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2014 Veikkausliiga Season

198 games

Final

Champion

HJK

72 points · 27th Title

Last Title: 2013

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

SJK Seinajoki

10.98 points above expected

59 points · 48.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

TPS Turku

10.82 points below expected

24 points · 34.82 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 HJK Champion 33 21 9 3 72 65 22 +43 67.64 +4.36
2 SJK Seinajoki 33 16 11 6 59 40 26 +14 48.02 +10.98
3 Lahti 33 15 13 5 58 45 23 +22 52.66 +5.34
4 VPS 33 13 9 11 48 39 34 +5 46.39 +1.61
5 Mariehamn 33 14 6 13 48 49 55 -6 38.22 +9.78
6 Jaro 33 12 8 13 44 47 47 0 42.63 +1.37
7 KuPS 33 11 11 11 44 44 44 0 43.55 +0.45
8 MyPa 33 10 9 14 39 41 54 -13 41.68 -2.68
9 Inter Turku 33 8 12 13 36 42 47 -5 41.08 -5.08
10 RoPS 33 10 5 18 35 34 44 -10 39.18 -4.18
11 Honka 33 6 13 14 31 38 57 -19 41.69 -10.69
12 TPS Turku 33 6 6 21 24 29 60 -31 34.82 -10.82

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 SJK Seinajoki 59 48.02 +10.98
2 Mariehamn 48 38.22 +9.78
3 Lahti 58 52.66 +5.34
4 HJK 72 67.64 +4.36
5 VPS 48 46.39 +1.61

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 TPS Turku 24 34.82 -10.82
2 Honka 31 41.69 -10.69
3 Inter Turku 36 41.08 -5.08
4 RoPS 35 39.18 -4.18
5 MyPa 39 41.68 -2.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SJK Seinajoki 7 Jun 4 – Jul 2 1 in 622
2 Mariehamn 5 Aug 10 – Sep 13 1 in 217
3 HJK 7 May 4 – Jun 8 1 in 125
4 KuPS 4 May 26 – Jun 15 1 in 73
5 Jaro 3 Apr 19 – Apr 27 1 in 58

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VPS 5 Jul 27 – Aug 17 1 in 202
2 TPS Turku 7 Sep 14 – Oct 25 1 in 69
3 KuPS 4 Apr 12 – Apr 27 1 in 47
4 MyPa 3 Jun 4 – Jun 15 1 in 34
5 Honka 3 Jul 6 – Jul 20 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mariehamn 8 Jul 27 – Sep 17 1 in 67
2 VPS 9 Aug 25 – Oct 25 1 in 67
3 TPS Turku 7 Jul 20 – Aug 31 1 in 67
4 SJK Seinajoki 11 Jul 26 – Sep 28 1 in 34
5 HJK 18 May 4 – Aug 13 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 MyPa 8 May 26 – Jul 7 1 in 55
2 Jaro 7 Jul 26 – Sep 14 1 in 46
3 Honka 10 Jul 6 – Sep 14 1 in 44
4 Lahti 6 Aug 13 – Sep 25 1 in 39
5 VPS 7 Jul 20 – Aug 25 1 in 34

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
HJK 1578 72 +9 11 11.8 -0.8
SJK Seinajoki 1390 59 -33 10 10.1 -0.1
Lahti 1453 58 +32 10 8.9 +1.1
VPS 1367 48 +77 11 5.8 +5.2
Mariehamn 1321 48 +6 7 6.1 +0.9
Jaro 1297 44 -15 9 6.3 +2.7
KuPS 1313 44 -28 5 7.8 -2.8
MyPa 1215 39 +1 5 4.7 +0.3
Inter Turku 1271 36 -4 5 7.6 -2.6
RoPS 1219 35 -54 1 5.7 -4.7
Honka 1179 31 +6 4 3.3 +0.7
TPS Turku 1136 24 -29 0 2.8 -2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HON IT JAR KUP LAH MAR MYP ROP SS TT VPS
HJK —
0-3-0
6.41
2-1-0
6.31
3-0-0
5.74
1-2-0
6.01
1-1-1
5.38
3-0-0
6.42
3-0-0
6.47
2-1-0
6.43
2-0-1
5.98
2-0-1
6.87
2-1-0
5.29
Honka
0-3-0
1.88
—
2-1-0
4.13
0-2-1
3.92
0-1-2
3.55
1-1-1
3.52
0-2-1
4.48
1-0-2
4.16
1-0-2
4.36
0-2-1
2.97
1-1-1
3.80
0-0-3
3.17
Inter Turku
0-1-2
1.96
0-1-2
4.01
—
1-0-2
3.86
0-2-1
3.82
0-2-1
2.68
0-1-2
3.94
1-2-0
3.71
1-0-2
4.53
1-2-0
3.53
3-0-0
4.97
1-1-1
3.94
Jaro
0-0-3
2.44
1-2-0
4.24
2-0-1
4.26
—
2-1-0
3.17
1-0-2
3.53
2-0-1
4.04
0-1-2
3.97
1-1-1
4.63
1-0-2
3.67
1-2-0
5.50
1-1-1
4.27
KuPS
0-2-1
2.20
2-1-0
4.57
1-2-0
4.33
0-1-2
4.96
—
1-1-1
3.51
1-0-2
5.10
1-0-2
4.40
2-0-1
4.37
0-2-1
3.35
2-1-0
5.04
1-1-1
3.18
Lahti
1-1-1
2.78
1-1-1
4.68
1-2-0
5.49
2-0-1
4.59
1-1-1
4.60
—
1-2-0
5.17
1-2-0
4.86
2-0-1
5.35
0-3-0
4.49
3-0-0
6.14
2-1-0
5.09
Mariehamn
0-0-3
1.84
1-2-0
3.65
2-1-0
4.16
1-0-2
4.07
2-0-1
3.06
0-2-1
2.97
—
2-0-1
4.17
2-0-1
3.76
0-1-2
2.99
2-0-1
4.42
2-0-1
3.63
MyPa
0-0-3
1.82
2-0-1
3.96
0-2-1
4.41
2-1-0
4.15
2-0-1
3.75
0-2-1
3.29
1-0-2
3.94
—
1-2-0
4.25
0-0-3
3.77
2-0-1
4.94
0-2-1
4.00
RoPS
0-1-2
1.86
2-0-1
3.81
2-0-1
3.57
1-1-1
3.49
1-0-2
3.74
1-0-2
2.81
1-0-2
4.38
0-2-1
3.88
—
0-1-2
3.28
2-0-1
4.21
0-0-3
3.38
SJK Seinajoki
1-0-2
2.23
1-2-0
5.17
0-2-1
4.63
2-0-1
4.45
1-2-0
4.76
0-3-0
3.64
2-1-0
5.15
3-0-0
4.39
2-1-0
4.85
—
2-0-1
5.32
2-0-1
4.69
TPS Turku
1-0-2
1.48
1-1-1
4.31
0-0-3
3.19
0-2-1
2.66
0-1-2
3.13
0-0-3
2.08
1-0-2
3.74
1-0-2
3.19
1-0-2
3.93
1-0-2
2.88
—
0-2-1
2.80
VPS
0-1-2
2.89
3-0-0
4.95
1-1-1
4.17
1-1-1
3.83
1-1-1
4.97
0-1-2
3.05
1-0-2
4.51
1-2-0
4.10
3-0-0
4.75
1-0-2
3.45
1-2-0
5.34
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +12.1
Allowed 0.76 -8.7
Differential 0.93 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.07%10.10%7.32%3.79%1.01%0.51%29.80%
110.10%13.64%4.29%4.04%1.77%0.51%34.34%
27.32%4.29%6.06%0.76%1.01%—19.44%
33.79%4.04%0.76%1.52%0.51%0.25%10.86%
41.01%1.77%1.01%0.51%——4.29%
5+0.51%0.51%—0.25%——1.26%
Total29.80%34.34%19.44%10.86%4.29%1.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.76
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
115.15%9.09%—3.03%——27.27%
224.24%—9.09%———33.33%
36.06%3.03%—3.03%——12.12%
43.03%6.06%————9.09%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total57.58%24.24%12.12%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.67 +1.30
SD 1.36 0.92 1.65
CV 0.69 1.39 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%—12.12%3.03%—3.03%21.21%
19.09%21.21%15.15%3.03%3.03%—51.52%
23.03%3.03%12.12%———18.18%
3—3.03%—3.03%3.03%—9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%27.27%39.39%9.09%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.73 -0.58
SD 0.87 1.21 1.48
CV 0.76 0.70 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%12.12%3.03%——39.39%
13.03%9.09%3.03%6.06%——21.21%
23.03%6.06%12.12%—3.03%—24.24%
33.03%—3.03%3.03%——9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total21.21%33.33%30.30%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.42 -0.15
SD 1.42 1.06 1.70
CV 1.12 0.75 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.12%6.06%—3.03%—21.21%
115.15%15.15%9.09%—3.03%—42.42%
26.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%—18.18%
3—3.03%3.03%6.06%——12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%36.36%21.21%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.75
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%9.09%———21.21%
115.15%15.15%—12.12%3.03%—45.45%
26.06%—9.09%3.03%——18.18%
36.06%————3.03%9.09%
43.03%—3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total39.39%18.18%21.21%15.15%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.38 1.71
CV 0.83 1.04 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
118.18%24.24%3.03%———45.45%
212.12%—3.03%———15.15%
33.03%6.06%——3.03%—12.12%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total48.48%39.39%9.09%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.70 +0.67
SD 1.14 0.88 1.34
CV 0.84 1.27 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%3.03%12.12%3.03%—30.30%
16.06%6.06%—6.06%—3.03%21.21%
26.06%6.06%9.09%—3.03%—24.24%
3—18.18%————18.18%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total15.15%42.42%15.15%18.18%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.67 -0.18
SD 1.28 1.29 2.05
CV 0.86 0.77 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%6.06%6.06%6.06%—36.36%
13.03%15.15%3.03%9.09%——30.30%
23.03%9.09%6.06%———18.18%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total15.15%39.39%18.18%21.21%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.64 -0.39
SD 1.35 1.17 1.78
CV 1.08 0.71 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%27.27%12.12%3.03%——48.48%
13.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%—21.21%
26.06%6.06%——3.03%—15.15%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
4——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%45.45%18.18%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.33 -0.30
SD 1.26 1.11 1.65
CV 1.22 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
121.21%18.18%3.03%———42.42%
26.06%9.09%6.06%———21.21%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%39.39%15.15%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.79 +0.42
SD 0.96 0.82 1.35
CV 0.79 1.04 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%12.12%6.06%—3.03%45.45%
13.03%9.09%9.09%3.03%6.06%3.03%33.33%
23.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%——12.12%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total15.15%33.33%27.27%12.12%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.82 -0.94
SD 1.05 1.45 1.85
CV 1.20 0.80 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%3.03%9.09%——36.36%
19.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
29.09%6.06%————15.15%
39.09%3.03%—3.03%——15.15%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total42.42%33.33%6.06%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.03 +0.15
SD 1.18 1.19 1.87
CV 1.00 1.15 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
HJK 1578 72 67.64 +4.36 76.0% 52 55 62 67 72 78 83
Lahti 1453 58 52.66 +5.34 77.0% 37 42 48 53 58 63 71
SJK Seinajoki 1390 59 48.02 +10.98 96.0% 30 35 44 49 52 58 62
VPS 1367 48 46.39 +1.61 62.0% 29 36 42 47 50 56 66
Mariehamn 1321 48 38.22 +9.78 90.0% 23 28 33 38 43 52 56
KuPS 1313 44 43.55 +0.45 51.0% 26 30 39 44 48 53 58
Jaro 1297 44 42.63 +1.37 64.0% 28 31 38 42 48 53 60
Inter Turku 1271 36 41.08 -5.08 22.0% 22 30 37 42 45 50 54
RoPS 1219 35 39.18 -4.18 30.0% 27 28 34 38 45 50 57
MyPa 1215 39 41.68 -2.68 38.0% 25 30 37 41 46 54 61
Honka 1179 31 41.69 -10.69 6.0% 26 31 38 41 46 51 57
TPS Turku 1136 24 34.82 -10.82 3.0% 20 25 31 35 39 46 50

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.19%
Clear Edge
45.45%28.28%26.26%
Elo Value
Home Edge
219 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
067.52600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.3
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
88%
HJK, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.39/gm
Runaway
00.370.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.45 * Some Luck: 5.45 to 8.17 * Lucky: 8.17 to 10.89 * Wild Swing: 10.89 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.71 * Close: 1.71 to 2.57 * Off: 2.57 to 3.42 * Way Off: 3.42 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.77 points
Some Luck
06.8117
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
02.145
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
SJK Seinajoki
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
TPS Turku
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 123.68
1.80
Strong Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
93%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Slight Separation
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.03
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.08
Weak Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.48
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.07
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.041
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
HJK88.00%9.00%3.00%—————————
SJK Seinajoki2.00%18.00%17.00%16.00%20.00%11.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%
Lahti8.00%38.00%22.00%4.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%—1.00%—
VPS1.00%12.00%14.00%13.00%16.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%—
Mariehamn—3.00%3.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%11.00%10.00%17.00%13.00%20.00%
Jaro—3.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%13.00%7.00%13.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%
KuPS—5.00%10.00%16.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%10.00%4.00%
MyPa1.00%3.00%8.00%9.00%6.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%
Inter Turku—1.00%2.00%9.00%7.00%14.00%18.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%
RoPS—4.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%16.00%13.00%17.00%11.00%
Honka—4.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%11.00%8.00%6.00%
TPS Turku——2.00%—3.00%2.00%9.00%4.00%7.00%18.00%20.00%35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
HJK 100% —
Lahti 100% —
VPS 100% —
SJK Seinajoki 98.00% 2.00%
Jaro 96.00% 4.00%
KuPS 96.00% 4.00%
Honka 94.00% 6.00%
Inter Turku 92.00% 8.00%
MyPa 90.00% 10.00%
RoPS 89.00% 11.00%
Mariehamn 80.00% 20.00%
TPS Turku 65.00% 35.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2014-04-06 Honka W 4-355.2 1317 1346 40.44% 29.84% 29.72%+0.18 +9.7 3
2014-04-06 @ MyPa L 3-455.2 1346 1317 29.72% 29.84% 40.44%-0.18 -9.7 0
2014-04-06 Jaro W 1-035.6 1440 1265 63.35% 24.67% 11.98%+1.11 +5.0 3
2014-04-06 @ HJK L 0-135.6 1265 1440 11.98% 24.67% 63.35%-1.11 -4.9 0
2014-04-06 VPS L 0-240.2 1259 1302 38.44% 29.94% 31.63%+0.11 -25.1 0
2014-04-06 @ RoPS W 2-040.2 1302 1259 31.63% 29.94% 38.44%-0.11 +25.1 3
2014-04-12 Honka L 0-145.2 1311 1336 41.01% 29.81% 29.18%+0.20 -14.0 0
2014-04-12 @ TPS Turku W 1-045.2 1336 1311 29.18% 29.81% 41.01%-0.20 +14.0 3
2014-04-12 KuPS W 3-139.5 1445 1305 60.02% 25.98% 14.00%+0.95 +9.5 6
2014-04-12 @ HJK L 1-339.5 1305 1445 14.00% 25.98% 60.02%-0.95 -9.5 0
2014-04-12 SJK Seinajoki D 1-152.5 1234 1283 37.64% 29.96% 32.40%+0.08 -0.4 1
2014-04-12 @ RoPS D 1-152.5 1283 1234 32.40% 29.96% 37.64%-0.08 +0.3 1
2014-04-13 Inter Turku L 0-240.5 1260 1294 39.65% 29.88% 30.47%+0.15 -25.7 0
2014-04-13 @ Jaro W 2-040.5 1294 1260 30.47% 29.88% 39.65%-0.15 +25.7 3
2014-04-13 Lahti D 1-153.4 1326 1314 45.86% 29.35% 24.79%+0.36 -1.5 4
2014-04-13 @ MyPa D 1-153.4 1314 1326 24.79% 29.35% 45.86%-0.36 +1.5 1
2014-04-13 VPS L 0-339.4 1303 1327 41.08% 29.80% 29.12%+0.20 -38.4 0
2014-04-13 @ Mariehamn W 3-039.4 1327 1303 29.12% 29.80% 41.08%-0.20 +38.4 6
2014-04-19 HJK W 3-150.1 1316 1454 25.78% 29.48% 44.74%-0.32 +24.5 4
2014-04-19 @ Lahti L 1-350.1 1454 1316 44.74% 29.48% 25.78%+0.32 -24.5 6
2014-04-19 Jaro L 1-446.6 1296 1234 51.82% 28.34% 19.84%+0.59 -39.0 0
2014-04-19 @ KuPS W 4-146.6 1234 1296 19.84% 28.34% 51.82%-0.59 +39.0 3
2014-04-19 MyPa L 1-252.9 1350 1325 47.45% 29.13% 23.42%+0.42 -14.8 3
2014-04-19 @ Honka W 2-152.9 1325 1350 23.42% 29.13% 47.45%-0.42 +14.8 7
2014-04-19 RoPS W 2-035.0 1265 1233 48.24% 29.01% 22.74%+0.45 +17.0 3
2014-04-19 @ Mariehamn L 0-235.0 1233 1265 22.74% 29.01% 48.24%-0.45 -17.0 1
2014-04-19 SJK Seinajoki W 2-144.6 1320 1283 48.91% 28.90% 22.19%+0.48 +8.3 6
2014-04-19 @ Inter Turku L 1-244.6 1283 1320 22.19% 28.90% 48.91%-0.48 -8.3 1
2014-04-19 TPS Turku W 1-038.3 1366 1297 52.58% 28.17% 19.24%+0.62 +7.8 9
2014-04-19 @ VPS L 0-138.3 1297 1366 19.24% 28.17% 52.58%-0.62 -7.8 0
2014-04-22 Honka D 2-261.5 1430 1335 55.44% 27.45% 17.11%+0.74 -2.1 7
2014-04-22 @ HJK D 2-261.5 1335 1430 17.11% 27.45% 55.44%-0.74 +2.1 4
2014-04-23 Inter Turku W 1-044.6 1216 1328 28.99% 29.79% 41.21%-0.20 +14.1 4
2014-04-23 @ RoPS L 0-144.6 1328 1216 41.21% 29.79% 28.99%+0.20 -14.0 6
2014-04-23 KuPS W 2-035.6 1275 1257 46.60% 29.25% 24.14%+0.39 +17.8 4
2014-04-23 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-235.6 1257 1275 24.14% 29.25% 46.60%-0.39 -17.8 0
2014-04-23 Lahti W 2-148.9 1273 1340 35.04% 30.00% 34.96%+0.00 +11.8 6
2014-04-23 @ Jaro L 1-248.9 1340 1273 34.96% 30.00% 35.04%+0.00 -11.8 4
2014-04-23 Mariehamn L 0-145.8 1289 1282 45.28% 29.42% 25.30%+0.34 -15.1 0
2014-04-23 @ TPS Turku W 1-045.8 1282 1289 25.30% 29.42% 45.28%-0.34 +15.1 6
2014-04-23 VPS D 1-154.1 1340 1374 39.77% 29.88% 30.35%+0.15 -0.6 8
2014-04-23 @ MyPa D 1-154.1 1374 1340 30.35% 29.88% 39.77%-0.15 +0.6 10
2014-04-26 TPS Turku L 0-150.6 1428 1274 61.32% 25.49% 13.18%+1.01 -19.5 7
2014-04-26 @ HJK W 1-050.6 1274 1428 13.18% 25.49% 61.32%-1.01 +19.5 3
2014-04-27 Inter Turku W 3-142.0 1337 1314 47.21% 29.17% 23.62%+0.41 +15.2 7
2014-04-27 @ Honka L 1-342.0 1314 1337 23.62% 29.17% 47.21%-0.41 -15.2 6
2014-04-27 Jaro L 1-348.2 1297 1285 45.86% 29.35% 24.79%+0.36 -25.0 6
2014-04-27 @ Mariehamn W 3-148.2 1285 1297 24.79% 29.35% 45.86%-0.36 +25.0 9
2014-04-27 Lahti L 0-238.3 1239 1328 31.91% 29.95% 38.15%-0.10 -22.0 0
2014-04-27 @ KuPS W 2-038.3 1328 1239 38.15% 29.95% 31.91%+0.10 +22.0 7
2014-04-27 MyPa L 0-141.1 1230 1339 29.39% 29.82% 40.79%-0.19 -11.0 4
2014-04-27 @ RoPS W 1-041.1 1339 1230 40.79% 29.82% 29.39%+0.19 +11.0 11
2014-05-03 RoPS L 0-243.9 1294 1219 53.25% 28.02% 18.73%+0.65 -32.6 3
2014-05-03 @ TPS Turku W 2-043.9 1219 1294 18.73% 28.02% 53.25%-0.65 +32.6 7
2014-05-04 HJK L 0-243.1 1374 1408 39.73% 29.88% 30.39%+0.15 -25.8 10
2014-05-04 @ VPS W 2-043.1 1408 1374 30.39% 29.88% 39.73%-0.15 +25.8 10
2014-05-04 Jaro D 1-153.8 1352 1310 49.62% 28.78% 21.61%+0.50 -2.0 8
2014-05-04 @ Honka D 1-153.8 1310 1352 21.61% 28.78% 49.62%-0.50 +2.0 10
2014-05-04 KuPS D 1-153.2 1299 1217 54.12% 27.80% 18.08%+0.68 -2.6 7
2014-05-04 @ Inter Turku D 1-153.2 1217 1299 18.08% 27.80% 54.12%-0.68 +2.6 1
2014-05-04 MyPa W 2-149.4 1272 1350 33.48% 29.98% 36.54%-0.05 +12.1 9
2014-05-04 @ Mariehamn L 1-249.4 1350 1272 36.54% 29.98% 33.48%+0.05 -12.1 11
2014-05-04 SJK Seinajoki D 1-153.7 1350 1293 51.38% 28.44% 20.18%+0.57 -2.2 8
2014-05-04 @ Lahti D 1-153.7 1293 1350 20.18% 28.44% 51.38%-0.57 +2.2 5
2014-05-08 Honka D 0-048.5 1295 1350 36.70% 29.98% 33.32%+0.05 -0.2 6
2014-05-08 @ SJK Seinajoki D 0-048.5 1350 1295 33.32% 29.98% 36.70%-0.05 +0.2 9
2014-05-08 Inter Turku D 0-048.9 1348 1296 50.67% 28.58% 20.75%+0.54 -2.4 9
2014-05-08 @ Lahti D 0-048.9 1296 1348 20.75% 28.58% 50.67%-0.54 +2.4 8
2014-05-08 Mariehamn W 1-036.5 1434 1284 61.00% 25.62% 13.38%+0.99 +5.5 13
2014-05-08 @ HJK L 0-136.5 1284 1434 13.38% 25.62% 61.00%-0.99 -5.5 9
2014-05-08 RoPS W 1-041.0 1219 1252 39.91% 29.87% 30.22%+0.16 +11.2 4
2014-05-08 @ KuPS L 0-141.0 1252 1219 30.22% 29.87% 39.91%-0.16 -11.2 7
2014-05-08 TPS Turku W 4-136.9 1338 1261 53.53% 27.95% 18.52%+0.66 +17.5 14
2014-05-08 @ MyPa L 1-436.9 1261 1338 18.52% 27.95% 53.53%-0.66 -17.5 3
2014-05-08 VPS W 1-042.3 1312 1348 39.34% 29.90% 30.76%+0.14 +11.4 13
2014-05-08 @ Jaro L 0-142.3 1348 1312 30.76% 29.90% 39.34%-0.14 -11.4 10
2014-05-12 HJK L 0-138.7 1241 1439 19.67% 28.29% 52.04%-0.60 -8.0 7
2014-05-12 @ RoPS W 1-038.7 1439 1241 52.04% 28.29% 19.67%+0.60 +8.0 16
2014-05-12 Inter Turku D 2-258.7 1278 1299 41.60% 29.77% 28.63%+0.22 -0.7 10
2014-05-12 @ Mariehamn D 2-258.7 1299 1278 28.63% 29.77% 41.60%-0.22 +0.7 9
2014-05-12 Jaro W 3-250.5 1356 1323 48.39% 28.99% 22.62%+0.46 +8.0 17
2014-05-12 @ MyPa L 2-350.5 1323 1356 22.62% 28.99% 48.39%-0.46 -8.0 13
2014-05-12 KuPS D 1-153.6 1337 1231 56.69% 27.09% 16.22%+0.79 -3.0 11
2014-05-12 @ VPS D 1-153.6 1231 1337 16.22% 27.09% 56.69%-0.79 +3.0 5
2014-05-12 Lahti W 1-041.0 1351 1346 44.92% 29.46% 25.62%+0.33 +9.9 12
2014-05-12 @ Honka L 0-141.0 1346 1351 25.62% 29.46% 44.92%-0.33 -9.9 9
2014-05-12 SJK Seinajoki W 2-038.4 1244 1294 37.39% 29.97% 32.64%+0.08 +22.4 6
2014-05-12 @ TPS Turku L 0-238.4 1294 1244 32.64% 29.97% 37.39%-0.08 -22.4 6
2014-05-16 MyPa W 4-034.4 1447 1364 54.29% 27.76% 17.95%+0.69 +26.3 19
2014-05-16 @ HJK L 0-434.4 1364 1447 17.95% 27.76% 54.29%-0.69 -26.3 17
2014-05-17 Honka W 2-041.8 1234 1361 27.13% 29.63% 43.24%-0.27 +27.5 8
2014-05-17 @ KuPS L 0-241.8 1361 1234 43.24% 29.63% 27.13%+0.27 -27.5 12
2014-05-17 Mariehamn W 3-034.6 1272 1278 43.54% 29.61% 26.86%+0.28 +28.1 9
2014-05-17 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-334.6 1278 1272 26.86% 29.61% 43.54%-0.28 -28.1 10
2014-05-17 RoPS W 1-036.5 1336 1233 56.34% 27.19% 16.47%+0.78 +6.8 12
2014-05-17 @ Lahti L 0-136.5 1233 1336 16.47% 27.19% 56.34%-0.78 -6.8 7
2014-05-17 TPS Turku W 2-034.7 1315 1266 50.33% 28.65% 21.03%+0.53 +15.9 16
2014-05-17 @ Jaro L 0-234.7 1266 1315 21.03% 28.65% 50.33%-0.53 -15.9 6
2014-05-17 VPS D 0-048.4 1299 1334 39.65% 29.88% 30.47%+0.15 -0.7 10
2014-05-17 @ Inter Turku D 0-048.4 1334 1299 30.47% 29.88% 39.65%-0.15 +0.7 12
2014-05-23 Jaro L 0-144.8 1300 1331 40.20% 29.86% 29.94%+0.17 -13.8 9
2014-05-23 @ SJK Seinajoki W 1-044.8 1331 1300 29.94% 29.86% 40.20%-0.17 +13.8 19
2014-05-23 KuPS W 2-033.9 1337 1261 53.46% 27.97% 18.58%+0.66 +14.3 20
2014-05-23 @ MyPa L 0-233.9 1261 1337 18.58% 27.97% 53.46%-0.66 -14.3 8
2014-05-23 Mariehamn D 2-259.3 1333 1250 54.24% 27.77% 17.99%+0.69 -2.0 13
2014-05-23 @ Honka D 2-259.3 1250 1333 17.99% 27.77% 54.24%-0.69 +2.0 11
2014-05-23 RoPS W 2-032.6 1335 1226 56.92% 27.02% 16.06%+0.80 +12.5 15
2014-05-23 @ VPS L 0-232.6 1226 1335 16.06% 27.02% 56.92%-0.80 -12.5 7
2014-05-23 TPS Turku W 2-033.3 1343 1250 55.22% 27.51% 17.27%+0.73 +13.4 15
2014-05-23 @ Lahti L 0-233.3 1250 1343 17.27% 27.51% 55.22%-0.73 -13.4 6
2014-05-26 Honka W 3-034.7 1347 1331 46.35% 29.29% 24.36%+0.38 +26.1 18
2014-05-26 @ VPS L 0-334.7 1331 1347 24.36% 29.29% 46.35%-0.38 -26.1 13
2014-05-26 Inter Turku D 1-153.8 1352 1299 50.79% 28.55% 20.65%+0.55 -2.1 21
2014-05-26 @ MyPa D 1-153.8 1299 1352 20.65% 28.55% 50.79%-0.55 +2.2 11
2014-05-26 Jaro W 2-151.1 1214 1345 26.64% 29.58% 43.77%-0.29 +13.9 10
2014-05-26 @ RoPS L 1-251.1 1345 1214 43.77% 29.58% 26.64%+0.29 -13.9 19
2014-05-26 KuPS L 0-339.2 1237 1247 42.98% 29.66% 27.36%+0.26 -39.8 6
2014-05-26 @ TPS Turku W 3-039.2 1247 1237 27.36% 29.66% 42.98%-0.26 +39.8 11
2014-05-26 Lahti D 0-048.2 1252 1356 29.95% 29.86% 40.19%-0.17 +0.8 12
2014-05-26 @ Mariehamn D 0-048.2 1356 1252 40.19% 29.86% 29.95%+0.17 -0.8 16
2014-05-26 SJK Seinajoki W 1-036.1 1474 1286 64.43% 24.20% 11.37%+1.16 +4.7 22
2014-05-26 @ HJK L 0-136.1 1286 1474 11.37% 24.20% 64.43%-1.16 -4.7 9
2014-06-04 HJK L 0-237.3 1301 1478 21.64% 28.78% 49.58%-0.50 -16.3 11
2014-06-04 @ Inter Turku W 2-037.3 1478 1301 49.58% 28.78% 21.64%+0.50 +16.3 25
2014-06-04 MyPa W 1-043.3 1282 1349 34.99% 30.00% 35.02%+0.00 +12.5 12
2014-06-04 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-143.3 1349 1282 35.02% 30.00% 34.99%+0.00 -12.5 21
2014-06-04 TPS Turku W 2-031.1 1355 1197 61.79% 25.31% 12.90%+1.03 +10.1 19
2014-06-04 @ Lahti L 0-231.1 1197 1355 12.90% 25.31% 61.79%-1.03 -10.1 6
2014-06-08 HJK L 0-238.9 1331 1495 23.00% 29.06% 47.94%-0.44 -17.1 19
2014-06-08 @ Jaro W 2-038.9 1495 1331 47.94% 29.06% 23.00%+0.44 +17.1 28
2014-06-08 Mariehamn W 4-032.8 1286 1252 48.56% 28.96% 22.48%+0.46 +31.9 14
2014-06-08 @ KuPS L 0-432.8 1252 1286 22.48% 28.96% 48.56%-0.46 -31.9 12
2014-06-08 RoPS W 1-037.1 1305 1227 53.61% 27.93% 18.46%+0.66 +7.5 16
2014-06-08 @ Honka L 0-137.1 1227 1305 18.46% 27.93% 53.61%-0.66 -7.6 10
2014-06-08 TPS Turku W 2-142.0 1285 1187 55.77% 27.36% 16.87%+0.75 +6.6 14
2014-06-08 @ Inter Turku L 1-242.0 1187 1285 16.87% 27.36% 55.77%-0.75 -6.5 6
2014-06-08 VPS D 1-154.6 1365 1373 43.25% 29.63% 27.12%+0.27 -1.1 20
2014-06-08 @ Lahti D 1-154.6 1373 1365 27.12% 29.63% 43.25%-0.27 +1.1 19
2014-06-11 HJK D 0-050.9 1220 1512 12.97% 25.36% 61.67%-1.03 +4.1 11
2014-06-11 @ RoPS D 0-050.9 1512 1220 61.67% 25.36% 12.97%+1.03 -4.1 29
2014-06-11 Inter Turku W 2-035.8 1314 1291 47.14% 29.18% 23.68%+0.41 +17.6 22
2014-06-11 @ Jaro L 0-235.8 1291 1314 23.68% 29.18% 47.14%-0.41 -17.6 14
2014-06-11 KuPS L 0-342.7 1374 1318 51.16% 28.48% 20.36%+0.56 -45.8 19
2014-06-11 @ VPS W 3-042.7 1318 1374 20.36% 28.48% 51.16%-0.56 +45.8 17
2014-06-11 Lahti D 1-153.6 1313 1364 37.26% 29.97% 32.77%+0.07 -0.3 17
2014-06-11 @ Honka D 1-153.6 1364 1313 32.77% 29.97% 37.26%-0.07 +0.3 21
2014-06-11 Mariehamn W 3-143.4 1180 1220 38.89% 29.92% 31.20%+0.13 +18.8 9
2014-06-11 @ TPS Turku L 1-343.4 1220 1180 31.20% 29.92% 38.89%-0.13 -18.8 12
2014-06-11 SJK Seinajoki L 1-349.5 1337 1294 49.60% 28.78% 21.62%+0.50 -26.6 21
2014-06-11 @ MyPa W 3-149.5 1294 1337 21.62% 28.78% 49.60%-0.50 +26.6 15
2014-06-14 VPS W 3-032.4 1508 1329 63.71% 24.52% 11.78%+1.13 +13.3 32
2014-06-14 @ HJK L 0-332.4 1329 1508 11.78% 24.52% 63.71%-1.13 -13.3 19
2014-06-15 Honka W 2-035.4 1364 1312 50.69% 28.58% 20.73%+0.55 +15.7 20
2014-06-15 @ KuPS L 0-235.4 1312 1364 20.73% 28.58% 50.69%-0.55 -15.7 17
2014-06-15 Jaro W 4-251.1 1202 1331 26.85% 29.61% 43.55%-0.28 +21.4 15
2014-06-15 @ Mariehamn L 2-451.1 1331 1202 43.55% 29.61% 26.85%+0.28 -21.4 22
2014-06-15 MyPa W 1-041.7 1274 1310 39.35% 29.90% 30.75%+0.14 +11.4 17
2014-06-15 @ Inter Turku L 0-141.7 1310 1274 30.75% 29.90% 39.35%-0.14 -11.4 21
2014-06-15 RoPS W 1-036.5 1321 1224 55.69% 27.38% 16.93%+0.75 +7.0 18
2014-06-15 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-136.5 1224 1321 16.93% 27.38% 55.69%-0.75 -7.0 11
2014-06-18 HJK D 1-156.8 1297 1521 17.50% 27.60% 54.90%-0.72 +2.7 18
2014-06-18 @ Honka D 1-156.8 1521 1297 54.90% 27.60% 17.50%+0.72 -2.7 33
2014-06-18 Inter Turku W 3-037.0 1217 1285 34.94% 30.00% 35.07%+0.00 +34.2 14
2014-06-18 @ RoPS L 0-337.0 1285 1217 35.07% 30.00% 34.94%+0.00 -34.2 17
2014-06-18 KuPS D 1-153.2 1199 1380 21.32% 28.71% 49.96%-0.52 +2.0 10
2014-06-18 @ TPS Turku D 1-153.2 1380 1199 49.96% 28.71% 21.32%+0.52 -2.0 21
2014-06-18 Lahti L 0-139.9 1223 1365 25.45% 29.44% 45.11%-0.34 -9.9 15
2014-06-18 @ Mariehamn W 1-039.9 1365 1223 45.11% 29.44% 25.45%+0.34 +9.9 24
2014-06-18 MyPa D 1-153.2 1310 1299 45.67% 29.37% 24.96%+0.36 -1.4 23
2014-06-18 @ Jaro D 1-153.2 1299 1310 24.96% 29.37% 45.67%-0.36 +1.4 22
2014-06-18 SJK Seinajoki L 0-145.6 1315 1328 42.64% 29.69% 27.68%+0.25 -14.4 19
2014-06-18 @ VPS W 1-045.6 1328 1315 27.68% 29.69% 42.64%-0.25 +14.4 21
2014-06-23 Honka W 2-144.7 1342 1299 49.64% 28.77% 21.59%+0.50 +8.1 24
2014-06-23 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-244.7 1299 1342 21.59% 28.77% 49.64%-0.50 -8.1 18
2014-06-23 Mariehamn L 1-351.9 1378 1213 62.38% 25.07% 12.55%+1.06 -32.2 21
2014-06-23 @ KuPS W 3-151.9 1213 1378 12.55% 25.07% 62.38%-1.06 +32.2 18
2014-06-23 RoPS D 1-153.1 1300 1251 50.37% 28.64% 20.99%+0.53 -2.1 23
2014-06-23 @ MyPa D 1-153.1 1251 1300 20.99% 28.64% 50.37%-0.53 +2.1 15
2014-06-23 TPS Turku W 5-027.2 1518 1201 74.72% 18.76% 6.52%+1.76 +10.8 36
2014-06-23 @ HJK L 0-527.2 1201 1518 6.52% 18.76% 74.72%-1.76 -10.8 10
2014-06-23 VPS W 3-036.4 1251 1301 37.48% 29.96% 32.55%+0.08 +32.4 20
2014-06-23 @ Inter Turku L 0-336.4 1301 1251 32.55% 29.96% 37.48%-0.08 -32.4 19
2014-06-24 Jaro W 1-038.6 1374 1308 52.32% 28.23% 19.45%+0.61 +7.9 27
2014-06-24 @ Lahti L 0-138.6 1308 1374 19.45% 28.23% 52.32%-0.61 -7.9 23
2014-06-27 HJK L 0-233.8 1246 1529 13.46% 25.66% 60.88%-0.99 -10.5 18
2014-06-27 @ Mariehamn W 2-033.8 1529 1246 60.88% 25.66% 13.46%+0.99 +10.5 39
2014-06-27 Inter Turku W 2-145.5 1291 1283 45.31% 29.42% 25.27%+0.34 +9.2 21
2014-06-27 @ Honka L 1-245.5 1283 1291 25.27% 29.42% 45.31%-0.34 -9.2 20
2014-06-27 KuPS L 0-148.3 1382 1346 48.88% 28.91% 22.21%+0.48 -16.1 27
2014-06-27 @ Lahti W 1-048.3 1346 1382 22.21% 28.91% 48.88%-0.48 +16.1 24
2014-06-27 MyPa W 4-035.4 1268 1298 40.30% 29.85% 29.85%+0.17 +39.8 22
2014-06-27 @ VPS L 0-435.4 1298 1268 29.85% 29.85% 40.30%-0.17 -39.8 23
2014-06-27 RoPS D 1-153.1 1300 1253 50.13% 28.68% 21.19%+0.52 -2.1 24
2014-06-27 @ Jaro D 1-153.1 1253 1300 21.19% 28.68% 50.13%-0.52 +2.0 16
2014-06-27 SJK Seinajoki L 0-139.0 1190 1350 23.41% 29.13% 47.46%-0.42 -9.2 10
2014-06-27 @ TPS Turku W 1-039.0 1350 1190 47.46% 29.13% 23.41%+0.42 +9.2 27
2014-07-02 Jaro D 1-153.9 1362 1298 52.01% 28.30% 19.69%+0.60 -2.3 25
2014-07-02 @ KuPS D 1-153.9 1298 1362 19.69% 28.30% 52.01%-0.60 +2.3 25
2014-07-02 Lahti D 0-055.4 1540 1366 63.19% 24.74% 12.07%+1.10 -4.3 40
2014-07-02 @ HJK D 0-055.4 1366 1540 12.07% 24.74% 63.19%-1.10 +4.3 28
2014-07-02 Mariehamn W 3-030.3 1360 1235 58.54% 26.50% 14.96%+0.88 +17.0 30
2014-07-02 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-330.3 1235 1360 14.96% 26.50% 58.54%-0.88 -17.0 18
2014-07-02 TPS Turku W 3-247.1 1274 1181 55.26% 27.50% 17.24%+0.73 +6.3 23
2014-07-02 @ Inter Turku L 2-347.1 1181 1274 17.24% 27.50% 55.26%-0.73 -6.3 10
2014-07-06 HJK D 2-264.4 1359 1535 21.79% 28.82% 49.39%-0.50 +1.5 26
2014-07-06 @ KuPS D 2-264.4 1535 1359 49.39% 28.82% 21.79%+0.50 -1.4 41
2014-07-06 Inter Turku W 3-144.5 1218 1280 35.76% 29.99% 34.25%+0.02 +20.0 21
2014-07-06 @ Mariehamn L 1-344.5 1280 1218 34.25% 29.99% 35.76%-0.02 -20.0 23
2014-07-06 RoPS L 0-243.3 1300 1255 49.88% 28.73% 21.39%+0.51 -30.9 21
2014-07-06 @ Honka W 2-043.3 1255 1300 21.39% 28.73% 49.88%-0.51 +30.9 19
2014-07-06 VPS L 1-251.2 1301 1308 43.30% 29.63% 27.07%+0.27 -13.8 25
2014-07-06 @ Jaro W 2-151.2 1308 1301 27.07% 29.63% 43.30%-0.27 +13.8 25
2014-07-07 MyPa W 3-037.4 1175 1259 32.72% 29.97% 37.31%-0.07 +35.7 13
2014-07-07 @ TPS Turku L 0-337.4 1259 1175 37.31% 29.97% 32.72%+0.07 -35.7 23
2014-07-07 SJK Seinajoki D 1-154.7 1371 1377 43.49% 29.61% 26.90%+0.28 -1.1 29
2014-07-07 @ Lahti D 1-154.7 1377 1371 26.90% 29.61% 43.49%-0.28 +1.1 31
2014-07-12 KuPS D 0-049.9 1378 1361 46.44% 29.28% 24.28%+0.39 -1.7 32
2014-07-12 @ SJK Seinajoki D 0-049.9 1361 1378 24.28% 29.28% 46.44%-0.39 +1.7 27
2014-07-12 TPS Turku W 3-031.4 1286 1211 53.39% 27.98% 18.63%+0.65 +20.8 22
2014-07-12 @ RoPS L 0-331.4 1211 1286 18.63% 27.98% 53.39%-0.65 -20.8 13
2014-07-13 Honka W 3-140.5 1322 1269 50.76% 28.56% 20.68%+0.55 +13.6 28
2014-07-13 @ VPS L 1-340.5 1269 1322 20.68% 28.56% 50.76%-0.55 -13.6 21
2014-07-13 Mariehamn W 3-034.6 1223 1238 42.27% 29.72% 28.02%+0.24 +29.0 26
2014-07-13 @ MyPa L 0-334.6 1238 1223 28.02% 29.72% 42.27%-0.24 -29.0 21
2014-07-14 Lahti L 0-141.5 1260 1369 29.34% 29.82% 40.84%-0.19 -11.0 23
2014-07-14 @ Inter Turku W 1-041.5 1369 1260 40.84% 29.82% 29.34%+0.19 +11.0 32
2014-07-19 SJK Seinajoki W 2-037.2 1534 1376 61.76% 25.32% 12.92%+1.03 +10.1 44
2014-07-19 @ HJK L 0-237.2 1376 1534 12.92% 25.32% 61.76%-1.03 -10.1 32
2014-07-20 Inter Turku W 4-242.4 1363 1249 57.40% 26.87% 15.73%+0.83 +9.5 30
2014-07-20 @ KuPS L 2-442.4 1249 1363 15.73% 26.87% 57.40%-0.83 -9.5 23
2014-07-20 Jaro L 0-539.1 1256 1287 40.14% 29.86% 30.00%+0.17 -60.7 21
2014-07-20 @ Honka W 5-039.1 1287 1256 30.00% 29.86% 40.14%-0.17 +60.7 28
2014-07-20 MyPa W 3-030.5 1380 1252 58.93% 26.37% 14.70%+0.90 +16.7 35
2014-07-20 @ Lahti L 0-330.5 1252 1380 14.70% 26.37% 58.93%-0.90 -16.7 26
2014-07-20 RoPS L 2-447.3 1209 1307 30.80% 29.90% 39.30%-0.14 -16.6 21
2014-07-20 @ Mariehamn W 4-247.3 1307 1209 39.30% 29.90% 30.80%+0.14 +16.6 25
2014-07-20 VPS D 0-047.9 1190 1336 24.95% 29.37% 45.68%-0.36 +1.6 14
2014-07-20 @ TPS Turku D 0-047.9 1336 1190 45.68% 29.37% 24.95%+0.36 -1.6 29
2014-07-26 HJK D 3-366.4 1240 1544 12.30% 24.90% 62.80%-1.08 +2.4 24
2014-07-26 @ Inter Turku D 3-366.4 1544 1240 62.80% 24.90% 12.30%+1.08 -2.4 45
2014-07-26 SJK Seinajoki L 0-146.2 1348 1366 41.87% 29.75% 28.38%+0.22 -14.2 28
2014-07-26 @ Jaro W 1-046.2 1366 1348 28.38% 29.75% 41.87%-0.22 +14.2 35
2014-07-27 KuPS W 5-353.3 1235 1372 25.96% 29.51% 44.54%-0.32 +20.6 29
2014-07-27 @ MyPa L 3-553.3 1372 1235 44.54% 29.51% 25.96%+0.32 -20.6 30
2014-07-27 Lahti L 0-144.1 1324 1397 34.15% 29.99% 35.85%-0.03 -12.3 25
2014-07-27 @ RoPS W 1-044.1 1397 1324 35.85% 29.99% 34.15%+0.03 +12.3 38
2014-07-27 Mariehamn L 1-254.7 1334 1192 60.20% 25.91% 13.88%+0.95 -18.1 29
2014-07-27 @ VPS W 2-154.7 1192 1334 13.88% 25.91% 60.20%-0.95 +18.1 24
2014-07-27 TPS Turku D 1-152.3 1195 1191 44.79% 29.48% 25.74%+0.33 -1.3 22
2014-07-27 @ Honka D 1-152.3 1191 1195 25.74% 29.48% 44.79%-0.33 +1.3 15
2014-08-02 HJK L 0-137.9 1256 1542 13.33% 25.58% 61.09%-1.00 -5.5 29
2014-08-02 @ MyPa W 1-037.9 1542 1256 61.09% 25.58% 13.33%+1.00 +5.5 48
2014-08-03 Inter Turku D 2-260.1 1380 1242 59.86% 26.04% 14.10%+0.94 -2.6 36
2014-08-03 @ SJK Seinajoki D 2-260.1 1242 1380 14.10% 26.04% 59.86%-0.94 +2.6 25
2014-08-03 KuPS W 3-144.6 1311 1351 38.88% 29.92% 31.20%+0.13 +18.8 28
2014-08-03 @ RoPS L 1-344.6 1351 1311 31.20% 29.92% 38.88%-0.13 -18.8 30
2014-08-03 Lahti L 1-345.5 1316 1409 31.40% 29.93% 38.67%-0.12 -18.9 29
2014-08-03 @ VPS W 3-145.5 1409 1316 38.67% 29.93% 31.40%+0.12 +18.8 41
2014-08-03 Mariehamn D 1-152.3 1194 1211 42.09% 29.73% 28.18%+0.23 -0.9 23
2014-08-03 @ Honka D 1-152.3 1211 1194 28.18% 29.73% 42.09%-0.23 +0.9 25
2014-08-04 Jaro D 2-258.5 1193 1333 25.52% 29.45% 45.03%-0.33 +1.0 16
2014-08-04 @ TPS Turku D 2-258.5 1333 1193 45.03% 29.45% 25.52%+0.33 -1.0 29
2014-08-09 SJK Seinajoki D 1-153.2 1245 1378 26.43% 29.56% 44.01%-0.30 +1.2 26
2014-08-09 @ Inter Turku D 1-153.2 1378 1245 44.01% 29.56% 26.43%+0.30 -1.2 37
2014-08-10 Honka W 4-138.2 1211 1193 46.65% 29.25% 24.10%+0.39 +21.8 28
2014-08-10 @ Mariehamn L 1-438.2 1193 1211 24.10% 29.25% 46.65%-0.39 -21.8 23
2014-08-10 RoPS W 1-040.7 1333 1330 44.63% 29.50% 25.88%+0.32 +10.0 33
2014-08-10 @ KuPS L 0-140.7 1330 1333 25.88% 29.50% 44.63%-0.32 -10.0 28
2014-08-10 TPS Turku D 1-153.7 1332 1194 59.94% 26.01% 14.05%+0.94 -3.4 30
2014-08-10 @ Jaro D 1-153.7 1194 1332 14.05% 26.01% 59.94%-0.94 +3.4 17
2014-08-10 VPS W 4-136.5 1428 1297 59.18% 26.28% 14.54%+0.91 +13.9 44
2014-08-10 @ Lahti L 1-436.5 1297 1428 14.54% 26.28% 59.18%-0.91 -13.9 29
2014-08-13 Honka W 2-144.3 1197 1171 47.57% 29.12% 23.31%+0.43 +8.7 20
2014-08-13 @ TPS Turku L 1-244.3 1171 1197 23.31% 29.12% 47.57%-0.43 -8.7 23
2014-08-13 Inter Turku W 2-030.4 1547 1246 73.59% 19.44% 6.98%+1.68 +5.0 51
2014-08-13 @ HJK L 0-230.4 1246 1547 6.98% 19.44% 73.59%-1.68 -5.0 26
2014-08-13 Jaro W 1-039.5 1376 1329 50.16% 28.68% 21.16%+0.52 +8.5 40
2014-08-13 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-139.5 1329 1376 21.16% 28.68% 50.16%-0.52 -8.5 30
2014-08-13 MyPa W 1-036.9 1343 1250 55.22% 27.51% 17.27%+0.73 +7.1 36
2014-08-13 @ KuPS L 0-136.9 1250 1343 17.27% 27.51% 55.22%-0.73 -7.1 29
2014-08-13 RoPS L 3-464.2 1442 1320 58.27% 26.59% 15.14%+0.87 -16.3 44
2014-08-13 @ Lahti W 4-364.2 1320 1442 15.14% 26.59% 58.27%-0.87 +16.3 31
2014-08-13 VPS W 1-041.9 1233 1283 37.51% 29.96% 32.52%+0.08 +11.8 31
2014-08-13 @ Mariehamn L 0-141.9 1283 1233 32.52% 29.96% 37.51%-0.08 -11.8 29
2014-08-17 SJK Seinajoki L 0-141.6 1271 1385 28.78% 29.78% 41.44%-0.21 -10.8 29
2014-08-17 @ VPS W 1-041.6 1385 1271 41.44% 29.78% 28.78%+0.21 +10.8 43
2014-08-24 HJK W 2-049.9 1396 1552 23.79% 29.20% 47.01%-0.41 +29.4 46
2014-08-24 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-249.9 1552 1396 47.01% 29.20% 23.79%+0.41 -29.4 51
2014-08-24 Honka D 3-363.3 1320 1162 61.77% 25.32% 12.91%+1.03 -2.3 31
2014-08-24 @ Jaro D 3-363.3 1162 1320 12.91% 25.32% 61.77%-1.03 +2.3 24
2014-08-24 Lahti D 2-259.8 1243 1426 21.14% 28.67% 50.19%-0.53 +1.5 30
2014-08-24 @ MyPa D 2-259.8 1426 1243 50.19% 28.67% 21.14%+0.53 -1.5 45
2014-08-24 Mariehamn L 1-350.4 1336 1245 55.10% 27.54% 17.36%+0.73 -29.1 31
2014-08-24 @ RoPS W 3-150.4 1245 1336 17.36% 27.54% 55.10%-0.73 +29.1 34
2014-08-25 KuPS D 0-048.1 1241 1350 29.36% 29.82% 40.82%-0.19 +0.9 27
2014-08-25 @ Inter Turku D 0-048.1 1350 1241 40.82% 29.82% 29.36%+0.19 -0.8 37
2014-08-25 TPS Turku D 0-048.0 1260 1206 51.02% 28.51% 20.47%+0.56 -2.4 30
2014-08-25 @ VPS D 0-048.0 1206 1260 20.47% 28.51% 51.02%-0.56 +2.4 21
2014-08-31 HJK L 1-440.8 1318 1523 19.15% 28.14% 52.71%-0.63 -18.0 31
2014-08-31 @ Jaro W 4-140.8 1523 1318 52.71% 28.14% 19.15%+0.63 +18.0 54
2014-08-31 Inter Turku D 0-050.4 1424 1242 64.01% 24.38% 11.61%+1.14 -4.4 46
2014-08-31 @ Lahti D 0-050.4 1242 1424 11.61% 24.38% 64.01%-1.14 +4.4 28
2014-08-31 MyPa W 3-140.9 1274 1245 48.01% 29.05% 22.94%+0.44 +14.8 37
2014-08-31 @ Mariehamn L 1-340.9 1245 1274 22.94% 29.05% 48.01%-0.44 -14.8 30
2014-08-31 RoPS W 4-249.9 1208 1307 30.63% 29.89% 39.48%-0.14 +19.9 24
2014-08-31 @ TPS Turku L 2-449.9 1307 1208 39.48% 29.89% 30.63%+0.14 -19.9 31
2014-08-31 SJK Seinajoki D 0-050.3 1349 1425 33.77% 29.99% 36.24%-0.04 +0.2 38
2014-08-31 @ KuPS D 0-050.3 1425 1349 36.24% 29.99% 33.77%+0.04 -0.2 47
2014-08-31 VPS L 1-247.0 1165 1258 31.41% 29.93% 38.66%-0.12 -10.9 24
2014-08-31 @ Honka W 2-147.0 1258 1165 38.66% 29.93% 31.41%+0.12 +10.9 33
2014-09-12 KuPS D 2-265.7 1541 1349 64.81% 24.03% 11.16%+1.18 -3.0 55
2014-09-12 @ HJK D 2-265.7 1349 1541 11.16% 24.03% 64.81%-1.18 +3.0 39
2014-09-13 Lahti D 1-156.9 1425 1420 44.95% 29.46% 25.59%+0.33 -1.3 48
2014-09-13 @ SJK Seinajoki D 1-156.9 1420 1425 25.59% 29.46% 44.95%-0.33 +1.3 47
2014-09-13 Mariehamn L 0-240.1 1246 1289 38.50% 29.93% 31.56%+0.11 -25.2 28
2014-09-13 @ Inter Turku W 2-040.1 1289 1246 31.56% 29.93% 38.50%-0.11 +25.2 40
2014-09-14 Honka W 2-140.8 1287 1154 59.43% 26.19% 14.38%+0.92 +5.6 34
2014-09-14 @ RoPS L 1-240.8 1154 1287 14.38% 26.19% 59.43%-0.92 -5.6 24
2014-09-14 Jaro D 3-362.3 1269 1300 40.10% 29.86% 30.04%+0.17 -0.4 34
2014-09-14 @ VPS D 3-362.3 1300 1269 30.04% 29.86% 40.10%-0.17 +0.4 32
2014-09-14 TPS Turku W 2-145.3 1230 1228 44.52% 29.51% 25.97%+0.32 +9.4 33
2014-09-14 @ MyPa L 1-245.3 1228 1230 25.97% 29.51% 44.52%-0.32 -9.4 24
2014-09-17 Inter Turku L 1-642.3 1219 1221 43.97% 29.56% 26.46%+0.30 -54.0 24
2014-09-17 @ TPS Turku W 6-142.3 1221 1219 26.46% 29.56% 43.97%-0.30 +54.0 31
2014-09-17 MyPa W 2-039.7 1148 1239 31.72% 29.94% 38.34%-0.11 +25.1 27
2014-09-17 @ Honka L 0-239.7 1239 1148 38.34% 29.94% 31.72%+0.11 -25.1 33
2014-09-17 RoPS W 2-037.4 1269 1293 41.02% 29.81% 29.18%+0.20 +20.6 37
2014-09-17 @ VPS L 0-237.4 1293 1269 29.18% 29.81% 41.02%-0.20 -20.6 34
2014-09-17 SJK Seinajoki D 2-260.3 1314 1424 29.30% 29.82% 40.88%-0.19 +0.6 41
2014-09-17 @ Mariehamn D 2-260.3 1424 1314 40.88% 29.82% 29.30%+0.19 -0.6 49
2014-09-19 KuPS W 3-253.6 1301 1352 37.28% 29.97% 32.75%+0.07 +10.6 35
2014-09-19 @ Jaro L 2-353.6 1352 1301 32.75% 29.97% 37.28%-0.07 -10.6 39
2014-09-21 Mariehamn W 5-135.2 1538 1315 67.49% 22.75% 9.75%+1.33 +11.8 58
2014-09-21 @ HJK L 1-535.2 1315 1538 9.75% 22.75% 67.49%-1.33 -11.8 41
2014-09-21 TPS Turku W 2-138.1 1423 1165 70.35% 21.26% 8.38%+1.49 +3.1 52
2014-09-21 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-238.1 1165 1423 8.38% 21.26% 70.35%-1.49 -3.1 24
2014-09-21 VPS D 0-047.7 1214 1289 33.94% 29.99% 36.07%-0.03 +0.2 34
2014-09-21 @ MyPa D 0-047.7 1289 1214 36.07% 29.99% 33.94%+0.03 -0.2 38
2014-09-22 Honka D 2-259.0 1275 1173 56.19% 27.24% 16.58%+0.77 -2.2 32
2014-09-22 @ Inter Turku D 2-259.0 1173 1275 16.58% 27.24% 56.19%-0.77 +2.2 28
2014-09-22 Jaro L 0-144.2 1272 1311 39.07% 29.91% 31.02%+0.13 -13.5 34
2014-09-22 @ RoPS W 1-044.2 1311 1272 31.02% 29.91% 39.07%-0.13 +13.5 38
2014-09-22 Lahti D 1-154.9 1342 1421 33.29% 29.98% 36.73%-0.06 +0.2 40
2014-09-22 @ KuPS D 1-154.9 1421 1342 36.73% 29.98% 33.29%+0.06 -0.2 48
2014-09-25 HJK L 0-244.9 1421 1549 26.94% 29.62% 43.44%-0.28 -19.4 48
2014-09-25 @ Lahti W 2-044.9 1549 1421 43.44% 29.62% 26.94%+0.28 +19.4 61
2014-09-28 HJK L 1-432.9 1161 1569 7.90% 20.67% 71.43%-1.55 -7.1 24
2014-09-28 @ TPS Turku W 4-132.9 1569 1161 71.43% 20.67% 7.90%+1.55 +7.1 64
2014-09-28 Inter Turku W 1-039.4 1289 1273 46.36% 29.29% 24.35%+0.38 +9.5 41
2014-09-28 @ VPS L 0-139.4 1273 1289 24.35% 29.29% 46.36%-0.38 -9.5 32
2014-09-28 KuPS W 3-144.4 1303 1342 39.07% 29.91% 31.02%+0.13 +18.7 44
2014-09-28 @ Mariehamn L 1-344.4 1342 1303 31.02% 29.91% 39.07%-0.13 -18.7 40
2014-09-28 Lahti L 0-438.1 1325 1402 33.69% 29.99% 36.32%-0.04 -43.4 38
2014-09-28 @ Jaro W 4-038.1 1402 1325 36.32% 29.99% 33.69%+0.04 +43.4 51
2014-09-28 MyPa D 0-047.9 1259 1214 49.84% 28.74% 21.42%+0.51 -2.2 35
2014-09-28 @ RoPS D 0-047.9 1214 1259 21.42% 28.74% 49.84%-0.51 +2.2 35
2014-09-28 SJK Seinajoki D 1-153.9 1175 1426 15.57% 26.79% 57.63%-0.84 +3.1 29
2014-09-28 @ Honka D 1-153.9 1426 1175 57.63% 26.79% 15.57%+0.84 -3.1 53
2014-10-05 Honka D 1-159.1 1576 1179 79.99% 15.44% 4.58%+2.12 -5.6 65
2014-10-05 @ HJK D 1-159.1 1179 1576 4.58% 15.44% 79.99%-2.12 +5.6 30
2014-10-05 Jaro W 2-148.2 1217 1281 35.40% 29.99% 34.61%+0.01 +11.7 38
2014-10-05 @ MyPa L 1-248.2 1281 1217 34.61% 29.99% 35.40%-0.01 -11.7 38
2014-10-05 Mariehamn D 1-156.0 1445 1322 58.41% 26.54% 15.05%+0.87 -3.2 52
2014-10-05 @ Lahti D 1-156.0 1322 1445 15.05% 26.54% 58.41%-0.87 +3.2 45
2014-10-05 RoPS W 4-139.0 1263 1257 45.12% 29.44% 25.44%+0.34 +22.8 35
2014-10-05 @ Inter Turku L 1-439.0 1257 1263 25.44% 29.44% 45.12%-0.34 -22.8 35
2014-10-05 TPS Turku W 1-034.2 1323 1154 62.76% 24.92% 12.32%+1.08 +5.1 43
2014-10-05 @ KuPS L 0-134.2 1154 1323 12.32% 24.92% 62.76%-1.08 -5.1 24
2014-10-05 VPS L 0-344.7 1423 1298 58.53% 26.50% 14.97%+0.88 -51.3 53
2014-10-05 @ SJK Seinajoki W 3-044.7 1298 1423 14.97% 26.50% 58.53%-0.88 +51.3 44
2014-10-16 MyPa W 2-029.7 1570 1228 76.45% 17.70% 5.85%+1.87 +4.1 68
2014-10-16 @ HJK L 0-229.7 1228 1570 5.85% 17.70% 76.45%-1.87 -4.1 38
2014-10-18 KuPS D 2-258.5 1184 1328 25.16% 29.40% 45.44%-0.35 +1.0 31
2014-10-18 @ Honka D 2-258.5 1328 1184 45.44% 29.40% 25.16%+0.35 -1.0 44
2014-10-18 Lahti L 0-135.0 1149 1442 12.95% 25.34% 61.71%-1.03 -5.4 24
2014-10-18 @ TPS Turku W 1-035.0 1442 1149 61.71% 25.34% 12.95%+1.03 +5.4 55
2014-10-18 Mariehamn W 1-042.5 1270 1325 36.77% 29.98% 33.25%+0.06 +12.0 41
2014-10-18 @ Jaro L 0-142.5 1325 1270 33.25% 29.98% 36.77%-0.06 -12.0 45
2014-10-18 SJK Seinajoki L 1-245.9 1234 1372 25.87% 29.49% 44.64%-0.32 -9.4 35
2014-10-18 @ RoPS W 2-145.9 1372 1234 44.64% 29.49% 25.87%+0.32 +9.4 56
2014-10-19 HJK D 1-159.9 1350 1574 17.49% 27.59% 54.92%-0.72 +2.7 45
2014-10-19 @ VPS D 1-159.9 1574 1350 54.92% 27.59% 17.49%+0.72 -2.7 69
2014-10-19 Inter Turku D 2-258.3 1224 1286 35.82% 29.99% 34.19%+0.03 -0.1 39
2014-10-19 @ MyPa D 2-258.3 1286 1224 34.19% 29.99% 35.82%-0.03 +0.1 36
2014-10-25 Honka W 2-029.0 1447 1185 70.62% 21.12% 8.26%+1.50 +6.1 58
2014-10-25 @ Lahti L 0-229.0 1185 1447 8.26% 21.12% 70.62%-1.50 -6.1 31
2014-10-25 Jaro L 0-145.7 1286 1282 44.85% 29.47% 25.68%+0.33 -15.0 36
2014-10-25 @ Inter Turku W 1-045.7 1282 1286 25.68% 29.47% 44.85%-0.33 +15.0 44
2014-10-25 MyPa W 3-137.3 1381 1224 61.68% 25.35% 12.97%+1.03 +8.8 59
2014-10-25 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-337.3 1224 1381 12.97% 25.35% 61.68%-1.03 -8.8 39
2014-10-25 TPS Turku W 3-136.3 1313 1144 62.78% 24.91% 12.31%+1.08 +8.3 48
2014-10-25 @ Mariehamn L 1-336.3 1144 1313 12.31% 24.91% 62.78%-1.08 -8.3 24
2014-10-25 VPS L 0-145.5 1327 1353 40.91% 29.81% 29.28%+0.19 -14.0 44
2014-10-25 @ KuPS W 1-045.5 1353 1327 29.28% 29.81% 40.91%-0.19 +14.0 48
2014-10-26 RoPS W 3-027.5 1572 1225 76.79% 17.49% 5.72%+1.89 +5.8 72
2014-10-26 @ HJK L 0-327.5 1225 1572 5.72% 17.49% 76.79%-1.89 -5.7 35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-06-23 12.55% Mariehamn 1213 3 @ KuPS 1378 1
2 2014-04-26 13.18% TPS Turku 1274 1 @ HJK 1428 0
3 2014-07-27 13.88% Mariehamn 1192 2 @ VPS 1334 1
4 2014-10-05 14.97% VPS 1298 3 @ SJK Seinajoki 1423 0
5 2014-08-13 15.14% RoPS 1320 4 @ Lahti 1442 3
6 2014-08-24 17.36% Mariehamn 1245 3 @ RoPS 1336 1
7 2014-05-03 18.73% RoPS 1219 2 @ TPS Turku 1294 0
8 2014-04-19 19.84% Jaro 1234 4 @ KuPS 1296 1
9 2014-06-11 20.36% KuPS 1318 3 @ VPS 1374 0
10 2014-07-06 21.39% RoPS 1255 2 @ Honka 1300 0
11 2014-06-11 21.62% SJK Seinajoki 1294 3 @ MyPa 1337 1
12 2014-06-27 22.21% KuPS 1346 1 @ Lahti 1382 0
13 2014-04-19 23.42% MyPa 1325 2 @ Honka 1350 1
14 2014-08-24 23.79% @ SJK Seinajoki 1396 2 HJK 1552 0
15 2014-04-27 24.79% Jaro 1285 3 @ Mariehamn 1297 1
16 2014-04-23 25.30% Mariehamn 1282 1 @ TPS Turku 1289 0
17 2014-10-25 25.68% Jaro 1282 1 @ Inter Turku 1286 0
18 2014-04-19 25.78% @ Lahti 1316 3 HJK 1454 1
19 2014-07-27 25.96% @ MyPa 1235 5 KuPS 1372 3
20 2014-09-17 26.46% Inter Turku 1221 6 @ TPS Turku 1219 1
21 2014-05-26 26.64% @ RoPS 1214 2 Jaro 1345 1
22 2014-06-15 26.85% @ Mariehamn 1202 4 Jaro 1331 2
23 2014-07-06 27.07% VPS 1308 2 @ Jaro 1301 1
24 2014-05-17 27.13% @ KuPS 1234 2 Honka 1361 0
25 2014-05-26 27.36% KuPS 1247 3 @ TPS Turku 1237 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-07-20 60.74 Jaro 5 1287 30.00% @ Honka 0 1256 40.14% 29.86%
2 2014-09-17 53.96 Inter Turku 6 1221 26.46% @ TPS Turku 1 1219 43.97% 29.56%
3 2014-10-05 51.31 VPS 3 1298 14.97% @ SJK Seinajoki 0 1423 58.53% 26.50%
4 2014-06-11 45.80 KuPS 3 1318 20.36% @ VPS 0 1374 51.16% 28.48%
5 2014-09-28 43.42 Lahti 4 1402 36.32% @ Jaro 0 1325 33.69% 29.99%
6 2014-06-27 39.79 @ VPS 4 1268 40.30% MyPa 0 1298 29.85% 29.85%
7 2014-05-26 39.75 KuPS 3 1247 27.36% @ TPS Turku 0 1237 42.98% 29.66%
8 2014-04-19 39.04 Jaro 4 1234 19.84% @ KuPS 1 1296 51.82% 28.34%
9 2014-04-13 38.39 VPS 3 1327 29.12% @ Mariehamn 0 1303 41.08% 29.80%
10 2014-07-07 35.74 @ TPS Turku 3 1175 32.72% MyPa 0 1259 37.31% 29.97%
11 2014-06-18 34.19 @ RoPS 3 1217 34.94% Inter Turku 0 1285 35.07% 30.00%
12 2014-05-03 32.61 RoPS 2 1219 18.73% @ TPS Turku 0 1294 53.25% 28.02%
13 2014-06-23 32.43 @ Inter Turku 3 1251 37.48% VPS 0 1301 32.55% 29.96%
14 2014-06-23 32.24 Mariehamn 3 1213 12.55% @ KuPS 1 1378 62.38% 25.07%
15 2014-06-08 31.93 @ KuPS 4 1286 48.56% Mariehamn 0 1252 22.48% 28.96%
16 2014-07-06 30.88 RoPS 2 1255 21.39% @ Honka 0 1300 49.88% 28.73%
17 2014-08-24 29.40 @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1396 23.79% HJK 0 1552 47.01% 29.20%
18 2014-08-24 29.07 Mariehamn 3 1245 17.36% @ RoPS 1 1336 55.10% 27.54%
19 2014-07-13 29.05 @ MyPa 3 1223 42.27% Mariehamn 0 1238 28.02% 29.72%
20 2014-05-17 28.14 @ SJK Seinajoki 3 1272 43.54% Mariehamn 0 1278 26.86% 29.61%
21 2014-05-17 27.50 @ KuPS 2 1234 27.13% Honka 0 1361 43.24% 29.63%
22 2014-06-11 26.61 SJK Seinajoki 3 1294 21.62% @ MyPa 1 1337 49.60% 28.78%
23 2014-05-16 26.32 @ HJK 4 1447 54.29% MyPa 0 1364 17.95% 27.76%
24 2014-05-26 26.08 @ VPS 3 1347 46.35% Honka 0 1331 24.36% 29.29%
25 2014-05-04 25.77 HJK 2 1408 30.39% @ VPS 0 1374 39.73% 29.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-07-26 66.4 @ Inter Turku 3 1240 12.30% HJK 3 1544 62.80% 24.90%
2 2014-09-12 65.7 @ HJK 2 1541 64.81% KuPS 2 1349 11.16% 24.03%
3 2014-07-06 64.4 @ KuPS 2 1359 21.79% HJK 2 1535 49.39% 28.82%
4 2014-08-13 64.2 RoPS 4 1320 15.14% @ Lahti 3 1442 58.27% 26.59%
5 2014-08-24 63.3 @ Jaro 3 1320 61.77% Honka 3 1162 12.91% 25.32%
6 2014-09-14 62.3 @ VPS 3 1269 40.10% Jaro 3 1300 30.04% 29.86%
7 2014-04-22 61.5 @ HJK 2 1430 55.44% Honka 2 1335 17.11% 27.45%
8 2014-09-17 60.3 @ Mariehamn 2 1314 29.30% SJK Seinajoki 2 1424 40.88% 29.82%
9 2014-08-03 60.1 @ SJK Seinajoki 2 1380 59.86% Inter Turku 2 1242 14.10% 26.04%
10 2014-10-19 59.9 @ VPS 1 1350 17.49% HJK 1 1574 54.92% 27.59%
11 2014-08-24 59.8 @ MyPa 2 1243 21.14% Lahti 2 1426 50.19% 28.67%
12 2014-05-23 59.3 @ Honka 2 1333 54.24% Mariehamn 2 1250 17.99% 27.77%
13 2014-10-05 59.1 @ HJK 1 1576 79.99% Honka 1 1179 4.58% 15.44%
14 2014-09-22 59.0 @ Inter Turku 2 1275 56.19% Honka 2 1173 16.58% 27.24%
15 2014-05-12 58.7 @ Mariehamn 2 1278 41.60% Inter Turku 2 1299 28.63% 29.77%
16 2014-08-04 58.5 @ TPS Turku 2 1193 25.52% Jaro 2 1333 45.03% 29.45%
17 2014-10-18 58.5 @ Honka 2 1184 25.16% KuPS 2 1328 45.44% 29.40%
18 2014-10-19 58.3 @ MyPa 2 1224 35.82% Inter Turku 2 1286 34.19% 29.99%
19 2014-09-13 56.9 @ SJK Seinajoki 1 1425 44.95% Lahti 1 1420 25.59% 29.46%
20 2014-06-18 56.8 @ Honka 1 1297 17.50% HJK 1 1521 54.90% 27.60%
21 2014-10-05 56.0 @ Lahti 1 1445 58.41% Mariehamn 1 1322 15.05% 26.54%
22 2014-07-02 55.4 @ HJK 0 1540 63.19% Lahti 0 1366 12.07% 24.74%
23 2014-04-06 55.2 @ MyPa 4 1317 40.44% Honka 3 1346 29.72% 29.84%
24 2014-09-22 54.9 @ KuPS 1 1342 33.29% Lahti 1 1421 36.73% 29.98%
25 2014-07-07 54.7 @ Lahti 1 1371 43.49% SJK Seinajoki 1 1377 26.90% 29.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-06-23 27.2 @ HJK 5 1518 74.72% TPS Turku 0 1201 6.52% 18.76%
2 2014-10-26 27.5 @ HJK 3 1572 76.79% RoPS 0 1225 5.72% 17.49%
3 2014-10-25 29.0 @ Lahti 2 1447 70.62% Honka 0 1185 8.26% 21.12%
4 2014-10-16 29.7 @ HJK 2 1570 76.45% MyPa 0 1228 5.85% 17.70%
5 2014-07-02 30.3 @ SJK Seinajoki 3 1360 58.54% Mariehamn 0 1235 14.96% 26.50%
6 2014-08-13 30.4 @ HJK 2 1547 73.59% Inter Turku 0 1246 6.98% 19.44%
7 2014-07-20 30.5 @ Lahti 3 1380 58.93% MyPa 0 1252 14.70% 26.37%
8 2014-06-04 31.1 @ Lahti 2 1355 61.79% TPS Turku 0 1197 12.90% 25.31%
9 2014-07-12 31.4 @ RoPS 3 1286 53.39% TPS Turku 0 1211 18.63% 27.98%
10 2014-06-14 32.4 @ HJK 3 1508 63.71% VPS 0 1329 11.78% 24.52%
11 2014-05-23 32.6 @ VPS 2 1335 56.92% RoPS 0 1226 16.06% 27.02%
12 2014-06-08 32.8 @ KuPS 4 1286 48.56% Mariehamn 0 1252 22.48% 28.96%
13 2014-09-28 32.9 HJK 4 1569 71.43% @ TPS Turku 1 1161 7.90% 20.67%
14 2014-05-23 33.3 @ Lahti 2 1343 55.22% TPS Turku 0 1250 17.27% 27.51%
15 2014-06-27 33.8 HJK 2 1529 60.88% @ Mariehamn 0 1246 13.46% 25.66%
16 2014-05-23 33.9 @ MyPa 2 1337 53.46% KuPS 0 1261 18.58% 27.97%
17 2014-10-05 34.2 @ KuPS 1 1323 62.76% TPS Turku 0 1154 12.32% 24.92%
18 2014-05-16 34.4 @ HJK 4 1447 54.29% MyPa 0 1364 17.95% 27.76%
19 2014-05-17 34.6 @ SJK Seinajoki 3 1272 43.54% Mariehamn 0 1278 26.86% 29.61%
20 2014-07-13 34.6 @ MyPa 3 1223 42.27% Mariehamn 0 1238 28.02% 29.72%
21 2014-05-17 34.7 @ Jaro 2 1315 50.33% TPS Turku 0 1266 21.03% 28.65%
22 2014-05-26 34.7 @ VPS 3 1347 46.35% Honka 0 1331 24.36% 29.29%
23 2014-04-19 35.0 @ Mariehamn 2 1265 48.24% RoPS 0 1233 22.74% 29.01%
24 2014-10-18 35.0 Lahti 1 1442 61.71% @ TPS Turku 0 1149 12.95% 25.34%
25 2014-09-21 35.2 @ HJK 5 1538 67.49% Mariehamn 1 1315 9.75% 22.75%