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2007 Veikkausliiga Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Tampere United

54 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 2006

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tampere United

9.88 points above expected

54 points · 44.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

HJK

9.12 points below expected

34 points · 43.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Tampere United Champion 26 16 6 4 54 45 27 +18 44.12 +9.88
2 Haka 26 13 7 6 46 39 23 +16 42.16 +3.84
3 TPS Turku 26 13 4 9 43 43 33 +10 35.62 +7.38
4 Honka 26 10 11 5 41 34 25 +9 38.95 +2.05
5 MyPa Anjalankoski 26 11 7 8 40 29 26 +3 37.21 +2.79
6 Mariehamn 26 9 10 7 37 31 30 +1 34.58 +2.42
7 HJK 26 7 13 6 34 31 25 +6 43.12 -9.12
8 Lahti 26 9 6 11 33 38 34 +4 32.97 +0.03
9 Inter Turku 26 9 6 11 33 32 28 +4 34.85 -1.85
10 VPS 26 7 11 8 32 26 35 -9 30.39 +1.61
11 Jaro 26 7 7 12 28 30 41 -11 30.17 -2.17
12 KooTeePee 26 7 5 14 26 27 38 -11 30.77 -4.77
13 Viikingit 26 5 8 13 23 25 44 -19 28.73 -5.73
14 AC Oulu 26 5 7 14 22 28 49 -21 28.39 -6.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tampere United 54 44.12 +9.88
2 TPS Turku 43 35.62 +7.38
3 Haka 46 42.16 +3.84
4 MyPa Anjalankoski 40 37.21 +2.79
5 Mariehamn 37 34.58 +2.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 HJK 34 43.12 -9.12
2 AC Oulu 22 28.39 -6.39
3 Viikingit 23 28.73 -5.73
4 KooTeePee 26 30.77 -4.77
5 Jaro 28 30.17 -2.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 TPS Turku 4 May 16 – Jun 10 1 in 42
2 Haka 4 Jul 25 – Aug 25 1 in 28
3 Inter Turku 3 Oct 21 – Oct 27 1 in 23
4 Mariehamn 3 Sep 2 – Sep 20 1 in 22
5 Lahti 2 May 3 – May 11 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MyPa Anjalankoski 5 Jul 26 – Sep 3 1 in 235
2 Lahti 3 Jun 29 – Jul 15 1 in 29
3 VPS 4 May 16 – Jun 8 1 in 28
4 Inter Turku 3 May 20 – May 27 1 in 22
5 KooTeePee 3 Aug 4 – Aug 13 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mariehamn 12 Jul 29 – Oct 24 1 in 210
2 VPS 8 Jun 11 – Aug 4 1 in 88
3 MyPa Anjalankoski 8 Sep 16 – Oct 27 1 in 29
4 Honka 9 May 11 – Jul 22 1 in 25
5 HJK 10 May 27 – Aug 25 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HJK 6 May 11 – Jun 10 1 in 40
2 AC Oulu 10 May 20 – Aug 12 1 in 24
3 Haka 5 Sep 27 – Oct 24 1 in 21
4 Honka 5 Sep 24 – Oct 24 1 in 18
5 Mariehamn 7 Jun 13 – Jul 29 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Tampere United 1517 54 -5 7 8.7 -1.7
Haka 1508 46 -2 6 8.9 -2.9
TPS Turku 1422 43 +4 8 7.4 +0.6
Honka 1463 41 +4 6 7.4 -1.4
MyPa Anjalankoski 1439 40 +10 11 7.2 +3.8
Mariehamn 1417 37 +5 10 6.4 +3.6
HJK 1488 34 -2 7 7.8 -0.8
Inter Turku 1412 33 +5 9 6.5 +2.5
Lahti 1402 33 -10 4 6.4 -2.4
VPS 1370 32 +4 6 6.6 -0.6
Jaro 1355 28 +9 6 5.5 +0.5
KooTeePee 1345 26 -18 1 4.7 -3.7
Viikingit 1316 23 -6 5 5.2 -0.2
AC Oulu 1316 22 -8 4 4.5 -0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AO HJK HAK HON IT JAR KOO LAH MAR MA TT TU VPS VII
AC Oulu —
0-1-1
1.67
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
1.80
1-0-1
2.21
2-0-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
1.97
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
1.65
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.62
HJK
1-1-0
3.79
—
1-1-0
2.65
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
3.32
0-2-0
3.58
1-1-0
3.66
0-0-2
3.44
0-2-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.27
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
3.67
0-2-0
3.78
Haka
1-1-0
3.93
0-1-1
2.72
—
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.67
0-1-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
3.47
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.72
2-0-0
3.94
Honka
1-1-0
3.65
1-1-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.39
—
0-1-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.40
0-2-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.86
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.22
1-1-0
3.31
0-1-1
3.40
Inter Turku
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.07
1-1-0
2.40
—
1-0-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-1
2.76
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.05
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.20
Jaro
0-0-2
2.98
0-2-0
1.85
0-0-2
1.93
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.43
—
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
2.32
0-2-0
2.33
0-0-2
2.30
1-1-0
2.12
0-0-2
1.73
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.89
KooTeePee
2-0-0
2.78
0-1-1
1.79
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
2.02
0-0-2
2.35
1-1-0
2.65
—
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
2.46
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.76
Lahti
1-0-1
3.09
2-0-0
1.97
1-1-0
1.97
0-2-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.62
0-0-2
3.06
1-1-0
2.99
—
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.48
0-0-2
2.66
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.16
Mariehamn
1-1-0
3.12
0-2-0
2.17
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.33
2-0-0
2.64
0-2-0
3.06
2-0-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.79
—
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
1.87
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.95
MyPa Anjalankoski
1-1-0
3.45
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.95
—
0-0-2
2.95
1-1-0
2.11
0-1-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.37
TPS Turku
2-0-0
3.20
0-0-2
2.12
1-0-1
1.95
0-0-2
2.49
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
3.29
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
2.44
—
0-0-2
2.11
1-1-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.22
Tampere United
1-0-1
3.83
2-0-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.56
0-1-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.30
—
0-2-0
3.60
1-1-0
3.80
VPS
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
1.78
0-1-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.53
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.22
0-1-1
2.22
0-2-0
1.84
—
0-1-1
3.03
Viikingit
1-1-0
2.76
0-2-0
1.68
0-0-2
1.55
1-1-0
2.02
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.49
0-0-2
2.62
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.05
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
1.66
1-1-0
2.35
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.67 +11.8
Allowed 0.63 -9.1
Differential 0.87 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.44%8.79%6.87%2.75%0.82%1.37%31.04%
18.79%12.64%7.42%3.02%1.37%0.55%33.79%
26.87%7.42%4.40%1.37%0.55%0.27%20.88%
32.75%3.02%1.37%2.20%——9.34%
40.82%1.37%0.55%———2.75%
5+1.37%0.55%0.27%———2.20%
Total31.04%33.79%20.88%9.34%2.75%2.20%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.26 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.78
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%38.46%
13.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%—34.62%
27.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
3———7.69%——7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%26.92%15.38%26.92%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.88 -0.81
SD 1.23 1.42 1.98
CV 1.14 0.76 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%3.85%7.69%———34.62%
17.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
23.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total42.31%26.92%23.08%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 0.96 +0.23
SD 1.27 1.00 1.53
CV 1.06 1.04 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—————7.69%
115.38%15.38%19.23%3.85%——53.85%
211.54%11.54%————23.08%
37.69%——3.85%——11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total46.15%26.92%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.88 +0.62
SD 0.95 0.99 1.44
CV 0.63 1.12 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%3.85%———23.08%
17.69%15.38%7.69%———30.77%
215.38%11.54%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.46%34.62%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 0.96 +0.35
SD 0.93 0.96 1.09
CV 0.71 1.00 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%15.38%———38.46%
17.69%15.38%7.69%———30.77%
27.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total23.08%46.15%30.77%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.08 +0.15
SD 1.45 0.74 1.74
CV 1.18 0.69 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
13.85%11.54%15.38%——3.85%34.62%
27.69%7.69%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
33.85%—————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%30.77%3.85%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.58 -0.42
SD 1.05 1.42 1.88
CV 0.91 0.90 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%——34.62%
111.54%7.69%15.38%3.85%——38.46%
2—7.69%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%26.92%30.77%19.23%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.46 -0.42
SD 1.04 1.07 1.45
CV 1.00 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%7.69%3.85%——34.62%
13.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
27.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%——30.77%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total26.92%34.62%23.08%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.31 +0.15
SD 1.53 1.12 2.11
CV 1.05 0.86 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%3.85%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
13.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
27.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total38.46%23.08%26.92%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.15 +0.04
SD 1.20 1.16 1.56
CV 1.01 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%11.54%3.85%3.85%—3.85%38.46%
115.38%11.54%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
27.69%3.85%————11.54%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total42.31%34.62%11.54%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.00 +0.12
SD 1.24 1.23 1.86
CV 1.11 1.23 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%7.69%——26.92%
111.54%7.69%3.85%7.69%——30.77%
23.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
33.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total34.62%26.92%19.23%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.27 +0.38
SD 1.55 1.22 2.19
CV 0.94 0.96 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
17.69%15.38%——3.85%—26.92%
211.54%26.92%3.85%———42.31%
37.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%53.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.04 +0.69
SD 1.00 0.96 1.52
CV 0.58 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%11.54%———7.69%38.46%
115.38%15.38%3.85%3.85%—3.85%42.31%
2—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total38.46%34.62%7.69%7.69%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.35 -0.35
SD 1.20 1.72 2.15
CV 1.20 1.28 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%11.54%—3.85%3.85%38.46%
17.69%23.08%3.85%—3.85%—38.46%
23.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%46.15%23.08%3.85%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.69 -0.73
SD 1.00 1.32 1.66
CV 1.04 0.78 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Tampere United 1517 54 44.12 +9.88 96.0% 29 33 39 44 49 53 59
Haka 1508 46 42.16 +3.84 76.0% 25 32 38 42 46 52 60
HJK 1488 34 43.12 -9.12 6.0% 33 34 40 43 46 51 56
Honka 1463 41 38.95 +2.05 64.0% 26 28 34 39 44 51 56
MyPa Anjalankoski 1439 40 37.21 +2.79 69.0% 22 25 33 37 41 49 57
TPS Turku 1422 43 35.62 +7.38 89.0% 21 24 32 35 40 47 56
Mariehamn 1417 37 34.58 +2.42 68.0% 20 23 31 35 38 45 50
Inter Turku 1412 33 34.85 -1.85 43.0% 21 25 30 35 39 45 48
Lahti 1402 33 32.97 +0.03 52.0% 20 22 28 33 37 45 49
VPS 1370 32 30.39 +1.61 68.0% 19 20 26 30 33 39 46
Jaro 1355 28 30.17 -2.17 35.0% 18 21 27 30 34 39 43
KooTeePee 1345 26 30.77 -4.77 24.0% 16 20 27 30 35 39 51
Viikingit 1316 23 28.73 -5.73 21.0% 17 19 24 29 32 39 45
AC Oulu 1316 22 28.39 -6.39 16.0% 15 18 24 28 32 38 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.99%
Slight Edge
40.66%29.67%29.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 38.33 Elo pts.
163 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.3
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
32%
Tampere United, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.31/gm
Runaway
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.95 * Some Luck: 4.95 to 7.42 * Lucky: 7.42 to 9.89 * Wild Swing: 9.89 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.11 * Close: 2.11 to 3.16 * Off: 3.16 to 4.22 * Way Off: 4.22 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.18 points
Some Luck
06.1815
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Pinpoint
02.646
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.00%
Tampere United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
6.00%
HJK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 66.48
1.39
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
76%
Even
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Very Even
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.74
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.83
Near-Lock
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Solid Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.25
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Tampere United32.00%24.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%———
Haka17.00%25.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
TPS Turku3.00%8.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%
Honka7.00%10.00%16.00%9.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%4.00%8.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%—
MyPa Anjalankoski9.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%
Mariehamn2.00%—6.00%13.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%6.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%
HJK20.00%17.00%19.00%16.00%11.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%——————
Lahti3.00%3.00%6.00%3.00%5.00%12.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%7.00%
Inter Turku5.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%
VPS—1.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%
Jaro——2.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%5.00%13.00%7.00%14.00%19.00%7.00%13.00%
KooTeePee2.00%1.00%1.00%—6.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%14.00%6.00%14.00%10.00%14.00%
Viikingit——4.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%5.00%8.00%5.00%10.00%11.00%16.00%16.00%20.00%
AC Oulu—2.00%—1.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%13.00%17.00%19.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
HJK 100% — —
Haka 100% — —
Honka 98.00% 2.00% —
Tampere United 100% — —
TPS Turku 92.00% 6.00% 2.00%
Mariehamn 91.00% 6.00% 3.00%
MyPa Anjalankoski 92.00% 5.00% 3.00%
Inter Turku 91.00% 4.00% 5.00%
Lahti 80.00% 13.00% 7.00%
VPS 76.00% 12.00% 12.00%
Jaro 80.00% 7.00% 13.00%
KooTeePee 76.00% 10.00% 14.00%
Viikingit 64.00% 16.00% 20.00%
AC Oulu 60.00% 19.00% 21.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2007-04-21 HJK L 1-346.3 1367 1492 23.85% 29.83% 46.33%-0.53 -5.0 0
2007-04-21 @ KooTeePee W 3-146.3 1492 1367 46.33% 29.83% 23.85%+0.53 +5.0 3
2007-04-21 Tampere United D 1-156.8 1379 1486 25.61% 30.40% 43.99%-0.42 +0.4 1
2007-04-21 @ VPS D 1-156.8 1486 1379 43.99% 30.40% 25.61%+0.42 -0.4 1
2007-04-21 Viikingit D 1-153.5 1360 1360 39.74% 31.13% 29.13%+0.24 -0.2 1
2007-04-21 @ AC Oulu D 1-153.5 1360 1360 29.13% 31.13% 39.74%-0.24 +0.2 1
2007-04-22 Jaro L 1-447.3 1392 1374 42.36% 30.73% 26.91%+0.35 -10.8 0
2007-04-22 @ Lahti W 4-147.3 1374 1392 26.91% 30.73% 42.36%-0.35 +10.8 3
2007-04-22 Mariehamn D 0-050.0 1390 1411 36.80% 31.39% 31.81%+0.11 -0.1 1
2007-04-22 @ TPS Turku D 0-050.0 1411 1390 31.81% 31.39% 36.80%-0.11 +0.1 1
2007-04-22 MyPa Anjalankoski W 2-151.7 1439 1434 40.42% 31.04% 28.54%+0.26 +3.3 3
2007-04-22 @ Honka L 1-251.7 1434 1439 28.54% 31.04% 40.42%-0.26 -3.3 0
2007-04-23 Inter Turku W 1-043.4 1481 1406 50.02% 28.68% 21.31%+0.70 +2.8 3
2007-04-23 @ Haka L 0-143.4 1406 1481 21.31% 28.68% 50.02%-0.70 -2.8 0
2007-04-26 AC Oulu D 0-053.2 1497 1359 57.88% 25.33% 16.79%+1.08 -1.1 4
2007-04-26 @ HJK D 0-053.2 1359 1497 16.79% 25.33% 57.88%-1.08 +1.1 2
2007-04-26 Haka L 1-250.8 1385 1484 26.47% 30.63% 42.90%-0.37 -3.1 3
2007-04-26 @ Jaro W 2-150.8 1484 1385 42.90% 30.63% 26.47%+0.37 +3.1 6
2007-04-26 KooTeePee W 2-146.2 1485 1362 56.14% 26.16% 17.70%+0.99 +2.1 4
2007-04-26 @ Tampere United L 1-246.2 1362 1485 17.70% 26.16% 56.14%-0.99 -2.1 0
2007-04-26 Lahti D 0-050.1 1411 1382 43.88% 30.42% 25.70%+0.42 -0.5 2
2007-04-26 @ Mariehamn D 0-050.1 1382 1411 25.70% 30.42% 43.88%-0.42 +0.4 1
2007-04-26 TPS Turku L 0-246.0 1431 1390 45.37% 30.08% 24.56%+0.48 -9.2 0
2007-04-26 @ MyPa Anjalankoski W 2-046.0 1390 1431 24.56% 30.08% 45.37%-0.48 +9.2 4
2007-04-26 VPS W 5-038.2 1403 1379 43.08% 30.59% 26.33%+0.38 +14.6 3
2007-04-26 @ Inter Turku L 0-538.2 1379 1403 26.33% 30.59% 43.08%-0.38 -14.6 1
2007-04-27 Honka W 3-258.3 1360 1442 28.43% 31.02% 40.55%-0.27 +4.0 4
2007-04-27 @ Viikingit L 2-358.3 1442 1360 40.55% 31.02% 28.43%+0.27 -4.0 3
2007-04-30 Mariehamn D 1-154.7 1381 1411 35.54% 31.44% 33.01%+0.05 -0.1 4
2007-04-30 @ Jaro D 1-154.7 1411 1381 33.01% 31.44% 35.54%-0.05 +0.1 3
2007-05-03 Inter Turku W 2-042.9 1361 1418 31.67% 31.38% 36.95%-0.11 +8.0 5
2007-05-03 @ AC Oulu L 0-242.9 1418 1361 36.95% 31.38% 31.67%+0.11 -8.0 3
2007-05-03 KooTeePee L 0-146.0 1364 1360 40.27% 31.06% 28.67%+0.26 -4.5 4
2007-05-03 @ Viikingit W 1-046.0 1360 1364 28.67% 31.06% 40.27%-0.26 +4.5 3
2007-05-03 Lahti L 1-258.0 1487 1382 53.84% 27.19% 18.97%+0.88 -5.2 6
2007-05-03 @ Haka W 2-158.0 1382 1487 18.97% 27.19% 53.84%-0.88 +5.2 4
2007-05-03 MyPa Anjalankoski D 0-049.6 1365 1422 31.66% 31.38% 36.95%-0.11 +0.1 2
2007-05-03 @ VPS D 0-049.6 1422 1365 36.95% 31.38% 31.66%+0.11 -0.1 1
2007-05-04 Tampere United L 1-254.7 1438 1488 32.72% 31.43% 35.85%-0.07 -3.7 3
2007-05-04 @ Honka W 2-154.7 1488 1438 35.85% 31.43% 32.72%+0.07 +3.7 7
2007-05-07 HJK L 0-145.9 1400 1495 26.85% 30.71% 42.43%-0.35 -3.4 4
2007-05-07 @ TPS Turku W 1-045.9 1495 1400 42.43% 30.71% 26.85%+0.35 +3.3 7
2007-05-09 AC Oulu W 3-038.1 1365 1369 39.21% 31.19% 29.60%+0.21 +9.9 6
2007-05-09 @ KooTeePee L 0-338.1 1369 1365 29.60% 31.19% 39.21%-0.21 -9.9 5
2007-05-10 Haka L 0-146.9 1411 1482 29.88% 31.22% 38.90%-0.20 -3.6 3
2007-05-10 @ Mariehamn W 1-046.9 1482 1411 38.90% 31.22% 29.88%+0.20 +3.6 9
2007-05-10 Jaro W 2-039.3 1422 1381 45.32% 30.09% 24.59%+0.48 +5.9 4
2007-05-10 @ MyPa Anjalankoski L 0-239.3 1381 1422 24.59% 30.09% 45.32%-0.48 -5.9 4
2007-05-10 TPS Turku D 1-155.1 1410 1396 41.62% 30.86% 27.53%+0.32 -0.3 4
2007-05-10 @ Inter Turku D 1-155.1 1396 1410 27.53% 30.86% 41.62%-0.32 +0.3 5
2007-05-10 Viikingit W 1-040.1 1491 1359 57.23% 25.65% 17.12%+1.05 +2.2 10
2007-05-10 @ Tampere United L 0-140.1 1359 1491 17.12% 25.65% 57.23%-1.05 -2.2 4
2007-05-11 HJK W 3-153.5 1387 1499 25.14% 30.26% 44.59%-0.45 +7.9 7
2007-05-11 @ Lahti L 1-353.5 1499 1387 44.59% 30.26% 25.14%+0.45 -7.9 7
2007-05-11 Honka D 1-154.9 1365 1435 29.98% 31.23% 38.78%-0.19 +0.2 3
2007-05-11 @ VPS D 1-154.9 1435 1365 38.78% 31.23% 29.98%+0.19 -0.2 4
2007-05-14 MyPa Anjalankoski L 1-444.1 1357 1427 29.95% 31.23% 38.81%-0.20 -8.4 4
2007-05-14 @ Viikingit W 4-144.1 1427 1357 38.81% 31.23% 29.95%+0.20 +8.4 7
2007-05-16 KooTeePee D 0-049.0 1375 1375 39.85% 31.11% 29.03%+0.24 -0.3 5
2007-05-16 @ Jaro D 0-049.0 1375 1375 29.03% 31.11% 39.85%-0.24 +0.3 7
2007-05-16 Lahti W 3-146.5 1397 1395 39.93% 31.10% 28.97%+0.24 +5.8 8
2007-05-16 @ TPS Turku L 1-346.5 1395 1397 28.97% 31.10% 39.93%-0.24 -5.8 7
2007-05-16 Tampere United W 2-047.3 1359 1493 22.83% 29.42% 47.75%-0.59 +9.6 8
2007-05-16 @ AC Oulu L 0-247.3 1493 1359 47.75% 29.42% 22.83%+0.59 -9.6 10
2007-05-16 VPS W 1-040.5 1485 1365 55.80% 26.32% 17.88%+0.97 +2.3 12
2007-05-16 @ Haka L 0-140.5 1365 1485 17.88% 26.32% 55.80%-0.97 -2.3 3
2007-05-17 Honka D 1-155.9 1409 1434 36.17% 31.42% 32.41%+0.08 -0.1 5
2007-05-17 @ Inter Turku D 1-155.9 1434 1409 32.41% 31.42% 36.17%-0.08 +0.1 5
2007-05-17 Mariehamn D 2-264.4 1491 1407 51.12% 28.27% 20.60%+0.75 -0.5 8
2007-05-17 @ HJK D 2-264.4 1407 1491 20.60% 28.27% 51.12%-0.75 +0.5 4
2007-05-20 AC Oulu W 2-148.2 1389 1368 42.71% 30.66% 26.63%+0.37 +3.1 10
2007-05-20 @ Lahti L 1-248.2 1368 1389 26.63% 30.66% 42.71%-0.37 -3.1 8
2007-05-20 HJK D 1-156.5 1349 1490 22.22% 29.14% 48.65%-0.63 +0.6 5
2007-05-20 @ Viikingit D 1-156.5 1490 1349 48.65% 29.14% 22.22%+0.63 -0.6 9
2007-05-20 Inter Turku W 2-149.4 1484 1409 49.93% 28.70% 21.36%+0.69 +2.6 13
2007-05-20 @ Tampere United L 1-249.4 1409 1484 21.36% 28.70% 49.93%-0.69 -2.6 5
2007-05-20 Jaro L 1-251.5 1363 1375 37.96% 31.31% 30.73%+0.16 -4.1 3
2007-05-20 @ VPS W 2-151.5 1375 1363 30.73% 31.31% 37.96%-0.16 +4.1 8
2007-05-20 Mariehamn W 2-040.8 1434 1408 43.48% 30.51% 26.01%+0.40 +6.2 8
2007-05-20 @ Honka L 0-240.8 1408 1434 26.01% 30.51% 43.48%-0.40 -6.2 4
2007-05-21 KooTeePee W 1-041.8 1436 1375 48.12% 29.30% 22.58%+0.61 +2.9 10
2007-05-21 @ MyPa Anjalankoski L 0-141.8 1375 1436 22.58% 29.30% 48.12%-0.61 -2.9 7
2007-05-23 Honka L 1-251.1 1379 1441 31.08% 31.34% 37.58%-0.14 -3.5 8
2007-05-23 @ Jaro W 2-151.1 1441 1379 37.58% 31.34% 31.08%+0.14 +3.5 11
2007-05-23 Tampere United L 0-249.7 1490 1486 40.22% 31.07% 28.71%+0.26 -8.5 9
2007-05-23 @ HJK W 2-049.7 1486 1490 28.71% 31.07% 40.22%-0.26 +8.5 16
2007-05-23 TPS Turku L 1-347.8 1365 1402 34.42% 31.46% 34.12%+0.01 -6.6 8
2007-05-23 @ AC Oulu W 3-147.8 1402 1365 34.12% 31.46% 34.42%-0.01 +6.6 11
2007-05-24 MyPa Anjalankoski D 0-054.1 1488 1439 46.50% 29.78% 23.72%+0.54 -0.6 13
2007-05-24 @ Haka D 0-054.1 1439 1488 23.72% 29.78% 46.50%-0.54 +0.6 11
2007-05-24 Viikingit L 0-148.3 1407 1349 47.62% 29.46% 22.92%+0.59 -5.1 5
2007-05-24 @ Inter Turku W 1-048.3 1349 1407 22.92% 29.46% 47.62%-0.59 +5.1 8
2007-05-27 Haka L 1-249.8 1372 1487 24.78% 30.15% 45.07%-0.47 -3.0 7
2007-05-27 @ KooTeePee W 2-149.8 1487 1372 45.07% 30.15% 24.78%+0.47 +3.0 16
2007-05-27 HJK D 0-053.5 1444 1481 34.44% 31.46% 34.10%+0.01 -0.0 12
2007-05-27 @ Honka D 0-053.5 1481 1444 34.10% 31.46% 34.44%-0.01 +0.0 10
2007-05-27 Inter Turku W 2-041.0 1402 1402 39.75% 31.13% 29.12%+0.24 +6.7 7
2007-05-27 @ Mariehamn L 0-241.0 1402 1402 29.12% 31.13% 39.75%-0.24 -6.7 5
2007-05-27 MyPa Anjalankoski D 1-154.9 1359 1439 28.63% 31.05% 40.32%-0.26 +0.3 9
2007-05-27 @ AC Oulu D 1-154.9 1439 1359 40.32% 31.05% 28.63%+0.26 -0.2 12
2007-05-27 VPS W 5-139.8 1409 1359 46.71% 29.72% 23.57%+0.55 +9.0 14
2007-05-27 @ TPS Turku L 1-539.8 1359 1409 23.57% 29.72% 46.71%-0.55 -9.0 3
2007-05-28 Lahti W 1-042.3 1495 1393 53.52% 27.32% 19.15%+0.86 +2.5 19
2007-05-28 @ Tampere United L 0-142.3 1393 1495 19.15% 27.32% 53.52%-0.86 -2.5 10
2007-06-08 VPS W 6-037.4 1390 1350 45.37% 30.08% 24.55%+0.48 +16.3 13
2007-06-08 @ Lahti L 0-637.4 1350 1390 24.55% 30.08% 45.37%-0.48 -16.3 3
2007-06-10 Jaro D 2-263.4 1481 1376 53.95% 27.14% 18.91%+0.88 -0.6 11
2007-06-10 @ HJK D 2-263.4 1376 1481 18.91% 27.14% 53.95%-0.88 +0.6 9
2007-06-10 TPS Turku L 0-144.1 1355 1418 30.83% 31.32% 37.86%-0.15 -3.7 8
2007-06-10 @ Viikingit W 1-044.1 1418 1355 37.86% 31.32% 30.83%+0.15 +3.7 17
2007-06-11 AC Oulu W 5-038.8 1333 1359 36.11% 31.42% 32.47%+0.08 +17.0 6
2007-06-11 @ VPS L 0-538.8 1359 1333 32.47% 31.42% 36.11%-0.08 -17.0 9
2007-06-13 Mariehamn D 0-051.4 1439 1408 44.02% 30.39% 25.58%+0.42 -0.5 13
2007-06-13 @ MyPa Anjalankoski D 0-051.4 1408 1439 25.58% 30.39% 44.02%-0.42 +0.5 8
2007-06-14 Honka L 1-350.8 1422 1444 36.54% 31.41% 32.06%+0.10 -6.9 17
2007-06-14 @ TPS Turku W 3-150.8 1444 1422 32.06% 31.41% 36.54%-0.10 +6.8 15
2007-06-14 Tampere United D 1-160.8 1490 1497 38.69% 31.24% 30.06%+0.19 -0.2 17
2007-06-14 @ Haka D 1-160.8 1497 1490 30.06% 31.24% 38.69%-0.19 +0.2 20
2007-06-14 Viikingit W 2-038.5 1376 1351 43.31% 30.54% 26.15%+0.39 +6.2 12
2007-06-14 @ Jaro L 0-238.5 1351 1376 26.15% 30.54% 43.31%-0.39 -6.2 8
2007-06-14 VPS D 1-153.6 1369 1350 42.37% 30.73% 26.90%+0.35 -0.3 8
2007-06-14 @ KooTeePee D 1-153.6 1350 1369 26.90% 30.73% 42.37%-0.35 +0.3 7
2007-06-17 Haka W 2-155.6 1481 1490 38.47% 31.27% 30.27%+0.18 +3.5 14
2007-06-17 @ HJK L 1-255.6 1490 1481 30.27% 31.27% 38.47%-0.18 -3.5 17
2007-06-17 Inter Turku L 1-352.2 1439 1395 45.81% 29.96% 24.23%+0.50 -8.1 13
2007-06-17 @ MyPa Anjalankoski W 3-152.2 1395 1439 24.23% 29.96% 45.81%-0.50 +8.1 8
2007-06-17 Jaro W 2-147.5 1498 1383 55.14% 26.62% 18.24%+0.94 +2.2 23
2007-06-17 @ Tampere United L 1-247.5 1383 1498 18.24% 26.62% 55.14%-0.94 -2.2 12
2007-06-17 KooTeePee L 1-250.5 1342 1369 35.90% 31.43% 32.67%+0.07 -3.9 9
2007-06-17 @ AC Oulu W 2-150.5 1369 1342 32.67% 31.43% 35.90%-0.07 +3.9 11
2007-06-17 TPS Turku L 0-342.7 1409 1415 38.89% 31.22% 29.88%+0.20 -12.0 8
2007-06-17 @ Mariehamn W 3-042.7 1415 1409 29.88% 31.22% 38.89%-0.20 +12.0 20
2007-06-18 Lahti D 0-051.8 1451 1406 45.92% 29.93% 24.14%+0.51 -0.5 16
2007-06-18 @ Honka D 0-051.8 1406 1451 24.14% 29.93% 45.92%-0.51 +0.5 14
2007-06-25 MyPa Anjalankoski L 0-243.4 1397 1431 34.93% 31.46% 33.61%+0.03 -7.7 8
2007-06-25 @ Mariehamn W 2-043.4 1431 1397 33.61% 31.46% 34.93%-0.03 +7.7 16
2007-06-28 AC Oulu W 2-035.6 1486 1338 59.27% 24.63% 16.10%+1.15 +3.9 20
2007-06-28 @ Haka L 0-235.6 1338 1486 16.10% 24.63% 59.27%-1.15 -3.8 9
2007-06-28 HJK D 1-157.3 1403 1484 28.56% 31.04% 40.40%-0.26 +0.3 9
2007-06-28 @ Inter Turku D 1-157.3 1484 1403 40.40% 31.04% 28.56%+0.26 -0.2 15
2007-06-28 KooTeePee W 1-043.6 1351 1373 36.62% 31.40% 31.98%+0.10 +3.8 10
2007-06-28 @ VPS L 0-143.6 1373 1351 31.98% 31.40% 36.62%-0.10 -3.8 11
2007-06-29 Tampere United L 1-350.6 1427 1500 29.60% 31.19% 39.22%-0.21 -5.9 20
2007-06-29 @ TPS Turku W 3-150.6 1500 1427 39.22% 31.19% 29.60%+0.21 +5.9 26
2007-06-29 Viikingit L 0-245.1 1407 1345 48.31% 29.24% 22.45%+0.62 -9.7 14
2007-06-29 @ Lahti W 2-045.1 1345 1407 22.45% 29.24% 48.31%-0.62 +9.7 11
2007-07-01 Haka W 3-152.9 1403 1490 27.88% 30.92% 41.20%-0.30 +7.5 12
2007-07-01 @ Inter Turku L 1-352.9 1490 1403 41.20% 30.92% 27.88%+0.30 -7.5 20
2007-07-01 VPS D 0-052.6 1484 1354 56.95% 25.78% 17.27%+1.03 -1.0 16
2007-07-01 @ HJK D 0-052.6 1354 1484 17.27% 25.78% 56.95%-1.03 +1.0 11
2007-07-02 Jaro L 1-250.9 1354 1380 36.05% 31.43% 32.53%+0.08 -3.9 11
2007-07-02 @ Viikingit W 2-150.9 1380 1354 32.53% 31.43% 36.05%-0.08 +3.9 15
2007-07-02 Lahti W 1-043.3 1438 1397 45.42% 30.06% 24.52%+0.49 +3.1 19
2007-07-02 @ MyPa Anjalankoski L 0-143.3 1397 1438 24.52% 30.06% 45.42%-0.49 -3.1 14
2007-07-02 Mariehamn W 2-147.9 1506 1389 55.33% 26.54% 18.14%+0.95 +2.2 29
2007-07-02 @ Tampere United L 1-247.9 1389 1506 18.14% 26.54% 55.33%-0.95 -2.2 8
2007-07-04 TPS Turku W 2-041.5 1450 1421 43.87% 30.43% 25.70%+0.42 +6.1 19
2007-07-04 @ Honka L 0-241.5 1421 1450 25.70% 30.43% 43.87%-0.42 -6.1 20
2007-07-08 Inter Turku D 0-049.2 1356 1411 31.93% 31.40% 36.68%-0.10 +0.1 12
2007-07-08 @ VPS D 0-049.2 1411 1356 36.68% 31.40% 31.93%+0.10 -0.1 13
2007-07-08 Tampere United W 4-151.4 1441 1508 30.41% 31.28% 38.31%-0.17 +10.0 22
2007-07-08 @ MyPa Anjalankoski L 1-451.4 1508 1441 38.31% 31.28% 30.41%+0.17 -10.0 29
2007-07-08 TPS Turku W 4-252.0 1369 1415 33.18% 31.45% 35.37%-0.05 +6.0 14
2007-07-08 @ KooTeePee L 2-452.0 1415 1369 35.37% 31.45% 33.18%+0.05 -6.0 20
2007-07-09 HJK D 3-369.5 1483 1483 39.71% 31.13% 29.16%+0.23 -0.1 21
2007-07-09 @ Haka D 3-369.5 1483 1483 29.16% 31.13% 39.71%-0.23 +0.1 17
2007-07-15 AC Oulu D 0-049.0 1387 1334 47.05% 29.62% 23.33%+0.56 -0.6 9
2007-07-15 @ Mariehamn D 0-049.0 1334 1387 23.33% 29.62% 47.05%-0.56 +0.6 10
2007-07-15 Lahti W 1-044.8 1356 1394 34.24% 31.46% 34.30%+0.00 +4.0 15
2007-07-15 @ VPS L 0-144.8 1394 1356 34.30% 31.46% 34.24%+0.00 -4.0 14
2007-07-16 KooTeePee W 3-253.1 1409 1375 44.48% 30.29% 25.23%+0.44 +2.9 23
2007-07-16 @ TPS Turku L 2-353.1 1375 1409 25.23% 30.29% 44.48%-0.44 -2.8 14
2007-07-18 Inter Turku W 1-045.1 1384 1410 36.00% 31.43% 32.57%+0.07 +3.9 18
2007-07-18 @ Jaro L 0-145.1 1410 1384 32.57% 31.43% 36.00%-0.07 -3.9 13
2007-07-21 VPS L 0-147.3 1388 1360 43.72% 30.46% 25.82%+0.41 -4.8 18
2007-07-21 @ Jaro W 1-047.3 1360 1388 25.82% 30.46% 43.72%-0.41 +4.8 18
2007-07-22 Honka D 3-364.6 1335 1457 24.07% 29.91% 46.02%-0.51 +0.3 11
2007-07-22 @ AC Oulu D 3-364.6 1457 1335 46.02% 29.91% 24.07%+0.51 -0.3 20
2007-07-23 Mariehamn W 4-143.5 1390 1386 40.28% 31.06% 28.66%+0.26 +8.1 17
2007-07-23 @ Lahti L 1-443.5 1386 1390 28.66% 31.06% 40.28%-0.26 -8.1 9
2007-07-23 Viikingit W 1-041.8 1372 1350 42.75% 30.65% 26.59%+0.37 +3.3 17
2007-07-23 @ KooTeePee L 0-141.8 1350 1372 26.59% 30.65% 42.75%-0.37 -3.3 11
2007-07-25 Haka L 0-247.2 1456 1483 36.01% 31.43% 32.57%+0.07 -7.8 20
2007-07-25 @ Honka W 2-047.2 1483 1456 32.57% 31.43% 36.01%-0.07 +7.8 24
2007-07-26 MyPa Anjalankoski W 5-042.2 1483 1451 44.17% 30.36% 25.47%+0.43 +14.2 20
2007-07-26 @ HJK L 0-542.2 1451 1483 25.47% 30.36% 44.17%-0.43 -14.2 22
2007-07-29 Jaro W 2-149.4 1375 1383 38.60% 31.25% 30.15%+0.19 +3.5 20
2007-07-29 @ KooTeePee L 1-249.4 1383 1375 30.15% 31.25% 38.60%-0.19 -3.5 18
2007-07-29 Lahti L 0-147.7 1407 1398 40.91% 30.97% 28.12%+0.29 -4.5 13
2007-07-29 @ Inter Turku W 1-047.7 1398 1407 28.12% 30.97% 40.91%-0.29 +4.5 20
2007-07-29 Mariehamn D 2-259.3 1347 1378 35.31% 31.45% 33.24%+0.04 -0.0 12
2007-07-29 @ Viikingit D 2-259.3 1378 1347 33.24% 31.45% 35.31%-0.04 +0.0 10
2007-08-04 KooTeePee W 3-254.1 1378 1379 39.67% 31.14% 29.19%+0.23 +3.2 13
2007-08-04 @ Mariehamn L 2-354.1 1379 1378 29.19% 31.14% 39.67%-0.23 -3.2 20
2007-08-04 VPS D 2-264.1 1498 1364 57.43% 25.55% 17.02%+1.06 -0.7 30
2007-08-04 @ Tampere United D 2-264.1 1364 1498 17.02% 25.55% 57.43%-1.06 +0.7 19
2007-08-05 AC Oulu W 1-040.1 1402 1335 48.95% 29.04% 22.01%+0.65 +2.8 16
2007-08-05 @ Inter Turku L 0-140.1 1335 1402 22.01% 29.04% 48.95%-0.65 -2.8 11
2007-08-05 Honka D 2-262.0 1403 1448 33.23% 31.45% 35.32%-0.04 +0.0 21
2007-08-05 @ Lahti D 2-262.0 1448 1403 35.32% 31.45% 33.23%+0.04 -0.0 21
2007-08-05 Jaro W 4-036.4 1490 1380 54.57% 26.87% 18.56%+0.91 +8.6 27
2007-08-05 @ Haka L 0-436.4 1380 1490 18.56% 26.87% 54.57%-0.91 -8.6 18
2007-08-06 MyPa Anjalankoski W 1-046.4 1412 1437 36.12% 31.42% 32.46%+0.08 +3.9 26
2007-08-06 @ TPS Turku L 0-146.4 1437 1412 32.46% 31.42% 36.12%-0.08 -3.9 22
2007-08-06 Viikingit D 1-158.0 1497 1347 59.48% 24.53% 16.00%+1.16 -1.0 21
2007-08-06 @ HJK D 1-158.0 1347 1497 16.00% 24.53% 59.48%-1.16 +1.0 13
2007-08-08 Inter Turku L 0-242.5 1376 1405 35.56% 31.44% 33.00%+0.05 -7.8 20
2007-08-08 @ KooTeePee W 2-042.5 1405 1376 33.00% 31.44% 35.56%-0.05 +7.8 19
2007-08-09 Haka L 0-343.5 1433 1499 30.53% 31.29% 38.18%-0.17 -10.1 22
2007-08-09 @ MyPa Anjalankoski W 3-043.5 1499 1433 38.18% 31.29% 30.53%+0.17 +10.1 30
2007-08-09 HJK D 0-052.2 1371 1496 23.78% 29.80% 46.42%-0.53 +0.6 19
2007-08-09 @ Jaro D 0-052.2 1496 1371 46.42% 29.80% 23.78%+0.53 -0.6 22
2007-08-09 Viikingit D 1-156.0 1448 1348 53.27% 27.43% 19.30%+0.85 -0.8 22
2007-08-09 @ Honka D 1-156.0 1348 1448 19.30% 27.43% 53.27%-0.85 +0.8 14
2007-08-12 AC Oulu W 3-144.1 1349 1332 42.10% 30.77% 27.12%+0.34 +5.5 17
2007-08-12 @ Viikingit L 1-344.1 1332 1349 27.12% 30.77% 42.10%-0.34 -5.5 11
2007-08-12 Inter Turku D 2-261.1 1403 1413 38.36% 31.28% 30.37%+0.18 -0.1 22
2007-08-12 @ Lahti D 2-261.1 1413 1403 30.37% 31.28% 38.36%-0.18 +0.1 20
2007-08-12 Mariehamn L 1-348.3 1365 1381 37.43% 31.35% 31.22%+0.14 -7.0 19
2007-08-12 @ VPS W 3-148.3 1381 1365 31.22% 31.35% 37.43%-0.14 +7.0 16
2007-08-13 Honka L 1-250.2 1368 1448 28.73% 31.07% 40.20%-0.26 -3.3 20
2007-08-13 @ KooTeePee W 2-150.2 1448 1368 40.20% 31.07% 28.73%+0.26 +3.3 25
2007-08-16 Honka D 0-050.9 1388 1451 30.93% 31.33% 37.75%-0.15 +0.2 17
2007-08-16 @ Mariehamn D 0-050.9 1451 1388 37.75% 31.33% 30.93%+0.15 -0.2 26
2007-08-16 Jaro W 5-244.5 1413 1372 45.42% 30.06% 24.51%+0.49 +6.2 23
2007-08-16 @ Inter Turku L 2-544.5 1372 1413 24.51% 30.06% 45.42%-0.49 -6.2 19
2007-08-16 Lahti W 2-151.8 1327 1403 29.19% 31.14% 39.68%-0.23 +4.2 14
2007-08-16 @ AC Oulu L 1-251.8 1403 1327 39.68% 31.14% 29.19%+0.23 -4.2 22
2007-08-19 TPS Turku W 3-039.0 1497 1416 50.85% 28.38% 20.77%+0.74 +7.3 33
2007-08-19 @ Tampere United L 0-339.0 1416 1497 20.77% 28.38% 50.85%-0.74 -7.3 26
2007-08-25 AC Oulu W 4-138.2 1504 1331 62.29% 23.03% 14.68%+1.30 +4.2 36
2007-08-25 @ Tampere United L 1-438.2 1331 1504 14.68% 23.03% 62.29%-1.30 -4.2 14
2007-08-25 KooTeePee D 1-158.1 1496 1364 57.16% 25.68% 17.16%+1.04 -0.9 23
2007-08-25 @ HJK D 1-158.1 1364 1496 17.16% 25.68% 57.16%-1.04 +0.9 21
2007-08-25 TPS Turku W 2-149.2 1509 1408 53.34% 27.40% 19.26%+0.86 +2.3 33
2007-08-25 @ Haka L 1-249.2 1408 1509 19.26% 27.40% 53.34%-0.86 -2.3 26
2007-08-25 VPS L 0-149.0 1423 1358 48.67% 29.13% 22.20%+0.63 -5.2 22
2007-08-25 @ MyPa Anjalankoski W 1-049.0 1358 1423 22.20% 29.13% 48.67%-0.63 +5.2 22
2007-08-30 Inter Turku W 1-045.3 1406 1419 37.87% 31.32% 30.81%+0.15 +3.7 29
2007-08-30 @ TPS Turku L 0-145.3 1419 1406 30.81% 31.32% 37.87%-0.15 -3.7 23
2007-08-30 KooTeePee W 2-038.8 1399 1365 44.37% 30.32% 25.32%+0.44 +6.0 25
2007-08-30 @ Lahti L 0-238.8 1365 1399 25.32% 30.32% 44.37%-0.44 -6.0 21
2007-08-30 VPS W 1-040.9 1451 1363 51.62% 28.09% 20.29%+0.77 +2.6 29
2007-08-30 @ Honka L 0-140.9 1363 1451 20.29% 28.09% 51.62%-0.77 -2.6 22
2007-09-02 Jaro W 5-142.4 1327 1366 34.15% 31.46% 34.38%+0.00 +12.0 17
2007-09-02 @ AC Oulu L 1-542.4 1366 1327 34.38% 31.46% 34.15%+0.00 -12.0 19
2007-09-02 Viikingit W 4-247.9 1389 1354 44.50% 30.29% 25.22%+0.45 +4.7 20
2007-09-02 @ Mariehamn L 2-447.9 1354 1389 25.22% 30.29% 44.50%-0.45 -4.7 17
2007-09-03 Haka D 0-052.6 1361 1511 21.41% 28.73% 49.86%-0.69 +0.7 23
2007-09-03 @ VPS D 0-052.6 1511 1361 49.86% 28.73% 21.41%+0.69 -0.7 34
2007-09-03 Honka L 0-153.1 1495 1453 45.47% 30.05% 24.48%+0.49 -4.9 23
2007-09-03 @ HJK W 1-053.1 1453 1495 24.48% 30.05% 45.47%-0.49 +4.9 32
2007-09-03 MyPa Anjalankoski W 1-046.1 1359 1418 31.45% 31.37% 37.18%-0.12 +4.2 24
2007-09-03 @ KooTeePee L 0-146.1 1418 1359 37.18% 31.37% 31.45%+0.12 -4.2 22
2007-09-03 Tampere United D 1-158.6 1415 1509 27.13% 30.78% 42.09%-0.34 +0.3 24
2007-09-03 @ Inter Turku D 1-158.6 1509 1415 42.09% 30.78% 27.13%+0.34 -0.3 37
2007-09-10 Tampere United L 0-239.3 1354 1508 21.07% 28.55% 50.39%-0.71 -5.1 19
2007-09-10 @ Jaro W 2-039.3 1508 1354 50.39% 28.55% 21.07%+0.71 +5.1 40
2007-09-13 Haka W 2-157.4 1410 1511 26.27% 30.57% 43.16%-0.39 +4.5 32
2007-09-13 @ TPS Turku L 1-257.4 1511 1410 43.16% 30.57% 26.27%+0.39 -4.5 34
2007-09-13 Tampere United D 3-366.9 1350 1513 20.33% 28.11% 51.56%-0.77 +0.4 18
2007-09-13 @ Viikingit D 3-366.9 1513 1350 51.56% 28.11% 20.33%+0.77 -0.5 41
2007-09-16 HJK D 0-052.9 1414 1490 29.21% 31.14% 39.66%-0.23 +0.2 23
2007-09-16 @ MyPa Anjalankoski D 0-052.9 1490 1414 39.66% 31.14% 29.21%+0.23 -0.2 24
2007-09-16 Mariehamn L 0-338.8 1339 1393 31.98% 31.40% 36.62%-0.10 -10.5 17
2007-09-16 @ AC Oulu W 3-038.8 1393 1339 36.62% 31.40% 31.98%+0.10 +10.5 23
2007-09-16 TPS Turku W 2-042.9 1349 1414 30.55% 31.29% 38.16%-0.17 +8.2 22
2007-09-16 @ Jaro L 0-242.9 1414 1349 38.16% 31.29% 30.55%+0.17 -8.2 32
2007-09-16 Viikingit W 1-039.4 1506 1350 60.18% 24.16% 15.66%+1.19 +2.0 37
2007-09-16 @ Haka L 0-139.4 1350 1506 15.66% 24.16% 60.18%-1.19 -2.0 18
2007-09-17 Lahti D 2-260.0 1364 1405 33.89% 31.46% 34.65%-0.02 +0.0 25
2007-09-17 @ KooTeePee D 2-260.0 1405 1364 34.65% 31.46% 33.89%+0.02 -0.0 26
2007-09-19 AC Oulu W 2-035.4 1458 1328 57.05% 25.74% 17.22%+1.04 +4.2 35
2007-09-19 @ Honka L 0-235.4 1328 1458 17.22% 25.74% 57.05%-1.04 -4.2 17
2007-09-19 HJK W 2-156.1 1361 1490 23.47% 29.68% 46.85%-0.55 +4.7 26
2007-09-19 @ VPS L 1-256.1 1490 1361 46.85% 29.68% 23.47%+0.55 -4.7 24
2007-09-20 Lahti L 0-438.9 1348 1405 31.76% 31.39% 36.86%-0.11 -13.6 18
2007-09-20 @ Viikingit W 4-038.9 1405 1348 36.86% 31.39% 31.76%+0.11 +13.6 29
2007-09-20 Mariehamn L 0-245.0 1416 1404 41.42% 30.89% 27.69%+0.31 -8.6 24
2007-09-20 @ Inter Turku W 2-045.0 1404 1416 27.69% 30.89% 41.42%-0.31 +8.6 26
2007-09-20 MyPa Anjalankoski L 0-339.4 1357 1414 31.63% 31.38% 36.99%-0.12 -10.4 22
2007-09-20 @ Jaro W 3-039.4 1414 1357 36.99% 31.38% 31.63%+0.12 +10.4 26
2007-09-21 KooTeePee W 3-035.3 1508 1364 58.80% 24.87% 16.33%+1.12 +5.7 40
2007-09-21 @ Haka L 0-335.3 1364 1508 16.33% 24.87% 58.80%-1.12 -5.7 25
2007-09-23 Jaro D 1-154.7 1412 1346 48.80% 29.09% 22.11%+0.64 -0.6 27
2007-09-23 @ Mariehamn D 1-154.7 1346 1412 22.11% 29.09% 48.80%-0.64 +0.6 23
2007-09-23 VPS D 3-362.4 1324 1366 33.71% 31.46% 34.84%-0.02 +0.0 18
2007-09-23 @ AC Oulu D 3-362.4 1366 1324 34.84% 31.46% 33.71%+0.02 -0.0 27
2007-09-24 Honka W 1-048.1 1424 1462 34.30% 31.46% 34.24%+0.00 +4.0 29
2007-09-24 @ MyPa Anjalankoski L 0-148.1 1462 1424 34.24% 31.46% 34.30%+0.00 -4.0 35
2007-09-24 Inter Turku W 2-040.2 1485 1407 50.36% 28.55% 21.09%+0.71 +5.1 27
2007-09-24 @ HJK L 0-240.2 1407 1485 21.09% 28.55% 50.36%-0.71 -5.1 24
2007-09-24 Tampere United L 0-244.0 1418 1513 26.97% 30.74% 42.29%-0.35 -6.4 29
2007-09-24 @ Lahti W 2-044.0 1513 1418 42.29% 30.74% 26.97%+0.35 +6.4 44
2007-09-24 Viikingit W 5-035.5 1406 1335 49.50% 28.86% 21.65%+0.67 +12.3 35
2007-09-24 @ TPS Turku L 0-535.5 1335 1406 21.65% 28.86% 49.50%-0.67 -12.3 18
2007-09-27 Haka W 2-157.3 1519 1514 40.52% 31.02% 28.46%+0.27 +3.3 47
2007-09-27 @ Tampere United L 1-257.3 1514 1519 28.46% 31.02% 40.52%-0.27 -3.3 40
2007-09-30 Haka D 1-157.0 1324 1511 18.59% 26.90% 54.50%-0.91 +0.8 19
2007-09-30 @ AC Oulu D 1-157.0 1511 1324 54.50% 26.90% 18.59%+0.91 -0.8 41
2007-09-30 Mariehamn L 1-250.3 1358 1412 32.10% 31.41% 36.49%-0.10 -3.6 25
2007-09-30 @ KooTeePee W 2-150.3 1412 1358 36.49% 31.41% 32.10%+0.10 +3.6 30
2007-09-30 VPS W 1-044.1 1322 1366 33.49% 31.46% 35.06%-0.03 +4.1 21
2007-09-30 @ Viikingit L 0-144.1 1366 1322 35.06% 31.46% 33.49%+0.03 -4.1 27
2007-10-01 HJK W 2-155.4 1523 1490 44.31% 30.33% 25.36%+0.44 +3.0 50
2007-10-01 @ Tampere United L 1-255.4 1490 1523 25.36% 30.33% 44.31%-0.44 -3.0 27
2007-10-01 Jaro D 2-262.2 1458 1347 54.70% 26.81% 18.48%+0.92 -0.6 36
2007-10-01 @ Honka D 2-262.2 1347 1458 18.48% 26.81% 54.70%-0.92 +0.6 24
2007-10-01 MyPa Anjalankoski L 1-252.8 1402 1428 35.96% 31.43% 32.61%+0.07 -3.9 24
2007-10-01 @ Inter Turku W 2-152.8 1428 1402 32.61% 31.43% 35.96%-0.07 +3.9 32
2007-10-01 TPS Turku L 2-358.6 1412 1418 38.85% 31.23% 29.92%+0.20 -3.9 29
2007-10-01 @ Lahti W 3-258.6 1418 1412 29.92% 31.23% 38.85%-0.20 +3.9 38
2007-10-07 AC Oulu W 4-034.0 1422 1325 52.89% 27.58% 19.53%+0.83 +9.0 41
2007-10-07 @ TPS Turku L 0-434.0 1325 1422 19.53% 27.58% 52.89%-0.83 -9.0 19
2007-10-07 Honka D 1-160.5 1510 1458 46.91% 29.66% 23.43%+0.55 -0.5 42
2007-10-07 @ Haka D 1-160.5 1458 1510 23.43% 29.66% 46.91%-0.55 +0.5 37
2007-10-07 Lahti L 0-249.1 1487 1408 50.51% 28.50% 20.99%+0.72 -10.0 27
2007-10-07 @ HJK W 2-049.1 1408 1487 20.99% 28.50% 50.51%-0.72 +10.0 32
2007-10-07 Tampere United W 1-052.6 1415 1526 25.26% 30.30% 44.44%-0.44 +4.8 33
2007-10-07 @ Mariehamn L 0-152.6 1526 1415 44.44% 30.30% 25.26%+0.44 -4.8 50
2007-10-07 Viikingit D 1-155.3 1432 1326 53.98% 27.13% 18.89%+0.89 -0.8 33
2007-10-07 @ MyPa Anjalankoski D 1-155.3 1326 1432 18.89% 27.13% 53.98%-0.89 +0.8 22
2007-10-20 HJK D 0-052.6 1420 1477 31.71% 31.38% 36.91%-0.11 +0.1 34
2007-10-20 @ Mariehamn D 0-052.6 1477 1420 36.91% 31.38% 31.71%+0.11 -0.1 28
2007-10-20 KooTeePee D 0-051.5 1458 1354 53.75% 27.23% 19.02%+0.88 -0.9 38
2007-10-20 @ Honka D 0-051.5 1354 1458 19.02% 27.23% 53.75%-0.88 +0.9 26
2007-10-20 MyPa Anjalankoski D 1-160.5 1521 1431 51.87% 27.99% 20.14%+0.78 -0.7 51
2007-10-20 @ Tampere United D 1-160.5 1431 1521 20.14% 27.99% 51.87%-0.78 +0.7 34
2007-10-20 TPS Turku D 0-049.8 1362 1431 30.09% 31.25% 38.66%-0.19 +0.2 28
2007-10-20 @ VPS D 0-049.8 1431 1362 38.66% 31.25% 30.09%+0.19 -0.2 42
2007-10-21 AC Oulu L 0-146.2 1348 1316 44.18% 30.36% 25.46%+0.43 -4.8 24
2007-10-21 @ Jaro W 1-046.2 1316 1348 25.46% 30.36% 44.18%-0.43 +4.8 22
2007-10-21 Haka D 1-158.7 1418 1509 27.38% 30.83% 41.79%-0.33 +0.3 33
2007-10-21 @ Lahti D 1-158.7 1509 1418 41.79% 30.83% 27.38%+0.33 -0.3 43
2007-10-21 Inter Turku L 0-239.8 1327 1398 29.88% 31.22% 38.90%-0.20 -6.9 22
2007-10-21 @ Viikingit W 2-039.8 1398 1327 38.90% 31.22% 29.88%+0.20 +6.9 27
2007-10-24 HJK L 0-140.8 1321 1477 20.94% 28.47% 50.59%-0.72 -2.7 22
2007-10-24 @ AC Oulu W 1-040.8 1477 1321 50.59% 28.47% 20.94%+0.72 +2.7 31
2007-10-24 Inter Turku L 1-256.5 1457 1405 47.02% 29.63% 23.35%+0.56 -4.8 38
2007-10-24 @ Honka W 2-156.5 1405 1457 23.35% 29.63% 47.02%-0.56 +4.8 30
2007-10-24 Jaro D 1-155.3 1431 1343 51.71% 28.05% 20.24%+0.78 -0.7 43
2007-10-24 @ TPS Turku D 1-155.3 1343 1431 20.24% 28.05% 51.71%-0.78 +0.7 25
2007-10-24 Mariehamn L 1-259.6 1509 1420 51.76% 28.03% 20.21%+0.78 -5.1 43
2007-10-24 @ Haka W 2-159.6 1420 1509 20.21% 28.03% 51.76%-0.78 +5.1 37
2007-10-24 MyPa Anjalankoski L 0-148.0 1418 1432 37.76% 31.33% 30.91%+0.15 -4.3 33
2007-10-24 @ Lahti W 1-048.0 1432 1418 30.91% 31.33% 37.76%-0.15 +4.3 37
2007-10-24 Tampere United L 0-337.6 1355 1520 20.23% 28.05% 51.72%-0.78 -7.2 26
2007-10-24 @ KooTeePee W 3-037.6 1520 1355 51.72% 28.05% 20.23%+0.78 +7.1 54
2007-10-24 Viikingit D 1-153.3 1362 1320 45.56% 30.03% 24.41%+0.49 -0.5 29
2007-10-24 @ VPS D 1-153.3 1320 1362 24.41% 30.03% 45.56%-0.49 +0.5 23
2007-10-27 AC Oulu W 3-249.2 1436 1318 55.60% 26.41% 17.99%+0.96 +2.1 40
2007-10-27 @ MyPa Anjalankoski L 2-349.2 1318 1436 17.99% 26.41% 55.60%-0.96 -2.1 22
2007-10-27 Haka L 0-237.2 1321 1504 18.86% 27.11% 54.03%-0.89 -4.6 23
2007-10-27 @ Viikingit W 2-037.2 1504 1321 54.03% 27.11% 18.86%+0.89 +4.6 46
2007-10-27 Honka L 0-252.0 1527 1453 49.93% 28.71% 21.37%+0.69 -9.9 54
2007-10-27 @ Tampere United W 2-052.0 1453 1527 21.37% 28.71% 49.93%-0.69 +9.9 41
2007-10-27 KooTeePee W 1-040.7 1410 1348 48.20% 29.28% 22.52%+0.61 +2.9 33
2007-10-27 @ Inter Turku L 0-140.7 1348 1410 22.52% 29.28% 48.20%-0.61 -2.9 26
2007-10-27 Lahti W 3-041.3 1343 1414 29.90% 31.23% 38.87%-0.20 +12.0 28
2007-10-27 @ Jaro L 0-341.3 1414 1343 38.87% 31.23% 29.90%+0.20 -12.0 33
2007-10-27 TPS Turku W 3-040.2 1479 1430 46.56% 29.76% 23.68%+0.54 +8.3 34
2007-10-27 @ HJK L 0-340.2 1430 1479 23.68% 29.76% 46.56%-0.54 -8.3 43
2007-10-27 VPS L 1-351.7 1425 1362 48.48% 29.19% 22.33%+0.63 -8.4 37
2007-10-27 @ Mariehamn W 3-151.7 1362 1425 22.33% 29.19% 48.48%-0.63 +8.4 32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-05-03 18.97% Lahti 1382 2 @ Haka 1487 1
2 2007-10-24 20.21% Mariehamn 1420 2 @ Haka 1509 1
3 2007-10-07 20.99% Lahti 1408 2 @ HJK 1487 0
4 2007-10-27 21.37% Honka 1453 2 @ Tampere United 1527 0
5 2007-08-25 22.20% VPS 1358 1 @ MyPa Anjalankoski 1423 0
6 2007-10-27 22.33% VPS 1362 3 @ Mariehamn 1425 1
7 2007-06-29 22.45% Viikingit 1345 2 @ Lahti 1407 0
8 2007-05-16 22.83% @ AC Oulu 1359 2 Tampere United 1493 0
9 2007-05-24 22.92% Viikingit 1349 1 @ Inter Turku 1407 0
10 2007-10-24 23.35% Inter Turku 1405 2 @ Honka 1457 1
11 2007-09-19 23.47% @ VPS 1361 2 HJK 1490 1
12 2007-06-17 24.23% Inter Turku 1395 3 @ MyPa Anjalankoski 1439 1
13 2007-09-03 24.48% Honka 1453 1 @ HJK 1495 0
14 2007-04-26 24.56% TPS Turku 1390 2 @ MyPa Anjalankoski 1431 0
15 2007-05-11 25.14% @ Lahti 1387 3 HJK 1499 1
16 2007-10-07 25.26% @ Mariehamn 1415 1 Tampere United 1526 0
17 2007-10-21 25.46% AC Oulu 1316 1 @ Jaro 1348 0
18 2007-07-21 25.82% VPS 1360 1 @ Jaro 1388 0
19 2007-09-13 26.27% @ TPS Turku 1410 2 Haka 1511 1
20 2007-04-22 26.91% Jaro 1374 4 @ Lahti 1392 1
21 2007-09-20 27.69% Mariehamn 1404 2 @ Inter Turku 1416 0
22 2007-07-01 27.88% @ Inter Turku 1403 3 Haka 1490 1
23 2007-07-29 28.12% Lahti 1398 1 @ Inter Turku 1407 0
24 2007-04-27 28.43% @ Viikingit 1360 3 Honka 1442 2
25 2007-05-03 28.67% KooTeePee 1360 1 @ Viikingit 1364 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-06-11 17.04 @ VPS 5 1333 36.11% AC Oulu 0 1359 32.47% 31.42%
2 2007-06-08 16.32 @ Lahti 6 1390 45.37% VPS 0 1350 24.55% 30.08%
3 2007-04-26 14.56 @ Inter Turku 5 1403 43.08% VPS 0 1379 26.33% 30.59%
4 2007-07-26 14.17 @ HJK 5 1483 44.17% MyPa Anjalankoski 0 1451 25.47% 30.36%
5 2007-09-20 13.61 Lahti 4 1405 36.86% @ Viikingit 0 1348 31.76% 31.39%
6 2007-09-24 12.29 @ TPS Turku 5 1406 49.50% Viikingit 0 1335 21.65% 28.86%
7 2007-06-17 12.01 TPS Turku 3 1415 29.88% @ Mariehamn 0 1409 38.89% 31.22%
8 2007-10-27 12.00 @ Jaro 3 1343 29.90% Lahti 0 1414 38.87% 31.23%
9 2007-09-02 11.99 @ AC Oulu 5 1327 34.15% Jaro 1 1366 34.38% 31.46%
10 2007-04-22 10.77 Jaro 4 1374 26.91% @ Lahti 1 1392 42.36% 30.73%
11 2007-09-16 10.47 Mariehamn 3 1393 36.62% @ AC Oulu 0 1339 31.98% 31.40%
12 2007-09-20 10.39 MyPa Anjalankoski 3 1414 36.99% @ Jaro 0 1357 31.63% 31.38%
13 2007-08-09 10.13 Haka 3 1499 38.18% @ MyPa Anjalankoski 0 1433 30.53% 31.29%
14 2007-10-07 10.03 Lahti 2 1408 20.99% @ HJK 0 1487 50.51% 28.50%
15 2007-07-08 10.02 @ MyPa Anjalankoski 4 1441 30.41% Tampere United 1 1508 38.31% 31.28%
16 2007-10-27 9.94 Honka 2 1453 21.37% @ Tampere United 0 1527 49.93% 28.71%
17 2007-05-09 9.90 @ KooTeePee 3 1365 39.21% AC Oulu 0 1369 29.60% 31.19%
18 2007-06-29 9.70 Viikingit 2 1345 22.45% @ Lahti 0 1407 48.31% 29.24%
19 2007-05-16 9.61 @ AC Oulu 2 1359 22.83% Tampere United 0 1493 47.75% 29.42%
20 2007-04-26 9.25 TPS Turku 2 1390 24.56% @ MyPa Anjalankoski 0 1431 45.37% 30.08%
21 2007-10-07 9.02 @ TPS Turku 4 1422 52.89% AC Oulu 0 1325 19.53% 27.58%
22 2007-05-27 8.97 @ TPS Turku 5 1409 46.71% VPS 1 1359 23.57% 29.72%
23 2007-09-20 8.65 Mariehamn 2 1404 27.69% @ Inter Turku 0 1416 41.42% 30.89%
24 2007-08-05 8.56 @ Haka 4 1490 54.57% Jaro 0 1380 18.56% 26.87%
25 2007-05-23 8.47 Tampere United 2 1486 28.71% @ HJK 0 1490 40.22% 31.07%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-07-09 69.5 @ Haka 3 1483 39.71% HJK 3 1483 29.16% 31.13%
2 2007-09-13 66.9 @ Viikingit 3 1350 20.33% Tampere United 3 1513 51.56% 28.11%
3 2007-07-22 64.6 @ AC Oulu 3 1335 24.07% Honka 3 1457 46.02% 29.91%
4 2007-05-17 64.4 @ HJK 2 1491 51.12% Mariehamn 2 1407 20.60% 28.27%
5 2007-08-04 64.1 @ Tampere United 2 1498 57.43% VPS 2 1364 17.02% 25.55%
6 2007-06-10 63.4 @ HJK 2 1481 53.95% Jaro 2 1376 18.91% 27.14%
7 2007-09-23 62.4 @ AC Oulu 3 1324 33.71% VPS 3 1366 34.84% 31.46%
8 2007-10-01 62.2 @ Honka 2 1458 54.70% Jaro 2 1347 18.48% 26.81%
9 2007-08-05 62.0 @ Lahti 2 1403 33.23% Honka 2 1448 35.32% 31.45%
10 2007-08-12 61.1 @ Lahti 2 1403 38.36% Inter Turku 2 1413 30.37% 31.28%
11 2007-06-14 60.8 @ Haka 1 1490 38.69% Tampere United 1 1497 30.06% 31.24%
12 2007-10-07 60.5 @ Haka 1 1510 46.91% Honka 1 1458 23.43% 29.66%
13 2007-10-20 60.5 @ Tampere United 1 1521 51.87% MyPa Anjalankoski 1 1431 20.14% 27.99%
14 2007-09-17 60.0 @ KooTeePee 2 1364 33.89% Lahti 2 1405 34.65% 31.46%
15 2007-10-24 59.6 Mariehamn 2 1420 20.21% @ Haka 1 1509 51.76% 28.03%
16 2007-07-29 59.3 @ Viikingit 2 1347 35.31% Mariehamn 2 1378 33.24% 31.45%
17 2007-10-21 58.7 @ Lahti 1 1418 27.38% Haka 1 1509 41.79% 30.83%
18 2007-09-03 58.6 @ Inter Turku 1 1415 27.13% Tampere United 1 1509 42.09% 30.78%
19 2007-10-01 58.6 TPS Turku 3 1418 29.92% @ Lahti 2 1412 38.85% 31.23%
20 2007-04-27 58.3 @ Viikingit 3 1360 28.43% Honka 2 1442 40.55% 31.02%
21 2007-08-25 58.1 @ HJK 1 1496 57.16% KooTeePee 1 1364 17.16% 25.68%
22 2007-05-03 58.0 Lahti 2 1382 18.97% @ Haka 1 1487 53.84% 27.19%
23 2007-08-06 58.0 @ HJK 1 1497 59.48% Viikingit 1 1347 16.00% 24.53%
24 2007-09-13 57.4 @ TPS Turku 2 1410 26.27% Haka 1 1511 43.16% 30.57%
25 2007-06-28 57.3 @ Inter Turku 1 1403 28.56% HJK 1 1484 40.40% 31.04%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-10-07 34.0 @ TPS Turku 4 1422 52.89% AC Oulu 0 1325 19.53% 27.58%
2 2007-09-21 35.3 @ Haka 3 1508 58.80% KooTeePee 0 1364 16.33% 24.87%
3 2007-09-19 35.4 @ Honka 2 1458 57.05% AC Oulu 0 1328 17.22% 25.74%
4 2007-09-24 35.5 @ TPS Turku 5 1406 49.50% Viikingit 0 1335 21.65% 28.86%
5 2007-06-28 35.6 @ Haka 2 1486 59.27% AC Oulu 0 1338 16.10% 24.63%
6 2007-08-05 36.4 @ Haka 4 1490 54.57% Jaro 0 1380 18.56% 26.87%
7 2007-10-27 37.2 Haka 2 1504 54.03% @ Viikingit 0 1321 18.86% 27.11%
8 2007-06-08 37.4 @ Lahti 6 1390 45.37% VPS 0 1350 24.55% 30.08%
9 2007-10-24 37.6 Tampere United 3 1520 51.72% @ KooTeePee 0 1355 20.23% 28.05%
10 2007-05-09 38.1 @ KooTeePee 3 1365 39.21% AC Oulu 0 1369 29.60% 31.19%
11 2007-04-26 38.2 @ Inter Turku 5 1403 43.08% VPS 0 1379 26.33% 30.59%
12 2007-08-25 38.2 @ Tampere United 4 1504 62.29% AC Oulu 1 1331 14.68% 23.03%
13 2007-06-14 38.5 @ Jaro 2 1376 43.31% Viikingit 0 1351 26.15% 30.54%
14 2007-06-11 38.8 @ VPS 5 1333 36.11% AC Oulu 0 1359 32.47% 31.42%
15 2007-08-30 38.8 @ Lahti 2 1399 44.37% KooTeePee 0 1365 25.32% 30.32%
16 2007-09-16 38.8 Mariehamn 3 1393 36.62% @ AC Oulu 0 1339 31.98% 31.40%
17 2007-09-20 38.9 Lahti 4 1405 36.86% @ Viikingit 0 1348 31.76% 31.39%
18 2007-08-19 39.0 @ Tampere United 3 1497 50.85% TPS Turku 0 1416 20.77% 28.38%
19 2007-05-10 39.3 @ MyPa Anjalankoski 2 1422 45.32% Jaro 0 1381 24.59% 30.09%
20 2007-09-10 39.3 Tampere United 2 1508 50.39% @ Jaro 0 1354 21.07% 28.55%
21 2007-09-16 39.4 @ Haka 1 1506 60.18% Viikingit 0 1350 15.66% 24.16%
22 2007-09-20 39.4 MyPa Anjalankoski 3 1414 36.99% @ Jaro 0 1357 31.63% 31.38%
23 2007-05-27 39.8 @ TPS Turku 5 1409 46.71% VPS 1 1359 23.57% 29.72%
24 2007-10-21 39.8 Inter Turku 2 1398 38.90% @ Viikingit 0 1327 29.88% 31.22%
25 2007-05-10 40.1 @ Tampere United 1 1491 57.23% Viikingit 0 1359 17.12% 25.65%