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1999 Veikkausliiga Season

172 games

Final

Champion

Haka

67 points · 7th Title

Last Title: 1998

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

MyPa

5.20 points above expected

47 points · 41.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Inter Turku

3.88 points below expected

39 points · 42.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Haka 22 15 5 2 50 43 17 +26 41.92 +8.08
2 HJK 22 14 5 3 47 43 14 +29 41.47 +5.53
3 Inter Turku 22 10 4 8 34 28 25 +3 32.29 +1.71
4 Jokerit 22 9 6 7 33 26 22 +4 27.03 +5.97
5 MyPa 22 9 6 7 33 27 27 0 31.33 +1.67
6 FC Jazz 22 7 10 5 31 28 24 +4 33.53 -2.53
7 KTP 22 7 7 8 28 22 25 -3 22.23 +5.77
8 RoPS 22 6 9 7 27 27 30 -3 31.11 -4.11
9 TPS Turku 22 7 6 9 27 27 31 -4 27.91 -0.91
10 Lahti 22 6 4 12 22 25 41 -16 23.22 -1.22
11 VPS 22 6 3 13 21 22 33 -11 27.00 -6.00
12 TPV Tampere 22 1 5 16 8 13 42 -29 20.59 -12.59
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Haka Champion 29 20 7 2 67 54 18 +36 63.17 +3.83
2 HJK 29 20 5 4 65 53 18 +35 60.87 +4.13
3 MyPa 29 13 8 8 47 39 32 +7 41.80 +5.20
4 Jokerit 29 11 7 11 40 35 31 +4 41.43 -1.43
5 Inter Turku 29 11 6 12 39 38 37 +1 42.88 -3.88
6 FC Jazz 29 8 13 8 37 32 34 -2 39.98 -2.98
7 KTP 29 8 10 11 34 29 35 -6 34.71 -0.71
8 RoPS 29 7 10 12 31 31 46 -15 34.55 -3.55
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 TPS Turku 28 10 9 9 39 40 34 +6 38.12 +0.88
2 Lahti 28 8 6 14 30 34 55 -21 29.10 +0.90
3 VPS 28 8 5 15 29 34 42 -8 30.34 -1.34
4 TPV Tampere 28 2 6 20 12 23 60 -37 13.20 -1.20

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 MyPa 47 41.80 +5.20
2 HJK 65 60.87 +4.13
3 Haka 67 63.17 +3.83
4 Lahti 30 29.10 +0.90
5 TPS Turku 39 38.12 +0.88

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Inter Turku 39 42.88 -3.88
2 RoPS 31 34.55 -3.55
3 FC Jazz 37 39.98 -2.98
4 Jokerit 40 41.43 -1.43
5 VPS 29 30.34 -1.34

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HJK 11 Jul 25 – Oct 13 1 in 164
2 Haka 6 Apr 25 – May 23 1 in 78
3 TPS Turku 3 Jul 25 – Aug 9 1 in 50
4 MyPa 3 Jul 8 – Jul 28 1 in 20
5 Inter Turku 3 Jun 16 – Jun 30 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TPV Tampere 7 Apr 25 – May 27 1 in 460
2 TPS Turku 5 May 24 – Jun 17 1 in 274
3 Lahti 6 Aug 2 – Sep 11 1 in 65
4 VPS 3 Apr 25 – May 6 1 in 34
5 RoPS 5 Sep 11 – Oct 2 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KTP 5 Aug 15 – Sep 20 1 in 46
2 Haka 13 Apr 25 – Jul 1 1 in 21
3 RoPS 7 Jun 27 – Aug 1 1 in 16
4 Jokerit 7 Aug 2 – Sep 11 1 in 15
5 Lahti 4 Sep 18 – Oct 2 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TPV Tampere 14 Apr 25 – Jul 4 1 in 66
2 TPS Turku 8 May 9 – Jun 20 1 in 45
3 Lahti 12 Jul 1 – Sep 18 1 in 32
4 RoPS 9 Aug 9 – Oct 2 1 in 20
5 MyPa 5 Jun 16 – Jul 4 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Haka 1763 67 +41 13 9.8 +3.2
HJK 1755 65 +5 12 10.2 +1.8
MyPa 1623 47 +90 13 7.2 +5.8
Jokerit 1536 40 -16 4 5.2 -1.2
TPS Turku 1556 39 +34 9 9.9 -0.9
Inter Turku 1519 39 -57 2 6.9 -4.9
FC Jazz 1477 37 -54 5 7.1 -2.1
KTP 1455 34 -26 2 4.8 -2.8
RoPS 1409 31 +17 4 3.5 +0.5
Lahti 1307 30 -19 8 5.8 +2.2
VPS 1458 29 +57 8 6.9 +1.1
TPV Tampere 1243 12 -72 1 4.7 -3.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FJ HJK HAK IT JOK KTP LAH MYP ROP TT TT VPS
FC Jazz —
0-1-2
2.67
0-3-0
2.28
0-2-1
4.40
0-3-0
4.45
2-1-0
5.46
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-2
3.97
1-1-1
4.87
1-1-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.45
0-0-2
3.43
HJK
2-1-0
5.52
—
0-0-3
3.95
2-0-1
5.62
3-0-0
5.77
2-1-0
6.52
1-1-0
4.40
3-0-0
5.61
3-0-0
6.19
0-2-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.92
Haka
0-3-0
5.94
3-0-0
4.20
—
3-0-0
5.35
1-1-1
6.17
2-0-1
6.52
2-0-0
4.00
2-1-0
5.34
2-1-0
6.22
1-1-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.07
Inter Turku
1-2-0
3.76
1-0-2
2.58
0-0-3
2.84
—
2-0-1
4.50
0-2-1
5.46
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-2
4.35
1-1-1
4.51
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
4.01
2-0-0
2.90
Jokerit
0-3-0
3.70
0-0-3
2.44
1-1-1
2.07
1-0-2
3.65
—
2-0-1
5.01
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-3
3.43
1-1-1
4.02
0-2-0
2.65
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
2.30
KTP
0-1-2
2.73
0-1-2
1.76
1-0-2
1.75
1-2-0
2.72
1-0-2
3.16
—
1-0-1
2.50
0-3-0
2.95
1-2-0
3.42
2-0-0
2.09
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.29
Lahti
0-1-1
2.06
0-1-1
1.13
0-0-2
1.49
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
2.94
—
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
1.89
1-1-2
3.87
3-1-0
5.97
1-1-2
4.57
MyPa
2-0-1
4.18
0-0-3
2.59
0-1-2
2.83
2-0-1
3.81
3-0-0
4.73
0-3-0
5.23
2-0-0
3.18
—
1-1-1
4.91
2-0-0
2.46
0-2-0
3.92
1-1-0
2.98
RoPS
1-1-1
3.29
0-0-3
2.07
0-1-2
2.05
1-1-1
3.64
1-1-1
4.14
0-2-1
4.76
0-1-1
3.57
1-1-1
3.26
—
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
3.82
1-1-0
2.64
TPS Turku
0-1-1
2.24
0-2-0
1.95
0-1-1
1.29
1-0-1
2.41
0-2-0
2.79
0-0-2
3.35
2-1-1
7.04
0-0-2
2.98
1-0-1
2.12
—
3-1-0
7.24
3-1-0
6.33
TPV Tampere
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-2
1.21
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.92
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-3
4.90
0-2-0
1.55
0-1-1
1.64
0-1-3
3.70
—
1-0-3
4.06
VPS
2-0-0
2.02
0-0-2
1.57
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-2
3.13
1-1-0
3.15
2-1-1
6.30
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.79
0-1-3
4.56
3-0-1
6.84
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +16.0
Allowed 0.86 -11.1
Differential 0.96 +7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.14%10.76%5.81%2.91%1.45%0.87%29.94%
110.76%12.79%5.81%4.36%1.16%—34.88%
25.81%5.81%5.23%1.74%0.29%0.87%19.77%
32.91%4.36%1.74%0.58%0.58%—10.17%
41.45%1.16%0.29%0.58%——3.49%
5+0.87%—0.87%———1.74%
Total29.94%34.88%19.77%10.17%3.49%1.74%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.78
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 172

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.34%6.90%10.34%3.45%——31.03%
16.90%27.59%——6.90%—41.38%
26.90%—6.90%———13.79%
36.90%3.45%3.45%———13.79%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.03%37.93%20.69%3.45%6.90%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.17 -0.07
SD 1.01 1.14 1.62
CV 0.92 0.97 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%13.79%————20.69%
117.24%10.34%————27.59%
210.34%17.24%————27.59%
36.90%3.45%————10.34%
43.45%3.45%————6.90%
5+——6.90%———6.90%
Total44.83%48.28%6.90%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 0.62 +1.21
SD 1.65 0.62 1.52
CV 0.90 1.00 —
Max 7 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.34%6.90%————17.24%
120.69%6.90%————27.59%
213.79%3.45%6.90%———24.14%
36.90%6.90%3.45%———17.24%
43.45%3.45%3.45%———10.34%
5+——3.45%———3.45%
Total55.17%27.59%17.24%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.62 +1.24
SD 1.38 0.78 1.27
CV 0.74 1.25 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%13.79%3.45%3.45%——27.59%
117.24%6.90%10.34%3.45%——37.93%
26.90%—3.45%3.45%—3.45%17.24%
33.45%6.90%—3.45%——13.79%
4———————
5+3.45%—————3.45%
Total37.93%27.59%17.24%13.79%—3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.28 +0.03
SD 1.23 1.53 1.94
CV 0.94 1.20 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.45%10.34%6.90%3.45%——24.14%
124.14%17.24%17.24%———58.62%
2——3.45%———3.45%
3—3.45%————3.45%
43.45%——3.45%——6.90%
5+3.45%—————3.45%
Total34.48%31.03%27.59%6.90%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.07 +0.14
SD 1.26 0.96 1.66
CV 1.05 0.90 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.79%17.24%3.45%———34.48%
113.79%13.79%—10.34%3.45%—41.38%
23.45%6.90%3.45%———13.79%
33.45%——3.45%3.45%—10.34%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.48%37.93%6.90%13.79%6.90%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.21 -0.21
SD 0.96 1.26 1.32
CV 0.96 1.05 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%3.57%7.14%7.14%—32.14%
17.14%7.14%10.71%3.57%——28.57%
2—10.71%10.71%—3.57%3.57%28.57%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———3.57%——3.57%
5+———————
Total10.71%28.57%32.14%14.29%10.71%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.96 -0.75
SD 1.10 1.29 1.60
CV 0.91 0.66 —
Max 4 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.79%3.45%3.45%6.90%3.45%—31.03%
16.90%10.34%10.34%———27.59%
210.34%10.34%3.45%———24.14%
3—6.90%3.45%———10.34%
43.45%3.45%————6.90%
5+———————
Total34.48%34.48%20.69%6.90%3.45%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.10 +0.24
SD 1.23 1.08 1.81
CV 0.92 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.34%10.34%6.90%—6.90%3.45%37.93%
13.45%13.79%3.45%3.45%3.45%—27.59%
26.90%3.45%10.34%3.45%——24.14%
33.45%3.45%3.45%———10.34%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.14%31.03%24.14%6.90%10.34%3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.59 -0.52
SD 1.03 1.40 1.88
CV 0.97 0.88 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%7.14%3.57%3.57%——25.00%
13.57%21.43%3.57%3.57%——32.14%
27.14%14.29%—7.14%—3.57%32.14%
33.57%—————3.57%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total28.57%46.43%7.14%14.29%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.21 +0.21
SD 1.35 1.23 1.89
CV 0.94 1.01 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%14.29%17.86%3.57%—7.14%46.43%
1—10.71%3.57%17.86%——32.14%
23.57%—7.14%3.57%——14.29%
3—3.57%——3.57%—7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%28.57%28.57%25.00%3.57%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.14 -1.32
SD 0.94 1.38 1.68
CV 1.15 0.64 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%14.29%10.71%3.57%——32.14%
17.14%7.14%10.71%10.71%——35.71%
2—3.57%7.14%3.57%——14.29%
3—14.29%————14.29%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+———————
Total14.29%39.29%28.57%17.86%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.50 -0.29
SD 1.17 0.96 1.65
CV 0.96 0.64 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Haka 1763 67 41.92 +25.08 94.0% 27 32 38 42 46 51 55
HJK 1755 65 41.47 +23.53 82.0% 31 32 36 41 45 52 56
MyPa 1623 47 31.33 +15.67 64.0% 19 23 27 30 35 43 46
TPS Turku 1556 39 27.91 +11.09 50.0% 15 19 24 27 31 37 45
Jokerit 1536 40 27.03 +12.97 87.0% 11 18 23 27 30 38 41
Inter Turku 1519 39 32.29 +6.71 66.0% 12 22 29 32 37 41 49
FC Jazz 1477 37 33.53 +3.47 37.0% 15 22 29 33 38 44 47
VPS 1458 29 27.00 +2.00 18.0% 12 18 23 26 31 38 43
KTP 1455 34 22.23 +11.77 88.0% 12 14 18 23 26 31 35
RoPS 1409 31 31.11 -0.11 24.0% 18 21 28 30 34 40 50
Lahti 1307 30 23.22 +6.78 40.0% 8 14 19 24 26 34 37
TPV Tampere 1243 12 20.59 -8.59 1.0% 8 12 17 20 24 29 35

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.98%
No Edge
40.12%26.74%33.14%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 24.28 Elo pts.
182 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.16 goals
Neutral
-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Haka, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.71 * Some Luck: 4.71 to 7.07 * Lucky: 7.07 to 9.43 * Wild Swing: 9.43 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.54 * Close: 1.54 to 2.31 * Off: 2.31 to 3.08 * Way Off: 3.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.70 points
Some Luck
05.8915
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.924
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Haka
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
TPV Tampere
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 125.19
2.16
Wide Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
93%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Slight Separation
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.09
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.20
Weak Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Solid Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.33
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.12
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.081
Well Within Noise
00.1360.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Haka46.00%26.00%16.00%6.00%4.00%—2.00%—————
HJK34.00%28.00%22.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%——————
MyPa4.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%15.00%5.00%7.00%—2.00%
Jokerit1.00%2.00%6.00%3.00%10.00%13.00%8.00%15.00%14.00%8.00%15.00%5.00%
Inter Turku1.00%13.00%10.00%19.00%15.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
FC Jazz8.00%14.00%11.00%16.00%14.00%12.00%10.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%—
KTP—1.00%1.00%—3.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%16.00%17.00%26.00%
RoPS1.00%6.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%13.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%2.00%3.00%—
TPS Turku2.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%4.00%4.00%
Lahti——1.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%22.00%14.00%22.00%
VPS3.00%—5.00%5.00%13.00%11.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%6.00%16.00%4.00%
TPV Tampere———2.00%—2.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%20.00%26.00%36.00%
Team123456789101112
Haka69.56%30.44%——————————
HJK30.44%69.40%0.15%0.01%————————
MyPa—0.04%23.90%26.09%23.55%17.52%7.15%1.75%————
Jokerit—0.01%23.00%25.07%23.63%18.42%7.94%1.93%————
Inter Turku—0.09%38.74%26.31%18.48%11.02%4.59%0.77%————
FC Jazz—0.02%12.17%17.53%23.32%27.06%14.69%5.21%————
KTP——1.11%2.55%5.46%13.67%35.44%41.77%————
RoPS——0.93%2.44%5.56%12.31%30.19%48.57%————
TPS Turku————————88.42%9.97%1.61%—
Lahti————————4.53%39.46%55.91%0.10%
VPS————————7.05%50.56%42.31%0.08%
TPV Tampere—————————0.01%0.17%99.82%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
FC Jazz 93.00% 7.00% —
HJK 100% — —
Haka 100% — —
TPS Turku 82.00% 18.00% —
Inter Turku 96.00% 3.00% 1.00%
RoPS 93.00% 6.00% 1.00%
Jokerit 78.00% 20.00% 2.00%
MyPa 93.00% 5.00% 2.00%
VPS 67.00% 28.00% 5.00%
KTP 43.00% 41.00% 16.00%
Lahti 39.00% 36.00% 25.00%
TPV Tampere 16.00% 36.00% 48.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
FC Jazz 100% — —
HJK 100% — —
Haka 100% — —
Inter Turku 100% — —
Jokerit 100% — —
KTP 100% — —
MyPa 100% — —
RoPS 100% — —
TPS Turku 88.42% 11.58% —
VPS 7.05% 92.87% 0.08%
Lahti 4.53% 95.37% 0.10%
TPV Tampere — 0.18% 99.82%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1999-04-25 KTP D 1-160.0 1530 1376 57.78% 26.16% 16.06%+0.98 -3.7 1
1999-04-25 @ FC Jazz D 1-160.0 1376 1530 16.06% 26.16% 57.78%-0.98 +3.7 1
1999-04-25 HJK W 1-054.5 1559 1554 40.11% 28.31% 31.58%+0.16 +13.8 3
1999-04-25 @ Haka L 0-154.5 1554 1559 31.58% 28.31% 40.11%-0.16 -13.8 0
1999-04-25 VPS W 1-055.9 1460 1566 25.47% 27.92% 46.61%-0.45 +18.5 3
1999-04-25 @ Jokerit L 0-155.9 1566 1460 46.61% 27.92% 25.47%+0.45 -18.5 0
1999-04-25 RoPS W 1-053.5 1460 1534 29.35% 28.21% 42.44%-0.27 +17.1 3
1999-04-25 @ Lahti L 0-153.5 1534 1460 42.44% 28.21% 29.35%+0.27 -17.1 0
1999-04-25 Inter Turku L 0-155.1 1528 1500 43.32% 28.16% 28.52%+0.29 -17.4 0
1999-04-25 @ MyPa W 1-055.1 1500 1528 28.52% 28.16% 43.32%-0.29 +17.4 3
1999-04-25 TPV Tampere W 2-047.6 1525 1510 41.51% 28.26% 30.23%+0.21 +25.1 3
1999-04-25 @ TPS Turku L 0-247.6 1510 1525 30.23% 28.26% 41.51%-0.21 -25.1 0
1999-05-02 TPS Turku D 0-061.1 1541 1550 38.29% 28.35% 33.35%+0.08 -0.4 1
1999-05-02 @ HJK D 0-061.1 1550 1541 33.35% 28.35% 38.29%-0.08 +0.4 4
1999-05-02 Haka L 0-153.9 1518 1572 31.90% 28.32% 39.79%-0.17 -13.9 3
1999-05-02 @ Inter Turku W 1-053.9 1572 1518 39.79% 28.32% 31.90%+0.17 +13.8 6
1999-05-02 RoPS D 1-159.2 1380 1516 22.20% 27.52% 50.28%-0.62 +2.4 2
1999-05-02 @ KTP D 1-159.2 1516 1380 50.28% 27.52% 22.20%+0.62 -2.4 1
1999-05-02 FC Jazz L 1-353.5 1485 1526 33.77% 28.36% 37.87%-0.09 -23.6 0
1999-05-02 @ TPV Tampere W 3-153.5 1526 1485 37.87% 28.36% 33.77%+0.09 +23.6 4
1999-05-02 MyPa L 0-156.5 1547 1511 44.48% 28.09% 27.43%+0.33 -17.8 0
1999-05-02 @ VPS W 1-056.5 1511 1547 27.43% 28.09% 44.48%-0.33 +17.8 3
1999-05-03 Lahti W 1-048.9 1478 1477 39.74% 28.32% 31.94%+0.14 +13.9 6
1999-05-03 @ Jokerit L 0-148.9 1477 1478 31.94% 28.32% 39.74%-0.14 -13.9 3
1999-05-06 RoPS W 2-047.8 1550 1514 44.36% 28.10% 27.54%+0.33 +23.4 7
1999-05-06 @ FC Jazz L 0-247.8 1514 1550 27.54% 28.10% 44.36%-0.33 -23.4 1
1999-05-06 MyPa W 4-046.5 1586 1528 47.16% 27.87% 24.97%+0.45 +41.1 9
1999-05-06 @ Haka L 0-446.5 1528 1586 24.97% 27.87% 47.16%-0.45 -41.1 3
1999-05-06 Jokerit W 2-155.6 1540 1492 46.00% 27.97% 26.03%+0.40 +11.2 4
1999-05-06 @ HJK L 1-255.6 1492 1540 26.03% 27.97% 46.00%-0.40 -11.2 6
1999-05-06 TPV Tampere W 1-048.7 1382 1462 28.67% 28.17% 43.15%-0.30 +17.4 5
1999-05-06 @ KTP L 0-148.7 1462 1382 43.15% 28.17% 28.67%+0.30 -17.3 0
1999-05-06 Inter Turku W 3-261.7 1463 1504 33.74% 28.36% 37.90%-0.09 +14.0 6
1999-05-06 @ Lahti L 2-361.7 1504 1463 37.90% 28.36% 33.74%+0.09 -14.0 3
1999-05-06 VPS W 2-158.4 1550 1529 42.39% 28.21% 29.40%+0.25 +12.3 7
1999-05-06 @ TPS Turku L 1-258.4 1529 1550 29.40% 28.21% 42.39%-0.25 -12.3 0
1999-05-09 FC Jazz W 3-050.5 1490 1573 28.18% 28.14% 43.67%-0.32 +48.0 6
1999-05-09 @ Inter Turku L 0-350.5 1573 1490 43.67% 28.14% 28.18%+0.32 -48.0 7
1999-05-09 RoPS D 1-161.6 1481 1491 38.15% 28.35% 33.49%+0.08 -0.4 7
1999-05-09 @ Jokerit D 1-161.6 1491 1481 33.49% 28.35% 38.15%-0.08 +0.4 2
1999-05-09 Haka L 0-246.9 1477 1627 20.83% 27.30% 51.87%-0.69 -18.7 6
1999-05-09 @ Lahti W 2-046.9 1627 1477 51.87% 27.30% 20.83%+0.69 +18.7 12
1999-05-09 TPS Turku W 3-157.5 1487 1562 29.20% 28.20% 42.59%-0.28 +28.0 6
1999-05-09 @ MyPa L 1-357.5 1562 1487 42.59% 28.20% 29.20%+0.28 -28.0 7
1999-05-09 HJK L 0-148.4 1444 1551 25.37% 27.91% 46.72%-0.45 -11.6 0
1999-05-09 @ TPV Tampere W 1-048.4 1551 1444 46.72% 27.91% 25.37%+0.45 +11.6 7
1999-05-10 KTP W 3-145.2 1517 1400 54.07% 26.93% 18.99%+0.78 +15.0 3
1999-05-10 @ VPS L 1-345.2 1400 1517 18.99% 26.93% 54.07%-0.78 -15.0 5
1999-05-16 Lahti W 3-041.6 1525 1458 48.31% 27.75% 23.94%+0.50 +30.4 10
1999-05-16 @ FC Jazz L 0-341.6 1458 1525 23.94% 27.75% 48.31%-0.50 -30.4 6
1999-05-16 MyPa W 2-047.8 1563 1515 45.91% 27.98% 26.10%+0.40 +22.4 10
1999-05-16 @ HJK L 0-247.8 1515 1563 26.10% 27.98% 45.91%-0.40 -22.4 6
1999-05-16 Inter Turku W 1-053.5 1385 1538 20.58% 27.25% 52.17%-0.71 +20.3 8
1999-05-16 @ KTP L 0-153.5 1538 1385 52.17% 27.25% 20.58%+0.71 -20.3 6
1999-05-16 VPS W 3-263.8 1491 1532 33.74% 28.36% 37.90%-0.09 +14.0 5
1999-05-16 @ RoPS L 2-363.8 1532 1491 37.90% 28.36% 33.74%+0.09 -14.1 3
1999-05-16 Jokerit D 1-163.4 1534 1480 46.72% 27.91% 25.37%+0.43 -1.8 8
1999-05-16 @ TPS Turku D 1-163.4 1480 1534 25.37% 27.91% 46.72%-0.43 +1.8 8
1999-05-17 TPV Tampere W 3-148.3 1646 1433 63.19% 24.61% 12.20%+1.30 +9.9 15
1999-05-17 @ Haka L 1-348.3 1433 1646 12.20% 24.61% 63.19%-1.30 -9.9 0
1999-05-23 KTP W 1-043.7 1482 1405 49.50% 27.62% 22.88%+0.56 +10.7 11
1999-05-23 @ Jokerit L 0-143.7 1405 1482 22.88% 27.62% 49.50%-0.56 -10.7 8
1999-05-23 FC Jazz W 2-051.3 1493 1556 30.82% 28.28% 40.90%-0.21 +31.4 9
1999-05-23 @ MyPa L 0-251.3 1556 1493 40.90% 28.28% 30.82%+0.21 -31.4 10
1999-05-23 Haka L 2-362.9 1505 1656 20.80% 27.29% 51.91%-0.69 -8.8 5
1999-05-23 @ RoPS W 3-262.9 1656 1505 51.91% 27.29% 20.80%+0.69 +8.9 18
1999-05-23 Lahti L 1-253.3 1423 1428 38.88% 28.34% 32.78%+0.11 -15.1 0
1999-05-23 @ TPV Tampere W 2-153.3 1428 1423 32.78% 28.34% 38.88%-0.11 +15.1 9
1999-05-24 VPS W 3-045.9 1586 1518 48.36% 27.75% 23.90%+0.50 +30.4 13
1999-05-24 @ HJK L 0-345.9 1518 1586 23.90% 27.75% 48.36%-0.50 -30.4 3
1999-05-24 Inter Turku L 0-155.4 1533 1517 41.65% 28.25% 30.10%+0.22 -16.9 8
1999-05-24 @ TPS Turku W 1-055.4 1517 1533 30.10% 28.25% 41.65%-0.22 +16.9 9
1999-05-27 TPS Turku W 3-262.4 1524 1516 40.72% 28.29% 31.00%+0.18 +12.1 13
1999-05-27 @ FC Jazz L 2-362.4 1516 1524 31.00% 28.29% 40.72%-0.18 -12.1 8
1999-05-27 Jokerit D 2-274.5 1665 1493 59.52% 25.72% 14.76%+1.08 -3.0 19
1999-05-27 @ Haka D 2-274.5 1493 1665 14.76% 25.72% 59.52%-1.08 +3.0 12
1999-05-27 RoPS D 2-269.6 1534 1496 44.67% 28.08% 27.25%+0.34 -1.1 10
1999-05-27 @ Inter Turku D 2-269.6 1496 1534 27.25% 28.08% 44.67%-0.34 +1.1 6
1999-05-27 HJK D 1-163.8 1394 1616 14.98% 25.80% 59.22%-1.08 +4.0 9
1999-05-27 @ KTP D 1-163.8 1616 1394 59.22% 25.80% 14.98%+1.08 -4.0 14
1999-05-27 MyPa L 1-254.0 1443 1524 28.41% 28.16% 43.43%-0.31 -12.0 9
1999-05-27 @ Lahti W 2-154.0 1524 1443 43.43% 28.16% 28.41%+0.31 +12.0 12
1999-05-27 TPV Tampere W 3-145.7 1488 1408 49.85% 27.57% 22.58%+0.57 +17.3 6
1999-05-27 @ VPS L 1-345.7 1408 1488 22.58% 27.57% 49.85%-0.57 -17.3 0
1999-05-30 KTP D 0-056.0 1536 1398 56.21% 26.51% 17.28%+0.89 -3.8 13
1999-05-30 @ MyPa D 0-056.0 1398 1536 17.28% 26.51% 56.21%-0.89 +3.8 10
1999-05-30 Lahti L 1-258.8 1504 1431 49.01% 27.68% 23.32%+0.53 -18.2 8
1999-05-30 @ TPS Turku W 2-158.8 1431 1504 23.32% 27.68% 49.01%-0.53 +18.2 12
1999-05-30 Inter Turku D 0-055.3 1390 1533 21.58% 27.42% 51.00%-0.65 +2.8 1
1999-05-30 @ TPV Tampere D 0-055.3 1533 1390 51.00% 27.42% 21.58%+0.65 -2.8 11
1999-05-30 Haka L 0-152.3 1505 1662 20.24% 27.19% 52.57%-0.73 -9.7 6
1999-05-30 @ VPS W 1-052.3 1662 1505 52.57% 27.19% 20.24%+0.73 +9.7 22
1999-05-31 Jokerit D 1-164.0 1536 1496 45.00% 28.05% 26.95%+0.36 -1.5 14
1999-05-31 @ FC Jazz D 1-164.0 1496 1536 26.95% 28.05% 45.00%-0.36 +1.5 13
1999-06-13 FC Jazz D 1-169.7 1671 1535 56.06% 26.55% 17.40%+0.88 -3.4 23
1999-06-13 @ Haka D 1-169.7 1535 1671 17.40% 26.55% 56.06%-0.88 +3.4 15
1999-06-13 HJK L 2-752.5 1530 1612 28.41% 28.16% 43.44%-0.31 -38.8 11
1999-06-13 @ Inter Turku W 7-252.5 1612 1530 43.44% 28.16% 28.41%+0.31 +38.8 17
1999-06-13 VPS W 2-156.3 1449 1495 33.01% 28.35% 38.64%-0.12 +15.0 15
1999-06-13 @ Lahti L 1-256.3 1495 1449 38.64% 28.35% 33.01%+0.12 -15.0 6
1999-06-13 Jokerit W 2-046.5 1532 1497 44.29% 28.10% 27.60%+0.33 +23.4 16
1999-06-13 @ MyPa L 0-246.5 1497 1532 27.60% 28.10% 44.29%-0.33 -23.4 13
1999-06-13 TPV Tampere D 2-264.9 1497 1393 52.60% 27.18% 20.22%+0.70 -2.1 7
1999-06-13 @ RoPS D 2-264.9 1393 1497 20.22% 27.18% 52.60%-0.70 +2.1 2
1999-06-14 TPS Turku W 2-046.3 1402 1486 28.18% 28.14% 43.68%-0.32 +33.0 13
1999-06-14 @ KTP L 0-246.3 1486 1402 43.68% 28.14% 28.18%+0.32 -33.0 8
1999-06-16 Inter Turku L 0-150.9 1474 1492 37.05% 28.37% 34.58%+0.04 -15.4 13
1999-06-16 @ Jokerit W 1-050.9 1492 1474 34.58% 28.37% 37.05%-0.04 +15.5 14
1999-06-16 MyPa D 2-267.0 1395 1556 19.89% 27.12% 52.99%-0.75 +2.1 3
1999-06-16 @ TPV Tampere D 2-267.0 1556 1395 52.99% 27.12% 19.89%+0.75 -2.1 17
1999-06-17 KTP W 4-145.8 1668 1435 64.81% 24.04% 11.15%+1.41 +12.8 26
1999-06-17 @ Haka L 1-445.8 1435 1668 11.15% 24.04% 64.81%-1.41 -12.8 13
1999-06-17 Lahti D 1-167.7 1651 1464 60.88% 25.34% 13.78%+1.16 -4.3 18
1999-06-17 @ HJK D 1-167.7 1464 1651 13.78% 25.34% 60.88%-1.16 +4.3 16
1999-06-17 TPS Turku W 1-047.0 1495 1452 45.27% 28.03% 26.70%+0.37 +12.1 10
1999-06-17 @ RoPS L 0-147.0 1452 1495 26.70% 28.03% 45.27%-0.37 -12.1 8
1999-06-17 FC Jazz W 1-053.8 1480 1538 31.44% 28.30% 40.25%-0.18 +16.4 9
1999-06-17 @ VPS L 0-153.8 1538 1480 40.25% 28.30% 31.44%+0.18 -16.4 15
1999-06-20 HJK D 1-168.5 1522 1647 23.44% 27.69% 48.87%-0.55 +2.1 16
1999-06-20 @ FC Jazz D 1-168.5 1647 1522 48.87% 27.69% 23.44%+0.55 -2.1 19
1999-06-20 KTP L 0-150.8 1468 1422 45.67% 28.00% 26.33%+0.38 -18.2 16
1999-06-20 @ Lahti W 1-050.8 1422 1468 26.33% 28.00% 45.67%-0.38 +18.2 16
1999-06-20 RoPS D 1-165.1 1554 1507 45.74% 28.00% 26.27%+0.39 -1.6 18
1999-06-20 @ MyPa D 1-165.1 1507 1554 26.27% 28.00% 45.74%-0.39 +1.6 11
1999-06-20 Haka D 1-167.9 1440 1681 13.74% 25.32% 60.94%-1.19 +4.3 9
1999-06-20 @ TPS Turku D 1-167.9 1681 1440 60.94% 25.32% 13.74%+1.19 -4.3 27
1999-06-21 VPS W 3-152.3 1507 1497 40.98% 28.28% 30.75%+0.19 +22.0 17
1999-06-21 @ Inter Turku L 1-352.3 1497 1507 30.75% 28.28% 40.98%-0.19 -22.0 9
1999-06-23 TPV Tampere W 1-043.4 1458 1397 47.55% 27.83% 24.62%+0.47 +11.4 16
1999-06-23 @ Jokerit L 0-143.4 1397 1458 24.62% 27.83% 47.55%-0.47 -11.4 3
1999-06-23 HJK L 0-152.7 1509 1644 22.31% 27.54% 50.15%-0.61 -10.5 11
1999-06-23 @ RoPS W 1-052.7 1644 1509 50.15% 27.54% 22.31%+0.61 +10.5 22
1999-06-27 MyPa W 3-048.8 1524 1552 35.58% 28.37% 36.05%-0.02 +41.5 19
1999-06-27 @ FC Jazz L 0-348.8 1552 1524 36.05% 28.37% 35.58%+0.02 -41.5 18
1999-06-27 Lahti L 0-148.6 1441 1450 38.22% 28.35% 33.42%+0.08 -15.8 16
1999-06-27 @ KTP W 1-048.6 1450 1441 33.42% 28.35% 38.22%-0.08 +15.8 19
1999-06-27 TPS Turku L 0-144.8 1386 1445 31.37% 28.30% 40.33%-0.19 -13.7 3
1999-06-27 @ TPV Tampere W 1-044.8 1445 1386 40.33% 28.30% 31.37%+0.19 +13.7 12
1999-06-27 RoPS D 0-056.8 1475 1498 36.21% 28.37% 35.42%+0.00 -0.1 10
1999-06-27 @ VPS D 0-056.8 1498 1475 35.42% 28.37% 36.21%+0.00 +0.1 12
1999-06-28 Haka L 0-160.5 1655 1676 36.51% 28.37% 35.11%+0.01 -15.3 22
1999-06-28 @ HJK W 1-060.5 1676 1655 35.11% 28.37% 36.51%-0.01 +15.3 30
1999-06-30 Jokerit W 1-048.3 1529 1470 47.36% 27.85% 24.79%+0.46 +11.4 20
1999-06-30 @ Inter Turku L 0-148.3 1470 1529 24.79% 27.85% 47.36%-0.46 -11.4 16
1999-07-01 Lahti W 4-254.1 1692 1466 64.24% 24.24% 11.51%+1.37 +8.3 33
1999-07-01 @ Haka L 2-454.1 1466 1692 11.51% 24.24% 64.24%-1.37 -8.4 19
1999-07-01 TPV Tampere W 2-038.9 1640 1372 67.49% 22.97% 9.53%+1.60 +8.9 25
1999-07-01 @ HJK L 0-238.9 1372 1640 9.53% 22.97% 67.49%-1.60 -8.9 3
1999-07-01 FC Jazz L 0-147.0 1425 1565 21.78% 27.45% 50.76%-0.64 -10.3 16
1999-07-01 @ KTP W 1-047.0 1565 1425 50.76% 27.45% 21.78%+0.64 +10.3 22
1999-07-01 MyPa W 2-157.2 1499 1511 37.86% 28.36% 33.78%+0.07 +13.6 15
1999-07-01 @ RoPS L 1-257.2 1511 1499 33.78% 28.36% 37.86%-0.07 -13.6 18
1999-07-01 TPS Turku L 0-247.3 1475 1458 41.80% 28.24% 29.96%+0.22 -31.9 10
1999-07-01 @ VPS W 2-047.3 1458 1475 29.96% 28.24% 41.80%-0.22 +31.9 15
1999-07-04 VPS L 0-157.9 1576 1443 55.70% 26.62% 17.68%+0.86 -21.5 22
1999-07-04 @ FC Jazz W 1-057.9 1443 1576 17.68% 26.62% 55.70%-0.86 +21.5 13
1999-07-04 TPV Tampere D 1-157.1 1458 1364 51.47% 27.36% 21.17%+0.65 -2.6 20
1999-07-04 @ Lahti D 1-157.1 1364 1458 21.17% 27.36% 51.47%-0.65 +2.6 4
1999-07-04 HJK L 0-346.1 1497 1648 20.74% 27.28% 51.98%-0.70 -27.0 18
1999-07-04 @ MyPa W 3-046.1 1648 1497 51.98% 27.28% 20.74%+0.70 +27.0 28
1999-07-04 Inter Turku W 3-155.7 1512 1541 35.54% 28.37% 36.09%-0.02 +24.8 18
1999-07-04 @ RoPS L 1-355.7 1541 1512 36.09% 28.37% 35.54%+0.02 -24.8 20
1999-07-04 KTP L 0-346.3 1490 1414 49.35% 27.63% 23.01%+0.55 -53.1 15
1999-07-04 @ TPS Turku W 3-046.3 1414 1490 23.01% 27.63% 49.35%-0.55 +53.1 19
1999-07-07 Haka W 1-063.8 1458 1700 13.65% 25.28% 61.07%-1.19 +23.4 19
1999-07-07 @ Jokerit L 0-163.8 1700 1458 61.07% 25.28% 13.65%+1.19 -23.4 33
1999-07-08 MyPa L 1-259.8 1516 1470 45.66% 28.00% 26.34%+0.38 -17.1 20
1999-07-08 @ Inter Turku W 2-159.8 1470 1516 26.34% 28.00% 45.66%-0.38 +17.1 21
1999-07-11 RoPS D 0-065.1 1677 1537 56.40% 26.47% 17.13%+0.90 -3.9 34
1999-07-11 @ Haka D 0-065.1 1537 1677 17.13% 26.47% 56.40%-0.90 +3.9 19
1999-07-11 HJK D 0-062.7 1437 1675 13.87% 25.37% 60.76%-1.17 +4.7 16
1999-07-11 @ TPS Turku D 0-062.7 1675 1437 60.76% 25.37% 13.87%+1.17 -4.7 29
1999-07-11 Inter Turku L 0-246.3 1464 1499 34.69% 28.37% 36.94%-0.06 -27.8 13
1999-07-11 @ VPS W 2-046.3 1499 1464 36.94% 28.37% 34.69%+0.06 +27.8 23
1999-07-12 FC Jazz D 2-268.8 1455 1554 26.27% 28.00% 45.73%-0.41 +1.2 21
1999-07-12 @ Lahti D 2-268.8 1554 1455 45.73% 28.00% 26.27%+0.41 -1.2 23
1999-07-12 KTP W 2-045.4 1366 1468 26.03% 27.97% 46.00%-0.42 +34.5 7
1999-07-12 @ TPV Tampere L 0-245.4 1468 1366 46.00% 27.97% 26.03%+0.42 -34.5 19
1999-07-14 HJK L 1-256.6 1482 1671 17.42% 26.55% 56.02%-0.90 -8.0 19
1999-07-14 @ Jokerit W 2-156.6 1671 1482 56.02% 26.55% 17.42%+0.90 +8.0 32
1999-07-18 Inter Turku L 0-164.2 1679 1526 57.64% 26.19% 16.16%+0.97 -22.2 32
1999-07-18 @ HJK W 1-064.2 1526 1679 16.16% 26.19% 57.64%-0.97 +22.2 26
1999-07-18 VPS D 2-263.9 1433 1437 39.08% 28.34% 32.59%+0.11 -0.4 20
1999-07-18 @ KTP D 2-263.9 1437 1433 32.59% 28.34% 39.08%-0.11 +0.4 14
1999-07-18 FC Jazz D 1-162.7 1442 1553 24.91% 27.86% 47.22%-0.48 +1.9 17
1999-07-18 @ TPS Turku D 1-162.7 1553 1442 47.22% 27.86% 24.91%+0.48 -1.9 24
1999-07-18 Haka L 0-340.3 1401 1673 11.86% 24.43% 63.70%-1.36 -16.1 7
1999-07-18 @ TPV Tampere W 3-040.3 1673 1401 63.70% 24.43% 11.86%+1.36 +16.1 37
1999-07-19 Lahti W 4-041.3 1487 1456 43.74% 28.14% 28.12%+0.30 +45.1 24
1999-07-19 @ MyPa L 0-441.3 1456 1487 28.12% 28.14% 43.74%-0.30 -45.1 21
1999-07-21 Jokerit W 3-042.7 1541 1474 48.31% 27.75% 23.94%+0.50 +30.4 22
1999-07-21 @ RoPS L 0-342.7 1474 1541 23.94% 27.75% 48.31%-0.50 -30.4 19
1999-07-25 VPS W 2-043.2 1689 1437 66.34% 23.45% 10.21%+1.52 +9.5 40
1999-07-25 @ Haka L 0-243.2 1437 1689 10.21% 23.45% 66.34%-1.52 -9.5 14
1999-07-25 KTP W 3-148.4 1657 1433 64.08% 24.30% 11.62%+1.36 +9.4 35
1999-07-25 @ HJK L 1-348.4 1433 1657 11.62% 24.30% 64.08%-1.36 -9.4 20
1999-07-25 TPS Turku L 1-261.9 1549 1444 52.70% 27.17% 20.14%+0.71 -19.3 26
1999-07-25 @ Inter Turku W 2-161.9 1444 1549 20.14% 27.17% 52.70%-0.71 +19.3 20
1999-07-25 Lahti D 2-268.4 1571 1411 58.40% 26.01% 15.59%+1.01 -2.8 23
1999-07-25 @ RoPS D 2-268.4 1411 1571 15.59% 26.01% 58.40%-1.01 +2.8 22
1999-07-26 TPV Tampere W 2-038.6 1551 1384 59.02% 25.85% 15.13%+1.05 +14.1 27
1999-07-26 @ FC Jazz L 0-238.6 1384 1551 15.13% 25.85% 59.02%-1.05 -14.1 7
1999-07-28 MyPa L 0-148.3 1443 1532 27.50% 28.10% 44.40%-0.35 -12.4 19
1999-07-28 @ Jokerit W 1-048.3 1532 1443 44.40% 28.10% 27.50%+0.35 +12.4 27
1999-08-01 FC Jazz W 4-152.9 1666 1565 52.24% 27.24% 20.52%+0.69 +22.6 38
1999-08-01 @ HJK L 1-452.9 1565 1666 20.52% 27.24% 52.24%-0.69 -22.6 27
1999-08-01 KTP D 0-056.5 1529 1423 52.82% 27.15% 20.03%+0.71 -3.2 27
1999-08-01 @ Inter Turku D 0-056.5 1423 1529 20.03% 27.15% 52.82%-0.71 +3.2 21
1999-08-01 Haka L 1-259.8 1545 1698 20.50% 27.24% 52.26%-0.71 -9.2 27
1999-08-01 @ MyPa W 2-159.8 1698 1545 52.26% 27.24% 20.50%+0.71 +9.2 43
1999-08-01 RoPS L 0-239.4 1370 1568 16.72% 26.36% 56.92%-0.95 -15.4 7
1999-08-01 @ TPV Tampere W 2-039.4 1568 1370 56.92% 26.36% 16.72%+0.95 +15.4 26
1999-08-02 TPS Turku L 1-252.2 1414 1463 32.63% 28.34% 39.04%-0.14 -13.3 22
1999-08-02 @ Lahti W 2-152.2 1463 1414 39.04% 28.34% 32.63%+0.14 +13.3 23
1999-08-02 Jokerit L 1-349.8 1427 1431 39.07% 28.34% 32.59%+0.11 -26.2 14
1999-08-02 @ VPS W 3-149.8 1431 1427 32.59% 28.34% 39.07%-0.11 +26.2 22
1999-08-08 Haka D 2-276.1 1543 1708 19.47% 27.03% 53.50%-0.77 +2.2 28
1999-08-08 @ FC Jazz D 2-276.1 1708 1543 53.50% 27.03% 19.47%+0.77 -2.2 44
1999-08-08 Lahti W 3-145.3 1526 1401 54.92% 26.77% 18.31%+0.82 +14.5 30
1999-08-08 @ Inter Turku L 1-345.3 1401 1526 18.31% 26.77% 54.92%-0.82 -14.5 22
1999-08-08 TPV Tampere D 1-159.7 1535 1355 60.30% 25.50% 14.20%+1.12 -4.2 28
1999-08-08 @ MyPa D 1-159.7 1355 1535 14.20% 25.50% 60.30%-1.12 +4.2 8
1999-08-08 HJK L 0-146.3 1401 1689 11.07% 23.99% 64.95%-1.44 -5.5 14
1999-08-08 @ VPS W 1-046.3 1689 1401 64.95% 23.99% 11.07%+1.44 +5.5 41
1999-08-09 Jokerit L 3-460.5 1426 1457 35.21% 28.37% 36.42%-0.03 -13.0 21
1999-08-09 @ KTP W 4-360.5 1457 1426 36.42% 28.37% 35.21%+0.03 +13.0 25
1999-08-09 RoPS W 4-156.2 1476 1584 25.34% 27.91% 46.76%-0.46 +42.8 26
1999-08-09 @ TPS Turku L 1-456.2 1584 1476 46.76% 27.91% 25.34%+0.46 -42.8 26
1999-08-12 FC Jazz D 0-058.5 1470 1545 29.26% 28.21% 42.53%-0.28 +1.2 26
1999-08-12 @ Jokerit D 0-058.5 1545 1470 42.53% 28.21% 29.26%+0.28 -1.2 29
1999-08-15 Inter Turku W 1-052.2 1706 1541 58.86% 25.89% 15.25%+1.04 +7.5 47
1999-08-15 @ Haka L 0-152.2 1541 1706 15.25% 25.89% 58.86%-1.04 -7.5 30
1999-08-15 Jokerit L 0-144.5 1386 1471 27.96% 28.13% 43.91%-0.33 -12.6 22
1999-08-15 @ Lahti W 1-044.5 1471 1386 43.91% 28.13% 27.96%+0.33 +12.5 29
1999-08-15 KTP L 1-261.1 1541 1413 55.13% 26.73% 18.13%+0.83 -20.1 26
1999-08-15 @ RoPS W 2-161.1 1413 1541 18.13% 26.73% 55.13%-0.83 +20.1 24
1999-08-15 MyPa L 2-364.8 1519 1531 37.87% 28.36% 33.78%+0.07 -14.0 26
1999-08-15 @ TPS Turku W 3-264.8 1531 1519 33.78% 28.36% 37.87%-0.07 +14.0 31
1999-08-15 VPS L 1-346.0 1359 1396 34.38% 28.37% 37.25%-0.07 -23.9 8
1999-08-15 @ TPV Tampere W 3-146.0 1396 1359 37.25% 28.37% 34.38%+0.07 +23.9 17
1999-08-21 RoPS W 4-045.3 1694 1521 59.64% 25.69% 14.68%+1.08 +26.0 44
1999-08-21 @ HJK L 0-445.3 1521 1694 14.68% 25.69% 59.64%-1.08 -25.9 26
1999-08-22 TPS Turku W 5-251.9 1713 1505 62.74% 24.76% 12.50%+1.27 +12.4 50
1999-08-22 @ Haka L 2-551.9 1505 1713 12.50% 24.76% 62.74%-1.27 -12.4 26
1999-08-22 MyPa D 0-057.2 1434 1545 24.85% 27.86% 47.29%-0.48 +2.1 25
1999-08-22 @ KTP D 0-057.2 1545 1434 47.29% 27.86% 24.85%+0.48 -2.1 32
1999-08-22 Lahti W 2-148.0 1420 1374 45.69% 28.00% 26.32%+0.39 +11.3 20
1999-08-22 @ VPS L 1-248.0 1374 1420 26.32% 28.00% 45.69%-0.39 -11.3 22
1999-08-23 Inter Turku D 1-165.5 1544 1533 41.01% 28.28% 30.72%+0.19 -0.8 30
1999-08-23 @ FC Jazz D 1-165.5 1533 1544 30.72% 28.28% 41.01%-0.19 +0.8 31
1999-08-23 Jokerit L 0-535.9 1335 1484 21.01% 27.33% 51.67%-0.68 -44.0 8
1999-08-23 @ TPV Tampere W 5-035.9 1484 1335 51.67% 27.33% 21.01%+0.68 +44.0 32
1999-08-27 TPS Turku D 1-163.5 1528 1493 44.29% 28.10% 27.60%+0.33 -1.4 33
1999-08-27 @ Jokerit D 1-163.5 1493 1528 27.60% 28.10% 44.29%-0.33 +1.4 27
1999-08-29 TPV Tampere W 2-033.3 1534 1291 65.60% 23.74% 10.66%+1.46 +9.9 34
1999-08-29 @ Inter Turku L 0-233.3 1291 1534 10.66% 23.74% 65.60%-1.46 -10.0 8
1999-08-29 Haka W 1-064.7 1436 1725 10.95% 23.91% 65.14%-1.46 +24.7 28
1999-08-29 @ KTP L 0-164.7 1725 1436 65.14% 23.91% 10.95%+1.46 -24.7 50
1999-08-29 HJK L 2-545.9 1362 1720 8.04% 21.74% 70.22%-1.83 -7.8 22
1999-08-29 @ Lahti W 5-245.9 1720 1362 70.22% 21.74% 8.04%+1.83 +7.8 47
1999-08-29 VPS D 1-162.1 1543 1431 53.51% 27.03% 19.46%+0.75 -3.0 33
1999-08-29 @ MyPa D 1-162.1 1431 1543 19.46% 27.03% 53.51%-0.75 +3.0 21
1999-08-29 FC Jazz D 0-059.3 1495 1543 32.81% 28.34% 38.85%-0.13 +0.5 27
1999-08-29 @ RoPS D 0-059.3 1543 1495 38.85% 28.34% 32.81%+0.13 -0.5 31

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1999-09-11 RoPS W 4-044.3 1526 1495 43.75% 28.14% 28.11%+0.30 +45.1 3
1999-09-11 @ Jokerit L 0-444.3 1495 1526 28.11% 28.14% 43.75%-0.30 -45.1 0
1999-09-11 MyPa D 0-057.9 1460 1540 28.62% 28.17% 43.21%-0.30 +1.3 1
1999-09-11 @ KTP D 0-057.9 1540 1460 43.21% 28.17% 28.62%+0.30 -1.3 1
1999-09-11 TPS Turku L 0-336.4 1354 1494 21.90% 27.47% 50.63%-0.63 -28.3 0
1999-09-11 @ Lahti W 3-036.4 1494 1354 50.63% 27.47% 21.90%+0.63 +28.3 3
1999-09-12 HJK L 0-249.7 1542 1728 17.71% 26.63% 55.66%-0.88 -16.2 0
1999-09-12 @ FC Jazz W 2-049.7 1728 1542 55.66% 26.63% 17.71%+0.88 +16.2 3
1999-09-12 VPS W 3-150.3 1281 1434 20.63% 27.26% 52.11%-0.70 +33.2 3
1999-09-12 @ TPV Tampere L 1-350.3 1434 1281 52.11% 27.26% 20.63%+0.70 -33.2 0
1999-09-13 Haka L 0-348.2 1544 1701 20.22% 27.18% 52.59%-0.73 -26.5 0
1999-09-13 @ Inter Turku W 3-048.2 1701 1544 52.59% 27.18% 20.22%+0.73 +26.5 3
1999-09-18 FC Jazz D 0-066.3 1727 1526 62.16% 24.95% 12.89%+1.24 -5.0 4
1999-09-18 @ Haka D 0-066.3 1526 1727 12.89% 24.95% 62.16%-1.24 +5.0 1
1999-09-18 Inter Turku L 0-543.7 1450 1517 30.25% 28.26% 41.49%-0.23 -58.7 0
1999-09-18 @ RoPS W 5-043.7 1517 1450 41.49% 28.26% 30.25%+0.23 +58.7 3
1999-09-18 Lahti D 2-260.9 1401 1326 49.19% 27.65% 23.15%+0.54 -1.6 1
1999-09-18 @ VPS D 2-260.9 1326 1401 23.15% 27.65% 49.19%-0.54 +1.6 1
1999-09-19 MyPa W 2-157.3 1744 1539 62.50% 24.84% 12.66%+1.26 +5.9 6
1999-09-19 @ HJK L 1-257.3 1539 1744 12.66% 24.84% 62.50%-1.26 -5.9 1
1999-09-19 TPV Tampere D 1-158.3 1522 1314 62.74% 24.76% 12.50%+1.27 -4.6 4
1999-09-19 @ TPS Turku D 1-158.3 1314 1522 12.50% 24.76% 62.74%-1.27 +4.6 4
1999-09-20 KTP L 1-263.6 1572 1462 53.24% 27.08% 19.68%+0.74 -19.5 3
1999-09-20 @ Jokerit W 2-163.6 1462 1572 19.68% 27.08% 53.24%-0.74 +19.5 4
1999-09-22 Inter Turku W 2-158.7 1750 1576 59.70% 25.67% 14.63%+1.09 +6.8 9
1999-09-22 @ HJK L 1-258.7 1576 1750 14.63% 25.67% 59.70%-1.09 -6.8 3
1999-09-22 TPV Tampere W 4-354.6 1328 1319 40.77% 28.28% 30.94%+0.18 +11.8 4
1999-09-22 @ Lahti L 3-454.6 1319 1328 30.94% 28.28% 40.77%-0.18 -11.8 4
1999-09-22 RoPS W 3-144.7 1533 1392 56.55% 26.44% 17.01%+0.91 +13.6 4
1999-09-22 @ MyPa L 1-344.7 1392 1533 17.01% 26.44% 56.55%-0.91 -13.6 0
1999-09-22 VPS D 1-160.1 1518 1399 54.21% 26.91% 18.89%+0.78 -3.1 5
1999-09-22 @ TPS Turku D 1-160.1 1399 1518 18.89% 26.91% 54.21%-0.78 +3.1 2
1999-09-23 KTP W 1-049.2 1531 1481 46.17% 27.96% 25.87%+0.41 +11.8 4
1999-09-23 @ FC Jazz L 0-149.2 1481 1531 25.87% 27.96% 46.17%-0.41 -11.8 4
1999-09-23 Jokerit W 2-048.6 1722 1552 59.35% 25.76% 14.88%+1.07 +13.9 7
1999-09-23 @ Haka L 0-248.6 1552 1722 14.88% 25.76% 59.35%-1.07 -13.9 3
1999-09-25 MyPa L 0-254.1 1569 1547 42.66% 28.20% 29.14%+0.26 -32.4 3
1999-09-25 @ Inter Turku W 2-054.1 1547 1569 29.14% 28.20% 42.66%-0.26 +32.4 7
1999-09-25 HJK L 0-145.7 1378 1757 7.31% 21.03% 71.66%-1.94 -3.5 0
1999-09-25 @ RoPS W 1-045.7 1757 1378 71.66% 21.03% 7.31%+1.94 +3.5 12
1999-09-25 TPS Turku L 1-251.0 1402 1515 24.75% 27.85% 47.40%-0.48 -10.8 2
1999-09-25 @ VPS W 2-151.0 1515 1402 47.40% 27.85% 24.75%+0.48 +10.8 8
1999-09-26 FC Jazz D 1-165.6 1538 1543 38.91% 28.34% 32.75%+0.11 -0.5 4
1999-09-26 @ Jokerit D 1-165.6 1543 1538 32.75% 28.34% 38.91%-0.11 +0.5 5
1999-09-26 Lahti L 2-353.4 1307 1340 34.95% 28.37% 36.68%-0.04 -13.2 4
1999-09-26 @ TPV Tampere W 3-253.4 1340 1307 36.68% 28.37% 34.95%+0.04 +13.2 7
1999-09-27 Haka L 1-351.9 1469 1736 12.17% 24.59% 63.24%-1.33 -9.9 4
1999-09-27 @ KTP W 3-151.9 1736 1469 63.24% 24.59% 12.17%+1.33 +9.9 10
1999-10-02 RoPS W 2-040.6 1746 1375 74.60% 19.46% 5.95%+2.17 +5.2 13
1999-10-02 @ Haka L 0-240.6 1375 1746 5.95% 19.46% 74.60%-2.17 -5.2 0
1999-10-02 FC Jazz W 4-152.5 1579 1543 44.35% 28.10% 27.55%+0.33 +28.6 10
1999-10-02 @ MyPa L 1-452.5 1543 1579 27.55% 28.10% 44.35%-0.33 -28.6 5
1999-10-02 Lahti D 0-054.4 1525 1353 59.58% 25.70% 14.72%+1.08 -4.5 9
1999-10-02 @ TPS Turku D 0-054.4 1353 1525 14.72% 25.70% 59.58%-1.08 +4.5 8
1999-10-03 KTP D 3-372.1 1537 1460 49.54% 27.61% 22.84%+0.56 -1.4 4
1999-10-03 @ Inter Turku D 3-372.1 1460 1537 22.84% 27.61% 49.54%-0.56 +1.4 5
1999-10-03 TPV Tampere W 3-140.6 1391 1294 51.86% 27.30% 20.85%+0.67 +16.2 5
1999-10-03 @ VPS L 1-340.6 1294 1391 20.85% 27.30% 51.86%-0.67 -16.2 4
1999-10-04 Jokerit W 2-157.1 1760 1538 63.98% 24.34% 11.69%+1.35 +5.5 15
1999-10-04 @ HJK L 1-257.1 1538 1760 11.69% 24.34% 63.98%-1.35 -5.5 4
1999-10-13 KTP W 1-048.4 1766 1461 70.23% 21.74% 8.04%+1.81 +3.9 18
1999-10-13 @ HJK L 0-148.4 1461 1766 8.04% 21.74% 70.23%-1.81 -3.9 5
1999-10-13 Jokerit L 0-155.5 1535 1532 40.01% 28.31% 31.68%+0.15 -16.4 4
1999-10-13 @ Inter Turku W 1-055.5 1532 1535 31.68% 28.31% 40.01%-0.15 +16.4 7
1999-10-13 VPS L 0-437.7 1357 1408 32.50% 28.33% 39.16%-0.14 -50.3 8
1999-10-13 @ Lahti W 4-037.7 1408 1357 39.16% 28.33% 32.50%+0.14 +50.3 8
1999-10-13 Haka D 0-066.9 1608 1751 21.50% 27.41% 51.09%-0.65 +2.8 11
1999-10-13 @ MyPa D 0-066.9 1751 1608 51.09% 27.41% 21.50%+0.65 -2.8 14
1999-10-13 FC Jazz W 2-048.2 1369 1515 21.33% 27.38% 51.29%-0.66 +37.8 3
1999-10-13 @ RoPS L 0-248.2 1515 1369 51.29% 27.38% 21.33%+0.66 -37.8 5
1999-10-13 TPS Turku L 0-633.5 1278 1521 13.56% 25.24% 61.19%-1.20 -35.2 4
1999-10-13 @ TPV Tampere W 6-033.5 1521 1278 61.19% 25.24% 13.56%+1.20 +35.2 12
1999-10-16 Inter Turku D 1-162.5 1477 1519 33.58% 28.36% 38.06%-0.10 +0.3 6
1999-10-16 @ FC Jazz D 1-162.5 1519 1477 38.06% 28.36% 33.58%+0.10 -0.4 5
1999-10-16 HJK W 1-061.2 1748 1770 36.55% 28.37% 35.08%+0.02 +14.9 17
1999-10-16 @ Haka L 0-161.2 1770 1748 35.08% 28.37% 36.55%-0.02 -14.8 18
1999-10-16 MyPa L 1-261.3 1549 1610 30.93% 28.28% 40.78%-0.21 -12.8 7
1999-10-16 @ Jokerit W 2-161.3 1610 1549 40.78% 28.28% 30.93%+0.21 +12.8 14
1999-10-16 RoPS D 1-158.1 1457 1407 46.18% 27.96% 25.86%+0.41 -1.7 6
1999-10-16 @ KTP D 1-158.1 1407 1457 25.86% 27.96% 46.18%-0.41 +1.7 4

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1999-08-29 10.95% @ KTP 1436 1 Haka 1725 0
2 1999-07-07 13.65% @ Jokerit 1458 1 Haka 1700 0
3 1999-07-18 16.16% Inter Turku 1526 1 @ HJK 1679 0
4 1999-07-04 17.68% VPS 1443 1 @ FC Jazz 1576 0
5 1999-08-15 18.13% KTP 1413 2 @ RoPS 1541 1
6 1999-09-20 19.68% KTP 1462 2 @ Jokerit 1572 1
7 1999-07-25 20.14% TPS Turku 1444 2 @ Inter Turku 1549 1
8 1999-05-16 20.58% @ KTP 1385 1 Inter Turku 1538 0
9 1999-09-12 20.63% @ TPV Tampere 1281 3 VPS 1434 1
10 1999-10-13 21.33% @ RoPS 1369 2 FC Jazz 1515 0
11 1999-07-04 23.01% KTP 1414 3 @ TPS Turku 1490 0
12 1999-05-30 23.32% Lahti 1431 2 @ TPS Turku 1504 1
13 1999-08-09 25.34% @ TPS Turku 1476 4 RoPS 1584 1
14 1999-04-25 25.47% @ Jokerit 1460 1 VPS 1566 0
15 1999-07-12 26.03% @ TPV Tampere 1366 2 KTP 1468 0
16 1999-06-20 26.33% KTP 1422 1 @ Lahti 1468 0
17 1999-07-08 26.34% MyPa 1470 2 @ Inter Turku 1516 1
18 1999-05-02 27.43% MyPa 1511 1 @ VPS 1547 0
19 1999-05-09 28.18% @ Inter Turku 1490 3 FC Jazz 1573 0
20 1999-06-14 28.18% @ KTP 1402 2 TPS Turku 1486 0
21 1999-04-25 28.52% Inter Turku 1500 1 @ MyPa 1528 0
22 1999-05-06 28.67% @ KTP 1382 1 TPV Tampere 1462 0
23 1999-09-25 29.14% MyPa 1547 2 @ Inter Turku 1569 0
24 1999-05-09 29.20% @ MyPa 1487 3 TPS Turku 1562 1
25 1999-04-25 29.35% @ Lahti 1460 1 RoPS 1534 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-09-18 58.73 Inter Turku 5 1517 41.49% @ RoPS 0 1450 30.25% 28.26%
2 1999-07-04 53.08 KTP 3 1414 23.01% @ TPS Turku 0 1490 49.35% 27.63%
3 1999-10-13 50.26 VPS 4 1408 39.16% @ Lahti 0 1357 32.50% 28.33%
4 1999-05-09 47.97 @ Inter Turku 3 1490 28.18% FC Jazz 0 1573 43.67% 28.14%
5 1999-07-19 45.09 @ MyPa 4 1487 43.74% Lahti 0 1456 28.12% 28.14%
6 1999-09-11 45.07 @ Jokerit 4 1526 43.75% RoPS 0 1495 28.11% 28.14%
7 1999-08-23 44.01 Jokerit 5 1484 51.67% @ TPV Tampere 0 1335 21.01% 27.33%
8 1999-08-09 42.77 @ TPS Turku 4 1476 25.34% RoPS 1 1584 46.76% 27.91%
9 1999-06-27 41.47 @ FC Jazz 3 1524 35.58% MyPa 0 1552 36.05% 28.37%
10 1999-05-06 41.11 @ Haka 4 1586 47.16% MyPa 0 1528 24.97% 27.87%
11 1999-06-13 38.80 HJK 7 1612 43.44% @ Inter Turku 2 1530 28.41% 28.16%
12 1999-10-13 37.78 @ RoPS 2 1369 21.33% FC Jazz 0 1515 51.29% 27.38%
13 1999-10-13 35.22 TPS Turku 6 1521 61.19% @ TPV Tampere 0 1278 13.56% 25.24%
14 1999-07-12 34.45 @ TPV Tampere 2 1366 26.03% KTP 0 1468 46.00% 27.97%
15 1999-09-12 33.17 @ TPV Tampere 3 1281 20.63% VPS 1 1434 52.11% 27.26%
16 1999-06-14 33.03 @ KTP 2 1402 28.18% TPS Turku 0 1486 43.68% 28.14%
17 1999-09-25 32.42 MyPa 2 1547 29.14% @ Inter Turku 0 1569 42.66% 28.20%
18 1999-07-01 31.90 TPS Turku 2 1458 29.96% @ VPS 0 1475 41.80% 28.24%
19 1999-05-23 31.37 @ MyPa 2 1493 30.82% FC Jazz 0 1556 40.90% 28.28%
20 1999-05-16 30.43 @ FC Jazz 3 1525 48.31% Lahti 0 1458 23.94% 27.75%
21 1999-07-21 30.42 @ RoPS 3 1541 48.31% Jokerit 0 1474 23.94% 27.75%
22 1999-05-24 30.38 @ HJK 3 1586 48.36% VPS 0 1518 23.90% 27.75%
23 1999-10-02 28.65 @ MyPa 4 1579 44.35% FC Jazz 1 1543 27.55% 28.10%
24 1999-09-11 28.30 TPS Turku 3 1494 50.63% @ Lahti 0 1354 21.90% 27.47%
25 1999-05-09 28.04 @ MyPa 3 1487 29.20% TPS Turku 1 1562 42.59% 28.20%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-08-08 76.1 @ FC Jazz 2 1543 19.47% Haka 2 1708 53.50% 27.03%
2 1999-05-27 74.5 @ Haka 2 1665 59.52% Jokerit 2 1493 14.76% 25.72%
3 1999-10-03 72.1 @ Inter Turku 3 1537 49.54% KTP 3 1460 22.84% 27.61%
4 1999-06-13 69.7 @ Haka 1 1671 56.06% FC Jazz 1 1535 17.40% 26.55%
5 1999-05-27 69.6 @ Inter Turku 2 1534 44.67% RoPS 2 1496 27.25% 28.08%
6 1999-07-12 68.8 @ Lahti 2 1455 26.27% FC Jazz 2 1554 45.73% 28.00%
7 1999-06-20 68.5 @ FC Jazz 1 1522 23.44% HJK 1 1647 48.87% 27.69%
8 1999-07-25 68.4 @ RoPS 2 1571 58.40% Lahti 2 1411 15.59% 26.01%
9 1999-06-20 67.9 @ TPS Turku 1 1440 13.74% Haka 1 1681 60.94% 25.32%
10 1999-06-17 67.7 @ HJK 1 1651 60.88% Lahti 1 1464 13.78% 25.34%
11 1999-06-16 67.0 @ TPV Tampere 2 1395 19.89% MyPa 2 1556 52.99% 27.12%
12 1999-10-13 66.9 @ MyPa 0 1608 21.50% Haka 0 1751 51.09% 27.41%
13 1999-09-18 66.3 @ Haka 0 1727 62.16% FC Jazz 0 1526 12.89% 24.95%
14 1999-09-26 65.6 @ Jokerit 1 1538 38.91% FC Jazz 1 1543 32.75% 28.34%
15 1999-08-23 65.5 @ FC Jazz 1 1544 41.01% Inter Turku 1 1533 30.72% 28.28%
16 1999-06-20 65.1 @ MyPa 1 1554 45.74% RoPS 1 1507 26.27% 28.00%
17 1999-07-11 65.1 @ Haka 0 1677 56.40% RoPS 0 1537 17.13% 26.47%
18 1999-06-13 64.9 @ RoPS 2 1497 52.60% TPV Tampere 2 1393 20.22% 27.18%
19 1999-08-15 64.8 MyPa 3 1531 33.78% @ TPS Turku 2 1519 37.87% 28.36%
20 1999-08-29 64.7 @ KTP 1 1436 10.95% Haka 0 1725 65.14% 23.91%
21 1999-07-18 64.2 Inter Turku 1 1526 16.16% @ HJK 0 1679 57.64% 26.19%
22 1999-05-31 64.0 @ FC Jazz 1 1536 45.00% Jokerit 1 1496 26.95% 28.05%
23 1999-07-18 63.9 @ KTP 2 1433 39.08% VPS 2 1437 32.59% 28.34%
24 1999-05-16 63.8 @ RoPS 3 1491 33.74% VPS 2 1532 37.90% 28.36%
25 1999-05-27 63.8 @ KTP 1 1394 14.98% HJK 1 1616 59.22% 25.80%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-08-29 33.3 @ Inter Turku 2 1534 65.60% TPV Tampere 0 1291 10.66% 23.74%
2 1999-10-13 33.5 TPS Turku 6 1521 61.19% @ TPV Tampere 0 1278 13.56% 25.24%
3 1999-08-23 35.9 Jokerit 5 1484 51.67% @ TPV Tampere 0 1335 21.01% 27.33%
4 1999-09-11 36.4 TPS Turku 3 1494 50.63% @ Lahti 0 1354 21.90% 27.47%
5 1999-10-13 37.7 VPS 4 1408 39.16% @ Lahti 0 1357 32.50% 28.33%
6 1999-07-26 38.6 @ FC Jazz 2 1551 59.02% TPV Tampere 0 1384 15.13% 25.85%
7 1999-07-01 38.9 @ HJK 2 1640 67.49% TPV Tampere 0 1372 9.53% 22.97%
8 1999-08-01 39.4 RoPS 2 1568 56.92% @ TPV Tampere 0 1370 16.72% 26.36%
9 1999-07-18 40.3 Haka 3 1673 63.70% @ TPV Tampere 0 1401 11.86% 24.43%
10 1999-10-02 40.6 @ Haka 2 1746 74.60% RoPS 0 1375 5.95% 19.46%
11 1999-10-03 40.6 @ VPS 3 1391 51.86% TPV Tampere 1 1294 20.85% 27.30%
12 1999-07-19 41.3 @ MyPa 4 1487 43.74% Lahti 0 1456 28.12% 28.14%
13 1999-05-16 41.6 @ FC Jazz 3 1525 48.31% Lahti 0 1458 23.94% 27.75%
14 1999-07-21 42.7 @ RoPS 3 1541 48.31% Jokerit 0 1474 23.94% 27.75%
15 1999-07-25 43.2 @ Haka 2 1689 66.34% VPS 0 1437 10.21% 23.45%
16 1999-06-23 43.4 @ Jokerit 1 1458 47.55% TPV Tampere 0 1397 24.62% 27.83%
17 1999-05-23 43.7 @ Jokerit 1 1482 49.50% KTP 0 1405 22.88% 27.62%
18 1999-09-18 43.7 Inter Turku 5 1517 41.49% @ RoPS 0 1450 30.25% 28.26%
19 1999-09-11 44.3 @ Jokerit 4 1526 43.75% RoPS 0 1495 28.11% 28.14%
20 1999-08-15 44.5 Jokerit 1 1471 43.91% @ Lahti 0 1386 27.96% 28.13%
21 1999-09-22 44.7 @ MyPa 3 1533 56.55% RoPS 1 1392 17.01% 26.44%
22 1999-06-27 44.8 TPS Turku 1 1445 40.33% @ TPV Tampere 0 1386 31.37% 28.30%
23 1999-05-10 45.2 @ VPS 3 1517 54.07% KTP 1 1400 18.99% 26.93%
24 1999-08-08 45.3 @ Inter Turku 3 1526 54.92% Lahti 1 1401 18.31% 26.77%
25 1999-08-21 45.3 @ HJK 4 1694 59.64% RoPS 0 1521 14.68% 25.69%