3.45%——3.45%13.79%
5+6.90%3.45%————10.34%
Total24.14%24.14%20.69%10.34%3.45%17.24%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 2.00 -0.10
SD 1.86 1.83 3.04
CV 0.98 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—27.27%——4.55%36.36%
14.55%9.09%13.64%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%22.73%40.91%4.55%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.00 -0.77
SD 1.63 1.45 2.39
CV 1.33 0.72 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%45.45%
113.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.36 -0.41
SD 1.05 1.40 1.97
CV 1.10 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.24%6.90%3.45%———27.59%
13.45%17.24%3.45%3.45%3.45%—31.03%
210.34%10.34%————20.69%
3—3.45%3.45%———6.90%
4——3.45%———3.45%
5+6.90%3.45%————10.34%
Total37.93%41.38%13.79%3.45%3.45%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 0.93 +0.66
SD 1.57 1.00 1.88
CV 0.99 1.07 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KPT 1168 23 23.79 -0.79 100.0% 13 18 22 24 26 30 31
HJK 1141 25 24.57 +0.43 85.0% 17 19 22 25 27 30 33
Haka 1137 23 25.18 -2.18 71.0% 16 18 23 25 28 31 34
TPS Turku 1134 22 25.55 -3.55 80.0% 18 20 23 25 28 32 34
Ilves 1026 19 24.48 -5.48 49.0% 16 19 22 25 27 30 34
KuPS 1013 18 22.10 -4.10 61.0% 11 15 20 22 25 28 32
KTP 999 18 23.78 -5.78 80.0% 17 18 21 24 26 30 34
Sepsi-78 929 10 19.26 -9.26 66.0% 9 13 17 19 22 25 29
RoPS 904 7 17.70 -10.70 12.0% 11 12 15 18 20 24 26
OPS Oulu 897 16 26.47 -10.47 43.0% 16 19 24 26 29 33 36
MP Mikkeli 802 6 15.81 -9.81 12.0% 8 10 14 15 18 21 25
MiPK 754 4 15.31 -11.31 4.0% 7 9 13 15 18 22 27

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.50%
Strong Edge
49.38%23.75%26.88%
Elo Value
Home Edge
166 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
079.53500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.66 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.48+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.5
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
13%
HJK, 4th of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Tight Race
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.95 * Some Luck: 2.95 to 4.42 * Lucky: 4.42 to 5.89 * Wild Swing: 5.89 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.66 * Close: 1.66 to 2.49 * Off: 2.49 to 3.32 * Way Off: 3.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.88 points
Some Luck
03.689
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.075
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
KPT
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
MiPK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 128.03
1.62
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
91%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Few
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Lopsided
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.16
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.26
Some Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.95
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.085
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
HJK13.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%12.00%6.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%—
KPT8.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%17.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%—2.00%
Haka15.00%18.00%14.00%10.00%13.00%11.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—
TPS Turku19.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——
Ilves5.00%19.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%14.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—
KTP7.00%5.00%10.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%14.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%—
KuPS8.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%14.00%15.00%7.00%12.00%4.00%4.00%
OPS Oulu24.00%18.00%12.00%15.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%—
Sepsi-781.00%—2.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%16.00%21.00%18.00%8.00%9.00%
RoPS——1.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%10.00%18.00%23.00%27.00%11.00%
MP Mikkeli————4.00%—3.00%3.00%13.00%14.00%32.00%31.00%
MiPK—1.00%1.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%3.00%19.00%24.00%43.00%
Team12345678
HJK11.32%32.08%24.42%16.96%8.72%4.28%1.93%0.29%
KPT73.81%15.91%6.59%2.51%0.90%0.27%0.01%—
Haka7.00%23.56%26.78%22.16%12.12%5.83%2.14%0.41%
TPS Turku6.81%21.65%24.09%23.81%13.37%6.78%3.03%0.46%
Ilves0.15%1.41%4.35%9.48%17.16%25.64%30.35%11.46%
KTP0.70%3.95%8.85%15.26%27.10%23.07%15.71%5.36%
KuPS0.01%0.05%0.43%0.95%2.94%6.75%18.21%70.66%
OPS Oulu0.20%1.39%4.49%8.87%17.69%27.38%28.62%11.36%
Sepsi-78————————
RoPS————————
MP Mikkeli————————
MiPK————————

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff
HJK 90.00% 10.00%
Haka 92.00% 8.00%
Ilves 95.00% 5.00%
KPT 89.00% 11.00%
KTP 86.00% 14.00%
KuPS 73.00% 27.00%
MP Mikkeli 10.00% 90.00%
MiPK 11.00% 89.00%
OPS Oulu 92.00% 8.00%
RoPS 21.00% 79.00%
Sepsi-78 44.00% 56.00%
TPS Turku 97.00% 3.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff
HJK 100% —
Haka 100% —
Ilves 100% —
KPT 100% —
KTP 100% —
KuPS 100% —
MP Mikkeli — 100%
MiPK — 100%
OPS Oulu 100% —
RoPS — 100%
Sepsi-78 — 100%
TPS Turku 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1981-04-26 KTP W 3-032.0 1011 952 58.49% 24.67% 16.84%+0.83 +17.8 2
1981-04-26 @ HJK L 0-332.0 952 1011 16.84% 24.67% 58.49%-0.83 -17.8 0
1981-04-26 MiPK W 4-244.7 1000 983 54.46% 24.93% 20.61%+0.58 +11.2 2
1981-04-26 @ Ilves L 2-444.7 983 1000 20.61% 24.93% 54.46%-0.58 -11.2 0
1981-04-26 TPS Turku D 1-152.4 970 1014 47.52% 25.15% 27.33%+0.21 -1.4 1
1981-04-26 @ KPT D 1-152.4 1014 970 27.33% 25.15% 47.52%-0.21 +1.4 1
1981-04-26 KuPS L 0-246.9 1002 915 60.93% 24.44% 14.63%+1.01 -35.5 0
1981-04-26 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-046.9 915 1002 14.63% 24.44% 60.93%-1.01 +35.5 2
1981-04-26 Haka L 2-355.9 996 1034 48.29% 25.14% 26.57%+0.25 -13.5 0
1981-04-26 @ RoPS W 3-255.9 1034 996 26.57% 25.14% 48.29%-0.25 +13.5 2
1981-04-26 OPS Oulu L 0-239.4 946 1081 35.20% 25.10% 39.70%-0.34 -22.1 0
1981-04-26 @ Sepsi-78 W 2-039.4 1081 946 39.70% 25.10% 35.20%+0.34 +22.1 2
1981-04-29 HJK L 0-245.2 1048 1028 54.69% 24.92% 20.39%+0.60 -31.9 2
1981-04-29 @ Haka W 2-045.2 1028 1048 20.39% 24.92% 54.69%-0.60 +31.9 4
1981-04-29 KPT D 1-152.8 1103 969 64.53% 23.97% 11.50%+1.29 -3.9 3
1981-04-29 @ OPS Oulu D 1-152.8 969 1103 11.50% 23.97% 64.53%-1.29 +4.0 2
1981-04-29 MP Mikkeli W 5-031.3 1016 966 57.64% 24.74% 17.62%+0.78 +29.8 3
1981-04-29 @ TPS Turku L 0-531.3 966 1016 17.62% 24.74% 57.64%-0.78 -29.8 0
1981-04-30 Sepsi-78 W 3-032.9 950 924 55.40% 24.88% 19.71%+0.64 +20.3 4
1981-04-30 @ KuPS L 0-332.9 924 950 19.71% 24.88% 55.40%-0.64 -20.3 0
1981-05-03 KTP D 1-152.6 1016 934 60.48% 24.49% 15.03%+0.97 -3.3 3
1981-05-03 @ Haka D 1-152.6 934 1016 15.03% 24.49% 60.48%-0.97 +3.3 1
1981-05-03 RoPS W 4-136.7 1060 983 60.14% 24.52% 15.33%+0.95 +13.8 6
1981-05-03 @ HJK L 1-436.7 983 1060 15.33% 24.52% 60.14%-0.95 -13.8 0
1981-05-03 MiPK W 6-033.1 971 972 52.54% 25.02% 22.44%+0.47 +43.2 6
1981-05-03 @ KuPS L 0-633.1 972 971 22.44% 25.02% 52.54%-0.47 -43.2 0
1981-05-03 KPT W 2-145.4 904 973 44.34% 25.18% 30.48%+0.06 +9.9 2
1981-05-03 @ Sepsi-78 L 1-245.4 973 904 30.48% 25.18% 44.34%-0.06 -9.9 2
1981-05-03 OPS Oulu D 1-152.4 1045 1099 46.25% 25.17% 28.58%+0.15 -1.2 4
1981-05-03 @ TPS Turku D 1-152.4 1099 1045 28.58% 25.17% 46.25%-0.15 +1.2 4
1981-05-06 Ilves W 4-035.5 938 1011 43.74% 25.18% 31.07%+0.04 +38.2 3
1981-05-06 @ KTP L 0-435.5 1011 938 31.07% 25.18% 43.74%-0.04 -38.1 2
1981-05-06 RoPS W 2-036.9 928 969 47.94% 25.14% 26.91%+0.24 +18.0 2
1981-05-06 @ MiPK L 0-236.9 969 928 26.91% 25.14% 47.94%-0.24 -18.0 0
1981-05-10 Sepsi-78 W 4-031.1 973 914 58.55% 24.66% 16.78%+0.84 +23.1 4
1981-05-10 @ Ilves L 0-431.1 914 973 16.78% 24.66% 58.55%-0.84 -23.1 2
1981-05-10 MP Mikkeli W 4-244.4 963 937 55.42% 24.88% 19.70%+0.64 +10.8 4
1981-05-10 @ KPT L 2-444.4 937 963 19.70% 24.88% 55.42%-0.64 -10.8 0
1981-05-10 KuPS W 4-140.2 976 1014 48.24% 25.14% 26.62%+0.25 +21.8 5
1981-05-10 @ KTP L 1-440.2 1014 976 26.62% 25.14% 48.24%-0.25 -21.8 6
1981-05-10 Haka L 0-340.5 946 1012 44.74% 25.18% 30.08%+0.08 -38.7 2
1981-05-10 @ MiPK W 3-040.5 1012 946 30.08% 25.18% 44.74%-0.08 +38.7 5
1981-05-10 HJK D 1-152.5 1101 1074 55.44% 24.88% 19.68%+0.64 -2.5 5
1981-05-10 @ OPS Oulu D 1-152.5 1074 1101 19.68% 24.88% 55.44%-0.64 +2.5 7
1981-05-10 TPS Turku L 0-241.2 951 1044 41.11% 25.18% 33.71%-0.08 -24.9 0
1981-05-10 @ RoPS W 2-041.2 1044 951 33.71% 25.18% 41.11%+0.08 +24.9 6
1981-05-16 KTP W 1-041.9 891 998 39.17% 25.17% 35.66%-0.17 +11.8 4
1981-05-16 @ Sepsi-78 L 0-141.9 998 891 35.66% 25.17% 39.17%+0.17 -11.8 5
1981-05-17 Ilves D 1-152.5 1051 996 58.17% 24.69% 17.13%+0.81 -2.9 6
1981-05-17 @ Haka D 1-152.5 996 1051 17.13% 24.69% 58.17%-0.81 +2.9 5
1981-05-17 TPS Turku L 0-244.9 1077 1069 53.47% 24.98% 21.55%+0.53 -31.2 7
1981-05-17 @ HJK W 2-044.9 1069 1077 21.55% 24.98% 53.47%-0.53 +31.2 8
1981-05-17 KPT D 1-152.5 992 974 54.60% 24.92% 20.48%+0.59 -2.4 7
1981-05-17 @ KuPS D 1-152.5 974 992 20.48% 24.92% 54.60%-0.59 +2.4 5
1981-05-17 MiPK D 2-258.0 926 908 54.57% 24.93% 20.51%+0.59 -1.8 1
1981-05-17 @ MP Mikkeli D 2-258.0 908 926 20.51% 24.93% 54.57%-0.59 +1.8 3
1981-05-17 OPS Oulu L 0-237.9 926 1098 30.29% 24.95% 44.76%-0.56 -19.7 0
1981-05-17 @ RoPS W 2-037.9 1098 926 44.76% 24.95% 30.29%+0.56 +19.7 7
1981-05-20 Ilves L 0-739.8 924 999 43.54% 25.19% 31.28%+0.03 -83.8 1
1981-05-20 @ MP Mikkeli W 7-039.8 999 924 31.28% 25.19% 43.54%-0.03 +83.8 7
1981-05-27 RoPS D 1-152.9 1083 906 67.23% 23.47% 9.30%+1.55 -4.4 8
1981-05-27 @ Ilves D 1-152.9 906 1083 9.30% 23.47% 67.23%-1.55 +4.4 1
1981-05-28 Haka D 2-257.9 976 1048 43.94% 25.18% 30.88%+0.05 -0.6 6
1981-05-28 @ KPT D 2-257.9 1048 976 30.88% 25.18% 43.94%-0.05 +0.6 7
1981-05-28 HJK W 2-043.4 840 1045 26.23% 24.76% 49.01%-0.76 +28.8 3
1981-05-28 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-243.4 1045 840 49.01% 24.76% 26.23%+0.76 -28.8 7
1981-05-28 MiPK L 0-244.4 902 909 51.87% 25.04% 23.09%+0.44 -30.4 4
1981-05-28 @ Sepsi-78 W 2-044.4 909 902 23.09% 25.04% 51.87%-0.44 +30.4 5
1981-05-28 KuPS W 5-134.1 1100 990 62.80% 24.22% 12.98%+1.15 +15.4 10
1981-05-28 @ TPS Turku L 1-534.1 990 1100 12.98% 24.22% 62.80%-1.15 -15.4 7
1981-05-31 OPS Oulu W 2-038.0 1049 1118 44.34% 25.18% 30.48%+0.06 +19.8 9
1981-05-31 @ Haka L 0-238.0 1118 1049 30.48% 25.18% 44.34%-0.06 -19.8 7
1981-05-31 KPT W 1-036.6 1017 975 56.87% 24.79% 18.34%+0.73 +7.0 9
1981-05-31 @ HJK L 0-136.6 975 1017 18.34% 24.79% 56.87%-0.73 -7.0 6
1981-05-31 MP Mikkeli W 2-032.3 986 869 63.27% 24.15% 12.58%+1.19 +9.4 7
1981-05-31 @ KTP L 0-232.3 869 986 12.58% 24.15% 63.27%-1.19 -9.5 3
1981-05-31 Ilves W 2-146.8 974 1078 39.56% 25.17% 35.27%-0.15 +11.1 9
1981-05-31 @ KuPS L 1-246.8 1078 974 35.27% 25.17% 39.56%+0.15 -11.1 8
1981-05-31 TPS Turku D 1-152.5 940 1116 29.80% 24.93% 45.26%-0.58 +1.0 6
1981-05-31 @ MiPK D 1-152.5 1116 940 45.26% 24.93% 29.80%+0.58 -1.0 11
1981-05-31 Sepsi-78 W 2-141.7 911 872 56.65% 24.80% 18.54%+0.71 +6.6 3
1981-05-31 @ RoPS L 1-241.7 872 911 18.54% 24.80% 56.65%-0.71 -6.6 4
1981-06-03 KPT D 1-152.7 1067 968 61.90% 24.33% 13.77%+1.08 -3.5 9
1981-06-03 @ Ilves D 1-152.7 968 1067 13.77% 24.33% 61.90%-1.08 +3.5 7
1981-06-04 KTP L 0-340.9 941 995 46.23% 25.17% 28.60%+0.15 -39.8 6
1981-06-04 @ MiPK W 3-040.9 995 941 28.60% 25.17% 46.23%-0.15 +39.8 9
1981-06-04 MP Mikkeli W 2-033.8 917 859 58.45% 24.67% 16.87%+0.83 +12.3 5
1981-06-04 @ RoPS L 0-233.8 859 917 16.87% 24.67% 58.45%-0.83 -12.3 3
1981-06-04 HJK W 2-041.7 865 1024 32.08% 25.02% 42.91%-0.47 +25.7 6
1981-06-04 @ Sepsi-78 L 0-241.7 1024 865 42.91% 25.02% 32.08%+0.47 -25.7 9
1981-06-04 Haka W 2-141.5 1115 1069 57.34% 24.76% 17.91%+0.76 +6.4 13
1981-06-04 @ TPS Turku L 1-241.5 1069 1115 17.91% 24.76% 57.34%-0.76 -6.4 9
1981-06-07 KuPS W 3-031.5 1062 985 60.10% 24.53% 15.38%+0.94 +16.4 11
1981-06-07 @ Haka L 0-331.5 985 1062 15.38% 24.53% 60.10%-0.94 -16.4 9
1981-06-07 Ilves D 0-048.3 998 1064 44.73% 25.18% 30.09%+0.08 -1.1 10
1981-06-07 @ HJK D 0-048.3 1064 998 30.09% 25.18% 44.73%-0.08 +1.1 10
1981-06-07 RoPS W 2-034.2 972 930 56.98% 24.78% 18.24%+0.74 +13.1 9
1981-06-07 @ KPT L 0-234.2 930 972 18.24% 24.78% 56.98%-0.74 -13.1 5
1981-06-07 TPS Turku W 3-144.2 1035 1121 42.07% 25.18% 32.75%-0.04 +18.1 11
1981-06-07 @ KTP L 1-344.2 1121 1035 32.75% 25.18% 42.07%+0.04 -18.1 13
1981-06-07 Sepsi-78 W 1-039.4 847 891 47.53% 25.15% 27.32%+0.21 +9.7 5
1981-06-07 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-139.4 891 847 27.32% 25.15% 47.53%-0.21 -9.6 6
1981-06-07 MiPK W 6-028.3 1098 901 68.43% 23.20% 8.37%+1.67 +17.9 9
1981-06-07 @ OPS Oulu L 0-628.3 901 1098 8.37% 23.20% 68.43%-1.67 -17.9 6
1981-06-10 OPS Oulu W 5-142.8 969 1116 33.57% 25.06% 41.37%-0.41 +39.5 11
1981-06-10 @ KuPS L 1-542.8 1116 969 41.37% 25.06% 33.57%+0.41 -39.5 9
1981-06-14 MP Mikkeli W 3-028.6 1079 857 69.77% 22.85% 7.38%+1.82 +8.3 13
1981-06-14 @ Haka L 0-328.6 857 1079 7.38% 22.85% 69.77%-1.82 -8.3 5
1981-06-14 RoPS W 2-031.9 1053 917 64.66% 23.95% 11.39%+1.30 +8.6 13
1981-06-14 @ KTP L 0-231.9 917 1053 11.39% 23.95% 64.66%-1.30 -8.6 5
1981-06-14 HJK W 2-142.5 1008 997 53.90% 24.96% 21.14%+0.55 +7.4 13
1981-06-14 @ KuPS L 1-242.5 997 1008 21.14% 24.96% 53.90%-0.55 -7.4 10
1981-06-14 KPT D 1-152.4 883 985 39.87% 25.17% 34.95%-0.14 -0.3 7
1981-06-14 @ MiPK D 1-152.4 985 883 34.95% 25.17% 39.87%+0.14 +0.3 10
1981-06-14 Ilves W 4-138.6 1076 1065 53.88% 24.96% 21.16%+0.55 +18.2 11
1981-06-14 @ OPS Oulu L 1-438.6 1065 1076 21.16% 24.96% 53.88%-0.55 -18.2 10
1981-06-14 Sepsi-78 L 0-151.4 1103 881 69.76% 22.85% 7.39%+1.82 -21.5 13
1981-06-14 @ TPS Turku W 1-051.4 881 1103 7.39% 22.85% 69.76%-1.82 +21.5 8
1981-06-21 MiPK W 2-140.0 989 883 62.49% 24.26% 13.25%+1.12 +5.0 12
1981-06-21 @ HJK L 1-240.0 883 989 13.25% 24.26% 62.49%-1.12 -4.9 7
1981-06-21 TPS Turku L 1-250.9 1047 1081 48.67% 25.13% 26.20%+0.27 -14.3 10
1981-06-21 @ Ilves W 2-150.9 1081 1047 26.20% 25.13% 48.67%-0.27 +14.3 15
1981-06-21 KTP W 6-035.8 985 1062 43.37% 25.19% 31.45%+0.02 +56.4 12
1981-06-21 @ KPT L 0-635.8 1062 985 31.45% 25.19% 43.37%-0.02 -56.4 13
1981-06-21 OPS Oulu L 0-235.2 849 1094 21.81% 24.44% 53.75%-1.01 -15.1 5
1981-06-21 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-035.2 1094 849 53.75% 24.44% 21.81%+1.01 +15.0 13
1981-06-21 KuPS D 1-152.4 908 1016 39.07% 25.16% 35.77%-0.17 -0.2 6
1981-06-21 @ RoPS D 1-152.4 1016 908 35.77% 25.16% 39.07%+0.17 +0.2 14
1981-06-21 Haka W 3-148.2 903 1087 28.79% 24.89% 46.32%-0.63 +23.7 10
1981-06-21 @ Sepsi-78 L 1-348.2 1087 903 46.32% 24.89% 28.79%+0.63 -23.7 13
1981-06-28 Haka W 5-243.0 1032 1063 49.14% 25.12% 25.74%+0.29 +18.4 12
1981-06-28 @ Ilves L 2-543.0 1063 1032 25.74% 25.12% 49.14%-0.29 -18.4 13
1981-06-28 KuPS W 4-138.1 1042 1016 55.36% 24.88% 19.75%+0.64 +17.2 14
1981-06-28 @ KPT L 1-438.1 1016 1042 19.75% 24.88% 55.36%-0.64 -17.2 14
1981-06-28 Sepsi-78 D 2-258.1 1005 927 60.25% 24.51% 15.24%+0.96 -2.4 14
1981-06-28 @ KTP D 2-258.1 927 1005 15.24% 24.51% 60.25%-0.96 +2.4 11
1981-06-28 MP Mikkeli L 2-358.5 878 833 57.18% 24.77% 18.05%+0.75 -15.8 7
1981-06-28 @ MiPK W 3-258.5 833 878 18.05% 24.77% 57.18%-0.75 +15.8 7
1981-06-28 RoPS W 5-132.3 1110 908 68.70% 23.13% 8.17%+1.70 +10.0 15
1981-06-28 @ OPS Oulu L 1-532.3 908 1110 8.17% 23.13% 68.70%-1.70 -10.0 6
1981-06-28 HJK D 0-048.6 1096 994 62.09% 24.31% 13.60%+1.09 -4.0 16
1981-06-28 @ TPS Turku D 0-048.6 994 1096 13.60% 24.31% 62.09%-1.09 +4.0 13
1981-07-05 RoPS W 5-028.9 1045 898 65.36% 23.83% 10.81%+1.37 +19.2 15
1981-07-05 @ Haka L 0-528.9 898 1045 10.81% 23.83% 65.36%-1.37 -19.2 6
1981-07-05 HJK W 2-142.8 1003 998 53.16% 24.99% 21.85%+0.51 +7.6 16
1981-07-05 @ KTP L 1-242.8 998 1003 21.85% 24.99% 53.16%-0.51 -7.6 13
1981-07-05 MP Mikkeli W 2-031.6 999 849 65.55% 23.80% 10.66%+1.38 +8.1 16
1981-07-05 @ KuPS L 0-231.6 849 999 10.66% 23.80% 65.55%-1.38 -8.1 7
1981-07-05 Ilves L 1-538.8 862 1051 28.18% 24.86% 46.95%-0.66 -29.4 7
1981-07-05 @ MiPK W 5-138.8 1051 862 46.95% 24.86% 28.18%+0.66 +29.4 14
1981-07-05 Sepsi-78 D 0-048.9 1120 929 68.06% 23.28% 8.66%+1.63 -5.0 16
1981-07-05 @ OPS Oulu D 0-048.9 929 1120 8.66% 23.28% 68.06%-1.63 +5.0 12
1981-07-05 KPT L 1-449.0 1092 1059 56.06% 24.84% 19.09%+0.68 -40.0 16
1981-07-05 @ TPS Turku W 4-149.0 1059 1092 19.09% 24.84% 56.06%-0.68 +40.0 16
1981-07-08 TPS Turku D 0-048.4 841 1052 25.61% 24.72% 49.67%-0.79 +1.8 8
1981-07-08 @ MP Mikkeli D 0-048.4 1052 841 49.67% 24.72% 25.61%+0.79 -1.8 17
1981-07-09 Haka W 3-143.7 991 1064 43.78% 25.18% 31.04%+0.04 +17.4 15
1981-07-09 @ HJK L 1-343.7 1064 991 31.04% 25.18% 43.78%-0.04 -17.4 15
1981-07-09 KTP W 2-033.5 1080 1011 59.48% 24.58% 15.94%+0.90 +11.7 16
1981-07-09 @ Ilves L 0-233.5 1011 1080 15.94% 24.58% 59.48%-0.90 -11.7 16
1981-07-09 OPS Oulu D 2-258.0 1099 1114 50.91% 25.07% 24.02%+0.39 -1.4 17
1981-07-09 @ KPT D 2-258.0 1114 1099 24.02% 25.07% 50.91%-0.39 +1.4 17
1981-07-09 MiPK W 7-133.6 879 833 57.33% 24.76% 17.91%+0.76 +29.5 8
1981-07-09 @ RoPS L 1-733.6 833 879 17.91% 24.76% 57.33%-0.76 -29.5 7
1981-07-09 KuPS W 3-036.4 934 1007 43.84% 25.18% 30.97%+0.04 +29.1 14
1981-07-09 @ Sepsi-78 L 0-336.4 1007 934 30.97% 25.18% 43.84%-0.04 -29.1 16
1981-07-12 MiPK W 2-030.0 1047 803 70.87% 22.52% 6.61%+1.95 +5.1 17
1981-07-12 @ Haka L 0-230.0 803 1047 6.61% 22.52% 70.87%-1.95 -5.1 7
1981-07-12 OPS Oulu W 3-145.1 1008 1116 39.06% 25.16% 35.78%-0.17 +19.4 17
1981-07-12 @ HJK L 1-345.1 1116 1008 35.78% 25.16% 39.06%+0.17 -19.4 17
1981-07-12 KTP L 0-146.2 978 999 50.27% 25.09% 24.64%+0.35 -15.6 16
1981-07-12 @ KuPS W 1-046.2 999 978 24.64% 25.09% 50.27%-0.35 +15.6 18
1981-07-12 KPT L 0-234.9 843 1098 20.95% 24.36% 54.69%-1.06 -14.6 8
1981-07-12 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-034.9 1098 843 54.69% 24.36% 20.95%+1.06 +14.6 19
1981-07-12 Ilves W 1-042.8 963 1092 36.12% 25.12% 38.76%-0.30 +12.6 16
1981-07-12 @ Sepsi-78 L 0-142.8 1092 963 38.76% 25.12% 36.12%+0.30 -12.6 16
1981-07-12 RoPS W 4-241.5 1050 908 65.02% 23.89% 11.09%+1.34 +6.5 19
1981-07-12 @ TPS Turku L 2-441.5 908 1050 11.09% 23.89% 65.02%-1.34 -6.5 8
1981-07-19 MP Mikkeli W 3-028.2 1079 828 71.23% 22.41% 6.36%+2.00 +7.1 18
1981-07-19 @ Ilves L 0-328.2 828 1079 6.36% 22.41% 71.23%-2.00 -7.1 8
1981-07-19 Sepsi-78 W 3-244.5 1112 976 64.65% 23.95% 11.41%+1.30 +4.1 21
1981-07-19 @ KPT L 2-344.5 976 1112 11.41% 23.95% 64.65%-1.30 -4.1 16
1981-07-19 Haka D 1-152.4 1015 1052 48.37% 25.14% 26.49%+0.26 -1.5 19
1981-07-19 @ KTP D 1-152.4 1052 1015 26.49% 25.14% 48.37%-0.26 +1.5 18
1981-07-19 KuPS L 0-238.2 798 962 31.29% 24.99% 43.72%-0.51 -20.2 7
1981-07-19 @ MiPK W 2-038.2 962 798 43.72% 24.99% 31.29%+0.51 +20.2 18
1981-07-19 TPS Turku L 0-245.8 1096 1056 56.77% 24.80% 18.43%+0.72 -33.1 17
1981-07-19 @ OPS Oulu W 2-045.8 1056 1096 18.43% 24.80% 56.77%-0.72 +33.1 21
1981-07-19 HJK L 0-239.8 902 1027 36.50% 25.13% 38.37%-0.28 -22.7 8
1981-07-19 @ RoPS W 2-039.8 1027 902 38.37% 25.13% 36.50%+0.28 +22.7 19
1981-07-23 KTP W 4-243.7 1063 1013 57.74% 24.73% 17.53%+0.78 +9.8 19
1981-07-23 @ OPS Oulu L 2-443.7 1013 1063 17.53% 24.73% 57.74%-0.78 -9.8 19
1981-07-26 KPT D 0-048.3 1053 1116 45.10% 25.18% 29.72%+0.10 -1.1 19
1981-07-26 @ Haka D 0-048.3 1116 1053 29.72% 25.18% 45.10%-0.10 +1.1 22
1981-07-26 MP Mikkeli W 3-242.8 1050 821 70.14% 22.74% 7.12%+1.86 +2.6 21
1981-07-26 @ HJK L 2-342.8 821 1050 7.12% 22.74% 70.14%-1.86 -2.6 8
1981-07-26 OPS Oulu D 0-048.3 1003 1073 44.21% 25.18% 30.61%+0.06 -1.0 20
1981-07-26 @ KTP D 0-048.3 1073 1003 30.61% 25.18% 44.21%-0.06 +1.0 20
1981-07-26 TPS Turku W 1-041.9 982 1089 39.15% 25.16% 35.69%-0.17 +11.9 20
1981-07-26 @ KuPS L 0-141.9 1089 982 35.69% 25.16% 39.15%+0.17 -11.8 21
1981-07-26 Sepsi-78 D 1-152.5 778 972 27.56% 24.83% 47.61%-0.69 +1.3 8
1981-07-26 @ MiPK D 1-152.5 972 778 47.61% 24.83% 27.56%+0.69 -1.3 17
1981-07-26 Ilves W 4-146.9 879 1086 25.97% 24.74% 49.29%-0.77 +35.4 10
1981-07-26 @ RoPS L 1-446.9 1086 879 49.29% 24.74% 25.97%+0.77 -35.4 18
1981-08-02 KuPS W 1-036.1 1051 994 58.34% 24.68% 16.98%+0.82 +6.5 20
1981-08-02 @ Ilves L 0-136.1 994 1051 16.98% 24.68% 58.34%-0.82 -6.5 20
1981-08-02 HJK W 3-139.1 1117 1053 59.04% 24.62% 16.34%+0.87 +10.3 24
1981-08-02 @ KPT L 1-339.1 1053 1117 16.34% 24.62% 59.04%-0.87 -10.3 21
1981-08-02 KTP L 0-139.7 819 1002 28.82% 24.89% 46.29%-0.63 -10.0 8
1981-08-02 @ MP Mikkeli W 1-039.7 1002 819 46.29% 24.89% 28.82%+0.63 +10.0 22
1981-08-02 Haka L 0-442.7 1074 1052 55.00% 24.90% 20.09%+0.61 -60.9 20
1981-08-02 @ OPS Oulu W 4-042.7 1052 1074 20.09% 24.90% 55.00%-0.61 +60.9 21
1981-08-02 RoPS D 0-048.5 970 914 58.28% 24.69% 17.04%+0.82 -3.3 18
1981-08-02 @ Sepsi-78 D 0-048.5 914 970 17.04% 24.69% 58.28%-0.82 +3.3 11
1981-08-02 MiPK W 3-134.8 1078 779 73.37% 21.63% 4.99%+2.28 +3.3 23
1981-08-02 @ TPS Turku L 1-334.8 779 1078 4.99% 21.63% 73.37%-2.28 -3.3 8
1981-08-05 KuPS W 6-032.2 1013 988 55.36% 24.88% 19.76%+0.64 +38.9 22
1981-08-05 @ OPS Oulu L 0-632.2 988 1013 19.76% 24.88% 55.36%-0.64 -38.9 20
1981-08-06 TPS Turku L 1-253.0 1113 1081 55.97% 24.85% 19.18%+0.67 -16.3 21
1981-08-06 @ Haka W 2-153.0 1081 1113 19.18% 24.85% 55.97%-0.67 +16.3 25
1981-08-06 Sepsi-78 W 5-030.6 1042 967 59.96% 24.54% 15.50%+0.93 +26.6 23
1981-08-06 @ HJK L 0-530.6 967 1042 15.50% 24.54% 59.96%-0.93 -26.6 18
1981-08-06 Ilves D 0-048.5 1128 1058 59.52% 24.58% 15.90%+0.90 -3.5 25
1981-08-06 @ KPT D 0-048.5 1058 1128 15.90% 24.58% 59.52%-0.90 +3.5 21
1981-08-06 MiPK W 2-030.1 1012 776 70.52% 22.63% 6.85%+1.91 +5.3 24
1981-08-06 @ KTP L 0-230.1 776 1012 6.85% 22.63% 70.52%-1.91 -5.3 8
1981-08-06 RoPS W 2-147.0 809 918 38.89% 25.16% 35.95%-0.18 +11.2 10
1981-08-06 @ MP Mikkeli L 1-247.0 918 809 35.95% 25.16% 38.89%+0.18 -11.2 11
1981-08-09 HJK L 0-244.4 1061 1069 51.77% 25.05% 23.19%+0.43 -30.3 21
1981-08-09 @ Ilves W 2-044.4 1069 1061 23.19% 25.05% 51.77%-0.43 +30.3 25
1981-08-09 Haka L 0-238.9 949 1097 33.46% 25.06% 41.48%-0.41 -21.2 20
1981-08-09 @ KuPS W 2-038.9 1097 949 41.48% 25.06% 33.46%+0.41 +21.2 23
1981-08-09 OPS Oulu L 2-346.6 771 1052 18.44% 24.10% 57.46%-1.22 -6.2 8
1981-08-09 @ MiPK W 3-246.6 1052 771 57.46% 24.10% 18.44%+1.22 +6.2 24
1981-08-09 KPT L 1-243.6 906 1124 24.80% 24.67% 50.53%-0.83 -8.4 11
1981-08-09 @ RoPS W 2-143.6 1124 906 50.53% 24.67% 24.80%+0.83 +8.4 27
1981-08-09 MP Mikkeli W 2-139.6 941 820 63.55% 24.12% 12.34%+1.21 +4.6 20
1981-08-09 @ Sepsi-78 L 1-239.6 820 941 12.34% 24.12% 63.55%-1.21 -4.6 10
1981-08-09 KTP L 0-246.8 1097 1018 60.34% 24.50% 15.16%+0.96 -35.1 25
1981-08-09 @ TPS Turku W 2-046.8 1018 1097 15.16% 24.50% 60.34%-0.96 +35.1 26
1981-08-16 Sepsi-78 W 1-033.5 1118 945 67.00% 23.52% 9.48%+1.52 +3.9 25
1981-08-16 @ Haka L 0-133.5 945 1118 9.48% 23.52% 67.00%-1.52 -3.8 20
1981-08-16 KPT L 1-249.2 1053 1133 42.90% 25.19% 31.91%+0.00 -12.9 26
1981-08-16 @ KTP W 2-149.2 1133 1053 31.91% 25.19% 42.90%+0.00 +12.9 29
1981-08-16 RoPS W 2-142.0 927 898 55.73% 24.86% 19.41%+0.66 +6.9 22
1981-08-16 @ KuPS L 1-242.0 898 927 19.41% 24.86% 55.73%-0.66 -6.9 11
1981-08-16 HJK L 2-442.3 764 1099 14.25% 23.47% 62.27%-1.54 -8.0 8
1981-08-16 @ MiPK W 4-242.3 1099 764 62.27% 23.47% 14.25%+1.54 +8.0 27
1981-08-16 MP Mikkeli D 2-258.7 1058 815 70.86% 22.53% 6.61%+1.95 -3.7 25
1981-08-16 @ OPS Oulu D 2-258.7 815 1058 6.61% 22.53% 70.86%-1.95 +3.7 11
1981-08-16 Ilves D 1-152.5 1062 1031 55.92% 24.85% 19.23%+0.67 -2.6 26
1981-08-16 @ TPS Turku D 1-152.5 1031 1062 19.23% 24.85% 55.92%-0.67 +2.6 22
1981-08-23 KuPS D 2-258.4 1107 934 67.03% 23.51% 9.46%+1.53 -3.2 28
1981-08-23 @ HJK D 2-258.4 934 1107 9.46% 23.51% 67.03%-1.53 +3.2 23
1981-08-23 OPS Oulu W 5-033.5 1033 1055 50.23% 25.09% 24.67%+0.35 +39.3 24
1981-08-23 @ Ilves L 0-533.5 1055 1033 24.67% 25.09% 50.23%-0.35 -39.3 25
1981-08-23 MiPK W 3-133.8 1145 756 76.85% 20.00% 3.16%+2.83 +2.0 31
1981-08-23 @ KPT L 1-333.8 756 1145 3.16% 20.00% 76.85%-2.83 -2.0 8
1981-08-23 Haka L 0-331.7 819 1122 16.67% 23.86% 59.47%-1.35 -17.4 11
1981-08-23 @ MP Mikkeli W 3-031.7 1122 819 59.47% 23.86% 16.67%+1.35 +17.4 27
1981-08-23 KTP W 1-043.6 891 1040 33.34% 25.05% 41.60%-0.42 +13.3 13
1981-08-23 @ RoPS L 0-143.6 1040 891 41.60% 25.05% 33.34%+0.42 -13.3 26
1981-08-23 TPS Turku L 0-142.4 941 1060 37.58% 25.14% 37.28%-0.23 -12.3 20
1981-08-23 @ Sepsi-78 W 1-042.4 1060 941 37.28% 25.14% 37.58%+0.23 +12.3 28

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1981-08-30 KuPS D 2-258.5 1139 938 68.68% 23.14% 8.19%+1.70 -3.4 1
1981-08-30 @ Haka D 2-258.5 938 1139 8.19% 23.14% 68.68%-1.70 +3.4 1
1981-08-30 Ilves D 1-152.6 1147 1073 59.93% 24.54% 15.53%+0.93 -3.2 1
1981-08-30 @ KPT D 1-152.6 1073 1147 15.53% 24.54% 59.93%-0.93 +3.2 1
1981-08-30 TPS Turku D 0-048.3 1026 1072 47.35% 25.15% 27.50%+0.21 -1.5 1
1981-08-30 @ KTP D 0-048.3 1072 1026 27.50% 25.15% 47.35%-0.21 +1.5 1
1981-08-30 HJK L 1-346.9 1015 1104 41.71% 25.18% 33.11%-0.06 -21.8 0
1981-08-30 @ OPS Oulu W 3-146.9 1104 1015 33.11% 25.18% 41.71%+0.06 +21.8 2
1981-09-06 KPT W 1-038.5 1126 1144 50.60% 25.08% 24.32%+0.37 +8.8 4
1981-09-06 @ HJK L 0-138.5 1144 1126 24.32% 25.08% 50.60%-0.37 -8.8 1
1981-09-06 OPS Oulu W 5-450.1 1076 994 60.54% 24.48% 14.98%+0.98 +5.0 3
1981-09-06 @ Ilves L 4-550.1 994 1076 14.98% 24.48% 60.54%-0.98 -5.1 0
1981-09-06 KTP D 1-152.4 941 1025 42.35% 25.19% 32.47%-0.03 -0.6 2
1981-09-06 @ KuPS D 1-152.4 1025 941 32.47% 25.19% 42.35%+0.03 +0.6 2
1981-09-06 Haka L 1-249.9 1073 1136 45.22% 25.18% 29.60%+0.10 -13.4 1
1981-09-06 @ TPS Turku W 2-149.9 1136 1073 29.60% 25.18% 45.22%-0.10 +13.5 3
1981-09-13 Ilves W 2-033.5 1149 1081 59.35% 24.60% 16.06%+0.89 +11.7 5
1981-09-13 @ Haka L 0-233.5 1081 1149 16.06% 24.60% 59.35%-0.89 -11.7 3
1981-09-13 KuPS W 6-028.3 1135 940 68.28% 23.23% 8.48%+1.65 +18.1 6
1981-09-13 @ HJK L 0-628.3 940 1135 8.48% 23.23% 68.28%-1.65 -18.1 2
1981-09-13 KTP L 1-254.8 1135 1026 62.74% 24.23% 13.04%+1.14 -18.3 1
1981-09-13 @ KPT W 2-154.8 1026 1135 13.04% 24.23% 62.74%-1.14 +18.3 4
1981-09-13 OPS Oulu W 3-246.0 1060 989 59.62% 24.57% 15.81%+0.91 +5.5 3
1981-09-13 @ TPS Turku L 2-346.0 989 1060 15.81% 24.57% 59.62%-0.91 -5.5 0
1981-09-20 TPS Turku L 0-542.0 1069 1065 53.06% 25.00% 21.95%+0.50 -72.5 3
1981-09-20 @ Ilves W 5-042.0 1065 1069 21.95% 25.00% 53.06%-0.50 +72.5 5
1981-09-20 HJK L 0-142.9 1044 1153 38.89% 25.16% 35.95%-0.18 -12.6 4
1981-09-20 @ KTP W 1-042.9 1153 1044 35.95% 25.16% 38.89%+0.18 +12.6 8
1981-09-20 KPT D 2-258.0 922 1117 27.45% 24.82% 47.73%-0.70 +1.0 3
1981-09-20 @ KuPS D 2-258.0 1117 922 47.73% 24.82% 27.45%+0.70 -1.0 2
1981-09-20 Haka W 4-145.9 983 1161 29.57% 24.92% 45.50%-0.59 +33.1 2
1981-09-20 @ OPS Oulu L 1-445.9 1161 983 45.50% 24.92% 29.57%+0.59 -33.0 5
1981-09-27 KTP W 2-032.8 1128 1031 61.70% 24.35% 13.94%+1.06 +10.4 7
1981-09-27 @ Haka L 0-232.8 1031 1128 13.94% 24.35% 61.70%-1.06 -10.4 4
1981-09-27 Ilves W 4-346.9 1166 997 66.78% 23.56% 9.66%+1.50 +3.4 10
1981-09-27 @ HJK L 3-446.9 997 1166 9.66% 23.56% 66.78%-1.50 -3.4 3
1981-09-27 OPS Oulu W 5-030.0 1116 1016 61.98% 24.32% 13.70%+1.08 +23.9 4
1981-09-27 @ KPT L 0-530.0 1016 1116 13.70% 24.32% 61.98%-1.08 -23.9 2
1981-09-27 KuPS D 0-049.0 1138 923 69.40% 22.95% 7.65%+1.78 -5.3 6
1981-09-27 @ TPS Turku D 0-049.0 923 1138 7.65% 22.95% 69.40%-1.78 +5.3 4
1981-10-04 KPT L 0-244.6 1138 1140 52.43% 25.02% 22.55%+0.47 -30.7 7
1981-10-04 @ Haka W 2-044.6 1140 1138 22.55% 25.02% 52.43%-0.47 +30.7 6
1981-10-04 OPS Oulu D 1-152.5 1021 992 55.64% 24.87% 19.49%+0.65 -2.5 5
1981-10-04 @ KTP D 1-152.5 992 1021 19.49% 24.87% 55.64%-0.65 +2.5 3
1981-10-04 Ilves L 1-249.7 929 993 44.91% 25.18% 29.91%+0.09 -13.4 4
1981-10-04 @ KuPS W 2-149.7 993 929 29.91% 25.18% 44.91%-0.09 +13.4 5
1981-10-04 HJK D 1-152.5 1133 1169 48.46% 25.13% 26.41%+0.26 -1.5 7
1981-10-04 @ TPS Turku D 1-152.5 1169 1133 26.41% 25.13% 48.46%-0.26 +1.5 11
1981-10-11 Haka L 1-352.0 1170 1107 58.90% 24.63% 16.46%+0.86 -29.7 11
1981-10-11 @ HJK W 3-152.0 1107 1170 16.46% 24.63% 58.90%-0.86 +29.7 9
1981-10-11 KTP W 4-139.3 1007 1018 51.34% 25.06% 23.60%+0.41 +19.8 7
1981-10-11 @ Ilves L 1-439.3 1018 1007 23.60% 25.06% 51.34%-0.41 -19.8 5
1981-10-11 TPS Turku D 0-048.5 1171 1131 56.72% 24.80% 18.48%+0.72 -3.0 7
1981-10-11 @ KPT D 0-048.5 1131 1171 18.48% 24.80% 56.72%-0.72 +3.0 8
1981-10-11 KuPS L 0-644.3 995 915 60.34% 24.50% 15.16%+0.96 -97.5 3
1981-10-11 @ OPS Oulu W 6-044.3 915 995 15.16% 24.50% 60.34%-0.96 +97.5 6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1981-06-14 7.39% Sepsi-78 881 1 @ TPS Turku 1103 0
2 1981-09-13 13.04% KTP 1026 2 @ KPT 1135 1
3 1981-04-26 14.63% KuPS 915 2 @ MP Mikkeli 1002 0
4 1981-08-09 15.16% KTP 1018 2 @ TPS Turku 1097 0
5 1981-10-11 15.16% KuPS 915 6 @ OPS Oulu 995 0
6 1981-10-11 16.46% Haka 1107 3 @ HJK 1170 1
7 1981-06-28 18.05% MP Mikkeli 833 3 @ MiPK 878 2
8 1981-07-19 18.43% TPS Turku 1056 2 @ OPS Oulu 1096 0
9 1981-07-05 19.09% KPT 1059 4 @ TPS Turku 1092 1
10 1981-08-06 19.18% TPS Turku 1081 2 @ Haka 1113 1
11 1981-08-02 20.09% Haka 1052 4 @ OPS Oulu 1074 0
12 1981-04-29 20.39% HJK 1028 2 @ Haka 1048 0
13 1981-05-17 21.55% TPS Turku 1069 2 @ HJK 1077 0
14 1981-09-20 21.95% TPS Turku 1065 5 @ Ilves 1069 0
15 1981-10-04 22.55% KPT 1140 2 @ Haka 1138 0
16 1981-05-28 23.09% MiPK 909 2 @ Sepsi-78 902 0
17 1981-08-09 23.19% HJK 1069 2 @ Ilves 1061 0
18 1981-07-12 24.64% KTP 999 1 @ KuPS 978 0
19 1981-07-26 25.97% @ RoPS 879 4 Ilves 1086 1
20 1981-06-21 26.20% TPS Turku 1081 2 @ Ilves 1047 1
21 1981-05-28 26.23% @ MP Mikkeli 840 2 HJK 1045 0
22 1981-04-26 26.57% Haka 1034 3 @ RoPS 996 2
23 1981-06-04 28.60% KTP 995 3 @ MiPK 941 0
24 1981-06-21 28.79% @ Sepsi-78 903 3 Haka 1087 1
25 1981-09-20 29.57% @ OPS Oulu 983 4 Haka 1161 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1981-10-11 97.53 KuPS 6 915 15.16% @ OPS Oulu 0 995 60.34% 24.50%
2 1981-05-20 83.82 Ilves 7 999 31.28% @ MP Mikkeli 0 924 43.54% 25.19%
3 1981-09-20 72.51 TPS Turku 5 1065 21.95% @ Ilves 0 1069 53.06% 25.00%
4 1981-08-02 60.86 Haka 4 1052 20.09% @ OPS Oulu 0 1074 55.00% 24.90%
5 1981-06-21 56.37 @ KPT 6 985 43.37% KTP 0 1062 31.45% 25.19%
6 1981-05-03 43.20 @ KuPS 6 971 52.54% MiPK 0 972 22.44% 25.02%
7 1981-07-05 40.02 KPT 4 1059 19.09% @ TPS Turku 1 1092 56.06% 24.84%
8 1981-06-04 39.82 KTP 3 995 28.60% @ MiPK 0 941 46.23% 25.17%
9 1981-06-10 39.50 @ KuPS 5 969 33.57% OPS Oulu 1 1116 41.37% 25.06%
10 1981-08-23 39.26 @ Ilves 5 1033 50.23% OPS Oulu 0 1055 24.67% 25.09%
11 1981-08-05 38.90 @ OPS Oulu 6 1013 55.36% KuPS 0 988 19.76% 24.88%
12 1981-05-10 38.73 Haka 3 1012 30.08% @ MiPK 0 946 44.74% 25.18%
13 1981-05-06 38.15 @ KTP 4 938 43.74% Ilves 0 1011 31.07% 25.18%
14 1981-04-26 35.46 KuPS 2 915 14.63% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1002 60.93% 24.44%
15 1981-07-26 35.39 @ RoPS 4 879 25.97% Ilves 1 1086 49.29% 24.74%
16 1981-08-09 35.11 KTP 2 1018 15.16% @ TPS Turku 0 1097 60.34% 24.50%
17 1981-07-19 33.07 TPS Turku 2 1056 18.43% @ OPS Oulu 0 1096 56.77% 24.80%
18 1981-09-20 33.05 @ OPS Oulu 4 983 29.57% Haka 1 1161 45.50% 24.92%
19 1981-04-29 31.90 HJK 2 1028 20.39% @ Haka 0 1048 54.69% 24.92%
20 1981-05-17 31.23 TPS Turku 2 1069 21.55% @ HJK 0 1077 53.47% 24.98%
21 1981-10-04 30.67 KPT 2 1140 22.55% @ Haka 0 1138 52.43% 25.02%
22 1981-05-28 30.37 MiPK 2 909 23.09% @ Sepsi-78 0 902 51.87% 25.04%
23 1981-08-09 30.31 HJK 2 1069 23.19% @ Ilves 0 1061 51.77% 25.05%
24 1981-04-29 29.75 @ TPS Turku 5 1016 57.64% MP Mikkeli 0 966 17.62% 24.74%
25 1981-10-11 29.69 Haka 3 1107 16.46% @ HJK 1 1170 58.90% 24.63%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1981-08-16 58.7 @ OPS Oulu 2 1058 70.86% MP Mikkeli 2 815 6.61% 22.53%
2 1981-06-28 58.5 MP Mikkeli 3 833 18.05% @ MiPK 2 878 57.18% 24.77%
3 1981-08-30 58.5 @ Haka 2 1139 68.68% KuPS 2 938 8.19% 23.14%
4 1981-08-23 58.4 @ HJK 2 1107 67.03% KuPS 2 934 9.46% 23.51%
5 1981-06-28 58.1 @ KTP 2 1005 60.25% Sepsi-78 2 927 15.24% 24.51%
6 1981-05-17 58.0 @ MP Mikkeli 2 926 54.57% MiPK 2 908 20.51% 24.93%
7 1981-07-09 58.0 @ KPT 2 1099 50.91% OPS Oulu 2 1114 24.02% 25.07%
8 1981-09-20 58.0 @ KuPS 2 922 27.45% KPT 2 1117 47.73% 24.82%
9 1981-05-28 57.9 @ KPT 2 976 43.94% Haka 2 1048 30.88% 25.18%
10 1981-04-26 55.9 Haka 3 1034 26.57% @ RoPS 2 996 48.29% 25.14%
11 1981-09-13 54.8 KTP 2 1026 13.04% @ KPT 1 1135 62.74% 24.23%
12 1981-08-06 53.0 TPS Turku 2 1081 19.18% @ Haka 1 1113 55.97% 24.85%
13 1981-05-27 52.9 @ Ilves 1 1083 67.23% RoPS 1 906 9.30% 23.47%
14 1981-04-29 52.8 @ OPS Oulu 1 1103 64.53% KPT 1 969 11.50% 23.97%
15 1981-06-03 52.7 @ Ilves 1 1067 61.90% KPT 1 968 13.77% 24.33%
16 1981-05-03 52.6 @ Haka 1 1016 60.48% KTP 1 934 15.03% 24.49%
17 1981-08-30 52.6 @ KPT 1 1147 59.93% Ilves 1 1073 15.53% 24.54%
18 1981-05-10 52.5 @ OPS Oulu 1 1101 55.44% HJK 1 1074 19.68% 24.88%
19 1981-05-17 52.5 @ Haka 1 1051 58.17% Ilves 1 996 17.13% 24.69%
20 1981-05-17 52.5 @ KuPS 1 992 54.60% KPT 1 974 20.48% 24.92%
21 1981-05-31 52.5 @ MiPK 1 940 29.80% TPS Turku 1 1116 45.26% 24.93%
22 1981-07-26 52.5 @ MiPK 1 778 27.56% Sepsi-78 1 972 47.61% 24.83%
23 1981-08-16 52.5 @ TPS Turku 1 1062 55.92% Ilves 1 1031 19.23% 24.85%
24 1981-10-04 52.5 @ KTP 1 1021 55.64% OPS Oulu 1 992 19.49% 24.87%
25 1981-10-04 52.5 @ TPS Turku 1 1133 48.46% HJK 1 1169 26.41% 25.13%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1981-07-19 28.2 @ Ilves 3 1079 71.23% MP Mikkeli 0 828 6.36% 22.41%
2 1981-06-07 28.3 @ OPS Oulu 6 1098 68.43% MiPK 0 901 8.37% 23.20%
3 1981-09-13 28.3 @ HJK 6 1135 68.28% KuPS 0 940 8.48% 23.23%
4 1981-06-14 28.6 @ Haka 3 1079 69.77% MP Mikkeli 0 857 7.38% 22.85%
5 1981-07-05 28.9 @ Haka 5 1045 65.36% RoPS 0 898 10.81% 23.83%
6 1981-07-12 30.0 @ Haka 2 1047 70.87% MiPK 0 803 6.61% 22.52%
7 1981-09-27 30.0 @ KPT 5 1116 61.98% OPS Oulu 0 1016 13.70% 24.32%
8 1981-08-06 30.1 @ KTP 2 1012 70.52% MiPK 0 776 6.85% 22.63%
9 1981-08-06 30.6 @ HJK 5 1042 59.96% Sepsi-78 0 967 15.50% 24.54%
10 1981-05-10 31.1 @ Ilves 4 973 58.55% Sepsi-78 0 914 16.78% 24.66%
11 1981-04-29 31.3 @ TPS Turku 5 1016 57.64% MP Mikkeli 0 966 17.62% 24.74%
12 1981-06-07 31.5 @ Haka 3 1062 60.10% KuPS 0 985 15.38% 24.53%
13 1981-07-05 31.6 @ KuPS 2 999 65.55% MP Mikkeli 0 849 10.66% 23.80%
14 1981-08-23 31.7 Haka 3 1122 59.47% @ MP Mikkeli 0 819 16.67% 23.86%
15 1981-06-14 31.9 @ KTP 2 1053 64.66% RoPS 0 917 11.39% 23.95%
16 1981-04-26 32.0 @ HJK 3 1011 58.49% KTP 0 952 16.84% 24.67%
17 1981-08-05 32.2 @ OPS Oulu 6 1013 55.36% KuPS 0 988 19.76% 24.88%
18 1981-05-31 32.3 @ KTP 2 986 63.27% MP Mikkeli 0 869 12.58% 24.15%
19 1981-06-28 32.3 @ OPS Oulu 5 1110 68.70% RoPS 1 908 8.17% 23.13%
20 1981-09-27 32.8 @ Haka 2 1128 61.70% KTP 0 1031 13.94% 24.35%
21 1981-04-30 32.9 @ KuPS 3 950 55.40% Sepsi-78 0 924 19.71% 24.88%
22 1981-05-03 33.1 @ KuPS 6 971 52.54% MiPK 0 972 22.44% 25.02%
23 1981-07-09 33.5 @ Ilves 2 1080 59.48% KTP 0 1011 15.94% 24.58%
24 1981-08-16 33.5 @ Haka 1 1118 67.00% Sepsi-78 0 945 9.48% 23.52%
25 1981-08-23 33.5 @ Ilves 5 1033 50.23% OPS Oulu 0 1055 24.67% 25.09%