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2002 Veikkausliiga Season

160 games

Final

Champion

HJK

65 points · 20th Title

Last Title: 1997

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

MyPa

4.31 points above expected

60 points · 55.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

VPS

9.93 points below expected

17 points · 26.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK 22 15 3 4 48 36 16 +20 41.16 +6.84
2 MyPa 22 12 7 3 43 43 20 +23 39.87 +3.13
3 Haka 22 11 5 6 38 31 18 +13 36.69 +1.31
4 Allianssi 22 10 4 8 34 35 36 -1 24.86 +9.14
5 Inter Turku 22 8 8 6 32 28 17 +11 33.38 -1.38
6 Tampere United 22 7 11 4 32 23 15 +8 34.92 -2.92
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 32 23 26 -3 27.41 +4.59
8 Jaro 22 7 5 10 26 23 36 -13 25.01 +0.99
9 KuPS 22 6 6 10 24 26 30 -4 25.81 -1.81
10 Hameenlinna 22 3 9 10 18 23 34 -11 23.13 -5.13
11 VPS 22 4 5 13 17 21 39 -18 26.93 -9.93
12 FC Jazz 22 4 4 14 16 17 42 -25 21.43 -5.43
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK Champion 29 20 5 4 65 51 21 +30 61.24 +3.76
2 MyPa 29 17 9 3 60 57 25 +32 55.69 +4.31
3 Haka 29 15 7 7 52 51 30 +21 49.38 +2.62
4 Allianssi 29 12 5 12 41 39 44 -5 40.82 +0.18
5 Tampere United 29 8 15 6 39 31 24 +7 42.29 -3.29
6 Inter Turku 29 9 9 11 36 33 29 +4 40.71 -4.71
7 Jaro 29 10 6 13 36 34 46 -12 31.95 +4.05
8 Lahti 29 9 6 14 33 25 44 -19 39.64 -6.64

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 MyPa 60 55.69 +4.31
2 Jaro 36 31.95 +4.05
3 HJK 65 61.24 +3.76
4 Haka 52 49.38 +2.62
5 Allianssi 41 40.82 +0.18

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 VPS 17 26.93 -9.93
2 Lahti 33 39.64 -6.64
3 FC Jazz 16 21.43 -5.43
4 Hameenlinna 18 23.13 -5.13
5 Inter Turku 36 40.71 -4.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HJK 12 Jul 22 – Oct 19 1 in 449
2 Lahti 3 Jul 4 – Jul 21 1 in 150
3 Jaro 3 Sep 23 – Oct 6 1 in 44
4 Allianssi 3 Jul 21 – Aug 5 1 in 36
5 Haka 5 May 13 – Jun 3 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VPS 8 Jun 13 – Aug 1 1 in 591
2 FC Jazz 5 Jun 6 – Jul 4 1 in 61
3 Jaro 5 May 27 – Jun 13 1 in 34
4 Haka 2 May 4 – May 8 1 in 21
5 Inter Turku 4 Sep 16 – Oct 7 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lahti 5 Jul 4 – Aug 1 1 in 38
2 Tampere United 9 May 27 – Jul 8 1 in 37
3 MyPa 13 Aug 1 – Oct 26 1 in 30
4 Inter Turku 7 May 13 – Jun 13 1 in 22
5 HJK 14 Jul 22 – Oct 26 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Turku 13 Jul 21 – Oct 23 1 in 343
2 Haka 5 Aug 15 – Sep 16 1 in 33
3 VPS 10 Jun 6 – Aug 4 1 in 31
4 KuPS 8 May 8 – Jun 16 1 in 24
5 Hameenlinna 10 Jun 19 – Aug 18 1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HJK 1624 65 +10 11 9.5 +1.5
MyPa 1599 60 +33 13 9.1 +3.9
Haka 1553 52 +18 10 8.5 +1.5
Allianssi 1348 41 -9 4 4.2 -0.2
Tampere United 1474 39 -10 5 7.9 -2.9
Jaro 1357 36 +28 7 5.1 +1.9
Inter Turku 1391 36 -11 4 5.3 -1.3
Lahti 1305 33 -58 1 5.3 -4.3
KuPS 1372 24 +2 7 5.1 +1.9
Hameenlinna 1297 18 -18 4 5.6 -1.6
VPS 1318 17 +15 7 5.7 +1.3
FC Jazz 1251 16 -18 2 4.7 -2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALL FJ HJK HAK HAM IT JAR KUP LAH MYP TU VPS
Allianssi —
2-0-0
3.19
0-1-2
1.83
0-0-3
2.37
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-1
3.21
1-0-2
4.69
1-0-1
2.65
3-0-0
4.18
0-0-3
2.25
0-3-0
2.64
2-0-0
2.62
FC Jazz
0-0-2
2.26
—
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
1.54
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
2.59
0-1-1
2.56
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
1.24
1-1-0
1.67
2-0-0
2.22
HJK
2-1-0
6.52
2-0-0
4.23
—
0-1-2
4.84
2-0-0
4.23
3-0-0
5.63
3-0-0
6.37
2-0-0
4.03
2-0-1
5.92
0-2-1
4.70
2-1-0
5.48
2-0-0
4.09
Haka
3-0-0
5.88
2-0-0
3.96
2-1-0
3.33
—
1-1-0
3.90
1-1-1
4.84
3-0-0
5.93
0-0-2
3.78
1-1-1
5.57
0-0-3
3.57
0-3-0
4.83
2-0-0
3.70
Hameenlinna
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
1.32
0-1-1
1.60
—
0-1-1
1.92
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.30
0-2-0
1.31
0-1-1
1.69
0-0-2
2.50
Inter Turku
1-0-2
4.96
1-1-0
3.51
0-0-3
2.59
1-1-1
3.33
1-1-0
3.55
—
1-1-1
4.79
0-2-0
3.39
3-0-0
4.63
0-2-1
2.63
0-0-3
3.86
1-1-0
3.16
Jaro
2-0-1
3.47
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-3
1.95
0-0-3
2.35
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-1
3.39
—
0-2-0
2.65
1-1-1
4.29
0-0-3
2.10
2-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.60
KuPS
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-2
1.48
2-0-0
1.72
1-0-1
3.00
0-2-0
2.06
0-2-0
2.78
—
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
1.57
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
2.94
Lahti
0-0-3
3.98
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-2
2.33
1-1-1
2.65
0-1-1
3.14
0-0-3
3.52
1-1-1
3.87
2-0-0
2.69
—
1-0-2
2.19
0-2-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.74
MyPa
3-0-0
6.02
1-0-1
4.32
1-2-0
3.46
3-0-0
4.59
0-2-0
4.24
1-2-0
5.61
3-0-0
6.20
1-0-1
3.92
2-0-1
6.09
—
1-2-0
4.74
1-1-0
3.63
Tampere United
0-3-0
5.58
0-1-1
3.81
0-1-2
2.73
0-3-0
3.34
1-1-0
3.80
3-0-0
4.29
0-1-2
5.27
2-0-0
3.56
1-2-0
5.45
0-2-1
3.42
—
1-1-0
3.25
VPS
0-0-2
2.83
0-0-2
3.23
0-0-2
1.45
0-0-2
1.78
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
1.85
0-1-1
2.20
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +12.0
Allowed 0.31 -10.4
Differential 0.81 +7.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.62%5.94%3.75%1.88%0.62%32.81%
110.62%11.25%6.25%1.88%0.94%1.25%32.19%
25.94%6.25%5.00%1.25%1.25%0.62%20.31%
33.75%1.88%1.25%0.62%—0.31%7.81%
41.88%0.94%1.25%———4.06%
5+0.62%1.25%0.62%0.31%——2.81%
Total32.81%32.19%20.31%7.81%4.06%2.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.89
CV 1.02 1.02 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 160

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.45%10.34%3.45%6.90%10.34%—34.48%
117.24%6.90%3.45%———27.59%
26.90%6.90%6.90%6.90%——27.59%
3———————
4——3.45%———3.45%
5+—3.45%3.45%———6.90%
Total27.59%27.59%20.69%13.79%10.34%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.52 -0.17
SD 1.52 1.33 2.14
CV 1.13 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%9.09%9.09%—4.55%54.55%
14.55%—9.09%——4.55%18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%22.73%13.64%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.91 -1.14
SD 0.97 1.85 2.01
CV 1.26 0.97 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.45%—6.90%——10.34%
131.03%10.34%3.45%———44.83%
217.24%—6.90%———24.14%
3——3.45%———3.45%
46.90%3.45%3.45%———13.79%
5+3.45%—————3.45%
Total58.62%17.24%17.24%6.90%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.72 +1.03
SD 1.33 1.00 1.78
CV 0.75 1.38 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%10.34%————17.24%
110.34%13.79%6.90%3.45%——34.48%
2—17.24%3.45%———20.69%
310.34%————3.45%13.79%
46.90%—3.45%———10.34%
5+——3.45%———3.45%
Total34.48%41.38%17.24%3.45%—3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.03 +0.72
SD 1.38 1.12 1.67
CV 0.78 1.08 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%18.18%4.55%———36.36%
1—13.64%9.09%—9.09%—31.82%
2—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%40.91%22.73%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.55 -0.50
SD 1.00 1.26 1.34
CV 0.96 0.82 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.24%17.24%13.79%3.45%——51.72%
16.90%10.34%————17.24%
26.90%—3.45%——3.45%13.79%
33.45%3.45%————6.90%
4—3.45%————3.45%
5+3.45%3.45%————6.90%
Total37.93%37.93%17.24%3.45%—3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.00 +0.14
SD 1.55 1.13 2.00
CV 1.36 1.13 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.90%10.34%3.45%6.90%3.45%—31.03%
110.34%10.34%3.45%6.90%—3.45%34.48%
210.34%3.45%3.45%—6.90%—24.14%
3—3.45%3.45%———6.90%
4—3.45%————3.45%
5+———————
Total27.59%31.03%13.79%13.79%10.34%3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.59 -0.41
SD 1.07 1.48 1.88
CV 0.91 0.93 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
19.09%—13.64%———22.73%
2—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
3———————
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%22.73%31.82%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.36 -0.18
SD 1.68 1.26 2.15
CV 1.42 0.92 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.34%10.34%13.79%3.45%3.45%3.45%44.83%
110.34%6.90%6.90%3.45%3.45%—31.03%
2—13.79%3.45%———17.24%
33.45%—3.45%———6.90%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.14%31.03%27.59%6.90%6.90%3.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.52 -0.66
SD 0.95 1.33 1.78
CV 1.11 0.87 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.34%—————10.34%
113.79%13.79%6.90%3.45%——37.93%
26.90%3.45%3.45%———13.79%
313.79%6.90%3.45%3.45%——27.59%
43.45%—————3.45%
5+—3.45%—3.45%——6.90%
Total48.28%27.59%13.79%10.34%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.86 +1.10
SD 1.38 1.03 1.52
CV 0.70 1.19 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.79%10.34%3.45%———27.59%
16.90%34.48%—3.45%——44.83%
210.34%3.45%3.45%3.45%——20.69%
36.90%—————6.90%
4———————
5+———————
Total37.93%48.28%6.90%6.90%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 0.83 +0.24
SD 0.88 0.85 1.24
CV 0.83 1.02 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%13.64%4.55%——40.91%
1—9.09%18.18%——9.09%36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%40.91%4.55%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.77 -0.82
SD 1.09 1.45 1.79
CV 1.14 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
HJK 1624 65 41.16 +23.84 86.0% 26 30 36 41 46 51 53
MyPa 1599 60 39.87 +20.13 74.0% 26 29 36 40 44 49 53
Haka 1553 52 36.69 +15.31 63.0% 24 28 33 36 41 46 48
Tampere United 1474 39 34.92 +4.08 34.0% 21 23 30 34 38 47 56
Inter Turku 1391 36 33.38 +2.62 44.0% 19 24 29 33 37 41 50
KuPS 1372 24 25.81 -1.81 37.0% 15 17 22 26 29 34 39
Jaro 1357 36 25.01 +10.99 60.0% 9 15 21 25 29 34 37
Allianssi 1348 41 24.86 +16.14 93.0% 11 15 21 25 29 35 40
VPS 1318 17 26.93 -9.93 7.0% 11 16 22 27 31 38 41
Lahti 1305 33 27.41 +5.59 85.0% 15 19 23 28 31 35 43
Hameenlinna 1297 18 23.13 -5.13 20.0% 10 13 20 23 27 32 36
FC Jazz 1251 16 21.43 -5.43 22.0% 11 14 17 21 25 31 33

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.38%
Slight Edge
43.75%26.88%29.38%
Elo Value
Home Edge
158 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
050.29400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
HJK, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Comfortable
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.62 * Some Luck: 4.62 to 6.92 * Lucky: 6.92 to 9.23 * Wild Swing: 9.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.52 * Close: 1.52 to 2.27 * Off: 2.27 to 3.03 * Way Off: 3.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.26 points
Some Luck
05.7714
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
01.894
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Allianssi
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
VPS
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Lopsided
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 109.51
2.42
Wide Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Clear Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Slight Separation
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.78
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Strong Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Solid Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.22
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.052
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
HJK46.00%20.00%15.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%————
MyPa28.00%27.00%21.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%—————
Haka11.00%20.00%21.00%19.00%14.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%———
Allianssi——2.00%6.00%4.00%14.00%11.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%17.00%12.00%
Tampere United11.00%14.00%12.00%16.00%16.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%—
Inter Turku3.00%12.00%19.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%3.00%—
Jaro—1.00%1.00%6.00%4.00%11.00%6.00%14.00%13.00%21.00%12.00%11.00%
Lahti1.00%2.00%1.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%16.00%13.00%16.00%8.00%9.00%3.00%
KuPS—1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%18.00%13.00%7.00%15.00%10.00%
Hameenlinna—1.00%1.00%—5.00%3.00%9.00%11.00%19.00%18.00%12.00%21.00%
VPS—2.00%6.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%9.00%12.00%
FC Jazz———1.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%12.00%19.00%20.00%31.00%
Team12345678
HJK85.83%13.44%0.73%—————
MyPa13.70%75.11%10.65%0.51%0.03%———
Haka0.47%11.02%73.18%11.08%3.04%1.06%0.15%—
Allianssi—0.10%3.50%22.30%26.44%25.78%19.97%1.91%
Tampere United—0.24%6.81%32.42%26.39%19.68%13.27%1.19%
Inter Turku—0.05%3.54%21.65%24.42%25.44%22.17%2.73%
Jaro———0.23%0.84%2.23%7.67%89.03%
Lahti—0.04%1.59%11.81%18.84%25.81%36.77%5.14%
KuPS————————
Hameenlinna————————
VPS————————
FC Jazz————————

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff
Allianssi 51.00% 49.00%
FC Jazz 18.00% 82.00%
HJK 100% —
Haka 98.00% 2.00%
Hameenlinna 30.00% 70.00%
Inter Turku 93.00% 7.00%
Jaro 43.00% 57.00%
KuPS 55.00% 45.00%
Lahti 64.00% 36.00%
MyPa 100% —
Tampere United 91.00% 9.00%
VPS 57.00% 43.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff
Allianssi 100% —
FC Jazz — 100%
HJK 100% —
Haka 100% —
Hameenlinna — 100%
Inter Turku 100% —
Jaro 100% —
KuPS — 100%
Lahti 100% —
MyPa 100% —
Tampere United 100% —
VPS — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-04-28 Hameenlinna W 2-147.1 1326 1326 42.81% 28.17% 29.02%+0.32 +6.9 3
2002-04-28 @ Allianssi L 1-247.1 1326 1326 29.02% 28.17% 42.81%-0.32 -6.9 0
2002-04-28 HJK W 2-160.7 1476 1560 31.02% 28.34% 40.64%-0.22 +8.8 3
2002-04-28 @ Haka L 1-260.7 1560 1476 40.64% 28.34% 31.02%+0.22 -8.8 0
2002-04-28 Jaro L 0-146.5 1357 1354 43.26% 28.13% 28.62%+0.34 -9.8 0
2002-04-28 @ FC Jazz W 1-046.5 1354 1357 28.62% 28.13% 43.26%-0.34 +9.8 3
2002-04-28 KuPS W 2-038.2 1491 1375 57.14% 25.21% 17.65%+1.05 +8.9 3
2002-04-28 @ MyPa L 0-238.2 1375 1491 17.65% 25.21% 57.14%-1.05 -8.9 0
2002-04-28 Lahti W 3-037.5 1390 1375 44.85% 27.95% 27.20%+0.41 +19.0 3
2002-04-28 @ Inter Turku L 0-337.5 1375 1390 27.20% 27.95% 44.85%-0.41 -19.0 0
2002-04-28 Tampere United D 1-157.5 1403 1455 35.48% 28.50% 36.03%-0.01 +0.0 1
2002-04-28 @ VPS D 1-157.5 1455 1403 36.03% 28.50% 35.48%+0.01 -0.0 1
2002-05-01 Allianssi D 0-052.0 1455 1332 57.94% 24.94% 17.12%+1.10 -2.3 2
2002-05-01 @ Tampere United D 0-052.0 1332 1455 17.12% 24.94% 57.94%-1.10 +2.3 4
2002-05-01 FC Jazz W 1-039.6 1552 1348 66.26% 21.54% 12.21%+1.61 +3.2 3
2002-05-01 @ HJK L 0-139.6 1348 1552 12.21% 21.54% 66.26%-1.61 -3.2 0
2002-05-01 Inter Turku D 0-049.9 1319 1409 30.26% 28.29% 41.46%-0.26 +0.6 1
2002-05-01 @ Hameenlinna D 0-049.9 1409 1319 41.46% 28.29% 30.26%+0.26 -0.6 4
2002-05-01 Jaro D 0-049.8 1356 1364 41.76% 28.26% 29.97%+0.27 -0.6 1
2002-05-01 @ Lahti D 0-049.8 1364 1356 29.97% 28.26% 41.76%-0.27 +0.6 4
2002-05-01 MyPa D 1-159.0 1403 1500 29.54% 28.22% 42.24%-0.29 +0.6 2
2002-05-01 @ VPS D 1-159.0 1500 1403 42.24% 28.22% 29.54%+0.29 -0.6 4
2002-05-04 Haka W 2-155.5 1366 1485 26.88% 27.90% 45.21%-0.43 +9.6 3
2002-05-04 @ KuPS L 1-255.5 1485 1366 45.21% 27.90% 26.88%+0.43 -9.6 3
2002-05-08 Hameenlinna D 1-154.4 1364 1319 48.76% 27.35% 23.89%+0.60 -1.2 5
2002-05-08 @ Jaro D 1-154.4 1319 1364 23.89% 27.35% 48.76%-0.60 +1.2 2
2002-05-08 HJK W 3-049.5 1499 1555 34.97% 28.49% 36.54%-0.03 +23.7 7
2002-05-08 @ MyPa L 0-349.5 1555 1499 36.54% 28.49% 34.97%+0.03 -23.7 3
2002-05-08 KuPS W 4-250.0 1335 1376 37.09% 28.48% 34.43%+0.06 +12.1 7
2002-05-08 @ Allianssi L 2-450.0 1376 1335 34.43% 28.48% 37.09%-0.06 -12.1 3
2002-05-08 Lahti L 0-152.2 1475 1356 57.53% 25.08% 17.39%+1.07 -12.4 3
2002-05-08 @ Haka W 1-052.2 1356 1475 17.39% 25.08% 57.53%-1.07 +12.4 4
2002-05-08 Tampere United L 0-147.8 1409 1453 36.60% 28.49% 34.91%+0.04 -8.7 4
2002-05-08 @ Inter Turku W 1-047.8 1453 1409 34.91% 28.49% 36.60%-0.04 +8.7 5
2002-05-08 VPS W 2-042.3 1344 1404 34.44% 28.48% 37.08%-0.06 +16.5 3
2002-05-08 @ FC Jazz L 0-242.3 1404 1344 37.08% 28.48% 34.44%+0.06 -16.5 2
2002-05-13 FC Jazz D 0-052.6 1462 1361 55.47% 25.73% 18.80%+0.96 -2.0 6
2002-05-13 @ Tampere United D 0-052.6 1361 1462 18.80% 25.73% 55.47%-0.96 +2.0 4
2002-05-13 Haka L 0-141.9 1320 1463 24.27% 27.43% 48.29%-0.58 -6.3 2
2002-05-13 @ Hameenlinna W 1-041.9 1463 1320 48.29% 27.43% 24.27%+0.58 +6.3 6
2002-05-13 HJK L 0-144.2 1368 1531 22.17% 26.91% 50.92%-0.71 -5.8 4
2002-05-13 @ Lahti W 1-044.2 1531 1368 50.92% 26.91% 22.17%+0.71 +5.8 6
2002-05-13 Inter Turku D 2-261.4 1387 1400 41.06% 28.31% 30.62%+0.24 -0.4 3
2002-05-13 @ VPS D 2-261.4 1400 1387 30.62% 28.31% 41.06%-0.24 +0.4 5
2002-05-13 Jaro D 2-260.3 1364 1363 42.84% 28.17% 28.99%+0.32 -0.5 4
2002-05-13 @ KuPS D 2-260.3 1363 1364 28.99% 28.17% 42.84%-0.32 +0.5 6
2002-05-13 MyPa L 2-353.1 1347 1523 20.98% 26.55% 52.48%-0.79 -5.0 7
2002-05-13 @ Allianssi W 3-253.1 1523 1347 52.48% 26.55% 20.98%+0.79 +5.0 10
2002-05-16 Hameenlinna W 4-137.3 1537 1314 68.03% 20.67% 11.30%+1.73 +6.8 9
2002-05-16 @ HJK L 1-437.3 1314 1537 11.30% 20.67% 68.03%-1.73 -6.8 2
2002-05-19 Allianssi W 1-040.5 1400 1342 50.44% 27.02% 22.55%+0.69 +5.9 8
2002-05-19 @ Inter Turku L 0-140.5 1342 1400 22.55% 27.02% 50.44%-0.69 -5.9 7
2002-05-19 Lahti W 3-142.9 1528 1362 62.45% 23.23% 14.32%+1.36 +6.2 13
2002-05-19 @ MyPa L 1-342.9 1362 1528 14.32% 23.23% 62.45%-1.36 -6.2 4
2002-05-19 Tampere United W 2-045.3 1364 1460 29.58% 28.23% 42.19%-0.29 +18.2 9
2002-05-19 @ Jaro L 0-245.3 1460 1364 42.19% 28.23% 29.58%+0.29 -18.1 6
2002-05-19 VPS W 2-147.7 1469 1387 53.24% 26.36% 20.41%+0.84 +5.1 9
2002-05-19 @ Haka L 1-247.7 1387 1469 20.41% 26.36% 53.24%-0.84 -5.1 3
2002-05-20 KuPS D 2-260.3 1363 1363 42.78% 28.17% 29.04%+0.32 -0.5 5
2002-05-20 @ FC Jazz D 2-260.3 1363 1363 29.04% 28.17% 42.78%-0.32 +0.5 5
2002-05-26 Allianssi L 0-148.1 1382 1336 48.86% 27.33% 23.81%+0.61 -10.8 3
2002-05-26 @ VPS W 1-048.1 1336 1382 23.81% 27.33% 48.86%-0.61 +10.8 10
2002-05-26 FC Jazz W 2-146.2 1474 1362 56.67% 25.36% 17.97%+1.02 +4.5 12
2002-05-26 @ Haka L 1-246.2 1362 1474 17.97% 25.36% 56.67%-1.02 -4.5 5
2002-05-26 Inter Turku D 1-161.3 1534 1406 58.44% 24.77% 16.79%+1.12 -2.1 14
2002-05-26 @ MyPa D 1-161.3 1406 1534 16.79% 24.77% 58.44%-1.12 +2.1 9
2002-05-26 KuPS W 2-148.3 1356 1364 41.77% 28.26% 29.97%+0.27 +7.0 7
2002-05-26 @ Lahti L 1-248.3 1364 1356 29.97% 28.26% 41.77%-0.27 -7.0 5
2002-05-27 Jaro W 4-247.8 1544 1382 62.06% 23.39% 14.54%+1.34 +5.7 12
2002-05-27 @ HJK L 2-447.8 1382 1544 14.54% 23.39% 62.06%-1.34 -5.7 9
2002-05-27 Tampere United D 1-155.3 1307 1442 25.11% 27.60% 47.29%-0.53 +1.0 3
2002-05-27 @ Hameenlinna D 1-155.3 1442 1307 47.29% 27.60% 25.11%+0.53 -1.0 7
2002-05-30 Haka L 0-145.2 1376 1479 28.81% 28.15% 43.04%-0.33 -7.2 9
2002-05-30 @ Jaro W 1-045.2 1479 1376 43.04% 28.15% 28.81%+0.33 +7.2 15
2002-05-30 HJK D 1-162.1 1441 1549 28.02% 28.06% 43.93%-0.37 +0.7 8
2002-05-30 @ Tampere United D 1-162.1 1549 1441 43.93% 28.06% 28.02%+0.37 -0.7 13
2002-05-30 Inter Turku L 0-540.1 1358 1408 35.70% 28.50% 35.80%+0.00 -37.5 5
2002-05-30 @ FC Jazz W 5-040.1 1408 1358 35.80% 28.50% 35.70%+0.00 +37.5 12
2002-05-30 Lahti W 2-039.8 1347 1363 40.57% 28.35% 31.09%+0.21 +14.5 13
2002-05-30 @ Allianssi L 0-239.8 1363 1347 31.09% 28.35% 40.57%-0.21 -14.5 7
2002-05-30 MyPa D 0-053.3 1308 1532 17.12% 24.95% 57.93%-1.09 +2.3 4
2002-05-30 @ Hameenlinna D 0-053.3 1532 1308 57.93% 24.95% 17.12%+1.09 -2.3 15
2002-05-30 VPS L 0-243.0 1356 1371 40.80% 28.33% 30.87%+0.23 -17.7 5
2002-05-30 @ KuPS W 2-043.0 1371 1356 30.87% 28.33% 40.80%-0.23 +17.7 6
2002-06-02 FC Jazz L 1-356.8 1530 1320 66.75% 21.30% 11.95%+1.64 -22.7 15
2002-06-02 @ MyPa W 3-156.8 1320 1530 11.95% 21.30% 66.75%-1.64 +22.7 8
2002-06-02 Hameenlinna W 2-144.7 1389 1311 52.80% 26.47% 20.73%+0.81 +5.2 9
2002-06-02 @ VPS L 1-244.7 1311 1389 20.73% 26.47% 52.80%-0.81 -5.2 4
2002-06-02 Jaro W 3-143.7 1446 1369 52.65% 26.50% 20.84%+0.80 +9.0 15
2002-06-02 @ Inter Turku L 1-343.7 1369 1446 20.84% 26.50% 52.65%-0.80 -9.0 9
2002-06-02 Tampere United L 0-240.9 1348 1441 29.98% 28.26% 41.76%-0.27 -14.1 7
2002-06-02 @ Lahti W 2-040.9 1441 1348 41.76% 28.26% 29.98%+0.27 +14.1 11
2002-06-03 Allianssi W 4-034.9 1486 1361 58.11% 24.88% 17.00%+1.11 +16.3 18
2002-06-03 @ Haka L 0-434.9 1361 1486 17.00% 24.88% 58.11%-1.11 -16.3 13
2002-06-06 FC Jazz W 3-038.1 1305 1343 37.57% 28.48% 33.96%+0.08 +22.5 7
2002-06-06 @ Hameenlinna L 0-338.1 1343 1305 33.96% 28.48% 37.57%-0.08 -22.5 8
2002-06-06 Haka D 2-266.3 1455 1502 36.28% 28.49% 35.23%+0.02 -0.0 12
2002-06-06 @ Tampere United D 2-266.3 1502 1455 35.23% 28.49% 36.28%-0.02 +0.0 19
2002-06-06 HJK D 2-265.0 1345 1549 18.62% 25.65% 55.73%-0.97 +1.4 14
2002-06-06 @ Allianssi D 2-265.0 1549 1345 55.73% 25.65% 18.62%+0.97 -1.4 14
2002-06-06 Inter Turku D 0-051.3 1339 1455 27.15% 27.94% 44.91%-0.42 +0.9 6
2002-06-06 @ KuPS D 0-051.3 1455 1339 44.91% 27.94% 27.15%+0.42 -0.9 16
2002-06-06 MyPa L 0-338.8 1360 1507 23.78% 27.32% 48.90%-0.61 -17.0 9
2002-06-06 @ Jaro W 3-038.8 1507 1360 48.90% 27.32% 23.78%+0.61 +17.0 18
2002-06-06 VPS D 0-049.9 1334 1394 34.43% 28.48% 37.09%-0.06 +0.1 8
2002-06-06 @ Lahti D 0-049.9 1394 1334 37.09% 28.48% 34.43%+0.06 -0.1 10
2002-06-10 MyPa D 1-165.2 1547 1524 45.94% 27.81% 26.25%+0.47 -0.9 15
2002-06-10 @ HJK D 1-165.2 1524 1547 26.25% 27.81% 45.94%-0.47 +0.9 19
2002-06-13 FC Jazz W 3-251.4 1335 1321 44.69% 27.97% 27.34%+0.41 +6.2 11
2002-06-13 @ Lahti L 2-351.4 1321 1335 27.34% 27.97% 44.69%-0.41 -6.2 8
2002-06-13 Haka W 1-050.6 1454 1502 36.08% 28.50% 35.43%+0.01 +8.5 19
2002-06-13 @ Inter Turku L 0-150.6 1502 1454 35.43% 28.50% 36.08%-0.01 -8.4 19
2002-06-13 HJK L 0-242.9 1394 1546 23.21% 27.19% 49.60%-0.65 -11.5 10
2002-06-13 @ VPS W 2-042.9 1546 1394 49.60% 27.19% 23.21%+0.65 +11.5 18
2002-06-13 Jaro W 1-041.9 1346 1343 43.25% 28.13% 28.63%+0.34 +7.2 17
2002-06-13 @ Allianssi L 0-141.9 1343 1346 28.63% 28.13% 43.25%-0.34 -7.2 9
2002-06-13 KuPS W 2-147.8 1328 1340 41.19% 28.31% 30.50%+0.24 +7.1 10
2002-06-13 @ Hameenlinna L 1-247.8 1340 1328 30.50% 28.31% 41.19%-0.24 -7.1 6
2002-06-13 Tampere United D 0-057.4 1525 1455 51.75% 26.72% 21.53%+0.76 -1.6 20
2002-06-13 @ MyPa D 0-057.4 1455 1525 21.53% 26.72% 51.75%-0.76 +1.6 13
2002-06-16 Inter Turku W 1-047.4 1558 1463 54.82% 25.92% 19.26%+0.92 +5.1 21
2002-06-16 @ HJK L 0-147.4 1463 1558 19.26% 25.92% 54.82%-0.92 -5.1 19
2002-06-16 Tampere United L 0-142.7 1333 1457 26.20% 27.80% 46.01%-0.47 -6.7 6
2002-06-16 @ KuPS W 1-042.7 1457 1333 46.01% 27.80% 26.20%+0.47 +6.7 16
2002-06-16 VPS W 2-149.9 1336 1382 36.28% 28.49% 35.22%+0.02 +7.9 12
2002-06-16 @ Jaro L 1-249.9 1382 1336 35.22% 28.49% 36.28%-0.02 -7.9 10
2002-06-17 Allianssi L 0-144.3 1314 1353 37.36% 28.48% 34.16%+0.07 -8.8 8
2002-06-17 @ FC Jazz W 1-044.3 1353 1314 34.16% 28.48% 37.36%-0.07 +8.8 20
2002-06-17 MyPa L 1-356.3 1494 1523 38.71% 28.44% 32.85%+0.13 -14.7 19
2002-06-17 @ Haka W 3-156.3 1523 1494 32.85% 28.44% 38.71%-0.13 +14.7 23
2002-06-19 Hameenlinna D 2-259.7 1341 1335 43.58% 28.09% 28.32%+0.35 -0.5 12
2002-06-19 @ Lahti D 2-259.7 1335 1341 28.32% 28.09% 43.58%-0.35 +0.5 11
2002-06-26 MyPa W 2-158.5 1326 1538 17.98% 25.37% 56.66%-1.02 +11.5 9
2002-06-26 @ KuPS L 1-258.5 1538 1326 56.66% 25.37% 17.98%+1.02 -11.5 23
2002-06-27 Allianssi D 2-259.8 1336 1362 39.12% 28.42% 32.46%+0.15 -0.2 12
2002-06-27 @ Hameenlinna D 2-259.8 1362 1336 32.46% 28.42% 39.12%-0.15 +0.2 21
2002-06-27 FC Jazz W 2-037.0 1344 1306 47.85% 27.51% 24.64%+0.56 +12.0 15
2002-06-27 @ Jaro L 0-237.0 1306 1344 24.64% 27.51% 47.85%-0.56 -12.0 8
2002-06-27 Haka L 0-353.5 1563 1479 53.50% 26.28% 20.21%+0.85 -31.9 21
2002-06-27 @ HJK W 3-053.5 1479 1563 20.21% 26.28% 53.50%-0.85 +31.9 22
2002-06-27 Inter Turku L 0-240.1 1340 1457 27.03% 27.93% 45.04%-0.42 -13.0 12
2002-06-27 @ Lahti W 2-040.1 1457 1340 45.04% 27.93% 27.03%+0.42 +13.0 22
2002-06-27 VPS W 2-147.0 1464 1374 54.11% 26.12% 19.77%+0.88 +5.0 19
2002-06-27 @ Tampere United L 1-247.0 1374 1464 19.77% 26.12% 54.11%-0.88 -5.0 10
2002-07-04 Hameenlinna W 4-138.8 1470 1335 59.24% 24.48% 16.27%+1.17 +10.1 25
2002-07-04 @ Inter Turku L 1-438.8 1335 1470 16.27% 24.48% 59.24%-1.17 -10.1 12
2002-07-04 HJK L 0-236.4 1294 1531 16.14% 24.40% 59.46%-1.18 -8.2 8
2002-07-04 @ FC Jazz W 2-036.4 1531 1294 59.46% 24.40% 16.14%+1.18 +8.1 24
2002-07-04 Lahti L 0-342.0 1356 1327 46.61% 27.71% 25.68%+0.50 -28.5 15
2002-07-04 @ Jaro W 3-042.0 1327 1356 25.68% 27.71% 46.61%-0.50 +28.5 15
2002-07-04 Tampere United D 1-156.9 1362 1469 28.32% 28.09% 43.59%-0.35 +0.7 22
2002-07-04 @ Allianssi D 1-156.9 1469 1362 43.59% 28.09% 28.32%+0.35 -0.7 20
2002-07-04 VPS W 3-035.9 1526 1369 61.56% 23.60% 14.85%+1.31 +10.8 26
2002-07-04 @ MyPa L 0-335.9 1369 1526 14.85% 23.60% 61.56%-1.31 -10.8 10
2002-07-07 Allianssi W 4-037.7 1337 1363 39.24% 28.42% 32.34%+0.15 +28.3 12
2002-07-07 @ KuPS L 0-437.7 1363 1337 32.34% 28.42% 39.24%-0.15 -28.3 22
2002-07-07 FC Jazz L 1-253.6 1359 1285 52.21% 26.61% 21.18%+0.78 -10.8 10
2002-07-07 @ VPS W 2-153.6 1285 1359 21.18% 26.61% 52.21%-0.78 +10.8 11
2002-07-07 Jaro L 0-145.7 1325 1327 42.54% 28.20% 29.26%+0.31 -9.7 12
2002-07-07 @ Hameenlinna W 1-045.7 1327 1325 29.26% 28.20% 42.54%-0.31 +9.7 18
2002-07-08 Inter Turku W 3-043.8 1468 1480 41.11% 28.31% 30.58%+0.24 +20.8 23
2002-07-08 @ Tampere United L 0-343.8 1480 1468 30.58% 28.31% 41.11%-0.24 -20.8 25
2002-07-10 KuPS W 4-035.1 1539 1366 63.26% 22.89% 13.85%+1.42 +13.2 27
2002-07-10 @ HJK L 0-435.1 1366 1539 13.85% 22.89% 63.26%-1.42 -13.2 12
2002-07-14 KuPS D 0-049.4 1337 1352 40.67% 28.34% 30.99%+0.22 -0.5 19
2002-07-14 @ Jaro D 0-049.4 1352 1337 30.99% 28.34% 40.67%-0.22 +0.5 13
2002-07-14 Lahti L 0-156.0 1552 1356 65.54% 21.87% 12.59%+1.56 -13.7 27
2002-07-14 @ HJK W 1-056.0 1356 1552 12.59% 21.87% 65.54%-1.56 +13.7 18
2002-07-14 Tampere United W 1-050.5 1296 1489 19.53% 26.03% 54.44%-0.90 +11.8 14
2002-07-14 @ FC Jazz L 0-150.5 1489 1296 54.44% 26.03% 19.53%+0.90 -11.8 23
2002-07-14 VPS W 5-137.9 1460 1348 56.69% 25.36% 17.96%+1.02 +14.3 28
2002-07-14 @ Inter Turku L 1-537.9 1348 1460 17.96% 25.36% 56.69%-1.02 -14.3 10
2002-07-15 Allianssi W 4-033.3 1537 1335 66.10% 21.61% 12.29%+1.60 +11.5 29
2002-07-15 @ MyPa L 0-433.3 1335 1537 12.29% 21.61% 66.10%-1.60 -11.5 22
2002-07-18 Hameenlinna D 1-158.6 1511 1316 65.40% 21.94% 12.66%+1.55 -2.7 23
2002-07-18 @ Haka D 1-158.6 1316 1511 12.66% 21.94% 65.40%-1.55 +2.7 13
2002-07-21 FC Jazz W 7-136.9 1353 1308 48.73% 27.35% 23.92%+0.60 +26.9 16
2002-07-21 @ KuPS L 1-736.9 1308 1353 23.92% 27.35% 48.73%-0.60 -26.9 14
2002-07-21 Haka L 0-142.0 1334 1508 21.11% 26.59% 52.30%-0.79 -5.6 10
2002-07-21 @ VPS W 1-042.0 1508 1334 52.30% 26.59% 21.11%+0.79 +5.6 26
2002-07-21 Inter Turku W 2-046.5 1323 1474 23.40% 27.23% 49.37%-0.63 +20.6 25
2002-07-21 @ Allianssi L 0-246.5 1474 1323 49.37% 27.23% 23.40%+0.63 -20.6 28
2002-07-21 Jaro D 1-157.6 1477 1336 59.83% 24.27% 15.90%+1.21 -2.2 24
2002-07-21 @ Tampere United D 1-157.6 1336 1477 15.90% 24.27% 59.83%-1.21 +2.2 20
2002-07-21 MyPa W 2-159.4 1369 1549 20.68% 26.45% 52.87%-0.82 +10.9 21
2002-07-21 @ Lahti L 1-259.4 1549 1369 52.87% 26.45% 20.68%+0.82 -10.9 29
2002-07-22 HJK L 0-140.9 1318 1539 17.35% 25.06% 57.59%-1.08 -4.7 13
2002-07-22 @ Hameenlinna W 1-040.9 1539 1318 57.59% 25.06% 17.35%+1.08 +4.6 30
2002-07-24 Haka D 0-054.1 1380 1514 25.21% 27.62% 47.17%-0.53 +1.2 22
2002-07-24 @ Lahti D 0-054.1 1514 1380 47.17% 27.62% 25.21%+0.53 -1.2 27
2002-07-25 HJK L 0-436.6 1339 1543 18.55% 25.63% 55.82%-0.98 -17.8 20
2002-07-25 @ Jaro W 4-036.6 1543 1339 55.82% 25.63% 18.55%+0.98 +17.7 33
2002-08-01 Haka L 0-333.9 1281 1513 16.55% 24.64% 58.81%-1.15 -12.1 14
2002-08-01 @ FC Jazz W 3-033.9 1513 1281 58.81% 24.64% 16.55%+1.15 +12.2 30
2002-08-01 Lahti L 1-252.7 1380 1381 42.60% 28.19% 29.21%+0.31 -9.1 16
2002-08-01 @ KuPS W 2-152.7 1381 1380 29.21% 28.19% 42.60%-0.31 +9.1 25
2002-08-01 MyPa D 1-162.1 1453 1538 31.06% 28.35% 40.60%-0.22 +0.4 29
2002-08-01 @ Inter Turku D 1-162.1 1538 1453 40.60% 28.35% 31.06%+0.22 -0.4 30
2002-08-01 VPS W 6-138.4 1344 1328 44.95% 27.94% 27.11%+0.42 +25.2 28
2002-08-01 @ Allianssi L 1-638.4 1328 1344 27.11% 27.94% 44.95%-0.42 -25.2 10
2002-08-04 FC Jazz D 0-051.6 1454 1269 64.39% 22.39% 13.21%+1.49 -2.9 30
2002-08-04 @ Inter Turku D 0-051.6 1269 1454 13.21% 22.39% 64.39%-1.49 +2.9 15
2002-08-04 Hameenlinna D 3-368.8 1538 1314 68.11% 20.63% 11.25%+1.73 -1.8 31
2002-08-04 @ MyPa D 3-368.8 1314 1538 11.25% 20.63% 68.11%-1.73 +1.8 14
2002-08-04 KuPS D 0-049.2 1303 1371 33.26% 28.46% 38.29%-0.11 +0.2 11
2002-08-04 @ VPS D 0-049.2 1371 1303 38.29% 28.46% 33.26%+0.11 -0.2 17
2002-08-04 Tampere United W 1-048.3 1561 1475 53.76% 26.22% 20.02%+0.86 +5.3 36
2002-08-04 @ HJK L 0-148.3 1475 1561 20.02% 26.22% 53.76%-0.86 -5.3 24
2002-08-05 Allianssi L 1-253.5 1391 1369 45.69% 27.84% 26.47%+0.45 -9.7 25
2002-08-05 @ Lahti W 2-153.5 1369 1391 26.47% 27.84% 45.69%-0.45 +9.7 31
2002-08-08 Jaro W 2-143.5 1525 1321 66.23% 21.55% 12.22%+1.61 +3.0 33
2002-08-08 @ Haka L 1-243.5 1321 1525 12.22% 21.55% 66.23%-1.61 -3.0 20
2002-08-11 HJK L 0-144.3 1371 1566 19.26% 25.92% 54.81%-0.92 -5.1 17
2002-08-11 @ KuPS W 1-044.3 1566 1371 54.81% 25.92% 19.26%+0.92 +5.1 39
2002-08-11 Inter Turku W 2-045.4 1318 1451 25.25% 27.63% 47.12%-0.52 +19.8 23
2002-08-11 @ Jaro L 0-245.4 1451 1318 47.12% 27.63% 25.25%+0.52 -19.8 30
2002-08-11 Lahti D 1-158.0 1469 1381 54.02% 26.15% 19.83%+0.88 -1.7 25
2002-08-11 @ Tampere United D 1-158.0 1381 1469 19.83% 26.15% 54.02%-0.88 +1.7 26
2002-08-11 MyPa L 0-138.2 1272 1536 14.45% 23.33% 62.22%-1.35 -3.8 15
2002-08-11 @ FC Jazz W 1-038.2 1536 1272 62.22% 23.33% 14.45%+1.35 +3.8 34
2002-08-11 VPS L 2-451.9 1315 1303 44.49% 27.99% 27.52%+0.40 -14.7 14
2002-08-11 @ Hameenlinna W 4-251.9 1303 1315 27.52% 27.99% 44.49%-0.40 +14.7 14
2002-08-12 Haka L 0-339.9 1379 1528 23.57% 27.27% 49.15%-0.62 -16.9 31
2002-08-12 @ Allianssi W 3-039.9 1528 1379 49.15% 27.27% 23.57%+0.62 +16.9 36
2002-08-14 Hameenlinna W 2-034.2 1468 1301 62.59% 23.17% 14.23%+1.37 +7.1 28
2002-08-14 @ Tampere United L 0-234.2 1301 1468 14.23% 23.17% 62.59%-1.37 -7.1 14
2002-08-15 KuPS L 0-155.8 1545 1365 63.82% 22.65% 13.53%+1.45 -13.4 36
2002-08-15 @ Haka W 1-055.8 1365 1545 13.53% 22.65% 63.82%-1.45 +13.4 20
2002-08-18 Allianssi W 2-037.5 1572 1362 66.79% 21.28% 11.93%+1.64 +5.9 42
2002-08-18 @ HJK L 0-237.5 1362 1572 11.93% 21.28% 66.79%-1.64 -5.9 31
2002-08-18 Hameenlinna D 0-048.3 1268 1294 39.25% 28.42% 32.33%+0.16 -0.4 16
2002-08-18 @ FC Jazz D 0-048.3 1294 1268 32.33% 28.42% 39.25%-0.16 +0.3 15
2002-08-18 KuPS D 0-051.9 1431 1379 49.65% 27.18% 23.18%+0.65 -1.4 31
2002-08-18 @ Inter Turku D 0-051.9 1379 1431 23.18% 27.18% 49.65%-0.65 +1.4 21
2002-08-18 Lahti L 0-143.6 1318 1383 33.68% 28.47% 37.86%-0.09 -8.2 14
2002-08-18 @ VPS W 1-043.6 1383 1318 37.86% 28.47% 33.68%+0.09 +8.2 29
2002-08-19 Jaro W 5-137.0 1540 1338 66.04% 21.64% 12.32%+1.59 +9.6 37
2002-08-19 @ MyPa L 1-537.0 1338 1540 12.32% 21.64% 66.04%-1.59 -9.6 23
2002-08-19 Tampere United D 1-163.0 1531 1475 50.13% 27.08% 22.79%+0.67 -1.3 37
2002-08-19 @ Haka D 1-163.0 1475 1531 22.79% 27.08% 50.13%-0.67 +1.3 29
2002-08-24 Haka W 2-157.9 1549 1530 45.40% 27.88% 26.72%+0.44 +6.4 40
2002-08-24 @ MyPa L 1-257.9 1530 1549 26.72% 27.88% 45.40%-0.44 -6.4 37
2002-08-25 FC Jazz W 5-240.1 1356 1268 54.01% 26.15% 19.84%+0.88 +10.6 34
2002-08-25 @ Allianssi L 2-540.1 1268 1356 19.84% 26.15% 54.01%-0.88 -10.6 16
2002-08-25 HJK L 0-148.6 1430 1577 23.70% 27.30% 48.99%-0.62 -6.2 31
2002-08-25 @ Inter Turku W 1-048.6 1577 1430 48.99% 27.30% 23.70%+0.62 +6.2 45
2002-08-25 Jaro W 3-144.7 1309 1328 40.25% 28.37% 31.38%+0.20 +12.6 17
2002-08-25 @ VPS L 1-344.7 1328 1309 31.38% 28.37% 40.25%-0.20 -12.6 23
2002-08-25 Lahti W 2-151.5 1294 1391 29.48% 28.22% 42.30%-0.29 +9.1 18
2002-08-25 @ Hameenlinna L 1-251.5 1391 1294 42.30% 28.22% 29.48%+0.29 -9.1 29
2002-08-26 KuPS W 3-036.7 1476 1380 54.89% 25.90% 19.21%+0.92 +14.0 32
2002-08-26 @ Tampere United L 0-336.7 1380 1476 19.21% 25.90% 54.89%-0.92 -14.0 21
2002-08-31 Allianssi W 3-254.4 1315 1367 35.63% 28.50% 35.88%-0.01 +7.6 26
2002-08-31 @ Jaro L 2-354.4 1367 1315 35.88% 28.50% 35.63%+0.01 -7.6 34
2002-08-31 Hameenlinna W 1-039.3 1366 1303 50.98% 26.90% 22.12%+0.72 +5.8 24
2002-08-31 @ KuPS L 0-139.3 1303 1366 22.12% 26.90% 50.98%-0.72 -5.8 18
2002-09-01 Inter Turku D 0-056.4 1523 1424 55.33% 25.77% 18.89%+0.95 -2.0 38
2002-09-01 @ Haka D 0-056.4 1424 1523 18.89% 25.77% 55.33%-0.95 +2.0 32
2002-09-01 Lahti L 1-246.1 1257 1382 26.18% 27.79% 46.03%-0.47 -6.3 16
2002-09-01 @ FC Jazz W 2-146.1 1382 1257 46.03% 27.79% 26.18%+0.47 +6.3 32
2002-09-01 MyPa L 0-153.4 1490 1556 33.63% 28.47% 37.91%-0.10 -8.1 32
2002-09-01 @ Tampere United W 1-053.4 1556 1490 37.91% 28.47% 33.63%+0.10 +8.2 43
2002-09-02 VPS W 2-035.1 1584 1322 71.49% 18.88% 9.63%+1.97 +4.6 48
2002-09-02 @ HJK L 0-235.1 1322 1584 9.63% 18.88% 71.49%-1.97 -4.6 17

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-09-14 Lahti W 1-042.2 1564 1388 63.47% 22.80% 13.73%+1.43 +3.6 3
2002-09-14 @ MyPa L 0-142.2 1388 1564 13.73% 22.80% 63.47%-1.43 -3.6 0
2002-09-16 Inter Turku W 1-046.3 1359 1426 33.45% 28.46% 38.09%-0.10 +8.9 3
2002-09-16 @ Allianssi L 0-146.3 1426 1359 38.09% 28.46% 33.45%+0.10 -8.9 0
2002-09-16 Jaro W 2-035.2 1588 1323 71.80% 18.71% 9.49%+1.99 +4.5 3
2002-09-16 @ HJK L 0-235.2 1323 1588 9.49% 18.71% 71.80%-1.99 -4.5 0
2002-09-16 Tampere United D 1-162.8 1521 1482 48.00% 27.48% 24.52%+0.57 -1.1 1
2002-09-16 @ Haka D 1-162.8 1482 1521 24.52% 27.48% 48.00%-0.57 +1.1 1
2002-09-21 Haka L 2-549.9 1417 1520 28.64% 28.13% 43.23%-0.34 -14.4 0
2002-09-21 @ Inter Turku W 5-249.9 1520 1417 43.23% 28.13% 28.64%+0.34 +14.4 4
2002-09-22 HJK L 0-540.2 1384 1593 18.27% 25.50% 56.23%-1.00 -21.5 0
2002-09-22 @ Lahti W 5-040.2 1593 1384 56.23% 25.50% 18.27%+1.00 +21.5 6
2002-09-23 Jaro L 0-147.8 1368 1319 49.26% 27.25% 23.48%+0.63 -10.9 3
2002-09-23 @ Allianssi W 1-047.8 1319 1368 23.48% 27.25% 49.26%-0.63 +10.9 3
2002-09-23 MyPa D 0-059.5 1483 1567 31.10% 28.35% 40.55%-0.21 +0.5 2
2002-09-23 @ Tampere United D 0-059.5 1567 1483 40.55% 28.35% 31.10%+0.21 -0.5 4
2002-09-28 Tampere United W 3-259.3 1614 1484 58.76% 24.66% 16.59%+1.14 +4.0 9
2002-09-28 @ HJK L 2-359.3 1484 1614 16.59% 24.66% 58.76%-1.14 -4.0 2
2002-09-29 Lahti W 4-143.2 1329 1363 38.17% 28.46% 33.37%+0.11 +18.7 6
2002-09-29 @ Jaro L 1-443.2 1363 1329 33.37% 28.46% 38.17%-0.11 -18.7 0
2002-09-30 Allianssi W 2-145.7 1535 1357 63.68% 22.71% 13.61%+1.44 +3.4 7
2002-09-30 @ Haka L 1-245.7 1357 1535 13.61% 22.71% 63.68%-1.44 -3.4 3
2002-09-30 Inter Turku W 2-040.1 1567 1402 62.36% 23.27% 14.37%+1.36 +7.2 7
2002-09-30 @ MyPa L 0-240.1 1402 1567 14.37% 23.27% 62.36%-1.36 -7.2 0
2002-10-05 MyPa L 0-338.1 1354 1574 17.34% 25.06% 57.60%-1.08 -12.7 3
2002-10-05 @ Allianssi W 3-038.1 1574 1354 57.60% 25.06% 17.34%+1.08 +12.7 10
2002-10-06 Tampere United W 3-152.2 1348 1480 25.41% 27.66% 46.93%-0.51 +17.1 9
2002-10-06 @ Jaro L 1-352.2 1480 1348 46.93% 27.66% 25.41%+0.51 -17.1 2
2002-10-07 Haka L 0-437.0 1344 1538 19.42% 25.99% 54.59%-0.91 -18.5 0
2002-10-07 @ Lahti W 4-037.0 1538 1344 54.59% 25.99% 19.42%+0.91 +18.5 10
2002-10-07 HJK L 0-146.2 1395 1618 17.15% 24.96% 57.89%-1.09 -4.6 0
2002-10-07 @ Inter Turku W 1-046.2 1618 1395 57.89% 24.96% 17.15%+1.09 +4.6 12
2002-10-19 Allianssi W 1-039.7 1623 1341 73.22% 17.93% 8.85%+2.10 +2.2 15
2002-10-19 @ HJK L 0-139.7 1341 1623 8.85% 17.93% 73.22%-2.10 -2.2 3
2002-10-19 Haka W 5-361.5 1587 1557 46.83% 27.68% 25.50%+0.51 +9.1 13
2002-10-19 @ MyPa L 3-561.5 1557 1587 25.50% 27.68% 46.83%-0.51 -9.1 10
2002-10-19 Lahti D 1-157.0 1463 1326 59.46% 24.40% 16.14%+1.18 -2.2 3
2002-10-19 @ Tampere United D 1-157.0 1326 1463 16.14% 24.40% 59.46%-1.18 +2.2 1
2002-10-20 Inter Turku D 1-155.1 1365 1390 39.33% 28.41% 32.26%+0.16 -0.3 10
2002-10-20 @ Jaro D 1-155.1 1390 1365 32.26% 28.41% 39.33%-0.16 +0.3 1
2002-10-23 HJK D 1-168.1 1548 1625 31.99% 28.40% 39.61%-0.17 +0.3 11
2002-10-23 @ Haka D 1-168.1 1625 1548 39.61% 28.40% 31.99%+0.17 -0.3 16
2002-10-23 Jaro W 1-041.0 1596 1365 68.77% 20.30% 10.93%+1.78 +2.8 16
2002-10-23 @ MyPa L 0-141.0 1365 1596 10.93% 20.30% 68.77%-1.78 -2.8 10
2002-10-23 Lahti W 1-041.3 1339 1328 44.28% 28.02% 27.70%+0.39 +7.0 6
2002-10-23 @ Allianssi L 0-141.3 1328 1339 27.70% 28.02% 44.28%-0.39 -7.0 1
2002-10-23 Tampere United L 0-243.3 1391 1460 33.02% 28.45% 38.53%-0.12 -15.2 1
2002-10-23 @ Inter Turku W 2-043.3 1460 1391 38.53% 28.45% 33.02%+0.12 +15.2 6
2002-10-26 Allianssi D 1-157.7 1476 1346 58.69% 24.68% 16.63%+1.14 -2.1 7
2002-10-26 @ Tampere United D 1-157.7 1346 1476 16.63% 24.68% 58.69%-1.14 +2.1 7
2002-10-26 Inter Turku L 0-240.9 1321 1376 35.10% 28.49% 36.41%-0.03 -15.8 1
2002-10-26 @ Lahti W 2-040.9 1376 1321 36.41% 28.49% 35.10%+0.03 +15.8 4
2002-10-26 Jaro W 4-246.5 1548 1362 64.48% 22.36% 13.17%+1.49 +5.1 14
2002-10-26 @ Haka L 2-446.5 1362 1548 13.17% 22.36% 64.48%-1.49 -5.1 10
2002-10-26 MyPa D 2-275.0 1625 1599 46.27% 27.76% 25.97%+0.48 -0.7 17
2002-10-26 @ HJK D 2-275.0 1599 1625 25.97% 27.76% 46.27%-0.48 +0.7 17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-06-02 11.95% FC Jazz 1320 3 @ MyPa 1530 1
2 2002-07-14 12.59% Lahti 1356 1 @ HJK 1552 0
3 2002-08-15 13.53% KuPS 1365 1 @ Haka 1545 0
4 2002-05-08 17.39% Lahti 1356 1 @ Haka 1475 0
5 2002-06-26 17.98% @ KuPS 1326 2 MyPa 1538 1
6 2002-07-14 19.53% @ FC Jazz 1296 1 Tampere United 1489 0
7 2002-06-27 20.21% Haka 1479 3 @ HJK 1563 0
8 2002-07-21 20.68% @ Lahti 1369 2 MyPa 1549 1
9 2002-07-07 21.18% FC Jazz 1285 2 @ VPS 1359 1
10 2002-07-21 23.40% @ Allianssi 1323 2 Inter Turku 1474 0
11 2002-09-23 23.48% Jaro 1319 1 @ Allianssi 1368 0
12 2002-05-26 23.81% Allianssi 1336 1 @ VPS 1382 0
13 2002-08-11 25.25% @ Jaro 1318 2 Inter Turku 1451 0
14 2002-10-06 25.41% @ Jaro 1348 3 Tampere United 1480 1
15 2002-07-04 25.68% Lahti 1327 3 @ Jaro 1356 0
16 2002-08-05 26.47% Allianssi 1369 2 @ Lahti 1391 1
17 2002-05-04 26.88% @ KuPS 1366 2 Haka 1485 1
18 2002-08-11 27.52% VPS 1303 4 @ Hameenlinna 1315 2
19 2002-04-28 28.62% Jaro 1354 1 @ FC Jazz 1357 0
20 2002-08-01 29.21% Lahti 1381 2 @ KuPS 1380 1
21 2002-07-07 29.26% Jaro 1327 1 @ Hameenlinna 1325 0
22 2002-08-25 29.48% @ Hameenlinna 1294 2 Lahti 1391 1
23 2002-05-19 29.58% @ Jaro 1364 2 Tampere United 1460 0
24 2002-05-30 30.87% VPS 1371 2 @ KuPS 1356 0
25 2002-04-28 31.02% @ Haka 1476 2 HJK 1560 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-05-30 37.50 Inter Turku 5 1408 35.80% @ FC Jazz 0 1358 35.70% 28.50%
2 2002-06-27 31.90 Haka 3 1479 20.21% @ HJK 0 1563 53.50% 26.28%
3 2002-07-04 28.52 Lahti 3 1327 25.68% @ Jaro 0 1356 46.61% 27.71%
4 2002-07-07 28.31 @ KuPS 4 1337 39.24% Allianssi 0 1363 32.34% 28.42%
5 2002-07-21 26.93 @ KuPS 7 1353 48.73% FC Jazz 1 1308 23.92% 27.35%
6 2002-08-01 25.23 @ Allianssi 6 1344 44.95% VPS 1 1328 27.11% 27.94%
7 2002-05-08 23.68 @ MyPa 3 1499 34.97% HJK 0 1555 36.54% 28.49%
8 2002-06-02 22.71 FC Jazz 3 1320 11.95% @ MyPa 1 1530 66.75% 21.30%
9 2002-06-06 22.46 @ Hameenlinna 3 1305 37.57% FC Jazz 0 1343 33.96% 28.48%
10 2002-09-22 21.55 HJK 5 1593 56.23% @ Lahti 0 1384 18.27% 25.50%
11 2002-07-08 20.78 @ Tampere United 3 1468 41.11% Inter Turku 0 1480 30.58% 28.31%
12 2002-07-21 20.56 @ Allianssi 2 1323 23.40% Inter Turku 0 1474 49.37% 27.23%
13 2002-08-11 19.81 @ Jaro 2 1318 25.25% Inter Turku 0 1451 47.12% 27.63%
14 2002-04-28 18.97 @ Inter Turku 3 1390 44.85% Lahti 0 1375 27.20% 27.95%
15 2002-09-29 18.70 @ Jaro 4 1329 38.17% Lahti 1 1363 33.37% 28.46%
16 2002-10-07 18.53 Haka 4 1538 54.59% @ Lahti 0 1344 19.42% 25.99%
17 2002-05-19 18.15 @ Jaro 2 1364 29.58% Tampere United 0 1460 42.19% 28.23%
18 2002-07-25 17.75 HJK 4 1543 55.82% @ Jaro 0 1339 18.55% 25.63%
19 2002-05-30 17.69 VPS 2 1371 30.87% @ KuPS 0 1356 40.80% 28.33%
20 2002-10-06 17.10 @ Jaro 3 1348 25.41% Tampere United 1 1480 46.93% 27.66%
21 2002-06-06 16.99 MyPa 3 1507 48.90% @ Jaro 0 1360 23.78% 27.32%
22 2002-08-12 16.87 Haka 3 1528 49.15% @ Allianssi 0 1379 23.57% 27.27%
23 2002-05-08 16.48 @ FC Jazz 2 1344 34.44% VPS 0 1404 37.08% 28.48%
24 2002-06-03 16.30 @ Haka 4 1486 58.11% Allianssi 0 1361 17.00% 24.88%
25 2002-10-26 15.84 Inter Turku 2 1376 36.41% @ Lahti 0 1321 35.10% 28.49%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-10-26 75.0 @ HJK 2 1625 46.27% MyPa 2 1599 25.97% 27.76%
2 2002-08-04 68.8 @ MyPa 3 1538 68.11% Hameenlinna 3 1314 11.25% 20.63%
3 2002-10-23 68.1 @ Haka 1 1548 31.99% HJK 1 1625 39.61% 28.40%
4 2002-06-06 66.3 @ Tampere United 2 1455 36.28% Haka 2 1502 35.23% 28.49%
5 2002-06-10 65.2 @ HJK 1 1547 45.94% MyPa 1 1524 26.25% 27.81%
6 2002-06-06 65.0 @ Allianssi 2 1345 18.62% HJK 2 1549 55.73% 25.65%
7 2002-08-19 63.0 @ Haka 1 1531 50.13% Tampere United 1 1475 22.79% 27.08%
8 2002-09-16 62.8 @ Haka 1 1521 48.00% Tampere United 1 1482 24.52% 27.48%
9 2002-05-30 62.1 @ Tampere United 1 1441 28.02% HJK 1 1549 43.93% 28.06%
10 2002-08-01 62.1 @ Inter Turku 1 1453 31.06% MyPa 1 1538 40.60% 28.35%
11 2002-10-19 61.5 @ MyPa 5 1587 46.83% Haka 3 1557 25.50% 27.68%
12 2002-05-13 61.4 @ VPS 2 1387 41.06% Inter Turku 2 1400 30.62% 28.31%
13 2002-05-26 61.3 @ MyPa 1 1534 58.44% Inter Turku 1 1406 16.79% 24.77%
14 2002-04-28 60.7 @ Haka 2 1476 31.02% HJK 1 1560 40.64% 28.34%
15 2002-05-13 60.3 @ KuPS 2 1364 42.84% Jaro 2 1363 28.99% 28.17%
16 2002-05-20 60.3 @ FC Jazz 2 1363 42.78% KuPS 2 1363 29.04% 28.17%
17 2002-06-27 59.8 @ Hameenlinna 2 1336 39.12% Allianssi 2 1362 32.46% 28.42%
18 2002-06-19 59.7 @ Lahti 2 1341 43.58% Hameenlinna 2 1335 28.32% 28.09%
19 2002-09-23 59.5 @ Tampere United 0 1483 31.10% MyPa 0 1567 40.55% 28.35%
20 2002-07-21 59.4 @ Lahti 2 1369 20.68% MyPa 1 1549 52.87% 26.45%
21 2002-09-28 59.3 @ HJK 3 1614 58.76% Tampere United 2 1484 16.59% 24.66%
22 2002-05-01 59.0 @ VPS 1 1403 29.54% MyPa 1 1500 42.24% 28.22%
23 2002-07-18 58.6 @ Haka 1 1511 65.40% Hameenlinna 1 1316 12.66% 21.94%
24 2002-06-26 58.5 @ KuPS 2 1326 17.98% MyPa 1 1538 56.66% 25.37%
25 2002-08-11 58.0 @ Tampere United 1 1469 54.02% Lahti 1 1381 19.83% 26.15%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-07-15 33.3 @ MyPa 4 1537 66.10% Allianssi 0 1335 12.29% 21.61%
2 2002-08-01 33.9 Haka 3 1513 58.81% @ FC Jazz 0 1281 16.55% 24.64%
3 2002-08-14 34.2 @ Tampere United 2 1468 62.59% Hameenlinna 0 1301 14.23% 23.17%
4 2002-06-03 34.9 @ Haka 4 1486 58.11% Allianssi 0 1361 17.00% 24.88%
5 2002-07-10 35.1 @ HJK 4 1539 63.26% KuPS 0 1366 13.85% 22.89%
6 2002-09-02 35.1 @ HJK 2 1584 71.49% VPS 0 1322 9.63% 18.88%
7 2002-09-16 35.2 @ HJK 2 1588 71.80% Jaro 0 1323 9.49% 18.71%
8 2002-07-04 35.9 @ MyPa 3 1526 61.56% VPS 0 1369 14.85% 23.60%
9 2002-07-04 36.4 HJK 2 1531 59.46% @ FC Jazz 0 1294 16.14% 24.40%
10 2002-07-25 36.6 HJK 4 1543 55.82% @ Jaro 0 1339 18.55% 25.63%
11 2002-08-26 36.7 @ Tampere United 3 1476 54.89% KuPS 0 1380 19.21% 25.90%
12 2002-07-21 36.9 @ KuPS 7 1353 48.73% FC Jazz 1 1308 23.92% 27.35%
13 2002-06-27 37.0 @ Jaro 2 1344 47.85% FC Jazz 0 1306 24.64% 27.51%
14 2002-08-19 37.0 @ MyPa 5 1540 66.04% Jaro 1 1338 12.32% 21.64%
15 2002-10-07 37.0 Haka 4 1538 54.59% @ Lahti 0 1344 19.42% 25.99%
16 2002-05-16 37.3 @ HJK 4 1537 68.03% Hameenlinna 1 1314 11.30% 20.67%
17 2002-04-28 37.5 @ Inter Turku 3 1390 44.85% Lahti 0 1375 27.20% 27.95%
18 2002-08-18 37.5 @ HJK 2 1572 66.79% Allianssi 0 1362 11.93% 21.28%
19 2002-07-07 37.7 @ KuPS 4 1337 39.24% Allianssi 0 1363 32.34% 28.42%
20 2002-07-14 37.9 @ Inter Turku 5 1460 56.69% VPS 1 1348 17.96% 25.36%
21 2002-06-06 38.1 @ Hameenlinna 3 1305 37.57% FC Jazz 0 1343 33.96% 28.48%
22 2002-10-05 38.1 MyPa 3 1574 57.60% @ Allianssi 0 1354 17.34% 25.06%
23 2002-04-28 38.2 @ MyPa 2 1491 57.14% KuPS 0 1375 17.65% 25.21%
24 2002-08-11 38.2 MyPa 1 1536 62.22% @ FC Jazz 0 1272 14.45% 23.33%
25 2002-08-01 38.4 @ Allianssi 6 1344 44.95% VPS 1 1328 27.11% 27.94%