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2015 Ykkönen Season

135 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kemi

13.80 points above expected

53 points · 39.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

VIFK

18.35 points below expected

14 points · 32.35 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Kemi 27 16 5 6 53 50 30 +20 39.20 +13.80
2 PK-35 Vantaa 27 15 4 8 49 53 25 +28 41.71 +7.29
3 TPS Turku 27 14 7 6 49 40 18 +22 38.14 +10.86
4 JJK 27 13 7 7 46 43 27 +16 36.83 +9.17
5 AC Oulu 27 12 8 7 44 31 28 +3 38.71 +5.29
6 Haka 27 11 8 8 41 48 41 +7 42.56 -1.56
7 FC Jazz 27 9 5 13 32 37 48 -11 29.18 +2.82
8 Ekenas 27 8 7 12 31 36 49 -13 37.26 -6.26
9 MP Mikkeli 27 5 2 20 17 31 56 -25 29.13 -12.13
10 VIFK 27 3 5 19 14 27 74 -47 32.35 -18.35

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kemi 53 39.20 +13.80
2 TPS Turku 49 38.14 +10.86
3 JJK 46 36.83 +9.17
4 PK-35 Vantaa 49 41.71 +7.29
5 AC Oulu 44 38.71 +5.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 VIFK 14 32.35 -18.35
2 MP Mikkeli 17 29.13 -12.13
3 Ekenas 31 37.26 -6.26
4 Haka 41 42.56 -1.56
5 FC Jazz 32 29.18 +2.82

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 JJK 3 May 13 – May 23 1 in 89
2 Kemi 4 Aug 8 – Aug 30 1 in 25
3 FC Jazz 2 Jul 24 – Aug 5 1 in 15
4 TPS Turku 3 Sep 24 – Oct 10 1 in 14
5 PK-35 Vantaa 3 Jun 22 – Jul 4 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ekenas 4 May 25 – Jun 14 1 in 121
2 FC Jazz 5 Jun 14 – Jul 4 1 in 83
3 VIFK 6 Sep 12 – Oct 17 1 in 47
4 MP Mikkeli 5 Aug 15 – Sep 12 1 in 34
5 PK-35 Vantaa 3 Aug 8 – Aug 19 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 JJK 12 May 13 – Jul 25 1 in 288
2 AC Oulu 11 Jul 4 – Sep 12 1 in 39
3 TPS Turku 8 May 18 – Jun 27 1 in 38
4 Kemi 6 Aug 8 – Sep 12 1 in 7
5 FC Jazz 3 May 2 – May 13 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ekenas 8 May 2 – Jun 14 1 in 66
2 VIFK 10 Jun 28 – Aug 29 1 in 28
3 FC Jazz 9 May 17 – Jul 4 1 in 19
4 MP Mikkeli 8 Jun 17 – Aug 2 1 in 14
5 AC Oulu 3 May 2 – May 13 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Kemi 1220 53 -4 7 7.9 -0.9
PK-35 Vantaa 1247 49 +37 11 8.0 +3.0
TPS Turku 1230 49 +19 10 7.3 +2.7
JJK 1177 46 -30 4 6.7 -2.7
AC Oulu 1191 44 +5 8 7.0 +1.0
Haka 1202 41 +2 9 7.9 +1.1
FC Jazz 1082 32 +6 9 6.0 +3.0
Ekenas 1154 31 +22 10 6.4 +3.6
MP Mikkeli 1048 17 -24 3 5.1 -2.1
VIFK 1029 14 -33 0 4.4 -4.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AO EKE FJ HAK JJK KEM MM PV TT VIF
AC Oulu —
3-0-0
4.05
1-1-1
4.81
0-1-2
3.53
1-2-0
4.34
2-1-0
4.12
1-1-1
4.68
1-0-2
4.34
0-2-1
4.39
3-0-0
4.83
Ekenas
0-0-3
4.03
—
1-2-0
5.25
2-1-0
3.36
0-1-2
4.03
1-0-2
3.54
3-0-0
4.36
0-1-2
3.25
1-0-2
4.17
0-2-1
4.76
FC Jazz
1-1-1
3.30
0-2-1
2.89
—
1-1-1
3.06
1-1-1
3.44
0-0-3
2.73
1-0-2
4.38
1-0-2
2.59
2-0-1
2.75
2-0-1
3.56
Haka
2-1-0
4.56
0-1-2
4.73
1-1-1
5.06
—
1-2-0
4.38
0-1-2
4.07
3-0-0
5.51
2-0-1
4.36
0-1-2
3.85
2-1-0
5.58
JJK
0-2-1
3.73
2-1-0
4.05
1-1-1
4.66
0-2-1
3.68
—
2-0-1
3.41
2-0-1
4.72
2-0-1
3.76
1-1-1
4.33
3-0-0
4.24
Kemi
0-1-2
3.95
2-0-1
4.52
3-0-0
5.44
2-1-0
4.00
1-0-2
4.68
—
3-0-0
4.40
1-1-1
3.61
2-1-0
3.83
2-1-0
4.90
MP Mikkeli
1-1-1
3.42
0-0-3
3.71
2-0-1
3.69
0-0-3
2.66
1-0-2
3.43
0-0-3
3.69
—
0-0-3
3.24
0-0-3
3.22
1-1-1
3.62
PK-35 Vantaa
2-0-1
3.75
2-1-0
4.85
2-0-1
5.57
1-0-2
3.72
1-0-2
4.31
1-1-1
4.46
3-0-0
4.87
—
0-2-1
4.47
3-0-0
4.89
TPS Turku
1-2-0
3.70
2-0-1
3.93
1-0-2
5.41
2-1-0
4.21
1-1-1
3.76
0-1-2
4.23
3-0-0
4.90
1-2-0
3.61
—
3-0-0
5.21
VIFK
0-0-3
3.29
1-2-0
3.32
1-0-2
4.51
0-1-2
2.60
0-0-3
3.92
0-1-2
3.23
1-1-1
4.47
0-0-3
3.23
0-0-3
2.94
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.59 +12.0
Allowed 0.89 -7.4
Differential 0.93 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%10.00%5.56%2.22%1.85%1.48%28.52%
110.00%9.63%6.30%2.59%1.85%1.85%32.22%
25.56%6.30%2.96%2.96%1.11%0.37%19.26%
32.22%2.59%2.96%0.74%0.74%—9.26%
41.85%1.85%1.11%0.74%0.74%0.37%6.67%
5+1.48%1.85%0.37%—0.37%—4.07%
Total28.52%32.22%19.26%9.26%6.67%4.07%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.41 2.01
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%7.41%3.70%———25.93%
122.22%11.11%3.70%7.41%3.70%—48.15%
27.41%3.70%————11.11%
3—3.70%7.41%3.70%——14.81%
4———————
5+———————
Total44.44%25.93%14.81%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.04 +0.11
SD 0.99 1.19 1.31
CV 0.86 1.15 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%3.70%7.41%——25.93%
114.81%14.81%7.41%—3.70%7.41%48.15%
2——3.70%———3.70%
3—3.70%3.70%—3.70%—11.11%
4—3.70%3.70%—3.70%—11.11%
5+———————
Total18.52%33.33%22.22%7.41%11.11%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.81 -0.48
SD 1.30 1.52 1.81
CV 0.98 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%——7.41%—29.63%
13.70%3.70%7.41%3.70%7.41%3.70%29.63%
27.41%7.41%3.70%7.41%——25.93%
3—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total22.22%29.63%18.52%11.11%14.81%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.78 -0.41
SD 1.31 1.50 2.04
CV 0.95 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%3.70%3.70%——14.81%
114.81%14.81%7.41%3.70%——40.74%
23.70%11.11%7.41%7.41%——29.63%
3———————
4———3.70%3.70%—7.41%
5+3.70%———3.70%—7.41%
Total25.93%29.63%18.52%18.52%7.41%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.52 +0.26
SD 1.69 1.28 1.72
CV 0.95 0.84 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%11.11%7.41%3.70%——29.63%
111.11%7.41%3.70%———22.22%
23.70%11.11%11.11%———25.93%
33.70%3.70%3.70%———11.11%
43.70%—————3.70%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total33.33%37.04%25.93%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.00 +0.59
SD 1.50 0.88 1.89
CV 0.94 0.88 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
111.11%11.11%—7.41%——29.63%
23.70%11.11%———3.70%18.52%
37.41%—7.41%———14.81%
43.70%11.11%3.70%———18.52%
5+———————
Total33.33%40.74%14.81%7.41%—3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.11 +0.74
SD 1.41 1.19 1.81
CV 0.76 1.07 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.22%11.11%3.70%3.70%3.70%44.44%
13.70%3.70%11.11%———18.52%
23.70%3.70%—7.41%7.41%—22.22%
3——3.70%3.70%3.70%—11.11%
4———————
5+—3.70%————3.70%
Total7.41%33.33%25.93%14.81%14.81%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 2.07 -0.93
SD 1.32 1.33 1.77
CV 1.15 0.64 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%7.41%11.11%———29.63%
1——7.41%———7.41%
214.81%7.41%3.70%3.70%——29.63%
33.70%7.41%————11.11%
411.11%3.70%————14.81%
5+—3.70%3.70%———7.41%
Total40.74%29.63%25.93%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 0.93 +1.04
SD 1.65 0.92 2.01
CV 0.84 0.99 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.81%11.11%3.70%3.70%——33.33%
114.81%11.11%——3.70%—29.63%
211.11%3.70%————14.81%
37.41%3.70%————11.11%
4———————
5+7.41%3.70%————11.11%
Total55.56%33.33%3.70%3.70%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 0.67 +0.81
SD 1.60 1.00 2.08
CV 1.08 1.50 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.41%7.41%—7.41%11.11%33.33%
13.70%18.52%14.81%3.70%—7.41%48.15%
2—3.70%—3.70%3.70%—11.11%
3———————
4———3.70%—3.70%7.41%
5+———————
Total3.70%29.63%22.22%11.11%11.11%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.74 -1.74
SD 1.07 1.85 1.99
CV 1.07 0.68 —
Max 4 7 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
PK-35 Vantaa 1253 49 41.71 +7.29 89.0% 21 31 37 41 46 52 56
TPS Turku 1230 49 38.14 +10.86 98.0% 23 27 33 39 43 47 59
Kemi 1220 53 39.20 +13.80 99.0% 22 27 35 39 43 50 54
Haka 1202 41 42.56 -1.56 42.0% 25 30 38 43 47 53 61
AC Oulu 1191 44 38.71 +5.29 86.0% 26 28 34 39 43 47 53
JJK 1177 46 36.83 +9.17 92.0% 23 27 33 37 41 47 54
Ekenas 1154 31 37.26 -6.26 17.0% 24 25 33 37 42 49 58
FC Jazz 1082 32 29.18 +2.82 75.0% 16 20 26 28 32 40 47
MP Mikkeli 1048 17 29.13 -12.13 3.0% 10 19 24 28 33 40 47
VIFK 1029 14 32.35 -18.35 0.0% 18 21 28 32 36 41 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 11.5% * Slight Edge: 11.5% to 19% * Clear Edge: 19% to 28.5% * Strong Edge: 28.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+20.74%
Clear Edge
49.63%21.48%28.89%
Elo Value
Home Edge
146 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
073.12400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.24 * Runaway: 0.24 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.2
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
12%
Kemi, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.21 * Some Luck: 5.21 to 7.82 * Lucky: 7.82 to 10.43 * Wild Swing: 10.43 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.66 * Close: 1.66 to 2.49 * Off: 2.49 to 3.32 * Way Off: 3.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.98 points
Lucky
06.5216
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
02.085
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.00%
Kemi
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
VIFK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.5 * Moderate Separation: 1.5 to 1.8 * Strong Separation: 1.8 to 2.15 * Wide Separation: 2.15 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 74.5% * Wide Edge: 74.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 91% * Strong Edge: 91% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 54.5% * Some Drama: 54.5% to 60% * Frequent: 60% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 18.5% * Frequent: 18.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.130.20.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 78.04
1.95
Strong Separation
0.751.51.82.153
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%63.5%74.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
78%
Even
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.34 * Slight Separation: 0.34 to 0.42 * Notable Separation: 0.42 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.7 * Near-Lock: 0.7 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 22% * Upset-Prone: 22% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15.5% * As Expected: 15.5% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Very Even
00.340.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.47
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.47
Weak Carryover
00.380.570.71
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.39
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.117
Well Within Noise
00.1360.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Kemi12.00%12.00%20.00%9.00%17.00%14.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%
PK-35 Vantaa21.00%19.00%17.00%14.00%8.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%—2.00%
TPS Turku11.00%16.00%11.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%13.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%
JJK8.00%7.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%
AC Oulu8.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%22.00%5.00%9.00%13.00%4.00%1.00%
Haka26.00%20.00%10.00%16.00%6.00%10.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
FC Jazz1.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%13.00%18.00%25.00%30.00%
Ekenas10.00%8.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%14.00%17.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%
MP Mikkeli2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%12.00%23.00%34.00%
VIFK1.00%3.00%2.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%13.00%22.00%15.00%16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Haka 26.00% 20.00% 49.00% 5.00%
Kemi 12.00% 12.00% 69.00% 7.00%
AC Oulu 8.00% 12.00% 75.00% 5.00%
TPS Turku 11.00% 16.00% 64.00% 9.00%
PK-35 Vantaa — 100% — —
Ekenas 10.00% 8.00% 67.00% 15.00%
JJK 8.00% 7.00% 71.00% 14.00%
VIFK 1.00% 3.00% 65.00% 31.00%
FC Jazz 1.00% 2.00% 42.00% 55.00%
MP Mikkeli 2.00% 1.00% 40.00% 57.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2015-05-02 FC Jazz L 0-243.9 1141 1092 50.52% 28.99% 20.49%+0.84 -14.8 0
2015-05-02 @ TPS Turku W 2-043.9 1092 1141 20.49% 28.99% 50.52%-0.84 +14.8 3
2015-05-02 Haka D 2-255.9 1110 1201 31.22% 32.06% 36.72%-0.12 +0.1 1
2015-05-02 @ JJK D 2-255.9 1201 1110 36.72% 32.06% 31.22%+0.12 -0.1 1
2015-05-02 Kemi L 0-146.2 1144 1137 44.94% 30.75% 24.31%+0.55 -7.2 0
2015-05-02 @ MP Mikkeli W 1-046.2 1137 1144 24.31% 30.75% 44.94%-0.55 +7.2 3
2015-05-02 PK-35 Vantaa L 1-348.3 1181 1152 47.93% 29.89% 22.18%+0.70 -12.3 0
2015-05-02 @ AC Oulu W 3-148.3 1152 1181 22.18% 29.89% 47.93%-0.70 +12.3 3
2015-05-02 VIFK D 1-151.5 1212 1209 44.40% 30.89% 24.71%+0.52 -0.6 1
2015-05-02 @ Ekenas D 1-151.5 1209 1212 24.71% 30.89% 44.40%-0.52 +0.7 1
2015-05-09 FC Jazz D 1-152.8 1212 1107 57.64% 25.84% 16.53%+1.22 -1.4 2
2015-05-09 @ Ekenas D 1-152.8 1107 1212 16.53% 25.84% 57.64%-1.22 +1.4 4
2015-05-09 Haka W 3-252.0 1145 1201 36.03% 32.10% 31.87%+0.11 +5.0 6
2015-05-09 @ Kemi L 2-352.0 1201 1145 31.87% 32.10% 36.03%-0.11 -5.1 1
2015-05-09 TPS Turku D 0-047.8 1169 1126 49.70% 29.29% 21.01%+0.79 -1.1 1
2015-05-09 @ AC Oulu D 0-047.8 1126 1169 21.01% 29.29% 49.70%-0.79 +1.1 1
2015-05-10 JJK W 1-039.2 1137 1111 47.57% 30.00% 22.42%+0.68 +4.3 3
2015-05-10 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-139.2 1111 1137 22.42% 30.00% 47.57%-0.68 -4.3 1
2015-05-10 VIFK W 2-038.9 1164 1210 37.55% 32.00% 30.46%+0.19 +10.3 6
2015-05-10 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-238.9 1210 1164 30.46% 32.00% 37.55%-0.19 -10.3 1
2015-05-13 AC Oulu W 3-144.3 1108 1168 35.63% 32.11% 32.25%+0.09 +9.3 7
2015-05-13 @ FC Jazz L 1-344.3 1168 1108 32.25% 32.11% 35.63%-0.09 -9.3 1
2015-05-13 Ekenas W 2-149.3 1106 1210 29.48% 31.89% 38.63%-0.21 +6.1 4
2015-05-13 @ JJK L 1-249.3 1210 1106 38.63% 31.89% 29.48%+0.21 -6.1 2
2015-05-13 MP Mikkeli L 1-252.3 1200 1141 51.74% 28.52% 19.75%+0.90 -7.5 1
2015-05-13 @ VIFK W 2-152.3 1141 1200 19.75% 28.52% 51.74%-0.90 +7.5 6
2015-05-13 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-144.1 1196 1174 46.91% 30.21% 22.88%+0.65 +4.1 4
2015-05-13 @ Haka L 1-244.1 1174 1196 22.88% 30.21% 46.91%-0.65 -4.1 6
2015-05-14 Kemi L 0-339.3 1127 1150 40.86% 31.60% 27.55%+0.35 -18.4 1
2015-05-14 @ TPS Turku W 3-039.3 1150 1127 27.55% 31.60% 40.86%-0.35 +18.4 9
2015-05-16 VIFK W 3-251.0 1158 1192 39.25% 31.82% 28.92%+0.27 +4.7 4
2015-05-16 @ AC Oulu L 2-351.0 1192 1158 28.92% 31.82% 39.25%-0.27 -4.7 1
2015-05-17 FC Jazz W 4-031.3 1170 1118 51.02% 28.80% 20.18%+0.86 +13.9 9
2015-05-17 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-431.3 1118 1170 20.18% 28.80% 51.02%-0.86 -13.9 7
2015-05-17 JJK L 0-147.5 1168 1112 51.40% 28.65% 19.95%+0.88 -8.0 9
2015-05-17 @ Kemi W 1-047.5 1112 1168 19.95% 28.65% 51.40%-0.88 +7.9 7
2015-05-18 MP Mikkeli W 5-035.3 1109 1149 38.35% 31.92% 29.73%+0.23 +23.7 4
2015-05-18 @ TPS Turku L 0-535.3 1149 1109 29.73% 31.92% 38.35%-0.23 -23.7 6
2015-05-21 Ekenas D 4-462.2 1200 1204 43.40% 31.12% 25.49%+0.47 -0.3 5
2015-05-21 @ Haka D 4-462.2 1204 1200 25.49% 31.12% 43.40%-0.47 +0.3 3
2015-05-23 JJK L 0-440.9 1187 1120 52.87% 28.05% 19.08%+0.96 -29.1 1
2015-05-23 @ VIFK W 4-040.9 1120 1187 19.08% 28.05% 52.87%-0.96 +29.1 10
2015-05-23 Kemi L 0-146.7 1184 1160 47.25% 30.11% 22.65%+0.67 -7.5 9
2015-05-23 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 1-046.7 1160 1184 22.65% 30.11% 47.25%-0.67 +7.5 12
2015-05-24 AC Oulu D 3-359.8 1125 1163 38.72% 31.88% 29.40%+0.24 -0.2 7
2015-05-24 @ MP Mikkeli D 3-359.8 1163 1125 29.40% 31.88% 38.72%-0.24 +0.2 5
2015-05-24 Haka D 0-047.0 1104 1200 30.50% 32.00% 37.50%-0.16 +0.2 8
2015-05-24 @ FC Jazz D 0-047.0 1200 1104 37.50% 32.00% 30.50%+0.16 -0.2 6
2015-05-25 TPS Turku L 0-147.9 1205 1132 53.53% 27.77% 18.70%+1.00 -8.2 3
2015-05-25 @ Ekenas W 1-047.9 1132 1205 18.70% 27.77% 53.53%-1.00 +8.2 7
2015-05-31 AC Oulu W 1-038.9 1200 1163 48.88% 29.58% 21.54%+0.75 +4.1 9
2015-05-31 @ Haka L 0-138.9 1163 1200 21.54% 29.58% 48.88%-0.75 -4.1 5
2015-05-31 Ekenas W 4-140.3 1168 1196 39.96% 31.73% 28.31%+0.30 +12.0 15
2015-05-31 @ Kemi L 1-440.3 1196 1168 28.31% 31.73% 39.96%-0.30 -12.0 3
2015-05-31 FC Jazz W 2-142.7 1158 1104 51.25% 28.71% 20.04%+0.87 +3.6 4
2015-05-31 @ VIFK L 1-242.7 1104 1158 20.04% 28.71% 51.25%-0.87 -3.6 8
2015-05-31 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-240.7 1125 1177 36.74% 32.06% 31.20%+0.15 -11.8 7
2015-05-31 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-040.7 1177 1125 31.20% 32.06% 36.74%-0.15 +11.7 12
2015-05-31 TPS Turku D 0-047.4 1149 1141 45.18% 30.69% 24.13%+0.56 -0.8 11
2015-05-31 @ JJK D 0-047.4 1141 1149 24.13% 30.69% 45.18%-0.56 +0.8 8
2015-06-04 MP Mikkeli W 1-036.7 1204 1113 55.82% 26.73% 17.46%+1.12 +3.3 12
2015-06-04 @ Haka L 0-136.7 1113 1204 17.46% 26.73% 55.82%-1.12 -3.3 7
2015-06-06 Kemi W 2-037.7 1159 1179 41.14% 31.55% 27.31%+0.36 +9.5 8
2015-06-06 @ AC Oulu L 0-237.7 1179 1159 27.31% 31.55% 41.14%-0.36 -9.5 15
2015-06-06 VIFK W 5-034.5 1141 1162 41.12% 31.55% 27.32%+0.36 +22.2 11
2015-06-06 @ TPS Turku L 0-534.5 1162 1141 27.32% 31.55% 41.12%-0.36 -22.2 4
2015-06-07 Ekenas W 5-137.2 1188 1184 44.52% 30.86% 24.62%+0.53 +13.8 15
2015-06-07 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-537.2 1184 1188 24.62% 30.86% 44.52%-0.53 -13.8 3
2015-06-07 JJK D 2-255.9 1100 1149 37.19% 32.03% 30.78%+0.17 -0.1 9
2015-06-07 @ FC Jazz D 2-255.9 1149 1100 30.78% 32.03% 37.19%-0.17 +0.1 12
2015-06-14 AC Oulu L 0-242.6 1171 1169 44.26% 30.92% 24.82%+0.52 -13.4 3
2015-06-14 @ Ekenas W 2-042.6 1169 1171 24.82% 30.92% 44.26%-0.52 +13.4 11
2015-06-14 Haka W 3-036.3 1164 1207 37.91% 31.97% 30.13%+0.20 +14.9 14
2015-06-14 @ TPS Turku L 0-336.3 1207 1164 30.13% 31.97% 37.91%-0.20 -14.9 12
2015-06-14 Kemi D 1-151.1 1140 1170 39.77% 31.76% 28.48%+0.29 -0.4 5
2015-06-14 @ VIFK D 1-151.1 1170 1140 28.48% 31.76% 39.77%-0.29 +0.4 16
2015-06-14 MP Mikkeli L 1-542.6 1100 1110 42.61% 31.28% 26.11%+0.43 -20.7 9
2015-06-14 @ FC Jazz W 5-142.6 1110 1100 26.11% 31.28% 42.61%-0.43 +20.7 10
2015-06-14 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-147.3 1149 1202 36.47% 32.07% 31.45%+0.14 +5.3 15
2015-06-14 @ JJK L 1-247.3 1202 1149 31.45% 32.07% 36.47%-0.14 -5.3 15
2015-06-17 Ekenas L 0-145.1 1131 1157 40.30% 31.68% 28.02%+0.32 -6.7 10
2015-06-17 @ MP Mikkeli W 1-045.1 1157 1131 28.02% 31.68% 40.30%-0.32 +6.7 6
2015-06-17 FC Jazz W 4-135.4 1170 1079 55.89% 26.69% 17.42%+1.12 +7.7 19
2015-06-17 @ Kemi L 1-435.4 1079 1170 17.42% 26.69% 55.89%-1.12 -7.7 9
2015-06-17 TPS Turku D 0-047.6 1197 1178 46.49% 30.33% 23.18%+0.63 -0.9 16
2015-06-17 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 0-047.6 1178 1197 23.18% 30.33% 46.49%-0.63 +0.9 15
2015-06-17 VIFK W 6-032.3 1192 1139 51.03% 28.79% 20.17%+0.86 +20.3 15
2015-06-17 @ Haka L 0-632.3 1139 1192 20.17% 28.79% 51.03%-0.86 -20.3 5
2015-06-22 AC Oulu W 4-138.5 1196 1182 45.91% 30.50% 23.60%+0.60 +10.3 19
2015-06-22 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-438.5 1182 1196 23.60% 30.50% 45.91%-0.60 -10.3 11
2015-06-22 MP Mikkeli W 2-142.8 1178 1124 51.19% 28.73% 20.08%+0.87 +3.6 22
2015-06-22 @ Kemi L 1-242.8 1124 1178 20.08% 28.73% 51.19%-0.87 -3.6 10
2015-06-22 TPS Turku L 0-141.7 1072 1179 29.04% 31.84% 39.13%-0.24 -5.3 9
2015-06-22 @ FC Jazz W 1-041.7 1179 1072 39.13% 31.84% 29.04%+0.24 +5.3 18
2015-06-22 VIFK L 3-459.4 1164 1119 49.99% 29.19% 20.83%+0.81 -6.8 6
2015-06-22 @ Ekenas W 4-359.4 1119 1164 20.83% 29.19% 49.99%-0.81 +6.8 8
2015-06-25 Haka D 2-255.9 1154 1212 35.77% 32.11% 32.12%+0.10 -0.1 16
2015-06-25 @ JJK D 2-255.9 1212 1154 32.12% 32.11% 35.77%-0.10 +0.1 16
2015-06-27 AC Oulu W 1-039.8 1185 1172 45.75% 30.54% 23.71%+0.59 +4.5 21
2015-06-27 @ TPS Turku L 0-139.8 1172 1185 23.71% 30.54% 45.75%-0.59 -4.5 11
2015-06-28 Ekenas L 2-351.7 1066 1157 31.24% 32.06% 36.70%-0.12 -5.0 9
2015-06-28 @ FC Jazz W 3-251.7 1157 1066 36.70% 32.06% 31.24%+0.12 +5.0 9
2015-06-28 Kemi D 1-151.7 1213 1182 48.15% 29.82% 22.03%+0.71 -0.9 17
2015-06-28 @ Haka D 1-151.7 1182 1213 22.03% 29.82% 48.15%-0.71 +0.9 23
2015-06-28 MP Mikkeli W 3-033.0 1154 1120 48.52% 29.70% 21.78%+0.73 +11.4 19
2015-06-28 @ JJK L 0-333.0 1120 1154 21.78% 29.70% 48.52%-0.73 -11.4 10
2015-06-28 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-239.5 1126 1206 32.59% 32.13% 35.28%-0.05 -10.8 8
2015-06-28 @ VIFK W 2-039.5 1206 1126 35.28% 32.13% 32.59%+0.05 +10.8 22
2015-07-04 FC Jazz W 1-036.1 1167 1062 57.71% 25.80% 16.49%+1.23 +3.1 14
2015-07-04 @ AC Oulu L 0-136.1 1062 1167 16.49% 25.80% 57.71%-1.23 -3.1 9
2015-07-04 Haka W 2-144.9 1217 1212 44.74% 30.80% 24.45%+0.54 +4.3 25
2015-07-04 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-244.9 1212 1217 24.45% 30.80% 44.74%-0.54 -4.4 17
2015-07-05 TPS Turku W 1-040.6 1183 1189 43.07% 31.19% 25.75%+0.46 +4.8 26
2015-07-05 @ Kemi L 0-140.6 1189 1183 25.75% 31.19% 43.07%-0.46 -4.8 21
2015-07-05 VIFK D 1-151.2 1109 1115 43.14% 31.17% 25.69%+0.46 -0.6 11
2015-07-05 @ MP Mikkeli D 1-151.2 1115 1109 25.69% 31.17% 43.14%-0.46 +0.6 9
2015-07-08 JJK D 1-151.3 1162 1165 43.50% 31.09% 25.41%+0.48 -0.6 10
2015-07-08 @ Ekenas D 1-151.3 1165 1162 25.41% 31.09% 43.50%-0.48 +0.6 20
2015-07-11 Kemi W 3-142.7 1166 1187 41.02% 31.57% 27.41%+0.36 +8.2 23
2015-07-11 @ JJK L 1-342.7 1187 1166 27.41% 31.57% 41.02%-0.36 -8.3 26
2015-07-11 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-043.1 1058 1222 22.95% 30.24% 46.81%-0.62 +14.0 12
2015-07-11 @ FC Jazz L 0-243.1 1222 1058 46.81% 30.24% 22.95%+0.62 -14.0 25
2015-07-12 AC Oulu L 0-144.0 1116 1170 36.30% 32.08% 31.62%+0.13 -6.2 9
2015-07-12 @ VIFK W 1-044.0 1170 1116 31.62% 32.08% 36.30%-0.13 +6.2 17
2015-07-12 Haka W 3-143.8 1161 1207 37.55% 32.00% 30.46%+0.19 +8.9 13
2015-07-12 @ Ekenas L 1-343.8 1207 1161 30.46% 32.00% 37.55%-0.19 -8.9 17
2015-07-12 TPS Turku L 0-239.7 1108 1184 33.25% 32.14% 34.61%-0.02 -11.0 11
2015-07-12 @ MP Mikkeli W 2-039.7 1184 1108 34.61% 32.14% 33.25%+0.02 +11.0 24
2015-07-16 PK-35 Vantaa D 0-047.2 1179 1208 40.01% 31.72% 28.27%+0.31 -0.4 27
2015-07-16 @ Kemi D 0-047.2 1208 1179 28.27% 31.72% 40.01%-0.31 +0.4 26
2015-07-18 Ekenas W 1-039.3 1195 1170 47.36% 30.07% 22.57%+0.67 +4.3 27
2015-07-18 @ TPS Turku L 0-139.3 1170 1195 22.57% 30.07% 47.36%-0.67 -4.3 13
2015-07-18 MP Mikkeli W 1-037.1 1176 1097 54.40% 27.38% 18.22%+1.04 +3.5 20
2015-07-18 @ AC Oulu L 0-137.1 1097 1176 18.22% 27.38% 54.40%-1.04 -3.5 11
2015-07-19 FC Jazz W 2-140.1 1198 1072 60.19% 24.51% 15.30%+1.37 +2.7 20
2015-07-19 @ Haka L 1-240.1 1072 1198 15.30% 24.51% 60.19%-1.37 -2.7 12
2015-07-20 JJK L 1-248.2 1109 1174 34.83% 32.14% 33.03%+0.06 -5.7 9
2015-07-20 @ VIFK W 2-148.2 1174 1109 33.03% 32.14% 34.83%-0.06 +5.7 26
2015-07-24 VIFK W 5-138.7 1070 1104 39.23% 31.83% 28.95%+0.27 +15.7 15
2015-07-24 @ FC Jazz L 1-538.7 1104 1070 28.95% 31.83% 39.23%-0.27 -15.7 9
2015-07-25 AC Oulu D 1-151.6 1201 1180 46.85% 30.22% 22.92%+0.65 -0.8 21
2015-07-25 @ Haka D 1-151.6 1180 1201 22.92% 30.22% 46.85%-0.65 +0.8 21
2015-07-25 Ekenas W 3-033.9 1179 1166 45.70% 30.55% 23.75%+0.59 +12.3 30
2015-07-25 @ Kemi L 0-333.9 1166 1179 23.75% 30.55% 45.70%-0.59 -12.3 13
2015-07-25 JJK L 0-146.6 1200 1180 46.65% 30.29% 23.07%+0.64 -7.4 27
2015-07-25 @ TPS Turku W 1-046.6 1180 1200 23.07% 30.29% 46.65%-0.64 +7.4 29
2015-07-26 MP Mikkeli W 2-140.5 1208 1094 58.75% 25.26% 15.98%+1.28 +2.9 29
2015-07-26 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-240.5 1094 1208 15.98% 25.26% 58.75%-1.28 -2.8 11
2015-08-01 Kemi W 3-142.3 1181 1191 42.56% 31.29% 26.15%+0.43 +8.0 24
2015-08-01 @ AC Oulu L 1-342.3 1191 1181 26.15% 31.29% 42.56%-0.43 -8.0 30
2015-08-02 Haka L 3-453.9 1091 1200 28.83% 31.81% 39.36%-0.25 -4.6 11
2015-08-02 @ MP Mikkeli W 4-353.9 1200 1091 39.36% 31.81% 28.83%+0.25 +4.6 24
2015-08-02 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-338.1 1154 1211 35.94% 32.10% 31.96%+0.11 -16.8 13
2015-08-02 @ Ekenas W 3-038.1 1211 1154 31.96% 32.10% 35.94%-0.11 +16.8 32
2015-08-02 TPS Turku L 1-538.9 1088 1192 29.47% 31.89% 38.64%-0.21 -15.9 9
2015-08-02 @ VIFK W 5-138.9 1192 1088 38.64% 31.89% 29.47%+0.21 +15.9 30
2015-08-05 FC Jazz L 1-253.1 1187 1085 57.27% 26.02% 16.71%+1.20 -8.1 29
2015-08-05 @ JJK W 2-153.1 1085 1187 16.71% 26.02% 57.27%-1.20 +8.1 18
2015-08-06 TPS Turku D 1-151.4 1205 1208 43.53% 31.09% 25.38%+0.48 -0.6 25
2015-08-06 @ Haka D 1-151.4 1208 1205 25.38% 31.09% 43.53%-0.48 +0.6 31
2015-08-08 Ekenas W 2-142.9 1189 1137 50.90% 28.84% 20.25%+0.86 +3.7 27
2015-08-08 @ AC Oulu L 1-242.9 1137 1189 20.25% 28.84% 50.90%-0.86 -3.7 13
2015-08-08 JJK L 0-244.0 1228 1179 50.47% 29.01% 20.52%+0.83 -14.8 32
2015-08-08 @ PK-35 Vantaa W 2-044.0 1179 1228 20.52% 29.01% 50.47%-0.83 +14.8 32
2015-08-08 VIFK W 2-140.6 1183 1072 58.36% 25.47% 16.17%+1.26 +2.9 33
2015-08-08 @ Kemi L 1-240.6 1072 1183 16.17% 25.47% 58.36%-1.26 -2.9 9
2015-08-09 FC Jazz W 3-249.8 1086 1094 43.01% 31.20% 25.79%+0.45 +4.3 14
2015-08-09 @ MP Mikkeli L 2-349.8 1094 1086 25.79% 31.20% 43.01%-0.45 -4.3 18
2015-08-15 AC Oulu D 0-047.4 1194 1192 44.21% 30.93% 24.86%+0.51 -0.7 33
2015-08-15 @ JJK D 0-047.4 1192 1194 24.86% 30.93% 44.21%-0.51 +0.7 28
2015-08-15 MP Mikkeli W 1-038.5 1133 1091 49.68% 29.30% 21.02%+0.79 +4.0 16
2015-08-15 @ Ekenas L 0-138.5 1091 1133 21.02% 29.30% 49.68%-0.79 -4.0 14
2015-08-15 PK-35 Vantaa W 2-037.2 1209 1213 43.40% 31.12% 25.48%+0.47 +9.0 34
2015-08-15 @ TPS Turku L 0-237.2 1213 1209 25.48% 31.12% 43.40%-0.47 -9.0 32
2015-08-16 Haka D 1-151.2 1069 1204 25.82% 31.21% 42.97%-0.42 +0.5 10
2015-08-16 @ VIFK D 1-151.2 1204 1069 42.97% 31.21% 25.82%+0.42 -0.6 26
2015-08-16 Kemi L 0-435.4 1089 1186 30.42% 31.99% 37.59%-0.16 -19.5 18
2015-08-16 @ FC Jazz W 4-035.4 1186 1089 37.59% 31.99% 30.42%+0.16 +19.5 36
2015-08-19 PK-35 Vantaa W 3-250.1 1193 1204 42.48% 31.31% 26.21%+0.43 +4.4 31
2015-08-19 @ AC Oulu L 2-350.1 1204 1193 26.21% 31.31% 42.48%-0.43 -4.4 32
2015-08-20 JJK W 1-040.0 1204 1193 45.40% 30.63% 23.97%+0.57 +4.5 29
2015-08-20 @ Haka L 0-140.0 1193 1204 23.97% 30.63% 45.40%-0.57 -4.5 33
2015-08-22 Ekenas D 1-150.9 1070 1137 34.46% 32.14% 33.40%+0.04 -0.0 11
2015-08-22 @ VIFK D 1-150.9 1137 1070 33.40% 32.14% 34.46%-0.04 +0.0 17
2015-08-22 FC Jazz L 0-149.2 1218 1070 62.80% 23.06% 14.13%+1.52 -9.2 34
2015-08-22 @ TPS Turku W 1-049.2 1070 1218 14.13% 23.06% 62.80%-1.52 +9.2 21
2015-08-23 Kemi L 2-350.5 1087 1205 27.68% 31.62% 40.69%-0.31 -4.6 14
2015-08-23 @ MP Mikkeli W 3-250.5 1205 1087 40.69% 31.62% 27.68%+0.31 +4.6 39
2015-08-27 MP Mikkeli W 3-245.4 1189 1082 57.83% 25.74% 16.43%+1.23 +2.8 36
2015-08-27 @ JJK L 2-345.4 1082 1189 16.43% 25.74% 57.83%-1.23 -2.8 14
2015-08-29 FC Jazz D 0-048.0 1137 1079 51.77% 28.50% 19.73%+0.90 -1.2 18
2015-08-29 @ Ekenas D 0-048.0 1079 1137 19.73% 28.50% 51.77%-0.90 +1.2 22
2015-08-29 TPS Turku D 1-151.3 1197 1208 42.44% 31.31% 26.24%+0.43 -0.5 32
2015-08-29 @ AC Oulu D 1-151.3 1208 1197 26.24% 31.31% 42.44%-0.43 +0.5 35
2015-08-29 VIFK W 4-028.4 1200 1070 60.64% 24.26% 15.10%+1.39 +10.1 35
2015-08-29 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 0-428.4 1070 1200 15.10% 24.26% 60.64%-1.39 -10.1 11
2015-08-30 Haka W 2-145.0 1210 1208 44.22% 30.93% 24.85%+0.51 +4.4 42
2015-08-30 @ Kemi L 1-245.0 1208 1210 24.85% 30.93% 44.22%-0.51 -4.4 29
2015-09-03 PK-35 Vantaa W 1-040.6 1204 1210 43.19% 31.16% 25.65%+0.46 +4.8 32
2015-09-03 @ Haka L 0-140.6 1210 1204 25.65% 31.16% 43.19%-0.46 -4.8 35
2015-09-05 AC Oulu D 0-047.1 1080 1197 27.91% 31.66% 40.43%-0.30 +0.5 23
2015-09-05 @ FC Jazz D 0-047.1 1197 1080 40.43% 31.66% 27.91%+0.30 -0.4 33
2015-09-05 Kemi D 1-151.4 1209 1214 43.23% 31.15% 25.62%+0.46 -0.6 36
2015-09-05 @ TPS Turku D 1-151.4 1214 1209 25.62% 31.15% 43.23%-0.46 +0.6 43
2015-09-05 MP Mikkeli W 1-041.0 1060 1079 41.24% 31.53% 27.23%+0.37 +5.0 14
2015-09-05 @ VIFK L 0-141.0 1079 1060 27.23% 31.53% 41.24%-0.37 -5.0 14
2015-09-10 Ekenas L 0-147.9 1209 1136 53.58% 27.74% 18.67%+1.00 -8.2 32
2015-09-10 @ Haka W 1-047.9 1136 1209 18.67% 27.74% 53.58%-1.00 +8.2 21
2015-09-12 FC Jazz W 3-137.0 1205 1081 59.99% 24.61% 15.40%+1.35 +4.7 38
2015-09-12 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 1-337.0 1081 1205 15.40% 24.61% 59.99%-1.35 -4.7 23
2015-09-12 JJK W 2-036.0 1215 1192 47.16% 30.13% 22.71%+0.66 +8.2 46
2015-09-12 @ Kemi L 0-236.0 1192 1215 22.71% 30.13% 47.16%-0.66 -8.2 36
2015-09-12 MP Mikkeli W 2-139.8 1208 1074 61.16% 23.98% 14.86%+1.42 +2.6 39
2015-09-12 @ TPS Turku L 1-239.8 1074 1208 14.86% 23.98% 61.16%-1.42 -2.6 14
2015-09-12 VIFK W 1-035.2 1196 1065 60.88% 24.13% 14.99%+1.40 +2.8 36
2015-09-12 @ AC Oulu L 0-135.2 1065 1196 14.99% 24.13% 60.88%-1.40 -2.8 14
2015-09-15 Ekenas W 5-135.8 1183 1144 49.25% 29.45% 21.30%+0.77 +12.2 39
2015-09-15 @ JJK L 1-535.8 1144 1183 21.30% 29.45% 49.25%-0.77 -12.2 21
2015-09-19 TPS Turku W 4-142.4 1132 1211 32.82% 32.13% 35.05%-0.04 +13.9 24
2015-09-19 @ Ekenas L 1-442.4 1211 1132 35.05% 32.13% 32.82%+0.04 -13.9 39
2015-09-19 VIFK W 5-028.5 1196 1062 61.11% 24.00% 14.88%+1.42 +12.2 42
2015-09-19 @ JJK L 0-528.5 1062 1196 14.88% 24.00% 61.11%-1.42 -12.2 14
2015-09-20 AC Oulu W 2-042.0 1072 1199 26.67% 31.41% 41.92%-0.37 +12.9 17
2015-09-20 @ MP Mikkeli L 0-242.0 1199 1072 41.92% 31.41% 26.67%+0.37 -12.9 36
2015-09-20 Haka W 3-254.6 1076 1200 26.99% 31.48% 41.53%-0.35 +6.1 26
2015-09-20 @ FC Jazz L 2-354.6 1200 1076 41.53% 31.48% 26.99%+0.35 -6.1 32
2015-09-20 Kemi W 5-242.7 1210 1223 42.09% 31.38% 26.53%+0.41 +9.9 41
2015-09-20 @ PK-35 Vantaa L 2-542.7 1223 1210 26.53% 31.38% 42.09%-0.41 -9.9 46
2015-09-24 Haka L 1-250.5 1186 1194 42.87% 31.23% 25.90%+0.45 -6.6 36
2015-09-24 @ AC Oulu W 2-150.5 1194 1186 25.90% 31.23% 42.87%-0.45 +6.6 35
2015-09-24 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-433.8 1085 1219 25.86% 31.22% 42.92%-0.42 -17.3 17
2015-09-24 @ MP Mikkeli W 4-033.8 1219 1085 42.92% 31.22% 25.86%+0.42 +17.3 44
2015-09-24 TPS Turku L 0-340.5 1208 1197 45.44% 30.62% 23.94%+0.57 -19.9 42
2015-09-24 @ JJK W 3-040.5 1197 1208 23.94% 30.62% 45.44%-0.57 +19.9 42
2015-09-27 FC Jazz L 1-249.5 1050 1082 39.49% 31.79% 28.72%+0.28 -6.2 14
2015-09-27 @ VIFK W 2-149.5 1082 1050 28.72% 31.79% 39.49%-0.28 +6.2 29
2015-09-27 JJK W 1-040.7 1180 1188 42.85% 31.23% 25.92%+0.45 +4.8 39
2015-09-27 @ AC Oulu L 0-140.7 1188 1180 25.92% 31.23% 42.85%-0.45 -4.8 42
2015-09-27 Kemi W 1-043.2 1146 1213 34.49% 32.14% 33.37%+0.04 +5.8 27
2015-09-27 @ Ekenas L 0-143.2 1213 1146 33.37% 32.14% 34.49%-0.04 -5.8 46
2015-10-01 MP Mikkeli W 2-031.7 1201 1067 61.09% 24.02% 14.89%+1.42 +5.2 38
2015-10-01 @ Haka L 0-231.7 1067 1201 14.89% 24.02% 61.09%-1.42 -5.2 17
2015-10-03 AC Oulu D 0-047.7 1207 1185 47.08% 30.16% 22.76%+0.66 -0.9 47
2015-10-03 @ Kemi D 0-047.7 1185 1207 22.76% 30.16% 47.08%-0.66 +0.9 40
2015-10-03 VIFK W 3-135.2 1217 1043 65.74% 21.36% 12.90%+1.69 +3.8 45
2015-10-03 @ TPS Turku L 1-335.2 1043 1217 12.90% 21.36% 65.74%-1.69 -3.8 14
2015-10-04 Ekenas D 2-257.5 1237 1152 55.13% 27.05% 17.82%+1.08 -1.0 45
2015-10-04 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 2-257.5 1152 1237 17.82% 27.05% 55.13%-1.08 +1.0 28
2015-10-04 JJK L 0-142.2 1088 1183 30.64% 32.01% 37.35%-0.15 -5.5 29
2015-10-04 @ FC Jazz W 1-042.2 1183 1088 37.35% 32.01% 30.64%+0.15 +5.5 45
2015-10-10 AC Oulu L 0-144.9 1153 1186 39.42% 31.80% 28.78%+0.28 -6.5 28
2015-10-10 @ Ekenas W 1-044.9 1186 1153 28.78% 31.80% 39.42%-0.28 +6.5 43
2015-10-10 Haka W 2-036.4 1221 1206 45.97% 30.48% 23.55%+0.60 +8.4 48
2015-10-10 @ TPS Turku L 0-236.4 1206 1221 23.55% 30.48% 45.97%-0.60 -8.4 38
2015-10-10 Kemi L 2-444.6 1040 1207 22.61% 30.09% 47.30%-0.64 -6.3 14
2015-10-10 @ VIFK W 4-244.6 1207 1040 47.30% 30.09% 22.61%+0.64 +6.3 50
2015-10-10 MP Mikkeli W 4-244.7 1083 1062 46.75% 30.26% 23.00%+0.64 +6.4 32
2015-10-10 @ FC Jazz L 2-444.7 1062 1083 23.00% 30.26% 46.75%-0.64 -6.4 17
2015-10-10 PK-35 Vantaa L 0-241.0 1189 1236 37.37% 32.01% 30.61%+0.18 -11.9 45
2015-10-10 @ JJK W 2-041.0 1236 1189 30.61% 32.01% 37.37%-0.18 +11.9 48
2015-10-17 Ekenas L 2-447.8 1056 1146 31.24% 32.06% 36.70%-0.12 -8.1 17
2015-10-17 @ MP Mikkeli W 4-247.8 1146 1056 36.70% 32.06% 31.24%+0.12 +8.1 31
2015-10-17 FC Jazz W 4-134.2 1213 1089 59.94% 24.64% 15.42%+1.35 +6.7 53
2015-10-17 @ Kemi L 1-434.2 1089 1213 15.42% 24.64% 59.94%-1.35 -6.7 32
2015-10-17 JJK D 1-151.5 1192 1177 46.07% 30.45% 23.48%+0.61 -0.8 44
2015-10-17 @ AC Oulu D 1-151.5 1177 1192 23.48% 30.45% 46.07%-0.61 +0.8 46
2015-10-17 TPS Turku D 0-047.8 1248 1229 46.48% 30.34% 23.19%+0.63 -0.9 49
2015-10-17 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 0-047.8 1229 1248 23.19% 30.34% 46.48%-0.63 +0.9 49
2015-10-17 VIFK W 7-437.6 1198 1033 64.69% 21.97% 13.33%+1.63 +4.3 41
2015-10-17 @ Haka L 4-737.6 1033 1198 13.33% 21.97% 64.69%-1.63 -4.3 14

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2015-10-28 KTP D 0-0 1247 1256 42.70% 31.26% 26.04%+0.44 -0.6 0-0-1
2015-10-28 @ PK-35 Vantaa D 0-0 1256 1247 26.04% 31.26% 42.70%-0.44 +0.6 0-0-1
2015-10-31 PK-35 Vantaa L 2-3 1257 1246 45.41% 30.63% 23.96%+0.57 -6.5 0-1-1
2015-10-31 @ KTP W 3-2 1246 1257 23.96% 30.63% 45.41%-0.57 +6.5 1-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2015-08-22 14.13% FC Jazz 1070 1 @ TPS Turku 1218 0
2 2015-08-05 16.71% FC Jazz 1085 2 @ JJK 1187 1
3 2015-09-10 18.67% Ekenas 1136 1 @ Haka 1209 0
4 2015-05-25 18.70% TPS Turku 1132 1 @ Ekenas 1205 0
5 2015-05-23 19.08% JJK 1120 4 @ VIFK 1187 0
6 2015-05-13 19.75% MP Mikkeli 1141 2 @ VIFK 1200 1
7 2015-05-17 19.95% JJK 1112 1 @ Kemi 1168 0
8 2015-05-02 20.49% FC Jazz 1092 2 @ TPS Turku 1141 0
9 2015-08-08 20.52% JJK 1179 2 @ PK-35 Vantaa 1228 0
10 2015-06-22 20.83% VIFK 1119 4 @ Ekenas 1164 3
11 2015-05-02 22.18% PK-35 Vantaa 1152 3 @ AC Oulu 1181 1
12 2015-05-23 22.65% Kemi 1160 1 @ PK-35 Vantaa 1184 0
13 2015-07-11 22.95% @ FC Jazz 1058 2 PK-35 Vantaa 1222 0
14 2015-07-25 23.07% JJK 1180 1 @ TPS Turku 1200 0
15 2015-09-24 23.94% TPS Turku 1197 3 @ JJK 1208 0
16 2015-05-02 24.31% Kemi 1137 1 @ MP Mikkeli 1144 0
17 2015-06-14 24.82% AC Oulu 1169 2 @ Ekenas 1171 0
18 2015-09-24 25.90% Haka 1194 2 @ AC Oulu 1186 1
19 2015-06-14 26.11% MP Mikkeli 1110 5 @ FC Jazz 1100 1
20 2015-09-20 26.67% @ MP Mikkeli 1072 2 AC Oulu 1199 0
21 2015-09-20 26.99% @ FC Jazz 1076 3 Haka 1200 2
22 2015-05-14 27.55% Kemi 1150 3 @ TPS Turku 1127 0
23 2015-06-17 28.02% Ekenas 1157 1 @ MP Mikkeli 1131 0
24 2015-09-27 28.72% FC Jazz 1082 2 @ VIFK 1050 1
25 2015-10-10 28.78% AC Oulu 1186 1 @ Ekenas 1153 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-05-23 29.08 JJK 4 1120 19.08% @ VIFK 0 1187 52.87% 28.05%
2 2015-05-18 23.70 @ TPS Turku 5 1109 38.35% MP Mikkeli 0 1149 29.73% 31.92%
3 2015-06-06 22.25 @ TPS Turku 5 1141 41.12% VIFK 0 1162 27.32% 31.55%
4 2015-06-14 20.65 MP Mikkeli 5 1110 26.11% @ FC Jazz 1 1100 42.61% 31.28%
5 2015-06-17 20.31 @ Haka 6 1192 51.03% VIFK 0 1139 20.17% 28.79%
6 2015-09-24 19.88 TPS Turku 3 1197 23.94% @ JJK 0 1208 45.44% 30.62%
7 2015-08-16 19.55 Kemi 4 1186 37.59% @ FC Jazz 0 1089 30.42% 31.99%
8 2015-05-14 18.40 Kemi 3 1150 27.55% @ TPS Turku 0 1127 40.86% 31.60%
9 2015-09-24 17.28 PK-35 Vantaa 4 1219 42.92% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1085 25.86% 31.22%
10 2015-08-02 16.80 PK-35 Vantaa 3 1211 31.96% @ Ekenas 0 1154 35.94% 32.10%
11 2015-08-02 15.92 TPS Turku 5 1192 38.64% @ VIFK 1 1088 29.47% 31.89%
12 2015-07-24 15.71 @ FC Jazz 5 1070 39.23% VIFK 1 1104 28.95% 31.83%
13 2015-06-14 14.86 @ TPS Turku 3 1164 37.91% Haka 0 1207 30.13% 31.97%
14 2015-08-08 14.81 JJK 2 1179 20.52% @ PK-35 Vantaa 0 1228 50.47% 29.01%
15 2015-05-02 14.81 FC Jazz 2 1092 20.49% @ TPS Turku 0 1141 50.52% 28.99%
16 2015-07-11 14.00 @ FC Jazz 2 1058 22.95% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1222 46.81% 30.24%
17 2015-09-19 13.93 @ Ekenas 4 1132 32.82% TPS Turku 1 1211 35.05% 32.13%
18 2015-05-17 13.88 @ PK-35 Vantaa 4 1170 51.02% FC Jazz 0 1118 20.18% 28.80%
19 2015-06-07 13.84 @ PK-35 Vantaa 5 1188 44.52% Ekenas 1 1184 24.62% 30.86%
20 2015-06-14 13.43 AC Oulu 2 1169 24.82% @ Ekenas 0 1171 44.26% 30.92%
21 2015-09-20 12.90 @ MP Mikkeli 2 1072 26.67% AC Oulu 0 1199 41.92% 31.41%
22 2015-05-02 12.34 PK-35 Vantaa 3 1152 22.18% @ AC Oulu 1 1181 47.93% 29.89%
23 2015-07-25 12.33 @ Kemi 3 1179 45.70% Ekenas 0 1166 23.75% 30.55%
24 2015-09-19 12.23 @ JJK 5 1196 61.11% VIFK 0 1062 14.88% 24.00%
25 2015-09-15 12.18 @ JJK 5 1183 49.25% Ekenas 1 1144 21.30% 29.45%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-05-21 62.2 @ Haka 4 1200 43.40% Ekenas 4 1204 25.49% 31.12%
2 2015-05-24 59.8 @ MP Mikkeli 3 1125 38.72% AC Oulu 3 1163 29.40% 31.88%
3 2015-06-22 59.4 VIFK 4 1119 20.83% @ Ekenas 3 1164 49.99% 29.19%
4 2015-10-04 57.5 @ PK-35 Vantaa 2 1237 55.13% Ekenas 2 1152 17.82% 27.05%
5 2015-05-02 55.9 @ JJK 2 1110 31.22% Haka 2 1201 36.72% 32.06%
6 2015-06-07 55.9 @ FC Jazz 2 1100 37.19% JJK 2 1149 30.78% 32.03%
7 2015-06-25 55.9 @ JJK 2 1154 35.77% Haka 2 1212 32.12% 32.11%
8 2015-09-20 54.6 @ FC Jazz 3 1076 26.99% Haka 2 1200 41.53% 31.48%
9 2015-08-02 53.9 Haka 4 1200 39.36% @ MP Mikkeli 3 1091 28.83% 31.81%
10 2015-08-05 53.1 FC Jazz 2 1085 16.71% @ JJK 1 1187 57.27% 26.02%
11 2015-05-09 52.8 @ Ekenas 1 1212 57.64% FC Jazz 1 1107 16.53% 25.84%
12 2015-05-13 52.3 MP Mikkeli 2 1141 19.75% @ VIFK 1 1200 51.74% 28.52%
13 2015-05-09 52.0 @ Kemi 3 1145 36.03% Haka 2 1201 31.87% 32.10%
14 2015-06-28 51.7 Ekenas 3 1157 36.70% @ FC Jazz 2 1066 31.24% 32.06%
15 2015-06-28 51.7 @ Haka 1 1213 48.15% Kemi 1 1182 22.03% 29.82%
16 2015-07-25 51.6 @ Haka 1 1201 46.85% AC Oulu 1 1180 22.92% 30.22%
17 2015-05-02 51.5 @ Ekenas 1 1212 44.40% VIFK 1 1209 24.71% 30.89%
18 2015-10-17 51.5 @ AC Oulu 1 1192 46.07% JJK 1 1177 23.48% 30.45%
19 2015-08-06 51.4 @ Haka 1 1205 43.53% TPS Turku 1 1208 25.38% 31.09%
20 2015-09-05 51.4 @ TPS Turku 1 1209 43.23% Kemi 1 1214 25.62% 31.15%
21 2015-07-08 51.3 @ Ekenas 1 1162 43.50% JJK 1 1165 25.41% 31.09%
22 2015-08-29 51.3 @ AC Oulu 1 1197 42.44% TPS Turku 1 1208 26.24% 31.31%
23 2015-07-05 51.2 @ MP Mikkeli 1 1109 43.14% VIFK 1 1115 25.69% 31.17%
24 2015-08-16 51.2 @ VIFK 1 1069 25.82% Haka 1 1204 42.97% 31.21%
25 2015-06-14 51.1 @ VIFK 1 1140 39.77% Kemi 1 1170 28.48% 31.76%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2015-08-29 28.4 @ PK-35 Vantaa 4 1200 60.64% VIFK 0 1070 15.10% 24.26%
2 2015-09-19 28.5 @ JJK 5 1196 61.11% VIFK 0 1062 14.88% 24.00%
3 2015-05-17 31.3 @ PK-35 Vantaa 4 1170 51.02% FC Jazz 0 1118 20.18% 28.80%
4 2015-10-01 31.7 @ Haka 2 1201 61.09% MP Mikkeli 0 1067 14.89% 24.02%
5 2015-06-17 32.3 @ Haka 6 1192 51.03% VIFK 0 1139 20.17% 28.79%
6 2015-06-28 33.0 @ JJK 3 1154 48.52% MP Mikkeli 0 1120 21.78% 29.70%
7 2015-09-24 33.8 PK-35 Vantaa 4 1219 42.92% @ MP Mikkeli 0 1085 25.86% 31.22%
8 2015-07-25 33.9 @ Kemi 3 1179 45.70% Ekenas 0 1166 23.75% 30.55%
9 2015-10-17 34.2 @ Kemi 4 1213 59.94% FC Jazz 1 1089 15.42% 24.64%
10 2015-06-06 34.5 @ TPS Turku 5 1141 41.12% VIFK 0 1162 27.32% 31.55%
11 2015-09-12 35.2 @ AC Oulu 1 1196 60.88% VIFK 0 1065 14.99% 24.13%
12 2015-10-03 35.2 @ TPS Turku 3 1217 65.74% VIFK 1 1043 12.90% 21.36%
13 2015-05-18 35.3 @ TPS Turku 5 1109 38.35% MP Mikkeli 0 1149 29.73% 31.92%
14 2015-06-17 35.4 @ Kemi 4 1170 55.89% FC Jazz 1 1079 17.42% 26.69%
15 2015-08-16 35.4 Kemi 4 1186 37.59% @ FC Jazz 0 1089 30.42% 31.99%
16 2015-09-15 35.8 @ JJK 5 1183 49.25% Ekenas 1 1144 21.30% 29.45%
17 2015-09-12 36.0 @ Kemi 2 1215 47.16% JJK 0 1192 22.71% 30.13%
18 2015-07-04 36.1 @ AC Oulu 1 1167 57.71% FC Jazz 0 1062 16.49% 25.80%
19 2015-06-14 36.3 @ TPS Turku 3 1164 37.91% Haka 0 1207 30.13% 31.97%
20 2015-10-10 36.4 @ TPS Turku 2 1221 45.97% Haka 0 1206 23.55% 30.48%
21 2015-06-04 36.7 @ Haka 1 1204 55.82% MP Mikkeli 0 1113 17.46% 26.73%
22 2015-09-12 37.0 @ PK-35 Vantaa 3 1205 59.99% FC Jazz 1 1081 15.40% 24.61%
23 2015-07-18 37.1 @ AC Oulu 1 1176 54.40% MP Mikkeli 0 1097 18.22% 27.38%
24 2015-06-07 37.2 @ PK-35 Vantaa 5 1188 44.52% Ekenas 1 1184 24.62% 30.86%
25 2015-08-15 37.2 @ TPS Turku 2 1209 43.40% PK-35 Vantaa 0 1213 25.48% 31.12%