2004-05 2. Bundesliga Season
306 games
Promoted
1. FC Koln
67 pts
MSV Duisburg · 62 pts
Eintracht Frankfurt · 61 pts
Relegated
Rot-Wiss Erfurt
30 pts
Rot-Weiss Essen · 33 pts
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen · 34 pts
Eintracht Trier · 39 pts
Biggest Overachiever
1. FC Koln
9.17 points above expected
67 points · 57.83 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Rot-Weiss Essen
8.31 points below expected
33 points · 41.31 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Koln Promoted | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 62 | 33 | +29 | 57.83 | +9.17 |
| 2 | MSV Duisburg Promoted | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62 | 50 | 37 | +13 | 53.66 | +8.34 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Promoted | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 61 | 65 | 39 | +26 | 54.16 | +6.84 |
| 4 | 1860 Munich | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 57 | 52 | 39 | +13 | 53.48 | +3.52 |
| 5 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 42 | +9 | 53.20 | +2.80 |
| 6 | Alemannia Aachen | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 54 | 60 | 40 | +20 | 52.85 | +1.15 |
| 7 | Erzgebirge Aue | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51 | 49 | 40 | +9 | 50.43 | +0.57 |
| 8 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 45.92 | +3.08 |
| 9 | Wacker Burghausen | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46.47 | +1.53 |
| 10 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 45 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44.62 | +0.38 |
| 11 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 41.61 | +1.39 |
| 12 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42.98 | -2.98 |
| 13 | LR Ahlen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 44.13 | -5.13 |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 46.27 | -7.27 |
| 15 | Eintracht Trier Relegated | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 43.82 | -4.82 |
| 16 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Relegated | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 40.31 | -6.31 |
| 17 | Rot-Weiss Essen Relegated | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 41.31 | -8.31 |
| 18 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 38.17 | -8.17 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1766 | 61 | 54.16 | +6.84 | 83.6% | 25 | 42 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 67 | 83 |
| 1. FC Koln | 1755 | 67 | 57.83 | +9.17 | 89.8% | 30 | 45 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 70 | 83 |
| 1860 Munich | 1725 | 57 | 53.48 | +3.52 | 69.9% | 24 | 41 | 48 | 53 | 59 | 66 | 83 |
| Alemannia Aachen | 1679 | 54 | 52.85 | +1.15 | 58.9% | 25 | 40 | 48 | 53 | 58 | 65 | 85 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1678 | 62 | 53.66 | +8.34 | 88.0% | 26 | 41 | 48 | 54 | 59 | 66 | 86 |
| Greuther Furth | 1669 | 56 | 53.20 | +2.80 | 66.8% | 26 | 41 | 48 | 53 | 58 | 66 | 80 |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 1658 | 51 | 50.43 | +0.57 | 55.4% | 22 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 56 | 63 | 81 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 1632 | 49 | 45.92 | +3.08 | 68.1% | 18 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 58 | 74 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1624 | 43 | 41.61 | +1.39 | 60.1% | 16 | 29 | 36 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 69 |
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 1610 | 45 | 44.62 | +0.38 | 55.1% | 15 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 50 | 57 | 74 |
| Wacker Burghausen | 1608 | 48 | 46.47 | +1.53 | 61.3% | 18 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 59 | 73 |
| LR Ahlen | 1597 | 39 | 44.13 | -5.13 | 27.1% | 15 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 57 | 71 |
| Energie Cottbus | 1590 | 39 | 46.27 | -7.27 | 18.6% | 18 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 59 | 75 |
| 1. FC Saarbrucken | 1571 | 40 | 42.98 | -2.98 | 37.4% | 18 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 72 |
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1562 | 34 | 40.31 | -6.31 | 22.4% | 11 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 53 | 72 |
| Eintracht Trier | 1560 | 39 | 43.82 | -4.82 | 29.1% | 19 | 31 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 74 |
| Rot-Weiss Essen | 1551 | 33 | 41.31 | -8.31 | 15.3% | 12 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 54 | 73 |
| Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 1524 | 30 | 38.17 | -8.17 | 14.8% | 14 | 26 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 65 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FK | 1FS | 1M | AA | DD | EF | ET | EC | EA | GF | KS | LA | MD | RE | RE | RO | SU | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Koln | — |
1-0-1
3.55
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
2-0-0
3.00
|
1-0-1
3.47
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
0-1-1
3.78
|
1-1-0
3.21
|
2-0-0
3.34
|
2-0-0
3.00
|
1-1-0
3.62
|
1-0-1
3.61
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
1-1-0
4.06
|
0-2-0
3.67
|
2-0-0
3.75
|
2-0-0
3.53
|
1-0-1
3.27
|
| 1. FC Saarbrucken |
1-0-1
2.03
|
— |
1-1-0
2.03
|
0-0-2
2.24
|
0-0-2
2.73
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
0-1-1
2.91
|
0-2-0
2.48
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
1-0-1
2.19
|
0-1-1
2.91
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
1-0-1
2.18
|
1-0-1
2.90
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
1-0-1
2.93
|
1-0-1
2.67
|
1-0-1
2.66
|
| 1860 Munich |
0-1-1
2.60
|
0-1-1
3.55
|
— |
1-0-1
2.76
|
2-0-0
3.24
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
1-1-0
3.06
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
2-0-0
2.89
|
0-2-0
3.55
|
0-0-2
3.45
|
2-0-0
2.71
|
1-1-0
3.36
|
0-2-0
3.54
|
1-1-0
3.71
|
0-2-0
3.16
|
1-0-1
3.13
|
| Alemannia Aachen |
0-0-2
2.56
|
2-0-0
3.33
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
— |
1-0-1
3.08
|
0-1-1
2.67
|
2-0-0
3.00
|
2-0-0
3.19
|
0-1-1
2.87
|
0-0-2
3.01
|
2-0-0
3.30
|
0-1-1
3.19
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
3.66
|
1-1-0
3.45
|
1-1-0
3.64
|
1-0-1
3.18
|
2-0-0
3.23
|
| Dynamo Dresden |
1-0-1
2.09
|
2-0-0
2.83
|
0-0-2
2.32
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
— |
1-0-1
2.35
|
2-0-0
2.90
|
0-0-2
2.78
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
1-1-0
2.25
|
0-1-1
3.10
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
1-1-0
3.28
|
1-0-1
3.08
|
1-0-1
3.17
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
0-1-1
2.83
|
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
1-0-1
2.61
|
1-0-1
3.36
|
0-0-2
2.81
|
1-1-0
2.88
|
1-0-1
3.20
|
— |
1-1-0
3.39
|
2-0-0
3.47
|
2-0-0
2.79
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
1-0-1
3.56
|
0-0-2
3.36
|
0-1-1
2.82
|
2-0-0
3.83
|
1-1-0
3.47
|
2-0-0
3.40
|
1-0-1
3.19
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
| Eintracht Trier |
1-1-0
1.82
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
0-0-2
2.56
|
0-0-2
2.65
|
0-1-1
2.19
|
— |
1-0-1
2.63
|
2-0-0
2.40
|
0-2-0
2.28
|
0-0-2
2.87
|
1-1-0
2.81
|
1-0-1
2.11
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
0-2-0
3.01
|
0-2-0
2.84
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
0-1-1
2.59
|
| Energie Cottbus |
0-1-1
2.34
|
0-2-0
3.07
|
0-1-1
2.50
|
0-0-2
2.38
|
2-0-0
2.78
|
0-0-2
2.09
|
1-0-1
2.93
|
— |
1-0-1
2.53
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
1-0-1
2.81
|
0-1-1
3.04
|
1-0-1
2.27
|
1-1-0
3.36
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
0-1-1
2.90
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
| Erzgebirge Aue |
0-0-2
2.22
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
1-0-1
2.72
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
1-0-1
3.08
|
0-0-2
2.77
|
0-0-2
3.15
|
1-0-1
3.04
|
— |
1-0-1
2.57
|
2-0-0
3.23
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
0-1-1
2.67
|
2-0-0
3.40
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
1-1-0
3.35
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
1-1-0
3.01
|
| Greuther Furth |
0-0-2
2.57
|
1-0-1
3.38
|
0-0-2
2.66
|
2-0-0
2.55
|
0-1-1
3.31
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
0-2-0
3.29
|
1-0-1
3.13
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
— |
1-1-0
3.49
|
2-0-0
3.20
|
0-0-2
2.90
|
2-0-0
3.56
|
2-0-0
3.41
|
1-0-1
3.62
|
2-0-0
3.24
|
1-1-0
3.09
|
| Karlsruher SC |
0-1-1
1.96
|
1-1-0
2.64
|
0-2-0
2.02
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
1-1-0
2.47
|
1-0-1
2.00
|
2-0-0
2.68
|
1-0-1
2.75
|
0-0-2
2.33
|
0-1-1
2.08
|
— |
0-2-0
2.63
|
1-0-1
2.01
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
1-0-1
2.72
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
0-2-0
2.49
|
| LR Ahlen |
1-0-1
1.96
|
0-1-1
2.87
|
2-0-0
2.13
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
2-0-0
2.20
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
0-0-2
2.35
|
0-2-0
2.93
|
— |
1-0-1
2.20
|
0-1-1
2.97
|
1-0-1
2.93
|
0-1-1
3.08
|
0-0-2
2.86
|
0-0-2
2.69
|
| MSV Duisburg |
1-0-1
2.57
|
1-0-1
3.39
|
0-0-2
2.86
|
1-1-0
2.86
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
1-1-0
2.75
|
1-0-1
3.45
|
1-0-1
3.29
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
2-0-0
2.65
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
1-0-1
3.37
|
— |
1-1-0
3.72
|
1-0-1
3.51
|
2-0-0
3.18
|
2-0-0
3.23
|
1-1-0
3.26
|
| Rot-Weiss Erfurt |
0-1-1
1.54
|
1-0-1
2.65
|
0-1-1
2.21
|
1-0-1
1.91
|
0-1-1
2.29
|
0-0-2
1.75
|
1-0-1
2.39
|
0-1-1
2.20
|
0-0-2
2.18
|
0-0-2
2.01
|
1-0-1
2.44
|
1-1-0
2.60
|
0-1-1
1.87
|
— |
0-2-0
2.77
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
0-0-2
2.58
|
2-0-0
2.10
|
| Rot-Weiss Essen |
0-2-0
1.92
|
1-1-0
2.72
|
0-2-0
2.04
|
0-1-1
2.12
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
0-1-1
2.11
|
0-2-0
2.55
|
1-1-0
2.36
|
0-1-1
2.45
|
0-0-2
2.16
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
1-0-1
2.63
|
1-0-1
2.05
|
0-2-0
2.79
|
— |
0-2-0
2.95
|
0-0-2
2.63
|
0-0-2
2.53
|
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen |
0-0-2
1.83
|
1-0-1
2.63
|
0-1-1
1.86
|
0-1-1
1.94
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
0-0-2
2.16
|
0-2-0
2.72
|
0-0-2
2.50
|
0-1-1
2.21
|
1-0-1
1.95
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
1-1-0
2.48
|
0-0-2
2.39
|
1-1-0
2.93
|
0-2-0
2.61
|
— |
2-0-0
2.50
|
0-1-1
2.56
|
| SpVgg Unterhaching |
0-0-2
2.05
|
1-0-1
2.89
|
0-2-0
2.40
|
1-0-1
2.38
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
1-0-1
2.38
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
0-0-2
2.33
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
2-0-0
2.69
|
0-0-2
2.33
|
2-0-0
2.97
|
2-0-0
2.92
|
0-0-2
3.07
|
— |
0-0-2
2.70
|
| Wacker Burghausen |
1-0-1
2.30
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
0-0-2
2.33
|
1-1-0
2.73
|
0-0-2
2.26
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
0-1-1
2.47
|
0-2-0
3.08
|
2-0-0
2.86
|
0-1-1
2.30
|
0-0-2
3.47
|
2-0-0
3.02
|
1-1-0
3.00
|
2-0-0
2.85
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.79 | +10.6 |
| Allowed | 0.74 | -11.4 |
| Differential | 0.89 | +6.4 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.84% | 9.80% | 6.70% | 3.27% | 1.31% | 0.16% | 29.08% |
| 1 | 9.80% | 9.48% | 6.21% | 3.10% | 1.47% | 1.14% | 31.21% |
| 2 | 6.70% | 6.21% | 4.90% | 2.78% | 1.31% | 0.16% | 22.06% |
| 3 | 3.27% | 3.10% | 2.78% | 0.65% | 0.82% | 0.16% | 10.78% |
| 4 | 1.31% | 1.47% | 1.31% | 0.82% | 0.33% | — | 5.23% |
| 5+ | 0.16% | 1.14% | 0.16% | 0.16% | — | — | 1.63% |
| Total | 29.08% | 31.21% | 22.06% | 10.78% | 5.23% | 1.63% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.37 | 1.37 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.78 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 8 | 8 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 17.65% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 44.12% | 23.53% | 26.47% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.82 | 0.97 | +0.85 |
| SD | 1.71 | 1.06 | 1.76 |
| CV | 0.94 | 1.09 | — |
| Max | 8 | 4 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 35.29% | 26.47% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.29 | 1.47 | -0.18 |
| SD | 1.24 | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| CV | 0.96 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 41.18% | 32.35% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.53 | 1.15 | +0.38 |
| SD | 1.24 | 1.40 | 1.78 |
| CV | 0.81 | 1.22 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 8.82% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| Total | 26.47% | 50.00% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.76 | 1.18 | +0.59 |
| SD | 1.62 | 1.14 | 2.13 |
| CV | 0.92 | 0.97 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 8.82% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 44.12% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 38.24% | 29.41% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.41 | 1.56 | -0.15 |
| SD | 1.08 | 1.26 | 1.76 |
| CV | 0.76 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 41.18% | 20.59% | 23.53% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.91 | 1.15 | +0.76 |
| SD | 1.42 | 1.18 | 2.03 |
| CV | 0.74 | 1.03 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 26.47% | 32.35% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.15 | 1.56 | -0.41 |
| SD | 0.99 | 1.26 | 1.50 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.65% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.24% | 17.65% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.41 | -0.38 |
| SD | 1.09 | 1.44 | 1.61 |
| CV | 1.06 | 1.02 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 26.47% | 47.06% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.18 | +0.26 |
| SD | 1.37 | 1.14 | 1.94 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.97 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 29.41% | 29.41% | 11.76% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 1.24 | +0.26 |
| SD | 1.08 | 1.02 | 1.24 |
| CV | 0.72 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 44.12% | 20.59% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.35 | 1.38 | -0.03 |
| SD | 1.25 | 1.16 | 1.73 |
| CV | 0.93 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 8.82% | — | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 26.47% | 26.47% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.26 | 1.44 | -0.18 |
| SD | 1.14 | 1.16 | 1.34 |
| CV | 0.90 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 20.59% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 41.18% | 35.29% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.09 | +0.38 |
| SD | 1.42 | 1.29 | 1.83 |
| CV | 0.97 | 1.18 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 41.18% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 20.59% | 26.47% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.76 | -0.76 |
| SD | 1.13 | 1.39 | 1.79 |
| CV | 1.13 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.65% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 32.35% | 20.59% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.50 | -0.47 |
| SD | 1.09 | 1.38 | 1.40 |
| CV | 1.06 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | — | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 20.59% | 23.53% | 23.53% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.18 | 1.82 | -0.65 |
| SD | 1.03 | 1.51 | 1.79 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.83 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 17.65% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 14.71% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 32.35% | 20.59% | 17.65% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.18 | 1.26 | -0.09 |
| SD | 1.22 | 1.08 | 1.85 |
| CV | 1.04 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.41 | 1.62 | -0.21 |
| SD | 1.26 | 1.58 | 1.95 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.97 | — |
| Max | 4 | 8 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Koln | 67 | 57.83 | +9.17 |
| 2 | MSV Duisburg | 62 | 53.66 | +8.34 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 61 | 54.16 | +6.84 |
| 4 | 1860 Munich | 57 | 53.48 | +3.52 |
| 5 | Dynamo Dresden | 49 | 45.92 | +3.08 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 33 | 41.31 | -8.31 |
| 2 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 30 | 38.17 | -8.17 |
| 3 | Energie Cottbus | 39 | 46.27 | -7.27 |
| 4 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 34 | 40.31 | -6.31 |
| 5 | LR Ahlen | 39 | 44.13 | -5.13 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1860 Munich | 5 | Feb 13 – Mar 14 | 1 in 69 |
| 2 | Karlsruher SC | 4 | May 1 – May 22 | 1 in 66 |
| 3 | 1. FC Koln | 5 | Oct 26 – Nov 19 | 1 in 54 |
| 4 | Dynamo Dresden | 4 | Mar 4 – Mar 20 | 1 in 50 |
| 5 | Erzgebirge Aue | 4 | Feb 6 – Feb 27 | 1 in 48 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | 7 | Feb 13 – Apr 3 | 1 in 957 |
| 2 | LR Ahlen | 5 | Feb 6 – Mar 4 | 1 in 95 |
| 3 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 5 | Nov 5 – Dec 5 | 1 in 87 |
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 4 | Feb 11 – Mar 4 | 1 in 81 |
| 5 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | Oct 18 – Oct 29 | 1 in 61 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1860 Munich | 16 | Jan 23 – May 15 | 1 in 546 |
| 2 | MSV Duisburg | 11 | Oct 15 – Jan 23 | 1 in 68 |
| 3 | LR Ahlen | 7 | Sep 12 – Oct 29 | 1 in 59 |
| 4 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 5 | Jan 22 – Feb 18 | 1 in 26 |
| 5 | 1. FC Koln | 9 | Oct 17 – Dec 5 | 1 in 26 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | 10 | Feb 4 – Apr 17 | 1 in 116 |
| 2 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 8 | Aug 15 – Oct 24 | 1 in 36 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiss Essen | 7 | Apr 8 – May 22 | 1 in 22 |
| 4 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | Aug 29 – Oct 3 | 1 in 19 |
| 5 | Dynamo Dresden | 6 | Aug 16 – Oct 4 | 1 in 17 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Koln | 27.75% | 17.47% | 12.90% | 10.28% | 7.54% | 6.10% | 4.04% | 3.60% | 2.70% | 1.97% | 1.73% | 1.23% | 0.90% | 0.75% | 0.45% | 0.27% | 0.26% | 0.06% |
| MSV Duisburg | 11.53% | 11.65% | 11.35% | 10.42% | 9.26% | 8.20% | 7.36% | 5.77% | 6.02% | 4.24% | 3.46% | 3.05% | 2.61% | 1.90% | 1.30% | 0.80% | 0.75% | 0.33% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 13.54% | 13.10% | 11.93% | 10.57% | 9.19% | 7.71% | 6.81% | 5.82% | 4.63% | 3.72% | 3.18% | 2.77% | 2.13% | 1.94% | 1.10% | 0.90% | 0.67% | 0.29% |
| 1860 Munich | 11.09% | 11.72% | 10.84% | 9.93% | 9.37% | 8.23% | 7.55% | 6.09% | 5.57% | 4.81% | 3.36% | 3.29% | 2.55% | 1.96% | 1.63% | 1.16% | 0.63% | 0.22% |
| Greuther Furth | 10.35% | 11.01% | 10.79% | 9.68% | 9.07% | 8.93% | 7.69% | 6.40% | 5.37% | 4.61% | 3.62% | 3.43% | 2.91% | 2.11% | 1.45% | 1.39% | 0.75% | 0.44% |
| Alemannia Aachen | 10.34% | 10.55% | 10.34% | 10.24% | 9.40% | 8.27% | 7.15% | 6.98% | 5.41% | 4.59% | 4.13% | 3.52% | 2.80% | 2.17% | 1.57% | 1.27% | 0.82% | 0.45% |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 5.58% | 7.55% | 7.54% | 8.29% | 8.37% | 8.47% | 7.51% | 7.08% | 6.91% | 5.92% | 5.80% | 5.08% | 4.48% | 3.56% | 2.94% | 2.39% | 1.54% | 0.99% |
| Dynamo Dresden | 1.53% | 2.58% | 3.77% | 4.30% | 5.55% | 5.56% | 6.32% | 6.82% | 7.07% | 7.23% | 7.41% | 7.15% | 6.85% | 6.81% | 6.26% | 6.04% | 5.00% | 3.75% |
| Wacker Burghausen | 1.91% | 3.03% | 3.89% | 4.82% | 5.06% | 6.05% | 6.04% | 7.34% | 7.48% | 7.62% | 7.60% | 7.31% | 6.80% | 6.35% | 5.88% | 5.26% | 4.18% | 3.38% |
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 1.32% | 1.81% | 2.74% | 3.43% | 3.84% | 5.19% | 5.75% | 6.41% | 6.66% | 6.69% | 7.54% | 7.33% | 7.51% | 7.81% | 7.42% | 6.99% | 6.44% | 5.12% |
| Karlsruher SC | 0.38% | 1.00% | 1.33% | 1.81% | 2.62% | 2.87% | 4.00% | 4.50% | 5.24% | 5.83% | 6.78% | 7.38% | 7.70% | 8.52% | 9.59% | 9.60% | 10.20% | 10.65% |
| 1. FC Saarbrucken | 0.63% | 1.14% | 1.89% | 2.42% | 3.01% | 3.73% | 4.67% | 5.41% | 6.14% | 6.65% | 6.98% | 7.49% | 7.66% | 8.63% | 8.72% | 8.14% | 8.91% | 7.78% |
| LR Ahlen | 0.83% | 1.65% | 2.43% | 2.86% | 3.85% | 4.56% | 5.39% | 5.92% | 6.33% | 7.58% | 7.11% | 7.43% | 7.38% | 8.57% | 8.12% | 7.47% | 6.87% | 5.65% |
| Energie Cottbus | 1.76% | 2.77% | 3.65% | 4.55% | 5.16% | 5.68% | 6.66% | 6.69% | 6.86% | 7.50% | 7.18% | 7.60% | 7.38% | 6.45% | 6.03% | 5.98% | 4.50% | 3.60% |
| Eintracht Trier | 0.75% | 1.48% | 2.16% | 2.88% | 3.67% | 4.18% | 5.27% | 5.57% | 6.00% | 6.85% | 7.36% | 7.03% | 7.98% | 7.91% | 8.04% | 7.95% | 8.14% | 6.78% |
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 0.25% | 0.53% | 0.78% | 1.34% | 1.86% | 1.99% | 2.76% | 3.36% | 4.02% | 5.02% | 5.83% | 6.45% | 7.33% | 8.53% | 10.11% | 11.46% | 13.79% | 14.59% |
| Rot-Weiss Essen | 0.34% | 0.77% | 1.20% | 1.47% | 2.26% | 2.92% | 3.41% | 3.95% | 4.85% | 5.20% | 6.73% | 7.00% | 8.15% | 8.24% | 9.41% | 10.97% | 10.99% | 12.14% |
| Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 0.12% | 0.19% | 0.47% | 0.71% | 0.92% | 1.36% | 1.62% | 2.29% | 2.74% | 3.97% | 4.20% | 5.46% | 6.88% | 7.79% | 9.98% | 11.96% | 15.56% | 23.78% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 6.05 * Some Luck: 6.05 to 9.08 * Lucky: 9.08 to 12.11 * Wild Swing: 12.11 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.92 * Close: 2.92 to 4.38 * Off: 4.38 to 5.84 * Way Off: 5.84 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 2.05 * A Surprise: 2.05 to 3.28 * Several Surprises: 3.28 to 4.51 * Many Surprises: 4.51 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.17 * Well Above Noise: 0.17 and up.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Direct promotion | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Koln | 58.12% | 40.84% | 1.04% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 38.57% | 58.47% | 2.96% |
| MSV Duisburg | 34.53% | 62.29% | 3.18% |
| 1860 Munich | 33.65% | 62.71% | 3.64% |
| Greuther Furth | 32.15% | 63.82% | 4.03% |
| Alemannia Aachen | 31.23% | 64.66% | 4.11% |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 20.67% | 71.47% | 7.86% |
| Wacker Burghausen | 8.83% | 72.47% | 18.70% |
| Energie Cottbus | 8.18% | 71.71% | 20.11% |
| Dynamo Dresden | 7.88% | 71.07% | 21.05% |
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 5.87% | 68.16% | 25.97% |
| LR Ahlen | 4.91% | 66.98% | 28.11% |
| Eintracht Trier | 4.39% | 64.70% | 30.91% |
| 1. FC Saarbrucken | 3.66% | 62.79% | 33.55% |
| Karlsruher SC | 2.71% | 57.25% | 40.04% |
| Rot-Weiss Essen | 2.31% | 54.18% | 43.51% |
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1.56% | 48.49% | 49.95% |
| Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 0.78% | 37.94% | 61.28% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-08-07 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-5 | 1616 | 1634 | 45.5% | 22.3% | 32.1% | -22.0 | 0 |
| 2004-08-07 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | W 5-1 | 1634 | 1616 | 32.1% | 22.3% | 45.5% | +22.0 | 3 |
| 2004-08-07 | MSV Duisburg | W 3-1 | 1648 | 1643 | 48.4% | 22.1% | 29.4% | +8.5 | 3 |
| 2004-08-07 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-3 | 1643 | 1648 | 29.4% | 22.1% | 48.4% | -8.5 | 0 |
| 2004-08-07 | Wacker Burghausen | D 1-1 | 1600 | 1623 | 44.8% | 22.4% | 32.9% | -0.4 | 1 |
| 2004-08-07 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1623 | 1600 | 32.9% | 22.4% | 44.8% | +0.4 | 1 |
| 2004-08-08 | Eintracht Trier | D 1-1 | 1626 | 1624 | 48.1% | 22.1% | 29.8% | -0.6 | 1 |
| 2004-08-08 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 1-1 | 1624 | 1626 | 29.8% | 22.1% | 48.1% | +0.6 | 1 |
| 2004-08-08 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1664 | 1648 | 50.0% | 22.0% | 28.0% | -0.9 | 1 |
| 2004-08-08 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 0-0 | 1648 | 1664 | 28.0% | 22.0% | 50.0% | +0.9 | 1 |
| 2004-08-08 | LR Ahlen | W 1-0 | 1649 | 1613 | 52.5% | 21.7% | 25.8% | +4.6 | 3 |
| 2004-08-08 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1613 | 1649 | 25.8% | 21.7% | 52.5% | -4.7 | 0 |
| 2004-08-08 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | L 0-2 | 1579 | 1598 | 45.4% | 22.3% | 32.3% | -13.9 | 0 |
| 2004-08-08 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 2-0 | 1598 | 1579 | 32.3% | 22.3% | 45.4% | +13.9 | 3 |
| 2004-08-08 | SpVgg Unterhaching | D 2-2 | 1671 | 1617 | 54.7% | 21.4% | 23.9% | -0.8 | 1 |
| 2004-08-08 | @ 1860 Munich | D 2-2 | 1617 | 1671 | 23.9% | 21.4% | 54.7% | +0.8 | 1 |
| 2004-08-09 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1626 | 1680 | 40.4% | 22.5% | 37.1% | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-09 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1680 | 1626 | 37.1% | 22.5% | 40.4% | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-13 | 1. FC Koln | W 4-2 | 1624 | 1663 | 42.4% | 22.5% | 35.1% | +8.8 | 4 |
| 2004-08-13 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 2-4 | 1663 | 1624 | 35.1% | 22.5% | 42.4% | -8.8 | 1 |
| 2004-08-13 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 2-1 | 1635 | 1565 | 56.5% | 21.1% | 22.4% | +3.8 | 3 |
| 2004-08-13 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1565 | 1635 | 22.4% | 21.1% | 56.5% | -3.8 | 0 |
| 2004-08-13 | 1860 Munich | W 3-1 | 1656 | 1671 | 45.8% | 22.3% | 31.9% | +9.1 | 6 |
| 2004-08-13 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-3 | 1671 | 1656 | 31.9% | 22.3% | 45.8% | -9.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-15 | Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1608 | 1626 | 45.5% | 22.3% | 32.2% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ LR Ahlen | D 1-1 | 1626 | 1608 | 32.2% | 22.3% | 45.5% | +0.5 | 2 |
| 2004-08-15 | Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1618 | 1654 | 43.0% | 22.4% | 34.6% | -6.6 | 1 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 2-1 | 1654 | 1618 | 34.6% | 22.4% | 43.0% | +6.6 | 6 |
| 2004-08-15 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1680 | 1600 | 57.7% | 20.8% | 21.4% | +3.7 | 4 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1600 | 1680 | 21.4% | 20.8% | 57.7% | -3.7 | 1 |
| 2004-08-15 | Rot-Weiss Essen | D 1-1 | 1625 | 1594 | 51.7% | 21.8% | 26.5% | -0.9 | 2 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 1-1 | 1594 | 1625 | 26.5% | 21.8% | 51.7% | +0.9 | 1 |
| 2004-08-15 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 1-1 | 1612 | 1625 | 46.0% | 22.3% | 31.7% | -0.5 | 4 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | D 1-1 | 1625 | 1612 | 31.7% | 22.3% | 46.0% | +0.5 | 2 |
| 2004-08-16 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1648 | 1656 | 46.8% | 22.2% | 31.0% | +5.1 | 4 |
| 2004-08-16 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1656 | 1648 | 31.0% | 22.2% | 46.8% | -5.1 | 3 |
| 2004-08-27 | Eintracht Trier | W 2-0 | 1661 | 1624 | 52.7% | 21.7% | 25.6% | +8.7 | 4 |
| 2004-08-27 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-2 | 1624 | 1661 | 25.6% | 21.7% | 52.7% | -8.7 | 2 |
| 2004-08-27 | Karlsruher SC | W 4-0 | 1626 | 1596 | 51.7% | 21.8% | 26.5% | +17.0 | 5 |
| 2004-08-27 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-4 | 1596 | 1626 | 26.5% | 21.8% | 51.7% | -17.0 | 1 |
| 2004-08-27 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | D 0-0 | 1595 | 1611 | 45.7% | 22.3% | 31.9% | -0.5 | 2 |
| 2004-08-27 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | D 0-0 | 1611 | 1595 | 31.9% | 22.3% | 45.7% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2004-08-29 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1562 | 1654 | 35.0% | 22.5% | 42.5% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | D 0-0 | 1654 | 1562 | 42.5% | 22.5% | 35.0% | -0.3 | 5 |
| 2004-08-29 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1660 | 1665 | 47.2% | 22.2% | 30.5% | +5.4 | 9 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1665 | 1660 | 30.5% | 22.2% | 47.2% | -5.4 | 6 |
| 2004-08-29 | MSV Duisburg | L 0-2 | 1625 | 1639 | 46.1% | 22.3% | 31.6% | -14.1 | 2 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 2-0 | 1639 | 1625 | 31.6% | 22.3% | 46.1% | +14.1 | 6 |
| 2004-08-29 | SpVgg Unterhaching | L 1-2 | 1608 | 1611 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 30.4% | -7.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ LR Ahlen | W 2-1 | 1611 | 1608 | 30.4% | 22.2% | 47.4% | +7.2 | 4 |
| 2004-08-29 | Wacker Burghausen | D 1-1 | 1651 | 1632 | 50.3% | 21.9% | 27.7% | -0.8 | 4 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ Dynamo Dresden | D 1-1 | 1632 | 1651 | 27.7% | 21.9% | 50.3% | +0.8 | 5 |
| 2004-08-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1655 | 1684 | 43.9% | 22.4% | 33.7% | +11.0 | 4 |
| 2004-08-30 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-2 | 1684 | 1655 | 33.7% | 22.4% | 43.9% | -11.0 | 4 |
| 2004-09-10 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 1-2 | 1633 | 1562 | 56.8% | 21.0% | 22.2% | -8.4 | 5 |
| 2004-09-10 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 2-1 | 1562 | 1633 | 22.2% | 21.0% | 56.8% | +8.4 | 4 |
| 2004-09-10 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1673 | 1651 | 50.7% | 21.9% | 27.4% | +4.6 | 7 |
| 2004-09-10 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1651 | 1673 | 27.4% | 21.9% | 50.7% | -4.6 | 4 |
| 2004-09-10 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 1-0 | 1653 | 1611 | 53.2% | 21.6% | 25.2% | +4.5 | 8 |
| 2004-09-10 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1611 | 1653 | 25.2% | 21.6% | 53.2% | -4.6 | 2 |
| 2004-09-12 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1579 | 1666 | 35.8% | 22.5% | 41.7% | -6.1 | 1 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1666 | 1579 | 41.7% | 22.5% | 35.8% | +6.1 | 7 |
| 2004-09-12 | Alemannia Aachen | L 0-2 | 1618 | 1643 | 44.5% | 22.4% | 33.1% | -13.7 | 4 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 2-0 | 1643 | 1618 | 33.1% | 22.4% | 44.5% | +13.7 | 8 |
| 2004-09-12 | Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1615 | 1666 | 40.9% | 22.5% | 36.6% | -0.2 | 3 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 0-0 | 1666 | 1615 | 36.6% | 22.5% | 40.9% | +0.2 | 10 |
| 2004-09-12 | LR Ahlen | D 0-0 | 1659 | 1601 | 55.2% | 21.3% | 23.5% | -1.3 | 7 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 0-0 | 1601 | 1659 | 23.5% | 21.3% | 55.2% | +1.3 | 2 |
| 2004-09-12 | Rot-Weiss Essen | W 1-0 | 1653 | 1595 | 55.2% | 21.3% | 23.5% | +4.3 | 9 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1595 | 1653 | 23.5% | 21.3% | 55.2% | -4.3 | 2 |
| 2004-09-13 | 1860 Munich | D 0-0 | 1612 | 1670 | 39.7% | 22.5% | 37.8% | -0.1 | 6 |
| 2004-09-13 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | D 0-0 | 1670 | 1612 | 37.8% | 22.5% | 39.7% | +0.1 | 5 |
| 2004-09-17 | Eintracht Trier | D 2-2 | 1602 | 1615 | 46.1% | 22.3% | 31.6% | -0.4 | 3 |
| 2004-09-17 | @ LR Ahlen | D 2-2 | 1615 | 1602 | 31.6% | 22.3% | 46.1% | +0.4 | 4 |
| 2004-09-17 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1646 | 1573 | 56.9% | 21.0% | 22.1% | -8.4 | 4 |
| 2004-09-17 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1573 | 1646 | 22.1% | 21.0% | 56.9% | +8.4 | 4 |
| 2004-09-17 | MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1670 | 1657 | 49.6% | 22.0% | 28.4% | +5.0 | 8 |
| 2004-09-17 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1657 | 1670 | 28.4% | 22.0% | 49.6% | -5.0 | 9 |
| 2004-09-19 | 1. FC Koln | L 2-3 | 1657 | 1672 | 45.9% | 22.3% | 31.8% | -6.7 | 8 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 3-2 | 1672 | 1657 | 31.8% | 22.3% | 45.9% | +6.6 | 10 |
| 2004-09-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-0 | 1570 | 1677 | 33.0% | 22.4% | 44.6% | +19.9 | 7 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 0-3 | 1677 | 1570 | 44.6% | 22.4% | 33.0% | -19.9 | 7 |
| 2004-09-19 | Energie Cottbus | W 4-2 | 1591 | 1658 | 38.5% | 22.5% | 39.0% | +9.5 | 5 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | L 2-4 | 1658 | 1591 | 39.0% | 22.5% | 38.5% | -9.5 | 8 |
| 2004-09-19 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 4-1 | 1605 | 1658 | 40.5% | 22.5% | 37.0% | +14.5 | 7 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 1-4 | 1658 | 1605 | 37.0% | 22.5% | 40.5% | -14.5 | 7 |
| 2004-09-19 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 2-0 | 1666 | 1612 | 54.7% | 21.4% | 23.9% | +8.2 | 13 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1612 | 1666 | 23.9% | 21.4% | 54.7% | -8.2 | 6 |
| 2004-09-19 | Wacker Burghausen | L 1-2 | 1607 | 1625 | 45.4% | 22.3% | 32.2% | -6.9 | 2 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 2-1 | 1625 | 1607 | 32.2% | 22.3% | 45.4% | +7.0 | 8 |
| 2004-09-24 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | D 1-1 | 1582 | 1590 | 46.7% | 22.3% | 31.0% | -0.5 | 5 |
| 2004-09-24 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1590 | 1582 | 31.0% | 22.3% | 46.7% | +0.6 | 8 |
| 2004-09-24 | LR Ahlen | D 1-1 | 1603 | 1602 | 48.1% | 22.1% | 29.8% | -0.6 | 7 |
| 2004-09-24 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | D 1-1 | 1602 | 1603 | 29.8% | 22.1% | 48.1% | +0.7 | 4 |
| 2004-09-24 | Rot-Weiss Essen | W 3-2 | 1632 | 1600 | 51.9% | 21.8% | 26.3% | +4.2 | 11 |
| 2004-09-24 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 2-3 | 1600 | 1632 | 26.3% | 21.8% | 51.9% | -4.2 | 5 |
| 2004-09-26 | Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1644 | 1650 | 46.9% | 22.2% | 30.8% | -0.6 | 8 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1650 | 1644 | 30.8% | 22.2% | 46.9% | +0.6 | 9 |
| 2004-09-26 | Dynamo Dresden | W 3-2 | 1678 | 1638 | 53.1% | 21.6% | 25.3% | +4.1 | 13 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 2-3 | 1638 | 1678 | 25.3% | 21.6% | 53.1% | -4.1 | 4 |
| 2004-09-26 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1652 | 1674 | 44.9% | 22.4% | 32.7% | +5.7 | 12 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1674 | 1652 | 32.7% | 22.4% | 44.9% | -5.7 | 13 |
| 2004-09-26 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 6-2 | 1657 | 1600 | 55.1% | 21.3% | 23.6% | +10.8 | 10 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-6 | 1600 | 1657 | 23.6% | 21.3% | 55.1% | -10.8 | 2 |
| 2004-09-26 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 2-0 | 1615 | 1619 | 47.3% | 22.2% | 30.5% | +10.1 | 7 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 0-2 | 1619 | 1615 | 30.5% | 22.2% | 47.3% | -10.1 | 7 |
| 2004-09-27 | 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1648 | 1675 | 44.2% | 22.4% | 33.4% | -0.4 | 9 |
| 2004-09-27 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1675 | 1648 | 33.4% | 22.4% | 44.2% | +0.4 | 9 |
| 2004-10-01 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 4-4 | 1596 | 1668 | 37.8% | 22.5% | 39.7% | +0.0 | 6 |
| 2004-10-01 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | D 4-4 | 1668 | 1596 | 39.7% | 22.5% | 37.8% | -0.0 | 11 |
| 2004-10-01 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1602 | 1658 | 40.2% | 22.5% | 37.3% | +11.9 | 7 |
| 2004-10-01 | @ LR Ahlen | L 0-2 | 1658 | 1602 | 37.3% | 22.5% | 40.2% | -11.9 | 12 |
| 2004-10-01 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 4-0 | 1609 | 1603 | 48.7% | 22.1% | 29.2% | +18.5 | 10 |
| 2004-10-01 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-4 | 1603 | 1609 | 29.2% | 22.1% | 48.7% | -18.5 | 7 |
| 2004-10-03 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-0 | 1591 | 1682 | 35.1% | 22.5% | 42.5% | +13.2 | 11 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 0-2 | 1682 | 1591 | 42.5% | 22.5% | 35.1% | -13.2 | 13 |
| 2004-10-03 | Eintracht Trier | L 1-2 | 1643 | 1625 | 50.2% | 22.0% | 27.9% | -7.6 | 8 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-1 | 1625 | 1643 | 27.9% | 22.0% | 50.2% | +7.6 | 10 |
| 2004-10-03 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1668 | 1648 | 50.5% | 21.9% | 27.6% | +9.3 | 16 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1648 | 1668 | 27.6% | 21.9% | 50.5% | -9.3 | 9 |
| 2004-10-03 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1589 | 1581 | 48.9% | 22.1% | 29.0% | +5.1 | 5 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-1 | 1581 | 1589 | 29.0% | 22.1% | 48.9% | -5.1 | 5 |
| 2004-10-03 | Wacker Burghausen | L 2-4 | 1676 | 1636 | 52.9% | 21.6% | 25.4% | -12.3 | 9 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ 1860 Munich | W 4-2 | 1636 | 1676 | 25.4% | 21.6% | 52.9% | +12.3 | 14 |
| 2004-10-04 | Dynamo Dresden | W 5-1 | 1651 | 1633 | 50.1% | 22.0% | 27.9% | +14.8 | 12 |
| 2004-10-04 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-5 | 1633 | 1651 | 27.9% | 22.0% | 50.1% | -14.8 | 4 |
| 2004-10-15 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-3 | 1584 | 1635 | 40.8% | 22.5% | 36.7% | -18.5 | 7 |
| 2004-10-15 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 3-0 | 1635 | 1584 | 36.7% | 22.5% | 40.8% | +18.5 | 11 |
| 2004-10-15 | Rot-Weiss Essen | W 4-1 | 1576 | 1596 | 45.1% | 22.4% | 32.5% | +13.0 | 8 |
| 2004-10-15 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-4 | 1596 | 1576 | 32.5% | 22.4% | 45.1% | -13.0 | 6 |
| 2004-10-15 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 3-1 | 1646 | 1628 | 50.2% | 21.9% | 27.8% | +8.1 | 15 |
| 2004-10-15 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-3 | 1628 | 1646 | 27.8% | 21.9% | 50.2% | -8.1 | 10 |
| 2004-10-17 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 2-1 | 1619 | 1604 | 49.8% | 22.0% | 28.2% | +4.7 | 7 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1604 | 1619 | 28.2% | 22.0% | 49.8% | -4.7 | 11 |
| 2004-10-17 | Alemannia Aachen | L 0-4 | 1633 | 1666 | 43.4% | 22.4% | 34.2% | -25.4 | 10 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Eintracht Trier | W 4-0 | 1666 | 1633 | 34.2% | 22.4% | 43.4% | +25.4 | 15 |
| 2004-10-17 | Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1648 | 1678 | 43.9% | 22.4% | 33.7% | -7.2 | 14 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 1-0 | 1678 | 1648 | 33.7% | 22.4% | 43.9% | +7.2 | 19 |
| 2004-10-17 | LR Ahlen | D 0-0 | 1639 | 1614 | 51.0% | 21.9% | 27.1% | -1.0 | 10 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1614 | 1639 | 27.1% | 21.9% | 51.0% | +1.0 | 8 |
| 2004-10-17 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 3-2 | 1669 | 1594 | 57.2% | 20.9% | 21.9% | +3.6 | 16 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 2-3 | 1594 | 1669 | 21.9% | 20.9% | 57.2% | -3.6 | 5 |
| 2004-10-18 | 1860 Munich | L 1-2 | 1668 | 1663 | 48.5% | 22.1% | 29.4% | -7.3 | 11 |
| 2004-10-18 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1663 | 1668 | 29.4% | 22.1% | 48.5% | +7.3 | 12 |
| 2004-10-22 | 1. FC Koln | D 2-2 | 1583 | 1673 | 35.3% | 22.5% | 42.2% | +0.2 | 7 |
| 2004-10-22 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | D 2-2 | 1673 | 1583 | 42.2% | 22.5% | 35.3% | -0.2 | 17 |
| 2004-10-22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1685 | 1661 | 50.9% | 21.9% | 27.2% | +4.6 | 22 |
| 2004-10-22 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1661 | 1685 | 27.2% | 21.9% | 50.9% | -4.6 | 11 |
| 2004-10-22 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1619 | 1638 | 45.4% | 22.3% | 32.3% | +5.3 | 13 |
| 2004-10-22 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 1-2 | 1638 | 1619 | 32.3% | 22.3% | 45.4% | -5.3 | 10 |
| 2004-10-22 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1671 | 1589 | 57.9% | 20.8% | 21.2% | -1.3 | 13 |
| 2004-10-22 | @ 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1589 | 1671 | 21.2% | 20.8% | 57.9% | +1.3 | 9 |
| 2004-10-24 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 3-1 | 1691 | 1599 | 59.1% | 20.6% | 20.3% | +6.1 | 18 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-3 | 1599 | 1691 | 20.3% | 20.6% | 59.1% | -6.1 | 11 |
| 2004-10-24 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-0 | 1591 | 1623 | 43.4% | 22.4% | 34.2% | +11.1 | 8 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-2 | 1623 | 1591 | 34.2% | 22.4% | 43.4% | -11.1 | 7 |
| 2004-10-24 | MSV Duisburg | L 1-3 | 1654 | 1654 | 47.8% | 22.2% | 30.0% | -12.6 | 11 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 3-1 | 1654 | 1654 | 30.0% | 22.2% | 47.8% | +12.6 | 18 |
| 2004-10-24 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 2-0 | 1607 | 1566 | 53.2% | 21.6% | 25.2% | +8.6 | 13 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 0-2 | 1566 | 1607 | 25.2% | 21.6% | 53.2% | -8.6 | 7 |
| 2004-10-26 | 1860 Munich | W 2-0 | 1673 | 1669 | 48.3% | 22.1% | 29.6% | +9.9 | 20 |
| 2004-10-26 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-2 | 1669 | 1673 | 29.6% | 22.1% | 48.3% | -9.9 | 13 |
| 2004-10-26 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1590 | 1689 | 34.1% | 22.4% | 43.5% | +0.2 | 10 |
| 2004-10-26 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1689 | 1590 | 43.5% | 22.4% | 34.1% | -0.2 | 23 |
| 2004-10-26 | LR Ahlen | L 2-3 | 1656 | 1615 | 53.1% | 21.6% | 25.3% | -7.5 | 11 |
| 2004-10-26 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-2 | 1615 | 1656 | 25.3% | 21.6% | 53.1% | +7.5 | 11 |
| 2004-10-26 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 2-0 | 1641 | 1625 | 50.0% | 22.0% | 28.0% | +9.4 | 17 |
| 2004-10-26 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 0-2 | 1625 | 1641 | 28.0% | 22.0% | 50.0% | -9.4 | 13 |
| 2004-10-27 | Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1557 | 1697 | 28.9% | 22.1% | 49.0% | +7.9 | 10 |
| 2004-10-27 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | L 0-1 | 1697 | 1557 | 49.0% | 22.1% | 28.9% | -7.9 | 18 |
| 2004-10-27 | Eintracht Trier | W 4-3 | 1667 | 1616 | 54.3% | 21.4% | 24.3% | +3.8 | 21 |
| 2004-10-27 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 3-4 | 1616 | 1667 | 24.3% | 21.4% | 54.3% | -3.8 | 13 |
| 2004-10-27 | Rot-Weiss Essen | W 1-0 | 1612 | 1583 | 51.6% | 21.8% | 26.6% | +4.8 | 10 |
| 2004-10-27 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-1 | 1583 | 1612 | 26.6% | 21.8% | 51.6% | -4.8 | 7 |
| 2004-10-27 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 3-0 | 1593 | 1602 | 46.7% | 22.3% | 31.1% | +14.9 | 14 |
| 2004-10-27 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 0-3 | 1602 | 1593 | 31.1% | 22.3% | 46.7% | -14.9 | 8 |
| 2004-10-28 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1632 | 1641 | 46.6% | 22.3% | 31.1% | +5.4 | 13 |
| 2004-10-28 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1641 | 1632 | 31.1% | 22.3% | 46.6% | -5.4 | 11 |
| 2004-10-29 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1689 | 1682 | 48.7% | 22.1% | 29.2% | -7.8 | 23 |
| 2004-10-29 | @ Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1682 | 1689 | 29.2% | 22.1% | 48.7% | +7.8 | 23 |
| 2004-10-29 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1615 | 1649 | 43.3% | 22.4% | 34.3% | +11.1 | 16 |
| 2004-10-29 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-2 | 1649 | 1615 | 34.3% | 22.4% | 43.3% | -11.1 | 11 |
| 2004-10-29 | Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1623 | 1591 | 52.0% | 21.8% | 26.3% | -0.7 | 12 |
| 2004-10-29 | @ LR Ahlen | D 2-2 | 1591 | 1623 | 26.3% | 21.8% | 52.0% | +0.7 | 11 |
| 2004-10-31 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 2-0 | 1578 | 1608 | 43.8% | 22.4% | 33.8% | +11.0 | 10 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | L 0-2 | 1608 | 1578 | 33.8% | 22.4% | 43.8% | -11.0 | 14 |
| 2004-10-31 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1612 | 1638 | 44.4% | 22.4% | 33.2% | +5.4 | 16 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 1-2 | 1638 | 1612 | 33.2% | 22.4% | 44.4% | -5.4 | 13 |
| 2004-10-31 | MSV Duisburg | D 0-0 | 1565 | 1670 | 33.2% | 22.4% | 44.4% | +0.4 | 11 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | D 0-0 | 1670 | 1565 | 44.4% | 22.4% | 33.2% | -0.4 | 22 |
| 2004-10-31 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 2-1 | 1689 | 1587 | 60.2% | 20.3% | 19.4% | +3.4 | 21 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1587 | 1689 | 19.4% | 20.3% | 60.2% | -3.4 | 8 |
| 2004-10-31 | Wacker Burghausen | W 2-0 | 1636 | 1650 | 45.9% | 22.3% | 31.8% | +10.5 | 14 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-2 | 1650 | 1636 | 31.8% | 22.3% | 45.9% | -10.5 | 17 |
| 2004-11-01 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-0 | 1660 | 1617 | 53.3% | 21.6% | 25.1% | +8.5 | 16 |
| 2004-11-01 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-2 | 1617 | 1660 | 25.1% | 21.6% | 53.3% | -8.5 | 10 |
| 2004-11-05 | Eintracht Trier | D 0-0 | 1640 | 1618 | 50.8% | 21.9% | 27.3% | -0.9 | 18 |
| 2004-11-05 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 0-0 | 1618 | 1640 | 27.3% | 21.9% | 50.8% | +0.9 | 17 |
| 2004-11-05 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-0 | 1638 | 1646 | 46.7% | 22.3% | 31.1% | +10.3 | 14 |
| 2004-11-05 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1646 | 1638 | 31.1% | 22.3% | 46.7% | -10.3 | 14 |
| 2004-11-05 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 1-0 | 1591 | 1626 | 43.0% | 22.4% | 34.5% | +5.9 | 14 |
| 2004-11-05 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1626 | 1591 | 34.5% | 22.4% | 43.0% | -5.9 | 16 |
| 2004-11-07 | 1860 Munich | W 4-1 | 1597 | 1668 | 37.9% | 22.5% | 39.6% | +15.2 | 17 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 1-4 | 1668 | 1597 | 39.6% | 22.5% | 37.9% | -15.2 | 16 |
| 2004-11-07 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1608 | 1681 | 37.7% | 22.5% | 39.8% | +0.0 | 11 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ Dynamo Dresden | D 2-2 | 1681 | 1608 | 39.8% | 22.5% | 37.7% | -0.0 | 24 |
| 2004-11-07 | LR Ahlen | W 3-0 | 1690 | 1622 | 56.4% | 21.1% | 22.5% | +11.2 | 26 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-3 | 1622 | 1690 | 22.5% | 21.1% | 56.4% | -11.2 | 12 |
| 2004-11-07 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 3-0 | 1632 | 1565 | 56.2% | 21.1% | 22.7% | +11.3 | 16 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-3 | 1565 | 1632 | 22.7% | 21.1% | 56.2% | -11.3 | 11 |
| 2004-11-07 | Rot-Weiss Essen | D 1-1 | 1583 | 1589 | 47.1% | 22.2% | 30.7% | -0.6 | 9 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 1-1 | 1589 | 1583 | 30.7% | 22.2% | 47.1% | +0.6 | 11 |
| 2004-11-08 | Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1670 | 1693 | 44.8% | 22.4% | 32.9% | +5.7 | 25 |
| 2004-11-08 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1693 | 1670 | 32.9% | 22.4% | 44.8% | -5.7 | 21 |
| 2004-11-12 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 2-0 | 1681 | 1612 | 56.5% | 21.1% | 22.4% | +7.7 | 27 |
| 2004-11-12 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1612 | 1681 | 22.4% | 21.1% | 56.5% | -7.7 | 17 |
| 2004-11-12 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 5-1 | 1653 | 1583 | 56.6% | 21.1% | 22.4% | +12.2 | 19 |
| 2004-11-12 | @ 1860 Munich | L 1-5 | 1583 | 1653 | 22.4% | 21.1% | 56.6% | -12.2 | 9 |
| 2004-11-12 | Wacker Burghausen | W 1-0 | 1554 | 1639 | 36.0% | 22.5% | 41.5% | +6.9 | 14 |
| 2004-11-12 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | L 0-1 | 1639 | 1554 | 41.5% | 22.5% | 36.0% | -6.9 | 18 |
| 2004-11-14 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-0 | 1611 | 1609 | 48.1% | 22.1% | 29.7% | +9.9 | 15 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ LR Ahlen | L 0-2 | 1609 | 1611 | 29.7% | 22.1% | 48.1% | -9.9 | 11 |
| 2004-11-14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1618 | 1648 | 43.8% | 22.4% | 33.7% | -0.3 | 18 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 2-2 | 1648 | 1618 | 33.7% | 22.4% | 43.8% | +0.3 | 15 |
| 2004-11-14 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1676 | 1644 | 52.0% | 21.8% | 26.3% | +8.9 | 28 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-2 | 1644 | 1676 | 26.3% | 21.8% | 52.0% | -8.9 | 16 |
| 2004-11-14 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1636 | 1597 | 52.8% | 21.6% | 25.5% | +4.6 | 17 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-1 | 1597 | 1636 | 25.5% | 21.6% | 52.8% | -4.6 | 14 |
| 2004-11-14 | Rot-Weiss Essen | D 1-1 | 1687 | 1590 | 59.7% | 20.4% | 19.9% | -1.5 | 22 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1590 | 1687 | 19.9% | 20.4% | 59.7% | +1.5 | 12 |
| 2004-11-15 | 1. FC Koln | L 1-3 | 1621 | 1702 | 36.5% | 22.5% | 40.9% | -10.1 | 16 |
| 2004-11-15 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 3-1 | 1702 | 1621 | 40.9% | 22.5% | 36.5% | +10.1 | 29 |
| 2004-11-19 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1712 | 1641 | 56.7% | 21.0% | 22.3% | +4.1 | 32 |
| 2004-11-19 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1641 | 1712 | 22.3% | 21.0% | 56.7% | -4.1 | 17 |
| 2004-11-19 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1571 | 1689 | 31.6% | 22.3% | 46.1% | +7.5 | 12 |
| 2004-11-19 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-1 | 1689 | 1571 | 46.1% | 22.3% | 31.6% | -7.5 | 27 |
| 2004-11-19 | LR Ahlen | D 0-0 | 1604 | 1621 | 45.7% | 22.3% | 32.0% | -0.5 | 18 |
| 2004-11-19 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | D 0-0 | 1621 | 1604 | 32.0% | 22.3% | 45.7% | +0.5 | 16 |
| 2004-11-19 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 2-1 | 1648 | 1561 | 58.6% | 20.7% | 20.8% | +3.6 | 18 |
| 2004-11-19 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1561 | 1648 | 20.8% | 20.7% | 58.6% | -3.6 | 14 |
| 2004-11-21 | Eintracht Trier | W 1-0 | 1593 | 1618 | 44.4% | 22.4% | 33.2% | +5.8 | 17 |
| 2004-11-21 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1618 | 1593 | 33.2% | 22.4% | 44.4% | -5.8 | 18 |
| 2004-11-21 | MSV Duisburg | D 0-0 | 1632 | 1685 | 40.6% | 22.5% | 36.9% | -0.1 | 19 |
| 2004-11-21 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 0-0 | 1685 | 1632 | 36.9% | 22.5% | 40.6% | +0.1 | 29 |
| 2004-11-21 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 1-0 | 1599 | 1610 | 46.3% | 22.3% | 31.4% | +5.5 | 14 |
| 2004-11-21 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-1 | 1610 | 1599 | 31.4% | 22.3% | 46.3% | -5.5 | 16 |
| 2004-11-22 | Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1635 | 1686 | 40.8% | 22.5% | 36.6% | -6.4 | 16 |
| 2004-11-22 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1686 | 1635 | 36.6% | 22.5% | 40.8% | +6.4 | 25 |
| 2004-11-24 | 1860 Munich | D 0-0 | 1591 | 1665 | 37.5% | 22.5% | 39.9% | +0.1 | 13 |
| 2004-11-24 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | D 0-0 | 1665 | 1591 | 39.9% | 22.5% | 37.5% | -0.1 | 20 |
| 2004-11-26 | 1. FC Koln | D 0-0 | 1612 | 1716 | 33.5% | 22.4% | 44.1% | +0.4 | 19 |
| 2004-11-26 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 0-0 | 1716 | 1612 | 44.1% | 22.4% | 33.5% | -0.4 | 33 |
| 2004-11-26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1685 | 1652 | 52.1% | 21.7% | 26.2% | -0.9 | 30 |
| 2004-11-26 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1652 | 1685 | 26.2% | 21.7% | 52.1% | +0.9 | 19 |
| 2004-11-26 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-1 | 1621 | 1578 | 53.3% | 21.6% | 25.1% | -8.5 | 16 |
| 2004-11-26 | @ LR Ahlen | W 1-0 | 1578 | 1621 | 25.1% | 21.6% | 53.3% | +8.4 | 15 |
| 2004-11-28 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 1-3 | 1605 | 1604 | 48.0% | 22.2% | 29.9% | -12.6 | 16 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 3-1 | 1604 | 1605 | 29.9% | 22.2% | 48.0% | +12.6 | 21 |
| 2004-11-28 | 1860 Munich | W 5-1 | 1692 | 1665 | 51.3% | 21.8% | 26.8% | +14.3 | 28 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-5 | 1665 | 1692 | 26.8% | 21.8% | 51.3% | -14.3 | 20 |
| 2004-11-28 | Dynamo Dresden | W 4-1 | 1637 | 1604 | 52.0% | 21.7% | 26.2% | +10.9 | 20 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-4 | 1604 | 1637 | 26.2% | 21.7% | 52.0% | -10.9 | 14 |
| 2004-11-28 | Karlsruher SC | W 4-2 | 1557 | 1598 | 42.2% | 22.5% | 35.3% | +8.8 | 17 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | L 2-4 | 1598 | 1557 | 35.3% | 22.5% | 42.2% | -8.8 | 17 |
| 2004-11-28 | Rot-Weiss Essen | W 3-2 | 1681 | 1591 | 58.9% | 20.6% | 20.5% | +3.4 | 30 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Greuther Furth | L 2-3 | 1591 | 1681 | 20.5% | 20.6% | 58.9% | -3.4 | 13 |
| 2004-11-29 | Wacker Burghausen | L 0-2 | 1628 | 1632 | 47.3% | 22.2% | 30.4% | -14.4 | 16 |
| 2004-11-29 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1632 | 1628 | 30.4% | 22.2% | 47.3% | +14.4 | 22 |
| 2004-12-03 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-1 | 1616 | 1648 | 43.6% | 22.4% | 34.0% | +5.5 | 24 |
| 2004-12-03 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 1-2 | 1648 | 1616 | 34.0% | 22.4% | 43.6% | -5.5 | 20 |
| 2004-12-03 | MSV Duisburg | L 0-3 | 1589 | 1684 | 34.7% | 22.5% | 42.8% | -16.3 | 17 |
| 2004-12-03 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1684 | 1589 | 42.8% | 22.5% | 34.7% | +16.3 | 33 |
| 2004-12-03 | LR Ahlen | W 1-0 | 1588 | 1613 | 44.5% | 22.4% | 33.1% | +5.7 | 16 |
| 2004-12-03 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | L 0-1 | 1613 | 1588 | 33.1% | 22.4% | 44.5% | -5.7 | 16 |
| 2004-12-05 | Eintracht Trier | W 4-1 | 1593 | 1613 | 45.2% | 22.4% | 32.5% | +13.0 | 17 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-4 | 1613 | 1593 | 32.5% | 22.4% | 45.2% | -13.0 | 19 |
| 2004-12-05 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-1 | 1653 | 1614 | 52.8% | 21.6% | 25.6% | +7.5 | 22 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-3 | 1614 | 1653 | 25.6% | 21.6% | 52.8% | -7.5 | 16 |
| 2004-12-05 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | D 1-1 | 1715 | 1566 | 65.1% | 19.1% | 15.9% | -1.8 | 34 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1566 | 1715 | 15.9% | 19.1% | 65.1% | +1.8 | 18 |
| 2004-12-05 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 3-1 | 1587 | 1592 | 47.1% | 22.2% | 30.7% | +8.8 | 18 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 1-3 | 1592 | 1587 | 30.7% | 22.2% | 47.1% | -8.8 | 16 |
| 2004-12-05 | Wacker Burghausen | W 3-1 | 1706 | 1646 | 55.4% | 21.3% | 23.4% | +6.9 | 31 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-3 | 1646 | 1706 | 23.4% | 21.3% | 55.4% | -6.9 | 22 |
| 2004-12-06 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1651 | 1685 | 43.2% | 22.4% | 34.4% | +5.6 | 23 |
| 2004-12-06 | @ 1860 Munich | L 1-2 | 1685 | 1651 | 34.4% | 22.4% | 43.2% | -5.6 | 30 |
| 2004-12-10 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-2 | 1679 | 1713 | 43.2% | 22.4% | 34.4% | +5.3 | 33 |
| 2004-12-10 | @ Greuther Furth | L 2-3 | 1713 | 1679 | 34.4% | 22.4% | 43.2% | -5.3 | 31 |
| 2004-12-10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1640 | 1660 | 45.1% | 22.4% | 32.6% | -20.1 | 22 |
| 2004-12-10 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 3-0 | 1660 | 1640 | 32.6% | 22.4% | 45.1% | +20.1 | 25 |
| 2004-12-10 | Karlsruher SC | W 4-1 | 1607 | 1573 | 52.1% | 21.7% | 26.1% | +10.8 | 19 |
| 2004-12-10 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-4 | 1573 | 1607 | 26.1% | 21.7% | 52.1% | -10.8 | 17 |
| 2004-12-12 | 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 1700 | 1713 | 46.0% | 22.3% | 31.7% | +5.5 | 36 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1713 | 1700 | 31.7% | 22.3% | 46.0% | -5.5 | 34 |
| 2004-12-12 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 2-1 | 1600 | 1622 | 44.9% | 22.4% | 32.8% | +5.4 | 22 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 1-2 | 1622 | 1600 | 32.8% | 22.4% | 44.9% | -5.4 | 24 |
| 2004-12-12 | 1860 Munich | W 1-0 | 1607 | 1656 | 41.0% | 22.5% | 36.4% | +6.2 | 19 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ LR Ahlen | L 0-1 | 1656 | 1607 | 36.4% | 22.5% | 41.0% | -6.2 | 23 |
| 2004-12-12 | Dynamo Dresden | D 1-1 | 1568 | 1606 | 42.6% | 22.5% | 34.9% | -0.3 | 19 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | D 1-1 | 1606 | 1568 | 34.9% | 22.5% | 42.6% | +0.3 | 18 |
| 2004-12-12 | Rot-Weiss Essen | W 4-0 | 1584 | 1594 | 46.5% | 22.3% | 31.2% | +19.6 | 19 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-4 | 1594 | 1584 | 31.2% | 22.3% | 46.5% | -19.6 | 16 |
| 2004-12-12 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 2-0 | 1642 | 1595 | 53.8% | 21.5% | 24.7% | +8.4 | 23 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-2 | 1595 | 1642 | 24.7% | 21.5% | 53.8% | -8.4 | 18 |
| 2005-01-22 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1620 | 1562 | 55.1% | 21.3% | 23.6% | -1.1 | 23 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 1-1 | 1562 | 1620 | 23.6% | 21.3% | 55.1% | +1.1 | 18 |
| 2005-01-22 | Rot-Weiss Essen | D 1-1 | 1650 | 1574 | 57.3% | 20.9% | 21.8% | -1.3 | 24 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1574 | 1650 | 21.8% | 20.9% | 57.3% | +1.3 | 17 |
| 2005-01-22 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 2-2 | 1605 | 1587 | 50.2% | 21.9% | 27.8% | -0.6 | 23 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 2-2 | 1587 | 1605 | 27.8% | 21.9% | 50.2% | +0.6 | 19 |
| 2005-01-23 | 1. FC Koln | L 3-5 | 1617 | 1708 | 35.2% | 22.5% | 42.3% | -8.3 | 19 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 5-3 | 1708 | 1617 | 42.3% | 22.5% | 35.2% | +8.3 | 37 |
| 2005-01-23 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 0-1 | 1568 | 1617 | 41.1% | 22.5% | 36.4% | -6.8 | 19 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 1-0 | 1617 | 1568 | 36.4% | 22.5% | 41.1% | +6.8 | 27 |
| 2005-01-23 | 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1603 | 1650 | 41.4% | 22.5% | 36.1% | -0.2 | 20 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | D 1-1 | 1650 | 1603 | 36.1% | 22.5% | 41.4% | +0.2 | 24 |
| 2005-01-23 | Dynamo Dresden | W 4-2 | 1706 | 1607 | 59.9% | 20.4% | 19.7% | +5.3 | 39 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 2-4 | 1607 | 1706 | 19.7% | 20.4% | 59.9% | -5.3 | 18 |
| 2005-01-23 | Greuther Furth | L 2-4 | 1613 | 1684 | 37.9% | 22.5% | 39.6% | -9.3 | 19 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ LR Ahlen | W 4-2 | 1684 | 1613 | 39.6% | 22.5% | 37.9% | +9.3 | 36 |
| 2005-01-24 | Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1680 | 1708 | 44.1% | 22.4% | 33.5% | +5.8 | 28 |
| 2005-01-24 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1708 | 1680 | 33.5% | 22.4% | 44.1% | -5.8 | 31 |
| 2005-01-28 | Eintracht Trier | D 2-2 | 1575 | 1605 | 43.9% | 22.4% | 33.7% | -0.3 | 18 |
| 2005-01-28 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | D 2-2 | 1605 | 1575 | 33.7% | 22.4% | 43.9% | +0.3 | 24 |
| 2005-01-28 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1650 | 1649 | 48.0% | 22.2% | 29.9% | +5.3 | 27 |
| 2005-01-28 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1649 | 1650 | 29.9% | 22.2% | 48.0% | -5.3 | 24 |
| 2005-01-28 | Wacker Burghausen | W 8-1 | 1716 | 1618 | 59.7% | 20.4% | 19.8% | +18.2 | 40 |
| 2005-01-28 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-8 | 1618 | 1716 | 19.8% | 20.4% | 59.7% | -18.2 | 23 |
| 2005-01-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-0 | 1563 | 1686 | 31.0% | 22.3% | 46.7% | +20.7 | 21 |
| 2005-01-30 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-3 | 1686 | 1563 | 46.7% | 22.3% | 31.0% | -20.7 | 28 |
| 2005-01-30 | MSV Duisburg | W 4-1 | 1623 | 1711 | 35.6% | 22.5% | 41.9% | +15.9 | 30 |
| 2005-01-30 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 1-4 | 1711 | 1623 | 41.9% | 22.5% | 35.6% | -15.9 | 39 |
| 2005-01-30 | LR Ahlen | L 0-2 | 1702 | 1604 | 59.8% | 20.4% | 19.8% | -17.6 | 31 |
| 2005-01-30 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 2-0 | 1604 | 1702 | 19.8% | 20.4% | 59.8% | +17.6 | 22 |
| 2005-01-30 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 4-3 | 1588 | 1561 | 51.3% | 21.8% | 26.9% | +4.2 | 22 |
| 2005-01-30 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 3-4 | 1561 | 1588 | 26.9% | 21.8% | 51.3% | -4.2 | 19 |
| 2005-01-30 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 3-1 | 1694 | 1603 | 59.0% | 20.6% | 20.4% | +6.1 | 39 |
| 2005-01-30 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-3 | 1603 | 1694 | 20.4% | 20.6% | 59.0% | -6.1 | 20 |
| 2005-01-31 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1601 | 1609 | 46.8% | 22.2% | 30.9% | -7.5 | 18 |
| 2005-01-31 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 1-0 | 1609 | 1601 | 30.9% | 22.2% | 46.8% | +7.6 | 22 |
| 2005-02-04 | 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 1665 | 1734 | 38.2% | 22.5% | 39.3% | +6.6 | 31 |
| 2005-02-04 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1734 | 1665 | 39.3% | 22.5% | 38.2% | -6.6 | 40 |
| 2005-02-04 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | D 1-1 | 1617 | 1639 | 44.8% | 22.4% | 32.9% | -0.4 | 23 |
| 2005-02-04 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1639 | 1617 | 32.9% | 22.4% | 44.8% | +0.4 | 31 |
| 2005-02-04 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 4-1 | 1695 | 1592 | 60.3% | 20.3% | 19.4% | +8.2 | 42 |
| 2005-02-04 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-4 | 1592 | 1695 | 19.4% | 20.3% | 60.3% | -8.2 | 22 |
| 2005-02-06 | 1860 Munich | D 2-2 | 1605 | 1655 | 40.9% | 22.5% | 36.6% | -0.1 | 25 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ Eintracht Trier | D 2-2 | 1655 | 1605 | 36.6% | 22.5% | 40.9% | +0.1 | 28 |
| 2005-02-06 | Alemannia Aachen | L 0-1 | 1584 | 1684 | 33.9% | 22.4% | 43.7% | -5.9 | 21 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1684 | 1584 | 43.7% | 22.4% | 33.9% | +5.8 | 34 |
| 2005-02-06 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1644 | 1700 | 40.1% | 22.5% | 37.4% | +6.0 | 27 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-2 | 1700 | 1644 | 37.4% | 22.5% | 40.1% | -6.0 | 39 |
| 2005-02-06 | LR Ahlen | W 2-1 | 1597 | 1621 | 44.5% | 22.4% | 33.1% | +5.4 | 23 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 1-2 | 1621 | 1597 | 33.1% | 22.4% | 44.5% | -5.4 | 22 |
| 2005-02-06 | Rot-Weiss Essen | D 1-1 | 1557 | 1575 | 45.4% | 22.3% | 32.3% | -0.5 | 20 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | D 1-1 | 1575 | 1557 | 32.3% | 22.3% | 45.4% | +0.5 | 19 |
| 2005-02-07 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1600 | 1594 | 48.7% | 22.1% | 29.2% | +4.9 | 26 |
| 2005-02-07 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 1-2 | 1594 | 1600 | 29.2% | 22.1% | 48.7% | -4.9 | 18 |
| 2005-02-11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1589 | 1672 | 36.2% | 22.5% | 41.2% | +6.4 | 21 |
| 2005-02-11 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1672 | 1589 | 41.2% | 22.5% | 36.2% | -6.4 | 31 |
| 2005-02-11 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1584 | 1616 | 43.4% | 22.4% | 34.2% | -7.1 | 22 |
| 2005-02-11 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 1-0 | 1616 | 1584 | 34.2% | 22.4% | 43.4% | +7.1 | 26 |
| 2005-02-11 | SpVgg Unterhaching | L 2-3 | 1690 | 1602 | 58.7% | 20.7% | 20.7% | -8.2 | 34 |
| 2005-02-11 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 3-2 | 1602 | 1690 | 20.7% | 20.7% | 58.7% | +8.2 | 26 |
| 2005-02-13 | Eintracht Trier | D 3-3 | 1694 | 1605 | 58.8% | 20.6% | 20.6% | -0.9 | 40 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ Greuther Furth | D 3-3 | 1605 | 1694 | 20.6% | 20.6% | 58.8% | +0.9 | 26 |
| 2005-02-13 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-2 | 1616 | 1650 | 43.2% | 22.4% | 34.3% | -6.7 | 22 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ LR Ahlen | W 2-1 | 1650 | 1616 | 34.3% | 22.4% | 43.2% | +6.7 | 30 |
| 2005-02-13 | MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1576 | 1703 | 30.4% | 22.2% | 47.4% | +7.6 | 22 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | L 0-1 | 1703 | 1576 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 30.4% | -7.6 | 42 |
| 2005-02-13 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 3-1 | 1656 | 1556 | 59.9% | 20.4% | 19.7% | +5.9 | 31 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ 1860 Munich | L 1-3 | 1556 | 1656 | 19.7% | 20.4% | 59.9% | -5.9 | 20 |
| 2005-02-13 | Wacker Burghausen | L 2-4 | 1640 | 1605 | 52.3% | 21.7% | 26.0% | -12.1 | 31 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 4-2 | 1605 | 1640 | 26.0% | 21.7% | 52.3% | +12.1 | 29 |
| 2005-02-14 | Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1728 | 1578 | 65.1% | 19.1% | 15.8% | -1.4 | 41 |
| 2005-02-14 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 2-2 | 1578 | 1728 | 15.8% | 19.1% | 65.1% | +1.4 | 22 |
| 2005-02-18 | Dynamo Dresden | D 1-1 | 1580 | 1595 | 45.8% | 22.3% | 31.9% | -0.5 | 23 |
| 2005-02-18 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1595 | 1580 | 31.9% | 22.3% | 45.8% | +0.5 | 22 |
| 2005-02-18 | LR Ahlen | W 2-0 | 1606 | 1609 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 30.4% | +10.1 | 29 |
| 2005-02-18 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 0-2 | 1609 | 1606 | 30.4% | 22.2% | 47.4% | -10.1 | 22 |
| 2005-02-18 | Rot-Weiss Essen | D 0-0 | 1623 | 1583 | 53.0% | 21.6% | 25.4% | -1.1 | 27 |
| 2005-02-18 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1583 | 1623 | 25.4% | 21.6% | 53.0% | +1.1 | 23 |
| 2005-02-20 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 3-0 | 1665 | 1628 | 52.7% | 21.7% | 25.6% | +12.6 | 34 |
| 2005-02-20 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1628 | 1665 | 25.6% | 21.7% | 52.7% | -12.7 | 31 |
| 2005-02-20 | Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1726 | 1682 | 53.5% | 21.6% | 24.9% | +4.5 | 44 |
| 2005-02-20 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1682 | 1726 | 24.9% | 21.6% | 53.5% | -4.5 | 34 |
| 2005-02-20 | Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1550 | 1693 | 28.6% | 22.0% | 49.4% | -4.8 | 20 |
| 2005-02-20 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 2-1 | 1693 | 1550 | 49.4% | 22.0% | 28.6% | +4.8 | 43 |
| 2005-02-20 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 2-2 | 1617 | 1576 | 53.1% | 21.6% | 25.3% | -0.7 | 30 |
| 2005-02-20 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 2-2 | 1576 | 1617 | 25.3% | 21.6% | 53.1% | +0.7 | 23 |
| 2005-02-20 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 1-0 | 1656 | 1610 | 53.7% | 21.5% | 24.8% | +4.5 | 33 |
| 2005-02-20 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-1 | 1610 | 1656 | 24.8% | 21.5% | 53.7% | -4.5 | 26 |
| 2005-02-21 | 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1696 | 1661 | 52.2% | 21.7% | 26.0% | -8.3 | 42 |
| 2005-02-21 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1661 | 1696 | 26.0% | 21.7% | 52.2% | +8.3 | 34 |
| 2005-02-25 | Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1670 | 1622 | 53.9% | 21.5% | 24.6% | +4.5 | 37 |
| 2005-02-25 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1622 | 1670 | 24.6% | 21.5% | 53.9% | -4.5 | 27 |
| 2005-02-25 | Wacker Burghausen | L 1-2 | 1584 | 1616 | 43.5% | 22.4% | 34.1% | -6.7 | 23 |
| 2005-02-25 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | W 2-1 | 1616 | 1584 | 34.1% | 22.4% | 43.5% | +6.7 | 33 |
| 2005-02-27 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1577 | 1678 | 33.8% | 22.4% | 43.8% | -16.0 | 23 |
| 2005-02-27 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 3-0 | 1678 | 1577 | 43.8% | 22.4% | 33.8% | +16.0 | 37 |
| 2005-02-27 | Eintracht Trier | W 1-0 | 1606 | 1616 | 46.5% | 22.3% | 31.2% | +5.5 | 29 |
| 2005-02-27 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-1 | 1616 | 1606 | 31.2% | 22.3% | 46.5% | -5.5 | 29 |
| 2005-02-27 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-5 | 1678 | 1661 | 50.0% | 22.0% | 28.0% | -23.8 | 34 |
| 2005-02-27 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 5-1 | 1661 | 1678 | 28.0% | 22.0% | 50.0% | +23.8 | 36 |
| 2005-02-27 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | L 2-3 | 1599 | 1546 | 54.6% | 21.4% | 24.0% | -7.7 | 22 |
| 2005-02-27 | @ LR Ahlen | W 3-2 | 1546 | 1599 | 24.0% | 21.4% | 54.6% | +7.7 | 23 |
| 2005-02-28 | MSV Duisburg | L 1-3 | 1698 | 1687 | 49.2% | 22.1% | 28.7% | -12.9 | 43 |
| 2005-02-28 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1687 | 1698 | 28.7% | 22.1% | 49.2% | +12.9 | 45 |
| 2005-03-04 | 1860 Munich | L 0-3 | 1623 | 1674 | 40.8% | 22.5% | 36.7% | -18.5 | 33 |
| 2005-03-04 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 3-0 | 1674 | 1623 | 36.7% | 22.5% | 40.8% | +18.5 | 40 |
| 2005-03-04 | Alemannia Aachen | W 2-0 | 1596 | 1654 | 39.8% | 22.5% | 37.7% | +12.0 | 25 |
| 2005-03-04 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-2 | 1654 | 1596 | 37.7% | 22.5% | 39.8% | -12.0 | 34 |
| 2005-03-04 | LR Ahlen | W 1-0 | 1700 | 1591 | 60.9% | 20.2% | 18.9% | +3.5 | 48 |
| 2005-03-04 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1591 | 1700 | 18.9% | 20.2% | 60.9% | -3.5 | 22 |
| 2005-03-06 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1610 | 1685 | 37.4% | 22.5% | 40.0% | +6.7 | 32 |
| 2005-03-06 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 0-1 | 1685 | 1610 | 40.0% | 22.5% | 37.4% | -6.7 | 36 |
| 2005-03-06 | Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1618 | 1685 | 38.5% | 22.5% | 39.0% | +12.3 | 30 |
| 2005-03-06 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 1685 | 1618 | 39.0% | 22.5% | 38.5% | -12.3 | 43 |
| 2005-03-06 | Rot-Weiss Essen | W 1-0 | 1694 | 1578 | 61.7% | 20.0% | 18.3% | +3.4 | 40 |
| 2005-03-06 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1578 | 1694 | 18.3% | 20.0% | 61.7% | -3.4 | 23 |
| 2005-03-07 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 3-1 | 1731 | 1615 | 61.7% | 20.0% | 18.3% | +5.5 | 47 |
| 2005-03-07 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-3 | 1615 | 1731 | 18.3% | 20.0% | 61.7% | -5.5 | 31 |
| 2005-03-11 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-3 | 1561 | 1737 | 24.9% | 21.6% | 53.5% | -12.3 | 23 |
| 2005-03-11 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 3-0 | 1737 | 1561 | 53.5% | 21.6% | 24.9% | +12.3 | 50 |
| 2005-03-11 | Dynamo Dresden | L 0-1 | 1609 | 1608 | 48.1% | 22.1% | 29.8% | -7.7 | 31 |
| 2005-03-11 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 1-0 | 1608 | 1609 | 29.8% | 22.1% | 48.1% | +7.7 | 28 |
| 2005-03-11 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 3-2 | 1678 | 1553 | 62.6% | 19.8% | 17.6% | +2.9 | 39 |
| 2005-03-11 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 2-3 | 1553 | 1678 | 17.6% | 19.8% | 62.6% | -2.9 | 23 |
| 2005-03-13 | Eintracht Trier | W 2-0 | 1642 | 1617 | 51.1% | 21.9% | 27.1% | +9.1 | 37 |
| 2005-03-13 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-2 | 1617 | 1642 | 27.1% | 21.9% | 51.1% | -9.1 | 32 |
| 2005-03-13 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-1 | 1588 | 1630 | 42.1% | 22.5% | 35.4% | +9.9 | 25 |
| 2005-03-13 | @ LR Ahlen | L 1-3 | 1630 | 1588 | 35.4% | 22.5% | 42.1% | -9.9 | 30 |
| 2005-03-13 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1574 | 1579 | 47.2% | 22.2% | 30.6% | +5.1 | 26 |
| 2005-03-13 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | L 1-2 | 1579 | 1574 | 30.6% | 22.2% | 47.2% | -5.1 | 23 |
| 2005-03-13 | MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1611 | 1704 | 35.0% | 22.5% | 42.5% | -6.0 | 29 |
| 2005-03-13 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 1-0 | 1704 | 1611 | 42.5% | 22.5% | 35.0% | +6.0 | 51 |
| 2005-03-14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1693 | 1697 | 47.2% | 22.2% | 30.6% | +5.1 | 43 |
| 2005-03-14 | @ 1860 Munich | L 1-2 | 1697 | 1693 | 30.6% | 22.2% | 47.2% | -5.1 | 40 |
| 2005-03-16 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 1615 | 1749 | 29.7% | 22.1% | 48.2% | +7.3 | 31 |
| 2005-03-16 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1749 | 1615 | 48.2% | 22.1% | 29.7% | -7.3 | 50 |
| 2005-03-16 | Karlsruher SC | L 3-4 | 1602 | 1574 | 51.4% | 21.8% | 26.8% | -7.1 | 31 |
| 2005-03-16 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 4-3 | 1574 | 1602 | 26.8% | 21.8% | 51.4% | +7.1 | 26 |
| 2005-03-18 | Eintracht Trier | W 3-0 | 1550 | 1608 | 39.9% | 22.5% | 37.6% | +17.4 | 26 |
| 2005-03-18 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | L 0-3 | 1608 | 1550 | 37.6% | 22.5% | 39.9% | -17.4 | 32 |
| 2005-03-18 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1710 | 1681 | 51.5% | 21.8% | 26.7% | -0.9 | 52 |
| 2005-03-18 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1681 | 1710 | 26.7% | 21.8% | 51.5% | +0.9 | 40 |
| 2005-03-18 | LR Ahlen | W 1-0 | 1605 | 1598 | 48.7% | 22.1% | 29.2% | +5.2 | 36 |
| 2005-03-18 | @ Wacker Burghausen | L 0-1 | 1598 | 1605 | 29.2% | 22.1% | 48.7% | -5.2 | 25 |
| 2005-03-20 | 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1581 | 1698 | 31.8% | 22.3% | 45.9% | +0.5 | 27 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1698 | 1581 | 45.9% | 22.3% | 31.8% | -0.5 | 44 |
| 2005-03-20 | Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1595 | 1651 | 40.1% | 22.5% | 37.4% | -6.3 | 31 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 2-1 | 1651 | 1595 | 37.4% | 22.5% | 40.1% | +6.3 | 40 |
| 2005-03-20 | Rot-Weiss Essen | D 0-0 | 1742 | 1579 | 66.3% | 18.7% | 15.0% | -2.2 | 51 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 0-0 | 1579 | 1742 | 15.0% | 18.7% | 66.3% | +2.1 | 27 |
| 2005-03-20 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 3-1 | 1623 | 1549 | 57.0% | 21.0% | 22.0% | +6.6 | 34 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-3 | 1549 | 1623 | 22.0% | 21.0% | 57.0% | -6.6 | 23 |
| 2005-03-20 | SpVgg Unterhaching | D 0-0 | 1620 | 1605 | 49.8% | 22.0% | 28.2% | -0.9 | 31 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1605 | 1620 | 28.2% | 22.0% | 49.8% | +0.8 | 30 |
| 2005-03-21 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1692 | 1673 | 50.4% | 21.9% | 27.7% | +4.9 | 43 |
| 2005-03-21 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1673 | 1692 | 27.7% | 21.9% | 50.4% | -4.9 | 43 |
| 2005-04-01 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1582 | 1629 | 41.3% | 22.5% | 36.2% | +5.8 | 30 |
| 2005-04-01 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | L 1-2 | 1629 | 1582 | 36.2% | 22.5% | 41.3% | -5.8 | 34 |
| 2005-04-01 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1682 | 1619 | 55.7% | 21.2% | 23.1% | +7.9 | 43 |
| 2005-04-01 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-2 | 1619 | 1682 | 23.1% | 21.2% | 55.7% | -7.9 | 31 |
| 2005-04-01 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 5-1 | 1657 | 1568 | 58.8% | 20.6% | 20.6% | +11.2 | 43 |
| 2005-04-01 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-5 | 1568 | 1657 | 20.6% | 20.6% | 58.8% | -11.3 | 26 |
| 2005-04-03 | 1. FC Koln | D 0-0 | 1697 | 1739 | 42.1% | 22.5% | 35.4% | -0.2 | 45 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ 1860 Munich | D 0-0 | 1739 | 1697 | 35.4% | 22.5% | 42.1% | +0.2 | 52 |
| 2005-04-03 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 3-0 | 1542 | 1588 | 41.5% | 22.5% | 36.0% | +16.8 | 26 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-3 | 1588 | 1542 | 36.0% | 22.5% | 41.5% | -16.8 | 31 |
| 2005-04-03 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-2 | 1593 | 1697 | 33.3% | 22.4% | 44.3% | +6.5 | 28 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ LR Ahlen | L 2-3 | 1697 | 1593 | 44.3% | 22.4% | 33.3% | -6.5 | 43 |
| 2005-04-03 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1668 | 1582 | 58.4% | 20.7% | 20.9% | +3.8 | 46 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1582 | 1668 | 20.9% | 20.7% | 58.4% | -3.8 | 27 |
| 2005-04-03 | Wacker Burghausen | L 0-1 | 1606 | 1610 | 47.4% | 22.2% | 30.4% | -7.6 | 30 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 1-0 | 1610 | 1606 | 30.4% | 22.2% | 47.4% | +7.6 | 39 |
| 2005-04-04 | MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1590 | 1709 | 31.6% | 22.3% | 46.1% | +7.5 | 35 |
| 2005-04-04 | @ Eintracht Trier | L 0-1 | 1709 | 1590 | 46.1% | 22.3% | 31.6% | -7.5 | 52 |
| 2005-04-06 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 3-0 | 1578 | 1559 | 50.3% | 21.9% | 27.8% | +13.5 | 30 |
| 2005-04-06 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-3 | 1559 | 1578 | 27.8% | 21.9% | 50.3% | -13.5 | 26 |
| 2005-04-06 | SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-2 | 1557 | 1599 | 42.1% | 22.5% | 35.4% | -13.1 | 26 |
| 2005-04-06 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 2-0 | 1599 | 1557 | 35.4% | 22.5% | 42.1% | +13.1 | 33 |
| 2005-04-06 | Wacker Burghausen | D 1-1 | 1672 | 1617 | 54.7% | 21.4% | 23.9% | -1.1 | 47 |
| 2005-04-06 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1617 | 1672 | 23.9% | 21.4% | 54.7% | +1.1 | 40 |
| 2005-04-08 | 1860 Munich | L 0-4 | 1623 | 1697 | 37.6% | 22.5% | 39.9% | -22.7 | 34 |
| 2005-04-08 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 4-0 | 1697 | 1623 | 39.9% | 22.5% | 37.6% | +22.7 | 48 |
| 2005-04-08 | Eintracht Trier | W 2-1 | 1611 | 1598 | 49.6% | 22.0% | 28.4% | +4.8 | 34 |
| 2005-04-08 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1598 | 1611 | 28.4% | 22.0% | 49.6% | -4.8 | 35 |
| 2005-04-08 | Rot-Weiss Essen | D 0-0 | 1572 | 1587 | 45.7% | 22.3% | 32.0% | -0.5 | 32 |
| 2005-04-08 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | D 0-0 | 1587 | 1572 | 32.0% | 22.3% | 45.7% | +0.5 | 31 |
| 2005-04-10 | Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1546 | 1668 | 31.0% | 22.2% | 46.8% | +0.6 | 27 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 0-0 | 1668 | 1546 | 46.8% | 22.2% | 31.0% | -0.6 | 44 |
| 2005-04-10 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 2-2 | 1619 | 1690 | 37.9% | 22.5% | 39.6% | +0.0 | 41 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 2-2 | 1690 | 1619 | 39.6% | 22.5% | 37.9% | -0.1 | 44 |
| 2005-04-10 | LR Ahlen | D 0-0 | 1592 | 1599 | 46.8% | 22.2% | 30.9% | -0.6 | 31 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1599 | 1592 | 30.9% | 22.2% | 46.8% | +0.6 | 29 |
| 2005-04-10 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 4-0 | 1701 | 1543 | 65.9% | 18.8% | 15.3% | +10.1 | 55 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-4 | 1543 | 1701 | 15.3% | 18.8% | 65.9% | -10.1 | 26 |
| 2005-04-10 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 3-0 | 1691 | 1612 | 57.6% | 20.9% | 21.5% | +10.8 | 46 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1612 | 1691 | 21.5% | 20.9% | 57.6% | -10.8 | 33 |
| 2005-04-11 | Greuther Furth | W 3-2 | 1740 | 1670 | 56.5% | 21.1% | 22.4% | +3.7 | 55 |
| 2005-04-11 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 2-3 | 1670 | 1740 | 22.4% | 21.1% | 56.5% | -3.7 | 47 |
| 2005-04-15 | Dynamo Dresden | L 0-1 | 1667 | 1601 | 56.1% | 21.1% | 22.7% | -8.8 | 47 |
| 2005-04-15 | @ Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1601 | 1667 | 22.7% | 21.1% | 56.1% | +8.8 | 37 |
| 2005-04-15 | Energie Cottbus | D 3-3 | 1533 | 1616 | 36.3% | 22.5% | 41.2% | +0.1 | 27 |
| 2005-04-15 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | D 3-3 | 1616 | 1533 | 41.2% | 22.5% | 36.3% | -0.1 | 35 |
| 2005-04-15 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 2-2 | 1588 | 1546 | 53.2% | 21.6% | 25.2% | -0.8 | 32 |
| 2005-04-15 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | D 2-2 | 1546 | 1588 | 25.2% | 21.6% | 53.2% | +0.7 | 28 |
| 2005-04-17 | 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 1600 | 1743 | 28.5% | 22.0% | 49.5% | +7.9 | 32 |
| 2005-04-17 | @ LR Ahlen | L 0-1 | 1743 | 1600 | 49.5% | 22.0% | 28.5% | -7.9 | 55 |
| 2005-04-17 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | D 1-1 | 1720 | 1571 | 65.0% | 19.1% | 15.9% | -1.8 | 49 |
| 2005-04-17 | @ 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1571 | 1720 | 15.9% | 19.1% | 65.0% | +1.8 | 33 |
| 2005-04-17 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-5 | 1690 | 1702 | 46.3% | 22.3% | 31.5% | -33.0 | 44 |
| 2005-04-17 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 5-0 | 1702 | 1690 | 31.5% | 22.3% | 46.3% | +33.0 | 49 |
| 2005-04-17 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1601 | 1591 | 49.2% | 22.1% | 28.8% | +9.6 | 36 |
| 2005-04-17 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-2 | 1591 | 1601 | 28.8% | 22.1% | 49.2% | -9.6 | 31 |
| 2005-04-17 | Wacker Burghausen | L 0-2 | 1593 | 1619 | 44.4% | 22.4% | 33.2% | -13.7 | 35 |
| 2005-04-17 | @ Eintracht Trier | W 2-0 | 1619 | 1593 | 33.2% | 22.4% | 44.4% | +13.7 | 44 |
| 2005-04-18 | MSV Duisburg | D 0-0 | 1668 | 1711 | 41.9% | 22.5% | 35.6% | -0.2 | 45 |
| 2005-04-18 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1711 | 1668 | 35.6% | 22.5% | 41.9% | +0.2 | 56 |
| 2005-04-22 | Alemannia Aachen | L 0-2 | 1587 | 1668 | 36.6% | 22.5% | 40.9% | -11.7 | 32 |
| 2005-04-22 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | W 2-0 | 1668 | 1587 | 40.9% | 22.5% | 36.6% | +11.7 | 48 |
| 2005-04-22 | Eintracht Trier | W 2-0 | 1735 | 1580 | 65.6% | 18.9% | 15.5% | +5.4 | 52 |
| 2005-04-22 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1580 | 1735 | 15.5% | 18.9% | 65.6% | -5.4 | 35 |
| 2005-04-22 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-1 | 1581 | 1657 | 37.3% | 22.5% | 40.2% | -6.3 | 31 |
| 2005-04-22 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1657 | 1581 | 40.2% | 22.5% | 37.3% | +6.3 | 47 |
| 2005-04-24 | 1860 Munich | D 0-0 | 1547 | 1718 | 25.4% | 21.6% | 53.0% | +1.1 | 29 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 0-0 | 1718 | 1547 | 53.0% | 21.6% | 25.4% | -1.1 | 50 |
| 2005-04-24 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1573 | 1658 | 36.0% | 22.5% | 41.5% | +6.5 | 36 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 1-2 | 1658 | 1573 | 41.5% | 22.5% | 36.0% | -6.5 | 47 |
| 2005-04-24 | MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1616 | 1712 | 34.5% | 22.4% | 43.0% | +7.0 | 38 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1712 | 1616 | 43.0% | 22.4% | 34.5% | -7.0 | 56 |
| 2005-04-24 | LR Ahlen | W 3-1 | 1610 | 1608 | 48.1% | 22.1% | 29.8% | +8.6 | 40 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-3 | 1608 | 1610 | 29.8% | 22.1% | 48.1% | -8.6 | 32 |
| 2005-04-24 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | L 0-2 | 1632 | 1534 | 59.8% | 20.4% | 19.8% | -17.6 | 44 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 2-0 | 1534 | 1632 | 19.8% | 20.4% | 59.8% | +17.6 | 30 |
| 2005-04-25 | SpVgg Unterhaching | W 1-0 | 1735 | 1611 | 62.6% | 19.8% | 17.6% | +3.2 | 58 |
| 2005-04-25 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1611 | 1735 | 17.6% | 19.8% | 62.6% | -3.2 | 36 |
| 2005-04-27 | Wacker Burghausen | L 1-3 | 1599 | 1615 | 45.8% | 22.3% | 31.9% | -12.1 | 32 |
| 2005-04-27 | @ LR Ahlen | W 3-1 | 1615 | 1599 | 31.9% | 22.3% | 45.8% | +12.1 | 47 |
| 2005-04-29 | Dynamo Dresden | W 1-0 | 1607 | 1618 | 46.4% | 22.3% | 31.4% | +5.5 | 39 |
| 2005-04-29 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-1 | 1618 | 1607 | 31.4% | 22.3% | 46.4% | -5.5 | 40 |
| 2005-04-29 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1551 | 1740 | 23.5% | 21.3% | 55.2% | -11.7 | 30 |
| 2005-04-29 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 3-0 | 1740 | 1551 | 55.2% | 21.3% | 23.5% | +11.7 | 55 |
| 2005-04-29 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | W 3-2 | 1652 | 1548 | 60.4% | 20.3% | 19.4% | +3.2 | 50 |
| 2005-04-29 | @ Greuther Furth | L 2-3 | 1548 | 1652 | 19.4% | 20.3% | 60.4% | -3.2 | 29 |
| 2005-05-01 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | L 2-3 | 1587 | 1579 | 48.9% | 22.1% | 29.0% | -7.0 | 32 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ LR Ahlen | W 3-2 | 1579 | 1587 | 29.0% | 22.1% | 48.9% | +7.0 | 39 |
| 2005-05-01 | Energie Cottbus | W 4-0 | 1679 | 1623 | 54.9% | 21.3% | 23.7% | +15.4 | 51 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-4 | 1623 | 1679 | 23.7% | 21.3% | 54.9% | -15.4 | 38 |
| 2005-05-01 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1574 | 1575 | 47.7% | 22.2% | 30.1% | -14.5 | 35 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ Eintracht Trier | W 2-0 | 1575 | 1574 | 30.1% | 22.2% | 47.7% | +14.5 | 34 |
| 2005-05-01 | Rot-Weiss Essen | D 0-0 | 1717 | 1575 | 64.3% | 19.3% | 16.4% | -2.0 | 51 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ 1860 Munich | D 0-0 | 1575 | 1717 | 16.4% | 19.3% | 64.3% | +2.0 | 33 |
| 2005-05-01 | Wacker Burghausen | W 4-3 | 1704 | 1627 | 57.5% | 20.9% | 21.6% | +3.5 | 59 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 3-4 | 1627 | 1704 | 21.6% | 20.9% | 57.5% | -3.5 | 47 |
| 2005-05-02 | 1. FC Koln | L 1-2 | 1663 | 1739 | 37.3% | 22.5% | 40.2% | -6.0 | 47 |
| 2005-05-02 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-1 | 1739 | 1663 | 40.2% | 22.5% | 37.3% | +5.9 | 61 |
| 2005-05-06 | Eintracht Trier | L 1-2 | 1745 | 1560 | 68.4% | 18.0% | 13.6% | -9.9 | 61 |
| 2005-05-06 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 2-1 | 1560 | 1745 | 13.6% | 18.0% | 68.4% | +9.9 | 38 |
| 2005-05-06 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1613 | 1657 | 41.7% | 22.5% | 35.8% | +6.1 | 43 |
| 2005-05-06 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-1 | 1657 | 1613 | 35.8% | 22.5% | 41.7% | -6.1 | 47 |
| 2005-05-06 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 2-0 | 1589 | 1539 | 54.2% | 21.4% | 24.3% | +8.3 | 37 |
| 2005-05-06 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1539 | 1589 | 24.3% | 21.4% | 54.2% | -8.3 | 30 |
| 2005-05-08 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-0 | 1715 | 1695 | 50.5% | 21.9% | 27.6% | +13.5 | 54 |
| 2005-05-08 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-3 | 1695 | 1715 | 27.6% | 21.9% | 50.5% | -13.5 | 51 |
| 2005-05-08 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1623 | 1608 | 49.9% | 22.0% | 28.1% | -0.9 | 48 |
| 2005-05-08 | @ Wacker Burghausen | D 0-0 | 1608 | 1623 | 28.1% | 22.0% | 49.9% | +0.8 | 39 |
| 2005-05-08 | Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1577 | 1655 | 37.1% | 22.5% | 40.4% | -11.8 | 33 |
| 2005-05-08 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | W 2-0 | 1655 | 1577 | 40.4% | 22.5% | 37.1% | +11.8 | 53 |
| 2005-05-08 | LR Ahlen | D 2-2 | 1545 | 1580 | 43.0% | 22.4% | 34.5% | -0.2 | 30 |
| 2005-05-08 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 2-2 | 1580 | 1545 | 34.5% | 22.4% | 43.0% | +0.2 | 33 |
| 2005-05-08 | SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-1 | 1586 | 1613 | 44.3% | 22.4% | 33.3% | -7.2 | 39 |
| 2005-05-08 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 1-0 | 1613 | 1586 | 33.3% | 22.4% | 44.3% | +7.2 | 42 |
| 2005-05-09 | MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1752 | 1708 | 53.4% | 21.6% | 25.0% | -8.5 | 55 |
| 2005-05-09 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1708 | 1752 | 25.0% | 21.6% | 53.4% | +8.5 | 62 |
| 2005-05-15 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1531 | 1735 | 22.1% | 21.0% | 56.9% | -4.0 | 30 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 1-0 | 1735 | 1531 | 56.9% | 21.0% | 22.1% | +4.0 | 64 |
| 2005-05-15 | 1. FC Saarbrucken | W 2-0 | 1651 | 1579 | 56.8% | 21.0% | 22.2% | +7.6 | 50 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-2 | 1579 | 1651 | 22.2% | 21.0% | 56.8% | -7.6 | 39 |
| 2005-05-15 | 1860 Munich | L 2-3 | 1667 | 1728 | 39.3% | 22.5% | 38.2% | -5.9 | 53 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-2 | 1728 | 1667 | 38.2% | 22.5% | 39.3% | +5.9 | 57 |
| 2005-05-15 | Alemannia Aachen | L 2-3 | 1622 | 1681 | 39.7% | 22.5% | 37.8% | -5.9 | 48 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Wacker Burghausen | W 3-2 | 1681 | 1622 | 37.8% | 22.5% | 39.7% | +5.9 | 54 |
| 2005-05-15 | Dynamo Dresden | L 2-4 | 1570 | 1619 | 41.0% | 22.5% | 36.4% | -9.9 | 38 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Eintracht Trier | W 4-2 | 1619 | 1570 | 36.4% | 22.5% | 41.0% | +9.9 | 46 |
| 2005-05-15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1609 | 1743 | 29.5% | 22.1% | 48.3% | -14.3 | 39 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1743 | 1609 | 48.3% | 22.1% | 29.5% | +14.3 | 58 |
| 2005-05-15 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-4 | 1716 | 1598 | 62.0% | 19.9% | 18.1% | -22.3 | 62 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 4-1 | 1598 | 1716 | 18.1% | 19.9% | 62.0% | +22.3 | 40 |
| 2005-05-15 | Rot-Weiss Essen | W 3-1 | 1580 | 1566 | 49.8% | 22.0% | 28.2% | +8.2 | 36 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ LR Ahlen | L 1-3 | 1566 | 1580 | 28.2% | 22.0% | 49.8% | -8.2 | 33 |
| 2005-05-15 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | L 0-2 | 1620 | 1545 | 57.2% | 20.9% | 21.9% | -17.0 | 42 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | W 2-0 | 1545 | 1620 | 21.9% | 20.9% | 57.2% | +17.0 | 33 |
| 2005-05-22 | Eintracht Trier | D 1-1 | 1571 | 1560 | 49.4% | 22.0% | 28.6% | -0.7 | 40 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | D 1-1 | 1560 | 1571 | 28.6% | 22.0% | 49.4% | +0.7 | 39 |
| 2005-05-22 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-2 | 1620 | 1594 | 51.2% | 21.8% | 27.0% | +4.3 | 43 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 2-3 | 1594 | 1620 | 27.0% | 21.8% | 51.2% | -4.3 | 39 |
| 2005-05-22 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1562 | 1659 | 34.3% | 22.4% | 43.2% | +0.3 | 34 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | D 1-1 | 1659 | 1562 | 43.2% | 22.4% | 34.3% | -0.3 | 51 |
| 2005-05-22 | Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1687 | 1661 | 51.3% | 21.8% | 26.9% | -8.2 | 54 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1661 | 1687 | 26.9% | 21.8% | 51.3% | +8.2 | 56 |
| 2005-05-22 | MSV Duisburg | W 4-0 | 1739 | 1694 | 53.5% | 21.5% | 24.9% | +16.1 | 67 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-4 | 1694 | 1739 | 24.9% | 21.5% | 53.5% | -16.1 | 62 |
| 2005-05-22 | LR Ahlen | L 3-4 | 1734 | 1588 | 64.7% | 19.2% | 16.1% | -8.7 | 57 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ 1860 Munich | W 4-3 | 1588 | 1734 | 16.1% | 19.2% | 64.7% | +8.7 | 39 |
| 2005-05-22 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | W 2-1 | 1629 | 1527 | 60.2% | 20.3% | 19.5% | +3.4 | 49 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1527 | 1629 | 19.5% | 20.3% | 60.2% | -3.4 | 30 |
| 2005-05-22 | SpVgg Unterhaching | L 0-1 | 1557 | 1603 | 41.6% | 22.5% | 35.9% | -6.9 | 33 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | W 1-0 | 1603 | 1557 | 35.9% | 22.5% | 41.6% | +6.9 | 45 |
| 2005-05-22 | Wacker Burghausen | W 3-0 | 1758 | 1616 | 64.3% | 19.3% | 16.4% | +8.3 | 61 |
| 2005-05-22 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1616 | 1758 | 16.4% | 19.3% | 64.3% | -8.3 | 48 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2005-05-06 | 13.56% | Eintracht Trier | 1560 | 2 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1745 | 1 |
| 2 | 2005-05-22 | 16.11% | LR Ahlen | 1588 | 4 | @ 1860 Munich | 1734 | 3 |
| 3 | 2005-05-15 | 18.12% | Karlsruher SC | 1598 | 4 | @ MSV Duisburg | 1716 | 1 |
| 4 | 2005-04-24 | 19.76% | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 1534 | 2 | @ Wacker Burghausen | 1632 | 0 |
| 5 | 2005-01-30 | 19.79% | LR Ahlen | 1604 | 2 | @ Alemannia Aachen | 1702 | 0 |
| 6 | 2005-02-11 | 20.68% | SpVgg Unterhaching | 1602 | 3 | @ Alemannia Aachen | 1690 | 2 |
| 7 | 2005-05-15 | 21.85% | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1545 | 2 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | 1620 | 0 |
| 8 | 2004-09-17 | 22.09% | Karlsruher SC | 1573 | 2 | @ Dynamo Dresden | 1646 | 1 |
| 9 | 2004-09-10 | 22.22% | 1. FC Saarbrucken | 1562 | 2 | @ Wacker Burghausen | 1633 | 1 |
| 10 | 2005-04-15 | 22.74% | Dynamo Dresden | 1601 | 1 | @ Greuther Furth | 1667 | 0 |
| 11 | 2005-02-27 | 23.98% | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 1546 | 3 | @ LR Ahlen | 1599 | 2 |
| 12 | 2005-05-09 | 25.00% | MSV Duisburg | 1708 | 1 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1752 | 0 |
| 13 | 2004-11-26 | 25.09% | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 1578 | 1 | @ LR Ahlen | 1621 | 0 |
| 14 | 2004-10-26 | 25.27% | LR Ahlen | 1615 | 3 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1656 | 2 |
| 15 | 2004-10-03 | 25.43% | Wacker Burghausen | 1636 | 4 | @ 1860 Munich | 1676 | 2 |
| 16 | 2005-02-13 | 25.97% | Wacker Burghausen | 1605 | 4 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | 1640 | 2 |
| 17 | 2005-02-21 | 26.04% | 1860 Munich | 1661 | 1 | @ MSV Duisburg | 1696 | 0 |
| 18 | 2005-03-16 | 26.75% | Karlsruher SC | 1574 | 4 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | 1602 | 3 |
| 19 | 2005-05-22 | 26.88% | Greuther Furth | 1661 | 1 | @ Alemannia Aachen | 1687 | 0 |
| 20 | 2004-10-03 | 27.87% | Eintracht Trier | 1625 | 2 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | 1643 | 1 |
| 21 | 2005-02-27 | 28.01% | Erzgebirge Aue | 1661 | 5 | @ Alemannia Aachen | 1678 | 1 |
| 22 | 2005-04-17 | 28.48% | @ LR Ahlen | 1600 | 1 | 1. FC Koln | 1743 | 0 |
| 23 | 2005-02-28 | 28.70% | MSV Duisburg | 1687 | 3 | @ Greuther Furth | 1698 | 1 |
| 24 | 2004-10-27 | 28.89% | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 1557 | 1 | Alemannia Aachen | 1697 | 0 |
| 25 | 2005-05-01 | 29.05% | 1. FC Saarbrucken | 1579 | 3 | @ LR Ahlen | 1587 | 2 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2005-04-17 | 33.01 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1702 | 31.46% | @ Erzgebirge Aue | 0 | 1690 | 46.26% | 22.29% |
| 2 | 2004-10-17 | 25.40 | Alemannia Aachen | 4 | 1666 | 34.20% | @ Eintracht Trier | 0 | 1633 | 43.36% | 22.44% |
| 3 | 2005-02-27 | 23.84 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | 1661 | 28.01% | @ Alemannia Aachen | 1 | 1678 | 50.02% | 21.97% |
| 4 | 2005-04-08 | 22.68 | 1860 Munich | 4 | 1697 | 39.90% | @ Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 1623 | 37.58% | 22.52% |
| 5 | 2005-05-15 | 22.27 | Karlsruher SC | 4 | 1598 | 18.12% | @ MSV Duisburg | 1 | 1716 | 61.97% | 19.91% |
| 6 | 2004-08-07 | 22.04 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | 1634 | 32.13% | @ Rot-Weiss Essen | 1 | 1616 | 45.54% | 22.33% |
| 7 | 2005-01-30 | 20.67 | @ Karlsruher SC | 3 | 1563 | 31.03% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1686 | 46.71% | 22.26% |
| 8 | 2004-12-10 | 20.06 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1660 | 32.58% | @ Wacker Burghausen | 0 | 1640 | 45.06% | 22.36% |
| 9 | 2004-09-19 | 19.89 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | 3 | 1570 | 33.01% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1677 | 44.61% | 22.38% |
| 10 | 2004-12-12 | 19.56 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | 1584 | 46.48% | Rot-Weiss Essen | 0 | 1594 | 31.25% | 22.27% |
| 11 | 2005-03-04 | 18.52 | 1860 Munich | 3 | 1674 | 36.69% | @ Wacker Burghausen | 0 | 1623 | 40.80% | 22.51% |
| 12 | 2004-10-15 | 18.50 | Erzgebirge Aue | 3 | 1635 | 36.71% | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 0 | 1584 | 40.78% | 22.51% |
| 13 | 2004-10-01 | 18.49 | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | 1609 | 48.69% | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 0 | 1603 | 29.21% | 22.10% |
| 14 | 2005-01-28 | 18.19 | @ 1. FC Koln | 8 | 1716 | 59.74% | Wacker Burghausen | 1 | 1618 | 19.83% | 20.43% |
| 15 | 2005-04-24 | 17.63 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 2 | 1534 | 19.76% | @ Wacker Burghausen | 0 | 1632 | 59.83% | 20.41% |
| 16 | 2005-01-30 | 17.62 | LR Ahlen | 2 | 1604 | 19.79% | @ Alemannia Aachen | 0 | 1702 | 59.79% | 20.42% |
| 17 | 2005-03-18 | 17.37 | @ Rot-Weiss Erfurt | 3 | 1550 | 39.90% | Eintracht Trier | 0 | 1608 | 37.58% | 22.52% |
| 18 | 2004-08-27 | 17.00 | @ Alemannia Aachen | 4 | 1626 | 51.73% | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1596 | 26.49% | 21.78% |
| 19 | 2005-05-15 | 16.95 | Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 2 | 1545 | 21.85% | @ SpVgg Unterhaching | 0 | 1620 | 57.20% | 20.95% |
| 20 | 2005-04-03 | 16.79 | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 3 | 1542 | 41.52% | 1. FC Saarbrucken | 0 | 1588 | 35.99% | 22.49% |
| 21 | 2004-12-03 | 16.30 | MSV Duisburg | 3 | 1684 | 42.83% | @ Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1589 | 34.72% | 22.46% |
| 22 | 2005-05-22 | 16.10 | @ 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1739 | 53.54% | MSV Duisburg | 0 | 1694 | 24.91% | 21.54% |
| 23 | 2005-02-27 | 15.97 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1678 | 43.76% | @ Rot-Weiss Oberhausen | 0 | 1577 | 33.82% | 22.42% |
| 24 | 2005-01-30 | 15.94 | @ 1. FC Saarbrucken | 4 | 1623 | 35.65% | MSV Duisburg | 1 | 1711 | 41.87% | 22.49% |
| 25 | 2005-05-01 | 15.41 | @ Alemannia Aachen | 4 | 1679 | 54.95% | Energie Cottbus | 0 | 1623 | 23.71% | 21.33% |