Home / Leagues / Germany / Bundesliga / 2020-21
← 2019-20 2021-22 →

2020-21 Bundesliga Season

272 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Bayern Munich

72 points · 30th Title

Last Title: 2019-20

Relegated

Schalke 04

16 pts

Werder Bremen · 31 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Eintracht Frankfurt

9.48 points above expected

56 points · 46.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Schalke 04

11.77 points below expected

16 points · 27.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Bayern Munich 32 22 6 4 72 92 42 +50 68.5 +3.47
2 RB Leipzig 32 19 7 6 64 59 30 +29 60.8 +3.16
3 Borussia Dortmund 32 20 3 9 63 72 42 +30 57.4 +5.63
4 VfL Wolfsburg 32 16 9 7 57 58 35 +23 49.7 +7.31
5 Eintracht Frankfurt 32 15 11 6 56 66 52 +14 46.5 +9.48
6 Borussia Monchengladbach 32 12 10 10 46 60 53 +7 49.8 -3.84
7 Bayer Leverkusen 32 12 10 10 46 46 39 +7 52.7 -6.70
8 Union Berlin 32 10 14 8 44 46 41 +5 37.2 +6.75
9 VfB Stuttgart 32 11 8 13 41 54 54 0 38.5 +2.45
10 SC Freiburg 32 10 9 13 39 43 51 -8 39.0 -0.04
11 Hoffenheim 32 9 10 13 37 46 52 -6 43.1 -6.12
12 Mainz 05 32 9 9 14 36 36 53 -17 33.3 +2.68
13 Hertha BSC 32 8 9 15 33 41 52 -11 37.7 -4.66
14 FC Augsburg 32 9 6 17 33 33 51 -18 34.9 -1.90
15 Arminia Bielefeld 32 8 8 16 32 24 49 -25 35.1 -3.10
16 Werder Bremen 32 7 8 17 29 34 55 -21 34.0 -4.99
17 Schalke 04 32 3 7 22 16 24 83 -59 27.8 -11.77

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bayern Munich 2163 72 68.53 +3.47 71.0% 55 57 64 69 73 79 82
RB Leipzig 2077 64 60.84 +3.16 68.0% 47 48 56 60 66 72 76
Borussia Dortmund 2068 63 57.37 +5.63 79.0% 40 42 53 58 62 69 75
VfL Wolfsburg 2001 57 49.69 +7.31 89.0% 35 38 45 50 55 60 63
Borussia Monchengladbach 1977 46 49.84 -3.84 33.0% 33 37 44 50 55 62 69
Eintracht Frankfurt 1976 56 46.52 +9.48 95.0% 30 35 41 47 52 56 71
Bayer Leverkusen 1966 46 52.70 -6.70 15.0% 38 43 48 52 58 65 69
Hoffenheim 1912 37 43.12 -6.12 20.0% 25 30 38 43 48 54 56
Union Berlin 1899 44 37.25 +6.75 85.0% 24 27 32 37 42 48 53
SC Freiburg 1884 39 39.04 -0.04 52.0% 21 29 34 39 45 49 55
VfB Stuttgart 1883 41 38.55 +2.45 67.0% 19 28 34 39 42 51 53
Hertha BSC 1873 33 37.66 -4.66 31.0% 24 26 32 38 41 50 61
1. FC Koln 1864 — 0.00 — 100.0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mainz 05 1856 36 33.32 +2.68 69.0% 19 23 28 33 37 44 50
Arminia Bielefeld 1833 32 35.10 -3.10 34.0% 21 25 30 35 39 47 52
FC Augsburg 1827 33 34.90 -1.90 44.0% 21 23 29 34 41 45 53
Werder Bremen 1813 29 33.99 -4.99 24.0% 15 23 30 33 38 46 58
Schalke 04 1739 16 27.77 -11.77 2.0% 16 19 23 27 31 39 48

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team 1FK AB BL BM BD BM EF FA HB HOF M0 RL SF S0 UB VS VW WB
1. FC Koln —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Arminia Bielefeld
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-1
1.59
0-1-1
1.17
0-0-2
1.51
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.22
0-2-0
2.13
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
1.22
1-0-1
2.24
2-0-0
3.18
0-1-1
2.34
2-0-0
2.13
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
2.71
Bayer Leverkusen
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.99
 —
0-0-2
1.74
1-0-1
2.25
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.78
0-1-1
3.71
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.86
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
3.40
2-0-0
4.26
0-1-1
3.42
1-1-0
3.51
0-1-1
2.99
0-2-0
3.91
Bayern Munich
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
4.56
2-0-0
3.81
 —
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.93
1-0-1
3.92
2-0-0
4.90
2-0-0
4.50
1-0-1
4.19
1-0-1
4.87
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
4.50
2-0-0
4.80
0-2-0
4.53
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
3.86
1-1-0
4.66
Borussia Dortmund
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
4.10
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
2.10
 —
1-0-1
3.10
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
4.02
2-0-0
3.96
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
4.28
2-0-0
2.39
1-0-1
3.58
2-0-0
4.37
1-0-1
3.78
1-0-1
3.81
2-0-0
3.03
2-0-0
4.09
Borussia Monchengladbach
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.79
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.30
 —
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
3.65
0-2-0
3.41
0-0-2
3.24
1-0-1
3.76
1-0-1
2.01
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
4.05
0-2-0
3.48
0-1-1
3.29
0-2-0
2.75
2-0-0
3.78
Eintracht Frankfurt
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
1.64
1-1-0
2.08
0-1-1
2.66
 —
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.63
0-2-0
1.88
1-1-0
3.18
1-0-1
4.23
1-1-0
3.17
0-2-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
3.57
FC Augsburg
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.80
0-1-1
1.73
0-0-2
0.92
1-0-1
1.57
1-1-0
1.83
0-0-2
1.97
 —
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
2.18
2-0-0
2.80
0-0-2
1.45
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
3.30
2-0-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.66
Hertha BSC
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.19
1-1-0
1.79
0-0-2
1.22
0-0-2
1.62
0-2-0
2.02
0-0-2
2.26
2-0-0
2.73
 —
0-0-2
2.58
0-2-0
2.95
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
3.66
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
1.98
1-0-1
2.97
Hoffenheim
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
1.44
0-1-1
2.00
2-0-0
2.17
0-0-2
2.47
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
2.82
 —
0-1-1
3.34
0-1-1
1.63
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-1
3.90
0-1-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
3.21
Mainz 05
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
0.95
0-1-1
1.38
1-0-1
1.77
0-1-1
1.86
0-0-2
2.61
0-2-0
2.47
1-1-0
2.09
 —
1-0-1
1.44
2-0-0
2.20
0-2-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.61
1-0-1
1.71
1-0-1
2.68
RB Leipzig
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
4.49
1-1-0
3.17
0-1-1
2.23
0-0-2
3.01
1-0-1
3.45
0-2-0
3.60
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.16
1-1-0
3.95
1-0-1
4.19
 —
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
4.02
2-0-0
4.08
0-2-0
3.41
2-0-0
4.35
SC Freiburg
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
2.05
0-1-1
1.21
1-0-1
1.89
0-1-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.60
0-0-2
3.22
0-0-2
1.63
 —
2-0-0
3.58
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
2.98
0-1-1
2.40
0-2-0
3.08
Schalke 04
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
1.00
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
1.41
1-1-0
2.12
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
1.66
0-2-0
2.38
0-0-2
1.24
0-0-2
1.92
 —
0-2-0
2.19
0-1-1
2.09
0-0-2
1.56
0-1-1
2.46
Union Berlin
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.02
0-2-0
1.20
1-0-1
1.75
0-2-0
1.99
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.96
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
1.56
1-1-0
2.47
0-2-0
3.27
 —
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.16
2-0-0
3.11
VfB Stuttgart
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
3.30
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
1.73
1-1-0
2.15
0-2-0
2.20
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.44
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-2
1.53
0-0-2
2.41
1-1-0
3.38
0-1-1
2.80
 —
0-0-2
2.08
2-0-0
2.95
VfL Wolfsburg
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.55
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
1.69
0-0-2
2.38
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.83
0-2-0
2.03
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
4.05
1-1-0
3.29
2-0-0
3.34
 —
2-0-0
3.66
Werder Bremen
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.66
0-2-0
1.65
0-1-1
1.10
0-0-2
1.52
0-0-2
1.74
1-1-0
1.90
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.32
0-2-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.31
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
1.83
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.51%5.70%5.15%3.31%1.84%1.10%22.61%
15.70%13.97%7.54%4.60%2.21%0.55%34.56%
25.15%7.54%5.15%2.02%0.92%0.92%21.69%
33.31%4.60%2.02%1.84%0.74%0.18%12.68%
41.84%2.21%0.92%0.74%——5.70%
5+1.10%0.55%0.92%0.18%——2.76%
Total22.61%34.56%21.69%12.68%5.70%2.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.53
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored1.30
StdDev allowed1.30
Mean total goals/game3.07
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.119
Sample size (games)272
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%9.38%6.25%—6.25%46.88%
112.50%9.38%9.38%—3.12%3.12%37.50%
23.12%6.25%————9.38%
33.12%——3.12%——6.25%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.25%28.12%18.75%9.38%3.12%9.38%100%

Arminia Bielefeld — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.75
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored0.88
StdDev allowed1.57
Mean total goals/game2.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.135
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%9.38%3.12%3.12%——28.12%
16.25%15.62%12.50%3.12%——37.50%
2—9.38%3.12%———12.50%
33.12%6.25%————9.38%
4—3.12%3.12%3.12%——9.38%
5+——3.12%———3.12%
Total21.88%43.75%25.00%9.38%——100%

Bayer Leverkusen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.41
StdDev allowed0.91
Mean total goals/game2.66
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.250
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
19.38%9.38%6.25%—3.12%—28.12%
23.12%9.38%3.12%3.12%——18.75%
3—6.25%6.25%6.25%——18.75%
46.25%6.25%3.12%3.12%——18.75%
5+9.38%—6.25%———15.62%
Total28.12%31.25%25.00%12.50%3.12%—100%

Bayern Munich — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.88
Mean allowed1.31
StdDev scored1.74
StdDev allowed1.12
Mean total goals/game4.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.162
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.12%———3.12%
13.12%6.25%12.50%——3.12%25.00%
215.62%3.12%3.12%3.12%6.25%—31.25%
39.38%12.50%6.25%———28.12%
46.25%3.12%————9.38%
5+——3.12%———3.12%
Total34.38%25.00%28.12%3.12%6.25%3.12%100%

Borussia Dortmund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.25
Mean allowed1.31
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.33
Mean total goals/game3.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.288
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%3.12%—3.12%—3.12%12.50%
19.38%15.62%9.38%3.12%——37.50%
2—3.12%9.38%6.25%——18.75%
33.12%—6.25%3.12%3.12%—15.62%
43.12%3.12%6.25%———12.50%
5+3.12%—————3.12%
Total21.88%25.00%31.25%15.62%3.12%3.12%100%

Borussia Monchengladbach — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.88
Mean allowed1.66
StdDev scored1.36
StdDev allowed1.36
Mean total goals/game3.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.111
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————3.12%3.12%6.25%
1—21.88%6.25%3.12%——31.25%
29.38%12.50%6.25%———28.12%
3—15.62%—6.25%3.12%—25.00%
4———3.12%——3.12%
5+—3.12%3.12%———6.25%
Total9.38%53.12%15.62%12.50%6.25%3.12%100%

Eintracht Frankfurt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.06
Mean allowed1.62
StdDev scored1.24
StdDev allowed1.21
Mean total goals/game3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.112
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%18.75%3.12%——34.38%
16.25%9.38%9.38%9.38%3.12%—37.50%
26.25%6.25%3.12%——3.12%18.75%
3—9.38%————9.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.75%31.25%31.25%12.50%3.12%3.12%100%

FC Augsburg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.03
Mean allowed1.59
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed1.21
Mean total goals/game2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.099
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%6.25%9.38%6.25%——31.25%
1—15.62%6.25%6.25%6.25%—34.38%
2—6.25%3.12%——3.12%12.50%
312.50%3.12%——3.12%—18.75%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+———————
Total21.88%34.38%18.75%12.50%9.38%3.12%100%

Hertha BSC — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed1.62
StdDev scored1.20
StdDev allowed1.39
Mean total goals/game2.91
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.129
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%6.25%3.12%—3.12%—21.88%
1—15.62%12.50%9.38%6.25%—43.75%
2—9.38%3.12%———12.50%
33.12%3.12%3.12%3.12%——12.50%
43.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
5+———————
Total15.62%37.50%25.00%12.50%9.38%—100%

Hoffenheim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed1.62
StdDev scored1.24
StdDev allowed1.18
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.104
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%9.38%9.38%—3.12%—28.12%
19.38%15.62%3.12%9.38%3.12%—40.62%
2—9.38%6.25%3.12%—3.12%21.88%
3—3.12%6.25%———9.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.62%37.50%25.00%12.50%6.25%3.12%100%

Mainz 05 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.12
Mean allowed1.66
StdDev scored0.94
StdDev allowed1.26
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.146
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%6.25%————9.38%
115.62%9.38%3.12%3.12%——31.25%
29.38%9.38%6.25%6.25%——31.25%
312.50%3.12%3.12%3.12%——21.88%
43.12%3.12%————6.25%
5+———————
Total43.75%31.25%12.50%12.50%——100%

RB Leipzig — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.84
Mean allowed0.94
StdDev scored1.08
StdDev allowed1.05
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.020
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.12%9.38%—12.50%3.12%—28.12%
1—15.62%6.25%6.25%——28.12%
29.38%9.38%9.38%—3.12%—31.25%
3—3.12%3.12%———6.25%
43.12%3.12%————6.25%
5+———————
Total15.62%40.62%18.75%18.75%6.25%—100%

SC Freiburg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.34
Mean allowed1.59
StdDev scored1.15
StdDev allowed1.16
Mean total goals/game2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.350
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%6.25%15.62%12.50%6.25%53.12%
13.12%9.38%6.25%6.25%3.12%3.12%31.25%
2——6.25%—3.12%—9.38%
3———————
43.12%——3.12%——6.25%
5+———————
Total12.50%15.62%18.75%25.00%18.75%9.38%100%

Schalke 04 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.75
Mean allowed2.59
StdDev scored1.08
StdDev allowed1.76
Mean total goals/game3.34
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.209
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%3.12%3.12%——18.75%
16.25%28.12%3.12%6.25%——43.75%
23.12%9.38%6.25%——3.12%21.88%
3—6.25%—3.12%——9.38%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+3.12%—————3.12%
Total21.88%50.00%12.50%12.50%—3.12%100%

Union Berlin — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.44
Mean allowed1.28
StdDev scored1.19
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.070
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.25%6.25%3.12%3.12%—18.75%
13.12%12.50%6.25%6.25%——28.12%
29.38%9.38%9.38%6.25%—3.12%37.50%
3———3.12%——3.12%
4—6.25%————6.25%
5+—6.25%————6.25%
Total12.50%40.62%21.88%18.75%3.12%3.12%100%

VfB Stuttgart — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.69
Mean allowed1.69
StdDev scored1.35
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.200
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%—6.25%———15.62%
16.25%9.38%6.25%———21.88%
212.50%12.50%9.38%6.25%——40.62%
39.38%3.12%——3.12%—15.62%
4———————
5+3.12%——3.12%——6.25%
Total40.62%25.00%21.88%9.38%3.12%—100%

VfL Wolfsburg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.81
Mean allowed1.09
StdDev scored1.26
StdDev allowed1.15
Mean total goals/game2.91
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.125
Games played32
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%9.38%9.38%—3.12%—28.12%
16.25%18.75%9.38%6.25%9.38%—50.00%
26.25%3.12%——3.12%—12.50%
3—3.12%———3.12%6.25%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+———————
Total18.75%37.50%18.75%6.25%15.62%3.12%100%

Werder Bremen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.06
Mean allowed1.72
StdDev scored0.98
StdDev allowed1.44
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.081
Games played32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Eintracht Frankfurt 56 46.5 +9.48
2 VfL Wolfsburg 57 49.7 +7.31
3 Union Berlin 44 37.2 +6.75
4 Borussia Dortmund 63 57.4 +5.63
5 Bayern Munich 72 68.5 +3.47

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Schalke 04 16 27.8 -11.77
2 Bayer Leverkusen 46 52.7 -6.70
3 Hoffenheim 37 43.1 -6.12
4 Werder Bremen 29 34.0 -4.99
5 Hertha BSC 33 37.7 -4.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Borussia Dortmund 7 Apr 10 – May 22 1 in 142
2 SC Freiburg 4 Dec 12 – Jan 2 1 in 53
3 Bayer Leverkusen 5 Oct 17 – Nov 21 1 in 43
4 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 Dec 19 – Jan 17 1 in 31
5 RB Leipzig 6 Jan 30 – Mar 6 1 in 23

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mainz 05 6 Sep 20 – Oct 31 1 in 177
2 Borussia Monchengladbach 4 Feb 20 – Mar 12 1 in 144
3 Arminia Bielefeld 7 Oct 3 – Nov 28 1 in 113
4 Hertha BSC 5 Jan 10 – Feb 5 1 in 108
5 Werder Bremen 7 Mar 13 – Apr 24 1 in 101

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mainz 05 8 Mar 5 – May 9 1 in 159
2 Werder Bremen 6 Sep 26 – Nov 21 1 in 81
3 Eintracht Frankfurt 10 Dec 15 – Feb 20 1 in 45
4 Union Berlin 7 Sep 26 – Nov 28 1 in 37
5 Hoffenheim 7 Apr 12 – May 22 1 in 35

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Schalke 04 14 Sep 18 – Jan 2 1 in 61
2 SC Freiburg 9 Sep 27 – Dec 5 1 in 38
3 Hoffenheim 7 Oct 3 – Nov 29 1 in 34
4 Borussia Monchengladbach 6 Jan 30 – Mar 12 1 in 26
5 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 Oct 24 – Dec 15 1 in 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617
Bayern Munich67.00%23.00%6.00%4.00%—————————————
RB Leipzig20.00%32.00%23.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%—————————
Borussia Dortmund7.00%29.00%25.00%13.00%10.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%——————
VfL Wolfsburg—3.00%15.00%17.00%21.00%8.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Eintracht Frankfurt1.00%—3.00%13.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%10.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%——1.00%
Borussia Monchengladbach1.00%5.00%10.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%12.00%7.00%9.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Bayer Leverkusen4.00%6.00%15.00%18.00%17.00%16.00%11.00%7.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Union Berlin———1.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%10.00%7.00%14.00%5.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%3.00%
VfB Stuttgart———1.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%14.00%5.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%
SC Freiburg———1.00%1.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%
Hoffenheim——2.00%2.00%6.00%13.00%17.00%15.00%7.00%12.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%—
Mainz 05————1.00%—2.00%6.00%5.00%5.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%20.00%13.00%
Hertha BSC—1.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%8.00%11.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%14.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%
FC Augsburg————1.00%2.00%2.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%18.00%9.00%
Arminia Bielefeld————2.00%—4.00%4.00%2.00%7.00%8.00%17.00%8.00%16.00%17.00%9.00%6.00%
Werder Bremen—1.00%——1.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%8.00%3.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%13.00%16.00%11.00%12.00%
Schalke 04————————2.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%15.00%10.00%51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Won relegation playoff Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bayer Leverkusen 100% — — —
Bayern Munich 100% — — —
Borussia Dortmund 100% — — —
Borussia Monchengladbach 100% — — —
RB Leipzig 100% — — —
VfL Wolfsburg 100% — — —
Eintracht Frankfurt 99.0% — — 1.0%
Hoffenheim 96.0% 2.0% 2.0% —
SC Freiburg 93.0% 5.0% 1.0% 1.0%
VfB Stuttgart 93.0% 5.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Hertha BSC 91.0% 2.0% 4.0% 3.0%
Union Berlin 87.0% 5.0% 5.0% 3.0%
Arminia Bielefeld 85.0% 5.0% 4.0% 6.0%
FC Augsburg 73.0% 10.0% 8.0% 9.0%
Werder Bremen 77.0% 6.0% 5.0% 12.0%
Mainz 05 67.0% 12.0% 8.0% 13.0%
Schalke 04 39.0% 7.0% 3.0% 51.0%
1. FC Koln — — — 100%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2020-09-18 Schalke 04 W 8-0 2098 1854 77.0% 9.7% 13.3% +11.9 3
2020-09-18 @ Bayern Munich L 0-8 1854 2098 13.3% 9.7% 77.0% -11.9 0
2020-09-19 Borussia Monchengladbach W 3-0 2017 1970 48.1% 28.0% 23.9% +11.0 3
2020-09-19 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-3 1970 2017 23.9% 28.0% 48.1% -11.0 0
2020-09-19 Arminia Bielefeld D 1-1 1929 1885 47.7% 28.2% 24.1% -0.7 1
2020-09-19 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 1-1 1885 1929 24.1% 28.2% 47.7% +0.7 1
2020-09-19 FC Augsburg L 1-3 1851 1862 39.3% 31.1% 29.6% -9.8 0
2020-09-19 @ Union Berlin W 3-1 1862 1851 29.6% 31.1% 39.3% +9.8 3
2020-09-19 SC Freiburg L 2-3 1855 1908 33.3% 31.6% 35.1% -4.8 0
2020-09-19 @ VfB Stuttgart W 3-2 1908 1855 35.1% 31.6% 33.3% +4.8 3
2020-09-19 Hertha BSC L 1-4 1854 1894 35.0% 31.6% 33.4% -12.8 0
2020-09-19 @ Werder Bremen W 4-1 1894 1854 33.4% 31.6% 35.0% +12.8 3
2020-09-20 Mainz 05 W 3-1 2032 1886 63.5% 18.7% 17.8% +4.4 3
2020-09-20 @ RB Leipzig L 1-3 1886 2032 17.8% 18.7% 63.5% -4.4 0
2020-09-20 Bayer Leverkusen D 0-0 1938 1975 35.6% 31.6% 32.9% -0.1 1
2020-09-20 @ VfL Wolfsburg D 0-0 1975 1938 32.9% 31.6% 35.6% +0.1 1
2020-09-25 Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-3 1907 1929 37.8% 31.3% 30.8% -9.5 3
2020-09-25 @ Hertha BSC W 3-1 1929 1907 30.8% 31.3% 37.8% +9.5 4
2020-09-26 Borussia Dortmund W 2-0 1872 2028 22.6% 26.6% 50.8% +13.4 6
2020-09-26 @ FC Augsburg L 0-2 2028 1872 50.8% 26.6% 22.6% -13.4 3
2020-09-26 RB Leipzig D 1-1 1975 2037 32.0% 31.5% 36.5% +0.1 2
2020-09-26 @ Bayer Leverkusen D 1-1 2037 1975 36.5% 31.5% 32.0% -0.1 4
2020-09-26 Union Berlin D 1-1 1959 1841 59.2% 21.5% 19.2% -1.2 1
2020-09-26 @ Borussia Monchengladbach D 1-1 1841 1959 19.2% 21.5% 59.2% +1.2 1
2020-09-26 VfB Stuttgart L 1-4 1882 1850 45.8% 29.0% 25.2% -15.3 0
2020-09-26 @ Mainz 05 W 4-1 1850 1882 25.2% 29.0% 45.8% +15.3 3
2020-09-26 Werder Bremen L 1-3 1842 1841 41.2% 30.6% 28.1% -10.1 0
2020-09-26 @ Schalke 04 W 3-1 1841 1842 28.1% 30.6% 41.2% +10.1 3
2020-09-27 VfL Wolfsburg D 1-1 1912 1938 37.2% 31.4% 31.4% -0.2 4
2020-09-27 @ SC Freiburg D 1-1 1938 1912 31.4% 31.4% 37.2% +0.2 2
2020-09-27 Bayern Munich W 4-1 1939 2110 21.6% 25.4% 53.0% +16.9 3
2020-09-27 @ Hoffenheim L 1-4 2110 1939 53.0% 25.4% 21.6% -16.9 3
2020-10-02 Mainz 05 W 4-0 1842 1866 37.4% 31.4% 31.2% +18.2 4
2020-10-02 @ Union Berlin L 0-4 1866 1842 31.2% 31.4% 37.4% -18.2 0
2020-10-03 SC Freiburg W 4-0 2015 1912 56.7% 23.1% 20.1% +11.6 6
2020-10-03 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-4 1912 2015 20.1% 23.1% 56.7% -11.6 4
2020-10-03 Hoffenheim W 2-1 1938 1956 38.4% 31.2% 30.4% +4.7 7
2020-10-03 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-2 1956 1938 30.4% 31.2% 38.4% -4.7 3
2020-10-03 Schalke 04 W 4-0 2037 1832 71.9% 13.0% 15.1% +7.5 7
2020-10-03 @ RB Leipzig L 0-4 1832 2037 15.1% 13.0% 71.9% -7.4 0
2020-10-03 Bayer Leverkusen D 1-1 1865 1975 26.5% 29.9% 43.6% +0.5 4
2020-10-03 @ VfB Stuttgart D 1-1 1975 1865 43.6% 29.9% 26.5% -0.5 3
2020-10-03 Arminia Bielefeld W 1-0 1851 1886 35.9% 31.6% 32.6% +5.3 6
2020-10-03 @ Werder Bremen L 0-1 1886 1851 32.6% 31.6% 35.9% -5.3 1
2020-10-04 Hertha BSC W 4-3 2093 1898 70.6% 13.9% 15.5% +1.9 6
2020-10-04 @ Bayern Munich L 3-4 1898 2093 15.5% 13.9% 70.6% -1.9 3
2020-10-04 FC Augsburg D 0-0 1938 1885 49.1% 27.5% 23.4% -0.9 3
2020-10-04 @ VfL Wolfsburg D 0-0 1885 1938 23.4% 27.5% 49.1% +0.9 7
2020-10-17 Bayern Munich L 1-4 1881 2095 19.1% 21.2% 59.7% -6.9 1
2020-10-17 @ Arminia Bielefeld W 4-1 2095 1881 59.7% 21.2% 19.1% +6.9 9
2020-10-17 RB Leipzig L 0-2 1886 2044 22.5% 26.5% 51.0% -7.1 7
2020-10-17 @ FC Augsburg W 2-0 2044 1886 51.0% 26.5% 22.5% +7.1 10
2020-10-17 VfL Wolfsburg D 1-1 1958 1938 44.1% 29.7% 26.2% -0.5 2
2020-10-17 @ Borussia Monchengladbach D 1-1 1938 1958 26.2% 29.7% 44.1% +0.5 4
2020-10-17 Werder Bremen D 1-1 1901 1856 47.8% 28.2% 24.1% -0.7 5
2020-10-17 @ SC Freiburg D 1-1 1856 1901 24.1% 28.2% 47.8% +0.7 7
2020-10-17 VfB Stuttgart L 0-2 1896 1866 45.5% 29.1% 25.3% -12.5 3
2020-10-17 @ Hertha BSC W 2-0 1866 1896 25.3% 29.1% 45.5% +12.5 7
2020-10-17 Borussia Dortmund L 0-1 1951 2026 30.3% 31.2% 38.4% -5.0 3
2020-10-17 @ Hoffenheim W 1-0 2026 1951 38.4% 31.2% 30.3% +5.0 9
2020-10-17 Bayer Leverkusen L 0-1 1848 1975 24.9% 28.8% 46.2% -4.2 0
2020-10-17 @ Mainz 05 W 1-0 1975 1848 46.2% 28.8% 24.9% +4.2 6
2020-10-18 Union Berlin D 1-1 1825 1860 35.8% 31.6% 32.7% -0.1 1
2020-10-18 @ Schalke 04 D 1-1 1860 1825 32.7% 31.6% 35.8% +0.1 5
2020-10-24 Eintracht Frankfurt W 5-0 2102 1943 65.3% 17.4% 17.2% +11.3 12
2020-10-24 @ Bayern Munich L 0-5 1943 2102 17.2% 17.4% 65.3% -11.3 7
2020-10-24 Schalke 04 W 3-0 2031 1825 72.2% 12.8% 15.0% +5.7 12
2020-10-24 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-3 1825 2031 15.0% 12.8% 72.2% -5.6 1
2020-10-24 Borussia Monchengladbach L 2-3 1844 1958 26.1% 29.6% 44.2% -3.9 0
2020-10-24 @ Mainz 05 W 3-2 1958 1844 44.2% 29.6% 26.1% +3.9 5
2020-10-24 Hertha BSC W 2-1 2051 1883 66.7% 16.5% 16.8% +2.3 13
2020-10-24 @ RB Leipzig L 1-2 1883 2051 16.8% 16.5% 66.7% -2.3 3
2020-10-24 SC Freiburg D 1-1 1860 1900 35.2% 31.6% 33.2% -0.1 6
2020-10-24 @ Union Berlin D 1-1 1900 1860 33.2% 31.6% 35.2% +0.0 6
2020-10-25 Hoffenheim D 1-1 1857 1946 28.7% 30.8% 40.5% +0.3 8
2020-10-25 @ Werder Bremen D 1-1 1946 1857 40.5% 30.8% 28.7% -0.3 4
2020-10-25 Arminia Bielefeld W 2-1 1938 1874 50.9% 26.6% 22.6% +3.5 7
2020-10-25 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 1-2 1874 1938 22.6% 26.6% 50.9% -3.5 1
2020-10-26 FC Augsburg W 3-1 1979 1879 56.4% 23.4% 20.3% +5.3 9
2020-10-26 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 1-3 1879 1979 20.3% 23.4% 56.4% -5.4 7
2020-10-30 VfB Stuttgart D 1-1 1819 1878 32.4% 31.5% 36.1% +0.1 2
2020-10-30 @ Schalke 04 D 1-1 1878 1819 36.1% 31.5% 32.4% -0.1 8
2020-10-31 Borussia Dortmund L 0-2 1870 2037 21.9% 25.7% 52.4% -6.8 1
2020-10-31 @ Arminia Bielefeld W 2-0 2037 1870 52.4% 25.7% 21.9% +6.8 15
2020-10-31 Mainz 05 W 3-1 1874 1840 46.1% 28.9% 25.0% +6.9 10
2020-10-31 @ FC Augsburg L 1-3 1840 1874 25.0% 28.9% 46.1% -6.9 0
2020-10-31 RB Leipzig W 1-0 1962 2054 28.4% 30.7% 40.9% +6.2 8
2020-10-31 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 0-1 2054 1962 40.9% 30.7% 28.4% -6.2 13
2020-10-31 Werder Bremen D 1-1 1931 1857 52.4% 25.8% 21.9% -0.9 8
2020-10-31 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 1-1 1857 1931 21.9% 25.8% 52.4% +0.9 9
2020-11-01 Bayer Leverkusen L 2-4 1900 1984 29.2% 31.0% 39.8% -7.1 6
2020-11-01 @ SC Freiburg W 4-2 1984 1900 39.8% 31.0% 29.2% +7.1 12
2020-11-01 VfL Wolfsburg D 1-1 1881 1942 32.2% 31.5% 36.3% +0.1 4
2020-11-01 @ Hertha BSC D 1-1 1942 1881 36.3% 31.5% 32.2% -0.1 8
2020-11-02 Union Berlin L 1-3 1946 1860 54.1% 24.8% 21.2% -12.1 4
2020-11-02 @ Hoffenheim W 3-1 1860 1946 21.2% 24.8% 54.1% +12.1 9
2020-11-07 Hertha BSC L 0-3 1880 1881 40.9% 30.7% 28.4% -16.9 10
2020-11-07 @ FC Augsburg W 3-0 1881 1880 28.4% 30.7% 40.9% +16.9 7
2020-11-07 Bayern Munich L 2-3 2044 2113 31.1% 31.4% 37.5% -4.5 15
2020-11-07 @ Borussia Dortmund W 3-2 2113 2044 37.5% 31.4% 31.1% +4.5 15
2020-11-07 Schalke 04 D 2-2 1833 1819 43.1% 30.0% 26.9% -0.4 1
2020-11-07 @ Mainz 05 D 2-2 1819 1833 26.9% 30.0% 43.1% +0.4 3
2020-11-07 SC Freiburg W 3-0 2047 1893 64.7% 17.9% 17.4% +7.1 16
2020-11-07 @ RB Leipzig L 0-3 1893 2047 17.4% 17.9% 64.7% -7.1 6
2020-11-07 Arminia Bielefeld W 5-0 1872 1863 42.4% 30.3% 27.3% +20.2 12
2020-11-07 @ Union Berlin L 0-5 1863 1872 27.3% 30.3% 42.4% -20.2 1
2020-11-07 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2-2 1878 1931 33.3% 31.6% 35.1% +0.0 9
2020-11-07 @ VfB Stuttgart D 2-2 1931 1878 35.1% 31.6% 33.3% -0.0 9
2020-11-08 Borussia Monchengladbach W 4-3 1991 1968 44.6% 29.5% 25.9% +3.8 15
2020-11-08 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 3-4 1968 1991 25.9% 29.5% 44.6% -3.8 8
2020-11-08 Hoffenheim W 2-1 1941 1934 42.2% 30.3% 27.5% +4.3 11
2020-11-08 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 1-2 1934 1941 27.5% 30.3% 42.2% -4.3 4
2020-11-21 Bayer Leverkusen L 1-2 1843 1995 22.9% 27.0% 50.1% -3.6 1
2020-11-21 @ Arminia Bielefeld W 2-1 1995 1843 50.1% 27.0% 22.9% +3.6 18
2020-11-21 Werder Bremen D 1-1 2117 1858 79.0% 8.5% 12.6% -2.0 16
2020-11-21 @ Bayern Munich D 1-1 1858 2117 12.6% 8.5% 79.0% +2.0 10
2020-11-21 FC Augsburg D 1-1 1964 1864 56.4% 23.3% 20.3% -1.1 9
2020-11-21 @ Borussia Monchengladbach D 1-1 1864 1964 20.3% 23.3% 56.4% +1.1 11
2020-11-21 RB Leipzig D 1-1 1930 2055 25.2% 29.0% 45.8% +0.6 10
2020-11-21 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 1-1 2055 1930 45.8% 29.0% 25.2% -0.6 17
2020-11-21 Borussia Dortmund L 2-5 1898 2039 23.7% 27.8% 48.4% -8.0 7
2020-11-21 @ Hertha BSC W 5-2 2039 1898 48.4% 27.8% 23.7% +8.0 18
2020-11-21 VfB Stuttgart D 3-3 1929 1878 48.8% 27.7% 23.6% -0.5 5
2020-11-21 @ Hoffenheim D 3-3 1878 1929 23.6% 27.7% 48.8% +0.5 10
2020-11-21 VfL Wolfsburg L 0-2 1820 1946 25.0% 28.9% 46.1% -8.0 3
2020-11-21 @ Schalke 04 W 2-0 1946 1820 46.1% 28.9% 25.0% +8.0 14
2020-11-22 Mainz 05 L 1-3 1886 1833 49.1% 27.5% 23.4% -11.4 6
2020-11-22 @ SC Freiburg W 3-1 1833 1886 23.4% 27.5% 49.1% +11.4 4
2020-11-27 Werder Bremen W 5-3 1954 1860 55.4% 24.0% 20.7% +4.6 17
2020-11-27 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 3-5 1860 1954 20.7% 24.0% 55.4% -4.6 10
2020-11-28 SC Freiburg D 1-1 1865 1874 39.6% 31.0% 29.4% -0.3 12
2020-11-28 @ FC Augsburg D 1-1 1874 1865 29.4% 31.0% 39.6% +0.3 7
2020-11-28 Schalke 04 W 4-1 1963 1812 64.2% 18.2% 17.6% +6.1 12
2020-11-28 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 1-4 1812 1963 17.6% 18.2% 64.2% -6.1 3
2020-11-28 Arminia Bielefeld W 2-1 2054 1839 73.3% 12.1% 14.6% +1.9 20
2020-11-28 @ RB Leipzig L 1-2 1839 2054 14.6% 12.1% 73.3% -1.9 1
2020-11-28 Eintracht Frankfurt D 3-3 1893 1931 35.3% 31.6% 33.1% -0.0 13
2020-11-28 @ Union Berlin D 3-3 1931 1893 33.1% 31.6% 35.3% +0.0 11
2020-11-28 Bayern Munich L 1-3 1879 2115 17.9% 18.9% 63.1% -4.5 10
2020-11-28 @ VfB Stuttgart W 3-1 2115 1879 63.1% 18.9% 17.9% +4.4 19
2020-11-29 Hertha BSC D 0-0 1999 1890 57.7% 22.5% 19.8% -1.3 19
2020-11-29 @ Bayer Leverkusen D 0-0 1890 1999 19.8% 22.5% 57.7% +1.3 8
2020-11-29 Hoffenheim D 1-1 1844 1929 29.2% 31.0% 39.9% +0.3 5
2020-11-29 @ Mainz 05 D 1-1 1929 1844 39.9% 31.0% 29.2% -0.3 6
2020-12-04 Union Berlin W 3-1 1891 1893 40.8% 30.7% 28.5% +7.8 11
2020-12-04 @ Hertha BSC L 1-3 1893 1891 28.5% 30.7% 40.8% -7.8 13
2020-12-05 Mainz 05 W 2-1 1838 1844 40.0% 30.9% 29.1% +4.5 4
2020-12-05 @ Arminia Bielefeld L 1-2 1844 1838 29.1% 30.9% 40.0% -4.6 5
2020-12-05 RB Leipzig D 3-3 2120 2056 50.8% 26.6% 22.6% -0.5 20
2020-12-05 @ Bayern Munich D 3-3 2056 2120 22.6% 26.6% 50.8% +0.5 21
2020-12-05 Borussia Dortmund D 1-1 1931 2047 25.9% 29.5% 44.6% +0.6 12
2020-12-05 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 1-1 2047 1931 44.6% 29.5% 25.9% -0.6 19
2020-12-05 Borussia Monchengladbach D 2-2 1875 1969 28.1% 30.6% 41.3% +0.3 8
2020-12-05 @ SC Freiburg D 2-2 1969 1875 41.3% 30.6% 28.1% -0.3 13
2020-12-06 Bayer Leverkusen L 0-3 1806 1997 20.3% 23.4% 56.2% -9.0 3
2020-12-06 @ Schalke 04 W 3-0 1997 1806 56.2% 23.4% 20.3% +9.0 22
2020-12-06 VfB Stuttgart L 1-2 1856 1874 38.2% 31.3% 30.5% -5.5 10
2020-12-06 @ Werder Bremen W 2-1 1874 1856 30.5% 31.3% 38.2% +5.5 13
2020-12-07 FC Augsburg W 3-1 1928 1864 50.8% 26.6% 22.6% +6.2 9
2020-12-07 @ Hoffenheim L 1-3 1864 1928 22.6% 26.6% 50.8% -6.2 12
2020-12-11 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2-1 1958 1932 45.1% 29.3% 25.6% +4.1 20
2020-12-11 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 1-2 1932 1958 25.6% 29.3% 45.1% -4.1 12
2020-12-12 VfB Stuttgart L 1-5 2047 1880 66.5% 16.7% 16.8% -25.1 19
2020-12-12 @ Borussia Dortmund W 5-1 1880 2047 16.8% 16.7% 66.5% +25.1 16
2020-12-12 Hertha BSC D 1-1 1969 1899 51.7% 26.2% 22.2% -0.9 14
2020-12-12 @ Borussia Monchengladbach D 1-1 1899 1969 22.2% 26.2% 51.7% +0.9 12
2020-12-12 Arminia Bielefeld W 2-0 1875 1842 46.0% 28.9% 25.1% +8.0 11
2020-12-12 @ SC Freiburg L 0-2 1842 1875 25.1% 28.9% 46.0% -8.0 4
2020-12-12 Werder Bremen W 2-0 2056 1850 72.2% 12.8% 15.0% +3.9 24
2020-12-12 @ RB Leipzig L 0-2 1850 2056 15.0% 12.8% 72.2% -3.9 10
2020-12-12 Bayern Munich D 1-1 1885 2119 18.0% 19.2% 62.8% +1.4 14
2020-12-12 @ Union Berlin D 1-1 2119 1885 62.8% 19.2% 18.0% -1.4 21
2020-12-13 Schalke 04 D 2-2 1858 1797 50.4% 26.8% 22.8% -0.6 13
2020-12-13 @ FC Augsburg D 2-2 1797 1858 22.8% 26.8% 50.4% +0.6 4
2020-12-13 Hoffenheim W 4-1 2006 1935 52.0% 26.0% 22.1% +8.5 25
2020-12-13 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 1-4 1935 2006 22.1% 26.0% 52.0% -8.5 9
2020-12-15 Borussia Monchengladbach D 3-3 1928 1968 35.1% 31.6% 33.3% -0.0 13
2020-12-15 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 3-3 1968 1928 33.3% 31.6% 35.1% +0.0 15
2020-12-15 Mainz 05 D 0-0 1900 1840 50.2% 26.9% 22.9% -0.9 13
2020-12-15 @ Hertha BSC D 0-0 1840 1900 22.9% 26.9% 50.2% +0.9 6
2020-12-15 Union Berlin D 2-2 1905 1886 43.8% 29.8% 26.4% -0.4 17
2020-12-15 @ VfB Stuttgart D 2-2 1886 1905 26.4% 29.8% 43.8% +0.4 15
2020-12-15 Borussia Dortmund L 1-2 1846 2022 21.3% 25.0% 53.7% -3.3 10
2020-12-15 @ Werder Bremen W 2-1 2022 1846 53.7% 25.0% 21.3% +3.3 22
2020-12-16 FC Augsburg L 0-1 1834 1858 37.5% 31.4% 31.1% -5.8 4
2020-12-16 @ Arminia Bielefeld W 1-0 1858 1834 31.1% 31.4% 37.5% +5.8 16
2020-12-16 VfL Wolfsburg W 2-1 2118 1962 64.8% 17.8% 17.4% +2.4 24
2020-12-16 @ Bayern Munich L 1-2 1962 2118 17.4% 17.8% 64.8% -2.5 20
2020-12-16 RB Leipzig L 0-1 1926 2060 24.3% 28.3% 47.3% -4.1 9
2020-12-16 @ Hoffenheim W 1-0 2060 1926 47.3% 28.3% 24.3% +4.1 27
2020-12-16 SC Freiburg L 0-2 1797 1883 29.1% 30.9% 40.0% -9.1 4
2020-12-16 @ Schalke 04 W 2-0 1883 1797 40.0% 30.9% 29.1% +9.1 14
2020-12-18 Borussia Dortmund W 2-1 1887 2025 24.0% 28.1% 47.9% +6.5 18
2020-12-18 @ Union Berlin L 1-2 2025 1887 47.9% 28.1% 24.0% -6.5 22
2020-12-19 Eintracht Frankfurt L 0-2 1863 1928 31.7% 31.5% 36.8% -9.7 16
2020-12-19 @ FC Augsburg W 2-0 1928 1863 36.8% 31.5% 31.7% +9.7 16
2020-12-19 Bayern Munich L 1-2 2015 2120 26.9% 30.1% 43.0% -4.3 25
2020-12-19 @ Bayer Leverkusen W 2-1 2120 2015 43.0% 30.1% 26.9% +4.3 27
2020-12-19 Hoffenheim L 1-2 1968 1922 48.0% 28.1% 24.0% -6.5 15
2020-12-19 @ Borussia Monchengladbach W 2-1 1922 1968 24.0% 28.1% 48.0% +6.5 12
2020-12-19 Werder Bremen L 0-1 1841 1843 40.7% 30.8% 28.6% -6.1 6
2020-12-19 @ Mainz 05 W 1-0 1843 1841 28.6% 30.8% 40.7% +6.1 13
2020-12-19 Arminia Bielefeld L 0-1 1788 1828 35.1% 31.6% 33.3% -5.5 4
2020-12-19 @ Schalke 04 W 1-0 1828 1788 33.3% 31.6% 35.1% +5.5 7
2020-12-20 Hertha BSC W 4-1 1892 1899 40.0% 30.9% 29.1% +11.2 17
2020-12-20 @ SC Freiburg L 1-4 1899 1892 29.1% 30.9% 40.0% -11.2 13
2020-12-20 VfB Stuttgart W 1-0 1960 1905 49.5% 27.3% 23.2% +3.9 23
2020-12-20 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 0-1 1905 1960 23.2% 27.3% 49.5% -3.9 17
2021-01-02 Borussia Monchengladbach L 0-1 1834 1961 24.9% 28.8% 46.3% -4.2 7
2021-01-02 @ Arminia Bielefeld W 1-0 1961 1834 46.3% 28.8% 24.9% +4.2 18
2021-01-02 Bayer Leverkusen W 2-1 1937 2011 30.6% 31.3% 38.1% +5.5 19
2021-01-02 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-2 2011 1937 38.1% 31.3% 30.6% -5.5 25
2021-01-02 Schalke 04 W 3-0 1888 1783 57.2% 22.9% 20.0% +8.8 16
2021-01-02 @ Hertha BSC L 0-3 1783 1888 20.0% 22.9% 57.2% -8.8 4
2021-01-02 SC Freiburg L 1-3 1929 1903 44.9% 29.4% 25.7% -10.7 12
2021-01-02 @ Hoffenheim W 3-1 1903 1929 25.7% 29.4% 44.9% +10.7 20
2021-01-02 RB Leipzig L 0-1 1901 2064 22.1% 26.0% 51.9% -3.7 17
2021-01-02 @ VfB Stuttgart W 1-0 2064 1901 51.9% 26.0% 22.1% +3.7 30
2021-01-02 Union Berlin L 0-2 1849 1893 34.5% 31.6% 33.9% -10.3 13
2021-01-02 @ Werder Bremen W 2-0 1893 1849 33.9% 31.6% 34.5% +10.3 21
2021-01-03 Mainz 05 W 5-2 2125 1835 82.4% 6.4% 11.2% +2.7 30
2021-01-03 @ Bayern Munich L 2-5 1835 2125 11.2% 6.4% 82.4% -2.8 6
2021-01-03 VfL Wolfsburg W 2-0 2018 1964 49.3% 27.4% 23.3% +7.4 25
2021-01-03 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-2 1964 2018 23.3% 27.4% 49.3% -7.4 23
2021-01-08 Bayern Munich W 3-2 1965 2127 22.2% 26.2% 51.6% +6.4 21
2021-01-08 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 2-3 2127 1965 51.6% 26.2% 22.2% -6.4 30
2021-01-09 Werder Bremen D 1-1 2005 1839 66.5% 16.7% 16.9% -1.5 26
2021-01-09 @ Bayer Leverkusen D 1-1 1839 2005 16.9% 16.7% 66.5% +1.5 14
2021-01-09 Eintracht Frankfurt L 0-2 1832 1943 26.4% 29.8% 43.8% -8.4 6
2021-01-09 @ Mainz 05 W 2-0 1943 1832 43.8% 29.8% 26.4% +8.4 22
2021-01-09 Borussia Dortmund L 1-3 2068 2026 47.4% 28.3% 24.3% -11.1 30
2021-01-09 @ RB Leipzig W 3-1 2026 2068 24.3% 28.3% 47.4% +11.1 28
2021-01-09 Hoffenheim W 4-0 1774 1918 23.5% 27.6% 48.9% +24.8 7
2021-01-09 @ Schalke 04 L 0-4 1918 1774 48.9% 27.6% 23.5% -24.8 12
2021-01-09 VfL Wolfsburg D 2-2 1903 1957 33.2% 31.6% 35.2% +0.0 22
2021-01-09 @ Union Berlin D 2-2 1957 1903 35.2% 31.6% 33.2% -0.0 24
2021-01-10 Hertha BSC W 1-0 1830 1897 31.4% 31.4% 37.2% +5.8 10
2021-01-10 @ Arminia Bielefeld L 0-1 1897 1830 37.2% 31.4% 31.4% -5.8 16
2021-01-10 VfB Stuttgart L 1-4 1854 1897 34.6% 31.6% 33.8% -12.7 16
2021-01-10 @ FC Augsburg W 4-1 1897 1854 33.8% 31.6% 34.6% +12.7 20
2021-01-15 Bayer Leverkusen W 1-0 1904 2004 27.5% 30.3% 42.1% +6.3 25
2021-01-15 @ Union Berlin L 0-1 2004 1904 42.1% 30.3% 27.5% -6.3 26
2021-01-16 Mainz 05 D 1-1 2037 1823 73.1% 12.2% 14.7% -1.8 29
2021-01-16 @ Borussia Dortmund D 1-1 1823 2037 14.7% 12.2% 73.1% +1.8 7
2021-01-16 Arminia Bielefeld D 0-0 1893 1835 49.8% 27.1% 23.1% -0.9 13
2021-01-16 @ Hoffenheim D 0-0 1835 1893 23.1% 27.1% 49.8% +0.9 11
2021-01-16 Borussia Monchengladbach D 2-2 1910 1972 32.0% 31.5% 36.5% +0.1 21
2021-01-16 @ VfB Stuttgart D 2-2 1972 1910 36.5% 31.5% 32.0% -0.1 22
2021-01-16 FC Augsburg W 2-0 1840 1841 40.9% 30.7% 28.4% +8.9 17
2021-01-16 @ Werder Bremen L 0-2 1841 1840 28.4% 30.7% 40.9% -8.9 16
2021-01-16 RB Leipzig D 2-2 1957 2057 27.5% 30.3% 42.2% +0.3 25
2021-01-16 @ VfL Wolfsburg D 2-2 2057 1957 42.2% 30.3% 27.5% -0.3 31
2021-01-17 SC Freiburg W 2-1 2121 1914 72.3% 12.8% 15.0% +1.9 33
2021-01-17 @ Bayern Munich L 1-2 1914 2121 15.0% 12.8% 72.3% -1.9 20
2021-01-17 Schalke 04 W 3-1 1951 1799 64.4% 18.1% 17.5% +4.3 25
2021-01-17 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-3 1799 1951 17.5% 18.1% 64.4% -4.3 7
2021-01-19 Borussia Dortmund W 2-1 1997 2035 35.4% 31.6% 33.0% +5.0 29
2021-01-19 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 1-2 2035 1997 33.0% 31.6% 35.4% -5.0 29
2021-01-19 Werder Bremen W 1-0 1972 1849 59.9% 21.1% 19.0% +3.0 25
2021-01-19 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 0-1 1849 1972 19.0% 21.1% 59.9% -3.0 17
2021-01-19 Hoffenheim L 0-3 1891 1892 40.8% 30.7% 28.5% -16.8 16
2021-01-19 @ Hertha BSC W 3-0 1892 1891 28.5% 30.7% 40.8% +16.8 16
2021-01-19 VfL Wolfsburg L 0-2 1825 1957 24.5% 28.5% 46.9% -7.8 7
2021-01-19 @ Mainz 05 W 2-0 1957 1825 46.9% 28.5% 24.5% +7.8 28
2021-01-20 VfB Stuttgart W 3-0 1836 1910 30.6% 31.3% 38.2% +16.1 14
2021-01-20 @ Arminia Bielefeld L 0-3 1910 1836 38.2% 31.3% 30.6% -16.1 21
2021-01-20 Bayern Munich L 0-1 1832 2123 15.4% 13.6% 71.1% -2.1 16
2021-01-20 @ FC Augsburg W 1-0 2123 1832 71.1% 13.6% 15.4% +2.1 36
2021-01-20 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2-2 1912 1956 34.6% 31.6% 33.8% -0.0 21
2021-01-20 @ SC Freiburg D 2-2 1956 1912 33.8% 31.6% 34.6% +0.0 26
2021-01-20 Union Berlin W 1-0 2057 1910 63.5% 18.7% 17.8% +2.7 34
2021-01-20 @ RB Leipzig L 0-1 1910 2057 17.8% 18.7% 63.5% -2.7 25
2021-01-22 Borussia Dortmund W 4-2 1975 2030 32.9% 31.6% 35.5% +8.2 28
2021-01-22 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 2-4 2030 1975 35.5% 31.6% 32.9% -8.2 29
2021-01-23 Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-5 1852 1956 27.2% 30.2% 42.6% -13.6 14
2021-01-23 @ Arminia Bielefeld W 5-1 1956 1852 42.6% 30.2% 27.2% +13.6 29
2021-01-23 Union Berlin W 2-1 1830 1907 30.1% 31.2% 38.7% +5.6 19
2021-01-23 @ FC Augsburg L 1-2 1907 1830 38.7% 31.2% 30.1% -5.6 25
2021-01-23 VfL Wolfsburg L 0-1 2002 1965 46.7% 28.6% 24.6% -6.7 29
2021-01-23 @ Bayer Leverkusen W 1-0 1965 2002 24.6% 28.6% 46.7% +6.7 31
2021-01-23 VfB Stuttgart W 2-1 1912 1894 43.8% 29.8% 26.4% +4.2 24
2021-01-23 @ SC Freiburg L 1-2 1894 1912 26.4% 29.8% 43.8% -4.2 21
2021-01-23 Werder Bremen L 1-4 1874 1846 45.2% 29.2% 25.5% -15.2 16
2021-01-23 @ Hertha BSC W 4-1 1846 1874 25.5% 29.2% 45.2% +15.2 20
2021-01-23 RB Leipzig W 3-2 1817 2059 17.7% 18.4% 63.9% +7.3 10
2021-01-23 @ Mainz 05 L 2-3 2059 1817 63.9% 18.4% 17.7% -7.4 34
2021-01-24 Bayern Munich L 0-4 1794 2125 13.5% 10.1% 76.4% -6.3 7
2021-01-24 @ Schalke 04 W 4-0 2125 1794 76.4% 10.1% 13.5% +6.3 39
2021-01-29 Mainz 05 W 2-0 1890 1825 50.9% 26.6% 22.5% +7.1 24
2021-01-29 @ VfB Stuttgart L 0-2 1825 1890 22.5% 26.6% 50.9% -7.1 10
2021-01-30 Hoffenheim W 4-1 2131 1909 74.4% 11.4% 14.2% +4.4 42
2021-01-30 @ Bayern Munich L 1-4 1909 2131 14.2% 11.4% 74.4% -4.4 16
2021-01-30 FC Augsburg W 3-1 2022 1836 69.4% 14.7% 15.9% +3.7 32
2021-01-30 @ Borussia Dortmund L 1-3 1836 2022 15.9% 14.7% 69.4% -3.7 19
2021-01-30 Hertha BSC W 3-1 1969 1859 58.0% 22.4% 19.7% +5.1 32
2021-01-30 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-3 1859 1969 19.7% 22.4% 58.0% -5.1 16
2021-01-30 Bayer Leverkusen W 1-0 2052 1996 49.6% 27.2% 23.2% +3.9 37
2021-01-30 @ RB Leipzig L 0-1 1996 2052 23.2% 27.2% 49.6% -3.9 29
2021-01-30 Borussia Monchengladbach D 1-1 1902 1983 29.6% 31.1% 39.4% +0.3 26
2021-01-30 @ Union Berlin D 1-1 1983 1902 39.4% 31.1% 29.6% -0.3 29
2021-01-30 Schalke 04 D 1-1 1861 1788 52.2% 25.8% 21.9% -0.9 21
2021-01-30 @ Werder Bremen D 1-1 1788 1861 21.9% 25.8% 52.2% +0.9 8
2021-01-31 SC Freiburg W 3-0 1971 1916 49.5% 27.3% 23.2% +10.7 34
2021-01-31 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 0-3 1916 1971 23.2% 27.3% 49.5% -10.7 24
2021-02-05 Bayern Munich L 0-1 1854 2136 15.8% 14.4% 69.8% -2.2 16
2021-02-05 @ Hertha BSC W 1-0 2136 1854 69.8% 14.4% 15.8% +2.2 45
2021-02-06 VfL Wolfsburg L 0-2 1832 1982 23.1% 27.1% 49.8% -7.3 19
2021-02-06 @ FC Augsburg W 2-0 1982 1832 49.8% 27.1% 23.1% +7.3 37
2021-02-06 VfB Stuttgart W 5-2 1992 1897 55.6% 23.8% 20.6% +6.7 32
2021-02-06 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 2-5 1897 1992 20.6% 23.8% 55.6% -6.7 24
2021-02-06 Borussia Dortmund W 2-1 1905 2026 25.5% 29.3% 45.2% +6.2 27
2021-02-06 @ SC Freiburg L 1-2 2026 1905 45.2% 29.3% 25.5% -6.2 32
2021-02-06 Union Berlin W 1-0 1818 1902 29.3% 31.0% 39.8% +6.0 13
2021-02-06 @ Mainz 05 L 0-1 1902 1818 39.8% 31.0% 29.3% -6.0 26
2021-02-06 RB Leipzig L 0-3 1789 2056 16.5% 15.9% 67.6% -6.5 8
2021-02-06 @ Schalke 04 W 3-0 2056 1789 67.6% 15.9% 16.5% +6.5 40
2021-02-07 Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-3 1905 1974 31.0% 31.4% 37.6% -8.3 16
2021-02-07 @ Hoffenheim W 3-1 1974 1905 37.6% 31.4% 31.0% +8.3 35
2021-02-12 FC Augsburg W 2-1 2062 1825 76.3% 10.1% 13.6% +1.7 43
2021-02-12 @ RB Leipzig L 1-2 1825 2062 13.6% 10.1% 76.3% -1.7 19
2021-02-13 Mainz 05 D 2-2 1998 1824 67.7% 15.9% 16.5% -1.2 33
2021-02-13 @ Bayer Leverkusen D 2-2 1824 1998 16.5% 15.9% 67.7% +1.2 14
2021-02-13 Hoffenheim D 2-2 2019 1896 59.9% 21.1% 19.0% -0.9 33
2021-02-13 @ Borussia Dortmund D 2-2 1896 2019 19.0% 21.1% 59.9% +1.0 17
2021-02-13 Schalke 04 D 0-0 1896 1782 58.4% 22.1% 19.5% -1.3 27
2021-02-13 @ Union Berlin D 0-0 1782 1896 19.5% 22.1% 58.4% +1.4 9
2021-02-13 Hertha BSC D 1-1 1890 1851 46.9% 28.6% 24.6% -0.7 25
2021-02-13 @ VfB Stuttgart D 1-1 1851 1890 24.6% 28.6% 46.9% +0.7 17
2021-02-13 SC Freiburg D 0-0 1860 1912 33.5% 31.6% 34.9% +0.0 22
2021-02-13 @ Werder Bremen D 0-0 1912 1860 34.9% 31.6% 33.5% -0.0 28
2021-02-14 Borussia Monchengladbach D 0-0 1989 1983 42.0% 30.4% 27.6% -0.5 38
2021-02-14 @ VfL Wolfsburg D 0-0 1983 1989 27.6% 30.4% 42.0% +0.5 30
2021-02-15 Arminia Bielefeld D 3-3 2138 1839 83.4% 5.9% 10.8% -1.3 46
2021-02-15 @ Bayern Munich D 3-3 1839 2138 10.8% 5.9% 83.4% +1.3 15
2021-02-19 VfL Wolfsburg L 0-3 1840 1989 23.2% 27.3% 49.6% -10.6 15
2021-02-19 @ Arminia Bielefeld W 3-0 1989 1840 49.6% 27.3% 23.2% +10.6 41
2021-02-20 Mainz 05 L 1-2 1983 1825 65.2% 17.5% 17.2% -7.9 30
2021-02-20 @ Borussia Monchengladbach W 2-1 1825 1983 17.2% 17.5% 65.2% +7.8 17
2021-02-20 Bayern Munich W 2-1 1983 2137 22.8% 26.8% 50.4% +6.7 38
2021-02-20 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-2 2137 1983 50.4% 26.8% 22.8% -6.7 46
2021-02-20 Union Berlin L 0-1 1912 1894 43.6% 29.9% 26.5% -6.4 28
2021-02-20 @ SC Freiburg W 1-0 1894 1912 26.5% 29.9% 43.6% +6.4 30
2021-02-20 Borussia Dortmund L 0-4 1784 2018 18.0% 19.1% 62.8% -9.8 9
2021-02-20 @ Schalke 04 W 4-0 2018 1784 62.8% 19.1% 18.0% +9.8 36
2021-02-21 Bayer Leverkusen D 1-1 1823 1997 21.4% 25.1% 53.5% +1.0 20
2021-02-21 @ FC Augsburg D 1-1 1997 1823 53.5% 25.1% 21.4% -1.0 34
2021-02-21 RB Leipzig L 0-3 1852 2064 19.2% 21.4% 59.4% -8.3 17
2021-02-21 @ Hertha BSC W 3-0 2064 1852 59.4% 21.4% 19.2% +8.3 46
2021-02-21 Werder Bremen W 4-0 1897 1860 46.6% 28.7% 24.7% +14.9 20
2021-02-21 @ Hoffenheim L 0-4 1860 1897 24.7% 28.7% 46.6% -14.9 22
2021-02-26 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2-1 1846 1989 23.5% 27.6% 48.8% +6.5 25
2021-02-26 @ Werder Bremen L 1-2 1989 1846 48.8% 27.6% 23.5% -6.5 38
2021-02-27 Arminia Bielefeld W 3-0 2028 1830 71.1% 13.5% 15.3% +5.8 39
2021-02-27 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-3 1830 2028 15.3% 13.5% 71.1% -5.8 15
2021-02-27 Borussia Monchengladbach W 3-2 2072 1975 55.9% 23.7% 20.4% +3.0 49
2021-02-27 @ RB Leipzig L 2-3 1975 2072 20.4% 23.7% 55.9% -3.0 30
2021-02-27 Schalke 04 W 5-1 1889 1774 58.7% 21.9% 19.4% +9.2 28
2021-02-27 @ VfB Stuttgart L 1-5 1774 1889 19.4% 21.9% 58.7% -9.2 9
2021-02-27 Hertha BSC W 2-0 1999 1844 64.9% 17.8% 17.4% +4.9 44
2021-02-27 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 0-2 1844 1999 17.4% 17.8% 64.9% -4.9 17
2021-02-28 SC Freiburg L 1-2 1996 1905 55.0% 24.2% 20.8% -7.1 34
2021-02-28 @ Bayer Leverkusen W 2-1 1905 1996 20.8% 24.2% 55.0% +7.1 31
2021-02-28 FC Augsburg L 0-1 1833 1824 42.4% 30.3% 27.4% -6.3 17
2021-02-28 @ Mainz 05 W 1-0 1824 1833 27.4% 30.3% 42.4% +6.3 23
2021-02-28 Hoffenheim D 1-1 1901 1912 39.3% 31.1% 29.6% -0.3 31
2021-02-28 @ Union Berlin D 1-1 1912 1901 29.6% 31.1% 39.3% +0.3 21
2021-03-05 Mainz 05 D 0-0 1765 1826 32.0% 31.5% 36.4% +0.1 10
2021-03-05 @ Schalke 04 D 0-0 1826 1765 36.4% 31.5% 32.0% -0.1 18
2021-03-06 Borussia Dortmund W 4-2 2130 2034 55.7% 23.8% 20.5% +4.9 49
2021-03-06 @ Bayern Munich L 2-4 2034 2130 20.5% 23.8% 55.7% -4.9 39
2021-03-06 Bayer Leverkusen L 0-1 1972 1989 38.5% 31.2% 30.3% -5.9 30
2021-03-06 @ Borussia Monchengladbach W 1-0 1989 1972 30.3% 31.2% 38.5% +5.9 37
2021-03-06 VfB Stuttgart D 1-1 1983 1898 53.9% 24.9% 21.2% -1.0 39
2021-03-06 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 1-1 1898 1983 21.2% 24.9% 53.9% +1.0 29
2021-03-06 RB Leipzig L 0-3 1912 2075 22.1% 26.1% 51.8% -10.1 31
2021-03-06 @ SC Freiburg W 3-0 2075 1912 51.8% 26.1% 22.1% +10.1 52
2021-03-06 FC Augsburg W 2-1 1839 1830 42.3% 30.3% 27.4% +4.3 20
2021-03-06 @ Hertha BSC L 1-2 1830 1839 27.4% 30.3% 42.3% -4.3 23
2021-03-06 VfL Wolfsburg W 2-1 1912 2004 28.4% 30.7% 40.9% +5.8 24
2021-03-06 @ Hoffenheim L 1-2 2004 1912 40.9% 30.7% 28.4% -5.8 44
2021-03-07 Union Berlin D 0-0 1824 1901 30.1% 31.2% 38.7% +0.3 16
2021-03-07 @ Arminia Bielefeld D 0-0 1901 1824 38.7% 31.2% 30.1% -0.3 32
2021-03-10 Werder Bremen L 0-2 1824 1852 36.8% 31.5% 31.7% -10.8 16
2021-03-10 @ Arminia Bielefeld W 2-0 1852 1824 31.7% 31.5% 36.8% +10.8 28
2021-03-12 Borussia Monchengladbach W 3-1 1826 1966 23.8% 27.9% 48.3% +11.2 26
2021-03-12 @ FC Augsburg L 1-3 1966 1826 48.3% 27.9% 23.8% -11.2 30
2021-03-13 Hertha BSC W 2-0 2029 1843 69.3% 14.8% 15.9% +4.3 42
2021-03-13 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-2 1843 2029 15.9% 14.8% 69.3% -4.3 20
2021-03-13 SC Freiburg W 1-0 1826 1902 30.3% 31.2% 38.5% +5.9 21
2021-03-13 @ Mainz 05 L 0-1 1902 1826 38.5% 31.2% 30.3% -5.9 31
2021-03-13 Bayern Munich L 1-3 1863 2135 16.2% 15.4% 68.4% -3.8 28
2021-03-13 @ Werder Bremen W 3-1 2135 1863 68.4% 15.4% 16.2% +3.8 52
2021-03-13 Schalke 04 W 5-0 1999 1765 75.8% 10.4% 13.7% +8.0 47
2021-03-13 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 0-5 1765 1999 13.7% 10.4% 75.8% -8.0 10
2021-03-14 Arminia Bielefeld L 1-2 1995 1813 68.7% 15.2% 16.1% -8.1 37
2021-03-14 @ Bayer Leverkusen W 2-1 1813 1995 16.1% 15.2% 68.7% +8.1 19
2021-03-14 Eintracht Frankfurt D 1-1 2085 1982 56.9% 23.0% 20.1% -1.1 53
2021-03-14 @ RB Leipzig D 1-1 1982 2085 20.1% 23.0% 56.9% +1.1 40
2021-03-14 Hoffenheim W 2-0 1899 1918 38.2% 31.3% 30.5% +9.5 32
2021-03-14 @ VfB Stuttgart L 0-2 1918 1899 30.5% 31.3% 38.2% -9.5 24
2021-03-19 RB Leipzig L 0-1 1821 2084 16.7% 16.3% 67.0% -2.4 19
2021-03-19 @ Arminia Bielefeld W 1-0 2084 1821 67.0% 16.3% 16.7% +2.4 56
2021-03-20 VfB Stuttgart W 4-0 2139 1909 75.3% 10.8% 13.9% +6.6 55
2021-03-20 @ Bayern Munich L 0-4 1909 2139 13.9% 10.8% 75.3% -6.6 32
2021-03-20 Union Berlin W 5-2 1983 1900 53.7% 25.0% 21.3% +7.0 43
2021-03-20 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 2-5 1900 1983 21.3% 25.0% 53.7% -7.0 32
2021-03-20 Borussia Monchengladbach L 0-3 1757 1955 19.9% 22.8% 57.3% -8.8 10
2021-03-20 @ Schalke 04 W 3-0 1955 1757 57.3% 22.8% 19.9% +8.8 33
2021-03-20 VfL Wolfsburg L 1-2 1859 2007 23.3% 27.4% 49.4% -3.7 28
2021-03-20 @ Werder Bremen W 2-1 2007 1859 49.4% 27.4% 23.3% +3.7 50
2021-03-21 FC Augsburg W 2-0 1896 1837 50.0% 27.0% 22.9% +7.2 34
2021-03-21 @ SC Freiburg L 0-2 1837 1896 22.9% 27.0% 50.0% -7.2 26
2021-03-21 Bayer Leverkusen W 3-0 1839 1987 23.2% 27.3% 49.5% +19.1 23
2021-03-21 @ Hertha BSC L 0-3 1987 1839 49.5% 27.3% 23.2% -19.2 37
2021-03-21 Mainz 05 L 1-2 1909 1832 52.7% 25.6% 21.7% -6.9 24
2021-03-21 @ Hoffenheim W 2-1 1832 1909 21.7% 25.6% 52.7% +6.9 24
2021-04-03 Hoffenheim W 2-1 1830 1902 30.7% 31.3% 38.0% +5.5 29
2021-04-03 @ FC Augsburg L 1-2 1902 1830 38.0% 31.3% 30.7% -5.5 24
2021-04-03 Schalke 04 W 2-1 1968 1748 74.0% 11.6% 14.4% +1.8 40
2021-04-03 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 1-2 1748 1968 14.4% 11.6% 74.0% -1.8 10
2021-04-03 Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-2 2034 1990 47.6% 28.2% 24.1% -6.4 42
2021-04-03 @ Borussia Dortmund W 2-1 1990 2034 24.1% 28.2% 47.6% +6.4 46
2021-04-03 SC Freiburg W 2-1 1964 1903 50.2% 26.9% 22.8% +3.6 36
2021-04-03 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 1-2 1903 1964 22.8% 26.9% 50.2% -3.6 34
2021-04-03 Arminia Bielefeld D 1-1 1839 1819 44.1% 29.7% 26.2% -0.5 25
2021-04-03 @ Mainz 05 D 1-1 1819 1839 26.2% 29.7% 44.1% +0.5 20
2021-04-03 Bayern Munich L 0-1 2087 2145 32.5% 31.5% 36.0% -5.2 56
2021-04-03 @ RB Leipzig W 1-0 2145 2087 36.0% 31.5% 32.5% +5.2 58
2021-04-04 Hertha BSC D 1-1 1893 1858 46.4% 28.8% 24.9% -0.7 33
2021-04-04 @ Union Berlin D 1-1 1858 1893 24.9% 28.8% 46.4% +0.7 24
2021-04-04 Werder Bremen W 1-0 1902 1855 48.1% 28.0% 23.9% +4.0 35
2021-04-04 @ VfB Stuttgart L 0-1 1855 1902 23.9% 28.0% 48.1% -4.0 28
2021-04-09 SC Freiburg W 1-0 1819 1900 29.7% 31.1% 39.2% +6.0 23
2021-04-09 @ Arminia Bielefeld L 0-1 1900 1819 39.2% 31.1% 29.7% -6.0 34
2021-04-10 Union Berlin D 1-1 2151 1893 78.8% 8.6% 12.6% -2.0 59
2021-04-10 @ Bayern Munich D 1-1 1893 2151 12.6% 8.6% 78.8% +2.0 34
2021-04-10 VfL Wolfsburg W 4-3 1996 2010 38.9% 31.1% 29.9% +4.3 49
2021-04-10 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 3-4 2010 1996 29.9% 31.1% 38.9% -4.3 50
2021-04-10 Borussia Monchengladbach D 2-2 1859 1968 26.6% 29.9% 43.5% +0.4 25
2021-04-10 @ Hertha BSC D 2-2 1968 1859 43.5% 29.9% 26.6% -0.4 37
2021-04-10 Borussia Dortmund L 2-3 1906 2027 25.5% 29.2% 45.3% -3.8 35
2021-04-10 @ VfB Stuttgart W 3-2 2027 1906 45.3% 29.2% 25.5% +3.8 45
2021-04-10 RB Leipzig L 1-4 1851 2081 18.3% 19.6% 62.1% -6.5 28
2021-04-10 @ Werder Bremen W 4-1 2081 1851 62.1% 19.6% 18.3% +6.5 59
2021-04-11 FC Augsburg W 1-0 1746 1835 28.7% 30.8% 40.5% +6.1 13
2021-04-11 @ Schalke 04 L 0-1 1835 1746 40.5% 30.8% 28.7% -6.1 29
2021-04-12 Bayer Leverkusen D 0-0 1896 1970 30.6% 31.3% 38.1% +0.2 25
2021-04-12 @ Hoffenheim D 0-0 1970 1896 38.1% 31.3% 30.6% -0.2 41
2021-04-16 Hoffenheim D 0-0 2088 1897 70.1% 14.2% 15.7% -1.9 60
2021-04-16 @ RB Leipzig D 0-0 1897 2088 15.7% 14.2% 70.1% +1.9 26
2021-04-17 Arminia Bielefeld D 0-0 1829 1825 41.6% 30.5% 27.9% -0.5 30
2021-04-17 @ FC Augsburg D 0-0 1825 1829 27.9% 30.5% 41.6% +0.5 24
2021-04-17 Eintracht Frankfurt W 4-0 1967 2001 36.0% 31.5% 32.4% +18.8 40
2021-04-17 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 0-4 2001 1967 32.4% 31.5% 36.0% -18.8 49
2021-04-17 Schalke 04 W 4-0 1894 1752 62.7% 19.2% 18.1% +9.9 37
2021-04-17 @ SC Freiburg L 0-4 1752 1894 18.1% 19.2% 62.7% -9.9 13
2021-04-17 VfB Stuttgart W 2-1 1895 1902 39.8% 31.0% 29.2% +4.6 37
2021-04-17 @ Union Berlin L 1-2 1902 1895 29.2% 31.0% 39.8% -4.6 35
2021-04-17 Bayern Munich L 2-3 2006 2149 23.6% 27.7% 48.7% -3.6 50
2021-04-17 @ VfL Wolfsburg W 3-2 2149 2006 48.7% 27.7% 23.6% +3.5 62
2021-04-18 Werder Bremen W 4-1 2031 1845 69.3% 14.8% 15.9% +5.2 48
2021-04-18 @ Borussia Dortmund L 1-4 1845 2031 15.9% 14.8% 69.3% -5.2 28
2021-04-20 Schalke 04 W 1-0 1826 1742 53.8% 24.9% 21.3% +3.5 27
2021-04-20 @ Arminia Bielefeld L 0-1 1742 1826 21.3% 24.9% 53.8% -3.5 13
2021-04-20 Bayer Leverkusen W 2-0 2152 1969 68.8% 15.1% 16.1% +4.3 65
2021-04-20 @ Bayern Munich L 0-2 1969 2152 16.1% 15.1% 68.8% -4.3 41
2021-04-20 FC Augsburg W 2-0 1982 1829 64.5% 18.0% 17.5% +5.0 52
2021-04-20 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 0-2 1829 1982 17.5% 18.0% 64.5% -4.9 30
2021-04-21 Union Berlin W 2-0 2036 1899 62.0% 19.7% 18.3% +5.3 51
2021-04-21 @ Borussia Dortmund L 0-2 1899 2036 18.3% 19.7% 62.0% -5.3 37
2021-04-21 Borussia Monchengladbach W 3-2 1898 1986 28.9% 30.9% 40.3% +5.4 29
2021-04-21 @ Hoffenheim L 2-3 1986 1898 40.3% 30.9% 28.9% -5.4 40
2021-04-21 VfL Wolfsburg L 1-3 1898 2002 27.1% 30.1% 42.8% -7.4 35
2021-04-21 @ VfB Stuttgart W 3-1 2002 1898 42.8% 30.1% 27.1% +7.4 53
2021-04-21 Mainz 05 L 0-1 1840 1839 41.2% 30.6% 28.2% -6.2 28
2021-04-21 @ Werder Bremen W 1-0 1839 1840 28.2% 30.6% 41.2% +6.2 28
2021-04-24 Eintracht Frankfurt W 3-1 1965 1987 37.8% 31.4% 30.9% +8.3 44
2021-04-24 @ Bayer Leverkusen L 1-3 1987 1965 30.9% 31.4% 37.8% -8.3 52
2021-04-24 Hoffenheim D 1-1 1904 1904 41.0% 30.7% 28.3% -0.4 38
2021-04-24 @ SC Freiburg D 1-1 1904 1904 28.3% 30.7% 41.0% +0.4 30
2021-04-24 Bayern Munich W 2-1 1845 2157 14.4% 11.7% 73.9% +8.4 31
2021-04-24 @ Mainz 05 L 1-2 2157 1845 73.9% 11.7% 14.4% -8.4 65
2021-04-24 Werder Bremen W 3-1 1894 1834 50.2% 26.9% 22.9% +6.2 40
2021-04-24 @ Union Berlin L 1-3 1834 1894 22.9% 26.9% 50.2% -6.2 28
2021-04-24 Borussia Dortmund L 0-2 2010 2041 36.3% 31.5% 32.2% -10.7 53
2021-04-24 @ VfL Wolfsburg W 2-0 2041 2010 32.2% 31.5% 36.3% +10.7 54
2021-04-25 Arminia Bielefeld W 5-0 1981 1829 64.2% 18.2% 17.6% +11.7 43
2021-04-25 @ Borussia Monchengladbach L 0-5 1829 1981 17.6% 18.2% 64.2% -11.7 27
2021-04-25 VfB Stuttgart W 2-0 2086 1890 70.7% 13.8% 15.5% +4.1 63
2021-04-25 @ RB Leipzig L 0-2 1890 2086 15.5% 13.8% 70.7% -4.1 35
2021-05-03 Hertha BSC D 1-1 1853 1859 40.1% 30.9% 29.0% -0.3 32
2021-05-03 @ Mainz 05 D 1-1 1859 1853 29.0% 30.9% 40.1% +0.3 26
2021-05-06 SC Freiburg W 3-0 1859 1903 34.5% 31.6% 33.9% +14.8 29
2021-05-06 @ Hertha BSC L 0-3 1903 1859 33.9% 31.6% 34.5% -14.8 38
2021-05-07 FC Augsburg W 2-1 1886 1824 50.6% 26.7% 22.7% +3.6 38
2021-05-07 @ VfB Stuttgart L 1-2 1824 1886 22.7% 26.7% 50.6% -3.6 30
2021-05-08 Borussia Monchengladbach W 6-0 2148 1992 64.9% 17.8% 17.4% +13.6 68
2021-05-08 @ Bayern Munich L 0-6 1992 2148 17.4% 17.8% 64.9% -13.6 43
2021-05-08 RB Leipzig W 3-2 2052 2090 35.4% 31.6% 33.0% +4.8 57
2021-05-08 @ Borussia Dortmund L 2-3 2090 2052 33.0% 31.6% 35.4% -4.8 63
2021-05-08 Schalke 04 W 4-2 1904 1739 66.3% 16.8% 16.9% +3.6 33
2021-05-08 @ Hoffenheim L 2-4 1739 1904 16.9% 16.8% 66.3% -3.6 13
2021-05-08 Bayer Leverkusen D 0-0 1827 1973 23.4% 27.5% 49.2% +0.9 29
2021-05-08 @ Werder Bremen D 0-0 1973 1827 49.2% 27.5% 23.4% -0.9 45
2021-05-08 Union Berlin W 3-0 1999 1900 56.2% 23.5% 20.3% +9.0 56
2021-05-08 @ VfL Wolfsburg L 0-3 1900 1999 20.3% 23.5% 56.2% -9.0 40
2021-05-09 Mainz 05 D 1-1 1979 1853 60.3% 20.8% 18.9% -1.3 53
2021-05-09 @ Eintracht Frankfurt D 1-1 1853 1979 18.9% 20.8% 60.3% +1.3 33
2021-05-09 Arminia Bielefeld D 0-0 1874 1818 49.7% 27.2% 23.1% -0.9 30
2021-05-09 @ Hertha BSC D 0-0 1818 1874 23.1% 27.2% 49.7% +0.9 28
2021-05-12 Hertha BSC L 1-2 1735 1873 24.0% 28.1% 47.9% -3.8 13
2021-05-12 @ Schalke 04 W 2-1 1873 1735 47.9% 28.1% 24.0% +3.8 33
2021-05-15 Hoffenheim D 1-1 1818 1908 28.7% 30.8% 40.6% +0.3 29
2021-05-15 @ Arminia Bielefeld D 1-1 1908 1818 40.6% 30.8% 28.7% -0.4 34
2021-05-15 Werder Bremen W 2-0 1820 1828 39.8% 31.0% 29.2% +9.1 33
2021-05-15 @ FC Augsburg L 0-2 1828 1820 29.2% 31.0% 39.8% -9.1 29
2021-05-15 Union Berlin D 1-1 1972 1891 53.5% 25.1% 21.4% -1.0 46
2021-05-15 @ Bayer Leverkusen D 1-1 1891 1972 21.4% 25.1% 53.5% +1.0 41
2021-05-15 VfB Stuttgart L 1-2 1979 1890 54.6% 24.4% 21.0% -7.0 43
2021-05-15 @ Borussia Monchengladbach W 2-1 1890 1979 21.0% 24.4% 54.6% +7.0 41
2021-05-15 Bayern Munich D 2-2 1889 2162 16.2% 15.3% 68.5% +1.2 39
2021-05-15 @ SC Freiburg D 2-2 2162 1889 68.5% 15.3% 16.2% -1.2 69
2021-05-15 Eintracht Frankfurt W 4-3 1732 1977 17.5% 18.0% 64.5% +7.2 16
2021-05-15 @ Schalke 04 L 3-4 1977 1732 64.5% 18.0% 17.5% -7.2 53
2021-05-16 Borussia Dortmund L 1-3 1854 2057 19.7% 22.4% 57.9% -5.1 33
2021-05-16 @ Mainz 05 W 3-1 2057 1854 57.9% 22.4% 19.7% +5.1 60
2021-05-16 VfL Wolfsburg D 2-2 2085 2008 52.8% 25.5% 21.7% -0.7 64
2021-05-16 @ RB Leipzig D 2-2 2008 2085 21.7% 25.5% 52.8% +0.7 57
2021-05-22 FC Augsburg W 5-2 2160 1829 86.3% 4.2% 9.4% +2.2 72
2021-05-22 @ Bayern Munich L 2-5 1829 2160 9.4% 4.2% 86.3% -2.2 33
2021-05-22 Bayer Leverkusen W 3-1 2062 1971 54.9% 24.3% 20.8% +5.6 63
2021-05-22 @ Borussia Dortmund L 1-3 1971 2062 20.8% 24.3% 54.9% -5.6 46
2021-05-22 SC Freiburg W 3-1 1970 1890 53.3% 25.2% 21.5% +5.8 56
2021-05-22 @ Eintracht Frankfurt L 1-3 1890 1970 21.5% 25.2% 53.3% -5.8 39
2021-05-22 Hertha BSC W 2-1 1908 1877 45.6% 29.1% 25.3% +4.0 37
2021-05-22 @ Hoffenheim L 1-2 1877 1908 25.3% 29.1% 45.6% -4.0 33
2021-05-22 RB Leipzig W 2-1 1892 2085 20.3% 23.4% 56.4% +7.2 44
2021-05-22 @ Union Berlin L 1-2 2085 1892 56.4% 23.4% 20.3% -7.2 64
2021-05-22 Arminia Bielefeld L 0-2 1897 1819 53.0% 25.4% 21.6% -13.8 41
2021-05-22 @ VfB Stuttgart W 2-0 1819 1897 21.6% 25.4% 53.0% +13.8 32
2021-05-22 Borussia Monchengladbach L 2-4 1819 1972 22.9% 27.0% 50.2% -5.6 29
2021-05-22 @ Werder Bremen W 4-2 1972 1819 50.2% 27.0% 22.9% +5.6 46
2021-05-22 Mainz 05 L 2-3 2009 1849 65.5% 17.3% 17.2% -7.5 57
2021-05-22 @ VfL Wolfsburg W 3-2 1849 2009 17.2% 17.3% 65.5% +7.5 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-04-24 14.40% @ Mainz 05 1845 2 Bayern Munich 2157 1
2 2021-03-14 16.13% Arminia Bielefeld 1813 2 @ Bayer Leverkusen 1995 1
3 2020-12-12 16.84% VfB Stuttgart 1880 5 @ Borussia Dortmund 2047 1
4 2021-05-22 17.17% Mainz 05 1849 3 @ VfL Wolfsburg 2009 2
5 2021-02-20 17.25% Mainz 05 1825 2 @ Borussia Monchengladbach 1983 1
6 2021-05-15 17.49% @ Schalke 04 1732 4 Eintracht Frankfurt 1977 3
7 2021-01-23 17.68% @ Mainz 05 1817 3 RB Leipzig 2059 2
8 2021-05-22 20.27% @ Union Berlin 1892 2 RB Leipzig 2085 1
9 2021-02-28 20.81% SC Freiburg 1905 2 @ Bayer Leverkusen 1996 1
10 2021-05-15 20.96% VfB Stuttgart 1890 2 @ Borussia Monchengladbach 1979 1
11 2020-11-02 21.16% Union Berlin 1860 3 @ Hoffenheim 1946 1
12 2020-09-27 21.61% @ Hoffenheim 1939 4 Bayern Munich 2110 1
13 2021-05-22 21.62% Arminia Bielefeld 1819 2 @ VfB Stuttgart 1897 0
14 2021-03-21 21.73% Mainz 05 1832 2 @ Hoffenheim 1909 1
15 2021-01-08 22.20% @ Borussia Monchengladbach 1965 3 Bayern Munich 2127 2
16 2020-09-26 22.60% @ FC Augsburg 1872 2 Borussia Dortmund 2028 0
17 2021-02-20 22.76% @ Eintracht Frankfurt 1983 2 Bayern Munich 2137 1
18 2021-03-21 23.21% @ Hertha BSC 1839 3 Bayer Leverkusen 1987 0
19 2020-11-22 23.40% Mainz 05 1833 3 @ SC Freiburg 1886 1
20 2021-01-09 23.52% @ Schalke 04 1774 4 Hoffenheim 1918 0
21 2021-02-26 23.54% @ Werder Bremen 1846 2 Eintracht Frankfurt 1989 1
22 2021-03-12 23.79% @ FC Augsburg 1826 3 Borussia Monchengladbach 1966 1
23 2020-12-19 23.98% Hoffenheim 1922 2 @ Borussia Monchengladbach 1968 1
24 2020-12-18 23.99% @ Union Berlin 1887 2 Borussia Dortmund 2025 1
25 2021-04-03 24.15% Eintracht Frankfurt 1990 2 @ Borussia Dortmund 2034 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-12-12 25.10 VfB Stuttgart 5 1880 16.84% @ Borussia Dortmund 1 2047 66.50%
2 2021-01-09 24.82 @ Schalke 04 4 1774 23.52% Hoffenheim 0 1918 48.87%
3 2020-11-07 20.20 @ Union Berlin 5 1872 42.41% Arminia Bielefeld 0 1863 27.32%
4 2021-03-21 19.15 @ Hertha BSC 3 1839 23.21% Bayer Leverkusen 0 1987 49.47%
5 2021-04-17 18.76 @ Borussia Monchengladbach 4 1967 36.05% Eintracht Frankfurt 0 2001 32.41%
6 2020-10-02 18.24 @ Union Berlin 4 1842 37.42% Mainz 05 0 1866 31.19%
7 2020-09-27 16.90 @ Hoffenheim 4 1939 21.61% Bayern Munich 1 2110 53.00%
8 2020-11-07 16.86 Hertha BSC 3 1881 28.38% @ FC Augsburg 0 1880 40.93%
9 2021-01-19 16.83 Hoffenheim 3 1892 28.46% @ Hertha BSC 0 1891 40.82%
10 2021-01-20 16.07 @ Arminia Bielefeld 3 1836 30.55% VfB Stuttgart 0 1910 38.17%
11 2020-09-26 15.34 VfB Stuttgart 4 1850 25.18% @ Mainz 05 1 1882 45.80%
12 2021-01-23 15.22 Werder Bremen 4 1846 25.52% @ Hertha BSC 1 1874 45.23%
13 2021-02-21 14.91 @ Hoffenheim 4 1897 46.59% Werder Bremen 0 1860 24.73%
14 2021-05-06 14.81 @ Hertha BSC 3 1859 34.53% SC Freiburg 0 1903 33.86%
15 2021-05-22 13.79 Arminia Bielefeld 2 1819 21.62% @ VfB Stuttgart 0 1897 52.98%
16 2021-01-23 13.60 Eintracht Frankfurt 5 1956 42.62% @ Arminia Bielefeld 1 1852 27.18%
17 2021-05-08 13.57 @ Bayern Munich 6 2148 64.89% Borussia Monchengladbach 0 1992 17.36%
18 2020-09-26 13.41 @ FC Augsburg 2 1872 22.60% Borussia Dortmund 0 2028 50.76%
19 2020-09-19 12.78 Hertha BSC 4 1894 33.40% @ Werder Bremen 1 1854 35.00%
20 2021-01-10 12.68 VfB Stuttgart 4 1897 33.77% @ FC Augsburg 1 1854 34.62%
21 2020-10-17 12.48 VfB Stuttgart 2 1866 25.34% @ Hertha BSC 0 1896 45.53%
22 2020-11-02 12.11 Union Berlin 3 1860 21.16% @ Hoffenheim 1 1946 54.09%
23 2020-09-18 11.90 @ Bayern Munich 8 2098 77.05% Schalke 04 0 1854 13.29%
24 2021-04-25 11.66 @ Borussia Monchengladbach 5 1981 64.19% Arminia Bielefeld 0 1829 17.59%
25 2020-10-03 11.62 @ Borussia Dortmund 4 2015 56.74% SC Freiburg 0 1912 20.13%