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2023 Erovnuli Liga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Dynamo Batumi

2nd Title

Last Title: 2021

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Torpedo Kutaisi

6.61 points above expected

60 points · 53.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shukura Kobuleti

17.26 points below expected

11 points · 28.26 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dinamo Batumi 36 21 11 4 74 83 41 +42 73.92 +0.08
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 36 21 8 7 71 93 49 +44 74.06 -3.06
3 Torpedo Kutaisi 36 16 12 8 60 55 37 +18 53.39 +6.61
4 Dila Gori 36 17 9 10 60 56 39 +17 60.00 +0.00
5 Samgurali 36 16 9 11 57 53 51 +2 50.86 +6.14
6 Saburtalo 36 14 9 13 51 58 49 +9 51.68 -0.68
7 Gagra 36 10 8 18 38 47 65 -18 33.33 +4.67
8 Telavi 36 10 7 19 37 34 62 -28 36.98 +0.02
9 Samtredia 36 9 6 21 33 50 62 -12 32.98 +0.02
10 Shukura Kobuleti* 36 4 5 27 11 38 112 -74 28.26 -17.26

* Point deductions: Shukura Kobuleti (-6 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Torpedo Kutaisi 60 53.39 +6.61
2 Samgurali 57 50.86 +6.14
3 Gagra 38 33.33 +4.67
4 Dinamo Batumi 74 73.92 +0.08
5 Telavi 37 36.98 +0.02

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shukura Kobuleti 11 28.26 -17.26
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 71 74.06 -3.06
3 Saburtalo 51 51.68 -0.68
4 Dila Gori 60 60.00 +0.00
5 Telavi 37 36.98 +0.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Samgurali 8 Apr 9 – May 14 1 in 1,092
2 Samtredia 4 Sep 2 – Sep 28 1 in 301
3 Saburtalo 5 May 14 – Jun 1 1 in 53
4 Torpedo Kutaisi 4 Jun 5 – Aug 20 1 in 48
5 Telavi 3 Aug 6 – Aug 20 1 in 42

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Saburtalo 4 Sep 17 – Oct 3 1 in 79
2 Torpedo Kutaisi 4 May 14 – May 28 1 in 72
3 Shukura Kobuleti 6 Aug 5 – Sep 17 1 in 35
4 Dila Gori 3 Sep 28 – Oct 7 1 in 31
5 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 Apr 21 – Apr 25 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Samtredia 8 Aug 19 – Oct 7 1 in 1,802
2 Saburtalo 11 Apr 13 – Jun 1 1 in 309
3 Torpedo Kutaisi 9 Jun 1 – Sep 23 1 in 133
4 Samgurali 9 Apr 9 – May 20 1 in 57
5 Dila Gori 10 Apr 21 – Jun 1 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shukura Kobuleti 13 Jun 1 – Oct 20 1 in 38
2 Samgurali 6 Jun 6 – Sep 1 1 in 32
3 Saburtalo 6 Oct 28 – Dec 2 1 in 28
4 Telavi 10 Mar 18 – May 14 1 in 22
5 Torpedo Kutaisi 6 May 10 – Jun 1 1 in 21

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dinamo Batumi 1425 74 -15 7 10.2 -3.2
Dinamo Tbilisi 1446 71 +29 13 10.2 +2.8
Dila Gori 1320 60 +5 12 10.1 +1.9
Torpedo Kutaisi 1303 60 +19 9 7.7 +1.3
Samgurali 1242 57 +20 11 5.8 +5.2
Saburtalo 1207 51 -36 2 7.7 -5.7
Gagra 1149 38 +40 9 5.0 +4.0
Telavi 1136 37 +2 3 3.5 -0.5
Samtredia 1149 33 +28 4 5.8 -1.8
Shukura Kobuleti 977 17 -91 0 3.8 -3.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team DG DB DT GAG SAB SAM SAM SK TEL TK
Dila Gori —
1-2-1
3.98
1-0-3
4.11
2-2-0
8.58
2-2-0
6.67
1-1-2
6.79
3-0-1
8.71
4-0-0
8.42
2-1-1
8.19
1-1-2
6.54
Dinamo Batumi
1-2-1
7.09
 —
1-2-1
5.51
4-0-0
9.34
2-2-0
7.90
2-1-1
7.98
3-1-0
9.50
4-0-0
9.09
3-0-1
9.22
1-3-0
7.79
Dinamo Tbilisi
3-0-1
6.95
1-2-1
5.50
 —
2-1-1
9.28
2-0-2
7.97
3-0-1
7.90
3-0-1
9.40
3-1-0
9.36
2-2-0
9.15
2-2-0
7.85
Gagra
0-2-2
2.64
0-0-4
2.01
1-1-2
2.05
 —
1-0-3
3.54
0-2-2
3.63
2-0-2
5.49
4-0-0
5.55
2-2-0
5.17
0-1-3
3.47
Saburtalo
0-2-2
4.37
0-2-2
3.23
2-0-2
3.18
3-0-1
7.56
 —
1-1-2
5.61
1-3-0
7.74
4-0-0
7.27
2-0-2
7.38
1-1-2
5.47
Samgurali
2-1-1
4.25
1-1-2
3.16
1-0-3
3.23
2-2-0
7.45
2-1-1
5.40
 —
3-0-1
7.63
2-1-1
7.21
2-0-2
7.32
1-3-0
5.21
Samtredia
1-0-3
2.53
0-1-3
1.88
1-0-3
1.96
2-0-2
5.53
0-3-1
3.38
1-0-3
3.48
 —
2-1-1
5.22
2-1-1
4.94
0-0-4
3.32
Shukura Kobuleti
0-0-4
2.78
0-0-4
2.22
0-1-3
1.99
0-0-4
5.48
0-0-4
3.82
1-1-2
3.87
1-1-2
5.80
 —
1-1-2
5.38
1-1-2
3.39
Telavi
1-1-2
2.98
1-0-3
2.10
0-2-2
2.16
0-2-2
5.85
2-0-2
3.70
2-0-2
3.76
1-1-2
6.08
2-1-1
5.65
 —
1-0-3
3.61
Torpedo Kutaisi
2-1-1
4.49
0-3-1
3.33
0-2-2
3.28
3-1-0
7.64
2-1-1
5.56
0-3-1
5.81
4-0-0
7.80
2-1-1
7.74
3-0-1
7.47
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +8.6
Allowed 0.79 -7.9
Differential 0.95 +5.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.11%5.00%3.89%0.56%2.50%28.06%
16.11%5.00%8.61%3.61%1.67%1.67%26.67%
25.00%8.61%6.67%2.50%0.56%0.56%23.89%
33.89%3.61%2.50%1.11%0.83%0.28%12.22%
40.56%1.67%0.56%0.83%0.56%—4.17%
5+2.50%1.67%0.56%0.28%——5.00%
Total28.06%26.67%23.89%12.22%4.17%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.57 +0.00
SD 1.54 1.54 2.32
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%—5.56%——25.00%
18.33%8.33%5.56%8.33%——30.56%
28.33%13.89%5.56%———27.78%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%5.56%————8.33%
Total33.33%38.89%13.89%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.08 +0.47
SD 1.48 1.02 1.90
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—2.78%———8.33%
1—13.89%2.78%———16.67%
28.33%11.11%8.33%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
38.33%13.89%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
4—8.33%————8.33%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total27.78%47.22%16.67%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.31 1.14 +1.17
SD 1.33 1.17 1.89
CV 0.58 1.03 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%2.78%————5.56%
12.78%2.78%11.11%2.78%——19.44%
28.33%8.33%13.89%2.78%——33.33%
38.33%2.78%5.56%———16.67%
45.56%—2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
5+—5.56%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
Total27.78%22.22%38.89%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.58 1.36 +1.22
SD 1.61 1.07 1.85
CV 0.62 0.79 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%2.78%5.56%—2.78%38.89%
18.33%2.78%5.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%33.33%
22.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
3————2.78%2.78%5.56%
4—2.78%—5.56%——8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total30.56%22.22%11.11%19.44%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.81 -0.50
SD 1.80 1.72 2.42
CV 1.38 0.95 —
Max 9 6 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%—8.33%—2.78%33.33%
1—2.78%11.11%5.56%——19.44%
22.78%11.11%2.78%———16.67%
311.11%2.78%2.78%5.56%——22.22%
4———————
5+2.78%5.56%————8.33%
Total30.56%30.56%16.67%19.44%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.36 +0.25
SD 1.55 1.27 2.21
CV 0.96 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%11.11%2.78%——27.78%
113.89%2.78%5.56%—2.78%2.78%27.78%
22.78%8.33%11.11%——2.78%25.00%
32.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
4—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%19.44%33.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.42 +0.06
SD 1.32 1.38 1.88
CV 0.90 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%19.44%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
18.33%5.56%13.89%2.78%——30.56%
2——2.78%8.33%——11.11%
32.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%—16.67%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total19.44%16.67%41.67%16.67%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.72 -0.33
SD 1.76 1.14 2.20
CV 1.27 0.66 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%11.11%——16.67%36.11%
12.78%—16.67%2.78%2.78%5.56%30.56%
22.78%5.56%5.56%8.33%5.56%—27.78%
3————2.78%—2.78%
4————2.78%—2.78%
5+———————
Total11.11%8.33%33.33%11.11%13.89%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 3.11 -2.06
SD 1.01 2.38 2.75
CV 0.96 0.76 —
Max 4 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%2.78%8.33%2.78%—36.11%
18.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%5.56%36.11%
25.56%11.11%8.33%———25.00%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%33.33%19.44%11.11%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.72 -0.78
SD 0.86 1.60 1.93
CV 0.91 0.93 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%2.78%—5.56%—2.78%33.33%
18.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
28.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total44.44%27.78%13.89%11.11%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.03 +0.50
SD 1.80 1.23 2.30
CV 1.18 1.20 —
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dinamo Tbilisi 1446 71 74.06 -3.06 36.0% 56 63 70 73 79 85 92
Dinamo Batumi 1425 74 73.92 +0.08 50.0% 58 63 70 74 78 85 87
Dila Gori 1320 60 60.00 +0.00 58.0% 45 49 54 59 65 73 79
Torpedo Kutaisi 1303 60 53.39 +6.61 83.0% 41 43 49 52 57 65 76
Samgurali 1242 57 50.86 +6.14 82.0% 32 38 45 51 56 64 67
Saburtalo 1207 51 51.68 -0.68 53.0% 31 37 48 51 57 63 69
Gagra 1149 38 33.33 +4.67 75.0% 21 22 28 33 38 45 52
Samtredia 1149 33 32.98 +0.02 52.0% 14 23 28 33 37 45 51
Telavi 1136 37 36.98 +0.02 55.0% 20 25 32 37 42 49 55
Shukura Kobuleti 977 11 28.26 -17.26 1.0% 11 17 23 29 33 39 55

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 13% * Slight Edge: 13% to 18.5% * Clear Edge: 18.5% to 29% * Strong Edge: 29% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+5.56%
No Edge
41.11%23.33%35.56%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 19.32 Elo pts.
153 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.14 * Tight Race: 0.14 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.33 * Runaway: 0.33 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.76 * Some Luck: 5.76 to 8.65 * Lucky: 8.65 to 11.53 * Wild Swing: 11.53 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.75 * Close: 0.75 to 1.13 * Off: 1.13 to 1.5 * Way Off: 1.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.40 points
Some Luck
07.2118
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Close
00.942
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
83.00%
Torpedo Kutaisi
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
Shukura Kobuleti
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.19 * Even: 0.19 to 0.22 * Top-Heavy: 0.22 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.95 * Moderate Separation: 1.95 to 2.25 * Strong Separation: 2.25 to 2.45 * Wide Separation: 2.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 78.5% * Clear Edge: 78.5% to 82% * Wide Edge: 82% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 94% * Clear Edge: 94% to 96% * Strong Edge: 96% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56% * Some Drama: 56% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 18% * Occasional: 18% to 20.5% * Frequent: 20.5% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Even
00.190.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 143.18
2.43
Strong Separation
11.952.253
Interquartile Edge
72%
Even
50%72.5%82%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
94%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Frequent
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.44 * Slight Separation: 0.44 to 0.47 * Notable Separation: 0.47 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.51 * Some Carryover: 0.51 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.74 * Near-Lock: 0.74 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Upset-Prone: 19% to 20.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 20.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12.5% * As Expected: 12.5% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 18% * Very Shaky: 18% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Very Even
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.74
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.90
Near-Lock
00.510.741
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.70
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.093
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Dinamo Batumi50.00%42.00%7.00%1.00%——————
Dinamo Tbilisi46.00%43.00%9.00%1.00%1.00%—————
Torpedo Kutaisi—4.00%14.00%30.00%32.00%15.00%4.00%1.00%——
Dila Gori3.00%10.00%44.00%23.00%13.00%6.00%1.00%———
Samgurali—1.00%11.00%21.00%23.00%32.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%—
Saburtalo1.00%—14.00%22.00%28.00%20.00%12.00%1.00%2.00%—
Gagra———1.00%1.00%6.00%19.00%27.00%25.00%21.00%
Telavi——1.00%—1.00%13.00%30.00%29.00%18.00%8.00%
Samtredia————1.00%7.00%16.00%26.00%25.00%25.00%
Shukura Kobuleti———1.00%—1.00%11.00%13.00%28.00%46.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Dila Gori 100% — —
Dinamo Batumi 100% — —
Dinamo Tbilisi 100% — —
Saburtalo 97.00% 3.00% —
Samgurali 95.00% 5.00% —
Torpedo Kutaisi 99.00% 1.00% —
Telavi 45.00% 47.00% 8.00%
Gagra 27.00% 52.00% 21.00%
Samtredia 24.00% 51.00% 25.00%
Shukura Kobuleti 13.00% 41.00% 46.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2023-02-25 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-245.3 1311 1399 28.62% 24.17% 47.21%-0.45 -4.4 0
2023-02-25 @ Dila Gori W 2-145.3 1399 1311 47.21% 24.17% 28.62%+0.45 +4.3 3
2023-02-25 Telavi W 1-042.7 1116 1157 34.63% 24.69% 40.68%-0.14 +6.1 3
2023-02-25 @ Samtredia L 0-142.7 1157 1116 40.68% 24.69% 34.63%+0.14 -6.1 0
2023-02-26 Samgurali L 3-450.9 1132 1228 27.73% 24.03% 48.24%-0.50 -3.9 0
2023-02-26 @ Gagra W 4-350.9 1228 1132 48.24% 24.03% 27.73%+0.50 +3.9 3
2023-02-26 Shukura Kobuleti W 2-138.5 1382 1178 65.52% 19.41% 15.07%+1.46 +2.3 3
2023-02-26 @ Dinamo Batumi L 1-238.5 1178 1382 15.07% 19.41% 65.52%-1.46 -2.3 0
2023-02-26 Torpedo Kutaisi D 0-048.4 1195 1259 31.63% 24.51% 43.86%-0.29 +0.4 1
2023-02-26 @ Saburtalo D 0-048.4 1259 1195 43.86% 24.51% 31.63%+0.29 -0.4 1
2023-03-03 Saburtalo W 3-137.0 1384 1196 63.89% 20.03% 16.08%+1.36 +4.3 6
2023-03-03 @ Dinamo Batumi L 1-337.0 1196 1384 16.08% 20.03% 63.89%-1.36 -4.3 1
2023-03-04 Dila Gori D 0-048.7 1258 1306 33.62% 24.64% 41.74%-0.19 +0.3 2
2023-03-04 @ Torpedo Kutaisi D 0-048.7 1306 1258 41.74% 24.64% 33.62%+0.19 -0.3 1
2023-03-04 Gagra D 0-048.1 1151 1128 43.64% 24.52% 31.84%+0.28 -0.4 1
2023-03-04 @ Telavi D 0-048.1 1128 1151 31.84% 24.52% 43.64%-0.28 +0.4 1
2023-03-04 Samgurali W 2-147.9 1175 1231 32.56% 24.58% 42.86%-0.24 +6.0 3
2023-03-04 @ Shukura Kobuleti L 1-247.9 1231 1175 42.86% 24.58% 32.56%+0.24 -6.0 3
2023-03-04 Samtredia W 4-026.5 1403 1123 72.85% 16.18% 10.97%+1.96 +6.2 6
2023-03-04 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-426.5 1123 1403 10.97% 16.18% 72.85%-1.96 -6.2 3
2023-03-08 Dinamo Batumi D 1-153.7 1306 1388 29.30% 24.26% 46.45%-0.41 +0.5 2
2023-03-08 @ Dila Gori D 1-153.7 1388 1306 46.45% 24.26% 29.30%+0.41 -0.5 7
2023-03-08 Dinamo Tbilisi L 3-541.4 1128 1409 12.87% 17.81% 69.32%-1.71 -2.9 1
2023-03-08 @ Gagra W 5-341.4 1409 1128 69.32% 17.81% 12.87%+1.71 +2.9 9
2023-03-08 Shukura Kobuleti W 2-145.1 1191 1181 41.79% 24.64% 33.57%+0.19 +5.0 4
2023-03-08 @ Saburtalo L 1-245.1 1181 1191 33.57% 24.64% 41.79%-0.19 -5.0 3
2023-03-08 Telavi W 1-038.0 1226 1151 50.57% 23.67% 25.77%+0.61 +4.2 6
2023-03-08 @ Samgurali L 0-138.0 1151 1226 25.77% 23.67% 50.57%-0.61 -4.2 1
2023-03-08 Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-234.5 1116 1258 22.89% 22.95% 54.16%-0.80 -7.1 3
2023-03-08 @ Samtredia W 2-034.5 1258 1116 54.16% 22.95% 22.89%+0.80 +7.1 5
2023-03-12 Dila Gori D 0-048.7 1196 1307 26.10% 23.73% 50.17%-0.59 +0.8 5
2023-03-12 @ Saburtalo D 0-048.7 1307 1196 50.17% 23.73% 26.10%+0.59 -0.8 3
2023-03-12 Gagra W 3-138.0 1266 1125 58.54% 21.81% 19.65%+1.04 +5.3 8
2023-03-12 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-338.0 1125 1266 19.65% 21.81% 58.54%-1.04 -5.4 1
2023-03-12 Samtredia W 3-240.7 1388 1109 72.69% 16.26% 11.05%+1.94 +1.6 10
2023-03-12 @ Dinamo Batumi L 2-340.7 1109 1388 11.05% 16.26% 72.69%-1.94 -1.6 3
2023-03-12 Telavi L 1-248.3 1176 1146 44.56% 24.45% 30.99%+0.32 -6.2 3
2023-03-12 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 2-148.3 1146 1176 30.99% 24.45% 44.56%-0.32 +6.2 4
2023-03-13 Samgurali W 2-032.9 1412 1230 63.24% 20.27% 16.49%+1.32 +5.2 12
2023-03-13 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-232.9 1230 1412 16.49% 20.27% 63.24%-1.32 -5.2 6
2023-03-18 Dinamo Batumi L 1-433.4 1120 1389 13.50% 18.30% 68.19%-1.63 -5.1 1
2023-03-18 @ Gagra W 4-133.4 1389 1120 68.19% 18.30% 13.50%+1.63 +5.1 13
2023-03-18 Dinamo Tbilisi D 2-259.1 1153 1417 13.76% 18.50% 67.73%-1.60 +1.4 5
2023-03-18 @ Telavi D 2-259.1 1417 1153 67.73% 18.50% 13.76%+1.60 -1.4 13
2023-03-18 Saburtalo D 3-360.8 1108 1197 28.47% 24.14% 47.39%-0.46 +0.4 4
2023-03-18 @ Samtredia D 3-360.8 1197 1108 47.39% 24.14% 28.47%+0.46 -0.4 6
2023-03-18 Shukura Kobuleti W 2-033.5 1306 1170 58.01% 21.96% 20.02%+1.01 +6.3 6
2023-03-18 @ Dila Gori L 0-233.5 1170 1306 20.02% 21.96% 58.01%-1.01 -6.3 3
2023-03-19 Torpedo Kutaisi D 0-048.4 1225 1271 33.87% 24.66% 41.47%-0.18 +0.2 7
2023-03-19 @ Samgurali D 0-048.4 1271 1225 41.47% 24.66% 33.87%+0.18 -0.3 9
2023-04-01 Gagra W 3-033.4 1197 1115 51.43% 23.51% 25.06%+0.66 +11.3 9
2023-04-01 @ Saburtalo L 0-333.4 1115 1197 25.06% 23.51% 51.43%-0.66 -11.3 1
2023-04-01 Samtredia W 1-033.6 1312 1108 65.51% 19.41% 15.08%+1.46 +2.5 9
2023-04-01 @ Dila Gori L 0-133.6 1108 1312 15.08% 19.41% 65.51%-1.46 -2.5 4
2023-04-01 Telavi W 2-141.0 1271 1154 55.78% 22.56% 21.66%+0.89 +3.4 12
2023-04-01 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-241.0 1154 1271 21.66% 22.56% 55.78%-0.89 -3.4 5
2023-04-02 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-238.3 1164 1416 14.50% 19.02% 66.48%-1.52 -2.2 3
2023-04-02 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 2-138.3 1416 1164 66.48% 19.02% 14.50%+1.52 +2.2 16
2023-04-02 Samgurali W 2-033.1 1394 1225 61.86% 20.76% 17.38%+1.23 +5.4 16
2023-04-02 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-233.1 1225 1394 17.38% 20.76% 61.86%-1.23 -5.5 7
2023-04-08 Dinamo Batumi L 1-434.1 1151 1400 14.66% 19.13% 66.20%-1.50 -5.6 5
2023-04-08 @ Telavi W 4-134.1 1400 1151 66.20% 19.13% 14.66%+1.50 +5.6 19
2023-04-08 Shukura Kobuleti L 0-237.8 1106 1162 32.58% 24.58% 42.84%-0.24 -9.7 4
2023-04-08 @ Samtredia W 2-037.8 1162 1106 42.84% 24.58% 32.58%+0.24 +9.7 6
2023-04-08 Torpedo Kutaisi W 2-141.6 1418 1274 59.00% 21.67% 19.32%+1.07 +3.0 19
2023-04-08 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-241.6 1274 1418 19.32% 21.67% 59.00%-1.07 -3.0 12
2023-04-09 Dila Gori D 0-049.4 1104 1314 17.21% 20.66% 62.13%-1.25 +1.7 2
2023-04-09 @ Gagra D 0-049.4 1314 1104 62.13% 20.66% 17.21%+1.25 -1.7 10
2023-04-09 Saburtalo W 2-145.1 1219 1208 42.01% 24.63% 33.36%+0.20 +4.9 10
2023-04-09 @ Samgurali L 1-245.1 1208 1219 33.36% 24.63% 42.01%-0.20 -4.9 9
2023-04-12 Dinamo Tbilisi D 2-260.8 1405 1421 38.15% 24.75% 37.11%+0.02 -0.0 20
2023-04-12 @ Dinamo Batumi D 2-260.8 1421 1405 37.11% 24.75% 38.15%-0.02 +0.0 20
2023-04-12 Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-236.2 1171 1271 27.28% 23.95% 48.77%-0.52 -8.3 6
2023-04-12 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 2-036.2 1271 1171 48.77% 23.95% 27.28%+0.52 +8.3 15
2023-04-13 Gagra L 1-246.6 1096 1105 39.03% 24.74% 36.23%+0.06 -5.6 4
2023-04-13 @ Samtredia W 2-146.6 1105 1096 36.23% 24.74% 39.03%-0.06 +5.6 5
2023-04-13 Samgurali L 0-342.0 1313 1224 52.31% 23.34% 24.35%+0.70 -20.4 10
2023-04-13 @ Dila Gori W 3-042.0 1224 1313 24.35% 23.34% 52.31%-0.70 +20.4 13
2023-04-13 Telavi W 3-034.4 1203 1145 48.36% 24.01% 27.63%+0.50 +12.3 12
2023-04-13 @ Saburtalo L 0-334.4 1145 1203 27.63% 24.01% 48.36%-0.50 -12.3 5
2023-04-21 Dila Gori D 2-257.5 1133 1292 21.27% 22.43% 56.30%-0.92 +0.8 6
2023-04-21 @ Telavi D 2-257.5 1292 1133 56.30% 22.43% 21.27%+0.92 -0.8 11
2023-04-21 Dinamo Batumi D 0-050.1 1279 1405 24.45% 23.37% 52.18%-0.70 +1.0 16
2023-04-21 @ Torpedo Kutaisi D 0-050.1 1405 1279 52.18% 23.37% 24.45%+0.70 -1.0 21
2023-04-21 Saburtalo L 1-352.1 1421 1215 65.72% 19.33% 14.95%+1.47 -14.7 20
2023-04-21 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-152.1 1215 1421 14.95% 19.33% 65.72%-1.47 +14.7 15
2023-04-22 Samtredia W 2-139.5 1245 1090 60.17% 21.31% 18.51%+1.13 +2.9 16
2023-04-22 @ Samgurali L 1-239.5 1090 1245 18.51% 21.31% 60.17%-1.13 -2.9 4
2023-04-22 Shukura Kobuleti W 2-040.7 1111 1163 33.12% 24.61% 42.27%-0.21 +11.8 8
2023-04-22 @ Gagra L 0-240.7 1163 1111 42.27% 24.61% 33.12%+0.21 -11.8 6
2023-04-25 Dila Gori L 1-252.8 1406 1292 55.57% 22.62% 21.81%+0.88 -7.4 20
2023-04-25 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-152.8 1292 1406 21.81% 22.62% 55.57%-0.88 +7.4 14
2023-04-25 Saburtalo L 0-340.7 1280 1230 47.35% 24.15% 28.50%+0.45 -18.8 16
2023-04-25 @ Torpedo Kutaisi W 3-040.7 1230 1280 28.50% 24.15% 47.35%-0.45 +18.8 18
2023-04-26 Dinamo Batumi L 1-336.1 1151 1404 14.42% 18.97% 66.61%-1.53 -3.9 6
2023-04-26 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 3-136.1 1404 1151 66.61% 18.97% 14.42%+1.53 +3.9 24
2023-04-26 Gagra W 1-036.1 1248 1123 56.76% 22.31% 20.93%+0.94 +3.5 19
2023-04-26 @ Samgurali L 0-136.1 1123 1248 20.93% 22.31% 56.76%-0.94 -3.5 8
2023-04-26 Samtredia L 0-144.3 1134 1087 46.79% 24.22% 29.00%+0.43 -6.8 6
2023-04-26 @ Telavi W 1-044.3 1087 1134 29.00% 24.22% 46.79%-0.43 +6.8 7
2023-04-30 Dinamo Batumi D 3-362.6 1249 1408 21.28% 22.43% 56.29%-0.92 +0.7 19
2023-04-30 @ Saburtalo D 3-362.6 1408 1249 56.29% 22.43% 21.28%+0.92 -0.7 25
2023-04-30 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-229.5 1094 1399 11.64% 16.79% 71.57%-1.86 -3.5 7
2023-04-30 @ Samtredia W 2-029.5 1399 1094 71.57% 16.79% 11.64%+1.86 +3.5 23
2023-04-30 Shukura Kobuleti W 4-137.3 1251 1147 54.22% 22.94% 22.84%+0.80 +8.7 22
2023-04-30 @ Samgurali L 1-437.3 1147 1251 22.84% 22.94% 54.22%-0.80 -8.7 6
2023-04-30 Telavi D 1-151.8 1119 1127 39.32% 24.73% 35.95%+0.08 -0.1 9
2023-04-30 @ Gagra D 1-151.8 1127 1119 35.95% 24.73% 39.32%-0.08 +0.1 7
2023-04-30 Torpedo Kutaisi W 5-034.7 1299 1262 45.60% 24.35% 30.05%+0.37 +21.2 17
2023-04-30 @ Dila Gori L 0-534.7 1262 1299 30.05% 24.35% 45.60%-0.37 -21.2 16
2023-05-05 Dila Gori L 0-245.5 1408 1320 52.18% 23.37% 24.45%+0.70 -14.0 25
2023-05-05 @ Dinamo Batumi W 2-045.5 1320 1408 24.45% 23.37% 52.18%-0.70 +14.0 20
2023-05-05 Saburtalo L 2-347.2 1139 1249 26.04% 23.72% 50.23%-0.60 -3.8 6
2023-05-05 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 3-247.2 1249 1139 50.23% 23.72% 26.04%+0.60 +3.8 22
2023-05-06 Gagra D 0-051.1 1403 1119 73.12% 16.05% 10.83%+1.98 -2.3 24
2023-05-06 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-051.1 1119 1403 10.83% 16.05% 73.12%-1.98 +2.3 10
2023-05-06 Samgurali L 0-137.3 1127 1260 23.77% 23.19% 53.04%-0.74 -3.9 7
2023-05-06 @ Telavi W 1-037.3 1260 1127 53.04% 23.19% 23.77%+0.74 +3.9 25
2023-05-06 Samtredia W 1-035.2 1240 1091 59.63% 21.48% 18.89%+1.10 +3.1 19
2023-05-06 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-135.2 1091 1240 18.89% 21.48% 59.63%-1.10 -3.2 7
2023-05-09 Saburtalo D 1-152.9 1334 1253 51.35% 23.53% 25.13%+0.65 -0.8 21
2023-05-09 @ Dila Gori D 1-152.9 1253 1334 25.13% 23.53% 51.35%-0.65 +0.8 23
2023-05-10 Dinamo Batumi L 1-236.4 1088 1394 11.58% 16.74% 71.68%-1.87 -1.7 7
2023-05-10 @ Samtredia W 2-136.4 1394 1088 71.68% 16.74% 11.58%+1.87 +1.7 28
2023-05-10 Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-151.9 1264 1400 23.42% 23.10% 53.48%-0.76 +7.2 28
2023-05-10 @ Samgurali L 1-251.9 1400 1264 53.48% 23.10% 23.42%+0.76 -7.2 24
2023-05-10 Shukura Kobuleti D 0-048.0 1123 1135 38.71% 24.74% 36.54%+0.05 -0.1 8
2023-05-10 @ Telavi D 0-048.0 1135 1123 36.54% 24.74% 38.71%-0.05 +0.1 7
2023-05-10 Torpedo Kutaisi D 0-048.5 1122 1243 24.88% 23.47% 51.65%-0.67 +1.0 11
2023-05-10 @ Gagra D 0-048.5 1243 1122 51.65% 23.47% 24.88%+0.67 -1.0 20
2023-05-14 Gagra W 3-134.2 1395 1122 72.17% 16.50% 11.32%+1.91 +2.9 31
2023-05-14 @ Dinamo Batumi L 1-334.2 1122 1395 11.32% 16.50% 72.17%-1.91 -2.9 11
2023-05-14 Samgurali L 1-344.2 1243 1271 36.33% 24.74% 38.93%-0.06 -9.1 20
2023-05-14 @ Torpedo Kutaisi W 3-144.2 1271 1243 38.93% 24.74% 36.33%+0.06 +9.1 31
2023-05-14 Samtredia W 2-032.2 1254 1086 61.71% 20.81% 17.48%+1.22 +5.5 26
2023-05-14 @ Saburtalo L 0-232.2 1086 1254 17.48% 20.81% 61.71%-1.22 -5.5 7
2023-05-14 Telavi W 6-129.7 1393 1123 71.94% 16.62% 11.45%+1.89 +6.7 27
2023-05-14 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-629.7 1123 1393 11.45% 16.62% 71.94%-1.89 -6.7 8
2023-05-15 Dila Gori L 2-344.2 1135 1333 18.10% 21.12% 60.79%-1.17 -2.7 7
2023-05-15 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 3-244.2 1333 1135 60.79% 21.12% 18.10%+1.17 +2.7 24
2023-05-20 Dila Gori L 1-237.7 1080 1336 14.28% 18.87% 66.84%-1.54 -2.2 7
2023-05-20 @ Samtredia W 2-137.7 1336 1080 66.84% 18.87% 14.28%+1.54 +2.2 27
2023-05-20 Dinamo Batumi D 1-153.7 1280 1398 25.27% 23.56% 51.17%-0.65 +0.8 32
2023-05-20 @ Samgurali D 1-153.7 1398 1280 51.17% 23.56% 25.27%+0.65 -0.8 32
2023-05-20 Saburtalo L 1-241.5 1120 1260 23.08% 23.01% 53.91%-0.79 -3.6 11
2023-05-20 @ Gagra W 2-141.5 1260 1120 53.91% 23.01% 23.08%+0.79 +3.6 29
2023-05-20 Shukura Kobuleti D 4-465.7 1400 1132 71.70% 16.73% 11.57%+1.87 -1.1 28
2023-05-20 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 4-465.7 1132 1400 11.57% 16.73% 71.70%-1.87 +1.1 8
2023-05-20 Torpedo Kutaisi W 1-045.5 1116 1233 25.38% 23.58% 51.04%-0.64 +7.3 11
2023-05-20 @ Telavi L 0-145.5 1233 1116 51.04% 23.58% 25.38%+0.64 -7.3 20
2023-05-24 Dinamo Tbilisi L 2-345.9 1226 1399 20.16% 22.02% 57.82%-1.00 -3.0 20
2023-05-24 @ Torpedo Kutaisi W 3-245.9 1399 1226 57.82% 22.02% 20.16%+1.00 +3.0 31
2023-05-24 Gagra W 1-033.1 1338 1116 67.37% 18.65% 13.98%+1.58 +2.3 30
2023-05-24 @ Dila Gori L 0-133.1 1116 1338 13.98% 18.65% 67.37%-1.58 -2.3 11
2023-05-24 Samgurali W 5-141.1 1263 1281 37.86% 24.75% 37.39%+0.01 +17.0 32
2023-05-24 @ Saburtalo L 1-541.1 1281 1263 37.39% 24.75% 37.86%-0.01 -17.0 32
2023-05-24 Samtredia D 2-256.8 1133 1078 47.97% 24.07% 27.96%+0.49 -0.5 9
2023-05-24 @ Shukura Kobuleti D 2-256.8 1078 1133 27.96% 24.07% 47.97%-0.49 +0.5 8
2023-05-24 Telavi W 2-029.4 1397 1124 72.27% 16.46% 11.27%+1.91 +3.4 35
2023-05-24 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-229.4 1124 1397 11.27% 16.46% 72.27%-1.91 -3.4 11
2023-05-28 Dila Gori D 2-257.6 1264 1340 29.98% 24.34% 45.68%-0.37 +0.4 33
2023-05-28 @ Samgurali D 2-257.6 1340 1264 45.68% 24.34% 29.98%+0.37 -0.4 31
2023-05-28 Dinamo Batumi L 1-250.7 1402 1401 40.51% 24.70% 34.79%+0.13 -5.7 31
2023-05-28 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-150.7 1401 1402 34.79% 24.70% 40.51%-0.13 +5.7 38
2023-05-28 Saburtalo L 0-332.0 1120 1280 21.24% 22.42% 56.34%-0.92 -9.7 11
2023-05-28 @ Telavi W 3-032.0 1280 1120 56.34% 22.42% 21.24%+0.92 +9.7 35
2023-05-28 Samtredia L 0-143.9 1114 1079 45.28% 24.38% 30.34%+0.35 -6.6 11
2023-05-28 @ Gagra W 1-043.9 1079 1114 30.34% 24.38% 45.28%-0.35 +6.6 11
2023-05-28 Shukura Kobuleti L 1-250.4 1223 1133 52.55% 23.30% 24.16%+0.72 -7.0 20
2023-05-28 @ Torpedo Kutaisi W 2-150.4 1133 1223 24.16% 23.30% 52.55%-0.72 +7.1 12
2023-06-01 Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-151.2 1290 1396 26.56% 23.83% 49.61%-0.57 +6.7 38
2023-06-01 @ Saburtalo L 1-251.2 1396 1290 49.61% 23.83% 26.56%+0.57 -6.7 31
2023-06-01 Gagra L 3-456.1 1140 1107 44.96% 24.41% 30.63%+0.34 -5.8 12
2023-06-01 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 4-356.1 1107 1140 30.63% 24.41% 44.96%-0.34 +5.7 14
2023-06-01 Samgurali L 0-233.1 1085 1264 19.63% 21.80% 58.57%-1.04 -6.2 11
2023-06-01 @ Samtredia W 2-033.1 1264 1085 58.57% 21.80% 19.63%+1.04 +6.2 36
2023-06-01 Telavi W 6-130.7 1340 1111 68.10% 18.35% 13.56%+1.62 +8.1 34
2023-06-01 @ Dila Gori L 1-630.7 1111 1340 13.56% 18.35% 68.10%-1.62 -8.1 11
2023-06-01 Torpedo Kutaisi D 1-154.2 1407 1216 64.11% 19.95% 15.94%+1.37 -1.6 39
2023-06-01 @ Dinamo Batumi D 1-154.2 1216 1407 15.94% 19.95% 64.11%-1.37 +1.6 21
2023-06-05 Dila Gori W 1-046.5 1218 1348 24.00% 23.26% 52.74%-0.73 +7.5 24
2023-06-05 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-146.5 1348 1218 52.74% 23.26% 24.00%+0.73 -7.5 34
2023-06-05 Saburtalo W 2-143.0 1405 1297 54.77% 22.81% 22.42%+0.83 +3.5 42
2023-06-05 @ Dinamo Batumi L 1-243.0 1297 1405 22.42% 22.81% 54.77%-0.83 -3.5 38
2023-06-05 Samtredia W 3-026.5 1389 1079 75.42% 14.91% 9.67%+2.15 +4.1 34
2023-06-05 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-326.5 1079 1389 9.67% 14.91% 75.42%-2.15 -4.1 11
2023-06-06 Gagra L 0-142.1 1102 1113 38.91% 24.74% 36.35%+0.06 -5.9 11
2023-06-06 @ Telavi W 1-042.1 1113 1102 36.35% 24.74% 38.91%-0.06 +5.9 17
2023-06-06 Samgurali D 2-257.2 1134 1270 23.43% 23.10% 53.46%-0.76 +0.7 13
2023-06-06 @ Shukura Kobuleti D 2-257.2 1270 1134 53.46% 23.10% 23.43%+0.76 -0.7 37
2023-08-05 Samgurali D 0-048.8 1119 1270 22.05% 22.69% 55.26%-0.86 +1.2 18
2023-08-05 @ Gagra D 0-048.8 1270 1119 55.26% 22.69% 22.05%+0.86 -1.2 38
2023-08-05 Shukura Kobuleti W 5-026.6 1408 1135 72.25% 16.47% 11.28%+1.91 +7.9 45
2023-08-05 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-526.6 1135 1408 11.28% 16.47% 72.25%-1.91 -7.9 13
2023-08-06 Telavi L 0-239.2 1075 1097 37.30% 24.75% 37.95%-0.01 -10.7 11
2023-08-06 @ Samtredia W 2-039.2 1097 1075 37.95% 24.75% 37.30%+0.01 +10.7 14
2023-08-08 Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-347.9 1293 1225 49.67% 23.82% 26.52%+0.57 -11.7 38
2023-08-08 @ Saburtalo W 3-147.9 1225 1293 26.52% 23.82% 49.67%-0.57 +11.7 27
2023-08-12 Telavi L 0-147.8 1268 1107 60.93% 21.07% 18.00%+1.18 -8.5 38
2023-08-12 @ Samgurali W 1-047.8 1107 1268 18.00% 21.07% 60.93%-1.18 +8.5 17
2023-08-13 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-630.7 1120 1393 13.27% 18.13% 68.60%-1.66 -7.9 18
2023-08-13 @ Gagra W 6-130.7 1393 1120 68.60% 18.13% 13.27%+1.66 +7.9 37
2023-08-14 Torpedo Kutaisi L 2-344.8 1064 1237 20.16% 22.02% 57.83%-1.00 -3.0 11
2023-08-14 @ Samtredia W 3-244.8 1237 1064 57.83% 22.02% 20.16%+1.00 +3.0 30
2023-08-15 Shukura Kobuleti W 5-134.0 1281 1127 60.19% 21.31% 18.50%+1.13 +9.2 41
2023-08-15 @ Saburtalo L 1-534.0 1127 1281 18.50% 21.31% 60.19%-1.13 -9.2 13
2023-08-19 Samgurali W 5-240.3 1401 1260 58.67% 21.77% 19.56%+1.05 +6.5 40
2023-08-19 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 2-540.3 1260 1401 19.56% 21.77% 58.67%-1.05 -6.5 38
2023-08-19 Samtredia D 1-155.6 1416 1061 79.00% 13.05% 7.96%+2.44 -2.3 46
2023-08-19 @ Dinamo Batumi D 1-155.6 1061 1416 7.96% 13.05% 79.00%-2.44 +2.3 12
2023-08-20 Dila Gori L 1-246.0 1291 1341 33.36% 24.63% 42.01%-0.20 -4.9 41
2023-08-20 @ Saburtalo W 2-146.0 1341 1291 42.01% 24.63% 33.36%+0.20 +4.9 37
2023-08-20 Gagra W 4-136.4 1240 1112 57.11% 22.22% 20.68%+0.96 +7.9 33
2023-08-20 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-436.4 1112 1240 20.68% 22.22% 57.11%-0.96 -7.9 18
2023-08-20 Telavi L 0-240.2 1118 1116 40.66% 24.69% 34.65%+0.14 -11.5 13
2023-08-20 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 2-040.2 1116 1118 34.65% 24.69% 40.66%-0.14 +11.5 20
2023-08-25 Dinamo Tbilisi D 2-259.2 1127 1408 12.89% 17.83% 69.28%-1.70 +1.4 21
2023-08-25 @ Telavi D 2-259.2 1408 1127 69.28% 17.83% 12.89%+1.70 -1.4 41
2023-08-25 Shukura Kobuleti W 5-131.4 1346 1106 69.05% 17.93% 13.02%+1.69 +6.3 40
2023-08-25 @ Dila Gori L 1-531.4 1106 1346 13.02% 17.93% 69.05%-1.69 -6.3 13
2023-08-26 Saburtalo D 0-049.5 1064 1286 16.41% 20.23% 63.36%-1.32 +1.7 13
2023-08-26 @ Samtredia D 0-049.5 1286 1064 63.36% 20.23% 16.41%+1.32 -1.7 42
2023-08-27 Dinamo Batumi L 0-229.5 1104 1414 11.40% 16.57% 72.03%-1.90 -3.4 18
2023-08-27 @ Gagra W 2-029.5 1414 1104 72.03% 16.57% 11.40%+1.90 +3.4 49
2023-08-27 Torpedo Kutaisi D 0-048.4 1253 1248 41.20% 24.67% 34.13%+0.16 -0.2 39
2023-08-27 @ Samgurali D 0-048.4 1248 1253 34.13% 24.67% 41.20%-0.16 +0.2 34
2023-08-29 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-338.7 1352 1406 32.80% 24.59% 42.61%-0.23 -14.1 40
2023-08-29 @ Dila Gori W 3-038.7 1406 1352 42.61% 24.59% 32.80%+0.23 +14.1 44
2023-09-01 Samgurali W 4-136.5 1417 1253 61.26% 20.96% 17.78%+1.20 +6.8 52
2023-09-01 @ Dinamo Batumi L 1-436.5 1253 1417 17.78% 20.96% 61.26%-1.20 -6.8 39
2023-09-01 Telavi W 2-140.8 1248 1129 56.10% 22.48% 21.42%+0.90 +3.3 37
2023-09-01 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-240.8 1129 1248 21.42% 22.48% 56.10%-0.90 -3.4 21
2023-09-02 Dinamo Tbilisi L 2-340.7 1100 1420 10.90% 16.12% 72.99%-1.97 -1.5 13
2023-09-02 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 3-240.7 1420 1100 72.99% 16.12% 10.90%+1.97 +1.5 47
2023-09-02 Gagra W 5-028.9 1284 1101 63.34% 20.23% 16.43%+1.32 +12.0 45
2023-09-02 @ Saburtalo L 0-528.9 1101 1284 16.43% 20.23% 63.34%-1.32 -12.0 18
2023-09-02 Samtredia L 1-352.2 1338 1065 72.14% 16.52% 11.34%+1.90 -15.8 40
2023-09-02 @ Dila Gori W 3-152.2 1065 1338 11.34% 16.52% 72.14%-1.90 +15.8 16
2023-09-16 Dila Gori D 0-049.7 1089 1322 15.66% 19.78% 64.56%-1.40 +1.8 19
2023-09-16 @ Gagra D 0-049.7 1322 1089 64.56% 19.78% 15.66%+1.40 -1.8 41
2023-09-16 Dinamo Batumi W 2-154.5 1125 1424 11.93% 17.04% 71.03%-1.82 +9.0 24
2023-09-16 @ Telavi L 1-254.5 1424 1125 71.03% 17.04% 11.93%+1.82 -9.0 52
2023-09-16 Torpedo Kutaisi D 1-154.5 1422 1251 61.97% 20.72% 17.31%+1.24 -1.5 48
2023-09-16 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-154.5 1251 1422 17.31% 20.72% 61.97%-1.24 +1.5 38
2023-09-17 Saburtalo W 1-043.6 1246 1296 33.44% 24.63% 41.92%-0.20 +6.2 42
2023-09-17 @ Samgurali L 0-143.6 1296 1246 41.92% 24.63% 33.44%+0.20 -6.2 45
2023-09-17 Shukura Kobuleti W 4-248.0 1081 1098 37.92% 24.75% 37.33%+0.01 +8.3 19
2023-09-17 @ Samtredia L 2-448.0 1098 1081 37.33% 24.75% 37.92%-0.01 -8.3 13
2023-09-20 Dinamo Batumi L 1-343.3 1320 1415 27.81% 24.04% 48.15%-0.49 -7.4 41
2023-09-20 @ Dila Gori W 3-143.3 1415 1320 48.15% 24.04% 27.81%+0.49 +7.3 55
2023-09-23 Gagra W 3-143.3 1089 1090 40.24% 24.71% 35.05%+0.12 +8.9 22
2023-09-23 @ Samtredia L 1-343.3 1090 1089 35.05% 24.71% 40.24%-0.12 -8.9 19
2023-09-23 Torpedo Kutaisi D 0-048.8 1090 1253 20.99% 22.33% 56.67%-0.94 +1.3 14
2023-09-23 @ Shukura Kobuleti D 0-048.8 1253 1090 56.67% 22.33% 20.99%+0.94 -1.3 39
2023-09-24 Dinamo Tbilisi D 2-261.2 1423 1420 40.68% 24.69% 34.62%+0.14 -0.1 56
2023-09-24 @ Dinamo Batumi D 2-261.2 1420 1423 34.62% 24.69% 40.68%-0.14 +0.1 49
2023-09-24 Samgurali W 2-036.7 1313 1253 48.66% 23.97% 27.37%+0.52 +8.4 44
2023-09-24 @ Dila Gori L 0-236.7 1253 1313 27.37% 23.97% 48.66%-0.52 -8.4 42
2023-09-24 Telavi L 0-147.7 1290 1134 60.28% 21.28% 18.44%+1.14 -8.4 45
2023-09-24 @ Saburtalo W 1-047.7 1134 1290 18.44% 21.28% 60.28%-1.14 +8.4 27
2023-09-27 Shukura Kobuleti W 1-041.3 1082 1091 39.00% 24.74% 36.26%+0.06 +5.6 22
2023-09-27 @ Gagra L 0-141.3 1091 1082 36.26% 24.74% 39.00%-0.06 -5.6 14
2023-09-28 Dila Gori W 2-151.9 1143 1321 19.66% 21.82% 58.52%-1.04 +7.7 30
2023-09-28 @ Telavi L 1-251.9 1321 1143 58.52% 21.82% 19.66%+1.04 -7.7 44
2023-09-28 Dinamo Batumi L 0-333.0 1252 1422 20.30% 22.07% 57.63%-0.99 -9.2 39
2023-09-28 @ Torpedo Kutaisi W 3-033.0 1422 1252 57.63% 22.07% 20.30%+0.99 +9.3 59
2023-09-28 Samtredia L 0-343.1 1244 1098 59.22% 21.61% 19.17%+1.08 -22.7 42
2023-09-28 @ Samgurali W 3-043.1 1098 1244 19.17% 21.61% 59.22%-1.08 +22.7 25
2023-09-29 Saburtalo W 1-037.4 1421 1281 58.45% 21.84% 19.71%+1.04 +3.3 52
2023-09-29 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-137.4 1281 1421 19.71% 21.84% 58.45%-1.04 -3.3 45
2023-10-02 Dinamo Batumi L 0-626.0 1086 1432 9.79% 15.03% 75.18%-2.13 -8.0 14
2023-10-02 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 6-026.0 1432 1086 75.18% 15.03% 9.79%+2.13 +7.9 62
2023-10-02 Gagra D 2-257.4 1222 1087 57.89% 22.00% 20.11%+1.00 -0.9 43
2023-10-02 @ Samgurali D 2-257.4 1087 1222 20.11% 22.00% 57.89%-1.00 +0.9 23
2023-10-02 Samtredia D 1-151.9 1150 1121 44.51% 24.45% 31.04%+0.32 -0.4 31
2023-10-02 @ Telavi D 1-151.9 1121 1150 31.04% 24.45% 44.51%-0.32 +0.4 26
2023-10-03 Dila Gori W 3-141.3 1424 1314 55.02% 22.75% 22.23%+0.85 +6.0 55
2023-10-03 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-341.3 1314 1424 22.23% 22.75% 55.02%-0.85 -6.0 44
2023-10-03 Saburtalo W 5-037.6 1242 1278 35.31% 24.71% 39.98%-0.11 +26.5 42
2023-10-03 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-537.6 1278 1242 39.98% 24.71% 35.31%+0.11 -26.5 45
2023-10-07 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-259.3 1121 1430 11.46% 16.63% 71.91%-1.89 +8.6 29
2023-10-07 @ Samtredia L 2-359.3 1430 1121 71.91% 16.63% 11.46%+1.89 -8.6 55
2023-10-07 Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-144.8 1307 1269 45.78% 24.33% 29.89%+0.38 -6.7 44
2023-10-07 @ Dila Gori W 1-044.8 1269 1307 29.89% 24.33% 45.78%-0.38 +6.7 45
2023-10-08 Dinamo Batumi D 0-050.7 1252 1440 18.90% 21.49% 59.61%-1.10 +1.5 46
2023-10-08 @ Saburtalo D 0-050.7 1440 1252 59.61% 21.49% 18.90%+1.10 -1.5 63
2023-10-08 Shukura Kobuleti W 5-030.1 1221 1078 58.86% 21.72% 19.42%+1.06 +14.3 46
2023-10-08 @ Samgurali L 0-530.1 1078 1221 19.42% 21.72% 58.86%-1.06 -14.3 14
2023-10-08 Telavi W 4-143.9 1088 1150 31.82% 24.52% 43.66%-0.28 +14.9 26
2023-10-08 @ Gagra L 1-443.9 1150 1088 43.66% 24.52% 31.82%+0.28 -14.9 31
2023-10-20 Dila Gori D 1-155.0 1438 1301 58.22% 21.90% 19.87%+1.02 -1.2 64
2023-10-20 @ Dinamo Batumi D 1-155.0 1301 1438 19.87% 21.90% 58.22%-1.02 +1.2 45
2023-10-20 Saburtalo L 1-239.6 1064 1253 18.79% 21.44% 59.77%-1.11 -3.0 14
2023-10-20 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 2-139.6 1253 1064 59.77% 21.44% 18.79%+1.11 +3.0 49
2023-10-21 Gagra L 0-150.7 1421 1103 76.11% 14.56% 9.33%+2.20 -10.0 55
2023-10-21 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 1-050.7 1103 1421 9.33% 14.56% 76.11%-2.20 +10.0 29
2023-10-21 Samgurali W 2-149.5 1135 1235 27.26% 23.95% 48.78%-0.53 +6.6 34
2023-10-21 @ Telavi L 1-249.5 1235 1135 48.78% 23.95% 27.26%+0.53 -6.6 46
2023-10-21 Samtredia W 2-033.0 1275 1130 59.16% 21.63% 19.21%+1.08 +6.0 48
2023-10-21 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-233.0 1130 1275 19.21% 21.63% 59.16%-1.08 -6.0 29
2023-10-28 Dinamo Batumi L 1-334.4 1124 1437 11.25% 16.44% 72.31%-1.92 -2.9 29
2023-10-28 @ Samtredia W 3-134.4 1437 1124 72.31% 16.44% 11.25%+1.92 +2.9 67
2023-10-28 Saburtalo W 3-035.4 1302 1256 46.77% 24.22% 29.01%+0.43 +12.8 48
2023-10-28 @ Dila Gori L 0-335.4 1256 1302 29.01% 24.22% 46.77%-0.43 -12.8 49
2023-10-28 Shukura Kobuleti L 0-145.5 1142 1061 51.38% 23.52% 25.10%+0.66 -7.3 34
2023-10-28 @ Telavi W 1-045.5 1061 1142 25.10% 23.52% 51.38%-0.66 +7.3 17
2023-10-29 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-234.1 1228 1411 19.31% 21.67% 59.03%-1.07 -6.1 46
2023-10-29 @ Samgurali W 2-034.1 1411 1228 59.03% 21.67% 19.31%+1.07 +6.1 58
2023-10-29 Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-240.5 1113 1281 20.50% 22.15% 57.35%-0.97 -3.2 29
2023-10-29 @ Gagra W 2-140.5 1281 1113 57.35% 22.15% 20.50%+0.97 +3.2 51
2023-11-03 Gagra W 3-026.3 1440 1110 77.05% 14.07% 8.87%+2.28 +3.7 70
2023-11-03 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-326.3 1110 1440 8.87% 14.07% 77.05%-2.28 -3.7 29
2023-11-03 Samgurali D 0-048.7 1285 1222 48.95% 23.93% 27.12%+0.53 -0.8 52
2023-11-03 @ Torpedo Kutaisi D 0-048.7 1222 1285 27.12% 23.93% 48.95%-0.53 +0.8 47
2023-11-03 Samtredia D 0-048.8 1243 1121 56.44% 22.39% 21.16%+0.92 -1.3 50
2023-11-03 @ Saburtalo D 0-048.8 1121 1243 21.16% 22.39% 56.44%-0.92 +1.3 30
2023-11-04 Dila Gori L 1-237.9 1068 1315 14.81% 19.23% 65.95%-1.49 -2.3 17
2023-11-04 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 2-137.9 1315 1068 65.95% 19.23% 14.81%+1.49 +2.3 51
2023-11-04 Telavi W 4-026.5 1417 1134 73.08% 16.07% 10.85%+1.97 +6.1 61
2023-11-04 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-426.5 1134 1417 10.85% 16.07% 73.08%-1.97 -6.1 34
2023-11-10 Dila Gori L 1-239.6 1122 1317 18.38% 21.25% 60.38%-1.15 -2.9 30
2023-11-10 @ Samtredia W 2-139.6 1317 1122 60.38% 21.25% 18.38%+1.15 +2.9 54
2023-11-10 Shukura Kobuleti W 4-236.0 1423 1066 79.20% 12.94% 7.86%+2.46 +1.7 64
2023-11-10 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 2-436.0 1066 1423 7.86% 12.94% 79.20%-2.46 -1.7 17
2023-11-10 Torpedo Kutaisi L 1-241.0 1128 1284 21.63% 22.55% 55.82%-0.89 -3.4 34
2023-11-10 @ Telavi W 2-141.0 1284 1128 55.82% 22.55% 21.63%+0.89 +3.4 55
2023-11-11 Dinamo Batumi W 3-258.6 1223 1444 16.52% 20.29% 63.19%-1.31 +7.8 50
2023-11-11 @ Samgurali L 2-358.6 1444 1223 63.19% 20.29% 16.52%+1.31 -7.8 70
2023-11-11 Saburtalo W 2-150.6 1106 1242 23.48% 23.12% 53.41%-0.76 +7.2 32
2023-11-11 @ Gagra L 1-250.6 1242 1106 53.41% 23.12% 23.48%+0.76 -7.2 50
2023-11-23 Samgurali D 2-256.9 1235 1231 40.95% 24.68% 34.37%+0.15 -0.1 51
2023-11-23 @ Saburtalo D 2-256.9 1231 1235 34.37% 24.68% 40.95%-0.15 +0.2 51
2023-11-24 Dinamo Tbilisi D 2-259.1 1287 1425 23.29% 23.06% 53.65%-0.77 +0.7 56
2023-11-24 @ Torpedo Kutaisi D 2-259.1 1425 1287 53.65% 23.06% 23.29%+0.77 -0.7 65
2023-11-24 Gagra W 1-033.5 1320 1113 65.81% 19.29% 14.90%+1.48 +2.5 57
2023-11-24 @ Dila Gori L 0-133.5 1113 1320 14.90% 19.29% 65.81%-1.48 -2.5 32
2023-11-24 Samtredia L 0-936.5 1064 1119 32.65% 24.58% 42.76%-0.24 -39.6 17
2023-11-24 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 9-036.5 1119 1064 42.76% 24.58% 32.65%+0.24 +39.6 33
2023-11-24 Telavi W 3-026.8 1436 1125 75.48% 14.88% 9.64%+2.15 +4.1 73
2023-11-24 @ Dinamo Batumi L 0-326.8 1125 1436 9.64% 14.88% 75.48%-2.15 -4.1 34
2023-11-28 Dila Gori W 1-045.2 1231 1322 28.21% 24.11% 47.68%-0.47 +6.9 54
2023-11-28 @ Samgurali L 0-145.2 1322 1231 47.68% 24.11% 28.21%+0.47 -6.9 57
2023-11-28 Dinamo Batumi W 6-247.9 1424 1440 38.20% 24.75% 37.06%+0.03 +14.3 68
2023-11-28 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 2-647.9 1440 1424 37.06% 24.75% 38.20%-0.03 -14.3 73
2023-11-28 Saburtalo W 3-041.2 1121 1235 25.73% 23.66% 50.61%-0.62 +19.9 37
2023-11-28 @ Telavi L 0-341.2 1235 1121 50.61% 23.66% 25.73%+0.62 -19.9 51
2023-11-28 Samtredia W 4-355.2 1111 1159 33.61% 24.64% 41.75%-0.19 +5.4 35
2023-11-28 @ Gagra L 3-455.2 1159 1111 41.75% 24.64% 33.61%+0.19 -5.4 33
2023-11-28 Shukura Kobuleti W 9-028.0 1288 1024 71.34% 16.90% 11.76%+1.85 +14.5 59
2023-11-28 @ Torpedo Kutaisi L 0-928.0 1024 1288 11.76% 16.90% 71.34%-1.85 -14.5 17
2023-12-02 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-331.0 1215 1439 16.28% 20.15% 63.57%-1.34 -7.4 51
2023-12-02 @ Saburtalo W 3-031.0 1439 1215 63.57% 20.15% 16.28%+1.34 +7.4 71
2023-12-02 Gagra L 0-934.4 1010 1116 26.54% 23.82% 49.63%-0.57 -33.3 17
2023-12-02 @ Shukura Kobuleti W 9-034.4 1116 1010 49.63% 23.82% 26.54%+0.57 +33.3 38
2023-12-02 Samgurali L 2-348.3 1154 1238 29.06% 24.23% 46.72%-0.42 -4.2 33
2023-12-02 @ Samtredia W 3-248.3 1238 1154 46.72% 24.23% 29.06%+0.42 +4.2 57
2023-12-02 Telavi W 3-137.0 1316 1141 62.44% 20.56% 17.01%+1.27 +4.6 60
2023-12-02 @ Dila Gori L 1-337.0 1141 1316 17.01% 20.56% 62.44%-1.27 -4.6 37
2023-12-02 Torpedo Kutaisi D 2-259.5 1425 1302 56.53% 22.37% 21.10%+0.93 -0.9 74
2023-12-02 @ Dinamo Batumi D 2-259.5 1302 1425 21.10% 22.37% 56.53%-0.93 +0.9 60

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2023-10-21 9.33% Gagra 1103 1 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1421 0
2 2023-09-02 11.34% Samtredia 1065 3 @ Dila Gori 1338 1
3 2023-10-07 11.46% @ Samtredia 1121 3 Dinamo Tbilisi 1430 2
4 2023-09-16 11.93% @ Telavi 1125 2 Dinamo Batumi 1424 1
5 2023-04-21 14.95% Saburtalo 1215 3 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1421 1
6 2023-11-11 16.52% @ Samgurali 1223 3 Dinamo Batumi 1444 2
7 2023-08-12 18.00% Telavi 1107 1 @ Samgurali 1268 0
8 2023-09-24 18.44% Telavi 1134 1 @ Saburtalo 1290 0
9 2023-09-28 19.17% Samtredia 1098 3 @ Samgurali 1244 0
10 2023-09-28 19.66% @ Telavi 1143 2 Dila Gori 1321 1
11 2023-04-25 21.81% Dila Gori 1292 2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1406 1
12 2023-05-10 23.42% @ Samgurali 1264 2 Dinamo Tbilisi 1400 1
13 2023-11-11 23.48% @ Gagra 1106 2 Saburtalo 1242 1
14 2023-06-05 24.00% @ Torpedo Kutaisi 1218 1 Dila Gori 1348 0
15 2023-05-28 24.16% Shukura Kobuleti 1133 2 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 1223 1
16 2023-04-13 24.35% Samgurali 1224 3 @ Dila Gori 1313 0
17 2023-05-05 24.45% Dila Gori 1320 2 @ Dinamo Batumi 1408 0
18 2023-10-28 25.10% Shukura Kobuleti 1061 1 @ Telavi 1142 0
19 2023-05-20 25.38% @ Telavi 1116 1 Torpedo Kutaisi 1233 0
20 2023-11-28 25.73% @ Telavi 1121 3 Saburtalo 1235 0
21 2023-08-08 26.52% Torpedo Kutaisi 1225 3 @ Saburtalo 1293 1
22 2023-06-01 26.56% @ Saburtalo 1290 2 Dinamo Tbilisi 1396 1
23 2023-10-21 27.26% @ Telavi 1135 2 Samgurali 1235 1
24 2023-11-28 28.21% @ Samgurali 1231 1 Dila Gori 1322 0
25 2023-04-25 28.50% Saburtalo 1230 3 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 1280 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-11-24 39.60 Samtredia 9 1119 42.76% @ Shukura Kobuleti 0 1064 32.65% 24.58%
2 2023-12-02 33.34 Gagra 9 1116 49.63% @ Shukura Kobuleti 0 1010 26.54% 23.82%
3 2023-10-03 26.47 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 5 1242 35.31% Saburtalo 0 1278 39.98% 24.71%
4 2023-09-28 22.65 Samtredia 3 1098 19.17% @ Samgurali 0 1244 59.22% 21.61%
5 2023-04-30 21.18 @ Dila Gori 5 1299 45.60% Torpedo Kutaisi 0 1262 30.05% 24.35%
6 2023-04-13 20.42 Samgurali 3 1224 24.35% @ Dila Gori 0 1313 52.31% 23.34%
7 2023-11-28 19.87 @ Telavi 3 1121 25.73% Saburtalo 0 1235 50.61% 23.66%
8 2023-04-25 18.81 Saburtalo 3 1230 28.50% @ Torpedo Kutaisi 0 1280 47.35% 24.15%
9 2023-05-24 17.01 @ Saburtalo 5 1263 37.86% Samgurali 1 1281 37.39% 24.75%
10 2023-09-02 15.78 Samtredia 3 1065 11.34% @ Dila Gori 1 1338 72.14% 16.52%
11 2023-10-08 14.86 @ Gagra 4 1088 31.82% Telavi 1 1150 43.66% 24.52%
12 2023-04-21 14.70 Saburtalo 3 1215 14.95% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1421 65.72% 19.33%
13 2023-11-28 14.48 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 9 1288 71.34% Shukura Kobuleti 0 1024 11.76% 16.90%
14 2023-11-28 14.33 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 6 1424 38.20% Dinamo Batumi 2 1440 37.06% 24.75%
15 2023-10-08 14.26 @ Samgurali 5 1221 58.86% Shukura Kobuleti 0 1078 19.42% 21.72%
16 2023-08-29 14.12 Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1406 42.61% @ Dila Gori 0 1352 32.80% 24.59%
17 2023-05-05 14.03 Dila Gori 2 1320 24.45% @ Dinamo Batumi 0 1408 52.18% 23.37%
18 2023-10-28 12.78 @ Dila Gori 3 1302 46.77% Saburtalo 0 1256 29.01% 24.22%
19 2023-04-13 12.26 @ Saburtalo 3 1203 48.36% Telavi 0 1145 27.63% 24.01%
20 2023-09-02 12.01 @ Saburtalo 5 1284 63.34% Gagra 0 1101 16.43% 20.23%
21 2023-04-22 11.82 @ Gagra 2 1111 33.12% Shukura Kobuleti 0 1163 42.27% 24.61%
22 2023-08-08 11.67 Torpedo Kutaisi 3 1225 26.52% @ Saburtalo 1 1293 49.67% 23.82%
23 2023-08-20 11.47 Telavi 2 1116 34.65% @ Shukura Kobuleti 0 1118 40.66% 24.69%
24 2023-04-01 11.27 @ Saburtalo 3 1197 51.43% Gagra 0 1115 25.06% 23.51%
25 2023-08-06 10.74 Telavi 2 1097 37.95% @ Samtredia 0 1075 37.30% 24.75%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-05-20 65.7 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1400 71.70% Shukura Kobuleti 4 1132 11.57% 16.73%
2 2023-04-30 62.6 @ Saburtalo 3 1249 21.28% Dinamo Batumi 3 1408 56.29% 22.43%
3 2023-09-24 61.2 @ Dinamo Batumi 2 1423 40.68% Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1420 34.62% 24.69%
4 2023-03-18 60.8 @ Samtredia 3 1108 28.47% Saburtalo 3 1197 47.39% 24.14%
5 2023-04-12 60.8 @ Dinamo Batumi 2 1405 38.15% Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1421 37.11% 24.75%
6 2023-12-02 59.5 @ Dinamo Batumi 2 1425 56.53% Torpedo Kutaisi 2 1302 21.10% 22.37%
7 2023-10-07 59.3 @ Samtredia 3 1121 11.46% Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1430 71.91% 16.63%
8 2023-08-25 59.2 @ Telavi 2 1127 12.89% Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1408 69.28% 17.83%
9 2023-03-18 59.1 @ Telavi 2 1153 13.76% Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1417 67.73% 18.50%
10 2023-11-24 59.1 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 2 1287 23.29% Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1425 53.65% 23.06%
11 2023-11-11 58.6 @ Samgurali 3 1223 16.52% Dinamo Batumi 2 1444 63.19% 20.29%
12 2023-05-28 57.6 @ Samgurali 2 1264 29.98% Dila Gori 2 1340 45.68% 24.34%
13 2023-04-21 57.5 @ Telavi 2 1133 21.27% Dila Gori 2 1292 56.30% 22.43%
14 2023-10-02 57.4 @ Samgurali 2 1222 57.89% Gagra 2 1087 20.11% 22.00%
15 2023-06-06 57.2 @ Shukura Kobuleti 2 1134 23.43% Samgurali 2 1270 53.46% 23.10%
16 2023-11-23 56.9 @ Saburtalo 2 1235 40.95% Samgurali 2 1231 34.37% 24.68%
17 2023-05-24 56.8 @ Shukura Kobuleti 2 1133 47.97% Samtredia 2 1078 27.96% 24.07%
18 2023-06-01 56.1 Gagra 4 1107 30.63% @ Shukura Kobuleti 3 1140 44.96% 24.41%
19 2023-08-19 55.6 @ Dinamo Batumi 1 1416 79.00% Samtredia 1 1061 7.96% 13.05%
20 2023-11-28 55.2 @ Gagra 4 1111 33.61% Samtredia 3 1159 41.75% 24.64%
21 2023-10-20 55.0 @ Dinamo Batumi 1 1438 58.22% Dila Gori 1 1301 19.87% 21.90%
22 2023-09-16 54.5 @ Telavi 2 1125 11.93% Dinamo Batumi 1 1424 71.03% 17.04%
23 2023-09-16 54.5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1422 61.97% Torpedo Kutaisi 1 1251 17.31% 20.72%
24 2023-06-01 54.2 @ Dinamo Batumi 1 1407 64.11% Torpedo Kutaisi 1 1216 15.94% 19.95%
25 2023-03-08 53.7 @ Dila Gori 1 1306 29.30% Dinamo Batumi 1 1388 46.45% 24.26%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-10-02 26.0 Dinamo Batumi 6 1432 75.18% @ Shukura Kobuleti 0 1086 9.79% 15.03%
2 2023-11-03 26.3 @ Dinamo Batumi 3 1440 77.05% Gagra 0 1110 8.87% 14.07%
3 2023-03-04 26.5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1403 72.85% Samtredia 0 1123 10.97% 16.18%
4 2023-06-05 26.5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1389 75.42% Samtredia 0 1079 9.67% 14.91%
5 2023-11-04 26.5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 4 1417 73.08% Telavi 0 1134 10.85% 16.07%
6 2023-08-05 26.6 @ Dinamo Batumi 5 1408 72.25% Shukura Kobuleti 0 1135 11.28% 16.47%
7 2023-11-24 26.8 @ Dinamo Batumi 3 1436 75.48% Telavi 0 1125 9.64% 14.88%
8 2023-11-28 28.0 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 9 1288 71.34% Shukura Kobuleti 0 1024 11.76% 16.90%
9 2023-09-02 28.9 @ Saburtalo 5 1284 63.34% Gagra 0 1101 16.43% 20.23%
10 2023-05-24 29.4 @ Dinamo Batumi 2 1397 72.27% Telavi 0 1124 11.27% 16.46%
11 2023-04-30 29.5 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1399 71.57% @ Samtredia 0 1094 11.64% 16.79%
12 2023-08-27 29.5 Dinamo Batumi 2 1414 72.03% @ Gagra 0 1104 11.40% 16.57%
13 2023-05-14 29.7 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 6 1393 71.94% Telavi 1 1123 11.45% 16.62%
14 2023-10-08 30.1 @ Samgurali 5 1221 58.86% Shukura Kobuleti 0 1078 19.42% 21.72%
15 2023-06-01 30.7 @ Dila Gori 6 1340 68.10% Telavi 1 1111 13.56% 18.35%
16 2023-08-13 30.7 Dinamo Tbilisi 6 1393 68.60% @ Gagra 1 1120 13.27% 18.13%
17 2023-12-02 31.0 Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1439 63.57% @ Saburtalo 0 1215 16.28% 20.15%
18 2023-08-25 31.4 @ Dila Gori 5 1346 69.05% Shukura Kobuleti 1 1106 13.02% 17.93%
19 2023-05-28 32.0 Saburtalo 3 1280 56.34% @ Telavi 0 1120 21.24% 22.42%
20 2023-05-14 32.2 @ Saburtalo 2 1254 61.71% Samtredia 0 1086 17.48% 20.81%
21 2023-03-13 32.9 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1412 63.24% Samgurali 0 1230 16.49% 20.27%
22 2023-09-28 33.0 Dinamo Batumi 3 1422 57.63% @ Torpedo Kutaisi 0 1252 20.30% 22.07%
23 2023-10-21 33.0 @ Torpedo Kutaisi 2 1275 59.16% Samtredia 0 1130 19.21% 21.63%
24 2023-04-02 33.1 @ Dinamo Batumi 2 1394 61.86% Samgurali 0 1225 17.38% 20.76%
25 2023-05-24 33.1 @ Dila Gori 1 1338 67.37% Gagra 0 1116 13.98% 18.65%