2007-08 Bundesliga Season
306 games
Champion
Bayern Munich
76 points · 20th Title
Last Title: 2005-06
Relegated
MSV Duisburg
29 pts
Hansa Rostock · 30 pts
1. FC Nurnberg · 31 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Bayern Munich
12.26 points above expected
76 points · 63.74 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
1. FC Nurnberg
13.08 points below expected
31 points · 44.08 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich Champion | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 76 | 68 | 21 | +47 | 63.74 | +12.26 |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 66 | 75 | 45 | +30 | 58.55 | +7.45 |
| 3 | Schalke 04 | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 64 | 55 | 32 | +23 | 56.36 | +7.64 |
| 4 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 54 | 47 | 26 | +21 | 55.96 | -1.96 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 58 | 46 | +12 | 44.01 | +9.99 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 57 | 57 | 0 | 52.09 | -0.09 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51 | 57 | 40 | +17 | 55.05 | -4.05 |
| 8 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 44.33 | +4.67 |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 43.36 | +2.64 |
| 10 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43.52 | +0.48 |
| 11 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 42.09 | +0.91 |
| 12 | VfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 47.01 | -6.01 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 44.44 | -4.44 |
| 14 | Energie Cottbus | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 37.00 | -1.00 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 38.05 | -4.05 |
| 16 | 1. FC Nurnberg Relegated | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 44.08 | -13.08 |
| 17 | Hansa Rostock Relegated | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 34.47 | -4.47 |
| 18 | MSV Duisburg Relegated | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 29 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36.97 | -7.97 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 2032 | 76 | 63.74 | +12.26 | 96.2% | 32 | 52 | 59 | 64 | 69 | 76 | 89 |
| Werder Bremen | 1984 | 66 | 58.55 | +7.45 | 85.5% | 32 | 46 | 54 | 59 | 64 | 71 | 85 |
| Schalke 04 | 1966 | 64 | 56.36 | +7.64 | 86.2% | 27 | 44 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 69 | 87 |
| Hamburger SV | 1928 | 54 | 55.96 | -1.96 | 42.3% | 14 | 44 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 68 | 84 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1902 | 51 | 55.05 | -4.05 | 31.8% | 27 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 60 | 67 | 83 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1889 | 54 | 44.01 | +9.99 | 92.4% | 17 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 72 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1876 | 52 | 52.09 | -0.09 | 52.1% | 25 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 83 |
| Hannover 96 | 1849 | 49 | 44.33 | +4.67 | 75.8% | 15 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 72 |
| VfL Bochum | 1832 | 41 | 47.01 | -6.01 | 22.8% | 22 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 77 |
| Hertha BSC | 1830 | 44 | 43.52 | +0.48 | 55.3% | 18 | 32 | 39 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 73 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1818 | 46 | 43.36 | +2.64 | 67.1% | 17 | 32 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 56 | 69 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1810 | 40 | 44.44 | -4.44 | 29.9% | 18 | 33 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 57 | 73 |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 1806 | 31 | 44.08 | -13.08 | 4.2% | 16 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 72 |
| Energie Cottbus | 1774 | 36 | 37.00 | -1.00 | 48.7% | 14 | 26 | 32 | 37 | 42 | 49 | 61 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1772 | 43 | 42.09 | +0.91 | 58.5% | 14 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 54 | 68 |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 1765 | 34 | 38.05 | -4.05 | 31.2% | 13 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 68 |
| MSV Duisburg | 1751 | 29 | 36.97 | -7.97 | 14.3% | 13 | 26 | 32 | 37 | 42 | 49 | 67 |
| Hansa Rostock | 1733 | 30 | 34.47 | -4.47 | 28.8% | 11 | 23 | 30 | 34 | 39 | 47 | 59 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FN | AB | BL | BM | BD | EF | EC | HS | H9 | HR | HB | KS | MD | S0 | VS | VB | VW | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | — |
0-1-1
3.16
|
0-0-2
2.12
|
0-1-1
1.61
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
2-0-0
2.58
|
0-2-0
3.16
|
0-1-1
2.08
|
0-1-1
2.80
|
1-1-0
3.34
|
1-0-1
2.72
|
0-0-2
3.06
|
1-0-1
3.22
|
0-0-2
1.90
|
0-0-2
2.39
|
0-2-0
2.49
|
1-0-1
2.65
|
0-0-2
2.15
|
| Arminia Bielefeld |
1-1-0
2.32
|
— |
1-0-1
1.70
|
0-0-2
1.34
|
0-1-1
2.32
|
0-1-1
2.59
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
0-1-1
1.74
|
0-1-1
2.54
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
1-1-0
2.30
|
0-0-2
2.97
|
0-0-2
1.84
|
1-1-0
1.83
|
1-0-1
2.11
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
0-1-1
1.67
|
| Bayer Leverkusen |
2-0-0
3.39
|
1-0-1
3.82
|
— |
0-0-2
2.35
|
0-1-1
3.33
|
0-0-2
3.42
|
1-1-0
3.58
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
2-0-0
3.34
|
2-0-0
4.01
|
1-0-1
3.37
|
1-1-0
3.43
|
1-0-1
3.86
|
1-1-0
2.67
|
1-0-1
2.93
|
1-0-1
3.20
|
1-1-0
3.33
|
0-0-2
2.39
|
| Bayern Munich |
1-1-0
3.93
|
2-0-0
4.26
|
2-0-0
3.13
|
— |
1-1-0
3.85
|
1-1-0
3.96
|
1-0-1
4.26
|
0-2-0
3.19
|
2-0-0
3.68
|
2-0-0
4.03
|
1-1-0
3.98
|
2-0-0
3.86
|
1-1-0
4.38
|
1-1-0
3.18
|
1-0-1
3.58
|
2-0-0
3.75
|
1-1-0
3.93
|
1-1-0
2.77
|
| Borussia Dortmund |
0-1-1
2.79
|
1-1-0
3.17
|
1-1-0
2.15
|
0-1-1
1.68
|
— |
0-2-0
2.74
|
2-0-0
3.01
|
0-0-2
2.29
|
0-0-2
2.73
|
2-0-0
3.36
|
0-1-1
2.82
|
0-1-1
2.94
|
0-1-1
3.21
|
0-0-2
2.12
|
2-0-0
2.13
|
1-1-0
2.58
|
0-0-2
2.65
|
1-0-1
2.12
|
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
0-0-2
2.91
|
1-1-0
2.91
|
2-0-0
2.08
|
0-1-1
1.59
|
0-2-0
2.74
|
— |
1-1-0
3.20
|
1-0-1
2.16
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
1-0-1
3.29
|
2-0-0
2.60
|
1-0-1
2.89
|
2-0-0
3.09
|
0-1-1
1.87
|
0-0-2
2.25
|
0-2-0
2.54
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
1-0-1
1.92
|
| Energie Cottbus |
0-2-0
2.32
|
1-1-0
2.74
|
0-1-1
1.91
|
1-0-1
1.32
|
0-0-2
2.46
|
0-1-1
2.28
|
— |
1-1-0
1.67
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
1-1-0
2.28
|
1-1-0
2.34
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
1-0-1
1.72
|
0-0-2
1.91
|
0-1-1
2.30
|
0-0-2
2.42
|
0-0-2
1.51
|
| Hamburger SV |
1-1-0
3.40
|
1-1-0
3.82
|
1-1-0
2.75
|
0-2-0
2.29
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
1-0-1
3.34
|
0-1-1
3.86
|
— |
1-1-0
3.25
|
2-0-0
3.95
|
1-1-0
3.51
|
1-1-0
3.59
|
1-0-1
3.88
|
0-1-1
2.81
|
1-0-1
3.07
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
0-2-0
3.44
|
0-0-2
2.53
|
| Hannover 96 |
1-1-0
2.68
|
1-1-0
2.97
|
0-0-2
2.16
|
0-0-2
1.83
|
2-0-0
2.74
|
1-1-0
2.74
|
1-0-1
3.28
|
0-1-1
2.25
|
— |
2-0-0
3.35
|
0-1-1
2.85
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
1-1-0
3.14
|
0-1-1
2.15
|
1-1-0
2.23
|
1-0-1
2.50
|
0-1-1
2.70
|
1-0-1
1.92
|
| Hansa Rostock |
0-1-1
2.14
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
0-0-2
1.54
|
0-0-2
1.52
|
0-0-2
2.12
|
1-0-1
2.19
|
1-0-1
2.66
|
0-0-2
1.59
|
0-0-2
2.15
|
— |
1-1-0
2.14
|
1-1-0
2.29
|
1-1-0
2.48
|
0-1-1
1.64
|
1-0-1
1.83
|
2-0-0
1.93
|
0-0-2
2.18
|
0-0-2
1.51
|
| Hertha BSC |
1-0-1
2.76
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
1-0-1
2.12
|
0-1-1
1.58
|
1-1-0
2.65
|
0-0-2
2.87
|
0-1-1
3.21
|
0-1-1
1.99
|
1-1-0
2.63
|
0-1-1
3.36
|
— |
1-0-1
2.84
|
2-0-0
3.05
|
0-0-2
2.04
|
2-0-0
2.23
|
1-1-0
2.57
|
1-1-0
2.73
|
0-0-2
1.96
|
| Karlsruher SC |
2-0-0
2.43
|
0-1-1
3.18
|
0-1-1
2.06
|
0-0-2
1.68
|
1-1-0
2.53
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
0-1-1
3.14
|
0-1-1
1.92
|
0-1-1
2.63
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
1-0-1
2.63
|
— |
2-0-0
3.07
|
1-1-0
1.90
|
1-0-1
2.16
|
0-1-1
2.49
|
2-0-0
2.59
|
0-1-1
1.82
|
| MSV Duisburg |
1-0-1
2.26
|
2-0-0
2.50
|
1-0-1
1.67
|
0-1-1
1.22
|
1-1-0
2.27
|
0-0-2
2.39
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
1-0-1
1.67
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
0-1-1
2.99
|
0-0-2
2.43
|
0-0-2
2.41
|
— |
0-0-2
1.76
|
0-0-2
2.00
|
0-1-1
2.16
|
0-0-2
2.53
|
1-0-1
1.65
|
| Schalke 04 |
2-0-0
3.60
|
2-0-0
3.67
|
0-1-1
2.81
|
0-1-1
2.30
|
2-0-0
3.37
|
1-1-0
3.65
|
1-0-1
3.81
|
1-1-0
2.66
|
1-1-0
3.35
|
1-1-0
3.90
|
2-0-0
3.45
|
0-1-1
3.61
|
2-0-0
3.78
|
— |
1-1-0
2.85
|
2-0-0
3.31
|
0-1-1
3.46
|
0-1-1
2.64
|
| VfB Stuttgart |
2-0-0
3.10
|
0-1-1
3.68
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
1-0-1
1.93
|
0-0-2
3.36
|
2-0-0
3.24
|
2-0-0
3.60
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
0-1-1
3.26
|
1-0-1
3.68
|
0-0-2
3.26
|
1-0-1
3.32
|
2-0-0
3.49
|
0-1-1
2.64
|
— |
1-1-0
2.99
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
1-0-1
2.38
|
| VfL Bochum |
0-2-0
2.98
|
1-0-1
3.38
|
1-0-1
2.28
|
0-0-2
1.77
|
0-1-1
2.90
|
0-2-0
2.94
|
1-1-0
3.19
|
1-0-1
2.37
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
0-0-2
3.58
|
0-1-1
2.91
|
1-1-0
2.99
|
1-1-0
3.34
|
0-0-2
2.17
|
0-1-1
2.49
|
— |
2-0-0
2.70
|
1-1-0
2.06
|
| VfL Wolfsburg |
1-0-1
2.81
|
1-0-1
2.89
|
0-1-1
2.15
|
0-1-1
1.61
|
2-0-0
2.81
|
1-1-0
2.89
|
2-0-0
3.06
|
0-2-0
2.05
|
1-1-0
2.79
|
2-0-0
3.29
|
0-1-1
2.75
|
0-0-2
2.88
|
2-0-0
2.96
|
1-1-0
2.04
|
1-0-1
2.33
|
0-0-2
2.77
|
— |
1-1-0
2.01
|
| Werder Bremen |
2-0-0
3.37
|
1-1-0
3.86
|
2-0-0
3.08
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
1-0-1
3.39
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
2-0-0
4.05
|
2-0-0
2.94
|
1-0-1
3.59
|
2-0-0
4.05
|
2-0-0
3.54
|
1-1-0
3.69
|
1-0-1
3.90
|
1-1-0
2.83
|
1-0-1
3.09
|
0-1-1
3.45
|
0-1-1
3.49
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.79 | +9.3 |
| Allowed | 0.54 | -8.4 |
| Differential | 0.91 | +6.1 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.21% | 8.66% | 5.56% | 3.76% | 0.98% | 0.65% | 25.82% |
| 1 | 8.66% | 11.44% | 7.84% | 3.43% | 2.12% | 0.98% | 34.48% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 7.84% | 6.21% | 2.12% | 0.49% | 0.16% | 22.39% |
| 3 | 3.76% | 3.43% | 2.12% | 1.63% | 0.16% | 0.33% | 11.44% |
| 4 | 0.98% | 2.12% | 0.49% | 0.16% | — | — | 3.76% |
| 5+ | 0.65% | 0.98% | 0.16% | 0.33% | — | — | 2.12% |
| Total | 25.82% | 34.48% | 22.39% | 11.44% | 3.76% | 2.12% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.41 | 1.41 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.86 |
| CV | 0.90 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 8 | 8 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 14.71% | 41.18% | 26.47% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.50 | -0.47 |
| SD | 1.14 | 1.02 | 1.58 |
| CV | 1.11 | 0.68 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 41.18% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% | 26.47% |
| 2 | 8.82% | — | 14.71% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 32.35% | 32.35% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.76 | -0.74 |
| SD | 1.09 | 1.67 | 2.11 |
| CV | 1.06 | 0.95 | — |
| Max | 4 | 8 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 3 | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 35.29% | 29.41% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.68 | 1.18 | +0.50 |
| SD | 1.27 | 1.09 | 1.83 |
| CV | 0.76 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 5+ | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 50.00% | 41.18% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 0.62 | +1.38 |
| SD | 1.50 | 0.74 | 1.71 |
| CV | 0.75 | 1.20 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 20.59% | 26.47% | 17.65% | 23.53% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.82 | -0.35 |
| SD | 1.28 | 1.40 | 2.03 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 6 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 47.06% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 3 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 29.41% | 20.59% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.26 | 1.47 | -0.21 |
| SD | 0.90 | 1.40 | 1.57 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.95 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 38.24% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 32.35% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 26.47% | 23.53% | 23.53% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.03 | 1.65 | -0.62 |
| SD | 1.11 | 1.43 | 2.00 |
| CV | 1.08 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 17.65% | 23.53% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 38.24% | 47.06% | 14.71% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 0.76 | +0.62 |
| SD | 1.48 | 0.70 | 1.72 |
| CV | 1.07 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 7 | 2 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% | 17.65% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.59% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 17.65% | — | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.59 | 1.65 | -0.06 |
| SD | 1.16 | 1.41 | 1.98 |
| CV | 0.73 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 20.59% | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 14.71% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 44.12% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.88 | 1.53 | -0.65 |
| SD | 0.91 | 1.11 | 1.47 |
| CV | 1.04 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 29.41% | 26.47% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.15 | 1.29 | -0.15 |
| SD | 0.99 | 1.12 | 1.46 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 29.41% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 26.47% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 1.56 | -0.44 |
| SD | 0.95 | 1.56 | 1.96 |
| CV | 0.85 | 1.00 | — |
| Max | 3 | 7 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 17.65% | 14.71% | — | — | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 35.29% | 29.41% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.06 | 1.62 | -0.56 |
| SD | 1.01 | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| CV | 0.96 | 0.68 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 41.18% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 35.29% | 44.12% | 17.65% | — | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 0.94 | +0.68 |
| SD | 1.23 | 1.01 | 1.66 |
| CV | 0.76 | 1.08 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 17.65% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 11.76% | — | 44.12% |
| 2 | — | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 26.47% | 23.53% | 20.59% | 14.71% | 14.71% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.68 | 1.68 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.45 | 1.41 | 2.16 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.84 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 8.82% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 14.71% | 35.29% | 26.47% | 23.53% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.41 | 1.59 | -0.18 |
| SD | 1.21 | 1.02 | 1.49 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.64 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 8.82% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | — | 8.82% | 11.76% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 4 | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 29.41% | 32.35% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.71 | 1.35 | +0.35 |
| SD | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.55 |
| CV | 0.68 | 0.85 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 11.76% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 14.71% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| Total | 26.47% | 44.12% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.21 | 1.32 | +0.88 |
| SD | 1.81 | 1.36 | 2.24 |
| CV | 0.82 | 1.03 | — |
| Max | 8 | 6 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 76 | 63.74 | +12.26 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg | 54 | 44.01 | +9.99 |
| 3 | Schalke 04 | 64 | 56.36 | +7.64 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen | 66 | 58.55 | +7.45 |
| 5 | Hannover 96 | 49 | 44.33 | +4.67 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 31 | 44.08 | -13.08 |
| 2 | MSV Duisburg | 29 | 36.97 | -7.97 |
| 3 | VfL Bochum | 41 | 47.01 | -6.01 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 30 | 34.47 | -4.47 |
| 5 | Borussia Dortmund | 40 | 44.44 | -4.44 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | Oct 27 – Nov 24 | 1 in 71 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | Dec 15 – Feb 15 | 1 in 71 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 3 | Sep 26 – Oct 6 | 1 in 62 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 3 | Sep 22 – Sep 29 | 1 in 52 |
| 5 | Hannover 96 | 3 | Sep 26 – Oct 6 | 1 in 36 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 5 | Sep 16 – Oct 6 | 1 in 82 |
| 2 | Hansa Rostock | 5 | Aug 11 – Sep 15 | 1 in 32 |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | Sep 29 – Oct 20 | 1 in 31 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | Mar 22 – Apr 6 | 1 in 31 |
| 5 | Schalke 04 | 3 | Feb 15 – Mar 1 | 1 in 31 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 12 | Aug 11 – Nov 3 | 1 in 38 |
| 2 | Hamburger SV | 11 | Dec 8 – Mar 29 | 1 in 37 |
| 3 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | Mar 15 – Apr 5 | 1 in 27 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | Sep 22 – Oct 27 | 1 in 26 |
| 5 | Hertha BSC | 6 | Feb 9 – Mar 15 | 1 in 22 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburger SV | 6 | Mar 22 – Apr 26 | 1 in 86 |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus | 11 | Aug 11 – Oct 27 | 1 in 49 |
| 3 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 10 | Dec 15 – Mar 29 | 1 in 44 |
| 4 | Schalke 04 | 5 | Oct 6 – Nov 10 | 1 in 29 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 4 | Mar 8 – Mar 29 | 1 in 28 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 46.61% | 21.41% | 12.50% | 7.52% | 4.81% | 2.92% | 1.58% | 1.09% | 0.62% | 0.38% | 0.27% | 0.15% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.02% | — | — |
| Werder Bremen | 17.64% | 20.44% | 17.45% | 12.43% | 9.79% | 7.03% | 4.87% | 3.23% | 2.34% | 1.58% | 1.14% | 0.95% | 0.43% | 0.36% | 0.16% | 0.11% | 0.04% | 0.01% |
| Schalke 04 | 10.71% | 15.57% | 15.60% | 14.52% | 11.57% | 9.23% | 6.58% | 5.07% | 3.55% | 2.40% | 1.71% | 1.33% | 0.76% | 0.70% | 0.39% | 0.17% | 0.11% | 0.03% |
| Hamburger SV | 10.24% | 14.45% | 14.80% | 13.80% | 12.12% | 9.54% | 7.60% | 5.47% | 3.68% | 2.67% | 1.78% | 1.45% | 0.86% | 0.62% | 0.40% | 0.29% | 0.14% | 0.09% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 0.48% | 1.06% | 1.77% | 3.08% | 4.63% | 6.27% | 7.03% | 7.64% | 8.63% | 8.66% | 8.59% | 8.66% | 7.69% | 7.19% | 6.09% | 5.59% | 4.09% | 2.85% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.95% | 7.06% | 9.16% | 10.97% | 11.64% | 11.74% | 9.99% | 8.61% | 6.59% | 5.40% | 4.28% | 3.16% | 2.50% | 1.85% | 1.51% | 0.87% | 0.55% | 0.17% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 7.55% | 12.49% | 13.94% | 14.41% | 12.20% | 10.18% | 7.97% | 5.80% | 4.56% | 3.72% | 2.36% | 1.81% | 1.17% | 0.75% | 0.48% | 0.37% | 0.20% | 0.04% |
| Hannover 96 | 0.33% | 1.02% | 1.96% | 3.39% | 4.77% | 6.12% | 7.04% | 8.04% | 8.53% | 9.12% | 8.39% | 8.21% | 7.98% | 7.07% | 6.33% | 5.28% | 3.85% | 2.57% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.17% | 0.89% | 1.69% | 2.22% | 3.71% | 4.79% | 6.33% | 7.24% | 8.08% | 9.01% | 8.79% | 8.59% | 8.84% | 7.90% | 7.17% | 5.90% | 5.24% | 3.44% |
| Hertha BSC | 0.28% | 0.77% | 1.46% | 2.55% | 3.78% | 5.19% | 6.70% | 7.76% | 8.30% | 8.51% | 8.56% | 8.19% | 8.93% | 8.10% | 6.86% | 6.02% | 4.83% | 3.21% |
| Karlsruher SC | 0.12% | 0.52% | 1.12% | 1.85% | 2.83% | 3.89% | 5.10% | 5.88% | 6.59% | 7.99% | 8.32% | 8.87% | 9.25% | 9.09% | 8.59% | 8.18% | 6.99% | 4.82% |
| VfL Bochum | 1.07% | 2.13% | 3.54% | 5.68% | 6.81% | 7.86% | 9.11% | 9.45% | 9.51% | 8.19% | 8.24% | 6.71% | 6.30% | 5.08% | 3.97% | 3.07% | 2.12% | 1.16% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 0.38% | 0.90% | 2.32% | 3.29% | 4.53% | 5.36% | 7.42% | 8.19% | 8.18% | 7.96% | 8.22% | 9.17% | 7.76% | 7.64% | 6.54% | 5.48% | 4.13% | 2.53% |
| Energie Cottbus | 0.02% | 0.10% | 0.15% | 0.49% | 0.54% | 1.24% | 1.77% | 2.34% | 3.45% | 4.28% | 4.88% | 6.07% | 7.72% | 9.51% | 11.40% | 13.49% | 15.85% | 16.70% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 0.02% | 0.10% | 0.35% | 0.54% | 0.93% | 1.60% | 1.95% | 2.96% | 3.92% | 4.54% | 6.26% | 7.34% | 8.04% | 9.74% | 11.28% | 12.69% | 13.97% | 13.77% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 0.38% | 0.96% | 2.02% | 2.81% | 4.21% | 5.36% | 6.54% | 7.48% | 8.23% | 8.74% | 8.71% | 8.49% | 8.12% | 7.49% | 7.15% | 5.63% | 4.55% | 3.13% |
| Hansa Rostock | — | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.07% | 0.34% | 0.59% | 0.77% | 1.43% | 1.97% | 2.77% | 3.81% | 4.21% | 5.74% | 7.86% | 9.64% | 13.74% | 18.27% | 28.73% |
| MSV Duisburg | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.12% | 0.38% | 0.79% | 1.09% | 1.65% | 2.32% | 3.27% | 4.08% | 5.69% | 6.64% | 7.84% | 9.04% | 12.00% | 13.10% | 15.07% | 16.75% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.83 * Some Luck: 5.83 to 8.75 * Lucky: 8.75 to 11.67 * Wild Swing: 11.67 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.35 * Close: 2.35 to 3.52 * Off: 3.52 to 4.7 * Way Off: 4.7 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 1.48 * A Surprise: 1.48 to 2.37 * Several Surprises: 2.37 to 3.26 * Many Surprises: 3.26 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 99.98% | 0.02% |
| Werder Bremen | 99.84% | 0.16% |
| Schalke 04 | 99.69% | 0.31% |
| Hamburger SV | 99.48% | 0.52% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 99.39% | 0.61% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 98.41% | 1.59% |
| VfL Bochum | 93.65% | 6.35% |
| Hannover 96 | 88.30% | 11.70% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 87.86% | 12.14% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 87.47% | 12.53% |
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 86.69% | 13.31% |
| Hertha BSC | 85.94% | 14.06% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 85.42% | 14.58% |
| Karlsruher SC | 80.01% | 19.99% |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 59.57% | 40.43% |
| MSV Duisburg | 55.08% | 44.92% |
| Energie Cottbus | 53.96% | 46.04% |
| Hansa Rostock | 39.26% | 60.74% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007-08-10 | Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1908 | 1902 | 46.8% | 26.2% | 27.0% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2007-08-10 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1902 | 1908 | 27.0% | 26.2% | 46.8% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2007-08-11 | Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1817 | 1830 | 44.3% | 26.6% | 29.1% | -11.6 | 0 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-1 | 1830 | 1817 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.3% | +11.6 | 3 |
| 2007-08-11 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1878 | 1805 | 55.4% | 24.2% | 20.4% | -1.4 | 1 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 0-0 | 1805 | 1878 | 20.4% | 24.2% | 55.4% | +1.3 | 1 |
| 2007-08-11 | Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1830 | 1883 | 38.6% | 27.0% | 34.4% | -6.4 | 0 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1883 | 1830 | 34.4% | 27.0% | 38.6% | +6.4 | 3 |
| 2007-08-11 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1908 | 1772 | 62.6% | 21.5% | 15.8% | +7.9 | 3 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1772 | 1908 | 15.8% | 21.5% | 62.6% | -7.9 | 0 |
| 2007-08-11 | Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1820 | 1847 | 42.3% | 26.8% | 30.9% | +5.4 | 3 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1847 | 1820 | 30.9% | 26.8% | 42.3% | -5.4 | 0 |
| 2007-08-11 | Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1859 | 1932 | 35.7% | 27.0% | 37.2% | +0.0 | 1 |
| 2007-08-11 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1932 | 1859 | 37.2% | 27.0% | 35.7% | -0.0 | 1 |
| 2007-08-12 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1872 | 1795 | 55.9% | 24.0% | 20.1% | -16.1 | 0 |
| 2007-08-12 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1795 | 1872 | 20.1% | 24.0% | 55.9% | +16.1 | 3 |
| 2007-08-12 | MSV Duisburg | L 1-3 | 1856 | 1803 | 52.9% | 24.9% | 22.2% | -13.3 | 0 |
| 2007-08-12 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 3-1 | 1803 | 1856 | 22.2% | 24.9% | 52.9% | +13.3 | 3 |
| 2007-08-17 | Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1811 | 1824 | 44.2% | 26.6% | 29.2% | -6.7 | 3 |
| 2007-08-17 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1824 | 1811 | 29.2% | 26.6% | 44.2% | +6.7 | 3 |
| 2007-08-18 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1764 | 1856 | 33.1% | 26.9% | 40.0% | -5.4 | 0 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1856 | 1764 | 40.0% | 26.9% | 33.1% | +5.4 | 3 |
| 2007-08-18 | Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1932 | 1916 | 48.2% | 25.9% | 25.8% | -27.1 | 1 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Werder Bremen | W 4-0 | 1916 | 1932 | 25.8% | 25.9% | 48.2% | +27.1 | 6 |
| 2007-08-18 | Borussia Dortmund | W 4-1 | 1902 | 1843 | 53.7% | 24.7% | 21.6% | +9.1 | 4 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-4 | 1843 | 1902 | 21.6% | 24.7% | 53.7% | -9.1 | 0 |
| 2007-08-18 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1841 | 1825 | 48.2% | 26.0% | 25.9% | -0.6 | 4 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1825 | 1841 | 25.9% | 26.0% | 48.2% | +0.6 | 4 |
| 2007-08-18 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1841 | 1907 | 36.8% | 27.0% | 36.1% | +9.9 | 3 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1907 | 1841 | 36.1% | 27.0% | 36.8% | -9.9 | 1 |
| 2007-08-18 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1816 | 1805 | 47.4% | 26.1% | 26.5% | -12.2 | 3 |
| 2007-08-18 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 3-1 | 1805 | 1816 | 26.5% | 26.1% | 47.4% | +12.2 | 3 |
| 2007-08-19 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1890 | 1877 | 47.7% | 26.1% | 26.2% | +4.7 | 6 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1877 | 1890 | 26.2% | 26.1% | 47.7% | -4.7 | 1 |
| 2007-08-19 | VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1807 | 1859 | 38.7% | 27.0% | 34.3% | -6.0 | 1 |
| 2007-08-19 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1859 | 1807 | 34.3% | 27.0% | 38.7% | +6.0 | 4 |
| 2007-08-24 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1865 | 1895 | 42.0% | 26.8% | 31.2% | +5.1 | 7 |
| 2007-08-24 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1895 | 1865 | 31.2% | 26.8% | 42.0% | -5.1 | 6 |
| 2007-08-25 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1833 | 1801 | 50.3% | 25.5% | 24.1% | +12.0 | 3 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1801 | 1833 | 24.1% | 25.5% | 50.3% | -12.0 | 1 |
| 2007-08-25 | Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1943 | 1831 | 60.0% | 22.6% | 17.4% | +8.8 | 9 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1831 | 1943 | 17.4% | 22.6% | 60.0% | -8.8 | 3 |
| 2007-08-25 | Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 1841 | 1851 | 44.5% | 26.5% | 28.9% | +9.6 | 7 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1851 | 1841 | 28.9% | 26.5% | 44.5% | -9.6 | 3 |
| 2007-08-25 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-0 | 1872 | 1804 | 54.8% | 24.4% | 20.8% | +10.5 | 4 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1804 | 1872 | 20.8% | 24.4% | 54.8% | -10.5 | 3 |
| 2007-08-25 | MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1897 | 1804 | 57.8% | 23.4% | 18.8% | +3.5 | 4 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1804 | 1897 | 18.8% | 23.4% | 57.8% | -3.5 | 3 |
| 2007-08-25 | Werder Bremen | L 0-1 | 1862 | 1905 | 40.0% | 26.9% | 33.1% | -6.5 | 3 |
| 2007-08-25 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1905 | 1862 | 33.1% | 26.9% | 40.0% | +6.5 | 4 |
| 2007-08-26 | Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1826 | 1759 | 54.6% | 24.4% | 21.0% | +3.9 | 7 |
| 2007-08-26 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1759 | 1826 | 21.0% | 24.4% | 54.6% | -3.9 | 0 |
| 2007-08-26 | Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1818 | 1911 | 32.9% | 26.9% | 40.2% | +0.2 | 4 |
| 2007-08-26 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1911 | 1818 | 40.2% | 26.9% | 32.9% | -0.2 | 5 |
| 2007-08-31 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1911 | 1883 | 49.8% | 25.7% | 24.6% | -0.8 | 6 |
| 2007-08-31 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1883 | 1911 | 24.6% | 25.7% | 49.8% | +0.9 | 5 |
| 2007-09-01 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1789 | 1855 | 36.7% | 27.0% | 36.2% | -0.0 | 2 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1855 | 1789 | 36.2% | 27.0% | 36.7% | +0.0 | 4 |
| 2007-09-01 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-0 | 1800 | 1850 | 39.1% | 27.0% | 33.9% | +15.9 | 6 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-3 | 1850 | 1800 | 33.9% | 27.0% | 39.1% | -15.9 | 7 |
| 2007-09-01 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1755 | 1845 | 33.3% | 27.0% | 39.7% | -5.7 | 0 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1845 | 1755 | 39.7% | 27.0% | 33.3% | +5.7 | 6 |
| 2007-09-01 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1912 | 1829 | 56.5% | 23.8% | 19.7% | +3.4 | 7 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1829 | 1912 | 19.7% | 23.8% | 56.5% | -3.4 | 7 |
| 2007-09-01 | VfL Bochum | W 3-2 | 1822 | 1870 | 39.3% | 27.0% | 33.7% | +5.2 | 6 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Hannover 96 | L 2-3 | 1870 | 1822 | 33.7% | 27.0% | 39.3% | -5.2 | 7 |
| 2007-09-01 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1842 | 1818 | 49.2% | 25.8% | 25.0% | +4.3 | 6 |
| 2007-09-01 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1818 | 1842 | 25.0% | 25.8% | 49.2% | -4.3 | 4 |
| 2007-09-02 | Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1952 | 37.3% | 27.0% | 35.6% | -0.1 | 7 |
| 2007-09-02 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1952 | 1889 | 35.6% | 27.0% | 37.3% | +0.1 | 10 |
| 2007-09-02 | VfB Stuttgart | W 1-0 | 1794 | 1901 | 31.2% | 26.8% | 42.0% | +6.8 | 6 |
| 2007-09-02 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1901 | 1794 | 42.0% | 26.8% | 31.2% | -6.8 | 4 |
| 2007-09-14 | Werder Bremen | W 3-0 | 1851 | 1915 | 37.1% | 27.0% | 35.9% | +16.5 | 9 |
| 2007-09-14 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1915 | 1851 | 35.9% | 27.0% | 37.1% | -16.5 | 7 |
| 2007-09-15 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1894 | 1789 | 59.2% | 22.9% | 17.9% | +9.0 | 7 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1789 | 1894 | 17.9% | 22.9% | 59.2% | -9.0 | 2 |
| 2007-09-15 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1826 | 1889 | 37.2% | 27.0% | 35.8% | +5.7 | 10 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1889 | 1826 | 35.8% | 27.0% | 37.2% | -5.7 | 7 |
| 2007-09-15 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1855 | 1827 | 49.7% | 25.7% | 24.6% | -0.6 | 5 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1827 | 1855 | 24.6% | 25.7% | 49.7% | +0.6 | 7 |
| 2007-09-15 | Hansa Rostock | W 4-2 | 1834 | 1749 | 56.8% | 23.7% | 19.4% | +5.2 | 10 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 2-4 | 1749 | 1834 | 19.4% | 23.7% | 56.8% | -5.2 | 0 |
| 2007-09-15 | Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1952 | 1910 | 51.4% | 25.3% | 23.3% | -1.0 | 11 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1910 | 1952 | 23.3% | 25.3% | 51.4% | +1.0 | 7 |
| 2007-09-15 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1884 | 1865 | 48.5% | 25.9% | 25.6% | +8.7 | 8 |
| 2007-09-15 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1865 | 1884 | 25.6% | 25.9% | 48.5% | -8.7 | 7 |
| 2007-09-16 | Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1816 | 1846 | 41.9% | 26.8% | 31.3% | -6.4 | 6 |
| 2007-09-16 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1846 | 1816 | 31.3% | 26.8% | 41.9% | +6.4 | 9 |
| 2007-09-16 | Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1814 | 1800 | 47.8% | 26.0% | 26.2% | -7.1 | 4 |
| 2007-09-16 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1800 | 1814 | 26.2% | 26.0% | 47.8% | +7.1 | 9 |
| 2007-09-21 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1856 | 1832 | 49.3% | 25.8% | 24.9% | -0.9 | 8 |
| 2007-09-21 | @ VfL Bochum | D 0-0 | 1832 | 1856 | 24.9% | 25.8% | 49.3% | +0.9 | 11 |
| 2007-09-22 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1884 | 1855 | 49.9% | 25.6% | 24.5% | +4.4 | 10 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1855 | 1884 | 24.5% | 25.6% | 49.9% | -4.5 | 5 |
| 2007-09-22 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-0 | 1911 | 1840 | 55.2% | 24.2% | 20.6% | +10.3 | 10 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1840 | 1911 | 20.6% | 24.2% | 55.2% | -10.3 | 10 |
| 2007-09-22 | Borussia Dortmund | W 3-2 | 1852 | 1868 | 43.9% | 26.6% | 29.5% | +4.6 | 12 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Hertha BSC | L 2-3 | 1868 | 1852 | 29.5% | 26.6% | 43.9% | -4.6 | 9 |
| 2007-09-22 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1744 | 1810 | 36.8% | 27.0% | 36.2% | +11.5 | 3 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 0-2 | 1810 | 1744 | 36.2% | 27.0% | 36.8% | -11.5 | 6 |
| 2007-09-22 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-1 | 1899 | 1903 | 45.5% | 26.4% | 28.1% | +11.5 | 10 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1903 | 1899 | 28.1% | 26.4% | 45.5% | -11.6 | 7 |
| 2007-09-22 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1780 | 1806 | 42.4% | 26.8% | 30.9% | -6.4 | 2 |
| 2007-09-22 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1806 | 1780 | 30.9% | 26.8% | 42.4% | +6.5 | 7 |
| 2007-09-23 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1828 | 1892 | 37.0% | 27.0% | 36.0% | -16.9 | 7 |
| 2007-09-23 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1892 | 1828 | 36.0% | 27.0% | 37.0% | +16.9 | 11 |
| 2007-09-23 | Bayern Munich | L 1-4 | 1808 | 1951 | 26.9% | 26.2% | 46.9% | -11.1 | 9 |
| 2007-09-23 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 4-1 | 1951 | 1808 | 46.9% | 26.2% | 26.9% | +11.1 | 14 |
| 2007-09-25 | Hamburger SV | L 0-3 | 1863 | 1888 | 42.6% | 26.8% | 30.7% | -18.8 | 9 |
| 2007-09-25 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 3-0 | 1888 | 1863 | 30.7% | 26.8% | 42.6% | +18.8 | 13 |
| 2007-09-25 | Hansa Rostock | L 1-3 | 1857 | 1755 | 58.8% | 23.1% | 18.2% | -14.5 | 12 |
| 2007-09-25 | @ Hertha BSC | W 3-1 | 1755 | 1857 | 18.2% | 23.1% | 58.8% | +14.5 | 6 |
| 2007-09-25 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1798 | 1922 | 29.2% | 26.6% | 44.2% | -9.7 | 6 |
| 2007-09-25 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1922 | 1798 | 44.2% | 26.6% | 29.2% | +9.7 | 13 |
| 2007-09-25 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1910 | 32.4% | 26.9% | 40.7% | +0.3 | 8 |
| 2007-09-25 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1910 | 1813 | 40.7% | 26.9% | 32.4% | -0.3 | 11 |
| 2007-09-26 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1850 | 1909 | 37.8% | 27.0% | 35.2% | -5.9 | 5 |
| 2007-09-26 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1909 | 1850 | 35.2% | 27.0% | 37.8% | +5.9 | 14 |
| 2007-09-26 | Energie Cottbus | W 5-0 | 1962 | 1773 | 68.2% | 19.0% | 12.8% | +10.0 | 17 |
| 2007-09-26 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-5 | 1773 | 1962 | 12.8% | 19.0% | 68.2% | -10.0 | 2 |
| 2007-09-26 | Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1829 | 1811 | 48.5% | 25.9% | 25.6% | -14.3 | 10 |
| 2007-09-26 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1811 | 1829 | 25.6% | 25.9% | 48.5% | +14.3 | 10 |
| 2007-09-26 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1833 | 1796 | 50.8% | 25.4% | 23.8% | -7.9 | 11 |
| 2007-09-26 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1796 | 1833 | 23.8% | 25.4% | 50.8% | +7.9 | 12 |
| 2007-09-26 | VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1891 | 1855 | 50.7% | 25.4% | 23.8% | +4.3 | 10 |
| 2007-09-26 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1855 | 1891 | 23.8% | 25.4% | 50.7% | -4.3 | 8 |
| 2007-09-28 | Hertha BSC | W 1-0 | 1931 | 1843 | 57.2% | 23.6% | 19.2% | +3.5 | 16 |
| 2007-09-28 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1843 | 1931 | 19.2% | 23.6% | 57.2% | -3.5 | 12 |
| 2007-09-29 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 3-3 | 1851 | 1844 | 46.9% | 26.2% | 26.9% | -0.4 | 9 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ VfL Bochum | D 3-3 | 1844 | 1851 | 26.9% | 26.2% | 46.9% | +0.4 | 6 |
| 2007-09-29 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 8-1 | 1910 | 1815 | 58.0% | 23.3% | 18.7% | +17.1 | 14 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-8 | 1815 | 1910 | 18.7% | 23.3% | 58.0% | -17.1 | 10 |
| 2007-09-29 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1915 | 1972 | 38.1% | 27.0% | 34.8% | -6.3 | 14 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1972 | 1915 | 34.8% | 27.0% | 38.1% | +6.3 | 20 |
| 2007-09-29 | Borussia Dortmund | W 3-1 | 1804 | 1844 | 40.5% | 26.9% | 32.6% | +9.2 | 15 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-3 | 1844 | 1804 | 32.6% | 26.9% | 40.5% | -9.2 | 9 |
| 2007-09-29 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1770 | 1896 | 28.8% | 26.5% | 44.6% | +6.7 | 9 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 1-2 | 1896 | 1770 | 44.6% | 26.5% | 28.8% | -6.7 | 10 |
| 2007-09-29 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1907 | 1813 | 57.8% | 23.4% | 18.8% | -1.0 | 14 |
| 2007-09-29 | @ Hamburger SV | D 2-2 | 1813 | 1907 | 18.8% | 23.4% | 57.8% | +1.0 | 9 |
| 2007-09-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1763 | 1825 | 37.4% | 27.0% | 35.5% | -0.0 | 3 |
| 2007-09-30 | @ Energie Cottbus | D 2-2 | 1825 | 1763 | 35.5% | 27.0% | 37.4% | +0.0 | 12 |
| 2007-09-30 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1825 | 1789 | 50.8% | 25.4% | 23.8% | +4.1 | 13 |
| 2007-09-30 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1789 | 1825 | 23.8% | 25.4% | 50.8% | -4.1 | 6 |
| 2007-10-05 | VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1835 | 1851 | 43.9% | 26.6% | 29.5% | +4.9 | 12 |
| 2007-10-05 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1851 | 1835 | 29.5% | 26.6% | 43.9% | -4.9 | 9 |
| 2007-10-06 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1839 | 1763 | 55.7% | 24.1% | 20.2% | -1.4 | 13 |
| 2007-10-06 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1763 | 1839 | 20.2% | 24.1% | 55.7% | +1.4 | 4 |
| 2007-10-06 | Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1798 | 1906 | 31.1% | 26.8% | 42.2% | -5.4 | 10 |
| 2007-10-06 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1906 | 1798 | 42.2% | 26.8% | 31.1% | +5.4 | 17 |
| 2007-10-06 | Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 1889 | 1829 | 53.7% | 24.7% | 21.6% | -15.6 | 10 |
| 2007-10-06 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 1829 | 1889 | 21.6% | 24.7% | 53.7% | +15.6 | 16 |
| 2007-10-06 | Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1814 | 1777 | 51.0% | 25.4% | 23.6% | +4.3 | 12 |
| 2007-10-06 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1777 | 1814 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 51.0% | -4.3 | 9 |
| 2007-10-06 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1935 | 1814 | 61.0% | 22.2% | 16.8% | -17.2 | 16 |
| 2007-10-06 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1814 | 1935 | 16.8% | 22.2% | 61.0% | +17.2 | 18 |
| 2007-10-06 | Werder Bremen | L 1-3 | 1785 | 1927 | 26.9% | 26.2% | 46.9% | -7.9 | 6 |
| 2007-10-06 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 3-1 | 1927 | 1785 | 46.9% | 26.2% | 26.9% | +7.9 | 17 |
| 2007-10-07 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-0 | 1978 | 1845 | 62.4% | 21.6% | 16.0% | +8.0 | 23 |
| 2007-10-07 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1845 | 1978 | 16.0% | 21.6% | 62.4% | -8.0 | 6 |
| 2007-10-07 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1825 | 1909 | 34.2% | 27.0% | 38.8% | +6.0 | 15 |
| 2007-10-07 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1909 | 1825 | 38.8% | 27.0% | 34.2% | -6.0 | 14 |
| 2007-10-19 | MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1765 | 1777 | 44.4% | 26.6% | 29.1% | -6.7 | 4 |
| 2007-10-19 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1777 | 1765 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.4% | +6.7 | 9 |
| 2007-10-20 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1846 | 1986 | 27.2% | 26.2% | 46.6% | -4.6 | 9 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1986 | 1846 | 46.6% | 26.2% | 27.2% | +4.6 | 26 |
| 2007-10-20 | Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1903 | 1840 | 54.1% | 24.6% | 21.3% | -0.8 | 15 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1840 | 1903 | 21.3% | 24.6% | 54.1% | +0.8 | 13 |
| 2007-10-20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 5-1 | 1837 | 1831 | 46.8% | 26.2% | 27.0% | +14.4 | 9 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-5 | 1831 | 1837 | 27.0% | 26.2% | 46.8% | -14.4 | 15 |
| 2007-10-20 | Hertha BSC | W 3-2 | 1935 | 1838 | 58.3% | 23.2% | 18.5% | +3.0 | 20 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Werder Bremen | L 2-3 | 1838 | 1935 | 18.5% | 23.2% | 58.3% | -3.0 | 13 |
| 2007-10-20 | Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1772 | 1918 | 26.6% | 26.1% | 47.2% | +0.7 | 10 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1918 | 1772 | 47.2% | 26.1% | 26.6% | -0.7 | 17 |
| 2007-10-20 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-1 | 1911 | 1873 | 51.0% | 25.4% | 23.6% | +9.9 | 20 |
| 2007-10-20 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-4 | 1873 | 1911 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 51.0% | -9.9 | 10 |
| 2007-10-21 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 0-0 | 1831 | 1792 | 51.1% | 25.4% | 23.6% | -1.0 | 19 |
| 2007-10-21 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1792 | 1831 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 51.1% | +1.1 | 11 |
| 2007-10-21 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1845 | 1818 | 49.5% | 25.7% | 24.8% | -0.6 | 17 |
| 2007-10-21 | @ Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1818 | 1845 | 24.8% | 25.7% | 49.5% | +0.6 | 13 |
| 2007-10-26 | Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1816 | 1844 | 42.2% | 26.8% | 31.0% | -0.4 | 16 |
| 2007-10-26 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1844 | 1816 | 31.0% | 26.8% | 42.2% | +0.4 | 18 |
| 2007-10-27 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-1 | 1819 | 1851 | 41.6% | 26.8% | 31.5% | +9.0 | 16 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1851 | 1819 | 31.5% | 26.8% | 41.6% | -9.0 | 9 |
| 2007-10-27 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1863 | 1902 | 40.7% | 26.9% | 32.4% | +5.6 | 13 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1902 | 1863 | 32.4% | 26.9% | 40.7% | -5.6 | 15 |
| 2007-10-27 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1793 | 1758 | 50.7% | 25.4% | 23.9% | -0.9 | 12 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1758 | 1793 | 23.9% | 25.4% | 50.7% | +0.9 | 5 |
| 2007-10-27 | Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1773 | 1830 | 38.1% | 27.0% | 34.9% | -0.1 | 11 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1830 | 1773 | 34.9% | 27.0% | 38.1% | +0.1 | 20 |
| 2007-10-27 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1835 | 1841 | 45.1% | 26.5% | 28.4% | +9.5 | 16 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1841 | 1835 | 28.4% | 26.5% | 45.1% | -9.5 | 9 |
| 2007-10-27 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1917 | 1938 | 43.1% | 26.7% | 30.2% | -0.4 | 18 |
| 2007-10-27 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1938 | 1917 | 30.2% | 26.7% | 43.1% | +0.4 | 21 |
| 2007-10-28 | Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 1841 | 1991 | 26.1% | 26.0% | 47.8% | +0.8 | 14 |
| 2007-10-28 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 0-0 | 1991 | 1841 | 47.8% | 26.0% | 26.1% | -0.8 | 27 |
| 2007-10-28 | Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1783 | 1921 | 27.5% | 26.3% | 46.2% | -4.9 | 9 |
| 2007-10-28 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1921 | 1783 | 46.2% | 26.3% | 27.5% | +4.9 | 23 |
| 2007-11-02 | Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1759 | 1916 | 25.3% | 25.8% | 48.9% | +7.7 | 8 |
| 2007-11-02 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1916 | 1759 | 48.9% | 25.8% | 25.3% | -7.7 | 18 |
| 2007-11-03 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 4-0 | 1896 | 1792 | 59.0% | 22.9% | 18.0% | +11.8 | 18 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-4 | 1792 | 1896 | 18.0% | 22.9% | 59.0% | -11.8 | 12 |
| 2007-11-03 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1845 | 1842 | 46.4% | 26.3% | 27.3% | +4.6 | 21 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1842 | 1845 | 27.3% | 26.3% | 46.4% | -4.6 | 14 |
| 2007-11-03 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1990 | 1816 | 66.7% | 19.7% | 13.6% | -2.1 | 28 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 1816 | 1990 | 13.6% | 19.7% | 66.7% | +2.1 | 17 |
| 2007-11-03 | Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1938 | 1773 | 65.8% | 20.1% | 14.1% | +2.5 | 24 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-1 | 1773 | 1938 | 14.1% | 20.1% | 65.8% | -2.5 | 11 |
| 2007-11-03 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1926 | 1844 | 56.5% | 23.8% | 19.7% | +3.4 | 26 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1844 | 1926 | 19.7% | 23.8% | 56.5% | -3.4 | 16 |
| 2007-11-03 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1842 | 1869 | 42.3% | 26.8% | 30.9% | -6.8 | 9 |
| 2007-11-03 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1869 | 1842 | 30.9% | 26.8% | 42.3% | +6.8 | 16 |
| 2007-11-04 | MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1830 | 1779 | 52.7% | 24.9% | 22.4% | +4.1 | 23 |
| 2007-11-04 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1779 | 1830 | 22.4% | 24.9% | 52.7% | -4.1 | 9 |
| 2007-11-04 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 5-3 | 1832 | 1828 | 46.5% | 26.2% | 27.2% | +6.7 | 12 |
| 2007-11-04 | @ VfL Bochum | L 3-5 | 1828 | 1832 | 27.2% | 26.2% | 46.5% | -6.7 | 16 |
| 2007-11-09 | VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1774 | 1838 | 37.1% | 27.0% | 35.9% | -11.7 | 9 |
| 2007-11-09 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1838 | 1774 | 35.9% | 27.0% | 37.1% | +11.7 | 15 |
| 2007-11-10 | Bayern Munich | W 3-1 | 1876 | 1988 | 30.6% | 26.7% | 42.7% | +11.2 | 19 |
| 2007-11-10 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1988 | 1876 | 42.7% | 26.7% | 30.6% | -11.2 | 28 |
| 2007-11-10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1837 | 1818 | 48.5% | 25.9% | 25.6% | -0.8 | 15 |
| 2007-11-10 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1818 | 1837 | 25.6% | 25.9% | 48.5% | +0.8 | 18 |
| 2007-11-10 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-2 | 1770 | 1766 | 46.5% | 26.2% | 27.2% | +4.3 | 14 |
| 2007-11-10 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 2-3 | 1766 | 1770 | 27.2% | 26.2% | 46.5% | -4.4 | 8 |
| 2007-11-10 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1930 | 43.2% | 26.7% | 30.1% | -0.4 | 19 |
| 2007-11-10 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1930 | 1909 | 30.1% | 26.7% | 43.2% | +0.4 | 27 |
| 2007-11-10 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1841 | 1849 | 44.9% | 26.5% | 28.6% | +5.1 | 19 |
| 2007-11-10 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1849 | 1841 | 28.6% | 26.5% | 44.9% | -5.1 | 21 |
| 2007-11-10 | Karlsruher SC | W 4-0 | 1941 | 1834 | 59.4% | 22.8% | 17.8% | +11.7 | 27 |
| 2007-11-10 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-4 | 1834 | 1941 | 17.8% | 22.8% | 59.4% | -11.7 | 23 |
| 2007-11-11 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-1 | 1781 | 1835 | 38.4% | 27.0% | 34.6% | +9.6 | 15 |
| 2007-11-11 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 1-3 | 1835 | 1781 | 34.6% | 27.0% | 38.4% | -9.6 | 9 |
| 2007-11-11 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1821 | 1908 | 33.8% | 27.0% | 39.2% | -5.4 | 16 |
| 2007-11-11 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1908 | 1821 | 39.2% | 27.0% | 33.8% | +5.5 | 21 |
| 2007-11-23 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1822 | 1846 | 42.8% | 26.7% | 30.5% | +5.0 | 26 |
| 2007-11-23 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-2 | 1846 | 1822 | 30.5% | 26.7% | 42.8% | -5.0 | 19 |
| 2007-11-24 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 3-0 | 1850 | 1790 | 53.8% | 24.7% | 21.6% | +10.8 | 18 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-3 | 1790 | 1850 | 21.6% | 24.7% | 53.8% | -10.8 | 15 |
| 2007-11-24 | MSV Duisburg | W 4-1 | 1914 | 1763 | 64.3% | 20.8% | 14.9% | +6.2 | 24 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-4 | 1763 | 1914 | 14.9% | 20.8% | 64.3% | -6.2 | 9 |
| 2007-11-24 | Schalke 04 | L 2-3 | 1844 | 1908 | 37.0% | 27.0% | 35.9% | -5.5 | 21 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-2 | 1908 | 1844 | 35.9% | 27.0% | 37.0% | +5.5 | 22 |
| 2007-11-24 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-4 | 1819 | 1887 | 36.5% | 27.0% | 36.5% | -14.1 | 18 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-1 | 1887 | 1819 | 36.5% | 27.0% | 36.5% | +14.1 | 22 |
| 2007-11-24 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 1976 | 1816 | 65.3% | 20.4% | 14.4% | +2.4 | 31 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1816 | 1976 | 14.4% | 20.4% | 65.3% | -2.4 | 16 |
| 2007-11-24 | Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1762 | 1953 | 22.1% | 24.9% | 53.1% | -7.6 | 8 |
| 2007-11-24 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1953 | 1762 | 53.1% | 24.9% | 22.1% | +7.6 | 30 |
| 2007-11-25 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-0 | 1826 | 1836 | 44.6% | 26.5% | 28.9% | +9.6 | 12 |
| 2007-11-25 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1836 | 1826 | 28.9% | 26.5% | 44.6% | -9.6 | 15 |
| 2007-11-25 | Hansa Rostock | W 2-0 | 1930 | 1775 | 64.7% | 20.6% | 14.7% | +5.0 | 30 |
| 2007-11-25 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1775 | 1930 | 14.7% | 20.6% | 64.7% | -5.0 | 14 |
| 2007-11-30 | Hannover 96 | L 0-3 | 1770 | 1839 | 36.4% | 27.0% | 36.6% | -16.7 | 14 |
| 2007-11-30 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1839 | 1770 | 36.6% | 27.0% | 36.4% | +16.7 | 24 |
| 2007-12-01 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1841 | 1920 | 34.9% | 27.0% | 38.1% | -16.2 | 19 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Hertha BSC | W 3-0 | 1920 | 1841 | 38.1% | 27.0% | 34.9% | +16.2 | 27 |
| 2007-12-01 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1901 | 1827 | 55.6% | 24.1% | 20.3% | -8.0 | 22 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1827 | 1901 | 20.3% | 24.1% | 55.6% | +8.0 | 18 |
| 2007-12-01 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1813 | 1805 | 47.2% | 26.1% | 26.7% | -0.5 | 17 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1805 | 1813 | 26.7% | 26.1% | 47.2% | +0.5 | 19 |
| 2007-12-01 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1960 | 1935 | 49.4% | 25.7% | 24.9% | +4.2 | 33 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1935 | 1960 | 24.9% | 25.7% | 49.4% | -4.2 | 30 |
| 2007-12-01 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 1754 | 1827 | 35.8% | 27.0% | 37.2% | +11.7 | 11 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 1827 | 1754 | 37.2% | 27.0% | 35.8% | -11.7 | 26 |
| 2007-12-01 | VfL Bochum | W 1-0 | 1914 | 1861 | 52.9% | 24.9% | 22.2% | +4.1 | 25 |
| 2007-12-01 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1861 | 1914 | 22.2% | 24.9% | 52.9% | -4.1 | 18 |
| 2007-12-02 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1757 | 1835 | 35.0% | 27.0% | 38.0% | +6.3 | 12 |
| 2007-12-02 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1835 | 1757 | 38.0% | 27.0% | 35.0% | -6.3 | 12 |
| 2007-12-02 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1779 | 1979 | 21.3% | 24.5% | 54.2% | -3.9 | 15 |
| 2007-12-02 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1979 | 1779 | 54.2% | 24.5% | 21.3% | +3.9 | 34 |
| 2007-12-07 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 6-1 | 1835 | 1775 | 53.7% | 24.7% | 21.6% | +14.5 | 21 |
| 2007-12-07 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-6 | 1775 | 1835 | 21.6% | 24.7% | 53.7% | -14.5 | 15 |
| 2007-12-08 | Energie Cottbus | D 0-0 | 1931 | 1766 | 65.7% | 20.2% | 14.1% | -2.1 | 31 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1766 | 1931 | 14.1% | 20.2% | 65.7% | +2.1 | 12 |
| 2007-12-08 | Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1857 | 1816 | 51.4% | 25.3% | 23.3% | -0.7 | 19 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ VfL Bochum | D 2-2 | 1816 | 1857 | 23.3% | 25.3% | 51.4% | +0.7 | 27 |
| 2007-12-08 | MSV Duisburg | D 0-0 | 1983 | 1763 | 71.2% | 17.4% | 11.3% | -2.4 | 35 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 1763 | 1983 | 11.3% | 17.4% | 71.2% | +2.4 | 13 |
| 2007-12-08 | Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 1805 | 1918 | 30.5% | 26.7% | 42.8% | +0.3 | 20 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 2-2 | 1918 | 1805 | 42.8% | 26.7% | 30.5% | -0.3 | 26 |
| 2007-12-08 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-1 | 1893 | 1813 | 56.2% | 23.9% | 19.8% | +6.0 | 25 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1813 | 1893 | 19.8% | 23.9% | 56.2% | -6.0 | 17 |
| 2007-12-08 | Werder Bremen | W 4-3 | 1855 | 1965 | 30.9% | 26.8% | 42.3% | +6.0 | 27 |
| 2007-12-08 | @ Hannover 96 | L 3-4 | 1965 | 1855 | 42.3% | 26.8% | 30.9% | -6.0 | 33 |
| 2007-12-09 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1936 | 1753 | 67.6% | 19.3% | 13.1% | +6.4 | 30 |
| 2007-12-09 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1753 | 1936 | 13.1% | 19.3% | 67.6% | -6.4 | 14 |
| 2007-12-09 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1829 | 1825 | 46.6% | 26.2% | 27.2% | +4.6 | 15 |
| 2007-12-09 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-2 | 1825 | 1829 | 27.2% | 26.2% | 46.6% | -4.6 | 19 |
| 2007-12-14 | Hannover 96 | W 5-1 | 1768 | 1861 | 33.0% | 26.9% | 40.1% | +19.5 | 15 |
| 2007-12-14 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-5 | 1861 | 1768 | 40.1% | 26.9% | 33.0% | -19.5 | 27 |
| 2007-12-15 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1918 | 1834 | 56.7% | 23.8% | 19.5% | +3.4 | 29 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1834 | 1918 | 19.5% | 23.8% | 56.7% | -3.4 | 15 |
| 2007-12-15 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 5-2 | 1959 | 1943 | 48.2% | 26.0% | 25.9% | +9.3 | 36 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Werder Bremen | L 2-5 | 1943 | 1959 | 25.9% | 26.0% | 48.2% | -9.3 | 30 |
| 2007-12-15 | Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 1820 | 1980 | 25.0% | 25.8% | 49.2% | +0.9 | 20 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1980 | 1820 | 49.2% | 25.8% | 25.0% | -0.9 | 36 |
| 2007-12-15 | Borussia Dortmund | W 4-0 | 1807 | 1849 | 40.2% | 26.9% | 32.9% | +20.2 | 20 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-4 | 1849 | 1807 | 32.9% | 26.9% | 40.2% | -20.2 | 21 |
| 2007-12-15 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1816 | 1929 | 30.5% | 26.7% | 42.8% | +0.4 | 28 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1929 | 1816 | 42.8% | 26.7% | 30.5% | -0.4 | 32 |
| 2007-12-15 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 1761 | 1899 | 27.4% | 26.3% | 46.3% | +13.8 | 18 |
| 2007-12-15 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1899 | 1761 | 46.3% | 26.3% | 27.4% | -13.8 | 25 |
| 2007-12-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1765 | 1806 | 40.4% | 26.9% | 32.6% | -6.6 | 13 |
| 2007-12-16 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1806 | 1765 | 32.6% | 26.9% | 40.4% | +6.6 | 23 |
| 2007-12-16 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1747 | 1856 | 30.9% | 26.8% | 42.4% | +12.9 | 17 |
| 2007-12-16 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 0-2 | 1856 | 1747 | 42.4% | 26.8% | 30.9% | -12.9 | 19 |
| 2008-02-01 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1759 | 1979 | 19.6% | 23.8% | 56.7% | -3.4 | 17 |
| 2008-02-01 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1979 | 1759 | 56.7% | 23.8% | 19.6% | +3.4 | 39 |
| 2008-02-02 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1817 | 1830 | 44.2% | 26.6% | 29.2% | +9.7 | 31 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 0-2 | 1830 | 1817 | 29.2% | 26.6% | 44.2% | -9.7 | 15 |
| 2008-02-02 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 2-3 | 1788 | 1933 | 26.6% | 26.1% | 47.3% | -4.3 | 15 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 3-2 | 1933 | 1788 | 47.3% | 26.1% | 26.6% | +4.3 | 33 |
| 2008-02-02 | Borussia Dortmund | D 3-3 | 1759 | 1829 | 36.2% | 27.0% | 36.8% | +0.0 | 14 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 3-3 | 1829 | 1759 | 36.8% | 27.0% | 36.2% | -0.0 | 22 |
| 2008-02-02 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-3 | 1821 | 1812 | 47.2% | 26.1% | 26.7% | -20.4 | 20 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Hertha BSC | W 3-0 | 1812 | 1821 | 26.7% | 26.1% | 47.2% | +20.4 | 26 |
| 2008-02-02 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1928 | 1842 | 57.0% | 23.7% | 19.3% | -1.3 | 33 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1842 | 1928 | 19.3% | 23.7% | 57.0% | +1.3 | 28 |
| 2008-02-02 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1775 | 1827 | 38.7% | 27.0% | 34.3% | -6.4 | 18 |
| 2008-02-02 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1827 | 1775 | 34.3% | 27.0% | 38.7% | +6.4 | 23 |
| 2008-02-03 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-1 | 1921 | 1885 | 50.7% | 25.4% | 23.8% | +10.0 | 32 |
| 2008-02-03 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-4 | 1885 | 1921 | 23.8% | 25.4% | 50.7% | -10.0 | 25 |
| 2008-02-03 | VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1968 | 1843 | 61.4% | 22.0% | 16.6% | -8.7 | 36 |
| 2008-02-03 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1843 | 1968 | 16.6% | 22.0% | 61.4% | +8.7 | 22 |
| 2008-02-08 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-1 | 1833 | 1768 | 54.3% | 24.5% | 21.2% | +3.7 | 29 |
| 2008-02-08 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1768 | 1833 | 21.2% | 24.5% | 54.3% | -3.7 | 18 |
| 2008-02-09 | Energie Cottbus | D 3-3 | 1852 | 1783 | 54.8% | 24.4% | 20.8% | -0.7 | 23 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ VfL Bochum | D 3-3 | 1783 | 1852 | 20.8% | 24.4% | 54.8% | +0.7 | 16 |
| 2008-02-09 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1937 | 1927 | 47.4% | 26.1% | 26.5% | -0.7 | 34 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1927 | 1937 | 26.5% | 26.1% | 47.4% | +0.7 | 34 |
| 2008-02-09 | Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1820 | 1756 | 54.3% | 24.5% | 21.2% | -1.2 | 16 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1756 | 1820 | 21.2% | 24.5% | 54.3% | +1.2 | 18 |
| 2008-02-09 | Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1875 | 1800 | 55.6% | 24.1% | 20.3% | -13.9 | 25 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1800 | 1875 | 20.3% | 24.1% | 55.6% | +13.9 | 23 |
| 2008-02-09 | Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1843 | 1826 | 48.2% | 26.0% | 25.8% | -0.6 | 29 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1826 | 1843 | 25.8% | 26.0% | 48.2% | +0.6 | 32 |
| 2008-02-09 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1834 | 1759 | 55.6% | 24.1% | 20.3% | +3.5 | 26 |
| 2008-02-09 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1759 | 1834 | 20.3% | 24.1% | 55.6% | -3.5 | 14 |
| 2008-02-10 | Schalke 04 | L 2-3 | 1829 | 1931 | 31.8% | 26.9% | 41.3% | -4.9 | 22 |
| 2008-02-10 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 3-2 | 1931 | 1829 | 41.3% | 26.9% | 31.8% | +4.9 | 35 |
| 2008-02-10 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1983 | 1959 | 49.1% | 25.8% | 25.1% | -0.8 | 40 |
| 2008-02-10 | @ Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1959 | 1983 | 25.1% | 25.8% | 49.1% | +0.8 | 37 |
| 2008-02-15 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1936 | 1837 | 58.4% | 23.2% | 18.4% | -8.3 | 35 |
| 2008-02-15 | @ Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1837 | 1936 | 18.4% | 23.2% | 58.4% | +8.3 | 29 |
| 2008-02-16 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1960 | 1819 | 63.2% | 21.3% | 15.5% | +5.3 | 40 |
| 2008-02-16 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1819 | 1960 | 15.5% | 21.3% | 63.2% | -5.3 | 16 |
| 2008-02-16 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1814 | 1765 | 52.5% | 25.0% | 22.5% | +4.1 | 26 |
| 2008-02-16 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1765 | 1814 | 22.5% | 25.0% | 52.5% | -4.1 | 18 |
| 2008-02-16 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1827 | 1937 | 30.8% | 26.8% | 42.4% | +0.3 | 33 |
| 2008-02-16 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 2-2 | 1937 | 1827 | 42.4% | 26.8% | 30.8% | -0.3 | 35 |
| 2008-02-16 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1784 | 1824 | 40.5% | 26.9% | 32.6% | -12.5 | 16 |
| 2008-02-16 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1824 | 1784 | 32.6% | 26.9% | 40.5% | +12.5 | 25 |
| 2008-02-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1757 | 1836 | 34.9% | 27.0% | 38.0% | +6.3 | 21 |
| 2008-02-16 | @ Hansa Rostock | L 0-1 | 1836 | 1757 | 38.0% | 27.0% | 34.9% | -6.3 | 29 |
| 2008-02-16 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-3 | 1755 | 1861 | 31.3% | 26.8% | 41.9% | -4.9 | 14 |
| 2008-02-16 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 3-2 | 1861 | 1755 | 41.9% | 26.8% | 31.3% | +4.9 | 28 |
| 2008-02-17 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1842 | 1982 | 27.3% | 26.3% | 46.5% | -13.3 | 29 |
| 2008-02-17 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1982 | 1842 | 46.5% | 26.3% | 27.3% | +13.3 | 43 |
| 2008-02-17 | VfL Bochum | W 3-0 | 1928 | 1851 | 55.8% | 24.1% | 20.2% | +10.2 | 37 |
| 2008-02-17 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-3 | 1851 | 1928 | 20.2% | 24.1% | 55.8% | -10.2 | 23 |
| 2008-02-22 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1841 | 1829 | 47.6% | 26.1% | 26.3% | +4.5 | 26 |
| 2008-02-22 | @ VfL Bochum | L 1-2 | 1829 | 1841 | 26.3% | 26.1% | 47.6% | -4.5 | 29 |
| 2008-02-23 | Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1836 | 1764 | 55.4% | 24.2% | 20.4% | +3.8 | 28 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1764 | 1836 | 20.4% | 24.2% | 55.4% | -3.8 | 21 |
| 2008-02-23 | Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1845 | 1818 | 49.6% | 25.7% | 24.7% | -0.9 | 30 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1818 | 1845 | 24.7% | 25.7% | 49.6% | +0.9 | 27 |
| 2008-02-23 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-1 | 1866 | 1827 | 51.1% | 25.3% | 23.5% | +7.0 | 31 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1827 | 1866 | 23.5% | 25.3% | 51.1% | -7.0 | 33 |
| 2008-02-23 | MSV Duisburg | L 0-2 | 1761 | 1750 | 47.4% | 26.1% | 26.5% | -14.1 | 18 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1750 | 1761 | 26.5% | 26.1% | 47.4% | +14.1 | 17 |
| 2008-02-23 | Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1936 | 1928 | 47.2% | 26.1% | 26.7% | +4.8 | 38 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1928 | 1936 | 26.7% | 26.1% | 47.2% | -4.8 | 35 |
| 2008-02-23 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1830 | 1965 | 27.7% | 26.3% | 45.9% | +7.3 | 32 |
| 2008-02-23 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1965 | 1830 | 45.9% | 26.3% | 27.7% | -7.3 | 40 |
| 2008-02-24 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1814 | 1772 | 51.5% | 25.2% | 23.2% | -1.0 | 17 |
| 2008-02-24 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1772 | 1814 | 23.2% | 25.2% | 51.5% | +1.0 | 17 |
| 2008-02-24 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1995 | 1938 | 53.5% | 24.7% | 21.8% | -1.1 | 44 |
| 2008-02-24 | @ Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1938 | 1995 | 21.8% | 24.7% | 53.5% | +1.1 | 38 |
| 2008-02-29 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1819 | 1764 | 53.2% | 24.8% | 22.0% | +7.6 | 30 |
| 2008-02-29 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1764 | 1819 | 22.0% | 24.8% | 53.2% | -7.6 | 17 |
| 2008-03-01 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-1 | 1825 | 1813 | 47.6% | 26.1% | 26.3% | +4.5 | 32 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1813 | 1825 | 26.3% | 26.1% | 47.6% | -4.5 | 17 |
| 2008-03-01 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1760 | 1747 | 47.8% | 26.0% | 26.2% | -0.7 | 22 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1747 | 1760 | 26.2% | 26.0% | 47.8% | +0.7 | 19 |
| 2008-03-01 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1923 | 1994 | 36.0% | 27.0% | 37.0% | -6.0 | 35 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Schalke 04 | W 1-0 | 1994 | 1923 | 37.0% | 27.0% | 36.0% | +6.1 | 47 |
| 2008-03-01 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-0 | 1958 | 1840 | 60.6% | 22.3% | 17.0% | +5.9 | 43 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1840 | 1958 | 17.0% | 22.3% | 60.6% | -5.9 | 28 |
| 2008-03-01 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-1 | 1820 | 1845 | 42.7% | 26.7% | 30.6% | +8.7 | 36 |
| 2008-03-01 | @ Karlsruher SC | L 1-3 | 1845 | 1820 | 30.6% | 26.7% | 42.7% | -8.7 | 30 |
| 2008-03-02 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-0 | 1846 | 1941 | 32.6% | 26.9% | 40.4% | +12.4 | 29 |
| 2008-03-02 | @ VfL Bochum | L 0-2 | 1941 | 1846 | 40.4% | 26.9% | 32.6% | -12.4 | 38 |
| 2008-03-02 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-1 | 1939 | 1837 | 58.8% | 23.1% | 18.2% | +7.7 | 41 |
| 2008-03-02 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-4 | 1837 | 1939 | 18.2% | 23.1% | 58.8% | -7.7 | 32 |
| 2008-03-07 | Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1834 | 1827 | 47.0% | 26.2% | 26.8% | -0.7 | 29 |
| 2008-03-07 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1827 | 1834 | 26.8% | 26.2% | 47.0% | +0.7 | 31 |
| 2008-03-08 | Energie Cottbus | W 3-0 | 1836 | 1773 | 54.1% | 24.6% | 21.3% | +10.7 | 33 |
| 2008-03-08 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1773 | 1836 | 21.3% | 24.6% | 54.1% | -10.7 | 17 |
| 2008-03-08 | Hansa Rostock | D 1-1 | 1757 | 1759 | 45.7% | 26.4% | 27.9% | -0.6 | 18 |
| 2008-03-08 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1759 | 1757 | 27.9% | 26.4% | 45.7% | +0.6 | 23 |
| 2008-03-08 | Karlsruher SC | W 2-0 | 2000 | 1829 | 66.4% | 19.8% | 13.8% | +4.6 | 50 |
| 2008-03-08 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1829 | 2000 | 13.8% | 19.8% | 66.4% | -4.6 | 36 |
| 2008-03-08 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1747 | 1917 | 24.1% | 25.5% | 50.4% | -8.2 | 19 |
| 2008-03-08 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 1917 | 1747 | 50.4% | 25.5% | 24.1% | +8.2 | 38 |
| 2008-03-08 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1829 | 1858 | 42.1% | 26.8% | 31.1% | -0.4 | 33 |
| 2008-03-08 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1829 | 31.1% | 26.8% | 42.1% | +0.4 | 30 |
| 2008-03-08 | Werder Bremen | W 6-3 | 1873 | 1964 | 33.3% | 27.0% | 39.7% | +12.1 | 34 |
| 2008-03-08 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 3-6 | 1964 | 1873 | 39.7% | 27.0% | 33.3% | -12.0 | 43 |
| 2008-03-09 | Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1809 | 1947 | 27.4% | 26.3% | 46.3% | +0.7 | 18 |
| 2008-03-09 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1947 | 1809 | 46.3% | 26.3% | 27.4% | -0.7 | 42 |
| 2008-03-09 | Hannover 96 | W 2-0 | 1929 | 1829 | 58.5% | 23.1% | 18.3% | +6.4 | 41 |
| 2008-03-09 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1829 | 1929 | 18.3% | 23.1% | 58.5% | -6.4 | 32 |
| 2008-03-11 | VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1762 | 1885 | 29.2% | 26.6% | 44.3% | -5.1 | 17 |
| 2008-03-11 | @ Energie Cottbus | W 1-0 | 1885 | 1762 | 44.3% | 26.6% | 29.2% | +5.1 | 37 |
| 2008-03-14 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-1 | 1925 | 1756 | 66.2% | 20.0% | 13.9% | +2.3 | 41 |
| 2008-03-14 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1756 | 1925 | 13.9% | 20.0% | 66.2% | -2.4 | 18 |
| 2008-03-15 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1823 | 1739 | 56.7% | 23.8% | 19.6% | -1.0 | 33 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1739 | 1823 | 19.6% | 23.8% | 56.7% | +1.0 | 20 |
| 2008-03-15 | Bayern Munich | W 2-0 | 1757 | 2005 | 17.4% | 22.6% | 60.0% | +17.0 | 20 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 2005 | 1757 | 60.0% | 22.6% | 17.4% | -17.0 | 50 |
| 2008-03-15 | Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 1946 | 1834 | 60.0% | 22.6% | 17.4% | +3.2 | 45 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1834 | 1946 | 17.4% | 22.6% | 60.0% | -3.2 | 29 |
| 2008-03-15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1824 | 1829 | 45.4% | 26.4% | 28.2% | -7.2 | 36 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1829 | 1824 | 28.2% | 26.4% | 45.4% | +7.2 | 36 |
| 2008-03-15 | Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1760 | 1828 | 36.5% | 27.0% | 36.5% | +0.0 | 24 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ Hansa Rostock | D 0-0 | 1828 | 1760 | 36.5% | 27.0% | 36.5% | +0.0 | 32 |
| 2008-03-15 | VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1891 | 41.6% | 26.8% | 31.6% | -0.3 | 31 |
| 2008-03-15 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1891 | 1858 | 31.6% | 26.8% | 41.6% | +0.3 | 38 |
| 2008-03-16 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 4-1 | 1935 | 1809 | 61.5% | 22.0% | 16.5% | +7.0 | 44 |
| 2008-03-16 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-4 | 1809 | 1935 | 16.5% | 22.0% | 61.5% | -7.0 | 18 |
| 2008-03-16 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1952 | 1846 | 59.2% | 22.9% | 17.9% | -8.9 | 43 |
| 2008-03-16 | @ Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1846 | 1952 | 17.9% | 22.9% | 59.2% | +8.9 | 36 |
| 2008-03-20 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-1 | 1836 | 1774 | 54.1% | 24.6% | 21.3% | +3.7 | 39 |
| 2008-03-20 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1774 | 1836 | 21.3% | 24.6% | 54.1% | -3.7 | 20 |
| 2008-03-22 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1988 | 1942 | 52.0% | 25.1% | 22.9% | +3.9 | 53 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1942 | 1988 | 22.9% | 25.1% | 52.0% | -3.9 | 44 |
| 2008-03-22 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1855 | 1949 | 32.9% | 26.9% | 40.1% | +0.2 | 37 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1949 | 1855 | 40.1% | 26.9% | 32.9% | -0.2 | 46 |
| 2008-03-22 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1754 | 1822 | 36.5% | 27.0% | 36.5% | +0.0 | 19 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1822 | 1754 | 36.5% | 27.0% | 36.5% | +0.0 | 34 |
| 2008-03-22 | Hansa Rostock | W 4-1 | 1891 | 1760 | 62.1% | 21.7% | 16.1% | +6.8 | 41 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-4 | 1760 | 1891 | 16.1% | 21.7% | 62.1% | -6.8 | 24 |
| 2008-03-22 | Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1830 | 1817 | 47.8% | 26.0% | 26.2% | -0.7 | 30 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1817 | 1830 | 26.2% | 26.0% | 47.8% | +0.7 | 37 |
| 2008-03-22 | VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1802 | 1858 | 38.3% | 27.0% | 34.7% | -0.1 | 19 |
| 2008-03-22 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1858 | 1802 | 34.7% | 27.0% | 38.3% | +0.1 | 32 |
| 2008-03-23 | Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1828 | 1927 | 32.1% | 26.9% | 41.0% | -5.2 | 32 |
| 2008-03-23 | @ Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1927 | 1828 | 41.0% | 26.9% | 32.1% | +5.2 | 44 |
| 2008-03-23 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1740 | 1943 | 21.0% | 24.4% | 54.6% | +1.2 | 21 |
| 2008-03-23 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1943 | 1740 | 54.6% | 24.4% | 21.0% | -1.2 | 44 |
| 2008-03-28 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1753 | 1856 | 31.7% | 26.8% | 41.4% | -5.5 | 24 |
| 2008-03-28 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1856 | 1753 | 41.4% | 26.8% | 31.7% | +5.5 | 40 |
| 2008-03-29 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 1-1 | 1949 | 1741 | 70.1% | 18.1% | 11.9% | -2.1 | 47 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1741 | 1949 | 11.9% | 18.1% | 70.1% | +2.1 | 22 |
| 2008-03-29 | Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1802 | 1992 | 22.1% | 24.9% | 53.0% | +1.1 | 20 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1992 | 1802 | 53.0% | 24.9% | 22.1% | -1.1 | 54 |
| 2008-03-29 | Borussia Dortmund | D 3-3 | 1858 | 1830 | 49.8% | 25.7% | 24.6% | -0.5 | 33 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ VfL Bochum | D 3-3 | 1830 | 1858 | 24.6% | 25.7% | 49.8% | +0.5 | 31 |
| 2008-03-29 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-2 | 1938 | 1840 | 58.4% | 23.2% | 18.4% | -16.7 | 44 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-0 | 1840 | 1938 | 18.4% | 23.2% | 58.4% | +16.7 | 42 |
| 2008-03-29 | MSV Duisburg | L 1-2 | 1942 | 1754 | 68.1% | 19.0% | 12.9% | -9.4 | 44 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1754 | 1942 | 12.9% | 19.0% | 68.1% | +9.4 | 22 |
| 2008-03-29 | Schalke 04 | D 0-0 | 1818 | 1933 | 30.2% | 26.7% | 43.1% | +0.5 | 38 |
| 2008-03-29 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 0-0 | 1933 | 1818 | 43.1% | 26.7% | 30.2% | -0.5 | 45 |
| 2008-03-30 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1770 | 1822 | 38.8% | 27.0% | 34.3% | +5.5 | 23 |
| 2008-03-30 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1822 | 1770 | 34.3% | 27.0% | 38.8% | -5.5 | 32 |
| 2008-03-30 | VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1822 | 1898 | 35.4% | 27.0% | 37.6% | +0.1 | 35 |
| 2008-03-30 | @ Hannover 96 | D 0-0 | 1898 | 1822 | 37.6% | 27.0% | 35.4% | -0.1 | 42 |
| 2008-04-04 | Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1763 | 1776 | 44.3% | 26.6% | 29.1% | -7.1 | 22 |
| 2008-04-04 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1776 | 1763 | 29.1% | 26.6% | 44.3% | +7.1 | 26 |
| 2008-04-05 | 1. FC Nurnberg | L 1-3 | 1857 | 1803 | 53.0% | 24.9% | 22.2% | -13.3 | 42 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1803 | 1857 | 22.2% | 24.9% | 53.0% | +13.3 | 23 |
| 2008-04-05 | Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1898 | 1947 | 39.2% | 27.0% | 33.8% | +5.8 | 45 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1947 | 1898 | 33.8% | 27.0% | 39.2% | -5.8 | 47 |
| 2008-04-05 | Hannover 96 | W 3-2 | 1861 | 1822 | 51.2% | 25.3% | 23.5% | +3.8 | 43 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 2-3 | 1822 | 1861 | 23.5% | 25.3% | 51.2% | -3.8 | 35 |
| 2008-04-05 | Hansa Rostock | W 1-0 | 1932 | 1747 | 67.8% | 19.2% | 13.0% | +2.3 | 48 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1747 | 1932 | 13.0% | 19.2% | 67.8% | -2.3 | 24 |
| 2008-04-05 | Karlsruher SC | W 1-0 | 1743 | 1818 | 35.5% | 27.0% | 37.5% | +6.2 | 25 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1818 | 1743 | 37.5% | 27.0% | 35.5% | -6.2 | 38 |
| 2008-04-05 | Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1817 | 1932 | 30.1% | 26.7% | 43.2% | -5.0 | 32 |
| 2008-04-05 | @ Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1932 | 1817 | 43.2% | 26.7% | 30.1% | +5.0 | 47 |
| 2008-04-06 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1830 | 1922 | 33.2% | 27.0% | 39.8% | +6.2 | 34 |
| 2008-04-06 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 1922 | 1830 | 39.8% | 27.0% | 33.2% | -6.1 | 44 |
| 2008-04-06 | VfL Bochum | W 3-1 | 1991 | 1858 | 62.3% | 21.6% | 16.0% | +4.8 | 57 |
| 2008-04-06 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1858 | 1991 | 16.0% | 21.6% | 62.3% | -4.8 | 33 |
| 2008-04-12 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 1-0 | 1783 | 1749 | 50.4% | 25.5% | 24.1% | +4.4 | 29 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-1 | 1749 | 1783 | 24.1% | 25.5% | 50.4% | -4.4 | 25 |
| 2008-04-12 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1818 | 1843 | 42.6% | 26.8% | 30.7% | +5.1 | 38 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1843 | 1818 | 30.7% | 26.8% | 42.6% | -5.1 | 42 |
| 2008-04-12 | Hansa Rostock | L 1-2 | 1812 | 1745 | 54.6% | 24.4% | 20.9% | -7.9 | 38 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 2-1 | 1745 | 1812 | 20.9% | 24.4% | 54.6% | +7.9 | 27 |
| 2008-04-12 | Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1853 | 1812 | 51.4% | 25.3% | 23.3% | -1.0 | 34 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1812 | 1853 | 23.3% | 25.3% | 51.4% | +1.0 | 33 |
| 2008-04-12 | MSV Duisburg | L 0-1 | 1941 | 1756 | 67.8% | 19.2% | 13.0% | -9.9 | 47 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1756 | 1941 | 13.0% | 19.2% | 67.8% | +9.9 | 25 |
| 2008-04-12 | Schalke 04 | W 5-1 | 1937 | 1934 | 46.4% | 26.3% | 27.3% | +14.5 | 50 |
| 2008-04-12 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-5 | 1934 | 1937 | 27.3% | 26.3% | 46.4% | -14.5 | 48 |
| 2008-04-13 | Borussia Dortmund | W 5-0 | 1996 | 1836 | 65.1% | 20.4% | 14.4% | +11.5 | 60 |
| 2008-04-13 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-5 | 1836 | 1996 | 14.4% | 20.4% | 65.1% | -11.5 | 34 |
| 2008-04-13 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-0 | 1915 | 1903 | 47.6% | 26.1% | 26.3% | +12.9 | 47 |
| 2008-04-13 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1903 | 1915 | 26.3% | 26.1% | 47.6% | -12.9 | 45 |
| 2008-04-15 | Energie Cottbus | W 5-0 | 1920 | 1787 | 62.3% | 21.7% | 16.0% | +12.9 | 51 |
| 2008-04-15 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-5 | 1787 | 1920 | 16.0% | 21.7% | 62.3% | -12.9 | 29 |
| 2008-04-15 | Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1813 | 1931 | 29.8% | 26.7% | 43.6% | +0.5 | 34 |
| 2008-04-15 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1931 | 1813 | 43.6% | 26.7% | 29.8% | -0.5 | 48 |
| 2008-04-15 | VfL Bochum | L 0-1 | 1865 | 1852 | 47.8% | 26.0% | 26.2% | -7.5 | 43 |
| 2008-04-15 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1852 | 1865 | 26.2% | 26.0% | 47.8% | +7.5 | 37 |
| 2008-04-15 | Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1753 | 1952 | 21.3% | 24.6% | 54.1% | -3.7 | 27 |
| 2008-04-15 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1952 | 1753 | 54.1% | 24.6% | 21.3% | +3.7 | 53 |
| 2008-04-16 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 3-0 | 1890 | 1817 | 55.5% | 24.2% | 20.4% | +10.2 | 48 |
| 2008-04-16 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-3 | 1817 | 1890 | 20.4% | 24.2% | 55.5% | -10.3 | 23 |
| 2008-04-16 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1745 | 1928 | 22.7% | 25.1% | 52.2% | +8.1 | 28 |
| 2008-04-16 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-1 | 1928 | 1745 | 52.2% | 25.1% | 22.7% | -8.1 | 47 |
| 2008-04-16 | Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1838 | 2007 | 24.1% | 25.5% | 50.3% | -7.2 | 42 |
| 2008-04-16 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 2007 | 1838 | 50.3% | 25.5% | 24.1% | +7.2 | 63 |
| 2008-04-16 | Hannover 96 | L 1-3 | 1825 | 1823 | 46.3% | 26.3% | 27.5% | -12.0 | 34 |
| 2008-04-16 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 3-1 | 1823 | 1825 | 27.5% | 26.3% | 46.3% | +12.0 | 41 |
| 2008-04-16 | Karlsruher SC | L 0-1 | 1766 | 1804 | 40.7% | 26.9% | 32.4% | -6.6 | 25 |
| 2008-04-16 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 1-0 | 1804 | 1766 | 32.4% | 26.9% | 40.7% | +6.6 | 41 |
| 2008-04-20 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1806 | 1857 | 38.9% | 27.0% | 34.1% | +5.8 | 26 |
| 2008-04-20 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-1 | 1857 | 1806 | 34.1% | 27.0% | 38.9% | -5.8 | 43 |
| 2008-04-25 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1831 | 1813 | 48.4% | 25.9% | 25.7% | -0.8 | 43 |
| 2008-04-25 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1831 | 25.7% | 25.9% | 48.4% | +0.8 | 35 |
| 2008-04-26 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1812 | 1753 | 53.6% | 24.7% | 21.7% | -0.8 | 27 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | D 2-2 | 1753 | 1812 | 21.7% | 24.7% | 53.6% | +0.8 | 29 |
| 2008-04-26 | Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1774 | 1749 | 49.3% | 25.7% | 24.9% | +4.3 | 32 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 1-2 | 1749 | 1774 | 24.9% | 25.7% | 49.3% | -4.2 | 27 |
| 2008-04-26 | Hertha BSC | D 2-2 | 1835 | 1813 | 48.9% | 25.8% | 25.3% | -0.6 | 42 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1813 | 1835 | 25.3% | 25.8% | 48.9% | +0.6 | 35 |
| 2008-04-26 | MSV Duisburg | D 1-1 | 1859 | 1759 | 58.6% | 23.1% | 18.3% | -1.4 | 38 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ VfL Bochum | D 1-1 | 1759 | 1859 | 18.3% | 23.1% | 58.6% | +1.4 | 26 |
| 2008-04-26 | Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1931 | 1933 | 45.7% | 26.4% | 27.9% | -7.3 | 48 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1933 | 1931 | 27.9% | 26.4% | 45.7% | +7.2 | 54 |
| 2008-04-26 | Werder Bremen | D 3-3 | 1811 | 1956 | 26.7% | 26.1% | 47.2% | +0.4 | 42 |
| 2008-04-26 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 3-3 | 1956 | 1811 | 47.2% | 26.1% | 26.7% | -0.4 | 54 |
| 2008-04-27 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-1 | 2014 | 1901 | 60.1% | 22.5% | 17.3% | +7.3 | 66 |
| 2008-04-27 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-4 | 1901 | 2014 | 17.3% | 22.5% | 60.1% | -7.3 | 48 |
| 2008-04-27 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 2-2 | 1920 | 1852 | 54.8% | 24.3% | 20.8% | -0.9 | 48 |
| 2008-04-27 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 1852 | 1920 | 20.8% | 24.3% | 54.8% | +0.9 | 44 |
| 2008-05-02 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 0-0 | 1814 | 1811 | 46.3% | 26.3% | 27.4% | -0.7 | 36 |
| 2008-05-02 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 0-0 | 1811 | 1814 | 27.4% | 26.3% | 46.3% | +0.7 | 28 |
| 2008-05-03 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-1 | 1893 | 1830 | 54.1% | 24.6% | 21.3% | +9.0 | 51 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-4 | 1830 | 1893 | 21.3% | 24.6% | 54.1% | -9.0 | 43 |
| 2008-05-03 | Energie Cottbus | W 2-0 | 1955 | 1779 | 67.0% | 19.6% | 13.5% | +4.5 | 57 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-2 | 1779 | 1955 | 13.5% | 19.6% | 67.0% | -4.5 | 32 |
| 2008-05-03 | Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 1745 | 1923 | 23.2% | 25.2% | 51.5% | -6.9 | 27 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 3-1 | 1923 | 1745 | 51.5% | 25.2% | 23.2% | +6.9 | 51 |
| 2008-05-03 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 1940 | 1834 | 59.2% | 22.9% | 17.9% | -1.4 | 55 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1834 | 1940 | 17.9% | 22.9% | 59.2% | +1.5 | 43 |
| 2008-05-03 | Karlsruher SC | W 3-1 | 1814 | 1811 | 46.4% | 26.3% | 27.3% | +8.0 | 38 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1811 | 1814 | 27.3% | 26.3% | 46.4% | -8.0 | 42 |
| 2008-05-03 | VfL Bochum | W 2-0 | 1754 | 1858 | 31.6% | 26.8% | 41.6% | +12.7 | 32 |
| 2008-05-03 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | L 0-2 | 1858 | 1754 | 41.6% | 26.8% | 31.6% | -12.7 | 38 |
| 2008-05-04 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-2 | 1761 | 1919 | 25.2% | 25.8% | 49.0% | +6.9 | 29 |
| 2008-05-04 | @ MSV Duisburg | L 2-3 | 1919 | 1761 | 49.0% | 25.8% | 25.2% | -6.9 | 48 |
| 2008-05-04 | Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 1853 | 2022 | 24.1% | 25.5% | 50.4% | +1.0 | 45 |
| 2008-05-04 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 2022 | 1853 | 50.4% | 25.5% | 24.1% | -1.0 | 67 |
| 2008-05-06 | Energie Cottbus | D 1-1 | 1803 | 1774 | 49.9% | 25.6% | 24.5% | -0.9 | 43 |
| 2008-05-06 | @ Karlsruher SC | D 1-1 | 1774 | 1803 | 24.5% | 25.6% | 49.9% | +0.9 | 33 |
| 2008-05-06 | Hansa Rostock | W 3-0 | 1836 | 1738 | 58.3% | 23.2% | 18.5% | +9.3 | 46 |
| 2008-05-06 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-3 | 1738 | 1836 | 18.5% | 23.2% | 58.3% | -9.3 | 27 |
| 2008-05-06 | Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1845 | 1939 | 33.0% | 26.9% | 40.1% | -15.5 | 38 |
| 2008-05-06 | @ VfL Bochum | W 3-0 | 1939 | 1845 | 40.1% | 26.9% | 33.0% | +15.5 | 58 |
| 2008-05-06 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-2 | 1813 | 1902 | 33.5% | 27.0% | 39.5% | +5.8 | 39 |
| 2008-05-06 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1902 | 1813 | 39.5% | 27.0% | 33.5% | -5.8 | 51 |
| 2008-05-07 | Arminia Bielefeld | W 2-0 | 2021 | 1767 | 74.4% | 15.8% | 9.8% | +3.1 | 70 |
| 2008-05-07 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1767 | 2021 | 9.8% | 15.8% | 74.4% | -3.1 | 32 |
| 2008-05-07 | Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1913 | 1822 | 57.5% | 23.5% | 19.0% | -8.2 | 48 |
| 2008-05-07 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1822 | 1913 | 19.0% | 23.5% | 57.5% | +8.2 | 41 |
| 2008-05-07 | MSV Duisburg | W 2-0 | 1812 | 1768 | 51.8% | 25.2% | 23.0% | +7.9 | 31 |
| 2008-05-07 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | L 0-2 | 1768 | 1812 | 23.0% | 25.2% | 51.8% | -7.9 | 29 |
| 2008-05-07 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 2-3 | 1821 | 1854 | 41.6% | 26.8% | 31.6% | -6.0 | 43 |
| 2008-05-07 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-2 | 1854 | 1821 | 31.6% | 26.8% | 41.6% | +6.0 | 48 |
| 2008-05-07 | Werder Bremen | L 0-1 | 1930 | 1960 | 42.0% | 26.8% | 31.2% | -6.8 | 51 |
| 2008-05-07 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1960 | 1930 | 31.2% | 26.8% | 42.0% | +6.8 | 60 |
| 2008-05-10 | 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1830 | 1820 | 47.4% | 26.1% | 26.5% | +4.8 | 44 |
| 2008-05-10 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1820 | 1830 | 26.5% | 26.1% | 47.4% | -4.8 | 31 |
| 2008-05-10 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1729 | 1904 | 23.5% | 25.3% | 51.2% | -4.0 | 27 |
| 2008-05-10 | @ Hansa Rostock | W 2-1 | 1904 | 1729 | 51.2% | 25.3% | 23.5% | +4.0 | 51 |
| 2008-05-10 | Bayern Munich | L 2-3 | 1760 | 2024 | 16.4% | 21.9% | 61.7% | -2.7 | 29 |
| 2008-05-10 | @ MSV Duisburg | W 3-2 | 2024 | 1760 | 61.7% | 21.9% | 16.4% | +2.7 | 73 |
| 2008-05-10 | Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1764 | 1819 | 38.3% | 27.0% | 34.7% | -0.1 | 33 |
| 2008-05-10 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1819 | 1764 | 34.7% | 27.0% | 38.3% | +0.1 | 40 |
| 2008-05-10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1954 | 1815 | 62.9% | 21.4% | 15.7% | +2.8 | 61 |
| 2008-05-10 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1815 | 1954 | 15.7% | 21.4% | 62.9% | -2.8 | 43 |
| 2008-05-10 | Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 1775 | 1923 | 26.3% | 26.1% | 47.7% | +14.1 | 36 |
| 2008-05-10 | @ Energie Cottbus | L 0-2 | 1923 | 1775 | 47.7% | 26.1% | 26.3% | -14.2 | 51 |
| 2008-05-10 | Hannover 96 | W 6-1 | 1967 | 1845 | 61.0% | 22.2% | 16.8% | +11.2 | 63 |
| 2008-05-10 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-6 | 1845 | 1967 | 16.8% | 22.2% | 61.0% | -11.2 | 46 |
| 2008-05-10 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-0 | 1860 | 1897 | 40.9% | 26.9% | 32.2% | +19.9 | 51 |
| 2008-05-10 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-4 | 1897 | 1860 | 32.2% | 26.9% | 40.9% | -19.9 | 51 |
| 2008-05-10 | VfL Bochum | L 1-3 | 1802 | 1830 | 42.3% | 26.8% | 30.9% | -11.2 | 43 |
| 2008-05-10 | @ Karlsruher SC | W 3-1 | 1830 | 1802 | 30.9% | 26.8% | 42.3% | +11.1 | 41 |
| 2008-05-17 | Arminia Bielefeld | D 2-2 | 1877 | 1764 | 60.1% | 22.6% | 17.4% | -1.1 | 52 |
| 2008-05-17 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1764 | 1877 | 17.4% | 22.6% | 60.1% | +1.1 | 34 |
| 2008-05-17 | Energie Cottbus | W 4-0 | 1834 | 1789 | 51.9% | 25.2% | 22.9% | +15.0 | 49 |
| 2008-05-17 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-4 | 1789 | 1834 | 22.9% | 25.2% | 51.9% | -15.0 | 36 |
| 2008-05-17 | Hansa Rostock | L 1-2 | 1841 | 1725 | 60.4% | 22.4% | 17.2% | -8.6 | 41 |
| 2008-05-17 | @ VfL Bochum | W 2-1 | 1725 | 1841 | 17.2% | 22.4% | 60.4% | +8.6 | 30 |
| 2008-05-17 | Hertha BSC | W 4-1 | 2026 | 1835 | 68.5% | 18.9% | 12.7% | +5.2 | 76 |
| 2008-05-17 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-4 | 1835 | 2026 | 12.7% | 18.9% | 68.5% | -5.2 | 44 |
| 2008-05-17 | Karlsruher SC | W 7-0 | 1909 | 1791 | 60.6% | 22.3% | 17.0% | +18.9 | 54 |
| 2008-05-17 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-7 | 1791 | 1909 | 17.0% | 22.3% | 60.6% | -18.9 | 43 |
| 2008-05-17 | MSV Duisburg | W 4-2 | 1812 | 1757 | 53.2% | 24.8% | 22.0% | +5.9 | 46 |
| 2008-05-17 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-4 | 1757 | 1812 | 22.0% | 24.8% | 53.2% | -5.9 | 29 |
| 2008-05-17 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1815 | 1957 | 27.0% | 26.2% | 46.8% | -9.1 | 31 |
| 2008-05-17 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 2-0 | 1957 | 1815 | 46.8% | 26.2% | 27.0% | +9.1 | 64 |
| 2008-05-17 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 2-4 | 1819 | 1879 | 37.6% | 27.0% | 35.4% | -9.1 | 40 |
| 2008-05-17 | @ Borussia Dortmund | W 4-2 | 1879 | 1819 | 35.4% | 27.0% | 37.6% | +9.1 | 54 |
| 2008-05-17 | Werder Bremen | L 0-1 | 1908 | 1978 | 36.3% | 27.0% | 36.7% | -6.1 | 51 |
| 2008-05-17 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1978 | 1908 | 36.7% | 27.0% | 36.3% | +6.1 | 66 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2008-03-29 | 12.86% | MSV Duisburg | 1754 | 2 | @ Werder Bremen | 1942 | 1 |
| 2 | 2008-04-12 | 13.03% | MSV Duisburg | 1756 | 1 | @ Hamburger SV | 1941 | 0 |
| 3 | 2008-02-03 | 16.58% | VfL Bochum | 1843 | 2 | @ Werder Bremen | 1968 | 1 |
| 4 | 2007-10-06 | 16.81% | Karlsruher SC | 1814 | 2 | @ Schalke 04 | 1935 | 0 |
| 5 | 2008-05-17 | 17.15% | Hansa Rostock | 1725 | 2 | @ VfL Bochum | 1841 | 1 |
| 6 | 2008-03-15 | 17.45% | @ Energie Cottbus | 1757 | 2 | Bayern Munich | 2005 | 0 |
| 7 | 2008-03-16 | 17.91% | VfL Wolfsburg | 1846 | 1 | @ Werder Bremen | 1952 | 0 |
| 8 | 2007-09-25 | 18.18% | Hansa Rostock | 1755 | 3 | @ Hertha BSC | 1857 | 1 |
| 9 | 2008-02-15 | 18.40% | VfL Wolfsburg | 1837 | 2 | @ Schalke 04 | 1936 | 1 |
| 10 | 2008-03-29 | 18.45% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1840 | 2 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1938 | 0 |
| 11 | 2008-05-07 | 19.03% | Hertha BSC | 1822 | 2 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1913 | 1 |
| 12 | 2007-08-12 | 20.06% | Karlsruher SC | 1795 | 2 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 1872 | 0 |
| 13 | 2008-02-09 | 20.29% | Hertha BSC | 1800 | 3 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1875 | 1 |
| 14 | 2007-12-01 | 20.31% | Borussia Dortmund | 1827 | 2 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1901 | 1 |
| 15 | 2008-04-12 | 20.94% | Hansa Rostock | 1745 | 2 | @ Karlsruher SC | 1812 | 1 |
| 16 | 2007-10-06 | 21.59% | Hannover 96 | 1829 | 2 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1889 | 0 |
| 17 | 2008-04-05 | 22.16% | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1803 | 3 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1857 | 1 |
| 18 | 2007-08-12 | 22.18% | MSV Duisburg | 1803 | 3 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1856 | 1 |
| 19 | 2008-04-16 | 22.74% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1745 | 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1928 | 0 |
| 20 | 2007-09-26 | 23.80% | Karlsruher SC | 1796 | 1 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1833 | 0 |
| 21 | 2008-05-04 | 25.19% | @ MSV Duisburg | 1761 | 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1919 | 2 |
| 22 | 2007-11-02 | 25.30% | @ Energie Cottbus | 1759 | 1 | Schalke 04 | 1916 | 0 |
| 23 | 2007-09-26 | 25.62% | Hannover 96 | 1811 | 2 | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 1829 | 0 |
| 24 | 2007-08-18 | 25.79% | Bayern Munich | 1916 | 4 | @ Werder Bremen | 1932 | 0 |
| 25 | 2008-04-15 | 26.19% | VfL Bochum | 1852 | 1 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 1865 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2007-08-18 | 27.10 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 1916 | 25.79% | @ Werder Bremen | 0 | 1932 | 48.25% | 25.95% |
| 2 | 2008-02-02 | 20.38 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1812 | 26.67% | @ Hertha BSC | 0 | 1821 | 47.18% | 26.14% |
| 3 | 2007-12-15 | 20.24 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 1807 | 40.18% | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 1849 | 32.89% | 26.93% |
| 4 | 2008-05-10 | 19.92 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 1860 | 40.91% | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1897 | 32.21% | 26.88% |
| 5 | 2007-12-14 | 19.53 | @ Energie Cottbus | 5 | 1768 | 33.02% | Hannover 96 | 1 | 1861 | 40.05% | 26.93% |
| 6 | 2008-05-17 | 18.91 | @ Hamburger SV | 7 | 1909 | 60.63% | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 1791 | 17.03% | 22.34% |
| 7 | 2007-09-25 | 18.80 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 1888 | 30.67% | @ Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 1863 | 42.59% | 26.75% |
| 8 | 2007-10-06 | 17.25 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1814 | 16.81% | @ Schalke 04 | 0 | 1935 | 61.00% | 22.20% |
| 9 | 2007-09-29 | 17.14 | @ Werder Bremen | 8 | 1910 | 58.00% | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 1815 | 18.68% | 23.32% |
| 10 | 2008-03-15 | 17.02 | @ Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1757 | 17.45% | Bayern Munich | 0 | 2005 | 59.95% | 22.61% |
| 11 | 2007-09-23 | 16.90 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1892 | 36.00% | @ Hannover 96 | 0 | 1828 | 36.97% | 27.03% |
| 12 | 2007-11-30 | 16.69 | Hannover 96 | 3 | 1839 | 36.62% | @ Hansa Rostock | 0 | 1770 | 36.35% | 27.03% |
| 13 | 2008-03-29 | 16.65 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 1840 | 18.45% | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 1938 | 58.36% | 23.19% |
| 14 | 2007-09-14 | 16.55 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 1851 | 37.06% | Werder Bremen | 0 | 1915 | 35.92% | 27.03% |
| 15 | 2007-12-01 | 16.20 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1920 | 38.09% | @ Hertha BSC | 0 | 1841 | 34.90% | 27.01% |
| 16 | 2007-08-12 | 16.09 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1795 | 20.06% | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 0 | 1872 | 55.93% | 24.01% |
| 17 | 2007-09-01 | 15.86 | @ MSV Duisburg | 3 | 1800 | 39.10% | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 1850 | 33.92% | 26.98% |
| 18 | 2007-10-06 | 15.59 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 1829 | 21.59% | @ VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1889 | 53.74% | 24.67% |
| 19 | 2008-05-06 | 15.52 | Schalke 04 | 3 | 1939 | 40.10% | @ VfL Bochum | 0 | 1845 | 32.97% | 26.93% |
| 20 | 2008-05-17 | 14.99 | @ Hannover 96 | 4 | 1834 | 51.90% | Energie Cottbus | 0 | 1789 | 22.94% | 25.16% |
| 21 | 2008-04-12 | 14.54 | @ Werder Bremen | 5 | 1937 | 46.42% | Schalke 04 | 1 | 1934 | 27.31% | 26.27% |
| 22 | 2007-09-25 | 14.51 | Hansa Rostock | 3 | 1755 | 18.18% | @ Hertha BSC | 1 | 1857 | 58.77% | 23.05% |
| 23 | 2007-12-07 | 14.49 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 1835 | 53.67% | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 1775 | 21.64% | 24.69% |
| 24 | 2007-10-20 | 14.41 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | 5 | 1837 | 46.80% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1831 | 26.99% | 26.21% |
| 25 | 2007-09-26 | 14.34 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 1811 | 25.62% | @ Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 1829 | 48.46% | 25.91% |