2026-27 Ligue 1 Season
45 games played · 18 teams
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Monaco
31.47% chance to win the title
Biggest Overachiever
Monaco
6.13 points above expected
13 points · 6.87 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Le Havre
4.21 points below expected
2 points · 6.21 expected points
League Table
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 6.87 | +6.13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 8.23 | +2.77 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 7.00 | +4.00 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 8.43 | +1.57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7.62 | +2.38 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7.96 | +0.04 |
| 7 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 5.96 | +1.04 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6.09 | +0.91 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5.58 | +0.42 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6.44 | -0.44 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6.43 | -1.43 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6.96 | -1.96 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6.55 | -1.55 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6.44 | -1.44 |
| 15 | Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8.17 | -4.17 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5.72 | -1.72 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6.85 | -3.85 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6.21 | -4.21 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 13 | 6.87 | +6.13 |
| 2 | Paris FC | 11 | 7.00 | +4.00 |
| 3 | Lyon | 11 | 8.23 | +2.77 |
| 4 | Rennes | 10 | 7.62 | +2.38 |
| 5 | Lille | 10 | 8.43 | +1.57 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Le Havre | 2 | 6.21 | -4.21 |
| 2 | Lens | 4 | 8.17 | -4.17 |
| 3 | Marseille | 3 | 6.85 | -3.85 |
| 4 | Lorient | 5 | 6.96 | -1.96 |
| 5 | Troyes | 4 | 5.72 | -1.72 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 3 | Aug 23 – Sep 4 | 1 in 29 |
| 2 | Strasbourg | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 6 | 1 in 10 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 2 | Aug 30 – Sep 6 | 1 in 8 |
| 4 | Rennes | 3 | Aug 30 – Sep 11 | 1 in 8 |
| 5 | Auxerre | 2 | Sep 12 – Sep 20 | 1 in 6 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marseille | 4 | Aug 30 – Sep 20 | 1 in 46 |
| 2 | Lens | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 5 | 1 in 18 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 3 | Aug 22 – Sep 4 | 1 in 14 |
| 4 | Troyes | 3 | Sep 6 – Sep 19 | 1 in 11 |
| 5 | Brest | 2 | Sep 13 – Sep 20 | 1 in 5 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | Aug 23 – Sep 18 | 1 in 11 |
| 2 | Paris FC | 5 | Aug 22 – Sep 19 | 1 in 10 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 3 | Sep 5 – Sep 19 | 1 in 6 |
| 4 | Lyon | 5 | Aug 22 – Sep 19 | 1 in 6 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 12 | 1 in 5 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 4 | Aug 29 – Sep 18 | 1 in 11 |
| 2 | Le Havre | 5 | Aug 23 – Sep 19 | 1 in 8 |
| 3 | Nice | 4 | Aug 22 – Sep 12 | 1 in 7 |
| 4 | Paris Saint-Germain | 3 | Aug 23 – Sep 4 | 1 in 6 |
| 5 | Marseille | 4 | Aug 30 – Sep 20 | 1 in 6 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Elo Movers
Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?
Biggest Elo Gainers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angers | +0.00 | 1902 |
| 2 | Auxerre | +0.00 | 1903 |
| 3 | Brest | +0.00 | 1910 |
| 4 | Le Havre | +0.00 | 1873 |
| 5 | Le Mans | +0.00 | 1886 |
Biggest Elo Losers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angers | +0.00 | 1902 |
| 2 | Auxerre | +0.00 | 1903 |
| 3 | Brest | +0.00 | 1910 |
| 4 | Le Havre | +0.00 | 1873 |
| 5 | Le Mans | +0.00 | 1886 |
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 2048 | 13 | +66 | 13 | 6.9 | +6.1 | |
| Paris FC | 1998 | 11 | +57 | 11 | 7.0 | +4.0 | |
| Lyon | 2068 | 11 | +78 | 11 | 8.2 | +2.8 | |
| Lille | 2033 | 10 | +29 | 10 | 8.4 | +1.6 | |
| Rennes | 1981 | 10 | -12 | 10 | 7.6 | +2.4 | |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 2090 | 8 | +4 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.0 | |
| Strasbourg | 1980 | 7 | +1 | 7 | 6.1 | +0.9 | |
| Angers | 1902 | 7 | +20 | 7 | 6.0 | +1.0 | |
| Auxerre | 1903 | 6 | -35 | 6 | 6.4 | -0.4 | |
| Le Mans | 1886 | 6 | +10 | 6 | 5.6 | +0.4 | |
| Toulouse | 1925 | 5 | -29 | 5 | 6.6 | -1.6 | |
| Brest | 1910 | 5 | -9 | 5 | 6.4 | -1.4 | |
| Nice | 1898 | 5 | -28 | 5 | 6.4 | -1.4 | |
| Lorient | 1934 | 5 | -11 | 5 | 7.0 | -2.0 | |
| Lens | 1999 | 4 | -30 | 4 | 8.2 | -4.2 | |
| Troyes | 1851 | 4 | -56 | 4 | 5.7 | -1.7 | |
| Marseille | 1964 | 3 | -22 | 3 | 6.9 | -3.9 | |
| Le Havre | 1873 | 2 | -35 | 2 | 6.2 | -4.2 |
Upcoming Matches
The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Win% – Draw% – Win% | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | 0.97 | Monaco | 13 pts·2048 | 59% – 24% – 17% | Toulouse | 5 pts·1925 | 54.4 | |
| 2026-10-10 | 0.36 | Brest | 5 pts·1910 | 46% – 26% – 28% | Angers | 7 pts·1902 | 69.8 | |
| 2026-10-10 | Lens | 4 pts·1999 | 35% – 26% – 39% | Lyon | 11 pts·2068 | 0.06 | 70.3 | |
| 2026-10-10 | 1.40 | Paris Saint-Germain | 8 pts·2090 | 66% – 22% – 12% | Le Mans | 6 pts·1886 | 50.8 | |
| 2026-10-10 | 0.73 | Rennes | 10 pts·1981 | 54% – 25% – 21% | Auxerre | 6 pts·1903 | 61.6 | |
| 2026-10-10 | Nice | 5 pts·1898 | 34% – 26% – 40% | Strasbourg | 7 pts·1980 | 0.13 | 59.1 | |
| 2026-10-10 | Lorient | 5 pts·1934 | 36% – 26% – 38% | Paris FC | 11 pts·1998 | 0.03 | 62.1 | |
| 2026-10-10 | Troyes | 4 pts·1851 | 30% – 26% – 45% | Marseille | 3 pts·1964 | 0.29 | 51.4 | |
| 2026-10-10 | 1.17 | Lille | 10 pts·2033 | 63% – 23% – 14% | Le Havre | 2 pts·1873 | 45.3 | |
| 2026-10-17 | Strasbourg | 7 pts·1980 | 30% – 26% – 44% | Paris Saint-Germain | 8 pts·2090 | 0.28 | 63.0 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 0.15 | Le Havre | 2 pts·1873 | 41% – 26% – 33% | Auxerre | 6 pts·1903 | 64.2 | |
| 2026-10-17 | Troyes | 4 pts·1851 | 25% – 26% – 49% | Lens | 4 pts·1999 | 0.48 | 50.6 | |
| 2026-10-17 | Lorient | 5 pts·1934 | 30% – 26% – 45% | Monaco | 13 pts·2048 | 0.30 | 54.4 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 0.41 | Paris FC | 11 pts·1998 | 47% – 26% – 27% | Rennes | 10 pts·1981 | 73.8 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 0.11 | Le Mans | 6 pts·1886 | 40% – 26% – 34% | Toulouse | 5 pts·1925 | 71.3 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 1.22 | Lyon | 11 pts·2068 | 63% – 23% – 13% | Nice | 5 pts·1898 | 46.1 | |
| 2026-10-17 | 0.97 | Lille | 10 pts·2033 | 59% – 24% – 17% | Brest | 5 pts·1910 | 54.5 | |
| 2026-10-17 | Angers | 7 pts·1902 | 37% – 26% – 38% | Marseille | 3 pts·1964 | 0.02 | 62.4 |
Recent Matches
The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Score | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 0.14 | Auxerre | 6 pts·1891·+12.23 | 2 – 1 | Brest | 5 pts·1923·-12.22 | 64.2 | |
| 2026-09-20 | Nice | 5 pts·1881·+17.34 | 2 – 1 | Lille | 10 pts·2050·-17.34 | 0.59 | 69.6 | |
| 2026-09-20 | Marseille | 3 pts·1976·-11.59 | 1 – 2 | Paris Saint-Germain | 8 pts·2078·+11.59 | 0.23 | 63.6 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.29 | Paris FC | 11 pts·1987·+11.20 | 2 – 1 | Strasbourg | 7 pts·1991·-11.19 | 63.2 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.49 | Toulouse | 5 pts·1915·+9.33 | 3 – 2 | Le Havre | 2 pts·1882·-9.33 | 66.8 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Le Mans | 6 pts·1872·+13.91 | 2 – 1 | Lorient | 5 pts·1948·-13.91 | 0.09 | 66.1 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.34 | Lyon | 11 pts·2027·+41.17 | 4 – 0 | Rennes | 10 pts·2022·-41.17 | 51.6 | |
| 2026-09-19 | 0.36 | Angers | 7 pts·1881·+21.43 | 2 – 0 | Troyes | 4 pts·1872·-21.43 | 53.1 | |
| 2026-09-18 | 0.47 | Monaco | 13 pts·2038·+9.97 | 2 – 1 | Lens | 4 pts·2009·-9.97 | 61.9 | |
| 2026-09-13 | Le Mans | 6 pts·1871·+1.24 | 2 – 2 | Lens | 4 pts·2010·-1.23 | 0.43 | 77.8 | |
| 2026-09-13 | 1.13 | Lille | 10 pts·2038·+12.06 | 2 – 0 | Troyes | 4 pts·1884·-12.06 | 48.4 | |
| 2026-09-13 | Brest | 5 pts·1934·-11.07 | 0 – 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 8 pts·2067·+11.06 | 0.40 | 56.9 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ANG | AUX | BRE | LH | LM | LEN | LIL | LOR | LYO | MAR | MON | NIC | PAR | PS | REN | STR | TOU | TRO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | — |
1-0-0
0.92
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.12
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.11
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.16
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.64
|
| Auxerre |
0-0-1
1.83
|
— |
1-0-0
1.48
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.83
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.74
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.55
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Brest |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.26
|
— |
1-0-0
1.21
|
0-1-0
1.31
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.07
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.59
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Le Havre |
0-1-0
1.63
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.53
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.74
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.30
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.01
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Le Mans |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.43
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-1-0
1.05
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.30
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.04
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.76
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Lens |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.92
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.69
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.95
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.03
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.57
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Lille |
1-0-0
1.63
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.80
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.37
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.54
|
1-0-0
2.09
|
| Lorient |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.44
|
1-0-0
0.80
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.21
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.74
|
0-0-1
1.76
|
| Lyon |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.02
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
2.02
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.29
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.63
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.28
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Marseille |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-1
1.26
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.73
|
0-0-1
1.19
|
0-0-1
1.04
|
1-0-0
1.64
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Monaco |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.44
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.72
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.48
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.91
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.32
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Nice |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.19
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.71
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.95
|
0-1-0
1.53
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-1
1.07
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Paris FC |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.45
|
1-0-0
1.02
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.67
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.59
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.27
|
| Paris Saint-Germain |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.67
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.37
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.55
|
0-0-1
1.84
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-1-0
1.52
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Rennes |
1-0-0
1.58
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.11
|
1-0-0
1.70
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.23
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Strasbourg |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.17
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.10
|
0-1-0
1.42
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.15
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.25
|
| Toulouse |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.15
|
1-0-0
1.73
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.20
|
0-1-0
1.00
|
0-0-1
1.46
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Troyes |
0-0-1
1.10
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.67
|
1-0-0
0.99
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.47
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.49
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.29 | +8.2 |
| Allowed | 0.38 | -6.7 |
| Differential | 0.60 | +6.5 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.89% | 6.67% | 5.56% | 1.11% | 2.22% | — | 24.44% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 12.22% | 2.22% | — | — | 27.78% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 12.22% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | 2.22% | 36.67% |
| 3 | 1.11% | 2.22% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | 2.22% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.22% | — | — | — | 2.22% |
| Total | 24.44% | 27.78% | 36.67% | 6.67% | 2.22% | 2.22% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.42 | 1.42 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.60 |
| CV | 0.82 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 45
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 20.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 1.00 | +0.20 |
| SD | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.79 |
| CV | 1.09 | 1.00 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 20.00% | — | — | 40.00% | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 40.00% | — | 20.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 2.40 | -1.00 |
| SD | 0.55 | 1.95 | 1.87 |
| CV | 0.39 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 2 | 5 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 40.00% | 60.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| SD | 0.89 | 0.55 | 0.84 |
| CV | 0.64 | 0.34 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| SD | 0.84 | 1.14 | 0.55 |
| CV | 1.05 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 80.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 40.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.80 | 1.80 | +0.00 |
| SD | 0.45 | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| CV | 0.25 | 0.46 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | — | 40.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| Total | — | 20.00% | 80.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.80 | 1.80 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.92 | 0.45 | 1.73 |
| CV | 1.07 | 0.25 | — |
| Max | 5 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 40.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 60.00% | — | 40.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 0.80 | +0.80 |
| SD | 0.55 | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| CV | 0.34 | 1.37 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | — | 40.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 2 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | — | 60.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| SD | 0.71 | 1.10 | 0.84 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 60.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 0.40 | +1.60 |
| SD | 1.58 | 0.55 | 1.67 |
| CV | 0.79 | 1.37 | — |
| Max | 4 | 1 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | 40.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| SD | 1.67 | 1.14 | 2.39 |
| CV | 1.20 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 60.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 0.60 | +1.00 |
| SD | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.71 |
| CV | 0.34 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 2 | 1 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | 60.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 60.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.60 | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| SD | 0.89 | 1.10 | 1.52 |
| CV | 1.49 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 40.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 60.00% | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 0.60 | +1.00 |
| SD | 1.52 | 0.89 | 1.22 |
| CV | 0.95 | 1.49 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 20.00% | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | 40.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | 60.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 1.40 | +0.20 |
| SD | 0.55 | 0.89 | 0.84 |
| CV | 0.34 | 0.64 | — |
| Max | 2 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | 40.00% | — | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| SD | 1.14 | 1.48 | 2.17 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | 20.00% | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| Total | — | 40.00% | 40.00% | — | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 2.00 | +0.00 |
| SD | 2.35 | 1.22 | 2.92 |
| CV | 1.17 | 0.61 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -4 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | 40.00% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 20.00% | 80.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| SD | 1.34 | 0.45 | 1.14 |
| CV | 0.96 | 0.25 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Games Played: 5
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.00% | — | 40.00% | — | — | — | 60.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% | 40.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 20.00% | 40.00% | — | — | 20.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.80 | 2.20 | -1.40 |
| SD | 1.10 | 2.28 | 1.95 |
| CV | 1.37 | 1.04 | — |
| Max | 2 | 6 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 5
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Exp. Pts. Rem. | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 2090 | 8 | 62.69 | 54.69 | 34 | 52 | 58 | 63 | 67 | 74 | 88 |
| Lyon | 2068 | 11 | 62.40 | 51.40 | 39 | 51 | 58 | 62 | 67 | 74 | 89 |
| Monaco | 2048 | 13 | 63.46 | 50.46 | 33 | 52 | 59 | 63 | 68 | 75 | 91 |
| Lille | 2033 | 10 | 57.94 | 47.94 | 30 | 47 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 69 | 80 |
| Lens | 1999 | 4 | 48.58 | 44.58 | 24 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 53 | 60 | 72 |
| Paris FC | 1998 | 11 | 54.97 | 43.97 | 30 | 44 | 50 | 55 | 60 | 66 | 80 |
| Rennes | 1981 | 10 | 53.05 | 43.05 | 28 | 42 | 48 | 53 | 58 | 65 | 78 |
| Strasbourg | 1980 | 7 | 49.79 | 42.79 | 26 | 39 | 45 | 50 | 54 | 61 | 78 |
| Marseille | 1964 | 3 | 44.56 | 41.56 | 22 | 33 | 40 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 69 |
| Lorient | 1934 | 5 | 41.52 | 36.52 | 15 | 31 | 37 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 69 |
| Toulouse | 1925 | 5 | 41.04 | 36.04 | 16 | 30 | 36 | 41 | 45 | 52 | 64 |
| Brest | 1910 | 5 | 39.44 | 34.44 | 18 | 29 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 65 |
| Auxerre | 1903 | 6 | 39.37 | 33.37 | 16 | 29 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 64 |
| Angers | 1902 | 7 | 39.96 | 32.96 | 18 | 29 | 35 | 40 | 44 | 51 | 64 |
| Nice | 1898 | 5 | 37.79 | 32.79 | 14 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 42 | 49 | 64 |
| Le Mans | 1886 | 6 | 37.40 | 31.40 | 13 | 27 | 33 | 37 | 42 | 49 | 63 |
| Le Havre | 1873 | 2 | 32.44 | 30.44 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 32 | 37 | 43 | 57 |
| Troyes | 1851 | 4 | 32.72 | 28.72 | 12 | 22 | 28 | 33 | 37 | 43 | 58 |
Point Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 31.47% | 23.67% | 16.84% | 11.79% | 7.47% | 4.48% | 2.27% | 1.09% | 0.52% | 0.21% | 0.10% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.01% | — | — | — | 0.01% |
| Lyon | 27.06% | 22.51% | 18.34% | 12.73% | 8.24% | 5.17% | 2.92% | 1.43% | 0.77% | 0.48% | 0.18% | 0.11% | 0.03% | 0.03% | — | — | — | — |
| Paris FC | 4.29% | 8.16% | 12.31% | 14.77% | 16.41% | 14.45% | 9.94% | 7.29% | 4.65% | 3.25% | 1.69% | 1.20% | 0.75% | 0.38% | 0.24% | 0.13% | 0.07% | 0.02% |
| Lille | 9.44% | 13.31% | 16.05% | 17.58% | 14.87% | 10.42% | 7.74% | 4.50% | 2.52% | 1.66% | 0.90% | 0.51% | 0.21% | 0.17% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.02% | — |
| Rennes | 2.39% | 4.79% | 7.86% | 11.36% | 13.92% | 15.33% | 12.87% | 10.37% | 7.15% | 4.97% | 3.39% | 2.33% | 1.50% | 0.76% | 0.53% | 0.29% | 0.18% | 0.01% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 23.86% | 23.14% | 19.23% | 14.50% | 8.52% | 5.37% | 2.74% | 1.22% | 0.81% | 0.25% | 0.20% | 0.11% | 0.03% | 0.01% | — | 0.01% | — | — |
| Angers | 0.04% | 0.06% | 0.17% | 0.46% | 1.25% | 2.35% | 4.00% | 6.29% | 7.62% | 9.18% | 9.93% | 9.97% | 10.23% | 10.04% | 9.55% | 8.34% | 6.63% | 3.89% |
| Strasbourg | 0.73% | 2.10% | 4.50% | 6.76% | 10.38% | 13.50% | 14.13% | 12.41% | 10.12% | 7.62% | 6.12% | 4.43% | 3.01% | 1.82% | 1.20% | 0.71% | 0.39% | 0.07% |
| Le Mans | — | 0.03% | 0.08% | 0.23% | 0.54% | 1.14% | 2.03% | 3.41% | 5.06% | 6.12% | 7.73% | 9.18% | 10.22% | 11.03% | 11.26% | 11.84% | 11.36% | 8.74% |
| Auxerre | — | 0.04% | 0.12% | 0.41% | 0.98% | 1.60% | 3.06% | 4.60% | 5.99% | 8.04% | 8.47% | 9.63% | 10.52% | 10.82% | 10.79% | 10.30% | 8.56% | 6.07% |
| Brest | — | 0.06% | 0.13% | 0.33% | 0.87% | 2.10% | 3.31% | 4.95% | 7.36% | 7.72% | 9.32% | 10.17% | 10.08% | 10.80% | 9.93% | 9.77% | 8.12% | 4.98% |
| Lorient | 0.03% | 0.13% | 0.37% | 0.81% | 1.82% | 3.12% | 5.35% | 7.28% | 8.86% | 10.08% | 10.44% | 10.27% | 10.16% | 8.88% | 8.31% | 6.66% | 4.80% | 2.63% |
| Toulouse | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.23% | 0.87% | 1.40% | 2.49% | 4.57% | 6.28% | 8.00% | 9.56% | 10.49% | 10.44% | 10.14% | 9.99% | 8.91% | 7.60% | 5.61% | 3.35% |
| Nice | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.19% | 0.57% | 0.92% | 1.95% | 3.26% | 4.86% | 6.07% | 7.64% | 8.93% | 10.95% | 11.06% | 11.76% | 11.90% | 11.38% | 8.46% |
| Lens | 0.58% | 1.70% | 2.96% | 5.37% | 8.53% | 11.29% | 13.79% | 13.08% | 11.37% | 8.98% | 6.85% | 5.43% | 3.47% | 2.87% | 1.84% | 1.05% | 0.58% | 0.26% |
| Troyes | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.13% | 0.18% | 0.41% | 0.75% | 1.45% | 1.82% | 3.14% | 4.24% | 5.58% | 7.63% | 10.01% | 14.08% | 20.11% | 30.46% |
| Marseille | 0.08% | 0.22% | 0.74% | 1.82% | 4.04% | 5.91% | 8.50% | 11.10% | 11.54% | 11.72% | 10.45% | 8.92% | 7.51% | 5.90% | 4.78% | 3.24% | 2.17% | 1.36% |
| Le Havre | — | — | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.06% | 0.18% | 0.42% | 0.69% | 1.35% | 2.27% | 2.96% | 4.07% | 5.60% | 7.80% | 10.80% | 14.07% | 20.02% | 29.69% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Lost relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 100% | — | — |
| Monaco | 99.99% | — | 0.01% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 99.99% | 0.01% | — |
| Lille | 99.97% | 0.01% | 0.02% |
| Paris FC | 99.78% | 0.13% | 0.09% |
| Rennes | 99.52% | 0.29% | 0.19% |
| Strasbourg | 98.83% | 0.71% | 0.46% |
| Lens | 98.11% | 1.05% | 0.84% |
| Marseille | 93.23% | 3.24% | 3.53% |
| Lorient | 85.91% | 6.66% | 7.43% |
| Toulouse | 83.44% | 7.60% | 8.96% |
| Angers | 81.14% | 8.34% | 10.52% |
| Brest | 77.13% | 9.77% | 13.10% |
| Auxerre | 75.07% | 10.30% | 14.63% |
| Nice | 68.26% | 11.90% | 19.84% |
| Le Mans | 68.06% | 11.84% | 20.10% |
| Le Havre | 36.22% | 14.07% | 49.71% |
| Troyes | 35.35% | 14.08% | 50.57% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Strasbourg | W 4-0 | 51.5 | 1986 | 1979 | 46.05% | 25.73% | 28.21% | +0.35 | +40.8 | 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | @ Marseille | L 0-4 | 51.5 | 1979 | 1986 | 28.21% | 25.73% | 46.05% | -0.35 | -40.8 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Auxerre | W 5-2 | 56.3 | 2028 | 1938 | 55.84% | 24.72% | 19.45% | +0.80 | +16.7 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Lens | L 2-5 | 56.3 | 1938 | 2028 | 19.45% | 24.72% | 55.84% | -0.80 | -16.7 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Paris FC | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1907 | 1941 | 40.46% | 25.95% | 33.58% | +0.13 | -0.6 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Troyes | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1941 | 1907 | 33.58% | 25.95% | 40.46% | -0.13 | +0.6 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lyon | L 0-2 | 56.9 | 1954 | 1990 | 40.17% | 25.96% | 33.87% | +0.12 | -28.2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Toulouse | W 2-0 | 56.9 | 1990 | 1954 | 33.87% | 25.96% | 40.17% | -0.12 | +28.2 | 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | Brest | D 2-2 | 77.7 | 1876 | 1920 | 39.15% | 25.98% | 34.87% | +0.08 | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Le Mans | D 2-2 | 77.7 | 1920 | 1876 | 34.87% | 25.98% | 39.15% | -0.08 | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lorient | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1926 | 1946 | 42.43% | 25.90% | 31.67% | +0.21 | -0.9 | 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | @ Nice | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1946 | 1926 | 31.67% | 25.90% | 42.43% | -0.21 | +0.9 | 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Lille | L 0-2 | 53.3 | 1882 | 2004 | 28.53% | 25.75% | 45.72% | -0.34 | -21.7 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Angers | W 2-0 | 53.3 | 2004 | 1882 | 45.72% | 25.75% | 28.53% | +0.34 | +21.7 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Monaco | L 0-1 | 59.3 | 1908 | 1982 | 34.82% | 25.98% | 39.20% | -0.08 | -13.4 | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Le Havre | W 1-0 | 59.3 | 1982 | 1908 | 39.20% | 25.98% | 34.82% | +0.08 | +13.4 | 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Paris Saint-Germain | D 2-2 | 77.7 | 1992 | 2085 | 32.21% | 25.92% | 41.87% | -0.18 | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Rennes | D 2-2 | 77.7 | 2085 | 1992 | 41.87% | 25.92% | 32.21% | +0.18 | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Paris Saint-Germain | D 2-2 | 77.7 | 2026 | 2085 | 36.89% | 25.99% | 37.12% | +0.00 | +0.0 | 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | @ Lille | D 2-2 | 77.7 | 2085 | 2026 | 37.12% | 25.99% | 36.89% | +0.00 | -0.0 | 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lens | W 2-1 | 67.4 | 1938 | 2045 | 30.34% | 25.85% | 43.81% | -0.26 | +15.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Strasbourg | L 1-2 | 67.4 | 2045 | 1938 | 43.81% | 25.85% | 30.34% | +0.26 | -15.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Angers | L 1-3 | 66.0 | 1921 | 1860 | 52.55% | 25.16% | 22.28% | +0.64 | -30.5 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Auxerre | W 3-1 | 66.0 | 1860 | 1921 | 22.28% | 25.16% | 52.55% | -0.64 | +30.5 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | Troyes | L 1-2 | 69.2 | 1946 | 1906 | 50.18% | 25.42% | 24.40% | +0.53 | -16.9 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Lorient | W 2-1 | 69.2 | 1906 | 1946 | 24.40% | 25.42% | 50.18% | -0.53 | +16.9 | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | Le Havre | D 1-1 | 72.6 | 2018 | 1895 | 59.15% | 24.13% | 16.72% | +0.97 | -3.5 | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Lyon | D 1-1 | 72.6 | 1895 | 2018 | 16.72% | 24.13% | 59.15% | -0.97 | +3.5 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Toulouse | D 2-2 | 77.8 | 1920 | 1925 | 44.34% | 25.82% | 29.84% | +0.28 | -0.8 | 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Brest | D 2-2 | 77.8 | 1925 | 1920 | 29.84% | 25.82% | 44.34% | -0.28 | +0.8 | 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Nice | W 3-0 | 51.0 | 1941 | 1925 | 47.19% | 25.66% | 27.15% | +0.40 | +30.3 | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Paris FC | L 0-3 | 51.0 | 1925 | 1941 | 27.15% | 25.66% | 47.19% | -0.40 | -30.3 | 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Le Mans | W 3-2 | 64.1 | 1993 | 1876 | 58.55% | 24.24% | 17.21% | +0.94 | +6.7 | 4 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Rennes | L 2-3 | 64.1 | 1876 | 1993 | 17.21% | 24.24% | 58.55% | -0.94 | -6.7 | 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Marseille | W 2-0 | 54.8 | 1996 | 2027 | 40.83% | 25.95% | 33.22% | +0.14 | +24.4 | 6 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Monaco | L 0-2 | 54.8 | 2027 | 1996 | 33.22% | 25.95% | 40.83% | -0.14 | -24.4 | 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | Lille | L 0-1 | 58.3 | 1926 | 2026 | 31.37% | 25.89% | 42.74% | -0.22 | -12.4 | 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | @ Toulouse | W 1-0 | 58.3 | 2026 | 1926 | 42.74% | 25.89% | 31.37% | +0.22 | +12.4 | 7 |
| 2026-09-04 | Auxerre | W 3-1 | 55.0 | 2015 | 1891 | 59.22% | 24.11% | 16.67% | +0.98 | +11.9 | 7 |
| 2026-09-04 | @ Lyon | L 1-3 | 55.0 | 1891 | 2015 | 16.67% | 24.11% | 59.22% | -0.98 | -11.9 | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Monaco | L 1-2 | 70.0 | 2085 | 2020 | 53.04% | 25.11% | 21.86% | +0.66 | -17.8 | 2 |
| 2026-09-04 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | W 2-1 | 70.0 | 2020 | 2085 | 21.86% | 25.11% | 53.04% | -0.66 | +17.8 | 9 |
| 2026-09-05 | Brest | L 1-2 | 66.9 | 1898 | 1919 | 42.30% | 25.91% | 31.80% | +0.20 | -14.7 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Le Havre | W 2-1 | 66.9 | 1919 | 1898 | 31.80% | 25.91% | 42.30% | -0.20 | +14.7 | 5 |
| 2026-09-05 | Le Mans | D 1-1 | 72.1 | 1895 | 1869 | 48.32% | 25.58% | 26.10% | +0.45 | -1.7 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Nice | D 1-1 | 72.1 | 1869 | 1895 | 26.10% | 25.58% | 48.32% | -0.45 | +1.7 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Lorient | L 0-1 | 65.5 | 2030 | 1930 | 56.88% | 24.55% | 18.57% | +0.85 | -20.1 | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Lens | W 1-0 | 65.5 | 1930 | 2030 | 18.57% | 24.55% | 56.88% | -0.85 | +20.1 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Strasbourg | L 2-6 | 61.2 | 1923 | 1953 | 41.03% | 25.94% | 33.03% | +0.15 | -38.5 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Troyes | W 6-2 | 61.2 | 1953 | 1923 | 33.03% | 25.94% | 41.03% | -0.15 | +38.4 | 6 |
| 2026-09-06 | Rennes | L 1-2 | 63.3 | 1891 | 2000 | 30.16% | 25.84% | 44.00% | -0.27 | -11.3 | 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Angers | W 2-1 | 63.3 | 2000 | 1891 | 44.00% | 25.84% | 30.16% | +0.27 | +11.3 | 7 |
| 2026-09-06 | Paris FC | L 2-3 | 74.0 | 2002 | 1971 | 49.03% | 25.52% | 25.45% | +0.48 | -15.7 | 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Marseille | W 3-2 | 74.0 | 1971 | 2002 | 25.45% | 25.52% | 49.03% | -0.48 | +15.7 | 7 |
| 2026-09-11 | Marseille | W 1-0 | 56.6 | 2011 | 1987 | 48.19% | 25.59% | 26.22% | +0.44 | +10.8 | 10 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ Rennes | L 0-1 | 56.6 | 1987 | 2011 | 26.22% | 25.59% | 48.19% | -0.44 | -10.8 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | Angers | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1884 | 1880 | 45.60% | 25.76% | 28.64% | +0.33 | -1.4 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Le Havre | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1880 | 1884 | 28.64% | 25.76% | 45.60% | -0.33 | +1.4 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Nice | W 1-0 | 58.1 | 1879 | 1893 | 43.20% | 25.87% | 30.92% | +0.24 | +12.3 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Auxerre | L 0-1 | 58.1 | 1893 | 1879 | 30.92% | 25.87% | 43.20% | -0.24 | -12.3 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Toulouse | D 2-2 | 77.9 | 1950 | 1914 | 49.60% | 25.47% | 24.93% | +0.50 | -1.4 | 5 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Lorient | D 2-2 | 77.9 | 1914 | 1950 | 24.93% | 25.47% | 49.60% | -0.50 | +1.4 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Lyon | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 1987 | 2026 | 39.74% | 25.97% | 34.29% | +0.10 | -0.5 | 8 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Paris FC | D 0-0 | 67.6 | 2026 | 1987 | 34.29% | 25.97% | 39.74% | -0.10 | +0.4 | 8 |
| 2026-09-12 | Monaco | D 1-1 | 72.0 | 1991 | 2038 | 38.73% | 25.98% | 35.29% | +0.06 | -0.3 | 7 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Strasbourg | D 1-1 | 72.0 | 2038 | 1991 | 35.29% | 25.98% | 38.73% | -0.06 | +0.2 | 10 |
| 2026-09-13 | Lens | D 2-2 | 77.8 | 1871 | 2010 | 26.47% | 25.61% | 47.92% | -0.43 | +1.2 | 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Le Mans | D 2-2 | 77.8 | 2010 | 1871 | 47.92% | 25.61% | 26.47% | +0.43 | -1.2 | 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | Troyes | W 2-0 | 48.4 | 2038 | 1884 | 62.00% | 23.49% | 14.51% | +1.13 | +12.1 | 10 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Lille | L 0-2 | 48.4 | 1884 | 2038 | 14.51% | 23.49% | 62.00% | -1.13 | -12.1 | 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | Paris Saint-Germain | L 0-1 | 56.9 | 1934 | 2067 | 27.12% | 25.66% | 47.22% | -0.40 | -11.1 | 5 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Brest | W 1-0 | 56.9 | 2067 | 1934 | 47.22% | 25.66% | 27.12% | +0.40 | +11.1 | 5 |
| 2026-09-18 | Lens | W 2-1 | 61.9 | 2038 | 2009 | 48.81% | 25.54% | 25.66% | +0.47 | +10.0 | 13 |
| 2026-09-18 | @ Monaco | L 1-2 | 61.9 | 2009 | 2038 | 25.66% | 25.54% | 48.81% | -0.47 | -10.0 | 4 |
| 2026-09-19 | Strasbourg | W 2-1 | 63.2 | 1987 | 1991 | 44.51% | 25.82% | 29.67% | +0.29 | +11.2 | 11 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Paris FC | L 1-2 | 63.2 | 1991 | 1987 | 29.67% | 25.82% | 44.51% | -0.29 | -11.2 | 7 |
| 2026-09-19 | Le Havre | W 3-2 | 66.8 | 1915 | 1882 | 49.29% | 25.50% | 25.21% | +0.49 | +9.3 | 5 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Toulouse | L 2-3 | 66.8 | 1882 | 1915 | 25.21% | 25.50% | 49.29% | -0.49 | -9.3 | 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Lorient | W 2-1 | 66.1 | 1872 | 1948 | 34.53% | 25.97% | 39.50% | -0.09 | +13.9 | 6 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Le Mans | L 1-2 | 66.1 | 1948 | 1872 | 39.50% | 25.97% | 34.53% | +0.09 | -13.9 | 5 |
| 2026-09-19 | Rennes | W 4-0 | 51.6 | 2027 | 2022 | 45.74% | 25.75% | 28.51% | +0.34 | +41.2 | 11 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Lyon | L 0-4 | 51.6 | 2022 | 2027 | 28.51% | 25.75% | 45.74% | -0.34 | -41.2 | 10 |
| 2026-09-19 | Troyes | W 2-0 | 53.1 | 1881 | 1872 | 46.21% | 25.72% | 28.06% | +0.36 | +21.4 | 7 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Angers | L 0-2 | 53.1 | 1872 | 1881 | 28.06% | 25.72% | 46.21% | -0.36 | -21.4 | 4 |
| 2026-09-20 | Brest | W 2-1 | 64.2 | 1891 | 1923 | 40.80% | 25.95% | 33.26% | +0.14 | +12.2 | 6 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Auxerre | L 1-2 | 64.2 | 1923 | 1891 | 33.26% | 25.95% | 40.80% | -0.14 | -12.2 | 5 |
| 2026-09-20 | Lille | W 2-1 | 69.6 | 1881 | 2050 | 23.11% | 25.27% | 51.62% | -0.59 | +17.3 | 5 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Nice | L 1-2 | 69.6 | 2050 | 1881 | 51.62% | 25.27% | 23.11% | +0.59 | -17.3 | 10 |
| 2026-09-20 | Paris Saint-Germain | L 1-2 | 63.6 | 1976 | 2078 | 31.00% | 25.88% | 43.12% | -0.23 | -11.6 | 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Marseille | W 2-1 | 63.6 | 2078 | 1976 | 43.12% | 25.88% | 31.00% | +0.23 | +11.6 | 8 |
Upcoming Games
Remaining games on the team's schedule
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Excitement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Toulouse | 2048 | 1925 | 59.16% | 24.12% | 16.72% | +0.97 | 54.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Monaco | 1925 | 2048 | 16.72% | 24.12% | 59.16% | -0.97 | 54.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | Marseille | 1851 | 1964 | 29.56% | 25.81% | 44.63% | -0.29 | 51.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Troyes | 1964 | 1851 | 44.63% | 25.81% | 29.56% | +0.29 | 51.4 |
| 2026-10-10 | Paris FC | 1934 | 1998 | 36.25% | 25.99% | 37.76% | -0.03 | 62.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Lorient | 1998 | 1934 | 37.76% | 25.99% | 36.25% | +0.03 | 62.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | Strasbourg | 1898 | 1980 | 33.70% | 25.96% | 40.34% | -0.13 | 59.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Nice | 1980 | 1898 | 40.34% | 25.96% | 33.70% | +0.13 | 59.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | Le Havre | 2033 | 1873 | 62.56% | 23.35% | 14.09% | +1.17 | 45.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Lille | 1873 | 2033 | 14.09% | 23.35% | 62.56% | -1.17 | 45.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Le Mans | 2090 | 1886 | 66.20% | 22.30% | 11.50% | +1.40 | 50.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1886 | 2090 | 11.50% | 22.30% | 66.20% | -1.40 | 50.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | Lyon | 1999 | 2068 | 35.46% | 25.98% | 38.55% | -0.06 | 70.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Lens | 2068 | 1999 | 38.55% | 25.98% | 35.46% | +0.06 | 70.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Angers | 1910 | 1902 | 46.12% | 25.73% | 28.15% | +0.36 | 69.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Brest | 1902 | 1910 | 28.15% | 25.73% | 46.12% | -0.36 | 69.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | Auxerre | 1981 | 1903 | 54.42% | 24.92% | 20.65% | +0.73 | 61.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Rennes | 1903 | 1981 | 20.65% | 24.92% | 54.42% | -0.73 | 61.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | Auxerre | 1873 | 1903 | 40.97% | 25.94% | 33.08% | +0.15 | 64.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Le Havre | 1903 | 1873 | 33.08% | 25.94% | 40.97% | -0.15 | 64.2 |
| 2026-10-17 | Lens | 1851 | 1999 | 25.46% | 25.52% | 49.02% | -0.48 | 50.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Troyes | 1999 | 1851 | 49.02% | 25.52% | 25.46% | +0.48 | 50.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | Monaco | 1934 | 2048 | 29.54% | 25.81% | 44.65% | -0.30 | 54.4 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Lorient | 2048 | 1934 | 44.65% | 25.81% | 29.54% | +0.30 | 54.4 |
| 2026-10-17 | Rennes | 1998 | 1981 | 47.32% | 25.65% | 27.03% | +0.41 | 73.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Paris FC | 1981 | 1998 | 27.03% | 25.65% | 47.32% | -0.41 | 73.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | Toulouse | 1886 | 1925 | 39.84% | 25.97% | 34.19% | +0.11 | 71.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Le Mans | 1925 | 1886 | 34.19% | 25.97% | 39.84% | -0.11 | 71.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | Nice | 2068 | 1898 | 63.44% | 23.12% | 13.44% | +1.22 | 46.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Lyon | 1898 | 2068 | 13.44% | 23.12% | 63.44% | -1.22 | 46.1 |
| 2026-10-17 | Brest | 2033 | 1910 | 59.07% | 24.14% | 16.79% | +0.97 | 54.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Lille | 1910 | 2033 | 16.79% | 24.14% | 59.07% | -0.97 | 54.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1980 | 2090 | 30.01% | 25.83% | 44.16% | -0.28 | 63.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Strasbourg | 2090 | 1980 | 44.16% | 25.83% | 30.01% | +0.28 | 63.0 |
| 2026-10-17 | Marseille | 1902 | 1964 | 36.51% | 25.99% | 37.50% | -0.02 | 62.4 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Angers | 1964 | 1902 | 37.50% | 25.99% | 36.51% | +0.02 | 62.4 |
| 2026-10-24 | Le Mans | 1903 | 1886 | 47.29% | 25.65% | 27.06% | +0.40 | 73.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Auxerre | 1886 | 1903 | 27.06% | 25.65% | 47.29% | -0.40 | 73.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | Lille | 2048 | 2033 | 47.04% | 25.67% | 27.29% | +0.39 | 74.1 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Monaco | 2033 | 2048 | 27.29% | 25.67% | 47.04% | -0.39 | 74.1 |
| 2026-10-24 | Troyes | 1925 | 1851 | 54.02% | 24.98% | 21.00% | +0.71 | 55.7 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Toulouse | 1851 | 1925 | 21.00% | 24.98% | 54.02% | -0.71 | 55.7 |
| 2026-10-24 | Le Havre | 1964 | 1873 | 55.95% | 24.70% | 19.35% | +0.80 | 52.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Marseille | 1873 | 1964 | 19.35% | 24.70% | 55.95% | -0.80 | 52.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | Paris FC | 1999 | 1998 | 45.19% | 25.78% | 29.03% | +0.32 | 77.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Lens | 1998 | 1999 | 29.03% | 25.78% | 45.19% | -0.32 | 77.6 |
| 2026-10-24 | Lorient | 1902 | 1934 | 40.78% | 25.95% | 33.27% | +0.14 | 64.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Angers | 1934 | 1902 | 33.27% | 25.95% | 40.78% | -0.14 | 64.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | Nice | 1910 | 1898 | 46.71% | 25.69% | 27.60% | +0.38 | 65.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Brest | 1898 | 1910 | 27.60% | 25.69% | 46.71% | -0.38 | 65.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | Strasbourg | 1981 | 1980 | 45.18% | 25.78% | 29.04% | +0.32 | 78.9 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Rennes | 1980 | 1981 | 29.04% | 25.78% | 45.18% | -0.32 | 78.9 |
| 2026-10-25 | Lyon | 2090 | 2068 | 47.88% | 25.61% | 26.51% | +0.43 | 76.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 2068 | 2090 | 26.51% | 25.61% | 47.88% | -0.43 | 76.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1873 | 2090 | 18.61% | 24.55% | 56.84% | -0.85 | 44.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Le Havre | 2090 | 1873 | 56.84% | 24.55% | 18.61% | +0.85 | 44.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | Le Mans | 1851 | 1886 | 40.30% | 25.96% | 33.74% | +0.12 | 66.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Troyes | 1886 | 1851 | 33.74% | 25.96% | 40.30% | -0.12 | 66.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | Brest | 1934 | 1910 | 48.14% | 25.59% | 26.27% | +0.44 | 65.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Lorient | 1910 | 1934 | 26.27% | 25.59% | 48.14% | -0.44 | 65.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | Monaco | 1998 | 2048 | 38.22% | 25.99% | 35.79% | +0.05 | 69.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Paris FC | 2048 | 1998 | 35.79% | 25.99% | 38.22% | -0.05 | 69.6 |
| 2026-10-31 | Rennes | 1898 | 1981 | 33.60% | 25.95% | 40.44% | -0.13 | 55.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Nice | 1981 | 1898 | 40.44% | 25.95% | 33.60% | +0.13 | 55.9 |
| 2026-10-31 | Angers | 2068 | 1902 | 63.04% | 23.23% | 13.73% | +1.20 | 51.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Lyon | 1902 | 2068 | 13.73% | 23.23% | 63.04% | -1.20 | 51.8 |
| 2026-10-31 | Toulouse | 1964 | 1925 | 50.09% | 25.43% | 24.48% | +0.53 | 66.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Marseille | 1925 | 1964 | 24.48% | 25.43% | 50.09% | -0.53 | 66.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | Lens | 2033 | 1999 | 49.40% | 25.49% | 25.11% | +0.49 | 72.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Lille | 1999 | 2033 | 25.11% | 25.49% | 49.40% | -0.49 | 72.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | Auxerre | 1980 | 1903 | 54.34% | 24.94% | 20.72% | +0.72 | 65.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Strasbourg | 1903 | 1980 | 20.72% | 24.94% | 54.34% | -0.72 | 65.0 |
| 2026-11-07 | Lorient | 1873 | 1934 | 36.58% | 25.99% | 37.43% | -0.02 | 57.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Le Havre | 1934 | 1873 | 37.43% | 25.99% | 36.58% | +0.02 | 57.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | Paris FC | 1903 | 1998 | 31.98% | 25.91% | 42.11% | -0.19 | 60.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Auxerre | 1998 | 1903 | 42.11% | 25.91% | 31.98% | +0.19 | 60.7 |
| 2026-11-07 | Strasbourg | 1925 | 1980 | 37.47% | 25.99% | 36.54% | +0.02 | 70.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Toulouse | 1980 | 1925 | 36.54% | 25.99% | 37.47% | -0.02 | 70.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | Monaco | 1886 | 2048 | 23.93% | 25.37% | 50.71% | -0.55 | 56.2 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Le Mans | 2048 | 1886 | 50.71% | 25.37% | 23.93% | +0.55 | 56.2 |
| 2026-11-07 | Troyes | 2090 | 1851 | 68.87% | 21.38% | 9.76% | +1.59 | 40.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1851 | 2090 | 9.76% | 21.38% | 68.87% | -1.59 | 40.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | Nice | 1902 | 1898 | 45.68% | 25.76% | 28.56% | +0.34 | 65.1 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Angers | 1898 | 1902 | 28.56% | 25.76% | 45.68% | -0.34 | 65.1 |
| 2026-11-07 | Lyon | 1910 | 2068 | 24.38% | 25.41% | 50.20% | -0.53 | 56.6 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Brest | 2068 | 1910 | 50.20% | 25.41% | 24.38% | +0.53 | 56.6 |
| 2026-11-07 | Lille | 1981 | 2033 | 37.90% | 25.99% | 36.11% | +0.03 | 69.2 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Rennes | 2033 | 1981 | 36.11% | 25.99% | 37.90% | -0.03 | 69.2 |
| 2026-11-07 | Marseille | 1999 | 1964 | 49.44% | 25.49% | 25.08% | +0.50 | 71.1 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Lens | 1964 | 1999 | 25.08% | 25.49% | 49.44% | -0.50 | 71.1 |
| 2026-11-21 | Auxerre | 2048 | 1903 | 61.18% | 23.69% | 15.13% | +1.09 | 51.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Monaco | 1903 | 2048 | 15.13% | 23.69% | 61.18% | -1.09 | 51.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | Le Havre | 1851 | 1873 | 42.14% | 25.91% | 31.94% | +0.20 | 62.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Troyes | 1873 | 1851 | 31.94% | 25.91% | 42.14% | -0.20 | 62.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | Rennes | 1934 | 1981 | 38.73% | 25.98% | 35.29% | +0.06 | 64.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Lorient | 1981 | 1934 | 35.29% | 25.98% | 38.73% | -0.06 | 64.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | Angers | 1998 | 1902 | 56.36% | 24.63% | 19.01% | +0.82 | 56.7 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Paris FC | 1902 | 1998 | 19.01% | 24.63% | 56.36% | -0.82 | 56.7 |
| 2026-11-21 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1898 | 2090 | 20.88% | 24.96% | 54.16% | -0.71 | 44.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Nice | 2090 | 1898 | 54.16% | 24.96% | 20.88% | +0.71 | 44.4 |
| 2026-11-21 | Le Mans | 1964 | 1886 | 54.52% | 24.91% | 20.57% | +0.73 | 63.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Marseille | 1886 | 1964 | 20.57% | 24.91% | 54.52% | -0.73 | 63.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | Lyon | 2033 | 2068 | 40.30% | 25.96% | 33.74% | +0.12 | 74.7 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Lille | 2068 | 2033 | 33.74% | 25.96% | 40.30% | -0.12 | 74.7 |
| 2026-11-21 | Brest | 1980 | 1910 | 53.54% | 25.04% | 21.42% | +0.68 | 66.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Strasbourg | 1910 | 1980 | 21.42% | 25.04% | 53.54% | -0.68 | 66.3 |
| 2026-11-21 | Toulouse | 1999 | 1925 | 54.06% | 24.97% | 20.97% | +0.71 | 64.0 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Lens | 1925 | 1999 | 20.97% | 24.97% | 54.06% | -0.71 | 64.0 |
| 2026-11-28 | Strasbourg | 1873 | 1980 | 30.38% | 25.85% | 43.77% | -0.26 | 57.1 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Le Havre | 1980 | 1873 | 43.77% | 25.85% | 30.38% | +0.26 | 57.1 |
| 2026-11-28 | Marseille | 1903 | 1964 | 36.61% | 25.99% | 37.40% | -0.01 | 64.3 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Auxerre | 1964 | 1903 | 37.40% | 25.99% | 36.61% | +0.01 | 64.3 |
| 2026-11-28 | Rennes | 1925 | 1981 | 37.36% | 25.99% | 36.65% | +0.01 | 66.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Toulouse | 1981 | 1925 | 36.65% | 25.99% | 37.36% | -0.01 | 66.9 |
| 2026-11-28 | Lille | 1886 | 2033 | 25.59% | 25.53% | 48.88% | -0.47 | 57.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Le Mans | 2033 | 1886 | 48.88% | 25.53% | 25.59% | +0.47 | 57.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | Troyes | 1898 | 1851 | 50.95% | 25.34% | 23.70% | +0.56 | 57.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Nice | 1851 | 1898 | 23.70% | 25.34% | 50.95% | -0.56 | 57.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | Monaco | 2068 | 2048 | 47.67% | 25.63% | 26.70% | +0.42 | 76.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Lyon | 2048 | 2068 | 26.70% | 25.63% | 47.67% | -0.42 | 76.2 |
| 2026-11-28 | Lorient | 2090 | 1934 | 62.16% | 23.45% | 14.39% | +1.14 | 47.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1934 | 2090 | 14.39% | 23.45% | 62.16% | -1.14 | 47.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | Lens | 1902 | 1999 | 31.78% | 25.91% | 42.32% | -0.20 | 60.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Angers | 1999 | 1902 | 42.32% | 25.91% | 31.78% | +0.20 | 60.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | Paris FC | 1910 | 1998 | 32.95% | 25.94% | 41.11% | -0.16 | 61.8 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Brest | 1998 | 1910 | 41.11% | 25.94% | 32.95% | +0.16 | 61.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | Angers | 2048 | 1902 | 61.25% | 23.67% | 15.08% | +1.09 | 50.1 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Monaco | 1902 | 2048 | 15.08% | 23.67% | 61.25% | -1.09 | 50.1 |
| 2026-12-05 | Lyon | 1851 | 2068 | 18.60% | 24.55% | 56.85% | -0.85 | 48.0 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Troyes | 2068 | 1851 | 56.85% | 24.55% | 18.60% | +0.85 | 48.0 |
| 2026-12-05 | Le Mans | 1998 | 1886 | 58.03% | 24.34% | 17.63% | +0.91 | 59.2 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Paris FC | 1886 | 1998 | 17.63% | 24.34% | 58.03% | -0.91 | 59.2 |
| 2026-12-05 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1925 | 2090 | 23.57% | 25.33% | 51.10% | -0.57 | 52.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Toulouse | 2090 | 1925 | 51.10% | 25.33% | 23.57% | +0.57 | 52.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | Nice | 1964 | 1898 | 53.21% | 25.08% | 21.71% | +0.67 | 55.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Marseille | 1898 | 1964 | 21.71% | 25.08% | 53.21% | -0.67 | 55.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | Auxerre | 2033 | 1903 | 59.77% | 24.00% | 16.23% | +1.01 | 53.6 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Lille | 1903 | 2033 | 16.23% | 24.00% | 59.77% | -1.01 | 53.6 |
| 2026-12-05 | Lorient | 1980 | 1934 | 50.79% | 25.36% | 23.85% | +0.56 | 67.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Strasbourg | 1934 | 1980 | 23.85% | 25.36% | 50.79% | -0.56 | 67.4 |
| 2026-12-05 | Le Havre | 1999 | 1873 | 59.42% | 24.07% | 16.51% | +0.99 | 50.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Lens | 1873 | 1999 | 16.51% | 24.07% | 59.42% | -0.99 | 50.5 |
| 2026-12-05 | Brest | 1981 | 1910 | 53.62% | 25.03% | 21.34% | +0.69 | 63.0 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Rennes | 1910 | 1981 | 21.34% | 25.03% | 53.62% | -0.69 | 63.0 |
| 2026-12-12 | Le Mans | 1873 | 1886 | 43.31% | 25.87% | 30.82% | +0.24 | 69.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Le Havre | 1886 | 1873 | 30.82% | 25.87% | 43.31% | -0.24 | 69.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | Toulouse | 1903 | 1925 | 42.21% | 25.91% | 31.88% | +0.20 | 70.2 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Auxerre | 1925 | 1903 | 31.88% | 25.91% | 42.21% | -0.20 | 70.2 |
| 2026-12-12 | Lille | 1934 | 2033 | 31.48% | 25.89% | 42.63% | -0.21 | 56.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Lorient | 2033 | 1934 | 42.63% | 25.89% | 31.48% | +0.21 | 56.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | Lens | 1898 | 1999 | 31.18% | 25.88% | 42.94% | -0.23 | 54.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Nice | 1999 | 1898 | 42.94% | 25.88% | 31.18% | +0.23 | 54.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | Paris FC | 2090 | 1998 | 55.98% | 24.69% | 19.33% | +0.80 | 60.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1998 | 2090 | 19.33% | 24.69% | 55.98% | -0.80 | 60.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | Strasbourg | 1902 | 1980 | 34.33% | 25.97% | 39.70% | -0.10 | 65.1 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Angers | 1980 | 1902 | 39.70% | 25.97% | 34.33% | +0.10 | 65.1 |
| 2026-12-12 | Troyes | 1910 | 1851 | 52.41% | 25.18% | 22.40% | +0.63 | 58.3 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Brest | 1851 | 1910 | 22.40% | 25.18% | 52.41% | -0.63 | 58.3 |
| 2026-12-12 | Monaco | 1981 | 2048 | 35.74% | 25.99% | 38.27% | -0.05 | 66.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Rennes | 2048 | 1981 | 38.27% | 25.99% | 35.74% | +0.05 | 66.8 |
| 2026-12-13 | Marseille | 2068 | 1964 | 57.20% | 24.49% | 18.31% | +0.87 | 60.5 |
| 2026-12-13 | @ Lyon | 1964 | 2068 | 18.31% | 24.49% | 57.20% | -0.87 | 60.5 |
| 2027-01-02 | Nice | 2048 | 1898 | 61.67% | 23.57% | 14.76% | +1.11 | 44.8 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Monaco | 1898 | 2048 | 14.76% | 23.57% | 61.67% | -1.11 | 44.8 |
| 2027-01-02 | Rennes | 1851 | 1981 | 27.57% | 25.69% | 46.74% | -0.38 | 50.8 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Troyes | 1981 | 1851 | 46.74% | 25.69% | 27.57% | +0.38 | 50.8 |
| 2027-01-02 | Auxerre | 1934 | 1903 | 49.03% | 25.52% | 25.45% | +0.48 | 64.8 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Lorient | 1903 | 1934 | 25.45% | 25.52% | 49.03% | -0.48 | 64.8 |
| 2027-01-02 | Le Havre | 1998 | 1873 | 59.34% | 24.09% | 16.57% | +0.98 | 49.0 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Paris FC | 1873 | 1998 | 16.57% | 24.09% | 59.34% | -0.98 | 49.0 |
| 2027-01-02 | Angers | 1925 | 1902 | 47.93% | 25.61% | 26.46% | +0.43 | 67.8 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Toulouse | 1902 | 1925 | 26.46% | 25.61% | 47.93% | -0.43 | 67.8 |
| 2027-01-02 | Lyon | 1886 | 2068 | 21.85% | 25.11% | 53.04% | -0.66 | 57.2 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Le Mans | 2068 | 1886 | 53.04% | 25.11% | 21.85% | +0.66 | 57.2 |
| 2027-01-02 | Strasbourg | 2033 | 1980 | 51.65% | 25.27% | 23.08% | +0.60 | 70.7 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Lille | 1980 | 2033 | 23.08% | 25.27% | 51.65% | -0.60 | 70.7 |
| 2027-01-02 | Marseille | 1910 | 1964 | 37.65% | 25.99% | 36.36% | +0.02 | 65.4 |
| 2027-01-02 | @ Brest | 1964 | 1910 | 36.36% | 25.99% | 37.65% | -0.02 | 65.4 |
| 2027-01-03 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1999 | 2090 | 32.47% | 25.93% | 41.60% | -0.17 | 64.5 |
| 2027-01-03 | @ Lens | 2090 | 1999 | 41.60% | 25.93% | 32.47% | +0.17 | 64.5 |
| 2027-01-16 | Troyes | 1903 | 1851 | 51.58% | 25.28% | 23.15% | +0.59 | 59.6 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Auxerre | 1851 | 1903 | 23.15% | 25.28% | 51.58% | -0.59 | 59.6 |
| 2027-01-16 | Brest | 2048 | 1910 | 60.51% | 23.84% | 15.65% | +1.05 | 52.7 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Monaco | 1910 | 2048 | 15.65% | 23.84% | 60.51% | -1.05 | 52.7 |
| 2027-01-16 | Toulouse | 1998 | 1925 | 53.97% | 24.99% | 21.04% | +0.70 | 62.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Paris FC | 1925 | 1998 | 21.04% | 24.99% | 53.97% | -0.70 | 62.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | Le Havre | 1898 | 1873 | 48.29% | 25.58% | 26.13% | +0.45 | 60.9 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Nice | 1873 | 1898 | 26.13% | 25.58% | 48.29% | -0.45 | 60.9 |
| 2027-01-16 | Lorient | 2068 | 1934 | 60.17% | 23.91% | 15.92% | +1.03 | 53.1 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Lyon | 1934 | 2068 | 15.92% | 23.91% | 60.17% | -1.03 | 53.1 |
| 2027-01-16 | Lille | 1964 | 2033 | 35.59% | 25.98% | 38.43% | -0.05 | 64.9 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Marseille | 2033 | 1964 | 38.43% | 25.98% | 35.59% | +0.05 | 64.9 |
| 2027-01-16 | Le Mans | 1980 | 1886 | 56.18% | 24.66% | 19.16% | +0.81 | 64.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Strasbourg | 1886 | 1980 | 19.16% | 24.66% | 56.18% | -0.81 | 64.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1902 | 2090 | 21.32% | 25.03% | 53.65% | -0.69 | 49.5 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Angers | 2090 | 1902 | 53.65% | 25.03% | 21.32% | +0.69 | 49.5 |
| 2027-01-16 | Lens | 1981 | 1999 | 42.66% | 25.89% | 31.45% | +0.22 | 75.7 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Rennes | 1999 | 1981 | 31.45% | 25.89% | 42.66% | -0.22 | 75.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | Rennes | 1873 | 1981 | 30.28% | 25.85% | 43.87% | -0.26 | 53.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Le Havre | 1981 | 1873 | 43.87% | 25.85% | 30.28% | +0.26 | 53.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | Monaco | 1851 | 2048 | 20.40% | 24.88% | 54.72% | -0.74 | 45.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Troyes | 2048 | 1851 | 54.72% | 24.88% | 20.40% | +0.74 | 45.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | Marseille | 1934 | 1964 | 41.01% | 25.94% | 33.05% | +0.15 | 65.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Lorient | 1964 | 1934 | 33.05% | 25.94% | 41.01% | -0.15 | 65.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | Nice | 1925 | 1898 | 48.50% | 25.56% | 25.94% | +0.46 | 62.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Toulouse | 1898 | 1925 | 25.94% | 25.56% | 48.50% | -0.46 | 62.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | Angers | 1886 | 1902 | 42.90% | 25.88% | 31.22% | +0.23 | 72.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Le Mans | 1902 | 1886 | 31.22% | 25.88% | 42.90% | -0.23 | 72.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | Paris FC | 2033 | 1998 | 49.50% | 25.48% | 25.02% | +0.50 | 71.0 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Lille | 1998 | 2033 | 25.02% | 25.48% | 49.50% | -0.50 | 71.0 |
| 2027-01-23 | Auxerre | 2090 | 1903 | 64.82% | 22.73% | 12.45% | +1.31 | 48.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1903 | 2090 | 12.45% | 22.73% | 64.82% | -1.31 | 48.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | Lyon | 1980 | 2068 | 32.86% | 25.94% | 41.20% | -0.16 | 68.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Strasbourg | 2068 | 1980 | 41.20% | 25.94% | 32.86% | +0.16 | 68.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | Brest | 1999 | 1910 | 55.60% | 24.75% | 19.64% | +0.78 | 61.4 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Lens | 1910 | 1999 | 19.64% | 24.75% | 55.60% | -0.78 | 61.4 |
| 2027-01-30 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2048 | 2090 | 39.37% | 25.97% | 34.66% | +0.09 | 70.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Monaco | 2090 | 2048 | 34.66% | 25.97% | 39.37% | -0.09 | 70.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | Auxerre | 1998 | 1903 | 56.28% | 24.65% | 19.07% | +0.82 | 58.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Paris FC | 1903 | 1998 | 19.07% | 24.65% | 56.28% | -0.82 | 58.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | Lens | 1925 | 1999 | 34.79% | 25.98% | 39.24% | -0.08 | 65.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Toulouse | 1999 | 1925 | 39.24% | 25.98% | 34.79% | +0.08 | 65.6 |
| 2027-01-30 | Nice | 1886 | 1898 | 43.51% | 25.86% | 30.62% | +0.25 | 68.0 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Le Mans | 1898 | 1886 | 30.62% | 25.86% | 43.51% | -0.25 | 68.0 |
| 2027-01-30 | Lille | 2068 | 2033 | 49.54% | 25.48% | 24.98% | +0.50 | 73.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Lyon | 2033 | 2068 | 24.98% | 25.48% | 49.54% | -0.50 | 73.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | Troyes | 1964 | 1851 | 58.20% | 24.31% | 17.49% | +0.92 | 49.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Marseille | 1851 | 1964 | 17.49% | 24.31% | 58.20% | -0.92 | 49.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | Le Havre | 1902 | 1873 | 48.86% | 25.53% | 25.60% | +0.47 | 62.3 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Angers | 1873 | 1902 | 25.60% | 25.53% | 48.86% | -0.47 | 62.3 |
| 2027-01-30 | Strasbourg | 1910 | 1980 | 35.44% | 25.98% | 38.58% | -0.06 | 67.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Brest | 1980 | 1910 | 38.58% | 25.98% | 35.44% | +0.06 | 67.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | Lorient | 1981 | 1934 | 50.88% | 25.35% | 23.77% | +0.56 | 63.8 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Rennes | 1934 | 1981 | 23.77% | 25.35% | 50.88% | -0.56 | 63.8 |
| 2027-02-06 | Toulouse | 1873 | 1925 | 37.95% | 25.99% | 36.06% | +0.04 | 60.9 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Le Havre | 1925 | 1873 | 36.06% | 25.99% | 37.95% | -0.04 | 60.9 |
| 2027-02-06 | Monaco | 1903 | 2048 | 25.82% | 25.55% | 48.63% | -0.46 | 54.5 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Auxerre | 2048 | 1903 | 48.63% | 25.55% | 25.82% | +0.46 | 54.5 |
| 2027-02-06 | Lille | 1851 | 2033 | 21.86% | 25.11% | 53.04% | -0.66 | 46.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Troyes | 2033 | 1851 | 53.04% | 25.11% | 21.86% | +0.66 | 46.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | Le Mans | 1934 | 1886 | 51.09% | 25.33% | 23.58% | +0.57 | 65.2 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Lorient | 1886 | 1934 | 23.58% | 25.33% | 51.09% | -0.57 | 65.2 |
| 2027-02-06 | Brest | 1898 | 1910 | 43.42% | 25.86% | 30.72% | +0.25 | 65.3 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Nice | 1910 | 1898 | 30.72% | 25.86% | 43.42% | -0.25 | 65.3 |
| 2027-02-06 | Paris FC | 1980 | 1998 | 42.66% | 25.89% | 31.44% | +0.22 | 77.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Strasbourg | 1998 | 1980 | 31.44% | 25.89% | 42.66% | -0.22 | 77.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | Angers | 1999 | 1902 | 56.44% | 24.62% | 18.94% | +0.83 | 58.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Lens | 1902 | 1999 | 18.94% | 24.62% | 56.44% | -0.83 | 58.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | Lyon | 1981 | 2068 | 32.96% | 25.94% | 41.10% | -0.15 | 66.3 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Rennes | 2068 | 1981 | 41.10% | 25.94% | 32.96% | +0.15 | 66.3 |
| 2027-02-07 | Marseille | 2090 | 1964 | 59.37% | 24.08% | 16.55% | +0.98 | 54.2 |
| 2027-02-07 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1964 | 2090 | 16.55% | 24.08% | 59.37% | -0.98 | 54.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | Strasbourg | 1903 | 1980 | 34.43% | 25.97% | 39.60% | -0.10 | 66.7 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Auxerre | 1980 | 1903 | 39.60% | 25.97% | 34.43% | +0.10 | 66.7 |
| 2027-02-13 | Le Havre | 1934 | 1873 | 52.64% | 25.15% | 22.21% | +0.64 | 55.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Lorient | 1873 | 1934 | 22.21% | 25.15% | 52.64% | -0.64 | 55.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | Troyes | 1998 | 1851 | 61.40% | 23.64% | 14.97% | +1.10 | 46.5 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Paris FC | 1851 | 1998 | 14.97% | 23.64% | 61.40% | -1.10 | 46.5 |
| 2027-02-13 | Monaco | 1925 | 2048 | 28.35% | 25.74% | 45.91% | -0.35 | 56.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Toulouse | 2048 | 1925 | 45.91% | 25.74% | 28.35% | +0.35 | 56.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1886 | 2090 | 19.79% | 24.78% | 55.44% | -0.78 | 53.6 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Le Mans | 2090 | 1886 | 55.44% | 24.78% | 19.79% | +0.78 | 53.6 |
| 2027-02-13 | Lens | 2068 | 1999 | 53.52% | 25.04% | 21.43% | +0.68 | 68.7 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Lyon | 1999 | 2068 | 21.43% | 25.04% | 53.52% | -0.68 | 68.7 |
| 2027-02-13 | Angers | 1964 | 1902 | 52.69% | 25.15% | 22.16% | +0.64 | 60.9 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Marseille | 1902 | 1964 | 22.16% | 25.15% | 52.69% | -0.64 | 60.9 |
| 2027-02-13 | Nice | 2033 | 1898 | 60.27% | 23.89% | 15.84% | +1.03 | 46.4 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Lille | 1898 | 2033 | 15.84% | 23.89% | 60.27% | -1.03 | 46.4 |
| 2027-02-13 | Rennes | 1910 | 1981 | 35.34% | 25.98% | 38.68% | -0.06 | 64.6 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Brest | 1981 | 1910 | 38.68% | 25.98% | 35.34% | +0.06 | 64.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | Lyon | 1873 | 2068 | 20.57% | 24.91% | 54.52% | -0.73 | 49.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Le Havre | 2068 | 1873 | 54.52% | 24.91% | 20.57% | +0.73 | 49.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | Le Mans | 2048 | 1886 | 62.72% | 23.31% | 13.97% | +1.18 | 53.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Monaco | 1886 | 2048 | 13.97% | 23.31% | 62.72% | -1.18 | 53.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | Auxerre | 1898 | 1903 | 44.38% | 25.82% | 29.80% | +0.28 | 66.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Nice | 1903 | 1898 | 29.80% | 25.82% | 44.38% | -0.28 | 66.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | Lorient | 2033 | 1934 | 56.68% | 24.58% | 18.74% | +0.84 | 54.5 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Lille | 1934 | 2033 | 18.74% | 24.58% | 56.68% | -0.84 | 54.5 |
| 2027-02-20 | Brest | 2090 | 1910 | 64.22% | 22.90% | 12.87% | +1.27 | 49.0 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1910 | 2090 | 12.87% | 22.90% | 64.22% | -1.27 | 49.0 |
| 2027-02-20 | Marseille | 1980 | 1964 | 47.08% | 25.67% | 27.25% | +0.40 | 75.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Strasbourg | 1964 | 1980 | 27.25% | 25.67% | 47.08% | -0.40 | 75.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | Troyes | 1999 | 1851 | 61.47% | 23.62% | 14.91% | +1.10 | 48.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Lens | 1851 | 1999 | 14.91% | 23.62% | 61.47% | -1.10 | 48.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | Paris FC | 1902 | 1998 | 31.89% | 25.91% | 42.21% | -0.20 | 58.8 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Angers | 1998 | 1902 | 42.21% | 25.91% | 31.89% | +0.20 | 58.8 |
| 2027-02-20 | Toulouse | 1981 | 1925 | 52.01% | 25.23% | 22.77% | +0.61 | 65.6 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Rennes | 1925 | 1981 | 22.77% | 25.23% | 52.01% | -0.61 | 65.6 |
| 2027-02-27 | Lille | 1903 | 2033 | 27.58% | 25.69% | 46.73% | -0.38 | 56.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Auxerre | 2033 | 1903 | 46.73% | 25.69% | 27.58% | +0.38 | 56.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | Nice | 1851 | 1898 | 38.64% | 25.98% | 35.37% | +0.06 | 58.3 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Troyes | 1898 | 1851 | 35.37% | 25.98% | 38.64% | -0.06 | 58.3 |
| 2027-02-27 | Angers | 1934 | 1902 | 49.12% | 25.51% | 25.37% | +0.48 | 63.2 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Lorient | 1902 | 1934 | 25.37% | 25.51% | 49.12% | -0.48 | 63.2 |
| 2027-02-27 | Paris FC | 1886 | 1998 | 29.77% | 25.82% | 44.41% | -0.29 | 61.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Le Mans | 1998 | 1886 | 44.41% | 25.82% | 29.77% | +0.29 | 61.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | Toulouse | 2068 | 1925 | 61.06% | 23.71% | 15.22% | +1.08 | 55.3 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Lyon | 1925 | 2068 | 15.22% | 23.71% | 61.06% | -1.08 | 55.3 |
| 2027-02-27 | Rennes | 1964 | 1981 | 42.92% | 25.88% | 31.20% | +0.23 | 72.7 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Marseille | 1981 | 1964 | 31.20% | 25.88% | 42.92% | -0.23 | 72.7 |
| 2027-02-27 | Le Havre | 1980 | 1873 | 57.55% | 24.43% | 18.02% | +0.89 | 54.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Strasbourg | 1873 | 1980 | 18.02% | 24.43% | 57.55% | -0.89 | 54.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | Monaco | 1910 | 2048 | 26.65% | 25.62% | 47.73% | -0.42 | 55.2 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Brest | 2048 | 1910 | 47.73% | 25.62% | 26.65% | +0.42 | 55.2 |
| 2027-02-28 | Lens | 2090 | 1999 | 55.89% | 24.71% | 19.40% | +0.80 | 62.5 |
| 2027-02-28 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1999 | 2090 | 19.40% | 24.71% | 55.89% | -0.80 | 62.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | Nice | 1873 | 1898 | 41.71% | 25.92% | 32.37% | +0.18 | 61.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Le Havre | 1898 | 1873 | 32.37% | 25.92% | 41.71% | -0.18 | 61.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | Lyon | 2048 | 2068 | 42.39% | 25.90% | 31.71% | +0.21 | 76.7 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Monaco | 2068 | 2048 | 31.71% | 25.90% | 42.39% | -0.21 | 76.7 |
| 2027-03-06 | Lorient | 1851 | 1934 | 33.52% | 25.95% | 40.53% | -0.13 | 53.7 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Troyes | 1934 | 1851 | 40.53% | 25.95% | 33.52% | +0.13 | 53.7 |
| 2027-03-06 | Brest | 1998 | 1910 | 55.52% | 24.76% | 19.72% | +0.78 | 59.9 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Paris FC | 1910 | 1998 | 19.72% | 24.76% | 55.52% | -0.78 | 59.9 |
| 2027-03-06 | Le Mans | 1925 | 1886 | 49.94% | 25.44% | 24.62% | +0.52 | 70.4 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Toulouse | 1886 | 1925 | 24.62% | 25.44% | 49.94% | -0.52 | 70.4 |
| 2027-03-06 | Marseille | 2033 | 1964 | 53.42% | 25.06% | 21.52% | +0.68 | 63.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Lille | 1964 | 2033 | 21.52% | 25.06% | 53.42% | -0.68 | 63.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | Strasbourg | 1999 | 1980 | 47.52% | 25.64% | 26.85% | +0.41 | 77.4 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Lens | 1980 | 1999 | 26.85% | 25.64% | 47.52% | -0.41 | 77.4 |
| 2027-03-06 | Auxerre | 1902 | 1903 | 44.99% | 25.79% | 29.22% | +0.31 | 70.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Angers | 1903 | 1902 | 29.22% | 25.79% | 44.99% | -0.31 | 70.8 |
| 2027-03-06 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1981 | 2090 | 30.10% | 25.84% | 44.06% | -0.27 | 60.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Rennes | 2090 | 1981 | 44.06% | 25.84% | 30.10% | +0.27 | 60.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | Lens | 1873 | 1999 | 28.02% | 25.72% | 46.26% | -0.36 | 52.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Le Havre | 1999 | 1873 | 46.26% | 25.72% | 28.02% | +0.36 | 52.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1903 | 2090 | 21.39% | 25.04% | 53.57% | -0.69 | 51.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Auxerre | 2090 | 1903 | 53.57% | 25.04% | 21.39% | +0.69 | 51.3 |
| 2027-03-13 | Lorient | 1998 | 1934 | 52.89% | 25.12% | 21.98% | +0.65 | 60.6 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Paris FC | 1934 | 1998 | 21.98% | 25.12% | 52.89% | -0.65 | 60.6 |
| 2027-03-13 | Rennes | 1886 | 1981 | 32.01% | 25.91% | 42.07% | -0.19 | 63.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Le Mans | 1981 | 1886 | 42.07% | 25.91% | 32.01% | +0.19 | 63.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | Toulouse | 1898 | 1925 | 41.48% | 25.93% | 32.59% | +0.17 | 63.5 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Nice | 1925 | 1898 | 32.59% | 25.93% | 41.48% | -0.17 | 63.5 |
| 2027-03-13 | Troyes | 2068 | 1851 | 67.25% | 21.96% | 10.80% | +1.47 | 45.2 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Lyon | 1851 | 2068 | 10.80% | 21.96% | 67.25% | -1.47 | 45.2 |
| 2027-03-13 | Monaco | 1964 | 2048 | 33.49% | 25.95% | 40.56% | -0.13 | 62.4 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Marseille | 2048 | 1964 | 40.56% | 25.95% | 33.49% | +0.13 | 62.4 |
| 2027-03-13 | Angers | 1980 | 1902 | 54.42% | 24.92% | 20.66% | +0.73 | 63.4 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Strasbourg | 1902 | 1980 | 20.66% | 24.92% | 54.42% | -0.73 | 63.4 |
| 2027-03-13 | Lille | 1910 | 2033 | 28.46% | 25.75% | 45.80% | -0.34 | 56.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Brest | 2033 | 1910 | 45.80% | 25.75% | 28.46% | +0.34 | 56.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | Le Havre | 2048 | 1873 | 63.86% | 23.00% | 13.13% | +1.25 | 44.1 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Monaco | 1873 | 2048 | 13.13% | 23.00% | 63.86% | -1.25 | 44.1 |
| 2027-03-20 | Auxerre | 1851 | 1903 | 37.89% | 25.99% | 36.12% | +0.03 | 60.8 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Troyes | 1903 | 1851 | 36.12% | 25.99% | 37.89% | -0.03 | 60.8 |
| 2027-03-20 | Nice | 1934 | 1898 | 49.68% | 25.46% | 24.86% | +0.51 | 59.6 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Lorient | 1898 | 1934 | 24.86% | 25.46% | 49.68% | -0.51 | 59.6 |
| 2027-03-20 | Brest | 1925 | 1910 | 46.92% | 25.68% | 27.40% | +0.39 | 70.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Toulouse | 1910 | 1925 | 27.40% | 25.68% | 46.92% | -0.39 | 70.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | Strasbourg | 2090 | 1980 | 57.84% | 24.38% | 17.78% | +0.90 | 60.8 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1980 | 2090 | 17.78% | 24.38% | 57.84% | -0.90 | 60.8 |
| 2027-03-20 | Lille | 1999 | 2033 | 40.47% | 25.95% | 33.58% | +0.13 | 73.5 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Lens | 2033 | 1999 | 33.58% | 25.95% | 40.47% | -0.13 | 73.5 |
| 2027-03-20 | Le Mans | 1902 | 1886 | 47.20% | 25.66% | 27.14% | +0.40 | 72.2 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Angers | 1886 | 1902 | 27.14% | 25.66% | 47.20% | -0.40 | 72.2 |
| 2027-03-20 | Paris FC | 1981 | 1998 | 42.77% | 25.89% | 31.34% | +0.22 | 74.2 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Rennes | 1998 | 1981 | 31.34% | 25.89% | 42.77% | -0.22 | 74.2 |
| 2027-03-21 | Lyon | 1964 | 2068 | 30.82% | 25.87% | 43.31% | -0.24 | 62.6 |
| 2027-03-21 | @ Marseille | 2068 | 1964 | 43.31% | 25.87% | 30.82% | +0.24 | 62.6 |
| 2027-04-03 | Troyes | 1873 | 1851 | 47.89% | 25.61% | 26.50% | +0.43 | 61.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Le Havre | 1851 | 1873 | 26.50% | 25.61% | 47.89% | -0.43 | 61.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | Lens | 1903 | 1999 | 31.87% | 25.91% | 42.22% | -0.20 | 62.2 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Auxerre | 1999 | 1903 | 42.22% | 25.91% | 31.87% | +0.20 | 62.2 |
| 2027-04-03 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1998 | 2090 | 32.37% | 25.92% | 41.71% | -0.18 | 62.8 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Paris FC | 2090 | 1998 | 41.71% | 25.92% | 32.37% | +0.18 | 62.8 |
| 2027-04-03 | Marseille | 1886 | 1964 | 34.21% | 25.97% | 39.82% | -0.11 | 64.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Le Mans | 1964 | 1886 | 39.82% | 25.97% | 34.21% | +0.11 | 64.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | Lyon | 1898 | 2068 | 23.05% | 25.26% | 51.69% | -0.60 | 48.8 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Nice | 2068 | 1898 | 51.69% | 25.26% | 23.05% | +0.60 | 48.8 |
| 2027-04-03 | Rennes | 2033 | 1981 | 51.57% | 25.28% | 23.16% | +0.59 | 68.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Lille | 1981 | 2033 | 23.16% | 25.28% | 51.57% | -0.59 | 68.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | Toulouse | 1980 | 1925 | 51.92% | 25.24% | 22.84% | +0.61 | 68.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Strasbourg | 1925 | 1980 | 22.84% | 25.24% | 51.92% | -0.61 | 68.9 |
| 2027-04-03 | Monaco | 1902 | 2048 | 25.73% | 25.55% | 48.72% | -0.47 | 52.6 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Angers | 2048 | 1902 | 48.72% | 25.55% | 25.73% | +0.47 | 52.6 |
| 2027-04-03 | Lorient | 1910 | 1934 | 41.88% | 25.92% | 32.20% | +0.19 | 66.5 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Brest | 1934 | 1910 | 32.20% | 25.92% | 41.88% | -0.19 | 66.5 |
| 2027-04-10 | Rennes | 2048 | 1981 | 53.30% | 25.07% | 21.63% | +0.67 | 65.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Monaco | 1981 | 2048 | 21.63% | 25.07% | 53.30% | -0.67 | 65.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | Angers | 1851 | 1902 | 37.99% | 25.99% | 36.02% | +0.04 | 59.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Troyes | 1902 | 1851 | 36.02% | 25.99% | 37.99% | -0.04 | 59.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | Lens | 1934 | 1999 | 36.14% | 25.99% | 37.87% | -0.03 | 63.7 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Lorient | 1999 | 1934 | 37.87% | 25.99% | 36.14% | +0.03 | 63.7 |
| 2027-04-10 | Auxerre | 1886 | 1903 | 42.80% | 25.89% | 31.31% | +0.22 | 74.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Le Mans | 1903 | 1886 | 31.31% | 25.89% | 42.80% | -0.22 | 74.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | Paris FC | 1898 | 1998 | 31.28% | 25.89% | 42.83% | -0.22 | 53.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Nice | 1998 | 1898 | 42.83% | 25.89% | 31.28% | +0.22 | 53.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | Strasbourg | 2068 | 1980 | 55.59% | 24.75% | 19.66% | +0.78 | 66.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Lyon | 1980 | 2068 | 19.66% | 24.75% | 55.59% | -0.78 | 66.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | Brest | 1964 | 1910 | 51.77% | 25.25% | 22.97% | +0.60 | 64.1 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Marseille | 1910 | 1964 | 22.97% | 25.25% | 51.77% | -0.60 | 64.1 |
| 2027-04-10 | Toulouse | 2033 | 1925 | 57.66% | 24.41% | 17.93% | +0.89 | 56.5 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Lille | 1925 | 2033 | 17.93% | 24.41% | 57.66% | -0.89 | 56.5 |
| 2027-04-10 | Le Havre | 2090 | 1873 | 67.24% | 21.96% | 10.80% | +1.47 | 41.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1873 | 2090 | 10.80% | 21.96% | 67.24% | -1.47 | 41.8 |
| 2027-04-17 | Marseille | 1873 | 1964 | 32.40% | 25.92% | 41.67% | -0.18 | 54.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Le Havre | 1964 | 1873 | 41.67% | 25.92% | 32.40% | +0.18 | 54.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | Lorient | 1903 | 1934 | 40.88% | 25.95% | 33.17% | +0.15 | 65.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Auxerre | 1934 | 1903 | 33.17% | 25.95% | 40.88% | -0.15 | 65.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | Strasbourg | 2048 | 1980 | 53.38% | 25.06% | 21.55% | +0.68 | 67.9 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Monaco | 1980 | 2048 | 21.55% | 25.06% | 53.38% | -0.68 | 67.9 |
| 2027-04-17 | Paris FC | 1925 | 1998 | 34.90% | 25.98% | 39.12% | -0.08 | 64.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Toulouse | 1998 | 1925 | 39.12% | 25.98% | 34.90% | +0.08 | 64.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | Lille | 2090 | 2033 | 52.12% | 25.21% | 22.66% | +0.62 | 67.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 2033 | 2090 | 22.66% | 25.21% | 52.12% | -0.62 | 67.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | Nice | 1999 | 1898 | 56.92% | 24.54% | 18.54% | +0.85 | 52.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Lens | 1898 | 1999 | 18.54% | 24.54% | 56.92% | -0.85 | 52.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | Lyon | 1902 | 2068 | 23.53% | 25.32% | 51.15% | -0.57 | 54.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Angers | 2068 | 1902 | 51.15% | 25.32% | 23.53% | +0.57 | 54.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | Le Mans | 1910 | 1886 | 48.20% | 25.59% | 26.22% | +0.44 | 72.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Brest | 1886 | 1910 | 26.22% | 25.59% | 48.20% | -0.44 | 72.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | Troyes | 1981 | 1851 | 59.78% | 24.00% | 16.22% | +1.01 | 48.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Rennes | 1851 | 1981 | 16.22% | 24.00% | 59.78% | -1.01 | 48.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | Toulouse | 1851 | 1925 | 34.84% | 25.98% | 39.18% | -0.08 | 57.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Troyes | 1925 | 1851 | 39.18% | 25.98% | 34.84% | +0.08 | 57.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1934 | 2090 | 24.60% | 25.44% | 49.96% | -0.52 | 50.0 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Lorient | 2090 | 1934 | 49.96% | 25.44% | 24.60% | +0.52 | 50.0 |
| 2027-04-24 | Lens | 1998 | 1999 | 44.97% | 25.79% | 29.23% | +0.31 | 77.6 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Paris FC | 1999 | 1998 | 29.23% | 25.79% | 44.97% | -0.31 | 77.6 |
| 2027-04-24 | Le Havre | 1886 | 1873 | 46.81% | 25.69% | 27.51% | +0.38 | 69.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Le Mans | 1873 | 1886 | 27.51% | 25.69% | 46.81% | -0.38 | 69.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | Angers | 1898 | 1902 | 44.48% | 25.82% | 29.71% | +0.29 | 65.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Nice | 1902 | 1898 | 29.71% | 25.82% | 44.48% | -0.29 | 65.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | Brest | 2068 | 1910 | 62.35% | 23.40% | 14.25% | +1.16 | 53.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Lyon | 1910 | 2068 | 14.25% | 23.40% | 62.35% | -1.16 | 53.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | Auxerre | 1964 | 1903 | 52.61% | 25.16% | 22.23% | +0.64 | 62.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Marseille | 1903 | 1964 | 22.23% | 25.16% | 52.61% | -0.64 | 62.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | Monaco | 2033 | 2048 | 43.07% | 25.88% | 31.05% | +0.23 | 74.5 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Lille | 2048 | 2033 | 31.05% | 25.88% | 43.07% | -0.23 | 74.5 |
| 2027-04-24 | Rennes | 1980 | 1981 | 44.98% | 25.79% | 29.22% | +0.31 | 78.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Strasbourg | 1981 | 1980 | 29.22% | 25.79% | 44.98% | -0.31 | 78.9 |
| 2027-05-01 | Paris FC | 1873 | 1998 | 28.12% | 25.73% | 46.15% | -0.36 | 51.4 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Le Havre | 1998 | 1873 | 46.15% | 25.73% | 28.12% | +0.36 | 51.4 |
| 2027-05-01 | Lyon | 1903 | 2068 | 23.61% | 25.33% | 51.06% | -0.57 | 56.0 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Auxerre | 2068 | 1903 | 51.06% | 25.33% | 23.61% | +0.57 | 56.0 |
| 2027-05-01 | Lorient | 2048 | 1934 | 58.22% | 24.31% | 17.48% | +0.92 | 52.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Monaco | 1934 | 2048 | 17.48% | 24.31% | 58.22% | -0.92 | 52.2 |
| 2027-05-01 | Brest | 1851 | 1910 | 36.85% | 25.99% | 37.16% | -0.01 | 59.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Troyes | 1910 | 1851 | 37.16% | 25.99% | 36.85% | +0.01 | 59.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | Marseille | 1925 | 1964 | 39.67% | 25.97% | 34.36% | +0.10 | 67.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Toulouse | 1964 | 1925 | 34.36% | 25.97% | 39.67% | -0.10 | 67.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | Angers | 2090 | 1902 | 64.88% | 22.71% | 12.41% | +1.31 | 46.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1902 | 2090 | 12.41% | 22.71% | 64.88% | -1.31 | 46.7 |
| 2027-05-01 | Lille | 1980 | 2033 | 37.80% | 25.99% | 36.22% | +0.03 | 71.9 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Strasbourg | 2033 | 1980 | 36.22% | 25.99% | 37.80% | -0.03 | 71.9 |
| 2027-05-01 | Le Mans | 1999 | 1886 | 58.11% | 24.33% | 17.56% | +0.91 | 60.4 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Lens | 1886 | 1999 | 17.56% | 24.33% | 58.11% | -0.91 | 60.4 |
| 2027-05-01 | Nice | 1981 | 1898 | 55.00% | 24.84% | 20.16% | +0.75 | 54.1 |
| 2027-05-01 | @ Rennes | 1898 | 1981 | 20.16% | 24.84% | 55.00% | -0.75 | 54.1 |
| 2027-05-08 | Strasbourg | 1934 | 1980 | 38.84% | 25.98% | 35.18% | +0.07 | 68.6 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Lorient | 1980 | 1934 | 35.18% | 25.98% | 38.84% | -0.07 | 68.6 |
| 2027-05-08 | Lille | 1998 | 2033 | 40.35% | 25.96% | 33.69% | +0.13 | 71.9 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Paris FC | 2033 | 1998 | 33.69% | 25.96% | 40.35% | -0.13 | 71.9 |
| 2027-05-08 | Troyes | 1886 | 1851 | 49.54% | 25.48% | 24.98% | +0.50 | 65.7 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Le Mans | 1851 | 1886 | 24.98% | 25.48% | 49.54% | -0.50 | 65.7 |
| 2027-05-08 | Marseille | 1898 | 1964 | 35.86% | 25.99% | 38.16% | -0.04 | 57.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Nice | 1964 | 1898 | 38.16% | 25.99% | 35.86% | +0.04 | 57.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | Monaco | 1999 | 2048 | 38.34% | 25.98% | 35.68% | +0.05 | 71.2 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Lens | 2048 | 1999 | 35.68% | 25.98% | 38.34% | -0.05 | 71.2 |
| 2027-05-08 | Toulouse | 1902 | 1925 | 42.11% | 25.91% | 31.98% | +0.19 | 68.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Angers | 1925 | 1902 | 31.98% | 25.91% | 42.11% | -0.19 | 68.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | Auxerre | 1910 | 1903 | 46.02% | 25.74% | 28.24% | +0.35 | 71.7 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Brest | 1903 | 1910 | 28.24% | 25.74% | 46.02% | -0.35 | 71.7 |
| 2027-05-08 | Le Havre | 1981 | 1873 | 57.63% | 24.42% | 17.96% | +0.89 | 51.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Rennes | 1873 | 1981 | 17.96% | 24.42% | 57.63% | -0.89 | 51.4 |
| 2027-05-09 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2068 | 2090 | 42.16% | 25.91% | 31.93% | +0.20 | 76.5 |
| 2027-05-09 | @ Lyon | 2090 | 2068 | 31.93% | 25.91% | 42.16% | -0.20 | 76.5 |
| 2027-05-16 | Rennes | 1903 | 1981 | 34.33% | 25.97% | 39.70% | -0.10 | 63.4 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Auxerre | 1981 | 1903 | 39.70% | 25.97% | 34.33% | +0.10 | 63.4 |
| 2027-05-16 | Paris FC | 2048 | 1998 | 51.31% | 25.30% | 23.39% | +0.58 | 68.4 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Monaco | 1998 | 2048 | 23.39% | 25.30% | 51.31% | -0.58 | 68.4 |
| 2027-05-16 | Lorient | 1925 | 1934 | 43.81% | 25.85% | 30.34% | +0.26 | 68.2 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Toulouse | 1934 | 1925 | 30.34% | 25.85% | 43.81% | -0.26 | 68.2 |
| 2027-05-16 | Le Mans | 2068 | 1886 | 64.44% | 22.84% | 12.72% | +1.29 | 54.4 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Lyon | 1886 | 2068 | 12.72% | 22.84% | 64.44% | -1.29 | 54.4 |
| 2027-05-16 | Lens | 1964 | 1999 | 40.42% | 25.96% | 33.62% | +0.13 | 72.0 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Marseille | 1999 | 1964 | 33.62% | 25.96% | 40.42% | -0.13 | 72.0 |
| 2027-05-16 | Angers | 2033 | 1902 | 59.84% | 23.98% | 16.18% | +1.01 | 51.7 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Lille | 1902 | 2033 | 16.18% | 23.98% | 59.84% | -1.01 | 51.7 |
| 2027-05-16 | Nice | 2090 | 1898 | 65.26% | 22.60% | 12.14% | +1.34 | 41.7 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1898 | 2090 | 12.14% | 22.60% | 65.26% | -1.34 | 41.7 |
| 2027-05-16 | Troyes | 1980 | 1851 | 59.71% | 24.01% | 16.28% | +1.00 | 51.9 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Strasbourg | 1851 | 1980 | 16.28% | 24.01% | 59.71% | -1.00 | 51.9 |
| 2027-05-16 | Le Havre | 1910 | 1873 | 49.83% | 25.45% | 24.72% | +0.51 | 62.2 |
| 2027-05-16 | @ Brest | 1873 | 1910 | 24.72% | 25.45% | 49.83% | -0.51 | 62.2 |
| 2027-05-22 | Lille | 1873 | 2033 | 24.12% | 25.39% | 50.49% | -0.54 | 48.0 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Le Havre | 2033 | 1873 | 50.49% | 25.39% | 24.12% | +0.54 | 48.0 |
| 2027-05-22 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1851 | 2090 | 16.82% | 24.15% | 59.03% | -0.96 | 43.7 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Troyes | 2090 | 1851 | 59.03% | 24.15% | 16.82% | +0.96 | 43.7 |
| 2027-05-22 | Lyon | 1934 | 2068 | 27.08% | 25.66% | 47.26% | -0.40 | 55.6 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Lorient | 2068 | 1934 | 47.26% | 25.66% | 27.08% | +0.40 | 55.6 |
| 2027-05-22 | Marseille | 1998 | 1964 | 49.34% | 25.49% | 25.17% | +0.49 | 69.5 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Paris FC | 1964 | 1998 | 25.17% | 25.49% | 49.34% | -0.49 | 69.5 |
| 2027-05-22 | Auxerre | 1925 | 1903 | 47.84% | 25.61% | 26.55% | +0.43 | 69.7 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Toulouse | 1903 | 1925 | 26.55% | 25.61% | 47.84% | -0.43 | 69.7 |
| 2027-05-22 | Strasbourg | 1886 | 1980 | 32.11% | 25.92% | 41.97% | -0.19 | 66.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Le Mans | 1980 | 1886 | 41.97% | 25.92% | 32.11% | +0.19 | 66.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | Monaco | 1898 | 2048 | 25.22% | 25.50% | 49.28% | -0.49 | 47.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Nice | 2048 | 1898 | 49.28% | 25.50% | 25.22% | +0.49 | 47.4 |
| 2027-05-22 | Rennes | 1999 | 1981 | 47.42% | 25.64% | 26.93% | +0.41 | 75.2 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Lens | 1981 | 1999 | 26.93% | 25.64% | 47.42% | -0.41 | 75.2 |
| 2027-05-22 | Brest | 1902 | 1910 | 44.03% | 25.84% | 30.13% | +0.27 | 70.0 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Angers | 1910 | 1902 | 30.13% | 25.84% | 44.03% | -0.27 | 70.0 |
| 2027-05-29 | Le Havre | 1903 | 1873 | 48.95% | 25.53% | 25.52% | +0.48 | 63.4 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Auxerre | 1873 | 1903 | 25.52% | 25.53% | 48.95% | -0.48 | 63.4 |
| 2027-05-29 | Troyes | 2048 | 1851 | 65.67% | 22.47% | 11.86% | +1.37 | 42.8 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Monaco | 1851 | 2048 | 11.86% | 22.47% | 65.67% | -1.37 | 42.8 |
| 2027-05-29 | Paris FC | 2068 | 1998 | 53.61% | 25.03% | 21.35% | +0.69 | 67.5 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Lyon | 1998 | 2068 | 21.35% | 25.03% | 53.61% | -0.69 | 67.5 |
| 2027-05-29 | Lorient | 1964 | 1934 | 48.92% | 25.53% | 25.55% | +0.47 | 64.9 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Marseille | 1934 | 1964 | 25.55% | 25.53% | 48.92% | -0.47 | 64.9 |
| 2027-05-29 | Le Mans | 2033 | 1886 | 61.36% | 23.64% | 14.99% | +1.10 | 55.0 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Lille | 1886 | 2033 | 14.99% | 23.64% | 61.36% | -1.10 | 55.0 |
| 2027-05-29 | Toulouse | 2090 | 1925 | 63.01% | 23.23% | 13.76% | +1.20 | 50.1 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1925 | 2090 | 13.76% | 23.23% | 63.01% | -1.20 | 50.1 |
| 2027-05-29 | Nice | 1980 | 1898 | 54.92% | 24.85% | 20.23% | +0.75 | 57.3 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Strasbourg | 1898 | 1980 | 20.23% | 24.85% | 54.92% | -0.75 | 57.3 |
| 2027-05-29 | Lens | 1910 | 1999 | 32.84% | 25.94% | 41.23% | -0.16 | 63.3 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Brest | 1999 | 1910 | 41.23% | 25.94% | 32.84% | +0.16 | 63.3 |
| 2027-05-29 | Angers | 1981 | 1902 | 54.50% | 24.91% | 20.58% | +0.73 | 59.7 |
| 2027-05-29 | @ Rennes | 1902 | 1981 | 20.58% | 24.91% | 54.50% | -0.73 | 59.7 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-09-05 | 18.57% | Lorient | 1930 | 1 | @ Lens | 2030 | 0 |
| 2 | 2026-09-04 | 21.86% | Monaco | 2020 | 2 | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 2085 | 1 |
| 3 | 2026-08-29 | 22.28% | Angers | 1860 | 3 | @ Auxerre | 1921 | 1 |
| 4 | 2026-09-20 | 23.11% | @ Nice | 1881 | 2 | Lille | 2050 | 1 |
| 5 | 2026-08-29 | 24.40% | Troyes | 1906 | 2 | @ Lorient | 1946 | 1 |
| 6 | 2026-09-06 | 25.45% | Paris FC | 1971 | 3 | @ Marseille | 2002 | 2 |
| 7 | 2026-08-29 | 30.34% | @ Strasbourg | 1938 | 2 | Lens | 2045 | 1 |
| 8 | 2026-09-05 | 31.80% | Brest | 1919 | 2 | @ Le Havre | 1898 | 1 |
| 9 | 2026-09-06 | 33.03% | Strasbourg | 1953 | 6 | @ Troyes | 1923 | 2 |
| 10 | 2026-08-22 | 33.87% | Lyon | 1990 | 2 | @ Toulouse | 1954 | 0 |
| 11 | 2026-09-19 | 34.53% | @ Le Mans | 1872 | 2 | Lorient | 1948 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-19 | 41.17 | @ Lyon | 4 | 2027 | 45.74% | Rennes | 0 | 2022 | 28.51% | 25.75% |
| 2 | 2026-08-21 | 40.84 | @ Marseille | 4 | 1986 | 46.05% | Strasbourg | 0 | 1979 | 28.21% | 25.73% |
| 3 | 2026-09-06 | 38.45 | Strasbourg | 6 | 1953 | 33.03% | @ Troyes | 2 | 1923 | 41.03% | 25.94% |
| 4 | 2026-08-29 | 30.52 | Angers | 3 | 1860 | 22.28% | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1921 | 52.55% | 25.16% |
| 5 | 2026-08-30 | 30.32 | @ Paris FC | 3 | 1941 | 47.19% | Nice | 0 | 1925 | 27.15% | 25.66% |
| 6 | 2026-08-22 | 28.19 | Lyon | 2 | 1990 | 33.87% | @ Toulouse | 0 | 1954 | 40.17% | 25.96% |
| 7 | 2026-08-30 | 24.44 | @ Monaco | 2 | 1996 | 40.83% | Marseille | 0 | 2027 | 33.22% | 25.95% |
| 8 | 2026-08-23 | 21.72 | Lille | 2 | 2004 | 45.72% | @ Angers | 0 | 1882 | 28.53% | 25.75% |
| 9 | 2026-09-19 | 21.43 | @ Angers | 2 | 1881 | 46.21% | Troyes | 0 | 1872 | 28.06% | 25.72% |
| 10 | 2026-09-05 | 20.06 | Lorient | 1 | 1930 | 18.57% | @ Lens | 0 | 2030 | 56.88% | 24.55% |
| 11 | 2026-09-04 | 17.76 | Monaco | 2 | 2020 | 21.86% | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 2085 | 53.04% | 25.11% |
| 12 | 2026-09-20 | 17.34 | @ Nice | 2 | 1881 | 23.11% | Lille | 1 | 2050 | 51.62% | 25.27% |
| 13 | 2026-08-29 | 16.92 | Troyes | 2 | 1906 | 24.40% | @ Lorient | 1 | 1946 | 50.18% | 25.42% |
| 14 | 2026-08-22 | 16.74 | @ Lens | 5 | 2028 | 55.84% | Auxerre | 2 | 1938 | 19.45% | 24.72% |
| 15 | 2026-09-06 | 15.73 | Paris FC | 3 | 1971 | 25.45% | @ Marseille | 2 | 2002 | 49.03% | 25.52% |
| 16 | 2026-08-29 | 15.10 | @ Strasbourg | 2 | 1938 | 30.34% | Lens | 1 | 2045 | 43.81% | 25.85% |
| 17 | 2026-09-05 | 14.68 | Brest | 2 | 1919 | 31.80% | @ Le Havre | 1 | 1898 | 42.30% | 25.91% |
| 18 | 2026-09-19 | 13.91 | @ Le Mans | 2 | 1872 | 34.53% | Lorient | 1 | 1948 | 39.50% | 25.97% |
| 19 | 2026-08-23 | 13.42 | Monaco | 1 | 1982 | 39.20% | @ Le Havre | 0 | 1908 | 34.82% | 25.98% |
| 20 | 2026-09-03 | 12.40 | Lille | 1 | 2026 | 42.74% | @ Toulouse | 0 | 1926 | 31.37% | 25.89% |
| 21 | 2026-09-12 | 12.26 | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1879 | 43.20% | Nice | 0 | 1893 | 30.92% | 25.87% |
| 22 | 2026-09-20 | 12.23 | @ Auxerre | 2 | 1891 | 40.80% | Brest | 1 | 1923 | 33.26% | 25.95% |
| 23 | 2026-09-13 | 12.06 | @ Lille | 2 | 2038 | 62.00% | Troyes | 0 | 1884 | 14.51% | 23.49% |
| 24 | 2026-09-04 | 11.89 | @ Lyon | 3 | 2015 | 59.22% | Auxerre | 1 | 1891 | 16.67% | 24.11% |
| 25 | 2026-09-20 | 11.59 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 | 2078 | 43.12% | @ Marseille | 1 | 1976 | 31.00% | 25.88% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-12 | 77.9 | @ Lorient | 2 | 1950 | 49.60% | Toulouse | 2 | 1914 | 24.93% | 25.47% |
| 2 | 2026-08-29 | 77.8 | @ Brest | 2 | 1920 | 44.34% | Toulouse | 2 | 1925 | 29.84% | 25.82% |
| 3 | 2026-09-13 | 77.8 | @ Le Mans | 2 | 1871 | 26.47% | Lens | 2 | 2010 | 47.92% | 25.61% |
| 4 | 2026-08-22 | 77.7 | @ Le Mans | 2 | 1876 | 39.15% | Brest | 2 | 1920 | 34.87% | 25.98% |
| 5 | 2026-08-23 | 77.7 | @ Rennes | 2 | 1992 | 32.21% | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 | 2085 | 41.87% | 25.92% |
| 6 | 2026-08-28 | 77.7 | @ Lille | 2 | 2026 | 36.89% | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 | 2085 | 37.12% | 25.99% |
| 7 | 2026-09-06 | 74.0 | Paris FC | 3 | 1971 | 25.45% | @ Marseille | 2 | 2002 | 49.03% | 25.52% |
| 8 | 2026-08-29 | 72.6 | @ Lyon | 1 | 2018 | 59.15% | Le Havre | 1 | 1895 | 16.72% | 24.13% |
| 9 | 2026-09-05 | 72.1 | @ Nice | 1 | 1895 | 48.32% | Le Mans | 1 | 1869 | 26.10% | 25.58% |
| 10 | 2026-09-12 | 72.0 | @ Strasbourg | 1 | 1991 | 38.73% | Monaco | 1 | 2038 | 35.29% | 25.98% |
| 11 | 2026-09-04 | 70.0 | Monaco | 2 | 2020 | 21.86% | @ Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 2085 | 53.04% | 25.11% |
| 12 | 2026-09-20 | 69.6 | @ Nice | 2 | 1881 | 23.11% | Lille | 1 | 2050 | 51.62% | 25.27% |
| 13 | 2026-08-29 | 69.2 | Troyes | 2 | 1906 | 24.40% | @ Lorient | 1 | 1946 | 50.18% | 25.42% |
| 14 | 2026-08-22 | 67.6 | @ Troyes | 0 | 1907 | 40.46% | Paris FC | 0 | 1941 | 33.58% | 25.95% |
| 15 | 2026-08-22 | 67.6 | @ Nice | 0 | 1926 | 42.43% | Lorient | 0 | 1946 | 31.67% | 25.90% |
| 16 | 2026-09-12 | 67.6 | @ Le Havre | 0 | 1884 | 45.60% | Angers | 0 | 1880 | 28.64% | 25.76% |
| 17 | 2026-09-12 | 67.6 | @ Paris FC | 0 | 1987 | 39.74% | Lyon | 0 | 2026 | 34.29% | 25.97% |
| 18 | 2026-08-29 | 67.4 | @ Strasbourg | 2 | 1938 | 30.34% | Lens | 1 | 2045 | 43.81% | 25.85% |
| 19 | 2026-09-05 | 66.9 | Brest | 2 | 1919 | 31.80% | @ Le Havre | 1 | 1898 | 42.30% | 25.91% |
| 20 | 2026-09-19 | 66.8 | @ Toulouse | 3 | 1915 | 49.29% | Le Havre | 2 | 1882 | 25.21% | 25.50% |
| 21 | 2026-09-19 | 66.1 | @ Le Mans | 2 | 1872 | 34.53% | Lorient | 1 | 1948 | 39.50% | 25.97% |
| 22 | 2026-08-29 | 66.0 | Angers | 3 | 1860 | 22.28% | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1921 | 52.55% | 25.16% |
| 23 | 2026-09-05 | 65.5 | Lorient | 1 | 1930 | 18.57% | @ Lens | 0 | 2030 | 56.88% | 24.55% |
| 24 | 2026-09-20 | 64.2 | @ Auxerre | 2 | 1891 | 40.80% | Brest | 1 | 1923 | 33.26% | 25.95% |
| 25 | 2026-08-30 | 64.1 | @ Rennes | 3 | 1993 | 58.55% | Le Mans | 2 | 1876 | 17.21% | 24.24% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-13 | 48.4 | @ Lille | 2 | 2038 | 62.00% | Troyes | 0 | 1884 | 14.51% | 23.49% |
| 2 | 2026-08-30 | 51.0 | @ Paris FC | 3 | 1941 | 47.19% | Nice | 0 | 1925 | 27.15% | 25.66% |
| 3 | 2026-08-21 | 51.5 | @ Marseille | 4 | 1986 | 46.05% | Strasbourg | 0 | 1979 | 28.21% | 25.73% |
| 4 | 2026-09-19 | 51.6 | @ Lyon | 4 | 2027 | 45.74% | Rennes | 0 | 2022 | 28.51% | 25.75% |
| 5 | 2026-09-19 | 53.1 | @ Angers | 2 | 1881 | 46.21% | Troyes | 0 | 1872 | 28.06% | 25.72% |
| 6 | 2026-08-23 | 53.3 | Lille | 2 | 2004 | 45.72% | @ Angers | 0 | 1882 | 28.53% | 25.75% |
| 7 | 2026-08-30 | 54.8 | @ Monaco | 2 | 1996 | 40.83% | Marseille | 0 | 2027 | 33.22% | 25.95% |
| 8 | 2026-09-04 | 55.0 | @ Lyon | 3 | 2015 | 59.22% | Auxerre | 1 | 1891 | 16.67% | 24.11% |
| 9 | 2026-08-22 | 56.3 | @ Lens | 5 | 2028 | 55.84% | Auxerre | 2 | 1938 | 19.45% | 24.72% |
| 10 | 2026-09-11 | 56.6 | @ Rennes | 1 | 2011 | 48.19% | Marseille | 0 | 1987 | 26.22% | 25.59% |
| 11 | 2026-08-22 | 56.9 | Lyon | 2 | 1990 | 33.87% | @ Toulouse | 0 | 1954 | 40.17% | 25.96% |
| 12 | 2026-09-13 | 56.9 | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 2067 | 47.22% | @ Brest | 0 | 1934 | 27.12% | 25.66% |
| 13 | 2026-09-12 | 58.1 | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1879 | 43.20% | Nice | 0 | 1893 | 30.92% | 25.87% |
| 14 | 2026-09-03 | 58.3 | Lille | 1 | 2026 | 42.74% | @ Toulouse | 0 | 1926 | 31.37% | 25.89% |
| 15 | 2026-08-23 | 59.3 | Monaco | 1 | 1982 | 39.20% | @ Le Havre | 0 | 1908 | 34.82% | 25.98% |
| 16 | 2026-09-06 | 61.2 | Strasbourg | 6 | 1953 | 33.03% | @ Troyes | 2 | 1923 | 41.03% | 25.94% |
| 17 | 2026-09-18 | 61.9 | @ Monaco | 2 | 2038 | 48.81% | Lens | 1 | 2009 | 25.66% | 25.54% |
| 18 | 2026-09-19 | 63.2 | @ Paris FC | 2 | 1987 | 44.51% | Strasbourg | 1 | 1991 | 29.67% | 25.82% |
| 19 | 2026-09-06 | 63.3 | Rennes | 2 | 2000 | 44.00% | @ Angers | 1 | 1891 | 30.16% | 25.84% |
| 20 | 2026-09-20 | 63.6 | Paris Saint-Germain | 2 | 2078 | 43.12% | @ Marseille | 1 | 1976 | 31.00% | 25.88% |
| 21 | 2026-08-30 | 64.1 | @ Rennes | 3 | 1993 | 58.55% | Le Mans | 2 | 1876 | 17.21% | 24.24% |
| 22 | 2026-09-20 | 64.2 | @ Auxerre | 2 | 1891 | 40.80% | Brest | 1 | 1923 | 33.26% | 25.95% |
| 23 | 2026-09-05 | 65.5 | Lorient | 1 | 1930 | 18.57% | @ Lens | 0 | 2030 | 56.88% | 24.55% |
| 24 | 2026-08-29 | 66.0 | Angers | 3 | 1860 | 22.28% | @ Auxerre | 1 | 1921 | 52.55% | 25.16% |
| 25 | 2026-09-19 | 66.1 | @ Le Mans | 2 | 1872 | 34.53% | Lorient | 1 | 1948 | 39.50% | 25.97% |