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2019 Veikkausliiga Season

162 games · 7 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

KuPS

53 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1976

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ilves

6.50 points above expected

47 points · 40.50 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

RoPS

10.18 points below expected

30 points · 40.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Inter Turku 22 13 3 6 42 39 25 +14 33.09 +8.91
2 KuPS 22 11 7 4 40 39 23 +16 35.59 +4.41
3 Ilves 22 11 7 4 40 29 18 +11 33.63 +6.37
4 HJK 22 8 10 4 34 28 22 +6 37.58 -3.58
5 Honka 22 10 4 8 34 31 27 +4 35.38 -1.38
6 Mariehamn 22 9 4 9 31 29 23 +6 29.70 +1.30
7 SJK Seinajoki 22 7 7 8 28 17 23 -6 27.34 +0.66
8 Lahti 22 7 7 8 28 21 29 -8 26.68 +1.32
9 Helsingfors 22 6 8 8 26 25 29 -4 28.95 -2.95
10 RoPS 22 6 6 10 24 19 25 -6 27.98 -3.98
11 KPV 22 4 4 14 16 19 39 -20 19.73 -3.73
12 VPS 22 2 9 11 15 22 35 -13 23.65 -8.65
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KuPS Champion 27 15 8 4 53 46 24 +22 50.44 +2.56
2 Inter Turku 27 15 3 9 48 42 29 +13 47.35 +0.65
3 Honka 27 14 5 8 47 41 29 +12 45.96 +1.04
4 Ilves 27 13 8 6 47 34 25 +9 40.50 +6.50
5 HJK 27 9 10 8 37 33 29 +4 41.45 -4.45
6 Mariehamn 27 9 5 13 32 31 34 -3 36.11 -4.11
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Helsingfors 27 10 9 8 39 37 34 +3 43.71 -4.71
2 Lahti 27 9 9 9 36 29 36 -7 41.76 -5.76
3 SJK Seinajoki 27 7 9 11 30 18 29 -11 39.52 -9.52
4 RoPS 27 8 6 13 30 23 35 -12 40.18 -10.18
5 KPV 27 7 4 16 25 32 47 -15 26.65 -1.65
6 VPS 27 3 10 14 19 30 45 -15 26.79 -7.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ilves 47 40.50 +6.50
2 KuPS 53 50.44 +2.56
3 Honka 47 45.96 +1.04
4 Inter Turku 48 47.35 +0.65
5 KPV 25 26.65 -1.65

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 RoPS 30 40.18 -10.18
2 SJK Seinajoki 30 39.52 -9.52
3 VPS 19 26.79 -7.79
4 Lahti 36 41.76 -5.76
5 Helsingfors 39 43.71 -4.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KuPS 7 Aug 10 – Sep 27 1 in 205
2 Inter Turku 4 Apr 29 – May 17 1 in 100
3 Honka 4 Aug 31 – Sep 28 1 in 59
4 KPV 3 Sep 21 – Oct 6 1 in 53
5 Mariehamn 3 Apr 15 – Apr 25 1 in 43

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VPS 4 May 20 – Jun 17 1 in 27
2 SJK Seinajoki 3 Sep 21 – Oct 6 1 in 16
3 Mariehamn 3 Jul 28 – Aug 11 1 in 15
4 RoPS 3 Jul 6 – Jul 28 1 in 14
5 Inter Turku 2 Sep 22 – Sep 28 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VPS 6 Apr 14 – May 11 1 in 31
2 Ilves 8 Apr 7 – May 20 1 in 23
3 KuPS 10 Aug 4 – Oct 19 1 in 19
4 RoPS 5 Aug 4 – Sep 1 1 in 19
5 Helsingfors 7 May 8 – Jun 30 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VPS 19 Apr 8 – Aug 11 1 in 429
2 HJK 8 Apr 13 – May 20 1 in 289
3 SJK Seinajoki 11 Jul 26 – Oct 19 1 in 76
4 KPV 9 Apr 7 – May 26 1 in 13
5 Lahti 5 Apr 19 – May 11 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
KuPS 1455 53 +52 13 8.6 +4.4
Inter Turku 1344 48 -20 6 7.3 -1.3
Honka 1382 47 +83 13 6.6 +6.4
Ilves 1311 47 -16 7 6.4 +0.6
Helsingfors 1281 39 +56 13 8.5 +4.5
HJK 1329 37 -34 3 7.2 -4.2
Lahti 1193 36 +10 8 7.4 +0.6
Mariehamn 1198 32 -65 1 4.6 -3.6
RoPS 1166 30 -70 6 7.3 -1.3
SJK Seinajoki 1122 30 -55 2 6.4 -4.4
KPV 1185 25 +71 9 5.9 +3.1
VPS 1127 19 -12 4 5.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team HJK HEL HON ILV IT KPV KUP LAH MAR ROP SS VPS
HJK —
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-2
4.32
0-2-1
4.43
1-0-2
5.30
1-0-1
4.17
0-2-1
4.15
1-0-1
3.57
3-0-0
5.30
1-1-0
3.48
0-2-0
3.60
0-2-0
3.91
Helsingfors
0-1-1
1.93
—
1-0-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.12
2-1-0
5.55
0-2-0
2.20
0-2-1
4.44
1-1-0
2.39
2-0-1
4.51
2-0-1
4.49
2-0-1
5.20
Honka
2-0-1
3.83
1-0-1
3.45
—
1-1-1
3.89
2-0-1
4.40
1-0-1
4.05
1-1-1
3.64
1-0-1
3.35
1-1-1
5.51
2-0-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.70
Ilves
1-2-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-1
4.26
—
2-0-1
3.69
2-0-0
3.46
0-0-3
3.67
1-0-1
3.54
1-2-0
4.89
1-1-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.04
1-1-0
3.53
Inter Turku
2-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-2
3.75
1-0-2
4.46
—
2-0-0
4.05
1-0-2
4.05
1-1-0
3.08
3-0-0
4.99
2-0-0
3.24
0-0-2
3.02
1-1-0
3.29
KPV
1-0-1
1.33
0-1-2
2.64
1-0-1
1.44
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
1.44
—
1-0-1
1.40
1-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.02
1-1-1
3.01
1-0-2
3.04
1-1-1
4.21
KuPS
1-2-0
4.00
0-2-0
3.24
1-1-1
4.52
3-0-0
4.49
2-0-1
4.09
1-0-1
4.09
—
1-1-0
3.36
2-1-0
4.85
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
3.88
Lahti
1-0-1
1.87
1-2-0
3.70
1-0-1
2.09
1-0-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.36
1-1-1
5.21
0-1-1
2.08
—
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-2
4.20
1-2-0
3.98
1-2-0
4.64
Mariehamn
0-0-3
2.89
0-1-1
3.04
1-1-1
2.68
0-2-1
3.27
0-0-3
3.18
2-0-0
3.43
0-1-2
3.32
1-0-1
3.11
—
2-0-0
2.49
2-0-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.48
RoPS
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-2
3.64
0-0-2
2.34
0-1-1
1.93
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-1
5.15
0-1-1
2.63
2-0-1
3.95
0-0-2
2.94
—
1-2-0
4.29
3-0-0
4.52
SJK Seinajoki
0-2-0
1.85
1-0-2
3.66
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
2.40
2-0-0
2.41
2-0-1
5.12
1-0-1
1.75
0-2-1
4.17
0-0-2
2.51
0-2-1
3.86
—
1-2-0
4.78
VPS
0-2-0
1.57
1-0-2
2.97
0-1-1
1.75
0-1-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.16
1-1-1
3.95
0-0-2
1.60
0-2-1
3.51
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-3
3.63
0-2-1
3.38
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.54 +9.6
Allowed 0.71 -12.1
Differential 0.92 +8.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.42%5.86%3.09%0.62%0.31%28.70%
111.42%12.96%7.72%3.09%0.93%0.31%36.42%
25.86%7.72%5.56%2.78%0.31%—22.22%
33.09%3.09%2.78%0.62%0.31%—9.88%
40.62%0.93%0.31%0.31%——2.16%
5+0.31%0.31%————0.62%
Total28.70%36.42%22.22%9.88%2.16%0.62%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.07 1.07 1.54
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%—3.70%——25.93%
17.41%18.52%7.41%3.70%3.70%—40.74%
27.41%7.41%7.41%———22.22%
33.70%3.70%————7.41%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+———————
Total33.33%40.74%14.81%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.07 +0.15
SD 1.05 1.07 1.61
CV 0.86 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
17.41%22.22%—3.70%——33.33%
211.11%3.70%7.41%7.41%——29.63%
3—7.41%7.41%———14.81%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%44.44%18.52%14.81%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.26 +0.11
SD 1.01 0.98 1.34
CV 0.73 0.78 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%3.70%———14.81%
114.81%11.11%7.41%7.41%——40.74%
27.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%——22.22%
311.11%3.70%7.41%———22.22%
4———————
5+———————
Total37.04%29.63%22.22%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.07 +0.44
SD 1.01 1.04 1.50
CV 0.67 0.96 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%———33.33%
118.52%7.41%————25.93%
23.70%11.11%11.11%———25.93%
33.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+———————
Total37.04%33.33%29.63%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 0.93 +0.33
SD 1.16 0.83 1.27
CV 0.92 0.89 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%7.41%———14.81%
114.81%11.11%11.11%———37.04%
211.11%11.11%—7.41%——29.63%
33.70%7.41%3.70%———14.81%
4—3.70%————3.70%
5+———————
Total29.63%40.74%22.22%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.07 +0.48
SD 1.05 0.92 1.45
CV 0.68 0.85 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%14.81%3.70%3.70%3.70%—33.33%
13.70%3.70%7.41%14.81%——29.63%
23.70%11.11%3.70%7.41%3.70%—29.63%
3———————
4—7.41%————7.41%
5+———————
Total14.81%37.04%14.81%25.93%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.74 -0.56
SD 1.14 1.23 1.69
CV 0.97 0.71 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.41%—3.70%——18.52%
114.81%14.81%3.70%———33.33%
214.81%7.41%3.70%———25.93%
3—7.41%—3.70%——11.11%
4———3.70%——3.70%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total40.74%40.74%7.41%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.89 +0.81
SD 1.41 0.97 1.59
CV 0.83 1.10 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%7.41%7.41%3.70%3.70%—33.33%
114.81%14.81%3.70%—3.70%3.70%40.74%
23.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
37.41%—3.70%3.70%——14.81%
4———————
5+———————
Total37.04%25.93%18.52%7.41%7.41%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.33 -0.26
SD 1.04 1.44 1.83
CV 0.96 1.08 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%14.81%7.41%7.41%——37.04%
111.11%3.70%11.11%3.70%——29.63%
27.41%3.70%7.41%———18.52%
33.70%3.70%——3.70%—11.11%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+———————
Total33.33%25.93%25.93%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.26 -0.11
SD 1.17 1.16 1.74
CV 1.02 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%18.52%11.11%7.41%——44.44%
114.81%3.70%7.41%—3.70%—29.63%
2—11.11%11.11%———22.22%
33.70%—————3.70%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.93%33.33%29.63%7.41%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.30 -0.44
SD 0.91 1.07 1.48
CV 1.07 0.82 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%14.81%14.81%3.70%——48.15%
114.81%14.81%3.70%3.70%——37.04%
2—11.11%3.70%———14.81%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total29.63%40.74%22.22%7.41%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.07 -0.41
SD 0.73 0.92 1.19
CV 1.10 0.85 —
Max 2 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%———3.70%18.52%
1—29.63%29.63%———59.26%
2—3.70%3.70%7.41%——14.81%
3——7.41%———7.41%
4———————
5+———————
Total3.70%44.44%40.74%7.41%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.67 -0.56
SD 0.80 0.96 1.12
CV 0.72 0.58 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KuPS 1455 53 35.59 +17.41 84.0% 22 27 32 35 39 43 49
Honka 1395 47 35.38 +11.62 45.0% 17 25 32 35 39 45 51
Inter Turku 1344 48 33.09 +14.91 98.0% 19 23 29 34 38 41 48
Ilves 1311 47 33.63 +13.37 86.0% 21 24 29 33 36 44 51
HJK 1310 37 37.58 -0.58 29.0% 26 30 34 37 41 47 51
Helsingfors 1280 39 28.95 +10.05 31.0% 16 20 25 28 33 38 44
Mariehamn 1203 32 29.70 +2.30 65.0% 19 21 25 29 33 38 43
Lahti 1195 36 26.68 +9.32 64.0% 14 18 23 26 31 36 41
RoPS 1166 30 27.98 +2.02 30.0% 14 18 23 28 32 37 45
KPV 1153 25 19.73 +5.27 31.0% 9 11 16 19 23 29 35
VPS 1127 19 23.65 -4.65 7.0% 8 14 20 23 27 32 41
SJK Seinajoki 1122 30 27.34 +2.66 63.0% 15 17 23 27 31 37 42

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 9.5% * Slight Edge: 9.5% to 15.5% * Clear Edge: 15.5% to 20% * Strong Edge: 20% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.79%
No Edge
40.12%26.54%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 23.63 Elo pts.
222 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.23 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.11 * Comfortable: 0.11 to 0.21 * Runaway: 0.21 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.7
Wide Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
17%
KuPS, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.54 * Some Luck: 4.54 to 6.81 * Lucky: 6.81 to 9.07 * Wild Swing: 9.07 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.73 * Close: 1.73 to 2.59 * Off: 2.59 to 3.46 * Way Off: 3.46 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.75 points
Some Luck
05.6714
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
02.165
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Inter Turku
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
VPS
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.7 * Strong Separation: 1.7 to 1.9 * Wide Separation: 1.9 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 62.5% * Slight Edge: 62.5% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 73.5% * Wide Edge: 73.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 82.5% * Clear Edge: 82.5% to 90% * Strong Edge: 90% to 93% * Dominant: 93% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 51.5% * Some Drama: 51.5% to 57.5% * Frequent: 57.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 21.5% * Frequent: 21.5% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 94.54
1.52
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.71.92.5
Interquartile Edge
71%
Clear Edge
50%62.5%70%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Clear Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%67%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%10%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.33 * Slight Separation: 0.33 to 0.37 * Notable Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Lopsided: 0.41 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.21 * Some Carryover: 0.21 to 0.46 * Strong Carryover: 0.46 to 0.59 * Near-Lock: 0.59 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 23% * As Expected: 23% to 25.5% * Upset-Prone: 25.5% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19.5% * As Expected: 19.5% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 25.5% * Very Shaky: 25.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Very Even
00.330.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.69
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Strong Carryover
00.210.460.591
Upset Rate
Expected
32%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.05
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.90
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.187
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1380.4

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Mariehamn 0
Helsingfors 0
HJK 2
Lahti 2

Semifinals

Mariehamn 2
HJK 1

Finals

TPS Turku 3
KPV 0

Leg 1: TPS Turku 0-0 KPV

Leg 2: KPV 0-3 TPS Turku

Honka 3
Mariehamn 1

Leg 1: Mariehamn 1-2 Honka

Leg 2: Honka 1-0 Mariehamn

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
KuPS17.00%22.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%—1.00%—
Inter Turku10.00%14.00%19.00%11.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%—
Honka17.00%19.00%7.00%16.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Ilves16.00%7.00%11.00%17.00%14.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%——
HJK28.00%19.00%18.00%16.00%3.00%7.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%———
Mariehamn4.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%17.00%12.00%15.00%7.00%14.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%
Helsingfors3.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%17.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%
Lahti—2.00%3.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%19.00%14.00%12.00%15.00%8.00%
SJK Seinajoki2.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%6.00%17.00%13.00%11.00%15.00%6.00%
RoPS3.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%6.00%13.00%13.00%9.00%13.00%16.00%6.00%8.00%
KPV———1.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%5.00%3.00%9.00%22.00%54.00%
VPS—1.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%19.00%25.00%17.00%
Team123456789101112
KuPS67.62%22.87%7.74%1.61%0.15%0.01%——————
Inter Turku20.70%43.33%25.72%8.32%1.86%0.07%——————
Honka10.53%26.64%42.44%16.49%3.74%0.16%——————
Ilves0.49%2.61%9.82%32.58%41.57%12.93%——————
HJK0.66%4.44%13.53%36.14%35.89%9.34%——————
Mariehamn—0.11%0.75%4.86%16.79%77.49%——————
Helsingfors——————44.02%26.89%17.23%10.56%1.23%0.07%
Lahti——————26.18%27.60%24.32%19.02%2.68%0.20%
SJK Seinajoki——————13.60%21.79%26.94%30.94%6.08%0.65%
RoPS——————16.09%22.89%28.29%27.14%4.83%0.76%
KPV——————0.05%0.43%1.43%6.12%44.18%47.79%
VPS——————0.06%0.40%1.79%6.22%41.00%50.53%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
HJK 100% — —
Ilves 99.00% 1.00% —
Inter Turku 99.00% 1.00% —
KuPS 100% — —
Mariehamn 95.00% 5.00% —
Honka 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Helsingfors 87.00% 11.00% 2.00%
RoPS 90.00% 5.00% 5.00%
Lahti 72.00% 18.00% 10.00%
SJK Seinajoki 73.00% 15.00% 12.00%
VPS 57.00% 23.00% 20.00%
KPV 31.00% 19.00% 50.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. With the league split already decided, contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
Helsingfors 98.70% 1.23% 0.07%
Lahti 97.12% 2.68% 0.20%
SJK Seinajoki 93.27% 6.08% 0.65%
RoPS 94.41% 4.83% 0.76%
KPV 8.03% 44.18% 47.79%
VPS 8.47% 41.00% 50.53%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-04-03 Inter Turku W 2-141.8 1379 1236 56.26% 26.34% 17.40%+0.75 +6.7 3
2019-04-03 @ HJK L 1-241.8 1236 1379 17.40% 26.34% 56.26%-0.75 -6.7 0
2019-04-03 RoPS D 2-259.7 1310 1294 40.82% 28.46% 30.72%+0.18 -0.5 1
2019-04-03 @ KuPS D 2-259.7 1294 1310 30.72% 28.46% 40.82%-0.18 +0.5 1
2019-04-06 Helsingfors W 1-041.1 1227 1250 35.33% 28.58% 36.09%+0.00 +12.7 3
2019-04-06 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-141.1 1250 1227 36.09% 28.58% 35.33%+0.00 -12.7 0
2019-04-07 Honka L 1-248.3 1295 1305 37.25% 28.57% 34.18%+0.06 -12.3 1
2019-04-07 @ RoPS W 2-148.3 1305 1295 34.18% 28.57% 37.25%-0.06 +12.3 3
2019-04-07 Ilves L 0-236.4 1216 1250 33.84% 28.56% 37.60%-0.05 -22.9 0
2019-04-07 @ KPV W 2-036.4 1250 1216 37.60% 28.56% 33.84%+0.05 +22.9 3
2019-04-07 KuPS D 3-362.8 1208 1309 25.34% 28.02% 46.64%-0.35 +0.9 1
2019-04-07 @ Lahti D 3-362.8 1309 1208 46.64% 28.02% 25.34%+0.35 -0.9 2
2019-04-08 Inter Turku L 1-247.5 1216 1229 36.75% 28.57% 34.67%+0.05 -12.1 0
2019-04-08 @ VPS W 2-147.5 1229 1216 34.67% 28.57% 36.75%-0.05 +12.1 3
2019-04-08 Mariehamn W 2-140.3 1386 1200 60.50% 25.14% 14.36%+0.94 +5.6 6
2019-04-08 @ HJK L 1-240.3 1200 1386 14.36% 25.14% 60.50%-0.94 -5.6 0
2019-04-13 HJK D 0-049.3 1308 1391 27.48% 28.24% 44.28%-0.27 +1.3 3
2019-04-13 @ KuPS D 0-049.3 1391 1308 44.28% 28.24% 27.48%+0.27 -1.3 7
2019-04-13 RoPS L 0-138.2 1193 1283 26.72% 28.17% 45.11%-0.30 -10.2 0
2019-04-13 @ KPV W 1-038.2 1283 1193 45.11% 28.17% 26.72%+0.30 +10.2 4
2019-04-13 SJK Seinajoki L 1-248.3 1242 1239 39.00% 28.53% 32.46%+0.12 -12.7 3
2019-04-13 @ Inter Turku W 2-148.3 1239 1242 32.46% 28.53% 39.00%-0.12 +12.7 6
2019-04-14 VPS D 0-047.9 1273 1204 47.87% 27.87% 24.25%+0.42 -1.8 4
2019-04-14 @ Ilves D 0-047.9 1204 1273 24.25% 27.87% 47.87%-0.42 +1.9 1
2019-04-15 Lahti L 0-142.9 1237 1209 42.55% 28.37% 29.08%+0.23 -14.4 0
2019-04-15 @ Helsingfors W 1-042.9 1209 1237 29.08% 28.37% 42.55%-0.23 +14.4 4
2019-04-15 Mariehamn L 1-348.2 1317 1195 54.06% 26.84% 19.09%+0.66 -28.6 3
2019-04-15 @ Honka W 3-148.2 1195 1317 19.09% 26.84% 54.06%-0.66 +28.6 3
2019-04-18 HJK D 0-048.9 1252 1390 21.48% 27.40% 51.12%-0.52 +2.4 7
2019-04-18 @ SJK Seinajoki D 0-048.9 1390 1252 51.12% 27.40% 21.48%+0.52 -2.4 8
2019-04-19 Inter Turku D 1-152.9 1223 1229 37.90% 28.56% 33.54%+0.08 -0.3 5
2019-04-19 @ Lahti D 1-152.9 1229 1223 33.54% 28.56% 37.90%-0.08 +0.3 4
2019-04-20 Honka L 0-337.8 1310 1289 41.59% 28.42% 29.99%+0.20 -38.7 3
2019-04-20 @ KuPS W 3-037.8 1289 1310 29.99% 28.42% 41.59%-0.20 +38.7 6
2019-04-20 KPV D 2-258.9 1206 1183 41.75% 28.41% 29.83%+0.21 -0.6 2
2019-04-20 @ VPS D 2-258.9 1183 1206 29.83% 28.41% 41.75%-0.21 +0.6 1
2019-04-20 RoPS W 2-039.1 1223 1293 29.14% 28.37% 42.49%-0.21 +27.1 6
2019-04-20 @ Mariehamn L 0-239.1 1293 1223 42.49% 28.37% 29.14%+0.21 -27.1 4
2019-04-22 Ilves L 0-141.3 1254 1271 36.25% 28.58% 35.18%+0.03 -12.7 7
2019-04-22 @ SJK Seinajoki W 1-041.3 1271 1254 35.18% 28.58% 36.25%-0.03 +12.7 7
2019-04-23 Helsingfors D 1-154.4 1388 1223 58.49% 25.75% 15.77%+0.85 -3.2 9
2019-04-23 @ HJK D 1-154.4 1223 1388 15.77% 25.75% 58.49%-0.85 +3.2 1
2019-04-25 Inter Turku W 3-247.9 1327 1229 51.31% 27.37% 21.32%+0.55 +7.6 9
2019-04-25 @ Honka L 2-347.9 1229 1327 21.32% 27.37% 51.31%-0.55 -7.6 4
2019-04-25 Mariehamn L 0-434.0 1184 1251 29.50% 28.39% 42.11%-0.19 -39.2 1
2019-04-25 @ KPV W 4-034.0 1251 1184 42.11% 28.39% 29.50%+0.19 +39.2 9
2019-04-26 KuPS L 0-141.9 1266 1271 37.93% 28.56% 33.52%+0.08 -13.2 4
2019-04-26 @ RoPS W 1-041.9 1271 1266 33.52% 28.56% 37.93%-0.08 +13.2 6
2019-04-26 Lahti W 1-037.8 1284 1223 46.82% 28.00% 25.19%+0.38 +9.7 10
2019-04-26 @ Ilves L 0-137.8 1223 1284 25.19% 28.00% 46.82%-0.38 -9.7 5
2019-04-26 SJK Seinajoki D 1-152.8 1205 1242 33.49% 28.56% 37.95%-0.06 +0.3 3
2019-04-26 @ VPS D 1-152.8 1242 1205 37.95% 28.56% 33.49%+0.06 -0.3 8
2019-04-29 HJK W 4-146.1 1222 1385 19.20% 26.87% 53.92%-0.63 +40.4 7
2019-04-29 @ Inter Turku L 1-446.1 1385 1222 53.92% 26.87% 19.20%+0.63 -40.4 9
2019-04-29 Honka W 2-040.7 1226 1335 24.51% 27.91% 47.59%-0.38 +29.7 4
2019-04-29 @ Helsingfors L 0-240.7 1335 1226 47.59% 27.91% 24.51%+0.38 -29.7 9
2019-04-30 KPV W 1-036.2 1241 1145 51.13% 27.40% 21.47%+0.54 +8.5 11
2019-04-30 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-136.2 1145 1241 21.47% 27.40% 51.13%-0.54 -8.5 1
2019-04-30 VPS D 1-152.8 1213 1205 39.81% 28.50% 31.69%+0.14 -0.5 6
2019-04-30 @ Lahti D 1-152.8 1205 1213 31.69% 28.50% 39.81%-0.14 +0.5 4
2019-05-01 KuPS L 3-455.9 1290 1284 39.43% 28.52% 32.05%+0.13 -11.8 9
2019-05-01 @ Mariehamn W 4-355.9 1284 1290 32.05% 28.52% 39.43%-0.13 +11.8 9
2019-05-03 Helsingfors W 1-040.4 1253 1256 38.23% 28.55% 33.22%+0.09 +12.0 7
2019-05-03 @ RoPS L 0-140.4 1256 1253 33.22% 28.55% 38.23%-0.09 -12.0 4
2019-05-03 Ilves D 0-048.6 1344 1294 45.46% 28.14% 26.41%+0.33 -1.5 10
2019-05-03 @ HJK D 0-048.6 1294 1344 26.41% 28.14% 45.46%-0.33 +1.5 11
2019-05-05 KPV W 3-136.3 1296 1136 57.99% 25.89% 16.12%+0.83 +10.8 12
2019-05-05 @ KuPS L 1-336.3 1136 1296 16.12% 25.89% 57.99%-0.83 -10.8 1
2019-05-05 SJK Seinajoki D 1-152.9 1213 1250 33.45% 28.55% 38.00%-0.06 +0.3 7
2019-05-05 @ Lahti D 1-152.9 1250 1213 38.00% 28.55% 33.45%+0.06 -0.3 12
2019-05-07 HJK D 1-153.5 1206 1343 21.61% 27.43% 50.96%-0.51 +2.1 5
2019-05-07 @ VPS D 1-153.5 1343 1206 50.96% 27.43% 21.61%+0.51 -2.1 11
2019-05-07 Honka D 1-153.5 1295 1305 37.27% 28.57% 34.16%+0.06 -0.2 12
2019-05-07 @ Ilves D 1-153.5 1305 1295 34.16% 28.57% 37.27%-0.06 +0.2 10
2019-05-07 RoPS W 3-034.9 1262 1265 38.32% 28.55% 33.14%+0.10 +32.7 10
2019-05-07 @ Inter Turku L 0-334.9 1265 1262 33.14% 28.55% 38.32%-0.10 -32.7 7
2019-05-08 Mariehamn D 1-153.1 1244 1278 33.84% 28.56% 37.60%-0.05 +0.2 5
2019-05-08 @ Helsingfors D 1-153.1 1278 1244 37.60% 28.56% 33.84%+0.05 -0.2 10
2019-05-11 Lahti D 0-047.5 1125 1213 26.90% 28.19% 44.91%-0.29 +1.4 2
2019-05-11 @ KPV D 0-047.5 1213 1125 44.91% 28.19% 26.90%+0.29 -1.4 8
2019-05-11 SJK Seinajoki D 2-259.9 1341 1249 50.49% 27.50% 22.01%+0.52 -1.5 12
2019-05-11 @ HJK D 2-259.9 1249 1341 22.01% 27.50% 50.49%-0.52 +1.5 13
2019-05-11 VPS D 1-153.4 1305 1208 51.24% 27.38% 21.38%+0.55 -2.1 11
2019-05-11 @ Honka D 1-153.4 1208 1305 21.38% 27.38% 51.24%-0.55 +2.1 6
2019-05-12 Ilves L 0-139.4 1232 1295 29.93% 28.42% 41.65%-0.18 -11.1 7
2019-05-12 @ RoPS W 1-039.4 1295 1232 41.65% 28.42% 29.93%+0.18 +11.1 15
2019-05-12 Inter Turku L 1-247.8 1278 1295 36.24% 28.58% 35.18%+0.03 -12.0 10
2019-05-12 @ Mariehamn W 2-147.8 1295 1278 35.18% 28.58% 36.24%-0.03 +12.0 13
2019-05-12 KuPS D 1-153.2 1244 1307 29.98% 28.42% 41.60%-0.18 +0.8 6
2019-05-12 @ Helsingfors D 1-153.2 1307 1244 41.60% 28.42% 29.98%+0.18 -0.8 13
2019-05-17 KuPS W 1-040.8 1307 1306 38.77% 28.54% 32.69%+0.11 +11.8 16
2019-05-17 @ Inter Turku L 0-140.8 1306 1307 32.69% 28.54% 38.77%-0.11 -11.8 13
2019-05-18 Honka L 1-246.2 1251 1303 31.35% 28.49% 40.16%-0.13 -10.8 13
2019-05-18 @ SJK Seinajoki W 2-146.2 1303 1251 40.16% 28.49% 31.35%+0.13 +10.8 14
2019-05-20 Helsingfors D 1-152.9 1127 1245 23.52% 27.76% 48.72%-0.43 +1.8 3
2019-05-20 @ KPV D 1-152.9 1245 1127 48.72% 27.76% 23.52%+0.43 -1.8 7
2019-05-20 HJK W 3-039.7 1212 1339 22.56% 27.60% 49.83%-0.47 +44.8 11
2019-05-20 @ Lahti L 0-339.7 1339 1212 49.83% 27.60% 22.56%+0.47 -44.8 12
2019-05-20 Mariehamn D 0-048.1 1306 1266 44.19% 28.25% 27.56%+0.29 -1.3 16
2019-05-20 @ Ilves D 0-048.1 1266 1306 27.56% 28.25% 44.19%-0.29 +1.3 11
2019-05-20 RoPS L 0-141.3 1210 1221 37.16% 28.57% 34.27%+0.06 -13.0 6
2019-05-20 @ VPS W 1-041.3 1221 1210 34.27% 28.57% 37.16%-0.06 +13.0 10
2019-05-24 Ilves W 1-041.1 1294 1305 37.17% 28.57% 34.26%+0.06 +12.2 16
2019-05-24 @ KuPS L 0-141.1 1305 1294 34.26% 28.57% 37.17%-0.06 -12.2 16
2019-05-25 Inter Turku D 1-153.3 1243 1319 28.38% 28.32% 43.31%-0.23 +1.0 8
2019-05-25 @ Helsingfors D 1-153.3 1319 1243 43.31% 28.32% 28.38%+0.23 -1.0 17
2019-05-25 SJK Seinajoki D 1-152.9 1234 1240 37.78% 28.56% 33.67%+0.08 -0.3 11
2019-05-25 @ RoPS D 1-152.9 1240 1234 33.67% 28.56% 37.78%-0.08 +0.3 14
2019-05-26 KPV W 3-136.1 1294 1129 58.57% 25.72% 15.70%+0.85 +10.5 15
2019-05-26 @ HJK L 1-336.1 1129 1294 15.70% 25.72% 58.57%-0.85 -10.5 3
2019-05-26 VPS W 1-037.3 1267 1197 47.91% 27.87% 24.22%+0.42 +9.4 14
2019-05-26 @ Mariehamn L 0-137.3 1197 1267 24.22% 27.87% 47.91%-0.42 -9.4 6
2019-05-27 Lahti W 2-034.1 1314 1257 46.38% 28.04% 25.58%+0.37 +18.5 17
2019-05-27 @ Honka L 0-234.1 1257 1314 25.58% 28.04% 46.38%-0.37 -18.5 11
2019-05-31 HJK L 0-139.1 1234 1305 28.91% 28.36% 42.73%-0.21 -10.8 11
2019-05-31 @ RoPS W 1-039.1 1305 1234 42.73% 28.36% 28.91%+0.21 +10.8 18
2019-05-31 Ilves L 2-354.8 1318 1293 42.11% 28.39% 29.50%+0.22 -12.8 17
2019-05-31 @ Inter Turku W 3-254.8 1293 1318 29.50% 28.39% 42.11%-0.22 +12.8 19
2019-05-31 VPS W 2-144.0 1244 1188 46.23% 28.06% 25.71%+0.36 +9.3 11
2019-05-31 @ Helsingfors L 1-244.0 1188 1244 25.71% 28.06% 46.23%-0.36 -9.3 6
2019-06-02 KPV L 0-147.9 1333 1118 63.17% 24.21% 12.62%+1.07 -20.1 17
2019-06-02 @ Honka W 1-047.9 1118 1333 12.62% 24.21% 63.17%-1.07 +20.0 6
2019-06-02 Lahti L 0-143.5 1276 1238 43.87% 28.27% 27.85%+0.28 -14.7 14
2019-06-02 @ Mariehamn W 1-043.5 1238 1276 27.85% 28.27% 43.87%-0.28 +14.7 14
2019-06-02 SJK Seinajoki L 0-144.6 1306 1240 47.45% 27.92% 24.63%+0.40 -15.7 16
2019-06-02 @ KuPS W 1-044.6 1240 1306 24.63% 27.92% 47.45%-0.40 +15.7 17
2019-06-16 Inter Turku L 1-337.4 1138 1305 18.88% 26.79% 54.34%-0.65 -12.4 6
2019-06-16 @ KPV W 3-137.4 1305 1138 54.34% 26.79% 18.88%+0.65 +12.4 20
2019-06-17 KuPS L 1-243.6 1178 1291 24.12% 27.85% 48.03%-0.40 -8.8 6
2019-06-17 @ VPS W 2-143.6 1291 1178 48.03% 27.85% 24.12%+0.40 +8.8 19
2019-06-18 RoPS L 1-249.3 1253 1223 42.80% 28.35% 28.85%+0.24 -13.6 14
2019-06-18 @ Lahti W 2-149.3 1223 1253 28.85% 28.35% 42.80%-0.24 +13.6 14
2019-06-18 SJK Seinajoki W 1-040.3 1253 1256 38.29% 28.55% 33.17%+0.09 +12.0 14
2019-06-18 @ Helsingfors L 0-140.3 1256 1253 33.17% 28.55% 38.29%-0.09 -11.9 17
2019-06-19 Honka L 0-142.8 1316 1313 39.09% 28.53% 32.38%+0.12 -13.5 18
2019-06-19 @ HJK W 1-042.8 1313 1316 32.38% 28.53% 39.09%-0.12 +13.5 20
2019-06-25 HJK L 0-236.5 1262 1302 32.94% 28.54% 38.52%-0.08 -22.4 14
2019-06-25 @ Mariehamn W 2-036.5 1302 1262 38.52% 28.54% 32.94%+0.08 +22.4 21
2019-06-25 KPV W 4-239.2 1305 1126 59.94% 25.31% 14.74%+0.92 +8.8 22
2019-06-25 @ Ilves L 2-439.2 1126 1305 14.74% 25.31% 59.94%-0.92 -8.8 6
2019-06-25 Lahti W 5-136.4 1300 1239 46.74% 28.01% 25.25%+0.38 +29.0 22
2019-06-25 @ KuPS L 1-536.4 1239 1300 25.25% 28.01% 46.74%-0.38 -29.0 14
2019-06-25 RoPS W 1-037.0 1326 1236 50.32% 27.53% 22.15%+0.51 +8.7 23
2019-06-25 @ Honka L 0-137.0 1236 1326 22.15% 27.53% 50.32%-0.51 -8.7 14
2019-06-25 VPS D 1-153.6 1317 1170 56.74% 26.22% 17.04%+0.77 -2.9 21
2019-06-25 @ Inter Turku D 1-153.6 1170 1317 17.04% 26.22% 56.74%-0.77 +2.9 7
2019-06-29 Ilves L 1-242.6 1173 1314 21.14% 27.33% 51.53%-0.53 -7.9 7
2019-06-29 @ VPS W 2-142.6 1314 1173 51.53% 27.33% 21.14%+0.53 +7.9 25
2019-06-29 KPV D 0-047.8 1228 1117 52.75% 27.11% 20.14%+0.61 -2.6 15
2019-06-29 @ RoPS D 0-047.8 1117 1228 20.14% 27.11% 52.75%-0.61 +2.6 7
2019-06-29 KuPS D 1-153.9 1325 1329 38.10% 28.55% 33.35%+0.09 -0.3 22
2019-06-29 @ HJK D 1-153.9 1329 1325 33.35% 28.55% 38.10%-0.09 +0.3 23
2019-06-30 Helsingfors D 0-047.7 1210 1265 30.99% 28.47% 40.54%-0.14 +0.7 15
2019-06-30 @ Lahti D 0-047.7 1265 1210 40.54% 28.47% 30.99%+0.14 -0.7 15
2019-06-30 Honka D 2-259.6 1239 1335 25.98% 28.09% 45.93%-0.33 +1.0 15
2019-06-30 @ Mariehamn D 2-259.6 1335 1239 45.93% 28.09% 25.98%+0.33 -1.0 24
2019-07-01 Inter Turku W 2-149.6 1244 1314 29.05% 28.36% 42.59%-0.21 +13.6 20
2019-07-01 @ SJK Seinajoki L 1-249.6 1314 1244 42.59% 28.36% 29.05%+0.21 -13.6 21
2019-07-04 HJK L 0-235.8 1265 1324 30.40% 28.45% 41.16%-0.16 -21.1 15
2019-07-04 @ Helsingfors W 2-035.8 1324 1265 41.16% 28.45% 30.40%+0.16 +21.1 25
2019-07-05 Lahti W 2-032.7 1301 1211 50.33% 27.53% 22.14%+0.51 +16.5 24
2019-07-05 @ Inter Turku L 0-232.7 1211 1301 22.14% 27.53% 50.33%-0.51 -16.5 15
2019-07-06 KuPS L 1-249.4 1334 1329 39.35% 28.52% 32.13%+0.13 -12.8 24
2019-07-06 @ Honka W 2-149.4 1329 1334 32.13% 28.52% 39.35%-0.13 +12.8 26
2019-07-06 Mariehamn L 1-247.5 1225 1240 36.52% 28.57% 34.90%+0.04 -12.1 15
2019-07-06 @ RoPS W 2-147.5 1240 1225 34.90% 28.57% 36.52%-0.04 +12.1 18
2019-07-06 VPS W 2-148.0 1120 1165 32.32% 28.53% 39.15%-0.10 +12.7 10
2019-07-06 @ KPV L 1-248.0 1165 1120 39.15% 28.53% 32.32%+0.10 -12.7 7
2019-07-07 SJK Seinajoki W 3-032.5 1322 1258 47.25% 27.95% 24.81%+0.40 +26.2 28
2019-07-07 @ Ilves L 0-332.5 1258 1322 24.81% 27.95% 47.25%-0.40 -26.2 20
2019-07-13 Helsingfors W 3-031.9 1321 1243 48.86% 27.74% 23.40%+0.46 +25.0 27
2019-07-13 @ Honka L 0-331.9 1243 1321 23.40% 27.74% 48.86%-0.46 -25.0 15
2019-07-13 VPS W 1-036.8 1232 1152 49.11% 27.71% 23.18%+0.47 +9.1 23
2019-07-13 @ SJK Seinajoki L 0-136.8 1152 1232 23.18% 27.71% 49.11%-0.47 -9.1 7
2019-07-14 Ilves W 1-046.0 1195 1348 20.01% 27.08% 52.92%-0.59 +17.2 18
2019-07-14 @ Lahti L 0-146.0 1348 1195 52.92% 27.08% 20.01%+0.59 -17.2 28
2019-07-14 KPV W 3-029.9 1252 1132 53.78% 26.90% 19.31%+0.65 +21.3 21
2019-07-14 @ Mariehamn L 0-329.9 1132 1252 19.31% 26.90% 53.78%-0.65 -21.3 10
2019-07-20 HJK D 1-154.1 1331 1345 36.67% 28.57% 34.76%+0.04 -0.1 29
2019-07-20 @ Ilves D 1-154.1 1345 1331 34.76% 28.57% 36.67%-0.04 +0.1 26
2019-07-20 Lahti D 1-152.7 1143 1212 29.21% 28.38% 42.42%-0.20 +0.9 8
2019-07-20 @ VPS D 1-152.7 1212 1143 42.42% 28.38% 29.21%+0.20 -0.9 19
2019-07-20 SJK Seinajoki L 1-242.7 1111 1241 22.33% 27.56% 50.11%-0.48 -8.3 10
2019-07-20 @ KPV W 2-142.7 1241 1111 50.11% 27.56% 22.33%+0.48 +8.3 26
2019-07-21 Honka W 3-144.6 1317 1346 34.58% 28.57% 36.85%-0.02 +21.1 27
2019-07-21 @ Inter Turku L 1-344.6 1346 1317 36.85% 28.57% 34.58%+0.02 -21.1 27
2019-07-21 Mariehamn D 0-048.5 1342 1273 47.71% 27.89% 24.39%+0.41 -1.8 27
2019-07-21 @ KuPS D 0-048.5 1273 1342 24.39% 27.89% 47.71%-0.41 +1.8 22
2019-07-21 RoPS W 1-039.8 1218 1213 39.45% 28.52% 32.03%+0.13 +11.7 18
2019-07-21 @ Helsingfors L 0-139.8 1213 1218 32.03% 28.52% 39.45%-0.13 -11.7 15
2019-07-26 Lahti L 0-239.3 1249 1211 43.85% 28.28% 27.87%+0.28 -27.8 26
2019-07-26 @ SJK Seinajoki W 2-039.3 1211 1249 27.87% 28.28% 43.85%-0.28 +27.8 22
2019-07-27 Ilves L 1-248.9 1325 1331 37.81% 28.56% 33.63%+0.08 -12.4 27
2019-07-27 @ Honka W 2-148.9 1331 1325 33.63% 28.56% 37.81%-0.08 +12.4 32
2019-07-27 VPS D 1-154.1 1345 1144 62.01% 24.63% 13.36%+1.02 -3.7 27
2019-07-27 @ HJK D 1-154.1 1144 1345 13.36% 24.63% 62.01%-1.02 +3.7 9
2019-07-28 Helsingfors L 1-345.8 1275 1230 44.79% 28.20% 27.01%+0.31 -24.5 22
2019-07-28 @ Mariehamn W 3-145.8 1230 1275 27.01% 28.20% 44.79%-0.31 +24.5 21
2019-07-28 Inter Turku L 0-232.6 1201 1338 21.59% 27.42% 50.99%-0.51 -16.1 15
2019-07-28 @ RoPS W 2-032.6 1338 1201 50.99% 27.42% 21.59%+0.51 +16.1 30
2019-07-28 KuPS W 2-153.8 1103 1340 13.74% 24.83% 61.43%-0.96 +18.5 13
2019-07-28 @ KPV L 1-253.8 1340 1103 61.43% 24.83% 13.74%+0.96 -18.5 27
2019-08-03 Honka L 2-346.7 1147 1313 19.01% 26.82% 54.17%-0.64 -6.9 9
2019-08-03 @ VPS W 3-246.7 1313 1147 54.17% 26.82% 19.01%+0.64 +6.9 30
2019-08-04 Helsingfors D 1-153.5 1321 1255 47.54% 27.91% 24.54%+0.41 -1.6 28
2019-08-04 @ KuPS D 1-153.5 1255 1321 24.54% 27.91% 47.54%-0.41 +1.6 22
2019-08-04 KPV W 1-035.5 1239 1121 53.50% 26.96% 19.54%+0.64 +7.8 25
2019-08-04 @ Lahti L 0-135.5 1121 1239 19.54% 26.96% 53.50%-0.64 -7.8 13
2019-08-04 Mariehamn W 1-036.7 1354 1251 51.93% 27.26% 20.81%+0.57 +8.3 33
2019-08-04 @ Inter Turku L 0-136.7 1251 1354 20.81% 27.26% 51.93%-0.57 -8.3 22
2019-08-04 RoPS D 2-260.0 1343 1185 57.83% 25.93% 16.24%+0.82 -2.3 33
2019-08-04 @ Ilves D 2-260.0 1185 1343 16.24% 25.93% 57.83%-0.82 +2.3 16
2019-08-09 KPV W 3-245.9 1256 1113 56.24% 26.35% 17.41%+0.75 +6.3 25
2019-08-09 @ Helsingfors L 2-345.9 1113 1256 17.41% 26.35% 56.24%-0.75 -6.3 13
2019-08-10 Inter Turku W 2-039.2 1320 1363 32.62% 28.53% 38.85%-0.09 +25.3 31
2019-08-10 @ KuPS L 0-239.2 1363 1320 38.85% 28.53% 32.62%+0.09 -25.3 33
2019-08-10 Lahti W 4-032.0 1342 1246 50.98% 27.42% 21.59%+0.54 +30.6 30
2019-08-10 @ HJK L 0-432.0 1246 1342 21.59% 27.42% 50.98%-0.54 -30.6 25
2019-08-10 SJK Seinajoki D 0-048.2 1319 1221 51.33% 27.37% 21.31%+0.55 -2.4 31
2019-08-10 @ Honka D 0-048.2 1221 1319 21.31% 27.37% 51.33%-0.55 +2.4 27
2019-08-11 Ilves L 0-138.3 1243 1341 25.65% 28.05% 46.30%-0.34 -9.8 22
2019-08-11 @ Mariehamn W 1-038.3 1341 1243 46.30% 28.05% 25.65%+0.34 +9.8 36
2019-08-11 VPS W 2-144.2 1187 1141 45.01% 28.18% 26.81%+0.32 +9.6 19
2019-08-11 @ RoPS L 1-244.2 1141 1187 26.81% 28.18% 45.01%-0.32 -9.6 9
2019-08-15 Mariehamn L 0-237.4 1224 1233 37.37% 28.57% 34.07%+0.06 -24.6 27
2019-08-15 @ SJK Seinajoki W 2-037.4 1233 1224 34.07% 28.57% 37.37%-0.06 +24.6 25
2019-08-16 Helsingfors W 3-249.0 1337 1263 48.54% 27.79% 23.67%+0.44 +8.2 36
2019-08-16 @ Inter Turku L 2-349.0 1263 1337 23.67% 27.79% 48.54%-0.44 -8.2 25
2019-08-16 KuPS L 0-239.6 1351 1345 39.50% 28.51% 31.99%+0.13 -25.6 36
2019-08-16 @ Ilves W 2-039.6 1345 1351 31.99% 28.51% 39.50%-0.13 +25.6 34
2019-08-18 HJK W 2-154.4 1107 1372 12.11% 23.90% 63.98%-1.09 +19.1 16
2019-08-18 @ KPV L 1-254.4 1372 1107 63.98% 23.90% 12.11%+1.09 -19.1 30
2019-08-19 Honka W 3-255.6 1216 1317 25.36% 28.02% 46.62%-0.35 +13.8 28
2019-08-19 @ Lahti L 2-355.6 1317 1216 46.62% 28.02% 25.36%+0.35 -13.8 31
2019-08-19 Mariehamn W 2-151.0 1131 1257 22.66% 27.62% 49.72%-0.46 +15.4 12
2019-08-19 @ VPS L 1-251.0 1257 1131 49.72% 27.62% 22.66%+0.46 -15.4 25
2019-08-19 RoPS D 0-047.5 1199 1197 38.94% 28.53% 32.53%+0.12 -0.5 28
2019-08-19 @ SJK Seinajoki D 0-047.5 1197 1199 32.53% 28.53% 38.94%-0.12 +0.5 20
2019-08-23 Ilves D 2-259.6 1254 1325 28.93% 28.36% 42.71%-0.21 +0.7 26
2019-08-23 @ Helsingfors D 2-259.6 1325 1254 42.71% 28.36% 28.93%+0.21 -0.7 37
2019-08-24 HJK L 0-140.8 1303 1353 31.65% 28.50% 39.85%-0.12 -11.6 31
2019-08-24 @ Honka W 1-040.8 1353 1303 39.85% 28.50% 31.65%+0.12 +11.5 33
2019-08-24 VPS W 5-028.8 1371 1146 64.04% 23.88% 12.08%+1.12 +21.8 37
2019-08-24 @ KuPS L 0-528.8 1146 1371 12.08% 23.88% 64.04%-1.12 -21.8 12
2019-08-25 Lahti W 3-035.9 1198 1230 34.10% 28.57% 37.34%-0.04 +35.7 23
2019-08-25 @ RoPS L 0-335.9 1230 1198 37.34% 28.57% 34.10%+0.04 -35.7 28
2019-08-25 SJK Seinajoki W 1-038.3 1242 1198 44.57% 28.22% 27.22%+0.30 +10.3 28
2019-08-25 @ Mariehamn L 0-138.3 1198 1242 27.22% 28.22% 44.57%-0.30 -10.3 28
2019-08-26 KPV W 2-138.9 1346 1126 63.62% 24.04% 12.34%+1.10 +4.8 39
2019-08-26 @ Inter Turku L 1-238.9 1126 1346 12.34% 24.04% 63.62%-1.10 -4.8 16
2019-08-27 Helsingfors W 3-139.9 1325 1255 47.90% 27.87% 24.23%+0.42 +15.3 40
2019-08-27 @ Ilves L 1-339.9 1255 1325 24.23% 27.87% 47.90%-0.42 -15.4 26
2019-08-31 Helsingfors W 3-255.6 1125 1240 23.83% 27.81% 48.36%-0.41 +14.3 15
2019-08-31 @ VPS L 2-355.6 1240 1125 48.36% 27.81% 23.83%+0.41 -14.3 26
2019-08-31 Honka L 0-135.2 1121 1292 18.57% 26.70% 54.72%-0.66 -7.5 16
2019-08-31 @ KPV W 1-035.2 1292 1121 54.72% 26.70% 18.57%+0.66 +7.5 34
2019-08-31 Inter Turku L 0-142.9 1340 1350 37.21% 28.57% 34.23%+0.06 -13.0 40
2019-08-31 @ Ilves W 1-042.9 1350 1340 34.23% 28.57% 37.21%-0.06 +13.0 42
2019-08-31 KuPS L 1-336.8 1188 1392 15.92% 25.81% 58.27%-0.82 -10.6 28
2019-08-31 @ SJK Seinajoki W 3-136.8 1392 1188 58.27% 25.81% 15.92%+0.82 +10.6 40
2019-09-01 Mariehamn L 0-139.4 1194 1252 30.58% 28.46% 40.96%-0.16 -11.3 28
2019-09-01 @ Lahti W 1-039.4 1252 1194 40.96% 28.46% 30.58%+0.16 +11.3 31
2019-09-01 RoPS D 2-260.2 1365 1233 55.05% 26.63% 18.32%+0.70 -2.0 34
2019-09-01 @ HJK D 2-260.2 1233 1365 18.32% 26.63% 55.05%-0.70 +2.0 24

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-09-13 KPV W 3-137.7 1225 1114 52.84% 27.09% 20.07%+0.61 +13.1 3
2019-09-13 @ Helsingfors L 1-337.7 1114 1225 20.07% 27.09% 52.84%-0.61 -13.1 0
2019-09-13 VPS D 1-152.7 1178 1139 43.94% 28.27% 27.79%+0.28 -1.1 1
2019-09-13 @ SJK Seinajoki D 1-152.7 1139 1178 27.79% 28.27% 43.94%-0.28 +1.1 1
2019-09-14 RoPS W 3-036.7 1183 1235 31.34% 28.49% 40.17%-0.13 +37.7 3
2019-09-14 @ Lahti L 0-336.7 1235 1183 40.17% 28.49% 31.34%+0.13 -37.7 0
2019-09-15 HJK W 1-041.0 1403 1363 44.15% 28.25% 27.60%+0.29 +10.4 3
2019-09-15 @ KuPS L 0-141.0 1363 1403 27.60% 28.25% 44.15%-0.29 -10.4 0
2019-09-15 Honka L 0-239.7 1327 1299 42.51% 28.37% 29.12%+0.23 -27.1 0
2019-09-15 @ Ilves W 2-039.7 1299 1327 29.12% 28.37% 42.51%-0.23 +27.1 3
2019-09-15 Mariehamn W 2-033.0 1363 1263 51.52% 27.33% 21.15%+0.56 +15.8 3
2019-09-15 @ Inter Turku L 0-233.0 1263 1363 21.15% 27.33% 51.52%-0.56 -15.8 0
2019-09-20 Lahti L 1-244.6 1140 1220 27.77% 28.27% 43.96%-0.26 -9.9 1
2019-09-20 @ VPS W 2-144.6 1220 1140 43.96% 28.27% 27.77%+0.26 +9.9 6
2019-09-21 HJK W 3-144.6 1326 1352 34.94% 28.57% 36.48%-0.01 +20.9 6
2019-09-21 @ Honka L 1-344.6 1352 1326 36.48% 28.57% 34.94%+0.01 -20.9 0
2019-09-21 RoPS W 4-143.2 1101 1198 25.85% 28.08% 46.07%-0.33 +35.4 3
2019-09-21 @ KPV L 1-443.2 1198 1101 46.07% 28.08% 25.85%+0.33 -35.4 0
2019-09-21 SJK Seinajoki W 2-033.5 1238 1176 46.95% 27.98% 25.07%+0.39 +18.2 6
2019-09-21 @ Helsingfors L 0-233.5 1176 1238 25.07% 27.98% 46.95%-0.39 -18.2 1
2019-09-22 Inter Turku W 1-044.6 1300 1379 27.92% 28.28% 43.80%-0.25 +14.7 3
2019-09-22 @ Ilves L 0-144.6 1379 1300 43.80% 28.28% 27.92%+0.25 -14.7 3
2019-09-22 KuPS L 0-136.5 1248 1414 18.95% 26.81% 54.25%-0.64 -7.6 0
2019-09-22 @ Mariehamn W 1-036.5 1414 1248 54.25% 26.81% 18.95%+0.64 +7.6 6
2019-09-27 Ilves W 2-034.0 1421 1315 52.27% 27.20% 20.53%+0.59 +15.4 9
2019-09-27 @ KuPS L 0-234.0 1315 1421 20.53% 27.20% 52.27%-0.59 -15.4 3
2019-09-27 KPV L 0-238.4 1158 1136 41.72% 28.42% 29.86%+0.21 -26.7 1
2019-09-27 @ SJK Seinajoki W 2-038.4 1136 1158 29.86% 28.42% 41.72%-0.21 +26.7 6
2019-09-28 Helsingfors D 2-259.1 1230 1257 34.92% 28.57% 36.50%-0.01 +0.1 7
2019-09-28 @ Lahti D 2-259.1 1257 1230 36.50% 28.57% 34.92%+0.01 -0.1 7
2019-09-28 Honka L 0-144.3 1364 1347 41.09% 28.45% 30.47%+0.19 -14.0 3
2019-09-28 @ Inter Turku W 1-044.3 1347 1364 30.47% 28.45% 41.09%-0.19 +14.0 9
2019-09-28 Mariehamn W 3-031.4 1331 1240 50.53% 27.50% 21.97%+0.52 +23.8 3
2019-09-28 @ HJK L 0-331.4 1240 1331 21.97% 27.50% 50.53%-0.52 -23.8 0
2019-09-28 VPS W 2-144.8 1162 1130 43.06% 28.33% 28.60%+0.25 +10.1 3
2019-09-28 @ RoPS L 1-244.8 1130 1162 28.60% 28.33% 43.06%-0.25 -10.1 1
2019-10-06 Helsingfors L 2-347.5 1120 1257 21.63% 27.43% 50.94%-0.51 -7.7 1
2019-10-06 @ VPS W 3-247.5 1257 1120 50.94% 27.43% 21.63%+0.51 +7.7 10
2019-10-06 Honka D 1-156.4 1437 1361 48.61% 27.78% 23.61%+0.45 -1.8 10
2019-10-06 @ KuPS D 1-156.4 1361 1437 23.61% 27.78% 48.61%-0.45 +1.8 10
2019-10-06 Ilves D 2-259.3 1216 1299 27.48% 28.24% 44.28%-0.27 +0.9 1
2019-10-06 @ Mariehamn D 2-259.3 1299 1216 44.28% 28.24% 27.48%+0.27 -0.9 4
2019-10-06 Inter Turku L 0-143.7 1355 1351 39.33% 28.52% 32.15%+0.13 -13.5 3
2019-10-06 @ HJK W 1-043.7 1351 1355 32.15% 28.52% 39.33%-0.13 +13.5 6
2019-10-06 KPV L 1-443.7 1230 1163 47.64% 27.90% 24.46%+0.41 -36.4 7
2019-10-06 @ Lahti W 4-143.7 1163 1230 24.46% 27.90% 47.64%-0.41 +36.4 9
2019-10-06 SJK Seinajoki W 1-038.2 1172 1132 44.21% 28.25% 27.54%+0.29 +10.4 6
2019-10-06 @ RoPS L 0-138.2 1132 1172 27.54% 28.25% 44.21%-0.29 -10.4 1
2019-10-19 HJK W 2-149.1 1298 1342 32.56% 28.53% 38.91%-0.09 +12.7 7
2019-10-19 @ Ilves L 1-249.1 1342 1298 38.91% 28.53% 32.56%+0.09 -12.7 3
2019-10-19 KuPS L 0-238.1 1364 1435 28.97% 28.36% 42.67%-0.21 -20.4 6
2019-10-19 @ Inter Turku W 2-038.1 1435 1364 42.67% 28.36% 28.97%+0.21 +20.4 13
2019-10-19 Lahti D 0-047.4 1121 1194 28.70% 28.34% 42.96%-0.22 +1.1 2
2019-10-19 @ SJK Seinajoki D 0-047.4 1194 1121 42.96% 28.34% 28.70%+0.22 -1.1 8
2019-10-19 Mariehamn W 3-029.7 1363 1217 56.54% 26.27% 17.19%+0.76 +19.1 13
2019-10-19 @ Honka L 0-329.7 1217 1363 17.19% 26.27% 56.54%-0.76 -19.1 1
2019-10-19 RoPS W 2-032.8 1264 1183 49.36% 27.67% 22.97%+0.47 +17.0 13
2019-10-19 @ Helsingfors L 0-232.8 1183 1264 22.97% 27.67% 49.36%-0.47 -17.0 6
2019-10-19 VPS L 2-356.0 1199 1112 49.99% 27.58% 22.43%+0.50 -14.7 9
2019-10-19 @ KPV W 3-256.0 1112 1199 22.43% 27.58% 49.99%-0.50 +14.7 4

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2019-10-23 Helsingfors D 0-047.8 1198 1281 27.44% 28.24% 44.32%-0.27 +1.3 0-0-1
2019-10-23 @ Mariehamn D 0-047.8 1281 1198 44.32% 28.24% 27.44%+0.27 -1.3 0-0-1
2019-10-23 Lahti D 2-259.8 1329 1193 55.53% 26.52% 17.95%+0.72 -2.1 0-0-1
2019-10-23 @ HJK D 2-259.8 1193 1329 17.95% 26.52% 55.53%-0.72 +2.1 0-0-1
2019-10-24 KPV D 0-047.6 1221 1185 43.65% 28.29% 28.06%+0.27 -1.2 0-0-1
2019-10-24 @ TPS Turku D 0-047.6 1185 1221 28.06% 28.29% 43.65%-0.27 +1.2 0-0-1
2019-10-27 Mariehamn L 1-252.6 1327 1199 54.63% 26.72% 18.65%+0.68 -16.7 0-1-1
2019-10-27 @ HJK W 2-152.6 1199 1327 18.65% 26.72% 54.63%-0.68 +16.7 1-0-1
2019-10-27 TPS Turku L 0-334.8 1186 1220 33.83% 28.56% 37.61%-0.05 -33.2 0-1-1
2019-10-27 @ KPV W 3-034.8 1220 1186 37.61% 28.56% 33.83%+0.05 +33.2 1-0-1
2019-10-30 Honka L 1-242.3 1216 1382 18.93% 26.80% 54.26%-0.64 -7.2 1-1-1
2019-10-30 @ Mariehamn W 2-142.3 1382 1216 54.26% 26.80% 18.93%+0.64 +7.2 1-0
2019-11-03 Mariehamn W 1-034.3 1389 1209 60.01% 25.29% 14.70%+0.92 +6.0 2-0
2019-11-03 @ Honka L 0-134.3 1209 1389 14.70% 25.29% 60.01%-0.92 -6.0 1-2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-08-18 12.11% @ KPV 1107 2 HJK 1372 1
2 2019-06-02 12.62% KPV 1118 1 @ Honka 1333 0
3 2019-07-28 13.74% @ KPV 1103 2 KuPS 1340 1
4 2019-10-27 * 18.65% Mariehamn 1199 2 @ HJK 1327 1
5 2019-04-15 19.09% Mariehamn 1195 3 @ Honka 1317 1
6 2019-04-29 19.20% @ Inter Turku 1222 4 HJK 1385 1
7 2019-07-14 20.01% @ Lahti 1195 1 Ilves 1348 0
8 2019-10-19 22.43% VPS 1112 3 @ KPV 1199 2
9 2019-05-20 22.56% @ Lahti 1212 3 HJK 1339 0
10 2019-08-19 22.66% @ VPS 1131 2 Mariehamn 1257 1
11 2019-08-31 23.83% @ VPS 1125 3 Helsingfors 1240 2
12 2019-10-06 24.46% KPV 1163 4 @ Lahti 1230 1
13 2019-04-29 24.51% @ Helsingfors 1226 2 Honka 1335 0
14 2019-06-02 24.63% SJK Seinajoki 1240 1 @ KuPS 1306 0
15 2019-08-19 25.36% @ Lahti 1216 3 Honka 1317 2
16 2019-09-21 25.85% @ KPV 1101 4 RoPS 1198 1
17 2019-07-28 27.01% Helsingfors 1230 3 @ Mariehamn 1275 1
18 2019-06-02 27.85% Lahti 1238 1 @ Mariehamn 1276 0
19 2019-07-26 27.87% Lahti 1211 2 @ SJK Seinajoki 1249 0
20 2019-09-22 27.92% @ Ilves 1300 1 Inter Turku 1379 0
21 2019-06-18 28.85% RoPS 1223 2 @ Lahti 1253 1
22 2019-07-01 29.05% @ SJK Seinajoki 1244 2 Inter Turku 1314 1
23 2019-04-15 29.08% Lahti 1209 1 @ Helsingfors 1237 0
24 2019-09-15 29.12% Honka 1299 2 @ Ilves 1327 0
25 2019-04-20 29.14% @ Mariehamn 1223 2 RoPS 1293 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-05-20 44.79 @ Lahti 3 1212 22.56% HJK 0 1339 49.83% 27.60%
2 2019-04-29 40.41 @ Inter Turku 4 1222 19.20% HJK 1 1385 53.92% 26.87%
3 2019-04-25 39.20 Mariehamn 4 1251 42.11% @ KPV 0 1184 29.50% 28.39%
4 2019-04-20 38.68 Honka 3 1289 29.99% @ KuPS 0 1310 41.59% 28.42%
5 2019-09-14 37.66 @ Lahti 3 1183 31.34% RoPS 0 1235 40.17% 28.49%
6 2019-10-06 36.37 KPV 4 1163 24.46% @ Lahti 1 1230 47.64% 27.90%
7 2019-08-25 35.66 @ RoPS 3 1198 34.10% Lahti 0 1230 37.34% 28.57%
8 2019-09-21 35.39 @ KPV 4 1101 25.85% RoPS 1 1198 46.07% 28.08%
9 2019-10-27 * 33.21 TPS Turku 3 1220 37.61% @ KPV 0 1186 33.83% 28.56%
10 2019-05-07 32.71 @ Inter Turku 3 1262 38.32% RoPS 0 1265 33.14% 28.55%
11 2019-08-10 30.57 @ HJK 4 1342 50.98% Lahti 0 1246 21.59% 27.42%
12 2019-04-29 29.67 @ Helsingfors 2 1226 24.51% Honka 0 1335 47.59% 27.91%
13 2019-06-25 28.96 @ KuPS 5 1300 46.74% Lahti 1 1239 25.25% 28.01%
14 2019-04-15 28.64 Mariehamn 3 1195 19.09% @ Honka 1 1317 54.06% 26.84%
15 2019-07-26 27.77 Lahti 2 1211 27.87% @ SJK Seinajoki 0 1249 43.85% 28.28%
16 2019-09-15 27.09 Honka 2 1299 29.12% @ Ilves 0 1327 42.51% 28.37%
17 2019-04-20 27.08 @ Mariehamn 2 1223 29.14% RoPS 0 1293 42.49% 28.37%
18 2019-09-27 26.70 KPV 2 1136 29.86% @ SJK Seinajoki 0 1158 41.72% 28.42%
19 2019-07-07 26.23 @ Ilves 3 1322 47.25% SJK Seinajoki 0 1258 24.81% 27.95%
20 2019-08-16 25.60 KuPS 2 1345 31.99% @ Ilves 0 1351 39.50% 28.51%
21 2019-08-10 25.29 @ KuPS 2 1320 32.62% Inter Turku 0 1363 38.85% 28.53%
22 2019-07-13 25.01 @ Honka 3 1321 48.86% Helsingfors 0 1243 23.40% 27.74%
23 2019-08-15 24.57 Mariehamn 2 1233 34.07% @ SJK Seinajoki 0 1224 37.37% 28.57%
24 2019-07-28 24.45 Helsingfors 3 1230 27.01% @ Mariehamn 1 1275 44.79% 28.20%
25 2019-09-28 23.75 @ HJK 3 1331 50.53% Mariehamn 0 1240 21.97% 27.50%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-04-07 62.8 @ Lahti 3 1208 25.34% KuPS 3 1309 46.64% 28.02%
2 2019-09-01 60.2 @ HJK 2 1365 55.05% RoPS 2 1233 18.32% 26.63%
3 2019-08-04 60.0 @ Ilves 2 1343 57.83% RoPS 2 1185 16.24% 25.93%
4 2019-05-11 59.9 @ HJK 2 1341 50.49% SJK Seinajoki 2 1249 22.01% 27.50%
5 2019-10-23 * 59.8 @ HJK 2 1329 55.53% Lahti 2 1193 17.95% 26.52%
6 2019-04-03 59.7 @ KuPS 2 1310 40.82% RoPS 2 1294 30.72% 28.46%
7 2019-06-30 59.6 @ Mariehamn 2 1239 25.98% Honka 2 1335 45.93% 28.09%
8 2019-08-23 59.6 @ Helsingfors 2 1254 28.93% Ilves 2 1325 42.71% 28.36%
9 2019-10-06 59.3 @ Mariehamn 2 1216 27.48% Ilves 2 1299 44.28% 28.24%
10 2019-09-28 59.1 @ Lahti 2 1230 34.92% Helsingfors 2 1257 36.50% 28.57%
11 2019-04-20 58.9 @ VPS 2 1206 41.75% KPV 2 1183 29.83% 28.41%
12 2019-10-06 56.4 @ KuPS 1 1437 48.61% Honka 1 1361 23.61% 27.78%
13 2019-10-19 56.0 VPS 3 1112 22.43% @ KPV 2 1199 49.99% 27.58%
14 2019-05-01 55.9 KuPS 4 1284 32.05% @ Mariehamn 3 1290 39.43% 28.52%
15 2019-08-19 55.6 @ Lahti 3 1216 25.36% Honka 2 1317 46.62% 28.02%
16 2019-08-31 55.6 @ VPS 3 1125 23.83% Helsingfors 2 1240 48.36% 27.81%
17 2019-05-31 54.8 Ilves 3 1293 29.50% @ Inter Turku 2 1318 42.11% 28.39%
18 2019-04-23 54.4 @ HJK 1 1388 58.49% Helsingfors 1 1223 15.77% 25.75%
19 2019-08-18 54.4 @ KPV 2 1107 12.11% HJK 1 1372 63.98% 23.90%
20 2019-07-20 54.1 @ Ilves 1 1331 36.67% HJK 1 1345 34.76% 28.57%
21 2019-07-27 54.1 @ HJK 1 1345 62.01% VPS 1 1144 13.36% 24.63%
22 2019-06-29 53.9 @ HJK 1 1325 38.10% KuPS 1 1329 33.35% 28.55%
23 2019-07-28 53.8 @ KPV 2 1103 13.74% KuPS 1 1340 61.43% 24.83%
24 2019-06-25 53.6 @ Inter Turku 1 1317 56.74% VPS 1 1170 17.04% 26.22%
25 2019-05-07 53.5 @ VPS 1 1206 21.61% HJK 1 1343 50.96% 27.43%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-08-24 28.8 @ KuPS 5 1371 64.04% VPS 0 1146 12.08% 23.88%
2 2019-10-19 29.7 @ Honka 3 1363 56.54% Mariehamn 0 1217 17.19% 26.27%
3 2019-07-14 29.9 @ Mariehamn 3 1252 53.78% KPV 0 1132 19.31% 26.90%
4 2019-09-28 31.4 @ HJK 3 1331 50.53% Mariehamn 0 1240 21.97% 27.50%
5 2019-07-13 31.9 @ Honka 3 1321 48.86% Helsingfors 0 1243 23.40% 27.74%
6 2019-08-10 32.0 @ HJK 4 1342 50.98% Lahti 0 1246 21.59% 27.42%
7 2019-07-07 32.5 @ Ilves 3 1322 47.25% SJK Seinajoki 0 1258 24.81% 27.95%
8 2019-07-28 32.6 Inter Turku 2 1338 50.99% @ RoPS 0 1201 21.59% 27.42%
9 2019-07-05 32.7 @ Inter Turku 2 1301 50.33% Lahti 0 1211 22.14% 27.53%
10 2019-10-19 32.8 @ Helsingfors 2 1264 49.36% RoPS 0 1183 22.97% 27.67%
11 2019-09-15 33.0 @ Inter Turku 2 1363 51.52% Mariehamn 0 1263 21.15% 27.33%
12 2019-09-21 33.5 @ Helsingfors 2 1238 46.95% SJK Seinajoki 0 1176 25.07% 27.98%
13 2019-04-25 34.0 Mariehamn 4 1251 42.11% @ KPV 0 1184 29.50% 28.39%
14 2019-09-27 34.0 @ KuPS 2 1421 52.27% Ilves 0 1315 20.53% 27.20%
15 2019-05-27 34.1 @ Honka 2 1314 46.38% Lahti 0 1257 25.58% 28.04%
16 2019-11-03 * 34.3 @ Honka 1 1389 60.01% Mariehamn 0 1209 14.70% 25.29%
17 2019-10-27 * 34.8 TPS Turku 3 1220 37.61% @ KPV 0 1186 33.83% 28.56%
18 2019-05-07 34.9 @ Inter Turku 3 1262 38.32% RoPS 0 1265 33.14% 28.55%
19 2019-08-31 35.2 Honka 1 1292 54.72% @ KPV 0 1121 18.57% 26.70%
20 2019-08-04 35.5 @ Lahti 1 1239 53.50% KPV 0 1121 19.54% 26.96%
21 2019-07-04 35.8 HJK 2 1324 41.16% @ Helsingfors 0 1265 30.40% 28.45%
22 2019-08-25 35.9 @ RoPS 3 1198 34.10% Lahti 0 1230 37.34% 28.57%
23 2019-05-26 36.1 @ HJK 3 1294 58.57% KPV 1 1129 15.70% 25.72%
24 2019-04-30 36.2 @ SJK Seinajoki 1 1241 51.13% KPV 0 1145 21.47% 27.40%
25 2019-05-05 36.3 @ KuPS 3 1296 57.99% KPV 1 1136 16.12% 25.89%