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1996 Veikkausliiga Season

162 games

Final

Champion

FC Jazz

47 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1993

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

RoPS

4.75 points above expected

39 points · 34.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Jaro

5.96 points below expected

39 points · 44.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jaro 22 11 4 7 37 29 17 +12 33.56 +3.44
2 FC Jazz 22 10 7 5 37 40 29 +11 33.85 +3.15
3 TPS Turku 22 11 4 7 37 31 29 +2 32.32 +4.68
4 FinnPa Helsinki 22 9 8 5 35 27 20 +7 30.31 +4.69
5 Inter Turku 22 10 5 7 35 24 20 +4 28.59 +6.41
6 MyPa 22 10 3 9 33 39 32 +7 33.53 -0.53
7 VPS 22 8 5 9 29 22 20 +2 27.31 +1.69
8 HJK 22 8 4 10 28 26 30 -4 32.71 -4.71
9 RoPS 22 7 6 9 27 22 23 -1 28.91 -1.91
10 Ilves 22 7 6 9 27 22 30 -8 27.50 -0.50
11 Haka 22 6 6 10 24 28 34 -6 33.81 -9.81
12 MP Mikkeli 22 4 4 14 16 12 38 -26 23.76 -7.76
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 FC Jazz Champion 27 13 8 6 47 47 33 +14 44.25 +2.75
2 MyPa 27 14 3 10 45 48 38 +10 40.46 +4.54
3 TPS Turku 27 13 5 9 44 40 35 +5 43.46 +0.54
4 FinnPa Helsinki 27 11 9 7 42 32 25 +7 42.18 -0.18
5 Jaro 27 11 6 10 39 34 25 +9 44.96 -5.96
6 Inter Turku 27 11 6 10 39 28 30 -2 40.31 -1.31
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 VPS 27 12 5 10 41 33 25 +8 36.85 +4.15
2 RoPS 27 11 6 10 39 35 29 +6 34.25 +4.75
3 HJK 27 11 5 11 38 36 37 -1 36.34 +1.66
4 Ilves 27 8 6 13 30 26 43 -17 33.59 -3.59
5 Haka 27 7 6 14 27 35 42 -7 31.60 -4.60
6 MP Mikkeli 27 5 5 17 20 18 50 -32 20.01 -0.01

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 RoPS 39 34.25 +4.75
2 MyPa 45 40.46 +4.54
3 VPS 41 36.85 +4.15
4 FC Jazz 47 44.25 +2.75
5 HJK 38 36.34 +1.66

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jaro 39 44.96 -5.96
2 Haka 27 31.60 -4.60
3 Ilves 30 33.59 -3.59
4 Inter Turku 39 40.31 -1.31
5 FinnPa Helsinki 42 42.18 -0.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TPS Turku 5 Jun 30 – Jul 21 1 in 49
2 RoPS 4 Aug 25 – Sep 29 1 in 41
3 Inter Turku 3 Apr 28 – May 9 1 in 29
4 FinnPa Helsinki 3 Aug 11 – Aug 25 1 in 25
5 MyPa 4 May 12 – May 26 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FinnPa Helsinki 5 May 15 – Jun 9 1 in 97
2 Haka 5 Aug 25 – Oct 13 1 in 87
3 Ilves 5 May 12 – Jun 6 1 in 87
4 TPS Turku 3 Jul 28 – Aug 11 1 in 52
5 MP Mikkeli 4 Jun 6 – Jun 16 1 in 46

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FinnPa Helsinki 16 Jun 12 – Sep 29 1 in 2,168
2 Inter Turku 10 Apr 28 – Jun 12 1 in 550
3 TPS Turku 7 May 19 – Jun 16 1 in 30
4 VPS 6 Jul 11 – Aug 11 1 in 26
5 Jaro 7 Jun 12 – Jul 21 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jaro 6 Aug 25 – Oct 20 1 in 40
2 Haka 6 Jul 7 – Aug 1 1 in 25
3 FinnPa Helsinki 6 May 15 – Jun 12 1 in 18
4 MyPa 5 Jun 5 – Jun 19 1 in 14
5 RoPS 5 May 9 – May 26 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
FC Jazz 1531 47 +23 10 7.5 +2.5
MyPa 1537 45 +19 12 7.2 +4.8
TPS Turku 1507 44 +32 7 6.7 +0.3
FinnPa Helsinki 1498 42 -9 7 7.1 -0.1
VPS 1488 41 +33 12 8.4 +3.6
RoPS 1468 39 +39 12 7.8 +4.2
Inter Turku 1399 39 -28 4 5.2 -1.2
Jaro 1502 39 -36 2 7.9 -5.9
HJK 1490 38 +15 10 8.6 +1.4
Ilves 1348 30 -51 3 6.0 -3.0
Haka 1417 27 -25 3 6.9 -3.9
MP Mikkeli 1268 20 -11 4 4.0 +0.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FJ FH HJK HAK ILV IT JAR MM MYP ROP TT VPS
FC Jazz —
1-1-1
4.70
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.90
0-2-0
3.30
2-1-0
5.13
2-0-1
4.02
1-1-0
3.80
0-1-2
3.89
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-1
4.61
1-1-0
3.25
FinnPa Helsinki
1-1-1
3.62
—
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-1
5.03
1-2-0
3.84
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-1
4.25
0-1-1
2.89
1-1-1
4.01
0-2-0
2.79
HJK
0-0-2
2.67
1-0-1
2.88
—
2-0-1
4.33
1-2-0
5.24
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
2.72
2-1-0
5.46
0-0-2
2.53
1-1-1
4.04
0-0-2
2.62
2-0-1
5.00
Haka
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-2
3.99
—
1-1-1
4.74
0-1-1
3.22
0-0-2
2.97
1-1-1
5.89
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-1
4.28
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-3
4.93
Ilves
0-2-0
2.26
0-1-1
2.61
0-2-1
3.10
1-1-1
3.59
—
2-0-0
2.30
2-0-0
2.20
2-0-1
5.02
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-3
3.51
0-0-2
2.44
0-0-3
3.64
Inter Turku
0-1-2
3.21
1-0-2
3.30
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.33
0-0-2
3.26
—
2-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.37
2-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-1
4.06
1-0-1
3.03
Jaro
1-0-2
4.30
0-2-1
4.48
0-1-1
2.83
2-0-0
2.59
0-0-2
3.36
0-1-2
5.00
—
2-0-0
3.62
1-0-2
4.27
2-0-0
3.04
2-1-0
3.89
1-1-0
3.13
MP Mikkeli
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-2
2.87
1-1-1
2.47
1-0-2
3.32
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
1.93
—
0-0-2
1.98
1-0-2
3.31
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-2
3.08
MyPa
2-1-0
4.43
1-0-2
4.07
2-0-0
3.01
1-1-0
2.66
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-2
5.22
2-0-1
4.05
2-0-0
3.57
—
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-2
4.25
0-1-1
3.64
RoPS
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.66
1-1-1
4.29
1-1-1
4.05
3-0-0
4.82
0-1-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.51
2-0-1
5.02
1-0-1
2.56
—
0-1-1
2.34
2-0-1
3.67
TPS Turku
1-0-2
3.71
1-1-1
4.31
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
3.13
1-1-1
4.26
0-1-2
4.43
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-1
4.06
1-1-0
3.21
—
2-0-0
2.88
VPS
0-1-1
2.30
0-2-0
2.75
1-0-2
3.33
3-0-0
3.39
3-0-0
4.70
1-0-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-1
5.29
1-1-0
1.92
1-0-2
4.67
0-0-2
2.66
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +7.5
Allowed 0.51 -7.1
Differential 0.87 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.49%11.73%4.32%4.01%0.93%0.31%31.79%
111.73%8.02%8.64%2.78%1.54%0.62%33.33%
24.32%8.64%2.47%1.54%1.54%0.93%19.44%
34.01%2.78%1.54%0.62%0.31%—9.26%
40.93%1.54%1.54%0.31%——4.32%
5+0.31%0.62%0.93%———1.85%
Total31.79%33.33%19.44%9.26%4.32%1.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.75
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.52%7.41%3.70%—3.70%—33.33%
111.11%3.70%—3.70%——18.52%
2—3.70%3.70%3.70%——11.11%
3—11.11%3.70%3.70%——18.52%
4—11.11%3.70%———14.81%
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total29.63%37.04%18.52%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.22 +0.52
SD 1.63 1.12 1.72
CV 0.94 0.92 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.93%7.41%3.70%7.41%——44.44%
17.41%7.41%7.41%———22.22%
23.70%7.41%————11.11%
37.41%—7.41%———14.81%
4—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
5+———————
Total44.44%25.93%22.22%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.93 +0.26
SD 1.36 1.00 1.58
CV 1.15 1.08 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%3.70%7.41%———22.22%
118.52%7.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%—40.74%
27.41%7.41%—7.41%—3.70%25.93%
3————3.70%—3.70%
43.70%—3.70%———7.41%
5+———————
Total40.74%18.52%18.52%11.11%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.37 -0.04
SD 1.11 1.50 1.65
CV 0.83 1.09 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%14.81%3.70%3.70%——29.63%
1—11.11%18.52%3.70%——33.33%
27.41%11.11%3.70%3.70%—3.70%29.63%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
Total14.81%40.74%29.63%11.11%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.56 -0.26
SD 1.32 1.25 1.72
CV 1.02 0.80 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%14.81%7.41%3.70%—3.70%40.74%
111.11%3.70%7.41%3.70%—3.70%29.63%
2—14.81%3.70%—3.70%—22.22%
33.70%——3.70%——7.41%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.93%33.33%18.52%11.11%3.70%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.59 -0.63
SD 0.98 1.58 1.82
CV 1.02 0.99 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%14.81%—7.41%——25.93%
122.22%14.81%11.11%—3.70%—51.85%
27.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
3———————
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+———————
Total33.33%37.04%18.52%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.11 -0.07
SD 0.90 1.09 1.44
CV 0.87 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%25.93%————29.63%
114.81%11.11%7.41%—3.70%—37.04%
27.41%3.70%7.41%———18.52%
3—7.41%————7.41%
47.41%—————7.41%
5+———————
Total33.33%48.15%14.81%—3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 0.93 +0.33
SD 1.20 0.92 1.62
CV 0.95 0.99 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%—14.81%7.41%—44.44%
111.11%7.41%11.11%11.11%3.70%—44.44%
23.70%3.70%———3.70%11.11%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.93%22.22%11.11%25.93%11.11%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.85 -1.19
SD 0.68 1.54 1.69
CV 1.02 0.83 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%—7.41%——18.52%
111.11%7.41%7.41%———25.93%
23.70%11.11%3.70%3.70%7.41%—29.63%
37.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+——3.70%———3.70%
Total22.22%40.74%18.52%11.11%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.41 +0.37
SD 1.40 1.19 1.86
CV 0.79 0.84 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%7.41%14.81%———37.04%
17.41%7.41%11.11%3.70%——29.63%
2—11.11%————11.11%
37.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
4———————
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total29.63%37.04%29.63%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.07 +0.22
SD 1.46 0.87 1.76
CV 1.13 0.81 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
111.11%11.11%7.41%3.70%3.70%3.70%40.74%
27.41%11.11%——3.70%—22.22%
311.11%—————11.11%
4——3.70%3.70%——7.41%
5+———————
Total37.04%29.63%14.81%7.41%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.30 +0.19
SD 1.16 1.44 1.82
CV 0.78 1.11 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%14.81%7.41%3.70%——37.04%
114.81%3.70%7.41%———25.93%
23.70%11.11%3.70%—3.70%—22.22%
311.11%—————11.11%
4———————
5+3.70%—————3.70%
Total44.44%29.63%18.52%3.70%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 0.93 +0.30
SD 1.28 1.07 1.84
CV 1.05 1.16 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
MyPa 1537 45 33.53 +11.47 53.0% 22 24 29 33 38 42 47
FC Jazz 1531 47 33.85 +13.15 72.0% 17 22 29 33 38 46 51
TPS Turku 1507 44 32.32 +11.68 80.0% 18 21 28 32 36 42 51
Jaro 1502 39 33.56 +5.44 74.0% 16 24 29 34 38 43 46
FinnPa Helsinki 1498 42 30.31 +11.69 81.0% 15 21 27 30 34 41 44
HJK 1490 38 32.71 +5.29 27.0% 17 22 28 33 38 41 44
VPS 1488 41 27.31 +13.69 66.0% 16 18 24 27 31 35 38
RoPS 1468 39 28.91 +10.09 40.0% 15 19 25 29 33 38 41
Haka 1417 27 33.81 -6.81 9.0% 19 23 29 34 38 43 51
Inter Turku 1399 39 28.59 +10.41 84.0% 13 18 23 29 34 39 45
Ilves 1348 30 27.50 +2.50 48.0% 16 18 24 28 31 35 40
MP Mikkeli 1268 20 23.76 -3.76 11.0% 9 13 19 24 29 34 37

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.37%
Strong Edge
49.38%21.60%29.01%
Elo Value
Home Edge
176 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
071.78500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.52 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.41+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.5
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
18%
FC Jazz, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.77 * Some Luck: 4.77 to 7.16 * Lucky: 7.16 to 9.55 * Wild Swing: 9.55 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.25 * Close: 2.25 to 3.37 * Off: 3.37 to 4.5 * Way Off: 4.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.94 points
Some Luck
05.9715
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.50
Close
02.816
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
84.00%
Inter Turku
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Haka
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 69.23
1.14
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Even
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Very Even
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.64
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.11
Weak Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Shaky
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.68
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.45
Overconfident
0.2870591.001.71294
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.052
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
FC Jazz18.00%16.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%
MyPa15.00%17.00%6.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
TPS Turku11.00%10.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%13.00%6.00%3.00%
FinnPa Helsinki6.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%12.00%5.00%5.00%9.00%
Jaro16.00%11.00%15.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%1.00%2.00%
Inter Turku4.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%13.00%3.00%9.00%14.00%14.00%9.00%
VPS—5.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%11.00%16.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%9.00%
RoPS3.00%2.00%12.00%4.00%7.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%
HJK11.00%12.00%15.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%1.00%9.00%5.00%
Ilves1.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%16.00%8.00%13.00%9.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%
Haka15.00%12.00%9.00%14.00%15.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%5.00%4.00%5.00%1.00%
MP Mikkeli—1.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%39.00%
Team123456789101112
FC Jazz25.89%25.51%19.87%14.44%9.64%4.65%——————
MyPa3.88%7.67%12.01%17.25%24.19%35.00%——————
TPS Turku17.77%20.91%21.53%18.48%14.17%7.14%——————
FinnPa Helsinki9.90%15.00%19.22%21.83%19.44%14.61%——————
Jaro38.77%23.95%16.13%11.24%6.73%3.18%——————
Inter Turku3.79%6.96%11.24%16.76%25.83%35.42%——————
VPS——————42.58%26.47%17.02%9.76%4.17%—
RoPS——————13.08%20.39%26.86%23.47%16.14%0.06%
HJK——————32.69%29.68%19.69%12.59%5.35%—
Ilves——————8.76%15.62%22.59%29.71%23.22%0.10%
Haka——————2.89%7.84%13.84%24.45%50.53%0.45%
MP Mikkeli—————————0.02%0.59%99.39%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
FC Jazz 85.00% 10.00% 5.00%
Jaro 86.00% 5.00% 9.00%
Haka 81.00% 9.00% 10.00%
MyPa 82.00% 6.00% 12.00%
HJK 81.00% 4.00% 15.00%
FinnPa Helsinki 73.00% 9.00% 18.00%
TPS Turku 76.00% 2.00% 22.00%
RoPS 59.00% 12.00% 29.00%
VPS 53.00% 15.00% 32.00%
Ilves 50.00% 12.00% 38.00%
Inter Turku 52.00% 10.00% 38.00%
MP Mikkeli 22.00% 6.00% 72.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
FC Jazz 100% — —
FinnPa Helsinki 100% — —
Inter Turku 100% — —
Jaro 100% — —
MyPa 100% — —
TPS Turku 100% — —
VPS 69.05% 17.02% 13.93%
HJK 62.37% 19.69% 17.94%
RoPS 33.47% 26.86% 39.67%
Ilves 24.38% 22.59% 53.03%
Haka 10.73% 13.84% 75.43%
MP Mikkeli — — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1996-04-28 Jaro W 4-143.4 1466 1453 50.05% 22.52% 27.43%+0.48 +18.0 3
1996-04-28 @ FC Jazz L 1-443.4 1453 1466 27.43% 22.52% 50.05%-0.48 -18.0 0
1996-04-28 MyPa W 4-253.9 1450 1503 41.17% 22.90% 35.93%+0.11 +14.1 3
1996-04-28 @ FinnPa Helsinki L 2-453.9 1503 1450 35.93% 22.90% 41.17%-0.11 -14.1 0
1996-04-28 RoPS W 2-150.5 1526 1450 57.45% 21.74% 20.82%+0.84 +5.8 3
1996-04-28 @ Haka L 1-250.5 1450 1526 20.82% 21.74% 57.45%-0.84 -5.8 0
1996-04-28 HJK W 2-046.0 1366 1509 29.11% 22.64% 48.25%-0.40 +23.1 3
1996-04-28 @ Inter Turku L 0-246.0 1509 1366 48.25% 22.64% 29.11%+0.40 -23.1 0
1996-04-28 Ilves L 1-254.8 1426 1433 47.54% 22.68% 29.78%+0.37 -11.4 0
1996-04-28 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-154.8 1433 1426 29.78% 22.68% 47.54%-0.37 +11.4 3
1996-04-28 TPS Turku L 1-254.2 1419 1452 43.97% 22.83% 33.20%+0.22 -10.7 0
1996-04-28 @ VPS W 2-154.2 1452 1419 33.20% 22.83% 43.97%-0.22 +10.7 3
1996-05-05 MP Mikkeli W 1-042.6 1485 1415 56.87% 21.81% 21.31%+0.81 +6.2 3
1996-05-05 @ HJK L 0-142.6 1415 1485 21.31% 21.81% 56.87%-0.81 -6.2 0
1996-05-05 FC Jazz D 0-057.6 1444 1484 43.11% 22.86% 34.03%+0.18 -0.6 4
1996-05-05 @ Ilves D 0-057.6 1484 1444 34.03% 22.86% 43.11%-0.18 +0.5 4
1996-05-05 Inter Turku L 0-150.3 1435 1389 54.02% 22.16% 23.82%+0.67 -13.5 0
1996-05-05 @ Jaro W 1-050.3 1389 1435 23.82% 22.16% 54.02%-0.67 +13.5 6
1996-05-05 Haka D 1-165.7 1489 1532 42.66% 22.87% 34.47%+0.17 -0.4 1
1996-05-05 @ MyPa D 1-165.7 1532 1489 34.47% 22.87% 42.66%-0.17 +0.4 4
1996-05-05 VPS W 3-035.9 1444 1408 52.89% 22.28% 24.84%+0.61 +19.6 3
1996-05-05 @ RoPS L 0-335.9 1408 1444 24.84% 22.28% 52.89%-0.61 -19.6 0
1996-05-05 FinnPa Helsinki D 0-057.6 1463 1464 48.26% 22.64% 29.10%+0.40 -1.2 4
1996-05-05 @ TPS Turku D 0-057.6 1464 1463 29.10% 22.64% 48.26%-0.40 +1.2 4
1996-05-09 TPS Turku W 4-250.6 1484 1462 51.22% 22.43% 26.36%+0.54 +11.0 7
1996-05-09 @ FC Jazz L 2-450.6 1462 1484 26.36% 22.43% 51.22%-0.54 -11.0 4
1996-05-09 Haka W 2-156.6 1492 1532 42.94% 22.86% 34.20%+0.18 +8.8 6
1996-05-09 @ HJK L 1-256.6 1532 1492 34.20% 22.86% 42.94%-0.18 -8.8 4
1996-05-09 MyPa W 1-048.0 1444 1489 42.32% 22.88% 34.81%+0.15 +9.4 7
1996-05-09 @ Ilves L 0-148.0 1489 1444 34.81% 22.88% 42.32%-0.15 -9.4 1
1996-05-09 VPS W 2-037.6 1403 1389 50.18% 22.51% 27.31%+0.49 +14.6 9
1996-05-09 @ Inter Turku L 0-237.6 1389 1403 27.31% 22.51% 50.18%-0.49 -14.6 0
1996-05-09 FinnPa Helsinki D 1-160.9 1421 1465 42.47% 22.87% 34.66%+0.16 -0.4 1
1996-05-09 @ Jaro D 1-160.9 1465 1421 34.66% 22.87% 42.47%-0.16 +0.4 5
1996-05-09 RoPS W 1-046.5 1408 1464 40.86% 22.90% 36.24%+0.09 +9.7 3
1996-05-09 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-146.5 1464 1408 36.24% 22.90% 40.86%-0.09 -9.7 3
1996-05-12 Ilves W 2-041.2 1466 1453 50.03% 22.52% 27.45%+0.48 +14.7 8
1996-05-12 @ FinnPa Helsinki L 0-241.2 1453 1466 27.45% 22.52% 50.03%-0.48 -14.7 7
1996-05-12 MP Mikkeli D 1-163.3 1524 1418 60.53% 21.24% 18.23%+1.01 -2.5 5
1996-05-12 @ Haka D 1-163.3 1418 1524 18.23% 21.24% 60.53%-1.01 +2.5 4
1996-05-12 FC Jazz W 3-149.7 1479 1495 46.33% 22.74% 30.93%+0.32 +14.0 4
1996-05-12 @ MyPa L 1-349.7 1495 1479 30.93% 22.74% 46.33%-0.32 -14.0 7
1996-05-12 Inter Turku D 1-160.6 1454 1417 52.99% 22.27% 24.74%+0.62 -1.6 4
1996-05-12 @ RoPS D 1-160.6 1417 1454 24.74% 22.27% 52.99%-0.62 +1.6 10
1996-05-12 Jaro L 0-151.1 1451 1421 52.17% 22.34% 25.48%+0.58 -13.1 4
1996-05-12 @ TPS Turku W 1-051.1 1421 1451 25.48% 22.34% 52.17%-0.58 +13.1 4
1996-05-12 HJK W 2-045.4 1374 1500 31.14% 22.75% 46.11%-0.31 +22.2 3
1996-05-12 @ VPS L 0-245.4 1500 1374 46.11% 22.75% 31.14%+0.31 -22.2 6
1996-05-15 Inter Turku L 0-153.0 1480 1419 55.84% 21.95% 22.21%+0.76 -13.9 8
1996-05-15 @ FinnPa Helsinki W 1-053.0 1419 1480 22.21% 21.95% 55.84%-0.76 +14.0 13
1996-05-19 FinnPa Helsinki W 2-151.6 1481 1466 50.27% 22.50% 27.23%+0.49 +7.3 10
1996-05-19 @ FC Jazz L 1-251.6 1466 1481 27.23% 22.50% 50.27%-0.49 -7.3 8
1996-05-19 RoPS D 0-057.8 1478 1453 51.62% 22.39% 25.99%+0.55 -1.6 7
1996-05-19 @ HJK D 0-057.8 1453 1478 25.99% 22.39% 51.62%-0.55 +1.6 5
1996-05-19 TPS Turku L 2-455.0 1438 1438 48.48% 22.62% 28.90%+0.41 -18.0 7
1996-05-19 @ Ilves W 4-255.0 1438 1438 28.90% 22.62% 48.48%-0.41 +18.0 7
1996-05-19 Haka W 1-050.7 1433 1521 36.22% 22.90% 40.88%-0.09 +10.7 16
1996-05-19 @ Inter Turku L 0-150.7 1521 1433 40.88% 22.90% 36.22%+0.09 -10.7 5
1996-05-19 MyPa L 0-149.5 1434 1493 40.31% 22.91% 36.78%+0.07 -10.6 4
1996-05-19 @ Jaro W 1-049.5 1493 1434 36.78% 22.91% 40.31%-0.07 +10.6 7
1996-05-19 VPS W 1-041.8 1421 1397 51.45% 22.41% 26.14%+0.55 +7.5 7
1996-05-19 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-141.8 1397 1421 26.14% 22.41% 51.45%-0.55 -7.5 3
1996-05-23 HJK L 0-247.4 1459 1477 46.12% 22.75% 31.13%+0.31 -22.2 8
1996-05-23 @ FinnPa Helsinki W 2-047.4 1477 1459 31.13% 22.75% 46.12%-0.31 +22.3 10
1996-05-23 Ilves W 2-038.9 1510 1420 58.95% 21.51% 19.54%+0.92 +10.9 8
1996-05-23 @ Haka L 0-238.9 1420 1510 19.54% 21.51% 58.95%-0.92 -10.9 7
1996-05-23 MP Mikkeli W 3-037.1 1504 1428 57.43% 21.74% 20.83%+0.84 +16.8 10
1996-05-23 @ MyPa L 0-337.1 1428 1504 20.83% 21.74% 57.43%-0.84 -16.8 7
1996-05-23 FC Jazz D 0-058.1 1454 1488 43.85% 22.84% 33.32%+0.21 -0.6 6
1996-05-23 @ RoPS D 0-058.1 1488 1454 33.32% 22.84% 43.85%-0.21 +0.6 11
1996-05-23 Inter Turku D 1-161.4 1456 1444 49.95% 22.53% 27.52%+0.48 -1.2 8
1996-05-23 @ TPS Turku D 1-161.4 1444 1456 27.52% 22.53% 49.95%-0.48 +1.2 17
1996-05-23 Jaro L 0-147.2 1389 1423 43.82% 22.84% 33.35%+0.21 -11.3 3
1996-05-23 @ VPS W 1-047.2 1423 1389 33.35% 22.84% 43.82%-0.21 +11.3 7
1996-05-26 MP Mikkeli D 0-057.0 1489 1411 57.63% 21.71% 20.66%+0.85 -2.4 12
1996-05-26 @ FC Jazz D 0-057.0 1411 1489 20.66% 21.71% 57.63%-0.85 +2.4 8
1996-05-26 VPS L 1-254.4 1410 1378 52.37% 22.33% 25.30%+0.59 -12.4 7
1996-05-26 @ Ilves W 2-154.4 1378 1410 25.30% 22.33% 52.37%-0.59 +12.4 6
1996-05-26 RoPS W 2-041.4 1435 1454 45.91% 22.76% 31.33%+0.30 +16.4 10
1996-05-26 @ Jaro L 0-241.4 1454 1435 31.33% 22.76% 45.91%-0.30 -16.4 6
1996-05-26 HJK W 3-149.9 1521 1499 51.17% 22.43% 26.40%+0.53 +12.3 13
1996-05-26 @ MyPa L 1-349.9 1499 1521 26.40% 22.43% 51.17%-0.53 -12.3 10
1996-05-26 Haka D 0-059.3 1455 1521 39.26% 22.91% 37.82%+0.03 -0.1 9
1996-05-26 @ TPS Turku D 0-059.3 1521 1455 37.82% 22.91% 39.26%-0.03 +0.1 9
1996-06-05 MyPa D 1-162.2 1390 1533 29.06% 22.63% 48.31%-0.40 +1.1 7
1996-06-05 @ VPS D 1-162.2 1533 1390 48.31% 22.63% 29.06%+0.40 -1.1 14
1996-06-06 FinnPa Helsinki W 2-149.6 1521 1437 58.36% 21.60% 20.04%+0.89 +5.6 12
1996-06-06 @ Haka L 1-249.6 1437 1521 20.04% 21.60% 58.36%-0.89 -5.6 8
1996-06-06 Jaro W 1-045.1 1487 1451 52.82% 22.28% 24.89%+0.61 +7.2 13
1996-06-06 @ HJK L 0-145.1 1451 1487 24.89% 22.28% 52.82%-0.61 -7.2 10
1996-06-06 FC Jazz D 1-162.4 1445 1487 42.79% 22.86% 34.34%+0.17 -0.5 18
1996-06-06 @ Inter Turku D 1-162.4 1487 1445 34.34% 22.86% 42.79%-0.17 +0.5 13
1996-06-06 TPS Turku L 1-253.8 1414 1454 42.94% 22.86% 34.20%+0.18 -10.5 8
1996-06-06 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-153.8 1454 1414 34.20% 22.86% 42.94%-0.18 +10.5 12
1996-06-06 Ilves W 3-143.0 1437 1397 53.39% 22.23% 24.38%+0.64 +11.5 9
1996-06-06 @ RoPS L 1-343.0 1397 1437 24.38% 22.23% 53.39%-0.64 -11.5 7
1996-06-09 FC Jazz L 2-554.6 1494 1487 49.25% 22.57% 28.18%+0.45 -25.0 13
1996-06-09 @ HJK W 5-254.6 1487 1494 28.18% 22.57% 49.25%-0.45 +25.0 16
1996-06-09 Jaro W 1-045.4 1386 1444 40.47% 22.90% 36.63%+0.08 +9.8 10
1996-06-09 @ Ilves L 0-145.4 1444 1386 36.63% 22.90% 40.47%-0.08 -9.8 10
1996-06-09 Inter Turku L 0-147.8 1403 1444 42.87% 22.86% 34.26%+0.17 -11.1 8
1996-06-09 @ MP Mikkeli W 1-047.8 1444 1403 34.26% 22.86% 42.87%-0.17 +11.1 21
1996-06-09 FinnPa Helsinki W 3-037.4 1449 1431 50.61% 22.48% 26.91%+0.51 +21.0 12
1996-06-09 @ RoPS L 0-337.4 1431 1449 26.91% 22.48% 50.61%-0.51 -20.9 8
1996-06-09 MyPa W 3-044.9 1465 1532 39.23% 22.91% 37.86%+0.03 +27.6 15
1996-06-09 @ TPS Turku L 0-344.9 1532 1465 37.86% 22.91% 39.23%-0.03 -27.6 14
1996-06-09 Haka W 3-044.9 1391 1527 29.93% 22.69% 47.38%-0.36 +33.1 10
1996-06-09 @ VPS L 0-344.9 1527 1391 47.38% 22.69% 29.93%+0.36 -33.1 12
1996-06-12 Haka L 0-251.3 1512 1494 50.71% 22.47% 26.82%+0.51 -24.1 16
1996-06-12 @ FC Jazz W 2-051.3 1494 1512 26.82% 22.47% 50.71%-0.51 +24.1 15
1996-06-12 VPS D 0-054.7 1410 1424 46.58% 22.73% 30.69%+0.33 -1.0 9
1996-06-12 @ FinnPa Helsinki D 0-054.7 1424 1410 30.69% 22.73% 46.58%-0.33 +1.0 11
1996-06-12 HJK D 0-055.5 1395 1469 38.32% 22.91% 38.76%-0.01 +0.0 11
1996-06-12 @ Ilves D 0-055.5 1469 1395 38.76% 22.91% 38.32%+0.01 -0.0 14
1996-06-12 MP Mikkeli W 4-034.7 1434 1392 53.59% 22.21% 24.20%+0.65 +25.0 13
1996-06-12 @ Jaro L 0-434.7 1392 1434 24.20% 22.21% 53.59%-0.65 -25.0 8
1996-06-12 Inter Turku L 2-459.5 1504 1456 54.39% 22.12% 23.49%+0.69 -19.9 14
1996-06-12 @ MyPa W 4-259.5 1456 1504 23.49% 22.12% 54.39%-0.69 +19.9 24
1996-06-12 RoPS D 1-163.6 1493 1470 51.28% 22.42% 26.30%+0.54 -1.4 16
1996-06-12 @ TPS Turku D 1-163.6 1470 1493 26.30% 22.42% 51.28%-0.54 +1.4 13
1996-06-16 Jaro L 0-155.6 1518 1459 55.56% 21.98% 22.46%+0.74 -13.9 15
1996-06-16 @ Haka W 1-055.6 1459 1518 22.46% 21.98% 55.56%-0.74 +13.9 16
1996-06-16 TPS Turku L 3-464.6 1469 1491 45.44% 22.78% 31.78%+0.28 -10.2 14
1996-06-16 @ HJK W 4-364.6 1491 1469 31.78% 22.78% 45.44%-0.28 +10.2 19
1996-06-16 Ilves L 1-258.0 1475 1395 57.89% 21.67% 20.44%+0.86 -13.6 24
1996-06-16 @ Inter Turku W 2-158.0 1395 1475 20.44% 21.67% 57.89%-0.86 +13.6 14
1996-06-16 FinnPa Helsinki L 0-339.6 1367 1409 42.72% 22.87% 34.41%+0.17 -30.4 8
1996-06-16 @ MP Mikkeli W 3-039.6 1409 1367 34.41% 22.87% 42.72%-0.17 +30.3 12
1996-06-16 MyPa W 2-153.0 1471 1484 46.66% 22.72% 30.62%+0.33 +8.0 16
1996-06-16 @ RoPS L 1-253.0 1484 1471 30.62% 22.72% 46.66%-0.33 -8.0 14
1996-06-16 FC Jazz D 0-057.0 1425 1488 39.85% 22.91% 37.24%+0.05 -0.2 12
1996-06-16 @ VPS D 0-057.0 1488 1425 37.24% 22.91% 39.85%-0.05 +0.1 17
1996-06-19 MyPa D 2-269.1 1488 1476 49.89% 22.53% 27.58%+0.48 -0.9 18
1996-06-19 @ FC Jazz D 2-269.1 1476 1488 27.58% 22.53% 49.89%-0.48 +0.9 15
1996-06-19 VPS W 1-043.3 1459 1425 52.58% 22.31% 25.12%+0.60 +7.2 17
1996-06-19 @ HJK L 0-143.3 1425 1459 25.12% 22.31% 52.58%-0.60 -7.2 12
1996-06-19 FinnPa Helsinki D 0-055.1 1409 1440 44.31% 22.82% 32.87%+0.23 -0.7 15
1996-06-19 @ Ilves D 0-055.1 1440 1409 32.87% 22.82% 44.31%-0.23 +0.7 13
1996-06-19 RoPS W 2-152.6 1462 1479 46.13% 22.75% 31.12%+0.31 +8.1 27
1996-06-19 @ Inter Turku L 1-252.6 1479 1462 31.12% 22.75% 46.13%-0.31 -8.1 16
1996-06-19 TPS Turku W 2-044.8 1473 1501 44.64% 22.81% 32.55%+0.25 +16.9 19
1996-06-19 @ Jaro L 0-244.8 1501 1473 32.55% 22.81% 44.64%-0.25 -16.9 19
1996-06-19 Haka W 2-045.9 1337 1504 26.19% 22.41% 51.40%-0.54 +24.4 11
1996-06-19 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-245.9 1504 1337 51.40% 22.41% 26.19%+0.54 -24.4 15
1996-06-30 RoPS W 3-147.8 1487 1471 50.46% 22.49% 27.06%+0.50 +12.5 21
1996-06-30 @ FC Jazz L 1-347.8 1471 1487 27.06% 22.49% 50.46%-0.50 -12.5 16
1996-06-30 HJK W 1-046.1 1484 1466 50.77% 22.46% 26.76%+0.52 +7.6 22
1996-06-30 @ TPS Turku L 0-146.1 1466 1484 26.76% 22.46% 50.77%-0.52 -7.6 17
1996-07-03 Inter Turku W 1-046.8 1418 1470 41.35% 22.89% 35.76%+0.11 +9.6 15
1996-07-03 @ VPS L 0-146.8 1470 1418 35.76% 22.89% 41.35%-0.11 -9.6 27
1996-07-04 Jaro D 1-162.4 1441 1490 41.73% 22.89% 35.38%+0.13 -0.3 14
1996-07-04 @ FinnPa Helsinki D 1-162.4 1490 1441 35.38% 22.89% 41.73%-0.13 +0.3 20
1996-07-04 HJK W 2-151.0 1480 1458 51.13% 22.43% 26.43%+0.53 +7.1 18
1996-07-04 @ Haka L 1-251.0 1458 1480 26.43% 22.43% 51.13%-0.53 -7.1 17
1996-07-04 Ilves W 1-042.2 1477 1408 56.69% 21.84% 21.47%+0.80 +6.3 18
1996-07-04 @ MyPa L 0-142.2 1408 1477 21.47% 21.84% 56.69%-0.80 -6.3 15
1996-07-04 MP Mikkeli W 3-140.7 1458 1361 59.70% 21.39% 18.92%+0.96 +9.2 19
1996-07-04 @ RoPS L 1-340.7 1361 1458 18.92% 21.39% 59.70%-0.96 -9.1 11
1996-07-04 FC Jazz W 1-048.7 1492 1500 47.40% 22.69% 29.91%+0.37 +8.4 25
1996-07-04 @ TPS Turku L 0-148.7 1500 1492 29.91% 22.69% 47.40%-0.37 -8.3 21
1996-07-07 VPS W 1-043.4 1491 1428 56.11% 21.92% 21.98%+0.77 +6.4 24
1996-07-07 @ FC Jazz L 0-143.4 1428 1491 21.98% 21.92% 56.11%-0.77 -6.4 15
1996-07-07 FinnPa Helsinki L 2-361.1 1451 1440 49.79% 22.54% 27.67%+0.47 -11.3 17
1996-07-07 @ HJK W 3-261.1 1440 1451 27.67% 22.54% 49.79%-0.47 +11.3 17
1996-07-07 Haka D 2-266.3 1402 1487 36.70% 22.91% 40.40%-0.07 +0.1 16
1996-07-07 @ Ilves D 2-266.3 1487 1402 40.40% 22.91% 36.70%+0.07 -0.1 19
1996-07-07 TPS Turku L 1-256.9 1460 1500 43.03% 22.86% 34.11%+0.18 -10.5 27
1996-07-07 @ Inter Turku W 2-156.9 1500 1460 34.11% 22.86% 43.03%-0.18 +10.5 28
1996-07-07 MyPa L 1-441.9 1352 1484 30.46% 22.72% 46.83%-0.34 -19.6 11
1996-07-07 @ MP Mikkeli W 4-141.9 1484 1352 46.83% 22.72% 30.46%+0.34 +19.6 21
1996-07-10 Ilves D 1-159.8 1440 1402 53.07% 22.26% 24.67%+0.62 -1.6 18
1996-07-10 @ HJK D 1-159.8 1402 1440 24.67% 22.26% 53.07%-0.62 +1.6 17
1996-07-10 Haka W 3-149.0 1490 1487 48.85% 22.60% 28.55%+0.43 +13.1 23
1996-07-10 @ Jaro L 1-349.0 1487 1490 28.55% 22.60% 48.85%-0.43 -13.1 19
1996-07-11 VPS L 0-154.4 1503 1421 58.11% 21.64% 20.25%+0.88 -14.5 21
1996-07-11 @ MyPa W 1-054.4 1421 1503 20.25% 21.64% 58.11%-0.88 +14.5 18
1996-07-13 FC Jazz W 1-048.7 1451 1498 42.15% 22.88% 34.97%+0.14 +9.5 20
1996-07-13 @ FinnPa Helsinki L 0-148.7 1498 1451 34.97% 22.88% 42.15%-0.14 -9.5 24
1996-07-13 HJK L 0-248.1 1468 1438 52.10% 22.35% 25.55%+0.58 -24.7 19
1996-07-13 @ RoPS W 2-048.1 1438 1468 25.55% 22.35% 52.10%-0.58 +24.7 21
1996-07-14 Inter Turku D 1-162.3 1474 1450 51.39% 22.41% 26.20%+0.54 -1.4 20
1996-07-14 @ Haka D 1-162.3 1450 1474 26.20% 22.41% 51.39%-0.54 +1.4 28
1996-07-14 Ilves W 1-041.9 1511 1404 60.70% 21.21% 18.09%+1.02 +5.4 31
1996-07-14 @ TPS Turku L 0-141.9 1404 1511 18.09% 21.21% 60.70%-1.02 -5.4 17
1996-07-14 MP Mikkeli W 1-038.1 1436 1333 60.29% 21.29% 18.42%+1.00 +5.5 21
1996-07-14 @ VPS L 0-138.1 1333 1436 18.42% 21.29% 60.29%-1.00 -5.5 11
1996-07-18 Inter Turku W 2-151.2 1398 1451 41.24% 22.89% 35.86%+0.11 +9.1 20
1996-07-18 @ Ilves L 1-251.2 1451 1398 35.86% 22.89% 41.24%-0.11 -9.1 28
1996-07-18 VPS D 2-268.5 1503 1441 55.93% 21.94% 22.13%+0.76 -1.5 24
1996-07-18 @ Jaro D 2-268.5 1441 1503 22.13% 21.94% 55.93%-0.76 +1.4 22
1996-07-18 RoPS W 2-040.4 1489 1443 54.05% 22.16% 23.79%+0.67 +13.0 24
1996-07-18 @ MyPa L 0-240.4 1443 1489 23.79% 22.16% 54.05%-0.67 -13.0 19
1996-07-21 FC Jazz L 2-362.5 1472 1488 46.28% 22.74% 30.98%+0.32 -10.6 20
1996-07-21 @ Haka W 3-262.5 1488 1472 30.98% 22.74% 46.28%-0.32 +10.6 27
1996-07-21 MyPa W 1-049.1 1442 1502 40.29% 22.91% 36.80%+0.07 +9.9 31
1996-07-21 @ Inter Turku L 0-149.1 1502 1442 36.80% 22.91% 40.29%-0.07 -9.8 24
1996-07-21 Jaro L 1-343.2 1327 1502 25.36% 22.33% 52.31%-0.59 -11.9 11
1996-07-21 @ MP Mikkeli W 3-143.2 1502 1327 52.31% 22.33% 25.36%+0.59 +11.9 27
1996-07-21 TPS Turku L 0-245.0 1430 1516 36.47% 22.90% 40.62%-0.08 -18.5 19
1996-07-21 @ RoPS W 2-045.0 1516 1430 40.62% 22.90% 36.47%+0.08 +18.5 34
1996-07-21 FinnPa Helsinki D 0-056.8 1443 1461 45.98% 22.76% 31.26%+0.30 -0.9 23
1996-07-21 @ VPS D 0-056.8 1461 1443 31.26% 22.76% 45.98%-0.30 +0.9 21
1996-07-28 HJK W 4-144.1 1499 1463 52.89% 22.28% 24.83%+0.61 +16.5 30
1996-07-28 @ FC Jazz L 1-444.1 1463 1499 24.83% 22.28% 52.89%-0.61 -16.5 21
1996-07-28 RoPS D 0-056.0 1462 1411 54.57% 22.10% 23.33%+0.70 -2.0 22
1996-07-28 @ FinnPa Helsinki D 0-056.0 1411 1462 23.33% 22.10% 54.57%-0.70 +2.0 20
1996-07-28 VPS L 1-257.2 1462 1442 50.93% 22.45% 26.62%+0.52 -12.1 20
1996-07-28 @ Haka W 2-157.2 1442 1462 26.62% 22.45% 50.93%-0.52 +12.1 26
1996-07-28 MP Mikkeli D 0-053.8 1452 1315 63.57% 20.64% 15.79%+1.19 -3.2 32
1996-07-28 @ Inter Turku D 0-053.8 1315 1452 15.79% 20.64% 63.57%-1.19 +3.2 12
1996-07-28 Ilves L 0-154.9 1514 1408 60.61% 21.23% 18.16%+1.01 -15.0 27
1996-07-28 @ Jaro W 1-054.9 1408 1514 18.16% 21.23% 60.61%-1.01 +15.0 23
1996-07-28 TPS Turku W 2-156.8 1492 1535 42.64% 22.87% 34.49%+0.16 +8.8 27
1996-07-28 @ MyPa L 1-256.8 1535 1492 34.49% 22.87% 42.64%-0.16 -8.8 34
1996-07-31 HJK D 0-058.4 1499 1446 54.80% 22.07% 23.12%+0.71 -2.0 28
1996-07-31 @ Jaro D 0-058.4 1446 1499 23.12% 22.07% 54.80%-0.71 +2.0 22
1996-08-01 Inter Turku W 4-143.2 1515 1449 56.41% 21.88% 21.71%+0.79 +14.7 33
1996-08-01 @ FC Jazz L 1-443.2 1449 1515 21.71% 21.88% 56.41%-0.79 -14.7 32
1996-08-01 Haka W 2-150.4 1460 1449 49.73% 22.54% 27.73%+0.47 +7.4 25
1996-08-01 @ FinnPa Helsinki L 1-250.4 1449 1460 27.73% 22.54% 49.73%-0.47 -7.4 20
1996-08-04 RoPS L 0-149.4 1423 1413 49.57% 22.55% 27.88%+0.46 -12.5 23
1996-08-04 @ Ilves W 1-049.4 1413 1423 27.88% 22.55% 49.57%-0.46 +12.6 23
1996-08-04 Jaro L 1-260.0 1501 1497 48.92% 22.60% 28.48%+0.43 -11.7 27
1996-08-04 @ MyPa W 2-160.0 1497 1501 28.48% 22.60% 48.92%-0.43 +11.7 31
1996-08-04 MP Mikkeli L 0-154.5 1526 1318 69.56% 19.05% 11.39%+1.59 -17.0 34
1996-08-04 @ TPS Turku W 1-054.5 1318 1526 11.39% 19.05% 69.56%-1.59 +17.0 15
1996-08-08 MP Mikkeli D 0-054.5 1467 1335 63.10% 20.74% 16.16%+1.16 -3.1 26
1996-08-08 @ FinnPa Helsinki D 0-054.5 1335 1467 16.16% 20.74% 63.10%-1.16 +3.1 16
1996-08-11 TPS Turku W 5-146.4 1442 1509 39.25% 22.91% 37.84%+0.03 +30.0 23
1996-08-11 @ Haka L 1-546.4 1509 1442 37.84% 22.91% 39.25%-0.03 -30.0 34
1996-08-11 MyPa L 1-256.1 1448 1489 42.95% 22.86% 34.19%+0.18 -10.5 22
1996-08-11 @ HJK W 2-156.1 1489 1448 34.19% 22.86% 42.95%-0.18 +10.5 30
1996-08-11 FinnPa Helsinki L 0-149.8 1434 1464 44.43% 22.82% 32.76%+0.24 -11.4 32
1996-08-11 @ Inter Turku W 1-049.8 1464 1434 32.76% 22.82% 44.43%-0.24 +11.4 29
1996-08-11 FC Jazz L 1-343.7 1339 1530 23.57% 22.13% 54.30%-0.68 -11.2 16
1996-08-11 @ MP Mikkeli W 3-143.7 1530 1339 54.30% 22.13% 23.57%+0.68 +11.1 36
1996-08-11 Jaro L 0-148.8 1426 1508 37.03% 22.91% 40.06%-0.06 -9.9 23
1996-08-11 @ RoPS W 1-048.8 1508 1426 40.06% 22.91% 37.03%+0.06 +9.9 34
1996-08-11 Ilves W 5-036.3 1454 1410 53.80% 22.18% 24.02%+0.66 +30.6 29
1996-08-11 @ VPS L 0-536.3 1410 1454 24.02% 22.18% 53.80%-0.66 -30.6 23
1996-08-17 Inter Turku W 1-043.3 1438 1423 50.33% 22.50% 27.17%+0.49 +7.7 25
1996-08-17 @ HJK L 0-143.3 1423 1438 27.17% 22.50% 50.33%-0.49 -7.7 32
1996-08-17 FC Jazz W 4-045.1 1518 1541 45.37% 22.78% 31.85%+0.28 +31.4 37
1996-08-17 @ Jaro L 0-445.1 1541 1518 31.85% 22.78% 45.37%-0.28 -31.4 36
1996-08-17 Haka D 0-056.2 1416 1472 40.80% 22.90% 36.30%+0.09 -0.3 24
1996-08-17 @ RoPS D 0-056.2 1472 1416 36.30% 22.90% 40.80%-0.09 +0.3 24
1996-08-18 MP Mikkeli W 3-032.4 1379 1327 54.78% 22.08% 23.15%+0.71 +18.4 26
1996-08-18 @ Ilves L 0-332.4 1327 1379 23.15% 22.08% 54.78%-0.71 -18.4 16
1996-08-18 FinnPa Helsinki L 2-364.5 1500 1476 51.43% 22.41% 26.16%+0.55 -11.6 30
1996-08-18 @ MyPa W 3-264.5 1476 1500 26.16% 22.41% 51.43%-0.55 +11.6 32
1996-08-18 VPS W 2-043.5 1479 1484 47.69% 22.67% 29.64%+0.38 +15.6 37
1996-08-18 @ TPS Turku L 0-243.5 1484 1479 29.64% 22.67% 47.69%-0.38 -15.6 29
1996-08-25 Ilves D 3-371.0 1510 1398 61.18% 21.13% 17.69%+1.05 -1.6 37
1996-08-25 @ FC Jazz D 3-371.0 1398 1510 17.69% 21.13% 61.18%-1.05 +1.6 27
1996-08-25 TPS Turku W 4-146.5 1487 1495 47.44% 22.68% 29.88%+0.37 +19.3 35
1996-08-25 @ FinnPa Helsinki L 1-446.5 1495 1487 29.88% 22.68% 47.44%-0.37 -19.3 37
1996-08-25 MyPa L 2-650.8 1472 1488 46.36% 22.74% 30.90%+0.32 -30.0 24
1996-08-25 @ Haka W 6-250.8 1488 1472 30.90% 22.74% 46.36%-0.32 +30.0 33
1996-08-25 Jaro W 1-052.9 1415 1550 30.06% 22.69% 47.24%-0.36 +12.0 35
1996-08-25 @ Inter Turku L 0-152.9 1550 1415 47.24% 22.69% 30.06%+0.36 -12.0 37
1996-08-25 HJK L 0-435.0 1309 1446 29.81% 22.68% 47.51%-0.37 -29.8 16
1996-08-25 @ MP Mikkeli W 4-035.0 1446 1309 47.51% 22.68% 29.81%+0.37 +29.8 28
1996-08-25 RoPS L 1-257.6 1469 1416 54.86% 22.07% 23.07%+0.71 -12.9 29
1996-08-25 @ VPS W 2-157.6 1416 1469 23.07% 22.07% 54.86%-0.71 +13.0 27

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1996-09-07 FinnPa Helsinki D 0-060.8 1508 1506 48.63% 22.61% 28.75%+0.42 -1.2 1
1996-09-07 @ FC Jazz D 0-060.8 1506 1508 28.75% 22.61% 48.63%-0.42 +1.2 1
1996-09-08 Haka W 2-149.9 1475 1442 52.53% 22.31% 25.16%+0.60 +6.8 3
1996-09-08 @ HJK L 1-249.9 1442 1475 25.16% 22.31% 52.53%-0.60 -6.8 0
1996-09-08 TPS Turku W 2-152.6 1427 1475 41.90% 22.88% 35.21%+0.13 +9.0 3
1996-09-08 @ Inter Turku L 1-252.6 1475 1427 35.21% 22.88% 41.90%-0.13 -9.0 0
1996-09-08 MyPa L 1-262.7 1538 1518 50.91% 22.45% 26.64%+0.52 -12.1 0
1996-09-08 @ Jaro W 2-162.7 1518 1538 26.64% 22.45% 50.91%-0.52 +12.1 3
1996-09-08 RoPS L 1-245.9 1279 1429 28.24% 22.58% 49.18%-0.44 -7.5 0
1996-09-08 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-145.9 1429 1279 49.18% 22.58% 28.24%+0.44 +7.5 3
1996-09-08 Ilves W 3-035.3 1456 1399 55.26% 22.02% 22.72%+0.73 +18.1 3
1996-09-08 @ VPS L 0-335.3 1399 1456 22.72% 22.02% 55.26%-0.73 -18.1 0
1996-09-14 VPS L 0-149.8 1436 1474 43.27% 22.85% 33.88%+0.19 -11.2 0
1996-09-14 @ Haka W 1-049.8 1474 1436 33.88% 22.85% 43.27%-0.19 +11.2 6
1996-09-14 Jaro D 1-164.6 1466 1526 40.33% 22.91% 36.77%+0.07 -0.2 1
1996-09-14 @ TPS Turku D 1-164.6 1526 1466 36.77% 22.91% 40.33%-0.07 +0.2 1
1996-09-15 Inter Turku W 3-037.6 1508 1436 56.97% 21.80% 21.23%+0.82 +17.0 4
1996-09-15 @ FinnPa Helsinki L 0-337.6 1436 1508 21.23% 21.80% 56.97%-0.82 -17.0 3
1996-09-15 MP Mikkeli L 1-254.6 1381 1272 60.96% 21.17% 17.88%+1.03 -14.2 0
1996-09-15 @ Ilves W 2-154.6 1272 1381 17.88% 21.17% 60.96%-1.03 +14.2 3
1996-09-15 FC Jazz W 3-259.2 1530 1507 51.31% 22.42% 26.27%+0.54 +6.7 6
1996-09-15 @ MyPa L 2-359.2 1507 1530 26.27% 22.42% 51.31%-0.54 -6.7 1
1996-09-15 HJK W 3-257.6 1436 1482 42.21% 22.88% 34.91%+0.15 +8.5 6
1996-09-15 @ RoPS L 2-357.6 1482 1436 34.91% 22.88% 42.21%-0.15 -8.5 3
1996-09-28 Inter Turku W 1-042.9 1500 1419 58.02% 21.65% 20.33%+0.87 +6.0 4
1996-09-28 @ FC Jazz L 0-142.9 1419 1500 20.33% 21.65% 58.02%-0.87 -6.0 3
1996-09-28 MP Mikkeli W 3-029.2 1485 1286 68.90% 19.25% 11.84%+1.54 +9.7 9
1996-09-28 @ VPS L 0-329.2 1286 1485 11.84% 19.25% 68.90%-1.54 -9.7 3
1996-09-29 Ilves W 1-039.7 1474 1367 60.66% 21.22% 18.12%+1.02 +5.4 6
1996-09-29 @ HJK L 0-139.7 1367 1474 18.12% 21.22% 60.66%-1.02 -5.4 0
1996-09-29 FinnPa Helsinki L 1-261.8 1526 1525 48.54% 22.62% 28.84%+0.41 -11.6 1
1996-09-29 @ Jaro W 2-161.8 1525 1526 28.84% 22.62% 48.54%-0.41 +11.6 7
1996-09-29 Haka W 1-043.4 1445 1424 50.99% 22.45% 26.57%+0.52 +7.6 9
1996-09-29 @ RoPS L 0-143.4 1424 1445 26.57% 22.45% 50.99%-0.52 -7.6 0
1996-09-29 MyPa W 3-045.3 1466 1537 38.71% 22.91% 38.38%+0.01 +27.9 4
1996-09-29 @ TPS Turku L 0-345.3 1537 1466 38.38% 22.91% 38.71%-0.01 -27.9 6
1996-10-13 TPS Turku W 3-149.5 1506 1494 49.97% 22.52% 27.50%+0.48 +12.7 7
1996-10-13 @ FC Jazz L 1-349.5 1494 1506 27.50% 22.52% 49.97%-0.48 -12.7 4
1996-10-13 MyPa L 0-157.2 1536 1509 51.85% 22.37% 25.77%+0.56 -13.1 7
1996-10-13 @ FinnPa Helsinki W 1-057.2 1509 1536 25.77% 22.37% 51.85%-0.56 +13.1 9
1996-10-13 Haka W 2-149.5 1362 1417 40.92% 22.90% 36.18%+0.09 +9.2 3
1996-10-13 @ Ilves L 1-249.5 1417 1362 36.18% 22.90% 40.92%-0.09 -9.2 0
1996-10-13 Jaro D 2-267.6 1413 1514 34.44% 22.87% 42.70%-0.17 +0.3 4
1996-10-13 @ Inter Turku D 2-267.6 1514 1413 42.70% 22.87% 34.44%+0.17 -0.3 2
1996-10-13 HJK D 1-157.9 1276 1479 22.41% 21.98% 55.61%-0.75 +1.9 4
1996-10-13 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-157.9 1479 1276 55.61% 21.98% 22.41%+0.75 -1.9 7
1996-10-13 RoPS W 2-150.6 1495 1452 53.65% 22.20% 24.15%+0.65 +6.6 12
1996-10-13 @ VPS L 1-250.6 1452 1495 24.15% 22.20% 53.65%-0.65 -6.6 9
1996-10-20 MP Mikkeli W 5-236.7 1408 1278 62.88% 20.79% 16.33%+1.15 +9.8 3
1996-10-20 @ Haka L 2-536.7 1278 1408 16.33% 20.79% 62.88%-1.15 -9.8 4
1996-10-20 VPS W 4-253.6 1477 1501 45.21% 22.79% 32.00%+0.27 +12.9 10
1996-10-20 @ HJK L 2-453.6 1501 1477 32.00% 22.79% 45.21%-0.27 -12.9 12
1996-10-20 FC Jazz L 0-155.6 1514 1519 47.73% 22.67% 29.60%+0.38 -12.1 2
1996-10-20 @ Jaro W 1-055.6 1519 1514 29.60% 22.67% 47.73%-0.38 +12.1 10
1996-10-20 Inter Turku W 3-036.2 1522 1413 60.84% 21.19% 17.97%+1.03 +14.6 12
1996-10-20 @ MyPa L 0-336.2 1413 1522 17.97% 21.19% 60.84%-1.03 -14.6 4
1996-10-20 Ilves W 6-136.4 1446 1371 57.33% 21.75% 20.92%+0.84 +22.4 12
1996-10-20 @ RoPS L 1-636.4 1371 1446 20.92% 21.75% 57.33%-0.84 -22.4 3
1996-10-20 FinnPa Helsinki W 3-044.2 1481 1523 42.76% 22.86% 34.38%+0.17 +25.6 7
1996-10-20 @ TPS Turku L 0-344.2 1523 1481 34.38% 22.86% 42.76%-0.17 -25.6 7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1996-08-04 11.39% MP Mikkeli 1318 1 @ TPS Turku 1526 0
2 1996-09-15 17.88% MP Mikkeli 1272 2 @ Ilves 1381 1
3 1996-07-28 18.16% Ilves 1408 1 @ Jaro 1514 0
4 1996-07-11 20.25% VPS 1421 1 @ MyPa 1503 0
5 1996-06-16 20.44% Ilves 1395 2 @ Inter Turku 1475 1
6 1996-05-15 22.21% Inter Turku 1419 1 @ FinnPa Helsinki 1480 0
7 1996-06-16 22.46% Jaro 1459 1 @ Haka 1518 0
8 1996-08-25 23.07% RoPS 1416 2 @ VPS 1469 1
9 1996-06-12 23.49% Inter Turku 1456 4 @ MyPa 1504 2
10 1996-05-05 23.82% Inter Turku 1389 1 @ Jaro 1435 0
11 1996-05-26 25.30% VPS 1378 2 @ Ilves 1410 1
12 1996-05-12 25.48% Jaro 1421 1 @ TPS Turku 1451 0
13 1996-07-13 25.55% HJK 1438 2 @ RoPS 1468 0
14 1996-10-13 25.77% MyPa 1509 1 @ FinnPa Helsinki 1536 0
15 1996-08-18 26.16% FinnPa Helsinki 1476 3 @ MyPa 1500 2
16 1996-06-19 26.19% @ MP Mikkeli 1337 2 Haka 1504 0
17 1996-07-28 26.62% VPS 1442 2 @ Haka 1462 1
18 1996-09-08 26.64% MyPa 1518 2 @ Jaro 1538 1
19 1996-06-12 26.82% Haka 1494 2 @ FC Jazz 1512 0
20 1996-07-07 27.67% FinnPa Helsinki 1440 3 @ HJK 1451 2
21 1996-08-04 27.88% RoPS 1413 1 @ Ilves 1423 0
22 1996-06-09 28.18% FC Jazz 1487 5 @ HJK 1494 2
23 1996-08-04 28.48% Jaro 1497 2 @ MyPa 1501 1
24 1996-09-29 28.84% FinnPa Helsinki 1525 2 @ Jaro 1526 1
25 1996-05-19 28.90% TPS Turku 1438 4 @ Ilves 1438 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-06-09 33.07 @ VPS 3 1391 29.93% Haka 0 1527 47.38% 22.69%
2 1996-08-17 31.44 @ Jaro 4 1518 45.37% FC Jazz 0 1541 31.85% 22.78%
3 1996-08-11 30.60 @ VPS 5 1454 53.80% Ilves 0 1410 24.02% 22.18%
4 1996-06-16 30.35 FinnPa Helsinki 3 1409 34.41% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1367 42.72% 22.87%
5 1996-08-11 30.03 @ Haka 5 1442 39.25% TPS Turku 1 1509 37.84% 22.91%
6 1996-08-25 29.99 MyPa 6 1488 30.90% @ Haka 2 1472 46.36% 22.74%
7 1996-08-25 29.80 HJK 4 1446 47.51% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1309 29.81% 22.68%
8 1996-09-29 27.88 @ TPS Turku 3 1466 38.71% MyPa 0 1537 38.38% 22.91%
9 1996-06-09 27.59 @ TPS Turku 3 1465 39.23% MyPa 0 1532 37.86% 22.91%
10 1996-10-20 25.58 @ TPS Turku 3 1481 42.76% FinnPa Helsinki 0 1523 34.38% 22.86%
11 1996-06-12 25.00 @ Jaro 4 1434 53.59% MP Mikkeli 0 1392 24.20% 22.21%
12 1996-06-09 24.96 FC Jazz 5 1487 28.18% @ HJK 2 1494 49.25% 22.57%
13 1996-07-13 24.72 HJK 2 1438 25.55% @ RoPS 0 1468 52.10% 22.35%
14 1996-06-19 24.43 @ MP Mikkeli 2 1337 26.19% Haka 0 1504 51.40% 22.41%
15 1996-06-12 24.14 Haka 2 1494 26.82% @ FC Jazz 0 1512 50.71% 22.47%
16 1996-04-28 23.12 @ Inter Turku 2 1366 29.11% HJK 0 1509 48.25% 22.64%
17 1996-10-20 22.43 @ RoPS 6 1446 57.33% Ilves 1 1371 20.92% 21.75%
18 1996-05-23 22.26 HJK 2 1477 31.13% @ FinnPa Helsinki 0 1459 46.12% 22.75%
19 1996-05-12 22.25 @ VPS 2 1374 31.14% HJK 0 1500 46.11% 22.75%
20 1996-06-09 20.95 @ RoPS 3 1449 50.61% FinnPa Helsinki 0 1431 26.91% 22.48%
21 1996-06-12 19.90 Inter Turku 4 1456 23.49% @ MyPa 2 1504 54.39% 22.12%
22 1996-07-07 19.57 MyPa 4 1484 46.83% @ MP Mikkeli 1 1352 30.46% 22.72%
23 1996-05-05 19.56 @ RoPS 3 1444 52.89% VPS 0 1408 24.84% 22.28%
24 1996-08-25 19.27 @ FinnPa Helsinki 4 1487 47.44% TPS Turku 1 1495 29.88% 22.68%
25 1996-07-21 18.46 TPS Turku 2 1516 40.62% @ RoPS 0 1430 36.47% 22.90%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-08-25 71.0 @ FC Jazz 3 1510 61.18% Ilves 3 1398 17.69% 21.13%
2 1996-06-19 69.1 @ FC Jazz 2 1488 49.89% MyPa 2 1476 27.58% 22.53%
3 1996-07-18 68.5 @ Jaro 2 1503 55.93% VPS 2 1441 22.13% 21.94%
4 1996-10-13 67.6 @ Inter Turku 2 1413 34.44% Jaro 2 1514 42.70% 22.87%
5 1996-07-07 66.3 @ Ilves 2 1402 36.70% Haka 2 1487 40.40% 22.91%
6 1996-05-05 65.7 @ MyPa 1 1489 42.66% Haka 1 1532 34.47% 22.87%
7 1996-06-16 64.6 TPS Turku 4 1491 31.78% @ HJK 3 1469 45.44% 22.78%
8 1996-09-14 64.6 @ TPS Turku 1 1466 40.33% Jaro 1 1526 36.77% 22.91%
9 1996-08-18 64.5 FinnPa Helsinki 3 1476 26.16% @ MyPa 2 1500 51.43% 22.41%
10 1996-06-12 63.6 @ TPS Turku 1 1493 51.28% RoPS 1 1470 26.30% 22.42%
11 1996-05-12 63.3 @ Haka 1 1524 60.53% MP Mikkeli 1 1418 18.23% 21.24%
12 1996-09-08 62.7 MyPa 2 1518 26.64% @ Jaro 1 1538 50.91% 22.45%
13 1996-07-21 62.5 FC Jazz 3 1488 30.98% @ Haka 2 1472 46.28% 22.74%
14 1996-06-06 62.4 @ Inter Turku 1 1445 42.79% FC Jazz 1 1487 34.34% 22.86%
15 1996-07-04 62.4 @ FinnPa Helsinki 1 1441 41.73% Jaro 1 1490 35.38% 22.89%
16 1996-07-14 62.3 @ Haka 1 1474 51.39% Inter Turku 1 1450 26.20% 22.41%
17 1996-06-05 62.2 @ VPS 1 1390 29.06% MyPa 1 1533 48.31% 22.63%
18 1996-09-29 61.8 FinnPa Helsinki 2 1525 28.84% @ Jaro 1 1526 48.54% 22.62%
19 1996-05-23 61.4 @ TPS Turku 1 1456 49.95% Inter Turku 1 1444 27.52% 22.53%
20 1996-07-07 61.1 FinnPa Helsinki 3 1440 27.67% @ HJK 2 1451 49.79% 22.54%
21 1996-05-09 60.9 @ Jaro 1 1421 42.47% FinnPa Helsinki 1 1465 34.66% 22.87%
22 1996-09-07 60.8 @ FC Jazz 0 1508 48.63% FinnPa Helsinki 0 1506 28.75% 22.61%
23 1996-05-12 60.6 @ RoPS 1 1454 52.99% Inter Turku 1 1417 24.74% 22.27%
24 1996-08-04 60.0 Jaro 2 1497 28.48% @ MyPa 1 1501 48.92% 22.60%
25 1996-07-10 59.8 @ HJK 1 1440 53.07% Ilves 1 1402 24.67% 22.26%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-09-28 29.2 @ VPS 3 1485 68.90% MP Mikkeli 0 1286 11.84% 19.25%
2 1996-08-18 32.4 @ Ilves 3 1379 54.78% MP Mikkeli 0 1327 23.15% 22.08%
3 1996-06-12 34.7 @ Jaro 4 1434 53.59% MP Mikkeli 0 1392 24.20% 22.21%
4 1996-08-25 35.0 HJK 4 1446 47.51% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1309 29.81% 22.68%
5 1996-09-08 35.3 @ VPS 3 1456 55.26% Ilves 0 1399 22.72% 22.02%
6 1996-05-05 35.9 @ RoPS 3 1444 52.89% VPS 0 1408 24.84% 22.28%
7 1996-10-20 36.2 @ MyPa 3 1522 60.84% Inter Turku 0 1413 17.97% 21.19%
8 1996-08-11 36.3 @ VPS 5 1454 53.80% Ilves 0 1410 24.02% 22.18%
9 1996-10-20 36.4 @ RoPS 6 1446 57.33% Ilves 1 1371 20.92% 21.75%
10 1996-10-20 36.7 @ Haka 5 1408 62.88% MP Mikkeli 2 1278 16.33% 20.79%
11 1996-05-23 37.1 @ MyPa 3 1504 57.43% MP Mikkeli 0 1428 20.83% 21.74%
12 1996-06-09 37.4 @ RoPS 3 1449 50.61% FinnPa Helsinki 0 1431 26.91% 22.48%
13 1996-05-09 37.6 @ Inter Turku 2 1403 50.18% VPS 0 1389 27.31% 22.51%
14 1996-09-15 37.6 @ FinnPa Helsinki 3 1508 56.97% Inter Turku 0 1436 21.23% 21.80%
15 1996-07-14 38.1 @ VPS 1 1436 60.29% MP Mikkeli 0 1333 18.42% 21.29%
16 1996-05-23 38.9 @ Haka 2 1510 58.95% Ilves 0 1420 19.54% 21.51%
17 1996-06-16 39.6 FinnPa Helsinki 3 1409 34.41% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1367 42.72% 22.87%
18 1996-09-29 39.7 @ HJK 1 1474 60.66% Ilves 0 1367 18.12% 21.22%
19 1996-07-18 40.4 @ MyPa 2 1489 54.05% RoPS 0 1443 23.79% 22.16%
20 1996-07-04 40.7 @ RoPS 3 1458 59.70% MP Mikkeli 1 1361 18.92% 21.39%
21 1996-05-12 41.2 @ FinnPa Helsinki 2 1466 50.03% Ilves 0 1453 27.45% 22.52%
22 1996-05-26 41.4 @ Jaro 2 1435 45.91% RoPS 0 1454 31.33% 22.76%
23 1996-05-19 41.8 @ MP Mikkeli 1 1421 51.45% VPS 0 1397 26.14% 22.41%
24 1996-07-07 41.9 MyPa 4 1484 46.83% @ MP Mikkeli 1 1352 30.46% 22.72%
25 1996-07-14 41.9 @ TPS Turku 1 1511 60.70% Ilves 0 1404 18.09% 21.21%