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2004-05 Umaglesi Liga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Dynamo Tbilisi

12th Title

Last Title: 2002-03

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Torpedo Kutaisi

10.65 points above expected

73 points · 62.35 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dila Gori

16.00 points below expected

10 points · 26.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 36 23 6 7 75 73 27 +46 69.15 +5.85
2 Torpedo Kutaisi 36 21 10 5 73 57 28 +29 62.35 +10.65
3 Rustavi 36 21 6 9 69 60 38 +22 62.40 +6.60
4 Lokomotive Tbilisi 36 16 15 5 63 42 24 +18 59.69 +3.31
5 Zestaponi 36 16 5 15 53 38 48 -10 43.02 +9.98
6 WIT Georgia 36 13 9 14 48 54 41 +13 59.44 -11.44
7 Sioni Bolnisi 36 12 4 20 40 35 56 -21 40.86 -0.86
8 Dinamo Batumi 36 9 12 15 39 35 33 +2 43.57 -4.57
9 Kolkheti-1913 Poti 36 9 5 22 32 32 63 -31 35.56 -3.56
10 Dila Gori 36 2 4 30 10 20 88 -68 26.00 -16.00

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Torpedo Kutaisi 73 62.35 +10.65
2 Zestaponi 53 43.02 +9.98
3 Rustavi 69 62.40 +6.60
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 75 69.15 +5.85
5 Lokomotive Tbilisi 63 59.69 +3.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dila Gori 10 26.00 -16.00
2 WIT Georgia 48 59.44 -11.44
3 Dinamo Batumi 39 43.57 -4.57
4 Kolkheti-1913 Poti 32 35.56 -3.56
5 Sioni Bolnisi 40 40.86 -0.86

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zestaponi 3 Dec 5 – Feb 25 1 in 273
2 Torpedo Kutaisi 7 Apr 26 – May 30 1 in 110
3 Dinamo Batumi 4 Sep 18 – Oct 7 1 in 36
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 5 Apr 2 – Apr 26 1 in 17
5 Rustavi 5 Feb 25 – Mar 16 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dila Gori 16 Feb 25 – May 22 1 in 287
2 Torpedo Kutaisi 3 Feb 25 – Mar 5 1 in 134
3 Zestaponi 5 Aug 2 – Aug 30 1 in 100
4 WIT Georgia 4 May 8 – May 22 1 in 61
5 Kolkheti-1913 Poti 5 Apr 2 – Apr 26 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zestaponi 12 Dec 5 – Apr 21 1 in 4,742
2 Lokomotive Tbilisi 17 Dec 5 – May 18 1 in 438
3 Torpedo Kutaisi 9 Jul 31 – Oct 2 1 in 33
4 Kolkheti-1913 Poti 5 Nov 11 – Feb 18 1 in 21
5 Dinamo Batumi 5 Sep 18 – Oct 16 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Batumi 15 Oct 16 – Mar 20 1 in 1,223
2 WIT Georgia 6 Mar 5 – Apr 10 1 in 52
3 Dila Gori 25 Oct 25 – May 30 1 in 42
4 Torpedo Kutaisi 5 Sep 25 – Oct 24 1 in 34
5 Rustavi 4 Mar 20 – Apr 17 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dinamo Tbilisi 1575 75 +22 11 10.2 +0.8
Torpedo Kutaisi 1539 73 +40 15 9.8 +5.2
Rustavi 1509 69 +51 12 8.1 +3.9
Lokomotive Tbilisi 1490 63 -13 8 9.2 -1.2
Zestaponi 1396 53 -20 7 8.7 -1.7
WIT Georgia 1423 48 -41 3 6.5 -3.5
Sioni Bolnisi 1361 40 +51 9 5.2 +3.8
Dinamo Batumi 1327 39 -20 3 5.1 -2.1
Kolkheti-1913 Poti 1186 32 -53 3 5.0 -2.0
Dila Gori 1041 10 -16 1 1.9 -0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DG DB DT KP LT RUS SB TK WG ZES
Dila Gori —
0-1-3
3.72
0-0-4
1.52
1-0-3
4.03
0-2-2
1.92
0-1-3
1.99
1-0-3
3.76
0-0-4
2.22
0-0-4
2.25
0-0-4
3.62
Dinamo Batumi
3-1-0
7.45
 —
1-0-3
2.95
3-1-0
6.71
0-4-0
4.24
0-1-3
3.55
1-0-3
6.09
0-1-3
3.76
0-3-1
3.81
1-1-2
5.72
Dinamo Tbilisi
4-0-0
9.81
3-0-1
8.21
 —
3-1-0
9.12
1-3-0
6.87
2-0-2
6.56
4-0-0
8.16
1-1-2
6.53
3-0-1
6.54
2-1-1
8.30
Kolkheti-1913 Poti
3-0-1
7.11
0-1-3
4.41
0-1-3
2.12
 —
0-0-4
3.26
1-0-3
2.79
1-1-2
4.93
1-1-2
2.99
0-1-3
3.16
3-0-1
4.58
Lokomotive Tbilisi
2-2-0
9.36
0-4-0
6.88
0-3-1
4.26
4-0-0
7.91
 —
2-0-2
5.06
3-1-0
7.36
1-2-1
5.25
2-2-0
5.66
2-1-1
6.90
Rustavi
3-1-0
9.27
3-1-0
7.59
2-0-2
4.55
3-0-1
8.38
2-0-2
6.05
 —
4-0-0
7.90
0-3-1
5.61
2-1-1
6.23
2-0-2
7.62
Sioni Bolnisi
3-0-1
7.38
3-0-1
5.03
0-0-4
3.01
2-1-1
6.19
0-1-3
3.77
0-0-4
3.27
 —
0-0-4
3.27
2-1-1
3.20
2-1-1
5.06
Torpedo Kutaisi
4-0-0
9.04
3-1-0
7.38
2-1-1
4.59
2-1-1
8.19
1-2-1
5.87
1-3-0
5.50
4-0-0
7.89
 —
3-1-0
6.12
1-1-2
7.32
WIT Georgia
4-0-0
8.99
1-3-0
7.33
1-0-3
4.57
3-1-0
8.01
0-2-2
5.45
1-1-2
4.89
1-1-2
7.96
0-1-3
4.99
 —
2-0-2
7.23
Zestaponi
4-0-0
7.56
2-1-1
5.40
1-1-2
2.89
1-0-3
6.54
1-1-2
4.24
2-0-2
3.54
1-1-2
6.06
2-1-1
3.83
2-0-2
3.92
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +11.5
Allowed 0.77 -9.1
Differential 0.89 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%10.00%6.39%4.72%1.94%1.67%35.83%
110.00%7.78%7.50%3.06%1.67%—30.00%
26.39%7.50%2.22%1.94%—0.56%18.61%
34.72%3.06%1.94%———9.72%
41.94%1.67%————3.61%
5+1.67%—0.56%———2.22%
Total35.83%30.00%18.61%9.72%3.61%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.33 2.08
CV 1.07 1.07 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%11.11%13.89%8.33%2.78%58.33%
1——13.89%8.33%5.56%—27.78%
22.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%13.89%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%16.67%27.78%25.00%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.56 2.44 -1.89
SD 0.73 1.76 1.88
CV 1.32 0.72 —
Max 2 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%5.56%2.78%——41.67%
18.33%16.67%11.11%———36.11%
25.56%——5.56%——11.11%
38.33%—————8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total41.67%33.33%16.67%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 0.92 +0.06
SD 1.16 0.97 1.62
CV 1.19 1.06 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%—2.78%—2.78%27.78%
113.89%2.78%5.56%———22.22%
28.33%2.78%————11.11%
311.11%2.78%5.56%———19.44%
42.78%8.33%————11.11%
5+5.56%—2.78%———8.33%
Total55.56%25.00%13.89%2.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.75 +1.28
SD 2.04 1.11 2.44
CV 1.00 1.47 —
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%8.33%22.22%2.78%2.78%55.56%
15.56%2.78%11.11%———19.44%
22.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%—————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total22.22%22.22%25.00%25.00%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.75 -0.86
SD 1.35 1.38 2.19
CV 1.52 0.79 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.56%—2.78%———33.33%
119.44%11.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%—38.89%
25.56%2.78%———2.78%11.11%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total63.89%22.22%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.67 +0.50
SD 1.18 1.20 1.56
CV 1.01 1.79 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
116.67%5.56%—5.56%2.78%—30.56%
211.11%5.56%8.33%———25.00%
32.78%8.33%5.56%———16.67%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%36.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.06 +0.61
SD 1.29 1.07 1.78
CV 0.77 1.01 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%19.44%16.67%2.78%2.78%5.56%50.00%
12.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
25.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
38.33%—5.56%———13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%30.56%5.56%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.56 -0.58
SD 1.13 1.36 2.09
CV 1.17 0.88 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%————11.11%
116.67%16.67%5.56%—2.78%—41.67%
211.11%16.67%5.56%———33.33%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total41.67%44.44%11.11%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.78 +0.81
SD 1.08 0.87 1.47
CV 0.68 1.11 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%5.56%———27.78%
12.78%11.11%11.11%5.56%——30.56%
25.56%8.33%—8.33%——22.22%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%33.33%19.44%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.14 +0.36
SD 1.44 1.05 1.90
CV 0.96 0.92 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%11.11%—5.56%2.78%33.33%
113.89%5.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
25.56%16.67%————22.22%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%30.56%19.44%5.56%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.33 -0.28
SD 0.95 1.37 1.95
CV 0.90 1.03 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dinamo Tbilisi 1575 75 69.15 +5.85 78.0% 54 55 63 69 75 83 91
Torpedo Kutaisi 1539 73 62.35 +10.65 90.0% 44 47 56 63 68 75 80
Rustavi 1509 69 62.40 +6.60 79.0% 41 51 56 61 68 74 80
Lokomotive Tbilisi 1490 63 59.69 +3.31 69.0% 42 45 55 60 65 73 77
WIT Georgia 1423 48 59.44 -11.44 7.0% 30 48 54 59 65 73 80
Zestaponi 1396 53 43.02 +9.98 93.0% 27 32 37 43 47 55 60
Sioni Bolnisi 1361 40 40.86 -0.86 46.0% 25 29 35 41 46 53 56
Dinamo Batumi 1327 39 43.57 -4.57 29.0% 27 33 37 44 49 56 58
Kolkheti-1913 Poti 1186 32 35.56 -3.56 38.0% 15 22 30 34 42 48 51
Dila Gori 1041 10 26.00 -16.00 0.0% 11 15 21 26 30 35 39

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 13% * Slight Edge: 13% to 18.5% * Clear Edge: 18.5% to 29% * Strong Edge: 29% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.78%
Slight Edge
48.33%21.11%30.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge
170 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
062.43500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.59 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.14 * Tight Race: 0.14 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.1 * Some Luck: 6.1 to 9.15 * Lucky: 9.15 to 12.2 * Wild Swing: 12.2 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.91 * Close: 0.91 to 1.36 * Off: 1.36 to 1.81 * Way Off: 1.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.50 points
Some Luck
07.6319
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.132.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.00%
Zestaponi
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Dila Gori
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.22 * Top-Heavy: 0.22 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.95 * Moderate Separation: 1.95 to 2.25 * Strong Separation: 2.25 to 2.45 * Wide Separation: 2.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 78.5% * Clear Edge: 78.5% to 82% * Wide Edge: 82% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 94% * Clear Edge: 94% to 96% * Strong Edge: 96% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Even
00.190.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 166.53
2.55
Wide Separation
11.952.253
Interquartile Edge
73%
Slight Edge
50%72.5%82%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
96%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.44 * Slight Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.51 * Some Carryover: 0.51 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.74 * Near-Lock: 0.74 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.45
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Strong Carryover
00.510.741
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Very Shaky
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.97
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Dinamo Tbilisi52.00%22.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%————
Torpedo Kutaisi17.00%30.00%15.00%16.00%12.00%8.00%2.00%———
Rustavi15.00%20.00%24.00%26.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%———
Lokomotive Tbilisi10.00%14.00%21.00%23.00%21.00%8.00%3.00%———
Zestaponi——1.00%3.00%8.00%16.00%32.00%28.00%11.00%1.00%
WIT Georgia6.00%14.00%28.00%21.00%18.00%8.00%4.00%——1.00%
Sioni Bolnisi——1.00%—9.00%16.00%19.00%32.00%18.00%5.00%
Dinamo Batumi——1.00%1.00%13.00%33.00%19.00%19.00%13.00%1.00%
Kolkheti-1913 Poti————2.00%8.00%18.00%18.00%41.00%13.00%
Dila Gori——————1.00%3.00%17.00%79.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Dila Gori 100%
Dinamo Batumi 100%
Dinamo Tbilisi 100%
Kolkheti-1913 Poti 100%
Lokomotive Tbilisi 100%
Rustavi 100%
Sioni Bolnisi 100%
Torpedo Kutaisi 100%
WIT Georgia 100%
Zestaponi 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2004-07-31 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-039.6 1370 1373 46.96% 22.24% 30.80%+0.35 +19.9 3
2004-07-31 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-239.6 1373 1370 30.80% 22.24% 46.96%-0.35 -19.9 0
2004-07-31 WIT Georgia L 1-246.9 1309 1480 24.85% 21.89% 53.26%-0.64 -8.3 0
2004-07-31 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 2-146.9 1480 1309 53.26% 21.89% 24.85%+0.64 +8.3 3
2004-08-01 Dinamo Batumi L 0-146.1 1290 1269 50.13% 22.10% 27.77%+0.49 -15.6 0
2004-08-01 @ Dila Gori W 1-046.1 1269 1290 27.77% 22.10% 50.13%-0.49 +15.7 3
2004-08-02 Rustavi L 1-351.0 1398 1418 44.74% 22.31% 32.94%+0.25 -23.2 0
2004-08-02 @ Zestaponi W 3-151.0 1418 1398 32.94% 22.31% 44.74%-0.25 +23.2 3
2004-08-02 Sioni Bolnisi W 6-041.1 1491 1450 52.47% 21.95% 25.58%+0.60 +47.3 3
2004-08-02 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-641.1 1450 1491 25.58% 21.95% 52.47%-0.60 -47.3 0
2004-08-06 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 3-033.0 1441 1300 63.08% 20.73% 16.18%+1.20 +16.4 6
2004-08-06 @ Rustavi L 0-333.0 1300 1441 16.18% 20.73% 63.08%-1.20 -16.4 0
2004-08-07 Dila Gori W 3-247.4 1403 1274 61.97% 20.92% 17.12%+1.13 +5.7 3
2004-08-07 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 2-347.4 1274 1403 17.12% 20.92% 61.97%-1.13 -5.7 0
2004-08-07 Dinamo Batumi D 0-051.0 1353 1284 55.80% 21.68% 22.53%+0.77 -2.6 1
2004-08-07 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-051.0 1284 1353 22.53% 21.68% 55.80%-0.77 +2.6 4
2004-08-07 Zestaponi W 4-036.8 1389 1375 49.32% 22.14% 28.54%+0.45 +35.4 6
2004-08-07 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-436.8 1375 1389 28.54% 22.14% 49.32%-0.45 -35.4 0
2004-08-08 Dinamo Tbilisi L 2-364.2 1489 1538 40.70% 22.38% 36.92%+0.08 -11.8 3
2004-08-08 @ WIT Georgia W 3-264.2 1538 1489 36.92% 22.38% 40.70%-0.08 +11.8 6
2004-08-14 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-446.5 1339 1351 45.94% 22.28% 31.78%+0.30 -33.5 0
2004-08-14 @ Zestaponi W 4-146.5 1351 1339 31.78% 22.28% 45.94%-0.30 +33.5 4
2004-08-14 Sioni Bolnisi W 2-043.8 1287 1409 30.75% 22.24% 47.01%-0.35 +27.9 7
2004-08-14 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-243.8 1409 1287 47.01% 22.24% 30.75%+0.35 -27.9 3
2004-08-14 Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-140.9 1284 1425 28.37% 22.13% 49.50%-0.46 -9.9 0
2004-08-14 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 1-040.9 1425 1284 49.50% 22.13% 28.37%+0.46 +9.8 9
2004-08-15 Rustavi W 4-147.0 1550 1458 58.28% 21.41% 20.31%+0.91 +17.0 9
2004-08-15 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-447.0 1458 1550 20.31% 21.41% 58.28%-0.91 -17.0 6
2004-08-15 WIT Georgia L 1-342.2 1269 1477 21.09% 21.51% 57.39%-0.86 -12.5 0
2004-08-15 @ Dila Gori W 3-142.2 1477 1269 57.39% 21.51% 21.09%+0.86 +12.5 6
2004-08-21 Dinamo Batumi W 3-248.3 1489 1315 65.99% 20.18% 13.82%+1.40 +4.6 9
2004-08-21 @ WIT Georgia L 2-348.3 1315 1489 13.82% 20.18% 65.99%-1.40 -4.6 7
2004-08-21 Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-164.5 1435 1567 29.48% 22.19% 48.34%-0.41 +1.3 10
2004-08-21 @ Torpedo Kutaisi D 1-164.5 1567 1435 48.34% 22.19% 29.48%+0.41 -1.3 10
2004-08-21 Kolkheti-1913 Poti L 1-252.3 1306 1274 51.45% 22.02% 26.53%+0.56 -15.1 0
2004-08-21 @ Zestaponi W 2-152.3 1274 1306 26.53% 22.02% 51.45%-0.56 +15.1 3
2004-08-21 Sioni Bolnisi W 4-037.3 1384 1381 47.86% 22.21% 29.93%+0.39 +36.8 7
2004-08-21 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-437.3 1381 1384 29.93% 22.21% 47.86%-0.39 -36.8 3
2004-08-22 Dila Gori W 4-136.0 1441 1256 66.83% 20.00% 13.17%+1.46 +11.4 9
2004-08-22 @ Rustavi L 1-436.0 1256 1441 13.17% 20.00% 66.83%-1.46 -11.4 0
2004-08-29 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-336.9 1289 1421 29.49% 22.19% 48.33%-0.41 -27.9 3
2004-08-29 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 3-036.9 1421 1289 48.33% 22.19% 29.49%+0.41 +27.8 10
2004-08-29 Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-138.7 1245 1436 22.77% 21.70% 55.53%-0.76 -8.2 0
2004-08-29 @ Dila Gori W 1-038.7 1436 1245 55.53% 21.70% 22.77%+0.76 +8.2 13
2004-08-29 WIT Georgia W 3-260.7 1344 1494 27.30% 22.07% 50.63%-0.52 +14.1 6
2004-08-29 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 2-360.7 1494 1344 50.63% 22.07% 27.30%+0.52 -14.1 9
2004-08-30 Rustavi D 1-157.4 1310 1452 28.28% 22.13% 49.59%-0.47 +1.5 8
2004-08-30 @ Dinamo Batumi D 1-157.4 1452 1310 49.59% 22.13% 28.28%+0.47 -1.5 10
2004-08-30 Zestaponi W 2-034.2 1565 1291 73.22% 18.21% 8.57%+1.99 +6.0 13
2004-08-30 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-234.2 1291 1565 8.57% 18.21% 73.22%-1.99 -6.0 0
2004-09-11 Dila Gori W 2-035.6 1285 1237 53.43% 21.88% 24.69%+0.65 +16.5 3
2004-09-11 @ Zestaponi L 0-235.6 1237 1285 24.69% 21.88% 53.43%-0.65 -16.5 0
2004-09-11 Dinamo Batumi W 2-035.2 1444 1312 62.30% 20.86% 16.84%+1.15 +11.7 16
2004-09-11 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-235.2 1312 1444 16.84% 20.86% 62.30%-1.15 -11.7 8
2004-09-11 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 4-030.5 1571 1261 75.35% 17.43% 7.22%+2.20 +9.5 16
2004-09-11 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-430.5 1261 1571 7.22% 17.43% 75.35%-2.20 -9.5 3
2004-09-11 WIT Georgia D 0-056.9 1449 1480 43.25% 22.35% 34.41%+0.19 -0.7 11
2004-09-11 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-056.9 1480 1449 34.41% 22.35% 43.25%-0.19 +0.7 10
2004-09-12 Sioni Bolnisi W 3-143.2 1451 1358 58.34% 21.41% 20.25%+0.91 +12.0 13
2004-09-12 @ Rustavi L 1-343.2 1358 1451 20.25% 21.41% 58.34%-0.91 -12.0 6
2004-09-18 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 2-038.6 1220 1252 43.13% 22.35% 34.52%+0.18 +21.8 3
2004-09-18 @ Dila Gori L 0-238.6 1252 1220 34.52% 22.35% 43.13%-0.18 -21.8 3
2004-09-18 Rustavi L 0-250.6 1481 1463 49.73% 22.12% 28.15%+0.47 -29.3 10
2004-09-18 @ WIT Georgia W 2-050.6 1463 1481 28.15% 22.12% 49.73%-0.47 +29.3 16
2004-09-18 Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-241.2 1346 1456 32.27% 22.29% 45.43%-0.28 -20.6 6
2004-09-18 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 2-041.2 1456 1346 45.43% 22.29% 32.27%+0.28 +20.6 19
2004-09-18 Zestaponi W 5-035.5 1300 1301 47.26% 22.23% 30.51%+0.36 +46.1 11
2004-09-18 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-535.5 1301 1300 30.51% 22.23% 47.26%-0.36 -46.1 3
2004-09-20 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-061.0 1581 1448 62.32% 20.86% 16.82%+1.15 -3.7 17
2004-09-20 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-061.0 1448 1581 16.82% 20.86% 62.32%-1.15 +3.7 12
2004-09-25 Dila Gori W 3-030.4 1577 1242 76.76% 16.86% 6.38%+2.34 +6.4 20
2004-09-25 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-330.4 1242 1577 6.38% 16.86% 76.76%-2.34 -6.4 3
2004-09-25 Dinamo Batumi L 0-140.6 1230 1346 31.46% 22.27% 46.27%-0.32 -10.7 3
2004-09-25 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 1-040.6 1346 1230 46.27% 22.27% 31.46%+0.32 +10.7 14
2004-09-25 Rustavi W 3-152.2 1452 1492 42.00% 22.37% 35.64%+0.13 +19.3 15
2004-09-25 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-352.2 1492 1452 35.64% 22.37% 42.00%-0.13 -19.4 16
2004-09-25 Sioni Bolnisi W 1-043.2 1255 1325 37.69% 22.38% 39.93%-0.05 +13.0 6
2004-09-25 @ Zestaponi L 0-143.2 1325 1255 39.93% 22.38% 37.69%+0.05 -13.0 6
2004-09-25 WIT Georgia D 1-161.9 1477 1451 50.67% 22.07% 27.27%+0.52 -1.6 20
2004-09-25 @ Torpedo Kutaisi D 1-161.9 1451 1477 27.27% 22.07% 50.67%-0.52 +1.6 11
2004-10-02 Kolkheti-1913 Poti D 2-261.0 1312 1219 58.42% 21.40% 20.19%+0.92 -2.0 7
2004-10-02 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 2-261.0 1219 1312 20.19% 21.40% 58.42%-0.92 +2.1 4
2004-10-02 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-051.9 1235 1471 18.60% 21.17% 60.23%-1.02 +3.4 4
2004-10-02 @ Dila Gori D 0-051.9 1471 1235 60.23% 21.17% 18.60%+1.02 -3.4 16
2004-10-02 Torpedo Kutaisi D 1-162.5 1473 1475 47.11% 22.24% 30.66%+0.35 -1.1 17
2004-10-02 @ Rustavi D 1-162.5 1475 1473 30.66% 22.24% 47.11%-0.35 +1.1 21
2004-10-02 Zestaponi W 4-030.8 1453 1268 66.83% 20.00% 13.17%+1.46 +17.6 14
2004-10-02 @ WIT Georgia L 0-430.8 1268 1453 13.17% 20.00% 66.83%-1.46 -17.6 6
2004-10-03 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-051.3 1357 1583 19.41% 21.29% 59.30%-0.97 +49.9 17
2004-10-03 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-351.3 1583 1357 59.30% 21.29% 19.41%+0.97 -50.0 20
2004-10-06 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 2-139.8 1470 1221 71.56% 18.75% 9.68%+1.84 +3.4 17
2004-10-06 @ WIT Georgia L 1-239.8 1221 1470 9.68% 18.75% 71.56%-1.84 -3.4 4
2004-10-07 Dila Gori W 2-032.8 1407 1239 65.46% 20.29% 14.24%+1.36 +10.0 20
2004-10-07 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-232.8 1239 1407 14.24% 20.29% 65.46%-1.36 -10.0 4
2004-10-07 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-140.8 1310 1534 19.72% 21.34% 58.94%-0.95 -7.2 7
2004-10-07 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 1-040.8 1534 1310 58.94% 21.34% 19.72%+0.95 +7.2 23
2004-10-07 Torpedo Kutaisi W 1-047.7 1468 1476 46.34% 22.26% 31.39%+0.32 +10.7 19
2004-10-07 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-147.7 1476 1468 31.39% 22.26% 46.34%-0.32 -10.7 21
2004-10-07 Zestaponi W 2-032.5 1471 1251 69.60% 19.32% 11.08%+1.67 +7.8 20
2004-10-07 @ Rustavi L 0-232.5 1251 1471 11.08% 19.32% 69.60%-1.67 -7.8 6
2004-10-16 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-160.7 1417 1479 38.91% 22.39% 38.70%+0.00 -0.0 21
2004-10-16 @ Dinamo Batumi D 1-160.7 1479 1417 38.70% 22.39% 38.91%+0.00 +0.0 20
2004-10-16 Rustavi W 1-050.6 1218 1479 16.53% 20.80% 62.67%-1.17 +19.2 7
2004-10-16 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti L 0-150.6 1479 1218 62.67% 20.80% 16.53%+1.17 -19.2 20
2004-10-16 Sioni Bolnisi W 2-148.9 1229 1303 37.09% 22.38% 40.53%-0.07 +12.4 7
2004-10-16 @ Dila Gori L 1-248.9 1303 1229 40.53% 22.38% 37.09%+0.07 -12.3 7
2004-10-16 Torpedo Kutaisi D 1-156.7 1243 1465 19.76% 21.34% 58.90%-0.94 +2.8 7
2004-10-16 @ Zestaponi D 1-156.7 1465 1243 58.90% 21.34% 19.76%+0.94 -2.8 22
2004-10-16 WIT Georgia W 3-258.2 1541 1474 55.57% 21.70% 22.73%+0.76 +7.3 26
2004-10-16 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 2-358.2 1474 1541 22.73% 21.70% 55.57%-0.76 -7.3 17
2004-10-24 Dinamo Batumi W 1-046.7 1291 1417 30.21% 22.22% 47.57%-0.37 +14.9 10
2004-10-24 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 0-146.7 1417 1291 47.57% 22.22% 30.21%+0.37 -14.9 21
2004-10-24 Kolkheti-1913 Poti D 1-157.3 1463 1237 69.92% 19.23% 10.85%+1.70 -4.4 23
2004-10-24 @ Torpedo Kutaisi D 1-157.3 1237 1463 10.85% 19.23% 69.92%-1.70 +4.5 8
2004-10-24 Zestaponi L 1-258.6 1479 1246 70.47% 19.08% 10.45%+1.74 -20.2 20
2004-10-24 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi W 2-158.6 1246 1479 10.45% 19.08% 70.47%-1.74 +20.2 10
2004-10-25 Dila Gori W 2-032.2 1467 1241 69.92% 19.23% 10.84%+1.70 +7.7 20
2004-10-25 @ WIT Georgia L 0-232.2 1241 1467 10.84% 19.23% 69.92%-1.70 -7.7 7
2004-10-25 Dinamo Tbilisi W 5-048.5 1460 1548 35.21% 22.36% 42.43%-0.15 +59.9 23
2004-10-25 @ Rustavi L 0-548.5 1548 1460 42.43% 22.36% 35.21%+0.15 -60.0 26
2004-10-30 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-157.4 1306 1458 27.00% 22.05% 50.95%-0.53 +1.7 11
2004-10-30 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 1-157.4 1458 1306 50.95% 22.05% 27.00%+0.53 -1.7 21
2004-10-30 Rustavi D 2-263.5 1233 1520 14.68% 20.40% 64.92%-1.32 +2.8 8
2004-10-30 @ Dila Gori D 2-263.5 1520 1233 64.92% 20.40% 14.68%+1.32 -2.8 24
2004-10-30 Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-259.4 1488 1458 51.23% 22.03% 26.74%+0.54 -15.0 26
2004-10-30 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-159.4 1458 1488 26.74% 22.03% 51.23%-0.54 +15.0 26
2004-10-30 WIT Georgia D 1-160.1 1402 1474 37.40% 22.38% 40.22%-0.06 +0.2 22
2004-10-30 @ Dinamo Batumi D 1-160.1 1474 1402 40.22% 22.38% 37.40%+0.06 -0.2 21
2004-10-30 Zestaponi W 2-038.4 1242 1266 44.20% 22.33% 33.48%+0.23 +21.2 11
2004-10-30 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti L 0-238.4 1266 1242 33.48% 22.33% 44.20%-0.23 -21.2 10
2004-11-07 Dila Gori W 2-140.3 1473 1236 70.74% 19.00% 10.26%+1.76 +3.6 29
2004-11-07 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-240.3 1236 1473 10.26% 19.00% 70.74%-1.76 -3.6 8
2004-11-07 Dinamo Batumi W 3-253.2 1517 1402 60.64% 21.11% 18.25%+1.05 +6.0 27
2004-11-07 @ Rustavi L 2-353.2 1402 1517 18.25% 21.11% 60.64%-1.05 -6.0 22
2004-11-07 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 2-033.0 1457 1263 67.56% 19.84% 12.60%+1.51 +8.9 24
2004-11-07 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-233.0 1263 1457 12.60% 19.84% 67.56%-1.51 -8.9 11
2004-11-07 Sioni Bolnisi W 2-143.1 1474 1308 65.33% 20.32% 14.35%+1.35 +5.0 24
2004-11-07 @ WIT Georgia L 1-243.1 1308 1474 14.35% 20.32% 65.33%-1.35 -5.0 11
2004-11-08 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-235.4 1244 1473 19.23% 21.26% 59.50%-0.98 -13.3 10
2004-11-08 @ Zestaponi W 2-035.4 1473 1244 59.50% 21.26% 19.23%+0.98 +13.3 29
2004-11-11 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-052.3 1254 1486 18.91% 21.22% 59.88%-1.00 +3.3 12
2004-11-11 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti D 0-052.3 1486 1254 59.88% 21.22% 18.91%+1.00 -3.3 30
2004-11-11 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-057.5 1479 1466 49.16% 22.15% 28.69%+0.45 -1.6 25
2004-11-11 @ WIT Georgia D 0-057.5 1466 1479 28.69% 22.15% 49.16%-0.45 +1.6 25
2004-11-11 Rustavi L 0-237.8 1302 1523 19.93% 21.36% 58.70%-0.93 -13.7 11
2004-11-11 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 2-037.8 1523 1302 58.70% 21.36% 19.93%+0.93 +13.7 30
2004-11-11 Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-146.8 1396 1477 36.22% 22.37% 41.41%-0.11 -12.0 22
2004-11-11 @ Dinamo Batumi W 1-046.8 1477 1396 41.41% 22.37% 36.22%+0.11 +12.0 32
2004-11-12 Zestaponi L 0-145.0 1233 1231 47.61% 22.22% 30.17%+0.38 -15.0 8
2004-11-12 @ Dila Gori W 1-045.0 1231 1233 30.17% 22.22% 47.61%-0.38 +15.0 13
2004-11-20 Dila Gori W 4-033.3 1257 1218 52.41% 21.95% 25.64%+0.60 +32.4 15
2004-11-20 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti L 0-433.3 1218 1257 25.64% 21.95% 52.41%-0.60 -32.4 8
2004-11-20 Dinamo Batumi W 2-152.0 1246 1384 28.74% 22.15% 49.11%-0.44 +14.5 16
2004-11-20 @ Zestaponi L 1-252.0 1384 1246 49.11% 22.15% 28.74%+0.44 -14.5 22
2004-11-20 Sioni Bolnisi W 5-031.5 1489 1289 68.04% 19.72% 12.24%+1.55 +20.2 35
2004-11-20 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-531.5 1289 1489 12.24% 19.72% 68.04%-1.55 -20.2 11
2004-11-20 WIT Georgia L 0-254.6 1537 1477 54.73% 21.77% 23.50%+0.72 -31.9 30
2004-11-20 @ Rustavi W 2-054.6 1477 1537 23.50% 21.77% 54.73%-0.72 +31.9 28
2004-11-21 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 5-249.9 1483 1467 49.46% 22.13% 28.41%+0.46 +19.7 33
2004-11-21 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 2-549.9 1467 1483 28.41% 22.13% 49.46%-0.46 -19.7 25
2004-11-27 Kolkheti-1913 Poti D 0-051.2 1370 1290 57.01% 21.56% 21.44%+0.84 -2.8 23
2004-11-27 @ Dinamo Batumi D 0-051.2 1290 1370 21.44% 21.56% 57.01%-0.84 +2.8 16
2004-11-27 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 3-148.7 1505 1447 54.51% 21.79% 23.70%+0.71 +13.8 33
2004-11-27 @ Rustavi L 1-348.7 1447 1505 23.70% 21.79% 54.51%-0.71 -13.8 25
2004-11-27 Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-358.5 1509 1509 47.48% 22.22% 30.30%+0.37 -24.4 28
2004-11-27 @ WIT Georgia W 3-158.5 1509 1509 30.30% 22.22% 47.48%-0.37 +24.4 38
2004-11-27 Zestaponi W 2-145.5 1269 1261 48.45% 22.18% 29.37%+0.41 +9.6 14
2004-11-27 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 1-245.5 1261 1269 29.37% 22.18% 48.45%-0.41 -9.5 16
2004-11-28 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-435.7 1185 1503 12.68% 19.86% 67.46%-1.50 -11.0 8
2004-11-28 @ Dila Gori W 4-135.7 1503 1185 67.46% 19.86% 12.68%+1.50 +11.0 36
2004-12-05 Dila Gori W 3-136.2 1434 1174 72.25% 18.54% 9.22%+1.90 +5.6 28
2004-12-05 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-336.2 1174 1434 9.22% 18.54% 72.25%-1.90 -5.6 8
2004-12-05 Dinamo Batumi W 1-040.4 1514 1367 63.63% 20.64% 15.73%+1.23 +5.8 39
2004-12-05 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-140.4 1367 1514 15.73% 20.64% 63.63%-1.23 -5.8 23
2004-12-05 Rustavi D 2-272.2 1533 1519 49.31% 22.14% 28.55%+0.45 -1.1 39
2004-12-05 @ Torpedo Kutaisi D 2-272.2 1519 1533 28.55% 22.14% 49.31%-0.45 +1.1 34
2004-12-05 Sioni Bolnisi W 3-035.3 1293 1278 49.28% 22.14% 28.57%+0.45 +27.1 19
2004-12-05 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti L 0-335.3 1278 1293 28.57% 22.14% 49.28%-0.45 -27.1 14
2004-12-05 WIT Georgia W 3-153.7 1251 1485 18.77% 21.19% 60.04%-1.01 +30.1 19
2004-12-05 @ Zestaponi L 1-353.7 1485 1251 60.04% 21.19% 18.77%+1.01 -30.1 28
2005-02-18 Dinamo Batumi D 0-050.3 1169 1361 22.69% 21.69% 55.62%-0.76 +2.6 9
2005-02-18 @ Dila Gori D 0-050.3 1361 1169 55.62% 21.69% 22.69%+0.76 -2.6 24
2005-02-18 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-058.7 1532 1439 58.40% 21.40% 20.20%+0.92 -3.1 40
2005-02-18 @ Torpedo Kutaisi D 0-058.7 1439 1532 20.20% 21.40% 58.40%-0.92 +3.1 29
2005-02-18 Rustavi W 1-051.9 1281 1520 18.36% 21.13% 60.51%-1.04 +18.6 22
2005-02-18 @ Zestaponi L 0-151.9 1520 1281 60.51% 21.13% 18.36%+1.04 -18.6 34
2005-02-18 Sioni Bolnisi W 1-034.9 1520 1251 72.84% 18.34% 8.82%+1.95 +3.3 42
2005-02-18 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-134.9 1251 1520 8.82% 18.34% 72.84%-1.95 -3.3 14
2005-02-18 WIT Georgia D 0-052.7 1320 1455 29.06% 22.17% 48.77%-0.43 +1.5 20
2005-02-18 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti D 0-052.7 1455 1320 48.77% 22.17% 29.06%+0.43 -1.5 29
2005-02-25 Dila Gori W 3-032.6 1248 1171 56.62% 21.60% 21.78%+0.82 +21.5 17
2005-02-25 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 0-332.6 1171 1248 21.78% 21.60% 56.62%-0.82 -21.5 9
2005-02-25 Dinamo Batumi D 1-158.3 1442 1358 57.45% 21.51% 21.04%+0.86 -2.6 30
2005-02-25 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-158.3 1358 1442 21.04% 21.51% 57.45%-0.86 +2.6 25
2005-02-25 Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-051.5 1453 1523 37.81% 22.39% 39.81%-0.04 +12.9 32
2005-02-25 @ WIT Georgia L 0-151.5 1523 1453 39.81% 22.39% 37.81%+0.04 -12.9 42
2005-02-25 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 3-248.6 1501 1321 66.46% 20.08% 13.46%+1.43 +4.5 37
2005-02-25 @ Rustavi L 2-348.6 1321 1501 13.46% 20.08% 66.46%-1.43 -4.5 20
2005-02-25 Zestaponi L 0-154.9 1529 1300 70.21% 19.15% 10.64%+1.72 -21.4 40
2005-02-25 @ Torpedo Kutaisi W 1-054.9 1300 1529 10.64% 19.15% 70.21%-1.72 +21.3 25
2005-03-01 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 1-157.3 1321 1440 31.15% 22.26% 46.59%-0.33 +1.0 26
2005-03-01 @ Zestaponi D 1-157.3 1440 1321 46.59% 22.26% 31.15%+0.33 -1.0 31
2005-03-01 Rustavi L 0-155.3 1510 1506 47.96% 22.20% 29.84%+0.39 -15.1 42
2005-03-01 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-055.3 1506 1510 29.84% 22.20% 47.96%-0.39 +15.1 40
2005-03-01 Sioni Bolnisi L 1-254.5 1361 1269 58.26% 21.42% 20.32%+0.91 -16.9 25
2005-03-01 @ Dinamo Batumi W 2-154.5 1269 1361 20.32% 21.42% 58.26%-0.91 +16.9 20
2005-03-01 Torpedo Kutaisi W 2-156.9 1317 1508 22.79% 21.70% 55.51%-0.76 +16.2 23
2005-03-01 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti L 1-256.9 1508 1317 55.51% 21.70% 22.79%+0.76 -16.2 40
2005-03-01 WIT Georgia L 0-429.5 1150 1466 12.74% 19.88% 67.38%-1.50 -17.0 9
2005-03-01 @ Dila Gori W 4-029.5 1466 1150 67.38% 19.88% 12.74%+1.50 +17.0 35
2005-03-05 Dila Gori W 2-137.0 1521 1133 79.44% 15.63% 4.93%+2.66 +1.7 43
2005-03-05 @ Rustavi L 1-237.0 1133 1521 4.93% 15.63% 79.44%-2.66 -1.7 9
2005-03-05 Dinamo Batumi D 1-159.2 1483 1344 62.94% 20.76% 16.30%+1.19 -3.4 36
2005-03-05 @ WIT Georgia D 1-159.2 1344 1483 16.30% 20.76% 62.94%-1.19 +3.4 26
2005-03-05 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-454.5 1492 1495 47.02% 22.24% 30.74%+0.35 -34.2 40
2005-03-05 @ Torpedo Kutaisi W 4-154.5 1495 1492 30.74% 22.24% 47.02%-0.35 +34.2 45
2005-03-05 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 2-147.1 1322 1333 46.02% 22.27% 31.70%+0.31 +10.2 29
2005-03-05 @ Zestaponi L 1-247.1 1333 1322 31.70% 22.27% 46.02%-0.31 -10.2 23
2005-03-05 Sioni Bolnisi W 2-034.1 1439 1286 64.13% 20.55% 15.32%+1.27 +10.7 34
2005-03-05 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-234.1 1286 1439 15.32% 20.55% 64.13%-1.27 -10.7 20
2005-03-12 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 1-248.2 1323 1449 30.11% 22.21% 47.67%-0.38 -9.8 23
2005-03-12 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 2-148.2 1449 1323 47.67% 22.21% 30.11%+0.38 +9.8 37
2005-03-12 Rustavi L 0-143.1 1347 1522 24.48% 21.86% 53.66%-0.66 -8.7 26
2005-03-12 @ Dinamo Batumi W 1-043.1 1522 1347 53.66% 21.86% 24.48%+0.66 +8.7 46
2005-03-12 Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-337.3 1131 1458 12.15% 19.69% 68.15%-1.56 -7.4 9
2005-03-12 @ Dila Gori W 3-137.3 1458 1131 68.15% 19.69% 12.15%+1.56 +7.4 43
2005-03-12 WIT Georgia D 1-157.4 1275 1480 21.46% 21.56% 56.98%-0.84 +2.5 21
2005-03-12 @ Sioni Bolnisi D 1-157.4 1480 1275 56.98% 21.56% 21.46%+0.84 -2.5 37
2005-03-12 Zestaponi L 0-155.2 1529 1332 67.77% 19.79% 12.44%+1.53 -20.7 45
2005-03-12 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-055.2 1332 1529 12.44% 19.79% 67.77%-1.53 +20.7 32
2005-03-16 Dila Gori W 3-028.7 1353 1124 70.21% 19.15% 10.64%+1.72 +10.9 35
2005-03-16 @ Zestaponi L 0-328.7 1124 1353 10.64% 19.15% 70.21%-1.72 -10.9 9
2005-03-16 Dinamo Batumi D 1-158.6 1465 1339 61.71% 20.95% 17.33%+1.11 -3.2 44
2005-03-16 @ Torpedo Kutaisi D 1-158.6 1339 1465 17.33% 20.95% 61.71%-1.11 +3.2 27
2005-03-16 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 2-035.0 1508 1313 67.68% 19.81% 12.51%+1.52 +8.8 48
2005-03-16 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-235.0 1313 1508 12.51% 19.81% 67.68%-1.52 -8.8 23
2005-03-16 Sioni Bolnisi W 1-036.0 1531 1278 71.84% 18.67% 9.49%+1.86 +3.5 49
2005-03-16 @ Rustavi L 0-136.0 1278 1531 9.49% 18.67% 71.84%-1.86 -3.5 21
2005-03-16 WIT Georgia W 1-047.9 1459 1477 45.00% 22.31% 32.69%+0.26 +11.1 40
2005-03-16 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-147.9 1477 1459 32.69% 22.31% 45.00%-0.26 -11.1 37
2005-03-20 Kolkheti-1913 Poti L 1-243.1 1113 1304 22.77% 21.70% 55.52%-0.76 -7.7 9
2005-03-20 @ Dila Gori W 2-143.1 1304 1113 55.52% 21.70% 22.77%+0.76 +7.7 26
2005-03-20 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-059.2 1517 1470 53.27% 21.89% 24.84%+0.64 -2.2 49
2005-03-20 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-059.2 1470 1517 24.84% 21.89% 53.27%-0.64 +2.2 41
2005-03-20 Rustavi D 0-059.5 1466 1535 37.95% 22.39% 39.66%-0.04 +0.1 38
2005-03-20 @ WIT Georgia D 0-059.5 1535 1466 39.66% 22.39% 37.95%+0.04 -0.1 50
2005-03-20 Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-139.6 1274 1462 23.19% 21.74% 55.07%-0.74 -8.3 21
2005-03-20 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 1-039.6 1462 1274 55.07% 21.74% 23.19%+0.74 +8.3 47
2005-03-20 Zestaponi D 0-051.5 1342 1364 44.48% 22.32% 33.20%+0.24 -0.8 28
2005-03-20 @ Dinamo Batumi D 0-051.5 1364 1342 33.20% 22.32% 44.48%-0.24 +0.8 36
2005-04-02 Dila Gori W 9-026.7 1515 1105 80.45% 15.11% 4.43%+2.78 +12.1 52
2005-04-02 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-926.7 1105 1515 4.43% 15.11% 80.45%-2.78 -12.1 9
2005-04-02 Dinamo Batumi L 0-144.8 1312 1341 43.48% 22.34% 34.18%+0.20 -13.9 26
2005-04-02 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 1-044.8 1341 1312 34.18% 22.34% 43.48%-0.20 +13.9 31
2005-04-02 Rustavi W 1-052.3 1472 1535 38.85% 22.39% 38.76%+0.00 +12.7 44
2005-04-02 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-152.3 1535 1472 38.76% 22.39% 38.85%+0.00 -12.6 50
2005-04-02 Sioni Bolnisi D 0-051.0 1365 1266 58.99% 21.33% 19.68%+0.95 -3.2 37
2005-04-02 @ Zestaponi D 0-051.0 1266 1365 19.68% 21.33% 58.99%-0.95 +3.2 22
2005-04-02 WIT Georgia W 2-152.8 1470 1466 47.89% 22.21% 29.91%+0.39 +9.7 50
2005-04-02 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-252.8 1466 1470 29.91% 22.21% 47.89%-0.39 -9.7 38
2005-04-10 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-249.3 1355 1527 24.81% 21.89% 53.30%-0.65 -8.3 31
2005-04-10 @ Dinamo Batumi W 2-149.3 1527 1355 53.30% 21.89% 24.81%+0.65 +8.3 55
2005-04-10 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 3-037.0 1269 1298 43.57% 22.34% 34.09%+0.20 +31.3 25
2005-04-10 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 0-337.0 1298 1269 34.09% 22.34% 43.57%-0.20 -31.3 26
2005-04-10 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-132.7 1093 1485 8.87% 18.37% 72.76%-1.94 -3.3 9
2005-04-10 @ Dila Gori W 1-032.7 1485 1093 72.76% 18.37% 8.87%+1.94 +3.3 47
2005-04-10 Torpedo Kutaisi D 2-270.3 1522 1480 52.72% 21.93% 25.35%+0.62 -1.4 51
2005-04-10 @ Rustavi D 2-270.3 1480 1522 25.35% 21.93% 52.72%-0.62 +1.4 51
2005-04-10 Zestaponi L 1-257.5 1457 1362 58.62% 21.37% 20.01%+0.93 -17.0 38
2005-04-10 @ WIT Georgia W 2-157.5 1362 1457 20.01% 21.37% 58.62%-0.93 +17.0 40
2005-04-17 Dila Gori W 3-028.0 1347 1090 72.09% 18.59% 9.32%+1.88 +9.5 34
2005-04-17 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-328.0 1090 1347 9.32% 18.59% 72.09%-1.88 -9.5 9
2005-04-17 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-140.2 1301 1535 18.70% 21.18% 60.12%-1.02 -6.8 25
2005-04-17 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 1-040.2 1535 1301 60.12% 21.18% 18.70%+1.02 +6.9 58
2005-04-17 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 6-031.3 1440 1267 65.89% 20.21% 13.91%+1.39 +27.2 41
2005-04-17 @ WIT Georgia L 0-631.3 1267 1440 13.91% 20.21% 65.89%-1.39 -27.2 26
2005-04-17 Torpedo Kutaisi D 0-058.4 1488 1481 48.38% 22.18% 29.44%+0.41 -1.5 48
2005-04-17 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-058.4 1481 1488 29.44% 22.18% 48.38%-0.41 +1.5 52
2005-04-17 Zestaponi L 0-350.9 1521 1379 63.17% 20.72% 16.11%+1.20 -53.0 51
2005-04-17 @ Rustavi W 3-050.9 1379 1521 16.11% 20.72% 63.17%-1.20 +53.0 43
2005-04-21 Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-054.3 1356 1487 29.61% 22.19% 48.20%-0.40 +1.4 35
2005-04-21 @ Dinamo Batumi D 0-054.3 1487 1356 48.20% 22.19% 29.61%+0.40 -1.4 49
2005-04-21 Rustavi L 0-137.9 1239 1468 19.28% 21.27% 59.45%-0.98 -7.0 26
2005-04-21 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 1-037.9 1468 1239 59.45% 21.27% 19.28%+0.98 +7.0 54
2005-04-21 Sioni Bolnisi L 0-233.9 1080 1294 20.60% 21.45% 57.95%-0.89 -14.1 9
2005-04-21 @ Dila Gori W 2-033.9 1294 1080 57.95% 21.45% 20.60%+0.89 +14.1 28
2005-04-21 Torpedo Kutaisi W 2-154.2 1432 1483 40.46% 22.38% 37.16%+0.07 +11.5 46
2005-04-21 @ Zestaponi L 1-254.2 1483 1432 37.16% 22.38% 40.46%-0.07 -11.5 52
2005-04-21 WIT Georgia W 1-047.1 1542 1467 56.50% 21.61% 21.89%+0.81 +7.9 61
2005-04-21 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-147.1 1467 1542 21.89% 21.61% 56.50%-0.81 -7.9 41
2005-04-26 Dila Gori W 4-025.3 1459 1066 79.67% 15.51% 4.82%+2.68 +6.1 44
2005-04-26 @ WIT Georgia L 0-425.3 1066 1459 4.82% 15.51% 79.67%-2.68 -6.1 9
2005-04-26 Dinamo Batumi W 2-148.8 1308 1358 40.61% 22.38% 37.01%+0.07 +11.5 31
2005-04-26 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 1-248.8 1358 1308 37.01% 22.38% 40.61%-0.07 -11.5 35
2005-04-26 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-355.6 1475 1550 36.95% 22.38% 40.67%-0.08 -19.9 54
2005-04-26 @ Rustavi W 3-155.6 1550 1475 40.67% 22.38% 36.95%+0.08 +19.9 64
2005-04-26 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 3-030.1 1471 1232 70.85% 18.97% 10.18%+1.77 +10.4 55
2005-04-26 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-330.1 1232 1471 10.18% 18.97% 70.85%-1.77 -10.4 26
2005-04-26 Zestaponi W 1-045.3 1486 1443 52.73% 21.93% 25.34%+0.62 +9.0 52
2005-04-26 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-145.3 1443 1486 25.34% 21.93% 52.73%-0.62 -9.0 46
2005-04-30 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-141.6 1319 1495 24.47% 21.86% 53.67%-0.66 -8.7 31
2005-04-30 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 1-041.6 1495 1319 53.67% 21.86% 24.47%+0.66 +8.7 55
2005-04-30 Rustavi L 0-132.3 1060 1455 8.76% 18.32% 72.92%-1.96 -3.3 9
2005-04-30 @ Dila Gori W 1-032.3 1455 1060 72.92% 18.32% 8.76%+1.96 +3.3 57
2005-04-30 Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-265.2 1570 1481 57.93% 21.46% 20.62%+0.89 -16.8 64
2005-04-30 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-165.2 1481 1570 20.62% 21.46% 57.93%-0.89 +16.8 58
2005-04-30 WIT Georgia D 0-053.5 1346 1465 31.09% 22.25% 46.66%-0.33 +1.2 36
2005-04-30 @ Dinamo Batumi D 0-053.5 1465 1346 46.66% 22.25% 31.09%+0.33 -1.2 45
2005-04-30 Zestaponi W 1-048.9 1222 1434 20.72% 21.47% 57.81%-0.88 +17.8 29
2005-04-30 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti L 0-148.9 1434 1222 57.81% 21.47% 20.72%+0.88 -17.8 46
2005-05-08 Dila Gori W 2-135.6 1498 1057 81.85% 14.36% 3.79%+2.97 +1.2 61
2005-05-08 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-235.6 1057 1498 3.79% 14.36% 81.85%-2.97 -1.2 9
2005-05-08 Dinamo Batumi W 1-039.4 1458 1347 60.20% 21.17% 18.63%+1.02 +6.8 60
2005-05-08 @ Rustavi L 0-139.4 1347 1458 18.63% 21.17% 60.20%-1.02 -6.8 36
2005-05-08 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-058.4 1416 1553 28.89% 22.16% 48.95%-0.44 +1.5 47
2005-05-08 @ Zestaponi D 0-058.4 1553 1416 48.95% 22.16% 28.89%+0.44 -1.5 65
2005-05-08 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 3-030.2 1503 1240 72.51% 18.45% 9.04%+1.92 +9.2 58
2005-05-08 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-330.2 1240 1503 9.04% 18.45% 72.51%-1.92 -9.2 29
2005-05-08 Sioni Bolnisi L 0-249.7 1464 1311 64.20% 20.54% 15.27%+1.27 -37.1 45
2005-05-08 @ WIT Georgia W 2-049.7 1311 1464 15.27% 20.54% 64.20%-1.27 +37.0 34
2005-05-14 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 3-029.8 1552 1231 75.97% 17.18% 6.84%+2.26 +6.9 68
2005-05-14 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-329.8 1231 1552 6.84% 17.18% 75.97%-2.26 -6.9 29
2005-05-14 Lokomotive Tbilisi L 0-148.8 1427 1512 35.55% 22.36% 42.08%-0.14 -11.8 45
2005-05-14 @ WIT Georgia W 1-048.8 1512 1427 42.08% 22.36% 35.55%+0.14 +11.8 61
2005-05-14 Rustavi L 0-241.2 1348 1465 31.35% 22.26% 46.39%-0.32 -20.2 34
2005-05-14 @ Sioni Bolnisi W 2-041.2 1465 1348 46.39% 22.26% 31.35%+0.32 +20.2 63
2005-05-14 Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-142.8 1340 1500 26.25% 22.00% 51.75%-0.57 -9.2 36
2005-05-14 @ Dinamo Batumi W 1-042.8 1500 1340 51.75% 22.00% 26.25%+0.57 +9.2 64
2005-05-14 Zestaponi L 1-238.6 1055 1418 10.22% 18.99% 70.79%-1.77 -3.6 9
2005-05-14 @ Dila Gori W 2-138.6 1418 1055 70.79% 18.99% 10.22%+1.77 +3.6 50
2005-05-18 Dila Gori W 6-234.1 1224 1052 65.78% 20.23% 13.99%+1.38 +13.2 32
2005-05-18 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti L 2-634.1 1052 1224 13.99% 20.23% 65.78%-1.38 -13.2 9
2005-05-18 Dinamo Batumi W 2-036.4 1422 1331 58.12% 21.43% 20.44%+0.90 +14.0 53
2005-05-18 @ Zestaponi L 0-236.4 1331 1422 20.44% 21.43% 58.12%-0.90 -14.0 36
2005-05-18 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-062.5 1524 1558 42.80% 22.35% 34.84%+0.17 -0.6 62
2005-05-18 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-062.5 1558 1524 34.84% 22.35% 42.80%-0.17 +0.6 69
2005-05-18 Sioni Bolnisi W 2-035.7 1509 1328 66.55% 20.06% 13.39%+1.44 +9.4 67
2005-05-18 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-235.7 1328 1509 13.39% 20.06% 66.55%-1.44 -9.4 34
2005-05-18 WIT Georgia W 2-149.1 1485 1415 55.90% 21.67% 22.44%+0.78 +7.6 66
2005-05-18 @ Rustavi L 1-249.1 1415 1485 22.44% 21.67% 55.90%-0.78 -7.6 45
2005-05-22 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-326.4 1039 1559 4.76% 15.45% 79.79%-2.70 -4.6 9
2005-05-22 @ Dila Gori W 3-026.4 1559 1039 79.79% 15.45% 4.76%+2.70 +4.6 72
2005-05-22 Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 3-032.9 1317 1237 57.05% 21.55% 21.39%+0.84 +21.2 39
2005-05-22 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-332.9 1237 1317 21.39% 21.55% 57.05%-0.84 -21.2 32
2005-05-22 Lokomotive Tbilisi W 4-151.9 1492 1524 43.22% 22.35% 34.43%+0.18 +26.6 69
2005-05-22 @ Rustavi L 1-451.9 1524 1492 34.43% 22.35% 43.22%-0.18 -26.6 62
2005-05-22 Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-253.1 1408 1518 32.17% 22.29% 45.54%-0.28 -10.3 45
2005-05-22 @ WIT Georgia W 2-153.1 1518 1408 45.54% 22.29% 32.17%+0.28 +10.3 70
2005-05-22 Zestaponi W 2-152.8 1318 1436 31.29% 22.26% 46.45%-0.32 +13.8 37
2005-05-22 @ Sioni Bolnisi L 1-252.8 1436 1318 46.45% 22.26% 31.29%+0.32 -13.8 53
2005-05-30 Dila Gori D 0-052.6 1497 1034 82.73% 13.86% 3.41%+3.10 -6.6 63
2005-05-30 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi D 0-052.6 1034 1497 3.41% 13.86% 82.73%-3.10 +6.6 10
2005-05-30 Dinamo Batumi W 3-034.9 1564 1338 69.91% 19.24% 10.85%+1.70 +11.1 75
2005-05-30 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-334.9 1338 1564 10.85% 19.24% 69.91%-1.70 -11.1 39
2005-05-30 Rustavi W 1-050.9 1528 1519 48.64% 22.17% 29.19%+0.42 +10.1 73
2005-05-30 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-150.9 1519 1528 29.19% 22.17% 48.64%-0.42 -10.1 69
2005-05-30 Sioni Bolnisi L 0-336.1 1216 1332 31.45% 22.27% 46.28%-0.32 -29.4 32
2005-05-30 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti W 3-036.1 1332 1216 46.28% 22.27% 31.45%+0.32 +29.4 40
2005-05-30 WIT Georgia L 1-352.8 1422 1397 50.57% 22.07% 27.36%+0.51 -25.8 53
2005-05-30 @ Zestaponi W 3-152.8 1397 1422 27.36% 22.07% 50.57%-0.51 +25.8 48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-10-24 10.45% Zestaponi 1246 2 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1479 1
2 2005-02-25 10.64% Zestaponi 1300 1 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 1529 0
3 2005-03-12 12.44% Zestaponi 1332 1 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1529 0
4 2005-05-08 15.27% Sioni Bolnisi 1311 2 @ WIT Georgia 1464 0
5 2005-04-17 16.11% Zestaponi 1379 3 @ Rustavi 1521 0
6 2004-10-16 16.53% @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti 1218 1 Rustavi 1479 0
7 2005-02-18 18.36% @ Zestaponi 1281 1 Rustavi 1520 0
8 2004-12-05 18.77% @ Zestaponi 1251 3 WIT Georgia 1485 1
9 2004-10-03 19.41% @ Dinamo Batumi 1357 3 Dinamo Tbilisi 1583 0
10 2005-04-10 20.01% Zestaponi 1362 2 @ WIT Georgia 1457 1
11 2005-03-01 20.32% Sioni Bolnisi 1269 2 @ Dinamo Batumi 1361 1
12 2005-04-30 20.62% Torpedo Kutaisi 1481 2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1570 1
13 2005-04-30 20.72% @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti 1222 1 Zestaponi 1434 0
14 2005-03-01 22.79% @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti 1317 2 Torpedo Kutaisi 1508 1
15 2004-11-20 23.50% WIT Georgia 1477 2 @ Rustavi 1537 0
16 2004-08-21 26.53% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 1274 2 @ Zestaponi 1306 1
17 2004-10-30 26.74% Torpedo Kutaisi 1458 2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1488 1
18 2004-08-29 27.30% @ Sioni Bolnisi 1344 3 WIT Georgia 1494 2
19 2005-05-30 27.36% WIT Georgia 1397 3 @ Zestaponi 1422 1
20 2004-08-01 27.77% Dinamo Batumi 1269 1 @ Dila Gori 1290 0
21 2004-09-18 28.15% Rustavi 1463 2 @ WIT Georgia 1481 0
22 2004-11-20 28.74% @ Zestaponi 1246 2 Dinamo Batumi 1384 1
23 2005-03-01 29.84% Rustavi 1506 1 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1510 0
24 2004-11-12 30.17% Zestaponi 1231 1 @ Dila Gori 1233 0
25 2004-10-24 30.21% @ Sioni Bolnisi 1291 1 Dinamo Batumi 1417 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-10-25 59.95 @ Rustavi 5 1460 35.21% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1548 42.43% 22.36%
2 2005-04-17 53.01 Zestaponi 3 1379 16.11% @ Rustavi 0 1521 63.17% 20.72%
3 2004-10-03 49.95 @ Dinamo Batumi 3 1357 19.41% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1583 59.30% 21.29%
4 2004-08-02 47.29 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 6 1491 52.47% Sioni Bolnisi 0 1450 25.58% 21.95%
5 2004-09-18 46.11 @ Dinamo Batumi 5 1300 47.26% Zestaponi 0 1301 30.51% 22.23%
6 2005-05-08 37.06 Sioni Bolnisi 2 1311 15.27% @ WIT Georgia 0 1464 64.20% 20.54%
7 2004-08-21 36.83 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 4 1384 47.86% Sioni Bolnisi 0 1381 29.93% 22.21%
8 2004-08-07 35.42 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 4 1389 49.32% Zestaponi 0 1375 28.54% 22.14%
9 2005-03-05 34.19 Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1495 30.74% @ Torpedo Kutaisi 1 1492 47.02% 22.24%
10 2004-08-14 33.53 Lokomotive Tbilisi 4 1351 31.78% @ Zestaponi 1 1339 45.94% 22.28%
11 2004-11-20 32.37 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti 4 1257 52.41% Dila Gori 0 1218 25.64% 21.95%
12 2004-11-20 31.93 WIT Georgia 2 1477 23.50% @ Rustavi 0 1537 54.73% 21.77%
13 2005-04-10 31.33 @ Sioni Bolnisi 3 1269 43.57% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1298 34.09% 22.34%
14 2004-12-05 30.13 @ Zestaponi 3 1251 18.77% WIT Georgia 1 1485 60.04% 21.19%
15 2005-05-30 29.36 Sioni Bolnisi 3 1332 46.28% @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1216 31.45% 22.27%
16 2004-09-18 29.31 Rustavi 2 1463 28.15% @ WIT Georgia 0 1481 49.73% 22.12%
17 2004-08-14 27.91 @ Dinamo Batumi 2 1287 30.75% Sioni Bolnisi 0 1409 47.01% 22.24%
18 2004-08-29 27.85 Lokomotive Tbilisi 3 1421 48.33% @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1289 29.49% 22.19%
19 2005-04-17 27.18 @ WIT Georgia 6 1440 65.89% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1267 13.91% 20.21%
20 2004-12-05 27.13 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti 3 1293 49.28% Sioni Bolnisi 0 1278 28.57% 22.14%
21 2005-05-22 26.62 @ Rustavi 4 1492 43.22% Lokomotive Tbilisi 1 1524 34.43% 22.35%
22 2005-05-30 25.76 WIT Georgia 3 1397 27.36% @ Zestaponi 1 1422 50.57% 22.07%
23 2004-11-27 24.38 Torpedo Kutaisi 3 1509 30.30% @ WIT Georgia 1 1509 47.48% 22.22%
24 2004-08-02 23.19 Rustavi 3 1418 32.94% @ Zestaponi 1 1398 44.74% 22.31%
25 2004-09-18 21.79 @ Dila Gori 2 1220 43.13% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1252 34.52% 22.35%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-12-05 72.2 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 2 1533 49.31% Rustavi 2 1519 28.55% 22.14%
2 2005-04-10 70.3 @ Rustavi 2 1522 52.72% Torpedo Kutaisi 2 1480 25.35% 21.93%
3 2005-04-30 65.2 Torpedo Kutaisi 2 1481 20.62% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1570 57.93% 21.46%
4 2004-08-21 64.5 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 1 1435 29.48% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1567 48.34% 22.19%
5 2004-08-08 64.2 Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1538 36.92% @ WIT Georgia 2 1489 40.70% 22.38%
6 2004-10-30 63.5 @ Dila Gori 2 1233 14.68% Rustavi 2 1520 64.92% 20.40%
7 2004-10-02 62.5 @ Rustavi 1 1473 47.11% Torpedo Kutaisi 1 1475 30.66% 22.24%
8 2005-05-18 62.5 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1524 42.80% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1558 34.84% 22.35%
9 2004-09-25 61.9 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 1 1477 50.67% WIT Georgia 1 1451 27.27% 22.07%
10 2004-09-20 61.0 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1581 62.32% Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1448 16.82% 20.86%
11 2004-10-02 61.0 @ Sioni Bolnisi 2 1312 58.42% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 2 1219 20.19% 21.40%
12 2004-08-29 60.7 @ Sioni Bolnisi 3 1344 27.30% WIT Georgia 2 1494 50.63% 22.07%
13 2004-10-16 60.7 @ Dinamo Batumi 1 1417 38.91% Lokomotive Tbilisi 1 1479 38.70% 22.39%
14 2004-10-30 60.1 @ Dinamo Batumi 1 1402 37.40% WIT Georgia 1 1474 40.22% 22.38%
15 2005-03-20 59.5 @ WIT Georgia 0 1466 37.95% Rustavi 0 1535 39.66% 22.39%
16 2004-10-30 59.4 Torpedo Kutaisi 2 1458 26.74% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1488 51.23% 22.03%
17 2005-03-05 59.2 @ WIT Georgia 1 1483 62.94% Dinamo Batumi 1 1344 16.30% 20.76%
18 2005-03-20 59.2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1517 53.27% Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1470 24.84% 21.89%
19 2005-02-18 58.7 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 0 1532 58.40% Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1439 20.20% 21.40%
20 2004-10-24 58.6 Zestaponi 2 1246 10.45% @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1 1479 70.47% 19.08%
21 2005-03-16 58.6 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 1 1465 61.71% Dinamo Batumi 1 1339 17.33% 20.95%
22 2004-11-27 58.5 Torpedo Kutaisi 3 1509 30.30% @ WIT Georgia 1 1509 47.48% 22.22%
23 2005-04-17 58.4 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 0 1488 48.38% Torpedo Kutaisi 0 1481 29.44% 22.18%
24 2005-05-08 58.4 @ Zestaponi 0 1416 28.89% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1553 48.95% 22.16%
25 2005-02-25 58.3 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 1 1442 57.45% Dinamo Batumi 1 1358 21.04% 21.51%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-04-26 25.3 @ WIT Georgia 4 1459 79.67% Dila Gori 0 1066 4.82% 15.51%
2 2005-05-22 26.4 Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1559 79.79% @ Dila Gori 0 1039 4.76% 15.45%
3 2005-04-02 26.7 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 9 1515 80.45% Dila Gori 0 1105 4.43% 15.11%
4 2005-04-17 28.0 @ Dinamo Batumi 3 1347 72.09% Dila Gori 0 1090 9.32% 18.59%
5 2005-03-16 28.7 @ Zestaponi 3 1353 70.21% Dila Gori 0 1124 10.64% 19.15%
6 2005-03-01 29.5 WIT Georgia 4 1466 67.38% @ Dila Gori 0 1150 12.74% 19.88%
7 2005-05-14 29.8 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1552 75.97% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1231 6.84% 17.18%
8 2005-04-26 30.1 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 3 1471 70.85% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1232 10.18% 18.97%
9 2005-05-08 30.2 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 3 1503 72.51% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1240 9.04% 18.45%
10 2004-09-25 30.4 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1577 76.76% Dila Gori 0 1242 6.38% 16.86%
11 2004-09-11 30.5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1571 75.35% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1261 7.22% 17.43%
12 2004-10-02 30.8 @ WIT Georgia 4 1453 66.83% Zestaponi 0 1268 13.17% 20.00%
13 2005-04-17 31.3 @ WIT Georgia 6 1440 65.89% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1267 13.91% 20.21%
14 2004-11-20 31.5 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 5 1489 68.04% Sioni Bolnisi 0 1289 12.24% 19.72%
15 2004-10-25 32.2 @ WIT Georgia 2 1467 69.92% Dila Gori 0 1241 10.84% 19.23%
16 2005-04-30 32.3 Rustavi 1 1455 72.92% @ Dila Gori 0 1060 8.76% 18.32%
17 2004-10-07 32.5 @ Rustavi 2 1471 69.60% Zestaponi 0 1251 11.08% 19.32%
18 2005-02-25 32.6 @ Sioni Bolnisi 3 1248 56.62% Dila Gori 0 1171 21.78% 21.60%
19 2005-04-10 32.7 Lokomotive Tbilisi 1 1485 72.76% @ Dila Gori 0 1093 8.87% 18.37%
20 2004-10-07 32.8 @ Dinamo Batumi 2 1407 65.46% Dila Gori 0 1239 14.24% 20.29%
21 2005-05-22 32.9 @ Dinamo Batumi 3 1317 57.05% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1237 21.39% 21.55%
22 2004-08-06 33.0 @ Rustavi 3 1441 63.08% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1300 16.18% 20.73%
23 2004-11-07 33.0 @ Lokomotive Tbilisi 2 1457 67.56% Kolkheti-1913 Poti 0 1263 12.60% 19.84%
24 2004-11-20 33.3 @ Kolkheti-1913 Poti 4 1257 52.41% Dila Gori 0 1218 25.64% 21.95%
25 2005-04-21 33.9 Sioni Bolnisi 2 1294 57.95% @ Dila Gori 0 1080 20.60% 21.45%