2011-12 2. Bundesliga Season
306 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams
Promoted
Greuther Furth
70 pts
Eintracht Frankfurt · 68 pts
Dusseldorf · via playoff
Relegated
Hansa Rostock
27 pts
Alemannia Aachen · 31 pts
Karlsruher SC · via playoff
Biggest Overachiever
Paderborn 07
10.88 points above expected
61 points · 50.12 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
VfL Bochum
8.96 points below expected
37 points · 45.96 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greuther Furth Promoted | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 70 | 73 | 27 | +46 | 63.22 | +6.78 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt Promoted | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 68 | 76 | 33 | +43 | 64.31 | +3.69 |
| 3 | Dusseldorf Promoted | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 62 | 64 | 35 | +29 | 60.24 | +1.76 |
| 4 | St. Pauli | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | 59 | 34 | +25 | 57.26 | +4.74 |
| 5 | Paderborn 07 | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 61 | 51 | 42 | +9 | 50.12 | +10.88 |
| 6 | 1860 Munich | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 62 | 46 | +16 | 55.05 | +1.95 |
| 7 | Union Berlin | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 44.59 | +3.41 |
| 8 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 35 | +2 | 48.43 | -3.43 |
| 9 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 41.08 | +3.92 |
| 10 | MSV Duisburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 44.88 | -5.88 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 45.96 | -8.96 |
| 12 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 39.26 | -2.26 |
| 13 | FSV Frankfurt | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 35 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 36.83 | -1.83 |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 43.01 | -8.01 |
| 15 | Erzgebirge Aue | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 31 | 55 | -24 | 38.42 | -3.42 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC Relegated | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 32.92 | +0.08 |
| 17 | Alemannia Aachen Relegated | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 31 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 38.54 | -7.54 |
| 18 | Hansa Rostock Relegated | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 27 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 35.59 | -8.59 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Promotion Playoff
The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.
Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth | 1899 | 70 | 63.22 | +6.78 | 84.4% | 37 | 51 | 59 | 63 | 68 | 75 | 89 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1854 | 68 | 64.31 | +3.69 | 71.9% | 34 | 53 | 60 | 64 | 69 | 76 | 88 |
| Dusseldorf | 1837 | 62 | 60.24 | +1.76 | 62.0% | 30 | 48 | 55 | 60 | 65 | 72 | 88 |
| St. Pauli | 1825 | 62 | 57.26 | +4.74 | 76.3% | 28 | 45 | 52 | 57 | 62 | 69 | 82 |
| 1860 Munich | 1789 | 57 | 55.05 | +1.95 | 62.9% | 27 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 60 | 67 | 82 |
| Paderborn 07 | 1719 | 61 | 50.12 | +10.88 | 93.8% | 22 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 75 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1701 | 39 | 44.88 | -5.88 | 23.1% | 19 | 33 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 72 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 1699 | 45 | 48.43 | -3.43 | 34.7% | 23 | 36 | 44 | 49 | 53 | 60 | 76 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 1684 | 45 | 41.08 | +3.92 | 72.9% | 16 | 30 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 69 |
| Union Berlin | 1676 | 48 | 44.59 | +3.41 | 71.0% | 19 | 33 | 40 | 44 | 49 | 57 | 75 |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1662 | 37 | 39.26 | -2.26 | 40.6% | 14 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 66 |
| FSV Frankfurt | 1660 | 35 | 36.83 | -1.83 | 43.1% | 11 | 26 | 32 | 37 | 41 | 48 | 63 |
| VfL Bochum | 1657 | 37 | 45.96 | -8.96 | 12.3% | 18 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 58 | 73 |
| Energie Cottbus | 1627 | 35 | 43.01 | -8.01 | 15.7% | 16 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 71 |
| Alemannia Aachen | 1622 | 31 | 38.54 | -7.54 | 16.3% | 12 | 27 | 34 | 38 | 43 | 51 | 64 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1605 | 33 | 32.92 | +0.08 | 54.5% | 6 | 22 | 28 | 33 | 37 | 44 | 59 |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 1605 | 35 | 38.42 | -3.42 | 34.2% | 12 | 27 | 34 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 66 |
| Hansa Rostock | 1559 | 27 | 35.59 | -8.59 | 12.1% | 11 | 24 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 64 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1M | AA | DUS | DD | EB | EF | EC | EA | FI0 | FF | GF | HR | KS | MD | P0 | SP | UB | VB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1860 Munich | — |
0-1-1
3.81
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
1-0-1
3.61
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
2-0-0
1.92
|
2-0-0
3.08
|
1-1-0
3.76
|
2-0-0
3.60
|
1-0-1
3.92
|
0-0-2
2.28
|
0-0-2
3.90
|
2-0-0
3.79
|
2-0-0
3.17
|
0-2-0
2.87
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
2-0-0
3.51
|
0-1-1
3.54
|
| Alemannia Aachen |
1-1-0
1.71
|
— |
0-2-0
1.70
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
0-1-1
2.39
|
0-0-2
1.19
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
0-1-1
2.81
|
1-1-0
2.51
|
0-0-2
2.72
|
0-1-1
1.47
|
0-2-0
2.90
|
2-0-0
2.93
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
0-1-1
2.22
|
1-0-1
1.82
|
0-0-2
2.39
|
1-0-1
2.40
|
| Dusseldorf |
1-0-1
2.82
|
0-2-0
3.82
|
— |
1-0-1
3.93
|
0-2-0
3.43
|
0-2-0
2.62
|
1-1-0
3.79
|
2-0-0
3.90
|
1-1-0
3.87
|
2-0-0
4.05
|
1-1-0
2.49
|
1-0-1
4.22
|
2-0-0
4.20
|
1-1-0
3.73
|
0-1-1
3.36
|
1-1-0
2.93
|
1-1-0
3.82
|
1-1-0
3.34
|
| Dynamo Dresden |
1-0-1
1.89
|
1-1-0
3.02
|
1-0-1
1.59
|
— |
1-1-0
2.30
|
0-0-2
1.54
|
1-0-1
2.36
|
0-1-1
3.08
|
0-1-1
2.96
|
0-2-0
2.93
|
1-0-1
1.58
|
0-2-0
2.94
|
1-0-1
3.44
|
1-0-1
2.50
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
1-0-1
1.75
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
2-0-0
2.32
|
| Eintracht Braunschweig |
1-0-1
2.49
|
1-1-0
3.09
|
0-2-0
2.06
|
0-1-1
3.18
|
— |
0-0-2
2.21
|
1-1-0
3.00
|
0-2-0
3.31
|
2-0-0
3.28
|
0-2-0
3.46
|
1-1-0
1.60
|
1-1-0
3.48
|
1-1-0
3.35
|
0-1-1
2.97
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
1-1-0
2.18
|
0-0-2
3.10
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
0-0-2
3.57
|
2-0-0
4.38
|
0-2-0
2.84
|
2-0-0
3.99
|
2-0-0
3.28
|
— |
1-1-0
3.66
|
2-0-0
4.23
|
0-2-0
4.26
|
2-0-0
4.00
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
2-0-0
4.19
|
1-0-1
4.52
|
1-0-1
4.06
|
0-1-1
3.62
|
0-1-1
3.04
|
2-0-0
3.82
|
2-0-0
4.02
|
| Energie Cottbus |
0-0-2
2.41
|
1-1-0
2.88
|
0-1-1
1.71
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
0-1-1
2.46
|
0-1-1
1.86
|
— |
1-1-0
3.06
|
0-1-1
2.87
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
0-0-2
1.56
|
0-1-1
3.10
|
1-0-1
3.33
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
0-0-2
2.16
|
0-1-1
2.00
|
1-0-1
2.39
|
1-1-0
2.56
|
| Erzgebirge Aue |
0-1-1
1.73
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
0-0-2
1.64
|
1-1-0
2.37
|
0-2-0
2.16
|
0-0-2
1.33
|
0-1-1
2.40
|
— |
0-2-0
2.88
|
1-1-0
2.75
|
0-1-1
1.35
|
2-0-0
3.01
|
0-0-2
3.21
|
0-0-2
2.31
|
0-0-2
2.04
|
2-0-0
1.56
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
1-0-1
2.45
|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 |
0-0-2
1.88
|
0-1-1
2.96
|
0-1-1
1.64
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
0-0-2
2.18
|
0-2-0
1.29
|
1-1-0
2.62
|
0-2-0
2.58
|
— |
0-2-0
2.82
|
0-1-1
1.50
|
2-0-0
2.77
|
1-0-1
3.19
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
1-0-1
1.94
|
1-0-1
1.78
|
0-1-1
2.45
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
| FSV Frankfurt |
1-0-1
1.59
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
0-0-2
1.49
|
0-2-0
2.53
|
0-2-0
2.02
|
0-0-2
1.54
|
0-1-1
2.52
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
0-2-0
2.64
|
— |
0-1-1
1.34
|
1-1-0
2.78
|
2-0-0
2.71
|
1-1-0
2.13
|
0-1-1
1.96
|
0-1-1
1.65
|
0-1-1
2.34
|
0-0-2
2.11
|
| Greuther Furth |
2-0-0
3.18
|
1-1-0
4.08
|
0-1-1
2.99
|
1-0-1
3.94
|
0-1-1
3.91
|
0-1-1
2.61
|
2-0-0
3.98
|
1-1-0
4.19
|
1-1-0
4.02
|
1-1-0
4.21
|
— |
1-1-0
4.54
|
1-1-0
4.49
|
2-0-0
3.84
|
2-0-0
3.43
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
2-0-0
3.47
|
| Hansa Rostock |
2-0-0
1.62
|
0-2-0
2.57
|
1-0-1
1.33
|
0-2-0
2.51
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
0-0-2
1.35
|
1-1-0
2.37
|
0-0-2
2.45
|
0-0-2
2.69
|
0-1-1
2.67
|
0-1-1
1.06
|
— |
0-2-0
2.98
|
1-1-0
2.12
|
0-0-2
2.24
|
0-0-2
1.49
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
0-1-1
2.01
|
| Karlsruher SC |
0-0-2
1.71
|
0-0-2
2.53
|
0-0-2
1.35
|
1-0-1
2.03
|
0-1-1
2.15
|
1-0-1
1.08
|
1-0-1
2.14
|
2-0-0
2.25
|
1-0-1
2.28
|
0-0-2
2.76
|
0-1-1
1.12
|
0-2-0
2.48
|
— |
1-0-1
2.02
|
1-0-1
1.55
|
0-0-2
1.43
|
1-0-1
1.89
|
0-2-0
2.10
|
| MSV Duisburg |
0-0-2
2.30
|
1-1-0
3.12
|
0-1-1
1.77
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
1-1-0
2.49
|
1-0-1
1.47
|
0-1-1
2.81
|
2-0-0
3.17
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
0-1-1
3.36
|
0-0-2
1.66
|
0-1-1
3.35
|
1-0-1
3.47
|
— |
1-0-1
2.40
|
0-0-2
2.00
|
0-2-0
2.71
|
1-0-1
2.79
|
| Paderborn 07 |
0-2-0
2.59
|
1-1-0
3.25
|
1-1-0
2.11
|
1-1-0
3.05
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
1-1-0
1.88
|
2-0-0
3.33
|
2-0-0
3.43
|
1-0-1
3.53
|
1-1-0
3.52
|
0-0-2
2.04
|
2-0-0
3.26
|
1-0-1
3.97
|
1-0-1
3.08
|
— |
0-1-1
2.30
|
1-0-1
3.05
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
| St. Pauli |
1-1-0
2.66
|
1-0-1
3.67
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
1-0-1
3.75
|
0-1-1
3.30
|
1-1-0
2.42
|
1-1-0
3.50
|
0-0-2
3.96
|
1-0-1
3.71
|
1-1-0
3.85
|
0-1-1
2.31
|
2-0-0
4.05
|
2-0-0
4.13
|
2-0-0
3.47
|
1-1-0
3.16
|
— |
2-0-0
3.54
|
2-0-0
3.12
|
| Union Berlin |
0-0-2
1.98
|
2-0-0
3.07
|
0-1-1
1.68
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
2-0-0
2.37
|
0-0-2
1.68
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
1-1-0
2.96
|
1-1-0
3.00
|
1-1-0
3.14
|
0-0-2
2.16
|
2-0-0
3.35
|
1-0-1
3.59
|
0-2-0
2.77
|
1-0-1
2.42
|
0-0-2
1.95
|
— |
1-0-1
2.45
|
| VfL Bochum |
1-1-0
1.94
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
0-1-1
2.12
|
0-0-2
3.15
|
1-0-1
2.44
|
0-0-2
1.52
|
0-1-1
2.90
|
1-0-1
3.00
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
2-0-0
3.37
|
0-0-2
2.02
|
1-1-0
3.48
|
0-2-0
3.38
|
1-0-1
2.66
|
0-1-1
2.53
|
0-0-2
2.36
|
1-0-1
3.01
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.86 | +8.8 |
| Allowed | 0.68 | -10.4 |
| Differential | 0.94 | +5.8 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.13% | 5.72% | 6.37% | 2.61% | 2.29% | 0.98% | 28.10% |
| 1 | 5.72% | 13.73% | 7.35% | 3.92% | 1.47% | 0.65% | 32.84% |
| 2 | 6.37% | 7.35% | 4.58% | 1.14% | 1.47% | 0.49% | 21.41% |
| 3 | 2.61% | 3.92% | 1.14% | 1.31% | 0.33% | 0.16% | 9.48% |
| 4 | 2.29% | 1.47% | 1.47% | 0.33% | — | 0.16% | 5.72% |
| 5+ | 0.98% | 0.65% | 0.49% | 0.16% | 0.16% | — | 2.45% |
| Total | 28.10% | 32.84% | 21.41% | 9.48% | 5.72% | 2.45% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.90 |
| CV | 0.93 | 0.93 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 5.88% | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 32.35% | 29.41% | 17.65% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.82 | 1.35 | +0.47 |
| SD | 1.24 | 1.30 | 2.08 |
| CV | 0.68 | 0.96 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.65% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 47.06% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 32.35% | 20.59% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.88 | 1.38 | -0.50 |
| SD | 1.01 | 1.16 | 1.33 |
| CV | 1.14 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 26.47% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 26.47% | 47.06% | 23.53% | 2.94% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.88 | 1.03 | +0.85 |
| SD | 1.41 | 0.80 | 1.37 |
| CV | 0.75 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 20.59% | 32.35% | 29.41% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.53 | -0.06 |
| SD | 1.21 | 1.19 | 1.89 |
| CV | 0.82 | 0.78 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.59% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 20.59% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 3 | — | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 32.35% | 41.18% | 17.65% | 8.82% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.09 | 1.03 | +0.06 |
| SD | 1.22 | 0.94 | 1.58 |
| CV | 1.12 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 4 | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 5+ | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 38.24% | 38.24% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.24 | 0.97 | +1.26 |
| SD | 1.62 | 1.03 | 2.00 |
| CV | 0.72 | 1.06 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 20.59% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 41.18% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.88 | 1.44 | -0.56 |
| SD | 0.84 | 1.31 | 1.58 |
| CV | 0.96 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 23.53% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 47.06% |
| 2 | — | 8.82% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 38.24% | 26.47% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.91 | 1.62 | -0.71 |
| SD | 0.93 | 1.37 | 1.64 |
| CV | 1.02 | 0.85 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 20.59% | — | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 35.29% | 5.88% | 20.59% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.26 | 1.71 | -0.44 |
| SD | 1.14 | 1.49 | 1.65 |
| CV | 0.90 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 11.76% | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | — | 23.53% | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 2 | — | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 14.71% | 50.00% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.26 | 1.74 | -0.47 |
| SD | 1.31 | 1.56 | 2.15 |
| CV | 1.04 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 5 | 6 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 11.76% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| Total | 52.94% | 23.53% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.15 | 0.79 | +1.35 |
| SD | 1.54 | 1.01 | 1.84 |
| CV | 0.72 | 1.27 | — |
| Max | 6 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.65% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 17.65% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.85 | -0.85 |
| SD | 1.07 | 1.62 | 1.62 |
| CV | 1.07 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 2 | 14.71% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 11.76% | 38.24% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.76 | -0.76 |
| SD | 0.95 | 1.44 | 1.84 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | — | 11.76% | 17.65% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 35.29% | 32.35% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.38 | -0.15 |
| SD | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.56 |
| CV | 0.82 | 0.73 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.24% | 26.47% | 23.53% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 1.24 | +0.26 |
| SD | 1.26 | 1.39 | 2.00 |
| CV | 0.84 | 1.13 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 32.35% | 44.12% | 14.71% | 8.82% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.74 | 1.00 | +0.74 |
| SD | 1.26 | 0.92 | 1.50 |
| CV | 0.73 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 26.47% | 26.47% | 17.65% | 11.76% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 1.71 | -0.09 |
| SD | 1.48 | 1.51 | 2.30 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.88 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 17.65% | — | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 26.47% | 20.59% | 35.29% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.21 | 1.62 | -0.41 |
| SD | 1.47 | 1.44 | 2.09 |
| CV | 1.22 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paderborn 07 | 61 | 50.12 | +10.88 |
| 2 | Greuther Furth | 70 | 63.22 | +6.78 |
| 3 | St. Pauli | 62 | 57.26 | +4.74 |
| 4 | Dynamo Dresden | 45 | 41.08 | +3.92 |
| 5 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 68 | 64.31 | +3.69 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Bochum | 37 | 45.96 | -8.96 |
| 2 | Hansa Rostock | 27 | 35.59 | -8.59 |
| 3 | Energie Cottbus | 35 | 43.01 | -8.01 |
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 31 | 38.54 | -7.54 |
| 5 | MSV Duisburg | 39 | 44.88 | -5.88 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hansa Rostock | 3 | Mar 31 – Apr 10 | 1 in 230 |
| 2 | Greuther Furth | 6 | Jul 23 – Sep 9 | 1 in 85 |
| 3 | Paderborn 07 | 4 | Sep 18 – Oct 14 | 1 in 67 |
| 4 | 1860 Munich | 5 | Dec 9 – Feb 24 | 1 in 40 |
| 5 | Alemannia Aachen | 2 | Apr 29 – May 6 | 1 in 18 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Bochum | 5 | Aug 12 – Sep 18 | 1 in 295 |
| 2 | MSV Duisburg | 5 | Feb 3 – Mar 2 | 1 in 154 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 5 | Aug 12 – Sep 19 | 1 in 74 |
| 4 | 1860 Munich | 3 | Sep 25 – Oct 14 | 1 in 56 |
| 5 | Alemannia Aachen | 5 | Mar 3 – Mar 30 | 1 in 54 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 14 | Dec 11 – Apr 15 | 1 in 7,510 |
| 2 | Paderborn 07 | 16 | Aug 21 – Feb 3 | 1 in 1,448 |
| 3 | Dusseldorf | 18 | Jul 18 – Dec 10 | 1 in 341 |
| 4 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | Feb 11 – Apr 10 | 1 in 133 |
| 5 | Alemannia Aachen | 8 | Nov 26 – Feb 27 | 1 in 116 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dusseldorf | 6 | Dec 10 – Feb 27 | 1 in 86 |
| 2 | VfL Bochum | 10 | Feb 25 – Apr 20 | 1 in 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 9 | Mar 11 – Apr 29 | 1 in 58 |
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 11 | Jul 16 – Oct 16 | 1 in 55 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 10 | Jul 17 – Sep 30 | 1 in 53 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth | 30.58% | 25.51% | 17.59% | 11.16% | 6.51% | 3.68% | 2.01% | 1.37% | 0.67% | 0.48% | 0.20% | 0.10% | 0.12% | 0.02% | — | — | — | — |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 37.45% | 24.22% | 16.14% | 9.67% | 6.13% | 2.99% | 1.53% | 0.82% | 0.47% | 0.28% | 0.17% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.01% | — | 0.01% | — |
| Dusseldorf | 16.03% | 20.08% | 19.96% | 16.11% | 10.69% | 6.52% | 4.54% | 2.30% | 1.51% | 0.87% | 0.70% | 0.29% | 0.12% | 0.12% | 0.12% | 0.02% | 0.02% | — |
| St. Pauli | 8.31% | 13.42% | 16.72% | 17.49% | 14.66% | 9.58% | 6.76% | 4.41% | 3.43% | 2.08% | 1.22% | 0.69% | 0.57% | 0.28% | 0.18% | 0.13% | 0.07% | — |
| Paderborn 07 | 1.25% | 2.94% | 5.50% | 8.51% | 11.54% | 13.67% | 12.24% | 10.56% | 8.10% | 7.07% | 5.76% | 4.14% | 3.06% | 2.14% | 1.67% | 1.08% | 0.50% | 0.27% |
| 1860 Munich | 4.79% | 8.97% | 12.54% | 15.59% | 16.35% | 12.38% | 9.28% | 6.41% | 4.73% | 2.84% | 2.27% | 1.53% | 1.09% | 0.55% | 0.30% | 0.23% | 0.09% | 0.06% |
| Union Berlin | 0.19% | 0.63% | 1.47% | 3.03% | 4.73% | 7.26% | 8.50% | 9.57% | 9.40% | 10.21% | 9.33% | 8.19% | 7.49% | 6.21% | 5.73% | 3.97% | 2.58% | 1.51% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 0.62% | 1.75% | 4.05% | 6.40% | 9.68% | 11.75% | 11.56% | 11.02% | 9.77% | 7.96% | 6.87% | 5.28% | 4.40% | 3.15% | 2.34% | 1.92% | 1.01% | 0.47% |
| Dynamo Dresden | 0.04% | 0.13% | 0.53% | 1.00% | 2.07% | 3.54% | 5.17% | 6.93% | 8.04% | 8.78% | 9.30% | 9.47% | 9.31% | 9.02% | 8.66% | 7.40% | 6.36% | 4.25% |
| MSV Duisburg | 0.24% | 0.82% | 1.54% | 3.07% | 4.58% | 7.12% | 9.09% | 10.39% | 9.79% | 9.84% | 9.00% | 8.38% | 7.44% | 6.26% | 4.89% | 3.47% | 2.60% | 1.48% |
| VfL Bochum | 0.29% | 0.89% | 2.29% | 3.81% | 5.84% | 7.88% | 9.73% | 10.31% | 10.79% | 9.36% | 8.25% | 7.99% | 6.16% | 5.62% | 4.14% | 3.10% | 2.64% | 0.91% |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 0.03% | 0.09% | 0.22% | 0.57% | 1.06% | 2.36% | 3.52% | 4.81% | 6.13% | 7.07% | 8.12% | 9.08% | 10.12% | 10.45% | 10.51% | 9.76% | 8.64% | 7.46% |
| FSV Frankfurt | — | 0.02% | 0.16% | 0.25% | 0.50% | 1.13% | 1.99% | 2.96% | 3.88% | 5.19% | 6.37% | 7.53% | 9.17% | 10.38% | 11.12% | 12.78% | 13.66% | 12.91% |
| Energie Cottbus | 0.13% | 0.39% | 0.78% | 2.23% | 3.17% | 5.19% | 6.56% | 7.95% | 8.57% | 9.05% | 9.28% | 9.18% | 8.48% | 8.02% | 7.23% | 6.03% | 5.19% | 2.57% |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.17% | 0.37% | 0.85% | 2.10% | 2.77% | 3.76% | 4.98% | 5.98% | 7.36% | 8.80% | 9.08% | 10.51% | 11.90% | 11.05% | 10.45% | 9.80% |
| Karlsruher SC | — | — | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.36% | 0.47% | 0.88% | 1.37% | 2.34% | 3.10% | 4.10% | 6.05% | 7.33% | 9.98% | 14.08% | 19.06% | 30.70% |
| Alemannia Aachen | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.21% | 0.48% | 1.12% | 1.80% | 3.06% | 3.47% | 5.60% | 6.53% | 7.57% | 8.76% | 9.44% | 10.38% | 10.50% | 11.31% | 10.85% | 8.80% |
| Hansa Rostock | — | — | 0.09% | 0.23% | 0.41% | 0.69% | 1.22% | 2.08% | 2.77% | 4.07% | 5.13% | 6.43% | 7.88% | 9.53% | 10.72% | 13.67% | 16.27% | 18.81% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.59 * Lucky: 8.59 to 11.45 * Wild Swing: 11.45 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.06 * Close: 2.06 to 3.09 * Off: 3.09 to 4.12 * Way Off: 4.12 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 1.89 * A Surprise: 1.89 to 3.02 * Several Surprises: 3.02 to 4.15 * Many Surprises: 4.15 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.
| Team | Direct promotion | Lost promotion playoff | Same level | Qualified for relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 61.67% | 16.14% | 22.18% | — | 0.01% |
| Greuther Furth | 56.09% | 17.59% | 26.32% | — | — |
| St. Pauli | 21.73% | 16.72% | 61.35% | 0.13% | 0.07% |
| 1860 Munich | 13.76% | 12.54% | 73.32% | 0.23% | 0.15% |
| Paderborn 07 | 4.19% | 5.50% | 88.46% | 1.08% | 0.77% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 2.37% | 4.05% | 90.18% | 1.92% | 1.48% |
| Dusseldorf | — | 100% | — | — | — |
| VfL Bochum | 1.18% | 2.29% | 89.88% | 3.10% | 3.55% |
| MSV Duisburg | 1.06% | 1.54% | 89.85% | 3.47% | 4.08% |
| Union Berlin | 0.82% | 1.47% | 89.65% | 3.97% | 4.09% |
| Energie Cottbus | 0.52% | 0.78% | 84.91% | 6.03% | 7.76% |
| Dynamo Dresden | 0.17% | 0.53% | 81.29% | 7.40% | 10.61% |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 0.12% | 0.22% | 73.80% | 9.76% | 16.10% |
| Alemannia Aachen | 0.12% | 0.21% | 68.71% | 11.31% | 19.65% |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 0.07% | 0.17% | 68.46% | 11.05% | 20.25% |
| FSV Frankfurt | 0.02% | 0.16% | 60.47% | 12.78% | 26.57% |
| Hansa Rostock | — | 0.09% | 51.16% | 13.67% | 35.08% |
| Karlsruher SC | — | 0.04% | 36.12% | 14.08% | 49.76% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1. FC Koln | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1860 Munich | Alemannia Aachen | Bayer Leverkusen | Borussia Monchengladbach | Dusseldorf | Dynamo Dresden | Eintracht Braunschweig | Eintracht Frankfurt | Energie Cottbus | Erzgebirge Aue | FC Augsburg | FC Ingolstadt 04 | FSV Frankfurt | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV | Hannover 96 | Hansa Rostock | Hertha BSC | Hoffenheim | MSV Duisburg | Mainz 05 | Paderborn 07 | SC Freiburg | Schalke 04 | St. Pauli | Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | VfL Bochum | VfL Wolfsburg | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 32.0%128.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 37.2%234.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 48.1%54.00% | 31.2%186.00% | 33.3%9.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 23.0%209.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 58.3%12.00% | 55.4%74.00% | 34.8%198.00% | 50.0%16.00% | 66.7%18.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Koln | 37.6%173.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 43.0%279.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 72.7%44.00% | 31.8%195.00% | 69.2%13.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 23.6%237.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 44.4%18.00% | 52.4%63.00% | 38.9%208.00% | 55.0%20.00% | 75.0%24.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 64.4%73.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 54.3%138.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 62.1%29.00% | 50.0%98.00% | 72.7%11.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 30.9%97.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 76.9%13.00% | 78.9%38.00% | 65.1%109.00% | 100.0%9.00% | 78.6%14.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| 1860 Munich | 68.0%128.00% | 62.4%173.00% | 35.6%73.00% | 45.5%11.00% | 33.3%9.00% | 41.5%176.00% | 50.7%148.00% | 40.5%37.00% | 56.3%135.00% | 37.5%32.00% | 23.4%64.00% | 46.4%151.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 36.0%89.00% | 38.8%67.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Alemannia Aachen | 40.0%5.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bayer Leverkusen | 54.5%11.00% | 58.8%17.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 64.7%17.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 75.0%16.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 69.2%13.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 66.7%9.00% | 72.7%11.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 66.7%9.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 100.0%2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dusseldorf | 62.8%234.00% | 57.0%279.00% | 45.7%138.00% | 41.2%17.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 51.6%254.00% | 57.7%194.00% | 49.2%59.00% | 65.2%181.00% | 50.0%50.00% | 45.0%100.00% | 45.7%256.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 17.4%23.00% | 43.9%114.00% | 48.8%80.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Dynamo Dresden | 66.7%3.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%6.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 33.3%9.00% | 0.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 51.9%54.00% | 27.3%44.00% | 37.9%29.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 25.5%51.00% | 30.0%40.00% | 16.7%12.00% | 40.6%32.00% | 0.0%8.00% | 7.7%13.00% | 34.0%50.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%5.00% | 11.1%18.00% | 17.6%17.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 68.8%186.00% | 68.2%195.00% | 50.0%98.00% | 35.3%17.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 48.2%197.00% | 65.2%181.00% | 47.1%68.00% | 59.3%135.00% | 52.8%36.00% | 44.3%88.00% | 49.7%193.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 7.7%13.00% | 45.4%130.00% | 55.2%67.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Energie Cottbus | 66.7%9.00% | 30.8%13.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%12.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 25.0%12.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 33.3%3.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Erzgebirge Aue | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%3.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| FC Augsburg | 58.5%176.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 48.4%254.00% | 100.0%6.00% | 74.5%51.00% | 51.8%197.00% | 100.0%12.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 41.3%218.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 85.7%14.00% | 65.5%84.00% | 50.5%214.00% | 87.0%23.00% | 80.0%25.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| FSV Frankfurt | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Greuther Furth | 77.0%209.00% | 76.4%237.00% | 69.1%97.00% | 25.0%16.00% | 33.3%9.00% | 58.7%218.00% | 69.0%187.00% | 61.6%73.00% | 70.7%164.00% | 49.1%55.00% | 48.3%89.00% | 55.4%195.00% | 35.7%14.00% | 33.3%12.00% | 54.0%113.00% | 48.0%50.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Hamburger SV | 49.3%148.00% | 42.3%194.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 70.0%40.00% | 34.8%181.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 31.0%187.00% | 53.8%13.00% | 64.9%74.00% | 40.4%156.00% | 60.0%15.00% | 59.3%27.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Hannover 96 | 59.5%37.00% | 50.8%59.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 83.3%12.00% | 52.9%68.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 38.4%73.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 65.0%20.00% | 59.7%67.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 71.4%7.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hansa Rostock | 0.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hertha BSC | 43.7%135.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 34.8%181.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 59.4%32.00% | 40.7%135.00% | 72.7%11.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 29.3%164.00% | 55.6%9.00% | 67.5%40.00% | 41.1%141.00% | 66.7%12.00% | 69.2%26.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Hoffenheim | 62.5%32.00% | 50.0%50.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 100.0%8.00% | 47.2%36.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 50.9%55.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 70.6%17.00% | 57.1%42.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 83.3%6.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| MSV Duisburg | 41.7%12.00% | 55.6%18.00% | 23.1%13.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 14.3%14.00% | 46.2%13.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 44.4%9.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 33.3%12.00% | 28.6%21.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 33.3%12.00% | 25.0%8.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| Mainz 05 | 76.6%64.00% | 55.0%100.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 92.3%13.00% | 55.7%88.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 51.7%89.00% | 66.7%12.00% | 73.3%30.00% | 50.0%80.00% | 72.7%11.00% | 69.2%13.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Paderborn 07 | 44.6%74.00% | 47.6%63.00% | 21.1%38.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 34.5%84.00% | 35.1%74.00% | 35.0%20.00% | 32.5%40.00% | 29.4%17.00% | 26.7%30.00% | 28.1%64.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 25.0%40.00% | 40.0%20.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| SC Freiburg | 53.6%151.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 54.3%256.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 66.0%50.00% | 50.3%193.00% | 75.0%12.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 44.6%195.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 71.4%21.00% | 71.9%64.00% | 51.8%197.00% | 76.2%21.00% | 88.9%36.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| Schalke 04 | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 64.3%14.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 44.4%9.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| St. Pauli | 65.2%198.00% | 61.1%208.00% | 34.9%109.00% | 30.8%13.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 49.5%214.00% | 59.6%156.00% | 40.3%67.00% | 58.9%141.00% | 42.9%42.00% | 50.0%80.00% | 48.2%197.00% | 55.6%9.00% | 38.9%18.00% | 40.5%111.00% | 60.0%65.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Union Berlin | 50.0%16.00% | 45.0%20.00% | 0.0%9.00% | 13.0%23.00% | 40.0%15.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 33.3%12.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 23.8%21.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 7.7%13.00% | 100.0%2.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| VfB Stuttgart | 72.7%11.00% | 82.6%23.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 92.3%13.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 66.7%12.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 61.1%18.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%2.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Bochum | 33.3%18.00% | 25.0%24.00% | 21.4%14.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 20.0%25.00% | 40.7%27.00% | 28.6%7.00% | 30.8%26.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 30.8%13.00% | 11.1%36.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 0.0%12.00% | 36.4%11.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Wolfsburg | 64.0%89.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 56.1%114.00% | 66.7%9.00% | 88.9%18.00% | 54.6%130.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 46.0%113.00% | 66.7%12.00% | 75.0%40.00% | 59.5%111.00% | 92.3%13.00% | 100.0%12.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Werder Bremen | 61.2%67.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 51.2%80.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 82.4%17.00% | 44.8%67.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 52.0%50.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 75.0%8.00% | 60.0%20.00% | 40.0%65.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 63.6%11.00% |
Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.
| Team | Finals |
|---|---|
| Dusseldorf | 57.57% |
| Hertha BSC | 42.43% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Dusseldorf | Hertha BSC |
|---|---|---|
| Dusseldorf | 57.6%100.00% | |
| Hertha BSC | 42.4%100.00% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-07-15 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1731 | 1639 | 55.9% | 24.9% | 19.2% | +4.7 | 3 |
| 2011-07-15 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1639 | 1731 | 19.2% | 24.9% | 55.9% | -4.7 | 0 |
| 2011-07-15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-3 | 1747 | 1758 | 43.0% | 27.1% | 29.9% | -8.5 | 0 |
| 2011-07-15 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-2 | 1758 | 1747 | 29.9% | 27.1% | 43.0% | +8.5 | 3 |
| 2011-07-15 | Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1654 | 1687 | 39.9% | 27.3% | 32.8% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2011-07-15 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1687 | 1654 | 32.8% | 27.3% | 39.9% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2011-07-16 | Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1698 | 1697 | 44.5% | 27.0% | 28.5% | +7.0 | 3 |
| 2011-07-16 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-1 | 1697 | 1698 | 28.5% | 27.0% | 44.5% | -6.9 | 0 |
| 2011-07-16 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 2-0 | 1736 | 1692 | 50.1% | 26.2% | 23.7% | +11.2 | 3 |
| 2011-07-16 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1692 | 1736 | 23.7% | 26.2% | 50.1% | -11.2 | 0 |
| 2011-07-17 | 1860 Munich | W 3-1 | 1705 | 1737 | 40.1% | 27.3% | 32.6% | +12.6 | 3 |
| 2011-07-17 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-3 | 1737 | 1705 | 32.6% | 27.3% | 40.1% | -12.6 | 0 |
| 2011-07-17 | MSV Duisburg | W 3-2 | 1656 | 1730 | 34.1% | 27.4% | 38.5% | +7.8 | 3 |
| 2011-07-17 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 2-3 | 1730 | 1656 | 38.5% | 27.4% | 34.1% | -7.8 | 0 |
| 2011-07-17 | Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1658 | 1667 | 43.2% | 27.1% | 29.7% | -9.0 | 0 |
| 2011-07-17 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1667 | 1658 | 29.7% | 27.1% | 43.2% | +9.0 | 3 |
| 2011-07-18 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1739 | 1746 | 43.5% | 27.1% | 29.4% | +13.4 | 3 |
| 2011-07-18 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-2 | 1746 | 1739 | 29.4% | 27.1% | 43.5% | -13.4 | 0 |
| 2011-07-22 | Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1723 | 1735 | 42.7% | 27.1% | 30.1% | -8.9 | 0 |
| 2011-07-22 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1735 | 1723 | 30.1% | 27.1% | 42.7% | +8.9 | 6 |
| 2011-07-22 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 0-0 | 1681 | 1705 | 41.2% | 27.2% | 31.6% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2011-07-22 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 0-0 | 1705 | 1681 | 31.6% | 27.2% | 41.2% | +0.5 | 4 |
| 2011-07-22 | FSV Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1733 | 1654 | 54.4% | 25.3% | 20.3% | +5.2 | 3 |
| 2011-07-22 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-1 | 1654 | 1733 | 20.3% | 25.3% | 54.4% | -5.2 | 1 |
| 2011-07-23 | Greuther Furth | L 0-4 | 1687 | 1738 | 37.4% | 27.4% | 35.2% | -30.5 | 1 |
| 2011-07-23 | @ Union Berlin | W 4-0 | 1738 | 1687 | 35.2% | 27.4% | 37.4% | +30.5 | 3 |
| 2011-07-23 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1724 | 1664 | 52.1% | 25.8% | 22.1% | +5.3 | 3 |
| 2011-07-23 | @ 1860 Munich | L 1-2 | 1664 | 1724 | 22.1% | 25.8% | 52.1% | -5.3 | 3 |
| 2011-07-24 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1676 | 1753 | 33.8% | 27.3% | 38.9% | +0.2 | 4 |
| 2011-07-24 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1753 | 1676 | 38.9% | 27.3% | 33.8% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2011-07-24 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-2 | 1690 | 1718 | 40.7% | 27.3% | 32.0% | -17.1 | 0 |
| 2011-07-24 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 2-0 | 1718 | 1690 | 32.0% | 27.3% | 40.7% | +17.2 | 6 |
| 2011-07-24 | Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1634 | 1649 | 42.4% | 27.2% | 30.4% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2011-07-24 | @ Dynamo Dresden | D 1-1 | 1649 | 1634 | 30.4% | 27.2% | 42.4% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2011-07-25 | St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1766 | 1747 | 47.0% | 26.7% | 26.3% | -1.0 | 4 |
| 2011-07-25 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1747 | 1766 | 26.3% | 26.7% | 47.0% | +1.0 | 4 |
| 2011-08-05 | Alemannia Aachen | W 3-1 | 1748 | 1673 | 53.9% | 25.4% | 20.7% | +8.7 | 7 |
| 2011-08-05 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-3 | 1673 | 1748 | 20.7% | 25.4% | 53.9% | -8.7 | 0 |
| 2011-08-05 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 4-1 | 1752 | 1680 | 53.6% | 25.5% | 20.9% | +12.4 | 7 |
| 2011-08-05 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-4 | 1680 | 1752 | 20.9% | 25.5% | 53.6% | -12.4 | 1 |
| 2011-08-05 | Paderborn 07 | W 3-0 | 1657 | 1676 | 41.8% | 27.2% | 31.0% | +20.3 | 4 |
| 2011-08-05 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-3 | 1676 | 1657 | 31.0% | 27.2% | 41.8% | -20.3 | 4 |
| 2011-08-06 | 1860 Munich | L 0-5 | 1744 | 1729 | 46.5% | 26.8% | 26.8% | -44.5 | 6 |
| 2011-08-06 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 5-0 | 1729 | 1744 | 26.8% | 26.8% | 46.5% | +44.5 | 6 |
| 2011-08-06 | Dynamo Dresden | W 1-0 | 1769 | 1634 | 60.6% | 23.4% | 16.0% | +4.1 | 6 |
| 2011-08-06 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1634 | 1769 | 16.0% | 23.4% | 60.6% | -4.1 | 1 |
| 2011-08-07 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1735 | 1765 | 40.3% | 27.3% | 32.4% | -24.7 | 6 |
| 2011-08-07 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-0 | 1765 | 1735 | 32.4% | 27.3% | 40.3% | +24.7 | 7 |
| 2011-08-07 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1705 | 1659 | 50.4% | 26.1% | 23.4% | -20.3 | 4 |
| 2011-08-07 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-0 | 1659 | 1705 | 23.4% | 26.1% | 50.4% | +20.3 | 6 |
| 2011-08-07 | MSV Duisburg | D 0-0 | 1648 | 1714 | 35.3% | 27.4% | 37.3% | +0.1 | 2 |
| 2011-08-07 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1714 | 1648 | 37.3% | 27.4% | 35.3% | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2011-08-08 | VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1650 | 1738 | 32.2% | 27.3% | 40.5% | +0.4 | 2 |
| 2011-08-08 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1738 | 1650 | 40.5% | 27.3% | 32.2% | -0.4 | 4 |
| 2011-08-12 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-3 | 1679 | 1710 | 40.2% | 27.3% | 32.5% | -14.7 | 6 |
| 2011-08-12 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-1 | 1710 | 1679 | 32.5% | 27.3% | 40.2% | +14.7 | 9 |
| 2011-08-12 | St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1737 | 1756 | 41.9% | 27.2% | 30.9% | -8.8 | 4 |
| 2011-08-12 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1756 | 1737 | 30.9% | 27.2% | 41.9% | +8.8 | 10 |
| 2011-08-12 | Union Berlin | W 4-0 | 1629 | 1677 | 37.9% | 27.4% | 34.8% | +28.9 | 4 |
| 2011-08-12 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-4 | 1677 | 1629 | 34.8% | 27.4% | 37.9% | -28.9 | 4 |
| 2011-08-13 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 1664 | 1700 | 39.6% | 27.3% | 33.1% | -16.8 | 0 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 2-0 | 1700 | 1664 | 33.1% | 27.3% | 39.6% | +16.8 | 9 |
| 2011-08-13 | Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1656 | 1773 | 28.6% | 27.0% | 44.4% | -7.0 | 4 |
| 2011-08-13 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 1773 | 1656 | 44.4% | 27.0% | 28.6% | +7.0 | 9 |
| 2011-08-14 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 4-0 | 1774 | 1685 | 55.5% | 25.0% | 19.5% | +17.9 | 9 |
| 2011-08-14 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-4 | 1685 | 1774 | 19.5% | 25.0% | 55.5% | -17.9 | 4 |
| 2011-08-14 | FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1668 | 1648 | 47.0% | 26.7% | 26.3% | -0.9 | 2 |
| 2011-08-14 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1648 | 1668 | 26.3% | 26.7% | 47.0% | +0.9 | 3 |
| 2011-08-14 | Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1714 | 1650 | 52.5% | 25.7% | 21.7% | -1.6 | 2 |
| 2011-08-14 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 0-0 | 1650 | 1714 | 21.7% | 25.7% | 52.5% | +1.6 | 3 |
| 2011-08-15 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1790 | 1765 | 47.8% | 26.6% | 25.7% | -1.0 | 8 |
| 2011-08-15 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1765 | 1790 | 25.7% | 26.6% | 47.8% | +1.0 | 8 |
| 2011-08-19 | 1860 Munich | W 3-1 | 1766 | 1792 | 40.9% | 27.3% | 31.8% | +12.4 | 11 |
| 2011-08-19 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-3 | 1792 | 1766 | 31.8% | 27.3% | 40.9% | -12.4 | 9 |
| 2011-08-19 | Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1652 | 1648 | 45.0% | 26.9% | 28.1% | -0.9 | 4 |
| 2011-08-19 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1648 | 1652 | 28.1% | 26.9% | 45.0% | +0.9 | 1 |
| 2011-08-19 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 3-0 | 1780 | 1667 | 58.2% | 24.2% | 17.6% | +12.4 | 12 |
| 2011-08-19 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-3 | 1667 | 1780 | 17.6% | 24.2% | 58.2% | -12.4 | 2 |
| 2011-08-20 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1725 | 1667 | 51.8% | 25.9% | 22.3% | -1.4 | 10 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1667 | 1725 | 22.3% | 25.9% | 51.8% | +1.4 | 5 |
| 2011-08-20 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1648 | 1729 | 33.2% | 27.3% | 39.5% | +8.4 | 7 |
| 2011-08-20 | @ Union Berlin | L 1-2 | 1729 | 1648 | 39.5% | 27.3% | 33.2% | -8.4 | 4 |
| 2011-08-21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-4 | 1649 | 1789 | 25.9% | 26.6% | 47.4% | -23.0 | 3 |
| 2011-08-21 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 4-0 | 1789 | 1649 | 47.4% | 26.6% | 25.9% | +23.0 | 11 |
| 2011-08-21 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1717 | 1665 | 51.2% | 26.0% | 22.8% | +10.9 | 12 |
| 2011-08-21 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 1665 | 1717 | 22.8% | 26.0% | 51.2% | -10.9 | 6 |
| 2011-08-21 | Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1658 | 1649 | 45.7% | 26.9% | 27.5% | -9.4 | 4 |
| 2011-08-21 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1649 | 1658 | 27.5% | 26.9% | 45.7% | +9.4 | 7 |
| 2011-08-22 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1765 | 1712 | 51.3% | 26.0% | 22.7% | +5.4 | 13 |
| 2011-08-22 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1712 | 1765 | 22.7% | 26.0% | 51.3% | -5.4 | 2 |
| 2011-08-26 | Dynamo Dresden | W 3-0 | 1707 | 1649 | 51.8% | 25.9% | 22.3% | +15.5 | 5 |
| 2011-08-26 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-3 | 1649 | 1707 | 22.3% | 25.9% | 51.8% | -15.5 | 4 |
| 2011-08-26 | Greuther Furth | L 1-4 | 1720 | 1792 | 34.4% | 27.4% | 38.2% | -18.5 | 4 |
| 2011-08-26 | @ VfL Bochum | W 4-1 | 1792 | 1720 | 38.2% | 27.4% | 34.4% | +18.5 | 15 |
| 2011-08-26 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-1 | 1654 | 1651 | 45.0% | 26.9% | 28.1% | +11.2 | 5 |
| 2011-08-26 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 1-3 | 1651 | 1654 | 28.1% | 26.9% | 45.0% | -11.2 | 4 |
| 2011-08-27 | Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1649 | 1778 | 27.1% | 26.8% | 46.1% | +1.0 | 2 |
| 2011-08-27 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1778 | 1649 | 46.1% | 26.8% | 27.1% | -1.0 | 12 |
| 2011-08-27 | FSV Frankfurt | L 0-4 | 1654 | 1626 | 48.0% | 26.5% | 25.4% | -37.1 | 6 |
| 2011-08-27 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 4-0 | 1626 | 1654 | 25.4% | 26.5% | 48.0% | +37.1 | 6 |
| 2011-08-28 | Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1812 | 1659 | 62.4% | 22.8% | 14.8% | -2.6 | 12 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1659 | 1812 | 14.8% | 22.8% | 62.4% | +2.6 | 8 |
| 2011-08-28 | St. Pauli | W 1-0 | 1723 | 1771 | 37.9% | 27.4% | 34.7% | +8.1 | 13 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-1 | 1771 | 1723 | 34.7% | 27.4% | 37.9% | -8.1 | 13 |
| 2011-08-28 | Union Berlin | W 3-1 | 1779 | 1656 | 59.3% | 23.9% | 16.9% | +7.1 | 12 |
| 2011-08-28 | @ 1860 Munich | L 1-3 | 1656 | 1779 | 16.9% | 23.9% | 59.3% | -7.1 | 7 |
| 2011-08-29 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1668 | 1728 | 36.2% | 27.4% | 36.4% | +0.0 | 6 |
| 2011-08-29 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 0-0 | 1728 | 1668 | 36.4% | 27.4% | 36.2% | -0.0 | 13 |
| 2011-09-09 | Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1661 | 1650 | 46.0% | 26.8% | 27.2% | -1.0 | 9 |
| 2011-09-09 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1650 | 1661 | 27.2% | 26.8% | 46.0% | +1.0 | 3 |
| 2011-09-09 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1640 | 1731 | 31.7% | 27.3% | 41.0% | +0.5 | 5 |
| 2011-09-09 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1731 | 1640 | 41.0% | 27.3% | 31.7% | -0.5 | 14 |
| 2011-09-09 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1811 | 1722 | 55.5% | 25.0% | 19.5% | +4.7 | 18 |
| 2011-09-09 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1722 | 1811 | 19.5% | 25.0% | 55.5% | -4.7 | 5 |
| 2011-09-10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 3-3 | 1727 | 1809 | 33.1% | 27.3% | 39.6% | +0.2 | 14 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 3-3 | 1809 | 1727 | 39.6% | 27.3% | 33.1% | -0.2 | 13 |
| 2011-09-10 | Karlsruher SC | W 4-2 | 1777 | 1617 | 63.2% | 22.5% | 14.4% | +5.4 | 15 |
| 2011-09-10 | @ Dusseldorf | L 2-4 | 1617 | 1777 | 14.4% | 22.5% | 63.2% | -5.4 | 6 |
| 2011-09-11 | 1860 Munich | W 4-2 | 1763 | 1786 | 41.2% | 27.2% | 31.6% | +11.0 | 16 |
| 2011-09-11 | @ St. Pauli | L 2-4 | 1786 | 1763 | 31.6% | 27.2% | 41.2% | -11.0 | 12 |
| 2011-09-11 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1663 | 1668 | 43.8% | 27.1% | 29.1% | -0.7 | 7 |
| 2011-09-11 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1668 | 1663 | 29.1% | 27.1% | 43.8% | +0.7 | 7 |
| 2011-09-11 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 4-1 | 1649 | 1666 | 42.2% | 27.2% | 30.6% | +17.0 | 10 |
| 2011-09-11 | @ Union Berlin | L 1-4 | 1666 | 1649 | 30.6% | 27.2% | 42.2% | -17.0 | 5 |
| 2011-09-12 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1633 | 1702 | 34.9% | 27.4% | 37.7% | +8.1 | 7 |
| 2011-09-12 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1702 | 1633 | 37.7% | 27.4% | 34.9% | -8.1 | 4 |
| 2011-09-16 | Dusseldorf | L 2-4 | 1669 | 1782 | 29.0% | 27.0% | 44.0% | -10.3 | 7 |
| 2011-09-16 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 4-2 | 1782 | 1669 | 44.0% | 27.0% | 29.0% | +10.3 | 18 |
| 2011-09-16 | Dynamo Dresden | W 4-2 | 1649 | 1642 | 45.4% | 26.9% | 27.7% | +9.9 | 8 |
| 2011-09-16 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 2-4 | 1642 | 1649 | 27.7% | 26.9% | 45.4% | -9.9 | 7 |
| 2011-09-16 | Hansa Rostock | W 4-1 | 1809 | 1640 | 64.0% | 22.1% | 13.9% | +8.2 | 16 |
| 2011-09-16 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-4 | 1640 | 1809 | 13.9% | 22.1% | 64.0% | -8.2 | 5 |
| 2011-09-17 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-1 | 1731 | 1728 | 44.9% | 26.9% | 28.2% | +11.2 | 17 |
| 2011-09-17 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-3 | 1728 | 1731 | 28.2% | 26.9% | 44.9% | -11.2 | 14 |
| 2011-09-17 | Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1717 | 1666 | 51.0% | 26.0% | 22.9% | -1.3 | 6 |
| 2011-09-17 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1666 | 1717 | 22.9% | 26.0% | 51.0% | +1.3 | 11 |
| 2011-09-18 | FSV Frankfurt | W 4-0 | 1775 | 1663 | 58.2% | 24.2% | 17.6% | +16.2 | 15 |
| 2011-09-18 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-4 | 1663 | 1775 | 17.6% | 24.2% | 58.2% | -16.2 | 7 |
| 2011-09-18 | Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1650 | 1815 | 23.2% | 26.1% | 50.7% | +1.4 | 4 |
| 2011-09-18 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1815 | 1650 | 50.7% | 26.1% | 23.2% | -1.4 | 19 |
| 2011-09-18 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-4 | 1694 | 1660 | 48.8% | 26.4% | 24.8% | -37.6 | 4 |
| 2011-09-18 | @ VfL Bochum | W 4-0 | 1660 | 1694 | 24.8% | 26.4% | 48.8% | +37.6 | 12 |
| 2011-09-19 | St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1611 | 1774 | 23.5% | 26.2% | 50.3% | -11.2 | 6 |
| 2011-09-19 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1774 | 1611 | 50.3% | 26.2% | 23.5% | +11.2 | 19 |
| 2011-09-23 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1647 | 1742 | 31.2% | 27.2% | 41.6% | +0.5 | 8 |
| 2011-09-23 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1742 | 1647 | 41.6% | 27.2% | 31.2% | -0.5 | 18 |
| 2011-09-23 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 2-3 | 1785 | 1659 | 59.6% | 23.8% | 16.6% | -11.1 | 19 |
| 2011-09-23 | @ St. Pauli | W 3-2 | 1659 | 1785 | 16.6% | 23.8% | 59.6% | +11.1 | 10 |
| 2011-09-23 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 4-1 | 1698 | 1659 | 49.6% | 26.3% | 24.1% | +14.0 | 15 |
| 2011-09-23 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-4 | 1659 | 1698 | 24.1% | 26.3% | 49.6% | -14.0 | 8 |
| 2011-09-24 | Alemannia Aachen | W 2-0 | 1668 | 1652 | 46.6% | 26.8% | 26.7% | +12.4 | 14 |
| 2011-09-24 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-2 | 1652 | 1668 | 26.7% | 26.8% | 46.6% | -12.4 | 4 |
| 2011-09-24 | Energie Cottbus | W 4-2 | 1793 | 1716 | 54.1% | 25.4% | 20.6% | +7.7 | 21 |
| 2011-09-24 | @ Dusseldorf | L 2-4 | 1716 | 1793 | 20.6% | 25.4% | 54.1% | -7.7 | 14 |
| 2011-09-25 | 1860 Munich | W 2-0 | 1814 | 1792 | 47.4% | 26.6% | 26.0% | +12.1 | 22 |
| 2011-09-25 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1792 | 1814 | 26.0% | 26.6% | 47.4% | -12.1 | 15 |
| 2011-09-25 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1632 | 1600 | 48.6% | 26.5% | 24.9% | -1.1 | 6 |
| 2011-09-25 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1600 | 1632 | 24.9% | 26.5% | 48.6% | +1.1 | 7 |
| 2011-09-25 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1656 | 1716 | 36.1% | 27.4% | 36.5% | +7.9 | 7 |
| 2011-09-25 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1716 | 1656 | 36.5% | 27.4% | 36.1% | -7.9 | 6 |
| 2011-09-26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-4 | 1632 | 1817 | 21.3% | 25.6% | 53.2% | -12.5 | 7 |
| 2011-09-26 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 4-1 | 1817 | 1632 | 53.2% | 25.6% | 21.3% | +12.5 | 19 |
| 2011-09-30 | FSV Frankfurt | L 1-3 | 1639 | 1647 | 43.5% | 27.1% | 29.5% | -15.6 | 4 |
| 2011-09-30 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 3-1 | 1647 | 1639 | 29.5% | 27.1% | 43.5% | +15.6 | 11 |
| 2011-09-30 | Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1670 | 1631 | 49.5% | 26.3% | 24.2% | +6.1 | 13 |
| 2011-09-30 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-1 | 1631 | 1670 | 24.2% | 26.3% | 49.5% | -6.1 | 6 |
| 2011-09-30 | Union Berlin | W 3-1 | 1830 | 1680 | 62.1% | 22.9% | 15.0% | +6.3 | 22 |
| 2011-09-30 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-3 | 1680 | 1830 | 15.0% | 22.9% | 62.1% | -6.3 | 14 |
| 2011-10-01 | St. Pauli | L 1-4 | 1709 | 1774 | 35.4% | 27.4% | 37.2% | -18.9 | 14 |
| 2011-10-01 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 4-1 | 1774 | 1709 | 37.2% | 27.4% | 35.4% | +18.9 | 22 |
| 2011-10-01 | VfL Bochum | L 3-5 | 1645 | 1664 | 41.8% | 27.2% | 31.0% | -12.8 | 8 |
| 2011-10-01 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 5-3 | 1664 | 1645 | 31.0% | 27.2% | 41.8% | +12.8 | 10 |
| 2011-10-02 | Dynamo Dresden | L 2-4 | 1780 | 1619 | 63.2% | 22.5% | 14.4% | -19.0 | 15 |
| 2011-10-02 | @ 1860 Munich | W 4-2 | 1619 | 1780 | 14.4% | 22.5% | 63.2% | +19.0 | 10 |
| 2011-10-02 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1601 | 1826 | 17.9% | 24.4% | 57.7% | +1.4 | 8 |
| 2011-10-02 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1826 | 1601 | 57.7% | 24.4% | 17.9% | -1.4 | 23 |
| 2011-10-02 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-1 | 1708 | 1712 | 44.0% | 27.0% | 29.0% | -9.7 | 6 |
| 2011-10-02 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1712 | 1708 | 29.0% | 27.0% | 44.0% | +9.7 | 18 |
| 2011-10-03 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1742 | 1800 | 36.3% | 27.4% | 36.4% | +0.0 | 19 |
| 2011-10-03 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1800 | 1742 | 36.4% | 27.4% | 36.3% | +0.0 | 22 |
| 2011-10-14 | 1860 Munich | W 2-0 | 1625 | 1760 | 26.3% | 26.7% | 47.0% | +19.2 | 9 |
| 2011-10-14 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 0-2 | 1760 | 1625 | 47.0% | 26.7% | 26.3% | -19.2 | 15 |
| 2011-10-14 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1721 | 1742 | 41.7% | 27.2% | 31.1% | +7.4 | 21 |
| 2011-10-14 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-1 | 1742 | 1721 | 31.1% | 27.2% | 41.7% | -7.4 | 19 |
| 2011-10-14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1677 | 1836 | 23.8% | 26.2% | 50.0% | -11.3 | 10 |
| 2011-10-14 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1836 | 1677 | 50.0% | 26.2% | 23.8% | +11.3 | 25 |
| 2011-10-15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 3-1 | 1698 | 1632 | 52.9% | 25.6% | 21.4% | +8.9 | 9 |
| 2011-10-15 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-3 | 1632 | 1698 | 21.4% | 25.6% | 52.9% | -8.9 | 8 |
| 2011-10-15 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1674 | 1603 | 53.5% | 25.5% | 21.0% | +10.1 | 17 |
| 2011-10-15 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-2 | 1603 | 1674 | 21.0% | 25.5% | 53.5% | -10.1 | 8 |
| 2011-10-16 | Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1638 | 1624 | 46.4% | 26.8% | 26.9% | -0.9 | 11 |
| 2011-10-16 | @ Dynamo Dresden | D 1-1 | 1624 | 1638 | 26.9% | 26.8% | 46.4% | +0.9 | 5 |
| 2011-10-16 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1663 | 1690 | 40.8% | 27.3% | 32.0% | -9.1 | 11 |
| 2011-10-16 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1690 | 1663 | 32.0% | 27.3% | 40.8% | +9.1 | 17 |
| 2011-10-16 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-0 | 1825 | 1676 | 62.0% | 22.9% | 15.1% | +7.3 | 26 |
| 2011-10-16 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1676 | 1825 | 15.1% | 22.9% | 62.0% | -7.3 | 13 |
| 2011-10-17 | Dusseldorf | L 1-3 | 1792 | 1800 | 43.4% | 27.1% | 29.5% | -15.6 | 22 |
| 2011-10-17 | @ St. Pauli | W 3-1 | 1800 | 1792 | 29.5% | 27.1% | 43.4% | +15.6 | 25 |
| 2011-10-21 | Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1816 | 1644 | 64.3% | 22.0% | 13.7% | +6.6 | 28 |
| 2011-10-21 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-2 | 1644 | 1816 | 13.7% | 22.0% | 64.3% | -6.6 | 9 |
| 2011-10-21 | Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1741 | 1729 | 46.1% | 26.8% | 27.1% | -0.9 | 16 |
| 2011-10-21 | @ 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1729 | 1741 | 27.1% | 26.8% | 46.1% | +0.9 | 22 |
| 2011-10-21 | VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1592 | 1666 | 34.2% | 27.4% | 38.4% | +0.2 | 9 |
| 2011-10-21 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1666 | 1592 | 38.4% | 27.4% | 34.2% | -0.2 | 11 |
| 2011-10-22 | Dynamo Dresden | L 0-2 | 1734 | 1637 | 56.4% | 24.7% | 18.8% | -22.3 | 19 |
| 2011-10-22 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1637 | 1734 | 18.8% | 24.7% | 56.4% | +22.3 | 14 |
| 2011-10-22 | Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1699 | 1832 | 26.7% | 26.7% | 46.6% | -12.4 | 17 |
| 2011-10-22 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1832 | 1699 | 46.6% | 26.7% | 26.7% | +12.4 | 29 |
| 2011-10-23 | FSV Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1777 | 1654 | 59.3% | 23.9% | 16.8% | +4.1 | 25 |
| 2011-10-23 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1654 | 1777 | 16.8% | 23.9% | 59.3% | -4.1 | 11 |
| 2011-10-23 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 3-1 | 1625 | 1623 | 44.7% | 27.0% | 28.3% | +11.3 | 8 |
| 2011-10-23 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-3 | 1623 | 1625 | 28.3% | 27.0% | 44.7% | -11.3 | 8 |
| 2011-10-23 | MSV Duisburg | W 3-0 | 1847 | 1707 | 61.1% | 23.2% | 15.7% | +11.1 | 28 |
| 2011-10-23 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1707 | 1847 | 15.7% | 23.2% | 61.1% | -11.1 | 9 |
| 2011-10-23 | Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1669 | 1684 | 42.4% | 27.2% | 30.4% | -0.5 | 14 |
| 2011-10-23 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1684 | 1669 | 30.4% | 27.2% | 42.4% | +0.5 | 18 |
| 2011-10-28 | Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1665 | 1636 | 48.3% | 26.5% | 25.2% | +6.3 | 14 |
| 2011-10-28 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-1 | 1636 | 1665 | 25.2% | 26.5% | 48.3% | -6.3 | 8 |
| 2011-10-28 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1637 | 1687 | 37.6% | 27.4% | 35.0% | -0.1 | 10 |
| 2011-10-28 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1687 | 1637 | 35.0% | 27.4% | 37.6% | +0.1 | 18 |
| 2011-10-28 | St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1684 | 1781 | 31.1% | 27.2% | 41.7% | -14.0 | 18 |
| 2011-10-28 | @ Union Berlin | W 2-0 | 1781 | 1684 | 41.7% | 27.2% | 31.1% | +14.0 | 28 |
| 2011-10-29 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1730 | 1668 | 52.3% | 25.8% | 21.9% | +5.6 | 25 |
| 2011-10-29 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-1 | 1668 | 1730 | 21.9% | 25.8% | 52.3% | -5.6 | 14 |
| 2011-10-29 | Karlsruher SC | W 5-1 | 1660 | 1593 | 53.0% | 25.6% | 21.4% | +16.3 | 17 |
| 2011-10-29 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-5 | 1593 | 1660 | 21.4% | 25.6% | 53.0% | -16.3 | 9 |
| 2011-10-30 | 1860 Munich | L 0-3 | 1696 | 1740 | 38.4% | 27.4% | 34.3% | -23.8 | 9 |
| 2011-10-30 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 3-0 | 1740 | 1696 | 34.3% | 27.4% | 38.4% | +23.8 | 19 |
| 2011-10-30 | Dusseldorf | L 2-5 | 1649 | 1823 | 22.4% | 25.9% | 51.7% | -11.4 | 11 |
| 2011-10-30 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 5-2 | 1823 | 1649 | 51.7% | 25.9% | 22.4% | +11.4 | 31 |
| 2011-10-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1612 | 1858 | 16.4% | 23.6% | 60.0% | +2.1 | 9 |
| 2011-10-30 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1612 | 60.0% | 23.6% | 16.4% | -2.1 | 29 |
| 2011-10-31 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-3 | 1844 | 1712 | 60.3% | 23.5% | 16.2% | -20.5 | 29 |
| 2011-10-31 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1712 | 1844 | 16.2% | 23.5% | 60.3% | +20.4 | 22 |
| 2011-11-04 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1834 | 1676 | 62.9% | 22.6% | 14.5% | +3.5 | 34 |
| 2011-11-04 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1676 | 1834 | 14.5% | 22.6% | 62.9% | -3.5 | 17 |
| 2011-11-04 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 3-2 | 1576 | 1614 | 39.3% | 27.3% | 33.4% | +7.0 | 12 |
| 2011-11-04 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 2-3 | 1614 | 1576 | 33.4% | 27.3% | 39.3% | -7.0 | 9 |
| 2011-11-04 | Union Berlin | L 1-2 | 1732 | 1670 | 52.4% | 25.8% | 21.9% | -10.5 | 22 |
| 2011-11-04 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1670 | 1732 | 21.9% | 25.8% | 52.4% | +10.5 | 21 |
| 2011-11-05 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1795 | 1824 | 40.5% | 27.3% | 32.2% | -0.3 | 29 |
| 2011-11-05 | @ St. Pauli | D 2-2 | 1824 | 1795 | 32.2% | 27.3% | 40.5% | +0.3 | 30 |
| 2011-11-05 | VfL Bochum | L 1-3 | 1764 | 1672 | 55.9% | 24.9% | 19.2% | -19.2 | 19 |
| 2011-11-05 | @ 1860 Munich | W 3-1 | 1672 | 1764 | 19.2% | 24.9% | 55.9% | +19.2 | 17 |
| 2011-11-06 | Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1638 | 1637 | 44.6% | 27.0% | 28.4% | -0.8 | 12 |
| 2011-11-06 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1637 | 1638 | 28.4% | 27.0% | 44.6% | +0.8 | 11 |
| 2011-11-06 | MSV Duisburg | D 2-2 | 1630 | 1673 | 38.6% | 27.4% | 34.1% | -0.2 | 9 |
| 2011-11-06 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 2-2 | 1673 | 1630 | 34.1% | 27.4% | 38.6% | +0.1 | 10 |
| 2011-11-06 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1687 | 1735 | 37.7% | 27.4% | 34.9% | -16.2 | 18 |
| 2011-11-06 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1735 | 1687 | 34.9% | 27.4% | 37.7% | +16.2 | 28 |
| 2011-11-07 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1662 | 1856 | 20.5% | 25.4% | 54.1% | -5.0 | 14 |
| 2011-11-07 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-1 | 1856 | 1662 | 54.1% | 25.4% | 20.5% | +5.0 | 32 |
| 2011-11-18 | 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1607 | 1745 | 26.1% | 26.7% | 47.3% | -6.5 | 9 |
| 2011-11-18 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 1-0 | 1745 | 1607 | 47.3% | 26.7% | 26.1% | +6.5 | 22 |
| 2011-11-18 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-0 | 1673 | 1722 | 37.6% | 27.4% | 35.0% | +22.2 | 13 |
| 2011-11-18 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-3 | 1722 | 1673 | 35.0% | 27.4% | 37.6% | -22.2 | 22 |
| 2011-11-18 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1752 | 1583 | 63.9% | 22.2% | 13.9% | +3.4 | 31 |
| 2011-11-18 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1583 | 1752 | 13.9% | 22.2% | 63.9% | -3.4 | 12 |
| 2011-11-19 | Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1681 | 1837 | 24.1% | 26.3% | 49.6% | +1.3 | 22 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ Union Berlin | D 0-0 | 1837 | 1681 | 49.6% | 26.3% | 24.1% | -1.3 | 35 |
| 2011-11-19 | St. Pauli | L 1-3 | 1638 | 1795 | 24.1% | 26.3% | 49.6% | -9.9 | 11 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 3-1 | 1795 | 1638 | 49.6% | 26.3% | 24.1% | +9.9 | 32 |
| 2011-11-20 | Alemannia Aachen | W 4-3 | 1861 | 1630 | 69.8% | 19.5% | 10.7% | +2.3 | 35 |
| 2011-11-20 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 3-4 | 1630 | 1861 | 10.7% | 19.5% | 69.8% | -2.3 | 9 |
| 2011-11-20 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-2 | 1672 | 1658 | 46.4% | 26.8% | 26.8% | -9.5 | 17 |
| 2011-11-20 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 2-1 | 1658 | 1672 | 26.8% | 26.8% | 46.4% | +9.5 | 17 |
| 2011-11-20 | FSV Frankfurt | W 4-0 | 1824 | 1637 | 65.8% | 21.4% | 12.8% | +11.7 | 33 |
| 2011-11-20 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-4 | 1637 | 1824 | 12.8% | 21.4% | 65.8% | -11.7 | 12 |
| 2011-11-21 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1691 | 1670 | 47.2% | 26.7% | 26.2% | -10.2 | 17 |
| 2011-11-21 | @ VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1670 | 1691 | 26.2% | 26.7% | 47.2% | +10.2 | 21 |
| 2011-11-25 | MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1667 | 1695 | 40.6% | 27.3% | 32.1% | -8.5 | 17 |
| 2011-11-25 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-1 | 1695 | 1667 | 32.1% | 27.3% | 40.6% | +8.6 | 16 |
| 2011-11-25 | Paderborn 07 | D 2-2 | 1626 | 1755 | 27.1% | 26.8% | 46.1% | +0.6 | 13 |
| 2011-11-25 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1755 | 1626 | 46.1% | 26.8% | 27.1% | -0.6 | 32 |
| 2011-11-25 | Union Berlin | L 2-5 | 1628 | 1682 | 36.9% | 27.4% | 35.7% | -16.9 | 11 |
| 2011-11-25 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 5-2 | 1682 | 1628 | 35.7% | 27.4% | 36.9% | +16.9 | 25 |
| 2011-11-26 | Alemannia Aachen | L 0-2 | 1580 | 1627 | 37.9% | 27.4% | 34.7% | -16.2 | 12 |
| 2011-11-26 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1627 | 1580 | 34.7% | 27.4% | 37.9% | +16.2 | 12 |
| 2011-11-26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1752 | 1864 | 29.1% | 27.1% | 43.8% | +9.1 | 25 |
| 2011-11-26 | @ 1860 Munich | L 1-2 | 1864 | 1752 | 43.8% | 27.1% | 29.1% | -9.1 | 35 |
| 2011-11-27 | Dynamo Dresden | W 3-1 | 1805 | 1663 | 61.3% | 23.2% | 15.5% | +6.5 | 35 |
| 2011-11-27 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-3 | 1663 | 1805 | 15.5% | 23.2% | 61.3% | -6.5 | 17 |
| 2011-11-27 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 0-0 | 1681 | 1600 | 54.5% | 25.2% | 20.2% | -1.8 | 22 |
| 2011-11-27 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1600 | 1681 | 20.2% | 25.2% | 54.5% | +1.8 | 10 |
| 2011-11-27 | VfL Bochum | W 4-0 | 1700 | 1681 | 47.0% | 26.7% | 26.3% | +23.3 | 25 |
| 2011-11-27 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-4 | 1681 | 1700 | 26.3% | 26.7% | 47.0% | -23.3 | 17 |
| 2011-11-28 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1836 | 1836 | 44.5% | 27.0% | 28.5% | +6.5 | 38 |
| 2011-11-28 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1836 | 1836 | 28.5% | 27.0% | 44.5% | -6.6 | 33 |
| 2011-12-02 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-1 | 1602 | 1723 | 28.1% | 26.9% | 45.0% | -6.9 | 10 |
| 2011-12-02 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 1-0 | 1723 | 1602 | 45.0% | 26.9% | 28.1% | +6.9 | 28 |
| 2011-12-02 | Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1699 | 1679 | 47.1% | 26.7% | 26.2% | +6.5 | 28 |
| 2011-12-02 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 1679 | 1699 | 26.2% | 26.7% | 47.1% | -6.5 | 22 |
| 2011-12-02 | St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1754 | 1811 | 36.5% | 27.4% | 36.1% | -0.0 | 33 |
| 2011-12-02 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1811 | 1754 | 36.1% | 27.4% | 36.5% | +0.0 | 36 |
| 2011-12-03 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1829 | 1611 | 68.7% | 20.1% | 11.3% | +7.7 | 36 |
| 2011-12-03 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-3 | 1611 | 1829 | 11.3% | 20.1% | 68.7% | -7.7 | 11 |
| 2011-12-03 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1854 | 1564 | 74.8% | 16.9% | 8.3% | +3.7 | 38 |
| 2011-12-03 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1564 | 1854 | 8.3% | 16.9% | 74.8% | -3.7 | 12 |
| 2011-12-04 | 1860 Munich | D 2-2 | 1644 | 1761 | 28.5% | 27.0% | 44.5% | +0.5 | 13 |
| 2011-12-04 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 2-2 | 1761 | 1644 | 44.5% | 27.0% | 28.5% | -0.5 | 26 |
| 2011-12-04 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 6-0 | 1657 | 1658 | 44.3% | 27.0% | 28.7% | +36.6 | 20 |
| 2011-12-04 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-6 | 1658 | 1657 | 28.7% | 27.0% | 44.3% | -36.6 | 17 |
| 2011-12-04 | FSV Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1656 | 1626 | 48.4% | 26.5% | 25.1% | -0.8 | 18 |
| 2011-12-04 | @ Dynamo Dresden | D 2-2 | 1626 | 1656 | 25.1% | 26.5% | 48.4% | +0.8 | 14 |
| 2011-12-05 | Dusseldorf | L 0-2 | 1703 | 1843 | 26.0% | 26.6% | 47.4% | -12.1 | 16 |
| 2011-12-05 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1843 | 1703 | 47.4% | 26.6% | 26.0% | +12.1 | 41 |
| 2011-12-09 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-0 | 1760 | 1730 | 48.4% | 26.5% | 25.1% | +17.2 | 29 |
| 2011-12-09 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-3 | 1730 | 1760 | 25.1% | 26.5% | 48.4% | -17.1 | 28 |
| 2011-12-09 | Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1754 | 1603 | 62.2% | 22.8% | 15.0% | +7.3 | 36 |
| 2011-12-09 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1603 | 1754 | 15.0% | 22.8% | 62.2% | -7.3 | 11 |
| 2011-12-09 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-1 | 1691 | 1560 | 60.2% | 23.6% | 16.2% | +6.8 | 19 |
| 2011-12-09 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-3 | 1560 | 1691 | 16.2% | 23.6% | 60.2% | -6.8 | 12 |
| 2011-12-10 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1694 | 1855 | 23.6% | 26.2% | 50.2% | +1.2 | 21 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1855 | 1694 | 50.2% | 26.2% | 23.6% | -1.2 | 42 |
| 2011-12-10 | FSV Frankfurt | W 4-0 | 1706 | 1627 | 54.3% | 25.3% | 20.4% | +18.7 | 31 |
| 2011-12-10 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-4 | 1627 | 1706 | 20.4% | 25.3% | 54.3% | -18.7 | 14 |
| 2011-12-11 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1655 | 1672 | 42.2% | 27.2% | 30.6% | +6.9 | 21 |
| 2011-12-11 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1672 | 1655 | 30.6% | 27.2% | 42.2% | -6.9 | 22 |
| 2011-12-11 | Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1644 | 1622 | 47.4% | 26.6% | 26.0% | -1.0 | 14 |
| 2011-12-11 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1622 | 1644 | 26.0% | 26.6% | 47.4% | +1.0 | 18 |
| 2011-12-11 | St. Pauli | W 1-0 | 1595 | 1811 | 18.7% | 24.7% | 56.7% | +11.9 | 13 |
| 2011-12-11 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-1 | 1811 | 1595 | 56.7% | 24.7% | 18.7% | -11.9 | 36 |
| 2011-12-12 | Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1858 | 1837 | 47.2% | 26.7% | 26.1% | -1.1 | 39 |
| 2011-12-12 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1837 | 1858 | 26.1% | 26.7% | 47.2% | +1.1 | 37 |
| 2011-12-16 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1623 | 1607 | 46.6% | 26.8% | 26.7% | -0.9 | 19 |
| 2011-12-16 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1607 | 1623 | 26.7% | 26.8% | 46.6% | +0.9 | 14 |
| 2011-12-16 | Paderborn 07 | L 2-3 | 1854 | 1761 | 55.9% | 24.9% | 19.2% | -10.5 | 42 |
| 2011-12-16 | @ Dusseldorf | W 3-2 | 1761 | 1854 | 19.2% | 24.9% | 55.9% | +10.5 | 39 |
| 2011-12-16 | Union Berlin | W 5-0 | 1838 | 1724 | 58.3% | 24.2% | 17.5% | +19.9 | 40 |
| 2011-12-16 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-5 | 1724 | 1838 | 17.5% | 24.2% | 58.3% | -19.9 | 31 |
| 2011-12-17 | 1860 Munich | L 1-3 | 1553 | 1777 | 18.0% | 24.4% | 57.6% | -7.6 | 12 |
| 2011-12-17 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-1 | 1777 | 1553 | 57.6% | 24.4% | 18.0% | +7.6 | 32 |
| 2011-12-17 | VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1608 | 1695 | 32.4% | 27.3% | 40.3% | -14.5 | 14 |
| 2011-12-17 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1695 | 1608 | 40.3% | 27.3% | 32.4% | +14.5 | 24 |
| 2011-12-18 | Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1713 | 1643 | 53.3% | 25.6% | 21.2% | -1.5 | 29 |
| 2011-12-18 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1643 | 1713 | 21.2% | 25.6% | 53.3% | +1.5 | 15 |
| 2011-12-18 | Dynamo Dresden | D 2-2 | 1596 | 1662 | 35.2% | 27.4% | 37.4% | +0.1 | 12 |
| 2011-12-18 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 2-2 | 1662 | 1596 | 37.4% | 27.4% | 35.2% | -0.1 | 22 |
| 2011-12-18 | MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1665 | 1698 | 40.0% | 27.3% | 32.7% | -0.3 | 23 |
| 2011-12-18 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1698 | 1665 | 32.7% | 27.3% | 40.0% | +0.3 | 20 |
| 2011-12-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1799 | 1857 | 36.4% | 27.4% | 36.2% | +15.7 | 39 |
| 2011-12-19 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1857 | 1799 | 36.2% | 27.4% | 36.4% | -15.7 | 39 |
| 2012-02-03 | FSV Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1699 | 1594 | 57.3% | 24.5% | 18.2% | -11.3 | 20 |
| 2012-02-03 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1594 | 1699 | 18.2% | 24.5% | 57.3% | +11.3 | 17 |
| 2012-02-03 | Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1662 | 1858 | 20.3% | 25.3% | 54.4% | +18.8 | 25 |
| 2012-02-03 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-3 | 1858 | 1662 | 54.4% | 25.3% | 20.3% | -18.8 | 40 |
| 2012-02-03 | Union Berlin | W 3-2 | 1772 | 1704 | 53.0% | 25.6% | 21.3% | +4.9 | 42 |
| 2012-02-03 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 2-3 | 1704 | 1772 | 21.3% | 25.6% | 53.0% | -4.9 | 31 |
| 2012-02-04 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1608 | 1843 | 17.2% | 24.0% | 58.8% | +2.0 | 15 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1843 | 1608 | 58.8% | 24.0% | 17.2% | -2.0 | 43 |
| 2012-02-04 | St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1645 | 1815 | 22.7% | 26.0% | 51.3% | +10.3 | 18 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1815 | 1645 | 51.3% | 26.0% | 22.7% | -10.3 | 39 |
| 2012-02-05 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1841 | 1711 | 60.1% | 23.6% | 16.3% | +4.0 | 42 |
| 2012-02-05 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1711 | 1841 | 16.3% | 23.6% | 60.1% | -4.0 | 29 |
| 2012-02-05 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-1 | 1546 | 1622 | 33.8% | 27.3% | 38.9% | +8.3 | 15 |
| 2012-02-05 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1622 | 1546 | 38.9% | 27.3% | 33.8% | -8.3 | 19 |
| 2012-02-05 | Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1710 | 1596 | 58.2% | 24.2% | 17.5% | +4.3 | 27 |
| 2012-02-05 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1596 | 1710 | 17.5% | 24.2% | 58.2% | -4.3 | 12 |
| 2012-02-06 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1785 | 1665 | 58.9% | 24.0% | 17.1% | +8.3 | 35 |
| 2012-02-06 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-2 | 1665 | 1785 | 17.1% | 24.0% | 58.9% | -8.3 | 23 |
| 2012-02-10 | Alemannia Aachen | D 1-1 | 1657 | 1655 | 44.7% | 27.0% | 28.3% | -0.7 | 24 |
| 2012-02-10 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1655 | 1657 | 28.3% | 27.0% | 44.7% | +0.7 | 19 |
| 2012-02-10 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1605 | 1610 | 43.8% | 27.1% | 29.1% | -0.7 | 18 |
| 2012-02-10 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1610 | 1605 | 29.1% | 27.1% | 43.8% | +0.7 | 16 |
| 2012-02-11 | Dynamo Dresden | W 4-0 | 1699 | 1681 | 46.9% | 26.7% | 26.4% | +23.4 | 34 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-4 | 1681 | 1699 | 26.4% | 26.7% | 46.9% | -23.4 | 25 |
| 2012-02-11 | Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1707 | 1554 | 62.5% | 22.7% | 14.8% | -2.6 | 30 |
| 2012-02-11 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1554 | 1707 | 14.8% | 22.7% | 62.5% | +2.6 | 16 |
| 2012-02-12 | MSV Duisburg | W 4-2 | 1592 | 1687 | 31.3% | 27.2% | 41.5% | +13.5 | 15 |
| 2012-02-12 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 2-4 | 1687 | 1592 | 41.5% | 27.2% | 31.3% | -13.5 | 20 |
| 2012-02-12 | Paderborn 07 | W 5-1 | 1839 | 1777 | 52.4% | 25.7% | 21.8% | +16.6 | 43 |
| 2012-02-12 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-5 | 1777 | 1839 | 21.8% | 25.7% | 52.4% | -16.5 | 42 |
| 2012-02-12 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1805 | 1714 | 55.7% | 24.9% | 19.3% | +4.7 | 42 |
| 2012-02-12 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1714 | 1805 | 19.3% | 24.9% | 55.7% | -4.7 | 27 |
| 2012-02-13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1841 | 1845 | 43.9% | 27.0% | 29.1% | -0.7 | 44 |
| 2012-02-13 | @ Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1845 | 1841 | 29.1% | 27.0% | 43.9% | +0.7 | 43 |
| 2012-02-17 | Dynamo Dresden | D 2-2 | 1760 | 1658 | 57.1% | 24.6% | 18.4% | -1.4 | 43 |
| 2012-02-17 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 2-2 | 1658 | 1760 | 18.4% | 24.6% | 57.1% | +1.4 | 26 |
| 2012-02-17 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1556 | 1656 | 30.7% | 27.2% | 42.1% | +17.6 | 19 |
| 2012-02-17 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1656 | 1556 | 42.1% | 27.2% | 30.7% | -17.6 | 24 |
| 2012-02-17 | St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1674 | 1809 | 26.4% | 26.7% | 46.9% | -6.5 | 20 |
| 2012-02-17 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1809 | 1674 | 46.9% | 26.7% | 26.4% | +6.5 | 45 |
| 2012-02-18 | FSV Frankfurt | W 6-1 | 1846 | 1605 | 70.7% | 19.1% | 10.2% | +9.2 | 46 |
| 2012-02-18 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-6 | 1605 | 1846 | 10.2% | 19.1% | 70.7% | -9.2 | 18 |
| 2012-02-18 | Union Berlin | W 4-2 | 1709 | 1723 | 42.6% | 27.2% | 30.2% | +10.6 | 30 |
| 2012-02-18 | @ VfL Bochum | L 2-4 | 1723 | 1709 | 30.2% | 27.2% | 42.6% | -10.6 | 34 |
| 2012-02-19 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1793 | 1840 | 37.9% | 27.4% | 34.7% | +7.6 | 38 |
| 2012-02-19 | @ 1860 Munich | L 1-2 | 1840 | 1793 | 34.7% | 27.4% | 37.9% | -7.6 | 44 |
| 2012-02-19 | Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1611 | 1856 | 16.5% | 23.7% | 59.9% | +2.4 | 17 |
| 2012-02-19 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 0-0 | 1856 | 1611 | 59.9% | 23.7% | 16.5% | -2.4 | 44 |
| 2012-02-19 | Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1656 | 1606 | 50.9% | 26.1% | 23.0% | -1.5 | 20 |
| 2012-02-19 | @ Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1606 | 1656 | 23.0% | 26.1% | 50.9% | +1.5 | 16 |
| 2012-02-20 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1614 | 1705 | 31.8% | 27.3% | 40.9% | +0.4 | 20 |
| 2012-02-20 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1705 | 1614 | 40.9% | 27.3% | 31.8% | -0.4 | 31 |
| 2012-02-24 | 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1712 | 1801 | 32.1% | 27.3% | 40.6% | -7.6 | 34 |
| 2012-02-24 | @ Union Berlin | W 1-0 | 1801 | 1712 | 40.6% | 27.3% | 32.1% | +7.6 | 41 |
| 2012-02-24 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 1-2 | 1607 | 1613 | 43.6% | 27.1% | 29.3% | -9.0 | 16 |
| 2012-02-24 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1613 | 1607 | 29.3% | 27.1% | 43.6% | +9.1 | 20 |
| 2012-02-24 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1659 | 1667 | 43.4% | 27.1% | 29.5% | +13.5 | 29 |
| 2012-02-24 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-2 | 1667 | 1659 | 29.5% | 27.1% | 43.4% | -13.5 | 20 |
| 2012-02-25 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-0 | 1638 | 1614 | 47.7% | 26.6% | 25.7% | +12.0 | 27 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 1614 | 1638 | 25.7% | 26.6% | 47.7% | -12.1 | 20 |
| 2012-02-25 | VfL Bochum | W 6-2 | 1854 | 1720 | 60.4% | 23.5% | 16.1% | +10.5 | 47 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ Greuther Furth | L 2-6 | 1720 | 1854 | 16.1% | 23.5% | 60.4% | -10.5 | 30 |
| 2012-02-26 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1816 | 1704 | 58.1% | 24.3% | 17.7% | -2.2 | 46 |
| 2012-02-26 | @ St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1704 | 1816 | 17.7% | 24.3% | 58.1% | +2.2 | 32 |
| 2012-02-26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-2 | 1759 | 1855 | 31.1% | 27.2% | 41.7% | +13.5 | 46 |
| 2012-02-26 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 2-4 | 1855 | 1759 | 41.7% | 27.2% | 31.1% | -13.5 | 46 |
| 2012-02-26 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1595 | 1574 | 47.3% | 26.7% | 26.1% | +6.1 | 21 |
| 2012-02-26 | @ FSV Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1574 | 1595 | 26.1% | 26.7% | 47.3% | -6.1 | 19 |
| 2012-02-27 | Alemannia Aachen | D 0-0 | 1833 | 1654 | 65.0% | 21.7% | 13.3% | -2.9 | 45 |
| 2012-02-27 | @ Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1654 | 1833 | 13.3% | 21.7% | 65.0% | +2.9 | 21 |
| 2012-03-02 | Dynamo Dresden | L 0-2 | 1709 | 1673 | 49.2% | 26.4% | 24.4% | -20.0 | 30 |
| 2012-03-02 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1673 | 1709 | 24.4% | 26.4% | 49.2% | +20.0 | 32 |
| 2012-03-02 | Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1654 | 1864 | 19.1% | 24.9% | 56.0% | -9.3 | 20 |
| 2012-03-02 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1864 | 1654 | 56.0% | 24.9% | 19.1% | +9.3 | 50 |
| 2012-03-02 | Union Berlin | D 3-3 | 1622 | 1705 | 33.0% | 27.3% | 39.7% | +0.2 | 21 |
| 2012-03-02 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 3-3 | 1705 | 1622 | 39.7% | 27.3% | 33.0% | -0.2 | 35 |
| 2012-03-03 | Dusseldorf | L 0-5 | 1568 | 1830 | 15.3% | 23.1% | 61.6% | -17.4 | 19 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 5-0 | 1830 | 1568 | 61.6% | 23.1% | 15.3% | +17.4 | 48 |
| 2012-03-03 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-3 | 1657 | 1772 | 28.7% | 27.0% | 44.3% | -19.1 | 21 |
| 2012-03-03 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 3-0 | 1772 | 1657 | 44.3% | 27.0% | 28.7% | +19.1 | 49 |
| 2012-03-04 | Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1842 | 1650 | 66.2% | 21.2% | 12.6% | +3.2 | 49 |
| 2012-03-04 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1650 | 1842 | 12.6% | 21.2% | 66.2% | -3.2 | 27 |
| 2012-03-04 | FSV Frankfurt | W 4-3 | 1602 | 1601 | 44.5% | 27.0% | 28.5% | +6.1 | 23 |
| 2012-03-04 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 3-4 | 1601 | 1602 | 28.5% | 27.0% | 44.5% | -6.1 | 21 |
| 2012-03-04 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-2 | 1706 | 1598 | 57.7% | 24.4% | 17.9% | +4.1 | 35 |
| 2012-03-04 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 2-3 | 1598 | 1706 | 17.9% | 24.4% | 57.7% | -4.1 | 16 |
| 2012-03-05 | St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1808 | 1814 | 43.7% | 27.1% | 29.2% | -0.7 | 42 |
| 2012-03-05 | @ 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1814 | 1808 | 29.2% | 27.1% | 43.7% | +0.6 | 47 |
| 2012-03-09 | Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1873 | 1638 | 70.2% | 19.3% | 10.5% | +2.6 | 53 |
| 2012-03-09 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1638 | 1873 | 10.5% | 19.3% | 70.2% | -2.6 | 21 |
| 2012-03-09 | MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1704 | 1644 | 52.1% | 25.8% | 22.1% | -1.4 | 36 |
| 2012-03-09 | @ Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1644 | 1704 | 22.1% | 25.8% | 52.1% | +1.4 | 21 |
| 2012-03-09 | VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1792 | 1689 | 57.0% | 24.6% | 18.4% | -2.1 | 50 |
| 2012-03-09 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1689 | 1792 | 18.4% | 24.6% | 57.0% | +2.1 | 31 |
| 2012-03-10 | 1860 Munich | W 3-1 | 1595 | 1808 | 18.9% | 24.8% | 56.3% | +19.3 | 24 |
| 2012-03-10 | @ FSV Frankfurt | L 1-3 | 1808 | 1595 | 56.3% | 24.8% | 18.9% | -19.3 | 42 |
| 2012-03-10 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 3-1 | 1847 | 1608 | 70.5% | 19.2% | 10.3% | +4.2 | 51 |
| 2012-03-10 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-3 | 1608 | 1847 | 10.3% | 19.2% | 70.5% | -4.2 | 23 |
| 2012-03-11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1647 | 1710 | 35.6% | 27.4% | 37.0% | +0.1 | 28 |
| 2012-03-11 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1710 | 1647 | 37.0% | 27.4% | 35.6% | -0.1 | 36 |
| 2012-03-11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-5 | 1594 | 1845 | 16.1% | 23.5% | 60.5% | -12.3 | 16 |
| 2012-03-11 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 5-1 | 1845 | 1594 | 60.5% | 23.5% | 16.1% | +12.3 | 52 |
| 2012-03-11 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 0-0 | 1693 | 1622 | 53.3% | 25.5% | 21.1% | -1.7 | 33 |
| 2012-03-11 | @ Dynamo Dresden | D 0-0 | 1622 | 1693 | 21.1% | 25.5% | 53.3% | +1.7 | 22 |
| 2012-03-12 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1814 | 1551 | 72.6% | 18.1% | 9.3% | +2.3 | 50 |
| 2012-03-12 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1551 | 1814 | 9.3% | 18.1% | 72.6% | -2.3 | 19 |
| 2012-03-14 | 1860 Munich | D 0-0 | 1604 | 1788 | 21.4% | 25.6% | 53.0% | +1.7 | 24 |
| 2012-03-14 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 0-0 | 1788 | 1604 | 53.0% | 25.6% | 21.4% | -1.7 | 43 |
| 2012-03-16 | Dynamo Dresden | W 3-0 | 1857 | 1691 | 63.8% | 22.2% | 14.0% | +9.8 | 55 |
| 2012-03-16 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1691 | 1857 | 14.0% | 22.2% | 63.8% | -9.8 | 33 |
| 2012-03-16 | FSV Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1710 | 1615 | 56.3% | 24.8% | 18.9% | -2.0 | 37 |
| 2012-03-16 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1615 | 1710 | 18.9% | 24.8% | 56.3% | +2.0 | 25 |
| 2012-03-16 | Union Berlin | L 1-3 | 1635 | 1703 | 35.0% | 27.4% | 37.6% | -13.3 | 21 |
| 2012-03-16 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 3-1 | 1703 | 1635 | 37.6% | 27.4% | 35.0% | +13.3 | 39 |
| 2012-03-17 | Greuther Furth | L 1-4 | 1787 | 1876 | 32.1% | 27.3% | 40.7% | -17.6 | 43 |
| 2012-03-17 | @ 1860 Munich | W 4-1 | 1876 | 1787 | 40.7% | 27.3% | 32.1% | +17.6 | 56 |
| 2012-03-17 | Paderborn 07 | W 4-0 | 1624 | 1790 | 23.2% | 26.1% | 50.7% | +38.8 | 25 |
| 2012-03-17 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-4 | 1790 | 1624 | 50.7% | 26.1% | 23.2% | -38.8 | 50 |
| 2012-03-18 | Hansa Rostock | D 2-2 | 1548 | 1581 | 39.9% | 27.3% | 32.8% | -0.2 | 20 |
| 2012-03-18 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1581 | 1548 | 32.8% | 27.3% | 39.9% | +0.2 | 17 |
| 2012-03-18 | St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1606 | 1817 | 19.1% | 24.8% | 56.1% | +11.1 | 27 |
| 2012-03-18 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-2 | 1817 | 1606 | 56.1% | 24.8% | 19.1% | -11.1 | 50 |
| 2012-03-18 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1646 | 1691 | 38.1% | 27.4% | 34.5% | +7.6 | 24 |
| 2012-03-18 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1691 | 1646 | 34.5% | 27.4% | 38.1% | -7.6 | 31 |
| 2012-03-19 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1647 | 1852 | 19.6% | 25.0% | 55.3% | +1.7 | 29 |
| 2012-03-19 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1852 | 1647 | 55.3% | 25.0% | 19.6% | -1.7 | 52 |
| 2012-03-23 | 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1681 | 1769 | 32.2% | 27.3% | 40.5% | -7.6 | 33 |
| 2012-03-23 | @ Dynamo Dresden | W 1-0 | 1769 | 1681 | 40.5% | 27.3% | 32.2% | +7.6 | 46 |
| 2012-03-23 | Alemannia Aachen | W 2-1 | 1617 | 1622 | 43.7% | 27.1% | 29.2% | +6.7 | 28 |
| 2012-03-23 | @ FSV Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1622 | 1617 | 29.2% | 27.1% | 43.7% | -6.7 | 21 |
| 2012-03-23 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-1 | 1684 | 1663 | 47.2% | 26.7% | 26.1% | -10.2 | 31 |
| 2012-03-23 | @ VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1663 | 1684 | 26.1% | 26.7% | 47.2% | +10.2 | 28 |
| 2012-03-24 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1850 | 1708 | 61.2% | 23.2% | 15.6% | -2.2 | 53 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1708 | 1850 | 15.6% | 23.2% | 61.2% | +2.2 | 38 |
| 2012-03-24 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1893 | 1548 | 78.8% | 14.6% | 6.5% | +4.1 | 59 |
| 2012-03-24 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-3 | 1548 | 1893 | 6.5% | 14.6% | 78.8% | -4.1 | 20 |
| 2012-03-25 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1805 | 1649 | 62.8% | 22.6% | 14.6% | -2.7 | 51 |
| 2012-03-25 | @ St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1649 | 1805 | 14.6% | 22.6% | 62.8% | +2.7 | 30 |
| 2012-03-25 | Erzgebirge Aue | L 0-1 | 1582 | 1617 | 39.6% | 27.3% | 33.0% | -8.9 | 17 |
| 2012-03-25 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1617 | 1582 | 33.0% | 27.3% | 39.6% | +8.9 | 30 |
| 2012-03-25 | MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1751 | 1653 | 56.5% | 24.7% | 18.8% | -11.2 | 50 |
| 2012-03-25 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1653 | 1751 | 18.8% | 24.7% | 56.5% | +11.2 | 27 |
| 2012-03-26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-4 | 1716 | 1867 | 24.7% | 26.4% | 48.9% | -22.1 | 39 |
| 2012-03-26 | @ Union Berlin | W 4-0 | 1867 | 1716 | 48.9% | 26.4% | 24.7% | +22.1 | 58 |
| 2012-03-30 | Dynamo Dresden | L 0-1 | 1615 | 1673 | 36.4% | 27.4% | 36.2% | -8.4 | 21 |
| 2012-03-30 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 1-0 | 1673 | 1615 | 36.2% | 27.4% | 36.4% | +8.4 | 36 |
| 2012-03-30 | Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1711 | 1740 | 40.5% | 27.3% | 32.2% | -0.4 | 39 |
| 2012-03-30 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1740 | 1711 | 32.2% | 27.3% | 40.5% | +0.4 | 51 |
| 2012-03-30 | VfL Bochum | W 3-0 | 1889 | 1674 | 68.4% | 20.2% | 11.4% | +7.8 | 61 |
| 2012-03-30 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1674 | 1889 | 11.4% | 20.2% | 68.4% | -7.8 | 31 |
| 2012-03-31 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1626 | 1898 | 14.7% | 22.7% | 62.6% | +2.3 | 31 |
| 2012-03-31 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1898 | 1626 | 62.6% | 22.7% | 14.7% | -2.4 | 60 |
| 2012-03-31 | Hansa Rostock | L 0-1 | 1777 | 1573 | 67.4% | 20.7% | 12.0% | -13.7 | 46 |
| 2012-03-31 | @ 1860 Munich | W 1-0 | 1573 | 1777 | 12.0% | 20.7% | 67.4% | +13.7 | 20 |
| 2012-04-01 | FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1652 | 1623 | 48.2% | 26.5% | 25.3% | -1.1 | 31 |
| 2012-04-01 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1623 | 1652 | 25.3% | 26.5% | 48.2% | +1.1 | 29 |
| 2012-04-01 | MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1673 | 1665 | 45.6% | 26.9% | 27.6% | -0.8 | 29 |
| 2012-04-01 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1665 | 1673 | 27.6% | 26.9% | 45.6% | +0.8 | 28 |
| 2012-04-01 | Union Berlin | W 2-0 | 1544 | 1694 | 24.8% | 26.4% | 48.8% | +19.8 | 23 |
| 2012-04-01 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1694 | 1544 | 48.8% | 26.4% | 24.8% | -19.8 | 39 |
| 2012-04-02 | St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1848 | 1803 | 50.2% | 26.2% | 23.6% | -1.4 | 54 |
| 2012-04-02 | @ Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1803 | 1848 | 23.6% | 26.2% | 50.2% | +1.4 | 52 |
| 2012-04-05 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1586 | 1846 | 15.5% | 23.1% | 61.4% | +12.0 | 23 |
| 2012-04-05 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 1-2 | 1846 | 1586 | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | -12.0 | 54 |
| 2012-04-05 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1895 | 1651 | 71.0% | 18.9% | 10.1% | +6.8 | 63 |
| 2012-04-05 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-3 | 1651 | 1895 | 10.1% | 18.9% | 71.0% | -6.8 | 31 |
| 2012-04-05 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 1-0 | 1674 | 1628 | 50.4% | 26.1% | 23.4% | +5.9 | 42 |
| 2012-04-05 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 1628 | 1674 | 23.4% | 26.1% | 50.4% | -5.9 | 31 |
| 2012-04-07 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 2-2 | 1682 | 1710 | 40.6% | 27.3% | 32.2% | -0.3 | 37 |
| 2012-04-07 | @ Dynamo Dresden | D 2-2 | 1710 | 1682 | 32.2% | 27.3% | 40.6% | +0.3 | 40 |
| 2012-04-07 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1665 | 1897 | 17.4% | 24.2% | 58.4% | +23.0 | 31 |
| 2012-04-07 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-2 | 1897 | 1665 | 58.4% | 24.2% | 17.4% | -23.0 | 61 |
| 2012-04-07 | St. Pauli | D 3-3 | 1624 | 1804 | 21.8% | 25.7% | 52.5% | +0.9 | 30 |
| 2012-04-07 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 3-3 | 1804 | 1624 | 52.5% | 25.7% | 21.8% | -0.9 | 53 |
| 2012-04-08 | 1860 Munich | D 2-2 | 1740 | 1763 | 41.3% | 27.2% | 31.5% | -0.3 | 52 |
| 2012-04-08 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 2-2 | 1763 | 1740 | 31.5% | 27.2% | 41.3% | +0.3 | 47 |
| 2012-04-08 | Alemannia Aachen | D 3-3 | 1672 | 1607 | 52.8% | 25.7% | 21.6% | -0.9 | 30 |
| 2012-04-08 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 3-3 | 1607 | 1672 | 21.6% | 25.7% | 52.8% | +0.9 | 22 |
| 2012-04-08 | Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1666 | 1564 | 57.0% | 24.6% | 18.4% | -2.1 | 32 |
| 2012-04-08 | @ VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1564 | 1666 | 18.4% | 24.6% | 57.0% | +2.1 | 24 |
| 2012-04-10 | FSV Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1834 | 1625 | 67.8% | 20.5% | 11.7% | +3.0 | 57 |
| 2012-04-10 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1625 | 1834 | 11.7% | 20.5% | 67.8% | -3.0 | 30 |
| 2012-04-10 | Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1710 | 1902 | 20.7% | 25.4% | 53.9% | +1.8 | 41 |
| 2012-04-10 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1902 | 1710 | 53.9% | 25.4% | 20.7% | -1.8 | 64 |
| 2012-04-10 | Hansa Rostock | L 0-1 | 1644 | 1598 | 50.3% | 26.2% | 23.5% | -10.8 | 31 |
| 2012-04-10 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1598 | 1644 | 23.5% | 26.2% | 50.3% | +10.8 | 26 |
| 2012-04-10 | Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1803 | 1680 | 59.3% | 23.9% | 16.8% | +4.1 | 56 |
| 2012-04-10 | @ St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1680 | 1803 | 16.8% | 23.9% | 59.3% | -4.1 | 42 |
| 2012-04-11 | Dynamo Dresden | W 2-0 | 1566 | 1681 | 28.7% | 27.0% | 44.3% | +18.3 | 27 |
| 2012-04-11 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1681 | 1566 | 44.3% | 27.0% | 28.7% | -18.3 | 37 |
| 2012-04-11 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1874 | 1671 | 67.2% | 20.7% | 12.0% | -2.8 | 62 |
| 2012-04-11 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1671 | 1874 | 12.0% | 20.7% | 67.2% | +2.7 | 31 |
| 2012-04-11 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1763 | 1688 | 53.9% | 25.4% | 20.7% | +5.0 | 50 |
| 2012-04-11 | @ 1860 Munich | L 1-2 | 1688 | 1763 | 20.7% | 25.4% | 53.9% | -5.0 | 31 |
| 2012-04-11 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1622 | 1740 | 28.5% | 27.0% | 44.5% | -13.1 | 31 |
| 2012-04-11 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-0 | 1740 | 1622 | 44.5% | 27.0% | 28.5% | +13.1 | 55 |
| 2012-04-11 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1608 | 1664 | 36.7% | 27.4% | 35.9% | +15.6 | 25 |
| 2012-04-11 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-2 | 1664 | 1608 | 35.9% | 27.4% | 36.7% | -15.6 | 32 |
| 2012-04-13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1676 | 1712 | 39.5% | 27.3% | 33.2% | +7.8 | 45 |
| 2012-04-13 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 1712 | 1676 | 33.2% | 27.3% | 39.5% | -7.8 | 41 |
| 2012-04-13 | FSV Frankfurt | L 0-5 | 1609 | 1622 | 42.7% | 27.1% | 30.2% | -41.6 | 26 |
| 2012-04-13 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 5-0 | 1622 | 1609 | 30.2% | 27.1% | 42.7% | +41.6 | 33 |
| 2012-04-13 | St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1900 | 1807 | 56.0% | 24.9% | 19.2% | +4.6 | 67 |
| 2012-04-13 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1807 | 1900 | 19.2% | 24.9% | 56.0% | -4.6 | 56 |
| 2012-04-14 | Alemannia Aachen | W 2-0 | 1683 | 1624 | 52.1% | 25.8% | 22.1% | +10.6 | 34 |
| 2012-04-14 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-2 | 1624 | 1683 | 22.1% | 25.8% | 52.1% | -10.6 | 25 |
| 2012-04-14 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 4-0 | 1871 | 1609 | 72.5% | 18.2% | 9.3% | +8.2 | 65 |
| 2012-04-14 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-4 | 1609 | 1871 | 9.3% | 18.2% | 72.5% | -8.1 | 31 |
| 2012-04-15 | 1860 Munich | D 2-2 | 1648 | 1768 | 28.1% | 26.9% | 44.9% | +0.6 | 33 |
| 2012-04-15 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1768 | 1648 | 44.9% | 26.9% | 28.1% | -0.6 | 51 |
| 2012-04-15 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-1 | 1753 | 1633 | 58.9% | 24.0% | 17.1% | +7.2 | 58 |
| 2012-04-15 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 1-3 | 1633 | 1753 | 17.1% | 24.0% | 58.9% | -7.2 | 31 |
| 2012-04-15 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1674 | 1584 | 55.6% | 25.0% | 19.4% | +4.7 | 34 |
| 2012-04-15 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 1-2 | 1584 | 1674 | 19.4% | 25.0% | 55.6% | -4.7 | 27 |
| 2012-04-16 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1663 | 1837 | 22.4% | 25.9% | 51.8% | +10.4 | 40 |
| 2012-04-16 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 1-2 | 1837 | 1663 | 51.8% | 25.9% | 22.4% | -10.4 | 57 |
| 2012-04-20 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1664 | 1905 | 16.8% | 23.8% | 59.4% | +2.1 | 34 |
| 2012-04-20 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1905 | 1664 | 59.4% | 23.8% | 16.8% | -2.1 | 68 |
| 2012-04-20 | MSV Duisburg | D 0-0 | 1704 | 1694 | 45.9% | 26.8% | 27.3% | -0.9 | 42 |
| 2012-04-20 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1694 | 1704 | 27.3% | 26.8% | 45.9% | +0.9 | 35 |
| 2012-04-20 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1626 | 1649 | 41.4% | 27.2% | 31.4% | -0.4 | 32 |
| 2012-04-20 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1649 | 1626 | 31.4% | 27.2% | 41.4% | +0.4 | 34 |
| 2012-04-21 | Dynamo Dresden | D 1-1 | 1601 | 1674 | 34.3% | 27.4% | 38.3% | +0.2 | 32 |
| 2012-04-21 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | D 1-1 | 1674 | 1601 | 38.3% | 27.4% | 34.3% | -0.2 | 41 |
| 2012-04-21 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 4-1 | 1768 | 1679 | 55.5% | 25.0% | 19.5% | +11.6 | 54 |
| 2012-04-21 | @ 1860 Munich | L 1-4 | 1679 | 1768 | 19.5% | 25.0% | 55.5% | -11.5 | 34 |
| 2012-04-22 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1803 | 1568 | 70.2% | 19.4% | 10.5% | +7.1 | 59 |
| 2012-04-22 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-3 | 1568 | 1803 | 10.5% | 19.4% | 70.2% | -7.1 | 26 |
| 2012-04-22 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-0 | 1579 | 1760 | 21.7% | 25.7% | 52.5% | +21.0 | 30 |
| 2012-04-22 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1760 | 1579 | 52.5% | 25.7% | 21.7% | -21.1 | 58 |
| 2012-04-22 | Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1827 | 1684 | 61.4% | 23.2% | 15.5% | +3.8 | 60 |
| 2012-04-22 | @ Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1684 | 1827 | 15.5% | 23.2% | 61.4% | -3.8 | 45 |
| 2012-04-23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1613 | 1879 | 15.0% | 22.9% | 62.1% | -10.6 | 25 |
| 2012-04-23 | @ Alemannia Aachen | W 3-0 | 1879 | 1613 | 62.1% | 22.9% | 15.0% | +10.6 | 68 |
| 2012-04-29 | 1860 Munich | L 0-2 | 1890 | 1779 | 58.0% | 24.3% | 17.8% | -22.8 | 68 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1779 | 1890 | 17.8% | 24.3% | 58.0% | +22.8 | 57 |
| 2012-04-29 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1903 | 1831 | 53.6% | 25.5% | 20.9% | -1.5 | 69 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1831 | 1903 | 20.9% | 25.5% | 53.6% | +1.5 | 61 |
| 2012-04-29 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1649 | 1704 | 36.9% | 27.4% | 35.7% | +15.6 | 37 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1704 | 1649 | 35.7% | 27.4% | 36.9% | -15.5 | 42 |
| 2012-04-29 | Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1667 | 1625 | 49.9% | 26.2% | 23.9% | +6.0 | 37 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-1 | 1625 | 1667 | 23.9% | 26.2% | 49.9% | -6.0 | 32 |
| 2012-04-29 | Erzgebirge Aue | W 2-1 | 1695 | 1601 | 56.1% | 24.8% | 19.1% | +4.6 | 38 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1601 | 1695 | 19.1% | 24.8% | 56.1% | -4.6 | 32 |
| 2012-04-29 | FSV Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1739 | 1666 | 53.6% | 25.5% | 20.9% | +5.3 | 61 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-1 | 1666 | 1739 | 20.9% | 25.5% | 53.6% | -5.3 | 34 |
| 2012-04-29 | Hansa Rostock | W 5-4 | 1680 | 1560 | 58.9% | 24.0% | 17.1% | +3.8 | 48 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ Union Berlin | L 4-5 | 1560 | 1680 | 17.1% | 24.0% | 58.9% | -3.8 | 26 |
| 2012-04-29 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1602 | 1601 | 44.7% | 27.0% | 28.3% | +6.9 | 28 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ Alemannia Aachen | L 0-1 | 1601 | 1602 | 28.3% | 27.0% | 44.7% | -6.9 | 30 |
| 2012-04-29 | St. Pauli | W 1-0 | 1673 | 1810 | 26.3% | 26.7% | 47.1% | +10.2 | 44 |
| 2012-04-29 | @ Dynamo Dresden | L 0-1 | 1810 | 1673 | 47.1% | 26.7% | 26.3% | -10.2 | 59 |
| 2012-05-06 | Alemannia Aachen | L 1-2 | 1802 | 1609 | 66.3% | 21.1% | 12.5% | -12.7 | 57 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ 1860 Munich | W 2-1 | 1609 | 1802 | 12.5% | 21.1% | 66.3% | +12.7 | 31 |
| 2012-05-06 | Dynamo Dresden | D 1-1 | 1661 | 1684 | 41.3% | 27.2% | 31.4% | -0.4 | 35 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1684 | 1661 | 31.4% | 27.2% | 41.3% | +0.4 | 45 |
| 2012-05-06 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1594 | 1867 | 14.6% | 22.6% | 62.8% | +13.0 | 33 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1867 | 1594 | 62.8% | 22.6% | 14.6% | -12.9 | 68 |
| 2012-05-06 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1557 | 1901 | 10.8% | 19.7% | 69.5% | +2.2 | 27 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 2-2 | 1901 | 1557 | 69.5% | 19.7% | 10.8% | -2.2 | 70 |
| 2012-05-06 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 3-1 | 1688 | 1673 | 46.4% | 26.8% | 26.8% | +10.8 | 45 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-3 | 1673 | 1688 | 26.8% | 26.8% | 46.4% | -10.8 | 37 |
| 2012-05-06 | MSV Duisburg | D 2-2 | 1832 | 1700 | 60.3% | 23.5% | 16.2% | -1.6 | 62 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Dusseldorf | D 2-2 | 1700 | 1832 | 16.2% | 23.5% | 60.3% | +1.6 | 39 |
| 2012-05-06 | Paderborn 07 | W 5-0 | 1800 | 1744 | 51.6% | 25.9% | 22.5% | +25.1 | 62 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-5 | 1744 | 1800 | 22.5% | 25.9% | 51.6% | -25.2 | 61 |
| 2012-05-06 | Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1619 | 1684 | 35.4% | 27.4% | 37.2% | +8.0 | 35 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1684 | 1619 | 37.2% | 27.4% | 35.4% | -8.0 | 48 |
| 2012-05-06 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1596 | 1665 | 34.9% | 27.4% | 37.7% | +8.1 | 35 |
| 2012-05-06 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | L 1-2 | 1665 | 1596 | 37.7% | 27.4% | 34.9% | -8.1 | 37 |
Playoff Game Log
Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-05-10 | Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1781 | 1830 | 37.5% | 27.4% | 35.1% | -8.1 | 0-1 |
| 2012-05-10 | @ Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1830 | 1781 | 35.1% | 27.4% | 37.5% | +8.1 | 1-0 |
| 2012-05-11 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1543 | 1607 | 35.6% | 27.4% | 37.0% | +0.1 | 0-0-1 |
| 2012-05-11 | @ Jahn Regensburg | D 1-1 | 1607 | 1543 | 37.0% | 27.4% | 35.6% | -0.1 | 0-0-1 |
| 2012-05-14 | Jahn Regensburg | D 2-2 | 1606 | 1543 | 52.5% | 25.7% | 21.8% | -1.1 | 0-0-2 |
| 2012-05-14 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1543 | 1606 | 21.8% | 25.7% | 52.5% | +1.1 | 0-0-2 |
| 2012-05-15 | Hertha BSC | D 2-2 | 1839 | 1772 | 52.8% | 25.7% | 21.5% | -1.1 | 1-0-1 |
| 2012-05-15 | @ Dusseldorf | D 2-2 | 1772 | 1839 | 21.5% | 25.7% | 52.8% | +1.1 | 0-1-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2012-03-31 | 11.96% | Hansa Rostock | 1573 | 1 | @ 1860 Munich | 1777 | 0 |
| 2 | 2012-05-06 | 12.52% | Alemannia Aachen | 1609 | 2 | @ 1860 Munich | 1802 | 1 |
| 3 | 2011-10-02 | 14.37% | Dynamo Dresden | 1619 | 4 | @ 1860 Munich | 1780 | 2 |
| 4 | 2012-05-06 | 14.59% | @ Karlsruher SC | 1594 | 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1867 | 0 |
| 5 | 2012-04-05 | 15.47% | @ Hansa Rostock | 1586 | 2 | Dusseldorf | 1846 | 1 |
| 6 | 2011-10-31 | 16.17% | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1712 | 3 | @ Greuther Furth | 1844 | 1 |
| 7 | 2011-09-23 | 16.63% | Erzgebirge Aue | 1659 | 3 | @ St. Pauli | 1785 | 2 |
| 8 | 2012-04-07 | 17.45% | @ MSV Duisburg | 1665 | 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1897 | 0 |
| 9 | 2012-04-29 | 17.75% | 1860 Munich | 1779 | 2 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1890 | 0 |
| 10 | 2012-02-03 | 18.22% | FSV Frankfurt | 1594 | 2 | @ MSV Duisburg | 1699 | 1 |
| 11 | 2011-12-11 | 18.66% | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1595 | 1 | St. Pauli | 1811 | 0 |
| 12 | 2012-03-25 | 18.80% | MSV Duisburg | 1653 | 2 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1751 | 1 |
| 13 | 2011-10-22 | 18.82% | Dynamo Dresden | 1637 | 2 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 1734 | 0 |
| 14 | 2012-03-10 | 18.95% | @ FSV Frankfurt | 1595 | 3 | 1860 Munich | 1808 | 1 |
| 15 | 2012-03-18 | 19.06% | @ Erzgebirge Aue | 1606 | 2 | St. Pauli | 1817 | 1 |
| 16 | 2011-11-05 | 19.18% | VfL Bochum | 1672 | 3 | @ 1860 Munich | 1764 | 1 |
| 17 | 2011-12-16 | 19.22% | Paderborn 07 | 1761 | 3 | @ Dusseldorf | 1854 | 2 |
| 18 | 2012-02-03 | 20.35% | @ Dynamo Dresden | 1662 | 3 | Greuther Furth | 1858 | 1 |
| 19 | 2012-04-22 | 21.74% | @ Karlsruher SC | 1579 | 2 | Paderborn 07 | 1760 | 0 |
| 20 | 2011-11-04 | 21.88% | Union Berlin | 1670 | 2 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 1732 | 1 |
| 21 | 2012-04-16 | 22.35% | @ Dynamo Dresden | 1663 | 2 | Dusseldorf | 1837 | 1 |
| 22 | 2012-02-04 | 22.70% | @ Alemannia Aachen | 1645 | 2 | St. Pauli | 1815 | 1 |
| 23 | 2012-03-17 | 23.19% | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1624 | 4 | Paderborn 07 | 1790 | 0 |
| 24 | 2011-08-07 | 23.41% | Karlsruher SC | 1659 | 2 | @ Erzgebirge Aue | 1705 | 0 |
| 25 | 2012-04-10 | 23.50% | Hansa Rostock | 1598 | 1 | @ Energie Cottbus | 1644 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2011-08-06 | 44.48 | 1860 Munich | 5 | 1729 | 26.78% | @ Energie Cottbus | 0 | 1744 | 46.46% | 26.76% |
| 2 | 2012-04-13 | 41.58 | FSV Frankfurt | 5 | 1622 | 30.18% | @ Hansa Rostock | 0 | 1609 | 42.68% | 27.14% |
| 3 | 2012-03-17 | 38.78 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | 4 | 1624 | 23.19% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1790 | 50.72% | 26.09% |
| 4 | 2011-09-18 | 37.59 | Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1660 | 24.75% | @ VfL Bochum | 0 | 1694 | 48.84% | 26.42% |
| 5 | 2011-08-27 | 37.08 | FSV Frankfurt | 4 | 1626 | 25.42% | @ Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1654 | 48.04% | 26.54% |
| 6 | 2011-12-04 | 36.57 | @ VfL Bochum | 6 | 1657 | 44.31% | Erzgebirge Aue | 0 | 1658 | 28.69% | 27.00% |
| 7 | 2011-07-23 | 30.51 | Greuther Furth | 4 | 1738 | 35.24% | @ Union Berlin | 0 | 1687 | 37.39% | 27.37% |
| 8 | 2011-08-12 | 28.93 | @ Dynamo Dresden | 4 | 1629 | 37.87% | Union Berlin | 0 | 1677 | 34.77% | 27.37% |
| 9 | 2012-05-06 | 25.15 | @ St. Pauli | 5 | 1800 | 51.58% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1744 | 22.50% | 25.92% |
| 10 | 2011-08-07 | 24.70 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1765 | 32.42% | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 1735 | 40.29% | 27.29% |
| 11 | 2011-10-30 | 23.80 | 1860 Munich | 3 | 1740 | 34.28% | @ MSV Duisburg | 0 | 1696 | 38.36% | 27.36% |
| 12 | 2012-02-11 | 23.36 | @ Union Berlin | 4 | 1699 | 46.89% | Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 1681 | 26.40% | 26.70% |
| 13 | 2011-11-27 | 23.32 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 4 | 1700 | 46.98% | VfL Bochum | 0 | 1681 | 26.33% | 26.69% |
| 14 | 2011-08-21 | 23.03 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1789 | 47.42% | @ FSV Frankfurt | 0 | 1649 | 25.95% | 26.63% |
| 15 | 2012-04-07 | 22.99 | @ MSV Duisburg | 2 | 1665 | 17.45% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1897 | 58.40% | 24.16% |
| 16 | 2012-04-29 | 22.85 | 1860 Munich | 2 | 1779 | 17.75% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 1890 | 57.96% | 24.29% |
| 17 | 2011-10-22 | 22.35 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1637 | 18.82% | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 1734 | 56.44% | 24.74% |
| 18 | 2011-11-18 | 22.25 | @ MSV Duisburg | 3 | 1673 | 37.64% | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 1722 | 34.99% | 27.37% |
| 19 | 2012-03-26 | 22.10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1867 | 48.90% | @ Union Berlin | 0 | 1716 | 24.69% | 26.41% |
| 20 | 2012-04-22 | 21.05 | @ Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1579 | 21.74% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1760 | 52.55% | 25.71% |
| 21 | 2011-10-31 | 20.45 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 3 | 1712 | 16.17% | @ Greuther Furth | 1 | 1844 | 60.30% | 23.53% |
| 22 | 2011-08-07 | 20.35 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1659 | 23.41% | @ Erzgebirge Aue | 0 | 1705 | 50.45% | 26.14% |
| 23 | 2011-08-05 | 20.33 | @ Union Berlin | 3 | 1657 | 41.77% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1676 | 31.03% | 27.21% |
| 24 | 2012-03-02 | 19.95 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1673 | 24.40% | @ VfL Bochum | 0 | 1709 | 49.25% | 26.35% |
| 25 | 2011-12-16 | 19.91 | @ Greuther Furth | 5 | 1838 | 58.32% | Union Berlin | 0 | 1724 | 17.50% | 24.18% |