‹ ›

2009 Veikkausliiga Season

182 games

Final

Champion

HJK

52 points · 22nd Title

Last Title: 2003

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

HJK

7.25 points above expected

52 points · 44.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

JJK

9.29 points below expected

16 points · 25.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK Champion 26 14 10 2 52 45 21 +24 44.75 +7.25
2 Honka 26 13 10 3 49 65 29 +36 46.10 +2.90
3 TPS Turku 26 13 10 3 49 46 20 +26 43.31 +5.69
4 Mariehamn 26 10 13 3 43 30 21 +9 36.58 +6.42
5 Inter Turku 26 11 7 8 40 38 30 +8 42.44 -2.44
6 Haka 26 10 7 9 37 40 35 +5 36.94 +0.06
7 Tampere United 26 11 4 11 37 31 31 0 34.09 +2.91
8 VPS 26 10 5 11 35 30 36 -6 31.30 +3.70
9 MyPa 26 9 7 10 34 32 30 +2 36.05 -2.05
10 Jaro 26 8 8 10 32 33 34 -1 33.89 -1.89
11 Lahti 26 8 7 11 31 33 40 -7 38.28 -7.28
12 KuPS 26 6 5 15 23 29 53 -24 22.26 +0.74
13 JJK 26 3 7 16 16 25 52 -27 25.29 -9.29
14 RoPS 26 4 4 18 16 21 66 -45 22.49 -6.49

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 HJK 52 44.75 +7.25
2 Mariehamn 43 36.58 +6.42
3 TPS Turku 49 43.31 +5.69
4 VPS 35 31.30 +3.70
5 Tampere United 37 34.09 +2.91

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 JJK 16 25.29 -9.29
2 Lahti 31 38.28 -7.28
3 RoPS 16 22.49 -6.49
4 Inter Turku 40 42.44 -2.44
5 MyPa 34 36.05 -2.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VPS 5 May 24 – Jun 25 1 in 302
2 Haka 4 May 14 – May 31 1 in 38
3 KuPS 2 Aug 5 – Aug 14 1 in 38
4 TPS Turku 4 May 28 – Jun 27 1 in 24
5 Tampere United 3 Jul 1 – Jul 12 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 JJK 7 Aug 23 – Oct 4 1 in 56
2 KuPS 7 May 18 – Jun 24 1 in 52
3 Inter Turku 2 May 23 – May 28 1 in 43
4 Haka 2 Jul 13 – Jul 18 1 in 19
5 MyPa 2 May 24 – May 31 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mariehamn 16 May 10 – Aug 22 1 in 1,202
2 TPS Turku 15 May 17 – Sep 13 1 in 83
3 HJK 16 Jun 28 – Oct 17 1 in 66
4 KuPS 5 Jul 19 – Aug 14 1 in 50
5 Inter Turku 7 Aug 22 – Oct 17 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Haka 9 Jul 13 – Sep 20 1 in 138
2 Jaro 10 Jun 24 – Aug 21 1 in 112
3 HJK 5 Jul 19 – Aug 16 1 in 23
4 Inter Turku 5 Jun 28 – Jul 18 1 in 19
5 Mariehamn 6 Jun 24 – Aug 2 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HJK 1625 52 +20 11 9.6 +1.4
Honka 1653 49 +55 13 9.8 +3.2
TPS Turku 1633 49 +2 8 9.8 -1.8
Mariehamn 1484 43 -10 10 8.6 +1.4
Inter Turku 1533 40 +31 9 7.9 +1.1
Haka 1448 37 +27 6 6.0 +0.0
Tampere United 1458 37 -23 5 7.9 -2.9
VPS 1420 35 -1 6 6.2 -0.2
MyPa 1472 34 -12 5 6.7 -1.7
Jaro 1433 32 +15 7 4.5 +2.5
Lahti 1426 31 -14 6 6.6 -0.6
KuPS 1332 23 -30 4 4.9 -0.9
RoPS 1230 16 -24 4 3.2 +0.8
JJK 1251 16 -36 1 3.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HAK HON IT JJK JAR KUP LAH MAR MYP ROP TT TU VPS
HJK —
1-1-0
3.24
0-2-0
2.60
1-1-0
3.10
0-2-0
4.06
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
4.34
0-2-0
2.92
2-0-0
3.52
2-0-0
3.72
Haka
0-1-1
2.17
—
0-1-1
1.77
1-1-0
2.27
0-1-1
3.50
0-1-1
3.12
1-0-1
3.95
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.77
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
3.16
Honka
0-2-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.67
—
0-0-2
3.26
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
3.58
2-0-0
4.40
0-2-0
3.20
0-2-0
3.37
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
4.55
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.69
2-0-0
3.62
Inter Turku
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
3.15
2-0-0
2.16
—
1-0-1
4.12
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
4.13
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
3.37
1-1-0
3.00
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.20
0-1-1
3.69
JJK
0-2-0
1.43
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
1.37
—
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
3.21
1-0-1
1.57
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
2.69
0-2-0
1.57
0-1-1
1.56
0-0-2
1.80
Jaro
0-1-1
1.85
1-1-0
2.28
0-0-2
1.84
0-0-2
2.22
2-0-0
3.46
—
0-2-0
3.68
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
2.54
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
3.75
1-1-0
1.87
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.94
KuPS
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
1.52
0-0-2
1.13
1-0-1
1.35
2-0-0
2.19
0-2-0
1.75
—
0-1-1
1.54
0-1-1
1.65
1-0-1
1.70
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
1.47
0-0-2
1.88
0-1-1
1.92
Lahti
0-0-2
2.23
0-0-2
2.52
0-2-0
2.20
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
3.88
2-0-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.92
—
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
3.72
0-0-2
2.27
2-0-0
2.52
0-1-1
3.43
Mariehamn
0-1-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.93
0-2-0
2.04
1-1-0
2.04
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
3.79
1-1-0
2.80
—
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
3.63
0-2-0
2.08
1-0-1
2.99
0-2-0
3.18
MyPa
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.34
0-1-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.40
2-0-0
3.51
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.79
—
1-1-0
3.94
0-1-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
3.04
RoPS
1-0-1
1.19
0-1-1
1.67
0-0-2
1.02
0-0-2
1.53
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
1.68
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
1.82
0-1-1
1.51
—
0-0-2
1.06
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
2.09
TPS Turku
0-2-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.82
0-2-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.70
0-2-0
3.88
0-1-1
3.56
2-0-0
4.01
2-0-0
3.17
0-2-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.63
2-0-0
4.48
—
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.64
Tampere United
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
1.75
1-1-0
2.21
1-1-0
3.88
0-1-1
2.99
2-0-0
3.54
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
3.79
0-0-2
2.28
—
2-0-0
2.90
VPS
0-0-2
1.72
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
1.80
1-1-0
1.76
2-0-0
3.62
1-0-1
2.46
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
2.00
0-2-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.37
2-0-0
3.32
0-0-2
1.79
0-0-2
2.50
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.61 +8.1
Allowed 0.86 -7.9
Differential 0.93 +5.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.89%7.97%7.69%3.02%1.65%0.27%30.49%
17.97%11.54%5.49%2.47%0.82%1.65%29.95%
27.69%5.49%6.04%2.20%0.82%0.82%23.08%
33.02%2.47%2.20%1.10%0.27%0.55%9.62%
41.65%0.82%0.82%0.27%——3.57%
5+0.27%1.65%0.82%0.55%——3.30%
Total30.49%29.95%23.08%9.62%3.57%3.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.37 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 1.90
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%————11.54%
111.54%26.92%————38.46%
215.38%11.54%3.85%———30.77%
33.85%——3.85%——7.69%
43.85%——3.85%——7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%50.00%3.85%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.81 +0.92
SD 1.25 0.85 1.32
CV 0.72 1.05 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
17.69%7.69%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
27.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—23.08%
37.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total34.62%26.92%19.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.35 +0.19
SD 1.36 1.38 1.90
CV 0.89 1.03 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%————15.38%
1—19.23%3.85%———23.08%
23.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
Total26.92%42.31%23.08%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.12 +1.38
SD 2.12 0.91 2.19
CV 0.85 0.81 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%15.38%———26.92%
17.69%11.54%————19.23%
211.54%7.69%11.54%7.69%——38.46%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%30.77%30.77%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.15 +0.31
SD 1.14 0.97 1.59
CV 0.78 0.84 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
13.85%15.38%11.54%7.69%—3.85%42.31%
2—3.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%19.23%
3———————
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%26.92%30.77%19.23%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 2.00 -1.04
SD 0.96 1.36 1.48
CV 1.00 0.68 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%11.54%3.85%———30.77%
17.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%—3.85%34.62%
211.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
33.85%————7.69%11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%30.77%15.38%3.85%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.31 -0.04
SD 1.25 1.59 1.75
CV 0.99 1.22 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%11.54%19.23%3.85%—46.15%
1—7.69%3.85%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
23.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total7.69%30.77%26.92%23.08%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.04 -0.92
SD 1.34 1.25 2.12
CV 1.20 0.61 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
111.54%15.38%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
23.85%7.69%7.69%—7.69%3.85%30.77%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%42.31%19.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.54 -0.27
SD 1.00 1.33 1.54
CV 0.79 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.92%3.85%3.85%———34.62%
13.85%15.38%———3.85%23.08%
211.54%15.38%7.69%———34.62%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%38.46%11.54%——3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 0.81 +0.35
SD 1.01 1.10 1.38
CV 0.87 1.36 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
111.54%3.85%11.54%7.69%——34.62%
27.69%—7.69%———15.38%
3——3.85%———3.85%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+———————
Total42.31%11.54%34.62%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.15 +0.08
SD 1.31 1.12 1.85
CV 1.06 0.97 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%15.38%3.85%46.15%
17.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%38.46%
2—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
3———————
4———————
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total15.38%15.38%19.23%23.08%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 2.54 -1.73
SD 1.10 1.96 2.31
CV 1.36 0.77 —
Max 5 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%3.85%———23.08%
13.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
215.38%—7.69%———23.08%
311.54%3.85%3.85%———19.23%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total50.00%23.08%26.92%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.77 +1.00
SD 1.42 0.86 1.52
CV 0.80 1.12 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%11.54%———30.77%
119.23%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—38.46%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total30.77%30.77%30.77%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.19 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.06 1.62
CV 1.01 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%15.38%3.85%——42.31%
115.38%—3.85%———19.23%
27.69%3.85%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
3—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%19.23%30.77%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.38 -0.23
SD 1.19 1.36 1.50
CV 1.03 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Honka 1653 49 46.10 +2.90 70.0% 27 34 42 46 51 55 61
TPS Turku 1633 49 43.31 +5.69 82.0% 28 32 39 43 48 52 65
HJK 1625 52 44.75 +7.25 88.0% 31 32 40 45 49 56 62
Inter Turku 1533 40 42.44 -2.44 43.0% 29 33 38 42 46 52 62
Mariehamn 1484 43 36.58 +6.42 85.0% 19 27 32 37 41 49 53
MyPa 1472 34 36.05 -2.05 37.0% 19 25 32 36 40 47 50
Tampere United 1458 37 34.09 +2.91 72.0% 21 24 31 34 38 41 50
Haka 1448 37 36.94 +0.06 51.0% 23 27 32 37 40 48 52
Jaro 1433 32 33.89 -1.89 42.0% 19 24 30 34 39 43 48
Lahti 1426 31 38.28 -7.28 12.0% 22 28 35 39 42 47 57
VPS 1420 35 31.30 +3.70 78.0% 17 20 27 31 35 42 48
KuPS 1332 23 22.26 +0.74 58.0% 9 11 18 22 26 34 37
JJK 1251 16 25.29 -9.29 3.0% 12 17 21 25 29 34 38
RoPS 1230 16 22.49 -6.49 15.0% 10 12 18 23 26 32 44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.09%
Slight Edge
41.76%28.57%29.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
138 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
042.20400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.3
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
HJK, 2nd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Comfortable
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.93 * Some Luck: 4.93 to 7.4 * Lucky: 7.4 to 9.87 * Wild Swing: 9.87 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.67 * Close: 1.67 to 2.5 * Off: 2.5 to 3.34 * Way Off: 3.34 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.02 points
Some Luck
06.1715
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.57
Pinpoint
02.085
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
88.00%
HJK
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
3.00%
JJK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 129.31
1.73
Strong Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
92%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Rare
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Slight Separation
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.72
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Strong Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Solid Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.33
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.99
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.046
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
HJK24.00%21.00%17.00%10.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%————
Honka34.00%24.00%18.00%3.00%11.00%1.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%——1.00%—
TPS Turku21.00%16.00%15.00%15.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%—5.00%————
Mariehamn1.00%5.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%7.00%16.00%4.00%9.00%4.00%2.00%—
Inter Turku10.00%17.00%11.00%19.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%4.00%3.00%———
Haka4.00%3.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%18.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%—
Tampere United—3.00%1.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%9.00%20.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%
VPS1.00%1.00%4.00%—4.00%4.00%4.00%10.00%18.00%9.00%19.00%14.00%10.00%2.00%
MyPa2.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%6.00%10.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%
Jaro——4.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%25.00%4.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%
Lahti3.00%5.00%6.00%17.00%10.00%18.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%—
KuPS——————2.00%4.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%12.00%25.00%41.00%
JJK——————1.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%20.00%28.00%23.00%17.00%
RoPS——1.00%————1.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%20.00%27.00%36.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
HJK 100% — —
Haka 99.00% 1.00% —
Honka 99.00% 1.00% —
Inter Turku 100% — —
Lahti 98.00% 2.00% —
Mariehamn 98.00% 2.00% —
TPS Turku 100% — —
Jaro 96.00% 3.00% 1.00%
MyPa 96.00% 3.00% 1.00%
Tampere United 95.00% 3.00% 2.00%
VPS 88.00% 10.00% 2.00%
JJK 60.00% 23.00% 17.00%
RoPS 37.00% 27.00% 36.00%
KuPS 34.00% 25.00% 41.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2009-04-18 Haka L 1-257.4 1477 1435 46.20% 29.58% 24.22%+0.61 -14.5 0
2009-04-18 @ TPS Turku W 2-157.4 1435 1477 24.22% 29.58% 46.20%-0.61 +14.5 3
2009-04-18 KuPS W 5-139.3 1493 1373 55.32% 27.67% 17.01%+1.18 +20.9 3
2009-04-18 @ HJK L 1-539.3 1373 1493 17.01% 27.67% 55.32%-1.18 -20.9 0
2009-04-19 Lahti D 2-268.0 1532 1506 44.25% 29.82% 25.93%+0.50 -0.9 1
2009-04-19 @ Honka D 2-268.0 1506 1532 25.93% 29.82% 44.25%-0.50 +0.9 1
2009-04-20 Inter Turku W 2-051.5 1407 1555 21.91% 29.15% 48.95%-0.77 +30.3 3
2009-04-20 @ Mariehamn L 0-251.5 1555 1407 48.95% 29.15% 21.91%+0.77 -30.3 0
2009-04-22 Haka L 0-148.3 1420 1450 36.63% 30.30% 33.07%+0.09 -12.8 0
2009-04-22 @ VPS W 1-048.3 1450 1420 33.07% 30.30% 36.63%-0.09 +12.8 6
2009-04-23 Honka D 2-265.3 1437 1532 27.86% 30.03% 42.12%-0.38 +0.7 4
2009-04-23 @ Mariehamn D 2-265.3 1532 1437 42.12% 30.03% 27.86%+0.38 -0.7 2
2009-04-23 Jaro L 0-249.5 1485 1420 49.11% 29.12% 21.77%+0.78 -30.4 0
2009-04-23 @ Tampere United W 2-049.5 1420 1485 21.77% 29.12% 49.11%-0.78 +30.4 3
2009-04-23 KuPS W 1-040.3 1507 1352 58.90% 26.53% 14.58%+1.43 +6.0 4
2009-04-23 @ Lahti L 0-140.3 1352 1507 14.58% 26.53% 58.90%-1.43 -6.0 0
2009-04-23 MyPa W 2-154.7 1525 1489 45.52% 29.67% 24.81%+0.57 +9.1 3
2009-04-23 @ Inter Turku L 1-254.7 1489 1525 24.81% 29.67% 45.52%-0.57 -9.1 0
2009-04-23 TPS Turku D 2-265.8 1514 1462 47.50% 29.39% 23.11%+0.68 -1.3 4
2009-04-23 @ HJK D 2-265.8 1462 1514 23.11% 29.39% 47.50%-0.68 +1.3 1
2009-04-27 Honka L 2-548.8 1407 1531 24.46% 29.62% 45.92%-0.59 -19.1 0
2009-04-27 @ VPS W 5-248.8 1531 1407 45.92% 29.62% 24.46%+0.59 +19.1 5
2009-04-27 JJK D 0-052.4 1464 1392 49.82% 28.98% 21.19%+0.82 -2.2 2
2009-04-27 @ TPS Turku D 0-052.4 1392 1464 21.19% 28.98% 49.82%-0.82 +2.2 1
2009-04-29 HJK L 1-256.1 1463 1513 33.68% 30.31% 36.01%-0.06 -11.4 6
2009-04-29 @ Haka W 2-156.1 1513 1463 36.01% 30.31% 33.68%+0.06 +11.4 7
2009-04-29 Jaro W 1-046.8 1534 1450 51.29% 28.69% 20.03%+0.91 +8.1 6
2009-04-29 @ Inter Turku L 0-146.8 1450 1534 20.03% 28.69% 51.29%-0.91 -8.1 3
2009-04-29 KuPS W 3-035.0 1438 1346 52.17% 28.49% 19.34%+0.97 +21.5 7
2009-04-29 @ Mariehamn L 0-335.0 1346 1438 19.34% 28.49% 52.17%-0.97 -21.5 0
2009-04-29 RoPS W 4-143.4 1513 1411 53.34% 28.21% 18.46%+1.05 +17.4 7
2009-04-29 @ Lahti L 1-443.4 1411 1513 18.46% 28.21% 53.34%-1.05 -17.4 0
2009-04-29 Tampere United W 4-146.5 1479 1454 44.09% 29.84% 26.08%+0.49 +23.2 3
2009-04-29 @ MyPa L 1-446.5 1454 1479 26.08% 29.84% 44.09%-0.49 -23.2 0
2009-05-02 Inter Turku D 0-058.6 1503 1542 35.27% 30.31% 34.41%+0.02 -0.1 4
2009-05-02 @ MyPa D 0-058.6 1542 1503 34.41% 30.31% 35.27%-0.02 +0.1 7
2009-05-02 VPS W 1-043.0 1431 1388 46.42% 29.55% 24.03%+0.62 +9.4 3
2009-05-02 @ Tampere United L 0-143.0 1388 1431 24.03% 29.55% 46.42%-0.62 -9.4 0
2009-05-04 Honka D 1-161.3 1451 1550 27.33% 29.98% 42.69%-0.41 +1.0 7
2009-05-04 @ Haka D 1-161.3 1550 1451 42.69% 29.98% 27.33%+0.41 -1.0 6
2009-05-04 Jaro D 1-157.9 1461 1442 43.34% 29.92% 26.75%+0.45 -1.1 3
2009-05-04 @ TPS Turku D 1-157.9 1442 1461 26.75% 29.92% 43.34%-0.45 +1.1 4
2009-05-06 Mariehamn W 2-044.2 1524 1459 49.10% 29.12% 21.78%+0.78 +16.4 10
2009-05-06 @ HJK L 0-244.2 1459 1524 21.78% 29.12% 49.10%-0.78 -16.4 7
2009-05-07 Haka D 0-051.7 1395 1452 32.68% 30.29% 37.03%-0.11 +0.3 2
2009-05-07 @ JJK D 0-051.7 1452 1395 37.03% 30.29% 32.68%+0.11 -0.3 8
2009-05-07 Inter Turku L 0-242.5 1394 1542 21.94% 29.15% 48.91%-0.77 -16.5 0
2009-05-07 @ RoPS W 2-042.5 1542 1394 48.91% 29.15% 21.94%+0.77 +16.5 10
2009-05-07 KuPS D 1-155.0 1443 1325 55.13% 27.73% 17.14%+1.17 -2.8 5
2009-05-07 @ Jaro D 1-155.0 1325 1443 17.14% 27.73% 55.13%-1.17 +2.8 1
2009-05-07 MyPa D 0-059.1 1549 1503 46.81% 29.49% 23.70%+0.64 -1.8 7
2009-05-07 @ Honka D 0-059.1 1503 1549 23.70% 29.49% 46.81%-0.64 +1.8 5
2009-05-07 VPS D 0-054.7 1531 1379 58.62% 26.62% 14.76%+1.41 -3.6 8
2009-05-07 @ Lahti D 0-054.7 1379 1531 14.76% 26.62% 58.62%-1.41 +3.6 1
2009-05-08 TPS Turku L 0-246.5 1441 1460 38.08% 30.26% 31.66%+0.17 -24.9 3
2009-05-08 @ Tampere United W 2-046.5 1460 1441 31.66% 30.26% 38.08%-0.17 +24.9 6
2009-05-10 JJK W 2-042.3 1328 1395 31.35% 30.25% 38.41%-0.18 +25.1 4
2009-05-10 @ KuPS L 0-242.3 1395 1328 38.41% 30.25% 31.35%+0.18 -25.1 2
2009-05-10 Mariehamn D 0-051.1 1378 1443 31.61% 30.26% 38.13%-0.17 +0.5 1
2009-05-10 @ RoPS D 0-051.1 1443 1378 38.13% 30.26% 31.61%+0.17 -0.5 8
2009-05-11 HJK W 1-053.8 1504 1541 35.68% 30.31% 34.01%+0.04 +12.2 8
2009-05-11 @ MyPa L 0-153.8 1541 1504 34.01% 30.31% 35.68%-0.04 -12.2 10
2009-05-13 Jaro L 1-250.9 1382 1440 32.61% 30.29% 37.11%-0.12 -11.2 1
2009-05-13 @ VPS W 2-150.9 1440 1382 37.11% 30.29% 32.61%+0.12 +11.2 8
2009-05-14 Honka D 1-164.0 1529 1547 38.20% 30.26% 31.55%+0.17 -0.4 11
2009-05-14 @ HJK D 1-164.0 1547 1529 31.55% 30.26% 38.20%-0.17 +0.4 8
2009-05-14 Lahti D 2-268.1 1517 1527 39.33% 30.21% 30.46%+0.23 -0.4 9
2009-05-14 @ MyPa D 2-268.1 1527 1517 30.46% 30.21% 39.33%-0.23 +0.4 9
2009-05-14 RoPS D 1-153.9 1370 1378 39.65% 30.19% 30.16%+0.25 -0.6 3
2009-05-14 @ JJK D 1-153.9 1378 1370 30.16% 30.19% 39.65%-0.25 +0.6 2
2009-05-14 Tampere United W 1-044.5 1452 1416 45.51% 29.67% 24.82%+0.57 +9.7 11
2009-05-14 @ Haka L 0-144.5 1416 1452 24.82% 29.67% 45.51%-0.57 -9.6 3
2009-05-14 TPS Turku W 2-046.1 1558 1485 50.08% 28.93% 20.98%+0.84 +15.9 13
2009-05-14 @ Inter Turku L 0-246.1 1485 1558 20.98% 28.93% 50.08%-0.84 -15.9 6
2009-05-17 HJK D 1-158.0 1369 1528 20.88% 28.91% 50.21%-0.85 +2.1 4
2009-05-17 @ JJK D 1-158.0 1528 1369 50.21% 28.91% 20.88%+0.85 -2.1 12
2009-05-17 Honka W 1-054.3 1406 1548 22.59% 29.29% 48.12%-0.72 +15.8 6
2009-05-17 @ Tampere United L 0-154.3 1548 1406 48.12% 29.29% 22.59%+0.72 -15.8 8
2009-05-17 Jaro W 2-151.9 1527 1452 50.39% 28.87% 20.74%+0.86 +7.9 12
2009-05-17 @ Lahti L 1-251.9 1452 1527 20.74% 28.87% 50.39%-0.86 -7.9 8
2009-05-17 MyPa D 0-055.4 1442 1516 30.50% 30.21% 39.29%-0.23 +0.6 9
2009-05-17 @ Mariehamn D 0-055.4 1516 1442 39.29% 30.21% 30.50%+0.23 -0.6 10
2009-05-17 RoPS W 3-144.0 1462 1379 51.20% 28.71% 20.10%+0.91 +13.3 14
2009-05-17 @ Haka L 1-344.0 1379 1462 20.10% 28.71% 51.20%-0.91 -13.3 2
2009-05-17 VPS W 2-038.3 1469 1371 52.92% 28.31% 18.77%+1.02 +14.4 9
2009-05-17 @ TPS Turku L 0-238.3 1371 1469 18.77% 28.31% 52.92%-1.02 -14.4 1
2009-05-18 Inter Turku L 0-239.7 1353 1574 15.76% 27.13% 57.12%-1.30 -12.3 4
2009-05-18 @ KuPS W 2-039.7 1574 1353 57.12% 27.13% 15.76%+1.30 +12.3 16
2009-05-23 Haka L 0-256.5 1587 1475 54.44% 27.92% 17.65%+1.12 -33.1 16
2009-05-23 @ Inter Turku W 2-056.5 1475 1587 17.65% 27.92% 54.44%-1.12 +33.1 17
2009-05-23 Honka L 2-354.0 1371 1532 20.74% 28.87% 50.39%-0.86 -7.5 4
2009-05-23 @ JJK W 3-254.0 1532 1371 50.39% 28.87% 20.74%+0.86 +7.5 11
2009-05-24 KuPS W 2-037.1 1422 1340 51.05% 28.74% 20.22%+0.90 +15.4 9
2009-05-24 @ Tampere United L 0-237.1 1340 1422 20.22% 28.74% 51.05%-0.90 -15.4 4
2009-05-24 Mariehamn D 0-054.4 1484 1443 46.08% 29.60% 24.33%+0.60 -1.7 10
2009-05-24 @ TPS Turku D 0-054.4 1443 1484 24.33% 29.60% 46.08%-0.60 +1.7 10
2009-05-24 MyPa W 3-046.6 1444 1515 30.75% 30.22% 39.03%-0.22 +36.8 11
2009-05-24 @ Jaro L 0-346.6 1515 1444 39.03% 30.22% 30.75%+0.22 -36.9 10
2009-05-24 RoPS W 2-039.9 1357 1365 39.57% 30.20% 30.23%+0.24 +21.1 4
2009-05-24 @ VPS L 0-239.9 1365 1357 30.23% 30.20% 39.57%-0.24 -21.1 2
2009-05-25 Lahti W 1-053.2 1526 1535 39.49% 30.20% 30.31%+0.24 +11.2 15
2009-05-25 @ HJK L 0-153.2 1535 1526 30.31% 30.20% 39.49%-0.24 -11.2 12
2009-05-27 Jaro W 5-146.8 1539 1480 48.33% 29.25% 22.42%+0.73 +26.5 14
2009-05-27 @ Honka L 1-546.8 1480 1539 22.42% 29.25% 48.33%-0.73 -26.5 11
2009-05-27 Mariehamn L 0-241.3 1364 1445 29.56% 30.16% 40.28%-0.28 -20.8 4
2009-05-27 @ JJK W 2-041.3 1445 1364 40.28% 30.16% 29.56%+0.28 +20.8 13
2009-05-28 Tampere United W 1-045.9 1537 1437 53.12% 28.26% 18.62%+1.03 +7.6 18
2009-05-28 @ HJK L 0-145.9 1437 1537 18.62% 28.26% 53.12%-1.03 -7.6 9
2009-05-28 TPS Turku L 0-336.2 1325 1482 21.06% 28.95% 49.98%-0.83 -23.1 4
2009-05-28 @ KuPS W 3-036.2 1482 1325 49.98% 28.95% 21.06%+0.83 +23.1 13
2009-05-28 VPS L 0-156.3 1553 1378 60.93% 25.77% 13.30%+1.58 -19.3 16
2009-05-28 @ Inter Turku W 1-056.3 1378 1553 13.30% 25.77% 60.93%-1.58 +19.3 7
2009-05-31 HJK W 1-053.7 1344 1545 17.30% 27.79% 54.91%-1.15 +17.7 5
2009-05-31 @ RoPS L 0-153.7 1545 1344 54.91% 27.79% 17.30%+1.15 -17.7 18
2009-05-31 JJK W 5-137.8 1454 1343 54.34% 27.95% 17.72%+1.11 +21.7 14
2009-05-31 @ Jaro L 1-537.8 1343 1454 17.72% 27.95% 54.34%-1.11 -21.7 4
2009-05-31 KuPS W 3-032.1 1508 1302 63.75% 24.59% 11.66%+1.80 +13.1 20
2009-05-31 @ Haka L 0-332.1 1302 1508 11.66% 24.59% 63.75%-1.80 -13.1 4
2009-05-31 Tampere United W 1-045.4 1466 1430 45.47% 29.68% 24.85%+0.57 +9.7 16
2009-05-31 @ Mariehamn L 0-145.4 1430 1466 24.85% 29.68% 45.47%-0.57 -9.7 9
2009-05-31 TPS Turku L 2-461.6 1524 1505 43.30% 29.92% 26.78%+0.44 -21.3 12
2009-05-31 @ Lahti W 4-261.6 1505 1524 26.78% 29.92% 43.30%-0.44 +21.3 16
2009-05-31 VPS L 0-249.1 1479 1397 51.04% 28.74% 20.22%+0.90 -31.4 10
2009-05-31 @ MyPa W 2-049.1 1397 1479 20.22% 28.74% 51.04%-0.90 +31.4 10
2009-06-01 Honka W 2-160.5 1534 1566 36.37% 30.30% 33.33%+0.08 +11.3 19
2009-06-01 @ Inter Turku L 1-260.5 1566 1534 33.33% 30.30% 36.37%-0.08 -11.3 14
2009-06-13 MyPa L 0-236.9 1289 1447 20.91% 28.92% 50.17%-0.84 -15.8 4
2009-06-13 @ KuPS W 2-036.9 1447 1289 50.17% 28.92% 20.91%+0.84 +15.8 13
2009-06-14 Mariehamn D 1-160.5 1503 1475 44.42% 29.80% 25.78%+0.51 -1.3 13
2009-06-14 @ Lahti D 1-160.5 1475 1503 25.78% 29.80% 44.42%-0.51 +1.3 17
2009-06-14 RoPS W 2-037.7 1476 1362 54.64% 27.86% 17.50%+1.13 +13.5 17
2009-06-14 @ Jaro L 0-237.7 1362 1476 17.50% 27.86% 54.64%-1.13 -13.5 5
2009-06-17 Haka W 2-157.4 1476 1521 34.51% 30.31% 35.18%-0.02 +11.8 20
2009-06-17 @ Mariehamn L 1-257.4 1521 1476 35.18% 30.31% 34.51%+0.02 -11.8 20
2009-06-17 KuPS W 1-037.0 1429 1273 58.98% 26.50% 14.52%+1.44 +6.0 13
2009-06-17 @ VPS L 0-137.0 1273 1429 14.52% 26.50% 58.98%-1.44 -6.0 4
2009-06-17 Lahti W 2-156.3 1321 1502 18.97% 28.37% 52.66%-1.00 +16.1 7
2009-06-17 @ JJK L 1-256.3 1502 1321 52.66% 28.37% 18.97%+1.00 -16.1 13
2009-06-17 RoPS W 3-142.8 1420 1348 49.89% 28.97% 21.13%+0.83 +13.8 12
2009-06-17 @ Tampere United L 1-342.8 1348 1420 21.13% 28.97% 49.89%-0.83 -13.8 5
2009-06-24 KuPS W 4-135.1 1554 1267 70.61% 21.14% 8.24%+2.39 +7.5 17
2009-06-24 @ Honka L 1-435.1 1267 1554 8.24% 21.14% 70.61%-2.39 -7.5 4
2009-06-24 Lahti W 3-044.0 1509 1485 43.94% 29.85% 26.21%+0.48 +27.6 23
2009-06-24 @ Haka L 0-344.0 1485 1509 26.21% 29.85% 43.94%-0.48 -27.6 13
2009-06-24 Mariehamn D 0-056.1 1489 1488 40.89% 30.12% 29.00%+0.31 -0.9 18
2009-06-24 @ Jaro D 0-056.1 1488 1489 29.00% 30.12% 40.89%-0.31 +0.9 21
2009-06-24 RoPS W 3-249.0 1526 1335 62.45% 25.15% 12.40%+1.70 +4.6 19
2009-06-24 @ TPS Turku L 2-349.0 1335 1526 12.40% 25.15% 62.45%-1.70 -4.6 5
2009-06-25 JJK W 3-249.8 1435 1338 52.80% 28.34% 18.86%+1.01 +6.9 16
2009-06-25 @ VPS L 2-349.8 1338 1435 18.86% 28.34% 52.80%-1.01 -6.9 7
2009-06-27 MyPa W 3-149.7 1531 1463 49.43% 29.06% 21.51%+0.80 +14.0 22
2009-06-27 @ TPS Turku L 1-349.7 1463 1531 21.51% 29.06% 49.43%-0.80 -14.0 13
2009-06-27 Tampere United W 2-150.8 1458 1434 43.94% 29.85% 26.21%+0.48 +9.5 16
2009-06-27 @ Lahti L 1-250.8 1434 1458 26.21% 29.85% 43.94%-0.48 -9.5 12
2009-06-28 Honka L 1-246.5 1330 1562 15.05% 26.78% 58.17%-1.38 -5.9 5
2009-06-28 @ RoPS W 2-146.5 1562 1330 58.17% 26.78% 15.05%+1.38 +5.9 20
2009-06-28 Inter Turku W 2-050.7 1527 1545 38.23% 30.25% 31.51%+0.17 +21.8 21
2009-06-28 @ HJK L 0-250.7 1545 1527 31.51% 30.25% 38.23%-0.17 -21.8 19
2009-06-28 Jaro D 0-058.1 1537 1488 47.08% 29.45% 23.46%+0.66 -1.8 24
2009-06-28 @ Haka D 0-058.1 1488 1537 23.46% 29.45% 47.08%-0.66 +1.8 19
2009-07-01 HJK L 3-461.8 1441 1549 26.29% 29.86% 43.85%-0.47 -8.8 16
2009-07-01 @ VPS W 4-361.8 1549 1441 43.85% 29.86% 26.29%+0.47 +8.8 24
2009-07-01 Inter Turku W 3-262.5 1424 1524 27.28% 29.97% 42.75%-0.41 +12.9 15
2009-07-01 @ Tampere United L 2-362.5 1524 1424 42.75% 29.97% 27.28%+0.41 -12.9 19
2009-07-01 JJK W 2-147.3 1324 1331 39.87% 30.18% 29.95%+0.26 +10.5 8
2009-07-01 @ RoPS L 1-247.3 1331 1324 29.95% 30.18% 39.87%-0.26 -10.5 7
2009-07-04 JJK W 1-039.1 1437 1320 55.02% 27.76% 17.22%+1.16 +7.1 18
2009-07-04 @ Tampere United L 0-139.1 1320 1437 17.22% 27.76% 55.02%-1.16 -7.1 7
2009-07-04 RoPS W 3-039.2 1259 1335 30.31% 30.20% 39.49%-0.24 +37.2 7
2009-07-04 @ KuPS L 0-339.2 1335 1259 39.49% 30.20% 30.31%+0.24 -37.2 8
2009-07-05 Haka L 0-246.6 1449 1535 28.92% 30.11% 40.97%-0.32 -20.5 13
2009-07-05 @ MyPa W 2-046.6 1535 1449 40.97% 30.11% 28.92%+0.32 +20.5 27
2009-07-05 HJK L 0-249.8 1490 1558 31.31% 30.25% 38.45%-0.18 -21.7 19
2009-07-05 @ Jaro W 2-049.8 1558 1490 38.45% 30.25% 31.31%+0.18 +21.7 27
2009-07-05 Lahti D 1-160.6 1511 1467 46.45% 29.54% 24.01%+0.62 -1.5 20
2009-07-05 @ Inter Turku D 1-160.6 1467 1511 24.01% 29.54% 46.45%-0.62 +1.6 17
2009-07-05 VPS D 0-054.4 1489 1433 48.07% 29.30% 22.63%+0.72 -2.0 22
2009-07-05 @ Mariehamn D 0-054.4 1433 1489 22.63% 29.30% 48.07%-0.72 +2.0 17
2009-07-06 TPS Turku D 0-061.0 1568 1545 43.79% 29.87% 26.34%+0.47 -1.3 21
2009-07-06 @ Honka D 0-061.0 1545 1568 26.34% 29.87% 43.79%-0.47 +1.3 23
2009-07-11 Mariehamn D 1-161.2 1509 1487 43.71% 29.88% 26.41%+0.47 -1.2 21
2009-07-11 @ Inter Turku D 1-161.2 1487 1509 26.41% 29.88% 43.71%-0.47 +1.2 23
2009-07-12 HJK L 0-334.1 1297 1579 12.05% 24.89% 63.06%-1.75 -13.6 7
2009-07-12 @ KuPS W 3-034.1 1579 1297 63.06% 24.89% 12.05%+1.75 +13.6 30
2009-07-12 Honka D 1-162.6 1469 1566 27.49% 29.99% 42.52%-0.40 +1.0 18
2009-07-12 @ Lahti D 1-162.6 1566 1469 42.52% 29.99% 27.49%+0.40 -1.0 22
2009-07-12 Jaro W 5-357.4 1297 1468 19.76% 28.61% 51.63%-0.94 +23.2 11
2009-07-12 @ RoPS L 3-557.4 1468 1297 51.63% 28.61% 19.76%+0.94 -23.2 19
2009-07-12 Tampere United L 0-149.4 1435 1444 39.40% 30.20% 30.39%+0.23 -13.5 17
2009-07-12 @ VPS W 1-049.4 1444 1435 30.39% 30.20% 39.40%-0.23 +13.5 21
2009-07-13 MyPa L 0-141.8 1313 1429 25.37% 29.75% 44.88%-0.53 -9.8 7
2009-07-13 @ JJK W 1-041.8 1429 1313 44.88% 29.75% 25.37%+0.53 +9.8 16
2009-07-13 TPS Turku L 0-352.6 1555 1546 42.00% 30.03% 27.97%+0.37 -39.0 27
2009-07-13 @ Haka W 3-052.6 1546 1555 27.97% 30.03% 42.00%-0.37 +39.0 26
2009-07-18 Inter Turku W 1-051.6 1303 1508 16.98% 27.66% 55.36%-1.18 +17.8 10
2009-07-18 @ JJK L 0-151.6 1508 1303 55.36% 27.66% 16.98%+1.18 -17.8 21
2009-07-18 VPS L 0-154.8 1517 1421 52.64% 28.38% 18.99%+1.00 -17.1 27
2009-07-18 @ Haka W 1-054.8 1421 1517 18.99% 28.38% 52.64%-1.00 +17.1 20
2009-07-19 HJK D 1-167.1 1585 1593 39.69% 30.19% 30.12%+0.25 -0.6 27
2009-07-19 @ TPS Turku D 1-167.1 1593 1585 30.12% 30.19% 39.69%-0.25 +0.6 31
2009-07-19 Lahti D 1-154.6 1283 1470 18.40% 28.19% 53.41%-1.05 +2.5 8
2009-07-19 @ KuPS D 1-154.6 1470 1283 53.41% 28.19% 18.40%+1.05 -2.5 19
2009-07-19 Mariehamn D 1-163.6 1565 1488 50.52% 28.85% 20.63%+0.87 -2.1 23
2009-07-19 @ Honka D 1-163.6 1488 1565 20.63% 28.85% 50.52%-0.87 +2.1 24
2009-07-19 RoPS W 4-033.1 1438 1321 55.08% 27.74% 17.18%+1.16 +25.3 19
2009-07-19 @ MyPa L 0-433.1 1321 1438 17.18% 27.74% 55.08%-1.16 -25.3 11
2009-07-20 Tampere United D 0-053.5 1445 1458 39.01% 30.22% 30.77%+0.21 -0.6 20
2009-07-20 @ Jaro D 0-053.5 1458 1445 30.77% 30.22% 39.01%-0.21 +0.6 22
2009-07-25 Inter Turku L 0-149.8 1445 1490 34.35% 30.31% 35.33%-0.02 -12.3 20
2009-07-25 @ Jaro W 1-049.8 1490 1445 35.33% 30.31% 34.35%+0.02 +12.3 24
2009-07-26 Haka D 3-374.1 1594 1499 52.49% 28.41% 19.10%+0.99 -1.5 32
2009-07-26 @ HJK D 3-374.1 1499 1594 19.10% 28.41% 52.49%-0.99 +1.5 28
2009-07-26 Lahti L 0-140.2 1295 1467 19.67% 28.59% 51.74%-0.94 -8.0 11
2009-07-26 @ RoPS W 1-040.2 1467 1295 51.74% 28.59% 19.67%+0.94 +8.0 22
2009-07-26 Mariehamn D 2-260.4 1286 1490 16.97% 27.66% 55.37%-1.18 +2.1 9
2009-07-26 @ KuPS D 2-260.4 1490 1286 55.37% 27.66% 16.97%+1.18 -2.1 25
2009-07-26 MyPa W 2-044.7 1459 1464 40.07% 30.17% 29.76%+0.27 +20.9 25
2009-07-26 @ Tampere United L 0-244.7 1464 1459 29.76% 30.17% 40.07%-0.27 -20.9 19
2009-07-26 VPS W 3-040.7 1563 1438 55.87% 27.51% 16.62%+1.22 +18.8 26
2009-07-26 @ Honka L 0-340.7 1438 1563 16.62% 27.51% 55.87%-1.22 -18.8 20
2009-07-27 TPS Turku D 1-159.2 1321 1585 13.10% 25.63% 61.26%-1.61 +3.6 11
2009-07-27 @ JJK D 1-159.2 1585 1321 61.26% 25.63% 13.10%+1.61 -3.6 28
2009-07-31 Tampere United W 1-049.0 1581 1480 53.30% 28.21% 18.48%+1.04 +7.5 31
2009-07-31 @ TPS Turku L 0-149.0 1480 1581 18.48% 28.21% 53.30%-1.04 -7.5 25
2009-08-01 RoPS W 4-030.8 1503 1287 64.57% 24.22% 11.21%+1.87 +16.4 27
2009-08-01 @ Inter Turku L 0-430.8 1287 1503 11.21% 24.22% 64.57%-1.87 -16.4 11
2009-08-02 HJK D 0-060.0 1488 1592 26.73% 29.91% 43.36%-0.45 +1.2 26
2009-08-02 @ Mariehamn D 0-060.0 1592 1488 43.36% 29.91% 26.73%+0.45 -1.3 33
2009-08-02 Honka L 1-351.3 1443 1582 22.81% 29.33% 47.86%-0.70 -14.7 19
2009-08-02 @ MyPa W 3-151.3 1582 1443 47.86% 29.33% 22.81%+0.70 +14.7 29
2009-08-02 Jaro D 2-258.9 1288 1432 22.25% 29.22% 48.53%-0.74 +1.4 10
2009-08-02 @ KuPS D 2-258.9 1432 1288 48.53% 29.22% 22.25%+0.74 -1.4 21
2009-08-02 JJK L 2-458.8 1501 1325 60.99% 25.74% 13.27%+1.59 -28.2 28
2009-08-02 @ Haka W 4-258.8 1325 1501 13.27% 25.74% 60.99%-1.59 +28.2 14
2009-08-02 Lahti W 1-049.2 1419 1475 32.89% 30.29% 36.82%-0.10 +12.9 23
2009-08-02 @ VPS L 0-149.2 1475 1419 36.82% 30.29% 32.89%+0.10 -12.9 22
2009-08-05 KuPS L 1-252.5 1353 1289 48.96% 29.14% 21.90%+0.77 -15.2 14
2009-08-05 @ JJK W 2-152.5 1289 1353 21.90% 29.14% 48.96%-0.77 +15.2 13
2009-08-06 VPS L 1-351.2 1431 1432 40.60% 30.14% 29.27%+0.30 -22.6 21
2009-08-06 @ Jaro W 3-151.2 1432 1431 29.27% 30.14% 40.60%-0.30 +22.6 26
2009-08-07 Haka D 1-159.2 1472 1473 40.66% 30.13% 29.21%+0.30 -0.8 26
2009-08-07 @ Tampere United D 1-159.2 1473 1472 29.21% 30.13% 40.66%-0.30 +0.8 29
2009-08-09 HJK D 1-167.3 1597 1591 41.55% 30.07% 28.38%+0.35 -0.9 30
2009-08-09 @ Honka D 1-167.3 1591 1597 28.38% 30.07% 41.55%-0.35 +0.9 34
2009-08-09 Inter Turku W 2-048.4 1589 1519 49.64% 29.02% 21.34%+0.81 +16.1 34
2009-08-09 @ TPS Turku L 0-248.4 1519 1589 21.34% 29.02% 49.64%-0.81 -16.1 27
2009-08-09 MyPa L 0-151.4 1462 1428 45.30% 29.70% 25.00%+0.56 -15.1 22
2009-08-09 @ Lahti W 1-051.4 1428 1462 25.00% 29.70% 45.30%-0.56 +15.1 22
2009-08-09 RoPS W 2-141.2 1490 1271 64.88% 24.07% 11.04%+1.89 +4.3 29
2009-08-09 @ Mariehamn L 1-241.2 1271 1490 11.04% 24.07% 64.88%-1.89 -4.3 11
2009-08-14 KuPS L 2-362.8 1503 1304 63.09% 24.88% 12.03%+1.75 -17.8 27
2009-08-14 @ Inter Turku W 3-262.8 1304 1503 12.03% 24.88% 63.09%-1.75 +17.8 16
2009-08-15 Tampere United W 3-150.4 1596 1471 55.82% 27.53% 16.66%+1.21 +11.2 33
2009-08-15 @ Honka L 1-350.4 1471 1596 16.66% 27.53% 55.82%-1.21 -11.2 26
2009-08-16 Haka D 0-050.2 1267 1473 16.83% 27.60% 55.57%-1.20 +3.2 12
2009-08-16 @ RoPS D 0-050.2 1473 1267 55.57% 27.60% 16.83%+1.20 -3.2 30
2009-08-16 JJK D 1-160.9 1592 1338 67.91% 22.59% 9.50%+2.15 -4.4 35
2009-08-16 @ HJK D 1-160.9 1338 1592 9.50% 22.59% 67.91%-2.15 +4.4 15
2009-08-16 Mariehamn L 1-254.7 1443 1494 33.63% 30.31% 36.06%-0.06 -11.4 22
2009-08-16 @ MyPa W 2-154.7 1494 1443 36.06% 30.31% 33.63%+0.06 +11.4 32
2009-08-16 TPS Turku L 0-247.0 1455 1605 21.75% 29.11% 49.14%-0.78 -16.4 26
2009-08-16 @ VPS W 2-047.0 1605 1455 49.14% 29.11% 21.75%+0.78 +16.4 37
2009-08-17 Lahti L 0-147.5 1408 1447 35.31% 30.31% 34.38%+0.02 -12.5 21
2009-08-17 @ Jaro W 1-047.5 1447 1408 34.38% 30.31% 35.31%-0.02 +12.5 25
2009-08-21 Jaro D 0-051.4 1432 1396 45.49% 29.67% 24.84%+0.57 -1.6 23
2009-08-21 @ MyPa D 0-051.4 1396 1432 24.84% 29.67% 45.49%-0.57 +1.6 22
2009-08-22 Inter Turku D 2-264.8 1470 1485 38.72% 30.23% 31.04%+0.20 -0.4 31
2009-08-22 @ Haka D 2-264.8 1485 1470 31.04% 30.23% 38.72%-0.20 +0.4 28
2009-08-22 Tampere United L 1-246.8 1322 1460 22.93% 29.35% 47.72%-0.70 -8.6 16
2009-08-22 @ KuPS W 2-146.8 1460 1322 47.72% 29.35% 22.93%+0.70 +8.5 29
2009-08-22 TPS Turku D 1-165.8 1505 1621 25.35% 29.74% 44.91%-0.53 +1.3 33
2009-08-22 @ Mariehamn D 1-165.8 1621 1505 44.91% 29.74% 25.35%+0.53 -1.3 38
2009-08-23 HJK L 1-255.7 1460 1587 24.05% 29.55% 46.40%-0.62 -8.9 25
2009-08-23 @ Lahti W 2-155.7 1587 1460 46.40% 29.55% 24.05%+0.62 +8.9 38
2009-08-23 JJK W 5-242.3 1607 1342 68.81% 22.12% 9.07%+2.23 +7.2 36
2009-08-23 @ Honka L 2-542.3 1342 1607 9.07% 22.12% 68.81%-2.23 -7.2 15
2009-08-23 VPS L 2-349.2 1270 1438 19.97% 28.67% 51.35%-0.92 -7.2 12
2009-08-23 @ RoPS W 3-249.2 1438 1270 51.35% 28.67% 19.97%+0.92 +7.2 29
2009-09-04 JJK W 4-033.9 1430 1335 52.60% 28.39% 19.01%+1.00 +27.7 26
2009-09-04 @ MyPa L 0-433.9 1335 1430 19.01% 28.39% 52.60%-1.00 -27.7 15
2009-09-11 MyPa L 0-246.8 1446 1458 39.10% 30.22% 30.69%+0.22 -25.4 29
2009-09-11 @ VPS W 2-046.8 1458 1446 30.69% 30.22% 39.10%-0.22 +25.4 29
2009-09-12 Inter Turku L 2-371.2 1614 1486 56.25% 27.40% 16.35%+1.24 -16.1 36
2009-09-12 @ Honka W 3-271.2 1486 1614 16.35% 27.40% 56.25%-1.24 +16.1 31
2009-09-12 Jaro L 0-239.0 1307 1397 28.39% 30.07% 41.54%-0.35 -20.2 15
2009-09-12 @ JJK W 2-039.0 1397 1307 41.54% 30.07% 28.39%+0.35 +20.2 25
2009-09-12 Mariehamn W 1-051.2 1469 1507 35.43% 30.31% 34.25%+0.03 +12.2 32
2009-09-12 @ Tampere United L 0-151.2 1507 1469 34.25% 30.31% 35.43%-0.03 -12.2 33
2009-09-13 Haka W 5-147.5 1313 1470 21.09% 28.96% 49.95%-0.83 +48.7 19
2009-09-13 @ KuPS L 1-547.5 1470 1313 49.95% 28.96% 21.09%+0.83 -48.7 31
2009-09-13 Lahti W 5-249.3 1620 1451 60.27% 26.02% 13.71%+1.53 +11.4 41
2009-09-13 @ TPS Turku L 2-549.3 1451 1620 13.71% 26.02% 60.27%-1.53 -11.4 25
2009-09-13 RoPS W 4-029.7 1596 1263 74.10% 19.12% 6.77%+2.73 +9.2 41
2009-09-13 @ HJK L 0-429.7 1263 1596 6.77% 19.12% 74.10%-2.73 -9.2 12
2009-09-20 Haka W 2-041.9 1598 1421 61.06% 25.72% 13.23%+1.59 +10.3 39
2009-09-20 @ Honka L 0-241.9 1421 1598 13.23% 25.72% 61.06%-1.59 -10.3 31
2009-09-20 JJK W 3-031.4 1502 1287 64.52% 24.24% 11.24%+1.87 +12.6 34
2009-09-20 @ Inter Turku L 0-331.4 1287 1502 11.24% 24.24% 64.52%-1.87 -12.6 15
2009-09-20 KuPS L 1-257.5 1483 1362 55.44% 27.64% 16.92%+1.19 -16.8 29
2009-09-20 @ MyPa W 2-157.5 1362 1483 16.92% 27.64% 55.44%-1.19 +16.8 22
2009-09-20 Lahti W 2-042.7 1494 1440 47.85% 29.33% 22.82%+0.70 +17.0 36
2009-09-20 @ Mariehamn L 0-242.7 1440 1494 22.82% 29.33% 47.85%-0.70 -17.0 25
2009-09-20 Tampere United L 1-535.6 1253 1481 15.36% 26.93% 57.71%-1.34 -19.0 12
2009-09-20 @ RoPS W 5-135.6 1481 1253 57.71% 26.93% 15.36%+1.34 +19.0 35
2009-09-20 TPS Turku W 1-059.7 1418 1631 16.34% 27.39% 56.27%-1.24 +18.1 28
2009-09-20 @ Jaro L 0-159.7 1631 1418 56.27% 27.39% 16.34%+1.24 -18.1 41
2009-09-20 VPS W 2-041.9 1605 1420 61.83% 25.41% 12.77%+1.65 +9.9 44
2009-09-20 @ HJK L 0-241.9 1420 1605 12.77% 25.41% 61.83%-1.65 -10.0 29
2009-09-23 HJK L 1-258.4 1500 1615 25.36% 29.75% 44.89%-0.53 -9.3 35
2009-09-23 @ Tampere United W 2-158.4 1615 1500 44.89% 29.75% 25.36%+0.53 +9.3 47
2009-09-23 Honka L 3-556.4 1436 1608 19.60% 28.56% 51.83%-0.95 -11.0 28
2009-09-23 @ Jaro W 5-356.4 1608 1436 51.83% 28.56% 19.60%+0.95 +11.0 42
2009-09-23 Inter Turku D 2-263.8 1410 1514 26.72% 29.91% 43.37%-0.45 +0.8 30
2009-09-23 @ VPS D 2-263.8 1514 1410 43.37% 29.91% 26.72%+0.45 -0.8 35
2009-09-23 JJK W 3-139.1 1423 1274 58.24% 26.75% 15.01%+1.38 +10.2 28
2009-09-23 @ Lahti L 1-339.1 1274 1423 15.01% 26.75% 58.24%-1.38 -10.2 15
2009-09-23 KuPS W 3-037.2 1613 1379 66.23% 23.43% 10.34%+2.01 +11.5 44
2009-09-23 @ TPS Turku L 0-337.2 1379 1613 10.34% 23.43% 66.23%-2.01 -11.5 22
2009-09-23 Mariehamn W 5-149.6 1411 1511 27.13% 29.96% 42.92%-0.42 +43.1 34
2009-09-23 @ Haka L 1-549.6 1511 1411 42.92% 29.96% 27.13%+0.42 -43.1 36
2009-09-23 MyPa D 1-154.2 1235 1466 15.05% 26.78% 58.17%-1.38 +3.2 13
2009-09-23 @ RoPS D 1-154.2 1466 1235 58.17% 26.78% 15.05%+1.38 -3.2 30
2009-09-26 Honka L 0-438.2 1367 1619 13.77% 26.06% 60.17%-1.52 -20.4 22
2009-09-26 @ KuPS W 4-038.2 1619 1367 60.17% 26.06% 13.77%+1.52 +20.4 45
2009-09-26 Tampere United D 2-266.7 1513 1490 43.82% 29.87% 26.31%+0.47 -0.9 36
2009-09-26 @ Inter Turku D 2-266.7 1490 1513 26.31% 29.87% 43.82%-0.47 +0.9 36
2009-09-26 VPS L 1-244.8 1264 1411 22.04% 29.17% 48.79%-0.76 -8.3 15
2009-09-26 @ JJK W 2-144.8 1411 1264 48.79% 29.17% 22.04%+0.76 +8.3 33
2009-09-27 Haka L 2-454.9 1433 1454 37.82% 30.27% 31.91%+0.15 -19.2 28
2009-09-27 @ Lahti W 4-254.9 1454 1433 31.91% 30.27% 37.82%-0.15 +19.2 37
2009-09-27 Jaro W 2-150.1 1468 1425 46.46% 29.54% 24.00%+0.62 +8.9 39
2009-09-27 @ Mariehamn L 1-250.1 1425 1468 24.00% 29.54% 46.46%-0.62 -8.9 28
2009-09-27 MyPa W 1-048.1 1625 1463 59.55% 26.29% 14.16%+1.48 +5.9 50
2009-09-27 @ HJK L 0-148.1 1463 1625 14.16% 26.29% 59.55%-1.48 -5.9 30
2009-09-27 TPS Turku L 0-430.5 1238 1624 7.74% 20.49% 71.77%-2.50 -10.7 13
2009-09-27 @ RoPS W 4-030.5 1624 1238 71.77% 20.49% 7.74%+2.50 +10.7 47
2009-10-04 Haka W 1-049.0 1416 1473 32.70% 30.29% 37.01%-0.11 +12.9 31
2009-10-04 @ Jaro L 0-149.0 1473 1416 37.01% 30.29% 32.70%+0.11 -12.9 37
2009-10-04 HJK D 1-166.3 1513 1630 25.10% 29.71% 45.19%-0.55 +1.4 37
2009-10-04 @ Inter Turku D 1-166.3 1630 1513 45.19% 29.71% 25.10%+0.55 -1.4 51
2009-10-04 JJK W 3-137.6 1477 1256 65.10% 23.97% 10.93%+1.91 +7.3 42
2009-10-04 @ Mariehamn L 1-337.6 1256 1477 10.93% 23.97% 65.10%-1.91 -7.3 15
2009-10-04 Lahti L 0-249.9 1491 1414 50.61% 28.83% 20.56%+0.87 -31.1 36
2009-10-04 @ Tampere United W 2-049.9 1414 1491 20.56% 28.83% 50.61%-0.87 +31.2 31
2009-10-04 RoPS W 9-031.0 1640 1227 79.45% 15.75% 4.79%+3.31 +13.0 48
2009-10-04 @ Honka L 0-931.0 1227 1640 4.79% 15.75% 79.45%-3.31 -13.0 13
2009-10-04 TPS Turku D 2-270.3 1457 1635 19.16% 28.43% 52.40%-0.99 +1.8 31
2009-10-04 @ MyPa D 2-270.3 1635 1457 52.40% 28.43% 19.16%+0.99 -1.8 48
2009-10-04 VPS D 3-363.2 1347 1419 30.66% 30.22% 39.12%-0.22 +0.3 23
2009-10-04 @ KuPS D 3-363.2 1419 1347 39.12% 30.22% 30.66%+0.22 -0.4 34
2009-10-17 Honka D 0-064.8 1633 1653 38.08% 30.26% 31.66%+0.17 -0.5 49
2009-10-17 @ TPS Turku D 0-064.8 1653 1633 31.66% 30.26% 38.08%-0.17 +0.5 49
2009-10-17 Inter Turku L 1-351.6 1445 1514 31.09% 30.24% 38.67%-0.20 -18.7 31
2009-10-17 @ Lahti W 3-151.6 1514 1445 38.67% 30.24% 31.09%+0.20 +18.7 40
2009-10-17 Jaro D 1-165.0 1629 1429 63.23% 24.81% 11.95%+1.76 -3.9 52
2009-10-17 @ HJK D 1-165.0 1429 1629 11.95% 24.81% 63.23%-1.76 +3.9 32
2009-10-17 KuPS W 1-046.5 1214 1347 23.42% 29.45% 47.13%-0.66 +15.6 16
2009-10-17 @ RoPS L 0-146.5 1347 1214 47.13% 29.45% 23.42%+0.66 -15.6 23
2009-10-17 Mariehamn D 0-053.5 1419 1484 31.62% 30.26% 38.12%-0.17 +0.5 35
2009-10-17 @ VPS D 0-053.5 1484 1419 38.12% 30.26% 31.62%+0.17 -0.5 43
2009-10-17 MyPa L 2-360.9 1460 1459 40.91% 30.12% 28.97%+0.31 -12.5 37
2009-10-17 @ Haka W 3-260.9 1459 1460 28.97% 30.12% 40.91%-0.31 +12.5 34
2009-10-17 Tampere United D 2-259.3 1249 1460 16.48% 27.45% 56.07%-1.23 +2.2 16
2009-10-17 @ JJK D 2-259.3 1460 1249 56.07% 27.45% 16.48%+1.23 -2.2 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-08-14 12.03% KuPS 1304 3 @ Inter Turku 1503 2
2 2009-08-02 13.27% JJK 1325 4 @ Haka 1501 2
3 2009-05-28 13.30% VPS 1378 1 @ Inter Turku 1553 0
4 2009-09-20 16.34% @ Jaro 1418 1 TPS Turku 1631 0
5 2009-09-12 16.35% Inter Turku 1486 3 @ Honka 1614 2
6 2009-09-20 16.92% KuPS 1362 2 @ MyPa 1483 1
7 2009-07-18 16.98% @ JJK 1303 1 Inter Turku 1508 0
8 2009-05-31 17.30% @ RoPS 1344 1 HJK 1545 0
9 2009-05-23 17.65% Haka 1475 2 @ Inter Turku 1587 0
10 2009-06-17 18.97% @ JJK 1321 2 Lahti 1502 1
11 2009-07-18 18.99% VPS 1421 1 @ Haka 1517 0
12 2009-07-12 19.76% @ RoPS 1297 5 Jaro 1468 3
13 2009-05-31 20.22% VPS 1397 2 @ MyPa 1479 0
14 2009-10-04 20.56% Lahti 1414 2 @ Tampere United 1491 0
15 2009-09-13 21.09% @ KuPS 1313 5 Haka 1470 1
16 2009-04-23 21.77% Jaro 1420 2 @ Tampere United 1485 0
17 2009-08-05 21.90% KuPS 1289 2 @ JJK 1353 1
18 2009-04-20 21.91% @ Mariehamn 1407 2 Inter Turku 1555 0
19 2009-05-17 22.59% @ Tampere United 1406 1 Honka 1548 0
20 2009-10-17 23.42% @ RoPS 1214 1 KuPS 1347 0
21 2009-04-18 24.22% Haka 1435 2 @ TPS Turku 1477 1
22 2009-08-09 25.00% MyPa 1428 1 @ Lahti 1462 0
23 2009-05-31 26.78% TPS Turku 1505 4 @ Lahti 1524 2
24 2009-09-23 27.13% @ Haka 1411 5 Mariehamn 1511 1
25 2009-07-01 27.28% @ Tampere United 1424 3 Inter Turku 1524 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-09-13 48.73 @ KuPS 5 1313 21.09% Haka 1 1470 49.95% 28.96%
2 2009-09-23 43.12 @ Haka 5 1411 27.13% Mariehamn 1 1511 42.92% 29.96%
3 2009-07-13 38.95 TPS Turku 3 1546 27.97% @ Haka 0 1555 42.00% 30.03%
4 2009-07-04 37.17 @ KuPS 3 1259 30.31% RoPS 0 1335 39.49% 30.20%
5 2009-05-24 36.85 @ Jaro 3 1444 30.75% MyPa 0 1515 39.03% 30.22%
6 2009-05-23 33.12 Haka 2 1475 17.65% @ Inter Turku 0 1587 54.44% 27.92%
7 2009-05-31 31.38 VPS 2 1397 20.22% @ MyPa 0 1479 51.04% 28.74%
8 2009-10-04 31.15 Lahti 2 1414 20.56% @ Tampere United 0 1491 50.61% 28.83%
9 2009-04-23 30.39 Jaro 2 1420 21.77% @ Tampere United 0 1485 49.11% 29.12%
10 2009-04-20 30.30 @ Mariehamn 2 1407 21.91% Inter Turku 0 1555 48.95% 29.15%
11 2009-08-02 28.20 JJK 4 1325 13.27% @ Haka 2 1501 60.99% 25.74%
12 2009-09-04 27.68 @ MyPa 4 1430 52.60% JJK 0 1335 19.01% 28.39%
13 2009-06-24 27.58 @ Haka 3 1509 43.94% Lahti 0 1485 26.21% 29.85%
14 2009-05-27 26.53 @ Honka 5 1539 48.33% Jaro 1 1480 22.42% 29.25%
15 2009-09-11 25.41 MyPa 2 1458 30.69% @ VPS 0 1446 39.10% 30.22%
16 2009-07-19 25.27 @ MyPa 4 1438 55.08% RoPS 0 1321 17.18% 27.74%
17 2009-05-10 25.07 @ KuPS 2 1328 31.35% JJK 0 1395 38.41% 30.25%
18 2009-05-08 24.92 TPS Turku 2 1460 31.66% @ Tampere United 0 1441 38.08% 30.26%
19 2009-07-12 23.19 @ RoPS 5 1297 19.76% Jaro 3 1468 51.63% 28.61%
20 2009-04-29 23.17 @ MyPa 4 1479 44.09% Tampere United 1 1454 26.08% 29.84%
21 2009-05-28 23.15 TPS Turku 3 1482 49.98% @ KuPS 0 1325 21.06% 28.95%
22 2009-08-06 22.63 VPS 3 1432 29.27% @ Jaro 1 1431 40.60% 30.14%
23 2009-06-28 21.78 @ HJK 2 1527 38.23% Inter Turku 0 1545 31.51% 30.25%
24 2009-07-05 21.68 HJK 2 1558 38.45% @ Jaro 0 1490 31.31% 30.25%
25 2009-05-31 21.66 @ Jaro 5 1454 54.34% JJK 1 1343 17.72% 27.95%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-07-26 74.1 @ HJK 3 1594 52.49% Haka 3 1499 19.10% 28.41%
2 2009-09-12 71.2 Inter Turku 3 1486 16.35% @ Honka 2 1614 56.25% 27.40%
3 2009-10-04 70.3 @ MyPa 2 1457 19.16% TPS Turku 2 1635 52.40% 28.43%
4 2009-05-14 68.1 @ MyPa 2 1517 39.33% Lahti 2 1527 30.46% 30.21%
5 2009-04-19 68.0 @ Honka 2 1532 44.25% Lahti 2 1506 25.93% 29.82%
6 2009-08-09 67.3 @ Honka 1 1597 41.55% HJK 1 1591 28.38% 30.07%
7 2009-07-19 67.1 @ TPS Turku 1 1585 39.69% HJK 1 1593 30.12% 30.19%
8 2009-09-26 66.7 @ Inter Turku 2 1513 43.82% Tampere United 2 1490 26.31% 29.87%
9 2009-10-04 66.3 @ Inter Turku 1 1513 25.10% HJK 1 1630 45.19% 29.71%
10 2009-04-23 65.8 @ HJK 2 1514 47.50% TPS Turku 2 1462 23.11% 29.39%
11 2009-08-22 65.8 @ Mariehamn 1 1505 25.35% TPS Turku 1 1621 44.91% 29.74%
12 2009-04-23 65.3 @ Mariehamn 2 1437 27.86% Honka 2 1532 42.12% 30.03%
13 2009-10-17 65.0 @ HJK 1 1629 63.23% Jaro 1 1429 11.95% 24.81%
14 2009-08-22 64.8 @ Haka 2 1470 38.72% Inter Turku 2 1485 31.04% 30.23%
15 2009-10-17 64.8 @ TPS Turku 0 1633 38.08% Honka 0 1653 31.66% 30.26%
16 2009-05-14 64.0 @ HJK 1 1529 38.20% Honka 1 1547 31.55% 30.26%
17 2009-09-23 63.8 @ VPS 2 1410 26.72% Inter Turku 2 1514 43.37% 29.91%
18 2009-07-19 63.6 @ Honka 1 1565 50.52% Mariehamn 1 1488 20.63% 28.85%
19 2009-10-04 63.2 @ KuPS 3 1347 30.66% VPS 3 1419 39.12% 30.22%
20 2009-08-14 62.8 KuPS 3 1304 12.03% @ Inter Turku 2 1503 63.09% 24.88%
21 2009-07-12 62.6 @ Lahti 1 1469 27.49% Honka 1 1566 42.52% 29.99%
22 2009-07-01 62.5 @ Tampere United 3 1424 27.28% Inter Turku 2 1524 42.75% 29.97%
23 2009-07-01 61.8 HJK 4 1549 43.85% @ VPS 3 1441 26.29% 29.86%
24 2009-05-31 61.6 TPS Turku 4 1505 26.78% @ Lahti 2 1524 43.30% 29.92%
25 2009-05-04 61.3 @ Haka 1 1451 27.33% Honka 1 1550 42.69% 29.98%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-09-13 29.7 @ HJK 4 1596 74.10% RoPS 0 1263 6.77% 19.12%
2 2009-09-27 30.5 TPS Turku 4 1624 71.77% @ RoPS 0 1238 7.74% 20.49%
3 2009-08-01 30.8 @ Inter Turku 4 1503 64.57% RoPS 0 1287 11.21% 24.22%
4 2009-10-04 31.0 @ Honka 9 1640 79.45% RoPS 0 1227 4.79% 15.75%
5 2009-09-20 31.4 @ Inter Turku 3 1502 64.52% JJK 0 1287 11.24% 24.24%
6 2009-05-31 32.1 @ Haka 3 1508 63.75% KuPS 0 1302 11.66% 24.59%
7 2009-07-19 33.1 @ MyPa 4 1438 55.08% RoPS 0 1321 17.18% 27.74%
8 2009-09-04 33.9 @ MyPa 4 1430 52.60% JJK 0 1335 19.01% 28.39%
9 2009-07-12 34.1 HJK 3 1579 63.06% @ KuPS 0 1297 12.05% 24.89%
10 2009-04-29 35.0 @ Mariehamn 3 1438 52.17% KuPS 0 1346 19.34% 28.49%
11 2009-06-24 35.1 @ Honka 4 1554 70.61% KuPS 1 1267 8.24% 21.14%
12 2009-09-20 35.6 Tampere United 5 1481 57.71% @ RoPS 1 1253 15.36% 26.93%
13 2009-05-28 36.2 TPS Turku 3 1482 49.98% @ KuPS 0 1325 21.06% 28.95%
14 2009-06-13 36.9 MyPa 2 1447 50.17% @ KuPS 0 1289 20.91% 28.92%
15 2009-06-17 37.0 @ VPS 1 1429 58.98% KuPS 0 1273 14.52% 26.50%
16 2009-05-24 37.1 @ Tampere United 2 1422 51.05% KuPS 0 1340 20.22% 28.74%
17 2009-09-23 37.2 @ TPS Turku 3 1613 66.23% KuPS 0 1379 10.34% 23.43%
18 2009-10-04 37.6 @ Mariehamn 3 1477 65.10% JJK 1 1256 10.93% 23.97%
19 2009-06-14 37.7 @ Jaro 2 1476 54.64% RoPS 0 1362 17.50% 27.86%
20 2009-05-31 37.8 @ Jaro 5 1454 54.34% JJK 1 1343 17.72% 27.95%
21 2009-09-26 38.2 Honka 4 1619 60.17% @ KuPS 0 1367 13.77% 26.06%
22 2009-05-17 38.3 @ TPS Turku 2 1469 52.92% VPS 0 1371 18.77% 28.31%
23 2009-09-12 39.0 Jaro 2 1397 41.54% @ JJK 0 1307 28.39% 30.07%
24 2009-07-04 39.1 @ Tampere United 1 1437 55.02% JJK 0 1320 17.22% 27.76%
25 2009-09-23 39.1 @ Lahti 3 1423 58.24% JJK 1 1274 15.01% 26.75%