2015-16 2. Bundesliga Season
306 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams
Promoted
SC Freiburg
72 pts
RB Leipzig · 67 pts
Relegated
Paderborn 07
28 pts
FSV Frankfurt · 32 pts
MSV Duisburg · via playoff
Biggest Overachiever
RB Leipzig
13.60 points above expected
67 points · 53.40 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Paderborn 07
11.83 points below expected
28 points · 39.83 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg Promoted | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 75 | 39 | +36 | 63.77 | +8.23 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig Promoted | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 54 | 32 | +22 | 53.40 | +13.60 |
| 3 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 68 | 41 | +27 | 55.75 | +9.25 |
| 4 | St. Pauli | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 45 | 39 | +6 | 47.11 | +5.89 |
| 5 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 56 | 40 | +16 | 51.12 | -0.12 |
| 6 | Union Berlin | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 56 | 50 | +6 | 47.85 | +1.15 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 48.84 | -1.84 |
| 8 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 44 | 38 | +6 | 51.50 | -5.50 |
| 9 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 43.75 | +2.25 |
| 10 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 49 | 47 | +2 | 51.49 | -6.49 |
| 11 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 48.39 | -3.39 |
| 12 | SV Sandhausen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 44.64 | -1.64 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 42.22 | -0.22 |
| 14 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 40.99 | -5.99 |
| 15 | 1860 Munich | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39.55 | -5.55 |
| 16 | MSV Duisburg Relegated | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 32.84 | -0.84 |
| 17 | FSV Frankfurt Relegated | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 39.19 | -7.19 |
| 18 | Paderborn 07 Relegated | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 39.83 | -11.83 |
* Point deductions: SV Sandhause (-3 pts)
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Promotion Playoff
The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.
Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 1896 | 72 | 63.77 | +8.23 | 88.1% | 32 | 52 | 59 | 64 | 69 | 76 | 89 |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 1848 | 65 | 55.75 | +9.25 | 90.5% | 26 | 43 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 68 | 83 |
| RB Leipzig | 1810 | 67 | 53.40 | +13.60 | 96.6% | 25 | 41 | 48 | 53 | 59 | 66 | 82 |
| VfL Bochum | 1774 | 51 | 51.12 | -0.12 | 51.7% | 21 | 38 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 64 | 83 |
| Union Berlin | 1763 | 49 | 47.85 | +1.15 | 59.2% | 18 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 60 | 82 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1754 | 47 | 48.84 | -1.84 | 43.2% | 20 | 36 | 44 | 49 | 54 | 61 | 75 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1750 | 45 | 51.49 | -6.49 | 21.4% | 23 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 57 | 64 | 78 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 1735 | 46 | 51.50 | -5.50 | 26.0% | 21 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 57 | 64 | 84 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 1735 | 45 | 48.39 | -3.39 | 35.0% | 22 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 61 | 76 |
| St. Pauli | 1734 | 53 | 47.11 | +5.89 | 80.0% | 18 | 34 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 81 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1709 | 42 | 42.22 | -0.22 | 51.5% | 15 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 55 | 68 |
| Greuther Furth | 1696 | 46 | 43.75 | +2.25 | 64.5% | 17 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 77 |
| 1860 Munich | 1660 | 34 | 39.55 | -5.55 | 25.1% | 15 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 52 | 67 |
| Dusseldorf | 1658 | 35 | 40.99 | -5.99 | 23.2% | 13 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 54 | 69 |
| SV Sandhausen | 1654 | 43 | 44.64 | -1.64 | 29.5% | 15 | 32 | 39 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 69 |
| Paderborn 07 | 1626 | 28 | 39.83 | -11.83 | 5.9% | 14 | 28 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 71 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1610 | 32 | 32.84 | -0.84 | 48.9% | 11 | 22 | 28 | 33 | 38 | 45 | 67 |
| FSV Frankfurt | 1598 | 32 | 39.19 | -7.19 | 18.6% | 15 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 75 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FH | 1FK | 1FN | 1M | AB | DUS | EB | FF | GF | KS | MD | P0 | RL | SF | SS | SP | UB | VB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | — |
1-1-0
2.36
|
0-0-2
2.56
|
2-0-0
3.10
|
1-1-0
3.10
|
2-0-0
3.04
|
0-1-1
2.74
|
1-1-0
3.28
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
0-2-0
2.87
|
2-0-0
3.81
|
0-2-0
3.31
|
0-1-1
2.49
|
0-0-2
1.81
|
0-2-0
2.61
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
0-0-2
2.87
|
0-1-1
2.66
|
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern |
0-1-1
3.16
|
— |
0-0-2
2.59
|
0-1-1
3.57
|
1-0-1
3.19
|
1-0-1
3.29
|
0-2-0
2.87
|
1-1-0
3.57
|
2-0-0
3.15
|
0-1-1
2.90
|
2-0-0
3.62
|
2-0-0
3.43
|
1-1-0
2.30
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
0-0-2
3.08
|
0-2-0
3.09
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
| 1. FC Nurnberg |
2-0-0
2.94
|
2-0-0
2.94
|
— |
1-1-0
3.54
|
1-1-0
3.60
|
1-1-0
3.42
|
1-0-1
3.14
|
1-1-0
3.87
|
1-0-1
3.37
|
0-1-1
3.31
|
0-1-1
4.15
|
2-0-0
3.92
|
1-0-1
2.95
|
1-0-1
2.13
|
2-0-0
3.04
|
2-0-0
3.25
|
1-1-0
3.14
|
0-1-1
2.89
|
| 1860 Munich |
0-0-2
2.42
|
1-1-0
1.96
|
0-1-1
1.99
|
— |
0-2-0
2.62
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
1-1-0
1.92
|
0-0-2
3.14
|
0-0-2
2.40
|
0-0-2
2.31
|
1-0-1
3.09
|
1-1-0
2.81
|
0-1-1
1.96
|
0-0-2
1.65
|
1-1-0
2.27
|
2-0-0
2.03
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
| Arminia Bielefeld |
0-1-1
2.41
|
1-0-1
2.33
|
0-1-1
1.93
|
0-2-0
2.89
|
— |
0-1-1
2.82
|
0-0-2
2.47
|
1-1-0
2.91
|
1-1-0
2.62
|
1-1-0
2.42
|
1-1-0
3.28
|
1-1-0
2.92
|
0-1-1
2.12
|
0-1-1
1.64
|
1-1-0
2.37
|
0-2-0
2.59
|
1-1-0
2.32
|
0-2-0
2.16
|
| Dusseldorf |
0-0-2
2.47
|
1-0-1
2.22
|
0-1-1
2.10
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
— |
2-0-0
1.96
|
2-0-0
2.91
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
0-1-1
2.45
|
0-1-1
3.15
|
0-1-1
2.67
|
0-0-2
1.90
|
1-0-1
1.74
|
0-0-2
2.46
|
0-1-1
2.17
|
0-1-1
2.64
|
0-1-1
2.16
|
| Eintracht Braunschweig |
1-1-0
2.77
|
0-2-0
2.66
|
1-0-1
2.37
|
0-1-1
3.62
|
2-0-0
3.05
|
0-0-2
3.58
|
— |
1-1-0
3.37
|
0-0-2
3.36
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
1-1-0
3.94
|
1-0-1
3.59
|
0-0-2
2.73
|
0-2-0
1.94
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
0-1-1
3.12
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
2-0-0
2.80
|
| FSV Frankfurt |
0-1-1
2.25
|
0-1-1
1.96
|
0-1-1
1.68
|
2-0-0
2.38
|
0-1-1
2.60
|
0-0-2
2.60
|
0-1-1
2.16
|
— |
1-0-1
2.61
|
0-1-1
2.14
|
1-1-0
3.27
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
0-0-2
2.32
|
0-0-2
1.50
|
0-0-2
2.20
|
2-0-0
2.33
|
1-0-1
2.39
|
1-0-1
1.87
|
| Greuther Furth |
1-0-1
2.45
|
0-0-2
2.37
|
1-0-1
2.17
|
2-0-0
3.12
|
0-1-1
2.89
|
1-0-1
3.05
|
2-0-0
2.16
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
— |
1-0-1
2.33
|
0-2-0
3.27
|
1-1-0
3.03
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
0-0-2
1.62
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
0-0-2
2.63
|
2-0-0
2.33
|
0-1-1
2.42
|
| Karlsruher SC |
0-2-0
2.64
|
1-1-0
2.61
|
1-1-0
2.21
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
0-1-1
3.09
|
1-1-0
3.06
|
0-1-1
2.86
|
1-1-0
3.38
|
1-0-1
3.19
|
— |
2-0-0
3.71
|
0-1-1
3.28
|
0-0-2
2.50
|
0-1-1
1.74
|
1-0-1
2.98
|
1-0-1
3.04
|
0-0-2
2.88
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
| MSV Duisburg |
0-0-2
1.74
|
0-0-2
1.92
|
1-1-0
1.44
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
0-1-1
2.25
|
1-1-0
2.37
|
0-1-1
1.62
|
0-1-1
2.25
|
0-2-0
2.25
|
0-0-2
1.83
|
— |
1-1-0
2.28
|
1-0-1
1.55
|
0-1-1
1.16
|
1-1-0
1.93
|
0-0-2
1.99
|
1-0-1
1.77
|
0-1-1
2.02
|
| Paderborn 07 |
0-2-0
2.22
|
0-0-2
2.10
|
0-0-2
1.64
|
0-1-1
2.70
|
0-1-1
2.60
|
1-1-0
2.84
|
1-0-1
1.94
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
1-1-0
2.24
|
0-1-1
3.23
|
— |
0-0-2
1.96
|
0-0-2
1.41
|
0-0-2
2.62
|
1-1-0
2.18
|
1-0-1
2.18
|
0-0-2
2.75
|
| RB Leipzig |
1-1-0
3.03
|
0-1-1
3.21
|
1-0-1
2.56
|
1-1-0
3.59
|
1-1-0
3.41
|
2-0-0
3.63
|
2-0-0
2.78
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
2-0-0
3.02
|
1-0-1
4.01
|
2-0-0
3.56
|
— |
0-1-1
2.16
|
1-0-1
3.29
|
0-0-2
3.11
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
2-0-0
2.70
|
| SC Freiburg |
2-0-0
3.73
|
2-0-0
3.27
|
1-0-1
3.39
|
2-0-0
3.91
|
1-1-0
3.92
|
1-0-1
3.82
|
0-2-0
3.59
|
2-0-0
4.07
|
2-0-0
3.94
|
1-1-0
3.81
|
1-1-0
4.46
|
2-0-0
4.17
|
1-1-0
3.36
|
— |
2-0-0
3.39
|
1-0-1
3.80
|
1-0-1
3.82
|
0-0-2
3.60
|
| SV Sandhausen |
0-2-0
2.91
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
0-0-2
2.47
|
0-1-1
3.25
|
0-1-1
3.14
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
0-1-1
2.88
|
1-0-1
2.55
|
0-1-1
3.60
|
2-0-0
2.90
|
1-0-1
2.25
|
0-0-2
2.13
|
— |
1-0-1
2.73
|
1-0-1
2.75
|
0-1-1
2.59
|
| St. Pauli |
1-0-1
2.77
|
2-0-0
2.43
|
0-0-2
2.28
|
0-0-2
3.50
|
0-2-0
2.92
|
1-1-0
3.35
|
1-1-0
2.40
|
0-0-2
3.20
|
2-0-0
2.88
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
2-0-0
3.54
|
0-1-1
3.35
|
2-0-0
2.40
|
1-0-1
1.75
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
— |
0-2-0
2.71
|
1-1-0
2.39
|
| Union Berlin |
2-0-0
2.65
|
0-2-0
2.42
|
0-1-1
2.38
|
1-1-0
3.20
|
0-1-1
3.19
|
1-1-0
2.87
|
1-0-1
2.50
|
1-0-1
3.13
|
0-0-2
3.19
|
2-0-0
2.63
|
1-0-1
3.77
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
1-0-1
1.73
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
0-2-0
2.80
|
— |
1-1-0
2.62
|
| VfL Bochum |
1-1-0
2.85
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
1-1-0
2.62
|
1-1-0
3.51
|
0-2-0
3.37
|
1-1-0
3.35
|
0-0-2
2.72
|
1-0-1
3.67
|
1-1-0
3.10
|
0-1-1
2.99
|
1-1-0
3.50
|
2-0-0
2.77
|
0-0-2
2.82
|
2-0-0
1.94
|
1-1-0
2.92
|
0-1-1
3.12
|
0-1-1
2.89
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.82 | +8.5 |
| Allowed | 0.47 | -11.0 |
| Differential | 0.93 | +6.7 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.52% | 9.48% | 6.54% | 3.10% | 1.31% | 0.65% | 28.59% |
| 1 | 9.48% | 13.40% | 6.37% | 3.43% | 0.98% | — | 33.66% |
| 2 | 6.54% | 6.37% | 5.88% | 2.12% | 0.65% | 0.49% | 22.06% |
| 3 | 3.10% | 3.43% | 2.12% | 0.98% | 0.65% | 0.16% | 10.46% |
| 4 | 1.31% | 0.98% | 0.65% | 0.65% | 0.33% | — | 3.92% |
| 5+ | 0.65% | — | 0.49% | 0.16% | — | — | 1.31% |
| Total | 28.59% | 33.66% | 22.06% | 10.46% | 3.92% | 1.31% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.32 | 1.32 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.71 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 8.82% | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 32.35% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.18 | +0.06 |
| SD | 1.05 | 1.09 | 1.48 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 29.41% | 32.35% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.38 | +0.06 |
| SD | 1.28 | 1.21 | 1.81 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 4 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 38.24% | 26.47% | 20.59% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.21 | +0.79 |
| SD | 1.23 | 1.34 | 1.68 |
| CV | 0.62 | 1.11 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 23.53% | — | 8.82% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.94 | 1.35 | -0.41 |
| SD | 1.01 | 1.10 | 1.28 |
| CV | 1.08 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20.59% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | — | 20.59% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 47.06% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 1.15 | -0.03 |
| SD | 1.12 | 1.05 | 1.34 |
| CV | 1.00 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 17.65% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 17.65% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 41.18% | 11.76% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.94 | 1.38 | -0.44 |
| SD | 0.92 | 1.16 | 1.46 |
| CV | 0.98 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 35.29% | 26.47% | 29.41% | 8.82% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.29 | 1.12 | +0.18 |
| SD | 1.47 | 1.01 | 1.95 |
| CV | 1.13 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 6 | 3 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 44.12% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.97 | 1.74 | -0.76 |
| SD | 0.97 | 1.26 | 1.62 |
| CV | 1.00 | 0.73 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 35.29% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.44 | 1.62 | -0.18 |
| SD | 0.99 | 1.41 | 1.75 |
| CV | 0.69 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 35.29% | 38.24% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.09 | -0.06 |
| SD | 0.94 | 1.24 | 1.74 |
| CV | 0.91 | 1.14 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 44.12% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 2 | — | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 35.29% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.94 | 1.59 | -0.65 |
| SD | 0.98 | 1.21 | 1.54 |
| CV | 1.04 | 0.76 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 20.59% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 50.00% |
| 1 | — | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 38.24% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.82 | 1.62 | -0.79 |
| SD | 1.09 | 1.54 | 1.86 |
| CV | 1.32 | 0.95 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 50.00% | 17.65% | 2.94% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.59 | 0.94 | +0.65 |
| SD | 1.05 | 0.78 | 1.28 |
| CV | 0.66 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 14.71% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 35.29% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 29.41% | 35.29% | 26.47% | 8.82% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.21 | 1.15 | +1.06 |
| SD | 1.37 | 0.96 | 1.54 |
| CV | 0.62 | 0.83 | — |
| Max | 6 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 20.59% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 44.12% |
| 2 | — | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 29.41% | 23.53% | 23.53% | 17.65% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.18 | 1.47 | -0.29 |
| SD | 1.34 | 1.26 | 1.92 |
| CV | 1.14 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 47.06% | 17.65% | 17.65% | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.32 | 1.15 | +0.18 |
| SD | 1.30 | 1.35 | 1.68 |
| CV | 0.98 | 1.18 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | — | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 23.53% |
| 4 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 32.35% | 20.59% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.65 | 1.47 | +0.18 |
| SD | 1.23 | 1.42 | 1.93 |
| CV | 0.75 | 0.97 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 26.47% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 23.53% | 47.06% | 17.65% | 11.76% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.65 | 1.18 | +0.47 |
| SD | 1.32 | 0.94 | 1.73 |
| CV | 0.80 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 67 | 53.40 | +13.60 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 65 | 55.75 | +9.25 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 72 | 63.77 | +8.23 |
| 4 | St. Pauli | 53 | 47.11 | +5.89 |
| 5 | Greuther Furth | 46 | 43.75 | +2.25 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paderborn 07 | 28 | 39.83 | -11.83 |
| 2 | FSV Frankfurt | 32 | 39.19 | -7.19 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 45 | 51.49 | -6.49 |
| 4 | Dusseldorf | 35 | 40.99 | -5.99 |
| 5 | 1860 Munich | 34 | 39.55 | -5.55 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 6 | Nov 23 – Feb 6 | 1 in 203 |
| 2 | VfL Bochum | 5 | Jul 26 – Aug 31 | 1 in 157 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | Feb 21 – Apr 10 | 1 in 115 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 6 | Nov 21 – Feb 7 | 1 in 109 |
| 5 | Greuther Furth | 4 | Sep 13 – Sep 28 | 1 in 82 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 5 | Feb 27 – Mar 19 | 1 in 156 |
| 2 | FSV Frankfurt | 6 | Apr 3 – May 8 | 1 in 69 |
| 3 | Paderborn 07 | 4 | Aug 14 – Sep 11 | 1 in 43 |
| 4 | 1860 Munich | 5 | Dec 4 – Feb 14 | 1 in 42 |
| 5 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 2 | Apr 10 – Apr 16 | 1 in 35 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 18 | Oct 17 – Apr 3 | 1 in 463 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | Aug 28 – Nov 1 | 1 in 76 |
| 3 | VfL Bochum | 11 | Dec 6 – Mar 20 | 1 in 70 |
| 4 | Karlsruher SC | 7 | Sep 22 – Nov 6 | 1 in 44 |
| 5 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | Aug 29 – Oct 2 | 1 in 42 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paderborn 07 | 13 | Oct 31 – Mar 5 | 1 in 137 |
| 2 | 1860 Munich | 12 | Jul 26 – Oct 23 | 1 in 77 |
| 3 | VfL Bochum | 7 | Oct 18 – Dec 6 | 1 in 47 |
| 4 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | Feb 20 – Mar 18 | 1 in 45 |
| 5 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 6 | Sep 25 – Nov 7 | 1 in 42 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 55.20% | 19.39% | 9.99% | 5.39% | 3.78% | 2.01% | 1.48% | 1.19% | 0.54% | 0.50% | 0.18% | 0.14% | 0.09% | 0.09% | 0.01% | — | 0.02% | — |
| RB Leipzig | 7.83% | 12.86% | 12.70% | 10.99% | 10.32% | 8.41% | 7.36% | 6.97% | 5.48% | 4.51% | 3.31% | 2.82% | 2.03% | 1.84% | 1.08% | 0.82% | 0.49% | 0.18% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 13.12% | 18.17% | 14.75% | 11.50% | 9.45% | 7.76% | 6.06% | 5.02% | 3.80% | 3.10% | 2.45% | 1.46% | 1.24% | 0.91% | 0.58% | 0.35% | 0.19% | 0.09% |
| St. Pauli | 1.56% | 3.27% | 5.00% | 6.22% | 6.36% | 7.53% | 7.72% | 8.24% | 8.35% | 7.77% | 7.08% | 7.07% | 5.99% | 5.14% | 4.65% | 3.68% | 2.79% | 1.58% |
| VfL Bochum | 4.53% | 8.82% | 10.04% | 10.59% | 9.11% | 8.73% | 8.09% | 7.21% | 6.42% | 5.97% | 5.03% | 4.60% | 3.47% | 2.55% | 2.04% | 1.54% | 0.86% | 0.40% |
| Union Berlin | 2.00% | 4.10% | 5.86% | 6.63% | 7.21% | 7.41% | 8.20% | 8.17% | 7.47% | 7.58% | 6.90% | 6.86% | 5.93% | 4.92% | 4.16% | 3.26% | 2.16% | 1.18% |
| Karlsruher SC | 2.44% | 5.04% | 6.62% | 7.29% | 7.86% | 8.30% | 8.15% | 7.92% | 7.62% | 7.10% | 6.85% | 6.18% | 5.22% | 4.55% | 3.48% | 2.79% | 1.75% | 0.84% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 4.78% | 9.04% | 9.89% | 10.08% | 9.38% | 9.06% | 7.96% | 7.35% | 6.78% | 5.86% | 5.12% | 4.14% | 3.56% | 2.52% | 1.87% | 1.30% | 0.91% | 0.40% |
| Greuther Furth | 0.50% | 1.47% | 2.28% | 2.82% | 3.90% | 4.65% | 5.78% | 5.97% | 7.03% | 7.79% | 7.72% | 8.60% | 8.40% | 8.32% | 7.86% | 7.24% | 6.12% | 3.55% |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 4.53% | 8.71% | 9.66% | 9.91% | 9.83% | 8.72% | 8.60% | 7.50% | 6.57% | 6.10% | 4.94% | 4.13% | 3.40% | 2.81% | 2.14% | 1.35% | 0.84% | 0.26% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 1.97% | 4.63% | 5.77% | 7.45% | 7.84% | 8.33% | 7.74% | 8.07% | 8.07% | 7.15% | 6.99% | 6.17% | 5.70% | 4.76% | 3.45% | 2.84% | 2.11% | 0.96% |
| SV Sandhausen | 0.82% | 1.86% | 2.75% | 3.40% | 4.68% | 5.63% | 6.11% | 6.12% | 7.37% | 7.74% | 8.07% | 7.89% | 8.11% | 7.62% | 7.08% | 6.41% | 5.16% | 3.18% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 0.22% | 0.73% | 1.58% | 2.49% | 3.26% | 4.03% | 4.50% | 5.04% | 6.07% | 6.73% | 8.14% | 8.43% | 8.81% | 8.92% | 9.02% | 8.83% | 7.93% | 5.27% |
| Dusseldorf | 0.19% | 0.66% | 1.07% | 1.79% | 2.10% | 3.01% | 3.45% | 4.78% | 4.85% | 5.96% | 6.69% | 7.60% | 9.02% | 10.38% | 10.31% | 10.47% | 10.15% | 7.52% |
| 1860 Munich | 0.10% | 0.42% | 0.64% | 1.19% | 1.62% | 2.00% | 2.76% | 3.38% | 4.20% | 5.24% | 5.99% | 7.73% | 8.65% | 9.59% | 11.53% | 11.33% | 13.08% | 10.55% |
| MSV Duisburg | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.10% | 0.16% | 0.39% | 0.50% | 0.68% | 1.06% | 1.21% | 2.18% | 2.76% | 4.10% | 5.84% | 8.58% | 12.70% | 18.86% | 40.81% |
| FSV Frankfurt | 0.06% | 0.34% | 0.59% | 0.92% | 1.33% | 1.94% | 2.64% | 3.27% | 4.30% | 4.57% | 5.98% | 6.62% | 8.13% | 9.27% | 10.83% | 12.67% | 13.99% | 12.55% |
| Paderborn 07 | 0.14% | 0.48% | 0.76% | 1.24% | 1.81% | 2.09% | 2.90% | 3.12% | 4.02% | 5.12% | 6.38% | 6.80% | 8.15% | 9.97% | 11.33% | 12.42% | 12.59% | 10.68% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.99 * Some Luck: 5.99 to 8.99 * Lucky: 8.99 to 11.98 * Wild Swing: 11.98 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.6 * Close: 2.6 to 3.89 * Off: 3.89 to 5.19 * Way Off: 5.19 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 1.9 * A Surprise: 1.9 to 3.04 * Several Surprises: 3.04 to 4.18 * Many Surprises: 4.18 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.
| Team | Direct promotion | Lost promotion playoff | Same level | Qualified for relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 74.59% | 9.99% | 15.40% | — | 0.02% |
| RB Leipzig | 20.69% | 12.70% | 65.12% | 0.82% | 0.67% |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 13.82% | 9.89% | 73.68% | 1.30% | 1.31% |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 13.24% | 9.66% | 74.65% | 1.35% | 1.10% |
| VfL Bochum | 13.35% | 10.04% | 73.81% | 1.54% | 1.26% |
| Karlsruher SC | 7.48% | 6.62% | 80.52% | 2.79% | 2.59% |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 6.60% | 5.77% | 81.72% | 2.84% | 3.07% |
| Union Berlin | 6.10% | 5.86% | 81.44% | 3.26% | 3.34% |
| St. Pauli | 4.83% | 5.00% | 82.12% | 3.68% | 4.37% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | — | 100% | — | — | — |
| SV Sandhausen | 2.68% | 2.75% | 79.82% | 6.41% | 8.34% |
| Greuther Furth | 1.97% | 2.28% | 78.84% | 7.24% | 9.67% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 0.95% | 1.58% | 75.44% | 8.83% | 13.20% |
| Dusseldorf | 0.85% | 1.07% | 69.94% | 10.47% | 17.67% |
| Paderborn 07 | 0.62% | 0.76% | 62.93% | 12.42% | 23.27% |
| 1860 Munich | 0.52% | 0.64% | 63.88% | 11.33% | 23.63% |
| FSV Frankfurt | 0.40% | 0.59% | 59.80% | 12.67% | 26.54% |
| MSV Duisburg | 0.02% | 0.05% | 27.56% | 12.70% | 59.67% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Heidenheim | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1. FC Koln | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1860 Munich | Arminia Bielefeld | Bayer Leverkusen | Borussia Monchengladbach | Dusseldorf | Eintracht Braunschweig | Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Augsburg | FC Ingolstadt 04 | FSV Frankfurt | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV | Hannover 96 | Hertha BSC | Hoffenheim | Karlsruher SC | MSV Duisburg | Mainz 05 | Paderborn 07 | RB Leipzig | SC Freiburg | SV Darmstadt 98 | SV Sandhausen | Schalke 04 | St. Pauli | Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | VfL Bochum | VfL Wolfsburg | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 54.8%31.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 39.7%58.00% | 22.5%40.00% | 30.2%63.00% | 29.4%51.00% | 49.3%73.00% | 31.8%22.00% | 28.6%42.00% | 33.3%9.00% | 50.0%90.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 37.7%69.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 30.9%55.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 31.6%38.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 36.2%80.00% | 32.6%46.00% | 29.8%104.00% | 35.0%60.00% | 44.3%131.00% | 32.4%37.00% | 42.0%81.00% | 37.5%16.00% | 37.9%132.00% | 0.0%9.00% | 38.8%134.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 29.7%101.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Koln | 45.2%31.00% | 68.4%38.00% | 65.0%60.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 62.5%24.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 72.7%22.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 70.4%54.00% | 51.2%43.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 82.4%17.00% | 60.7%28.00% | 74.4%39.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 35.0%60.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 55.4%121.00% | 53.9%76.00% | 46.5%155.00% | 40.2%127.00% | 62.1%198.00% | 34.0%53.00% | 40.2%117.00% | 12.0%25.00% | 58.9%190.00% | 50.0%18.00% | 56.5%193.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 50.7%148.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1860 Munich | 25.0%4.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 25.0%8.00% | 0.0%6.00% | 33.3%12.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 25.0%4.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Arminia Bielefeld | 37.5%8.00% | 13.3%15.00% | 25.0%8.00% | 31.6%19.00% | 14.3%14.00% | 35.0%20.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 15.4%13.00% | 34.8%23.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 30.4%23.00% | 31.2%16.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bayer Leverkusen | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 50.0%2.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 100.0%1.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%4.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dusseldorf | 16.7%6.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 8.3%12.00% | 0.0%8.00% | 36.4%11.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 36.4%11.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 16.7%12.00% | 28.6%7.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 37.5%24.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 35.3%68.00% | 17.2%58.00% | 36.0%100.00% | 25.0%64.00% | 48.0%123.00% | 19.4%36.00% | 33.3%66.00% | 19.0%21.00% | 36.9%149.00% | 30.0%10.00% | 38.1%105.00% | 31.1%103.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 60.3%58.00% | 63.7%80.00% | 44.6%121.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 86.7%15.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 64.7%68.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 73.1%26.00% | 60.3%68.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 64.8%122.00% | 48.3%87.00% | 73.7%19.00% | 85.3%34.00% | 62.5%56.00% | 67.0%88.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| FC Augsburg | 77.5%40.00% | 67.4%46.00% | 46.1%76.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 75.0%8.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 82.8%58.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 80.0%10.00% | 81.6%38.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 67.3%55.00% | 56.9%51.00% | 88.9%9.00% | 59.3%27.00% | 75.0%28.00% | 79.6%49.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 69.8%63.00% | 70.2%104.00% | 53.5%155.00% | 75.0%8.00% | 68.4%19.00% | 91.7%12.00% | 64.0%100.00% | 80.0%10.00% | 85.0%20.00% | 74.0%73.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 53.2%126.00% | 41.6%101.00% | 89.3%28.00% | 67.3%52.00% | 70.3%74.00% | 58.1%93.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| FSV Frankfurt | 0.0%4.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 20.0%10.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%8.00% | 0.0%5.00% | 33.3%3.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Greuther Furth | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 26.9%26.00% | 20.0%10.00% | 15.0%20.00% | 29.4%17.00% | 31.0%29.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 15.8%19.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 26.1%23.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 39.1%23.00% | 18.2%22.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Hamburger SV | 70.6%51.00% | 65.0%60.00% | 59.8%127.00% | 100.0%6.00% | 85.7%14.00% | 100.0%8.00% | 75.0%64.00% | 72.7%11.00% | 70.6%17.00% | 60.8%51.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 63.7%113.00% | 44.4%72.00% | 88.0%25.00% | 77.5%40.00% | 68.8%48.00% | 60.7%84.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| Hannover 96 | 50.7%73.00% | 55.7%131.00% | 37.9%198.00% | 66.7%12.00% | 65.0%20.00% | 63.6%11.00% | 52.0%123.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 69.0%29.00% | 61.8%89.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 90.9%11.00% | 35.1%188.00% | 31.8%154.00% | 62.5%32.00% | 60.6%66.00% | 61.4%57.00% | 52.1%140.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| Hertha BSC | 68.2%22.00% | 67.6%37.00% | 66.0%53.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 80.6%36.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 78.9%19.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 62.5%48.00% | 59.3%27.00% | 100.0%9.00% | 85.7%14.00% | 63.2%19.00% | 85.3%34.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Hoffenheim | 71.4%42.00% | 58.0%81.00% | 59.8%117.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 84.6%13.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 66.7%66.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 84.2%19.00% | 52.8%36.00% | 100.0%7.00% | 55.0%100.00% | 43.3%60.00% | 68.4%19.00% | 67.9%28.00% | 80.0%45.00% | 58.7%63.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Karlsruher SC | 27.3%22.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 39.7%68.00% | 18.4%38.00% | 26.0%73.00% | 39.2%51.00% | 38.2%89.00% | 21.1%19.00% | 47.2%36.00% | 10.0%10.00% | 43.4%83.00% | 10.0%10.00% | 40.2%82.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 28.4%74.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| MSV Duisburg | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mainz 05 | 66.7%9.00% | 62.5%16.00% | 88.0%25.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 81.0%21.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 90.0%10.00% | 81.0%21.00% | 60.0%25.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 60.0%15.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Paderborn 07 | 0.0%2.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 9.1%11.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%7.00% | 36.4%11.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 18.2%11.00% | 22.2%9.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| RB Leipzig | 29.6%54.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 35.2%122.00% | 32.7%55.00% | 46.8%126.00% | 36.3%113.00% | 64.9%188.00% | 37.5%48.00% | 45.0%100.00% | 19.0%21.00% | 52.7%201.00% | 30.0%20.00% | 52.3%172.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 34.2%158.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| SC Freiburg | 48.8%43.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 51.7%87.00% | 43.1%51.00% | 58.4%101.00% | 55.6%72.00% | 68.2%154.00% | 40.7%27.00% | 56.7%60.00% | 40.0%25.00% | 59.0%144.00% | 22.2%9.00% | 61.1%131.00% | 49.5%101.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 50.0%90.00% | 62.1%132.00% | 41.1%190.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 65.2%23.00% | 63.6%11.00% | 63.1%149.00% | 100.0%8.00% | 73.9%23.00% | 56.6%83.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 63.6%11.00% | 47.3%201.00% | 41.0%144.00% | 68.6%35.00% | 71.6%67.00% | 52.6%78.00% | 54.9%133.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| SV Sandhausen | 16.7%6.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 26.3%19.00% | 11.1%9.00% | 10.7%28.00% | 12.0%25.00% | 37.5%32.00% | 0.0%9.00% | 31.6%19.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 31.4%35.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 28.9%38.00% | 12.0%25.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Schalke 04 | 80.0%5.00% | 100.0%9.00% | 50.0%18.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 70.0%10.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 90.0%10.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 70.0%20.00% | 77.8%9.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 55.6%9.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 66.7%6.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| St. Pauli | 17.6%17.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 14.7%34.00% | 40.7%27.00% | 32.7%52.00% | 22.5%40.00% | 39.4%66.00% | 14.3%14.00% | 32.1%28.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 28.4%67.00% | 44.4%9.00% | 32.1%56.00% | 29.5%44.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Union Berlin | 39.3%28.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 37.5%56.00% | 25.0%28.00% | 29.7%74.00% | 31.2%48.00% | 38.6%57.00% | 36.8%19.00% | 20.0%45.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 47.4%78.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 38.9%72.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 26.3%57.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| VfB Stuttgart | 62.3%69.00% | 61.2%134.00% | 43.5%193.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 69.6%23.00% | 83.3%12.00% | 61.9%105.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 60.9%23.00% | 59.8%82.00% | 81.8%11.00% | 47.7%172.00% | 38.9%131.00% | 71.1%38.00% | 67.9%56.00% | 61.1%72.00% | 60.3%126.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| VfL Bochum | 25.6%39.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 33.0%88.00% | 20.4%49.00% | 41.9%93.00% | 39.3%84.00% | 47.9%140.00% | 14.7%34.00% | 41.3%63.00% | 40.0%15.00% | 45.1%133.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 39.7%126.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 39.6%101.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Wolfsburg | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%3.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Werder Bremen | 69.1%55.00% | 70.3%101.00% | 49.3%148.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 68.8%16.00% | 71.4%7.00% | 68.9%103.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 81.8%22.00% | 71.6%74.00% | 77.8%9.00% | 65.8%158.00% | 50.5%101.00% | 88.0%25.00% | 70.5%44.00% | 73.7%57.00% | 60.4%101.00% |
Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.
| Team | Finals |
|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 52.57% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 47.43% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Nurnberg | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 52.6%100.00% | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 47.4%100.00% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-07-24 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-3 | 1669 | 1774 | 29.0% | 24.2% | 46.8% | -9.3 | 0 |
| 2015-07-24 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 3-1 | 1774 | 1669 | 46.8% | 24.2% | 29.0% | +9.3 | 3 |
| 2015-07-25 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1709 | 1691 | 45.8% | 24.3% | 29.9% | -0.7 | 1 |
| 2015-07-25 | @ St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1691 | 1709 | 29.9% | 24.3% | 45.8% | +0.7 | 1 |
| 2015-07-25 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1711 | 1784 | 33.0% | 24.5% | 42.5% | +7.7 | 3 |
| 2015-07-25 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1784 | 1711 | 42.5% | 24.5% | 33.0% | -7.7 | 0 |
| 2015-07-25 | RB Leipzig | L 0-1 | 1695 | 1718 | 40.2% | 24.6% | 35.3% | -7.4 | 0 |
| 2015-07-25 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1718 | 1695 | 35.3% | 24.6% | 40.2% | +7.4 | 3 |
| 2015-07-26 | 1860 Munich | W 1-0 | 1725 | 1700 | 46.8% | 24.2% | 29.0% | +5.7 | 3 |
| 2015-07-26 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-1 | 1700 | 1725 | 29.0% | 24.2% | 46.8% | -5.7 | 0 |
| 2015-07-26 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1721 | 1714 | 44.3% | 24.4% | 31.4% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2015-07-26 | @ Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1714 | 1721 | 31.4% | 24.4% | 44.3% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2015-07-26 | SV Sandhausen | L 1-3 | 1731 | 1704 | 47.0% | 24.2% | 28.8% | -13.6 | 0 |
| 2015-07-26 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-1 | 1704 | 1731 | 28.8% | 24.2% | 47.0% | +13.6 | 3 |
| 2015-07-26 | VfL Bochum | L 0-1 | 1745 | 1700 | 49.3% | 23.9% | 26.8% | -8.7 | 0 |
| 2015-07-26 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 1700 | 1745 | 26.8% | 23.9% | 49.3% | +8.7 | 3 |
| 2015-07-27 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 6-3 | 1813 | 1731 | 53.9% | 23.2% | 22.9% | +8.6 | 3 |
| 2015-07-27 | @ SC Freiburg | L 3-6 | 1731 | 1813 | 22.9% | 23.2% | 53.9% | -8.6 | 0 |
| 2015-07-31 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3-2 | 1722 | 1731 | 42.2% | 24.5% | 33.3% | +5.7 | 3 |
| 2015-07-31 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-3 | 1731 | 1722 | 33.3% | 24.5% | 42.2% | -5.7 | 3 |
| 2015-07-31 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1784 | 1718 | 52.0% | 23.5% | 24.5% | -1.2 | 4 |
| 2015-07-31 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 0-0 | 1718 | 1784 | 24.5% | 23.5% | 52.0% | +1.2 | 1 |
| 2015-07-31 | FSV Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1692 | 1688 | 43.8% | 24.4% | 31.8% | -0.5 | 2 |
| 2015-07-31 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1688 | 1692 | 31.8% | 24.4% | 43.8% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2015-08-01 | SC Freiburg | L 0-1 | 1694 | 1821 | 26.5% | 23.8% | 49.7% | -5.3 | 0 |
| 2015-08-01 | @ 1860 Munich | W 1-0 | 1821 | 1694 | 49.7% | 23.8% | 26.5% | +5.3 | 6 |
| 2015-08-01 | MSV Duisburg | W 3-0 | 1709 | 1660 | 49.9% | 23.8% | 26.3% | +14.4 | 6 |
| 2015-08-01 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-3 | 1660 | 1709 | 26.3% | 23.8% | 49.9% | -14.4 | 0 |
| 2015-08-02 | Paderborn 07 | L 1-2 | 1714 | 1737 | 40.2% | 24.6% | 35.2% | -6.9 | 1 |
| 2015-08-02 | @ Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1737 | 1714 | 35.2% | 24.6% | 40.2% | +7.0 | 3 |
| 2015-08-02 | St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1777 | 1708 | 52.3% | 23.5% | 24.2% | -8.6 | 0 |
| 2015-08-02 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1708 | 1777 | 24.2% | 23.5% | 52.3% | +8.6 | 4 |
| 2015-08-02 | Union Berlin | W 4-3 | 1718 | 1720 | 43.1% | 24.5% | 32.5% | +5.5 | 6 |
| 2015-08-02 | @ SV Sandhausen | L 3-4 | 1720 | 1718 | 32.5% | 24.5% | 43.1% | -5.4 | 1 |
| 2015-08-03 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1725 | 1718 | 44.3% | 24.4% | 31.3% | -0.4 | 4 |
| 2015-08-03 | @ RB Leipzig | D 2-2 | 1718 | 1725 | 31.3% | 24.4% | 44.3% | +0.4 | 4 |
| 2015-08-14 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1725 | 1707 | 45.7% | 24.3% | 30.0% | +5.9 | 6 |
| 2015-08-14 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-1 | 1707 | 1725 | 30.0% | 24.3% | 45.7% | -5.9 | 1 |
| 2015-08-14 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1689 | 1768 | 32.2% | 24.4% | 43.3% | -5.9 | 1 |
| 2015-08-14 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1768 | 1689 | 43.3% | 24.4% | 32.2% | +5.8 | 3 |
| 2015-08-14 | SV Sandhausen | L 0-6 | 1743 | 1724 | 46.1% | 24.2% | 29.7% | -43.0 | 3 |
| 2015-08-14 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 6-0 | 1724 | 1743 | 29.7% | 24.2% | 46.1% | +42.9 | 9 |
| 2015-08-15 | RB Leipzig | L 0-2 | 1719 | 1725 | 42.5% | 24.5% | 33.0% | -14.5 | 1 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1725 | 1719 | 33.0% | 24.5% | 42.5% | +14.5 | 7 |
| 2015-08-15 | VfL Bochum | L 1-3 | 1827 | 1723 | 56.4% | 22.7% | 20.9% | -15.9 | 6 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ SC Freiburg | W 3-1 | 1723 | 1827 | 20.9% | 22.7% | 56.4% | +15.9 | 9 |
| 2015-08-16 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 2-2 | 1715 | 1782 | 33.8% | 24.5% | 41.7% | +0.2 | 2 |
| 2015-08-16 | @ Union Berlin | D 2-2 | 1782 | 1715 | 41.7% | 24.5% | 33.8% | -0.2 | 5 |
| 2015-08-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1645 | 1691 | 36.9% | 24.6% | 38.5% | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2015-08-16 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 2-2 | 1691 | 1645 | 38.5% | 24.6% | 36.9% | -0.0 | 3 |
| 2015-08-16 | Greuther Furth | W 3-2 | 1717 | 1719 | 43.0% | 24.5% | 32.5% | +5.6 | 7 |
| 2015-08-16 | @ St. Pauli | L 2-3 | 1719 | 1717 | 32.5% | 24.5% | 43.0% | -5.6 | 4 |
| 2015-08-17 | 1860 Munich | D 2-2 | 1728 | 1689 | 48.6% | 24.0% | 27.4% | -0.6 | 4 |
| 2015-08-17 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1689 | 1728 | 27.4% | 24.0% | 48.6% | +0.6 | 1 |
| 2015-08-21 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 0-0 | 1766 | 1731 | 48.1% | 24.0% | 27.8% | -0.9 | 10 |
| 2015-08-21 | @ SV Sandhausen | D 0-0 | 1731 | 1766 | 27.8% | 24.0% | 48.1% | +0.9 | 7 |
| 2015-08-21 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-2 | 1691 | 1705 | 41.4% | 24.5% | 34.0% | -14.2 | 3 |
| 2015-08-21 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1705 | 1691 | 34.0% | 24.5% | 41.4% | +14.2 | 4 |
| 2015-08-21 | FSV Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1713 | 1683 | 47.5% | 24.1% | 28.4% | -15.8 | 4 |
| 2015-08-21 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1683 | 1713 | 28.4% | 24.1% | 47.5% | +15.9 | 4 |
| 2015-08-22 | SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1702 | 1811 | 28.6% | 24.1% | 47.3% | -5.3 | 1 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1811 | 1702 | 47.3% | 24.1% | 28.6% | +5.3 | 9 |
| 2015-08-22 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1774 | 1645 | 59.3% | 21.9% | 18.7% | +7.3 | 6 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1645 | 1774 | 18.7% | 21.9% | 59.3% | -7.3 | 1 |
| 2015-08-23 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1739 | 1727 | 45.0% | 24.3% | 30.7% | +5.6 | 12 |
| 2015-08-23 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1727 | 1739 | 30.7% | 24.3% | 45.0% | -5.6 | 4 |
| 2015-08-23 | St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1740 | 1722 | 45.7% | 24.3% | 30.0% | -8.1 | 7 |
| 2015-08-23 | @ RB Leipzig | W 1-0 | 1722 | 1740 | 30.0% | 24.3% | 45.7% | +8.1 | 10 |
| 2015-08-23 | Union Berlin | D 0-0 | 1689 | 1715 | 39.7% | 24.6% | 35.7% | -0.2 | 2 |
| 2015-08-23 | @ 1860 Munich | D 0-0 | 1715 | 1689 | 35.7% | 24.6% | 39.7% | +0.2 | 3 |
| 2015-08-24 | Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 1782 | 1701 | 53.9% | 23.2% | 22.9% | +4.6 | 8 |
| 2015-08-24 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-1 | 1701 | 1782 | 22.9% | 23.2% | 53.9% | -4.7 | 3 |
| 2015-08-28 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-1 | 1732 | 1787 | 35.5% | 24.6% | 39.9% | +11.9 | 10 |
| 2015-08-28 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 1-3 | 1787 | 1732 | 39.9% | 24.6% | 35.5% | -11.9 | 8 |
| 2015-08-28 | RB Leipzig | D 1-1 | 1715 | 1731 | 41.0% | 24.6% | 34.4% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2015-08-28 | @ Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1731 | 1715 | 34.4% | 24.6% | 41.0% | +0.2 | 8 |
| 2015-08-28 | SV Sandhausen | W 4-1 | 1816 | 1766 | 50.0% | 23.8% | 26.2% | +12.1 | 12 |
| 2015-08-28 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-4 | 1766 | 1816 | 26.2% | 23.8% | 50.0% | -12.1 | 10 |
| 2015-08-29 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1696 | 1677 | 45.9% | 24.3% | 29.8% | -7.7 | 3 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1677 | 1696 | 29.8% | 24.3% | 45.9% | +7.7 | 6 |
| 2015-08-29 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1638 | 1697 | 35.0% | 24.6% | 40.5% | +0.1 | 2 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 2-2 | 1697 | 1638 | 40.5% | 24.6% | 35.0% | -0.2 | 5 |
| 2015-08-30 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1722 | 1696 | 46.8% | 24.2% | 29.0% | +5.7 | 7 |
| 2015-08-30 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1696 | 1722 | 29.0% | 24.2% | 46.8% | -5.7 | 1 |
| 2015-08-30 | Karlsruher SC | W 6-0 | 1719 | 1781 | 34.5% | 24.6% | 40.9% | +39.1 | 7 |
| 2015-08-30 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-6 | 1781 | 1719 | 40.9% | 24.6% | 34.5% | -39.1 | 6 |
| 2015-08-30 | St. Pauli | W 1-0 | 1699 | 1731 | 38.8% | 24.6% | 36.6% | +6.8 | 7 |
| 2015-08-30 | @ FSV Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1731 | 1699 | 36.6% | 24.6% | 38.8% | -6.8 | 10 |
| 2015-08-31 | 1860 Munich | W 1-0 | 1745 | 1689 | 50.7% | 23.7% | 25.6% | +5.1 | 15 |
| 2015-08-31 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-1 | 1689 | 1745 | 25.6% | 23.7% | 50.7% | -5.1 | 2 |
| 2015-09-11 | SC Freiburg | L 0-2 | 1775 | 1828 | 35.8% | 24.6% | 39.6% | -12.7 | 8 |
| 2015-09-11 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1828 | 1775 | 39.6% | 24.6% | 35.8% | +12.7 | 15 |
| 2015-09-11 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-0 | 1732 | 1688 | 49.2% | 23.9% | 26.9% | +10.1 | 11 |
| 2015-09-11 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-2 | 1688 | 1732 | 26.9% | 23.9% | 49.2% | -10.1 | 3 |
| 2015-09-11 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1754 | 1750 | 43.8% | 24.4% | 31.8% | -0.5 | 11 |
| 2015-09-11 | @ SV Sandhausen | D 1-1 | 1750 | 1754 | 31.8% | 24.4% | 43.8% | +0.5 | 16 |
| 2015-09-12 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 0-0 | 1684 | 1744 | 35.0% | 24.6% | 40.4% | +0.2 | 7 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1744 | 1684 | 40.4% | 24.6% | 35.0% | -0.2 | 11 |
| 2015-09-12 | Union Berlin | L 0-3 | 1742 | 1715 | 47.0% | 24.2% | 28.8% | -22.9 | 6 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1715 | 1742 | 28.8% | 24.2% | 47.0% | +22.9 | 7 |
| 2015-09-13 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-2 | 1697 | 1727 | 39.1% | 24.6% | 36.3% | +6.1 | 8 |
| 2015-09-13 | @ Greuther Furth | L 2-3 | 1727 | 1697 | 36.3% | 24.6% | 39.1% | -6.1 | 7 |
| 2015-09-13 | 1860 Munich | W 3-0 | 1691 | 1684 | 44.2% | 24.4% | 31.4% | +16.6 | 4 |
| 2015-09-13 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-3 | 1684 | 1691 | 31.4% | 24.4% | 44.2% | -16.6 | 2 |
| 2015-09-13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-3 | 1705 | 1758 | 35.9% | 24.6% | 39.5% | -18.5 | 7 |
| 2015-09-13 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 3-0 | 1758 | 1705 | 39.5% | 24.6% | 35.9% | +18.5 | 10 |
| 2015-09-14 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1724 | 1638 | 54.4% | 23.1% | 22.5% | +8.6 | 13 |
| 2015-09-14 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1638 | 1724 | 22.5% | 23.1% | 54.4% | -8.6 | 2 |
| 2015-09-18 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1841 | 1685 | 62.2% | 21.1% | 16.7% | -1.4 | 16 |
| 2015-09-18 | @ SC Freiburg | D 2-2 | 1685 | 1841 | 16.7% | 21.1% | 62.2% | +1.4 | 8 |
| 2015-09-18 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1751 | 1707 | 49.1% | 23.9% | 26.9% | -0.8 | 17 |
| 2015-09-18 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1707 | 1751 | 26.9% | 23.9% | 49.1% | +0.8 | 5 |
| 2015-09-18 | RB Leipzig | D 1-1 | 1743 | 1742 | 43.5% | 24.4% | 32.0% | -0.4 | 12 |
| 2015-09-18 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1742 | 1743 | 32.0% | 24.4% | 43.5% | +0.4 | 12 |
| 2015-09-19 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1667 | 1762 | 30.3% | 24.3% | 45.4% | +0.6 | 3 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1762 | 1667 | 45.4% | 24.3% | 30.3% | -0.6 | 9 |
| 2015-09-19 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1678 | 1719 | 37.5% | 24.6% | 37.9% | +13.3 | 6 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1719 | 1678 | 37.9% | 24.6% | 37.5% | -13.3 | 6 |
| 2015-09-19 | SV Sandhausen | W 2-0 | 1721 | 1753 | 38.9% | 24.6% | 36.5% | +12.9 | 10 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1753 | 1721 | 36.5% | 24.6% | 38.9% | -12.9 | 11 |
| 2015-09-20 | FSV Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1630 | 1687 | 35.2% | 24.6% | 40.2% | -6.7 | 2 |
| 2015-09-20 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1687 | 1630 | 40.2% | 24.6% | 35.2% | +6.6 | 10 |
| 2015-09-20 | Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1738 | 1703 | 47.9% | 24.1% | 28.0% | -8.0 | 7 |
| 2015-09-20 | @ Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1703 | 1738 | 28.0% | 24.1% | 47.9% | +8.0 | 11 |
| 2015-09-20 | St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1776 | 1732 | 49.2% | 23.9% | 26.9% | -1.0 | 11 |
| 2015-09-20 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1732 | 1776 | 26.9% | 23.9% | 49.2% | +1.0 | 14 |
| 2015-09-22 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1762 | 1734 | 47.0% | 24.2% | 28.8% | -22.8 | 9 |
| 2015-09-22 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 3-0 | 1734 | 1762 | 28.8% | 24.2% | 47.0% | +22.9 | 13 |
| 2015-09-22 | 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1740 | 1668 | 52.8% | 23.4% | 23.8% | -1.1 | 12 |
| 2015-09-22 | @ SV Sandhausen | D 1-1 | 1668 | 1740 | 23.8% | 23.4% | 52.8% | +1.1 | 4 |
| 2015-09-22 | Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1706 | 1708 | 43.1% | 24.5% | 32.5% | -0.4 | 7 |
| 2015-09-22 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1708 | 1706 | 32.5% | 24.5% | 43.1% | +0.4 | 6 |
| 2015-09-22 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1686 | 1750 | 34.4% | 24.6% | 41.1% | +0.2 | 9 |
| 2015-09-22 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1750 | 1686 | 41.1% | 24.6% | 34.4% | -0.2 | 18 |
| 2015-09-23 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 1-0 | 1733 | 1743 | 42.0% | 24.5% | 33.5% | +6.4 | 17 |
| 2015-09-23 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1743 | 1733 | 33.5% | 24.5% | 42.0% | -6.4 | 12 |
| 2015-09-23 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-5 | 1623 | 1775 | 23.8% | 23.4% | 52.8% | -21.2 | 2 |
| 2015-09-23 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 5-0 | 1775 | 1623 | 52.8% | 23.4% | 23.8% | +21.2 | 14 |
| 2015-09-23 | Paderborn 07 | W 3-0 | 1711 | 1691 | 46.1% | 24.2% | 29.7% | +15.9 | 14 |
| 2015-09-23 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-3 | 1691 | 1711 | 29.7% | 24.2% | 46.1% | -15.9 | 6 |
| 2015-09-23 | Union Berlin | W 3-2 | 1694 | 1730 | 38.2% | 24.6% | 37.1% | +6.2 | 13 |
| 2015-09-23 | @ FSV Frankfurt | L 2-3 | 1730 | 1694 | 37.1% | 24.6% | 38.2% | -6.2 | 7 |
| 2015-09-24 | SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1742 | 1839 | 30.0% | 24.3% | 45.7% | +0.6 | 13 |
| 2015-09-24 | @ RB Leipzig | D 1-1 | 1839 | 1742 | 45.7% | 24.3% | 30.0% | -0.6 | 17 |
| 2015-09-25 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-2 | 1749 | 1739 | 44.8% | 24.3% | 30.9% | -7.6 | 18 |
| 2015-09-25 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1739 | 1749 | 30.9% | 24.3% | 44.8% | +7.6 | 12 |
| 2015-09-25 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1757 | 1686 | 52.6% | 23.4% | 24.0% | -0.8 | 14 |
| 2015-09-25 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1686 | 1757 | 24.0% | 23.4% | 52.6% | +0.8 | 10 |
| 2015-09-25 | SV Sandhausen | L 0-1 | 1708 | 1739 | 39.0% | 24.6% | 36.4% | -7.2 | 6 |
| 2015-09-25 | @ Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1739 | 1708 | 36.4% | 24.6% | 39.0% | +7.2 | 15 |
| 2015-09-26 | MSV Duisburg | W 3-2 | 1723 | 1602 | 58.6% | 22.1% | 19.3% | +3.5 | 10 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Union Berlin | L 2-3 | 1602 | 1723 | 19.3% | 22.1% | 58.6% | -3.5 | 2 |
| 2015-09-26 | St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1675 | 1740 | 34.3% | 24.6% | 41.2% | +0.3 | 7 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1740 | 1675 | 41.2% | 24.6% | 34.3% | -0.3 | 18 |
| 2015-09-27 | FSV Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1839 | 1700 | 60.4% | 21.6% | 17.9% | +7.0 | 20 |
| 2015-09-27 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-2 | 1700 | 1839 | 17.9% | 21.6% | 60.4% | -7.0 | 13 |
| 2015-09-27 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1737 | 1706 | 47.5% | 24.1% | 28.4% | -0.7 | 13 |
| 2015-09-27 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1706 | 1737 | 28.4% | 24.1% | 47.5% | +0.7 | 8 |
| 2015-09-27 | RB Leipzig | D 2-2 | 1669 | 1743 | 33.0% | 24.5% | 42.5% | +0.3 | 5 |
| 2015-09-27 | @ 1860 Munich | D 2-2 | 1743 | 1669 | 42.5% | 24.5% | 33.0% | -0.3 | 14 |
| 2015-09-28 | Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1797 | 1727 | 52.4% | 23.4% | 24.1% | -9.1 | 14 |
| 2015-09-28 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1727 | 1797 | 24.1% | 23.4% | 52.4% | +9.1 | 17 |
| 2015-10-02 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-4 | 1693 | 1736 | 37.2% | 24.6% | 38.1% | -24.8 | 13 |
| 2015-10-02 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 4-0 | 1736 | 1693 | 38.1% | 24.6% | 37.2% | +24.8 | 16 |
| 2015-10-02 | 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1687 | 1669 | 45.8% | 24.3% | 29.9% | -0.6 | 11 |
| 2015-10-02 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1669 | 1687 | 29.9% | 24.3% | 45.8% | +0.6 | 6 |
| 2015-10-02 | Dusseldorf | W 3-0 | 1746 | 1701 | 49.4% | 23.9% | 26.7% | +14.6 | 15 |
| 2015-10-02 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-3 | 1701 | 1746 | 26.7% | 23.9% | 49.4% | -14.6 | 6 |
| 2015-10-03 | SV Sandhausen | L 1-3 | 1739 | 1746 | 42.4% | 24.5% | 33.1% | -12.5 | 18 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ St. Pauli | W 3-1 | 1746 | 1739 | 33.1% | 24.5% | 42.4% | +12.5 | 18 |
| 2015-10-03 | VfL Bochum | L 0-5 | 1736 | 1742 | 42.6% | 24.5% | 32.9% | -33.9 | 17 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Greuther Furth | W 5-0 | 1742 | 1736 | 32.9% | 24.5% | 42.6% | +33.9 | 21 |
| 2015-10-04 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-2 | 1743 | 1756 | 41.4% | 24.5% | 34.1% | +5.8 | 17 |
| 2015-10-04 | @ RB Leipzig | L 2-3 | 1756 | 1743 | 34.1% | 24.5% | 41.4% | -5.8 | 14 |
| 2015-10-04 | SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1706 | 1846 | 25.2% | 23.6% | 51.2% | +1.0 | 9 |
| 2015-10-04 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1846 | 1706 | 51.2% | 23.6% | 25.2% | -1.0 | 21 |
| 2015-10-04 | Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1787 | 1727 | 51.3% | 23.6% | 25.1% | +4.8 | 17 |
| 2015-10-04 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-2 | 1727 | 1787 | 25.1% | 23.6% | 51.3% | -4.7 | 10 |
| 2015-10-05 | Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 1598 | 1676 | 32.5% | 24.5% | 43.0% | +7.8 | 5 |
| 2015-10-05 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1676 | 1598 | 43.0% | 24.5% | 32.5% | -7.8 | 7 |
| 2015-10-16 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 1-0 | 1759 | 1761 | 43.0% | 24.5% | 32.5% | +6.2 | 21 |
| 2015-10-16 | @ SV Sandhausen | L 0-1 | 1761 | 1759 | 32.5% | 24.5% | 43.0% | -6.2 | 15 |
| 2015-10-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1687 | 1687 | 43.3% | 24.4% | 32.2% | +6.2 | 9 |
| 2015-10-16 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1687 | 1687 | 32.2% | 24.4% | 43.3% | -6.2 | 11 |
| 2015-10-16 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1668 | 1792 | 26.8% | 23.9% | 49.3% | +16.3 | 10 |
| 2015-10-16 | @ Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1792 | 1668 | 49.3% | 23.9% | 26.8% | -16.4 | 17 |
| 2015-10-17 | FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1751 | 1668 | 54.0% | 23.2% | 22.8% | -1.2 | 15 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1668 | 1751 | 22.8% | 23.2% | 54.0% | +1.2 | 14 |
| 2015-10-17 | St. Pauli | D 3-3 | 1722 | 1727 | 42.7% | 24.5% | 32.8% | -0.2 | 11 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Union Berlin | D 3-3 | 1727 | 1722 | 32.8% | 24.5% | 42.7% | +0.2 | 19 |
| 2015-10-18 | Greuther Furth | W 5-2 | 1845 | 1702 | 60.8% | 21.5% | 17.7% | +7.3 | 24 |
| 2015-10-18 | @ SC Freiburg | L 2-5 | 1702 | 1845 | 17.7% | 21.5% | 60.8% | -7.3 | 17 |
| 2015-10-18 | MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1761 | 1606 | 62.1% | 21.1% | 16.8% | +3.4 | 19 |
| 2015-10-18 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-1 | 1606 | 1761 | 16.8% | 21.1% | 62.1% | -3.5 | 5 |
| 2015-10-18 | RB Leipzig | L 0-1 | 1776 | 1748 | 47.1% | 24.2% | 28.8% | -8.3 | 21 |
| 2015-10-18 | @ VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1748 | 1776 | 28.8% | 24.2% | 47.1% | +8.4 | 20 |
| 2015-10-19 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1670 | 1707 | 38.0% | 24.6% | 37.4% | -7.0 | 6 |
| 2015-10-19 | @ 1860 Munich | W 1-0 | 1707 | 1670 | 37.4% | 24.6% | 38.0% | +7.0 | 12 |
| 2015-10-23 | 1860 Munich | W 1-0 | 1695 | 1663 | 47.7% | 24.1% | 28.2% | +5.6 | 20 |
| 2015-10-23 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1663 | 1695 | 28.2% | 24.1% | 47.7% | -5.6 | 6 |
| 2015-10-23 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1757 | 1693 | 51.7% | 23.5% | 24.7% | +4.7 | 23 |
| 2015-10-23 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-2 | 1693 | 1757 | 24.7% | 23.5% | 51.7% | -4.7 | 9 |
| 2015-10-23 | VfL Bochum | W 3-2 | 1669 | 1768 | 29.9% | 24.3% | 45.9% | +7.3 | 17 |
| 2015-10-23 | @ FSV Frankfurt | L 2-3 | 1768 | 1669 | 45.9% | 24.3% | 29.9% | -7.3 | 21 |
| 2015-10-24 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1715 | 1755 | 37.7% | 24.6% | 37.7% | +13.2 | 15 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1755 | 1715 | 37.7% | 24.6% | 37.7% | -13.2 | 15 |
| 2015-10-24 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1603 | 1749 | 24.4% | 23.5% | 52.1% | +1.2 | 6 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 0-0 | 1749 | 1603 | 52.1% | 23.5% | 24.4% | -1.2 | 16 |
| 2015-10-24 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1722 | 1684 | 48.4% | 24.0% | 27.6% | -16.1 | 11 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Union Berlin | W 2-0 | 1684 | 1722 | 27.6% | 24.0% | 48.4% | +16.1 | 13 |
| 2015-10-25 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 1-0 | 1776 | 1764 | 44.9% | 24.3% | 30.7% | +6.0 | 20 |
| 2015-10-25 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-1 | 1764 | 1776 | 30.7% | 24.3% | 44.9% | -6.0 | 19 |
| 2015-10-25 | SC Freiburg | W 1-0 | 1727 | 1852 | 26.8% | 23.9% | 49.4% | +8.7 | 22 |
| 2015-10-25 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1852 | 1727 | 49.4% | 23.9% | 26.8% | -8.7 | 24 |
| 2015-10-25 | SV Sandhausen | D 0-0 | 1680 | 1765 | 31.6% | 24.4% | 44.0% | +0.5 | 12 |
| 2015-10-25 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1765 | 1680 | 44.0% | 24.4% | 31.6% | -0.5 | 22 |
| 2015-10-30 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1741 | 1681 | 51.3% | 23.6% | 25.1% | -16.9 | 15 |
| 2015-10-30 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1681 | 1741 | 25.1% | 23.6% | 51.3% | +16.9 | 15 |
| 2015-10-30 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1688 | 1701 | 41.6% | 24.5% | 33.9% | +6.4 | 12 |
| 2015-10-30 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1701 | 1688 | 33.9% | 24.5% | 41.6% | -6.5 | 20 |
| 2015-10-30 | St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1760 | 1736 | 46.6% | 24.2% | 29.2% | -0.7 | 22 |
| 2015-10-30 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1736 | 1760 | 29.2% | 24.2% | 46.6% | +0.7 | 23 |
| 2015-10-31 | FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1700 | 1677 | 46.6% | 24.2% | 29.2% | -0.7 | 14 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1677 | 1700 | 29.2% | 24.2% | 46.6% | +0.7 | 18 |
| 2015-10-31 | Union Berlin | L 0-2 | 1758 | 1706 | 50.3% | 23.8% | 25.9% | -16.6 | 19 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-0 | 1706 | 1758 | 25.9% | 23.8% | 50.3% | +16.6 | 14 |
| 2015-11-01 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 2-2 | 1843 | 1782 | 51.4% | 23.6% | 25.0% | -0.8 | 25 |
| 2015-11-01 | @ SC Freiburg | D 2-2 | 1782 | 1843 | 25.0% | 23.6% | 51.4% | +0.8 | 21 |
| 2015-11-01 | MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1657 | 1604 | 50.4% | 23.8% | 25.8% | +5.2 | 9 |
| 2015-11-01 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1604 | 1657 | 25.8% | 23.8% | 50.4% | -5.2 | 6 |
| 2015-11-01 | RB Leipzig | L 1-2 | 1765 | 1761 | 43.8% | 24.4% | 31.8% | -7.4 | 22 |
| 2015-11-01 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 2-1 | 1761 | 1765 | 31.8% | 24.4% | 43.8% | +7.4 | 26 |
| 2015-11-02 | Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1748 | 1728 | 46.1% | 24.2% | 29.6% | -0.7 | 17 |
| 2015-11-02 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1728 | 1748 | 29.6% | 24.2% | 46.1% | +0.7 | 16 |
| 2015-11-06 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1694 | 1698 | 42.9% | 24.5% | 32.7% | -0.4 | 21 |
| 2015-11-06 | @ Greuther Furth | D 0-0 | 1698 | 1694 | 32.7% | 24.5% | 42.9% | +0.4 | 16 |
| 2015-11-06 | SV Sandhausen | L 0-1 | 1677 | 1757 | 32.2% | 24.4% | 43.4% | -6.2 | 18 |
| 2015-11-06 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1757 | 1677 | 43.4% | 24.4% | 32.2% | +6.2 | 25 |
| 2015-11-06 | VfL Bochum | W 3-0 | 1728 | 1760 | 39.0% | 24.6% | 36.4% | +18.7 | 19 |
| 2015-11-06 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-3 | 1760 | 1728 | 36.4% | 24.6% | 39.0% | -18.7 | 22 |
| 2015-11-07 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 3-3 | 1723 | 1747 | 39.9% | 24.6% | 35.6% | -0.1 | 15 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Union Berlin | D 3-3 | 1747 | 1723 | 35.6% | 24.6% | 39.9% | +0.1 | 18 |
| 2015-11-07 | SC Freiburg | D 1-1 | 1599 | 1843 | 16.1% | 20.8% | 63.1% | +1.9 | 7 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1843 | 1599 | 63.1% | 20.8% | 16.1% | -1.9 | 26 |
| 2015-11-08 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1700 | 1742 | 37.4% | 24.6% | 38.0% | +0.0 | 15 |
| 2015-11-08 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1742 | 1700 | 38.0% | 24.6% | 37.4% | -0.0 | 20 |
| 2015-11-08 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-2 | 1769 | 1725 | 49.2% | 23.9% | 26.8% | -16.3 | 26 |
| 2015-11-08 | @ RB Leipzig | W 2-0 | 1725 | 1769 | 26.8% | 23.9% | 49.2% | +16.3 | 18 |
| 2015-11-08 | 1860 Munich | D 0-0 | 1783 | 1662 | 58.4% | 22.2% | 19.4% | -1.7 | 22 |
| 2015-11-08 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1662 | 1783 | 19.4% | 22.2% | 58.4% | +1.8 | 10 |
| 2015-11-09 | Dusseldorf | W 4-0 | 1736 | 1695 | 48.9% | 23.9% | 27.1% | +19.3 | 26 |
| 2015-11-09 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-4 | 1695 | 1736 | 27.1% | 23.9% | 48.9% | -19.3 | 12 |
| 2015-11-20 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-1 | 1763 | 1747 | 45.5% | 24.3% | 30.2% | +9.6 | 28 |
| 2015-11-20 | @ SV Sandhausen | L 1-3 | 1747 | 1763 | 30.2% | 24.3% | 45.5% | -9.6 | 19 |
| 2015-11-20 | MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1675 | 1600 | 53.1% | 23.3% | 23.6% | -1.1 | 13 |
| 2015-11-20 | @ Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1600 | 1675 | 23.6% | 23.3% | 53.1% | +1.2 | 8 |
| 2015-11-20 | Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1741 | 1722 | 45.8% | 24.3% | 29.9% | -0.6 | 23 |
| 2015-11-20 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1722 | 1741 | 29.9% | 24.3% | 45.8% | +0.6 | 16 |
| 2015-11-21 | RB Leipzig | L 0-1 | 1698 | 1752 | 35.7% | 24.6% | 39.7% | -6.7 | 16 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1752 | 1698 | 39.7% | 24.6% | 35.7% | +6.7 | 29 |
| 2015-11-21 | St. Pauli | W 2-0 | 1664 | 1756 | 30.7% | 24.3% | 45.0% | +15.2 | 13 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-2 | 1756 | 1664 | 45.0% | 24.3% | 30.7% | -15.2 | 26 |
| 2015-11-22 | FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1741 | 1671 | 52.5% | 23.4% | 24.1% | -1.1 | 19 |
| 2015-11-22 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1671 | 1741 | 24.1% | 23.4% | 52.5% | +1.1 | 19 |
| 2015-11-22 | Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1741 | 1694 | 49.7% | 23.8% | 26.5% | -8.2 | 20 |
| 2015-11-22 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-1 | 1694 | 1741 | 26.5% | 23.8% | 49.7% | +8.2 | 24 |
| 2015-11-22 | Paderborn 07 | W 4-1 | 1841 | 1700 | 60.6% | 21.6% | 17.8% | +8.5 | 29 |
| 2015-11-22 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-4 | 1700 | 1841 | 17.8% | 21.6% | 60.6% | -8.5 | 15 |
| 2015-11-23 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-1 | 1747 | 1781 | 38.6% | 24.6% | 36.8% | +6.5 | 21 |
| 2015-11-23 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1781 | 1747 | 36.8% | 24.6% | 38.6% | -6.5 | 22 |
| 2015-11-27 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 2-4 | 1702 | 1740 | 38.0% | 24.6% | 37.4% | -10.3 | 24 |
| 2015-11-27 | @ Greuther Furth | W 4-2 | 1740 | 1702 | 37.4% | 24.6% | 38.0% | +10.3 | 22 |
| 2015-11-27 | SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1733 | 1849 | 27.8% | 24.0% | 48.2% | -5.2 | 20 |
| 2015-11-27 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-1 | 1849 | 1733 | 48.2% | 24.0% | 27.8% | +5.2 | 32 |
| 2015-11-27 | VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1774 | 1740 | 47.9% | 24.1% | 28.0% | +5.5 | 25 |
| 2015-11-27 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-1 | 1740 | 1774 | 28.0% | 24.1% | 47.9% | -5.5 | 23 |
| 2015-11-28 | 1860 Munich | D 4-4 | 1691 | 1679 | 45.0% | 24.3% | 30.7% | -0.3 | 16 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 4-4 | 1679 | 1691 | 30.7% | 24.3% | 45.0% | +0.3 | 14 |
| 2015-11-28 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1723 | 1692 | 47.6% | 24.1% | 28.3% | -0.7 | 17 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Union Berlin | D 1-1 | 1692 | 1723 | 28.3% | 24.1% | 47.6% | +0.7 | 17 |
| 2015-11-29 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-4 | 1741 | 1754 | 41.5% | 24.5% | 34.0% | -27.0 | 26 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ St. Pauli | W 4-0 | 1754 | 1741 | 34.0% | 24.5% | 41.5% | +27.0 | 24 |
| 2015-11-29 | Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1672 | 1674 | 43.0% | 24.5% | 32.5% | -7.3 | 19 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1674 | 1672 | 32.5% | 24.5% | 43.0% | +7.3 | 16 |
| 2015-11-29 | SV Sandhausen | W 3-0 | 1602 | 1773 | 22.0% | 22.9% | 55.1% | +26.1 | 11 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-3 | 1773 | 1602 | 55.1% | 22.9% | 22.0% | -26.1 | 28 |
| 2015-11-30 | RB Leipzig | L 0-1 | 1738 | 1759 | 40.3% | 24.6% | 35.1% | -7.4 | 19 |
| 2015-11-30 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1759 | 1738 | 35.1% | 24.6% | 40.3% | +7.4 | 32 |
| 2015-12-04 | FSV Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1680 | 1665 | 45.4% | 24.3% | 30.3% | -8.1 | 14 |
| 2015-12-04 | @ 1860 Munich | W 1-0 | 1665 | 1680 | 30.3% | 24.3% | 45.4% | +8.1 | 22 |
| 2015-12-04 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1747 | 1692 | 50.6% | 23.7% | 25.7% | -1.0 | 29 |
| 2015-12-04 | @ SV Sandhausen | D 1-1 | 1692 | 1747 | 25.7% | 23.7% | 50.6% | +1.0 | 25 |
| 2015-12-04 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1781 | 1691 | 54.9% | 23.0% | 22.1% | +4.2 | 27 |
| 2015-12-04 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1691 | 1781 | 22.1% | 23.0% | 54.9% | -4.2 | 16 |
| 2015-12-05 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1692 | 1730 | 38.0% | 24.6% | 37.4% | +6.6 | 20 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1730 | 1692 | 37.4% | 24.6% | 38.0% | -6.6 | 19 |
| 2015-12-05 | Union Berlin | W 3-0 | 1854 | 1722 | 59.7% | 21.9% | 18.5% | +10.4 | 35 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-3 | 1722 | 1854 | 18.5% | 21.9% | 59.7% | -10.4 | 17 |
| 2015-12-06 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1735 | 1728 | 44.2% | 24.4% | 31.4% | -0.5 | 24 |
| 2015-12-06 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1728 | 1735 | 31.4% | 24.4% | 44.2% | +0.5 | 21 |
| 2015-12-06 | MSV Duisburg | W 4-2 | 1767 | 1628 | 60.4% | 21.6% | 17.9% | +5.4 | 35 |
| 2015-12-06 | @ RB Leipzig | L 2-4 | 1628 | 1767 | 17.9% | 21.6% | 60.4% | -5.4 | 11 |
| 2015-12-06 | St. Pauli | L 1-2 | 1750 | 1714 | 48.2% | 24.0% | 27.7% | -8.0 | 22 |
| 2015-12-06 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1714 | 1750 | 27.7% | 24.0% | 48.2% | +8.0 | 29 |
| 2015-12-07 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1681 | 1780 | 29.9% | 24.3% | 45.9% | +8.2 | 19 |
| 2015-12-07 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1780 | 1681 | 45.9% | 24.3% | 29.9% | -8.2 | 25 |
| 2015-12-11 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 1-3 | 1671 | 1729 | 35.3% | 24.6% | 40.2% | -10.9 | 14 |
| 2015-12-11 | @ 1860 Munich | W 3-1 | 1729 | 1671 | 40.2% | 24.6% | 35.3% | +10.9 | 24 |
| 2015-12-11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-2 | 1746 | 1772 | 39.7% | 24.6% | 35.7% | -13.7 | 29 |
| 2015-12-11 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 2-0 | 1772 | 1746 | 35.7% | 24.6% | 39.7% | +13.8 | 28 |
| 2015-12-11 | Paderborn 07 | W 4-0 | 1734 | 1687 | 49.7% | 23.9% | 26.5% | +18.9 | 27 |
| 2015-12-11 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-4 | 1687 | 1734 | 26.5% | 23.9% | 49.7% | -18.9 | 16 |
| 2015-12-12 | Greuther Furth | W 1-0 | 1724 | 1693 | 47.5% | 24.1% | 28.4% | +5.6 | 22 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1693 | 1724 | 28.4% | 24.1% | 47.5% | -5.6 | 25 |
| 2015-12-12 | Union Berlin | L 0-3 | 1690 | 1712 | 40.2% | 24.6% | 35.2% | -20.2 | 19 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Dusseldorf | W 3-0 | 1712 | 1690 | 35.2% | 24.6% | 40.2% | +20.2 | 20 |
| 2015-12-13 | SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1785 | 1865 | 32.3% | 24.4% | 43.3% | +7.3 | 30 |
| 2015-12-13 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1865 | 1785 | 43.3% | 24.4% | 32.3% | -7.4 | 35 |
| 2015-12-13 | FSV Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1772 | 1673 | 56.0% | 22.8% | 21.3% | +7.1 | 38 |
| 2015-12-13 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-3 | 1673 | 1772 | 21.3% | 22.8% | 56.0% | -7.1 | 22 |
| 2015-12-13 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1742 | 1622 | 58.3% | 22.2% | 19.5% | +7.5 | 25 |
| 2015-12-13 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-2 | 1622 | 1742 | 19.5% | 22.2% | 58.3% | -7.5 | 11 |
| 2015-12-14 | St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1699 | 1722 | 40.1% | 24.6% | 35.3% | -0.2 | 21 |
| 2015-12-14 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1722 | 1699 | 35.3% | 24.6% | 40.1% | +0.2 | 30 |
| 2015-12-18 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1666 | 1699 | 38.7% | 24.6% | 36.7% | -6.7 | 22 |
| 2015-12-18 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1699 | 1666 | 36.7% | 24.6% | 38.7% | +6.7 | 24 |
| 2015-12-18 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1722 | 1729 | 42.3% | 24.5% | 33.2% | -7.2 | 30 |
| 2015-12-18 | @ St. Pauli | W 2-1 | 1729 | 1722 | 33.2% | 24.5% | 42.3% | +7.2 | 25 |
| 2015-12-18 | SV Sandhausen | W 1-0 | 1732 | 1732 | 43.3% | 24.4% | 32.2% | +6.2 | 23 |
| 2015-12-18 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 1732 | 1732 | 32.2% | 24.4% | 43.3% | -6.2 | 29 |
| 2015-12-19 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1739 | 1793 | 35.8% | 24.6% | 39.6% | -18.5 | 24 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3-0 | 1793 | 1739 | 39.6% | 24.6% | 35.8% | +18.5 | 33 |
| 2015-12-19 | RB Leipzig | L 1-2 | 1687 | 1779 | 30.7% | 24.3% | 45.0% | -5.6 | 25 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1779 | 1687 | 45.0% | 24.3% | 30.7% | +5.6 | 41 |
| 2015-12-20 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1785 | 1750 | 48.2% | 24.0% | 27.8% | -0.8 | 29 |
| 2015-12-20 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1750 | 1785 | 27.8% | 24.0% | 48.2% | +0.8 | 26 |
| 2015-12-20 | 1860 Munich | W 3-0 | 1857 | 1661 | 66.3% | 19.7% | 14.0% | +7.8 | 38 |
| 2015-12-20 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-3 | 1661 | 1857 | 14.0% | 19.7% | 66.3% | -7.8 | 14 |
| 2015-12-20 | VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1615 | 1753 | 25.3% | 23.7% | 51.1% | +1.1 | 12 |
| 2015-12-20 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 0-0 | 1753 | 1615 | 51.1% | 23.7% | 25.3% | -1.1 | 28 |
| 2015-12-21 | Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1668 | 1670 | 43.1% | 24.5% | 32.4% | -0.4 | 17 |
| 2015-12-21 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1670 | 1668 | 32.4% | 24.5% | 43.1% | +0.5 | 20 |
| 2016-02-05 | SC Freiburg | W 2-0 | 1752 | 1865 | 28.1% | 24.1% | 47.8% | +16.0 | 31 |
| 2016-02-05 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1865 | 1752 | 47.8% | 24.1% | 28.1% | -15.9 | 38 |
| 2016-02-05 | Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 1726 | 1667 | 51.1% | 23.7% | 25.3% | +5.1 | 32 |
| 2016-02-05 | @ SV Sandhausen | L 0-1 | 1667 | 1726 | 25.3% | 23.7% | 51.1% | -5.1 | 17 |
| 2016-02-05 | Union Berlin | D 2-2 | 1750 | 1738 | 45.0% | 24.3% | 30.7% | -0.4 | 27 |
| 2016-02-05 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 2-2 | 1738 | 1750 | 30.7% | 24.3% | 45.0% | +0.4 | 24 |
| 2016-02-06 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-1 | 1670 | 1721 | 36.1% | 24.6% | 39.3% | -6.8 | 20 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1721 | 1670 | 39.3% | 24.6% | 36.1% | +6.8 | 27 |
| 2016-02-06 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1653 | 1811 | 23.2% | 23.2% | 53.5% | -4.7 | 14 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ 1860 Munich | W 1-0 | 1811 | 1653 | 53.5% | 23.2% | 23.2% | +4.7 | 36 |
| 2016-02-07 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1785 | 1785 | 43.3% | 24.4% | 32.2% | +11.7 | 44 |
| 2016-02-07 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-2 | 1785 | 1785 | 32.2% | 24.4% | 43.3% | -11.7 | 29 |
| 2016-02-07 | FSV Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1736 | 1659 | 53.4% | 23.3% | 23.3% | -1.2 | 26 |
| 2016-02-07 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1659 | 1736 | 23.3% | 23.3% | 53.4% | +1.2 | 23 |
| 2016-02-07 | St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1682 | 1715 | 38.7% | 24.6% | 36.7% | -13.5 | 25 |
| 2016-02-07 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1715 | 1682 | 36.7% | 24.6% | 38.7% | +13.5 | 33 |
| 2016-02-08 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1705 | 1616 | 54.8% | 23.0% | 22.2% | +4.2 | 27 |
| 2016-02-08 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-2 | 1616 | 1705 | 22.2% | 23.0% | 54.8% | -4.3 | 12 |
| 2016-02-12 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-4 | 1662 | 1750 | 31.2% | 24.4% | 44.4% | -21.6 | 17 |
| 2016-02-12 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 4-0 | 1750 | 1662 | 44.4% | 24.4% | 31.2% | +21.6 | 30 |
| 2016-02-12 | Greuther Furth | L 1-2 | 1660 | 1668 | 42.2% | 24.5% | 33.2% | -7.2 | 23 |
| 2016-02-12 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1668 | 1660 | 33.2% | 24.5% | 42.2% | +7.2 | 28 |
| 2016-02-12 | RB Leipzig | W 1-0 | 1728 | 1796 | 33.8% | 24.5% | 41.7% | +7.6 | 36 |
| 2016-02-12 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1796 | 1728 | 41.7% | 24.5% | 33.8% | -7.6 | 44 |
| 2016-02-13 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1612 | 1735 | 26.9% | 23.9% | 49.2% | -5.4 | 12 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1735 | 1612 | 49.2% | 23.9% | 26.9% | +5.3 | 29 |
| 2016-02-13 | SV Sandhausen | D 1-1 | 1728 | 1731 | 42.9% | 24.5% | 32.6% | -0.4 | 28 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1731 | 1728 | 32.6% | 24.5% | 42.9% | +0.4 | 33 |
| 2016-02-14 | 1860 Munich | W 3-0 | 1739 | 1648 | 55.0% | 23.0% | 22.1% | +12.3 | 27 |
| 2016-02-14 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-3 | 1648 | 1739 | 22.1% | 23.0% | 55.0% | -12.3 | 14 |
| 2016-02-14 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1773 | 1710 | 51.7% | 23.6% | 24.8% | +5.0 | 32 |
| 2016-02-14 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 0-1 | 1710 | 1773 | 24.8% | 23.6% | 51.7% | -5.0 | 27 |
| 2016-02-14 | Dusseldorf | L 1-2 | 1849 | 1663 | 65.3% | 20.1% | 14.6% | -10.4 | 38 |
| 2016-02-14 | @ SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1663 | 1849 | 14.6% | 20.1% | 65.3% | +10.4 | 23 |
| 2016-02-15 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1816 | 1768 | 49.7% | 23.8% | 26.5% | -0.9 | 37 |
| 2016-02-15 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1768 | 1816 | 26.5% | 23.8% | 49.7% | +0.9 | 32 |
| 2016-02-19 | FSV Frankfurt | L 1-3 | 1736 | 1653 | 54.0% | 23.2% | 22.8% | -15.3 | 36 |
| 2016-02-19 | @ St. Pauli | W 3-1 | 1653 | 1736 | 22.8% | 23.2% | 54.0% | +15.3 | 26 |
| 2016-02-19 | MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1675 | 1606 | 52.4% | 23.4% | 24.2% | -1.1 | 29 |
| 2016-02-19 | @ Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1606 | 1675 | 24.2% | 23.4% | 52.4% | +1.1 | 13 |
| 2016-02-19 | Union Berlin | W 3-0 | 1789 | 1751 | 48.4% | 24.0% | 27.6% | +15.0 | 47 |
| 2016-02-19 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-3 | 1751 | 1789 | 27.6% | 24.0% | 48.4% | -15.0 | 27 |
| 2016-02-20 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 2-2 | 1772 | 1727 | 49.2% | 23.9% | 26.8% | -0.6 | 31 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 2-2 | 1727 | 1772 | 26.8% | 23.9% | 49.2% | +0.6 | 29 |
| 2016-02-20 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 2-2 | 1741 | 1778 | 38.1% | 24.6% | 37.3% | -0.0 | 30 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1778 | 1741 | 37.3% | 24.6% | 38.1% | +0.0 | 33 |
| 2016-02-21 | SC Freiburg | L 0-2 | 1731 | 1839 | 28.8% | 24.2% | 47.1% | -10.7 | 33 |
| 2016-02-21 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 2-0 | 1839 | 1731 | 47.1% | 24.2% | 28.8% | +10.7 | 41 |
| 2016-02-21 | Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1705 | 1641 | 51.7% | 23.5% | 24.7% | -1.1 | 28 |
| 2016-02-21 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1641 | 1705 | 24.7% | 23.5% | 51.7% | +1.0 | 18 |
| 2016-02-21 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1636 | 1769 | 25.8% | 23.8% | 50.4% | +1.0 | 15 |
| 2016-02-21 | @ 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1769 | 1636 | 50.4% | 23.8% | 25.8% | -0.9 | 33 |
| 2016-02-22 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1674 | 1815 | 25.0% | 23.6% | 51.4% | +1.0 | 24 |
| 2016-02-22 | @ Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1815 | 1674 | 51.4% | 23.6% | 25.0% | -1.0 | 38 |
| 2016-02-26 | Greuther Furth | W 2-1 | 1814 | 1674 | 60.5% | 21.6% | 17.9% | +3.5 | 41 |
| 2016-02-26 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1674 | 1814 | 17.9% | 21.6% | 60.5% | -3.5 | 29 |
| 2016-02-26 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1736 | 1741 | 42.7% | 24.5% | 32.8% | +5.9 | 30 |
| 2016-02-26 | @ Union Berlin | L 1-2 | 1741 | 1736 | 32.8% | 24.5% | 42.7% | -5.9 | 30 |
| 2016-02-26 | RB Leipzig | L 0-1 | 1642 | 1804 | 22.9% | 23.2% | 54.0% | -4.6 | 18 |
| 2016-02-26 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 1804 | 1642 | 54.0% | 23.2% | 22.9% | +4.6 | 50 |
| 2016-02-27 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1849 | 1771 | 53.5% | 23.2% | 23.2% | +8.9 | 44 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-2 | 1771 | 1849 | 23.2% | 23.2% | 53.5% | -8.9 | 31 |
| 2016-02-27 | Dusseldorf | W 3-2 | 1637 | 1675 | 38.0% | 24.6% | 37.4% | +6.2 | 18 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ 1860 Munich | L 2-3 | 1675 | 1637 | 37.4% | 24.6% | 38.0% | -6.2 | 24 |
| 2016-02-27 | SV Sandhausen | W 3-2 | 1768 | 1721 | 49.6% | 23.9% | 26.5% | +4.7 | 36 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ VfL Bochum | L 2-3 | 1721 | 1768 | 26.5% | 23.9% | 49.6% | -4.7 | 33 |
| 2016-02-28 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-2 | 1728 | 1704 | 46.7% | 24.2% | 29.1% | +5.1 | 32 |
| 2016-02-28 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 2-3 | 1704 | 1728 | 29.1% | 24.2% | 46.7% | -5.1 | 28 |
| 2016-02-28 | FSV Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1778 | 1668 | 57.2% | 22.5% | 20.3% | -1.6 | 34 |
| 2016-02-28 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 0-0 | 1668 | 1778 | 20.3% | 22.5% | 57.2% | +1.6 | 27 |
| 2016-02-28 | St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1607 | 1720 | 28.1% | 24.1% | 47.8% | -10.5 | 13 |
| 2016-02-28 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1720 | 1607 | 47.8% | 24.1% | 28.1% | +10.5 | 39 |
| 2016-03-01 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1716 | 1817 | 29.5% | 24.2% | 46.3% | -10.9 | 33 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 2-0 | 1817 | 1716 | 46.3% | 24.2% | 29.5% | +10.9 | 44 |
| 2016-03-01 | 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1762 | 1643 | 58.3% | 22.2% | 19.5% | -10.0 | 31 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 1-0 | 1643 | 1762 | 19.5% | 22.2% | 58.3% | +10.0 | 21 |
| 2016-03-01 | Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1735 | 1637 | 55.8% | 22.8% | 21.4% | -1.5 | 31 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1637 | 1735 | 21.4% | 22.8% | 55.8% | +1.5 | 19 |
| 2016-03-01 | Union Berlin | W 2-0 | 1671 | 1742 | 33.4% | 24.5% | 42.1% | +14.4 | 32 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-2 | 1742 | 1671 | 42.1% | 24.5% | 33.4% | -14.4 | 30 |
| 2016-03-01 | VfL Bochum | L 1-3 | 1668 | 1773 | 29.1% | 24.2% | 46.7% | -9.3 | 24 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ Dusseldorf | W 3-1 | 1773 | 1668 | 46.7% | 24.2% | 29.1% | +9.3 | 39 |
| 2016-03-02 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 3-1 | 1808 | 1733 | 53.1% | 23.3% | 23.5% | +7.8 | 53 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-3 | 1733 | 1808 | 23.5% | 23.3% | 53.1% | -7.8 | 32 |
| 2016-03-02 | SC Freiburg | L 1-4 | 1698 | 1858 | 23.1% | 23.2% | 53.7% | -10.8 | 28 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-1 | 1858 | 1698 | 53.7% | 23.2% | 23.1% | +10.8 | 47 |
| 2016-03-02 | MSV Duisburg | D 3-3 | 1670 | 1597 | 52.9% | 23.4% | 23.8% | -0.7 | 28 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ FSV Frankfurt | D 3-3 | 1597 | 1670 | 23.8% | 23.4% | 52.9% | +0.7 | 14 |
| 2016-03-03 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1731 | 1776 | 36.9% | 24.6% | 38.5% | +7.1 | 42 |
| 2016-03-03 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-1 | 1776 | 1731 | 38.5% | 24.6% | 36.9% | -7.1 | 34 |
| 2016-03-04 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-1 | 1828 | 1752 | 53.2% | 23.3% | 23.5% | +4.5 | 47 |
| 2016-03-04 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1752 | 1828 | 23.5% | 23.3% | 53.2% | -4.5 | 31 |
| 2016-03-04 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1659 | 1733 | 33.0% | 24.5% | 42.5% | -6.3 | 24 |
| 2016-03-04 | @ Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1733 | 1659 | 42.5% | 24.5% | 33.0% | +6.3 | 34 |
| 2016-03-04 | SV Sandhausen | W 3-2 | 1653 | 1705 | 36.0% | 24.6% | 39.4% | +6.5 | 24 |
| 2016-03-04 | @ 1860 Munich | L 2-3 | 1705 | 1653 | 39.4% | 24.6% | 36.0% | -6.5 | 33 |
| 2016-03-05 | FSV Frankfurt | W 4-0 | 1728 | 1669 | 51.0% | 23.7% | 25.3% | +18.2 | 33 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-4 | 1669 | 1728 | 25.3% | 23.7% | 51.0% | -18.2 | 28 |
| 2016-03-05 | Greuther Furth | D 1-1 | 1639 | 1685 | 36.8% | 24.6% | 38.6% | +0.1 | 20 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1685 | 1639 | 38.6% | 24.6% | 36.8% | -0.1 | 33 |
| 2016-03-06 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1782 | 1688 | 55.4% | 22.9% | 21.7% | -1.0 | 40 |
| 2016-03-06 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1688 | 1782 | 21.7% | 22.9% | 55.4% | +1.0 | 29 |
| 2016-03-06 | MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1769 | 1598 | 63.8% | 20.6% | 15.6% | -2.0 | 35 |
| 2016-03-06 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 1-1 | 1598 | 1769 | 15.6% | 20.6% | 63.8% | +2.0 | 15 |
| 2016-03-06 | St. Pauli | W 2-0 | 1725 | 1738 | 41.6% | 24.5% | 33.9% | +12.2 | 35 |
| 2016-03-06 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-2 | 1738 | 1725 | 33.9% | 24.5% | 41.6% | -12.2 | 42 |
| 2016-03-07 | RB Leipzig | W 2-1 | 1869 | 1816 | 50.4% | 23.8% | 25.9% | +4.9 | 50 |
| 2016-03-07 | @ SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1816 | 1869 | 25.9% | 23.8% | 50.4% | -4.9 | 53 |
| 2016-03-11 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-4 | 1689 | 1833 | 24.7% | 23.5% | 51.8% | -17.8 | 29 |
| 2016-03-11 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-0 | 1833 | 1689 | 51.8% | 23.5% | 24.7% | +17.8 | 50 |
| 2016-03-11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-0 | 1685 | 1767 | 31.9% | 24.4% | 43.7% | +21.5 | 36 |
| 2016-03-11 | @ Greuther Furth | L 0-3 | 1767 | 1685 | 43.7% | 24.4% | 31.9% | -21.5 | 35 |
| 2016-03-11 | Paderborn 07 | L 3-4 | 1726 | 1639 | 54.6% | 23.1% | 22.4% | -8.3 | 42 |
| 2016-03-11 | @ St. Pauli | W 4-3 | 1639 | 1726 | 22.4% | 23.1% | 54.6% | +8.2 | 23 |
| 2016-03-12 | Dusseldorf | W 1-0 | 1699 | 1653 | 49.5% | 23.9% | 26.7% | +5.3 | 36 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ SV Sandhausen | L 0-1 | 1653 | 1699 | 26.7% | 23.9% | 49.5% | -5.3 | 24 |
| 2016-03-12 | Union Berlin | W 2-1 | 1600 | 1746 | 24.5% | 23.5% | 52.0% | +8.6 | 18 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1746 | 1600 | 52.0% | 23.5% | 24.5% | -8.6 | 33 |
| 2016-03-13 | 1. FC Heidenheim | D 0-0 | 1739 | 1738 | 43.6% | 24.4% | 32.0% | -0.5 | 35 |
| 2016-03-13 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1738 | 1739 | 32.0% | 24.4% | 43.6% | +0.5 | 36 |
| 2016-03-13 | 1860 Munich | W 2-1 | 1811 | 1659 | 61.8% | 21.2% | 17.0% | +3.3 | 56 |
| 2016-03-13 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-2 | 1659 | 1811 | 17.0% | 21.2% | 61.8% | -3.3 | 24 |
| 2016-03-13 | SC Freiburg | L 1-3 | 1651 | 1874 | 17.6% | 21.5% | 60.9% | -5.9 | 28 |
| 2016-03-13 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1874 | 1651 | 60.9% | 21.5% | 17.6% | +5.9 | 53 |
| 2016-03-14 | VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1748 | 1781 | 38.6% | 24.6% | 36.8% | -13.5 | 31 |
| 2016-03-14 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 2-0 | 1781 | 1748 | 36.8% | 24.6% | 38.6% | +13.5 | 43 |
| 2016-03-18 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 3-1 | 1737 | 1746 | 42.1% | 24.5% | 33.4% | +10.4 | 36 |
| 2016-03-18 | @ Union Berlin | L 1-3 | 1746 | 1737 | 33.4% | 24.5% | 42.1% | -10.4 | 35 |
| 2016-03-18 | FSV Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1738 | 1645 | 55.2% | 22.9% | 21.8% | -1.0 | 37 |
| 2016-03-18 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 2-2 | 1645 | 1738 | 21.8% | 22.9% | 55.2% | +1.0 | 29 |
| 2016-03-18 | MSV Duisburg | D 0-0 | 1647 | 1608 | 48.5% | 24.0% | 27.5% | -0.9 | 24 |
| 2016-03-18 | @ Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 1608 | 1647 | 27.5% | 24.0% | 48.5% | +0.9 | 19 |
| 2016-03-19 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 4-3 | 1647 | 1734 | 31.3% | 24.4% | 44.3% | +6.9 | 27 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ Dusseldorf | L 3-4 | 1734 | 1647 | 44.3% | 24.4% | 31.3% | -6.9 | 31 |
| 2016-03-19 | St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1704 | 1718 | 41.4% | 24.5% | 34.0% | -14.2 | 36 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 2-0 | 1718 | 1704 | 34.0% | 24.5% | 41.4% | +14.2 | 45 |
| 2016-03-20 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1656 | 1671 | 41.3% | 24.6% | 34.2% | -0.3 | 25 |
| 2016-03-20 | @ 1860 Munich | D 1-1 | 1671 | 1656 | 34.2% | 24.6% | 41.3% | +0.3 | 30 |
| 2016-03-20 | Greuther Furth | D 2-2 | 1794 | 1707 | 54.7% | 23.0% | 22.3% | -1.0 | 44 |
| 2016-03-20 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1707 | 1794 | 22.3% | 23.0% | 54.7% | +1.0 | 37 |
| 2016-03-20 | RB Leipzig | W 3-1 | 1850 | 1815 | 48.2% | 24.0% | 27.8% | +9.0 | 53 |
| 2016-03-20 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-3 | 1815 | 1850 | 27.8% | 24.0% | 48.2% | -9.0 | 56 |
| 2016-03-21 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1880 | 1739 | 60.7% | 21.6% | 17.8% | +3.6 | 56 |
| 2016-03-21 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-1 | 1739 | 1880 | 17.8% | 21.6% | 60.7% | -3.7 | 35 |
| 2016-04-01 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-2 | 1609 | 1737 | 26.4% | 23.8% | 49.8% | -9.9 | 19 |
| 2016-04-01 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1737 | 1609 | 49.8% | 23.8% | 26.4% | +9.9 | 40 |
| 2016-04-01 | Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1735 | 1646 | 54.8% | 23.0% | 22.2% | +4.2 | 38 |
| 2016-04-01 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-2 | 1646 | 1735 | 22.2% | 23.0% | 54.8% | -4.2 | 24 |
| 2016-04-01 | Union Berlin | D 0-0 | 1732 | 1748 | 41.1% | 24.6% | 34.3% | -0.3 | 46 |
| 2016-04-01 | @ St. Pauli | D 0-0 | 1748 | 1732 | 34.3% | 24.6% | 41.1% | +0.3 | 37 |
| 2016-04-02 | Dusseldorf | D 0-0 | 1671 | 1654 | 45.6% | 24.3% | 30.1% | -0.7 | 31 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1654 | 1671 | 30.1% | 24.3% | 45.6% | +0.7 | 28 |
| 2016-04-02 | VfL Bochum | W 3-1 | 1806 | 1793 | 45.0% | 24.3% | 30.7% | +9.7 | 59 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ RB Leipzig | L 1-3 | 1793 | 1806 | 30.7% | 24.3% | 45.0% | -9.7 | 44 |
| 2016-04-03 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-3 | 1646 | 1859 | 18.4% | 21.8% | 59.8% | -10.3 | 29 |
| 2016-04-03 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 3-0 | 1859 | 1646 | 59.8% | 21.8% | 18.4% | +10.3 | 56 |
| 2016-04-03 | 1860 Munich | W 3-1 | 1735 | 1656 | 53.6% | 23.2% | 23.1% | +7.7 | 38 |
| 2016-04-03 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-3 | 1656 | 1735 | 23.1% | 23.2% | 53.6% | -7.7 | 25 |
| 2016-04-03 | SV Sandhausen | W 2-0 | 1727 | 1690 | 48.4% | 24.0% | 27.6% | +10.3 | 34 |
| 2016-04-03 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-2 | 1690 | 1727 | 27.6% | 24.0% | 48.4% | -10.3 | 36 |
| 2016-04-04 | SC Freiburg | L 2-3 | 1708 | 1884 | 21.5% | 22.8% | 55.6% | -3.9 | 37 |
| 2016-04-04 | @ Greuther Furth | W 3-2 | 1884 | 1708 | 55.6% | 22.8% | 21.5% | +3.9 | 59 |
| 2016-04-08 | Eintracht Braunschweig | D 2-2 | 1747 | 1740 | 44.4% | 24.4% | 31.3% | -0.4 | 41 |
| 2016-04-08 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 2-2 | 1740 | 1747 | 31.3% | 24.4% | 44.4% | +0.4 | 39 |
| 2016-04-08 | Greuther Furth | L 0-1 | 1648 | 1704 | 35.5% | 24.6% | 39.9% | -6.7 | 25 |
| 2016-04-08 | @ 1860 Munich | W 1-0 | 1704 | 1648 | 39.9% | 24.6% | 35.5% | +6.7 | 40 |
| 2016-04-08 | Union Berlin | L 0-4 | 1642 | 1748 | 28.9% | 24.2% | 46.9% | -20.4 | 24 |
| 2016-04-08 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 4-0 | 1748 | 1642 | 46.9% | 24.2% | 28.9% | +20.4 | 40 |
| 2016-04-09 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-4 | 1679 | 1670 | 44.5% | 24.4% | 31.1% | -18.4 | 36 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ SV Sandhausen | W 4-1 | 1670 | 1679 | 31.1% | 24.4% | 44.5% | +18.4 | 34 |
| 2016-04-09 | FSV Frankfurt | W 4-1 | 1784 | 1636 | 61.4% | 21.4% | 17.2% | +8.2 | 47 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-4 | 1636 | 1784 | 17.2% | 21.4% | 61.4% | -8.2 | 29 |
| 2016-04-10 | Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1738 | 1743 | 42.6% | 24.5% | 32.9% | -0.4 | 35 |
| 2016-04-10 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 0-0 | 1743 | 1738 | 32.9% | 24.5% | 42.6% | +0.4 | 39 |
| 2016-04-10 | MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1870 | 1599 | 72.9% | 17.0% | 10.2% | -11.3 | 56 |
| 2016-04-10 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1599 | 1870 | 10.2% | 17.0% | 72.9% | +11.3 | 22 |
| 2016-04-10 | St. Pauli | W 4-3 | 1888 | 1731 | 62.2% | 21.1% | 16.7% | +3.0 | 62 |
| 2016-04-10 | @ SC Freiburg | L 3-4 | 1731 | 1888 | 16.7% | 21.1% | 62.2% | -3.0 | 46 |
| 2016-04-11 | RB Leipzig | L 1-3 | 1655 | 1815 | 23.0% | 23.2% | 53.8% | -7.6 | 28 |
| 2016-04-11 | @ Dusseldorf | W 3-1 | 1815 | 1655 | 53.8% | 23.2% | 23.0% | +7.6 | 62 |
| 2016-04-15 | 1860 Munich | W 2-1 | 1610 | 1642 | 39.0% | 24.6% | 36.4% | +6.4 | 25 |
| 2016-04-15 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1642 | 1610 | 36.4% | 24.6% | 39.0% | -6.4 | 25 |
| 2016-04-15 | Paderborn 07 | L 0-2 | 1628 | 1621 | 44.2% | 24.4% | 31.4% | -14.9 | 29 |
| 2016-04-15 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1621 | 1628 | 31.4% | 24.4% | 44.2% | +15.0 | 27 |
| 2016-04-15 | SV Sandhausen | L 0-1 | 1823 | 1661 | 62.9% | 20.9% | 16.2% | -10.7 | 62 |
| 2016-04-15 | @ RB Leipzig | W 1-0 | 1661 | 1823 | 16.2% | 20.9% | 62.9% | +10.7 | 39 |
| 2016-04-16 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1743 | 1858 | 27.9% | 24.1% | 48.1% | +8.0 | 42 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1858 | 1743 | 48.1% | 24.1% | 27.9% | -8.0 | 56 |
| 2016-04-16 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1728 | 1792 | 34.4% | 24.6% | 41.0% | +14.1 | 49 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ St. Pauli | L 0-2 | 1792 | 1728 | 41.0% | 24.6% | 34.4% | -14.1 | 47 |
| 2016-04-17 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 1-0 | 1768 | 1747 | 46.3% | 24.2% | 29.5% | +5.8 | 43 |
| 2016-04-17 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 1747 | 1768 | 29.5% | 24.2% | 46.3% | -5.8 | 41 |
| 2016-04-17 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 0-1 | 1689 | 1737 | 36.5% | 24.6% | 38.9% | -6.8 | 34 |
| 2016-04-17 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1737 | 1689 | 38.9% | 24.6% | 36.5% | +6.8 | 38 |
| 2016-04-17 | Dusseldorf | W 3-1 | 1710 | 1647 | 51.6% | 23.6% | 24.8% | +8.2 | 43 |
| 2016-04-17 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-3 | 1647 | 1710 | 24.8% | 23.6% | 51.6% | -8.1 | 28 |
| 2016-04-18 | SC Freiburg | D 2-2 | 1740 | 1891 | 24.0% | 23.4% | 52.6% | +0.8 | 40 |
| 2016-04-18 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | D 2-2 | 1891 | 1740 | 52.6% | 23.4% | 24.0% | -0.8 | 63 |
| 2016-04-22 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1778 | 1751 | 46.9% | 24.2% | 28.9% | -0.7 | 48 |
| 2016-04-22 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1751 | 1778 | 28.9% | 24.2% | 46.9% | +0.7 | 43 |
| 2016-04-22 | MSV Duisburg | W 3-0 | 1890 | 1617 | 73.0% | 16.9% | 10.1% | +5.4 | 66 |
| 2016-04-22 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-3 | 1617 | 1890 | 10.1% | 16.9% | 73.0% | -5.5 | 25 |
| 2016-04-22 | St. Pauli | D 1-1 | 1639 | 1743 | 29.3% | 24.2% | 46.5% | +0.6 | 29 |
| 2016-04-22 | @ Dusseldorf | D 1-1 | 1743 | 1639 | 46.5% | 24.2% | 29.3% | -0.7 | 50 |
| 2016-04-23 | Paderborn 07 | D 1-1 | 1741 | 1636 | 56.6% | 22.6% | 20.8% | -1.4 | 42 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | D 1-1 | 1636 | 1741 | 20.8% | 22.6% | 56.6% | +1.4 | 28 |
| 2016-04-23 | Union Berlin | W 6-2 | 1850 | 1774 | 53.3% | 23.3% | 23.4% | +12.0 | 59 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 2-6 | 1774 | 1850 | 23.4% | 23.3% | 53.3% | -12.0 | 43 |
| 2016-04-24 | Eintracht Braunschweig | W 1-0 | 1635 | 1741 | 29.0% | 24.2% | 46.8% | +8.3 | 28 |
| 2016-04-24 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1741 | 1635 | 46.8% | 24.2% | 29.0% | -8.3 | 40 |
| 2016-04-24 | FSV Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1672 | 1613 | 51.1% | 23.6% | 25.2% | +5.1 | 42 |
| 2016-04-24 | @ SV Sandhausen | L 0-1 | 1613 | 1672 | 25.2% | 23.6% | 51.1% | -5.1 | 29 |
| 2016-04-24 | Greuther Furth | W 4-2 | 1682 | 1718 | 38.2% | 24.6% | 37.2% | +10.1 | 37 |
| 2016-04-24 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-4 | 1718 | 1682 | 37.2% | 24.6% | 38.2% | -10.1 | 43 |
| 2016-04-25 | RB Leipzig | D 1-1 | 1744 | 1812 | 33.7% | 24.5% | 41.7% | +0.3 | 39 |
| 2016-04-25 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | D 1-1 | 1812 | 1744 | 41.7% | 24.5% | 33.7% | -0.3 | 63 |
| 2016-04-29 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-4 | 1608 | 1744 | 25.5% | 23.7% | 50.9% | -11.8 | 29 |
| 2016-04-29 | @ FSV Frankfurt | W 4-1 | 1744 | 1608 | 50.9% | 23.7% | 25.5% | +11.8 | 42 |
| 2016-04-29 | 1860 Munich | L 0-2 | 1742 | 1643 | 55.9% | 22.8% | 21.3% | -18.2 | 50 |
| 2016-04-29 | @ St. Pauli | W 2-0 | 1643 | 1742 | 21.3% | 22.8% | 55.9% | +18.2 | 31 |
| 2016-04-29 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1812 | 1692 | 58.3% | 22.2% | 19.5% | -1.6 | 64 |
| 2016-04-29 | @ RB Leipzig | D 1-1 | 1692 | 1812 | 19.5% | 22.2% | 58.3% | +1.5 | 38 |
| 2016-04-29 | Dusseldorf | W 2-1 | 1611 | 1640 | 39.4% | 24.6% | 36.1% | +6.4 | 28 |
| 2016-04-29 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1640 | 1611 | 36.1% | 24.6% | 39.4% | -6.4 | 29 |
| 2016-04-29 | SC Freiburg | L 1-2 | 1638 | 1895 | 15.2% | 20.4% | 64.4% | -2.9 | 28 |
| 2016-04-29 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 2-1 | 1895 | 1638 | 64.4% | 20.4% | 15.2% | +2.9 | 69 |
| 2016-04-29 | VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1762 | 1777 | 41.2% | 24.6% | 34.2% | +6.5 | 46 |
| 2016-04-29 | @ Union Berlin | L 0-1 | 1777 | 1762 | 34.2% | 24.6% | 41.2% | -6.5 | 48 |
| 2016-04-30 | 1. FC Heidenheim | L 0-2 | 1708 | 1739 | 39.0% | 24.6% | 36.4% | -13.5 | 43 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Greuther Furth | W 2-0 | 1739 | 1708 | 36.4% | 24.6% | 39.0% | +13.5 | 45 |
| 2016-04-30 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-1 | 1732 | 1862 | 26.2% | 23.8% | 50.0% | +14.3 | 43 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | L 1-3 | 1862 | 1732 | 50.0% | 23.8% | 26.2% | -14.3 | 59 |
| 2016-05-02 | SV Sandhausen | W 3-0 | 1752 | 1677 | 53.2% | 23.3% | 23.5% | +13.0 | 46 |
| 2016-05-02 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-3 | 1677 | 1752 | 23.5% | 23.3% | 53.2% | -13.0 | 42 |
| 2016-05-08 | 1. FC Heidenheim | W 2-0 | 1898 | 1753 | 61.1% | 21.4% | 17.4% | +6.8 | 72 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ SC Freiburg | L 0-2 | 1753 | 1898 | 17.4% | 21.4% | 61.1% | -6.8 | 45 |
| 2016-05-08 | Eintracht Braunschweig | L 2-3 | 1771 | 1747 | 46.6% | 24.2% | 29.2% | -7.4 | 48 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-2 | 1747 | 1771 | 29.2% | 24.2% | 46.6% | +7.4 | 46 |
| 2016-05-08 | FSV Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1633 | 1596 | 48.4% | 24.0% | 27.6% | +5.5 | 32 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ Dusseldorf | L 0-1 | 1596 | 1633 | 27.6% | 24.0% | 48.4% | -5.5 | 29 |
| 2016-05-08 | Greuther Furth | W 3-1 | 1756 | 1695 | 51.4% | 23.6% | 25.0% | +8.2 | 45 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | L 1-3 | 1695 | 1756 | 25.0% | 23.6% | 51.4% | -8.2 | 43 |
| 2016-05-08 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1810 | 1765 | 49.4% | 23.9% | 26.7% | +10.0 | 67 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-2 | 1765 | 1810 | 26.7% | 23.9% | 49.4% | -10.0 | 46 |
| 2016-05-08 | MSV Duisburg | D 2-2 | 1664 | 1618 | 49.4% | 23.9% | 26.7% | -0.7 | 43 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ SV Sandhausen | D 2-2 | 1618 | 1664 | 26.7% | 23.9% | 49.4% | +0.7 | 29 |
| 2016-05-08 | Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 1662 | 1635 | 47.0% | 24.2% | 28.9% | +5.7 | 34 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ 1860 Munich | L 0-1 | 1635 | 1662 | 28.9% | 24.2% | 47.0% | -5.7 | 28 |
| 2016-05-08 | St. Pauli | W 1-0 | 1848 | 1724 | 58.9% | 22.1% | 19.1% | +3.9 | 62 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1724 | 1848 | 19.1% | 22.1% | 58.9% | -3.9 | 50 |
| 2016-05-08 | Union Berlin | W 2-0 | 1694 | 1768 | 32.9% | 24.5% | 42.6% | +14.5 | 41 |
| 2016-05-08 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1768 | 1694 | 42.6% | 24.5% | 32.9% | -14.5 | 46 |
| 2016-05-15 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | W 5-2 | 1720 | 1764 | 37.0% | 24.6% | 38.4% | +14.2 | 53 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ St. Pauli | L 2-5 | 1764 | 1720 | 38.4% | 24.6% | 37.0% | -14.2 | 45 |
| 2016-05-15 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1629 | 1852 | 17.6% | 21.5% | 60.9% | -3.6 | 28 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 1852 | 1629 | 60.9% | 21.5% | 17.6% | +3.6 | 65 |
| 2016-05-15 | 1860 Munich | W 2-1 | 1590 | 1667 | 32.6% | 24.5% | 42.9% | +7.3 | 32 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ FSV Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1667 | 1590 | 42.9% | 24.5% | 32.6% | -7.3 | 34 |
| 2016-05-15 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1755 | 1708 | 49.6% | 23.9% | 26.6% | -0.9 | 47 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1708 | 1755 | 26.6% | 23.9% | 49.6% | +0.9 | 42 |
| 2016-05-15 | Dusseldorf | L 0-2 | 1754 | 1639 | 57.8% | 22.3% | 19.8% | -18.8 | 46 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | W 2-0 | 1639 | 1754 | 19.8% | 22.3% | 57.8% | +18.8 | 35 |
| 2016-05-15 | SC Freiburg | W 2-1 | 1754 | 1905 | 24.0% | 23.4% | 52.6% | +8.6 | 49 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Union Berlin | L 1-2 | 1905 | 1754 | 52.6% | 23.4% | 24.0% | -8.6 | 72 |
| 2016-05-15 | RB Leipzig | W 1-0 | 1618 | 1820 | 19.3% | 22.1% | 58.6% | +10.1 | 32 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1820 | 1618 | 58.6% | 22.1% | 19.3% | -10.1 | 67 |
| 2016-05-15 | SV Sandhausen | W 3-1 | 1687 | 1663 | 46.5% | 24.2% | 29.2% | +9.4 | 46 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ Greuther Furth | L 1-3 | 1663 | 1687 | 29.2% | 24.2% | 46.5% | -9.4 | 43 |
| 2016-05-15 | VfL Bochum | L 2-4 | 1746 | 1763 | 40.9% | 24.6% | 34.5% | -10.9 | 45 |
| 2016-05-15 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | W 4-2 | 1763 | 1746 | 34.5% | 24.6% | 40.9% | +10.9 | 51 |
Playoff Game Log
Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-05-19 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1841 | 1856 | 41.2% | 24.6% | 34.2% | -0.3 | 0-0-1 |
| 2016-05-19 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1856 | 1841 | 34.2% | 24.6% | 41.2% | +0.3 | 0-0-1 |
| 2016-05-20 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1628 | 1629 | 43.3% | 24.4% | 32.3% | +11.7 | 1-0 |
| 2016-05-20 | @ Wurzburger Kickers | L 0-2 | 1629 | 1628 | 32.3% | 24.4% | 43.3% | -11.7 | 0-1 |
| 2016-05-23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1856 | 1840 | 45.5% | 24.3% | 30.2% | -8.1 | 0-1-1 |
| 2016-05-23 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1840 | 1856 | 30.2% | 24.3% | 45.5% | +8.1 | 1-0-1 |
| 2016-05-24 | Wurzburger Kickers | L 1-2 | 1617 | 1640 | 40.1% | 24.6% | 35.3% | -6.9 | 0-2 |
| 2016-05-24 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1640 | 1617 | 35.3% | 24.6% | 40.1% | +6.9 | 2-0 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2016-04-10 | 10.17% | MSV Duisburg | 1599 | 2 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 1870 | 1 |
| 2 | 2016-02-14 | 14.65% | Dusseldorf | 1663 | 2 | @ SC Freiburg | 1849 | 1 |
| 3 | 2016-04-15 | 16.23% | SV Sandhausen | 1661 | 1 | @ RB Leipzig | 1823 | 0 |
| 4 | 2016-05-15 | 19.27% | @ MSV Duisburg | 1618 | 1 | RB Leipzig | 1820 | 0 |
| 5 | 2016-03-01 | 19.52% | 1860 Munich | 1643 | 1 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1762 | 0 |
| 6 | 2016-05-15 | 19.84% | Dusseldorf | 1639 | 2 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 1754 | 0 |
| 7 | 2015-08-15 | 20.90% | VfL Bochum | 1723 | 3 | @ SC Freiburg | 1827 | 1 |
| 8 | 2016-04-29 | 21.32% | 1860 Munich | 1643 | 2 | @ St. Pauli | 1742 | 0 |
| 9 | 2015-11-29 | 21.97% | @ MSV Duisburg | 1602 | 3 | SV Sandhausen | 1773 | 0 |
| 10 | 2016-03-11 | 22.39% | Paderborn 07 | 1639 | 4 | @ St. Pauli | 1726 | 3 |
| 11 | 2016-02-19 | 22.81% | FSV Frankfurt | 1653 | 3 | @ St. Pauli | 1736 | 1 |
| 12 | 2016-05-15 | 23.96% | @ Union Berlin | 1754 | 2 | SC Freiburg | 1905 | 1 |
| 13 | 2015-09-28 | 24.15% | Greuther Furth | 1727 | 1 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 1797 | 0 |
| 14 | 2015-08-02 | 24.22% | St. Pauli | 1708 | 2 | @ Karlsruher SC | 1777 | 1 |
| 15 | 2016-03-12 | 24.46% | @ MSV Duisburg | 1600 | 2 | Union Berlin | 1746 | 1 |
| 16 | 2015-10-30 | 25.06% | Arminia Bielefeld | 1681 | 2 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1741 | 0 |
| 17 | 2015-10-31 | 25.95% | Union Berlin | 1706 | 2 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | 1758 | 0 |
| 18 | 2016-04-30 | 26.19% | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 1732 | 3 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1862 | 1 |
| 19 | 2015-11-22 | 26.47% | Greuther Furth | 1694 | 2 | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | 1741 | 1 |
| 20 | 2015-10-25 | 26.75% | @ St. Pauli | 1727 | 1 | SC Freiburg | 1852 | 0 |
| 21 | 2015-07-26 | 26.78% | VfL Bochum | 1700 | 1 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1745 | 0 |
| 22 | 2015-10-16 | 26.82% | @ Paderborn 07 | 1668 | 2 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 1792 | 0 |
| 23 | 2015-11-08 | 26.84% | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1725 | 2 | @ RB Leipzig | 1769 | 0 |
| 24 | 2015-10-24 | 27.58% | Paderborn 07 | 1684 | 2 | @ Union Berlin | 1722 | 0 |
| 25 | 2015-12-06 | 27.73% | St. Pauli | 1714 | 2 | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1750 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2015-08-14 | 42.95 | SV Sandhausen | 6 | 1724 | 29.70% | @ Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1743 | 46.05% | 24.25% |
| 2 | 2015-08-30 | 39.08 | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 1719 | 34.51% | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1781 | 40.93% | 24.56% |
| 3 | 2015-10-03 | 33.94 | VfL Bochum | 5 | 1742 | 32.94% | @ Greuther Furth | 0 | 1736 | 42.57% | 24.49% |
| 4 | 2015-11-29 | 26.98 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 4 | 1754 | 33.99% | @ St. Pauli | 0 | 1741 | 41.47% | 24.54% |
| 5 | 2015-11-29 | 26.12 | @ MSV Duisburg | 3 | 1602 | 21.97% | SV Sandhausen | 0 | 1773 | 55.08% | 22.95% |
| 6 | 2015-10-02 | 24.84 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 4 | 1736 | 38.14% | @ FSV Frankfurt | 0 | 1693 | 37.25% | 24.61% |
| 7 | 2015-09-12 | 22.86 | Union Berlin | 3 | 1715 | 28.79% | @ Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1742 | 47.05% | 24.16% |
| 8 | 2015-09-22 | 22.85 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 1734 | 28.80% | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0 | 1762 | 47.04% | 24.16% |
| 9 | 2016-02-12 | 21.65 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 4 | 1750 | 44.40% | @ Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1662 | 31.22% | 24.38% |
| 10 | 2016-03-11 | 21.51 | @ Greuther Furth | 3 | 1685 | 31.91% | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 1767 | 43.66% | 24.43% |
| 11 | 2015-09-23 | 21.23 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 5 | 1775 | 52.81% | @ MSV Duisburg | 0 | 1623 | 23.82% | 23.38% |
| 12 | 2016-04-08 | 20.36 | Union Berlin | 4 | 1748 | 46.89% | @ Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1642 | 28.94% | 24.17% |
| 13 | 2015-12-12 | 20.16 | Union Berlin | 3 | 1712 | 35.20% | @ Dusseldorf | 0 | 1690 | 40.22% | 24.58% |
| 14 | 2015-11-09 | 19.27 | @ St. Pauli | 4 | 1736 | 48.95% | Dusseldorf | 0 | 1695 | 27.11% | 23.95% |
| 15 | 2015-12-11 | 18.90 | @ VfL Bochum | 4 | 1734 | 49.66% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1687 | 26.48% | 23.86% |
| 16 | 2016-05-15 | 18.75 | Dusseldorf | 2 | 1639 | 19.84% | @ Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 | 1754 | 57.83% | 22.33% |
| 17 | 2015-11-06 | 18.70 | @ Karlsruher SC | 3 | 1728 | 38.96% | VfL Bochum | 0 | 1760 | 36.44% | 24.60% |
| 18 | 2015-09-13 | 18.50 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 3 | 1758 | 39.48% | @ FSV Frankfurt | 0 | 1705 | 35.92% | 24.60% |
| 19 | 2015-12-19 | 18.46 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 1793 | 39.59% | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | 0 | 1739 | 35.82% | 24.59% |
| 20 | 2016-04-09 | 18.44 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 1670 | 31.08% | @ SV Sandhausen | 1 | 1679 | 44.55% | 24.37% |
| 21 | 2016-04-29 | 18.21 | 1860 Munich | 2 | 1643 | 21.32% | @ St. Pauli | 0 | 1742 | 55.91% | 22.77% |
| 22 | 2016-03-05 | 18.16 | @ Union Berlin | 4 | 1728 | 51.04% | FSV Frankfurt | 0 | 1669 | 25.30% | 23.66% |
| 23 | 2016-03-11 | 17.78 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 4 | 1833 | 51.77% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 1689 | 24.68% | 23.55% |
| 24 | 2015-10-30 | 16.93 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1681 | 25.06% | @ 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 0 | 1741 | 51.32% | 23.62% |
| 25 | 2015-10-31 | 16.64 | Union Berlin | 2 | 1706 | 25.95% | @ 1. FC Heidenheim | 0 | 1758 | 50.27% | 23.77% |